# 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi

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vte :
The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary failed to produce a majority winner. The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* Richard Boyanton, businessman
* Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. senator

#### Withdrawn

* Chris McDaniel, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)

### Endorsements
#### U.S. executive branch officials

* George W. Bush, 43rd president of the United States
* Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States

#### Governors

* Phil Bryant, Mississippi

#### Statewide officials

* Greg Snowden, speaker pro tempore of the Mississippi House of Representatives

#### U.S. senators

* Rick Santorum, former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania

#### Mississippi state officials

* Dane Maxwell, mayor of Pascagoula

#### Political operatives

* Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC
* Laura Van Overschelde, chair of the Mississippi Tea Party
* Grant Sowell, chair of the Tupelo Tea Party
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roger Wicker | Chris McDaniel | Tate Reeves | Undecided |
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | – | 66% | 16% | – | 18% |
| JMC Analytics | February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | – | 15% | 47% |
| JMC Analytics | February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 38% | 20% | – | 42% |
| Mason-Dixon | December 13–15, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 49% | 33% | – | 18% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker) | April 22–25, 2017 | 500 | ± 4.2% | 55% | 30% | – | 14% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 130,118 | 82.79% |
| | Republican | Richard Boyanton | 27,052 | 17.21% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 157,170 | 100% |

## Democratic primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader
* Jensen Bohren
* Jerone Garland
* Victor G. Maurice Jr.
* Omeria Scott, state representative
* Howard Sherman, businessman and husband of actress Sela Ward

#### Declined

* Jeramey Anderson, state representative (running for MS-4)
* Brandon Presley, chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission

### Endorsements
#### Organizations

* Jackpine Radicals
* Mississippi DSA
* Sustainable Politician Project
* Vote STEM

#### Organizations

* End Citizens United
* Mississippi AFL-CIO
* Mississippi Association of Educators
* Sierra Club

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | David Baria | Jensen Bohren | Omeria Scott | Howard Sherman | Undecided |
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 446 | 7% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 79% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | David Baria | Chuck Espy | Jim Hood | Bennie Thompson | Undecided |
| Triumph Campaigns | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | – | – | 33% | 47% | 20% |
| Triumph Campaigns | January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | 10% | 34% | – | – | 56% |

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Howard Sherman | 27,957 | 31.79% |
| | Democratic | David Baria | 27,244 | 30.98% |
| | Democratic | Omeria Scott | 21,278 | 24.20% |
| | Democratic | Victor G. Maurice Jr. | 4,361 | 4.96% |
| | Democratic | Jerone Garland | 4,266 | 4.85% |
| | Democratic | Jensen Bohren | 2,825 | 3.21% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 87,931 | 100% |

#### Runoff results

Democratic primary runoff results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | David Baria | 44,156 | 58.64% |
| | Democratic | Howard Sherman | 31,149 | 41.36% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 75,305 | 100% |

## Independents and third party candidates
### Libertarian Party
#### Declared

* Danny Bedwell, candidate for MS-01 in 2012 and 2014

### Reform Party
#### Declared

* Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate

## General election
### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| Inside Elections | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News | Likely R | July 9, 2018 |
| CNN | Safe R | July 12, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | June 2018 |

### Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018 :
| Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
| Roger Wicker (R) | $5,349,028 | $3,831,418 | $3,138,044 |
| David Baria (D) | $532,629 | $528,325 | $72,922 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission ||||

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Roger Wicker (R) | David Baria (D) | Danny Bedwell (L) | Other | Undecided |
| Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,003 | – | 48% | 40% | 5% | 3% | – |
| Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 511 LV | ± 6.1% | 57% | 31% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 511 LV | ± 6.1% | 60% | 32% | – | 2% | 7% |
| Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 856 RV | ± 4.7% | 54% | 30% | 3% | 2% | 10% |
| Marist College | October 13–18, 2018 | 856 RV | ± 4.7% | 57% | 32% | – | 2% | 9% |
| SurveyMonkey | September 9–24, 2018 | 985 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 29% | – | – | 27% |
| Triumph Campaigns | July 30–31, 2018 | 2,100 | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
| Triumph Campaigns | April 10–11, 2018 | 1,000 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 31% | – | – | 21% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | Roger Wicker (incumbent) | 547,619 | 58.49% | +1.33% |
| | Democratic | David Baria | 369,567 | 39.47% | −1.08% |
| | Libertarian | Danny Bedwell | 12,981 | 1.39% | N/A |
| | Reform | Shawn O'Hara | 6,048 | 0.65% | −0.41% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 936,215 | 100% | N/A |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Copiah (largest city: Hazlehurst)
* Panola (largest city: Batesville)
* Pike (largest city: McComb)
* Yazoo (largest city: Yazoo City)

#### By congressional district

Wicker won three of four congressional districts.
| District | Wicker | Baria | Representative |
| 1st | 66% | 32% | Trent Kelly |
| 2nd | 38% | 61% | Bennie Thompson |
| 3rd | 62% | 36% | Michael Guest |
| 4th | 68% | 30% | Steven Palazzo |