# 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky

"none" is preferred when the title is already sufficiently detailed; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
Elections in Kentucky :
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U.S. House of Representatives elections
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Ballot measures
2004Amendment 1
2022Amendment 2
2024Amendment 2 :
Lexington
Mayoral elections
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Mayoral elections
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Government :
vte :
The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Although Kentucky was won twice by Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican in history, and he swept counties across the state. Clinton's performance was also the worst for any Democratic nominee in history. She carried only the state's two most urban and populous counties: Jefferson County, home to Louisville; and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. Kentucky was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.
Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election after West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, and North Dakota. Most notably, Trump ended Elliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican since Warren G. Harding in 1920 to win the White House without carrying Fayette County.

## Caucuses
### Republican caucus

Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.
In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.
Kentucky Republican caucuses, March 2016 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 82,493 | 35.92% | 17 | 0 | 17 |
| Ted Cruz | 72,503 | 31.57% | 15 | 0 | 15 |
| Marco Rubio | 37,579 | 16.36% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| John Kasich | 33,134 | 14.43% | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 1,951 | 0.85% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 872 | 0.38% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 496 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 305 | 0.13% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 174 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 65 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 64 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 31 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 229,667 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
| Source: The Green Papers, Republican Party of Kentucky ||||||

### Democratic primary

Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
* Hillary Clinton
* Bernie Sanders
* Rocky De La Fuente
* Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
Kentucky Democratic primary, May 17, 2016 :
| Candidate | Popular vote | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates |
| Candidate | Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Hillary Clinton | 212,534 | 46.76% | 28 | 2 | 30 |
| Bernie Sanders | 210,623 | 46.33% | 27 | 0 | 27 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 5,713 | 1.26% | | | |
| Roque "Rocky" De La Fuente | 1,594 | 0.35% | | | |
| Uncommitted | 24,104 | 5.30% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 454,568 | 100% | 55 | 5 | 60 |
| Source: ||||||

## General election
### Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Los Angeles Times | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |

### Results

2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Donald Trump | 1,202,971 | 62.52% |
| | Democratic | Hillary Clinton | 628,854 | 32.68% |
| | Libertarian | Gary Johnson | 53,752 | 2.79% |
| | Independent | Evan McMullin | 22,780 | 1.18% |
| | Green | Jill Stein | 13,913 | 0.72% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,879 | 0.10% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,924,149 | 100.00% |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Adair | 6,637 | 80.61% | 1,323 | 16.07% | 273 | 3.32% | 5,314 | 64.54% | 8,233 |
| Allen | 6,466 | 79.87% | 1,349 | 16.66% | 281 | 3.47% | 5,117 | 63.21% | 8,096 |
| Anderson | 8,242 | 72.16% | 2,634 | 23.06% | 546 | 4.78% | 5,608 | 49.10% | 11,422 |
| Ballard | 3,161 | 77.08% | 816 | 19.90% | 124 | 3.02% | 2,345 | 57.18% | 4,101 |
| Barren | 13,483 | 72.93% | 4,275 | 23.12% | 730 | 3.95% | 9,208 | 49.81% | 18,488 |
| Bath | 3,082 | 67.19% | 1,361 | 29.67% | 144 | 3.14% | 1,721 | 37.52% | 4,587 |
| Bell | 7,764 | 79.89% | 1,720 | 17.70% | 234 | 2.41% | 6,044 | 62.19% | 9,718 |
| Boone | 39,082 | 67.83% | 15,026 | 26.08% | 3,510 | 6.09% | 24,056 | 41.75% | 57,618 |
| Bourbon | 5,569 | 63.26% | 2,791 | 31.71% | 443 | 5.03% | 2,778 | 31.55% | 8,803 |
| Boyd | 13,591 | 66.45% | 6,021 | 29.44% | 842 | 4.11% | 7,570 | 37.01% | 20,454 |
| Boyle | 8,040 | 62.10% | 4,281 | 33.07% | 625 | 4.83% | 3,759 | 29.03% | 12,946 |
| Bracken | 2,711 | 76.86% | 705 | 19.99% | 111 | 3.15% | 2,006 | 56.87% | 3,527 |
| Breathitt | 3,991 | 69.55% | 1,537 | 26.79% | 210 | 3.66% | 2,454 | 42.76% | 5,738 |
| Breckinridge | 6,484 | 73.90% | 1,960 | 22.34% | 330 | 3.76% | 4,524 | 51.56% | 8,774 |
| Bullitt | 26,210 | 72.67% | 8,255 | 22.89% | 1,604 | 4.44% | 17,955 | 49.78% | 36,069 |
| Butler | 4,428 | 79.41% | 947 | 16.98% | 201 | 3.61% | 3,481 | 62.43% | 5,576 |
| Caldwell | 4,507 | 75.43% | 1,260 | 21.09% | 208 | 3.48% | 3,247 | 54.34% | 5,975 |
| Calloway | 10,367 | 64.60% | 4,749 | 29.59% | 933 | 5.81% | 5,618 | 35.01% | 16,049 |
| Campbell | 25,050 | 58.93% | 14,658 | 34.48% | 2,802 | 6.59% | 10,392 | 24.45% | 42,510 |
| Carlisle | 2,094 | 80.51% | 432 | 16.61% | 75 | 2.88% | 1,662 | 63.90% | 2,601 |
| Carroll | 2,588 | 67.13% | 1,106 | 28.69% | 161 | 4.18% | 1,482 | 38.44% | 3,855 |
| Carter | 7,587 | 73.82% | 2,276 | 22.14% | 415 | 4.04% | 5,311 | 51.68% | 10,278 |
| Casey | 5,482 | 85.14% | 767 | 11.91% | 190 | 2.95% | 4,715 | 73.23% | 6,439 |
| Christian | 14,108 | 63.89% | 7,188 | 32.55% | 787 | 3.56% | 6,920 | 31.34% | 22,083 |
| Clark | 10,710 | 66.09% | 4,706 | 29.04% | 789 | 4.87% | 6,004 | 37.05% | 16,205 |
| Clay | 5,861 | 86.61% | 752 | 11.11% | 154 | 2.28% | 5,109 | 75.50% | 6,767 |
| Clinton | 3,809 | 85.37% | 547 | 12.26% | 106 | 2.37% | 3,262 | 73.11% | 4,462 |
| Crittenden | 3,290 | 81.50% | 617 | 15.28% | 130 | 3.22% | 2,673 | 66.22% | 4,037 |
| Cumberland | 2,502 | 81.60% | 459 | 14.97% | 105 | 3.43% | 2,043 | 66.63% | 3,066 |
| Daviess | 28,907 | 63.11% | 14,163 | 30.92% | 2,737 | 5.97% | 14,744 | 32.19% | 45,807 |
| Edmonson | 4,135 | 78.85% | 979 | 18.67% | 130 | 2.48% | 3,156 | 60.18% | 5,244 |
| Elliott | 2,000 | 70.05% | 740 | 25.92% | 115 | 4.03% | 1,260 | 44.13% | 2,855 |
| Estill | 4,236 | 76.39% | 1,108 | 19.98% | 201 | 3.63% | 3,128 | 56.41% | 5,545 |
| Fayette | 56,894 | 41.74% | 69,778 | 51.19% | 9,643 | 7.07% | -12,884 | -9.45% | 136,315 |
| Fleming | 4,722 | 75.43% | 1,348 | 21.53% | 190 | 3.04% | 3,374 | 53.90% | 6,260 |
| Floyd | 11,993 | 72.51% | 4,015 | 24.27% | 532 | 3.22% | 7,978 | 48.24% | 16,540 |
| Franklin | 11,819 | 49.52% | 10,717 | 44.91% | 1,329 | 5.57% | 1,102 | 4.61% | 23,865 |
| Fulton | 1,549 | 65.03% | 774 | 32.49% | 59 | 2.48% | 775 | 32.54% | 2,382 |
| Gallatin | 2,443 | 73.19% | 749 | 22.44% | 146 | 4.37% | 1,694 | 50.75% | 3,338 |
| Garrard | 5,904 | 77.45% | 1,453 | 19.06% | 266 | 3.49% | 4,451 | 58.39% | 7,623 |
| Grant | 7,268 | 76.03% | 1,910 | 19.98% | 381 | 3.99% | 5,358 | 56.05% | 9,559 |
| Graves | 12,671 | 76.30% | 3,308 | 19.92% | 627 | 3.78% | 9,363 | 56.38% | 16,606 |
| Grayson | 8,219 | 77.71% | 1,959 | 18.52% | 398 | 3.77% | 6,260 | 59.19% | 10,576 |
| Green | 4,372 | 81.98% | 832 | 15.60% | 129 | 2.42% | 3,540 | 66.38% | 5,333 |
| Greenup | 11,546 | 70.93% | 4,146 | 25.47% | 585 | 3.60% | 7,400 | 45.46% | 16,277 |
| Hancock | 2,788 | 64.91% | 1,244 | 28.96% | 263 | 6.13% | 1,544 | 35.95% | 4,295 |
| Hardin | 26,971 | 62.50% | 13,944 | 32.31% | 2,241 | 5.19% | 13,027 | 30.19% | 43,156 |
| Harlan | 9,129 | 84.87% | 1,372 | 12.75% | 256 | 2.38% | 7,757 | 72.12% | 10,757 |
| Harrison | 5,435 | 69.85% | 2,031 | 26.10% | 315 | 4.05% | 3,404 | 43.75% | 7,781 |
| Hart | 5,320 | 73.24% | 1,730 | 23.82% | 214 | 2.94% | 3,590 | 49.42% | 7,264 |
| Henderson | 12,159 | 61.69% | 6,707 | 34.03% | 844 | 4.28% | 5,452 | 27.66% | 19,710 |
| Henry | 4,944 | 69.16% | 1,828 | 25.57% | 377 | 5.27% | 3,116 | 43.59% | 7,149 |
| Hickman | 1,657 | 76.82% | 449 | 20.82% | 51 | 2.36% | 1,208 | 56.00% | 2,157 |
| Hopkins | 15,277 | 75.09% | 4,310 | 21.18% | 758 | 3.73% | 10,967 | 53.91% | 20,345 |
| Jackson | 4,889 | 88.87% | 482 | 8.76% | 130 | 2.37% | 4,407 | 80.11% | 5,501 |
| Jefferson | 143,768 | 40.72% | 190,836 | 54.05% | 18,496 | 5.23% | -47,068 | -13.33% | 353,100 |
| Jessamine | 15,474 | 66.34% | 6,144 | 26.34% | 1,708 | 7.32% | 9,330 | 40.00% | 23,326 |
| Johnson | 8,043 | 84.03% | 1,250 | 13.06% | 279 | 2.91% | 6,793 | 70.97% | 9,572 |
| Kenton | 42,958 | 59.67% | 24,214 | 33.63% | 4,826 | 6.70% | 18,744 | 26.04% | 71,998 |
| Knott | 4,357 | 75.60% | 1,245 | 21.60% | 161 | 2.80% | 3,112 | 54.00% | 5,763 |
| Knox | 9,885 | 82.29% | 1,761 | 14.66% | 366 | 3.05% | 8,124 | 67.63% | 12,012 |
| LaRue | 4,799 | 75.37% | 1,278 | 20.07% | 290 | 4.56% | 3,521 | 55.30% | 6,367 |
| Laurel | 20,592 | 82.92% | 3,440 | 13.85% | 801 | 3.23% | 17,152 | 69.07% | 24,833 |
| Lawrence | 4,816 | 79.71% | 1,045 | 17.30% | 181 | 2.99% | 3,771 | 62.41% | 6,042 |
| Lee | 2,151 | 80.65% | 444 | 16.65% | 72 | 2.70% | 1,707 | 64.00% | 2,667 |
| Leslie | 4,015 | 89.38% | 400 | 8.90% | 74 | 1.72% | 3,615 | 80.48% | 4,492 |
| Letcher | 7,293 | 79.84% | 1,542 | 16.88% | 299 | 3.28% | 5,751 | 62.96% | 9,134 |
| Lewis | 4,363 | 82.35% | 785 | 14.82% | 150 | 2.83% | 3,578 | 67.53% | 5,298 |
| Lincoln | 7,338 | 76.75% | 1,865 | 19.51% | 358 | 3.74% | 5,473 | 57.24% | 9,561 |
| Livingston | 3,570 | 76.86% | 887 | 19.10% | 188 | 4.04% | 2,683 | 57.76% | 4,645 |
| Logan | 7,778 | 71.36% | 2,755 | 25.28% | 366 | 3.36% | 5,023 | 46.08% | 10,899 |
| Lyon | 2,789 | 70.39% | 1,045 | 26.38% | 128 | 3.23% | 1,744 | 44.01% | 3,962 |
| McCracken | 20,774 | 66.36% | 9,134 | 29.18% | 1,399 | 4.46% | 11,640 | 37.18% | 31,307 |
| McCreary | 5,012 | 86.77% | 664 | 11.50% | 100 | 1.73% | 4,348 | 75.27% | 5,776 |
| McLean | 3,381 | 74.05% | 988 | 21.64% | 197 | 4.31% | 2,393 | 52.41% | 4,566 |
| Madison | 23,431 | 62.70% | 11,793 | 31.56% | 2,147 | 5.74% | 11,638 | 31.14% | 37,371 |
| Magoffin | 3,824 | 74.75% | 1,172 | 22.91% | 120 | 2.34% | 2,652 | 51.84% | 5,116 |
| Marion | 5,122 | 63.15% | 2,679 | 33.03% | 310 | 3.82% | 2,443 | 30.12% | 8,111 |
| Marshall | 12,322 | 73.79% | 3,672 | 21.99% | 704 | 4.22% | 8,650 | 51.80% | 16,698 |
| Martin | 3,503 | 88.62% | 363 | 9.18% | 87 | 2.20% | 3,140 | 79.44% | 3,953 |
| Mason | 4,944 | 68.49% | 1,970 | 27.29% | 305 | 4.22% | 2,974 | 41.20% | 7,219 |
| Meade | 8,660 | 70.80% | 3,026 | 24.74% | 545 | 4.46% | 5,634 | 46.06% | 12,231 |
| Menifee | 2,010 | 72.33% | 700 | 25.19% | 69 | 2.48% | 1,310 | 47.14% | 2,779 |
| Mercer | 7,740 | 73.12% | 2,395 | 22.63% | 450 | 4.25% | 5,345 | 50.49% | 10,585 |
| Metcalfe | 3,491 | 75.56% | 976 | 21.13% | 153 | 3.31% | 2,515 | 54.43% | 4,620 |
| Monroe | 4,278 | 85.71% | 601 | 12.04% | 112 | 2.25% | 3,677 | 73.67% | 4,991 |
| Montgomery | 7,856 | 68.60% | 3,158 | 27.58% | 438 | 3.82% | 4,698 | 41.02% | 11,452 |
| Morgan | 3,628 | 75.98% | 1,006 | 21.07% | 141 | 2.95% | 2,622 | 54.91% | 4,775 |
| Muhlenberg | 9,393 | 71.92% | 3,272 | 25.05% | 395 | 3.03% | 6,121 | 46.87% | 13,060 |
| Nelson | 13,431 | 64.57% | 6,434 | 30.93% | 937 | 4.50% | 6,997 | 33.64% | 20,802 |
| Nicholas | 1,957 | 68.88% | 787 | 27.70% | 97 | 3.42% | 1,170 | 41.18% | 2,841 |
| Ohio | 7,942 | 76.38% | 2,080 | 20.00% | 376 | 3.62% | 5,862 | 56.38% | 10,398 |
| Oldham | 20,469 | 62.30% | 10,268 | 31.25% | 2,116 | 6.45% | 10,201 | 31.05% | 32,853 |
| Owen | 3,745 | 74.89% | 1,062 | 21.24% | 194 | 3.87% | 2,683 | 53.65% | 5,001 |
| Owsley | 1,474 | 83.80% | 256 | 14.55% | 29 | 1.65% | 1,218 | 69.25% | 1,759 |
| Pendleton | 4,604 | 76.64% | 1,164 | 19.38% | 239 | 3.98% | 3,440 | 57.26% | 6,007 |
| Perry | 8,158 | 77.17% | 2,136 | 20.20% | 278 | 2.63% | 6,022 | 56.97% | 10,572 |
| Pike | 19,747 | 80.06% | 4,280 | 17.35% | 638 | 2.59% | 15,467 | 62.71% | 24,665 |
| Powell | 3,513 | 70.87% | 1,272 | 25.66% | 172 | 3.47% | 2,241 | 45.21% | 4,957 |
| Pulaski | 22,902 | 81.67% | 4,208 | 15.01% | 931 | 3.32% | 18,694 | 66.66% | 28,041 |
| Robertson | 759 | 74.93% | 222 | 21.92% | 32 | 3.15% | 537 | 53.01% | 1,013 |
| Rockcastle | 5,609 | 83.83% | 915 | 13.68% | 167 | 2.49% | 4,694 | 70.15% | 6,691 |
| Rowan | 5,174 | 58.48% | 3,295 | 37.24% | 379 | 4.28% | 1,879 | 21.24% | 8,848 |
| Russell | 6,863 | 83.96% | 1,093 | 13.37% | 218 | 2.67% | 5,770 | 70.59% | 8,174 |
| Scott | 15,052 | 62.20% | 7,715 | 31.88% | 1,433 | 5.92% | 7,337 | 30.32% | 24,200 |
| Shelby | 13,196 | 64.12% | 6,276 | 30.50% | 1,108 | 5.38% | 6,920 | 33.62% | 20,580 |
| Simpson | 5,077 | 67.41% | 2,144 | 28.47% | 310 | 4.12% | 2,933 | 38.94% | 7,531 |
| Spencer | 7,196 | 75.63% | 1,921 | 20.19% | 398 | 4.18% | 5,275 | 55.44% | 9,515 |
| Taylor | 8,320 | 73.59% | 2,553 | 22.58% | 433 | 3.83% | 5,767 | 51.01% | 11,306 |
| Todd | 3,612 | 75.58% | 1,042 | 21.80% | 125 | 2.62% | 2,570 | 53.78% | 4,779 |
| Trigg | 4,931 | 73.04% | 1,587 | 23.51% | 233 | 3.45% | 3,344 | 49.53% | 6,751 |
| Trimble | 2,771 | 72.96% | 879 | 23.14% | 148 | 3.90% | 1,892 | 49.82% | 3,798 |
| Union | 4,701 | 75.69% | 1,331 | 21.43% | 179 | 2.88% | 3,370 | 54.26% | 6,211 |
| Warren | 28,673 | 59.18% | 16,966 | 35.01% | 2,815 | 5.81% | 11,707 | 24.17% | 48,454 |
| Washington | 4,013 | 71.20% | 1,420 | 25.20% | 203 | 3.60% | 2,593 | 46.00% | 5,636 |
| Wayne | 6,371 | 79.72% | 1,431 | 17.91% | 190 | 2.37% | 4,940 | 61.81% | 7,992 |
| Webster | 4,397 | 75.75% | 1,240 | 21.36% | 168 | 2.89% | 3,157 | 54.39% | 5,805 |
| Whitley | 11,312 | 82.13% | 2,067 | 15.01% | 395 | 2.86% | 9,245 | 67.12% | 13,774 |
| Wolfe | 1,804 | 68.46% | 753 | 28.58% | 78 | 2.96% | 1,051 | 39.88% | 2,635 |
| Woodford | 7,697 | 56.75% | 4,958 | 36.56% | 908 | 6.69% | 2,739 | 20.19% | 13,563 |
| Totals | 1,202,971 | 62.52% | 628,854 | 32.68% | 92,325 | 4.80% | 574,117 | 29.84% | 1,924,150 |
* Democratic — +>15%
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic — +>15%
* Democratic — +12.5-15%
* Democratic — +7.5-10%
* Democratic — +5-7.5%
* Democratic — +2.5-5%
* Democratic — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +0-2.5%
* Republican — +2.5-5%
* Republican — +5-7.5%
* Republican — +7.5-10%
* Republican — +10-12.5%
* Republican — +12.5-15%
* Republican — +>15%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
* Elliot (largest city: Sandy Hook)
* Franklin (largest city: Frankfort)

#### By congressional district

Trump won 5 of 6 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
| 1st | 72% | 24% | Ed Whitfield |
| 1st | 72% | 24% | James Comer |
| 2nd | 68% | 28% | Brett Guthrie |
| 3rd | 40% | 55% | John Yarmuth |
| 4th | 65% | 29% | Thomas Massie |
| 5th | 80% | 17% | Hal Rogers |
| 6th | 55% | 39% | Andy Barr |