# Opinion polling for the Next Dutch general election

.mw-parser-output .hover-highlight tr:hover,.mw-parser-output .mw-datatable tr:hover{background-color:var(--background-color-progressive-subtle,#eaf3ff);color:var(--color-base,#333)}.mw-parser-output .mw-datatable{background-color:var(--background-color-base,#fff);color:var(--color-base,#333)} In the run-up to the Next Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present. Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil.nl and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January of 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.

## Projections
### Graphical summary

The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).

### Seats

There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL–PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | Lead | Ref |
| Peil.nl | 14 Dec 2024 | – | 35 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Ipsos I&O | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 1,925 | 37 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Verian | 22–25 Nov 2024 | 1,551 | 41 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Peil.nl | 23 Nov 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–11 Nov 2024 | 2,020 | 38 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
| Peil.nl | 9 Nov 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Verian | 25–28 Oct 2024 | 1,604 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Ipsos I&O | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,143 | 38 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Peil.nl | 12 Oct 2024 | – | 37 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| Peil.nl | 28 Sep 2024 | – | 40 | 26 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | |
| Ipsos I&O | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,950 | 41 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | |
| Verian | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,607 | 41 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,208 | 42 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Peil.nl | 14 Sep 2024 | 5,000+ | 38 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| Verian | 23–26 Aug 2024 | 1,594 | 39 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 1,016 | 40 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | |
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jul 2024 | – | 38 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | |
| | 2 Jul 2024 | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in | The Schoof cabinet is sworn in |
| Peil.nl | 28–29 Jun 2024 | – | 41 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | |
| Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 1,017 | 44 | 27 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | |
| I&O Research | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,979 | 42 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| | 6 Jun 2024 | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands | 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands |
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jun 2024 | – | 43 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Peil.nl | 31 May – 1 Jun 2024 | – | 42 | 25 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 48 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | |
| I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 46 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | |
| Peil.nl | 17–18 May 2024 | – | 45 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | |
| I&O Research | 9–12 May 2024 | 1,839 | 47 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 21 | |
| Peil.nl | 3–4 May 2024 | – | 46 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 45 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 | |
| Peil.nl | 19 Apr 2024 | 8,500 | 50 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 | |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 49 | 24 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 | |
| Peil.nl | 22 Mar 2024 | – | 49 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 | |
| Peil.nl | 8 Mar 2024 | – | 49 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | |
| Ipsos | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 49 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | |
| I&O Research | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,752 | 49 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 | |
| Peil.nl | 9 Feb 2024 | 6,000 | 52 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | |
| Peil.nl | 2–3 Feb 2024 | 4,500+ | 50 | 25 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 1,025 | 45 | 25 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| Peil.nl | 19–20 Jan 2024 | 5,500+ | 49 | 23 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | |
| Peil.nl | 22 Dec 2023 | – | 48 | 22 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 26 | |
| Ipsos | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 1,052 | 47 | 22 | 18 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | |
| | 13 Dec 2023 | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader | Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader |
| I&O Research | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,952 | 43 | 23 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20 | |
| Peil.nl | 1–2 Dec 2023 | – | 42 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 37 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |

### Vote share

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PVV | GL–PvdA | VVD | NSC | D66 | BBB | CDA | SP | Denk | PvdD | FvD | SGP | CU | Volt | JA21 | Others | Lead | Ref |
| Polling firm | Ipsos I&O | 6–9 Dec 2024 | 1,925 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 2.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | – | 9.0% |
| Ipsos I&O | 9–11 Nov 2024 | 2,020 | 23.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 2.3% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | – | 7.5% | |
| Ipsos I&O | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 2,143 | 24.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | – | 8.1% | |
| Ipsos I&O | 20–23 Sep 2024 | 1,950 | 25.9% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | – | 9.8% | |
| Ipsos I&O | 13–16 Sep 2024 | 2,208 | 27.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | – | 11.3% | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jul 2024 | 1,016 | 25.8% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 8.5% | |
| Ipsos | 21–24 Jun 2024 | 1,017 | 27.7% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 10.4% | |
| I&O Research | 14–17 Jun 2024 | 1,979 | 27.3% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 9.7% | |
| EP elections | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 16.97% | 21.09% | 11.35% | 3.75% | 8.40% | 5.41% | 9.45% | 2.20% | – | 4.52% | 2.49% | 3.66% | 2.89% | 5.13% | 0.65% | 2.04% | 4.12% |
| Peil.nl | 5–6 Jun 2024 | – | 26.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 10.7% | |
| Ipsos | 24–27 May 2024 | 2,048 | 30.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 15.3% | |
| I&O Research | 17–21 May 2024 | 2,141 | 29.6% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 14.0% | |
| I&O Research | 9–12 May 2024 | 1,839 | 30.0% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 14.5% | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,011 | 28.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 14.0% | |
| Ipsos | 22–25 Mar 2024 | 1,016 | 31.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 15.5% | |
| Ipsos | 23–26 Feb 2024 | 1,022 | 31.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 15.2% | |
| I&O Research | 9–12 Feb 2024 | 2,752 | 31.0% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 14.5% | |
| Ipsos | 26–29 Jan 2024 | 1,025 | 28.4% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 12.4% | |
| Ipsos | 15–18 Dec 2023 | 1,052 | 29.8% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 16.0% | |
| I&O Research | 8–11 Dec 2023 | 2,952 | 27.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 12.8% | |
| 2023 election | 22 Nov 2023 | – | 23.49% | 15.75% | 15.14% | 12.88% | 6.29% | 4.65% | 3.31% | 3.15% | 2.37% | 2.25% | 2.23% | 2.08% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 0.68% | 1.88% | 7.74% | |