# 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas

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vte :
The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1. This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.

## Republican primary
### Candidates
#### Declared

* John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator
* Curtis Coleman, businessman, candidate for governor in 2014 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman | Curtis Coleman | Undecided |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | February 4, 2016 | 457 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 23% | 9% |

### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 298,039 | 76.45% |
| | Republican | Curtis Coleman | 91,795 | 23.55% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 389,834 | 100.00% |

## Democratic primary

Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

### Candidates
#### Declared

* Conner Eldridge, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas

### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 214,228 | 100.00% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 214,228 | 100.00% |

## Third parties

The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.

### Candidates
#### Nominated

* Frank Gilbert, DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014

## General election
### Candidates

* John Boozman (R), incumbent senator
* Conner Eldridge (D), former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
* Frank Gilbert (L), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014

### Debates

| Dates | Location | Boozman | Eldridge | Gilbert | Link |
| October 12, 2016 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | - C-SPAN |

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |

### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman (R) | Conner Eldridge (D) | Frank Gilbert (L) | Other | Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 930 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 798 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 43% | — | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 593 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 43% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 475 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | — | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | — | 2% |
| University of Arkansas | October 18–25, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 61% | 38% | — | 1% | — |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | October 21, 2016 | 463 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 15–17, 2016 | 831 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Emerson College | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 30% | — | 11% | 15% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | June 21, 2016 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 29% | 6% | — | 14% |
with Mike Beebe
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | John Boozman (R) | Mike Beebe (D) | Other | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | August 1–3, 2014 | 1,066 | ± 3% | 40% | 46% | — | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2014 | 1,453 | ± 2.6% | 39% | 49% | — | 12% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | June 8–11, 2015 | 1,183 | ± 1.84% | 37% | 45% | — | 18% |

### Results

United States Senate election in Arkansas, 2016 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 661,984 | 59.77% | +1.87% |
| | Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 | 36.17% | −0.78% |
| | Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 43,866 | 3.96% | +0.72% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,070 | 0.10% | N/A |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 1,107,522 | 100.00% | N/A |
| | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold | Republican hold |

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Arkansas (Largest city: Stuttgart)
* Fulton (Largest city: Salem)
* Monroe (largest city: Clarendon)
* Mississippi (largest city: Osceola)
* Lincoln (largest city: Star City)
* Jackson (largest city: Newport)
* Lawrence (largest city: Walnut Ridge)

#### By congressional district

Boozman won all 4 congressional districts
| District | Boozman | Eldridge | Representative |
| 1st | 63% | 33% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 51% | 45% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 64% | 31% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 62% | 35% | Bruce Westerman |