# Pre-2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from 2009 to December 31, 2011, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states did not conduct polling before December 31, 2011.

## Arizona

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | Tied | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 40% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll | October 13–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 38% | 7 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll | October 13–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 5 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| BRC/Rocky Mountain Poll | October 13–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 38% | 6 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 2 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 11 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 4 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Donald Trump | 36% | 12 | 623 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | Tied | 599 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | 599 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 8 | 599 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 6 | 599 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 47% | Tied | 617 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 4 | 617 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 18–21, 2009 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 7 | 617 RV | ±3.9% |

## Arkansas

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33.5% | Mitt Romney | 49.5% | 16 | 2,101 RV | ±2.1% |

## California

55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | November 15–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 10 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | November 15–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 1,000 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 29 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 61% | Herman Cain | 32% | 29 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 26 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Ron Paul | 32% | 25 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Rick Perry | 31% | 29 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 21 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 32% | 24 | 800 A | ±3.5% |
| Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 800 A | ±3.5% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | September 1–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 13 | 1,001 RV | ±3.2% |
| Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) | September 1–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | 1,001 RV | ±3.2% |
| L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | August 17–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Rick Perry | 32% | 24 | 1,408 RV | ±4% |
| L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | August 17–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 26 | 1,408 RV | ±4% |
| L.A. Times/USC Dornsife/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner | August 17–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 19 | 1,408 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 34% | 24 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 15 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 31 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 20 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |

## Colorado

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 793 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | 793 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 39% | 9 | 793 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Rick Perry | 37% | 15 | 793 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 793 | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 510 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 35% | 16 | 510 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 16 | 510 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | 510 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 510 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 14 | 517 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 42% | 9 | 517 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | 517 | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 517 | ±4.3% |

## Connecticut

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 19 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 16 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 41% | 12 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 592 RV | ±4.0% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Rick Perry | 33% | 19 | 1,230 RV | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 13 | 1,230 RV | ±2.8% |

## Florida

29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 2,119 | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 2,119 | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Ron Paul | 36% | 13 | 2,119 | ±2.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,226 | ±2.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | 1,226 | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 37% | 14 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28 – December 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Ron Paul | 38% | 12 | 700 | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 37% | 9 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 2 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | 1,185 RV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 3 | 1,185 RV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 1,185 RV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 1,185 RV | ±2.9% |
| Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 39% | 3 | 800 RV | Not reported |
| Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 34% | 8 | 800 RV | Not reported |
| Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 32% | 12 | 800 RV | Not reported |
| Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 7 | 800 RV | Not reported |
| Suffolk University | October 26–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 42% | Tied | 800 RV | Not reported |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | 2,225 | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 39% | 8 | 2,225 | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 2,225 | ±2.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | 5 | 476 | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 476 | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Ron Paul | 44% | 1 | 476 | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 43% | 7 | 476 | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 476 | ±4.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 7 | 1,007 | ±3.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 38% | 12 | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 19 | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 39% | 5 | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 1–2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 743 RV | ±3.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 14 | 674 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | 674 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Perry | 36% | 13 | 674 RV | ±3.8% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 5 | 674 RV | ±3.8% |
| Sunshine State News/Voter Survey Service | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,000 LV | ±3.10% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 8 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 848 RV | ±3.4% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 3 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 13 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 15 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 11 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 18 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Donald Trump | 34% | 15 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Haley Barbour | 26% | 17 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Suffolk University/7 News | April 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 30% | 18 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 5 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rudy Giuliani | 42% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–20, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 8 | 1,034 RV | ±3.0% |

## Georgia

16 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | December 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 9 | 625 | ±4.0% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | December 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 55% | 17 | 625 | ±4.0% |
| SurveyUSA | December 6–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 1,176 | ±2.9% |
| SurveyUSA | December 6–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 1,176 | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 3 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Herman Cain | 39% | 5 | 790 RV | ±3.5% |

## Hawaii

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 72%–27%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 36 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Herman Cain | 30% | 33 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 37 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 32% | 27 | 568 RV | ±4.1% |

## Illinois

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University) | October 11–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46.1% | Mitt Romney | 38.5% | 7.6 | 1,000 RV | ±3% |
| Paul Simon Public Policy Institute (Southern Illinois University) | October 11–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49.3% | Ron Paul | 30.3% | 19 | 1,000 RV | ±3% |

## Iowa

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 37% | 11 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 7 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Michele Bachmann | 31% | 23 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 10 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 27–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Ron Paul | 42% | Tied | 1,393 | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 10 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 41% | 6 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 40% | 7 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Perry | 39% | 10 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 749 RV | ±3.6% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 37% | 9 | 2,836 RV | ±1.8% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 3 | 2,836 RV | ±1.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 34% | 17 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 33% | 18 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 21 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 10 | 798 RV | ±3.5% |
| Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 1 | 629 LV | ±3.9% |
| Every Child Matters Fund/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | July 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 629 LV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 32% | 18 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 21 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Tim Pawlenty | 37% | 12 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 1,387 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 11 | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 17 | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 35% | 16 | 1,109 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 1,077 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 4 | 1,077 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 16 | 1,077 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 7–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 6 | 1,077 RV | ±3.0% |

## Kansas

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 62%–37% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Newt Gingrich | 52% | 17 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| KWCH-TV Wichita/Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 31% | Mitt Romney | 56% | 25 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |

## Kentucky

8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–40% (Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Michele Bachmann | 46% | 3 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 3 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 4 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 49% | 7 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |

## Louisiana

8 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–42% (Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Clarus Research Group | October 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 16 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
| Clarus Research Group | October 5–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 52% | 15 | 602 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 17–19, 2009 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 49% | 7 | 727 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 17–19, 2009 | Barack Obama | 40% | Bobby Jindal | 54% | 14 | 727 RV | ±3.6% |

## Maine

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 20 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Herman Cain | 37% | 17 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 20 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Rick Perry | 34% | 21 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 11 | 673 RV | ±3.8% |
| Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights | October 18–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 1 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Bangor Daily News/Critical Insights | October 18–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 32% | 14 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 1,247 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | 1,247 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | 1,247 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 1,247 RV | ±2.8% |

## Massachusetts

11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | November 9–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 23% | 31 | 222 RV | Not reported |
| University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | November 9–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 28% | 23 | 228 RV | Not reported |
| University of Massachusetts Amherst/YouGov | November 9–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 15 | 446 RV | ±4.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Michele Bachmann | 28% | 31 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 27 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Ron Paul | 30% | 25 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 32% | 26 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 16–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 791 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Herman Cain | 27% | 33 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 36 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Sarah Palin | 27% | 36 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 31 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 20 | 957 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 57% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 24 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 57% | Mike Huckabee | 33% | 24 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 32% | 29 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 9 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |

## Michigan

16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | November 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | November 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA | November 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 26 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 31% | 23 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 32% | 21 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 11 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group | Sept 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Inside Michigan/Marketing Resource Group | Sept 14–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 600 LV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 16 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 33% | 17 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 35% | 15 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Thaddeus McCotter | 31% | 19 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| EPIC-MRA | July 9–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 16 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 9 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 20 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 7 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 18–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Scott Walker | 32% | 20 | 502 RV | ±4.4% |
| EPIC-MRA | February 12–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 5 | 600 LV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 15 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 12 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 3–6, 2010 | Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Snyder | 38% | 11 | 1,224 RV | ±2.8% |

## Minnesota

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Michele Bachmann | 29% | 28 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 35% | 13 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 35% | 13 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | November 2–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 6 | 543 RV | ±4.3% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | June 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 14 | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
| KSTP-TV Minneapolis/SurveyUSA | June 15–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 46% | Tied | 558 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 21 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Herman Cain | 30% | 21 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 27–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 15 | 1,179 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 40% | 10 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 18 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 4–5, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 43% | 8 | 949 RV | ±3.2% |
| St. Cloud State University | October 24 – November 4, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 9 | 550 | ±5.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–8, 2009 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 21 | 1,491 | ±2.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–8, 2009 | Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 11 | 1,491 | ±2.5% |

## Mississippi

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–40% (Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 12 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Herman Cain | 54% | 17 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 54% | 16 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Ron Paul | 52% | 15 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Perry | 55% | 17 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 18 | 796 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 6 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 14 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Haley Barbour | 51% | 10 | 817 RV | ±3.4% |

## Missouri

10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 43% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | November 9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 3 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 4 | 632 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 2 | 632 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 47% | 2 | 632 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 9–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 632 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 5 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 2 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Donald Trump | 41% | 5 | 555 RV | ±3.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | Tied | 612 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | 612 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | 612 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 3–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 612 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 515 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 7 | 515 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 3 | 515 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 29 – December 1, 2010 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 6 | 515 RV | ±4.3% |

## Montana

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 45% | 2 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 50% | 8 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 48% | 8 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 10 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Rick Perry | 46% | 3 | 1,625 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 6 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Herman Cain | 46% | 5 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Sarah Palin | 48% | 4 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 4 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 16–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 8 | 819 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 2 | 1,176 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 10 | 1,176 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 2 | 1,176 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 11 | 1,176 RV | ±2.9% |

## Nebraska

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 8 | 739 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 7 | 739 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 48% | 7 | 739 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 51% | 13 | 739 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 8 | 977 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mike Huckabee | 51% | 13 | 977 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 1 | 977 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 26–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 | 977 RV | ±3.1% |

## Nevada

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45.7% | Mitt Romney | 39.8% | 5.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45.4% | Ron Paul | 35.7% | 9.7 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47.3% | Newt Gingrich | 35.4% | 11.9 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50.2% | Michele Bachmann | 27.1% | 23.1 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48.8% | Jon Huntsman | 30.1% | 18.7 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50.8% | Rick Perry | 31.1% | 19.7 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Las Vegas Review-Journal/University of Nevada Las Vegas | December 12–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49.3% | Rick Santorum | 30.9% | 18.4 | 600 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 8 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 46% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 39% | 9 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 12 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Perry | 40% | 9 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 601 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 2 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 491 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 10 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |

## New Hampshire

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 36% | 15 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 3 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 33% | 20 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 10 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 30% | 23 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| NBC News/Marist College | November 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Ron Paul | 42% | 2 | 1,144 RV | ±2.9% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 15–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 35% | 19 | 606 LV | ±4% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 15–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 12 | 606 LV | ±4% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | November 15–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 3 | 606 LV | ±4% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 2,218 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 9 | 2,218 RV | ±2.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 39% | 10 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 15 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 7 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 662 RV | ±3.8% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | June 21 – July 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mitt Romney | 47% | 4 | 773 A | ±3.5% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | June 21 – July 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 11 | 773 A | ±3.5% |
| WMUR/University of New Hampshire | June 21 – July 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 6 | 773 A | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 13 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 14 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 22 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 31 – April 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | 769 RV | ±3.5% |
| Magellan Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 4 | 789 LV | ±3.49% |
| Magellan Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | 789 LV | ±3.49% |
| Magellan Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 38% | 13 | 789 LV | ±3.49% |
| Magellan Strategies | February 9–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 33% | 23 | 789 LV | ±3.49% |

## New Jersey

14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Chris Christie | 38% | 17 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 30 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 6–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 15 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |

## New Mexico

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 17 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 20 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Ron Paul | 38% | 13 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 15 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Rick Perry | 35% | 21 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 15 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Herman Cain | 36% | 16 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Gary Johnson | 43% | 3 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 20 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 36% | 15 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 23–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 7 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 21 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 19 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Gary Johnson | 36% | 15 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Sarah Palin | 33% | 29 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 16 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Libertarian | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Newt Gingrich | 28% | Gary Johnson | 20% | 17 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 27% | Gary Johnson | 23% | 17 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |

## New York

29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Herman Cain | 27% | 36 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 63% | Rick Perry | 28% | 35 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 25 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 37 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | November 8–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Ron Paul | 31% | 29 | 803 RV | ±3.5% |
| Marist College | October 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Herman Cain | 31% | 31 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
| Marist College | October 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 64% | Rick Perry | 29% | 35 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
| Marist College | October 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 59% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 24 | 1,030 RV | ±3.0% |
| Siena College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Herman Cain | 32% | 26 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Rick Perry | 31% | 27 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Siena College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 18 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |

## North Carolina

15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 42% | 5 | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 865 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 8 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 44% | 3 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 42% | 8 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 27–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 1 | 615 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 42% | 7 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Chris Christie | 46% | 1 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 7 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 43% | 3 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 44% | 4 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30 – October 3, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 760 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 45% | 2 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 5 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 46% | Tied | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 10 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 37% | 13 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 13 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 40% | 8 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 780 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 3 | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Herman Cain | 42% | 4 | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 8 | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Tim Pawlenty | 41% | 5 | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 651 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 37% | 11 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 40% | 7 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 8–11, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 1 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 8 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Donald Trump | 35% | 17 | 835 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 4 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 14–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Donald Trump | 39% | 12 | 507 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 5 | 584 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | Tied | 584 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | 584 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 584 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 4 | 650 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 1 | 650 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 10 | 650 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 650 RV | ±3.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 6 | 575 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 45% | 4 | 575 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 9 | 575 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 3 | 575 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 6 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 1 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 17–19, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 520 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 517 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mike Huckabee | 48% | 4 | 517 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | 517 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 19–21, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 517 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 10–12, 2009 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | 767 RV | ±3.5% |

## Ohio

18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | 1,437 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,312 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 12 | 1,312 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 36% | 12 | 1,312 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 1,312 RV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 14 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 39% | 11 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 13 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Ron Paul | 36% | 14 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Rick Perry | 36% | 17 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 4–6, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 1,022 RV | ±3.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 36% | 11 | 1,668 RV | ±2.4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 1,668 RV | ±2.4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 17–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | 1,668 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 45% | 3 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 11 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 41% | 9 | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 13–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 46% | Tied | 581 RV | ±4.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 41% | 3 | 1,301 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 22–25, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 1,301 RV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 41% | 7 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 39% | 8 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 13 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 41% | 4 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 792 RV | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 36% | 13 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 16 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 35% | 12 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 12–18, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 563 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 12 | 559 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | 559 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 16 | 559 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | March 10–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 6 | 559 RV | ±4.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 6 | 510 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | 510 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 49% | Sarah Palin | 42% | 7 | 510 RV | ±4.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 2 | 510 RV | ±4.3% |

## Oregon

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D) | December 13–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 18 | 979 RV | ±3.1% |
| Daily Kos/Service Employees' International Union/Service Employees' International Union/Public Policy Polling (D) | December 13–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 13 | 979 RV | ±3.1% |
| KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA | November 18–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 14 | 528 RV | ±4.4% |
| KATU-TV Portland/SurveyUSA | November 18–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 8 | 528 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 18 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 32% | 21 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 22 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Tim Pawlenty | 34% | 18 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 19–21, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 12 | 701 RV | ±3.7% |

## Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 422 RV | ±5% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 17 | 422 RV | ±5% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | 422 RV | ±5% |
| Morning Call/Muhlenberg College | November 28 – December 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Herman Cain | 28% | 27 | 422 RV | ±5% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,453 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | November 28 – December 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 8 | 1,453 RV | ±2.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Herman Cain | 35% | 18 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 6 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Ron Paul | 42% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 38% | 13 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 45% | Tied | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 17–20, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 5 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 7 | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Survey USA | November 10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 800 RV | ±3.5% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Herman Cain | 38% | 10 | 1,436 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 10 | 1,436 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 38% | 9 | 1,436 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 31 – November 7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 1,436 RV | ±2.6% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Herman Cain | 24% | 14 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Perry | 20% | 20 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Mitt Romney | 26% | 9 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 24–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Santorum | 25% | 13 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 21–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Rick Perry | 40% | 6 | 1,370 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 21–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 2 | 1,370 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 21–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 42% | 3 | 1,370 RV | ±2.7% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | August 22–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Michele Bachmann | 23% | 19 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | August 22–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Perry | 27% | 11 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | August 22–29, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 30% | 6 | 525 RV | ±4.3% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 8 | 1,358 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 39% | 6 | 1,358 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,358 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | July 25–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | 1,358 RV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Michele Bachmann | 43% | 7 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 37% | 12 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 14 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Tim Pawlenty | 39% | 8 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 44% | Tied | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 30 – July 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 10 | 545 RV | ±4.2% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 7 | 1,277 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Rick Santorum | 38% | 11 | 1,277 RV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 8 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 1 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 39% | 11 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 1 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Santorum | 43% | 2 | 593 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 40% | 10 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 3 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 15 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 3–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Santorum | 40% | 8 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |

## Rhode Island

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 60% | Newt Gingrich | 27% | 33 | 544 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Mike Huckabee | 31% | 25 | 544 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 65% | Sarah Palin | 24% | 41 | 544 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 16–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 37% | 17 | 544 RV | ±4.2% |

## South Carolina

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 3 | 2,107 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 4 | 2,107 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | December 4–7, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Ron Paul | 37% | 10 | 2,107 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Herman Cain | 44% | 2 | 2,131 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 43% | 1 | 2,131 RV | ±2.1% |
| NBC News/Marist College | October 10–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 2,131 RV | ±2.1% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 44% | Tied | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 1 | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Rick Perry | 49% | 8 | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 25–28, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 53% | 15 | 587 RV | ±4.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 40% | 3 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 3 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 44% | 2 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 5 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Tim Pawlenty | 42% | Tied | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 2–5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 9 | 741 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 1 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Mike Huckabee | 49% | 6 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Sarah Palin | 41% | 6 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Jim DeMint | 47% | 2 | 1,167 RV | ±2.9% |

## South Dakota

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Newt Gingrich | 42% | 2 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 47% | 6 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 8 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 6 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 28–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | John Thune | 57% | 20 | 1,045 RV | ±3.0% |

## Tennessee

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Rick Perry | 40% | 1 | 1,423 RV | ±2.6% |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Herman Cain | 41% | 4 | 1,423 RV | ±2.6% |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 1,423 RV | ±2.6% |
| Middle Tennessee State University | October 3–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 29% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 14 | 635 A | ±4% |
| Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Michele Bachmann | 27% | 11 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Newt Gingrich | 26% | 12 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Sarah Palin | 29% | 14 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Tim Pawlenty | 28% | 9 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Vanderbilt University | June 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 2 | 700 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 46% | 3 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mike Huckabee | 53% | 12 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Sarah Palin | 45% | Tied | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 9–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Mitt Romney | 48% | 7 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| FRONTPAGE Vanderbilt University | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 5 | 710 RV | ±3.3% |
Three Way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Third party/independent | % | Lead margin |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Rick Perry | 27% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 7 |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Herman Cain | 30% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 18% | 8 |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mitt Romney | 25% | "a qualified Independent candidate" | 23% | 11 |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 5 |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 28% | Warren Buffett | 18% | 6 |
| Vanderbilt University | October 28 – November 5, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Mitt Romney | 35% | Alec Baldwin | 8% | 3 |

## Texas

38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33% | Ron Paul | 38% | 5 | 800 A | ±3.46% |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Herman Cain | 40% | 5 | 800 A | ±3.46% |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 36% | 2 | 800 A | ±3.46% |
| University of Texas/Texas Tribune/YouGov | October 19–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Rick Perry | 45% | 8 | 800 A | ±3.46% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Michele Bachmann | 47% | 3 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Herman Cain | 43% | Tied | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 44% | 2 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Tim Pawlenty | 44% | 1 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 8 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Ron Paul | 45% | 5 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 25–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 45% | 2 | 795 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Newt Gingrich | 48% | 5 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Mike Huckabee | 55% | 16 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Sarah Palin | 47% | 1 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 7 | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 14–16, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Rick Perry | 45% | Tied | 892 RV | ±3.3% |
| University of Texas at Austin | June 11–22, 2009 | Barack Obama | 34% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 5 | 924 A | ±3.22% |

## Utah

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 72%–26% (Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 35% | Michele Bachmann | 49% | 14 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Herman Cain | 43% | 7 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 23% | Jon Huntsman | 63% | 40 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 41% | Sarah Palin | 43% | 2 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Tim Pawlenty | 45% | 11 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 8–10, 2011 | Barack Obama | 31% | Mitt Romney | 63% | 32 | 732 RV | ±3.6% |
| Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 26–28, 2010 | Barack Obama | 22% | Mitt Romney | 73% | 51 | 400 RV | ±5.0% |
| Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 26–28, 2010 | Barack Obama | 32% | Sarah Palin | 53% | 22 | 400 RV | ±5.0% |
| Salt Lake Tribune/Mason-Dixon Polling & Research | April 26–28, 2010 | Barack Obama | 31% | Ron Paul | 48% | 17 | 400 RV | ±5.0% |
| KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates | April 29, 2009 | Barack Obama | 27% | Mitt Romney | 67% | 40 | 254 A | ±6.2% |
| KSL-TV/Dan Jones & Associates | April 29, 2009 | Barack Obama | 25% | Jon Huntsman | 58% | 33 | 254 A | ±6.2% |

## Vermont

3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Michele Bachmann | 30% | 28 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Herman Cain | 26% | 32 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 36% | 17 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 62% | Sarah Palin | 28% | 34 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Rick Perry | 28% | 29 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 28–31, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Mitt Romney | 34% | 20 | 1,233 RV | ±2.8% |

## Virginia

13 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Quinnipiac University | December 13–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 5 | 1,135 RV | ±2.9% |
| Quinnipiac University | December 13–19, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,135 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 13 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 43% | 7 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Ron Paul | 40% | 8 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 41% | 10 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 11–13, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 600 RV | ±4% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 45% | Herman Cain | 43% | 2 | 1,459 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Rick Perry | 42% | 5 | 1,459 RV | ±2.6% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–9, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 1 | 1,459 RV | ±2.6% |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University | October 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Rick Perry | 43% | Tied | 1,027 RV | ±3.1% |
| Richmond Times-Dispatch/Muhlenberg College/Christopher Newport University | October 3–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 4 | 1,027 RV | ±3.1% |
| Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Michele Bachmann | 35% | 9 | 601 A | ±4% |
| Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 31% | 19 | 601 A | ±4% |
| Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 43% | Ron Paul | 33% | 10 | 601 A | ±4% |
| Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | 601 A | ±4% |
| Roanoke College | September 6–17, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 45% | 8 | 601 A | ±4% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Michele Bachmann | 37% | 11 | 1,368 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 15 | 1,368 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 44% | Rick Perry | 42% | 2 | 1,368 RV | ±2.7% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 7–12, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 2 | 1,368 RV | ±2.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 9 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 38% | 11 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 37% | 14 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 39% | 9 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | July 21–24, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 4 | 500 RV | ±4.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 17 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 9 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 15 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 32% | 22 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 5–8, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Bob McDonnell | 43% | 8 | 547 RV | ±4.2% |
| The Washington Post | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 44% | 7 | 503 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 34% | 9 | 503 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Tim Pawlenty | 35% | 20 | 503 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 61% | Donald Trump | 30% | 31 | 503 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | May 2–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 61% | Sarah Palin | 30% | 31 | 503 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 46% | 2 | 677 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mike Huckabee | 46% | 4 | 677 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Tim Pawlenty | 38% | 13 | 677 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | 677 RV | Not reported |
| The Washington Post | April 28 – May 1, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | 677 RV | Not reported |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 524 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mike Huckabee | 43% | 8 | 524 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | 524 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 6 | 524 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 5 | 551 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 51% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 11 | 551 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mike Huckabee | 44% | 5 | 551 RV | ±4.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | November 10–13, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 11 | 551 RV | ±4.2% |

## Washington

12 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | November 21–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 56% | Newt Gingrich | 37% | 19 | 549 RV | ±4.3% |
| KING-TV Seattle/SurveyUSA | November 21–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 8 | 549 RV | ±4.3% |
| University of Washington | October 10–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Rick Perry | 41% | 13 | 938 RV | ±3.2% |
| University of Washington | October 10–30, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 9 | 938 RV | ±3.2% |
| Strategies 360 | September 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Rick Perry | 37% | 14 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| Strategies 360 | September 11–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 9 | 400 LV | ±4.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Newt Gingrich | 36% | 18 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Mike Huckabee | 39% | 14 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 57% | Sarah Palin | 34% | 23 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 40% | 11 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 12–15, 2011 | Barack Obama | 58% | Donald Trump | 31% | 27 | 1098 RV | ±3.0% |

## West Virginia

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–43% (Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Michele Bachmann | 52% | 15 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Newt Gingrich | 51% | 15 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 34% | Ron Paul | 48% | 14 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Rick Perry | 52% | 16 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 30– October 2, 2011 | Barack Obama | 33% | Mitt Romney | 54% | 21 | 932 RV | ±3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Michele Bachmann | 48% | 9 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 40% | Newt Gingrich | 45% | 5 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 45% | 3 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 38% | Rick Perry | 49% | 11 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | September 1–4, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 49% | 12 | 708 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 39% | Newt Gingrich | 49% | 10 | 1105 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 36% | Mike Huckabee | 54% | 18 | 1105 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 42% | Sarah Palin | 46% | 4 | 1105 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 37% | Mitt Romney | 50% | 13 | 1105 RV | ±2.9% |

## Wisconsin

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
| Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
| WRPI | October 18–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 31% | 19 | 605 A | ±4% |
| WRPI | October 18–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Rick Perry | 30% | 18 | 605 A | ±4% |
| WRPI | October 18–26, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 11 | 605 A | ±4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 40% | 11 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Herman Cain | 42% | 7 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Newt Gingrich | 38% | 14 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 39% | 11 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 20–23, 2011 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 43% | 3 | 1,170 RV | ±2.9% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Michele Bachmann | 39% | 12 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Herman Cain | 36% | 14 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 40% | 12 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Rick Perry | 40% | 10 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 12–14, 2011 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 5 | 830 RV | ±3.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 53% | Newt Gingrich | 35% | 18 | 1,636 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 55% | Sarah Palin | 36% | 19 | 1,636 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Mitt Romney | 39% | 12 | 1,636 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 19–22, 2011 | Barack Obama | 50% | Paul Ryan | 43% | 7 | 1,636 RV | ±2.4% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 51% | Newt Gingrich | 39% | 12 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 7 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 54% | Sarah Palin | 35% | 19 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 48% | Mitt Romney | 38% | 10 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 24–27, 2011 | Barack Obama | 49% | Paul Ryan | 40% | 9 | 768 RV | ±3.5% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 50% | Newt Gingrich | 41% | 9 | 702 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Mike Huckabee | 41% | 6 | 702 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 52% | Sarah Palin | 38% | 14 | 702 RV | ±3.7% |
| Public Policy Polling | December 10–12, 2010 | Barack Obama | 46% | Mitt Romney | 42% | 4 | 702 RV | ±3.7% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 26, 2010 | Barack Obama | 47% | Herman Cain | 42% | 5 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 26, 2010 | Barack Obama | 42% | Rick Perry | 46% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |
| Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | October 26, 2010 | Barack Obama | 45% | Mitt Romney | 41% | 4 | 500 LV | ±4.5% |