# Opinion polling for the 2024 Mexican general election

This is a list of public opinion polls relating to the 2024 Mexican general election. Polls have been carried out by various organizations and aggregated by Oraculus, the College of Specialists in Public Opinion Polling and Surveys (CEDE), Polls.mx, Bloomberg, and Expansión Política.

## Polling aggregations

| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | | | | Lead |
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sheinbaum SHH | Gálvez FCM | Máynez MC | Lead |
| Oraculus | through May 2024 | 29 May 2024 | 53% | 36% | 11% | 17% |
| CEDE | through 28 May 2024 | 29 May 2024 | 56% | 33.3% | 10.7% | 22.7% |
| Polls.mx | through 29 May 2024 | 29 May 2024 | 55% | 31% | 13% | 24% |
| Bloomberg | through 28 May 2024 | 29 May 2024 | 55.3% | 34% | 10.7% | 21.3% |
| Expansión Política | through 28 May 2024 | 29 May 2024 | 53.16% | 33.76% | 10.36% | 19.4% |
| Average | Average | Average | 54.5% | 33.6% | 11.2% | 20.9% |

## By candidates
### Campaigning period

Polls taken during the official campaigning period (1 March to 29 May 2024).
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | | | | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | Sheinbaum SHH | Gálvez FCM | Máynez MC | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| 29 May 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 47.3% | 40.7% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% |
| 25-28 May 2024 | Áltica | 1,800 | 50.4% | 38.6% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 11.8% |
| 25-28 May 2024 | AtlasIntel | 4,084 | 48.2% | 34.9% | 16.1% | 0.8% | 13.3% |
| 24-26 May 2024 | MEBA | 1,000 | 51.3% | 22.9% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 28.4% |
| 21-26 May 2024 | Reforma | 1,000 | 55% | 35% | 10% | – | 20% |
| 21-24 May 2024 | Mitofsky | 1,200 | 50% | 27.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 22.6% |
| 19 May 2024 | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. | Third presidential debate held. |
| 11-13 May 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 47.7% | 40.1% | 9% | 3.2% | 7.6% |
| 11 May 2024 | C&E Mexico | 600 | 55% | 32% | 13% | – | 23% |
| 3-6 May 2024 | Mitofsky | 1,600 | 48.9% | 28.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 20.8% |
| 4-5 May 2024 | TResearch | 2,000 | 52.4% | 29% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 23.4% |
| 2-5 May 2024 | Áltica | 2,500 | 50% | 40% | 7% | 2% | 10% |
| 30 April 2024 | C&E Mexico | 600 | 55% | 34% | 11% | – | 21% |
| 29-30 April 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 48.9% | 40.4% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 8.5% |
| 28 April 2024 | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. | Second presidential debate held. |
| 27-28 April 2024 | TResearch | 2,000 | 53% | 28.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 24.5% |
| 26 April 2024 | MetricsMX | 1,200 | 54.4% | 21.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 33.1% |
| 17-24 April 2024 | El Financiero | 1,360 | 49% | 32% | 8% | 11% | 17% |
| 20-21 April 2024 | TResearch | 2,000 | 53.8% | 30.1% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 23.7% |
| 19-21 April 2024 | MEBA | 1,500 | 51.2% | 24.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 26.6% |
| 14-16 April 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 49.7% | 40.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 8.9% |
| 14 April 2024 | C&E Mexico | 600 | 59% | 33% | 8% | – | 26% |
| 13-14 April 2024 | TResearch | 2,000 | 54.3% | 30.2% | 4% | 11.5% | 24.1% |
| 11-14 April 2024 | GEA-ISA | 1,070 | 49% | 34% | 6% | 11% | 15% |
| 11-14 April 2024 | Áltica | 1,000 | 51% | 39% | 5% | 5% | 12% |
| 8-14 April 2024 | Enkoll | 2,590 | 54% | 30% | 7% | 9% | 24% |
| 10-13 April 2024 | Mitofsky | 1,600 | 51.4% | 26.7% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 24.7% |
| 7 April 2024 | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. | First presidential debate held. |
| 3-5 April 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 50.7% | 40.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 9.8% |
| 1 April 2024 | El Financiero | 1,200 | 51% | 34% | 7% | 8% | 17% |
| 28-31 March 2024 | Áltica | 1,000 | 50% | 38% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
| 25 March 2024 | MetricsMX | 1,200 | 57.1% | 23.7% | 4.4% | 14.8% | 33.4% |
| 22-24 March 2024 | MEBA | 1,500 | 53.5% | 28.9% | 6% | 11.6% | 24.6% |
| 14-17 March 2024 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,400 | 63% | 15% | 2% | 20% | 48% |
| 14-17 March 2024 | Mitofsky | 1,600 | 50.5% | 28.8% | 4.8% | 15.9% | 21.7% |
| 12-14 March 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 49.4% | 41.6% | 5% | 4% | 7.8% |
| 11-14 March 2024 | Áltica | 1,000 | 51% | 37% | 6% | 6% | 14% |

### Precampaigning and intercampaigning periods

Polls taken during the precampaigning period (20 November 2023 to 18 January 2024) and the intercampaigning period (19 January to 29 February 2024).
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | | | | | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | Sheinbaum SHH | Gálvez FCM | Máynez MC | García MC | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| 27-28 February 2024 | MetricsMX | 1,200 | 61% | 20% | 4.4% | – | 14.6% | 41% |
| 24-28 February 2024 | Enkoll | 814 | 53% | 29% | 3% | – | 15% | 24% |
| 23-25 February 2024 | El Financiero | 1,000 | 50% | 33% | 8% | – | 8% | 17% |
| 22 February 2024 | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. | Máynez officially registers his candidacy. |
| 17-20 February 2024 | Mitofsky | 1,600 | 51.6% | 27.8% | 5.1% | – | 15.5% | 23.8% |
| 20 February 2024 | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. | Gálvez officially registers her candidacy. |
| 16-19 February 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 50.4% | 40.9% | 3.9% | – | 4.8% | 9.5% |
| 15-19 February 2024 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,400 | 67% | 15% | 2% | – | 16% | 52% |
| 18 February 2024 | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. | Sheinbaum officially registers her candidacy. |
| 10-14 February 2024 | Áltica | 1,000 | 51% | 35% | 4% | – | 10% | 16% |
| 3-5 February 2024 | LaEncuesta.mx | 1,800 | 50.8% | 39.9% | 4.2% | – | 5.1% | 10.9% |
| 28-30 January 2024 | Áltica | 1,000 | 50% | 35% | 5% | – | 9% | 15% |
| 19-22 January 2024 | Enkoll | 834 | 54% | 27% | 3% | – | 16% | 27% |
| 12-15 January 2024 | MEBA | 1,500 | 68.1% | 26.6% | 5.3% | – | 10.3% | 41.5% |
| 13-14 January 2024 | TResearch | 2,000 | 52% | 27.1% | 5% | – | 15.3% | 25.5% |
| 13 January 2024 | Rubrum | 1,200 | 53.5% | 28.9% | 4.5% | – | 13.1% | 24.1% |
| 10-14 January 2024 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,400 | 66% | 14% | 2% | – | 18% | 52% |
| 10 January 2024 | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Máynez becomes the sole precandidate for MC. |
| 9 January 2024 | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. | INE announces that no independent candidates collected enough signatures to be eligible. |
| 18 December 2023 | C&E Mexico | 600 | 58% | 33% | – | 9% | – | 25% |
| 10–15 December 2023 | Áltica | 1,000 | 48% | 36% | – | 6% | 7% | 14% |
| 7–10 December 2023 | Mitofsky | 1,600 | 50.2% | 25.3% | – | 6.3% | 18.2% | 24.9% |
| 2–5 December 2023 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,400 | 65% | 13% | – | 6% | 16% | 52% |
| 5 December 2023 | C&E Mexico | 600 | 55% | 36% | – | 7% | 1% | 19% |
| 2 December 2023 | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. | García withdraws his candidacy. |
| 25–28 November 2023 | Enkoll | 800 | 49% | 23% | – | 17% | 11% | 26% |
| 22–28 November 2023 | Reforma | 1,000 | 46% | 25% | – | 14% | 15% | 21% |
| 24–25 November 2023 | El Financiero | 1,000 | 50% | 31% | – | 7% | 12% | 19% |
| 20 November 2023 | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. | Gálvez becomes the sole precandidate for Fuerza y Corazón por Mexico. |

### Prior to the electoral period

Polls taken before the precampaigning period (20 November 2023), but after the winners of the internal selection processes of both major coalitions were named.
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | | | | | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample | Sheinbaum SHH | Gálvez FCM | García MC | Verástegui Independent | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| 19 November 2023 | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. | Sheinbaum becomes the sole precandidate for Sigamos Haciendo Historia. |
| 17 November 2023 | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. | Garcia becomes the sole precandidate for MC. |
| 10–13 November 2023 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,400 | 66% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 52% |
| 19–28 October 2023 | El Financiero | 1,620 | 46% | 28% | 8% | – | 18% | 18% |
| 20–24 October 2023 | Enkoll | 1,008 | 50% | 27% | 15% | – | 8% | 23% |
| 16 October 2023 | MEBA | 1,500 | 60.8% | 26.7% | 9.7% | 2.8% | – | 34.1% |
| 4 October 2023 | Universal | 1,200 | 50% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 30% |
| 19–25 September 2023 | Covarrubias y Asociados | 1,500 | 64% | 17% | 6% | – | 13% | 41% |
| 25 September 2023 | De las Heras Demotecnia | 1,200 | 68% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 12% | 54% |
| 16–21 September 2023 | GEA-ISA | 1,070 | 53% | 34% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 19% |
| 13 September 2023 | Enkoll | 1,205 | 55% | 22% | 6% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 6 September 2023 | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. | Sheinbaum wins the internal selection process of the MORENA-PT-PVEM alliance. |
| 31 August 2023 | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. | Gálvez wins the internal selection process of Frente Amplio por México. |

### Possible candidates

| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | | | | | | | | | | | Others | Lead |
| Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sheinbaum Morena | Ebrard Morena | Colosio MC | Anaya PAN | Creel PAN | Tellez PAN | del Mazo PRI | Ruiz Massieu PRI | de la Madrid PRI | Noroña PT | Others | Lead |
| June 2023 | Mexico Elige | 35.9% | – | 8.4% | – | 24.5% | – | – | 7.9% | – | 17.3% | 2.1% Velasco, 2.1% De Hoyos | 11.4% |
| June 2023 | Mexico Elige | – | 35.9% | – | – | – | 19.5% | – | – | 16.4% | 22.1% | 1.8% Velasco, 1.3% Mancera, 1.8% De Hoyos, 1.3% Delgado | 16.4% |
| February 2023 | El Financiero | 45% | – | 9% | 18% | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | N/A | 27% |
| October 2022 | El Financiero | 44% | – | 9% | 18% | – | – | 13% | – | – | – | N/A | 26% |
| August 2022 | Reforma | 34% | – | 28% | 16% | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | N/A | 6% |
| May 2022 | Reforma | 33% | – | 26% | 13% | – | – | 7% | – | – | – | N/A | 7% |
| December 2021 | Reforma | 31% | – | 27% | 16% | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | N/A | 11% |

## By alliances

| Pollster | Date | Sample size | Margin of error | SHH | FCM | MC | Others/ Undecided | Lead |
| C&E Mexico | 18 December 2023 | 600 | 4% | 59% | 34% | 7% | – | 25% |
| CELAG | 18 August 2023 | 2,000 | 2.19% | 45.4% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 25.9% | 27.2% |