# Cumberland South

Cumberland South is a provincial electoral district in Cumberland Country, Nova Scotia, Canada, that elects one member of the Nova Scotia House of Assembly. The riding was created before the 1993 election from most of Cumberland West and Cumberland Centre ridings and a small part of Cumberland East.
The communities of Oxford, Parrsboro and Springhill are within its boundaries.
The Member of the Legislative Assembly since 1998 has been held by the Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia. A Tory stronghold, Cumberland South has been dominated by Progressive Conservative Murray Scott for over a decade and now Tory Rushton
The 2012 redistribution saw the riding gain territory from Cumberland North.

## Geography

The land area of Cumberland South is 3,263 km$^2$ (1,260 sq mi).

## Members of the Legislative Assembly

This riding has elected the following members of the Legislative Assembly:
Cumberland South :
| Legislature | Years | Member | Party |
| Riding created from Cumberland Centre, Cumberland North and Cumberland West |||||
| 56th | 1993–1998 | Guy Brown | Liberal |
| 57th | 1998–1999 | Murray Scott | Progressive Conservative |
| 58th | 1999–2003 | Murray Scott | Progressive Conservative |
| 59th | 2003–2005 | Murray Scott | Progressive Conservative |
| 60th | 2006–2009 | Murray Scott | Progressive Conservative |
| 61st | 2009–2010 | Murray Scott | Progressive Conservative |
| 61st | 2010–2013 | Jamie Baillie | Progressive Conservative |
| 62nd | 2013–2017 | Jamie Baillie | Progressive Conservative |
| 63rd | 2017–2018 | Jamie Baillie | Progressive Conservative |
| 63rd | 2018–2021 | Tory Rushton | Progressive Conservative |
| 64th | 2021–2024 | Tory Rushton | Progressive Conservative |
| 65th | 2024–present | Tory Rushton | Progressive Conservative |

## Election results
### 1993

1993 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Guy Brown | 6,713 | 75.63% | – |
| | Progressive Conservative | Mac Bennett | 1,570 | 17.69% | – |
| | New Democratic | Douglas Meekins | 431 | 4.86% | – |
| | Independent | Philip T. Donkin | 162 | 1.83% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,876 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 1998

1998 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Murray Scott | 4,714 | 58.69% | 41.00% |
| | Liberal | Mike Uberoi | 2,153 | 26.81% | -48.83% |
| | New Democratic | Sandy Graham | 1,089 | 13.56% | 8.70% |
| | Independent | James MacLeod | 76 | 0.95% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,032 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 1999

1999 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Murray Scott | 5,527 | 74.01% | 15.32% |
| | Liberal | John Harrison | 1,000 | 13.39% | -13.41% |
| | New Democratic | Scott McKee | 941 | 12.60% | -0.96% |
| Total | Total | Total | 7,468 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2003

2003 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Murray Scott | 4,898 | 71.69% | -2.32% |
| | Liberal | Harriet McCready | 1,189 | 17.40% | 4.01% |
| | New Democratic | Scott McKee | 745 | 10.90% | -1.70% |
| Total | Total | Total | 6,832 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2006

2006 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Murray Scott | 5,082 | 76.76% | 5.06% |
| | New Democratic | Andrew Kernohan | 753 | 11.37% | 0.47% |
| | Liberal | Mary Dee MacPherson | 681 | 10.29% | -7.12% |
| | Green | James Dessart | 92 | 1.39% | – |
| | Independent | David Amos | 13 | 0.20% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 6,621 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2009

2009 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Murray Scott | 4,334 | 67.66% | -9.10% |
| | New Democratic | Don Tabor | 1,659 | 25.90% | 14.52% |
| | Liberal | Joseph Archibald | 325 | 5.07% | -5.21% |
| | Green | Danny Melvin | 88 | 1.37% | -0.02% |
| Total | Total | Total | 6,406 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Cumberland South" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2010 by-election

October 26, 2010 by-election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| Progressive Conservative | Jamie Baillie | 3,262 | 57.20% | -10.26 |
| Liberal | Kenny Jackson | 2,165 | 37.96% | +32.89 |
| New Democratic Party | Scott McKee | 276 | 4.84% | -21.06 |

### 2013

2013 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jamie Baillie | 3,655 | 51.0% | -6.2 |
| | Liberal | Kenny Jackson | 2,884 | 40.2% | +2.2 |
| | New Democratic Party | Larry Duchesne | 486 | 6.8% | +2.0 |
| | Green | Bruce McCulloch | 147 | 2.0% | +2.0 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 7,172 | 100.00 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 50 | 0.7 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 7,222 | 65.73 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 10,987 |

### 2017

vte2017 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jamie Baillie | 3,536 | 51.49 | +0.53 |
| | Liberal | Kenny John Jackson | 2,779 | 40.47 | +0.26 |
| | New Democratic | Larry Duchesne | 398 | 5.80 | -0.98 |
| | Atlantica | Thor Lengies | 154 | 2.24 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 6,897 | 100.00 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 35 | 0.51 | -0.19 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 6,902 | 62.37 | -3.36 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 11,066 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +0.14 |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||

### 2018 by-election

Nova Scotia provincial by-election, June 19, 2018 Resignation of Jamie Baillie :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tory Rushton | 3,417 | 59.19 | +7.70 | $22,387 |
| | Liberal | Scott Lockhart | 1,829 | 31.68 | -8.79 | $32,332 |
| | New Democratic | Larry Duchesne | 292 | 5.06 | -0.74 | $9,239 |
| | Green | Bruce McCulloch | 235 | 4.07 | — | $1,234 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 5,773 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 17 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 5,773 | 53.02 | -9.35 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 10,889 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +8.24 |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||

### 2021

vte2021 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tory Rushton | 3,900 | 68.47 | +9.28 | $29,144.30 |
| | Liberal | Rollie Lawless | 1,092 | 19.17 | -12.51 | $22,771.07 |
| | New Democratic | Larry Duchesne | 524 | 9.20 | +4.14 | $1,495.12 |
| | Green | Nicholas Hendren | 180 | 3.16 | -0.91 | $200.00 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 5,696 | 99.46 | – | $66,923.01 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 31 | 0.54 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 5,727 | 52.12 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 10,989 |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +10.90 |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||

### 2024

vte2024 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tory Rushton | 3,440 | 77.4% |
| | Liberal | Liam MacDonald | 530 | 11.9% |
| | New Democratic | Larry Duchesne | 476 | 10.7% |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 4,446 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | |
| | Progressive Conservative hold | Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | Swing |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||