# 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee

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Elections in Tennessee :
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Jackson Mayoral elections
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Murfreesboro Mayoral elections
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Nashville Mayoral elections
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2023 :
Government :
vte :
The 2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
On March 1, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Tennessee voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic and Republican parties' respective nominees for president. Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated chose any one primary in which to vote.
Trump won the election in Tennessee with 60.7% of the vote. Clinton received 34.7% of the vote. This is the first time since 1972 that either party has earned over 60% of the vote in Tennessee. Tennessee was one of eleven states won by Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 but lost by Hillary Clinton.

## Primary elections
### Democratic primary

Hillary Clinton was challenged by Bernie Sanders, the only other major candidate remaining in the Democratic primaries. Clinton won the state, defeating Sanders by 33.6 points and earning 44 delegates while Sanders earned 23 delegates.
Tennessee Democratic primary, March 1, 2016 :
| Candidate | Popular vote | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates | Estimated delegates |
| Candidate | Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total |
| Hillary Clinton | 245,930 | 66.07% | 44 | 7 | 51 |
| Bernie Sanders | 120,800 | 32.45% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
| Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 2,025 | 0.54% | | | |
| Uncommitted | 3,467 | 0.93% | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Total | 372,222 | 100% | 67 | 8 | 75 |
| Source: ||||||

### Republican primary

Donald Trump won the primary with a plurality, carrying 38.9% of the vote and all but one county, awarding him 33 delegates.
Texas Senator Ted Cruz, came second with 24.7% of the vote and 16 delegates. Florida Senator Marco Rubio came third with 21.2% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Williamson. All other candidates did not receive any delegates.
Tennessee Republican primary, March 1, 2016 :
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count | Actual delegate count |
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Bound | Unbound | Total |
| Donald Trump | 333,180 | 38.94% | 33 | 0 | 33 |
| Ted Cruz | 211,471 | 24.71% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| Marco Rubio | 181,274 | 21.18% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| Ben Carson | 64,951 | 7.59% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich | 45,301 | 5.29% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 9,551 | 1.12% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) | 2,415 | 0.28% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rand Paul (withdrawn) | 2,350 | 0.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Uncommitted | 1,849 | 0.22% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,256 | 0.15% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 715 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rick Santorum (withdrawn) | 710 | 0.08% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) | 267 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) | 253 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| George Pataki (withdrawn) | 186 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 855,729 | 100.00% | 58 | 0 | 58 |
| Source: The Green Papers ||||||

## General election
### Voting history

Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996. In 2012, Republican nominee Mitt Romney won the state by a margin of more than twenty points due to the unpopularity of the Obama administration in the conservative state. Typically Democrats do very well in the urban regions of Memphis and Nashville, while Republicans dominate the rural and suburban areas. Tennessee is considered a safe Republican state. In 2016, it stayed that way, with Trump winning the state with 60.7% of the vote.

### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| Los Angeles Times | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
| Cook Political Report | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Electoral-vote.com | Likely R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics | Likely R | November 8, 2016 |
| NBC | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
^Highest rating given

### Results

2016 United States presidential election in Tennessee :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Donald Trump/Mike Pence | 1,522,925 | 60.72% |
| | Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 870,695 | 34.72% |
| | Independent | Gary Johnson | 70,397 | 2.81% |
| | Independent | Jill Stein | 15,993 | 0.64% |
| | Independent | Evan McMullin (write-in) | 11,991 | 0.48% |
| | Independent | Mike Smith | 7,276 | 0.29% |
| | Independent | Rocky De La Fuente | 4,075 | 0.16% |
| | Independent | Alyson Kennedy | 2,877 | 0.12% |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 1,798 | 0.07% |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 2,508,027 | 100.00% |

#### By county

| County | Donald Trump Republican | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Margin | Total |
| County | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | Total |
| Anderson | 19,212 | 64.30% | 9,013 | 30.16% | 1,656 | 5.54% | 10,199 | 34.14% | 29,881 |
| Bedford | 11,486 | 74.80% | 3,395 | 22.11% | 474 | 3.09% | 8,091 | 52.69% | 15,355 |
| Benton | 4,716 | 74.53% | 1,474 | 23.29% | 138 | 2.18% | 3,242 | 51.24% | 6,328 |
| Bledsoe | 3,622 | 77.66% | 897 | 19.23% | 145 | 3.11% | 2,725 | 58.43% | 4,664 |
| Blount | 37,443 | 71.72% | 12,100 | 23.18% | 2,665 | 5.10% | 25,343 | 48.54% | 52,208 |
| Bradley | 29,768 | 76.99% | 7,070 | 18.28% | 1,828 | 4.73% | 22,698 | 58.71% | 38,666 |
| Campbell | 9,870 | 78.76% | 2,248 | 17.94% | 414 | 3.30% | 7,622 | 60.82% | 12,532 |
| Cannon | 4,007 | 75.40% | 1,127 | 21.21% | 180 | 3.39% | 2,880 | 54.19% | 5,314 |
| Carroll | 7,756 | 74.69% | 2,327 | 22.41% | 301 | 2.90% | 5,429 | 52.28% | 10,384 |
| Carter | 16,898 | 80.15% | 3,453 | 16.38% | 733 | 3.47% | 13,445 | 63.77% | 21,084 |
| Cheatham | 11,297 | 70.94% | 3,878 | 24.35% | 749 | 4.71% | 7,419 | 46.59% | 15,924 |
| Chester | 5,081 | 78.09% | 1,243 | 19.10% | 183 | 2.81% | 3,838 | 58.99% | 6,507 |
| Claiborne | 8,602 | 80.09% | 1,832 | 17.06% | 306 | 2.85% | 6,770 | 63.03% | 10,740 |
| Clay | 2,141 | 73.32% | 707 | 24.21% | 72 | 2.47% | 1,434 | 49.11% | 2,920 |
| Cocke | 9,791 | 80.74% | 1,981 | 16.34% | 354 | 2.92% | 7,810 | 64.40% | 12,126 |
| Coffee | 14,417 | 72.19% | 4,743 | 23.75% | 811 | 4.06% | 9,674 | 48.44% | 19,971 |
| Crockett | 3,982 | 73.78% | 1,303 | 24.14% | 112 | 2.08% | 2,679 | 49.64% | 5,397 |
| Cumberland | 20,413 | 77.44% | 5,202 | 19.73% | 745 | 2.83% | 15,211 | 57.71% | 26,360 |
| Davidson | 84,550 | 33.95% | 148,864 | 59.77% | 15,654 | 6.28% | -64,314 | -25.82% | 249,068 |
| Decatur | 3,588 | 78.14% | 894 | 19.47% | 110 | 2.39% | 2,694 | 58.67% | 4,592 |
| DeKalb | 5,171 | 74.35% | 1,569 | 22.56% | 215 | 3.09% | 3,602 | 51.79% | 6,955 |
| Dickson | 13,233 | 70.77% | 4,722 | 25.25% | 744 | 3.98% | 8,511 | 45.52% | 18,699 |
| Dyer | 10,180 | 76.33% | 2,816 | 21.12% | 340 | 2.55% | 7,364 | 55.21% | 13,336 |
| Fayette | 13,055 | 67.31% | 5,874 | 30.29% | 465 | 2.40% | 7,181 | 37.02% | 19,394 |
| Fentress | 6,038 | 82.34% | 1,100 | 15.00% | 195 | 2.66% | 4,938 | 67.34% | 7,333 |
| Franklin | 11,532 | 70.30% | 4,374 | 26.66% | 498 | 3.04% | 7,158 | 43.64% | 16,404 |
| Gibson | 13,786 | 70.53% | 5,258 | 26.90% | 503 | 2.57% | 8,528 | 43.63% | 19,547 |
| Giles | 7,970 | 71.56% | 2,917 | 26.19% | 250 | 2.25% | 5,053 | 45.37% | 11,137 |
| Grainger | 6,626 | 82.74% | 1,154 | 14.41% | 228 | 2.85% | 5,472 | 68.33% | 8,008 |
| Greene | 18,562 | 78.71% | 4,216 | 17.88% | 805 | 3.41% | 14,346 | 60.83% | 23,583 |
| Grundy | 3,636 | 76.34% | 999 | 20.97% | 128 | 2.69% | 2,637 | 55.37% | 4,763 |
| Hamblen | 15,857 | 76.63% | 4,075 | 19.69% | 760 | 3.68% | 11,782 | 56.94% | 20,692 |
| Hamilton | 78,733 | 55.29% | 55,316 | 38.84% | 8,359 | 5.87% | 23,417 | 16.45% | 142,408 |
| Hancock | 1,843 | 82.61% | 322 | 14.43% | 66 | 2.96% | 1,521 | 68.18% | 2,231 |
| Hardeman | 4,919 | 53.05% | 4,185 | 45.13% | 169 | 1.82% | 734 | 7.92% | 9,273 |
| Hardin | 8,012 | 80.53% | 1,622 | 16.30% | 315 | 3.17% | 6,390 | 64.23% | 9,949 |
| Hawkins | 16,648 | 80.14% | 3,507 | 16.88% | 619 | 2.98% | 13,141 | 63.26% | 20,774 |
| Haywood | 3,013 | 44.09% | 3,711 | 54.30% | 110 | 1.61% | -698 | -10.21% | 6,834 |
| Henderson | 8,138 | 79.65% | 1,800 | 17.62% | 279 | 2.73% | 6,338 | 62.03% | 10,217 |
| Henry | 9,508 | 73.45% | 3,063 | 23.66% | 374 | 2.89% | 6,445 | 49.79% | 12,945 |
| Hickman | 5,695 | 72.89% | 1,824 | 23.35% | 294 | 3.76% | 3,871 | 49.54% | 7,813 |
| Houston | 2,182 | 68.88% | 866 | 27.34% | 120 | 3.78% | 1,316 | 41.54% | 3,168 |
| Humphreys | 4,930 | 68.92% | 1,967 | 27.50% | 256 | 3.58% | 2,963 | 41.42% | 7,153 |
| Jackson | 3,236 | 72.46% | 1,129 | 25.28% | 101 | 2.26% | 2,107 | 47.18% | 4,466 |
| Jefferson | 14,776 | 77.47% | 3,494 | 18.32% | 802 | 4.21% | 11,282 | 59.15% | 19,072 |
| Johnson | 5,410 | 82.23% | 988 | 15.02% | 181 | 2.75% | 4,422 | 67.21% | 6,579 |
| Knox | 105,767 | 58.53% | 62,878 | 34.80% | 12,052 | 6.67% | 42,889 | 23.73% | 180,697 |
| Lake | 1,357 | 68.88% | 577 | 29.29% | 36 | 1.83% | 780 | 39.59% | 1,970 |
| Lauderdale | 4,884 | 60.39% | 3,056 | 37.79% | 147 | 1.82% | 1,828 | 22.60% | 8,087 |
| Lawrence | 12,420 | 79.28% | 2,821 | 18.01% | 425 | 2.71% | 9,599 | 61.27% | 15,666 |
| Lewis | 3,585 | 77.56% | 890 | 19.26% | 147 | 3.18% | 2,695 | 58.30% | 4,622 |
| Lincoln | 10,398 | 77.90% | 2,554 | 19.13% | 396 | 2.97% | 7,844 | 58.77% | 13,348 |
| Loudon | 17,610 | 75.29% | 4,919 | 21.03% | 862 | 3.68% | 12,691 | 54.26% | 23,391 |
| Macon | 6,263 | 83.46% | 1,072 | 14.29% | 169 | 2.25% | 5,191 | 69.17% | 7,504 |
| Madison | 21,335 | 55.97% | 15,448 | 40.52% | 1,337 | 3.51% | 5,887 | 15.45% | 38,120 |
| Marion | 7,696 | 70.85% | 2,832 | 26.07% | 334 | 3.08% | 4,864 | 44.78% | 10,862 |
| Marshall | 8,184 | 71.44% | 2,852 | 24.90% | 419 | 3.66% | 5,332 | 46.54% | 11,455 |
| Maury | 23,799 | 67.29% | 10,038 | 28.38% | 1,532 | 4.33% | 13,761 | 38.91% | 35,369 |
| McMinn | 14,691 | 78.33% | 3,510 | 18.72% | 554 | 2.95% | 11,181 | 59.61% | 18,755 |
| McNairy | 7,841 | 78.11% | 1,848 | 18.41% | 349 | 3.48% | 5,993 | 59.70% | 10,038 |
| Meigs | 3,342 | 77.36% | 856 | 19.81% | 122 | 2.83% | 2,486 | 57.55% | 4,320 |
| Monroe | 13,374 | 78.24% | 3,186 | 18.64% | 533 | 3.12% | 10,188 | 59.60% | 17,093 |
| Montgomery | 32,341 | 56.13% | 21,699 | 37.66% | 3,580 | 6.21% | 10,642 | 18.47% | 57,620 |
| Moore | 2,325 | 79.46% | 496 | 16.95% | 105 | 3.59% | 1,829 | 62.51% | 2,926 |
| Morgan | 5,441 | 81.15% | 1,054 | 15.72% | 210 | 3.13% | 4,387 | 65.43% | 6,705 |
| Obion | 9,526 | 77.77% | 2,426 | 19.81% | 297 | 2.42% | 7,100 | 57.96% | 12,249 |
| Overton | 6,059 | 73.63% | 1,945 | 23.64% | 225 | 2.73% | 4,114 | 49.99% | 8,229 |
| Perry | 2,167 | 75.90% | 597 | 20.91% | 91 | 3.19% | 1,570 | 54.99% | 2,855 |
| Pickett | 2,021 | 77.28% | 536 | 20.50% | 58 | 2.22% | 1,485 | 56.78% | 2,615 |
| Polk | 5,097 | 78.17% | 1,252 | 19.20% | 171 | 2.63% | 3,845 | 58.97% | 6,520 |
| Putnam | 19,002 | 69.83% | 6,851 | 25.18% | 1,359 | 4.99% | 12,151 | 44.65% | 27,212 |
| Rhea | 8,660 | 78.29% | 1,942 | 17.56% | 460 | 4.15% | 6,718 | 60.73% | 11,062 |
| Roane | 15,880 | 73.28% | 4,837 | 22.32% | 952 | 4.40% | 11,043 | 50.96% | 21,669 |
| Robertson | 19,410 | 71.59% | 6,637 | 24.48% | 1,066 | 3.93% | 12,773 | 47.11% | 27,113 |
| Rutherford | 64,515 | 60.05% | 36,706 | 34.17% | 6,215 | 5.78% | 27,809 | 25.88% | 107,436 |
| Scott | 6,044 | 84.85% | 934 | 13.11% | 145 | 2.04% | 5,110 | 71.74% | 7,123 |
| Sequatchie | 4,441 | 77.99% | 1,053 | 18.49% | 200 | 3.52% | 3,388 | 59.50% | 5,694 |
| Sevier | 28,629 | 78.84% | 6,297 | 17.34% | 1,386 | 3.82% | 22,332 | 61.50% | 36,312 |
| Shelby | 116,344 | 34.48% | 208,992 | 61.95% | 12,047 | 3.57% | -92,648 | -27.47% | 337,383 |
| Smith | 5,494 | 73.88% | 1,689 | 22.71% | 253 | 3.41% | 3,805 | 51.17% | 7,436 |
| Stewart | 3,864 | 72.92% | 1,222 | 23.06% | 213 | 4.02% | 2,642 | 49.86% | 5,299 |
| Sullivan | 46,979 | 75.43% | 12,578 | 20.20% | 2,721 | 4.37% | 34,401 | 55.23% | 62,278 |
| Sumner | 50,129 | 70.11% | 18,161 | 25.40% | 3,215 | 4.49% | 31,968 | 44.71% | 71,505 |
| Tipton | 16,910 | 72.02% | 5,785 | 24.64% | 786 | 3.34% | 11,125 | 47.38% | 23,481 |
| Trousdale | 2,103 | 66.55% | 946 | 29.94% | 111 | 3.51% | 1,157 | 36.61% | 3,160 |
| Unicoi | 5,671 | 78.82% | 1,262 | 17.54% | 262 | 3.64% | 4,409 | 61.28% | 7,195 |
| Union | 5,053 | 80.89% | 1,012 | 16.20% | 182 | 2.91% | 4,041 | 64.69% | 6,247 |
| Van Buren | 1,820 | 75.24% | 539 | 22.28% | 60 | 2.48% | 1,281 | 52.96% | 2,419 |
| Warren | 9,540 | 70.09% | 3,535 | 25.97% | 537 | 3.94% | 6,005 | 44.12% | 13,612 |
| Washington | 34,252 | 68.85% | 13,024 | 26.18% | 2,474 | 4.97% | 21,228 | 42.67% | 49,750 |
| Wayne | 5,036 | 85.98% | 717 | 12.24% | 104 | 1.78% | 4,319 | 73.74% | 5,857 |
| Weakley | 9,008 | 73.93% | 2,772 | 22.75% | 404 | 3.32% | 6,236 | 51.18% | 12,184 |
| White | 7,671 | 78.08% | 1,845 | 18.78% | 309 | 3.14% | 5,826 | 59.30% | 9,825 |
| Williamson | 68,212 | 64.19% | 31,013 | 29.18% | 7,046 | 6.63% | 37,199 | 35.01% | 106,271 |
| Wilson | 39,406 | 69.46% | 14,385 | 25.36% | 2,943 | 5.18% | 25,021 | 44.10% | 56,734 |
| Totals | 1,522,925 | 60.72% | 870,695 | 34.72% | 114,407 | 4.56% | 652,230 | 26.00% | 2,508,027 |
* Democratic—+5-10%
* Democratic—+<5%
* <2%
* Republican—+<5%
* Republican—+5-10%
* Republican—+10-15%
* Republican—+15-20%
* Republican—+20-25%
* Republican—+25-30%
* Republican—+>30%
* Democratic  Hold Republican  Hold  Gain from Democratic

#### Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

* Hardeman (largest city: Bolivar)

#### By congressional district

Trump won 7 of 9 congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
| 1st | 76.45% | 19.61% | Phil Roe |
| 2nd | 64.71% | 29.53% | Jimmy Duncan |
| 3rd | 65.07% | 30.05% | Chuck Fleischmann |
| 4th | 68.19% | 27.27% | Scott DesJarlais |
| 5th | 37.87% | 56.06% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 72.34% | 23.58% | Diane Black |
| 7th | 67.05% | 28.03% | Marsha Blackburn |
| 8th | 66.06% | 30.43% | Stephen Fincher |
| 8th | 66.06% | 30.43% | David Kustoff |
| 9th | 20.03% | 76.93% | Steve Cohen |

## Analysis

A Southern state in the heart of the Bible Belt, no Democrat has won Tennessee's electoral votes since Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas, who shared the ticket with favorite son Al Gore, in 1996, nor has it been contested at the presidential level since 2000, when Gore narrowly lost his home state by less than 4 points. The last Democratic presidential candidate to win at least 40% of the state vote was Barack Obama in 2008, and Republicans have occupied all statewide offices in Tennessee since 2011.
Winning Tennessee by 652,230 votes, Donald Trump achieved his second-largest margin of victory by vote count nationwide, surpassed only by the 807,179-vote margin in Texas. Trump significantly outperformed previous Republican candidates in rural areas, particularly in Appalachia and the rural regions of Middle and West Tennessee. Notably, Trump flipped rural Hardeman County, winning it by 734 votes, marking the first time since 1988 that the county voted for a Republican in a presidential race since. This marked the first presidential election since 1972 in which a nominee garnered over 60% of Tennessee's vote.