# 2011 Ceuta Assembly election

The 2011 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 5th Assembly of the Autonomous City of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The People's Party (PP) has dominated recent elections to the Assembly, winning 19 of the seats in the 2003 and 2007 elections and polls suggested incorrectly that the PP was likely to increase its majority. The second largest party, the Ceutan Democratic Union (UCDE), formed an electoral alliance with the Socialist Party of the People of Ceuta (PSPC) under the name Caballas Coalition (Caballas). UCDE did not repeat its alliance with United Left of Ceuta (IU), that decided not to take part in the election. The third largest party, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), was predicted incorrectly to overtake the Caballas Coalition, according to opinion polls.
Juan Jesús Vivas Lara (PP) retained the post of Mayor-President, held since 2001.

## Electoral system

The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.
The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of 5 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution.
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.

## Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and coalitions which contested the election:
| Parties and coalitions | Ideology | Candidate |
| People's Party (PP) | Conservatism, Christian democracy | Juan Jesús Vivas |
| Caballas Coalition (Caballas) | Regionalism | Mohamed Alí |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | Social democracy | José Antonio Carracao |

## Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | Lead |
| 2011 Assembly election | 22 May 2011 | — | 51.4 | 65.2 18 | 14.3 4 | 11.7 3 | 2.7 0 | 50.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 11–14 Apr 2011 | 300 | ? | 70.1 19/20 | 9.4 2 | 13.6 3/4 | – | 56.5 |
| CIS | 13 Apr 2011 | 300 | ? | 68.9 21 | 7.0 2 | 9.4 2 | 2.0 0 | 59.5 |
| Sigma Dos/PP | 21 Jan 2011 | 1,000 | ? | 73.0– 74.0 20 | ? 2 | ? 3 | – | ? |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 28–29 Dec 2010 | 300 | ? | 71.4 19/20 | 9.6 2 | 13.5 3/4 | – | 57.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 26–27 May 2010 | 300 | ? | 74.3 21 | 9.6 2 | 8.5 2 | – | 64.7 |
| Mercociudad/PP | 6 May 2010 | 500 | ? | ? 19 | ? 3/4 | ? 2/3 | – | ? |
| 2009 EP election | 7 Jun 2009 | — | 31.6 | 59.5 (16) | – | 32.7 (9) | 3.6 (0) | 26.8 |
| 2008 general election | 9 Mar 2008 | — | 63.3 | 55.1 (14) | – | 40.5 (11) | 1.3 (0) | 14.6 |
| 2007 Assembly election | 27 May 2007 | — | 60.3 | 65.2 19 | 16.4 4 | 8.7 2 | – | 48.8 |

## Results

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Assembly of Ceuta election results → :
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Popular vote | Popular vote | Seats | Seats |
| Parties and alliances | Parties and alliances | Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− |
| | People's Party (PP) | 20,054 | 65.16 | –0.02 | 18 | –1 |
| | Caballas Coalition (Caballas)$^1$ | 4,407 | 14.32 | –6.60 | 4 | ±0 |
| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 3,601 | 11.70 | +3.05 | 3 | +1 |
| | Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 818 | 2.66 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| | Democratic and Social Party of Ceuta (PDSC) | 720 | 2.34 | –1.31 | 0 | ±0 |
| | The Greens–Green Group of Ceuta (LV–GV) | 570 | 1.85 | +0.90 | 0 | ±0 |
| | The Phalanx (FE) | 138 | 0.45 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | Blank ballots | 468 | 1.52 | +0.86 | | |
| Total | Total | 30,776 | | | 25 | ±0 |
| Valid votes | Valid votes | 30,776 | 99.27 | –0.16 | | |
| Invalid votes | Invalid votes | 227 | 0.73 | +0.16 | | |
| Votes cast / turnout | Votes cast / turnout | 31,003 | 51.37 | –8.92 | | |
| Abstentions | Abstentions | 29,354 | 49.63 | +8.92 | | |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | 60,357 | | | | |
| Sources |||||||
| Footnotes: $^1$ Caballas Coalition results are compared to the combined totals of Ceutan Democratic Union–United Left of Ceuta and Socialist Party of the People of Ceuta in the 2007 election. |||||||
Popular vote
PP
65.16%
Caballas
14.32%
PSOE
11.70%
UPyD
2.66%
PDSC
2.34%
LV–GV
1.85%
FE
0.45%
Blank ballots
1.52% :
Seats
PP
72.00%
Caballas
16.00%
PSOE
12.00% :