# Timberlea-Prospect

Timberlea—Prospect is a provincial electoral district in Nova Scotia, Canada, that elects one member of the Nova Scotia House of Assembly. Its Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) since 2013 has been Iain Rankin of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party.
The district was created in 1967 from the former electoral district of Halifax West, under the name Halifax-St. Margaret's. Upon the recommendations of the 1992 Electoral Boundaries Commission report, it was renamed Timberlea-Prospect. At this same time, it lost the St. Margaret's Bay area to Chester-St. Margaret's, the Hammonds Plains, Lucasville, and Pockwock Road area to Sackville-Beaver Bank, and the Bedford area to Bedford-Fall River. In 2003, it lost the Bayside and West Dover areas to Chester-St. Margaret's. In 2013, on the recommendations of the 2012 Electoral Boundaries Commission, it lost the Stillwater Lake area to Hammonds Plains-Lucasville and a small number of streets in the Williamswood and Harrietsfield areas to Halifax Atlantic. It gained the Susies Lake and Quarrie Lake areas from Halifax Clayton Park.

## Geography

Timberlea-Prospect has 342 km$^2$ (132 sq mi) of land area.

## Members of the Legislative Assembly

This riding has elected the following members of the Legislative Assembly:
| Legislature | Years | Member | Party |
| Halifax St. Margarets Riding created from Halifax West |||||
| 49th | 1967–1970 | D. C. McNeil | Progressive Conservative |
| 50th | 1970–1974 | Leonard L. Pace | Liberal |
| 51st | 1974–1978 | Leonard L. Pace | Liberal |
| 52nd | 1978–1981 | Jerry Lawrence | Progressive Conservative |
| 53rd | 1981–1984 | Jerry Lawrence | Progressive Conservative |
| 54th | 1984–1988 | Jerry Lawrence | Progressive Conservative |
| 55th | 1988–1993 | Jerry Lawrence | Progressive Conservative |
| Timberlea-Prospect |||||
| 56th | 1993–1998 | Bruce Holland | Liberal |
| 57th | 1998–1999 | Bill Estabrooks | New Democratic |
| 58th | 1999–2003 | Bill Estabrooks | New Democratic |
| 59th | 2003–2005 | Bill Estabrooks | New Democratic |
| 60th | 2006–2009 | Bill Estabrooks | New Democratic |
| 61st | 2009–2013 | Bill Estabrooks | New Democratic |
| 62nd | 2013–2017 | Iain Rankin | Liberal |
| 63rd | 2017–2021 | Iain Rankin | Liberal |
| 64th | 2021–2024 | Iain Rankin | Liberal |
| 65th | 2024–present | Iain Rankin | Liberal |

## Election results
### 2024

vte2024 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Iain Rankin | 4,945 | 54.85 | +0.47 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Trish MacDonald | 2,881 | 31.95 | +7.60 |
| | New Democratic | Rose Gillam | 1,060 | 11.76 | -5.53 |
| | Green | Jane Matheson | 130 | 1.44 | -1.18 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 9,016 | – |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 34 | 0.38 | +0.07 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 9,050 | 49.71 | -5.44 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 18,207 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -4.04 |

### 2021

vte2021 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Iain Rankin | 5,181 | 54.38 | +4.98 | $43,327.12 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Bill Healy | 2,320 | 24.35 | +0.78 | $30,730.87 |
| | New Democratic | Raymond Theriault | 1,647 | 17.29 | -4.45 | $27,578.78 |
| | Green | Harry Ward | 250 | 2.62 | -1.37 | $200.00 |
| | Independent | Dawn Edith Penney | 90 | 0.94 | | $243.25 |
| | Atlantica | Dessire G. Miari | 40 | 0.42 | -0.89 | $200.00 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 9,528 | 99.69 | – | $98,060.31 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 30 | 0.31 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 9,558 | 55.15 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 17,330 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +2.10 |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||

### 2017

2017 provincial election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Liberal | 4,450 | 49.40 |
| Progressive Conservative | 2,123 | 23.57 |
| New Democratic | 1,958 | 21.73 |
| Green | 360 | 4.00 |
| Atlantica | 118 | 1.31 |
vte2017 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Iain Rankin | 4,272 | 49.90 | -2.03 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tim Kohoot | 2,030 | 23.71 | +4.85 |
| | New Democratic | Linda Moxsom-Skinner | 1,804 | 21.07 | -4.83 |
| | Green | Kai Trappenberg | 337 | 3.94 | +0.44 |
| | Atlantica | Matt Mansfield | 118 | 1.38 | +1.38 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 8,561 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 37 | 0.43 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 8,598 | 53.87 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 15,962 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | +0.31 |
| Source: Elections Nova Scotia |||||||

### 2013

2013 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| Liberal | Iain Rankin | 4,471 | 51.93 | +33.78 |
| New Democratic Party | Linda Moxsom-Skinner | 2,230 | 25.90 | -44.31 |
| Progressive Conservative | Dr. Bruce Pretty | 1,608 | 18.86 | +10.17 |
| Green | Thomas Trappenberg | 300 | 3.50 | +0.55 |

### 2009

2009 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 6,174 | 70.70% | 7.54% |
| | Liberal | Lisa Mullin | 1,535 | 17.58% | 7.47% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gina Byrne | 795 | 9.10% | -15.06% |
| | Green | Thomas Trappenberg | 229 | 2.62% | 0.04% |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,733 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2006

2006 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 5,317 | 63.15% | 3.14% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Juanita Cirtwill | 2,034 | 24.16% | 5.91% |
| | Liberal | Lisa Mullin | 851 | 10.11% | -11.63% |
| | Green | Thomas Trappenberg | 217 | 2.58% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,419 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 2003

2003 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 5,049 | 60.01% | 13.18% |
| | Liberal | Bruce Holland | 1,829 | 21.74% | -1.60% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Barry Fraser | 1,535 | 18.25% | -9.71% |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,413 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 1999

1999 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 4,356 | 46.83% | -1.16% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Ken Fralick | 2,600 | 27.95% | 9.29% |
| | Liberal | Vicki Brown | 2,171 | 23.34% | -10.00% |
| | Nova Scotia Party | Ken Bumstead | 174 | 1.87% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 9,301 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 1998

1998 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 4,762 | 47.99% | 17.15% |
| | Liberal | Bruce Holland | 3,308 | 33.34% | -5.28% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Tom Robertson | 1,852 | 18.67% | -11.87% |
| Total | Total | Total | 9,922 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. |||||||

### 1993

1993 Nova Scotia general election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Bruce Holland | 3,470 | 38.62% | 5.49% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 2,772 | 30.85% | 1.29% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Debi Forsyth-Smith | 2,744 | 30.54% | -6.78% |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,986 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Timberlea-Prospect" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1993). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Thirty-Third General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1988

1988 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jerry Lawrence | 4,574 | 37.31% | -20.08% |
| | Liberal | Kevin Burke | 4,061 | 33.13% | 15.73% |
| | New Democratic | Bill Estabrooks | 3,623 | 29.56% | 4.35% |
| Total | Total | Total | 12,258 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1988). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Thirty-Second General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1984

1984 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jerry Lawrence | 5,141 | 57.39% | 7.13% |
| | New Democratic | Lillian Viau | 2,258 | 25.21% | 2.53% |
| | Liberal | Michael N. Kelly | 1,559 | 17.40% | -9.66% |
| Total | Total | Total | 8,958 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1984). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Thirty-First General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1981

1981 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jerry Lawrence | 4,860 | 50.26% | -4.12% |
| | Liberal | Helena Poirier | 2,617 | 27.06% | -5.39% |
| | New Democratic | Lillian Viau | 2,193 | 22.68% | 9.51% |
| Total | Total | Total | 9,670 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1981). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Thirteith General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1978

1978 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Jerry Lawrence | 5,277 | 54.38% | 14.41% |
| | Liberal | Terry Tingley | 3,149 | 32.45% | -15.76% |
| | New Democratic | Gerry Richard Craig | 1,278 | 13.17% | 1.36% |
| Total | Total | Total | 9,704 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1978). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Twenty-Ninth General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1974

1974 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Leonard L. Pace | 7,338 | 48.21% | -3.48% |
| | Progressive Conservative | George Piercey | 6,084 | 39.97% | 0.24% |
| | New Democratic | Richard Rogers | 1,798 | 11.81% | 3.24% |
| Total | Total | Total | 15,220 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia. Chief Electoral Officer (1974). Returns of the General Election for the House of Assembly, Twenty-Eighth General Election (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1970

1970 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Leonard L. Pace | 6,152 | 51.69% | 10.12% |
| | Progressive Conservative | Donald C. MacNeil | 4,729 | 39.74% | -13.74% |
| | New Democratic | Keith B. Jobson | 1,020 | 8.57% | 3.62% |
| Total | Total | Total | 11,901 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia Legislature (1970). Legislature of Nova Scotia Election Returns (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||

### 1967

1967 Nova Scotia general election: Halifax-St. Margaret's :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Progressive Conservative | D. C. McNeil | 5,030 | 53.48% | – |
| | Liberal | Alex McKinnon | 3,910 | 41.57% | – |
| | New Democratic | Peggy Prowse | 466 | 4.95% | – |
| Total | Total | Total | 9,406 | – |
| Source(s) Source: Nova Scotia Legislature (2021). "Electoral History for Halifax St. Margaret's" (PDF). nslegislature.ca. Nova Scotia Legislature (1967). Legislature of Nova Scotia Election Returns (PDF). Queen's Printer. |||||||