# 2020 Tuscan regional election

The 2020 Tuscan regional election was the 7th regional election held in Tuscany, Italy, and took place on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy. The Democratic candidate, Eugenio Giani, defeated the League candidate, Susanna Ceccardi. Giani took office as President of Tuscany on October 8, 2020.

## Electoral system

Tuscany uses its own legislation of 2014 to elect its Regional Council. The councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. The constituency of Florence is further divided into 4 sub-constituencies. Preferential voting is allowed: a maximum of two preferences can be expressed for candidates of the same party list and provided the two chosen candidates are of different gender.
In this system, parties are grouped in alliances supporting a candidate for the post of President of Tuscany. The candidate receiving at least 40% of the votes is elected to the post and his/her list (or the coalition) is awarded a majority of 23 seats in the Regional Council plus the seat of the President (24+1 seats with more than 45% of the vote). If no candidate gets more than 40% of the votes, a run-off is held fourteen days later, where the two top candidates from the first round run against each other. The winning candidate is then ensured a majority in the Regional Council.

## Council apportionment

According to the official 2011 Italian census, the 40 Council seats which must be covered by proportional representation are so distributed between Tuscan provinces. The number of seats to be assigned in each province is the following:
| AR | FI | GR | LI | LU | MS | PI | PT | PO | SI |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
The Province of Florence is further divided into smaller electoral colleges.

## Parties and candidates

| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Previous result | Previous result | Candidate |
| Political party or alliance | Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Constituent lists | Votes (%) | Seats | Candidate |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Democratic Party (PD) (incl. DemoS) | 45.9 | 24 | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Italia Viva – More Europe (IV – +E) | — | — | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Civic Ecologist Left (incl. Art.1) | — | — | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Proud Tuscany for Giani (incl. PSI, PRI, CD and IdV) | — | — | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Green Europe (EV) | — | — | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-left coalition | | Svolta! (IiC – Volt – Tuscany in the Heart) | — | — | Eugenio Giani |
| | Centre-right coalition | | League (Lega) | 16.0 | 4 | Susanna Ceccardi |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Forza Italia (FI) | 8.4 | 1 | Susanna Ceccardi |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Brothers of Italy (FdI) | 3.8 | 1 | Susanna Ceccardi |
| | Centre-right coalition | | Civic Tuscany (incl. C! and FN) | — | — | Susanna Ceccardi |
| | Five Star Movement (M5S) | Five Star Movement (M5S) | Five Star Movement (M5S) | 15.0 | 4 | Irene Galletti |
| | Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva) | Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva) | Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva) | 6.3 | 1 | Tommaso Fattori |
| | Communist Party (PC) | Communist Party (PC) | Communist Party (PC) | — | — | Salvatore Catello |
| | Italian Communist Party (PCI) | Italian Communist Party (PCI) | Italian Communist Party (PCI) | — | — | Marco Barzanti |
| | 3V Movement (M3V) | 3V Movement (M3V) | 3V Movement (M3V) | — | — | Tiziana Vigni |

## Opinion polls
### Candidates

| Date | Polling firm/ Client | Sample size | Giani | Ceccardi | Galletti | Fattori | Catello | Others | Undecided | Lead |
| 4 Sep 2020 | Lab2101 | – | 41.7 | 43.1 | 8.4 | — | — | 6.8 | — | 1.4 |
| 28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 | Quorum | 2,000 | 42.0 | 38.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | — | 6.0 | — | 4.0 |
| 29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | SWG | 1,100 | 44.0 | 42.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | — | 2.5 | — | 2.0 |
| 28 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | Demetra | 500 | 43.0 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | — | 3.0 | — | 10.0 |
| 27–29 Aug 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 44.0 | 41.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.5 | — | 2.5 |
| 27–28 Aug 2020 | Scenari Politici–Winpoll | 1,000 | 43.0 | 42.5 | 8.3 | — | — | 6.2 | — | 0.5 |
| 25 Aug 2020 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 43–47 | 39–43 | 5–9 | — | — | 5–9 | — | 0–8 |
| 24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | Noto | — | 42–46 | 39–43 | 7–11 | — | — | 4–8 | — | -1–7 |
| 30 Jun 2020 | EMG | — | 46.5 | 40.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.0 | — | 6.0 |
| 29–30 Jun 2020 | Tecnè | 1,000 | 46.0 | 40.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.5 | 17.6 | 5.5 |
| 28 Jun 2020 | Demopolis | — | 45.0 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | — | 2.0 | 25.0 | 3.0 |
| 26 Jun 2020 | Noto | 1,000 | 46.0 | 40.0 | 8.0 | — | — | 6.0 | — | 6.0 |
| 29–31 May 2020 | Noto | 1,000 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 |
| 18–19 Feb 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 5.5 | — | 3.0 | 1.5 | — | 10.0 |

#### Hypothetical candidates

| Date | Polling firm/ Client | Sample size | Giani | Ceccardi | Other CDX | Galletti | Others | Undecided | Lead |
| 19–23 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 48.0 | — | 40.5 | 8.5 | 3.0 | — | 7.5 |
| 19–23 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 48.0 | 40.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | 8.0 |
| 19–23 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 48.0 | — | 39.5 | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | 8.5 |
| 28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | SWG | 1,000 | 44.0 | 44.0 | — | 7.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | Tie |
| 28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | SWG | 1,000 | 46.0 | 46.0 | — | w. CSX | 8.0 | 20.0 | Tie |

### Parties

| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-left | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | Centre-right | M5S | Others | Undecided | Lead |
| Date | Polling firm | Sample size | PD | IV | LS | Other | Lega | FI | FdI | Other | M5S | Others | Undecided | Lead |
| 29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | SWG | 2,000 | 33.5 | 4.0 | — | 5.0 | 28.0 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | — | 5.5 |
| 28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 | Quorum | 2,000 | 31.9 | 5.8 | — | 6.6 | 23.2 | 3.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 7.6 | — | 7.7 |
| 27–29 Aug 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 31.0 | 7.5 | — | 5.5 | 24.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | — | 6.5 |
| 27–28 Aug 2020 | Scenari Politici–Winpoll | 1,000 | 22.6 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 24.1 | 5.4 | 11.8 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 | — | 1.5 |
| 24–29 Jun 2020 | EMG | 2,000 | 31.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | — | 6.5 |
| 29–31 May 2020 | Noto | 1,000 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 26.0 | 9.0 |
| 18–19 Feb 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | – | 6.0 | 5.0 | — | 5.0 |
| 29 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 30.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | – | 10.0 | 12.0 | — | 3.0 |
| 28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | SWG | 1,000 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 34.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 18.0 | 5.0 |
| 12–18 Jul 2018 | Ipsos | 800 | 28.5 | — | 3.9 | 2.3 | 29.5 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 21.0 | 2.2 | — | 1.0 |
* 1 2 3 4 5 This poll was commissioned by a political party.
* ↑ Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna (Independent)
* ↑ Giovanni Donzelli (FdI)

## Results

20–21 September 2020 Tuscan regional election results :
| Candidates | Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Parties | Votes | % | Seats |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Democratic Party | 563,116 | 34.69 | 22 |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Italia Viva – More Europe | 72,649 | 4.48 | 2 |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Civic Ecologist Left | 48,410 | 2.98 | – |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Proud Tuscany for Giani | 47,778 | 2.94 | – |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Green Europe | 26,924 | 1.66 | – |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | | Svolta! | 5,246 | 0.32 | – |
| | Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | Total | Total | 764,123 | 47.08 | 24 |
| | Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | | League | 353,514 | 21.78 | 7 |
| | Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | | Brothers of Italy | 219,165 | 13.50 | 4 |
| | Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | | Forza Italia – UDC | 69,456 | 4.28 | 1 |
| | Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | | Civic Tuscany for Change | 16,923 | 1.04 | – |
| | Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | Total | Total | 659,058 | 40.60 | 12 |
| | Irene Galletti | 113,796 | 6.40 | 1 | | Five Star Movement | 113,836 | 7.01 | 1 |
| | Tommaso Fattori | 39,684 | 2.23 | – | | Tuscany to the Left | 46,514 | 2.87 | – |
| | Salvatore Catello | 17,007 | 0.96 | – | | Communist Party | 17,032 | 1.05 | – |
| | Marco Barzanti | 16,078 | 0.90 | – | | Italian Communist Party | 15,617 | 0.96 | – |
| | Tiziana Vigni | 7,668 | 0.43 | – | | 3V Movement | 6,974 | 0.43 | – |
| Total candidates | Total candidates | 1,777,809 | 100.00 | 4 | Total parties | Total parties | 1,623,154 | 100.00 | 37 |
| Source: Tuscany Region – Electoral Services ||||||||||
Popular vote – Parties
PD
34.69%
League
21.78%
FdI
13.50%
M5S
7.01%
IV
4.48%
FI
4.28%
SCE
2.98%
PT
2.94%
TaS
2.87%
Others
5.47% :
Popular vote – President
Giani
48.62%
Ceccardi
40.46%
Galletti
6.40%
Fattori
2.23%
Others
2.29% :
Regional Council – Seats summary
Centre-left
60.97%
Centre-right
34.15%
M5S
4.88% :

### Results by province and capital city

| Province | Eugenio Giani | Susanna Ceccardi | Others |
| Florence | 283,573 57.42% | 155,492 31.48% | 54,861 11.12% |
| Pisa | 99,871 47.65% | 86,800 41.42% | 22,911 10.93% |
| Lucca | 73,329 39.73% | 93,003 50.39% | 18,242 9.88% |
| Arezzo | 72,810 44.41% | 75,488 46.05% | 15,634 9.53% |
| Livorno | 71,29446.18% | 58,773 38.07% | 24.313 15.75% |
| Pistoia | 61,16144.02% | 63,703 45.85% | 14,068 10.13% |
| Siena | 67,36552.60% | 47,861 37.37% | 12,851 10.04% |
| Prato | 52,61646.69% | 48,514 43.05% | 11,558 10.27% |
| Grosseto | 43,200 42.04% | 49,047 47.74% | 10,491 10.22% |
| Massa-Carrara | 39,091 43.92% | 40,618 45.63% | 9,304 10.45% |
| Total | 864,31048.62% | 719,266 40.46% | 194,233 10.92% |
| City | Eugenio Giani | Susanna Ceccardi | Others |
| Florence | 109,025 60.30% | 53,696 29.70% | 18,083 10.00% |
| Prato | 38,794 46.85% | 35,538 42.92% | 8,382 10.23% |
| Livorno | 35,547 48.36% | 24,009 32.67% | 13,942 18.97% |
| Arezzo | 20,595 42.02% | 24,002 49.01% | 4,397 8.97% |
| Pisa | 23,04652.66% | 16,085 36.76% | 4,631 10.58% |
| Pistoia | 21,36548.54% | 18,214 41.38% | 4,438 10.08% |
| Lucca | 17,721 42.73% | 19,735 47.58% | 4,020 9.69% |
| Grosseto | 16,171 42.39% | 18,246 47.83% | 3,728 9.44% |
| Massa | 13,598 43.98% | 13,890 44.93% | 3,428 12.09% |
| Siena | 14,00751.40% | 10,925 40.09% | 2,321 8.51% |

### Turnout

| Region | Time | Time | Time | Time |
| Region | 20 Sep | 20 Sep | 20 Sep | 21 Sep |
| Region | 12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 |
| Tuscany | 14.60% | 36.29% | 45.89% | 62.60% |
| Province | Time | Time | Time | Time |
| Province | 20 Sep | 20 Sep | 20 Sep | 21 Sep |
| Province | 12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 |
| Arezzo | 13.63% | 35.60% | 45.50% | 64.60% |
| Florence | 16.60% | 39.74% | 49.96% | 66.47% |
| Grosseto | 14.41% | 33.68% | 41.87% | 60.87% |
| Livorno | 14.59% | 32.87% | 40.95% | 57.33% |
| Lucca | 12.39% | 32.97% | 41.34% | 56.64% |
| Massa and Carrara | 12.22% | 30.98% | 39.33% | 54.91% |
| Pisa | 15.27% | 37.77% | 48.65% | 65.57% |
| Pistoia | 13.90% | 35.77% | 45.75% | 61.66% |
| Prato | 15.61% | 39.69% | 49.79% | 64.79% |
| Siena | 13.98% | 36.22% | 46.53% | 64.84% |
| Source: Tuscany Region – Turnout |||||