# 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

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The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on September 13.

## Overview

Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:
| District | Democratic | Democratic | Republican | Republican | Others | Others | Total | Total | Result |
| District | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Result |
| District 1 | 162,080 | 44.29% | 157,176 | 42.95% | 46,728 | 12.77% | 365,984 | 100.0% | Democratic gain |
| District 2 | 174,495 | 49.74% | 158,973 | 45.32% | 17,324 | 4.94% | 350,792 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 336,575 | 46.96% | 316,149 | 44.11% | 64,052 | 8.94% | 716,776 | 100.0% | |

## District 1

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. Incumbent Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the district since 2015 and previously from 2011 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2014, defeating Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter, and the district had a PVI of R+1.

### Republican primary

In May 2015, Guinta settled a case with the Federal Election Commission involving $355,000 that had been donated to him by his parents during his first House campaign in 2010. The settlement required him to return the donation and pay a $15,000 fine to the FEC. New Hampshire politicians including Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte called on Guinta to resign his House seat, but he refused.

#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Frank Guinta, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Eliminated in primary

* Richard Ashooh, businessman
* Michael Callis
* Jamieson Gradert
* Robert Risley

##### Withdrawn

* Dan Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire and 2014 candidate
* Pamela Tucker, state representative

##### Endorsements

U.S. Senators
* John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator
Newspapers
* New Hampshire Union Leader

#### Debate

2016 New Hampshire 1st congressional district republican primary debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Richard Ashooh | Frank Guinta |
| 1 | Sep. 13, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | | P | P |

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 26,400 | 46.5 |
| | Republican | Richard Ashooh | 25,678 | 45.2 |
| | Republican | Michael Callis | 2,243 | 4.0 |
| | Republican | Robert Risley | 1,347 | 2.4 |
| | Republican | Jamieson Gradert | 1,031 | 1.8 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 111 | 0.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 56,810 | 100.0 |

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative who held the seat from 2007 to 2011, and again from 2013 to 2015

##### Withdrawn

* Shawn O'Connor, businessman (running as an Independent)

##### Declined

* Martha Fuller Clark, state senator and nominee for the seat in 2000 and 2002
* Garth Corriveau, Manchester Alderman
* Tom Ferrini, former mayor of Portsmouth
* Travis Harker, physician and former president of the New Hampshire Medical Society
* Andrew Hosmer, state senator
* Terie Norelli, state representative and former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives
* Chris Pappas, executive councilor
* Stefany Shaheen, Portsmouth city councilor and daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen
* Donna Soucy, state senator

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 32,409 | 98.8 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 386 | 1.2 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 32,795 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

Organizations
* National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program
* National Rifle Association of America
State legislators
* Chris Pappas, executive councilor
Organizations
* Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program
* EMILY's List

#### Debates

2016 New Hampshire 1st congressional district debates :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Independent |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Frank Guinta | Carol Shea-Porter | Shawn O'Conner |
| 1 | Oct. 24, 2016 | NH1-TV | Paul Steinhauser Keke Vencill | | P | P | P |
| 2 | Nov. 3, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | | P | P | P |

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Frank Guinta (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Robert Lombardo (L) | Shawn O' Connor (I) | Other | Undecided |
| UMass Amherst/YouGov | October 17–21, 2016 | 380 | ± ?% | 37% | 41% | 9% | − | 3% | 10% |
| Normington Petts (D-House Majority PAC) | September 18–21, 2016 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 34% | 44% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R-NRCC) | September 14–18, 2016 | 427 | ± ?% | 41% | 38% | 4% | 8% | − | 9% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 29% | 48% | − | − | 5% | 19% |
| University of New Hampshire | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 37% | 43% | − | − | 7% | 10% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Rich Ashooh (R) | Carol Shea-Porter (D) | Other | Undecided |
| WMUR/UNH | August 20–28, 2016 | 211 | ± 6.7% | 27% | 50% | 4% | 19% |
| WMUR/UNH | July 9–18, 2016 | 215 | ± 6.7% | 29% | 46% | 6% | 18% |

#### Predictions

| Source | Ranking | As of |
| The Cook Political Report | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Daily Kos Elections | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg | Tilt D (flip) | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D (flip) | November 7, 2016 |
| RCP | Lean D (flip) | October 31, 2016 |

#### Results

Shea-Porter narrowly flipped the seat Democratic. This, along with the narrow victory by Democrat Maggie Hassan in the concurrent Senate election, made it the first time since 1854 that New Hampshire's congressional delegation was fully represented by Democrats.
New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2016 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Carol Shea-Porter | 162,080 | 44.3 |
| | Republican | Frank Guinta (incumbent) | 157,176 | 42.9 |
| | Independent | Shawn O' Connor | 34,735 | 9.5 |
| | Independent | Brendan Kelly | 6,074 | 1.7 |
| | Libertarian | Robert Lombardo | 5,507 | 1.5 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 412 | 0.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 365,984 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican | Democratic gain from Republican |

## District 2

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. Incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2014, and the district had a PVI of D+3.

### Democratic primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative

##### Declined

* Jim Bouley, Mayor of Concord
* Dan Feltes, state senator
* Jason Lyon, activist and businessman
* Steve Shurtleff, state representative
* Colin Van Ostern, Executive Councilor (ran for Governor)
* Mike Vlacich, campaign manager for U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen
* Jeff Woodburn, state senator

#### Results

Democratic primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 36,683 | 99.3 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 249 | 0.7 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 36,932 | 100 |

### Republican primary
#### Candidates
##### Nominee

* Jim Lawrence, former state representative and candidate for this seat in 2014

##### Eliminated in primary

* Eric Estevez, state representative
* Jack Flanagan, New Hampshire House Majority Leader.
* Walter Kelly, candidate for Senate in 2014
* Andy Martin, perennial candidate
* Jay Mercer
* Casey Newell

##### Declined

* Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative
* Marilinda Garcia, former state representative, and nominee for this seat in 2014
* Gary Lambert, former state senator and candidate for this seat in 2014

##### Endorsements

Newspapers
* New Hampshire Union Leader

#### Debate

2016 New Hampshire 2nd congressional district republican primary debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Republican |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Jack Flanagan | Jim Lawrence |
| 1 | Sep. 8, 2016 | New Hampshire Union Leader Saint Anselm College WMUR | Josh McElveen | | P | P |

#### Results

Republican primary results :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Republican | Jim Lawrence | 17,180 | 39.7 |
| | Republican | Jack B. Flanagan | 12,046 | 27.8 |
| | Republican | Walter W. Kelly | 4,287 | 9.9 |
| | Republican | Andy Martin | 3,145 | 7.3 |
| | Republican | Eric Estevez | 2,443 | 5.6 |
| | Republican | Jay Mercer | 2,113 | 4.9 |
| | Republican | Casey Newell | 1,839 | 4.3 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 232 | 0.5 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 43,285 | 100.0 |

### General election
#### Endorsements

Organizations
* Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" program
* EMILY's List

#### Debate

2016 New Hampshire 2nd congressional district debate :
| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | | |
| Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Key: P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W Withdrawn | Annie McLane Kuster | Jim Lawrence |
| 1 | Nov. 4, 2016 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics New Hampshire Union Leader WMUR-TV | Josh McElveen | | P | P |

#### Polling

| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | Jim Lawrence (R) | Other | Undecided |
| University of New Hampshire | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 40% | 34% | 3% | 22% |
| University of New Hampshire | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Ann McLane Kuster (D) | Jack Flanagan (R) | Other | Undecided |
| WMUR/UNH | August 20–28, 2016 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 40% | 35% | 3% | 22% |
| WMUR/UNH | July 9–18, 2016 | 254 | ± 6.1% | 38% | 32% | 4% | 26% |

#### Results

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2016 :
| Party | Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 174,495 | 49.7 |
| | Republican | Jim Lawrence | 158,973 | 45.3 |
| | Independent | John Babiarz | 17,088 | 4.9 |
| | Write-in | Write-in | 236 | 0.1 |
| Total votes | Total votes | Total votes | 350,792 | 100.0 |
| | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold | Democratic hold |