# Simcoe—Grey (federal electoral district)

Simcoe—Grey is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.
It was created in 1996 from parts of Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford, Bruce—Grey, Simcoe Centre, Simcoe North, Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe and York—Simcoe.
It consists of the municipalities of Blue Mountains, Collingwood, Clearview, Wasaga Beach, Springwater, Essa, New Tecumseth and Adjala-Tosorontio. It had a population of 117,505 in 2001, and an area of 2,515 km².

## History

It consisted initially of:
* the part of the County of Simcoe lying to the west of and including the Town of New Tecumseth and the Township of Essa, to the west of and excluding the City of Barrie, to the east of and including the townships of Vespra and Flos, and to the south of and excluding the Township of Tiny;
* in the County of Grey, the Town of Thornbury, the villages of Flesherton and Markdale, and the townships of Artemesia, Collingwood and Osprey.
In 2003, it was given its current boundaries as described above.
This riding lost territory to Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

## Demographics

According to the 2021 Canadian census
Ethnic groups: 86.7% White, 3.6% Indigenous, 2.3% South Asian, 2.1% Black, 1.2% Latin American
Languages: 85.3% English, 1.7% French, 1.5% Italian, 1.0% Spanish
Religions: 57.7% Christian (25.7% Catholic, 6.9% United Church, 6.2% Anglican, 3.3% Presbyterian, 1.2% Baptist, 1.2% Pentecostal, 1.0% Christian Orthodox, 12.2% Other), 1.1% Muslim, 38.4% None
Median income: $43,200 (2020)
Average income: $55,950 (2020)

## Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the national political parties:
| Party | Association name | CEO | HQ address | HQ city |
| Christian Heritage Party of Canada | Simcoe—Grey Christian Heritage Party Association | Iain Morris | PO Box 692 | Alliston |
| Conservative Party of Canada | Simcoe—Grey Conservative Association | Sandy Kursis | PO Box 2021 | Thornton ON L0L 2N0 |
| Liberal Party of Canada | Simcoe—Grey Federal Liberal Association | Rob Glozier | PO Box 779 | Alliston |
| New Democratic Party | Simcoe—Grey Federal NDP Riding Association | Denny Oliver | 7 Truax Crescent | Angus |
| Green | Simcoe—Grey Federal Green Party Association | Kendra Marr | 7150 Sideroad 3/4 Nottawasaga | Creemore, Ontario |
| People's | Barrie-Simcoe PPC Association | Stephen Makk | PO Box 543 | Victoria Harbour |

## Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Simcoe—Grey Riding created from Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford, Bruce—Grey, Simcoe Centre, Simcoe North, Wellington—Grey—Dufferin—Simcoe and York—Simcoe |||||
| 36th | 1997–2000 | Paul Bonwick | Liberal |
| 37th | 2000–2004 | Paul Bonwick | Liberal |
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Helena Guergis | Conservative |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Helena Guergis | Conservative |
| 40th | 2008–2010 | Helena Guergis | Conservative |
| 40th | 2010–2011 | Helena Guergis | Independent |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Kellie Leitch | Conservative |
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Kellie Leitch | Conservative |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Terry Dowdall | Conservative |
| 44th | 2021–present | Terry Dowdall | Conservative |

## Election results

vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Terry Dowdall | 36,249 | 47.3 | +3.8 | $77,055.07 |
| | Liberal | Bren Munro | 21,320 | 27.8 | -3.9 | $15,794.64 |
| | New Democratic | Lucas Gillies | 10,140 | 13.2 | +2.0 | $4,394.15 |
| | People's | Adam Minatel | 5,550 | 7.2 | +5.3 | $16,038.13 |
| | Green | Nick Clayton | 2,969 | 3.9 | -10.1 | $3,494.50 |
| | Christian Heritage | Ken Stouffer | 382 | 0.5 | – | $5,174.14 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 76,610 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 436 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 77,046 | 63.60 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 121,142 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 26,910 | 47.42 |
| Liberal | 15,822 | 27.88 |
| New Democratic | 7,476 | 13.17 |
| People's | 3,938 | 6.94 |
| Green | 2,356 | 4.15 |
| Others | 242 | 0.43 |
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Terry Dowdall | 32,812 | 43.5 | -3.1 | $77,284.03 |
| | Liberal | Lorne Kenney | 23,925 | 31.7 | -6.9 | none listed |
| | Green | Sherri Jackson | 8,589 | 11.4 | +7.0 | $13,135.30 |
| | New Democratic | Ilona Matthews | 8,462 | 11.2 | +1.6 | $4,265.12 |
| | People's | Richard Sommer | 1,416 | 1.9 | – | none listed |
| | Veterans Coalition | Tony D'Angelo | 305 | 0.4 | | none listed |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 75,509 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 492 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 76,001 | 66.0 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 115,193 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +1.90 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2015 Canadian federal election: Simcoe—Grey :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Kellie Leitch | 30,612 | 46.6 | -1.8 | $101,505.22 |
| | Liberal | Mike MacEachern | 25,352 | 38.6 | +25.9 | $55,545.97 |
| | New Democratic | David Matthews | 6,332 | 9.6 | -7.8 | $5,106.83 |
| | Green | JoAnne Fleming | 2,923 | 4.4 | -1.1 | $5,324.15 |
| | Christian Heritage | Len Noordegraaf | 528 | 0.8 | – | $3,879.16 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 65,747 | 100.0 | | $242,062.43 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 225 | – | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 65,972 | – | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 97,145 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -13.85 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 26,764 | 48.43 |
| New Democratic | 9,631 | 17.43 |
| Others | 8,806 | 15.94 |
| Liberal | 7,000 | 12.67 |
| Green | 3,058 | 5.53 |
2011 Canadian federal election: Simcoe—Grey :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Kellie Leitch | 31,784 | 49.36 | -5.68 | $96,128.50 |
| | New Democratic | Katy Austin | 11,185 | 17.38 | +6.18 | 7,993.48 |
| | Independent | Helena Guergis | 8,714 | 13.50 | – | 57,289.66 |
| | Liberal | Alex Smardenka | 8,207 | 12.75 | -8.80 | 83,148.92 |
| | Green | Jace Metheral | 3,482 | 5.41 | -4.71 | 8,522.13 |
| | Christian Heritage | Peter Vander Zaag | 757 | 1.18 | – | 4,385.89 |
| | Canadian Action | Gord Cochrane | 244 | 0.38 | – | 2,512.75 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 64,373 | 100.00 | – | $99,651.72 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 269 | 0.42 | +0.08 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 64,642 | 66.13 | +6.03 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 97,755 | – | – |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -5.93 |
2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Helena Guergis | 30,897 | 55.04 | +5.2 | $71,239 |
| | Liberal | Andrea Matrosovs | 12,099 | 21.55 | -9.3 | $36,810 |
| | New Democratic | Katy Austin | 6,288 | 11.20 | 0.0 | $6,077 |
| | Green | Peter Ellis | 5,685 | 10.12 | +4.5 | $9,015 |
| | Christian Heritage | Peter Vander Zaag | 1,018 | 1.81 | -0.6 | $4,175 |
| | Libertarian | Caley McKibbin | 143 | 0.25 | – | $20 |
| Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | Total valid votes/Expense limit | 56,130 | 100.00 | $94,127 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 189 | 0.34 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 56,319 | 60.10 |
2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Helena Guergis | 30,135 | 49.8 | +9.1 | $84,182 |
| | Liberal | Elizabeth Kirley | 18,689 | 30.9 | -9.5 | $92,500 |
| | New Democratic | Katy Austin | 6,784 | 11.2 | +1.2 | $10,777 |
| | Green | Peter Ellis | 3,372 | 5.6 | +1.8 | $2,361 |
| | Christian Heritage | Peter Vander Zaag | 1,585 | 2.6 | -1.5 | $14,302 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 60,565 | 100.0 |
2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Conservative | Helena Guergis | 22,496 | 40.6 | -9.3 |
| | Liberal | Paul Bonwick | 22,396 | 40.4 | -4.3 |
| | New Democratic | Colin Mackinnon | 5,532 | 10.0 | +6.7 |
| | Green | Peter Ellis | 2,668 | 4.8 | |
| | Christian Heritage | Peter Vander Zaag | 2,285 | 4.1 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 55,377 | 100.0 |
Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.
2000 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Paul Bonwick | 22,224 | 44.8 | +9.6 |
| | Alliance | George Demery | 16,113 | 32.5 | -1.8 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Bill Dunkley | 8,655 | 17.4 | -5.7 |
| | New Democratic | Michael Kennedy | 1,646 | 3.3 | -2.8 |
| | Canadian Action | James McGillivray | 751 | 1.5 | |
| | Independent | Victor Carvalho | 246 | 0.5 | |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 49,635 | 100.0 |
Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.
1997 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Liberal | Paul Bonwick | 17,895 | 35.2 |
| | Reform | Paul Shaw | 17,414 | 34.3 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Shawn Mitchell | 11,761 | 23.1 |
| | New Democratic | Marty Wilkinson | 3,090 | 6.1 |
| | Christian Heritage | Mia Colaris | 664 | 1.3 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 50,824 | 100.0 |