# Tobique—Mactaquac

Tobique—Mactaquac is a federal electoral district in New Brunswick, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

## Political geography

The district includes the counties of Carleton and Victoria as well as the Parish and Village of Saint-André and the eastern part of the County of York (excluding the City of Fredericton and vicinity). The neighbouring ridings are Madawaska—Restigouche, Miramichi, Fredericton, and New Brunswick Southwest. Across the border to Maine, it neighbours the Maine District 2 of the United States House of Representatives.
The electoral district was created in 1996 from portions of the old ridings of Carleton—Charlotte, Fredericton—York—Sunbury, and Madawaska—Victoria. Its creation was very controversial, as it included areas with both large anglophone and francophone populations, while neighbouring communities were placed in other ridings. This seemingly went against the "communities of interest" criterion in drawing electoral boundaries.
As per the 2012 federal electoral distribution, this riding will gain territory from Fredericton and lose a small territory to the new riding of Miramichi—Grand Lake.

## History

On two separate occasions Tobique—Mactaquac has been involved in party nomination controversies. In the 1997 election, the Liberals were alleged to have rigged their meeting to choose Pierrette Ringuette, the Member of Parliament for the defunct Madawaska—Victoria riding. The meeting was held in Grand Falls, near her hometown and at the far northern end of the riding. Because of sound problems, only her speech was carried over the loudspeakers. Ringuette-Maltais lost the election to Gilles Bernier of the Progressive Conservatives.
In the 2004 election, the Conservative Party selected Adam Richardson, who had run for the Canadian Alliance in the 2000 election, but the national head office refused to sign his nomination papers, apparently because of Richardson's demands that party leader Stephen Harper apologize for allegedly derogatory comments about Atlantic Canadians. The eventual Conservative candidate, Mike Allen, lost to Liberal incumbent Andy Savoy.

### Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Tobique—Mactaquac Riding created from Carleton—Charlotte, Fredericton—York—Sunbury and Madawaska—Victoria |||||
| 36th | 1997–2000 | Gilles Bernier | Progressive Conservative |
| 37th | 2000–2004 | Andy Savoy | Liberal |
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Andy Savoy | Liberal |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Mike Allen | Conservative |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Mike Allen | Conservative |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Mike Allen | Conservative |
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | T. J. Harvey | Liberal |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Richard Bragdon | Conservative |
| 44th | 2021–present | Richard Bragdon | Conservative |

## Election results
### Tobique—Mactaquac, 2023 representation order

2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 16,954 | 52.83 |
| Liberal | 7,269 | 22.65 |
| New Democratic | 3,702 | 11.53 |
| People's | 2,320 | 7.23 |
| Green | 1,574 | 4.90 |
| Others | 275 | 0.86 |

### Tobique—Mactaquac, 2013 representation order

This riding gained territory from Fredericton and lost territory to Miramichi—Grand Lake for the 42nd Canadian federal election.
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Richard Bragdon | 17,536 | 50.98 | +0.7 | $45,965.28 |
| | Liberal | Cully Robinson | 8,223 | 23.90 | -1.3 | $10,342.40 |
| | New Democratic | Meriet Gray Miller | 3,656 | 10.63 | +2.7 | $0.00 |
| | People's | Daniel Joseph Waggoner | 2,930 | 8.52 | +6.0 | $2,750.09 |
| | Green | Anthony Martin | 1,657 | 4.82 | -9.3 | $5,670.46 |
| | Independent | Steven J. LaForest | 398 | 1.15 | N/A | $0.00 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 34,400 | 99.2 | – | $107,922.33 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 291 | 0.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 34,691 | 62.0 |
| Registered voters | Registered voters | Registered voters | 55,973 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +1.0 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Richard Bragdon | 19,229 | 50.34 | +13.32 | $31,254.86 |
| | Liberal | Kelsey MacDonald | 9,631 | 25.21 | -21.40 | $12,723.90 |
| | Green | Rowan P. Miller | 5,398 | 14.13 | +9.03 | $11,462.77 |
| | New Democratic | Megan Aiken | 3,007 | 7.87 | -3.41 | $0.00 |
| | People's | Dominic Guay | 936 | 2.45 | - | $402.50 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 38,201 | 100.00 | | |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 376 | 0.97 | +0.33 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 38,577 | 70.01 | -0.78 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 55,104 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +17.36 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | T. J. Harvey | 17,909 | 46.61 | +30.38 | $67,600.14 |
| | Conservative | Richard Bragdon | 14,225 | 37.02 | -25.12 | $57,487.20 |
| | New Democratic | Robert Kitchen | 4,334 | 11.28 | -7.86 | $6,199.56 |
| | Green | Terry Wishart | 1,959 | 5.10 | +2.62 | $3,275.40 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 38,427 | 100.00 | | $204,512.49 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 248 | 0.64 | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 38,675 | 71.79 | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 53,870 |
| | Liberal gain from Conservative | Liberal gain from Conservative | Swing | Swing | +27.75 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 21,410 | 62.14 |
| New Democratic | 6,594 | 19.14 |
| Liberal | 5,591 | 16.23 |
| Green | 853 | 2.48 |
| Others | 7 | 0.02 |

### Tobique—Mactaquac, 2003 representation order

vte2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Mike Allen | 21,108 | 62.70 | +5.21 | $44,047.06 |
| | New Democratic | Pierre Cyr | 6,388 | 18.98 | +3.61 | $4,796.14 |
| | Liberal | Charles Chiasson | 5,337 | 15.85 | -5.70 | $29,831.59 |
| | Green | Rish McGlynn | 831 | 2.47 | -3.29 | $5.82 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 33,664 | 100.0 | | $84,385.35 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 256 | 0.75 | -0.33 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 33,920 | 63.91 | +4.18 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 53,073 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +0.80 |
| Sources: |||||||
vte2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Mike Allen | 18,071 | 57.49 | +13.70 | $61,678.30 |
| | Liberal | Sally McGrath | 6,773 | 21.55 | -21.32 | $26,392.40 |
| | New Democratic | Alice Finnamore | 4,830 | 15.37 | +3.87 | $8,535.56 |
| | Green | Mark Glass | 1,810 | 5.76 | +3.89 | $1,492.00 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 31,433 | 100.0 | | $81,901 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 343 | 1.08 | +0.04 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 31,776 | 59.73 | -8.02 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 53,203 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | +17.51 |
vte2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Mike Allen | 15,894 | 43.79 | +4.20 | $66,976.92 |
| | Liberal | Andy Savoy | 15,558 | 42.87 | -5.36 | $70,900.54 |
| | New Democratic | Alice Finnamore | 4,172 | 11.50 | +3.00 | $9,442.17 |
| | Green | Robert Bérubé Jr. | 679 | 1.87 | -1.81 | none listed |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 36,292 | 100.0 | | $76,462 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 383 | 1.04 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 36,675 | 67.75 | +3.75 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 54,135 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +4.78 |
vte2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Andy Savoy | 16,787 | 48.23 | +15.82 | $74,481.32 |
| | Conservative | Mike Allen | 13,779 | 39.59 | -24.32 | $60,455.56 |
| | New Democratic | Jason Mapplebeck | 2,957 | 8.50 | +4.82 | $1,645.00 |
| | Green | Scott Jones | 1,282 | 3.68 | – | $882.20 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 34,805 | 100.0 | | $74,648 |
| Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 349 | 1.0 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 35,154 | 64.00 | -2.29 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 54,931 |
| | Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative | Liberal notional gain from Progressive Conservative | Swing | Swing | +20.07 |
| Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals. |||||||
2000 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Progressive Conservative | 11,708 | 33.80 |
| Liberal | 11,225 | 32.41 |
| Alliance | 10,428 | 30.11 |
| New Democratic | 1,273 | 3.68 |

### Tobique—Mactaquac, 1996 representation order

vte2000 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% |
| | Liberal | Andy Savoy | 10,900 | 33.6 | +3.4 |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gilles Bernier | 10,750 | 33.1 | -2.8 |
| | Alliance | Adam Richardson | 9,570 | 29.5 | +1.8 |
| | New Democratic | Carolyn Van Dine | 1,216 | 3.7 | -2.5 |
| Total | Total | Total | 32,436 | 100.0 |
vte1997 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % |
| | Progressive Conservative | Gilles Bernier | 12,125 | 35.9 |
| | Liberal | Pierrette Ringuette | 10,190 | 30.2 |
| | Reform | Ivan Shaw | 9,371 | 27.7 |
| | New Democratic | Leslie Ann Ferguson | 2,093 | 6.2 |
| Total | Total | Total | 33,779 | 100.0 |