# Opinion polling for the 2019 Guatemalan general election

"none" is preferred when the title is sufficiently descriptive; see [[WP:SDNONE]]
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2019 Guatemalan general election, which was held in on 16 June 2019. Because no candidate won a majority, a run-off occurred on 11 August 2019.

## Second round

| Polling Firm | Date | Sample size | Giammattei Vamos | Torres UNE | None | Lead |
| Second round | 11 August | — | 57.95 | 42.05 | — | 15.90 |
| Average | 10 July–10 August | 6,021 | 53.23 | 46.76 | (N/A) | 6.47 |
| CID-Gallup | 29 July–5 August | 1.216 | 54.9 | 45.1 | -- | -- |
| Prodatos | 27 July–3 August | 1.201 | 50.3 | 32.1 | 17.6 | 18.2 |
| OPol Consultores | 24–26 July | 2.400 | 44.7 | 49.1 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| CID-Gallup | 9–14 July | 1.204 | 40.6 | 33.4 | 25.9 | 7.2 |
| First round | 16 June | — | 12.1 | 22.1 | — | 10.0 |
| CID-Gallup | 1–7 June | 1.204 | 11.6 | 22.6 | 22.9 | 1.0 |
| Prodatos | 27 May–5 June | 1.004 | 54.0 | 32.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 |

### Alternative scenarios

| Polling firm | Date | Sample size | Arzú PAN–Podemos | Mulet Humanist | Torres UNE | None | Lead |
| First round | 16 June | — | — | 11.2 | 25.5 | — | 14.3 |
| First round | 16 June | — | 6.1 | — | 25.5 | — | 19.4 |
| Prodatos | 13 June | 1,004 | — | 42.0 | 36.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 |
| Prodatos | 13 June | 1,004 | 46.0 | — | 33.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 |
| CID-Gallup | 1–7 June | 1,204 | 36.0 | — | 33.0 | 31.0 | 3.0 |

## First round
### After resolutions

| Polling firm | Date | Sample size | Torres UNE | Giammattei Vamos | Arzú PAN–P | Mulet PHG | T. Cabrera MLP | Farchi VIVA | F. Cabrera Todos | Estrada CREO | Others | None | Lead |
| Presidential election | 16 June | — | 25.54 | 13.95 | 6.08 | 11.21 | 10.37 | 5.90 | 3.13 | 3.75 | | | |
| Prodatos | 13 June | 1,004 | 20.2 | 14.4 | 8.0 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 16.6 | 15.7 | 5.8 |
| CID-Gallup | 30 May–7 June | 1,204 | 22.6 | 11.6 | 9.2 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 15.1 | 22.7 | 11.0 |
| CID-Gallup | 21 May-25 May | 1,202 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 9.0 |
| OPol Consultores | 20 May-23 May | 2,200 | 23.36 | 10.77 | 13.18 | 8.63 | 3.22 | 1.72 | 0.63 | 1.22 | 11.99 | 25.28 | 10.18 |

### Before resolutions

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aldana Semilla | Arzú PAN–P | Escobar PC | Giammattei Vamos | Torres UNE | Ríos Valor | N/A | Others | Lead |
| CID-Gallup | 15 May | 1,747 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 |
| On May 15, 2019, Thelma Aldana is out of the elections. ||||||||||||
| On May 13, 2019, Zury Rios is out of the elections. ||||||||||||
| TResearch | 15 April | 1,000 | 23.7 | — | — | 10.8 | 17.1 | 15.7 | — | 32.7 | 6.6 |
| TResearch | 14 April | 1,000 | 24.1 | — | — | 11.0 | 16.5 | 16.0 | — | 32.4 | 7.6 |
| TResearch | 13 April | 1,000 | 24.4 | — | — | 11.5 | 16.3 | 15.7 | — | 32.1 | 8.1 |
| TResearch | 12 April | 1,000 | 24.1 | — | — | 11.5 | 14.8 | 16.2 | — | 33.4 | 7.9 |
| TResearch | 11 April | 1,000 | 24.5 | — | — | 10.8 | 14.8 | 16.1 | — | 33.8 | 8.4 |
| TResearch | 10 April | 1,000 | 24.6 | — | — | 11.7 | 14.1 | 15.8 | — | 33.8 | 8.8 |
| TResearch | 9 April | 1,000 | 24.9 | — | — | 11.8 | 14.2 | 15.7 | — | 33.4 | 9.2 |
| TResearch | 8 April | 1,000 | 25.2 | — | — | 12.1 | 14.8 | 15.6 | — | 32.3 | 9.6 |
| TResearch | 7 April | 1,000 | 25.1 | — | — | 11.7 | 14.4 | 15.4 | — | 33.4 | 9.7 |
| TResearch | 6 April | 1,000 | 25.3 | — | — | 11.8 | 14.3 | 14.7 | — | 33.9 | 10.6 |
| TResearch | 5 April | 1,000 | 25.0 | — | — | 11.6 | 14.7 | 14.3 | — | 34.6 | 10.3 |
| TResearch | 4 April | 1,000 | 25.1 | — | — | 11.6 | 15.3 | 13.8 | — | 34.2 | 9.6 |
| TResearch | 3 April | 1,000 | 24.6 | — | — | 12.0 | 14.5 | 13.5 | — | 35.4 | 10.1 |
| TResearch | 2 April | 1,000 | 24.2 | — | — | 12.2 | 15.0 | 13.4 | — | 35.2 | 9.2 |
| TResearch | 1 April | 1,000 | 23.8 | — | — | 12.5 | 15.5 | 13.3 | — | 34.9 | 8.3 |
| Prodatos | 19–27 March | 1,200 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 20.7 | 15.9 | 26.1 | 24 | 4.8 |
| March 18, 2019, the electoral campaign begins. ||||||||||||
| CID-Gallup | 16–25 February | 1,258 | 10.7 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 17.7 | 7.9 | 40.9 | 11.1 | 7 |
| Consulta Mitofsky | 8–11 February | 1,000 | 28.1 | — | — | 14.4 | 6.1 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 21.2 | 10.5 |
| CID-Gallup | 24 January–4 February | 1,815 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 7 | 46 | 10 | 7 |

## Favorable or unfavorable opinions
### Favorable opinions

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aldana Semilla | Arzú PAN–P | Escobar PC | Estrada UCN | Galdámez FCN | Giammattei Vamos | Montenegro EG | Torres UNE | Ríos Valor |
| Consulta Mitofsky | 8–11 February | 1,000 | 36 | 8 | — | 11 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 31 |

### Unfavorable opinions

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aldana Semilla | Arzú PAN–P | Escobar PC | Estrada UCN | Galdámez FCN | Giammattei Vamos | Montenegro EG | Mulet PHG | Torres UNE | Ríos Valor |
| Consulta Mitofsky | 8–11 February | 1,000 | 27 | 56 | — | 30 | 62 | 25 | 32 | — | 66 | 28 |

### Most favorite for president

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aldana Semilla | Arzú PAN–P | Escobar PC | Galdámez FCN | Giammattei Vamos | Montenegro EG | Mulet PHG | Torres UNE | Ríos Valor |
| Consulta Mitofsky | 8–11 February | 1,000 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — |

### Least favorite for president

| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Aldana Semilla | Arzú PAN–P | Escobar PC | Galdámez FCN | Giammattei Vamos | Torres UNE | Ríos Valor |
| CID-Gallup | 1–7 June | 1,204 | — | 3.3 | — | 1.8 | 2.2 | 34.1 | — |
| CID-Gallup | 8–13 May | 1,747 | 10 | 2 | — | — | — | 28 | 3 |
| CID-Gallup | 16–25 February | 1,258 | 6.2 | 3.5 | — | 3.2 | 3.4 | 21.2 | 6.5 |
| Consulta Mitofsky | 8–11 February | 1,000 | 12.6 | — | — | — | 2.0 | 40 | 4.4 |