# Bay of Quinte (federal electoral district)

Bay of Quinte (French: Baie de Quinte) is a federal electoral district in central Ontario, Canada, centred on the Bay of Quinte.
Bay of Quinte was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, scheduled for 19 October 2015. It was created out of parts of the electoral districts of Prince Edward—Hastings (62%) and Northumberland—Quinte West (38%).

## Geography

The riding contains the municipalities of Prince Edward County, Quinte West and the part of Belleville south of Highway 401.

## Demographics

    According to the 2021 Canadian census
Languages: 90.6% English, 2.3% French Religions: 53.5% Christian (18.2% Catholic, 10.3% United Church, 6.7% Anglican, 1.6% Presbyterian, 1.6% Baptist, 1.3% Pentecostal, 13.8% Other), 43.5% None Median income: $39,200 (2020) Average income: $49,160 (2020)
Panethnic groups in Bay of Quinte (2011−2021) :
| Panethnic group | 2021 | 2021 | 2016 | 2016 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Panethnic group | Pop. | % | Pop. | % | Pop. | % |
| European | 101,070 | 88.85% | 98,140 | 91.6% | 99,690 | 93.16% |
| Indigenous | 5,640 | 4.96% | 4,830 | 4.51% | 3,945 | 3.69% |
| South Asian | 2,180 | 1.92% | 870 | 0.81% | 680 | 0.64% |
| African | 1,445 | 1.27% | 845 | 0.79% | 835 | 0.78% |
| East Asian | 1,095 | 0.96% | 930 | 0.87% | 910 | 0.85% |
| Southeast Asian | 880 | 0.77% | 630 | 0.59% | 345 | 0.32% |
| Latin American | 665 | 0.58% | 385 | 0.36% | 205 | 0.19% |
| Middle Eastern | 315 | 0.28% | 205 | 0.19% | 210 | 0.2% |
| Other/multiracial | 465 | 0.41% | 310 | 0.29% | 180 | 0.17% |
| Total responses | 113,755 | 98.05% | 107,140 | 97.64% | 107,010 | 97.74% |
| Total population | 116,016 | 100% | 109,735 | 100% | 109,488 | 100% |
| Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries. |||||||

## Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:
| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Bay of Quinte Riding created from Northumberland—Quinte West and Prince Edward—Hastings |||||
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | Neil Ellis | Liberal |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Neil Ellis | Liberal |
| 44th | 2021–present | Ryan Williams | Conservative |

## Election results

2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 23,671 | 40.59 |
| Liberal | 21,590 | 37.02 |
| New Democratic | 8,897 | 15.25 |
| People's | 2,878 | 4.93 |
| Green | 1,286 | 2.20 |
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Ryan Williams | 25,479 | 41.3 | +4.5 | $93,825.48 |
| | Liberal | Neil Ellis | 22,542 | 36.5 | -2.6 | $99,915.72 |
| | New Democratic | Stephanie Bell | 9,284 | 15.0 | -1.0 | $10,138.56 |
| | People's | Janine LeClerc | 3,045 | 4.9 | +2.9 | $4,474.11 |
| | Green | Erica Charlton | 1,350 | 2.2 | -3.9 | $6,273.82 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 61,700 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 405 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 62,105 | 64.95 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 95,615 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +5.6 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Neil Ellis | 24,099 | 39.16 | -11.58 | $96,721.36 |
| | Conservative | Tim Durkin | 22,650 | 36.80 | +2.53 | $55,922.84 |
| | New Democratic | Stephanie Bell | 9,851 | 16.01 | +3.87 | none listed |
| | Green | Danny Celovsky | 3,740 | 6.08 | +3.86 | $592.37 |
| | People's | Paul Bordonaro | 1,207 | 1.96 | | none listed |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 61,547 | 99.25 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 464 | 0.75 | +0.38 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 62,011 | 65.83 | -2.30 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 94,197 |
| | Liberal hold | Liberal hold | Swing | Swing | -7.05 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | Neil Ellis | 29,281 | 50.74 | +29.86 | $118,473.86 |
| | Conservative | Jodie Jenkins | 19,781 | 34.27 | −17.53 | $109,092.53 |
| | New Democratic | Terry Cassidy | 7,001 | 12.13 | −10.88 | $21,205.50 |
| | Green | Rachel Nelems | 1,278 | 2.21 | −1.56 | – |
| | Independent | Trueman Tuck | 372 | 0.64 | – | $4,425.20 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 57,713 | 99.64 | | $221,051.99 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 211 | 0.36 | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 57,924 | 68.13 | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 85,021 |
| | Liberal notional gain from Conservative | Liberal notional gain from Conservative | Swing | Swing | +23.69 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 25,906 | 51.81 |
| New Democratic | 11,508 | 23.01 |
| Liberal | 10,441 | 20.88 |
| Green | 1,886 | 3.77 |
| Others | 265 | 0.53 |