# Kildonan—St. Paul

Kildonan—St. Paul is a federal electoral district in the Winnipeg Capital Region of Manitoba, Canada. It has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

## Geography

It consists of the far northern end of Winnipeg and the rural municipalities of East St. Paul and West St. Paul.

## Demographics

14.4% of the riding's residents are of Polish ethnic origin, the highest such percentage for any Canadian federal riding.
Panethnic groups in Kildonan—St. Paul (2011−2021) :
| Panethnic group | 2021 | 2021 | 2016 | 2016 | 2011 | 2011 |
| Panethnic group | Pop. | % | Pop. | % | Pop. | % |
| European | 56,390 | 62.3% | 59,090 | 71.4% | 63,470 | 78.44% |
| Southeast Asian | 12,395 | 13.69% | 8,700 | 10.51% | 6,160 | 7.61% |
| Indigenous | 9,720 | 10.74% | 8,435 | 10.19% | 6,700 | 8.28% |
| South Asian | 6,300 | 6.96% | 2,605 | 3.15% | 1,675 | 2.07% |
| African | 2,330 | 2.57% | 1,450 | 1.75% | 1,050 | 1.3% |
| Latin American | 975 | 1.08% | 660 | 0.8% | 510 | 0.63% |
| East Asian | 880 | 0.97% | 715 | 0.86% | 800 | 0.99% |
| Middle Eastern | 425 | 0.47% | 300 | 0.36% | 90 | 0.11% |
| Other/multiracial | 1,105 | 1.22% | 815 | 0.98% | 385 | 0.48% |
| Total responses | 90,510 | 98.94% | 82,760 | 98.43% | 80,920 | 98.93% |
| Total population | 91,480 | 100% | 84,077 | 100% | 81,794 | 100% |
| Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries. |||||||

## History

This riding was created in 2003 from Winnipeg North—St. Paul, Winnipeg North Centre and a small part of Winnipeg—Transcona riding.
This riding lost territory to Winnipeg North and Elmwood—Transcona during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

### Members of Parliament

| Parliament | Years | Member | Party |
| Kildonan—St. Paul Riding created from Winnipeg North—St. Paul, Winnipeg North Centre and Winnipeg—Transcona |||||
| 38th | 2004–2006 | Joy Smith | Conservative |
| 39th | 2006–2008 | Joy Smith | Conservative |
| 40th | 2008–2011 | Joy Smith | Conservative |
| 41st | 2011–2015 | Joy Smith | Conservative |
| 42nd | 2015–2019 | MaryAnn Mihychuk | Liberal |
| 43rd | 2019–2021 | Raquel Dancho | Conservative |
| 44th | 2021–present | Raquel Dancho | Conservative |

### Current member of Parliament

Its member of Parliament is Raquel Dancho, a member of the Conservative Party of Canada.

## Election results

2021 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 20,962 | 42.45 |
| Liberal | 13,782 | 27.91 |
| New Democratic | 11,755 | 23.80 |
| People's | 2,677 | 5.42 |
| Green | 152 | 0.31 |
| Others | 58 | 0.12 |
vte2021 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Raquel Dancho | 18,375 | 41.8 | -3.0 | $79,711.15 |
| | Liberal | Mary-Jane Bennett | 12,934 | 29.4 | +1.5 | $30,391.22 |
| | New Democratic | Emily Clark | 10,313 | 23.5 | +2.3 | $5,804.65 |
| | People's | Sean Howe | 2,325 | 5.3 | +4.1 | $2,327.71 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 43,947 | 99.2 | – | $105,384.72 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 337 | 0.8 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 44,284 | 66.1 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 66,990 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -2.3 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2019 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Raquel Dancho | 19,856 | 44.8 | +4.96 | $92,599.19 |
| | Liberal | MaryAnn Mihychuk | 12,356 | 27.9 | -14.76 | none listed |
| | New Democratic | Evan Krosney | 9,387 | 21.2 | +6.91 | none listed |
| | Green | Rylan Reed | 1,777 | 4.0 | +2.22 | $0.00 |
| | People's | Martin Deck | 510 | 1.2 | – | none listed |
| | Christian Heritage | Spencer Katerynuk | 304 | 0.7 | -0.41 | $2,640.00 |
| | Independent | Eduard Hiebert | 108 | 0.2 | -0.12 | $741.74 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 44,298 | 100.0 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 222 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 44,520 | 67.7 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 65,719 |
| | Conservative gain from Liberal | Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | Swing | +9.99 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
vte2015 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Liberal | MaryAnn Mihychuk | 18,717 | 42.66 | +34.78 | $57,688.21 |
| | Conservative | Jim Bell | 17,478 | 39.84 | -18.63 | $76,554.16 |
| | New Democratic | Suzanne Hrynyk | 6,270 | 14.29 | -15.76 | $43,914.70 |
| | Green | Steven Stairs | 783 | 1.78 | -0.86 | – |
| | Christian Heritage | David Reimer | 485 | 1.11 | – | $7,381.13 |
| | Independent | Eduard Walter Hiebert | 142 | 0.32 | – | – |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 43,875 | 100.00 | | $196,949.80 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 161 | 0.37 | – |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 44,036 | 71.48 | – |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 61,604 |
| | Liberal gain from Conservative | Liberal gain from Conservative | Swing | Swing | +26.70 |
| Source: Elections Canada |||||||
2011 federal election redistributed results :
| Party | Vote | % |
| Conservative | 21,417 | 58.47 |
| New Democratic | 11,007 | 30.05 |
| Liberal | 2,888 | 7.88 |
| Green | 970 | 2.65 |
| Other | 348 | 0.95 |
vte2011 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Joy Smith | 22,670 | 58.16 | +4.76 | – |
| | New Democratic | Rachelle Devine | 11,727 | 30.08 | -2.62 | – |
| | Liberal | Victor Andres | 3,199 | 8.21 | +0.07 | – |
| | Green | Alon Weinberg | 1,020 | 2.62 | -1.98 | – |
| | Independent | Brett Ryall | 218 | 0.56 | – | – |
| | Independent | Eduard Hiebert | 145 | 0.37 | -0.21 | – |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 38,979 | 100.00 | | – |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 154 | 0.93 | +0.03 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 39,133 | 62.05 | +4 |
| Eligible voters | Eligible voters | Eligible voters | 63,066 | – | – |
vte2008 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Joy Smith | 19,751 | 53.40 | +10.27 | $64,584 |
| | New Democratic | Ross Eadie | 12,093 | 32.70 | +12.53 | $25,719 |
| | Liberal | Lesley Hughes* | 3,009 | 8.14 | -25.33 | – |
| | Green | Kevan Bowkett | 1,685 | 4.60 | +1.89 | $101 |
| | Christian Heritage | Jordan Loewen | 233 | 0.63 | – | $1,302 |
| | Independent | Eduard Hiebert | 214 | 0.58 | +0.06 | $3,872 |
| Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | Total valid votes/expense limit | 36,985 | 100.00 | | $78,899 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 156 | 0.42 | +0.08 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 37,141 | 58 | -6 |
| | Conservative hold | Conservative hold | Swing | Swing | -1.13 |
* Lesley Hughes was nominated as the Liberal candidate but subsequently lost the nomination. Since she lost it after the candidate nomination deadline, she was still listed on the ballot as a Liberal
vte2006 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Joy Smith | 17,524 | 43.13 | +5.83 | $58,321 |
| | Liberal | Terry Duguid | 13,597 | 33.47 | -3.06 | $70,764 |
| | New Democratic | Evelyn Myskiw | 8,193 | 20.17 | -2.35 | $16,314 |
| | Green | Colleen Zobel | 1,101 | 2.71 | +0.64 | $0.00 |
| | Independent | Eduard Hiebert | 213 | 0.52 | – | $3,521 |
| Total valid votes | Total valid votes | Total valid votes | 40,628 | 100.00 | | – |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 137 | 0.34 | +0.02 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 40,765 | 66 | +6 |
vte2004 Canadian federal election :
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | Expenditures |
| | Conservative | Joy Smith | 13,582 | 37.30 | $53,156 |
| | Liberal | Terry Duguid | 13,304 | 36.54 | $64,174 |
| | New Democratic | Lorene Mahoney | 8,202 | 22.53 | $32,688 |
| | Green | Jacob Giesbrecht | 756 | 2.08 | $1,929 |
| | Marijuana | Rebecca Whittaker | 290 | 0.80 | not listed |
| | Christian Heritage | Katharine Reimer | 278 | 0.76 | $1,475 |
| Total valid votes/expenditure limit | Total valid votes/expenditure limit | Total valid votes/expenditure limit | 36,412 | 100.00 | 71,091 |
| Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | Total rejected ballots | 117 |
| Turnout | Turnout | Turnout | 36,529 | 60.19 |
| Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | Electors on the lists | 60,689 |
| Percentage change figures are factored for redistribution. Conservative Party percentages are contrasted with the combined Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative percentages from 2000. Sources: Official Results, Elections Canada and Financial Returns, Elections Canada. |||||||