# Panadura Polling Division

The Panadura Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

## Presidential Election Results
### Summary

The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Panadura is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.
| Year | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | MAE % | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | MAE % |
| 2019 | | SLPP | | SLPP | 1.28% | | SLPP | 5.50% |
| 2015 | | NDF | | UPFA | 3.54% | | NDF | 1.34% |
| 2010 | | UPFA | | UPFA | 1.99% | | UPFA | 2.89% |
| 2005 | | UPFA | | UPFA | 2.03% | | UPFA | 7.15% |
| 1999 | | PA | | PA | 3.93% | | PA | 5.64% |
| 1994 | | PA | | PA | 5.69% | | PA | 4.74% |
| 1988 | | SLFP | | SLFP | 3.70% | | UNP | 7.70% |
| 1982 | | UNP | | UNP | 0.80% | | UNP | 4.09% |
| Matches/Mean MAE | 7/8 | 7/8 | 6/8 | 6/8 | 2.87% | 8/8 | 8/8 | 4.88% |

### 2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | SLPP | | 57,447 | 58.01% | | 482,920 | 59.49% | | 6,924,255 | 52.25% |
| | NDF | | 35,761 | 36.11% | | 284,213 | 35.01% | | 5,564,239 | 41.99% |
| | NMPP | | 3,904 | 3.94% | | 27,681 | 3.41% | | 418,553 | 3.16% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 1,916 | 1.93% | | 16,949 | 2.09% | | 345,452 | 2.61% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 99,028 | 99,028 | 99.17% | 811,763 | 811,763 | 99.16% | 13,252,499 | 13,252,499 | 98.99% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 827 | 827 | 0.83% | 6,847 | 6,847 | 0.84% | 135,452 | 135,452 | 1.01% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 99,855 | 99,855 | 84.11% | 818,610 | 818,610 | 85.71% | 13,387,951 | 13,387,951 | 83.71% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 118,719 | 118,719 | | 955,080 | 955,080 | | 15,992,568 | 15,992,568 | |

### 2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | NDF | | 46,820 | 50.15% | | 349,404 | 46.46% | | 6,217,162 | 51.28% |
| | UPFA | | 45,908 | 49.18% | | 395,890 | 52.65% | | 5,768,090 | 47.58% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 627 | 0.67% | | 6,690 | 0.89% | | 138,200 | 1.14% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 93,355 | 93,355 | 98.78% | 751,984 | 751,984 | 98.90% | 12,123,452 | 12,123,452 | 98.85% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 1,152 | 1,152 | 1.22% | 8,381 | 8,381 | 1.10% | 140,925 | 140,925 | 1.15% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 94,507 | 94,507 | 82.30% | 760,365 | 760,365 | 82.08% | 12,264,377 | 12,264,377 | 78.69% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 114,828 | 114,828 | | 926,346 | 926,346 | | 15,585,942 | 15,585,942 | |

### 2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UPFA | | 50,772 | 61.21% | | 412,562 | 63.06% | | 6,015,934 | 57.88% |
| | NDF | | 31,319 | 37.76% | | 231,807 | 35.43% | | 4,173,185 | 40.15% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 856 | 1.03% | | 9,880 | 1.51% | | 204,494 | 1.97% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 82,947 | 82,947 | 99.34% | 654,249 | 654,249 | 99.31% | 10,393,613 | 10,393,613 | 99.03% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 553 | 553 | 0.66% | 4,541 | 4,541 | 0.69% | 101,838 | 101,838 | 0.97% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 83,500 | 83,500 | 79.10% | 658,790 | 658,790 | 79.05% | 10,495,451 | 10,495,451 | 66.70% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 105,569 | 105,569 | | 833,360 | 833,360 | | 15,734,587 | 15,734,587 | |

### 2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UPFA | | 46,097 | 57.68% | | 341,693 | 55.48% | | 4,887,152 | 50.29% |
| | UNP | | 33,034 | 41.33% | | 266,043 | 43.20% | | 4,706,366 | 48.43% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 790 | 0.99% | | 8,124 | 1.32% | | 123,521 | 1.27% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 79,921 | 79,921 | 99.06% | 615,860 | 615,860 | 98.95% | 9,717,039 | 9,717,039 | 98.88% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 762 | 762 | 0.94% | 6,517 | 6,517 | 1.05% | 109,869 | 109,869 | 1.12% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 80,683 | 80,683 | 79.63% | 622,377 | 622,377 | 79.67% | 9,826,908 | 9,826,908 | 69.51% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 101,328 | 101,328 | | 781,175 | 781,175 | | 14,136,979 | 14,136,979 | |

### 1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | PA | | 39,081 | 56.58% | | 281,217 | 52.88% | | 4,312,157 | 51.12% |
| | UNP | | 24,976 | 36.16% | | 217,423 | 40.88% | | 3,602,748 | 42.71% |
| | JVP | | 3,647 | 5.28% | | 23,770 | 4.47% | | 343,927 | 4.08% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 1,369 | 1.98% | | 9,399 | 1.77% | | 176,679 | 2.09% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 69,073 | 69,073 | 97.17% | 531,809 | 531,809 | 97.83% | 8,435,754 | 8,435,754 | 97.69% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 2,014 | 2,014 | 2.83% | 11,796 | 11,796 | 2.17% | 199,536 | 199,536 | 2.31% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 71,087 | 71,087 | 77.46% | 543,605 | 543,605 | 78.23% | 8,635,290 | 8,635,290 | 72.17% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 91,768 | 91,768 | | 694,860 | 694,860 | | 11,965,536 | 11,965,536 | |

### 1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | PA | | 42,951 | 67.27% | | 295,686 | 61.47% | | 4,709,205 | 62.28% |
| | UNP | | 20,032 | 31.37% | | 178,466 | 37.10% | | 2,715,283 | 35.91% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 865 | 1.35% | | 6,867 | 1.43% | | 137,040 | 1.81% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 63,848 | 63,848 | 98.58% | 481,019 | 481,019 | 98.50% | 7,561,526 | 7,561,526 | 98.03% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 922 | 922 | 1.42% | 7,309 | 7,309 | 1.50% | 151,706 | 151,706 | 1.97% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 64,770 | 64,770 | 72.33% | 488,328 | 488,328 | 73.97% | 7,713,232 | 7,713,232 | 69.12% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 89,554 | 89,554 | | 660,191 | 660,191 | | 11,158,880 | 11,158,880 | |

### 1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | SLFP | | 28,366 | 51.94% | | 179,761 | 49.57% | | 2,289,857 | 44.95% |
| | UNP | | 22,701 | 41.57% | | 169,510 | 46.74% | | 2,569,199 | 50.43% |
| | SLMP | | 3,548 | 6.50% | | 13,375 | 3.69% | | 235,701 | 4.63% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 54,615 | 54,615 | 98.56% | 362,646 | 362,646 | 98.23% | 5,094,754 | 5,094,754 | 98.24% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 799 | 799 | 1.44% | 6,537 | 6,537 | 1.77% | 91,499 | 91,499 | 1.76% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 55,414 | 55,414 | 70.74% | 369,183 | 369,183 | 64.20% | 5,186,256 | 5,186,256 | 55.87% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 78,330 | 78,330 | | 575,008 | 575,008 | | 9,283,143 | 9,283,143 | |

### 1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UNP | | 26,648 | 48.88% | | 211,592 | 50.15% | | 3,450,815 | 52.93% |
| | SLFP | | 23,861 | 43.77% | | 185,874 | 44.06% | | 2,546,348 | 39.05% |
| | JVP | | 2,011 | 3.69% | | 14,499 | 3.44% | | 273,428 | 4.19% |
| | LSSP | | 1,776 | 3.26% | | 8,613 | 2.04% | | 58,531 | 0.90% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 216 | 0.40% | | 1,314 | 0.31% | | 190,929 | 2.93% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 54,512 | 54,512 | 98.77% | 421,892 | 421,892 | 98.76% | 6,520,156 | 6,520,156 | 98.78% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 677 | 677 | 1.23% | 5,290 | 5,290 | 1.24% | 80,470 | 80,470 | 1.22% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 55,189 | 55,189 | 81.70% | 427,182 | 427,182 | 83.97% | 6,600,626 | 6,600,626 | 80.15% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 67,549 | 67,549 | | 508,744 | 508,744 | | 8,235,358 | 8,235,358 | |

## Parliamentary Election Results
### Summary

The winner of Panadura has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Panadura is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.
| Year | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | MAE % | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | MAE % |
| 2015 | | UPFA | | UPFA | 1.17% | | UNP | 2.33% |
| 2010 | | UPFA | | UPFA | 2.94% | | UPFA | 1.06% |
| 2004 | | UPFA | | UPFA | 4.90% | | UPFA | 3.89% |
| 2001 | | UNP | | UNP | 1.49% | | UNP | 2.25% |
| 2000 | | PA | | PA | 3.52% | | PA | 2.89% |
| 1994 | | PA | | PA | 4.97% | | PA | 7.25% |
| 1989 | | SLFP | | UNP | 7.26% | | UNP | 10.15% |
| Matches/Mean MAE | 5/7 | 5/7 | 6/7 | 6/7 | 3.75% | 7/7 | 7/7 | 4.26% |

### 2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UPFA | | 40,809 | 46.63% | | 338,801 | 48.58% | | 4,732,664 | 42.48% |
| | UNP | | 39,190 | 44.78% | | 310,234 | 44.48% | | 5,098,916 | 45.77% |
| | JVP | | 6,253 | 7.14% | | 38,475 | 5.52% | | 544,154 | 4.88% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 1,271 | 1.45% | | 9,951 | 1.43% | | 85,579 | 0.77% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 87,523 | 87,523 | 97.49% | 697,461 | 697,461 | 97.00% | 11,140,333 | 11,140,333 | 95.35% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 2,232 | 2,232 | 2.49% | 21,366 | 21,366 | 2.97% | 516,926 | 516,926 | 4.42% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 89,773 | 89,773 | 78.18% | 719,001 | 719,001 | 80.13% | 11,684,111 | 11,684,111 | 77.66% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 114,828 | 114,828 | | 897,349 | 897,349 | | 15,044,490 | 15,044,490 | |

### 2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UPFA | | 37,818 | 59.64% | | 313,836 | 63.74% | | 4,846,388 | 60.38% |
| | UNP | | 18,022 | 28.42% | | 139,596 | 28.35% | | 2,357,057 | 29.37% |
| | DNA | | 7,340 | 11.57% | | 36,722 | 7.46% | | 441,251 | 5.50% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 234 | 0.37% | | 2,246 | 0.46% | | 34,923 | 0.44% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 63,414 | 63,414 | 91.48% | 492,400 | 492,400 | 90.41% | 8,026,322 | 8,026,322 | 96.03% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 5,851 | 5,851 | 8.44% | 51,751 | 51,751 | 9.50% | 581,465 | 581,465 | 6.96% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 69,320 | 69,320 | 65.66% | 544,606 | 544,606 | 65.21% | 8,358,246 | 8,358,246 | 59.29% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 105,569 | 105,569 | | 835,186 | 835,186 | | 14,097,690 | 14,097,690 | |

### 2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UPFA | | 35,687 | 48.03% | | 291,208 | 51.72% | | 4,223,126 | 45.70% |
| | UNP | | 24,020 | 32.32% | | 212,721 | 37.78% | | 3,486,792 | 37.73% |
| | JHU | | 14,274 | 19.21% | | 56,615 | 10.06% | | 552,723 | 5.98% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 328 | 0.44% | | 2,475 | 0.44% | | 49,030 | 0.53% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 74,309 | 74,309 | 95.82% | 563,019 | 563,019 | 94.82% | 9,241,931 | 9,241,931 | 94.52% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 3,240 | 3,240 | 4.18% | 30,741 | 30,741 | 5.18% | 534,452 | 534,452 | 5.47% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 77,549 | 77,549 | 77.75% | 593,760 | 593,760 | 79.58% | 9,777,821 | 9,777,821 | 75.74% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 99,741 | 99,741 | | 746,138 | 746,138 | | 12,909,631 | 12,909,631 | |

### 2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | UNP | | 32,013 | 43.88% | | 254,339 | 45.94% | | 4,086,026 | 45.62% |
| | PA | | 29,288 | 40.14% | | 226,468 | 40.91% | | 3,330,815 | 37.19% |
| | JVP | | 9,435 | 12.93% | | 60,451 | 10.92% | | 815,353 | 9.10% |
| | SU | | 1,367 | 1.87% | | 5,103 | 0.92% | | 50,665 | 0.57% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 857 | 1.17% | | 7,258 | 1.31% | | 86,426 | 0.97% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 72,960 | 72,960 | 95.23% | 553,619 | 553,619 | 94.44% | 8,955,844 | 8,955,844 | 94.77% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 3,655 | 3,655 | 4.77% | 32,617 | 32,617 | 5.56% | 494,009 | 494,009 | 5.23% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 76,615 | 76,615 | 79.40% | 586,236 | 586,236 | 81.68% | 9,449,878 | 9,449,878 | 76.03% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 96,487 | 96,487 | | 717,764 | 717,764 | | 12,428,762 | 12,428,762 | |

### 2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | PA | | 30,848 | 43.08% | | 255,175 | 46.86% | | 3,899,329 | 45.33% |
| | UNP | | 25,994 | 36.30% | | 217,215 | 39.89% | | 3,451,765 | 40.12% |
| | JVP | | 7,047 | 9.84% | | 38,373 | 7.05% | | 518,725 | 6.03% |
| | SU | | 4,035 | 5.63% | | 15,619 | 2.87% | | 127,859 | 1.49% |
| | NUA | | 2,857 | 3.99% | | 11,943 | 2.19% | | 185,593 | 2.16% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 832 | 1.16% | | 6,193 | 1.14% | | 136,137 | 1.58% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 71,613 | 71,613 | N/A | 544,518 | 544,518 | N/A | 8,602,617 | 8,602,617 | N/A |

### 1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | PA | | 39,309 | 58.52% | | 271,754 | 53.77% | | 3,887,805 | 48.94% |
| | UNP | | 25,692 | 38.25% | | 221,115 | 43.75% | | 3,498,370 | 44.04% |
| | MEP | | 1,163 | 1.73% | | 5,914 | 1.17% | | 68,538 | 0.86% |
| | SLPF | | 970 | 1.44% | | 6,238 | 1.23% | | 90,078 | 1.13% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 41 | 0.06% | | 339 | 0.07% | | 813 | 0.01% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 67,175 | 67,175 | 96.22% | 505,360 | 505,360 | 95.21% | 7,943,688 | 7,943,688 | 95.20% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 2,642 | 2,642 | 3.78% | 25,397 | 25,397 | 4.79% | 400,395 | 400,395 | 4.80% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 69,817 | 69,817 | 77.96% | 530,757 | 530,757 | 80.20% | 8,344,095 | 8,344,095 | 74.75% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 89,554 | 89,554 | | 661,793 | 661,793 | | 11,163,064 | 11,163,064 | |

### 1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

| Party | Party | Panadura | Panadura | Panadura | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Kalutara Electoral District | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka | Sri Lanka |
| Party | Party | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % | Votes | Votes | % |
| | SLFP | | 23,778 | 47.08% | | 131,510 | 40.94% | | 1,785,369 | 31.90% |
| | UNP | | 20,473 | 40.53% | | 160,069 | 49.84% | | 2,838,005 | 50.71% |
| | USA | | 3,025 | 5.99% | | 12,342 | 3.84% | | 141,983 | 2.54% |
| | SLMC | | 2,428 | 4.81% | | 12,971 | 4.04% | | 202,016 | 3.61% |
| | MEP | | 641 | 1.27% | | 2,690 | 0.84% | | 90,480 | 1.62% |
| | Other Parties (with < 1%) | | 165 | 0.33% | | 1,611 | 0.50% | | 67,723 | 1.21% |
| Valid Votes | Valid Votes | 50,510 | 50,510 | 95.90% | 321,193 | 321,193 | 94.10% | 5,596,468 | 5,596,468 | 93.87% |
| Rejected Votes | Rejected Votes | 2,162 | 2,162 | 4.10% | 20,139 | 20,139 | 5.90% | 365,563 | 365,563 | 6.13% |
| Total Polled | Total Polled | 52,672 | 52,672 | 68.55% | 341,332 | 341,332 | 59.86% | 5,962,031 | 5,962,031 | 63.60% |
| Registered Electors | Registered Electors | 76,836 | 76,836 | | 570,193 | 570,193 | | 9,374,164 | 9,374,164 | |

## Demographics
### Ethnicity

The Panadura Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (84.6%) and a significant Moor population (14.1%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%)
Ethnicity in Panadura

### Religion

The Panadura Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.6%) and a significant Muslim population (14.4%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Panadura Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%)
Religion in Panadura