Skill: tangweigang-jpg/insurance-loss-reserving (version 0.3.2)

--- name: insurance-loss-reserving description: |- 用 chainladder-python 做精算损失准备金估算：从历史理赔三角到 IBNR 准备金、 尾部参数拟合。支持再保险 / 巨灾 / 一般责任险多产品线。 license: Proprietary. See LICENSE.txt in project root. compatibility: Designed for Doramagic-host ecosystem (Claude Code / openclaw / Cursor). Requires Python 3.12+ with uv package manager. metadata: version: "v6.1" blueprint_id: "finance-bp-063" compiled_at: "2026-04-22T13:00:20.366204+00:00" capability_markets: "global" capability_activities: "insurance-actuarial" sop_version: "crystal-compilation-v6.1" --- # 保险损失准备金 (insurance-loss-reserving) > 用 chain ladder 方法从历史理赔三角估算 IBNR 准备金——再保险、巨灾、 一般责任险都能跑。 ## Pipeline `data_collection -> data_storage -> factor_computation -> target_selection -> trading_execution -> visualization` ## Top Use Cases (0 total) **Execute trigger**: `When user intent matches intent_router.uc_entries[].positive_terms AND user uses action verb (run/execute/跑/执行/backtest/fetch/collect)` ## What I'll Ask You - Target market: A-share (default), HK, or crypto? (US stocks in ZVT are half-baked — stockus_nasdaq_AAPL exists but coverage is thin) - Data source / provider: eastmoney (free, no account), joinquant (account+paid), baostock (free, good history), akshare, or qmt (broker)? - Strategy type: MACD golden-cross, MA crossover, volume breakout, fundamental screen, or custom factor? - Time range: start_timestamp and end_timestamp for backtest period - Target entity IDs: specific stocks (stock_sh_600000) or index components (SZ1000)? ## Semantic Locks (Fatal) | ID | Rule | On Violation | |---|---|---| | `SL-01` | Execute sell orders before buy orders in every trading cycle | halt | | `SL-02` | Trading signals MUST use next-bar execution (no look-ahead) | halt | | `SL-03` | Entity IDs MUST follow format entity_type_exchange_code | halt | | `SL-04` | DataFrame index MUST be MultiIndex (entity_id, timestamp) | halt | | `SL-05` | TradingSignal MUST have EXACTLY ONE of: position_pct, order_money, order_amount | halt | | `SL-06` | filter_result column semantics: True=BUY, False=SELL, None/NaN=NO ACTION | halt | | `SL-07` | Transformer MUST run BEFORE Accumulator in factor pipeline | halt | | `SL-08` | MACD parameters locked: fast=12, slow=26, signal=9 | halt | Full lock definitions: [references/LOCKS.md](references/LOCKS.md) ## Top Anti-Patterns (15 total) - **`AP-INSURANCE-001`**: Implicit numeric format assumptions without validation - **`AP-INSURANCE-002`**: Triangle axis construction with invalid temporal ordering - **`AP-INSURANCE-003`**: Cumulative/incremental triangle representation misuse All 15 anti-patterns: [references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md](references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md) ## Evidence Quality Notice > [QUALITY NOTICE] This crystal was compiled from blueprint finance-bp-063. Evidence verify ratio = 56.5% and audit fail total = 15. Generated results may have uncaptured requirement gaps. Verify critical decisions against source files (LATEST.yaml / LATEST.jsonl). ## Reference Files | File | Contents | When to Load | |---|---|---| | [references/seed.yaml](references/seed.yaml) | V6+ 全量权威 (source-of-truth) | 有行为/决策争议时必读 | | [references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md](references/ANTI_PATTERNS.md) | 15 条跨项目反模式 | 开始实现前 | | [references/WISDOM.md](references/WISDOM.md) | 跨项目精华借鉴 | 架构决策时 | | [references/CONSTRAINTS.md](references/CONSTRAINTS.md) | domain + fatal 约束 | 规则冲突时 | | [references/USE_CASES.md](references/USE_CASES.md) | 全量 KUC-* 业务场景 | 需要完整示例时 | | [references/LOCKS.md](references/LOCKS.md) | SL-* + preconditions + hints | 生成回测/交易代码前 | | [references/COMPONENTS.md](references/COMPONENTS.md) | AST 组件地图（按 module 拆分）| 查 API 时 | --- *Compiled by Doramagic crystal-compilation-v6.1 from `finance-bp-063` blueprint at 2026-04-22T13:00:20.366204+00:00.* *See [human_summary.md](human_summary.md) for non-technical overview.*


Security scan verdicts — ClawScan: suspicious | static analysis: clean | VirusTotal: clean | SkillSpector: suspicious (CRITICAL)