Modeling risk : applying Monte Carlo risk simulation, strategic real options, stochastic forecasting, and portfolio optimization /
Mun, Johnathan.
Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley,
c2010.
Moving beyond uncertainty -- From risk to riches -- A guide to model-building etiquette -- On the shores of Monaco -- Test driving risk simulator -- Pandora's toolbox -- Extended business cases I : pharmaceutical and biotech negotiations, oil and gas exploration, financial planning with simulation, hospital risk management, risk-based executive compensation valuation, and risk-based schedule planning -- Tomorrow's forecast today -- Using the past to predict the future -- The search for the optimal decision -- Optimization under uncertainty -- What is so real about real options, and why are they optional? -- The black box made transparent : real options super lattice solver software -- Extended business cases II : real estate, banking, military strategy, automotive aftermarkets, global earth observation systems, employee stock options, oil and gas royalty lease negotiations, real options and IT enterprise risk security, Basel II credit and market risk analysis, and IT information security intrusion risk management -- The warning signs -- Changing a corporate culture.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Risk assessment.
Risk assessment
Risk management.
Finance