What About the Future? [electronic resource] : New Perspectives on Planning, Forecasting and Complexity /
Phillips, Fred.author.(orcid)0000-0002-1409-6889https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1409-6889aut
This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future. Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future - before starting to predict things.
This book closely examines the concept and theory of 'future' from a multidisciplinary perspective, focusing on the practice of forecasting, especially in its interaction with complexity. It highlights the relations between forecasting, decision-making and strategy, mixing technical arguments (but minimal mathematics) with ideas from psychology and philosophy. Rich with examples, the book highlights the role of values and attitudes in deciding how to look at the future. Written in a casual but precise style that makes the ideas easily digestible, it helps corporate strategists, practicing futurists, and researchers in the field of strategy or public planning gain a fundamental perspective on the future - before starting to predict things.
What Do We Mean by "the Future"? -- Risk and Uncertainty -- Values and the Future -- Why Do We Want to Know the Future? -- Prediction and Planning -- Seeing the Future: Ideas from Philosophy, Linguistics, and Sociology -- Complexity and the Future -- Analytics and the Future -- Imagination and the Future -- Expertise and the Future -- The Present and the Future -- Policy and the Future -- Attitudes, Expectations, and the Future -- The Future of the Future.
Economic policy.
Market research.
Management.
Risk management.
Operations research.
R & D/Technology Policy.
Market Research/Competitive Intelligence.
Innovation/Technology Management.
Risk Management.
Operations Research/Decision Theory.