Psychology of intelligence analysis /
Heuer, Richards J.
Center for the Study of Intelligence (U.S.)
[Washington, D.C.] : Center for the Study of Intelligence,
1999.
pt. I. Our mental machinery. ch. 1. Thinking about thinking -- ch. 2. Perception : why can't we see what is there to be seen? -- ch. 3. Memory : how do we remember what we know? -- pt. II. Tools for thinking. ch. 4. Strategies for analytical judgement : transcending the limits of incomplete information -- ch. 5. Do you really need more information? -- ch. 6. Keeping an open mind -- ch. 7. Structuring analytical problems -- ch. 8. Analysis of competing hypotheses -- pt. III. Cognitive biases. ch. 9. What are cognitive biases? -- ch. 10. Biases in evaluation of evidence -- ch. 11. Biases in perception of cause and effect -- ch. 12. Biases in estimating probabilities -- ch. 13. Hindsight biases in evaluation of intelligence reporting -- pt. IV. Conclusions. ch. 14. Improving intelligence analysis.
Military intelligence
Human information processing.