North Caucasus : negative trends /
Blandy, Charles.
Defence Academy of the United Kingdom.Research & Assessment Branch.
[Shrivenham, England] : Defence Academy of the United Kingdom,
2009.
The ending of the counter-terrorist operation (KTO) in Chechnya did not mean conclusion of the war against the bandit underground in the North Caucasus. The bandit underground is still alive in Chechnya and increasingly active throughout the North Caucasus. Certain negative, underlying trends are gathering momentum as a result of an increasing cycle of violence. This paper concentrates on the widening cycle of violence and the departure of ethnic Russians to more peaceful regions, which impacts on the economies of the eastern republics in the North Caucasus through the loss of skilled workers.  Indications of an upsurge in Cossack militancy in Krasnodar and Stavropol' Kraya, and a growing concern amongst smaller republics of the potential creation of an enlarged oblast based on Rostov-on-Don, which would come under Cossack control. This would make it more difficult for the indigenous Muslim peoples to preserve their own way of life, customs, and languages.
Cover title.
"October 2009".
Includes bibliographical references (p. 13-16).
Introduction -- The context -- Trend one : cycle of violence -- Trend two : outflow of  ethnic Russians -- Trend three : regional reorganisation -- Russian economic downturn -- Conclusions.
The ending of the counter-terrorist operation (KTO) in Chechnya did not mean conclusion of the war against the bandit underground in the North Caucasus. The bandit underground is still alive in Chechnya and increasingly active throughout the North Caucasus. Certain negative, underlying trends are gathering momentum as a result of an increasing cycle of violence. This paper concentrates on the widening cycle of violence and the departure of ethnic Russians to more peaceful regions, which impacts on the economies of the eastern republics in the North Caucasus through the loss of skilled workers.  Indications of an upsurge in Cossack militancy in Krasnodar and Stavropol' Kraya, and a growing concern amongst smaller republics of the potential creation of an enlarged oblast based on Rostov-on-Don, which would come under Cossack control. This would make it more difficult for the indigenous Muslim peoples to preserve their own way of life, customs, and languages.
Political violence
Cossacks
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