2028년 미국 대통령 선거

선거후_정당 = utc_offset = -5 hours **2028년 미국 대통령선거 (United States Presidential Election 2028)** **2028년 미국 대통령선거는 제61회 미국대통령 선거이며 제48대 미합중국 대통령을 선출하기위해 2028년 11월 7일에 미국전역에서 실시된다.** **이선거에서 당선된 후보는 2029년 1월 20일 제48대 미국 대통령에 취임하게되며 공식적인 임기가 시작된다.** **따라서 제47대 미국 대통령이자 현직 대통령인 도널드 트럼프는 제22차 수정헌법에 의해 연임제한으로 해당선거에 출마할수없게된다.**
# 배경
2025년 1월, 2024년 선거 이후 공화당이 정부 트라이펙을 이루며 재집권했다. 2016년 대통령으로 선출되었으나 2020년 재선 시도에서 조 바이든에게 패배했던 트럼프는 당시 오하이오주 상원의원이었던 J. D. 밴스와 함께 출마하여, 2024년 선거에서 바이든의 불출마 후 캠페인을 시작한 카멀라 해리스 부통령과 미네소타 주지사 팀 월즈를 꺾고 승리했다. 트럼프의 승리는 팬데믹 이후 급등한 인플레이션,access-date=March 15, 2025 멕시코-미국 국경 위기 속 이민자 위기,access-date=March 15, 2025 전 세계적인 반(反)현직 정서의 확산 등에 기인한 것으로 평가되었다.work=Financial Timeswebsite=ABC Newslanguage=en-US 또한, 공화당은 상원에서 4석을 추가 확보하며 3석 차이로 다수당이 되었고, 하원에서도 다수당 지위를 유지했으나 2석을 잃어 총 3석 차이로 근소 우위를 점했다.access-date=November 14, 2024
# 주요 일정
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# 입후보자
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# 선거인단 선거 결과
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# 대통령 선거 결과
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# 지도
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# 여론조사

## 공화주의자

### 골재
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom" |- |Race to the WH |September 22, 2025 | Party shading/Republican | **48.5%** |5.2% |10.8% |4% |3.8% |8.1% |4.7% |14.9% | Party shading/Republican | **Vance +37.7%** |}
### Nationwide
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom"
Cruz ! Ron
DeSantis ! Nikki
Haley ! Robert F.
Kennedy Jr. Registered Independent, left Democratic Party in 2023 ! Vivek
Ramaswamy ! Marco
Rubio ! Donald
TrumpIneligible per 22nd Amendment to the Constitution ! Donald
Trump Jr. ! JD
Vance ! Other ! Undecided |- |Echelon Insights |March 10–13, 2025 |450 (LV) |5% |7% |7% |7% |3% |4% |— |— | Party shading/Republican | **46%** |5%Kristi Noem 2%, Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%, Glenn Youngkin 1%, Josh Hawley 1%, Tim Scott 1% |16% |- | McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 468 (LV) | — | 6% | 3% | — | 4% | 3% | — | 17% | Party shading/Republican | **37%** | 10%Tulsi Gabbard and Kristi Noem with 2%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Larry Hogan, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Rick Scott, and Tim Scott with 1%; Elise Stefanik and Glenn Youngkin with 0% | 22% |- | Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 466 LV | 4% | 10% | 8% | — | 5% | 4% | — | — | Party shading/Republican | **39%** | 10%Kristi Noem and Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 2%; Doug Burgum, Josh Hawley, Tim Scott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Katie Britt and Elise Stefanik with <1%; "Someone else" with 2% | 20% |- | McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 453 (LV) | — | 8% | 2% | — | 3% | 3% | — | 21% | Party shading/Republican |**27%** | 11%Tulsi Gabbard with 3%; Gregg Abbott & Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Larry Hogan, Kristi Noem, Sarah Huckabee Sanders & Tim Scott with 1% | 24% |- | | | |January 20, 2025 | colspan="12" | Second inauguration of Donald Trump |- | McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 463 (LV) | — | 9% | 4% | – | 4% | 2% |— | 21% | Party shading/Republican |**25%** | 9%Tim Scott with 3%; Tulsi Gabbard, Sarah Huckabee Sanders & Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem & Rick Scott with 1%; Larry Hogan & Elise Stefanik with <1% | 24% |- | Morning Consult | December 6–8, 2024 | 994 (RV) | — | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 1% |— | **30%** | **30%** | 19%Greg Abbott, Tucker Carlson, Brian Kemp, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Someone else with 5%; Would not vote with 4% | — |- | Emerson College | November 20–22, 2024 | 420 (RV) | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 23% | — | Party shading/Republican |**30%** | 9%Tulsi Gabbard and Candace Owens with 1%; Elon Musk, and Glenn Youngkin with <1%; Someone else with 5%Musk is not eligible to serve as president as he is not a natural-born citizen | **28%** |- | Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 483 (LV) | 5% | 8% | 9% | — | 9% | 5% | — | — | Party shading/Republican |**37%** | 9%Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 2%; Josh Hawley, Tim Scott, Glenn Youngkin, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Katie Britt, Doug Burgum, and Elise Stefanik with 0%; Someone else with 3% | 18% |- |- | | | |November 5, 2024 | colspan="12" | 2024 United States presidential election held. |- |Echelon Insights |July 19–21, 2024 |456 (LV) |4% |14% |9% | — |10% |2% | | — |Party shading/Republican |**25%** |16%Sarah Huckabee Sanders with 3%; Josh Hawley, and Tim Scott with 2%; Katie Britt, Byron Donalds, and Glenn Youngkin with 1% |Party shading/Undecided |**21%** |- |Echelon Insights |January 16–18, 2024 |832 (RV) |— |Party shading/Republican |**27%** |19% | — |18% |— | | — |1% |18%Tucker Carlson with 6%; Greg Abbott with 3%; Kari Lake and Glenn Youngkin with 2%; Tom Cotton, Byron Donalds, Josh Hawley, Brian Kemp, and Elise Stefanik with 1%; Katie Britt with 0% |17% |- |}
### Statewide

#### Florida
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom"
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear ! JD
Vance ! Ron
DeSantis ! Undecided |- | Fabrizio | February 26–27, 2025 | 600 LV | Party shading/Republican | 47% | 33% | 20% |- |}
## Democratic primary

### Aggregate
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom"
Ocasio-Cortez !Cory Booker !Josh Shapiro !Other !Lead |- |Race to the WH |September 22, 2025 |21.4% |10.2% | party shading/Democratic | **24.8%** |3.1% |8.3% |4.0% |3.7% |24.5% | party shading/Democratic | **Newsom +3.4%** |}
### Nationwide
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom"
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear ! Pete
Buttigieg !Mark Cuban ! Kamala
Harris ! Gavin
Newsom ! Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez ! Josh
Shapiro ! Tim
Walz ! Other ! Undecided |- |Morning Consult |March 14–16, 2025 | |10% |4% | party shading/Democratic | **36%** |5% |5% |4% |5% |23%Mark Cuban 4%, Cory Booker 3%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, JB Pritzker 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Amy Klobuchar 2%, Chris Murphy 1%, Jared Polis 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Wes Moore 1%, Rahm Emanuel 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Ruben Gallego <1%, Someone else 2% |13% |- |Echelon Insights |March 10–13, 2025 |457 (LV) |10% |3% | party shading/Democratic | **33%** |7% |7% |2% |5% |21%Jasmine Crockett 3%, Mark Cuban 3%, JB Pritzker 2%, Gretchen Whitmer 2%, Cory Booker 2%, Andy Beshear 2%, Jared Polis 1%, John Fetterman 1%, Raphael Warnock 1%, Chris Murphy 1%, Jon Stewart 1%, Stephen A Smith <1%, Wes Moore <1% |15% |- | SurveyUSA | February 13–16, 2025 | 835 (RV) | 11% |7% | Party shading/Democratic |**37%** | 9% | 7% | 6% | 0% | 20%Someone else with 11%; Mark Cuban with 7%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Andy Beshear with 3%; Wes Moore with 2%; Phil Murphy with 1% | — |- | McLaughlin & Associates | February 11–18, 2025 | 418 (LV) | 8% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**36%** | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 20%Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Amy Klobuchar with 3%; Roy Cooper, Beto O'Rourke, and JB Pritzker with 2%; Wes Moore, Phil Murphy, Deval Patrick, and Stephen A. Smith with 1%; Jared Polis with 0% | 23% |- | Echelon Insights | February 10–13, 2025 | 447 (LV) | 10% |3% | Party shading/Democratic |**36%** | 6% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 21%Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Mark Cuban with 3%; Cory Booker, Jasmine Crockett, John Fetterman, JB Pritzker, and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Andy Beshear, Ruben Gallego, and Jared Polis with 1%; Wes Moore and Stephen A. Smith with <1%; "Someone else" with 1% | 10% |- | McLaughlin & Associates | January 22–27, 2025 | 414 (LV) | 9% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**33%** | 7% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 23%Amy Klobuchar & Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Cory Booker, Wes Moore, & Stephen A. Smith with 2%; Phil Murphy, Jared Polis, JB Pritzker, & Beto O'Rourke with 1%, Deval Patrick with <1% | 22% |- | | | |January 20, 2025 | colspan="13" | Second inauguration of Donald Trump |- | McLaughlin & Associates | December 11–16, 2024 | 428 (LV) | 12% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**35%** | 7% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 18%JB Pritzker, Gretchen Whitmer & Beto O'Rourke with 3%; Cory Booker with 2%; Amy Klobuchar, Wes Moore, Phil Murphy & Deval Patrick with 1%; Jared Polis with <1% | 19% |- | Emerson College | November 20–22, 2024 | 400 (RV) | 4% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**37%** | 7% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 16%Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Michelle Obama and Bernie Sanders with 2%; Hakeem Jeffries, Wes Moore, JB Pritzker, Jon Stewart, and Rashida Tlaib with 1%; Andy Beshear and Mark Kelly with <1%; Someone else with 4% | 35% |- | Echelon Insights | November 14–18, 2024 | 457 (LV) | 6% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**41%** | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 12%Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; J.B. Pritzker, Andy Beshear, and Cory Booker with 2%; Jared Polis and Wes Moore with 1%; Someone else with 1% | 16% |- | Morning Consult | November 15–17, 2024 | 1,012 (V) | 9% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**43%** | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 23%Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren, and Andy Beshear with 2%; Wes Moore, JB Pritzker, and John Fetterman with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%; "Would not vote" with 6% | — |- | | | |November 5, 2024 | colspan="11" | 2024 United States presidential election held. |- |Morning Consult/Politico |May 28–29, 2024 |3,997 (RV) | 10% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**21%** | 10% | — | 3% | — | 12%Mark Kelly and Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; "Someone else" with 7% | Party shading/Undecided |**41%** |- |Echelon Insights |January 16–18, 2024 |499 (RV) | 13% |— | Party shading/Democratic |**33%** | 11% | — | 2% | — | 12%J. B. Pritzker and Gretchen Whitmer with 3%; John Fetterman, and Raphael Warnock with 2%; Andy Beshear and Wes Moore with 1% | 29% |- |}
### Statewide

#### California
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" |- valign="bottom"
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear ! Cory
Booker ! Pete
Buttigieg ! Kamala
Harris ! Amy
Klobuchar ! Gavin
Newsom ! Josh
Shapiro ! Gretchen
Whitmer ! Other ! Undecided |- | Capitol Weekly | February 6, 2025 | 681 V | 5% | 15% | 15% | 6% | Party shading/Democratic |**27%** | 6% | 6% | 20%JB Pritzker with 1%; Ruben Gallego and Wes Moore with <1%; "Other" with 18% | — |- |}
## General election
{| class="wikitable" |- ! rowspan=2|Poll source ! rowspan=2|Date(s)
administered ! rowspan=2|Sample
sizename="Key" ! Donald Trump
(R)Ineligible per 22nd Amendment to the Constitution ! JD Vance
(R) ! Kamala Harris
(D) ! Gavin Newsom
(D) ! Barack Obama
(D)name=Ineligible ! Josh Shapiro
(D) ! Gretchen Whitmer
(D) ! rowspan=2|Undecided |- ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | ! data-sort-type="number" | |- | Change Research | March 10, 2025 | | 42% | | | | Party shading/Democratic | **49%** | | | 9% |- | | | |January 20, 2025 | colspan="9" | Second inauguration of Donald Trump |- |rowspan=4| On Point/SoCal Strategies |rowspan=4| December 23, 2024 |rowspan=4| 656 (A) | | 41% | Party shading/Democratic | **43%** | | | | | 16% |- | | Party shading/Republican | ** 37%** | | 34% | | | | 29% |- | | Party shading/Republican | ** 37%** | | | | 34% | | 29% |- | | Party shading/Republican | ** 40%** | | | | | 33% | 26% |- | American Pulse Research & Polling | December 17–20, 2024 | 661 (LV) | | 46% | Party shading/Democratic | **47%** | | | | | 7% |}
# 통계

## 주별 결과
{| class="wikitable" ! rowspan="2" | 지역 !! rowspan="2" | 선거인단 수 !! colspan="2" | (민주당 후보) !! colspan="2" | (공화당 후보) |- ! 득표 수 !! 득표율 !! 득표 수 !! 득표율 |- | 앨라배마 || align="center" | 9 || || || || |- | 알래스카 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 애리조나 || align="center" | 11 || || || || |- | 아칸소 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 캘리포니아 || align="center" | 54 || || || || |- | 콜로라도 || align="center" | 10 || || || || |- | 코네티컷 || align="center" | 7 || || || || |- | 델라웨어 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 플로리다 || align="center" | 30 || || || || |- | 조지아 || align="center" | 16 || || || || |- | 하와이 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 아이다호 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 일리노이 || align="center" | 19 || || || || |- | 인디애나 || align="center" | 11 || || || || |- | 아이오와 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 캔자스 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 켄터키 || align="center" | 8 || || || || |- | 루이지애나 || align="center" | 8 || || || || |- | 메인 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 메릴랜드 || align="center" | 10 || || || || |- | 매사추세츠 || align="center" | 11 || || || || |- | 미시간 || align="center" | 15 || || || || |- | 미네소타 || align="center" | 10 || || || || |- | 미시시피 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 미주리 || align="center" | 10 || || || || |- | 몬태나 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 네브래스카 || align="center" | 5 || || || || |- | 네바다 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 뉴햄프셔 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 뉴저지 || align="center" | 14 || || || || |- | 뉴멕시코 || align="center" | 5 || || || || |- | 뉴욕 || align="center" | 28 || || || || |- | 노스캐롤라이나 || align="center" | 16 || || || || |- | 노스다코타 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 오하이오 || align="center" | 17 || || || || |- | 오클라호마 || align="center" | 7 || || || || |- | 오리건 || align="center" | 8 || || || || |- | 펜실베이니아 || align="center" | 19 || || || || |- | 로드아일랜드 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 사우스캐롤라이나 || align="center" | 9 || || || || |- | 사우스다코타 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 테네시 || align="center" | 11 || || || || |- | 텍사스 || align="center" | 40 || || || || |- | 유타 || align="center" | 6 || || || || |- | 버몬트 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 버지니아 || align="center" | 13 || || || || |- | 워싱턴 || align="center" | 12 || || || || |- | 웨스트버지니아 || align="center" | 4 || || || || |- | 위스콘신 || align="center" | 10 || || || || |- | 와이오밍 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- | 컬럼비아 특별구 || align="center" | 3 || || || || |- ! 전국 || 538 || || || || |}
## 출구조사
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