Title: Helicobacter eradication to prevent ulcer bleeding in aspirin users: a large simple randomised controlled trial (HEAT)
Funder: Department of Health and Social Care

Abstract: HEAT (Helicobacter Eradication Aspirin Trial) is a large simple double-blind placebo controlled outcomes study of Helicobacter pylori eradication to prevent ulcer bleeding in aspirin users. It will be run by the University of Nottingham, with recruiting centres across the UK. This trial will take place in approximately 57 PCTs and 12 CLRNs, and is funded by the NIHR HTA Programme. Aspirin use is widespread and increasing in elderly patients. The main hazard is gastrointestinal bleeding, which may be increasing because of increasing aspirin use. This trial is based on evidence that peptic ulcer bleeding in aspirin users occurs predominantly in H. pylori positive people. Patients will be identified by their GPs, then asked to attend an appointment with a Research Nurse to consent to the trial and take a H. pylori breath test. Those with a positive result will be randomised to receive a one week course of either eradication treatment or placebo. No follow-up visits are required, but instead information will be extracted from the patients’ electronic medical record using the MiQuest search tool. The trial will continue until 96 adjudicated events (hospitalisation because of definite or probable peptic ulcer bleeding) have occurred, which would occur after a mean 2.5 patient years of follow-up, if trial assumptions are correct.

Lay abstract: BACKGROUND: Aspirin use is widespread and increasing in elderly patients. The main hazard is gastrointestinal bleeding, the incidence of which is rising, probably because of increased aspirin use. The proposed trial is based on evidence that peptic ulcer bleeding in aspirin users occurs predominantly in people infected with the ulcerogenic bacterium, Helicobacter pylori. Our hypothesis is that low doses of aspirin do not cause ulcers in the way that high doses do. Instead we think that H. pylori causes the ulcer and aspirin, by thinning the blood, makes it bleed. If the bacterium is eradicated the patient will not get an ulcer and therefore there is no increased bleeding risk with aspirin. Development of the trial protocol has been based on results of a preparatory MRC-funded 2525 patient pilot study which had a 47% patient response rate. This enabled us to design the currently proposed large simple outcomes study to investigate directly the hypothesis that a one week course of H. pylori eradication will halve the rate of hospitalisation due to ulcer bleeding over ~2.5 years in aspirin users. TRIAL CONDUCT: A large number of patients (~120,000), using aspirin <326 mg daily will be invited to participate. Suitable respondents (~40,000) who are H. pylori positive (~10,000) will give consent (including access to HES and ONS mortality data) and be randomised to eradication treatment or placebo. There will be no follow-up trial visits for 90% of patients. Instead the MiQuest tool, developed to interrogate different GP electronic databases, will be used together with direct patient notification to identify all possible ulcer bleeding admissions. An expert panel will use validated methodology to adjudicate whether patients have suffered ulcer bleeding (primary endpoint). The trial will continue until 96 positively adjudicated events have occurred, to ensure it has the power to answer the question of whether H. pylori eradication reduces the risk of ulcer bleeding.

Research activity codes: 6.1 PHARMACEUTICALS
Health categories: INFECTION;ORAL AND GASTROINTESTINAL