Caractérisation de la composante toxicocinétique du facteur d’ajustement pour la variabilité interindividuelle utilisé en analyse du risque toxicologique

A default uncertainty factor of 10 is used in toxicological risk assessment to account for human variability, and the toxicokinetic component of this factor corresponds to a value of square root of 10, or 3,16. The adequacy of this value has been studied in the literature on the basis of pharmaceutical data obtained in various subpopulations (e.g. adults, children, elderly). Indeed, it is possible to compare the default value of 3,16 to the Human Kinetic Adjustment Factor (HKAF), computed as the ratio of an upper percentile value (e.g. 95th) of the distribution of internal dose metrics in presumed sensitive subpopulation to its median in adults, or alternatively an entire population. However, human experimental data on environmental contaminants are sparse. Besides, these chemicals generally exhibit characteristics that are quite different as compared to drugs. As a result, it is difficult to extrapolate, for pollutants, estimates of HKAF that were made using data on drugs. To solve this problem, physiologically-based toxicokinetic (PBTK) modeling  has been used to simulate interindividual variability in internal dose metrics following exposure to xenobiotics. However, studies realized to date have not systematically evaluated the impact of the exposure conditions (route, duration and intensity), the physico/biochemical properties of the chemicals, and the characteristics of the exposed population, on the HKAF, and thus the adequacy of the default value. This thesis aims at compensating this lack of knowledge.  First, a probabilistic PBTK model was used to simulate, by means of Monte Carlo simulations, the interindividual variability in internal dose metrics (i.e. in adults, children, elerly, pregnant women) following the oral, inhalation or dermal exposure to drinking water contaminants, taken separately. Second, a similar model was used to simulate this variability following inhalation exposures of various durations and intensities to air contaminants. Then, a probabilistic steady-state algorithm was used to estimate interindividual variability in internal dose metrics for chronic exposures to hypothetical contaminants exhibiting different physico/biochemical properties. These include volatility, the fraction metabolized, the metabolic pathway by which they are biotransformed and oral bioavailability. Finally, the impact of a population’s demographic characteristics and the referent considered on the HKAF for chronic inhalation exposure was studied, also using a probabilistic steady-state algorithm. The distributions of internal dose metrics that were generated for every scenario simulated were used to compute the HKAF as described above. This study has pointed out the determinants of the toxicokinetic sensitivity considering a given subpopulation and dose metric. It allowed identifying determinants of the numeric value of the HKAF, thus cases for which it exceeded the default value of 3,16. This happened almost exclusively in neonates and on the basis of the parent compound. Overall, this study has contributed to the field of toxicological risk assessment by characterizing the HKAF as a function of various considerations.

Keyphrases: Exposure conditions, Interindividual variability, Internal dose, Metabolic pathways, Monte Carlo simulations, Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modeling, Risk assessment, Uncertainty factor