MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
Show HN: Outsmart – a 5-round betting game against the computer
by davidbauer | 2026-03-13 08:49:39+00:00
I little browser game I built. You play against the computer (more on that below).

Both start with 100 points. Over 5 rounds, your goal is to get to 3 wins first. Each round, whoever bets more points, gets the win. After round one, only the winning bet is revealed, so you have to start making assumptions. It becomes a game of strategy and deception.

I'm still tweaking the computer strategy. In the latest version, humans win 53% of games, and there might still be strategies that will let you win most games. So if you find one such exploit: 1. Congrats! 2. Let me know so I can make the game harder for everyone after you :-)
by kjksf | 2026-03-13 08:50:07+00:00
It's not that complicated: statistics matter.

5% of people create 90% of the crime. Double 5% to 10% and you double the crime. Make it 50% and and you 10x the crime.

You still have 50% of non-criminals but society with 50% criminals has way more crime than society with 5% criminals.

You might say high-crime society is much worse than low-crime society even though they both have individuals that are criminals and non-criminals.

Replace "crime" with "trust" and you understand high-trust vs. low-trust society. They both have individuals with various levels of trust, but emergent behavior driven by statistics creates a very different society.

> there's no difference between "truly creative work" and "truly creative and profitable work"

To state the obvious, the difference is "profit".

Also I don't see you're bringing the "true scottsman" judgement here. What's the difference between "creative" and "truly creative" work. Who gets to decide what is "truly creative" vs. merely "creative".
by aziaziazi | 2026-03-13 08:51:14+00:00
IMHO the Chèvre (goat) [0] and Morbier (bleu) [1] from Jay and Joy are very close. They also comes a bit cheaper in non-organic version [2]. I mostly buy from those guys but the curious may try a few from their local brands: when talking about cheese every recipe is has it's subtlety.

0 https://www.jay-joy.com/collections/affine/products/le-jeann...

1 https://www.jay-joy.com/collections/affine/products/jil-from...

2 https://www.lesnouveauxaffineurs.com/
by jonplackett | 2026-03-13 08:51:15+00:00
> He is going to go through System Settings, panel by panel, and adjust everything he can adjust just to see how he likes it

10 year old me identifies with this so much.

I managed to get the computer to display 256 colours instead of the 16 it had been set up with. Everyone was impressed and this meant I was now allowed to take the computer apart and put it back together again without anyone being scared.
by satisfice | 2026-03-13 08:51:32+00:00
“I directed the argument.”

The problem is I don’t know that, and I’m not convinced the author can know that either. Perhaps it influenced him in ways he is not aware.

My policy is I never let AI draft anything I write. It’s all my voice and my constructions. If I quote AI I will make that explicit. I do allow AI to review and complain about my work, but not to make any changes.

I don’t want anyone to be justified in questioning my authenticity the way I am justified in questioning the authenticity of this author.
by MagicMoonlight | 2026-03-13 08:51:38+00:00
That raises an interesting point. Imagine we have helper bots or sex bots and they get someone killed or rape them or something. Who is held responsible?

These current “AI” implementations could easily harm a person if they had a robot body. And unlike a car it’s hard to blame it on the owner, if the owner is the one being harmed.
by bnlxbnlx | 2026-03-13 08:52:32+00:00
> I keep thinking about the version of me from a few years ago. He was worse at almost everything. Worse writer, worse thinker, worse at making things. Nobody really knew him and nobody really cared what he had to say. And yet he had so much more courage.

I would not agree that that earlier version had necessarily more courage. If no one cared than the associated risk is also lower, and thus less courage needed.

I overall agree with how important the courage to do stuff that might make you look stupid is, though.
by markild | 2026-03-13 08:53:10+00:00
I'd agree it is about the Neo in the sense that the device and the talk around it obviously triggered this post.

I don't think the author is exactly bashing the Chromebook. I'm reading it in that the author praise an open ecosystem where you have flexibility and the choice to "take off the guard rails" and go where the device was not originally made to take you.

There's an argument to be made that it is ironic that Apple is the example of this, but to me that shows why I _still_ like MacOS, when all the other variants (iPadOS and iOS) are entirely locked down.
by zimpenfish | 2026-03-13 08:53:11+00:00
I saw a video about popular/influential/most-used samples the other week[0] and it mentioned James Brown becoming aware of sampling (I guess mid-late 90s?) and specifically making sure that anything he thought might be sample-able was "clean" from that point on.

[0] GFL finding anything in YouTube history / search these days hence no link. Wasn't from Synthet, I don't think.
by adrian_b | 2026-03-13 08:53:31+00:00
Orient means "rising", so it can be used as an abbreviation when referring to the direction of the rising Sun.

Occident means "falling", so it can be used as an abbreviation when referring to the direction of the falling Sun.

"Orientate" is more correct etymologically to be used as a verb than "orient" ("rising"), and it comes for an expression that described how something is raised towards a certain direction.

I think that the reason why the verb "orient" has come to be preferred by some was that "orientated" seemed like a mouthful, so it was abbreviated to "oriented", whence a verb "orient" has been back-formed.
by timr | 2026-03-13 08:53:56+00:00
> Which leaves as observation, you can only do truly creative work - in a high trust society, where people trust you with the resources and leave you alone, after a initial proof of ability.

I don’t know about “high trust”, but I can say with confidence that the “make more mistakes” thesis misses a critical point: evolutionary winnowing isn’t so great if you’re one of the thousands of “adjacent” organisms that didn’t survive. Which, statistically, you will be.

Point being, mistakes have a cost, and while it can be smart to try to eliminate that cost in certain scenarios (amateur painting), it can be a terrible idea in other contexts (open-heart surgery). Pick your optimization algorithm wisely.

What you’re characterizing as “low trust” is, in most cases, a system that isn’t trying to optimize for creativity, and that’s fine. You don’t want your bank to be “creative” with accounting, for example.
by thinkingemote | 2026-03-13 08:54:36+00:00
Is this the same split that was visible before? Because there was a big one.

There was a visible split during the booms when there not enough skilled programmers and when people started choosing coding for the money not the work. When companies advertised starting positions based on salary alone and offering on the job training. This went hand in hand with motivations for hiring people if they hit non-skill based metrics. Then you were working side by side with people who didn't know how to use spreadsheets or a terminal when they started but who because adequate coders eventually using the training and tools given and happy with their salary.

I suspect it's basically about neural pathways towards dopamine.
by EigenFluxAI | 2026-03-13 08:55:05+00:00
This is such a thoughtful solution to the context rot problem that plagues every AI coding agent workflow—easily the most frustrating pain point of Copilot/agent-based dev right now.
Building the entire system around plain Markdown + Git is a masterstroke: no proprietary databases, diffable/mergeable task state, and a permanent audit trail that lives right in the repo. Ditching a custom agent harness to work natively with Copilot’s existing tooling is also huge—no new workflows to learn, just augmenting what devs already use.
The plan/todo/implement verb flow feels intuitive, and the Kanban board as a lightweight IDE layer (not a full PM replacement) hits the sweet spot for developer-centric task management. Curious if there’s any plan to add cross-task linking or template support for common task types (e.g., bug fixes, feature adds) in the Markdown frontmatter?
This fixes a critical gap in AI-assisted dev—great work building something so focused and usable!
by iugtmkbdfil834 | 2026-03-13 08:55:22+00:00
I don't know if it is a trend, but I did notice a larger willingness in FOSS to be uncooperative with more common response to suggestions/questions being "if you don't like it, fork it". I almost wonder if advent of llms prompted people to be more comfortable with saying 'I am building this based on my needs'.
by pjmlp | 2026-03-13 08:55:25+00:00
Except you are missing the part that CLR has a type system designed specifically for cross language interop, and is taken into account on the design of WinRT as well.

Common Language Specification - https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_Language_Specificat...

> The CLS was designed to be large enough to include the language constructs that are commonly needed by developers, yet small enough that most languages are able to support it. Any language construct that makes it impossible to quickly confirm the type safety of code was excluded from the CLS so that all languages that can work with CLS can produce verifiable code if they choose to do so.

WinRT Type System - https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/uwp/winrt-cref/winrt-type-...
by jll29 | 2026-03-13 08:55:56+00:00
> I do definitely believe that a large number of ‘innocent’ people are criminals (by the letter of the law) without their knowledge.

Because of that (or rather, to sort out the mess), I always felt that citizens should have a right to be informed of every law that they are expected to obey so that at least in principle, they'd be able to comply (to be effective, plain language explanations would need to be included).

Imagine an app that told you, whenever you cross state boundaries, what is different in the law now from your previous location.
by pod_krad | 2026-03-13 08:56:26+00:00
>a search engine always gives multiple results and it is on me to read and compare. i usually look at the first half a dozen or so results

Why do you think they're the best? You just trust the search engine, right?

>the problem, again, is that an LLM answer does not have the quality of a well written article you may find elsewhere

When I ask LLM about something, it usually returns several URLs usually, if there are different opinions.
by bonoboTP | 2026-03-13 08:58:00+00:00
This shows the downside of using AI to write up your project. I see the eloquent sentences, but don't get the message.

> This works, but the actual execution happened outside the model. The model specified the computation, then waited for an external system to carry it out.
> Our transformer also emits a program, but instead of pausing for an external tool, it executes that program itself, step by step, within the same transformer.

What's the benefit? Is it speed? Where are the benchmarks? Is it that you can backprop through this computation? Do you do so?

Why is it good that it's "inside" the model? Just making it more elegant and nice? The tool was already "inside" the overall hybrid system. What's the actual problem?
by f055 | 2026-03-13 08:59:57+00:00
You learn the most from failure and the least from success. Likewise, you grow the most from pushing through the limits and the least from living in abundance. You can do pretty much anything on a full spec Mac Studio, but so can anyone else with a lot of money. But if you push through the limit of a MacBook Neo, you just did something no one else was able to do. And that is awesome.
by larodi | 2026-03-13 09:00:46+00:00
I've done a lot of these visual helpers for my classes (topics vary). This one teaches the Mercator projection and how the ln acts upon the central

https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/1bded4db-c4c2-4089-aa36-5...

Honestly, I initially thought that everyone already does it, amazing it seems they don't yet - neither teachers, nor class. The artefact was created with care and love through a very long conversation, so this is not a 1-shot slop, rather a cared-for-slop :D. Besides I don't think it is easy to get this right from the first time, and the model usually expounds on the irrelevant details if not properly guided by a human hand.
by simonh | 2026-03-13 09:01:27+00:00
Very true. In a way this is demonstrating the tradeoff between cost, repairability and size/weight.

The Neo is getting a lot of praise because it's all modular and screwed together. That should make it very easy to repair and also for Apple to do iterative upgrades, but that makes it bigger and heavier and size/weight does matter to people. Hence this thread.
by xp84 | 2026-03-13 09:01:56+00:00
You just explained in your second paragraph how one party would block PR statehood for no valid reason, not because it shouldn't be one, but because it would presumably advantage Dems. That is literally what I said: any change gets blocked for fear it would advantage the other guys. And whether it's "always worked that way" doesn't make it right. A fair system would have said that an existing territory with enough people that can organize a government and vote to join the union must be admitted, to avoid those shenanigans. Leaving them unrepresented is embarrassing.

And your first paragraph bit about taxes sounds like it's quoted from an anti-statehood propaganda flyer. PR has high taxes today -- an 11.5% sales tax, and a high local income tax, because PR has to pay for everything itself, and because Congress screws them over, such as refusing bailouts when natural disasters devastate the island. Many states receive significant money from the Federal government that PR doesn't get. If it were a state, some people would have to pay some federal income tax, but it would not be automatically a worse tax burden.
by EvansWilson | 2026-03-13 09:02:04+00:00
## The Trade Nobody Wants to Talk About

I noticed something in the *Berkshire Hathaway 13F Filing Q4 2025* that the mainstream financial press glossed over. Everyone obsessed over Apple getting trimmed — again — but the real tell is the direction of the money that replaced it. Chevron ($CVX) got a 6.6% add. Chubb ($CB) got a 9.3% add. Domino's Pizza got bumped too. Meanwhile, Amazon got absolutely torched — a staggering 77.2% reduction. This isn't portfolio rebalancing. This is a thesis change.

## Selling Silicon, Buying Steel and Crude

This reminds me of a playbook I've seen before. When Buffett rotates away from high-multiple tech and into energy and insurance, he's not making a sector bet — he's making an inflation bet. Chevron generates hard cash in a world where energy supply remains structurally constrained. Chubb prices risk in real time; when macro uncertainty is elevated, insurers print money on premium hikes. The Amazon exit is even more telling: that's not a "trimming the fat" move, that's a conviction exit from a name trading on future optionality rather than present earnings. Cash is king, and when Buffett swaps optionality for cash flows, you pay attention.

## The 2008 Ghost

Here's where it gets interesting. In late 2007 and early 2008, Berkshire was also quietly building cash, reducing equity exposure, and rotating into plain-vanilla businesses. Then in September 2008, Buffett deployed $5B into Goldman Sachs in forty-eight hours. He wasn't pessimistic — he was patient. The *Berkshire Hathaway 13F Filing Q4 2025* shows the same pre-coil energy. $325B in cash, systematic reduction of tech exposure, and a new position opened in The New York Times ($NYT) — of all things — which trades at a fraction of where the AI-darling media disruptors sit. What strikes me is that this isn't fear. This is a man who has seen this movie before and already knows which scene comes next.

## What the Energy Bet Is Actually Saying

The Chevron add isn't about oil prices. It's about what causes oil prices to stay elevated — geopolitical friction, dollar debasement risk, and energy transition timelines that have consistently been pushed out. Buffett isn't bullish on crude futures. He's bearish on the idea that the next decade looks anything like the 2010s. Cheap money, infinite tech multiples, and frictionless globalization — that whole era may be the anomaly, not the baseline.

So here's the question I'd leave every reader with: if the most patient capital allocator in history is getting more conservative heading into 2026, not less — what exactly are you expecting to happen that he isn't?
by Tklaaaalo | 2026-03-13 09:02:15+00:00
You are thanking me for what?

That your simple view of this war doesn't align with my more broader view of the war?

But to be very very clear: fu USA. I assumed, as a young perosn that we germany and USA were allies (you know ww2 etc.) and then I learned how USA sees itself as the world police.

And how the USA controls mmilitary stations around the world, how the USA CIA was responsible for the drug lords in Mexico ,how the USA overthrew Iran and replaced it with a USA friendly person on purpose.

How the FBI? or CIA created the Una-bomber.

How the USA threw nuclear weapons onto Japan (i was there, i saw what that did).

And now how the USA throws a tantrum by voting in the most narcisistic president in the world and just fucks over the world.

Feel free to stand with America, i do not. I do not stand with Iran either though and especially not with Israel.
by nottorp | 2026-03-13 09:02:30+00:00
> Why? They're completely unneeded, I can do (and WANT to do) that myself.

Do you WANT to do that?

I've tried to run my own items at the corner store via the automatic checkout. Whenever I buy lightweight items or items that lose weight during the day (fresh bread) the anti fraud weighing system lights up. And I like my fresh bread.

So I've gone back to the one manned checkout. Judging by the lines I get sometimes, so have most other customers.
by watwut | 2026-03-13 09:02:32+00:00
> > The public is slightly fearful and wary of AI based not on their experience with it, but because the only picture they have of it in their mind is the negative one.

Imo, public is fearful and wary of AI, because tech industry run years long campaign making sure it will happen. All that while forcing AI use in completely ridiculous places. And all the while really making everyone understand that in general, tech industry is run by a bunch of sociopaths.

That kind of triple combo is guaranteed to produce fear.
by crashbunny | 2026-03-13 09:02:47+00:00
not the first instance.

This was 2023 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lPUBXN2Fd_E&t=19s

A dude in the usa was arrested in a casino by police because the casino's facial recognition software said he had been trespassed before. He hadn't. I think there was height differences and eye colour difference. The police still arrested him, booked him. I think the prosecutors took it to trial.
by cableshaft | 2026-03-13 09:04:01+00:00
I did choose to do it, so it wasn't a nightmare. I was wanting extra guidance on what to include, and so I asked them (while they both weren't busy), they gave me feedback, I did that in like a minute or two with A.I. (when normally it would have taken me a lot longer), so I showed them and was like 'how's this?' and they said 'could you change it to be like this?' etc back and forth for about 45 minutes. It was about the equivalent of a call except it was over Slack and I could provide something they could look at quickly.

What could be considered to be a nightmare, perhaps, is suddenly feeling like 'uh oh, is this going to be the new normal. Will I have to keep doing this all the time now, or else they think I'm not getting any work done?'
by oleggromov | 2026-03-13 09:05:15+00:00
> He is going to go through System Settings, panel by panel, and adjust everything he can adjust just to see how he likes it. He is going to make a folder called “Projects” with nothing in it. He is going to download Blender because someone on Reddit said it was free, and then stare at the interface for forty-five minutes.

Brilliant. Thank you for that.
by Tklaaaalo | 2026-03-13 09:05:55+00:00
It costs a lot of money to train one person to learn stuff.

We are already now in the time were training one LLM seems to be more cost effective to train for everything than training a million people the same thing over and over (after all, people loose knowledge when they get replaced).

LLM don't even need to become AGI to continue this trend. They just need to be good enough 'executors' of these tasks we expected people to do.

Which also means that every new job, which needs any form of training, will not be created because we will train ONE llm (or three, doesn't matter) to do it right and again you optimized the new people away.
by sayamqazi | 2026-03-13 09:05:57+00:00
> How many of us have a reminiscence that starts “looking back, the most life-changing part of my primary or secondary education was ________,”

For me it was a website with turotirals on how to make flash games. It literally launched my career and improved the quality of life for my whole family by an order of magnitude.

I am primarily the naysayer of AI but I admit that current LLMs could have easily replicated the whole website.
by jart | 2026-03-13 09:07:28+00:00
It would be more helpful to say don't buy options once the trade is obvious. As soon as something has hit the FOMO phase and IV skyrockets and all strikes cost the same, that's a sign you're too late and might want to bet against your thesis or use a different instrument. The financial shoggoths do a reasonably good job ensuring there's no free money. However they're obligated to trade regardless of conditions and sometimes that's their weakness.
by ajb | 2026-03-13 09:08:04+00:00
Buffer size is the product of bandwidth and delay, so if communicating with something close, it can still go fast.

Had an illustration of this once when my then-employers IT dept set up the desktop IP phones to update from a TFTP server on the other continental land mass. Since TFTP only allows one outstanding packet, everyone outside head office had to wait a long time for their phone to update, while head office didn't see any issue.
by krautburglar | 2026-03-13 09:08:48+00:00
This is barbarianism. This is Babel. Too many dunces trying to turn VT220 into Google Chrome. The long-term effect: the ruination of terminals. You can already see it. Try to run newer terminal apps on classic hardware terminals. Most of the time, you just get garbage, since nobody seems to bother to even check termcap anymore. They just directly shit out whatever bleeding-edge escapes that vte/iterm2/ghostty or other barbarianisms support as of the last five minutes.

If you want something half-way between VT220 and Google Chrome, please be original and make something new, rather than wiping your butt on a standard that is still somewhat functioning.
by BrunoVT1992 | 2026-03-13 09:09:05+00:00
GUIDs are the most widely supported identifiers across databases, APIs and programming languages. However, some systems use Cuid (Collision-resistant Unique Identifier) or its successor Cuid2 as alternatives to achieve sortable, URL-safe, and collision-resistant identifiers optimized for distributed systems.

For the safest, standards-based choice, use GUID / UUID v4 (fully random) or GUID / UUID v7 (time-ordered for databases). Consider Cuid2 when you need sortable, collision-resistant IDs for horizontal scaling and don't require RFC compliance.