by varrd1 | 2026-03-08 00:52:15+00:00
Everyone's using AI to write code, generate images, build apps. But nobody's using it for the most obvious thing — making money in the markets.

Think about it. ChatGPT can write a legal brief, pass the bar exam, debug your entire codebase. But ask it "is buying SPY when RSI drops below 20 a real edge?" and you get a hallucinated essay with made-up statistics. It'll confidently tell you "historically this has produced a 73% win rate" and it completely fabricated that number.

So the current state of "AI for trading" is:

1. ChatGPT makes up statistics that sound plausible
2. YouTube gurus show you backtests they curve-fit until they looked good
3. QuantConnect lets you test properly but takes 16 hours and you need to code
4. You have to pay for a quant team
5. You just wing it based on vibes

Most people pick option 5.

The problem isn't AI. The problem is nobody connected AI to real data with real statistical testing.

We did. It's called VARRD. You talk to it like you'd talk to a friend who happens to be a quant at Citadel.

"Hey, I noticed tech stocks always seem to dip in September. Is that real?"

And instead of making something up, it actually goes and checks. Loads the real price data. Finds every September in the last 15 years. Measures what happened. Runs the statistics. Tells you if it's real or if you're seeing patterns in noise.

3 minutes. Not 3 days. Not 3 weeks of learning Python.

Here's what that actually looks like:

You see on the news that oil is spiking but energy stocks aren't moving. That feels wrong. You ask: "When crude rips but XLE doesn't follow, does XLE catch up?"

You get back: it's happened 47 times in 10 years. 34 times XLE caught up within a week. Here's the average gain. Here's where to get in. Here's where to put your stop loss so you don't get destroyed if it doesn't work this time. Here's your take profit level. And here's the math proving this isn't a fluke.

That last part matters. Because the dirty secret of retail trading is that almost everything that "looks like an edge" is actually random noise that happened to fit the data.

And here's the part that breaks people's brains — it's not the finance PhDs finding the best edges. It's regular people who pay attention to specific markets. A grain trader who notices soybeans drop after every USDA report. A nurse who knows more about medical devices and noticed one just came out with a good one. They had real insight. They just never had a way to prove it until now.

"Edge decay" in plain English: Edges don't last forever. A pattern that worked for 5 years might die tomorrow because the conditions that caused it changed. That's why the system tells you not just "this worked historically" but "this is still working on recent data." If it stopped working, you want to know before you bet on it. Not after.

Why this wasn't possible before:

Goldman Sachs tests ideas like this every day. They have floors of PhDs, proprietary data, and infrastructure that costs millions. That capability simply didn't exist outside of institutions. The tools available to retail traders were either too expensive, too slow, too complex, or straight up lying to you with curve-fit backtests.

The gap between "I have a hunch" and "I have a statistically validated trade setup" used to require a quant team. Now it requires a sentence.

Let it loop all night while you sleep and get edges and then get told when those are happening without you having to scan markets for indicators.

www.varrd.com — you can try it right now.