MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by whatshisface | 2026-02-28 20:21:34+00:00
>What puzzles me is how for many years it was predicted that this was going to happen and that in spite of the warnings it still did. I just don't get it.

Let's say that there are twelve doughnuts in the box. You see someone eat one, and there are 11, 10, 9... and when there are six, you make a prediction: we're going to run out of doughnuts.

A few minutes later, after a late burst of doughnut-grabbing (putting the exhaustion of the box ahead of schedule), it happens. What's the best way to understand this experience?

A) People were removing doughnuts from the box without knowing what would happen. You were the only one who understood how to count in reverse (a skill not ordinarily taught in public schools), and revealed a truth they might not have even understood - until it occurred before their eyes.

B) You revealed a consistent desire to eat doughnuts and a social norm that permitted it, which held true minute after minute, both before and after you published. That's excellent science. They knew they were eating doughnuts, and they wanted them. Their knowledge of the running-out effect, possibly discovered earlier in internal studies, drove them to accelerate the process at the end, rushing to grab the last one before the competition did.

I would suggest, (B).
by mark_l_watson | 2026-02-28 20:21:40+00:00
>> Drawing on the work of Robert Reich, William I. Robinson, Yanis Varoufakis, and others, alongside historian Heather Cox Richardson

Good references to use!

I used to enjoy the All In Podcast a lot, but since two of the 'besties' joined Team Trump, it has become clear to me just how self serving they are.
by Bender | 2026-02-28 20:21:57+00:00
But there's nowhere to go...

Murmur (server) or uMurmur (lightweight server with admin pre-assigned fixed channels) and Mumble (client) is where gamers of any kind could go. uMurmur can run on a Linux router. There are no paid options Murmur / Mumble are free to self host and use.

About [0] Download [1] Builds for Linux, Mac, Windows

Pros:

- High quality voice, low CPU requirements, low memory footprint.

Cons:

- No flashy gifs, stickers, colors. Very simple colors. Hard to get people to use it if their friends are on Discord.

[0] - https://www.mumble.info/

[1] - https://dl.mumble.info/stable/
by politician | 2026-02-28 20:23:29+00:00
The OP said that they kept what they liked and discarded the rest. I think that's a reasonable definition for signal; so, the signal-to-token ratio would be a simple ratio of (tokens committed)/(tokens purchased). You could argue that any tokens spent exploring options or refining things could be signal and I would agree, but that's harder to measure after the fact. We could give them a flat 10x multiplier to capture this part if you want.
by coldtea | 2026-02-28 20:23:32+00:00
>Nothing persuaded me that he had anything interesting to add - neither rationally, nor aesthetically - about a topic which has been covered by philosophers throughout the millennia.

That sounds more like an emotionally charge reaction than some calm assessment on the merits of the book for what it stands.

Especially when the idea here is that he presents his idiosyncratic vision of the concept of “truth" - not some claim that he solves the problem of truth "which has been covered by philosophers throughout the millennia", and which could very well be inherently unsolvable anyway.

A writer (even more so, an artist with a unique viewpoints) can add lots of very interesting observations and new ways of seeing the concept of truth or our approaches to it, even when they do it "in the small", without taking on or pretending to tackling the philosophical / ontological core issue.

It's even more useful if an author says some things that rub you off the wrong way, or challenge your core tenets. Else, I guess one cal always just resort to some echo bubble friendly comfort reading.
by pixl97 | 2026-02-28 20:23:43+00:00
You need to go back and research AI safety long before LLMs were a thing. Any complex goal driven system will have outcomes that cannot be predicted. Saying "it's a mathematical model" belies your ignorance of behavior in complex systems. Very tiny changes in initial conditions can have vastly different outcome in results and you don't have enough entropy in the visible universe to test them all.
by marcosdumay | 2026-02-28 20:23:51+00:00
> but there are still two power centers emerging

Yes. There is US and Israel in one side, and countries trying to maintain relationships with everybody on the other.

The most ridiculous thing about people claiming that BRICS is a military pole is that it has both India and China right there in the name. I don't know if you noticed, but those two almost got in an open war just in the last 6 months.
by rdtsc | 2026-02-28 20:24:21+00:00
> Or just do the thing that maximizes his leverage, gratifies his ego, and pleases his boss.

It doesn't really work that way. Both parties want something from each other. If he is not "overcome by a sudden good faith" judgement all of the sudden no more Windows updates and it's RHEL Linux for everyone. Or if IBM says no, then what? Write your own OS? The system doesn't really work as a charity, it's corrupt but parties want something from each other. If he knows they need something and there is no other way to get the spirit of "good faith" will descend like lightning upon him. In this case he knew there is Google and OpenAI in play, and just like magic OpenAI made a deal pretty quickly.
by doodlebugging | 2026-02-28 20:24:28+00:00
We would not be doing anything in Iran right now if the Epstein problem did not exist for Trump and his cohorts.

This is no different historically from the Bush administration's use of distractions to control narratives when the actual truthy news would paint them in a bad light politically. Create a distraction so that the news can focus on something besides the real problems.

Another cycle in the process. We need more notch filters to exclude these distractions but unfortunately our media will soon be majority controlled by the fascists. Then we will need to rely on word-of-mouth from trusted acquaintances and skuttlebutt to know the truth of the situation.
by ignoramous | 2026-02-28 20:24:32+00:00
> one of those regimes that they just choose/install someone else and keep going

The council (50+ members) may elect another leader in his stead, provided the current council can hold on to their seats, which depends on a lot of factors.

> If it falls, will the democracy kick in or a civil war

If the previous Western policy for the region is any indicator, they'd prefer a monarch over democracy. Probably even civil war over democracy, but ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
by bloomingeek | 2026-02-28 20:24:47+00:00
My new goals are: Seek beauty, Seek happiness and Don't make people sad.

With a lot of effort, it's working. However, I soon discovered the last goal was the most difficult. Long story short, I keep my mouth shut a lot more. I feared, at first, that this would make me feel I was compromising myself somehow. But I also discovered that sometimes when I shared my opinion, knowing it was correct, I would later regret how I made that person feel. Conclusion on their feelings: There's nothing to be gained by hurting their feelings when they weren't ready to hear the message. Double success, I'm still happy and I didn't cause them any sadness.
by cogman10 | 2026-02-28 20:25:21+00:00
My understanding is that the Iranian government is very resilient. The has been a succession plan since the 70s with a broad board of individuals who can choose the next leader.

Blowback is going to be the biggest issue here. Ali Khamenei wasn't just the leader of Iran, he was well respected for Shia muslims. While not perfectly analogous, it's close to killing the pope.

Maybe this leads to open revolt which might fully topple to government, that said, I don't think there's a US/Israel endorsed leader or goal for succession here.
by cosmicgadget | 2026-02-28 20:26:12+00:00
This isn't a defense of the president or his policies but we don't know if this will be a (sustained) war or rather a week or two of airstrikes like the previous iteration and the Maduro thing.

> Many conservatives voted for trump because they thought he wasn't a "war hawk"

I doubt their honesty. Considering they blamed Biden for Russia invading Ukraine and October 7 with the galaxybrain reasoning of "It didn't happen while Trump was in office", I am convinced the isolationism thing is just an unserious talking point.

Even the Joe Rogan MAGAs should remember when they cried on social media about how they were about to be drafted after the Soleimani thing under Trump.
by Imustaskforhelp | 2026-02-28 20:26:17+00:00
I guess if you get downvote for saying something ironical, then that's the loss of audience, not you.

One can argue that a thoughtful irony which gets downvoted might be more interesting than thoughtful irony which gets upvoted because of the points you mention.

Irony shouldn't be in a bubble of all upvotes. Funnily enough I had searched up some irony quote websites a few days back and going back on them was fun to find a relevant quote:

Irony is just the honesty with the volume cracked up

- George Saunders.
by xienze | 2026-02-28 20:26:24+00:00
I think you're both right. Prior to the other day, Claude had nowhere near as much mindshare with regular people as ChatGPT did. But now that they've stood up to Orange Man, they're heroes to a large segment of the population who would otherwise have never given them a second thought.

On a related note, since OpenAI is playing ball with Orange Man, they're public enemy #1 for this same segment, hence the calls to cancel subscriptions and boycott OpenAI.

By this time next week, most people will have forgotten about all of this.
by victorbjorklund | 2026-02-28 20:26:29+00:00
>> If a company accidentally leaves a press release for a merger publicly available, I happen to guess the URL, and then I trade on it: Unfair (I have access to insider information that other market participants do not) but legal!

Not necessarily. Just because you accidentally left your S3 bucket open and I brute force my way to the link by guessing doesn’t make it legal. It can still be insider information. Insider information is not limited to people who have a duty to the company. If I break into the companies office and steal information and trade on it then it can be insider trading.
by fc417fc802 | 2026-02-28 20:27:12+00:00
At some point it seems to devolve from a meaningful discussion about how things should be done into a semantic argument (which are almost always pointless).

> it doesn't make sense to put thousands of dollars per user in liabilities to non-compensated volunteers

I agree when it comes to individuals. But it probably does make sense to hold formally recognized groups (such as nonprofits) accountable to various consumer laws. I think the idea odd that Windows, RHEL, Ubuntu, and Debian should all be regulated differently within a single jurisdiction given that they seem to me largely equivalent in purpose.
by bananamogul | 2026-02-28 20:28:05+00:00
"NIXON" (also known plainly as Nixon) was "far right?"

You must be joking.

By any measure, and in every poly sci department, Nixon is viewed as moderate or even slightly left wing.

He created the EPA, signed the Clean Air Act, created OHSA, signed NEPA, monkeyed with wage and price controls, signed a breath-taking number of anti-discrimination and affirmative-action orders, pushed school desegregation in the South...Nixon would be called a "progressive" today.

I know. Your baby boomer grandparents thought anyone who wasn't McGovern must be Hitler, but...Nixon was pretty liberal. Regan ran against him in the 1968 primaries just for this reason.
by thisislife2 | 2026-02-28 20:28:19+00:00
The source is not Tucker Carlson - it is the person(s) he is interviewing. And if you don't want to listen to the interview, you can pay him to get a transcription of the interview and search through it. (Meanwhile, you may find this equally insightful - The Terrorist Forefathers of Israel: The Irgun and Lehi: https://dissidentvoice.org/2023/03/the-terrorist-forefathers... - supporting my arguments on how Jewish religious fundamentalists have captured power in Israel. Without getting rid of them, peace is not possible in that region as they are the other side of coin that was Hamas in Palestine).
by daveac | 2026-02-28 20:28:33+00:00
In a perfect world I can see this happening. But with AI increasing or output I think the real bottleneck is work sponsors, business logic and requirements discovery/translating/sign off.

I am seeing more teams and features being rolled faster than before but then discovering that the sponsors (those requesting features and change) either don’t invest the time up front or with timely feedback loops and work stalls or has to be redone as business does not see the results until it’s either live or about to go live.

This has always been the case but I think AI tooling has moved the bottleneck
by dkarl | 2026-02-28 20:28:55+00:00
I just don't understand why this was disturbing. Prior to the construction of the reals, the existence of irrational and transcendental numbers was disturbing, because they showed that previous constructions (rational numbers and algebraic numbers) were incomplete. If those gaps were disturbing, a construction without gaps should have been satisfying, reassuring, a resolution of tension. Was there some philosophical or theological theory that required the existence of gaps, that claimed that a complete construction of the number line was mathematically impossible, because of some attribute of God or the cosmos?
by Almondsetat | 2026-02-28 20:28:55+00:00
Depends on what non-car things you are talking about. If we're talking about an obstacle on the road or a pedestrian, a model to take care of that is almost trivial, since the car would simply signal everything around it that there is a problem and it's performing a manouver, and it will not have to worry about anything other than the obstacle and the road boundaries.
by godelski | 2026-02-28 20:29:12+00:00
> I wonder if NASA could start to adopt SpaceX like approaches? Where one doesn't try to get everything correct before acting?

With humans inside?

Move fast and break things has its place, but when putting humans in things you should be very concerned about... you know... not killing them...

The reason NASA does things this way is because they essentially have one shot. Failure is not an option. When they fail, funding gets pulled and you don't get to try again. NASA doesn't get to launch 11 and have half of them fail. This puts a weird spin on things because in many industries you have the saying "why is there always time to do it twice but never to do it right" but NASA (and plenty of other sectors) have the reverse "there's always more time to do it right, but never time to do it twice".

Truthfully, the optimal path is somewhere in between, but what is optimal is highly dependent on many different environmental factors. For example, when there are humans on board, well... you don't have the luxury of doing it twice. When those people are gone, they're gone. But when unmanned, well... early NASA also blew up a bunch of shit while it was figuring things out and had a much less regulated budget. Move fast and break things is a great strategy when you're starting and still needing to figure things out. But also when things become successful and working, people in charge look less fondly on mistakes. Doesn't matter if it is reasonable (e.g. human lives should be protected) or more unreasonable (you can't make dinner without getting the dishes dirty).

What I'm saying here is when SpaceX gets successful they'll shift gears too. Did we not see the same evolution in every big tech company? Seems to happen in every business and what is the government if not a giant organization? It really seems like as companies get larger and more powerful they start to look much more like governments.
by blither | 2026-02-28 20:29:58+00:00
A lot of this really resonates with me, but, as much as I empathize with the Deep Blue analogy I don't fully subscribe to it.

Maybe that's just me being naïve! Feel like humans have always been able to do more with more, not certain why now would be any different.

Does not mean the role won't change and evolve! Building the airplane while flying is part of the game, and to me is what makes this field exciting.
by RiverStone | 2026-02-28 20:30:10+00:00
I didn’t really know much about Iran as a typical American until I married an Iranian woman. And then I met her family and her friends and I came to love Persian people. They’re some of the kindest people I’ve ever met.

What hasn’t come up enough in this thread is the currency crisis that triggered the protests. The economy is in shambles and they’re still simmering anger about the Mahsa Amini killing.

There Iranian people are tired of being under the thumb of the mullahs. They don’t want to live under an Islamic theocracy.

Millions of Iranians all over the world and inside Iran are cheering us on. They’re done. Yes, they’re scared and they don’t know what will come next, but they know what they have now is intolerable.

it’s possible this could all go badly, but what the Iranian people have now is worse. We have to try. Every Iranian person I’ve met is hopeful something better will come.
by marojejian | 2026-02-28 20:30:15+00:00
archive:
https://archive.is/4lDWS

TL;DR the new book uses Party archives and argues that soviet support was crucial. Also interesting / Sad that Marshall's openness to including the communists gave them enuogh time to benefit from the Soviet support. Perhaps it does give credence to, or at least help understand anti-communist paranoia in that age (though I certainly don't want to support their logic generally).
by tempest_ | 2026-02-28 20:30:31+00:00
> It takes your query, computes the complexity of the request, and tries to route it to the appropriate model. There is a /manual command i think, to pick the right model.

That is what is should do, but there is no > 2.5 model shown in /model and it always picks a 2.5 model. Ive enabled preview models in the google cloud project as well.

If I pass the 3 model in start param it shows 3 in the lower right corner but it is still using 2.5.

I know google has issues dealing with paying customers but the current state is a shit show. If you go to the gemini-cli repo its a deluge of issues and ai slop. It seems there is a cadre of people jumping to be the first person to pump an issue into claude and get some sort of PR clout.

It might be good but it needs more time to cook, or they need to take a step back and evaluate what they should consider a paid product.
by shich | 2026-02-28 20:30:49+00:00
The proxy approach for secret injection is the right mental model, but it only works if the proxy itself is hardened against prompt injection. An agent that can't access secrets directly can still be manipulated into crafting requests that leak data through side channels — URL params, timing, error messages.

The deeper issue: most of these guardrails assume the threat is accidental (agent goes off the rails) rather than adversarial (something in the agent's context is actively trying to manipulate it). Time-boxed domain whitelists help with the latter but the audit loop at session end is still reactive.

The /revert snapshot idea is underrated though. Reversibility should be the first constraint, not an afterthought.
by sheept | 2026-02-28 20:30:58+00:00
I think from their end, they see a lot more malicious users (e.g. spam accounts) that it's not worth providing a gentle warning before a ban. There might've been thousands more accounts created for Chinese companies for distillation[0], that Google didn't think of/weren't able to initially distinguish genuine user accounts just using a third party tool on their Antigravity token.

Like in a similar vein, Instagram sometimes randomly bans genuine users without appeal, probably because they deal with thousands more spam accounts that don't deserve a warning/appeals process.

[0] Like as Anthropic reported: https://www.anthropic.com/news/detecting-and-preventing-dist...
by ilamont | 2026-02-28 20:31:27+00:00
> When the rule of law degrades into pay-to-play politics, the inevitable result is a mass exodus of both capital and top-tier talent.

No, it's not inevitable. What you've described is the way a lot of countries work, such as China. China attracts plenty of capital and external talent, including people from other countries such as Taiwan and the United States. You have be all-in on the CCP's rules, though.

Vietnam works in a similar way. Untold billions of FDI in the past 20 years from Japan, the U.S. and China. Talk with top executives there, and you'll frequently find close connections or family ties with leaders in Hanoi.
by shich | 2026-02-28 20:31:34+00:00
The pilot analogy hits different when you consider that pilots still train on simulators for exactly this reason — they're legally required to maintain proficiency even when autopilot handles 99% of flights.

There's no equivalent mandate for software engineers. Nothing stops you from spending years as a pure "prompt pilot" and losing the ability to read a stack trace or reason about algorithmic complexity. The atrophy is silent and gradual.

The author's suggestion to write code by hand as an educational exercise is right but will be ignored by most, because the feedback loop for skill atrophy is so delayed. You won't notice you've lost the skill until you're debugging something the agent made a mess of, under pressure, with no fallback.
by vulkoingim | 2026-02-28 20:31:53+00:00
I used iCloud in the past, but found that syncing between a few devices sometimes left my notes in a weird state - sometimes overwritten, missing, etc. I switched some time ago to https://github.com/remotely-save/remotely-save with backblaze and I periodically sync to a git repo for a second backup. No issues since then.
Tell HN: My daily game won a Players Choice Award
by paulhebert | 2026-02-28 20:31:54+00:00
I've shared my game Tiled Words a few times in "What are you working on" threads and as a Show HN.

I wanted to share with y'all that today it won the Players' Choice Award at the 2025 Playlin Daily Game Awards!

It was also runner up for Best Word Game and a finalist for Best Classic Game Reimagined and Best Visual Design.

Thanks to everyone herewho commented or played. Your feedback and encouragement has made Tiled Words the game it is today. I designed and developed the game and make the puzzles with my wife. We would have stopped long ago if not for the positive feedback from the community.

Playlin is a really cool organization and all of the winners are fantastic games that you should try: https://playlin.io/awards/winners

And if you haven't played Tiled Words yet, give it a try here: https://
tiledwords.com
by tim333 | 2026-02-28 20:32:13+00:00
>Every terrible thing we worry AI might do, manipulate, deceive, surveil, and control humans already do to each other.

I've been pleasantly surprised how moderate and reasonable the LLMs seem to have been so far. It seems to be inherent in the current training model of chucking the whole internet into the things that they have training on both sides of the debate and come out with something kind of average. It's been quite funny seeing Grok correct Musk and say he's the biggest purveyor of misinformation on the internet.

A bit like kids who talk back to their annoying bigoted parents to go with the theme of the article.
by bengale | 2026-02-28 20:32:24+00:00
In the nicest possible way, this is basically the oldest lesson there is.

You weren’t happy because you optimized your feelings or had the right opinions. You were happy because you stopped focusing on yourself and became responsible for other people. Six kids needed you, in the real world, every week. That kind of outward focus kills emptiness fast.

Chasing happiness, moral righteousness, or political engagement just loops you back into your own head, helping people doesn’t. Feeling good is a side-effect of being useful, not the goal.