MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by mandevil | 2026-01-06 06:42:31+00:00
I don't think they fill the same strategic purposes, though. The value of silo based missiles to the US is as a missile-sponge, taking most of the warheads from a Russian first strike and keeping them from American cities (forcing any Russian first-strike to be counter-force instead of counter-value). This is not particularly valuable, honestly, which is why only the USSR during the height of the Cold War (largely in reaction to Minuteman) and China very recently have also made the investment into large numbers of ICBM silos.

I won't claim to be as much an expert on Russian doctrine, but they seem to consider their mobile missiles to be a survivable second strike weapon, while silo based missiles are obviously not. Because their boomer fleet does not offer the same assured second strike, they rely on those mobile missiles to play a greater deterrent role then the US does.
by fnordpiglet | 2026-01-06 06:42:54+00:00
Despite their belief to the contrary the executive branch is in charge of very little in this country. They are harassing and extorting in legally dubious and often outright illegal ways, but companies and institutions and individuals are getting wise to the fact there’s very little power these guys really have because the law is structured to prevent executive abuse of power. All you have to do is get your suit filed and get a stay, and sooner or later the governments case likely falls apart. It’s frictionful for everyone involved and will sooner or later cause serious damage to the economy, but increasing as the initial shock fades, everyone is realizing the president is fairly weak and his antics and his hand picked but of loonies undermine any power they might have. It’s not Howard Lutnicks world, and as time goes on it becomes less and less so as they squander the reputation of the presidency tilting at windmills.
by lukefreiler | 2026-01-06 06:43:39+00:00
Digging the idea and incredibly simple implementation - but do you have a model in mind for clean-up? I've been working with it for an hour and have ~30+ tickets across a series of tasks, which are all just named by ID so no obvious way to purge (I could be missing something obvious).

Also, no concept of tags/labels? Are dependencies your primary means of organization?
by etage3 | 2026-01-06 06:43:51+00:00
I'm not sure, but the grand-parent might be drawing from Hakim Bey's distinction between Net and Web. This is from TAZ, The Temporary Autonomous Zone (1991):

We’ve spoken of the Net, which can be defined as the totality of all information and communication transfer. Some of these transfers are privileged and limited to various elites, which gives the Net a hierarchic aspect. Other transactions are open to all — so the Net has a horizontal or non-hierarchic aspect as well. Military and Intelligence data are restricted, as are banking and currency information and the like. But for the most part the telephone, the postal system, public data banks, etc. are accessible to everyone and anyone. Thus within the Net there has begun to emerge a shadowy sort of counter-Net, which we will call the Web (as if the Net were a fishing-net and the Web were spider-webs woven through the interstices and broken sections of the Net). Generally we’ll use the term Web to refer to the alternate horizontal open structure of info-exchange, the non-hierarchic network, and reserve the term counter-Net to indicate clandestine illegal and rebellious use of the Web, including actual data-piracy and other forms of leeching off the Net itself. Net, Web, and counter-Net are all parts of the same whole pattern-complex — they blur into each other at innumerable points. The terms are not meant to define areas but to suggest tendencies.

https://theanarchistlibrary.org/library/hakim-bey-t-a-z-the-...
by Abishek_Muthian | 2026-01-06 06:44:04+00:00
I just have a minimalist setup.

Configuration -

In external agents - I have Calude Code, Codex CLI, Gemini CLI and a custom agent for Qwen Coder via Llama.cpp [1]

In MCP - I have fetch, brave-search, puppeteer

In LLM Providers - I have configured Llama.cpp, LMStudio and OpenAI (Zed Agent can access models from any of these providers).

Workflow -

When I need LLM assist I mostly use just Claude Code for specific tasks, with thorough scaffolding. One major drawback in using external agents on Zed is that they don't support history[2], Which doesn't impact me much as I use Claude just for individual tasks. I'm not really sure on how well Zed works for someone who 'vibecodes' entire project.

[1] https://zed.dev/docs/ai/external-agents

[2] https://github.com/zed-industries/zed/issues/37074
by anigbrowl | 2026-01-06 06:46:22+00:00
If you don't have insiders, you're not doing predictions, you're just doing gambling.

Non-insiders can't make predictions? I'm not into betting as a hobby but I make minor bets with myself or friends on topics with clear win-loss conditions in areas of politics where I consider myself knowledgeable. I'm pretty good at it since I find it easy to distinguish between results I'd like to see vs what I expect to actually happen.
by jumploops | 2026-01-06 06:46:24+00:00
Curious what fidelity/precision the author finds necessary with Claude 4.5 Opus/GPT 5.2.

Looking at the screenshot of "Tracked Issues", it seems many of the "tasks" are likely overlapping in terms of code locality.

Based on my own experience, I've found the current crop of models to work well at a slightly higher-level of complexity than the tasks listed there, and they often benefit from having a shared context vs. when I've tried to parallelize down to that level of work (individual schema changes/helper creation/etc.).

Maybe I'm still just unclear on the inner workings, but it's my understanding each of those tasks is passed to Claude Code and developed separately?

In either case, I think this project is a glimpse into the future of software development (albeit with a grungy desert punk tinted lens).

For context, I've been "full vibe-coding"[0] for the past 6 months, and though it started painfully, the models are now good enough that not reading the code isn't much of an issue anymore.
by alterom | 2026-01-06 06:46:49+00:00
> we will all get to watch this slowly unravel however Trump wants, will we not?

My understanding is that they consider this part nihilistic, though it sounds more like apathy, jadedness, and learned helplessness with a dash of catastrophizing (and a hefty amount of privilege) to me.

For the record, I was born in the USSR, and grew up in Ukraine in the 1990s. I can assure you that the US is neither a failed nor an impotent state by a long shot.

Not yet, at least.

And as a Ukrainian, I can also assure you that giving up this easily, and this early is straight up silly.
by vlovich123 | 2026-01-06 06:48:26+00:00
OSes already typically look for duplicated code pages as opportunities to dedupe. It doesn’t need to be special cases for code pages because it’ll also find runtime heap duplicates that seem to be read only (eg your JS code JIT pages shared between sites).

One challenge will be that the likelihood of two random binaries having generated the same code pages for a given source library (even if pinned to the exact source) can be limited by linker and compiler options (eg dead code stripping, optimization setting differences, LTO, PGO etc).

The benefit of sharing libraries is generally limited unless you’re using a library that nearly every binary may end up linking which has decreased in probability as the software ecosystem has gotten more varied and complex.
by Aurornis | 2026-01-06 06:49:25+00:00
> Same reason why there hasn't been mass consumer adoption of crypto. People just don't feel safe.

The volatility and wild swings are a feature, not a bug, to retail investors who like this stuff. Investing in crypto is mainstream now. It's been advertised on TV for years. Download Robinhood, put money in, and trade the swings.

It's popular to "trade" crypto. The retail investors aren't buying to use it. They're not even doing crypto things with it, they're just getting an entry in the database of their investment platform. Everyone knows it's heavily manipulated and gamed, but they want to come along for the ride and make some money with the manipulators.

Prediction markets are exciting to the same audience for the same reason: Maybe outlier things can happen and you'll guess correctly ahead of time. That's the draw.
by PunchyHamster | 2026-01-06 06:50:50+00:00
That's jump if you are a junior. It falls down hard for the seniors doing more complex stuff.

I'm also reminding that we tried whole "make it look like human language" with COBOL and it turned out that language wasn't a bottleneck, the ability of people to specify exactly what they want was the bottleneck. Once you have exact spec, even writing code on your own isn't all that hard but extracting that from stakeolders have always been the harder part of the programming.
by indemnity | 2026-01-06 06:51:29+00:00
When we built our 2015 house our requirements were simple: well insulated, whole-house ducted heating/cooling, and CAT6 to every room. Everything that has an Ethernet port gets wired. Our front door still requires physical keys. Our TV is dumb. Dishwasher has no screen just knobs, likewise the oven and fridge. Heating has one panel to control everything, buttons not touch screen.
Comfortable house, all my tech works and basically never dies. Not reliant on some buggy software that never gets updated from company thats out of business for my lights or heating or dishwasher or fridge to work.

Lost my uptime today due to a power outage, first one in years.
The house in the OPs article sounds like absolute hell.
by agile-gift0262 | 2026-01-06 06:52:30+00:00
exactly this. My Galaxy Wear sits in a drawer 10 months per year, as I only use it as a wrist-strapped mini-smartphone when I go to the beach. It's too bulky and cumbersome to wear every day. The Pebble Time 2 I plan to use every day, as it does exactly what I want in a smartwatch sans wireless payments
by AmazingTurtle | 2026-01-06 06:55:12+00:00
I read tons of comments like "It's not [this], it's [that] instead!" which is also wrong.

The performance bottleneck is whatever resource hits saturation first under the workload you actually run: CPU, memory bandwidth, cache/allocations, disk I/O, network, locks/coordination, or downstream latency.

Measure it, prove it with a profile/trace, change one thing, measure again.
by DoctorOetker | 2026-01-06 06:55:21+00:00
Think of the use of ML towards formal verification, a putative ML generated proof can be easily checked with a classical verification algorithm.

What will happen is that we just translate more and more physics and engineering into a rigorous formal system, and then those deductions become verifiable. Actual measurements are another matter, and its not unimaginable petty humans will HAVE TO organize measurement tools (DMM, oscilloscope, ...) to cryptographically sign measurements, and to also sign schematic connectivity (yeah, so the oscilloscope or DMM probe terminals and the terminals of say an amplifier etc would be "smart" and sign the fact they are connected during the experimental setup. All to prevent people from faking measurements.

BUT if this is done we can transport physics and engineering into the decentralized formally verifiable domain.

After that biology for example could work, but formalizing ethics or (direct) democratically established rules and medicine at the same time will result in collective realization of certain inconsistencies (not unlike intervention vs non-intervention when watching lions hunt zebra's).
by DrammBA | 2026-01-06 06:55:33+00:00
> Today at CES, Intel unveiled Intel Core Ultra Series 3 processors, the first AI PC platform built on Intel 18A process technology that was designed and manufactured in the United States. Powering over 200 designs from leading, global partners, Series 3 will be the most broadly adopted and globally available AI PC platform Intel has ever delivered.

What in the world is this disaster of an opening paragraph? From the weird "AI PC platform" (not sure what that is) to the "will be the most broadly adopted and globally available AI PC platform" (is that a promise? a prediction? a threat?).

And you just gotta love the processor names "Intel Core Ultra Series 3 Mobile X9/X7"
by A4ET8a8uTh0_v2 | 2026-01-06 06:55:56+00:00
I suspect that you are arguing semantics, where parent and grandparent focus on the nuance of what is ACTUALLY being measured. I am saying it like this, because while I never used prediction markets, I briefly looked into them to see if I could use them well. The question of accuracy came up, which is why I happen to align with posters above.

With that in mind, what do mean exactly.
Show HN: A playground to test stablecoin gas fees and concurrent txns on Tempo
by devendra116 | 2026-01-06 06:56:01+00:00
Hi HN,

I built *Tempo Playground*, a small hands-on playground to explore Tempo’s transaction model for real-world payments.

The goal was to make Tempo’s ideas tangible instead of just reading documentation.

*What you can try right now:*
- Pay transaction fees in *any USD-denominated stablecoin* (no native gas token required)
- Execute *concurrent transactions* from the same account (parallel execution)
- *Batch multiple calls* into a single atomic transaction

*Some early observations:*
- Gas costs are around *$0.001 per transaction*
- Finality is roughly *0.5s*, which feels close to web2 UX for payments

*Link:* https://tempo-playground.vercel.app

It’s intentionally minimal and still rough around the edges.

I’d love feedback on:
- What else would you want to test to evaluate a payments-focused chain?
- Any edge cases or stress scenarios you think I should explore next?

Happy to answer technical questions or share implementation details.
by neilv | 2026-01-06 06:56:03+00:00
One anecdata: The one time I accepted a counter-offer (but not for more money), I regretted it.

(I was at place that had an existential problem, and unhappily fighting it. Then, coincidentally, a different company, which had previously made me a tempting offer, checked back in. They made an offer to double my TC, which included a big title jump, to fit their pay grades. I wanted to be loyal to my team, so I went to the appropriate exec at my employer. I said I had an unsolicited offer that I had to decide on immediately, but I would stay if we could solve the problem. Was assured exec understood, and we could tackle the problem. I also asked for the company to do right by a couple other employees, while I had the exec's ear and the moment. Existential problem got worse, and couldn't be solved, for political reasons. Everyone was miserable, and I was out the boost to lifestyle and resume decorations.)

The more usual reasons I know not to mess with counter-offers are that: if the employer wasn't treating you fairly before, that's a problem; you might be flagged as disloyal; they might pay to keep you for temporary convenience, but get rid of you when more convenient for them.
by XenophileJKO | 2026-01-06 06:56:10+00:00
It was not a well thought out piece and it is discounting the agentic progress that has happened.

>The industry had reason to be optimistic that 2025 would prove pivotal. In previous years, AI agents like Claude Code and OpenAI’s Codex had become impressively adept at tackling multi-step computer programming problems.

It is easy to forget that Claude Code CAME OUT in 2025. The models and agents released in 2025 really DID prove how powerful and capable they are. The predictions were not really wrong. I AM using code agents in a literal fire and forget way.

Claude Code is a hugely capable agentic interface for sovling almost any kind of problem or project you want to solve for personal use. I literally use it as the UX for many problems. It is essentially a software that can modify itself on the fly.

Most people haven't really grasped the dramatic paradigm shift this creates. I haven't come up with a great analogy for it yet, but the term that I think best captures how it feels to work with claude code as a primary interface is "intelligence engine".

I'll use an example, I've created several systems harnessed around Claude Code, but the latest one I built is for stock porfolio management (This was primarily because it is a fun problem space and something I know a bit about). Essentially you just used Claude Code to build tools for itself in a domain. Let me show how this played out in this example.

Claude and I brainstorma general flow for the process and roles. Then figure out what data each role would need, research what providers have the data at a reasonable price.

I purchase the API keys and claude wires up tools (in this case python scripts and documentation for the agents for about 140 api endpoints), then builds the agents and also creates an initial vesrion of the "skill" that will invoke the process that looks something like this:

Macro Economist/Strategist -> Fact Checker -> Securities Sourcers -> Analysts (like 4 kinds) -> Fact Checker/Consolidator -> Portfolio Manager

Obviously it isn't 100% great on the first pass and I have to lean on expertise I have in building LLM applications, but now I have a Claude Code instance that can orchestrate this whole research process and also handle ad-hoc changes on the fly.

Now I have evolved this system through about 5 significant iterations, but I can do it "in the app". If I don't like how part of it is working, I just have the main agent rewire stuff on the fly. This is a completely new way of working on problems.
by jumploops | 2026-01-06 06:57:09+00:00
To be fair, the author says: "Do not use Gas Town."

I started "fully vibecoding" 6 months ago, on a side-project, just to see if it was possible.

It was painful. The models kept breaking existing functionality, overcomplicating things, and generally just making spaghetti ("You're absolutely right! There are 4 helpers across 3 files that have overlapping logic").

A combination of adjusting my process (read: context management) and the models getting better, has led me to prefer "fully vibecoding" for all new side-projects.

Note: I still read the code that gets merged for my "real" work, but it's no longer difficult for me to imagine a future where that's not the case.
by spacemarine1 | 2026-01-06 06:57:14+00:00
Both Mark Andreessen and Andrej Karpathy say AI is unique as a new technology in that small teams and individuals seem to be the earliest and most cutting edge adopters. (unlike computers and the internet which were used by government and then large companies)

YC just so happens to invest super early in small teams.

So the overlap of YC and AI is inevitable. AI is not an investment genre per se but it can be used to accelerate or improve any ecosystem if used carefully and cleverly.

Since my Humble Bundle days, I’ve always been partial to small companies and small dev studios. Not all EGG companies use AI but they are all keeping tabs on the technology. Mitch Lasky has said that AI may have opened a window in which small studios may have their best shot at outsized success in recent history. Eventually the big dogs will catch up and adopt the new tech themselves but right now David has a shot at Goliath.
by thrwwXZTYE | 2026-01-06 06:57:54+00:00
I've looked at the stats, and it's:

- 45 flights per recon consumer quadcopter drone before it's lost

- 69 flights per heavy bomber drone before it's lost

We switch the batteries before each flight anyway, so even batteries that are rated for 10 cycles would be good enough if the price or performance is good enough.

Certainly batteries rated for 300 cycles are an overkill.

Source (from March 2025): https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2025/04/16/hidden...
by johncolanduoni | 2026-01-06 06:59:15+00:00
Rust ABI (as opposed to C ABI) dynamic libraries are incredibly fragile with regard to compiler/build environment changes. Trying to actually swap them out between separate builds is pretty much unsupported. So the other benefits of dynamic libraries (sharing code between different builds, updating a individual dependency) are not achieved.

They’re only really useful if you’re distributing multiple binary executables that share most of the underlying code, and you want to save some disk space in the final install. The standard Rust toolchain builds use them for this purpose last time I checked.
by supriyo-biswas | 2026-01-06 06:59:21+00:00
Apart from the sibling comments that makes some excellent points, the commercial aspect of any endeavor will almost always coexist, or in some cases, overshadow the "artisanal" aspect that the "indieweb" people seem to be going for.

Even if we completely deleted the Internet and started from scratch, or any other technology for that matter, enterprising people will want to use the technology to deliver some sort of value to society in return for goods and services. This is both a good thing for the people in question, as they can addresses previously thought of use cases (such as online shopping or video streaming, in the case of the Internet) that people would be willing to pay for, and leads to commercial exchanges with many positive downstream effects (internet providers laying infrastructure, companies investing in software, and associated employment for many people).

Without this aspect, the Internet would likely be left in a niche, which makes it far less useful to most. This is the primary reason why projects like Gemini, etc. will not have much success, because it is intentionally designed to be not useful to most people; and guess what? You can always make plain HTML/CSS websites and set up a Matrix server for your buddies to talk to; you don't need a new protocol and sing praises about the indieweb to make this happen.
by awfulneutral | 2026-01-06 07:01:17+00:00
Yeah, it just reminds me of the early days of VS Code, where features were constantly added and it was fun at first, but they didn't stop and eventually it did feel more sluggish and bloated. Sometimes I'd have to spend time fixing or re-configuring something just because I opened the editor and the daily auto-update did something annoying. It might not happen with Zed, but it seems like a very similar approach to development.
by GMoromisato | 2026-01-06 07:01:49+00:00
This is a good question. I compressed too much: instead of "performance at your boss's level" I really meant, "helping to achieve your boss's goals".

If you're an engineering IC in a team of 5, what are your boss's goals? It's usually things like: hit your deadlines, avoid production bug catastrophes, and maybe add features that make the sales people happy.

How can your boss achieve those goals? I have a few ideas:

a) Processes: Introduce or refine processes for the team to ensure high-quality code or to gain efficiencies.

b) Mentoring: Help members of the team to function at their highest level.

c) Clearing Obstacles: Coordinate with other teams so they don't slow you down. E.g., make sure teams you depend on are on schedule, and if not, adapt and adjust.

But this is just an example. I think the easiest thing to do is ask your boss what their goals are. What does success look like to them? Once you know that, you might be able to come up with ways of helping that they might not have thought of.
by roskelld | 2026-01-06 07:02:10+00:00
I've missed Web buttons. I remember entire movements done using them back in the mid 90's. There were some boycotts where people would put the buttons on their site to show support.

I also remember the ones proudly showing that their web page was written in Notepad or even Edit instead of some bloat ridden Frontpage or other generator site.

This was a really fun read. Will sub to your rss!