MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by jermaustin1 | 2026-01-20 19:16:04+00:00
The volatility of bitcoin is why there is capital gains on every trade, it has nothing to do with the IRS's new crypto policy.

If a bitcoin rises or falls by a calculable amount between when you received it vs when you spent a portion of it, you have gains/losses. That has always been required by the IRS to be reported, whether that is a BTC or chicken feathers.
by adrian_b | 2026-01-20 19:16:08+00:00
The ratio in money between the revenues in Europe and those in USA is rather misleading.

With the same amount of money you can do much more in Europe. Even in the few domains where USA had a traditional advantage, like the prices of electronic devices, e.g. computers, things have changed a lot recently.

Prompted by another discussion thread on HN, I have compared yesterday some prices for computers and associated components in USA and in Europe. Now the prices in USA are 30% to 40% higher, in sharp contrast with how the price ratio was in the previous years, when prices were lower in USA.

The real economic strength of Europe vs. USA is much greater than the values of GDP expressed in USD, and including some meaningless indicators, would seem to imply.
by summerlight | 2026-01-20 19:17:21+00:00
This is not very surprising. I've always thought that it's more of correlation than causation. If you're a good problem solver, then there is a good chance that you are probably good at both college admission and software engineering. So companies have been using it as their proxy for hiring because... why not. I'm not saying college curricula are useless, but this dependency on (imperfect) correlation might have caused significant opportunity costs for talent acquisition and now companies are slowly acknowledging it.
by tzs | 2026-01-20 19:17:22+00:00
Wikipedia says similar [1]:

> The concept of "religion" was formed in the 16th and 17th centuries. Sacred texts like the Bible, the Quran, and others did not have a word or even a concept of religion in the original languages and neither did the people or the cultures in which these sacred texts were written

That said, GrowingSideways is mistaken. He is confusing the thing with the category of the thing.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_religion
by overfeed | 2026-01-20 19:17:24+00:00
> Its baffling that you think the collapse of the USD would have no negative ramifications on the rest of the world.

Empires rise and fall, pax Americana was not the world's first hegemony. The end of the British Empire is within living memory - while they sowed seeds of instability in a handful of former colonies that still flare up today, the rest of the world is fine. Britain, on the other hand, has had to enter a "managed decline", and is a much smaller player in world politics than it was a century ago.
by histriosum | 2026-01-20 19:17:44+00:00
The Gestapo had the backing of the courts and the laws as well. Your argument is not as strong as you seem to think.

Also -- it's fairly well documented at this point that ICE is often without a warrant, and is detaining and in some instances deporting US citizens. These aren't one offs, and looking at what's going on in MN makes that pretty clear.
by Jimmc414 | 2026-01-20 19:17:51+00:00
I fought with Tesseract for quite a while. Its good if high accuracy doesn't matter. Transcribing a book from clean, consistent non-skewed data its fine and an LLM might even be able to clean it up. But for legal or accounting data from hand scanned documents, the error rate made it untenable. Even clean, scanned documents of the same category have all sorts of density and skew anomalies that get misinterpreted. You'll pull your hair out trying to account for edge cases and never get the results you need even with numerous adjustments and model retraining on errors.

Flash 2.5 or 3 with thinking gave the best results.
by epistasis | 2026-01-20 19:18:03+00:00
The intelligence community are not US policy makers, and that threat assessment is not policy.

The US intelligence community is correct in its assessment, but US policy is not acting in any way consistent with both the US being the dominant world power and taking that ODNI assessment seriously.

Current US policy makers are instead trying to hide in their shell like a turtle, and greatly restrict US power so that it must not confront or deal with the threat from China.
by jvm___ | 2026-01-20 19:18:19+00:00
Mostly yes, the group stays together. We run road or trail not track. No one is really serious about pace and time, or if you are you treat group runs as social time and do your own thing later.

One group just meets at the start, people go off and do their own thing and then come back to the start for coffee at a cafe. That way everyone from walkers to people doing a long run can all hang out afterwards but not actually run together.

The best are trail runs with 8-10 people, you end up walking the hills and take a short break every 5-10 minutes so you can chat with almost everyone over the hour you're out there.
by hintymad | 2026-01-20 19:18:34+00:00
In particular, the pentagon has so many suppliers in China. Oh, the KPIs (key pharmaceutical ingredients) are produced by China too. We even had shortage of saline solution when China was having a supply crunch. So when a conflict, let alone a war, broke out with China, what do we do? We ask China to supply us the war logistics?

A fun story, China has the best automated seafood processing factories that meet all kinds of regulations in the world. It's cheaper, a lot cheaper, for Japan and Alaska to send their seafood to China to process, and then sell back to the domestic market. And it has nothing to do with cheap labor but deep R&D of China. So, when war broke out, many people won't be able to enjoy cheap seafood either.

I don't understand how people can ignore a simple fact (is it Milton who pointed that out?): Manufacturing is a "doing" business, not a "knowing" business. Our expertise is forged on the shop floor, not dreamed up in a boardroom, and certainly not bought through outsourcing. There is so much tacit knowledge that manufacturing capability is a living system. It lives in the collective experience of the workforce and the rhythm of the line, not in static documents.

Oh maybe this is the time to quota Thomas Joseph Dunning: With adequate profit, capital is very bold. A certain 10 per cent. will ensure its employment anywhere; 20 per cent. certain will produce eagerness; 50 per cent., positive audacity; 100 per cent. will make it ready to trample on all human laws; 300 per cent., and there is not a crime at which it will scruple, nor a risk it will not run, even to the chance of its owner being hanged.
by cal_dent | 2026-01-20 19:19:23+00:00
Yeah for sure. "Just luck" is a bit too glib from me.

Noticed a typo in my original post; my last point is about how different things are when you do have a job vs you don't have a job. Money, not even a lot but enough to stop you hemorrhaging out, offers a lot of freedom to be quite tactical in a way that does help things in your favour.

But it's different when that isn't the case and i think people underestimate the mental load that takes and how detrimental it is to necessarily bringing your best self if you do land an interview. Its always easier when you have some of that comfort which is why sometimes I think just landing something, preferably within your long-term field, rather than necessarily being very particular can make sense.
by joe_mamba | 2026-01-20 19:19:43+00:00
>Franco-German friendship exemplified by Mitterand-Kohl personal friendship

Ironic to call this a "friendship", when Mitterand along with Thatcher were working behind the scenes with the soviets to sabotage and stop Kohl's reunification of Germany. It was anything but a friendship, but more of a concession.

Politics is full of such examples that look friendly to the public, but hide a lot of sabotage and back stabbings in the background. In fact, the later is the norm in politics.
by kipchak | 2026-01-20 19:19:55+00:00
This was arguably largely offset by the actions of the treasury's increased short duration issuance (>1 Trillion in t-bills) combined with draw-downs of the reverse repo facility[1] instead of from banks. It's difficult to tell exactly how much money winds it's way into the economy without using proxies - for example credit spreads[2] or NFCI[3] which indicate loose conditions, which don't show much evidence of post 2022 QT's impact.

Or in other words the data seems to show the loosening effects were more powerful than the tightening ones. Now that the RRP has been drawn down balance sheet growth will likely occur.

[1] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RRPONTSYD

[2] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BAMLH0A0HYM2

[3]https://www.chicagofed.org/research/data/nfci/current-data
by wingmanjd | 2026-01-20 19:20:06+00:00
There is a single row of apps that can be favorited on the bottom row of the screen for quick access. There is also a search bar that searches across apps, some direct app actions (like Firefox: New Tab), contacts, and some settings. The search bar might be able to pass the query to the default browser, but

There is not another "desktop" that can be swiped to right and left. Widgets can be added, if desired.
by autoexec | 2026-01-20 19:20:14+00:00
IPv6 primarily solves a problem that most people either don't have ("I have IPv4 IPs already") or don't care about ("I don't know/care what my IP is") and it introduces a bunch of problems people didn't have before like worries over comparability with existing hardware/software (improving all the time) or even just "now I have to spend a bunch of time learning about how to correctly and securely implement this on my network" (still a problem)

Maybe one day in the distant future, IPv4 collisions/shortages will be an actual problem for most people. If that happens, those people will naturally make the switch. Until then, why would they?

It turns out a bunch of people actually like NAT. They like it so much that they pushed for solutions like NAT66 so that they can keep it even after switching to IPv6.

If IPv6 offered substantially better security/privacy, speeds, reliability, or introduced some new killer feature people didn't even know they wanted until they learned about it there wouldn't be any reason to try to force people to move to v6. Because it doesn't do any of that, and most people are happy with IPv4, they'll stick with what has been working for them.
by lpcvoid | 2026-01-20 19:20:38+00:00
I have many moral problems with that scenario. I used to live in the US a long time ago. The US is sick; there's a mad king at the top who doesn't have the well being of the nation in his interest, and he is driving the world towards war with every passing day while dividing his own people. War with the US isn't a clear cut "good vs evil" situation as the EU vs russia would be, it would be a utter tragedy, not wanted by neither the populace of the EU, nor the US.

That said, yes, I would defend Europe against the US, even though I think that fight would be short, deadly and decisive if it really came down to it.

What a fucked up world we live in, just because idiots voted for a convicted felon.
by Jtsummers | 2026-01-20 19:21:14+00:00
> I feel like many are going to upvote this because they think it is an indictment on the current administration but it isn't exactly.

Is it not? Quoting myself:

>> are actively undoing the institutions that were instrumental in US economic and political power at that time.

Who is undoing those institutions? That'd be the current administration.
by linkregister | 2026-01-20 19:21:46+00:00
I recall a Google Workspace insider telling me that its annual revenue was $1B circa 2018. Given that it's part of the Google Cloud segment, that made GSuite roughly 20% of its total revenue. Assuming this continued to hold, GSuite's 2024 revenue was around $9B.

Given that M$'s Office revenue for commercial and customer segments was around $50B, it's safe to say that GSuite is substantially smaller.
Show HN: A simple tool for modeling long-term financial decisions
by jbrockwork | 2026-01-20 19:22:01+00:00
When making big financial decisions, I found myself making a brand new, hyper-specific, spreadsheets and redoing a lot of math every time, since I’d forgotten how my old spreadsheets worked. So I abstracted the common features that went into all my decisions and put them in a single web app (not a spreadsheet, but it sort of looks like one).

At a high level, finances (or at least mine) can be broken down into assets, liabilities, incomes and expenses (including taxes). The app puts all of those in a single dashboard and charts how your assets, liabilities, and net worth grow or shrink over time. I know there are a ton of tools in the personal finance space, but I think what makes mine different is that (a) it’s just about prediction, not tracking, (b) it’s designed to be viewed on a single page, and (c) it’s not meant to answer “can I afford something?”, but “what will happen if I do this?”.

The simplicity is partly born of necessity — this is my first solo project — but also intentional. I’ve found that high-impact financial decisions often become clearer when you focus on how they affect net worth far into the future, rather than on short-term optimization.

My roadmap includes multiple tabbed scenarios, project-based grouping of items, point-in-time snapshots (to compare past predictions with reality), and a chatbot that can game out scenarios with you.

I’d really appreciate any feedback, especially on whether this level of abstraction feels useful, and on user experience. Also, opinions on whether when you come back days later it should show the numbers you put in or the expected values for the current date.

As a side note, in the pre-populated example linked I have incomes and expenses flow directly to and from the investment account. This is simpler than including transfers between cash and investments (which also isn’t even supported). Does this feel unintuitive? Is there a more natural way to model this?
by marcosdumay | 2026-01-20 19:22:04+00:00
> We tried to expand Zoom licenses during COVID because it worked better, and were told “no, use Teams.”

My workplace discarded Zoom because of its terms of use. They evaluated the stuff from IBM, Google, and F5. At the end none of those options actually worked, and MS added Teams to our license. I'm still annoyed that nobody bothered looking at jitsi.
by flyandscryaway | 2026-01-20 19:22:07+00:00
There’s still limited liquidity. You need to find someone willing to put up a very large amount of money for almost no gain. I also doubt these websites have enough activity to well calibrate near 1 dollar bets, so it’s not clear the market is giving you accurate predictive power with very expensive bets, which means you’re risking a lot (again, for almost no gain).
by gshulegaard | 2026-01-20 19:22:35+00:00
IIRC `MERGE` has been part of SQL for a while, but Postgres opted against adding it for many years because it's syntax is inherently non-atomic within Postgres's MVCC model.

https://pganalyze.com/blog/5mins-postgres-15-merge-vs-insert...

This is somewhat a personal preference, but I would just use `INSERT ... ON CONFLICT` and design my data model around it as much as I can. If I absolutely need the more general features of `MERGE` and _can't_ design an alternative using `INSERT ... ON CONLFICT` then I would take a bit of extra time to ensure I handle `MERGE` edge cases (failures) gracefully.
by dhosek | 2026-01-20 19:23:04+00:00
It’s often surprising what we discover younger people have no idea about. I had a twenty-something co-worker in 2018 who was a self-professed aficionado of submarine movies who had never seen Yellow Submarine (I can’t remember now if he’d heard of it at least or if even that was beyond his ken). My profile picture on my gmail account is a picture of Harpo Marx because I occasionally use Harpo as a nickname thanks to my first name having become undesirable a decade ago and I had a recruiter that I was working with ask me who the picture was, apparently having never seen a Marx brothers movie or even heard of them.

Sic transit gloria mundi.
by cultofmetatron | 2026-01-20 19:23:25+00:00
CTO of a startup. built the entire cloud backend and added features as a sole backend dev for the first 3 years. Before that I worked for several years in SF as a developer working all the way from a self taught junior to senior engineer to now a CTO with 4 engineers working with me towards out series A.

Some of the best engineers I know don't even have a college degree.

with that in mind, It fills me with general revulsion at the idea that overlooking credentialism as long as they can do the job to a high standard is "concerning." I want new engineers to have access to the same Ladder I had access to when I was up and comming.
by shadowtree | 2026-01-20 19:23:31+00:00
I believe Saddam Hussein would disagree with you, if he could.

Just bonkers how basic history is getting rewritten.

"The great satan USA" has been a slogan since the 1960s. The US dropped napalm and agent orange on Vietnamese civilians en masse - Lyndon B Johnson was what, a good guy?

What on earth are people learning about today?
by joe_mamba | 2026-01-20 19:23:32+00:00
> integrating further

What does that mean exactly?

I meet a lot of people do enjoy their nation's sovereignty especially as a shield from EU's poor and unpopular decisions that they don't get a vote in, and see the common currency and freedom of movement as just the right amount of integration. Making english an official language would be even better IMHO, but that's about it. I enjoy different countries having different politics and takes on topics, as it would be shit if all EU was a just a homogenous groupthink.

And I've never met anyone who thought the likes of Ursula and Kaja should be trusted with even more power and control over nations.
by tim333 | 2026-01-20 19:24:10+00:00
>Europeans now expect America to fight Russia for them, not with them

I note in the current Europe/Ukraine vs Russia fighting there are no US troops, although they did send weapons for which we are grateful

>China as the main adversary

neither China nor Russia are about to bomb the US but in terms of threats to US interests and hybrid warfare we have the full scale war in Ukraine vs only some threats over Taiwan and on the hybrid front I hear rumors the the Russians cultivated a US property developer code name Krasnov and he went on to cause some havoc back in the US.
by snickerer | 2026-01-20 19:24:14+00:00
I took a deeper dive in Reticulum-rs. It is std. It implements 20% of Reticulum functionality. And it has 2 major protocol incompatibilities (like a different size for the MTU / Maximum Transfer Unit).

It looks like a quick vibe coded hack to implement a subset, tailored only for Beechat's own devices.

If someone would want to implement a full no_std Reticulum lib, they would need to start from scratch.
by Beretta_Vexee | 2026-01-20 19:24:33+00:00
French here: If we can send French soldiers to fight and die in Mali for years, only to end up with a military junta that prefers the Russian Africakorps, I think we're ready to send our soldiers to die defending a European ally.

Plus, with global warming, this may be the last chance for the Alpine hunters to shine.
by peronif5 | 2026-01-20 19:24:35+00:00
Hi HN — we built Basement over the holidays as a small experiment.

Basement is a browser that lets you chat with other people who are currently on the same webpage. The idea is to make browsing more social and contextual instead of pushing all discussion into separate platforms.

A few examples:

Discussing products directly on the product page

Fans chatting live on game or event pages

Lightweight community forming around any URL

The app is live on iOS and we’d love honest feedback — what feels useful, what feels awkward, and where this breaks down.

Thanks for taking a look.
by robocat | 2026-01-20 19:25:06+00:00
Just start investing everything you own. You'll learn and be taught everything you need to know. You don't even need to quit your job (in fact I believe having a job helps you invest better: and most investing doesn't need to be full-time).

If you want to learn faster, use leverage.

Being an investor is a dream for many. I would advise against it if you're hunting status (visible wealth, being a VC or angel). Motivations are deceiving - use good friends to help you discover why you want to do something. Status chasing is often a hidden reason, even from ourselves. There's much more efficient ways to chase status. Most people are very poor at optimizing their choices to get status!

I thought I would like to be an investor but it turns out to be boring antisocial work.

Some friends I know who have become investors appear to like gambling - they're not people doing careful risk analysis. They're renting while betting a house worths of money - which seems to be working for them! Investing while having a mortgage is risky debt leveraged investment in New Zealand (but perhaps sensible in the US). One friend lied to investors and is in jail for it: learn the value of time & freedom.
Fabric lets me assess online AI from my Unix CLI
by oldguy101 | 2026-01-20 19:26:06+00:00
Here is an example of Kimi-K2 via Openrouter on a FreeBSD-15 system:

tp@fbsd15:~ % fabric "what is a ujt ?"

A *UJT* (Unijunction Transistor) is a three-terminal semiconductor switching device with only *one p-n junction* (hence “uni-junction”). It consists of:

- *Emitter (E)*
- *Base 1 (B1)*
- *Base 2 (B2)*

The device is fabricated on an n-type silicon bar with a small p-type region diffused into one side; the p-region forms the emitter, and the two ends of the bar are B1 and B2. Because the bar acts like a voltage divider, the voltage at the emitter junction is a fraction (η, the intrinsic stand-off ratio, typically 0.5–0.8) of the inter-base voltage V_BB.

*Key property:*
When the emitter voltage V_E rises to about *η V_BB + 0.7 V*, the internal p-n junction becomes forward-biased, the device switches into a *negative-resistance region*, and a large emitter current flows while V_E collapses. This snap action makes the UJT useful as a *relaxation oscillator*, *pulse generator*, and *timing element* (e.g., in SCR triggering circuits).

Despite its name, the UJT is *not* a transistor in the usual amplifying sense; it is primarily a *trigger/switching device*.
by anigbrowl | 2026-01-20 19:26:19+00:00
Indeed. And every initiative in the past to create a 'European army' was strenuously opposed by previous US administrations, who wanted their alliances fragmented. US policymakers have said that any European military integration must avoid the '3 D's: Decoupling (from NATO), Duplication (of NATO command/legistic structures), and Discrimination (against US and Israeli arms vendors).

This has been policy from at least the Clinton administration, and it has worked great to ensure that the US remains the biggest fish in the NATO pond, even if it is not bigger than all the others put together. Now that the current administration is tearing NATO in real time and the President is saying that his 'personal morality' trumps international law and treaties (never mind that ratified treaties stand on the same level as the Constitution, per the Constitution itself), I would imagine that the other members are working around the clock to implement their contingency plans and ramp up domestic military production and other avenues of procurement.
by fakedang | 2026-01-20 19:26:33+00:00
You can buy with RMB in a lot of countries outside the West, if they have integrated UnionPay or AliPay into their payment processors.

But more importantly, you can buy a lot of stuff from the factory of the world. Which is why a lot of countries don't mind holding the RMB. Just not enough for it to become a reserve currency, and certainly no one wants it to become the petroyuan.