MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by rayiner | 2026-01-20 16:12:04+00:00
Because most Americans don't care about what's going on in the rest of the world and basically just care about inflation: https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/HHP... (p. 16). Even after everything, a majority of Americans say Trump is doing a better job than Biden, who had worse inflation on his watch (p. 18).

Americans don't care because they don't have to. In Germany, 40-45% of GDP is exports: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?location.... In the U.S., it's just 10-11%: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.ZS?location.... Exports to the EU are just over 1% of GDP. To put that into perspective, if exports evaporated completely, that would wipe out just three years of American GDP-per-capita growth. For Germany, it would wipe out more than two decades of GDP per capita growth.

That not only means that 90% of America's economy is domestic. It means that most people have no exposure to the rest of the world through their workplaces. To the extent they do, that experience is with Canada and Mexico--we have twice as much trade with those countries as with the EU. Canada and Mexico have essentially zero meaningful leverage over the U.S. So even for the relatively few Americans who have some exposure to the rest of the world, most of their exposure is to relationships where America is the utterly dominant party.
by hightrix | 2026-01-20 16:12:04+00:00
Do you have any criticisms to the parent comment? As an American, they seem pretty spot on to the current climate.

I'd argue we've never been closer to civil war than we are today[0], primarily due to trumps regime invading cities around the country, kidnapping citizens utilizing a bounty program, and killing people in concentration camps.

Ediot: [0] - Since the last civil war. I thought that was obvious, but it seems like it isn't.
by omnicognate | 2026-01-20 16:12:32+00:00
> Its not clear to me that LLMs hallucinating is because of they are extrapolating beyond their training data. Is that proven? Or are you extrapolating?

It's a hypothesis at this stage, but I'm going to have a go at making it more quantitative. It seems the obvious explanation for "hallucinations", and it seems like it should also be rather straightforward to attribute particular inference results to the training data that influenced them. I'm expecting to encounter difficulties, though, since the idea seems so obvious it's vanishingly unlikely it hasn't been tried.

> And what exactly is your proof that human ingenuity is not just pattern matching.

Firstly, I'm not the one making a strong claim that needs to "proved". Secondly, "pattern matching" is ill-defined and not what I'm saying human intelligence isn't. I'm saying human intelligence isn't a kernel smoothing algorithm run over a corpus of text. This seems rather obvious. What's your proof that it is that?
by lateforwork | 2026-01-20 16:12:32+00:00
This quote from Trump is very revelatory:

“I’m a real estate developer, I look at a corner, I say, ‘I’ve got to get that store for the building that I’m building,’ etc. It’s not that different. I love maps. And I always said: ‘Look at the size of this. It’s massive. That should be part of the United States.’”

Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/20/us/politics/trump-greenla...
by ecshafer | 2026-01-20 16:12:43+00:00
Everything involves performing and actually proving what you know. If this is such an issue, then its something you need to fix. I have never actually met anyone who has this “perfomance anxiety” where they are so brilliant but do poorly on tests because of it. I think its a myth to attack rigor of academics. For knowledge workers everntually you have to go into court, or perform surgery, or do the taxes or give the presentation, or have the high pressure meeting. If anxiety is truly debilitating to the person all of these situations theyll be doomed so filter them out.
by xienze | 2026-01-20 16:12:46+00:00
> Very easy to dismiss it as the rantings of a madman but no-one is holding him back.

Does anyone really need to? We're not getting Greenland and everyone knows it, ESPECIALLY the people screeching the most about it. Trump's whole thing is giving the media lots of fresh meat to go wild over so they're distracted. I'm sure it's some sort of Sun Tzu thing he read about and has latched on to.

However, this one in particular is really baffling in that he can't let it go and it just makes everything worse.

> People didn't take the tariff bluster seriously and then it became very real.

I mean, not really? There's been some tariffs here and there but nowhere near what was originally claimed, things have been walked back and forth multiple times, etc. That's really what's caused the most damage, the uncertainty moreso than the actual tariffs. And this is also something he's particular fixated on and I wish he'd drop since it's obvious it's not going to have the intended outcome.
by JasonADrury | 2026-01-20 16:13:12+00:00
Go on, actually use words.

Instead of saying "you're being obtuse", say "It seems that you're being obtuse here because ..."

> reconsider how you communicate and how you expect others to read it.

I think the problem is firmly on your side. If we're discussing potential approaches to dealing with political leadership that's on track to start a massive war and possibly get millions of people killed, violence is inherently going to feature in those conversations.

Where would you even draw the line? If a hypothetical leader of a country came on the TV suggesting that we should build large camps where we will kill all the jews, would it be okay to shoot them then? What if we replace killing the jews with re-educating gay people?
by yardie | 2026-01-20 16:13:16+00:00
> When one would finish her exam, she would come back to the room and tell all the remaining students what questions she had and how she solved them. We never considered that "cheating" and, as a professor, I always design my exams hoping that the good one (who usually choose to pass the exam early) will help the remaining crowd.

You are an outlier. When I was in school any outside assistance was tantamount to cheating and, unlike an actual crime, it was on the student to prove they were not cheating. Just the suspicion was enough to get you put in front of an honor board.

It was also pervasive. I would say 40% of international students were cheaters. When some were caught they fell back on cultural norms as their defense. The university never balked because those students, or their institutions, paid tuition in cash.
by thomas_witt | 2026-01-20 16:13:16+00:00
My point is, just from my perspective (YMMV), the Porsche cars are pretty perfect. I have a hard time finding a car which behaves more precisely and reliably on the street, regardless of the speed, than a 911 or 718 - or a Taycan or Panamera.

That refers back to my original answer when the poster said Porsche are "in trouble" because they are "technologically underequipped" and "don't deliver meaningful benefits". There is a lot of stuff China and other carmakers haven't caught up to. Will they in the future? Maybe.

To take that German-centric thing out: Try going on a mountain road and have fun in the corners. I am sure, if you have multiple cars to do the same thing, the Porsche will rank pretty high.

In any case, of course, this is all a pretty niche market for people who love driving sports cars. In 99%, a Toyota can deliver exactly the same value for the base use case (going from A to B) for way less money.
by cakehonolulu | 2026-01-20 16:13:20+00:00
You can definitely proxy the transactions wherever you may see fit, but I'm not completely sure how that'd work.

As in, PCIem is going to populate the bus with virtually the same card (At least, in terms of capabilities, vendor/product id... and whanot) so I don't see how you'd then add another layer of indirection that somehow can transparently process the unfiltered transaction stream PCIem provides to it to an actual PCIe card on the bus. I feel like there's many colliding responsabilities in this.

I would instead suggest to have some sort of behavioural model (As in, have a predefined set of data to feed from/to) and have PCIem log all the accesses your real driver does. That way the driver would have enough infrastructure not to crash and at the same time you'd get the transport layer information.
by ahartmetz | 2026-01-20 16:13:57+00:00
Then we just need to wait until the Ukraine situation is over in one way or another. China doesn't give a shit about Russia except as a (pathetic) counterweight to the US, I think. I mean they probably care about Russia's natural resources, too, but somebody is going to sell them, including to China, no matter what. It's the biggest thing that Russia has going for it economically (cf. the resource curse).
by pax | 2026-01-20 16:14:21+00:00
I'm a bit confused on how this works, besides using the search each time I need to launch an app. Could I have more shortcuts in the home screen, or just what I pin as favourite apps?

And am I limited to only one space/desktop, normally if I swipe right, I get to the next desktop where I have other apps. So I can launch an app from the 3rd desktop with 2 swipes and a press. Now, swiping right I get the full list of apps where I'd need to search.

I couldn't find answers to this in the documentation
by traceroute66 | 2026-01-20 16:14:42+00:00
> I hope president of France understands that

I'm sure he does.

But only a fool would piss off the Chinese.

Both in Macron's own country and his region, there will be hundreds of companies who are already cut-off from Russia, Africa, Middle-East and Central Asia due to geopolitics. China doesn't care and is busy selling there.

So what's left is the remainder of Asia, which is China's home turf where they are already ultra-competitive as they have the geographic advantage.

And of course there will be companies in Macron's country and region using Chinese manufacturing or otherwise engaged in Chinese JVs to get access to sell to the Chinese market.

So for Macron to go full-Trump on China would be a textbook case of cutting your nose to spite your face. The Chinese are masters at playing the long game and the West needs to be careful about knee-jerk short-termism actions.
by g_delgado14 | 2026-01-20 16:14:54+00:00
> A new civil war that drives the US to fragment into several independent regions over the course of the next ~five years would kind of be the best scenario from a global perspective.

The US isn't going to passively give up its hold on the world order. You don't think this would trigger a world war?

And if / when the US does topple (whether in 10 years or in 1000 years), at the moment it looks like the only viable next leaders in the world order are autocratic dictatorships.

How is this a best scenario from a global perspective?
by wtcactus | 2026-01-20 16:15:02+00:00
With Trump pressuring the independence of the central bank, this doesn't seem symbolism at all.

It might very well be that the USA will face a period of high inflation soon if we continue down this path of high government spending and no independent central bank to put a break on it.

And I can't even understand why this obsession of lowering interest rates in the USA. The economy is doing great, there's no shortage of investment money going around. There's really no reason to lower in the interest rates before we tackle the leftover inflation that still comes from the COVID measures.

It's Trump's personal insecurities playing again and not allowing anyone to tell him "no". What a child.
by JumpinJack_Cash | 2026-01-20 16:15:03+00:00
The GOP is the bicentennial institution , the anchor that 50% of the country see as the bastion against progressivism

Conservatism vs. Progressivism will keep raging on for the whole eternity.

Trumpism is for sure made up of the 400 enablers who took control of the bicentennial institution that is the GOP
by kqr | 2026-01-20 16:15:22+00:00
It uses stone scoring, so it is indeed correct.

Stone scoring is equivalent to area scoring (as used in Chinese rules) modulo a "group tax" of two points per separate group.

It's still not a good idea to play inside your own territory as long as there are neutral points on the board. (Except in more complicated situations where it might be necessary.)
by toomuchtodo | 2026-01-20 16:15:34+00:00
In longitudinal surveys, typically, about 5% of folks elect the "some men want to watch the world burn" option. I cannot speak to the glee component you mention, I know these people exist, but they are a minority. I can speak to the ongoing political polarization that treats national politics as a sport and is avoiding course correcting fiscal policy trajectory. And this fiscal policy is going to lead to widening wealth inequality, a continuation of a K shaped economic recovery, and pushing the electorate to more extreme options besides the voting booth. No one is "winning", there is no moderate middle ground any more, and I don't see how this trajectory will change. Thanks Gingrich (who set us on this path decades ago)!

Nearly 40% of Young Americans Say Political Violence Is Acceptable in Certain Circumstances, Harvard Poll Finds - https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2025/12/4/hpop-poll-polit... - December 4th, 2025

Americans say politically motivated violence is increasing, and they see many reasons why - https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/10/23/americans... - October 23rd, 2025
by ikidd | 2026-01-20 16:15:40+00:00
If you're building something new, stick with languages/problems/projects that have plenty of analogues in the opensource world and keep your context windows small, with small changes.

One-shotting an application that is very bespoke and niche is not going to go well, and same goes for working on an existing codebase without a pile of background work on helping the model understand it piece by piece, and then restricting it to small changes in well-defined areas.

It's like teaching an intern.
by myrandomcomment | 2026-01-20 16:15:44+00:00
I own 2 cars, both Porsche. Mine is a 15 year old Boxster S. The wife has a brand new Macan 4S EV. It is a brilliant car. 280mi/450km @ 80% charge and no issues with the cold. It was 27F/-3.5C this morning.

I will never buy a gas car again. I plan to keep my Boxster until I can buy an EV version.
by orwin | 2026-01-20 16:15:55+00:00
I still think it's useful, but you have to make a heavy use of the 'plan' mode. I still ask the new hires to avoid doing more than just the plan (or at most generating tests cases), so they can understand the codebase before generating new code inside.

Basically my point of view is that if you don't feel comfortable reviewing your coworkers code, you shouldn't generate code with AI, because you will review it badly and then I will have to catch the bugs and fix it (happened 24 hours ago). If you generate code, you better understand where it can generate side effects.
by perching_aix | 2026-01-20 16:15:57+00:00
Not sure I follow the allegory, could you substantiate?

I'm not sure specifically e.g. why being an engineer would put someone at an outsized disadvantage against the already hopeless notion of "understanding how the world works [in its totality?]".

One would think being smart and educated would put them ahead of the pack, even if they overestimate how smart and educated they are compared to others, or fall victim to the consequences of that - an accusation engineers commonly recieve on social media, with similarly high suggestiveness, and similarly little substantiation.
by saurabhjain1592 | 2026-01-20 16:16:10+00:00
Good question. The overhead is designed to be low enough for inline enforcement. For the fast, rule based checks we typically see single digit millisecond evaluation time, and in gateway mode the end to end pre check usually adds around 10 to 15 ms.

You’re right that relative to an LLM call this is usually negligible, but we still treat it seriously because policy checks also sit in front of tool calls and other non LLM operations where latency matters more. That’s why the static checks are compiled and cached and the gateway path is kept tight.

If you want more detail, I have a longer architecture walkthrough that goes into the execution path and performance model: https://youtu.be/hvJMs3oJOEc
by NetMageSCW | 2026-01-20 16:16:45+00:00
PHEV owners only need to charge at home (and if they can’t, don’t need a PHEV) and use electric power for local commuting.

The future of BEVs (and the most practical today) is also charging at home, and available chargers can grow slowly with BEVs used for road trips. Tesla is pretty close to there already. So, chargers don’t need to ubiquitous, just a bit more available on less common road trip routes.
by dim0r | 2026-01-20 16:17:04+00:00
CTO here.

We built this because we’re seeing a shift from "chatting with agents" to event-driven flows (agents reacting to webhooks, PRs, or tickets in the background).

The problem we hit was responsibility. An agent can technically execute a stripe.refund tool call, but it cannot weigh the consequences of a $50 refund vs. a $5,000 refund. It lacks the context of risk.

We built the proxy to bridge that gap. It lets the agent run autonomously 99% of the time, but forces a "hardware interrupt" (human check) when the stakes get high. We handle the state management of pausing that headless workflow so you don't have to build custom polling logic into every bot.
by blibble | 2026-01-20 16:17:05+00:00
> The US is more stable than the powers of Europe (which have constant political upheavals, snap elections that completely remake the political landscape, etc). You're confusing Trump's mouth with how the US political system actually functions.

this is satire right?

the UK's system is close to 1000 years old

I doubt the current US system will last another decade

> with hundreds of global military bases

all of which will evaporate the moment it does anything to Greenland
by palmotea | 2026-01-20 16:17:11+00:00
> The US economy is in a very precarious state, tensions along political ideology lines are high, and it would not take much more than a worsening of economic conditions plus a catalyst event to kick off armed unrest within the country.

Do you remember the situation that precipitated the Nazi takeover of Germany? Wasn't it hyperinflation and economic collapse? And you think it would be a good idea to push the US further in that direction?

You'll get worse, not better.

> A new civil war that drives the US to fragment into several independent regions over the course of the next ~five years would kind of be the best scenario from a global perspective.

Are you serious? That's an utterly insane idea. The best scenario from a global perspective is the US regains its stability. Europe is in no position to defend itself militarily, it relies on US support via NATO. I believe similar is true of Japan and other countries. A US civil war would only help Russia and China (Russia would gobble up Ukraine and who knows what else, China would take Taiwan and dominate/subjugate the rest of Asia, like Japan, in some fashion that non-Chinese nations wouldn't be happy with).

Also US polarization isn't regional (e.g. a big part is urban/rural). There's no "fragmentation into independent regions" that would really solve the problem.
by alephnerd | 2026-01-20 16:17:12+00:00
> China doesn't give a shit about Russia except as a (pathetic) counterweight to the US, I think

China needs to keep close ties with Russia due to national security interests in Central Asia and North Korea. Additionally, Russia maintains its autonomy by retaining military and economic ties with India and military deployments and listening bases in Vietnam and North Korea, which adds pressure on China to have to collaborate with Russia.

> ...counterweight to the US...

Chinese foreign policy is almost entirely viewed through the lens of the US-China rivalry. Europeans underestimate this to their peril. And to China, an unaligned Europe is still not pro-China enough.
by devolving-dev | 2026-01-20 16:17:15+00:00
Whether driven by fear or by their model weights or whatever, I don't think that the likelihood of an AI agent, at least the current ones like Claude and Codex, acting maliciously to harm my systems is much different than the risk of a human employee doing so. And I think this is the philosophical difference between those who embrace the agents, they view them as akin to humans, while those who sandbox them view them as akin to computer viruses that you study within a sandbox. It seems to me that the human analogy is more accurate, but I can see arguments for the other position.
by Arnt | 2026-01-20 16:17:19+00:00
The normal trading volume isn't really the key. Rather, it's how elastic the price is.

Suppose these guys sell 10% of the daily trading volume. How do the traders in the market react? One possibility: Buy at current prices. Another: Speculate that there'll be more sales and the price will drop by a couple of per cent in the coming days/weeks, and delay their buying in order to buy the dip.

I'm sure the Americans have laid plans for how to avoid a major Oops.
by emilecantin | 2026-01-20 16:17:27+00:00
A loop I've found that works pretty well for bugs is this:

- Ask Claude to look at my current in-progress task (from Github/Jira/whatever) and repro the bug using the Chrome MCP.

- Ask it to fix it

- Review the code manually, usually it's pretty self-contained and easy to ensure it does what I want

- If I'm feeling cautious, ask it to run "manual" tests on related components (this is a huge time-saver!)

- Ask it to help me prepare the PR: This refers to instructions I put in CLAUDE.md so it gives me a branch name, commit message and PR description based on our internal processes.

- I do the commit operations, PR and stuff myself, often tweaking the messages / description.

- Clear context / start a new conversation for the next bug.

On a personal project where I'm less concerned about code quality, I'll often do the plan->implementation approach. Getting pretty in-depth about your requirements ovbiously leads to a much better plan. For fixing bugs it really helps to tell the model to check its assumptions, because that's often where it gets stuck and create new bugs while fixing others.

All in all, I think it's working for me. I'll tackle 2-3 day refactors in an afternoon. But obviously there's a learning curve and having the technical skills to know what you want will give you much better results.
by disgruntledphd2 | 2026-01-20 16:17:29+00:00
> We live in a capitalism

The absence of capital controls is a political choice that people appear to believe is just a law of the world.

If there were capital controls then local manufacturing makes more sense.

It would kill the US stock market so it's unlikely to happen, but personally I don't see how unrestricted capital and restricted labour is anything but a recipe for disaster (the consequences of which we've seen in the US and Europe since the financial crisis).
by simiones | 2026-01-20 16:17:29+00:00
Not really. Even the electric force is not purely time symmetric - you have to flip the sign of the charge if you want to flip the direction between forwards vs backward in time.

Even worse, the weak force breaks another symmetry as well, parity symmetry (which basically means that moving backward in time, weak force particles "look" like their mirror image, instead of looking the same).
by pnathan | 2026-01-20 16:17:54+00:00
> 30 years ago, it was safe to go to vendor XY page and download his latest version and it was more or less waterproof.

You _are_ joking, right? I distinctly remember all sorts of dubious freewarez sites with slightly modified installers. 1997-2000 era. And anti-virus was a thing in MS-DOS even.