MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by aurareturn | 2025-11-26 15:38:39+00:00
The team also assumes LLM companies will capture 2 per cent of the digital advertising market in revenue, from slightly more than zero currently.

This seems quite low. Meta has 3.5 billion users and projected ~$200b revenue in 2025. ChatGPT is at ~1 billion so far. By 2030, let's just stay ChatGPT reaches 2 billion years or 57% of Meta's current users. I'd like to think that OpenAI's digital ad revenue should reach 10% by 2030 an then accelerate from there. In my opinion, the data that ChatGPT has on a user is better than the inferred user data from Instagram/FB usage. I think ChatGPT can build a better advertisement profile of each user than Meta can which can lead to better ad targeting. Further more, I think ChatGPT can really create a novel advertisement platform such as learning about sponsored products directly via chat. I'm already asking ChatGPT about potential products and services everyday like medicine, travel, gadgets, etc.

I think people are severely underestimating ChatGPT as a way to make money other than subscriptions. I also think people are underestimating the branding power ChatGPT has already. All my friends have ChatGPT on their phone. None of them except me has Gemini or Claude app.

This doesn't account for OpenAI's other ambitions such as Sora app.

Hey Sam Altman or OpenAI employee, if you are reading this, I think you should buy the North American version of TikTok if the opportunity presents itself. The future of short videos will be heavily AI generated/assisted. Combine Tiktok's audience with your Sora tools and ChatGPT data and you got yourself a true Instagram competitor immediately. If the $14b sales price of US Tiktok is real, that's an absolute bargain in the grand scheme of things.
by mlmonkey | 2025-11-26 15:39:18+00:00
As a "tradional" ML guy who missed out on learning about RL in school, I'm confused about how to use RL in "traditional" problems.

Take, for example, a typical binary classifier with a BCE loss. Suppose I wanted to shoehorn RL onto this: how would I do that?

Or, for example, the House Value problem (given a set of features about a house for sale, predict its expected sale value). How would I slap RL onto that?

I guess my confusion comes from how the losses are hooked up. Traditional losses (BCE, RMSE, etc.) I know about; but how do you bring RL loss into problems?
by bellamoon544 | 2025-11-26 15:39:39+00:00
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by phil21 | 2025-11-26 15:39:51+00:00
>The "something" that happened was ads. They poisoned all the fun and interest out of technology.

Disagree. Ads hurt, but not as much as technology being invaded by the regular masses who have no inherit interest in tech for the sake of tech. Ads came after this since they needed an audience first.

Once that line was crossed, it all became far less fun for those who were in it for the sheer joy, exploration, and escape from the mundane social expectations wider society has.

It may encompass both "hot takes" to simply say money ruined tech. Once future finance bros realized tech was easier than being an investment banker for the easy life - all hope was lost.
by mikece | 2025-11-26 15:39:53+00:00
Based on metrics designed by Lockheed Martin? The Fat Amy[1] can be a good plane and clearly superior for certain tasks but unless Canada plans to be in a hot war where air power is paramount it would make more sense to get the Gripen and save a ton of money.

[1] https://www.google.com/search?q=fat+amy+f-35
by Johanx64 | 2025-11-26 15:40:18+00:00
Nobody is trying to appeal to "pro-AI crowd" (whatever the fuck that even means) when they use AI tools.

If an indie (or even less of an indie) is using AI generation, they are doing so to save costs or work around their very limited budget. Or using it to work around some limitations where voicecasting every line would be infeasible, etc.

And losing the small portion of the miniscule-vocal-always-complaining crowd (who odds are - wasnt part of their audience to begin with), to be able to use AI-gen is not a loss at all.

Data on Steam is telling, these tools are becoming increasingly prevalent.
by _wire_ | 2025-11-26 15:40:59+00:00
> But real gold has been fully digitized. It's easy to buy and hold gold without ever taking physical custody of it.

(...point by point gets sillier, until...)

> Right now, the "smart money" knows that the best available "digital gold" is actually the real thing --- bullion.

--

Impressively obtuse and confused reasoning! A case study for Brandolini's Law and Hegelian mental gymnastics.

--

The commenter omitted the final point, so here's Doctorow last week on "Boss preppers":

https://pluralistic.net/2025/11/22/eschatology-watch/#guillo...

"The modern goldbug is a crypto weirdo, and that a weird thing to be a prepper about. It will be a very odd apocalypse that takes down all of modern civilization except for blockchains."
by femiagbabiaka | 2025-11-26 15:41:10+00:00
I think that a company with a global monopoly on a thinking machine that replaces wide swaths of current internet business categories, whose user base makes up most of the world outside of the GFW, would be very valuable on the public market and would probably have access to as much debt as they want, even if it had negative consequences for the world economy. Even the 2nd or 3rd place company in that race will be quite profitable. It's not impossible, just implausible.
by miohtama | 2025-11-26 15:41:16+00:00
The trick is that because they could not pass the proposal that enforces message scanning, now this proposal defines "high risk activities" and in the case of high risk activity, the national authorities can force someone to comply (i.e. start to scan messages, block, stop activity).

Here is the actual text: https://data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/ST-15318-2025-...

High risk classification is at the end of the text.

Some highlights of what is defined as high risk, and thus can be forced to go through mandatory scanning or forbidden:

- Encrypted messaging follows closely due to privacy concerns and the potential for misuse. Posting and sharing of multimedia content are also high-risk activities, as they can easily disseminate harmful material.

- The platform lacks functionalities to prevent users from saving harmful content (by making recordings, screenshots etc.) for the purpose of the dissemination thereof (such as for example not allowing recording and screenshotting content shared by minors)

- Possibility to use peer-to-peer downloading (allows direct sharing of content without using centralised servers)

- The platforms’ storage functionalities and/or the legal framework of the country of storage do not allow sharing information with law enforcement authorities.

- The platform lacks functionalities to limit the number of downloads per user to reduce the dissemination of harmful content.

- Making design choices such as ensuring that E2EE is opt-in by default, rather than opt-out would require people to choose E2EE should they wish to use it, therefore allowing certain detection technologies to work for communication between users that have not opted in to E2EE

Also, a lot of these points do not sound like they are about the safety of children

- Platforms lack a premoderation system, allowing potentially harmful content to be posted without oversight or moderation

- Frequent use of anonymous accounts

- Frequent Pseudonymous behavior

- Frequent creation of temporary accounts:

- Lack of identity verification tools

Based on the light of the proposal, Hacker News is very dangerous place and need to have its identity verification and CSAM policies fixed, or face the upcoming fines in the EU.
by sillyfluke | 2025-11-26 15:41:27+00:00
You're stubbornly refusing to read comments in good faith and preferring to nitpick things that don't affect the general point and avoiding to answer a relevant question.

At the end of the day, both being based there and creating a hub require significant investment by the tech company. I'm trying to assess whether they made a forward-looking decision or a hasty one. The stability and robustness of Serbian infrastructure would be one important criteria for me when considering whether to create a hub there or not. Them not mentioning it in their post does not protect them from its effects or shortcomings in the future.
by saurik | 2025-11-26 15:41:30+00:00
> Why would someone think they would keep the weight off? If they could they would have before Ozempic.

I think the intuition many people have--which I am not at all defending as correct, but it certainly isn't so obviously wrong that we should scoff at someone for thinking it works this way--is more like "if my weight was stable before I did this intervention, I just need to lose the weight and then my weight will once again be stable after it"; in this mental model, one would assume you only need lots of willpower to lose weight: after, you only will need as much willpower as you already know you have to not gain it back, as it isn't as if you are gaining weight currently.
by mattgreenrocks | 2025-11-26 15:41:36+00:00
> This is the culture that replaced hacker culture.

Somewhere along the lines of "everybody can code," we threw out the values and aesthetics that attracted people in the first place. What began as a rejection of externally imposed values devolved into a mouthpiece of the current powers and principalities.

This is evidenced by the new set of hacker values being almost purely performative when compared against the old set. The tension between money and what you make has been boiled away completely. We lean much more heavily on where someone has worked ("ex-Google") vs their tech chops, which (like management), have given up on trying to actually evaluate. We routinely devalue craftsmanship because it doesn't bow down to almighty Business Impact.

We sold out the culture, which paved the way for it to be hollowed out by LLMs.

There is a way out: we need to create a culture that values craftmanship and dignifies work done by developers. We need to talk seriously and plainly about the spiritual and existential damage done by LLMs. We need to stop being complicit in propagating that noxious cloud of inevitability and nihilism that is choking our culture. We need to call out the bullshit and extended psyops ("all software jobs are going away!") that have gone on for the past 2-3 years, and mock it ruthlessly: despite hundreds of billions of dollars, it hasn't fully delivered on its promises, and investors are starting to be a bit skeptical.

In short, it's time to wake up.
by Refreeze5224 | 2025-11-26 15:41:57+00:00
Lucky for you, I'm not a Marxist. There is a very large current of people who are socialists but not Marxists, and have spent literally over a century analyzing history, economics, and capitalism itself, without insisting on the coercive hierarchy of Marxism or capitalism. And it has a long history of working in practice, even if in the modern day it tends to be crushed by both Marxist and capitalist forces, because who knew an authoritarian structure could allow you to command huge armies and oppress others?

You seem well aware of authoritarian communism, but generally unaware of libertarian socialism. They are distinct, and the latter has a decades long history of despising the former as much as you do, though for being based on the same primary issue as capitalism: coercive hierarchy.

It all starts with assuming the freedom of human beings, and that the only way to organize a system has nothing to do with efficiency or profit, and everything to do with maintaining that human freedom. It must be based on human freedom, and the concept that no one knows how to run your life better than you do. That no one deserves to be able to force you to do things. Whole systems arise from that fact, that have a long basis in history. As I've said elsewhere, you don't end up with men on the moon or dollar stores, but you do get people who are in control of their own lives.
by jvanderbot | 2025-11-26 15:42:23+00:00
It's not just "juniors". It's people who should know better turning out LLM junk outside their actual experience areas because "They are experienced enough to use LLMs".

There are just some things that need lots of extra scrutiny in a system, and the experienced ones know where that is. An LLM rarely seems to, especially for systems of anywhere near real world production size.
Show HN: DAGForge – Build Airflow DAGs with AI in minutes, not weeks
by anvtek | 2025-11-26 15:42:55+00:00
Built DAGForge to make generating and validating Airflow DAGs much faster. Most AI tools produce broken or incomplete DAGs, so I added:

Airflow-aware validation (operators, imports, params)

Syntax + security checks

Deterministic JSON parsing to avoid hallucinations

Support for local or cloud LLMs

Would love feedback from data engineers and Airflow users.

Demo: https://dagforge.com
by surajrmal | 2025-11-26 15:43:06+00:00
Everyone is welcome to their own opinions and there is definitely movement in the right direction. However, it's a far cry from catching up. std: variant doesn't force you to check the tag and doesn't have any easy way to exhaustively match on all types it stores. I'm not sure I understand what you're comparing it to I'm terms of tuples. Forcing everything to be "nullable" or have a default state can be painful to deal with and introduces invariants I often wish were impossible. Ranges are definitely nice compared to what we had before. I'm probably just not used to them, but they aren't always intuitive for me and spelling them is very verbose. It's not nearly as simple as calling map and filter on a collection or iterator.
by mountainriver | 2025-11-26 15:43:11+00:00
Take it with a grain of salt, this is one man’s opinion, even though he is a very smart man.

People have been screaming about an AI winter since 2010 and it never happened, it certainly won’t happen now that we are close to AGI which is a necessity for national defense.

I prefer Dario’s perspective here, which is that we’ve seen this story before in deep learning. We hit walls and then found ways around them with better activation functions, regularization and initialization.

This stuff is always a progression in which we hit roadblocks and find ways around them. The chart of improvement is still linearly up and to the right. Those gains are the cumulation of small improvements adding up.
by infinet | 2025-11-26 15:43:12+00:00
That traditional biomass stove in paper's figures is perhaps the worst stove imaginable. Its efficiency could below 10%. Better designed stove has efficiency above 30% and has much less indoor air pollution.

That being said, the more I read it, the more I like this PV steam cooker. It is simple and easy to scale up by adding more PV panels and more sands. Although Ghana is close to the equator, I wonder whether it worth to steer the PV panels during the day.

Edit, efficiency measured by energy transferred to boiling water or cooking vs energy released from burning biomass.
by Herring | 2025-11-26 15:43:32+00:00
> Everybody should be as unhappy as me

I'm not from the US and I think that attitude is fucked up. You'll get your wish -- the US has been steadily dropping on the lists of "World's Happiest Countries"[1]. But luckily I don't need to do anything. Nature will teach you what a simple text box cannot. Eventually you guys will ruin all your important institutions & become deeply unhappy & hit rock bottom & start meditating or something.

[1] https://data.worldhappiness.report/chart -- Fit a line and you can extrapolate by ~2030 China will be a better place to live. That's really not that far away. That attitude is not "universal".
by disgruntledphd2 | 2025-11-26 15:43:49+00:00
Actually yes (I did mean to check again but I hadn't seen evidence of this before).

I do think that this seems odd, looks like they're hiring an IC to build some of this stuff, which seems odd as I would have expected them to be hiring multiple teams.

That being said, the earliest they could start making decent money from this is 2028, and if we don't see them hire a real sales team by next March then it's more likely to be 2030 or so.
by glenstein | 2025-11-26 15:43:54+00:00
Not that we would literally do this with Voyager, but it makes me wonder at the potential utility of a string of probes, one sent every couple of [insert correct time interval, decades, centuries?], to effectively create a communication relay stretching out into deep space somewhere.

My understanding with the Voyagers 1 and 2 is (a) they will run out of power before they would ever get far enough to benefit from a relay and (b) they benefited from gravity slingshots due to planetary alignments that happen only once every 175 years.

So building on the Voyager probes is a no-go. But probes sent toward Alpha Centauri that relay signals? Toward the center of the Milky Way? Toward Andromeda? Yes it would take time scales far beyond human lifetimes to build out anything useful, and even at the "closest" scales it's a multi year round trip for information but I think Voyager, among other things, was meant to test our imaginations, our sense of possible and one thing they seem to naturally imply is the possibility of long distance probe relays.

Edit: As others rightly note, the probes would have to communicate with lasers, not with the 1970s radio engineering that powered Voyagers 1 and 2.
by kykat | 2025-11-26 15:44:03+00:00
From the license:

THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE.
by elashri | 2025-11-26 15:44:11+00:00
Wow, this gives a reflection about our future. The nearest potentially habitable planet known is Proxima Centauri b, which orbits the red dwarf star Proxima Centauri about 4 light‑years from Earth (at least it is in a habitable zone of its star) [1]. So we don't have a choice actually except protecting and make sure our planet survives. That's regardless if it really would be able to support life as we know or not (probably not).

[1] https://science.nasa.gov/resource/proxima-b-3d-model/
by Reubachi | 2025-11-26 15:44:38+00:00
Man, this is Tom's Hardware, and the author (H. Nasir) isn't exactly a contnent mill. He doesn't reference AI in any source, and this article is in line with his other writing styles.

It worries me that the "average HNer" doesn't perform independent analysis on even the headlines anymore, but rather the "top comment/flavor of the month" opinion at the top of the discussion.

It is...dangerous to then say "I wish we we could flag these posts as AI-authored"

Dang has done an incredible job with the flagging system, and it is reliant on the shared understanding of the users here that we are all acting in good faith and not performing surface level analysis/criticism.
by rhines | 2025-11-26 15:44:48+00:00
I could see it building habits that persist even when no longer using the drugs. They've found other things to fill their time instead of eating, and things which would previously trigger them to start eating now trigger them to do other things.

There's of course a risk that when they stop the drugs that hunger will drive them to re-establish those habits, but now that they have new habits that fight that hunger they are in a much better position to resist it than they were when they'd initially established their eating patterns.
by tracker1 | 2025-11-26 15:44:49+00:00
On images... I think it might be best to handle a lot of it outside the core... possibly a nuget package that embeds ImageMagick, OptiPng and some other utilities for the purpose of image manipulation in general. The .Net experience itself has always been somewhat poor here.

As to the breaking changes... .Net Core 1.0 was nearly a decade ago... I understand that some people may want to continue running Windows 7 too, but eventually the world moves on and you either update or use a stale version.

The shift to Core and the breakup of a lot of bits comes down to the need to better support running on platforms outside windows... or, .Net itself would have likely died off completely. Most of the .Net projects I've worked on for close to a decade now have been deploying to Linux/Docker... If it weren't for Core/5+ as a shift, it would have been under another language/toolkit entirely.
by everdrive | 2025-11-26 15:45:21+00:00
>on my Apple TV

Not sure why you would rely on an AppleTV or any bespoke streaming device. It's effectively a service. If you like it right now, it will be worse in a few weeks, months, or years. Eventually it will be unsupported even though the hardware still works fine. You don't own it an it'll just be made worse by the different incentives of the hardware provide and the media streaming companies.
by dc396 | 2025-11-26 15:45:46+00:00
Asking the US Dept. of State would almost certainly result in "huh?" from the folks there. The part of the USG that plays in the ICANN kiddie pool is US Dept. of Commerce (NTIA) and they no longer have a veto on what ICANN does.

One of the issues is section 4.2 of the IANA Naming Functions contract:

"[...] Contractor must be able to demonstrate that all primary operations and systems will remain within the United States (including the District of Columbia). [...]"

The Key Management Facilities are considered a part of the "primary operations and systems". IIRC, this clause was included in order to move the transition of the IANA functions forward in the face of some resistance within the US government.

Until that bit of legalese is revised, there will be no movement on creating a non-US key management facility. I believe changing the IANA Functions contract requires the Customer Standing Committee. As far as I am aware, no one within the CSC thought it worth the effort, i.e., "if it ain't broke, don't fix it".

Perhaps under the current US administration, that feeling as changed, but I haven't heard of any significant efforts in that regard.
by Aurornis | 2025-11-26 15:45:53+00:00
> but that was the "scene" to me back in the day.

Same. Back then, and even now, the people who were busy criticizing other people for using the wrong programming language, text editor, or operating system were a different set of people than the ones actually delivering results.

In a way it was like hacker fashion: These people knew what was hot and what was not. They ran the right window manager on the right hardware and had the right text editor and their shell was tricked out. They knew what to sneer at and what to criticize for fashion points. But actually accomplishing things was, and still is, orthogonal to being fashionable.