MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by klodolph | 2025-10-18 02:32:03+00:00
I think one of the traps we fall into is imagining that an attacker is somehow intelligent (someone who can immediately attack video storage) but simultaneously uncreative (doesn’t think of some way to make the surveillance footage irrelevant).

I’ve decided that I’m not a high-profile target for covert operatives, but I am a target of opportunity for people who have access to my data once that data is outside of my control. The decisions I make based on that are decisions like, “No surveillance feed goes into cloud services operated by companies I don’t trust,” but “I don’t need to encrypt my NAS”.
by wakawaka28 | 2025-10-18 02:32:56+00:00
I'm definitely getting downvoted primarily for my opinions and disagreement. I don't know if you've noticed but people really hate being proven wrong or challenged on their opinions. The default is they treat you like a jerk unless you kiss enough ass, and even then they probably still hate it. If I waffle around and get carpal tunnel from typing out overly polite replies to absurd takes, I might avoid some of the downvotes. But there's no pleasing these people. I wouldn't care so much if not for the hive mind effect, where people like me can't downvote anyone no matter how rude or wrong they are. It creates an illusion of consensus, and reinforces bad ideas.
by danielvaughn | 2025-10-18 02:33:22+00:00
I have a very surface level understanding of AI, and yet this always seemed obvious to me. It's almost a fundamental law of the universe that complexity of any kind has a long tail. So you can get AI to faithfully replicate 90% of a particular domain skill. That's phenomenal, and by itself can yield value for companies. But the journey from 90%-100% is going to be a very difficult march.
by aftbit | 2025-10-18 02:34:23+00:00
This is why I leased my EV rather than bought it. EVs are more expensive than gas cars (at least here in USA) and the last few years have brought an incredible amount of technological change. When I bought my last (ICE) car, I considered the purchase on a 10 year time scale. With how quickly EVs are improving right now, I would hate to lock in to 10 years.

That's before you even consider battery degradation. So much of the value of these cars is in the battery, to the point I almost wonder if they are making money, even selling them at these prices. I had to have my IONIQ 5 battery replaced under warranty within a month of buying the car, and the price that Hyundai charged themselves for the battery was more than the cost of the car brand new off the lot, even before incentives. Yes, that's the right hand charging the left, and they'll refurbish my failed pack (a single weak cell) and recoup most of the cost... but it was still a shock to see that.
by stego-tech | 2025-10-18 02:35:40+00:00
I consider myself lucky that I got to witness this blog post peter out in real life with a parental figure of mine, and thus internalize what sort of career track I’d like to have/work toward.

For me? I’d like to be a CIO someday - and believe I can get there, albeit for a smaller firm where outcomes are more important than politics, which rules out basically all of the Fortune 500. I’m fine if I don’t reach that point, though, as everything outside of work is ultimately more important - relationships, hobbies, enjoying this fleeting existence. Work is a means to an end, and so my skills are means to the end of a better career. I don’t think in terms of salary bands or titles, I look at my career in terms of skills and opportunities.

The traditional career is dead, is my (meandering) point. This article gives some sorely needed wake-up calls that we need to think bigger and more holistically than mere promotion cycles if we want to find our personal success.
by spjt | 2025-10-18 02:37:04+00:00
The difference with fusion is that we have a very good understanding of how fusion works, and exactly what we need to figure out how to do, to make it a viable energy source. It's basically just an engineering problem, albeit a very difficult one due to the extreme conditions. AGI is more like developing warp drive. With AGI, we really have no idea how the brain works or any clue of what problems need to be solved. It's basically just like the underpants gnomes.

Phase 1: Buying more GPU to increase the number of parameters in a LLM Phase 2: ??? Phase 3: AGI

AGI may come anywhere between next week, 1000 years in the future, or never. Anyone who claims to have any idea is full of shit, because we don't even know what problems we need to solve to get there. If we develop a good model of how human cognition works at a biological level, there is at least a direction, but that isn't going to be coming out of some AI hype factory with a datacenter full of H100's making videos of anthropomorphic cats working as pastry chefs.
by pols45 | 2025-10-18 02:37:05+00:00
Philosophers have long pointed out the missing feature with Science/Rationalism.

And that is when faced with randomness, unpredictability and lack of control, in general, a retreat takes place.

"There is no solution in the book/there is no time/there are no resources/it's not my fault/everyone else has to do x y z/don't hold me responsible for that persons suffering".

Basically any time a problem doesn't have a solution or a "elegant" solution, do a poll on how many scientists/innovators/business leaders/engineers will avoid it or not take responsibility for orchestrating an organized response to hold the space, until a solution is found. Its not in their training. So the majority just retreat. Into their work. "Doing" science/tech provides a very easy path to detachment. And then that detachment gets defended in all kinds of misguided ways, causing more confusion and misunderstandings as can be seen in this specific debate. But it applies in all debates.

Religious systems are much older and they have learnt to occupy the space when things get unpredictable. They will be there when people get cancer holding hands. They will offer rituals and prayer. They will be there praying with soldiers about to enter the battlefield and die. They will be there after they die. They will show up when people have health issues/financial issues/relationship issues. Do they fix all the problems? No. But all problems can't be fixed.

Showing up and holding the space and having something to offer and doing it in an organized and institutional way until a solution is available is what is missing.

All religious systems, not just the Abrahamic ones, people are trained for years to not run away from suffering but hold ground and have something to offer. Its not easy and can't be done without training.

Very few Fred Rodgers are produced by science and engineering institutions.

What is produced instead is mockery of religious systems, the uneducated, the misguided, the ignorant. And it naturally creates more issues.
by skydhash | 2025-10-18 02:37:10+00:00
You’ve got it wrong. The machine is fine with a bit soup and doesn’t care if it’s provided with punch card or python.

Programming was always a tool for humans. It’s a formal “notation” for describing solutions that can be computed. We don’t do well with bit soup. So we put a lot of deterministic translations between that and the notation that we’re good with.

Not having to do programming would be like not having to write sheet music because we can drop a cat from a specific height onto a grand piano and have the correct chord come out. Code is ideas precisely formulated while prompts are half formed wishes and prayers.
by WillAdams | 2025-10-18 02:38:13+00:00
Sad.

It was noted early on that they would either be the last hardware startup to make it, or the first well-funded one to fail...

Ages ago, I was using similarly spec'ed computers running Windows (ThinkPad 755c), Mac OS (Mac Quadra 950), and NeXTstep (25MHz '040 Cube)--- the Cube was by far the nicest and most stable and most capable --- fortunately, its legacy lives on in Mac OS since Apple's purchase of NeXT essentially resulted in NeXT taking over Apple (just we don't get the vertical menu, pop-up main menu, tear off sub-menus, Display PostScript, PANTONE colour license, nxhosting, or the "Unix expert" checkbox) --- really wish that the folks behind GNUstep and the various desktop projects would get more traction.

Was lucky enough to score copies of Adobe Illustrator and Altsys Virtuoso, and I still have Macromedia Freehand set to open .vrt files (Freehand 4 ~= Virtuoso 2).

Really miss Lotus Improv (I've never been able to convince an employer that it would be worth paying for me to have a license of Quantrix Financial Modeler), and WriteNow is still one of my favourite wordprocessors --- at least TeXshop was modeled on TeXview.app, and has many of the same capabilities and much the same feel --- for a long while, I was the only person in a Mac composition shop for whom it made sense to use Mac OS X, since I was using TeXshop, and it was more comfortable to me than TeXtures (I think the license I was using was serial #018).
by aftbit | 2025-10-18 02:38:44+00:00
>the lack of charging in the city

This would be the killer for me. I have a private garage with plugs, and even at 120V, I can out-charge my typical driving needs. I work from home and only occasionally take trips beyond a few miles, with a few longer road trips a year.

My IONIQ 5 (USA) does 300 miles (480 km) on paper, but in practice, I've seen a fair bit less. That said, it does charge up 20->80% in under 20 minutes at a fast charger.
by LeFantome | 2025-10-18 02:38:54+00:00
Electric vehicles are improving at the rate that batteries are improving. That is faster than you may think.

If you look just at Teslas, they go further and charge faster on smaller batteries (higher energy densities). These batteries cost less and will last far longer. And Tesla uses an older battery tech than Chinese companies use so, in fact, batteries have improved far more. And with sodium ion, there is about to be a massive improvement over the next few years.
by klingon6786 | 2025-10-18 02:39:39+00:00
> Also, isn't the point of buying something DRM free that you don't have to use a client or any other online feature?

Agreed. I thought this was the whole point of GOG.

The problem with buying movies from streaming providers, games from Epic and Steam, etc. is that you don’t own them. They say you do, but even something like Movies Anywhere isn’t guaranteed for life. Downloading digital content is the surest way to ensure that in-theory you could against use it someday. Anything else is a false promise of forever.
by loveparade | 2025-10-18 02:39:49+00:00
Interesting, my experience has been the opposite. I've been running Codex and Sonnet 4.5 side by side the past few weeks, and Codex gives me better results 90% of the time, pretty much across all tasks. Where Claude really shines is that it's much faster than codex. So if I know exactly what I want or if it's a simpler task I feel comfortable giving it to Claude because I don't want to wait for Codex to work through it. Claude cli is also a much better user experience than codex cli. But Codex gets complex things right more consistently.
by aik | 2025-10-18 02:39:57+00:00
Hard disagree. You don’t need AGI to transform countless workflows within companies, current LLMs can do it. A lot of the current investments are to help with the demand with current generation LLMs (and use cases we know will keep opening up with incremental improvements). Are you aware of how intensely all the main companies that host leading models (azure, aws, etc) are throttling usage due to not enough data center capacity? (Eg. At my company we have 100x more demand than we can get capacity for, and we’re barely getting started. We have a roadmap with 1000x+ the current demand and we’re a relatively small company.)

AGI would be more impactful of course, and some use cases aren’t possible until we have it, but that doesn’t diminish the value of current AI.
by defrost | 2025-10-18 02:40:47+00:00
One reason import restrictions and tariffs won't work is that the problem is inside the (US) house: https://www.fairr.org/news-events/press-releases/meat-compan...

To address your question as why this is allowed to continue, you'd have to ask those within the US and countries that allow it to happen.

Australia addressed this in 1907 or so with the Harvester decision and other related law cases that became foundation to working conditions.

https://www.fwc.gov.au/about-us/history/waltzing-matilda-and...
by charcircuit | 2025-10-18 02:41:02+00:00
It decreases, but decreasing from $1 million per token to $0.9 million per token after a year is still a decrease, but it still is not viable. Paying an AGI a $100 billion dollars for it to work 24/7 for a year is worse than hiring 10 people for $30k a year to work shifts to do the same work 24/7.
by jibal | 2025-10-18 02:41:20+00:00
>Clearly TMs can be conscious

It's a lie to claim that I said or even implied this.

OTOH, the "camp that Turing machines can't be conscious" is pure ideology and is based on repeatedly proven logic errors--Lucas was known to be wrong about Godel before Penrose came along and embraced his errors. And it's very common for people in that camp to project their own unsubstantiated baseless faith "that Turing machines can't be conscious" (which for Penrose, like many others in the camp, was a consequence of a semi-religious metaphysical notion that he wasn't "just a computer") onto rational informed people, with rhetoric like "people in that have unwavering faith in the idea that consciousness arises from computable processes" -- it's the logically default position, a consequence of intelligence and knowledge, not faith. The hilarious thing is that "consciousness arises from quantum effects" doesn't get the no-TM faithers what they want--they're still "just" machines, even if the machines use qubits rather than bits.
by hunterpayne | 2025-10-18 02:41:40+00:00
USAID is a soft power clearing house for the US government. Long ago, the state department, CIA and DOD were all running soft power operations and in an effort to consolidate them, USAID was created. It is supposed to get people to like the US government. Before Obama, it wasn't supposed to be operating "on US soil" but he changed that. By the time Trump was elected, it would be hard to say that it was effective at its task. If anything, it seemed to be doing the opposite of what it was supposed to be doing.
by vincekerrazzi | 2025-10-18 02:41:43+00:00
After working with them for nearly a year, it’s even worse than you think.

Half the team didn’t have basic understanding of git, and exactly none of the team designing the “smart charge” scheduling had or even had driven an EV.

The complete incompetence of every vehicle OEM team I worked with outside of Tesla and Rivian is part of the reason I left that job.
by Nevermark | 2025-10-18 02:42:39+00:00
> discovered XYZ mathematical principle

As I noted, I wasn't critiquing you.

> I'm not benefitting anyone except myself and my company.

I don't know what you do, and all good work should be rewarded, but in most work third parties, such as customers or others benefit from work well done.

But I strongly share your opinion that good work should be matched with proportional compensation.

I had a similar problem. I was compensated well for what I could achieve, as a partner to a company, but after many good years, asymptotically prevented from achieving anything. The irony of being bought out of a contract for a price that reflected how much I could no longer achieve in those circumstances wasn't lost on me.
by bparsons | 2025-10-18 02:42:49+00:00
The UK law is stupid, but they have every right to regulate content in their own country. Just because a business operates in another country does not release it from obligations in other countries where they operate.

4chan, like any company is free to withdraw their business if they do not agree with the laws there.

This is how every law works in every country for every type of business.
by delfinom | 2025-10-18 02:43:05+00:00
Not really that easily? Generally, only the legal agent for the private company will know and the direct hires of the board i.e. the CEO/CTO/whoever they name up top. Sometimes board of directors can get named in court records but with the public records redacted. But outside of that? Not even the IRS knows unless the directors get compensation.

MI6 would have to commit a few physical in person crimes to get any details out of any reasonably well run operation.
by _heimdall | 2025-10-18 02:43:26+00:00
Respectfully, you're effectively describing the argument I take issue with.

> Now I understand that mortgagees are non-callable.

How are you defining non-callable? If you stop paying on your mortgage that sent will eventually be called and you will be kicked out.

> If you put 20% down that removes a lot of risk of being underwater

That removes the risk of being underwater for any market correction sub-20%. Real estate prices in any areas have grown more than that ovwr the last few years, the risk of a 20%+ correction is on the table.

> With a 30 year mortgage you can get a smaller payment

And a 40 year loan would be even smaller. Where do we draw the line, and why? 30 year loans weren't always the norm, you don't have to go too far back to find an average mortgage on 10 or 15 year loans.

> When you're older you're earning more, might be an empty nester, and inflation has made each payment easier.

Income doesn't always move up, and inflation only makes payment easier if you (a) secured a fixed rate loan and (b) stay in the same home long term.

> By not rushing to pay off low interest debt you've effectively transferred money from 50 year old you to 30 year old you.

Or if it doesn't work out, 30 year old you has a home at the expense of 35 year old you.

> If you stayed employed

That's a big if, and you not only need to stay employed, you need wages to at least keep up with true inflation. Your 401k won't matter until you are at an age where you can withdraw, or we have another pandemic-style response where we allow people to cash in 401ks without the early withdrawal fees.
by zie | 2025-10-18 02:48:44+00:00
bank account numbers are printed on every check you ever wrote. Most people don't write checks anymore, though online bill pay sends physical checks still sometimes. They never really were sensitive information.

Bank security does not depend on your bank account being private information. Pretty much all bank security rounds to the bank having a magic undo button, so they can undo any bad transactions after it comes to light that it was a bad transaction. Sure they do some filtering on the front-end now to eliminate the need to use the magic undo button, but that's just extra icing to keep the undo button's use to a dull roar.
by chrismorgan | 2025-10-18 02:49:56+00:00
Mind you, such a correlation can be reasonable—the Yesses work for something because they believe it, while the Noes don’t because they don’t. (In this instance, I’m firmly a No, and I don’t say such a correlation is reasonable, due to the corrupting influence of money plus hype sweeping people along, which I think are much more common. But there will still be at least some that are True Believers, and it does make sense that they would then try to raise money to achieve their vision.)
by austin-cheney | 2025-10-18 02:51:19+00:00
What are you talking about with this talk of implosion? It sounds like boogieman nonsense from small children scared of the dark. I prefer to use vanilla JS when writing large SPAs and it works just fine.

There is a stereotype from the outside world that a great many programmers are autistic. The irrational fear of not using a framework for code in the browser is one of those cases that really screams the stereotype for all to see.

If you are using TypeScript there is inbuilt type checking for the DOM, because TypeScript ships with a very good data type library that describes the DOM in excellent detail.
by jasonthorsness | 2025-10-18 02:51:44+00:00
The LLM does seem to default to a certain style. I made an “improvisational web server” that plans and generates a site based on a path, but after hosting it and looking at a few hundred generated sites, they all kind of look the same. Which I guess is expected? But it will be interesting to see if human designers take pains to differentiate.

https://github.com/jasonthorsness/ginprov

https://ginprov.com
by bloaf | 2025-10-18 02:52:32+00:00
So tcl handles it somewhat more elegantly, I think. It also has a set function, but does not require any special quoting because it uses the $ prefix to denote "get the value of this symbol":

set a 5 puts $a #prints 5

and of course because it is modeled as a function (albeit an impure one) you can pass arguments to it as normal:

set a b set $a 5 #equivalent to set b 5 puts $b #prints 5

of course, everything in tcl is a string, so this works too lol

set a 5 set $a b puts $5 #prints b
by keeda | 2025-10-18 02:52:44+00:00
Huh, I'm surprised that he goes from "No AI" to "AI autocomplete" to "Vibecoding / Agents" (which I assume means no human review per his original coinage of the term.) This seems to preclude the chat-oriented / pair-programming model which I find most effective. Or even the plan-spec-codegen-review approach, which IME works extremely well for straightforward CRUD apps.

Also they discuss the nanochat repo in the interview, which has become more famous for his tweet about him NOT vibe-coding it: https://www.dwarkesh.com/i/176425744/llm-cognitive-deficits

Things are more nuanced than what people have assumed, which seems to be "LLMs cannot handle novel code". The best I can summarize it as is that he was doing rather non-standard things that confused the LLMs which have been trained on vast amounts on very standard code and hence kept defaulting to those assumptions. Maybe a rough analogy is that he was trying to "code golf" this repo whereas LLMs kept trying to write "enterprise" code because that is overwhelmingly what they have been trained on.

I think this is where the chat-oriented / pair-programming or spec-driven model shines. Over multiple conversations (or from the spec), they can understand the context of what you're trying to do and generate what you really want. It seems Karpathy has not tried this approach (given his comments about "autocomplete being his sweet spot".)

For instance, I'm working on some straightforward computer vision stuff, but it's complicated by the fact that I'm dealing with small, low-resolution images, which does not seem well-represented in the literature. Without that context, the suggestions any AI gives me are sub-optimal.

However, after mentioning it a few times, ChatGPT now "remembers" this in its context, and any suggestion it gives me during chat is automatically tailored for my use-case, which produces much better results.

Put another way (not an AI expert so I may be using the terms wrong), LLMs will default to mining the data distribution they've been trained on, but with sufficient context, they should be able to adapt their output to what you really want.
by nitwit005 | 2025-10-18 02:52:55+00:00
Your professor was just wrong if they claimed time was a Western construct. Calendars, sundials, and other time keeping devices were created independently around the world.

All you need to create a clock is realize that your oil lamp consumes its fuel in a somewhat consistent interval, or a similar observation for the time it takes drips of water to fill a cup. People figured it out.
by zenoprax | 2025-10-18 02:52:57+00:00
I think if you're not "on Wifi" then you're "on data" (or perhaps "on 5G" if it's a social status thing). If one were to connect via Starlink then it would still be correct to say you were on Wifi I think but if you could hook up ethernet directly... I think most of us would say you're now "on satellite"?

I didn't even consider that the newest iPhones can connect to satellites directly.