MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by throw0101a | 2025-10-08 10:44:54+00:00
> What if it takes 12 months of hard thinking to draw the right conclusion from the information? Are there many investors who go to such lengths? Are they all thinking at the same speed? And if not, what does that tell us about the EMH?

To paraphrase William Gibson: the information may be available, but it is not evenly distributed.

It's why (e.g.) hedge funds use satellites to get information on company activities:

* https://newsroom.haas.berkeley.edu/how-hedge-funds-use-satel...

* https://internationalbanker.com/brokerage/how-satellite-imag...

It's takes resources (time, money, etc) to gain an advantage, and it's only do it because they think some extra bits of information will allow them to know more than The Market in general / their counterparties to get a better conditions on a trade or options.

Why do you think insider trading became illegal: some folks have that information before others simply because of their job/position. There was a case of someone knowing something early, because information can only travel as fast of the speed of light, which some "beat":

> Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced it would not be tapering its bond buying program at 2 p.m. ET. The news takes seven milliseconds — about the speed of light — to reach Chicago. But before the seven milliseconds was up, a few huge orders based on the Fed's decision were placed on Chicago exchanges.

* https://www.npr.org/sections/alltechconsidered/2013/09/24/22...

* https://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2013/11/final-frontie...

EMH is saying people that if people think they can make money, they will spend the resources to get an information edge to accurate price what a commodity is 'worth', either higher or lower. If you better know what it 'should' be, then you can devise a trading strategy (buy/sell/short/long) to get one over your counterparty.
by llamatastic | 2025-10-08 10:44:55+00:00
I really don't get the idea that LLMs somehow create value. They are burning value. We only get useful work out of them because they consume past work. They are wasteful and only useful in a very contrived context. They don't turn electricity and prompts into work, they turn electricity, prompts AND past work into lesser work.

How can anyone intellectually honest not see that? Same as burning fossil fuels is great and all except we're just burning past biomass and skewing the atmosphere contents dangerously in the process.
by Fuzzwah | 2025-10-08 10:45:22+00:00
Seeing other people comment about being exposed to TCL via professional reasons made me want to add that I learned TCL because it's what eggdrop IRC bots used.

To this day I have a number of bot related side projects. Though they're now for discord and slack and written in python or ruby. I miss IRC, eggdrop, and TCL.
by csomar | 2025-10-08 10:45:29+00:00
Many countries charge a flat x% on revenue (not profit). There is also sales tax (VAT) which has to be eventually paid off by the final consumer. There also other taxes derived from the activity (real estate, employees, etc.). So hardly any company can "operate" without paying any taxes.

Corporate income tax is usually a small slice of the overall taxation of a country.

What GDP measures (and what I meant) is the visible part of the economy that the government has knowledge of; and therefore can (not necessarily do) tax.
by schnitzelstoat | 2025-10-08 10:45:37+00:00
AI isn't going to give you cancer.

If you don't want to use it, don't use it. If you don't want to watch 'AI slop' then leave the social media platforms that are saturated from it.

I left almost all of them already, not because of AI but just because I was fed up of the low-quality content.

I think regulation is going to do a lot more damage to both technological progress and economic competitiveness.
by bayindirh | 2025-10-08 10:46:14+00:00
The problem is not getting TrueNAS on a disk. You can do it externally, but you need to disable the on board flash storage and change the boot order from the BIOS.

That box is "just" an I/O optimized PC which can boot without a GPU.

Older hardware with Intel processors have an iGPU on board. You can use the HDMI output on these directly.
by Stratoscope | 2025-10-08 10:47:32+00:00
The origin of this rule was that Douglas Crockford doesn't like ++.

From JavaScript: The Good Parts (May 2008):

> The ++ (increment) and -- (decrement) operators have been known to contribute to bad code by encouraging excessive trickiness. They are second only to faulty architecture in enabling viruses and other security menaces. The JSLint option plusplus allows the use of these operators.

Needless to say, I'm with you and hackthemack on this.
by ineedaj0b | 2025-10-08 10:47:33+00:00
I always felt Chinese.

A lot of people here seem remiss to accept this but the claim was made, I think around 2018? And now the international community has gone and doubled checked - and it seems legitimate. 2025: the mainstream belief of descension changes.

What other base beliefs do you hold that will likely be false?

I can think of 5+. Our ancestors thought a lot of things for certain and died never knowing. Technological advancement is so fast nowadays, I hope we get to live through more.
by tim333 | 2025-10-08 10:48:10+00:00
And how much of the money even exists. I remember earlier in the year Altman saying they were spending $500bn on the Stargate project and Must saying he had less than $10bn in actual funds.

It wouldn't surprise me if much of the $1tn most doesn't turn up and the bubble bursts before 1/10th or that becomes real.
by imtringued | 2025-10-08 10:48:39+00:00
The idea is that you already have a trained model of the dynamics of a physical process and want to include it inside your quadratic programming based optimizer. The standard method is to linearize the problem by materializing the Jacobian. Then the Jacobian is inserted into the QP.

QPs are solved by finding the roots (aka zeroes) of the KKT conditions, basically finding points where the derivative is zero. This is done by solving a linear system of equations Ax=b. Warm starting QP solvers try to factorize the matrices in the QP formulation through LU decomposition or any other method. This works well if you have a linear model, but it doesn't if the model changes, because your factorization becomes obsolete.
by yourapostasy | 2025-10-08 10:49:04+00:00
Maybe this maxim within our software world might help: "Be loosely coupled, tightly cohesive".

Decoupling (the kind of self-sufficiency you are envisioning) is only a distant goal for interplanetary colonization. Loose coupling is fine as baby steps. As long as within their community they are tightly cohesive, they will do fine.

The intent is sustainable resiliency baked into our systems.
by immibis | 2025-10-08 10:49:14+00:00
> I would have assumed they're just re-branded WD or Seagate. Doesn't make sense to me. They would have had to introduce additional identification checks just for "re-branded as ours". Nope.

Correct. They were, and they did. The goal was profit - the rebranded drives cost more. Just like printer ink.
by Razengan | 2025-10-08 10:49:15+00:00
> He has made several phonemes that aren’t in the language we speak at home.

No I mean absolutely zero contact with or help from modern (say since the last 10,000 years) human civilization.

I mean literally giving birth in a forest and then raising the baby there without ever speaking a word around it or showing it any tools etc.

(this assumes that it will survive to 1-2 years old without any fatal sickness etc. but let's say that the mother/parents will get just enough "outside" help to make sure it does, but the baby itself is not to come in contact with any tech or language)
by hollowturtle | 2025-10-08 10:49:26+00:00
>> Your slower to produce, higher quality code puts a boundary on the duration of a single feedback loop iteration. The code you produce can perfectly solve the problem as you understand it within an iteration, but cannot guarantee that your understanding of the problem is not wrong. In that sense, many lower quality iterations produces better software quality as the number of iterations approaches infinity.

I'll reply just to that as it being the tldr. First of all tech debt is a thing and it's the thing that accumulates mostly thanks to fast feedback iterations. And in my experience the better the comunication, to get the implementation right, and the better the implementation and it happens that you can have solid features that you'll unlikely ever touch again, user base habit is also a thing, continuing on interating on something a user knows how to use and changing it is a bad thing. I'd also argue it's bad product/project management. But my whole original argument was why we'd need to have a greater speed in the first place, better tooling doesn't necessarily means faster output, productivity as well isn't measured as just faster output. Let me make a concrete example, if you ask an LLM X to produce a UI with some features, most of them will default to using React, why? Why can't we question the current state of web instead of continue to pile up abstractions over abstractions? Even if I ask the LLM to create a vanilla web app with HTML, why can't we have better tooling for sharing apps over the internet? The web is stagnant and instead of fixing it we're building castles over castles over it
by goku12 | 2025-10-08 10:49:47+00:00
At those levels of power, everyone knows each other. Any two pair is an ally or an adversary. There are no strangers like among us plebs. They may or may not be well educated, but they certainly know how to handle power very well. They notice each other well before either starts encroaching into the other's sphere of influence and they start preparing accordingly. At the minimum, their advisors will keep a watch.

In any case, reasonably educated people all over the world are aware of how much these wannabe techno-dictators can interfere in their domestic politics. All those countries have populations large enough to notice their philosophies and flag them to the highest level.
by 8fingerlouie | 2025-10-08 10:49:57+00:00
The decision to restrict 3rd party harddrives may be part of the reason why sales (allegedly) plummet, but i'm guessing lack of innovation also plays a big part.

Synology has been resting on the laurels for years. They had a "hit" with DSM 6, then did mostly nothing for a decade, released DSM 7, and again, nothing but minor things since. On the hardware side of things, they're mostly still using decade old hardware, but i guess that matches the Linux kernel they're using, which was also EOL close to a decade ago.

Meanwhile the NAS market has been flooded by viable alternatives with better hardware, equal or better software, and usually cheaper. UGREEN and others have released more or less drop in replacements, and Ubiquiti released the UNAS line, and while it doesn't work as an application server, will run around circles any similarly specced (drive wise) Synology in raw file transfer performance, for half the price.

I'm guessing the 3rd party drive removal was simply just the final push that caused many people to switch to something else. Transcoding removal was likely also a big driver, as many people also use their Synology NAS as a Plex server.
by dzhiurgis | 2025-10-08 10:50:13+00:00
Looks like as we got a lot of more media it became more ephemeral - social media posts that impossible to find, snapchat/insta stories, disappearing slack history. Some of this is feature, not a bug.

Personally I _never_ wanted to watch same movie twice, but I can understand some would. I guess most are still accessible in some archive somewhere for a small fee. I'd guess that fee is far less than you hoarding it for 4 decades.
by idanatomix | 2025-10-08 10:50:16+00:00
Codimix - Build Connections, One Commit at a Time

We launched Codimix - a platform where developers network by building together.

The concept is straightforward: join coding events, meet other developers, and collaborate on something. The best way to know someone is to work with them on something.

We're running timed events at different hours so developers worldwide can participate. Teams typically work together for a few hours on small projects.

https://codimix.com
by dspillett | 2025-10-08 10:50:28+00:00
> Why is italics italics* and bold is *bold*? Why not bold and _italics_. That would make a lot more sense to me.*

I think that comes from separating content and style, indicating meaning rather than explicit style: it isn't really one asterisk for italic and two for bold, it is one for emphasis and two for strong emphasis and the renderer choses how to display those levels. Like using HTML's “em” and “strong” tags instead of explicit “i” and “b” tags.
by api | 2025-10-08 10:51:15+00:00
All authoritarian societies have their priesthoods, knighthoods, police forces, scribes, etc., or their modern equivalents, essentially a small middle class afforded more wealth and more rights than the peasantry.

Couple this with the fact that educated people often buy into authoritarian ideologies. At least that’s what I’ve seen. If there is any legitimate basis behind American anti-intellectualism this is it.
by throw0101a | 2025-10-08 10:51:31+00:00
> That would mean that the p/e-ratio of a company would rise sharply long before the profits set in. And that rise would be called "mysterious" by the general public. And then only when the profits set in, the p/e would come down.

You have to look at the volumes involved: if there are tens of millions of shares of a particular stock moved everyday, a single event that involves 100,000 shares is going to be lost in the noise.

There are always people who think they know better (if they didn't think so they wouldn't be trading), and they may make crazy-appearing trades. Lots of the people in The Big Short were viewed as 'lunatics' ("You're betting against the housing market?") that turned out to be right. But also remember that there are people who think the world is flat.

> The price roughly rose along the earnings. Even though the foundations for generative AI became clear in 2015.

It's also why you hear the talking heads on television say things like "…this has already been priced in.".
by pastage | 2025-10-08 10:51:52+00:00
I have a hard time saying that in a way that does not make vocational schools worth less. I appreciate people having done theoretical things, spending time are university is well spent time.

There are mechanics who did not do any theoretical work at all that later in life really need some university. My point is that some people really should go back to university because their work gets better after.

Doing a PhD later in life is a cool thing to do too.
by zelphirkalt | 2025-10-08 10:52:57+00:00
And also in jobs many if not most places you go will already have made decisions about how they do web stuff and once more juniors are being given the impression, that this is how things are done "professionally", while actually that is no more professional than any experienced hobbyist making their website and often worse in aspects such as accessibility (need to run JS and often breaking browser functionality like the back button), complexity (maintaining the interplay of all those tools and libraries), maintainability (updating your dependencies frequently), feedback cycle (complex build pipeline, instead of just delivering HTML, CSS and perhaps a sprinkle of JS).

This is why I don't want to do much frontend in businesses, where there is a separate dedicated FE team. It seems to me, that traditional fullstack devs, not FE devs who want to do backend stuff in NodeJS, but devs who happen to have learned web standards like HTML, CSS, and JS along the way, not as a "one ring to rule them all", make better websites. Maybe not as fancy optically, but often more responsive, and better in the listed aspects. But this may be bias, because such websites are far and few between these days.
by lukan | 2025-10-08 10:53:07+00:00
"Isolationism doesn’t work as a policy, that is proven by history."

Of course it does. Many remote mountain villages preserved their culture this way.

"Also you will breed a population of "nationalists" "

I think you have never been to such a self sustainable project?

They are usually living a culture of internationalists and there are frequent guests from all around the world.

What you means are cults. They also exist, true. But those operating in the open are mostly .. open.

Also the basic idea is to establish a network of trading and sharing in general. Specialisation is useful after all. But for the basic needs, I like the idea to be independent here.

And yes, ideally also have a competent doctor you can just wake up from next door in the middle of the night in a case of emergency and not hope a ambulance is avaiable in time.
by sersi | 2025-10-08 10:53:32+00:00
Not OP, I went back and forth about having containers etc on my NAS. I can of course have a separate server to do it (and did that) but

a) it increases energy cost

b) accessing storage over smb/nfs is not as fast and can lead to performance issues.

c) in terms of workflow, I find that having all containers (I use rootless containers with podman as much as possible) running on the NAS that actually stores and manage the data to be simpler. So that means running plex/jellyfin, kometa, paperless-ngx, *arrs, immmich on the NAS and for that synology's cpu are not great.

In general, the most common requirements of prosumers with NAS is 2.5gbps and transcoding. Right now, none of Synology's offerings offer that.

But really the main reason I dislike synology is that SHR1 is vendor locked behind their proprietary btrfs modifications and so can only be accessed by a very old ubuntu...
by greggsy | 2025-10-08 10:53:41+00:00
You need to have pretty tight supply chains if you’re going to support warranty claims on something as consumable as disks. I don’t know who supplies their HDD and SSDs, but you’d want the relationship and traceability to be pretty robust.

Syno have always been a software company first, a hardware company second, and a storage media company last. It makes sense to try and control the full vertical, but they just don’t have enough clout to compete against the big enterprise companies.

I honestly believe the disk whitelisting thing was part of an attempt to overvalue the company in preparation for a sale.
by bonoboTP | 2025-10-08 10:53:43+00:00
This is a quite competitive market, far from monopolies. So let them do what their incentives and company culture lead them to. The reality is that often such leaders can come out net positive on a personal level even if they drive the company to the ground because they extracted out everything in a short term ("eating the seed corn"), then will go somewhere else. But at least the company and its products disappear. It's evolution. It's not always better to save them by being some kind of internal hero.
by mananaysiempre | 2025-10-08 10:53:54+00:00
It’s an old convention that underline in a manuscript (handwritten or typewritten) directs the typesetter to use italics (as underlines are basically nonexistent in professional typesetting before the WWW). I expect that this is where the _italics_ thing (which predates Markdown) comes from. (There is precedent for /italics/ and I don’t think it’s unreasonable, but it is much rarer.)
by rwmj | 2025-10-08 10:54:15+00:00
UGREEN isn't really build your own. The hardware is similar to Synology (but I think slightly better made, and definitely with much higher specs). But unlike Synology it's easy to install your own OS. I used Fedora, but a lot of people are using TrueNAS which is almost as turn-key as the Synology software.

For reference I own 2 x Synology, 1 x UGREEN and 1 x QNAP; and will likely replace the other machines with more UGREEN in future as long as they don't do anything stupid.
by amiga386 | 2025-10-08 10:54:34+00:00
That's something of a bold assertion repeated as fact.

Stallman coined the term "Tivozation". The word was literally created to describe how TiVo acted. Without TiVo doing what TiVo did, and Stallman calling it out, the word would not exist.

Stallman then went on to use the neologism to promote the need for a GPLv3 to combat such practises.

Bradley Kuhn -- the director of the Software Freedom Conservancy and writer of 2/3 of those links you're linking to -- has a public dispute with Stallman, disagrees about the need for GPLv3, and disagrees about Stallman's characterisation of TiVo's behaviour. But it's disingenuous to claim Stallman's own coinage doesn't mean what he intended it to mean.

Edit to add: Stallman is quite correct to call out TiVo's behaviour, even if it's "just" the proprietary software that intentionally breaks itself when you exercise your software freedoms. TiVo's intent is to smack you good and hard if you dare exercise your GPL freedoms even a little bit. They benefitted from GPL'd software that got them to market faster, but you can't benefit by e.g. installing a better kernel, they intentionally brick the functional system. That's not acceptable.
by anon98356 | 2025-10-08 10:54:40+00:00
It covers the impact of fuel quite thoroughly but it brushes over the time element which I think is actually a bigger factor in why they don't really do it. Passing on the fuel cost to the customer they could probably get away with but given how tightly packed the flight schedules are (particularly short haul) the cumulative extra time across even a day could be enough that they have to drop a flight from the schedule.

When you consider that RyanAir don't have seat back pockets specifically because of the extra cleaning time to clear them between flights, you can see why the extra 2 minutes flight time might matter.
by guitarro | 2025-10-08 10:54:44+00:00
I don't think the issue is with the "code" part, but more with the "vibe" part. The "vibe" part indicates that's more of a "let's just see what happens" kind of approach, which I don't think is true for people using AI generated coding in their professional coding jobs, who very much know what they want to get out of AI coding tools, how to ask for it, and how to assess the quality of the outcome.

Maybe something like "intent-driven development" or "AI-paired software development" might fit better?
by sauercrowd | 2025-10-08 10:55:02+00:00
I really don't think we're doing the tools or the industry any favors/justice by prefixing new terms with `vibe`.

Looking at vibe coding: it suggests you're coding but you only vaguely know what's going on, so the work is the same (coding) but the outcome may or may not be what you want

Why dont we flip it around? We want a term that suggests that a fixed amount of work (coding) to be more efficient/leveraged.

So why dont we call it something like hypercoding, dense engineering, autocode, ...