MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by lumost | 2025-10-03 18:19:03+00:00
There are multiple issues in the Phd/Faculty market. Different fields are at different phases of the cycle. The biggest trend is that Universities expanded in the 1950s and 60s, and are now contracting as population declines. Universities continue to increase Phd production despite declining total employment numbers as Phd students provide cheap labor. Numerous non-tenure track positions have been created to fill the void with mixed results.
by microtherion | 2025-10-03 18:19:50+00:00
In 1977, a company named Quasar Industries demonstrated a household robot claimed to understand a vocabulary of 4000 words and capable of vacuuming, washing dishes, and teaching the children of the household French. It would ship within the next two years, at a cost of $4000.

Some CMU graduate students attended one of the demos, and discovered two people discreetly loitering in the background, one doing the "speaking" of the robot, and the other remote controlling it.

Luckily in today's more advanced times, we have Optimus shipping any day now, which definitely has never been teleoperated at any of its demos…
by filoleg | 2025-10-03 18:20:38+00:00
> It sucks at the one thing it's supposed to be good at (writing code).

It sucks at replacing software engineers. So yes, if you expect it to design a complex scalable system and implement it for you from start to finish, then sure, you can call it bad at "writing code".

I don't care about that use-case. I think I am decently good at writing code, and I rather enjoy doing it. I find Claude Code/Gemini CLI extremely helpful at both saving me lots of time by freeing me from dealing with annoying boilerplate, so I can focus more on actual system design (which LLMs fail at terribly, if we are talking about real production apps that need to scale) and more difficult/fun parts of code (which LLMs cannot handle either).

That's the real power of it, multiplying the productive output of good SWEs + making the work feel more enjoyable for them, by letting those SWEs focus on actual tricky/difficult parts, instead of forcing them to spend a good half of the time just dealing with boilerplate.

And I am not even gonna bother getting into tons of other non-coding tasks it is already very useful of. I find it amazing that I can now not only get a transcript of my work meetings (which is already massively helpful for me to review later, as opposed to listening to a ~25min video recording of it), but also ask an LLM to summarize it for me or parse/extract info from it.
by mullingitover | 2025-10-03 18:20:39+00:00
> Increasing numbers of people who consume content on the Internet will completely sacrifice their ability to think for themselves.

Bless the author's heart.

All the major social media apps have been doing machine learning-driven getNext() for years now. Well before LLMs were even a thing. The Youtube algorithm was doing this a decade ago. This isn't on the horizon, we've already drowned in it.
by dheera | 2025-10-03 18:21:34+00:00
Meanwhile, I do a lot of photography and haven't posted anything in the past 2 years on Instagram because the AI garbage and influencer garbage now gets more attention than real photos of places on Earth you can actually go to. It feels not worth my time to post anything, considering how much effort it takes to post, time posts, and find hashtag soup, because if you don't do all of that, the platform doesn't show your images to people anyway.
by 31337Logic | 2025-10-03 18:22:13+00:00
Imagine trying to goto school and having to deal with this incel nerd shit. Good job, Meta, as usual. :-/. No one asked for this crap, no one needs it. You've taken what should be a worry-free exercise of going out in public and simply enjoying life and turned it into a miserable, dreadful, anxiety-filled experience. Fuck off.
by JumpCrisscross | 2025-10-03 18:22:24+00:00
> There is more food in the south and it's easier to get food into there

Yet there are still credible claims of famine in the south.

> Air drops can't move in enough food

This is nonsense. West Berlin had a civilian population of about 2.5mm [1]. Gaza is smaller. Our planes are better. We've solved this problem, but harder, before.

> They're also dangerous

What's the threat model? Initially, you'd literally air drop--no landings. Gaza isn't fielding air-defence systems.

Once you're reduced the desperation, you'd secure a couple airfields and make unsupervised drops. (This is cheaper.) You wouldn't even bother handling distribution. Again, the point is the flood the zone with so much food that it starts to become sort of worthless.

[1] https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/features/bomb-bl...
by jemiluv8 | 2025-10-03 18:22:59+00:00
Most things written about this subject is already polarizing. I'd believe this if there was more internal company data than just some outsider using the same secondary data that openai seemingly manipulates to draw conclusions that have so many logical holes in them, they won't hold half a litre of water for 5 minutes.

I'm filing this under click-bait.
by ashton314 | 2025-10-03 18:23:10+00:00
> breaking changes

Yeah, that's bitten me and it's super stupid. At this point, I've just pinned hugo so I don't update it any more. It's a friggin' static site with basically no Javascript (just a little for the site search feature—handled by the theme) so I don't feel any need to keep Hugo up-to-date.
by tracker1 | 2025-10-03 18:23:33+00:00
I keep thinking a nice client app that is mostly working against a directory of markdown files that "publishes" to an option of fastly/denoland/cloudflare as mostly-static content would be a pretty nice option.

The blog/data directory can be backed up or even using a github repository for long term raw storage.

I'm not a fan of having the same site/application for rendering as editing the blog as it tends to become too much of a big/easy target... ie: Wordpress, how much internet traffic is script bots trying WP exploits?
by JumpCrisscross | 2025-10-03 18:23:50+00:00
> The mortality exceeding the rate I mentioned is a prerequisite for declaring stage 5

Source?

> The total death rate from all causes is substantially below that number (by a factor of 4)

You're still making the mistake of taking statistics from across Gaza and pretending that's relevant. Based on your method, there has never been a crime wave anywhere in the world because the global crime rate tends to be somewhat stable across time and countries.
by bayarearefugee | 2025-10-03 18:23:58+00:00
If you spend more money training the model and offering it as a service (with all the costs that that entails) than you earn back directly from that model's usage, it can only be profitable if you use voodoo economics to fudge it.

Luckily we live in a time period where voodoo economics is the norm, though eventually it will all come crashing down.
by bambax | 2025-10-03 18:24:04+00:00
Most comments seem to agree with the article, and I don't quite understand why.

People have been manipulated since forever, and coerced before that. You used to be burned or hanged if your opinions differed even a little from orthodoxy (and orthodoxy could change in a span of a couple of years!)

AI slop is mostly noise. It doesn't manipulate, it makes thinking a little more difficult. But so did TV.
by cmccart | 2025-10-03 18:24:05+00:00
Maybe 500 years by today's behavioral standards. I assume that if people were told you could live ~forever barring an accident leading to your death, many people in society would behave VERY differently. The risk profile of you or me getting in a car to drive to the store is VERY different than someone with age-and-sickness-proof-but-accident-vulnerable immortality.
by tsimionescu | 2025-10-03 18:24:06+00:00
> You seem to agree that these are in fact historically documented antisemitic tropes(i.e. used by the Nazis), you appear to be saying their use is justified...that's a rather different argument.

No, I'm saying that the nazis also ate apples, but that doesn't mean eating apples is antisemitic. Just because the nazis accused the Jewish people of being the root of all evil doesn't mean that saying evil is bad is antisemitic, if you're not accusing the Jewish people of being the root of this evil. Yes, even if you're accusing a particular group of Jewish people, such as the Israeli state, of doing this.

> There's no clear original aggressor here as it largely depends on how far you look back in history

This is actually very simple. The historic region of Palestine has been inhabited by more or less the same people ever since Biblical times. It was conquered a few times by various empires, and a large part of the population has converted to various religions (from pre-Biblical religions to Judaism, to Christianity, to Islam). The languages they speak have changed various times, and of course the genetic makeup of the population has not been constant, especially given it's a relatively common trade route.

Then, starting with the 1930s or so, a colonization effort by an initially fringe group of Jewish zealots, the Zionist movement; they became much more mainstream after the horrors of the Holocaust. This colonization effort culminated with the proclamation of the state of Israel as a "Jewish and Democratic" state in 1948, led mostly by the colonists who started to expel the local population from the region, with the assent of the British Empire, the USA , and even the USSR (and other European powers). This is the beginning point of the current conflict. Going back further in history is completely absurd: the Palestinians of today are descendants of the ancient Jewish people, of ancient Romans, of ancient Arabic tribes and so on - just as much if not more so than the Jewish people "returning home".
by ls612 | 2025-10-03 18:24:08+00:00
This is the case in many fields but not in Economics. There is little incentive to pad out PhD counts for cheap labor since the vast majority of the Econ PhD is either taking classes in first and second year or working on independent research after that. All job market candidates are expected to have a solo authored paper on the market with some asterisks I won't get into. There is little in the way of big labs or PIs who require endless RAs. To the extent we need RAs it's often undergrads or predocs doing data cleaning stuff.
by godelski | 2025-10-03 18:24:41+00:00
Okay, but you haven't answered the question either.

Do you not think I'm not aware that Apple is bending the knee? I'm pretty confident JumpCrissCross knows that too.

The question isn't about what's underneath the mask. The question is about what the mask is. What they're pretending the actual reason is. No one here is asking for the real reason because we're already aware. We're indicating it in the comments too. So by trying to tell us what's beneath the mask you're just creating more noise and making it harder to identify the mask
by shitter | 2025-10-03 18:25:18+00:00
This is part of it, but everyone to some degree has discomfort with being disliked and will do things to avoid it. At least in my experience, social anxiety is much more about the cognitive distortions that convince you others dislike you, when they may in fact be neutral or even have a positive view of you.

Just as one example, when I'm interacting with someone who I haven't reached a certain level of comfortability with, I'm highly aware of and sensitive to their reactions to me in terms of what they're saying, their tone, their micro facial expressions, etc., and I perceive any small negative reaction as a sign that they don't like me. This usually isn't true! But it ironically has the effect of inducing self-sabotaging avoidant behaviors in me, such as over-censoring of what I say and just general awkwardness around them, which makes it much more likely they will end up disliking me.
by jameshilliard | 2025-10-03 18:25:50+00:00
> An NGO "Agence France-Presse has described...as 'a lobby group with strong ties to Israel'" [1] is not a credible source for disputing two separate groups at the UN, the IPF and--at this point--more than a few independent investigations.

This doesn't make the information they are putting out false, the UN bias against Israel is well documented by many sources.
by Groxx | 2025-10-03 18:25:58+00:00
I suspect you are signed into iCloud, and haven't seen the nonsense they throw at you to upsell it if you don't: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45459074

but yes, Windows is worse here. that doesn't make current-Apple good at it though. they've just collaboratively lowered the hurdle quite a lot, and still trip on it frequently.

and Linux ships tons of features, but they don't throw it in your face. it does that so quietly you apparently didn't even notice. (this is not in any way meant to claim Linux handles feature changes well, or helps you find stuff you might need, or much of anything, because it does not. just that it doesn't advertise to you, in the vast majority of distros)
by Imustaskforhelp | 2025-10-03 18:26:04+00:00
> The moment investor money dries up, or the tech industry stops trading money to artificially pump the market or people realize they've hit a dead end it crashes and burns with the intensity of a large bomb.

You have hit the nail on the coffin To me, it is natural for investor money to dry up as nobody should believe that things would always go the right way yet it seems that openAI and many other are just on the edge... so really its a matter of when and not if

So in essense this is a time bomb, tick tock, the time starts now and they might be desperate because of it as the article notes.
by mandevil | 2025-10-03 18:26:49+00:00
The reason that Rumsfeld's second term as SecDef marks him as the worst to ever hold the position (1) is that at least the other guy who oversaw the US getting into a decades long morass (McNamara) delivered some effective weapons. Forcing the USAF to buy the F4H, the USAF half of the 'vark, Nimitz class carrier, Spruance class destroyer, etc. were all reasonably successful weapons systems that McNamara was largely responsible for, in bureaucratic terms.

Donald Rumsfeld's term managed to get the US into a decades long morass and basically all of his procurement plans failed (FCS, JTRS, EMALS, LCS, EFV, DDG-1000). Rumsfeld's best program outcome (LCS) was still worse than McNamara's worst (F-111).

1: Not counting the current occupant where we can't fully judge him yet, but he's not doing well.
by mrguyorama | 2025-10-03 18:26:49+00:00
I'm surprised the article doesn't have any details about speculation or research into why it's such a unique mine for extremely rare natural elements.

Surely some geologist has been having serious fun figuring that out right?

Or am I totally off base, and mines all over the world are full of "rare" elements like that but we just don't notice or care?
by cyberax | 2025-10-03 18:27:32+00:00
Von Mises was a hack. He got accolades as a form of early affirmative action, to somehow balance all the Keynesian economists getting awards.

The whole Austrian "school" of economists basically _prides_ itself on not making predictions but using their dogma to explain whatever happens later. They always have an explanation why everything is a result of rational decisions of individuals. And if anything can't be explained by that, it's just because the government interferes with the perfection of markets.
by SoftTalker | 2025-10-03 18:27:43+00:00
> What am I personally going to do about this? Well, to start, I’m going to start taking content way less seriously unless it was created before 2022

There's an old fable about this, The Boy Who Cried "Wolf" about people adapting to false claims. They just discount the source, which is what is going to happen with social media once it is dominated by AI slop. Nobody will find it worth anything anymore, and the empires will melt down. I'm not on any of the big social sites, but I'm already watching a lot less on YouTube, basically only watching channels that I know to be real people. My other recommendations are mostly AI garbage now, outside of that.
by jandrewrogers | 2025-10-03 18:27:44+00:00
I have first-hand experience with the problems of designing systems for adversarial denied environments. These are largely orthogonal to the problem of access controls. The low-level communication security and channel capacity is handled almost exclusively by external trusted modules, systems built on top of them only have to concern themselves with the behavior of these modules.

There is a separate concern around denied data environments in the software realm but that is not on many people's radar. Most software devs would not know where to even start to protect systems from this.

A tension with access controls is that if you implement it to the level of granularity the most demanding parts of DoD say they want, it never actually gets used because it is too complicated for users to reason about and manage. Or worse, they make mistakes and leak data because it is complicated. A simpler model is always implemented on top of it. At the same time, fine-grained and scalable access controls impose a high operational cost in the software even if they are not being used and some parts of DoD care a lot about software performance. Many parts of DoD are realistic enough to not want to pay for access controls they'll never actually use.

On top of this, security architecture is designed to be somewhat pluggable because different users will have mutually exclusive design requirements for the security architecture. It would be nice if this wasn't the case but it is what it is.
by jemiluv8 | 2025-10-03 18:27:45+00:00
I feel like people speculating on the unsustainability of their losses probably value what they know more than what they don't know.

In this case however, what you don't know is more relevant than what you do know. Despite the author's knowledge of publicly available information, I believe there is more the author is not aware of that might sway their arguments. Most firms keep a lot of things under wraps. Sure they are making lots of noise - everyone does.
by Lazaruscv | 2025-10-03 18:27:46+00:00
This is super insightful, thank you for laying it out so clearly. Your point about the error surfacing way after it first occurred is exactly the sort of issue we’re interested in tackling. Foxglove is doing a great job with visualization and aggregation; what we’re thinking is more of a complementary diagnostic layer that:

• Correlates syslogs with mcap/bag file anomalies automatically

• Flags when a hardware failure might have begun (not just when it manifests)

• Surfaces probable root causes instead of leaving teams to manually chase timestamps

From your experience across 50+ clients, which do you think is the bigger timesink: data triage across multiple logs/files or interpreting what the signals actually mean once you’ve found them?
by jfyi | 2025-10-03 18:27:48+00:00
A quick look shows not much has been found CVE wise with godot, and not anything on the 4.x version of the engine. There is an interesting case of it being used to build a malware loader.

I've actually been playing with it a bit recently and have had a couple mysterious crashes in their ide. It's likely ripe fruit for a curious security researcher.
by trcf22 | 2025-10-03 18:27:49+00:00
I wouldn’t necessarily say so. I guess that’s what they are trying to « pulse » people and « learn » from you instead of just providing decent unbiased answers.

In Europe, most companies and Gov are pushing for either mistral or os models.

Most dev, which, if I understand it correctly, are pretty much the only customers willing to pay +100$ a month, will change in a matter of minutes if a better model kicks in.

And they loose money on pretty much all usage.

To me a company like Antropics which mostly focus on a target audience + does research on bias, equity and such (very leading research but still) has a much better moat.
by dailyexhaust | 2025-10-03 18:27:49+00:00
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I'm a hands-on creative director with over 2 decades of experience. I design beautiful & intuitive interfaces. I build brands & visual indentites from scratch. I create, fix, and reimagine design systems. I collaborate with engineers. I love what I do.
by curioussquirrel | 2025-10-03 18:27:53+00:00
Author here. I do not necessarily think algorithmic feeds are the only thing wrong with social media, but it's certainly one of the major problems. More so if the platforms don't even allow me to revert to chronological feeds, or make it really user unfriendly.

Of course the cultural context has changed, but I think your view is quite cynical. I do believe that AI could, in theory, be a good steward and curator of news feeds (think Google News), but I haven't seen an implementation that would be open and customizable enough. I do not like the idea that someone could be manipulating what I'm being presented, or what reaches me and what doesn't.

Could you elaborate on why you think this is misguided tech-nostalgia? Most of your arguments seem to be true regardless of how you discover content (RSS, social media, link aggregators, ...)
by cafard | 2025-10-03 18:27:59+00:00
A dozen or more years ago, I opened the Sunday NY Times Book Review, looked at a letter headed "Positively Fourth Rate" and started to laugh. It was written by the composer Ned Rorem to take issue with some books on Dylan comparing his work with the greats of English poetry.

You could look it up, at least if you have an NY Times subscription.
by zzleeper | 2025-10-03 18:28:15+00:00
Good luck; we probably crossed paths (I was helping a bit on the hiring side at some point). A postdoc is a really great option, I've seen lots of people do that before going for a bschool so it can definitely can work.

BTW one other thing besides what you mentioned is not just the freeze but the firings. FDIC lost 30% of staff, BOG is going to reduce maybe 10%, CFPB is no more, etc. so the market is actually being flooded with senior economists. They won't compete directly with the posts you want but still flood the market.
by switz | 2025-10-03 18:28:25+00:00
I run my entire business on a single OVH box that costs roughly $45/month. It has plenty of headroom for growth. The hardest part is getting comfortable with k8s (still worth it for a single node!) but I’ve never had more uptime and resiliency than I do now. I was spending upwards of $800/mo on AWS a few years ago with way less stability and speed. I could set up two nodes for availability, but it wouldn’t really gain me much. Downtime in my industry is expected, and my downtime is rarely related to my web services (externalities). In a worst case scenario, I could have the whole platform back up in under 6 hours on a new box. Maybe even faster.
by keiferski | 2025-10-03 18:28:45+00:00
Because you are I will not be able to tell whether something is machine- or human-generated, and the machine generated stuff will get more clicks than the human generated stuff, it’s likely that the majority of popular online content (and even printed content post-2023) will have been created by AI (and perhaps solely by AI).

Sorry, but when you make claims like this, it just tells me that you are not very familiar with popular culture. Most people hate AI content and at best find it a meme-esque joke. And young people increasingly get their news from individuals on TikTok/YouTube/etc. - who are directly incentivized to be as idiosyncratic and unique (read: not like AI) as possible in order to get followers. Platforms like YouTube do not benefit from their library being entirely composed of AI slop, and so will be implementing ways to filter AI content from "real people" content.

Ultimately AI tools are mostly going to be useful in situations where the author doesn't matter: sports scores, stock headlines, etc. Everything else will likely be out-competed by actual humans being human.