MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by echelon | 2025-10-06 17:40:06+00:00
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nobel_Memorial_Prize_in_Econom...

> Although the Prize in Economic Sciences was not one of the original five Nobel Prizes established by Alfred Nobel's will, it is considered a member of the Nobel Prize system, and is administered and referred to along with the Nobel Prizes by the Nobel Foundation. Winners of the Prize in Economic Sciences are chosen in a similar manner to and announced alongside the Nobel Prize recipients, and receive the Prize in Economic Sciences at the Nobel Prize Award Ceremony.
by ljm | 2025-10-06 17:40:09+00:00
The Ruby ecosystem is already decentralised in that there is no single source of truth for published gems. You can pull the source from any software forge that uses git, you can point to any self hosted gem server or use something like Artifactory or GitHub package registry. You can vendor the code if you want.

This entire post is practically the case in point, except I’m not clear on how they got real time sync with RubyGems and if any other competitor would have the same capability.

To use Astral and uv as an example, they would have to fork PyPI and maintain all the infra for that and not just the tool that manages the dependencies.
by gzaal | 2025-10-06 17:40:42+00:00
What’s New in 1.1.5

• Metadata Editor and EXIF/IPTC Template Editors are now standalone, resizable windows (sizes persist). • Batch Processing window is resizable and remembers its size. • Batch Edit and Add to Favorites added to list and thumbnail context menus. • “Open with Default App” for single/multi‑select, with a safety prompt for 20+ files. • Image & video viewer popouts remember size and position; open larger by default; support Reset Window Size. Editor/Batch/Managers now remember positions too. • New setting: confirm before opening many files (General → Behavior). • New: Editor/Info Panel tab sync options in Settings → General. • Polish and stability improvements. • File Browser Filters: filter by media type (All, Media, Images, Videos, Audio, Images+Videos), hide sidecars, and optionally hide only paired sidecars. New option to apply filters to file operations (Select All, Batch).
by elzbardico | 2025-10-06 17:40:44+00:00
I was under the impression that we were discussing crude as feedstock for chemicals versus coal. I was not discussing what we would be using as the energy source.

Oil-based petrochemical chains are shorter, cleaner, and more energy-efficient. Coal-based chains substitute chemical routes via synthetic gas and methanol, with higher cost and more energy usage.

It makes sense for a country like China that is not rich in oil and has vast coal reserves, but not in the environmental sense, only in the strategical, geopolitical sense.
by stale2002 | 2025-10-06 17:41:31+00:00
> you probably are yourself way too under-skilled to be gainfully employed or not yourself capable of generating similar or better output.

Have you considered the posibilities that "subpar" coding skills are still extremely valuable?

I say this because almost every single extremely high paid engineer that I know at rocketship unicorn startups to FAANG companies are all using AI coding as an essential part of their work flow. Its ubiquitous. And we get paid tons of money.

We aren't just copying an pasting hundreds of lines of code and pushing to prod, of course, but its an invaluable tool for significantly speeding up an engineers coding workflow.

This contradicts your claim, as these aren't need grads, these are all highly paid professionals.
by some_guy_nobel | 2025-10-06 17:41:49+00:00
> If you marvel at the output of generative AI be it pictures, logo, music, 3D models, prose or code - you probably are yourself way too under-skilled to be gainfully employed or not yourself capable of generating similar or better output.

Interesting take. I am continuously impressed by these models. I also train these models for a living, and have worked on some of the highest profile models of the last few years.
Show HN: Open-Source Clay.com Alternative
by nadyyym | 2025-10-06 17:42:01+00:00
I'm building a lead enrichment orchestration tool that can be self-hosted.

Features:

- familiar spreadsheet UI

- Apollo.io, Leadmagic, Findymail, OpenAI + 100s to come

- Mention {{column_names}}

- Import and export CSVs

- Cloud version or MIT-licensed Docker

- Your keys for any vendor – free

- Credit system for Beton-managed API keys

Happy to hear any feedback you have on this
by thedougd | 2025-10-06 17:42:09+00:00
I don't know if we're in a bubble, but I'm a bit baffled at the lack of AI in my personal life. Where are all the consumer products?

Where I use it outside of work:

- Product review summarizations (Amazon.com, HomeDepot.com, etc)

- Search summarization (top of DuckDuckGo, Google, etc)

- Chat (eg ChatGPT. Better Search, Q&A)

It's not on my TV, barely on my iPhone, not in my smart home, just generally not much of a presence for me outside of work. Why isn't it changing my life yet? Or perhaps the average persons?
by hrpnk | 2025-10-06 17:42:43+00:00
There was a nice podcast from Prof G Markets about how the bubble could collapse: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oeepx2ZLrCA

In short it's companies turning to issuing debt, fuelled by increase in M&A activity, potential IPO of OpenAI, followed by collapse as tricks to increase revenue will fail to meet expectations and companies that mismanage debt will go bust.
by tsimionescu | 2025-10-06 17:42:54+00:00
The difference is that there are sometimes options to recover the money, and at least other countries will see and know that this happened, and may take some action.

A data breach, however, is completely secret - both from you and from others. Another country (not even necessarily the one that is physically hosting your data) may have access to your data, and neither you nor anyone else would necessarily know.
by joshstrange | 2025-10-06 17:44:10+00:00
> whose alluring designs of the iMac, iPod, and iPhone helped turn Apple into one of the most valuable companies in the world

"Helped" is doing a lot of heavy lifting in that sentence. I'm still not sure if those these things did well because of Jony or due to Steve. What we saw from Jony after Steve (few ports, butterfly keyboard, thinness at the expense of everything else) makes me think that without a good editor (of which Altman may or may not be) Jony isn't able to create greatness on his own. I also find Jony's ventures post-Apple to be laughable and not interesting in the slightest.

> “The concept is that you should have a friend who’s a computer who isn’t your weird AI girlfriend... like [Apple’s digital voice assistant] Siri but better,”

Uh, ok, that sentence took a weird turn. I'm not sure if anyone has ever called Siri a "weird AI girlfriend", I've never seen it marketed that way or people using it that way. Now, the OpenAI API, on the other hand, has clearly helped enable whole slews of AI Girl/boyfriends. Odd dig to throw at Apple here.

I'm sure whatever they unveil will be interesting, just not clear if it will have the same fate as R1/Humane/Friend. Personally, I hope they fail based on the video they released when OpenAI first bought "io", cringe does not begin to describe it.
by echelon | 2025-10-06 17:44:17+00:00
On the one hand, betting markets are fantastic predictors. I do really admire the "skin in the game" aspect tracking future outcomes better than polling or "expert" opinion.

But that comes at a steep cost. It's a huge negative externality. Placing bets on future outcomes like this isn't the same as placing bets on future outcomes by starting companies, investing in companies, doing fundamental research, or even putting your money in the public markets.

It's like sports betting. We're making the marketplace rich and separating gambling addicts from their livelihoods. Without enriching society.

We should tax this to pay for education or have some kind of societal upside. It's all bad, otherwise.
by downrightmike | 2025-10-06 17:44:56+00:00
Basically, with all the job cuts in the last few years, there hasn't been as much unemployment. We are currently heading to the point where even small job cuts have a much larger impact on unemployment.

We saw similar during the great depression, in that people couldn't find full time work, so they did gig jobs, quickly undercutting other laborers until wages cratered and it was a full blown depression. I suspect that gig work, even 1 hour/week is enough to get you out of the unemployed group, but it isn't sufficient and is masking the true labor market and unemployment. And then there is the Federal government firing the statisticians because the numbers coming out don't look good and now we can't trust the numbers. At this point any number you must assume to be majorly inflated from reality. Those made up numbers aren't even good.
by Zigurd | 2025-10-06 17:45:59+00:00
The Saudi sovereign wealth funds and similar Middle Eastern investors, Masayoshi Son, a16z (though not all of their funds), Tesla's board, and others seem to be operating in some kind of alternative reality where watching out for your limiteds and shareholders isn't a factor. Do they think they are really TBTF? Is that why JD Vance is where he is?

It's not just the size of the bubble that's scary. It's that some people obviously think they're going to get away with it.
by metalman | 2025-10-06 17:46:15+00:00
The real world concentrations of all of the elements that are in a satelite, dont go up by any measurable amount dues to space X sattelites burning up. What does have a huge impact is climate change causing industrial waste sites to dry up and spread dust, or just the inevitable increaes due to more human activity and mining for our resouce heavy consumption, especialy anything with chips, and batteries, exotic alloys in screens
by BizarroLand | 2025-10-06 17:46:17+00:00
I think we're already in stagflation but no one wants to be the person who calls it.

Even Arizona Iced Tea had to come off their $0.99 price tag.

Everyone in America is hard-pressed to find anything for sale for at or under $1.00

Minimum wage is still federally $7.25.

How much worse does it actually have to get to be official stagflation?
by nickdothutton | 2025-10-06 17:46:39+00:00
I'm not sure where DWDM is currently, but we quickly went from 1 colour to 512 colours per strand. I expect and hope for increases in GPU performance, some via process shrink, some via wafer size/yield, and some...perhaps... by software efficiencies (most interesting to me). Maybe volumes will increase too, further driving down the price for essentially the same parts. However I don't see how these gains (if they happen) can "get us to 512".
by johnnyanmac | 2025-10-06 17:46:41+00:00
>The fundamental problem is that primary campaigns require money, just like general election campaigns

That's part of the thing that irks me. In the age of the internet, I just don't get how and why money needs to correlate with outreach. As the most extreme examole: is 1 billion in funding really getting your name out there more than 2 billion? And is 1 billion really doing a better Job than 50m that's hyper focused on engaging the right audiences smartly? That's a big part of how you "disrupt an industry" here in tech. Get modest funds and focus efforts on what the core. Not all the bells and whistles.

Maybe among older audiences who rely on traditional media, but the internet doesn't scale that well with throwing money to compete (we can look at Google+, Mixer, and many gaming storefronts as examples). I feel there's gonna be a shift in this thinking as legacy media dies out and there's too many internet newscasters to pay off and weave a narrative.
by pessimizer | 2025-10-06 17:46:45+00:00
Myers-Briggs is nearly astrology, but the tests are remarkably consistent because they basically poll your philosophy and self-image, and that changes slowly over your life (even if your view of yourself and other people is inaccurate, it's likely to stay inaccurate.)

As a data point, I learned about Myers-Briggs on the internet just like everyone else, and took tests on the internet for fun just like everyone else. Mentioned it to my dad during a casual conversation and asked him to guess what this stupid "online personality test" said about me, and he replied with my exact type. Turns out he had given it to me when I was around 10 years old (he was obsessed with metrics*), and 25 years later it was still the same (and not a common type.)

-----

[*] Fun fact: Allstate Insurance got their HR and training infiltrated by a Scientology consultancy, and they brought Hubbard's obsession with forcing cult members to produce more income for him to the organization for years before they were forced out. They accidentally turned my father who was transitioning from programming into HR into a completely unaware Scientologist when it came to demanding performance (which also gave him dumb ideas about child-rearing.)

Allstate Admits Training Was ‘Unacceptable’ : Insurance: Company hired consultant who taught Scientology management principles between 1988 and 1992.

https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1995-03-23-fi-46309-...

https://www.lermanet.com/scientologynews/allstate2.html
by lcnPylGDnU4H9OF | 2025-10-06 17:46:46+00:00
> I haven't misunderstood anything.

You have misunderstood why people use the term "extremism".

> Mainstream views can't be extreme by definition.

Of course they can; mainstream views can't be uncommon by definition. Extreme doesn't strictly mean uncommon (not even in a political context), it is also used to mean "high degree", which can include distance from political centrism but can also include, e.g., frustration or flavor of cookie. To give another example, various online "challenges" like the "ice bucket challenge" are extreme but were also relatively mainstream when they were commonly performed and posted online; the term "ice bucket challenge" is still mainstream and the challenge itself is extreme (in fact, the reason it's called a "challenge" is because it is extreme).

Thinking there's too many immigrants might be mainstream (it currently is) but whether or not it's extreme depends on the degree to which it's believed. If it's believed to a high degree (such as "immigration is the worst thing about the capital city of this nation") by a large number of people then it is an extreme mainstream view by definition.
by mrguyorama | 2025-10-06 17:46:47+00:00
The Ukraine War became irrational the day after it started.

The entire war was planned as "It will be over in 3 days, we will accomplish all our objectives trivially, it will be a massive gain". There was never even an idea in the Kremlin that it would be anything other than a milk run, no contingency plan for if Ukraine fought back at all.

Russia did not even take control over hundreds of billions of dollars of cash reserves in foreign banks that they expected to be part of their war chest, and which were frozen early on.

Then they failed to take Hostomel airport, failed to be welcomed by the population, and their invasion column was an abysmal, laughable even, execution on whatever plan they had.

From that moment on, there was no "Success" option. It's geopolitical sunk cost fallacy.

Russia did not plan on losing over 4000 tanks! Russia did not plan on throwing away most of their Soviet inheritance and outright emptying all the storage yards for old tanks! They did not plan on causing the outright or near extinction of several entire types of Soviet military vehicle! They have lost 8000 IFVs! They definitely did not plan or want to lose several irreplaceable strategic aircraft, including multiple EWACS type aircraft that they didn't have a lot of in the first place, and again, irreplaceable.

Russia did not plan to have 30% of their fuel refining infrastructure damaged by a neighbor without a serious air force! Russia did not plan to have an attempted coup that was well on its way to Moscow. Russia did not plan on having most of its industry hampered by foreign export controls and limits.

Russia most certainly did not plan on having to beg and trade North Korea for a few million artillery shells, and they did not plan on having the Flagship of the Black Sea fleet sunk by a country who scuttled their navy months earlier!

If Ukraine rolled over and willingly submitted to total control today, including the actual populace (instead of resisting), Russia would still be utterly fucked for decades to come.
by gtowey | 2025-10-06 17:47:24+00:00
> So all those CEOs and CTOs are wrong, and you along with the skeptic camp see the true nature of AI.

This kind of a statement assumes that all those CEOs did exhaustive, detailed, independent research to arrive at the conclusion that AI is the next big thing.

IME more often than not, they're just following the herd in a way that ends up being a circle.
by csallen | 2025-10-06 17:47:38+00:00
> Btw: if you're going to be racist

I lean pretty far left myself. But this kind of comment is why I think the left keeps losing.

The person you're engaging with is presenting rational arguments and logic in good faith, and instead of engaging and disagreeing and presenting your own counterarguments, you're just labeling them a racist.

This is not persuasive to anyone. In fact, it massively hurts your case, as readers assume you simply don't have any good reasons to support you. And I'd say it goes even further, and hurts "the left" as a whole, as people are conditioned to view that movement as in support of silencing conversation. Fewer than 20% of the population wants to live in a world where legitimate discussion might have you branded as a racist, homophobe, sexist, fascist, etc.

And not only that, it completely weakens the word. If you use the word "racist" to describe pretty much anyone who disagrees with you, then suddenly it applies to the vast majority of people, at which point it (by definition) no longer describes behavior that society finds unacceptable. Then it loses all power to cause anyone to actually reflect on themselves, or to take it seriously when the charge is levied against others.

I highly recommend reserving these words for the specific and rare times where they actually apply.
by derefr | 2025-10-06 17:47:49+00:00
> So it's not really hallucinating - it correctly represents "seahorse emoji" internally, but that concept has no corresponding token.

I wonder if the human brain (and specifically the striated neocortical parts, which do seemingly work kind of like a feed-forward NN) also runs into this problem when attempting to process concepts to form speech.

Presumably, since we don't observe people saying "near but actually totally incorrect" words in practice, that means that we humans may have some kind of filter in our concept-to-mental-utterance transformation path that LLMs don't. Sometihng that can say "yes, layer N, I know you think the output should be O; but when auto-encoding X back to layer N-1, layer N-1 doesn't think O' has anything to do with what it was trying to say when it gave you the input I — so that output is vetoed. Try again."

A question for anyone here who is multilingual, speaking at least one second language with full grammatical fluency but with holes in your vocabulary vs your native language: when you go to say something in your non-native language, and one of the word-concepts you want to evoke is one you have a word for in your native language, but have never learned the word for in the non-native language... do you ever feel like there is a "maybe word" for the idea in your non-native language "on the tip of your tongue", but that you can't quite bring to conscious awareness?
by Havoc | 2025-10-06 17:48:12+00:00
The valuations vs revenue numbers definitely are alarming but the fact that it is a general purpose tech makes me reluctant to pull cash out of the market.

dotcom bubble may have been a thing, but the underlying tech was valid and created the big techs out of thin air. Admittedly after much pain & flushing out the pets.coms of the world

If we're at another moment like that do you really want to be sitting on the sidelines?
by scarface_74 | 2025-10-06 17:48:18+00:00
We do? Have you been reading the news where the President is firing AGs who won’t go after his enemies and firing FBI agents who didn’t agree to perp walk his enemy? Not to mention he just pardoned 1500 domestic terrorists in January.

Public companies are outright bribing the President to get mergers passed (Paramount) and the entire confiscating TikTok to give it to his buddy at Oracle on the cheap can’t be ignored.

On the federal level, there really isn’t any legal standard anymore.
by thrance | 2025-10-06 17:48:23+00:00
In short: republicans are the effectuators, democrats are the enablers. The democrats have been deferring to moneyed interests too over the last decades, just in a less agressive way. They spend a great deal of energy pushing actual leftists out of the party or keeping them ineffectual. And most importantly: they don't push back against the GOP's terrible policies and destruction of our democracy at all.
by crazygringo | 2025-10-06 17:48:26+00:00
No it's not, because nobody knows how big the AI bubble is. Or even if it actually exists at all.

Because the concept behind a bubble is that it's inflated over the true value due to speculation or non-speculative overinvestment.

But there's still a true value.

So you can say AI valuations are whatever multiple of previous whatevers, but you can't say the AI bubble is. Because if there's an AI bubble (and there probably is, but nobody knows), nobody knows how big the bubble part is versus that solid part. Obviously, if anyone did, they'd make lots of money by investing accordingly.

And of course the reason we can't figure out the bubble size is because nobody knows what the true value of LLM's will be over the coming decade or two. It's hard to know even what the order of magnitude will be. And how much will be captured by existing LLM companies.
by fhd2 | 2025-10-06 17:48:52+00:00
Well, ads are commonly run on hopium.

Sure, there's performance marketing where you pay for clicks, but at least last time I checked, paying for "impressions" (how that's measured is up to Facebook et al) is far more common.

And a lot of advertising I can think of is just "brand building" anyway, trying to get something in front of as many eyeballs as possible without a directly measurable result such as an immediate purchase. Sure, folks try to measure the impact of that, but it's hard, to say the least. The goal is that next time you need a new car, whenever that is, you're more likely to get an Audi cause there were a few in Avengers. Same principle outside product placement.

Add to that the somewhat common practice of advertisers trying to steal each other's customers (it's pretty common to buy a competitor's name as keyword in search for example) and you've got a pretty well oiled self powering money making machine.
by madaxe_again | 2025-10-06 17:48:55+00:00
Nvidia is way more than their data centre hardware - their software and research is just leagues ahead of the nearest competition, and their edge compute capabilities are going to be a rapidly growing market as derived models start getting put in products - think self-driving, robotics, machine vision, manufacturing and industrial automation, on and on.

So yes - while there are others who may yet compete in the data centre compute market, nothing else comes close to the monopolistic total vertical integration nvidia has built over the last decade.