MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by retskrad | 2025-08-07 18:48:24+00:00
Speaking of these standardised tests, I think it's ridiculous that even for someone like Elon Musk, who read for up to 10 hours a day for most of his of pre college days and learned how to build rockets with the use of books och instruction manuals, only scored 730 on the Math section and 670 on the Verbal section for a total composite score of 1400. The fact that he couldn't get higher score means something is wrong with these tests. They are mirroring a very narrow frequency of aptitude.
by j_timberlake | 2025-08-07 18:48:42+00:00
I think you're reading way too much into OpenAI bungling its 15-month product lead, but also the whole "1 AGI company will take off" prediction is bad anyway, because it assumes governments would just let that happen. Which they wouldn't, unless the company is really really sneaky or superintelligence happens in the blink of an eye.
by chollida1 | 2025-08-07 18:48:49+00:00
> Every bonus I have gotten has been paid out in January based on past performance. That's why the term "bonus season" exists.

Hey, I believe you and have no reason to think you are lying. Every bonus I've had has been vested over a 2 year period with about 50% vesting upfront. Again this is probably due to my bonus being tied to performance which could change from year to year and the fact the its probably larger than the average bonus employees get.

Every company is different and every bonus is different. There is no one way a bonus is allocated.
by gunnaraasen | 2025-08-07 18:48:50+00:00
Seems like the real innovation of LLM-based AI models is the creation of a new human-computer interface.

Instead of writing code with exacting parameters, future developers will write human-language descriptions for AI to interpret and convert into a machine representation of the intent. Certainly revolutionary, but not true AGI in the sense of the machine having truly independent agency and consciousness.

In ten years, I expect the primary interface of desktop workstations, mobile phones, etc will be voice prompts for an AI interface. Keyboards will become a power-user interface and only used for highly technical tasks, similar to the way terminal interfaces are currently used to access lower-level systems.
by wonderwonder | 2025-08-07 18:49:11+00:00
Ha! you were op, my fault :)

Although that means you avoided answering my question directly multiple times although I think you strongly alluded that the answer would be no in your last response.

I look at my life and those of my family as precious and more valuable than all other lives (their lives over mine). I expect others to operate in a similar manner and that is why I am always taken aback at posts that seem to advocate for the sacrifice of one's self for the benefit of strangers. This is different of course from in the moment actions such as running into a burning building to save someone or stepping up to protect a woman you have never met from an aggressive man.

Your response while vague appears to indicate that you would not sacrifice yourself for this experiment either. Which is what I would expect from everyone.

I understand your general advocation for the clinical study and I agree with the need overall but not at the cost of intentionally sacrificing oneself.

So I'll pop a low dose lithium tablet along with a baby aspirin each night and hope you do the same. Wishing you a long life my friend.
by AndrewStephens | 2025-08-07 18:49:18+00:00
I like your solution - I think it is perfectly fine for a low traffic blog.

Personally I find comments not worth the bother and purposely did not include them on my site. My blog is an expression of my personality and the idea of other peoples words appearing on my pages seems weird to me.

I know people enjoy feedback, which is why I have taken to emailing bloggers whose work I enjoy instead of leaving meaningless comments.
by incomingpain | 2025-08-07 18:49:33+00:00
>I love the unshakable faith Republicans have that Republicans are better for the economy when there is so much evidence to the contrary. I suppose if you define "economy" narrowly enough it might be true.

Im not from the USA and not a republican.

The point of my post that was hopefully coming through was for some self-reflection. “He who asks a question is a fool for a minute; he who does not ask is a fool for life.”
by Retric | 2025-08-07 18:50:07+00:00
> which is wholly predicated upon unbounded exponential growth

This is a false assumption. The economy is based on doing what people want. If people suddenly want glow in the dark kitchens someone will ramp up production of glow in the dark paint and take customers from companies that didn’t follow the trend. That’s the feedback mechanism keeping the economy functioning.

Growth at the micro level and growth at the macro level aren’t the same thing.
by logicchains | 2025-08-07 18:50:09+00:00
>It's interesting to note that at least so far, the trend has been the opposite: as time goes on and the models get better, the performance of the different company's gets clustered closer together

It's natural if you extrapolate from training loss curves; a training process with continually diminishing returns to more training/data is generally not something that suddenly starts producing exponentially bigger improvements.
by knodi123 | 2025-08-07 18:50:10+00:00
One of two things:

1. The will of its creator, or

2. Its own will.

In the case of the former, hey! We might get lucky! Perhaps the person who controls the first super-powered AI will be a benign despot. That sure would be nice. Or maybe it will be in the hands of democracy- I can't ever imagine a scenario where an idiotic autocratic fascist thug would seize control of a democracy by manipulating an under-educated populace with the help of billionaire technocrats.

In the case of the latter, hey! We might get lucky! Perhaps it will have been designed in such a way that its own will is ethically aligned, and it might decide that it will allow humans to continue having luxuries such as self-determination! Wouldn't that be nice.

Of course it's not hard to imagine a NON-lucky outcome of either scenario. THAT is what we worry about.
by tptacek | 2025-08-07 18:50:42+00:00
So what you're saying is that the scenarios you're thinking of where investors hold houses, don't rent them, and still make money all require investors to have monopoly control of the housing market that is maintained regardless of the amount of supply added, and that rather than exploiting inelasticity they exploit irrational speculative bubbles.

OK.

This describes zero investors anywhere in the country. There is no significant market in the US where investors owns even a significant percentage of all houses (the total in California is 19%, and that statistic is dominated by mom-and-pop house speculators that can't buy even two more houses, let alone keep up with continuous added supply).

I'm fine with the idea that we've played this out now. Maybe someone else has a better idea of how investors can beat zoning reform, but for now I'm going to go back to assuming that investors are immaterial to housing scarcity.
by timr | 2025-08-07 18:50:47+00:00
> So I worry that you think that the equal transit time thing is true,

Wow. Thanks for your worry, but it's not a problem. I do understand the difference, and yet it doesn't have anything to do with the argument I'm making, which is about presentation.

> It's not even a good lie-to-children, as it doesn't help predict or understand any part of the system at any level.

...which is irrelevant in the context. I get the meta-point that you're (sort of) making that you can't shut your brain off and just hope the bot spits out 100% pedantic explanations of scientific phenomenon. That's true, but also...fine?

These things are spitting out probable text. If (as many have observed) this is a common enough explanation to be in textbooks, then I'm not particularly surprised if an LLM emits it as well. The real question is: what happens when you prompt it to go deeper?
by jpc0 | 2025-08-07 18:50:55+00:00
It’s commonly held wisdom that in the long run the market always goes up.

There was a Buffet experiment relating to active management vs an ETF tracking the S&P for some amount of time (a decade?), the ETF won as far as I remember.

You are usually better off holding, because most active management is indistinguishable from random chance at best and usually is literally worse than doing nothing.
by jacquesm | 2025-08-07 18:51:29+00:00
The difference isn't so much that you can do what a human can do. The difference is that you can - once you can do it at all - do it almost arbitrarily fast by upping the clock or running things in parallel and that changes the equation considerably, especially if you can get that kind of energy coupled into some kind of feedback loop.

For now the humans are winning on two dimensions: problem complexity and power consumption. It had better stay that way.
by serial_dev | 2025-08-07 18:51:48+00:00
But then the only reason to use BlueSky is that your network is using it.

It’s a completely valid reason, but All the talk about platform lock in, independent nodes and relay and whatnot is just to make you feel better (I listened to some talks and podcasts but realized that it’s all just window dressing, you can be practically deplatformed at any time, so I’m hazy on the details).
by 9rx | 2025-08-07 18:52:08+00:00
> Money generated by direct usage is economic impact by the model.

But not at the "hand" of AGI. Perhaps you forgot to read your very own definition? Notably the "autonomous" part.

When AGI is set free and starts up "Closed I", generating $12B in economic value without humans steering the wheel, we will be (well, I will be, at least!) throughly impressed. But Microsoft won't be. They won't consider it AGI until it does $100B.

> If you use GPT-N substantially in your work, then saying that impact rests solely on you is nonsensical.

And if you use a hammer substantially in your work to generate $100B in value, a hammer is AGI according to you? You can hold that idea, but that's not what anyone else is talking about. The primary indicator of AGI, as you even said yourself, is autonomy.
by trhway | 2025-08-07 18:52:15+00:00
Of course the religious fervor of the first post-Revolution years wasn't there say in 197x, yet so many people in Russia have during the last 30+ years been wanting back to USSR. The propaganda shapes your brain, especially if they hit you while you're young.

>But personal and in private, it was very different.

Deep down unfortunately the ex-Soviet people, me included, are damaged goods :)
by moritzwarhier | 2025-08-07 18:52:47+00:00
Since it seems unlikely that a single scroll gesture passes the threshold, and also the scrollbar thumb probably is invisible (either intentionally or due to the extreme height): maybe an "infinite scroll" paginated stack of virtual lists would be enough? I mean a dumb "load more" implementation that swaps out the main container once you reach the end/start of each "item" (virtual lists themselves)?

If that doesn't help, maybe check out this fun post (no native scrolling experience):

https://everyuuid.com

https://eieio.games/blog/writing-down-every-uuid/
by OneDeuxTriSeiGo | 2025-08-07 18:52:53+00:00
That's not actually true.

1. If you switch PDS all links continue working.

2. If you change your handle (for did:plc, did:web can't do this because DNS) it used to break links but nowadays this isn't a problem because handle resolution respects historical handle naming (I think it works by post+handle age but I can't remember).

3. Also if you share posts using the did syntax instead of handle syntax (which bluesky seems to be slowly changing over to, at least profiles do this now), it's stable regardless of handle changes.

4. If you want to switch frontends, you can use an extension or app like at://wormhole to do so. UX for this should improve over time but that's a big "eventually".

5. Hopefully the at:// URI format catches on but that's a long ways away given that browsers make using custom URIs an absolute nightmare.
by sliken | 2025-08-07 18:53:07+00:00
Indeed. Pretty much all silicon today comes on 12" or so wafers, broken into chip sized pieces, and each chip is tested and the ones that failed are thrown away.

Cerebras uses the entire 12" and builds in redundancy so that with current defect rates a large fraction of the wafers are usable. This allows a huge level of parallelism, a large amount of on board ram, and the removal of the need to move data on/off the wafer. So the available bandwidth is insane and inference is mostly bandwidth limited.
by addaon | 2025-08-07 18:53:18+00:00
> a smart and fast model that answers most questions, a deeper reasoning model for harder problems, and a real-time router that quickly decides which model to use based on conversation type, complexity, tool needs, and explicit intent (for example, if you say “think hard about this” in the prompt).

From https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-system-card/
by frabcus | 2025-08-07 18:53:36+00:00
Act coherently in an agentic way for a long time, and as a result be able to carry out more complex tasks.

Even if it is similar to today's tech, and doesn't have permanent memory or consciousness or identity, humans using it will. And very quickly, they/it will hack into infrastructure, set up businesses, pay people to do things, start cults, autonomously operate weapons, spam all public discourse, fake identity systems, stand for office using a human. This will be scaled thousands or millions of times more than humans can do the same thing. This at minimum will DOS our technical and social infrastructure.

Examples of it already happening are addictive ML feeds for social media, and bombing campaigns targetting based on network analysis.

The frame of "artificial intelligence" is a bit misleading. Generally we have a narrow view of the word "intelligence" - it is helpful to think of "artificial charisma" as well, and also artificial "hustle".

Likewise, the alienness of these intelligences is important. Lots of the time we default to mentally modelling AI as human. It won't be, it'll be freaky and bizarre like QAnon. As different from humans as an aeroplane is from a pigeon.
by wlesieutre | 2025-08-07 18:53:43+00:00
If this is what Microsoft called "connected standby" it's worth noting that the early implementation of this even on Surface hardware with Windows 8 was hot garbage. It liked to wake itself up in your bag and completely drain the battery while cooking the computer from lack of ventilation. I made a point of always turning the Surface the whole way off any time I packed it up because it was so unreliable. Best case the battery drained like 5% per hour.

Hopefully the initial BSD implementation is better than Windows did.
by knodi123 | 2025-08-07 18:53:47+00:00
That's remarkably short-sighted. First of all, no, millions of them don't walk the earth - the "A" stands for artificial. And secondly, most of us mere humans don't have the ability to design a next generation that is exponentially smarter and more powerful than us. Obviously the first generation of AGI isn't going to brutally conquer the world overnight. As if that's what we were worried about.

If you've got evidence proving that an AGI will never be able to design a more powerful and competent successor, then please share it- it would help me sleep better, and my ulcers might get smaller.
by duxup | 2025-08-07 18:53:55+00:00
>But not all “unknown sender” messages are created equal.

That's true, but as a user having one spam folder where I can filter through those messages and determine for myself seems logical.

I would be happy to fill out a quick anonymous poll for a honest to god polling service, but I've also been contacted by folks who I think were doing "push polls" (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Push_poll) and I suspect my answers were irrelevant to the process.
by abetusk | 2025-08-07 18:54:01+00:00
The 250 W/m^2 is measured sunlight, not the amount reflected by the atmosphere.

I absolutely would not confine ourselves to land as oceans provide a large area available for solar energy capture and there's no reason to think we might not be able to use it.

Photovoltaics, or whatever technology we use to capture sunlight, will get better but even at a modest 20% still gives us a lot of headroom.

Whether its 2.3% or 2.5% energy growth per year, the calculation gives us a timeline of 200-400 years. For some reason this is used as a countdown to oblivion instead of a rallying cry about where we're headed. Mars is great but there's a *lot of space in space*. Besides pushing solar panels into orbit, either the earth, moon or sun directly, there's also tons of asteroids, ripe for mining.

Forget a second earth, we can make a Dyson swarm. What you take as a countdown timer to a bomb, I take as a timeline for us to go up the Kardashev scale.

These reduction to absurdity arguments about the temperature of the earth assume we're not going to space. I don't understand why you reject this idea outright.

All the above calculations about the energy available to us are from a tiny pin-prick sliver of how much energy the sun deposits in all directions, every day, all day, for the 4 billion years. Once we have access to a significant fraction of the suns energy, going to other stars and repeating is well within feasibility.
by Aurornis | 2025-08-07 18:54:27+00:00
> only scored 730 on the Math section and 670 on the Verbal section for a total composite score of 1400.

Those numbers are well above average. Good results. I don't know the context but if he didn't prepare much or at all then those results are quite good.

If you expected him to get a perfect score, your expectations might be too high or there might be some hero worship going on.
by SoftTalker | 2025-08-07 18:54:30+00:00
I suppose the GOOD site should say "do not enter this code on any other sites, we are NOT a login partner for any other sites" but a lot of people would probably not read that. Still, it would help. The very tricky thing about this scam is that it gets people to react to an email that they are expecting. Which means they will not be as guarded as if they got an email out of the blue.
by esseph | 2025-08-07 18:54:53+00:00
Pssst - Your 100% volunteer claim is wrong.

https://us.dk/media/vsxfb4vt/factfindingmission_russia-recru...

>The Chechens most at risk of being coercively recruited are critcs of the authorites, family members of vocal critcs, drug and alcohol users as well as members of the LGBT community. The Chechen authorites have used coercive recruitment to get rid of what they call the undesirables. In general, any deviaton from the norms and rules of Kadyrov’s leadership could be used to coercively recruit Chechens. In this regard, the Chechen authorites use forced recruitment as a form of punishment in Chechnya. Although certain groups can be identfied as being more at risk than others, there is also a high degree of unpredictability and arbitrariness in the actons of Chechen authorites in regards to coercive recruitment.

And the ones who tried to hide: https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/05/26/austria-deports-ch...
by babypuncher | 2025-08-07 18:54:58+00:00
You can only EQ speakers and headphones as far as the transducer can still respond accurately to the signal you're sending it. No amount of EQ will give the Sennheiser HD-600's good sub-bass performance because the driver begins to distort the signal long before you've amplified it enough to match the Harman target at a normal listening level.

DSP is a very powerful tool that can make terrible speakers and headphones sound great, but it's not magic.
by mwigdahl | 2025-08-07 18:55:05+00:00
If reasoning is on the table, then you already had to add o3-mini-high, o3-mini-medium, o3-mini-low, o4-mini-high, o4-mini-medium, and o4-mini-low to the 4.1 variants. The GPT-5 way seems simpler to me.
by falcor84 | 2025-08-07 18:56:06+00:00
I would say that there are quite a lot of roles where you need to do a lot of planning to effectively manage an ~8 hour shift, but then there are good protocols for handing over to the next person. So once AIs get to that level (in 2027?), we'll be much closer to AIs taking on "economically valuable work".
by tetha | 2025-08-07 18:56:07+00:00
This is why at work, we're encouraging and recommending to use some kind of SSO, but we're basing our cost off of the customers IDP.

Some "green" IDP like O365 OIDC, Okta, Entra and such are usually included without extra cost (and will be self-service soon, too). Some "yellow" - usually SAML - IDPs come at a fixed fee. We know them, we know they are weird, but we can deal with it.

Other things are flagged as red and call in hourly billed projects and recurring maintenance fees. Like, one customer has an in-house developed SAML IDP written in PHP a decade ago or so. I want our customers to use SSO, but that's a level of jank I'm not supporting for free.
by OneDeuxTriSeiGo | 2025-08-07 18:56:12+00:00
You normally don't notice tbh. Switching PDS is entirely invisible to the frontend. There's a lot of self hosted PDS users (since it's basically a small go router + sqlite) but there's also bigger community PDS projects being spun up including blacksky and northsky.

As for frontends, there's a bunch of them and a lot of them focus on changing the UX. But for self hosted "bluesky", there is https://deer.social which is a forked client that still relies on the bluesky appview/backend and there is https://zeppelin.social which is downstream of deer social but also runs their own appview independent of "big bluesky".