MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by mbac32768 | 2025-08-10 02:48:57+00:00
I agree. A better article would dive into the economics of what and why they didn't release the model that won gold in the 2025 International Math Olympiad. And the answer there is (probably) because it had a million dollars in inference compute costs just to take the test. If you follow that line of reasoning, they're onto something, possibly something that is AGI, but it's still much too expensive to commercialize.

If AI gains now come from spending OOMs more on inference than compute, it means we're in slow takeoff-istan and they're going to need to keep the hype train going for a long time to keep investment up.

Can they get there? Is it a matter of waiting out the clock on Moore's law? Or are they on the sigmoid curve with inference based gains well?

That's the question of our time and it's completely ignored.
by andrewmcwatters | 2025-08-10 02:49:23+00:00
I jump between Claude Sonnet 4 on GitHub Copilot Pro and now GPT-5 on ChatGPT. That seems to get me pretty far. I have gpt-oss:20b installed with ollama, but haven't found a need to use it yet, and it seems like it just takes too long on an M1 Max MacBook Pro 64GB.

Claude Sonnet 4 is pretty exceptional. GPT-4.1 asks me too frequently if it wants to move forward. Yes! Of course! Just do it! I'll reject your changes or do something else later. The former gets a whole task done.

I wonder if anyone is getting better results, or comparable for cheaper or free. GitHub Copilot in Visual Studio Code is so good, I think it'd be pretty hard to beat, but I haven't tried other integrated editors.
by jiggawatts | 2025-08-10 02:49:46+00:00
Conversely, if you're in some co-location facility and they run out of space/cooling/power, then you might be painted into a very small corner for an extended period. This happened to several government customers because they all shared a common facility. Entire departments were squeezing blood from a stone because they had an iron rule that "no more servers", not even VMs... for years.

In the public cloud, you can almost always just pick another AZ, another region, or another SKU. Because of how Spot priced compute works, a PayG customer will essentially always be able to provision something, somewhere.
by astrange | 2025-08-10 02:49:59+00:00
No one else is going to because no one else has a deep water navy they're going to use for this. Whereas it's the first thing the US ever did (in the Barbary Wars). Everyone else pays for it by using our currency and trading with us for cheap.

> Bought and paid for by the MIC itself.

One thing you can always use to spot low-trust conspiratorial types is they insist that all bad things are caused by "corporations" and involve money in some vague way, but then they never believe any actual specific information if it conflicts with their vague ideas of evil corporations doing things out there, vaguely.

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/MS.MIL.XPND.GD.ZS?locat...
by PaulHoule | 2025-08-10 02:50:44+00:00
Asking for documentation is good. I had a data structure in Java that was a bunch of nested Map<String, Object>(s) that I partially understood and asked my agent to write me some sample JSON documents and... it just did it and it was a big help for manual coding against that structure.

When I can't figure out something about a library I have often loaded the git repository into my IDE and checked out the version I was using, then used the IDE to study the code. Now I do that and ask the agent questions about the code like "How do I do X?" (often it sees the part in the doumentation that I missed) or "Where is the code that does Y?" It greatly accelerates the process of understanding code.
by riehwvfbk | 2025-08-10 02:51:33+00:00
You're thinking https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzhokhar_Dudayev

Fascinating man, really. If you do read the article - notice that while he resigned rather than follow orders to suppress a rebellion in Estonia, and there are streets named after him in the places that hate Russia, he also won elections with 90% of the vote once he became a warlord and disbanded parliament. History, it would seem, is not black and white.
by Ukv | 2025-08-10 02:51:50+00:00
> > > Reasoning and consciousness are seperate(sic) concepts

> No, they're not. But, in tech, we seem to have a culture of severing the humanities for utilitarian purposes [...] It's only meaningless if you don't know what the philosophical or epistemological definitions of reasoning are.

As far as I'm aware, in philosophy they'd generally be considered different concepts with no consensus on whether or not one requires the other. I don't think it can be appealed to as if it's a settled matter.

Personally I think people put "learning", "reasoning", "memory", etc. on a bit too much of a pedestal. I'm fine with saying, for instance, that if something changes to refine its future behavior in response to its experiences (touch hot stove, get hurt, avoid in future) beyond the immediate/direct effect (withdrawing hand) then it can "learn" - even for small microorganisms.
by jampa | 2025-08-10 02:52:07+00:00
His "I told you so" attitude only makes sense for people who believe what they saw on Twitter from people like Sam, who thrive on hype. For most people, it was obvious that we were/are in the last part of the S curve on the LLMs' advancement and won't get us to AGI.

The leap from 3.5 to 4 was amazing, but then everyone started catching up with OpenAI, which got diminishing returns on each new model. Expecting out of nowhere that OAI would improve its pacing from o1 -> o3 improvements to AGI doesn't make sense, no matter how Sam Altman hypes.
by moritzwarhier | 2025-08-10 02:52:22+00:00
I think you are missing the forest for the trees here.

> It all started in 2016 after it was deemed that tech, especially social media, had helped sway the election. Since then a lot of things became political that weren't in the past and tech got swept up w/ that

The 2016 election was a symptom of broader societal changes, and yeah, I'd also say it exhibited a new level of psychological manipulation in election campaigns. But the election being "deemed" influenced by technology and media (sure it was, why not?) as a cause for political division seems very far-fetched. Regarding the US healthcare politics farce, I don't understand your point or how it relates to the beginning of your comment.

Political division and propaganda inciting outrage are flourishing, yes. Not because of what you describe about the 2016 election though, IMO. What's the connection? So you mean if nobody had assessed social media campaigns after that election, politics wozld be more honest and fact-based? Why? And what did you want to say with the NY Times article about the US secretary of health and American junk food / cereals?
by 0xbadcafebee | 2025-08-10 02:55:30+00:00
I have to keep buying a new computer every few years because software keeps getting slower. That machine still costs a thousand dollars, and my "low-end" internet connection now costs $100. My hypertext document viewer requires at least 8GB of RAM for normal use, with eight CPU cores. No new network protocol can exist without being tunneled over the hypertext document viewer's stateless application-layer network protocol. All of this so that I can click on a screen to read some text.

The supercomputers in our pockets (that used to be telephones, but don't work well for that anymore) will let us run the programs that one of two companies allow us to run, which will run most apps... as long as the hardware is as recent as our laptops/desktops.

Yes, we're very advanced. In the past 20 years, we have achieved... the same thing we had 20 years ago... only with more hardware requirements, programming languages, and frameworks. Today you can do anything... as long as it's on a web page, on recent hardware (and God help you if you haven't updated your software in the past month)
by mcswell | 2025-08-10 02:56:32+00:00
Listing and explaining is essentially repeating what someone else has said somewhere. Labeling a schematic requires understanding what you're saying (or copy-pasting a schematic, so I guess we can be happy that GPT-5 doesn't do that). No one who actually understood the function of the major components would mislabel the schematic like that, unless they were blind.
by ponector | 2025-08-10 02:56:44+00:00
>> can you name another mass starvation of an ethnic non-Russian region

Asharshylyk. And it's not the only one I can name.

Maybe western propaganda is good in creating labels, but russians are good in killing is own people. Stalin killed more people in USSR than Hitler. Even now in their army ethnic minorities have disproportionally high KIA and WIA rates.
by moritzwarhier | 2025-08-10 02:58:32+00:00
99% of content about AI nowadays is smug bullshitting with no real value. Is that new?

I'm eagerly awaiting more insightful analyses about how AI will create a perpetuum mobile of wealth for all of humanity, independent from natural resource consumption and human greed. It seems so logical!

Even some lesswrong discussions, however confused, are more insightful than most blog posts by AI company customers.

Fascinating technology though, sure.
by panarky | 2025-08-10 02:59:07+00:00
I'm getting consistently good results with Gemini CLI and the free 100 requests per day and 6 million tokens per day.

Note that you'll need to either authorize with a Google Account or with an API key from AI Studio, just be sure the API key is from an account where billing is disabled.

Also note that there are other rate limits for tokens per request and tokens per minute on the free plan that effectively prevent you from using the whole million token context window.

It's good to exit or /clear frequently so every request doesn't resubmit your entire history as context or you'll use up the token limits long before you hit 100 requests in a day.
by hckrfucrs | 2025-08-10 02:59:26+00:00
Exactly!

I mean, what's political about having former NSA heads on your "exciting technology" board?

Or what's political about lining up together as the front row at the despot in chief's inauguration?

And what's so political about lobbying to and sequestering large amounts of public funds for your personal manufactured consent machine?

These things are literally software that runs on technology developed in the last 50 years, but by your clearly apolitical, unbiased, absolutely thoughtful, well reasoned, fully researched, insight is in fact "the most exciting technology in the last 50 years".
by sieve | 2025-08-10 03:00:55+00:00
> Freaking expensive!

Right!?

I live in India. The summers can be 40C. So $500 for an extremely energy efficient split-ac from a local manufacturer that does up to 12K BTU/h and $50 for installation.

I ran it 16h every day at 40% capacity for 2-3 months with the rotary inverter compressor pulling about 250-300W when cooling for a total power consumption of about 180 kWh per month.
by antonvs | 2025-08-10 03:01:47+00:00
Define "not trivial". Obviously, experience helps, as with any tool. But it's hardly rocket science.

It seems to me the biggest barrier is that the person driving the tool needs to be experienced enough to recognize and assist when it runs into issues. But that's little different from any sophisticated tool.

It seems to me a lot of the criticism comes from placing completely unrealistic expectations on an LLM. "It's not perfect, therefore it sucks."
by MBCook | 2025-08-10 03:02:44+00:00
You said people underestimate the amount of astroturfing. Clearly implying there is more than people think.

You seemed to imply there was a small amount of genuine anti-AI posting.

You then said the posts came in identifiable waves followed by explaining how people organize on discord to post such things.

All of that added up sounds to me like you are implying the vast majority of anti-AI sentiment is organized astroturfing. Yeah you never said every single one, I generalized on that front.

You say that’s not what you meant. Sorry, that was how I read your post. It sounded to me like a blatant dismissal of all critiques as fake or insincere.
by dnh44 | 2025-08-10 03:02:58+00:00
I'm of the same opinion as the op and I'm programming in Rust(api) and Swift(client) right now.

I entered a vibe coded game hackathon a few months back and in a little over a week I was at 25k lines of code across both the client and server. It all worked (multiplayer) even though the game sucked.
by PinkSheep | 2025-08-10 03:03:14+00:00
Unfortunately, p2p is *inhales* fxxxed! due to how modern internet networks are set up. NAT (potentially VPNed at carrier level), lack of IPv6, firewalls blocking incoming traffic, dysfunctioning UPnP, blocked UDP. Next tier issues: legal, that bound user identities to IPs, showing your IP publically is a privacy risk first and a security risk second (DoS).

It seems like it'll be impossible without an overlay network (like Yggdrasil, i2p), but these will be too heavy for mobile devices without a dedicated functioning relay... here we go again.
by pamelafox | 2025-08-10 03:03:20+00:00
I just ran evaluations of gpt-5 for our RAG scenario and was pleasantly surprised at how often it admitted “ I don’t know” - more than any model I’ve eval’d before. Our prompt does tell it to say it doesnt know if context is missing, so that likely helped, but this is the first model to really adhere to that.
by generuso | 2025-08-10 03:04:16+00:00
If the chip is subjected to a few thousand g's of shock the wires can bend and short.

This failure mode is quite low on the list among others, but it is something that people did investigate. For example: "Swing Touch Risk Assessment of Bonding Wires in High-Density Package Under Mechanical Shock Condition" https://asmedigitalcollection.asme.org/electronicpackaging/a...
by bitwize | 2025-08-10 03:04:52+00:00
I don't code in Erlang or Elixir, aside from messing about. But I've found that letting an entire application crash is something that I can do under certain circumstances, especially when "you have a very big problem and will not go to space today". For example, if there's an error reading some piece of data that's in the application bundle and is needed to legitimately start up in the first place (assets for my game for instance). Then upon error it just "screams and dies" (spits out a stack trace and terminates).
by biker142541 | 2025-08-10 03:05:16+00:00
Quick benchmark of pmtiles directly in maplibre vs served tiles, both via Bunnycdn and 5 areas sampled using same style. Total impact on page end to end load time: 39ms longer with cached range requests from pmtiles than cached tiles. Individual requests are comparable in the 20-35ms range, so the slight extra time seems to be from the additional round trip for range headers (makes sense).
by unnouinceput | 2025-08-10 03:06:23+00:00
I agree, Google is definitely the champion of respecting your privacy. Will definitely not train their model on your data if you pay them. I mean you should definitely just film yourself and give them everything, access to your files, phone records, even bank accounts. Just make sure to pay them those measly $200 and absolutely they will not share that data with anybody.
by Fade_Dance | 2025-08-10 03:07:06+00:00
Yeah, this was one of the "simple apps" I had in my utilities folder. Having it bolted onto an office suite sort of kills the appeal. Wondering if there any fixed-function alternatives. Reddit had a few, including an open source alternative, but comments were also saying that they weren't of the same quality. Apparently Adobe has a good one, but it's tied to a subscription.
by antonvs | 2025-08-10 03:07:29+00:00
I use Gemini CLI daily (work is a Google shop), directly (no kilocode). I've never seen anything like that.

I wonder if it could be something to do with the kilocode integration.

But, I do more commonly run with permission required for many operations, because I find it works much better if I help it every now and then. It can get stuck on some pretty simple stuff.
by joshdavham | 2025-08-10 03:11:15+00:00
> When you use AI in web chat's (the chat interfaces like AI Studio, ChatGPT, Openrouter, instead of thru an IDE or agent framework) are almost always better at solving problems, and coming up with solutions compared to the agents like Cline, Trae, Copilot.. Not always, but usually.

I completely agree with this!

While I understand that it looks a little awkward to copy and paste your code out of your IDE and into a web chat interface, I generally get better results that way than with GitHub copilot or cursor.
by jandrewrogers | 2025-08-10 03:11:27+00:00
That isn’t what’s happening. A lot of these areas are permanently hollowing out far beyond fast food, at least with respect to local businesses. Lots of places in decent neighborhoods are boarded up and stay that way. This is an issue even in some cities with strong population growth.

I recently had the mayor of a major west coast city tell me this was a permanent trend, that there was no way to reverse the loss of these small businesses and that the disposition of all that real estate was a major issue, compounded by a loss of basic neighborhood services like groceries that used to operate out of this real estate.

The future isn’t other businesses that somehow magically pay higher wages. The future city planners are seeing is all delivery all the time from warehouse districts, and ghost towns of commercial real estate for which there is no purpose. Even city centers are starting to turn into suburbs in terms of occupancy density.
by ponector | 2025-08-10 03:11:58+00:00
>> Do racist people exists? Yes, they do. They tend to live in small insular towns

And Moscow. And other big cities. People of color are beaten routinely in Moscow, local police will do nothing about that, may not even register it.

A friend of mine has relative in Moscow, son of high rank Soviet scientist. They transfered their son to the religious school under russian orthodox church explicitly mentioned the reason: no Tajiks there.
by moritzwarhier | 2025-08-10 03:12:52+00:00
I agree with this, Neil Postmans "Amusing ourselves to death" is still a good read in 2025.

The only antidotes I can imagine are honesty and real community: make whatever you want from this, it should be obvious by now that global cut-throat capitalism does not lead to democracy, or to efficient resource usage (externalization...), or to equality.
by hckrfucrs | 2025-08-10 03:15:13+00:00
I have lost a few friends to llm sycophancy induced psychosis wherein they believe, and are encouraged to believe by the llm that, they are the sole individuals who have cracked "prompting", and, in fact, by so doing, have summoned the singularity for their sole benefit and under their sole control.

You sound exactly like them.
by mikeyouse | 2025-08-10 03:18:58+00:00
I don’t disagree but as far as I’m aware, they’re necessary for this whole democracy mess to work. The only reason Nixon was forced out of office is because his party finally had enough and couldn’t stand the shame (and certain electoral defeat) had he remained in office, so they loudly abandoned him and indicated they’d vote for his removal from office if they were given the choice.
by nodesocket | 2025-08-10 03:18:59+00:00
I just upgraded a mini pc with no real issues. Main steps were:

1.) sudo apt-get update && sudo apt-get --yes upgrade && sudo apt-get --yes autoremove --purge 2.) Update all entries of bookworm to trixie in /etc/apt/sources.list. 3.) sudo apt full-upgrade 4.) sudo reboot 5.) sudo apt modernize-sources
by nyrikki | 2025-08-10 03:20:53+00:00
It was common to set up your own CA at one point, especially when DNS management was more manual, However it presented a huge attack surface and was challenging to manage.

A compromised private CA can lead to widespread breaches, affecting various systems and applications that rely on its certificates.

The CAB forum working groups being explicitly prohibited from working on private networks (at least historically) and market incentives also produced a situation where you can't really reduce the blast radius.

ECS1 attacks on AD CS is probably the best publicly documented case for further research.

The happy path is often manageable, but still complex, bland any mistake will result in huge risks.
by addams | 2025-08-10 03:21:03+00:00
Microsoft's bug bounty program is a shell of its former self. They quietly disqualified a lot of high-impact findings in 2023.

In my own experience:

- Leaked service principal credentials granting access to their tenant? $0 bounty.

- Leaked employee credentials granting access to generate privileged tokens? $0 bounty.

- Access to private source code? $0 bounty.

Etc.
by AndrewKemendo | 2025-08-10 03:24:39+00:00
I’m just trying to find where all this hype is

I think the hype is coming from people who have no idea what is going on and just feeding on each other

Much like blockchain, metaverse or whatever was dominated by know nothings who spoke confidently to people even dumber than them

No professionals that have any experience or research credentials have made any crazy claims
by bruhlikereally | 2025-08-10 03:25:19+00:00
Hate to boil this down to the basics, but I think it’s pertinent here. You’re comparing human beings working to survive to used vehicles. Even removing the complete lack of reckoning with basic humanity, the basis of your analogy is a ridiculous starting point to argue from. The value of an asset is not in any way analogous to the value of labor.
by billy99k | 2025-08-10 03:25:36+00:00
I loved learning, but hated college. Professors are petty and many times want you to learn their way of doing things and 99% of the students I met only cared about a career.

I was a compsci major in the late 90s and it was seen as a ticket to riches. Most people couldn't make it past the calc and basic theory classes.
by ai4mathlogicrsn | 2025-08-10 03:26:07+00:00
Asked GPT5 and GPT5 Thinking to solve this Algebra 101 problem: “Solve this: 5.9 = x + 5.11”

It’s baffling that we as an industry are trying to force-fit a probabilistic language model into solving math, logic, reasoning tasks it clearly struggles with. Sure, it can sound smart and even crank out decent code — but without a real foundation in math, logic, and reasoning.
by pstuart | 2025-08-10 03:26:56+00:00
Out economy is now in the hands of an entitled narcissist with clear cognitive decline, surrounded only by enablers. Policy is determined by personal aggrandizement, greed, and vendettas. It's fucking crazy and to pretend otherwise is fucking crazy.

Judging policy solely by the their promoter would normally be wrong (book by its cover, eh?), but these days there's been some consistency in the quality (and lack of same) by various groups so challenging them out of the gate isn't unreasonable.
by valenterry | 2025-08-10 03:27:05+00:00
Now you are not comparing passwords with passkeys anymore, but MFA with passkeys. Not sure what the point is in the context of the discussion.

> In that sense, I am not sure it is so different from passkeys?

Yes, if it means "company specific SSO* and a company chooses to force you to use the hardware they decided on, then that is in fact not very different from the passkey constraints.
by DrewADesign | 2025-08-10 03:27:12+00:00
To each their own, but I find the idea of ai-generated poetry sad as hell. I simply can’t see poetry as a collection of evocative words judged without context, in a vacuum— is poetry not both an activity and a relationship to most people? A person deftly portraying some difficult-to-express facet of the human experience and just maybe it viscerally strikes a chord with other people? I just don’t understand how people don’t value the fundamental humanity of that process. Even prose. James Baldwin stories, word for word, would land a hell of a lot differently if they were written and published by Hemingway.