MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by sneak | 2025-08-29 14:05:19+00:00
I used to think this, but then I got a Model 3. I believe that FSD is presently better than most humans driving today even when they are theoretically “fully engaged in manual driving”.

FSD doesn’t lull humans into a false sense of security, humans do. FSD doesn’t let you use your phone while it’s on. This alone is an upgrade over most human beings, who think occasional quick phone usage while driving is fine (at least for themselves).

I believe that if you replaced all human drivers in the US with FSD as it exists today, fatalities would go down immediately.

Humans are not a gold standard, and the current median human driver is easy to outperform on safety.
by taeric | 2025-08-29 14:05:31+00:00
But in the monty hall, the "discloser" is limited by my choice/observation. It is literally part of the framing. In this framing, there is no limit based on my choice.

Consider, if you tell me that the Smiths have at least 1 girl, and I meet their daughter but you haven't met either, I have no way of knowing if I met the 1 girl or not. I could ask you, but you would just say, "I don't know, could be her. Could be the other kid. I just know they have at least 1 girl."

This is very different from the monty hall case, where the announcer knows what is behind all doors.

Similar. But different. I was using coins as an example elsewhere. If I flip a dime and a quarter, and tell you that one of them is heads, do you have increased chance of knowing if either particular one is heads? This is more liar's dice than it is monty hall.
by octagons | 2025-08-29 14:05:44+00:00
That’s unfortunate. I believed Anthropic was playing the long game and betting on a smaller but more technically proficient userbase.

I guess I’ll be canceling my subscription largely out of principal. I doubt any open-source models are capable of handling my use case as well as Claude (typically focused on getting up to speed with various ISO/IEEE standards for the purpose of security testing) but I’m sure I’ll find a solution.
by IAmBroom | 2025-08-29 14:06:44+00:00
I worry more that they're not primed to win. The party has no standout stars; Gov. Newsom is the closest we have, and half of his promotion comes from Trump attacking him.

We have the most incompetent POTUS in history in office right now; he's so stupid he makes GW Bush look like a Rhodes Scholar. And yet, with all that surface area, and Trump at all-time low popularity... nothing exciting is heard from the Dems.
by throw7 | 2025-08-29 14:06:50+00:00
I wasn't opposed to buying a tesla. In my situation, I don't have the ability to charge ev's conveniently, so I'm not in the market so to speak.

Plus, I'm not interested at this time in the "autopilot" "AI" stuff; I believe drivers should be responsible all the time, until such time that full legal liability is put on the manufacturer.

Don't get me wrong... I would love to call my car to come pick me up at the airport!
by brabel | 2025-08-29 14:07:01+00:00
In Mechanical Engineering, tolerances ensure that when you put parts together, they will fit as long as the tolerances were respected.

It's not statistical. If the machinist makes a part that's not within the +/- bounds, they throw it away and start again. If you tried to fit multiple parts, all with only statistical respect for tolerances, you would run into trouble almost 100% of the time with just a few pieces.
by childintime | 2025-08-29 14:07:31+00:00
I'd like to hear the law say that self-driving cars should collect data (video, sensor inputs, actuator outputs), and that it is the property of the law when an accident happens. No exceptions. The real question is how the law is written, for it should leave no doubt about what Tesla, or any other, is required to do.

Probably all cars should have a black box, as both modern electronics and humans can do weird stuff.
by Workaccount2 | 2025-08-29 14:07:51+00:00
>if you could tell me where I am wrong

It needs to have a crash rate equal to or ideally lower than a human driver.

Tesla does not release crash data (wonder why...), has a safety driver with a finger on the kill switch, and only lets select people take rides. Of course according to Elon always-honest-about-timelines Musk, this will all go away Soon(TM) and we will have 1M Robotaxis on the road by December 31st.

Completing a route without intervention doesn't mean much. It needs to complete thousands of routes without intervention.

Keep in mind that Waymos have selective intervention for when they get stuck. Teslas have active intervention to prevent them from mowing down pedestrians.
by bryanlarsen | 2025-08-29 14:08:03+00:00
And if America has another civil war, it'll be very different from its first one. Syria is a much better example of what happens during a typical modern civil war.

> America wants Mexico to succeed.

The America that signed NAFTA rationally wanted that. The America that ripped up NAFTA? Not so much. That America is stuck in destructive zero-sum thinking.

You're right that it's unfathomable to think that Mexico could conquer America 50 to 100 years from now. It's highly unlikely to happen.

But my point is that it was even more unfathomable that a few dozen horse archers could snowball effect their way into conquering China, or that the desperately poor and backwards Japan could reform themselves into a position to conquer China. History is full of stories that you would dismiss as unbelievable if they were written down as fiction.
by Someone | 2025-08-29 14:08:05+00:00
> Data retention is legal's bread and butter.

As is deleting data. Also, for, say, training data for Tesla’s software, I don’t see legal requirements for keeping it around,

> There's no chance such a decision is accidently made by reusing code.

At Tesla? I know about nothing about their software development practices, but from them, it wouldn’t surprise me at all if this were accidental.

Edit: one scenario to easily introduce this bug is if the “delete data after upload” feature were added after the “on a crash, upload all data you have, in case the car burns down” feature.
by Jensson | 2025-08-29 14:08:30+00:00
> Unfortunately afaik majority people in europe are employed (75.8% of population) and thus have maybe 5 weeks (4 weeks minimum) of vacation.

A very large fraction of those work part time. We can see people work less and less over time, so when they said people work less that is just what the stats says.

https://timeanalyticssoftware.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09...
by riobard | 2025-08-29 14:08:31+00:00
The issue with flaky bridge chips wasn't usually about data integrity——it works fine most of the time, i.e. data written got read back correctly.

But often after extensive use, `dmesg` would complain about problems when talking to the drives, e.g. drive not responding or other strange error messages (forgot the exact text but very irritating and google-fu didn't help). There were also problems with SMART commands passthrough and drive power management e.g. sleep/standby adjustment which wasn't reliable when talking via bridge chips.

I use only disks directly connected to SATA controllers afterwards and no such issues ever happened again.
by avidiax | 2025-08-29 14:08:33+00:00
> Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one.

Assuming that Sig Sauer management is reasonable, we can assume that one or more of these are true:

* The known rate of failure B is determined to be low. Consider that not every discharge would be from a design flaw. Many cases can be assumed or proven to be user negligence.

* They assume that they can keep the court settlement costs, C, to a low value by never admitting fault and hoping that no one else can convincingly demonstrate a poor design. Many cases result in no injury or non-lethal injury, which naturally reduces C.

* The number of guns produced, A, is quite large, so the cost of the recall is also quite large.

* The unit cost of the recall (X/A) is much higher than known externally. This is my preferred theory (outside of corporate incompetence & malice). It could be the case that the design has an issue with tolerance stacking AND there is no single dimension of replacement part that resolves the issue. You could imagine that the replacement part needs to take up negative tolerance by being slightly larger, and positive tolerance by being slightly smaller. Without carefully measuring each unit (which is expensive), you can't determine which part to use. Or it could be that the part that would need to be replaced is a substantial part of the weapon's cost, e.g. the slide or the frame.
by ajross | 2025-08-29 14:08:41+00:00
> i'm not a "parasite" for having a personal threat model

Of course not. You're a parasite because if everyone had your "personal threat model"[1] it would kill the platform you're using and you wouldn't even have the option of noscript. I think the metaphor is apt and I stand by it.

[1] FWIW, this conflation of legitimate security jargon with what amounts to wanting more settings tunables in your app is sort of a bad smell. It seems insincere, honestly.
by _JamesA_ | 2025-08-29 14:08:52+00:00
Trixie has been great except for the proprietary nvidia driver. The upgraded 550 driver has known problems with 4k @ 120hz that causes crazy flickering [1].

I tried the 580 bundle with the same problem. I had to revert to the 535 bundle.

[1]: https://forums.developer.nvidia.com/t/nvidia-555-58-4k-120hz...
by angrysaki | 2025-08-29 14:08:53+00:00
>The compiler gives us a way to deal with this situation. It is all about being absolutely clear with intentions. Yes, Where(..) in my example would return IEnumerable<TR?> but then in subsequent code I can tell the compiler that I know for a fact that TR? is actually TR by using the null forgiving operator (!).

I guess that seems way less clear with intentions to me. If I have an array of potentially null types and I want to filter out the not nulls, I'd much rather have an operation that returns a T[] vs a T?[].

I should also note that I also have a "IEnumerable<T> WhereNotNull(IEnumerable<T>?)" function in my codebase, but I implemented it using a foreach/yield which doesn't suffer from the extra Cast<>()
by gmd63 | 2025-08-29 14:09:00+00:00
Zuckerberg: Yeah so if you ever need info about anyone at Harvard

Zuckerberg: Just ask

Zuckerberg: I have over 4,000 emails, pictures, addresses, SNS

[Redacted Friend's Name]: What? How'd you manage that one?

Zuckerberg: People just submitted it.

Zuckerberg: I don't know why.

Zuckerberg: They "trust me"

Zuckerberg: Dumb fucks

Instant messages sent by Zuckerberg during Facebook's early days, reported by Business Insider (May 13, 2010)
by azinman2 | 2025-08-29 14:09:18+00:00
Feels like a lot of overreactions here amongst people who haven’t seen the pop up. The put the opt out front and center — it’s not buried at all. They make it very clear in the language, including commitments to data transparency. I’m not surprised they need to do this, and this is probably the best possible way to achieve it while balancing privacy.

Everyone is so cynical these days.
Show HN: I made a litte tool named cowtips for your terminal
by KML0 | 2025-08-29 14:09:30+00:00
I created a little tool in bash by combining `fortune` and `cowsay` to create cowtips !

This tools aims to help student or Linux beginner with little tips at the start of your terminal.

I was looking for something similar because I am learning by reading again and again the same things and never found something that suits me so I tried to do one ! I think it could helps others, so if you feel the same feel free to contribute or install !
by Edman274 | 2025-08-29 14:09:43+00:00
It may shock you to learn that the top level executives of arms manufacturers have a somewhat different attitude towards human life and protecting revenue than you or I do. Such a person may be puzzled by the outrage and actually lack the insight to understand that a single accidental death because of the flawed design would be enough to imperil contracts, because the ratio of intentional fatalities to accidental fatalities is still like 100000 to 1.
by IAmBroom | 2025-08-29 14:09:56+00:00
More accurate title:

"I researched every attempt to stop fascism by democratic means. The success rate is 0%"

Also see:

"I tried to talk the neighborhood bully out of punching me in the face. The success rate is 0%"

I get that it poses an alarming precedent for our future in the US, but we haven't fully failed yet. Teetering, maybe. And if we fail, no election is going to save us, nor save the world from us.
by arman_nocapro | 2025-08-29 14:10:06+00:00
Great analysis, but I think you're missing the forest for the trees here. The real issue isn't about "understanding project history" - it's about signal-to-noise ratio, plain and simple.

`raw_anon_1111` nailed it with the context rot reference. After working with LLMs daily for the past year, I've found that garbage in = garbage out, consistently. It's like working with that brilliant junior dev who can't see the big picture through all the implementation details.

You wouldn't dump your entire git history into a code review, would you? So why would you feed it to an LLM? `ManlyBread`'s "poison the context" is exactly right. Every token spent on explaining dead ends or reverted commits is a token wasted.

The solution isn't more data - it's better data. What we need are tools that create concise, high-signal context packages. Architecture diagrams, clean code, and clear requirements. Not the messy sausage-making that got us there.

This isn't just theory - I cut API costs by 40% when I started curating prompts instead of just dumping everything into context. The attention window is precious - use it wisely.
by estearum | 2025-08-29 14:10:59+00:00
Right... that's how influence campaigns work. They take root at low-level inputs and get laundered onto larger and more legitimate platforms.

A brief visit to Twitter will show you the hordes of bots constantly farming outrage bait, which then gets picked up by the micro-influencers, which then gets picked up (with some FSB financial assistance) by Tim Pool, Rubin, and Benny Johnson, which then gets picked up by Rogan and Shapiro, which then gets picked up by the Department of Homeland Security's official press releases and finally encoded into next week's executive order.

This is a description of a successful information op.

(Edit: The other commenter is correct that this is also happening within the BLM and BLM-adjacent movements and the green party -- all the same dynamic, but only one has found a direct route to an especially mercurial president's ear)
by editorializing | 2025-08-29 14:11:43+00:00
> Otherwise please use the original title, unless it is misleading or linkbait; don't editorialize.

You seem to be editorializing because of your bias and financial interest in YC. "No one is talking about" is an idiom you allow onto the front page relatively frequently (check Algolia), and you allow speculation pointing up for industry trends.
by zajio1am | 2025-08-29 14:12:24+00:00
Why? This is not 'use collected information to targed ads', or 'sell collected information to third parties', but 'use collected information from the service to improve the service'. Does not really seems to me much different than ISPs using traffic stats to plan infrastructure improvements, or a website using access logs to improve accessibility and navigation.

And when talking specifically about AI, one could argue that learning from interactions is a common aspect of intelligence, so a casual user who do not understand details about LLMs would expect so anyways. Also, the fact that LLMs (and other neural networks) have distinct training and inference phases seems more like an implementation detail.
by questionableans | 2025-08-29 14:12:42+00:00
I would love to see less pay inequality, but unfortunately, the median household in the US really doesn’t have it great due to the costs and risks of everyday life.

For comparison, I live in a place that is typically considered as tier 3 or 4 out of 4 in the US by employers (4 being the cheapest). Costs of living are honestly more like tier 2 cities, but it’s a small city in a poor state. 7 years ago, the going rate for an unlicensed handyman was $32/hour, often paid under the table in cash (I don’t have more recent numbers because I find DIY better and easier than hiring someone reliable).
by michaelt | 2025-08-29 14:12:49+00:00
> It's so weird that SIG didn't just mandate a recall on this issue and dealt with it.

I wouldn't be surprised if gun companies get a constant stream of fake complaints.

I didn't have access to guns when I was a 17-year-old, but if I had I'd certainly have tried twirling them like a movie cowboy. And if I accidentally shot myself while doing that, I certainly wouldn't tell my parents what I was doing at the time, that would make me look like a total dumbass, completely irresponsible. I'd say it went off while I was putting it into my holster, or something.

Then my parents would have complained to the gunmaker, repeating my cover story, and the gunmaker would find it impossible to reproduce or fix.

Perhaps gunmakers don't always realise when they're getting legitimate complaints, because they get so many 'creative' complaints?
by jibe | 2025-08-29 14:13:14+00:00
That assumes there is an issue to fix. No one has identified an issue that would cause the gun to fire without actuating the trigger.

There was a recent huge thread on HN around the Air Force incident, we now know the guy was playing with the gun, shot and killed someone, then lied about it going off sitting on the table.

If there was some defect that Sig could fix via recall, they would be stupid not to recall. Maybe there is just nothing to fix, and they aren’t stupid.
by cxr | 2025-08-29 14:13:55+00:00
That link is the chapter "The Cognitive Style of PowerPoint" from Tufte's book Beautiful Evidence, and it does mention Boeing's slides in the Columbia incident, but the main work that the author of this blog post cribbed (and failed to grasp) is a more detailed essay by Tufte called "PowerPoint Does Rocket Science: Assessing the Quality and Credibility of Technical Reports".

<https://www.edwardtufte.com/notebook/powerpoint-does-rocket-...>
by coffeefirst | 2025-08-29 14:14:04+00:00
I keep trying to get it to review my personal credit card statements. I have my own budget tracking app that I made, and sometimes there's discrepancies. Resolving this by hand is annoying, and an LM should be able to do it: scrape the PDF, compare the records to mine, find the delta.

I've tried multiple models over the course of 6 months. Yesterday it told me I made a brilliant observation, but it hasn't managed to successfully pin down a single real anomaly. Once it told me the charges were Starbucks, when I had not been to a Starbucks—it's just that Starbucks is a probable output when analyzing credit card statements.

And I'm only dealing with a list of 40 records that I can check by hand, with zero consequences if I get it wrong beyond my personal budgeting being off by 1%.

I can't imagine trusting any business that leans on this for inappropriate jobs.
by bluecalm | 2025-08-29 14:14:25+00:00
Math research or anything new/clever in a particular niche. Imagine you optimized a piece of code to get an advantage or came up with some clever trick to solve a common problem in your niche and then everyone gets it from free from Claude believing, as you pointed out, that it's now their work.

I had this exact conversation with my business partner a few days ago. Our "secret sauce" might not be worth that much after many years but still I am not comfortable exposing it to Claude. Fortunately it's very easy to separate in our project so Claude gets the other parts and is very helpful.
by diggan | 2025-08-29 14:14:49+00:00
Right now the comment says the same as when I wrote my comment:

> I don’t understand why apps need access to my photos at all [...] There’s no need for apps to access the entire camera roll [...] The only apps that need full access to my camera roll, are apps like Google Photos, Nextcloud or Immich

Which still make me ask the question: They think no apps should access all photos, there is never any need for that, and these app currently do that and they need that, so are they saying those apps shouldn't exist at all?
by ryao | 2025-08-29 14:14:56+00:00
The article author is wrong. It happens. Draw a vent diagram with two partially overlapping circles. You and the author are looking at the overlap and concluding the two are the same. They are not, given the stuff outside the overlap.

As for the one distinction you recognize and think is invalid, that distinction is given by the definition you found. You refuse to obey the definition you yourself quoted to settle matter elsewhere in the thread.
by Deegy | 2025-08-29 14:15:03+00:00
If your work was truly novel, wouldn't the odds of it showing up in later models be extremely low given that these are probabilistic?

In a sense these machines are outputting the aggregate of the collective thoughts of the commons. In order for concepts to be output they have to be quite common in the training data. Which works out kind of nice for privacy and innovation because by the time concepts are common enough to show up through inference they probably deserve to be part of the public knowledge (IP aside).
by Izkata | 2025-08-29 14:15:27+00:00
World models aren't linguistic. You seem to be conflating (at least) two different things, then claiming because one doesn't apply the other doesn't exist.

Edit: Also come to think of it, that quote is odd, like it's rather late to the party. The NPC meme is several years old and came from a study that most people don't have an inner voice - that they don't think with words.
by jmclnx | 2025-08-29 14:15:35+00:00
Need to keep the donations from the top 1% flowing. What is needed is a repeal of Citizens United.

Plus if your income is above sat 150,000 USD you can at most donate say 10000 per year to all political candidates, PACs and anything related to influencing political activities.

Or better yet, all these donations must be fully published with the name of the people or all companies related to the company donating. No dark money at all. The published list must be in plain language and downloadable as a plain Text File.
by jkubicek | 2025-08-29 14:15:57+00:00
Facebook has been doing this for well over a decade. I once got a notification from the Facebook app, "Do you want to share this photo with Kim?" because Kim was just randomly in the distant background of a photo I had taken of my daughter at kindergarten drop-off. I deleted the Facebook app that day and I make a point to never give any social media app access to my photo library.
by echelon | 2025-08-29 14:16:06+00:00
> most websites are replaced

This is already happening.

> Wait until smart glasses or watches with AI overtake cellphones

Smartphones are crystalized perfection. It's such a peak design. The size, form factor, sensors, input/output modalities, and generalization are perfect. The reason companies are trying to supplant it is that they need to get out from under Google and Apple's control. It's not that anything is wrong with the smartphone.

VR has a long way to go in terms of hardware problems.

XR/AR is ridiculous. It's creepy, unstylish, and the utility is highly questionable. Nobody is going to want to be a walking ad.