MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by maxglute | 2025-07-07 00:47:31+00:00
Bike bubble really just market forces at work, FOMO opportunity, money poured in, bubble burst, winners decided, life goes on until business case to disrupt.

TLDR timeline of speculative RE: Regulators caught on since early 2010s, they were just soft/iterate through gradual solutions because hard messing with wealth and local gov land finance. 2010s policies led to domestic construction slump in 2012-2017 - where indicators like floor space completion and construction employment peaked. Developers + local gov game RE land finance game via shadowbanking + presales to keep the taps going, queue ~2017 crack down on shadow banking (with some backtracking). Then hard 3RL in 2020. Also important to note 3RL happened AFTER 12TH & 13th 5YR PLAN that build out PRC renewable manufacturing. Reason why 3RL - hammer hard tier policy - was feasible was it became possible to shift construction to renewable rollout to keep building industrial chain jobs and gdp. Other consideration is how culturally signifiant RE is to PRC wealth culture... IMO had to slowball process over 10+ years for cultural shift - getting people to understand RE doesn't go brrrt forever and houses are for "living in" not speculation.

On DRAM and other strategic industries, I think goal is managed oligopoly, to have amount of competitors where sector + industrial chain remains healthy, i.e. not involution dynamic. IMO involution exist because investors knows this is the end state of PRC industrial policy... hence everyone going HAM on being few of last man / champion standing because that's how you not lose shirt and get license to print money.

As for the debt, what happens in US during tech bubbles, people lose their shirts. Local gov and central gov do debt math to move it off books for strategic sectors with long term ROI / existential need. I don't think any strategic sector is getting offshored, i.e. look at rare earth, it makes peanuts but PRC doing everything to hold on. High tech strategic industries that hire millions of tertiary with well paying jobs PRC will do everything they can to keep just like US. PRC scale and complete industrial chain also puts it in position to be durably dominant as encumbants. PRC long term competitive advantage (for at least decades) is having such a large and integrated domestic chain that smaller countries, i.e. even those with 100s of millions simply don't have population to replicate and exploit comparable economies of scale.
by hresvelgr | 2025-07-07 00:47:45+00:00
The lovable aphorisms we had for people with character quirks were largely from our original support systems. What no one is talking about is the reason therapy-talk has become so pervasive is because all those support systems: family, friends, and local communities (religious or otherwise), have all degraded so severely for most that therapy is the only option for reaching out and getting help.
by tomhow | 2025-07-07 00:47:47+00:00
We still consider it a dupe if it's about the same underlying topic, which it certainly is in this case.

Sometimes we'll update the URL to the canonical source (i.e., the study paper) if the submitted article is just a summary that adds no substance (aka blog spam). But if it's a report from a reputable publication that adds substance, we'll leave that as the URL and link to the study paper from the top text, which I've done now.
by gjm11 | 2025-07-07 00:48:43+00:00
I think you're absolutely right that judging LLMs' "intelligence" on their ability to count letters is silly. But there's something else, something that to my mind is much more damning, in that conversation WaltPurvis reported.

Imagine having a conversation like that with a human who for whatever reason (some sort of dyslexia, perhaps) has trouble with spelling. Don't you think that after you point out New York and New Jersey even a not-super-bright human being would notice the pattern and go, hang on, are there any other "New ..." states I might also have forgotten?

Gemini 2.5 Pro, apparently, doesn't notice anything of the sort. Even after New York and New Jersey have been followed by New Mexico, it doesn't think of New Hampshire.

(The point isn't that it forgets New Hampshire. A human could do that too. I am sure I myself have forgotten New Hampshire many times. It's that it doesn't show any understanding that it should be trying to think of other New X states.)
by shiroiuma | 2025-07-07 00:49:23+00:00
>Many native english speaker here like to fantasize on the superiority of other cultures / languages

Some languages really are a lot better than English as far as mapping between spellings and pronunciations. French just isn't one of them; as you pointed out, it's possibly even worse.

I point to German as the superior European language in this regard. I learned some in high school. I can't speak conversationally any more, but I know the pronunciation rules, so if I can read it, I can say it and pronounce it well enough for a German speaker to understand me, even though I don't understand it myself.

That said, German is a nightmare compared to English because of the grammatical complexity (cases etc.), but for pronunciation in relation to spelling, it's excellent. The written form really does reflect the spoken form accurately.
by steveBK123 | 2025-07-07 00:49:29+00:00
I think everyone should dissuade themselves of the concept that such a thing as a "nice" company really truly exists. I've worked at close to 10 companies in my career both public and private.

Some of the companies I've worked the big "family" culture and "our people are our greatest asset" company principles were the ones to do the deepest and swiftest cuts. Meanwhile their supposedly comparatively ruthless shark infested competitors keep on keeping on.

The people I saw most impacted by this were the ones that took the culture both literally and seriously, staying in the big happy family companies long enough to develop far too much company-specific rather than industry specific expertise, just in time to get laid off at 50.
by kazinator | 2025-07-07 00:49:45+00:00
I did this in the firmware of a VoIP base station.

I was informed by the radio firmware guys that a certain kind of request from the host could not be handled concurrently by the radio module due to an unchecked conflict over some global piece of memory or whatever.

I create a wait-free circular buffer for serializing the requests of that type, where the replies from the previous request would kick down the next one.

No mutexes, only atomic compare-swap.
by apsurd | 2025-07-07 00:50:41+00:00
I'm no zuck fanboy, but i'm compelled to ask what purpose rejecting the role of a leader serves?

HN is "the smart reddit" as my brother coined, and i'm very aware of how much nonsense is on here, but it is in a relative sense true.

All to say, blindly bashing the role of a leader seems faulty and dismissive.
by motohagiography | 2025-07-07 00:51:06+00:00
this looks great for most use cases. most interception has been ruled out by the simple protocol for rooms, where the remaining attack appears to be just to clone the users keys, where it's more viable to attack the phones than the protocol, which is the point.

the spitball questions I would ask might be, a) how do you handle a theoretical timing attack where the time to respond to a room scan could yield whether a given device is a member of a known room, (the paralellism?) and b) does the GCM counter IV/nonce value cluster around rooms, so the counter for a given room will be in a shared range?

not dealbreakers or anything, this is simple and cool for its purpose, but design consideration wise, what's the thinking on those scenarios?
by lxgr | 2025-07-07 00:52:15+00:00
Does adding a trivial word filter even make any sense from a legal point of view, especially when this one seems to be filtering out words describing concepts that can be pretty easily paraphrased?

A regex sounds like a bad solution for profanity, but like an even worse one to bolt onto a thing that's literally designed to be able to communicate like a human and could probably easily talk its way around guardrails if it were so inclined.
by teaearlgraycold | 2025-07-07 00:52:21+00:00
> I never listen to podcasts at anything other than 1x playback speed, so I at least deserve brownie points for that.

Not to start a flame war, but I personally consider it extremely poor taste to listen to high quality content on a faster speed. For something thrown together like a recorded lecture then it makes sense. But for an episode of This American Life? Please take a look in the mirror and ask yourself why.
by ryan_lane | 2025-07-07 00:52:36+00:00
It's not disingenuous. Republicans rally their base against "violent illegal immigrants". They don't rally their base on "fixing immigration issues", but on deporting people, which is effectively the same as running on law and order.

If immigration issues are mostly solved, then republicans lose one of their rallying points.

As someone else pointed out, this is exactly why republicans killed a bill that had support across the aisle. Trump was going to run on mass deportations, and it's hard to do that, when a bill was just passed, co-sponsored by your own party.
by jovial_cavalier | 2025-07-07 00:53:43+00:00
What does someone do with a PhD at age 35? Go into industry? Continue as a postdoc? Open a juice bar? It doesn't matter what she's going to "do" with it. It's accreditation of a certain degree of academic achievement, which she has achieved. Arguing that she doesn't deserve it or needs to earn it the "normal" way is stupid.
by fenomas | 2025-07-07 00:53:50+00:00
> The moment that people ascribe properties such as "consciousness" or "ethics" or "values" or "morals" to these learnt mappings is where I tend to get lost.

TFA really ought to have linked to some concrete examples of what it's disagreeing with - when I see arguments about this in practice, it's usually just people talking past each other.

Like, person A says "the model wants to X, but it knows Y is wrong, so it prefers Z", or such. And person B interprets that as ascribing consciousness or values to the model, when the speaker meant it no differently from saying "water wants to go downhill" - i.e. a way of describing externally visible behaviors, but without saying "behaves as if.." over and over.

And then in practice, an unproductive argument usually follows - where B is thinking "I am going to Educate this poor fool about the Theory of Mind", and A is thinking "I'm trying to talk about submarines; why is this guy trying to get me to argue about whether they swim?"
by gjm11 | 2025-07-07 00:53:57+00:00
Patel isn't saying that AGI is still very, very far away. He says his best estimate is 2032 and "ASI" in 2028 is "a totally plausible outcome".

(He thinks it might be quite a long way away: "the 2030s or even the 2040s", and it seems to me that the "2040s" scenarios are ones in which substantially longer than that is also plausible.)
by mousethatroared | 2025-07-07 00:54:22+00:00
But English orthography isn't meant to serve foreigners.

Im ESL, I struggled with English spelling as much as the next latin speaker who's already learned to read and write in foreigner.

But now that I get the reason behind it, I love it. I consider English orthography worthy of UNESCO protection, even. In fact, I am annoyed at the regular spelling of my two latin languages that have left so much history behind.
by klabb3 | 2025-07-07 00:54:57+00:00
> Anyway, wanna see my NixOS configuration? I just figured out how to get animated wallpapers working on Hyprland and LOTR-themed everything!

Only if you have a personal blog in Times New Roman, with an RSS feed, all diagrams in ascii art, no JS, and especially no scroll-jacking, high contrast font (ideally black on white), and keep in mind that we will find out if you’re not self-hosting your email, in which case you’ll have to profusely apologize.
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by throwaway2037 | 2025-07-07 00:56:02+00:00
> Seems presumptive to slander an entire nations regulatory group on a single/couple of examples.

How about Germany's BAFIN regulator after VW's Deiselgate or Wirecard bankruptcy? BAFIN's response was weak and slow in both cases. I am willing to slander them for "just" those two mistakes.
by Veedrac | 2025-07-07 00:56:06+00:00
The author plot the input/output on a graph, intuited (largely incorrectly, because that's not how sufficiently large state spaces look) that the output was vaguely pretty, and then... I mean that's it, they just said they have a plot of the space it operates on therefore it's silly to ascribe interesting features to the way it works.

And look, it's fine, they prefer words of a certain valence, particularly ones with the right negative connotations, I prefer other words with other valences. None of this means the concerns don't matter. Natural selection on human pathogens isn't anything particularly like human intelligence and it's still very effective at selecting outcomes that we don't want against our attempts to change that, as an incidental outcome of its optimization pressures. I think it's very important we don't build highly capable systems that select for outcomes we don't want and will do so against our attempts to change it.
by quotemstr | 2025-07-07 00:56:41+00:00
> Seemingly good next token prediction might or might not increase survival odds.

Our own consciousness comes out of an evolutionary fitness landscape in which _our own_ ability to "predict next token" became a survival advantage, just like it is for LLMs. Imagine the tribal environment: one chimpanzee being able to predict the actions of another gives that first chimpanzee a resources and reproduction advantage. Intelligence in nature is a consequence of runaway evolution optimizing fidelity of our _theory of mind_! "Predict next ape action" eerily similar to "predict next token"!
by amy214 | 2025-07-07 00:57:44+00:00
It's different in the US. The gate agents, depending on the flight, for the last 10-30% of boarding passengers will say "we're out of room, we're checking your bags". So now you have to deal with that hassle. The lived experience is you have gate agents explicitly priming the anxiety.

OP missed the point though, also in the US, you can bring what's called a "personal carry on" and put it under the seat in front of you. Now overhead space is a non-issue. Just pack light.
by BrenBarn | 2025-07-07 00:58:03+00:00
> In contrast to an LLM, given a human and a sequence of words, I cannot begin putting a probability on "will this human generate this sequence".

I think that's a bit pessimistic. I think we can say for instance that the probability that a person will say "the the the of of of arpeggio halcyon" is tiny compared to the probability that they will say "I haven't been getting that much sleep lately". And we can similarly see that lots of other sequences are going to have infinitesimally low probability. Now, yeah, we can't say exactly what probability that is, but even just using a fairly sizable corpus as a baseline you could probably get a surprisingly decent estimate, given how much of what people say is formulaic.

The real difference seems to be that the manner in which humans generate sequences is more intertwined with other aspects of reality. For instance, the probability of a certain human saying "I haven't been getting that much sleep lately" is connected to how much sleep they have been getting lately. For an LLM it really isn't connected to anything except word sequences in its input.

I think this is consistent with the author's point that we shouldn't apply concepts like ethics or emotions to LLMs. But it's not because we don't know how to predict what sequences of words humans will use; it's rather because we do know a little about how to do that, and part of what we know is that it is connected with other dimensions of physical reality, "human nature", etc.

This is one reason I think people underestimate the risks of AI: the performance of LLMs lulls us into a sense that they "respond like humans", but in fact the Venn diagram of human and LLM behavior only intersects in a relatively small area, and in particular they have very different failure modes.
by ryan_lane | 2025-07-07 00:58:31+00:00
They mean the same thing I was suggesting. Illegal immigration is a symptom of a problem. Immigration is too difficult, but we so heavily rely on immigrant labour that we allow it to continue.

Most undocumented immigrants are here for work. If we change the immigration system to give them work visas, the problem mostly goes away. Some of them don't want to stay here permanently, and not even for the entire year. They come seasonally. Others would like to stay permanently, and offering them a legal path to citizenship is likely a good idea.

I think it's not possible to end all illegal immigration instantly, but the vast majority is easily within our reach.

It's worth noting that asylum seekers are not illegal immigrants, and the way the current administration handles the situation itself it what's illegal.
by j_bum | 2025-07-07 00:59:30+00:00
This is a good counterpoint that I hadn’t considered, honestly.

That even if a show is apolitical (or mostly apolitical like TAL), it will inherently have some political bias because the creators are inherently biased.

This will create a “niche” for the show, whether it’s intentional or not. Thanks for expanding my perspective on this.

Reminds me of a recent quote from a scientist interviewed by the NYT, who said that science is inherently political, because the system and people it’s built on are political.
by metalman | 2025-07-07 01:00:15+00:00
out on the fringe there is lots of personalities as they say, the difference between bieng eccentric and crazy is a million bucks, or comunities with lots of recent imigrants, low density rural areas, people with improbable jobs, pilots and doctors who worked war zones, free divers working on barges for $19.50/hr, smoke jumpers, musicians and movie people, folks working the front lines in not for profits dealing with homeless and people with aids, serial entrepenours, et cetera but then ,I guess, maybe I move around more than most people........but as for the mass of people following "the plan", ya they are a bit extra tweeky and way too easily spooked, way too much into there "feelings", and "comfort zones", "saftey", and "processes".......plus they are stuck in environments where they are subject to people who are outworking and over achiveing the fuck out of everything and bringung out the worst passive agressive shit in people, that they then get to feel guilty about. it's a shit show alright
by petermcneeley | 2025-07-07 01:01:14+00:00
I mean this is what feudalism was and this not the only system with this property. Early forms of industrial capitalism had the same form as well. We tend to think of capitalism bringing economic prosperity to the common people but nothing of the sort happened. Worker organization brought prosperity to the workers. Our entire worldview of capital is formed by the period from 1940-1990. This is a historical aberration as it actually is the period of forced confiscation of capital from the capitalist. This is why the common people think of this period as the Golden Age.
by mmoza | 2025-07-07 01:02:33+00:00
I was exactly the child you describe. I was frequently punished for speaking out, did not express my emotions since anything was met with rage and cruelty, and I still suffer from the consequences today.

Therapy is the second worst thing in my life to happen to me. There were the tens of therapists who put me down or told me my life experience didn't constitute "real trauma". By remaining in the therapy system for so long, years and years, and chasing support I could not actually be offered, all I received was a slew of new trauma (of once again having my lived experience denied) and a hole in my savings. Not kidding, I could have set all that money on fire and have turned out better than I did.

But far more damaging than that was how I was pushed into seeking out labels and spurious diagnoses that only covered up the true causes of my shame - my caretakers and the medical system that acted as their apologia. The idea sold to me (indeed sold, with thousands of dollars of uninsured medical practices) was that with an ADD or other diagnosis under my wing, I could start "really" healing, that the "true" causes to my dysfunction were finally in front of me after being lost for so long.

I now disagree. I was goaded into believing I was a product of unfortunate circumstances instead of malicious incompetence or the just plain abuse and neglect I really did suffer. I was bucketed into the same labels everyone else uses to navigate their problems without regard to their appropriatness and was told it was ME and MY condition that was the beginning and end of the problem. Instead of providing a cohesive narrative, that only served to alienate me further.

We need to stop treating symptoms as labels to be celebrated. Therapy-speak needs to be societally ostracized and die out. My label was the consolation prize to the unfairness and abject cruelty I was subjected to in life. Nothing could be more insulting to the fiber of my being. I am now just myself. I refuse to be medicalized any longer.
by lmm | 2025-07-07 01:03:43+00:00
What matters is the volume rather than the liquidity per se, but the two are generally pretty well correlated. The point is that moving a market costs money, making a trade moves the market against that trade, so even if someone is deliberately trying to move a market they'll pay more than they could ever hope to recoup. The exception is when there's a derivative market that has more volume than the underlying - in that case profitable manipulation becomes possible, as you can spend to move the underlying, losing money, but making more money on the derivatives where you'd bought the other side.
by parpfish | 2025-07-07 01:05:22+00:00
Decades ago in my first abnormal psych course, the prof warned us that there was an almost iron-clad law that students will immediately start self diagnosing themselves with “weak” versions of every disorder we learn about. In my years since then, it has absolutely held true and now is supercharged by a whole industry of TikTok self-diagnoses.

But there are a few things we can learn from this:

- if you give people the chance to place a label on themselves that makes them feel unique, they’ll take it.

- if you give people the chance to place a label on themselves to give a name/form to a problem, they’ll take it.

- most mental disorders are an issue of degree and not something qualitatively different from a typical experience. People should use this to gain greater empathy for those who struggle.
by mosquitobiten | 2025-07-07 01:05:23+00:00
Haven't we been doing exactly what you say since like forever? Aren't "asshole" or "creep" or "nice" just labels coined a long time ago that already distort someones actual behavior or some situation between 2 people? Or used for being mocked or commended? I say at least in current times the new generations are expanding that vocabulary in trying to be more precise but the people that are more of a following type keep defaulting to exclusionary behavior.