MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by bitexploder | 2025-07-29 02:26:30+00:00
This will create what I am calling a “seniority crunch”. Entry level jobs are hard to get, humans aren’t learning the deeper aspects and reasoning parts of knowledge work. Gap created for people with this knowledge. Senior IC jobs demand goes up. Fewer with xp to fill it. LLMs don’t reason well. They can’t do that and likely never will be coaxed into it. Just one scenario I think is plausible.
by mdorazio | 2025-07-29 02:27:03+00:00
I recommend reading the full paper linked by esafak. For those without the time, the brief summary is that political stress is a multiplication of (1) the likelihood of the general populace to mobilize, (2) the likelihood of elites to mobilize, and (3) financial distress at the national level. The primary drivers of each of these are:

(1) real income (its inverse, actually), % of the population that is urban, and % of people in their 20s. i.e. If real income declines, urban population % goes up, or % of the population that is young increases, the mobilization factor goes up.

(2) real income of elites (inverse, again), and elite competition for government offices. i.e., If incomes of elites go down or competition among elites for government offices goes up, the mobilization factor goes up.

(3) debt to GDP ratio, and distrust in the state. i.e., If debt to GDP goes up or people trust the state less, the financial distress factor goes up.

The author provides a worrying chart showing an increasingly steep spike in the overall political stress level of the US, but it stops at 2013 (when the paper was published). I would argue that the financial distress factor has gotten substantially worse in the intervening 12 years, but the the other two factors may have declined due to the resumption of real income increases starting in 2015.
by mjevans | 2025-07-29 02:28:11+00:00
Think about it from a logical perspective.

Israel's real enemy won't stop and won't surrender until that country and it's people don't exist. They have taken the innocent civilian's of Gaza / Palistine / whatever you want to call the area hostage. They are also so ingrained into the region that resources are literally siphoned from humanitarian sites like hospitals into deep tunnels beneath; as just one example of reporting I'm inclined to believe is credible, even with the mutual atrocities both sites are carrying out.

What would winning look like from a moral and ethical standpoint? Liberating the people of that region from the violence and suffering. Return them to a functioning society with social and civic infrastructure. Fully deny major violence and terrorism in the region for LIFETIMES to the point that the hate and anger finally cool off enough for people to move on.

...

Winning is going to require a multi-generational investment in humanity by humanity. It's going to require the buy in of the people on the ground. It's going to require a United Nations coalition and boots on the ground from interests in that region who want to raise everyone above the hate. Also the afflicted country will need to be an absolute DMZ for that entire time. Membership in the UN peacekeeping organization the only military service allowed (and then likely in other countries).

Getting from here to there? Even less popular than the hugely unpopular war(s) anywhere else in the world. Don't ask me how anyone could do it, those skilled in the art of diplomacy have tried for longer than my lifetime and probably longer than your's and NOTHING has stuck.
by mkw5053 | 2025-07-29 02:28:33+00:00
Gas released from fresh ice on the illuminated hemisphere can push millimeter-scale grains out at a few m/s, and since these particles weigh thousands of times more than typical cometary dust, solar radiation pressure at 3 au is too weak to bend their trajectories, letting them overtake the nucleus and form a sunward anti-tail. Finson–Probstein dust dynamics predicts this plume should flip to the normal anti-solar direction or fade once 3I/ATLAS moves inside 1 au later this year. Watch the position angle around September to see the theory tested.
by ajb | 2025-07-29 02:28:51+00:00
This is actually a valid question*, although you probably won't like the answer.

One side will concede in a war if there are no gains to be had, and conceding will stem the losses. So at a minimum, the side that wants a victorious peace has to credibly promise not to kill the women and children of the other side. At the moment, Israel is unable to credibly promise that, and it's difficult to see how in the short term it can generate any such credibility. So external parties such as the US need to form part of the commitment mechanism. Under both Biden and Trump, the US has neglected it's responsibility to do that.

*Apart from implying that civilian Gazans are responsible for the hostages
by maxbond | 2025-07-29 02:29:32+00:00
Most people aren't writing something as complex as SQLite, but most people aren't writing parsers either. Those writing parsers are disproportionately writing things like programming languages and language servers that are quite complex.

SQLite isn't some kind of universal template, I'm not saying people should copy it or that recursive descent is a bag choice. But empirically parser generators are used in real production systems. SQLite is unusual in that they also wrote the parser generator, but otherwise is in good company. Postgres uses Bison, for example.

Additionally, I think that Lemon was started as a personal learning project in grad school (as academic a project as it gets) and evolved into a component of what is probably the most widely deployed software system of all time shows this distinction between what is academic and what is practical isn't all that meaningful to begin with. What's academic becomes practical when the circumstances are right. Better to evaluate a technique in the context of your problem than to prematurely bin things into artificial categories.
by fsckboy | 2025-07-29 02:29:54+00:00
>To assess the association between cumulative aluminum exposure from early childhood vaccination and risk for autoimmune, atopic or allergic, and neurodevelopmental disorders.

from what I understand about the skepticism toward adjuvants, "cumulative aluminum exposure" was not the hypothesis. It might be a proxy for the hypothesis, which has to do with repeated exposures rolling the dice, but what is the attitude of the researchers (for example, how much these researchers in this industry receive funding from this industry) would play a big role in how they designed their study. Are they really looking?

We can take a quick look: "Apart from research into epidemiology and disease prevention, [the State Serum Institute] also develops and produces vaccines ... 20% of sales are used on Research and Development"

so their funding/salaries literally comes from profit in producing these vaccines. Their statement about funding? "Primary Funding Source: None."

(I spent 5 whole minutes tracking down this info. I wrote the funding sentence before I went and looked up their funding, so it's Popper-proofed)

the low effort or low sincerity part of this study is that they are saying "aluminum in greater and greater doses is not a problem." Ok then, why are you putting aluminum in in the first place? Oh, because in small quantities it has an outsized effect, aggravating the immune system, that you think is efficacious. Have you studied that? and from people who've looked into it, no, they haven't. In some studies, they use aluminum without other components of vaccine cocktail as the placebo thereby making sure not to test it.

It's interesting how they discovered adjuvants. They were making and dispensing vaccines (I think polio) and they discovered that some of the vaccines were contaminated in the processing. So they cleaned up the contamination and discovered the vaccines didn't work as well any more. The contamination was aggravating the immune system which made the immune response greater. Now, during this process, the whole whole time at each stage they were saying "vaccines are safe and effective". It would be more honest to say what actually was the case, "turns out we didn't know how they worked, but due to the contaminated vaccines we gave you we now understand better."

the point is not "vaccines aren't effective", I think they do a lot of good; the point is they were willing to lie before and now thanks to wall street, they are even more willing to lie now.
by jorgen123 | 2025-07-29 02:30:29+00:00
According to [1], the cost of one train from this manufacturer is over 10 Million Euros. Why would they play these shenanigans in a competitive market at the risk of pissing off their customers? Are other train vendors doing the same?

Or is this a local lock-in where it is hard as a Polish railway not to buy from the one Polish manufacturer?

[1] https://rollingstockworld.com/passenger-cars/latest-procurem...
by JumpCrisscross | 2025-07-29 02:30:51+00:00
> Right died on the hill of some emails and a laptop

Conspiracy and cover-up by the leader of the opposition is a great hill to die on. It comes with a built-in constituency who will actually show up.

The problem the American left has had is it keeps picking niche issues that appeal to folks who only show up in deep-blue cities.
by const_cast | 2025-07-29 02:32:07+00:00
The dark pattern isn't the payment pattern, that's fine. The dark pattern is hiding how much you're using, thereby tricking the human lizard brain into irrationally fearing they are running out.

The human brain is stupid and remarkably exploitable. Just a teensy little bit of information hiding can illicit strange and self-destructive behavior from people.

You aren't cut off until you're cut off, then it's over completely. That's scary, because there's no recourse. So people are going to try to avoid that as much as possible. Since they don't know how much they're using, they're naturally going to err on the side of caution - paying for more than they need.
by dankwizard | 2025-07-29 02:32:18+00:00
Well I, an Australian man on an Australian company machine in Australia had a great first experience which may confirm this -

Me: "Hello!" Z.ai: "你好！我是GLM-4.5，由智谱AI开发的大语言模型。很高兴见到你！有什么我可以帮助你的问题或任务吗？"
by rayiner | 2025-07-29 02:33:02+00:00
> the people who bought into the scare never came back and revised their beliefs based on new evidence. What's missing is the capacity for self-correction. Mathematics was never involved.

I don’t think there’s much daylight between our positions. You’re correct that mathematics was never involved. Any trust most people had in vaccines was always social, not analytical. They never understood Wakefield’s original paper, except insofar as it was reported by trusted organizations as credible. That broke people’s trust in those organizations, who had previously told everyone that vaccines were very safe.

When the retractions and follow-ups came, people weren’t able to understand them, because they were never capable of understanding the analysis in the first place! And now, they didn’t trust the bottom-line conclusions being reported by the Lancet and the media.

It doesn’t help that there’s a bunch of other confounding factors: rising parental age and possibly assortive mating increasing actual autism rates, changing norms around diagnosing autism, and changing incentives for autism diagnoses. We took our four year old to be evaluated, and the folks at the county told us they didn't really think any diagnosis was justified, but would have given us one if he was going to public school (where it would lead to additional services) instead of private school. They told us that point blank.
by rstuart4133 | 2025-07-29 02:33:26+00:00
> It becomes impossible to invest in the EU.

Really? If you invest in the EU, you can import the raw materials at whatever they cost, and sell your goods to the world. If you invest in the US, you import your goods at cost + 15%, and can only sell to the US because elsewhere your goods cost 15% more than those coming from the rest of the world.

If it was a VAT, that doesn't happen because everyone gets to claim the VAT back on the cost of goods, and exports don't have VAT levied. But this is a tariff.
by fsckboy | 2025-07-29 02:33:29+00:00
>The truly sad part is that regardless of the validity of the study

the truly sad part to me is that you could/would have written this before this study. I don't believe that you have evaluated the validity of this study yet, but you feel justified in telling us you've already made up your mind and you don't really believe in the follow through part of the scientific method, instead you're playing the tribe game
by zinodaur | 2025-07-29 02:34:26+00:00
> Why is that? How comes it's so selective?

Most of the weapons used to kill civilians in Gaza are payed for by American taxpayers. US citizens bear a large responsibility for what is going on there.

> But why are the hutis getting a free pass for the 800 000 tustis they genocided 25 years ago? How comes they're not constantly reminded of what they did? Those who committed these atrocities, including regular citizens, are still alive today.

The world stood by and let that genocide happen, and we appear to be standing by and letting this one happen too
by vasilzhigilei | 2025-07-29 02:34:37+00:00
It's not an AI issue. It's that in 4 years of a CS degree, CS students never touch a single kubectl command or barely build one functional web application in one software engineering related course. It's the failure of CS programs that is causing job market issues for college graduates.

It's just that when money was easy, companies could pay for training interns and recent grads things they should have learned in school. Now money is tight, so we see these job market problems. I am hopeful that colleges will adapt their curriculums based on the changing job market.
by AlotOfReading | 2025-07-29 02:35:30+00:00
Turchin has waffled back and forth on whether he likes the comparison to psychohistory. Broadly, he doesn't.

It's also worth reading Bret Devereaux's discussion of cliodynamics if you're interested in the subject:

https://acoup.blog/2021/10/15/fireside-friday-october-15-202...
by johnnyanmac | 2025-07-29 02:36:01+00:00
>Conspiracy and cover-up by the leader of the opposition is a great hill to die on. It comes with a built-in constituency who will actually show up.

Until you become the leaders covering it up, I suppose. It's a great thing Trump doesn't think that far in advance. A proper personality conman would be truly terrifying.

Maybe it's a good hill to climb. A stupid one to die on if you don't deliver. Conspiracy theorists only have allegiance to justifying themselves, not a personality.

>appeal to folks who only show up in deep-blue cities.

So, half the population? Seems like a large base to appeal to. Oh well, nothing a little gerrymandering won't fix.
by mjevans | 2025-07-29 02:37:14+00:00
These terrorists, yield? Already faulty logic. Their proclaimed goals and historic record show that will never happen and their budget for violence knows no limit.

It's as tough as desalinating water, but removing the civilians from the terrorists must happen. Otherwise the result will either be genocide of the 'salt water', or of the 'plants' the salt in that water is bent on destroying.

What is an acceptable plan for reaching the result of the civilians on both sides being safe? This is a political question, but it is one all must consider; at least as it informs our own votes where we reside.
by TXTOS | 2025-07-29 02:37:39+00:00
ah yeah that makes sense — sounds like you're indexing for traceability first, which honestly makes your graph setup way more stable than most RAG stacks I’ve seen.

I’m more on the side of: “why is this even the logic path the system thinks makes sense for the user’s intent?” — like, how did we get from prompt to retrieval to that hallucination?

So I stopped treating retrieval as the answer. It’s just an echo. I started routing logic first — like a pre-retrieval dialectic, if you will. No index can help you if the question shouldn’t even be a question yet.

Your setup sounds tight though — we’re just solving different headaches. I’m more in the “why did the LLM go crazy” clinic. You’re in the “make the query land” ward.

Either way, I love that you built a graph audit log that hasn’t failed in two months. That's probably more production-ready than 90% of what people call “RAG solutions” now.
by _wire_ | 2025-07-29 02:38:02+00:00
V'ger-- NASA is probing a hot bald alien chick at 15b miles, yes!

//Persis Khambatta was born on 2 October 1948 in Bombay, India. When aged 16, as Femina Miss India, she entered Miss Universe 1965, dressed in off-the-rack clothes she bought at the last minute. Khambatta became a model for companies such as Revlon. Her biggest acting break was getting the role of Lieutenant Ilia, the bald Deltan alien in Star Trek: The Motion Picture (1979). This led to roles in Nighthawks (1981), Megaforce (1982), and Warrior of the Lost World (1983). She was considered for the title role in the James Bond film Octopussy (1983), but was passed over in favor of Maud Adams. Khambatta became the first citizen of India to present an Academy Award in 1980. She was nominated for the Saturn Award for Best Actress for her Star Trek role. Khambatta also made guest appearances in many popular American television series. In the early 1980s, she was seriously injured in a car crash in Germany and had to have heart bypass surgery.

A year before her death, she wrote and published a coffee table book titled "Pride of India", which featured former Miss Indias; it was dedicated to Mother Teresa, and part of the royalties went to the Missionaries of Charity. On 17 August 1998, Persis was taken to the Marine Hospital in South Mumbai, complaining of chest pains. She died of a heart attack the next day at the age of 49; her funeral was held in Mumbai. - IMDb mini biography by: John Atkin//
by dang | 2025-07-29 02:38:36+00:00
You've been breaking the site guidelines repeatedly and badly in this thread, and you've posted 28 (!) comments, most of which have been doing this. That's way beyond the pale, so regardless of which side you're taking in the conflict, please stop.

If you'd please review https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and stick to the rules when posting here, we'd appreciate it.
by gabriel666smith | 2025-07-29 02:38:39+00:00
I've been tracking usage in my first month of "20x" Max (which was, unfortunately, this month). Depending on how this usage is amortised (working days, which is what matters to me, or 5 hour periods, or I guess, now weeks..?) their marketing material has been varying degrees of false. This has ranged from 'a bit false' to 'extremely false'.

That is true both on a relative scale ("20x") compared to my previous use of the $20 plan, but - more dishonestly, in my opinion - absolutely false when comparing my (minimal, single-session, tiny codebase) usage to the approximate usage numbers quoted in the marketing materials. The actual usage provided has regularly been 10% of the quoted allowance before caps are hit.

I have had responses from their CS team, having pointed this out, in the hope they would _at least_ flag to users times that usage limits are dramatically lower so that I can plan my working day a little better. I haven't received any sort of acknowledgement of the mismatch between marketing copy and delivered product, beyond promised "future fixes". I have, of course, pointed out that promised and hypothetical future fixes do not have any bearing on a period of paid usage that exists in the past. No dice!

I'm, unfortunately, a UK customer, and from my research any sort of recourse is pretty limited. But it has - without question - been one of the least pleasant customer experiences I've had with a company in some time, even allowing for Anthropic experiencing extremely high-growth.

Claude Code Router has been a Godsend for my usage level. I'm not sure I can justify the time and effort to care and pursue Anthropic's functional bait-and-switch offering more than I already have, because being annoyed about things doesn't make me happy.

But I completely second this: it's not acceptable to sell customers a certain amount of a thing - then and deliver another - and I hope US customers (who I believe should have more recourse) take action. There are few other industries where "it's a language and compute black box!" would be a reasonable defence, and I think it sets a really bad precedent going forward for LLM providers.

One might imagine that Anthropic's recent ~$200m US gov contract (iirc) might allow for a bit of spare cash to, for example, provide customers with the product they paid for (let alone refund them, where necessary) but that does not seem to be the case.

It makes me sad to see a great product undermined like this, which is, I think, a feeling lots of people share. If anyone is actually working towards wider recourse, and would find my (UK) usage data useful, they're very welcome to get in touch.
by al_borland | 2025-07-29 02:39:31+00:00
My company had a speaker come in a year or so ago. He mentioned that a lot of CEOs ask him on the side how many people they can cut once they implement AI. He said his answer is always 0. If AI improves productivity by x%, all companies will increase output by x%. If you cut people, you’ll be behind, staying at your old output level while everyone else is holding down the turbo button.

Of course all of this assumes it actually increases productivity, while keeping quality high, especially in the near term. That’s debatable.
by ChadNauseam | 2025-07-29 02:39:33+00:00
I think you're right. Suppose the connection to the game streaming service adds two frames of latency, and the player is playing an FPS. One thing game engines could do is provide the game UI and the "3D world view" as separate framebuffers. Then, when moving the mouse on the client, the software could translate the 3D world view instantly for the next two frames that came from the server but are from before the user having moved their mouse.

VR games already do something like this, so that when a game runs at below the maximum FPS of the VR headset, it can still respond to your head movements. It's not perfect because there's no parallax and it can't show anything for the region that was previously outside of your field of view, but it still makes a huge difference. (Of course, it's more important for VR because without doing this, any lag spike in a game would instantly induce motion sickness in the player. And if they wanted to, parallax could be faked using a depth map)
by pornel | 2025-07-29 02:39:51+00:00
Motion vectors in video codecs are an equivalent of a 2D projection of 3D motion vectors.

In typical video encoding motion compensation of course isn't derived from real 3D motion vectors, it's merely a heuristic based on optical flow and a bag of tricks, but in principle the actual game's motion vectors could be used to guide video's motion compensation. This is especially true when we're talking about a custom codec, and not reusing the H.264 bitstream format.

Referencing previous frames doesn't add latency, and limiting motion to just displacement of the previous frame would be computationally relatively simple. You'd need some keyframes or gradual refresh to avoid "datamoshing" look persisting on packet loss.

However, the challenge is in encoding the motion precisely enough to make it useful. If it's not aligned with sub-pixel precision it may make textures blurrier and make movement look wobbly almost like PS1 games. It's hard to fix that by encoding the diff, because the diff ends up having high frequencies that don't survive compression. Motion compensation also should be encoded with sharp boundaries between objects, as otherwise it causes shimmering around edges.