MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by light_hue_1 | 2025-06-22 06:36:16+00:00
Don't do any of this. It's very outdated advice. And you're going to get it wrong anyway. These threshold adjustment methods were invented before we had access to reasonable computers.

There's a far simpler method that covers every case: permutation tests. https://bookdown.org/ybrandvain/Applied-Biostats/perm1.html

You shuffle the data. Say you want to know if viewing time is affected by color. Literally randomly shuffle viewing time and color. Then, look at that distribution. Is the data that you observed significant?

As long as you shuffle everything related to your experiment and you don't double dip into the data you're going to get things right.

This also has the big advantage that it doesn't overcorrect like traditional methods which apply such strict corrections that eventually it's impossible to get significant results.

This post hasn't even begun scratching the surface on what can go wrong with traditional tests. Just don't use them.

This has nothing to do with speed or rigor. Permutation tests are much simpler to run and faster to analyze. Sadly we keep teaching crappy statistics to our students.
by dotancohen | 2025-06-22 06:36:45+00:00
I'd love to hear about your workflow.

Do you transfer the files to your computer? Do you ever/often listen on the VoiceTracker? How do others respond to you making recordings? Do you organise the recording files into folders? Use filesystem tags (KDE Dolphin, etc) or symlinks? Ever have files on the computer that you needed when you're out (with the phone)?

How well do Otter and Whisper transcribe? Do you edit the transcriptions? How do you store the transcriptions? Do you ever search them? Do you store additional notes alongside the transcriptions and audio files?

Do you ever bookmark specific files? Specific timestamps in files? How long is your typical voice recording? How long are the 98th percentile long ones? How many recordings do you produce on average (per day, week, month)? Do you ever erase recordings?

What type of recordings? Reminders of things that are time sensitive (e.g. appointment dates)? Things for long-term archival (e.g. records of automotive maintenance)? Use it to assist in habit changing (recording diet) or mental health?

Yes, I intend to place the project on GitHub, probably GPL. Though I might consider MIT, I would actually love if somebody took off with it and made a business. I'd be a customer!
by aisenik | 2025-06-22 06:37:55+00:00
I believe the right to "do whatever they want" is one generally valued by sovereign entities. The ability to "do whatever they want" is probably not really a good reason to bomb them. It does sound like a good reason to not capriciously discard the JCPOA, which is an agreement they adhered to restricting their enrichment of uranium that was discarded to no positive end by Donald Trump, the man who is illegally starting another US war of choice as we speak.

Would we have bombed them if they'd secretly been violating the JCPOA and developed nuclear weapons in 2017? It's worked for literally everyone else who's tried it and it is hard to empathize with a perspective in which the United States has true moral authority over a country that we destabilized and have continuously demonized.
by clan | 2025-06-22 06:38:40+00:00
That is like comparing range in gas cars and EVs. Some do that but there are other major benefits.

The lengths I will go through to avoid air travel is much higher than a 1:1 ratio in comparable time. When I have to get the cattle treatment I prefer cattle cars over cattle cans.

And even with 1:1 remember that layovers are a completely different beast. If Münich was a hub between Northern an southern Europe I would be happy to spend a well rested day before continuing on. Especially in spargel season!

...but only a fool does not fear German railroads. They could really learn from the Austrians.

The reason night trains are not a thing is because there is no real network. Looking for tickets in Europe it is often once or twice a week departures on specific routes. No real good north south interconnected corridor from Scandinavia.

And as a proper geek I have even sought them out but often found them sold out.

They cost optimized themselves to obliteration.
by tim-kt | 2025-06-22 06:38:40+00:00
It's an interesting analogy. I'm opposed to guns in every household because we have the police which is meant to give security to people. There, we allow gun use, but under stricter conditions. The majority agrees that this is right, so the system works.

What is "the police" on the level of countries? There is no majority that agrees that, e. g., the NATO can serve as the police. It feels like on this level, we live in an anarchy with only very few actors who don't really want to live together. So maybe nukes are an option, although I don't like it.
by 01100011 | 2025-06-22 06:38:56+00:00
Weird that Iran, an oil exporter with huge potential for solar, would expend so much energy on protecting a purportedly civilian nuclear program. I'm sure it's nothing.

This isn't really relevant but I'm only making one comment in this post so I'll say it here: young folks don't remember decades of Iranian state sponsored terrorism and do not understand the context of conflict in the middle east.
by PeterHolzwarth | 2025-06-22 06:40:30+00:00
This is grossly incorrect: Iran has been pursuing nuclear weapons and uranium enrichment for decades - and the west (and even the not-west) has been working to counter it the whole time.

Iran is considered a bellicose enemy in much of the middle east. A nuclear-armed Iran would quickly lead to the rest of the middle east pursing their own nuclear weapons programs to counter Iran.

A nuclear armed Iran leads to rapid nuclear proliferation throughout the middle east.
by fakedang | 2025-06-22 06:40:38+00:00
> The point is - we wish there were no nukes in our heating beautiful world; but tough luck, so you better get your own and get it soon.

Exactly my thoughts. We were absolutely blessed to have been developing our own nuclear capabilities at a time of intense international scrutiny. We were sanctioned to oblivion by the West for that until they realized (after Pakistan too developed their nukes, comfortably) that you can't simply ignore the elephant in the room. And we paid for it dearly too (with the assassinations of leaders in our nuclear programme).

At this point, it should be expected of any rational self-serving sovereign nation that they should develop nukes, especially if they have a record of historical non-aggression. South Korea, modern Japan, the EU (especially those in direct threat of Russia like Poland)... I don't expect Germany to grow a pair to not rely on the US, any time in the near future.
by TeMPOraL | 2025-06-22 06:41:10+00:00
> You can vary the voltage (a bit) and polarity. Maybe the steepness of the voltage gradient.

But that's literally all that you need, isn't it? I understood the whole thing about Levin's bio-electric fields is this: it's a "global" signal that lets cells know where they are in the target structure that's not uniformly symmetric. It's not the full structure description, just lowest-frequency view - head is here, tail is there, etc.

Also I thought that was experimentally confirmed.
by kennywinker | 2025-06-22 06:41:17+00:00
Isn't christianity the one that has martyrdom at its core? Jesus was martyred for our sins after all. Christians can’t really be trusted not to sacrifice themselves at the drop of a roman helmet.

Or not. Perhaps, we understand the nuances of that because we were raised in a christian culture, but don’t understand the nuances of martyrdom in islam because we weren’t raised in a muslim culture? I know that’s true for me, i assume that’s true for any non-muslim who claims stuff about the core of islam.
by raffraffraff | 2025-06-22 06:41:46+00:00
There's "having nukes" and there's "using nukes".

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=QgkUVIj3KWY

The trouble with a regime like Iran is that they are a death cult. The price the put on human life (their own people as much as anyone else) is low, and they're all for martyrdom. With Iran, you cannot assume it's a just a deterrent in a cold war. You have to assume an increased likelihood that they will actually use them.
by dismalaf | 2025-06-22 06:41:53+00:00
Occupation of "Muslim lands"?

Under the Ottoman Empire it was (relatively) scarcely populated and a mix of Jews, Christians and Muslims, plus some religious minorities.

Before the Ottomans and various Islamic conquests it was almost entirely Christian/Roman (as was the whole Middle East). Before that Jewish.

And keep in mind Zionism started during the Ottoman era, with Jews simply immigrating there.

Also let's not forget that the partition plan for Palestine was proposed by the UN which you reference.
by invalidname | 2025-06-22 06:42:04+00:00
> Ansar Allah has managed to largely shut down the port of Eilat, one of only 3 major ports in Israel, and Israel relies on maritime imports to sustain itself.

That was mostly due to the blockade, it doesn't justify the rockets. That mostly damages a private company and doesn't cost Israel much in the grand scheme of things considering Israel has 2 additional large ports.

> They aren't detered by Israeli bombs because they've been bombed by the Saudis for over a decade in their ongoing civil war.

That's exactly what I'm saying. Death of their own people doesn't fit into their equation.

> But all of this talk about nuclear bombs and jihad is hypothetical. Meanwhile only one country in the MidEast has an ACTUAL undeclared nuclear arsenal, and it's the country that has occupied territory in multiple neighboring countries while conducting an ethnic cleansing that has cost the lives of tens of thousands of women and children.

That mixes a lot of different things and is mostly false.

Unlike them Israel never called for an annihilation of a different state. It called for a regime change. It never made a threat related to nukes other than one idiotic member of parliament who said something stupid.

Israeli demonstrators never called for death to Iran and even now the targets in Iran focus on the people/infrastructure behind the nuclear program while Iran targeted many civilian areas.

The claim of ethnic cleansing is also false and shows a deep misunderstanding of the situation in Gaza. There are Israelis who are justifiably warning that Israel is headed in that direction, but it physically hasn't happened yet. There are many civilian casualties and that is indeed horrible and tragic, but blaming Israel for it is contributing to the death toll.

If you're such a believer in Islamic logic then please explain why Hamas is still holding 53 Israeli hostages?

That is Israels main excuse for the war, without them the war will be over. What is the logic behind that?

Hamas sees Israel as a western nation. It believes that without western support Israel will collapse. In that sense the western outrage over the violence in Gaza is fuel to Hamas, it gives them incentive to keep the violence going and encourages them to use children. It encourages them to hoard the aid sent by the west and produce a picture of starvation amongst their own people.

The Israeli right-wing also benefits from this. They know that if the west abandons support for Israel it will allow them to do whatever they want. They believe that no amount of compromise will ever satisfy Palestinian extremists and they encourage taking harder action against them to fuel a war.

These sorts of stances and misinformation in the west is contributing to more violence and Palestinian death.
by invalidname | 2025-06-22 06:42:23+00:00
I'm not saying they're irrational. I'm saying that the basis for their rationality is different to ours. A rational westerner would rarely commit a suicide bombing in a civilian setting (it happens too). But it's common in these circles.

The example I like to give is this, Ismail Haniyeh lost his sons to Israeli bombings. When he told his wife she smiled. This is not normal: https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/ismail-saniyeh-hamas-leader-barel...

Another example would be the Islamic Jihad attacks prior to 2023. The Islamic Jihad is an organization in Gaza that is similar in purpose to Hamas but distinct. They fired missiles into Israel which led to an Israeli attack. Hamas very explicitly stood down and sent through normal channels that it isn't interested in escalation. This created in Israel a false sense of security which led to the "success" of the Oct 7th attacks. When someone says they want to kill you and aren't afraid of death, it is prudent to believe them.

Neither one of us can enter the minds of these people, but they had plenty of chances to stand down and compromise. They chose not to do that. I wish Trump hadn't quit the nuclear deal because I would have liked to know how that would have turned out. But this is the situation we have right now...

Iran does build up global terrorism and has continued to do that for decades. Their path to nuclear weapons would mean they could continue doing that and no one would be able to do anything even if they never actually use the bomb.
by throw310822 | 2025-06-22 06:42:27+00:00
They might be fanatical, but to the point of desiring the destruction of themselves, their loved ones, their country, their culture, their literature, their history.. just to inflict genocide on others? This is a dehumanising thought.

Besides, the fanatical leader of that country has said in clear terms that they consider nuclear weapons forbidden by their religion. They have also said in clear terms that oppose the "Israeli regime" and the existence of Israel as a political entity- that's what they mean by "destruction of Israel", not nuking it.
by aaronbrethorst | 2025-06-22 06:43:11+00:00
Let's hope NATO doesn't get compromised, else I see 30 new nuclear programs starting soon.

I don't intend this as a drive-by zinger, far from it, but I think you're being hopelessly optimistic. Every country with the science and engineering muscle to make it happen will be pursuing a nuclear program. NATO, former Warsaw Pact, some assholes who managed to cobble together a broadly recognized country by virtue of force of will, you name it. They're all going to be seeking to create nuclear weapons.
by idiotsecant | 2025-06-22 06:43:40+00:00
We're going to start dropping some freedom munitions on every nation that wants to export a looneytunes religious viewpoint? Physician, heal thyself...

Seriously, though. There are thousands of tin-pot dictators who would love to remake the world in their image. None of them have the ability to do so, including Iran. What makes this one special? Other than it being a very convenient target in a news cycle with some very inconvenient stories?
by emporas | 2025-06-22 06:45:06+00:00
> You have to segment and order the document (i.e. solve the problem)

Well, let's say that if this benchmark targets AGI, then no help should be given, no segmentation or structuring of information in any way, and it should be able to figure it out by itself.

If this benchmark targets LLMs trained on internet data, statistical engines that is, not AGI, these engines have a preference for structuring of information in order to solve a problem.

Segmenting the problem into smaller parts, using numbers usually, but dashes are acceptable as well, is what they have seen countless of times in textbook examples. When the input doesn't match prior input they have seen, then their performance easily degrades from superhuman to utter confusion. Superhuman for small problems, anyway.

This problem of omitted information is interesting to me, many times I want to interpolate some paragraphs into stories I write, to fill up some plot holes. I used the word "interpolate" in unstructured text, and the results were underwhelming, pretty bad most of the time. From now on, I will number each paragraph, and ask it to find omitted text in there.
by xhunmon | 2025-06-22 06:45:46+00:00
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by raffraffraff | 2025-06-22 06:46:38+00:00
Have you lived in Iran? It's not a whole country of 90 million people who will shout "Push the button!". Most of them are unwillingly imprisoned under a regime lead by the religious zealots who will push that button, even if it means destruction of themselves and their population. Or at least, that's the assumption that the west must make, based their religious views and their past rhetoric.
by adrian_b | 2025-06-22 06:48:41+00:00
Excessive vitamin A is quite dangerous.

Even with chicken livers, which have a lower content of vitamin A than many other kinds of livers, if you would eat for some days chicken livers as your only source of proteins that would become a serious health risk.

Without the danger posed by vitamin A, that could have seemed like a valid choice, as chicken livers are usually cheaper per amount of protein than most other kinds of meat, while being tasty and containing many beneficial nutrients.

With vitamin A there is a narrow range between getting too little and getting too much.

Only getting your vitamin A as carotene from plants poses no danger (one carrot per day, i.e. about 100 g, typically matches the recommended daily intake for vitamin A), because the body will not convert carotene into vitamin A when there already is enough vitamin A.
by dotancohen | 2025-06-22 06:49:04+00:00
I've never understood the argument of Muslim Land or Arab Land. If one were to call Britain White Man's Land and start a terror campaign against African, Asian, and Arab immigrants, would the world community accept that?

Jerusalem was Jewish majority in the time of the Ottoman Empire [1]. How does that become suddenly Muslim Land?

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_history_of_Jerus...
by PeterHolzwarth | 2025-06-22 06:49:06+00:00
America, the west, much of the not-west, and even much of the middle east, have been working to counter Iran's nuclear ambitions for decades.

In large swaths of the middle east, Iran is considered a dangerous enemy. A nuclear armed Iran would quickly lead to nuclear proliferation throughout the middle east.

This isn't some recent initiative thought up for the heck of it: it's been on ongoing focus for a very long time.
by motorest | 2025-06-22 06:50:11+00:00
> Perhaps because the article you linked says things like:

The article says an awful lot more, such as pointing out the fact that Saddam's regime not only ran WMD development programmes for decades but also had a long and verified track record of using them in military engagements and even against civilians.

The article also points out the fact that once Saddam's regime was defeated in it's botched attempt at invading and annexing Kuwait, it rejected and outright antagonized the UN's programme that foresaw terminating Saddam's WMD programmes.

Trying to spin the issue as a simplistic "they had no WMDs" is ignorant to the point of being nearly disingenuous. You need to ignore everything and the whole history to make such a simplistic and superficial observation.
by jonenst | 2025-06-22 06:51:17+00:00
Since they had the reconciliation system because they decided the main use case was declarative, it makes sense that they used it to implement kubectl run. But they could have done it differently.

Imagine if pods couldn't reach other and you had to specify all networks and networking rules.

Or imagine that once you created a container you had to manually schedule it on a node. And when the node or pod crashes you have to manually schedule it somewhere else.
by kazinator | 2025-06-22 06:51:20+00:00
On the contrary, I'm simply questioning the idea that we should all be switching to vectors and abandoning list structures, because of "modern" machines.

Every other tech bro blowhard likes to repeat this.

So, first of all, I want to know what they mean by "modern"---how recently was it supposedly okay to chase pointers rather than just offsets.
by ta12653421 | 2025-06-22 06:51:31+00:00
There was a very interesting "street walk video" by a somewhat-famous travelling-blogger, he visited Afghanistan, talked to a lot of people, created a lot of footage of their daily life, asking about the regime etc.

This video got blocked after publishing by a political action group / NGO, it came back online only after dozens of other YouTube channels reported that.

And yes - this video depicted life of people in a theocracy ;-)
by bigfudge | 2025-06-22 06:51:41+00:00
The idea you should be going after bigger wins than .05 misses the point. The p value is a function of the effect size and the sample size. If you have a big effect you’ll see it even with small data.

Completely agree on the Bayesian point though, and the importance of defining the loss function. Getting people used to talking about the strength of the evidence rather than statistical significance is a massive win most of the time.
by tsimionescu | 2025-06-22 06:52:06+00:00
Imagine a terrorist attack against the Trump admin in the following weeks, and someone coming in to say "you'd be surprised, but the people of the USA have been waiting for this moment for months. There are 100 million people who want an end to Trump".

People never, ever, under any circumstances, want to be attacked and bombed by another country. Not even the biggest dissidents rotting in regime jails would welcome this. Not even a little bit.
by FilosofumRex | 2025-06-22 06:53:20+00:00
So why was it called Palestine Partition Plan, and not Israeli partition plan:

"Palestine Partition Plan" is United Nations General Assembly Resolution 181 (II), adopted on November 29, 1947. This resolution, officially titled "Future Government of Palestine," recommended the partition of the British Mandate of Palestine into independent Arab and Jewish states, with Jerusalem and its environs to be placed under a special international regime."
by dismalaf | 2025-06-22 06:53:33+00:00
I actually do know the "Muslim lands" reference. Religious Muslims believe any land ever controlled by Muslims must remain Muslim forever. It's a conquest tactic. It gets slightly reframed to be tolerable for westerners by invoking the idea that they're "indigenous", when they're largely Arabs who committed genocide against the previous peoples.

https://www.getreligion.org/getreligion/2016/8/12/israel-sau...