MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by FollowingTheDao | 2025-04-30 13:22:09+00:00
Yes, everyone is whistling past the graveyard about this.

You will see panic in two weeks. I was talking to two truck drivers here in Lincoln, Nebraska I met at a Flying J. They are already talking about layoffs and job insecurity and they are wondering why no one cares. One of them asked where his bail out was.

The market, I think, is driven by AI and will be reactive, not predictive. All you need to do is be the quickest person out. All the under millionaire suckers will be wondering what happened to their 401k's.
by leoqa | 2025-04-30 13:23:43+00:00
The solution is just-in-time access controls, context-aware authorization for things like database access (i.e. given a justification with an approval workflow, the employee can access a user X for 2 hours). These are the guard rails against a rogue employee, by introducing friction.

I rolled out these level of controls at a big company and got push back from the sales team -- they needed access to generate leads. do demos on the spot, etc. Was a hard fight and I lost.
by haswell | 2025-04-30 13:23:46+00:00
I’ve also been thinking about this quite a bit lately.

I also want something like this for a lightweight social media experience. I’ve been off of the big platforms for years now, but really want a way to share life updates and photos with a group of trusted friends and family.

The more hostile the platforms become, the more viable I think something like this will become, because more and more people are frustrated and willing to put in some work to regain some control of their online experience.
by throwawaymaths | 2025-04-30 13:24:10+00:00
To steelman it, the US has a far lower dependence on trade as a percentage of GDP than just about any other country, so if any country will be likely to (raw-economic-numbers) survive a shock like this, it's the US. Of course this is a generalization, there could be critical single/multi item goods that make this not a thing (note: it's not lithium or "the rare earth"). It's worth asking and doing a deeper analysis on the question: Are the goods not being traded to the US "things that Americans can do without"? I think for a large portion of that, the answer is "yes". No, you do not need dropshipped junk or an electronic device with a 50% chance of working from amazon. Even for bulk conumer goods american alternatives are not substantially more expensive. I was shopping for cookie cutters recently and a US cookie cutter is $2 more than the chinese cookie cutter. Without even amortizing over the number of uses I'll get out of this, the marginal increase in cost is ~0, but I am certain that the way that online retailers sort sales by price, the number of buyers of the american good is way lower.

I think more likely problems are small electronic PCBs used for semi-bespoke controls in whatever manufacturing that actually {happens in/moves to} the us, hvac controls etc.
by WhitneyLand | 2025-04-30 13:24:14+00:00
It’s gross even in satire.

What’s weird was you couldn’t even prompt around it. I tried things like

”Don’t compliment me or my questions at all. After every response you make in this conversation, evaluate whether or not your response has violated this directive.”

It would then keep complementing me and note how it made a mistake for doing so.
by DocTomoe | 2025-04-30 13:24:16+00:00
On the other hand, we don't teach kids in school the mechanical basics of automated locomotion, how to distill oil into usable fuel and how to mill an engine block before we allow them to get a driver's license.

Unlike modern education, which puts a massive emphasis on teaching how to do menial, useless things before going the sensible route [e.g. I remember vividly how we were tortured by doing table of values calculations in maths for what felt like weeks before we were allowed to use derivatives. I loved maths. Until that point. Then I hated the course (not the subject) with a passion.

Lo and behold, I enter university, and the first thing we do in Mathematics 101 is 'let's forget everything we have learned, we're going to start from the beginning'. Joy.]

I want to stress the point: Smartphones exist (and have existed for 15 years - a more modern 'scary new tech' would probably be LLMs). Banning these things from school will only keep teachers happy because they can keep their teaching methods from the 1890s alive for some more time, instead of using what is available to get kids educated better.
by dgfitz | 2025-04-30 13:24:19+00:00
Objectively, the Q1 numbers probably actually reflect the Q3/Q4 2024 state of things, just like the Q2/Q3 numbers will more represent the actual Q1 2025 numbers.

It feels like this was the natural progression of stuffing trillions of dollars into the economy, along with ZIRP, and the free ride has ended. Tariffs will magnify the problem.

The whole bullwhip effect never occurred, prices never returned to pre-covid levels, as everyone claimed they would. So now we have years of stacking inflation that happened because of bloating the money supply, then ZIRP goes away, throw the tariff fears/uncertainty on top, and here we are. I have very little to no faith this administration will help the situation. Playing a game of chicken with the other global superpower is a losing proposition.

This problem has been years in the making, big ships don't turn on a dime.
by josefresco | 2025-04-30 13:24:56+00:00
> We won't ever see a 2008 style price drop again

That's what they told me when I bought my $250K condo in the early 2000's. Then in 2008 it was magically worth only $125K after being appraised a year earlier for 350K.

Never forget: "The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent"
by catlikesshrimp | 2025-04-30 13:24:56+00:00
> But seeing just how incompetent, corrupt and lawless this administration is, it no longer bothers me. We have to educate and inform.

That has been politicians through time. It is you care at this point.

I shifted through life from: Not my problem, to "I know who and what is right", to "We touched bottom", to (currently) the world has always been this way and I have little agency.

Edit: Do what you want with your little agency. And enjoy life what you can. Not mutually exclusive
by p00ter | 2025-04-30 13:24:57+00:00
This is very interesting. I purchased what is claimed to be a 400 year old German / Bavarian culture and it's one of the most prolific I've ever had. I really enjoy the heartiness and it's ability to live in the fridge for a few weeks when I'm not using it (yes I know, bad parenting). I'd be really curious to see how it would compare. Very cool read, thanks a ton.
by kasey_junk | 2025-04-30 13:25:15+00:00
Gdpnow is a prediction model (that has an alternate model that accounts for the gold move).

This is the actual calculation.

The uncorrected gdpnow number was too pessimistic while the human consensus was too optimistic. The corrected gdpnow number was pretty close (though last week nosedived too much). The early April gdpnow corrected number was bang on.
by palmotea | 2025-04-30 13:25:20+00:00
>> “Some of you may die, but that’s a sacrifice I’m willing to make” - Shrek (2001)

> I think about this line a lot when I read about what Trump and Musk are doing

It's not just them though, but also their predecessors who created the conditions that led to Trump (e.g. pushing free trade even after the initial fairy tale that it would increase US manufacturing proved to be untrue). They were willing to sacrifice others' blue collar employment.

It's would be kind interesting to see every politician's list of who should be prioritized and who they're willing to sacrifice, but they'll never be explicit about such things.
by aurizon | 2025-04-30 13:25:45+00:00
Look at the Auto work force in 1960 and in 2025. Wages became so high that it drove automation/robots and created the Japanese/Korean/European auto industries. Had huge tariffs been enacted we would still have some of those jobs in the USA, but those lost to robotics would still be lost due to the basic economics of fabrication. Can this all be rolled back - All the King's men and all the King's horses can not put Humpty Dumpty together again. I can see a possible future where people are all paid the same $$ and you can not 'shop for slaves' as we do in Asia. This level field would take a while to achieve - even now wages in China have risen a lot and they are not the cheapest labor country now, but their assembled physical plant still dominates. China now has excess physical plant and must replace the USA as a large buyer. Other countries feel the same pressures and erect tariffs of their own. I see many years of this levelling to occur. USA will have to reduce these high tariffs because the USA needs many things and it will take 10+ years to create the physical plant that was allowed to rust away over the last 20-30 years - even now a little has returned, but the 'rust belt' has been melted down and it will return slowly.
by hu3 | 2025-04-30 13:25:52+00:00
I made a ton of money because of this mistake.

Twice now I was called to fix UUIDs making systems crawl to stop.

People underestimate how important efficient indexes are on relational databases because replacing autoincrement INTs with UUIDs works well enough for small databases, until it doesn't.

My gripe against UUIDs is not even performance. It's debugging.

Much easier to memorize and type user_id = 234111 than user_id = '019686ea-a139-76a5-9074-28de2c8d486d'
by shortrounddev2 | 2025-04-30 13:26:09+00:00
Different world post-covid. Lots of people are willing to live in the middle of nowhere to buy a house, they just couldn't before because they needed to live near major job markets. A lot more people are able to work remote now.

I'd say that it changes the situation a little, but not everyone is able to work remote yet, so there's still the draw toward large city centers like you say. But personally I've met plenty of people who ditched their big city for the midwest as soon as they got approval to go remote. When their companies told them to go back to the office, they quit and found another job
by ty6853 | 2025-04-30 13:26:26+00:00
The materials are very cheap.

Last year I built a house for ~30k shell, about ~60k with utilities and everything inside of it. My own labor.

Of course, there are only a handful of counties that will let you do that without licenses, or a building plan, or inspections at times that preclude holding a job. Because there is always some self-righteous actor, screaming at the rooftop that their neighbor is going to kill the whole neighborhood in a fire, no matter that housing has been virtually completely unregulated for owner/builders in my county for 2 decades and none of the hysteria people warned of came to fruition.

The plus is all these people screaming for expensive regulations are absolutely scared shitless of my area, and do not live here. Which is nirvana.
by franckpachot | 2025-04-30 13:26:30+00:00
The Write-Ahead Logging (WAL) is single-threaded and maintains consistency at a specific point in time in each instance. However, there can be anomalies between two instances. This behavior is expected because the RDS Multi-AZ cluster does not wait for changes to be applied in the shared buffers. It only waits for the WAL to sync. This is similar to the behavior of PostgreSQL when synchronous_commit is set to on. Nothing unexpected.
by shagie | 2025-04-30 13:26:32+00:00
Burner inserters are stock. https://wiki.factorio.com/Burner_inserter

> The burner inserter is the most basic and slowest type of inserters. It is powered by burning fuel, compared to the more advanced inserters which are powered by electricity. It will add fuel to its own supply if it picks any up, which makes it useful for filling boilers with coal. This has the advantage that it will continue working even if the power fails, as opposed to electrically-powered inserters which will be unable to function.

In particular, when power demand drops below the supply everything starts running slower, which in turn means that the electrical inserters used to feed coal into the boilers run slower which drops the rate of electrical production. Burner inserters don't have that problem.

---

Schmitt triggers are really easy with stock multi combinators now. It isn't so much a "things have issue with flickering power" but rather "turn off the coal feed to the steel furnaces that would go to the electrical station instead" and "make sure that the coal unloading station doesn't brown out" and "turn off power to the electrical furnaces and labs to make sure that the coal mines don't dip in production rate when power dims".

The Schmitt trigger also makes for more reasonable "where is there excess oil that I should produce solid fuel from?" There's the optimal, but sometimes in the processing you can't crack any more crude to gas because the heavy oil is backed up, so turn on the appropriate cracking station when {conditions} and turn it off when {conditions}.
by ivan_gammel | 2025-04-30 13:26:39+00:00
>Russia is highly centralized, so whoever operates in Russia has to not only abide by its laws, but actively collaborate with the regime.

You are saying this based on what? Do you have any relationship to Russia, have you visited it after the war started or you just read the newspapers?

Yes, there are some businesses receiving the direct calls from the government and I'm aware of several examples where they just tell "f. off" to a very senior official. Among the rest the level of cooperation or resistance varies from unstoppable patriotic propaganda and fundraising to CEO tipping employees about military recruiters during the mobilization campaign and relocating staff abroad. Russia is certainly not as centralized as you might think.
by LAC-Tech | 2025-04-30 13:27:15+00:00
Maybe they should have modularized the core library more and have these things be separate, because the core idea of a uniflow pattern with reactivity is good.

That's what SolidJS does. IE the signal implementation is completely stand alone. I feel like it's better at doing what react purports to do then react is.

* think what happened, at least in frontend, is that the industry pushed away from having engineers do any design or architecting on the frontend. All of these high level patterns have been "outsourced" to frameworks*

I don't think react patterns are particularly high level, or do they save you from architecture. Whether it's vanilla JS or react, you still have to design.
by sida | 2025-04-30 13:28:10+00:00
Xiaomi in Chinese translates to "Little Rice"

Here is the meaning of the name

Described here: https://finance.sina.cn/tech/2020-11-26/detail-iiznctke33979...

在后来的讨论中，我突然想到了我最喜欢的一句话——“佛观一粒米，大如须弥山”。

Translated into English, it means:

“In the later discussions, I suddenly thought of one of my favorite sayings — ‘A Buddha sees a single grain of rice as vast as Mount Sumeru.’”

This expression emphasizes the idea that even something seemingly small (like a grain of rice) can hold immense significance or value when viewed from a different perspective.

Thanks to chatgpt for translating this
by amazingamazing | 2025-04-30 13:28:15+00:00
they haven't though. feel free to post a paper showing that fluoride ingestion is good for you. there's no dispute that fluoride contact on the teeth is good.

there are plenty of papers showing that *ingestion* may be bad for you and results in lower IQ. feel free to research.

https://ntp.niehs.nih.gov/research/assessments/noncancer/com...
by DocTomoe | 2025-04-30 13:28:32+00:00
> It takes people twelve years to learn to read and write at a 12th grade level.

Nah. You are mixing up the skill 'writing glyphs on a piece of paper and retrieving that information via optical means' with 'being well-grounded in a wide array of subjects so you can express an idea in a way that is mentally stimulating to a potential reader'.

Neither takes 12 years to learn. The first, we teach within a year, at most. The second we do not teach at all, and the best 'writers' often are those who were challenged outside of school, by parents who gave them a rich, intellectually interesting environment, not within it.
by BLKNSLVR | 2025-04-30 13:28:43+00:00
My moment was when the Australian Liberal Party destroyed the previous government's plan to rollout fiber to the premises to 90-odd percent of the Australian population. They stole a decade of fiber internet from me because they wanted to play politics. They rolled out new copper in some areas for goodness sake. They said they were technology agnostic, they said something better than fiber may come along, yet they rolled out copper. Said a lot about their competence.

It was disgusting. It set Australia's technology landscape back by a decade (it didn't just affect me, it affected the entire industry in which I worked, which is a foundational industry to almost all others - what does not depend on communications infrastructure these days?). Somewhat at the behest of Rupert Murdoch, who's not even an Australian citizen anymore, to protect his interests in the dinosaurs of traditional media. The roots of the issue also stem from the privatisation of the owner of most of Australia's communications infrastructure a number of years before that - also a great decision of the same political party. I don't know how / why people can still take them seriously (I do know, but that's actually worse).

Both sides of politics are biased and corrupt to some extent, but only one side has burned me to that degree on something I actually cared about.

Separately, it's only niche political parties that actually seem to care much about the privacy invasion that's rampant on the internet. No major parties seem to have any willpower to take that on.

The ongoing attacks on encryption, including the ridiculous comments from Australian Prime Minister at the time Malcolm Turnbull about the laws of Australia overlooking the laws of mathematics. SMFH.

When technology is woven into our daily lives it cannot be apolitical.
by pongogogo | 2025-04-30 13:28:50+00:00
Yes, I wrote something up here on how Andrei Kaparthy evaluated grok 3 -> https://tomhipwell.co/blog/karpathy_s_vibes_check/

I would pick one of two parts of that analysis that are most relevant to you and zoom in. I'd choose something difficult that the model fails at, then look carefully at how the model failures change as you test different model generations.
by akudha | 2025-04-30 13:28:51+00:00
There is a lot of discussion on Reddit on empty ports etc. It sounds quite scary.

I suppose one silver lining is people ordering less crap? Might be good for the environment, just like during COVID. But a lot of businesses and people are going to be hurting :( As usual, people with cash will end up buying properties, businesses and other assets for pennies on the dollar.
by _heimdall | 2025-04-30 13:28:52+00:00
factories also require relative stability to justify the upfront investment. If a person is so inclined, they would be raising money today to build a US factory that may open after Trump is out of office.

Personally I'd want one hell of an insurance policy to cover the risk of all that money being wasted when I finally open my doors and have to compete with overseas manufacturing that may no longer be burdened by these tariffs.
by aphyr | 2025-04-30 13:29:06+00:00
Thank you matashii--this would definitely explain it. I've also received another email suggesting this anomaly is due to the difference in commit/visibility order between primary and secondary. Is there by chance a writeup of this available anywhere that I can link to? It looks like https://postgrespro.com/list/thread-id/1827129 miiight be related, but I'm not certain. If so, I'd like to update the report.

My email is aphyr@jepsen.io, if you'd like to drop me a line. :-)
by FollowingTheDao | 2025-04-30 13:29:44+00:00
And of course, right on cue...

Trump blames Biden ‘overhang’ after GDP shrinks in first quarter, says growth will ‘take a while’

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/30/trump-gdp-tariffs-biden-over...

Funny, I did not hear him talk about how the economy would tank and people would have to "sacrifice" or growth would "take a while" when he was running for president.
by bediger4000 | 2025-04-30 13:29:55+00:00
I mostly agree with you. My only note is that "Catalina" is easier to remember than "version 10.15". I believe this is all part of the general trend towards soft and sloppy language. Like "launch PowerPoint". "Launch". There's a zillion examples of imprecise language used to describe computer-related things. "Device" is a good one. "Substance abuse" falls in that category. Sawdust is a substance, can I abuse it?

As an explanation, not an excuse, I think this phenomenon exists because use of computers arrived so rapidly that society couldn't educate itself fast enough. We got skeuomorphisms like deleting files via dragging to an image of a wastebasket, or the old 1.44 inch floppy case as a save button, or calling directories "folders". Technology changed so rapidly that folklore had to take the place of any thought out or well-considered set of practices and vocabulary.

To answer your question, I haven't come to terms with it. I feel irritation when someone writes or talks about something like "task manager" or "tool" or "navigate to the login page".
by wpietri | 2025-04-30 13:30:02+00:00
Yup. That's because they had actual competition in the space. Throwing a (bad) Slack clone for free was a way of preserving and extending their monopoly.

But you're still paying for it. The costs to build and fund the product still exist, and are still coming out of customer payments. Manipulating their pricing to manipulate their customers doesn't change that.
by bluGill | 2025-04-30 13:30:35+00:00
I disagree. Most kids need to be forced a bit to learn something hard. Sure the kid who likes sports should play. However only exceptional kids will ever be good enough to make a good future playing sports. Most kids will grow up to realize that much as they love the game they will never make a living at it. Thus we need to ensure those kids don't spend all their time getting better, but instead spend time getting useful life skills that they will need as an adult. Much as "post scarcity" people like to think otherwise, we are still not in a world where many people can "slack off".

Kids learning how to develop themselves is a good thing ONLY if they choose the "right thing" to develop. You can get really good at video games, but as you already said probably not a good only investment (a fine hobby, but keep it a limited time hobby). There are some sports that because of injuries should really be banned (but I won't list them because as soon as I do there will be a lot screaming from people who live that sport). What we need is kids who develop themselves into something that makes them good productive adults - for some jobs we need adults to do this is boring and so kids won't do it unless forced.
by lvl155 | 2025-04-30 13:30:35+00:00
And just as inflation was down to a level where the Fed would be comfortable enough to start cutting rates, this administration came into foil all of that. Even if you really believe in these policies, which is highly controversial, one has to wonder why they timed it so soon basically forcing the Fed into a corner. It's as if this administration has a mandate to destroy the US economy.
by throwaway13024 | 2025-04-30 13:30:51+00:00
I had a similar wake-up call when I joined a startup. I had over a decade experience working in stable companies, but I learned so much in a short time.

What surprised me the most, was that I did not improve much technically, as we chose well known technologies to get the job done. Focusing on product over tech was one of the best decisions we made.I also learned to make compromises and accept some technical debt in order to get the product out in time. You get a much deeper view of the business needs when you work in a smaller group.