MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by techpineapple | 2025-04-05 01:05:20+00:00
If you want someone talking intellectually about the global trade situation, Oren Cass’ interview with Jon Stewart was pretty good.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vgEQeLR-M0g

But I do think that a logical assessment undervalues the notion that this is an emotional/intuitive. I don’t think Oren Cass’ very interesting intellectualization of the problem will actually help you predict what Trump will do.

But in the emotional piece - He’s talked endlessly about how America is getting screwed, and his tariff calculation was based pretty directly on trade deficit calculations.
by schneems | 2025-04-05 01:05:24+00:00
I work there. We are still around. Maybe not making waves as much as we used to but still hacking on stuff.

Right now I’m in the progress of rolling out a new platform powered by Cloud Native Buildpacks that allow you to build an OCI image locally. Here’s some language specific getting started (local) tutorials https://github.com/heroku/buildpacks#heroku-cloud-native-bui...
by jarym | 2025-04-05 01:06:24+00:00
My best understanding of the administration's psyche is that they're determined to have more manufacturing happen in the US - regardless of the economic impact.

It still doesn't make sense though - there's a reason sneaker makers like to have kids in places like Vietnam make shoes for a few cents per hour. It's because no one in the US would work gruelling hours for such little pay!

POTUS wants to 'level the field' but I'm not convinced it's dawned on him that as leader of one of the wealthiest nations on Earth, 'levelling' will mean the US getting poorer.
by bdelmas | 2025-04-05 01:07:07+00:00
I think that those in command are also waiting for the next President to undo all that but it is going to have a tremendous effect for a decade or more. Hopefully for the US they won't go in a similar crisis like the UK is going through...

Cutting off countries like Japan or Taiwan like that when we know their geopolitical situation with China and how critical their economy is to the US is quite crazy.
by geye1234 | 2025-04-05 01:07:29+00:00
Sure, pay more for shoes, and have a chance at going back to a world where small towns are prosperous and thriving, people can buy homes in their 20s, quality isn't constantly declining, people aren't constantly stressed over losing their jobs because the last quarter's results 'failed to meet expectations', and families can get by with one wage-earner. All this human happiness and thriving destroyed by globalization, so creatures like Phil Knight can get very very rich.

So again, I've no idea whether the tariffs will work, and on paper I'm quite a bit poorer than I was a week ago, but the current regime must be smashed.
by t0lo | 2025-04-05 01:07:31+00:00
That's not my thinking but it aligns with his practice, especially considering his buddy's interesting hand gestures. Caucasian people are set to become a minority in a lot of their traditional countries pretty soon, and race is potentially going to become extremely heated imo to the point of constant brazen violence. I'm most worried about what he's using all this tarrif(tax) revenue for in the proposed sovereign wealth fund.
by lenerdenator | 2025-04-05 01:07:36+00:00
> This is an inherently political subject, but I would appreciate a dispassionate argument explaining how this could be even remotely good for the U.S.'s economy in a way that is light on MAGA ideology and doesn't simply claim the overwhelming majority of economists are dumb.

The slim hope to a voting bloc in the Upper Midwest that maybe, somehow, this will bring back manufacturing.

They've tried everything else; why not this?

We can't simply legally punish the people who shipped the factories off and drove the region into despair, so why not tax the stuff the factories made overseas as a part of the trade-off?

I'm not saying it's a good idea, I'm saying this is their logic.
by yieldcrv | 2025-04-05 01:08:02+00:00
I wasn't dismissing them, you chose to read that

given that I’m surrounded by partisans and you are more familiar with being one, how would you reword my point

the commonality I see is that the partisan wants to only talk about things that potentially add power to their party and are offended by talk that doesn’t suggest an interest in doing that

to me that seems like its not working and is unproductive, but to you, how would you cut through that filter towards doing something that is productive and would affect both parties
by defrost | 2025-04-05 01:08:09+00:00
Errr, what works? No longer engaging in war with gangs?

The El Salvador President’s Informal Pact with Gangs (2020)

https://insightcrime.org/news/el-salvador-nayib-bukele-gangs...

There's more to the dramatic drop in homicide rates than simple analysis might reveal .. is it an actual drop or simply a drop in recording, etc.
by mixmastamyk | 2025-04-05 01:08:16+00:00
The only positive outcome I can think of is that T and co are trying to scare trading partners into lowering their tariffs in response. Assuming that happens to some degree, T will revert his and then take credit. Then the market will return as well, and we all head off into the sunset.

Likely why it is happening so early in the admin, so we can all forget about it by the end.
by femiagbabiaka | 2025-04-05 01:08:36+00:00
If the U.S. killed and imprisoned people at the rate of El Salvador, without due process and essentially at the word of mouth of random people in the community, you’d be running to the hills. Crazy that this far into Trumps disaster and people still want right wing fascist dictatorship. You might get what you want, god help us all.
by Amekedl | 2025-04-05 01:08:57+00:00
Using the C# debugger is also restricted to Visual Studio & VScode. Microsoft loves open source, and windows is the most open operating system (look it up).

It’s totally not embrace, extend, extinguish in any disguise.

Coopetition exists (I’d point to the CNCF), but corporations do that really, really, begrudgingly only just due to the sheer complexity.

While I do not suspect that the somewhat benevolent notions will wane in the near future (the data is valuable enough, and you cannot afford to lose to another player), I sincerely enjoy just opting out because I like doing that.
by evinitsky | 2025-04-05 01:09:56+00:00
One of the authors here. It's a somewhat nuanced answer. In principle, I think a classical controller would have been fine here and if you read the paper (might be in one of the other papers) we do benchmark a bunch of them. But what's really nice about RL is what it does to the workflow. We can add a sensor, drop a sensor, change the dynamics of the system, and have a functional controller the next day. It trades compute for control engineer time. On a secondary small point, the dynamics of the cruise control cars are an unpleasant switched system and there's a lot of partial observability, we never fully sense the traffic state, we didn't even have direct measurements of the distance to the car in front, and the individual car control decisions are coupled to macroscopic effects on the system i.e. since all the cars have the same policy their decisions actually affect the traffic flow. So, it's not a trivial control design problem at all.
by keyle | 2025-04-05 01:10:25+00:00
It's an interesting read. I'm in the complete opposite camp. I can't pick up a game controller for more than 5 minutes without feeling like I'm wasting time.

This has lead to many, many side projects throughout the years, which I tend to like a zen garden[1]. Pruning, refining, improving, and sometimes rewriting.

As soon as I work out the game mechanics of any game, I just see it as just content now, and there is nothing holding me back to play any longer. Same with watching TV shows or movies, I lose interest pretty quickly and feel an urge to create something.

I've always been very in tune with time, our lack of it, and felt like consumption is a waste of time.

That said I believe creativity is hormonal (that is only my personal belief, unproven). It comes and goes. Some days I can't stop creating, somedays I want netflix and chill. But that's 10 days cycle of sorts, 10 days on, 10 days off.

Depending on where you live, it's perfectly normal that due to current events, or a personal loss in your life, etc. you might not feel the creative bug tickling you. The creative hormone might be totally wiped by your current environment or predicament; tiredness, anger, stress, all play into it.

After all, since our early days in the caves, drawing on walls, Humans wouldn't do so unless they had safety, a full belly, and a warm fire. A place to call home. Creative time needs conditions to be filled.

[1] https://noben.org
by ViktorRay | 2025-04-05 01:11:27+00:00
But these beliefs have been core to the American left for decades. Even left wing intellectuals like Noam Chomsky have attacked the neoliberal trade agreements I think.

Trump’s populist right wing fans have adopted traditionally left wing views. What’s surprising is so many left wing people are supportive of free trade when they were against free trade during the Reagan era.
by stale2002 | 2025-04-05 01:11:55+00:00
No actually. It is never just that.

The question was about "to get a social media frenzy going".

And this is never just an employer randomly looking at a tweet, for which they are almost never going to do anything about it. Most employers don't care.

Instead, the much more likely scenario is mass points of harassment, stalking, and death threats targeted at people's friends and family, when such a "social media frenzy" happens.

You cannot ignore the actual mostly likely result of your advocacy. And when you just say that this is all "free speech" you are doing disservice to the massive amount of illegal harassment that these internet mobs cause.

You do not control the mob, yet you are response for its harm anyway if you try to start one.
by colechristensen | 2025-04-05 01:11:57+00:00
The "4D Chess" is that some powerful internal people doing a lot of manipulation want America to be an isolated very independent fascist state, and some powerful external people want to destabilize America and reduce its foreign influence. They're both making solid progress towards their goals.

The majority of the American people who voted for the current regime are being taken advantage of but like many they'll progressively more and more identify with wanting whatever outcome "their" team achieves.
by irrational | 2025-04-05 01:12:06+00:00
I’m pretty sure the only ones it will be good for are the rich. Make the rich richer. They will be able to buy stocks cheaply. They will be able to buy homes cheaply as people lose their jobs and foreclose. They will make the USA into a nation of renters. They will increase inflation and prices of everything so most people will be on the cusp of insolvency so they have to work multiple jobs for lower wages and can never retire. They will decrease education so people won’t be able to recognize the propaganda for what it is. They will disappear dissidents. They will make abortion illegal so people churn out the next generation of wage slaves. They will create false enemies (Canadians, gays, liberals, atheists, Jews, Muslims, anyone not white, etc.) to distract people from the real villains.
by Centigonal | 2025-04-05 01:12:08+00:00
> As global GDP grows, it becomes increasingly burdensome for the United States to finance the provision of reserve assets and the defense umbrella

I don't understand. US share of global GDP is around where it was in 1980, and in 1995[1]. Is Miran arguing that America's "exorbitant privilege" of being the source of the world's reserve currency, literally being able to buy goods from any country in the world with money printed out of thin air, is actually a liability?

[1] Page 8 of his paper

EDIT after reading through Chapter 2 of the paper: Thank you for sharing this. I don't agree with many of the arguments Miran is throwing out so far, but at least it's self consistent.

He is saying:

1. If the US's global share of GDP decreases, then a set of global economic factors will cause the US to keep having to take on deficits to fund the rest of the world's desire for USD (because that is the world's reserve currency). If the US becomes small enough relative to the world economy, then this pressure will cause the US to risk defaulting on its debt.

2. The US's status as the reserve currency issuer means US dollars are artificially expensive. This means that low margin, high-labor industries like manufacturing can't thrive in the US. This is a national security risk because China/Russia can make lots of tanks/drones/etc and we can't.

3. The US benefits from being the reserve currency issuer because it can use that power to project force worldwide and maintain national security.

4. (He doesn't say this, but implies it in that coy way that people who read The New Criterion like to do) #1 is an unacceptable risk for America, and the US should employ a range of unilateral or multilateral measures to reshape the global financial system in a way that devalues the US Dollar, strengthens US manufacturing, and forces US trading partners (esp. other liberal democracies) to subsidize the US's status as the reserve currency issuer, since the US provides a global hegemony that is beneficial to them.

Also, having read portions of the Project 2025 "Mandate for America," it's really interesting to me how all of these right wing thinktank writers (Russ Vought, Max Primorac, and now Miran) seem to share the same writing style.
by wtcactus | 2025-04-05 01:12:25+00:00
This all tariff imbecility created solely by Trump it’s atrocious, still, if EU response is to hit the main players in Nasdaq - where there are a lot of chip producers necessary for the ongoing AI revolution - we are just shooting ourselves majorly in the foot.

Surely there are much better companies for the EU to apply directed tariffs. EU absolutely has their weaknesses, but giving blunt responses (like China just did and put tariffs on everything) is not really our way. Expect EU answer to be well crafted and directed at very specific areas.
by historical-top | 2025-04-05 01:12:34+00:00
There's also deformity.ai for a much cheaper/freemium version. I can tell you how Deformity is useful: - You can type logic in plain English (no more complex logic trees) - AI controls the conversation, meaning it can dive deeper and ask clarifying questions beyond a traditional form - It speaks 120 languages, meaning you need to do nothing to collect data from a global audience - You can choose between AI forms or static forms, so you can use AI for cases where you need or want and not otherwise - Beyond that, AI can reference other information to answer questions (such as data from your website or files). So it can do more than traditional forms can
by grotorea | 2025-04-05 01:13:09+00:00
That seems unconvincing. Don't most people already have most of their money centrally stored in banks? The topic at hand is merely if when they want to spend that money, if they take it out of the bank in physical form first and then spend or if they use electronic payments. Refusing to move to a cashless society won't prevent people from being locked out of their money except for what they keep under their mattress.
by aaarrm | 2025-04-05 01:14:30+00:00
I'm the same, and it has kind of ruined me. No one I know thinks the ways I do. I keep wondering if it's just due to anxiety or a fear of death, or an inability to feel present or what. But I really wish I could figure this aspect of myself out so that I can relax and enjoy in a moment.

Whenever I realize that I was lost a moment, I get anxious about what I should be doing with my time instead.
by yieldcrv | 2025-04-05 01:14:36+00:00
No party has had 60 or more votes in the Senate for many many years. Which means nothing can pass under the goals of one party. The game is that one party says the measure being presented is unnecessary and redundant and doesnt vote in favor of that law. Rinse, repeat.

But yes, the culpability is ultimately on Congress.

Its also easy to see why it is gridlocked
by diegof79 | 2025-04-05 01:15:14+00:00
Yes, it’s different from Excel tables. @wtallis probably explained it better, but I’ll give it another shot:

A “spreadsheet” or tab in Numbers is like a canvas where you can put tables, text boxes, , charts or shapes.

The classic spreadsheet is one of these table objects. If you want it to behave like a classic spreadsheet, you can have a single table object that takes the whole canvas; otherwise, you can have multiple. Each is like a spreadsheet with columns and rows; formulas can refer to cells in other tables.

It’s handy to create dashboard-like views or visually organize your work.

In other words, Excel tables are a special region in your spreadsheet; Numbers tables are individual spreadsheets on a canvas.
by api | 2025-04-05 01:15:16+00:00
I get it and even sympathize, but I don’t think it will work for three reasons.

First is the uncertainty they are creating. Factories take a long time to build and staff and cost millions to billions depending on size and industry. Who in their right mind is going to invest that to build factories that are only economically viable under a tariff regime that could vaporize after the next election? Or if Trump changes his mind? Which he has a history of doing. Chaos like this is anathema to that kind of long term investment.

I am not opposed to the idea of trying to rebalance trade and repatriate manufacturing. Not at all. But it can be done skillfully, strategically, and without panicking global markets. This economic pivot is less well planned and executed than Biden’s withdrawal from Afghanistan.

The second reason it won’t work is that there’s way more competition today. After WWII during those glory days of US manufacturing everyone talks about Europe was destroyed and much of Asia had not yet industrialized. We were not just selling to a domestic market. We were selling to a world that had no alternatives. That’s just not true anymore.

The third reason it won’t work is that these tariffs are going to be massively inflationary and that will wipe out any gains the working class gets from more or better jobs.

Meanwhile they are doing nothing to address cost disease in housing, health care, or education.

Housing is the big one and I haven’t heard a peep. Instead of using Federal leverage to tilt at windmills like trans people using bathrooms, they could use that power to push states to regularize zoning and allow more home construction. “No more Federal highway funds unless you implement a plan to reduce housing costs.” Now that would help the working class and the young. It would also help things like the birth rate, which I know a bunch of people on the right are freaking out about. Reducing the #1 cost barrier to family formation would help a lot.

In short I think they’re doing a terrible erratic job of implementing a dubious strategy. This is going to fail, and we will all get poorer as a result. China will be the largest beneficiary since even more of global trade will now shift to them. They are now seen as stable, responsible, and reliable while we look like a basket case.
by toddmorey | 2025-04-05 01:16:17+00:00
Very well put. Alliances take years to build but can be broken in just days.

I'm tempted to think (hope? dream?) that the markets and trade will rebound if all this chaos makes American politics swing back towards an interest in global stability, but I think anyone partnering with the US would do so VERY carefully and right now the entire world is plotting how to remove US dependencies.
by tdeck | 2025-04-05 01:16:28+00:00
Police in El Salvador start each day with a quota of people to round up and imprison without trial. If they don't meet the quota, they don't get to go home to their families.

https://apnews.com/article/nayib-bukele-san-salvador-el-arre...

https://www.hrw.org/report/2022/12/07/we-can-arrest-anyone-w...

Frankly it's shocking every time I see people praise Bukele on Hacker News.
by hayst4ck | 2025-04-05 01:16:34+00:00
The fact a Secretary of Defense (second in command of the US military) and a Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (highest ranking officer and principle military advisor) have both said he is unfit and doesn't care about the law.

Jim Mattis, a Secretary of Defense, in a letter titled "I cannot remain silent":

“Donald Trump is the first president in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people—does not even pretend to try. Instead, he tries to divide us... We are witnessing the consequences of three years of this deliberate effort. We are witnessing the consequences of three years without mature leadership... We must reject and hold accountable those in office who would make a mockery of our Constitution.” [1]

Mark Milley, a Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, spent his final days in his position making sure that the military understood that they took an oath to the constitution before president. Mark Milley in his retirement speech said:

We don't take an oath to a wannabe dictator. [2]

[1] https://archive.is/UmFxO -- https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/american-c... [2] https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/29/milley-farewell-spe...
by bdelmas | 2025-04-05 01:16:43+00:00
Totally agreed! But bulling 95% of the class room... That doesn't work. New alliances would emerge, like Canada and the EU. No more new pipelines for the US but more upgrades to Canadian ports to ship oil to the EU. New economic routes will be created, new partner deals, etc... Without the US.

Trump just locked the US, kinda did the finger to the earth, and hopes people will come begging for trade.
by muzani | 2025-04-05 01:16:47+00:00
I would love to know how YouTube does this for music. There's some holes obviously, like some cover artists will play the iconic riffs of a song and then stop somewhere. There's people who do reels or "commentary" of a movie scene and then put some horrible high pitched music to mask it from copyright.

There's probably even some rules around this to only detect just enough to take legal action. Like GP stumbled on a trademark landmine, but obviously just selling red shirts with a bird on it can't be a trademark violation; it needs to be a specific kind of red too.
by keyle | 2025-04-05 01:16:55+00:00
It's not 4D chess. It's not even 1D chess.

Sparking the local industries needs to happen with incentives, not a tsunami.

You can't swap the supply chain to a local-first instantly. Many things aren't done locally. The factory buildings are gone. The labor isn't there or trained. The basic materials aren't local and need to be imported. The machines needed to produce the parts don't exist locally and need to be imported themselves; sending margins to unrealistic numbers and making it a non-starter environment.

What it is, is another flip of the table, an upset, to cause chaos and feed a positive environment for more chaos, which only suits those who benefit from chaos.
by kranner | 2025-04-05 01:17:20+00:00
Mixed scripts as well. In March 2024 I asked Gemini Advanced (whatever the version was at the time) to transliterate an image which had the following Persian text on it:

> یوسفی بود ولی هیچ خریدار نداشت

Its output was:

> Yoosefi بود ولی هیچ khaरीदār nadāsht

That's three different scripts with two different Romanisation schemes just for the Latin/Roman script (writing "Yoosefi" as "Yūsefī" or "Yūsufī" would have been more consistent with "nadāsht").