MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by olddustytrail | 2025-04-30 17:51:12+00:00
That's by value. I reckon since Chinese imported goods tend to be cheaper they probably make up a greater number than the value percentage would indicate.

So I suspect 40% figure is how many items in a typical household are from China.

Edit: in case that's not clear, here's an example:

I have one item from the USA that costs $80. I have four items from China that cost $5 each.

My imports from China are 20% of my spending. My imports from China are 80% of my goods.
by crazygringo | 2025-04-30 17:51:26+00:00
But the point is that this can't be responsible for the reported contraction, correct?

Because imports are only subtracted from the higher spending on imports in the first place.

Conceptually, imports are not part of GDP. Imports are never subtracted from GDP. But to calculate GDP, part of that is to take total spending (a number larger than GDP) and then subtract spending on imports.

So the 0.3% contraction in GDP has to be a real thing. Unless there's some other deeper technical discrepancy, or some kind of time lag where spending on imports and the import subtraction are being counted in different quarters?
by harryf | 2025-04-30 17:51:36+00:00
It’s useful for getting summaries of long YouTube videos - I’m found it semi helpful for improving my Davinci Resolve skills.

That said Google is screwing the pooch as usual by trying to make it another walled garden. Slap an API on NoteboolLM already! The market research has already been done - there’s even an unofficial API https://www.reddit.com/r/notebooklm/comments/1eti9iz/api_for...
by guywithahat | 2025-04-30 17:51:53+00:00
I feel like they're pretty conjoined. If you're working from home, why can't an AI just replace you? AI is great at performing narrow jobs, if you're a part of the company you're needed to build relationships and help grow the company in creative meaningful ways that can't be done remotely. The author seems to have a pretty pessimistic view of everything
by matwood | 2025-04-30 17:51:57+00:00
> Curious if there is anyone here who genuinely sees this as short-term pain / long-term gain for American economic interests.

I think at a base level someone must think that isolationism is good. Personally I think the world should be building deeper connections not less in order for humanity to move to the next level. I fear that we'll never reach that level without an existential force (like aliens showing up a la Star Trek). Until then, our petty differences will continue to get in the way.
by krisoft | 2025-04-30 17:52:05+00:00
> I can’t scroll with my cursor on the page without crap happening that I don’t want to happen.

Same stuff with the mobile youtube app. If you so much as graze the screen anywhere while watching a video the replay speed doubles. This is so sensitive that even a tiny unintentional finger touch, or a water droplet landing on the screen triggers it. Whoever thought that is a good idea as a feature, i can’t comprehend.

Plus they have no data to see how badly their feature annoys me. From a metrics perspective “the user wanted to fast forward for 5s” looks the same as “a careless finger cradling the phone triggered the fast forward and it took the user 5s to realise what is going on and adjust their hold, now they are annoyed at how fragile this app is”. Someone might have even used the statistics of all the inadvertent activations in their promo package to show what a popular feature they made!
by seanmcdirmid | 2025-04-30 17:52:51+00:00
> instead use it to import extra stuff

Most of the value of an iPhone is recorded as American GDP because American IP and software went into it, Apple is keeping a lot of the price for the phone, and only sending a bit off to China for assembly (and a larger bit off to South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan for components that China is assembling). What remains is still a lot of American GDP.

A small business who is contracting China to make the thing that they then sell is also generating a lot of GDP. Yes, they send some percent off to China to make the thing, but a majority is GDP generated here in the USA (the small business does the design, marketing, sales, etc...). If they go belly up because of the trade war (very likely, since no one else can make their thing, and before China developed this capability, making the thing wasn't even possible!), that GDP is gone, the people that small business was employing are unemployed.

The increased purchases should not decrease American GDP, unless consumers are buying directly from China using Temu and are not buying at Walmart.
by darepublic | 2025-04-30 17:53:02+00:00
well if you are still gonna browse on chrome don't settle for the ublock originless experience.

* download a release zip: https://github.com/gorhill/ublock/releases (expand Assets). * go to chrome://extensions, toggle developer mode on * click load unpacked and select the file you unzipped the release

then you also have to watch out because chrome will, still time later, disable ublock origin. You have to go to your extensions page and find the option for 'Keep it for now' or something. Then you can continue to browse the internet like a real gee! Thanks ublock origin!
by jasonhong | 2025-04-30 17:53:11+00:00
This was recently discussed on Hacker News about two weeks ago.

See this blog post by Steve Blank talking about the rise of research universities and why the USA is a science powerhouse. https://steveblank.com/2025/04/15/how-the-u-s-became-a-scien...

And the discussion on HN: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43692360

Also, pragmatically, it's a system that has yielded incredible ROI since WW2, in terms of new industries, new companies, jobs, science, economic gains, productivity gains, and national security. The US university system is the envy of the entire world, and it's being targeted for dismantling by very petty, cruel, and incompetent people.
by roxolotl | 2025-04-30 17:53:31+00:00
Ok fair. Let’s turn it around then. Why wouldn’t you want something which drastically reduces allergies and is provably safe to humans and the environment? Is there any level of proof you’d be willing to accept? Do you just fundamentally believe that societal benefits aren’t worth it if they are impossible to opt out of? Or maybe you don’t see the societal benefits?
by emorning3 | 2025-04-30 17:53:41+00:00
I know Basic, Fortran, C, C++, Java, Python, C#, Javascript, Typescript, SQL, and Lisp (wrote my own) and probably a bunch that I have forgot.

I have never spend more than a few days learning a language.

I have spent decades mastering several of these.

Any language that takes longer than a few days to learn the basics should be avoided, it will always be difficult to use.

APL being the most famous of such a language.
by Centigonal | 2025-04-30 17:53:45+00:00
Your biggest obstacle is proving fine-tuning is more effective than prompting, workflow design, RAG, etc during the initial pass. Most of my customers are still getting big improvements by picking the low-hanging fruit with those approaches. A much smaller fraction is at a place where they're ready to start fine-tuning. Obviously, this will change as AI programs mature.
by rufus_foreman | 2025-04-30 17:54:00+00:00
>> it takes over a decade to save 100k good luck buying a house

First time home buyers (meaning those who haven't owned a home in the last three years) can get a loan with a down payment of 3%. 12k would be the down payment for a $400,000 house. The average home price in the US is around $350,000.

There are even better deals available for some people, military veterans for example.
by masto | 2025-04-30 17:54:13+00:00
I think it is the permanent end of American economic/political/cultural dominance, which is a long-term gain for the world, but it's going to put the hurt on a lot of people (myself included). I am not quite altruistic enough to celebrate being sacrificed in this way, but I can see that when the future history books are written, they may look back at this as the end of a blight.
by redbell | 2025-04-30 17:55:14+00:00
> run Excel on Linux in Excel

This remind me of the top comment on Puter's post (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33838179):

"I am the author of the 'app' called Puter which loads up Puter inside Puter, which then loads up the Puter app again, which ..."
by zooom | 2025-04-30 17:55:31+00:00
My impression is that LLMs, at least currently, are just like any other modest increase in the power of our tooling. CRUD apps get even easier. Simple UIs get even easier. And on the business side, no-code/low-code (no coder, no human) solutions are hyped to the moon.

But the end result will be, once (if) the economy becomes healthy again, businesses will just become more ambitious and software get more hardware intensive and slower. Same ole same ole.
by __jonas | 2025-04-30 17:56:12+00:00
I'm not really sure what you mean, I'm also coming back to using Slack for some contracting work after a similar period of time and it seems identical to how it always was to me, definitely feels nicer to me than Teams.

Could you point out what has changed? I guess calls are called "huddles" now for some reason, that's a bit weird but doesn't really bother me.
by throwaway743 | 2025-04-30 17:56:14+00:00
4chan is composed of different boards. There's/b/ which used to be fun/funny to go to, back in the 00s up until probably 2012ish. There's /pol/ which has always been a shitshow and has become synonymous with "4chan" when people think of it these days. And a bunch of others. Think of it like maybe you go to /r/showerthoughts or /r/cats but you'd never step foot in /r/the_donald (when it existed) or /r/feet (not shaming, just using for range). The same goes for 4chan. Personally, I'd go to /b/ (random) or /m/ (mecha).

It was never cringe to talk about 4chan openly back then because most people didn't even know about it, and for those who did it was like a secret badge/nod to those who knew.

Before 2012 it was also a hub for Anonymous, lulzsec, and others, and was a force behind Occupy Wallstreet, protesting the church of scientology and spreading word about Lisa McPherson, taking down gov sites in protest, Stratfor leaks, and far more focused on taking action on issues related to civil liberties.

Then in 2012 it really went down hill after Jeremy Hammond got arrested, after Sabu snitched on him. Yes, moot owned the site, but I'm of the opinion that due to the arrest/snitching, moot had to go against the "anonymous" ethos of 4chan and give access to everything to the fbi for "national security" reasons because they got spooked after the whole Occupy movement and the activity of activists on the site. The whole site turned into total garbage in a really short period of time following, and became flooded with a completely different crowd, a ton of brainrot (more so than before), way more right leaning posts/posters, and wayyy more porn than usual filled boards like /b/. Then when moot started another business (or he got a higher position at one of the big tech companies... I forget) and sold off 4chan, it became an absolute cesspool for the things listed earlier.

Tldr - it used be good... stupid but good. Now it's garbage, full of maga bs, and brainrot.
by firesteelrain | 2025-04-30 17:56:18+00:00
Listen-only mode would be ADS-B In. Black Hawk's support ADS-B Out.

1. C-17 Globemaster III (transport)

2. C-130 Hercules (transport)

3. KC-135 Stratotanker (tanker)

4. KC-10 Extender (tanker)

5. P-8 Poseidon (maritime patrol/reconnaissance)

6. E-3 Sentry (AWACS)

7. E-8 Joint STARS (reconnaissance)

^ above have ADS-B In capability

This answer on Aviation Stack Exchange did some research into ADS-B statistics for military aircraft: https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/107851/military...

TCAS (collision avoidance) can use Mode A/C/S however it depends on if the aircraft has the earlier or later model TCAS: https://aviation.stackexchange.com/questions/90356/does-tcas...
by voidspark | 2025-04-30 17:56:22+00:00
Even with common ownership, why would you be given any more than subsistence? What actual power and influence will you have if your economic value is zero?

I see a future where someone who has the skill and talent to be a surgeon earning millions of dollars is now living in a basic pod, eating rations of slop, exactly the same as everyone else, with no meaningful role or contribution to society.
by tudorrr | 2025-04-30 17:56:33+00:00
Yeah it’s in a similar space to Heroiclabs. Looking at Talo as Hiro + Satori makes sense.

A few big differences though: I don’t think those products are open source and Talo has a different philosophy when it comes to features.

I’m designing Talo to be a great base for features by providing all the necessary tools and infrastructure that developers can build from.

As an example, I see Hiro has a dedicated inventory system. In Talo, you can store and retrieve any data on players so you can keep all the logic around item configurations in your game code (where it belongs imo) and let Talo handle the saving/loading part in a generic way that makes sense for your game.
by jmyeet | 2025-04-30 17:56:34+00:00
People need to understand how the pharmacology pipeline works.

The Federal government provides funds for research. That research finds novel compounds and new treatments. The product of that resaerch then gets transferred to private companies who commercialize it and then make massive profits from it.

Generally speaking, drug companies don't research with one exception: patent extension. A given compound will be patented and then the patent owner will have a monopoly over that for a number of years, supposedly because there'd be no investment otherwise, but that patent will ultimately expire. Except... it doesn't really. It's why over a century later we're still dealing with insulin patents. "Patent extension" is the process where you make a small change to a molecule or a delivery system and then get a new patent, refusing to sell the old. And it can be hard for someone else to produce a generic for many reasons.

Now I have a lot of problems with this system:

1. Any form of patent extension should be illegal, basically;

2. The institutions who actually come up with this should share in the profits. After all, it's the government paying for it;

3. We give a monopoly to these companies in the US where it's illegal to import the exact same product from overseas, which leads to something costing $800 in the US and $5 in France.

But given this is the system we're stuck with, cutting off funding makes absolutely no sense. Why?

1. It's going to dramatically impact drug companies negatively in the future as their supply of new products dries up;

2. It's antoerh element of soft power where the US can use the power to produce certain medicines to influence other countries. Think about what happens if China becomes the source for the world's medicines (personally, i'd be a fan but the purveyors of this policy most definitely are not).

Government research has given us things like the Internet and mRNA vaccines. This is so unbelievably shortsighted.

And why are they doing it? Well, the party of Free Speech is punishing institutions because some of their students made factually correct but mean statements about Israel.
by Workaccount2 | 2025-04-30 17:57:41+00:00
I think the core disconnect is that the current tech paradigm is writing broad scope feature packed programs (and it kind of needs to be that way). One stop shops for every need that the broadest possible customer base could have, while minimizing time that needs to be spent on support.

But I don't see that being the future. Instead I think people will just spin up bespoke ultra narrow scope programs (maybe scripts is more fitting here, but people like GUIs - scripts with GUIs?) that are generally under 3K LOC.

You don't need an AI to one-shot Excel.exe if you just want a simple way to track how many plastic pellets came in today, and how many went out. A GUI on a simple program on an SQlite database will do that no problem. And you can ditch that bloated excel doc you have been using for years.

At my own company we forwent a proprietary CAD package because Claude could decode the files we had, make a GUI for doing the transformation we needed to do, and properly reencode the file.
by _QrE | 2025-04-30 17:57:42+00:00
People see videos on the front page of YouTube? I've turned YouTube history off, and all I get is a warning that says that if I want "the latest videos tailored to me", I need to turn that on. This is without being signed in.

Honestly, I think I prefer this. It makes my use of YouTube a little more deliberate since there's no clickbait to click, initially.
by bloppe | 2025-04-30 17:57:57+00:00
That's always been a feature of the 2-party system. I mean, the Democrats were once the party of southern white supremacists. We don't really get new parties, but the parties we have change over time as the coalitions within them rearrange.

I think a multi-party parliamentary system would be better at finding middle ground, but it's silly to say that the two-party system keeps politics "fixed".
by chneu | 2025-04-30 17:58:23+00:00
The best way to look at it that I've found:

Previous generations bought cheap crap that came with a debt. That $2 burger actually cost $20 but that $18 was hidden. All the cheap stuff is the same way. When we buy cheap things it comes with a debt.

When we have to spend $10billion rebuilding after a natural disaster? That's that debt coming due.

Beef is by far the worst at this.
by Teever | 2025-04-30 17:58:50+00:00
I'm not pitching this as a moral crusade, but as a practical one. Authoritarianism is a cancer that invariably spreads and disrupts the global system.

It is simply in our best interest to starve cancer whenever we find it and excise it if possible.

If the goal of buying Russian hydrocarbons was to increase the economic stability of Russia and to foster capitalistic market systems in the country to prevent the rise of authoritarianism then the second they invaded Georgia should have resulted in the cutting of those economic ties.

If the goal of opening trade up to China was to prevent a Chinese-Soviet alliance and to weaken the USSR then the second the USSR fell we should have pivoted to defeating Chinese authoritarianism instead of strengthening economic ties to them which has ultimately provided fuel for an authoritarian economic machine that has grown to surpass the capacity of the US and made the US dependent on it.

We didn't do those things and now we're facing existential economic and military threats.
by ch4s3 | 2025-04-30 17:59:05+00:00
> where home ownership is insanely cheap due to low demand, but people don’t want to do it.

No one does it because there are no jobs in those places. We're failing as a society to build sufficient housing in areas of economic opportunity. In some areas we're moving backwards, Manhattan housed 300K more people in 1950 than it does today.

Not every job can be remote and most types of work benefit from agglomeration effects. Pretending that we can will people to live middle Pennsylvania by creating jobs somehow is foolish when we could simply build housing where the jobs already are.
by JSR_FDED | 2025-04-30 17:59:13+00:00
I was at SGI during its heyday. Best time of my career. The highest density of insanely smart people I’ve ever worked with, I learned so much from them.

One thing overlooked from that era was that the customers were so cool - they were building virtual wind tunnels, flight simulators, protein visualizers, etc - not running payroll or inventory management.

We used to say our customers used our products to make money, not count money. Joke’s on us because it turned out the market for counting money is much bigger :-)
by ajmurmann | 2025-04-30 17:59:25+00:00
11 months is truly impressive but of course a far cry from a single month. A bridge also needs no machinery and workers permanently dedicated to it. IMO it's absolutely crucial for the US to cut down red tape and silly regulations to allow all construction to get done much more rapidly. I also wonder how this translates to building many projects like it at the same time. I understand construction capacity and backlogs are a huge bottleneck and we are in the process of deporting large numbers of people who could work on it while never having been good at growing a strong workforce in trades that require certification like electricians because we won't give out H1Bs for those.
by NoMoreNicksLeft | 2025-04-30 17:59:33+00:00
You're expecting that in the coming months the demand for master plumbers will double or something? Or are you saying that the existing demand is already so high that it can do more than provide some fraction of one percent of the jobs that our nation of 300-million-ish needs to have a strong economy?

I think we both agree that one of us has unrealistic impressions of the big picture here. When we regularly here of layoffs that affect hundreds and thousands of jobs, welders and electricians can't absorb those unemployed to any great degree. Nor all of the trades put together.
by WarOnPrivacy | 2025-04-30 17:59:34+00:00
> Microchip launched their latest version earlier this year:

Spectratime's version (mRO-50) went into a $2M piece of eye-candy that mechanically syncs a watch.

https://www.urwerk.com/collections/ur-chronometry/amc https://www.urwerk.com/sites/default/files/press/docs/urwerk_amc_eng.pdf
by kolanos | 2025-04-30 17:59:36+00:00
While this is true, this changed around 2009. What happened? The Chinese government started heavily subsidizing domestic automakers [0]while continuing the joint venture requirements for foreign automakers, which started in 1979 [1]. These joint venture requirements have been a source of significant intellectual property theft [2]. All foreign automakers operating in China, not just U.S. ones, have either faced bankruptcy or a significant downturn in market share in China over the past 15 years.

[0]: https://www.carscoops.com/2024/07/china-gives-its-automakers... [1]: https://www.imd.org/ibyimd/innovation/chinas-automotive-odys... [2]: https://harris-sliwoski.com/chinalawblog/china-joint-venture...
by treis | 2025-04-30 17:59:49+00:00
Never is a long time. The more capital, skill, and energy intensive manufacturing becomes the more likely it will end up in the US. As an example, you don't want your 100 million dollar t-shirt making machine in Bangladesh. You want it in the US where you have 24/7 power, no risk of revolution, cheap capital, access to skilled labor and so on. You can take the $25 an hour hit to pay a US worker because it's practically nothing compared to the machine.
by kjs3 | 2025-04-30 18:00:14+00:00
What should we 'explain' about a false equivalence? Different processors for different markets? It was never much other than a mobile and embedded processor. Yeah, I suppose some folks thought is could be workstation PC, but how many RiscPC 700s were sold? By 1996, Sun had SPARC for, what, 10 years, and had just introduced UltraSPARC? StrongARM was never in the same performance ballpark on any dimension other than performance/watt.

I thought all the uncritical ARM fanbois had defected to RISC-V. Good to see some still carrying the torch.