MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by the_gipsy | 2025-04-03 10:59:42+00:00
I was thinking the same. IT is a huge business, the best kind of business right now, the pinnacle of human technology at this point in time. America is the world leader in development, and "exports" of IT. You can't really tariff software, as it's some kind of IP.

On the other hand, much of the "digital infrastructure" is free and open. Perhaps if rival powers put enough effort into sanctioning US effective sales in IT, however that may work, America could lose it all.
by terinjokes | 2025-04-03 11:00:13+00:00
Amazon is pretty good at handling VAT and all the import paperwork if it's sold as "Fulfilled by Amazon", regardless if it's the local Amazon site, or the US or Japan sites. I've ordered from all 3.

Even eBay has sorted this out now for orders from the US, with VAT and import fees baked into shipping costs. They give sellers the address for their warehouse in Chicago. eBay then forwards as the seller of record.
by matt-p | 2025-04-03 11:00:14+00:00
10% is the hard minimum, nobody has less than 10%, so ergo 10% is actually the most favourable rate.

Even the UK gets 10% which is truly mad given we have balanced trade and tarrifs (if anything the US tariffed the UK more than they did them).

^So essentially MAX(10%,(imports-exports)/imports)
by noduerme | 2025-04-03 11:00:19+00:00
When I was in my early 20s in Thailand I hated America under George W Bush. I had a conversation with a Tibetan guy who was on his way to sneak into China to help his village in Tibet which had been invaded back in the 50s, then colonized. He was going to help dig wells.

I said to him: "America is just as bad as China! We're becoming the same thing!" This was during the Iraq war.

He stopped me short. He said, "no you cannot compare them, at all, ever. You don't understand. I went to school at [ivy league college]. America is still a democracy. You have no idea how dangerous it is in China."

He was right. I didn't...I was a spoiled kid with good intentions, and no understanding of how much evil there was in the world. You don't have the reference point of experiencing pure evil either to say what you're saying.
by skissane | 2025-04-03 11:00:32+00:00
> One final note is that it was never part of the negotiations that I was expected to know or learn Arc, yet somehow in the onboarding process the HN Arc repo has found its way onto my machine, so it feels like the bait and switch is on…

I would love it if you could get the current HN code base into a state that it could be open sourced

I understand the desire to keep certain aspects “secret sauce” to prevent abuse, but surely that could be addressed with some kind of plugin mechanism and then just don’t open source those plugins
by tgv | 2025-04-03 11:00:35+00:00
> I really wish people would learn to keep emotion out of this topic. There is really one ultimate question here: "Is this the best use of our tax dollars?".

That's what you feel. You've already introduced emotion, by using the highly subjective word "best", and the loaded phrase "our tax dollars."

> Show me how much UBI saves police departments, social welfare services,

And yet, there is more to UBI than savings. It's also proposed as a means to give people more freedom. Your choice to look at savings betrays an emotional attachment to economic value over all else. But that's not the same for everyone.

That said, I do not believe UBI can ever live up to its goals, and can actually create a worse society, even after initial success. That alone makes it subject to speculation and emotion. The effect of UBI simply isn't predictable. Economists can't even predict a moderate crisis when it's about to unfold, let alone the long term consequences of a radical system change.

UBI is hence a political choice, and one that's tied to personal expectations and hope.
by 8jef | 2025-04-03 11:00:39+00:00
Tribalism really is the thing one has to individually overcome in order to gain some perspective, then maybe adhere to free thinking, before blooming as a free doer.

For me, it always was a voluntarily long and sinuous and silly and lonely path. It had to be.

An uncertain path as well, and one that was totally worth all the trouble it brought my way.

And as seducing as it is, the reality of crossing path with fellow free thinking/doing individuals always felt like falling for some other tribe.

Because in the end, that's what we do. While not following, we often become leaders of followers. How could it be otherwise is the only question left to answer.
by mandmandam | 2025-04-03 11:00:55+00:00
As if current economic structures don’t already entrench powerful players? Lol.

CBI, as outlined in the paper, is funded through monetary contraction; meaning it does not introduce traditional taxation distortions or increase government control over industry.

If anything, UBI/CBI reduces dependence on hierarchical employment structures by providing individuals with a baseline income. This allows more freedom to reject exploitative labor conditions.

Historical evidence suggests that when people receive unconditional income (eg, Alaska’s Permanent Fund Dividend), entrepreneurial activity and workforce participation generally increase.

> institutionalizes the UBI recipients and forever casts their offspring into those economic roles

Poverty traps generally result from means-tested welfare programs, not unconditional income.

Many existing welfare programs disincentivize work because earning more means losing benefits. CBI is not means-tested, so earning more does not reduce benefits. If anything, it provides a safety net that makes risk-taking easier.

Pilot programs in Finland, Canada, and the U.S. show that UBI does not significantly reduce employment. In Kenya, cash transfers increased education rates and business activity among recipients, breaking generational poverty cycles.

If you want to declare things like "every opinion but mine is short sighted", it's generally best practice to demonstrate that you understand the relevant arguments and data.
by anarticle | 2025-04-03 11:01:01+00:00
You have to accept that life is single threaded and you’re not always going to choose the most optimal path.

It’s easy to overthink, but without omniscient info, execute the plan you have.

Regret is tough because it piles up as you age. It’s easy to look back and think “dang, I did a lot of bad moves” while ignoring all the upsides and limited info you had at the time.

In many ways our easy access to info makes you think “just one more search” will make my decision 10x better when in reality it’s a huge super power you should use to drive execution, not the other way around. Think of what an advantage it is to have that much context on the scale of human existence. At least for me, this makes me more optimistic: I make less mistakes than ages before me because I’m relatively better informed. Note: this doesn’t mean the choices are always good, just that I understand them more completely.
by jmull | 2025-04-03 11:02:01+00:00
Of course there are people who know. But not the decision maker. I notice the use of collective pronouns, but there is only one person driving this. Everyone else is riding the tiger.

Not sure why, despite long and consistent experience, that people keep thinking he’s anyone but exactly who he appears to be. There’s no grand plan, calculated risk, or 4D-chess. The clown is just putting on a performance, based on his immediate feelings, and the immediate reaction of the crowd. There’s nothing else there.
by myky22 | 2025-04-03 11:02:29+00:00
I recently initiated myself into groovebox world with the Yamaha Seqtrak and just oadt week with the OP-XY.

Despiste YouTube critic about DIY Synth, I would give this project a Deep dive because I found myself looking at the NTS-1 / 3 this pasta week.

THX a lot
by matt-p | 2025-04-03 11:03:56+00:00
Of course, several of these islands with 10% tarrifs are ex-colonies of various EU countries. Of course any french manufacturer will send goods to the islands (0%) then from there to the US (10%) rather than pay 20%. It's obvious, then the US will notice and the island will go to 20% and so on. It's all completely hateful.
by watwut | 2025-04-03 11:04:31+00:00
Because they would prefer functional pro democratic world rather then constant struggle for domination with fascists from Russia and USA at the same time. EU people don't want to become poorer or suffer, not even to "own the USA".

Europeans you talk about see Russia as a threat. They are not fascists themselves, so Germany having to arm itself more because Russia just got new ally is not a good news.
by svilen_dobrev | 2025-04-03 11:05:04+00:00
> People need some slack

Definitely. If you tighten a bearing up-to 100% - to zero "play", it will stop rotating easy.. and start wearing. Which is.. in people-terms, called burnout.

Or as article below says, (too much) Efficiency is the Enemy..

https://fs.blog/slack/
by cies | 2025-04-03 11:05:08+00:00
I heard StarLink satellites eventually re-enter the atmosphere when they are not orbit-stable. Thus this technology is bad for life on earth when it is lauched into space and again when decommissioned.

Here an article on that:

https://www.cnet.com/home/internet/are-starlinks-satellites-...

Quite a crazy example of how costs are externalized, while profits are accumulated at the top.
by AnAfrican | 2025-04-03 11:06:02+00:00
Tariffs on services are much harder to enforce. There's point of entry so it's harder to check.

However, some countries have a withholding tax for services provided by foreign companies. The client is responsible for withholding the amount from any payment and paying the government. And banks play a role in the enforcement if needed.

So it can be done !
by ryzvonusef | 2025-04-03 11:06:34+00:00
I feel this same issue was behind Brexit.

Some people in the UK had the same 'oh no we are being outnumbers' sort of mentality, and without mandatory ID, they had no sane voice in their head to tell them 'don't be silly, we track people with cards'.

It's funny how much the existence of the card gives the masses a weird sense of peace.
by rob74 | 2025-04-03 11:07:15+00:00
If you look at the full list (available e.g. here https://www.newsweek.com/trump-reciprocal-tariff-chart-20545...), some countries (most prominently Russia) are not on it. Whether that means anything is debatable, but Mexico and Canada, who were explicitly "spared" from these tariffs (but have other tariffs "tailor-made" especially for them), are also not on the list.
by mbeex | 2025-04-03 11:07:25+00:00
Left/Right: First thing - add more axes. The most used standard example from politics or economics is liberalism/libertarism (not diving into the subtleties of definitions, their history, usage in different parts of the world, etc.). Look for more such axes, leave the political conceptual world behind.

After that, try Principal Component Analysis and look, what remains from these dimensions and the labels describing them. Think up names for the Eigenvectors / new axes. Investigate further. For example, look where people are concentrating in this high-dimensional space.
by oli243 | 2025-04-03 11:07:52+00:00
The type of people who survive long at that level have all been through this stuff thousands of times. On different sides of the story. As they climb the ladder, its all much smaller scale and private. So by the time the public starts noticing them, they already have been through this shit so many times that they have elaborate stories running in their head about "this is how you get things done/this is how you survive/those who cant are weak and will get crushed" etc etc. And most are driven by some Fear. Some are scared of failing (not succeeding), of loosing status, loosing control etc etc. So the process is driven by fear/guilt/shame/loss aversion. But what they actually say publicly is the total opposite. Therefore the cognitive dissonance. Most of them just burn out cause thats what that environment is optimized for. Its not an environment that allows sustainable leadership. You will see more and more burnout/dropouts as rate of change increases.
by potato3732842 | 2025-04-03 11:07:53+00:00
AI's ability to sift through text is almost to the point of being able to pick out these idiots so they can be ignored.

We're not too far off from a future where anyone can mouse over their username and a browser extension will tell them whether the username they are mousing over is consistent in their beliefs or if they're a flip flopping POS shill for whatever color party they're peddling the policy of.
by BoorishBears | 2025-04-03 11:07:57+00:00
Feels very rare to have this kind of rug pull at the library level though, it's telling the only library in that list is a Java framework (a fellow 'enterprisey' language).

I'm not saying maintainers are obligated to work forever and never ask for money, but it's happened a lot with .NET relative to how package-light development tends to be compared to say Javascript.

Automapper and Mediatr just got announced this week.

Fluent Assertions (literally just, a fluent API for asserts) recently went commercial.

It just feels like there's a certain lethargy in the .NET ecosystem that lends itself to these switch ups. As in, .NET leans slightly towards people banging on your door because their strictly 9-5 enterprise project needs to hit some deliverable and they see their issue as your problem... while JS leans slightly towards tinkerers tinkering with stuff who are often just as needy, but are also slightly more inclined to detour to work with you, and less pressured in general.
by LiKao | 2025-04-03 11:08:04+00:00
I'd say because psychologically (and also based on CS Theory) creating something and verifying draw from similar but also unrelated skills.

It's like NP. Solving an NP problem is very hard. Verifying that the solution is correct is very easy.

You might not know the statements required, but once the AI reminds you of which statements are available, you can check the logic using these statements makes sense.

Yes, there is a pitfall of being lazy and forgetting to verify the output. That's where a lot of vibe coding problems come from in my opinion.
by rbanffy | 2025-04-03 11:08:12+00:00
> I don't see how "fat acceptance" is going to help them

Did it occur to you to ask them what they want?

> Especially given that on some level they must know how others really feel about it.

It's not healthy to assign your self-value based on other people's opinions.

> It's interesting to see how these types of initiatives always produce the opposite of what they claim to stand for.

[Citation Needed]

On a more serious note, mental health is a very serious issue with women who feel they need to be thin to be fiscally healthy or attractive to others. Girls should never go through this.
by specproc | 2025-04-03 11:08:12+00:00
It's scale. North Korea is mainly abusing North Korean human rights, the US has brutalised many more countries, not incidentally including Korea.

Yes, I'm very familiar with the Russia situation, but are you trying to say all arrests in the US are completely justifiable? Despite their apparent arrest-happiness, they've a much smaller prison population than the US.

China, I know less about, but let's call the Uighurs and Tibet equivalent to say, Iraq and Libya, the US has done far more besides.

Having worked in the aid business, I'd say I'm sadly a little familiar with Sudan. For example I know they've been victims of US sanctions which have created and exacerbated the famines and economic misery paved the way for this war. The US even lobbed a cruise missile them once.
by defrost | 2025-04-03 11:08:13+00:00
Cheers for that.

I actually intended to share: https://www.esa.int/ESA_Multimedia/Videos/2025/04/Space_Debr...

which is the European Space Agency page link that wraps their 8 minute space debris documentary.

I didn't notice the URL is modified on click through to the generic ESA "space debris" catchall page :/

Youtube hosts the same content .. but lacks the gravitas of the ESA creator host page.

HN allows me to edit the submission title but not the submitted URL.
by basisword | 2025-04-03 11:08:26+00:00
>> hot takes "they have no idea what's coming" are I believe naive

While I agree they probably have some idea what will happen, don't forget that these same people added a journalist to a group chat where they planned a military attack. They fired a bunch of critical people and then didn't know how to get in touch with them to try and rehire them. Assuming they're total idiots isn't much of a stretch.
by throwaway2037 | 2025-04-03 11:08:29+00:00
That is correct. It was empircally proven here: https://www.ft.com/content/c4f9c7f6-0753-4458-840e-bcde1b74a...

To quote Alex Scaggs of FT:

Take the US’s goods trade deficit with any particular country, and divide it by the total amount of goods imported from that country. Cut that percentage in half, and there’s the US’s “reciprocal” tariff rate.

All countries tested against this theory are correct within 1-2 percent.
by tmellon2 | 2025-04-03 11:08:38+00:00
The De Minimis loophole is highly significant with FOUR Million packages per day (What ???). The clause to address this loophole needs to be stated more accurately - It should be clearly defined to be higher or lower of 30 % of the value of shipment under $800 OR $25 per shipment and not either. If either then the De Minimis loophole will be continue to be used at $25 per shipment. Source : https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-pr...
by codebra | 2025-04-03 11:08:52+00:00
“still far from being able to do the latter” These models have been in wide use for under three years. AI IDEs barely a year. Gemini 2.5 Pro is shockingly good at architecture if you make it into a conversation rather than expecting a one-shot exercise. I share your native skepticism, but the pace of improvement has taken me aback and made me reluctant to stake much on what LLMs can’t do. Give it 6 months.
by Joker_vD | 2025-04-03 11:09:00+00:00
But the sl is not invoked by you. It is invoked by some npm module (a 5-times-removed dependency from any side) which hopes that either there is "sl" in the $PATH and it is the Sapling CLI, or there is no "sl" in the $PATH. This module can't use absolute paths because it does not know how the end user's system looks.
by throw0101b | 2025-04-03 11:09:16+00:00
In Luke Martinelli published a paper about a (U)BI trilemma:

> As basic income (BI) has ascended the policy agenda, so proposals have come under increasing scrutiny for their affordability and adequacy for meeting need. One common objection to BI has been that it is impossible to design a scheme that simultaneously conforms to these two criteria. In this article, I develop a conceptual framework for analysing the trade-offs that afflict BI policy design. I suggest that while the idea of a policy dilemma between affordability and adequacy does indeed afflict 'full' BI schemes, it is possible to design an affordable and adequate 'partial' BI scheme. However, this comes at the cost of (at least partly) forfeiting some key advantages that motivate interest in BI in the first place, since these only arise as a consequence of the elimination of means testing and related conditionality from the welfare system. Thus, BI proponents face a three-way trade-off in policy design between affordability, adequacy, and securing the full advantages of BI as a radical simplification of existing welfare policy. The trilemma is illustrated with reference to original microsimulation evidence for the UK, which demonstrates that at most two of the three criteria can be achieved in a single scheme.

* https://researchportal.bath.ac.uk/en/publications/a-basic-in...

* PDF: https://purehost.bath.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/196619819/...
by giantg2 | 2025-04-03 11:09:20+00:00
That's true for domestic public debt. But in the scenario given by the parent where the dollar falls out of favor, it is assumed that we could be issuing public foreign debt in foreign currency. Even if it was still domestic currency, the FX rate would matter to the foreign investors. Interest rates matter. So does inflation. Money supply is less relevant than the actual inflation it generates. Most debt instruments rely on the interest rates that fluctuate based on monetary policy to combat inflation. Eg your interest on debt will increase as your inflation rate does. Even the world bank will jack up your interest if your currency has issues, such as rampant inflation.
by rayiner | 2025-04-03 11:09:55+00:00
We voted to watch globalism go up in flames! Many of us thought Obama would do it but he turned out to be the consummate globalist.

Israel/Palestine is a unique situation, I’ll give you that. But I don’t think we must inexorably be “Team America: World Police.” I think our commitment to propping up the so-called “rules based international order” really is in service of free trade.
by ozmodiar | 2025-04-03 11:10:01+00:00
I hate this mindset that Americans are lazy, they are usually some of the hardest working people in the globe. The wealthy are greedy, and wealth and power continue to concentrate at the top while infrastructure, working conditions and public services crumble. I don't fault anyone for not wanting to contribute to that, quite the opposite. I don't see how the jobs you mentioned are going to start commanding better wages when everyone has to rush to do them because there are no more options.
by basisword | 2025-04-03 11:10:52+00:00
>> If that is the case in the US, I fully expect total chaos and mayhem when all the Temu / AliExpress/ Wish customers start receiving extra bills for their orders.

All three of those stores are very popular in my part of Europe. So there must be some workaround. Based on your edit I would guess that they would import a bunch of orders in one shipment to make the 'per shipment' charge small per item/order.
by codedokode | 2025-04-03 11:10:54+00:00
It seems that other currencies have their own peculiarities; for example, when Russia sold oil to India for Indian rupees (to show that they don't want dirty American currency), they found out that you cannot transfer them outside of India or convert; you need to spend them locally.

I wonder can China use this to make Yuan a new world currency (we all buy Chinese things anyway) or they cannot do it or doing this is not beneficial to them?
by Tuna-Fish | 2025-04-03 11:11:21+00:00
No-one will move any manufacturing because people don't expect this to last long enough for it to make sense.

The congress can remove Trump's authority to determine tariffs at any point by declaring the crisis to be over. The Republicans have a knife-edge margin in the house and the most consistent two rules in American elections are that the party with the president loses some support in the midterms and that bad economic times means that the opposition party gains.

It would take years to move production, and next congress is 20 months away. There is no world in which this ends up good for the USA. Even if you believe that this is a situation where short-term pain leads to long-term gain, there is no way this will continue long enough for that gain to ever materialize.
by InDubioProRubio | 2025-04-03 11:11:28+00:00
The greatest one is the meta-crisis of mans permanent disability to handle his technological archievments and come to reasonable terms with the limitations imposed by what is essence a mental wheel chair.

Instead we have either the total idealisation, of a utopist - all will be good, all obstacles can be overcome, just more of the same approaches, disasters be damned. The education will fix it. 6 billion, in remedial school, forever.

The other is basically naturalism, snuggling to your emotions is the only thing left, fall back to natural behaviour, no matter how disastrous the consequences and disjunct the circumstances. Ignore all those societies who walked down that road into disaster.

There is almost nobody out in the open in the middle ground. Cataloguing the disabilities, the side-effects and what we still can and cant do, planning moderate dreams and longterm projects that are realistic, even with the roof of the planet coming down.