MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by muzani | 2025-04-09 19:52:18+00:00
A lot of this stuff is on a YouTube education level, not even a degree. I would be shocked if the US does not have a bunch of economic advisors who tell them what problems there are and what should be done. They've probably mapped out all the next steps. Most US presidents are Harvard-level smart, but the White House has been around long enough to find a way to deliver reports to the simpler ones.

There's a lot of obvious big problems - confidence in the USD, debt rising faster than GDP can catch up, military overextension, China's rise outpacing US, inequality, inaccessible education and health care, opioid crisis, etc.

Trump has a good eye for identifying this - that's why he won the election despite all his weaknesses. It's clear he knows some of this but doesn't understand it - his comments on a BRICS currency, for example. Yes, a "BRICS currency" would threaten Pax Americana but it's on literally nobody's mind.

I feel like, if anything, he's an overplanner. A smarter leader would think, these moves will have unplanned side effects. Trump makes a lot of roundabout moves like DOGE. These moves have a target, but he hasn't thought about the side effects. And when a crisis like COVID hits, it disrupts the complex plans, which is why he reacts so poorly to them.
by cosmicgadget | 2025-04-09 19:52:54+00:00
Eliminating entitlements and deregulating (particularly consumer protection) is not a great way to narrow the wealth gap. Nor is semi-firing the federal workforce and advocating for onshoring of unskilled jobs. Nor is demanding interest rate cuts. Nor is treating the stock market like a yo-yo. Nor is ignoring people without medical insurance. Nor is attempting to eliminate social security.

This could absolutely be all about asserting dominance over China. It could be a great way to deter or blunt the threat of war. It might backfire horribly. We shall see.

He is stupid. You just have to listen to him speak to understand that. But he doesn't invent policy, he has people for that.
by ggreer | 2025-04-09 19:53:06+00:00
The Washington Post has the text of the memo.[1] Here are the parts that tell the DOJ to stop prosecuting certain crimes:

> Prosecutors should not charge regulatory violations in cases involving digital assets— including but not limited to unlicensed money transmitting under 18 U.S.C. § 1960(b)(1)(A) and (B), violations of the Bank Secrecy Act, unregistered securities offering violations, unregistered broker-dealer violations, and other violations of registration requirements under the Commodity Exchange Act-unless there is evidence that the defendant knew of the licensing or registration requirement at issue and violated such a requirement willfully. This priority is not required by law, but is being imposed as a matter of discretion, in recognition of the Justice Department’s priorities and the fact that the Biden Administration created a particularly uncertain regulatory environment around digital assets.

> Prosecutors should not charge violations of the Securities Act of 1933, the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Commodity Exchange Act, or the regulations promulgated pursuant to these Acts, in cases where (a) the charge would require the Justice Department to litigate whether a digital asset is a “security” or “commodity,” and (b) there is an adequate alternative criminal charge available, such as mail or wire fraud.

The memo redirects priorities to, "...embezzlement and misappropriation of customers’ funds on exchanges, digital asset investment scams, fake digital asset development projects such as rug pulls, hacking of exchanges and decentralized autonomous organizations resulting in the theft of funds, and exploiting vulnerabilities in smart contracts." It also prioritizes prosecution of people and organizations who use cryptocurrency to further terrorism, human trafficking, narcotics, organized crime, and hacking. Lastly, it disbands the National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team and folds them back into Computer Crime and Intellectual Property, which is how the DOJ was organized in 2021.

The only prosecution I can think of that wouldn't happen under these new rules is that of Roman Storm, who is facing up to 45 years in prison for developing Tornado Cash, an open source decentralized cryptocurrency tumbler. The DOJ is not claiming that Storm engaged in money laundering or that he ran a service that allowed people to do so. He is being prosecuted because other people used the software to commit crimes. This is an obvious free speech issue, which is why the EFF filed an amicus brief in support of Storm.[2]

1. https://archive.is/Td0Fn

2. https://www.yahoo.com/news/digital-rights-group-eff-calls-05...
by Boogie_Man | 2025-04-09 19:53:49+00:00
Far be it from me to criticize Cambridge University, but it's an absurd way to test "susceptibility to fake news". They present a series of headlines independent of any context and ask if they're legitimate or not. This completely eliminates the actual metric for susceptibility to fake news, which is the inclination and ability to conduct research from reputable sources. This test is measuring if people's existing biases align with reality, and, to some extent, their ability to guess. Garbage.
by Uehreka | 2025-04-09 19:54:54+00:00
Any assessment of Trump’s actions that implies that he personally has a cogent strategy immediately loses credibility in my eyes. If you want to say the people around him think or feel a certain way and are influencing him based on that, fine. But he’s clearly just doing things that hit some nexus of “people around me say this will work” and “I personally, on a vibes basis, think this will be fun.”
by MarcelOlsz | 2025-04-09 19:55:30+00:00
During COVID, my friends and I were temporarily retired. Lamenting every moment since having to come out of retirement. We were all laid off and received about $2k/mo for awhile and what happened was we ended up hanging out every since day working on whatever we were working on, and feelings of inadequacy faded into the background. It was a micro golden age for us and that period of time has cemented UBI for us. It was a small amount of money and we lived with our parents but we were never more productive and happy.

Hopefully before I die I can witness a strong implementation of UBI. It would directly reflect in culture in terms of music and the arts. Little funding for the arts currently combined with massive rent nearly everywhere leaves little room for cultural phenomenon that was possible in places like the lower east side bowery for example. Or arts funding in the USSR and other soviet bloc countries.

Time is more valuable than anything else.
by YuxiLiuWired | 2025-04-09 19:55:35+00:00
First, apologies for writing "symbolic-logical AI". It should have been "symbolic-logical AGI".

Second, I agree that the failure of the symbolic-logical approach to AGI is not justified in-text. I believe that it will only be a small component to the first AGI system, as an API for the AGI to use some tools like a calculator, a proof verifier, etc. A way to invoke the "crystalized intelligence" as it is. Nevertheless, since it is not justified in-text, and a justification would probably as a short essay, and is not necessary for the essay itself, it has been removed.
by damirbecirovic | 2025-04-09 19:55:39+00:00
Trump is willing to to make aggressive pushes to maximize American interests. His end state is not tariffs - they are his negotiating stick. His end state is deals including w/ individual countries and w/ larger governing bodies like the EU.

What is unclear, which I called out, is how China reacts to this negotiating posture. They are a nation that takes pride in strength. However, they will also be disproportionately hurt by a large tariff. Trump also takes pride in strength. It remains very unclear who will back down first. What is certain is that the economies of the two countries are deeply intertwined.
by herol3oy | 2025-04-09 19:55:44+00:00
Hi, I created the app. I appreciate all of your comments. I know some may find the result of a book not concise or accurate. One issue was that I couldn't afford the price of a better LM service. At first, I tried a free tier of Gemini, but its results were disappointing. Later, I switched to DeepSeek and got better results.
by plandis | 2025-04-09 19:55:49+00:00
Their comparison is not clear at all what you’re getting out of a rather large subscription price, IMO.

> Substantially more usage to work with Claude

Compared to pro or free what does this mean? More requests / time? More tokens / time? Something else?

> Scale usage based on specific needs

Are there limits with pro that this is removing or increasing? What kinds of specific needs?

> Higher output limits for better and richer responses and Artifacts

So Claude will do more thinking before responding compared to pro? Is that due to a new variant of 3.7 model?

> Be among the first to try the most advanced Claude capabilities

Okay so you’ll get access before people who pay less but not before well known tech people who get early access for testing, I’m assuming?

> Priority access during high traffic periods

If you’re paying for pro and they throttle you wtf are you paying them for? This seems like an admission they suck at capacity planning based on their current and predicted user base?
by kkfx | 2025-04-09 19:55:56+00:00
IMVHO as an European, with p.v. and storage:

- I do want DC-direct car charging, not double conversion, something who exists in EU CCS-combo as a standard but not a single vendor implement it...

- I do want a LOCAL FIRST (and only eventually) system, some vendors offer that, I do not know if Tesla offer that but I doubt a bit

- I do want modular batteries because anyone have different storage needs

- a classic string inverter OR microinverter who do not waste p.v. power because modules output more than they can convert for AC usage, but DC direct for charging all batteries AND possibly for heat pumps compressors as well

Why I write this here? Well because Telsa have a single peculiarity "being ahead of the others" and actually for p.v. they are not ahead of anyone. My small system is built on a Victron master inverter (relatively FLOSS with a custom Debian named VenusOS, well integrated in Home Assistant), on BYD moderately modular batteries and Fronius p.v. inverters, good for the p.v. parts but very bad in software terms. It's still more open than Tesla and perform better than PowerWall+Solar roof in theory.

Tesla cars still have the best software even if way too much service-oriented, but beside that they have shown very little innovation and China taking on quickly, also some choices like do not have V2L I can use to power my main inverter and so a bit usable to power the home with extra storage of the car battery penalize Tesla as well.

Long story short in the past they was good. But tech evolve and they seems not much interested in positive evolution. I'm not interested in Cybertruck or in small usual cabin controls changes like directions on the steering wheel as buttons, I do care about substantial evolution.

If Tesla offer something like:

- a hybrid p.v. inverter with 400V DC + data channel and car charging home station

- modular storage from 5 to 50 to 100 kWh

- home heat pumps DC direct for sanitary water, home heating/cooling

I buy it, no question. If not they haven't nothing I can buy from different vendors, cheaper and even less closed.
by fsflover | 2025-04-09 19:56:33+00:00
> I really just want a Linux that optimizes for a phone-factor touchscreen

I'm writing this from a GNU/Linux phone, Librem 5, which offers the full freedom of a desktop (including a full desktop mode when you connect it to a keyboard and screen). My daily driver.

> No cell radio.

Librem 5 has a hardware kill switch for that.
by 9rx | 2025-04-09 19:56:36+00:00
The US has maintained full employment for quite a long time now. You can bring the factories to the US. You can likely even automate a lot of the work. But not all the work – in a place where everyone who wants a job already has one.

So, the question really is: What are Americans willing to give up? Something has to go if workers are reallocated away from whatever they are doing now into these factories.
by philjohn | 2025-04-09 19:56:49+00:00
Except since no parliament can bind a future parliament it won't be worth the paper it's written on.

The loudest voices calling for a scrap are exactly the people you DON'T want deciding what human rights you'll be "allowed".

And incitement to violence is, and always should be, unprotected speech - your silly "two tier kier" is informing me greatly that you're on the "they locked them up for hurty words!" bandwagon.
by sitkack | 2025-04-09 19:56:54+00:00
You ultimately own all of your dependencies, even if you never look at them. Back in the 90s and early 2000s, when starting a new project I'd do a couple things.

1) look for all the problems we were going to need to solve and look for 3rd party libs that solve those problems

2) I would do a set of PoC using just that 3rd party library and see what the dev experience as like. I build it from source, read the code, look at the code hygiene, etc.

3) Everything would get checked in as source into our repo, a "full build" would build the 3rd party libraries, you would get source level debugging into everything. You could make invasive changes into libs as part of development, etc.

Every dependency had to earn its place, you didn't just pull in a bunch of things because you needed one function.

When you need this capability is at the exact wrong time for your build and dev process to be able to take on this work. People are panicking, shits broken, no one knows what is going on. If you have everything lined up, you can still do solid engineering using the scientific method, fix your problem and move on.
by renewiltord | 2025-04-09 19:57:38+00:00
BART takes 2x the time station to station. Try it out right now.

The time is 1256 as of the time of this comment.

SFO International to Montgomery St. Station: Earliest arrival is 1346

Driving: Earliest arrival is 1323

My experience is that the car takes ~6 min to arrive to pick you up for Uber. You can call it earlier, but assuming you call it when you arrive and then wait that's 1322. You lose 23 minutes to BART.

And that's BART station to BART station. Change it slightly, like to my home near Caltrain and it's pointless. The cost in time is way more than $25.
by unconed | 2025-04-09 19:57:43+00:00
(not OP)

After reading the post, and re-reading the opening, it almost seems they are about two different posts. e.g. "Jot down a few notes" vs actually going meta with yourself in the middle about how the post isn't even halfway. That doesn't really make a lot of sense.

That you then expect the reader to want to read all this _after_ already having watched the video seems a bit gratuitous? Perhaps it would've been better built as something interactive or graphical so you wouldn't need to explain as much of the mechanics.

I did find it interesting, but had to lol at `{fn, args}`: I've spent the last few years working on Live, a not-React run-time, which has exactly that type for its deferred calls. It was inspired by the same idea of treating JSX tags as just `fn(...args)` in drag.

I've always been curious to hear your opinion on Use.GPU / Live. There is a keynote video linked here https://usegpu.live/ if you're interested.
by kjkjadksj | 2025-04-09 19:57:47+00:00
Maybe it is more meaningful for people to be creative than it is to staff yet another sheetz on the side of the road because truckers tend to piss and need smokes at that intersection. But who knows maybe you are right and it is better we take on jobs at a local gas station if we have such a wonderful opportunity like that in front of us. So much innovation is produced as we know from people who have the opportunity to work 60 hour weeks on minimum wages between two jobs that won't schedule them full time and incur any potential added worker benefits from having a full time vs part time laborer. You are right.
by jdc0589 | 2025-04-09 19:58:10+00:00
im not an economist, I have no valid opinion on if this is right or not.

BUT, I actually started looking at moving more of the stable bond/treasury holding bit of my portfolio to foreign funds recently (in addition to moving more of the stock/mutual fund balance to international stuff).

If I'm thinking about that as an individual private citizen of the US, I can't imagine what actual professionals are thinking about.
by BXLE_1-1-BitIs1 | 2025-04-09 19:58:28+00:00
z boxes use a flavor of VM to run all the LPARS and allocate memory and devices. z/OS, z/VM and Linux all run as VMs.

Then there's CMS which runs under VM; theoretically it could run as an LPAR, but I've not seen that as running DIAGNOSE (VM system call) to the LPAR hypervisor could be disruptive. It would be interesting to drop DIAGNOSE into a z/OS environment, but I suspect it would be intercepted.

I much prefer z/VM to z/OS as a development environment. At one shop, I developed products under VM for deployment under both VM and MVS.

Many early S/360 installations ran 7070 and, I guess, 1401 emulators.

Eventually with VM, the SIE (Start Interpretive Execution) instruction appeared. A form is running LPARs.
by rayiner | 2025-04-09 19:58:35+00:00
Because no economic theory proposes that the efficient outcome is one where the US retains its sovereignty and independence. Nations seek to create bubbles of local maximums, not in maximizing the economic efficiency of the world as a whole. A world where american kids have to learn chinese and fight to immigrate to China may well be an economically efficient outcome from the point of view of the markets. But American policy should fight very hard against that outcome.
by jauntywundrkind | 2025-04-09 19:59:04+00:00
Incredible write up. I don't understand a lot of it, but:

> "Hedge funds have trillions tied up in this kind of strategy,” he said. "As things spiral, they’re being forced to sell anything they can — even good assets — just to stay afloat . . . if the Federal Reserve doesn't step in soon, this could turn into a full-blown crisis. It’s that serious."

> One hedge fund manager said: "Those huge hedge funds with trillions of dollars of Treasuries relative value trades will blow up today if the Fed doesn’t bail them out."

https://archive.ph/ArGLp
by thomassmith65 | 2025-04-09 19:59:24+00:00
Turned out to be four months, not one

Leadership at this crop of tech companies is more like followership. Whether it's 'no politics', or sudden layoffs, or 'founder mode', or 'work from home'... one CEO has an idea and three dozen other CEOs unthinkingly adopt it. Several comments in this thread have used Anthropic's lower pricing as a criticism, but it's probably moot: a month from now Anthropic will release its own $200 model.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42333969
by markus_zhang | 2025-04-09 19:59:29+00:00
> What will be America’s competitive edge in that scenario?

I'm sure that the US still has many edges over China in high-end technology. I remember I read a research article back in 2012/2013 which listed all fields that China were lagging behind, including pharma, computer chips and some other stuffs. It's a fairly long list. I'm sure China managed to catch up in some of the fields but I doubt all of them.
by ben_w | 2025-04-09 19:59:30+00:00
> What good did it do for us? At the time everyone was running around rubbishing and laughing at the "outrageous" claims of 10% GDP loss, and where are we now?

Impossible to say, as it was swamped by the pandemic. My guess as to the fatalities due to Brexit is also untestable as a result.
by magicloop | 2025-04-09 19:59:34+00:00
I'd like to expand out why I hold this belief.

The political cohort behind the president is roughly in two halves. The first half are the original MAGA crowd (looking out for the working class, pro-liberty, anti-woke, etc.). The second half are the billionaire crowd.

The second group are active on pod casts, on Twitter/X, and are partly represented in government (directly or as advisors). An easy way to follow up on these people is to watch the All In Podcast or their related social media connections.

What these folks have said for a long time is that if USA stay on the same path, the USA goes broke after 10 years. So if you have long term investment in the USA, you lose your fortune in 10+ years.

This is the key motivation for their involvement in the current executive branch of government. This is why the DOGE program is so well supported by them.

If you lose the battle to reduce the 10-year Treasury yield, you lose the billionaires because they stand to make meaningful losses on a 10 year horizon.

I recognize the plight of the common citizen here; they are the plurality. But the big political levers come from these billionaires (absent a grass roots supported leader in the wings).
by SpicyLemonZest | 2025-04-09 19:59:46+00:00
It's easy for us on the Internet to talk about how untrustworthy the US is and how little a negotiation means. It's a lot harder for trade authorities in a country to tell all their US exporters "hey, the Americans are being obnoxious, so your business is probably going to fail and we're not gonna do much about it". If you asked me to negotiate with the US in this situation, I absolutely would refuse, but that doesn't seem to be what's happening in practice.
by m0llusk | 2025-04-09 19:59:54+00:00
That is easily disproved. A good counterexample is in the book Copy This by Paul Orfalea. He had trouble in school and couldn't hold a job so he started a copy place. This became Kinko's after his nickname and grew large in part because of his systematic way of having employees and customers all treated with respect. When he got tired of the business he sold it to FedEx and shared he five billion with his family.

We need to do something about out of control inequality, such as in the past when we had strong regulations on industry, high taxes on the rich, and pervasive union membership, but lying about what is going on helps no one.
by outer_web | 2025-04-09 20:00:05+00:00
Agreed however this court has shown it can dance between originalism, textualism, and tossing both of those to the wind (Trump v Anderson) when it aligns with policy goals.

Also it probably wouldn't even fly with anyone since so many other emergency powers are generally accepted as necessary (i.e. defense). The immunity decision is full of rhetoric about the legislature being too slow for crises.

Their best bet is to invent a time machine, go back to Obama, have Obama pass emergency tariffs, then lobby to repeal that act.
by aftbit | 2025-04-09 20:00:15+00:00
Biden should have simply refused to run again in 2024. There was already signalling to this effect in 2019, though it was never explicitly promised.[1][2] If he had just kept to that, there would have been plenty of time to run a primary and an actually strong candidate could have been selected.

1: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/12/joe-biden-one-te...

2: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2024/06/biden-president-...
by threeducks | 2025-04-09 20:00:17+00:00
Amazon Bedrock has even worse uptime than Anthropic (see "Uptime" column).

https://openrouter.ai/anthropic/claude-3.7-sonnet:thinking/p...

But I agree with the general point that using the API (with different providers) will have better uptime and that it will almost certainly be cheaper.
by iteratethis | 2025-04-09 20:00:33+00:00
I think there's ways for teachers to embrace AI in teaching.

Let AI generate a short novel. The student is tasked to read it and criticize what's wrong with it. This requires focus and advanced reading comprehension.

Show 4 AI-generated code solutions. Let the student explain which one is best and why.

Show 10 AI-generated images and let art students analyze flaws.

And so on.