MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by Lendal | 2025-04-30 14:15:51+00:00
Yes. And even if we could wave a magical wand and materialize a whole new city (or region) with thousands of new factories and also a workforce complete with training, and housing for them, and new universities to continue the training for them and their children, and new power plants to supply the power and water needs of this new region as well as a transportation infrastructure to support all this new economic activity. New airports, new rail networks, and new shipping ports. Even if all that could happen instantaneously, the result of all these new Made-in-USA goods would still be astronomically higher prices for all Americans. The US is one of the most expensive places to live in the world, and all these factories have to pay those high prices both for their construction and for their ongoing operations. (I'm assuming here the magical wand only speeds time. It doesn't produce investment capital out of thin air.) So protective tariffs would need to continue on indefinitely so all these people could keep their very expensive jobs and all Americans would be paying the bill for it, forever.
by ceejayoz | 2025-04-30 14:16:15+00:00
> 0% federal rate, because the Constitution does not allow for a federal sales tax.

https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/sales_tax

"The federal government could theoretically levy a nationwide federal sales tax under Article I Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution, but Congress has declined to do so."

(And I'm advocating for a higher state/Federal income tax rate so we don't need sales tax rates to make up the budget gaps we fill with sales taxes today.)

> To put it in terms a programmer would understand: each month, my entire department spent less time on sales tax compliance than the average Typescript programmer spends on compiling.

Sure. Because you outsourced that work to a third-party. Who doesn't work for free. You pass that cost to your customers, yes?
by mindslight | 2025-04-30 14:16:34+00:00
Aliexpress is already displaying tariff-inclusive prices.

A curious dynamic: A seller importing a container of cargo to Amazon (or other US warehouse) has to pay the tariffs up front while trusting that dear leader won't lower the tariff amount before they can sell them. A seller that ships directly from China has a committed purchase with cash in hand by the time the specific tariff needs to be paid. I can see this leading to drastically less selection from US warehouses of long tail items that would otherwise sit around.

Speculation: I wouldn't be surprised if Aliexpress (/Choice) charges sellers a fixed fee based on the current tariff rates, but still covers whatever the tariff ends up being when the item arrives at the port, to make it really straightforward for sellers. The kind of eat-it investment you get in a society working to build up institutions rather than tear them down.
by Sam713 | 2025-04-30 14:16:41+00:00
Same thing happened in south Texas last year. Years of deferred maintenance on transmission lines resulted in almost two weeks of power outages from two major storms, that could have largely been avoided. The utility provider is mostly allowed to regulate itself (while donating to the campaigns of the dominant political party), and allowed to keep excess profits/return dividends to shareholders, rather than re-invest in infrastructure. There is very little regulatory structure or checks in place to ensure the grid is being maintained. And there have essentially been no consequences, other than an apology and excuses, with an attempt to raise delivery rates even higher. As a home owner, its on me to bear the additional cost of a backup generator, because I can’t rely on the state to regulate the utility to provide the service I’m forced to pay them for.
by PicassoCTs | 2025-04-30 14:16:59+00:00
No, its because they dislike a elite that ignores them- a decade of deaths of missery while the rulers declared proudly that the line goes up and thus all is good. https://shadac-pdf-files.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s3fs-pub...

A elite that fights social welfare as socialism, while at the same time removing the middle class and handing the lower classes infinite competition. Nobody cares about who the elite pretends to care for, nobody cares about corruption, they want to see that house burn down, like theirs was torched. The sounds of humanism the enemy makes, are irrelevant, as the sound of compassion made while doing nothing.
by Jcampuzano2 | 2025-04-30 14:17:11+00:00
To be honest it seems all kinda by design. It seems Intentional to cause this much disruption that will primarily affect the lower and middle classes portfolios that can't withstand as long in long term economic droughts.

It also leaves more with uncertainty so they get stuck at their current jobs for longer rather than leaving, giving more control back to employers.

Everything implemented seems to be intentionally pushing even more economic inequality and divide between the top and the bottom, and to push the diminishing middle class even lower down on the totem pole.
by perihelions | 2025-04-30 14:17:55+00:00
But, China itself is automating away most of those jobs. It's a stark difference between Chinese and Western—just look at the phraseology we're using, without thinking about it: "out of jobs"; in China's zeitgeist they wouldn't say they lost jobs to technology, they say they "saved 80 percent of manpower" [0].

[0] https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202312/1304443.shtml ("China’s first self-built fully automated dock enters operation in Qingdao, Shandong Province" (2023))
by ceejayoz | 2025-04-30 14:18:11+00:00
> I mean, you could already 'donate' directly to the president, and even get a tax writeoff for it.

What? Campaign donations are not tax exempt.

> Hunter Biden made multi-million dollar deals, and got paid 50k a month for a being on various boards... despite being a known drugie.

Musk is also a "known druggie"; his ketamine habit is self-admitted, and he smoked pot on Rogan. (Briefly risking his contracts, even!)

> the "Top 200 holders" get a dinner with the president. Not saying it's better or worse, just saying it's pretty much the same thing that every president has had access to.

Not in the slightest. There are legal limits on how much money you can give the President.
by Aurornis | 2025-04-30 14:18:14+00:00
Depends on the commodity and any reciprocal (actually reciprocal) tariffs that were imposed on US products.

Soybean farmers are hit hard because a lot of their crops went to China. Meanwhile some other exports are basically unaffected right now.

Other countries have generally not been so haphazard in application of tariffs. They don’t want to actively harm their citizens and they try to plan tariffs with more precision and consideration.
by XorNot | 2025-04-30 14:18:18+00:00
It takes exactly 1 "bare shelves" post on social media to kick off panic buying which cascades.

In fact it doesn't take much of a change in regular buying habits to cause that it it's all aligned in the same direction.

i.e. a chunk of the toilet paper "shortage" can just be every customer suddenly buying one more pack that day "just to be on the safe side". Your local supermarket isn't expecting that, so the shelves still clear out that day - then the last person snaps a pic for social media....
by sorcerer-mar | 2025-04-30 14:18:50+00:00
> Of course. I don't think many saw coming that we wouldn't be on friendly trade terms with Mexico and Canada.

My point is that near-shoring is the obvious thing to do under the rationale you're talking about, but actually wouldn't show up in that chart.

Here's a comparison of the US vs Europe (which experienced similar China shocks):

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/econographics/the-ira-...
by raxxorraxor | 2025-04-30 14:18:52+00:00
That is hillarious. I don't share the sentiment of this being a catastrophe though. That is hillarious as well. Perhaps teach a more healthy relationship to AIs and perhaps teach to not delegate thinking to anyone or anything. Sure, some reddit users might be endangered here.

GTP-4o in this version became the embodiment of corporate enshitification. Being safe and not skipping on empty praises are certainly part of that.

Some questioned if AI can really do art. But it became art itself, like some zen cookie rising to godhood.
Show HN: Roots – A Minimal Habit Tracker That Grows a Garden
by Ic3creaM | 2025-04-30 14:19:02+00:00
Hey HN

I know — no one’s really asking for yet another habit tracker But I built Roots as a minimalist side project to learn full-stack web dev and improve my product/UX skills.

It’s inspired by the Streaks app — but instead of a grid of icons, your habits grow into a garden Complete rituals → grow a tree. Miss days → your forest fades.

What it includes:

Daily ritual tracking Visual streak system (6 tree stages) A friend feature (you can view their garden too) Clean UI, no ads, no upsells — just free I’m planning to build a mobile + Apple Watch version soon, with more streak-oriented mechanics, faster habit check-ins, and deeper personalization. Would love feedback before I go deeper into that phase.

Here’s the live version: https://www.rootsgarden.space
by globular-toast | 2025-04-30 14:19:09+00:00
> - If he bus doesn't show up, she can call and ask us to come drive her to school

When I went to school the bus turned up every single day without fail. We've learnt to accept less because you can just call a taxi.

> - If she wants to go somewhere after school, she can call us and let us know she won't be home at her normal time

We had public payphones that we could use. We've learnt to accept less because everyone has a mobile phone.

> - If she forgot something at home, she can call and ask us to bring it

I remembered to bring what I needed every day or I suffered the consequences. I soon learnt. We've become complacent because you can just get it delivered using your phone.

All in all I don't really see how it's a positive, but it certainly seems to have considerable negatives.
by weberer | 2025-04-30 14:19:50+00:00
He is correct too. Compare tax rates in the European continent to the USA. US taxes are much lower. Some states, like New Hampshire, have 0 sales tax. So if you buy something that costs a dollar, you actually pay a dollar. Not 1.06 like in Pennnsylvania, or a whopping 1.27 like in Hungary.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1f/EU_VAT_T...

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8b/Sales_ta...
by no_wizard | 2025-04-30 14:19:50+00:00
>I see the US population as fully and multi-generationally accustomed to the luxury of comfortable living with a decent safety net.

What gives you this idea, at all?

Our safety net is non existent in this country. The fact is most people in the US feel squeezed, thats why Trump was able to win with his America First attitude to begin with.
by dragontamer | 2025-04-30 14:20:11+00:00
> For the third time

Read the original post. F150. Not a Ranger. Not a Colorado. I'm not even sure why you're bringing the other ones up.

It's not that hard to tell the difference between a Ranger and F150. And if you need me to spell it out for you, then that's probably something YOU need to figure out on your own.
by libertine | 2025-04-30 14:20:51+00:00
> The punished group may often have no direct association with the perpetrator other than living in the same area and can not be assumed to exercise control over the perpetrator's actions.

Here, the point that's raised is: isn't there any collective responsibility for a group of people that support and re-elect a political leader with 87% of votes, who was, and promised to continue engaging in a war of genocide?

Notice that I'm being cynical here, referencing the 87% vote count. While it might be a theatrical display, the regime likes to preach about the legitimacy of Democracy (especially how Ukraine is conducting its democracy), and Russians accepted these results - so even if it's not actually 87%, it's still high.

Also, let's not forget that a lot of the invading force is composed of individuals with entrepreneurial ambitions; they're contractors, not conscripts, meaning people who sign up to get well paid to go to Ukraine and kill as many Ukrainians as possible, just because they're Ukrainians. The latest estimates of +950.000 Russian casualties point that it's not just a few people willing to do this, but a lot.

So the question that I want to ask you is, at what point does collective responsibility apply?

Two points to clarify:

- This is an honest question, because I don't know the answer to it, but I just don't think that "there should never be collective responsibility" is a good answer.

- Collective responsibility =/= perpetual collective responsibility =/= collective punishment;
by smeeth | 2025-04-30 14:20:59+00:00
Not at all, even if there was snark intended I think its a fair question.

I resisted ranting about it (I hope you'll indulge me now), but in general I don't much like the economics commentariat. As best I can tell, "respectability" seems to mean something like "modal economic views + left of center politics." There are of course some exceptions, e.g. occasionally the economist or WSJ, but it leads to some notable blind spots.

For example, Switzerland experienced mild deflation in a good economy 2012-2017, but it wasn't until 2023 or so that articles started coming out that questioned where the 2% inflation target came from [0] and whether deflation could ever be a good thing [1]. This was despite respectable research from at least 2004 that explored the possibility of "good" deflation [2].

Tim, like many in the commentariat, was writing about inflation in 2019 [3]. The title of this essay is "Why inflation is good for us," and discusses the merits of inflation without any real discussion of cases where deflation could be good. At the end, he even raises the idea of a 4% rate target, which is a tad funny knowing the political mood on inflation 2021-24.

My point, really, is that I suspect I know most of his opinions without reading much of his work. He's hardly unique in that regard, but it bothers me. When looking for interesting opinions I'd probably look elsewhere.

[0] https://www.cfr.org/blog/history-and-future-federal-reserves...

[1] https://www.investopedia.com/articles/markets/111715/can-def...

[2] https://www.nber.org/papers/w10329

[3] https://timharford.com/2019/03/why-inflation-is-good-for-us/
by graemep | 2025-04-30 14:21:56+00:00
Had a look at the docs and was immediately put of by a full attack framework where the only built in auth is magic links.

I hope this is not as restrictive as it sounds, and you do not have to jump through hoops to do things differently:

"The starter project comes with code for sending emails with MailerSend. Until you add API keys for MailerSend and Recaptcha (which is used to protect your signin forms from bots), signin links and codes will be printed to the console instead of being emailed."
by quesera | 2025-04-30 14:22:10+00:00
Bookmarks don't retain scroll position, and must be actively managed to preserve hierarchy.

Firefox tabs are a zero-cost, and far more usable, implementation of bookmarks.

Chrome tabs are terrible -- the UI and memory demands are absurd.

Firefox (vertical) tabs are great, convenient, fast, easy, and cause no resource drama.

I have bookmarks too though. They serve three purposes: a) remember this forever but get it out of my way for now, b) put this in a managed hierarchy easily accessed from my bookmarks toolbar, or c) save out this big hierarchy of tabs that I haven't looked at in a while but were each probably the culmination of some level of manual navigation that I don't want to repeat.
by blahaj | 2025-04-30 14:22:36+00:00
> Rate Limit: 10 requests per minute per IP

I understand that one wants some rate limiting so that others don't just use this as a backend for their own service causing every single request for their service to also create an API request. But this is as simple and resource unintensive as it gets for an HTTP server. 10 requests per minute is just silly.

Also could it be that the limit isn't enforced against the origin IP address but against the whole Cloudflare reverse proxy?
by fenprace | 2025-04-30 14:22:39+00:00
Mandarin speaker here. Literally, Yes. Xiaomi means 'little rice'. But in reality when people say xiaomi, they always refer to another kind of crop, foxtail millet (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foxtail_millet). It is a traditional food and still very common in China and other place in Asia.
by Aurornis | 2025-04-30 14:22:44+00:00
> On the other hand, I guess it might be a great time for small shops and businesses that produce low to medium tech stuff- from crafts, clothing and furniture to electronics.

Absolutely not. All of the small businesses I know are getting crushed by tariffs.

Electronics especially. With 125% tariffs on everyone from China, prices just exploded.

Even domestic PCB manufacturers prices and lead times have shot up due to demand.

It’s extremely bad. I don’t think people realize how devastating this is to company that couldn’t amass huge inventories prior to tariffs arriving and can’t lobby the Trump administration for an exemption.
by agf98 | 2025-04-30 14:23:01+00:00
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by acdha | 2025-04-30 14:23:23+00:00
That’s why it can’t be “politics aside”: a politician decidedly unilaterally to make one of the largest tax hikes in American history. There just isn’t a way to talk about that without recognizing that it was a political act made for political reasons.

I think you’re right about the cover this provides for businesses, too, which makes it interesting from a political standpoint. The president clearly recognizes that the tariffs are a political liability if voters are allowed to see the unblended costs but if the costs are hidden, that gives carte blanche to every business to raise prices now knowing that consumers will assume it’s tariff-related like all of the other price increases they’re seeing.
by bwat49 | 2025-04-30 14:23:30+00:00
You likely ran into this issue, which is a bug with onedrive itself: https://github.com/laurent22/joplin/issues/11489#issuecommen...

there will be a failsafe implemented for that issue in version 3.3

personally, I recommend using the s3 sync with cloudflare r2, it's faster than onedrive and it's pretty hard to exceed cloudflare's free tier
by HideousKojima | 2025-04-30 14:23:54+00:00
Sure, but avoiding CPU cache misses is hardly the only form of optimization. Some optimizations are blatantly obvious. As an example, there was some code I was working on that called the database every single time it was executed. The data it was pulling from the database got updated once a year, and the entire dataset could fit into about 4kb of memory. Caching it in memory was an obvious fix, and given how fast the rest of the code ran once it had this data it was basically a 500% speedup that anyone with half a brain could have roughly estimated.
by seqizz | 2025-04-30 14:23:57+00:00
Because you requested it? There is no agreement on what or how to serve things, other than standards (your browser expects a valid document on the other side etc).

I just assumed court might say there is a difference between you requesting all guess-able endpoints and find 1 endpoint which will harm your computer (while there was _zero_ reason for you to access that page) and someone putting zipbomb into index.html to intentionally harm everyone.
by ty6853 | 2025-04-30 14:24:06+00:00
OF course capex declines when you tarriff.

Part of Trump's genius tarriff plan was closing trade deficits.

Except trade deficit is just mostly a measure of how much countries choose to park the returns on their goods/services in your own country as investment in capex, domestic investments, etc. It is the foreigner choosing not to take the dollar or exchanged goods back to their own country, but to invest it in your own country.

You literally kill capex by killing the trade deficit.
by timerol | 2025-04-30 14:24:13+00:00
... I didn't even notice the name. That site is an archive of a collection of textbooks that were Creative Commons-licensed before 2012, dedicated to the memory of Aaron Swartz. Evidently https://2012books.lardbucket.org/books/beginning-economic-an... goes to the same place.

I feel like I just got pranked by SEO somehow
by razepan | 2025-04-30 14:24:19+00:00
This SS post is fear porn. The Seattle Times article they link to at the bottom of their post gives actual numbers, not just vibes based on what poster can see with their binoculars.

"Data from the Marine Exchange of Puget Sound, an industry association, shows the number of arriving container ships berthing at Seattle and Tacoma terminals from April 1 to April 24 was down 12% compared with the same period in 2024."

Make no mistake this is bad, but "Port of Seattle EMPTY - ZERO Inbound Ocean Container Ships" is some straight up bullshit.
by teraflop | 2025-04-30 14:24:31+00:00
Yup. And an interesting detail is that we know the product G·M_e (where G is the gravitational constant, and M_e is the mass of the earth) to much higher precision than we know either of its factors. And the same goes for the sun and most of the other planets.

This is because the motion of celestial bodies and spacecraft is dominated by gravitational forces which depend only on G·M, and that motion can be measured extremely accurately with e.g. Doppler radar.
by Aurornis | 2025-04-30 14:24:39+00:00
It’s actually not. If you’re starting a business right now with the goal of selling to customers all over the world, setting up shop in America is not looking good. You’d pay exorbitant tariffs on inputs and machines.

It’s better to manufacture out of the country and let US consumers eat the tariff cost on import while keeping your operations efficient outside of the US tariff zone.

It’s an extraordinarily poorly planned policy.
by echelon | 2025-04-30 14:25:54+00:00
I'm 99% against crypto and think it's mostly a tool for wasting limited human innovation capital, enabling fraud, terrorist financing, ponzi scheme gambling, and pump and dump rug pulling.

There are a few areas where I find crypto interesting or useful:

- The existing banking and payments industry is too Christian / Mormon. It extra-judicially regulates anything it views as "vices". This industry is supposed to be dumb payment rails with hooks for FinCEN to stop crime. It's not supposed to be your pastor. If anything, business integration with regular payment rails would help them be better regulated.

- "Stablecoins" or whatever the hell they're called seem like a wickedly efficient way to move money between businesses and countries without paying large fees or having to wait for clearance. Ideally they can even cut Visa and the fintech monopolies out of the equation. This is more of a B2B rather than consumer / individual application, and it seems genuinely useful. It also seems compatible with the existing FinCEN / FINRA / AML regulations. If you look at it long enough, it doesn't even feel like crypto. Just a new type of efficiency.

The latter may make the former a non-issue, especially if the existing fintech industry receives more competition from upstarts that don't have to pay the legacy gateways and their frictionful fees.