MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by cheschire | 2025-04-04 21:34:16+00:00
My latest side project started a couple weeks ago when I received an email from Cox that they would be forcing an unmanageable wifi network onto my router so that their cell customers would get more wifi coverage or something.

So I ordered a DOCSIS 3.1 modem off amazon, then went and rummaged around in my storage box for an old 2013 macbook air, installed ubuntu server on it, and finally learned how to setup a home router with DHCP, DNS, NAT, firewall, etc. Pihole was a lot of that, and I installed it as a docker container so that was a fun thing to learn to manage as well.

As an aside, ChatGPT made most of this possible. I have used *nix off and on for 25 years but haven't done serious system administration in at least 15 years. ChatGPT is definitely the crutch I needed to get off my ass and do more side projects.
by Tadpole9181 | 2025-04-04 21:34:41+00:00
They were stopped because they were following the rules to enact change: legislation. Trump is just blatantly subverting the constitution, there's no vote they can block or fill buster. It's done. Over. Kaput.

I'm so tired of hearing that even when it's the Republican's fault, it's the Democrats to blame for not... What? Committing an assassination? They have zero power in the federal government. No house, no senate, no judicial, no executive. Nothing.
by alabastervlog | 2025-04-04 21:35:11+00:00
My imagined normal government advisor-sort who's just (figuratively) awoken from a 20-year coma and is attempting to approach this situation, initially, as a normal interaction with a normal President is the one drinking and hitting the crack pipe by the end. I tried not to over-burden it with formatting, but may have gone too light and made that unclear.
by ghaff | 2025-04-04 21:35:38+00:00
I suppose hotels can have a few rooms with kitchens but I'm guessing a vanishingly few people care about kitchens when traveling outside of maybe a microwave and a small refrigerator. AirBnB that are larger (e.g. houses) can also be nice for groups but that's more outside of cities than in a city center. Hotels tend to optimize for the 90% case.

Where I'm staying at the moment is a "serviced apartment" and does have a couple burners but that's unusual and I mostly stay here because I like the location in London.
by danso | 2025-04-04 21:35:52+00:00
I didn't understand put options until this month. Today I bought puts w/ 1 or 2-week expirations on virtually all of the top 20 companies (by size) that were at their 52-week high. Didn't matter that I never had heard of some of them (AWK is a water company?), made gains on everything. My only mistake was not betting against Phillip Morris, thinking that people will probably want to vape/smoke even more during this crisis, but nope, they fell 7% too.

Obviously it can't be that easy, but seems like the market still thinks Trump might just do a complete 180? I guess he's done so multiple times the last two months, but those threats/alarms seem like dry runs from which he's crafted his current policy.
by gwd | 2025-04-04 21:36:24+00:00
Well, one theory is that Trump wants individual companies to come to him and beg for exemptions to the tariffs. This would consolidate his power: Nobody would dare to do anything that would oppose him, for fear of having their "tariff exemption" revoked.

Another theory is that Trump has some complicated plan to reduce the US's debt; again, it involves using tariffs as a "stick" to push our allies into doing what we want. Summarized here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=090CqPrw_AE
by rs186 | 2025-04-04 21:36:32+00:00
You are free to disagree. The project took me way longer than I expected, and while it (building the whole thing) was fun, the experience barely helped deepen my knowledge of electronics or computers -- the videos themselves were already very educational. I wouldn't have done it if I had a better idea of what I was getting into, but anyone can make a different choice if they value their time and money differently.
by Clubber | 2025-04-04 21:36:59+00:00
It's a multitude of things.

- High interest rates trying to combat inflation. - AI, tech's latest, greatest thing is looking like a flop, at least from hype perspective. - Tariffs.

It will go back up after a quarter or three I suspect, once everyone has adjusted and everything has stabilized. It always does. Good time to buy soon if you have the scratch.
by ChuckMcM | 2025-04-04 21:37:07+00:00
Generally the BOM cost of most hardware is much smaller than the labor cost of assembly. That's why company shipped their semiconductors to low labor cost countries and re-imported finished goods.

That said, if the US does enter a depression then the cost of labor in the US will plummet as people compete for jobs which may? change that ratio in favor of manufacturing in the US. That is rumored to be the "big secret" behind these stupid moves but frankly the folks who believe that are not seeing what I'm seeing I guess.
by stephc_int13 | 2025-04-04 21:37:10+00:00
The reason it is not a real market crash yet is the uncertainties around those tariffs, as they seem too absurd to be kept as announced.

And I believe this is a correct analysis, but I also think that Trump is over playing his hand and miscalculating the reactions of the world at large.

We are going to see a lot more chaos and weird moves during the coming weeks, but I am not optimist about the final outcome.
by Terr_ | 2025-04-04 21:37:44+00:00
> they need them for the tax cuts the GOP will legislate later this year.

They're also playing games where new time-limited tax cuts are counted as "costs" for their planned lifetime, but now, later, they're claiming renewing the same cuts costs nothing because they're already there. [0]

This is like a man with a mid-life crisis renting a fancy sports car saying "just one month is quite affordable", except next month he extends the lease, saying "this is fine, it's already in the budget so it doesn't cost us extra."

That matters because they're using this fake math to try to trigger special rules which let them pass budgets with fewer votes.

> The odd part is that Congress, at any time, can revoke these tariffs

Side note: Originally the law (IEEAP, 1977) [1] allowed Congress to revoke them with 50% of each house. But few years later the Supreme Court ruled that mechanism unconstitutional. This means it now requires a veto-proof supermajority of >66.6% in each house.

So yeah, with enough votes this could be done in a very short time-frame... but "enough" is such a big number that it requires most of the GOP to decide it doesn't want to destroy America after all.

[0] https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2025/04/republicans-tax-...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Emergency_Econom...
by s3r3nity | 2025-04-04 21:37:55+00:00
No, boomers and NGO's who raided the coffers blew it and left us with $36 trillion in debt, along with $1.2 trillion on _just the interest payments_ - which is more than the US spends on Defense.

Now we can't build anything, and the other side is still holding out hope that eventually we'll be able to fix by just taxing more - despite the fact that Congress won't even vote to prevent themselves from insider trading...which means the middle class will continue to bear the downward pressure.
by legitster | 2025-04-04 21:38:09+00:00
I agree with your point to a certain degree. I think we should be willing to try bad/risky ideas occasionally if just to remind ourselves why they are bad. However:

1. It can take years to make something and seconds to break it. These changes are so drastic and damaging that we may permanently set our economy back decades, especially when if other countries no longer trust us.

2. It puts a lot of faith in politicians to admit mistakes. The disastrous trade policies of the 1930s were never gotten rid of until after they led to WWII.
by darksaints | 2025-04-04 21:38:35+00:00
The best (if not only) valid argument for tariffs is that they can be used to negotiate lower tariffs. Because tariffs only serve to reduce trade, which mathematically is suboptimal for economic output, and has been recognized as such by nearly every economist since David Ricardo.

Unfortunately, Donald Trump doesn't agree with that. Or his handlers don't. Not that the distinction matters anymore. The diplomatic and trade relations that we are destroying right now can't just be fixed by electing a new President. This is the US's Suez Crisis...we are no longer a world leader.
by dietr1ch | 2025-04-04 21:38:59+00:00
They made me spend more money, which I wouldn't mind since I don't contribute to any of the subsidies public transport may have, but you can simply charge more, or consider it an investment since tourists bring new money in daily.

Having the ticket would help a lot navigating around without fear of having the wrong ticket or making dealing with delays or cancellation even more frustrating.
by klank | 2025-04-04 21:39:05+00:00
After I left the MFH industry I took a position at AWS. My thinking at the time was this was a safe "infrastructure" position where I could apply myself in relative safety just worrying about bits being pushed around the internet.

However, after taking a good hard look at my past career contributions, it was impossible for me to not apply the same moral framework to my involvement at AWS. And while it wasn't quite as direct harm in the way of my MFH optimization work, it still wasn't difficult for me to see that if I succeeded, while the bits would flow fast and the metrics would rise high, I wasn't doing good. I was, at best, furthering an exploitive system.

While I don't feel the same level of regret for my contributions to AWS, I don't feel good about my contributions either.
by midwestFriend | 2025-04-04 21:39:38+00:00
Location: Chicago IL, USA Remote: Yes Willing to relocate: No Technologies: Typescript, Javascript, NodeJS, Vue, React, Angular, Big Data ETL, containerization (Kubernetes and Docker), Microservices, Java, C++, Python, SQL, NoSQL (MongoDB), GCP, AWS, RPC, CI/CD, monitoring/reporting/alerting. Résumé/CV: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1HEUBMm-diXK2ka09ZHwhxuHm... Email: feliksalbright@gmail.com
by throwup238 | 2025-04-04 21:40:05+00:00
> People want these simulations to be as realistic as possible.

What do you mean by that? Do you mean in the context of that era?

IME people what games to be fun because every single genre has a multitude of conceits to make the game playable and technologically feasible. The ones that eschew (most of) those conceits like ARMA and flight simulators are very niche or like Dwarf Fortress and Factorio, complexity is the point (which requires its own conceits to be feasible).

People want to ride into battle and swing swords and conquer civilizations, not manage the intricacies of military campaign logistics and foraging operations and tax collection.
by ethbr1 | 2025-04-04 21:40:16+00:00
> On the other hand, ramping up production that has been offshored is not that easy, and is a lot more expensive initially.

It depends on the nature of that particular good's production.

Some industries are incredibly supply-chain and labor-intensive.

Others are capital-intensive.

Others may be knowledge-intensive.

A country should seek to compete in industries it has the most core competencies in.
by taylodl | 2025-04-04 21:40:46+00:00
The democrats blew it by believing Americans were educated. Now they have ZERO POWER. They don't control the executive branch, they don't control the legislative branch, and they don't control the judicial branch. I'm not sure WTF you expect Democrats to do now. It's not like Americans don't have access to a plethora of history books informing them exactly how this will play out. Too bad they don't read.
by OgsyedIE | 2025-04-04 21:41:08+00:00
In what crazy worldview would these be seen as good for America? Here's one.

Hypothetically, if you perceived that the root cause of some foreign policy problems you felt were important to solve was the gap in civil liberties between your country and powerful overseas countries, you could conclude that peace could be achieved by handicapping your own country so that it regresses to match the lower standards of the foreign nations that appear to have a problem with your country and its ideologies.

.

No guarantees that this is the actual belief of the people in power, it would just satisfy your requirement.
by megamike | 2025-04-04 21:41:19+00:00
China retaliates with Tarries hmmm dont Family Dollar Dollar General dont they have a lot of Chinese stuff? Well guess who if frequenting those stores more and more As inflation hits harder, middle-class shoppers gravitate to dollar stores Dollar stores have traditionally served low-income and rural shoppers who have few options to stock up on what they need — but the pandemic is changing that. https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/inflation-hit...
by kllrnohj | 2025-04-04 21:41:33+00:00
The best possible rationalization with extremely favorable glasses is that Trump is forcing a return to US manufacturing. The best version of this would incorporate things like a scheduled increase over time to give companies time to migrate, amounts based off of things like differences in living conditions, along with minor things like congressional approval so it's actually legal at all.

However the vastly more likely reason is he's a complete fucking moron that treats all interactions as binary "winning" or "losing". A mindset that helped him bankrupt numberous companies, and now likely a country. So trade deficits are "losing" and he's retaliating with tariffs. This logic befitting a toddler completely fits everything he's demonstrated over the years.
by jiggawatts | 2025-04-04 21:41:46+00:00
The problem with every third-party rationalisation is that they’re all just wild guesses.

The administration hasn’t explained their logic and haven’t made clear plans — that’s the real problem.

The difference between science and “traditional” beliefs is that the former is not just about convincing others through force, but explaining things to others such that they’ll convince themselves.

It’s also the difference between good political leadership and a ruthless dictator.

One needs only words, the other needs violence.
by ifyoubuildit | 2025-04-04 21:41:54+00:00
> You must really hate taxes on fuel or cigarettes too, and sales tax of course.

Yes. I'm not against taxes in general, but I think our tax system is a monstrosity. No, I don't have some kind of alternative, I just grab my ankles and grit my teeth like everyone else.

> That is what governments do all the time

Oh, well I guess it must be fine then. Is this supposed to be an argument?
by m11a | 2025-04-04 21:42:15+00:00
You'll be happy with either. Bishop's approach is historically more mathematical (cf his 2006 PRML text), and you see that in the preliminaries chapters of Deep Learning, but there's less of this as the book goes on.

I've read chapters from both. Much overlaps, but sometimes one book or the other explains a concept better or provides different perspectives or details.
by kbolino | 2025-04-04 21:42:41+00:00
I'm not sure what's being complained about here. Most PCs (still) come with Windows, so "first use" will have occurred before you obtained the computer. A motherboard bought separately usually comes unlocked so you can remove the Microsoft certificate if you don't want to trust it anymore. If you're saying that unlocked parts bought individually should not come with any certificates trusted out of the box, I don't necessarily disagree, but this would be a regression in security and convenience for the average user, so it's unlikely to be adopted.
by mystified5016 | 2025-04-04 21:42:45+00:00
So you want to replace a USB PHY with a serial to Ethernet converter and an Ethernet PHY.

The reality is that the simple protocols like SPI and I2C just are not good enough. They aren't fast, the single-ended signal scheme makes them very sensitive to noise, and there is no error correction. These protocols make sense and work extremely well for their intended purpose: connecting ICs on a PCB. If you expose an unterminated port to the outside world, all bets are off.

These protocols and variations thereof are still in heavy use in modern PCs. But they're internal busses, as the protocols intend.

I haven't looked closely at the USB spec, but I imagine the main problem with bit-banging is simply the speed required. You have to have dedicated hardware because no microcontroller is fast enough to toggle the pins while also running the software stack to decode the protocol and manage error correction.

You can run into this exact problem bit-banging I2C. With a 20MHz CPU, the maximum clock speed you can get is about 250KHz. Just a bit more than half the typical maximum rate of 400KHz. You can absolutely forget about the 1MHz version.

PHYs exist for one very good reason: it is vastly cheaper to offload comms protocols to hardware. Without that, you have to over-spec your CPU by quite a lot to get enough resources to manually manage communication. This is why every modern microcontroller contains hardware for I2C, SPI, serial, etc.

In summary, the simple serial protocols like SPI and I2C and UART are just absolutely terrible choices for external peripherals. They can't operate at reasonable speeds, they can't tolerate long cables, they can't tolerate noise. The nature and design of these protocols (excepting RS232 which is not UART) means that they cannot be used this way. There's no change to the spec you could make to support this without reinventing USB.
by DiogenesKynikos | 2025-04-04 21:42:53+00:00
> Nobody is talking about ceding land, we're talking about re-establishing a nation in the historic homeland of the Jewish people

You're saying the same thing with different words. In order to "re-establish" that nation, they had to take over control of Palestine, against the will of the people who actually lived there.

> no Zionist demanded land or induced anyone to cede their land prior to 1947 anyway

That's not true at all. The entire point of Zionism was to take over political control of Palestine and found a Jewish state there. The mainstream Zionist movement wanted all of Palestine, and the radical right wing of Zionism (the "Revisionists," who eventually became Likud, Netanyahu's party) even wanted what is now Jordan.

> all Zionist land acquisition was through voluntary purchases and legal land transfers

That's formally correct before 1947, but the goal was to take over all of Palestine. The leadership of the Jewish Agency (the Zionist quasi-government in British-run Palestine until early 1948) knew that ultimately, it would come down to war with the Arabs, and they prepared for it. They were also very interested in forced "population transfer" (which today would be called "ethnic cleansing"), which they hoped the major powers would agree to.

Even the land purchases were extremely predatory. Imagine the worst aspects of gentrification, but at the scale of a country and enacted for explicitly racist reasons. The Zionists bought up land from landlords who didn't even live in Palestine, and then forcibly removed the Palestinian farmers who lived on the land.

Even so, they never purchased more than about 6% of Palestine, before they forcibly took most of the rest in 1947-48.

> So are you arguing that the Jews are not a people that merit self determination?

First, the obvious question, as I've said, is "where?" Is easy and relatively harmless to say in the abstract that "this group of people is a nation and deserves self-determination." But when you start laying claims to other people's lands, that becomes a problem.

I don't really want to get into who is "a people," but I'll just point out that what you're saying implies that American Jews are just Israelis who happen to live abroad. I think that's incredibly wrong. Jews belong to many different nationalities.
by sofixa | 2025-04-04 21:43:29+00:00
Which NGOs?

> Now we can't build anything

Yeah, this isn't due to the debt. Most infrastructure projects in the US are disasters (usually due to layers of outsourcing, tons of consultants, corruption, lack of competence) that cost multiple times their equivalents elsewhere in developed countries.

It's exactly like in healthcare - the US spends more to get less than similarly developed countries. The amounts available to spend aren't the issue here, the terrible use is.
by munro | 2025-04-04 21:43:38+00:00
No model is perfect, but some are useful. Their "baseline LTV" looks at the sum of listings on their platform (plus other features), then tries to forecast the next 365 days — so this should indirectly capture people coming and going. I think their cannibalization model is quite clever as well.

Going deeper with modeling users might yield some tighter estimates, but I imagine this gets estimates far closer than some simple accounting formula, and likely helpful for budgeting a year out — but it would have been nice to have seen some performance metrics.
by kllrnohj | 2025-04-04 21:43:51+00:00
> which mathematically is suboptimal, and has been recognized as such by nearly every economist since David Ricardo.

That requires some initial assumptions that simply aren't true. Tariffs can and do serve a vital role to protect a country from one with lower standards of living (eg taken to an extreme, consider trade between county A where slavery is illegal and country B where it isn't)
by vessenes | 2025-04-04 21:43:58+00:00
The steelman here is: it is better for a country to have a diverse manufacturing base and a net positive balance of trade. The only way to get manufacturing happening here is to make it more profitable to manufacture here than elsewhere. The only way to do that is to make sure everyone else’s cheap stuff is much more expensive, thereby creating a possible profit margin for local manufacturing. This medicine will be hard at first. But it will create a resilient economy where foreign wealth comes in (buying our goods) and national wealth stays home (purchasing locally made goods).

You didn’t ask for counter arguments but I’m sure we will see a wide range below this comment.

A broader picture here is to say neoliberal globalization is bad in that it removes local autonomy by creating a need for peaceful trading partners. Who is it bad for, and what sort of world would be good for those people is an exercise left to the reader.

EDIT: I like the vigorous comments and zero net score on this comment. don't blame the messenger guys, this is a fair statement of the steelman. It does not represent my own views.
by idle_zealot | 2025-04-04 21:44:05+00:00
He also says he wants to bring back well-paid American jobs, and promises prosperity. The problem is that we've allowed a remarkable portion of the population to become so despondent and dismissive of con artistry that they're willing to write anything they don't like off as bluster and believe only the parts convenient to them at the moment. Simultaneously this group lacks the ability to perform the analysis necessary to make predictions about what parts he actually means.

A normalization of dishonesty and an unsatisfactory status quo, with only one person offering anything that sounds like change.
by ok123456 | 2025-04-04 21:45:07+00:00
The Democrats blew it by being unresponsive to their voters' material demands and instead doubling down on hollow NGO speak. They preferred to run issue-free "vibes" campaigns.

The same business-industrial class captures them as the Republicans. Neither party is genuinely going to organize around class or material needs.

The real threat to America or Americans isn't a single man. It's the superstructure that enabled him.

In other words: "Wer hat uns verraten? The Democratic Party."