MurphyA/hacker-news huggingface dataset:
by marcosdumay | 2025-04-30 18:20:14+00:00
I don't get the empty ports narrative.

Yes, there have been photos of empty ports. But there number of ships headed into the US hasn't fallen yet¹, and tax changes take a up to a few months to reflect on the arriving trans-continental traffic.

So, are those some ports specialized in short distance commerce? Maybe domestic commerce?

1 - They notoriously have recently started to leave half-full. What means they'll need less time at the ports by June. That shouldn't make a difference now.
by legohead | 2025-04-30 18:21:17+00:00
From an economic perspective these new blanket import tariffs are a classic own-goal: tariffs are good for developing industries, but these levies hit huge, mature supply chains, so the main outcome is higher consumer prices, squeezed real wages, and slower growth.

A common example is Smoot-Hawley’s tariffs deepening the Great Depression, and early 2025 data already show trade and hiring slipping, but we won't know the full effect for a while.

As for the "bring manufacturing to the US" argument - tariffs often reroute, not reshore. GoPro moved from China to Mexico, Apple from China to India, Hasbro from China to Vietnam, to name a few.
by bjackman | 2025-04-30 18:21:54+00:00
Wow it's insane how slow that is!

But also, I don't really have an intuition for why the speed of travel is relevant here?

It's funny that I have a natural intuition that sound is slow over long distances, yet 1 ft/s still feels astonishingly slow. And yet while I know light travels 1ft/ns, it's still astonishing that it takes 30ms to travel from London to Sydney at that speed.
by runako | 2025-04-30 18:21:59+00:00
The question really is if such entrepreneur made such a shoe factory that still employed union labor at fairly high rates of pay, why wouldn't they just install that factory in a place where labor costs less?

If the goal is union jobs at fairly high rates of pay, we can make high-productivity jobs like CVS employee (~$1.2mm revenue per employee IIRC) into good high-paying union jobs by incentivizing CVS employees to unionize.

Even the type of high-value manufacturing present in the US tends to be less productive with labor than Costco (~$30k net profit per employee) or Delta (~$56k net per employee) or ADP (~$84k net). Since our labor pool is decreasing, it is even more critical for Americans to work in high-productivity jobs rather than moving the other direction.
by ekez | 2025-04-30 18:22:11+00:00
I wonder if the authors have tried incorporating error feedback from Lean into their models.

Work from 2023 [1] showed general purpose models did better when they were able to incorporate error feedback, humans incorporate error feedback, but none of the SOTA models on minif2f seem to.

[1]: https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.04353
by quantadev | 2025-04-30 18:22:57+00:00
AI use is definitely a two edged sword. It can help us seasoned developers be much more productive, because we've seen all the anti-patterns, bad ideas, tarpits, and most "classes" of bad ideas and bad code that you can imagine; so when we get AI to generate code, we older developers can look at it, and in an instant know if it's good or bad code, most of the time.

However, for the more Junior Devs (i.e. under 10 to 15 yrs experience), their judgement about Generated Code is often simply "Does it appear to work or not." and that's a very big problem, and a very dangerous problem, that will cause lower quality code to creep in and in a way where AI may allow them to crank out tons of work, but all of it super buggy code. And most everyone would agree we'd rather have simpler, less feature rich products that are solid and reliable, rather than products that are loaded with both features and bugs.

So to all you seasoned developers out there, who have trouble getting hired, since you're over 40, your value as an employee has just quadrupled, compared to the less-experienced. The big question is, of course, how long will it take the 20ish to 30ish hiring managers to realize that, and start valuing experience and wisdom over youthfulness and good looks.
by tudorconstantin | 2025-04-30 18:22:57+00:00
I used to be a hard core stackoverflow contributor back in the day. At one point, while trying to have my answers more appreciated (upvoted and accepted) I became basically a sychophant, prefixing all my answers with “that’s a great question”. Not sure how much of a difference it made, but I hope LLMs can filter that out
by wcarss | 2025-04-30 18:23:13+00:00
That may just be regulatory inertia keeping you safe.

Most people aren't building insanely stupid and dangerous homes because in most places they legally can't, and very few work specifically just in your county, so they just do what they mostly do, which is mostly safe and up to code. Maybe they cut a few corners. Probably a few weirdos doing entirely their own thing.

By the same token, if your weird neck of the woods made seatbelts non mandatory, it wouldn't mean everyone takes them off as they drive through, so the subsequent maintained levels of vehicular loss of life would say nothing about the increase of safety seatbelts provide. A few weirdos might be taking the belt off, though!

Still, it'd only take one weirdo's entirely preventable and lethal to their kids house fire/car crash to prove them idiotic and probably get the law changed.
by bongodongobob | 2025-04-30 18:23:13+00:00
It's already happening for certain products, but we don't see it yet. The shelves lag a couple months behind the actual purchases. For example, you are Walmart and buy a bulk order of something from China. The order processes a couple days later, then it sits and waits to be shipped for days lets say. It gets in the ship and takes 2-3 weeks to get here. Then it takes a couple days to be unloaded. Then it needs to get trucked to the main distribution center. Then it's packaged/processed and shipped to intermediate warehouses. Then from there, shipped to the store, sits for a few days-week then gets put on shelves.

Even worse is that depending on the product, you might not even be able to place an order from the importer because they are completely unable to actually price the things with all of the uncertainty right now. A friend of mine is a hearing device retailer/distributor. He tried to order way more than he usually does a month ago to get ahead of this. The order was denied because they said they have no idea how to price any of it. So he's just going to have to wait an indeterminate amount of time which then makes it impossible for him to plan. He has to jack up his prices to cover future potential price increases and to be able to keep the lights on if they run out of stock.
by motohagiography | 2025-04-30 18:23:18+00:00
I live next to a large park that requires a nominally priced parking pass to enter ($7) with an online portal, and it keeps the numbers somewhat managed, but it creates an overflow of people who just park on the road instead. If there are no attendants for crowd control, you get mobs. My area is now a dense forest of no-parking signs and with lists of things not to do. loitering isn't outdoorsy behavior, and what's acceptable outdoorsiness is a sensitive topic.

the crux of it is a class and culture issue in how people use parks and nature. where previously it was hikers and cyclists, people who actually _moved_, many people today just want a place to sit in their cars or have tailgate parties, often on any given roadside. they're looking for social and family gathering spaces that are cheap or free, and nature is incidental and not primary for that.

the article concludes with:

> Fees for permits are frowned upon all around. The idea is to give recreation managers enough analysis to make informed decisions.

This is naive to me. Most of our parks and outdoors culture is based on assumptions about population, accessibility, culture, and demand that just aren't true anymore. What's more likely is we will need to adopt more semi-private policies that resemble tourist nature preserves elsewhere in the world.
by PartiallyTyped | 2025-04-30 18:23:24+00:00
I work as a senior engineer in Germany, I make more than most people, but I find it frustrating that a new grad could make more than I do by virtue of living in the states for lower quality work.

My expenses are about 40% of my net income and yet owning a house or apartment in a city like Munich or Dublin and close to jobs looks infeasible unless I am married.

That of course excludes the fact that I don’t expect to live to see my 50s because of potential health concerns.

And of course, should I spend my 20s and 30s working for seemingly nothing?
by wahern | 2025-04-30 18:23:49+00:00
> The real problem is that household income stopped outpacing home prices in the 1970s.

On a price per square foot basis, home prices have been remarkably stable since 1960s. The share of income spent on housing has also remained remarkably stable. Though prices have ballooned, interest drops considerably, so monthly payments as share of income haven't changed that much.

The way things have gotten worse for people isn't so obvious. For one thing, people have many more choices to spend their money on, such as computers and college. That's created additional pressure on people without the cost of housing itself changing as much as people think, but its a problem someone from 1960 might roll their eyes at. (Hedonistic adaptation?) Then of course there's various income and geographical bifurcations. For example, you can choose to live someplace cheap, but then you're opting out of the highly dynamic and potentially highly lucrative portions of the economy. That's an opportunity cost, but not a literal cost if you're comparing to 1960s lifestyles.
by dobladov | 2025-04-30 18:24:04+00:00
I find NotebookML really useful as a book reading companion, by simply uploading the same book I want to read and asking questions about it, like:

- List the characters in chapter [x] and add a small description about each one. - What's [x] device used for? - What happened in chapter [x]?

It works very well without hallucinations and referencing all the answers.
by Ccecil | 2025-04-30 18:24:17+00:00
"In 1979 the Iranian regime imprisoned two of Perot's EDS employees. Perot asked Bush, who was then Director of the CIA, to get them out"

Most interesting part of that story is that once the government failed to help he organized and trained his own operation and successfully extracted his employees.

edit: https://www.rossperot.com/life-story/iran-hostage-rescue
by fuzzfactor | 2025-04-30 18:24:23+00:00
>depending on what you’re talking about?

Prices going up when the money in peoples' pockets is not.

>money is only a signifier.

I agree, signifies how rich or poor you are, as an individual or a nation.

Not the numeric amount, but what it will buy instead.

>that’s economic collapse. In such cases the amount of money in people’s bank accounts could remain constant

That would be true sooner or later even for those who rapidly decline to zero, think about those to which it would not have happened otherwise. Not to mention so many citizens not having a viable bank account to begin with these days.

By that definition those unfortunates would be suffering much worse than an "economic collapse", and there is great likelihood they would be overlooked until it is too late because everyone else has it so much worse-than-before themselves. Trump is not even as honest as Nixon, there's going to be a lot more businesses and families ruined before this is over. In times of triage for survival, only so many can be saved, and it can be kind of a crap shoot.

>Falling prices would be deflation

Got it. So rising prices are inflation.

IOW whatever it is beyond your control that makes it more difficult or impossible to afford what you once could. Or what was once almost within reach but can no longer be sure it's even on the horizon any more.

Got it. Not really the amount of money in "circulation", but what people are actually able to buy with it. Especially compared to what it was "before inflation".

People generally always figured this anyway, lots of them are not easy to fool.

Regardless of any fancy equations.
by dabbz | 2025-04-30 18:24:55+00:00
Used to work for a company that owned a Teams extension. Teams updates will just randomly break your extension behavior without any warning or heads up. The migration to their "new teams" app was brutal.

Their SDK is built into 2 view render portions. 1 for in-message rendering using their own markup syntax for structuring views, and another that's just a web browser. So if you want to share components between 1 for messages and another for your pane, you can't.

Ingesting events is not very well defined. Everything gets sent to 2 endpoints you define and it's up to you to determine how to handle it.

Just some of the issues I came across in my short time at the company.
by szarapka | 2025-04-30 18:25:18+00:00
At best it would compliment Vanta.

Vanta handles/automates(ish) the compliance process for actual regulatory frameworks/programs (SOC2, ISO27001, GDPR, etc). From looking at their site/repo for Kexa, they don't have anything specific to this type of compliance.

In theory you could use Kexa to set up rules to help you achieve compliance, but you'd still need a Vanta or something else to help you understand if you're actually compliant with a given framework.
by kjs3 | 2025-04-30 18:26:15+00:00
We're talking about 1982, not 'mid to late nineties'. None of those chips even existed. Silicon Graphics Unix was running on 680x0 based series 1000 machines (and wasn't called IRIX yet). HP/UX was running on 680x0 based HP9000 series. AIX was a couple of years away and would first run on the RT/PC development of the 801 project, not on POWER. In 1982-ish IBM did have a Unix machine tho...the 9000 series, which was a 68000 running Xenix. DEC hadn't started PRISM, much less ALPHA then...it's Unix was Ultrix on VAX and PDP-11.
by anigbrowl | 2025-04-30 18:26:34+00:00
It's the same with Google news on Mobile. I found an old Nexus one in a drawer the other day and tried charging it up, it still worked fine. When I opened Google News (from~12 years ago!) it was just a list of categories and 8-10 headlines within each category, a small picture for the top story in each category.

On my modern phone it's all pictures and you can see at most 2 headlines at once. It takes a bunch of scrolling (= 'engagement' = $) just to see what the top headlines are. Worse, the categories are all mixed together, so I keep being subject to sports 'news'. Absolute garbage.
by PartiallyTyped | 2025-04-30 18:26:43+00:00
In Dublin — where I lived and rent is 2k unless you live 50 minutes away or manage to find roommates, your mortgage is 3x your salary, so at 130k I made at the time, about 400k, and I’d need 20% down payment…

Good luck buying your own house/apartment without being married. It isn’t happening.
by NoSalt | 2025-04-30 18:26:49+00:00
The new Star Trek movies and TV series are becoming exactly what this article "warns" about. I miss the "Shatner Era" and "Picard Era" (including Enterprise), and I severely dislike this new era. I was so looking forward to Section 31, but the trailer was just more of the same as of late. I'm glad I invested in the DVDs of some of the "older", more positive SciFi.
by phillryu | 2025-04-30 18:27:20+00:00
You could be right, but in the hypothetical world where he's 100% right, and the current path the project or feature is taking is heading towards a dead end or is broken in some way. I feel there is a real cost that can be more easily ignored, e.g. working on a dead end or slowly failing thing that isn't set on the right trajectory is ultimately demoralizing and ends up in hindsight having been an opportunity cost and waste of your time vs. working on something else. And conversely if he's right about something like this, there should be positive feedback when it is turned around and starts performing better for the team involved?
by bluefirebrand | 2025-04-30 18:27:26+00:00
> AI can be extremely useful and there’s a lot of people out there who refuse to give it a proper try. Using AI well is a skill you need to learn and if you don’t see positive results on your first couple of attempts that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s bad, it just means you are a beginner

I'm not a beginner though. In fact I'm actually very experienced at doing my job

Which is why I don't need non-technical management and AI consultants to be telling me what tools I should be using

If I thought AI was going to be a useful tool for me then I would use it

But so far it hasn't, so I don't

I'm not investing my time and energy into a "skill" that doesn't seem like it is going to pay off
by throwawaymaths | 2025-04-30 18:27:28+00:00
yep thats why i put "~". youre absolutely correct but also in a pinch the us could fast track getting dirty athabasca sands oil in and mixing it with shale to get something more ingestable by our plant.

i would not be surprised if being ready for such a scenario + knowlege of shale reserve limitations is why those plants aren't kicked over so long as the trannsshipment for refining doesnt remain cost prohibitive.
by conception | 2025-04-30 18:28:06+00:00
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics

Dugin envisions the fall of China. The People's Republic of China, which represents an extreme geopolitical danger as an ideological enemy to the independent Russian Federation, "must, to the maximum degree possible, be dismantled". Dugin suggests that Russia start by taking Tibet–Xinjiang–Inner Mongolia–Manchuria as a security belt.[1] Russia should offer China help "in a southern direction – Indochina (except Vietnam, whose people is already pro-Russia), the Philippines, Indonesia, Australia" as geopolitical compensation.[9] Russia should manipulate Japanese politics by offering the Kuril Islands to Japan and provoking anti-Americanism, to "be a friend of Japan".[9] Mongolia should be absorbed into the Eurasian sphere.[9] The book emphasizes that Russia must spread geopolitical anti-Americanism everywhere: "the main 'scapegoat' will be precisely the U.S."
by 542354234235 | 2025-04-30 18:28:15+00:00
While I can’t speak to their individual temperaments, this is not an issue in the Army. Warrant officers are probably the least likely to worry about rank being confused with authority. They have the military experience from serving in the enlisted ranks as an NCO, with the protection of being officers that are above enlisted but still fall outside the commissioned officer ranks. They aren't untouchable but are highly insulated from petty tyrants.

I don’t know why the instructor didn’t take a more forceful/active role leading up to the crash, but I don’t think rank was a contributing factor.
by fullshark | 2025-04-30 18:28:53+00:00
I just don't think it's that simple. A lot of states/regions have tried to make their own silicon valley over the past 15 years for illustration, throwing money and tax incentives at the problem, and results have been mixed. Even SF's attempt to transform itself as an tech industry city has yielded mixed results for its residents and they'd have to be considered a relative success story at a minimum on this front.

There's just too many factors outside the state's control, beyond a lack of political support for those types of investments.
by toast0 | 2025-04-30 18:29:04+00:00
Cruising speed can also be modulated, easily within some ranges. You might speed up a little if you think you can land cargo before new tariffs, and you may slow if you think tariffs may be reduced if you land later. Staff costs for the vessel are relatively small, so as long as you don't go outside the range of speeds that are fuel efficient, there's flexibility.

Some of the tariff increases are so high that they effectively spoil the cargo; there's no point in bringing it through customs at those prices, and it typically won't make sense to ship it back, and it may not be possible to ship it elsewhere from the port either, so it is most likely to be destroyed at the port. Delaying to see if tariffs go down may be worthwhile for enough of the cargo that it makes sense to slow the whole boat.

Additionally, if demand for shipping is up, going faster allows for more supply, and if demand has slowed, going slower reduces supply.
by nchmy | 2025-04-30 18:29:11+00:00
In addition to youtubers, there's also a bunch of people who have nothing better to do with their lives than frequenting sourdough forums - reddit, facebook groups etc... - insisting to all newcomers that if you don't cultivate your starter with lab equipment in a Clean Room over the course of 6 weeks, you'll absolutely die from botuliusm.

Ive been making sourdough multiple times per week for 7 years and I do as you do - just make a thick paste, in increasingly large quantities over the course of 2-3 days before making the full batch of dough. I do weigh the dough measurements since I have a scale, but I could totally just do it by eye/feel.

I make very large batches and once the dough has started rising while doing periodic stretch and folds, I just put it in the fridge and then take it out and bake a bit over the course of 5ish days. So, I really just make a batch once a week.
by Rudybega | 2025-04-30 18:29:34+00:00
This is kind of what the modes in roo code do now. I'm having great success with them and having them as a default just rolled out a couple days ago.

There are a default set of modes (orchestrator, code, architect, debug, and ask) and you can create your own custom ones (or have roo do it for you, which is kind of a fun meta play).

Orchestrator basically consults the others and uses them when appropriate, feeding in a sensible amount of task definition and context into the sub task. You can use different LLMs for different modes as well (I like Gemini 2.5 Pro for most of the thinking style ones and gpt o4-mini for the coding).

I've done some reasonably complicated things and haven't really had an orchestrator task creep past ~400k tokens before I was finished and able to start a new task.

There are some people out there who do really cool stuff with memory banks (basically logging and progress tracking), but I haven't played a ton with that yet.

Basic overview: https://docs.roocode.com/features/boomerang-tasks

Custom Modes: https://docs.roocode.com/features/custom-modes
by empath75 | 2025-04-30 18:29:38+00:00
I kind of like that "mode" when i'm doing something kind of creative like brainstorming ideas for a D&D campaign -- it's nice to be encouraged and I don't really care if my ideas are dumb in reality -- i just want "yes, and", not "no, but".

It was extremely annoying when trying to prep for a job interview, though.
by davidfiala | 2025-04-30 18:30:15+00:00
Very nice!

Regarding the localness, are you optimizing or targeting users that prefer only local inference? The part about API keys at the end makes me wonder if there's any practical difference outside of lower local resource requirements and access to private models on the clound.

Do you recommend or force that people use any specific languages or frameworks that dyad is optimized to render or iterate on locally?
by seanw444 | 2025-04-30 18:30:20+00:00
I agree, it was just a succinct way of putting it. It's syntactically similar, which makes it easier for Python devs to shift to using it for higher-performance stuff. Aside from that, it's its own thing with its own unique offering.

My real point was that if you want "typed Python", you're doing it wrong. It wasn't built with that in mind, and probably will never be. You should just a tool that actually has strong typing in mind from the start. Nim fits that bill.
by cactusplant7374 | 2025-04-30 18:30:52+00:00
I like changing the scenery a lot but I disagree that it makes me a bad or immoral person. Most people do not want to leave their country. Some people do and that benefits local people through tourism and retirees. The system is working out well for developing countries. It helps them develop faster.

Do office workers do anything to help other countries develop? Or does all their effort go towards making their rich friends richer?