The Necessity for Iteration in the Application of Numerical Simulation to EGS : Examples from the EGS Collab Test Bed 1

The United States Department of Energy, Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) is funding a collaborative investigation of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) processes at the meso-scale. This study, referred to as the EGS Collab project, is a unique opportunity for scientists and engineers to investigate the creation of fracture networks and circulation of fluids across those networks under in-situ stress conditions. The EGS Collab project is envisioned to comprise three experiments and the site for the first experiment is on the 4850’ Level in phyllite of the Precambrian Poorman formation, at the Sanford Underground Research Facility, located at the former Homestake Gold Mine, in Lead, South Dakota. Principal objectives of the project are to develop a number of intermediate‐scale field sites and to conduct well‐controlled in situ experiments focused on rock fracture behavior and permeability enhancement. Data generated during these experiments will be compared against predictions of a suite of computer codes specifically designed to solve problems involving coupled thermal, hydrological, geomechanical, and geochemical processes. Comparisons between experimental and numerical simulation results will provide code developers with direction for improvements and verification of process models, build confidence in the suite of available numerical tools, and ultimately identify critical future development needs for the geothermal modeling community. Moreover, conducting thorough comparisons of models, modelling approaches, measurement approaches and measured data, via the EGS Collab project, will serve to identify techniques that are most likely to succeed at the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE), the GTO’s flagship EGS research effort. As noted, outcomes from the EGS Collab project experiments will serve as benchmarks for computer code verification, but numerical simulation additionally plays an essential role in designing these meso-scale experiments. This paper reviews specific numerical simulations supporting the design of experiments within Test Bed 1, a volume of phyllite rock under in-situ stress conditions off the western side of the West Access Drift on the 4850 Level, near Governor’s Corner. Numerical simulations were executed prior to the start of hydraulic stimulation activities within Test Bed 1 following standard practices, using best estimates of principal stress conditions, thermal conditions, and the rock petrophysical properties, including geomechanical properties. These simulations indicated notching of the borehole would promote the initiation of transverse fractures, seismic magnitudes during the 11 J. Ajo-Franklin, S.J. Bauer, T. Baumgartner, K. Beckers, D. Blankenship, A. Bonneville, L. Boyd, S. Brown, S.T. Brown, J.A. Burghardt, T. Chen, Y. Chen, K. Condon, P.J. Cook, D. Crandall, P.F. Dobson, T. Doe, C.A. Doughty, D. Elsworth, J. Feldman, A. Foris, L.P. Frash, Z. Frone, P. Fu, K. Gao, A. Ghassemi, H. Gudmundsdottir, Y. Guglielmi, G. Guthrie, B. Haimson, A. Hawkins, J. Heise, M. Horn, R.N. Horne, J. Horner, M. Hu, H. Huang, L. Huang, K.J. Im, M. Ingraham, R.S. Jayne, T.C. Johnson, B. Johnston, S. Karra, K. Kim, D.K. King, T. Kneafsey, H. Knox, J. Knox, D. Kumar, K. Kutun, M. Lee, K. Li, R. Lopez, M. Maceira, P. Mackey, N. Makedonska, C.J. Marone, E. Mattson, M.W. McClure, J. McLennan, T. McLing, C. Medler, R.J. Mellors, E. Metcalfe, J. Miskimins, J. Moore, J.P. Morris, S. Nakagawa, G. Neupane, G. Newman, A. Nieto, C.M. Oldenburg, W. Pan, T. Paronish, R. Pawar, P. Petrov, B. Pietzyk, R. Podgorney, Y. Polsky, J. Popejoy S. Porse, B.Q. Roberts, M. Robertson, W. Roggenthen, J. Rutqvist, D. Rynders, H. Santos-Villalobos, M. Schoenball, P. Schwering, V. Sesetty, C.S. Sherman, A. Singh, M.M. Smith, H. Sone, F.A. Soom, C.E. Strickland, J. Su, D. Templeton, J.N. Thomle, C. Ulrich, N. Uzunlar, A. Vachaparampil, C.A. Valladao, W. Vandermeer, G. Vandine, D. Vardiman, V.R. Vermeul, J.L. Wagoner, H.F. Wang, J. Weers, J. White, M.D. White, P. Winterfeld, T. Wood, S. Workman, H. Wu, Y.S. Wu, Y. Wu, E.C. Yildirim, Y. Zhang, Y.Q. Zhang, J. Zhou, Q. Zhou, M.D. Zoback