Correlation of Liver Elastography as a Predictor of Esophageal Varices and Its Comparison With Ultrasound Abdomen and Liver Function Tests in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease

Introduction: Variceal haemorrhage is a life-threatening complication that occurs in up to 40% of patients with chronic liver disease including cirrhosis. It is associated with a mortality rate of 20% with each episode of variceal bleeding. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy is the gold standard for the detection of esophageal varices but is an invasive procedure and not very cost-effective. Our study was designed to correlate the presence of esophageal varices on endoscopy with the liver stiffness measurement using liver elastography in patients with chronic liver disease. We also compared various non-invasive predictors like laboratory parameters and ultrasound features and correlated them with the presence of varices in patients with chronic liver disease. Methodology: This prospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary-care hospital in South India from November 2017 to April 2019. All patients with chronic liver disease were subjected to endoscopy, and the presence of esophageal varices and their grading was noted. The predictive efficacy of ultrasound elastography using Toshiba Aplio 500 ultrasound two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) in predicting esophageal varices was calculated and compared with the efficacy of predicting esophageal varices by other non-invasive parameters like laboratory investigations, abdominal ultrasound, and liver scores like Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) score, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) score, and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR). Results: The study included a total of 168 patients out of which 57% (96 patients) had no varices. About 52 patients (72.2%) had F1/Grade I varices, 9 (12.5%) had F2/Grade II varices, and 11 (15.3%) had F3/Grade III varices. The greatest predictive value for esophageal varices was liver stiffness with a diagnostic accuracy of 81.7%. Ultrasound features like coarse echotexture of the liver (66.7%), splenomegaly (67%), dilated portal vein (78.6%), and presence of moderate ascites (66.7%) had a significant statistical association with the presence of esophageal varices. Laboratory parameters like thrombocytopenia of less than 1.5 lakhs/cu.mm (52.8%), albumin <3 g/dL (60.4%), and reversal of albumin/globulin ratio (52.4%) were significant predictors of esophageal varices. The odds ratio for significant scores in predicting oesophageal varices using binary logistic regression was significant in patients whose liver elastography grade was more than F4, CTP score was B, MELD score was >11, and FIB-4 scores was >3.25 and between 1.46 and 3.25. Conclusion: Liver elastography is a non-invasive procedure that can be a useful tool in predicting esophageal varices in chronic liver disease. Other non-invasive predictors like ultrasound abdomen and laboratory parameters can also be considered a replacement for repeated invasive endoscopy, thus facilitating early intervention and avoiding unfavourable outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease.