Simulating Parallel Overlapping Universes in the Fifth Dimension with HyperWarpSpeed Implemented in the WarpIV Kernel

This paper describes a revolutionary information processing approach that will increase warfighter productivity by orders of magnitude for problems requiring analysis, planning, optimization, and dynamic situation assessment and prediction in live operational environments. This technology, known as HyperWarpSpeed, breaks the four-dimensional barrier of space and time by extending modeling, simulation, and analysis into the fifth dimension. HyperWarpSpeed optimizes the simulation of parallel overlapping universes using Bayesian branching, multireplication state variable data types, event splitting, and event merging techniques. Multiple excursions can be explored within a single simulation execution while aggressively sharing computations between branches whenever possible. This is in stark contrast to traditional and wasteful brute-force Monte Carlo approaches requiring the execution of hundreds or thousands of simulation replications to achieve statistical validity and/or to explore potential outcomes. In addition, HyperWarpSpeed is able to achieve scalable computational speedup on emerging multicore and distributed computing architectures. The multicore revolution has already begun. It is necessary for next generation software to embrace parallel processing methodologies to achieve scalable performance. With its rollback-based event processing algorithms, HyperWarpSpeed is well positioned to support real-time dynamic situation assessment and prediction of complex battlefield scenarios in live operational settings. Control theory techniques, such as Kalman Filters, are used to continually calibrate the simulation with live measurements as they are received while continually predicting future outcomes based on best estimates of the current state. Affected portions of the simulated predictions are rolled back as live data is received to constantly update the real-time operational picture. All of these capabilities are implemented within the freely available open source WarpIV Kernel that is provided as a reference implementation for the Open Source Initiative for Parallel and Distributed Modeling and Simulation (OSIPDMS). The Simulation Interoperability Standards Organization (SISO) recently formed this new study group to investigate plug-and-play open source M&S architectures. The first operational prototype of this technology was delivered to the Air Force Research Laboratory, Rome Labs in the fall of 2007. Although preliminary tests show orders of magnitude improvement over traditional Monte Carlo methods, HyperWarpSpeed will require further research and development to discover and unleash the full potential of this technology for command and control systems such as Air Operations Centers. HyperWarpSpeed introduces a paradigm shift in modeling, simulation, and analysis. This technology, when fully mature, will change the way models are represented, experiments are designed, analysis studies are conducted, 08S-SIW-025 WarpIV Technologies, Inc. 1/30/08 2 optimization problems are solved, planning is performed, and real-time dynamic situation assessment and prediction capabilities are supported. Through open source distribution and standardization, this technology will benefit a wide range of future advanced computing programs, with direct benefits to the warfighter.