Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Gore recalled that three years ago Bill Clinton vetoed bills that had environmental riders which "led to government shutdowns." Gore is concerned about the administration's $6.3 billion climate change program. He criticized the failure of Congress in prior years to "take early steps to confront climate change." An unnamed White House source suggested that the veto threat was premature (Associated Press, June 16, 1998).
Public companies in the UK are to become the first in the world forced to publish full details of the greenhouse gasses they produce, under plans to be announced by the government.
it was concluded thatnear Polar temperatures are on anaverage six degrees higher than thoseregistered by Nansen 40 years ago.Ice measurements were on an averageonly 6 feet against from 9 to 13 feet.
When I spoke in Munich last month I had the good fortune to be in town
If Nir Shavivs peer reviewed paper (JGR) on using the oceans as a calorimeter is near the mark, the ~0.25W/m^2 increase in TSI since 1749 gets amplified to ~2W/m^2 (probably via the Svensmark effect of cosmic rays on cloud nucleation, which is solar modulated) and this is enough to explain most of the warming since the LIA, allowing for greater oceanic energy emission as SST rises. Bigger variations in UV may well account for atmospheric chemistry changes to ozone which will modulate the curve.
I co-authored a 2013 peer-reviewed paper which indeed concluded that ???Tornadoes have not increased in frequency, intensity or normalized damage since 1950.??
Specifically, McCarthy and the Air Office over which she presides gave Congress and the electric power sector false assurances that the EPAs greenhouse gas regulations would not require utilities planning to build new coal-fired power plants to fuel switch to natural gas. McCarthy alsodenied under oath that greenhouse gas motor vehicle standards are related to fuel economy standards, eventhough anyone with her expertisemust knowthat the former implicitly and substantiallyregulate fuel economy.
ScottishPower and Shell appeared to be the frontrunners, spending about 20m on research into converting the coal-fired Longannet power station in Fife to collect the carbon dioxide emitted.
"I hope that we can somehow figure out how the 1994 law can be enforced and we can defund it now, which will, I believe, quickly cause the implosion of the Paris agreement," he said.
When Beaulieu visited Glaubers' home, the parrot was screaming at him:
The ???cooler?? runs outnumber the ???warmer?? runs 8 to 4. So I??ll go with a somewhat cooler year overall.
"President Obama's recipe for economic recovery and re-emergent innovation, as laid out in Tuesday evening's State of the Union address, may leave many Americans unmoved. One thing, however, is clear."
The Chicxulub impact was a relatively straightforward exercise in science compared to the extraordinary claims being made about the cause of the Younger Dryas. WUWT has been following the Younger Dryas debate closely for a number of years and I wont belabor the background information on its evolution except to say that resistance to the idea seems overwhelming despite repeated attempts to present more extensive, rigorous and compelling evidence. Just as with the end of the dinosaurs the extinction of mammoths and other North American megafauna requires an air-tight case and this will only happen when a crater or other irrefutable evidence of an impact is discovered and, preferably, dated.
Recognizing its early mistakes, the English-speaking world is abandoning its infatuation with climate change theory
I have no idea what is going on here. Frank Wentz and Chelle Gent Mann at Remote Sensing Systems havebeen very careful about tracking the accuracy of the AMSR-E SST retrievals with millions of buoy measurements. I checked Their daily statistics They item at their website and I dont see anything like what is shown in the above figure.
Since 1985, the overall trend has been +0.3F per decade, about half of the IPCC projection. Since 2000, the trend has been -3F per decade ??? four times greater than the IPCC projection, and in the opposite direction!
Imagine a dark matter telescope showing a completely different sky. Like Nicole Kidmans character in The Others , it will be the revelation that the ghosts, its us.
Abstract. The recent slowdown in global warming has brought into question the reliability of climate model projections of future temperature change and has led to a vigorous debate over whether this slowdown is the result of naturally occurring, internal variability or forcing external to Earths climate system. To address these issues, we applied a semi-empirical approach that combines climate observations and model simulations to estimate Atlantic- and Pacific-based internal multidecadal variability (termed AMO and PMO, respectively). Using this method, the AMO and PMO are found to explain a large proportion of internal variability in Northern Hemisphere mean temperatures. Competition between a modest positive peak in the AMO and a substantially negative-trending PMO are seen to produce a slowdown or false pause in warming of the past decade.
Fears of adverse publicity and expense of such lawsuits compel some businesses to surrender to As You Sow, whose conquests, according to public records, have included: plumbing fixture manufacturers and jewelry manufacturers/retailers whose products may contain lead; the California Dental Association over mercury in dental amalgam; and portable classroom manufacturers over formaldehyde emissions.
In concluding their report, Li and Sharma state that "despite the remarkable improvements of GCMs over the past years, it is still a challenge to simulate volcanic impacts for all GCMs, which has also been confirmed by Driscoll et al . (2012), who examined 12 CMIP5 GCMs and found that they all overestimated the cooling in the tropical troposphere following the nine explosive eruptions in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries."
21. How convinced are you that most of recent or near future climate change is, or will be, a result of anthropogenic causes? (17% rated it 5, 32% 6, and 34% 7; about 15% ranked it less than a 5)
Now that they have given up on warming and changed the meme to extreme weather it has become obvious that much of the 20th century needs to be disappeared. Leading this effort is NOAA, which has recently lost most of its tornado records prior to 1953. The Dust Bowl never happened.
In summary, think of what you are being asked to believe by the JPL NASA folks. All of Earths man-made global warming heat energy for 15 years has been somehow concentrated, transported laterally across the globe to one limited geographic area of the western Pacific Ocean. Lastly this massive heat energy source has been transported vertically downward in the ocean column bypassing shallow cooler water layers coming to rest at a 100-300 meter seawater depth. This is a highly unlikely and overly contorted explanation.
Some even suspect a political motive in releasing the research, funded by NASA, the Air Force Office of Scientific Research, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the American Petroleum Institute. A
It seems that a few people have a very strong say, and no matter how much
Arctic experts cherry picked two days out of 35 years, to base their entire understanding of Arctic sea ice.
Alternatively, if that bump were real, it could have been a sign of compositeness, a heavy scalar (instead of a spin-one boson), or a triboson pretending to be a diboson. However, on Sunday, six string phenomenologists proposed a much more exciting explanation:
A draft public statement seen by The Age concluded it was unethical for health practitioners to treat patients using homeopathy, for the reason that homeopathy (as a medicine or procedure) has been shown not to be efficacious.
Well, Roy, what actually allows your microbolometer to measure temperatures of cooler objects is that it detects the rate of cooling of its sensor. Basic physics relating to two parallel metal plates radiating towards each other tells us exactly the same thing, namely that the rate of cooling by radiation will be slowed by the presence of a cooler plate. But, Roy, that is no proof that there is a greenhouse effect. It's all a lot more involved than just that. We saw the same kind of fuzzy thinking elsewhere by Spencer as shown in another PSI article this week revealing how Dr. Spencer actually asserts that greenhouse gases allow the atmosphere to cool itself, but 'cooling also causes heating.'
Let?s start with a long-term fact that the global mean climate does change. No one disputes that. It changes now, it was changing in the past and will ? undoubtedly ? be changing also in the future. In spite of that, we have to add that over the last ten thousand years (the era of Holocene), the climate has been much the same as at present and the average surface temperature did not vary significantly. If there has been any long term trend there has been an overall gentle cooling trend.
If an energy technology is commercially viable, no government support is needed; if it is not commercially viable, no amount of government support can make it so.
The observed reduction in warming trend over the period 19982012 as compared to the period 19512012, is due in roughly equal measure to a cooling contribution from internal variability and a reduced trend in radiative forcing (medium confidence). The reduced trend in radiative forcing is primarily due to volcanic eruptions and the downward phase of the current solar cycle. However, there is low confidence in quantifying the role of changes in radiative forcing in causing this reduced warming trend.
The 1890s equivalents of Rep. Sherwood Boehlert, R-N.Y., and Rep. Henry Waxman, D-Calif., could have demanded horses that ate less, and they could have legislated FAHE, or Farm Average Hay Economy, standards.
The Bible tells us that we shall know false prophets by their fruit, in other words by what they produce. And what climate alarmists have shown to date is an appalling lack of honesty and ethics.
However, the Czech Republic is special in one respect: the public overwhelmingly supports the nuclear energy. That's also reflected in the Parliament: almost all parties that sit in the Parliament today support nuclear energy. The only exception is the Green Party but this one is very unlikely to get to the Parliament again, after the May 2010 polls. The new parties that will be added to the Parliament seem to be pro-nuclear.
November 17, 2014 | Testimony on Energy and Environment
Has atmospheric CO2 decreased? A different way to look at CO2 changes
The Tax Reform Commission, coincidentally enough, is charged by President Bush with identifying tax policies that "better encourage work effort, saving, and investment, so as to strengthen the competitiveness of the United States in the global marketplace." This language from the President's Executive Order creating the Commission seems to imply a tax code aimed more at consumption than income, perhaps by carving out large chunks of income saved or invested from the tax base. If taxing consumption is more productive, economically speaking, why does the President not exploit the global P.R. campaign for the Kyoto accord, and win some international brownie points by focusing tax reform on energy consumption?
"Our loan guarantees have strict conditions in place to protect taxpayers," said DOE spokesman Damien LaVera. "The Department only allows the loan to be disbursed as the company meets certain milestones and demonstrates results. As has been widely reported, Fisker has experienced some delays in its sales and production schedule -- which is common for start-ups. As Fisker works through those issues and incorporates lessons learned from the production of the Karma, the Department is working with Fisker to review a revised business plan and determine the best path forward so the company can meet its benchmarks, produce cars and employ workers here in America."
To moderate progressives, the Clinton presidency is the model of progressive action in the modern world. Clinton's go-slow approach, coupled with his continued pursuit of progressive spending and social policies where possible, meant that progressive policies became imbedded in the middle-class mindset, making them impervious to conservative counterattack.
The proposal is meant to "guarantee the compliance of Annex I Parties with all the provisions of this decision."
Since they are both agree-disagree questions, they clearly result in Acquiescence Response Bias, boosting the case for public belief in a global warming/weather connection.
While most of the Earth warmed rapidly during recent decades, surface temperatures decreased significantly over most of Antarctica .
Clearly, these two calcifying organisms appear not to suffer the deleterious consequences so frequently claimed by climate alarmists to accompany the ongoing rise in the air's CO 2 content; and, consequently, the four researchers conclude that "biological responses to acidification, especially calcifying biota, will be species specific and therefore much more variable and complex than reported previously." And, we would add, they will probably be a whole lot less significant as well. See Oceans (Acidification) in our Subject Index. Reviewed 9 June 2010
However, the district will cease to use a companion video about global warming, narrated by actor Leonardo DiCaprio, he wrote.
Above all, EPA must sort out how setting CO2 tailpipe standards might affect "many sources beyond just the cars and trucks considered by the Court, including schools, hospitals, power plants, aircraft, and ships."
As President Obama has learned, the human calamity in Syria does not yield to easy solutions. Putting on a pair of climate blinders is the last thing we should do if we truly care about the suffering of the innocent in Syria.
Im rather fond of the way this site describes the process:
Last week, I was wondering how long it would be before we saw the fall of global warming. I had decided that after the CERN report and running up to the theres no increase in extreme weather but weve tried to put the best spin on it IPCC report, we would see the whole scam crumble.
And Australian Coal Association director Ralph Hillman said domestically-mined coal made a tiny contribution to global carbon emissions.
First female IMF chief receives praise from former hometown of Chicago:
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the bureaucratic agency which appropriated the role of arbiter of things climatic, has advanced a theory for the lack of warming since the turn of the century, viz:
Lead author Professor Mike Lockwood said, ???Our results show that over the next fifty years there is a 10 per cent chance that temperatures will return to Maunder minimum levels. Describing the Maunder minimum as a ???little ice age?? is somewhat misleading however.
Gulf Stream Safe If Wind Blows and Earth Turns
How did I concoct this? First, I fit a least squares trend and found the line that bests fits the data Roger provided. This line has a slope of 1.21 units/time and the intercept at time=0 is 78 units. I checked to see if the trend was statistically significant: It was. Then, I checked the autocorrelation of residuals: It was 5%. So, I neglected auto-correlation and proceeded as though its not real. (It might be real, who knows? Im being naive here. )
But?if there happens to be *faster* warming than expected, well, the experts would be all too willing to adjust their models to have even greater climate sensitivity.
Figure 15 is the model-data comparison for the sea surface temperatures of the largest ocean on our planet, the Pacific. The models more than double (almost triple) the warming rate for the surface of the Pacific Ocean.
on Tuesday, December 21st, 2010 at 12:43 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Y2Kyoto: California's Global Warming Solutions Act
The man of system considers himself far above and superior to others, who are to be compelled to conform to his political design for them. As Smith observed:
And here's why the article's a pseudo-scientific screed:
Indeed the trend from 1983 to 2013 differs significantly (0.33 +/- 0.06C/decade) from the 2000 to 2013 period (0.09 +/- 0.14C/decade), which is no longer a significant warming. This hefty deceleration has occurred even though greenhouse gas emissions continued to rise linearly unabated. We reported multiple times on what the reasons could be for thi.
UK warmist admits: "We don't fully understand the relative importance of' factors that influence climate
1- In 1998 a paper is published by Dr. Michael Mann. Then at the University of Virginia, now a Penn State climatologist, and co-authors Bradley and Hughes. The paper is named: Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations. The paper becomes known as MBH98.
It would be unacceptable in a peer-reviewed scientific publication, for instance, to brush aside legitimate objections to a theory by saying the vast majority of researchers in the field agree. That just isnt how science is done.
SM: Exactly. This is something that I'm feeling very good about. One of the most interesting parts about the debate on the president's tax plan is that the left's main line of attack was class warfare. And I think that was a strategic mistake by the left. It really fell flat on its face. Folks didn't, for the most part, buy into the class warfare. The truth is that most Americans don't hate rich people like Bill Gates and Michael Dell as much as Tom Daschle does.
To these activists, we say: "You first. Divest yourselves first. Get fossil fuels out of your lives. All of them. Go live in Sub-Saharan Africa just like the natives for a few months, drinking their parasite-infested water, breathing their polluted air, enduring their disease-ridden flies and mosquitoes without benefit of modern drugs or malaria preventatives and walking 20 miles to a clinic when you collapse with fever.
Book targets policies and policymakers amid Alberta's malaise
The new Democratic strategy had a few disadvantages. It made polarization worse. The heavily urban, progressive coalition it envisioned was capable of winning electoral-vote majorities, but its geographic distribution put it at a structural disadvantage in races for the House, the Senate and governorships. And the coalition has turned out to be fragile even at the presidential level, precisely because it did not have sufficient appeal to white voters without college degrees. Since the Democrats' coalition worked best at the presidential level, losing there created a risk of being shut out of power as they now will be.
a corrupt organization, prone to groupthink, with a political agenda.
Meanwhile the very latest peer-reviewed science from the Global and Planetary Journal shows no relationship at all between carbon dioxide and Earth's temperatures.
James Kirkup, Harry Wallop and Louise Gray
"A new moral atmosphere is taking shape in the country," Gorbachev told the Central Committee at the January 1987 meeting where he declared glasnost openness and democratization to be the foundation of his perestroika, or restructuring, of Soviet society. "A reappraisal of values and their creative rethinking is under way." Later, recalling his feeling that "we couldn't go on like that any longer, and we had to change life radically, break away from the past malpractices," he called it his "moral position."
The failure to apply common sense to the New Source Review program has burdened American consumers and American industry with higher economic costs and higher levels of pollution than were envisioned by Congress when it wrote the Clean Air Act amendments of 1977. As EPA itself now admits,
Now that cool La Nina is dominating, they are trying to blame that on global warming.
all start by equating the output flux with the input flux. Of course this has all the problems of violating real physics by assuming that the Earth is flat and that the Sun is farther away than it actually is, etc. etc., as has been discussed here extensively, and so an additional major catastrophe for these models is that, if you just stop to think about what theyre saying about the solar input, their solar input cant melt ice or evaporate water or create the water cycle, or warm anything up at all , by itself. That is because these models do not conserve physics, even if they might numerically conserve flux. This is the difference between math and physics, and understanding this is the difference between being a physicist, and not. Many of these people who are thinking of themselves as physicists, are not, unfortunately.
JOS: You have recently been working to expose the vast discrepancies between what the IPCC science reports say and what is in the IPCC Summary for Policymakers. Is this an important area of attack for skeptics?
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds there was an "Abrupt change in atmospheric CO2 during the last ice age" which occurred "r apidly, over less than two centuries. This rise in CO2 was synchronous with, or slightly later than, a rapid increase of Antarctic temperature." The authors also report "carbon cycle modeling doesn't capture all of the processes for CO2 variations." Thus, rapid increases in atmospheric CO2 have been shown to occur naturally due to processes not captured by climate models. In addition, temperature rise during the last ice age was found to be synchronous or leading CO2 rise, implying that temperature controls atmospheric CO2, rather than CO2 controlling temperature.
The trend since 2001 remains just barely negative. The least squares trends since 2000, 1997, and even the nearly meaningless connect the dot trend from June 1997 to Jun 2009 are about 1.1C/century 1.2 C/century.
"the longest continuous runof seasonal drought during the modern period was 5 years, whereas the pre-modern periodcontained episodes of six, seven and eight consecutive-year droughts. Similarly, the 20thcentury, with only 9 winter and 12 summer droughts, contained fewer multiyear events thanany other century. The uniqueness of the 20th century is further highlighted by the markedoccurrence of protracted dual-season pluvials, rather than drought, over this period. Perhapsof greatest relevance, this study suggests that severe and sustained episodes of dual-seasondrought, which are largely missing from the instrumental period, have occurred multipletimes in the past (e.g., 1660s, 1740s, 1890s)."
Image by Dianna Ingram/Bergman Group
The situation is actually even worse than what we have discussed so far. Probability models, the kind that spit out equation #3, are fit to the hard data at hand. The models that are chosen are usually picked because of habit and familiarity, but responsible practitioners also choose the models so that they fit the old data well. This is certainly a rational thing to do. The problem is that, since probability models are only designed to say something about future data, the old data does not always encompass everything that can happen and so we are limited in what we can say about the future. All we can say for certain is what has happened before might happen again. But its anybodys guess whether what hasnt happened before might happen in the future.
The editorial does not speculate about what effect a decade of dampened economic growth might have had.
You also probably know that energy makes it possible to heat our homes, cook our food, and fill our gas tanks, but it does much more. Energy protects our troops and keeps our firefighters and police officers safe. Energy from oil, natural gas, and coal is responsible for hundreds and hundreds of everyday products. Coal provides the affordable energy that powers our factories and the raw materials used to make hundreds and hundreds of products we use every day are derived from oil and natural gas.