Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In response to the predicted changes in climate, forest productivity increased moderately for all stands (17% to 24%); while in response to the aerial fertilization effect of the doubling of the air's CO 2 content, it increased considerably more (72% to 86%). Even more impressively, when the climatic changes and atmospheric CO 2 increase were considered together, forest productivity increased still more (107% to 141%), which response is greater than that provided by the sum of their individual contributions, due to the amplifying synergy that exists among these factors with respect to their combined impact on basic plant physiological processes. What it means
Jiang et al . conclude that their "comparative analyses suggest that current GCMs/RCMs do not adequately capture multi-scale temporal variability of precipitation," and, therefore, they say that "using GCM/RCM output to conduct future flood projections is not creditable."
Stora sv ngningar i klimatet inget ovanligt
2- Steve attempts to replicate Michael Manns tree ring work in the paper MBH98, but is stymied by lack of data archiving. He sends dozens of letters over the years trying to get access to data but access is denied. McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, of the University of Guelph publish a paper in 2004 criticizing the work. A new website is formed in 2004 called Real Climate, by the people who put together the tree ring data and they denounce the scientific criticism:
The Medieval Warm Period disappeared, as did criticism of the global warming orthodoxy. With the release of the Climategate Emails, the disappearing trick has been exposed. The glorious Medieval Warm Period will remain in the history books, perhaps with an asterisk to describe how a band of zealots once tried to make it disappear.
(D) According to the scientists involved, the central planning of the best free capitalism (mp3: 35m45s). By Al Gore to Professor Lord Giddens of the London School of Economics, in environments AGW c one thought: the free market is not enough, and requires a large state intervention to save the planet from a climate doom.
For a look at what the future might bring have a look at California, which has perfected the art of regulatory expansion. Suppose you want to build a small strip mall or shopping center or office building. California regulators refer to such enterprises as "indirect sources" of pollutionindirect, because although they may not produce air pollution themselves, they are the destination for trips by automobiles. The "indirect source review" process in California estimates the amount of pollution from the cars that will come to your proposed place of business, and charges you a "mitigation" feeup to 50 cents a square foot or more in some cases. And separately California regulators have recently proposed outlawing the sale of black cars on the theory that black cars use more gasoline to run their air conditioning in the summer.
Acknowledging that "those days are over," when India and U.S. were on different sides, President Obama emphasized that India is "indispensable" to America's vision for the future. Stating that India and U.S. share regional and global security interests, share the desire for an open international economic system and seek a just and sustainable global order.
The core of humor is what I call the 2-of-6 rule. In order for something to be
With respect to "storms," it is not clear whether Ms. Macfarlane has tornadoes or tropical cyclones or both in mind. But it matters not: Tornado counts and intensities have declined since the mid-1950s, and the numbers and accumulated energy of tropical cyclones in particular are near their lowest levels since satellite measurements began in the early 1970s, despite increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases.
Yet the ridiculous Sir David King said he expected 4.5 C global warming this century. Even the excitable IPCC, on its most extreme scenario, gives a central estimate of only 3.7 C warming this century. Not one of the puddings on the committee challenged him.
New Material Posted on the NIPCC Web site
2nd highest ice coverage for Hudson Bay since 1971 at mid-August only 1992 higher
According to a background document issued by the ecology ministry, countries that are supporting the French idea comprise more than 30 European countries and the 54 members of the African Union, as well as Thailand, Malaysia, Nepal, Chile and Uruguay.
Also, during multidecadal periods when La Nia and El Nio events are more evenly matched, as they have been for the past decade, atmospheric and ocean circulation become more balanced, leading to the cessation of the long-term, naturally caused, sunlight-fueled global warming.
Democratic AGs ignore polls, press case against climate skeptics
It all depends. Suppose I do some research and find that all 99 doctors got their information from a single (anonymous) article in Wikipedia, what then?
The three Canadian researchers conclude that "moose in their southern range either ameliorate heat stress at a finer resolution than we measured or are more resilient to temperature than previously thought," thereby casting significant doubt upon what climate alarmists "intuitively" claim will occur in a warming world.
Wow. Note that this brief exchange followed a general consensus (!) on the panel that analyses driven by evidence are vastly preferable to mere ideology. That principle was endorsed vigorously by Ms. Macfarlane, who supposedly is a scientist and who, therefore, presumably understands that "consensus science" is a contradiction in terms received wisdom always is subject to refutation and that the pursuit of scientific "truth" is not majoritarian. No matter.
Others might look to certain climate anomalies and convince themselves that humans are the cause. I often hear claims that extreme weather is getting worse. Now, here we do have direct evidence to check. Whether its tornadoes (no change over the past 60 years), hurricanes (no changes over the past 120 years) or droughts and heat waves (not as bad as they were during the past 1,000 years), the evidence doesnt support those claims. So, we argue.
First, fracking has real potential to drive energy bills down. Labours mismanagement of the economy means that many people are struggling with the cost of living today. Where we can act to relieve the pressure, we must. Its simple gas and electric bills can go down when our home-grown energy supply goes up. Were not turning our back on low carbon energy, but these sources arent enough . We need a mix. Latest estimates suggest that theres about 1,300 trillion cubic feet of shale gas lying underneath Britain at the moment and that study only covers 11 counties. To put that in context, even if we extract just a tenth of that figure, that is still the equivalent of 51 years gas supply.
On June 9, 2009, four days after Waxman-Markey was marked up in the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Hugh Wynne, a senior analyst with BernsteinResearch, led a group of investors to meet with Exelon's senior management at the company's headquarters in Chicago. Wynne summarized Exelon's thinking in a non-public report prepared for Bernstein's clients:
Late Wednesday night, after a 16-day shutdown, the President signed a bill to reopen the government and pay our countrys bills. Today, a government shutdown over delaying or defunding the health care law can no longer hurt our economy. We are no longer facing the threat of default .
Bush's initial course effectively ended on September 11, 2001, with the emergence of antiterrorism as a predominant national issue.
If you don't like telling people No, a convenient alternative is setting conditions you know other people won't accept. Then the impasse is their fault, you see.
The poison at issue is mercury, but industrial mercury emissions in the air aren't a direct threat to humans; rather, they settle onto bodies of water and then make their way up the aquatic food chain. Because mercury is a neurotoxin, the fear is that pregnant women can engender developmental disorders in their fetuses by eating fish that have accumulated mercury. Therefore, the EPA identifies pregnant women as the population at highest risk from U.S. power plant mercury emissions.
SINKING UNDER THEIR FALSE SEA-LEVEL PREDICTIONS, ALARMISTS CHANGE THE DATA
The first scenario, "Awash in oil and gas," assumes that consumers enjoy secure access to abundant supplies of oil, natural gas and coal at low prices. America would enjoy "significant GDP growth" and carbon emissions would grow more than 50 percent between 2000 and 2035.
However you feel about Newt Gingrich, his response to CNN's John King, at the start of tonight's U.S. Presidential debate was sublime: h/t Fred
On February 24, one day after the Obama speech, the U.S. Geological Survey released a report on the amount of oil estimated to exist in the North Slope of Alaska . The amount of oil that is technically recoverable in the United States is more than 1.4 trillion barrels, with the largest deposits located offshore, in portions of Alaska, and in shale in the Rocky Mountain West. When combined with resources from Canada and Mexico, total recoverable oil in North America exceeds 1.7 trillion barrels.
These various lake sediment series have been the most prominent ???new?? thousand-year proxies in the past 7 or 8 years, but they are fraught with difficulties in terms of interpretation as temperature proxies, with post-hoc interpretation rife.
Propane fracking is different from hydrofracking, which uses a high-pressure mix of water, chemicals and sand to break up underground rock formations and release trapped natural gas. Propane fracking does not use water and instead relies on a thick gel made from propane, a widely available gas used by anyone who has fired up a backyard barbecue grill.
TABLE 1. EPA's "Description of likelihood"
The low pressure center that brought snow to the Sierra and hailstorms to some locations has moved south. But the coldest temperatures of the week remain in the Central Valley.
The global warming debate often degenerates into one side the alarmists claiming the other side skeptics is anti-science. Believers wrap themselves in science as if it were an impenetrable and absolute defense.
The news releases began flying as Obama unveiled the long-awaited details of his $3.4 trillion spending plan, including a list of programs he wants to trim or eliminate. Though the proposed reductions represent just one-half of 1 percent of next year's budget, the swift protest was a precursor of the battle Obama will face within his own party to control spending and rein in a budget deficit projected to exceed $1.2 trillion next year.
" keeping talks alive with no prospect of success will wreak further incalculable damage on the WTO " Claude Barfield
Yep, al-Qaeda is on the run, alright, running through O's mind. There is a reason that no one had heard of such a group until a nanosecond ago, when the "Khorosan Group" suddenly went from anonymity to the "imminent threat" that became the rationale for an emergency air war there was supposedly no time to ask Congress to authorize. You haven't heard of the Khorosan Group because there isn't one. It is a name the administration came up with, calculating that Khorosan -- the -Iranian-Afghan border region -- had sufficient connection to jihadist lore that no one would call the president on it.
But even if we take the estimates provided by the advocates of aggressive action, the math comes up short. For example, the National Resource Defense Council estimates that if left unchecked, global warming will cost the U.S. 1.8 percent of its GDP by the year 2100. Meanwhile the Stern Review estimates the cost of carbon mitigation to total 2 percent of world GDP by the year 2100. It appears that the hot areas of the world should be bribing us to take action, not the other way around.
As Property Rights Australia says, STAND YOUR GROUND.
Having been embarrassed, instead of just quietly vanishing, he thinks it helps his activist cause to parade his gullibility on Ad Hominem Unleashed (the ABC Drum) , to show how its really just more evidence that humans really are changing the weather. If you can figure out the logical chain in that, do tell us.
As I said in the article, there are no Gods in Science, and there is no Bible. If Doherty gets his opinion of climate hypotheses from following opinions of others, it??s a short cut to the real deal. Only the evidence matters, and it??s strange how many scientists are willing to sprout an opinion without being able to cite any. One??s leanings on this topic seems to follow mainly on whether you consult the data or the climate scientists.
In any case, agencies are not supposed to provide false or misleading information toinfluencehow Members of Congress vote.
Yorkshires biggest PLCs took a battering after the Budget with shares in Drax, the UKs biggest power station, plunging to a record low after the Government said clean power will not be exempt from climate change tax. The shock news wiped 28 per cent off the North Yorkshire firm and will come as a heavy blow at a time when Drax, once the UKs worst polluter, is switching to a much greener future burning biomass. It has already converted two of its six units to burn biomass and plans to bring a third online by 2016. -- Yorkshire Post, 8 July 2015
Americas Finest News Source scoops everyone :
tardily. The asymmetry in length and speed of reply correlates with
The IEA's suggested target for China of 8.4 billion tonnes of CO2 per year by 2020, which would then fall, is in line with most other research for a safe peak, said Michel den Elzen at the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.
Bushs EPA had hoped that if the agency only makes a welfare-based endangerment finding, it would only have to establish a secondary NAAQS for GHGs.The hoped-for advantageis that unlike a primary NAAQS, which states must attain infive or at most 10 years, a secondary NAAQS has no prescribed attainment date.Secondary NAAQS mustbe attained as expeditiously as practicable, which, in the case of GHGs, might be 50 years or longer.
Epstein et al.s much-publicized conclusion (built from their best and high estimates) that the hidden costs of coal should add 18 to 27 cents per kWh to the price of electricity in the U.S. and thus elevate the economic competitiveness of wind, solar, and other forms of nonfossil fuel power generation is idealistic driven and far too high.
Mark Boslough's most damning criticism of the deniers: they have no shared defining ideology and motivation!
The Deseret News Google News Archive Search
induced climate change in Africa. These scenarios draw upon the new preliminary
The resulting media hand wringing has reinforced European support for the Kyoto climate protocol, and increased attacks on the United States for not complying with it. But regardless of what the Europeans say it is extremely unlikely that America will comply, not least because its own glaciers are increasing in size (at least the major ones in Alaska). Also the more balanced funding to US research institutions is leading to studies that analyse receding, as well as advancing, glaciers on a global basis. The result will be a furthering of American scepticism about impending doom, ultimately polarising opinion against Europe's pro-Kyoto stance.
Crow Edge is about five miles up the road from us, and we regularly take our dog up on the moors there. In fact we happened to be up there on Monday afternoon , saw the fire engines and wondered what was happening.
My treatment at the hands of the consensus police has apparently discouraged some other scientists from publicly following suit. On the other hand, perhaps I have helped to pave the way for the emergence of a Tamsin Edwards . It will be interesting to see how all this plays out. And all this is why I regard the institutionalization of climate tribalism such as evidenced by the recent AGU statement on climate change to be so pernicious to the field of climate science.
In the big picture, adapting to climate change would mean figuring out how to make our cities more drought-resistant, flood resistant, and temperature tolerant, and how to help our ecosystems to be resilient.
$ N \leq (M {Planck} / m)^2 $
http://generationprocurement.saskpower.com/pdf/SPD 80m 021403.pdf Nuclear capitol costs are less than wind The Centennial Project cost $275 million to generate 60 MW (see Saskatchewan Legislature Hansard, January 2007, page 793 for costs); that is $4.5833 million/MW
"While the last 18 months have marked a monumental boost in browser performance and the beginnings in earnest of the HTML5 web app era, another important story has also been weaving its way through the fabric of internet society the increasing importance of privacy on the web. Last year, both the US and EU decided that privacy on the web in general, and tracking cookies in specific, should be taken seriously. As a result, both Chrome and Internet Explorer now have tracking protection extensions, and Mozilla has proposed and implemented a Do Not Track HTTP header."
We found out last week that Shweingruber MXD series had some very unusual things done to it. Series were cut off at 1960 and new fake data was pasted on the ends. The fake data of course correlated well to temperature and over 90% of the series passed correlation. The comments regarding the data warned that data after 1960, temperature records were mathematically incorporated in the series.
At present, polls suggest that Proposition 23 will be closely fought, with a slim majority of voters in California currently opposing it. However, the oil industry may take comfort in the fact that all of those polls were conducted several days before "James Cameron ? Hypocrite" was released.
Weather Could Make For An Interesting Republican Convention
A new paper published in Quaternary Science Reviews reconstructs European temperatures using a new technique combining fossil pollen and "boosted regression trees", and finds more non-hockey-sticks with temperatures during the Holocene Climate Optimum 6000 years ago were 0.7C higher during June-August in comparison to 500 years ago.
The argument that coastal vulnerability is a government failure, not a climate problem is also shared by Joseph E. Stiglitz, former chief economist of the World Bank, who wrote,
It has been more than six years since a hurricane hit Texas, but in 1884 Texaswashit by four hurricanes. The frequency of hurricane strikes in Texas has dropped by more than 50% since the 1880s. No doubt insurance companies have reduced premiums to compensate.
Oops! One wrong equation caused the climate scare
Specifically, the Competitive Enterprise and Action Aid folks noted that the EPA failed to consider multiple peer-reviewed studies documenting the link between ethanol and world hunger in its public health literature review, as required by law. That includes one paper that concludes that biofuel mandates are responsible for at least 192,000 premature deaths every year. Overall more people die from chronic hunger world-wide than malaria, tuberculosis and AIDS combined.
Faced with barriers to new plant construction, courts and regulators were loathe to risk a total shutdown of existing coal facilities, so a combination of administrative rules and judicial decisions have kept these plants on line far longer than they should have been, some even to the present day.
The interesting issue is what has really been going on with the Arctic temperatures since about 2008. In the preceding post Uncertainty in Arctic temperatures , MERRA vs the ERA-Interim showed diverging trends after about 2007; Figure 4b of Cowtan and Way is suggestive of a steady temperature in the Arctic since 2000 (although this figure uses a 60 month running mean).
With respect to triviality, for instance, the problem is not that things like climate change or childhood obesity cannot possibly be imagined to have some "national security" implications, but that it is far from clear that this impact is either direct or immediate enough or likely enough to be left unaddressed, or be unaddressable, by non-"security" means to justify the expenditure of scarce and already overstretched "national security" resources in struggling with it.
Even though the oceanic circulation pattern of warm water known as El Nio forms in the Pacific, it affects the circulation patterns across the globe, changing the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic. This regular type of El Nio (from the Spanish meaning little boy or Christ child) is more difficult to forecast, with predictions of the December circulation pattern not coming until May. At first glance, that may seem like plenty of time. However, the summer before El Nio occurs, the storm patterns change, meaning that predictions of El Nio come only one month before the start of hurricane season in June. But El Nio Modoki follows a different prediction pattern.
Reports now declare: "Climate change compromises may be easier with China than Congress."
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Adjunct Scholar Doug Bandow on the state of pork barrel spending in the current Congress:
There is a famous quote in the Climategate emails from Trenberth about the travesty that there is missing heat which we cant account for. This refers to the fact that the radiation balance as understood and as modeled implies that the Earth should be absorbing radiation and warming up. The observed rate of warming, including heat stored in the ocean, is significantly less than predicted. This is the travesty. Please note that the adjustment of the OHC data in the above plot (black line after 2002) makes the missing heat term larger by a significant amount. The problem of balancing the Earth energy budget remains unsolved. If further adjustments are warranted, as I believe, then the problem grows further.
How many other sincere Skeptics have made that same assumption? Latour goes on: -
Regardless of Foxs cinematographic propaganda, the United States remains the largest natural gas producer in the world. But the dramatic rise in domestic production means that natural gas will inevitably have some critics. The proven safety record of hydraulic fracturing and the boom this technology is helping to foster an American energy boom provides an inconvenient truth for Josh Fox and his anti-fracturing friends.
As mentioned, the net TOA radiation is also remarkable for its stability (bottom panel, Figure 2). The standard deviation of the global imbalance in net TOA radiation is about six-tenths of a watt per square metre (dotted horizontal gold lines). Note also that over the fourteen-year period there is no trend in the net TOA radiation.
The three youngest are all at OSU, working on PhDs in nuclear engineering. They entered the field at a young age, helping their father write and publish the "pro-science, pro-technology, pro-free enterprise" newsletter, Access to Energy, which explains and advocates nuclear energy.
Disclosure: I actually run a few campgrounds in the UP of Michigan, but since sleeping in tents seems to fit the governor's industrial policy, I'll probably be OK.
Throughout the course of the 2008 election, two plotlines defined the Republican cause:
Its bizarre, but since temperatures have actually fallen slightly since the last report in 2007, the IPCC is now more certain that humans have been the dominant cause of observed warming since the 1950s. The IPCC claims that climate models have improved since AR4, but cannot give a best estimate for climate sensitivity, the only number that really matters in the end, because of, quote:
The KUSI News Special will be posted at http://www.kusi.com/weather/colemanscorner/81175327.html as four segments a few hours before the program is telecast Thursday evening.
The fixation of EU elites on this idea led them to overlook the various scandals that marred the UN throughout the 1990s (from the Rwanda genocide to the Iraq oil-for-food program). More important, there is great reluctance on the part of EU public opinion at large to acknowledge the fact that, in the process of enlarging 54 members in 1945 to 184 in 1993, the UN's initial goals have been perverted.