Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Between the shock-and-awe slogans of the military Mars, and the human security fairy tales of the civilian Venus, Strategy in the West has been MIA for too long. Since the real Revolution in Strategic Affairs happens to be a non-Western affair, NATO leaders will have to start by learning the new grammar and logic of the kind of unrestricted warfare elaborated by the Chinese and the fourth-generation warfare practiced by Islamists.11
And a detail: Given the importance of koda within the Czech economy, I would find it appropriate if the stocks of Volkswagen were being traded at the Prague Stock Exchange, much like the stocks of the Austrian financial institutions Erste and VIG (that have important Czech daughters, too). VW could of course be added to the Madrid Stock Exchange and others, too. Such steps would highlight the fact that VW Group is a profit-seeking multinational company and not a group of fans of the German national soccer team, for example. Sometimes it looks like it's the latter!
Algore was known at one time for bringing cold weather, now his prediction on ice seems to be contradicted by the evidence.
Lets pause here for a minute. First, the high RE results from nonsense predictors and the proposed B-C statistic of 0.25 are different issues. If you can get a high RE statistic from unrelated information, then the RE statistic by itself does not ensure that the model is meaningful. End of story. As to Manns statement that "Mann et al 2005 provide a true rigorous significance estimation procedure", I am unable to locate this calculation in the publication maybe someone else can locate it for me. Mann describes the "true rigorous significance estimation procedure" as follows:
Fact Check: The ad goes on to say, "they call it pollution, we call it life." It is true that some politicians and environmental groups want to label CO2 as a "pollutant." Several environmental groups, states and municipalities are currently suing the EPA to do so.
It is because there is ambiguity in the evidence that we cannot completely quantify the uncertainty in A. That is, the inability to articulate the precise definition of most people is the reason we cannot exactly quantify the probability of A.
"More than 150 economists back U.S. House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner's call to match any increase in the debt limit with spending cuts of equal size, according to a letter released by the Republican leader's office Wednesday."
The farmers group will hold a protest outside state parliament in Sydney on Tuesday, which it says will attract thousands of people angry about the governments approach to controversial coal seam gas exploration.
Examination of several proxy records (e.g., sediment cores) of sea ice indicateice-free or near ice-free summer conditions for at least some time during the period of 15,000 to 5,000 years ago
The impacts would have included (dollar values are adjusted for inflation):
NASAs man-made global warming deep ocean hiding place lies directly above one of the most active sub-ocean geological heat flow regions on earth, the Solomon Island / New Guinea portion of the western Pacific. A visually dramatic example of this geological heat flow is shown in the photo atop this article (Figure 1). It shows the ocean surface expression of the heat plume from a sub-ocean volcano named Kavachi which is located in the Solomon Island Chain. Even more telling are recently updated deep ocean maps which have identified many hundreds of deep sub-ocean volcanoes, hydrothermal vents and fault zones in this limited geographical area. None of these geological features are monitored for heat flow. However this Solomon Island / New Guinea portion of the western Pacific Ocean has recently been temperature mapped utilizing cable pulled deep diving temperature probes. This research project found that this area is extremely warm portion of the Pacific Ocean.
This means that even a legally correct ruling could badly backfire. Law enforcers depend upon a cooperative citizenry to do its job. If this ruling were to lead immigrants -- whether undocumented or documented -- to believe that law enforcement officers could detain them for any suspected immigration violations, that cooperation could disappear. These people would become reluctant to work with the police as witnesses or to report crimes. The Virginia government must tread carefully here.
As its anti-shale gas export attack response plans were percolating Dow was moving on another front to secure its commitment to exporting natural gas. Yes, you read that correctly. Dow owns a sizable chunk of Freeport LNG, which owns a LNG import terminal in Quintana Island, Texas that is now almost dormant after only four years of operation. Dow and its partners are seeking approval from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and the DOEyes, the same DOE it is now demonizingto spend $2 billion on its conversion with the aim to have the facility exporting 1.4 billion cubic feet of natural gas daily by 2015.
An increasing trend in global surface temperature, currently of 0.2 C to 0.3 C per decade.15
L1014 0.8 L1054 0.9 L1136 1.0 H0629 5.6 H0735 5.4 H0856 5.4 H1010 5.6
Until recently, the Obama administration ignored the pleas of Louisiana's governor to allow Louisiana to build barrier islands to contain the damage from the oil spill, citing bureaucratic procedures. Yet the Obama administration granted BP a waiver from environmental regulations in April 2009. ABC News reports that the "top recipient of BP-related donations during the 2008 cycle was President Barack Obama himself, who collected $71,000."
Reported estimates from Teslas certified shops include:
It is of course nonsensical to flip temperature data upside down when averaging but that is exactly what Steig et al does. This alone should call into question the papers result.
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Ive also curves to bound my 1 standard deviation uncertainties for actual values those are indicated by the dashed orange traces. That is, in the future, my best guess for the value (stock price? height of corn in Illinois? ) is in brown, and I expect there roughly a 2/3rd chance the individual values will fall inside the dashed orange lines. (I also expect that if I acquire loads of data, the future trend has a pretty good chance of falling between the purple lines.)
Ptydepe is an artificial language invented by playwright Vclav Havel, who would later become a prisoner and a president, in his The Memorandum (1966). Havel's brother, computer scientist Ivan Havel, actually helped Vclav Havel to design it. It guaranteed the happiness of everyone by making sure that the words are never too close to one another. The language is cool, for example:
We can't pour trillions in this massive hole-digging-and-filling-up endeavor and pretend it's not away from something and someone else.
Its mission, according to its website, is "to provide leadership and encourage partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing, and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations."
In this ongoing weaponization of the UN against the West, China has not remained passive: beyond the OIC and NAM proper, the largest group in the UN happens to be the "G-77 + China," i.e., 132 countries representing 69 percent of UN members. China's UN dues may be 2 percent of the UN budget, but Chinese activism in the past decade has spectacularly increased in recent years.36 It is reportedly under Chinese pressure that the US was evicted from the Human Rights Commission in 2001 to make room for Arab dictatorships.
Her conclusion appears to be that scepticism is on the wane and that denial is harder to sustain. But her view, distorted as it is by the prism of belief in AGW, fails to appreciate that the majority of sceptics accept the role of CO2 and that there is a human contribution to warming.
In 2007, Cyril Boynes organized a 332-kilometer (206-mile) people's march from Kampala to Gulu, Uganda, to support using DDT to eradicate malaria. This year, I participated in a march from Gulu to Kampala, to remember those who suffered during the long war with Joseph Kony's murderous Lord's Resistance Army, to honor my mother, who walked 20 km every day so that her children could eat and live and to promote health and prosperity for our country and continent.
/s/ David W. Heath JSC, Reentry Specialist, MOD, 30 years
The lunar phases have nothing to do with shadows, dead kir and dear Brian Cox. The Earth could only leave a shadow on the Moon if all these three celestial bodies, the Sun, the Earth, and the Moon, are located on a single straight line and the Earth is in the middle. But this occurs very rarely. When it does, there's indeed a shadow of the Earth on the Moon and it's called lunar eclipse. (The solar eclipse occurs when the three bodies are on the line but the Moon is in the middle and prevents us from seeing the whole Sun.)
Really? Mr. Mann claims that temperatures roughly 800 years ago, in what has been referred to as the Medieval Warm Period, were not as warm as those measured recently. This is important because if modern temperatures are not unusual, it casts doubt on the fear that global warming is a serious threat. In 2003, Willie Soon of the Smithsonian Institution and Sallie Baliunas of Harvard published a paper in the journal Climate Research that took exception to Mr. Mann??s work, work which also was at variance with a large number of independent studies of paleoclimate. So it would seem the Soon-Baliunas paper was just part of the normal to-and-fro of science.
Within days of the release of the government study, Dow held a news conference on January 10 denouncing it and announcing the launch of its anti-natural gas export website America's Energy Advantage. Dow, which public records indicate has spent more than $45 million on lobbyists over the last six years, recruited as partners Alcoa, American Public Gas Association, Celanese, Eastman Chemical and Nucor corporations likely to face marginally higher natural gas energy bills if industrial prices rise modestly with export deregulation, as anticipated. Huntsman Chemical joined the rump group on Tuesday.
Why is it that the Earth Guardians, Sierra Club and similar groups detest fracking? Maybe because this technology demolishes their Club of Rome claims that mankind is about to run out of petroleum or because it means fossil fuels are again on the ascendency, making wind and solar even less viable and further demonstrating that wind energy is a far less sustainable energy resource than petroleum.
A source is defined as "major" under PSD if it has a potential to emit 250 tons per year of an air pollutant, and also "major" under Title V if it has a potential to emit 100 tons per year. Whereas only large industrial facilities emit 100-250 tons per year of smog-producing chemicals or particulate matter, literally millions of small non-industrial facilities office buildings, hospitals, schools, restaurants, heated agricultural facilities, etc. emit enough CO2 to qualify as "major" sources.
Otherwise quite-sound South Carolina Governor Mark Sanford has weighed in on the political "global warming" sweepstakes with an op-ed in today's Washington Post. To his credit, he flatly states that "conservatives must respond to climate change with innovation, not regulation."
A blast of cold Arctic air is likely to be plunging all the way to Mexico by New Years Day
JC summary: The authors of this paper are members of the climate establishment, in terms of being involved with the WCRP CLIVAR Programme and also the IPCC. This paper arguably provides more fodder for skepticism of the AR4 conclusions than anything that I have seen from the climate establishment (the authors may not realize this). The issues surrounding natural internal decadal scale variability are a huge challenge for separating out natural from forced climate change. The same issues and challenges raised for future projections remain also for the warming in the last few decades of the 20th century. Sorting this out is the key challenge. No more unequivocals or very likelys in the AR5, please.
Climate scientist Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH), who helped design and manage NASA's global satellite system, posted a dissection his colleague John Christy carried out of a paper by Benjamin Santer et al. Santer and his colleagues use a new, lesser known, untested satellite data set with recorded temperatures much higher than the satellite measurements from Christy and Spencer's NASA satellites. Santer had referenced the UAH satellite data in earlier papers. In addition, Santer and his colleagues ignore one of the largest, long-term, consistent temperature and weather data sets in existence, the weather balloon radiosonde data.
Institutional constraints also exist within key nations. In the United States, widespread voter xenophobia and distrust of markets contribute to adoption of cost-ineffective policy tools, and legislators' incentives to serve constituency interests further supports adoption of regulatory and subsidy programs that greatly increase costs of mitigation. China's legal and economic institutions could not currently apply an effective GHG cap-and-trade or carbon tax. These kinds of GHG controls require the full rule of law, market prices for energy, and market discipline for major industries. In China, the prospects for such a transformation remain highly uncertain.
After the government agency initially said it could not find any such documents, it changed its story several times in an attempt to avoid making them public as required by law.
Figure 2 shows that the impacts on future sea level rise projections are equally insignificant. Instead of a projected sea level rise of 15.1cm by 2050, the Kerry-Lieberman bill produces a rise of 14.9cm. By 2100, the BAU projected rise is 37.1cm and the Kerry-Lieberman rise is 36.0cm. A century?s end sea level rise savings of 1.1cm, or 0.43 inches. Too small to be of consequence.
I don't suppose someone who splices datasets to hide declines is quite what is called for then.
Other climate drivers (geothermal fluxes negligible, 10,000 times below Sun, except for near volcanoes, volcano ashes' temporary effect, a nice summary of Svensmark cosmic rays, Soon and others solar influences, why the small irradiance variations don't exclude the concept; ocean cycles from ENSO, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, with maps, diagrams, and discussion of impact on weather, global and Australian)
German technology, more expensive, that oxyfuel can also sequester CO2, squeezing it until the liquid state, to enter later in deposits. The Germans are so cutting edge in reaching the goal of clean energy at low cost and with zero emissions.
The Pause has now drawn blood. In the run-up to the climate conference in Paris this December, the failure of the world to warm at all for well over half the satellite record has provoked the climate extremists to resort to desperate measures to try to do away with the Pause.
A new report published by Consumer Alert and the Pacific Research Institute finds that Californians would pay dearly to comply with the Kyoto Protocol. California relies heavily on fossil fuels. Oil accounts for 43.4 percent and natural gas 25.8 percent of California's energy use. It also relies on large amounts of electricity imported from other states, half of which is produced with coal.
"Washington, DC may soon offer the first shot at legal wagering on online poker in the the US. While the folks in the nation's capital are having hearings on how to roll out a local version of online poker run by the lottery, the big money is still gambling on what decision comes out of the US Congress."
What if climate change appears to be just mainly a multidecadal natural
Although George W. Bush's troublesome flag-waving tenure represented an unwelcome bump on the road, Barack Obama's 2009 inauguration was surely the high point of global governance's advance. Here was a president who saw global warming as the threat it was, promising to stop the seas from rising. This self-proclaimed "citizen of the world" rejected U.S. unilateralism, took the United Nations seriously, and understood that European Union-style institutions were the real future. Not only would America have social democracy domestically, but it would join its like-minded confreres worldwide to celebrate global governance's emerging transcendence. What could go wrong?
The UK Government has been accused of making obsessive attacks on the renewables industry, with leaders upset ministers have moved the goalposts again in todays Summer Budget. RenewableUK has lead complaints claiming George Osbornes announcement to scrap the Climate Change Levy is another example of the government changing the rules just weeks after it was announced there would be an early clawback of the Renewables Obligation. RenewableUKs Director of Policy, Dr Gordon Edge said it was the latest in a long line of unfair, illogical and obsessive attacks on the green energy industry. -- ReNews, 8 July 2015
6. You are right that models are unable to model ocean oscillations, natural variability, clouds, convection, gravity waves, atmospheric oscillations, solar amplification mechanisms, etc.
Growing St. John's wort plants at higher-than-normal atmospheric CO 2 concentrations in a controlled environment can enormously enhance the production of both plant biomass and total hypericin (hypericin + pseudohypericin) content by increasing plant rates of net photosynthesis. References
And from the way Clinton was so easily caught getting on her private jet shortly after delivering a speech saying everyone (else) must cut down on fossil fuel use, I dont believe she actually cares much for the policy herself. So why? At the very best, Clinton has a hugely costly policy she does not personally endorse.
When considering a preoccupation with risk, speculation is a good word. We might think of all human action as being speculative by nature in that we cannot know with absolute certainty that the desired outcome of an action will happen. External factors beyond the control of any acting individual will influence the final outcome of his action if he is not to live in isolation.
All environmental problems, and notably those arising from climate change, would beeasier to solve with a smaller future population. Population restraint in rich countries andcommunities would reduce the future number of major carbon emitters (who will also bevictims). Restraint in poor countries and communities would reduce the number of minoremitters and likely major victims
This graph, on its own, was enough to negate the first element of the thermo-maniacs? foundation, and seriously undermine the second. It was argued in defence of the alleged unique quality of twentieth-century warming that although the Medieval Warm Period was admittedly an era of pre-industrial higher temperatures, the contemporary inputs of anthropogenic carbon dioxide into the atmosphere were unprecedented and a new scientific paradigm was necessary to cover this unprecedented ?pollution?.
[SEPP Comment: Apparently, the theme Environmental Justice was not selling. Now try Environmental Racism?
Thats the good news. The bad news is that the interface between climate science and policy remains badly broken. Many politicians seem to have become uncertainty deniers, with President Obama leading the pack. The UNFCCC/IPCC is on a collision course with reality; it will be interesting to see how the Paris meeting goes next Dec, and how the IPCC AR6 will proceed. But science seems less and less relevant to what is going on in the policy arena.
Regular readers at any of the main climate change blogs will be aware that since about 1997 there has been nearly no global temperature rise. And they will know too, that this is despite atmospheric CO2 concentration continuing to rise. To date there are some 55 ideas to explain this slowdown in global warming. Some of the ???explanations?? presume the so-called ???greenhouse effect?? must still be increasing as the IPCC models calculate; it??s just that the heat has hidden elsewhere, maybe deep in the ocean.
According to official UN IPCC global temperature datasets, the length of time WITHOUT ANY MEASURABLE WARMING has been 16 Years, 18 Years, 19 Years or in the case of the most accurate satellite dataset, 23 Years (depending which official UN IPCC dataset is used).
The aim of the Australasian Antarctic Expedition, led by Chris Turney of the University of NSW, was to prove the East Antarctic ice sheet is melting. Its website spoke alarmingly of an increasing body of evidence showing melting and collapse from ocean warming . Instead, rescue ships and a helicopter, all belching substantial carbon emissions, have had to be mobilised to pluck those aboard the icebreaker MV Akademik Schokalskiy from their plight, stuck in what appears to be, ironically, record amounts of ice for this time of year.
Summaries presented in court filings for the case of American Tradition Institute v. University of Virginia and Michael Mann which demands release of Michael Mann's emails say, "Mann has never been exonerated . Exoneration requires investigation; investigation requires pursuit aimed at discovering material facts. Mann's employer since 2005, Penn State University, has conducted no such thing. Neither has the University of Virginia."
"You never want a serious crisis to go to waste," incoming White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel recently said. "And what I mean by that is an opportunity to do things you think you could not do before."
It??s the second-coldest May on record, with overnight temperatures falling below zero, three degrees below the average overnight temperature, say meterologists at Weatherzone.
Why the power grid of the future is in California and New York
I appreciate that attitude?but I'm wondering whether filing suit might actually accomplish a great deal more for the cause of free speech. Maybe what we need is precisely Curry vs. Mann.
In popular science journalism the latest is always the best. With all the explanations for the pause in global surface temperatures since 1997 there are now over 30 of them it is always the most recently published one that is the answer. This time its the Atlantic Ocean thats to blame. A paper published in Science says that a 30-year periodicity warms and cools the world by sequestering heat below the oceans surface and then releasing it. You dont have to look very deeply at the science to realise that, despite the headlines, no one has come up with an answer to the pause. ???David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 26 August 2014
The fastest warming is in the second half, with .5 degree rise snce the 50s. Repeats what I said about GISSTEMP, but does not engage with the significant bit that the Pages2Ktemperature reconstruction contradicts the GISSTEMPtemperature record. Pages2K(Michael promotes) appears more in line with HADCRUT3(Michael rejects as being out-of-date) than GISSTEMP (Michael promotes).
So what has gone wrong with the GHCN system? There is no evidence at all that the Icelandic temperature record is not robust, or, indeed, the Greenland data that correlates well to it. Even the BEST series bears this out. ( See here). As the Icelandic stations are well correlated with each other, the adjustments can only have been generated by comparing with other stations hundreds of miles away in Europe, where it has already been proven that temperature trends can be totally different. But really this is an issue for GHCN to resolve, not me.
but this is amazingly cold. These models are on our Weatherbell.com site being developed by the one and only Dr Ryan Maue.