Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The good news is, if this sucker blows, global warming is not going to be a problem.
On some issues, like immigration and trade, Freedom Caucus Republicans will be with Trump. On others, including his support for Social Security and Medicare, neither they nor the leaders will back him. Most likely, when it comes to things like torture and trade, Trump would bypass Congress and use executive action in ways that would potentially create constitutional crises and divide Republicans in profound ways.
Greenpeace, the radical environmental pressure group, gained major media coverage around the world for before and after photos of an Arctic glacier that purport to show dramatic shrinking due to global warming. The photos are of a glacier on Svalbard, a 63,000-square kilometer island on the edge of the Arctic Circle. The 2002 photo shows that the glacier has receded a long way since a 1918 photo.
But first of all, I want to point out that even though I'm a NASA researcher, I am giving you my opinion as a scientist and what I say shouldn't be construed to be any kind official position of NASA. NASA funds both government and nongovernment researchers. These researchers come to different conclusions based on what kind of research they do.
Later, eugenicists like Margaret Sanger in the 1920s fretted over the wrong people reproducing too much, creating what she called "human weeds," a "dead weight of human waste" to inherit the earth. In 1968, Paul Ehrlich predicted that in the 1970s, "hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death" because of the "population bomb." These days, environmentalists worry that too many people will overload the natural world's resources and destroy the planet with excessive consumption and pollution, leading to catastrophic global warming.
Whether this is a serious blow to global warming alarmists depends entirely on who you talk to.
And what redemptive solutions are urgently implored? We must implement carbon cap-and-trade legislation; give lots of money to the U.N. to redistribute, and empower them to preside over world governments; abandon fossil fuel use in favor of heavily subsidized but assuredly abundant, "free," and "renewable" alternatives; and empower expanding government bureaucracies to protect us from free market excesses. These include the same agencies that declared CO2 a "pollutant" (something rain forests certainly dispute), and that listed polar bears as a threatened species (despite expanding populations), presumably to discourage public support for oil and gas drilling in ANWR.
New York's and California's attorneys general have investigated Exxon for making donations to think tanks like the American Enterprise Institute and lobbying groups like the American Legislative Exchange Council. Schneiderman complains that these two specifically are "even more aggressive climate change deniers" than the run of the mill. (Ironically, while these large organizations include a few people labeled as "climate change deniers," they focus mostly on issues having nothing to do with climate change.)
And hurricane activity has accelerated. The Earth appears to go through 30-year periods of heavy hurricane activity, and we're now in the midst of one that started in the 1990s. To make matters worse, many scientists believe that human-caused global climate change will increase hurricane frequency and intensity for years to come. Even if hurricane activity slows down and global climate change predictions fizzle, the sheer number of people living on or near the coast means that even minor storms will continue to do significant damage.
Commissioner Hedegaard's Denmark may have surrounded itself with wind turbines, but could not afford such feel good luxuries if it were not for the vast income and energy it derives from Danish North Sea oil and gas.
Mercer did find significant risk though, but it was primarily due to possible governmental climate change policies that may induce economic and investment havoc.
Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog: Climate Change Catnip ...As the graph above shows (from data of the NWS), there is no evidence for an increase in flood disasters. In fact, there has been a marked decrease.
According to the authors ?here is no indication of any slowdown or acceleration of global warming, beyond the variability induced by these known natural factors.?
5 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ABOVE 6000 FT...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES AT THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DOWN TO 4500 FT.
Kevin E. Trenberth, chief of the climate-analysis branch of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, said, There are very good reasons to believe that the current U.S. heat wave is at least partly caused by global warming.
Cooma News, sport and weather | Cooma-Monaro Express
That is exactly what CFACT's new movie demonstrates is actually going on.
The about-face came after reports that various government agencies and schools that use the EPEAT (Electronic Product Environmental Assessment Tool) certification system were considering dropping Apples products, which include Macintosh computers and iPads.
The plot was done easily given the above information. I made a short plot function to simplify repetition with other series:
This is utter bullshit. The Mesozoic shellfish belowlived at 1,800 PPM CO2 more than four times higher than current levels. Oceans are buffered by alkali rock like limestone and basalt, and cant become acidic.
The models perform best in the extratropical oceans of the Northern Hemisphere, in the North Atlantic and in the Arctic Ocean. The modelers focus is pretty obvious. Theyve tried to get the models to simulate the warming of the Arctic Ocean so that they could melt sea ice, and theyve tried to better capture the warming of sea surface temperatures at latitudes with the most land (extratropical Northern Hemisphere. See the graph here .) so that they could better simulate the Northern Hemisphere land surface air temperature anomalies, which would also be necessary if they wanted to melt Arctic sea ice. Figures 23 and 24 confirm a part of that.
Lots of koda cars before the war were at the very top. For example, koda 935 in 1935 was ahead of the competition in aerodynamics etc. Communism meant a huge and increasing loss of quality, profitability, and competitiveness. The brand was reduced to the most successful exporter of the cars for masses in the Soviet bloc which is not too flattering. It meant to be some 10 years retarded relatively to the West. The British car jokes were almost exclusively about kodas. How do you double the price of a koda? Fill the tank. And dozens of others. ;-)
In their new book, Fueling Freedom: Exposing the Mad War on Energy, Stephen Moore and Kathleen Hartnett White explain the massive benefit the world's vast and inexpensive supplies of fossil fuels have had and continue to have for people worldwide.
Special Note: It's no surprise that U.S. Congressman Markey (a Democrat) has yet to call for an inquiry into the Fakegate climate scientist who admitted conducting a wire fraud incident, which just happens to be a felony.
Peak sustained surface winds in Camille were measured at 190 MPH, before the gauge broke. Estimates have it over 200 MPH.
But climate change, with its more intense storms, melting permafrost and soil erosion, is causing the ice cellars to disintegrate. Many have washed out to sea in recent decades. The remaining ones regularly flood in the spring, which can spoil the meat and blubber, and release scents that attract polar bears.
I??ve discussed what I see as unrealistic error bars in the Levitus data here . My current comparison of Levitus with the CERES data does nothing to change my previous conclusionthe precision of the Levitus data is greatly overestimated.
Bangladesh is a poster child for dangerous sea level rise. However, only a small fraction of the sea level rise can be attributed warming oceans (see this previous post ). And the Bangladeshis seem to be doing a pretty good job of adaptation.
Results of Hypothesis Test For IPCC Best Estimate Projection of 2C/century.
Lewis Pugh gave up: he won't get to the North Pole with his Kayak. End in sight In fact, he only got to 10% of his kayaking goal or so and when I look at these things again, I am unimpressed by his achievement even from the athletic viewpoint.
Climate Audit - by Steve McIntyre Ofcom: The IPCC Complaint In addition, in its complaint, IPCC made grandiose claims about its open and transparent process and the role of review editors, describing the process as being in the public domain and by its nature designed to avoid undue influence of any reviewer. This will come as somewhat of a surprise to CA readers, who are familiar with the avoidance of IPCC procedures by Ammann and Briffa and the seemingly casual performance of review editor Mitchell and who have been following the relentless stonewalling by IPCC and IPCC officials of requests for specific information pertaining to this allegedly open and transparent process.
Like rabbits, and a truly endangered species of pika in China, pikas have been hunted and poisoned because they compete with livestock for vegetation. All of Beevers extinct sites were heavily grazed. Furthermore pikas do not hibernate. They create hay piles to sustain them through the winter. Any significant loss of vegetation will likely cause pikas to abandon their talus. Although studies have reported significant effects from grazing competition, Stewart (2015) did not include grazing as a variable in his climate change model.
The (warm) maxima of the sine-combined-with-cosine (i.e. shifted sine) occurred in February 1980, November 1983, August 1987, April 1991, January 1995, October 1998, July 2002, April 2006, January 2010, October 2013. These cycles could have helped 1998 and 2010 to be among the warmest years and 2008 to be a cool one, and they may prevent 2015 from being the warmest satellite year despite the El Nio.
So if team Obama wants to play chicken, threatening CAA regulation if we wont support cap-and-trade, then I say,call their bluff. They dont want to take ownership of a regulatory nightmare. If they open Pandoras Box,there will be political hell to pay, and they know it.
The simulations yield a CO2 -initiated warming of 0.2 C ( 100 ppm CO2 -Anstieg) and a solar fraction of 0.54 C over this period. This corresponds to a CO2 climate sensitivity of 00:56 C (doubling of CO2 ) and a solar sensitivity of 12:54 C ( 0.1% increase in the solar constant). These results are in clear contradiction to the representations of the IPCC , the temperature rise over the last century exclusively anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases ( 95% assigns probability) and a climate sensitivity between 1.5 C and 4.4 C starts, during any influence is denied by the sun.
The authors grope for ways to reconcile developing countries?? existential interest in ???cheaply available energy for economic growth?? and the alleged climatological imperative to avoid lock-in of carbon-intensive energy infrastructures?? over the next few decades. For example, they propose that all new coal power plants be ???capture-ready,?? i.e. easily retrofitted with carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology. But CCS is still a long way from being commercially-viable even in industrialized nations. Moreover, when combined with enhanced oil recovery ???the most economic (or least uneconomic) option ???CCS may actually increase CO2 emissions on a life-cycle basis.
The EU included aviation in its legally binding ETS effective January 1 this year, prompting outrage among several countries outside the EU which believe the EUs unilateral move was extra-territorial.
FEDERAL Small Business Minister Craig Emerson has split from Kevin Rudd and ministerial colleagues by declaring science is undecided on key aspects of the global warming debate .
Prime Minister (and I only use that term out of respect for the Office) you are a confirmed liar and I do not accept any of your propaganda to firther your agenda. But, answer me one question by how much will this carbon tax reduce the temperature of the Earth?
Every community has its bad apples. Just because people have grave concerns about the quality of Michael Mann?s research does not mean they are anti-science. It?s remarkable that something so obvious needs to be said ? and that so few scientific organizations seem capable of grasping this rudimentary concept.
So, the bottom line here is thisclimate change in the U.S. during the past 50 years has resulted in fewer extreme nighttime low temperatures, while the daily extreme high temperatures have been little affected. And, at least one leading climate model fails to correctly capture this behavior.
As this updated climate map reveals, the severe drought condition for Australia during 2011 was essentially non-existent. The IPCC-based climate science predicted more frequent and intense droughts, which has not been the case.
In 1988,Hansenpredicted that it would be the hottest year ever. It wasnt, so he blamed his misprediction on an unusual Pacific Ocean current i.e. La Nina.
This isnt a serious science paper, Dr. Hoerling said. Its mainly about perception, as indicated by the papers title. Perception is not a science.
It would appear that the relationship the IPCC has with its expert reviewers borders on the abusive. FIrst it asks these people to volunteer their time in good faith. Then it gives its authors the right to dismiss their input with nothing more than a single word: rejected. While expert reviewers are expected to comply with the IPCCs deadlines, this organization feels no need to respect such deadlines itself. Instead, it nonchalantly adds in, after the fact, arguments and source materials these reviewers had no opportunity to asses.
Abraham says that if either Greenland or the West Antartic ice sheet were to melt sea level would indeed rise by around 20 feet, and that, he says, is where Gore got his figure.
Mann et al 2008 was covered in numerous contemporary Climate Audit posts. It was quickly discovered that the heavily publicized no-dendro reconstruction used Tiljanders Lake Korttajarvi sediments despite warning from Tiljander that the sediments had been heavily contaminated by modern construction and farming, making them totally unsuitable for inclusion in the Mann 2008 algorithm. The contamination was so severe that it resulted in Mann et al using the data upside-down to the climatic interpretation adopted by the original authors for the pre-contamination portion of the series.
We are close enough to next Tuesday to have a good idea of what the weather will be like that day. Here is the latest forecast by the National Weather Service's GFS Model for 5 PM on Tuesday (sea level pressure plus the amount of rain over the past 12 hours). Very Benign Forecast! Almost no precipitation over the U.S, except for guess where? No matter, we are used to rain and everyone knows which presidential candidate will win this state. And high pressure dominates the continental U.S. and most of Alaska.
In short, various factors should leave us all wary of any interventionist meddling in markets, and, specifically, government attempts to pick technological winners. Yet the potential that this new agreement holds to reform the Kyoto debate and supplant such a regime as the operative post-2012 framework leaves me a strong cheerleader.
"In 1986, e-mail was actually brand new, and the notion that somebody would be storing their e-mails for 180 days was just unheard of. Today, of course, companies like Google encourage you to store all of your e-mails on the cloud forever. It's really convenient, but it creates this real risk that government, law enforcement will get your e-mails with a mere subpoena, which is pretty much rubberstamped by a court."
The idea that wild animals cant coexist with development, and using the presence of wild animals to block development, may not be in the longer term interests of this and other platypus colonies.
Fonte does considerable original thinking about how America has assimilated immigrants, cutting through much of the current debate about illegal immigration and how to deal with it. By stressing the longstanding importance of Americanizing newcomers to the United States, an approach directly contrary to the "multicultural" view now embraced by the international Left, Fonte explains why the globalistas are so irritated by our adherence to the Constitution and our other basic values. The debate here is not about enforcement versus amnesty or any of the other hot buttons, but what to do with people who are in this country and almost certainly staying.
Since I am primarily a data guy, I'll confine my comments here to discussing recent climate trends but note that the global climate has warmed since the Little Ice Age (about 1400-1700 AD), and it will likely continue to warm for another 200-300 years, in fits and starts, towards a max temp roughly matching that of the Medieval Warm Period. In this context, "recent" refers to the decades since 1978 when satellites became available to measure atmospheric temperatures globally to supplement global radiosonde (balloon) records that reach back to about 1958.
Energy-saving costs at the school of 550 between April 2011 and March 2012 were not enough to cover the costs of maintaining and insuring the turbine. The company which manufactured and installed the turbine has also gone into liquidation.
Nicolas D. Loris, "Hydraulic Fracturing: Critical for Energy Production, Jobs, and Economic Growth," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2714, August 28, 2012, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/08/hydraulic-fracturing-critical-for-energy-production-jobs-and-economic-growth.
Nor were the IPCC WG2 reviewers the only climate scientists to overlook the lack of support for these particular IPCC assertions. The High Noon conference had a lengthy list of presentations ( online here ) and, in a quick survey, none of the presentations appears to have taken issue with IPCC claims.
climate futures for Africa, focusing on changes in both continental and regional
Via the WUWT Solar Page , heres the image from the Solar Dynamics Observatory
Competition looms if the US is slow to respond to the windfall. In British Columbia, Canada, various LNG export projects seem well positionedgeographically and otherwiseto access the lucrative Asian market.
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve, for example, which costs taxpayers between $1.6 and $5.4 billion in 1995, protects the oil industry from "disruptions in global oil markets and energy price shocks." The study points out that private methods of avoiding the harsh effects of energy price shocks already exist. Futures markets and speculators have long filled the role of smoothing prices for all kinds of commodities. Oil companies themselves may find it useful to stockpile petroleum reserves.
So, facing mounting scientific for a substantially lower climate sensitivity, the best the IPCC could bring itself to do was to reduce the low end of its likely range by one-half degree, refuse to put a value on its best guess, and still cling to its high end number. Big deal.
Sea levels continue to rise a minuscule amount each year as they have since the last ice age when sea level was perhaps 400 feet lower than it is today. I just cant see New York under water anytime in the 21st century at the present observed rates which dont seem to be changing.
These obstacles came as the economy was already dampening investment in renewable energy and making qualification for stimulus funds much more critical. Sarah Rankin, a project coordinator for West Butte Wind and Power, was hoping to get as much as $66 million in stimulus money for a $220 million wind project that has been delayed by the new eagle requirements.
"Wisconsin's economy cannot afford another mandate from the federal government that only serves to hamper our economy. The state relies heavily on coal for electricity - 62 percent is generated by coal power plants - and these new regulations will cause plants to either close or pay for costly updates. Both would make energy prices necessarily skyrocket.
As supporters waved signs, chanted and banged drums, 18 legislators walked down a symbolic green carpet to sign up as co-sponsors to a bill that would mandate that all businesses in Maryland cut emissions of global warming pollution by 25 percent by 2020 and 90 percent by 2050.
If you had any actual evidence that you were innocent, I??m sure you would have given it to the investigators ?? funny how none of the five investigations have come up with a single fact or email or document to exonerate you in this question. As far as we know, you didn??t write back to Phil later and say something like ???I can??t delete emails, that would be unethical and possibly illegal??. You wrote back to say that you would pass on the email deletion order to Gene ?? and you want us to believe that your hands are clean? Sorry, my friend, I??m like the Red Queen, I can believe six impossible things before breakfast, but that one is just too big to swallow.
Researchers must try to overcome this ?social desirability bias? by crafting questions so that opinions that are not fashionable are portrayed as equally acceptable as those that are more popular. They must also avoid:Conducting surveys that reflect a population?s real views on global warming is difficult. Because the idea that humanity is causing dangerous warming is promoted by most opinion leaders, and alternative viewpoints are condemned, most people are reluctant to express skepticism. They do not want to feel like social outcasts and so often give answers contrary to their actual opinions to conform to what they see as socially acceptable.
One reason Congress has yet to rein in Obama's out-of-control EPA is the use of sleazy, fact-free attack ads produced and distributed by environmentalist special interests. Most of these enviro scare ads share a tasteless commonality: unfounded allegations of child abuse. Lawmakers hesitate to vote to stop EPA's anti-energy agenda because they know environmentalists will run TV advertisements that accuse them of hurting children.
Well this is very opportune, ACSH comments on a Brit study that questions hospital methods for reducing the acquisition or transmission of infections.
A family of technologies, known collectively as "geoengineering', might provide an added tool for adaptation. The idea behind them is simple. When sunlight strikes the Earth's surface, greenhouse gases in the atmosphere trap some of the heat that is generated. A slight decrease in the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface could, in principle, offset this warming. Scientists estimate that deflecting a small portion of the total sunlight that strikes the Earth back into space would be enough to cancel out the warming effect of doubling the pre-industrial levels of greenhouse gases.
The most interesting thing that has been recently vl Heartland Conference in Las Vegas, but the only thing I want uppmrksamma Dr. was the sterrikiske rapper Kilez More, which made a prominent dr. He has a you-tube elements in German as lr have FTT 120,000 impressions, and that made him impopulr.
So, in their capacity as authors of Otto et al. (2013), we have fourteen lead or coordinating lead authors of the WG1 chapters relevant to climate sensitivity stating that the most reliable data and methodology give likely and 595% ranges for TCR of 1.11.7C and 0.92.0C, respectively. They go on to suggest that some CMIP5 models have TCRs that are too high to be consistent with recent observations. On the other hand, we have Chapter 12, Box 12.2, stating that the ranges of TCR estimated from the observed warming and from AOGCMs agree well. Were the Chapter 10 and 12 authors misled by the flawed TCR estimates included in Figure 10.20a? Or, given the key role of the CMIP5 models in AR5, did the IPCC process offer the authors little choice but to endorse the CMIP5 models range of TCR values?