Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In the first post in this series, we discussed a number of animations of maps and animations of equatorial cross sections available from the NOAA Global Ocean Data Assimilation System (GODAS) website. Each cell of the animation is a 5-day (pentadal) average. Those animations ran from January 3 rd to March 29 th . The following are updates, again starting in January 3 rd . GODAS only maintains their animations for 3 months. Ive stored the maps since the first of the year and will continue to add maps as time progresses. That way we can watch the El Nio unfold from the beginning and then try to keep track of the warm water when El Nio is over.
Figure 4. Alaska Temperature Average from First Order Observing Stations
Ive made a new category Holocene Optimum to index the posts.Past this, there is the interesting question of the Holocene interglacial as compared to other interglacials during what has been generally a very cold past million years (the Pleistocene).
JAXA shows ice increasing. At current rates of increase, the world will be covered with ice within 10 years.
Further this implies that the hydrological cycle dominates the climate, not CO2. And CO2 induced radiative warming will be rapidly swamped by evaporation (and tying back into WIllis) that evaporation will then transport that heat rapidly to the top of the hurricane or thunderstorm and dump it to space. Basically, while CO2 influences / reduces radiative cooling it is rapidly overwhelmed by hydrological cooling.
The parties are much closer to agreement in such key areas as refugees, land swaps, and post-accord security arrangements than is generally reported. In addition, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who in the opening weeks of his administration evidenced ambivalence about the two-state solution, is now firmly on board.
Here's one, Paul. The IPCC hires a railroad engineer and economist, who is oddly hailed by the -- wait for it! -- New York Times as "the Indian climatologist who heads the panel'. My ribs!
The region clearly has to adapt selling itself as an alternative to crowded beach resorts may be one such option. Tree change instead of sea change.
Masterton : Early unofficial records were maintained fitfully by various individuals, but the first visit by the MetService was in 1928. In his 1981 thesis dealing with the reliability of weather station data, Dr J Salinger describes the pre-1920 record as only fair, and must be viewed with caution.
But in the modeled world, where they likely try to account for the additional warming of North Atlantic by jockeying aerosols around the globe, the modeled sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic warmed at a rate that was only slightly higher than the rest of the global oceans. See Figure 26.
Another Reporter Revises History of Congressional Climate Policy
Perhaps Canada's changes received less attention because Americans tend to give Canada scant notice. On the other hand, when Shell cut its oil and gas reserves by one-third, there was a blizzard of stories. Some of the reports questioned where major Western oil companies, and the world for that matter, will turn to find more oil. Many analysts think there isn't anywhere left to turn. A Swedish research team saw the world's oil reserves as 80 percent less than has been predicted.
By Susan Crockfrod, Polar Bear Science, Aug 13, 2015
Never mind whether this idea is truly consistent with "economic theory"; clearly none of these authors has ever set foot inside a federal regulatory agency. It is ironic that these prophets of our lack of perception of environmental reality have so little perception of political reality.
The global surface temperature record is complete crap, and has no business being used by scientists other than as a case study in UHI confirmation bias.
In Hillary Clinton's September 4th speech at Senator Harry Reid's National Clean Energy Summit, she stated that the U.S. needs to lead other countries in green energy and that we need to show the world we are committed. Yet, the U.S., which did not ratify the Kyoto Protocol, is the first country to actually reduce carbon dioxide emissions and meet the Kyoto requirements. We are already a leader, but the other countries aren't followinginstead they are abandoning the sinking green ship and Germany, which claims to still be committed to the green ideology, is actually increasing its number of coal-fueled power plants and CO2 emissions.
Thus the net cooling effect of greenhouse gases is very greatly dominant because the re-heating effect is approximately 0.01 times the cooling effect.
Most of us learn at some point that politicians tell lies. We expect them to stop once they hold office or to face the consequences. In the past, politicians that violated the public trust resigned, most notably President Richard Nixon. Other lesser officials have also been punished for abusing public trust. No longer. In campaigns, and in office, politicians and their aides or supporters deliberately lie about matters of importance.
Margaret Thatcher, Enron, big insurance, creationists, religious fundamentalists, financial markets, Greens, Rio Tinto, social democrats, Scientologists, Rupert Murdoch etcetera.
"The death toll from a gas explosion in a coal mine in central China has risen to 30, with seven workers still trapped underground, the country's work safety watchdog said Monday."
To call for an independent investigation into the IPCC methods used to review scientific literature on climate change, as well as on its governance and its officials;
World temperatures rose by a half degree in the first half of the 20th century through mostly natural phenomena. No one knows why ( though solar activity may help explain it ), but even global warming's strongest supporters agree that it was probably not due to man. No one can therefore with any accuracy separate warming in the late 20th century due to this natural effect and warming due to man's impact. Check out Mann's now-famous hockey stick below:
18 Henry Kissinger, "Universal Values, Specific Policies," National Interest 84 (Summer 2006).
"More than 100 countries have now associated themselves with the proposal," Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet said at a conference in Paris aimed at stimulating ideas for June 20-22 global gathering.
Catastrophic Superstorms of the French Mediterranean Coast (20 Apr 2011) The two periods of most frequent superstorm strikes in the Aigues-Mortes Gulf coincide with two of the coldest periods in Europe during the late Holocene ... Read More
Al Gore urges California to vote no on climate initiative:
I guess thats why the climate has cooled for nearly a decade, despite CO2 emissions rising faster than ever?
So which is it go moderate or go bold? My reading is that there's not as much conflict as initially appears. One reason is that the analogies go only so far.
The bright spot was that we got to have dinner with Josh , who does the often hilarious weekly cartoons for WattsUpWithThat and the Bishop Hill Blog. Im a cartoonist as well, here and here are my livetoons of the 2010 ICCC. But like everything else in my life, my cartooning is totally self-taught, and Josh is the only real-life cartoonist Ive ever met. He turned out to be a lovely man, with the same warm personality that shines through in his cartoons. Hed brought along his sketch-books, so I got to see how a real cartoonist does it, even his simplest sketches are full of joy and laughter.
Next, the building of new, high-tech coal-fueled power plants has been impeded or totally blocked. In America, we are limping by with a generation of coal plants far behind those currently being built in China. The regulations on anyone who tries to build a coal plant, as President Obama promised, ??? will bankrupt them ???-resulting in very few new coal-fueled power plants. The older plants had weather related problems and had to be shut down. Their closure put more demand on the gas-fueled plants-which also strained the natural gas delivery to commercial and residential customers.
The Obama administration will create a new national monument covering 4,913 square miles not far off the New England coast.
Note that Dyson acknowledges that the climate has always changed, but he also acknowledges that greenhouse gases can change the climate.
Note also that RC says nothing about Phil Jones's advice to backdate correspondence (Sept. 12, 2007, 11:30 a.m.), to delete emails related to the 2007 IPCC report (May 29, 2008, 11:04), and to evade FOIA requests, if necessary by deleting files (Feb. 2, 2005, 9:41 a.m.). RC also says nothing about Mann's call to delegitimize the Journal of Climate for publishing papers critical of his work (March 11, 2003, 8:14).
The diagnostic tests, based on differences between cycles, at the end of the 12 runs suggested that the forecasts provided by the model had stabilized. The 12 cycles were therefore sufficient to attain meaningful convergence, thus providing us with macroeconomic statistics from which we can make informative inferences.
"One of Microsoft's hottest new profit centers is a smartphone platform you've definitely heard of: Android."
First, the use of sock puppets has demonstrably become a tool in Australia in what has often been described as a propaganda war on science and scientists. Second, there are surely ethical issues that arise when someone impersonates a distressed and disabled person for their own purposes, be it juvenile amusement or a failed attempt to cause embarrassment.
If the models accurately represented the atmosphere??s heat content, Christy told me by email, the warming rate of the tropical mid-troposphere (TMT)would be1.4 times that of the surface.In reality,the TMT warming rate is only 0.6 times that of the surface. The models simply project too much warming in the bulk atmosphere.
Meanwhile, Remote Sensing Systems (RSS) have shown no global warming at all for 220 months, from December 1996 to March 2014.
The Department for International Development (DfID) has pledged to give Teri up to 10?million in grants over five years but will subject the institute to an institutional assessment, expected to take at least five months, before handing over any of the money.
Even if one agreed with the President that lowering carbon emissions ought to be one of the highest priorities, Asia was not fooled by the so-called historic agreement. It is well known that the incoming Republican-led Congress is highly unlikely to agree to such an agreement, and such support is even more improbable as Congress was apparently surprised and ambushed by the President on this announcement.
Of all the unintended consequences of Germany?s Energiewende perhaps the most extraordinary is the detrimental effect of wind and solar schemes on the price of electricity generated by natural gas. Almost 20 per cent of gas power plants in Germany have become unprofitable and face shutdown as renewables flood the electricity grid with preferential energy. To avoid blackouts, the government has had to subsidise uneconomic gas and coal power stations so that they can be used as back-up when the sun is not shining, the wind does not blow and renewables fail to generate sufficient electricity.
Nor did either Dr Manns graph or the depiction as a whole represent reconstructions of global temperature changes over the last millennium, though the depiction including Dr Manns graph appeared on the front cover of the WMO document under a prominent title referring to the global climate. The depiction represented temperature changes for the Northern Hemisphere only.
Carbon dioxide, however, is vital for all life Earth despite decades of lies about it by environmentalists falsely claiming it warms the Earth. It is the food that all vegetation requires in the same way all animal life requires oxygen.
Wait for a bit now, go back to normal? What is normal? And that a global uppvrmning would be irreversible is very hard to believe p. Just look back on the history of Earth. We are urgently on the way into the next ice age. The LR reverse the time. But the other hand, the BBC is not excellent in from a few journalistic depth studies and analyzes. At least not in klimatfrgan. Dr. act the most parrot and repeat things without even reflecting upon them.
To know what is going to happen in the future we first have to know wherethe earthisin the 1000 year temperature cycle. Here is another picture that shows what the temperatures were in the northern part of the earth over the last 2000 years. Look especially at what happened during the last 1000 years.
According to Hansen, 1907 was the coldest year ever. The following spring had a 100 MPH category 2 hurricane during Early March. A secondhurricaneformed on May 24 and hit the US. Only three hurricanes have hit the US during May, the most recent one being at the peak of the ice age scare in 1970.
The report says that the 1996 edition of the IPCC report used predictions of SO2 emissions from 1992 which projected a doubling of SO2 over the next century. The new projections show only a slight rise in emissions for the next 100 years. Eileen Claussen, executive director of the Pew Center said, "the data and likely impacts outlined in this study should encourage concrete steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions" (BNA Daily Environment Report, June 30, 1999).
I'm having a theological discussion with a corn farmer in southern Missouri, 200 miles from the Corn Belt. My fellow farmer has enough flat ground to plant a few acres of corn, and she and I are deep in the weeds of the contentious subject of seeds. She maintains that the Bible is explicit in forbidding the use of genes from non-corn plants in the breeding of corn seeds, based on Leviticus 19:19, which prohibits seeding fields with two kinds of plants. I point out that humans share 50 percent of their genes with bananas. This does not impress her. She informs me that she doesn't buy food made from GMOs. Even while she avoids GMOs in her family diet, she plants them in her corn field. The conversation is far past the boundaries of what could be called productive, so I don't pursue how she squares her biblical beliefs with her agronomic choices.
Kagan emphatically disagreed. She wrote in the brief that "petitioners were not free to forgo that route in favor of a direct facial challenge." For "even when an agency cannot itself rule on the merits of a constitutional challenge, a regulated firm cannot bypass exclusive administrative review procedures established by Congress if the constitutional claims can be meaningfully addressed in the Court of Appeals after the administrative review." What Kagan essentially was saying was that a small business cannot challenge a regulation in court, no matter the reason and no matter the impact on its bottom line, until the government agency has taken its own sweet time whether that is months or years reviewing the challenge.
Scientists find no evidence polar bears are undergoing a "climate crisis'
At first, the assault on government worked, at least electorally. Just as the Gingrich strategy brought, in 1994, the first Republican majority in the House in 40 years, the Young Guns and establishment leaders' strategy resulted in a huge Republican majority in the House in 2010 and then a Republican majority in the Senate, and gains to solidify the House majority in 2014.
See also David Evans: Is The Western Climate Establishment Corrupt? http://jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/corruption/climate-corruption.pdf
Due to the intermittent nature of solar energy (it only works when it is sunny), solar users will have a need for backup power supplied by their utility. (Distributed storage is prohibitively expensive.)However, when solar owners are subsidized at high rates, and in higher than expected numbers, utilities are paying more than they would otherwise for electricity.
Just two problems with that. First, the IPCC also says, on the very page quoted by Abraham, that even if there were a major collapse of the ice the Greenland ice sheet would not entirely disintegrate for millennia, a phrase that was also used in the IPCC's 2001 report, where it was made plain that surface temperatures at least 2 Celsius degrees higher than today's would have to persist for several millennia before either the Greenland or the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could melt away.
Typhoon Haiyan was one of many typhoons hitting the Philippines every year. While Haiyan was very strong, it was less of a calamity than predicted and not due to climate change.
There is no statistically significant warming trend since November of 1996 in monthly surface temperature records compiled at the University of East Anglia. Do we now understand why there?s been no change in fourteen and a half years?
The Rockefeller Family Fund lists among its missions
The Integrated Surface Hourly (ISH) weather data I have described before allows one to examine how various surface weather elements have changed as a function of time of day. (The ISH data volume is very large and it is not a trivial task to decode and analyze many years of it.) Three-hourly synoptic weather observations have been made at many U.S. weather stations for at least 40 years: 1973 seems to be the year when the number of stations reached a fairly large number, and so that is the year my analyses begin with.
This myth has been a powerful constant in Western literature and thought. In the early nineteenth century, the impact of industrialization and urbanization on the environment and social life seemingly confirmed this ancient wisdom. In contrast to what English poet William Blake called the "satanic mills," pristine nature beckoned as the restorative of a more authentic existence. William Wordsworth's memories of the rural landscape, for example, give solace to a life that "mid the din/ of towns and cities" is stunted by the "fretful stir/ Unprofitable, and the fever of the world." In reality, of course, fantasies of a benign nature ignore the chronic malnutrition, early death, daily violence, famine, disease, and constant pain of life before the advances of technology.
In concluding the report of their field and laboratory work, as well as their mini-review of the pertinent scientific literature, Thomsen et al . state that it is likely that "long-term acclimation to elevated p CO 2 increases the ability to calcify in Mytilus spp.," citing the studies of Michaelidis et al . (2005) and Ries et al . (2009) in addition to their own. And they say that they could find "no causal relationship between the acid-base status and metabolic depression in this species at levels of ocean acidification that can be expected in the next few hundred years (IPCC, 2007)," after discovering in the waters of Kiel Fjord (and demonstrating in the laboratory) that "communities dominated by calcifying invertebrates can thrive in CO 2 -enriched coastal areas."
"He's fighting Proposition 23 because he says we should use less fossil fuel," notes the film. "But if Cameron succeeds, it will mean higher prices and job losses." It proceeds to quote a recent newspaper interview in which he discussed global warming, telling a reporter that "we are going to have to live with less". The camera then cuts to aerial footage of the three adjacent homes that Cameron inhabits in the hills of Malibu. Although they each have heated swimming pools, and together boast more than 24,000 sq ft of living space, the properties have not a single energy-saving solar panel or windmill between them. "He also owns a 100-acre ranch in Santa Barbara, a JetRanger helicopter, three Harleys, a Corvette, a Ducati, a Ford GT, a collection of dirt bikes, a yacht, a Humvee fire truck, and a fleet of submarines," continues the narrator. "And yet he demands WE live with less? James Cameron: HYPOCRITE."
This claim: More than 40% of USHCN final station data is now generated from stations which have no thermometer data.
Scientists have struggled to explain the lack of warming in recent years, giving dozens of explanations for the pause, ranging from increased volcanic activity to natural ocean cycles. While scientists debate the causes of the pause, some are lowering their estimates of how much warming could occur in the future.Some scientists point to measures like warming ocean temperatures, melting Arctic Sea ice, extreme weather events or varying crop yields as evidence that carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are having an impact on the planet, even though the temperature record may not currently reflect it.
After reading the SPPI post on the issue, a Mr. Dodd also notified Scholastic Books, the publisher. This was part of the email reply:
Heartland Weekly: Early Bird Rates Now Available for Heartland's 32nd Anniversary Benefit Dinner
New Material Posted on the CO2 Science Web site 2 April 8 April 2015
"Across the plains around Lerida, the northeastern Spanish town where they spent weekends, farmers were turning over their fields to photovoltaic panels to capitalize on government solar- energy subsidies. Vilimelis persuaded his father, Jaume, who made a living growing pears on 5 acres (2 hectares) of land in Lerida, to turn over a portion of his farm for the project, Bloomberg Markets reported in its November issue."
He was fearful of extending governments control much beyond these narrow duties because political power easily was used and abused by the type of person that he called, the man of system . This is the individual who today we would refer to as the social engineer or the paternalistic planner who presumes to know better how men should live than those people, themselves.
The linear trends in the graphs are as calculated by EXCEL . And the trend maps were produced at the KNMI Climate Explorer.