Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It doesn't take much imagination to come up with a minimum set of social structuresfeedback loops that carry new information about costs, consequences, and sanctionsthat would allow evolution, creativity, and change and permit many more freedoms than would ever be possible in a world that continues to crowd against or exceed its limits. One of the most important of these new rules would fit in perfectly with economic theory: It would combine knowledge and regulation to "internalize the externalities' of the market system, so that the price of a product would reflect the full costs (including all environmental and social side effects) of making the product. This is a measure every economics textbook has called for (in vain) for decades. It would automatically guide investments and purchases, so people could make choices in the monetary realm that they would not later regret in the realm of material and social worth.
The Damocles sword of global warming hangs by one slender threadthe future effects of man-made emissions of CO 2 . If these dont cause dangerous warming, theres no crisis. Computer models predict dangerous warming, but thats not evidence, its just a possibility. There is no scientific evidence showing that our emissions will dangerously affect the climate. If any existed, you can be sure that we would have been told about it many times. We wouldnt be allowed to forget it.
Note to readers: A video debate on this point produced by me can be viewed by clicking here.
or set of models. We should keep in mind that the climate system is complex, so
If you disagree with my views on something, please don?t flame me. Chances are, I?ve already heard your point of view; very seldom am I provided with new evidence I haven?t already taken into account.
on Wednesday, September 8th, 2010 at 6:56 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Asthma may be rising, but it's certainly not because of pollution rates that have fallen dramatically.
Vice President for Policy Wayne Crews talks about why 2011 was a record year for both new regulations and their cost. He also talks about his efforts to make the opaque regulatory state more transparent. Besides his annual "Ten Thousand Commandments" report, Wayne has started a new TenThousandCommandments.com website to update regulatory data in real time. There is a also a 10KC Twitter account and a Facebook page to make it as easy as possible to keep an eye on what regulatory agencies are up to.
The result to equation #3 is produced, too, only from the hard data of the trial, the actual physical measurements from the patients. These numbers have the happy property that they can be put into spreadsheets and databases. They are real. So real that their importance is magnified far beyond their capacity to provide all the answers. They fool people into thinking that equation #3 is the final answer, which it never is. It is always equation #5 that is important to making new decisions. Sometimes, in simple physical cases, probabilities #3 and #5 are so close as to be practically equal; but when the situation is complex, as it always is when involving humans, these two probabilities are not close.
Saturday Showdown: Human Achievement Hour vs. Earth Hour
ACCORDING TO THIS VIEW, the power of someone like the conservative Rupert Murdoch would be overwhelming and decisive. However, the release and heavy promotion by the News Corporation of an enviro-left political film should prove that Murdoch, as chairman and CEO, is either (a) stupid, or (b) concerned with what's good for business regardless of politics.
typical kid (recognizable), and thinking about adult philosophy (bizarre) it
A number of air quality sites measured values of small particulates at unhealthy levels, particularly for those vulnerable to their effects (asthmatics, those with heart or lung disease, etc.). I was standing along the shores of Lake Washington last night and a smoky, sulfurous miasma was evident, both from commercial fireworks and from the numerous individual displays. (And this is with fireworks being ILLEGAL in much of the area!!) I believe this was a particularly bad air quality year from fireworks, for reasons I will explain.
Korhola: ???In late summer 2008 I was in England, where all newspapers ran a front-page story about a scenario predicting the total disappearance of Arctic sea ice by that summer. And these predictions were distributed by two leading researchers of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colorado, Mark Serreze and Jay Zwally. Well, what happened was that these predictions did not come true, but that 2008 was clearly a better year than 2007 with the collapse in ice extent, which was apparently caused by anomalous atmospheric pressure and wind conditions in the Arctic regions.??
Tide gauges are set up at stations to measure sea level at regular intervals. Technology has improved over time. While it is commonly assumed adjacent land is stable, it is known that some land is moving either up or down relative to the sea. The longer and more complete the record the better. The Fremantle record starts in 1897. Another station was set up at Hillarys in 1992. The records are shown in Figs. 1 and 2 (bottom of article).
There are 90,000 samples from which Callendar selected a few. Notice they also change the slope of the trend, to show a steady rise from 1750.
If you happen to forget similar factoids, Deutsch is one of the philosophical babblers who likes to say ludicrous things about the allegedly unavoidable naive many-worlds interpretations of quantum mechanics , and so on. What is this constructor theory? It's a sequence of worthless would-be smart sentences sold as a "theory of everything" and a "unifying theory of classical and quantum physics" and "all information in them" which also "defines all forms of information" and transforms all of our knowledge to "claims that some tasks are impossible".
A sea level highstand of +21.3 meters, at least, was achieved right about the very end of the Holsteinian, the very first of the extreme interglaciations! We have our first benchmark of Public Trust Climate. This can happen anyway, whether by carbon or not. And if by carbon, what was the source at the end Holsteinian? What could one do about that if it was carbon, obviously natural carbon?
The Cleveland Clinic will tell you that: The fact is, elevated low-density lipoprotein (LDL), the bad cholesterol, is a major cause of heart disease.
Together with WHO's call for a shift away from "high-GHG foods," the picture becomes clear: Ranches and farms that raise cattle, pigs, sheep, etc. are now seen as posing a threat to the climate and public health. Like fossil fuels, they, too, must be demonized and targeted for the damage they are doing to the planet.
The extreme cold that gripped the nation at the beginning of the year just added to the growing public dismissal of the claims that greenhouse gas emissions would lead to a dangerous stage of global warming. Indeed, even the charlatans that have devoted decades to this hoax are now using the phrase climate change.
Note : this post was two weeks in the making, and well worth your time to read Anthony
We cant predict the climate on a local, regional, or continental scale
So, yes, it would indeed appear that both the frequency and ferocity of boreal wildfires in a warming world could well decline.
Comments from a 2008 blog post on ExxonMobil's position as "obstructive over climate change" included the following: "Given that oil isn't going to last a whole heck of a lot longer, would not a good business strategy be to start investing in renewable energy?" and "Just from a corporate survival perspective, better start learning, and fast. Carbon is the low-hanging energy fruit and soon to become an economic dead end. What company wants to keep going down a dead end?" BP thought it was "prudent to start diversifying now as a kind of insurance policy."
Not to be outdone, some in Congress still want carbon taxes that the Energy Information Administration says will slash the average American familys income by some $1,500 per year, on top of the $2,200 per year that the Washington Post says theyve lost in buying power since 2008.
Matt Briggs has been reading The Bad Astronomy post about global temperatures and is not impressed.
In any case, computer models say the world should already be warmer as this newspaper has reported many times.
The report also predicts that the number of days over 90 degrees Fahrenheit would increase from 13 to between 38 and 80 days per year, leading to increased mortality due to heat stress among the elderly. It also claims that children could be at risk "because of health risks due to air pollution."
The authors write that "widespread amphibian extinctions in the mountains of the American tropics have been blamed on the interaction of anthropogenic climate change and a lethal pathogen," as we have discussed at length in reviews of papers we have archived under the heading of Extinction (Real-World Observations -- Animals: Amphibians) in our Subject Index; and they note, in this regard, that "limited meteorological records make it difficult to conclude whether current climate conditions at these sites are actually exceptional in the context of natural variability," questioning once again the original climate-alarmist contention that modern global warming was the primary culprit in the demise of the Monteverde golden toad ( Bufo periglenes ). What was done
A new report by the Greening Earth Society (GES) reveals the difficulties of interpreting temperature data. Robert C. Balling, Jr., Director of the Laboratory of Climatology at Arizona State University, analyzed the temperature data from Japan that he obtained from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The data, which begins in 1878, shows a curious pattern. From 1878 to 1947, the IPCC data shows a slight and statistically insignificant cooling of 0.18 degrees C. It also shows a statistically insignificant cooling of 0.09 degrees C from 1948 to 1998. Yet over the entire 121 year record, Japan warmed by 1.02 degrees C.
In a nutshell, this factual information means the high sea-level rises used as precautionary guidelines by the CSIRO in recent years are in essence ridiculous, he said. During the 20th century, there was a measurable global average rise in mean sea level of about 17cm (plus or minus 5cm).
It seems like the legislature and local government finally got tired of putting all taxpayers on the hook for these stadiums, and had the radical idea that maybe actual, you know, fans who want to use the stadiums should pay for them. This turned out to be too expensive for ticket prices at the proposed new Cubs spring training facility -- fans aren't used to paying for the full price of their sporting event in their ticket price -- they are used to getting subsidized by non-sports fans. As a compromise, the legislature proposed a tax on tickets for all spring training games at all stadiums to pay for this one new field. This seems stupid to me, but it elicited this hilarious response from the baseball commissioner:
Michael Sanera is the Director of the Center for Environmental Education Research (CEER) a project of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, where he is also Senior Fellow. Jane S. Shaw is a Senior Associate at the Political Economy Research Center. To order a copy of Facts, Not Fear, please contact CEI at (202) 331-1010.
Giant Sequoias Yield Longest Fire History from Tree Rings
First, an inadequacy of the historical temperature measurements that are used to reconstruct the average global temperature statistic.
Silver, a well-recognized antimicrobial, is highly toxic and kills both harmful and beneficial bacteria. Nanosilver is engineered from silver and marketed as an even stronger antimicrobial than silver. Because of its smaller size, nanosilver penetrates organs and tissues in the body that larger forms of silver cannot reach, like the brain, lung, and testes. That cant be good!
The cold reality may well be a Superbowl played on another day and a President for whom the truth is incidental to his shredding of the U.S. Constitution, the increase in the nation's ever-growing debt, a lagging economy, and his intention to bypass Congress rather than working with it.
The Climate Change Agenda Needs to Adapt to Reality
First, the current sea-level rise contributed by this amount of ice loss is probably too small to even be able to measure in coming decades. The satellite data show a reduction of 4 hundred-thousandths of Greenlands total ice per year (while Boggilds figure could be around 12 hundred-thousandths). Multiplying the satellite-based figure times 23 feet gives the annual rise in sea level of 0.01 inch per year. Averaged over three decades, thats a third of an inch, which indeed too small to be detectable. Over a century, the rise becomes a bit more than an inch. Boggilds guesstimate yields 3.5 inches per century.
But the abstract of Lee and McPhaden reads, Therefore, the welldocumented warming trend of the warm pool in the CP region is primarily a result of more intense El Nio events rather than a general rise of background SST. This contradicts the earlier studies with theoretically predicted change of the background SST under global warming scenarios.
So, what about feedbacks? On the whole, given the evidence of temperature stability during warm periods of the ice-age cycle, I know there are very strong negative feedbacks that come into play during warmer inter-glacial periods and act against further warming.
This post presented how poorly climate models simulate sea surface temperatures during the satellite era. Climate models also do not simulate land surface air temperatures properly in many parts of the globe. They do not simulate precipitation well. Climate models also do not properly simulate long-term variations in global surface temperatures. And there are numerous peer-reviewed papers and journal letters by climate scientists that present many other flaws in climate models. These flaws are collected in my ebook Climate Models Fail . See the post here for an additional overview.
So how would an analyst go about estimating the missing temperature data in, say, Masterton or Nelson? A technique described in Peterson et al (1998) the main authority provided on NIWAs website would manipulate data from several neighbouring stations that are climatologically similar to the subject station. But in those early years, no such benchmark stations existed in the Wairarapa or the top of the South Island or anywhere else in New Zealand for that matter.
With low gasoline prices now and probably far into the future, consumers are flocking back to larger gas-powered vehicles. Thus, the tiny market share for electric cars is going to remain tiny for a long, long time.
How come then that last week the World Meteorological Organisation produced a breathless report claiming that ???the decadal rate of increase (of world temperature) between 1991-2000 and 2001-2010 was unprecedented??? It took professor Ed Hawkins of Reading University a short time to point out that this was no longer true if you compared 1993-2002 and 2003-2012 ??? ie, if you took the most up-to-date records. In that case, the latest decade showed a smaller increase over the preceding decade than either of the preceding decades did. In other words, the temperature standstill of the past 16 years has begun to show up in the decade-by-decade data.
I want of adhesion uppmrksamheten p to frfattarna writes observation based on the new, better vrdena p klimatknslighet they consider that the IPCC should be reported. In frra inlgget I wrote that klimatknsligheten not is an adaptation parameter. The erhlles usually as a result of a series of GMO or CMIP modellberkningar made for different CO 2 percents. Since the beginning of the 2000s, however, had the ambition to make klimatknslighetstmningar which is based on observation. You can now with satellites mta both incoming solinstrlning and Closing vrmestrlning, while also meets global mean surface temperature. If you also can appreciate the vrmemngd stored in the oceans during the same period, one can calculate a an observed ECS value on the time scale mtningen covers. You can imagine that there is a svrighet with both mtning and time constants whether to include vrmelagring in the oceans is happening much lngsamt.
In March, joined with the Bureau of Meteorology to produce a ???snapshot of the state of the climate to update Australians about how their climate has changed and what it means??. Although the pamphlet had a neutral title, ???State of the Climate??, it was clearly designed to bring the great weight of the apparent credibility of these two organisations to bear against, and hopefully crush, those pesky climate change sceptics.
A few months ago, Tom Buis, the CEO of the pro-ethanol group Growth Energy (2013 budget: about $19.5 million) claimed that the ethanol industry gives American consumers "savings when they go and fill up at the pump." The exact opposite is true: Ethanol is more expensive than gasoline. In fact, on an energy-equivalent basis which is the essential factor in comparing motor fuels it has been more expensive than gasoline for more than three decades.
Just about all of it's still more than relevant, since economic liberalization hasn't exactly been a concern of Washington lately--yet no task is more important given not just the Bailout to Nowhere, but a Bailout on Wheels besides. Enjoy, and watch this space--and our home page--for the new edition, coming soon.
The New Yorker ends its "Podesta and the Pipeline" report with this: "If Obama approves the project, he will have to do so knowing that he is contradicting the assessment of his new climate-change adviser." The Washington Free Beacon (WFB) claims: "President Obama has consigned Keystone to bureaucratic purgatory."
Something like 50% of surface heat bypasses the bulk of possible CO2 blanketing by being taken straight to the edge of the stratosphere by convection (its in the climate data!) . which means that the cooling effect of CO2 is not just an interesting aside but it does have a significant effect on the rate of cooling of the atmosphere.
Latest NOAA mean sea level trend data through 2013 confirms lack of sea level rise acceleration
As the CO 2 content of the air increases, cumulative sap flow and, by implication, cumulative water-use will likely decrease in mature Scots pine trees. This phenomenon will likely enable this economically important tree species to better cope with water stress in the future, unless the ambient air temperature rises by 4C or more, which is highly unlikely. Thus, we can anticipate greater wood production and greater water savings in this woody species as the CO 2 content of the air continues to rise.
Getting people we know and trust is vital ? hence my comment about
After looking at the content of the ads, we will explore their funding, which includes an unseemly nexus between the natural gas industry and the environmentalist movement. In fact, the natural gas industry was the first to exploit child safety as a way to impugn coal. Seven years ago, Chesapeake Energy, a major natural gas company, secretly funded the "Coal Is Filthy" print ad campaign.
You've heard that being overweight can lead to diabetes and high blood pressure, but how about global warming? Probably not, but in a peculiar new study published in the Journal of Epidemiology some researchers actually proposed such a bizarre linkage. According to these scientists, since growing and transporting food generates about a fifth of all manmade greenhouse gases, then the more each individual eats the more he or she will contribute to rising emissions. The obvious implication, of course, is that since fat people eat more than lean ones, then they pose more of a threat to the climate. Hmmm, one wonders if some pounds could be shed if certain scientists quit serving the public such global-lony.
The statistics for 2004 and 2005 may look ominous at first blush, but we have no way of knowing how the remainder of the decade will ultimately pan out. With annual landfalling hurricane counts of 0, 1, 2, 6 and 6 for the period 2001-2005, it could be a big decade -- or not.
See, Jim has several misunderstandings. The point he repeats from M08 is that Mannian correlation passed so many proxies, it couldnt be by accident and they must be truly temperature!! This is the same point proven wrong here so often. Jim doesnt read here for sure.
So, based on this, I do anticipate whatever we are examining has been increasing over time. Though I cant be sure about the future, my naive forcast is this will persist into the future. I made my best estimate of the next 12 years of data based on the linear fit with no auto-correlation in residuals: These predictions are shown in brown.
Duke Energy CEO Jim Rogers, who the New York Times dubbed the Green Coal Baron and who was a founding member of the cap-and-trade pushing US Climate Action Partnership, told the Deloitte Energy Conference yesterday,
If the Kyoto Protocol was really about the environment, then surely everyone would be expected to reduced emissions, particularly the really big emitters like China and India.
Matt Melchiorre: A US-EU trade deal, if done correctly, could raise transatlantic trade by $200bn. I hope you can get it done, Mr. President. But as I've explained, there are a few snags: http://www.openmarket.org/2012/12/28/europe-2013-a-primer/
EPA plans probes into Colo. mine waste spill
The results of this study do not suggest that snowpack losses of the late 20th century are unprecedented over the past millennium or more, nor do they imply that they are caused by "unparalleled springtime warming that is due to positive reinforcement of the anthropogenic warming by decadal variability," as suggested by the authors of this work, since the truly unprecedented period of low streamflow during the Medieval Warm Period could not have had a significant anthropogenic or CO 2 -induced component associated with it, indicating that nature -- on its own -- is fully capable of having produced the late 20th-century snowpack and riverflow declines.
Risks are expected to climb. Global warming is raising sea levels around the planet by 23 millimetres each year. That only adds to bigger problems in the GangesBrahmaputra delta, which is sinking so rapidly that the local, relative sea level may be rising by up to 2 centimetres each year. And Bangladeshs population of more than 150 million people is projected to grow by a further 50 million by 2050, putting more people in harms way.
On April 3, BP announced that it was selling its US wind assetsestimated to be worth $1.5-3.1 billion. The announcement stated that BP has decided sell the US wind energy business "as a part of our continuing effort to re-position the company for sustainable growth" and that it would "unlock more value for shareholders." BP ended its venture in solar energy in 2011.
Wise reports that "individual low-flow years in 1977 and 2001 and the longer-term 1930s Dust Bowl drought meet or exceed the magnitude of dry periods in the extended reconstructed period." However , she writes that in terms of overall severity , "the instrumental record does not contain a drought of the extent seen in the mid-1600s."
But the ice is not all the same thickness. The perimeter of the ice, where the loss occurs, is quite thin. As a result, they have overestimated the loss. Here is a typical example of the thickness of winter ice, from yesterday??s excellent article by Steve Goddard and Anthony Watts:
The Latin zone has a bit of warming with the move from the rural mountain stations to urban airports, but not much. Half to 3/4 C over 130 years. About what one would expect from UHI and airports. Though 2007 is only 0.36 C and 2000 is 0.29 C so there is room for variation. Im seeing no reason to panic over 1/2 C of whats most likely instrument error and UHI issues.
The presenter of the programme, Rupert Murray, concluded by saying that despite the arguments of the sceptics he did not want to take the risk that they were wrong. He was, he said, willing to give up some of his freedom if it helped to stop climate change.