Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
All of these results bring about a new challenge in the eld of climate change. So-called observed climate datasetsplay important roles in driving hydrologic models, evaluating global circulation models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCM). Because observations coming from different datasets do have differences, which one we can believe among the various so-called observed climate datasets? Indeed, we have no ability to know the truth value ; what we need to do is reduce the disagreement among the observed datasets and depress their uncertainty.
Nonlinear interactions and feedbacks across spatial scales and their associated thresholds are common features of biological, physical, and materials systems ..These spatial nonlinearities and emergent behaviors challenge the ability of scientists and engineers to understand and predict system behavior at one scale based on information obtained at finer or broader scales .Cross-scale interactions often result in surprises with severe consequences for the environment and human welfare.
In 2015, we're fortunate that we will escape a carbon tax and a minimum-wage hike. But we'd be better off if construction would start on Keystone XL. And some of us will sorely miss the World Cup.
However, now he claims that humans will be gone in 100 years: Google News , China People's Daily . It's an irreversible situation. Anthropocene has accelerated urbanization etc.
The third, fourth, and fifth "experts" were less well-known than Paul Ehrlich but the homeowner would probably soon realize that they're going to the pub with the previous two and, it just happens, they have been both very active in promoting the same junk politicians. The sane guy would learn that this loosely connected gang is doing business in the whole world and is getting $2 billion a year just for "determining" that pretty much every hous e needs a new wiring. It seems to be a great business.
Meanwhile, utilities are prevented by regulation from using flexible pricing structures to incentivize efficient energy use. A highly regulated grid is not conducive to the efficient flow of electricity.
Yet in the 15 years since 1998, surface air temperatures have held flat, a fact now grudgingly conceded by the climate-science establishment, despite more than 100 billion tons of carbon dioxide having been pumped into the atmosphere over the same period. "Nature is far more imaginative than we are," Stamatios Krimigis, the eminent Johns Hopkins physicist, said last month when readings from the Voyager spacecraft failed to match expectations for what it would find at the far edge of the solar system. That kind of humility in the face of data is tough for today's environmentalists, who have staked so much on their own models, predictions and certitudes.
The programme, like climate science itself, attracted controversy before it even came on air. James Delingpole, a vocal climate change sceptic who appears in the documentary, yesterday called the programme another hatchet job on his Telegraph blog.
It's too late, moreover, for conservatism to provide a remedy. Codevilla writes:
In addition to all the aforementioned problems caused by humans, we are also concerned, at the same time, by the phenomenon of global warming and its alleged consequences.We know that there have always been naturally occurring ice ages and warm periods; what we don??t know is how significant the human-induced contribution to present and future global warming is and will be.
By the time Obama took office, U.S. and other nato troops had been in Afghanistan for more than seven years well past the point of surgically getting in and getting out. He was eager to give the Afghanistan effort the commitment and resources that for years had
Without argument, bears always benefit from more seal pups, but Derochers retelling of the seals decline in a section titled, Why progressively earlier breakup of the sea ice negatively affects persistence of polar bear subpopulations was (to be kind) highly deceptive! The seals productivity had plummeted because the Arctic had cycled to years of heavy ice, not due to a progressively earlier break-up. Somehow that critical point escaped peer review.
on your payroll taxes, each extra dollar that taxes are raised will
429 km (267 miles) NNE (27) from PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea
The largest ice shelf in the Arctic is breaking up and most of Europe just experienced a very warm summer. As expected, those professors, lobbyists and green protestors who make their living promoting the coming apocalypse due to global warming made a fuss about it. Canadian polar scientists are blaming accelerated regional warming for the ice shelf collapse and their European counterparts continue to make the most of the now dwindling European heat to further their agenda to promote the notion that climate change is dangerously sending us towards oblivion.
Tonight, via the twentieth-century technological miracle of Scopitone , we bring you the dancing trousers of multi-million selling accordion stylist Andr Verchuren , as he and an unidentified chanteuse have a lot of fun, all French-like, in a scorching performance of Papa C'est Ta Java . When it comes to high-quality weekend musical entertainment, I bring it. The comments are open, as always, for your Reader Tips.
According to the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC) in Brussels, the official solar sunspot number (SSN) last month was 57.0. Thus it reached only 57% of the mean value of cycles 1 to 23 in the corresponding time period. If you calculate using the entire cycle 24, then we get an activity level that is only about 45% of the mean value. As Pierre Gosselin reports, You have to go back all the way to 1827 (cycle 7) to fine a comparatively small activity like what weve seen since 2009. (7)
By 1935, The Scientific Consensus Had Determined That Mars' Oceans Were Actually Tracts Of Vegetation
When you have eliminated the impossible,whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.Sir Arthur Conan Doyle (1859-1930).
Global warming activists are in full-throttle damage control, desperately claiming global warming causes record snow and cold.
Ridley's "smoking gun" is a paper last week in Science Magazine by two scientists Xianyao Chen and Ka-Kit Tung, which Ridley somehow believes refutes all previous climate science. Ridley quotes a sentence fragment from the press release suggesting that roughly half of the global warming in the last three decades of the past century (1970-2000) was due to global warming and half to a natural Atlantic Ocean cycle. He then states that "the man-made warming of the past 20 years has been so feeble that a shifting current in one ocean was enough to wipe it out altogether," and "That to put the icing on the case of good news, Xianyao Chen and Ka-Kit Tung think the Atlantic Ocean may continue to prevent any warming for the next two decades."
TIME responds to GOP Attacks on Stimulus Wind Power Money:
Because many of the lost jobs are due to automation and technological improvementswhich have enabled more production from fewer workersthere is skepticism on both sides of the aisle as to whether these lost jobs can actually come back. However, I believe, most Americans don't want to see more of our jobs disappear. Harry Moser, founder and president of the Reshoring Initiative, which aims to bring manufacturing back home, is optimistic. He told me that we are now losing about as many jobs to offshoring, as we are recovering: "We've gone from losing somewhere around 200,000 manufacturing jobs a year in 2000 to 2003 to net breaking even. Balancing the trade deficit will increase U.S. manufacturing by about four million jobs at current levels of productivity"
I used the old crowd-control trick of standing behind the Hitler Youth and talking quietly. The microphones were right where I wanted them, so I began reporting on that day?s progress in negotiating the world-government agreement that, if it is passed at Copenhagen, will shut down the economies and democracies of the West without affecting the climate in any measurable way.
In 2007, its computer predicted it would be the hottest year ever, just before global temperatures plummeted by 0.7c. That summer in the UK, it told us, would be drier than average, just before we experienced some of the worst floods.
The effective global sea surface temperature oscillation, although dominated by the PDO, depends also on complex phase interaction with lesser oscillations. Considering all this, the effective sea surface oscillation can be expected to fade in and out in its contribution to AGT in future decades. However, average global temperature should continue to correlate with the time-integral of sunspot numbers, as it has ever since sunspots have been regularly recorded.
But their point that the infrastructure for making a fake does exist is pretty clear. Just the deeper meaning is a bit sparse ;-)
There was a large cake and a birthday card as big as a wall dutifully signed by
In the Oklahoma summer, the scattered-light effect measured by the researchers could be quite large. For example, if a cloud passed over the instrument, the measured cloudy sky brightness exceeded calculated clear sky value by up to 30 percent. Kassianov attributes that large difference to scattered sunlight being "caught on tape" by the radiometer.
?The sun is causing the cooling that?s going on. The sun reached a peak of activity around 2000 and has been declining ever since,? said Ball, who noted that the cooling trend will continue for years to come.
The closing paragraph of the press release Why are seabirds abandoning their ancestral nesting grounds in the Gulf of California? from the University of California, Riverside reads(my boldface):
Arctic sea ice extent in April 2012 averaged 14.73 million square kilometers (5.69 million square miles). Because of the very slow rate of ice loss through the last half of March and the first three weeks of April, ice extent averaged for April ranked close to average out of 34 years of satellite data.
"The self-appointed, self-styled "National Commission on Energy Policy' is a lobby for special interests and big government masquerading as an official-sounding panel of unbiased experts," said Myron Ebell, CEI Director of Global Warming Policy. "The commission was designed to promote taxpayer-subsidized industries and environmental extremist causes at the expense of consumers."
As Germany reels from its 5th colder-than-normal winter in a row ( a record ), Latifs words are sounding cavernously hollow, says this article on notrickzone.com.
The researchers found that the effects are largely determined by the presence or absence of different fauna, primarily small algae-eating crustaceans. The net effect of changes in temperature and ocean acidification on benthic microalgae is non-existent if there are crustaceans in the ecosystem. But in the absence of crustaceans, the amount of benthic algae is largely controlled by positive and negative direct and indirect effects of higher temperatures and acidification.
Thomas Sowell, Walter Olsen, Raoul Berger have all written essays and books that provide compelling arguments on the problem of judicial activism and unconstitutional jurisprudence initiated by the SCOTUS.
In the national newspaper VG, he emphasizes the importance of long-term observations and explains : ??? During the first 10 years we saw an increase in the temperature of one degree Celsius. But, during the following ten years, the temperatures dropped again and are now back to the 1995-level. This confirms the long-term variations in the Gulf Stream.
Is this a weltanschauung or just the shallow pique of an irritable man? Nowhere do we see a sense of compassion for the people of Syria, a recognition of the growing menace of the Islamic State and al Qaeda to the safety and security of the American people. Rather, the president is delighted to have resisted being "jammed" by his own team and exploited by desperate Middle Eastern allies who apparently wish to oust Assad for all the wrong reasons. Which brings us to America's allies.
1. Using data to attribute episodes of warming and cooling in instrumental records , Ka-Kit Tung 1 and Jiansong Zhou , 12/2012; anthropogenic global warming trends might have been overestimated by a factor of two in the second half of the 20th century .
Fears about global warming's impact on polar bears even spurred the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to list the bear as "threatened" under the Endangered Species Act in 2008 the first species to be listed over possibly being harmed in the future from global warming.
To read more about Huiming Baos research, visit http://www.geol.lsu.edu/hbao/ .
First, he established his credibility with "national greatness" Americans by restating his past commitment to using military force where core interests demand it, unilaterally if necessary. The speech did little to expound upon what the President would have us believe are core interests, and I get the feeling he prefers it that way: fungible, temporal, situation dependent. In essence, a core interest worth fighting for creates a "red line," and while he has drawn such lines, he did not, in the event, follow up on their enforcement. Fool him once
I'll drink to thatCongestive Heart Failure benefits from WINE.
The network meteorologists barely had time to come up for air while forecasting the latest snowstorm non-disaster. Politicians, fearing what might happen to their approval numbers if a blizzard hit, went on TV to announce they were taking proactive measures. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio shut down tunnels, bridges, even the subway to prepare for the worst. Governors Andrew Cuomo and Chris Christie announced road closings in New York and New Jersey.
Britains Met Office knew it was going to be cold and snowy they just didnt want to say anything in case they were wrong . Its amazing what value the UK taxpayer gets for 170 million a year and a super-computer.
By Phillip Wallach, Brookings, Aug 5, 2015
The direction of climate science and investigation is clear. The real discoveries will involve unraveling the solar mechanisms, and not baking simplistic, straight-line CO2-temperature models. With each new study, the CO2 warmists look more and morelike broken records that keep repeating: CO2CO2CO2CO2
New Report: "Extreme Weather Report 2012': "Latest peer-reviewed studies, data & analyses undermine claims that current weather is "unprecedented' or a "new normal' Climate Depot's New 35-Page Report: "Current weather is neither historically unprecedented, nor unusual' "Extreme weather events are ever present, and there is no evidence of systematic increases' Presented at UN Climate Conference in Doha, Qatar on Dec. 6, 2012
A panel of notables, co-chaired by Michael Bloomberg, Henry Paulson, and Thomas Steyer, has launched a new effort to sell the idea of more U.S. action on climate change. The group has released a report titled, Risky Business: The Economic Risks of Climate Change in the United States. At about the same time, Mr. Paulson published a New York Times opinion piece revealing that his personal goal is a carbon tax. He bases this preference, he says, on his business experience with risk.
With all the unintended consequences of government policy on view, and with new, lower estimates of the likely extent of global warming now appearing every year, the time is ripefor a reassessment.
In the options, it is illogical to claim Arctic Ocean ice melting. If you claim Arctic sea ice causes sea level change, then why not Antarctic sea ice? Of course, claiming either is wrong because the ice is formed from seawater. There is likely a minimal sea level change because the ice is 6-7 percent greater in volume, but that is likely balanced because a portion of the sea ice is above sea level. Majorities of the 76 percent who believe melting Arctic sea ice raises sea level, likely do so because of the Gore deception. It is why the animation sequences of water over-running the land are a major part of the movie. He added the false emotive factor of drowning polar bears for a persuasive combination.
Apparently, an increase in offshore drilling is still on the policy table, which suggests Obama is taking a more rational approach to energy policy than many of his colleagues. Without question, offshore drilling cannot provide ???energy independence?? (a ludicrous concept, but that??s for another day), but there are numerous benefits and only a trivial downside.
You can get some interesting numbers if you mix and (don't) match time periods. As a general rule, the shorter time period you choose (or the smaller the area), the easier it is to find a temporary downward trend. The Skeptical Science blog (quite one-sided, but usually accurate) calls this "going down the up escalator".
With this very brief background study, should we be surprised if scientists who are pushing Global Warming as a man-made disaster would be reluctant to criticize the claim if they knew their funding would be cut? There are big bucks in Global Warming. Those who are pushing it are mostly ideologues with a larger political agenda.
"With Wisconsin and Ohio forfeiting their high-speed rail funding and Florida getting awarded a decent amount more ($342.3 million) for its proposed high-speed rail network, you would think all is going smoothly with regards to this matter in the highly-congested Sunshine State."
A paper published by the Science & Public Policy Institute challenges the so-called scientific consensus behind anthropogenic global warming, and questions the validity of the oft-repeated "97% of climate scientists agree that humans are significantly affecting the climate" claim.
If we are in a global warming crisis today, even the most aggressive and costly proposals for limiting industrial carbon dioxide emissions and all other government proposals and taxes would have a negligible effect on global climate!
A quantitative test of climate model performance can be made by comparing the range of model projections against observations of the evolution of the global average surface temperature since the mid-20 th century. Here, we perform such a comparison on a collection of 108 model runs comprising the ensemble used in the IPCCs 5th Scientific Assessment and find that the observed global average temperature evolution for trend lengths (with a few exceptions) since 1980 is less than 97.5% of the model distribution, meaning that the observed trends are significantly different from the average trend simulated by climate models. For periods approaching 40 years in length, the observed trend lies outside of (below) the range that includes 95% of all climate model simulations.
130. Plaintiff has engaged in a pattern of abusive litigation designed to chill freedom of speech and to stifle legitimate criticism of Plaintiff?s work. He is currently suing Dr Tim Ball in British Columbia over a hoary bit of word play (?should be in the state pen, not Penn State?) applied to innumerable Pennsylvanians over the years. Having initiated the suit, Dr Mann then stalled the discovery process, so that the BC suit is now entering its third year ? Mann?s object being to use the process as a punishment, rather than any eventual trial and conviction. See Mann vs Ball et al, British Columbia VLC-S-S-111913 (2011) (exhibit attached).
And so, the global warming deniers like Rush Limbaugh, whose house I cant wait until the ocean swells and eats his house and he will be the first to go because hes got the best location! Hes on Palm Beach, which is nothing but a little islanda long, skinny, little sliver of billion dollars worth of crap! Mostly over-the-top, overdecorated, overpainted, overdone houses with silk draperies and Renaissance designs in a tropical settingOn the edge of this little silvered island with a rising, rising ocean hes going first, I live out west, my house is going to be the new Palm Beach and I cant wait. I cant freaking wait!
A grant to Lyons from the National Science Foundation supported the study.
Henrik Wahren, one of Australias leading alpine ecologists, says the alpine environment could disappear by 2050: We wont have an alpine area. It will be gone. Once a plant species is lost, he says, theres a cascading effect that flows to insects, birds and animals.
Crank of the Week June 24, 2014 Connie Roser-Renouf
"The US budget deficit shot up 15.7 percent in the first six months of fiscal 2011, the Treasury Department said Wednesday as political knives were being sharpened for a new budget battle."
However, acknowledging humans' influence on temperature increases over the past century is a far cry from endorsing the notion that government must impose onerous regulation on greenhouse gas emissions in order to prevent catastrophic climate changes later this century. As Pielke testified before Congress earlier this year, "a focus on just carbon dioxide and a few other greenhouse gases as the dominant human influence on climate is too narrow, and misses other important human influences."
The claim that anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have been responsible for the warming detected in the twentieth century is based on what Loehle (2004) calls ???the standard assumption in climate research, including the IPCC reports,?? that ???over a century time interval there is not likely to be any recognizable trend to global temperatures (Risbey et al., 2000), and thus the null model for climate signal detection is a flat temperature trend with some autocorrelated noise,?? so that ???any warming trends in excess of that expected from normal climatic variability are then assumed to be due to anthropogenic effects.?? If, however, there are significant underlying climate trends or cycles-or both-either known or unknown, that assumption is clearly invalid.
While ethanol promoters make it sound as if ethanol is the solution to all our energy woesdependence on foreign oil, diminishing oil stocks, the environmental consequences of energy use, the decline of the family farm, and so ona considerable amount of research has shown that ethanol has far more peril than it does promise.
harrumphing is in itself a harrumph. And I'm sure Culture11 could have
"The famously cold winter of 1962/63 is now expected to occur about once every 1,000 years or more, compared with approximately every 100 to 200 years before 1850."
FWS argued in 2008 that "the best available science" showed "that loss of sea ice threatens and will likely continue to threaten polar bear habitat."
The latter two items are especially pertinent, because they show that the crucial amplification by water vapor feedback assumed by the models does not exist in reality. Modelers guessed that of the forces on temperature, only CO 2 has changed significantly since 1750. The water vapor amplification causes two-thirds of the warming predicted by the models, while carbon dioxide only directly causes one third. The presence of the amplification in the models, but not in reality, explains why the models overestimated recent warming.
In 2011 college professors Josipa Roksa and Richard Arum surveyed 925 college students about their transitions into the labor force, two years after graduation. In addition to discovering that only slightly more than half had found full-time jobs, Roska and Arum found that student "lack of awareness of current events was startling." Thirty-two percent reported "that they read a newspaper only monthly or never."
NREL made the most noise regarding the latter, upset that the Spaniards refused to use the input-output (or Leontief) methodology designed for central planning, in which all is assumed to be knowable, controllable, and static. This method has been discredited outside of social democratic government agencies and select associations. Instead, the Spanish study relied upon methodology employed by real-world businesses in competitive fields when deciding how to deploy resources which is not "non-traditional," as claimed by NREL.
In light of the massive El Nio there should be no surprise that 2015 showed elevated temperatures about a quarter of a degree Fahrenheit higher than the previous year.