Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In my previous post, A Longer Look at Climate Sensitivity , I showed that the match between lagged net sunshine (the solar energy remaining after albedo reflections) and the observational temperature record is quite good. However, there was still a discrepancy between the trends, with the observational trends being slightly larger than the calculated results. For the NH, the difference was about 0.1C per decade, and for the SH, it was about 0 05C per decade.
Pope herself is the principal source of the major recent apocalyptic prediction made by climate scientists ironically in a December article in the Guardian , Met Office warn of catastrophic rise in temperature
Kaufmann?s team (and others) have duly noted that El Nino cycles are one factor partially responsible for the lack of recent warming. There?s little doubt of this. Further, if you back out solar changes and volcanism, as they did, you can convince yourself that there is still an underlying ?residual? warming trend, but it is masked by all these variables. This has been done repeatedly in the scientific literature, which, until now, did not include increasing the sulfate effect on recent temperatures.
Also, I can't get rid of the feeling that Giuliani was badly treated because of some reasons that his critics do not fully disclose. For example, a year ago, Giuliani said that Putin, unlike Obama, is what you call a leader . This is another kind of an obvious observation that has become non-PC in contemporary America.
Ho Hum. But no one was publishing the proof in the technical literature.
In his presentation called The Sun Dictates the Climate, he indicated that there would be an ice age kind of temperatures in the middle of the 21st century. He showed a graph called The forecast of the natural climate change for the nearest 100 years and it showed the globa temperatures dropping by more than 1C by 2055. According to him, a new ice age could start by 2014.
In an age of technological marvels, it may not be earth-stopping news that young engineers at Ugandas Makerere University have made an electric car. But, as a university professor reminded me, this is big news for Uganda.
After all, if temperatures aren't soaring and even by global warming alarmists' own data they haven't for 17 years shouldn't we rethink those economic and government policies?
Look at Washington State. The Nisqually Glacier on Mt. Rainier is growing. Glaciers on Glacier Peak in northern Washington are growing. And Crater Glacier on Mt. Saint Helens is now larger than it was before the 1980 eruption.
Their first explanation was solar. Since the downwelling surface radiation has not increased as expected, perhaps theres been a decrease in the incoming TOA solar radiation. This would offset a warming from CO2. Heres that data:
The surge in domestic production of low-cost natural gas is displacing coal in electricity generation, with the result that coal (which emits about twice as much carbon dioxide as gas during combustion) now provides about 30% of domestic electricity, down from 44% five years ago. In fact, without the surge in domestic natural gas production, the Obama administration's controversial Clean Power Plan would be essentially impossible to implement.
Sandy may have been a rare (but hardly unprecedented) confluence of weather events. But the political decisions and blame avoidance are an all-too-common confluence of human tendencies worsened by the dogged determination of our ruling classes to acquire greater power and control, coupled with steadily declining transparency, accountability and liability.
The Economist says the world has added roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010, about one-quarter of all the carbon dioxide put there by humans since 1750. This mismatch between rising greenhouse gas emissions and not-rising temperatures is among the biggest puzzles in climate science just now, The Economist article says.
Systematic epidemiological studies, including all possible confounders and other relevant contaminants, must be performed before any conclusive statements can be made about contaminants and sex ratios in Arctic populations
The Harrabin-Abbess story has not died yet (heres Bishop Hill on Jo Abbesss fifteen minutes of fame ; a video of Noel Sheppard on CNNs Glenn Beck Show ; and Melanie Phillips on The Spectator hardly containing her glee on the emerging truth of the BBC showing its pro-AGW bias for all to see ).
Although the likes of Al Gore prefer to avoid the word, their approach to climate change centers on rationing.
Scottish Power, and its partners Shell and the National Grid, have just completed a detailed study of the CCS scheme and have deep concerns about its commercial viability without heavier public backing.
Still, there's no denying that your typical star or starlet slants left. Why that is true is a tougher question. Some say it's an occupational hazardworking at a Hollywood studio affects your mind the way that working in a West Virginia coal mine affects your lungs.
1. The pin-up species of global warming, the polar bear, is increasing in number, not decreasing.
My own guess is that, over the next few years, the complacent EU nations (such as Germany and France) will be pushed hard by the aspiring EU nations (such as Ireland and Poland) to build a Europe that looks more like George Bush's America. And it won't be a fluke.
In 2010, 32 coal miners where shot dead in South Africa. They were protesting for salary increases, which the mine owners and South African government said they could not afford, because of the terrible world economy and low coal prices. Meanwhile, the miners' families are starving.
This is hilarious . Apparently the polar vortex proves whatever hypothesis you are trying to prove, either cooling or warming:
In 1989, NOAA said that there was no evidence of warming in the US
Gilmour et al ., as they describe it, "document the recovery of coral assemblages at Australia's largest oceanic reef system, where changes in assemblage structure and key demographic parameters were quantified for 16 years, through a regime of disturbances beginning with a catastrophic mass bleaching event in 1998." This they did at the Scott system of reefs, which is surrounded by oceanic waters on the edge of Western Australia's continental shelf," and which is "more than 250 km from the mainland and other reefs in the region, and more than 1000 km from a major center of urbanization." What was learned
David Stockwells experiments are also relevant here. There are a variety of situations under which spurious RE statistics can arise and its long overdue for climate scientists relying on this measure to understand its properties. B and C go on:
Why did the Met Office forecast a "mild winter"? ?Boris Johnson, Major of London, The Daily Telegraph, 20 December 2010
The variable c varies between zero and one to control how fat the tail is, with smaller values giving a fatter tail.
Lgenergilampor are additionally not so effective as they often pretends for being, tells Jonas and Ida. The fact is that a lgenergilampa mrkt 14 W frbrukar energy equivalent to up to 38 W p because of a fasfrskjutning. This causes fasfrskjutning energifrluster the mains, DRMed's case this frbrukning not elrkningen p.
The temperature differential between the surface and the atmosphere is known as the lapse rate. From 1964 to 1979 the lapse rate decreased, meaning that surface and atmospheric temperatures were converging. However, beginning in 1980 the lapse rate began to increase and has continued to do so until the present time. Much of the winter-to-winter lapse rate variability in the high latitudes is dynamically induced, according to the study, but most of the change in lapse rate is over the lower latitudes or tropics.
Academic freedom is an old privilege. Academics can report the results of their research without fearing that the political fall-out would affect their economic security or their career. Richard Tol, Climate Etc, 12 November 2011
U.S. Energy Information Administration, "The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview," October 2009, http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/pdf/0581(2009).pdf (accessed April 3, 2013).
Now TransCanada has returned with a revised plan that skirts the environmentally sensitive Sand Hills region, adding about 100 miles to the route, and avoids areas where groundwater in the Ogallala aquifer is less than 5 feet from the surface.
In the current post, Craig draws on this extensive, empirical database to assert:
Here is a little of what he said: This legislation is based on a lie and is fraudulent in that, rather than reducing carbon emissions, published Treasury modelling shows such emissions will actually increase if this scheme is introduced. (Piers Ackerman, Daily Telegraph )
To maintain the correctness of the Court?s decision in Mass. v. EPA, one must suppose that when Congress enacted the Clean Air Act in 1970, it somehow inserted the statutory equivalent of malicious code into the text, the bug lay dormant for 40 years, and then suddenly the malware became active, causing programs that had worked reasonably well since their inception to go haywire, work at cross purposes with themselves and each other, undermine congressional intent, and jeopardize America?s economic future. And if the EPA Administrator, former or present, really believes that, then I have a bridge I?d like to sell him or her.
To view this issue of the CEI Planet, please click here to download the PDF file. Below are selected articles from the May-June 2009 issue:
The Climategate Emails showed, for example, that some members of the band were uncomfortable with aspects of their work, some even questioning the need to erase the existence of the Medieval Warm Period 1,000 years earlier.
The implications of lower fertility rates are far-reaching. One of the most profound is their potential to reduce economic inequality around the world and alter the balance of power among nations.
We cannot even build wind and solar facilities without coal and petroleum: to mine, smelt, manufacture, and transport materials for turbines, panels, and transmission lines and to build and operate backup power units that also require vast amounts of land, cement, steel, copper, rare-earth metals, and other materials.
"They meet the standards of NHTSA's "Show and Display" exemption. Such cars must be exceedingly rare, historically significant and driven a mere 2,500 miles annually. But if you think a boatload of money and reams of paperwork can get any car into the country, think again."
Our friends claim that the last six months was the warmest ever, despite record Antarctic sea ice, record Great Lakes ice, 84% growth in Arctic sea ice volume over 2012, near record September snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere, a record cold summer north of 80N, glaciers forming in Scotland, and their own satellites showing that the last six months have been nowhere near the warmest.
Using sediment cores from two lakes in the Qaidam Basin of the northern Tibetan Plateau , Chinese researchers reconstructed temperatures back some 2,000 years. Their research was unequivocal: modern warming has been cooler than past warming periods. They also confirmed that the climate naturally made shifts between warm/cool regimes. Plus, the climate shifts appear to be associated with solar activity. Note: Historical temperature charts and previous climate-history articles .
Ian Castles, the former head of Australia's national office of statistics, and David Henderson, a former chief economist of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, have developed a powerful critique of the IPCC's methodology for projecting future greenhouse gas emissions. Their conclusion: the economic assumptions the IPCC used (basing its future GDP calculations on currency exchange rates, rather than purchasing power parity) grossly overestimated future emissions. Like the NRC, they also compared the IPCC's track record at projecting global emissions with the actual emissions of the last decade. The results are quite damning: The IPCC expected global carbon dioxide emissions to rise by about 15 percent in the 1990swhich turns out to be more than twice the level (roughly 6 percent) that emissions actually grew during that period. The IPCC's estimates of methane emissions in the developing world appear similarly off-base.
A cold winter will bring widespread black outs in the UK and with it the long overdue realisation by the lumpen proletariat that an energy policy reliant on intermittent, unreliable, expensive wind power is totally insane.
"Mother Nature," says Christy, "simply operates at a level of complexity that is, at this point, behind the mastery of mere mortalssuch as scientistsand the tools available to us."
Die Zeit alsofocuses on Fred Singer and the late Frederick Seitz, who they write are part of an industry-financed complex of associations and institutes that has grown up around Washington, a sort of Potemkin village of science, populated by paid experts who serve the interests of their clients. A well-oiled, self-perpetuating denial machine .
Heartland Institute Responds to General Motors' Decision to Pull Funding
Carbon taxes are not only economically regressive, theyre geographically discriminatory some places are blessed with a lot of hydro, others have natural gas, and some have a huge quantity of coal. Areas with ready access to low-carbon forms of energy will pay less in taxes, while areas without low-carbon forms of energy will be hit hard by carbon taxes. Either theyll have to pay the tax and continue using higher-carbon forms of energy, or theyll have to re-tool their power plants and rely on higher-cost imported fuel or electricity from elsewhere.
As temperatures warm, plants release gases that help form clouds and cool the atmosphere, according to research from IIASA and the University of Helsinki.
???However, it is also possible that the new solar energy slump could be as deep as the Maunder minimum?? in the coldest part of the Little Ice Age when, as well as the Thames frost fairs, the canals of Holland froze solid.??
An SEIU comments thread goes terribly wrong
Reaching agreement on such provisions does not seem impossible. "With tweaks to our immigration system," Smith said earlier this month, "we can accommodate those graduates whom American universities and businesses most desire and who are most able to contribute to our economy."
The models used by the IPCC really are horrible representations of climate on this planet. One example: the modelers have to double the warming rate of global ocean surfaces to have the modeled global land surface temperatures come close to reality. Thats a horrible display of modeling. And there are many more. The following graphs were presented as Figure 9 in the post here .
The 70s' regulatory assault on America the "fuelish" produced gas lines, stagflation, and "malaise." Kyoto's costs would go much beyond higher fuel and energy prices, Mills cautions. Regulating carbon dioxide would require an enormous bureaucracy and impose significant legal and paperwork burdens on over 1 million small firms.
The goal of providing conservative journalists a place to write for their fellow conservatives about cultural subjects gave the lesser features and reviews by young writers the sheltered-workshop aura of a college newspaper, and occasionally dipped into the kind of "these kids today" cultural commentary that right-of-center magazines have never been short of, with Iain Murrayone of the Competitive Enterprise Institute's in-house authorities on climate change denialharrumphing that "it seems impossible to find a show that airs after 8 p.m. on any of the major networks that is not obsessed with sex."
Within the seafood category, clams are an energy bargain at 10,000 calories per pound, while shrimps without shells are staggeringly energy expensive, with 116,000 calories used to produce a pound. As with mammals, larger fish are less energy efficient than smaller ones, so eating lower on the food chain is a way to save energy. Producing four pounds of small fish like sardines and anchovies uses the same amount of energy as producing one pound of farmed salmon. Eggs are another energy efficient animal product, with inputs of only 9,500 calories per pound. Vegetables are significantly more energy efficient than most forms of meat. Estimates for cooked legumes range from 2,600 to 10,560 calories per pound.
Interior Secretary Ken Salazar has shut down leasing and drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, put tens of thousands out of work, ignored court orders to end his moratorium, and issued decrees that make millions of additional onshore and offshore acres off limits to drilling. He has blocked exploration in ANWR because its oil riches won't make us energy independent (as though even massive wind, solar, ethanol and electric car programs would do so).
The EPA claims science has given it the justification, and the Supreme Court has given it the authority, to regulate CO2 as a pollutant and impose regulations governing virtually every aspect of American business and our daily life almost down to our lawn mowers.
Free-speech advocates have reason to cheer as two state attorneys general have walked back their subpoenas against Exxon Mobil Corp., tacitly admitting that their climate-change harassment lacks a legal basis.
"A Center for Public Integrity analysis of Senate lobbying disclosure forms shows that more than 770 companies and interest groups hired an estimated 2,340 lobbyists to influence federal policy on climate change in the past year, as the issue gathered momentum and a bill came to a vote in Congress.
Yet, the CAA requires EPA to ensure that areas designated to be in non-attainment with a primary or health-based NAAQS come into attainment within five years, or at most 10 yearsif EPA grantsan extension. Because GHGs are well-mixed throughout the global atmosphere, GHG NAAQS set below current atmospheric levels would turn the United States (indeed, the world) into a single giant non-attainment area.
At the heart of much policy to deal with climate change lies an ethical approach to the question of intergenerational equity, namely that current generations should avoid passing costs onto future ones, who can play no part in the decisions. In fact it has been said that this is the only ethical way to deal with global warming, although this is not true professional economists have identified several alternatives.
The reality is that we need to have a free and honest debate about how we're going to address a problem that threatens to be of epic proportions.
Warming Link to New Ice Age Shaky
With many zoos and aquariums now working with conservation organizations and financed by individuals who feel strongly about threatened habitats and species, managers have been wrestling with how aggressive to be in educating visitors on the perils of climate change.
That's the word from 11 co-authors, led by Johan Rockst m of the Stockholm Resilience Centre, of a pseudo-scientific screed published August 24 in Earth's Future, an open-access online journal of the American Geophysical Union.
Ross Gelbspan, the author of The Heat is On now has an internet site called The Heat is Online (www.heatisonline.org) to promote his global warming views. The website has a multimedia presentation, and a 6,000-word overview, which claims that "this new era of climate change could well be the most profound threat ever facing humanity." The website also "catalogues the last four years of increasingly frequent and severe extreme weather events all over the world," as well as provides short synopses of scientific findings and offers solutions. Finally, the site "documents a pervasive and very successful industry campaign of deception and disinformation."
Most of them are based on the words of Richard Tol, a sensible guy working in the group. If he is right, the IPCC report should contain the following remarkable sentence:
No federal minimum-wage legislation. President Obama will continue to call for a $10.10 minimum wage, and the Service Employees International Union will continue to organize protests for a $15 minimum wage, but Congress will not pass either one. If the federal minimum wage did not rise during a Democratic Congress with a Democratic president (2009-2010), and during a split Congress with a Democratic president (2011-2014), it's not going to rise with a Republican Congress.
Bunce's final conclusion about the matter, which seems a grand understatement to us, is that "these results suggest that caution should be used in interpreting soybean yield data obtained using systems in which EC is provided only in the daytime."?? Indeed, they should raise a really red flag about all plants studied in this way, for results obtained by daylight-only CO 2 enrichment may greatly underestimate what will actually occur in a future CO 2 -enriched world, where elevated CO 2 concentrations will obviously be present both day and night. Reference
And in order to keep the highest aristocratic standards of diplomatic behavior which is so characteristic for your humble correspondent, I won't even explain that the acronym stands for lying f*ck*d-up comm*nist s*ith*ads, a meticulously accurate description of the conference participants who have been or could be invited to publish a rant on George Soros' web-based private lavatory, RealClimate.ORG. Although I won't mention what the acronym means in the text below, I kindly urge everyone who knows the meaning of the acronym to expand it in the text below at all places where the acronym appears.
last 100 years drawing upon a new observed global climate data set. Some
Mr. Cooks work was quickly debunked. In Science and Education in August 2013, for example, David R. Legates (a professor of geography at the University of Delaware and former director of its Center for Climatic Research) and three coauthors reviewed the same papers as did Mr. Cook and found only 41 papers0.3 percent of all 11,944 abstracts or 1.0 percent of the 4,014 expressing an opinion, and not 97.1 percenthad been found to endorse the claim that human activity is causing most of the current warming. Elsewhere, climate scientists including Craig Idso, Nicola Scafetta, Nir J. Shaviv and Nils- Axel Morner, whose research questions the alleged consensus, protested that Mr. Cook ignored or misrepresented their work.
Despite the cut backs to wind power, the German government estimates that it will spend over $1.1 trillion financially supporting wind power, even though building wind turbines hasn't achieved the government's goal of actually reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to slow global warming.
The IWG's TSD used 2.5 percent, 3 percent, and 5 percent discount rates but neglected to report SCC values based on 7 percent. The IWG settled on three percent as the most reasonable discount rate and those are the values that have been used in regulatory rule-making. Comparing the SCC values in the DICE model for the year 2020, Heritage found the value dropped nearly 85 percent when the 7 percent discount rate was used. In the FUND model the SCC drops more than 100 percent and actually goes negative when the 7 percent discount rate is used.
The only certainty in global warming predictions is that they are wrong. Proof, meet pudding.
Probiotic's Good for Colic Say the Italians
There are still some puzzles in the next step of this beauty contest. The submission included two series from one Quelccaya ice core ??? one for dO18 and one for accumulation. Did these two series from the same ice core ???represent different parts of the globe??? Maybe one of the series ???represented?? northern Sweden? Or Australia? Or Crawford, Texas? Or Minneapolis? He had 4 different bristlecone and foxtail series, including series only a few tens of miles apart. Did these ???represent?? different parts of the world through Mannian teleconnection? Maybe the Upper Wright Lakes foxtails represented Poland, Boreal foxtails Afghanistan, the Methuselah Walk bristlecones Thailand and the Indian Garden bristlecone the South Atlantic? IT sounds silly expressed like this, but the assumptions of the ???model?? do not preclude this.
> >> trying to do this study for the whole of Africa is quite a