Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Dickens life demonstrates the extraordinary variability of the British winters during that era, when the coldest and warmest winters in the CET records can be juxtaposed. Generally there are few examples of constant cold winters year after year-the LIA was becoming much more sporadic than it had been several centuries earlier, when bitter cold weather appears to have been the norm. To put this era into perspective mature English people might be surprised to learn they lived through a much colder winter than Dickens ever experienced. 1962/3 at -0.33C was the third coldest in the entire CET record compared to Dickens coldest year 1814 at 0.43c, the fourth coldest in the record. (1962/3 was a bit of a one off-Dickens experienced a greater number of relatively cold winters)
is to get warming loony Ross Garnaut, Professor David only way to cool the earth is to be hit by a freaking great asteroid which destroys all of civilisation Karoly, and oh-so-impartial Tony Jones in the Lateline studio. Laughable, if it werent so tragic.
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Here we go again. Last March I wrote about the media predictions that the Arctic sea ice would be gone by the summer of 2012. As I showed back then, those wild predictions were based on a simple extrapolation of the minimum summer sea ice extents of 2006 and 2007.
They urge us to keep in mind: "It is important to recognize that the central issue of human-caused climate change is not a question of whether it is warming or not, but rather a question of how much. And to this relevant question, the answer has been, and remains, that the warming is taking place at a much slower rate than is being projected."
To bolster their charge the earth is heating up, global warming advocates point to computer models they say validate their alarmist claims. But are these models accurate? Well if one recent study is any indication, it would appear the answer is "No." As reported in Investor's Business Daily, a researcher in Sweden reviewed how well some leading climate models predicted the past figuring if they could do that, they might serve as reliable indicators of the future. But when he examined how well they explained China's weather over the last 50 years, he found less than half showed the right levels of precipitation in various regions, and virtually none mapped the entire country's weather reliably in the least.
We get the message the recent warming in at least several regions in China has likely been exceeded in the past millennium or two, the rate of recent warming was not unusual, and the observed warming of the 20th century comes after an exceptionally cold period in the 1800s.
Among the more developed countries, the United States is the outlier nation, with the highest fertility ratejust under 2.1. Moreover, the United States takes in more immigrants than the rest of the world combined. Accordingly, in the next 50 years America will grow by 100 million people. Europe will lose more than 100 million people.
On the other hand, aerosols both within clouds and in the open sky bounce different-colored light unequally. Broadband measurements that fail to distinguish color differences might be covering up important details, the researchers thought.
Obamas presidency has also seen the fewest US hurricane landfalls of any president. Three hurricanes have hit the US while he was in office, compared to twenty-six while Grover Cleveland was in office.
We contacted the journal editor on Friday June 8 to let them know...
The EPA issued its formal finding that carbon dioxide is an air pollutant on December 7 (an appropriate day to announce a national disaster). As stated above, in a normal case this decision would have little chance of surviving judicial review. Courts of appeal are aware of their own lack of scientific expertise, so they have developed doctrines to ensure that agencies' scientific decisions are open enough to provide interested parties with opportunities to evaluate a decision's quality. To this end, the data on which the agency relies must be made public, as must studies and reports and other material. The agency is not allowed to cherry-pick its science; it must take it all into account. Cogent comments must be answered and rebutted.
Britain's Environment Minister Michael Meacher, who likes to berate the U.S. for its backward stance on global warming, made a fool of himself in the August 9 issue of the London Sunday Times. Here's an excerpt from the interview:
This is beautiful with a capital "B". Unlike most nanny state regulations that afflict the unsuspecting and uncomplaining, this one is coming back to bite the very people who wanted it most. So, I hope that list is sold to every third world call center on the planet, 'cause my number ain't on it. Via Chuck Adler .
Check this out: climate change analyst job description . Excerpts:
The safety issue most familiar to Americans, disposal of spent uranium fuel rods, has generated headlines as Congress has argued about where in the country to store the waste. On Tuesday a panel of judges halted most license hearings for Yucca Mountain, the Nevada location currently designated as the nuclear waste site. After having invested billions of dollars and decades in Yucca Mountain, the Department of Energy is poised to abandon the project with no alternative in sight.
The authors note that the only pollinator used in the greenhouse production of melons in Israel is the honey bee ( Apis mellifera ); and they say that "improvement in nectar reward can increase the attractiveness of the flowers to the bees, increase pollination activity and consequently increase the fruit set and the yield." Hence, as the air's CO 2 concentration continues to rise, or as greenhouse managers implement atmospheric CO 2 enrichment techniques, we may expect to see such benefits realized routinely.
Science, properly practiced, is the search for truth. Science, properly practiced, rejects forecasting models that consistently produce inaccurate forecasts. Theres nothing scientific about shouting down anyone who has the audacity to point out that the only thing your model can accurately predict is what the temperature wont be.
Dr Pachauri graduated as a mechanical engineer and was chief engineer with the Diesel Locomotive Works before studying engineering and then economics in the US.
We Desperately Need To Get Back To The Climate Stability Of 1917
The previous rule is actually required by SO(10)-like grand unified theories (see Hall et al. 1993 ) to obtain the right Yukawa couplings for the third-generation heavy fermions - the top quark, the bottom quark, and the tau lepton.
Campbell's membership on the panel was ostensibly because of his expertise in matters of peer review and there was some speculation in the wake of his departure as to whether a replacement should be sought. Indeed, I wrote to Sir Muir and suggested a way in which a suitable replacement might be found. My suggestion was that he might try contacting COPE , the Committee on Publishing Ethics, which is an industry body for scientific journals that offers advice on matters of, well, publishing ethics. They have considerable expertise in the peer review process.
The bottom line is this: the more people look for the anticipated acceleration in the rate of sea level rise, the less evidence they seem to find in support of it. All the while, we eat into the 21st century with a rate of sea level rise not much different from that experienced during the 20th centuryand one which was hardly catastrophic, readily proven by a simple look around.
In my dictionary, says Bright, Global is defined as worldwide. So let us ask ourselves the questionhas there been a worldwide warming of 0.07 degrees Celsius? Has there been a uniform increase in temperatures worldwide? The answer is simple. It is utterly impossible to make such declaration, adding that It is completely impossible to measure the temperature of the atmosphere which is 100 kilometers high and which has a huge range of temperatures in a continuous state of flux.
4- Having the Yamal data in complete form, McIntyre replicates it, and discovers that one of Manns co-authors, Briffa, had cherry picked 10 trees data sets out of a much larger set of trees sampled in Yamal.
The most studied and extensive of these events occurred 93.9 million years ago. By looking at the chemistry of rocks deposited during that time period, specifically coupled carbon and sulfur isotope data, a research team led by University of California, Riverside biogeochemists reports that oxygen-free and hydrogen sulfide-rich waters extended across roughly five percent of the global ocean during this major climatic perturbation far more than the modern oceans 0.1 percent but much less than previous estimates for this event.
Dear Clayco sorry to contradict you, but from the information that I have things exactly allopposto.
Can Mankind stop it? No. Just as humanity cannot affect the long term climate of the planet, neither can it stop an Ice Age from happening. The climate is primarily driven by the sun.
Next lets see what happens if we also remove all H20 from the atmosphere. Downwards radiation drops way down to 42.23 watts per metre. Therefore, H2O is responsible for 90% of the cloud free greenhouse effect in the tropics.
Theres a lot of blowback against James Hansens recent (non tested) PNAS paper, trying to link weather and climate, covered here on WUWT . Even NOAA scientist Dr. Martin Hoerling is panning it. This from The NYT :
Even though it is "academically plausible" that there is something beneath the obvious and mundane events we have seen, one should understand that there isn't any real evidence and it is just a sign of irrationality to be attracted to unjustified contrived hypotheses and to (loudly) dismiss simple, effective theories that agree with the evidence, especially if one does so repeatedly.
There is been plenty of historical evidence which confirms the existence of a much colder climate in much of Europe between the 14th and 19th Centuries. This is not surprising because there is such a wealth of historical records and documents which has been handed down from the Europe of those days. The book however presents considerable evidence that the phenomenon was a worldwide one:-
"Nothing," I answer. "And what is wrong with world peace, brotherhood among the nations, and ending exploitation of man by his fellow man?"
I respect Nigel Lawson very much. We?ve met multiple times, last time at the International Economic Forum in Qatar where we were both on the same panel. On that occasion, we once again demonstrated how similar our views are.
Ben Pile on April 27, 2015 at 5:46 pm
With the unlikely outliers removed, or referring to the GISS Model E2-R and GISS Model E2-H simulations, the differences between the observed and modeled ocean heat accumulation indicate the models are much too sensitive to the hypothetical impacts of CO 2 .
Vision : all we need to make Star-Trek-like teleportation a reality then, its finding a way to cool a person into a BEC, transfer its quantum state into just the right BEC far away, and then heat this back as the teleported copy of the original person.
Furthermore, to date no empirical, theoretical or numerical method, complex or simple, has yet successfully specified mechanistically either how the heat generated by anthropogenic greenhouse-gas enrichment of the atmosphere has reached the deep ocean without much altering the heat content of the intervening near-surface strata or how the heat from the bottom of the ocean may eventually re-emerge to perturb the near-surface climate conditions relevant to land-based life on Earth.
A large part of the sediment gathered by existing marshes is accumulated during seasonal flooding. Flood overtopping and overbank sedimentation, both vital to the survival of existing marshes, were dramatically reduced as large areas ceased to be flooded. River water also helped to reduce marsh salinity and provide nutrients, and its loss has resulted in the breakup and dispersal of large amounts of nutrient-starved marshlands.
pro-Obama cornersfrom celebrity investor Warren Buffett, from moderate
3. The increasing absolute amounts of CO2 have had a small influence, at best, on temperatures during the last 15 years.
It was also demonstrated ( Friis-Christensen and Lassen, 1992 , Hoyt and Schatten, 1993 and Lassen and Friis-Christensen, 1995 ) that the correlation between SCL and climate probably has been in operation for centuries. A statistical study of 69 tree rings sets, covering more than 594 years, and SCL demonstrated that wider tree-rings (better growth conditions) were associated with shorter sunspot cycles ( Zhou and Butler, 1998 ).
Astrophysicist Professor Nir J. Shaviv is a hot anhngare of the theory that the sun via its INFLUENCINg infldet of cosmic strlar play a big role for the Earth's temperature. He believes also that In addition to the sun's is affected infldet of particles in the longer term perspective of how the solar system rr in and out of the Milky Way galaxy's arms. This may be important to understand for the ice age and uppgng cases.
The rate of global warming since 1990, taken as the mean of the three terrestrial datasets, is half what the IPCC had then projected. The trend line of real-world temperature, in bright blue, falls well below the entire orange region representing the interval of near-term global warming predicted by the IPCC in 1990.
Figure 2b compares the new Yamalia chronology with two alternative chronologies heavily promoted by McIntyre and others the so-called Polar Urals update chronology and a Yamal chronology using modern samples from the Khadyta River site.
Sheer numbers also matter. All else remaining equal, the more parties that must agree, the more complex the negotiation is likely to be. That is one reason that the wider the geographic extent of the open access resource, the harder it will be to restrict access to it. With GHG control, the resource is literally the skynot something to which access is very easy to limit. All nations, however unequal in other regards, have access to the sky.
But the biggest drawback must surely be the length of the scheme. The government says payouts are guaranteed for 25 years. But there could be six changes of government in that time ? one of them just around the corner. Who can be sure they'll all stick to Miliband's promises? If you are thinking of taking up this offer, it's probably worth waiting at least until after the next election to do so."
I was in Newcastle, NSW AU on Wednesday night to give another lecture as part of the Australian speaking tour Im doing. I had the pleasure of following David Stockwell in a presentation, and David Archibald followed me.
For example, this proxy reconstruction of past temperatures suggests climate change is the rule, not the exception:
Radical environmentalists even tried to blame global warming for the devastating 2011 tsunamia tragedy caused by a 9.0 offshore earthquake. To suggest that auto emissions cause tectonic plates to shift sounds like quite a stretch, but global warming zeal apparently has no limits.
where $m$ is the mass of the unit charge. That should explain, in our non-Abelian monster setup, why the elements of the monster group have order up to 71 only. As you can see, I don't really believe that there are quintillions of sub-Planckian particle species in the real world but the conceptual, swampland implications of Gia's insights could turn out to be important.
1934 was the hottest year in US history (before government data tampering) had the worst drought in US history, devastating floods in Europe, brought one of the most powerful typhoons on record to Japan, drought in England, drought in South Africa, worldwide drought, melting glaciers, 100 degree temperatures to almost every state .
Environmental Protection Agency, "Assessment of the Potential Impacts of Hydraulic Fracturing for Oil and Gas on Drinking Water Resources," June 2015, https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2015-06/documents/hf es erd jun2015.pdf (accessed July 1, 2016).
Its clear that the world was warmer during medieval times. Marked on the map are study after study (all peer-reviewed) from all around the world with results of temperatures from the medieval time compared to today. These use ice cores, stalagmites, sediments, and isotopes. They agree with 6,144 boreholes around the world which found that temperatures were about 0.5C warmer world wide.
A longer CV was written 5 years ago.
The boss of koda Mr Vahland has confirmed that there still exist no plans to sell kodas in North America. I am not sure whether it's a wise decision and whether it's his decision or someone else. It looks ironic because kodas are planned to be sold to the Iranians. But what I find important for Vahland et al. is that they should enjoy their success, take a big part of the credit for that, and make sure that this should increase their influence within the VW Group and not to reduce it. The future fate of the VW Group as a whole surely depends on their ability to get all these signs correctly. If sore losers get an upper hand in a group, the group is doomed.
Nobel laureate Ronald Coase, who died on Monday, criticized "blackboard" economics that lived "in the minds of economists but not on earth." Coase's influential work also questioned whether taxing bad but unpriced side effects like carbon pollution, for instance was an optimal solution, even assuming transaction costs like identifying harmed parties. It might be better to assign property rights and let people negotiate payment. No need for lots of government meddling.
How Economic Arguments Against Nuclear Highlight Environmentalist Delusions
He says: Temperatures over time have fluctuated while CO 2 levels have remained steady. Whats more, temperature increases have historically led increases in CO 2 levels.
Another reader has asked why I have calculated the effect of implementing the Copenhagen Accord only as far as 2020. This is the time-horizon for the Accord. The effect of the Accord over ten years would be to forestall warming of just 0. 0 2 C (0. 0 35 F) forestalled even if everyone complies fully. This outcome is so minuscule that extending the analysis beyond that date would be pointless, not least because by ten years from now it will be blindingly obvious to everyone a) that the climate is simply not warming anything like as fast (if at all) as the IPCC had ambitiously predicted, and b) that compliance with Copenhagen was little better than compliance with Kyoto. By 2020, the climate scare will be all over bar the shouting, and no one will be cutting CO2 emissions any more.
If todays generation acts on climate change, our computer models which fail reasonable quality verification show, the average US temperature will rise 0.4C-1.83C (4-6.5F) by the end of this century, said the draft, which was finalised in April.
Another popular lukewarmer paper in 2011 was published by a research team led by Andreas Schmittner from Oregon State University and concerned an estimate of the earth?s climate sensitivity (and the uncertainty about that estimate) derived from some recently published determinations of land and sea surface temperatures during the Last Ice Age based on a collection of climate proxies.
"A California judge has blocked an attempt to prosecute alleged downloaders of copyrighted material in a move which is being championed as a win for American users of the Internet."
Putting forward a program to get the price right on carbon emissions would allow Republican candidates to argue for regulatory streamlining and the removal of such things as CAFE standards, appliance standards, construction standards, light bulb standards, and so forth, all of which become totally superfluous in an economy that is properly pricing carbon emissions through a carbon tax.
1601 N. Tucson Blvd. Suite 9
The South Asian Monsoon: How Difficult It Has Been to Model (10 Jul 2013)
7. Gore argues that the European heatwave of 2003 is a perfidious effect of AGW and that it is the alarm bell for phenomena increasingly more common in the future. Chase et al (2006) have analyzed the frequency and persistence of major subtropical anticyclonic fronts of the kind that lingered on for much of the the summer in 2003. Their analysis covered 1979-2006 and a latitudinal band between 22 and 80 North. According to their findings similar or greater anomalies than 2003s happen regularly and there is no significant trend in the annually affected area. What was different in 2003 was the structure of European urban areas, with high-rise buildings of stone and mortar, and very little, often not even properly irrigated green areas (Leroy Ladurie, 2004).
The computer models predict that the Arctic will be especially sensitive to greenhouse gas warming. But Arctic surface and balloon measurements indicate no warming trend during the past 40 years. Lower tropospheric temperature measurements made by satellites during the last 20 years also show no warming trend in the Arctic.17
And the reason they left out those mechanisms that are capable of causing more rapid sea-level rises, they explained in their report, was that we do not yet understand those mechanisms well enough to model them and arrive at the sort of quantitative conclusion that the IPCC was emphasizing. And, in addition, we didn't know at that time, we didn't have enough data to know whether, on balance, the Antarctic ice sheet, the larger of the two, was gaining mass or losing mass.
In no uncertain terms, Gu et al . state, in the concluding sentence of their paper, that the good correlation that exists between their climate history of the middle reaches of China's Yangtze River and the Bond events of the North Atlantic Ocean "reveals that solar activity controls the Earth surface climate system at the centennial and millennial scales."
Thank goodness for warm vder. Right now I am with my wife on a conference on tillmpad mathematics and ingenjrsvetenskap giving place in this week in Narvik. When we arrived there were two things that delighted us. Rekordvrme and all the snow that remains up in fjllen.
The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ( IPCC ) stated very clearly, Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms. Well, winters are clearly not becoming milder or bereft of heavy snowstorms.
Trumpism may have parallels in populist, nativist movements abroad, but it is also the culmination of a proud political party's steady descent into a deeply destructive and dysfunctional state.
"For most of the 20th century, the Forest Service has failed to manage our national forests properly while treating fire as a virtual moral evil. Unless these policies are reversed, fires that consume millions of acres and inflict billions of dollars in damage will become more and more common."
We in the VRWC can finally let you in on the joke * . Bush was "Rove's brain" .
For the peak oil folks, salvation came in the form of unconventional oil. Now, were assured, oil is still running out, so they were right all along You see, they say, King Hubbert was right, were running out of conventional oil, but as it runs out it is being seamlessly replaced by unconventional oil, so we still have oil even though were running out of oil. Got it?
As Whitehouse notes, using BESTs own data, the temperature record of the last 10 or so years is a statistically perfect straight line of zero gradient. In laymens terms, warming has stopped. The only hiccups in the graph Whitehouse and his group produced from BEST data is attributed to natural phenomena such as La Nina.
Since poor countries are counting on hundreds of billions of dollars in the Green Climate Fund to help them cut emissions and adapt to climate change, Ebell thinks the whole agreement will fall apart if the United States can't contribute.