Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
As noted above, the station moved from Zwanenburg to Utrecht in 1849 and from Utrecht to the De Bilt pagoda hut in 1898. In the 19th century when the station was located in Utrecht, the GHCN adjustment is very different than the KNMI adjustment, with the GHCN adjustment up to 1 deg C larger. Its hard to understand why the GHCN adjustment should be so much larger. Also the GHCN adjustment becomes effective in little steps, while KNMI has a 1 deg C adjustment in 1950. GHCN and GISS both implement changes in a series of small steps, while KNMI has one large step in 1950. Its curious that the move from the pagoda hut to the Stevenson hut occasioned a big adjustment, but the move from Utrecht to De Bilt didnt trigger any change in the KNMI-Labrijn version. Also that the Huis Zwanenburg site, pictures by Hans Erren here had no material adjustment relative to the Stevenson hut.
Assuming climate change is a serious problem that can be helped by carbon regulation, a policy like Cap and Trade could reduce GDP and employment and still be a good idea. The idea behind carbon regulation is that emitters of carbon are imposing a negative externality on others by furthering climate change. Cap and Trade or a carbon tax is intended to "internalize" those costs to the actor, leading him only to pollute when that benefits society as a whole -- and therefore to produce less in the aggregate.
1 Another, common, way to say infinity is the euphemism in te long run. Keynes has famously said that In the long run we shall all be dead. Its always been surprising to me that the same people who giggle at this quip ignore its force.
Dr Pachauri has been the chairman of the panel since 2002. Documents available on its website showed that in one 19-month period, he clocked up more than half a million miles in the air as he travelled the world on official business.
In comparison, billions of dollars are spent on conservation and renewable energy, such as wind and solar, and in 2010 Congress discussed imposing trillions of dollars as taxes on carbon emissions. Yet geoengineering, which could obviate most of the need for carbon cuts and enable us to avoid lifestyle changes, gets a tiny sum.
H1614 6.1 H1656 6.0 H1743 5.9 L1228 1.1 L1333 1.2 L1452 1.2 L1622 1.0
A. No. They continued, which is striking,because, whereas in the difference in differenceanalysis, they adopted the standard five percent asthe benchmark, here, they said, no, we will justcontinue on and reach conclusions. And its righthere at the bottom.
simulate the processes that are the building blocks of climate variability.
* Using ship-engine cooling-water intake method only = 0.3 F/decade
"The state has been awarded $45.4 million in federal transportation grants toward the development of a high-speed passenger rail service between Richmond and Petersburg and Washington."
JCs take: My first question is to wonder about what the $12.5M of U.S. funding actually pays for? Not the science, but presumably publication and distribution costs of the documents, staff to maintain the websites and manage the review process, etc.? What portion of the total IPCC costs does the U.S. support? I have never actually seen a budget before for the IPCC.
moment came in October 2009 when Iranian and international negotiators sketched an agreement to remove the
There is no need to dispute these facts. The dispute starts when we are confronted with a doctrine which claims that the rough coexistence of climate changes, of growing temperatures and of man-made increments of CO2 in the atmosphere ? and what is more, only in a relatively short period of time ? is a proof of a causal relationship between these phenomena. To the best of my knowledge there is no such relationship between them. It is, nevertheless, this claim that forms the basis for the doctrine of environmentalism.
A catastrophic heat wave appears to be closing in on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. How hot is it getting in the scientific kitchen where theyve been cooking the books and spicing up the stew pots? So hot, apparently, that Andrew Weaver, probably Canadas leading climate scientist, is calling for replacement of IPCC leadership and institutional reform.
So there you have it (albeit in draft form). Keystone XL will bring much needed jobs to the U.S. and Canada, provide a reliable source of North American oil from one of America's dearest friends in the free world and will have no meaningful effect on climate, environment, endangered species, will not hurt the poor (could help them) and will generate tax revenue for cash-strapped governments.
He gave a presentation at the London School of Economics which I attended. He showed a slide of CO2 levels and global temperatures over many millennia which was supposed to show the effect of higher CO2 levels on increasing temperature. But the temperatures increased before the CO2 levels increased. Cause does not follow effect, see my paper pp3, 4
"Chicago is moving a step closer to a high-speed rail line running from downtown to O'Hare International Airport."
Compared to whites, blacks and Hispanics already spend 50% and 10% more of their incomes on utilities, respectively, 20% and 90% more on food, and 10% and 5% more on housing. The EPA regulations will significantly increase the minority family "energy burden" the percentage of annual household incomes they must pay for residential energy bills and thus the number of families driven into energy poverty. Inability to pay energy bills is second only to inability to pay rent as the leading cause of homelessness, so increasing numbers of poor and minority families will become homeless.
The IPCC??s 2007 Summary for Policy makers claims that ???Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.?? While Mr. Muller now seems to agree that there has been such global average warming since the mid-20th century, he nonetheless ended his op-ed by disclaiming that he knows the cause of any temperature increase. Moreover, the Berkeley team??s research paper comments: ???The human component of global warming may be somewhat overestimated.?? I commend Mr. Muller and his team for their honesty and skepticism.
Based on known empirical evidence a doubling of atmospheric CO 2 levels will only cause a further increase of 0.2 to 0.5C in global temperature.
Mohan et al . report that CO 2 enrichment increased poison ivy photosynthesis by 77%, while boosting its water use efficiency by 51%. They also note that at the end of the study's sixth year (2004), the aboveground biomass of poison ivy plants in the CO 2 -enriched plots was 62% greater than that of plants in the ambient-treatment plots. In addition, they report that high-CO 2 -grown plants produced "a more allergenic form of urushiol," which is the substance that produces the plant's allergic reaction in humans. What it means
As the atmospheric CO 2 concentration increases, it is likely that mungbean plants will exhibit enhanced rates of photosynthesis and decreased rates of respiration. Together, these phenomenon should allow this species to produce greater amounts of biomass and yield. In addition, if this species is grown in controlled environments, a limited exposure to elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentrations for two to three weeks post-germination would likely lead to significant stimulations in growth and yield.
This is an excellent idea, Mike, IN PRINCIPLE at least. In practise, however,
And just how will the TVA know when you are away? What if you dont want your appliances turned off?
These legislative achievements came despite great partisan differences. Senate Foreign Relations Chairman Bob Corker, R-Tenn., worked out a deal with ranking Democrat Ben Cardin, D-Md., that overcame many Senate Democrats' reluctance to buck the Obama administration on this issue. Obama withdrew his veto threat in the face of the committee's unanimous vote.
This issue of teleconnection was one of the findings in the National Research Council report:
Extreme Cold Outbreaks Defy Global Warming Predictions (01-30-14)
The mentality of assuming that other peoples bad behaviour is our fault is one of the most suicidal tendencies that is currently in fashion in the West.
Overturning the Timing Rule would limit the EPA's greenhouse regulations to mobile sources. EPA would have to mothball its big plans to impose greenhouse permitting requirements on new and modified power plants, steel mills, cement production facilities, paper and pulp factories, and other large industrial installations. That would validate criticism that the agency is bent on expanding its power regardless of the law.
1. ENVIRONMENT Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) pressures the Environmental Protection Agency to declare carbon dioxide a pollutant.
a broad range of scenarios of future climate that consider not only greenhouse emission scenarios but also natural internal variability and changes in natural forcing to support better assessments of energy demand and supply
The authoritative International Energy Agency does not foresee any substantial scarcity of oil and gas in the near to medium future, and coal reserves remain sufficient for centuries to come. As to global warming, the absence of a statistically significant increase in average worldwide temperatures since 1995 obliterates that assertion.
Over the period of 20th-century global warming, which climate alarmists claim is unprecedented over the past two millennia , Koning and Franses find that the climate-alarmist expectation of higher levels of precipitation has not been realized in the Netherlands. Of course, the Netherlands represents just a tiny portion of the planet. Nevertheless, for a warming that was supposedly so extreme, one might have expected to see something along the lines of what has been claimed would be the case. But we don't. Reviewed 18 October 2006
Spencers point of the models being developed during a time of warming, which was assumed to be man-made, and now overestimate warming is crucial. The failure of government to fund natural causes of recent warming and cooling is becoming apparent and its interpretation of climate science is biased.
And I wanted the kids to experience bird flu panic first-hand. We don't worry much about bird flu in New HampshireI"ve got a bird dog, I've got a gunbut down here in Washington the kids can watch all the media and politicians get frantic about bird flu. Bird flu could mutate into human flu at any minute. If that happens, bird flu will kill What's NPR's estimate?
By far the largest number of local glaciers in north-east Greenland had receded very greatly during recent decades , and it would not be exaggeratingto say that these glaciers were nearinga catastrophe .
Underlying this shift from the SPP to a new model of North American consultation and co-ordination is the conviction that there is value in having the leaders meet annually and having the governments of Canada, Mexico and the United States address regional issues together, notwithstanding the numerous bilateral meetings and multilateral summits that occur already.
Today the centre has released a statement on the failure of global temperatures to rise in line with the models. It can be seen here .
"Sunlight scattered by three-dimensional, irregular clouds is responsible for the observed large difference. The one-dimensional cloud simulations currently used in large-scale climate models don't capture this diffuse light," said Kassianov.
Or a jail cell, to be more precise. That's what 20 academics at such prestigious universities as Columbia, George Mason and the University of Washington have in mind for those who disagree on climate change. They recently wrote a letter to President Obama and Attorney General Loretta Lynch requesting that dissenters be criminally prosecuted.
The adjustments they are making are greater than the claimed trend,meaningthat all man made US warming isoccurringinside ORNL and GISS computers.
Many skeptics have had their doubts about the climate data championed by the IPCC and the CRU, but one of them, Canadian Steve McIntyre a retired mathematician and policy analyst, decided to do something about it. McIntyre has been indefatigable in his efforts to get the raw data, and computer codes from the climate science community so that he could check whether or not their work was straight.
The fallout of Climategate is slowly but surely unfolding right where it hurts a large number of special interestsin the field of business. Yes, the carbon trading business is now in the line of fire. Under a cap-and-trade system, a government authority first sets a limit on emissions, deciding how much pollution will be allowed in all. Next, companies are issued credits, essentially licences to pollute, based on how large they are, and what industries they work in. If a company comes in below its cap, it has extra credits which it may trade with other companies, globally.
The Met office Gravesend weather station is a little notorious as runs hot in what is the hottest part of the UK where there is a lot of history over dubious temperature measurement. (some findings yet to be revealed)
The rule will nonetheless do immediate harm to a drilling industry that is already under pressure from falling global energy prices. The shale gas revolution has created hundreds of thousands of jobs, reduced costs for U.S. manufacturers, raised millions in taxes and royalties for government, and increased U.S. energy security. The new costs will reduce the marginal return on drilling, which means fewer new wells.
17. In 1975, Paul Ehrlich predicted that "since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it."
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Vice President for Policy Wayne Crews and Regulatory Policy Analyst Brooke Oberwetter on why we shouldn't trust the government to solve our cybersecurity concerns.
Sea level is rising no faster than for 150 years. From 2004-2012 the Envisat satellite reported a rise of a tenth of an inch. From 2003-2009 gravity satellites actually showed sea level falling. Results like these have not hitherto been reported in the mainstream news media.
the suns brightness increases more than current understanding allows
Climate change is just another legitimate factor that may or may not influence the life in the real world and the fate of empires, much like hundreds of other factors (such as breakthroughs in agriculture and industry, epidemics, meteorites, or over-reproduction of pests). Each of these factors may help someone and hurt someone else. Some of the factors are natural, others depend on the humans and their work. There is nothing "unacceptable" about either of them. It is completely irrational to single out climate change as the kind of change that is "not allowed to happen".
Herewith, some observations on Professor Jeffrey Sachs's response to my critique of his criticism of the recent State Department analysis of the proposed Keystone XL pipeline in the context of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. A summary of his original criticism of Keystone XL is as follows:
Todey said the increase in moisture is beneficial for some areas where they dont typically get as much precipitation but harmful to other areas.
Research & Commentary: Solar Forcing of Climate
An extended domain limited area model was implemented for seasonal-range simulations to assess the effect of tropical Pacific SST perturbations on weather patterns over Europe and Mediterranean. The experimental method consisted of Skiron/Eta model integrations with coarse and fine grid increment using artificially-modified as well as analysis SST forcing. The selected period was AugustOctober 1997. Model simulations with coarse grid increment produced a weak signal in the precipitation pattern and the synoptic scale circulation over Europe, implying a damping of the North Atlantic atmospheric response to the tropical Pacific SST perturbation. Fine resolution experiments suggested an amplified dynamic response providing a direct link between tropical Pacific SST and North Atlantic synoptic circulation. The output signal is mainly attributed to the effective representation of the regional/ mesoscale atmospheric features due to the model implementation with a fine mesh grid.
Heres what I wrote over at Science of Doom : Using the d word was a political alternative to engaging with the opponents of the consensus.
L0523 1.0 H0001 5.7 H0043 5.9 H0123 6.0 H0203 6.1 H0245 6.2 H0327 6.2
My forecast Mr. Romm will be explaining next month that cold is due to heat.
Perceptive readers will notice a bit of a flaw here, namely an almost complete lack of any dispatchable power. Scotland has 1.5GW of hydro power, about 12% of the total demand. I don't know the figures, but I fancy this will be woefully inadequate to cope with a grid dominated by wind turbines. That leaves us with the connections to the English (and possibly other grids too). The problem here is that Friends of the Earth don't want England or anyone else to have any power stations powered by fossil fuels either. So the question remains, where is the dispatchable power coming from?
U.S. Urges U.N. Security Council to Make "Climate Change' A Priority:
Flawed NASA study: Pacific Ocean Warming Related to Volcanic Heat Flow
These are just a few among many examples of how climate models fail to represent the Earth's actual climate and of how the Earth's climate doesn't behave in accord with the predictions of human-induced-greenhouse theory.
U.S. Court of Appeals Judge Alex Kozinksi, discussing how, as an 11-year old, he stuffed his face with previously unavailable delights after his family escaped from Communist Romania.
Gia argues that if there are $10^{32}$ copies of the Standard Model particle species - which would include $10^{32}$ electron squirrel species -, then the gap between the weak scale and the Planck scale becomes natural because of his N-scaling. ;-) Recall that $10^{30}$ is called a quintillion in the U.K. but nonillion in the U.S.
Back when the sea was thick and lasted for years, cyclones tended to spread the ice out and actually increase its extent, said Julienne Stroeve of the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo . Now, when ice gets spread out, it simply breaks up and disappears.
"Bill Gates is buying the weather. You won't be able to get sunshine on weekends unless you have a Microsoft XP operating system."
Global tropical cyclone activity has been at historic lows and the frequency of U.S. hurricanes has declined. The latest, Irene, was rapidly downgraded to a tropical depression by the time it made landfall.
New York state just had their coldest January/February by a wide margin, more than 2.5 degrees F colder than the prior coldest year of 1904.
In my opinion, what is the real travesty of the global warming ideology is the hijacking of climate science in the service of a research agenda that has prevented science from investigating the full range of natural climate variation, because that would be an inconvenient truth. We see this, quite clearly, in the CRUtape Letters where the Medieval Warm Period is just putative, and a rather inconvenient truth that needs to be suppressed. Or the 1940??s blip that implies that global temperatures increased just as rapidly in the early part of the 20 th Century, as they did at the end of the 20 th Century, an inconvenient truth at odds with the narrative preferred by the IPCC.
The National Intelligence Council has released a report on Implications for U. S. National Security of Anticipated Climate Change to back up the memorandum. Its ten pages of text are filled with gems of junk science, which are summed up in this ridiculous pontification: "Long-term changes in climate will produce more extreme weather events and put greater stress on critical Earth systems like oceans, freshwater, and biodiversity. These in turn will almost certainly have significant effects, both direct and indirect, across social, economic, political, and security realms during the next 20 years."
CANADIAN miner Maple Minerals is to take control of one of Queenslands richest uranium deposits in a gamble that the Beattie Government will bow to pressure to reverse Labors ban on new mines.
3 Christoph Bertram, "NATO's Only Future: The West Abroad," Riga Papers (November 2006).
Global Warming Could Spur Growth in Northwest Forests -- Study
The famous Lysenko affair in the former Soviet Union is often cited as an example of politics trumping good science. It's a good example, but it's often used to imply that such a thing could only happen in a totalitarian culture, that is, when all-powerful elites can control the flow of information. But this misses the almost equally powerful conspiracy of agreement, in which interlocking assumptions and interests combine to give the appearance of objectivity where none exists. For propaganda purposes, this voluntary conspiracy is even more powerful than a literal conspiracy by a dictatorial power, precisely because it looks like people have come to their position by a fair and independent evaluation of the evidence.
Arctic sea ice extent up 60% last summer
World Wildlife Fund. "Tropical Forests: A Resource for the Future," Informational Pamphlet, Undated.
A review committee, convened after parents complained, concluded that author Laurie David's book, "The Down-to-Earth Guide to Global Warming," contained "a major factual error" in a graphic about rising temperatures and carbon dioxide levels.
12) Why Do Most Scientists Believe CO2 is Responsible for the Warming? Because (as they have told me) they can?t think of anything else that might have caused it. Significantly, it?s not that there is evidence nature can?t be the cause, but a lack of sufficiently accurate measurements to determine if nature is the cause. This is a hugely important distinction, and one the public and policymakers have been misled on by the IPCC.
Dr. Vernon Heywood says "biodiversity is not equally distributed throughout the world" so by protecting "specific, critical habitats within forests," "a small amount of conservation can skew the curve." "He cites a study of African birds which indicate that 95 percent of species are found within areas already protected; three quarters of southern Africa's native plants are found in reserves as well." (U.S. News, p.86)
Wayne Crews (wcrews@cei.org) )is Vice President for Policy at CEI. Research Associate Ryan Young also contributed to this article.
Without carbon dioxide there would be no life on Earth. It feeds the vegetation on which animal life depends directly and indirectly. As Anthony Bright-Paul says, "A slight increase in atmosphere of carbon dioxide will not and cannot produce any warming, but can be hugely beneficial to a green planet."
A difficulty was that the steadily increasing figures over the years did not easily agree with the rather sporadic behaviour of the approved global temperature. Now this carbon dioxide scam has broken down.
The results of a new approach to calculating the effect of CO 2 using empirical observations suggest it has a lower impact on the climate than previously thought, and its effects are being over-estimated by the IPCC.
The main lesson I took away from the conference was this: there is no consistent contrarian science, and there is no defining contrarian ideology or motivation. Wow, the "contrarians" must be the ultimate losers if they're not controlled by a defining "contrarian" ideology or motivation and if they even dare to question the scientific results of each other. More seriously, I just find this complaint stunning.
extremes/desasters/costs and finally the link between weather extremes and
Global Warming Alarmists Sabotage Wikipedia Entries
The Environmental Protection Agency's new Clean Power Plan (CPP) requires that states reduce their electric utility sector carbon dioxide emissions an average of 32% below 2005 levels by 2030. Over 1,560 pages dictate returning CO2 emissions almost to 1975 levels, while our population grows by 40 million.