Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The Hadley Centre is rewriting the Global SST record to reflect the findings of Thompson et al (2008). In the 2008 paper A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature, Thompson et al write, The discontinuity in global-mean surface temperatures in late 1945 is evident in the unfiltered global-mean time series, but its prominence and unique character are highlighted by the removal of the ENSO and COWL-related variability (Fig. 2). They continue in the next paragraph, The step in late 1945 does not appear to be related to any known physical phenomenon. No substantial volcanic eruptions were reported at the time, and the nuclear explosions over Hiroshima and Nagasaki are estimated to have had little effect on global-mean temperatures The discontinuity is illustrated in Figure 1.
Yes, we *could* have one of them in a story, or on a show, and have a representative of the "other side." But that would be false balance.
(Well, Roosevelt did sneak in repeal of Prohibition.) Even Roosevelt's first
Iain Murray (imurray@cei.org) is Director of Projects and Analysis and Senior Fellow in Energy, Science and Technology at CEI. William Yeatman (wyeatman@cei.org) is an energy policy analyst at CEI. A version of this article appeared on FoxNews.com.
Global warming and climate change are the biggest scam of all
The MYI is recovering. The amount of four year old ice has more than tripled since last year.
In resisting calls for his resignation, Pachauri denied that TERI benefited financially from the inadequate due diligence:
Ts/Tgb = exp(.233Ps^0.0651 + 0.00154Ps^.385)
John Nielsen-Gammon: What would it mean to say that global temperatures are rising? Global temperature anomaly measures how much global temperatures differ relative to a reference period, and the anomaly here often changes erratically from year to year. Some years are warmer than the previous one, some are colder. Underneath that year-to-year variation, though, is a longer term time-varying trend. Standard global time series show an upward trend from about 1910 to about 1940, a weak positive or negative trend from about 1940 to about 1975, and an upward trend since then.
It is totally clear to me that Obama and Pelosi will spend any amount of money to pass their key legislative initiatives. In the case of Waxman-Markey, the marginal price per vote turned out to be about $3.5 billion . But they didn't even blink at paying this. That is why I fear that some horrible form of health care "reform" may actually pass. If it does, the marginal cost per vote may be higher, but I don't think our leaders care.
Lets consider a current special case to illustrate these concepts. Dr. Wei-Hock Soon of the Harvard Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics has been regularly listed as one of the bad kids on the tattling websites because of his climate research. The insinuation is that he has accepted bribes from oil companies to take the positions he does. The implied allegation is only bad in his case because the complaining persons dont like his positions. Recently he coauthored a paper that caused them much consternation, igniting a campaign from the same quarters that generate the tattling websites, to get Dr. Soon fired. A letter was written to his employer accusing him of crimes that even Kafka would find hard to follow. But basically they boil down to the usual: taking money for lies and not confessing. Welcome to the inquisition.
The committee asked Mann about e-mails that mention Dr. Stephen McIntyre, one of the scientists credited with debunking Mann's hockey stick. While Mann told the committee that there was "no merit whatsoever to Mr. McIntyre's claims here ," the committee didn't interview McIntyre.
Two striking facts stand out. The first is that laws require equal pay for equal work. Clinton's claim that there is great discrimination means that many employers violate the law with impunity. That's very implausible. Even journalists should be able to understand that. Second, the difference between 78 percent and 92 percent is well known to labor economists and almost certainly to some economists on Clinton's staff. Do they not tell her? Or does she not want to correct this central message of her campaign?
Joseph E. Steiglitz, "What is the Appropriate Role of the Federal Government in the Private Markets for Credit and Insurance? What is the Outlook," Panel Discussion, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, July/August 2006.
Reality actually tops Lileks's satire: Osama bin Laden has publicly supported the Kyoto Protocol.
That threatens to derail the EUs emissions reduction goals for 2020, prompting the bloc to take action.
Global warming/Climate Change: The writer understands that what is popularly referred to as global warming/climate change refers to the alleged increase in the surface temperature of the earth, and that this alleged increase is being caused by human activities producing carbon dioxide (CO2), methane, and nitrous oxide, mainly from the burning of fossil fuels. According to catastrophists, this alleged inevitable temperature increase will guarantee disaster for future generations unless these human emissions are significantly decreased.
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds another non-hockey-stick from reconstructed sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific over the past 850 years. The data shows temperatures were as warm duringportionsof the Little Ice Age in the 1200's - 1400's as at the end of the record.
Of course this just follows a long line of FAIL, the most prominent being the death of the Chicago Climate Exchange and its nickel a ton flatline:
While some governments regard GHG control as high priority, others have concluded that paying to curb domestic GHG discharges is not, at least for now, in their interest. For many poorer nations, economic development offers better protection from harmful climate change than do GHG limits. This choice makes sense. Industrialization can boost the ability to adapt to climate change. Of course, it can also relieve many other more acute problems. For these countries, slowing growth in the name of GHG control may simply be a bad investment.
The disclaimer states, "Purchase of this indulgence absolves you from your guilt from living in a free, productive society. This indulgence will not meaningfully alter the weather, nor climate and is therefore the most honest carbon trading strategy you can find."
The good news is, we can make meaningful progress on this issue while driving strong economic growth. I urge this Congress to pursue a bipartisan, market-based solution to climate change, like the one John McCain and Joe Lieberman worked on together a few years ago. But if Congress wont act soon to protect future generations, I will. I will direct my Cabinet to come up with executive actions we can take, now and in the future, to reduce pollution, prepare our communities for the consequences of climate change, and speed the transition to more sustainable sources of energy.
E.g. according to the World Meteorological Organization there are only 1311 weather stations providing ground data. It means there are 132 000 km2 per one ground station, mostly in cities. Thermometers have existed for several centuries, weather balloons for half a century, satellite weather measurements for 30 years and the compatibility of data is very dubious. There has not been a chance to create ?ceteris paribus? conditions.
Koppen created a system around these basic divisions based on average annual precipitation, average monthly temperature and average monthly precipitation. He identified six major divisions.
CO2-Enriched Seawater and the Self-Righting Ability of Gastropods (19 Nov 2013) The authors of this study conclude that C. concholepas have the ability to maintain calcification even at pCO2 levels of 1036 atm ... in agreement with similar results reported in the literature for other invertebrates... And they say that during their early ontogeny, exposure to elevated pCO2 may actually increase the likelihood of C. concholepas surviving after being overturned by an exogenous cause... Read More
I assume that it contains all the stuff necessary to clean up the blood spilled by the birds and bats killed by the blades, but who knows? I saw a raptor of some kind that was tragically intrigued by the wind lifting and swirling around the blades, so I pointedly looked somewhere else and found another curious sign warning of two more separate dangers I hadnt even considered.
"Such focus on measuring the results of mitigation programs can be expected to rouse loud scorn and "debunking" from the likes of Al Gore and a league of crony capitalists intent on making millions selling "carbon offsets" the environmental equivalent of selling indulgences as forgiveness for carbon sin.
During winter (December 2001March 2002), the urban area averaged 2.2 C warmer than the hinterland. The strength of the UHI increased as the wind velocity decreased, reaching an average value of 3.2 C under calm (<2 m s1) conditions and maximum single-day magnitude of6 C
objectives sharing the plan with the entire national security team once it was ready. Last
For decades Indian policy makers viewed American policy as that of an off-shore balancer to counter so-called Indian hegemony in South Asia. Starting with the Bush administration, American officials began to view India as an emerging global power. In his speech before the Parliament of India, President Obama asserted that "India is not simply emerging; India has already emerged." Further, President Obama emphasized that the U.S. looked forward to Indian engagement in southeast Asia and east Asia, as well as an Indian role in Africa.
Figure 1. Exponential and fat-tailed exponential decay, for values of t from 1 to 30 months. Lines show the fraction of the original amount that remains after time t. The fatness of the tail is controlled by the variable c. Line with circles shows the standard exponential decay, from t=1 to t=20. Golden line shows a fat-tailed exponential decay. Black line shows a standard exponential decay, with a longer time constant tau. The fatness of the tail is controlled by the variable c.
The central thrust is to shift legal immigration slots from family reunification bringing in low-skill workers to high-skill immigrants, as Canada and Australia did years ago.
This is not the profile of a "carbon-constrained" world, as a popular euphemism has it; this is the profile of a carbon-starved world. This kind of reduction is not going to be achieved, and it is not going to be seriously attempted. Waxman-Markey tacitly admits this through its inclusion of "offsets"that is, reductions in GHG emissions through means other than reduction in fossil fuel energy usealong with the hope that carbon sequestration can be implemented cost-effectively on a large scale, thus allowing coal-fired electricity to be expanded in the coming decades.
Ethanol and biofuels have been wrongly depicted by politicians like Al Gore as a solution to global warming. But in reality, subsidized ethanol production gravely harms the environment, and also causes starvation, high food prices, and rioting.
From the Hockey Schtick: Paper finds another amplification mechanism by which the Sun controls climate (video follows)
Energy flux is perfectly fine for GCM models which operate on energy transfer rates but these models cannot have their output converted to temperature values because temperature requires a time factor during which the energy flux was operating and no such time factor is available.
The person who is most at risk in the decision to build the six homes is the owner/builder. Unlike this Administrative Tribunal, Id start from the standpoint that the owner, builder, and the lender for the project are all rational people and organizations who consider all of their risks before plowing ahead with a project. However, this Administrative Tribunal does not think this way, and feels the need to protect the property owners from themselves. A troubling precedent.
13 (For not the hearers of the law are just before God, but the doers of the law shall be justified.
The American Thinker reports on the subpoena an attorney general sent CEI in an effort to silence the debate on climate change.
Much variability was encountered in terms of both relationships and reasons for the relationships. It was also discovered that relationships between diversity and productivity were scale-dependent, with the form of the scale-dependence varying from study to study. On the largest of scales considered, however - the continental to global scale - the most common pattern encountered was a positive one, with ecosystem species richness increasing in response to increases in ecosystem net primary production. This was dramatically so for plants and marginally so for animals. What it means
The Minister might have got away with saying that of the last 150 years, the last 13 have been relatively warm. But to suggest that 12 of the last 13 are the hottest ever is just plain wrong. Whatever happened to the medieval warm period, not to mention that planet earth is very old in fact about 4,550 million years old.
"A group founded by American actor George Clooney said Tuesday it has teamed up with Google, a U.N. agency and anti-genocide organizations to launch satellite surveillance of the border between north and south Sudan to try to prevent a new civil war after the south votes in a secession referendum next month."
Wi-Fi Direct provides P2P wireless sans hot spots:
My fellow environmentalists have been wrong about a couple of issues and were getting in the way of important things we should be doing, both with biotechnology and with nuclear technology, and in terms of how we think about cities, and in terms of how I know were going to think about geoengineeringthat is, direct intervention in the climate.
The delays are occurring despite a target set by Congress in 2005 that directed the Interior Department to approve about 5 million homes worth of renewable energy on public lands by 2015. Since then, only two of the more than 250 currently proposed wind projects have been approved and neither has been built, records and interviews show.
That's an approach in line with current demographic realities and national needs. The president and the presidential candidates may not have not caught up with that, but apparently some influential members of Congress have.
Rather than being chastened, though, President Ray and his staff have refused even to speak with the alumni group. University administrators have become incensed that their actions are now public knowledge, and that alumni and other donors are vocally supporting Higginbotham and the children. Ray and his entourage have circled the academic wagons, stonewalled public inquiries and refused to talk to the Robinsons.
The other lie that the empirical evidence exposes as pseudo-science is that CO2 is the primary driving force of climate and temperature change. The ice core evidence is a stunning record of climate and temperature changing regardless of CO2 levels. Obviously, there are other natural forces in play that are the primary "climate disruptors."
Ill now show you the effects of that left-over warm water Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperature anomalies. Its what those proponents of manmade global warming are trying to hide.
The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants holds a national conference this week in Washington, D.C.
All this is before the Feds actually implement more of the job-killing, family-freezing CO2 limits and other plans they are contemplating. To see what's in store for millions of American businesses and families, one need only look at the planet's sole country that still obstinately clings to its draconian climate change and renewable energy goals, regardless of the costs.
2. Evenmoreimportant is the failure of the authors to recognize that they have devalued the use of the global average surface temperature as the icon to use to communicate the magnitude of global warming. If this deeper ocean heating actually exists in the real world, it is not observable in the ocean and landsurface temperatures. To monitor global warming, we need to keep track of the changes in Joules in the climate system, which, asclearly indicatedin the new study by Meehl and colleagues, is not adequately diagnosed by the global, annual-averaged surface temperature trends.
It is estimated that the Pine Island glacier alone loses so much water that it is responsible for 10% of global annual sea level rise (which is about 3mm per year). Warm currents come from deep water and heat the underside of the ice sheet, causing it to melt. Turner says this process probably has little to do with global warming. Pine Island seems to be an ongoing retreat that could have been going on for 10,000 years, he says.
As the opening session paper puts it: "The real challenge comes from the exponential growth of the global consumerist society driven by ever higher aspirations of the upper and middle layers in rich countries as well as the expanding demand of emerging middle-class in developing countries. Our true ambition should be therefore creating incentives for the profound transformation of attitudes and consumption styles."
Meacher: "The El Nio is becoming more frequent and more violent ."
Crank of the Week January 24, 2011 - Sergio Marchionne & Lisa Jackson
The federal Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards, enacted in the wake of the mid-1970s oil shocks, require each auto maker's annual output of new cars to meet a set fuel economy level. The current passenger-car CAFE standard is 27.5 miles per gallon; for light trucks, the standard is a more lenient 20.7 mpg.
But if governments and social engineers are not to plan and direct how and where people will go about the economic affairs of everyday life, how can it be assured that the goods and services that people both need and want for their survival and desires will be produced and supplied to meet their demands?
Anyway, Ive got a few resources for you in case you want to explore this further. To begin with, I recommend a look at my earlier post on this matter:
"It's temporary," said Roger Ormisher, a company spokesman. "We're being prudent and sensible as a company."
"Long-term trends in normalized economic disaster losses cannot be reliably attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change, particularly for cyclones and floods (medium evidence, high agreement)."
""This is a disaster," said Mark Miller, the Wisconsin Senate Democratic leader, in February after Republican Gov. Scott Walker proposed a budget bill that would curtail the collective bargaining powers of some public employees. Miller predicted catastrophe if the bill were to become law -- a charge repeated thousands of times by his fellow Democrats, union officials, and protesters in the streets."
President Barack Obama on Tuesday announced plans to allow a bit of offshore oil and gas exploration. Maybe. The Interior Departments new five-year plan for offshore leasing actually places most of Americas offshore areas under a new presidential moratorium, delays or cancels lease auctions currently in the regulatory pipeline, and thus takes back the progress made in 2008. When gas prices reached four dollars a gallon in the summer of 2008, the American people were dismayed to discover that the United States possesses potentially vast offshore reserves of oil and natural gas that were off limits as a result of congressional and presidential moratoria. President Bush revoked his fathers executive order, and tremendous public pressure forced Congress to drop its long-standing moratorium.
www.climatedepot.com or a subscription to the Heartland Institute's monthly Climate & Environmental News or a copy of its policy studies, "Climate Change Reconsidered", would help him understand why he's wrong. Check out www.climatechangedispatch.com as well for the latest commentaries.
Nature absorbs 98.5% of the CO 2 that is emitted by nature and man. As CO 2 increases in the atmosphere, nature causes plant growth to increase via photosynthesis which is an endothermic (cooling) reaction. For every pound of biomass formed some 10,000 Btu are removed from the atmosphere. CO 2 is absorbed, and oxygen is liberated. Further, a doubling of CO 2 will increase the photosynthesis rate by 30 to 100%, depending on temperature and available moisture 8 . More CO 2 is absorbed by the plants due to the increased concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere available for conversion to carbohydrates. Nature therefore has in place a built-in mechanism to regulate the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere that will always completely dwarf man's feeble attempts to regulate it. Further, no regulation is necessary because CO 2 is not a pollutant; it is part of the animal-plant life cycle. Without it, life would not exist on earth.
It seems that the present Royal Society has followed Lord Kelvins path. It not only continues to deny the solar connection (by implication) but has issued requests to the media not to report the views of climate change sceptics, despite the requirements of freedom of expression.
The workshop noted a number of areas where further research is needed including:
In my previous post I suggested that the addition of gases to the atmosphere from volcanic activity could have increased the atmospheric pressure and that would have changed global temperature giving us the current warm interglacial.
10 C is the most common base for GDD calculations, however, the optimal base is often determined experimentally based on the lifecycle of the plant or insect in question.
Although the capacity of households to adapt to harsh weather is a function of perception of risk and access to resources, resilience of communities depends on the ability of people to think and act collectively.
Until they get off their dead ... ... armchairs and do the work they are paid to do, we can place no credence in their claims of temperature changes. They may be right ... but given their egregious errors, we have no reason to believe that, and certainly no reason to spend billions of dollars based on their claims.
Precaution, however, can also be taken to far. This year I've noticed that, as local flooding occurs every year, the weather forecasters, and especially the media reporting the risks are beginning to irritate some people with their precautionary principle. The fact that some areas are hit more easily (and they can easily be identified) does not call for a warning against an entire region. Still, that is what is being done. The result is that the tourist industry, and then not whatever local attraction there is, but also hotels, restaurants, cafes and other business are severely hurt, sometimes into the next season, when even booked parties cancel. Most of these businesses get almost all of their revenue during three months every year. No business this year, might very well mean no business next year too. And this often in perfectly safe areas with unaffected infrastructure.
"Our law enforcement agencies have found bodies in the desert either buried or just lying out there that have been beheaded," Brewer said Sunday, suggesting that the beheadings were part of increased violence along the border.
"Many people have urged me to sue Mann; I can't be bothered and I don't have money to throw away on such stuff . Further, I would like to stand up for Michael Mann's right to make insulting and defamatory tweets, statements in op-eds, etc. As an American, I am pretty attached to the right to free speech."
In support of de Blasio, 1199's canvassers are said to have knocked on tens of thousands of doors. The union's finances and organization give it an enormous advantage in phone-banking, distributing flyers, and other retail campaigning tactics that have proved decisive in this era of low voter turnout in New York City.