Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Theyre absolutely lousy, he said of American journalists. Thats true also in Europe. I dont know why theyve been brainwashed.
The NZ Climate Science Coalition responded with a series of graphs that showed how the temperature record of stations in Wellington looks:
Moreover, the other participants as a group were certain to harbor an outlook sharply different from mine on the degree to which scientific research conducted or funded by government can be predicted to be objective. It is unfortunate that the discussion did not address that fundamental question explicitly: If one believes, as I do, that government bureaus, decisionmakers, and scientists are not merely disinterested truth seekers devoid of any agendas of their own, but instead are an interest group, we should ask how scientific analysis conducted or funded by an agency headed by political appointees buffeted by political pressures can be viewed ex ante as any more authoritative than that originating from, say, the petroleum industry.
Climate Pseuds sail to Arctic, Make Movie Praised in Salon, Disappear Up Own Fundament
I had the most incredible day today, cycling, hiking, wine tasting and canoeing in Maryland.
Now they have suffered a coup de grace: public ridicule brought on by a record-breaking blizzard blasting their East Coast home base. The movement was already dead in Congress for 2010 (its climate-change bill has been sidelined), but Snowmageddon buried it. How could it be that heat waves evidenced global warming, but so did a cold wave? The public isn't buying it anymore.
Apparently, in the weird mental world of utilities, conservation only results formutilitysubsidies of efficientappliances. So the big benefit here is utilities can somehow better afford their subsidies for more efficient appliances. Left unexplained is why anyone would want to buy even a subsidized such device once their marginal cost for electricity goes to zero. This is such a typical government-think, assigning much more value to government intervention and choice of winners in balancing supply and demand than they do to the operation of markets and prices.
But when evaluating climategate, a variety of responses is seen, ranging from the apologetic to the highly critical. It is argued that reluctance to critically examine the climategate affair, including suspect practices of scientists, has to do with the nature of the debate which is highly politicized. A call is made for more reection on this case which should not be closed off because of political expediency.
Dr. Mller describes the current stasis in global temperature as the flattening of recent temperature rise that some people claim. Yet the failure of temperatures to warm at all over the past 15 years is plainly evident in all the principal datasets. If Dr. Mller were as careful and objective as he claims, he would surely concede that there has indeed been no global warming for a decade and a half. He would not have described it merely as a phenomenon that some people claim.
Exactly the same airport? No. But given how GIStemp glues together temperature series that doesnt really matter, now does it? The temperature at the airport thermometer in Milan from 1930 will have changed rather a lot as it migrates to the Jetport tarmac from lakeside.
Oh, please. Democracy is the art of wealth redistribution, the bureaucracy is an interest group and benefit/cost analyses can be shaped to support virtually any outcome preferred politically. Consider, for example, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) efficiency rule for medium and heavy trucks, part of the administration's climate action plan; the benefit/cost "analysis" used to justify it is hugely revealing. The EPA has published estimates of the effects of the rule, as follows:
Indeed, in the past two years, two public safety stories have dominated global news headlines an explosion and oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and a nuclear power plant meltdown in Japan. Yet in the recent German organic-food-disease outbreak, nearly twice as many people already have died as in the two other industrial disasters combined
The stated U.S. policy of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by the year 2000 illustrates the political problem. President Bush agreed to this policy at Rio in 1992, but it is now clear that the United States and most other developed countries will fail to meet it. The Clinton-Gore proposal extends this deadline to at least 2008conveniently not on their political watch. Why?
of the reasons comics are such a popular form of humor is that they often get
Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife Tom Strickland said the department is working on the issue but "has no intention of shortcutting a thorough environmental review process."
In his new post, which ranks at the level of Vice President, Steer will be responsible for guiding the Bank's external work on climate change and further advancing its internal capabilities in this area. He will also oversee the Climate Investment Fund, co-chair the Strategic Climate Fund and help mobilize climate financing. To ensure close integration with the Bank's wider efforts on sustainable development, he will work within and through the Bank's Sustainable Development Network.
2009 was in the bottom 10% of tornado frequency, and 2010 was also below normal. No hurricanes hit the US during either of the past two years.
McKibben complained about the mild weather in October, 2012
Federal EPA rulings can also conflict with State Implementation Plans (SIPs). State agencies are given somewhat broad authority in negotiating the details of plans for bringing their states into compliance with federal clean air standards. Historically, EPA has deferred to state SIPs so long as they are consistent with the Clean Air Act. The constantly changing and seemingly arbitrary nature of federal EPA enforcement of NSR contradicts that policy.
Despite many headlines that sea-ice is shrinking, Arctic sea ice coverage has set a nine year record high last month. Meanwhile a spokesman for the Antarctic continent pointed out that Antarctica is currently at it??s third highest level in 30 years and that the records it set in 2007 were entirely ignored. ???While Antarctic ice grows, news stories this month speculate instead on the entirely theoretical possibility of the West Shelf collapsing??.
The Feds have guidelines that say fires in certain areas can be extinguished if they are of human origin (arson or untended campfires, e.g.) but must be allowed to burn if they are "natural" (caused by lightning, for example). One must take it on faith that "experts" can make that distinction in the midst of an inferno, and pray that small fires won't become raging infernos. The Federales even have jurisdictional policies that can prevent aircraft from dropping water on a fire, if the crew cannot tell whether the blaze is on Bureau of Land Management or Forest Service land.
Do I believe in global warming? SureI've read the reports of the UN climate panel and the major journal articles, and I think it's safe to say that the atmosphere and surface of the earth (at least the Northern Hemisphere) have warmed up since 1850, by about 1 degree F.
Julia Gillard explains carbon dioxide to students
According to Delingpole, the Climategate story fell into his lap and changed his life. His pitch to the conference attendees was how we represent the happy people who want a good life. Also, that we have a place in this war. The war we are fighting is for our liberty. It is between two opposing views of the world. It's also a propaganda war. James Delingpole is the author of Obamaland: I've Seen Your Future And It Doesn't Work.
A limitation of the instrumental record is that it spans at most a few realizations of decadal variability. Paleoclimate recordsderived from tree rings, corals, lake sediments, or other proxieshave been used to extend this record to hundreds of years or more and are generally believed to be free of anthropogenic influence prior to the industrial age (Brook 2009; Jansen et al. 2007), thus constituting a potential means of model verification.
This think tank crew member defends a carbon tax at $80 per ton of CO2, more than an order of magnitude higher than the current price of the European carbon indulgences. Given the fact that even the small European fees are already harming the economy (while doing nothing to reduce CO2 emissions: USA is actually the world's greatest CO2 emissions reducer since 2006), an increase of these fees by an order of magnitude could resemble the bankruptcy of PIGS on steroids.
A scientific definition of carbon dioxide (CO2) is a colorless, odorless gas produced by burning carbon and organic compounds and by respiration. So basically, carbon is a solid and CO2 is a gas. They claim CO2 can slow heat escape from the atmosphere, and an increase from human activity causes warming. It has not happened at any time, and is not happening now. Carbon occurs as particles of soot in the atmosphere causing cooling by blocking sunlight. I expect them to blame soot for failure of their warming predictions.
Cook the books is wrong to slam Roy Spencer
Ohio Fracking Operation Halted Following Area Earthquakes
31 Christopher Layne, "Offshore Balancing Revisited", Washington Quarterly (Spring 2002).
ENSO is a natural process that you and your associates at GISS exclude in many of the climate model-based studies you publish, because, as you note, your coarse-resolution ocean model is unable to simulate climate variations associated with El Nio-Southern Oscillation processes . In fact, there are no climate models used by the IPCC that are capable of recreating the frequency, magnitude and duration of El Nio and La Nia events. And I know of no scientific studies that show any one climate model is capable of correctly simulating all of the fundamental coupled ocean-atmosphere processes associated with ENSO.
The overblown nature of that threat is demonstrated by a study issued last month by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. Journalists widely reported the study as re-emphasizing the need for action against SUVs, but its findings indicate otherwise. What the institute found was that collisions between cars and SUVs account for only 4% of car occupant fatalities.
On May 2, the Independent on Sunday reported King as saying that, "Antarctica is likely to be the world's only habitable continent by the end of this century if global warming remains unchecked . He said that the Earth was entering the "first hot period' since 60 million years ago, when there was no ice on the planet and "the rest of the globe could not sustain human life'."
James Hansen the former director of NASAs Goddard Institute for Space Studies (who once said anyone who questioned his math should be tried for high crimes against humanity, for which the penalty is death) had lifted the rogue equation, the Bode system-gain relation, from a 551-page tome by R.W. Bode about feedback amplification in electronic circuits, published 70 years ago.
IPCC climate models said monsoons would become more intense. Instead, they have weakened for 50 years.
Of course, you can choose other combinations of forcing and feedback, and end up deducing just about any amount of future warming you want. Note that the major uncertainty here is what caused the warming in the first place. Without knowing that, there is no way to know how sensitive the climate system is.
Electricity transmission is not 100% efficient, the lines get hot, are a compromise. Actual lines are aluminium with a steel core. The alignment, this is a river crossing.
Stacked Hearing Signals Start of McCain Campaign
I surmise, though, given what should be becoming obvious to watchers of these things, that the days of thinking warm, warm, warm are over , and quite the opposite will occur in the coming years and decades, and the populace should understand the honeymoon is over , the marriage of low solar and reversing oceanic cycles along with a third-party (lets not go any further with non-weather implications ha, ha), the volcanic activity, should raise eyebrows among the rational. Among others, short of being frozen out of ones abode, there is no getting attention.
After the Climategate scandal revealing data manipulation and fraud by top global warming proponents many climate change skeptics trumpeted victory, assuming perhaps that efforts to pass radical environmental taxes and regulations had lost their steam.
Wheres the problem? Government is terminally paralyzed by partisan deadlock and the desperate public is looking to the biggest remaining high-functioning institutions to take up the slack. Thats us: corporate America. In electricity, the source of the reaction is clear, its climate change, the mother of all social issues.
Heartland Institute Experts Respond to EPA's Proposed Methane Regulations
We do need comprehensive immigration reform, including a path to citizenship for those people who have been here undocumented for more than 10 years. We are not going to round up and deport millions of people, most of whom are hardworking contributors to our society and economy. But we also need to clean up our broken visa system, making sure we expand it so people can come here legally and fill jobs where there are needs, whether temporarily or permanently, and to make sure we get a strong supply of the brightest and best highly trained people in tech, medicine and other fields to maintain our edge in innovation in the world.
This week marks the 30th anniversary of air bag requirements for new cars.
810 km (500 miles) S of TOKYO, Japan
wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous. We need to communicate the
Earth, covered in ice. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)
Vrt conversation about aesthetics was a rather pleasant tillstllning without hot motsttningar between the participants, and the idea was that it would be just a conversation that could open some new horizons. I tried to explain the concept of vanishing point and how wind power omjliggr a visual deicing of the perspectives of the landscape, how, after all, about 50% of accommodation in areas with wind power does not want more, or is negative, and that about 50% think they are ugly. From the planners' page framhlls often that the process is important, and Karin Hammarlund gave a glimpse of how a municipality can together find areas that provide the greatest POSSIBLE hnsyn to local opinion. I ppekade that it is impossible to GMMA wind turbines and that perhaps it is better to sacrifice some larger areas that are tligare n to fritter away large parts of eg Vstergtland or Skne.
And also unlike water, propane does not carry back to the surface drilling chemicals, ancient seabed salts and underground radioactivity.
Deweys singular niggle with Trotsky was over the justification of the means to the ultimate end. Trotsky claimed the science of Marx proved class struggle is the justifiable intermediate means. And any action that tilts history in favor of that struggle is itself justified.
The models and profiles for the 4 different autocorrelation structures were then collated into one list as follows:
I signed that letter to indicate my support for her as a friend. I was not at this point representing or speaking for the Brampton Filipino Seniors Club. This club is non-political and we are not affiliated in any political party. It has certainly not taken a position in this matter as the facts are still in question. I clearly stated to Ms Dhalla's representative that I am no longer the president and my current position among other past presidents is an advisor, whose sole function is for internal affairs only. That, I have no authority to represent or speak for the club. That what I can do for her is just a friendly gesture.
Like Obamacare, the new report is, said Kish, "intentionally confusing and misleading."
Then there is the further problem of cheating in current and future carbon reduction schemes. Developed countries need to feel confident that incentives offered to developing countries to cut emissions (in both absolute terms and emissions relative to economic growth) can be verified. Indeed, earlier this month, the UN body in charge of the clean development mechanism a proviso under the Kyoto protocol allowing developed countries to purchase carbon offsets for funding "clean energy" developments elsewhere suspended approvals for dozens of Chinese windfarms over suspicions that China had held back the building of planned windfarms and deliberately lowered previously allocated subsidies to make the wind farms eligible for earning credits industrial policies that would disqualify these farms from benefiting under the scheme. China has so far received carbon credits worth more than $1bn, which is almost half of the total issued under the UN-run programme.
Strong words, to be sure, but perhaps the wrong diagnostic: to the extent that there is indeed a danger of NATO drifting into irrelevance, it is due not so much to an absence of philosophical vision and/or political will as to a deficit of strategic literacy on the part of NATO leaders and cheerleaders.
Kench found that higher waves raised island elevations by depositing sand produced from broken coral, coralline algae, mollusks, and foraminifera. Reefs can grow 10 to 15 millimeters a yearfaster than IPCC projections of sea-level rise As long as the reef is healthy and generates an abundant supply of sand, there??s no reason a reef island can??t grow and keep up, Kench argues.
The answer to that "real challenge," as well as many others addressed in the position papers, is that the U.N. and its proliferating array of funds, programs, institutes, and initiatives, should push themselves forward as the great synthesizer of solutions to global problems: "connecting the dots," as the climate change paper puts it, across a "range of issues," including "climate, water, food, energy, and health."
14 EPA, New Source Review: Report to the President, p. 26, and again at p. 28.
Baliunas: We are looking to find all the causes of natural change of the climate of the Earth, the sun being one of them. That way we can subtract out the natural changes and look for the human signal. We see, essentially, no signal of human activity. Most of the changes that we see line up with the changes in the sun. Now there's some uncertainty, so there may be a human signal. But if there is, it's quite tiny. . . .
The great Australian icon the Great Barrier Reef ecosystem has long been feared to be a target of global warming. Certainly even now El Nino events can bleach the corals in the Barrier Reef as well as round the world. When water temperatures become too high coral expel their symbiotic zooxanthellae and die taking on a white ghostly appearance. Certainly water temperature increases in the lower reef around Heron Island are causing impacts already as the frequency of increased water temperatures increases. In a double whammy the water chemistry of the reef may become more acidic from increased atmospheric carbon dioxide. This threatens the corals ability to secrete exoskeletons and grow. Can corals learn to adapt to these new conditions? Certainly experience on other reef systems suggests that coral can expel heat sensitive algae and replace them with heat tolerant strains. But how many species can do this is unknown. Unfortunately a certain amount of warming of the oceans
Sen. Rockefeller's opening move in this play is absolutely perfect in its defiance of logic. In no way does a call for defunding research foster debate, especially when it's backed up by the coercive power of two US Senators.
All other things being equal, larger, heavier vehicles are safer for the occupants than are smaller, lighter vehicles. We all know that.
N. Scafetta & B.J. West (click): Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600 The use purely statistical tools applied to the correlation between the sun spot number and reconstructed temperatures to argue that most likely, the total solar irradiance had a low secular (=trend-like, non-periodic) variability but it was accompanied by a high preindustrial secular climate variability between 1610 and 2005.
Five members of the nation's highest court signed off on an opinion that, were it submitted as an answer to a first-year law exam on statutory interpretation and administrative law, would get a failing grade.
The third problem is that the authors apply their calibration equation to reconstruct temperatures during decades when some, or even several, of the 19 calibration proxies were not available. Even if the reconstruction composite had been restricted to the 19 calibration proxies, and even if all 19 of these had been observed for all 14 decades of the calibration period, it would still be invalid to apply the calibration equation derived from all 19 to any subset of the 19. This in itself makes the reconstruction invalid before 970 A.D., when proxy #9 ceases to be observed. Prior to 460 A.D., only 13 of the 19 calibration proxies are available.
In this century glaciers are growing, as seen in the Andes, Perito Moreno, Logan, the highest mountain in Canada, and with Franz-Josef Glacier, New Zealand, said Velasco Herrera.
All four of the IPCCs Assessment Reports have flagrantly 0ver-predicted the rate of global warming that should have occurred by now. On this central question, the consensus has been wrong not once, not twice, not thrice, but four times out of four, and is about to be wrong a fifth time. Nuccitellis blind faith in the IPCCs capacity to predict temperature change seems misplaced. Spencer 8, Nuccitelli 0.
Fact : such teleportation means the transfer of quantum states between ion A and ion B, so that at the end of the transfer B becomes for all intents and purposes identical to what A was at the beginning of the transfer.
They have a clutch of presidential candidates who are little known nationally and take starkly different stands on issues. Any recent uptick in polls represents more a rejection of the Obama Democrats than an embrace of their opponents.
SM: I love his book. I think that Economics in One Lesson should be required reading for every high school student in America.
SM: He's a man of great political courage. He's taken so much of a battering from the Republican establishment, but he's the one who had the courage to put all these issues that we all care about at the forefront of the public policy debate: term limits, school choice, Social Security privatization, the flat tax, medical savings accounts. The whole litany of free-market ideas that are so important to our country's future were first proposed by Steve Forbes in 1996. Although Pete DuPont talked about some of these things in 1988 as well.
Figure 3. Changes in the sun's magnetism (represented by the length of the 22-year Hale cycle, solid line) and changes in the Northern Hemisphere land temperature (dotted line). Shorter magnetic cycles are more intense and suggest a brighter sun. (See Endnote 13)
My impulse is to be upbeat. "Don't worry, we'll think of something. Come get some sleep." But what exactly are we going to think of? We're two hours from the car. It's painfully cold. We don't have a cell phone. We have tomorrow's breakfast and an hour's worth of firewood, and nothing more.
I appreciate that attitude?but I?m wondering whether filing suit might actually accomplish a great deal more for the cause of free speech. Maybe what we need is precisely Curry vs. Mann.
Appropriate caveats and exceptions are usually delineated in journal articles when using the old methods, but the results are buried in the text, which causes them to be weighed more or less importantly, and which give the reader a false sense of security. Because, in the end, we are left with the suitably highlighted number from equation #3, that comforting exact quantification reached by implementing impressive mathematical methods. That final number, which we can now see is not final at all, is tangible, and is held on to doggedly. All the evidence to the right of the bar is forgotten or downplayed because it is difficult to keep in mind.