Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Moreover, the claim of skepticalscience that we need to use a 2-sigma error envelope indirectly also proves that the IPCC models cannot be validated according the scientific method and, therefore, do not belong to the realm of science. In fact, to be validated a modeling strategy needs to guarantee a sufficient small error to be capable to test whether the model is able to identify and reconstruct the visible patterns in the data. These patterns are given by the detected decadal and multi-decadal cycles, which have amplitude below +/- 0.15 o C: see here . Thus, the amplitude of the detected cycles is well below the skepticalscience 2-sigma envelope amplitude of +/- 0.30 o C, (they would even be below the skepticalscience 1-sigma envelope amplitude of +/- 0.15 o C).
CFACT is proud to call you our friends and allies and we are honored to co-sponsor this event.
L0500 0.9 L0600 0.8 H0034 6.2 H0121 6.2 H0204 6.2 H0244 6.1 H0321 6.0
In a broadside against greenhouse "skeptics" Ross Gelbspan accused "a tiny band of scientists" of distorting the scientific "consensus" and advancing the interests of corporate polluters. Unfortunately for Gelbspan, Science's Richard A. Kerr (May 16, 1997) went searching for that consensus and was unable to find it. What he found was a lot of "'silent doubters': meteorologists and climate modelers who rarely give voice to their concerns. . ." One of the scientists to whom Gelbspan referred was Patrick Michaels of the University of Virginia. In an article in the Washington Post ("Holes in the Greenhouse Effect?" June 22, 1997) Michaels responds. Whereas, Gelbspan claims that industry money has swung the climate change debate in their favor Michaels argues that industry spends about $35,000 per year on each of a few climate researchers, compared to the $2.1 billion spent by government. Indeed, 84 percent of Michaels' funding comes from taxpayers.
Anyway, centuries ago actors and non-baptized children were not deemed worthy of Christian burials, and attitudes have (slowly) evolved beyond that.
In LOTR, the reader knows Boromir is offering his friends a fatal temptation. But those who listen to Paul have no such advance knowledge regarding his advice. Is he right, or is this too good to be true?
offsetting advantage, from Obama's point of view. They would "spread the wealth
America's voters rejected this agenda. Over 90% of the nation's counties voted to Trump the bridge hand to tyranny. We do not want to roll back true environmental progress. But we do demand a return to sanity, science, and honest consideration of our overall health, welfare and "human environment" in approving regulations that govern our lives. Let's insist that the new Congress and Administration do exactly that.
The thermometers are doing the talking now. Wikipedia and Newsweek will eventually have to confess the reality, but it is likely to come slowly and grudgingly.
President George W. Bush's federal budget for fiscal year (FY) 2008 proposed $2.902 trillion in discretionary, entitlement and interest spending. Although those costs fully express the federal government's on-budget scope, the government's reach extends far beyond the taxes that Washington collects. Federal environmental, safety and health, and economic regulations cost hundreds of billions of dollars every yearin addition to official federal outlays.
I agree with Nick that climate change might be a better labelling than global
"A new pricing survey of products sold at the world's largest retailer showed a 0.6 percent price increase in just the last two months, according to MKM Partners. At that rate, prices would be close to four percent higher a year from now, double the Fed's mandate."
Spencer then went on to illustrate how easy it is to make assumptions based on "data" by showing a graph on the screen that showed how the rise in UFO sightings coincided with the rise in ocean temperatures and joked that maybe aliens are causing global warming.
If by some miracle such a scheme was implemented, pressure to decouple the revenue neutrality and raise the tax would be immediate. This has happened in Alberta (which has a hybrid tax/trade system), where environmentalists are calling for the tax to be hiked, and British Columbia, which did implement something close to the ideal revenue neutral carbon tax. There too, in the most recent election, environmental groups were pushing to hike the tax and de-couple it from revenue neutrality to spend on pet projects.
In an eye-opening study published in the Chinese Science Bulletin, Yan et al. (2014) recount how they derived high-resolution sea surface temperature (SST) histories of two 80-year time windows centered at approximately AD 990 and AD 50 within the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and the Roman Warm Period (RWP), respectively, by analyzing the Sr/Ca ratios and d18O values of Tradacna gigas (giant clam) shells collected from the northern South China Sea
The Christian Science Monitor (Aug. 13) has endorsed a policy of increasing the price of gas by means of a 50 cents per gallon federal tax.
Go here to read about it, including "the more the wind blows, the poorer we get. This is true because wind feed-in tariffs are much higher than energy prices in the spot market "
Because it is a very fine grained process and because it has to be right or folks dont eat.
<1473> McGarvie/UEA Director of Faculty Administration:
Its has been awhile since I had a QOTW, but the last couple of weeks have been full of travel, and Ive been out of the comment loop until recently. But this response from RyanO to the incorrigible commenter TCO, over at the Air Vent left me in stitches:
The once-redacted material now released suggests that Holdren's position was shared by at least one other White House employee, whose email advocates that "we should make sure www.whitehouse.gov/climate-change has something on extreme weather events like polar vortex." (See Jan. 8 email at 9:34 a.m.) It also shows efforts to try and round up scientists to weigh in on this topic. (See Jan. 8 email at 9:32 a.m.)
wrote the press release first ! The pdf is worth getting for a couple of sentences, when
As the CO 2 content of the air increases, seedlings of all five of these species should exhibit increases in photosynthesis that will allow them to grow larger than they normally would. This positive growth phenomenon will likely occur in all but the coldest regions of their ranges, where their growth is limited by low air temperatures.
Global Warming Hoax Weekly Round-Up, July 3rd 2009
He urged people to eat less meat, pay aviation taxes and even ban giving iced water in restaurants. But in order to get his message across, the former railway engineer, who lives in Delhi, created an enormous carbon footprint of his own.
6 Who will render to every man according to his deeds:
Proposed Federal Implementation Plan: Under the Clean Air Act, the EPA is required to review state compliance strategies. If the agency disapproves a state plan, then the EPA is required to implement a federal plan in its stead. Therefore, under the Clean Power Plan, the EPA would be empowered to impose its own energy policy on unwilling states, if the agency decided that a given state's submission was insufficiently green. It is unclear what form such a federal energy plan would take, as nothing of this sort (i.e., EPA trying to set national electricity policy) has ever before been attempted under the Clean Air Act. As part of next week's rollout, the EPA is expected to propose a generic federal takeover of a state's energy sector. Possible proposals include a federally operated cap-and-trade emissions trading scheme or a direct emissions limits based on system-wide controls. Whatever form the proposal takes, it will engender serious constitutional difficulties.
Not seeing much reason to be invested in metals yet. Trade yes.
According to PIOMAS, the gain in end of October Arctic ice volume was the second largest on record this year.
That is how we will preserve our planet, commanded to our care by God. Thats what will lend meaning to the creed our fathers once declared.
For some reason, the Met Office dont want the public to know any of this. Instead, they deliberately start their analysis in 1961, as Julia Slingo did in her report Too hot, too cold, too wet, too dry: Drivers and impacts of seasonal weather in the UK , which was published in March 2014.
German households pay the second highest power costs in Europe. Only the Danes pay more, and both countries pay roughly 300% more for residential electricity than we Americans do. If this isnt bad enough already, Denmark, which allegedly produces between 20- 30 percent of its electricity from wind and solar (estimates vary), hopes to produce half from those sources by 2020. Germany now gets approximately 12% of its electricity from wind and solar, and plans to increase that proportion to 35% by 2020.
8. How much does the global climate vary naturally?
Super-elevated CO 2 enhanced total dry weight of plantlets by more than 2-fold, when compared to dry weights of plantlets grown at ambient CO 2 . Interestingly, atmospheric CO 2 enrichment not only significantly increased the growth of existing roots, it also increased the induction of new roots from internodes located on orchid stems. Total chlorophyll content was increased by elevated CO 2 in young leaves and roots by 64 and 118%, respectively, thus permitting greater light harvesting during the process of photosynthesis. Greater utilization of sunlight in CO 2 -enriched plantlets likely contributed to tissue starch contents that were nearly 20-fold higher than those measured in control plantlets. In spite of this large accumulation of starch, no disruption or damage of chloroplasts was evident in leaves and roots of CO 2 -enriched plantlets. What it means
I told you it was cold in California (Green is cold on this map)
This explanation by the IPCC is clearly misleading, if not wrong. The inference that the greenhouse gases are acting like a blanket suggests that they are increasing the insulating properties of the atmosphere. However, the main gases of the atmosphere are oxygen and nitrogen, non-greenhouse gases, and they are also excellent insulators against the conduction of heat (like a blanket); adding additional trace amounts of carbon dioxide will have no appreciable impact on the insulating properties of the atmosphere.
The film, which is being shown in theaters nationwide on May 2, starts out with clips of many such claims made by the news media and, of course, former Vice President Al Gore.
That progression plays well with green groups that consider profit to be evil. But there are costs. Energy prices are highest in the countries whose energy portfolios have the largest shares of renewables.
UKIP dislikes immigrants, right? Wrong . The vast majority of immigrants come to Britain to contribute, socially and economically. But our immigration system is flawed. We have a huge oversupply in the labour market, particularly in relation to unskilled and low skilled workers. It cannot be right that our government increasingly adds to this problem by having an open-door policy. The result is that wages are driven down, people are exploited and unemployment remains relatively unchanged. UKIP want a points-based system that does not discriminate against people from Africa, Asia and South America as the governments current policy does.
Actually, it might. It would depend what we did with the revenue. Imagine we used it to finance a cut in payroll taxes. That would make it more expensive to pollute, but cheaper to hire people. That could be a nice combo. I wouldn't bet much on the political chances of the carbon tax, but it's got enough promise to at least go down swinging.
These people were all wonderful human beings, whom I shall never forget. They were much more than names unwillingly embroiled in a global political power struggle. They were all steady, brave souls, and we are all diminished by their loss. They are not better known simply because there is an awful lot of willful not-listening going on out there because of the postmodern mind.
EARTHS ENERGY IMBALANCE ANOMALIES IN CMIP5 MODELS
This is part of a long-term strategy to privatize the public's forests, a process implemented during the Reagan Revolution through stepwise defunding of land management agencies in the name of "trimming budgets". The process continues to this day and has forced the U.S. Forest Service to seek funds from the private sector simply to continue on. Nor is the larger plan confined to the national forests alone but includes the federal lands generally BLM lands, national parks and wildlife refuges as well, collectively nearly a third of the nation. At about the time the NFF was being created, corresponding foundations were established in the form of the National Park Foundation and the Fish and Wildlife Foundation.
That report put sea-level rises at 18 to 59 centimetres above 1990 levels by 2100.
That spit of land juts into the Thames. What is nearby? Channon writes:
The ACESA discussion draft is an extremely complex piece of legislation. It is likely, if enacted, to work far-reaching changes on many segments of the American economy. I have not been able to analyze the bill's provisions in detail, nor have I as yet seen modeling results of the kind that would allow an assessment of its economic impacts. My statement, therefore, does not attempt a detailed assessment of ACESA's provisions; rather, it seeks to assess the realism of the main assumptions that seem to underlie the bill's structure and goals. It concludes that the draft bill's approach clashes with four basic realities of current climate policy.
They were like outlaws. There is no telling what the large numbers of repeat offenders are capable of. Would they cut off research funding of other scientists who ask too many of the ?wrong? questions? Would they reject research papers that should be published? Would they lionize research nonsense? Would they fire those with ?wrong? ideas? Who knows what else. Based on the book, and my own experience, the answer is yes to such questions. Moreover, the accumulated impact has significantly hampered the progress of science to the detriment of everyonescientists and nonscientists alike. There is no limit to human folly, even among highly educated people. There can be no better case for skepticism in science than that.
People who know anything about history know that the creation of mega-cities in which the masses may be rounded up and enclosed, is identical to the Nazi principle of the ?ghetto? as a means of managing the masses. Every student of history may also know what happens to those masses shortly after.
an effective group of government representatives, scientists and other experts.
In the end, a global ban on CFCs was enacted based on a theory that continues to be challenged to this day. Chemists remain uncertain of the rate and extent of ozone depletion due to chlorine. In fact, the exact role of atmospheric CFCs remains uncertain. It appears that the primary catalyst of ozone depletion is atmospheric chlorine, and the most atmospheric chlorine by far is out-gassed from the oceans or emitted by volcanoes. Mankind's contribution is miniscule (does this sound familiar?). Further, natural processes have by far the greatest influence on the ozone layer (e.g., solar influence).
The government alternative raises questions concerning the mentality of the planners themselves. Either a regulator is from the industry and is thus often favorably inclined toward particular firms (such as, for example, the firm he was with most recently or the firm he expects to be with) or they are from outside the petroleum sector and lack basic knowledge of the industry. Either way, there exists a propensity for decision-making that is different from the market??s tendency to favor of the least cost-highest quality alternatives.
Lincoln : Dr Salingers thesis warns: The record from 1927 is reasonable for further climatic change analysis; the record prior to 1927 should be used with caution.
Now, there isn't a man or woman in Washington that hasn't engaged in a little ex post facto justification of a bad or cowardly decision. But most don't try to elevate their fecklessness into constitutional doctrine. Because what Obama is saying is that suddenly, he cared about Congress. This from a man who unilaterally made deals with Iran and Cuba and who has governed almost exclusively by executive order and regulatory power, rather than through the legislature. Better still, Obama professes himself "very proud of this moment."
And yet obviously the vast majority of Christians prominently appearing in pulpits and news do indeed sound a lot more self-righteous than the average person.
Andrew Morriss holds the D. Paul Jones, Jr. and Charlene A. Jones Chair in Law and professor of business at the University of Alabama.
Even NYT s James Kanter has stumbled over a few of their problems:
Noting that the "elevated CO 2 treatment mitigated PSII-photoinhibition through enhanced electron transport rates and through efficient biochemical reactions in leaves of G. arborea ," Rasineni et al . conclude that their data "demonstrate that future increases in atmospheric CO 2 may have positive effects on photochemical efficiency in fast growing tropical tree species," allowing them to take great advantage of the high-light midday period of potential maximum growth in earth's tropical regions.
So the next time you clench your fists and stamp your feet at the mention of UKIP, think about whether youre reacting to the party itself, or misinformation spread by the old parties in a bid to quell the political earthquake coming in May.
Ge et al . report that "the warming rates at centennial and decadal scales in the 20th century were not exceptional for the past 2000 years." At the 30-year time scale, for example, they found that the peak rate was "less than rates for previous periods, such as the rapid warming from the Little Ice Age to the 20th century and from the 270s-290s to 300s-320s." Likewise, they say that "the peak rates of the 100-year scale warming in the AD 180s-350s in northeastern China as well as those in the 260s-410s and 500s-660s in Tibet were all greater than those from the mid-19th to 20th century." And they additionally note that although "the rates of the most rapid cooling at scales of 30 to 100 years in the Little Ice Age were prominent," they state that they "were also not unprecedented in the last 2000 years." What it means
after likely having broken the law on FOI, the CRU researchers are still trying to make up new excuses useful to break the law in the future too
The ERO projects that U.S. demand will increase by 141,000 megawatts over the next 10 years. Supply, however, will increase by only 57,000 MW, and that assumes that all currently proposed new facilities are approved and built. The system will be operating below the marginal capacity needed to ensure supply reliability at all times. In other words, in peak periods like heat waves, there won't be enough electricity to go around. Blackouts will inevitably result.
The climate studies that attempt to remove the impacts of ENSO and the volcanic eruptions, very simply, then subtract the scaled and lagged ENSO index and Aerosol Optical Depth data from the global surface temperature data and assume the warming shown is caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gases. See Figure 7-15. Its nonsense, but there are a good number of studies that attempt to show this. Why is it nonsense?
In recent weeks, Der Spiegel, the Telegraph and the Economist have reported the unexpected stabilizing of global surface temperatures. Even former NASA scientist and outspoken climate change activist James Hansen has acknowledged the 10-year lull.
This is one of the three "where were you when..." moments in my memory (moon landing, Challenger explosion, 9/11). Actually, I have a fourth of equal power for me, but it does not seem to be on very many other people's lists. That was the moment in 1989 I turned on the TV and saw people climbing on and partying around the Berlin wall. I don't know if there was simply not any warning for this moment, or if I was in some kind of new job lala land and missed the lead up, but it was a real wtf moment for me, a total surprise.
What Can Happen When Special Interests Capture Government Regulatory Agencies
CO2 concentration continues to climb. Global temperature doesnt. Absence of correlation necessarily implies absence of causation. Game over, logically speaking.
This leads to some pretty interesting conclusions. China, which, like Mississippi, only industrialized in the 1980s, is now the world's number-one greenhouse gas emitter. But the European Union, Japan, and other signatories of the Kyoto Protocolthe marquee global warming treatydon't expect China to lift a finger to fight global warming, because its historical contribution to present levels of GHGs in the atmosphere is low.
In the same week, President Obama needlessly fomented division while on Australian soil, even if no lasting damage to the US-Australia relationship was done. If the regional expectation of the last quarter of the Obama presidency is a low one of "doing no harm", then the President has not even achieved that.
Second, for those who may point out U.S. temperatures do not equate to global temperatures, the USCRN data are entirely consistent with and indeed lend additional evidentiary support for the global warming stagnation of the past 17-plus years . While objective temperature data show there has been no global warming since sometime last century, the USCRN data confirm this ongoing stagnation in the United States, also.
Ben Preoccupation with risk allows speculation to be passed of as fact
Since 2006, the U.S. has added 3.6 million barrels per day of new oil production. That's roughly equal to the combined output of two : Kuwait and Ecuador.
Reflections on the D.C. Circuit Court GHG Decision
No one should be victimized by corporate fraud, negligence or incompetence. But neither should they be victimized by negligent, incompetent or criminal actions of government agencies and bureaucrats, or of third parties they hire to validate their policies and agendas. Those actions also breach the public trust.
Even if the declining trend of the past decade does not continue, managing forests and croplands for multiple benefits to include food production, biofuel harvest, and carbon storage may become exceedingly challenging in light of the possible impacts of such decadal-scale changes, Wickland said.
Now many readers of my blog are very savvy about AGW to the point that every nuance of the science is already understood, but for those of you who are ignorant like I was a while ago, think about what they are saying.
The September 2002 issue of The Washington Monthly ran an article - reminiscent of the "ozone hole over Kennebunkport" flap under Bush I - about the possible effects of global warming on President George W. Bush's ranch in Crawford, Texas.
2006 It is not a debate over whether the earth has been warming over the past century. The earth is always warming or cooling, at least a few tenths of a degree Richard S. Lindzen , the Alfred P. Sloan professor of meteorology at MIT
Its Thursday, and that means its time for The Daily Bayonet to skewer the clueless Warmers once again:
==> " Based on their analysis of all the available data, the four researchers determined that "linear long-term trends in the Inner North Sea (1.6 mm/yr) are similar to global trends (1.7 mm/yr) but smaller in the English Channel (1.2 mm/yr)." And they report that "although the recent rates of sea level rise were high, there is no evidence yet that sea level rise has accelerated over the last decades in the North Sea region.""