Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But wait, despite his confusion, there is much that we can learn (he says). He thinks there is a propaganda war against him when hes the one on the team with billions of dollars, government ministries, a UN agency, major financial houses, and university authority (though he appears to be working to destroy whatever is left of that last one). Albeit unwittingly, it is he who is part of the propaganda team with the big bucks.
We scientists have known since 1896 that increased carbon dioxide has a greatly diminished effect on temperature. At todays carbon dioxide concentration only a tiny effect can ensue even if the concentration doubles. But that is not their likely horrible mistake. The mistake is stating that air temperature, surface temperature, is the reason that sea ice is thinning in the Arctic. It may be thinning from below, with huge implications for society.
"Listen carefully son. You won't believe your ears."
Samuelson concluded his argument, "It's easy to be against global warming but not easy to be for the things that might control it. Barring some magical technological breakthrough, lowering U.S. emissions would require some or all of the following: tougher regulation or higher gasoline prices to force drivers into smaller and more fuel-efficient vehicles; restrictions on coal-burning power plants; encouragement of nuclear power; expansion of drilling for natural gas and more imports of liquefied natural gas; and regulations or tax penalties to discourage large homes.
Addressing the loan guarantee announcement, the Boston Globe states: "Now, with a large portion of financing in place, regulatory approvals in hand, and most legal challenges resolved, the project has finally reached a threshold where it is likely to get done." Validating my earlier point of higher cost, the Globe says the two largest utilities in Massachusetts "agreed to purchase a total of 77.5% of the power generated by Cape Wind at a starting price of 18.7 cents per kilowatt hourwell above typical wholesale prices."
Instead, I am pointing this example out because many people are capable of understanding that Cox's answer is wrong. Cox's comments about the Pauli principle and a hypothetical non-locality in quantum mechanics are wrong to an exactly the same extent except that, unfortunately, the percentage of people who understand the Pauli principle and the reason why locality is respected by various quantum systems is much lower.
And if you really want to get into the science part of this in depth, there are other scientific papers, including:
Climate Change Minister Greg Combet announced the government's solution on June 16. It is to spend $12 million on "informing" the electorate about the need for a carbon dioxide tax.
Real Politic: Carbon Tax Pessimism (Part II)
Sadly, though, developed country governments and anti-poverty activists ignore this fact and insist that developing nations need a paternalistic hand up. Both are missing an opportunity, because there are billions of capitalists in waiting at the bottom of the pyramid.
Further, satellites show atmospheric trends that are smaller than surface trends even though atmospheric theory (and the models incorporating that theory), show the opposite. Instead, models predict that there should be an "amplification" of the surface warming trend to produce a "hot spot" in the tropical troposphere. Instead, both satellite data and independent balloon data show a near-zero trend from 1979 to 1997, followed by a well-known 1998 temp "spike" which is universally attributed to a Super-El- Nio. This absence of an observed hot spot suggests that the land-surface temperature warming trend (1979-1997) is greatly overestimated, and should be close to zero in the Tropics.
Wind Energy: German data shows what the Dutch found out years ago
Climate Change: Key Mission for the US Navy?
"The banner at the start of the CNBC segment reads "What's the Deal?" And that's a question some viewers may have asked by the end of the segment after watching CNBC's Rick Santelli go very nearly grandma-punching crazy in a segment about spending and the debt ceiling. "I don't believe in compromise on spending," Santelli shouted. "There's no compromise. Stop spending." And from there it got weirder. Referring to a comment from Warren Buffet about the debt ceiling negotiations referring to the negotiations as a game of Russian roulette, Santelli said "there's a bullet in the gun. If we keep spending, for sure we're going to hit something and it's going to bleed!"
Obama's war on America Killing coal to kill U.S. electrical power
It??s safe to conclude that these climate modelers have no concept at all of propagated error. They apparently have no concept whatever of physical error.
What's actually happened here is a classic case of mistaking correlation for causation, by using a hopelessly small set of data. Arctic ice has only been measured with any accuracy since 1979 when NASA started using satellite images to monitor it. This was great news for those who wanted to find a big problem, because as old people will remember the mid 20th century was a mini ice age and global cooling was more of a concern than global warming. Average temperatures rose slightly and the ice caps retreated in the years following and the global warming scam began.
There is growing evidence that birds flying in the vicinity of a solar thermal power project in Californias Mojave Desert are being injured and even killed either by the solar heat thats focused with mirrors on its three energy-collecting towers, or by colliding with the mirrors themselves.
I would remind you that genetics and other unknowns may be more important, only extremely bad numbers are associated with significant risk.
Figure 4 is a comparison chart of NINO3.4 SST anomalies and inverted and scaled Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) data, the surface pressure component of ENSO. The SOI represents the sea level pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin Australia, and would, therefore, not be impacted by the transition between SST measurement types. This assumes that the sea level pressure measurements during those war years were accurate. However, if there were shifts in sea level pressure measurements during those years as there were in SST, the anomalous rises and falls in global SST and LST data may reflect El Nino events.
Abe, if you present yourself as "a scientist" as you do throughout your talk then it is as a scientist that you will be judged and found lamentably wanting. You may like to get your apology and retraction in early: for I am a Christian too, and will respond kindly to timely repentance.
Climate experts say that spring snow cover is on the decline. As usual, they have no idea what they are talking about. Five of the last seven years have been above normal for week 13 North American snow cover.
Twitter / billmckibben: endlessly weird weather
This isnt the first time they have done this. They have repeatedly altered the temperature record, which now looks nothing like the 1974 NCAR graph
I dont blame the scientists at the observatory for letting the climate measurement environment at Kelburn deteriorate, after all they are charged with looking upwards, not at the grounds around them.
Mann?s goal is to make it a legally punishable offense to question a scientist?s honesty or even his thinking method.
"Under the most optimistic computer model, periods of extreme heat would quadruple in Los Angeles by the end of the century, killing two to three times more people than in heat waves today; the Sierra Nevada snow pack would decline by 30% to 70%; and alpine forests would shrink 50% to 75%.
The creator of the above video, Rainer Hoffmann, had spent three months researching past statements made by Schellnhuber. The result is a 10-part series called: The 10 Inconvenient Truths of Climate Pope Hans Schellnhuber . It exposes a number of troubling, contradictorystatements made by the Potsdam Institute director over the past years.
Nor do I agree with Osborns claim that CA readers have the impression that any of Scenario A, Scenario B or Polar Urals were more reasonable chronologies. It is my impression that CA readers are far more negative to tree ring chronologies than I am. And that rather than endorsing Scenario A or Polar Urals, the prevalent attitude is: none of the above. Its not that these scenarios have been promoted, but that specialists have been untroubled by the inconsistencies. Briffa et al 2013 at least concedes the existence of the inconsistencies, but unfortunately, CRU are hopelessly incapable of carrying out the requisite statistical analysis (which is not easy).
More frequent floods and droughts expected in Southeast Asia Developing more robust and productive crops is good. Allowing effort to be misdirected by the absurd output of climate models is not.
313 km (195 miles) NNE (14) from Popondetta, New Guinea, PNG
Dimas' appointment has already worried some in Europe's powerful green movement. Under the headline, "All hope is lost," The Guardian's environment correspondent John Vidal wrote (Aug. 18):
"Rather than proposing policies that would help provide affordable energy, this group will try to sell a permanent energy diet to the American people in the name of doing something about global warming," said Ebell. "For those who believe only rich people should be able to enjoy the benefits of abundant energy, this is the group for them."
Other studies have found exceedingly low methane emissions. A fly-over study measuring methane emissions in the Haynesville (Texas), Fayetteville (Arkansas), and northeastern Marcellus (Pennsylvania) shale formations found very low emissions as a percentage of total production in each of these basins. Loss rates were estimated to be 12.1 percent of total production from the Haynesville region, 12.8 percent from the Fayetteville region, and 0.180.41 percent from the northeastern Pennsylvania area of the Marcellus region.
28 For he is not a Jew, which is one outwardly; neither is that circumcision, which is outward in the flesh:
The author writes that "global surface temperature records (e.g. HadCRUT4) since 1850 are characterized by climatic oscillations synchronous with specific solar, planetary and lunar harmonics superimposed on a background warming modulation," which he says "is related to a long millennial solar oscillation and to changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere (e.g. aerosol and greenhouse gases)." However, he notes that "current general circulation climate models, e.g. the CMIP5 GCMs, to be used in the AR5 IPCC Report in 2013, fail to reconstruct the observed climatic oscillations."
While the paper still seems to accept the robustness of the global climate model predictions, it does recognize that there are other approaches to accept climate risk.
Yes, I know its a big job to look at thousands of stations to see what the computer program has done to each and every one of them ... but if you are not willing to make sure that your hotrod whizbang computer program actually works for each and every station, you should not be in charge of homogenizing milk, much less temperatures.
Unfortunately for the IPCC, those latter two periods are the only two where the models seem to match the observations. The forced component of the climate models only rises as a rate that is about 32% of the observed trend in Global Surface Temperatures during the early warming period of 1917 to 1944. See Figure 8. The IPCC acknowledges that the early warming period exists, yet the forced component of their models (the model mean) does not produce a warming at a rate that is anywhere near to the observed rate. This illustrates that global surface temperatures are capable of warming at a rate that is three times higher than the forcing. Or, viewed another way, the unforced component of the rate of rise in global surface temperatures can be twice as high as the forced component, assuming the unforced component is equal to the difference between the linear trend of the model mean and the trend of the actual rise in surface temperature anomalies.
/s/ Dr. Kenneth Cox JSC, Chief Flight Dynamics Div., Engr. Directorate, 40 years
The U.N. bosses also need to make sure that the institution sits at top tables where the world's financial decisions are made. It is "urgent to secure U.N. participation" at regular meetings of the G-20 finance ministers and their deputies," according to one of the papers, a group that the U.N. Secretariat, based in New York City and Geneva, does not interact with very much.
From The Independent this week : ten years later, Britain is trapped in a savage deep freeze . Records are being smashed (on the downside). In Wales the coolest day ever recorded in Llysdinam, Powys, was -11.2 recorded in 1921. This week minus 18 !
16c. The ability of global climate models to model temperature values for the next 10 years
New Approach to Washington Online Gambling Ban:
The most prosperous nations in the world are not necessarily those with a high GDP, but those with happy, healthy, and free citizens.
2) All current nuclear power stations , bar Sizewell B, are due for closure by 2023 or earlier. Although there have been moves in the last few months to try to extend some of their lives, it seems unlikely any of these will still be going by 2030.
?? taking a line from our IPCC brethren?? While any single month??s drop in global temperatures cannot be blamed on climate change, it is still the kind of behavior we expect to see more often in a cooling world.
Gee! I knew that all along and I have no degrees of any kind, only an entirely aggravating desire to be logical and to think in a straight line. Here now is Latour once again with his characteristic and charming immodesty: -
We came to our blunt conclusions from perches inside the belly of the beast, observing, analyzing, and interacting with the top political figures in Congress and the executive branch since 1969. Other scholars and journalists, including Jonathan Chait, James Fallows, Jacob Hacker, and Paul Pierson had paved the way with observations and analyses similar to ours.
Don't expect much progress from the international effort to get to the bottom of the issue: the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is busy generating its fourth assessment report ("4th AR" in the jargon), due in 2007. The 4th AR aims to represent the latest "scientific consensus" about the sum total of the world's ongoing climate research an immense project.
This long-awaited report appears is the 4th version of the NOAA report on the US, an earlier version of which was discussed at CA last summer here. This was the report that used the fake photograph of a flooded house, in which the flood waters had been photoshopped onto a picture of house in the northwest U.S. It also used Mann??s HS.
At the end of the episode, Kyle, echoing the famous NRA slogan ("Guns don't kill people, people do"), argues that hybrids are a good thing, it's only when hybrid owners become smug and act like they're better than everybody else that the danger arises. However, like the liberals who don't want a gun in the house, fearing they might use it, the people of South Park decide they are not ready to own hybrids without becoming smug -- "it's simply asking too much."
Section V states our conclusion. ARB cannot achieve "maximum feasible" greenhouse gas reductions from automobiles without poaching on federally preempted policy terrain. It cannot achieve "cost effective" reductions with any set of regulatory tools. ARB should brief Governor Schwarzenegger and the California legislature on the practical and legal impossibility of accomplishing the law's objectives, and about the adverse safety effects of CO2 emission standards.
The online Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung writes today that climate change is not responsible for the dying off of the Caribbean coral reefs after all, citing a new report by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN).
It is the maxim of every prudent master of a family, never to attempt to make at home what it will cost him more to make than to buy. The tailor does not attempt to make his own shoes, but buys them of the shoemaker. The shoemaker does not attempt to make his own clothes, but employs a tailor. The farmer attempts to make neither the one nor the other, but employs those different artificers.
if you want to continue spreading your propaganda, I am sure the oil industry (I understand that they had another year of record profits) can provide you with significant funding,
Most of the debates were dedicated to various questions that were asked to David Elmer - who studies ancient Greek literature. Frank Wilczek asked many things about the existence of Homer and David, together with Frank, Bert Halperin, and perhaps me, did the best to evaluate the probability that Homer existed as a function of the chronological diversity of the contemporary texts in his epoch. If you didn't follow the details of the previous sentence, it does not matter because most of us did not follow them either.
As part of the EIS process, members of the public, public agencies, and other interested parties are encouraged to submit comments, questions, and concerns about the project via e-mail to keystonecomments@state.gov, at http://www.keystonepipeline-xl.state.gov/, or by mail to:
operations. That deficit is projected to rise to $200 million by years
Where in the CERES data is the missing warming? There is no trend (0.01 W/m2 per decade) in the surface downwelling radiation. The IPCC says that over the period, CO2 should have increased the downwelling surface radiation by ~ 2 W/m2. SO ... if the IPCC hypothesis is correct, what is countering the expected increase of ~ 2 W/m2 in the downwelling surface radiation due to the increase in CO2 over the 2000-2012 time period?
Yet, he also claims, The liberation of mankind is an end to be striven for. In any legitimate sense of moral, it is a moral end. That Dewey claims the existence of a self-justifying, absolute truththe liberation of manwhile rejecting the existence of such a truth shows a serious misstep in logic. But such is life in progressive academia.
TIME Magazine June 1974: Another IceAge?
although they all seem to be more human-interest than science. I thought you
Dating errors , critical in climate science, occur with different methods.
SOURCES: Dr. Roy Spencer.com and The Weather Channel
Steven J. Milloy publishes the Junk Science Home Page ( http://www. junkscience.com ). Michael Gough is director of science and risk studies at the Cato Institute.
Different preferences and perceptions of the GHG problem also arise across countries. World populations differ dramatically in per capita incomes, wealth, consumption expectations, and discount rates. World economies differ in the energy intensity of output, production practices, input mixes, and organizational structures. These differences make it very hard to reach international consensus on GHG abatement.
Meanwhile, satellite images show a spectacular and beneficial greening all across the Sahel, caused partly by better land management and partly by higher carbon dioxide levels in the air, which encourage plant growth. A German study projects that this may continue for most of the current century.
This is not to say that lifestyle changes are unimportant; in fact, they are essential, since immediate reductions in emissions worldwide are needed to limit the damaging effects of climate change that are already being documented (Kerr, 2007; Moriarty and Honnery, 2008). The amplifying effect of an individuals reproduction documented here implies that such lifestyle changes must propagate through future generations in order to be fully effective, and that enormous future benets can be gained by immediate changes in reproductive behavior
In fact, it is renewable energy that has its market share inflated artificially. Of the 5,356 megawatts of power scheduled to be generated from those sources, only 291 megawatts would be generated without states having ordered their production. The inevitable result of such a command approach to the production of energy is higher prices.
The essential ingredient for all growing plants is CO2 in the atmosphere. But organic matter in the soil is also of value for the plant life on which we all depend. It can only be put into the soil by growing plants (including fungi) and the bacteria, worms and other microbes that live on and beside the plants. All plant and soil carbon comes, in the end, from CO2 in the atmosphere.
One might protest these figures saying that not all ethanol is made from corn, because there is also "cellulosic ethanol," which is made from the non-edible parts of plants. The problem is that there are "currently, no large-scale cellulosic ethanol production facilities . . . operating or under construction."(10) This is because "cellulosic ethanol" is much more expensive to produce than corn ethanol. For example, it is estimated that a large-scale "cellulosic ethanol" production facility would cost in the neighborhood of $300 million dollars to build (11) vs. $67 million for a corn-based plant of similar size and a number of "cellulosic ethanol" production hurdles have yet to be overcome. (12)
""Accusing a scientist of conducting his research fraudulently, manipulating his data to achieve a predetermined or political outcome, or purposefully distorting the scientific truth are factual allegations. They go to the heart of scientific integrity. They can be proven true or false. If false, they are defamatory. If made with actual malice, they are actionable.'
While discussing extreme weather, including simultaneous extended periods of cold and unprecedented winter warmth, climate alarmist Michael Mann of Penn State University said that connections to climate change were a speculative and genuinely controversial area of the science.
How can you tell whether a death was caused by airborne particles and not by viruses, bacteria, dietary habits, obesity, smoking, diabetes, cold weather and countless other factors? It's impossible.
Let me understandso far, the only practical consequences of all the climate change brouhaha have been:
The wind industry has also been grappling with the Department of Defense, which has objected to proposals that could interfere with aging radar systems. Wind turbines can disrupt aviation and weather radar systems, making planes disappear, creating phantom aircraft and making storms appear when they do not exist.
"The Obama Administration recently handed out 111 Obamacare waivers to special US companies And, they're hiding this from the American public. It takes 6 clicks to find out this information on the government's health care website." (Listed here: http://www.hhs.gov/ociio/regulations/approved applications for waiver.html)
On the chart, superimposed is the latest NASA/GISS two-year average temperature on the chart, which indicates the slow creep of global warming. As greenhouse growers have known for over 100 years, a plant's productivity increases with a warmer climate environment.
Throughout the Cold War, then, it is the concept of Rimland which provided the geopolitical underpinnings for a grand strategy of containment and its security architecture, of which NATO constituted only one pillar (arguably the most important) along with SEATO and CENTO. Today, the Soviet Union is gone and, against all odds, NATO is still around. True, today's NATO is not your father's NATO, but equally true, today's Rimland is not your father's Rimland and it is not clear that today's NATO has fully grasped all the implications of the sea-change.
RWE Tilbury Power station, coal fired, hence the pontoon for delivery and black stuff but the RWE web page says the site is being converted. Looks like another 2 to 3GW of waste heat, east winter winds or blocking highs have this one upwind. I notice the RWE photo doesnt want to show much.
And as the chart reveals, the CMIP models (the RCP 4.5 scenarios) expected significantly more warming than observed during 1998-2012 period. Objectively, the models predicted an accelerating warming rate, which actually failed to happen, as the empirical evidence proves.