Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Dana Nuccitelli published an article today in The Guardian Does the global warming pause mean what you think it means? a play off a line by Inigo Montoya from The Princess Bride . Dana has expressed his misunderstanding of one of the most commonly used metrics of global warmingthe surface temperature record. And he continues to display hisunwillingness to accept that the hypothesis of human-induced global warming is dead.
What "things" do Emanuel and the Obama administration want to do, and what "opportunities" have been presented them by the current economic crisis? In short, the armada of bailouts deployed by the outgoing Bush administration will soon become the weapons the Democrats need to push greenhouse gas regulations that they haven't been able to get in through the front door.
Heartland had hoped to use the Gleick episode, which it calls Fakegate, to gain sympathy, and rebuild a donor network. But even well-wishers acknowledged it would be an uphill climb for an organisation that was once at the hub of the climate contrarian network.
So if CCS were commenced immediately and continued until, say, the year 2100, that would avoid accumulation of atmospheric CO2 by about 11 ppm not exactly an earth-shaking amount. EPA scenarios forecast future CO2 levels to rise to 500 to 700 ppm.
L. Tan et al. authored a new peer-reviewed study that found higher temperatures existed between 1,000 and 1,200 years ago in the Asian region of north central China. The study also reconstructed precipitation levels for that area over the 1,800 years.
67. There is a great need for immediate policy decisions for immediate action to mitigate climate change. (about 72% ranked it 5 or higher)
e find that even dramatic perturbations of summer sea-ice cover in the Arctic are reversible on very short time scales of typically two years. This suggests that a so-called tipping point, which would describe the sudden irreversible loss of Arctic summer sea ice during warming conditions, is unlikely to exist.
politics or the specialist debates that parallel governmental decisions. The
The reviews did not answer the questions about why data was missing; why data was not shared; why there hasnt been a full and open, transparent process , he said.
Some very surprising results emerged, one of which raises the question in the title: did McNally inflate one football in the washroom? If the question doesnt seem to make sense, read on.
Ramapo College Bans Alcoholic Energy Drink:
The Competitive Enterprise Institute filed suit in federal court August 5 against the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy for refusing to implement the Federal Data Quality Act in regard to two major global warming reports. The law, signed by President Clinton, requires that data disseminated by the government meet basic scientific standards for "objectivity" and "utility." It has been ignored in the case of administration climate reports, despite earlier petitions by CEI.
Nominate your favourite blogs for the 2015 Bloggies How many categories can skeptics win?
Im presently wandering my way through other states. First stop after Washington was Oregon. This is a live map so will change over time. But its the same pattern as Washington.
Eco-nihilism chronicles how, after the successful ending of serious ecological threats such as water and air pollution, environmental activism soon replaced what was previously known as environmentalism in general. This new activist form of environmentalism slowly began to embrace policies that promoted the "precautionary principle," a line of reasoning that chased after risks (no matter how small) and took up fights against hypothetical future threats (no matter how remote). The reason for this new turn in environmental thought was that some activists became addicted to the political successes they enjoyed advancing their environmental policies and wanted to see them continue.
Not only big cities, but big slums ... thats how are getting out of poverty. Theyre emptying out a lot of the subsistence farms that have been tough on the landscape all over the world, moving into towns for opportunity, building jobs for each other. Theyre also moving up whats called the energy ladder, toward more and better grid electricity. By and large the cities are probably the greenest thing that humans do.
A sdan politicians r EU energikommissionr Gnter Oettinger. He says he fears a nedgng from Europe on energy prices continues to increase and if competitiveness is reduced compared to Frenta States and other parts of the world. He wants to convince his colleagues in the European Commission and f them to adopt a mlsttning for industrial policy instead for new klimatml. Oettinger has also frskrat the German automotive industry that it will not pursue the requirements on CO2 emissions as HRT previously.
Although clinical outcomes are not significantly altered, moderate wine consumption in patients with chronic heart failure is associated with better perceived psychological outcomes and reduced inflammation as assayed by circulating biomarkers.
Because too many people misunderstood my technical explanation, the comment about the lunar phases is the simplest argument I see to argue that Brian Cox often says things that are bollocks. This argument isn't perfect but unlike the technical one, it may be more accessible to the laymen.
Dr. Miskolczi: The conventional greenhouse theory does not consider the newly discovered physical relationships involving infrared radiative fluxes. These relationships pose strong energetic constraints on an equilibrium system.
As well it might, given the economic situation, and the fact that global warming hasnt happened for nearly a decade and people are beginning to smell a large Gore-shaped rat. A recent survey of Asia-Pacific government leaders shows that global warming doesnt even appear on the list of top priorities this year.
Finding that appropriate ?balance? between the important principles of academic freedom and media access to information ? rights seemingly here in conflict ? remains the Holy Grail for those deeply committed to both principles. Whether the Virginia Supreme Court can thread that needle remains to be seen.
There isn??t the slightest evidence that more carbon dioxide has caused more extreme weather.
The alternative energy experiment is unraveling, having barely begun
Specifically, Morano has been holding Gingrich's feet to the fire for appearing in a climate fear ad with Nancy Pelosi. Morano is demanding that he recant and apologize, but so far Newt's spokesperson has said he will not.
The global climate models projected an atmospheric warming of more than 0.3 o C over the last 15 years, but instead, flat or cooling temperatures have occurred.
New paper predicts temperature decrease by 2020 of up to 1C due to low solar activity for certain locations Published in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
So why do I still support actionespecially, climate skeptics demand, when the science is so uncertain?
I recently began blogging, especially about climate change, and after a month my site was noticed. Noticed by the wrong people, sadly. Readers of Tim Blair and Andrew Bolt have swamped my site with genuinely abusive comments, many relating to my disability, which I find very hurtful.
The campaign to adopt carbon constraints has to be judged the least successful marketing effort since New Coke or the Edsel. This ought to provoke the most searching reflections within the environmental community, but so far it seems most environmentalists are stuck in the "denial" and "bargaining" phases of their grief over the death of cap-and-trade, grasping desperately to the hope that their Edsel of a policy can be revived after the next election. If the environmental establishment sticks with this vain hope, by "turning up the volume," they will only marginalize themselves further. (The volume has been turned up to 11 for years, hasn't it?)
Who says that sea levels will rise by so much? According to the tide gauge in Cuxhaven, which is one of the most reliable sea level measurements in the whole of the north, the sea level has risen by about 20 centimetres since 1900.
I guess you believe me that I could list lots of papers analyzing the sunspots. But most of them surely don't contradict global warming, do they? A global warming inquisitor would say that a heretic would have to find a recent peer-reviewed paper - from 2007 or later - that explicitly says that we will see cooling in the next 20 years. And it must say so in the title if the heretic wants to be treated as a human being at least for 3 seconds. ;-) Well, the inquisitor should have been much more careful! A 2007 paper in Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics (Springer) is called Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20 years
The blatant temperature manipulation perpetrated on the public has been, for the most part, an esoteric issue discussed by individuals familiar with temperature record analyses. (Peer reviewed research indicates that the fake-warming likely represents 25 to 50% of reported global warming by the climate agencies.)
Ive excluded three models: CESM-CAM5 and two IPSL models. There were shifts at 2006 in the TOA Outgoing Longwave Radiation outputs of all three runs of the CESM-CAM5 model (one with a monstrous shift), which skewed the multi-model mean of that metric for that scenario. (I notified KNMI of that problem, and NCAR has since corrected them.) I also excluded the two IPSL models because their TOA Incident Shortwave Radiation contains a volcanic aerosol component, while all other models do not. (The other models address volcanic aerosols with the Outgoing Shortwave Radiation.)
Natural gas spot prices in the US currently hover around $3.70 per thousand cubic feet. Historical low prices have been a boon for consumers who are saving billions of dollars as they switch from more expensive and far dirtier coal and oil. It's also led to an energy security windfall.
The emails represented private correspondence between CRU scientists and scientists at climate research centers around the world. Dozens of the stolen emails are from over a decade of my own personal correspondence with Professor Phil Jones, the Director of CRU.
Estimates agree on the size of the impact (small relative to economic growth) but disagree on the sign.
The rest of us may want to consider a few facts before we start to hyperventilate.
Animation 2 is the same as the perspective animation (Animation 1) but it also includes the energy imbalance anomalies smoothed with 5-year filters.
Ive lived through much of the whole peak oil deal, which near as I can tell has turned into a half-century-long goat roping contest. During the earlier years, people were shouting that the oil would run out, that the top would be very soon now, wed hit the peak and by gosh, at that point things would turn ugly. Of course, that still hasnt happened, so the peak oilers were left with the question pondered by failed doomcasters throughout history, viz:
My most immediate concern is to whether to leave this statement ["probably the
One of Briffa's regional chronologies was AVAM-TAIMYR, which was produced by merging the Taimyr chronology with another site, Bol'shoi Avam, located no less than 400 kilometres away. While the original Taimyr site had something of a divergence problem, with narrowing ring widths implying cooler temperatures, the new composite site of Avam--Taimyr had a rather warmer twentieth century and a cooler Medieval Warm Period. The effect of this blending of datasets was therefore, as so often with paleoclimate adjustments, to produce a warming trend.
But then Nature intervened. Satellite imagery shows that the Arctic has 60 percent more ice now than it did in 2007 for the same date, almost one million square miles more.
My understanding is: The consensus states that AGW is proven. But the magnitude is still being debated. One of the ways to test the various hypotheses regarding the magnitude is to do data comparisons. This comparison to observation suggests the IPCCs estimates are high.
A few days ago we looked at December snow cover. So lets look at the weekly snow cover for the northern hemisphere every year since 1966. Well, that too shows NO TREND!
And therein lies the real reason why so many global warming cultists are so desperate to change the terms of the debate. Rather than discuss the actual science, theyd rather marginalize anyone who disagrees with their policy prescriptions.
So, according to Hansen's 1988 predictions, the global temperature anomaly should be about 90% of the way from Scenario "C" to Scenario "A" ~0.97 C. In reality, the global temperature anomaly is about half of what Hansen predicted for a similar rise in greenhouse gases.
American exceptionalism was on its way to the ash heap. Terms like shared and pooled sovereignty were bandied about like new types of cell phones rather than fundamental shifts in the relationship between citizens and state. Multilateral treaties on an astounding array of issues were in prospectnot just the usual subjects of international relations, but matters heretofore quintessentially decided by nation-states: gun control, abortion, the death penalty, among others.
One example of this green crony capitalism is the solar industry, which probably would not exist if governments stopped propping it up using taxpayers' money, as they have for the past 30 years. Despite the U.S. government pouring more than $150 billion into so-called "renewable energy," the total share of electricity from U.S. wind and solar combined is expected to reach only 6 percent by 2040.
"For years, Linux has enjoyed much of its success as a replacement for Unix. Companies turned to Linux to replace Unix servers, or for new deployments within a Unix-heavy environment. Linux is still king there, but it's starting to encroach on Microsoft as well."
> >> >Just a couple of minor points about the draft you sent:
But there was a warming of more than twice this amount in just 40 years from 1694-1733 in Central England. Inferentially, a substantial warming will have occurred worldwide over the same period, for Central England is on the right latitude to give a fair approximation to global temperatures. Not many SUVs about in the early 18 th century.
Most important, a shrinking labor force means fewer workers contributing the payroll taxes that finance old-age care. The Social Security program is already beginning to be impacted by the decline in the worker-to-retiree ratio. In 1940, there were 160 workers for each retiree. By 2010, there were just 2.9. Once some 80 million Baby Boomers retire, the number will plummet to 2.1. This means taxes will have to increase and benefits be cut substantially to keep the program solvent. Medicare is similarly threatened by declining fertility. Both programs will cost more but have fewer workers footing the bill.
The Obama Democrats passed a stimulus package tilted toward public-sector unions and financial regulation propping up the big banks. Those at the top got paid off.
Making people poorer is seldom a good way to make the world safer, healthier, or cleaner. Yet the Kyoto Protocol would require America to reduce its emissions of greenhouse gases, chiefly carbon dioxide from fossil fuel combustion, 31% below the level projected for 2010.5 There is no feasible way to accomplish such drastic emissions cutbacks without draconian cutbacks in energy use; and no way to put America on an energy austerity diet without depressing economic growth. WEFA, the respected economic forecasting firm, estimates that meeting the U.S. Kyoto target would reduce average family income in the year 2010 by $2,700, reduce annual economic output by $300 billion, and destroy more than 2.4 million jobs.6
The author states: "Our energy policy is no longer dictated by the need to keep supply plentiful and cheap which for decades was the basis of all planning. Today energy policy is framed with only one factor in mind: satisfying the Green lobby." He concludes: "in the U.K. we let the Green lobby sneer at fracking and barely even pay lip-service to its possibilities, at the same time as we close down productive power plants and stand back watching while prices go through the stratosphere."
Carbon Pollution Standards: In January 2014, the EPA proposed a rule for new coal-fired power plants, known as the Carbon Pollution Standards, that would require operators to capture roughly 30 percent of greenhouse gas emissions by using a process known as "carbon capture and sequestration." However, it has been widely rumored that next week's final rule will drop the mandate for carbon capture and sequestration, due to its perceived legal vulnerability. In addition to being impermissibly expensive, the rule as proposed would actually increase greenhouse gas emissions, which is not allowed under the Clean Air Act. In place of carbon capture and sequestration technology, the EPA is expected to require either an ultra-supercritical pulverized coal system or integrated gasification combined cycle coal technology.
By Mario Parker, Bloomberg, Aug 10, 2015
Obamas presidency has had the fewest US hurricane strikes on record .
Here's where some more of that background history comes into the picture. Under EPA's long-standing interpretation of the statute, reaffirmed in the Timing Rule, once any "air pollutant" is regulated under any part of the Act, "major" stationary sources are automatically "subject to regulation" under the Title I PSD preconstruction permit program and Title V operating pe
???Another record has also been set in the capital region, where snow has laid on the ground uninterrupted since the 26th November the longest period of early winter snow cover since records began.??
The temperature T e is not necessarily the actual surface or atmospheric temperature of the planet;it is simply the equivalent blackbody emission temperature a planet requires to balance thesolar radiation that it absorbs. Using a value of a p = 0.31, we obtain from (12.1c) a value ofT e = 254 K. Note that this temperature is much less than the observed global mean surfacetemperature T 0 = 288 K. The difference between T e and T 0 arises from the emission ofthermal radiation by atmospheric gases and clouds at temperatures colder than T 0 .
NBC reporter Ida Siegal has no idea what the hammer & sickle represent. More here .
Stephen Hawking (65) plans a flight in g=0 airplane in 2007 and go to space in 2009. Sir Richard Branson hasn't yet thrown away all his assets to the global warming toilet so he may still be able to pay everything that is necessary.
election and its aftermath, a major stimulus package. He got the latter enacted
The pause in global warming has confounded climate scientists who have put forward dozens of potential explanations for why global temperatures have not risen in the last 18 years and three months.
Its very easy to see the recent record-high global surface temperatures have had a tiny impact on the difference between models and observations.
It emphasizes the importance of other players the swing voters of international politics in exerting that pressure, whether the target is Iran or China. Think of it as
Even if heat is reaching the benthic strata without warming the near-surface strata on the way, the transient near-surface response is rather insensitive to rising atmospheric CO 2 concentration. For this reason, resolving ocean thermodynamics and circulation dynamics is not a prerequisite to the empirical study of climate sensitivity by way of our simple model. If the deep heat explanation for the hiatus in global warming is correct (and it is merely one among dozens that have been offered), then the complex models have failed to account for it correctly: otherwise, the growing discrepancy between the predicted and observed atmospheric warming rates would not have become as significant as it has.
Bald and Golden Eagles Victorious: Court Invalidates 30-Year Eagle Take Rule (feds vs. federal law)
Unfortunately for them, their actual proof is literally non-existent - they have no empirical evidence to stand on, other than anecdotal stories and/or singular, one-off events. Instead, they base their predictions and their foolish claims on computer simulations. Of course, what they always fail to mention is that the climate models were programmed by the climate model "scientists" to produce severe weather event predictions from...wait...take a guess...yes!, from global warming.
The absolute costs of disasters will increase significantly in coming years due to greater wealth and populations in locations exposed to extremes, Pielke added. Consequent, disasters will continue to be an important focus of policy, irrespective of the exact future course of climate change.
Eager to end reliance on Russian natural gas, and largely untroubled by environmentalists, Polish officials are embracing hydraulic fracturing to unlock potentially huge deposits beneath their soil.
Here is a little hint for my obvious betters at the NRC:When you rely on the models of Stefan Rahmstorf to make your sea level rise predictions, one of two things will have happened by 2030. If you are lucky your report will have been forgotten. If you are unlucky people will simply be laughing at you.
Synopsis: There is no evidence of extinctions being caused by human CO2. Source here . "The IPCC claims new evidence suggests that climate-driven extinctions and range retractions are already widespread and the projected impacts on biodiversity are significant and of key relevance, since global losses in biodiversity are irreversible (very high confidence). These claims are not supported by scientific research."
But here is the point I want to make. Everybody goofs, as Sean said in his initial tweet when this debate arose. I goof as Stevie C points out in the comments here, I apparently said in a radio interview that the phases of the Moon are caused by the Earths shadow, which is clearly bollocks! Unless I was talking about a lunar eclipse, I cant understand what I must have been thinking. Probably the end of a long day. He continues to say that everyone goofs etc. Well, I am not sure whether everyone goofs about the origin of the lunar phases or similarly elementary questions, especially among physics professors who have claimed to be experts on the subject. But I do appreciate that Cox confessed his sins and I do agree that people, including smart ones, may sometimes err and the probability for a smart person to err doesn't really go down when we talk about elementary topics.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Adjunct Fellow Steven Milloy on McCain's embarrassing performance:
The authors seem to be somewhat bemused by these findings, suggesting that 'it is unclear how rising CO2 concentrations might have significantly impacted the variability of yield'. This is an odd thing to say; I thought it was fairly well established that high carbon dioxide levels tended to reduce water loss in plants, thus protecting them from drought.
The findings of Noonan et al . suggest that the six species of coral they studied, plus the various Symbiodinium types they encountered, were all able to not only survive , but to function well throughout the full range of CO 2 -induced pH values to which they had been exposed throughout their entire life spans.
No major emitting facility on which construction is commenced after August 7, 1977, may be constructed in any area to which this part applies . . . . unless the proposed facility is subject to the best available control technology for each pollutant subject to regulation under this chapter .
Obama is waging his war on energy via the Environmental Protection Agency, suppressing dissent within the agency and circumventing clear congressional intent to impose unnecessary and constitutionally dubious regulations. Regrettably, the courts and Congress have failed to stand up to this abuse of authority.
The reason there was a workshop in KL is that the IPCC knows very well this is an area that needs particular attention and where a lot of progress has been made , Professor van Ypersele said.
Senate Fails to Kill Corn Ethanol Subsidies: But there's More Here than Meets the Eye