Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The graph below shows average ice thickness calculated from PIPS maps. As the ice has compressed towards the pole, the average thickness has increased, and is now the highest since 2007.
The Kyoto Protocol, Dr. Illarionov explained, is based on flawed science that claims there are man-made factors behind global warming. He believes that Russia's economy will grow so fast over the next decade that emissions will increase substantially. If Russia agrees to Kyoto, it would have to constrain economic growth or be forced to buy emissions quotas from other nations.
Yes, I would say that pretty much confirms it.
Only in California are 9 active concentration plants for a total of 354MW, and in June 2007 was plugged in the Solar One impoanto a 64 MW and its US businesses are confident that soon this type of technology, or rather its direct the Compact Linear Fresnel Reflector evolution (CLFR) will be able to be competitive with coal.
The finding by scientists that sea level rise is now expected to be much higher than previously thought (between 0.9 and 1.6 meters by the end of this century) will affect hundreds of millions of people around the world in both rich and poor countries, but it is the poor who will be particularly badly affected. They tend to live in the lowest lying land, and have the fewest resources to adapt.
I don't think anyone has actually said this - certainly the article doesn't give any examples, although it does stoop to putting words into Steven Goddard's mouth:
Elon Musk, the billionaire founder, CEO and largest shareholder in Tesla, reacted angrily to the LA Times story. He claimed that the handouts Tesla received were "a pittance" and "one-thousandth of what the oil and gas industry get in a single year."
Head, Suzanne and Heinz, Robert, ed. Lessons of the Rainforest. San Francisco: Sierra Club Books, 1990.
He then goes into a long paragraph about his effort to put an "end to subsidies for huge oil companies"and brags about being a "cosponsor of S.940, the Close Big Oil Tax Loopholes Act, which would roll back huge subsidies and tax credit for large oil companies."
Glassman: If there was global warming before the 20th century . . . what caused it?
Greenpeace is occupying the spot height 718 i.e. the locus of the planned missile defense system radar near Mov , a village in the Brdy Hills, Czechia. They live in three apartments in the trees (which makes it somewhat harder for Pentagon to remove them). They eat ratoons, barberries, and candybars. Two solar panels guarantee that they can read this blog.
Finally, foreign policy will increasingly be impacted by the global decline in fertility. Those who fear China as a future superpower threat to our interests should remember that by 2050, China's population will be declining by 20 million every five years, and one out of four people will be over the age of 65. China's public pension system covers only 365 million people and is unfunded by 150 percent of GDP. What we need to prepare for "is not a shooting war with an expansionist China," Last writes, "but a declining superpower with a rapidly contracting economic base and an unstable political structure. It's not clear which scenario is more worrisome."
But compared to other recent actions by the Norwegian government -- like its awful decision to levy massive retroactive tax increases that effectively expropriate the country's shipping industry -- it is relatively harmless.
Were it not for its implications for AGW, Salbys research on the carbon cycle might be a boon to the IPCCs troubled effort to explain interannual variability of CO2 emissions. His work offers a coherent picture of changes in net emissions, where the changes closely track a combination of temperature and soil moisture explaining both the low net emissions of the early 1990s and their peak in 1998. Salby also contends that temperature alone can largely account for the rise in atmospheric CO2 through the earlier part of the twentieth century, when soil-moisture data are inadequate. Net methane emissions track natural surface conditions even more closely.
Meanwhile, the BBC reports that numerous ships and hundreds of crew are stuck fast in the Sea of Okhotsk off the coast of North East Russia, where the sea has turned to ice so thick you can drive a lorry on it:
But now we have the official announcement, complete with page numbers and whatnot. Sci & Educ (2015) 24:299318, DOI 10.1007/s11191-013-9647-9, for citation collectors.
In this study, we have seen that there are substantial differences between models and measurements when it comes to regional and global albedo. By pointing out specific problems and apparent shortcomings, we hope to facilitate the improvement of GCMs in this respect. We have also seen that large uncertainties and poor/insufficient coverage in observations make it hard to draw conclusions with confidence, and we therefore take this opportunity to urge experimentalists to refine their products and quantify the uncertainties therein. Of course development of the two go hand in hand, and by improving both models and measurements we will decrease differences and increase understanding, which is a basic condition for our future attempts to understand climate stability.
They agree with the defenders of the left-right-symmetric explanation of the bump that the particle that decays in order to manifest itself as the bump is a new spin-one boson, namely a \(Z'\). But its corresponding \(U(1) a\) symmetry may be anomalous: there may exist a mixed anomaly in the triangle\[
ALMOST exactly three years ago Michael Hammer showed that the official temperature rise profile for the 20th century in the United States is largely, if not entirely, an artifact of adjustments applied after the raw data is collected from the weather stations . It was a very neat little analysis, first published at this blog. It was a neat little analysis that was, for the most part, ignored.
No matter what is done in the rainforest, however, the need for progress among the peoples of the developing world should not be overlooked. The old Chinese proverb says that when there is food on the table, there are many problems, but when there is no food on the table, there is only one problem.
In most of these cases, the problem is just poor data, and nothing can be done about that a century later. The only potential remedy is to excise the flawed periods and replace them with intelligent guesses about what the readings ought to have shown. But a little bit of this goes a long way too many guesses and the record becomes a hypothesis rather than empirical data.
"When it's all said and done," he says, "the climate models end up saying that there should be less snow, not more."
Observations of ocean heat content and of sea-level rise suggest that the additional heat from the continued rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations has been absorbed in the ocean and has not been manifest as a rise in surface temperature, the Met Office says in one of its three reports into the global warming pause.
The correct answers to these questions are not as important as the fact that they are unanswered and will likely remain so for some time to come.
The first casualty of such a process is obviously NOAA ??? whose results are inconsistent with NASA??s results. The greater similarity of the NASA temperature history with the CRN1,2 stations shows that the choice between NASA and NOAA histories is not completely arbitrary, but that, in this case, the NASA history for the U.S. looks more reasonable.
With so much to offer in the way of valuable natural resources, the rainforests of the world have long been objects of interest to those looking to take advantage of their storehouses of wealth. Many would view this as good and noble, with men trying to make their lives and the lives of people around them better through the creation of jobs, new and useful products, and increased economic growth and prosperity.
I am not a geologist but this image definitely suggests the possibility of an impact crater, probably modulated by a considerable thickness of ice lying above the point of impact. A quick check of the assumed conditions at the proposed onset of the Younger Dryas (12900-12800 YBP) shows that at this time Lake Chicago existed as a melt lake with an outlet near Chicago and covered the southernmost tip of the current Lake Michigan. At this time, just north of Lake Chicago, the Michigan Lobe of the Wisconsin Glaciation was in rapid retreat. There is no reason to dismiss the likelihood that the edge of the ice sheet may have lain to the south of the Southern Chippewa Basin (SCB), the location of the anomalous terrain. After the onset of the Younger Dryas, the glacial front advanced for a millennium before the retreat resumed.
" "International accords and underlying regional and national regulations for greenhouse gas reduction are evolving with uncertain timing and outcome, making it difficult to predict their business impact."
The reason: In June of 2013, Roy Spencer presented model-data comparisons of the warming of the tropical mid-troposphere prepared by John Christy. See Roys posts EPIC FAIL: 73 Climate Models vs. Observations for Tropical Tropospheric Temperature and STILL Epic Fail: 73 Climate Models vs. Measurements, Running 5-Year Means . The models grossly overestimated the warming rates of the mid-troposphere there. So I thought it would be worthwhile, since the tropical oceans (24S-24N) cover 76% of the tropics and about 46% of the global oceans, to confirm that the models also grossly overestimate the warming of sea surface temperatures of the tropical oceans.
Two thirds of the 43% increase in estimated total anthropogenic forcing between AR4 and AR5 is accounted for by revisions to the 2005 estimate, reflecting improved understanding, with the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations between 2005 and 2011 accounting for almost all of the remainder. Almost all of the revision to the 2005 estimate relates to aerosol forcing. The AR5 best (median) estimate of recent total aerosol forcing is 0.9 W/m 2 , a large reduction from 1.3 W/m 2 (for a more limited measure of aerosol forcing) in AR4. This reduction has major implications for TCR and ECS estimates.
Mr. Ebell said the playbook for the climate change investigation mirrors that used in the tobacco litigation: First, stop Exxon from defending itself and funding its supporters, and then make a deal.
"Somebody's SUV poked a hole in my ozone."
The president of Spain's renewable energy association along with a Communist Party affiliated trade federation decried the paper's lead author as being unpatriotic.
I would then explain that according to a new theory dubbed the Saturated Greenhouse Effect developed by a Hungarian physicist (Ferenc Miskolczi) adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere will not impact global temperatures because the atmosphere will compensate by reducing specific humidity at critical altitudes. Indeed Dr Miskolczi acknowledges the potential warming effect of carbon dioxide but, through the development of a new law of physics, can explain how changes in the concentration of other greenhouse gases have offset the impact of the additional carbon dioxide.
I really do not know how these two managed to get themselves tarred with the global warming brush so late in this scam. Im not going to speculate how it was done, but the simple fact is that the Republicans now have two democrat fools with huge targets painted on their backs and a heap big pile of ammunition and some of the best crack shots Ive seen.
I am "almost" definitely convinced and I would think that if one includes all the tantalizing properties of the three events into the background-plus-WIMP hypothesis, the probability that they will agree assuming just the background will be way lower than 0.2%. We have three candidates each of which optically seems to be 3 sigmas beneath the "background cloud" and all of them sit on a hyperbola within 5 percent, with no other events differing both from the background and the hyperbola. I think that this happening by chance is really over 10 sigma.
If you look at a graph from the Chronological List of All Hurricanes Which Affected the Continental United States: 1851-2005 compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the years 2004-2005 represent the only time in this relatively short record that there have been two consecutive years with more than four hurricanes making U.S. landfall.
It's time to dump the Doha development round
Even putting climatologists in the same breath as Einstein is like putting One Direction in the same breath as J S Bach.
Steve Janke a.k.a. "Angry" is currently under siege for his coverage of a member of Paul Martin's inner circle. Please consider hitting Angry's tip jar to help defray his legal costs.
Later, Snyder expounded further that it was not sound practice to draw conclusions from an analysis that did not result in a finding of statistical significance:
Who Turned on the Heat? was introduced in the blog post Everything You Every Wanted to Know about El Nio and La Nia Well Just about Everything. The Updated Free Preview includes the Table of Contents; the Introduction; the beginning of Section 1, with the cartoon-like illustrations; the discussion About the Cover; and the Closing.
By changing a few, crucial words in the liturgy, Father Wenger reversed a Catholic ritual that for 350 years had implored the heavens to push back the glaciers.
"With the advent of social networking Web sites like MySpace, the Web is no longer just an extension of the office it's a vast virtual playground where individuals of all ages can meet up and chill out. But recent calls for the government to place restrictions and requirements on sites like MySpace would march out the government hall monitors, forcing MySpace to become TheirSpace."
John Berlau: John F Kennedy cut personal and corporate tax rates to fuel the 60s boom. Mr. President, you're no Jack Kennedy!
Australias antarctic runway melting | Barossa & Light Herald
Into the fraythe internecine war between Stalinism and Trotskyismentered John Dewey. Now Dewey had previously ventured into the Marxist morality play when his Commission of Inquiry into the Charges Made against Leon Trotsky in the Moscow Trial allowed Trotsky to defend his good name after being tried and sentenced to death in absentia by the Stalinists at the Moscow Show Trials in 1936. That the commission provided Trotsky with a western pulpit to justify his beliefs and actions goes a long way in explaining Deweys critique of Trotskys defense of Bolshevik morality.
"They were running a well-used page in their playbook get the legacy media to play defense for them," Chris Horner, who forced the public release of the emails by filing a "Freedom of Information Act" request, told FoxNews.com.
It is not clear. Despite the CO2 emissions, the Earth has been in a cooling cycle for the last nineteen years, during the same time the IPCCs climate experts and others were telling us the Earth was going to become dangerously warm.
"We have an opportunity to permanently protect two of our nation's greatest ocean treasures, right off our coast," Priscilla Brooks, the Conservation Law Foundation's director of ocean conservation, told the Associated Press (September 13, 2015).
In our Editorial of 18 Aug 2004 , we describe the recent boost given by two important studies to the concept of symbiont shuffling , whereby successive episodes of the high-temperature-induced bleaching of corals lead to their being repopulated with species or subspecies of zooxanthellae that are ever more tolerant of high temperatures, which makes successive incarnations of coral reefs ever more resistant to new occurrences of warming-induced bleaching and more resilient in terms of their rate of recovery. What was done
When the data is weak (is limited and uncertainty is high) the prior can have a major influence on the posterior PDF. Unlike in many areas of physics, that is the situation in climate science, certainly so far as ECS and TCR estimation is concerned. Moreover, the relationships between the principal observable variables (changes in atmospheric and ocean temperatures) and the parameters being estimated which typically also include ocean effective vertical diffusivity ( K v ) when ECS is the target parameter are highly non-linear.
ABC News Blames Global Warming for Extreme Cold Temps: Global warming "means winters with more snow' Brutal cold & snow "could be the new normal'
1,700 Scientists and Economists Call For Immediate Action on Greenhouse Gas Reductions | DeSmogBlog My first question: Why are there only 1,700 names on the above list, when there are 31,000 on this opposing list?
He reiterates that he has never denied anthropogenic global warming, and insists that he long ago accepted the cost of damage would be between 2% and 3% of world wealth by the end of this century. This estimate is the same, he says, as that quoted by Lord Stern, whose report for the British government argued that the world should spend 1-2% of gross domestic product on tackling climate change to avoid future damage. ( source )
That domestic program will be centered on a cap-and-trade program to limit greenhouse gas emissions. The statement continues: "John Kerry's plan recognizes that we must take immediate action to halt and reverse the growth in greenhouse gas emissions and reduce our carbon footprint while the economy expands. Leveraging pioneering state and regional programs, Kerry's plan calls for all major sources of greenhouse gas emissions to participate in a cap and trade emissions reduction program for CO2 and other greenhouse gases (not just utilities, as some have suggested), so that the power of the marketplace can be directed to encourage that the most cost-effective reductions be made, whether at coal-fired utilities or from automobile tailpipes. This cap-and-trade program will reinforce other near-term initiatives that drive down emissions without reducing economic output."
Even the "Left environmental movement" is no fan. Mother Jones cites an "industry observer" addressing a post-Valdez-disaster ExxonMobil: "It "is a company that does everything in a gold-plated manner. It's purely a commercial decision: You never put in anything that might fail'not for ethical reasons, but because as BP has discovered, failure is expensive."
To put that into more basic terms: There are naturally occurring multidecadal variations in surface temperatures of the Northern Hemisphere oceans (see the post here ), and they were major contributors to the warming experienced since the mid-1970s. Climate models do not simulate those modes of natural variability. To compound the problems, the modelers had tuned their models during the naturally occurring upswings, failing to account for the peaking and downswings in cycles that would eventually occur (and are now occurring). I provided an overview of the potential impact of this in the post Will their Failure to Properly Simulate Multidecadal Variations In Surface Temperatures Be the Downfall of the IPCC?
The Equatorial Cold Tongue Bias in CGCMs: Its Impact on ENSO (9 Jul 2013)
Dr. Art Robinson is president of the nonprofit Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, on the family farm in southwestern Oregon, 180 miles from Corvallis. OISM focuses on biochemistry, diagnostic medicine, nutrition, preventive medicine and aging and improving emergency preparedness and basic education.
Most of all, though, the successful use of carbon taxes does not require "American leadership," or a U.N. committee, or a complicated international effort of any kind. It can be done country by country: If the British environment minister or the German chancellor wants to go ahead with it tomorrow, nothing is preventing them. If a future American president wants to rally the nation around a patriotic and noble cause, then he or she has the perfect opportunity. If the Chinese see that such a tax has produced unexpected benefits in America and Europe, they'll follow. And when that happens, we'll know that the apocalyptic climate change rhetoric has finally been taken seriously.
Honda spokesman Todd Mittleman said the tests involved unusual and extreme conditions and noted that all 2009 Honda vehicles had received top scores from the Insurance Institute.
Our guess is that this is the real political purpose behind the wave of new drilling rules. The Administration has made coal its main fossil-fuel target, but the green lobby also has natural gas in its sights. A frontal assault is too politically risky, which is why regulatory attrition is the preferred approach.
Traces of CO2 the principal greenhouse gas that traps solar heat show that carbon concentrations in the atmosphere rose after temperatures were on the rise, not before.
www.huntervalleynews.net .au/.../dreamers-cast-aside-logic-in-rush-fo...
This is no time to inflict real pain on Australians hip pockets. ... Airport drop-off set for overhaul .... Australias $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting away.
Mr Gore??s assertion that the disappearance of snow on Mount Kilimanjaro in East Africa was expressly attributable to global warming ??? the court heard the scientific consensus was that it cannot be established the snow recession is mainly attributable to human-induced climate change.
But this is the same equipment used to produce recent official seasonal forecasts ? before those bulletins were axed in March after a string of much-criticised blunders.
Elevated CO 2 largely offset the detrimental effects of drought and high temperature on water relations and photosynthesis in this species. Midday leaf water potentials , for example, were similar in all well-watered plants, regardless of atmospheric CO 2 concentration. In droughted plants, however, leaf water potentials indicated that internal plant water status became increasingly more favorable with atmospheric CO 2 enrichment
The model simulations of outgoing longwave radiation are presented as anomalies (referenced to the base years of 1996 to 2015) in Figure 9. As noted earlier, the model mean shows outgoing longwave radiation decreasing during the hindcast but increasing during the forecast.
But little by little, the supposedly settled scientific ??? consensus?? that the temperature rise is unprecedented, that it is set to continue to disastrous levels, and that it is all the fault of human beings, is starting to fray.
Fact 4. Closing down the whole Australian industrial economy might result in the prevention of about 0.02 degrees of warming. Reducing emissions by 5 per cent by 2020 (the government's target) will avert an even smaller warming of about 0.002 degrees. Ergo, cutting Australian emissions will make no measurable difference to global climate.
Not a single red cent need have been spent on making global warming go away. But in Paris this December world leaders unless they and their advisers read the Science Bulletin will approve a savage global-government treaty that will give the unelected UN unprecedented powers to tax and regulate elected governments in the name of Saving The Planet from Thermageddon.
Michael Ignatieff says... Canadians want accountability from their MPs, but he's not sure they want to see every restaurant receipt politicians submit.
Removing the fuel reduces the likelihood of fires, and if fires do break out, makes them easier to fight. Meanwhile, the suppression of fires costs the federal government nearly $2.5 billion annually.
Meteorologists are calling for an early and cold winter in Western Canada, probably one of the top three coldest in the last 20 years for the West Coast.
The organisation has been forced to make up those funds by taking its first publicly acknowledged donations from the coal industry. The main Illinois coal lobby is a last-minute sponsor of this weeks conference, undermining Heartlands claims to operate independently of fossil fuel interests.
In the Democrats' hard fought battle for defeat ;