Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
For those of us who watch the politics of energy policy, it is going to be an interesting 2 years. If the Republican policies turn the economy around as predictedoffering a sharp contrast to the stagnation of the past 6 years, they will pave the way for victory in 2016. Ask your Senators and Members of Congress about these six energy policy changes that could bolster America's energy security and economic strength.
We have a growing population with growing energy needs. The last thing we should do is implement policies that will reduce the supply of energy. We need more energy, and we need affordable energy. Adopting a carbon-cutting regime, la Kyoto, will give us neither.
But it will be very difficult to make the MWP go away in Greenland.
The researchers ran two sets of simulations. One set looked at heat waves that would be expected using 1960s climate conditions including temperature, sea ice thickness and extent, and greenhouse gas forcing. The second set examined heat waves under those conditions for the 2000s. Under the earlier set of conditions, the simulated July temperatures for western Russia did reach the recent heat waves actual maximum, which topped 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit) and had a comparable pattern of daily above-average temperatures that peaked at about 12 degrees Celsius (22 degrees Fahrenheit) beyond the mean. So the magnitude of the heat wave could be due to natural factors, the researchers concluded.
Professor Crowder told delegates that there was much that could be done to minimise the impact of long line fishing, such as changing the shape of hooks.
But the RICO20 letter need not mention scientists and bloggers for the proposed investigation to target them. Few contrarians operate as lone wolves. Most work as employees of organizations. In many cases, those are conservative and free-market organizations. Such groups typically pride themselves on not seeking or accepting coerced contributions from taxpayers. So they pursue financial support from private sources, which may include fossil-energy companies. Donors communicate with their recipients. If donors are in the crosshairs of RICO, recipients are bound to become targets as well.
Richard Epstein describes how classical liberals should think about environmental protection, addresses arguments that the debate over global warming is over, and explains the controversial legal process that allowed the Environmental Protection Agency to regulate carbon emissions.
At the conclusion of the spring and summer growing seasons, the trees in the modestly-elevated CO 2 chambers exhibited net photosynthetic rates that were 38% greater than those of the trees growing in ambient air; and aided by a significant CO 2 -induced reduction in leaf transpiration rates, the mean instantaneous water-use efficiency of the leaves of the CO 2 -enriched trees was 87% greater than that of the ambient-treatment trees. And as a result of these CO 2 -induced plant physiological benefits, the above-ground biomass of the CO 2 -enriched trees at the end of the growing season was found to be 45% greater than that of the trees growing in ambient air, while their total biomass (above and below ground) was 53% higher. What it means
If South Sudanese people have electricity at all, it is from small diesel-powered generators for homes, businesses, and hospitals. It is not sufficient, it's available only some of the time, and there is almost no electricity outside of Juba and other big towns. Few people have motor fuels either. for cars or farm machinery, and the land is too vast to be cultivated by hand hoe or animals.
However, it is important to note that under the proposed carbon pollution standard for new power plants, companies would not be required to build natural gas combined cycle units; they would be required to meet a standard of 1000 lbs/MWh, which can be met either through the use of natural gas or by burning coal along with carbon capture and storage .
The Chamber and NAM oppose Waxman-Markey because they promote the general interest of business in a free and healthy economy. Green groups are putting pressure on other companies to leave Chamber and NAM, my colleague Christopher Horner notes. Divide and conquer is, alas, a pathetically easy game to play in an era of big government and climate hysteria.
This is the kind of situation that can quickly lead to panic - workers comp insurance is required, but you can't find anyone who will provide it. Fortunately, states have recognized this situation and generally have an insurer of last resort or state fund who will cover you, though you may not like the price. You can learn more about these insurers here -- keep clicking "next" at the bottom for more. The article goes across several pages. I would like to say that these state funds provide a backstop to make sure you will be insured, but that is not necesarily the case. Not every state has an insurer of last resort or state fund. And, though it surpised me the first time it happened, state funds can turn you down. SAIF, the state fund in Oregon, turned our company down for reasons I do not understand to this day (we have a perfect zero claims record in that state). Fortunately they were just our backup option, and a private insurer had already accepted us.
Can you explain to me how it will save one ton of carbon dioxide? Of course not! What you want is just a sham reduction of carbon dioxide.
Obviously I never said that late 20th century warming was caused by solar activity from the early 20th century and Dana does not give a citation for what argument of mine he is referring to but its easy to figure out. I have argued many times that if one combines the strong paleo correlations between solar activity and climate with the fact that solar activity was at what Ilya Usoskin calls ??? grand maximum ?? levels from 1920 to 2000 then it is certainly plausible that much of 20th century warming, including late 20th century warming, could have been caused by the sun. 80 years of a high level of enhanced solar forcing just might warm the place up a bit (and it only did warm a bit, about 0.8 C over the century).
He said: There is a suspicion, and I have that suspicion myself, that a large number of people who label themselves green are actually keen to take us back to the 18th or even the 17th century.
The constant rise in sea level has been constant across the planet for more than a century as shown by tidal gauge measurements posted on the Internet by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The rate of rise averages about 8 inches per century. For many weather events, rates of occurrences have declined in recent decades. The U. S. government provides data on various climate events Pope Francis claims are increasing heat waves , record high temperatures , flooding , drought , wildfires , reduced snowfall , tornadoes , hurricanes , sea level rise , and Arctic ice melting .
A cost/benefit analysis posted at the German Skeptical Science site finds Ivanpah , the world's largest "solar" power plant, not only burns through a lot of birds, it inefficiently burns through a lot of fossil fuels and money as well. Ivanpah uses the ancient technology of firing steam boilers, which are far less efficient and generate higher emissions of CO2 & actual air pollutants than a modern gas turbine plant. According to the analysis
On top is the emergent layer of giant trees, growing to heights of 115 to 250 feet. Only one or two emergents per acre usually, and have small leaves, umbrella shaped crowns and tall, slender trunks.
The headline answer given by Mr Huhne is that we must build thousands more giant wind turbines.
Of greater interest to us is what Lake Baikal can tell us about the most recent thousand years, and in particular, we are interested in the warming of the last 1000 years. Mackay notes that between c. A.D. 850 and 1200, S. acus dominated the assemblage, most likely due to prevailing warmer and wetter climate that occurred in Siberia at this time. Well now, it certainly looks as if the Medieval Warm Period was noticed at the Lake. Next we learn that Between c. A.D. 1200 and 1400, spring diatom crops growing under the ice decline in abundance, due in part to increased winter severity and snow cover on the lake, which is reflected in cooler early Siberian summers. The Little Ice Age then hit hard as Mackay finds The diatom-inferred snow model suggests significantly increased snow cover on the lake between A.D. 1200 and 1775, which mirrors for the large part increases in snow cover in China during AD 14001900.
Fortunately, several excellent studies challenge the popular green litany that everything is getting worse. These include recent works such as Matt Ridley's The Rational Optimist and Charles Kenny's Getting Better. Older books on the same theme include Indur Goklany's The Improving State of the World, Ron Bailey's The True State of the Planet, and Bjrn Lomborg's The Skeptical Environmentalist. All of these works argue that in broad terms human welfare is improving substantially over time: we are living longer and healthier lives, we are taller, more intelligent (at least as measured by IQ), and better educated. This improving trend applies to the developing world as much as to America.
By throwing the unopened bills in a drawer; Chicago has yet to recoup the $1.74 million cost of President Obama's victory celebration in Grant Park -- despite a burgeoning $50.5 million budget shortfall that threatens more layoffs and union concessions. "The Democratic National Committee has not yet paid us,'' Peter Scales, a spokesman for the city's Office of Budget and Management, said Thursday after questions from the Chicago Sun-Times. "We're reaching out to them this week." That was February 20th - a full three and a half months after the big bash . I emailed Sun-Times reporter Fran Spielman to see if the DNC's cheque had arrived. "Still unpaid. I check every few days. Be assured that, as soon as I know, you'll know. "
I agree that conspiracies do sometimes happen but I disagree that this fact prevents us from concluding that most people believing similar conspiracies are morons. One may estimate the probability \(P\) that there is some big conspiracy behind a collection of similar enough events and compare this probability with the percentage \(Q\) of people-event combinations in which the people believe that there was a conspiracy. If the people's opinions were sensibly reflecting some underlying reality (which isn't quite known), we would have \(P\approx Q\). However, in the real world, \(P\ll Q\). Assuming that you buy my arguments that \(P\) is actually small enough in the absolute sense, it proves that most people who believe the conspiracies must be systematically deluded.
Fenton once issued a phony press release hyperventilating about the results of a breast implant study that appeared in the prestigious British medical journal The Lancet. Five days later, the journal forced a correction from Fenton because the PR firm had made it look as though The Lancet had issued the scary release, rather than the Command Trust, Fenton's trial lawyer front-group.
Members of the geoscience community do not have such an excuse; these individuals are the curators of the knowledge of what has happened in the past, and should know better. SR2009 makes the blanket assumption that any change in carbon dioxide automatically means a corresponding change in global environment/temperatures, almost in linear lockstep, when we can demonstrate that the levels of CO2 in the Permian atmosphere were such that any change would have had a trivial effect on temperatures.
But the food was hot and delicious, and the fire in the fireplace was warm, as was the convivial atmosphere. The other dinner guests were the head of one of the Colleges at Cambridge and his wife, and the conversation ebbed and flowed with passion and pleasure. My greatest thanks go to Sir Humphry and Lady Katharine for their hospitality, for their stories, and for restoring a marvelous piece of English history.
As exciting as they may be to see and as neat as phenomena as they are they are exceptionally dangerous. Waterspouts can over-turn boats, they can swallow up swimmers, they can cause the water to drown you, the strong winds, he said. Lightning obviously can electrocute you and burn you severely and leave you either dead or with major trauma.
The authors write that "plants of the C 4 photosynthetic pathway have a CO 2 -concentrating mechanism that overcomes limitations of low atmospheric CO 2 "and which thereby provides them with "a near-saturating photosynthetic capability at current atmospheric CO 2 ." In this circumstance, as they continue, "a rise in atmospheric CO 2 will theoretically have a limited direct impact on C 4 photosynthesis." Nevertheless, they note that "a number of C 4 crop plants express a positive response to elevated growth CO 2 , although to a smaller extent compared to C 3 plants," citing the analyses of Kimball (1993) and Poorter et al . (1996).
U.S. Department of State Attn: Genevieve Walker, NEPA Coordinator 2201 C Street NW Room 2726 Washington, D.C. 20520
Current rates of intense hurricane impacts for Western Lake, Florida, Lake Shelby, Alabama, and Laguna Madre, Texas, do not seem unprecedented when compared to intense strikes over the past 5000 yr.
As this is being written, there are two joined cases before the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, State of West Virginia v. EPA and Murray Energy v. EPA. They are a challenge to President Obama's "War on Coal" and the EPA efforts to regulate its use. Fifteen states, along with select coal companies, have sued for an "extraordinary whit" to prevent the EPA from promulgating the new carbon regulations found it the Clean Power plan.
To get the remaining scientifically (or otherwise) relevant emails out, I ask you to pass this on to any motivated and responsible individuals who could volunteer some time to sift through the material for eventual release.
Thank you for being patient enough to read this far! Tomorrow I shall finish my commentary onBudziszewski and fulfill my promise to tell you how Andrew Jackson, a Crow Warrior, Teddy Roosevelt and George Washington Carver were all cut from the same cloth: CONSERVATIVE. For now, I leave you with St. Paul:
However, a closer look at earlier predictions tells us that they have consistently forecast much higher temperatures than have actually materialised, and that 2014 was really just a fluke.
Schneider, but nor does it materially change the import of Schneider's
3.) EPA relied upon Climate Models , all predicated on this Fingerprint Theory, that all fail standard model validation and forecast reliability tests. The models all forecast rising temperatures beyond 2000 although GAST has actually been flat. This is not surprising because EPA never carried out any published forecast reliability tests.
Owen Hopkins teaches children from Tuloso Midway elementary in Corpus Christi, TX about global cooling and warming and how it relates to the movie Ice Age.
Met Office 2010 Forecast: Winter To Be Mild Predicts Met Office
You can see that sea level here is virtually stable. Yet as they are close to sea level it was repeatedly claimed that these islands are in imminent danger of drowning. Webb and Kench (2010) presented the first quantitative analysis of physical changes in 27 atoll islands in the SW Pacific (including Tuvalu) over a 19 to 61 year period. They found that 43% of islands remained stable and 43% increased in area. Coral islands are increasing in size because coral grows: the reef is a living thing. Affected by erosion and deposition the coast is modified, but there is no danger of drowning. The Maldives were studied by a team of geomorphologists led by the doyen of sea level studies, Niklas Axel-Morner, and they found no evidence of sea level rise (Morner et al., 2004).
Insisting that such an agreement would be unlikely due to India and China's need to rapidly increase economic growth in order to bring tens of millions of citizens out of poverty the chairman of the Global Warming Policy Foundation claimed that town halls were wasting resources by promoting renewable energy schemes and green initiatives.
Polarization is not conducive to sound policy. In Europe, the alarmed have the upper hand, climate policy is hardly scrutinized, and special interest groups are gorging on subsidies and rents. Anyone who questions this is put on par with those who deny the Holocaust. The consensus police patrol the media to isolate, ridicule and smear anyone who dares to raise a question. The Royal Observatory and the London School of Economics employ people, Ken Rice and Bob Ward, whose day job it is, or so it seems, to attack others for their climate heresy.
?May she inspire you, because today, you are gathered in Cancun to weave together the elements of a solid response to climate change, using both reason and creativity as your tools,? Figueres said in the opening speech, conveniently glossing over the massive sums of taxpayer money also being used as tools. ?Excellencies, the goddess Ixchel would probably tell you that a tapestry is the result of the skillful interlacing of many threads . I am convinced that 20 years from now, we will admire the policy tapestry that you have woven together and think back fondly to Cancun and the inspiration of Ixchel.?
As Alan Caruba related in the opening paragraph of his article published on Tuesday, April 3rd, titled Fatetgate: The War on Science, enerations of Americans have been raised to venerate science and those who have enhanced and extended our lives through its application. The rise of environmentalism, however, has generated a war on science, first by distorting it, and then by propagandizing the findings, studies and resulting claims based on them.
Today, Roger jr asks for a naive forecast for a mystery process providing us a data set and ask us how we would create the naive process. The only thing we know about the data is that observations have been made over some periods of time, our goal is to suggest what we would predict based on knowledge of the past observed behavior. The data might be stock prices, wheat futures, height of Illinois corn on August 9, or anything. We dont know.
The new paper by Knight et al. provides additional support to the notion that the enhanced level of Atlantic hurricanes activity since 1995 is likely, to some considerable degree, to be attributable to natural variations in the North Atlantic SST patterns. Some other atmospheric changes promoting hurricanes that accompanied the AMO, such as the decrease in stability, are opposite to what one would expect from global warming. SSTs have also likely warmed a bit from anthropogenic enhancements to the earths greenhouse effect. And these elevated SSTs may be having an impact on Atlantic hurricanes (see for example our recent paper published in Geophysical Research Letters (Michaels et al., 2006) which is available here ). But, the anthropogenic impact on hurricane intensity is likely small in comparison to natural variations and thus remains largely undetectable.
In other words, our current system of energy subsidizationfrom solar energy to corn ethanol, only works as long as the subsidized forms of energy are small enough to be irrelevant to our energy security. Given that energy security (along with climate change, for some) is the prime driver of the supposed need for these technologies, this seems like a perverse result, to say the least.
I assume that those 30% also get their news from Fairfax, the ABC, BBC, Reuters, AAP etc, and believe every word of the governments alarmist climate change propaganda.
The sharp drop in oil prices, from $66 a barrel in 1980 to $20 a barrel in 1986 (in 2000 prices) certainly was a heavy blow to Soviet finances. Still, adjusted for inflation, oil was more expensive in the world markets in 1985 than in 1972, and only one-third lower than throughout the 1970s. And at the same time, Soviet incomes increased more than 2 percent in 1985, and inflation-adjusted wages continued to rise in the next five years through 1990 at an average of over 7 percent.
The global energy story of today is coal, which dwarfs the output of solar and wind.
What belongs here is our insisting upon the undisputable fact that there are respectable but highly conflicting scientific hypotheses concerning this subject. What also belongs here is our resolute opposition to the attempts to shut down such a crucial public debate concerning us and our way of life on the pretext that the overwhelming scientific consensus is there and that we have to act now. This is not true. Being free to raise questions and oppose fashionable politically and ?lobbystically? promoted ideas forms an important and irreplaceable part of our democratic society. Not being allowed to do so would be a proof that we have already moved to the ?brave new world? of a postdemocratic order. (I am tempted to say that we are already very close to it).
Hoping to contribute to these significant societal needs, Cunderlik and Ouarda evaluated trends in the timing and magnitude of seasonal maximum flood events across Canada, based on pertinent data obtained from 162 stations of the Reference Hydrometric Basin Network established by Environment Canada over the 30-year period 1974 to 2003. What was learned
Of course heat records have been recorded in various regions of the world over the last 10 12 years. Yet temperatures during this period have neither risen in Germanynor globally; rather they have fallen slightly. Moreover, a number of cold records have occurred. In your press release you completely ignore these cold records and avoid mentioning them. What follows is a chart of Germanys temperature over the last 15 years:
Dr Baliunas, Staff Astrophysicist at the Harvard Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, lays out a great read of propaganda and the CAGW crowd.
up (Fig 5) presumably that could explain why the expected amplification of the
It supports the contention that the level of activity on the Sun will significantly diminish sometime in the next decade and remain low for about 20 30 years. On each occasion that the Sun has done this in the past the Worlds mean temperature has dropped by ~ 1 2 C.
It is evident that such siting problems do in fact cause changes in absolute temperatures, and may also contribute to new record temperatures. The critically important question is: how do these siting problems affect the trend in temperature?
Americans have had it. Polls show that they now consider health care one of the biggest domestic issues, usually second only to the overall strength of the economy. Even a majority of physicians, who during the 1940s stood as the strongest opposition to President Truman s plans for national health insurance, support government-run health care.
Some conservatives spend their time criticizing the way Darwin is taught in schools. This is pointless and probably counterproductive. These same efforts should be spent on making sure that the schools only teach those aspects of environmentalism that pass rigorous scientific testing. By making the point that Greenism is a religion, perhaps we environmental skeptics can enlist the First Amendment on our side.
Perhaps that explains why so many DC insiders are outraged (and maybe quaking in their boots) over the prospect that an unpredictable Washington outsider might become the next US sheriff.
"Today, an unpaid contributor to the Huffington Post filed a $105 million suit against the website; its new owner, AOL; and co-founders Arianna Huffington and Kenneth Lerer. The class action suit, filed by writer and union organizer Jonathan Tasini on behalf of all unpaid HuffPo contributors, proves that we're becoming a nation of Winklevosses who file legal motion after legal motion every time a pot of money is spotted."