Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But consider the alarmism in Houghtons comment about why we need to deal with climate change.
the mixtures of birds that lived together were different from anywhere in the world today. Birds exotic to Britain, such as species normally expected in the tundra to the north (like skuas, and hawk owls), the Mediterranean to the South (like alpine swifts) or the Eastern steppes (like demoiselle cranes and long-legged buzzards) lived together with birds expected in the region today (such as grey herons and wood pigeons).
Jumping back and forth from dramatic claims to scientific fact, Climate Hustle helps thinking people see past the fear mongering of the current climate change narrative and examine the global warming evidence for themselves.
By Dave Rutledge, Climate Etc. Aug 10, 2015
In the end, Briffa and other members of the band overcame their doubts and settled on their dogma. With the help of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the highest climate change authority of all, they published what became the icon of their movement the hockey stick graph. This icon showed temperatures in the last 1,000 years to have been stable no Medieval Warm Period, not even the Little Ice Age of a few centuries ago.
This raises some interesting questions: Why would anyone go to the trouble of creating an artificial persona, only to engage in correspondence under the pretence of being a real person?
The union's clout can be assessed by several measures: the sheer size of its membership, its spending on campaigns and lobbying, and the depth and breadth of its connections with New York's ruling elite. With well over 300,000 members in Massachusetts, Maryland, Florida, Washington, D.C., and New York (where over half of that total resides), 1199SEIU is the largest union local in the nation, and possibly the world. (The union's current name stems from 1199's merger with the Service Employees International Union, or SEIU, in 1998. For brevity's sake, we will refer to that entity as "1199" throughout this article, except when referring to the national SEIU.)
A paper published today in the journal Geophysical Research Letters finds that decrease in sea ice leads to an increase in cloudiness in the Arctic. Clouds increase the reflection of sunlight (albedo) thereby cooling the Earth and acting as a strong negative feedback to global warming. Although diminshed sea ice decreases albedo, the resulting increase in cloudiness may act as a natural homeostatic mechanism to stabilize Arctic temperatures.
place quickly and chose wisely for the top spot.
Meanwhile, China's emissions jumped by 123% over the past decade and now exceed those of the U.S. by more than two billion tons per year. Africa's carbon-dioxide emissions jumped by 30%, Asia's by 44%, and the Middle East's by a whopping 57%. Put another way, over the past decade, U.S. carbon dioxide emissions "about 6.1 billion tons per year "could have gone to zero and yet global emissions still would have gone up.
Remember, too, that Garnaut's recommendation is that the tax rate should be increased at 4 per cent a year, which would result in a cost doubling in less than 20 years.
CU satellite sea level data for San Francisco also shows no rise in sea level.
The proposed act included a $7 billion annual "linked fee" added to gasoline prices to "improve U.S. transportation inefficiency." The plan was to have producers and importers of gasoline and jet fuel purchase non-tradable carbon allowances paid according to a fixed price established by trading auction rates. While the language of the bill wasn't actually referred to as a linked fee or tax, you probably wouldn't recognize any difference when paying the added cost at the gas pump.
The consumer impact of America's massive land and petroleum resource lockdowns is much higher.
That is because proposition 2 is far from settled. The notion that a long-term stable system can be dominated by very high positive feedbacks offends the intuition of many natural scientists, who know that most natural processes (short of nuclear fission) are dominated by negative feedbacks. Sure, there are positive feedbacks in climate, just as there are negative feedbacks. The key is how these net out. The direct evidence that the Earths climate is dominated by strong net positive feedbacks is at best equivocal, and in fact evidence is growing that negative feedbacks may dominate, thus greatly reducing expected future warming from greenhouse gasses.
And as Jonathan was alluding to, researchers do sometimes disagree. And that's confusing sometimes for the public because scientists are just to supposed to work with the facts, right. We just deal with facts. Unfortunately, it's the interpretation of those facts that we tend to disagree on. And I thought it might be useful to point out that in areas of science that are controversial that there are other things which influence a scientist's judgment. And I listed some of them that I have personally seen from other scientists including myself -- okay, I'm not saying I'm immune to these influences.
When we look at the temperature rise over the 130 years we have physically measured, being not sophisticated enough as a species to measure and record temperature accurately only 130 FN YEARS AGO!!!! (sorry lost my temper again). We see a total maximum peak min to max of 1C. Realistically, what does this mean in comparison with the huge spikes we see in the ice core record, and the fact that only 3000 years ago, people were living in animal skins where now we only have glaciers!!
Inadequacies of modeling the Hadley Cell, a major mechanism in producing global weather and climate, are enough to invalidate the models and cause the failed predictions. The IPCC claim that, Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic GHG concentrations. In IPCC jargon Very likely means more than 90 percent certain, but inadequate modeling of the Hadley Cell alone makes that a false claim.
But in the following comment Ian Castles argues that most experts would consider the IPCCs more alarming predictions to be exaggerated, and that the Panel has failed to consider possibilities that would result in much slower growth in carbon dioxide concentrations.
Sure enough, his latest characteristically malevolent hatchet-job is entitled Roy Spencers Catholic Online Climate Myths . It appears next to a sidebar headed Most-Used Climate Myths. You will also find plenty of other alleged Myths at Cook The Books website, including Monckton Myths.
The classification of oil from fracking as unconventional oil shows clearly the ludicrous nature of the dividing line when we are discussing peak oil. Regarding the putative peak, why is oil from a horizontal well unconventional and oil from a vertical well conventional? It is all gotten by technology, and none of it is any more unconventional than the drilling of the first oil well, a most unconventional act ...
It appears that Katharine Hayhoe still does not get it. When the Director of the Texas Techs Climate Science Centre was interviewed on local TV , she had this to say:
* This survey, like the previous one, provides us with a fascinating ANATOMY OF A SCIENTIFIC DELUSION. When asked, majorities of climate scientists say they do not believe the scientific claims that underlie the theory and predictions of catastrophic anthropogenic climate change, yet large majorities of those same scientists say they nevertheless believe in the theory and its predictions. This cognitive dissonance is, I believe, what gives rise to and sustains popular mass delusions.
4. "Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make," Paul Ehrlich confidently declared in the April 1970 Mademoiselle. "The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years."
due to the reasons I elaborate upon on the attached 3-page letter which is an attachment to this document, I urge you deprive me of the badges of honor from the military operations of the Army of the Czech Republic performed under the NATO umbrella.
"All the carbon emissions reductions throughout the world are effectively canceled out by China's increase."
The resource is called the science br be used sparingly. Society br ensure that scientifically proven knowledge is used to inform decision making. Decisions br be the result of a careful vgning of options and social values as.
"The presently available palaeotemperature proxy data records do not support the assumption that late 20th century temperatures exceeded those of the MWP in most regions.....Previous conclusions (e.g., IPCC, 2007) in the opposite direction have either been based on too few proxy records or been based on instrumental temperatures spliced to the proxy reconstructions. It is also clear that temperature changes, on centennial time-scales, occurred rather coherently in all the investigated regions Scandinavia, Siberia, Greenland, Central Europe, China, and North America.....Assumptions that, in particular, the MWP was restricted to the North Atlantic region can be rejected."
The issue here is not where you stand on any one of these particular issues, but who gets to decide them: us, or the rest of the world "voting" in our decision making. This is the core issue of American sovereignty and the threat to it represented by the Obama worldview.
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The Arctic ice cap grows each winter as the sun sets for several months and shrinks each summer as the sun rises higher in the northern sky. Each year the Arctic sea ice reaches its annual minimum extent in September. It hit a new record low in 2012. This summers low ice extent continued the downward trend seen over the last thirty-four years. Scientists attribute this trend in large part to warming temperatures caused by climate change. Since 1979, September Arctic sea ice extent has declined by 13.7 percent per decade. Summer sea ice extent is important because, among other things, it reflects sunlight, keeping the Arctic region cool and moderating global climate.
9. James Gustave Speth, Red Sky at Morning (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2004), 7.
Sunspot history suggests recent climate change not due to solar trends
After Obama spent the day yesterday bragging about how he won, I got this E-mail from the White House titled No Winners :
The absurd hand-wringing and washed-out arguments relating to water shortage are challenged by a new film produced by WORLDwrite . Here is a trailer from the film, which puts the mealy-mouthed effluent from the panic-mongering misanthropists into context.
climates, especially at regional scales. We conclude by discussing the value of
> >> >- the 2nd sentence is ambiguous; rainfall varies by +-40% You I
The uncertainty in the science makes it difficult for policy-makers to see how much investment is justified, and what kind, says van Scheltinga. Were only beginning to understand how the delta works but we know enough to do a bit better, says Goodbred.
Plant modifications that resolve production bottlenecks and allow for higher rates of utilization of other plant components or units are discouraged when NSR is interpreted to include the extended or aggregate effects of each modification, even when the intended modification reduces emissions, improves plant safety, or improves energy and resource efficiency. Two examples of this effect are:
The most meaningful lesson from the unusually cold and snowy recent winters is that global warming is so minor as to be barely noticeable. When temperatures rise merely a fraction of one degree, the polar ice caps wont melt, the oceanic conveyor belt will not shut down, alligators will not take up residence in Montana, cats will not start living with dogs , and winters will not suddenly disappear. We will still have very cold and snowy winters. We will still have hot summers. Your grandfather will still claim that to make it to school each day he walked barefoot through the snow, uphill each way .
He's not arguing that climate science is a waste of time; rather, he sees value in studying the climate so we can better adapt to change whether it's toward warmer or colder climate conditions;
The tornado count excluding EF-0 was 412 last year, making it the 12th lowest year since 1970. (Although tornado records go back to 1950, many tornado experts, such as McCarthy & Schaeffer, regard the data prior to 1970 as unreliable).
statement. Since that day I have tried to include it whenever I can.
So, about as far as I'm willing to go in predicting the future is to trust in Newton's observation that objects in motion tend to remain in motion, and so, I'd guess we can expect similar changes for the next decade as we saw for this last one, which would be about 3 tenths of a degree Fahrenheit. Now, if that were to hold all the way through 2100, we'd see another 3 degrees Fahrenheit added to the global averageprobably not a global catastrophe, but regionally, probably enough to cause serious problems.
The original Czech version of the book: Modr, nikoli zelen planeta. Co je ohro?eno: klima nebo svoboda?, Doko?n, Prague, 2007. The English version: Blue Planet in Green Shackles. What is Endangered: Climate or Freedom? Competitive Enterprise Institute, Washington D.C., 2008. The book has until now been published in 16 countries in 16 different languages. Last year, I put together an additional collection of my texts devoted to this subject Blue Planet Endangered, Doko?n, Prague, 2009 (in Czech language).
Add to that the fact that more than 2/3rds of the worlds stations (most rural) have dropped out and or are often missing monthly data, 69% of the first nearly 600 US stations evaluated by Anthony Watts surface stations.org are poor or very poorly sited with only 4% meeting official standards and no changes were made for the known biases of new instrumentation.
Figure 2 High Resolution Bathymetry of Southern Lake Michigan (GLRP)
Before they mature and can fly locusts proceed through various stages and can be attacked most easily when they are "hoppers' the stage before flight. Once locusts mature and can swarm, only crop-duster-style spraying of massive amounts of insecticide can stop them, which is expensive too much for these poor nations. Chad and Algeria have been hit by swarms and all their domestic politicians could fund, with the help of the UN Food and Agricultural Organisation, was occasional aeroplane spraying. But Cape Verde, Senegal, Mauritania, Libya and Niger have all had massive hopper presence and could have significantly reduced the future swarms, but they couldn't afford to do very much.
Expand free trade for energy sources. Owners of energy resources should be allowed to seek the best options for selling their products and assets. In a similar vein, consumers should be free to choose the supplier that offers the best combination of price, quality, and convenience. Freedom to trade is one of the great strengths of the American economy. The federal government should treat energy sources like all other goods that companies trade regularly, and lift restrictions on energy exports and imports.
The five researchers report that (1) "the simulated relationship between changed annual rainfall amounts and the number of rain days or their intensity varies strongly from one model to another," that (2) "the climate models' simulations do not show any consensus in the trends of the annual rainfall amount over the West African Sahel during the 21st century, even when they are run under the same climate change scenario at a high spatial resolution," and that (3) "some changes do not correspond to what is observed for the rainfall variability over the last 50 years." What it means
The authors write that the response of low-level clouds has long been identified as "a key source of uncertainty for model cloud feedbacks under climate change," citing the work of Bony and Dufresne (2005), Webb et al . (2006), Wyant et al . (2006) and Medeiros et al . (2008). And they state that "the ability of climate models to simulate low-clouds and their radiative properties" plays a huge role in assessing "our confidence in climate projections."
This is not borne out by the known major aberrant events, however. They show that the Earth system is quite tolerant to large swings in atmospheric CO 2 concentrations. Furthermore, even when perturbed by sizable injections of greenhouse gases, be it CO 2 or the more potent CH 4 , the climate recovers fairly rapidly (at least in geological terms). History also indicates that equatorial temperatures do not rise significantly when the globe warms, rather the majority of the warming is seen at higher latitudes and the poles. This makes senselife has gotten on marvelously with much higher temperatures than today and no ice sheets at the poles.
Climate guru puts "global warming' on ice
El Nio events, using NINO3.4 sea surface temperatures (not anomalies) are in phase with the seasonal cycle in the eastern tropical Pacific, the cold tongue region, for the evolution and secondary decay portions of the events. The seasonal peak and decay of the El Nio are in phase with the late year cycle in the western equatorial Pacific. La Nia events appear to simply exaggerate the normal seasonal cycle in the eastern tropical Pacific.
Heres a short editorial by Dr. Pat Michaels, former Virginia State Climatologist:
Oh, and whom do we have to thank for funding this study? The postscript tells us it was supported by NASA through contract 1206715 administered by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory. What is NASA doing funding a study into the benefits of reducing the population? Who knows?
Although the architects of the Paris Treaty expect much of the climate finance to come from private funds, little of that would be raised without substantial seed money from "public coffers." There is virtually no chance President Trump would ask Congress to shell out tens of billions to the Green Climate Fund.
But Dr. Jones went even further recently. He said in The Independent newspaper that the changes in 2003 could not be accounted for by natural climate variability, and can be attributed to global warming caused by human actions. "The temperatures recorded in Europe were out of all proportion to the previous record," he said. To make such an unequivocal statement is not only unscientific, but smacks of desperation. The Kyoto Protocol is floundering without Russian support, and with growing European business resentment of the cost of compliance, the climate alarmists are in danger of losing the battle. It is therefore not surprising that they are resorting to such extremism. We are approaching the end game for this Protocol and with it, hopefully, the end of policy driven by climate alarmism.
There's a rumour circulating in Washington that President Bush will use his State of the Union address next month to announce a new initiative on global climate change.
Internationally, no third party institutions exist to enforce agreements, and nations differ widely in their interest in restricting GHG emissions. Therefore, high transaction costs will attend efforts to reach and maintain broad GHG controls. So far, those transaction costs have blocked agreement, and there seems little reason to expect that these constraints will soon vanish.
As one underlying theme of the sessions, the top U.N. bosses seemed to be grappling often with how to cope with the pesky issue of national sovereignty, which according to the position papers, anyway continued to thwart many of their most ambitious schemes, especially when it comes to many different kinds of "global governance."
5) UK Government Begins To Shift Freeze Blame Onto Science Community BBC News, 19 December 2010
Today's Rimland is a 400-mile wide amphibious area. In contrast to 1904, the Heartland today is an empty shell, and not just because of Russia's demographic decline. In China, the population is deserting the Heartland and moving to the coast. Worldwide, today's Rimland is both leaner and meaner than a century ago; no longer the "buffer zone of conflict" described by Mackinder or Spykman, this overpopulated Rimland, with 4 billion people living within 200-mile wide coastlands, is the "epicenter of all conflicts."
Now that sound will only be a folk memory. As space shuttle Atlantis touches down for the last time, it closes out an era that began with John Kennedy's dedicating America to going to the moon and stretched through Alan Shepherd, John Glenn and Neil Armstrong to Christa McAuliffe and Mark Kelly.
In other words, the craze for "renewables" is driven by religious zeal, not science or economics. Capturing, converting and transmitting energy from any source requires an infrastructure which involves construction, maintenance and eventual replacement, all of which require land disturbance, raw materials extraction and processing, energy and investment. There is no pure fountain from which to drink only limited options, each with its own upsides and downsides.
Judge OKs extra releases for Reagan shooter, Hinckley:
The heaviest snow yesterday hit northeastern Asia, which is suffering its worst winter weather for 60 years. More than 25 centimetres (10in) of snow covered Seoul, the South Korean capital the heaviest fall since records began in 1937.
There are emerging bipartisan coalitions on prison and NSA reforms
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of the Center for Investors and Entrepreneurs John Berlau on how this reform will help struggling markets:
The six Co-chairs of the three IPCC Working Groups and the IPCC Chair or his nominee, serving as a Science Board, would set the priorities for the selection of scholars and would make the final selection of scholars. This Science Board will be aware of the current science landscape, of the Gaps bothering the science and the national capacity, and have a developed / Developing country balance.
In my hypothetical production forecast, I projected Green River oil shale production to reach 15 million BOPD by 2096. Am I being overly optimistic in projecting more than 15 million barrels per day (BOPD) of production from oil shales by 2100? Shell estimates that they could be producing 500,000 barrels per day from the Picenance Basin with a very small footprint using an in situ recovery process (5):
There are no discernible trends in rainfall patterns. The average UK precipitation for 2002-11 is 1150mm p.a., and compares to the long term 1971-2000 average of 1126mm. There has been little change either in seasonal or geographical distribution.
4. Chart of the Day IV Police Officer Deaths by Gunfire (above). According to data from the Officer Down Memorial Page (ODMP) there were 31 US police officers killed by gunfire in the line of duty last year (this figure of 31 officers excludes the 4 K9 deaths and 4 Puerto Rican officers reported on the ODMP website). Except for 2013 when 26 US police officers were killed by gunfire (again excluding 4 K9 deaths and one officer in Puerto Rico), that makes 2015 the safest year for US police since 1887, and that's not adjusted for the increasing size of the US population. After adjusting for the US population, 2013 was the safest year in US history for America's law enforcement officers, followed by 2015 as the second safest year in US history. On the other hand, US police killed 1,200 citizens last year according to this source.
The possibility is based on the idea that global warming will cause a freshening of the waters in the North Atlantic, so causing the Gulf Stream to weaken or even shut down. This would mean warmer waters would not be present in the North Atlantic, causing a drastic lowering of temperatures in the areas that rely on the Gulf Stream to maintain a temperate climate (temperate Great Britain is on the same latitudes as inhospitable Labrador in Canada).