Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
However wind turbines DO change the local weather. Wind is a major component of weather. Wind brings moisture to the inland, clears pollution from the cities and changes air temperatures everywhere. Wind towers rob the wind of its energy, affecting local wind speeds and changing local weather patterns.
But the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies of the East Pacific Ocean (90S-90N, 180-80W) have not risen in 30 years. Refer to Figure 18.
The goal of the homogenization effort is to avoid any impact (warmingor cooling) of the changing environment that some stations experiencedby changing the long term trend of any non-rural station to match thelong term trend of their rural neighbors, while retaining the short termmonthly and annual variations.
by Judith Curry. Posted on April 7, 2011
Total nationwide will be in the range of 1.44 million jobs lost.
The turkey thought it was special and would always be looked after.
The third fact is that also the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere fluctuates in time, sometimes precedes, sometimes follows the temperature increase, and that ? with all the problems of not fully compatible time series ? in the last two centuries we witness a mostly anthropogenically enhanced amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. Its concentration increased from 284.7 ppmv in the year 1850 to 310.7 in the year 1950, and to 387.3 in 2009.
out of the blocks but recover to get a fast time or even a world record over the
Washington, DC, September 20, 2005Will Congress finally make the right decision this fall and open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil exploration? The Competitive Enterprise Institute supports the opening of ANWR to increase domestic oil production and help ensure that Americans continue to have abundant supplies of energy.
My clothes are twisted. Neither one of us are much to look at.
Only yesterday, the EPA issued new proposals declaring that carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from airliners threaten public health as they contribute to global warming. Indeed, only 2% of all man-made carbon dioxide emissions come from the aviation sector. Interestingly, this comes on the heels of the recent news that there has been no statistical warming for nearly 19 years based on satellite temperature measurements. Both the military and small aircraft would be exempt from these new proposals.
"They've just announced an increase in carbon emissions which is the same scale as the entire carbon emissions of the United Kingdom," said British energy and climate change secretary Chris Huhne last week.
6 Jan 2012 Australian Antarctic Division director Tony Fleming said there had been ... So they waste money on melting air strips, torpedeos that dont work, ...
The Administration only takes into account the costs to energy markets (direct costs). Other studies take into account the effects of higher energy costs on other markets (indirect costs) which lead to estimates two to four times greater than direct costs alone.
Jeremy Grantham is the wildly successful investor who writes entertaining quarterly letters to his fellow "die-hard contrarians." Grantham struck it rich investing against herd mentality and his missives usually sparkle with insights. I've been a fan for a long time. But there is one issue on which Grantham has jettisoned his contrarian impulses: global warming. He has joined the fashionable crowd of alarmists and doom-and-gloomers.
Obama is careful to make his statements "true" by insinuating links that do not exist and making emotional claims that do not justify his policies. "Climate change is just one more example of how the environment will cause health problems," he says. "You can't cordon yourself off from air or climate." His surgeon general, Vivek Murthy, cautions: "Asthma can be very difficult for patients...The impacts of climate change could make the situation worse."
Please pass this information on to other open-minded, science-oriented people. If you know anyone who would like to get AWED emailings periodically, please email me.
They say the feedbacks, measured in Watts per square meter of the Earth per Celsius degree of direct warming, add up to 2. So the equation tells them to multiply by 3. Just 1 Celsius degree of warming from doubling CO2 in the air suddenly, wrongly, becomes 3 degrees. A non-event becomes a crisis.
Gov will spend 400k pounds to destroy ID card data:
There is no need for major audits, amassed records, or an invasion of privacy. Plus its virtually impossible to cheat. In many ways the GPS solution would be worse for the environment. It would let a poorly maintained car get away with increased emissions without an extra penalty because they would be charged for the average emissions for that car model. Likewise there wouldnt be as much incentive to pump up your tyres and tune that motor, because if your car was better than average, you dont save much money, even though you save emissions. Its too bizarre for words. Yet apparently other state departments (like Oregon) have considered the same thing.
Finally, we compare our new composite to one of the solar variability datasets not considered by the CMIP5 climate models, i.e., Scafetta and Willson, 2014s update to the Hoyt and Schatten, 1993 dataset. A strong correlation is found between these two datasets, implying that solar variability has been the dominant influence on Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since at least 1881. We discuss the significance of this apparent correlation, and its implications for previous studies which have instead suggested that increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide has been the dominant influence.
Senior Statistician and Research Programmer, The Heritage Foundation
Early this morning, when I skimmed through the night's news, dk i p this little prla from the BBC. In this short article, we read that scientists now come to the conclusion that global uppvrmningens effect is irreversible and that temperatures will frbli HGA at least a thousand years to, even if we manage to strangle utslppen of CO2. The study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
There is one more technical detail about the graphs above that you should notice. The observed temperatures differ from a structureless linear increasing function in one most visible way, namely by the cooling period after 1940 or so. In order to describe this feature of the graph, the anthropocentric believers attribute the cooling to aerosols. However, these aerosols only cool the land because they don't spread globally. Indeed, you can see that the middle graph - global land - has a rather good agreement between the black line and the pink strip. However, if you look at the right graph, you see that the cooling after 1940 affected oceans, too - and the pink strip is clearly unable to reproduce the peak around 1940.
Yes, this pact is an alternative, as its critics bemoan, but not to Kyoto itself, a five-year agreement that nothing could drag Europe into abandoning, although it isn't even complying. Also, contrary to green propaganda, having both Kyoto signatories and nonparticipants sign a new agreement is a symptom, not a determinant, of Kyoto's failure.
I can see why Gore is bitter. His comparatively modest investments in green energy promised to make him a global warming billionaire if cap-and-trade were enacted. Unluckily for him, the American people have said no emphatically.
Update: Looking back to December blogs (I recall noticing this at the time, but was otherwise occupied here), it seems that the story of IPCC problems was first raised on Dec 1, 2009 in a guest post at Pielke Sr here , crediting Graham Cogley for spotting the problem.
There is no evidence that the current gentle warm era is unusual or harmful. There have been warmer periods in the past and all have seen a profusion of animal and plant life.
The Obama administrations proposed rule to cap carbon emissions from new power plants is just another line of attack to make certain energy sources sources like coal and fossil fuels so expensive that the producers themselves go bankrupt, said Marino.
If, against all odds, the European public has a more positive image of the UN than of NATO, it is for a simple reason: When it comes to strategic communication, today's NATO is your grandfather's NATO. Meanwhile, over the years, the UN has turned itself into a slick, global propaganda machine.
>> would like to cite your note for the World Bank on climate variability and
To take the other university at the center of the Climategate controversy, the University of East Anglia?s investigation was also something of a dodge, but they at least understood the question of ?conflict of interest?. So they asked an outsider, Lord Oxburgh, to chair the investigation, and he in turn presided over an all-outsider panel from Cambridge, London, Zurich and MIT. Penn State, under its corrupt president (now under criminal indictment), appointed a colleague of Dr Mann?s to investigate Dr Mann. And it all worked out swimmingly.
from Iraq, and instead "taking the fight to the terrorists in Afghanistan and Pakistan." But the candidate followed his own counterterror logic even farther than the
Levels of CO2 far beyond what we will ever be able to achieve in the ambient atmosphere are highly beneficial for plant growth, which is why most commercial greenhouses use CO2 generators to keep CO2 at 3x to 4x ambient levels, at significant expense. They spend the money to keep CO2 levels high because that dramatically improves productivity.
When we include discouraged workers who have given up looking for jobs, and people who have been forced to work fewer hours or at temporary jobs, our unemployment rate is a whopping 19 percent and double that for black and Hispanic young people. America's labor force participation rate is at a 30-year low. Our nation's 2011 economic growth rate was a dismal 1.7 percent.
So even if being a "climate change denier" were a crime (rather than constitutionally protected speech, as it in fact is), a donation to a nonprofit that employs such a person would not be a crime.
Stabilized CCSM3.5 simulations are then performed, which show that once the climate has equilibrated, the ENSO response to a CO2 increase eventually does become significant . However, the details of that response are sensitive to small changes in model physics: the ENSOclimate sensitivity in the CCSM3.5 and CCSM4 oppose one another , and the mechanisms for the difference are as yet unclear. Seasonal forcing, high-frequency wind stress variability, or other processes may be responsible, but a complete diagnosis requires longer CCSM4 simulations than are currently available.
"Google is investing $168 million in an alternative power project that aims to produce enough solar energy to light 140,000 homes."
The UAH satellite-based global temperature dataset has reached 1/3 of a century in length
The union's strength has grown in direct proportion to the importance of health care to New York City's economy. Between the mid-1960s and 2000, the period when 1199 began asserting its dominance, New York City gained 69,000 hospital jobs, a stunning 80 percent increase. During this same period, growth in government jobs was comparatively modest (22 percent) and manufacturing employment, the traditional mainstay of both the city economy and union strength, declined by 70 percent. At present, six of New York City's top ten private-sector employers are health-care providers. When it was first organized, Montefiore had 900 employees. Now it has more than 20,000.
Polar bears ( Ursus maritimus ) have become a symbol of global warming, and their predicted decline a sign of worst to come, but until very recently population estimates were really just educated guesses. Current polar bear numbers are estimated to total between 20,000 and 25,000.
The coalition includes Green pressure groups such as Greenpeace, Public Citizen, Friends of the Earth and the National Environment Trust, and renewable energy industry groups such as Bio Fuels America, the Solar Energy Industries Association, and several state solar energy associations.
Those are curious statements. Trenberth has never taken the time to explain that we would NOT expect the surface temperatures to go back down again. So his ???never go back to that previous level again?? seems to be a clear case of misdirection.
But as Mr. altogether INFR Copenhagen Is it vl hardly surprising that the emergence of new undergngsscenarier.
Well, now the NEA might be getting really nervous. Something like this might cause parents to do something rash, like demand that low-performing teachers get fired. Gasp.
Batsmanship comes naturally to Dr Pachauri, who can be compared to the very best as a natural striker of the ball.
The seven Swiss scientists derived "a total and spectral solar irradiance that was substantially lower during the Maunder minimum than the one observed today," which difference between then and now they describe as being "remarkably larger than other estimations published in the recent literature." In addition, they say that "the magnitude of the solar UV variability, which indirectly affects the climate, is also found to exceed previous estimates."
I predict that there will be cold, snow and storms this winter, with lots of climate destroying Christmas lights.
Limit International Agreements to Areas Where Agreement Exists
If allowed to stand, Kavanaugh cautions, the tailoring rule could set a mischievous precedent:
If I had done what Schmidt described, then I would agree that his complaint would be justified. But as Lucia observed, Schmidt saying something is so doesnt make it so. I did not directly refer to or mention his May 11 criticism of my May 6 emulation of the regional chronology. If Schmidt had directly quoted my words, this would have been evident to RC readers. Nonetheless, in order to avoid any misunderstanding on this point, I added a clarifying sentence to the text of the post itself on July 2 as follows:
World Resources Institute has a post Adapting to Climate Change in Bangladesh . Excerpts:
Caption: This is Professor Chris Turney in the field in Svalbard. Credit: University of Exeter
How the Global Warming Scare Began : John Coleman video
The court then gave Beckstead & Watts "declaratory relief" on the merits, though it did not go so far as to invalidate the PCAOB's appointments, as critics of Sarbanes-Oxley would have liked. The decision to grant this firm even a small amount of relief, however, was 5 to 4. This suggests that the outcome of the Kagan nomination could be the action of the greatest consequence for small business that the Senate faces before the August recess.
As Joel documents, in press release after press release, NRDC enthusiastically applauds various new EPA rules that will dramatically reduce smog-forming emissions from automobiles, diesel trucks, off-road diesel engines, diesel fuel, and power plants.
Maybe the IPCC might cotton on to the additional reality that our current very weak solar cycle 24 is not exactly portending warmer times.
Dr. Christy attached to his testimony an extract of testimony he delivered previously to the U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, & Transportation, Subcommittee on Space, Science and Competitiveness, on December 8, 2015. That extract ends with the following summary:
The other paper by MM is just garbage ??? as you knew. De Freitas again. Pielke is also losing all credibility as well by replying to the mad Finn as well ??? frequently as I see it. I can??t see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report. Kevin and I will keep them out somehow ??? even if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is !
Although it seems a strange thing to celebrate, theTitanicFestival in Belfast, where the ship was built, will very soon mark the 100th anniversary of the liners foundering on 15 April 1912 after hitting a south-wandering iceberg, with the loss of a multitude of passengers and crew.
The UKs House of Commons Science and Technology Committee has issued its report into the so-called Climategate scandal. As might be expected, its pretty much a whitewash. Only one MP dissented from its conclusions. There seem to me to be some serious errors and omissions in the reports, but Im not the only one:
As for our natural gas, it will become a geopolitical tool only if substantial political barriers-some created by the Obama administration, some by powerful interests with a stake in keeping gas prices low by restricting its export-can be hurdled.
Andrew Logan of Ceres, a Boston-based environmental group, sees two possible scenarios: "One is that all the scientists in the world are wrong, in which case there's no climate change, in which case Exxon will do well." He then says: "But if the scientists are correct and we have to find a way to transform the way we use energy, then Exxon is going to lag significantly behind its competitors."
Farming is not something you do. It is something you are. The farmer has an intimate relationship with the land from which he earns his substance. Take away his right to farm his land, and you steal not only his earnings but also his very self.
Let us now make jmvikten between deep sea and ythav 10 times faster, a corresponding rate constant 0.002 p / r, and expands best to 1000 are:
To investigate how different climate impacts interact, an experiment was conducted at Kristineberg Marine Research Station.
Im not to going to say too much on this article from the Discovery channel, as frankly the levels of stupidity it displays are just jaw-dropping.
Hgsommar. Boats. Sea. And discussion on climate and energy policy
Their conclusion also means that the climate sensitivity i.e. the expected warming obtained from doubling of CO2 from 280 ppm (in 1800) to 560 ppm (in 2100) is actually smaller than the bare value of 1.2 ??C. It could be close to 0.5 ??C which would mean that no additional warming from CO2 is expected by 2100.
IPCC reports have predicted that average world temperatures will increase dramatically, leading to the spread of tropical diseases, severe drought, the rapid melting of the world's glaciers and ice caps, and rising sea levels. Congress is considering proposals to slow rising temperatures by joining international agreements or by implementing policies to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
On the way out, I asked Professor Sugden whether there had ever been a climate-skeptical speaker at a Royal Society event. He said there had been several interjections by skeptics over the years. I pressed him, asking whether the Society had ever invited a skeptic to speak from the podium. No, he said.
So rest assured. When we someday look back at today's global warming hysteria the way we now look back at the long-debunked Malthusian terrors of yore, there will be no shortage of fresh doomsayers advising the powers-that-be of humanity's impending doom, which can only be staved off by stamping out the fire of innovation and problem-solving spirit that brought us the device on which you're reading this. Let's hope there are still enough rational optimists out there to resist.
which is just #3 x #4. I am in no way arguing that we should abandon formal statistics which produces quantifications like equation #3. But I am saying that since, as we already know, exactly quantifying #4 is nearly impossible, we will be too confident of any decisions we make if we, as is common, substitute probability #3 for #5 because, not matter what, the probability of #3 and #4 both is always less than the probability of #3.
Steig says that surface temperatures are reliable, yet GISS has massively altered them over the past decade. In fact, GISShas nearly doubled reported 1880 to 2000 warming since their 2003 version. They have altered the data so much, they had to stretch the scale at both ends to fit their alterationson to the graph. This is not reliable data.
United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP) in 1995 predicted sea levels rises would result in 50 million climate refugees by the year 2010. No climate refugees by that year. Very large Error
Al Gore Proposes New Condition on Climate Change Forecasting Challenge
date: Mon Jul 19 14:06:25 1999
In fact, the defeat of this particular bill may say as much about Coburn's famous contempt for Senate proprieties and procedures as it does about the popularity of corn ethanol subsidies. Coburn is often styled "Dr. No" for his lone wolf stands on issues and personal friction with colleagues on both sides of the aisle probably cost this measure votes, particularly among the Democrats. Yet it is notable that the very conservative Coburn co-sponsored this bill with California's own Dianne Feinstein. And in a move that shows just how tortuous the Congressional politics of ethanol have become, Feinstein ultimately voted against her own Amendment, due to partisan issues related to Coburn's pushing for a vote without Majority Leader Harry Reid's blessing.
MOOSE: Whos a bully! He likes it. Dont ya, Spunky.
2. Unlike incandescents, CFLs take time to reach full brightness after they're turned on from 30 seconds to three minutes. The first time I used one, it was so dim I thought I'd bought a dud. Only when I walked back into the room later did I realize the need for patience. (And only then could I make out the small print on the back of the CFL package mentioning this.) If you're used to full brightness at the flick of a switch, forget it.
All news reports I read said the high temperature in Gravesend occurred in late afternoon on Sunday August 10th. The historical data available from the Met Office is rather slim. So if somebody knows where to find the exact time the high temperature was recorded, that would help solve this mystery.
7. Quote appeared in the Danish newspaper Iyllandposten, April 21, 2004; see Iain Murray, "Adolf Lomborg?" available at http://www.techcentralstation.com/051104C.html.
Cosmic Ray Flux and Neutron monitors suggest we may not have hit solar minimum yet
Xiao and Mechoso (2008) also discussed their third hypothesis, which is:
New theories on rainfall suggest that the models dont even have the basics right. We used to think that forests grow where the rain falls, but research now suggests that rain falls where forests grow.
Some stations in the American Midwest reported minimum temperatures at or above 90 F (32 C) such as 91 F (33 C) at Lincoln, Nebraska on July 25, 1936; the next and most recent time this is known to have happened is a handful of 90 F (32 C) minimums during a similar heat wave in late June 1988 but far less intense than that of 1936.
Global Warming Alarmist Science: Read How Actual Temperature Readings Are "Adjusted" - Fraud Potential Is Extremely High
We also include available trends from the major pollsters on how recent presidents have handled the issue in this document. Questions about President Barack Obama's handling of the environment are not asked regularly by most pollsters. The President's ratings on handling the environment have declined over the course of his presidency in most polls. In the latest poll from Gallup, taken in March 2016, 54 percent, down from 79 percent early in his presidency, said he was doing a good job handling the environment. Questions about George W. Bush's handling of the environment were also not asked as often as questions about his handling of foreign policy or the economy, but he tended to receive negative marks on the issue late in his presidency.
Regarding the impact of the IAC review of the IPCC: Pachauri lingers, the flagging rule has vanished, and real action on conflict-of-interest has been pushed well into the future. theres just one problem. While the IAC report said it should contain three independent voices, including people from outside the climate community, the IPCC thumbed its nose at that advice . . . instead gave four of its fulltime staff members seats at the table.
Trend That Is Not A Trend: Changes in Data Definition or Measurement Technology