Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Meanwhile, the McKinsey Global Initiative has come out with version 2 of its "we can save the world very cheaply" report, which is available if you register and give them your email address via the links here. The fiendish consultants have disabled the ability to cut their charts out, so you'll have to get a copy for yourself, but their Exhibit 1 shows that all the "affordable" options are to do with energy efficiency, not grand new green energy projects, which are much more expensive and require aggressive carbon pricing (and this needs to be born in mind as well). Furthermore, these are truly global initiatives - something has has to be done everywhere, around the world - as Exhibit 4 makes clear. Something we can do quite affordably may be a different kettle of fish heads for the developing world. If you can't afford an incandescent lightbulb, you can't afford an LED lamp, whatever the CO2 abatement potential is. I hope to provide a full response to the McKinsey paper soon.
Obviously, EPA's air quality standards and dire warnings about soot are totally out of whack with reality.
From Dave Mastio, deputy editorial page editor of the Washington Times :
What has been revealed, so far, is a not uncommon occurrence in contemporary science: an ?epistemic community? intervening in peer review and publication processed to further its own interests and beliefs. From my experience, this involves ensuring the continued funding of a research agenda that has become closely identified with a cause and has attracted much government support because of its policy relevance. In this case this involved considerable support for and collaboration with the IPCC and Hadley Centre.
Now I would like to take a moment to go into detail about why Utility MACT would be so devastating. Just to put this rule in perspective, even Democrat Representative John Dingell, author of the Clean Air Act amendments, said Utility MACT is "unparalleled in its size and scope" and it "presents a set of new regulations with possible wide-reaching impacts on the way our country generates and consumes electricity."
Behavior of World's Glaciers Fails to Prove Global Warming Theory
That is what I mean by fighting on marshy ground, by fighting on the same ground as the Warmists. No wonder they stand their ground it is as if the Skeptics are fundamentally in agreement with them, only differing in scale.
"Now that the House of Representatives has voted to repeal the health care law, Republicans say they're likely to move soon to another target a rewrite of the Clean Air Act so that it can't be used to fight climate change."
But the judge added a stinging rider: "It is an extremely disheartening and sad occasion that a person whose life and resources have been placed into rural property for the purposes of conducting a grazing and farming business has been required to resort to this action."
Marvel goes on to assert that the pause in warming can be explained by a massive increase in ocean heat content. Well, all right, I suppose this is a plausible theory. But it is also a very new oneand only one of 52 different theories offered to explain the hiatus.
Thus, much of the threat to our sovereignty comes not in traditional national security areas, but on policies heretofore considered entirely domestic in nature.
on Friday, August 20th, 2010 at 1:30 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
climate variation. As a result, Soon urges caution in concluding that human action has caused global warming.
The Climate Science Isnt Settled Written by Richard S. Lindzen
Behind the point-scoring lies an important political battle. Proposition 23 seeks to suspend AB 23, California's tough greenhouse-reduction law, until unemployment in the state drops below 5.5 per cent for four consecutive quarters, a figure that is virtually unobtainable. It was somewhat cynically financed by Tesoro and Valero, two oil companies based in Texas.
The transition, dubbed the Energiewende, has so far added more than 100 billion euros ($134 billion) to the power bills of households, shop owners and small factories as renewable energy met a record 25 percent of demand last year. RWE AG, the nations biggest power producer, last year reported its first loss since 1949 as utility margins are getting squeezed because laws give green power priority to the grids.
The Milwaukee Sentinel Google News Archive Search
Peterson last week told the Hill newspaper that he has lined up 45 members of the House Democratic Caucus to oppose the Waxman-Markey Clean Energy and Security Act, a major climate change mitigation bill that Speaker Nancy Pelosi wants to bring to the floor for a vote by July 4. If Peterson is not bluffing -- and he'd have to have the world's best poker face to pull that one off -- then he has the votes to kill the bill.
33 Corporate Environmental Enforcement Council, supra note 17, p. 22.
Strike five : During September when the minimum occurs, the Arctic receives almost no sunlight.
30 Gal Luft and Anne Korin, "Terrorism Goes to Sea," Foreign Affairs (November/December 2004); John Temple Swing, "What Future for the Oceans," Foreign Affairs (September/October 2003); Michael Greenberg, Maritime Terrorism: Risk and Liability, RAND, 2006; Michael Richardson, A Time-Bomb for Global Trade: Maritime-Related Terrorism in an Age of WMD, 2004; "Maritime Terrorism: A New Challenge for NATO," Energy Security (January 24, 2005); Daniel Yergin, "Ensuring Energy Security," Foreign Affairs (March/April 2006).
Maybe God has got a sense of humour? says Lyn. Climate change investigators stuck in ice in Antarctica in High Summer !! Then the Chinese ice-breaker rescuing them also gets stuck in ice !!?
aspects of observed regional climate change related to diurnal temperature range
Beevers data had similarly suggested higher temperatures were killing pika, but his analysis excluded data from nearby populations thriving at warmer and lower elevations just 93 miles away from 71% of Beevers extinct sites. At Lava Beds pika were flourishing at an average elevation 900 feet lower than the average elevation of three nearby extinct sites. Temperatures at Lava Beds also averaged an additional 3.6F higher, and precipitation was 24% less. But Beever analyzed those sites separately. Likewise Stewart was clearly more interested in a connection to global warming. In his introduction he speculated, climate change forces range contractions, species may effectively be pushed off the tops of mountains by warming climate . He also referenced Parmesans bad climate science connection for support. To create a link to global warming, Stewart needed to use average summer temperature as the other model variable.
Of equal importance here are the magnitudes of the actual trends of the surface and troposphere. The average global surface trend for 90 model simulations for 1979-2012 (Climate Model Intercomparison Project 5 or CMIP-5 used for IPCC AR5) is +0.232 C/decade. The average of the observations is +0.157 C/decade. Therefore models, on average, depict the last 34 years as warming about 1.5 times what actually occurred. Santer et al. 2012 (for 1979-2011 model output) noted that a subset of CMIP-5 models produce warming in LT that is 1.9 times observed, and for a deeper layer of the atmosphere (mid-troposphere, surface to about 18 km) the models warm the air 2.5 times that of observations. These are significant differences, implying the climate sensitivity of models is too high.
(Bonn) CFACT will hold a press conference at the UN conference on climate change at Hotel Maritim, Bonn, Wednesday, June 5th at 11:30 AM in room Haydn.
4:07 when the snow is snowing everywhere to us. It's time for the annual deja vu. It was snowing in Pilsen. Yesterday and today. The volume was negligible in front of my windows. But friends and family members in other parts of Pilsen (and especially elsewhere in Central Europe) reported intense snow. The temperature stays near 0 ??C, the freezing point.
Andrew J. Dowdy Tropical cyclone (TC) observations are used to examine changes in the TC climatology of the Australian region. The ability to investigate long-term changes in TC numbers improves when the ElNio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is considered. Removing variability in TC numbers associated with ENSO shows a significant decreasing trend in TC numbers at the 9398% confidence level. Additionally, there is some indication of a temporal change in the relationship between ENSO and TC numbers, with ENSO accounting for about 3550% of the variance in TC numbers during the first half of the study period, but only 10% during the second half.
As for the amount of deforestation in relation to total forest area, Thomas Lovejoy, then of the World Wildlife Fund, offered a low projection of 50% deforestation between 1980 and 2000 in Latin America and a high of 67%. The source for this was a set of satellite photos taken in 1978 and reported in the Washington Post to show that "as much as one-tenth of the Brazilian Amazon has been razed." But according to Fulbright scholar and ecologist Robert Buschbacher working in Brazil, the Landsat photos "concluded that 1.55 percent of the Brazilian portion of the Amazon has been deforested." "On the basis of this and other evidence, Buschbacher says, `Because of a relatively low percentage of forest clearing and the remarkable capacity of the forest to recover its structure the threat of turning the Amazon into a wasteland is exaggerated.'
Climate prediction not only has the problem of nonlinearity in dynamical systems, but also shares with the analysis of typical real complex systems the equally great trouble associated with the presence of a huge panoply of variables, subsystems, and possible feedbacks in play. I remember Rol Madden commenting, back in the 90s when I used to visit NCAR, that it would be a sheer accident if numerical experiments with GCMs were to give credible quantitative representations of the real climate, presumably including future effects of increasing GHG concentrations.
Differences in nomenclature notwithstanding, Codevilla's article is particularly useful in its lengthy descriptions of the two parties to the conflict, for they are more than just political movements and are in fact separate cultures. The culture of the progressive aristocracy is devoted to statism, whereas the productive class tends to hold classical liberal values.
to be a warm bias when the nighttime boundary layer has a reduction of long wave cooling at night.
Other scientists suspected Pounds correlations with climate change were simply due to a lack of statistical rigor. In a 2008 paper, Evaluating the links between climate, disease spread, and amphibian declines the researchers demonstrated just how easy it is to generate meaningless statistical correlations. In response to Pounds link to global warming they wrote, Numerous other variables, including regional banana and beer production, were better predictors of these extinctions . Almost all of our findings were opposite to the predictions of the chytrid-thermal-optimum hypothesis. 18
Maybe. If the Court overturns the Rule, several other EPA rules compelling States to include greenhouse gases in their permitting programs would become unenforceable or vulnerable to legal challenges. The decision might then create momentum for other litigation to roll back the EPA's takeover of State environmental programs.
James Annan, formerly a strong defender of Michael Manns infamously flawed alarmist hockey stick graph and an expert on climate sensitivity to CO 2 and other influences, recently concluded in his blog that IPCC is increasingly acting in a wholly unscientific manner. He referred to a list of scientists polled as largely constituting the self-same people responsible for the bogus analyses criticized over the years, and which even if they were valid then, are certainly outdated now.
The resulting energyused all across the economybecomes less expensive. Cheaper energy lowers the cost of doing business, making American companies more competitive and enabling them to invest and expand.
Every major climate organization endorsed the ice age scare, including NCAR, CRU, NAS, NASA as did the CIA.
Clean Power Plan vs. Reliability: A False Dilemma for States:
But today there is war and economic recession, oil prices have collapsed, and Ford and other companies closed their operations and left. Some 80% of the people again have no jobs. Their families are again impoverished and starving.
If thinking backward or forward a century seems a stretch for tech forecasting--it is a long time, although to repeat, this is the time-frame engaged by serious climate-related policy wonks--how about 50 years? Fewer years ago than even that, many of us of a certain boomer age were still using slide rules. A representative list of world and energy-changing inventions centered around 1960 would include the first video tape recorder, integrated circuit, laser, light emitting diode, the first communications satellite, and the ARPANET (mother of the Internet). Who forecast their impacts?
As well as pumping much as 600 million tonnes more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, the carbon credits scheme has been abused by countries like Russia and the Ukraine which have used them as a money making scam.
Carbon taxes are bad for the economy as economic analysis by both the Heritage Foundation and the U.S. Energy Information Administration have projected.
The authors bring up the concept of missing heat used in efforts to explain the failure of the globe to warm. Following a suggestion of Hans von Starch, they assert the heat was not missing, because it did not exist. They point out that the difference in surface temperatures from 1998 to 2012 northern Eurasia and from those in 1980 to 1997. The authors suggest that the strong decline in temperatures is the result of declining ultraviolet (UV) radiation from the sun, which can vary by 10%. UV radiation is unlike the full spectrum of solar radiation (mostly visible light) which varies little. See link under Science: Is the Sun Rising? and the study by Ermolli et al. that is linked therein.
The conclusion of Ms Bug and her journalistic collaborators is that the male students are sexist pigs who should be vaginized.
His reasoning is the fallacy known (for a couple of thousand years) as Argument from Authority. The single point that makes science different from a religion is that in science, opinions are always trumped by evidence. There are no high Priests. Manne thinks evidence means studies of the consensus of how many scientists vote Yes. The entire philosophy of science is that evidence comes from things like thermometers, satellites and weather-balloons, not from internet surveys.
Yet he fails to admit that the reports for instance, an often-quoted report from 1922 about the unprecedented Arctic warming and loss of sea ice observed by meteorologists support what Roy Spencer says and are inconsistent with the largely speculative results in the various papers suggesting sea ice extent scarcely changed until it began to decline in the 1970s.
Education Minister slams universities elitist view Australias $46m Antarctic airstrip melts Asian banks fill the funding gap Overcrowded prisons festering ...
Hence, it is necessary for climatologists like Pederson to assert, at least to the public, that warming has occurred after 1998 and, more recently, that it is actually "accelerating." Without warming in the 21st century, "global warming" hasn't reached the crucial 30-year milestone. But if for Pederson there is no statistically significant cooling over the past decade, there was also no statistically significant warming in the late 20th century, either. Warmists like Pederson cannot admit this fact because it utterly destroys their case.
Since we are free to choose from an infinite bag, all of our models are suspect and should not be trusted until they have proven their worth by skillfully predicting data that has not yet been seen . None of the models in the AP study have done so. Even stronger, since they said temperatures were higher when they were in fact lower, they must predict higher temperatures in the coming years, a forecast which few are making.
Ow et al. say the results of their study "demonstrated that tropical seagrasses can increase their photosynthetic rates, adjust photosynthetic performance and increase growth rates in response to CO 2 enrichment" (see figure below), and that this "ability of marine macro-autotrophs to utilize the greater CO 2 availability suggests that they will thrive under future scenarios of climate change," further citing Koch et al. (2013) in this regard and adding that still-earlier "observations of high seagrass abundance at CO 2 seep sites indicate seagrass productivity might continually benefit from pCO 2 enrichment over the long term," citing Fabricius et al. (2011).
Atmospheric satellite temp. differences, 1979-1997 (MSU-LT)= approx. zero
Climatologist: ???There has been a downward trend in strong (F3) to violent (F5) tornadoes in U.S. since 1950s?? ??? ???Warming causes fewer strong tornadoes, not more??
clivere on October 8, 2013 at 8:03 pm
In a last-minute twist, the King County Republican Party warned Saturday morning of robo-calls to voters falsely claiming that the caucuses had been delayed a week.
The calendar may say it's spring, but a major winter-like snow storm is wreaking havoc on the lives of Americans from the Rockies to the Upper Plains. Thirteen states are either under a storm watch or warning.
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It means the destruction of individual responsibility, and thus the individual.
They even made a video. Meh. Does anyone actually think the World Meteorological Organization, which is at the forefront of misrepresenting its members' collective views , would succumb to such foolishness? Would anyone actually sign this petition to change the naming system to make a political point?
Personal attacks are common in any dispute simply because we're human. It's easier to insult than to the follow the thread of an argument. And just because someone makes an ad hominem argument, it doesn't mean that their conclusion is wrong. But when the personal attacks are the first out of the gate, and when they seem to be growing in intensity and frequency, don your skeptic's cap and look more closely at the evidence.
the middle of the cloud of published series and explaining the reasons behind
England has just experienced its coldest Spring since 1891 , according to the Central England Temperature Series. Capetown recorded it??s earliest June snowfall in years .
1) Carbon dioxide levels probably will increase for decades to come as the result of population and economic growth.
In yesterday?s article Pachauri dismissed concerns that a lead author of a recent IPCC report is a Greenpeace activist:
The skeptics note that first, there are still political risks. Nobody wants to be the first to invest in a new nuke. While streamlining the regulatory process for new plant siting and operating may work in theory, financiers want to see it work in real life before they make an investment. They're not quite sure, for example, how the loan guarantees will really work. Beyond Washington, state and local political risks loom, perhaps even larger than federal political risks. Several states, including Illinois, periodically "appear on the verge of passing legislation" to reregulate power rates to residential users and thus curtail the power industry's ability, in a deregulated environment, to pass capital costs through to end users, another conference attendee noted.
Aerosols: Many atmospheric aerosols are liquid droplets containing dissolved sea salt from sea spray, sulfuric acid (H2SO4), organic molecules from trees and plants, and other compounds. Over agricultural and urban areas, dust and soot are common aerosols Soot particles emanate from incomplete combustion of fuels such coal, wood, oil, jet fuel, and kerosene. Soot consists chiefly of amorphous carbon and tar like substances that cause it to adhere to surfaces. Both liquid and solid aerosols help clouds develop by encouraging the condensation of water vapor, which does not occur readily without an original seed particle of some sort in the air.
Later, Dr Pachauri would unilaterally drop Tata from the title and now, according to sources, Tata, one of Indias largest conglomerates, wants little to do with him.
This is particularly interesting in light of where GHCN has concentrated the Global Thermometers. They are largely moved to airports in valleys or near the coastline. (Folks dont build major airports on the tops of mountains its hard to get 10,000 feet of straight and level on a mountain top, and the cities are typically down in the valleys.)
Though if the AMA did come out as ??? Doctors for the Planet ?? raging against carbon, I look forward to John Cook??s announcement that their opinion is irrelevant because they have no expertise in climate science.
The protesters are hoping that President Obama will block the $7 billion pipeline. Their rationale: The pipeline will result in major increases in carbon-dioxide emissions, and therefore it must be stopped or catastrophic climate change will ensue. Protest as they might, a State Department report found that the pipeline will not have a major environmental impact.
Jersey News Outlet Cries "Global Warming' as Blizzard Approaches
TABLE Indicative Marginal Global Damages from Current GHG Emissions ($/Ton CO 2 -eq)
Silence Begets SuspicionWhatever the reasons, one fact is indisputable: the Bush administration did silence itself by publishing its report on the state of the environment without including any discussion of global climate change data, trends, science, technology, policies, or goals. (Instead, the report covered just one global environmental issue, stratospheric ozone depletion.) Largely unnoticed by critics, however, is the fact that the censorship cut two ways. While the White House stopped EPA from publishing references to studies such as the 2001 NRC report, EPA also prevented the White House from discussing work such as a recent report by Sally Baliunas and Willie Soon that provides credible evidence that recent warming is not as unusual as environmental activists claim.
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Eighty years ago this summer, more than 80% of the US was experiencing drought, and about half the country was in extreme drought.