Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
With respect to the glacial oceans , the nine researchers say that (1) "most models overestimate the ocean cooling," that (2) "they do not capture the heterogeneity seen in the reconstructions," that (3) "spatial patterns in reconstructed LGM annual SST anomalies ... are not well predicted by the models," and that (4) "the seasonal SST anomalies show no correlation with the reconstructions."
Why should you be interested? Sea surface temperature records indicate El Nio and La Nia events are responsible for the warming of global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 30 years, not manmade greenhouse gases. Ive searched sea surface temperature records for more than 4 years, and I can find no evidence of an anthropogenic greenhouse gas signal. That is, the warming of the global oceans has been caused by Mother Nature, not anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
Now that the Bali conference is over and climate scientists have warned us again about the dire predictions of their climate models, a question remains: Will their forecasts come true? Given the current international focus on global warming, you would think that, in 10, 15 or 20 years, many people will want to know whether today?s predictions proved accurate.
In essence, as another paper observes, the U.N. peacekeeping effort is transforming into a new kind of supervisory organism in which not only conflicts but also national institutions and cultures must be regulated for longer and longer periods of time.
The dedicated-to-detail researcher reports that "from the decadal to the secular scales (up to 110-year intervals) the tide gauge accelerations oscillate significantly from positive to negative values mostly following the PDO, AMO and NAO oscillations," adding that "the influence of a large quasi 60-70 year natural oscillation is clearly demonstrated in these records."
USUAL REQUEST: If you disagree with something that I or someone else said, please QUOTE THE EXACT WORDS YOU DISAGREE WITH. Then, and only then, let us know what you disagree with. I can defend my own words. I cannot defend your interpretation of my words.
Not much new here. But the letter does contain a "special word on the right-leaning think tanks" that's worth addressing. "As libertarians," he writes, "they abhor the need for government spending or even governmental leadership, which in their opinion is best left to private enterprise . . . But global warming is a classic tragedy of the commons . . . and the problem desperately needs government leadership and regulation. Sensing this, these think tanks have allowed their drive for desirable policy to trump science. Not a good idea."
was the election one of change or of continuity, both in party and public mood;
EPA's 2002 reform recommendations promise to restore common sense to the New Source Review program, thereby avoiding the excessive costs, uncertainties, and counterproductive incentives resulting from recent enforcement deviations. The reforms do not put at risk recent gains in air quality.
Mr. Anderson is president of Property and Environment Research Center in Bozeman, Mont., and a senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution.
How the heck do I explain the cratering of my position and still maintain some shred of my reputation?
There are two main features of the Clean Air Act that will come into play. First, the Clean Air Act requires the EPA to determine a National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS, pronounced, "nacks") for CO2 that protects the "health and welfare" of Americans. For ozone, to take an example of a conventional noxious pollutant, it is .075 parts per million over an 8-hour period. But unlike ozone, which is a local and evanescent pollutant, CO2 levels are determined globally, not within the borders of the U.S., and if the climate campaigners are to be believed are already above a "safe" level. Even if U.S. CO2 emissions fell to zero, global CO2 levels will still rise unless every other nation matches our performance. Let me restate that in other words: even a maximum effort at reducing CO2 emissions by the United States would not change the "danger" to health and welfare in the U.S.
Either way, its plain to see that a savings of 27 parts per million over 87 years is trivial, particularly in comparison to its cost (shutting down the entire economy) and would make no meaningful climatic difference even if atmospheric carbon dioxide was the driver of global climate that the alarmists claim it is.
In the words of the seven researchers who conducted the analysis, "these results suggest that forests may suffer less damage during each ice storm event of similar severity in a future with higher atmospheric CO 2 ." In addition, they say that "the lessening of crown breakage by ice storms in a future CO 2 -enriched atmosphere may allow loblolly pine to expand its range northerly." Reviewed 13 December 2006
The only place you will find proof of global warming these days is in computer models.
So far this millenium, temperatures have dropped. If the current trends continue, people can expect to be freezing their butts off in the year 2100.
We all owe a debt of gratitude to the skeptics who have courageously disputed the global warming/climate change hoax and to The Heartland Institute that has provided a platform for them to gather to continue their efforts to educate a public that has been deluged by a massive deception.
CEI General Counsel Sam Kazman said, "While publicly these AGs have claimed to be uniting to combat climate change, these emails show that behind the scenes this is just another targeted and coordinated campaign from extreme environmentalists to come after their enemies. Instead of calling themselves "AGs United for Clean Power,' perhaps they're actually "AGs United for More Power.'"
But from the looks of his whiny letter , hes of a completely different mindset. He thinks that while hes on the public payroll that he has the right to intimidate dissenters, and to keep everything he writes in his LLNL role a secret. Clearly he hates accountability to his bosses.
I will use to basic analytical to test the hypothesis, both using two-sided 95% confidence intervals (i.e. &alpha=5%). The two methods are:
This contempt for ordinary Americans mostly persisted in changing political environments. During the Great Depression, many liberals became Communists, proclaiming themselves tribunes of a virtuous oppressed proletariat that would have an enlightened rule.
Ethanol and Land Consumption. In a February 2008 Science article, researchers calculated that producing 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol to meet U.S. ethanol goals would require the diversion of corn from 12.8 million hectares of U.S. cropland and would, in turn, bring 10.8 million hectares of additional land into cultivation. Locations would include 2.8 million hectares in Brazil, 2.3 million in China and India, and 2.2 million here in the United States.
Dr. David Whitehouse, The GWPF Observatory, 9 August 2010
Russian President Vladimir Putin's chief economic adviser, Andrei Illarionov, has formally recommended that Russia reject the Kyoto Protocol. Ratifying Kyoto, he said, would mean setting up bodies to "limit economic growth not only on a national level, but also on a supranational level. An organ of legal interference in the internal affairs of the country would be created."
If the Court decision goes against the plaintiffs, does this mean "game over" insofar as future challenges to EPA's greenhouse gas regulatory binge?
Even without an absolute cap, China's carbon intensity target will be tough, government officials and advisers say.
Virtually every chapter in the Assessment perseverates on extreme weather, despite the U.N.s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change statement that:
Heavy blizzards that paralyzed Central Europe in February 2012 may have been part of a larger pattern.
This absorbing property of the atmosphere is the greenhouse effect.1 Gases in the atmosphere that absorb infrared radiation, thereby preventing some of the outgoing energy from returning to space, are called greenhouse gases.
The standard procedure for conserving energy and then creating an energy budget and subsequent greenhouse effect is by numerically equating the terrestrial flux output with the solar flux input . This numerical procedure is done with the justification that on average, the input and output must equal if the system is in equilibrium. But this is done numerically on paper, not physically in reality, because the physics of reality reactsinstantaneouslyto forces, and doesnt wait around for averages.
* Renewable fuels reduce carbon dioxide emissions and dangers of catastrophic climate change. Bunk. Ethanol production and use in fuels actually increases CO2 output and airborne ozone levels.
The trend is also striking regarding Northeast U.S. hurricanes. Major hurricanes routinely struck the U.S. Northeast during the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s. ( see Past Tracks of U.S. Landfalling Major Hurricanes ) From 1960 through 2010, however, just one major hurricane struck the U.S. Northeast. Hurricane Sandy brought merely 80 mph, Category 1 winds at its New Jersey landfall, which pales in comparison to prior hurricanes, such as Hurricane Carol which struck Long Island as a Category 3 hurricane in 1954. When people say, We never used to have hurricane events like this here in the Northeast, it is only because those people either werent alive or dont remember the much stronger and more frequent Northeast hurricanes before our recent global warming.
So although renewables have (finally) gotten to 2.7% of the electricity production, they still only represent 1.3% of the global energy consumption. And this is with heaps of subsidies.
ability to operate in the United States or elsewhere around the world.
journalists' inclination to provide political "balance" leads to inaccurate media reporting on scientific issues. Far from making news stories more balanced, quoting ExxonMobil-funded groups and spokespeople misleads the public by downplaying the strength of the scientific consensus
Regarding the second allegation, did Dr. Mann engage in, or participate in, directly or indirectly, any actions with the intent to delete, conceal or otherwise destroy emails, information and/or data, related to AR4, as suggested by Phil Jones, how does the Jury find?
this etc. will obscure the message of a short EOS piece.
These kinds of failures of peer review corrupt the traditional process by which scientific knowledge is obtained and reported; they are examples of what Irving Langmuir, the 1932 winner of the Nobel Prize in chemistry, called "pathological science"the "science of things that are not so." Pathological science inflicts irreparable harm on the reporting and archiving of scientific developments for policy makers, the media, the public, and the scientific community. Within weeks of the publication of the flawed PNAS article, for example, European Union environmental regulators had cited it as justification for banning the sale of GM corn seeds. And such spurious findings only encourage conspiracy theorists who think that wider evidence of harm from GM plants is being suppressed.
First is that people who drive small cars in order to save the climate are seriously putting themselves at risk, or even dying if involved in aserious accident. Thats the result of newly conducted crash tests reported here at Spiegel . Citing crash test results fromthe US Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) and the EuroNCAP Test 2014,Spiegel tells us that the Mazda 5 fared the worst.
I cannot remember any issue where one side has so insistently and effectively monopolized a discussion while stifling and excluding diverse viewpoints. This is not how science is designed to operate. For the scientist, questions, examination, indeed skepticism are the building blocks of the quest for truth.
For the physical reasons why only the Sun and not greenhouse gases can heat the oceans, see the post Why greenhouse gases won't heat the oceans.
No amount of economic or political analysis can contradict the following basic, scientific premises:
High fuel import costs and nuclear issues will support coal use throughout Northeast Asia, while in North America coal is still competitive in many locations despite abundant low-cost shale gas.
Peru, for instance, is home to around 30,000 species of plants; Columbia, a country as big as New Mexico and Texas combined, has more than 1,550 bird species (twice the number round in North America); a single river in Brazil harbors more species of fish than all the rivers in the U.S .A world record was established in 1988 by Alwyn H. Gentry who identified about 300 tree species in each of two one-hectare (2.47 acres/hectare) plots in Iquitos, Peru." (de Miranda, pp. 155-156).
In the context of what appears to have been a one-degree Fahrenheit rise in mean global temperature since 1900, the observed relationship between temperature and precipitation in North America does not favor the hypothesis.
Should we focus the bulk of our attention on shoring up seawalls and on ensuring that adequate water supplies are available to those most at risk of drought?
Secondly, Exponent looked at the variationand the measurements between the Patriots balls andthe Colts balls at halftime. They compared thevariances. And despite conceding that there was nostatistically significant difference between thetwo, they went ahead and drew conclusions, but thoseconclusions are improper.
This is very important because of the oft-repeated AGW claim that surface temperature is a linear function of forcing, and that when forcing increases (say from CO2) the temperature also has to increase. The ocean proves that this is not true. There is a hard limit on ocean temperature that just doesn??t get exceeded no matter how much the sun shines.
How Chretien, as the leader of a large, cold, northern, oil-exporting country, could have committed Canada to an emissions treaty that excluded the U.S. and required nothing of China, defies explanation to this day.
To substantiate his case Roberts refers to the fact that the IPCC has found no specific scientifically measured real-world evidence of any causal relationship between human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and Earth??s latest modest cyclic warming.
In short, look for Europe, confronted by reality, to see the wisdom of the American approach to combating a threat. Tony Blair can be excused if his blurred vision makes him think that he's been down this road before.
Professor Jarich Oosten, an anthropologist at the University of Leiden in the Netherlands, says that even if we no longer see snow, it will remain culturally important.
Heart of Neolithic Orkney, the UNESCO World Heritage Site on the Mainland, one of the islands of Orkney, Scotland;
Businesses, workers and families face unemployment, injustice, bankruptcy and worse at the hands of their government, if this regulatory power grab continues.
Pachauris travails were prominent in an excellent Times feature story .
Lobster growth cited as climate change indicator
"The communiqu holds that, "We start from the belief that prosperity is indivisible; that growth, to be sustained, has to be shared" and to "do whatever is necessary.' In clause after clause, this pro-government rather than pro-prosperity declaration embraces new burdens on a limping financial sector in the form of expanded global regulation, and effectively requires that all look toward government before acting in the future. At no point does the communiqu recognize that government action can and does distort market action to the point of significant harm."
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Iain Murray on the challenges faced by the company's previous Google Library project:
In May 2001, an inter-agency team convened by the Bush administration in response to California's "energy crisis" called for evaluation and possible reform of "regulatory restrictions that do not take technological advances into account."38 Among its specific recommendations was that EPA, in consultation with the Secretary of Energy and other federal agencies, "review New Source Review regulations, including administrative interpretations and implementation, and report to the President within 90 days on the impact of the regulations on investment in new utility and refinery generation capacity, energy efficiency, and environmental protection." On June 13, 2002, EPA issued the report extensively cited above.
You can read the rest here . Basically this looks like a lame attempt to make king tides look like they are enhanced significantly by sea level, and make sea level an elevated issue so they can argue with North Carolina to re-enact the sea level laws they gutted this in 2012 .
Evidently, solar activity is on the decrease. In this respect, we could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years.Yuri Nagovitsyn, Pulkovo Observatory St.Petersburg.
Lgg now on a pulse of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, equivalent to a doubling of the concentration:
This is apparently an image tweeted by somebody on-board the Akademik Shokalskiy, showing the ice around it:
Bottom line: we have now entered El Nino territory . Based on a collection of models, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is going for El Nino conditions the remainder of this year (see their probabilistic forecast below). Roughly 70% chance this summer and about 60% chance next winter. But this time of the year you have to be careful, with the quality of the winter forecasts improves radically by July and August.
The next graph overlays the IPCC graph in red on the 1975 National Academy of Sciences graph at the same scale. Our scumbag friends have knocked half a degree off most of the 20th century.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Adjunct Fellow Steven Milloy on the opposition from environmental groups:
But there is a crisis that international leaders need to address at Copenhagen. The real planetary emergency is that 1.5 billion people do not have access to modern, affordable, and reliable forms of energy or the electricity they produce.
But if the trend continues, she warned, the water could get too warm, altering the lobster habitat.
In Haiti, the poor are now living on mud pies made with real mud. They cannot afford anything else to eat. So they take earth, carefully remove the stones, grit, and weeds, mix it with water, add a tiny pinch of salt and a small knob of butter, and knead it and pound it and stir it into a paste, which they make into mud pies. They bake the mud pies in the sun for a few hours, then eat them or sell them to their neighbours for 3 US cents each. And somehow some of them stay alive.
A defining characteristic of Simpson's Spornosexual Man is his proclivity to swap the high-end urban mallthe metrosexual's havenwith the gym. It's not just as superficial a link as Mr. Spornosexual pumping iron next to the "bro" in the gym that marks the two of them as offspring of the same parent. Both are overwhelmingly single, younger, professionals, and urban dwellers. But where the metrosexual has seen well-cut and expertly tailored clothes as a visual art experience to patronize as also to indulge in, the two iterations of the spornosexual see clothes as a fine indulgence of frivolity compared to the art of their own body, which is best exhibited nude. Or nearly nude.
"There is danger brewing in Rio that has not been adequately covered," Rothbard said. "There is also a tragic likelihood that an historic opportunity will go to waste a chance to wake up and change direction. Freedom, prosperity, science and technology what we like to call "constructive sustainability' is the only genuine path to achieve all that is best for our planet and people too."
For example, the models predicted increasing global air temperatures (the measured rises have been much less than predicted), increasing ocean temperatures (there has been no change since 2003, when we started measuring it properly with Argo ocean-diving buoys) and the presence of a hot spot caused by humidity and cloud feedback at heights of 8km-12km in the tropical atmosphere (entirely absent).
"Climate does not change uniformly: The Earth is very large and the expectation definitely would be that there would be different changes in different regions of the world," Parkinson said. "That's true even if overall the system is warming." Another recent NASA study showed that Antarctic sea ice slightly thinned from 2003 to 2008, but increases in the extent of the ice balanced the loss in thickness and led to an overall volume gain.
The German Environment Ministry is arguing that government regulation is a necessity and has suggested that aviation be included in the EU's proposed carbon cap-and-trade system. On the other hand, the British Airports Authority has reacted to speculation by insisting that it would only enter an emissions trading system if it were on a global scale. Caroline Corfield, head of media relations for BAA, has stated, "If you put prices up, it will have an impact on demand."
Australias antarctic runway melting | Moyne Gazette
Is he somehow expecting duck hunters to reverse the massive psychological damage being done by the looney left to the youth of America?
Help Us Stop Wikipedia's Lies!
Again in Sheffield, the number of days over 30.0C are on the decline, and in the last decade has been less than the 30s, 40s and 70s.
Meanwhile, some 3,300 people remain stranded by snow and ice in rural areas, where they can only be reached by helicopter.
Honorable Mr. Edward J. Markey, Chairman
A research team led by Ohio University geologist Gregory Springer examined the trace metal strontium and carbon and oxygen isotopes in the stalagmite, which preserved climate conditions averaged over periods as brief as a few years. The scientists found evidence of at least seven major drought periods during the Holocene era, according to an article published online in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
Record Cold Linked to Global Warming: The Urban Legend Grows
Joel also cites a more realistic appraisal of global warming's impact on air quality--an article in the Journal of Geophysical Research by researchers from NESCAUM (Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management) and Georgia Tech. These analysts project that, from the year 2000 to 2050, "The combined effect of climate change and emissions reductions lead to a 20% decrease (regionally varying from -11% to -28%) in the mean summer maximum daily 8-hour ozone levels over the United States." They also project a 23% decrease in mean annual fine particulate (PM2.5) concentrations. Joel comments that these estimates are conservative, because "pollutant emissions and ambient levels are dropping much faster than they assume in their study (a fact which I show here).
Skeptics Global Warming Blog Archive NASAs Temperature Adjustments Too Convenient If you study the graph in the article, you can clearly see that negative adjustments have been applied negatively the further back in time you go. Conversely, youll see that adjustments to temperature data have grown into the positive almost consistently since about 1970. With satellite data saying the planet is cooling, the Argos buoys showing the ocean not warming and climatologists saying the planet is cooling, why does NASA continue to modify base temperature data?
A recent paper published in Nature Climate Change finds a disconnect between man-made CO2 and atmospheric levels of CO2, demonstrating that despite a sharp 25% increase in man-made CO2 emissions since 2003, the growth rate in atmospheric CO2 has slowed sharply since 2002/2003. The data shows that while the growth rate of man-made emissions was relatively stable from 1990-2003, the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 surged up to the record El Nino of 1997-1998. Conversely, growth in man-made emissions surged ~25% from 2003-2011, but the change in the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 has flatlined since 1999 along with global temperatures. The data demonstrates temperature drives CO2 levels due to ocean outgassing, man-made CO2 does not drive temperature, and that man is not the primary cause of the rise in CO2 levels.