Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Yet the "norming" advocates say that the rest of the world, through treaties, United Nations decisions and "customary international law," has already decided these questions: for massively increased government taxation and regulation to combat global warming, for widely available abortions, for gun control and against the death penalty.
Already, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been in full retreat after having to concede a 17-year stall in global warming despite levels of atmopheric CO2 rising almost 40 percent in recent decades. The new SABER data now forms part of a real world double whammy against climatologists' computer models that have always been programmed to show CO2 as a warming gas.
When I saw that article in the Bend (Oregon) Bulletin , I thought bingo! that eruption hit smack dab in the middle of the Dalton Minimum, a time of extremely low sunspot activity.
Fracking and horizontal drilling have been critically important technologies in the extraction of the vast amount of recoverable oil and gas in various parts of the country and the revitalization of America's energy sector. Drilling and extraction create jobs, but there are often tremendous job opportunities for engineers, geologists, mathematicians, truck drivers, welders, and others as well. There are also increased needs for associated manufacturing as well as demand for repair shops, menders, hardware stores, restaurants, hotels, and laundromats among many others. Natural gas and butane, ethane, and propane removed from natural gas provide feedstock for fertilizers, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals. The shale gas boom resulted in more than $100 billion in new chemical manufacturing investment.
A study conducted by a team of weather experts determined the October 2013 blizzard that devastated parts of western South Dakota and Wyoming isnt anything to be alarmed about in the near future.
How well is the new model performing? Let us count the many ways in which a new study suggests it sure could use some help
During his first term, Europe saw George W. Bush as a fluke. He had won in 2000 without a majority, gaining the White House chicanery or outrageous luck, and he had been a disaster as president. Surely, given the choice of the urbane John Kerry, Americans would not re-elect this hick.
The results of the Kosalka and Xie simulations can be interpreted in numerous ways. Trying to filter out the ENSO from the PDO signal seems to me to be an erroneous thing to do, given their intrinsic relationship. Using these simulations to attribute the pause (since 2002) to the cooling effect of ENSO/PDO has a corollary that the warm phase of the PDO in the last quarter of the 20th century also contributed to this warming.
Martin Lidegaard, the Danish minister for climate and energy, has portrayed the plan as an insurance policy against the rising costs of fossil fuels.
So three cheers for Judith Curry, who writes today:
Yesterday?s article in the UK?s Telegraph may turn out to be one of a series of similar stories (backup link here). Unfortunately, there?s every indication that these accounts will be written by shockingly uninformed journalists who?ll continue to give Pachauri the benefit of the doubt.
Why is it that despite the past decade of increased CO2 emission levels, the temperature has been stable and is predicted by the Hadley Centre to actually go down over the next decade?
Over the two years of the study, the CO 2 -enriched plants that were exposed to air containing 49% more CO 2 used 12% less water than the ambient-treatment plants, while they produced 47% more tuber biomass. Hence, the CO 2 -enriched plants experienced a 68% increase in water use efficiency , or the amount of biomass produced per unit of water used in producing it. What it means
Warming over New Zealand through the past century is unequivocal.
The highest recent rate of warming based on its linear trend occurred during the 160-month period that ended about 2004, but warming trends have dropped drastically since then. There was a similar drop in the 1940s, and as youll recall, global surface temperatures remained relatively flat from the mid-1940s to the mid-1970s. Also note that the mid-1970s was the last time there had been a 161-month period without global warmingbefore recently.
Given that the plaintiffs and the government agree on the ultimate goal while disagreeing only on how to get there, why isn't this an issue properly resolved in the executive and legislative branches of the Dutch government? Because, says the Dutch court, that government's policy choices violate the rights of Dutch citizens.
But the results will be worth it. Once the millennial records of changes in oceans, land, and air are sorted out, they can be used to fine-tune computer climate models that take all the same parts of the puzzle into account, says Trenberth. And once those models can be made to reproduce the past climate changes, they can begin forecasting what might happen next. No one knows how accurate such models will be, but it's certain they will need a lot of data and computer power to take into account all the variables that influence the Earth's climate.
There is actually a cooling trend. There were ENSO neutral conditions throughout 2001, which makes it a good place to start any comparisons. In contrast, last year had moderate El Nino conditions, which makes the declining trend even more remarkable.
Everyone acknowledges that electricity generated from wind and solar cannot be produced and delivered at prices that compete with coal or gas. However, alternative energy advocates believe that someday the cost curves will cross, and that government subsidies will accelerate that days arrival.
You can see the ice at the summit was very much still in evidence.
The five-judge majority, however, deny that Judge Kavanaugh?s narrow reading of the PSD statute is a ?plausible interpretation.? Congress said ?any air pollutant, and it meant it.? The EPA?s broad interpretation ?is the only plausible one.? Let us see.
Uganda produces about 63 kilowatt-hours of electricity per person. The U.S. produces about 13,300 kWh per person and EVs still havent caught on.
Antarctica has a record amount of ice this year, and has been above normal for almost 500 consecutive days. A perfect time for Huffington Post to declare the continent to be without ice
More interesting, though, is the possibility of emerging bipartisan coalitions on sentencing and prison reform and on reform of the National Security Agency. Both are issues that have support from liberal Democrats and libertarian Republicans. Neither is so hot-button that the radio talk show/blogger wind machine on the right would go ballistic at the prospect of bills being signed by the president. There are senators on both sides of the aisle from Al Franken and Ron Wyden to Rand Paul and Mike Lee who could work together on both these issues.
That does make me a little uncomfortable about this guy being in charge of global temperature records to show we're destroying the earth. Can't check out his academic/research papers at CRU. Surprisingly, they've been taken down.
State Department Friday release: Keystone XL will have little environmental impact, but create 42,100 U.S. jobs
Florida hasnt been hit by a hurricane in almost 8 years, the longest hurricane-free period on record. In the 19th century, Florida averaged about one hurricane per year compared to one every other year now.
Also good, and rather surprising, was Revkin's choice to take some of his colleagues to task for over-hyping the results of individual scientific studies by claiming the latest paper out of whichever journal is conclusive proof that we are even now in the midst of catastrophic climate change. It was good to hear.
After watching the IPCC crowd for the last 25+ years, I feel pretty confident they would be falling all over themselves declaring ?it?s worse than we thought!? They would be adjusting the sensitivity of their models to produce even more warming.
Here is aclear-cutexample of advocacy by a scientist, Marcia McNutt , who also happens to be the Chief Editor of Science : The beyond-two-degree inferno . Read the whole thing, its only about 600 words.I cite here the passages that I particularly want to comment on:
AGW alarmists tell us that Arctic ice is melting because of global warming. So what happened 6,000 years ago , exactly?
I guess Karoly has been taking lessons on honesty in climate communications from Phil Jones.
In addition amore detailedanalysis might well indicate that, in spite of the cost of fuel being essentially free, the development, fabrication and installation of both Solar and Wind-powerinstallationsinvolves the release of substantial amounts of CO2. The actual savings of CO2 emissions may be hardlyexceededover their installed working life of these Renewable technologies.
It is sheer hubris for humans, even the supposedly smart ones, to believe they can predict the future with any accuracy.
Last, according to Chen and Tung (2014), hiatus periods due to the sequestration of ocean heat to depth in the Atlantic and Southern Oceans can last 20 to 35 years. And they note the current hiatus period has already lasted 15 years. That indicates weve got another 5 to 20 years more to go with the current hiatus.
It seems hard to think that the intent of the Epstein et al. work was anything other than to find large negative externalities from using coal to produce electricity and to cast coal-fired electricity in a negative light.
There are food taboos. Instead of eating fish on Friday, or avoiding pork, Greens now eat organic foods and many are moving towards eating only locally grown foods.
Part 2 will continue where Part 1 left off. Denning and Lehr debate the final four clips from Al Gore's movie: 3) Melting ice will cause low-lying cities to disappear; 4) Polar bears are endangered because ice is their habitat; 4) Can this nation rise above itself and history to solve global warming?; 6) Global warming is casing rapid melting of ice on top Mt. Kilimanjaro in Africa.
And I am not conceding that the apparently elevated levels of carbon dioxide are driving global temperatures.
If Michael Mann can sue Tim Ball in Canada for libel, Heartland ought to have a case against David Suzuki as well.
The fact that all the world's complex and expensive climate models can't explain climate change since the last glacial period ended is one of the little talked about embarrassments of climate science. In a new study, soon to be published in PNAS, a team led by Zhengyu Liu, a researcher at the Nelson Center for Climatic Research and Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, has come out of the modeling closet to examine the model-data inconsistency. They took as their baseline a study by Shaun Marcott et al. previously published in Science. The composite proxy record generated by those researchers is shown below.
In the meantime, out of the media spotlight, thousands of people gathered on the Mall for the festivals that had been properly booked. As Ludacris and Madonna crooned (if you can call it that) in the bask of media attention, the Folklife Festival was abuzz with the sounds of Southeast Asian flute music, folk songs and dances from Northern Ireland, and the bluegrass tunes of rural Virginia.
Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is investigating the state-funded global warming researchUniversity of Virginia professor to see if he defrauded taxpayers; UVA is refusing to cooperate. of a former
Last week, I mentioned a study which Roy Spencer had done a couple of years ago into tornadoes, and which suggested that a greater number of strong/violent tornadoes occurred in cool years.
So, goodbye dear old friend, we will always miss you. You made each day that much better, and from now on each day will be that much worse.
National Geographic published an article titled, Blizzard of Noreasters No Surprise, Thanks to Climate Change.
The White House is expected to bypass Congress if any U.N. climate treaty is signed by arguing whatever comes out of Paris isn't a treaty, but an international commitment made by Obama using existing U.S. laws and regulations.
Paper demonstrates the claim made by the IPCC that Himalayan glaciers were retreating at an abnormal rate and would disappear by 2035 was unsubtantiated. Glaciers in the Himalayas, over a period of the last 100 years, behave in contrasting ways, some shrinking, some expanding, some staying about the same. It is premature to make a statement that glaciers in the Himalayas are retreating abnormally because of the global warming.
Smiths system of natural liberty, therefore, came very close to the free-market ideal of laissez-faire.
Even cutting it down to 1825 start date is a bit large. Notice that the trend of the blade on our little hockey stick tries to get a lift in trend, but our recent cool spate and sleepy sun have quashed it. Unless you measure from a cherry picked baseline, there is no warming. Everything is substantially like it has been in the past. We did have some cold times, but weve had warm times too. 100 year weather changes. 30 year climate is an oxymoron.
By now, you may realize that the acidic CO2 and photosynthesis does not cause a decline of the pH in natural water but an increase instead. In fact, that has been documented by the annual pH spikes observed in ocean water like at the ALOHA Station offshore Hawaii and in freshwater at the Experimental Lakes Area in Canada . When the photosynthesis activity is strong, i.e. in spring and summer, the pH of the water rises. You can demonstrate that yourself with a simple experiment that I have previously described. Give it a try, its easy to do (next to no work required), the ingredients cost next to nothing and it will amaze you.
The Climate Exhibit at the California Academy of Sciences in San Francisco
The IUCNs Dr. Andrew Smith is the only researcher with results from long term pika monitoring that actually provides insight into the natural frequency of extinction and recolonization.
However, previous periods free of global warming did not occur while Man was putting more CO2 in the air anything like as rapidly as he is today. Now that CO2 concentration is rising, so should temperature be rising, if the IPCC were correct about how much warming we should expect as CO2 concentration increases.
#2 0.5 < Pr( A | E ) < 1 and which reads "The probability that A is true is greater than a half but not certain given the evidence E. This answer is the best we can do with the given evidence.
Dr Pearman suggested that much of the 0.7 degree Celsius increase in the earths temperature over the last 100 years has occurred in the last 10 years. Yet the last really hot year was in 1998 and global temperatures have since plateaued.
"Improve the ecological condition"? Doesn't that cover pretty much anything the Forest Service does? That's not really much of a promise when the point of this "investment" is specifically to fight global warming by planting more trees. One wonders if the people who are sending their money in are reading the fine print. After all, how would those same people react if their college-student son called them asking for money, promising to spend it on books "...as well as beer." I imagine they would at least expect some sort of books-to-beer budget breakdown. The way this offset scheme is described, your heard-earned money could end up being spent on anything from bear repellent to re-tiling the bathroom in the ranger's cabin.
While it might not have been obvious, I am trying to come up with a quantitative method for correcting past temperature measurements for the localized warming effects due to the urban heat island (UHI) effect. I am generally including in the ???UHI effect?? any replacement of natural vegetation by manmade surfaces, structures and active sources of heat. I don??t want to argue about terminology, just keep things simple.
Boston snow still melting in man-made glacier of ice and trash
<4938> Jenkins/MetO:
It??s interesting that the very first incident of hide-the-decline in IPCC literature was in a graphic prepared by the UK Met Office.
Although controversy regarding the management of the GBR may appear of minor public interest from a U.S. perspective, it will be national news here in Australia and PNAS could find itself very much involved in a most difficult to defend position should prompt and decisive action not be taken.
Charles Battig, M.D., Piedmont Chapter president, VA-Scientists and Engineers for Energy and Environment (VA-SEEE). His website is www.climateis.wordpress.com
(ii) If e << 1, the dynamical transports of heat dominate over radiative cooling. This regime, characteristicof Venus, Jupiter, and Saturn. Thus, for e << 1 a very small or negligible equator-to-pole temperaturedifference is expected. For similar reasons, the diurnal variation of temperature on such a planetwould be negligibly small.
"Two new initiatives at the University of Cambridge aim to address the growing demand on the Earth's resources for food and fuel by improving the process of photosynthesis."
In yesterdays posting, we saw how an excursion of 80% of record ranges would provide more than enough tracking error to cause biased analysis. (Tracking error of the excursion from a full average for temperatures in a city such that the analysis done by folks using The Reference Station Method or comparing a Grid Box in one time to a box made from different thermometers in another time could easily have large errors).
Heritage Foundation Panel on the Social Cost of Carbon featuring Marlo Lewis
Lets clarify a few things on another of Anthonys excellent posts, like this one Hey Hansen! Wheres the Beef !?
Note how all the issues in the progressive civil war played out in this discussion. Should we aim for incremental amelioration or bold transformation? Should public opinion cause progressives to slow down or not? Is the public genuinely for liberal progressivism or not?
What can you do? Think twice before you purchase any products with germ-fighting or antimicrobial claims. No one needs chemical-impregnated clothing. Soap and water is all the germ-fighting we need.
When the wildfires that are burning millions of acres in the West are finally smothered by winter snows, environmentalists undoubtedly will blame climate change. They might look in the mirror instead.
It has returned to very near the 1979-2000 year average ( NSIDC ). Had NSIDC used the entire period of record as their base period (1979-2008), we would be at or above the average.
Some may still deny the overwhelming judgment of science, but none can avoid the devastating impact of raging fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms, the President says.But even assuming the President is right about the science, since even aggressive emission controls would at best avert only a tiny amount of warming, such policies would afford no protection from fires, drought, or storms.
According to the EPA?s longstanding opinion, reaffirmed in the agency?s April 2010 triggering rule, once any air pollutant is regulated under any part of the CAA, ?major? sources become ?subject to regulation? under the PSD program. Under this reading of the Act, a firm must obtain a PSD permit before it can build a major source of any regulated air pollutant, or modify a major source in such a way as to increase emissions of said pollutant. This is a complicated process in which the owner or operator must first conduct a best available control technology (BACT) analysis evaluating, selecting, and proposing a facility-specific emission control strategy. Carbon dioxide (CO2) became a regulated pollutant on Jan. 2, 2011, when the EPA?s tailpipe rule took effect.
Fig. 3: Where do the emissions p 100 Gtonnes in the coming 1000 clean? Klla IPCC.
I have a ghost of an old songbig band dayshiding in the back of my head into which I know I can insert
As the following graphic shows, the PDO which was originally discovered as the main control over fisheries productivity off the west coast of North America is also related to periods when global temperatures were rising or falling, which tend to occur over ~30 year periods:
It's microsite influences : barbecue devices etc. often sit in the stations and Cook says that it doesn't matter. In reality, a huge portion of the surface stations was affected by such things and the accumulated errors often exceed 1 degree Celsius. A priori, the effect of the microsite influences may be both warming and cooling. In reality, because of the increasing energy (and heat) used by humans, the actual impact of the microsite influences almost always overstates the warming trend. But I do think that the paper that Cook cites is realistic, assuming that it didn't use some wrong adjustments along the way, and the microsite effects could actually be as small as the picture indicates.
Averaging the Dye 3 temperature record using the 22 year length of the Hale Cycle produces a lot of detail. What is evident is that there has been a very disciplined temperature decline over the last four thousand years. The whole temperature record is bounded by two parallel lines with a downslope of 0.3C per thousand years. The fact that no cooling event took the Dye 3 temperature below the lower bounding green line over nearly four thousand years is quite remarkable. It implies that solar events do not exceed a particular combination of frequency and amplitude. From that it can be derived that this particular combination of frequency and amplitude with be ongoing that is that cooling events will happen just as frequently as they did during the Dye 3 record.
"New Jersey Republican Governor Chris Christie's spokesperson responded to videos conservative activist James O'Keefe released Monday apparently showing unionized educators at a New Jersey Education Association conference attacking the governor and his policies in crude language."
Obviously Isis Solar isn't doing this out of the goodness of its heart. So what's in it for them?
Also, as noted in a previous post ,NASA scientistJames Hansen, theworlds leading voice of climate alarm, argues thatatmospheric CO 2 levels should be reducedto 350 ppm or lower.This viewpoint is gaining traction among eco-litigationgroups, notably the Center for Biological Diversity , which recentlylaunched a $17 million litigation campaign to ensurethat existing environmental statutes (CAA, Clean Water Act, National Environmental Policy Act, Endangered Species Act) are fully implemented to regulate greenhouse gas emissions (emphasis added).
Such a dramatic decrease of the frequency of record cold temperatures is clearly not happening because the record cold temperatures seem to be as frequent as they were in the past. More precisely, their frequency should be naturally decreasing with the growing temperature records (with time).
Total water vapour is of the order of 0.5%. So at worst, going from 0% to 100% humidity is only going to equate to around a 0.1C change in global temperature.
A review of biofuel justifications shows why these programs must be revised, cut back or scrapped.
Asked to explain data that showed the earth had been cooling in recent years, the trained astrophysicist acknowledged air temperatures had leveled during the La Nina weather pattern, now nearing an end.??
Socialism is counter to innovation, effort, creativity, service and productionit dumbs things down but does provide a comfort zone.
Nature is dominated by negative feedbacks ??? a reason to expect that the climate sensitivity is smaller than, not larger than, the no-feedback value of 1.2 ??C per CO2 doubling. Why are negative feedbacks more common? It's simple. They're a property of stable points in the landscape of possibilities, in the configuration spaces of complicated physical systems. There can also be unstable points in the landscape where unstable feedbacks may be the kings but because they are unstable, the system usually finds its reason to evolve away from them and end in a more stable situation where the negative feedbacks prevail.
In chemical jmviktr reaction rates ibda directions equal, and we have the simple relationship:
July 07, 2011 at 08:52 PM | Permalink ShareThis