Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Climate change is a big issue these daysyou may have heard a thing or two about it in the news mediabut it is a confused and increasingly chaotic scene, with many moving parts. I believe the trajectory of the issue is changing in real time right now, but I do not want to get bogged down too far in the details and lose sight of the central point of this Hillsdale series, which is the ways in which the climate change issue highlights the constitutional defects of the modern administrative state.
The four Department of Forestry researchers from the University of Missouri suggest that as the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration continues to rise, aided by continued nitrogen deposition, it will likely "stimulate further increases in the rates of stand development and carbon storage," and that "some tree species historically selected against in the uplands of this system ( Acer rubrum L. or Acer saccharum Marsh.) could compete more effectively." Reviewed 7 March 2007
We've got two problems here. First, wind and solar don't cut our dependence of foreign oil. The two have no connection to one another. The wind and the sun can be harnessed and, as a result, do produce electricityalbeit inefficient, ineffective, and uneconomical electricity. Foreign oil that we import is for our transportation fleet. It does not, with very few exceptions, produce electricity.
Now you can see why I repeatedly emphasized that part of the evidence that usually gets no emphasis: no cheating and patients like before. Incidentally, it might appear that I am discussing only medical trials and have lost sight of the original thread. I have not, which will become obvious in a moment.
2 EPA, New Source Review: Report to the President, June 2002, p. 3
This means a select unelected elitist group of European white guys, would have the final say on global decision making. Clearly the green movement is well on its way to something of quite another color. Ackermann asks:
2010 is the hottest year ever, which explains why US winter temperatures have been dropping at a rate of more than 30 degrees per century since 1998.
The report also indicates that using a net present value calculation (discounting) the cumulative discounted impacts are larger in the early start cases. Using a 7 percent discount rate the EIA finds that impacts by 2020 will be nearly $1.3 trillion for the 2005 start and over $1.4 trillion for the early start. The report concludes, "although the cumulative impacts on GDP are similar, the early start cases involve a tradeoff. The peak impacts are less severe in the early cases, but they occur earlier." There is little difference in the overall costs of the two scenarios. The report can be downloaded from www.eia.doe.gov.
More photographs here of John andmy good friend Catherine amongst the rice.
Oh, and in related news, Java has a critical hole in it, too so folks are being advised to turn off Java for a while
If one accepts the IPCC radiative forcing values of anthropogenic radiative forcings of +1.6 (+0.6 to +2.4) Watts per meter squared and/or the solar radiative forcing of +0.12 (+0.06 to +0.30) Watts per meter squared as correct, what the Levitus et al data shows is that theglobal radiative feedback isnegative(and this necessarily would include the water vapor, sea ice etc radiative feedbacks). That is
Open access, however, is not only good for domestic markets. It includes empowering energy enterprises to capture opportunities abroad. Borders should not dictate whether or not an individual can sell a product. Nor should borders result in individuals paying artificially higher prices for goods in the form of tariffs. Yet laws can restrict opportunities, whether prohibitions on exporting crude oil or tariffs on solar technology. Freely importing and exporting energy and energy technologies would yield tremendous economic benefits, providing Americans with more opportunities to sell products to more customers and to buy cheaper goods and services from abroad.
The basic idea is to take the MIN-MAX average for the day, difference it from a base value for your crop, then sum up how many heat units you have as a running total. For each crop there is a total number that says Im Ripe Now and you must reach that number before you run out of growing season. As the total racks up, it also lets you know how soon to schedule the harvesting crews. Not too surprisingly, various insects also develop based on degree days and emerge as pests right on queue with plant growth stages.
Surveys have shown that thousands of businesses are unaware they are supposed to be taking part, or even that the scheme exists at all.
If the Atlantic alliance is to genuinely "go global," it will have to achieve a better balance between "toolbox" and "think tank" and to focus more than has been the case so far on increased strategic literacy, broader situational awareness, and state-of-the art strategic communication.
Note further that the dreaded (and entirely arbitrary) +2.0 C warming is not achievable with CO 2 increases and this is easily calculated. 2.0/0.1 = 20 so we know we need 20W/m 2 to increase the surface temperature that much and 20/3.7 tells us we need to double atmospheric CO 2 5.4 times to achieve it. Quick calc then since doubling is simply powers of 2, 2 8 = 256 ppm CO 2 , approximating our pre-Industrial Revolution level, plus 5 more doublings to raise the temperature +2.0 C, 2 13 = 8,192 ppm CO 2 . Whoops!
2) Why Do Some Scientists Say It?s Cooling, while Others Say that Warming is Even Accelerating? Since there is so much year-to-year (and even decade-to-decade) variability in global average temperatures, whether it has warmed or cooled depends upon how far back you look in time. For instance, over the last 100 years, there was an overall warming which was stronger toward the end of the 20th Century. This is why some say ?warming is accelerating?. But if we look at a shorter, more recent period of time, say since the record warm year of 1998, one could say that it has cooled in the last 10-12 years. But, as I mentioned above, neither of these can tell us anything about whether warming is happening ?now?, or will happen in the future.
Otto et al. (2013) : There are two TCR estimates from this energy budget study included in Figure 10.20a. One estimate uses 20002009 data and has a median of 1.3C, with a 595% range of 0.92.0C. The other estimate uses 19702009 data and has a median of slightly over 1.35C, with a 595% range of 0.72.5C. Since mean forcing was substantially higher over 20002009 than over 19702009, and was also less affected by volcanic activity, the TCR estimate based on 20002009 data is less uncertain, and arguably more reliable, than that based on 19702009 data.
We note that one of two co-authors of the above-cited NREL paper, which paper attests that "This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States government," is on record in an E&E; News story announcing of the project, "DOE requested the analysis be performed."
Read William Yeatman's On Point: EPA's Illegitimate Climate Rule
The 2010 State of the Union address nicely summed up Obama's topsy-turvy approach to the presidency. He pressed for a new jobs bill, more domestic spending, and health care nationalization. He attributed his political setbacks not to broad opposition to his domestic ambitions but to "a deficit of trustdeep and corrosive doubts about how Washington works that have been growing for years."
The major objective of this study is to collect and assess information about the opinions and attitudes of professionals within the field of geosciences (earth sciences) regarding global climate change, and the climate "consensus" debate, as well as to understand the rationale the participants use when forming their opinions by directly surveying a large number of earth scientists. In particular, this study endeavors improve on past survey attempts and provide a more rigorous dataset from which to draw conclusions on the global climate change debate.Once survey data had been collected, the responses of various participant groups were analyzed and compared with other participant groups, as well as similar responses from the general U.S. public. This master's thesis presents the results of the survey in an effort to advance the understanding of the global climate debate among scientists.
The one thing which has become very clear, is that the GHE doesnt actually have a consistent explanation or description. We have seen it as the backradiation active heating mechanism, where radiation from a cold source adds serially with the radiation from the Sun in order to amplify the temperature generation; we have seen it as the delayed cooling mechanism, where GHE advocates wish to be in compliance with the Laws of Thermodynamics, and so backradiation does not cause active heating, but merely serves to reduce the rate at which energy is lost, particularly during the nighttime. In my last paper , we proved that neither of these things actuallyoccur because, by definition, these things should be quantifiable and observable in their effect on the temperature, and they were not.
this statement ? Chris Folland at least seems to think this is possible.
Tony Blair is to lead a new international team to tackle the intractable problem of securing a global deal on climate change which would have the backing of China and America.
Luckily for us all Dr Latour does not have that false modesty that afflicts so many Englishmen brought up in Public Schools to play cricket. His American lack of modesty is entirely refreshing I would have said music to my ears but that would be to mix metaphors.
Some believe that Blair and others have little but optimism to support their view. Critics note, for example, that Egypt strove for months to produce a document setting forth the conditions by which Hamas could return on good terms to the Palestinian Authority. Alas, the "Egyptian Document" remains unsigned by the group.
The Met Office report includes a new study which shows that sea surface temperatures were higher than initially thought because of a change in the way the temperatures were measured after 2000. The new analysis significantly increases the warming scientists think was seen globally over the past decade.
Although not many significant interactions of elevated CO 2 on tree growth were found, elevated CO 2 still increased whole plant and root biomass in all species studied from 19 to 56%, relative to control trees grown at ambient CO 2 . In addition, atmospheric CO 2 enrichment increased the number of root tips per plant by 56, 38, and 49% for birch, hemlock and pine saplings, respectively. This phenomenon clearly presented fungal organisms with increased root areas to colonize. CO 2 -enriched birch and pine saplings, for example, had 13 and 38% more root area colonized by ectomycorrhizal fungal species than their ambiently-grown counterparts, and CO 2 -enriched hemlock exhibited 47% more arbuscular mycorrhizal fungal colonization than its respective controls.
Institute Founder To Testify Before House Subcommittee On Energy And Environment
A similar thing happened from 1940 to 1980 during the post-Second-World-War industrial boom when carbon dioxide increased rapidly, but was accompanied by 40 years of global cooling.
Of course, the chance of this is nil, as India and China unapologetically beckon to the world, "Send us your over-regulated, energy-starved manufacturing." A good name for this is "the 'yeah, but' way of saying No."
Congress recognized that requiring all existing sources of emissions to install BACT or LAER equipment would be prohibitively expensive and disrupt supplies of energy and manufactured products. Moreover, retrofitting existing plants is often more expensive than incorporating BACT or LAER in new plants. For these reasons, Congress did not expect NSR to carry the huge burden of protecting the nation's air quality by itself. Sources not covered by the NSR program would still be subject to controls under other air quality protection programs. As EPA says:
Yet none of the dozen or so companies financed or controlled by Khosla over the last decade has produced commercially viable ethanol. Some failed or, hamstrung by unproven technology and insufficient capital, remain behind schedule. Others bet on new technologies.
Arroyo to meet with Gore before flying to China - Latest Philippine News Outgoing President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo will meet former US Vice President Al Gore when he visits the country on June 8 for a lecture on global warming and climate change. When to declare palms dead | HeraldTribune.com A:As the cold weather came to an end, the advice from the University of Florida researchers was to be patient and give the palms six months to determine their fate. - TwinCities.com The price tag for the 9,000-square-foot roof is about $500,000, said Dave Nelson, St. Paul project manager for the fire department building. A traditional roof would have cost about $100,000, he said.
What this means, is that the observed rate of global temperature change has been quite slow during this time, and while perhaps not totally unprecedented in the realm of model projections, at the very least, it is starting to become pretty unusual.
John Christie pointed out that the models with the highest climate sensitivity are also the ones which are the worst at predicting future temperatures.
Analysis of the suns varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCCs speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.
The Energy Department has too much arbitrary power to decide where a company may export natural gas. Congress should remove the department from the natural-gas-permitting process.
Let It Grow, Let It Grow, Let It Grow
The National Park Service, the U.S. Geological Survey, Mountain Home Demonstration State Forest and Calaveras Big Trees State Park provided funding.
The ideas is that because there are Platypuses there should be no supermarket. Indeed according to ABC Online :
In the Turkish strait in 1996, the nine pro-Chechen gunmen who hijacked a Turkish ferry and held 255 passengers hostage for three days had first considered the possibility of sabotaging one of the two suspension bridges with explosives to bring down the bridge and close shipping traffic. The worst case scenario, now that the Russian Duma has passed a bill to transport 20,000 tons of nuclear waste through the straits in the next ten years, is the possibility of one of these tankers being hijacked in the vicinity of Istanbul, a city of 12 million inhabitants. It is expected that traffic on the Bosphorus will be 50 percent higher in 2010 than it was in 2005, and so will the opportunities to create catastrophic mischief.
An additional irony of Japan's disaster is that had we not abandoned nuclear power 30 years ago, we might have begun deploying new-generation nuclear designs, such as small modular thorium reactors or light pressurized water reactors that either can't melt down or have passive redundancy features that do not depend on human action to shut down in the event of earthquakes or other disasters. Instead, we have extended the use of the large old light-water reactors, like the Fukushima Daiichi, long after their intended life span.
As the petition states, there is no convincing evidence that carbon dioxide and other so-called greenhouse gases are causing a catastrophic heating of the Earths atmosphere and disruption of the Earths climate. To date, more than 17,000 scientists have signed on.
Chapter 10, by Indur M. GoklanyRicher is Cleaner: Long Term Trends in Global Air Quality
Image Credit: Dianna Ingram/Bergman Group; Photo by Maddrat/Shutterstock
In concluding their discussion of their findings, Allen et al . remark that "undisturbed arid shrublands may not fix comparatively large amounts of carbon, but they may sequester a large fraction of that carbon." Noting that "carbon allocated to arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi forms a large part of the macroaggregate structure in the form of glomalin (Rillig et al ., 2002)," and that those aggregates "may be protected from decomposition," they conclude that the enhanced formation of such aggregates in CO 2 -enriched air forms "an important sequestration pathway" in chaparral ecosystems. Hence, we have another example of "biological pessimism" being far removed from reality. References
In these several studies, the authors all conclude that both summer and winter temperatures over much of the Medieval Warm Period throughout many parts of Finland were significantly warmer than they are currently. In this part of the world, therefore, the climate-alarmist claim that current temperatures are unprecedented over the past one to two millennia rings rather hollow. References
Jonathan Adler, a professor at the Case Western Reserve University School of Law, looks at free-market approaches to dealing with climate change in The Atlantic:
"In the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth District, for example, an abbey of Benedictine monks is currently challenging the constitutionality of a Louisiana state law that restricts the sale of 'funeral merchandise' to licensed funeral establishments. (The monks would like to sell handmade wooden coffins directly to the public but have no interest in taking on other funerary services such as embalming or transporting bodies.) In states unimpeded by the sort of economic protectionism the monks are seeking to abolish, the Web has had a dramatic impact on casket prices. The wholesale discounter Costco has been selling caskets on its website since 2004, with the least expensive model going for just $949."
On top of that, there is diffusion which is much faster. When you donate a million of tons of Nature's most vital nutrient, carbon dioxide, to the atmosphere in Denver, this amount of gas will be distributed almost uniformly over the whole surface of the Earth within weeks or earlier.
No carbon tax. Despite the hopes of many environmentalists and academics, the U.S. will not implement a carbon tax in 2015. Neither House Speaker John Boehner nor Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell support the tax. This is good news for the economy, because a carbon tax would raise the cost of goods produced in the U.S., making it more advantageous to buy cheaper imports from countries without such a tax. Proponents of the tax suggest putting tariffs on imports in proportion to their carbon content so that U.S. companies would not be at a disadvantage, but the quantities are hard to calculate and tariffs might be illegal under WTO regulations.
Other times this vague company of scientists becomes "SCIENCE," as when we're told "what science says is required to avoid catastrophic climate change." "Science says" is an inherently weasely claim. "Science," after all, is an abstract noun. It can't say anything. Whenever you see that locution used to imply a consensus, it should trigger your baloney detector.
What is clear, on the other hand, is that government is an engine of wealth redistribution. Policies making some energy sources more expensive inexorably will create such redistribution because states and regions differ in the proportions of their energy use derived from alternative technologies. In particular, the president's proposals will penalize areas and industries disproportionately dependent on coal-fired power. A recent MIT study concludes that under a policy to reduce GHG emissions "California, the Pacific Coast, New England, and New York generally experience the lowest cost while the South Central , Texas, and Mountain States face the highest cost."
Meanwhile, Europe's obsession with climate change and fossil fuel eradication has caused it to spend $882 billion on wind and solar power since 2005. Over 800,000 Germans have had their electricity cut off, because they could not afford to pay their soaring electricity bills; millions of British families have been driven into fuel poverty; and millions remain jobless in a stagnant EU economy.
By Thomas Pyle, WSJ, Aug 9, 2015
Solomon found the Wikipedia site actually accused Dr. Singer of believing in Martian extraterrestrial beings. Singer told Solomon that was nonsense, but that he'd been unable to correct it on the Wikipedia site. Every time he put in the correction, it was immediately reversed by "Tabletop."
Bear in mind, if the models correctly simulate the trend in the earth??s GMST, we??d expect to find 5% of the simulated trends inconsistent at p=5%. In contrast, using the test applied in section 5.1.1 of Santer17 we find roughly 1/3rd of all 38 model runs result in trends that are inconsistent with the observed trend to p=5%. If we screen out the runs that use unrealistic volcanic forcings, the inconsistency between models and observations worsens. In contrast, results improve if we include the cases that fail to include the forcings due to volcanic activity. However, even for the cases that with physically unrealistic forcings, 18% of the individual cases fail at p=5%.
Hansen forecast peak ice loss for the Weddell Sea. Instead, it has seen peak ice gain and is at an all time record this year. Another inverted Hansen prediction.
6) Christopher Booker: Chris Huhne Has A Blueprint For A Green, Cold, Dark Britain The Sunday Telegraph, 19 December 2010
> >> >>current climatic variability in Africa. Much relevant
Then I will follow up with observations which run counter to his (and his co-authors) claim that an increase in ocean surface wind-driven mixing has caused the recent lack of global warming.
Lest anyone see a greenhouse fingerprint in the larger number of hurricanes since 1975, 16 were remants of tropical storms. In contrast, only one remnant is identified for 1950-1974 and none is identified for 1900-1949. No doubt New York experienced many hurricane remnants that were not identified as such before the advent of weather satellites and hurricane hunter aircraft.
The basis for these preposterous machinations can be laid at the door of generations of empire-building USDA bureaucrats. Genetically engineered crop varieties have been a huge boon to farmers, consumers, and the natural environment because they produce higher yields with lower inputs and reduced environmental effects. Last year the European Commission published the second report from a 25-year-long study that found that biotech crops are as safe, and sometimes safer, for consumers and the environment as conventionally bred plant varieties. It also concluded that biotech varieties can help farmers globally to meet the needs of a rapidly rising world population while also addressing the related challenges of climate change in a sustainable way.
There has been global warming for 300 years, but we could have influenced just 20 years of warming the 1980s and 90s and even then only in theory. For even if the IPCC were correct in its wildly-exaggerated estimate that CO2 caused 0.8 Watts per square meter of radiative forcing, a fall in cloud cover during these two decades caused more than five and a half times as much forcing, at 4.5 W/m2.
In the end, every unit of wind electricity produced requires at least two units of gas fired electricity to create a theoretical hybrid dispatchable resource. So a 10% wind mandate essentially becomes a 20% gas mandate which in turn can be seen as a 30% anti-coal and nuclear mandate. Since existing base load electricity is cheaper and more energy efficient than new load following generation, this suggests winds costs go beyond its internal costs to impose external costs on both base load generators and the environment .
CEI is awaiting a ruling from the D.C. Superior Court on its sanctions motion against AG Walker.