Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Tropospheric water vapor has been on a long-term declining trend, and is the source of all stratospheric water vapor as noted by Dessler above. However, if tropospheric water vapor has declined, how could stratospheric water vapor increase 1980-2000 according to Solomon, or have a "long-term increase" according to the IPCC, or have no long-term trend according to Dessler?
Delegates to the UN climate talks in Bonn entered their plenary session today holding indulgences absolving them of their carbon sins. Gaia the earth goddess, wearing her trademark green frock and crown of leaves welcomed the delegates and bestowed her indulgences.
I have never been a climate change skeptic and until the release of emails from UEA/CRU I had paid little attention to the science surrounding it.
The Worst Economic Recovery Since The Great Depression
They pretend otherwise, of course. Almost four years ago, when I wrote a 2500-word article in the Sunday Telegraph pointing out that the notion of a very large climate warming attributable to future increases in CO2 concentration was scientifically ill-founded, Monbiot wrote a scathing 1800-word response in the Daily Kommissar, in which he made a dozen laughably elementary scientific errors.
This applies not only to the northern areas, but also the south. In the Omsk and Novosibirsk regions the average daily temperature is below normal by 4 degrees, reaching temperatures normally seen in October.
The first part of Minster Combets address covered a number of scientific points, which we review in a parallel article . As for earlier audits that we have made of government statements on global warming, we find that the government is ill advised and has embarked on a political course of action that lacks sound scientific foundation.
E. Corals in warm, tropical seas around the world are thriving as the ocean waters around them get warmer.
Washington, D.C., January 4, 2007With the opening of the 110th Congress, the new majorities in the House and Senate are preparing to embark on an ambitious domestic policy agenda. A higher minimum wage, lower Medicare drug prices, changes to oil and gas royalties and subsidies for renewable energy are all on the front-burner.
to abandon bias and extreme statements and to embrace debate
As the graph's red plot depicts, global warming trends have been on a deceleration path for an extended period, indicating a strong likelihood that global warming by 2050 will be nowhere close to he current official predictions.
While as process studies, there is merit in this research, but to transfer the results as skillful projections to policymakers is inappropriate and misleading. Now only is there no value added in regional downscaling of mult-decadal projections beyond what can be achieved by just interpolating downscale a global model to finer scale surface terrain information , the global models themselves have not demonstrated skill at accurately predicting historic changes in the global climate.
As computer simulations have become more sophisticated, projections of rising sea levels have become much smaller.
On August 23, 2006, Mr. Corcoran published an article in the National Post entitled Hockey sticks and hatchets: Inside the Globes 4,200-word hatchet job on climate skeptics. The article made a number of factual assertions about Dr. Weaver and noted, in 2004 , Dr. Weaver dismissed the original hockey-stick research debunking the 1,000-year claim as simply pure and unadulterated rubbish.
Now one can read convoluted explanations about how rising CO2 in the atmosphere can cause land surface heating which is then transported over the ocean and causes higher SST. But the interface between ocean and air is well described and measured. Not surprisingly it is the warmer ocean water sending heat into the atmosphere, and not the other way around.
Andrew Montford: I think there??s absolutely no doubt that there was no conspiracy. All the inquiries were deficient for their own reasons. So if I was running the country there would be a public inquiry into Climategate because the people who have been tasked with investigating it have failed to do so.
Temperatures are above 0F (-18C) in the middle of the Urban Heat Island.
The Pause in ???Earth??s Temperature?? appears in many of Earth??s observational records, with The Pause lasting for at least a decade, and in reasonable portion of the records, it appears to have begun with the strong 1998 El Nino. The questions now are how long will The Pause last and where will ???Earth??s Temperature?? go from there?
So, based on that discussion, the modeled and observed satellite-era Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) data are shown in Figure 27, where the short-term AMO is determined by subtracting the data (and model outputs) for the rest of the global oceans from the North Atlantic data (and model outputs). And once again, the data (and model outputs) for the rest of the global oceans were determined by subtracting the scaled North Atlantic data (and model outputs) from the global value (the same method for the rest of the global oceans shown in Figures 25 and 26). As shown in Figure 27, the models do not capture the additional natural warming of the North Atlantic associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
> >> University of East Anglia web site:
Rahm Emanuel knows the White House well from his time there under Clinton,
better diagnostics (e.g. betas) than his original method. So we will still not
Although the NOAA report noted that in 2012, the Arctic continues to warm with sea ice reaching record lows, it also stated that the Antarctica sea ice reached a record high of 7.51 million square miles on Sept. 26, 2012.
No "scalable" alternative fuels currently exist to replace fossil fuels. To avoid the economic, social, environmental, and human health catastrophes that would follow the elimination of hydrocarbons, we would need affordable, reliable options on a big enough scale to replace the fuels we rely on today. The divestment movement ignores the enormity of current and future global energy needs (met and unmet), and the fact that existing "renewable" technologies cannot possibly meet those requirements.
That's the most important statement so far in the decades-old climate debate: You're forcing us backward into poverty and ignorance for nothing, except to further your careers, funding and power.
Clearly, the energy infrastructure involved would be massive and hugely expensive. Not only would there need to be an enormous increase in wind and solar farms, something like a quadrupling from current German levels, but there would also need to be maybe hundreds of plants built to produce, and a new grid built to distribute and store, all of this new biogas.
Another negative climate feedback: more CO2 = more plants = more aerosols = cooling
Yesterday's blog was on the hype about heat waves--the claim that people will drop like flies from heat stress in U.S. cities unless urgent action is taken to cut carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions.
TPA seems likely to pass the Senate, but passage in the House is uncertain. In 1993, Clinton pushed through the NAFTA agreement with Mexico with 234 votes in the House 132 from Republicans and 102 from Democrats. In 2002, the House passed trade promotion authority by just a 215-212 margin, with aye votes from 190 Republicans and only 25 Democrats.
Empirical evidence shows that Earth is currently ???greening?? significantly due to additional CO2 and a modest warming.
This year it is hot in Texas and cold in Vancouver, and they are blaming that on global warming.
Anyone who has studied the history of science knows that scientists are not immune to the non-rational dynamics of the herd. Many false ideas enjoyed consensus opinion at one time. Indeed, the "power of the paradigm" often shapes the thinking of scientists so strongly that they become unable to accurately summarize, let alone evaluate, radical alternatives. Question the paradigm, and some respond with dogmatic fanaticism.
BrightSources setback stands in stark contrast with this weeks ultra-successful IPO by Forum Energy Technologies , an oil-services provider. The company had hoped to sell 16 million shares, but demand far exceeded expectations, and almost 19 million shares were sold, at the high end of Forum Energys hoped-for price. Because the services provided by Forum Energy Technologies engender a productoilthat people actually want to buy*, the company does not need government handouts.
A crucial measure of our knowledge of feedbacks is climate sensitivitythat is, the warming induced by a hypothetical doubling of carbon-dioxide concentration. Today??s best estimate of the sensitivity (between 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit and 8.1 degrees Fahrenheit) is no different, and no more certain, than it was 30 years ago. And this is despite an heroic research effort costing billions of dollars.
In fact, it is almost certain that the wind-generated electricity cost more when the consumer payments, taxpayer subsidies, and the cost of the backup gas generation are added together. There is no doubt that it cost significantly more to generate electricity from wind than from natural gas .
A former Transportation Security Administration agent who spent three years in jail for stealing from passenger luggage told ABC News that the practice was very commonplace. Pythias Brown, who worked at Newark International Airport, said he stole more than $800,000 worth of goods from luggage and security checkpoints. He was finally caught when he tried to sell a stolen CNN camera on eBay but forgot to take off all the stickers that tied the camera to the news network.
Their letter would be more convincing if they werent so dismissive of the costs involved. They cite unnamed recent studies that claim emission cuts could create 150,000 jobs in Michigan. I put more stock in the analysis by the Energy Information Administration of last years Lieberman-Warner bill (which is similar to the Waxman-Markey bill now before Congress). The EIA pointed out that cutting carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions requires driving up energy prices, and this will shrink the economy. U.S. manufacturing would decline by 3% to 7%, depending on how lucky the United States is at developing alternative energy sources, and manufacturing employment will fall between 3% and 10% (p. 39). Of course the professors wont lose their jobs, but they should still be concerned about these things.
For years, one of the problems I have had with the way CO2 cap and trade systems were structured was a fear that these systems would devolve into cronyism, with the companies best able to lobby the government getting allocations while less connected companies had to pay. It seems this is already occuring in California:
One of the most lucrative segments of the global warming money tree is consulting:
It is the Clinton administrationspast and futurethat provide the Competitive Enterprise Institute with a moral lodestonebecause every compass needle needs a butt end. And whatever direction the Clintons are pointingtoward regulatory interference, health care reform, Kyoto treaty, or inappropriate personal relationships (such as Hillary and Rupert Murdoch)we can go in the opposite direction with a clear conscience.
"For the second time since he became chairman in 2006, Ben S. Bernanke is leading the Federal Reserve into uncharted monetary territory."FDIC Head Sounds Alarm on Foreclosure Litigation:
By the time you get to trend lengths of 30 or so years, the observed trend is threatening the lower limit of the 95% confidence range of climate model expectations. Such mounting evidence begins to start to make you wonder whether there is some fundamental problem between climate models and reality.
JAXA sea ice area has dropped to 2008 levels:
There are now elements in the environmental movement who are so worried about the state of the planet that they have lost all sense of proportion. This is alarming for those at the receiving end of their mindless wrath. It does not help to protect the environment either. Just like Boko Haram does not endear anyone to Muslims, green radicals taint all environmentalists. But whereas Islamic leaders immediately distance themselves from any new outrage, environmental leaders pretend nothing happened.
They found a pH range from ~8.0 to ~7.6 standard units and -aragonite ranges from ~3.7 to ~1.9. They found some species variations that couldnt really be assigned to pH differences and were similar to other reefs. In general, they found a healthy, thriving coral system. The negative seems to be increased macrobioerosion with decreasing pH.
During an interglacial period sea levels normally rise and ice melts, and the system inertia lasts thousands of years until the onset of the next ice age. During the last interglacial, sea levels were up to 43 feet higher and Greenland was 8C warmer with a much smaller ice cap ; there is no evidence this interglacial is any different. Theres no evidence of acceleration, therefore no evidence of anthropogenic influence on sea level rise for the past 20,000 years.
By the time the Clean Air Amendments of 1970 had federalized air pollution control, smoke had been conquered in most urban areas, and air quality was improving substantially in the most polluted areas -- particularly for the very pollutants perceived to be causing the worst problems.8
With these two guys leading, what could possibly go wrong?
This theory was used to make predictions by at least 73 computer models. Thirty years of observations has proven every prediction wrong. Therefore their theory is wrong. That is how science works.
Globally tropical storms show no correlation with our CO2 emissions. Their global energy levels are no different to what they were 40 years ago.
"We may need to think well beyond this political pledge; What kind of society is sustainable over centuries? How about over thousands of years? Whatever the requirements, we have to make sure that America is the kind that can survive. Even with creeping government growth and paternalism, a handful of centuries is enough to wipe out precious freedoms if government is not restrained. So we want to see packages like this pledge, but also serious, fundamental extensions of it that ask questions not driven merely by responses to the antics of an opposing party."
The Science Media Centre is best known to readers here for its press release about the Oxburgh inquiry, in which they managed to quote only scientists implicated in wrongdoing over Climategate.
Many critics of the EPA's evaluation system point to flaws in the EPA's measurement process. "The test needs to include more fundamental engineering," said John H. Johnson, the co-author of a 2002 National Academy of Sciences report on fuel efficiency standards. He added, "They haven't been updated to encompass hybrids."
Hereward Corley pointed out that the reference to Shaviv (2008) should have been Shaviv (2005). Nir Shaviv another genius of a mathematician had originally sent me the paper saying it was from 2008, but the version he sent was an undated pre-publication copy. Mr. Corley also kindly supplied half a dozen further papers that determine climate sensitivity empirically. Most of the papers find it low, and all find it below the IPCCs estimates. The papers are Chylek & Lohman (2008); Douglass & Knox (2005); Gregory et al. (2002); Hoffert & Covey (1992); Idso (1998); and Loehle & Scafetta (2011).
The lowly concept of private property has to be ignored. What if the New Orleans levees had been owned by the people whose property they protected? Or what if just New Orleans taxpayers, instead of all of us taxpayers, had had to pay for those levees? There would have been no problem evacuating people from New Orleans. They would have been gone already.
Sure American food production causes a net increase in some air borne things. Thats called human activity. The 3rd world would like to saythanks.
Ocean currents have taken the heat down to the deep sea , insists Sebastian Mernild of the Glaciology and Climate Change Laboratory Center for Scientific Studies in Chile.
1980 vs 2008 1990 vs 2008
A refinery concluded that changes to the Fluid Catalytic Cracking Unit (FCCU) riser design to allow better catalyst-crude mixing would result in more gasoline being produced from the FCCU. While the change would not increase emissions at the FCCU, it would likely increase emissions from the gasoline loading dock and would lower emissions from diesel loading. Analysis has not yet been done to show if the increase would be significant (i.e., > 40 tons/year); however, using the potential-to-emit methodology, the project would trigger the PSD permitting requirement since the facility is under the permit cap limit by more than 40 tons/yr. The project, if completed, would not cause the facility to exceed its state permit facility cap for VOC, NOx, SOx or any other pollutant.31
To draw any conclusions about Arctic ice or temperatures, using data that begins at the coldest point of the cycle is utterly worthless and grossly misleading. But this is climate science we are talking about.
While it might be overreaching to bundle certain dishonest players within various categories into a unified conspiracy theory, many of these organs of misinformation clearly do appear to be joined at a common colon. Either way, the end results are much the same.
Imagine if the increase of 1 degree was real, I would say, good for usgood for the health of the planet, and the increase in carbon dioxide is improving the planet, greening what were previously not productive areas.
"The eagles were not flying over the site," LaPre said. "I thought they'd be OK."
"House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer has joined President Obama in conceding that he blundered by voting against an increase to the government's debt ceiling. "
The absence of a temperature rise over that decade is often used by climate sceptics as grounds for denying the existence of man-made global warming.
View CEI's comments to EPA by Marlo Lewis
This is an encouraging start and its inclusion would improve models significantly. Clearly it would reduce very substantially thecurrently IPCC calculated temperature sensitivity to CO2 . He now also needs to add into the models the iris effect of the GCR modulation of the global incoming radiation flux via clouds ,possibly related natural aerosols, and resulting albedo changes on global temperatures.When this is done the sensitivity to doubling CO2 will be 1 degree or less similar to separate calculations by Lindzen, Spencer and Bjornbom:
Sydneys huge Warragamba dam was completed in early 1960 when the population was about one million. We have had rapic population growth and now, with no new storage facilities being built, we suffer occasional water shortages.
When testing data, it is obviously possible to take two approaches: a) Select a data set and use only that data set or b) Use a collection of all data thought reliable by practitioners. I prefer the second approach. As I see it, the advantages and disadvantages of each approach are as follows:
We can put a note in that something will be there in the next draft, or Kevin
American physicist Richard Muller is one climate sceptic who has recently changed his mind after reviewing the evidence.
Mills also notes that today's global warming policies are a replay of 1970s "energy crisis" policies. Now as then, "saving the planet" means enacting energy efficiency and fuel economy standards, mass transit programs, energy taxes or rationing, and subsidies for wind and solar power. Whatever the crisis du jour whether the problem is suppose to be a world running out of oil or a world a wash in fossil fuels, the "solutions" remain the same.
"Prescription medicines may harm children. We'd better do test on kids and see if we can get some to die."
www.areanews.com .au/story/.../australias-antarctic-runway-melting/?...
In other words: pay-as-you-go on climate change means that so far as China is concerned, the U.S. and other advanced countries should do all the paying, and most of the going.
There is, of course, a lot of interest in whether the warm temperatures this summer were associated with global warming. It does not appear so. The warming was caused by anomalous high pressure over the eastern Pacific last fall and there is no reason to believe that has anything to do with warming the planet from the greenhouse gases mankind emits.
Leader of Anglican Church Should Consider Effects of His Comments on World's Poor
Met Office, 25 February 2009: Peter Stott, Climate Scientist at the Met Office, said: "Despite the cold winter this year, the trend to milder and wetter winters is expected to continue, with snow and frost becoming less of a feature in the future.
"Free speech," says George Will, "has never been more comprehensively, aggressively and dangerously threatened than it is now. Today they are attacking the theory of free speech the desirability of free speech and indeed the very possibility of free speech ."
SM: I think if Milton Friedman is not the most influential economist of the 20th century, he's second only to Keynes in terms of his impact. So he is a living legend. When you talk about the free-market revolution that's happening all over the world, and I think it is happening--Milton Friedman is really the intellectual inspiration for that.
The CEIP is an early action credit program. By "early," EPA means the CEIP authorizes states to award regulatory credits for new renewable power provided before the CPP compliance period (2022-2030). EPA will, in addition, award up to 300 million tons worth of extra credits to "early actors' on a matching basis.
A former employee who spent two years at Teri said Dr Pachauri was continually concerned about funding.
Secondly, we see that the relationship is the strongest over the western U.S. This pattern is consistent with a longwave low pressure trough over the western U.S., which favors more tornado formation for the reasons outlined above.
Pielke Jr. on Hurricane Sandy not the new normal
Just two weeks ago, however, Huntsman delivered the keynote address at the annual dinner of the Republicans for Environmental Protection, which my web site JunkScience.com, protested as RINOs for EPA Protection. REP, after all, has been defending the EPA in response to Congressional GOP efforts to rein in the out-of-control agency.
White House staffer to Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush; chairman of BGR Group
Extreme cold warning s for the Fond-du-Lac, Stony Rapids and Black Lake, Uranium City Camsell Portage and Wollaston Lake Collins Bay regions.
The implied linkage between oil and gas development and President Obamas clean-energy policies is particularly fanciful. There is no cost-benefit analysis that could justify the administrations clean-energy investments in renewables, efficiency, transportation and infrastructure. Any sector can grow if tens or hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars are thrown into the mix. Now Mr. Obama and his green-energy friends hope to receive credit for the wonders of hydraulic fracturing, an energy revolution that occurred in spite of Obama administration antidrilling policies. It is an audacious claim and one that is fundamentally dishonest.
9. In January 1970, Life reported, "Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half ."
Another Stonyfield ad reads, "Because very few recipes call for antibiotics and toxic persistent pesticides."