Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"Why are we arguing the issue?" Grantham asks. "Challenging vested interests as powerful as the oil and coal lobbies was never going to be easy. Scientists are not naturally aggressive defenders of arguments. In short, they are conservatives by training: never, ever risk overstating your ideas. The skeptics are far, far more determined and expert propagandists to boot. They are also well-funded . . . The obfuscators' simple and direct motivationmaking money in the near term, which anyone can relate tocombined with their resources and, as it turns out, propaganda talents, have meant that we are arguing the science long after it has been nailed down."
The Energiewende is still on the political agenda in Berlin, but there is also a firm amount of backtracking going on in the German capital.
In 1954, average July maximum temperatures were three degrees higher (106F) than last month (103F) in Hennesey. A number of years in the 1930s and 1950s had temperatures over 100 degrees in both July and August, and that does not appear likely to happen in 2011, with cooler weather in the forecast.
We urge people to examine evidence on competing hypotheses of long-term climate change. If you suspect we are biased, replicate our papers in question, "Polar Bear Population Forecasts," and "Validity of Climate Change Forecasting for Public Policy Decision Making."
See also the peer-reviewed Legates, D. R., Soon, W., & Briggs, W. M. (2013). Learning and teaching climate science: The perils of consensus knowledge using agnotology. Science & Education , 22, 20072017 ( pdf ).
However, both the reconstructed winter temperatures as well as indirect indicators of summer temperatures suggest the Medieval period before the 1200s was at least as warm as at the end of the 1990s in Svalbard.
(8) When the subject matter seems, by its nature, to resist consensus.
A New Yorker cartoon from several years ago shows a vast, cubicle-filled office, with a manager explaining that the "dim fluorescent lighting is meant to emphasize the general absence of hope."
I have often groused about the lack of security in Microsoft products. While looking to get a Raspberry Pi, I wandered down a set of links that ended up on Yet Another Microsoft Security Hole
Meanwhile, Obama's energy policies have matched environmentalist contributions dollar for dollar.Obama may not have much understanding of America's energy needs, but he can add.Hedoes understand how much environmental groups contributed to his campaign and what they expect in return.The irony is that by distorting the free market, Obama's energy policies are stifling innovation and harming both the environment and the economy.Corn ethanol may be great for Iowa, but it is a killer for the rest of us.
Under the Administration's assumptions of worldwide emission trading the U.S. would purchase between 82 and 88 percent of its permits from abroad. The European Union and others wish to restrict that number to 50 percent.
In describing the intrusion of foreign actors into U.S. domestic policy, Fonte uses a phrase of former German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer, "global domestic politics," which neatly captures the problem. In the globalista view, there is no room for national variation from their norms, or tolerance for contrary majorities in different countries. This attitude explains the ongoing efforts to homogenize E.U. member states, and the growing tendency to second-guess what have been seen historically as entirely domestic issues. Fonte focuses primarily on how various seemingly innocuous international "human rights" conventions, and numerous U.N. bodies (such as the United Nations Human Rights Council), have been used to criticize and harass the United States in recent years.
President Barack Obama's decision to open up portions of the U.S. coastline to offshore drilling is a move in the right direction. Proponents of offshore drilling will argue that the proposal does not go far enough, since drilling will be limited to areas south of New Jersey on the Atlantic Coast, certain sections of the Gulf of Mexico and the north coast of Alaska. Critics will argue that the decision will increase the U.S.' carbon footprint and dependency on fossil fuels and contribute to global warming. But the decision reflects reality. Fossil fuels will continue to be an important source of energy for the U.S. economy over the next several decades as global economies gradually shift to cleaner, renewable sources of energy.
Scary stuff two inches of sea level rise over the next 100 years. For reference. sometimesthe incoming tide changes sea level forty inches in less than one second in the Bristol Channel.
"A poker game may be friendly in South Carolina -- but it's still illegal."
The second branch was subjective Bayesianism . To this group, all probabilities are experiences, feelings that give rise to numbers which are the results of bets you make with yourself or against Mother Nature (nobody makes bets with God anymore). To get the probability of A you poll your inner self, first wondering how youd feel if A were true, then how youd feel if A were false. The sort of ratio, or cut point, where you would feel equally good or bad becomes the probability. Subjective Bayesianism, then, was a perfect philosophy of probability for the twentieth century. It spread like mad starting in the late 1970s and still holds sway today; it is even gaining ground on frequentism.
Manitoba conservation officials have stumbled across a pleasant surprise a large number of polar bear dens along the Hudson Bay coast near the Ontario boundary.
The second emphasis should be on developing and deploying new energy technologies. That has been President Bush's position since 2001, and it was given institutional form with the creation of the Asia-Pacific Partnership for Clean Development and Climate. Special attention should be given to reducing the tax and regulatory policies that discourage investment in new technologies. As new technologies become commercially viable, they will be adopted without requiring regulatory mandates.
Instead, volunteers were told they would face only "minimal risks," the kind they would ordinarily encounter in daily life, in performing routine physical activities. Others were told they might experience claustrophobia in the small study chambers, or some minor degree of airway irritation, shortness of breath, coughing or wheezing. There is no way such advisories can lead to "informed consent."
The first is that when I went from a regular to a fat-tailed distribution, the climate sensitivity did not change for either the NH or the SH. If they had changed radically, I would have been suspicious of the introduction of the variable c.
So, it comes down to trying to find an Orthopedic Doctor who will take her and comply with the CA requirements, which the Drs. don't like.
During the 2006 congressional campaign Democrats denounced the Republican majority for its wastrel ways. It was a fair criticism: the GOP lavished money on pork as well as entitlements. There was, it seemed, no program which the Republicans didn't want to increase! Now the Democrats are in charge, and, well, nothing much has changed. The symbol of congressional waste and corruption is the earmark, an appropriation typically directed by one legislator to a major constituent or campaign contributor. Alas, the supposedly reformist Democrats have joined ranks with the supposedly reformed Republicans to support every earmark that comes to a vote.
The fires can certainly be far worse in drought years. But droughts are nothing new, either. We all recall the seven-year drought that brought Joseph to prominence in pharaoh's Egypt, and the eight-year-long Dust Bowl during the 1930s. Historians describe a 50-year "water famine" that drove Anasazis out of the American Southwest, the 200-year drought that ended Mayan civilization, and other parched periods in China, Africa, Mesopotamia, and other regions.
Far worse, more than 5.5 million households will be plunged into "fuel poverty" by early 2011 forced to spend more than 10% of their family incomes on energy National Energy Action and other charities said. That's over one-fifth of all UK households and a major increase from 4.5 million families in 2008. Most in these households are over age 60, but working families are also struggling to keep the heat on, as prices soar.
Newcastles only big wind turbine seems to be reaching up to the sky for the breezes to keep the city running during the approaching night! Is this the future of energy, free renewable and non polluting. For a city which has been based on technology we are slow to move on from the old coal based power structure. People want their power but what is the cost? Later generations will have to put up with the results of our excessive use and pollution it causes.
/s/ Dr. Henry P. Decell, Jr. JSC, Chief, Theory & Analysis Office, 5 years
But the eclipses are very rare. They don't even occur once per month because the plane in which the Earth orbits the Sun and the plane of Moon's orbit around the Earth don't coincide; they're tilted relatively to one another so the celestial bodies which is why they usually miss the "conjunction".
Our government is planning to construct a pipeline from western Uganda to Tanzania. The project could employ over 15,000 people. Along with other oil operations, it will boost our economy and give us more critically needed energy. But some agencies and organizations oppose it because it would "contribute to global warming," and they would rather see us remain poor beggars to the West.
But since temperature is an important part of climate, this is like saying that climate change may result in climate change.
What's with all this panic and alarm? Why are America's politicians whining? They whine because it works. When your were a kid, and your read the Chicken Little story, did you ever wonder if Chicken Little had an agenda?
We should be of good courage, because theres probably another reason Obamas EPAwill issue a stand-alone endangerment finding. The Obama team has to know thatEPAcannot control the regulatory cascade once it starts. They also must know that theeconomic repercussions could be devastatingand that they wont be able to blame G.W. Bush.
If more of this new natural gas were devoted to generating electricity instead of just backing up 40,000 U.S. wind turbines millions of birds and bats would not be slaughtered every year, and vital species would not be driven to the brink of extinction in wildlife habitats that have been blanketed by turbines.
New research questions the forecasting methods scientists have been using to predict future global warming
Perhaps that is because international efforts have not succeeded thus far. Gwyn Prins of the London School of Economics and Steve Rayner of Oxford University say the Kyoto Protocol, "as an instrument for achieving emissions reductions, has failed . . . It has produced no demonstrable reductions in emissions or even in anticipated emissions growth." Meanwhile, the United States is having better luck at controlling its emissions, without the multi-billion-dollar mandates of Kyoto.
Bill Hennessy: Global Warming Dying Fast
The increase in Antarctic sea ice extent is entirely consistent with increased global temperatures due to high solar activity as explained by Henrik Svensmarks theory. This theory holds that high solar activity produces a lower neutron flux in the lower troposphere from intergalactic cosmic radiation, in turn providing fewer nucleation sites for cloud droplet formation and thus less cloud cover.
I remember as a young boy in England, huddling with my family round a coal fire that was our only source of heat and light (bar a few candles) during the power disruptions of the 1970s. A world without power is not a pleasant place.
?? Not even ignorance could be responsible for a thing like that. ?? So tide gauges, you have to treat very, very carefully. Now, back to satellite altimetry. From 1992 to 2002, was a straight line, variability along a straight line, but absolutely no trend whatsoever. We could see those spikes: a very rapid rise, but then in half a year, they fall back again. But absolutely no trend, and to have a sea-level rise, you need a trend.
* The IPCC does not even study climate change in its entirety, or all the complex, interrelated forces that cause periodic warming, cooling and other changes. It analyzes only variations allegedly caused by humans, and assumes that all recent and future changes are human-caused and dangerous. Its analyses, conclusions and recommendations therefore do not form a credible basis for public policies.
Baos group went about investigating the post-glaciation period of Snowball Earth by looking at unique occurrences of crystal fans of a common mineral known as barite (BaSO4), deposited in rocks following the Marinoan glaciation. Out of the three stable isotopes of oxygen, O-16, O-17 and O-18, Baos group pays close attention to the relatively scarce isotope O-17. According to Killingsworth, there arent many phenomena on earth that can change the normally expected ratio of the scare isotope O-17 to more abundant isotope O-18. However, in sulfate minerals such as barite in rock samples from around 635 million years ago, Baos group finds large deviations in the normal ratio of O-17 to O-18 with respect to O-16 isotopes.
EPA??s proposal is short-sighted, the MIT researchers suggest.Althoughfuel-switching can achievenear-term CO2 emission cuts,greater reductions in the future ???will not be possible without technologies that emit less carbon than natural gas.?? EPA policy should aim at improving the cost and performance of CCS technology to the point where it is economical to deploy with NGCC power plants. But without investment in coal with CCS,industry will never gain the ???commercial scale?? experience required to apply CCS to NGCC power plants.
Response: As explained in responses to related questions, the statement that EPA stated that fuel-switching from coal to natural gas would not and could not be considered BACT is not entirely correct. While EPA did not propose that CCS represented BSER , EPA stated in the preamble of the proposed NSPS rule that CCS is technologically feasible for implementation at new coal-fired power plants and its core components (CO2 capture, compression, transportation and storage) have already been implemented at commercial scale. .
A security company announces it will offer password-generating chips in credit cards to bolster data security.
"In 2012, as compared with the base year of 1990, their concentration will increase by 18 PPM, if the Kyoto measures are not carried out, or by 16-17 PPM, if they are implemented. It transpires that the effect of these measures on the climate is a mere 1-2 PPM. This fact allows the critics of the Kyoto Protocol to describe it as ineffective. But experts maintain that a reduction by even 1 PPM is quite good, considering that the task of stabilizing greenhouse emissions in the atmosphere has been set for a hundred years, not for five."
I can see the linear trend and Im prepared to trust that one third of the warming has occurred in the 700-2000 m layer of the ocean. But the last claim: that the warming can only be explained by the increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases. This is an extremely speculative claim.
Robyn Terry, the congressman's wife, had described the video as a "political commercial."
Last but not least, soft power. On the military side, China is focusing on developing security cooperation within the ASEAN Regional Forum framework with the intent of marginalizing America. On the civilian side, China is peddling "Asian values" from Africa to Eurasia and from Latin America to Southeast Asia. For the past six years, China has been promoting autocracy through soft power while America has been promoting democracy through hard power, and the verdict is in: China today has a more positive image worldwide than America.14
Let us celebrate our progress, and turn our attention to real problems that still must be corrected. Let us also examine claims used to justify regulations and roll back rules that don't pass scientific muster.
CFACT's Morano holds Gingrich's feet to fire for climate position
In THER seems to record the ice in Antarctica and a declining hope for a super-el-nine be what glder antagonists and protagonists of most concern from the moment of.
This will reduce the 1940-1970 cooling in NH temps. Explaining the cooling with
The entire world was being asked to change the way it lives on the basis of pure hyperbole. Propriety, probity and transparency were routinely sacrificed.
Making an argument broadly accepted among economists, Sita Slavov, my colleague at the American Enterprise Institute, recently wrote that a carbon tax "set to reflect the spillover costs of carbon emissions" would be a policy more efficient than such interventions as light-bulb bans and energy consumption standards for appliances, sometimes called "command-and-control" policies. The tax would allow consumers to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG) attendant upon their energy consumption patterns in ways that minimize the costs of doing so. Bans and performance standards, on the other hand, allow for far less flexibility, and thus would achieve a given GHG reduction at a cost higher than necessary.
Here are the just published global temperature data sets for UAH (University of Alabama) and RSS (Remote Sensing Systems) and the 20 year time-line. Dr. Hansen if you are reading can you kindly point out where in the time-line the crimes occurred and tipping points are?
While American utilities are switching from coal to gas, electricity generators around the world are swarming to the coal market. The BP data show that between 2002 and 2012, global coal consumption grew by the equivalent of about 26 million barrels of oil per day. That's nearly as much as the growth in oil, natural gas, hydro power, and nuclear power combined.
In contrast, there is the paper of Abatzoglou, Rupp, and Mote (2014) that suggests greenhouse gases are the dominant source of warming. Specifically, they stated that anthropogenic forcing was "the leading contributor to long term warming." In their paper, they used a technique called multiple linear regression to determine the forcing of temperature by several forcing mechanism (natural variability, volcanoes, solar variability, and human greenhouse gas forcing). Their results suggested that anthropogenic contributions (greenhouse gases) were dominant. But unfortunately, their approach has some critical problems that make their conclusions insupportable. Problems so severe I am surprised they got through the review process.
Industry, States Set to Fight EPA Greenhouse Gas Rules GWPF
The effect is quite clear. The recent ???spurious?? measurement remains unchanged, and the past gets colder.
If I were Chicken Little what I'd try to do was build my support base in places that are most prone to natural disasters, especially places where the populace is completely incapable of taking care of itself. The location of Hollywood on a major earthquake fault is this kind of planning at its best. Another possibility would be to move Howard Dean, Al Sharpton, Al Franken, Michael Moore, and Hillary Clinton into house trailers in Kansas during tornado season.
Will Senators Webb, Warner Stop the Green Police?
The effect on California's economy has been disastrous. Heavy manufacturing in the state is dead. The industries it has leftentertainment in Hollywood and technology in Silicon Valleyare not enough to supply the tax base the state needs to support its expansive social welfare programs, which in turn have seen demand spike because of high unemployment caused by the energy policy.
It shouldn't, but it will. Among the reasons winter storms will make this issue more politically challenging are overreach and simplification - on both sides of the debate. "An Inconvenient Truth" brought the issue of climate change to the fore, but many of the charts implying that the world's end is near were overly dramatic.
Private emails between two or more parties: These are sent and delivered between personal email accounts such as those set up for individuals and private businesses on services like Google and Yahoo! You know, like the personal accounts that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin utilized last year that were illegally hacked .
For a whole host of reasons, many Americans want to reduce their consumption of energy. They may care about the environment; they may want to reduce America's foreign energy dependence; they may want the moral satisfaction of knowing they have done what they can to deny their dollars to petro-barons; or, in today's troubled economy, they may simply want to live more frugally. But the main emphasis in public discussion of reducing energy use has been on the big but hard-to-change itemshousing, vehicles, and so onthat people in highly developed economies have historically proven reluctant to forego.
Now, the climate science community acknowledges the importance of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The climate scientists who run the blog RealClimate note on their Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation webpage:
Not impressed yet? Here is a higher resolution radar image (from Camano Island radar) five minutes earlier (8:54 PM). WOW. Look closely and you will see the color blue in the center of this storm. Very rare. The figure indicates the highest composite reflectivity (the highest reflectivity in a vertical column) was 69, which is associated with hail and torrential rain. You will also notice more showers to the south.
APPENDIX: Preface to the Czech edition of Nigel Lawson?s ?An Appeal to Reason?
Get all the information on his main Global Cooling Radio Page
Yet the document also calls for a guaranteed end to warfare altogether for the sake of curbing climate change.
Electric power is the quickest, surest, cheapest way to lift people out of poverty, disease, subsistence agriculture and childhood death ? thereby stabilizing India?s population, which may soon overtake China?s.
Regardless, the component thats very obviously missing is the anthropogenic global warming component. Sea surface temperature anomalies for the East Pacific havent warmed in 30 years. A trend of 0.007 deg C per decade is basically flat. Thats 7 one-thousandths of a deg C per decade, or based on the linear trend, theyve warmed 2.1 one-hundredths of a deg C over the past 30 years. Its foolish to think in terms that small when dealing with a body of water thats about 120 million square kilometers or about 46 million square miles. Its better simply to say the data shows no evidence of warming.
There's another reason to put aside the Obama budget plans.
Part of the answer to this question undoubtedly resides in the nature of the photosynthetic responses of the grassland plants to atmospheric CO 2 enrichment. It is interesting to note, for example, that the CO 2 -induced stimulation of the maximum photosynthetic rates of the plants did not taper off, as might have been expected, as the air's CO 2 content rose, even at the highest CO 2 concentration investigated . Rather, the photosynthetic response was linear , just like that of the change in soil organic carbon content. What is even more interesting - even fascinating - in this regard, is that the linear responses were maintained in the face of what Gill et al . say was a "threefold decrease in nitrogen availability" as the air's CO 2 content went from its lowest to highest level.
Having sown the wind, EPA risks reaping a whirlwind of angry opposition from governors, mayors, congressional appropriators, small business, unions, talk radio, etc. No agency likes to surrender power, and for EPA there is no power more seductive than the power to regulate CO2, which would expand the Agency??s reach to virtually every nook and cranny in the economy. Once unleashed, however, the coveted power is subject to the vagaries of litigation. EPA may find itself responsible a regulatory chain reaction it cannot control.
There is no certainty regarding when a tipping point might occur, but Vasseur said the processes have already begun, and fishermen and scientists should watch lobsters as an indicator of climate change.