Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Things went along just fine like that for years. Then secondary recovery methods started to come into use. These were a variety of physical and chemical methods used to squeeze more oil out of existing fields, including fracturing the rock to allow the oil to come out more easily.
The adjustable parameters (in red in the spreadsheet) are soil depth (0.2 m is typical for day-night temperature changes), the soil heat capacity (2.5 is typical, water is 4.18), the IR emissivity (0.90-0.95 would be typical), the downwelling sky radiation intensity (0 for all you sky dragon slayers out there, 250-350 for the rest of us), and the starting temperature (300 K is about 80 deg. F).
Did the Gore Effect land in Melbourne , Australia? I report, you decide . Related, Gores speaking engagement wasnt quite as non-partisan as it appeared.
Today, EPA Administrator Stephen Johnson announced that EPA would respond to the Supreme Court global warming case, Massachusetts v. EPA, by issuing an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR) to solicit public comment on a range of complex issues.
Amazed that the committee would treat a member of the National Academy of Sciences, the Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at MIT and an IPCC lead author with such disrespect and disregard, I contacted Dr. Lindzen. He told me, "They also basically ignored what I said. I suppose they interviewed me in order to say that they had interviewed someone who was skeptical of warming alarm."
Your base rate will depend on your state and your job class. Rates are usually stated as premium dollars per hundred dollars of payroll. Rates vary all over the map. Store or clerical workers might be just a few dollars per hundred. Our campground workers are $9-$20 per hundred. Roofing workers can be $25 and up. So if your rate is $6.00 per hundred, and you have $100,000 in annual payroll, your base premium will be $6,000 per year (ouch).
Climate researcher Michael E. Mann said his shared interest, with U.Va., in his e-mails means they can be released to him, but not to climate change skeptics. (Tom Jackman The Washington Post) Thats because U.Va. apparently has already given the 12,000 e-mails to Mann himself, though he left Charlottesville years ago. The American Tradition Institute, the conservative group hoping to show that climate change scientists like Mann manipulated their data, argues that U.Va. cant give the e-mails to one person and not another. By giving the emails to Mann, the university has waived any exemptions theyre claiming to the state Freedom of Information Act, ATI says.
The reconstruction also ???reveals a long-term cooling trend of -0.31C per 1,000 years (0:03C) over the 138 B.C.-A.D. 1900 period . . .??This trend isnotreflectedin tree ring width data from ???the sametemperature-sensitive trees.?? Thus,reliance onsuch data (as in the hockey stick reconstruction)??probably causes an underestimation of historic temperatures.??
After 1985 solar activity started to decrease yet global temperatures continued to rise. Nir Shaviv is a proponent of a possible solar explanation for this that requires the suggested link between cosmic ray flux and clouds to be real. Svenmarks successful pilot experiment, published in 2006 provides experimental support for such a link. A much larger experiment at CERN in Switzerland should be completed by 2010.
(C) Documents 1-7 in your list have not been revised by Heartland staff since they were stolen by Peter Gleick. Document 8, the fake memo, is not an authentic Heartland document or draft document, therefore I do not know whether or not it has been changed. I suggest you ask the Pacific Institute if they know.
First of all, I am going to enlarge the context of the discussion. The primary source of heat for the surface of the Earth is the radiant energy of the sun. The solar wind of the sun, materials dumped into the atmosphere from space, heat from the deep interior of the earth, and the interplay of changes in the Earth's magnetic field and the sun's magnetic field are also contributors of heat, though the sum of these is much less than that from the sun's radiant energy spectrum of ultraviolet (UV), visible, and infra-red (IR) light. The entire catastrophic greenhouse gas hypothesis ignores effects upon the incident IR portion of this spectrum of light from the sun. This is foolish.
Switzerland would have to charge higher end-user power prices and resort to new gas-fired plants to fill the supply gap created by its planned nuclear phase-out prompted by Japans Fukushima accident, the Swiss energy ministry said on Friday. The statement also said the average household electricity bill, estimated at 890 Swiss Francs ($950) a year, was due to rise in line with higher costs for renewable energy and to cover the costs of investment in the grid. Reuters, 28 September 2012 ( http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/28/switzerland-gas-idUSL5E8KSFFT20120928 )
Tool making and communication skills are easily distinguishing features between human beings and other species on this planet. When coupled with a natural curiosity and the ability learn from our mistakes, we have lifted most humans from the vulgar realities of our ancestors existence. For those bent on controlling others, tools and communication must be controlled and manipulated.
The IBM supercomputer, unveiled in May 2009 and 90 per cent funded by Government, has 15 million megabytes of memory and can make 125 trillion calculations every second.
Julian Morris makes 26 points in response to the Stern Review discussion paper, "What is the Economics of Climate Change?"
African leaders have expressed concern about European efforts to seek binding targets on sustainable development, fearing brakes would be applied to their economies by rich countries. An expanded role for UN agencies would face almost certain opposition from the United States.
Experts in academia and government research centers were e-mailed invitations to participate in the on-line poll conducted by the website questionpro.com. Only those invited could participate and computer IP addresses of participants were recorded and used to prevent repeat voting. Questions used were reviewed by a polling expert who checked for bias in phrasing, such as suggesting an answer by the way a question was worded. The nine-question survey was short, taking just a few minutes to complete.
The provision of financial resources in payment for ecosystem services projects, such as are associated with Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD), has the potential to stimulate conflict over resources and property rights (Melick, 2010). For example, efforts to ensure REDD readiness in Tanzania (Beymer-Farris and Bassett, 2012; 2013; Burgess et al., 2013) and the Congo basin (Brown et al., 2011) have been contested, and placed communities in conflict with conservationists and governments. Eriksen and Lind (2009) similarly find that climate change adaptation interventions in Kenya have aggravated surrounding conflicts.
OBSERVABLE DATA REBUT CLIMATE COMPUTER MODELS
CFACT Executive Director Craig Rucker, Marc Morano, who edits CFACT's Climate Depot news and information service and a contingent of students from CFACT Collegians chapters at the University of West Virginia and Marshall University testified before the Board, which voted in January to temporarily pull back the amended standards and further consider the matter.
Worst of all, our Congress and courts have completely abdicated their obligations to provide oversight and control of this dictatorial agency and Obama Administration. If this is the hope, change and future we can look "forward" to, our nation's health, well-being and justice will be rolled backward.
Roy knows full well that PSI already did a physics experiment looking for the type of heating that is postulated from their greenhouse effect models. We used the atmospheres very own theorized greenhouse effect to check for the heating from back-radiation/imbalanced radiation output/heat retention or whatever label they want to obfuscate with to pretend the process. It doesnt exist. Real-world data does not show any hint of any form of the postulated greenhouse effect.
The IPCC models water vapour-driven positive feedback as starting from the pre-industrial level. Somehow the carbon dioxide below the pre-industrial level does not cause this water vapour-driven positive feedback. If their water vapour feedback is a linear relationship with carbon dioxide, then we should have seen over 2 C of warming by now. We are told that the Earth warmed by 0.7 C over the 20 th Century. Where I live ??? Perth, Western Australia missed out on a lot of that warming.
Swedish academic gives climate models "F" in history
In fact, this year was cooler than years such as 1762, 1779 and 1826, and more than a degree colder than 1783.
Sea level was stable from at least BC 100 until AD 950. Sea level then increased for 400 y at a rate of 0.6 mm/y, followed by a further period of stable, or slightly falling, sea level that persisted until the late 19th century. Since then, sea level has risen at an average rate of 2.1 mm/y, representing the steepest century-scale increase of the past two millennia. This rate was initiated between AD 1865 and 1892.
NREL is an extension of the Department of Energy's Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE). EERE is run by Assistant Secretary of Energy Cathy Zoi, who, until assuming this post, served as CEO to Al Gore's Alliance for Climate Protection. Zoi is responsible for many millions of the "green jobs" stimulus dollars pushed for and designed by Van Jones (this according to Jones himself).
Neither I, Marlo Lewis, Jr., nor The Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) has received any federal government funding which directly supports the subject matter on which I am appearing before the Committee. No money has been received in any amount from any Federal Grant (or subgrant thereof) or contract (or subcontract thereof) by me or CEI during the current and two preceding fiscal years from the Department of Energy, Environmental Protection Agency, or the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration relating to global change research, nor has any money been received from any other Federal agency.
It is fair to say that those who had access to powerful computers had no advantage in predicting anything about the long-term behavior of the atmosphere relatively to those who know enough theory (about the atmospheric dynamics) and only use the pencils and paper. The climate models may have "looked" realistic, like a computer game, but the correlation between their outcomes and the actual behavior of the climate turned out to be non-existent.
Russians Pressure Japan, EU to Buy Credits
In Debunking National Wildlife Federation Claims Part 2 some commenters claimed that the snow data cited from WRI "was not good enough". OK then, on to a bigger catchment. Steve Goddard replies in this brief essay.
The American conservative movement was founded in explicit opposition to the progressive project. It was also founded on the premise that a return to the governing principles of the Founders' Constitution was feasible and desirable. The first principle is anti-progressive; the second is pro-conservative. The dynamics of working- and middle-class attitudes I have outlined above raise the specter that these principles in their pure forms can be politically incompatible.
They argued that Democrats' previous victories in congressional and state elections wouldn't continue indefinitely, as conservative Southerners would start to vote Republican.
In 22 days, Antarctic sea icea area will have been above normal for 365 days in a row.
The heavy agenda Congress faces for the remainder of the year has gotten much heavier over the past week. The botched car bomb in New York puts a new emphasis on threats to the homeland, and it will (or should) require a renewed focus on the threat that exists to the most endangered places in America, namely New York and Washington, the sites of previous terrorist attacks. That should mean enhanced oversight of our mechanisms in place and inadequacies in responseincluding our chronic problems of coordinated communication for first responders.
Virgin Islands AG raises free-speech fears with subpoena for climate dissenters
<3655> Singer/WWF:
Counterviews are also presented, however, although at the end of the article, and lumped together with industry lobbyists. An excerpt from a climate scientist is
Elevated CO 2 significantly increased leaf tannin and starch contents in a genotypically-dependent and -independent manner, respectively, while decreasing leaf cyanoglycoside contents, regardless of genotype. Atmospheric CO 2 enrichment did not significantly affect leaf water, sugar, protein, or nitrogen contents. Thus, these CO 2 -induced changes in leaf chemistry (higher starch and tannin and lower cyanoglycoside concentrations) increased its palatability, as indicated by greater leaf dry weight consumption of CO 2 -enriched leaves by butterfly larvae. In addition, increased leaf consumption (of CO 2 -enriched leaves) led to greater larval biomass and shorter larval developmental times, indicating that atmospheric CO 2 enrichment affected leaf quality to positively influence larvae of the Common Blue Butterfly. Moreover, larval mortality was lower when feeding upon CO 2 -enriched, rather than ambiently-grown, leaves. What it means
It's a time for some potentially shocking news from the "third leg" of the WIMP witch hunt.
Britain is in trouble with his runaway energy prices, with a rural lousy of wind, and with lots of fossil-fired power plants must stngas soon on grounds of age. The new environment minister Owen Paterson, gr out HRT against wind industry. Green subsidies in Soviet-style br scrapped, he says. Wind Industry should stand on their own feet instead from the JMT and constantly beg for money from the state. And he seems to f a certain stdfrn Energy Minister John Hayes. But not everyone in England GRN-blah government is frtjusta. S vein hr we can probably frvnta us an entertaining power struggle Looking ahead.
One fast-food chain, which I wont name, had a large (2-ft x 2-ft) help-wanted sign in the front window, a similarly-sized sign hanging over the serving line, and yet another large sign that practically covered the soda dispenser. I mean, they really want workers!
The three Australian researchers discovered that the RMRs of fish reared at 29.5 and 31.5??C were "significantly higher than the control group reared at 28.5??C," and they indicate that "fish that developed in 30.5 and 31.5??C exhibited an enhanced ability to deal with acute temperature increases." What it means
Cross-sex strip searches ruled unconstitutional:
Increasing U.S. domestic petroleum will not likely lower world oil pricesmost experts believe that U.S. oil reserves are small in relation to the rest of the world. But it will help the U.S. offset the negative economic impact of a large increase in oil prices. For example, the economies of Alaska and Texas fare much better than non-energy producing states when oil prices rise by 50% or 100%. Oil- and natural-gas-producing states experience smaller increases in unemployment and a smaller decline in non-farm employment during a peak oil shock. The reason for this is simple; the size of the energy sector expands during a period when oil prices rise while the rest of the economy shrinks. The growing energy sector helps prop up other areas in the economy by increasing the demand for goods and services in non-oil industries.
There is little doubt that some players in the climate game not a lot, but enough to have severely damaged the reputation of climate scientists in general have stepped across the boundary into postmodern science. The Climategate scandal of 2009, wherein thousands of emails were leaked from the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia in England, showed that certain senior members of the research community were, and presumably still are, quite capable of deliberately selecting data in order to overstate the evidence for dangerous climate change. The emails showed as well that these senior members were quite happy to discuss ways and means of controlling the research journals so as to deny publication of any material that goes against the orthodox dogma. The ways and means included the sacking of recalcitrant editors.
Congress should also keep in mind Mississippi's "right to develop." International lawyers assert that the countries of the world must achieve greater economic parity before developing nations are expected to pitch in to fight global warming, even though they account for more than 30 percent of annual global emissions.
For thirty years, asthma rates in the United States have increased, while pollution has declined. From 1980 to 2009, ambient American air concentrations of the major pollutants sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone decreased 78 percent, 48 percent, and 30 percent, respectively. Yet the prevalence of asthma increased 75% from 1980-1994, and asthma rates in children under the age of five have increased more than 160% from 1980-1994. Moreover, the number of people with asthma continues to grow. One in 12 people (about 25 million) had asthma in 2009, compared with 1 in 14 (about 20 million) in 2001. The truth of the matter is that asthma is poorly understood. The ailment appears to have a number of triggers. Clearly, "pollution" isn't the driving variable. Otherwise, asthma rates would have declined in lockstep with decreases in airborne sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone.
Hurricane Ike has many people worried, much like with Hurricane Gustav. As many of you may know, I produce a variety of weather imagery maps for web and broadcast in SD and HD. Since there is a lot of interest in the path of hurricanes, I thought Id post a few near-live images, which will update every 30 minutes. Here is Hurricane Ike, entering the frame on the right:
Deploying its members and financial resources, 1199 has branched out to support other "progressive" causes, including tax increases, gay rights, climate change, and an expansive immigration policy. It has helped underwrite "living wage" campaigns, including the "Fight for $15" fast-food workers' movement, and lent support to the recent antipolice protests in New York City and elsewhere. Now that 1199's longtime friend and former employee, Bill de Blasio, has been elected mayor, the union's power is at an apogee, especially at the city level. The union's continued dominance not only thwarts prospects for health-care reform in New York; it also drowns out any sense of proportion in public discourse, particularly in the city.
on Tuesday, August 31st, 2010 at 5:19 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Since January 2005, the data from which the IPCCs latest Assessment Report starts its backcast predictions, there has been no global warming at all. Yet compared with little more than nine years ago the IPCC predicts that the weather should now be a sixth of a Celsius degree warmer than it is (Fig. 1).
Meanwhile, warming prevention proves not to be cheap. Forced substitution of commercial energy by costlier alternatives has hurt individuals and businesses in Europe, Australia, Ontario, and elsewhere. With claims about cost-free adoption of carbon-free energy increasingly in conflict with experience, doubt grows about the need to make near-term sacrifice in response to long-term phenomena still poorly understood.
Now, there is no shortage of true believers in global warming even in the face of this awe-inspiring scandal. They do have a point: just because there is no evidence of global warming doesn't necessarily mean that it isn't happening.
Also, as Peltier (2009) points out, the GRACE gravitational-anomaly record indicates that sea level has actually fallen in recent years. The raw data from the Envisat satellite from 2004-2012 show sea level rising at a rate equivalent to an unalarming 3.2 cm/century:
The Army Corps of engineers intended to construct floodgates to close off water from Lake Pontchartrain during storms. A lawsuit by the local environmental group Save Our Wetlands, assisted by the national Environmental Defense Fund (now Environmental Defense), sued the Corps of Engineers, saying that gates could threaten some fish species. The U.S. Attorney warned the federal judge that a delay could kill thousands of New Orleanians in a hurricane. Nevertheless, in 1977, a federal judge stopped the project.
The LNG issue boiled over last month when the US Department of Energy released the second of its delayed and highly anticipated reports on the potential impact of relaxing restrictions on natural gas exports. This analysis, prepared by NERA Economic Consulting, concluded "the US would experience net economic benefits from increased LNG exports"and they could be staggering. Among other key points: any potential price impacts would be in a "relatively narrow range" and exports would result in "an increase in US households' real income and welfare," even among vulnerable lower income families.
After two studies refuted President Barack Obama's assertions regarding the success of Spain's and Denmark's wind energy programs, a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request reveals the Department of Energy turned to George Soros and to wind industry lobbyists to attack the studies.
An American team led by Randy Dole of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) suggested that the heatwave was mostly natural in origin. They based that on the fact that there was no basis for anticipating the heatwave given the conditions which applied at that time in Russia, said Myles Allen, a climate scientist at Oxford University. Heatwaves of that nature had happened in the past on a 100-year timescale and there wasnt an obvious significant trend in temperatures in that region or in the statistics of hot temperatures in that region. They came to the conclusion this was an event that was mostly natural in origin. There was no need to induce climate change to explain this event.
Despite the reports projected increases in electricity cost and reductions in GDP, the impact of a CES would likely be much worse as the EIAs models (like most other economic models) dont do a very good job of predicting the future and, in the case of a CES, a government-dictated energy market can only lead to disaster.
Hydraulic fracturing (fracking) has sent U.S. oil, natural gas, and propane production soaring. Natural gas output is up 36% since 2005. Oil output is expected to increase another 780,000 barrels per day (BOPD) in 2014 and reach 9.6 million BOPD by 2019. The United States is now importing half of what it did in 2005.
A large degree of uncertainty in global climate models (GCMs) can be attributed to the representation of clouds and how they interact with incoming solar and outgoing longwave radiation. In this study, the simulated total cloud fraction (CF), cloud water path (CWP), top of the atmosphere (TOA) radiation budgets and cloud radiative forcings (CRFs) from 28 CMIP5 AMIP models are evaluated and compared with multiple satellite observations from CERES, MODIS, ISCCP, CloudSat, and CALIPSO.
Verification of the forced component of twentieth-century climate trends simulated in model experiments depends on the existence of accurate estimates of these trends in observations. Given the limited sampling in both space and time of the observations and proxy records, these verifications must be handled carefully. In particular, knowledge of the spatial patterns and magnitudes of climate trends over the oceans is hampered by the uneven and changing distribution of commercial shipping routes and other observational inputs as well as different approaches to merging analyses of the observations (Rayner et al. 2011).