Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
I am not suggesting that the lunatics or extremists have won. Most Republicans in the Senate are not, to use John McCain's term, "wacko birds," and most Republicans in office would at least privately cringe at some of the wild ideas and extreme views. At the same time, the "establishment" is fighting back, pouring resources into primaries to protect their preferred candidates, and we are seeing the rise of a new and encouraging movement among conservative intellectualsdubbed "Reformicons" by E.J. Dionneto come up with a new set of ideas and policy prescriptions to redefine the ideology and the party in a positive way.
Cuccinelli's ruling is actually quite narrow. Law enforcement can inquire about immigration status at a lawful stop but can only arrest suspects who have committed a criminal violation of the immigration laws. It is important to recognize that, contrary to popular belief, unlawfully residing in the U.S. is not a crime. It is a civil offense and Virginia law enforcement agents, unless they are cooperating with federal immigration officials, cannot arrest people for civil violations.
thinkers, William Galstonall along the same lines. Put aside your plans,
We often hear the excuse for Chinas high emissions that they are a large country. In fact, latest emissions from the Global Carbon Project show that in 2013 Chinas per capita emissions have actually exceeded the EUs for the first time, 7.2 tonnes per head compared to the EUs 6.8.
I?d like to take you through a little thought experiment.
http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LuboMotlsReferenceFrame/~3/0-EbPcv09w0/el-nino-is-strengthening.html Incidentally, be sure that 2009 can no longer set the new warmth record, regardless of your preferred source of the global mean temperature data. Gaia would need temperatures warmer by something like 0.5 C than today to last from tomorrow till the end of the year (in average) which is unlikely. According to the satellites, it will be the 11th year that will have failed to improve the record reading. However, 2009 will be warmer than 2008 and probably other recent cooler years.
There are several other products that have a crucial link to the tropical forests. One is chewing gum which comes from the chicle tree. Another is rubber which comes from rubber trees and is used for commercial and industrial purposes around the world including balloons, erasers, globes, tires, hoses and shoes. Yet another is coffee which comes "courtesy of a bush in Ethiopia's forest. Being the ancestral source of all coffee plantations throughout the tropics, this wild bush continues to supply germplasm material to boost coffee productivity and to resist diseases." The other is chocolate which "originally derives from the cocoa tree native to western Amazonia and the Pacific coast of Ecuador." (Lessons, Norman Myers, pp. 16-18)
Abbey actually stopped performing because one fan, a man in his 60s, started following her from mall to mall, sending her creepy cartoon drawings of the two of them together, on their wedding day, with Abbey's eyes bleeding "because she was so happy". Somehow, he found her parents' house and would camp out in the bushes waiting for her to return from her gigs. He hid under her tour van once and waited there for hours in the hot parking lot one summer, just so he could grab her leg when the door opened and she stepped up into the back.
* Warming temperatures have brought malaria to Nairobi, Kenya, killing little children. Fact: Nairobi has always had malaria, and anti-insecticide policies promoted by Gore have helped perpetuate the problem.
It is about as likely as not that most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is due to the observed increase in anthropogenic GHG concentrations.
I did not have that problem since this was part of my beat. In interviews with the particular scientists (including Hansen) what I observed was that they were heavy on the ideology, yet not sure if it was strong enough because the global weather data in the late 1980s did not strongly support their case that the world was warming because of man.
Gaertner explains how the idea of precautionary principle dates back to Cold War era. At that time it was used to prop up policies and investments that were perhaps inefficient, but they were justified to help the free West survive a dangerous Soviet threat. Nowadays this logic is mis-applied by eco-nihilists to hypothetical dangers, and because it carries costs and risks that can harm humanity, the world faces a strong threat from the use of this rigorously stringent principle.
The story says that Watson is "highly regarded as an atmospheric chemist by many climate scientists." In reality Watson is a career bureaucrat who hasn't been a working scientist for decades. The story also characterizes Watson as an "outspoken advocate of the idea that human actions - mainly burning oil and coal - are contributing to global warming and must be changed to avert environmental upheavals."
Yesterday, the boss addressed an article in a recent edition of The Economist reporting wishing for the downfall of The Heartland Institute . Definitely check it out especially for the part in which the esteemed international publication acknowledged Heartland s important and influential position in the climate debate.
Gore refuses to give up his private jets, limousines and carbon-intensive lifestyle. He refuses to correct any of the errors in his movie, lectures or testimony. He just wants us to give up our living standards.
The case of David Henderson and Ian Castles is a good example. Henderson, the former chief economist of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, and Castles, the former head of the Australian Statistical Bureau, noticed two years ago a serious methodological anomaly in the IPCC's 100-year greenhouse-gas emission forecasts that are the primary input to computer climate models. Henderson and Castles made a compelling argument that the forecasts were unrealistically high. Everyone recalls the first day of computer-science class: garbage in, garbage out. If future greenhouse-gas emissions are badly overestimated, then even a perfect computer model will spit out a false temperature prediction. Since Henderson and Castles's initial critique, the IPCC's forecasts have been subject to withering criticisms from dozens of other reputable economists, including a number of climate alarmists who, to their credit, argue that this crucial question should be gotten right.
2) Yeah, it wasnt so much 1998 and all that that I was concerned about, used to dealing with that, but the possibility that we might be going through a longer 10 year period of relatively stable temperatures beyond what you might expect from La Nina etc. Speculation, but if I see this as a possibility then others might also. Anyway, Ill maybe cut the last few points off the filtered curve before I give the talk again as thats trending down as a result of the end effects and the recent cold-ish years. http://bit.ly/ajuqdN
Must See Video: "Global warming panic explained' "How can you disprove global warming? You can't, that's how you know it's true.'
This is about free speech. What is happening to Matt and Janet is a warning to all of us. Speak against the Establishment and face targeted ruin. The DEC admit they didnt follow procedure, and have treated the Thompsons unfairly. Why wont they fix their mistake?
Climate history: Basic science and politics under Thatcher
In fact, we cannot even build wind and solar facilities without coal and petroleum to mine, smelt, manufacture and transport materials for turbines, panels and transmission lines. Analysts calculate that it takes 150 tons of coal and coal-equivalent to build, transport and install one onshore turbine, and 250 tons for a single offshore turbine. We also need fossil fuels to build and operate backup power units that also require vast amounts of land, cement, steel, copper and other materials. This is hardly sustainable .
The article mentions increased surface temperatures 5-7 degrees but doesnt mention the cold snap resulting in darn near freezing the Great Lakes over. It also mentions increases in swimmers itch, from duck feces. Is that a result of an increasing duck and goose population or climate change?
A recent paper published in the Hydrological Sciences Journal examines precipitation in southern China from 1956-2000 and finds precipitation has becomeboth less extreme and less variable. Contrary to claims of climate alarmists, the paper adds to many others demonstrating that global warming decreases extreme weather including extreme precipitation, floods, droughts, and cyclone activity.
Third, the federal government should impose a price on carbon that is fully rebated to taxpayers on a per capita basis. This would, in effect, shift the incidence of federal taxes away from income and labor and onto energy consumption and offset some of the potential regressivity of a carbon tax. For conservatives who have long supported shifting from an income tax to a sales or consumption tax, and oppose increasing the federal tax burden, this should be a no brainer. If fully rebated, there is no need to worry about whether the government will put the resulting revenues to good use, but the tax would provide a significant incentive to reduce carbon energy use. Further, a carbon tax would be more transparent and less vulnerable to rent-seeking and special interest mischief than equivalent cap-and-trade schemes and would also be easier to account for within the global trading system.
The price of electricity. It has soared: largely to pay for gold-plating the grid after decades of underinvestment, and to meet state and federal renewable energy targets. But those price rises handed Abbott a powerful weapon against Julia Gillards great big new tax and besides, she had lied about it, hadnt she?
One final noteand it's a positive thought that Republicans should take to heart. Political parties, like economies, are cyclic in nature. They rise and falland, if they're smart, learn to adapt to the changing times. Democrats found themselves in a similar valley in January 1989 after the spectacular failure that was the Dukakis campaign. The party soon became embroiled in a fight over a new direction and a new leader. Four years later, it was the Republicans' turn to agonize. Bill Clinton had just won thirtytwo states; his party controlled both chambers of Congress. Democrats, for that matter, controlled all of Washington. Two years later, the GOP reclaimed fifty-four House seats and eight Senate seats.
Kill kill kill kill kill. Jim Fedako (who wrote this piece; send him email ) is a business analyst and homeschooling father of seven who lives in Lewis Center, OH.
Global warming which has been the subject of so many discussions in recent years, may give way to global cooling. According to scientists from the Pulkovo Observatory in St.Petersburg, solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in saying that forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless. Some experts warn that a change in the climate may affect the ambitious projects for the exploration of the Arctic that have been launched by many countries.
When you live in a Global Environmental Insane Asylum, you are not likely to hear or read the truth, but you can arrive at it using simple logic. We know instinctively that humans do not control the waves of our huge oceans, nor the vast tectonic plates beneath our feet, the eruptions of volcanoes, the jet stream, cloud formation, or any of the elements of the weather we experience, such as thunder, lightning, and other acts of nature.
$11,000 for a minor scrape on the rear panel, including a $155 charge to ensure battery remains charged during the repair
Ken G. Glozer, "Time for the Sun to Set on the Tennessee Valley Authority," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2904, May 5, 2014, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2014/05/time-for-the-sun-to-set-on-the-tennessee-valley-authority.
My thanks to Judith Curry for suggesting papers that helped me better understand this topic and to Willis Eschenbach for taking a look at a draft of this post.
CEI, a non-profit, non-partisan public policy group founded in 1984, is dedicated to the principles of free enterprise and limited government.
Fracking and the natural gas it produces have been heralded by many experts as reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the United States, primarily because burning natural gas emits half as much carbon dioxide (CO2) per BtU of energy produced than burning coal. Some life-cycle estimates suggest burning natural gas emits 43 percent less CO2 per BtU than the burning of coal.
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 5, 2015
I won't send Glauber any condolences. After all, when I saw the headline for the first time, I thought that Glauber himself was missing which would arguably be more serious.
However, EU environment ministers are alarmed at the prospective rollback. They are seeking to prevent the development of EU shale resources by trying to introduce EU-wide environmental barriers.
Arguably the most important question is: what do the new ERF estimates in AR5 imply about TCR? Over the last century or more we have had a period of gradually increasing ERF, with some 80% of the decadal mean increase occurring fairly smoothly, volcanic eruptions apart, over the last ~70 years. We can therefore use the TCR = F 2xCO2 T/F equation to estimate TCR from T and F, taking the change in each between the means for two periods, each long enough for internal variability to be small.
The theory is that the Earth radiates out a low grade infrared which activates the CO2 molecules and they in turn radiate back to Earth thus warming or increasing the warmth of the lower atmosphere.
Big engineering projects are often ineffective and sometimes do more harm than good; the approach being taken by the Dutch-Bangladesh consortium seems like a good one.
What goes on at the IPCC is not peer review as that term is normally understood . . . To sum up, the IPCC is inordinately proud of its review process. It expects us to be impressed by how many people are involved and by how many comments it receives and addresses. But this process is fatally flawed. It is not independent. It is easily short-circuited and circumvented. Nothing about it measures up to academic peer review.
OBAMA SPOUTS BRAZEN LIES AND CRETINOUS PSEUDO-SCIENCE. WE CHALLENGE HIM AND HIS CRONIES TO FACT-BASED DEBATE ANYWHERE ANYTIME
Bethesda, MDIf you are obese and hope to be a father, heres another reason to lose weight: your children and grandchildren may inherit your waistline or metabolic disorders. Thats because scientists have discovered in mice that obese fathers, even those who did not show any signs of diabetes, passed this negative trait on most frequently to their daughters. Sons dont entirely dodge this genetic bullet eitherboth sons and daughters of obese fathers have increased risks of developing metabolic diseases, such as diabetes.
Lindzens hypothesis was that high altitude tropical cirrus results from remnant moisture detrained from towering cumulonimbus clouds (convection cell thunderstorms). Depending on a lot of complicated cloud microphysics, a warmer sea surface could produce more massive convection cells containing more moisture, which would precipitate more rainfall, leaving less upper troposphere residual moisture detraining to form warming cirrus. So the proportions of upper troposphere dry and moist regions would counter-intuitively change as SST warmed in favor of dryand less cirrus. Hence there would be an adaptive infrared iris where warmer sea surfaces would produce via intermediate tropospheric convection and precipitation processes less cirrus, and therefore a net negative tropical cloud feedback. (This oversimplified description suffices for this post.)
Under early action proposals, companies that do not participate in early reductions would be able to choose among different compliance strategies in the event that Kyoto is ratified. They could either reduce emissions at the site or they could buy emission credits. If ERT retires the credits it receives for its services, that would reduce the supply of credits. The range of compliance strategies would be lessened for latecomers.
The Assessment is woefully ignorant of humanity's ability to adapt and prosper in response to challenges. The quintessence of this is the truly dreadful chapter on human health and climate change.
The total sea ice cover around Antarctica shows no significant change since reliable satellite monitoring began in the late 1970s, despite large but counteracting regional changes.
"All too often, folks turn to the government to solve a problem, only to discover that the solution the regulations actually make it worse," Georgia continued. "No environmental good will come from any policy that destroys economic growth. It is far more rational to remove those regulatory barriers so that the US, and countries all around the world, can develop wealth historically, the creation of wealth has led to a cleaner environment."
According to one popular just-so story being peddled by the anti-corporate Left, a small handful of media companies are currently buying up more and more outlets, reducing the range of opinions voiced in the major mediaeffectively blocking news and information unfavorable to, or contrary to the ideologies of, the media's owners.
So 2 days ago, a Java issue popped up:
Engages existing circulation patterns (Hadley, Ferrel and Walker cells) and atmosphere ocean interactions (ENSO)
For people who want more action on global warming, an inconvenient truth has arisen over the last decade: Annual average temperatures stayed relatively flat globally and dropped in the United States and Oregon despite mankinds growing release of greenhouse gases.
The Parliamentary Inquiry was never going to produce much. A single day?s hearings about a complicated subject with no-one on the committee an expert and several members true believers in global warming alarmism is not a recipe for an in-depth investigation. The main skeptical witness was Lord Lawson of Blaby, who, for all his strengths, is not an expert in the science himself. Researchers like Ross McKitrick, who have laid out strong cases for why Climategate reveals deliberate manipulation of science, were not asked to give evidence.
James Hansen has made many forecasts over the last 30 years, with close to 0% success rate. Betting on the opposite of what he predicts, is almost a sure thing. Thirty years ago he forecast peak sea-ice loss (40%) in the Weddell Sea of Antarctica.
And this from WattsUpWithThat.com: The cold this December and January has been noteworthy and newsworthy. We just posted that December 2009 was the Second Snowiest on Record in the Northern Hemisphere. Beijing was hit by its heaviest snowfall in 60 years, and Korea had the largest snowfall ever recorded since record keeping began in 1937. Plus all of Britain was recently covered by snow. The cold is setting records too. Oranges are freezing and millions of tropical fish are dying in Florida, there are Record low temperatures in Cuba and thousands of new low temperature records being set in the USA as well as Europe.
No evidence exists that suggests that both bears and the conservation systems that regulate them will not adapt and respond to the new conditions. Polar bears have persisted through many similar climate cycles.
From the time he came to Congress in 1979, Gingrich deployed a strategy to break the Democrats' stranglehold on power in the House by moving to polarize the parties, to use the ethics process to taint both the majority and the entire political process, and to get Americans so disgusted with politics and politicians that at the right moment, they would rise up and throw out the incumbent party.
Heartlander: September-October 2010 (full-text PDF)
14) So, What Could Cause Natural Cloud Changes? I think small, long-term changes in atmospheric and oceanic flow patterns can cause ~1% changes in how much sunlight is let in by clouds to warm the Earth. This is all that is required to cause global warming or cooling. Unfortunately, we do not have sufficiently accurate cloud measurements to determine whether this is the primary cause of warming in the last 30 to 50 years.
Between 1760 and 1860, the glacier at Glacier Bay, Alaska retreated a disturbing 30 miles. Atmospheric CO2 was 280 ppm at the time.
Moreover, the teacher had failed to follow school policy, get permission to bring in outside propagandists, or present other perspectives. Unhappy parents raised a stink with Principal Kris Schuh, and the school district promised to distribute "pro-oil and gas literature" to secure some balance.
In addition, the IPCC grossly exploits general public confusion over the whole issue of global temperatures. As I commented to them, their claim to have measured globally averaged temperatures near the surface is untrue. In order to do so, it would be necessary to distribute thermometers randomly over the entire surface of the earth, including oceans deserts and forests.
on Monday, September 27th, 2010 at 3:11 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
As the CO 2 content of the air increases, belowground biomass production should increase in this particular type of annual grassland, either directly from CO 2 -induced increases in photosynthesis or indirectly from CO 2 -induced reductions in water use, which tend to increase soil moisture content. Hence, overall productivity in such grasslands will likely increase as the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration continues to rise.
slightest, just the monotonous obsession with it. Would Holman care to
John, With regard to the matter of species migration you raised, I believe that this topic is entirely too speculative to discuss here. There are too many variables, too many special circumstances, too many uncertainties. Likewise, ocean heat content data is very poor, requiring numerous "adjustments." Vertical temperature profiles are most surely controlled by currents that vary with depth. They are not one-dimensional, as implied by the data.
All the models assume that any temperature rise will be least at the poles and greatest at the tropics because the water vapour feedback is lower at the poles..They do not mention Antarctica where the ice is currently increasing.
Figure 12 presents the TOA energy imbalance anomalies smoothed with 5-year filters.
But what this data indicates is that if and when warming resumes, it will likely occur at a rate that is lower than projected by the IPCC. So, while the trends will turn up they are unlikely to reach the 2C/century of warming.
Those increases reflect soaring demand for electricity, up by 36%, which in turn fostered a 47% increase in coal consumption. (Natural-gas use increased by 29% while oil use grew by 13%.) Carbon-dioxide emissions are growing because people around the world understand the essentiality of electricity to modernity. And for many countries, the cheapest way to produce electrons is by burning coal.
Climate change has been cited as one possibility, but scientist Gerald Meehl of the National Centre for Atmospheric Research in Colorado told the New Scientist magazine there was no way to test the theory, as the resolution in climate change models was too low to replicate weather patterns such as blocking events.
And by politicians I don't' mean just people who were elected or appointed. I mean people who sit on the New York Times editorial board and people who sit in the hot tubs of Hollywood, blowing bubbles about the environment and the state of world affairs.
While they have been higher than before the past 15 years, they have not increased in line with fossil fuel emissions, just as they failed to do over the 1948-77 period.