Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
If government spending were a poker game, we'd be entering uncharted high-stakes territory around now. President Obama has seen President Bush's $3 trillion budget, and raised him another trillion. We need a breather to take it all in: TARP, a $787-billion stimulus bill, and a projected $1.845 trillion budget deficit. But lost among all the spending commotion is yet another trillion-dollar handfederal regulation.
By ignoring these realities, Obamas policy prescription is found to be erroneous. The taxation or regulation of CO 2 emissions is an unnecessary and detrimental policy option that should be shunned. Why would any government advocate to increase regulations and raise energy prices based on flawed computer model projections of climate change that will never come to pass? Why would any government advance policy that seeks to destroy jobs, rather than to promote them? Why, in fact, would they actually bite the hand that feeds them?
One of the first things I noticed is the beautiful countryside. But something that really jumped out at me were the help-wanted signs. Help-wanted signs everywhere.
Are we prepared for the new green future where jobless Australians survive from backyard vegie gardens, poaching kangaroos and wild pigs from carbon credit forests and cooking with biomass on a wood stove? Of course we will enjoy pirate movies downloaded at the speed of light using the NBN (as long as the sun is shining or the wind blows).
Please pass this along to anyone you know who has had enough of the arrogance and ineptitude of a government that is supposed to serve the people.
As the science of decadal prediction is in its infancy, one would like to assess and understand the following:
In the spirit of the season, I thought Id try to find out whos been naughty, whos been nice, and whos been torrenting at work.
concentrations will result in broad-scale decreases in the concentrations of all elements essential for plant function and animal nutrition," as proposed by Loladze (2002). They also say their generally opposite results for non-essential trace elements (some of which can be toxic) "may be applicable to contaminated systems," stating that "elevated CO 2 may, through dilution effects, alleviate aluminum toxicity." In general, therefore, one could say that elevated CO 2 tends to increase the availability of helpful trace elements, while it tends to decrease the availability of harmful ones. References
Full Expensing of Capital Will Reduce Carbon Intensity
Many people participating in the World Wildlife Fund's Earth Hour are honestly motivated by their personal desire to live in a clean and beautiful environmentwhich is understandable. However, they are unknowingly lending their support to a movement that wants to clamp down on human progress. The implicit idea behind Earth Hour, Earth Day, and similar efforts is that human beings, through our exploitation of natural resources and the waste we produce, are an unnatural and negative force in the world and that our existence should be controlled, limited, and ultimately reduced.
2. Melting of the icecaps yet the icecaps in Antarctica and Greenland are actually increasing. Sea ice does not affect global sea level as it floats (Archimedes Principle). But the fact that Antarctic sea ice reached the greatest extent ever recorded in June 2014 suggests that this part of the world at least is getting colder, not warmer .
During the height of immigration in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, our ancestors had no hesitancy in tossing millions of new arrivals straight into the melting pot, and no one was embarrassed by Americanization. Because the melting pot directly forms the shared values of citizens who see themselves as "We the People," when assimilation is disrupted or frustrated, the unifying bonds of citizenship are similarly weakened. These are critical issues regardless of one's views on the broader question of who should be let in and who excluded.
"Denmark has announced that by the end of this decade, it will produce a third of its energy from renewable sources - wind power, in particular, but also solar power and the burning of 'biomass.' More ambitiously, the Danish Government has set a goal of running the entire country on renewables by 2050."
The problem with Australias $23 carbon tax isnt just that it is internationally high, it is also applied broadly.
The temperatures from each source individually. This results in 5 trends. Because the lack of precision due to each instrument, these will have the largest uncertainty intervals. Making conclusions based on these maximize error . That is: we increase our risk of failing to reject the IPCC projections when they are wrong .
Charles Anderson PhD, a materials physicist, has a new post today which calculates the cooling effect of CO2 and other "greenhouse" gases to be 100 times greater than the heating effect.
There was a lot more choice. If the process was "harder" in any way before, it was because there were far more choices. It was harder in the same way that it is generally harder to shop in the US than, say, in the old Soviet Union. Obamacare circumscribes policies such that a large package of benefits are mandated, not optional (I have to pay for mental health coverage and probably aromatherapy) and the size of one's deductible is capped.
But many Inuit communities said the researchers were wrong. They said the bear population was increasing and they cited reports from hunters who kept seeing more bears. Mr. Gissing said that encouraged the government to conduct the recent study, which involved 8,000 kilometres of aerial surveying last August along the coast and offshore islands.
As a result of their experimental manipulations and measurements, the two researchers found that adult corals, as they describe the situation, "are capable of acquiring increased thermal tolerance and that the increased tolerance is a direct result of a change in the symbiont type dominating their tissues from Symbiodinium type C to D," and they report that "the level of increased tolerance gained by the corals changing their dominant symbiont type to D is around 1-1.5C." What it means
Go to data then to paleoclimate. Did this to stop getting hassled by the skeptics for the
Obama proposes that Washington cover large medical bills, leaving taxpayers on the hook for the most expensive care. He offers a plan that wouldn t fundamentally alter the underlying economics of the health-care system. Costs are likely to keep rising under this proposal, albeit with a heavier taxing of the treasury, pushing the U.S. towards a Europeanization of health care.
Will UK get towers of power ... or a load of hot air?
Zhou et al . conclude that "vegetation variability on the Tibetan Plateau might be mostly driven by thermal impacts (i.e., surface air temperature), whereas precipitation impact is less clear." Overall, they say "vegetation activity demonstrates a gradual enhancement in an oscillatory manner during 1982-2002," suggesting a significant positive impact of what climate alarmists call "unprecedented" global warming over what Zhou et al . describe as "one of the most prominent features on Earth." This good-news story is the type of thing that is generally not "shouted from the housetops" in our "new age of enlightenment," but it is typical of what is happening worldwide on a long-term basis, as the inexorable greening of the earth continues. Reviewed 14 November 2007
Other fraud is evident through public exposure of e-mail files retrieved from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) at Britain's University of East Anglia. Scandalous exchanges among prominent researchers who have fomented global warming hysteria confirm long-standing and broadly suspected manipulations of climate data. The communications also reveal conspiracies to falsify and withhold information, to suppress contrary findings in scholarly publications, and to exaggerate the existence and threats of man-made global warming. Many of these individuals have had major influence over summary report findings issued by the IPCC. Still other evidence comes from mouths of government officials, international climate summit organizers and leading science spokespeople recorded in candid public admissions.
Finally, satellite measurements show a statistically significant cooling since 1979. These measurements perfectly match weather balloon data. Computer models predict a 0.35 degree Celsius warming over the same period.
The book argues that far from cutting down on Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions, this gas, which every human being and member of the animal kingdom exhales night and day, could (and should) naturally increase from the current supposedly dangerous 350 parts per million (ppm) to 1,000 ppm in order to make Earth a truly green planet.
And of course Australia is not the United States. Abbott was helped by ferocious splits in the governing Labor party. Nothing similar is happening, yet, with America's Democrats.
Australias antarctic runway melting | The Grenfell Record
After all, he wrote, ``It is essential to measure what we say in terms of its effect on the goal. Experienced international lawyers know where many of the sensitive nerve endings of governments are. Where possible, they should try to avoid irritating them.''
The real story is that so many Chamber and NAM members are standing firm, and that most observers do not expect the Senate to pass a cap-and-trade bill this year.
President Should Declare Global Warming Victory and Go Home
The result of a fear-driven gamble with the Continent?s industrial future is a costly shambles that threatens to undercut Europe?s economic and political position in a world that is sensibly refusing to follow its lead.
"Richmond's short-lived role as a mecca for allegedly illegal Internet gambling cafes may be a thing of the past."
Instead of addressing these concerns, Hansen responded with insults.
A suggestion to Dr. James Hansen: go protest coal in China:
Since the algae and lichens that are major components of BSCs are typically stimulated and grow ever better as the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration is experimentally increased (see Deserts (Algae and Lichens) in our Subject Index), it logically follows that as the air's CO 2 content continues to rise, so too will the productivity of BSCs continue to rise, hastening the encroachment of vegetation onto the world's deserts, as the CO 2 -induced greening of the earth continues. Reviewed 5 March 2008
21 IPCC 1995, p. 40 and Chapter 6.
Twelve hundred more Americans will die on the nation's highways if the Federal auto fuel economy requirements known as CAFE are raised to 40 mpg, according to a new study, CAFE's "Smashing Success': The Deadly Effects of Auto Fuel Economy Standards, Current and Proposed, released by the Competitive Enterprise Institute. "The latest rush to join the global warming bandwagon is in the form of proposals for greater fuel economy standards," said study author, CEI Policy Analyst Julie DeFalco.
As a close associate of Secretary General Kofi Anan, Strong was appointed to chair the panel that created the UN's Iraq office for its "Oil-For-Food" program. Introduced by the Clinton Administration in 1995 under a UN Security Council Resolution, the program's intended purpose was to allow Iraq to sell oil on the world market in exchange for food, medicine, and other humanitarian needs of its needy citizens without allowing Saddam Hussein's regime to boost its military capabilities. As it turned out, however, the program also provided lots of humanitarian aid to some very non-needy financial recipients, and was later ended after revelations of corruption hit the press.
The committee apparently made no effort to obtain, much less consider, the volumes of available news reports, analyses (including from Congress) and commentary about Mann, the hockey stick and/or Climategate.
Al Gore's Strange Nobel Prize
Bars show 595% uncertainty ranges for TCR.
At the beginning of the climate conference in Bonn, Germany, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres called on delegates to do what was "politically possible" and make "incremental" progress. By most accounts, the Bonn talks fell short of even these modest goals. Rifts between poor countries and rich nations that were papered over in Copenhagen reopened leaving delegates with more to debate at the final climate conference in Tianjin, China before the year-end Cancun summit and less common ground from which to begin discussions.
Bipartisanship is busting out on other issues too. Agreement was reached on extension of the children's health insurance program, first passed as part of a bipartisan agreement between Democrat Bill Clinton and Republican Speaker Newt Gingrich.
No doubt these Antarctic findings are continuing to chill concerns about catastrophic man-made global warming.
So, to save your benefits, you are going to have your taxes increased. And since Social Security, like every government program, is leaky, and since it pays a negative rate of return, you are going to have to pay present value of more than a dollar of taxes to save present value of a dollar of benefits. That is a bad investment. If you are still in your productive years, be ready to see your benefits go bye-bye and fight like hell to keep taxes down. And save, save, save.
Dow Chemical's recent resignation from the powerful National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) in a dispute over liquid natural gas (LNG) exports underscores its expanding split over this issue with the broader business community. But in a less visible way, it also suggests the nation's largest chemical company is retreating from its long-stated commitment to address climate change.
Since 1991, when global temperatures rose slightly past the 1940 levels, there have been 7 years of drought.
Bringing natural gas into the U.S.-Canada Clean Energy Dialogue by placing it on the agenda of the third action plan won't guarantee progress amidst all of these political distractions but it will reassert the spirit of cooperation between our two countries in time for the next U.S. president whomever he or she may be to mention Canada more than once and in a favorable way when talking about energy and environmental policy four years from now.
"Independently of the method used,we find no significant upward trend in normalized disaster loss.This holds true whether we include all disasters or take out the ones unlikely to be affected by a changing climate. It also holds true if we step away from a global analysis and look at specific regions or step away from pooling all disaster types and look at specific types of disasters instead or combine these two sets of dis-aggregated analysis. Much caution is required in correctly interpreting these findings. What the results tell us is that, based on historical data, there is no evidence so far that climate change has increased the normalized economic loss from natural disasters."
More recent was the March 11, 2011 shutdown of the Fukushima reactor in Japan as the result of an earthquake and subsequent tsunami. Three of its cores melted in the first three days, but there have been no deaths or radiation sickness attributed to this event. That's the part you're not told about.
Every movement has its nutters. Climate warriors have long ago stopped being civil. But we seem to be entering a new level of radicalisation.
From the NOAA data, the computed monthly anomalies in exactly the same Manner In computed themwith the AMSR-E data That is, relative to the June 2002 through July 2009 period of record. The results (shown below) were so surprising, I had to go to my office this Saturday morning to make sure I didnt make a mistake in my processing of the AMSR-E data.
Unfortunately, what will likely emerge a few months into the Clinton presidency is a deep desire by Republicans to recapture the party mojo by once again prevailing in the forthcoming 2018 midterm elections by using the old scorched-earth strategies. Following the road maps of 2010 and 2014, party leaders will want to demonize the president, delegitimize Washington and the policy process, and block any meaningful policy action that could lead to a Clinton signing ceremony, feed on the anger at the grassroots.
10. The story is ably told by Richard Pipes, "Team B: The Reality Behind the Myth," Commentary (October 1986).
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of the Center for Entrepreneurship John Berlau on why the bill is a terrible idea:
This "slow boat to Kyoto" is less defensible than business-sanctioned high tax rates, since we need some system for raising revenues.
Congress and states must reassert their legislative roles, restore federalism and separation of powers as the foundation of our American system, and address the extreme deference that courts too often give "agency discretion."
The intensity of the radio frequency is 5,000 times less than a cellphone, 3,200 less than a cordless phone in a home and 26 times less than a wireless router in your home.
you're Al Gore or a Hollywood liberal) flying in private jets. And we are told
(i) If e >> 1, the dynamic time scale is much greater than the radiative time scale, and hence radiativeprocesses dominate. This regime is characteristic of Mars. Consequently, on a planet with e >> 1,the equator-to-pole temperature gradient is very large, in response the latitudinal variations of solar radiation.Also, as the radiative cooling of the atmospheric parcel is so efficient, a very large diurnalvariation of temperature is expected.
The real issue is what steps countries should take to control greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. At the negotiations in Kyoto, Japan, more than 150 countries have been focusing on "targets and timetables." While such discussions can provide good political theater and photo ops, they miss a fundamental point: Carrying out significant reductions in greenhouse gases will require an institutional capability that simply does not exist now.
Well discuss and present what is called the phase locking of ENSO events to the seasonal cycle in this chapter.
In the 1970s and 80s, environmental policies rose to prominence as environmentalists scored many political victories. But our successes in cleaning rivers and air pollution were unfortunately followed by an environmental populism that led to an intellectual and economic downward spiral, often driven by fears of approaching ecological cataclysm. This devolution of the environmental movement is what German journalist and environment expert Edgar Gaertner has recently written about in his new book Eco-nihilism: A critique of a Political Ecology.
Drew Shindell, an atmospheric physicist at NASAs Goddard Institute for Space Studies who attended Della-Martas presentation, said the European findings are especially significant because they draw on long-term surface temperature records.
(3.) An El Nio- and La Nia-related component to explain the year-to-year wiggles above and beyond the anthropogenic global warming component (1.).
Knappenberger and Michaels quantify the mismatch between models and observations. From Cato at Liberty, AGU 2014: Quantifying the Mismatch between Climate Projections and Observations
New governors usher in era of labor union reform:
The New York Energy Plan estimates that the eight wind farms, with a combined 250 wind turbines, would produce approximately 900,000 kilo-watt hours (kWh) of electricity per year. But this is a drop in the bucket compared to the state's total electricity demand. For example, this amount equals 58/100 of 1 percent of the total electricity imported into New York in 2000. It is only 15 percent of the energy that will be produced from a single gas-fired combined cycle plant that is scheduled to come online in Athens, NY in 2003.
Can anyone possibly believe that emission reductions of 80 percent are anything other than a fantasy?
a particularly juicy target. With US$6 billion worth of annual
An Inconvenient Truth predictably thrilled audiences at this year's Sundance and Cannes film festivals. That has much to do with the politically receptive crowd, and also much to do with the current conception of the "documentary." Nonfiction movies have never been completely impartialeven the cuddliest nature film usually carries a conservation messagebut in recent years the very concept of objectivity has become anathema to many documentary filmmakers.
I'm scared of big government just because it's big. The government is going to spend $2.8 trillion next year. Two-point-eight-trillion anything is scary. How about coming home to find out that your cat had 2.8 trillion warm, fuzzy kittens?
One geoengineering possibility involves injecting sunlight-reflecting sulfate particles into the stratosphere, intended to mimic what large volcanic eruptions already do every once in a while. In a more science-fiction-like vein, another proposal would place numerous small "sunshades" in orbit to prevent a small amount of sunlight from reaching the Earth's surface. For many climate scientists, however, the goal of studying geoengineering isn't to determine whether any particular proposal is practical or safe, but "to show, with authority, that all such paths are dead-end streets," and that the focus needs to be on requiring large reductions in people's fossil-fuel energy consumption.
Two, the very large climate modeling overestimates of global warming are primarily a result of the assumed positive water-vapor feedback processes (about 2 o C extra global warming with a CO 2 doubling in most models). Models assume any upper tropospheric warming also brings about upper tropospheric water-vapor increase as well, because they assume atmospheric relative humidity (RH) remains quasi-constant. But measurements and theoretical considerations of deep cumulonimbus (Cb) convective clouds indicate any increase of CO 2 and its associated increase in global rainfall would lead to a reduction of upper tropospheric RH and a consequent enhancement (not curtailment) of Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) to space.
Dutch engineer develops autonomous quadcopter vehicle Reuters "Online retail giant Amazon hopes to offer delivery by drone in the United States by the end of 2016. Now a Dutch software engineer is working on a quadcopter that he says will be able to deliver much more. Thorstin Crijns envisions a quadcopter that can transport passengers autonomously, without manual control."
This is similar to what happened with the El Nio in 1998. Also don't be surprised to see it soon followed by a La Nia cooling. Although not well understood, there is no evidence linking these naturally occurring reversals of Pacific trade winds and deep-ocean currents to any man-made influences.
To extricate themselves from the dismal probabilities of the previous paragraph, proponents of declining discount rates appeal to the possibility of correlated discount rates. In essence, the coin flips stop early in the game and we are stuck with the rate chosen on that last flip, which at the time of analysis is unknown.
This archive contains some 5.000 emails picked from keyword searches. A few
BAZELL: How do they know? Dr. Michael Mann and his team analyze human historical recordstree rings, glaciers, and all sorts of other evidence from as far back as the year 1400. Their conclusion: The earth has never been as warm as it is now. The reason: We burn things. And everything we burn from a match, to gasoline for cars, to coal for plants that generate electricity, pours the invisible gas carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, where it traps the suns heat, the greenhouse effect.
This measurement is the thickest ice recorded for a late March/early April date since detailed record keeping began in 1964.??
Budiansky, Stephen. "The Doomsday Myths," U.S. News and World Report, December 13, 1993, pp. 81-91.
Europe 4 : An upwards trend of forest NEP ( Net Ecosystem Productivity ) of 1 0.5 g C/m 2 /year between 1950 and 2000 across the EU 25,?? ending with ???a mean European forest NEP of 175 52 g C/m 2 /year in the 1990s.?? And that ???61% of the change in NEP was attributed to changes in CO2, 26% to changes in climate, and 13% to changes in forest age structure.??
Error budgets are also bothering AJStrata , who views the so-called homogenisation adjustments as science fiction.