Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
CO 2 itself is hardly a desproblem if the concentration rises to values as around and more than double what we have today. The problem hnger together rather how primarily vattenngan in atmosfrens behave. If the reservoirs as a fljd of temperature rise, according to the Clausius-Clapeyron rule, ie almost exponentially, becoming fljden an additional frhjd soil temperature depending on the tillbakastrlningen into space takes place from a higher level in the atmosphere. This is further complicated by frndrad cloud formation to fljd of ndrad fuktighetsfrdelning and is a major cause of the large oskerheten in climate projections.
This discrepancy matters quite a bit. Wintertime minimum temperatures help determine plant hardiness, for example, and summertime minimum temperatures are very important for heat wave mortality. The use of temperature trends from poorly sited climate stations, therefore, introduces an uncertainly in our ability to quantify these key climate metrics.
Garth is known and respected, among other things, for his unorthodoxy on the subject of climate. In the early eighties he was not only saying that something different needed to be done to advance the field, but unlike many others complaining similarly about it then, he actually took a crack at it. Now, it will come as no surprise to Garth if I say here that I believe that his approach was wrong. But it was also brilliantly wrong. And that matters in science. Scientists remember him for the brilliant part, rather than the wrong part, because, frankly, in challenging the unknown, being wrong is the norm. Being brilliantly wrong is the best scientists can hope for when it happens. On the other extreme, the worst is encapsulated by the infamous insult by Wolfgang Pauli: ?It's not even wrong.?
Empirical evidence does not lie - RSS global satellite temperatures confirm hiatus of global warming, while the general public and mainstream press are now recognizing the AWOL truth that skeptics long ago identified...global temperatures are trending towards cooling, not accelerating higher
He compared this death tally to the WHO figures for deaths attributed to global warming and finds that the biofuels policies are more deadly. (And he is not including any increase in poverty due to other anti-global warming practices).
So where exactly is the Svalbard Island Chain , and of what importance is it? Thrust into prominence by recent reports of rapid ice melting in one specific continental glacier, these islands are located north of Iceland along the giant Mid-Atlantic / Arctic Mid-Ocean Rift Complex.
T he Truth About Cars is a website that I haven't come across before, but its article on ownership costs of a Tesla EV is well worth a look. It seems that the aluminium bodywork, used to reduce weight, makes it startlingly expensive.
The researchers, Gabriele C. Hegerl of Duke University and John M. Wallace of the University of Washington, attempted to account for this change by comparing the pattern to El Nio southern oscillation and other factors, but found that, "Trends in these patterns can account for only a small fraction of the observed trend in lapse rate."
Now, however, Lynas the one-time circus-activist stuntman, has his childish perspective on the world given respectability by the establishments accolades, and has expensive films made about his dark fantasy.
He cites the treaty's expansive definition of marine pollution, writing that ``the potential impacts of rising sea surface temperatures, rising sea levels, and changes in ocean pH as a consequence of rising levels of carbon dioxide in sea water'' all could ``give rise to actions under the convention's marine pollution provisions.''
This document includes six major sections the politics of the issue, the significance of the issue, global warming, energy issues, gas prices, and nuclear energy. For commentary concerning each of these issues, see the respective sections.
For the largest group of balls (seven), I guessed that the deflation would be 0.38 psi. When the implied temperatures were re-calculated using this guess, they fit nicely within the corridor (red + signs). However, if this deflation were applied to the three balls in the two upper ellipses,they end up well above the corridor and this estimate is insufficient for one ball.
Flashback 2010: Climate Depot's Morano on Fox News: "There is no way anyone can falsify the global warming theory now because any weather event that happens "proves' their case'
A new poll of physicians finds that 76% of respondents consider the FDA's approval process too slow, and 80% would like to see painkiller Vioxx made available again.
The actual number of sites that passed this screening: 484, or over 3 times the number expected based on chance alone, (i.e. assuming no relationship between rings and temperature, and using a one tailed test).
Imagine astronomers discover that a large asteroid will collide with the Earth in 2026. The only way to prevent catastrophe, they say, is to significantly deflect the asteroid well before impact.
The six scientists report that enhanced plant production -- an increase in aboveground biomass on the order of 40% in response to their specific degree of elevated CO 2 -- "did not lead to a progressive decline in soil N availability." In fact, they say that on the contrary , "soil N availability remained higher after 5 years of elevated than ambient CO 2 ," likely due to "a greater mineralization rate under elevated CO 2 ." As for why this was so, they speculate that "elevated CO 2 increased soil moisture due to decreased plant transpiration at our site (Nelson et al ., 2004), which could have stimulated microbial activity and N mineralization." What it means
If there is a more obvious example of crony capitalism to be had in our country than the treatment the wind industry now enjoys, I can't think of it.
Obama's cultural liberalism helped sink Democrats
Our individual carbon footprints are a function of consumption, which, in turn, is a derivative of individual wealth. Accordingly, my carbon footprint should be small, because I am poor. As an adult, I've never lived in a space larger than a room, and I don't drive.
The graph below shows how they lowered past sea level, and raised recent sea level to create the EU mandated scary appearance of sea level rising.
So the spouse hands me a scrap of paper and says One of the people I know asked me to ask you to watch this and tell her what you think of it. Which really means tell the spouse who will tell something slightly different to the friend of a friend.
The Wells Journal website predicts 1,000,000C and 999999 mm rain. And they had the sense of humor to highlight their glitch and have a good laugh.
Well, in this case, the "experts" claim that not only one house, but the whole planet will "burn" in a few years. That's a much more extraordinary statement than the already bizarre warning by the female structural engineer.
We might have more to say about this, and in greater detail, at a later date. But know this: The leftist victory over Heartland is all in their heads.
AUSTRALIAN GROUP LAUNCHES "CLEXIT' PUSH
This echoes yet another scientist, a professor at the University of Colorado, who in recent times also mentioned this new era in relation to a call for population control when he stated:
Among the facts that are clear, however, are that U.S. emissions contribute very little to global concentrations of greenhouse gas, and that even substantial cuts in these emissions are likely to have no effect on temperature. Data from the Energy Information Administration show, for example, that the United States cut carbon dioxide emissions by 12 percent between 2005 and 2012 while global emissions increased by 15 percent over the same period.
My answer is limited to WG1. Instead of trying to be complete, this report should focus much more on the really crucial issues: What are the natural and anthropogenic forcings that influence the climate, what are the relevant feedbacks? How can we decide whether feedbacks are positive or negative? How good are the models? Which models are the best and for what reasons? Many of these crucial issues are now buried deep inside the report instead of highlighted in the summary. Progress would be much faster if supporters of AGWand sceptics would be forced to sit together at the table and discuss where the consensus is and where the discrepancy. This worked when the satellite temperature of Spencer and Christy were challenged by Mears and Wentz; it worked when hurricane specialists sat around the table to come up with a consensus statement.
A federal program to help subprime mortgage holders attracts 45,000 applicants.
the results mostly show moderate skill for temperature indices and low skill or its absence for precipitation indices . Kiktev et al
Socially sustainable? Culturally sustainable? We dont even know if what we currently do is culturally or socially sustainable. How can we guess if some development is culturally sustainable?
In the first experiment, the total reproductive biomass of the plants that were grown in CO 2 -enriched air was 32% greater than that of the plants grown in ambient air, as was the total number of fruit produced.?? In the second experiment, for seeds from female plants grown in ambient air, 55% of all emergence occurred within six days of sowing, while for seeds from plants grown in CO 2 -enriched air, 67% of total emergence occurred during the same period.?? In addition, 87% of the seeds from the elevated-CO 2 -grown plants ultimately germinated, while only 67% of the seeds from the ambient-CO 2 -grown plants did so.?? Last of all, there was a tendency for a greater percentage of female progeny to be produced in the CO 2 -enriched air than in ambient-air (56.3% vs. 52.7%). What it means
MEDIA ADVISORY: Heartland Institute Environment Expert Reacts to NRC Climate Report
A global map of surface air temperature anomalies in July 2011 vs. the mean of 1998-2006 shows at least 75% of regions were cooler or exhibited no change from the baseline. While the US July heat wave received extensive press attention and claims of links to greenhouse gases, a cooling anomaly of equal and opposite magnitude occurred in the western US and Canada, but received no press attention. Atmospheric CO2 is well-distributed throughout the atmosphere and could not account for the large regional differences.
Now, weve all seen how much skill climate models have shown at hindcasting sea surface temperatures since 1900 and at hindcasting and projecting sea surface temperatures over the satellite era (the last 30 years). A one word summary: None. Refer to the discussions of Figures 15 through 20 in the post Part 2 Do Observations and Climate Models Confirm Or Contradict The Hypothesis of Anthropogenic Global Warming? and the two-part post Satellite-Era Sea Surface Temperature Versus IPCC Hindcast/Projections Part 1 and Part 2 . Or if you prefer, those discussions are also included in my first book If the IPCC was Selling Manmade Global Warming as a Product, Would the FTC Stop their deceptive Ads?
People have imagined That if we stopped emitting carbon dioxide the climate would go back to normal in 100 years, 200 year thats not true, said researcher Susan Solomon, the lead author of the report, quoted by AP news agency.
Cloud properties can have a significant impact on climate, yet the effects of aerosols like dust is one of the more uncertain components of climate change models. Scientists have long recognized the importance of soluble particles, such as sea salt and sulfates, in creating the droplets that form clouds and lead to precipitation. But until now, the role of insoluble particles mostly dust swept into the atmosphere from such sources as deserts hasn??t figured significantly in climate models.
In relation to the three studies that I do not find any serious fault with, some relevant details from my analysis are:
The Pacific Ocean has been significantly warmer than the present throughout vast majority of past 10,000 years
Yesterday the Climate Institute released its Global Climate Leadership Review that significantly bucked other analyses and concluded Australias carbon tax of $23 a tonne of greenhouse gases was modest. The report says Sweden has a $130 equivalent carbon price. Switzerland is up to $60.
CEI's General Counsel Sam Kazman responded: "This is the latest effort in an intimidation campaign to criminalize speech and research on the climate debate. CEI will vigorously fight to quash this subpoena. It is an affront to our First Amendment rights of free speech and association for Attorney General Walker to bring such intimidating demands against a nonprofit group. If Walker and his allies succeed, the real victims will be all Americans, whose access to affordable energy will be hit by one costly regulation after another, while scientific and policy debates are wiped out one subpoena at a time."
Mr Watson, the NSW Department of Environment and Climate Change??s coastal unit team leader, analysed data taken over 100 years by tidal gauges at Fremantle, Auckland, Fort Denison in Sydney and Newcastle, and found a weak deceleration of sea-level rises between 1940 and 2000.
Figure 1. Left panel Nonlogo ball pressures expressed in deg F using the Ideal Gas Law. The eleven Patriot measurements are divided into three groups indicated by the ellipses.
Furthermore, even if we accept that carbon dioxide is bad, it's not clear exactly what we should do about it. In September, Tom Wigley of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder published a report that determined "switching from coal to natural gas would do little for global climate." Mr. Wigley found that the particulates put into the atmosphere by coal-fired power plants, "although detrimental to the environment, cool the planet by blocking incoming sunlight."
"Amazonia consists of several types of forest and a large expanse more than a third of the region of savannah (cerrado) and semidesert (chaco). `The cerrado and chaco are being destroyed at a much faster rate than anything else,' Lacher says. `The rate at which they're being gobbled up by soybean plantations is staggering. Then comes the dry forest, and last is the moist forest. So the actual wettest forest, which is what most of the attention is focused on, is not being hit as much as people sometimes think." (Science, p. 737)
See the whole thing (dated June 2007) here . From the summary: The Sun drives climate change and it will be colder next decade by 2.0 degrees centigrade. (Via Climate Science )
Please note that there is a factual error in Holly Morris Polar Distress , published last weekend in the NYT and the IHT and concerned with The Magnetic North by Sara Wheeler.
Many skeptics' adjustment-phobia unmasks their anti-scientific credentials
"Beijing - Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff on Tuesday urged Chinese rail firms to bid for a planned high-speed link between Brazil's two largest cities, state media said."
Perhaps Pachauri and journalist Stanford would care to explain which part of Teske?s CV makes him a distinguished scientist.
The authors reviewed 225 pertinent scientific papers in an attempt to synthesize existing knowledge relative to the relationship between ecosystem net primary production and species richness, using data derived from terrestrial, wetland and aquatic environments. What was learned
?Ice and snow reflect up to 90 percent of the sunlight,? Eicken said. ?The ocean without any ice absorbs about 90 percent of the sunlight.?
Meanwhile, Coburn framed the ethanol issue in stark terms declaring: "What part of stupid are we? This is a historic vote that is a signal to the American people: Either people in Washington get it and are going to stop wasting money and start acting in the best interests of the country, or ... they won't."
CLEXIT's founding statement says, "This vicious and relentless war on carbon dioxide will be seen by future generations as the most misguided mass delusion that the world has ever seen. Carbon dioxide is NOT a dangerous pollutant it is a natural, non-toxic, and beneficial gas which feeds all life on earth. Its increasing concentration is improving the environment, not harming it."
Before the cause started to contaminate climatology about two decades ago, climate scientists realized that around the years 950-1250 AD or so, the Earth experienced warmer temperatures than in some later centuries, e.g. 1550-1850 AD. They called the first period the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and the second period was the Little Ice Age (LIA).
In Iraq, George W. Bush has followed the Reagan path, repeatedly changing methods and tactics but without drawing attention to his changes of direction. The voting public has not liked that.
The sin of course is modern human activity in prosperous nations. You know, the kind of sinful activity that has lifted so many out of poverty, protected them from never-ending unusual weather events, and dramatically contributed to healthy living.
the reputation of the ?scientific standing? of some of the leading exponents of the global warming doctrine has been heavily undermined recently (the most scandalous example being the case of the ?hockey stick?, which constituted the basis of the 2001 Third Assessment Report of the IPCC);
In order to deter challenges to your plan for centralized control of industrial development through the issuance of permits for greenhouse gases, you have called upon each state to declare its allegiance to the Environmental Protection Agencys recently enacted greenhouse gas regulationsregulations that are plainly contrary to United States law . To encourage acquiescence with your unsupported findings you threaten to usurp state enforcement authority and to federalize the permitting program of any state that fails to pledge their fealty to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
The UAH graph provides a complete answer to the Chameides attempt to suggest that skeptics are confusing short-term and longer-term temperature changes. The year 2008 will turn out to have been no warmer than 1980 28 years ago. This is not a short-run change: the cooling trend set in as far back as late 2001, seven full years ago, and there has been no net warming since 1995 on any measure. Next, Chameides attempts to suggest that the recent cooling is caused by solar activity. He could well be right however, if so, by the same token the warming that stopped in 1998 could also have been caused by solar activity there was, after all, a solar Grand Maximum in the last 70 years of the 20th century, during which the sun was more active and for longer than at almost any previous similar period in the whole of the past 11,400 years.
As former NASA employees, we feel that NASAs advocacy of an extreme position, prior to a thorough study of the possible overwhelming impact of natural climate drivers is inappropriate. We request that NASA refrain from including unproven and unsupported remarks in its future releases and websites on this subject. At risk is damage to the exemplary reputation of NASA, NASAs current or former scientists and employees, and even the reputation of science itself.
Similarly the real savings of CO2 emissions from wind were 3 million tonnes less than the official DECC figures of 11.7 million tonnes, and which also ignores the increased emissions of Gas plants to balance Wind. The real capacity load factor of Wind Farms was 20.6% and not the quoted 28.7%, once you take into account the discarded excess wind energy.
Lets return to the quote from the introduction of Trenberth et al. (2014) Earths Energy Imbalance :
Be afraid of the dark: Misguided NIMBYs foster future of blackouts
Steven Lyazi is a student and day laborer in Kampala, Uganda. He served as special assistant to Congress of Racial Equality-Uganda director Cyril Boynes, until Mr. Boynes died in January 2015.
There are other, deeper tensions at work. Working-class voters crave order and stability. They value the degree of these things that the welfare state and public institutions have provided. They also respect entrepreneurs but have no desire to be forced to emulate them. They respect private economic activity, but fear that business will cast them aside in the pursuit of profits. A conservatism that conveys the message that we seek to abolish the welfare state or that people have value only if they enthusiastically participate as risk takers in a dynamic, turbulent economy will not appeal to them.
Joe Herring warns of Islamist terrorists setting up a propaganda shop in the Heartland
"At a stroke, Medicare chief Donald Berwick has revived the "death panel" debate from two summers ago. Allow us to referee, because this topic has been badly distorted by the political processand in a rational world, it wouldn't be a political question at all."
The administration wants to apply this to concessionaires as well. This will force us to raise a $20 camping rate by $4 a night.
A host of data shows all catastrophic events allegedly caused by CAGW occurred in the past when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were lower and constant.For many weather events, rates of occurrences recently declined.
It is time that the Australian government shook itself free from the baleful influence of the IPCC by, first, commissioning a review by fully independent scientists as to the relative risks of natural and hypothetical human-caused climate change; and, second, by adopting a cost-effective national climate policy of preparation and adaptation.
By Matt Ridley, WSJ, Aug 13, 2015
From a sampling point of view you cant sample temperature using a min/max thermometer, nor is meteorological maths correct. Lots of awkward problems where pragmatics comes into it. On the other hand a deep ground temperature thermometer is integrating, it can produce valid data except the technology and reading method was poor.
Former Vice President Al Gore prepares for the release of his documentary on global warming.
Professor Chris Turney and Dr Richard Jones, both from the Universitys Department of Geography, have reported a comprehensive study of the Last Interglacial, a period of warming some 125,000 years ago, in the latest issue of the Journal of Quaternary Science .
In the context of our weblog posting of December 26, 2005 More on Sudden Climate Transitions A Book by John D. Cox , the paper we published in the Proceedings of the National Academy (PNAS) in 2004 is relevant.
In respect to Schmidts whinge, as Lucia sagely observed a couple of years ago in connection with Schmidts defence of upside-down Tiljander, one cannot assume that people actually asked the questions that Schmidt says they asked or that his answers are adequate because he says so:
Following the records set last September, Antarctic Sea Ice Extent continues to run well above normal. The average for January was similar to last year, and continues the increasing trend since 1979.
The controversy started in August 2007, when statistician Stephen McIntyre found an error in NASAs temperature data sets that he said caused temperatures in the U.S. from the year 2000 onward to be overstated. After posting his findings on his website ClimateAudit.org , according to Judge Barbara Rothsteins decision, McIntyre emailed them to NASA climate scientists at the Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS), which quickly revised values in its temperature data set did not issue a press release announcing or explaining the corrections.
Below is chart showing recent global temperature increases are not even "unprecedented" in the context of the 20th century. Here are some worldly examples of higher temperatures in early 20th century. And, in recent historical past, today's temps are not near being " unprecedented ." (click to enlarge)
For years, wind farms sprouted on privately held land while projects on public lands languished, in part because of the complex federal environmental reviews. Projects on private land are governed by state regulations if a federally protected species does not live there, which can lead to a cheaper and quicker approval process. If a threatened or endangered species is on private land, then federal environmental review is required just like a public site.
Is Kyoto the Hidden Price of Britain's Aid in Iraq?