Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
. . .the Massachusetts decision was a real travesty. It is impossible to review the history of the public debate on GHG regulation in this country beginning in the 1980s, when potential climate change first came to prominence, and conclude that authority to regulate GHGs was always available, hiding in plain sight in the CAA as first enacted in 1970.The Supreme Court said in the 2001 American Trucking Associations decision, in language that is often cited, that Congress does not hide elephants in mouseholes. Evidently, in the case of EPA GHG regulation, Congress did.
x=x-mean(x);year=c(time(x))/10;Year=year-mean(year)
The study was written by Peter Schwartz, former head of planning at Royal Dutch/Shell Group, and Doug Randall of the California-based Global Business Network.
5. Al Gore's extreme proposals on climate change are smart politicsand bad policy.
Americans increasingly understand that even sending US carbon dioxide emissions back to 1870 levels, as congressional climate bills would do, will not reduce global atmospheric CO2 levels, because emissions from China, India and other nations will rapidly offset our painful reductions. Those countries have made it clear that they will not sacrifice improved living standards for assertions that we can stabilize global temperatures by keeping atmospheric CO2 levels below 0.035-0.045% (350-450 ppm).
NASA proposes to launch space-based lasers that would, over several years of operation, gradually push the asteroid into a safe trajectory. They warn, however, that radically new technologies will have to be developed at enormous effort and cost. A coordinated world effort is urgently required.
Environmental stresses induced by exposure to pollutants, drought, intense solar radiation and high air or water temperatures generate highly-reactive oxygenated compounds that damage both terrestrial and aquatic plants. Ameliorating these stresses typically involves the production of antioxidant enzymes that scavenge and detoxify the highly-reactive oxygenated compounds. Hence, when stresses are present, concentrations and/or activities of antioxidants in plants are generally observed to be high; and a good question to ask, therefore, is how atmospheric CO2 enrichment impacts this relationship and what the observed results imply
I write this while seated at a table where a certain shop proprietor is happy to stash the bored husband of an enthusiastic shopper. This may seem an odd way to begin a discussion of global catastrophe perhaps, but the incongruity of this mundane snapshot of real life juxtaposed with apocalypse raises a crucial question. Which is more important, the end of the world or a 25% off sale? Formerly I could answer easily, but the shopkeepers have developed an edge that the purveyors of doom have lost. The shopkeepers keep changing their offerings to retain human interest, while their apocalyptic competitors cut their offerings and oversell what?s left well past ?best-before? dates. In fact their offerings have been cut to a single doom.
Nuccitelli ends by saying, Overall, Spencer made very few factually correct statements in this interview. On any other subject but this, where true-believers such as Nuccitelli now routinely get away with outrageous falsehoods that smear the reputations of any scientists bold enough to raise even the mildest questions about the New Religion, that remark would have led to a libel suit.
Washington officials are also hopeful that the Guadalajara meeting might produce a common front on global climate change that the North American countries could press for together at the upcoming UN-sponsored climate change negotiations in Copenhagen. European countries have been working under an emissions cap and trading regime and this experience has fostered greater unity of perspective; in Asia, China and India have been the most vocal developing countries arguing against radical action that might hurt their economies. North America, in the middle, would make a real contribution if it could articulate a position acceptable to a developing economy (Mexico), a major energy producer (Canada), and a high-consumption country (The United States).
Anyone who has studied the history of science knows that scientists are not immune to the non-rational dynamics of the herd.
"The region is a welter of putrefaction, where men die like flies. Even with all the money in the world and half its population it is impossible to finish this railway." The Public Works Company, 1873
Nah, it is of course all the food we best and the songs that stands for about 25 percent of the average Swede klimatpverkan according arrangrerna. We can output has been not change our eating habits and reduce klimatpverkan 25 percent less n we stop taking verhuvudtaget. Besides, it was the GT outside festivalomrdet, like sausages guys that nobody complained p.
Figuring out what to make of the climate change talks recently held in Paris isn't as easy as you might think. Talk about a confusing atmosphere.
on Saturday, February 22nd, 2014 at 3:57 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
As illustrated and discussed, while global surface temperatures rose slightly in 2014, the minor uptick did little to overcome the growing difference between observed global surface temperature and the projections of global surface warming by the climate models used by the IPCC.
Finally ???more than 97% of all actively publishing* climate scientists agree that climate change is real and human caused?? is probably an underestimate, as virtually everyone acknowledges that the surface temperature is warmer than it was, and that multifarious human activities have some influence on climate. Rather, he misses the point well-made by the original Journal article, which is that the rise in surface temperature is clearly below the values first forecast by the UN in 1990. The coreunsettledissue in climate science is the ???sensitivity?? of temperature to carbon dioxide, and there are several independent lines of evidence, including the surface temperature history and the water vapor problems, that argue that it has been substantially overestimated.
"In his dissenting opinion, Judge Robert Smith argued the court was being too prudish in what it considered art even though he finds lap dances 'distasteful.' 'Perhaps for similar reasons, I do not read Hustler magazine,' Smith wrote. 'I would rather read the New Yorker. I would be appalled however, if the state were to exact from Hustler a tax that the New Yorker did not have to pay on the ground that what appears in Hustler is insufficiently "cultural or artistic.'"
Thats the way I learned it from the big boys of climate/meteorology.
Asian Droughts. Numerous drought related disasters have occurred over the Asian mainland this century. The most notable include:
Computer model simulations of complex, chaotic systems often are massive failures producing worthless prediction output.....all the climate models used by the IPCC and the major climate research agencies are no different - with that said, there are times when a simpler and more elegant model approach can produce superior results despite the chaos at hand, and for a fraction of the cost
The could learn a lot about di-hydrogen oxide.
This illustrates the non-intuitive nature of climate. As the global temperature was climbing from 1985 until 1998, global sea ice was increasing. Since then it has decreased, and currently is where we were at the start of the satellite record. Variation in the average is 2%. Nothing unusual here.
EPA's constantly changing and increasingly narrow interpretation of NSR enforcement policies has had major negative effects on businesses, workers, consumers, and the environment. Evidence to this effect was presented at hearings and in written petitions to EPA and is referenced in EPA's Report to the President. This section briefly reviews some of that evidence and EPA's own evaluations of it.
The problem with the IPCC process, however, is that the scientists and experts participating in each iteration have become increasingly biased toward climate alarmism. It is getting harder to separate the ideologically motivated alarmists from the honestly worried scientists. Past assessment reports, especially the 2nd AR in 1995, were badly politicized by U.N. bureaucrats, misrepresenting what the report actually contained. Skeptics qualified to participate have found the IPCC process too frustrating and have dropped out; for example, Richard Lindzen, a participant and chapter author in the 3rd AR, is not participating in this round. More and more, the IPCC is becoming an echo chamber for just one point of view, and is closing itself to outside criticism. Its members, in the fashion of environmental activists, have taken to demonizing their reasonable critics.
They claim the model we used was ???bad?? (even though it is commonly used in many previous studies, and recommended to us by one of the leading climate modelers in the world), and that is was ???tuned?? to match the data. The last claim is absolutely hilarious, since the more complex climate models they use are constantly being re-tuned by small armies of scientists in efforts to get them to better agree with the observed behavior of the climate system.
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 14, 2015
Although manufacturing employment declines in certain years, that change is simply a result of the American free market at its best. As a market expands, new jobs replace old jobs and the economy grows. Chart 4 provides the impact on manufacturing employment.
Pollen is disseminated by the wind. Organic farmers and activists have long argued that plants on an organic farm cross-pollinated by a neighbor's genetically engineered crops would no longer be considered organic and therefore would be denied the higher price such foods command in the marketplace. Therefore, organic producers have demanded mandatory minimum planting distances and even a government-administered fund that would compensate organic farmers who were financially harmed by cross-pollination.
Read here . UK ocean experts, using the best tidal gauges available, discover that sea level rise is not accelerating. In fact, it has been decelerating since 1960, as the below graph indicates. (click on image to enlarge)
It shows general warming from 1680 following the cold of the Little Ice Age (LIA) that was coincident with the Maunder Minimum of sunspots. This warming shows why charges that others and I were global warming deniers were false. What we questioned was the claim that humans were the cause. Dickens Winters relate to Charles Dickens and the cold weather, poor harvests, and hard economic times typified by A Christmas Carol . The period correlates with the Dalton Minimum of reduced sunspots. Conditions of that time are similar to those anticipated for the next 3040 years.
Over the past 50 years southern Australia has lost about 20 per cent of its rainfall, and one cause is almost certainly global warming. Similar losses have been experienced in eastern Australia, and although the science is less certain it is probable that global warming is behind these losses too........Desalination plants can provide insurance against drought. In Adelaide, Sydney and Brisbane, water supplies are so low they need desalinated water urgently, possibly in as little as 18 months. Of course, these plants should be supplied by zero-carbon power sources
First, get the MSU tropical T2LT series and then for convenience, center the data and the time series (dividing by 10 to yield changes per decade):
This principle applies well beyond Halloween. It is present when people worry about the effects of genetically engineered food, now that food borne disease is under control. It is present when people worry about chemicals when chemicals have done so much to improve our lives. And it is present when we worry about the wrath of nature as a result of global warming when our societies have become more resilient to the effects of bad weather.
"Good Science Prevails': Renowned Scientist Fred Singer Talks Climate Change
Note the precision in the probabilities. Very impressive. However, Dr Jones unfortunately appears to suffer from xenophobia. Heres a communication from Prof Phil Jones (for it is he) gleefully relating in a Climategate email about our Dr David Jones
1000 years (900-1100) Suess cycle with +/- 0.65C
The combined land and ocean surface record (Figure 1) shows a warming trend of about 0.11 C per decade (1958-1998) and 0.19 C per decade (1979-1998), while the satellite temperature records (Figure 2) since 1979 show a warming trend of 0.05 C per decade.4 The contrast in temperature trends between the surface and satellite measurements of the lower atmosphere is puzzling because the computer models say the CO2-produced warming trend in the lower atmosphere should be larger than at the surface, but it is not.5 This important disagreement remains unexplained.
The Four Corners area, which is made up of Northwestern New Mexico, Southwestern Colorado, Northeastern Arizona and Southeastern Utah, contains the San Juan Basin which is one of the premier natural gas deposits in the United States. The San Juan Basin has contributed more than eight percent of the nations current natural gas supply. Our area has produced more than 370 million barrels of oil and nearly 38 trillion cubic feet of natural gas. There are currently more than 20,000 producing wells with a prediction of up to 5,000 additional wells targeting natural gas in the upcoming years. The United States Geological Survey projects possible undiscovered resources at more than 50 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, 148 million barrels of natural gas liquids and between 7 and 35 million barrels of oil.
That wasntalarmingenough either, so they bumped the numbers up to 3.1 mm per year, almost triple the 1990 number without any evidence that sea level rise had accelerated.
In spite of the British ban on slavery from the early 19th century, Mr. Kerwick points out it was not outlawed in India until the 1940s not outlawed in Saudi Arabia until the 60s.
Sir Davids comments were made in an interview in The Guardian.
Early action crediting is being promoted as a way to protect industry in the event that the Kyoto Protocol or some other program to limit greenhouse gas emissions is implemented. But Jack Kemp, a distinguished fellow with the Competitive Enterprise Institute, told the House Government Reform Subcommittee on July 15 that early action crediting is an attempt to create a pro-Kyoto lobby within the business community. Credits acquired under early action would be worthless unless Kyoto is ratified.
3. Understanding how heat trapped in the ocean will be transported into the deeper layers and how that might affect global temperatures in the future.
However, data indicate that the rise in the heat stored at depth of the tropical Pacific, in the form of warm water, was created by temporary increases in sunlight caused by La Nia eventsnot by an increase in infrared radiation from manmade greenhouse gases. Well discuss that later in this post, and Ill provide a quote from Dr. Trenberths earlier research that contradicts his recent speculation.
Specifically, the fluctuations in the halftime pressures of Patriots footballs exceed in magnitude the fluctuations that can be attributed to the combined effects of the various physical, usage, and environmental factors we examined. Therefore, subject to discovery of an as yet unidentified and unexamined factor, the most plausible explanation for the variability in the Patriots halftime measurements is that the 11 Patriots footballs measured by the officials at halftime did not all start the game at or near the same pressure.
$100,000 for The identified issue for this project is exposure to diesel emissions and other environmental hazards associated with inappropriate land use within West Oakland.
/s/ Kenneth Suit JSC, Asst Mgr., Systems Integration, Space Shuttle, 37 years
"An ironic bookend to that Richard Cohen column I linked earlier accusing the GOP of being a "cult" that can't face unpleasant realities. Look out here for actual chanting about how allegedly un-broke we are. (Even The One is more reality-based than that.) You've seen this schtick before remember Michael Moore's disgusting speech in Wisconsin about the "400 little Mubaraks" who have stolen "our" money? but watch it anyway to see how slippery Jones is with the actual numbers. Turns out there's "a lot" of wealth out there that could be used to reduce the deficit; not enough wealth to keep up with a metastasizing government, especially with entitlement spending set to explode, but still, it's "a lot." No need to sweat the details."
IPCC Reports say little , but acknowledge lack of data and understanding. There are very limited direct measurements of actual evapotranspiration over global land areas. Over oceans, estimates of evaporation depend on bulk flux estimates that contain large errors. The problem is this is the major mechanism of transferal of heat energy in the global system.
In a sharp escalation of tensions over Brussels' move to bring aviation into its emissions trading system from January 1, Hilary Clinton, U.S. Secretary of State, has written to her European Commission counterpart, Catherine Ashton, and other top commissioners, to "strongly urge" the EU to halt or suspend its plan.
Solution: As noted here , "an ad hoc assumption, not supported by any factual evidence, solved the problem: The average age of air was arbitrarily decreed to be exactly 83 years younger than the ice in which it was trapped (Jaworowski 1994 & 1992)." I have added the red arrow to illustrate the arbitrary data shift of 83 years to match up ice core data with modern measurements of CO2 at Mauna Loa, an active volcano with elevated levels of CO2.
Developing countries know increased energy use is a prerequisite for the economic development needed to combat the major problems they face today, including poverty, disease, famine, unemployment and violent conflict. Can improved technologies help them reduce energy use per unit of economic output, and thus lower greenhouse gas emissionsto produce greater wealth, health and environmental quality? If so, what policy changes are necessary to encourage technology transfers and increasing partnerships with developed countries?
Now this is interesting. We brought several pair of socks, but no extra boots.
Gasoline prices rising $0.20 by 2016 and $0.30 before 2030, and
The Environmental Protection Agency's proposed Clean Power Plan (CPP) aims to reduce U.S. carbon dioxide emissions 30 percent below 2005 levels by 2030. In a thoughtful piece for The Monitor, Texas State Geologist Scott Tinker notes 2015 carbon dioxide emissions from the U.S. electric power sector were already 20 percent below 2005 levels. He asks why we need CPP to meet the emissions reduction goal:
A simultaneous drop in the land data? This leads to the question
we notice the mean of all this can be looked at to be slightly cooler but still very hot
espite the strong mechanistic or physiological basis for a role of warming in coral bleaching and coral growth, a robust demonstration of a direct causal link between global warming and global coral bleaching over decadal time scales has not yet been produced.
Post-Moderns like unions (50 percent favorable), Obamacare (only 16 percent think it will have mainly a bad effect), and the U.N. (60 percent favorable). They are much less likely than Libertarians to say government should be smaller (85 percent vs. 55 percent), and are significantly less likely to say that cutting major programs should be the main way to cut the deficit (47 percent vs. 8 percent). They much prefer expanding alternative energy (79 percent) to producing more fossil fuels (13 percent). And they are more likely than Libertarians to support gun control (54 percent vs. 18 percent) and government efforts to fight childhood obesity (62 percent vs. 24 percent).
* Nighttime marine air temperature (NMAT) is taken by thermometers at the decks of ships, well above the sea surface. The relatively minor warming of the ocean surface (71% of the Earth's surface), stands in contrast to the reported global warming between 1970 and 2000. It suggests that land surface warming has been greatly overestimated.
They made a little mistake though. Great Lakes ice extent was at an all-time record high for the date at the end of January.
The National Research Council has released a hard-hitting report about global sea level, and in particular, sea level along thewestern coast of the United States. Yup, they really nailed it down. They predict the sea level along Californias coast to rise somewhere between4 and 30 cm (between 1.5 and 12 inches)between 2000 and2030 (see page 5 ).
Please str hr and soothes your ecological conscience and verlter for others to take responsibility for 50,000 workplaces in kolverksamheten, there is a arbetsfrdelning I Carefully said would call antiquated, Gabriel said.
Seven of the last 10 years have produced above-average freezing in the waters west of Alaska, Cole said. Last year, seasonal sea-ice cover and thickness in the Bering Sea were higher than any time since record-keeping began four decades ago.
As my presentation had pointed out, the very small fluctuations of just 1% in absolute global temperature either side of the long-run mean over the past 420,000 years, notwithstanding substantial astronomical forcings, are inconsistent with the notion that strongly net-positive (i.e. temperature-amplifying) feedbacks are in operation.
But if we quit the fight now, there is no assurance we will win these battles. The forces against freedom and for tyranny in each case are enormous, well-funded, and powerful. We are David against Goliath, confident and hopeful but still battling heavy odds.
Yet the actual plotted global temperature results on Chart #2, through June 2013, reveal that global warming has died and world temperatures are well below the NASA "business as usual" scenario. In fact, the actual temperatures are practically below the NASA model's 'Scenario C' (the cyan/aqua curve on chart) that assumes CO2 emissions had been reduced to year 2000 levels.
M-pesa has in turn improved access to capital even more, and technology businesses are thriving all over Kenya as a result.
A new paper published in The Cryosphere finds the largest ice cap in Tibet had approximately equal gain and loss of ice mass between 2000 and 2012, such that "Overall, our results show an almost balanced mass budget for the studied time period. Additionally, we detected one continuously advancing glacier tongue in the eastern part of the ice cap." The findings stand in stark contrast to alarmist claims of a "meltdown" in " the climate front line of Tibet ."
Over on WUWT, there was an interesting comment burried down in yet another long discussion thread.
Brian Lilley with Alex Marlow on Benghazi. Brian Lilley recently released CBC Exposed available at your bookstores. Interview with John Gormley available here .
Indian monsoon rainfall has dropped since the 50s, but climate change should increase it. Whats going on?
Seal pups have been drowning because of thin and melting ice due to warmer than usual weather. So, the Canadian government has reduced the hunting quota by about 20 percent according to Doug Struck writing for the Washington Post :
Also reported here is that Arctic sea ice volume has increased by a third in 2013 and that this growth continued into last year. Compared to the average of the period between 2010 and 2012, a 33 percent increase in sea ice volume was found in 2013 and and in 2014 there was still a quarter more ice than during that period. As Jim Lakely, director of communications at the Heartland Institute, writes today: "The fact is, current ice extent on the North Pole is within the normal range of what satellites have accurately measured" since 1979.
Finally, what of corruptionwhat role does it play in undermining prosperity? In a very simple regression of Transparency International's Corruption Perception Index on the Legatum Index, we find an R-squared of 0.74. This shows a strong positive association between low corruption and high prosperity.
Canadian winter, summer and annual temperature departures from 1961-1990. Averages for the years 1998 -2011