Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Of course, if natural multidecadal ocean oscillations can explain the 'pause,' why can't they also explain much of the cause of global warming during the 80's-90's? The authors also describe a potential mechanism that could be the natural driver of multidecadal ocean oscillations, finding "robust negative correlation between the AMOC and North Atlantic deep-ocean density with density lagging the AMOC by 5 to 11 yr in most models. While this would in principle allow for a self-sustained oscillatory behavior of the coupled AMOCdeep-ocean system." In addition, many other papers have described solar and lunar tidal forcing of ocean oscillations as well.
I very much welcome the strong position taken by Briffa and coauthors against the use of radially deformed tree ring data.
A REPORT warning of increasing heatwaves across western Sydney fails to account for wide variations in temperatures recorded in different parts of the city and over time.
Robert Bryce writing in today's WSJ:
FURTHER READING: Zycher also writes "The Fact-free Opposition to Keystone XL," "The Efficiency of a Carbon Tax: Broadly Accepted and Broadly Wrong," and "The Climate Change Climate Keeps Changing, but the Carbon Tax Is Eternal." Kenneth P. Green asks "Can Obama Punt Keystone into 2016?" Vaclav Smil presents "Obama's Indefensible Pipeline Punt."
#1 Global warming is based on computer models of the atmosphere projecting temperatures out a hundred or more of years. Computer models are used to predict the daily weather as well. Can you tell us what your temperature at your home will be next month on the first Monday within 10 degreesCelcius Would you bet even one paycheck on it? How about the average for the week? Maybe but maybe not.
See, for instance, Andrew Restuccia, "Obama: Nation Can't Drill its Way out of Soaring Gas Prices," The Hill, May 6, 2011, http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/159705-obama-more-drilling-is-not-the-solution (accessed June 17, 2016).
If the common man needed more proof that normal news organs are intentionally hiding front-page events, this is it. Last week my family went to dinner at a local pizza joint, and I took the opportunity to bring them up-to-date regarding Climategate. From the next table over came a cry from one diner to their partner on overhearing my remarks, "See, I told you it was true there's somebody else talking about it right over there!" Throughout the country and the world, the same thing is happening on the subway, in restaurants, in the office as the truth is passed from one to another, with proof supplied instantly online, despite even the best efforts of Google.
3) Haven?t Global Temperatures Risen Before? Yes. In the longer term, say hundreds to thousands of years, there is considerable indirect, proxy evidence (not from thermometers) of both warming and cooling. Since humankind can?t be responsible for these early events, this is evidence that nature can cause warming and cooling. If that is the case, it then opens up the possibility that some (or most) of the warming in the last 50 years has been natural, too. While many geologists like to point to much larger temperature changes are believed to have occurred over millions of years, I am unconvinced that this tells us anything of use for understanding how humans might influence climate on time scales of 10 to 100 years.
Further, atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide, currently demonised, have in the past been many time higher while Earth was actually cooler than it is now.
Mike Haseler, the study's author, explains: "rising GDP is an indication of a prosperous economy"which is why economic commentators cite GDP number when they say: "President Barack Obama may become the first president since Herbert Hoover not to serve during a year in which the growth in real GDP was at least 3 percent. Yet, in the name of climate change, through government policy, many countries are trying to discourage energy use by forcing costs up. Haseler states: "They are cutting energy use as the economy of Europe collapses because European industry can no longer compete with countries where energy prices are not artificially raised by senseless "green' policies."
Calling oil from horizontal wells unconventional is crucial for the peak oil folks, however, because if the oil from fracking were classified as conventional oil, the peak oil claims and the peak gas claims would sink of their own weight ...
You know what the huge hideous rule says. Biofuel processes must produce 20 percent less CO2 than gasoline . TWENTY PERCENT LESS, are you listening to me!!! Guess what the reaction of a Minnesota democrat was to this hideous and burdensome requirement, (which adds giant cost to fuels).
All along the public was told the reason for rising temperatures was a result of the increase in global carbon emissions. Yet carbon emissions continue to rise, while temperatures do not.
"The top 400 charities showed donations declined by 11 percent last year- the worst decline in 20 years."Sandy Levinson's Challenge:
Results of a study published this week in the journal Science show how fast animal and plant populations would need to move to keep up with recent climate change effects in the ocean and on land.
This study seems to confirm what physicians, registered dietitians and healthcare associations such as the American Medical Association have been saying for decades, said Dr. Mark Haub, Associate Professor in the Department of Nutrition at Kansas State University. Not only is it safe to consume caloric sweeteners at recommended levels, it is important for consumers to understand that high fructose corn syrup and table sugar have the same amount of calories and studies like this indicate your body metabolizes them about the same.
Through this initiative, labor and management set out to pursue more government funds for themselves as an explicit policy objective. As Kenneth Raske, the head of GNYHA, put it, "government the key to all our problems." Under Rivera's leadership, 1199 shifted its political efforts into overdrive. " the existing culture of giving to political candidates and ramp it up to a whole new level," explained Jennifer Cunningham, a top Rivera lieutenant. Cunningham attributed the union's political success to "the ability to mobilize voters around a public policy issue, sophistication of materials, and frankly, a boatload of cash."
Bellingen News, sport and weather | The Bellingen Shire Courier Sun
RCC Australia assumed coordination of the incident and issued a broadcast to icebreaking vessels in the area.
Thermometers show a 60 year cycle US summer cooling and heating. Ten years of sharp cooling, followed by 50 years of gradual warming.The graph below shows two sharp cooling periods from 1895 to 1905, and again from 1950 to 1960. It also shows two warming periods from 1910 to 1950, and from 1960 to 2010.
9 Tribulation and anguish, upon every soul of man that doeth evil, of the Jew first, and also of the Gentile;
The AFL-CIO Sasses President Obama on Twitter:
After 350 years, and amid a changing climate, Alpine pilgrims warm up to ice.
. . . Apparently, increased total CO2 column amount is coupled with decreasing H2O column amount. As the result of the opposing trends in the two most important GHGs, in Fig. 2 the red curve shows no trend in the TIOD. In the last 61 years, the infrared absorbing capability of the atmosphere has not been changed; therefore, the greenhouse effect can not be the cause of the global warming.
To put this figure in perspective, the single continent of North America currently has more recoverable oil than the entire world has used since Edwin Drake drilled the first commercial oil well in Titusville, Pennsylvania, in the mid-1800s. Much of the oil in the United States is concentrated in the Bakken Formation in Montana and North Dakota, but also occurs in many other areas of the country including Alaska, California, Oklahoma, and Texas. The resources in North America could continue to meet current energy demands across the country for well over the next 200 years.
Many of your greatest engineers, scientists, and astronauts agree that Dr. Hansen has overstepped his bounds with his advocacy, as I repost below. Anthony
I suggest Congress and government agencies lead by example and adopt this rule of no air conditioning immediately. In fact, I'm sure it must be somewhere in Speaker Pelosi's Greening the Capitol initiative. Questions should be asked on the floor as to why they're running the AC this week.
4) No advanced nation or group from such a nation has a right to sanctimoniously demand that people from developing nations forgo their hopes for a better standard of living.
As the CO 2 content of the air continues to rise, nutrient poor grasslands of Switzerland will likely exhibit increased biomass both above- and belowground. Although additional phosphorus fertilization would likely increase the absolute magnitude of this response, biomass should significantly increase on a percentage basis nonetheless. Because nitrogen-fixing legumes displayed a competitive growth advantage over other plant types in these simulated grasslands, it may appear that they will flourish at the expense of other species in natural grassland communities as the CO 2 content of the air increases. However, with time, a portion of the additional nitrogen fixed by legumes should become available to neighboring species, which will likely utilize it to their own advantage, thereby preserving the species diversity of the grassland ecosystem.
In the same year the US passed a bill prohibiting the Overseas Private Investment Corporation a federal agency responsible for underwriting American companies that invest in developing countries from investing in energy projects that involve fossil fuels.
CEI: We live in the most prosperous country in the most prosperous time in the history of the world. Is being able to worry one of the luxuries we enjoy as a result?
The team looked for signs of CO 2 fertilization in arid areas, Donohue said, because "satellites are very good at detecting changes in total leaf cover, and it is in warm, dry environments that the CO 2 effect is expected to most influence leaf cover." Leaf cover is the clue, he added, because "a leaf can extract more carbon from the air during photosynthesis, or lose less water to the air during photosynthesis, or both, due to elevated CO 2 ." That is the CO 2 fertilization effect.
Trenberth et al. (2014) Earths Energy Imbalance is one of a series of papers that present and discuss the imbalance in Earths energy budget. They begin their introduction with:
Has the recent warming period lasted longer than the early period? No doubt about it. Is that any reason to be concerned? No. The mid-to-late 20 th Century cooling period lasted for 46 years. Who cares?
Alexander said she has always maintained that by definition, more vulnerable households are not able to respond as effectively to a natural disaster as those households whose livelihoods are more secure, that is, their capacity for response is influenced by their weakened ability to guard against risk.
We can see above that Alaska and Siberia were plenty warm in January, 1926. We can also see below that the current Arctic warming is most pronounced during winter. The belief that recent Arctic warming is somehow different than the 1920s warming does not seem to have a very sound basis.
As for average summertime maximum temperature in Missouri's third climate division since 1896: the correlation is one toward cooling, not warming, during the summer. That applies for the rest of the state as well.
Concerning these benefits, atmospheric CO 2 is the building block of plant life. It is used by earths plants in the process of photosynthesis to construct their tissues and grow. And as has been conclusively demonstrated in numerous scientific studies, the more CO 2 we put into the air, the better plants grow. Among other findings, they produce greater amounts of biomass, become more efficient at using water, and are better able to cope with environmental stresses such as pollution and high temperatures.
In early 2013, a Heritage paper looked at the economic impacts of a carbon tax that was included as a side case in the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2012. That analysis noted the following impacts of a $25 per ton tax on carbon dioxide:
increased government funding of energy-related technology research and development
???While the consequences of the various impact mechanisms could have made the surface ocean more acidic, our results do not point to enough ocean acidification to cause global extinctions. Out of several factors we considered in our model simulation, only one (sulphuric acid) could have made the surface ocean severely corrosive to calcite, but even then the amounts of sulphur required are unfeasibly large.
sped up and slowed suggests the glaciers have been melting all along. And thats correct. The epoch we are now in is called an interglacial. And what happens during interglacials? Glaciers melt. That??s precisely what they??ve been doing since the last ice age ended many millennia ago. The author of the NYT article even acknowledges that in the opening of the next paragraph:
A related issue is the question whether the shooters or the originators of the plots must be famous people. The conspiracy theorists generally believe that the answer has to be Yes. But it's another fact that there are many more ordinary people even ordinary people with some access to guns who might want to kill a politician. If it is possible to get to a reasonable floor of a building, they may just give a try.
"Non-falsifiable Hypothesis': AGW "looks like its own self-contained and self-referential lunatic asylum finding positive proof of climate change in every weather surprise'
The main stumbling block that has kept this vision from becoming a reality can be summarized in a word: JUDGMENT. Good medical practice is a time intensive, hands on, one-on-one business where judgment is often the critical factor that is supplied by the physician. Good judgment comes from a combination of knowledge and experience. And, as wonderful as computers have been in many areas of our lives, no one has ever been able to successfully program judgment. Two examples come to mind that illustrate this realityone from the medical field and one non-medical.
And that very low number by many studies is exaggerated. Several groups have concluded that due to heavy processing burden corn biofuel produces more CO2 than gasoline.
Meteorologist Aaron Reynolds said some areas will receive up to two feet (61 cm) of snow and in some areas even three feet (91 cm) of snow.
22. How convinced are you that climate change poses a very serious and dangerous threat to humanity?
The study also warns that technologies that offer only modest reductions in greenhouse gases, like natural gas and carbon capture and storage, cant substantially reduce climate risk in the next 100 years.
Japan's Environment Ministry is encouraging its citizens to go to bed an hour earlier at night, and get up an hour earlier in the morning.
The Climategate Emails reveal something else, too: the enlistment of the most widely read source of information in the world Wikipedia in the wholesale rewriting of this history.
Additionally, the IPCC claims that only the rise in anthropogenic greenhouse gases can explain the warming over the past 30 years. Satellite-based sea surface temperature disagrees with the IPCCs claims. Most, if not all, of the rise in global sea surface temperature is shown to be the result of a natural process called the El Nio-Southern Oscillation, or ENSO. This is discussed in detail in If the IPCC was Selling Manmade Global Warming as a Product, Would the FTC Stop their deceptive Ads? , which is available in pdf and Kindle editions. A copy of the introduction, table of contents, and closing in pdf form can be found here .
AMSA News (@AMSA News) December 25, 2013
The climate alarmists, says Carlin, have now been making their apocalyptic predictions for almost thirty years and it is now possible to compare their predictions with actual physical observations. Suffice to say all the predictions of a significantly higher temperaturethe warminghave been wrong.
Trial lawyers and pressure groups cannot get this authority soon enough, given that this means LOST governs, for example, how much coal we can burn -- it has even already been used to block construction of a planned nuclear power plant in Europe, which only emits water vapor. As such it represents attainment of the environmentalists' long-sought goal of inserting the global judiciary into our energy supply mix.
And, the government scientist who sounded the alarm that Al Gore picked up on is in trouble for ???making up?? much of the issue from siting 3 drowned polar bears then extrapolating a population decline from that single observation:
All of the environmental kvetching about "not getting our message out" and being outgunned by the relatively tiny climate skeptic community is a museum quality example of Winston Churchill's definition of a fanatic as someone who can't change their mind and won't change the subject. Of course, one thing the failure of the climate campaign means is full employment for the climate campaigners, which is mighty nice for people like EDF's Krupp (2009 compensation: $496,000). One disgruntled liberal philanthropist recently confided to me that if the leaders of the big green groups were subject to any reasonable standard of accountability, they'd all be fired.
He went on to explain how Europe would bear the brunt of the change he believes is afoot.
Bloomfield Hills, MI Weather Forecast from Weather Underground
Even if Congress legislates carbon taxes, nothing suggests that EPA Administrator Lisa P. Jackson will refrain from imposing EPA's anti-hydrocarbon rules on top of them or that the White House and Senate will reject any new U.N. treaty. There is no hint that the Interior Department will cease using the Endangered Species Act and other laws to shut down oil and gas drilling while ignoring the growing slaughter of eagles and whooping cranes by wind turbines. The Energy and Defense departments, the EPA and Congress are unlikely to stop spending more in borrowed funds to subsidize corn ethanol and Navy biofuel schemes.
Many Americans are already smoking the equivalent of a pack a day.
Green shows the 56%increase in Arctic sea ice extent since the same date in 2012. Red shows ice loss
A paper published today in the journal Climate of the Past used radiocarbon dating to determine the age of trees uncovered in 2003 by retreat of a major glacier located in Southern Patagonia. The authors conclude that the glacier was smaller than the present during the Medieval Warming Period, and that the trees were covered by advance of the glacier during the Little Ice Age from 460 to 250 years ago.
Pachauri's Dirty Memoir: So Hot It's Radioactive?
The average sea level rise rate for all 157 NOAA tide gauges active this century, is just below 0.7 mm/year.
Moreover, the information has always meant the same thing "in" classical physics or quantum mechanics. Information is independent. The concept of information exists independently of particular theories in physics. However, particular theories in physics differ in what they say about the form that information can take and how the information about the past that we already know is linked to the information about the future that we may only predict.
NCDC says that this past summer was the hottest in US history, but the raw data shows that afternoon temperatures were 18th hottest since 1895, and that temperatures have been declining since the 1920s. The summer of 1936 had maximum temperatures almost two degrees warmer than the summer of 2012. The ten hottest summers all came with CO2 below 350 PPM.
66. Critics of CRU have suggested that Professor Jones's use of the words "hide the decline" is evidence that he was part of a conspiracy to hide evidence that did not fit his view that recent global warming is predominantly caused by human activity. That he has published papersincluding a paper in Naturedealing with this aspect of the science clearly refutes this allegation. In our view, it was shorthand for the practice of discarding data known to be erroneous. We expect that this is a matter the Scientific Appraisal Panel will address.
By Paul Homewood Before anybody gets carried away with claims of record rainfall that we keep hearing about in the UK, lets consider the facts. In the UK as a whole , January was only tie 17th wettest month since 1910, with 183.8mm. Relatively speaking, last month was wetter in England & Wales, but even there it was only the 16th wettest month, on the England & Wales Series , dating back to 1766 . Last month recorded 184.6mm, well short of the wettest month on record, October 1903, which had 218.1mm. The table below lists the wettest months on the England & Wales series.
Proponents of anthropogenic global warming, including bloggers and climate scientists, have done a wonderful job of convincing the public that there are three basic components to the warming of global sea surface temperatures. They include:
The oceans are outgassing CO2 due to the slight warming trend since the end of the Mini Ice Age (c. 1850's). The exact cause of this trend IS NOT known and remains the subject of much scientific debate! There is evidence that there is a gap of many centuries between planet-wide temperature swings and atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
This isn't the place for a treatise on climate change science and health impacts. But even a cursory survey of the research literature should make everyone queasy about using the claim of human-induced climate change as the pretext for forcing a drastic reorganization of human economies.
We must demand debate on every aspect of climate and energy issues and honesty, transparency, and accountability in all regulatory processes. There is no room for fraud and deceit.
Gina McCarthys Responses to Sen. Vitters Questions Part I: Bait-and-Fuel-Switch*
Santa Barbara Rejects Global Warming 'Blue Line'
Sedjo leads us to at least part of the solution when he affirms, "countries that have achieved economic development almost always had an early period in which forestlands were rapidly converted to productive agricultural lands. Thus conversion is not necessarily undesirable. Forested areas provided the agricultural land that allowed the development of Europe and North America In summary, economic development promotes forest stability through well-defined and recognized property rights, the enforcement of property rights, the absence of government subsidies to encourage land clearing, and high levels and growth rates of agricultural productivity.
Director of the Natural Resources Defense Council's climate programs
About the deal with China, Inhofe said: "This deal is a non-binding charade. The American people spoke against the President's climate policies in this last election. They want affordable energy and more economic opportunity, both which are being diminished by overbearing EPA mandates. As we enter a new Congress, I will do everything in my power to rein in and shed light on the EPA's unchecked regulations."
10 C maize (including sweet corn), sorghum, rice, soybeans, tomato, Black cutworm, European Corn Borer, standard baseline for insect and mite pests of woody plants
Can??t Cook see what happened about 240,000 years ago? Temperatures were warmer than today. Did humans cause that period of ???global warming???
"Hide the lies" generated lawsuits between climate science "believers" (what kind of real science requires belief?) and skeptics of "dangerous man-made planetary warming" along with ridiculous conspiracy theories such as "Big Oil hired evil hackers in a plot to discredit angelic climate scientists."
Here is a temperature reconstructon from the famous Vostock Ice core.
And now for the 2nd question: Does the massive cold air outbreak blanketing much of the U.S. disprove global warming?