Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Want to stay in Seattle? Just take the elevator ride to the Columbia Center's observation platform (around 1000 ft high) as Joseph Chan did today:
MXD has a non-temperature signal in it, and also all pre-1881 or pre-1871 data
IPCC chief says it will be very difficult to limit temperature rise to 2 degrees C.
Update- Oct 2012: Journal of Climate now says (h/t WUWT) that the paper has been withdrawn:
The group goes on to claim that "millions of people could die in this century because of climate change, most of them our poorest global neighbors." Therefore, "The need to act now is urgent. Governments, businesses, churches and individuals all have a role to play in addressing climate changestarting now." And the way do to this is to "reduce the carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels." Yet even if you accept the need for action, the logic driving the case for reduction in fossil fuel use is faulty.
Polar bears no longer on ???thin ice??: researchers say polar bears could face brighter future: ??? a combination of greenhouse gas mitigation and control of adverse human activities in the Arctic can lead to a more promising future for polar bear populations and their sea ice habitat ??
This period of widespread warmth is notable in that there is no evidence that it was accompanied by an increase of greenhouse gases.
I'd be inclined to adopt a variation on Wallace's catchphrase for whenever energy use or energy policy is being discussed: Numbers don't lie.
Washington, DC, June 7, 2001 The National Academy of Sciences report, released today, has already been characterized as offering further confirmation of global warming alarmism. The Competitive Enterprise Institute points out the report actually confirms that major uncertainties still remain in the current scientific understanding of climate change.
What can influence the us in the rich the world is that we may be exposed for an Increased competition may make some of it we need something more expensive, but with continued produktivitetskning will also vr living standards to continue to rise. I want ppeka that this is a mjlig description of how the development will be for humanity, which even if it is true not says something about how it is going to g for individuals or even for individual countries. There will be setbacks that goes to many for shorter or longer periods from experience snkt living standards.
OIRA should recast its review process, seeking to make regulatory review more akin to expenditure review. One approach would be for OIRA to develop better cost estimation procedures, to send to Congress for "advice and consent" all "major" regulations (say initially those costing the economy more than $100 million annually) and then gradually roll back this cap as the agency, OMB, and Congress became more familiar with the process. Within some phase-in period, each regulatory agency would face hearings on the Hill arguing that its impact on the economy was justified by the "benefits" it produced. That process would work as welland no betterthan the current expenditure program. But, at least, Congress would be held responsible for this impact and there would be less "let's pretend" analysis by the agencies.
17f. The ability of regional climate models to model precipitation values for the next 50 years
As currently written, the regulation calls on unelected state environmental agencies to draft their own state plans and submit them directly to EPA for review and approval. Oklahoma Governor Mary Fallin has signed an executive order blocking her state's environmental agency from submitting a plan. Other states have introduced legislation to the same effect. More should follow them into battle.
* Constantly improving hydraulic fracturing technologies continue to increase production. For example, Cabot Oil & Gas refracked a 2013 Pennsylvania well, increasing its output to 30.3 million cubic feet of gas per day; thats four times the output from the best well drilled in 2003. Fracking is even being used in decades-old onshore and offshore wells, to keep them producing for many more years.
The Independent , July 2013 Some people call it a slow-down, some call it a hiatus, some people call it a pause. The global average surface temperature has not increased substantially over the last 10 to 15 years, - Reading University, Scientist Rowan Sutton
Waxman-Markey sets the ambitious target of reducing total U.S. GHG emissions by 83 percent below 2005 levels by the year 2050 (with intermediate benchmarks at 2020 and 2030). Thus, the cap and the allowances sold pursuant to it will be lowered from a peak of 5.4 billion tons in 2016 to just a little over 1 billion tons in 2050. Before considering how the allowances are being allocated, it is worth concentrating for a moment on the overall emissions target for 2050. In 2005, the baseline year, the United States emitted a little more than 6 billion tons of CO2 and another billion tons of other GHGs such as methane and nitrous oxide. But CO2, as the byproduct of fossil fuel consumption and the most abundant GHG, is the principal focus of policy. An 83 percent reduction in CO2 emissions in 2050 would be slightly over 1 billion tons.
names(santer)=c(item,layer,trend,se,sd,r1,neff)
One wonders how this area has changed over time, and how long the car park has been there, and how much it, and the tourist vehicles that park next to the fence have contributed to the Kelburn climate record. Someone familiar with the history of the observatory might be able to shed some light on this. Was the screen always in this location? When did the car park go in? How many tree have been cleared around the site over the years? How many new buildings (Like the Carter Observatory) have but put up nearby? These are all issues which affect the temperature record. Disentangling those influences is difficult without an historical context.
Im watching Dortmund-Munich right now, and Munich looks even worse than Chelsea did against Newcastle.
The effects of snow-free winter in Britain are already becoming apparent.
Clearly, there is a pattern here. Once we recognize these indirect criticisms, it should be apparent, even for those sympathetic to growth skepticism, that prosperity is hotly contested nowadays. From television programs to magazine articles to the Internet, we are constantly warned of the supposed downsides of growth. Less really is moreor so we are told.
The Island of the Famous, infamous program Rai where some guys of varying fame 'are abandoned (alas, only for pretend) on a tropical island, manages to talk about' with the gossip about who fights with whom, on who It has trouble adapting to life outside the city ', and even of those who divorced' who live on television. It is a "fun" even more 'light whereas in the corresponding English "I am a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here" (I'm Famous Take me Away From Here) competitors should instead eat cooked and raw insects and arthropods of various species, then roll in the mud and worse, and generally competing to be taken in various poses nothing short of humiliating in front of the camera. The report of the day after the papers are clear, another race to describe the most shameful situations in a more detailed (and pleased).
The ice core record is shown as a smooth curve achieved by eliminating extreme readings and applying a 70 year smoothing average. Eliminating variability is done with the Mauna Loa and all current atmospheric readings, which can vary up to 600 ppm in the course of a day. Information is lost with smoothing. Elimination of high readings prior to smoothing makes loss greater. Statistician William Briggs says you never smooth a time series.
In fact, Olmert had plenty to say. He and Abbas met for face-to face talks some thirty-five times, with significant progress made on such key issues as the division of sovereignty in Jerusalem along religious lines (with holy places subject to international administration) and a broad right of way in the form of a tunnel linking Gaza to the West Bank. Had Olmert escaped the relentless criminal investigators, we might today be examining the provisions of a negotiated settlement, although like most Palestinian Authority veteran negotiators, Abed Rabbo bitterly recounts the impact of Israeli West Bank settlements on the issues under discussion: "It's as though you ask me to sit and discuss the future of this table, but as we talk you are slicing away the pieces of the table."
Climate science, moreover, will do nothing to dispel doubts about whether an agreement would be enforced. Such doubts clearly diminish the perceived value of reaching agreement. And the grounds for such doubts are solid. They are especially so with respect to the developing countries. Today, China's government has a strong economic motive to assure the safety and purity of its exports. The U.S. government is also concerned, and yet the safety of toys and food imported from China clearly remains problematic.
And finally here is some evidence (from ice core analysis) that we may just still be recovering from a period that could well have been the coldest period in the last 5000 years (notice the regular millennial trend as well).
If such emissions are taken into account, much of the ethanol produced from corn could fail to meet Congress's requirements.
Weve recently heard from many loyal Apple customers who were disappointed to learn that we had removed our products from the EPEAT rating system. I recognize that this was a mistake, senior vice president of hardware engineering, Bob Mansfield, said in a letter on Apples website.
The best-known U.S. carbon-cutting legislation provides a good idea of just how costly such plans run. America's Climate Security Act, also known as the Lieberman-Warner bill, called for emission reductions of 63 percent below the 2005 level by 2050 (President Obama's much more ambitious plan is to cut emissions 83 percent below 2005 levels by 2050.). The Environmental Protection Agency projected that Lieberman-Warner could, by 2050, lower GDP by up to 6.9 percent, increase average gasoline prices by $1.40 per gallon, and raise electricity prices by 26 percent. Many private economic estimates were considerably higher.
Thus, I dont see any factual errors or unfairness in my commentary.
Dont send Coal for Christmas, send Carbon Credits!
In addition, these two data sets use entirely different measurement techniques. The modern data comes from thermometers and satellites, measurement approaches that we understand fairly well. The earlier data comes from some sort of proxy analysis (ice cores, tree rings, sediments, etc.) While we know these proxies generally change with temperature, there are still a lot of questions as to their accuracy and, perhaps more importantly for us here, whether they vary linearly or have any sort of attenuation of the peaks. For example, recent warming has not shown up as strongly in tree ring proxies, raising the question of whether they may also be missing rapid temperature changes or peaks in earlier data for which we dont have thermometers to back-check them (this is an oft-discussed problem called proxy divergence).
For example, the accompanying spreadsheet shows that over the most recent warming period (since the late 1970s), the PDO, AMO, and El Nino/La Nina activity can statistically account for most of the recent warming of global average sea surface temperatures.
And when it comes to the evidence on the effects of increasing greenhouse concentrations on climate phenomena, Ms. Macfarlane's ignorance is blatant. (Here is a detailed summary of the evidence that I prepared in advance of the Paris COP-21 meeting last December.)
In fact, said Professor Speight, no caseis recorded of a region of the world in which there are present signs of an advance .
Finally, there is a drop in household electricity expenditures. This decline is due to the more efficient and less expensive forms of energy dominating the market and becoming a commonplace form of electricity generation for American households. (See Chart 6.)
Atmospheric radiosonde temperature trend (Angell) = 0.3 F/decade
The paper presents a detailed overview of the surface temperature measuring stations, with Europe covered for more than 150 years and the US for more than 110 years. From a historical perspective land mass is not well covered and, except for Europe, the US, and eastern China, the bulk of the land mass is not well covered today. Surface sea coverage is spotty, at best, distributed in a few areas in the world, mostly in the Northern Hemisphere. The paper also discusses the manipulation of the surface record by NOAA, but not the one in 2015. It suggests that one cannot use the surface data to define or calculate an average temperature.
L2248 0.4 L2328 0.5 H1840 5.7 H1959 5.5 H2129 5.6 H2241 5.8
Heres why that 184,000 deaths from soda claim is bogus
If CO2 in the atmosphere tends to provide a heating effect, do feedback effects (e.g. water vapor) tend to amplify (positive feedback) or damp (negative feedback) the resulting temperature change
The finding that the 20th century was not the hottest of the last millennium is controversial in part because it undercuts the argument that burning oil and other fossil fuels is the leading cause of the current temperature increase. However, if the temperature was even warmer before large-scale use of fossil fuels, perhaps the current warm period reflects natural
Farmers object to wind turbines, survey says
As part of President Barack Obamas push to update the countrys electricity grid, NV Energy got a matching grant of $139 million through the federal stimulus. The utility began installing them in September 2010, after the Nevada Public Utilities Commission deemed them safe, secure, private and accurate.
Many of the protesters who endured the cold to chant "Stop Global Warming!" said they didn't think the snowfall conflicted with their message. Davey Rogner, a 22 year old student at the University of Maryland College Park, beat on an African Djembe drum to rev up the crowd. He said the snow was a "gift" to remind eveyone about how rarely Maryland has been blanketed with beautiful white in recent years as temperatures have increased.
The EPA is moving toward imposing these baseless regulations despite the fact that China and India have been building coal-fired plants to provide their nations with the energy to expand and compete in the global marketplace. China's CO2 emissions increased by 167% between 1999 and 2009, while the U.S., the second largest emitter of CO2, lowered its emissions by 17% over the same 10-year period.
EPAs power grab picks the pockets of every American business and citizen, making it increasingly expensive to fill gas tanks, heat and cool homes and offices, run hospitals and factories, or buy food and consumer goods. The Employment Prevention Agencys $100-billion diktats are killing countless jobs, making America more dependent on foreign sources of energy and raw materials that we have in abundance right here at home, and endangering our economic health and national security.
Flop Green Passive School Is Suffocating Its Students
It's SUPPOSED to be a commentary on people who don't believe in AGW killing themselves because the planet is supposedly doomed if we have lightbulbs that work and enjoy life and all its wonders to the fullest, instead of taking civilization back hundreds of years for no reason.
But it's not just us here in America. How can the human race possibly achieve greater prosperity without bringing electricity to the billions of people on Earth who do not yet enjoy its blessings? The WWF's campaign doesn't say. Instead, it simply relies on the worn-out idea that humans once lived "in harmony" with nature and that "the planet" would be better off (for whom?) if we all returned to a simpler, less technologically dependent lifestyle.
Lead emissions are down more than 90 percent from 1970 levels.
Pederson also accused Murphy not just of being foolish, but of being unethical as well in spreading climate skeptic lies.
Lucia tweets out that the SMC's remarks about climate sensitivity make no sense:
publications). Studies show that peer reviewers are motivated by tribal as well
Mann, Charles. "Extinction: Are Ecologists Crying Wolf?," Science, Volume 253, pp. 736-738.
For additional information regarding the science behind our concern, we recommend that you contact Harrison Schmitt or Walter Cunningham, or others they can recommend to you.
While I am annoyed by many attitudes of the Czechs, similar observations make me happier and prouder.
In 2006, China passed the United States as the world's biggest carbon emitter, and its lead is growing daily. The EIA projects that China's energy-related emissions of carbon dioxide will exceed American emissions by almost 15 percent in 2010 and by 75 percent in 2030. In 1990, China and India together accounted for 13 percent of the world's emissions; in 2005, their contribution was 23 percent; and in 2030, they are expected to account for 34 percent of the world's emissions.
In Greenland, glaciers with growth rates that have been found to be accelerating during a few years, decelerated in others. Some accelerating glaciers were in proximity to others that were decelerating. A variety of local factors are believed to control these individual behaviors, including: fjord, glacier, and bed geometry; local climate; and small-scale ocean water flow and terminus sea ice conditions.
While it is true that this index has risen from a low point around 1970, it is also clear that it merely returned to values observed in the early 20th century. Did greenhouse gases raise the extremes index in the early 20th century? Obviously not.
"I've gotta get there," Graham told me. So we dispatched him home with water and supplies and CFACT's own Cajun responder got to work.
It did: the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change took Saltzman's unified theory and used it in subsequent Reports as the template to blame the fossil fuel emissions of western nations for changing Earth's climate.
The most important issues mentioned are beyond my own experience, at least to the point where its new information to me. What happened is Dr. Scafetta has noticed a coherence between measured climate data and the suns gravity center velocity which is difficult for me to discount. Im no climatologist and not a solar physicist but this seems from my reading to be unique to the discussion of solar forcing. In particular look at this plot of the power spectrum of global temps in relation to the plot of the suns linear velocity relative to the gravitational center of the solar system.
In the fortwo collision, the institute said the Smart, which weighs 1,808 lbs, went airborne and turned around 450 degrees after striking the C Class, which weighs nearly twice as much. There was extensive damage to the fortwos interior and the Smart driver could have faced extensive injuries to the head and legs. There was little damage to the front seat area of the C Class.
One year ago, the Tevatron published a paper ( arXiv , from my birthday) about the associated production of bottom and Higgses (where Higgses decay to taus) and claimed that everything was consistent with the background hypothesis, eliminating a big portion of MSSM.
Matanuska is clearly in the same climatological zone as Anchorage. This is verified by the correlation between the two records, which is about 0.9. So it would be one of the nearby rural stations used to homogenize Anchorage.
Thanks to Marc Morano for passing along the news.
The cooling effect of orbital shifting on the climate has been up to four times as powerful as anthropogenic (human-caused) warming pressures, the study concluded.
There are many reasons why this COP meeting, like previous ones, was ineffective. For one, of the 189 countries that have representatives, the countries with major emissions did not send high-level officialsthe US President, Chinese Premier, and Indian Prime Minister were not in attendance. Australia sent neither its environmental minister nor its foreign minister. Moreover, the new Australian government elected in September has pledged to repeal the carbon tax enacted by the previous government. Carbon taxes have been an integral part of the agenda for controlling GHG releases for a long time.
In reality, rather than a model, California energy policy is a cautionary tale. Yes, since 1980, per capita electricity consumption in California has remained flat while it has increased in most other states. However, holding per capita consumption flat is not the same as reducing overall consumption or emissions. As California's economy and population have grown, so have the state's aggregate electricity consumption and emissions. Today, California consumes 65 percent more electricity than it did in 1980. Coal-based electricity imports from other states grew by 60 percent from 1983 to 2005, and is now 10 percent of California's total generation, growing from 9 percent in 1983. Even if DSM policies contribute marginally to California's comparatively low per-capita electricity consumption, this in no way proves that America can afford to ban new coal plants.
14 I tell you that this man, rather than the other, went home justified before God. For everyone who exalts himself will be humbled, and he who humbles himself will be exalted.
Could the turmoil and discontent at Heartland eventually prove its undoing? Campaigners would certainly hope so. We are watching the consequences of organisation that acts quite randomly and that is actually an extremist organisation in the end, said Davies. They are not built to be at the hump of the climate denial movement.
Consider again the graph of global temperatures in Figure1. We cannot tell if global temperatures are significantly increasing just by looking at the graph. Moreover, the process that generates global temperaturesEarth??s climate systemis extremely complicated. Hence determining whether there is a significant increase is likely to be difficult.
A reporter for a national newspaper covering the reaction to the stolen Heartland Institute documents asked me:
A Review of Garth Paltridge's Book: ?The Climate Caper?
To be effective, a new set of institutions would have to be imbued with heavy-handed, transnational enforcement powers
That's how bureaucrats remain powerful, unaccountable and immune from being fired or having to compensate victims for their incompetent or even deliberate falsifications and actions. We end up being protected from exaggerated and fabricated risks, years or decades from now by having jobs, companies, industries, families, communities, and our overall health and welfare hammered by over-regulation today.
Static jet streams induced near-record high temperatures in parts of the United States and Russia, but extreme cold pummeled Seattle, England and much of the Southern Hemisphere. Perhaps Al Gore, Michael Mann and Rajendra Pachauri can turn this hodgepodge into "catastrophic climate change," but most folks understand it as Mother Nature and weather.
Facts, as they say, are facts. On the other hand, untrue representations presented as facts are either uninformed, intentionally disingenuous, or a combination of the two. Secretary of State John Kerry's statements attacking those who challenge the existence of a human-caused climate crisis likely fall into the third category.
2. You can??t get accurate CO2 measurements from samples taken on the side of an active volcano that is outgassing CO2.
"Global warming is nowhere to be found," said David Deming, a geophysicist at the University of Colorado, in a January 16 commentary in The Washington Times. "As frigid conditions settled over the nation, global-warming alarmists went into full denial mode," adding that "weather extremes also seem to bring out the lunatic fringe." That is why the public is being told that cold weather has been caused by global warming!
Climate Models Performing Poorly Compared to Actual Temperatures