Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Confronted with such objections, greenhouse advocates emphasize precautionary considerations and compare the Kyoto Protocol to an insurance policy. Yes, my home will probably never be vandalized, consumed by fire, or destroyed by an earthquake or a flood. Nonetheless, I would be foolish not to purchase homeowners insurance. Similarly, Kyoto supporters argue, I am foolish if I am unwilling to invest in energy rationing policies that might possibly help avert a disaster of planetary proportions. There are two main flaws in this line of argument.
The derived 20 year trend in sea ice extent from the monthly deviations is 11.18 4.19 x 10 3 km 2 yr -1 or 0.98 0.37% (decade) -1 for the entire Antarctic sea ice cover, which is significantly positive.
While we have a healthy skepticism toward the pharmaceutical industry, former Obama adviser Ezekiel Emanuels attack in the New York Times on Big Pharma for not selling cancer drugs because they cant make any money is long on accusation but short on facts:
Release: "Light Brigade' to debunk Sunday's "forward on climate' D.C. rally
America's Detroit Future: Obama's politics and policies promise nothing less.
Throughout the period of pod filling, the mean photosynthetic rate of plants growing in ambient-CO 2 but elevated-SO 2 air was 17.2% lower than the mean rate of plants growing in ambient-CO 2 and SO 2 -free air, while the mean photosynthetic rate of plants growing in CO 2 -enriched but SO 2 -free air was 25.1% higher than the mean rate of plants growing in ambient-CO 2 and SO 2 -free air. Most important of all, the mean photosynthetic rate of plants growing in CO 2 -enriched and elevated-SO 2 air was 33.4% greater than the mean rate of plants growing in ambient-CO 2 and SO 2 -free air. Hence, enriching the air with CO 2 more than compensated for the negative effects of elevated SO 2 on photosynthesis rates of soybeans in this study. What it means
They ignore hundreds of thousands of weather balloon results that show the climate models overestimate future warming by at least 300%.
I disagree with liberals on most issues, but I do believe that many of them care deeply about people. So they should be alarmed when environmental leaders put the welfare of animals and plants ahead of people.
Figure 1. Conventional oil leaking out of the ground near McKittrick, CA.
But according to the FSHP, the only way a Cuban can get access to the hospital is through a bribe or contacts inside the hospital administration. "Cubans are reportedly very resentful that the best hospital in Havana is 'off-limits' to them," the memo reveals.
Marine ecologist Larry Crowder from Duke University in the US is reported at BBC News Online claiming that leatherback turtles face extinction within 30 years if there are not dramatic changes to fishing practices.
Having endured hundreds such diasters, the villagerswith the help of local Jesuitsorganized the pilgrimage, to be held annually on July 31: the Catholic feast day dedicated to the Jesuits founder, St. Ignatius of Loyola.
The new study indicates that thats quite wrong, with the current warming less serious than the Romans and others since have seen and the overall trend actually down by a noticeable 0.3C per millennium.
Dan Lashof, director of NRDC's Climate Center, tried to rebut Joel's critique. He did not challenge Joel's central points--emissions are already well below 1996 levels, current policies ensure emissions will continue to drop, and, therefore, air quality predictions assuming that 1996 emissions will persist into the 2050s and beyond are completely unrealistic. Instead, Lashof argued that Heat Advisory presents "projections," not "predictions," and that the researchers had to use emissions data from an actual year, such as 1996, because "there are no reliable estimates of precursor emissions extending to the mid-21st Century." Moreover, holding emission levels constant is the only way to isolate the effect of global warming on ozone concentrations.
There is another way to address the potential problem: geoengineering. It would be less disruptive of business activity, less threatening to employment, and it promises to be relatively inexpensive.
"A 2006 law effectively blocks all types of Internet gambling by Americans, largely to prevent a rise in gambling addiction that online betting can easily lead to. Strong attempts to overturn the law have so far failed. Now a bill in Congress aims to open a crack in that wall. It would legalize only one type: online poker."
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After Andy Strominger explained his profound consternation by the fact that we had not been able to analyze the civilization of native Americans who lived in Northern America as recently as 800 years ago, Frank Wilczek hypothesized that no future historian would be able to learn that on Monday, March 13th, 2005 AD, Frank Wilczek was sitting at the end of the table in Eliot House, Harvard University, next to Bert Halperin on his left side (followed by your humble correspondent) and David Elmer on his right side, and they were discussing ancient Greek music and history.
The bottom line is that claims that these pH changes are unprecedented, fast or unnatural are overstating things dramatically. Typical estuarine environments have an inflow from rivers (with a lower pH) that fluctuates wildly, so do areas with upwelling, and even the pH in kelp forests varies dynamically.
Parameters	NST=330, Nph=362, Dmin=409.7 km, Rmss=1.26 sec, Gp= 14,
Dear Robert, No, you werent defeated by a wall of money. You lost, despite your wall of money.
As farmers and others speaking for the hundreds of millions of people who will benefit from this technology attempt to mount a defense, we cannot depend upon science and reason to win the argument. The people who understand the science are often absent or ineffective when they do speak up. Reason fails miserably in reaching those whose faith system has focused all of their discomfort with change and technology on the breeding of seeds.
Next Mr Weyler tells us Precipitation has increased in eastern Americas, northern Europe, and Asia. So what? Natural variability will cause more rainfall in some places and less in others. Overall, as even the IPCC admits both in its 2012 report on extreme weather and in its 2013 Fifth Assessment Report, there is no evidence yet that precipitation patterns or quantities are being affected by global warming which is not really a surprise given that there has hardly been any. We are not told that the worlds oldest national annual rainfall record, the Met Offices England and Wales series, shows that the annual rainfall trend has increased by just 2 inches in a quarter of a millennium, which is well within natural variability:
Those who disagree with him are not merely mistaken, they are malevolent, unworthy even of persuasion through honest debate. Instead, "denialists" deserve only to have their homes razed.
The proposals range from encouraging the construction of "green" schools and buildings to developing a trading market for emissions within Massachusetts. Additionally, the state will implement a greenhouse gas inventory in order to track greenhouse gas emissions.
We can compare the charcoal and tree-ring fire records. It confirms that the charcoal is a good indicator of past fires, Swetnam said.
The easiest way for car makers to meet ever-rising CAFE standards has been through continued car downsizing. As the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration itself noted, "weight reduction is probably the most powerful technique for improving fuel economy. . . . Each 10 percent reduction in weight improves the fuel economy of a new vehicle design by approximately 8 percent." The result was a CAFE-driven downsizing of approximately 500 pounds per car.
According to Bill McKibben in an op-ed in The Washington Post, the biggest news of the year is that Jim Hansen has spoken. According to Hansen, who has risen in recent years from astronomer to wizard and now to high priest of a doomsday cult, the safe level for carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can be no more than 350 parts per million. So since it's now 380 or 390 ppm, we're already doomed and can stop worrying about it.
In June 2007, two Colorado scientists, Jan F. Kreider, an engineering professor at the University of Colorado, and Peter S. Curtiss, a Boulder-based engineering consultant, determined that carbon dioxide emissions from corn-based ethanol are worse than those of conventional gasoline and diesel fuel. They concluded that carbon emissions in the life-cycle sense are about 50 percent higher for ethanols than for traditional fossil fuels; such fuels are not the answer to global warmingthey make it worse.
Maine high court overrules state PUC approval of huge wind energy deal
Most of the Left wants to measure access to health care by the percentage of people who have health insurance,implyingthat those without insurance have no access to care. But in fact the uninsured in the US have access to better health care than most other people in the world.
Pielke goes on to deconstruct the study, but just compare the two bolded statements. First, that there is not sufficiently extensive and accurate observational data to test a hypothesis. BUT, then we will create a model, and this model is validated against this same observational data. Then the model is used to draw all kinds of conclusions about the problem being studied.
"Well, son. I voyaged up to the Arctic Circle in a nice big boat with a bunch of installation artists, mime practitioners, YouTube cat short specialists and climate scientists on an all-expenses trip to make a documentary called The Earth Is Weeping: Feel Her Pain. My contribution was a Concerto for Gamelan and Nose Flute entitled Swan Song Of The Melting Polar Bear."
Part of the resistance to a clean break comes from trade diplomats and some political leaders who recoil at the supposed stigma of presiding over the first failed trade round since GATT was established after World War II. This is understandable but in the end misguided. For those who care about the future of the multilateral trading system and the institution of the WTO, nothing could be worse than a continuation of the debilitating stalemate, combined with increasingly feckless calls by world leaders at every summit gathering for negotiators to settle their differences and wrap up the round. The lack of "political will" starts right at the top of the political ladder.
Why should you be interested? As noted in the post, the sea surface temperature records indicate El Nio and La Nia events are responsible for the warming of global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 30 years, not manmade greenhouse gases. Ive searched sea surface temperature records for more than 4 years, and Ive searched ocean heat content records for more than 3 years, and I can find no evidence of an anthropogenic greenhouse gas signal. That is, the data indicates the warming of the global oceans has been caused by Mother Nature, not anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
The IRS repeatedly abused its power in targeting conservative groups. But then Lois Lerner's emails mysteriously disappeared, she took the Fifth and retired with full pension, "two employees on the night shift" deleted the email backup tapes (with no repercussions) and Mr. Koskinen steadfastly refuses to cooperate with congressional investigators. No Park Doctrine for any of them.
cap and dividend, in which the proceeds of auctioning pollution permits are rebated to taxpayers
Initially, they might start addressing the unprecedented warming that took place during the 1930s well before the large human CO2 emissions. The fact that the 1930s had a much larger impact on U.S. temperatures than either 1990s or the 2000s should be of interest; also very germane to the modern "unprecedented" warming deception foisted on them by climate scientists more interested in fame and fortune. (click on image to enlarge)
How can natural variations, of which there are plenty, be distinguished from purported man-made ones?
The best data we have on such Halloween sadism is compiled each year by University of Delaware professor Joel Best. His conclusion is simple:
Yet only a year ago, Mr. Obama's 2010 Budget contained no mention of nuclear power. Nor did the 1,400-page American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 - cost: $820 billion over the next decade - sponsored by liberal Democrats Henry Waxman and Ed Markey, which passed the House last June.
Over at BNA Energy and Environment Blog, Dean Scott has an interview with Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA). At one point, the discussion turned to a 2009 cap-and-trade bill co-authored by then-Rep. Markey and the formidable Rep. Henry Waxman. According to Scott:
After reviewing the scientific literature the reports concludes that the standstill is an empirical fact and a reality that challenges current climate models. During the time that the Earths global temperature has remained static the atmospheric composition of carbon dioxide has increased from 370 to 390 ppm.
The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) plans to control your home appliances when youre not there.
"The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models, than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That is why the climate model experts end up believing in their own models."
A dispute over the status of a small species of mouse threatens development across large parts of Colorado and Wyoming.
In Canada, Action Plan 2000 earmarked $210 million in government funding to promote technologies that reduced greenhouse gas emissions in industry and transportation and gave $125 million to cities to encourage use of such technologies. Another $100 million went to promote foreign demand for these Canadian solutions. Despite these efforts, Canada's greenhouse gas emissions in 2002 were the highest ever. This puts Canada well off the mark of reducing emissions by 5.2 per cent from 1990 levels as called for in the Kyoto Protocol.
From that we can make a simple time-dependent model to calculate the change in temperature throughout the night. This simple spreadsheet model Ive provided here will allow you to change assumed parameters to see how to get a realistic temperature decline over 12 nighttime hours. What you will find is that the temperature falls to unrealistically cold levels unless you assume a large downwelling energy flux from the sky into the soil (also adjustable in the model).
All of this says, we have no idea how much carbon dioxide nature is adding to the atmosphere. The models used to justify the war on carbon start with dream-time forecasts of world economic activity. These figures drive forecasts of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which are linked to assumptions and complex formula in a big black box that spits out forecasts of global temperature for a century ahead. No one but an Australian Climate Commissioner could take any notice of these forecasts.
Our analyses of ice cores from the ice sheet in Antarctica shows that the concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere follows the rise in Antarctic temperatures very closely and is staggered by a few hundred years at most, ??? Sune Olander Rasmussen
The American Energy Alliance (AEA) and the Institute for Energy Research (IER) have created a new platform, American Products. American Power. to educate the nation about the critical role that energy plays for our economy and in our daily lives.
The scenarios in which coffee beans *might* be threatened, forecasted 1.8 to 4.0 C of warming in the 21st century based on business as usual carbon emissions. The actual warming since 1998 has been less than the scenario in which atmospheric CO2 levels stopped rising at the beginning of this century.
Public education is biting us back. Schoolteachers cant be trusted with children, having been indoctrinated in John Dewey socialism and worse. They certainly cant teach because they are too busy with political correctness and socialist/post modernist/relativist brainwashing.
To illustrate the point further, at any given time, some parts of earth are actually in cooling trends while others are in warming trends. By averaging temperature anomalies across the globe, the IPCC and consensus science has concluded that there is an overall positive warming trend. The following is a simple example of how easily anomaly data can report not only a misleading result, but worse, in some cases it can report a result the OPPOSITE of what is happening from an energy balance perspective. To illustrate, lets take four different temperatures and consider their value when converted to w/m2 as calculated by Stefan-Boltzmann Law:
The Politics, If Not The Science, Is Settled At The EPA. Alan Carlin, Global Warming And Trouble
is a non-pollutant, and is necessary for life on earth. Concentrations of the others are negligible compared with their Threshold Limit Value . Methyl mercury can be dangerous in high concentrations, but volcanoes are responsible for half of all mercury emissions. Eruptions usually result in a 4-6x increase in atmospheric mercury.
As much of the northern hemisphere last week froze under the snows of the fourth unusually cold winter in a row, our ministers, led by David Cameron and Chris Huhne, the Climate Change Secretary, laid out a blueprint that promises to inflict on Britain a social and economic catastrophe unique in the world. They chose this moment to announce what Mr Huhne called ?a seismic shift? in Britain?s energy policy, the purpose of which, according to Mr Cameron, is to replace our ?clapped-out? electricity supplies by making Britain ?the greenest economy in the world?.
When a president of the United States starts talking about wood chips and switch grass, you know that a substance has reached front and center in the national discourse. Both of our current presidential candidates, John McCain and Barack Obama, support ethanol as well, though McCain's support for ethanol seems to have been an epiphany on the eve of the Republican primary in Iowa and the corn belt.
Today, we are facing rising carbon dioxide contents in the atmosphere through human activities, and the amount of oxygen in the ocean may drop correspondingly in the face of rising seawater temperatures, Lyons said. Oxygen is less soluble in warmer water, and there are already suggestions of such decreases. In the face of these concerns, our findings from the warm, oxygen-poor ancient ocean may be a warning shot about yet another possible perturbation to marine ecology in the future.
Also collaborating on the project as a co-investigator is Dr. Susan Stonich, professor of anthropology and environmental studies at the University of California, Santa Barbara.
willing to make billion-and trillion-dollar decisions for adaptation to the
Re-examining Schmidts complaint: Schmidt argued that it would be unfair to take a statement that he had made on May 11, 2012 pointing out that Briffa et als results would be different from what McIntyre had put up (on May 6 2012 ) (as the figure below demonstrates), and then using a calculation made on May 15 2012 to claim I was wrong .
Paeth et al 2006 Improving Seasonal Forecasting in the Low Latitudes,
The corpus of climate legislation was already cooling before Snowmageddon. The cold wind that buried its chances this year didn't come off the snow burying Washington: It came off horrific unemployment reports, lackluster economic growth, massive Tea Party rallies and vicious town hall meetings. After the breakdown in Copenhagen, the explosion of "Climategate" and the election of Scott Brown, the Democrats' rapid pivot to focus on jobs was inevitable.
In conclusion, as ever more relevant evidence is acquired, the case for an equivalent or warmer-than-present Medieval Warm Period grows ever stronger, continually weakening the climate-alarmist claim that the planet's current warmth can only be explained by including the warming they believe to have been produced by the increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases that were experienced over the course of the 20th century, all of which gases' concentrations were much reduced back at the time of the equal or greater warmth of the Medieval Warm Period."
Please join me in support for poor, beleaguered gas station owners, the victims of unconscionable price gouging by ruthless consumers who are taking advantage of market conditions to reduce their demand for gasoline, riving down the price by nearly $2 per gallon over the last four months. Fortunately, governments are swinging into action. Georgia governor Sonny Perdue issued this statement :
The plan will result in higher electricity costs for businesses and families, lost jobs, lower incomes, higher poverty rates, reduced living standards, and diminished health and welfare, our exhaustive recent study found. This damage will be inflicted at the national level and in all 50 states. The CPP will impact all low-income groups, but hit America's 128 million Blacks and Hispanics especially hard.
Norman G. Loeb, John M. Lyman, Gregory C. Johnson, Richard P. Allan, David R. Doelling, TakmengWong, Brian J. Soden & Graeme L. Stephens, 2012:
North Pole temperatures in 2013 have fallen below freezing way in advance of where they normally do this year. This is the coldest ever recorded by the Danish Meteorological Institute since they started looking at this in the late 1950s.
While Grantham might be correct about some harder-edged libertarian places, he paints with an overly broad brush. The libertarian think tank of which I am a part, for example, has published several papers calling for government policies to address climate change, including investing more in geo-engineering research. And while there's difference of opinion among the scholars on some specifics, one paper even recommends a tax on carbon to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Point out this blog on the situation in Rosarno, written by Peppe Caridi. I do not agree on all the details but the conclusion and extraordinary in its center lantico problem of Calabria:
As NIPCC explains , if we are going to use models to overhaul our economies we would hope they do better at predictions than being low or absent in skill, yet thats exactly what Kiktev et al found when they compared five GCMs with observations:
And it will soon become apparent that the converse is not true either - even with insurance, in a top-down rules-driven government-controlledhealth care system, one may not have access to health care. For example, one of my employees was complaining that she was having trouble with workers comp getting care for her injury. This is a follow-up email Ireceivedtoday from my insurance agent (redacted only for privacy issues):
Seems like the Professor joins a growing list of senior academics who have fallen foul of their local political correctness crowd. How many other cases of perhaps lesser mortals could be going unreported?
A good example of this is equating climate skeptics to pedophiles , something else Lewandowsky was involved in (via an ABC radio show, but he didn??t actually make the claim, the announcer did) but note that he??s made the claims about HIV and AIDS here, even before his latest paper was published . Predetermined conclusion anyone?
The fact that the warmest portions of the Roman and Medieval Warm Periods in the vicinity of the northeast Atlantic were so much warmer than the warmest portion of the Current Warm Period - and at times when the air's CO2 content was so much less than it is currently - strongly suggests that the atmosphere's CO2 concentration had little to no impact on the late-Holocene climatic history of that part of the planet.
seasonal and annual temperatures for the entire CET seriesshow unprecedented warmth during the 1990s, but earlier decades such as the 1730s and 1820s are comparable.
Energy Bill Requires Scientific Fact, Not Courage