Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Previous interglacial periods tended to last 10,000 to 20,000 years, and in fact most did not have temperatures as slow changing as the present one. Since the present interglacial started about 18,000 years age, and reached the plateau about 11,000 years ago, we probably should be more concerned with a possible impending major ice age than a fraction of a degree or so of warming. In fact, the best possible outcome would be that the (relatively modest) contribution from AGW might help delay the onset of a new ice age.
This new paper by Adophi et al uses beryllium, oxygen and carbon isotopes from Greenland ice cores right back as far as the depth of the last ice age, 22,500 years ago, and finds there is a link between solar activity and the climate. It follows these proxies of temperature and solar activity as the planet warmed to the start of the Holocene 10,000 years ago.
"Worse than we thought." The headline in the British Guardian newspaper on Saturday was almost gloating about the bad news. The tone of the article that followed was no different: In Paris, a U.N.-sponsored panel, consisting of hundreds of scientists from all over the world, had just declared that average global temperatures will probably rise 4 degrees Celsius over the next century. If so, catastrophic flooding, famine and water shortages may follow, along with the extinction of up to half of existing animal species. Malaria and other tropical diseases may spread. Among the coastal cities threatened by the higher ocean levels caused by melting ice caps, the paper notednot without a degree of satisfactionare London, New York, Tokyo and Hong Kong.
For decades, environmentalists have been trying to scare the public about pesticides, when in fact pesticides pose little risk when used properly and they are a critical part of controlling disease outbreaks. Pesticides meet very stringent federal safety standards and are applied at such low levels that the public has little need to worry about them. Unfortunately, many communities chose not to use pesticides because of environmentalist hype. We may be seeing more deaths as a result.
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change hailed by greens as the ultimate arbiter does not agree tropical storms have become more intense or frequent, but says the opposite. Their special report last year said: 'There is low confidence in any observed long-term (40 years or more) increases in tropical cyclone activity (ie intensity, frequency, duration).' Its authoritative Fifth Assessment Report added in September there have been 'no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century'.
George, your response to Typhoon Haiyan prompted this memo. Are you aware that tropical cyclones that made landfall in the western North Pacific had declined from 1950 to 2010? See Figure 5, which is from Roger Pielke, Jr.s post Are Typhoon Disasters Getting More Common? Roger was one of the co-authors of the Weinkle et al. (2012) paper Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls .
The struggling economy and low coal prices has rendered the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) ineffective, Durbin said. The carbon price will need to reach 40 euros per tonne to encourage fuel switching, which is unlikely before 2020.
Governor Davis's solutionto have the taxpayer cover the difference between the market price and his promise to consumersis a recipe for state bankruptcy. The only real solution is to deregulate fully, allowing rates for users to rise to cover the costs of buying power. Where this might cause hardship, the state should step in and provide help. "Electricity stamps" for those who might have to choose between food, medicine, or their power bill could make sense. In the short run, the state could provide up to a fixed dollar amount toward covering the utility bills for those on food stamps or otherwise in need. But it makes no sense to have the taxpayer subsidize the costs of electricity for all users.
DATA AND CODE: Ive put the data and code used to produce the graphs and calculations online. There are three code files: CERES Setup.R , CERES Functions.R , and the code for this post, CO2 and CERES.R . In addition, there are two datafiles, one for the CERES TOA files, and the other for the CERES surface files, entitled CERES 13 year (230 Mbytes), and CERES 13 year surface (112 Mbytes). I think that the data is turnkey, just pull up the CO
The company is waiting for Queensland Natural Resources and Mining Minister Henry Palaszczuk to give final approval for the deal and is expecting an answer in coming weeks.
The first article appears in Environmental Pollution and was written by three scientists from the University of Illinois, Michigan Technological University, and the United States Department of Agriculture. Before we go further, we did wonder a bit why the authors chose this journal for their article? The article deals with aspen trees and carbon dioxide, which we do not see as a pollutant, and tropospheric ozone, which we agree is a pollutant. McGrath et al. note early in the article that is expected to increase 50% by 2050. Elevated increases photosynthetic rate in C3 plants, above-ground dry matter production, yield and maximum LAI (LAI is leaf area index). So even before the experiment is conducted, the authors were fully aware that elevated CO2 has many positive benefits for aspen.
" changing climate already affects the air that our children are breathing," he said last month in the Everglades. On ABC's "Good Morning America," he linked his climate focus to his own daughter's asthma attack 12 years ago. Even Obama's Twitter account announces: "Addressing climate change isn't just good for our planet and our economy it's good for our health #ActOnClimate."
Great Lakes ice coverage at an all-time record high
Overheated rhetoric on climate change doesn?t make for good policies
election, begin to plot out what people they want and where they want them. Even
6. Niger - Agreement for Cooperating in the Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment (GLOBE) Program
Bryan Shaw, Washington Examiner , 23 July 2011
Alan's book reveals evolutionary EPA experiences and insights through the eyes of an environmentally dedicated Los Angeles/Orange County Sierra Club chapter leader who later served the agency for nearly 39 years beginning in 1971 under the Nixon Administration. That period and throughout the present has witnessed dramatic changes.
It was supposed to be the next big thing. California built decades of broad-based prosperity from the Gold Rush, then Hollywood, then aerospace, and later Silicon Valley. At the turn of the century, green jobs were supposed to be the wave of the future. How is that going for them? According to the best numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, fewer than 2,500 green jobs have been created in California since 2010. Conn Carroll, The Washington Examiner, 27 February 2013
Then there is the matter of outright deception, collusion and fraud at EPA, via these and other tactics.
"The carbon market is going very well. We've seen tremendous growth this year," Henrik Hasselknippe, senior analyst at Point Carbon, told Agence France Presse on February 12. "Carbon is now being used as a commodity on the same lines as other energy commodities." According to his estimates, CO2 trading will be a $40 billion annual industry by the end of this decade. The current price for a metric ton of carbon is $31, while a year ago it was $8. Others are equally bullish. Thierry Carol of Powernext Carbon, a CO2 trading market, told the same reporter, "Things are taking off. This is just a start."
Diverse Interests Raise the Transaction Costs of Reaching Agreement
Historical production and reserve numbers provide documentation regarding the transition from technically recoverable resources to reserves. For example, in 1944, U.S. oil reserves totaled 20 billion barrels and yet our oil and gas industry produced 167 billion barrels between 1945 and 2010 8 times the amount of reserves available in 1944 and the amount of U.S. oil reserves in 2010 still totaled 20.7 billion barrels. Thus, there was no reserve depletion; there was reserve replenishment.
In this system, Democrats who want to avoid a challenger running to their left must secure the WFP's endorsement. In addition to the leverage it wields through its ballot line, the party's 40-person full-time staff and 500 paid election canvassers have made it the most important third party in New York, especially at the city level. The WFP has also effectively developed its own legislative bloc in the city council, the Progressive Caucus, to which 19 of the 51 council members now belong. In 2014, 1199 was the WFP's largest source of financial support.
This plan represents the sweet spot in the internal politics of the administration. It balances the Oval Office's determination to avoid a military clash in the final months of the President's term with the humanitarian instincts that are still strong at Foggy Bottom, in Congress and among many administration officials. Cynics would say it is a way to look like you are doing something without doing anything much; the President's supporters would say it's a balanced and nuanced response that offers the best hope of progress for the kind of solution Syria needs without giving up on America's (verbal) support of its ideals.
A miner who survived an explosion at the Sago coal mine in West Virginia returns home to his family.
on Monday, October 25th, 2010 at 1:58 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
As he was speaking, a revolution was brewing under his feet. New methods of producing gas from unconventional resources???tight gas, coalbed methane (cbm) and shale gas???had greatly expanded the universe of gas resources available throughout the world.
Smaller, lighter ponies would have helped meet the standard. Besides, who needed a surrey with fringe on the top pulled by a team of snow-white horses, anyway? (Apologies to Rodgers and Hammerstein.)
Sven Olof Karlsson writes p Dagens Industri Agenda Energy (tyvrr behind a betalvgg) about an interesting meeting between just the German energy minister, Sigmar Gabriel and television Greenpeace activists on a congress organized by the German company Deutsche Energie-Agentur. Sigmar was Dr. for keeping a number but had just had time to Begin No. activists from Greenpeace trngde into p Congress and confronted him, demanding that stnga coal mines. The banners they carried, the text of the climate requires that coal power lggs down.
Lee et al., of course, attributed the long-term and short-term warming of the Pacific Ocean (0-700 meters) to downward longwave radiation (from manmade greenhouse gases). Unfortunately for Lee et al., the data, when broken down into tropical Pacific and extratropical North Pacific subsets, indicate that was not the case. This suggests the simulations of ENSO in the tropical Pacific and the simulations of ocean heat uptake related to variations in sea level pressures and wind patterns in the extratropical North Pacific were both flawed in the model used by Lee et al.
Even that is likely to be too high. The climate-research establishment has finally admitted openly what skeptic scientists have been saying for nearly a decade: Global warming has stopped since shortly before this century began.
Sixty percent of Protestant pastors disagree that global warming is real and manmade, and 41 percent of them strongly disagree, a new survey says.
Much of the so-called science on global warming comes from computer modeling. This same science is rarely correct about the hurricane season, the severity of winter or the weather next week.
"Aha!" say the hated climatocrats and smirking Ministers, "but we haven't actually taken Peter Spencer's land. It's still his. All we've done is to regulate his use of it, just as we do for instance with the zoning laws."
Goa (India) : "there is no ongoing sea level rise, sea level has been stable for the last 50 years or so, sea level fell some 20 cm at around 1960."
It really is frustrating wading through these debates. A series with SNR of 0.1 (with white noise) is not "essentially, entirely composed of noise". It actually doesnt take all that many series for the noise to cancel out and to reccover the signal. The spurious regression problem is the problem of an unrelated trending series. Arguing from high white noise situation is totally irrelevant.
Q&A; WITH FRANK WOLAK ON U.S. COAL EXPORTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE
All was now well and Yale gave Mann his Ph.D in 1998. One eminent source in my enquiries confirmed Mann's Ph.D. was, in fact "rushed through."
The climate models are also coming into agreement that the number of tropical storms and hurricanes will not go up and may perhaps even decrease (by around one-fourth fewer) because of the increased vertical wind shear.
Reading the group's press releases it does seem that they even had a hand in getting the president of the United States to sic a taxpayer-funded agency on a foreign academic study about a foreign country's experience with its own policies, because said academic team and its writings threaten the welfare if the word gets out.
In his RMS article , Kevin Trenberth also conveniently overlooked the fact that the discussions about the warming halt are now for a time period of about 16 years, not 10 yearsever since David Roses DailyMail article titled Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released and here is the chart to prove it . In my response to Trenberths article , I updated David Roses graph , noting that surface temperatures in April 2013 were basically the same as they were in June 1997. Well use June 1997 as the start month for the running 17-year trends. The period is now 204-months long. The following graph is similar to the one above, except that its presenting running trends for 204-month periods.
Surely this means we could be further into a a new ice age than any of us even dared to imagine!! says reader Lee Woods.
No, that would play into the hands of the fossil-fuel lobby.
Let's take a look at what's happening in West Virginia. The state government just sponsored a three-day forum last week on "EPA's War on Coal." Larry Puccio, the Democrat Party Chairman in West Virginia said, "A lot of folks here have real frustration with this administration's stance on coal and energy." Also recently, on a West Virginia radio show, Cecil Roberts, president of the United Mine Workers of America famously said that EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson "shot in Washington" just as the Navy SEALs shot bin Laden. As Roberts expanded, "We've been placed in a horrendous position here. How do you take coal miners' money and say let's use it politically to support someone whose EPA has pretty much said, "You're done'?"And let's not forget that West Virginia is the state where President Obama lost several counties to a convicted felon in the primaries.
About 85% of our total energy is carbon-emitting, and about 99% of all transport sector energy is carbon-emitting. Since energy is used to produce and move everything from autos to food to houses to bytes of electronic information, ACESA's impacts would cascade through the economy. In the report's words:
Many people including several famous physicists find Maldacena's and Susskind's ER-EPR correspondence hard to believe, controversial, or inconsistent. But there is no known inconsistency. Three folks at Caltech, Bao, Pollack, and Remmen, are addressing a point that I have mentioned on this blog a few times, but they do so a bit differently.
It was a hot July afternoon 38 years ago, nearly 92 degrees, when Teamsters president and labor icon Jimmy Hoffa is said to have opened the rear door of a 1975 maroon Mercury in the parking lot of the Machus Red Fox restaurant, in Bloomfield Hills, Mich., and climbed in.
Instead of taking one broadband measurement that covers everything from ultraviolet to infrared, Kassianov and crew wanted to determine how individual wavelengths contribute to the net cloud effect. To do so, the team used an instrument that can measure brightness at four different wavelengths of color violet, green, orange, red and two of infrared.
The Hinckley Times have the story of the 40K turbine at North Warwickshire and Hinckley College, which has used more electricity than it has generated.
High court could make gay marriage a 2012 issue:
5 TO 10 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET
What will happen this winter if we keep going on with this trend? Ten degrees below normal with high precipitations? SNOW! A LOT OF SNOW!
School Board Orders Global Warming Class to Include Conservative Views:
Finally, one with an intriguing twist from former reporter Ross Gelbspan in another 2005 Nieman Foundation piece, describing the fossil fuel lobby:
Ill let skyfall speak and then then link the interesting part.
Algore said that the sea would rise 20?? and much of the world would be submerged. How inconvenient that sea levels in the South pacific have been, um, stable for over ten years .
This scenario is too pessimistic. As countries develop, they become more efficient in energy use. But even if China tapered its emissions growth from 8.6% to zero over the same 27 years, it would still emit as much carbon in 2041 as the entire world does today. And that's not including emissions growth from India, Africa and South America.
10. Overall the Antarctic ice sheet has grown in size for the last 35 years, except in a few selective areas which are related to geologically induced geothermal heating. An overwhelming number of these selective glacial melting areas are associated with the West Antarctic Rift System.
Last week, the attorneys general of 20 states met at a conference "dedicated to coming up with creative ways to enforce laws being flouted by the fossil fuel industry," in the words of the conference's host, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman. The environmental website Ecowatch called it "an unprecedented, multi-state effort to investigate and prosecute" oil companies that the AGs say "stymied attempts to combat global warming."
Crime against humanity. Not a moderate phrase, that. The usual penalty for crimes against humanity, as dictators from Mussolini to Saddam Hussein have found out to their cost, is execution.
The alarmism of Sir David King, the British government's chief scientific adviser, has become even more hysterical in recent days. Not content with repeatedly calling global warming a bigger threat than terrorismeven after the Madrid attacks of March 11and publicly criticizing the U. S. administration, he has now gone, as the British say, "completely off the deep end."
subsidies going into the ethanol industry, critics say, the dream of
From the thousands of email and other documents that comprise "Climategate," this is one of the most interesting: It's a "travesty" that "we can??t account for the lack of warming at the moment." (Emphasis added.) Further, "any consideration of geoengineering quite hopeless as we will never be able to tell if it is successful or not!"What does "at the moment" actually mean? Would you guess the past 10 years! That's right; no warming in the past decade even as so-called "greenhouse gas emissions" and ambient concentrations are at historical highs! Does this prove global warming is a "hoax"? No. But it proves the simple equation of "more greenhouse gases = more warming" is false. Read about it in my new Forbes Online piece, "Show Me the Warming."
The only observed warming over the period is from 1978 to 1998, 20 years only, out of the 55 years.
I looked for historical data for Gravesend, which has a tide gauge according to the London Port authority, but I couldnt find any actual data. So I had to rely on a tide prediction program. Given that Gravesend is well upstream from Sheerness. one would expect the tide to be lower, since it has an higher elevation difference, which is why the Thames flows east. I downloaded the wxtide32 program since it had a location for Tilbury dock, not too far away from Gravesend.
Elevated CO 2 enhanced rates of net photosynthesis by an average of 38% in both cultivars. In addition, it reduced stomatal conductances by an average of 30%. Consequently, instantaneous water-use efficiency increased by approximately 80% in both cultivars. Moreover, analyses of rubisco kinetics indicated elevated CO 2 did not induce photosynthetic acclimation in either cultivar. What it means
In light of the findings of Pansch et al ., as well as those of the other researchers they cite, it would appear that juvenile barnacles of the species they studied are already well equipped to meet the challenges of a significantly warmed and acidified ocean.
But according to Professor Ole Humlum, a leading glaciologist in Svalbard, "That glacier had already disappeared in the early 1920s as a result of a perfectly natural rise in temperature that had nothing to do with man-made global warming." The photos are misleading, he said. "They should have asked the specialist on Svalbard first" (Daily Telegraph, August 17, 2002).
Similar movement rates needed for animals and plants on land and in the oceans
"Startlingly, nearly all of the usual arguments for alarm about the climate are instances of Aristotles dozen fallacies of relevance or of presumption, not the least of which is the consensus fallacy."
Anyone who has met Roy Spencer knows him to be a careful, thoughtful, unpolemical scientist of formidable skill and knowledge. With John Christy he presents the monthly real-world data from the microwave sounding unit satellites that provide the least inaccurate global temperature record we have.
Germany urges users to ditch Internet Explorer
Clearly the main accusations leveled at UEA after the Climategate scandal have not yet been addressed in any form by an independent inquiry. There is one more to come, from Sir Muir Russell?s team, which supposedly will investigate accusations of abuse of the peer-review process. If it approaches the inquiry with the same lack of thoroughness and superficiality as the previous inquiries, it will doubtless also find little wrong. However, those who have read Ross McKitrick?s narratives know there is a case to answer.
Seitzs petition reminds us of the approach used by the tobacco industry over the decades when asked if tobacco is addictive and harmful, Lucier wrote last spring.
7 Hugh Ellsaesser, "The Misuse of Science in Environmental Management," Heartland Policy Study No. 70 (December 8, 1995).
This is a circular, incestuous process. Scientists make decisions as journal editors about what qualifies as peer-reviewed literature. They then cite the same papers they themselves played midwife to while serving as IPCC authors.
Finally, and most troubling, are the suggestions that a tribe of incestuous climate scientists may have actively conspired to undermine the peer-review process.
After summarising his preferred version of the science, the remainder of Minister Combets address was concerned with economic and political analysis. Obviously, as scientists, we have no expert comment to offer on those matters. Equally obviously, however, until there is a demonstrated scientific problem of dangerous global warming to be dealt with, which there currently is not, economic measures and analysis are simply irrelevant.
2) Climate models are not based upon physics, they consist almost entirely of parameterizations/fudge factors , which is one of many reasons why they do not properly simulate the most fundamental aspects of climate including convection, clouds, gravity waves, atmospheric circulation, ocean oscillations, indirect solar amplification mechanisms, etc. This is why recent papers have called for scrapping the current crop of failed numerical models and replacing them with a whole new approach of stochastic modeling.
Source: The Climate Policy Network Published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation
Reactions to his receiving the prize can be found here and here. Even some who voted for Gore think it is ridiculous. Bjorn Lomborg comments on how odd it was to include Gore along with reputable scientists as a recipient of the prize.
get ? and has to be well hidden. I?ve discussed this with the main funder (US