Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In the words of Craine et al ., "our findings suggest that diverse grasslands throughout the globe have the potential to be resilient to drought in the face of climate change through the local expansion of drought-tolerant species," citing as an example of this phenomenon the fact that "plant productivity in Kansas and Nebraska grasslands was maintained during drought in the 1930s not by the immigration of drought-tolerant species, but by local expansion of those species after less-tolerant species perished," citing Weaver et al . (1935) and Weaver (1968).
Even then, it would take of the damning evidence. It is true that slowly even Congress is putting out reports highly critical of the choices and behaviors of members dellAmministrazione Bush, as for example the result of the Commission sullIntelligence led by Senator John Rockefeller IV, published about a month ago. But behind all this there first fight between the two sides, Democrats against Republicans in a fight which definitely affects just the veracity of the allegations to the President, and so the possibility of being re-elected or not in the next round at the polls.
Peter F. sent me a link to this video, Imagining 10 dimensions .
on Sunday, August 11th, 2013 at 12:40 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
December 9, 2010 (+521) 998 225 9854
In my experience, global warming freezing is already a bit of a public
some fundamental limitations to knowledge with regard to future African climate.
The is a somewhat outdated term used to refer to a sub-interval of the Holocene period from 5000-7000 years ago during which it was once thought that the earth was warmer than today. We now know that conditions at this time were probably warmer than today, but only in summer and only in the extratropics of the Northern Hemisphere. This summer warming appears to have been due to astronomical factors that favoured warmer Northern summers, but colder Northern winters and colder tropics, than today (see Hewitt and Mitchell, 1998; Ganopolski et al, 1998). The best available evidence from recent peer-reviewed studies suggests that annual, global mean warmth was probably similar to pre-20th century warmth, but less than late 20th century warmth, at this time (see Kitoh and Murakami, 2002).
During my career within the military operations, I would get familiar with the Bosnian and Herzegovinian matters as well as issues of other successor states of former Yugoslavia, with Afghanistan, very shortly with the questions surrounding the Iraq conflict, and especially with Kosovo.
She'd done media interviews prior to her arrival at the University of New Mexico Science and Technology Park where a smattering of aggressive, sign-waving Keystone opponents awaited. Security escorted St-Onge from the parking lot to the meeting room.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 6 Whats All The Hubbub About?
A computer reconstruction etc., 4 minutes. See 10 minutes .
The video was based on an approach pioneered by Lean and Rind (2008) and Foster and Rahmstorf (2011), by determining the contribution of known influences on global temperature to best explain those temperatures. However this approach can give misleading results if significant influences on temperature are missing from the analysis, or if wrong influences are included.
We??ve noted that Briffa??s gridded MXD has high correlations to temperature, much higher than run-of-mill proxies. We??ve also noted that Mann (like Briffa) truncated this data at 1960 because of divergence. At the time that Mann et al 2008, the gridded MXD data was not available anywhere ??? Mann cited a webpage as follows:
For convenience in making the above graphics, I collected the relevant outputs from the mle2 stages as follows:
But it's a hard number to get. Fair-weather clouds are big puffy white objects that bounce a lot of light around. They can make the sky around them look brighter when they're there, but they float about and reform constantly. Cloud droplets and aerosol particles in the sky tiny bits of dirt and water in the air that cause haziness scatter light in three dimensions, even into cloud shadows.
Democratic postmortems on Barack Obama's disappointing first year in the Oval Office have emphasized, as the president himself did, difficulties inherited from "the last eight years." Republicans, for their part, credit public opposition to Obama's overreaching policies. But a full explanation goes much deeper. Obama is failing because he has turned the constitutional functions of the presidency upside down.
But the multi-model means are not the focus of this post. Our interests are the wide ranges in the model simulations of Earths Energy Imbalance at the top of the atmosphere and its components. Lets start with the incident shortwave radiation.
Whats next for the EPAs all pain, no gain Clean Power Plan?
Instead, substitution of one tax for another is a classic redistribution process, one that is likely to require an expansion of government so as to compensate the losers, even if only partially. Accordingly, even in Slavov's conceptual framework, not all of the revenue would be used to "lower other taxes." Instead, net government revenues or, more broadly, government allocation of resources would have to increase, and unless one believes that government resource use is more productive than that of the private sector, "efficiency" writ large is not prominent among the likely outcomes.
Although the authors did not find a strong correlation with the 11-year solar cycle, they found a very significant correlation in the 22-year Hale cycle band. The abstract states:
Positive Weather Solutions senior forecaster Jonathan Powell said: It baffles me how the Met Office can predict a milder-than-average winter when all the indicators show this winter will have parallels to the last one.
Canberrans felt the worst of the cold on Wednesday, when temperatures fell to minus 6.1 degrees, 6 degrees colder than the long-term July average of minus 0.1.
That being the world view of Canada in decline under the Harper Gov't. Fear? Imagine Trudeau was the one at the helm. Yeah.
Its certainly not unprecedented. Rather than limiting the perspective to a mere 34 years, how about looking at the last 1200? Two years ago, Edward Cook and several colleagues reconstructed the Wests drought history back to 800 A.D. They wrote that Compared to earlier megadroughts that are reconstructed to have occurred around AD 936, 1034, 1150, and 1253, however, the current drought does not stand out as an extreme event, because it has not yet lasted nearly as long.
Modern-day Chicken Littles would like you to believe that the sky is falling - or, more precisely, that the atmosphere is dangerously overheating. But they are wrong. The steady stream of scary sceanarios about global warming and its supposed cataclysmic consequences hasn't abated.
But rather than be just a branch of the UN, the proposed agency would help implement international environmental standards and include grassroots groups and business, according to the proposal.
So there you have it: One of Podesta's highest-profile operatives is bragging to one of America's richest climate activists that he and his team have silenced a prominent academic for the sin of disagreeing with Mann and other climatologists.
There is no magic price at which shale gas drilling rig counts will rise again in Pennsylvania. But more companies will increase drilling the closer the gas price gets to $4 and above.
My next step was to use matlab to cram the data through RegEm to generate some outputs as determined by Steig et. al guessing at parameters to find what makes the algorithm converge.
During that speech and in numerous later interviews (and a yesterday's op-ed in WSJ ), he clarified that Obama spends much more time by criticizing what he perceives as flaws of America than by praising its virtues. Previous presidents were different.
The work of Groisman and his co-authors shows that elements of the cryosphere across northern Eurasia did decline over the past 50 years (1956-2004). However, the work clearly shows that over the last decade the declines were diminished, and over the greater period of the past 69 years (1936-2004) the length of time with snow on the ground across northern Eurasia actually increased (Figure 1). The increases were on the order of 3-5 percent, or 5-12 days per year. Groisman et al. state that this is in agreement with other findings and that it cannot be associated with Arctic warming, as there was no warming apparent during the period.
Paul Driessen does an outstanding job of summarizing the benefits of DDT and showing how false claims it is dangerous cost the lives of literally millions of malaria victims around the world. More than 200 million people are infected with malaria due to the fearmongering of misanthropic environmentalists and gullible politicians, Driessen writes.
16. See Ian Castles and David Henderson, "The IPCC Emission Scenarios: An Economic-Statistical Critique," Energy and Environment 14, no. 2 (2003): 159185; and Ian Castles and David Henderson, "Economics, Emissions Scenarios and the Work of the IPCC," Energy and Environment 14, no. 4 (2003): 415435, available at http://miranda.ingentaselect.com/vl=2058055/cl=146/nw=1/rpsv/cw/mscp/0958305x/conp1.htm. The IPCC responded in several articles: Nebojsa Nakicenovic, et al., "IPCC SRES Revisited: A Response," Energy and Environment 14, no. 2 (2003): 187214, available at http://miranda.ingentaselect.com/vl=2058055/cl=146/nw=1/rpsv/cw/mscp/0958305x/v14n2/s5/p187; and Arnulf Gr bler, et al., "Emissions Scenarios: A Final Response," Energy and Environment 15, no. 1 (2004): 111, available at http://thesius.ingentaselect.com/vl=5780684/cl=26/nw=1/rpsv/cw/mscp/0958305x/v15n1/s3/p11.
Parent Frank Klonowska from the town of Lauchhammer says:
Earlier today German Radio reported that an uusually large number of dead whales have washed up on the North German Baltic beaches over the last 2 weeks.
Tesla has now sold more than 85,000 cars in the U.S. With the introduction in late 2017 of the Model 3, which has a tentative base price of $35,000, Tesla will soon reach 200,000 vehicles sold, and the subsidy will then be phased out.
Its all part of Polands ambitious goal to exploit Europes biggest estimated deposits of shale gas. Beginning in 2014, Warsaw wants to tap an estimated 5.3 trillion cubic meters of recoverable reserves of gas enough, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, to supply Poland with more than 300 years of its domestic energy needs.
Reich reports that at the ambient soil N concentration elevated CO 2 had minimal impact on observed species richness (-2%), while at the ambient atmospheric CO 2 concentration elevated N decreased species richness by fully 15% over the last seven years of the ten-year-long study. When the elevated soil N concentration was combined with the elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentration, however, species richness declined by only 5%, leading Reich to conclude that "elevated CO 2 reduces losses of plant diversity caused by nitrogen deposition," which finding was so important that he made it the title of his paper . What it means
Above I summarized the countries for which there are stations that are not matched at GHCN. Remarkably, these include virtually none of the countries where Jones said that they had received data subject to confidentiality agreements ??? so that the confidentiality agreement excuse cannot apply for any of these countries. And for each of the countries for which Jones said that there was a confidentiality agreement (Bahrain, Oman, Algeria, Japan, Slovakia, Mali, India, Pakistan, Poland, Indonesia, Zaire and Sudan), I was able to cross-identify all CRU stations with GHCN identifications so that the confidentiality excuse didn??t affect anything.
Next time modelers tell us that they can??t produce the modern warm period without a major effect from CO2, just smile and remind them that their models don??t include solar magnetic effects, nor any potential lunar forcing, so it??s not surprising that they can??t predict our climate.
FURTHER READING: Richards wrote "Greed Is Not Good, and It's Not Capitalism" and "The Miser versus the Entrepreneur" on why Ayn Rand is so popular today. The American Enterprise Institute's Steven Hayward explains why many are "In Denial" about Climategate, while Kenneth Green suggests "The Beginning of the End for Cap-and-Trade?"
In many cases, adding fracking to the equation would expand supplies even further, by making otherwise marginal plays more economic to produce, reinvigorating old oil and gas fields, prolonging oil field life, and leaving fewer energy resources behind in rock formations.
Colorado Lawmakers Ousted in Recall Vote Over Gun Law NYTimes.com
Same in Austin. When we visited Austin, we saw new construction everywhere. New subdivisions being cleared. New roads. New sidewalks. New houses. New high-rises. We toured a few subdivisions, and even on Saturday they were abuzz with workers. Masons, painters, framers, electricians, plumbers, all trying to keep up. The city is on overdrive!
I do completely agree with you that the models are very valuable to inform us on climate processes (e.g. the Hadley cell, ITCZ, etc). However, this does not mean they can skillfully predict the multi-decadal changes in these features. That is climate prediction and it must be validated against real-world data.
A spokesVole said attackers can exploit the bug to infect the PC of somebody who visits a malicious website and then take control of the victims computer.
Leif SVALGAARD: The Long-term Variation of Solar Activity
President Obama, the biggest recipient of campaign cash from BP, is using BP's oil spill to push for a global warming bill that is chock full of corporate welfare and environment-destroying ethanol subsidies. The bill was crafted by lobbyists for big companies like BP: "For years, BP has lobbied for climate change legislation, until recently running around with the U.S. Climate Action Partnership." BP has a much worse safety and environmental record than most oil companies, which drill safely and avoid oil spills.
MP: Dr. Evans joins this long list of skeptical scientists who are questioning the global warming hysteria.
When these stick together, they can form powerful national majorities. When they come into conflict, the party can be a disorderly rabble.
After the meeting was over, CFACT received a call to brief the president of a major Peruvian political party, the Christian Popular Party, and is scheduled to meet with him before the close of the UN climate conference on Friday.
Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker has declared a state of snow emergency and has shut down "non-essential" state services and buildings in four counties on Tuesday, including Suffolk County where the Boston global warming forum is scheduled to take place.
Britain's Foreign Secretary echoed Blair's concern, "I don't have a problem with the American Administration. The American public have not come to terms with their energy consumption." Britain and Germany's posture is a bit disingenuous, however. Though they will successfully meet the voluntary emission targets agreed to at Rio, this is a result of economic conditions, not environmental policy. According to Nature magazine (June 12, 1997), Tony Blair can declare success mainly because Margaret Thatcher "crushed" the power of the coal miners, Labour's strongest supporters. Germany's success results from being able to shut down extremely inefficient and polluting factories and power plants in East Germany.
In spite of the Administration's policies, the energy sector thrived because of production on private and state-owned lands. As companies in the U.S. drilled their way to low petroleum prices, oil production from the federal estate was stagnant or declining. So, it is reasonable to ask: What sort of energy powerhouse could the U.S. be with an energy policy that unleashes America's total energy potential?
A "Cajun Navy" formed as people took to their personal boats and ferried their neighbors to safety. A "Cajun Marine Corps." followed as local people joined their professional responders to lend a helping hand.
The tool that Microsoft is suggesting is known as the Enhanced Mitigation Experience Toolkit, or EMET, is available through an advisory on Microsofts website: blogs.technet.com/b/msrc /
Indeed, EPA says all but a sliver of the hundreds of billions of dollars in health and environmental benefits that it claims result from its mercury, climate change and "clean power" regulations are actually due to the "ancillary" benefits of reducing PM2.5 emissions from power plants, factories, refineries, petrochemical plants, cars, light trucks, and diesel-powered trucks, buses and heavy equipment.
We can see that the administration again largely accepted the liberal-progressive view of the world. Legislative attention was focused on financial regulation, a bill that was superficially popular but which clearly was not a priority for any segment of the electorate. Little serious attention was paid to the deficit, and the administration's reaction to the Gulf oil spill was to shut down offshore drilling, an act that thrilled environmentalists but surely was noticed by working-class Americans already worried about their jobs. It was as if the administration felt that directing popular anger against Wall Street and big businessa staple of the Democratic party since Andrew Jackson and 1832, as progressives John Judis and Ruy Teixeira noted in their book The Emerging Democratic Majoritywas sufficient to bring working-class Americans back on board.
The Hillarys to Yanchep sector does not appear to be susceptible to erosion over the next century as Tamala Limestone is preserved above sea level along the majority of the coast, and the beaches are well sheltered by three lines of offshore reefs.
It has allowed climate-crisis rhetoric to be used publicly as scientifically samples truth, with only the occasional grumbling.
The study adds to the major problems with wind, as compared with traditional sources of reliable power. Wind power: 1) is capital intensive major costs are up-front; 2) is erratic, requiring a dependable alternative when it fails (why not build a dependable alternative instead); 3) significantly increases infrastructure cost for the collection and balancing system (grid); 4) lowers the capital recapture of the dependable alternative, thereby jeopardizing its credit worthiness and increasing its costs; and 5) has a short life, requiring significant replacement costs. Please see links under Questioning European Green.
The American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity responded to the latest climate report in a comparable, direct manner. Laura Sheehan, a Senior Vice President of the ACCCE, said, "Instead of flying his cabinet members around the world, President Obama and his deputies should take time to visit communities impacted by a much more dangerous threat; this administration's costly regulatory crusade."
Belief in global warming soars as mercury rises
I??m thinking that the ???coldest December on record?? in Siberia could be significant. Not just one day, mind you, but the entire month so far.
Just a few steps later and a Google of Broadness Salt Marsh and I had the picture and all the information required to see that this weather station is a dud. Note the banking, brick power building with ventilation equipment and the weather station.
Crane reminds us of once-progressive Amazon, its headquarters once picketed by folks protesting its use of ordinary power. It takes a lot of sensitivity to see a crisis in an item that I couldnt find on Dow-Jones Factiva. Big, but it doesnt come close to what Crane sees coming. The carbon divestiture campaign isnt big in itself, but its the canary in the coal mine (a clich Crane does not use).
If the U.S. is to expand nuclear power's role in a time of energy insecurity and climate change worries, we will have to confront the hysterical antinuclear pronouncements that have been the currency of environmentalists for nearly 30 years. The Old Dominion could be a good place for a new start.
The water level in the worlds oceans had been rising steadily over quite some time. Ever since the last ice ages great ice masses in the northern hemisphere started to melt in earnest, some 15,000 years ago, all that melt-water flowed into the oceans and resulted in a rapid rise of 100+ m. Beginning some 7,000 years ago, most of the ice had melted and the ocean level rise slowed to a trickle. Over the last 200 years it rose less than 30 cm. Claims of a renewed acceleration of sea level rise have largely been shown to be false .
"It is surprising to see large parts of the scientific community including academies of sciences embracing a hypothesis of global warming from atmospheric CO2, without any convincing scientific support. It appears that the mere mentioning of Stefan-Boltzmann's Radiation Law has been enough to annihilate any further demands of scientific evidence.
It has been determined that during pile driving work for offshore windparks when the foundation is anchored to the seabed extremely intense shock waves are produced under water.
It is also a tragedy, as the recurring appearance in history of a certain kind of rigid, unloving and definitely uncharitable attitude of self-righteousness among the Christians, leaves the nagging doubt: is there something intrinsically un-Christian in Christianity itself?
CRUs Failure to Use or Disclose the Shiyatov Dataset
Im quite confident that most "classical" spurious regressions will have high RE statistics. I think that one can prove that this particular statistic has negligible power against common unrelated trends. We showed examples of spurious RE statistics in MM05a and Reply to Huybers, but both sets of examples were framed in MBH contexts and, in retrospect, the argument would have benefited by simply showing "spurious" RE statistics in garden variety contexts of "classical" spurious regressions.
Google backs climate-change weather insurance startup:
That startling headline is followed by the sub-headline: Defying all predictions, the globe may be on the road towards a new little ice age with much colder winters.
A paper in press for the journal Tellus finds the "best estimate" of climate sensitivity to CO2 is about 33% less than estimated by the IPCC. According to the authors, the best estimate of transient climatesensitivityis 1.5C for a doubling of CO2 levels, and equilibrium climate sensitivity about 2C. The paper finds a lower bound on equilibrium climate sensitivity of 1.16C per doubling of CO2. The paper a dds to many recent peer-reviewed papers finding climate sensitivity to CO2 is significantly less than claimed by the IPCC .
And neither do I. Certainly, I think we should live as lightly as possible on this marvelous planet. And yes, use rates and R/P ratios are an issue. But nothing is sustainable. So lets set the phrase sustainable development on the shelf of meaningless curiosities, go back to concentrating on feeding the children we already have on this Earth, and leave the great-grandchildren to fend for themselves. Everyone says theyll live to be a thousand and be a lot richer than I am and have computers that can write poetry, so Im sure theyll figure it out.
It is also informative to put this in the context of the lesser, but opposite, tendency of increasing sea ice coverage around Antarctica over the same period.
Millions of workers will lose their jobs, leaving more families destitute and welfare-dependent. Many will have to choose between buying food and gasoline, paying the rent or mortgage, visiting doctors, giving to charities, or saving for retirement. Those still working will pay for everyone else.