Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This did not stop alarmist sources from reacting as if the Joint Chiefs had become global warming catastrophists. The Observer's story was titled (and subtitled), "Now the Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us. Secret report warns of rioting and nuclear war, Britain will be 'Siberian' in less than 20 years, Threat to the world is greater than terrorism."
Temperatures were in the middle 60s through the day on Wednesday, which likely sent it to therecord books for the cold?? The coldest high temperature ever recorded on this date was 70 degrees back in 1896. If Wednesday stays at or below 67 degrees, that will make July 16th the coldest July day Toledo has had since 2003.The average high this time of the year is 85 degrees. The average high does not fall to the middle 60s until the middle of October.
We are told to fear global warming even if temperatures increase only tenths of a degree over a decade. So what are we supposed to think when the globe cools 0.56C in just four days ?
When you return to high but not too high values of tan(beta), it's very natural for this quantity to be reasonably high - for several reasons. In MSSM, the up-type quarks only obtain masses from the interactions with the up-type Higgs. Similarly for bottom-type quarks. Because the top quark is near the electroweak scale and the bottom quark is about 40 times lighter, it's natural to think that the couplings are actually comparable - of order one - and the mass differences come from the difference of the Higgs vevs.
Sources of solar irradiance variability are spectral dependent, which is much more difficult to measure than TSI. Spectral variations are seen on the 27 day solar rotation cycle and also on the 11 year sunspot cycle.
MR. ADLER: Thank you, Dr. Spencer. If you'll give him a round of applause.
Liar Loans, Rising Sea Levels and Gambling Online
Experience mods take into account your premiums paid and your losses as compared to other companies in the same job class code. A modifier of 1.2 means you are 20% worse than average in claims history than others in your job code. Note that all history is not the same - I do not know the exact formula, but I do know that 10 claims for $5000 each will be treated as worse than 1 claim for $50,000, even though the total amounts are the same. Given this, it would really help if workers comp insurance policies could have a deductible, but many states do not allow this ( I posted on this problem here ). NCCI has a description of this whole rating process here .
If the economy of a region, a country, a city, etc. deteriorates, what happens among the poorest? Does that usually improve their prospects? No, they will take the hardest hit. No amount of magical climate thinking can turn this one upside-down.
Modern greenhouse hypothesis is based on the work of G.S. Callendar and C.D. Keeling, following S. Arrhenius, as latterly popularized by the IPCC. Review of available literature raise the question if these authors have systematically discarded a large number of valid technical papers and older atmospheric CO2 determinations because they did not fit their hypothesis? Obviously they use only a few carefully selected values from the older literature, invariably choosing results that are consistent with the hypothesis of an induced rise of CO2 in air caused by the burning of fossil fuel.
Tamsin Edwards points us to the talk she wants to give at Google's prestigious SciFoo conference . It's called " Tea with the Enemy ".
While writing other media about the looming energy catastrophe in Germany as fljt p this energy policy.
The congressional shopping list goes beyond what the Air Force had initially requested as part of its annual appropriations. The Pentagon sought to buy one Gulfstream V and one business-class equivalent of a Boeing 737 to replace aging planes. The Defense Department also asked to buy two additional 737s that were being leased.
Liberal Christie Hefner ties Chicago murder rate to climate change | The Daily Caller
In sum, ACESA represents an ambitious attempt to grapple with a real problem. The draft bill's recognition that more is needed to tackle the problem than just GHG controls is welcome. In principle, the bill is certainly correct to stress the importance of technology in seeking a long term solution to climate change. In practice, the rush into multiple demonstration projects is likely to carry real risks.
The Newsweek allegation was completely untrue. The New York Times had published the original misinformation, and later retracted it when it was shown to be incorrect.
Therefore, the envelope of model expected trends shrinks as the period of time over which the trend is determined expands (yellow area in Fig. 2). What this means is that the observed trends in this figure begin to become much more unusual compared with model expectations as the trend lengthens.
These are just a few examples of lies and misleading statements that we encounter every day. Clinton lies frequently and Trump shouts a falsehood a dayand probably moreas a major part of his campaign. This is not what citizens of a free country should expect and demand. And these examples are part of a much larger set.
AEI scholars will follow the discussion and offer insights on how the United States should proceed as the situation develops.
Indeed, more recent studies confirm that the IPCC overestimated the level of greenhouse gas emissions humans are likely to create in the rest of this century, and may also overestimate overall population growth, economic growth, technological progress, and other factors that drive aggregate greenhouse gas emissions.
What is the "public interest"the notion supposedly guiding the government's independent final decisioncan be highly politicized. Public advocacy groups, Congressmen and self-interested corporations can all play a role in a decision that's supposed to be guided by science and economics.
Watch Sean Hannity feature the first clips of CFACT's ground-breaking new film "Climate Hustle." Warm, cold, more snow, less snow, dry, wet, you name it, the global warming crowd attributes it to "climate change." They've gotten away with this double talk long enough. It's time to take them down.
His Linderholm would not drag someone's conclusion that mnniskans INFLUENCINg climate would be verdriven.
This means that the pause in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996
Between January 2007 and July 2008, he took more than 120 long-haul flights and 43 short-haul trips , taking in countries such as New Zealand, America and Fiji.
as we know the polar bear depends on sea ice for survival
If a Religion of Global Warming follower asks you why the US won't sign the Kyoto treaty...show them this graph. It should shut them up immediately. Hat Tips to Red State and WILLismsOf course, it probably won't shut them up. So make sure you have a copy of the Index of Leading Environmental Indicators: 2008 report written by Stephen F. Hayward at the Pacific Research Institute.
India's CO2 emissions to triple by 2030
Americans undoubtedly take access to affordable, reliable energy for granted. Turning on the light switch or filling up a car with gasoline is second nature. Temporary power outages cause a great deal of frustration for families and businesses. Much worse, Americans realize the importance of reliable energy when a major natural disaster hits and they cannot power their schools and hospitals, keep their food from spoiling, or heat or cool their homes.
It is important to recognize that the relationship between slow growth and growth skepticism is not straightforward. Hostility to growth never became the mainstream outlook in the 1930s, even though the Great Depression was much more severe than today's downturn. Although some drew conservative lessons from the experience, most came to favor more ambitious attempts to tackle the problems of the time. There is certainly ample room to criticize President Franklin Delano Roosevelt's New Deal, but at least it represented an attempt to tackle the crisis rather than a capitulation to economic collapse.
In the face of another diplomatic disappointment in Cancuns climate change talks, we approach the end of the hottest year on record. While experts again try to ring alarm bells, our media still gives voice to the pseudo-intellectual pursuit of climate skepticism. Perhaps while Rome burned, some bravely questioned the finer qualities of fire. Perhaps on Easter Island, as the last trees fell, some elders courageously debated the necessity of wood.
The consistent positive relationships between temperature and ring width chronologies are a very different pattern than we observed with the Dulan junipers. There are a couple of possibilities: this site is a magic thermometer; the correlation, while seemingly significant, is nonetheless ???spurious?? ??? a topic discussed on many occasions on this blog, the type example being the ???99% significant?? correlation between alcoholism and Church of England marriages reported by Yule in the 1920s. Or maybe there??s something about the location of the site that makes it a better but non-magic thermometer. Regardless, the positive correlations at site HBL don??t alter the results of Zhang et al 2003, which are the ones that apply to the south-facing Dulan junipers used in Yang et al 2002.
A truck engine is tested for pollution exiting its exhaust pipe in California. REUTERS/Mike Blake
To adapt that old legal aphorism, when you've got decisive scientific evidence on your side, you argue the evidence. When you've got great arguments, you make the arguments. When you don't have decisive evidence or great arguments, you claim consensus.
Diane Lanier, science teacher, Huntsville Middle School, Huntsville, Alabama
The claim of unprecedented speed in modern climate change is false. At the end of the Younger Dryas cooling event 11,500 years ago, temperatures near Greenland rose 15 degrees C in less than a human lifetime! Ocean temperatures and sea ice conditions apparently moved even faster. The polar bears obviously survived this.
In a separate story in the Independent (May 13), King said that he thought the upcoming sci-fi movie, The Day after Tomorrow, would make a valuable contribution to the public debate on global warming. He even praised certain aspects of the film as realistic: "The opening scenes setting up the key scientific factors and introducing the viewer to the scientists and the scientific-political interface are in my view remarkably realistic. I think palaeoclimatologists can closely identify with the discussion. The sceptical reactions that the scientists received are also rather well depicted."
Imagine you this. How many do you think will be conscientious and sort right every time? It rs easy to a gldlampa slip into the ordinary waste.
An even more blatant example of union featherbedding came shortly after September 11, 2001, when Pataki and 1199 president Rivera negotiated a secret pact (later ratified by the state legislature) that set aside $1.8 billion in pay raises for health-care workers. In exchange, Pataki got his first 1199 endorsement. The dealmakers counted on dubious funding sources to pay for the new obligations, which included the hope that Washington would increase its contributions to the state's Medicaid program by $4.5 billion, an expected $1 billion from the conversion of nonprofit insurer Empire BlueCross BlueShield into a for-profit company, and a cigarette-tax hike. But the federal monies failed to come through, the proceeds from the insurer conversion took seven years to materialize, and cigarette-tax proceeds declined as more people quit smoking.
The foundation of the greenhouse theory is that 'greenhouse' gases absorb infrared radiation from the earth and then 'back-radiate' this energy to the earth to cause global warming. Several prior posts have illustrated that the concepts of greenhouse gas 'back-radiation,' 'heat-trapping,' 'heat capture,' and 'radiative forcing' are essentially all referring to the same unphysical, fundamental error of the greenhouse theory that cannot be found in textbooks of physics. Several commenters have indicated that they think it is impossible to explain the temperatures of the earth and atmosphere without incorporating 'greenhouse gases' and 'back-radiation' in diagrams of the Earth's energy budget, such as the famous Kiehl/Trenberth/IPCC Energy Budget , which shows 'back-radiation' to be a very significant 324 W/m2 (95% of the average solar input!) at all times 24/7/365.
Allow states to manage energy development. Permitting fracking on federally owned land will result in even more oil and gas extraction and create jobs in areas that would otherwise not see such economic growth. Congress should explore ways to sell federal lands to states and private individuals who are in a better position to reap the benefits from energy production while protecting the environment. Short of that, however, Congress should grant authority to states for environmental review and permitting of energy projects on federal lands within their borders.
The Wells Report reported that the standard deviation of Patriot pressure measurements was 0.40 psi (11 balls), as compared to 0.144 psi (4 balls) for the Colt balls. Using a standard F-test (and Levene test), this difference isnot statistically significant. Snyders second criticism was that this finding should have been an end to this particular line of argument. However, this was not what happened. One of Exponents most important technical findings indeed, it is the finding that directly precedes their conclusions was thatthe higher variability of Patriot footballs relative to Colt footballs was most plausibly explained by the footballs not starting the game at or near the same pressure:
The $800 billion stimulus package is using taxpayer subsidies to replace U.S. jobs with foreign green jobs. It is also destroying jobs in America's export sector.
Anyways, I got to thinking about how Ive never been sure what sustainable development means, and of how much it reminds me of the sailors saying.One of the first uses of the term was in the UNs 1987 Brundtland Report, which said:
Who Turned on the Heat? was introduced in the blog post Everything You Ever Wanted to Know about El Nio and La Nia Well Just about Everything. The Free Preview includes the Table of Contents; the Introduction; the beginning of Section 1, with the cartoon-like illustrations; the discussion About the Cover; and the Closing.
And as already noted, secondary forests often provide better habitat for a multitude of species. In fact, "there are some cases in the Amazon where creation of reserve areas in an effort to protect rain forest is leading to a simplification of the ecological systems and to a loss of biological diversity." (de Miranda, p.163)
If Mann really wanted to spread truth rather than propaganda, he would have noted that a recent survey of American Meteorological Society (AMS) atmospheric scientists found only 38 percent of AMS scientists believe future warming will be very harmful, and an even smaller 30 percent are very worried about global warming. This is a far cry from Manns unsupported assertion that 97 percent agree we must respond to the dangers of a warming planet.
Temperatures are lower than Hansen forecast they would be if humans disappeared off the planet twelve years ago.
It turns out that a busy team of economists hired by Bush Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to devise a better cap-and-trade program were fully aware that it would be very costly for consumers. Treasury's upper end estimate works out to $1761 for the average household per year.
Alaska Squeeze: Washington continues to squeeze the oil industry in Alaska, which once provided 10% of the oil consumed by the US. Washingtons policy threatens the Alaskan pipeline. At its peak of 1988, the throughput of the pipeline averaged 2,032,928 bbl. per day. In 2013, the average was 534,480 bbl. per day, a drop of almost 74%. If volume drops to about 300,000 bbl. per day the pipeline will freeze and cannot be restarted. By law, once it stops, this valuable national asset would have to be disassembled.
As NASA data indicates, "global warming" has been pretty sparse over the last decade, especially in the U.S. and the Southeast region. In fact, the National Climate Data Center (NCDC) reports the Southeast region has experienced slight global cooling since 1895 through September, 2010.
Total US installed capacity of natural gas (442GW) plus renewables (187GW) is now at 629GW (58% of the total power generating mix) up from 605GW (56%) in 2011 and 548GW (54%) in 2007. Between 2008 and 2012, the US nearly doubled its renewables capacity from 44GW to 86GW (excluding hydropower, which itself is the single largest source of renewable power, at 101GW as of 2012).
how to continue to try to make global redistribution of wealth the real basis of that climate agenda, and widen the discussion further to encompass the idea of "global public goods";
Of course, saying that things are getting better overall does not mean that we live in a perfect world. Far from it. There is still an immense amount of poverty, as well as other challenges to overcome. But finding solutions to these problems demands generating more growth rather than exercising restraint.
Current CO2 levels mean an increase in ice volume ???would not be possible,?? says this article on Reuters , while at the same time showing photo of a GROWING glacier.
To me, that's impressive consistency from lots of independent data.
Their own graph shows that Arctic sea ice extent is just below normal, and melting unusually slowly.
Environment Canada issued a snowfall warning for Ottawa and Gatineau, saying the region could expect up to three cm (1 inches) of snow per hour, to a maximum of about 15 cm (6 inches).
(i) There is an important stochastic component in the modern temperature series, the lower frequency component of which by happenstance approximates over the instrument period to the sum of two sinusoidal series with periodicities of about 61 years and 21 years.
08-03 08-04 FQtr 08-05 08-06 08-07 08-08 08-09
the Copenhagen Conference in December 2009 revealed to everyone willing to see the existing heterogeneity of views and the apparent contradictions of interests.
Diana Wang accepted a job. The terms of that employment were very clear up front -- like most interns, she would be paid in skills and experience and resume fodder rather than money. The employer provided exactly the promised terms. So Diana Wang sued her employer. Now she is having trouble finding anyone to hire her . Wow, that is sure unexpected. Maybe she could go work for Obama's OFA, except (lol) they don't pay their interns either.
The notion that the Sun is dimmer when there are few sunspots goes right back to William Herschel at the beginning of the 19th Century. The trouble is that the variations in solar brightness, as measured by satellites, are too small to explain the strong influence of the Sun on climate as recorded over thousands of years, and continuing into the 21st Century. Thats where Svensmarks discovery of 16 years ago comes in, with the amplifier. Cosmic rays coming from the Galaxy are more intense when there are fewer sunspots and they increase the global cloud cover, so cooling the world.
Figure 1. Emulation of CRU regional chronology, as shown in CA post http://climateaudit.org/2012/05/06/yamal-foi-sheds-new-light-on-flawed-data/
This is what the current sea ice coverage looks like at the south pole with the approximate ship location marked:
Youll note that Ive listed the average, maximum and minimum values for the base period of 1996 to 2015. There is almost a 3 watts/m^2 spread in the TOA incident shortwave radiation among the models during our base period.
Actually Danish wind energy is usually most abundant when its least useful and consequently sold for near-zero return to neighbors while energy when its needed is bought from those neighbors generated by their hydro, coal-fired thermal and nuclear plants. While Denmarks wind generation figures look good on superficial examination Denmarks wind miracle is actually a wind mirage
And so the Texas Clean Energy Project (TCEP) arose. It is also a coal syngasification, CCGT generation, CCS facility. Estimated cost is now $3.5 billion (up from an original $2.5 billion), $8750/MWe. It relies on a $450 million federal grant plus $637 million in investment tax credits. It is only 400MW, but would supposedly capture 90% of CO 2 combustion gas. It would sell the CO 2 for enhanced (tertiary) oil recovery in nearby Permian Basin oil fields. TCEP isnt going well either. On 1/13/14, contracted electricity buyer CPS Energy (a San Antonio utility) pulled out citing the much lower capital cost of natural gas fired CCGT ($800-1300/MWe). In May TCEP requested yet another years extension for re-evaluation before construction. A massively subsidized un-built plant without a utility customer is what the EPA now principally relies on to justify its proposed clean coal rule. The administration is in effect buying justification.
Nobel Physics laureate Ivar Giaever has called global warming (aka, climate change) alarmism a "new religion" . . . a temple built on grounds of faith rather than upon scientific foundations. In this church, all unfortunate events that occur are attributed to human causation. Eco-elitist doom prophets and profiteers perpetrate dogma and intimidation to extract offerings of penance in exchange for promised salvation from fossil-fueled hellfire.
For nearly ten years it has been suggested that heat flow from a geological feature was the likely reason for this local ice sheet melting. Recent publications strongly support, if not prove, that this is in fact the case.
Saleska et al . used Terra satellite data -- Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) -- to determine whether or not the widespread Amazon drought of 2005, which peaked during the dry season onset (July-September), did indeed reduce whole-canopy forest photosynthesis as predicted, which they say "should have been especially observable during this period, when anomalous interannual drought coincided with the already seasonally low precipitation." What was learned
And the policy toward Iran has played out just as Clinton indicated. One pivotal
Ultimately, the conferees backed a plan, hashed out by British Prime Minister Gordon Brown and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, that would exempt EU heavy industries from emissions controls, so that they can compete on a level playing field in the global marketplace. Brown supported Merkel's proposal in exchange for her support of his climate scheme, which entails the manipulation of the tax code to give European businesses an incentive to reduce emissions.
VILLAGER #1: If... she.. weighs the same as a duck, she's made of wood.
Soon, along with astronomer Sallie Baliunas and others, integrated more than 240 paleoclimatic studies in order to better understand weather extremes of the past 1,000 years. The team reviewed four decades of research, including work on ancient tree rings, glacier ice cores, sediments from lakes, rivers and seafloors, historical records, coral reefs, stalagmites, fossils, dust, pollen, and many other natural indicators that vary depending on the temperature, precipitation, and other climate factors.
All this begs the question of how long it will take the warmist crew to readjust their scare story to win back the public. The majority firmly rejects their socialist prescription to solve an imaginary problem.
In short, the probability of getting 484 sites that pass the p < .128 screening by chance, is very small, and his argument is utterly wrong. The only way it could be true is if somehow the temp-ring relationship magically arose in 1850 but didnt exist beforehand, which of course is ludicrous.