Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Figure 1 presents maps of the modeled and observed warming and cooling rates of the surfaces of the global oceans for the period of 1982 to 2013. The color-coded contour levels are presented in deg C/year. The model mean is presented in the left-hand map and the observed warming rates are presented in the right-hand one. There are no similarities between the spatial patterns of the modeled and observed trends. The models show the greatest warming near the equator, while in the real world, the greatest warming has occurred at mid and high latitudes. The North Atlantic in the real world warmed at the highest rate. That warming of the North Atlantic is associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
More on patient safety part 3hospital acquired infections
If Hansen was a reasonable concerned citizen he would immediately disavow this book and discourage all who call for similar illegal potentially dangerous action. Likewise, the climate change topic is owned by NASA and the IPCC???where are their moderating responses? Silence is tacit approval. Are they really happy to ignore the safety of the same public who funds them?
As this most recent video of Region 1 Administrator Spalding confirms, there are plenty of green generals like Armendariz going into battle for the Obama EPA. We have several more videos of EPA officials making similar statements, but I will talk about those at a later date, because today I would like to focus my remarks specifically on President Obama's war on coal and what members of this body will choose to do about it.
Email management boffins, and more or less anybody that has ever fathomed the extremely-complex (or not) world of how to archive messages using MS Outlook or any other email package , are urgently sought at world-famous UEAs CRU and at the Nature Publishing Group, following a plea for help by a computer-challenged climate modeler and a critical-thinking-challenged scientific journalist :
15. The Climate-gate scandal revealed that a scientific team had tampered with their own data so as to conceal inconsistencies and errors.
Glikson then digs deeply into the handbag of IPCC quick-fix-glue and resorts to the ritual lines about how the IPCC has looked at every possible cause and ruled all the rest out. Its known as argument from ignorance: we cant think of anything else it could be. Never mind that they are searching for answers with the same models that cant find the Medieval Warm Period, the Roman Warming, the cause of the Little Ice Age, the warm period in the 1940s, or the cooling of the 50s and 60s either. Never mind that even the IPCC admits they cant model cloud cover well, and cant explain why theres been no statistically significant warming since 1995.
"Climate sensitivity estimated from the is 1.1 0.4 C ...compared with the IPCC central value of 3 C."
I agree with their conclusion in the very narrow language in which it is expressed language in which each word matters:
Okay. I thought I'd give you the IPCC's estimate. As most of you probably know, this is the UN-sponsored, intergovernmental panel on climate change, the official, international word on what the future of global warming is. And their first official report came out in 1990. I'm a member of this group, this 2,500 scientists that are involved in the IPCC process.
In the middle of the greatest world economic crisis since the 1930's, the bill would have committed the families of Canada to the following: "The Government of Canada shall ensure that Canadian greenhouse gas emissions are reduced, subject to the ultimate objectives of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, (a) as a long-term target, to a level that is 80% below the 1990 level by the year 2050."
Instead, the onus should be on the developers to prove the positive. No wind farm developer has ever had to explain the benefits of wind. Evidence tells us that wind power performance shows not only no reduction in CO 2 and other harmful emissions, but the very reverse. But Alex Salmond is driving an aggressive green agenda like an express train across Scotland, bludgeoning anyone who gets in the way as being a Luddite and anti-green.
Apparently it was quite a day in Lochmaben. The ice had been checked by the local council and was 7-8 inches, and solid. However, someone phoned the police to say there were lots of people on the ice and they didn't think it was safe. Anne tells the story, "Six police officers arrived but they couldn't go on ice to warn people because of health and safety so they passed the buck to the Nith rescue who came with a rescue boat but because of heath and safety they couldn't go on ice either. So the Coast Guard arrived, lights flashing! But guess what? Because of health and safety he couldn't go on the ice either! A great day was had by all.
But Gore's prediction of a 20 ft sea-level rise is, as his movie makes quite clear, based on ice-melt alone. Abraham says Gore was right to worry about a very large rise in sea level because the IPCC specifically excludes ice-melt from its calculations, saying it cannot yet be quantified. No, the IPCC specifically includes ice-melt in its calculations, as the table on my slide showed, but it does add that "dynamic" effects of unpredictable but theoretically-possible large-scale failure on the ice sheets are not taken into account.
The vote represents a significant victory for student rights and for science. The scientific method demands consideration of all data, without regard for the impact this may have on a cherished theory. Open minds and free debate are essential to science and climate science is no exception.
Already an unnecessarily expensive abatement policy, it has been turned into a vehicle for funding the most expensive forms of abatement at a cost running into the hundreds of millions of dollars, paid by all electricity users, she said.
But the reports mind-numbing length hasnt stopped people from interpreting it the way they think it should be interpreted. And because no one bothered to read the fine print everyone thinks the IPCC is saying that the adverse impacts of human-caused climate change are already being felt:
The experiment also taught us the importance of investigating climate change using several different approaches, in order to fully understand its effects and to predict future impacts, says Christian Alsterberg.
Rising Outgoing Long-wave radiation with more than 3.7 W/m^2 per C SST cannot be the effect of rising CO2 or of the increase of other greenhouse gases. Rising OLR/SST with 8.6 W/m^2K means that the atmosphere has become more transparent to IR radiation in the past 60 years. The greenhouse effect has become less.
I needed a little information Santer trends (already collated):
Judith Curry wrote a revealing summary of reflections on the fifth anniversary of Climategate. It references an early Curry commentary on Steve Mcintyres site titled, On the credibility of climate research. In that article Curry provides examples of Ivory Tower thinking.
If you missed it Sunday, the Audi Super Bowl ad is on Youtube, and it's a hoot. The ad promotes the Audi A3 TDI clean diesel. The main selling point, surprisingly, is not that this car, which won a "Green Car of the Year" award, is good for the planet, but that if you drive it, you won't be hassled, bullied, and jailed by the "green police."
The EPA could finally act on petitions pending from the Bush administration to set GHG emission standards for marine vessels, aircraft, and non-road vehicles.
Basically rgbatduke argued that model methods to create spectra for chemical elements such as carbon had limitations; that there was a history of improvement of models; the average of such successive models was meaningless; they did not succeed without some computational judgment; and even then, they were not as good as the measured result. The same comments should be applied to the various climate model comparisons shown in the spaghetti graph, particularly the meaningless average. Climate models were stated to be far more complex than atomic spectral calculations.
41 For example, see Earthjustice et al., "Smokestack Rollback: How the Bush administration's Clean Air Act proposals will increase toxic refinery pollution and jeopardize public health," February 2002.
In the ongoing debates about the nature of the global warming threat there has been a lot of attention paid to some core scientific issues such as natual variabilty, the validity of climate models, the quality of atmospheric temperture data, the connection between climate and extreme weather, and so forth. ... (read more)
Climatologist Dr. Eduardo Zorita, one of the authors of the recent paper rejecting the climate models at a confidence level >98% over the past 15 years , has a new post in which he states that the model vs. real-world discrepancy is even greater during the winter months , with only 0.2% of 6,104 climate model runs projecting the observed negative trend in winter temperatures over the past 15 years. Climate models instead predicted that the most warming would occur during the winter months, the opposite of observations.
The headline aims p that today I best Christmas lunch with the editors on the world today. Otherwise is the world like himself, Besides a ovntad kldknpp. Slowly but safe spreads Climategate in the Swedish media. Today's editorial in DN, signed Rikard Westerberg, is a frsiktig ppning from DN's side.
Alice Bell has posted an interesting collection of articles on what she terms 'new' climate change controversies. They seem fairly well established sceptic topics to me - perhaps she has been reading the wrong sort of blogs. But it did make me think that the Road the Paris is looking rather sceptical in its approach. Maybe the message is finally getting through.
The report concludes, "In the absence of a mandatory carbon cap, none of the base case scenarios examined in this study achieves a reduction in U.S. carbon dioxide emissions by 2035 relative to current levels." And it emphasizes, "This is true even in the scenario with the most optimistic assumptions about the future cost and performance of energy technologies."
Hurricane expert Dr. Ryan Maue reported last week that the 5-year running sum for tropical cyclones globally hit a 45-year low. Maue wrote that in the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s and the frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low.
The study notes that "People in some groups are especially vulnerable to energy cost increases, such as older people living on fixed incomes." Eleven percent of California's population is made of people 65 or older, many of whom live on fixed incomes. "A larger share of their income would have to go for higher energy and energy tax costs." For a copy of the study, contact Consumer Alert at (202) 467-5809.
But while excess hospital capacity weakens the ability of the system as a whole to make people healthier, many hospital workers' jobs depend on it. It is this threat to 1199's interests that provides the backstory for one of the stranger episodes of the last mayoral campaign. During his quest for the Democratic nomination, de Blasio capitalized on the publicity he garnered when he was arrested at a protest organized by 1199 to stop the closing of Long Island College Hospital (LICH) in Cobble Hill, Brooklyn. LICH, which employed some 1,200 workers, had severe financial problems, many empty beds, and cost the state $10 million a month in subsidies. De Blasio simultaneously showed his solidarity with 1199 and bolstered his activist credentials. Nonetheless, the hospital wound up being sold to developers, who plan to demolish it and construct luxury condos, while retaining a small emergency clinic run by NYU-Langone. Activists now accuse de Blasio of using LICH as a political pawn.
Here too, the wild, dangerous sea-level rise was mostly associated with the rise of Hitler and World War II, less so with CO2. Indeed in Newcastle, the seas are still not rising as fast as they were in 1942.
Almost the entire Tube system was running yesterday and we would have done even better if it had not been for a suicide on the Northern Line, and the temporary stoppage that these tragedies entail. Of London's 700 bus services, only 50 were on diversion, mainly in the hillier areas. On Saturday, we managed to keep the West End plentifully supplied with customers, and retailers reported excellent takings on what is one of the busiest shopping days of the year.
Indeed, Mann's recent New York Times op-ed begins with a blanket defamation of anyone who has ever questioned his global warming orthodoxy, people he describes as a "a fringe minority" which "clings to an irrational rejection of well-established science," promoting a "virulent strain of anti-science."
The video of the recent lecture given by Nobel Laureate physicist Dr. Ivar Giaever at the 2012 meeting of Nobel Laureates is now available online . In the highly recommended lecture, Dr. Giaever explains why global warming is a "pseudoscience" that begins with an emotionally-appealing hypothesis, and "then only looks for items which appear to support it," while ignoring ample contrary evidence. Dr. Giaever explains why "global warming has become a new religion - because you can't discuss it - and that is wrong."
Cunningham also worked as a staffer for Sheldon Silver, the former longtime speaker of the state assembly, and she's the ex-wife of current attorney general Eric Schneiderman. She advised Christine Quinn in her campaign for mayor and Andrew Cuomo in his gubernatorial campaign, even as some of her colleagues lent their services to more left-wing candidates. Now with the prominent lobbying and consulting firm SKDKnickerbocker, Cunningham has advised Governor Cuomo on his Medicaid Redesign Team, tasked with cutting payments to hospitals.
Scientists are experts in science. Judges are experts in interpreting the law and doctors are skilled at keeping us healthy-provided we take their advice. But parliaments composed of elected politicians are the experts at public policy making, and neither expressly or impliedly should they ever surrender that role to others.
Maybe. It's hard to imagine how the Court can review a rule that leads to "absurd results" and "administrative impossibility" without examining its opinion in Mass v. EPA that an Endangerment Finding under Section 202 of the Clean Air Act won't lead to "extreme" or "counterintuitive" measures, but only to a cost-constrained modification of the motor vehicle emission standards.
In January 2012 we again warned of ethanol's environmental threat. We wrote about how the "increased biofuel cultivation hurt the environment through increased use of pesticides, farmland expansion and agricultural runoff polluting our rivers and coastal waters."
I won't give a blow-by-blow of everyone's comments (you can watch the whole thing on Google Video if you like, shaky camera work and all), except to say that the standout comments of the evening came from Andy Revkin. He drew an excellent difference between reporting on the science (a new study on hurricanes just came out) and reporting on the politics (Tony Blair calls on U.S. to embrace Kyoto Protocol). There are different standards and expectations for each, and those are sometimes forgotten.
Long term, continuous and uncorrupted temperature records are difficult to find. One such record does exist at an agricultural experiment station, known as Rothamsted Experimental Station, in southeastern England. The station has been taking temperature readings every day at 9 a.m. since 1878 using thermometers very similar to the ones we use today. The 121-year record is continuous with no missing data and the landscape has remained largely agricultural over the entire period.
So the climate-establishment and their willing minions crave censorship and why wouldnt they, theyre practical people. They know that if skeptical writers were allowed to publicize their opinions along side the professors who keep spouting logical errors and baseless insults, then the grand facade of the carbon scare would be cremated by Christmas, captured in comedy by New Year, and forgotten by Australia Day.
The report manages to stay away from endorsing the wackiest evaluation ideas, but it still gives them plenty of oxygen. Take its "threshold" hypothesis that "sustainability is already far behind us, and we have already entered a phase of decline." There is also no criticism or qualification of the apparently "well-known" view that we have "exceeded the Earth's biocapacity by approximately 25 per cent." Such statements are often used as the intellectual support for the dystopian drivel of the worst kind in Hollywood movies.
(g) The billboard, which cost $200, generated more than $5 million in earned media so far, and that figure doesnt include television, radio, and tens of millions of page visits and online commentaries. Was the MSM coverage overwhelmingly negative? Of course. How could it be otherwise? There has been no positive coverage of skeptics since Fakegate broke, none at all, and reporters have made it clear that they will not report the debate fairly, so there is no longer any point in trying to appeal to their ethics or honesty. Thanks to the billboard, 37 million Americans now know that the debate over climate change continues.
SD: Deadwood casino group may seek changes in law:
Pilmer claims that the warm periods (such as the Medieval Warm period and the Roman Period) had were times of plenty. Southern Italy had rain all the year round in the 2nd century AD (now only winter rain). North Africa, Central America and Central Asia were warmer and wetter. (p.59) This was a time of population increase, with crop failures and famine becoming a rarity.(p.60). A simliar story for the MWP, where England and China (p.68) flourished. It was warm enough for a Viking colony to establish on Greenland, growing crops.
CEI is a non-profit, non-partisan research and advocacy institute dedicated to the principles of free markets and limited government. For more information, contact Emily McGee at 202-331-1010.
This year, the Jan-Mar temperature is -2.17 F cooler than for example 1907 . And if we compare this years Jan-Mar temperature with 1921 it is -4.17 F cooler.
"International Monetary Fund (IMF) President Dominique Strauss-Kahn has warned that hundreds of thousands of people will face starvation if food prices keep rising."
Mr Bowen said: I am surprised that they have cited an article from a climbing magazine, but there is no reason why anecdotal evidence from climbers should be disregarded as they are spending a great deal of time in places that other people rarely go and so notice the changes.
> >> >- also CSERGE here at UEA and UCL have done some interesting work on
Record Antarctic Ice Extent Throws Cold Water On Global Warming Scare ... Antarctic polar ice extent has set another new record, defying alarmist global warming claims. Surpassing the greatest month-of-April ice extent in recorded history, the new record throws cold water on alarmist claims that the Antarctic ice cap has crossed a melting point of no return. Forbes
It finds that the gap between rhetoric and reality is dangerously wide, on the basis of some of the simplest premises of engineering and technology.
The function of climate change I suggest, is not as a lower-case environmental phenomenon to be solved?It really is not about stopping climate chaos. Instead, we need to see how we can use the idea of climate change ? the matrix of ecological functions, power relationships, cultural discourses and materials flows that climate change reveals ? to rethink how we take forward our political, social, economic and personal projects over the decades to come.
They failed to note that Truman was a serious reader of history and had, in supposedly backward Independence, Mo., studied piano under a teacher who had studied under Ignacy Paderewski.
I then selected Ordnance survey mapping and confirmed that this was indeed a place with a micro climate as the banks are clearly marked on the OS map. But it gave one other vital piece information, the location is Broadness Salt Marsh.
Strap yourselves in, folks, its gonna be one hell of a ride.
The terms ?ecocide? and ?climate denial? of course bring to mind the Holocaust and those revisionist cranks who question its veracity. Environmentalists constantly conjure up Holocaust imagery ? on the one hand to stress that climate change is an indisputable evil, and on the other hand to shut down debate on the matter. Anyone who dares to demand that the claims of greens be scrutinised, anyone who questions the severity of the climate threat or argues that how humanity should handle it is up for debate, is put on a par with Holocaust-denying fraudsters. Greens are making use of the fact that the campaign to criminalise Holocaust denial has grown in recent years, consciously putting ?climate change denial? on a par with Holocaust denial so that those who question environmentalism can be prosecuted, too.
A cosmic ray, especially a high energy one from deep space, can cause an entire family tree of smaller particles and ionization trails. See this animation below created by the Cosmus group at the University of Chicago.
It is only now that many hundreds of lives have been lost in the Mediterranean Sea as people flee the chaos unleashed in the region in no small part by such incautious intervention, that Miliband wants to make it an election issue.
Such statements are of course why sceptics such as James Delingpole and Lord Monckton have become all the fiercer in their criticism of climate change activists in recent years, seeing in climate change activism a threat not just to prosperity but to liberty.
Now, Olav Kjorven, the UN's Assistant Secretary General, is proposing new goals for "The World's Richest Billion People." (Read: everyone in the First World.) Should these new goals fare any better?
The flaw in the UN reasoning is clear, however. The alarmists claim the global warming since 1976 has been too rapid to be caused by natural forces, and therefore must be man-made. However, the earths Industrial Revolution went global after 1945releasing the first big flush of CO2 emissions. That burst of greenhouse gases should have sharply boosted the earths temperatures. Instead, the earths temperature declined from 194075.
The House of Representatives passes the Deleting Online Predators Act (DOPA), which would withhold funding from schools and public libraries that refuse to block social networking websites.
The unprecedented warming is plainly visible in satellite data which shows an increase of 0.00 degrees since the start of the year 2000.
How well do current state-of-the-art climate models perform in this regard? The four researchers who conducted this study state that ?until the full range of deep convective processes in the tropics is more realistically represented in climate models, they cannot be used to predict the changes of extreme precipitation events in a changing (warming) climate? Read More
Postscript: The followingAMS policies adopted in 2010 would appear to discourage such buddy review (and also enemy review), but also seem to leave discretion with the editor to override the policy:
Nor is Professor Morner worried about island nations drowning. He and his team did an exhaustive investigation of the claim made by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that the Maldives in the Indian Ocean are at risk from sea level rise accelerated by global warming. He found considerable evidence that the sea level in the islands has fallen over the past 30 years, and that the islands and their people survived much higher sea levels in the past.
"Most green energy policies undermine human progress," wrote Moore and White. "They are regressive, disproportionately hurting low and middle income families by driving energy prices higher, thus eroding their standard of living.
Can anyone seriously expect that of the millions of cars on the road (potentially with either liquid or compressed hydrogen as fuel) none would ever develop any fuel leak that would lead to powerful explosions?