Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The theory was that a deliberate strategy to make all government action in Washington look disastrous, whether by stopping legislation or delegitimizing the process and its products, would work against the party in power: the Democrats. Scandal politics, which vaulted Gingrich to prominence in the first place, could be hyped and exploited; see Benghazi. The "birther" movement was not explicitly embraced by party leaders, but it was encouraged; it was an indirect way to criticize the "African" president while also, incidentally, vaulting Donald Trump to prominence in the political realm.
6) What about rising sea levels? I must confess, I don?t pay much attention to the sea level issue. I will say that, to the extent that warming occurs, sea levels can be expected to also rise to some extent. The rise is partly due to thermal expansion of the water, and partly due to melting or shedding of land-locked ice (the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, and glaciers). But this says nothing about whether or not humans are the cause of that warming. Since there is evidence that glacier retreat and sea level rise started well before humans can be blamed, causation is ? once again ? a major source of uncertainty.
Nightly television pictures of the tragic destruction from tornadoes over the past months might make one wonder if the frequency of tornadoes is increasing, perhaps due to the increasing levels of CO2 in the atmosphere. But as one can read at Andrew Revkin's New York Times blog, dotearth, "There is no evidence of any trend in the number of potent tornadoes (category F2 and up) over the past 50 years in the United States, even as global temperatures have risen markedly."
However, consider that for this exercise you have 18 models that have each yielded 20 years of data. Let us all see how well you can project to end of year 23. In a week Ill post the full graph and full set of figures, then Ill make some comments on your methods of solving this problem.
The chief driving force of the policy is the EU?s requirement that, within 10 years, 30 per cent of our electricity must come from renewables, mainly through thousands more wind turbines. This would be so expensive that the Government accepts it could only be made economical by massively rigging the market against any form of electricity derived from fossil fuels, such as the coal and gas which were last week supplying more than 80 per cent of our electricity. By a complex new system of regulations, including what in effect will be a tax of 27 a ton on CO2 emissions, the Government thus hopes to make renewables ?competitive? with conventional power.
This year, American farmers will divert a third of the corn crop into the production of corn fuels that are more expensive and environmentally harmful than regular gasoline. Naturally, this has increased demand for corn, which, in turn, has pushed prices to historic highs. American farmers set the global price for corn, so the impact of our foolish ethanol prices is felt worldwide. American corn is one of the largest crops in the world, and by displacing land given to other crops, the ethanol mandate also increases the price of wheat and soybeans on the international market.
Rising CO2 will increase plant growth leading in turn to increased water vapour. This appears to be one of the best candidates for substantial positive feedback.
Polar bears are extremely unlikely to go extinct. But imagine, just for the sake of an argument, that the Arctic is going to warm up sufficiently for them to get drowned. Can we save them?
Solving the Crisis, One Drum Circle at a Time
CEI Sues Administration Over Climate Change Junk Science
Serious questions about the funding of ?policy-relevant? science should now be asked. The belief that the emission of greenhouse gases, especially from energy use, has been enshrined as ?fact? in international law since 1992. Scientific research was required to support this claim and hence its associated ?solutions? or responses. To the best of my knowledge, the CRU-hack story is not over yet and serious implications for climate ?alarmism? are still possible. Any enquiry should go beyond the people directly involved and include senior government figures responsible for funding and advocacy of a cause science was expected to serve.
In commenting on their primary findings of reduced percentages of leaves experiencing asymmetry in the presence of elevated levels of atmospheric CO 2 and the lesser degree of asymmetry exhibited by affected leaves in the elevated CO 2 treatment, Cornelissen et al . say that "a possible explanation for this pattern is the fact that, in contrast to other environmental stresses, which can cause negative effects on plant growth, the predominant effect of elevated CO 2 on plants is to promote growth with consequent reallocation of resources (Docherty et al ., 1996)." Another possibility they discuss "is the fact that CO 2 acts as a plant fertilizer," and, as a result, that "elevated CO 2 ameliorates plant stress compared with ambient levels of CO 2 ," which is one of the well-documented biological benefits of atmospheric CO 2 enrichment (Idso and Idso, 1994).
Via TVHE NZ . Hat tip: Not PC .
One can't have laws that force the Texas or U.S. federal officials to "control and preserve the atmosphere" above their lands because this goal is totally beyond their abilities. It is as impossible to realize as preserving a beautiful sunset for 12 more hours.
The data manipulation that has been most seized upon by bloggers involves the choice of which sources of temperature data should be used to reflect climate trends after 1960.
Well, they hadnt. On all five global temperature datasets, the rate of global warming in the 25 years since 1990 has been half of the central business-as-usual estimate which the IPCC had so confidently but misguidedly predicted, even though CO2 concentration has risen faster than the IPCCs then prediction. As Professor Feynman used to say, If it disagrees with experiment, its wrong.
???Charles the Moderator?? writes to inform us that there??s another multiproxy study published, with flat blade and a somewhat limp hockey stick combined with that ???unprecedented?? claim that has become almost a red flag for bad proxy studies when they are that certain. From the SI PDF file , it looks like it is another splicing study, where they have added CRU data to the paleo reconstruction using tree ring, ice core, and varve data.
Hank Johnson Explains The Cause Of Guam Tipping Over
However, one Australian professor of biology, apparently dismissing history, wrote a letter to the prestigious journal Nature, titled Dont Fight Fire with Fire. This may have reinforced his appointment as a bushfire adviser to the New South Wales government, from 1996-2004. In that time there were many uncontrollable bushfires. We should not, of course, allow ourselves to be misled by the old logical error of post hoc, ergo propter hoc, but we can still ponder. That professor now holds an academic appointment in the United Arab Emirates, where I would imagine there are few bushfires. Again, we should avoid assuming that his presence there has brought about that situation.
VIRGINIA more than 31,000 jobs; 13th in coal production
In the words of Cesana and Chepfer: (1) "low- and mid-level altitude clouds are underestimated by all the models (except in the Arctic)," (2) "high altitude cloud cover is overestimated by some models," (3) "some models shift the altitude of the clouds along the ITCZ by 2 km (higher or lower) compared to observations," (4) "the models hardly reproduce the cloud free subsidence branch of the Hadley cells," (5) "the high-level cloud cover is often too large," (6) "in the tropics, the low-level cloud cover (29% in CALIPSO-GOCCP) is underestimated by all models in subsidence regions (16% to 25%)" and (7) "the pronounced seasonal cycle observed in low-level Arctic clouds is hardly simulated by some models."
Global warming activists 10:10 Global take the idea of eco-terrorism to a whole new level. Hoping to generate more buzz for their 'cause,' we hope they get more than they can handle the kind that will completely redirect their efforts. We posted their video to shed more light on the true "spirit' of progressives who continue to peddle global myth at the expense of humanity.
And since man-made global warming is a real concern for future generations, "what kind of world would my great-great-grandchildren inhabit?" he wrote.
In the words of physicist Prof Howard Cork Hayden:
Funded by Renaissance Technologies hedge fund founder James Simons and his son, Nathaniel, Sea Change gave away $120 million between 2008 and 2010 in connection with energy-related issue activism. More than $18 million more of the Simons philanthropic funding in 2009 and 2010 went to organizations named in Northrops 2008 presentations, including the Natural Resources Defense Council, the Sierra Club, the World Wildlife Fund and Ceres, Inc., although Sea Change did not disclose the specific purpose of those grants.
A group of green activists is proposing to take more direct action against those of us who disagree with them.
The National Weather Service even extended a winter weather advisory for several counties until Saturday morning.
According to Bloomberg, ???Germanys push toward renewable energy is causing so many drops and surges from wind and solar power that the government is paying more utilities than ever to help stabilize the countrys electricity grid.??
The debate over the minimum wage has moved to the states, and any further increases over the next two years will come from state legislatures or from ballot initiatives. This is less harmful than a federal law, because costs vary by state, and states should have the right to decide on their minimum wages. It is not surprising that it is states with higher minimum wages than the federal level, such as California and Massachusetts with their $9 hourly rates, that are seeking equivalent or higher rates for the rest of the country, so that the high-wage states can regain competitiveness.
If it?s a drought, or a long spell of hot and dry weather, they think we must be doing something to nudge up the Earth?s thermostat. If it?s a nasty hurricane or a notably destructive line of tornados, it?s our fault for driving SUVs. If riverside communities get flooded, that?s also the result of global warming. And if we get an unusually harsh and lengthy winter, yes, that, too, is proof that the Earth is getting warmer.
This is not to say that I agree with Gavins May 11 criticism of my emulation of the regional chronology. Only that I had not raised the issue of the regional chronology, a topic which I had not yet considered in connection with Briffa et al 2013 and which I will now briefly consider.
Lets take two examples from the BoM online Timeseries Australian Climate Variability and Change.
In contrast to the hype, Dr. Andrew Smith, the International Union for the Conservation of Nature pika expert, has testified that pikas are thriving in California and should not be listed. Although an avid defender of the Endangered Species Act, he argued that incorrectly listing the pika as endangered ( see his letter here ) would only subject the ESA to greater criticism and denigrate conservation science.
climate-related changes that are outside of recent experiences, as the Medieval Warming and Little Ice Age demonstrate,2, 3, 4 and therefore it is not unusual nor unexpected in ordinary life. If this is to be interpreted to be human-induced, then the evidence just discussed demonstrates that this kind of change cannot be attributed to human actions and therefore the statement is false.
Several years ago, Wells Fargo Bank discovered that employees had boosted sales, by opening some 2 million deposit and credit card accounts without customer knowledge or authorization. Over the next few years, the bank fired more than 5,000 employees for misconduct and reimbursed customers $2.6 million in fees that they may have incurred on the bogus accounts.
Conceivably, EPA might claim the CEIP is kosher because it is based on the Clean Air Act, not the 1992 Energy Policy Act. That won't cut it. Section 111 does not contain any of the terminology associated with an early action program ("early," "voluntary," "credit," "allowance," "allocation," "transfer," "award," "participant").
AGW petition by Ranga Myneni: 1 billion signatures left
Tony Blair to earn millions as climate change adviser
The Ross Ice Shelf retreated 15 feet per day from 1900 to 1930. As far as I can tell, New York and LA are still there.
Nigel Lawson has responded to Paul Nurse's wild accusations of cherrypicking , accusing the Royal Society president of lying:
Australias antarctic runway melting | Southern Cross
That refers to the U.N.-sponsored compact among nations to halve the number of the world's poorest people, achieve global primary schooling, reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS and enhance the standing of women, among other goals, by 2015.
Of course, the answer to #1 is "risen", if you consider "pre-1800" to be around 1800 or a couple of hundred years of so before, because we were int he little age age, and there's little doubt we have warmed form that time.
The details of the goal include some highly questionable assertions. From 1880 to 2012, average global temperature increased by 0.85C. As pointed out by the Socit de Calcul Mathmatique, we do not have the ability to calculate average global surface temperatures today, much less in 1880.
We are told that we must repent of our misdeeds, for driving SUVs or (unless
"Consider the Marxist idea of "from each according to his ability, to each according to his needs.' What an incentive for people to minimize their abilities and maximize their needs. Can you imagine a better formula for destroying society?"
Michael Kundu, Board President of Marysville (Washington State, USA) District #25 has written to colleagues to urge them to trash a free science resource that discusses logic, reason and evidence, and the core of science. The Skeptics Handbook has arrived at school board presidents desks around the US.
MOOSE: Besides, you cant tell me Im wrong because Im givin Spunky what he needs. Thats youre own fallacy. A grade-A ad hominem .
But it seems that we don?t live in normal times. Because Polly Higgins, an environmentalist barrister and the initiator of the Planetary Rights campaign, was not only included in The Ecologist?s 2009 list of Top 10 Visionaries, but in 2008 she was even invited to address the United Nations. When Higgins launched a campaign last Friday to have ?ecocide?, the destruction of the natural world, recognised as an international crime, some commentators argued that this confirmed her brilliance and heroism.
The first slide of mine that Abraham criticizes is one in which I show the table of contributions to observed sea-level rise from various sources as published in the IPCC's 2007 report, and draw from it the conclusion that the measured contribution of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets to "global warming" is 6 cm/century, while Al Gore's mawkish sci-fi comedy horror movie predicts 610 cm (20 feet) of imminent sea-level rise.
In honor of the 33rd International Geological Congress being held in Oslo this summer, GEO' 04/08 issue is published in English, so the editorial is legible for people other than the maybe 5 million that speak Norwegian.
At the beginning of the climate conference in Bonn, Germany, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres called on delegates to do what was "politically possible" and make "incremental" progress. By most accounts, the Bonn talks fell short of even these modest goals. "More likely is that the level of ambition for Cancun will be reduced further with no more than a package of agreements negotiated and all the tough stuff put back until next year. Or 2013. Or 2014," John Vidals concludes. That, he says, would be "the nightmare scenario"an outcome that the squabbling in Bonn has made all the more likely. Corbin Hiar, UN Dispatch, 11 August 2010
What a load of BS. It has been cold all month and lots of snow. The albedo of the Greenland ice sheet is very high. These people have got to stop lying at some point.
The climate alarmists may offer lots of models and data but none of them ever correctly predicts the behavior of the climate for longer periods of time than two months. On the other hand, particle physicists use theories that perfectly match the observations. The experimenters are producing hundreds of diverse papers and each of them confirms nontrivial quantitative predictions made by the theories in particle physics. Let me emphasize that there are two ways to obtain each of these results ??? from theory or from the experiment ??? and they just match. Suggestions that the situations in particle physics and climate science are analogous are totally preposterous.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Tamar Community Times
He was kind enough to speak with me at length. He emphasized that working-class voters do not fit neatly on the traditional left-right continuum. They are fiscally conservative, wanting low rates of taxation and wanting government to live within its means, but economically populist, suspicious of trade, outsourcing, and high finance. They are culturally orthodox but morally moderate, in the sense that they don't feel their lives will change much because of how social issues play out. They are patriotic and supportive of the military, but suspicious of foreign adventures.
The global warming movement is reeling from serial revelations of scientific incompetence, outright fraud, bullying and rogue idealogues masquerading as scientists, but Al Gore has addressed none of these inconvenient truths beyond a glib denial that Climategate was a storm in a teacup.
Pessimism about growth often increases in times of economic difficulty.
The document itself consists of a three-page cover letter to Sir John Houghton, head of IPCC Working Group I (Science), from Day Mount, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Acting, Environment and Development, United States Department of State, along with the thirty-page instruction set with line-by-line "suggestions," written by scientist Robert Watson and others.
I have a friend in Omaha, Joe Herring, who is politically active and a writer/speaker/advocate on many issues.
"Germany finishes southern Afghan road without insurgent attack"
The far-fetched nature of these investigations suggests that they are not really intended to uncover legal wrongdoing but to harass. The state of New York wants to subject Exxon to bad publicity and impose on it the costs of producing thousands of pages of documents in response to endless subpoenas. The process is the punishment. That violates the First Amendment.
According to NYSERDA , the average NYS residential electricity rate in 1999 was 13.3 cents per kilowatt hour (kWh). The first NYS wind factories went up in 2000 (Wethersfield & Madison). 20 wind factories later, and the average residential electricity rate in NYS as of February, 2015, is now 19.8 cents per kWh (according to the EIA, as cited by NYSERDA) one of the highest rates in the nation, and nearly a 50% increase since New York State began mindlessly plastering countrysides with redundant generation of industrial wind factories. (Of further interest ??? only 2% of NYSs electricity comes from coal.)
I was beyond shocked, Mr. Berry said, recounting his reaction to seeing himself portrayed as ailing and crippled. I cried at my computer screen for, like, a minute.
IPCC Climate Science Is Fundamentally Wrong: Carbon Footprint is All Wet
If something unusual happens with the composition of the atmosphere, the oxygen isotope ratios can change, Killingsworth said. We see a large deviation in this ratio in minerals deposited around 635 million years ago. This occurred during an extremely odd time in atmospheric history.
In a study published in Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons, Indur Goklany calculated the additional mortality burden of biofuels policies and found that nearly 200,000 people died in 2010 alone, because of efforts to use biofuels to reduce CO2 emissions.
We recommend that if the DGAC insists on including a discussion of greenhouse gas emissions (and thus climate change) in it 2015 Dietary Guidelines, that the current discussion be supplemented, or preferably replaced, with a more accurate and applicable one one that indicates that carbon dioxide has widespread and near-universal positive benefits on the supply of food we eat, and that attempting to limit future climate change through dietary choice is misguided and unproductive. These changes must be made prior to the issuance of the final guidelines.
An emerging El Nino event suggests the best chances for significant heat during the first half of summer
This guy thinks the owl in the dollar bill is just the background pattern overlay artifact.
As Johnston demonstrates from the scientific literature, the complex and chaotic processes underlying these mechanisms, especially as they relate to cloud formation and precipitation, constitute anything but straightforward physics. The issue of feedbacks and climate sensitivity is probably the greatest question facing climate science. But policymakers are left blissfully ignorant of these controversies.
In one paper Professor Kevin Anderson, Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, said the only way to reduce global emissions enough, while allowing the poor nations to continue to grow, is to halt economic growth in the rich world over the next twenty years.
Didn't he fear discovery? "When I had to balance the interests of my own safety, the privacy and career of a few scientists, and the well-being of billions of people living in the coming several decades millions and billions already struggling with malnutrition, sickness, violence, illiteracy, etc. the first two weren't the decisive concern."
That is why the current hypothesis is bonkers, without actual temperature records for the past, we have no real idea what was happening in such short periods of a few decades a la the period the warmists are currently relying on.
Sea Level Debate is Flooded with Misinformation: Research scientist is cool to EPA's global warming claim
Greenhouse gases have warmed the land by approximately one degree Celsius since 1960. That rate is roughly three times faster than the rate of ocean warming. These temperatures have forced wild populations to adaptor to be on the move, continually relocating.
Nevertheless, the satellite data for tropospheric temperatures, which are confirmed by weather balloon observations, fail to show the sort of warming required to support the researchers' conclusions. Wigley and Santer believe that their research indicates that those data are incorrect. "The increase in the height of the tropopause appears to support the data set that shows the troposphere is warming," Wigley told Environmental News Service. (Boston Globe, Aug. 5)
She told the conference about the need to plan for seas with changing currents, more frequent storms, and higher tides which will demand more robust boats, bigger wharves and stronger breakwaters.
U.S. and European Union envoys are seeking more clarity from the United Nations on a slowdown in global warming that climate skeptics have cited as a reason not to panic about environmental changes, leaked documents show.
Working Group I , remember, was supposed to tell us the scientific case for man-made global warming. If our emissions arent driving the climate towards a catastrophe, then we dont need to analyze what happens during the catastrophe we probably wont get. This applies equally to War, Pestilence, Famine, Drought, Floods, Storms, and Shrinking Fish (which, keep in mind, could have led to the ultimate disaster: shrinking fish and chips ).