Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
RICHLAND, Wash. -- Atmospheric scientists trying to pin down how clouds curb the amount of sunlight available to warm the earth have found that it depends on the wavelength of sunlight being measured. This unexpected result will help researchers improve how they portray clouds in climate models.
Newcastle lies approximately 160 kilometres north of Sydney. Newcastle is the seventh largest city in Australia and is the largest city which is not a state or federal capital. It has a population of approximately 300,000. Newcastle was founded on 30th March 1804 as a penal settlement, so has a selection of buildings old by Australian standards, as well as beaches, surf, impressive coastal scenery, bushland and a well-known lake. It is also an important port, especially for the export of coal, of which resource some 70 million tonnes passes through the city annually.
Climate data show us that, while areas near the edge of the Antarctic continent have briefly reached above the melting point of snow and ice, it is rare and only during summer months, for temperatures to exceed the melting point of snow and ice.
No Keystone XL pipeline. On Friday, Nebraska's Supreme Court allowed the pipeline's construction to proceed. But neighboring South Dakota is starting over in its permitting process. South Dakota approved TransCanada's TRP, +2.08% application to build the pipeline in 2010, but the construction permit expired in June 2014. The process in South Dakota could be more time-consuming than in Nebraska.
Europe has found it needs to keep fossil and nuclear plants equal to 90% of its "renewable" power capacityin spinning reserve and burning fuel. Otherwise, factories may have to shut down and stop lights will quit working, not to mention hospital operating rooms. The public thus must build and maintain two power systems, both using up energy but with the "renewable" set far more costly.
The fact of the matter is that climate change impacts are very poorly known, he told BBC News.
The paper also finds a negative trend in precipitable water vapor, as do other global datasets , again the opposite of predictions of AGW theory that warming allegedly from CO2 will increase precipitable water vapor in the atmosphere to allegedly amplify warming by 3-5 times. Is the unexpected decrease in water vapor the cause of the decrease in downwelling IR?
Obviously the climate of the region over the last thousands of yearswas everything but stable. Significant fluctuations occurred and their pattern urgently needs to studied further. Only when the natural pattern and its driving factors are clear will it be possible to determine mans industrial impact after 1850. Currently, however, every change occurring is being attributed to man, which is completely unscientific because of the evidence of strong pre-industrial climate fluctuations.
The $3 billion pledge to developing countries is subject to Congressional appropriations. In a statement from Inhofe's office, he vows to work with his colleagues "to reset the misguided priorities of Washington in the past 6 years." He says: "The President's climate change agenda has only siphoned precious taxpayer dollars away from the real problems facing the American people."
In fact, as seen, the atmospheric humidity is decreasing over time while CO2 levels increase - the exact opposite of all climate model and "consensus" expert predictions.
An innocent reader would presume that a Nature ???News Feature?? reporting on Met Office decadal forecasts would include the current Met Office decadal forecast. However, this proves not to be the case. Tollefson showed an older decadal forecast issued prior to the downward revision of the Met Office decadal forecast to which Whitehouse had drawn attention. Tollefson showed the multi-model mean from Smith et al 2012 (Clim Dyn), which has negligible difference from the 2011 Met Office decadal forecast. Had Tollefson shown the ???decline?? in the current decadal forecast, Nature would not have been able to make the same unequivocal headline.
2. Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?
Senior Counsel Hans Bader explains Obama's strategy.
Funny how skeptics are portrayed in the press as being in the pay of someone. We were the only unpaid people in the room. In fact most skeptic scientists are retired or from different fields, free from the corrupting influence of climate science funding. Many alarmist scientists and bureaucrats would lose their jobs or funding if the belief that carbon emissions were causing global warming died, yet wenot theyare accused of vested interests. Very odd.
What was the Earth's temperature yesterday? Nobody knows. In fact, it's a ridiculous question. Almost every place on Earth today has a different temperature from that of any other location. So, is our planet's temperature rising? Do we even know?
The Court also brushed this aside, lecturing the EPA on the need to make a start at correcting the problem and commanding action. It left the EPA an out in that the agency can decline to list carbon dioxide as an air pollutant only if it has a scientific basis for this choice.
In fact, he has also said some nice words about Barack Obama. Despite Klaus's extremely meagre expectations and despite their diametrically opposite ideologies, Klaus was always immensely pleased and surprised by conversations with Obama.
Its amazing to me when I hear Climate Change skeptics talk about the misinformation from those who believe it is happening, that its primarily caused by man, and that the consequences will be significant. What would be the motivation for so many scientists, the vast majority of scientists, far more educated and intelligent than either of us, to spread misinformation? Do you believe theyre just stupid? More so than you? Is there some economic benefit for them? Do you discount what all scientists say? Also, give me a breakan engineering degree does not in any way qualify you to be a climate expert. I work with a lot of engineers and you dont have to be that bright to get an engineering degree, especially from some no-name university. MIT, maybe, but not the ones you attended.
There is general agreement that other air quality programs, in particular the National Ambient Air Quality Standards Program and the Title IV Acid Rain Program, have had far greater impacts on emissions. As EPA says:
"Mr. Gingrich: Please spare us the explanations for your gullibility and poor political calculations. What "solution' does anyone need to "offer' to the alleged problem Gore presents? Please stop trying to spin your low IQ moment with Pelosi and Gore. It is embarrassing," says Marc Morano, founder of the watchdog news site Climate Depot.
When the best the warmists can come up with is an appeal to authority, their case is lost for good. That's why, just a few days earlier, climate realists gathered in triumph on this side of the pondat a Heartland Institute climate-change conference in Chicago. Eminent scientists presented a wealth of evidence suggesting nature is, in fact, a much more powerful factor affecting the climate than man. That realism suggests the need for moderation when it comes to political action based on climate data.
The incidents also make the recent proposal by the Danish government to generate half the nations power from wind within eight years, up from less than a quarter currently look all the more ambitious.
At some level, this discussion may be just about the accuracy of effective theories we use to describe the phenomena. Pinker chooses the more microscopic, more reductionist viewpoint, as physicists would naturally do. That's the approach to describe the phenomena most accurately. (If Pinker were fully principled in this reductionist struggle, he would surely continue up to string theory instead of mentioning Lee Smolin's crackpot theory of Cosmic Natural Selection although the latter didn't really play a role in Pinker's model of the world.) Some other people may prefer more macroscopic, emergent and therefore less accurate, more social-scientific or humanities-oriented, and more metaphorical descriptions working with greater, more composite building blocks.
Additionally, Southern Hemisphere Sea Ice Area Anomaly has been above the 1979 ??? 2008 Average for the last two years:
Those trends are likely to continue. As former Mexico Foreign Minister Jorge Castaneda explains in his recent book "Manana Forever?" most Mexicans are now in the Wal-Mart middle class or above.
Dennis Avery (cgfi@hughes.net) is senior fellow for climate change issues at The Heartland Institute.
Margot Wallstrom of Sweden has been promoted in the new European Union Commission to head the commission's communications efforts. She has been replaced as Environment Commissioner by Stavros Dimas of Greece.
Agreement signed at Kingston September 21, 2004; entered into force September 21, 2004. With attachments.
modeling world will be able to get away with this much longer
This chart is a real head-scratcher for scientists trying to prove a causal relationship between CO2 and global temperatures. By theory, temperature increases from CO2 should be immediate, though the oceans provide a big thermal sink that to this day is not fully understood. However, from 1880 to 1910, temperatures declined despite a 15ppm increase in CO2. Then, from 1910 to 1940 there was another 15ppm increase in CO2 and temperatures rose about 0.3 degrees. Then, from 1940-1979, CO2 increased by 30 ppm while temperatures declined again. Then, from 1980 to present, CO2 increased by 40 ppm and temperatures rose substantially. By grossly dividing these 125 years into these four periods, we see two long periods totaling 70 years where CO2 increases but temperature declines and two long periods totaling 55 years of both CO2 and temperature increases.
The authors state that heavy metal pollution in agricultural soils is receiving ever more attention, citing Tang (2006) and the IPCC (2007), while noting that China possesses more than 130 km 2 of cadmium (Cd) contaminated soil due to wastewater discharge from mining operations and industrial emissions, citing Xiong et al . (2004) and Yu and Zhou (2009). And knowing of the ability of atmospheric CO 2 enrichment to enhance plant growth and increase the amounts of various substances they extract from the soil, they decided to conduct a study of the potential for this phenomenon to serve as a means of phytoremediation of Cd-contaminated soils .
If the earths climate were really responding the way that climate models project it should, the warmest year on record would be announced about every other year (factoring in the observed level of natural variation in annual average temperatures).
Our ability to quantify the human influence on global climate is currently limited because the expected signal is still emerging from the noise of natural variability, and because there are uncertainties in key factors. These include the magnitude and patterns of long term natural variability 36
WEB CAMERAS INDICATE HIGHWAY 20 ACROSS SHERMAN PASS IS SNOW COVERED THIS MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINOR...BUT THE LATE SEASON ACCUMULATION WILL PRODUCE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS ON SLIPPERY ROADS FOR TRAVELERS ACROSS SHERMAN PASS TODAY.
Even this new, drastically-reduced estimate may well be excessive. The monthly Global Warming Prediction Index (Fig. 6), now adjusted to show the lower IPCC projections, still shows the prediction running hot compared with observed reality.
It would seem the Sierra Club and the American Lung Association have both shilled for the gas companies they claim to loathe. This hypocrisy may explain why the Sierra Club disavowed its relationship with Chesapeake Energy after Time published its expos.
It says damage to the marine food chain will result from the increasing acidity of the oceans, but the oceans are pronouncedly alkaline and, in any event, estuarial studies show calcifying organisms such as corals thriving even along coasts where rainwater that is pronouncedly acid pours into the sea. The corals survived a 1000-year period 55 million years ago when the entire ocean actually became acid. But the Pope doesnt care.
Prior to the media and climate panel, the organizers put out a call for written questions. I sent in several questions. They were not answered by the panel, nor do I expect that the answers to any of them would have been anything more than obfuscation. But, for the record, here they are. If anyone has a sensible response to any of them, I'd love to hear it.
In a message dated 9/20/2007 4:06:58 AM Pacific Daylight Time,
In a review article published in the Journal of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science , Rattan Lal of the Carbon Management and Sequestration Center of Ohio State University (USA) introduces the subject of his concern by writing that "the world is faced with the trilemma of climate change, food insecurity, and energy demand," because (1) "there still are more than one billion food-insecure people in the world (FAO, 2009a,b)," (2) "the world food supply will have to be doubled between 2005 and 2050 (Borlaug, 2009) because of the increase in population and change in dietary preferences," and (3) "the world energy demand is also increasing rapidly and is projected to increase by 84% by 2050 compared with 2005." And what makes the problem even worse is the fact that in an attempt to meet the anticipated increase in the global demand for energy, "the emphasis on biofuels is strongly impacting the availability of grains for food and soil resources for grain production."
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Marlo Lewis on how the research is stacking up:
Guest post by Peter Pavlsek, Variable Variability, Aug 11, 2015
By the way, string theorist Leonhard Euler would celebrate the 306th birthday today.
Jason Box of Denmark is todays featured climate fraudster, as he is one of the principals pushing the Greenland melting scam. Jason claims that 2015 was a big melt summer in Greenland
Whats interesting is that if you leave Kelburn out of the equation, Thorndon in 1910 is not far below Airport 2010. Perhaps that gave NIWA some confidence that the two locations were equivalent, but Im betting Thorndon a hundred years ago was very different from an international airport now.
Statistically there has been no change in the average annual temperature of the globe since 1997 meaning that the standstill is now 16 years. The latest five-year average of Hadcrut3 and Hadcrut4 data shows a decline for the first time. Can anyone now have any doubt that the recent warming standstill is a real event of crucial climatic importance? ???David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 24 January 2013
All along, CEI has warned the gas industry that it was playing directly into the hands of environmental special interests, for whom all hydrocarbonsnot just coalare considered dirty. Its an ancient strategy: Divide and conquer. Today, its the greens and gas taking down coal; tomorrow, it will be the greens taking down gas.
It was during the conclusion of Lord Monckton's remarks Global Warming: The Trojan that Menaces Global Freedom when not a dry eye was left in the room. In a dramatic presentation, Monckton quoted Lincoln's Gettysburg Address. Not only did Lord Monckton tear up, but so did his attentive and enraptured audience, as Monckton passionately intoned its final words: ". . .that this nation, under God, shall have a new birth of freedom and that government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the earth."
is about +1.5 deg C above the 1961-90 average
Part 1: Al Gore's movie, "An Inconvenient Truth,' Debated on its 10th Anniversary at Heartland
We have even more dramatic evidence of creatures moving to stay at the right temperatures from the city of York, England. Excavations under the city find that the nettle ground bug was common in York during the Roman occupation in the first century, and during the Medieval Warming. In between those warm times, it has typically been found in the much-warmer south of England.
Kullman notes that the rapidity with which the observed ecosystem transformations have occurred "contrasts with earlier assumptions and theoretical generalizations, stressing significant time-lags or inertial adaptations to changed climatic conditions." Indeed, his results demonstrate the tremendous capacity for earth's vegetation to rapidly respond to climate change in dramatic ways that need not result in species extinctions, but that can lead to huge increases in ecosystem species richness, which is typically considered to be a desirable property of vegetative assemblages. References
2. Although there was a significant number (84) of violent tornadoes in 2011 (which generated responses like this in the Washington Post that claimed a link to climate change), there were actually more violent tornadoes in both 1957 (99) and 1965 (98).
Typhoon Thelma, October 1991. Thelma was one of the most devastating tropical systems to affect the Philippines this century. Reports indicated that 6000 people died by catastrophic events including dam failure landslides and extensive flash flooding. The death toll exceeded that of the Mt. Pinatubo eruption. The highest casualties occurred on Leyte Island where widespread logging in recent years had stripped the hills above the port city bare of vegetation.
Today we gather to discuss climate change. We will be privileged to hear from venerable leading scientists and experts. I am confident that anyone listening to these experts with an open mind, anyone exmaning the mountains of scientific data and evidence surrounding this issue will conclude that no climate treaty should be signed in Copenhagen this December!
David Parker, at the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Berkshire, says ultimately, British children could have only virtual experience of snow. Via the internet, they might wonder at polar scenes or eventually "feel" virtual cold.
Santer17??s decision to treat this effect as ???weather noise?? that averages out over all model runs (or all possible realizations of earth weather between forced by these two specific volcanos ) will tend to make their method of testing hypotheses about model means too strict : Assuming the model for the noise is correctly chosen (i.e., the noise is AR1), assuming all deviations from a linear trend are ???noise?? when a large portion is ???signal??, will tend make it too difficult to reject models that are wrong .
Quote of the week Andrew Bolt nails Fakegate
So, contrary to the Court's expectation, the Endangerment Rule teed up several "extreme measures": 1) an orders-of-magnitude increase in the number of firms subject to Clean Air Act permitting programs; 2) the application of complex and costly permitting requirements to small non-industrial facilities, contrary to Congressional intent; 3) an overloaded permitting system that blocks construction activity throughout the land; 4) a multi-billion dollar expansion of environmental agencies that State governments can ill-afford, or alternatively, 5) EPA amendment ("tailoring") of ambiguous statutory language a blatant exercise of legislative power.
This indisputable fact is the best evidence that atmospheric global warming is not having a measurable effect on Antarcticas ice sheets and glaciers, and that the western portion of the continent is losing mass solely from powerful geothermal processes.
This is exactly what happened in the other global warming fantasy, The Day After Tomorrow (left). On the Right, we can see the Whitehouse being smashed by aliens. This kind image is used to inform us that the threat is to the order of the world. Our values, laws, institutions, organisations, and security are all threatened by whatever it is the science-fictionalist is writing about.
These estimates are also always in flux. For example, in 1980, the United States was thought to have roughly 30 billion barrels of oil reserves. Over the subsequent 30 years, the U.S. produced nearly 80 billion barrels.
There is no historical trend in either the frequency or intensity of hurricanes, as Roger Pielke Jr. has pointed out in academic publications. And yet global warming has been blamed for specific storms, such as Hurricane Katrina, in a manner that is frankly antithetical to the principles of science.
Study after study shows no increase in extreme weather events over the past century. Or even in the last decade. That changed in the last five years when activists realized you cant raise money without a good dose of fear.
UPDATE : In addition, a recent paper published in the Journal of Glaciology finds that ice accumulation of the interior of Greenland has increased 10% over the past 52 years, offsetting runoff from some outlet glaciers along the periphery. According to the authors, "this implies that the increased water vapor capacity of warmer air is increasing accumulation in the interior of Greenland."
I am on the Friends of the Earth (FOE) email list and receive a steady stream of theirs and the Sierra Club's lies about the environment. A recent FOE mailing stating that, "Devastation from climate change has become all too frequent."
Finally, even the EPA rejects the proposition that PSD/BACT automatically applies to ?any? air pollutant emitted in quantities meeting the ?major? source thresholds.
Mr. Monckton said: The solar physicists you might take Scafetta and West, say, in 2008, they attribute 69% of all the recent global warming to the sun.
Of course, the authors ignore the fact that there has been no warming for at least a decade - while anthropogenic greenhouse gases have been increasing more rapidly. According to Philip Jones, the IPCC's guru on Global Temperatures, there hasn't been any significant global warming for 17 years!
There is some merit to these comments. Our feckless Congress renewed renewable energy tax credits that subsidize implementation of EPA's so-called "Clean Power" Plan, which is the largest single component of Obama's emission-reduction pledge to the UN. It is also the case that what EPA has adopted via notice-and-comment rulemakings cannot be undone by the stroke of a presidential pen.
Feldstein earlier noted that President "Obama's biggest proposed tax increase is the cap-and-trade system of requiring businesses to buy carbon dioxide emission permits. . .CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf testified before the Senate Finance Committee on May 7 that the cap-and-trade price increases . . . would cost the average household roughly $1,600 a year, ranging from $700 in the lowest-income quintile to $2,200 in the highest-income quintile."
Comparing this with this average variance between the raw data and the GISS Homogenised shows the closer fit if the adjustments to the variance. Please note the difference in scale on Chart 6 from the above!
Secondly, notwithstanding my past advocacy of Logo gauge initialization of Patriot balls, it isimplausible that thetwo balls in the 0 psi group were initialized pregame with the Logo Gauge, since their implied temperature would be too warm. (They would move well above the corridor in the right panel.) If these two ballswere initialized with the Non-Logo gauge and not deflated, they fit nicely. So is there any evidence or record of two Patriot balls being treated differently? How about this:
I have learned much from my friends who overlook my disabilities, like Tony Lupo of Missouri and Roy Spencer of Alabama.
The United States currently has over 40,000 turbines, up to 570 feet tall and 3.0 megawatts in nameplate output. Unpredictable winds mean they generate electricity at 15-20% of this rated capacity. The rest of the time mostly fossil fuel generators do the work. That means we need 5 to 15 times more steel, concrete, copper and other raw materials, to build huge wind facilities, transmission lines to far-off urban centers, and backup generators than if we simply built the backups near cities and forgot about the turbines.