Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Geopolitical reasons: When the wind tax credit was put into place in 1992, it was thought that the U.S. needed to be self-sufficient in energy so that the country was not at the economic or geopolitical mercy of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Here we go again. Global warming activists and some warmist scientists are linking the massive blizzard to man-made global warming.
Get that my fellow Skeptics? CO2 causes Global Cooling. This is the high ground this is the ground from which we should be fighting, not in the swamps of positive and negative feed backs.
Al proclaimed to his sheeple that they had a crucial part to play in the Waxman-Malarkey vote. To be more accurate they will have more to do after its passage, like getting a 2nd job to pay for the increased taxes on their first job. Until both jobs only exist in China.
At Monday's opening, South Africa's International Relations Minister Maite Nkoana-Mashabane, president of the conference, rolled out the usual boilerplate. She told the delegates that she was hoping for "a balanced, fair, and credible outcome, with multilateralism, environmental integrity, fairness, and common, but differential responsibility."
No other country in the world has an energy policy so utterly mad and unworkable. Yet all our major political parties are equally locked into the same self-deceiving bubble of unreality. Any final hope that we might be saved from this absurdly unnecessary disaster seemed last week to vanish, even as the ice and the snow closed in.
We have two new entries to the long (and growing) list of papers appearing the in recent scientific literature that argue that the earths climate sensitivitythe ultimate rise in the earths average surface temperature from a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide contentis close to 2C, or near the low end of the range of possible values presented by the U.N.s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). With a low-end warming comes low-end impacts and an overall lack of urgency for federal rules and regulations (such as those outlined in the Presidents Climate Action Plan) to limit carbon dioxide emissions and limit our energy choices.
First of all, let's briefly review just a few real facts:
Extreme Assumptions Needed for Declining Discount Rates
100% of the WG2 chapters included at least 1 WWF affiliated scientist
The full text of this book is available here as an Adobe Acrobat PDF.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Adjunct Fellow Steven Milloy on how misplaced concerns over tiny doses of radiation have created a $1 trillion mistake.
Barbara Boxer wants the government to redistribute another 6,700 billion dollars
The best fit for each instrument is illustrated; as are all the data. Currently, GISS gives the least negative trend; HadCrut gives the most negative trend. Other instruments provide intermediate results with UHA MSU giving results closest to the mean off individual instruments.
Second climate status report on the Baltic Sea Region: Medieval Warm Period was Half A Degree Warmer Than Today
Figure 6: Sea level rise around Tasmania over the last 200 years. Sea level rise slowed down during the second half of the 20th century. Source of diagram: Gehrels et al. (2012) .
Let me show the details. Here are plots of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies (differences from normal) for four critical zones in the topical Pacific. They are warming, with many of them being the warmest over the past year. The usual definition for El Nino calls for a warm anomaly in the Nino 3.4 area of at least .5C for three consecutive months. We got that now.
Climate Change, Email Privacy, and the CEI Podcast
"Opinion is now becoming an accurate reflection of reality," said Dr. Hayward. "We're gratified that the Index, now in its tenth edition, has helped contribute to this turnaround."
The three Indian researchers conclude that " C. ciliaris grown in elevated CO 2 throughout the crop season may produce more fodder in terms of green biomass," which is a colossal understatement, to say the least; especially when a 240-ppm increase in the air's CO 2 concentration leads to a 193% increase in dry matter production (which translates into a 242% increase in dry matter productivity for the more standard 300-ppm increase in CO 2 by which we index worldwide study results in our Plant Growth Databases . Surely, such a response will be an enormous boon to the many people living in the arid and semi-arid tropics in the years and decades to come, as the air's CO 2 content continues its upward climb. Reviewed 8 August 2007
Tom Nelson finds the email that should bury the BBC and any pretense that it isn't hopelessly biased in favor of global warming.
Update: As expected, Sprite continued to malfunction after the repairs and it was abandoned on day 44 . Hadow conceded that Mother Nature always has the final say.
It seems, then, we are forced to believe in a real Right and Wrong .
No, Greenpeace activists finally began to call out to Gabriel that he would quit, vnde the energy minister to the audience in the hall with the words:
Did Professor Jones actually read, let alone strove to understand Montford and Newberys submission? That doesnt look likely. By the way, they were not granted a correction. The fact that they are not Lords of the Land has obviously nothing to do with that.
Comment:In other words, the agency is stilltrying tofigure out how totweak the NSPS in light of detailed legal criticism so thattherulestillputs the kibosh on new coal generation without being tossed out in court.
Party. The study is based on an impressive array of polling and meteorological data, with careful statistical analysis.
If you input 1996-2010, the temperature is flat-lined, so the cooling started at least in 1997 in the U.S., and almost certainly everywhere else as well. And, the later you put the end date, the more pronounced is the downward, cooling slant of the temperature line.
The case for this demand is hollow. It rests, in part, on the false proposition that developing countries have added almost nothing to current atmospheric GHG stocks. The reality is quite different. The group of currently poor countries and the group of currently rich countries have each placed about the same amount of GHGs in the atmosphere.
According to Gray is the predominant reason for variations in the tornadoes' upptrdande to be in havsstrmmarnas changes on a flerrig time scale. The thermohaline circulation affects sea surface temperature, which has decisive importance for the Hurricanes arises.
4.	Our research has raised issues with the robustness of the adjustments that are used to homogenize? surface temperature data. This includes adjustments made due to the time of observation, a change of instrument, the change in location, and from urbanization. Pielke Sr., R.A., T. Stohlgren, L. Schell, W. Parton, N. Doesken, K. Redmond, J. Moeny, T. McKee, and T.G.F. Kittel, 2002: Problems in evaluating regional and local trends in temperature: An example from eastern Colorado
This renewed production also reduced oil imports even as increasing ethanol mandates and a persistent drought have forced the U.S. to import ethanol from Brazil. So now we're importing oil and ethanol!
There is a renewed debate in high places over whether university endowments should divest themselves of their stock holdings in fossil fuel companies. Thus far, most universitiesnotably Harvard, Yale and Brownhave opposed the demand for divestment. Others, like Stanford, have taken steps to reduce their holdings in coal companies, but not other fossil fuels, which like natural gas, pose far less danger to the environment. The University of California system announced that it was still on the fence regarding this key issue.
By F. Bender, H. Rodhe, R. J. Charlson, A. M. L. Ekman and N. Loeb.
There are several peaks in the graph. Since 1998 the temperature has neither risen nor fallen, because last year was tied with 1998 for top temperature. Its the same now as it was 12 years ago!
Torinesi et al . report that, on average over the last 20 years, "the cumulated product of the surface area affected by melting and the duration of the melting event, called cumulative melting surface ... has decreased by 1.8% 1% per year, a result that is consistent with a mean January cooling of the continent recently identified from infrared satellite data." Putting this finding in perspective, they note that "the surface affected by melt decreases over time, from about 1.6 x 10 6 km 2 at the beginning to about 1.0 x 10 6 km 2 at the end of the period (i.e., from 11.4% to 7.2% of the total continental surface)." In addition, they say that "no region shows any significant increase, except possibly the peninsula for the mean melt duration." What it means
Global Warming Hoax Weekly Round-Up, April 8th 2010 The Daily Bayonet
Source: Richard Tol, 2012, Global climate talks: If at the 17th you dont succeed
Missing Ocean Heat Study Reported On By Climate Wire Response From Josh Willis
The allegedly sustainable energy sources championed by the Presidentare not self-sustaining. The main reason isthat theyare inferior to fossil fuels in terms of energy density ( bang for buck ) and in the case of wind and solar power reliability and dispatchability .
Addressing Criticisms of the UAH Temperature Dataset at 1/3 Century
US Tornado Count Plummeting to Record Low Levels Three Consecutive Years
The academic at the centre of the ?Climategate? affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble ?keeping track? of the information.
One can't unambiguously experimentally disprove the existence of a wormhole
Aussies refuse to dump beer fridges for sake of global warming Putting forth a list of "practical actions for NT households,'' the Government urges residents "retire the second fridge or freezer''. According to a Power and Water Corporation brochure, Territorians can save up to 200 dollars a year by getting rid of their beer fridge. However, for Chief Minister Paul Henderson , it is a case of "do as I say, not as I do'." " I've got a beer fridge -- as many Territorians do -- and I'm keeping it ,'' the Northern Territory News quoted him, as saying.
BECAUSE IT IS NOT POSSIBLE FOR BACK RADIATION FROM A COLDER ATMOSPHERE TO HEAT UP A WARMER EARTHTHATS WHY!
PART IV: POLITICAL ECONOMY OF CLIMATE POLICY
If current patterns continue for the next six weeks, a lot of 1-2 ice will become MYI in mid-September, and we will once again see an increase in MYI as we have every year since 2008. It appears that there may be a large increase in 3+ year old ice.
for the explanation of current global temperatures as in Fig 2.23. since
If the science were as certain as climate activists pretend, then there would be precisely one climate model, and it would be in agreement with measured data. As it happens, climate modelers have constructed literally dozens of climate models. What they all have in common is a failure to represent reality, and a failure to agree with the other models. As the models have increasingly diverged from the data, the climate clique have nevertheless grown increasingly confidentfrom cocky in 2001 (66% certainty in IPCCs Third Assessment Report) to downright arrogant in 2013 (95% certainty in the Fifth Assessment Report).
A pollutant must be something that is not only emitted, but something that renders the air impure, which can hardly be said of carbon dioxide.
Model.ar1 = mle2(ar1.lik, start = list(b=.01),data=list(y=x,t=Year) );
Not surprisingly, the USDA concluded that commercial use would have no significant environmental impacts. Departmental scientists prepared an Environmental Assessment for both varieties explaining their rationale, and the USDA approved them. That was not enough, however, for two federal judges in San Francisco who ruled that the Environmental Assessments were legally insufficient and revoked both approvals. Both decisions have proven to be a tremendous headache for farmers and seed breeders.
To enter into force, at least 55 nations representing 55 percent of the industrial world's 1990 emissions must ratify the agreement. The United States is the pivotal actor. If the U.S. does not ratify, neither Japan nor the European Union will do so. In July 1997, the U.S. Senate passed, 95-0, a resolution sponsored by Senators Robert Byrd (D-WV) and Chuck Hagel (R-NE), opposing any agreement that exempts developing countries from emission limits. The Protocol does so exempt such countries. To rescue the treaty, Clinton-Gore negotiators have been urging developing countries to make "voluntary commitments" to limit their emissions. At COP-4, Argentina and Kazakhstan pledged to limit their emissions, but all of the "key" developing countries (China, India, Brazil, Mexico, and South Korea) refused to do so.
The IPCC structure was designed to ensure one outcome warming due to human CO2. Working Group I of the IPCC is limited by definition and terms of reference to that result. They focus almost exclusively on human CO2 and assume an increase in CO2 causes a temperature increase. Their computer models are so programmed, which predetermines the outcome; despite all records showing the opposite relationship. As a result all their projections are wrong. They project warming, but the world cools.
"Solar panels have always been expensive. As a result, only a small number of people have decided that the potential energy savings are worth the initial cost of buying and installing them.
Western countries also need to remove obstacles such as IPRs to promote, facilitate and finance the transfer of technologies and know-how to developing countries in advance of any future climate deal;
Although we usually don't associate energy with morality, Alex Epstein has. His book, The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels ($27.95, Portfolio, an imprint of the Penguin Group), is the finest case for the role coal, oil and natural gas has played in our lives and the positive, emancipating impact they have had on humanity. Everyone should read it.
"U.S. single-family home prices fell for a fifth straight month in November and could plumb new lows soon, a closely watched survey showed on Tuesday."
On the heels of that Economist story came a piece at the Huffington Post byDaniel Souweine, the campaign director for Forecast The Facts a recently cooked-up astroturf outfit that has engaged in a social media and letter-writing campaign against some of Heartlands corporate donors.
Teira et al .'s final words on the implications of their findings are that the responses of both marine bacterial families "would tend to increase the pH of seawater, acting as a negative feedback between elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentrations and ocean acidification." And, of course, they also reveal the identities of two more sets of marine organisms that are in no way threatened by the seawater pH changes induced by the historical and still-ongoing rise in the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration.
Although the four data sets employed in this study all show short-term accelerations in sea level rise near the end of the 20th century, the century as a whole was one of decelerating sea level rise, which is not exactly in harmony with the climate-alarmist contention that the 20th century experienced a warming that rose at a rate and to a height that were both unprecedented over the past millennium or more. However, the Australasian records do harmonize with those of the United States -- and much of the rest of the world -- as demonstrated by the recent analysis of Houston and Dean (2011), where slight decelerations also rule the century.
Bathurst News, sport and weather | Western Advocate
IPCC Second Report (1995), Summary for Policy Makers, p.23. Sea levels will rise by 95cm by the year 2100 (105 years-times). This is 9.0mm per year. Error to date is 532%
More from the Foreign and Commonwealth Office activism files. This is a comment from Hannah Wood , the FCO climate officer last seen showing "green" movies to the natives in her posting in Tanzania. In this episode, she reports on a visit by Met Office staff:
The extra heat found for Hadcrut US stations in comparison with both Hansen et al. 1999 and the results from the present paper amounts to approx. 0.42 K since the 1930ies. Far most of the Hadcrut temperature stations (77 out of 87 stations) are available unadjusted from GHCN, and thus it was possible to estimate that only approx. 0.12 K of the extra roughly 0.42 K heat trend in Hadcrut US temperature trend originates from adjustments. The remaining roughly 0.3 K of extra heat trend for Hadcrut US temperature stations seems to originate from the choice of temperature stations from GHCN included in the Hadcrut USA subset.
Next to the left is a wee and poo plant, also tends to be warm stuff. I expect the sludge is tankered into the outer estuary for disposal. (used to be the case)
Graham Beduze is a Louisiana native and member of CFACT's crack student organizing staff. I was with him at our recent "Eco-Summit" in Minnesota.
Historically, there have been many tornado outbreaks that occurred well before climate change was on anyone??s radar. Here??s a few:
The wonderful properties of water. People are a lot water. Water can be ice and liquid and vapor and it produces big time energy absorption and release with changing states. Water vapor is the most important Green house Gas, at 20 % of the green house gas presence and effect. And modelers cant model it? You cant make these things up.
In summary, the GMT data for the last 130 years does not show any evidence of accelerated warming due to human emission of CO2. This is because the cyclic cooling & warming swing of 0.5 deg C shown in Figure 2 is obviously natural; and the persistent global warming of 0.06 deg C per decade is also natural, because it existed before mid-20th century, before widespread use of fossil fuels, as it is this warming that caused the 1940s GMT peak value to be greater than that of the 1880s by 0.36 deg C (=0.06 deg C/decade x 6 decade). Interestingly, the GMT peak value for the 2000s is also greater than that of the 1940s by the same 0.36 deg C.
There are huge uncertainties in the model outputs which are recognized and unmeasured. They are so large that adjustment of model parameters can give model results which fit almost any climate, including one with no warming, and one that cools.
"Historically, humans everywhere have interacted with and `disturbed' forests In purely economic terms, the actual stock of forestlands exceeded the stock desired by humanity, while the actual stock of farmland was less than desired. Thus there were incentives for adjusting those stocks by converting forestlands into more highly desired agricultural lands. This adjustment does not imply that the conversion trend will continue until all the forests are gone, however.
Less ice in the Antarctic, it is mans fault for burning fuels
11 Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui, Unrestricted Warfare, 1999; Thomas Hammes, The Sling and the Stone: War in the 21st Century, 2004.
Toxic Releases have declined since 1988, a sign of increasing efficiency and the "de-materialization" of our economy.
29 Aug 2012 The arctic is melting, the 3rd runway remains on the agenda and the .... In the meantime, Australia will probably globally offset those German ...
Of course sea level is going to rise. It has been rising for 20,000 years mostof that time faster than now. Sea level will stop rising when we enter the next ice age.
This past summer was one of the coolest on record in the US. There is no drought in the midwest, and only a complete imbecile would believe that cold is caused by heat.
As a 20-year veteran of the environmentalists' war against high-yield farming, I have become suspicious of "progressive" motives. The food yields from organic fields are only about half as high as those from high-yield farming. The first impact of an organic-only world would be massive famine. The second impact, says Rockefeller University, would be hungry people seeking more food by plowing down wildlife habitat equal to twice the land area of South America! Yet the very people who claim to be treasuring the wildlife and "defending" the poorest humans keep demanding organic-only farming.
Finally, it is doubtful whether the acid rain program can be credited with SO2 reductions. Demographic changes in electricity demand, according to one researcher, may have lead to reductions even in the absence of the acid rain program. Others have pointed out that railroad deregulation greatly reduced the costs of using low sulfur coal, saving money for the electric utilities while reducing SO2 emissions. The On Point policy brief can be found at www.cei.org.
T(k) = F(k)(1 exp(-1/ ) + T(k-1) * exp(-1 / )
You might think the blogs in your usual science circle are not Education, Topical, Group, Secret, or Business blogs, but when you look at the past finalists (eg for Education: Science is beauty , or AMS Graduate Student ) you will see that science blogs easily fit. In terms of science education, skeptical bloggers are doing more for the history and philosophy of science, the scientific method, statistics, rhetoric, and paleohistory than any national curriculum. Are skeptics blogs well known and promoted by the media, or are they all a best-kept secret? Which skeptic blogs started in 2014 and are new?
Where is the test of the hypothesis that sulfates are indeed responsible for the lack of warming? In this paper, it?s simply ?modeled-in? as it fits the data well. That?s correlation, not causation.
We can be sure, I think, that environmentalism studiously avoids a focus of attention on its cause not because speculative action can simply be brushed aside as being (interchangeably) outrageously immoral or unacceptably risky as is breathlessly claimed but because the application of such a required and reciprocal level of insight would result in the environmentalist sabotaging his own project.
Now former Vice President Al Gore has been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for his work on global warming. If he wins that and the Academy Award for his documentary based on his Power Point presentation, just think what his resume will look like. Who knows he may run for president.
Each dispute added contentious pages to the climate text under discussion, which must now be whittled back down in the Tianjin talks in October. This "tit for tat" diplomacy, as the European Union's co-lead negotiator Artur Runge-Metzger described it, caused the working draft to double in size from 17 to 34 pages.
Yet the U.S. federal government essentially subsidizes electric-car buyers with up to $7,500. In addition, more than $5.5 billion in federal grants and loans go directly to battery and electric-car manufacturers like California-based Fisker Automotive and Tesla Motors . This is a very poor deal for taxpayers.
Climatologist Dr. Pat Michaels Mocks Heat Causing Cold Claims: "It is the core problem of climatology attempting to explain everything even when everything becomes contradictory'
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The description President George H.W. Bush applied to his 1988 election opponent, Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis, also applies to Obama: "He sees America as another pleasant country on the U.N. roll call, somewhere between Albania and Zimbabwe."
> >> Norwich NR4 7TJ
The mere presence of environmental activists undermines the integrity of scientific endeavours. Yet the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has long embraced Greenpeace personnel. Read the rest here . This blog has relocated . You can sign up to receive an e-mail each time a new post is added under the "Email subscription" bar a little below the photo.NoFrakkingConsensus now has a Facebook page. .
George Osborne spent an hour in front of the 1922 this evening. 40 Tory MPs took the opportunity to promote their own Budget ideas to him. A big theme was the cost of living with three MPs including Rob Halfon pushing the Chancellor on fuel duty. Interestingly, the chairman of the Treasury Select Committee Andrew Tyrie argued that the Budget should reduce the cost of energy by scrapping various green levies. Im told Osborne was extremely receptive to this idea. --James Forsyth, The Spectator, 27 February 2013