Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This, surely, was the low point in the Bush administration's handling of this subject. While rejecting the Kyoto Protocol and refusing to impose mandatory limits on greenhouse gas emissions from power plants were more controversial, even critics would admit that those actions were consistent expressions of administration policyunderstandable, if debatable. With this latest turn of events, however, the president's goal of crafting a new approach to climate change seems to have succumbed to internal divisions so deep that the administration became literally unable to say anything about an issue that all partiesregardless of where they stand in the debaterecognize as one of the leading global environmental issues. Even the president's most ardent supporters must wonder why the administration cannot even discuss this topic in its report on the state of the environment.
That the sun keeps us warm (I was getting desperate) and that our temperature is affected by our distance to the sun.
The principle is simple: Any country that asks you to trust them under a UN climate treaty without verification is lying. It's a pity President Obama didn't understand that when he pledged to throttle down American energy production today in exchange for unverifiable pledges by China to start worrying about its emissions in 2030.
Just to be sure, having no defining ideology or motivation (except for finding the truth, whatever it is) is a rudimentary prerequisite for any community to be called a scientific community. By the completely unmasked sentence, Mr Boslough makes it very clear that he considers it to be normal for a community in a scientific (?) discipline to be driven by the same ideology or by the same motivation and to guarantee "consensus about the science" for everyone, too.
Undaunted, he formed his own "counter-conference" in Copenhagen, concurrent to the "main event," with 60 climate experts.
The first effort is to remove the incentives that lead people to live in climatically fragile areas, that is to say, at the water's edge, in drought-prone locations, in flood-prone locations, and so on. At present, our government, and other governments, serve as the insurer of last resort. When people who live at water's edge or in a flood plain are hit by storms or floods, governments intervene not only to rescue them and their property if possible, but then provide rebuilding funds to let the people build right back where they are at risk. The United States is currently doing this in New Orleans, where people are re-building in an area that is still at risk from storm surges and levee failure.
Democratic attorneys general mounted a dogged defense Tuesday of their effort to prosecute climate skeptics amid signs that the 4-month-old campaign is deteriorating into a legal and public relations flop.
Regarding the Economics of Environmentalism, A Response to CAP's Brad Johnson
An unexpectedly precisely suggested mass: \(8.6\GeV\); your humble correspondent totally persuaded by the graph
The most important feedback was loss of polar sea ice, which was theorized to amplify global warming. This hasnt happened. In fact the amount of sea ice on Earth may challenge record levels later this year.
CU lecture on solar activity and climate change
Danish consumers already pay more than the European average for their power, and the Danish Parliament still must approve the target amid concerns that realizing the plan would be expensive and could damage competitiveness.
Need to Research Geoengineering as a Possible Means of Adaptation
Even according the IPCCs faulty models, if Australia stopped all emissions of carbon dioxide from tomorrow, the total effect on the temperature in 2050 would be to theoretically lower it by 0.0154 C.
They have some nice photos, maps, et al of Durrington Walls too.
Not a lot of marine critters have been able to keep up with that, says paper co-author John Bruno, a marine ecologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Being stuck in a warming environment can cause reductions in the growth, reproduction and survival of ecologically and economically important ocean life such as fish, corals and sea birds.
Connie Hedegaard, the EU Climate Minister, recently told the London Telegraph, "Say that 30 years from now, science came back and says, "Wow, we were mistaken then, now we have some new information so we think it is something else.' In a world with 9 billion people, even 10 billion at the middle of this century, where literally billions of global citizens will still have to get out of poverty and enter the consuming middle classes, don't you think that anyway it makes a lot of sense to get more energy and resource efficient?"
Speaking at a February 16 press conference in a U.S. Embassy-run American Center held at a shopping mall in Jakarta, Indonesia, Kerry described climate change as the world's "most fearsome weapon of mass destruction." He also referred to those who don't subscribe to that hell-in-a-hand basket global warming apocalypse as "Flat-Earthers."
According to that index, in 2002 the influence of greenhouse gases on surface temperatures was 1.166 of that in 1990. In 2013 the index is 1.338. This represents an increase in the warming index of 0.172, or 15% during a period in which the atmosphere has not warmed. In 1997 the index was 1.089. Thus, in 2013 the index was 0.249 larger than in 1997, or the calculated greenhouse effect was 23% greater than in 1997 over a period in which the surface has not warmed!
The fruit-seller Mohamed Bouazizi, whose self-immolation set off the Tunisian uprising that began the Arab Spring of 2011, did so "not because he was jobless," a demonstrator in Tunis told an American reporter, but "because he went to talk to the responsible for his problem and he was beaten it was about the government." In Benghazi, the Libyan revolt started with the crowd chanting, "The people want an end to corruption!" In Egypt, the crowds were "all about the self-empowerment of a long-repressed people no longer willing to be afraid, no longer willing to be deprived of their freedom, and no longer willing to be humiliated by their own leaders," New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman reported from Cairo this February. He could have been reporting from Moscow in 1991.
This surprised those of us who remember the abnormally cold winter of 2009, followed in 2010 by the coldest December since records began.
I agree w/ Susan that we should try to put more in the bullet about
Al Gore's "Live Earth" concert series will host a previously cancelled performance this weekend in Washington, D.C.
Denmark pays neighbors to take excess wind energy
In 1974, they blamed drought and flooding on global cooling. Now they blame drought and flooding on global warming.
In the past Russia needed liberty to live ; it must now have it in order to survive. The challenge of our times is an overhaul of the system of values, the forging of new consciousness. We cannot build a new country with the old thinking. The best investment is Liberty and the Rule of Law. And respect for man's Dignity.
Obama Administration Disregards Congress, Gives $500 Million to U.N. Climate Fund
Yes, there can be development and environmental protection. Sure many parts of the rainforest have soils that are not best for agriculture. But soil scientist Dr. Edward Krug contends rainforest soil is not "unique" and is "very similar to that of the southeastern U.S." which may not offer optimal conditions but has proven value for many crops.
It is significantly colder globally, colder even than the significant drop to -0.046C seen in January 2008.
Research suggests climate change target not safe
Nevertheless, a July 22 Washington Post feature breathlessly announced: "Inaction on climate change would cause billions, major EPA study finds." The article quoted EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy saying: "The results are quite startling and very clear. Left unchecked, climate change affects our health, infrastructure, and outdoors we love. But more importantly the report shows that global action on climate will save lives."
What Roy Spencer found was confirmation for the twentieth time that the models are wrong about this their major, most important feedback.
The fact that The Age responded in such a way is, I suggest, obvious evidence of a clear editorial agenda at work to support the alarmist viewpoint, and to dismiss anything which challenges it.
Do you, dear readers, remember during the George W. Bush administration that "dissent is the highest form of patriotism"? I do. That was then; the politicized climate debate is now.
Approximately 300 people including scientists, engineers, and other experts, about half with doctorate degrees, have petitioned U.S. House Science Committee Chairman Lamar Smith (R-TX) to carefully investigate suspiciously overheated climate temperature book-cooking by the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
End government-imposed threats to coal exports. Coal export terminals should go through the proper environmental review and permitting stage, but opponents of coal production want the Army Corps of Engineers to consider a cumulative, programmatic environmental impact statement (EIS). This comprehensive review would assess the environmental impacts and greenhouse gas emissions not only from the actual terminal, but also from the mining, rail transportation to the terminal, and end use of the coal. Adding these extra layers of regulatory review would create more fodder for groups that want the coal to stay in the ground, and it sets a dangerous precedent for exports of goods and services that environmental activists feel have too large of an environmental footprint. The next Administration should prohibit agencies from conducting cumulative EISs.
Caption: The NCDC oceans (blue) and global (brown) monthly temperature anomalies (relative to the 1900-2000 average tempera tures) since 1980. The observed Temperatures Compared to the predictions made in the first IPCC report. Note That The width of the predictions is 0.1C, Which is Roughly the size of the month to month Fluctuations in the temperature anomalies.
Hmm . . . I wonder how deep the pockets are that are supporting Mann. $10M deep?
Read here . The large list of studies that prove Earth's climate is naturally variable and prone to extremes, while confirming that periods prior to modern warming were warmer, just keeps on growing.
Walkies in the Spring Snow, 6th April 2008:
Hoskins: The models are not in the position to predict the hiatus, because of lack of initial conditions. You would not expect them to predict that behavior. You would hope that in long runs of the model they would show this, but models do not have enough of that kind of variability. That is a decadal prediction problem for which adequate initial conditions are not available
"We are not merely holding a counter-protest," Epstein said, "we are holding a counter-education. Everyone wearing a yellow Light Brigade shirt will be ready to provide hard facts and debunk propaganda. Our passion for energy will be on full display."
Trend, you say? Doesnt a 100-year high temperature in and of itself imply warming? Certainly not. I believe this will prove to be an exaggeration, but for a moment lets assume that this heat wave has created the hottest June in 100 years for half the Continental US. That seems pretty extreme, right? But the Continental US is about 2.5% of the worlds land mass. Just by math, in a stochastic system with a stable mean, a land area of this size somewhere should have a 100-year high month about five times a year! One data point about one small patch of the Earth having a hot month tells us nothing about trends.
The January to April sea surface temperature anomaly data for the years of 1983 to 2014 are provided in the Supplementary Material for Velarde et al. (2015) . See their Table S3 Oceanographic data. Ive plotted their data for the Midriff of the Gulf of California and Baja Californias Pacific coast at the same latitude. See Figures 1 and 2. Both show cooling since 1983, based on the linear trends.
First, mainstream solar physicists have themselves been predicting an imminent and sharp decline in solar activity. A physicist at NASA contacted me about this as far back as 2006, pointing out that there had been a recently-unprecedented slowing to walking pace of the magnetic convection currents beneath the solar surface. When a solar cycle is much prolonged, as the last one was, records of previous solar cycles show that subsequent cycles tend to be pronouncedly inactive. What is interesting, therefore, about the papers you have tried to kill is that they posit an admittedly unexplained link between cyclical variability in the planetary orbits and cyclical variability in solar activity, which in turn may have an impact on the climate.
There's another obstacle in the face of a Jacksonian rising: Jacksonians have been hard hit by the changes in the American economy. The secure working class wages that underpinned two generations of rising affluence for the white (and minority) industrial working class have disappeared. That isn't just about money; the coherence of Jacksonian communities and family life has been seriously impaired. These are the points Charles Murray makes in his harrowing Coming Apart: The State of White America, 1960-2010; they have been recently reinforced by studies documenting a holocaust of lower and lower middle class whites.
The almost circular feature has a diameter of almost 40 miles (64.5 km) and the topography seems to indicate relatively steep slopes down to a central depression. A higher resolution view of the anomaly is shown in Figure 2 and comes from the Great Lakes Rescue Project at http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/greatlakes/lakemich cdrom/html/images.htm .
"We are recklessly, mindlessly destroying the Earth. As Lincoln said, "We must disenthrall ourselves. And then we will save our country.' And our planet," Gore said in a statement.
4) A new UN climate treaty would limit fossil fuel use by developed countries, place no binding limits or timetables on developing nations, and redistribute hundreds of billions of dollars to poor countries that claim they have been harmed by emissions and warming due to rich country hydrocarbon use. Even IPCC officials now openly brag that climate policy has "almost nothing" to do with protecting the environment and everything to do with intentionally transforming the global economy and redistributing its wealth.
Even eco-radical George Monbiot says he is "dismayed and deeply shaken" by the emails, because, "There appears to be evidence here of attempts to prevent scientific data from being released, and even to destroy material that was subject to a freedom of information request."
The renewable electric power division of Lincoln Electric System in Nebraska is facing mounting financial losses, according to Electricity Daily (March 26, 2002).
CO2 by itself does not trap enough heat to account for 20th century warming. The CO2 warming theory depends on a strong water vapor amplification mechanism, where the initial CO2 temperature forcing evaporates water into atmosphere whichg traps yet more heat, creating yet more water vapor, etcetera. As Roy notes, it is this warming and humidifying of the global atmosphere and the resulting acceleration of the hydrologic cycle that creates the upper troposphere hotspot. Ergo, no hotspot means no powerful water vapor amplification mechanism and no CO2-based account of late 20th century warming.
The Associated Press reports the United States' carbon dioxide emissions have fallen substantially, with 2016's emissions expected to be the lowest in 25 years. President Barack Obama's signature effort to reduce emissions, the Clean Power Plan, has been stayed by the courts. So what's behind the decline? A dramatic increase in our use of cleaner-burning natural gas. "We are leading the world in carbon reductions today, and it's driven primarily by cleaner-burning, affordable natural gas that was brought to you by innovation and technological advances in the oil and natural gas industry," said Jack Gerard, president of the American Petroleum Institute.
Read here . For the oceans to become sufficiently "acidified" to have any impact on coral larvae, it would require an atmospheric CO2 level that exceeds 2100 ppm. The likelihood that level of CO2 will be attained due human emissions is extremely low, and very far into the future if it were to happen. The possible impact would be a reduction in size of larvae but would also include a positive increase in survivorship.
The growth of the vegetation in these middle and high latitude areas is mainly limited by temperature. Many studies correlating NDVI with land surface temperature indicate warming might be the most important factor accounting for the LAI increase in this area. Warming, causes longer active growing season length and higher growth magnitude, therefore leads to increase in LAI in this area.
The long term records, the ice cores, show that temperatures rise and fall before CO2 ??? 800 years before, on the way ???up??, and 2000-3000 years before on the way ???down??. In other words, the ice core graph shows that temperature controls the carbon dioxide levels. It??s possible that CO2 provides some extra push (amplification) but if it does, its effect is so small that it can??t be seen in those graphs. See this page for close-ups of the famous Vostock Ice Core graph . See the lag for yourself. CO2 can??t be a major driver from 800 years in the future.
The Treasury Department??s admission contradicts claims by Democratic leadership that a cap-and-trade energy rationing scheme would boost the economy. In fact, a massive new energy tax (Department officials suggest that a cap-and-trade would cost consumers hundreds of billions of dollars) would depress economic growth by increasing utility bills and gasoline prices.
By Fred L. Smith, Jr. and William Yeatman
Then there is the 60-month plot of CO2 emissions (black dots), which obviously tells a different story then the press fabrication that the "rapid" global warming we are "suffering" from is a direct result of human CO2 emissions.
"There has been a clear message from some parties, and that would certainly be very good news," he told reporters on Sunday.
Latest Obama half-billion-dollar green energy debacle
In contrast to the satellite data, which exhibit a slight increase in SIE , the mean SIE of the models over 19792005 shows a decrease in each month, the report explained.
The effects of climate change have been dramatically over-estimated. Future global climate change caused by human activity will be much less than feared and be largely benign for viticulture??. ???The 21st Century will be wine??s golden age??.
Date: Wed, 1 Dec 2010 16:07:57 -0500
On a supercomputer model for 2006. Interesting model video. And eventually, they may be able to combine the model with real data.
Ken entered journalism while a student at Washington and Lee University and worked stints at papers throughout Virginia before joining the Times five years ago. Along the way, Ken honed a healthy skepticism of government and politicians that served his craft well. Though an editorialist and essayist, Ken was always a reporter first, and his columns were filled with facts and news. His efforts left his fellow journalists' work suffering by comparison. Ken's fierce reporting on issues such as the environment, global warming, and the Endangered Species Act uncovered numerous instances of government folly and provided ample ammunition for those of us who have never been convinced that the government, though here, is here to help.
Adjustments are a good thing and the instinctive criticism of all adjustments as a matter of principle is simply not right. I agree with Mosher: these "principled" critics of all adjustments are surely throwing the baby out with the bath water. And by the way, I do agree with the description of those who get crazy whenever somebody mentions the word "adjustment" as anti-science nut jobs , and yes, I do think that a large number of such people exists among the WUWT regular readers (but probably among most laymen in the world, too, and maybe they are a majority among the TRF readers as well, sorry).
...An additional and important discrepancy between the models and reality extends into the lower atmosphere as well. In the lower atmosphere, climate models expectations are that the degree of warming with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations should be greater than that experienced at the surface, with the lower atmosphere warming about 1.4 times faster than the average surface temperature. Despite claims that observations and models are in agreement (Santer et al., 2008), new analyses incorporating a large number of both observational datasets as well as climate model projections, clearly and strongly demonstrate that the surface warming (which itself is below the model mean) is significantly outpacing the warming in the lower atmosphere contrary to climate model expectations . Instead of exhibiting 40% more warming than the surface, the lower atmosphere is warming 25% lessa statistically significant difference (Christy et al., 2010).
This is becoming a more and more common feature of environmentalist rhetoric. The violent imagery has even seeped into the pronouncements of the eco-priests at the Environmental Protection Agency. Recently, a video surfaced of EPA Region VI Administrator Al Armendariz admitting that his agency's philosophy is to "crucify" oil and gas companies: "It was kind of like how the Romans used to, you know, conquer villages in the Mediterranean. They'd go in to a little Turkish town somewhere, they'd find the first five guys they saw and they'd crucify them. Then, you know, that town was really easy to manage for the next few years."
Given that both NANSEN and NSIDC use the same SSMI sensor data, and calculate the extent based on 15% concentration, that half a million square kilometers difference in the ???normal?? sure seems significant in the context of the magnified extent view NSIDC presents. A half million here, a half million there, and pretty soon we are talking about real ice extent differences.
The Russian news agency Novosti took a charitably long-term view of Kyoto noting, "Many people question the effect of the measures outlined by the Kyoto Protocol on the climate. Today, the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is approximately 370 PPM (units of these gases per million units of the air).
17 George Kennan, Russia and the West under Lenin and Stalin, 1960
Update: Evan Mills, apparently one author of the analysis, responds and I respond back .
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of Energy & Global Warming Policy Myron Ebell on what to expect from the Bali negotiations:
Moreover, even if CO2 does drive climate change, slashing US greenhouse gas emissions would bring no benefits, since China, India and other developing nations will not be reducing their enormous emissions.
Federal Agency Headquarters Leave Lights On In DC:
The solution to dealing with the global economic crisis, Klaus told the U.N. General Assembly, did not lie in "creating new governmental and supranational agencies, or in aiming at global governance of the world economy."
"Before Los Alamitos High School science teachers can tackle topics such as global warming, they will have to demonstrate to the school board that the course is politically balanced."
Perhaps its time to ask why this story being revealed overseas with new revelations almost daily in the Daily Mail, the Telegraph, the Timesonline, and other Fleet Street publications can??t get any traction here. Blogs like Watts up with That and Climate Depot are keeping us informed of the latest from England but we hear crickets chirping when it comes to stories from major newspapers and ??? outside of Fox News ??? the cable nets.
Great News : Earth Only Doomed For 40,000 Years
At least that's what Glauber's family says. Beaulieu says that he has nothing to do with the medal. His defense sounds logical: when you break into the home of a Nobel Prize winner, it's inconceivable that you could actually steal the Nobel Prize medal - especially if they also own a kitchen blender.