Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Given all of this, it is not surprising that some of the lowest performers in the Prosperity Index rankings are from sub-Saharan Africa. These countries not only have poor governance scores in the Prosperity Index, but they also have some of the worst education and health scores. In fact, the only area in which sub-Saharan countries perform well is in social capital, which measures the extent to which community networks support each other. With poor scores in almost all other areas, life would be even worse were it not for these social networks.
And for those who were puzzled, the administration offered various explanations. In contrast to Whitman's "pablum" charge, White House Council on Environmental Quality chairman James L. Connaughton had a different interpretation: "Ultimately, E.P.A. made the decision not to include the section on climate change because we had these ample discussions of the subject already," he told the New York Times. In other words, there was just nothing left to say. The administration, it seems, had simply talked itself into a state of climate exhaustion.
Antarctic sea ice is also increasing. According to Australian Antarctic Division glaciology program head Ian Allison, sea ice losses in west Antarctica over the past 30 years have been more than offset by increases in the Ross Sea region, just one sector of east Antarctica.
For years as a broadcast meteorologist, I kept silent about the issue of global warming. Declaring skepticism labeled you (and still does) as an anti-environmentalist. After former VP Gores movie hit the big screen, I could remain silent no more. An Inconvenient Truth was filled with so many gross distortions and outright scientific misrepresentations; I felt it was my obligation to speak out.
and which reads The probability that A is true given the evidence E. (The vertical bar | means given.)
Well, your humble correspondent would like to modestly inform everyone that it is me, and not Marc Morano, who has figured it out. ;-) Thanks!
Caseys book reflects his mission to educate the public to the dangers of a sun whose low number of sunspots (magnetic storms) is well known among solar scientists and generally under-reported. This particular solar cycle (#24) peak is one of the lowest since cycle #14 in 1906 which had approximately 64 sunspots, Casey told me. We measure each solar maximum every eleven years to determine the average of solar activity by sunspot count. We have had solar maximums in the past there were over 200 sunspots and some as low as 50. The relevance of information about the number of sunspots is that when the count goes below 50 we enter a much colder climate era.
You have probably heard President Obama and other administration notables feverishly lament that 2015 was the hottest year "on record" following a previous one set in 2014.
Now a wildfire threatens the watershed, burning over 10,000 acres and costing more than $2 million to fight. As one firefighter put it, "fire is the environmentalist's way of thinning the forests."
Botkin, D. B. and R. A. Nisbet, 1992, Projecting the effects of climate change on biological diversity in forests, pp. 277 ? 293 in R. Peters and T. Lovejoy, (Eds.) Consequences of the Greenhouse Effect for Biological Diversity, Yale University Press, New Haven.
Or, maybe you can convince people that most of our infrastructure is right at sea level, and so is about to be flooded:
I, too, was addressing the folks who'd come in support of the controversial pipeline.
Chinese scientists only looked at sea ice projections until 2005. Had they kept going, they would find more than a trend of slightly increasing sea ice levels. Last year was the first year on record that Antarctic sea ice coverage rose above 7.72 square miles.
As illustrated and discussed in If the IPCC was Selling Manmade Global Warming as a Product, Would the FTC Stop their deceptive Ads? , the IPCCs climate models cannot simulate the rates at which surface temperatures warmed and cooled since 1901 on a global basis, so their failings illustrated in this postare not abnormal.
These studies all find that the energy sector would be required to make massive reductions in carbon emissions. They also argue that CO2 emissions are closely linked to all aspects of economic growth and that energy use is essential to improving economic well being.
Phrased differently, because the satellites were inaccurate, climate scientists had to rely on the outputs of climate models and assume they were correct.
Washington, D.C., August 11, 2003In an attempt to discredit the Competitive Enterprise Institute's lawsuit against the White House over the Administration's failure to implement a sound-science law in regard to global warming reports, the state attorneys general of Maine and Connecticut have asked U.S. Attorney General John Ashcroft to investigate an alleged "sweetheart suit" relationship between the Bush administration's Council on Environmental Quality and CEI.
The entire document is too convoluted and technical to summarize here, so it is posted here in PDF form for your detailed examination. The document posted here is unchanged and unaltered in any way from exactly what I received from a well known and credible source that must remain anonymous to avoid harm or retribution.
* The last scene is a soccer field. A new coach has arrived and thinks his team is a bunch of pansies. Which they are. And there's an 80 year old goalie so it's no wonder they needed a new coach. He asks the team what drills they have been running and instead they start telling him about new flourescent lightbulbs installed in the stadium. He tells these hosers that he's the coach and wants to hear about soccer, not nonsense, and the old guy whips out his wait for it button, pushes it, and murders the coach. Problem solved! All non-believers am dead now. Drink Kool-Aid, cult happy!
Since the piece ran, it has come to light that some of the documents the Times cited were obtained by an activist who, by his own admission, perpetrated a fraud on Heartland.One of the documents, a purported cover memo, is now widely regarded as wholly fabricated a view supported by what both we and Heartland have separately told the paper.
Researchers in the UMaine Climate Change Institute ( http://www.climatechange.umaine.edu/ ) have focused on the relationship between solar variability and climate, particularly the use of isotopes in tree rings and ice cores to provide an indication of the suns strength. The ice core data reported in the paper demonstrates a direct atmospheric consequence associated with changing solar radiation.
ACESA could only harden their resolve. As other countries adopt GHG limits, China and India will make competitive gains by simply standing pat against controls. Over time, energy-intensive industries will migrate to the nations that reject controls. The growth in these states of energy-intensive capital and jobs will add to the political costs of any future move toward controls. This outcome is the very opposite of the one that the U.S. should be seeking.
Clearly the Earth goes through very natural cycles of warming and cooling all the time, and by amounts far greater than anything seen in the last couple of thousand years.
In any case, regarding the third allegation, did Dr. Mann engage in, or participate in, directly or indirectly, any misuse of privileged or confidential information available to him in his capacity as an academic scholar, how does the Jury find:
Thomas DeGregori does the best job I've ever seen of explaining the threat the idea of "sustainability" poses to U.S. society, describing it as a dangerous religion.
On average, a major hurricane made landfall in New England every 3.5 years from 1938 to 1966. Since 1966, its been just every 9.2 years with none since 1999. New norm?
Fred Singer: With regard to those drought conditions in Texas, it's very apparent that ocean cycles have had an important influence. The Pacific Ocean has shifted to a cooler phase while the Atlantic is still in a warm phase. This circumstance is similar to what occurred in the early 1950s when the drop in tropical Pacific temperatures caused less moisture to be present in the atmosphere here in the U.S. then when that ocean is in its warming state. That causes conditions to be drier, especially near and east of the Rockies, as well as in the Deep South. As a result, we see hotter, drier summers, and winters tend be warmer earlier, and colder later. We're also seeing colder spring temperatures caused by a multi-decadal warming temperature shift in the Atlantic which has greatest influence in the late winter and spring.
The book requires a good opening chapter that lays out the facts on global climate change, but I would like this chapter to be framed with optimism, not gloom and doom, Maple said in an email to Hayhoe in October 2007. All that is needed from you is to provide a sense of what needs to happen. What is the window of opportunity and what does the science tell us about our chances for remediation?
L1734 0.7 L1830 0.4 H1253 6.1 H1336 6.1 H1415 6.1 H1451 6.1 H1524 6.0
He does have some concerns. He points out that graduates with doctorates are far more productive than those with just master's degrees. And he cautions that diploma mills could make profits grinding out degrees to foreigners intent on gaming the system.
The billions of dollars spent by government and others to fund science just perpetuates problems rather than solving them. Funding only continues if research shows what those funding it wish it to prove, otherwise funding is discontinued.
ACESA makes a valuable contribution in highlighting the importance of adaptation. Fortunately, much can be done to minimize the social costs that climate change might otherwise cause. Indeed, for the next century, adaptation to climate change is likely to do more to reduce its costs than will GHG controls. America is especially well-endowed with the human and other capital required to make the needed adjustments.
On the occasion of kvllens debate on krnkraften SVT Debate ltit make a opinionsunderskning and frgat Swedish people what we want to do with krnkraften. For ovanstende image SVT Debate chosen title: Be fourth Swedish: Phase out krnkraften. Had I choose FTT's, I had written: The majority of the Swedish people want to keep krnkraften. But perhaps it is just my interpretation.
Responsibilities for climate change analysts often include:
Postscript: unsurprisingly, Rahmstorf et al has many interesting booby traps. As homework questions. (1) why is the most recent value of the gyre reconstruction shown in Rahmstorf Figure 3 (middle panel) ends in approximately 1995, when the underlying gridded reconstruction of Mann et al 2009 goes to 2006. (2) why are the reconstructions only shown back to AD900, when the underlying gridded reconstruction of Mann et al 2009 begins in AD500.
In late June, the American Bird Conservancy (ABC) took President Obama up on his "so sue me" challenge and filed a lawsuit over his administration's modification of the 1940 Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act that now allows wind energy producers a 30- year permit to kill the majestic birds. According to ABC spokesman Bob Johns, "the Obama Administration has gone too far with incentives for the wind industry." The Washington Times quotes Johns: "Since the 1980s, wind turbines have killed an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 eagles, but the industry has paid only one fine."
As empirical data about global warming continues to roll in scientists become more and more aware of just how little they know about the climate system. Data from Australia's National Tidal Facility of recent sea level trends in the Pacific area, for example, give a mixed picture. The following are sea level measurements from several sites in the Pacific:
Here we see yet another climate institution, manufactured by governments, to produce evidence that they will wave during negotiations in favour of the policies they have already determined they want. Policy-based evidence-making can now be seen as an institutional process. It is an absurd charade, which is made necessary because truly independent research organisations i) no longer exist, and ii) would not write such a document, and there is no trust for the organisations behind the new initiative. Thus it is necessary to produce research for the needs of the upcoming negotiations.
Still, talk of a so-called sixth extinction is not fading away.
Yes, Mr. President, we do produce more oil at home than we have in quite a long time. We could actually be producing a lot more than we currently are. See that decline in Federal Gulf of Mexico production from ~1.7 MMbbl/d to ~1.4 MMbbl/d since early 2010? You actually did build that.
Despite widely held beliefs, there continues to be very little correlation between regional air pollution rates and asthma rates. In fact, while air pollution rates have consistently declined, asthma rates have increased. In the United States, asthma rates in children under the age of five rose more than 160 percent between 1980 and 1994a period when air pollution rates fell from 25 to 80 percent.
I introduced a Mexican meteorologist at a Heartland Climate meeting 2 years agohe was predicting cooling.
The IPCC AR4 is given a failing grade by the hard-working Donna LaFramboise and her team of volunteer helpers.
Another absurdity which is pushed with the vehemence of an absolute is that if the oceans get more acidic than pH 8.1 ocean life will be destroyed, because calcium carbon precipitates above that pH and dissolves below it. There is no precipitation reaction anywhere in biology. All biological effects are under control, usually with enzymes which do not produce precipitation. The reason why the oceans are pH 8.1 (Scientists have never found any other pH in the oceans outside sheltered estuaries or related effluent.) is because calcium carbonate acts as a buffer holding the oceans at that pH. Fake scientists have been projecting future pH of the oceans to be more acidic and then proclaiming the guess to be a fact of science. They also estimate the past pH of the oceans to have been more alkaline than now, even though no measurements were made at that time, and then they proclaim the contrivance to be a fact of science.
> >> >>(See attached file: climatic variability and change initiative for
Today our leading rivals understand this, even if the current administration doesn't.
Atmospheric phenomena are complicated so people's opinions about what matters in the climate inevitably reflect this complexity. If, in some subcommunity, it doesn't, it shows that this subcommunity isn't really scientific: it's a group of fascist *beep* *beep* LFCSes struggling to *beep* *beep* and *beep* *beep* and we should better *beep* *beep* to *beep* *beep* to protect the elementary values of science and the modern civilization in general. So *beep* to all the LFCSes.
Now polar conditions have stopped cooperating, and sea ice looks poised to defy the projections. A couple of days ago I wrote here about how natural cycles are now aligning to lead to more sea ice cover over the next one or two decades, and that global sea ice levels are back to normal levels a fact that the end-of-world obsessors are finding difficult to come to terms with.
The Arctic Ocean covers about 2.8% of the total Earths surface area The Encyclopedia of Earth
By using available radiometric dates from areas near layers of barite deposits, Baos group has been able to come up with an estimate for the duration of what is now called the Marinoan Oxygen-17 Depletion, or MOSD, event. Baos group estimates the MOSD duration at 0 1 million years.
Wrong. The British Antarctic Survey, working with NASA, last week confirmed ice around Antarctica has grown 100,000 sq km each decade for the past 30 years.
Now Huybers 2005 demonstrated nothing of the sort. There was no "error" in our time series standardization. Our simulations reported in MM05a used a regression fit (which was in keeping with what was known about MBH methods at the time) and did not include a re-scaling step identified by Bger and Cubasch as a methodological "flavor". However, they showed the existence of spurious RE statistics in an MBH-type context. In our Reply to Huybers, ignored here by Mann, we responded fully to Huybers by showing an identical effect with re-scaling in the context of a network of 22 noisy proxies. Its too bad, in my opinion, that B and C did not discuss Reply to Huybers in more detail as its still ahead of the curve.
* Recent warming trends in Greenland and the Arctic are not alarming in rate or magnitude compared to other similar and totally natural warming periods over the past 250 to 10,000 years, as recorded in explorers' log books and geological evidence.
The Waxman-Markey Global Warming Bill--Is the Economic Pain Justified By the Environmental Gain?
Donald Trump, for now, is serving as a kind of blank screen on which Jacksonians project their hopes. Proposing himself as a strong leader who "gets' America but is above party, Trump appeals to Jacksonian ideas about leadership. Trump's Jacksonian appeal has left the Republican Party in deep disarray, demonstrating the gulf between contemporary conservative ideology and Jacksonian nationalism. Indeed, one of the reasons that Trump hasn't been hurt by attacks that highlight his lack of long term commitment to the boilerplate conservative agenda (either in the social or economic conservative variant) is that Jacksonian voters are less dogmatic and less conservative than some of their would-be political representatives care to acknowledge. Jacksonians like Social Security and Medicare much more than most Republican intellectuals, and they like immigration and free trade much less.
S. Fred Singer, physicist at George Mason University and founder of the Science and Environmental Policy Project. He states: The Earth currently is experiencing a warming trend, but there is scientific evidence that human activities have little to do with it. Instead, the warming seems to be part of a 1,500-year cycle (plus or minus 500 years) of moderate temperature swings.
* Global land-based surface temperature trend (HadCRUT4) = 0.5 F/decade
Another contrary view is provided by Media Matters WSJ Contradicts Experts on Social Cost of Carbon. Punchline:
The Climate Drudge (aka Marc Morano) just sent out this link to a Wall Street Journal blog post which explains how difficult it has been for House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman to buy enough votes to get his global warming legislation out of a key subcommittee. The Journal reporters explain how skeptical moderate Democrats are having qualms about the bill, but then they quote very liberal Rep. G.K. Butterfield of North Carolina about the challenges:
The road map for abundant energy supplies, competitive prices, more innovation, and a better standard of living is centered on open markets and less government intervention. The next President can accomplish some of these objectives through the executive branch. Others will require working with Congress. Establishing a framework now that relies on market forces and eliminates favoritism will indicate that the next President will not be beholden to special interests, lobbyists, or Members of Congress with specific pet projects. The American people, businesses, the energy sector, and the economy at large will be much better off because of it.
While Arctic sea ice has been diminishing in recent decades, the Antarctic sea ice extent has been increasing slightly. Researchers from the Georgia Institute of Technology provide an explanation for the seeming paradox of increasing Antarctic sea ice in a warming climate. The paper appears in the Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Science the week of August 16, 2010.
Why did he do and say what he did? Why did those words and deeds alienate the American middle and working classes? Is there something inherent in progressive politics that is out of sync with American attitudes and aspirations?
"A recently released OpenOffice.org marketing video from Microsoft tries to highlight prospective issues for companies considering alternatives to Microsoft Office. Although the video suggests OpenOffice.org is increasingly becoming a viable alternative to Microsoft Office, the video also presents insights into Microsoft's business growth strategy."
AccuWeather's Joe Bastardi presses case against global warming theory In the video, Bastardi lays out a case that many in the scientific community have come to press that solar activity is a primary driver of the earths climate. Showing charts of solar activity in relation to historical temperatures, he pointed out that there were periods in the not-so-distant climate history that were much warmer than today. Click here to view Joe Bastardi's video on the AccuWeather.com website. Next Stop for ACE|GlobalWarming.org Just what the public schools exist for: letting advocacy groups in to take kids out of their classes to get recruited for a movement.
the UK, much of the rest of the world seems coolish ? expected though given the
Solar particles interact with Earth's magnetosphere. (Source: NASA)
On June 2, the temperature in Stockholm rose only to 6C, the coldest high in 84 years, read more here . Earlier in the month one town recorded a temperature of 6C below zero the coldest June temperature in Sweden in 20 years. Snow even blanketed parts of northern Sweden.
Record-High Antarctic Sea Ice Levels Don't Disprove Global Warming
The Center for Health and Global Environment is a hot bed for climate alarmism and anti-coal propaganda. The latest paper, with so much missing in its analysis, builds in that tradition.
This is why I have trouble trusting GISS data. We keep finding instances like this one where the historical temperature record has been adjusted for no discernible or apparently logical reason. Cedarville, CA, which I previously highlighted is another prime example of a rural station with a long history, little growth, no UHI, but with an artificially enhanced positive temperature trend .
Bush a Piker at Manipulating Science, Compared to Clinton, Gore
Not using fossil fuels is tantamount to not using energy. It is economic suicide and eco-manslaughter.
Questions Arise Concerning Whether GOP Candidates Remain Climate Skeptics
Now it is fair to say I havent verified the quality of these trends or the quality of match to the reconstruction presented, that is for tomorrow. I also dont know what is was used as a reasonable value for regpar. What I do know is that this effect apparenlty isnt mentioned in the paper and makes a substantial difference in the final result. From my trends above I have 6 of 9 graphs with values in the required range of Steig et al that produce flat or negative trends. Had I plotted regpar of 3 through 9 in the last two neigs=10 graph, rest assured I would add another 6 negative trends.
Unless stopped, EPA will be in a position to determine the stringency of fuel economy standards for the auto industry, set climate policy for the nation, and even 'amend' portions of the Clean Air Act (to avoid some, but not all, absurd results). These are powers Congress never delegated to EPA.
By Staff Writers, Climate Change Predictions.org, From National Observer, Aug 11. 2015
Beware of warmists making predictions that they won't live long enough to be accountable for
john a. bailo on May 31, 2008 at 11:21 pm
New type of El Nino could mean more hurricanes make landfall
7 To them who by patient continuance in well doing seek for glory and honour and immortality, eternal life: