Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Read here . Map source . The Mannian style of climate science was established to fabricate a scenario that the Medieval Warming (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA) periods were insignificant weather blips, primarily felt in the northern Atlantic/European region. A vast amount of both anecdotal and paleo-climate empirical evidence refutes Mann's contentions that the MWP and LIA were insignificant and only regional. Another peer reviewed study adds to the refutation.
He pointed to the graph. I was indeed wrong. Karls graph showed no trend in landfalling hurricanes not only for 100 years but for 150 years. His face fell, then brightened again: Ah, he said, but just look at how tropical storms have increased in the past 30 years!
In fact, climate scientists were not in any agreement if the earth was warming in the 1980s though it was true. Many scientists would roll their eyes at the mention of global warming but many changed their tune in the 1990s just as major federal dollars were being directed to man-made global warming which I continue to remind everyone cannot ever happen on Earth due to the laws of thermodynamics. The Earth can never become a greenhouse according to the laws of physics.
But Markey? We set a higher standard for our public officials who we hope will put the broader public interest ahead of politics.
And the electricity industrys naifs dont seem to notice the boil. They complain about EPAs carbon rule when even some enlightened members of corporate America know better. How does Crane know this? He states (without references) that the most influential companies of the modern era (Microsoft, Google, Facebook and Apple) are all competing to make sure their data centers are 100 percent clean energy (which one way or the other includes fossil backup and credits).
into law within 30 days of assuming office, by giving sizable slack to Congress
Gore: Climate change is increasing the intensity of hurricanes. Truth: Hurricane numbers and intensity are on par with historic records and trends. Katrina was a large Category 3 hurricane when it hit a poorly prepared New Orleans.
The people most likely to suffer as a result of the contemporary aversion to growth are the billions of people who live in the developing world. Despite the rapid growth of China and India in recent years, about a billion people still live on less than $1 a day. About 2.6 billion people live on less than a $2 daily threshold.
Is a mini ICE AGE on the way? Scientists warn the sun will ???go to sleep?? in 2030 and could cause temperatures to plummet
And of course, warmers seem to treat a risen/yes reply to this poll as affirmation of catastrophic AGW projections, which may not be intended.
William Tucker is a TAE contributing writer, and authors "Right Idea" at TAEmag.com.
Indeed, Wang et al. begin their article noting The impact of the rising sea surface temperature (SST) on tropical cyclone (TC) activity is one of the great societal and scientific concerns. With the observed warming of the tropics of around 0.5C over the past 4 to 5 decades, detecting the observed change in the TC activity may shed light on the impact of the global warming on TC activity. Recent studies of the trends in the existing records of hurricane intensity have resulted in a vigorous debate in academic circles. Much of the debates centered on uncertainties of the hurricane intensity records. Once again, we see scientists acknowledging that yet another vigorous debate is ongoing in the climate change world, despite the popular claim that the debate is over when it comes to the science of global warming (possibly the most laughable claim we encounter).
Of course, developing nations were quick to object to Blair's idea. Chinese representatives agreed to act as soon as the West agrees to pay for it, and by the second day, the two sidesrich and poorregressed into the sort of finger pointing that always characterizes these international climate confabs. Needless to say, the Japanese conference did not produce anything in the way of tangible results.
This blocking pattern, while difficult to predict, usually lasts about eight to 11 days, he said.
Scattering this amount of sunlight may be fairly easy. Past volcanic eruptions have shown that injecting relatively small volumes of matter into the upper atmosphere can scatter enough sunlight back into space to cause discernable cooling. The 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo reduced global mean temperature by about .5 degrees Celsius. This temperature reduction was apparent in just a few months and persisted for about three years.
Above all, the President's war on hydrocarbons is a war on Coal Country families. For 21 states that still rely on coal to produce 40-96% of their electricity, it is a war on people's livelihoods and living standards on the very survival of small businesses and entire communities. The price of electricity has already risen 1-2 cents per kilowatt-hour in those states, from as little as 5.6 cents/kWh in 2009. If it soars to the 14.6 to 15.7 cents/kWh paid in "job-mecca states" like California and New York which rely on coal for less than 3% of their electricity the impacts will churn through coal-dependant states like a tsunami.
We are also told that only 5% of the original sample responses were climate scientists , so if we pragmatically apply those proportions we end up with just 141 from the US, 9 from Canada and just 6 from 21 countries around the world, hardly a global consensus.
The authors decomposed average air surface temperature series obtained from GISS and sunspot number (Rz) from 1880 2005 to see if a correlation could be found. They performed a cross correlation analysis between band-passed filtered data around 11-year and 22 years.
Associate Professor Cary said in areas with wet climates, like Tasmania, bushfire risk could double over the same period.
Isthis destruction and poisoning of the natural world, this trampling of human rights, the legacy that climate campaignerswant to leave the world? Is this really the only ethical way to deal with the question of global warming? Is it even ethical at all? ... A public debate on the damage being done by climate change policy is long overdue.
In the post, after citing a small portion of the extensive work, both in the laboratory and in the field, of the benefits of enhanced atmospheric carbon dioxide, Craig asks: Why on Gods getting-greener earth would the United Nations simultaneously work to reduce the anthropogenic CO2 emissions that are demonstrably raising standard of living for so many of the worlds poor?
A former NASA climate scientist has put out a new report criticizing the argument that global warming is settled science.
There is no longer any doubt that the purported tropical hot spot simply does not exist. Thus, EPAs theory as to how CO 2 affects global average surface temperatureEPAs first line of evidencehas been falsified.
The union supplements its lobbying efforts with state-level political contributions, which have totaled $9.5 million since 1997, according to the National Institute for Money in State Politics. These "hard money" contributions to candidates and parties are striking not only for their size1199 regularly ranks among the state's top donorsbut also for what they reveal about the union's political opportunism. Over the years, the two largest recipients have been the New York Democratic Assembly Campaign Committee ($1,712,500) and the New York Senate Republican Campaign Committee ($1,594,300).
Predicting Active-Layer Thicknesses of Permafrost-Affected Soil (13 January 2015)
3) the monetary damages from climate change caused by the burning of coal
Joanne will tell you that Yesterday Prince Charles and Tony Abbott and the royal family celebrated ANZAC Day.
These conditions must have impacted nutrient availability in the ocean and ultimately the spatial and temporal distribution of marine life, said team member Jeremy D. Owens , a former UC Riverside graduate student, who is now a postdoctoral scientist at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution. Under low-oxygen environments, many biologically important metals and other nutrients are removed from seawater and deposited in the sediments on the seafloor, making them less available for life to flourish.
In 1999, NASA published this graph, showing that the 1930s was by far the warmest decade in the US
In considering traditional foreign affairs issues, the laws of war, the ICC, and the isolation of Israel are all excellent examples of the globalist approach. They seek to exploit both international law and domestic U.S. law to limit, constrain, and intimidate the United States and its political and military leaders from robustly defending our national interests abroad. One should begin here with skepticism for the very idea of international law, a skepticism now increasingly justified by a torrent of wide-ranging scholarship. Jeremy Rabkin, John Yoo, Jack Goldsmith, Eric Posner, and many others have dealt the globalists setback after setback, precluding even the Obama Administration from following its basic proclivities.
This, even as new data show that last year the U.S. median wage hit its lowest level since 1998 and long-term unemployment is almost the highest ever.
In his foreword, Lord Turnbull, former Cabinet Secretary and Head of the Home Civil Service, commented:
What we found will surprise many people. It turns out that nearly half (46 percent) of total energy used is consumed indirectly, through production of foods, medicines, and consumer goods. The highest level of indirect energy consumption is in health care services and pharmaceuticals, and the second highest is in food production and preparation. At the other end of the spectrum, religious activities and education consume relatively little indirect energy. And what will come as a pleasant surprise for those with a somewhat more hedonistic bent, beauty products are fairly "low energy." The good news for those who want to reduce energy consumption but cannot make major lifestyle changessuch as moving from a house to an apartment, ditching the car, or not flyingis that there are unexplored options for reducing energy use.
Workers in Kentucky are also weighing in. As Politico Pro reported, President Obama lost to an "uncommitted" vote in 38 counties representing the Kentucky Coal Coalition and won just 44 percent of over 49,000 votes; he only carried 14 of the 38 coal counties; and overall carried the state as a whole with just 58 percent of the vote. In Arkansas, President Obama won the primary with less than 60 percent of the vote. In Ohio it's the same story. When Vice President Biden visited that state recently he was faced with over 100 workers who will lose their jobs because of this administration's aggressive regulatory regime. Their message to the Obama administration: "stop the war on coal."
Scientists have been predicting a doubling of atmospheric CO2 by 2050, but current trends suggest a doubling sometime after 2100. According to James Hansen, head of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, this new revelation shows that "our understanding of greenhouse gases is not all that good." Hansen also said, "we really have to understand the cycles of these greenhouse gases if we're going to reliably forecast what's going to happen in the next century" (The Christian Science Monitor, July 15, 1999).
If passed, John Rowe calculates the Waxman-Markey bill will add $700 to $750 million to Exelon's annual revenues for every $10 per metric ton (Mt) increase in the price of CO2 allowances. Such a revenue increase would contribute $0.67-0.72 to earnings per share. Exelon estimates that the price of CO2 allowances, when the law takes effect in 2012, will range from $15 to $18/Mt, implying a positive earnings impact of $1.00 to $1.30 per share.
The observed surface and lower-atmosphere temperatures do not support predictions of dramatically rising temperatures from increased atmospheric greenhouse gases.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Iain Murray on the implications of this new research:
It is difficult now to question either the policies or the premises on which those strategies are based. Scientists are told quite bluntly that it is completely inappropriate for them to speakunless of course they support it. Non-scientists are assumed to be technically ignorant and thereby incapable of speaking with authority on this issue. (page 13)
Yet ever since Arizona passed its SB 1070 aimed at cracking down on undocumented immigrants, Marshall and some others have pushed for a Virginia equivalent. Many blame America's domestic problems on undocumented immigrants and Virginia's legislators aren't immune from such pressures. But, unlike many states, Virginia is now enjoying an unexpected surplus -- which suggests that its policies of maintaining low taxes, restraints on spending and keeping the burdens of regulation light are far more important than any problems that immigrants might create. Threatening to deport otherwise law abiding people would do little to advance Old Dominion growth.
Last year, I published my e-book (pdf) about the phenomena called El Nio and La Nia. Its titled Who Turned on the Heat? with the subtitle The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Nio Southern Oscillation . It is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Nio and La Nia events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 30 years. Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well. The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data thats available to the public via the internet. It presents how the data accounts for its warmingand there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases. None at all.
That's amusing enough, of course, but even better is the description of what actually went on while the inconvenient snow was falling:
That does not mean that passage of any bill by Congress will result in a surge of popular support. Health care costs are going to rise over the next several years no matter what. The pattern that many people have experienced regularlyemployers forced by their rising costs to adopt employee health plans that annually raise out-of-pocket expenses and deductibles and curtail coveragewill continue even without reform, but if a plan is enacted, voters may well blame Democrats for their increased costs. The plan may have exquisitely bad timingcosts first, benefits later. And it may prove to be unwieldy, uneven and unfair.
The alternative option is for the Commission to continue on its present policy of suppressing contrarian research on the climate change issue. The Commission should be prepared for the inevitable criticism when the predicted severe droughts occur and the public start asking awkward questions. The disintegration of its policy could commence within months.
Note from the Die Kalte-Sonne editors: The mainpoint of this post is to provide any analysis of natural cycles and their logical extension into the future. Unaccounted in the projection shownin Figure 4 is the climate impact of CO2, whose role in climate today is hotly disputed. In our book The Neglected Sun we presented two CO2 climate sensitivity scenarios: 1.0C and 1.5 C warming for a CO2 doubling. Current studies have corrected the original IPCC value of 3C strongly downwards (see our articles Studies from 2014 provide hope: warming effect of CO2 is considerably over-estimated. Official correction is imminent ). It will be exciting to watch how research will develop with respect to climate sensitivity over the coming years.
Just when you were starting to believe that variations in the amount of energy coming from the sun werent responsible for much of the observed surface warming during the past 20 years, comes along a paper in Geophysical Research Letters from two researchers at Duke University, Nicola Scafetta and Bruce West, that concludes otherwise:
Barry Brill makes a strong case for the New Zealand temperature record to ignore the period before 1930. In essence, he says that a 70-year-long record is plenty long enough to establish a trend, and in any case the early data is either missing or unreliable just chuck it out! He says it at greater length and more politely than that in a sometimes tongue-in-cheek article that makes sly digs at NIWA for the mistakes or naked bias that have given us a deeply suspect temperature history. Richard Treadgold
NOAA Responds To Watts' Temperature Station Report
Republicans need future-looking policies, not old bromides
Honestly. The IPCC was established by politicians, its experts are selected by politicians, and its conclusions are negotiated by politicians. A predetermined political agenda has been part of the landscape for the past 20 years. For to whine that people who disagree with the IPCC are motivated by politics is the equivalent of someone who has lived by the sword complaining that they might die by it.
It is concerning that the expert panel still cannot explain the exaggerated warming in the official record for Rutherglen. It seems the only thing wrong with the original observed values is that they did not accord with global warming theory, and so they were homogenized.
The result: Carbon-dioxide emissions are soaring. The Kyoto agreement failed. Copenhagen failed. Cancun failed. The upcoming climate meeting to be held in Durban in December will fail, too. Why? The developing countries of the world need energy, and lots of it.
A newer philanthropy, the Sea Change Foundation, also sent Tides $2 million in 2009, all of it to promote awareness of an opposition to tar sands. Another $3.75 million to Tides followed in 2010.
We forgot to mention one other little problem. The average warming given by the IPCC in the scenario used by Battisti and Naylor is almost certainly too high.
"As Congress haggled over a deal to stave off the risk of an unprecedented U.S. default, British and Japanese officials on Sunday said failure could hurt households across the globe."
Since the late 1980s The New York Times has engaged in the most horrid effort to convince its readers and the world that the IPCC should be taken seriously even though its successive reports have proven to be an offense to real science and the truth. No opportunity was ignored to advance the hoax even in the face of incontrovertible facts of every description.
The cruel madness is even worse than this, and may soon claim its first Australian life. The former government cut a shoddy deal with the UN's hated climate bureaucrats by which, if it agreed to leave millions of acres of farmland fallow and designate them fatuously as "carbon sinks", it would be exempted from its obligation to make the cuts in emissions of CO2 from fossil-fuelled power stations and automobiles that would be demanded if it ratified the Kyoto Protocol.
Exceptionally unlikely . <1% probability
It has been an exciting and eventful year at The Talkshop. This is reflected in the site stats, which show strong increases in traffic, especially around the Lisbon conference back in January , the scientific work done mid year and obviously Climategate 2 and the aftermath . I want to emphasise though that it is the solid contributions from our guest authors and my co-mod and contributor Tim Channon which are the backbone of success here, not my flash in the pan PR stunts! For this reason, I have changed the site title at the top of the page to be simply: The Talkshop , though the url will remain as tallbloke.wordpress.com for reasons of the way we are embedded in the internets search systems. The domain I bought at thetalkshop.info currently does a simple web-forward to wordpress, but Ill be doing some nifty DNS work so that we can host currently unsupported filetypes such as excel spreadsheets for download.
White clover ( Trifolium repens L.) and perennial ryegrass ( Lolium perenne L.) were grown in FACE plots maintained at atmospheric CO 2 concentrations of 350 and 600 ppm for three years before the soil was sampled to determine the effects of elevated CO 2 on its bacterial populations. What was learned
Accountability and personal responsibility the sine qua non of liberty and of the American experiment are kryptonite to the ruling class. In fact, Limbaugh notes, the aristocracy of today looks down upon real accomplishments, just as their predecessors in hereditary aristocracies often did, I would add. "The men in the country class are the fixers, and they're looked upon with disdain," Limbaugh notes.
About 50 million smart meters have been installed in the United States over the past decade, but theyve only recently arrived in Nevada.
Post-A.C., Congress again adjourns for the summer, giving "tea partiers" the smaller government they seek. During unseasonably warm spring and fall days, hearings are held under canopies on the Capitol lawn. What better way to foster open government and prompt politicians to focus on climate change?
Then there is this guy. Really has a Kaczinski In The Cabin look ;-) but also make an interesting point of it all; at about 2 minutes.
Delving into the Prologue of Saltzman's last and greatest work provides the clue. In his very first pages of "Theory of Climate' Saltzman reveals the importance of certain researchers who helped him bridge the climate "cultural gap." For Saltzman they "have brilliantly and painstakingly been reconstructing the paleoclimatic record." Saltzman goes on to say, "It is again my hope that this book will help bridge this gap."
In that regard, there has been a good deal of muddled discussion about a new agenda for the WTO, including calls for rendering the current round more relevant by adding new issues. Among the candidates for new negotiations are climate change, food security, labor, environmental questions and competition policy. The problem with this fantasy agenda is that no nation or group of nations can just willy-nilly add items to the negotiations. The WTO acts by consensus, and the history of past rounds has demonstrated that negotiations to produce a "balanced" package to tee up for tradeoffs are as difficult as the actual negotiations during the rounds themselves. This is particularly true now that WTO rules go well "beyond the border" and deeply impact domestic rules and customs.
If Ma Nature caused the "pause," can't this same lady be responsible for the warming observed earlier? You bet! Fact is, the earth was cooling and warming long before so-called GHGs could have been a factor. A warm spell ushered in the Viking Age, and many scientists believe recent warming was merely a recovery from what's called "the Little Ice Age" that began around 1300.
As far as green plants are concerned, CO2 is not a pollutant, but part of their daily breadlike water, sunlight, nitrogen, and other essential elements. Most green plants evolved at CO2 levels of several thousand ppm, many times higher than now. Plants grow better and have better flowers and fruit at higher levels. Commercial greenhouse operators recognize this when they artificially increase the concentrations inside their greenhouses to over 1000 ppm.
As we saw at the start of this report, there are other approaches to intergenerational equity that would lead to profoundly different policy responses, responses that would avoid the damage being visited upon the poor of the world and improving the lives of everyone.
You see, the Earth hasn't warmed in the past 16 or 17 years, even though the production of carbon dioxide has continued apace.
Matthew hasn't made landfall, but is expected to soon. If it does, it will break an 11-year streak of no major hurricanes making landfall in the U.S.
Wind-generated electricity in China amounted to 100.4 billion kilowatt-hours in 2012, accounting for 2 percent of the countrys total electricity output last year, up from 1.5 percent in 2011, data from the China Wind Energy Association (CWEA) showed Saturday.