Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Back in November, when the Met Office was still doing its "mild winter" schtick, Corbyn said it would be the coldest for 100 years. Indeed, it was back in May that he first predicted a snowy December, and he put his own money on a white Christmas about a month before the Met Office made any such forecast. He said that the Met Office would be wrong about last year's mythical "barbecue summer", and he was vindicated. He was closer to the truth about last winter, too.
Remarkably, because the NEPA obligation is purely procedural, courts are not permitted to consider the fact that genetically engineered crop varieties have offsetting benefits to farmers, consumers, and the natural environment. The mere fact that the USDA did not properly document its evaluation of theoretical negative effects is sufficient grounds for revoking the approvals.
Moreover, without concerted commitments by the major economies, including those in the developing world, Congress would be foolish to impose unilateral restrictions on the U.S. economy and the past four years have demonstrated conclusively that there is no international consensus for action.
And that is how a regulation yielding future changes in temperatures and sea levels approaching zero can be claimed to yield net benefits "exceeding $100 billion, making this a highly beneficial rule." In the EPA's benefit/cost framework, the actual effects of the policies literally are irrelevant; just compute the assumed reduction in GHG emissions, multiply by $36, and voila!
The agency also says banning coal-fired power plants will reduce "carcinogenic" and "lethal" levels of microscopic particulate matter (soot) in America's air. But EPA has no medical evidence that what is still in our air poses actual problems. In fact, EPA-funded researchers illegally subjected human test subjects including elderly, asthmatic, diabetic and cardiac patients to 8, 30 or even 60 times more soot per volume (for up to two hours) than what EPA claims is dangerous or lethal. And yet, no one got sick.
deniers attack everyone indiscriminately from the lowly blogger to the most imminent climate scientists in the world. In fact, the level of attack that the climate scientists receive are the greatest death threats, dead rats left on their door, legal harassment from conservative lawyers and ad hominem attack after ad hominem attack.
When things go wrong for the left, and they always go wrong, you know whos to blame? Them, thats who the amorphous mass of unbeatable forces that thwart hippies with the same 11th hour regularity that meddling kids foiled a Scooby-Doo villain:
"The fact is that the planet is changing faster than even pessimists expected," Krugman insisted. How fast the earth is changing is open to all kinds of debate, but short of an asteroid strike it won't change as fast as the global warming pessimists have claimed.
The best explanation for the gap is that people's beliefs about climate change have become determined by feelings of identification with cultural and political groups. When people are asked for their views on climate change, says Dan Kahan of Yale University, they translate this into a broader question: whose side are you on? The issue has become associated with left-wing urbanites, causing conservatives to dig in against it.
The most recent estimates from observations suggest a transient climate response of 1.05 to 1.45 o C and equilibrium climate sensitivity of 1.2 to 1.8 o C ??
For examples of recent estimates of climate sensitivity see Nicholas Lewis, "An Objective Bayesian Improved Approach for Applying Optimal Fingerprint Techniques to Estimate Climate Sensitivity," Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, No. 19 (October 2013), pp. 74147429; Alexander Otto et al., "Energy Budget Constraints on Climate Response," Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, No. 6 (June 2013), pp. 415416; Magne Aldrin et al., "Bayesian Estimation of Climate Sensitivity Based on a Simple Climate Model Fitted to Observations of Hemispheric Temperatures and Global Ocean Heat Content," Environmetrics, Vol. 23, No. 3 (May 2012), pp. 253271.
Sciam.com is predicting an increase in cyclones and hurricanes after an almost 2 year lull. However, they are attributing it not to warming but to a cooler Pacific Ocean! Suggesting that its temperature differentials not overall heating that drives bad weather. Well see if temperatures continue to stay the same, or decline
Who would have thought that Italian subsidies for building wind farms at the world's highest guaranteed rates would attract the mob? And yet, that is exactly what is alleged to have occurred. According to the Financial Times, in May, Sicily's anti-Mafia magistrates "opened a sweeping investigation into the wind power sector where local officials, entrepreneurs, and crime gangs are suspected of collusion in the construction of lucrative wind farms before their eventual sale to multinational companies." Think of it as a different shade of green.
Instead the temperature fluctuations have been within normal ranges and are due to natural cycles. Indeed the atmosphere has not warmed since 1998 more than 10 years, and the global temperature has even dropped significantly since 2003.
By Nicholas Staropoli, ACSH, Aug 7, 2015
Electricity prices rising 20 percent by 2017 and more than 30 percent by 2030.
Michael Bastasch, writing for The Daily Caller on Saturday, confirmed D'Aleo's and other meteorologist's forecasts. "The bitter cold that has hit the U.S. East Coast is expected throughout February, and on Jan 28the day of the addressthe Mid-Atlantic region is expected to be hit with freezing cold air that could drive temperatures below zero in big cities among the I-95 corridor."
Mr. Obama says that, The path towards sustainable energy sources will be long and sometimes difficult.Indeed.Inthe famous Crisis of Confidence speech of July15, 1979, President Jimmy Carter proposed a plan to obtain 20% of Americas energy from solar power bythe year 2000.More than three decades later, solar provides 0.25% of U.S. energy (solar contributes 2.5% of all forms of renewable energy combined, which in turn provide 10% of total U.S. energy ). Moreover, the piddling contributions of wind, solar power, and biofuelsdepend on a panoply of government favors : mandates, direct subsidies, and special tax breaks.
The U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is currently investigating how green energy undermines the reliability of the electrical grid. FERC believe there is a "significant risk" of electricity in the United States becoming unreliable because "wind and solar don't offer the services the shuttered coal plants provided." Environmental regulations could make operating conventional coal or natural gas power plants unprofitable, which could compromise the reliability of the American power grid.
But it is religion that asks us to have faith; science presents us with theories
Another $2 billion in the bill was to be allocated per year for researching and developing effective carbon capture and see question method for coal plants kind of like creating a GITMO for dangers posed by Kerry's climate-ravaging carbon terrorist provocateurs. In addition, there was to be a multibilliondollar revenue stream for agriculture to finance a carbonoffset program.
We have written so much about the link between climate change and hurricanes (a.k.a., tropical cyclones, TCs) that we sometimes wonder if there could be anything new to report. No sooner than we have such a thought, yet another article on the subject appears in some leading scientific journal. A sentence in the abstract from this new article really caught our eye as we read For the 1981/82 to 2005/06 TC seasons, there are no apparent trends in the total numbers and cyclone days of TCs, nor in numbers and cyclone days of severe TCs with minimum central pressure of 970 hPa or lower.
House moves to overturn FCC on Net neutrality:
The key lesson to be learned is that not only must scientific knowledge about climate change be publicly owned the I.P.C.C. does a fairly good job of this according to its own terms but the very practices of scientific enquiry must also be publicly owned, in the sense of being open and trusted. From outside, and even to the neutral, the attitudes revealed in the emails do not look good. To those with bigger axes to grind it is just what they wanted to find.
American Thinker; Next month, if all goes according to plan, the Environmental Protection Agency will launch the most serious assault on American business since the 1970's. New regulatiosn governing the release of Carbon Dioxide will hit every corner of the economy, causing your electric bill to skyrocket (as promised by candidate Obama) and adding billions in costs to manufacturers and other businesses that generate CO2.
Finally, think about this question, posed by Ronald Bailey in 2000: What will Earth look like when Earth Day 60 rolls around in 2030? Bailey predicts a much cleaner, and much richer future world, with less hunger and malnutrition, less poverty, and longer life expectancy, and with lower mineral and metal prices. But he makes one final prediction about Earth Day 2030: "There will be a disproportionately influential group of doomsters predicting that the futureand the presentnever looked so bleak." In other words, the hype, hysteria and spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions will continue, promoted by the "environmental grievance hustlers."
Scientists tell Congress that warming evidence is 'overwhelming' - The Hill's E2-Wire Twenty-five U.S. scientists issued an open letter to Congress today that calls evidence of human-induced global warming "overwhelming" and accuses opponents of emissions curbs of misrepresenting emails among climate scientists hacked from a U.K. research institute. ... "Even without including analyses from the U.K. research center from which the emails were stolen, the body of evidence underlying our understanding of human-caused global warming remains robust," they write. Note that the letter is signed by ClimateGate scientist Ben Santer! 1. We were constantly told about an alleged "consensus" from 2,500 climate scientists. Why are there only 25 actual names on this list? 2. When people claim that the evidence is overwhelming, why don't they ever tell us specifically what that evidence is?
Germans are always assumed to do things effectively and calmly look for high revenues and profits etc. And the right business practices to achieve such things are pretty much obvious. Except that there seem to be hints that at the VW Group level, there is some denial of the obviously correct algorithms one should follow in order to optimize a somewhat heterogeneous group of plants.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Iain Murray on what everyone needs to know about global warming.
The EPA acknowledges the problem, and has proposed a "tailoring rule" that substantially increases the emission levels allowed before regulatory requirements are triggered. The statute sets limits of as little as 100 tons per year of emissions. The agency wants to increase this to 25,000 tons per year of emissionsfor now (lower levels may be regulated later).
www.guyraargus.com .au/story/.../australias-antarctic-runway-melting...
Personal Freedomthe degree to which individuals can choose the course of their lives
New Book ECO-FREAKS Reveals Destructive Environmental Agenda
Moreover, most of the discussion is highly politicized. For instance, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change undercuts its own credibility by allowing government-appointed non-scientists to write the well-publicized report summaries. Many of its predictions are no more reliable than guesses. Notes H. Sterling Burnett:
Business groups, such as the Chamber of Commerce and the American Petroleum Institute, have been challenging the revised estimate on various fronts.
But Mr Peever who is also a member of the Federal Governments business roundtable on climate change says cutting pollution will be expensive and in some cases the technology to cut it has not even been developed yet.
That would mean last year was about the coolest year that we have had in Australia for about 26 years.
Australias CSIRO has legal disclaimers for its scary projections:
Bloomberg News, like the Times, has shown a disinclination to join in this kind of reasoning. Not only that, Bloomberg's editorial board questions the Schneiderman definition of a "climate denier":
Most importantly, they are modest in their aspirations for themselves. They do not aspire to be "type A business owners"; they want to go to work, do what's asked of them, not have too much stress in their lives, and spend time with their families. They want structure and stability in their lives so that things are taken care of and they don't have to worry.
Institute for Energy Research, "North American Energy Inventory," December 2011, http://instituteforenergyresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Energy-Inventory.pdf (accessed July 1, 2016).
As children playing on the beach, we discovered a fascinating behavioral pattern among hermit crabs. Place a dozen in a cardboard box, and within minutes the crabs exit their shells and try to occupy another. This mild stress-induced response probably reflects their life-long drive to continue growing by repeatedly commandeering larger shells, to protect their vulnerable soft bodies.
The Supreme Courtcase of Massachusetts v. EPA (April 2, 2007)has set the stage fora policy disaster. Mass v. EPAs second anniversaryrapidly approaches, and in a Power Point presentation leaked to Greenwire last week,EPA reveals how it plans to respondto the Court.But first, some background on the case and the Pandoras Box it has created.
NOAA has placed a series of buoys along the equatorial Pacific to keep track of the ocean temperatures below the surface. These buoys show quite warm water extending 100-200 meters beneath the surface. This figure shows an east-west cross section across the central Pacific of the underwater temperatures. Red is much warmer than normal.
days although interestingly the RCM (which does a much better job of
First, there is a widespread misconception that the reference to a decline refers to concealing an observed fall in global temperatures since a peak in 1998, the warmest year for some time. Instead, it really has to do with graphic trickery suggesting that man-made CO2 emissions over the past 40 years have produced a nearly vertical temperature escalation.
CET winter December ??? March temperatures have shown an even more significant loss -1.45C in the last 13 years of since 2000.
During the mid-20 th Century flat temperature period, Figure 4, the models do reasonably good job between the latitudes of 60S-60N, but fail to capture the observed warming of the Southern Ocean and the polar-amplified cooling over the Arctic.
Course change is one of the most essential maneuvers in politicsand also one of the most dangerous. A badly executed course change in 1979 wrecked Jimmy Carter's presidency: By retreating to Camp David and firing his economic team, he only confirmed his reputation as the worst economic manager since Herbert Hoover. But a cleverly executed course change in 1995 saved Bill Clinton: By declaring the age of Big Government over, and setting welfare reform as his top priority, he persuaded Americans that he was a sensible centrist, after all.
The European Environmental Agency tracks Europe's performance regarding the reduction of CO2 emissions. Its latest report states: "The European Union's greenhouse gas inventory report shows that emissions have not only continued their downward trend in 2008, but have also picked up pace. The EU-27's emissions stood 11.3% below their 1990 levels, while EU-15 achieved a reduction of 6.9% compared to Kyoto base-year levels."
The problem with these sorts of studies is that no class of proxy (tree ring, ice core isotopes) is unambiguously correlated to temperature and, over and over again, authors pick proxies that confirm their bias and discard proxies that do not. This problem is exacerbated by author pre-knowledge of what individual proxies look like, leading to biased selection of certain proxies over and over again into these sorts of studies.
All three models generated robust annual mean warming (?0.5 C) throughout the Holocene (Fig. 1, black and yellow), resulting in a model-data inconsistency in global annual temperature of ?1 C. Discrepancies were different during last millennium and the start of the deglaciation. Over the last thousand years, climate models generate a global cooling toward the Little Ice Age (LIA)consistent with the M13 reconstruction only after adding realistic volcanic aerosols and solar variability (Fig. 1, Inset, gray line). During the early deglaciation both the proxy data and model show a large deglacial warming (3?4 C) overwhelming the data-model inconsistency.
French Asks Airlines to Cut Flights Ahead of Strikes:
Climate Change / Global Warming: The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is called the worlds foremost authority on global warming / climate change. Using climate models, in 1990, the IPCC predicted significant, continuous global warming to 2012 and beyond. According to comprehensive satellite data, there has been no warming of the atmosphere for over a decade. According to the less comprehensive, but highly recognized surface data (from HadCRU), there has been no statistically significant surface warming for sixteen years. Should US government policy be based on predictions from models which are obviously failing? Why?
Everyone should perceive flaws! To talk about "sceptics" as the ones who will "seize" upon "evidence" of flaws is unwittingly to make global warming into a matter of religion and not science. It's not the skeptics who look bad. "Seize" sounds willful, but science should motivate us to grab at evidence. It's the nonskeptics who look bad. It's not science to be a true believer who wants to ignore new evidence. It's not science to support a man who has the job of being a scientist but doesn't adhere to the methods of science.
The deadliest cyclone in recorded history was Cyclone Bhola , which struck Bangladesh (then part of Pakistan) in 1970. Estimates for the number killed range from 200,000 to 1,000,000 people. Like Katrina, this storm was classified as a category 3 when it made landfall. But unlike Katrina it did not have minute by minute satellite tracking. What was its maximum wind speed while it was over the ocean? It was reported to be 185 mph the day it made landfall, but nobody knows for sure. Id like to show some large high resolution color pictures of the devastation and the suffering of the people, just like Al Gore did for Katrina, but there are few to be found. You can see several grainy low resolution black and white pictures here .
The Committee has, willfully or inadvertently, become instruments for a political movement that will result in human suffering and grief. None of the Nobel science prizes have ever been given to climate related research. The Committee however, states in the press release that indications of changes in the earth's future climate must be treated with the utmost seriousness. They ought to leave evaluation of research on energy to the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. They are entrusted with the Nobel Prize in Physics after all.
Regardless, climate models are made interesting by the inclusion of "positive feedbacks" (multiplier effects) so that a small temperature increment expected from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide invokes large increases in water vapor, which seem to produce exponential rather than logarithmic temperature response in the models. It appears to have become something of a game to see who can add in the most creative feedback mechanisms to produce the scariest warming scenarios from their models but there remains no evidence the planet includes any such effects or behaves in a similar manner.
And as Dr Goklany goes on to explain, the WHOs results use climate modelresults that apparently overstate the warming trend three-fold compared toobservations despite using 27% less greenhouse gas forcing.
Nicolas D. Loris, "The Antiquated Act: Time to Repeal the Antiquities Act," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2998, March 25, 2015, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2015/03/the-antiquated-act-time-to-repeal-the-antiquities-act.
Where's the global warming? asks major European media outlet
The lack of climate skeptics on PBS's "Newshour'
A June 4, 2003, e-mail from Keith Briffa to fellow tree ring researcher Edward Cook at the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in New York stated: ?I got a paper to review (submitted to the Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Sciences), written by a Korean guy and someone from Berkeley, that claims that the method of reconstruction that we use in dendroclimatology (reverse regression) is wrong, biased, lousy, horrible, etc?If published as is, this paper could really do some damage?It won?t be easy to dismiss out of hand as the math appears to be correct theoretically? I am really sorry but I have to nag about that review?Confidentially, I now need a hard and if required extensive case for rejecting.?
As I mentioned previously, the real impact of the Kerry-Lieberman bill only emerges if it is applied to the rest of the world, and in particular the world?s developing nations.
Climate spin: Behind-the-scenes emails show profs evading questions
A few days ago I published an article about the new alarmist hockey stick by Marcott et al. My take?
Third Assessment Report, a suite of recent global climate model experiments, and
"Kerry and Graham support a border tax to protect American jobs from products produced in countries that don't commit to reducing their emissions. That is an admission that energy prices are going to go up and so are the prices of goods and services that are produced with or use energy. Consumers will be poorer as a result and hence will be able to afford fewer goods and services. Bye-bye manufacturing jobs. They also claim that their as-yet-to-be-written bill will reduce our imports of foreign oil. That's plausible, but not exactly correct. As our economy declines, we will need less oil. But it will reduce U. S. and Canadian production first because the production costs are much higher here than in Saudi Arabia.."
As laid out in the August 2000 report entitled "Fear Profiteers" that I helped edit, Fenton Communications has also been a key player in numerous scares, including those involving biotech foods, "toxic" chemicals in breast milk, toys and medical equipment made with PVC plastic, chemicals in the environment alleged to mimic hormones and, of course, rbST.
Dr. Sallie Baliunas: The temperature of the Earth has increased over the last 100 years. . . . The warming began early in the 20th century, late in the 19th century. But before that, there was a very long, protracted cooling that began in the 14th century that continued to the mid-19th centurya 500-year relative cold spell called the Little Ice Age. Before that, 800 or 1,000 years agothe early part of the millenniumthe temperature was even higher than today, worldwide . . . .
28.b. How much do you think the potential impact of global climate change is one of the leading problems for humanity in terms of social and economic issues.
CARBON TAX OR CAP & TRADE? - OR GO ON LIVING?
In his peer-reviewed 1980 paper Apparent Trends of Mean Temperature in New Zealand Since 1930 , JWD Hessell found that exposures of most New Zealand weather stations have been affected by changes in shelter, screenage and/or urbanisation, all of which tend to increase the observed mean temperature. A systematic analysis reveals that no important change in annual mean temperature since 1930 has been found at those stations where the above factors are negligible.
7. "It is already too late to avoid mass starvation," declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.