Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
There's an internet fight going on about how to limit emissions of greenhouse gases. In Corner #1, we have the Cap-and-Trade Kids, advocating limits on the amount of gases emitted. In Corner #2, we have the Pigou Clubbers, arguing for a carbon tax. Backing cap-and-trade are President Obama, Senator McCain (during the campaign), the European Union, and much of the rest of the world. Backing the carbon tax are Andrew Sullivan and a bunch of economists, nominally led by Harvard's Greg Mankiw. This seems a little lopsided.
* Ethanol creates jobs. Yes, spending billions in taxes that could otherwise pay for other government or private programs and billions in extra consumer costs for energy and food does prop up biofuel programs, until companies go bankrupt anyway. As to "Green" jobs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics defines "Green jobs" as any that make a company "more environmentally friendly" and elsewhere includes bus drivers piloting natural gas, biofuel, or hybrid vehicles. The Solar Energy Society includes accountants, lawyers, and landscapers involved even part time with making or installing solar panels. Even burger flippers could be Green job, if they sell a meal to a truck driver who's hauling corn to an ethanol plant.
Furthermore, HadCRUT4 shows absolutely no global warming since late 2000...
Rising sea levels threaten every coastline. More powerful storms and floods threaten every continent. More frequent drought and crop failures breed hunger and conflict in places where hunger and conflict already thrive. On shrinking islands, families are already being forced to flee their homes as climate refugees. (Barack Obama)
"Authorities say it will likely be some time before new legislation regulating video gambling in Illinois is implemented, since a major lawsuit was filed challenging numerous aspects of the law, said State Sen. Tim Bivins, R-Dixon."
To facilitate comparison with OLS methods, I also used the arima function with order (0,0,0) to reproduce OLS results (double-checking that this surmise was correct). The following calculates the maximum likelihood slope:
Australia is not caught up in this rare phenomenon, as the southern hemisphere has a separate jet stream based around the south pole, Mr Fisher said.
From the start IPCC computer model predictions were wrong so they switched to projections and scenarios but were still wrong. I put these findings with other problems to conclude that the only place in the world where a CO 2 increase precedes and causes a temperature increase is in global climate models. IPCC models are programmed so a CO 2 increase causes a temperature increase despite the evidence. In a classic circular argument, the IPCC then argue that their models prove CO 2 increase causes temperature increase. Here is a summary by Friends of Science member Norm Kalmanovitch of the problems and avoidance mechanisms using climate models.
People who say things like that shouldvolunteerto live there. The entire summer was below normal temperatures in the high Arctic (as it has been for the last dozen years) and parts of Alaska and Siberia had one of their coldest winters and summers on record.
A very good article on the drawbacks of lgenergilampor we find in Aftonbladet. It is two students, Jonas Bckstrm and Ida Strandkvist, BDA from Lule Technical University, which uppmrksammat that focusing on carbon makes to other environmental problems remains in the background.
Struggle Inside the White House to Redefine American Power. Viking. 416
Green Jobs Myths at the White House Summit
Yes, you read that right. The head of the IPCC said that reporting scientific results from an experiment was irresponsible. It is a wonderful quote to cite, because it exposes at a stroke the political agenda of Bolin and the IPCC, where the risk of derailing the pre-conceived plan to regulate CO2 is deemed irresponsible.
It is good news that the authors recognise that there has been no global temperature increase since 1998. Even after the standstill appears time and again in peer-reviewed scientific studies, many commentators still deny its reality. We live in the warmest decade since thermometer records began about 150 years ago, but it hasnt gotten any warmer for at least a decade.
For instance, a kettle with a power supply can serve as a constructor that can perform the task of heating water.
"As states grapple with increasingly squeezed budgets, one simmering battle -- trying to collect sales taxes from retailing behemoth Amazon (AMZN) -- has heated up considerably over the past year. The jury's still out on how much money states like Rhode Island and North Carolina (which is thick in litigation with Amazon over this very issue) will get from online sales-tax initiatives. But Texas has issued its own bill to Amazon -- to the tune of $269 million."
Ill acknowledge here that the problem cannot simply be fixed by ending all ethanol production and diverting the grains to food supply. We need more food to be produced for a growing world. Im sure that some farmers will be planting more grains to take advantage of the high prices but this will only be effective if the ethanol industry is prevented from gobbling up much needed food for a very inefficient fuel.
The Senate approves major farm legislation with a veto-proof majority.
I never understood that definition. How could I use a shovel to turn over the earth for my garden, for example? Every kilo of iron ore that is mined to make my shovel is a kilo of iron ore that is forever unavailable to future generations to meet their own needs. Its unavoidable. Which means that we will run out of iron, and thus any use of iron is ultimately unsustainable. My shovel use is depriving my great-grandchildren of shovels.
The corrected temperature record for the contiguous US is shown above (Hansen 2008). After correction, the highest temperature ever recorded in the US since 1880 was in 1934. There is no steady rise as predicted by greenhouse gas theory, but evidence of periodic oscillation of about 70 years, with a previous peak around 1933. Plotted below is the behavior of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (Mantua 2007) over the same period, showing the same periodic behavior. For a current graph of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), see the widget on the right side above.
Reducing the risk of potential global environmental disaster requires the development of a clear and ambitious roadmap for institutional change and effective sustainability governance within the next decade, comparable in scale and importance to the reform of international governance that followed World War II, they wrote. Comment: the ???potential?? risk is based solely on admittedly flawed computer models
2. A team of independent auditors, bloggers and scientists went through the BOM High Quality dataset and found significant errors, omissions and inexplicable adjustments, read more here http://joannenova.com.au/2012/06/threat-of-anao-audit-means-australias-bom-throws-out-temperature-set-starts-again-gets-same-results/
Thus the ruling class is by no means a meritocracy. On the contrary, what is required is conformity, and it is enforced without pity. Campus political correctness codes can thus be understood as a way of instilling in future leaders an awareness of the detailed code of manners they will have to follow if they wish to succeed in life and a stern warning to those who would disobey. After graduation, hate speech laws and the like continue to enforce the code.
Once moderate Democrats realize how the extortion strategy could backfire, many may jump off the cap-and-trade bandwagon. Some may even support separate legislation to preclude greenhouse gas regulation under PSD, NAAQS, etc.
8 hours ago Australias antarctic runway melting. AUSTRALIAS $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting, leaving the government scrambling to find a new air ...
And the process that has been seen by the Tevatron according to our detailed rumor - the " associated production of SUSY Higgs and b's" - only appears is tan(beta) is large. So you not only find two Higgses but you also find that one of them is more important than the other - a feature that only becomes natural in supersymmetric models.
Nordhaus explains that the assumptions used for the cost-benefit analyses, which are used to justify global carbon pricing, are theoretical; arguably, they are unrealistic for the real world. He says, p. 68 :
Katharine talks specifically about trees flowering earlier , so can we identify any seasonal changes? Lubbock lies in Division 1, in Texas, so lets look at the winter temperatures from NCDC for there.
From the time the "Freon phase out" began, virtually hundreds of millions of refrigeration systems worldwide had to be replaced. This included automobiles, homes, businesses, and food and medical refrigerators. The systems still functioned, but they could not be economically recharged with CFCs (does this sound familiar?). This enormous cost continues to be silently passed on to consumers. It is important to recognize that the alternatives to CFCs are many orders of magnitude more expensive than CFCs themselves. This is roughly analogous to comparing the cost per kwh of electricity produced by coal versus solar or wind.
* Nighttime marine air temperature (NMAT) trend (Hadley Center) = 0.2 F/decade
Ironically, however, the global governance advocates focus less on countries like Iran, Cuba, and North Korea than on the United States. There is a reason for this skewed focus. The United States is the main threat to global governance, with its antiquated attachment to its Constitution rather than to multilateral human rights treaties and institutions. Fonte explains the philosophical development of this antagonism toward the United States (and others holding similar views elsewhere), and poses his own alternative, which he labels "Philadelphian sovereignty," in contrast to the more familiar term, "Westphalian sovereignty."
The mainstream media, which used to encourage the renewables push enthusiastically, is beginning to sober up too. With more and more cracks beginning to appear, many newspapers are returning to their proper role as the fourth estate, exposing the pitfalls of Europe?s green-energy gamble and opening their pages for thorough analysis and debate. Today, European media is full of news and commentary about the problems of an ill-conceived strategy that is becoming increasingly shaky and divisive.
Im thinking, Maybe not. Yet, this sort of unethical practice goes on all the time. According to physician/activist Roy Poses, MD, there were at least four significant settlements of such cases during the last half of 2014 alone. And, by January 9th of our new year, another high profile case has already been settled. Officially, it is known as U.S. ex rel. Fragoules v. Daiichi Sankyo, Inc. , Civil Action No. 10-10420 (D. Mass.).
Gotta love the climate spinmeisters at work, it even extends to the signs folks, those are not WEATHER WARNINGS as the sign claims.
Hans Bader, senior attorney at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, told The Washington Times there is no better proof that Obama is failing in his vow to run the most transparent government in American history than the fact that three judges have ordered discovery against his administration.
(i) Scholars who have studied with the support of the fund can be expected to providesprofessional a lifetime of returns to the community.
The sad thing about the intellectual left is that not only does Manne not understand how to do the maths, the sums, and the physics of the climate, but hes not much good at the human insights into the process of climate research either. Indeed the irony, given the Churchs history of friction with science, is that Archbishop George Pell has a much better grip on both.
Here is why. Below I have enumerated the 60 factually correct statements in Roy Spencers interview. There are no factually incorrect statements.
During the summer driving season, refiners face the dual challenge of meeting higher demand while producing fuel that meets the tougher warm weather regulations designed to combat smog. Assuming the cost of crude remains high over the next few months, this summer could be a record-breaker for gas prices.
suspected us of doing and what the nonpublished diagram from NCAR showing
Yet the data file attached to a paper Nuccitelli co-authored last year marked only 64 papers out of 11,944 or just 0.5% as stating they believed the human influence on climate is not relatively small, in that they agree with the IPCC that more than half of the global warming since 1950 was manmade. Nuccitelli knew there was no consensus.
So even though evidence shows the vested interests are 3500 times larger on the believer side, and a $176 billion dollar market hangs for its very life on the truth (or not) of the great climate scare, Manne thinks he was beaten by big money. And that kind of thinking is why the intellectuals keep coming up with potty ideas.
Conclusion #4: Enforcement of EPA's reinterpretation of NSR has discouraged modifications that, had they been allowed to proceed, would have been economically and/or environmentally beneficial and would not have increased emissions.
Still, maybe this is just the ABCs refreshingly hard-hitting style, applied to all who preach on global warming. So lets see if Rajendra Pachauri , head of the IPCC, is similarly introduced on Lateline as a mining engineer and economist, not a climatologist who by definition works closely with green groups and warming believers:
Yet Another Round of Rockefeller-Snowe objection
Hopefully lArcheologo understand that this is a gross exaggeration, also because the idol to Twilight keeps saying that tries to make a mark in history. Can now hope for a miracle, that makes you fall in love again the British population and its Prime Minister, or perhaps more likely in prestigious international assignment, perhaps as President of the European Commission in Brussels: after all, a place that you could confare, view of the importance of the ability to charm the public and stakeholders, and the relatively minimal practical consequences of the decisions of the President.
"Congress can't ignore the facts. More pollution means more childhood asthma attacks tell Washington: Don't weaken the Clean Air Act."
"A leadership transition would mark a seismic shift in the tone of the EPA Committee," states the E&E; report. The switch will mean, according to Frank O'Connell, president of the environmental group Clean Air Watch, that instead of serving as a "shield for the executive branch" the committee could turn into "a battering ram against the executive branch."
That this assumed amplification is present in the models but not in reality explains why the models consistently overestimate recent warming.
Anthony Weiner Ethics Investigation Called for by Nancy Pelosi:
Reductions in summer heat are even more dramatic. Hot summer days were much more common prior to 1960.
debacle of Afghani President Hamid Karzai's stolen election and a simmering internal debate over the administration's strategy with some favoring a counterinsurgency campaign to stabilize the country,
The Philadelphia sea level graph shows no acceleration since 1900, destroying their own claim that sea level rise rates have doubled since 1992. And anyone with an IQ higher than a turnip would recognize that sea level cant rise long term at different rates in different places. The steady Northeast US trend is due to subsidence caused byglacial rebound in Canada. As Canada rises, the Northeast US sinks like a teeter totter.
it was being used for illicit or improper activities North Korean counterfeiting, for example, or Iran's nuclear and missile programs. When bankers claimed, as they often did, that
Im in the process of preparing a post about the apparent 2013 climate shift in the Pacific and its impacts on global sea surface temperatures.
One problem is that he will be using the RegEM method, which provides no
Energy is the lifeblood of our nation's economy, jobs, living standards and civil rights progress. Anything that affects energy availability, reliability and price affects every aspect of our lives. These federal diktats put bureaucrats and activists in charge of our entire economy seriously impairing our health and welfare.
I was reminded of this in coming across a little sidelight to Mann vs. Steyn, the defamation lawsuit filed by scientist-turned-activist Michael Mann in an attempt to suppress the speech of global warming skeptics, starting with conservative writer Mark Steyn.
From this post: The controversial head of the Oregon Climate Service -- stripped of the "state climatologist" title last year by Gov. Ted Kulongoski -- announced today that he will retire effective May 1. In February 2007, Kulongoski asked the president of Oregon State University to stop George Taylor from calling himself the state climatologist because of Taylor's skeptical stance on global warming . Note that Oregon is another state that is being "helped" by alarmist advocacy group Center for Climate Strategies .
Usually, in scientific disputes, there is more than one claim at issue. With global warming, there's the claim that our planet, on average, is getting warmer. There's also the claim that human emissions are the main cause of it, that it's going to be catastrophic, and that we have to transform civilization to deal with it. These are all different assertions with different bases of evidence. Evidence for warming, for instance, isn't evidence for the cause of that warming. All the polar bears could drown, the glaciers melt, the sea levels rise 20 feet, Newfoundland become a popular place to tan, and that wouldn't tell us a thing about what caused the warming. This is a matter of logic, not scientific evidence. The effect is not the same as the cause.
Every day we fail to take action, we export green jobs and our technological advantage to China. While some deniers claim there are no green jobs, just last week The New York Times pointed to this story :
Forty-four percent (44%) of U.S. voters now say long-term planetary trends are the cause of global warming, compared to 41% who blame it on human activity.
Larry Bell: Thank you both for contributing your thoughts and rationale in this exchange. Unfortunately, due to length, let's close this part of the discussion here recognizing that these will certainly not be the last words in this discussion. For now, we can leave those to reader commentaries. I can only urge and hope that responders continue the spirit of mutually respectful civility and substantive dialog that the two of you have exhibited.
Here it was I who had the advantage: before writing the article in the Telegraph I had spent three months tracking the equation down, because though it converts changes in the flow of radiation at a planetary surface to changes in temperature, and is therefore essential to discovering how much warming a given increase in CO2 concentration will deliver the IPCC's 2001 and 2007 climate assessment reports do not mention it once.
The assertion came at a Wednesday hearing before the House subcommittee on energy and power on the "Energy Tax Prevention Act of 2011." The measure is designed to reassert the authority of Congress to levy taxes on the American people and direct public policy ? powers that are being usurped by the unelected bureaucrats at the Environmental Protection Agency.
Heres a clue: the world has been in a warming trend since 1680, the depth of the Little Ice Age. It has warmed steadily since then, at half a degree per century. Within the trend there is a pattern of 25 ??? 30 years of warming followed by 25 ??? 30 years of mild cooling. We just finished a warming period that started in 1975, so chances are well have mild cooling for the next couple of decades. But there were no SUVs in 1680. Human emissions of CO2 were miniscule before 1850, nearly all come after WWII, and a quarter since 1998. Yet the warming trend was as strong in the 1700s and 1800s as it was in the 1900s.
?Academics must feel comfortable sharing research,? the Post?s board wrote then, ?disagreeing with colleagues and proposing conclusions ? not all of which will be correct ? without fear that those who dislike their findings will conduct invasive fishing expeditions in search of a pretext to discredit them.?
The reader shouts, Enough with the Marxist rhetoric! But those ideas are not exclusively Marxian dialectics. They are, in fact, an admixture of Marxist and progressive nonsensethe writings of Lenin, Trotsky, and John Dewey, the progressive philosopher, academic, and father of modern education in the US. 1
Fig. 1 shows the temperature data from one surface dataset (from the U.S. National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration) and one satellite dataset of observations from the lower atmosphere (from the University of Alabama in Huntsville). There are other data compilations besides these two, but they are somewhat similar and the differences are not what I am interested in discussing here (although it is by no means an uninteresting topic).
on Friday, April 2nd, 2010 at 4:19 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
Location Uncertainty	horizontal +/- 12.1 km (7.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
There seems to be little robust evidence either of any change to date, or of a significant change in the future.
Former Vibe editor and current author Dave Bry wondered publicly in a Saturday editorial for The Guardian whether or not it is moral to birth a child in a world that could supposedly become uninhabitable within the next few decades.
The problem is that it is I who have the microphone. I understands that it irritates you, but Mr. tillfllet to vederlgga your arguments tnker I do not let g ifrn me, frklarade Gabriel.
In ECO-FREAKS, the author shows how environmentalism has put us all in danger: The banning of DDT has made more people sick; the banning of asbestos has allowed more buildings to catch fire; and exaggerations about global warming jeopardize automobile safety. Environmentalists also played a role in the devastation wrought by Hurricane Katrina by blocking the federal government's plans to build giant floodgates on Lake Pontchartrain. Berlau urges policymakers to abandon such destructive policies and embrace a practical conservation ethic, one that would better protect public health and wildlife.
Four weedy C 3 plants , common to European grasslands, were grown from seed to senescence in glasshouses receiving atmospheric CO 2 concentrations of 350 and 550 ppm. In addition, these annual species ( Cardamine hirsute , Spergula arvensis , Senecio vulgaris , and Poa annua ) were grown at full light and reduced light (67% of full light) levels, to determine the interactive effects of elevated CO 2 and light on their vegetative and reproductive success. What was learned
Below is the outline for our previous edition of our Agenda for Congress (This Liberal Congress Went to Market? A Bi-Partisan Agenda for Congress)
The map below is the 1971 National Geographic ice map which is nearly identical to the current state of the Arctic.
Wood used to be society's primary energy source; it's now shrunk to a few percent of the total pie, yet we consume more total wood now. Coal's trajectory was the same; used to dominate (1910) as two-thirds of the world's energy but its share has declined since, though total coal use is up. Oil's share of world energy peaked in 1973; still total consumption has since risen as economies expanded. New energy sources and techniques to sustain and propel society don't displace old ones in absolute terms, just relative ones. Likely some combination of solar and nuclear will take the next slot in this long line, expanding choices, but not replacing what came before. After that, in a century? Dark energy? Who knows.
Gratefully, though ideologically aligned with them, he attempted to appease and didn't take the extreme level of action Friends of the Earth would have liked.
The reasons for the changes in the GOP were many, and the Democrats were affected by some of the same forces. Both parties were reshaped by political developments in the 1960s the counterculture, the Vietnam War, Barry Goldwater's candidacy, the Voting Rights Act, and the racial realignment of the South.