Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
No evidence supports either proposition. Moreover, oil sands production would add a minuscule 0.06% to US greenhouse gas emissions, a tiny fraction of that amount to global carbon dioxide emissions, and an undetectable 0.00002 deg F (0.00001 C) per year to useless computer-model scenarios for global warming.
eight, and said he would do all of that in his first 100 days.
The rules of the road the court would presumably enforce are based on the view that these developed countries owe developing countries a "debt" over climate change, and must provide financial aid in addition to taking major steps toward cutting emissions.
The memorandum creates a Climate and National Security Working Group consisting of nineteen federal departments and agencies plus more to be named later. The working group will be chaired by Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Susan Rice and Assistant to the President for Science and Technology John Holdren. The working group, in "close collaboration" with the U. S. Global Change Research Program, is charged with seventeen specific tasks plus producing a broad Action Plan within 90 days and a Federal Agency Implementation Plan within 150 days.
There is strong psychological evidence that alarmist fears of climate change are far more the result of groupthink and the group polarization process than scientific evidence and, yes, this alarmist groupthink has indeed led to the triumph of irrationality over reason.
Who pays for all this bad science, and worse, news? We do, of course. And it doesn?t come cheap. According to data compiled by Joanne Nova at the Science and Public Policy Institute, the U.S. Government spent more than $32.5 billion on climate studies between 1989 and 2009. This doesn?t count about $79 billion more spent for related climate change technology research, foreign aid and tax breaks for ?green energy.?
This wont wash. It is tantamount to saying that EPA can avoid the obligation to establish NAAQSto control air pollution from numerous or diverse mobile or stationary sources that it hasdeterminedendangers public health or welfare just bydeclining to do the paperwork.
If you take China and India out of the equation, what is more surprising is that under current regulations, coal demand in the rest of the world will remain at current levels, Durbin said.
All major global datasets, up to date. The pause is clear enough. The lower two lines are from satellites. Jan 2015 | Graph, Dr David Evans.
And for additional introductory discussions of El Nio processes see:
source: instagram.com Yet another bitterly cold, snowy winter is destroying alarmist global warming claims, proving once again that over-the-top global warming predictions are proving no more scientifically credible than snake oil.
Less is more, part one. Warmists say the ice is melting, but Arctic ice increased 23% since 2007.
I hope Dr. Parker isn't one of my PPO providers. I'd hate to have to pay to go out of network just to avoid her particular brand of eco-crazy. Then again, maybe it's just my lack of offspring that's making me callous to the prospect of slightly fewer snow days in Maryland. Think of the children!
U.S. Climate Extremes Index (CEI) | Extremes | National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)
What a difference a year can make. On Tuesday President Obama announced that the Department of Energy would guarantee $8.3 billion of loans to Southern Company, enabling its subsidiary, Georgia Power, to build two nuclear power plants, the first in America in over 30 years.
Nightly television pictures of the tragic destruction from tornadoes over the past months might make one wonder if the frequency of tornadoes is increasing, perhaps due to the increasing levels of CO2 in the atmosphere. But as one can read at Andrew Revkin??s New York Times blog, dotearth, ???There is no evidence of any trend in the number of potent tornadoes (category F2 and up) over the past 50 years in the United States, even as global temperatures have risen markedly.??
(11) When the "consensus" is maintained by an army of water-carrying journalists who defend it with uncritical and partisan zeal, and seem intent on helping certain scientists with their messaging rather than reporting on the field as objectively as possible.
the often quoted increase in weather extremes, this however has not been the case in the Alps. Completely to the contrary: The temperature fluctuations have even decreased over the last decades, summed up climatologist and study author Reinhard Bhm. The results of the study have left the scientists amazed.
An Obama Administration executive order / regulation (hard to tell the difference any more)
The logarithmic plots of CO2 doubling help demonstrate why CO2 won??t cause a runaway greenhouse effect due to diminished IR returns as CO2 PPM??s increase. This is something many people don??t get to see visualized.
17j. The ability of regional climate models to model extreme events for the next 50 years
The outbreak of recent killer weather events including US tornadoes hitting Joplin, Missouri and Tuscaloosa, Alabama has everyone asking whether there is a link between tornadoes and human-induced climate change. In this writer??s experience when US TV or radio weathermen are asked about the cause of recent strong tornadoes, they most always ignore climate change as a potential cause and point to a cyclical ocean circulation event known as La Nia as the cause of recent tornadoes if they comment on causation at all. Rarely is human-induced climate change mentioned as a cause or contributing factor in the recent outbreak of sever tornadoes although questions about causation are becoming more frequent on TV and newspapers in this writer??s experience.
MISSOURI -80% of electricity; 6th in coal use
The two-week period, last week of November and first week of December is the coldest since CET records began in 1659.
WTO-UNEP report gives the nod -- sort of -- to carbon border taxes
It sits smack dab in the heart of several recently active geologically induced geothermal heat and gas release events (see geologic map below).
Future historians will reflect upon this unscientific aberration of our age as highly reminiscent of a time nearly four centuries ago when Galileo hopelessly protested when forced to recant his direct observations,"and yet it moves." Just as the sun doesn't orbit around the earth, perpetual world climate changes don't cycle around earthlings either.
I, too, have firsthand knowledge about receiving special treatment. Ross McKitrick has documented similar experiences, as have John Christy and David Douglass and Roy Spencer, and I am sure others. The unfortunate side-effect of this differential treatment is that a self-generating consensus slows the forward progress of scientific knowledge?a situation well-described by Thomas Kuhn is his book The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. ?Chip Knappenberger]
DSM proponents exaggerate the energy savings from such policies. Contrary to popular belief, energy efficiency improvements do not reduce society's overall energy consumption. In fact, greater efficiency leads to more energy use, because efficiency lowers the cost of consumption and frees up dollars for other energy-consuming activities.
"Do the powers-that-be at NPR think Juan Williams is a bigot? Do they think a traveler who has a reaction (fair or unfair) like the one Juan describes, in our age of terror in the name of Islam, is a bigot?"
This means that if this trend continues, these two datasets will in the future report monthly GSTA that are increasingly higher than UAHs. RSS on the other hand will in the future report monthly GSTA that are increasingly lower than UAHs and that of the three land-based data sets. Albeit the fact that RSS and UAH use data retrieved from the same systems; the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration satellites microwave (and Advanced) sounding unit (MSU, and AMSU), the trend observed here suggests that computational and/or other data-treatment differences may play a role. In addition, this disagreement is likely a problem related to under-constraining such that one or both of the measurements is (are) biased relative to the true state of the measurand (2).
All of the above is background to one of the great mysteries of the climate change issue. Virtually all the scientists directly involved in climate prediction are aware of the enormous problems and uncertainties still associated with their product. How then is it that those of them involved in the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (the IPCC) can put their hands on their hearts and maintain there is a 95% probability that human emissions of carbon dioxide have caused most of the global warming that has occurred over the last several decades?
The group think concludes that carbon dioxide is the principal driver of climate change and that human emissions of carbon dioxide are causing unprecedented and dangerous global warming. These conclusions can easily be rejected by examining ice core borings from Greenland and other empirical data which show that temperature change for the past 10,000 and 25,000 years is largely unrelated to atmospheric carbon dioxide and that 20th century warming is insignificant compared with many 100 year warming and cooling periods in the past.
Because the sea surface temperatures for that dataset cool during the 9- and 11-year periods between the major El Nio events, and because the sea surface temperatures there warm only during the major El Nio events, and because the long-term data shows a significant warming trend, then one might conclude the major El Nio events are responsible for all of the long-term warming of the South Atlantic, Indian and West Pacific Oceans. Its not an unreasonable conclusion. In fact, thats what the data shows.
Plant growth enhancement with CO2 up to 1000 ppm is strong, and up to 2000 ppm is measurable, meaning that plants know how to use more, expect to have more, and are rate limited at the low levels of today.
After years of talking about it, we are finally poised to control our own energy future. We produce more oil at home than we have in 15 years. We have doubled the distance our cars will go on a gallon of gas, and the amount of renewable energy we generate from sources like wind and solar with tens of thousands of good, American jobs to show for it. We produce more natural gas than ever before and nearly everyones energy bill is lower because of it. And over the last four years, our emissions of the dangerous carbon pollution that threatens our planet have actually fallen.
A moment's reflection, however, reveals that this argument is an empty suit. All it proves is that EPA has jumped through the requisite procedural hoops, which nobody disputes. It in no way demonstrate that Congress intended for EPA to regulate greenhouse gases.
A Climate Deal Worth a Small Degree of Success
As one would expect, Europe does very well in the rankings and has the highest representation at the top of the list with fourteen of the top twenty countries. The highly homogenized populations of Finland, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway are listed in order as the top five most prosperous countries. The larger and more ethnically diverse populations of the United Kingdom (twelfth), Germany (fourteenth), France (seventeenth), Spain (nineteenth), and Italy (twenty-first) also rank highly.
We may have some information about the spin of the electron a second ago and predict some measurement of the spin we perform the next second. This is true both in classical physics and quantum mechanics. The two frameworks radically differ by the "spectrum" of possible values that the spin can take (and similarly other observables). And they also fundamentally differ in the way how we make predictions about the future measurements about the information that the measurements will yield (it's the very same thing) from the information that the past experiments have already yielded. The laws of quantum mechanics are probabilistic and involve all the linear Hermitian operators acting on a Hilbert space (or density matrices which are also operators on the Hilbert space).
The models also did not predict the 18-19 year "pause" in global warming, thus are not valid to determine attribution to natural vs. anthropogenic causes
Material for a reconstruction comes from several proxies, from innumerable places, several latitudes, of areas with continental climate and marine climate, and they are not all of equal quality. To puzzle this all together not only requires carefulness but also a truck cargo of statistical techniques to find real correlations and not only local coincidences. And then still in some periods of the reconstruction, the error margins in the results will be considerably large.
A spate of books have come out to support these claims: "The End of Oil: On the Edge of a Perilous New World," "Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil" and "The Party's Over: Oil, War, and the Fate of Industrial Societies."
I seem to remember from statistics class that anything less than 95 percent probability is junk science. This is an editorial from the most recent issue of GEO, a Norwegian magazine about earth sciences
The United States Supreme Court ruled today against six states that sought standing to sue sources of greenhouse gas emissions for their contributions to global warming under federal common law. The court ruled 80 in American Electric Power Co. v. Connecticut that the Clean Air Act and the Obama administration's regulatory actions on climate had displaced the states' common law "public nuisance" argument. The Court left one issue open, splitting 44 on the issue of whether federal courts even had jurisdiction to hear the claims.
The changes to the UAH dataset can obviously be justified, while the changes to the NOAA data obviously cannot be.
Here For the 12th time this meteorological summer (since June 1), daytime highs failed to reach 70 degrees Wednesday. Only one other year in the past half century has hosted so many sub-70-degree days up to this point in a summer season -- 1969, when 14 such days occurred. Wednesday's paltry 65-degree high at O'Hare International Airport (an early-May-level temperature and a reading 18 degrees below normal) was also the city's coolest July 8 high in 118 years -- since a 61-degree high on the date in 1891.
Professor Bob Carter is a geologist and the author of Climate: The Counter Consensus.
4. Global temperatures increased roughly from the middle of the 19th century (the end of the Little Ice Age) through the eruption of Krakatoa in 1883, and then from about 1910 through about 1940. They were roughly constant through about 1980, increased until 1998 (a year with a strong El Nio), and have exhibited no trend since then. How much of this long-term upward trend is anthropogenic, and how do you know?
???While incremental improvements can be expected with biomass, wind and solar, what is needed for them to become viable is an order of magnitude increase in productivity?? . As significant future energy sources these technologies are dead ends, which is why the government, and not the private sector, is funding them.??
A more fundamental problem: Most Kyoto foes rest their case on a demoralizing argument. Kyoto is said to be "flawed" and "unfair" because it exempts developing countries from emission controls. As the slogan has it, "A global problem requires a global solution." But such criticism concedes the main points at issue. It implies that global warming is a real problem, and that suppressing fossil energy is the solution.
Theodore Them provides a detailed criticism of New York State's determination to ban hydraulic fracturing, which prevents the development of the state's vast natural gas and oil reserves. The misguided fracking ban, he writes, is due to radical environmentalists' influence on Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) and the actions of inept Commissioner of Health Howard Zucker.
When doing business becomes so expensive, there tends to be a lot less of it. Of course businesses pass on their costs, so regulation becomes a hidden trillion-dollar tax on consumers. This is bad policy at any time. During a recession, it's economic hara-kiri. The numbers are up as well as the costs. The 2008 Federal Register reached a record 79,435 pages, up 10 percent from the previous year. Even as the economy dipped into recession, agencies issued 3,830 new final rules. As you read this, 4,004 new federal regulations fill the pipeline, 753 of which affect small businesses.
Zurich University Hospital has stopped treating North American "medical tourists," fearing million-dollar claims from litigious patients if operations go wrong. Hospitals in canton Valais have also adopted measures to protect themselves against visitors from the United States, Canada and Britain.
Today, it's been 50 years since the assassination of JFK.
The plan was aimed at "raising questions about and undercutting the "prevailing scientific wisdom'" on climate change, Newsweek claimed. The plan was leaked to the press and as a result was never implemented, according to Newsweek.
on Saturday, November 6th, 2010 at 12:26 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
The temperature increasing capacity of atmospheric CO2 is known to diminish as concentrations increase. This diminution effect is probably the reason why there was no runaway greenhouse warming caused by CO2 in earlier eons when CO2 levels were known to be at levels of several thousands ppm v .
transition of artificial ventilated Stevenson screen to the current KNMI round-plated screen (June 1993).
California Gov. Jerry Brown is 76 and turns 78 in 2016. Andrew Cuomo lives with a woman not his wife not a problem in New York, but not helpful for a national candidate.
In addition to the CEI, a number of groups belonging to the Cooler Heads Coalition were represented at Celebrate Coal!, including the National Center for Public Policy Research, FreedomWorks, and Americans for Prosperity. Also attending were Ann McElhinney and Phelim McAleer, the Irish filmmakers whose new documentary about global warming, Not Evil Just Wrong, masterfully debunks global warming hysteria. For all the Capitol Climate Action protesters' posturing, our per capita carbon footprint was much smaller than theirs. Many of them were university students who flew to Washington for the protest and to attend an environmental conference the previous weekend. Most of us took the Metro and a few walked to our Celebrate Coal! Rally.
Among other things, the fact that the deadly North American droughts of the MWP have never been equaled throughout all the ensuing years argues strongly that what Benson et al . call the anomalous warmth of that period has also "never been equaled throughout all the ensuing years," which further suggests (since the air's CO 2 content was so much less during the MWP than it is now) that the lesser warmth of today need not in any way be related to the much higher CO 2 concentration of earth's current atmosphere. Reviewed 8 August 2007
First, Icelands eye-catching volcanism, which captured the curiosity of the world, erupted and its associated heat flow rapidly melted huge continental glaciers. It is important to understand that while pictures of Icelandic eruptions make good press, there is another very significant component to the Icelandic heat-flow story: convective systems.
He says the most reliable gauges, located at Fremantle and Auckland, show an increase in sea level of approximately 120 millimetres between 1920 and 2000, or 1.5 millimetres per year. But this increase is reducing at a rate of between 0.02 and 0.04 millimetres per year.
Response: Yes. The Clean Air Act specifies that BACT for a source cannot be less stringent than an applicable NSPS. Thus, when EPA completes an NSPS for a source category, BACT determinations that follow for applicable sources would need to consider the levels of the pollutant standards and the supporting rationale of the NSPS.
Tonight, from the 1965 EP Prop Del Bressol ("Near the Crib"), Catalonian choir Orfe Enric Morera keeps Christmas up and running with a few traditional Czech, German, and Italian songs . The comments are open, as always, for your Reader Tips.
Because of the centrality of individual freedom in the United States, norming advocates are invariably on the international Left politically; there are simply no other nations as liberty-oriented as we are.
A Conservative Think Tank Wants The White House Science Czars Private Emails
The Times reports on the subpoena CEI recieved from an attorney general as part of the intimidation campaign to silence the debate on climate change.
This study claims to reconstruct 2,000 years of sea levels. (It actually extrapolates from a study of shallow salt marshes with an historical reconstruction going back 300 years and based on the prevalence of foraminifera fossils to reconstruct the past sea levels. These reside in the very shallow, sandy pools and die in deeper waters, so theoretically we can see where sea levels were in the past.) They used tide gauge data to calibrate. By observing agreement between direct observations and this proxy reconstruction they can estimate the rate of rise and extrapolate into the past. Or so they claim.They were exhaustive in their methodology; choosing a whopping two points (Sand Point and Tump Point) to study the fossils and calibrating from data from two other points (Wilmington and Hampton Roads). Their conclusion? Sea level rise has accelerated, and this "correlates" to the industrial era.
The total Arctic sea ice area is currently almost 2 million square kilometers higher than one year ago. It is near normal for the end of October, humiliating some would-be "predictions" (self-serving and ideologically driven, unsubstantiated lies) of a new record low for 2008.
policy for wanting others to step up: The point is not merely to spread the burden but
In short, if melting permafrost continues, as it has being doing steadily since the last Ice Age, then more carbon dioxide will be absorbed. This represents a massive natural buffer to any tipping point predicted by climate change doomsayers.
Coming at a time when public credibility in science is being seriously eroded by ongoing revelations of malpractice in what the public was assured was irrefutable fact and settled science regarding climate change, these extraordinary (their own description) claims regarding the GBR are well positioned to become a Reefgate . This is especially so in that a key claim in this report and widely made elsewhere, is that a major benefit of protected areas on reefs is the increased resilience they provide against climate change.
Greenhouse gas curbs on industries such as power generation and steel could provide a basis for a renewed U.N.-led drive to fight global warming, Akio Mimura, Chairman of Nippon Steel Corp said on Thursday
While we discuss the uncertainties in estimates of Arctic Ocean temperatures and its trends, it is useful to put into perspective its relatively small size.
Renewable Electricity 'Creating' Jobs, Destroying Wealth
Of course, not all celebrities are liberal. Bush had a small stable of celebs in his corner, ranging from Loretta Lynn to Bo Derek. Others such as Charlton Heston and Arnold Schwarzenegger have made themselves fixtures in conservative circles.
Grandmother Mounts Legal Challenge to Scotland's "Dash for Wind'
Speziale, K.L. and Ezcurra, C. 2014. Rock outcrops as potential biodiversity refugia under climate change in North Patagonia. Plant Ecology & Diversity : 10.1080/17550874.2014.983200.
The Committee also credited Mann with the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize that was awarded to the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Al Gore. "This would have been impossible had his activities in reporting his work been outside accepted practices in his field," the committee observed. MIT's Lindzen was also a co-Nobelist, but apparently the award didn't help his credibility.
By Jim Lakely, Heartland.org, Jul 9, 2015, from geologist George Klein
My point is that there are many sudden rainfall change events in Australian climate history and from larger regions than SW WA and little attention is put into explaining these.