Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
I used RegEm, as provided by dr Steig with the data as he also provided it to make the following graphs. There are a pile of them because I dont have the actual implementation code and I havent verified which version (if any of these) he used yet but here it goes. I think youll find some interesting detail.
Personally, I have felt the need to break loose of the shackles of loyalty to colleagues and institutions if it comes at the expense of integrity in science and professional conduct. I envy Richard Muller who comes at the issue of climate science without the baggage associated with loyalty to colleagues or institutions in the climate field; rather his colleagues are a very elite group of physicists. Mullers approach of securing private funding and publishing his papers first on the internet has allowed him to avoid the schackles that I rather uncomfortably had to break away from. Private funding, the internet, and the emergence of scientists from outside the traditional community (not just Mullers team but also Steve McIntyre, Nic Lewis etc.) bodes well for improving the integrity of climate science in the 21st century and diminishing the effectiveness of the consensus police.
How rapid and extensive has the phenomenon been? According to the authors of this study, ?vegetation in the upland tundra east of the Mackenzie Delta has changed dramatically in the last three decades with relative increases in tall shrub cover and alder density of 68.1 and 35%, respectively? Read More
Here is another excellent example of a false problem that allows the mandarins to have a free run. Its early re hospitalization. So an old and debilitated person returns and is hospitalized within 30 days of the previous hospitalization and the insurance companies, or even the medicare and medicaid people refuse to pay for the care. Is it possible that penalizing by refusal of payment, the hospital, would ignore the fact that chronically ill people tend to be frequent flyers?
Most alarming of all, however, was a succession of scientific studies showing that, far from helping to cut global CO2 emissions, biofuel production could often give off much more CO2 than it saved not least by disturbing huge quantities of CO2 locked in the soil which, according to the University of Minnesota, could release 17 to 420 times more CO2 than would be saved by the biofuels. A study by Cornell University showed that, thanks to the high-energy inputs needed to make biofuels from farm crops in everything from machinery and fertilisers to the intensive use of irrigation they took 29 percent more energy to produce than was generated by the biofuel itself.
CFACT heads to Rio+20 to expose UN "sustainability" ploy
The fact that growing numbers of people, on their own, have turned to CFLs doesn't count for much; for our esteemed congressional representatives, the burning question is: Why hasn't everyone? Why is the CFL market share only 6 percent here, compared to 80 percent in Japan?
This state of affairs is much the same as what has typically been found on land for birds, butterflies, and several other terrestrial lifeforms, as their ranges expand and overlap in response to global warming.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Merredin-Wheatbelt Mercury
This study is of interest since it shows a new perspective on thelarge uncertainty thatremains in climate prediction.It also highlights how poorly the ocean uptake of heat is simulated in the models.
Because large droplets in clouds scatter sunlight almost uniformly across the spectrum, the clouds themselves can't be the reason why different wavelengths contribute differently to the net cloud effect. Compared to cloud droplets, aerosols are more than 100 times smaller and scatter wavelengths differently. These results suggest that aerosols which not only cause haziness but contribute to cloud formation as well are responsible for the wavelength differences, something researchers need to be aware of as they study clouds in the sky.
Strike one : No one measuring ice extent or area shows a decline since 2007.
Modellers have failed to cut their central estimate of global warming in line with a new, lower feedback estimate from the IPCC. They still predict 3.3 oC of warming per CO2 doubling, when on this ground alone they should only be predicting 2.2 oCabout half from direct warming and half from amplifying feedbacks.
Or is this number good for NWF? In its Educator's Guide, a sidebar column said 51 million acres of tropical forest is lost each year (equal to 140,000 acres per day, 5,800 per hour, 96 per minute, and 1.6 per second).
"Although not an accurate demonstration of the physics of climate change, the experiment we have considered and related ones are valuable examples of the dangers of unintentional bias in science , the value of at least a rough quantitativeprediction of the expected effect, the importance of considering alternative explanations, and the need for carefully designed experimental controls ."
With a little goading by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change scientists, in 2005 newspaper headlines linked the busy hurricane season and the strength of the hurricanes to human-caused climate change. Where are the headlines now?
Incredible amounts increasing yearly and wasted on every bigger and more expensive computers to run models. Careerists who cannot forecast seasonal weather were making things up (and began to alter weather data on purpose) while spending lavishly on computers pushing the AGW ideology all at the publics great expense.
But OSTP changed its view in its final response, which labeled Holdren's statement as his "personal opinion." Perhaps it realized the weakness of Holdren's argument that global warming causes winter cold. It refused to correct Holdren's statement, invoking the personal opinion exception in the federal Information Quality Act in its June 6 letter. The agency repeated this claim when it denied CEI's appeal of that decision, in an August 4 letter from its general counsel Rachael Leonard.
But that approach lost out to the computer-modeling approach favored by climate scientists. And that approach was flawed from the beginning, Dyson said.
Now that President Obama has won re-election, these two excellent books will be
Weve reported on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on several occasions, the last time here . Could it be that the AMOC acts as a decisive internal component of variability for Arctic ice melt? Lets carry out a short plausibility check: The impact of the AMOC can be especially well depicted by the course of the heat content of the upper 700 meters of water in the area of the North Atlantic between 45N 60N and 60W 10W.
By C. Idso, S. Idso, R. Carter, S. Singer Lead authors, NIPCC, 2014
We raised the water temperature in miniature ecosystems containing eelgrass meadows, while simultaneously bubbling with carbon-dioxide. This allowed us to simulate a future climate scenario, characterized by both warmer waters and ocean acidification, explains researcher Christian Alsterberg.
To put it another way: in July of last year, at least 7/8th (87%) of the warming was due to natural processes, and the truth surely was well over 90%. It is funny that Dr. Hansen and others exaggerating the effects of human emissions don't say it this way. The correct way.
"South Korea's liberal opposition, bolstered by the under-40s and power of social media, could spring a surprise win in this week's parliamentary elections despite opinion polls that show it tied with the ruling conservatives."
Given this information how on earth can climatologists claim that the multi-year irregularities in the data are caused by human activities? Putting it the other way round, how can they distinguish between natural variability that has been observed since biblical times, and the superimposed human-related consequences? I have undertaken diligent studies of long hydro-climatological data series for the past 30 years. If present, trends related to human activities are undetectable while the solar signal is very clear.
I doubt that Garth would be too comfortable being described as an ?insider,? even though the public would surely view him as one. Garth is first and foremost a scientist and scientific thinking requires one to step outside convention, conformity, and consensus in order to discover things that have been missed previously. Why would he want to be party to any insider?s party line? Treading only well-worn paths is not the way to discovery and new learning. Although scientists do have their orthodoxies, those bucking orthodoxy are normally given some grudging respect, even if sometimes too little too late. The greatest, most revered figures in the history of science often faced enormous odds against the very orthodoxy they overturned to become famous.
Messrs. Bowen and Coles, who last year formed a company called Virginia Uranium, are asking the state to determine whether mining uranium really is a hazard and, if not, to lift the ban. But they've run into a brick wall of environmental activists who raise the specter of nuclear contamination and who are determined to prevent scientific studies of the issue.
Serious studies from prominent organizations, e.g., the Harvard School of Public Health, show that that loss of protection results in a substantial number of fatalities.
Since the output from GCM models is in W/m^2 a second fabricated parameter was required to convert flux to temperature; another conversion that has no possible physical relationship that can be validated by data. This parameter called climate sensitivity was simply the value that converted the output energy flux to temperature that best fit the temperature data back to 1960 in Hansens 1988 paper.
Gov. Kaine supports allowing the National Academy of Sciences to determine whether mining could be done safely. So does virtually every elected official in heavily Republican Pittsylvania County. Earlier this year the narrowly Democratic state Senate voted 34-6 to authorize the study. But the measure was killed in committee in the House under pressure from environmental groups. If it was allowed to come up for a vote in the full House, which is controlled by Republicans, opponents concede it would have passed.
According to the program, our purpose is to think long-term about dealing with climate change, which I'll do in a moment.
So how do the EPA, IPCC, Michael Mann, Al Gore and other Climate Armageddonites deal with all these inconvenient truths, questions and skeptical researchers?
When the data consistently conflict with their hypothesis, reputable scientists revise the hypothesis. Five-alarm climate scientists desperately seek new shells, and new excuses.
As the UK experiences its coldest March in 50 years and braces for a white Easter weekend at the same time there are critical shortages of natural gas, Christopher Booker expresses his frustration with the UK's energy policy in The (UK) Telegraph:
Hurricanes were supposed to get bigger and more frequent, instead we??ve had an unbroken 7 years long drought for major Cat3-5 hurricanes , and Sandy wasn??t even a hurricane when it made landfall . The last Category 3 or stronger storm to make landfall was Hurricane Wilma making landfall onOctober 24, 2005. The more than seven years (2568 days as of today ??? ref here ) since then is the longest such span in over a century.
The Clinton Administration's economic analysis, which claims that the cost of reducing emissions 31 percent by 2008-2012 will be negligible, relies on the estimated availability of emission credits from Russia. Under the Kyoto Protocol Russia must reduce emissions to 1990 levels by the target date. As a result of its economic collapse, Russia is expected to have excess emission credits to sell in 2008. A new Russian government study, however, estimates that Russia will have between 273 million to 546 million metric tons of carbon equivalent in allowances for the years 2008-2012 which is much lower than previous estimates. Moreover, Russia may decide to bank credits to be applied to emissions reduction targets beyond 2012 that may emerge from the Kyoto Protocol, which could mean higher compliance costs in the U.S. (BNA Daily Environment Report, June 12, 1998).
Although this paper confirmed the findings of a massive amount of previous research that the Medieval Warming generated higher temperatures than the current warming, the IPCC instead conferred star status to the statistically-tortured 'hockey stick' graph, which showed the previous warming to be less than the current era, and then was subsequently found to be without credible merit - a statistical travesty.
In the 19th century, British Prime Ministers used to say there were lies, damned lies, and statistics. In the 21st century, we may say there are frauds, serious frauds, and IPCC Assessment Reports. Recall, for instance, the notorious graph in the Fourth Assessment Report that falsely indicated that the rate of global warming is accelerating and we are to blame. Using the same statistical dodge, one can show that a sine-wave has a rising trend.
For example, the metabolism of many crustaceans that live in eelgrass meadows increases when the water temperature rises. This in turn means they need to eat more algae and may consequently graze it more efficiently. At the same time, the growth of benthic microalgae on the sediment surface in the eelgrass meadows will be more vigorous.
Murphy's view fits very well with what Phil Jones, the former head of East Anglia University's Climatic Research Unit, said in one of his "Climategate" emails (July 5, 2005):
What a remarkably intricate world we live in, where a bunch of cows figures out how to keep a small genetically interbred herd strong in the absence of predators. Astonishing.
G stinl gg av Lennart Bengtsson
They threaten our most basic rights and freedoms, our political and scientific processes and ultimately our continued innovation and invention, energy reliability and affordability, job creation and economic growth, and modern living standards, health and welfare.
"Officials at the Treasury Department's Office of Financial Stability contracted with a small consulting firm that has given nearly $25,000 to Democratic candidates since 2005 (and no money to Republicans) to hire "Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) Analysts to support the Disclosure Services, Privacy and Treasury Records." The firm is currently advertising a job opening for a FOIA analyst with experience in the "Use of FOIA/PA exemptions to withhold information from release to the public" (emphasis mine, and if that link goes down, The Examiner has kept a copy for its records)."
Clearly, back then, they thought that Everybody ought to have a henge!
Then I discovered something in Google Earth called Panoramio, which had a whole collection of tourist submitted shots around the observatories.
But he said the Upper Midwest region is getting wetter. Researchers found there is more water vapor in the atmosphere now compared to decades ago.
Farm Subsidies, Media Ownership and Global Warming
It was presented as fact. The UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, led by India's very own RK Pachauri, even announced a consensus on it. The world was heating up and humans were to blame. A pack of lies, it turns out.
Yet this remains a hard sell to a public more concerned about terrorism than about climate change. So the administration has gone so far as to try and link the two issues, making the absurd claim that climate change is a matter of national security.
Likelihood refers to a probabilistic assessment of some well defined outcome having occurred or occurring in the future, and may be based on quantitative analysis or an elicitation of expert views. When authors evaluate the likelihood of certain outcomes, the associated meanings are:
But when it comes to climate change they insist that ?Big Oil? is pouring billions and billions of dollars into skeptic?s bank accounts. They are not. I have not received one dime of money from any oil company nor do I know anyone who has. But the claim is, Big Oil is essentially employing skeptics to do their dirty work for them. If it were true part of that dirty work would be defending the right to use fossil fuels to power the world today and tomorrow despite the UN?s assertion that the developed world has expropriated the future from the developing nations because they ?used up all the carbon space in the air.?
Mix into the mix a very dry spring, not enough warm days, and you have a well insulated pile of, er, crap. And a very large one at that. Ice cubes on a kitchen counter will melt quickly if left apart. Put those same ice cubes in a bag and then on the counter and you have a much different story. For all the science behind the snow farms, check out this companion piece at WBZ-Boston.
And even if we did have confidence in the SCC numbers, the policies evolving around the SCC seem quite convoluted and who knows how they would even play out at achieving the larger policy objectives.
Best of all, Washington's biggest business government is transformed. In 1978, 50 years after air conditioning was installed in Congress, New York Times columnist Russell Baker noted that, pre-A.C., Congress was forced to adjourn to avoid Washington's torturous summers, and "the nation enjoyed a respite from the promulgation of more laws, the depredations of lobbyists, the hatching of new schemes for Federal expansion and, of course, the cost of maintaining a government running at full blast."
The new paper acknowledges its lineage from earlier work from Greenpeace and thank James Hansen for comments. Epstein et al. also state: The genesis for this paper was a ConferenceThe True Costs of Coal: Building a Healthy Energy Future that was supported by the Energy Foundation and the Rockefeller Family Fund.
A paper published today in the International Journal of Climatology finds " that the atmospheric pressure in the early instrumental period was not significantly different to that of the present day." Climate models , however, predict a 'human fingerprint' of decreased Arctic atmospheric pressures due to alleged warming from increased greenhouse gases. Once again , the climate models fly in the face of real-world contradictory observations.
This area has been very geologically active in the late 1990s and early 2000. There have been numerous sub-ocean volcanic eruptions, nearby land based volcanic eruptions, and major deep ocean fault movements during this time period. This timing matches well with increase in mid ocean depth (100-300 meters) western Pacific Ocean seawater temperature increases as mapped by NASA in the 2000-2015 time period.
These states have good reason to be concerned. Let's take a look at how Utility MACT will impact some of the most coal dependent states.
White House and are ready to choose key White House personnel and set a White
The UNFCCC predetermined the results of the IPCC work by directing them to study only human causes of climate change. The IPCC then narrowed the focus to human produced CO2 as the cause of warming. They directed their efforts to proving rather than disproving their hypothesis. Central to this objective was the need to have atmospheric CO2 levels rise constantly because of a constant rise in human production of CO2.
More rational people, like Bob Tisdale, take the long term view and point out that sea surface temperature anomalies along Sandys track havent warmed in 70+ years , while Roger Pielke points out that there is no recent trend in US Hurricane Intensity from 1900-2012 ?? ???the last five years have been the ??? lowest period of landfalling hurricane intensity of any five-year period dating all the way back to 1900.?? Sandy apparently wasn??t an unprecedented record storm surge either ( Tropical Cyclone Mahina, Bathurst Bay, Australia in 1899, was). There have been plenty of worse storms.
In late September, Antarctic sea ice hit an all-time high, reaching the highest levelsince modern data-recording began. Chart source: National Snow and Ice Data Center.
So heres my challenge for NOAA. Prove me wrong. Prove that the USHCN station analysis is not giving the true picture. Show how you come to the conclusions you do and prove that they are correct.
The Bing Link cracked it for me. It was obvious looking at the shadows that the weather station, transmitter and radar tower were sat on a level depression protected on three sides by banking ie they had their own micro climate.
Their report is hundreds of pages long because they are very smart people. But if you want to save some time, you can get an idea of what is really happening by looking at the following three images. Click on each image to put it in animation mode in its own window. There is oneanimation for each ofthe coasts of California, Oregon and Washington state.
Actually I like lobsters best when theyve been immersed in very hot water.
But ethanol also has its detractors, who claim that it has the potential to do great economic, ecologic, and gastronomic harm while doing little good. Before examining the implications of the use of ethanol as fuel, let us review some of the basics of ethanol: what it is and where it comes from.
On the "bro" side of the spectrum, the increasing exposure of the manly hairy thigh has become something of a commercial and cultural phenomenon. With a tag line of "Radical Shorts For Men" and a "Sky's out, thighs out" official mentality (and unofficial mottojust google the phrase), Chubbiesa line of short shorts aimed at menhave conquered the male clothing market. In the second three months of 2012, sales of Chubbies shorts skyrocketed 600 percent. The success of the mid-thigh, elastic-waisted shorts since then continues, and has spawned a type of virtual fraternity: the "ChubsterNation," with its own phraseology and set of facts to live by. (Its influence has also moved upwards, with couturiers this summer attempting to make the male "short suit" an office staple.)
Seriously, has there even been a more transparent "heads I win, tails you lose" argument than saying that unusually cool weather is evidence of global warming?
"Did you get a raise last year? Seventy-four percent of White House staffers did, according a Gawker analysis of the White House's annual salary reports to Congress. Probably for the great job they're doing with the economy."
28 Lezlek Buszynski, SEATO: The Failure of an Alliance Strategy, 1984. see also Ronald D. Asmus, "NATO and Global Partners: Views from the Outside," Riga Papers (November 2006).
But they fail to recognize that there may be a volcanic heat source as well such as the volcanic mountain range comprising much ofthe Antarctic Peninsula, including volcanoes such as the Seal Nunataksaround the Larsen Ice shelf and under theRoss Ice Shelf here .
Team Obama is the government arm of the environmental extremist lobby. It's time to replace it with a Romney team that understands, encourages and enables sensible, responsible North American energy and economic development.
With respect to the linkage between higher sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and hurricane activity, the pair notes that Given the increase of intense hurricane landfalls during the later half of the Little Ice Age, tropical SSTs as warm as at present are apparently not a requisite condition for increased intense hurricane activity. In addition, the Caribbean experienced a relatively active interval of intense hurricanes for more than a millennium when local SSTs were on average cooler than modern. They found that hurricane activity over the past 5,000 years has been modulated by the El Nio / La Nia cycle and the strength of the West African monsoon, not by the sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic and certainly not by global temperatures.
Barely two months after the inauguration ceremony for Germanys first pilot offshore wind farm, Alpha Ventus in the North Sea, all six of the newly installed wind turbines were completely idle, due to gearbox damage. Two turbines must be replaced entirely; the other four repaired.