Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
have retreated a lot in the last 20 years yet the MSU2LT data would suggest
There was, in fact, a fairly rapid decrease in Arctic sea ice extent sea ice extent over the last few years.But thelosses werealmost entirely recovered in an unprecedented ice build-up of Arctic sea ice in the last months of 2007 and the first months of 2008
Several readers have asked me to respond to recent comments about me at Real Climate : briefly, Osborn has made one misrepresentation after another and made statements with seemingly complete indifference as to whether he has any basis for making the claims.
1) the relationship between air pollution levels and human health/mortality
But here Obama made a troubling transition. The next sentence out of the president's mouth was: "But the bulk of our efforts must focus on unleashing a new, clean-energy economy that will begin to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, will cut our carbon pollution by about 80 percent by 2050, and create millions of new jobs right here in America."
I wanted to add realclimate.org to the graph but these days Alexa doesnt bother to hold graphical stats for them anymore. Their rank in the US is currently 73,088 a whisker behind the Talkshop which is currently at 70,588. :) :)
"It is not because treatment is not financed; it is because of different legal systems." In a statement the hospital said it was "not prepared to risk astronomical damages or a massive increase in premiums." Seeburger emphasised that the restrictions only affected people not domiciled in Switzerland.
So some geological shifting can happen (has happened many times) and the global sea level can be modulated by 10 m or 33 feet? The entire freeze / thaw cycle can be shifted by salinity changes? Oh Dear! Talk about your climate change!
The global warming debate has been cast by Green activists as a moral battle between greed and profit versus saving the planet. The dynamics of the debate are slowly changing, however, as businesses are beginning to pay lip service to the claim that the production of goods and services is destroying the planet. Businesses that make the switch are transformed from public enemy, in the eyes of Green activists, to venerable icons. Few commentators suggest, however, that the profit-seeking impulse that drives businesses' initial resistance to government regulation may be at work in their apparent change of heart.
Even if you have no scientific background whatsoever this is clearly wrong. Any observed increase in temperature at these stations must surely be due to the local, man-made heat sources rather than any purported change in the climate. It is extraordinary that these stations have found their way into the IPCC's temperature records without being noticed corrected.
Of course, you wont be told any of this by the BBC, Joe Romm or the rest of the Team.
And policies in these new and old forests are harming humans and wildlife. Bans on cutting down most "old-growth" or mature trees results an abundance of big trees with leaves that deer can't reach. The trees also block sunlight for other vegetation that deer could eat. This necessitates deer "eat out" more often, heading through traffic to rummage through gardens.
on Tuesday, July 3rd, 2012 at 10:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
In this case all the latest web browsers with the latest Java SE software will have to do the same thing.
U.S. Climate Scientists "Adjusting" Surface Temps To Make Global Warming Theory "Work" Are Not Alone
He fills the false journalistic need for balance on the topic
The shutdown ofthe seven reactors, which were deemed completely safe just a few months earlier, and so were granted extended operating times,will now result in much more coal-burning, which of course will increase Germanys CO2 emissions by a staggering 4% .
We can also ignore the second. It's a free country and anyone who wants to reduce their CO2 emissions is welcome to do so. But you don't need regulation for that. In fact it is a contradiction in terms to seek new regulations that would "impose" voluntary controls. When the push for voluntary action comes from industry it inevitably disguises either a plea for subsidies or jockeying for the formation of a state sanctioned cartel. We will discuss the problem of the "Carbon Cartel" below.
The assumption that temperature feedbacks would double or triple direct man-made greenhouse warming is the largest error made by the complex climate models. Feedbacks may well reduce warming, not amplify it.
At present the worldwide burden of human ill-health from climate change is relatively small compared with effects of other stressors and is not well quantified.
Mitch McConnell Wins Praise In Unlikely Corners Back Home
And if the proposed actions offer the potential of sizeable wealth transfers to political allies? That is far more than mere icing on the cake. Whatever the weakness of the evidence on greenhouse gases (GHG) and climate effects, the real goal of carbon policy is a regional redistribution of wealth, a reality that explains the inability of Congress to enact such policies since the Clinton administration, when a "Sense of the Senate" resolution rejecting the Kyoto Protocol was approved by a margin of 95-0. President Obama too was unable to convince even a fully Democratic Congress to adopt such policies, and so he now proposes that his Environmental Protection Agency and Department of Energy implement regulations reducing emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases (GHG).
New EPA rules to devastate coal industry:
For any objective reader and citizen of the world, this sort of bullying ought to inform everyone that science and its practice are now no longer free and willing. In fact, we are constantly being terrorized and threatened by the research funding gravy trains and large resources needed for science to progress and prosper. This is a scientific dark age we are living in because no more scientists of Professor Rossiters caliber are speaking out and telling the whole truth on any matters scientific. The idea of atmospheric CO2 being the one sure control knob for climate and future disasters is profoundly wrong not only on scientific grounds but also on the moral and ethical grounds that Professor Rossiters op-ed in WSJ has exemplified. Thank God that the United Nations and various scientific institutions will not be able to silence us because we will never let them do that .
The best way to implement this idea is to provide some empirical tests. It would be nice if, say, Mayor Bloomberg's foundation kicked in $10 million as a prize for the next New York City election in 2013 to see what impact that had on turnout in New York. Or perhaps a small state or a city could try its own version of a vote lottery, using a combination of public and private funds. If people are willing to stand in line for hours to get a precious Mega Millions ticket, it is reasonable to assume that they would take the steps necessary to vote to have a chance at the same dream. Plenty of Americans go the extra mile, sometimes literally, to cast their vote. But lots of others do not. Adding an incentive to bring more of the latter to the polls would enhance democracy, not trivialize it.
He said he would like to see scientists settle the question of what would happen to sea-level rises and the polar icecaps as a result of climate change.
Jones (2005) examined the geological (and other) aspects of coastal erosion in the region. He concluded:
Of course, 1980 might not be a representative place to start. What we really need to look at are the trends leading up to that year. So what do the GISS records tell us for the period leading up to 1980?
The hypothesis of man-made global warming has existed since the 1880s. It was an obscure scientific hypothesis that burning fossil fuels would increase CO2in the air to enhance the greenhouse effect and thus cause global warming. Before the 1980s this hypothesis was usually regarded as a curiosity because the nineteenth century calculations indicated that mean global temperature should have risen more than 1C by 1940, and it had not. Then, in 1979, Mrs Margaret Thatcher (now Lady Thatcher) became Prime Minister of the UK, and she elevated the hypothesis to the status of a major international policy issue.
Rachel Marsden, Human Events , 24 July 2011
Next, volcanoes. The IPCC says that the effect of volcanoes over the period was to cut down the amount of sunshine hitting the surface, reducing the total downwelling radiation.
During high temperatures, heat-sensitive pika will seek refuge beneath the cooler talus. However Stewart argues such behavior reduces critical foraging time and thus possibly reduces winter survival. Perhaps. During extreme warm days, pika are known to become crepuscular, restricting their foraging to the twilight hours. However if that is the key mechanism, then using the average temperature is simply wrong. The average temperature is amplified by minimum temperatures of the early morning when overheating is not a problem. If Stewart was sincerely concerned about induced heat stress, then the correct metric would be the afternoon maximum temperatures. But maximums were not even considered in Stewarts choice of models.
To understand why temperatures have gone up in the last couple of decades, you need to understand why they went down in the first place. And to understand that, you also need to understand the great ocean cycles, the PDO and AMO.
Statement from Pachauri: everything that we look at and take into acount in our assessments has to carry the credibility of peer-reveiwed publications, we dont settle for anything less than that.
By Colin Fernandez, Daily Mail, UK, Aug 6, 2015
way he uses the quotation ignores the entire point of the article. For
The UK researchers determined that "the majority of the largest and most widespread recorded floods in Great Britain have occurred during cool, moist periods," and that "comparison of the British Holocene palaeoflood series ... with climate reconstructions from tree-ring patterns of subfossil bog oaks in northwest Europe also suggests that a similar relationship between climate and flooding in Great Britain existed during the Holocene, with floods being more frequent and larger during relatively cold, wet periods." In addition, they say that "an association between flooding episodes in Great Britain and periods of high or increasing cosmogenic 14 C production suggests that centennial-scale solar activity may be a key control of non-random changes in the magnitude and recurrence frequencies of floods." What it means
Environmental protection has come a long way since the early 1970s. Pollution is much reduced, and care for the environment is widely shared and supported at least in Europe. Sensible policies and respectable pressure groups are the best way forward to solve the remaining environmental problems. Green radicals risk throwing that away.
Here's an interesting presentation by Dr. R. Steve Nerem, who is well quoted in the article: "Why has an acceleration of sea level rise not been observed during the altimeter era?" R. Steven Nerem (University of Colorado) Here's the link: http://www.aviso.oceanobs.com/fileadmin/documents/OSTST/2011/oral/02 Thursday/Splinter\%203\%20SCI/04\%20Nerem\%20ostst 2011 nerem.pdf One has to wonder what all the excitement is about if for the last twenty years there has been no acceleration of the rate. Couple that with the fact that it's rather easy to determine that there's been a good deal of inflating the rate of sea level rise by those same CU Sea Level Research Group scientists. Simply put the URL of their home page (http://sealevel.colorado.edu/) into the Internet WayBack Machine (https://archive.org/) and see for yourself. This archived time line:
GDP loss of $146 billion in 2030
NORTH DAKOTA 85% of electricity; 9th in coal production
455 km (285 miles) NNW of Iwo Jima, Volcano Islands, Japan
There are no computer models that can be created to prove GW beyond any doubt. The earth, the atmosphere, the ocean, other planets, etc. are far too complicated for any scientist to create a computer model that takes in all aspects of our universe.
In concluding the report of their research, the five Portuguese scientists say they "can state that although C. siliqua seedlings exhibit clear signs of oxidative stress under drought and high temperature, they retain a remarkable ability to quickly restore normal physiological activity upon rehydration, which let us believe that they can satisfactorily deal with predicted climate warming and increased soil drying in the Mediterranean area."
The comparison in Figure 3 shows that observations particularly since 2005 are on the low end of the envelope that contains 90% of the climate model simulations. Extrapolation of the current flat trend would place the observations outside of the 90% envelope within a few years. While the observations remain within the substantial range of the climate model simulations, the trend in the model simulations is substantially larger than the observed trend over the past 15 years.
For example, Babcock et al., found that the time to initial detection of direct effects on target species was 5.13 1.9 years . Note that this was the time to initial detection, not the even longer time required to reach a doubling of population. When compared to the much greater effects claimed for the GBR over two years, the latter do indeed appear to be extraordinary .
One key problem is the sheer difficulty in building new power plants in America today. Politically powerful green lobby groups object to the building of any new plant that does not use some form of renewable energy, yet renewable energy cannot meet demand for power on its own. They also object to nuclear power stations because of their supposed danger, even though modern nuclear plants have an impeccable safety record. And they oppose coal-fired plants because of their alleged contribution to global warming.
Pummeled by Obama policies that have helped send regular gasoline prices skyrocketing from $1.85 a gallon when he took office to $4.00 today many motorists will welcome any perceived bargain gas. E15 will likely reduce their obvious pump pain by several cents a gallon, thus persuading people to fill up their cars, trucks and maybe even boats, lawnmowers and other equipment with the new blends.
So whats the basic thing that were actually trying to conserve in regards to solar input and terrestrial output? The real physical quantity we want to conserve is energy , not flux. Energy is a fundamental unit of physics, while flux always depends upon the particular, real-time, local situation. So if we assume that, on average, the input and output energies are equal, which they should be, then we can consider such energies for any particular second. Considering any particular second is convenient since this allows us to directly convert the energy into flux later on.
The accelerated warming interpretation by the IPCC shown in Figure 1 was based on the comparison of the global warming rate of the recent warming period with the global warming rates of longer periods that consist of this warming period and previous cooling-followed-by-warming periods. As the global warming rate for the current warming period is necessarily always greater than those of all the other longer periods with greater denominators, the IPCC was comparing oranges to apples.
While EV promoters may argue the environmental merits of their favored vehicles, they cannot argue the industry's lousy economics. Those troublesome numbers are the reason why Shai Agassi, founder of an electric-car company called Better Place, is now out of a job. In July 2008, Thomas Friedman of The New York Times dubbed Agassi, a former executive at SAP, "the Jewish Henry Ford," who was launching "an energy revolution" that would end the world's "oil addiction."
Curiously, Paul Voosens October 2011 article Provoked scientists try to explain lag in global warming includes quotes from a handful of well-known climate scientistsincluding Kevin Trenberth. Voosen had this to say about Trenberths opinion of ARGO:
adverse reputational consequences for the individual scientists involved in this work and the University itself if disclosure had been effected.
In 2006 less CO2 was added to the atmosphere than in 1983. In 1980 more CO2 was added to the atmosphere than in 2004. Why is that? Im sure that the worlds human population has increased its output of CO2 significantly since the 1980s. Where did it go? Why does the growth rate change from year to year? Biology? Algae in the sea? I dont know, just asking. And why does nobody else ask this?
The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has no effect on climate above 50 parts per million (ppm).
The Washington Times: Internet sales taxes attack states' rights
"Farmer John Tos proposed three alternate options for the California high-speed rail line at a community forum Thursday."
Lest that seem overly skeptical, let me read the opening paragraph for a brand new book by the National Academy of Science, titled: Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts:
Time magazine suggested that the reason the winter is so cold is because the Arctic reflects sunlight. Except the Arctic doesnt get much sunlight during winter. Oops.
"Reckless" and "mindless" are certainly some of the terms that occurred to me after watching Gore's slide show. Some glaciers are receding, but others (omitted from his slides) are advancing. No one knows what causes glaciers to advance and retreatthe physics are complex and much more is involved than simply air temperature.
As you can see, rather than increasing, the rate of sea level rise has dropped in recent years. And while it may well start to rise again, it is certainly not accelerating as the AGW hypothesis requires.
L.A. Police Union Urges Members to "Stand in Solidarity' With SEIU and MoveOn.org:
It's a go! The frequency of freeze overs has historically been around once every 20 years. Now, in the last decade, we have seen two ..."
"The U.S. government has 15 different agencies overseeing food-safety laws, more than 20 separate programs to help the homeless and 80 programs for economic development."
In Hurricane Sandy's aftermath with millions freezing hungry in dark devastation Mayor Bloomberg sidetracked police and sanitation workers for the NYC Marathon, until public outrage forced him to reconsider. While federal emergency teams struggled to get water, food and gasoline to victims, companies, religious groups, charities, local citizens and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie worked tirelessly to raise money and organize countless relief efforts.
The situation has come to a head recently with the debate over the new regulations proposed by the Obama Administration's EPA to restrict greenhouse gas emissions from coal-powered plants. The new EPA action requires a regulatory catch-up that could well shut down a large fraction of the existing facilities, many of which should have, and would have, been shuttered years ago. The political landscape is further complicated by a fierce response from companies who operated in reliance on the old regime and are now fighting the EPA's regulatory initiative.
Nearly half the people who say they believe in global warming base that on personal observations of the weather. Climate researchers say thats reaching the correct conclusion for reasons that arent quite right.
Converting millimeters into inches, in 2005, the net contribution of Greenland ice mass changes to sea level rise is about 0.009 inches. This rate of ice mass loss translates into about 1 inch of sea level rise per century. Therefore, CEI's message is correct: When both sides of the story are presented, the case for alarm collapses.
Fayyad's internal reforms and endorsement of international nonviolence play well with many Israelis. Many cite him as the sort of Palestinian who will be necessary to the development of good bilateral relations. A number of Israeli officials have even compared him to Israel's own founding father, David Ben Gurion, who is credited with developing the political, military, economic, and social institutions of nationhood before full statehood itself became possible. But he has also shown a sharp tongue in criticizing Israeli actions in Gaza and at the negotiating table. He has called for Palestinian laborers to reject work on Israeli settlements, led a ban on Israeli settlement products in the Palestinian economy (making it illegal to sell hundreds of Israeli brands in Palestinian-controlled areas), and sought to mobilize European sentiment against admitting Israel to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. None of this has endeared him to Israeli officials.
Let's look at the concerns Africans raise about biotech:
Thus T is the global average surface temperature and T is a departure from that temperature in response to a radiative forcing f. It appears in Equation (1) as a thermodynamic proxy for the thermodynamic state of the earth system. As such, it must be tightly coupled to that thermodynamic state. Specifically, changes in T must be proportional to changes in the radiation emitted at the top of the atmosphere on climate time scales. However, where is this temperature and its change with time, T, diagnosed and is it closely coupled?
It has been 27,658 days since the most powerful hurricane to ever hit the US struck. CO2 was well below the safe level of 350 ppm at the time.
Third, the aim of "Earth-system stability" is scientifically absurdundefined, unnatural, and unachievable. Natural systemsespecially coupled non-linear chaotic fluid-dynamic systems like Earth's climateare not, never have been, and never will be stable. Nobody knows what "Earth-system stability" would look like. Climate change is Earth's natural state; climate stability is science fiction.
It is hard to see poorer countries maintaining and even improving their growth records without vibrant economies in the West. The developed world, with America at its core, remains a key market for their goods and the most important center for global innovation.
Global WarmingThe Great DelusionMatt Patterson's op-ed on Fox News & RealClearPolitics
"Canada's privacy commissioner said Tuesday that Google's recent Wi-Fi sniffing was a serious violation of Canadians' privacy rights and included the collection of personally identifiable information."
Let's look at the numbers. As I wrote in these pages on June 3, the EPA's proposal aims to cut U.S. carbon dioxide emissions by about 720 million tons over the next 16 years. But that reduction will amount to a drop in the global carbon dioxide bucket. According to the new BP numbers, in 2013 alone, global CO2 emission rose by 630 million tons. In other words, in one year, global CO2 emissions rose by nearly 90 percent of the reductions being proposed by the EPA.
The framework of this study provides an excellent approach to assess the importance of teleconnections due to human alterations in regional diabatic heating such as documented in
Google Trends: "climate crisis","watts up with that" At this point, staking your political career on this hoax is beyond insane.
<5315> Jenkins/MetO:
By Robert MacPherson, Washington (AFP), Aug 11, 2015
In addition, the reef tour industry regularly uses only about 2 dozen out of the 2500 reefs of the GBR and, on those which are used, the actual area visited would only be about 1% of the area of even those reefs. Unfished reefs to optimize scenic value for tourism could easily coexist with an order of magnitude greater fishing effort, and no detriment at all to tourism. The attribution of total tourism value to the reef is no more justifiable than attributing it to the similar numbers who visit the rainforest or who eat seafood meals while visiting the region.
"In the face of high energy prices and concerns about global warming, environmentalists and planners offer high-speed rail as an environmentally friendly alternative to driving and air travel. California, Florida, the Midwest, and other parts of the country are actively considering specific high-speed rail plans.