Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Initially it was assumed that constantly increasing atmospheric CO2 created constantly increasing temperature. Then it was determined that the first few parts per million achieved the greenhouse capacity of CO2. Eschenbach graphed the reality
Also to the point is that temperatures have fallen since 1950 in the interior of the dominant East Antarctic Ice Sheet, the volume of which is either stable or growing slightly, as is the extent of peripheral Antarctic sea ice (NIPCC, Chapters 4 and 5).
2. The largest volume of water stored in Australia was in Lake Argyle in Western Australia, with over 10 million ML of actual water storage, more than the other 9 largest water storages in Australia combined.
So, carbon taxes will drive up energy costs, reduce employment, and cut income.
Not surprising, Thursday morning will be coldest day of year for CONUS w/freezing line probability to Mexico. http://t.co/7AQgdjMJk6 Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) December 28, 2014
Thats why expending at least one-third more energy to capture, compress, transport and inject carbon dioxide rather than simply venting to atmosphere where it is a valuable resource for green plants and hence all aerobic life on earth is not worth it and never can be.
But let us ignore that. Maybe the U.S. acting alone cannot do much, but cooperation at the international level would be meaningful. That is the advertised rationale for the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, which has been holding meetings, traveling on jets and feasting at upscale restaurants for 25 years, the forthcoming climax of which will be the 21st "Conference of the Parties" in Paris in December. Let's assume that the agreement between the U.S. and China that was announced last November will be implemented fully, even though the Chinese effectively disavowed it almost immediately, and did so smack dab in the middle of the 20th Conference of the Parties in Lima, Peru. That agreement calls for an additional 10 percent reduction by the U.S. by 2025, with no actual reduction by the Chinese; this additional cut in U.S. emissions gets us another temperature reduction of one one-hundredth of a degree.
A Disgrace to the Profession The Worlds Scientists own words on Mann and his Hockey Stick
Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney unveiled his new climate protection plan on May 6. The plan calls for the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions within the state of Massachusetts to 1990 levels by 2010 and by an additional 10 percent by 2020. Containing 72 specific suggestions, the plan is supposed to reduce pollution, cut energy demands, and nurture employment growth for the state.
Oo-er! Instead of a zero trend, we now have a terrifying increase in global temperature, at a rate equivalent to a shockingly sizzling er 1.24 C per century. That is below the 1.7 C/century near-term warming predicted in IPeCaCs 2013 Fifth Assessment Report. Well below the 2 C/century predicted in the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report. Scarcely more than a third of the 3.5 C/century mid-range estimate in the 1990 First Assessment Report. A quarter of the 5 C/century predicted by the over-excitable James Hansen in front of Congress in 1988.
Throughout his first year, Obama has placed the national security second to his ambitious plan to remake the American economy and society.
17g. The ability of regional climate models to model sea level rise for the next 10 years
Brisbane Times Brisbane News, Queensland News & World News
Dr. John Christy of UAH said, "This was the coolest July since 1992, when global temperatures were cooled by dust thrown into the atmosphere by the Mount Pinatubo volcano." A color map of temperature anomalies will be available at http://climate.uah.edu.
16i. The ability of global climate models to model extreme events for the next 10 years
But the baseless bullying apparently works. People like Flannery and Hamilton use it against everyone who dares speak against the reigning cult. The term denier is not scientific, not good English, and not even appropriate name-calling, but every news outlet repeats it, as if it were a term of taxonomy.
Jesse Hathaway, managing editor of Budget & Tax News, talks with Diane Goldstein, a former lieutenant commander with the Redondo Beach, California government police department. Goldstein is executive board member of Law Enforcement Against Prohibition (LEAP), an international nonprofit organization of current and former law enforcement agents promoting rational criminal justice policies. She and Hathaway talk about civil asset forfeiture reform efforts in California and Ohio, and how lawmakers in other states can better protect taxpayers' property rights and prevent government abuse. LISTEN TO MORE
Climate Change: Channeling King Canute, G-8 leaders agree to wreck the worlds economy, and ours, by pledging to prevent temperatures from rising more than 4 degrees by 2050. What if the Earth has other plans?
Youd think that by now global warming would have made harsh winter weather a thing of the past. Alas, no. Our tomatoes, and the health and welfare benefits they bring, are still endangered.
World Bank Appoints Andrew Steer as Special Envoy for Climate Change
The original number contacted was 10,157 and of those, 69% decided they didnt want any part of it, but they were the original target population. When the figure of 75 believers is set against that number, we get a mere 0.73% of the scientists they contacted who agreed with their loaded questions.
At the risk of getting egg on my face again (!), NSIDC figures show that Arctic sea ice extent has now grown for the last two days.
There is no warming trend since the Industrial Revolution, in fact, the linear trend is negative.
Bill DiPuccio served as a weather forecaster and lab instructor for the U.S. Navy, and a Meteorological/Radiosonde Technician for the National Weather Service. More recently, he was the head of the science department for Orthodox Christian Schools of Northeast Ohio.
Perhaps in England, where Simpson resides, this trickled down version only manifests itself in the "spornosexual," with all its implications of being more couture and less college frat house. But a sweeping visual of America's sidewalks, cubicles, gyms, and watering holes indicates that the phenomenon has trickled down into a second, less posed, much more familiar, and seemingly harmless, form. This second form often looks awfully similar to a superannuated frat boy, and smells remarkably similar to the "bro."
Following the questions raised by Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick over the quality of the data employed by Dr. Michael Mann of the University of Virginia in compiling his now infamous "hockey stick" graph, Mann's interpretations of proxy temperature data are now coming under fire from within the community of paleoclimatologists.
Yomiuri Shimbun noted that, "Observers said that Russia's attempt to gain a promise from Japan to buy Russia's emission credits before agreeing to sign the protocol is taking advantage of Japan's situation. Japan is not likely to meet its reduction targets by domestic means. It is believed that Russia intends to try to sell the emission credits at high prices. However, EU countries do not plan to buy emission credits from non-EU countries and it is likely that Japan will become the sole buyer of Russia's emission credits."
Michael Kundu has no evidence or logical reason to back his claim. He exhorts everyone to use good sources (then uses Wikipedia), and make intelligent decisions to spot the propaganda, and gives nothing except logical errors. All he can offer is the typical, low base ad hominem attack. So on a science topic, he reasons by smear.
Meteorologist Joe D'Aleo of WeatherBell Analytics and editor of http://www.icecap.us says that, as the President addresses the nation on Tuesday, every State will have freezing temperatures and parts or all of 27 States will be below zero.
If these ideas were right, we could observe megatons of stringy physics with finite-price colliders!
History has repeated itself as the German government, famous for giving Firefox a leg up a few years ago, has told users to abandon Internet Explorer for something safer.
When you see your workers comp rates, you may be tempted to self insure (we, for example, pay over $200,000 a year, and that is with a good experience mod). Be forewarned that in most states, this is very hard to do. There is just too much history of small companies failing to make required payments. You CAN do it in many states, but it requires credit checks and bonding, and as a small business you will probably need to hire a third party to do the claims processing.
As a result of the changes in the lower troposphere, from calm with no clouds to increasing numbers of circulation cells with cumulus clouds, in the central and western Pacific the temperature actually starts dropping. This is happening despite the continuing increase in the amount of incoming solar energy (negative climate sensitivity, go figure). In the eastern Pacific, the air (and the ocean) is much cooler. As a result the cumulus coverage is less complete and develops more slowly, and the temperature rise is not reversed, but the temperature rise is significantly slowed.
The air is dry. Because of the lack of oxygen, many students constantly have headaches. Concentration is near zero. How is anyone supposed to get proper grades?
Writing in the Wall Street Journal and on the web site of Anthony Watts, Matt Ridley reports he has seen a key prediction in the new documents the IPCC will reduce the most extreme projection of warming from a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide somewhat, 30%, as compared with its 2007 projections.
They also object to nuclear power stations because of their supposed danger, even though modern nuclear plants have an impeccable safety record. And they oppose coal-fired plants because of their alleged contribution to global warming.
We do not expect lawyers to argue both for and against their clients, nor do we expect "balance" from political party leaders. However, although Gore reminds usin the film version of An Inconvenient Truththat he "used to be the next President of the United States," and concludes both the book and the movie with a call for "political action," he presents AIT as the work of a long-time student of climate science, a product of meditation on "what matters." He asks his audience to expect more from him than the mere cleverness that can sway juries or win elections.
So far, neither side has been able to prove their case. That uncertainty even exists on this core issue is not appreciated by many scientists!
EPA estimates that applying permit programs as written to greenhouse gases would increase the number of PSD applications from 280 to 81,000 (a 300-fold increase), and Title V permit applications from 14,700 to 6.
NOTE: CMIP5-based sea surface temperature outputs had been available through the KNMI Climate Explorer. I was hoping to use it in this post. It, unfortunately, was removed from the KNMI Climate Explorer. Hopefully it will return in the near future so that I can include it in the next update, to serve as a preview of how badly the newest models simulate sea surface temperatures in advance of the IPCCs upcoming 5 th Assessment Report.
Many factors must be influencing Antarctic climate, and there are bound to be many unknown influences. Known ones include: Orbital insolation, Greenhouse gases, Solar variability, Ice dynamics and aerosols. Also, the relation between the ice sheets and climate is not simple.
1. Data from GISS Land Ocean , UHA MSU , NOAA , RSS , and HadCrut
>I regularly mention in ENSO posts that there was little SST sampling in the eastern equatorial Pacific prior to the opening of the Panama Canal in 1914, that the reader needs to keep that in mind when viewing early NINO3.4 data.
The environmental future, however, looks better. Past research on global warming was based on a long-term United Nations projection, issued in the early 1990's, of 11.6 billion people in 2200, far more people than we're ever likely to see. The new projections show the global population rising from just over six billion now to just under nine billion in 2050, followed by a decline, moving downward in a geometric progression.
To suggest that climate science money trickles down from government would be a gross understatement. Actually, it cascades from mountains on high, presided over by agencies and their federal and state minions we generally assume to be knowledgeable and objective. But often we might be wrong. This occurs when a particularly orthodox or partisan view becomes inculcated into government leadership and surrogate organization power structures ? yes, exactly like man-made global warming, for example. Then follow the rivers, streams and creeks as those influences spread.
H.L. Mencken once wrote, ?Explanations exist; they have existed for all times, for there is always an well-known solution to every human problem ? neat, plausible, and wrong.? Such is the economist?s explanation of climate change.
New York State Geologist Supports Shale Gas Extraction
Jan Brewer Jumps the Shark, Slides into Outright Prejudice
The warm surface waters returning in the western basin from the Northern to the Southern Hemisphere toward the end of the calendar year (November January) favor the demise of ongoing El Nio events.
Recent work has concluded that there has been significant warming in the tropical upper troposphere using the thermal wind equation to diagnose temperature trends from observed winds; a result which diverges from all other observational data. In our paper we examine evidence for this conclusion from a variety of directions and find that evidence for a significant tropical tropospheric warming is weak. In support of this
High-speed rail crash sets reform in motion:
Wind power is not reliable. No one can make the wind blow when the energy is needed in fact, wind farms produce, on average, less than 30% of their nameplate capacity, often at times of lower demand.
A coalition of Green activists petitioned the Environmental Protection Agency to regulate CO2 emissions from new cars and trucks under the Clean Air Act on October 20. The coalition claims that cars and light trucks in the U.S. are largely responsible for global warming, and threatened to file suit against the EPA to force them to regulate automobile emissions. The EPA has the discretion under the Clean Air Act to regulate carbon dioxide, according to the coalition.
All those IPCC computer models that have been predicting global warming were wrong, are wrong, and will remain wrong for all time until the Earth actually begins to warm again.
Canadian winter temperature departures from 1961-1990. Averages for the years 1998-2011
ABC Catalyst TV show warped view of SW West Australian rainfall
Dan Weiss from the Center for American Progress seems to have more than a little trouble with this interview. I wonder why they didnt ask Joe Romm to be on?
Public apathy on climate change is a cause for celebration, not concern
And an extra bonus from the weather is not climate department January 29, 2010 at 39.9 degrees was ten degrees below normal and the second coldest on record.
The authors report "there is a common perception in the media, and even government and management circles , that is due to an increase in tropical cyclone frequency and perhaps in intensity, probably as a result of global climate change." However, as they continue, "studies all over the world show that though there are decadal variations, there is no definite long-term trend in the frequency or intensity of tropical cyclones." Hence, they conclude that "the specter of tropical cyclones increasing alarmingly due to global climate change, portrayed in the popular media and even in some more serious publications, does not therefore have a sound scientific basis." References
U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions Fall Dramatically, Again, in 2013
Half a billion dollars gone, just like that, after a decade of no global warming.
The Gillard governments decision to exclude firms that significantly contribute to the production of petrol ensures Australias scheme falls short of being completely economy-wide.
At the end of part 1 on Curry's site, Tony makes reference to how Science Daily edited out key information from a study they reported on thus leaving their readers with an impression that previous sea levels were not higher. Interesting. Confirms why today's science journalists are no longer easily trusted.
My final point here would be pretty simple: With the rather dramatic variation over very short geographical scales we would need far more than the slightly over 1000 thermometers used by GHCN to get any kind of accuracy in the global temperature picture. The GHCN data set is just not fine grained enough to avoid selection bias issues given the wide variation of temperatures on these graphs over very short geographic scales.
The Heartlander: May-June 2010 (full text PDF)
Modern global warming is a fact; it has continued, with stops and starts, since about 1850, the end of the Little Ice Age.
For instance, Robert Pindyck says that "IAM-based analyses of climate policy create a perception of knowledge and precision, but that perception is illusory and misleading." Robert Pindyck, "Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?" Journal of Economic Literature, September 2013, pp. 860872. Also see Anne Smith et al., "A Review of the Damage Functions Used in Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon," American Petroleum Institute, February 20, 2014, http://www.afpm.org/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=4111 (accessed September 11, 2014).
Let us not forget the other rapidly aging and shrinking superpower, Russia. It has a fertility rate of 1.3, and an average life expectancy of 66 years. By 2050, its population will be a third smaller than it is today. Russia's current global belligerence under Vladimir Putin in part reflects the fact that, as Last writes, "the country has very little to lose." A "wounded bear," as Last calls Russia, armed with nuclear weapons is likely to remain a serious font of global disorder.
Report: Energy-efficient windows melt cars
Agreements 2, 3, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, and 15 are bilateral agreements to promote forest conservation via debt-for-nature swapsan activity Congress authorized through the 1998 Tropical Forest Conservation Act.
If one believes that we should reverse longstanding policy, both of the past two administrations and a decade of Senate inaction, to now become subject to Kyoto-style terms, then submitting to the Law of the Sea Treaty makes perfect sense.
EPA promulgated regulations to implement the NSR program in 1978, and revised regulations were promulgated in 1980 in response to litigation (Alabama Power Co. v. Costle). Except for a 1992 rule concerning how utilities measure future emissions, also promulgated in response to litigation (Wisconsin Electric Power Co. v. Reilly), no new regulations concerning NSR have gone through the formal rulemaking process since 1980.
The bizarre saga gets even stranger when viewed alongside Dr. Manns kneejerk lawsuit against Dr. Tim Ball , a Canadian scientist, historical climatologist and retired professor who has frequently voiced his skepticism about claims that hydrocarbon use and carbon dioxide emissions are the primary cause of climate change and present an imminent risk of widespread planetary cataclysms. Dr. Ball has analyzed Canadian and global climate history, and does not regard computer models as much more than virtual reality scenarios that should never be the basis for real-world public policy.
America's actual health and welfare crisis
Finally, the preliminary report dismissed the accusation that Mann conspired to silence skeptics by stating, "one finds enormous confusion has been caused by interpretations of the e-mails and their content" but shouldn't the committee have attempted to eliminate that confusion?
Ice Age Ended By Deep Ocean Heating, Not By CO2 Increases, Scientific Research Reveals
JC comments: I strongly agree with the following assessments:
"Chukchi Sea and Southern Davis Strait bears, for example, are doing very well contrary to all predictions despite marked declines in summer sea ice because they have ample food during their critical spring feeding period when sea ice is abundant."
Klaus, a free-market economist who oversaw a wave of privatization in the 1990s after communism collapsed in his homeland, also said the world was "moving in the wrong direction" in combating the economic crisis.
Moreover, Annex III, Article 21(2) states that LOST tribunal decisions ``shall be enforceable in the territory of each state party.'' Treaty advocates say don't mind the text, LOST obligations won't be enforceable in national courts.
As it stands now, the treaty that the Clinton Administration is trying to sell to the American public would have far reaching negative consequences for a minimal benefit. Each speaker addressed the potential impacts that a global warming treaty would have, and urged caution before implementing any global agreement
The controversy over Common Core has made parents and legislators more interested in school choice today than they were before. In June, Nevada adopted the country's most comprehensive school choice program. That program deposits about $5,100 into personal education savings accounts for nearly every child in the state, to be used to pay for tuition or fees charged by the education service providers chosen by parents.
Fifth, how much will it cost? Council of Economic Advisors Chairman Janet Yellen maintains that the net costs of Kyoto "are likely to be small" if the Administration s diplomatic and domestic policy initiatives carry the day. Specifically, she claims that with developing country participation, robust emissions trading, federally-stimulated energy conservation improvements, joint implementation and the clean development mechanism, Kyoto should cost the United States only $7 billion to $12 billion per year in 2008 to 2012. For the average household, energy costs would rise by no more than $70 to $110 per year.20 Commenting on Dr. Yellen s analysis, one witness at an earlier hearing could not help recalling the old Depression Era jest: "If we had some ham, we could make ham and eggs if we had eggs." It is questionable whether any of the ingredients presupposed in the Administration s estimates will ever materialize.
Institute director Gary McFarlane said a cautious approach must be adopted and, while it was not anti-fracking, there was insufficient current evidence to confirm that all the potential risks can be suitably reduced or managed within acceptable levels.
According to Lord Monckton, even if all economic activity were closed down to forestall global warming for a period of 100 years, the temperature reduction would only amount to 1 degree Fahrenheit. This would be the height of folly and cruelty!
Global coal consumption is expected to rise by 25 percent by the end of the decade to 4,500 million tonnes of oil equivalent, overtaking oil at 4,400 million tonnes, according to Woodmac in a presentation on Monday at the World Energy Congress.
Perry, Romney, and Climate Change Consensus in the Presidential Race
The penetration of marine air masses has become more pronounced over parts of West Antarctica.
1. Extreme warm and cold anomalies both occur regularly and occasionally exceed the magnitude of the 2003 warm anomaly.
By John Slater, Quadrant, Aug 14, 2015
Nissan Leaf and Chevy Volt owners are killing the planet . Wait, what? You mean energy has to come from somewhere, even if hippies cant see it?
They visualize a U.S.-China bilateral deal to limit emissions (mainly of carbon dioxide from fossil-fuel burning) that would operate in parallel with the Kyoto Protocol (which neither country plans to ratify). In their plan, the United States buys emission rights from an arbitrary excess quota allotted to China. The authors call it headroom but I call it a subsidy. The United States pays, China gets, and the atmosphere does not benefit because emissions continue essentially unabated.
The percentage of days with extreme heat or cold in the US has declined sharply since the 1930s.