Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Climate changes effects are accentuated in mountainous regions, and in the 20th century temperatures in Alpine Switzerland increased by twice the global average. Today Swiss glaciers are shrinking by nearly 33 feet (10 meters) a year, on average. Whats more, alpine communities are reporting more rain and stronger winds than in centuries past.
1.) Thwaites Glacier Melting: University of Texas researchers recently published an extensive study that proves geologically induced sub-glacial geothermal heat flow is melting this glacier from below.
The degree of consensus also depends on the way the questions are phrased. For example, we can get 100% consensus if the question is Do you believe in climate change? We can get a near-100% consensus if the question is Do you believe that humans have some effect on the climate? This latter question also would include also local effects, like urbanization, clearing of forests, agriculture, etc.
If we were fans of the alarm and extrapolated the latter trend, we would deal with 75 C of global cooling per century. That could indeed be a catastrophe. If we extrapolated the 0.28 C month-on-month cooling since December, the cooling would remove 336 C per century, dropping below 0 Kelvins before 2100. Entertainingly enough, January 2008 was also 0.27 C (anomaly-wise) colder than June 1988 when Hansen gave his infamous testimony before the U.S. Congress, predicting a dangerous warming in the following 20 years.
Power grids require that demand for electricity exactly match supply in order to function. This is an enormous problem for wind and solar power since their output cannot be accurately predicted in advance or easily adjusted. Wind and solar can burn out the grid if they produce too much, or not enough, electricity, leading to brownouts or blackouts. Such damage has already occurred in Germany and in other grids that rely too much on solar and wind power like in California.
Solomon wrote in the July 8 National Review Online, "by virtue of his power at Wikipedia, Connolley, a ruthless enforcer of the doomsday consensus, may be the world's most influential person in the global warming debate after Al Gore. Connolley routinely uses his editorial clout to tear down scientists of great accomplishment such as Fred Singer, the first director of the U.S. National Weather Satellite Service and a scientist with dazzling achievements."
The Reynolds OI.v2 sea surface temperature anomalies through the NOAA NOMADS website are referenced to the base years of 1971-2000, even though the data only runs from November 1981 to February 2013. The same base years are used for the model outputs.
Moreover, there is no guarantee of any benefit to the global climate should we adopt and meet the demands of a national or international carbon-cutting plan. Perhaps developed-world carbon reductions would lead to marginal reductions in temperature, but would they be worth the economic cost, particularly since developing nations' emissions will easily swamp any American reductions?
"It wasn't pretty. I did well to get out when I did. The others weren't so lucky."
Commisioner Hedegaard posed this question: "While some argue that the U.S. cannot afford climate and energy legislation, my question is: Can the U.S. afford not to have ambitious legislation that paves the way for a more energy-efficient future? We all know that we are in for a future where energy and resources will be still more expensive, and the companies and nations that are the most energy-efficient will prosper the most."
What is the historical context for the July heat wave over western Russia? During the period 1880-2009, the region??s monthly July surface temperatures have experienced several very warm years of about +3C departures (1931 , 1955, 1981, 1988, and 2002), and comparably cold Julys having about -3C departure (1950, 1957, 1968, 1976, and 1994). Warm Julys alternating with cold Julys describes the typical sequence of events over western Russia during the last 130 years, with little or no discernible trend in July temperatures since 1880. Yet, the July 2010 anomalies averaged over western Russia will exceed the warmest Julys on record, and such an extreme event demands an explanation.
The President then made it worse by raising climate change as his primary issue in a public speech to students in Brisbane and demanding that Australia follow his lead in agreeing to a cap on emissions. By blindsiding Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott who wanted to focus on economic and security matters during Canberra's big moment on the world stage, President Obama insulted and disrespected his host and most loyal ally in the region.
They are standing alone here, as ourselves and other independent forecasters are all predicting a colder-than-average winter.
On January 1, 2005, Weaver became chief editor of Journal of Climate. On January 4, 2005, Mann, Rutherford, Wahl and Ammann submittedTesting the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate ( pdf ),
"On the face of it, the company's research on climate change and its previous public positions on climate policy not only fail to amount to fraud, they aren't even necessarily at odds. You might accept the reality of man-made global warming and still argue against strict new rules on emissionsif, for example, you believe that such restrictions would do more harm than good. . . . that position isn't indefensible, and certainly shouldn't be illegal."
On November 12, the Clinton Administration signed the Kyoto Protocol, in clear defiance of Byrd-Hagel. Simultaneously, and despite recent legislation prohibiting regulatory implementation of the non-ratified treaty, the Administration announced plans to launch new Kyoto-friendly federal energy procurement and transportation initiatives.
.attempting to correct the errors with existing adjustment methods artificially forces toward regional representativeness and cannot be expected to recover all of the trend information that would have been obtained locally from a well-sited station.
The only "tiny problem" with this proclamation is that the atmosphere can't belong to Texas. Within a day, the winds "export" most of the air that was located above Texas to other states (or to the volume above the oceans).
Eastern Russia is so freezing minus 50 degrees Fahrenheit, and counting that the traffic lights recently stopped working in the city of Yakutsk. But if it was CO2-caused global warming, Eastern Russia ought to be warmer.
"Despite the multiple disturbance events," in the words of the six scientists, "the coral community distribution and composition in 2006 on Saint-Leu Reef did not display major differences compared to 1973." This pattern of recurrent recovery is truly remarkable, especially in light of the fact that "in the wake of cyclone Firinga, Saint-Leu Reef phase-shifted and became algae-dominated for a period of five years," and even more amazing when one is informed that following an unnamed cyclone of 27 January 1948, no corals survived. What it means
Figure 5 shows the modeled and observed trends in sea surface temperature anomalies for the Atlantic Ocean (longitudes 70W-20E) from Jan 1982 to February 2013. The models overestimate the warming in the South Atlantic and underestimate it North Atlantic, especially towards the high latitudes. In fact, the models show just about the same warming trends from 40S to 70Nthat is, the models show the Atlantic Ocean should have warmed at about 0.15 to 0.2 deg C/decade for the last 32+ years for the latitudes of 40S to 70Nwhile the observed trendschange greatly over those latitudes. Again, how can the climate scientists/modelers hope to create the warming patterns on adjoining land masses when they cant simulate the warming pattern of the Atlantic?
Finally, I also have to note that perhaps this will have some significant impacts on the question of AGW Model validation. Changes in relative heating with altitude are part of their predictions, and here we have them driven by the sun. So how long until those models are updated and we can see what they predict project next? Somehow I think Im seeing a bit of a spanner in the works moment in the modelers future
Executives and business groups said that the scheme had been poorly communicated and publicised, leaving many companies in the dark.
Here's Why the Freelancer Economy is on the Rise Fast Company
Senator Lindsey Graham Wants to Kill Waxman-Markey!?
"EPA is low-balling implementation costs, misleading the American people on the Clean Power Plan's true costs," said Lewis. "But despite all the costs and consequences, the plan's putative climate benefits are illusory the regulation should be withdrawn."
If the claims of a damaging influence on coral reefs were true, then the corals would have died millions of years ago.
The White House has recently issued a Technical Support Document on the Social Cost of Carbon . Excerpts from the Executive Summary:
Magnitude 6.6 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
Table 1 presents the observed and modeled linear trends for the sea surface temperature subsets presented in the post, for the period of November 1981 to February 2014. Ive also included the differences between the modeled and observed trends and the differences as a percentage of the observed trends. . Click on Table 1 for a full-sized version.
Spin Cycle: Carbon Dioxide Is NOT Carbon Pollution
None of this Global Average stuff and homogenizing the world either. It has to be accurate on YOUR FARM, not 3 counties over. None of this 3 thermometers on the SoCal Beach and one at S.F. Airport like GHCN does for California either. You need to have lots of temperatures to make a fine grained product.
There has been much discussion in recent days about the new decadal forecast of global temperatures, sneaked out by the UK Met Office on Christmas Eve, and which shows flatlining temperatures instead of the the rapidly increasing ones previously forecast.
So why not in the Cascades? Did those other eruptions somehow relieve the pressure in the Cascades?
click image to read full blog post
"Homa Arjomand, who lives in Toronto and headed Canada's successful campaign of the International Campaign Against Sharia Court in Canada, says like Kanwar, she too once embraced the idea of multiculturalism . (...) "'I thought how wonderful, but not anymore,' she declares. "'I came here for Canadian values, not sharia values. I fled Iran on horseback because the values there threatened my very life. If people want to live under sharia or the way they lived back home, let them go back,' she said.
Sarkozy's commission raised some methodological and substantive issues when it released its report September 14; it suggested that household income may be a better prosperity indicator than business production and that median incomes describe societal inequality better than mean averages. As it points out,
The Commonwealth is not proceeding with such a restriction, nor do such restrictions apply to new coal-fired power stations in New South Wales or Queensland, he said.
Renewable energy advocates have every right to argue for their preferred source of energy, but they are wrong to claim these sources of energy won't cost more or would even save consumers money "because the wind and sun are free." Renewable energy policies come at staggering costs and, as seen with Germany, those policies bring few if any measurable environmental benefits.
"Jim Hard, former president of SEIU Local 1000 and the union's current vice president for organizing and representation, sent an e-mail to members on Tuesday that passionately argues for ratifying the local's tentative agreement with Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger."
If the satellite data are correct, then This Means That the July 2009 SSTS Reached a considerably higher record temperature than NOAA HAS CLAIMED. The discrepancy is huge in terms of climate measurements; The trend in the difference between the two datasets shown in the above figure is the same size as the anthropogenic global warming signal is expected by the IPCC.
One side of this debate wants a debate, and the other will do anything to avoid it.
There is so much nonsense in here: the fact that the UK hasn't actually cut spending yet; the remoteness of a possibility of a catastrophic loss of welfare by 2050; the equating of spending cuts with nobbling the economy. But I'm not sure anyone is listening to the Huttons of this world any longer.
The potential for climate modeling mischief and false scares from incorrect climate model scenarios is tremendous, says Colorado State University analyst Bill Gray , who has been studying and forecasting tropical cyclones for nearly 60 years. Among the reasons he cites for grossly deficient models are their unrealistic model input physics, the overly simplified and inadequate numerical techniques, and the fact that decadal and century-scale circulation changes in the deep oceans are very difficult to measure and are not yet well enough understood to be realistically included in the climate models.
The fact that we have had similar, and worse, periods of weather 80+ years ago suggests that natural forces explain these events, and that there is no reason at all to play the climate change card .
First there was the spectacular explosion of Orbital Sciences's Antares rocket last Thursday. Then came the crash of Virgin Galactic's rocket plane on Saturday, a major setback for hopes of commercial space travel at a time when NASA has all but handed over the field to the private sector.
"Despite the fact that the carbon trading market, along with ?smart meter? programs, have been exposed as slush fund scams owned by the very globalists fearmongering about man-made climate change ? namely Al Gore and Maurice Strong ? designed to line the pockets of habitual con men who have been caught over and over again lying about the evidence behind global warming, states are now adopting their own version of the scheme so that the trick can be played on an unsuspecting public who still think that cap and trade hasn?t been implemented."
If I manage to take me out on the top-100 list terstr to be seen.
Have global temperatures warmed, cooled or flattened? If so, by how much, since when, and how can we know? I have posed these questions to two highly credentialed climate scientists who have different views on this topic. Texas State Climatologist Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon, a Regents Professor of atmospheric sciences at Texas A&M; University, will present a view that global temperatures have seen an upward trend since the late 1970s. Former director of the U.S. Weather Satellite Service and University of Virginia Professor Emeritus Dr. S. Fred Singer will present an argument that there is no convincing evidence of warming since that time.
In this case, the issue is the benefit to the environmentof reduced emissions of carbon dioxide andlower fuelingcostsfrom a smaller passenger vehicle, versus the risk to the personal safety of you and your family.
Notify just in time so that not only sausages guys can make up a hoe. The restaurants can safe ordnatillflliga the serving ochutsknkningstillstnd just outside festivalomrdet. Dr. would f rka, drinking alcohol and karlslokarna could f take their sausages.
What we are seeing in American politics today is a Jacksonian surge. It is not yet a revolution on the scale of Old Hickory's movement that transformed American politics for a generation. Such a revolution may not be possible in today's America, and in any case the current wave of Jacksonian activism and consciousness is still in an early and somewhat incoherent phase. In the past, moderate leaders on the center left and center right alike have found ways to capture Jacksonian energy. FDR was able to steal the demagogic energy of Huey Long; Richard Nixon marginalized George Wallace even as he responded to some of Wallace's concerns about bussing and crime. (He did not, however, give way to Wallace on the core issue of racial equality.)
Yet even as the U.N. bosses talk of delivering billions from poverty, their main aim, the papers argue should be much, much larger: to limit and redirect the aspirations for a better life of rising middle classes around the world.
For these governors, "fiscal conservatism" meant running a tight ship within the prevailing center-left consensus in their states. If they provide a model of a "libertarian Republican" future, their fiscal apostasy must be accounted for.
My name is Craig Rucker. I am the executive director and co-founder of CFACT, The Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow, a registered U.N. NGO. We've been focusing on issues of environment, development, energy and freedom for twenty-four years. I have now attended around a dozen U.N. Conferences in such places as Cairo, Istanbul, Buenos Aires, Bali, Cancun, and Kyoto. In light of recent events, I have never seen the stakes raised so high or the need for action so great. We are honored to co-sponsor this event.
The NCDC data are regularly used by the National Weather Service to declare a given month or year as setting a record for warmth. Such pronouncements are typically made in support of the global warming alarmism agenda. Researchers who support the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) also regularly use the NASA/NCDC data, including researchers associated with the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia that is now at the center of the "Climategate" controversy.
Limbaugh describes this group as "the conformists; the people who will sacrifice their own identity; the people who will sacrifice who they really are in order to be accepted by people they think are their betters." Like courtiers in an especially corrupt monarchy, prospective aristocrats today must flatter their rulers and humble themselves to prove their fealty. One can hardly think of a better example of this degrading process than President Clinton's notorious intern Monica Lewinsky.
This figure we calculated may not seem particularly significant, says Esper. Our results suggest that the large-scale climate reconstruction shown by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) likely underestimate this long-term cooling trend over the past few millennia.
And we certainly need to look at how climate models attempt to answer those questions.
Many of the proponents of man-made global warming are now claiming that climate change is worse than they predicted. According to an Oct. 18, 2011, Daily Climate article, global warming activists claim that the "evidence builds that scientists underplay climate impacts," and "if anything, global climate disruption is likely to be significantly worse than has been suggested."But a forthcoming Climate Depot A-Z Climate Reality Check report on the failure of the science behind man-made global warming theory will shatter any such illusions that the climate is "worse than we thought." Recent scientific data and developments reveal that Mother Nature is playing a cruel joke on the promoters of man-made climate fears.
Connie Hedegaard, the EU Commissioner for Climate Action Photo: AP
Wind energy is also more expensive than almost all other electricity sourcesonly solar is higher. A new study from the Brookings Institute on the "best path to a low-carbon future," assumes that CO2 emissions are causing climate change and therefore must be reduced. It analyzes the costs and benefits of the most common solutions. The study found: "Adding up the net energy cost and the net capacity cost of the five low-carbon alternatives, far and away the most expensive is solar. It costs almost 19 cents more per KWH than power from the coal or gas plants that it displaces."
It's coming to a theater near you on Monday, May 2, for a special one-night engagement.
The proposed EPA plan will kill hundreds of thousands of jobs
Isnt that all ENSO is? Isnt ENSO simply a natural, uncontrolled, variable source of heat to the global oceans and atmosphere? Global Land Plus Sea surface temperatures warmed from 1917 to 1944 and warmed again from 1976 to present, and they cooled slightly from 1944 to 1976. Using period-average NINO3.4 sea surface temperatures, we can see that El Nio events dominated the global warming periods, and La Nia events dominated the period between them when global temperatures cooled.
Among other things, a chironomid-based July temperature reconstruction was one of the fruits of the ten scientists' labors. As indicated in the figure below, although there have been periods of both colder and warmer temperatures, there appears to be no long-term trend in the data. In addition, it is clear from the current temperature line (shown in red) that present temperatures are neither unusual, nor unordinary, within the context of the past 850 years. And, thus, this study provides yet one more example of empirical evidence that stands in opposition to model-based claims that modern temperatures have been rising in response to increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentrations.
1988 Hansen Model vs. 2009 UAH Lower Troposphere (13-month mvg. avg.)
There is no other source of radiation that can effectively destroy the earths ozone layer. But what was curious (and unbelievable) is that there were obvious determined efforts (in the mid-to-late 1980s) to blame mankind for something it could not do on a planetary level and that is to change the climate.
And they're doing drop houses, and they're extorting people and they're terrorizing the families." The governor, who has become a national media figure since signing Senate Bill 1070 into law on April 23, went further on Friday, saying that the "majority of the illegal trespassers that are coming (into) the state of Arizona are under the direction and control of organized drug cartels."
In fact, it is exactly because we have made our environment less "natural" that we have improved the lot of humankind. "Natural" means horrifying percentages of our children dying of infectious diseases and mothers dying in childbirth; lifespans of only 30 or 40 years for those who survive these earlier tribulationsyears lived in backbreaking toil merely to avoid starvation; and constant nagging pain from injuries and infections.
It is spektakulrt. As jmfrelse's we've had an increase on the level in the 1900s, says Linderholm.
And the carbon price for the US is misrepresented by data from California alone.
It seems that according the early draft, CO2 induced climate change is going to take a backseat to natural variability.
Agreement signed at Niamey August 11, 2005; entered into force August 11, 2005.
Runaway methane is yet another climate superstition being preached by the worlds #1 rated scientist. There just isnt a lot of methane in the atmosphere. It is a reactive gas with a short residency time.
The process of territorialization of the seas has been twofold: the "enlarging" of territorial waters from 12 miles to 200 miles, but also the "deepening" of territorialization. Twenty years ago, offshore wells were being drilled in just a few hundred feet of water; with ever-improving technology, prospecting then moved to deep water (i.e. beyond 1,300 feet) and more recently still to "ultra-deep" drilling under as much as 10,000 feet, with dramatic consequences for some countries like Brazil, who went from quasi-total dependence on foreign oil to quasi-total independence.
It is this graph of the widening gap between the predicted and observed trends that will continue to demonstrate the absence of skill in the models that, until recently, the IPCC had relied upon.
The paper reveals that the scale, scope, feasibility, cost, resources and other requirements of the decarbonisation agenda have never been tested against other calls on human and physical resources of the planet.
In the Medieval Warm Period, from about AD 950 to 1250, when humanity started to thrive, they would probably say the porridge was ???just right??.
Marc Morano in the small Virginia town of Reston. The PR strategist unleashedthe climate deniers global campaign.