Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In the current climate, weather experienced at a given location or region varies from year to year; in a changing climate, both the nature of that variability and the basic patterns of weather experienced can change, sometimes in counter-intuitive ways some areas may experience cooling, for instance. Indeed, taking the mean of the monthly surface or lower-troposphere global mean surface temperature anomalies from all five principal datasets, the cooling has been global throughout the 150 months since January 2001, representing one-eighth of the present century.
"As a father and an environmentalist I am particularly dismayed by the degree of pessimism for the future that is generated by predictions of an environmental apocalypse. Facts, Not Fear can help parents give their children a positive attitude towards the environment."
After looking at the data, Ms Ameling might consider Rahmstorf as simply not a serious person who is irresponsiblyinserting fear into vulnerable young minds and doing a disservice to his country.
Yet it is generally accepted and uncontroversial that 95 percent of the landmass of Antarctica has cooled over the last 20 years.
or using Anthonys name. They seem to have adopted the Team tactic (Hansen in particular) of refusing to even speak the name of critics.
Those topics will wait until another day. The fate of Democrats in Congress, including the public judgment voters will make on their capacity to govern, rests on passage of some health care reform bill. Never mind polls showing public misgivings about reform (and especially pay little attention to Gallup surveys with questionable sample sizes and serious skews in party representation). Voters have given one party the keys to power in Washington, D.C., and expect action with no excuses. Gridlock would bring a sharp rejoinder from voters next year. Passage of any version of the health care reform bills on the table or in the air, on the other hand, would be a big trophy for President Barack Obama and his Congressional confreres, even if its main components are delayed or diluted.
But there are also strong hints that Tesla is ripping customers off. There's no sucker like a green sucker I suppose.
Bottom line is that some parts of NOAA are completely FOS. 1936 was much more extreme than 2012, by any reasonable standard.
The remaining warmingthat which possibly could be caused by anthropogenic GHG increasesnow stands at about 0.366 Cor just 52% of the EPA's "observed" increase.
John Nielsen-Gammon: Fred, even if there was no anthropogenic component to climate change, the farmers and ranchers in my state would still be desperate to know what's going to happen with this present drought, and with future droughts. Our analysis shows our drought is mainly natural, with the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans playing important roles. In the long run, the more we know about ALL the causes of climate change, the better off we'll be.
It seems environmentalists, frustrated that they weren't able to get cap-and-trade over the finish line with the largest liberal majority in Congress in a generation, think they need to get back to the "grassroots," and "connect with the people." I'm not making this up. Eilperin quotes Fred Krupp, longtime CEO of the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF): "Certainly I think we have figured out we need to find a way to really listen harder and connect with people all over America, especially in rural America. I don't think we've done a particularly good job of that."
Although the net effect of the increase in the air's CO 2 content (which tended to reduce plant water loss) and the increase in the air's dryness (which tended to enhance plant water loss) resulted in no net change in plant iWUE, it can be appreciated that had the air's CO 2 content not risen over the period in question, the alpine plants would have fared far worse than they did in reality. Reference
Dozens of people registered to vote out of small mail box locations and from self-storage yards - there is no legitimate way for a person to appear on the list of Electors from a self-storage yard
Misguided environmental regulations, green obstructionism, and the NIMBY (not in my backyard) syndrome have combined to delay the construction of desperately needed new power plants and transmission lines. Needless economic regulation has prevented the development of more appropriate pricing structures.
Human-induced global warming is real, according to a recent U.S. survey based on the opinions of 3,146 scientists. However there remain divisions between climatologists and scientists from other areas of earth sciences as to the extent of human responsibility.
By 2012, they'd come of age, when data revealed that (British) men outspent womenon shoes. And the Telegraph's 2013 report that the British military's base stores had struck a record deal to bring posh face scrubs, eye creams, and moisturizers to its shelves, to help British soldiers in their fight against blackheads.
Surrounded by low albedo (high solar absorbing) mudflats nearby with low tide near time of Tmax
The big news this week is furnished by my colleague at CEI, Chris Horner, who released some interesting documents he obtained through a Freedom of Information Act request from the Treasury Department. Chris's initial blog post was picked up first by Amanda Carpenter in the Washington Times and then by Declan McCullough at CBSNews.com. There has been a flurry of stories since then, most of them trying to explain why it isn't really a news story. (I wish more reporters spent more time explaining why what they are writing can be safely skipped. It would save a lot of time.)
We have not seen an increase in the number of storms, nor an increase in their intensity, Briggs said. It is true that some models would predict that as the surface gets warmer, more energy is available, but statistically we cant say weve seen it.
The report also suggested that the institutional bias in favor of intervention in climate policy can be explained by public choice theory, which says that climate scientists define themselves as providing "good" in the political sphere, which is the technical information required to save ourselves from impending climatic doom. The value of this good is currently $4.2 billion a year (the current federal research budget, which supplies 99.5 percent of climatic research funding). Portraying climate change as benign would reduce the value of this good, and is therefore a clear threat to the well-being of its scientific community.
Now I am calling you out. Perhaps you might care to explain to me why you are so keen to make claims that are so apparently false?
Notice that the vast majority of the all-time records were set more than half a century ago and that there are exceedingly few records set within the past few decades. This is not the picture that you would expect if global warming from greenhouse gas emissions were the dominant forcing of the characteristics of our daily weather. Instead, natural variability is still holding a strong hand.
So RC's "nothing to see here" argument based on the alleged insider meaning of "trick" raises rather than allays suspicion that CRU is attempting to fit data to a predetermined conclusion.
Of course the food supply p festivalomrdet planned since long time back's one can speculate why arrangrerna chose dark ages year's surprise at the eleventh hour? Maybe they did not want stricter biljettfrsljningen? Or so they would not give mjligheten from restaurants nrheten to arrange catering just outside the area? A few that quickly hrsammade shortages p n other vegetarian sausages were the men who rushed there and stood on line outside the area. They realized that hr was a hack to earn.
You would think there would be ONE historical set of original RAW data, but no not found it yet there looks to be many copies, all with slightly different processing, mixes, histories, updates, quality assurance, etc
The founder of the Weather Channel is ridiculing Al Gore over his calls for action on global climate change, saying in a column that global warming is a hoax and bad science.
Losing electricity, no matter where you live, is losing every technology that enhances and preserves your life. You lose the ability to cool or warm your home, apartment, or workplace. You lose the ability to keep food safe in your refrigerator and freezer. You most certainly lose the lighting. You lose the ability to turn on your computer or television. Indeed, to use everything you take for granted.
A paper published today in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics by Dr. Willie Soon finds the " Most convincing evidence for a sun-climate connection during the Holocene." Professor Soon finds " The Equator-to-Pole Temperature Gradient is linked to Total Solar Irradiance ," noting, " This newly discovered relationship between TSI and the EPTG represents the 'missing link' that was implicit in the empirical relationship that Soon (2009) recently demonstrated to exist between multi-decadal TSI and Arctic and North Atlantic climatic change."
The potential that future warming would cause additional declines does not bode well for the ability of the biosphere to support multiple societal demands for agricultural production, fiber needs, and increasingly, biofuel production, Zhao said.
Climate variability or climate change are popularly reported to be significant causes of the mass killing in the Darfur region that began in 2003 All studies of this conflict agree that it is not possible to isolate any of these specific causes as being most influential . Most authors identify government practices as being far more influential drivers than climate variability noting also that similar changes in climate did not stimulate conflicts of the same magnitude in neighboring regions
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of Energy and Global Warming Policy Myron Ebell on the likely results of the Kerry and Graham plan:
Glaciers are retreating on the Antarctic peninsula, as well as in Patagonia, and on the sub- Antarctic islands, and in West Antarctica adjacent to the peninsula.
The European Commission has abandoned consideration of Science 2.0, finding it too ambitious. That was the wrong call, says Colin Macilwain.
So what difference does it make when I use a fat-tailed exponential decay function, rather than a standard exponential decay function, in my previous analysis? Figure 2 shows the results:
However, proof of global warming is not proof that human CO2 emissions caused that warming.
The ongoing crisis in the Ukraine stirred much public interest, and great lessons can be learned from Peter Glover"s March 7 Breitbart.com article "Putin's Real Great Game: Energy Imperialism." Russia's annexation of the Crimea and threats to the rest of Ukraine after Glover's article makes it more important.
Special Interests Love Cap and Trade The Foundry Remember, it was Enron who was the first big business supporter of cap and trade policies . Washington Times - Obama's cap, trade irk some in party "We want to thank the administration for killing all industry support for cap-and-trade," said William Kovacs, the top energy specialist at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. "President Obama has consolidated the opposition."
temperature trends at individual levels even if the boundary layer averaged
Lewis argues that the main flaw in the Marotzke and Forster research concerns the use of an equation describing energy balance in the climate system that links the so called radiative forcing acting to warm the climate with the sensitivity of the climate to changes in greenhouse gas levels. This equation is central to the logic used by Marotzke and Forster.
By Jon Sanders, John Locke Foundation, June 4, 2015.
Flawed articles about the safety of genetically modified plants have been known to help spread the propaganda of antitechnology activists.
"If every polluter's lobbyist around Congress was suddenly replaced by severely asthmatic children, then maybe Congress wouldn't always be trying to gut clean air standards "
The following paper is referenced: Kopp and Lean (2011) GRL , summarizing total solar irradiance measurements from space and the nontrivial discrepancies in the baseline measurements from different satellites with overlapping time periods.
In the wake of sexual misconduct allegations, the ghastly 2010 novel by Rajendra Pachauri is being taken out of circulation.
Responding to this concern, the six scientists went on to test the ability of the globally-important phytoplankton species Emiliania huxleyi to adapt to ocean warming in combination with ocean acidification. In describing their findings Schluter et al . state that "growth rates were up to 16% higher in populations adapted for one year to warming when assayed at their upper thermal tolerance limit," while particulate inorganic and organic carbon production was -- as a result of adaptive evolution over a period of three years -- 101% and 55% higher under combined warming (26.3 vs. 15.0??C) and acidification (2200 vs. 400 ??atm CO 2 ), respectively, than in non-adapted controls.
August ACE for the Northern Hemisphere was 63 which is much less than the climatological average of 115. The Western Pacific again was much below average. It was indeed the Atlantic that produced two long-lived storms, Danielle and Earl that picked up some of the slack. The global and NH ACE remains at/near 30-year lows.
Professor emeritus of biogeography Philip Stott of the University of London explained the crux of the entire global warming debate when he rebutted the notion that CO2 is the main climate driver.
* what is the broad global picture in respect to global warming now, and say in 50 years time under projected rates of energy use?;
From this, they concluded that variations in wetness could not account for the very large variations in Patriot ball pressures and that the Patriot balls measured by officials did notall start the game at or near the same pressure (though they didnt define near):
This is a false dichotomy, created by using my real null hypothesis NH1, and Dr. Meier??s straw man null hypothesis NH2. Yes, both CO2 and temperatures rose over the 20th century ?? but correlation is not causation, and CO2 does not correlate any better with temperature than a straight line correlates with temperature. Next, Dr. Meier seems to think that NH1 and NH2 are somehow related, so that one or the other must be false. But both could easily be true. It could be true that the climate variations are natural (NH1), and also true that the historical forcings still apply (NH2). So his ???one true / one false?? duality is not valid.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Policy Analyst Michelle Minton on why Michigan lawmakers should not try to legislate lower insurance rates.
#5. Stop lying about drought. Droughts in the US are becoming less severe and less frequent, and the US has been wetter than normal over the past year.
The campaign web site of Senator John Kerry (DMass.) only briefly mentions what the presumptive presidential nominee of the Democratic Party would do about global warming if elected. The issues section says, "When John Kerry is president, the U.S. will reengage in the development of an international climate change strategy to address global warming, and identify workable responses that provide opportunities for American technology and know-how" (http://www.johnkerry.com/ issues/energy/).
17) How Important Is ?Scientific Consensus? in Climate Research? In the case of global warming, it is nearly worthless. The climate system is so complex that the vast majority of climate scientists ? usually experts in variety of specialized fields ? assume there are more knowledgeable scientists, and they are just supporting the opinions of their colleagues. And among that small group of most knowledgeable experts, there is a considerable element of groupthink, herd mentality, peer pressure, political pressure, support of certain energy policies, and desire to Save the Earth ? whether it needs to be saved or not.
Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, he always emphasized. It is a plant-fertilizing trace gas (400 ppm or 0.04% of the atmosphere), essential for photosynthesis and life on Earth. Rising CO2 levels are increasing crop, forest, and grassland growth, improving ecosystems and wildlife, and feeding more people. In fact, the 50-ppm increase in atmospheric CO2 between 1981 and 2010 fertilized an 11% boost in plant cover worldwide. Moreover, current CO2 levels are quite low relative to their levels across geological time, meaning terrestrial, fresh water, and oceanic plant life is currently starved for CO2 by comparison.
1. Should climate scientists discuss scientific uncertainty in mainstream forums?
Puls: It has been melting for 30 years. That also happened twice already in the last 150 years. The low point was reached in 2007 and the ice has since begun to recover. There have always been phases of Arctic melting.Between 900 and 1300 Greenland was green on the edges and the Vikings settled there .
CEI Weekly: Federal Handouts Can't Save Solar Energy Industry
The Yamal version that Osborn attacked was shown as a sensitivity analysis in my original Sep 27, 2009 post on Yamal and not cited or promoted or advocated in any subsequent presentation or even blog post. My issue with Briffa-style regional chronologies had been their sensitivity (non-robustness) to inhomogeneity. Under the statistical model necessary for Briffa-style regional standardization, results should not depend on which subpopulation is used. However, this was very much not the case with his influential Yamal chronology. To illustrate the inhomogeneity, I showed three chronology variations (scenarios, if you prefer) in my Sep 27, 2009 blog post: (C) the Yamal-11 only (as in Briffa 2000 and Briffa et al 2008); (B) both the Yamal-11 and Schweingrubers Khadyta River and (A) Schweingrubers Khadyta River only. I described the calculations as a sensitivity study and did not promote or advocate either Scenario A or Scenario B.
Having realized that a lot of folks might not know about Henges other than Stonehenge, I thought Id mention a couple of them here. The largest is Marden Henge. Its pretty much just a large circular ditch and mound now, but its very large.
202-331-2256 / mebell@cei.org
Nothing new in my talk; I focused on the data, why scientists disagree, and emphasized that there was a lot of disagreement inside of the so-called 97%.
Die Welt writes that the prices are expected to rise unabated and that they likely will even accelerate. The feed-in tariffs will add up to 5.2 cents to the price of each kilowatt-hour.
Predictions from the model suggest that solar activity will fall by 60 per cent during the 2030s to conditions last seen during the 'mini ice age' that began in 1645, according to the results presented by Prof Valentina Zharkova at the National Astronomy Meeting in Llandudno.
As I have written elsewhere, the model of gay and lesbian Americans coming out is a good one. Not perfect but we dont need perfect. We need action. And what gays and lesbians proved is that one-on-one communication is a deeply powerful tool for creating social change.
In fact, the study is an update and expansion of a 2013 study. In the study three years ago, I reviewed EPA's performance meeting more than 300 deadlines under three core Clean Air Act programs (National Ambient Air Quality Standards, National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants, and New Source Performance Standards). For the present study, I updated EPA's performance meeting these programs; in addition, I added a review of EPA's timeliness in reviewing State Implementation Plans.
Weve known for quite some time that obesity is a serious problem for children of expectant mothers, said Gerald Weissmann, M.D., Editor-in-Chief of The FASEB Journal, and now we see that obesity is likely a serious problem for children of obese fathers as well. Hopefully as more research emerges to support these findings, future fathers will find ways to slim down, if not for themselves, then for their children and grandchildren.
I??m going to give him two answers. A little later I will post a???taking Keating seriously part 2?? that recounts a few of the prima facie ways that the IPCC??s radical attribution claims are highly unscientific, as pointed out by numerous people in recent years. Then early next week I will post part 3, detailing a train of specific unscientific and anti-scientific steps in the IPCC analysis that render it not just scientifically invalid but properly classify it as a hoax and a fraud.
Prof. McKitrick has now corrected the calculations upon which this conclusion was based. In a draft erratum, available at http://www.uoguelph.ca/~rmckitri/research/gdptemp.html , he writes, The principal effect of the correction is a reduced weight on the constant term and an increased weight on the COSABLAT variable itself. Indeed the correction improves the overall fit and removes the anomalously small cosine-latitude effect. The socioeconomic variables remain significant and the effects carry over from the station data to the gridded data as before.
He says 2014 was the warmest year, but NASA belatedly admitted they were wrong about thatand the UK Met Office has now validated this centurys global warming hiatus. The yearly temperatures vary by such lilliputian margins even an Ellerslie photo-finish wouldnt separate them; its impossible to claim a record for 2014.
Al Gore is in full attack model, employing his ridiculous Climate Reality Project to Draw the Line on Denial, even as he laid off 90% of the staff at his Alliance for Climate Protection. Greenpeace has joined the fray, launching a Dealing in Doubt campaign that blames ExxonMobil for funding the global warming denial machine.
Just as troubling is the shameful appeal Trump is making, as the Republican standard-bearer, to racist, anti-Semitic, and nativist elements in the populace. To their detriment, party leaders did little to discourage those nefarious appeals. Getting the racist genie back in the bottle may prove impossible.
For the latest, see this new story . and this opinion piece on why this is a fiasco
"Florida Republican Rep. Cliff Stearns is demanding an investigation into cybersecurity issues raised by #Weinergate, saying it is vital to "ensure our national security.""
The record of GHG controls has been no more effective than attempts to control over-fishing and other similar problems. Global emissions of CO2, the most important industrial greenhouse gas, currently exceed the 1988 level by over a third. The IPCC and NOAA report that, through the last several decades, the rise in atmospheric concentrations of CO2 has sped up.
So when I heard a wave break right behind our little fishing boat one afternoon as we were coming in between the rock and the hard place, my first thought was that we were about to join the folks from the Mary Jane.
Even the greenhouse effect itself is dominated by water. Between 75 percent and 90 percent of Earths greenhouse effect is caused by water vapor and clouds.
It is long overdue that the IPCC was called for what it is, an activist eco-political body driven not by the dangerous manmade warming evidence that it pretends exists, but by the beliefs and philosophies of its sponsor, the UNEP, and by key individuals at the time the IPCC was established.
But standing on that position in international negotiations will only lead to endless and increasingly acrimonious disagreements. The United States needs to realize that it is also a major developing economy and should make common cause with India and China to pursue policies that are based on the world's energy needs. As long as population continues to increase in the United States, emissions are going to increase as well. The developing countries, including the United States, should agree on an agenda that is based on the simple facts that the world is not energy rich, it is energy poor, and that for the foreseeable future most of the energy the world uses is going to come from hydrocarbons.