Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
President Obama's modest proposal to slice $17 billion from 121 government programs quickly ran into a buzz saw of opposition on Capitol Hill yesterday, as an array of Democratic lawmakers vowed to fight White House efforts to deprive their favorite initiatives of federal funds.
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UPDATE (1:20 pm. CDT 5/13/11): Since the issue of deep ocean warming (below 700 m depth) has been raised in the comments section, I have re-run the forcing-feedback model for the following two observations: 1) a net 50 year warming of 0.06 deg. C for the 0-2000 meter layer, and (2) a surface warming of 0.6 deg. C over the same period. The results suggest a net feedback parameter of 3 W m-2 K-1, which corresponds to a climate sensitivity of 1.3 deg. C from 2XCO2, which is below the 1.5 deg. C lower limit the IPCC has placed on future warming.
Atmospheric radiation absorption and emission are dominated by the presence of all three phases of H 2 O. Like all molecules, CO 2 only absorbs and emits specific spectral wavelengths (14.77 microns) that constitute a tiny fraction of solar radiation energy in Earth's atmosphere. The first 50 ppm of CO 2 absorbs about half of this tiny energy , each additional 50 ppm absorbs half of the remaining tiny fraction, so at the current 380 ppm there are almost no absorbable photons left. CO 2 could triple to 1,000 ppm with no additional discernable absorptionemission. This is the Beer-Lambert Law: The intensity of radiation decreases exponentially as it passes through an absorbing medium.
White House Staffers Got a Bigger Raise Than You Did Last Year:
Earlier this month, researchers at Norway's University of Science and Technology compared the life-cycle environmental costs of EVs with those of conventional vehicles. Their conclusion: "The global warming potential from electric vehicle production is about twice that of conventional vehicles." The report differentiates between EVs fueled with low-carbon sources like nuclear or renewable energy, and finds that in Europe, EVs could provide a substantial reduction in greenhouse gases, up to 24 percent. But the researchers also conclude that "EVs exhibit the potential for significant increases in human toxicity, freshwater eco-toxicity, freshwater eutrophication, and metal depletion impacts, largely emanating from the vehicle supply chain."
Broadness Radar.Swanscombe, Kent, Great Britain. This is the shipping radar station at broadness helping keep river traffic safe Date: 4 September 2005. Photo by Glyn Baker via Wikimedia Commons and Geograph. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Broadness Radar - geograph.org.uk - 48941.jpg Maybe the Met office should add air conditioners to the list? The brick building and sidewalk leading up to the station make nice heat sinks dont you think?
Ivan Osorio: Is the minimum wage the first of many bad ideas Dems will justify by citing Romney's support for it?
If faster warming does resume in the coming months and years, it?s important to stay focused on the amount of warming?over the long term. Thinking and talking in qualitative terms, like record warm years, can be used to fool and manipulate people?s emotions on the subject.
/s/ George Weisskopf JSC, Avionics Systems Division, Engineering Dir., 40 years
Read that again. From roughly 1925 through 1940, a 15 year period, Arctic summer temperatures rose just about as much as they have from 1979 through 2005, a 25 year period. If sea-ice wasnt near or at its end-of-summer lows this year, something would be wrong with a very basic physical theory: warm temperatures melt ice.
Sea level is rising no faster than for the past 150 years. From 2004 to 2012, the Envisat satellite reported a rise of one-tenth of an inch. From 2003 to 2009, gravity satellites actually showed sea level falling. Results like these have not hitherto been reported in the mainstream news media.
Floridians, don't let the current lack of hurricane activity lull you into a false sense of security. As a low-lying peninsula jutting out into the Caribbean Sea, Florida attracts hurricanes just as surely as a magnet attracts iron filings.
Figure 10 presents the modeled outgoing longwave radiation anomalies smoothed with 5-year filters, to provide a clearer view of the differences in the model simulations.
Most of the warming in forecasts (2/3 or more in the IPCC cases) comes from positive feedback in #3, but we really know nothing here, except that most systems are driven by negative feedback. In other words, this is so unsettled we dont even know the sign of the effect. ( Video here )
But in the recently decided Medillin v. Texas case before the U.S. Supreme Court, Justice John Paul Stevens contrasted the Vienna Convention which the court determined was not self-enforcing with LOST, which he opined did ``incorporate international judgments into international law.''
Huh? Why would it just be skeptics who would be interested in evidence of serious flaws in the science? I'm amazed by paragraph 6 of an article that begins:
Date: Tue, 7 Dec 2010 09:24:22 -0500
Pat Michaels was at my presentation yesterday and pointed out at minute 56 that one of the reasons temperature representations have changed is because of the inclusion of southern oceans into the global temperature record.
Dunn details his personal crusade to expose EPAs bad science and policy making, which began in the early 1990s.
Katie Brown Katie Brown@epw.senate.gov (202) 224-2160
Based on this analysis we can say that there is a probability of 94% of imminent global cooling and the beginning of the coming ice age.
Czech president Vclav Klaus has summarized his experience with the other EU politicians.
Speaking methodically with flashes of humor I always feel that when the conversation turns to weather, people are bored. he said a basic problem with current computer climate models that show disastrous increases in temperature is that relatively small increases in atmospheric gases lead to large changes in temperatures in the models.
There are many different types of uncertainty that are encountered in the modeling of the climate system, and it is important to understand and characterize and quantify them all. One pervasive type of climate uncertainty is what has frequently been referred to as the unforced or natural variability of climate. This characteristic type of uncertainty is encountered when running a interactive atmosphere-ocean climate model for thousands of years with no change in the external forcing (other than standard diurnal and seasonal change in solar radiation) exhibits variability (by several tenths of a degree) in the global annual-mean surface temperature, essentially over all time scales.
Judge Forces Obama Administration to Disclose Climate Documents
Labor to introduce register for foreign ownership of land | The Area ...
These problems are an inevitable consequence of the march of human progress and politics - coupled with more recently acquired sensitivites to the politically incorrect, place names are going to be a perpetual source of irritation. The ribbon-cutting celebration opening "Winnie Wharf" today may well become the offensive Port Elizabeth of tomorrow. And as we are coming to understand, the right of future citizens not to be offended ought to be enshrined in law. On the practical side, though, ad hoc renaming of cities, towns and rivers is likely to be a cumbersome and contentious process. To address this, we should apply a sunset clause to all place names, so that they will automatically expire at set intervals. This way, each new political generation can respond more efficiently to those most recently insulted by the historical fact of their choosing.
The temperature record resulting from the weather stations differs from the graphs generated by the satellites not by too much but substantially enough for the satellites to completely deny the claim that 2014 had a chance to have been the warmest year, and so on. But the differences between the satellite and weather-station-based temperature records probably mean that these two methodologies measure "substantially different quantities" (quantities with inequivalent definitions) that shouldn't be assumed to behave equally, and that's why they don't behave equally. The disagreement between the two methodologies isn't necessarily due to any "big error" on either side.
By now you may have forgotten poor, old Hurricane Rita that hit next. Hurricane Rita, with its sensible actions by local officials, its orderly evacuations, its lack of looting and minimal loss of life, was not a blessing. My heart went out to Chicken Little as Rita failed to destroy Galveston, flood Houston, or wipe Crawford, Texas, off the map.
Because hurricanes form over warm ocean water, it is easy to assume that the recent rise in their number and ferocity is because of global warming. But that is not the case, scientists say. Instead, the severity of hurricane seasons changes with cycles of temperatures of several decades in the Atlantic Ocean. The recent onslaught "is very much natural," said William M. Gray, a professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State University who issues forecasts for the hurricane season.
A very recent extensive study of the Great Barrier Reef concluded that the changes forecast under the business as usual greenhouse gas emissions were unlikely to cause great harm to the reef.
scales, carbon and other elemental cycles, etc. and it has to be several
As bad as this year has been for Arctic alarmists, their pain is just beginning. Melt has been extremely slow in August, in fact area has notchanged for about a week, and is now largerthan 2006
Thefederal governmentof the United Stateshas announced the establishment ofa National Climate Service; e.g. see the NY Times article by Lauren Morello titled Agency Will Create National Climate Service to Spur Adaptation .
Prof Brian Cox is a physicist who was the main presenter of the one-hour-long 2011 BBC special, " Guide to the Moon ", among many other programs. You may expect him to know something about the Moon; you may also be wrong. How does it work in practice? Steve Davis pointed out the following cute story; see the Student Room :
In the West, it has become popular for many activists such as Naomi Oreskes to claim that there is no peer-reviewed literature that contradicts the fashionable theory of the so-called global warming. Well, that's very far from reality as everyone who is familiar with basic research directions in this field knows very well. Whether or not we think that all these papers are right or not, it's a fact that there is even peer-reviewed literature that argues that we're gonna experience global cooling.
8. The IPCC??s own climate-sensitivity equations show that abating 0.06% of global carbon emissions would reduce CO2 concentration from a predicted business-as-usual 410 microatmospheres to 409.988 microatmospheres, and that this would reduce global mean surface temperature by just 0.00006 Celsius degrees ??? if the carbon tax succeeded every bit as fully as its framers had intended. Do you consider that spending $150 billion to cut surface temperature by 0.00006 Celsius degrees is a sensible, proportionate,cost-effective use of other people??s money?
The global war against fossil fuels is a war against progress, prosperity, and the poor. No one has ever explained this better than Stephen Moore and Kathleen Hartnett White do in Fueling Freedom.
In the sixties, there was a TV series called The Outer Limits, which started with an intro saying, "we are controlling your television set ."
While Real Climate might not characterize their response to Hantemirovs complaint as screeching, it is surely unarguably that Hantemirovs complaint prompted a large number of furious comments at Real Climate, both by commenters and by moderator Steig.
???The coral reef system at the Papua New Guinea vent site is an algae-dominated one with few species of corals,?? says Barkley. ???We see responses much like those shown in many lab experiments at some of the other naturally low pH coral reef sites as well, particularly lower calcium carbonate production. But we don??t see the same responses across all of the sites, especially not at the coral reefs in Palau Rock Islands. The coral communities there are thriving, except for higher rates of bioerosion.??
Because the model simulations have difficulties reproducing the mean patterns of Arctic circulation and thickness,' as Kwok writes in his concluding paragraph, ' he says his analysis suggests there are 'considerable uncertainties in the projected rates of sea ice decline even though the CMIP3 data set agrees that increased greenhouse gas concentrations will result in a reduction of Arctic sea ice area and volume.' But with all the problems he finds with the models, who really knows how good those latter projections are?
FSU Professor, James Elsner, has attempted to develop a model to determine the real trends, in the paper The Decreasing Population Bias in Tornado Reports across the Central Plains .
The multinational corporation (SUNY, Paris, Munich, Taiwan, Bern, Boston) consisting of Anchordoqui, Antoniadis, Goldberg, Huang, Lst, and Taylor argues that the bump has the required features to grow into the first package of exclusive collider evidence in favor of string theory yes, I mean the theory that stinky brainless chimps yell to be disconnected from experiments.
offering more support strategies, making it easier for them to pass.
/s/ Michael F. Collins, JSC, Chief, Flight Design and Dynamics Division, MOD, 41 years
When sunlight penetrates a water droplet containing black or brown carbon particles, Jacobson said, the carbon absorbs the light energy, creating heat and accelerating evaporation of the droplet. Carbon particles floating around in the spaces between the droplets also absorb scattered sunlight, converting it to heat.
7. Adaptation is clearly the best approach to deal with the moderate global warming and cooling experienced in recent centuries.
Work undertaken not the first, claiming the periodicity of climate change and, accordingly, the incorrect predictions of global warming, experts say FIAN. One of the confirmations of the calculations of Russian scientists began a study of ice cores extracted from boreholes drilled above Lake Vostok in Antarctica. The longest core length of 3623 m allowed to conclude that changes in temperature over 420,000 years. During this time the Earth was at least four major temperature fluctuations in a big way at 8 degrees! So the upcoming cold spell can be considered gentle. In any case, a century ago, the planet was one degree colder than today. And for a lot of global climate change, say meteorologists.
No more excuses, Mr. Gore. Have the guts to defend your views. Show some cojones.
Most importantly, the GEF has become a giant protection racket in which environmental activists shake down the World Bank in exchange for their silence and even their support. The scheme has worked magnificently as Green organizations have ended their campaign to abolish the World Bank even though they don't consider it any more "Earth-friendly" than before.
David Whitehouse reviews the scientific literature and shows that the global warming standstill is a reality. Full report
Give Greece a Going Away Present, But Go It MustBill Frezza's op-ed in Forbes
To achieve this goal, the new state policy mandates that a mix of 1.4 million zero-emission and plug-in hybrid vehicles be on the road by 2025, nearly triple the number being driven today. Problem is, this increases the cost of these vehicles and limits consumer choices to those they dont want to make.
In the e-mail, Legum boasted to Steyer about how ThinkProgress had silenced Pielke by preventing him from publishing at Nate Silver's then-new website, fivethirtyeight.com, on the issue of climate change. Legum was also asking Steyer, indirectly, for more money. Steyer and Podesta both sit on the board of the Center for American Progress. Between 2008 and 2014, Steyer gave the Center for American Progress some $3.85 million. I'll come back to the specifics of that e-mail shortly.
The number of real experts who can independently judge whether the UAH MSU correction made things more accurate is very low. I am not one of them. My sociological criteria tell me that it's more likely that the correction should have been made. But of course, I don't care. Whether a mid-troposphere warming trend should be 50% higher or lower is a technicality. I didn't have any belief and I couldn't have any belief a priori; and I don't really care about the outcome, either.
The ingenious system required the same percentage reduction emissions from the two types of coal even though unscrubbed western coal was still cleaner than scrubbed eastern coal. This law (which lasted under the 1990 Clean Air Amendments) illustrates how powerful political figures (Robert Byrd of West Virginia and Howard Metzenbaum of Ohio) could take advantage of weak constitutional structures to impose destructive legislation, which should be struck down because of its massive implicit economic subsidies for dirty eastern coal.
The big lie peddled by the UN is the notion that a doubling of CO2 concentration will cause as much as 2-4.5 C of global warming. In fact, according to a stream of recent papers in the peer-reviewed journals, it will cause more like 0.5-0.8 C of warming. That is all and it is harmless.
The term "air pollutant" means any air pollution agent or combination of such agents, including any physical, chemical, biological, or radioactive (including source material, special nuclear material, and by-product material) substance or matter, which is emitted into, or otherwise enters, the ambient air. Such term includes any precursors to the formation of any air pollutant, to the extent that the Administrator has identified such precursor or precursors for the particular purpose for which the term "air pollutant" is used.
So, how will this book be received by the climate establishment? First, I suspect that they will attempt to smear Laframboise as a denier. This is not the case. Her prime motivation seems to be a concern about free speech; she has a long standing involvement in free speech issues in Canada. Second, people will pick apart some of the minor points that are arguably suboptimal interpretations.
As the atmospheric CO2 concentration has grown since the 1700??s coral reef extension rates have also trended upwards. This is contrary to the theory that increased atmospheric CO2 should reduce the calcium carbonate saturation in the oceans, thus reducing reef calcification. It??s a similar enigma to the calcification rates of coccoliths and otoliths.
So natural gas supplies may be plentiful now, but the Obama Administration's "crucify them" agenda on oil and gas development is designed to change that. Its whole purpose is to decrease access to these resources through increased regulations from the federal government.
Underestimating Costs: The Institute for Energy Analysis (IEA) produced a study that estimates the cost of replacing existing power plants with solar- or wind-generated electrical power. Many prior studies used government estimates of new power plants to compare different types of electricity generation, such as comparing nuclear power with combined-cycle natural-gas plants. Such studies failed to take into account the useful life of the existing plants, with much of the capital costs substantially reduced over time and use. Our study shows that on average, electricity from new wind resources is nearly four times more expensive than from existing nuclear and nearly three times more expensive than from existing coal. These are dramatic increases in the cost of generating electricity. This means that the premature closures of existing plants will unavoidably increase electricity rates for American families.
BBC NEWS | Climate change threat to haggis Global warming could pose a threat to a key ingredient used in one of Scotland's most famous dishes. An increase in lungworm infections in sheep has been identified by the Scottish Agricultural College Veterinary Investigation Centre. The parasite renders sheep lung - used to make haggis - unfit for consumption . The centre's Sandy Clark said climate change could be a factor in the rise of cases and said lung could end up being used less in making the food. Thurso-based Mr Clark said: "There is the possibility that their part of the ingredients maybe less prevalent and may have to change to another mix."
Are Tornadoes Getting Stronger? Rebuttal to Elsner et al.
It is reported here that the University of Pittsburgh Research Integrity Panel concluded that Dr. Gerald Schatten didnt intentionally fabricate data, but he committed research misbehavior in signing his name to Dr. Hwang Woo-suks work in South Korea.
The worlds climate scientists are almost all employed by western governments. They usually dont pay you to do climate research unless you say you believe manmade global warming is dangerous, and it has been that way for more than 20 years. The result is a near-unanimity that is unusual for a theory in such an immature science.
In an attempt to further explore the subject, which Gardelle et al . describe as suffering "from a severe lack of observations," the three researchers calculated the regional mass balance of glaciers in the central Karakoram between 1999 and 2008, based on the differences they found between two sets of digital elevation data, one generated from the February 2000 Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM) and the other from the December 2008 optical stereo imagery acquired by the Satellite Pour l'Observation de la Terre (SPOT5) program.
4 Eugenics, which arose in the US, was advocated by many progressives. It was simply another manifestation of the liberation of man.
Brian McNicoll: If president is serious about across-the-board energy, why won't he approve the Keystone pipeline? More than 1,200 pipelines traverse more or less the same route. William Yeatman reacts to Obama on climate change:
hawkish stance, Obama and the rising generation of Democratic foreign policy
Idso first looked at changes in atmospheric water vapor that occurs in Phoenix, Arizona each year with the advent of the summer monsoon. By plotting daily minimum and maximum temperatures for the last 30 years as functions of atmospheric water content he was able to calculate a climate sensitivity factor of 0.17 C per W/m2, considerably less than the model assumption. He then obtained data for the annual range of solar radiation reception and compared that with the annual temperature range at 81 locations within the United States. He found a climate sensitivity of 0.17 C per W/m2 for the non-coastal stations and 0.087 C per W/m2 for coastal stations (coastal temperatures are moderated by the ocean).
The Science Media Centre soon followed with an attempt at expert reaction to new report on climate sensitivity published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation . The SMCs approach to climate is less about getting clear scientific advice to the public debate than it is about getting rehearsed soundbytes from scientists into the press as quickly as possible.
A new paper published in Environmental Research Letters finds excuse #66 for the 18+ year "pause" of global warming :There's no "pause" if you look at only the one single warmest and coldest days per year.
As Castillo explained to The Wall Street Journal's David Colman, "We spend too much time in the gym to hide under frumpy shorts that say, "I don't care how I look.'" Colman himself has been a chronicler of men's shortening shorts, with the rise of Chubbies' popularity prompting him this summer to comment that "if men's shorts were a glacier in Greenland, scientists would be freaking out." In just a few short years, the 15-inch inseam has retracted to the 11-inch knee-length look, only to make a decisive jump to 9 inches, after which it tried out the "quadriceps-exposing 7 inches" and didn't stop until reaching "the newly fashionable thigh-flaunting 5 inches."
10 Hew Strachan, "Making Strategy: Civil-Military Relations after Iraq," Survival (Autumn 2006); Lawrence Friedman, The Revolution in Strategic Affairs, 1998, and The Transformation in Strategic Affairs, 2006.