Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The catastrophe at Japan's Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant is being regarded as the atomic power equivalent of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, which set back offshore oil drilling just as it appeared on the brink of a substantial expansion. This means we've now come full circle, as critics of offshore drilling compared the Gulf oil spill to Chernobyl. At the very least the events in Japan are going to reinforce the reluctance of Wall Street to invest in new nuclear power in the United States, deter insurance companies from covering nuclear plants, and increase resistance on Capitol Hill to extending the loan guarantees the nuclear industry says are essential to kick-starting more nuclear installations.
A blogger named Steven Goddard whose actual name is Tony Heller posted a reaction to this blog post of mine . Here is my answer:
In scientific pursuits, it's necessary to constantly challenge theories. Just consider Albert Einstein. Slate writer Brian Palmer explains that Einstein been proven wrong "at least twice on major issues." And scientists are still testing his theories nearly a century after they were first published. That's because science invites legitimate questions of existing theories, and that includes skepticism surrounding claims that drastic reduction of traditional energy use and the accompanying emissions will reverse the global temperature increase that has taken place over the past century.
Link to detailed study: The Levelized Cost of Electricity from Existing Generation Resources
"So here's my question: Is New York City challenging San Francisco as the capital of Nannyland?"
Let me know if I can cite your draft World Bank report.
Global temperatures have been plummeting, and are almost back to where they were at the start of the satellite era during the coldest winter ever in 1979. Yet NOAA and the rest of the climate liars are trying to keep the global warming scam alive.
The USA, simply by exploiting shale gas for electricity generation, has already reduced its CO2 emissions by some 9.5% since 2005 . That alone has already had more CO2 emission reduction effect than the entire Kyoto protocol .
So the temperature graph made from seven weather stations, which NIWA has used for years to prove that the New Zealand climate has warmed, and thus we must take expensive action against global warming caused by humanitys emissions of carbon dioxide, has never had proper scientific standing.
The standard account from liberal historians over the years, and more recently in bestsellers by Glenn Beck, is a linear story: Government expansion starts with the Progressives of a hundred years ago, accelerates through the New Deal and the Great Society, and is followed up by the Obama stimulus and Obamacare.
And, you can blame some really good science and economics professors, but I learned not to trust forecast models, either in climate, stocks, energy prices, or whatever.
Once again I have to thank Grant Foster (a.k.a. Tamino and Hansens Bulldog) for yet another opportunity to show that NOAA cannot justify the relatively high warming rate of their new ERSST.v4 sea surface temperature data during the hiatus, because it far exceeds the trend of the HadNMAT2 data that NOAA used as a reference.
One could try to discover the answer by recourse to recent polls. If one examined the Ap-GfK poll from September 6-13, for example, one would find that working-class voters believe that government intervention in the economy is more harmful than beneficial by nearly a two-to-one margin. One would also find they are more distressed about the economy and more likely to say they have suffered financially or that a relative has lost a job. Over half say President Obama does not understand ordinary Americans' problems. It should come as no surprise, then, to learn the same poll shows Republicans leading Democrats by 22 points on the generic congressional ballot, whereas Democrats led Republicans by 12 points two years ago.
The purpose of the ?social cost of carbon? (SCC) estimates presented here is to allow agencies to incorporate the social benefits of reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions into cost-benefit analyses of regulatory actions that impact cumulative global emissions. The SCC is an estimate of the monetized damages associated with an incremental increase in carbon emissions in a given year. It is intended to include (but is not limited to) changes in net agricultural productivity, human health, property damages from increased flood risk, and the value of ecosystem services due to climate change.
The continued loss of coal-fired plants has reduced their provision of electricity from over 50% to around 47%. The resistance to the construction of nuclear facilities slows the replacement of their loss, but plants utilizing natural gas have benefitted greatly from the discovery of billions of cubic feet through the use of hydraulic fracking technology holds the promise of maintaining the nation?s needs. Need it be said that ?fracking? has become a target of environmental organizations?
Ensure that regulatory agencies and their advisory councils are honest and transparent; that they represent a broader spectrum of expertise, viewpoints and interests than they do now; and that they fully assess evidence for and against proposed regulations, as well as their true benefits and costs.
The global circulation models (GCMs) are essentially linear. That presumably is why they generally fail to reproduce the ENSO and PDO. (If they show any nonlinear behaviour it is probably more by accident than design.) It remains to be seen whether climate and ocean modelling of the ENSO or of larger parts of the global climate, which used a nonlinear oscillator as a starting point, would be more effective.
CEI: The Bush tax cut was signed recently to much fanfare. How do you compare the Bush tax cut to the Reagan tax cut?
The reduced trend in radiative forcing is primarily due to volcanic eruptions ...
All the datasets show some slight warming (+0.11 degrees Celsius per decade since Nov. 16, 1978), some more than others, he told CNSNews.com. But still, the amount of warming is much, much less than what was anticipated from climate models, and thats what Ive been showing and demonstrating in various venues, including Congress.
-> There's this news from Portugal. You remember Portugal. It's the greenist environ-extremists' paradise. Guess what. "Portugal is seeking a rescue package. The reason for the bailout? Strange as it may seem: a green economy that has gotten dark, so much darker Portugal will be the ONLY country in the World, according to the IMF (check out Table 2.2), that will have a GDP negative growth in 2012! Jos S crates, Environment Minister between 1999 and 2002, and Prime Minister since 2005, is the person behind this tragedy. His green vision has brought Portugal some recognition amongst greenies, but mainly a dark future! Almost everything imaginable in this Green promise has gone wrong. Murphy's law at its best "
Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India (#3), although in New York, gave the climate meeting a miss, and his environment minister asked, "What cuts? That's for more developed countries. The moral principle of historic responsibility cannot be washed away."
Mike Kelly has a new briefing paper out, looking at decarbonisation in the context of previous technology changes.
When the earth??s observations falls outside and below the ???weather?? spread but inside the ???all weather in all models?? spread that suggests the ensembles is biased high but the deterministic component of the earth??s trend might match one of the models whose deterministic warming falls in the lower range of the ensemble.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Democrats blame global warming on human activity, compared to 21% percent of Republicans. Two-thirds of GOP voters (67%) see long-term planetary trends as the cause versus 23% of Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either party by eight points put the blame on planetary trends.
Europe Storm Surge, 1953. One of Europes greatest natural disasters occurred during the winter months of January and February 1953. Violent winter storms caused storm surges which caused flooding in areas of the Netherlands and the United Kingdom. Almost 2,000 people perished due to these storm surges.
"Relentless and punishing, July's heat was unrivaled in 140 years of Washington, D.C., weather record-keeping. The July temperature averaged 84.5 degrees at Reagan National Airport Washington's official weather station more than a degree above July 2010 and July 1993, which previously held the mark for hottest month."
The blog publishes the strange maps Map of Biondi of Europe:
Corker, of course, was not alone. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell fell in line quickly, and while House Speaker Paul Ryan hedged his support for a while, he also joined the Trump team. The Republican Party was about to nominate the most inexperienced, unpopular, and temperamentally unsuited major party presidential candidate in the history of American politics, and there was nothing the establishment could do about it beyond trying to contain the political damage.
Consciously distorted: NCAR's Wigley once complained to Mann, "Mike, the Figure you sent is very deceptive there have been a number of dishonest presentations of model results by individual authors and by IPCC. "
Most ocean models used in performing coupled general-circulation model sensitivity runs simply cannot resolve most of the physical processes relevant for capturing heat uptake by the deep ocean. Ultimately, the second law of thermodynamics requires that any heat which may have accumulated in the deep ocean will dissipate via various diffusive processes. It is not plausible that any heat taken up by the deep ocean will suddenly warm the upper ocean and, via the upper ocean, the atmosphere.
EPA Regulations Will Result in 1.44 Million Job Losses
Another shortcoming of the GDP measurement involves accounting for quality improvements where no change in price has occurred: BlackBerries or iPhones can do more and are vastly more useful than similarly priced phones from a decade ago. Failing to account for technological quality improvements, for example, results in the same overall impact as overestimating inflation: it undervalues changes in GDP. Examining these inadequacies, among others, demonstrates that GDP may not even be the most accurate indicator of actual income, let alone prosperity. Continual refinements in statistical methods reduce these problems, but they do not eliminate them completely.
Alarmist climatologist Stefan Rahmstorf of the end-of-world-obsessed Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) responded angrily at Twitter , as the German-government-funded scientist called the statement very depressing and accused the Prime Minister of denial about reality:
This is the opposite trend expected by the IPCC. This deceleration would be even steeper on a percentage of existing CO2 in the atmosphere.
36 See IPCC 1995, p. 5.
???Current datasets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century No robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin
On Friday, I praised the beauty of the left-right-symmetric models that replace the hypercharge \(U(1) Y\) by a new \(SU(2) R\) group. They could explain the excess that especially ATLAS but also (in a different search) CMS seems to be seeing at the invariant mass around \(1.9\TeV\), an excess that I placed at the first place of attractiveness among the known bumps at the LHC .
"The only user group that's going to be negatively affected by this proposal is the fishing industry, period," David Borden, executive director of the Atlantic Offshore Lobstermen's Association, told the Post.
We, the people, still believe that our obligations as Americans are not just to ourselves, but to all posterity. We will respond to the threat of climate change, knowing that the failure to do so would betray our children and future generations. Some may still deny the overwhelming judgment of science, but none can avoid the devastating impact of raging fires, and crippling drought, and more powerful storms. The path towards sustainable energy sources will be long and sometimes difficult. But America cannot resist this transition; we must lead it. We cannot cede to other nations the technology that will power new jobs and new industries we must claim its promise. That is how we will maintain our economic vitality and our national treasure our forests and waterways; our croplands and snowcapped peaks. That is how we will preserve our planet, commanded to our care by God. Thats what will lend meaning to the creed our fathers once declared.
While the title of this article suggests Ive found evidence of natural climate cycles in the IPCC models, its actually the temperature variability the models CANNOT explain that ends up being related to known climate cycles. After an empirical adjustment for that unexplained temperature variability, it is shown that the models are producing too much global warming since 1970, the period of most rapid growth in atmospheric carbon dioxide. This suggests that the models are too sensitive, in which case they are forecasting too much future warming, too.
Wind power is justified by claims that it reduces emissions and thus reduces global warming. However, when all the steel, concrete, construction, maintenance, replacement and rehabilitation are taken into account, wind power contributes nothing to reducing emissions or changing global climate.
president has started his presidency, as there is merit in asking candidates for
But it is worse than it seems. Since 1990, sea level in North Carolina has been rising at less than half amillimetreper year. If the post-1990 trend continued, North Carolina would see less than two inches of sea level rise by the year 2100.
The variability in Patriot pressures is larger than the variability in Colt pressures, but the form of variability is very odd and, in my opinion, is more indicative of inconsistent gauges and even mistaken inclusion of a Colt ball, than of erratic washroom deflation.
And no country currently imposes an economy-wide tax on greenhouse gas emissions or has in place an economy-wide ETS.
The forecast is one of the coldest winters in the past 20 years for Western Canada, major snowstorms for Ontario and Quebec and a drier than normal winter for Atlantic Canada.
90) Politicians and climate activists make claims to rising sea levels but certain members in the IPCC chose an area to measure in Hong Kong that is subsiding. They used the record reading of 2.3 mm per year rise of sea level.
Not to forget Canadas own climate hysteric, David Suzuki, he came in for some mockery over some TV ads hes appeared in.
Benjamin Santer of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, Tom Wigley of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, and their colleagues put together weather forecasts and other data from the past 20 years to construct a computer model of a series of atmospheric simulations. The researchers concluded that greenhouse-gas warming in the troposphere and ozone-related cooling in the stratosphere accounted for about 80 percent of the rise.
2) Any trend in the degree of summer melt in the Arctic is further confounded by the fluctuating concentrations of thin first year ice. Because continents surround the Arctic Ocean, Arctic Sea ice undergoes cycles of accumulating or reducing the amount of thick, multi-year sea ice that resists melting. 2 When the winds pile sea ice against the Arctic shoreline, thicker multi-year ice accumulates. When the winds shift, that thicker ice is blown out past Svalbard into the north Atlantic, and is replaced by thinner, first-year ice that more readily melts each summer. The amount of multi-year ice in the Arctic is controlled by the direction of the winds and the Arctic oscillation. 2 It was not warmer temperatures that removed the thickest Arctic Ice, but sub-freezing winds blowing from the coldest regions in the northern hemisphere. 4,5
The Associated Press: Rising seas threaten Shanghai, other major cities Shanghai, altitude roughly 3 meters (10 feet) above sea level, is among dozens of great world cities including London, Miami, New York, New Orleans, Mumbai, Cairo, Amsterdam and Tokyo threatened by sea levels that now are rising twice as fast as projected just a few years ago , expanding from warmth and meltwater. Estimates of the scale and timing vary, but Stefan Rahmstorf, a respected expert at Germany's Potsdam Institute, expects a 1-meter (3-foot) rise in this century and up to 5 meters (15 feet) over the next 300 years. April '09: Sea Level Graphs from UC and some perspectives Watts Up With That? The fact is sea level are flatlining now since 2006 are may actually start to decline..due to reduced watts/mt from the sun.
In a 1989 interview, the "godfather of glasnost," Aleksandr Yakovlev, recalled that, returning to the Soviet Union in 1983 after 10 years as the ambassador to Canada, he felt the moment was at hand when people would declare, "Enough! We cannot live like this any longer. Everything must be done in a new way. We must reconsider our concepts, our approaches, our views of the past and our future. There has come an understanding that it is simply impossible to live as we lived before intolerably, humiliatingly."
???In summary,?? to quote Dole et al ., ???the analysis of the observed 1880-2009 time series shows that no statistically significant long-term change is detected in either the mean or variability of western Russia July temperatures, implying that for this region an anthropogenic climate change signal has yet to emerge above the natural background variability.?? Thus, they say their analysis ???points to a primarily natural cause for the Russian heat wave,?? noting that the event ???appears to be mainly due to internal atmospheric dynamical processes that produced and maintained an intense and long-lived blocking event,?? adding that there are no indications that ???blocking would increase in response to increasing greenhouse gases.??
There are the unknown conscientious "objectors" who, just prior to the UNCCC, released thousands of emails and documents proving decades of fraud by the "global warming" institutions and "scholars." Then came the many scholarly websites (junkscience.com, wattsupwiththat.com, climatedepot.com, icecap.us, cfact.org, sppi.orgto mention just a few) and the scientists who worked over-time analyzing the leaked documents. They have pieced together at least twenty years of "faked" global warming graphs and organized suppression of opposing points of view.
"One of the classic issues facing innovators is that because their ideas are new, their products aren't always 'legal,' because they don't fit any of the traditional definitions of a product under existing rules."
on Tuesday, February 16th, 2010 at 7:29 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
An analysis like this might be used to estimate the probability of reaching agreement on a carbon pricing scheme that would deliver the projected benefits of reduced climate damages and survive until the job is done.
Ben has a review of James Garveys The Ethics of Climate Change: right and wrong in a changing world over at Culture Wars :
As you can see, despite the warming of the last 115 years shown in the USHCN dataset, while some of the PDSI trends have decreased, almost all of the statistically significant changes in the PDSI are positive (less drought). And few of the changes are statistically significant.
???Cheap, abundant natural gas is changing the game for energy in the U.S., and that means a renewed push for natural gas cars. According to Pike Research, there will be a total of 25 million natural gas vehicles on the roads worldwide by 2019, and the amount of natural gas vehicles sold in North America will grow around 10 percent a year between now and 2019. GE estimates there are 15 million natural gas cars globally today, and around 250,000 in the U.S.??
Led by its widely respected prime minister, Salam Fayyad, and others, the Palestinian Authority (PA) is finally developing an infrastructure of statehood, which has generated cautious hope among many Israelis that a Palestinian regime could be a source of stability and democratic values in the region.
The reality is that the infra-red active gases act more like an umbrella providing the Earths surface with shade to keep it cool than like a greenhouse to keep it warmer. It is a much more realistic description of the infra-red active gases to call them shade gases, rather than greenhouse gases.
That's a truly ungrateful behavior. She was actually born in Wales, U.K., in 1961. After Julia suffered from bronchopneumonia as a child, her parents were advised it would aid her recovery to live in a warmer climate. The family chose to migrate to Australia in 1966, settling in Adelaide. (Copied from Wikipedia.)
Reduce regulatory burdens where costs overwhelmingly outweigh the direct environmental benefits. The biggest threat to affordable, reliable energy in the United States is the current onslaught of regulations implemented by unelected bureaucrats under the guise of protecting the environment. Proposed and newly implemented regulations affecting current and future power generation will drive up energy costs for Americans and business owners, destroy jobs, and do little to protect the environment. In fact, the regulations will drive up the costs of goods and services that promote public health, such as access to affordable heating and air conditioning, and divert resources away from activities that could truly improve America's public health.
Peer-reviewed Study: Arctic and Subarctic Species Benefit from Global Warming
Much text is given the Landsea-Trenberth kerfuffle regarding hurricanes and the AR4. Laframboise doesnt quite capture the complexity of this issue, and she mistakenly states If not a single hurricane expert thinks theres a link between hurricanes and global warming, how can it possible be OK for an IPCC senior author who is not a hurricane expert to make statements to the contrary at a press conference? The press conference in question occurred in Spring 2005 when Emanuel was working on his paper (and the press conference motivated Webster to start working on this topic). By the time of the 2007 IPCC report, the IPCC did draw reasonabley responsible conclusions with a substantial degree of uncertainty.
The United States, where the development of nuclear fission and its use to generate electrical energy occurred, is now well behind other nations that have built nuclear facilities and are adding new ones. As Donn Dear, an energy expert with Power For USA, points out "there are only four new nuclear power plants under construction, all by Toshiba-Westinghouse LLC. One other plant, Watts Bar 2, whose construction was held up for several years, is being completed by TVA."
Due to the lack of actual extreme weather (record low tornadoes and hurricanes in the US) climate charlatans now describe mild weather as extreme.
Platinum Anniversary Of Clinton Solving Global Warming
Tax records from the Rockefeller Brothers Fund indicate that it sent $1.25 million to Michael Marxs organization, Corporate Ethics International, between December 2007 and November 2010. The money was earmarked to coordinate the initial steps of a markets campaign to stem demand for tar sands derived fuels in the United States. The Fund has not yet filed its tax return for 2011.
In addition, we should wait because the current proposals on how to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are all expensive and will be cheaper in the future as technologies improve.
Climate Change policy is driven by forecasts of temperatures over the next 100 years. But the computer models need to be checked against the actual temperature trends of the last 100 years. If back-casts are wrong, then fore-casts will also be wrong.