Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Obviously, the price tag for renewables is extremely high, compared to hydrocarbons. The additional costs can be justified either by imminent fossil fuel scarcity (the "oil peak"), which would send petroleum and coal prices through the roof, or by the threat of man-made global warming. But on closer inspection neither argument is tenable.
Figure 7: Sea level development around the Tarawa atoll based on tide gauges. There is no detectable rise. Diagram source: Donner (2012) .
All that blue indicates that, yes, July was, as Murphy said, colder than normal in the northern and eastern parts of the United States, in some cases record cold. Granted, the planet won't be uniformly warm (or cold), but record cold? In July? At a time when the planet is supposed to be not only warming, but experiencing (according to IPCC president Rajendra Pachauri) "accelerated" warming? (See Christopher Monckton's article debunking this claim.)
The climate segment of Mr. Obamas speech concludeswith a theological flourish:
Had NSIDC begun their graph in 1971, it would be clear that Arctic sea ice is cyclical, not the fake linear trend they are scamming people with.
Practically all opponents of the EPA?s new rules are taking the same tack. They seem to think that they can thwart the so-called ?war on coal? while accepting the main reason for the regulations, the highly debatable premise that we can control Earth?s climate merely by adjusting our carbon-dioxide emissions.
DMI Fairly reliable indication to be out with red on top. Also note that ADX, the black line, is picking up strength. Direction of the trade is to the downside, and accelerating.
However, the report is also expected to say that the UK is on track to meet its self-imposed goal of reducing CO2 emissions to 20 percent below that of 1990 levels. The question is how the UK could possibly achieve that goal since it is not on target to even meet the goals of the Kyoto global warming treaty, which would reduce CO2 emissions to 12.5 percent below 1990 levels.
What is needed is a fundamentally different approach to the federal role in energyone that emphasizes sustained energy R&D; on basic and early applied researchparticularly in higher-risk, higher-reward, longer-term technologies that are too early for angel or venture capital funding. The federal government has a long and fairly distinguished track record in basic science and engineering R&D;, including the development of the Internet on which you are reading these words. We need a lot more of thatand a lot less corn ethanol.
In April, the Parliament in Strasbourg voted against artificially propping up the price of Emission Trading System carbon permit prices following the collapse of energy demand in connection with the Continents economic crisis. While the low price of carbon allowances is great for energy customers, you can be assured that it is viewed very differently by so-called renewable energy and carbon credit trading promoters who depend upon higher-than-market fossil fuel prices to stay in business. The Parliaments veto reflects encouraging recognition that unwarranted, economy-ravaging carbon rationing is a feverish folly.
In a recent research paper (Loehle, 2008), I show that if this linear model is mis-specified (i.e., a linear growth response is assumed but in reality the growth response is non-linear), even a model that appears to work well during the training (or calibration) periodthe time during which both temperature and tree rings are availablemay fail miserably during the reconstruction periodthe time in the past when only tree rings or available, that is, prior to direct temperature measurements.
An increasing trend in Arctic temperatures about twice that of the global average temperature.16 Over the past fifty years, the Arctic should have warmed by 1 C or more.
(B) Proponents claim always win, no matter what happens, and are always ready to change the cards on the table (mp3: 14m15s). One way to do rather common in environments AGW: today, the planet warms or cools, the comments will still compatible with the theory dellAGW.
Let me say it again: the question is not whether temperatures have risen or whether mankind has affected the climate. Temperatures have always risen and fallen and mankind has always affected the climate. The question is whether we have a problem on our hands. The poor performance of the climate models suggests that the problem is much less than we have been led to believe.
By clearly understanding how threats to our sovereignty arise, by making them politically important, and by holding our elected officials accountable, we can defend our sovereignty vigorously. But there is no time to waste.
Democrats have a weak field in part because of their poor showing in recent statewide elections. And there's another problem. The geographically clustered Obama coalition blacks, Hispanics (in some states), gentry liberals tends to elect officeholders with little incentive to compile records that would make them competitive in target states and capable of winning crossover votes.
Where there are a large number of data points, it does not materially affect the larger picture, but does remove some of the extreme anomalies from the data set. But where there is very little data available the impact is much larger. That is particularly the case prior to 1910. But after 1910, any data deletions pale into insignificance next to the adjustments.
The cumulative effect is that families have even less money to buy food, pay the rent or mortgage, repair the car or house, save for college and retirement, take a vacation and keep people comfortable (and alive) on frigid winter nights and sweltering summer afternoons. Workers lose jobs. Health and welfare, family relationships, future prospects and psychological well-being plummet. Because they spend the highest proportion of their incomes on energy, poor and minority families suffer disproportionately.
WIth regards to climate science, I am arguing that the focus needs to move away from a focus on projections of carbon dioxide-controlled climate and towards examining the more complex dynamics (external and internal) at play that determine both global and regional climate.
"The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 created a powerful quasi-private agency to oversee the auditing of American business, the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB). The PCAOB is responsible for a mountain of red tape, and its broad interpretation of Sarbanes-Oxley's rules on what constitutes a company's "internal controls" is costing the U.S. economy billions of dollars every year."
The model in Figure 3 predicts global cooling until 2030. This result is also supported by shifts in PDO that occurred at the end of the last century, which is expected to result in global cooling until about 2030 .
So we have an entity that checks off all the boxes for regulatory capture. It's got lots of money. It influences politics. And then it's granted access to literally write policy. Of course, some commentators will claim: "But NRDC is selflessly lobbying to achieve environmental protection, which is always a great thing, right?" Wrong.
So, is it reasonable to assume these feedback loops? First, none have really been proven empirically, which does not of course necessarily make them wrong. . In our daily lives, we generally deal with negative feedback: inertia, wind resistance, friction are all negative feedback processes. If one knew nothing else, and had to guess if a natural process was governed by negative or positive feedback, Occams razor would say bet on negative. Also, we will observe in the next section that when the models with these feedbacks were first run against history, they produced far more warming than we have actually seen (remember the analysis we started this section with post-industrial warming implies 1-1.5 degrees sensitivity, not four).
An honest government and honest candidates would inform the public about these truths and lead open discussions of what might be done. The fact that no candidate mentions that governments have promised more healthcare and pension spending than we can pay for tells us a great deal about the state of truth in government and among the candidates for the presidency.
Growing evidence for the linkage between solar variability and frequency of blocking in the Northeast Atlantic has also been provided by meteorological studies. Modern observations show strong solar modulation of the blocking frequency and positioning during the 11-year solar cycles for the past 50 years, impacting substantially on UK winter temperatures 22,23
Outright denial can cloud the movements effort to portray itself as a credible underdog in a scientific debate, some attendees said. And while many people here declined to criticize Heartlands decision to buy a billboard that compared climate advocates to Unabomber Ted Kaczynski, they also emphasized that their ideas have little chance of being advanced through outrageous attacks.
Looks like I'm pulling an all-nighter. My belinda is having puppies. Open thread, reader tips, Halloween-themed names suitable for Schnauzers. 11 am Update Just got home from the vet clinic - a few hundred dollars poorer, but 5 new healthy puppies richer. By 3 am it was apparent that things weren't going as expected, and sure enough, one little prankster was preventing everyone's escape by turning himself sideways and into a pretzel. Surgical intervention was required. I haven't settled on names but "Houdini" has been scratched off the list.
Remember the number 1.85. It is the lodestar of a new demography that will lead us to a different world. It should change the way we think about economics, geopolitics, the environment, cultureand about ourselves.
As for the implications of these several findings, Stoks et al . say they suggest that "besides genetic changes, also phenotypic plasticity and evolution of plasticity likely will contribute to observed phenotypic changes under global warming in aquatic invertebrates," which further suggests that freshwater invertebrates should be able to weather whatever challenges (in the form of changes) earth's climate may thrust upon them.
We are already 12 years into the 30 from 2000 to 2030. As you can see from the above animated plots, there appears to have been a distinct lack of accelerationin the last 100 years or so. Roughly speaking, the sea level along the coast of California is rising at about 2 mm/year. So it looks like there will be a netrisesurpassing the National Research Councils lower limit of 4 cm in 30 years. On the other hand, it would require an extraordinary, nearly impossible acceleration to get to 15 cm, justhalf the NRCs upper estimate of 30 cm, by 2030. But you can still pray to Gaia for a miracle.
As long as the EPA continues to rely on assumptions about industry activity that are not, in fact, based on actual industry activity, their estimates for methane emissions will remain wrong. The fact that those assumptions result in inflated emissions estimates makes the agencys conscious decision not to adjust its methods even more troubling.
In other words, over the next five years, their models forecast that global surfaces may be a little warmer or a little cooler than 2014, as much as 0.2 deg C warmer or as much as 0.08 deg C cooler. That narrows it down.
These calamities included predicting a ?BBQ summer? before the 2009 washout and then claiming there was only a one in seven chance of a chilly winter last year before the coldest few months for 31 years. And the new figures, which show a 60 per cent to 80 per cent chance of warmer-than-average temperatures this winter, were ridiculed last night by independent forecasters. The latest data comes in the form of a December to February temperature map on the Met Office?s website.
In the press, the hottest topic throughout the summit was the Kyoto Protocol. The 1997 agreement expires in 2012. Currently, it is the main mechanism used by the warmists internationally to limit emissions and raise money. It basically forces developed countries, accounting for less than one-fourth of total global emissions, to cut back on releasing carbon dioxide through the Clean Development Mechanism. The money raised by selling ?carbon credits? is used to finance ?green? projects in poorer countries.
Weather Channel Founder Says Hurricane Matthew Is "Nature Not Mankind'
2001: The IPCC concludes that todays temperatures are warmer than in 1300 years. How it reached this conclusion is under criminal investigation.
Repeal the Jones Act. Enacted nearly a century ago, the Jones Act mandates that any goods shipped by water between two points in the United States must be transported on a U.S.-built, U.S.-flagged vessel with a crew that is at least 75 percent American. By preventing foreign competition, the Jones Act significantly increases domestic maritime shipping prices to the benefit of the American shipping industry, driving up costs for American businesses and consumers.
"Some 24 environmental groups signed statements largely supporting the aims of solar developers. National environmental groups joined BrightSource and other solar companies in a letter sent Dec. 14 to the White House, asking the president to continue a federal renewable-energy subsidy.
From Paul Driessen: "In response to pleas for more energy, to meet basic human needs and lift people out of poverty, many politicians and activists continue to insist that "dangerous global warming" concerns must override even these human interests. Now comes this incredible bombshell from Australia's top climate change commissioner:
So we have two possible candidates for the station that made the red dot. Both have potential placement issues. It makes you wonder how many more of the dots in the HPRCC map have issue like this. I only spotted this one because it was such a large singular anomaly. I??ll check with HPRCC on Monday to see if they can identify the dot??s data origin for me. In the meantime I need help from our readers and volunteers.
U.S. energy policy: satisfy the Green lobby!
Norman Myers himself says "Unfortunately, we live in a world without sufficient scientists, funding, and above all, time to undertake a conclusive check." And in 1989 he wrote, "Regrettably, we have no way of knowing the actual current rate of extinction in tropical forests, nor can we even make an accurate guess." (Scarcity, pp. 77 and 40)
Downstairs, next to the jellyfish tanks, a rhyming video told how the jellyfish population was exploding in the wild because they thrive in warmer waters. In the main room, a staff member pointed to a rare blue lobster, saying that some lobsters have been scuttling out of Massachusetts and settling in cooler climes to the north.
As candidate and president, on eight separate occasions Barack Obama instructed Americans to "think about what's happening in countries like Spain Germany" if they wanted to know what successful "green jobs" policies look like, and if they wanted to know what we should expect here in the U.S. from his agenda.
Climate change policy is a major focus of the Competitive Enterprise Institute. Indeed, we have been active in the global warming debate ever since the issue first gained national prominence in the late 1980s. Former CEI environmental studies director Kent Jeffreys published a major monograph on the issue, titled "Why Worry About Global Warming," in February 1991. In 1992, along with the late Dixie Lee Ray, CEI President Fred Smith attended the 1992 Rio Conference as an observer and commentator. Our aim was to give intellectual aid and comfort to greenhouse skeptics in the U.S. and other delegations. Needless to say, CEI s efforts to dissuade the Bush Administration from signing the Framework Convention on Climate Change were less than spectacularly successful. But we remain hopeful that cooler heads will yet prevail in this round.
However, as the actual empirical evidence through November 2011 reveals, it is highly unlikely that either of these "scientists" could find his own ass with his hands. Even using Santer's own preferred 17-year analysis span (chart on left), it is clear that global warming is insignificant and likely moving towards a cooling phase.
Outside of Europe, North America, Australia, and New Zealand also performed well. Had they ranked higher in the area of health, countries in these regions would have finished even higher. The United States comes in at ninth place and is the top ranked country of over 50 million people. Japan (sixteenth) and Hong Kong (eighteenth) make up the rest of the top twenty.
President Barack Obama delivers remarks at a Democratic National Committee event in Austin, Texas March 11, 2016. Reuters
More recently, there is the warm period known as the Holocene Optimum (from 3,000 to 8,000 years ago) and shown in ice core temperatures from Greenland (Figure 4). On the right is the rapid emergence from the Ice Age 10,500 years ago with current temperatures on the left. This record shows you can argue it was warmer than today for most of the last 10,000 years. It shows temperatures up to 3C warmer than at present, and a measure of the range of variability in relatively short time periods. You can also argue that the world has cooled from the peak of warming approximately 3,000 years ago.
For instance, substituting the ECS of Otto et al. for the outdated Roe and Baker distribution, used in the 2013 TSD, causes the SCC for 2020 to drop 41 percent with the DICE model and over 60 percent with the FUND model. There were similar reductions on the SCC for other years as well.
Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s Dust Bowl that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbecks Grapes of Wrath .
In another blow to the alarmist fallacy that the current warming period is 'unprecedented' or 'unusual,' a paper published today in the journal Climate of the Past finds that winter temperatures in China warmed at a rate almost three times faster over the 100 year period from 1862 to 1961 than over the 100 years from 1901 to 2000 . Furthermore, the reconstructed temperature anomaly at the beginning of the study period in 1736 was the about the same as in 2007.
In the latest report from GWPF, David Whitehouse has examined the 21st century temperature standstill and the history of attempts to, ahem, deny its existence.
SM: Well, Ralph Nader changed policy, back in the 1960s and '70s. So it would be quite an accomplishment if I could achieve that.
Mike Hulme1, Ruth Doherty1, Todd Ngara2, Mark New1 and David Lister1
In recent comments about Yamal, Gavin Schmidt claimed that he had been misrepresented in my recent post , but, all too characteristically, did not quote the supposed misrepresentation. Or even say explicitly who had made the supposed misrepresentation, though the link to the CA thread implied that I had been responsible.
Pachauri's position is also becoming increasingly untenable with demands for his resignation becoming louder by the day. In an interview to Open, Pat Michaels of the Cato Institute, a noted US think-tank, who has followed the debate for years, says, "Dr Pachauri should resign because he has a consistent record of mixing his political views with climate science, because of his intolerance of legitimate scientific views that he does not agree with, because of his disparagement of India's glacier scientists as practising "voodoo science', and because of his incomprehension of the serious nature of what was in the East Anglia emails."
CEI has joined several other groups in urging Congress to update U.S. privacy laws.
January 1974 : Brisbane Recieved 34 Inches Of Rain Almost 300% Of What It Received This year
On May 7, 2003, the House International Relations Committee will mark up the FY 2004 State Department authorization bill. The Committee will consider an amendment, introduced by Rep. Bob Menendez (D-NJ), that, if enacted, would effectively overturn S. Res. 98, the Byrd-Hagel resolution. Menendez's amendment, a "Sense of Congress" resolution on global climate change, reflects the Kyoto vision of an impending greenhouse apocalypse, advocates Kyoto-style energy rationing, both as a matter of national policy and international law. CEI teams up with the Center for Science and Public Policy to offer critical comments on the amendment's scientific and economic claims and assumptions.
CFACT is an international public policy organization headquartered in Washington, D.C. which promotes market and technological solutions to issues of environment and development.
Vice President Al Gore recently held a press conference in which he implied a connection between manmade global warming and more frequent and more intense El Nio events. The history of El Nio, however, shows no such correlation. An article in Nature (May 28, 1998) reviews El Nio's past and finds that several El Nio events "that occurred before 1880 had effects at least as intense and wide-ranging as those associated with the current event." This is true for the events that occurred in 1396, 1685-88, 1789-93 and 1877-79, all of which occurred before the buildup of manmade greenhouse gases and when temperatures were much cooler than they are now.
While climate change concerns are voiced most strongly among the young, Liberal Democrat voters and Guardian/Independent readers, these attitudes are not translated into personal action.
Read here . Agriculture prospers in warm conditions and crops respond fantastically to more atmospheric CO2. More CO2 feeds more people and reduces hunger, unless they use the food to fuel more cars - dumb.
The signers are: Fred Smith and Myron Ebell, CEI; Paul Weyrich, Coalitions for America; Grover Norquist, Americans for Tax Reform; former Senator Malcolm Wallop, Frontiers of Freedom; David Keene, American Conservative Union; Paul Gessing, National Taxpayers Union; James Backlin, Christian Coalition; Amy Ridenour, National Center for Public Policy Research; Darrell McKigney, Small Business Survival Committee; Richard Lessner, American Renewal; Tom DeWeese, American Policy Center; Chuck Muth, Citizen Outreach; Steve Milloy, Citizens for the Integrity of Science; Ron Pearson, Council for America; Kevin Kearns, U.S. Business and Industry Council; Dennis Avery, Hudson Institute; Jim Boulet, Jr., English First; and Joan Hueter, American Council for Immigration Reform.
> >> Annual mean temperature in Central England during 1999
North American snow extent as reported by Rutgers University
As of Wednesday, Jan. 13, the area has experienced 12 consecutive days of below freezing temperatures ??? a new record.
say global warming will not pose a serious threat to them or their way of life
All of the desires and efforts to reduce carbon emissions are up against this very inconvenient truth: World Coal Consumption to Surpass Oil by 2020 Due to Rising Demand in China and India . Excerpts from the Reuters article:
"The amount of the sun's energy that reaches the earth's surface is the main driver of the earth's temperature. Clouds are one of the least understood aspects of climate change. They can block the sun, but light can also bounce off one cloud into another cloud's shadow and increase the solar energy hitting earth," said PNNL atmospheric scientist Evgueni Kassianov.
The grim reality is that the EPA wants states to do their dirty work for them. By submitting a plan, states will become complicit in the agency's plan to shut down affordable, reliable power generation, destroy jobs and livelihoods, and plunge minority families deeper into poverty, hardship and ill health.
> >> may be best divided into 3-4 regional studies, drawing upon
3 But when you give alms, do not let your left hand know what your right hand is doing,