Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
As the CO 2 content of the air continues to rise, it is likely that regenerating forest communities of beech and spruce will exhibit enhanced fine root production and ectomycorrhizal fungal growth, regardless of soil nutritional characteristics. However, with additional soil nitrogen, these growth increases will likely become even more robust, allowing greater nutrient acquisition and transfer from the fungal symbionts to their host seedlings. Thus, in a future CO 2 -enriched world, these forest communities will likely sequester much greater amounts of atmospheric carbon belowground in fine root and ectomycorrhizal biomass.
While that descent has been underway for a long time, it has accelerated its pace in recent years. We noted four years ago the dysfunction of the Republican Party, arguing that its obstructionism, anti-intellectualism, and attacks on American institutions were making responsible governance impossible. The rise of Trump completes the script, confirming our thesis in explicit fashion.
Bob Carter is a member of a small group of Australian scientists (although he was born in the UK and mostly educated in New Zealand) who, having attained a distinguished position in their disciplines (he is a paleo-climatologist), were willing to put their reputations on the line by speaking out against the most extraordinary fraud in the history of Western science: the fantasy that by controlling anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide, mankind can control global temperatures; a miraculous global thermostat.
But that is not to say we will move to full, unadulterated gridlock. We can forget about big-time action on the long-term debt problem, immigration, climate change, education reform. But there are other issues, both on a smaller scale and a bit below the radar of Tea Party activists, where we might well see legislation. It starts with trade, where the combination of broad Republican support, business backing, indifference from the Tea Party right and divisions among Democrats, make it a winning issue for the new G.O.P. majority. It may or may not include tax reform, some ideas to tackle long-term unemployment, even infrastructure.
This finding, as they astutely state, "may question the common belief that frequency and severity of such events closely relates to climate mean states," which conclusion essentially rebuffs the well-worn climate-alarmist claim that global warming will lead to more frequent and severe floods and droughts. The odds are that if global warming didn't do so over the past thousand or more years, it likely won't do so in the future.
As Lee describes it, "relative sea level has risen over the second half of the 20th century," and "so have Holderness cliff recession rates, from around 1.2 m/year in the early 1950s to around 1.5 m/year by 2000." However , as he continues, "there has been no significant acceleration in the rate of global sea-level rise since 1990 and no rapid increase in the recession rate." Thus, he states that "predictions of 20-year recession distances made in the early 1990s that took account of the RSLR advice from MAFF (1991) are likely to have overestimated the risk to cliff-top property and the benefits of coast protection."
The statement Tamino seems to dispute is a statement of observed fact. The observed fact is that trend lines (Im assuming the author meant 2001-current as this decade) show that there has been cooling. This is not the same as saying that global warming has stopped, nor is it a statement that says this could be one of those aberrations that occur with fluctuating data. It says that, given the observed data, the trends are negative.
Killing people with concern? Biofuels led to nearly 200,000 deaths (est) in 2010.
At the same time, as already discussed, many factors constrain the level of the price on GHG emissions. The price should, therefore, be a modest one, and it should replace regulatory mandates, not supplement them. In order to keep the proper focus on the global nature of the climate problem, the price should be linked to GHG prices in China and India. At least in the early years, the U.S. price may have to slightly exceed those in China and India, which are likely to be zero, but the gap should be small and, in order to avoid creating perverse incentives for other nations, it should not be permitted to increase.
Someone asked the Warden about inbreeding, and the lack of predators. He said that there wasa curious custom that the herd invariably followed. The Warden said that the herd has one King Bull at any one time. And whenever a calf is born, when it is about a week old, the calf is brought to be introduced to the King Bull himself. He sniffs and licks the calf and checks it out. Usually it is accepted by the King Bull into the herd.
Strike four : 30 years ago ice was at its maximum for the century due to the ice age scare. Walt Meier at NSIDC has specifically warned not to use 1981 as typical.
Even if there were 1 billion people on this planet who would support the global warming hysteria, it would be a fringe group of lunatics. But one billion is still a huge number. This guy must be completely ignorant about what is possible in the real world and what is not possible. A billion of distinct visitors is more than almost any server in the world gets visited by in a year. And I am comparing Myneni's dull website with some of the most important internet services of the world that bring their users lots of useful information and interactions.
3. Jamaica - Agreement Regarding a Debt-for-Nature Swap to Prepay or Cancel Certain Debt Owed by the Government of Jamaica to the Government of the United States
NSW Councils (e.g. Gosford, quoting the best international scientists including CSIRO and ANU) in 1995 was advising residents with water front properties that by 2015 (20 years-time) sea levels would rise by 6 metres. This is 300mm per year. Error to date is 17,647%
Obamacare Not Only Raising My Rates, But Making The Process Much Harder
It may be said that something like a Team B approach to climate change has already been done, in the form of the National Research Council's 2001 report, "Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions." This is the report whose finding that "the recent changes observed over the last several decades are likely mostly due to human activities" was widely reported in the media, though the rest of the same sentence was not: "but we cannot rule out that some significant part of these changes is also a reflection of natural variability." In other words, the degree of uncertainty is still very large, a point the NRC report made more emphatically deep in its main text: "Without an understanding of the sources and degree of uncertainty, decision makers could fail to define the best ways to deal with the serious issue of global warming."
1Marlo Lewis (mlewis@cei.org) is Vice President for Policy and Coalitions at CEI. He attended the COP-4 meeting in Buenos Aires.
Government efforts to reduce demand have limits as well. Past federal fuel economy standards for cars and trucks have failed to deliver the predicted declines in energy use. Setting stringent new standards would only hurt consumers by forcing them into smaller, less safe vehicles. And, feasible alternatives to petroleum-powered cars and trucks are still at least a decade away, despite many years of federally funded research.
Barry George was convicted and later freed over the murder of TV personality Jill Dando. Sean Hogdson was free today for the murder of Teresa De Simone in 1979.
It is becoming abundantly clear that, while the summer of 2012/13 was extremely hot across Australia, summers in earlier years were even hotter.
New Delhi: The Indian government has asked the country's airlines to refrain from submitting carbon emissions data to the European Union (EU) for a new tax that will become applicable from 1 January for flights to Europe, hardening its stand further against the imposition of the levy.
* Atmospheric satellite temperature trend over oceans (RSS MSU-LT) = 0.2 F/decade
Glaciers, develop when snowfall survives summer melt and layers accumulate. Gradually snow changes to ice from heat and pressure of additional layers. This creates two larger layers divided by the firn-ice transition. On top is the brittle layer where cracks (crevasses) form and below the plastic layer where ice flows and annual layers blend and are deformed. In an understatement Wikipedia says,
ClimateGate is serious. When prominent climate scientists fudge results, refuse FOIA requests, take steps to restrict publication of dissident views, etc., it's serious business, especially when their global temperature records were used by policymakers to call for a transformation of modern economies.
lThey recognise the global warming pause first reported by The Mail on Sunday last year is real and concede that their computer models did not predict it. But they cannot explain why world average temperatures have not shown any statistically significant increase since 1997.
Finally, the reduction in the alkalinity of ocean water attendant upon increasing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide is the subject of much speculation, but little systematic evidence (see chapter 10 here) thus far. Perhaps disaster looms; and perhaps an associated buffering effect of increasing carbonate sediments will make "ocean acidification" a minor issue. No one knows, and for Ms. Macfarlane to suggest that there exists some sort of "scientific consensus" on this question is simply dishonest.
One of the points of contention between the citizens and the EPA over the disposal plan is lack of suitable emissions factors or estimates from burning. Emissions factors for open burning is likely not to exist. Emissions studies seem to have been limited to firing projectiles and crew exposure, especially in closed compartments (M109 Howitzer). The major worry was carbon monoxide. This is not as muck of a problem with open burning or burning in an incinerator since that can be done with excess oxygen.
Finally, claims of impending biodiversity losses are now becoming fashionable again as the global warming scare wanes. A decade ago, I estimated high-yield farming had saved about 7 million square miles of wildlands from being plowed for more low-yield crops, about the land area of South America. Stanford University recently concluded high-yield farming has saved 6.6 million square miles of wildlife, about the land area of Russia. By far the biggest thing we can do to save biodiversity is to double the yields on the existing croplandusing inputs Kjorven would forbid.
This restatement is particularly hard to justify as direct inspection of the temperature measurement points reveals growing urban heat biases, which should imply, if anything, adjustments up in the past and/or down in the present, exactly opposite of the GISS work. I have written a number of letters and inquiries asking the GISS what systematic bias they are finding/assuming that biased measurements upwards in rural times but downwards in urban times, but I have never gotten a response, nor seen one anywhere online.
Petitioners appealed to the Supremes, who,on April 2, 2007, by 5-4, overturned the appellate courts decision.TheCourtheldthat GHGsare air pollutants within the meaning of the CAA, and gave EPA threeoptions: (1) issue a findingthat GHG-related air pollution may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare, (2) issue a findingof no endangerment, or (3) provide a reasonable explanation whythe agencycannot or will not exercise its discretion tomake such a determination.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 13 More Mixed Signals
In a study of cyclic behaviour of the Sun, Russian scientists now predict 100 years of cooling.
The Earth's atmosphere is approximately 78% Nitrogen, 21% Oxygen, 0.9% Argon, 0.04% Carbon Dioxide, and the rest is water vapor and trace gases in very small amounts. They interact to provide an environment in which life, animal and vegetable, exists on Earth.
I do not know if climate change is a real problem. Ive heard many convincing arguments from both sides of the debate, however I cannot help but feel weary about a movement which claims we will face the apocalypse if we dont abandon our prosperity and liberty, especially when we have seen that the people making these predictions can and do make mistakes like the rest of us. Of course we should listen to the scientists on both sides, but we should also remember that they are no more infallible than the Pope is.
Using statistical methods that separates direct and indirect effects, the researchers were able to discern how higher water temperature combined with ocean acidification affects not just individual species but also interactions between species in the ecosystem.
Contents-wise this is an excellent book It is written with great honesty and courage, attacking many of the sacred tenets of weather modification and of climatic doomsday predictions. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
The essential point here is that America has, as President Obama said last week, established itself as the global leader in cutting carbon dioxide emissions. And that leadership is due to hydraulic fracturing and other technologies that have made clean-burning natural gas cheaper.
It would be a huge sin for Ms Bug to admit that there could be a bug in her explanation and to consider this more sensible explanation at all, wouldn't it?
230 years (230-250)deVries cycle with +/- 0.30C
Well, except for the fact that landfalling hurricanes are at an all-time low.
Environmentalists believe that greenhouse emissions will cause global warming. The most important such gas is carbon dioxideproduced by burning oil, coal, and natural gas. The U.S. delegation went to Kyoto pledging to cut these emissions to 1990 levels, but we soon yielded to environmental fanaticism by accepting an even stricter standard. (Al Gore and the U.S. press called this "flexibility," showing how important control of the rhetoric really is.) Now we are committed to reducing gases to 7 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2012. Developing countries wisely did not sign on. If complied with immediately, the treaty would plunge the United States into a depression. Its drastic curbs on energy useperhaps reducing it by as much as one-thirdwould throw millions of people out of work. The real goal of the treaty is to give the federal government an excuse to raise taxes and to set stricter appliance and auto efficiency standards.
By the way, I was shocked to see a new complex system of web pages at BarackObama.COM, Obama's personal website. It includes the full (black) list of "deniers" in the U.S. Congress. Each of them try e.g. this page on Jim Inhofe starts by a few preposterous proclamations such as "asthma in Oklahoma is caused by carbon dioxide" and continues with lots of buttons by which the visitors may flood the lawmaker's inbox and Twitter account with tons of hostile, obnoxious spam.
where H.is the heat content of the land-ocean-atmosphere system. Equation (1) describes the change in the heat content where f is the radiative forcing at the tropopause, T is the change in surface temperature in response to a change in heat content, and lambda is the climate feedback parameter , also known as the climate sensitivity parameter, which denotes the rate at which the climate system returns the added forcing to space as infrared radiation or as reflected solar radiation (by changes in clouds, ice and snow, etc.).
Global temperatures have largely plateaued during the past 15 years as natural variability including oceans absorbing more heat and volcanic activity have acted to stall warming at the planet??s surface.
"Hawaii has held out longer than almost every other state when it comes to gambling expansion, but that resistance may soon be coming to an end. Hawaii lawmakers are planning on discussing gambling expansion after several years of failed attempts."
We can discuss the need for more action on climate change. But in doing so, we must also recognize that the U.S. has been leading the world in reducing its carbon dioxide emissions. Between 2005 and 2013, according to the BP numbers, U.S. carbon dioxide emissions fell by 8.7 percent. For comparison, emissions in Germany, which has spent about $100 billion on subsidies for renewables, have fallen by 4.6 percent. But the numbers in absolute terms are even starker. Since 2005, U.S. emissions have fallen by 563 million tons. That's 17 times the reduction seen in Germany, where emissions have fallen by 40 million tons since 2005.
Writing in The Hill, Richard O. Faulk, an attorney and senior director for Energy Natural Resources and the Environment for the Law and Economics Center at George Mason University, noted that "The EPA's argument confidently hinges on convincing the courts that the Clean Air Act doesn't mean what it says. By its plain language, the bill prohibits the EPA from regulating the power plants from which these emissions derive. Moreover, coal plants are already addressed under an entirely different section of the bill than the one EPA insists justifies its powers."
Could this be an innocent mistake? Does NRDC not know that laws and regulations already on the books have cut emissions since 1996 and will keep on doing so for decades to come? No way.
Figure 4-42 presents the same data as Figure 4-41. The two graphs are the same, but the notes are different. Ive highlighted the evolutions of the 1997/98 and 2002/03 El Nio events in maroon in Figure 4-42 to show that the El Nio events do grow during the normal seasonal upswing in NINO3.4 sea surface temperatures. Ive also highlighted in green the initial decreases in sea surface temperatures that correspond to the decrease in Western Equatorial Pacific sea surface temperatures. Additionally, Ive repeated those highlighted periods in Figure 4-43 for the period of January 2004 to May 2012 to show the evolutions and decays of the 2004/05, 2006/07 and 2009/10 El Nio events. In both illustrations, Ive also highlighted in pink the secondary, but major, decays in the sea surface temperatures that align with the normal seasonal portion of the major drop in annual average NINO3.4 sea surface temperatures.
A second effort pertains to infrastructure. Again, these are efforts that should be taken both domestically and, as infrastructure is built in developing countries, internationally as well. Another government action that leads people to live in harm's way is the failure to build and price infrastructure so that it is both sustainable, and resilient to change. Governments build highways, but without a pricing mechanism, no revenue stream is created to allow, for example, for the highway to be elevated if local flooding becomes a problem. There is also no price signal relayed to the users of the highway that reflects the climatic risk that their transportation system faces. The same is true of fresh-water, wastewater, electricity, and other infrastructure.
Contact: John Dale Dunn, M.D., J.D., jddmdjd@web-access.net or Jane M. Orient, M.D., (520) 323-3110, janeorientmd@gmail.com
FURTHER READING: DeLong recently wrote "Opening a Can of Worms: Government and Climate Change Data." He also discussed the failure of Congress and the administration to encourage biotech investment in "Bleeding Biotech," and "The Coming of the Fourth American Republic" after America's special interest state decays. Kenneth Green dissects Climategate in "The Meaning of Motley CRU" and responds to Sen. John Kerry's climate claims in testimony before the Senate.
Global warming activists have been giddy in their hyping of the satellite era record low Arctic sea ice extent while ignoring the satellite record sea ice expansion in the Antarctic.
The Green movement of course needs scientific authority to sustain it. This is provided by Hans Schellnhubers WBGU, which in English stands for: Scientific Council of the German Government for Global Transformation . Global transformation by Germans?
But the climate science community has allowed itself to be used on this issue, and as a result, politicians, activists, and the media have successfully portrayed the biased science as settled.
First is a statement in Hansen et al. (2011) The Earths Energy Imbalance and Implications . James Hansen, as youll recall, is the former (retired) director of GISS. In that paper, they discussed a problem with the satellite-measured energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere and how the climate science community worked around it (my boldface):
Schwartz contends that climate model predictions of CO 2 -induced global warming "are limited at present by uncertainty in radiative forcing of climate change over the industrial period, which is dominated by uncertainty in forcing by aerosols," and that if this situation is not improved, "it is likely that in another 20 years it will still not be possible to specify the climate sensitivity with uncertainty range appreciably narrower than it is at present." Indeed, he states that "the need for reducing the uncertainty from its present estimated value by at least a factor of 3 and perhaps a factor of 10 or more seems inescapable if the uncertainty in climate sensitivity is to be reduced to an extent where it becomes useful for formulating policy to deal with global change," which surely suggests that even the best climate models of the day are wholly inadequate for this purpose. Reference
Einar Vikingur, ?Carbon and Our Climate?, Quadrant, May 2010, p. 79;www.climatesceptics.com.au/documents/egv-climate-carbon.pdf.
In the bowels of the document is a provision calling for "an international climate court of justice."
Clearly the US annual temperatures over the last century have correlated far better with cycles in the sun and oceans than carbon dioxide. The correlation with carbon dioxide seems to have vanished or even reversed in the last decade.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Iain Murray on what everyone should know about global warming.
As DeGregori notes, in the United States today we have about the same amount of land under cultivation as we had in 1925, yet grain output is seven times greater, indicating technological advances increase sustainability.
Coal production dropping by 60 percent and coal employment dropping by more than 40 percent by 2030,
The NAS study, issued at the request of the Bush administration, details many dramatic-sounding scenarios by which the climate could be disrupted in the future. All of its scenarios, however, are dependent on controversial assumptions about the underlying science of global climate.
Gore now claims "increased heavy snowfalls are completely consistent with man-made global warming'
I dearly hope that we have finally reached the beginning of the end for CTBS and that I will live to see it become history, unlike some of my friends in 2016. But one never knows.
The EPA has been assuming that the Court decision requires them to regulate CO2. Up until the last few weeks, the White House apparently accepted what EPA was telling them. That has now changed. They are aware that the Court did not require EPA to regulate CO2, but instead to consider whether CO2 should be regulated under the Clean Air Act. It's late in the day, but President Bush may still get the advice he needs to make the right decision. He has stated clearly and correctly over and over again that the Kyoto Protocol would burden the U. S. economy with unacceptable costs. To then decide to regulate CO2 under the Clean Air Act would be lunatic. If the next president wants to regulate CO2 emissions, President Bush should not do his dirty work for him.
The EIA has just completed a new report at the request of House Committee on Science that would change the starting date from 2005 to 2000 to see if that would have any effect on the cost of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. EIA looks at a range of scenarios from an increase of emissions of 24 percent over 1990 levels (1990+24%) to the minus 7 percent (1990-7%) as required under Kyoto. The study finds that an "early start date reduces the carbon price in 2010 for each of the carbon reduction cases." The 1990-7% case, for example, would see a reduction of the carbon price from $349 per metric ton to $310 per metric ton.