Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"We have also found that climate proxy record shows cyclic variations similar to stretching/shortening Schwabe/Hale solar cycles in time, suggesting that both Schwabe and Hale solar cycles are playing important role in climate change. In this paper, we review the nature of Schwabe and Hale cycles of solar activity and cosmic-ray flux during the Maunder Minimum and their possible influence on climate change. We suggest that the Hale cycle of cosmic rays are amplified during the grand solar minima and thus the influence of cosmic rays on climate change is prominently recognizable during such periods."
From 2005-2007, Chesapeake Energy secretly funds the "Face It: Coal Is Filthy Campaign," which featured a controversial image of a girl with a coal-smudged face. The ads were an effort to win market share for the gas industry from the coal industry.
both a professor and a primatologist (and a primate). His book , called "Games Primates Play," is devoted
Critics accuse GMO of being unhealthy, increasing chemical pollution, threatening other species, causing dangerous side effects, and harming the environment. But as plant molecular biologist Robert Goldberg of UCLA points out, "In spite of hundreds of millions of genetic experiments involving every type of organism on earth, and people eating billions of meals without a problem, we've gone back to being ignorant."
Has there been recent warming? Yes, the global climate has definitely warmed since the Little Ice Age (about 1400-1700 AD), and it will likely continue to warm for another 200-300 years, in fits and starts, towards a max temp roughly matching that of the Medieval Warm Period. That time followed a colder period before the founding of Rome between about 750 BC to 200 BC. By 150 BC the climate had warmed enough for the first grapes and olives to be cultivated in northern Italy. As recently as 1,000 years ago, Icelandic Vikings were raising cattle, sheep and goats in grasslands on Greenlands southwestern coast.
The current demonization of Russia in some American quarters is thus incomprehensible, unless one keeps in mind the particular conceit of democracies at war that Kennan, following Tocqueville, pointed out long ago: "There is nothing in nature more egocentrical than the embattled democracy. It soon becomes the victim of its own propaganda. It then tends to attach to its own cause an absolute value which distorts its own vision of everything else. . . . People who have got themselves into this frame of mind have little understanding for the issues of any contest other than the one in which they are involved."17
Since the beginning of 2015, the SPC has issued only four tornado watches and no severe thunderstorm watches, which is less than 10 percent of the typical number of 52 tornado watches issued by mid-March. The approximately 20 tornadoes reported since January 1 is well below the 10-year average of 130 for that time period.
There is a warming of the surface by infra-red active gases, the so-called greenhouse gases, but that effect was maximized at lower concentrations of those gases than we now have.Increases in those gases now cause small decreases in surface and general tropospheric temperatures.This is because the mean free length for infra-red absorption by these gases is now too short for them to move the upper troposphere radiative equilibrium altitude to higher altitudes in the dense troposphere.With that space radiation shell at the top of the troposphere relatively stabilized, the increased role of the gases in transporting heat energy upward from the surface means they are stronger coolants than they are greenhouse heaters.
But I really really wanted to get a ground level view to absolute ascertain the placement of the Stevenson Screen. Lots of web searches turn up nothing. I found pictures of the observatories, pictures of the Krupp gun , pictures of the skyline, but no pictures of the nearby weather station. After all, other than myself and surfacestations.org volunteers, who takes pictures of weather stations while on vacation? Still I figured, this is a major tourist spot, within walking distance of the top of the famous Wellington cable car , surely somebody had snapped a photo?
The Smithsonian's National Museum of Natural History will be holding a six-part series beginning July 1 titled, "Global Warming: Understanding the Forecast." The event is free, no tickets needed. For information call (202) 357-2700.
James D. Johnston is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in Washington. He retired in 1994 as General Motors vice president for industry-government relations.
Curry discusses major issues regarding the treatment of uncertainty, including that the often used Bayesian statistical methods, which have difficulty in dealing with true uncertainty, are subjective, and may lead to biased results.
Since we live on land, we often think of manmade global warming as a land surface air temperature concern. But
2. While laboratory values for Henrys coefficients require approximating thermodynamic equilibrium, Henrys Law does not predict thermodynamic equilibrium, and its coefficients must therefore be used advisedly. Neither climate, the ocean, the surface layer, nor Earths primary heat source, the Sun, is ever in thermodynamic equilibrium. IPCC and Salby refer to equilibrium, which is false if they mean thermodynamic equilibrium, and otherwise they supply no definition for their peculiar meaning of equilibrium.
Attempts to resolve the arguments are plagued with problems, a lot of which are inherently insoluble. There are many aspects of the behaviour of the natural climate system and of human society that are unpredictable in principle, let alone in practice. But perhaps the biggest of the underlying problems, and it is common to both arguments since it inevitably exists when there is large unpredictability and uncertainty, is the presence of strong forces encouraging public overstatement and a belief in worst-case scenarios.
Rising CO2 levels are not causing an increase in extreme hot weather temperatures in South America - another of those irrefutable "global warming" science facts
Dr David Reiner, Course Director of the MPhil in Technology Policy at Judge Business School, University of Cambridge and author of the report, said: "There is a real engagement among the British public on questions of energy and environment, particularly over climate change. There is a willingness to support government policies, but even those groups that are the strongest supporters of policy action do not translate this support into their personal energy saving behaviour. They show a clear divergence between their views as citizens and their actions as consumers."
Three parents, including Robyn Terry, complained to the district. The Terrys' 12-year-old son attended Beadle Middle School last year. Mrs. Terry said that the materials used in his class portrayed global warming as fact when scientists disagree.
Weather experts: Cattle-killing blizzard not climate change
Finally, and probably most important, is the demise of believing in social progress. For a long time, economic growth was closely linked to the more general idea of progress, including scientific and cultural advances. A more prosperous society was also seen as having the potential to be more humane. But as social pessimism has gripped America, the vision of the progressive potential of economic growth has also diminished.
And what a way feasible? It depends. That the war in Iraq in 2003 was built on nothing I do not think there can be no doubt; and abuse and torture are certainly not happened while I was in command. If Bush were a private citizen whatever, the situation would already be in the hands of judges and lawyers to establish the boundary between law, crime and incompetence.
That, and there??s no tropospheric hot spot (which would also expand the atmosphere) as expected from warming, from:
The only Kjorven goal that might work is #4: "Reduce average animal protein intake among rich people by 20 percent." I'm not sure eating somewhat less meat would hurt us rich people. But livestock eat huge amounts of stuff humans can't digestgrass from the huge natural grasslands, cottonseed hulls, citrus rinds, rice straw. Along with whatever high-yield corn escapes becoming ethanol. The ecological gains from Meatless Fridays are likely to be as ephemeral as the environmental gains we're supposedly getting from corn ethanol and Jimmy Carter's solar panels on the White House roof.
Al Gore's blog entry today claims that due to 'deniers' we are losing 'green jobs' to China, by pointing to a NYT.com article about a US company that was able to find venture capital in China . He neglects to mention the looming global warming catastrophe. Hefails to mention the inconvenient truth that solar panels have an energy payback time of 8.7 years and thus are facilities for energy dissipation , and only provide intermittent power generation. He fails to mention that wind power does not reduce CO2 emissions and is also intermittent and impractical . Or that to supply the world with 'clean energy' would require 456,000 square miles of solar panels or 146,000,000 wind turbines covering an area equivalent to 1.5 times the size of the United States.
Looking for acceleration in sea level data can be like looking for a needle in a haystack. The average global sea level rise rate for the 20th century was about 1.8 mm per year. But the fluctuations from year to year or even month to month at any particular site or region can be hundreds of times greater than the yearly average.
If the above is confirmed, it may be the first step towards making the world we experience as vanishing and irrelevant as a ghost in the desert at midday.
Bismarck once said that the whole of the Balkans is not worth the bones of one Pomeranian grenadier. I riff on that when I say that the rainforests, or blue whales or any other green grail isn't worth the bones of a single human being. Humans first.
"Popular anonymous photo-sharing message board 4Chan.org is experiencing downtime at this very moment. The cause of the outage? A DDOS, or distributed denial of service attack something 4Channers are all to familiar with but not in the way you would think."
The wired.com article concluded, "The inflated EPA numbers have been a public relations conundrum for Honda and Toyota, which are caught between hyped expectations and detracting from one of the cars' main selling points better mileage."
Svalgaards ppt file is less easy to interpret in stand alone form, with little text, but I reproduce his conclusions here:
Professor Mike Lockwood says that even in a warming world we could have one or two centuries of frigid winters to come here in the UK. He even says it with a straight face.
Use of Word "Sustainable" Reaches Unsustainable Levels.
Another issue is the position of gas power plants within the current capacity market mechanism. The present strategy is to pay gas power plants, and others, to provide standby capacity. Some of this can be supplied by mothballed plants, but it is also hoped that it will encourage new plants to be built. Any hint that all fossil fuel plants will be taken out of the equation by 2030 will surely discourage any new plants from being built, as they will need much longer than a decade to recoup capital costs.
Establishing market pricing of all infrastructures would quickly steer people away from climatically fragile areas, dramatically reducing the costs of dealing with climate variability.
Data and Station Information for NEW YORK ( THE BATTERY)
Reciting his boilerplate clean-energy language in the State of the Union address Wednesday night, President Obama managed to say one thing that stood out. He called for "building a new generation of safe, clean nuclear power plants in this country."
plotf1(Working=Model,info=Info,v0=santer$trend)
If we run this model, we can adjust the feedback parameter until we get the kinds of radiative imbalances inferred from the ocean heat content changes. The following shows what seemed to provide a reasonable match:
Seattle, with roughly 37 inches a year in annual precipitation, is far drier than the Washington coast, even places away from any terrain. For example, Westport, on the central Washington coast, gets about 74 inches....about twice a much as Seattle. The Long Beach Peninsula gets 81 inches.
For a 300-year time horizon, the simplest split of equally likely one-percent and seven-percent discount rates would be 150 years at 1 percent and 150 years at 7 percent. Discounting $1,000 for 150 years at one percent gives a present value of $224.79. Discounting this value for the remaining 150 years (for a total of 300 years) at 7 percent gives an ultimate present value of $0.0088. Note that using the average discount rate of 4 percent for the whole 300 years gives a present value of $0.0078. In fact, for the present value to even reach as high as $1.00, the one percent discount rate has to apply to at least 232 of the 300 years. If one and seven are equally likely for each of those years, the probability of this occurring is 2.05 x 10-22.
The Doran U of Illinois Survey was reported to state:
I might suggest that you are assuming that people asked the questions Gavin says they asked, and that Gavins answer to their questions is adequate because Gavin tells us his answer is adequate.
Mammoth Lakes / Long Valley Volcano
Expect global cooling for the next 2-3 decades that will be far more damaging than global warming would have been.
Here are the results using the regular exponential decay calculations
To explain the added warming in the North Atlantic, I refer to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, but I use the paleoclimatological reconstruction as a graphic instead of the normal detrended North Atlantic SST anomalies since the 1800s. More on this in a subsequent post.
By Marlowe Hood, Paris (AFP), Aug 10, 2015
And while they are doing the right thing, they should sign the Rivers Need Estuaries petition of the Australian Environment Foundation www.listentous.org.au .
202-331-2279 / iosorio@cei.org
The misconception that famous men may only be "challenged" by famous challengers helps. Let me articulate a related, more religious point: Many people probably feel that death and sacrifice should always have a meaning and it must always be possible to find a fair, comparably large "revenge" for any crime (Oswald's death isn't a good enough revenge). But it's unfortunately not the case. The laws of physics guarantee neither afterlife nor the meaning for our lives nor universal justice.
As the CO 2 content of the air rises, it is likely that the photosynthetic rates of soybeans will also rise, leading to significant increases in seed yield. In addition, if plant breeders utilize the highly CO 2 -responsive ancestral cultivar identified in this study in their breeding programs, it is possible that soybean seed yields could be made to rise even faster in the days and years ahead.
All this comes with the caveat that inasmuch as most experts accept that seas were rising by 3mm a year in the 1990?? s, the raw satellite data showed next to nothing until it was adjusted. Hence the rate changes discussed in this paper could be an artefact of those adjustments. Sea levels might not have slowed their rate of rise, it may be that it was not rising very quickly in the first place, and is still not rising very fast. Either way, it doesn??t support the theory that pumping out CO2 makes much difference.
Strike six : Utah has been receiving record snowfall in recent years, and winter temperatures have been plummeting
In Cobb County, Georgia, hundreds shivered outside to apply for heating assistance from a welfare agency that may not have enough money for every family that needs help. Along the Canadian border, in St. Lawrence County, New York, over 8,000 households were approved for heating aid by cash-strapped local, county and state governments that wonder where the money will come from while Albany has blocked drilling for shale gas that could fuel homes and power plants, and generate billions in revenue.
Low-flow toilets cause a stink in SF:
Those who think oil production is about to precipitously decline see their views confirmed by companies which, like Shell, have downgraded their reserve estimates.
In the Tasmanian climate, the future scenario for 2070 which is warmer and drier suggested a ... 70 to 100 per cent increase in area burnt, he said.
Abraham went on and on about how a graph shouldn't have been labeled with the name of an institution such as "scienceandpublicpolicy.org" unless it was that institution that had compiled the graph. That, of course, as he could have discovered if he had bothered or, rather, dared to check, was indeed the institution that had compiled the graph, taking the arithmetic mean of the global-temperature anomalies from the HadCRUt, NCDC, RSS, and UAH datasets.
Appointments that can last for two years, with many being made by governors of the opposite party of the departing Senator, with most appointees seeking the seat in the forthcoming election, and with often embarrassing politicking (and occasionally bribery) surrounding the appointment process, have many wrongheaded and even loathsome qualities. But moving to no appointments period is a huge step backward when it comes to ensuring that our first branch of government is up and running quickly in the event of a catastrophe.
CEI's FOIA request details how the UN informed participants that it was motivated by embarrassing releases of earlier discussions ("ClimateGate" key among them) and, to circumvent the problem that national government transparency laws posed, the group itself.
Texas and Surrounding 41 F Degree Days Deviation Map
"He looks at me and now his jaw drops. Then I feel something click in this 17-year old brain."
Meanwhile, China, India, Germany, Poland and other countries are building some 1,200 new coal-fired power plants, and numerous gas plants, to spur economic growth, preserve jobs and lift people out of poverty. So the sacrifices Mr. Obama is imposing will do nothing to reduce global CO2 levels, which the evidence increasingly shows plays only a minor to trivial role in climate and weather fluctuations.
12,500 years ago: The Younger Dryas. After only 1,500 years of recovery from the Ice Age , the Earth suddenly shifts back into a new, short-lived ice age . The dramatic cooling seems to have occurred within 100 years or less. Another 1,000 years or so of ice age follow before another sudden shift back to climate warming .
This claim was questioned by many scientists and commentators on all sides of the global warming debate. (See, e.g., Jason Samenow, Scientists: Don't make "extreme cold" centerpiece of global warming argument, Washington Post, Feb. 20, 2014 (linking to objection by five well-known climate scientists in the Feb. 14, 2014 issue of Science magazine); Patrick J. Michaels, Hot Air About Cold Air, Jan. 16, 2014 (former state climatologist of Virginia rejected Holdren's claim).)
In Standing with Giants, 14 scientists pay tribute to Whelan by providing sound science on topics on which Whelan devoted her life. I am proud to be among those scientists.
Colorado gaming regulators to review tax loophole for casinos:
Since satellites began monitoring surface temperatures in the last thirty years, there has been no statistical increase in warming. The IPCC predicts a 2C rise by 2100, or as little as .3 and 4.8 at the most.
Spalding's statement that "if you want to build a coal plant you got a big problem" reminds us a lot of President Obama's own statement about coal in 2008 when he wasn't so afraid to explain his real intentions. Remember he said, "if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can. It's just that it will bankrupt them."
clearly, some tuning or very good luck involved. I doubt the
Al Gore blogged, Bollywood rocked and maybe John DeLorean was a genius.
Below is what I wrote in the comment section below Souweines piece. The response to my dousing of rain on their parade brought predictably lame counter-comments which have added amusement to my weekend. Anyway, on to what I wrote:
The father of the "green revolution," Norman Borlaug, saved perhaps a billion lives across the globe with his high-yield agricultural techniques using artificially engineered plant varieties and inorganic fertilizers. In India, the yield of wheat per acre went from 800 pounds in 1963 to 6,000 pounds today. As a result, 100 million acres of virgin land did not have to be cleared and farmed to feed a growing population. Yet the international environmentalism movement constantly opposed Borlaug, just as it is today blocking the development of GM crops in Africa.
A reader of this web-log was carefully following the dire predictions and sent in the following summary:
A Chinese ice breaker steamed in to the rescue, but found the ice too thick to reach the trapped warmists who are now hoping an Australian ice breaker might be able to get through.
The revelation, contained in a confidential US embassy cable released by WikiLeaks , is surprising, given that the film attempted to discredit the US healthcare system by highlighting what it claimed was the excellence of the Cuban system.
Lake Powell will hit 3660 feet elevation this weekend. It has been rising at a rate of 60,000 mm/year.
on Tuesday, March 17th, 2015 at 6:03 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
2) The global hydrological cycle is not taken correctly into account in the models (too small).
models, then much of the 19th to mid 20th century warming can be explained from
And as this allegedly apolitical group of scientists took the world stage they smiled while standing hand in hand with the politicians. They expressed joy as they politicians peddled what can only be described as socialist global wealth redistribution, combined with the voluntary destruction of our capitalist world economies. All accomplished through FACTUALLY unreachable emission standards.
Figure 3 shows the observed and modeled sea surface temperature trends for the Pacific Ocean (longitudes of 125E-90W) on a zonal-mean basis. At and near the equator, observed sea surface temperatures cooled since January 1982. And the highest observed warming in both hemispheres occurred at the mid-latitudes in the Pacific. The models, unfortunately, do not create that spatial pattern. The models show much more warming in the tropics than observed. The models also overestimate the warming at the high latitudes of the North Pacific and they show warming in the Pacific portion of the Southern Ocean, while the observations show cooling there over the past 32+ years.
New version of the False alarm is to read and download
Thats why the Productivity Commission highlighted in its Carbon Emission Policies in Key Economies report last May that most countries have adopted sector-specific policies.
To be good citizens, some companies are voluntarily buying electricity from expensive wind and solar sources. Shareholders accept this profit-reducing activity, believing this contributes to slowing man-made global warming. But according to the International Energy Agency, wind and solar supply less than one percent of global energy needs, and coal-fired energy is growing.
Broken deals, bitter words and a state shuts down:
Co-ordinating policies, working out differences in regulation and inspection standards to improve North American competitiveness, and forming common, continental positions to take to global forums: these were the tasks that the SPP was designed to facilitate. There were notable successes. The co-operative effort by Mexico, Canada, and the United States in response to the outbreak of the H1N1 swine-flu virus is one example, since it followed a pandemic response plan that was developed by SPP working groups. Similarly, food safety officials in all three countries showed that they had learned from the BSE crisis when, using an SPP-developed protocol, they responded to evidence of salmonella contamination in Mexican tomatoes and peppers last summer with far less disruption to agriculture and trade.