Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Contrary to David Evans hypothesis I think that the cause of a decadal lag between solar change and climate response is to be found in the oceans, not the Sun. Seawater has a high heat capacity, and its deep. This mass of global ocean damps the climate response to solar input. It also stores and releases energy on long timescales. This is why the latest explanations for the pause in global warming hypothesises that the ocean is eating excess energy. This is correct in my opinion, except its not excess energy from an alleged enhanced greenhouse effect that its eating, its solar energy, which penetrates the ocean to a depth of 100m, whereas longwave radiation from the atmosphere cant penetrate the ocean surface.
"On Monday I asked, "What should we call people who care about climate change and clean energy?" A fantastic discussion ensued, up to 226 comments and counting -- thanks to everybody who weighed in, not only on the site, but on Facebook, Twitter, email, and "words spoken in my physical presence" (kids, ask your parents!)."
This is not a real article, just an announcement: under the article Predictive landscapes, Nima Arkani-Hamed , a co-author of the paper and arguably the leader of current particle physics, gives a rather detailed explanation of his viewpoints and the really attractive features of these models. So I hope that this answer of him will increase the number of visitors in interested in physics, and it will double their average IQ! :-) Also, Jacques Distler describes the article about the predictive landscapes here .
The UN has been peddling sustainable development since its landmark conference in Rio de Janeiro in 1992. Don't buy any of it. It's a scam that, by denying the world's poorest people access to affordable energy and other natural resources as well as the tools of modern agriculture, will perpetuate global poverty and empower unelected bureaucrats and their cronies.
The production of biofuels may have led to at least 192,000 additional deaths and 6.7 million additional lost disability-adjusted life years in 2010. These estimates are conservative exceed the World Health Organisations estimates of the toll of death and disease for global warming. Thus, policies to stimulate biofuel production, in part to reduce the alleged impacts of global warming on public health, particularly in developing countries, may actually have increased death and disease globally.
Where does one start in unwinding all the fallacious assumptions implicit in this confused line of thinking? Why should the goal of climate policy be to make the world more "natural"? And why should anyone think "natural" is better than "artificial"? Why is it okay to force "massive changes" in how people live their lives without even a nod to the possibility that this could cause "massive" harm of its own?
CEI is a public policy organization committed to advancing the principles of free enterprise and limited government.
As a result, during multidecadal periods when El Nio events dominate, like the period from the mid-1970s to the late 1990s, global surface temperatures and ocean heat content rise. In other words, global warming occurs. There is no way global warming cannot occur during a period when El Nio events dominate. But projections of future global warming and climate change based on climate models dont account for that naturally caused warming because the models cannot simulate ENSO processesor teleconnections.
I'm now back home, having had an interesting couple of days in London.
Conclusions: This research finds that past extreme warming and climate change were not CO2 caused - the empirical observations from the past don't support the IPCC's version of the AGW theory. Extended warming periods do happen naturally without human contribution. Natural warming can be very dramatic. Those are the global warming science facts .
on Monday, April 13th, 2015 at 7:39 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Medieval Warm Period Project Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES , according to data published by 1015 individual scientists from 584 research institutions in 44 different countries and counting! This issues Medieval Warm Period Record comes from Rumailiah River Floodplain , North-western Coast of Syria. To access the entire Medieval Warm Period Projects database, click here .
As there has been no noticeable change in the rate of sea level rise since 2010, there is no evidence that the new figures claimed for Antarctica represent any significant increase.
30 C the USDA measure heat zones in GDD above 30 C; for many plants this is significant for seed maturation, e.g. reed (Phragmites) requires at least some days reaching this temperature to mature viable seeds
The television, radio and print ads, sponsored by the National Environment Trust, the Union of Concerned Scientists, and Physicians for Social Responsibility, are funded by an array of left-wing charitable foundations. The Turner Foundation, Pew Charitable Trusts, the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, the John Merck Fund, and the W. Alton Jones Foundation have provided $8 million for the ads and $3 million for grassroots efforts. Turner is also providing money to the League of Conservation Voters to sponsor presidential debates on environmental issues (Seattle Post-Intelligencer, October 6, 1999).
Applying the Clean Air Act to carbon dioxide leads to "absurd results" -- regulatory consequences that conflict with and undermine congressional intent, as even EPA admits.
Some Personal Thoughts on Yesterdays D.C. Circuit Greenhouse Gas Decision
But the problem not arise last week. While the issue has only recently become acute, it has become acute because of accumulating failure during the AR5 assessment process, including errors and misrepresentations by IPCC in the assessments sent out for external review; the almost total failure of the academic climate community to address the discrepancy; gatekeeping by fellow-traveling journal editors that suppressed criticism of the defects in the limited academic literature on the topic.
"The right to compete and offer new options to customers should be beyond argument and unconditional; yet, as FCC notes at the beginning of the order, the local franchising process, which can impede competition with tangential and unrelated demands, has become a barrier to entry rather than a guarantor of competition."
"This report confirms that exporting our natural gas will lead to some big winners and many big losers in our economy," Markey wrote in a statement posted online shortly after the release of the DOE report. "American consumers and manufacturers will be the losers, as exporting natural gas will increase domestic prices by up to 30 percent, and reduce domestic investment and wages by $45 billion per year by 2030."
Another 15,000 smaller organisations are also required to register and could be expected to buy permits in the future. If they miss the September deadline, they face fines of 500.
Why has nobody other than the IPCC been able to see the actual raw data collected by researchers which supposedly proves global warming is taking place? Simple: IPCC officials at the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit destroyed the underlying numbers after they'd created their alarmist graphs, so that no skeptics could identify any methodological or mathematical errors they might have made. Since the work was funded by the governments of England and the United States, destruction of the data is destruction of government property, a criminal act which can and should be prosecuted.
14. "Nowhere," the Ehrlichs write, "could delegated delegation be more important and spare politicians more pain, than in areas of fundamental constraints," 308.
Here is what an aerial view of the station and the point looks like at low tide of similar magnitude:
Professor Turney said: The results here are quite startling and, importantly, they suggest sea levels will rise significantly higher than anticipated and that stabilizing global average temperatures at 2C above pre-industrial levels may not be considered a safe target as envisaged by the European Union and others. The inevitable conclusion is emission targets will have to be lowered further still.
"You would have thought the world was coming to an end last week after popular movie streaming service Netflix raised its prices by 60%. The company's customers took to blogs and social networks in revolt, threatening to cancel their subscriptions. However, between the cost of mailing DVDs and paying increased licensing fees for content, a Netflix rate hike was inevitable. Is Netflix still one of the best movie bargains available today, and if not, are there any alternatives?"
Novak reported that the studies are very pessimistic. The five assessments were conducted by the European Commission Directorate General for Energy, the International Energy Agency, the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration, and the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
To be sure, the basic concept is not new. In 2006, a doctor named Mark Osterloh managed to get a proposition on the Arizona ballot to offer a $1 million prize for a voter in the state's upcoming primary or general election (those who voted in both would have two tickets, or chances at the prize) with the lottery winnings coming from unclaimed rewards left in the state's own lottery pool. The initiative was widely panned as tawdry, or as dangerous for encouraging uninformed citizens to cast uninformed votes, or as aiming at increasing turnout for no good reason beyond having a higher turnout. It failed.
As the air's CO 2 content rises, this spring wheat cultivar (and others) will likely display enhanced rates of photosynthesis, decreased rates of transpirational water loss, and increases in water-use efficiency, even under less-than-optimal soil moisture conditions. Thus, it should be able to better cope with periods of water stress in a future CO 2 -enriched world than it does currently. In addition, this important crop should be able to be grown in areas where low soil moisture conditions presently preclude its cultivation.
China's president Xi Jinping (#1) did not come to New York.
Galileos perfection of the telescope in 1609 allowed scientists to see sunspots for the first time. From 1610 A.D. to 1645 A.D., very few sunspots were seen, despite the fact that many scientists with telescopes were looking for them, and from 1645 to 1700 AD sunspots virtually disappeared from the sun (Fig. 1). During this interval of greatly reduced sunspot activity, known as the Maunder Minimum, global climates turned bitterly cold (the Little Ice Age), demonstrating a clear correspondence between sunspots and cool climate. After 1700 A.D., the number of observed sunspots increased sharply from nearly zero to more than 50 (Fig. 1) and the global climate warmed.
There's been some personal tension between Mosher and Watts who have been friends in the past and I won't amplify it by mentioning any details. But while it's true that one must be careful not to apply adjustments incorrectly or selectively in order to push the data in a fixed direction, one must also honestly recognize that many adjustments make the underlying science (or technology) more accurate and many of these adjustments don't matter much, anyway.
According to a Price Waterhouse Coopers (PWC) report, world demand for energy is expected to rise by two-thirds between now and 2030. Consequently, energy firms in Europe must dramatically increase supply. However, they have been slow do to so because of the new emissions trading directive and uncertainty over future regulation. Manfred Wiegand, PWC's global utilities leader, said: "Companies are facing a huge need for investment. The bill from now until 2030 is some $10 trillion and they need a consistent and stable regulatory environment to make the sector more attractive to investors."
Or take Obamas decision to slash funding for the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository:
So what do real-world observations say about the worldwide loss of species? Well in response to questions about species extinction, the World Conservation Union (IUCN) commissioned a book in 1992 to look into the matter. According to Simon, all the authors are ecologists who express concern abut the rate of extinction. Nevertheless, they all agree that the rate of known extinctions has been and continues to be very low.
They love their armies and fast cars, treat their own people like terrorists, and have betrayed our continent. They pay no attention to the most critical and fundamental needs and concerns of people who are jobless, poor, hungry, and at the mercy of diseases and the environment. They do not care that most of their people never have clean water, a decent home, enough food to live, or electricity for even one light bulb and a tiny refrigerator.
This appointment comes amid unprecedented demand from developing countries for World Bank support in their efforts to address development and climate change as interlinked challenges.
There seems no end in sight to the long-term growth of seasonal Antarctic sea ice, reports RTCC (link below). This continues to baffle scientists, to quote the usual expression.
If these findings hold true in humans, then a fathers diet and body composition at the time of conception is likely to affect his future childs health and risk of lifelong disease, said Tod Fullston, Ph.D., a researcher involved in the work from the Department of Obstetrics & Gynaecology at the Robinson Institute, Research Centre for Reproductive Health at the University of Adelaide in South Australia. Fathers should aim to be as healthy as possible at the time of conception to give future generations the best possible chance of good health.
Suppose it's the year 1910. Could anyone forecast the iPhone and all the technology that underlies and surrounds it? Can anyone forecast today the iPhone equivalent in 2110?
You may clearly see these things in the movie. They couldn't really fake movies well at that time. Why would you doubt it? Some people want to protest against a bullet that goes through both bodies. But what's so shocking about it? When one body is behind another, and it clearly was from that angle (it is not too unlikely in a car, anyway), a shot simply gets through both bodies.
Goklany: How Fossil Fuels Save Humanity from Nature and Nature from Humanity
Here is a radar image around 6 PM for the Seattle area. A beautiful example of rain shadowing east of the Olympics!
Newspaper headlines claim that sea levels are rising twice as fast as before.
means. There are 3 groups that have done this independently (CRU, NOAA and
So in fact, according to Phil Jones (who strongly believes in the AGW hypothesis) there is nothing unusual about the recent warming either. It is not statistically different from two earlier modern periods of warming. Since these warming periods were before the modern rise in CO2, greenhouse gases cannot have been responsible for those rises.
In brief response, Maneja et al. write that the swimming kinematics in Atlantic herring larvae that had survived to 34-dph were "unaffected by extremely elevated levels of seawater p CO 2 , indicating that at least some larvae in the population are resilient to ocean acidification." And in further commenting on their findings, they say "it also appears that inter-individual variation in the behavioral responses of some fishes to elevated p CO 2 selects for tolerant individuals, possibly resulting in resilience to ocean acidification," citing the work of Munday et al. (2012).
"The sunlight scattered by clouds can heat the surface," said Kassianov. "We all know that we can still get sunburned on cloudy days. This explains why."
In a book on Brazil written in 1961, you can read "If people are to have better jobs and make enough money so that they may have better homes and food and clothes, Brazil must develop her resources and expand her industries. Areas like the Amazon Valley, and much of the interior, must be fully explored. Already, new mineral deposits have been found. There is still much land that could be farmed. If all the land in Brazil were properly used, there would be plenty of inexpensive food for everyone." ("Let's Visit Brazil, p. 87)
28 But I say to you that every one who looks at a woman lustfully has already committed adultery with her in his heart
The maneuvering for the RNC vote bears consideration. Florida Governor Charlie Crist expressed a wish for Jim Greer, his state party's chair, to assume the national job as of January 2009. Like Crist, Greer is a moderate. Conservatives are prepared to push for an alternative, such as Michael Steele, the African-American former lieutenant governor of Maryland and media pundit.
Recently, on my way to lunch, I passed a fountain filled with young ladies in bikinis. The poster on the side announced that this was all about global warming. Not that I don't enjoy scantily dressed and pretty ladies, but as I pulled my coat tighter and my hat further down, I felt more sorry than impressed.
The four Colombian researchers report that comparisons with previous studies showed the reef at La Azufrada to have returned to "pre-disturbance (1979) levels of coral cover within a 10-year period after the 1982-83 El Nio, which caused 85% mortality," and that, subsequently, "the effects of the 1997-98 El Nio, indicated by the difference in overall live coral cover between 1998 and 1999, were minor (<6% reduction)." And they indicate that "despite recurrent natural disturbances, live coral cover in 2004 was as high as that existing before 1982 at La Azufrada."
3) A Statistical Model for Tornado Intensity by James Elsner, Thomas Jagger & Ian Elsner.
It is interesting to note that although several studies have indicated that Atlantic Ocean hurricanes of the past few decades have been no more numerous than they were in prior cooler periods -- see Tropical Cyclones (Atlantic Ocean - Global Warming Effects) in our Subject Index -- in this special case , where extra warmth does appear to enhance their numbers, they seem to be preferentially steered away from the coastal regions of the United States, sparing the country much of the extra damage they might otherwise cause.
So far this year, the northeast US has been record cold, with by far the driest snow on record. The ratio of snow to precipitation has been double thelong termaverage.
Geophysical Research Letters abstract 1999 J. Feynman,A. Ruzmaikin High energy cosmic rays may influence the formation of clouds and thus impact weather and climate. Due to systematic solar wind changes, the intensity of cosmic rays incident on the magnetopause has decreased markedly during this century. The pattern of cosmic ray precipitation through the magnetosphere to the upper troposphere has also changed. Early in the century, the part of the troposphere open to cosmic rays of all energies was typically confined to a relatively small high-latitude region. As the century progressed the size of this region increased by over 25% and there was a 6.5 equatorward shift in the yearly averaged latitudinal position of the subauroral region in which cloud cover has been shown to be cosmic ray flux dependent. We suggest these changes in cosmic ray intensity and latitude distribution may have influenced climate change during the last 100 years.
A careful scientist keeps his head down. But Bill was completely fearless nonetheless. I never saw the like of it. That said, he was a kind and generous man, whom I learned much from. He too did not live to see the public vindication he deserved. When was the last monster hurricane that made landfall on the continental US?
Pat Michaels, "Energy Tax Blacks Out Many Lives in Europe," Boston Herald, August 17, 2003.
The authors also find a remarkable correlation between solar rotational signals, cloud height, and the Madden-Julian Oscillation , which may represent yet another mechanism by which small changes in solar activity can be amplified to large changes in climate. Other amplification mechanisms include via ocean oscillations, ozone, and sunshine hours/clouds .
The Carbon Tax/Cap-and-Trade Royal Rumble
Czech president tells UN to stay out of economics and science
Short answer, data to date says no. There has been no acceleration the rate of sea level rise. Sea level has been rising for centuries. But the rate of the rise has not changed a whole lot. Both tidal stations and satellites show no increase in the historic rate of sea level rise, in either the short or long term. Fig. 1 shows the most recent satellite data.
MANY environmentalists dont believe we should be growing rice in Australia. I disagree. Rice suits a land of drought or flooding rains. Unlike almonds, grapes and other perennial crops, rice doesnt need water every year. Its an annualcrop that can be planted onlywhen there is an excess of water.
With the trend removed from Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperatures, two things SHOULD appear when they are then compared to the NINO3.4 data. The Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperature anomalies should temporarily dip below the scaled NINO3.4 data starting in 1982 and in 1991 as the Rest-of-the-World data cools then rebounds in response to the volcanic aerosols. Theres something else that SHOULD happen if the proponents of anthropogenic global warming have been truthful about El Nio and La Nia. Sea surface temperatures in the Rest-of-the-World should warm in response to El Nios and they should cool proportionally to La Nias, just as they had for the East Pacific data. Figure 8 compares the NINO3.4 and Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperature anomalies.
I am sure that by now, all of you are aware of the hacking incident which recently took place at the University of East Anglias Climatic Research Unit (CRU). This was a criminal act. Over 3,000 emails and documents were stolen. The identity of the hacker or hackers is still unknown.
One of the many crises that overwhelmed David Paterson's brief, hapless term as governor of New York was a surge in Medicaid costs. Every recent New York governor has tried but failed to rein in Medicaid. Yet Paterson's opportunity to address the problem appeared promising. Government spending had to be cut during the 2009 budget cycle because of that year's historic collapse in revenues.
The global-mean surface air temperature anomaly for 1998
30 Apr 1935 Do The Martians Exist? LONDON, March 23.
"Moments after her son finished practicing with his fifth-grade tackle football team, Beth Sparks examined his scuffed and battered helmet for what she admitted was the first time. She looked at the polycarbonate shell and felt the foam inside before noticing a small emblem on the back that read, "MEETS NOCSAE STANDARD.""
We conclude that the first explanation offered by Santer et al. provides the most parsimonious explanation for the divergence between surface and lower troposphere temperature trends, based on recent research suggestive of biases in the surface temperature record. Our findings suggest that the supposed reconciliation of differences between surface and satellite datasets has not occurred.
Less well known is the bill's boosting of appliance efficiency standards, despite the fact that items like top-loading washing machines have already been ruined by the stringent standards currently in effect. (That's Consumer Reports ' assessment, not mine.)
Styf et al . report that (1) "the rate of yolk consumption per day, as a measure of embryonic development rate, significantly increased with temperature," that (2) lower pH "had no effect on development rate," that (3) "pH had no effect on heart rate," that (4) "there was no interaction between pH and temperature," that (5) "there was no significant effect of temperature on oxidative stress when analyzed independent of embryonic age," that (6) "there was a significantly higher level of oxidative stress in the control embryos compared with the embryos developed in low pH," and that (7) they "observed no mortality nor abnormalities."
But not in climatology; being a charlatan hack seems to be de rigueur.
13 Tech Environmental, Inc., "Progress in Reducing Ozone Exceedance Days in Ten Major U.S. Cities (1987-1999)," October 1999, report produced for the Foundation for Clean Air Progress, Washington, D.C.