Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The idea that politics was the motive only developed because the CRU and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had made global warming a purely political issue. Besides, why has motive got anything to do with request for scientific data and process, especially when funded by taxes and used to create potentially devastating policies?
Reporters also pressed NOAA climatologists about the severe cold weather currently hitting most of the U.S. and how much longer Americans could expect to freeze. The main question: is this caused by global warming?
All across the planet, the historical increase in the atmospheres CO2 concentration has stimulated vegetative productivity, reads a portion of the 1,063-page report, called Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts. This observed stimulation, or greening of the Earth, has occurred in spite of many real and imagined assaults on Earths vegetation, including fires, disease, pest outbreaks, deforestation and climatic change.
Get this. First, there has been no recent global warming in the common meaning of the term, for world average temperature has cooled for the last ten years. Furthermore, since 1940 the earth has warmed for nineteen years and cooled for forty-nine, the overall result being that global average temperature is now about the same as it was in 1940.
"While it purports to be non-partisan, non-ideological expositions of climate science and moral common-sense, An Inconvenient Truth, in both its versions, is actually a colorfully illustrated lawyer's brief for global warming alarmism and energy rationing. The only facts and studies Gore considers are those convenient to his scare-them-green agenda. And in numerous instances, he distorts the evidence he cites."
It was raining in Anchorage in December, 2002 which happens about once every ten years according to the National Weather Service.
Thanks to the staff at the Mercia Veterinary Surgery for attending to Luckys medical needs over the past 12 years.
Second, Mr. Drevermandid not base that statement on a thousand years of drought records preserved in tree rings, or on other proxies, or on any observations at all. It was simply a mathematical estimate of what is called a ???return period?? based on a probability distribution, not a scientific statement of historical fact. Here is a link (PDF) to how it was calculated.
Moreover, according to these same computer models, global temperatures should now be increasing at a significant rate as much as 0.3 C per decade. But this rate is higher than the recent observed trends measured by satellites, balloons, and surface instruments which suggests that the computer simulations are exaggerating the effect of the increases in CO2.
Many Obama staffers and policies have come from CAP. The DC says: "In 2010, Podesta wrote the foreword for a CAP report on how the President could use his executive authority to advance a progressive agenda, including actions to unilaterally force the U.S. economy to become greener." CAP and the name Podesta have come up repeatedly in the Green-energy Crony-corruption Scandal that I've covered extensively with Christine Lakatos.
In the second part of the talk, the weakness of gravity was explained by the fact that you must walk before you run. In the case that you don't know what it means, it means that near the Planck scale, the strength of the QCD coupling constant changes very slowly, and it only starts to run quickly when the coupling constant is of order one, which is near the QCD scale, which is where the proton mass has to be found.
DISSERTATIONDEFENSE Samantha Stevenson November 14, 2011 at 9:00am LOCATION: CIRES Auditorium
But watch the pea under the thimble: the completely defective Korttajarvi sediment chronologies are used in the comparandum series. Yes, the anthropogenically disturbed sediments have a HS pattern, but so what? Surely no one can seriously argue that this presents valid evidence on the modern-medieval differential (whichever way it goes.)
This is an alternative to something that does not yet exist: a post-2012 agreement. (The current European Union negotiating posture, demanding even deeper rationing despite failure on the first go-round, ensures that such an agreement never will exist.)
So here's the central question: Is Curry a heroic whistle-blower, speaking the truth when others can't or won't? Or has she gone off the scientific deep end, hurling baseless charges at a group of scientists who are doing their best to understand the complexities of Earth's climate? Let us know what you think.
Hurricanes have not increased in the U.S. in frequency, intensity or normalized damage since at least 1900, Pielke added. The same holds for tropical cyclones globally since at least 1970.
They still have snow on the ground on June 26, with only a few weeks left inthe melt season.
The President could finally veto the Keystone XL pipeline a key objective of the climate alarm movement.
(on the other hand: with 480+ consequences to choose from, perhaps it can be said that AGW is true no matter what. As the saying goes, not even the astrologer can guess it wrong all of the time)
The progressive aristocracy is every bit as morally reprehensible as the worst of those of the past, for it relies on the existence of an underclass that will provide sufficient votes to keep it in power and motivate the productive class to work hard lest they fall into this unfortunate group. That helps explain why the progressive aristocracy has stood idly by while the schools in the nation's inner cities have deteriorated so badly and thus doomed a large swath of the population to poverty and dependence on the government. This inculcation of ignorance appears to be a matter of truly stupendous cynicism.
Its a canard of climate science that increasing atmospheric CO 2 from 390PPM to 780PPM will raise the earths surface temperature by about 1C (expanded to 3C by positive feedbacks). From my way of thinking, the only thing CO 2 can do is increase coupling to spaceit certainly cant store or trap energy or increase the earths peak or 24-hour average temperature.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellows Marlo Lewis and Iain Murray on Hurricane Katrina and current global warming science:
About one-half of Blunder is a non-technical description of our new peer reviewed and soon-to-be-published research which supports the opinion that a majority of Americans already hold: that warming in recent decades is mostly due to a natural cycle in the climate system ??? not to an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide from fossil fuel burning.
Piketty and maybe Piereson dont see the negative effect of big gov and central planning.
Gore friend and aged hippie David Suzuki demonizes travel in order to make you think twice about leaving the house. Some scary facts:
First, whether or not an insurance policy makes sense partly depends on the price of the premium. It is possible to spend too much on insurance. A homeowner s policy so expensive that it effectively prevents the insured from purchasing health insurance, replacing the faulty brakes in his car, making safety improvements in his home, or saving for his retirement is probably a bad investment. The Administration assures us that the premium payments associated with the Kyoto Protocol will be relatively small, but, as noted, several respected private sector analysts disagree.
How well do the CMIP3 and CMIP5 models perform in this regard? In spite of ???the remarkable improvements of GCMs over the past years, it is still a challenge to simulate volcanic impacts for all GCMs???? Read More
In the meanwhile, lets wait fora few confirmatory experiments
11. Committee on the Science of Climate Change of the National Research Council, Climate Change Science: An Analysis of Some Key Questions (Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press, 2001).
One of the most serious limitations of the global climate models is the failure to validate one:
Analysis of trends and of aggregated time series on climatic (30-year) scale does not indicate consistent trends worldwide. Despite common perception, in general, the detected trends are more negative (less intense floods in most recent years) than positive. Similarly, Svensson et al. (2005) and Di Baldassarre et al. (2010) did not find systematical change neither in flood increasing or decreasing numbers nor change in flood magnitudes in their analysis.
James Delingpole takes a swipe at the Economist's coverage of global warming, saying some nice things about the Hockey Stick Illusion in passing.
The above is an extract from the article,' The Fraud of the AGHE Part 18: Conserving Wattage does not Conserve Physics Rant FreeVersion' on Joe Postma's blog, climateofsophistry.com
You showed a graph of the tenor of atmospheric carbon dioxide against time at Hawaii. You drew a trend line through it. That wiggly line showed something else: it showed that carbon dioxide tenor follows temperature on an annual basis. Carbon dioxide is the dependant variable not temperature. That is the short term observation. The long term observation comes from the ice cores where carbon dioxide again follows temperature.
As to responding to these inconvenient climate realities, or debating them with the thousands of scientists who reject the dangerous manmade climate change tautology, she responds: The time for arguing about climate change has passed. The vast majority of scientists agree that our climate is changing.
We have constructed four different chronologies to illustrate some of the issues associated with chronology sampling error and bias, and to compare these between a single-site chronology and a chronology developed from a much larger region.
Filtering\redacting personally sensitive emails doesn't require special expertise.
He has never doubted the role of CO2, but has rightly questioned the cost-benefit analysis of the proposed solutions. Phillips then describes Alan Jones as frothing to David Karoly. Whether you agree with Jones or not, Phillips would never describe a consensus climate scientist as frothing, a highly inappropriate term to use. But it just helps to paint the picture of deniers as being deluded and crazy.
choosing a chief of staff who can actually run the place, and who understands
?It will be interesting to see how predictions by the government-funded Met Office compare with independent forecasters.?
Well, DUH. If they had forced the model with a water vapor change, it would have done the same thing. Or a cloud change. But they had already assumed water vapor and clouds cannot be climate drivers.
"AT&T; announced today that it was cutting the price of data access for prepaid customers -- those who don't sign contracts but instead pay as they go -- to $5 for 10MB of data access on select smartphones, a major cut from the previous $5 for 1MB. But press reports haven't done their math: The costs are 50 times what so-called postpaid customers -- those who sign a contract and get a bill each month -- are charged. An AT&T; GoPhone customer pays $500 per gigabyte of data usage, whereas a postpaid Android or iPhone user pays $10 per gigabyte."
E-mail Documentation Of The Successful Attempt By Thomas Karl Director Of the U.S. National Climate Data Center To Suppress Biases and Uncertainties In the Assessment Surface TemperatureTrends
The three researchers' data indicate that relative to the plants grown at 300 ppm CO 2 , those grown at 400, 500 and 600 ppm produced approximately 200, 275 and 390% more aboveground biomass, respectively, as best we can determine from their bar graphs. In addition, they report that "reproductively, increasing CO 2 from 300 to 600 ppm increased the number of capsules, capsule weight and latex production by 3.6, 3.0 and 3.7 times, respectively, on a per plant basis," with the ultimate result that "all alkaloids increased significantly on a per plant basis." What it means
Gore: The Arctic is warming at an unprecedented rate. Truth: The Arctic region warms and cools dramatically every few decades, due to shifting currents and winds. Arctic ice also melted significantly during the 1930s; it is now back to seasonally normal levels.
With all these variables in play, choosing a winner will be as much a game of luck as of skill. Based on what weve seen, it seems probable that it will come from the middle of the pack between 2008 and 2009.
Professor Hajo Eicken is one of the leading experts. On a speaking visit to Utah, he said recent losses are especially dramatic.
Broadly speaking, the IPCC expects this centurys warming to be equivalent to that from a doubling of CO2 concentration. In that event, 1 C is indeed all the warming we should expect from a CO2 doubling. And is that going to be a problem?
Across the pond, more than 100 Conservative Members of Parliament urged Prime Minister, David Cameron, to block further expansion of onshore wind. Environment Secretary, Owen Paterson, called England's onshore wind farms a "blight," and while Minister of State at the Department for Energy and Climate Change (now the prime minister's senior parliamentary advisor) John Hayes said: "We can no longer have wind turbines imposed on communities. It seems extraordinary to have allowed them to be peppered around the country without due regard for the interests of the local community and their best wishes."
OMB Draft Report to Congress on the Costs and Benefits of Federal Regulation
But the significant point about these temperature trends is that there was a step change, but that since then temperatures have stopped increasing. There is no evidence to suggest that temperatures will increase in future years, and, until we understand better the reasons for the step change, there is a possibility that temperatures will fall back in the future.
The environmentalists, moreover, very often forget to mention that even their hypothetical relationship is not linear (or exponential), but logarithmic and that ? and now I quote from the IPCC 2001 Report ? ?each incremental amount of extra carbon dioxide exerts a lesser heating effect.? It is not a statement of a global warming denier. It is a statement of the IPCC.
Like most climatologists, Hayhoe accepts the broad scientific consensus that the climate is changing and that humanitys combustion of fossil fuels is the main reason for it
Known as the C40 Risk Assessment Framework, the climate risk project, as Bloomberg referred to it, would develop a consistent set of measures by which cities could assess their risk of a natural disaster, including hurricanes and floods.
I wrote this North Idaho weather review on a chilly, snow-covered Saturday morning, Dec. 21, the first official day of the winter season.
La Framboise, D. 2011. The Delinquent Teenager who was mistaken for a World Top Climate Expert . Ivy Avenue Press. pp. 235
All of this explains why Charlie Brown thinks Lucy will help him kick the football, but fails to explain why Lucy likes to pull it away.
Just six days into his presidency, Barry is already making bizarre decisions based on flakey science and a complete misunderstanding of the issues of climate change. And just for luck, theres another D Word Alert. As reported in The Age today:
But, writes HVS, the r nd just scientific knowledge, the knowledge that is in dispute, which is sjlva svrigheten hr and create VRT dilemma. He continues:
What makes this discovery particularly noteworthy is that we mapped out a landscape of bioessential elements in the ocean that was far more perturbed than we expected, and the impacts on life were big, said Timothy W. Lyons , a professor of biogeochemistry at UCR, Owenss former advisor and the principal investigator on the research project.
Finally, it amplifies yet again what is obvious to most of us: the fact that the climate is changing and that human CO2 emissions are causing it is now unassailable by conventional scientific means, forcing some of those who cannot accept this discomforting fact to seek refuge in the ethical twilight of internet warfare.
Myron Ebell (mebell@cei.org) is Director of Energy and Global Warming Policy at CEI.
NOAA accomplished this by primarily lowering temperatures prior to 1950 (note the red tips at bottom, left of the blue dotted line). After 1950, global temperatures were primarily adjusted up (note the red tips at the top, to the right of the blue dotted curve).
The scientists say that Non-periodic processes like a warming through the monotonic increase of CO2 in the atmosphere could cause at most 0.1C to 0.2C warming for a doubling of the CO2 content, as it is expected for 2100. This positive forcing will be overwhelmed by the stronger negative forcing of natural cycles. They conclude that the global temperature will drop until 2100 to a value corresponding to the little ice age of 1870. Read more here . Below is a graph of historical temperatures and temperature predictions.
But we also know from the best polls with robust samples of Massachusetts voters and physicians, conducted by Bob Blendon's group at the Harvard School of Public Health, that support for the law has been extraordinarily high. Two years after implementation, 69 percent of residents supported the law, with 77 percent supporting subsidized coverage and 58 percent supporting the individual mandate. Even more striking, in a New England Journal of Medicine study released just a few weeks ago, 70 percent of practicing physicians, with little difference between primary care docs and specialists, supported the program, with just 7 percent saying they wanted the law repealed.
The problem with liberals isnt so much that they are ignorant, it is that they know so many things that arent so.
Even when additional reduction measures are implemented against black carbon, or soot, which is released when fossil fuels are burned, they do little to slow down global warming in a 2 degrees scenario. This is because if the global temperature rise is limited to 2 degrees, CO2 reduction measures would have to be taken, which would in turn cut the most important soot emissions.
Dunn discusses using Federal Rules of Evidence regarding admissibility of scientific studies to challenge EPA policy. Courts tend to defer too much to agency discretion, Dunn writes. There is no law that Congress has passed that permits agencies to use and promote junk science.
Thousands of fires have already torched millions of acres, amid yet another dangerous and costly fire season. It happens every year, and has for centuries. But now, the Department of the Interior misinforms us, "climate change is making it worse. Wildfire seasons are now hotter, drier and longer than in the past." Sure they are. Wanna buy a bridge?
The World's Leading Climate Scientists, in Their Own Words
NSF Releases Online, Multimedia Package Titled, Clouds: The Wild Card of Climate Change
For the record, I did the sum in front of him. The atmospheric concentration of CO2 today is about 388 parts per million by volume. However, we are adding just 2 ppmv a year to the air. So the warming we cause each year, even if one believes the UNs wild exaggerations of CO2s warming effect, is just 4.7 times the natural logarithm of the proportionate increase in CO2 concentration from 388 to 390 ppmv.
The following figure is one that Ive used for looking at various time series, shown here for the UAH tropical T2LT series.
policy, both portray the administration as recalculating American leverage and
Woodpecker could alter California logging laws:
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Eli Lehrer puts the subprime mortgage shakeup into historical perspective:
Some 1199 lobbying efforts have also been financed by voluntary contributions from members and, in the late 1990s, "excess" employer-pension contributions (see sidebar). Anyone who doubts the union's lobbying might should consider its success in squaring off against the most formidable organized interests. In 1999, for example, when lobbying Albany to hike cigarette taxes to fund a Medicaid expansion, 1199 and GNYHA spent 14 times as much as the Philip Morris Corporation, which opposed the increase. The union prevailed.
Comments from Associated Owners and Developers Submitted to EPA Regarding the Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for Greenhouse Gases Under the Clean Air Act
21 The methodology was not applied to utilities because a 1990 court decision (Wisconsin Electric Power Co. v. Reilly) held it would substantially change the legal meaning of a "major modification" and therefore had to go through the rulemaking process before being changed. EPA interprets the court's ruling narrowly, asserting it still can use "actual-to-potential" when regulating nonutility emitters. The switch to "actual-to-potential" for nonutility emitters has never gone through formal rulemaking procedures.
this means we will need to resubmit the manuscript to peer review once again...
Lacher calls the conjecture about the rainforest on the verge of disappearing "unwarranted speculation." He further talks about how "ill-conceived deceived development schemes" attracted poor people to try and settle in the rainforest, that they were "encouraged to move in," but that they were not adequately backed up with technology transfer, etc. (Phone interview, 11/96)
For example, LOST's Preamble asserts that we aspire to "realization of a just and equitable international economic order which takes into account the interests and needs of mankind as a whole and, in particular, the special interests and needs of developing countries, whether coastal or land-locked." You should prepare to respect that language, as the Senate seems unaware that at urging of none other than the U.S., the Preamble to the WTO agreement's nod to "sustainable development" was soon elevated to an enforceable right.
All in all I heard Joe Bastardi forecast here December global temps to drop to about +0.15 to 0.20 above the normal. I say expect a similar drop for January, meaning well be in negative territory. Same goes for February. There just seems to be lots of cold out there.
Overall, U.S. online stations have dropped from a peak of 1,850 in 1963 to a low of 136 as of 2007. In his blog, Smith wittily observed that the Thermometer Langoliers have eaten 9/10 of the thermometers in the USA including all the cold ones in California. But he was deadly serious after comparing current to previous versions of USHCN data and discovering that this selection bias creates a +0.6C warming in U.S. temperature history.
We now turn to external effects that might explain the existence of a global warming pause; the principal ones are volcanism and solar activity. The problem here is one of balancing; the amount of cooling by volcanism, for example, has to be just right to offset the warming from CO2 during the entire duration of the pause. It is difficult to picture why exactly this might be happening; the probabilities seem rather small. Still, the burden is on the proponents to demonstrate various kinds of evidence in support of such an explanation.
A Reprieve From Climate Doom forthcoming report points lowers estimates on global warming Sept 13, 2013 in the Wall Street Journal by Matt Ridley
New paper unexpectedly finds diverging trends in global temperature & radiative imbalance from greenhouse gases Paper finds a decrease of IR radiation from greenhouse gases over past 14 years, contradicts expected increase
"The admissions will be seized on by sceptics as fresh evidence that there are serious flaws "
Information on Cases against EPA and FWS and on Deadline Suits on EPA Rulemaking
In times of global warming, people may ask whats causing allthe cold and snow? Accuweathers Brent Anderson has the answer:
Met Office, 25 September 2008: The Met Office forecast for the coming winter suggests it is, once again, likely to be milder than average. It is also likely that the coming winter will be drier than last year.
To many folks who have, for years, been fed a constant course of the-world-is-heating-up-faster-than-ever-before-and-you-are-the-cause, 9 to 12 years of no warming at all seems to indicate that something is amiss with this mantra.
"Organic" Is The Latin Word For "Grown In Pig Shit"
France opposes binding targets on renewable energy use.