Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Insurance companies facing massive claims due to the devastating floods in Europe are blaming global warming. Swiss Re, a major re-insurance company that is likely to be burdened with the lion's share of the costs, has stated unequivocally that global warming is the reason for the floods.
Such polls function to manufacture opinion where none exists and, in particular, to claim a popular mandate for the preferred policies of the political class. A way has been found to impute a superior wisdom to the very people whose ignorance is privately relied on. Democracy triumphs again! The college educated are the most susceptible to these techniques, as the New York Times reported. ("Better educated people are most likely to favor early action by the United States. Fully three-quarters of college graduates favor acting even without a binding treaty.")
Exhibit 1: Greenhouse Gases are Making You Fat:
The Fakegate scandal provides opportunity for U.S. congressman to push common Democrat lies and the climate change hoax - the Heartland Institute challenges congressman about falsehoods
A paper published today in The Holocene reconstructs sea surface temperatures of the Southern Adriatic Sea during the Medieval Warm Period and finds "clear" evidence of solar influence on climate change. The authors find sea surface temperatures varied closely with 11 year solar cycles. According to the authors, " We observe a clear 11.4 year cyclicity in the reconstructed SST series. Furthermore, there is a good matching between SST and global 14 C anomalies. This suggests that solar activity might have had an important influence on the local climate during Medieval time."
Were that fact mentioned in Al Gore's movie, the Kyoto Protocol might not survive its second anniversary.
Cancun, Mexico (AP) More countries are expected this week to pledge specific actions to limit carbon emissions over the next decade, in what would be "very good news" for arduous negotiations on a climate change agreement, says host country Mexico.
An earlier version of this post appeared in Energy Metro Desk (subscription required), titled The Future: 97 Percentiles Below Princeton.
Irrespective of soil nitrogen status and air temperature, increases in the air's CO 2 content produced large increases in soybean biomass, as well as soybean seed concentrations of twelve major isoflavones. Hence, it can be appreciated that as the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration continues to rise in the years and decades ahead, both the amount and the potency of important health-promoting properties of soybean seeds will be significantly enhanced, providing huge benefits to humanity. References
Unfortunately, EPA Administrator Christine Todd Whitman has pledged to continue these legal and administrative enforcement actions, even though a strong case can be made for putting such actions on hold pending NSR reform. In defense of the Clinton EPA, it should be noted that the problems and inefficiencies of NSR were observed and a reform agenda was in the works well before the November 2000 election. As we note below, some of EPA's 2002 reform proposals are based on reforms first proposed and endorsed by the previous administration.
?The findings in the new report from the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program (AMAP) are a cause for great concern.
Alpine melt reveals ancient life. A glacier in the mountains retreats due to our evil cars and what do we find? People, living 3000 plus years ago where we couldnt live now with modern technology. Only three thousand years ago people are living in what is no unimaginably cold, yet we cant even explain how they were able to pull it off. LINK HERE.
Few arguments in favour of action to mitigate the effects of climate change begin without claiming that the science is in. James Garveys The Ethics of Climate Change is no exception. There begins an account of the science which forms the basis of an unassailable consensus that the world faces a terrifying future. The account is a breathless list of tragedies that await us: sea-level rises, species-extinctions, glacial retreat, resource wars, and climate refugees, all of which will be worse for the poor, and most of which have been caused by the industrialised world. We face planetary upheaval, the deaths of countless living things, human suffering on an enormous scale and all sorts of other horrors, Garvey tells us. Be very afraid.
Temperature in Greenland now is -67F, and only needs to warm up 100 degrees to get above freezing.
When free enterprise operates, resource extraction and development expands greatly, and innovative technologies generate new opportunities, creating jobs and stimulating the economy in the process. On the other hand, when policymakers try to promote or prohibit specific energy sources and technologies, the federal government wastes taxpayer dollars, delays or blocks promising energy development, and shifts resources to politically preferred sectors of the economy as opposed to the most economically viable sectors. America needs policies that open access to markets, eliminate preferential treatment for all energy sources, and reduce the regulatory burden that chokes investment and innovation.
For two centuries, overpopulation has haunted the imagination of the modern world. According to Thomas Malthus, writing in 1798, human population growth would always surpass agricultural production, meaning "gigantic inevitable famine" would "with one mighty blow level the population with the food of the world."
I think Ian will be a real asset because in his profession one is often trained to hold people?s feet to fire. Many like to say or write things, but are they able to back it all up later on. After all people who listen to these experts often act and make decisions based on the things said, and thus may incur either benefit or major damage as a result.
Green energy supporters, such as Schumer, like to mix the terms "subsidies" and "tax credits" with "tax deductions"when they are completely different. A subsidy, or loan guarantee, and tax credit involves taxpayer dollars being doled outor taxes not collectedto incentivize a favored activity. This is not how America's oil-and-gas producers are treated. They do, however, receive tax deductionslike any other businessthat allow them to write of losses and the cost of doing business against income.
Russia may be tempted to pursue tactical rapprochement with China. But any meaningful strategic rapprochement with China would move Russia further away from the United States and into a position of dependence on Chinese support. This would run counter to the strategic realities Russia faces on its far-eastern border, given the decline in its population and negative demographic trends. We cannot be fixated by things that are in the power of Russia and China to do. The wise American policy is to establish close relations with both Russia and China. And we should conduct it on the basis that whenever possible there should always be at least equal if not greater incentives or prospect of risks to cooperate with the United States than with each other.18
Due to the lack of understanding a thermometer remains crucial. And it is not pointing in the direction of a doomsday. The temperature over the Northern Hemisphere has decreased since about 1950. In some countries the eighties were very warm, but there are countries where this is not the case. On Greenland there is little to be seen of the greenhouse effect. It has been very cold during the last couple of years.
I'd like to share my positive experiences in engaging with climate sceptics and talk about the extent to which we can, or already do, apply this approach to other areas - both geographically and scientifically. Where is the common ground, and where are the difficulties? Is it just too late to try and erase some battlelines? Are there substantial cultural or societal differences between European and USA/Australian scientists + public that explain or limit these approaches, and how about the rest of the world? Some scientists disagree with our approach - what are the pitfalls? Can we learn lessons across different sciences or is, for example, personal medical risk just too different to global environmental risk? I'd love to hear your views.
He acknowledges there are risks to both natural and manmade climate change, he simply doesn't believe the case has been made that they are catastrophic risks;
The strong relationship between global temperature and CO2, documented by ice-core studies, makes scientific sense only if the CO2 is the effect rather than the cause. Correlation does not necessarily describe cause and effect. In the last transition from ice age to our present climate, global temperature changed about 15 F. For CO2 to have caused this change, atmospheric levels of CO2 would have had to double at least three times to about 1,400 ppm. Ice-core studies show that during this period, CO2 levels increased from 180 ppm to 280 ppm. CO2 is very soluble in water, and a considerable amount is dissolved in our oceans, which cover about 70 percent of the planet
There's a general point here. Though communication has advanced beyond the wildest dreams of futurologists of the 1950s, transportation has underperformed. Our time-traveling visitor would be shocked at the absence of routine space travel and the general scarcity of helicopters in civilian life. He would be surprised to find that our cars aren't really that different in mechanism or speed from the things with fins that he drove. In vain would you boast of electric windows and catalytic converters.
Misguided environmental regulations, green obstructionism and the NIMBY (Not-in-my-backyard) syndrome have combined to delay the construction of desperately needed new power plants and transmission lines. The result is an infrastructure that will soon be unable to meet the demands of the American economy. Policy makers must act now to re-empower America.
However, the 12-mra of the difference between UAH and NCDC, when normalized to 1981-2010, is not increasing statistically significant indicating that the difference between these two datasets to date has not increased over time (linear regression slope is also close to 0). The 12-mra of the difference between GISS, HadCRUT4 and UAH, respectively, is, however, increasing with almost identical slopes (figure 1, table 1).
From CEI: Senior Fellow Marlo Lewis, Jr. on why adopting watered down versions of the Kyoto Protocol is just as foolish as embracing the treaty itself, plus how we got from Kyoto to here.
Aus: No emission limit on new coal plants
The rising CO2 content of the atmosphere may induce changes in ocean chemistry (pH) that could slightly reduce coral calcification rates; but potential positive effects of hydrospheric CO2 enrichment may more than compensate for this modest negative phenomenon.
The highest recent rate of warming based on its linear trend occurred during the 154-month period that ended about 2004, but warming trends have dropped drastically since then. There was a similar drop in the 1940s, and as youll recall, global surface temperatures remained relatively flat from the mid-1940s to the mid-1970s. Also note that the early-1970s was the last time there had been a 154-month period without global warmingbefore recently.
Glassman: Now, have you actually correlated the activity of the sun, this magnetism that you're talking about, with the rise of temperatures on Earth?
Bry goes on to note his concern that humans may be living through what many environmentalists and conservationists call the "Sixth Extinction," which is understood to mean an era when more than half of all earth-living species will croak.
The spatial structure and dominant time scales of natural variations differ across models (see discussion of Fig. 5). Additionally, coupled climate models produce a range of responses, in space and time, to anthropogenic radiative forcing (Fig. 8). Such differences in model estimates of internal variability and response to external forcing limit our understanding for the potential of the decadal climate predictions.
5. The UN's IPCC and the other immensely taxpayer-funded climate "science" agencies (e.g., NOAA, NASA, UK's MetOffice, Australia CISRO , etc.), continue to claim that CO2 levels act as the globe's thermostat, which will allow politicians and bureaucrats to "dial-in" the desired Earth 's temperature... this claim is demonstrably a flagrant, anti-science falsehood, per the actual depicted temperature/CO2 evidence above
A paper published today in Quaternary Research reconstructs drought and fire activity in Idaho during the Holocene and finds droughts have been relatively less common and rainfall less variable over the past century in comparison to the past 1,900 years. In addition, the paper finds fires were more common ~900-400 years ago in comparison to the past century. Contrary to the claims of climate alarmists, the paper finds fire activity is more common during wetter periods compared to drier, due to the denser vegetation and more variable climate. The paper adds to many other published papers finding there is nothing unprecedented, unusual, or unnatural about present day drought , extreme weather , and fire activity .
While Grantham might be correct about some harder-edged libertarian
Of course, this is not entirely fair. The 110th Congress has some significant accomplishments, including implementing the 9/11 commission recommendations, increasing the minimum wage, expanding college aid, implementing "pay-as-you-go" budgeting and working hard to make it a reality, and passing significant lobbying and ethics reform. But many other things have passed the House and foundered in the Senate, or been stopped, like children's health insurance, by a presidential veto. And, of course, Congress has spent countless hours trying futilely to do something to change course in Iraq.
Instead of saying clearly that the models prove that humans cause global warming, they have to talk with forked tongues with such phrases as: This experiment showed that the projections of climate models are consistent with recorded temperature trends over recent decades only if human impacts are included.
The environment is challenging, with resources trapped deep in shale rock. But technological breakthroughs coupled with a feverish quest for the next major find are unlocking the door to oil and natural gas riches here and in several other countries in the Americas not traditionally known as energy producers.
USA Today lauds the EPAs GHG reduction proposal a big deal to for fighting climate change, but it doesnt go far enough. David Brodwin, writing in USA Today lauds the EPAs proposed GHG reductions for existing coal plants (the dirtiest form of electricity). His opinion is that the 30% reduction in GHG from dirty coal electricity wont be all that expensive to accomplish. He does notice that the estimated US decrease is chump change when you look at China and India, so it doesnt go far enough.
You see the same shift in focus in the public away from climate change questions to questions of economic survival and growth , said Woo, president of the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada.
With regard to the political aspects of bushfire, Ambrose Bierce had it well covered. He defined politics as a strife of interests masquerading as a contest of principles. The strife of interests includes winning the votes of urban dwellers who are rarely subject to bushfire, yet may have assorted passionate notions about its ecology, perhaps gleaned from refereed journals. The contest of principles, in this case, is the ethical duty of care to both nature and human society.
The feedback parameter used here is 4 W m-2 K-1, which implies a climate sensitivity of only 1 deg. C warming from a doubling of CO2. This is much less than the IPCC's estimate of 2.5 to 3 deg. C of warming.
It is in this context that the Manhattan Institute's Center for Energy and the Environment offers this publication. It is predicated on the belief that wise and prudent policies in these areas require a well-informed citizenry "one well versed in the facts. With that goal in mind, the Center sought, with the help of survey research conducted by Zogby Associates, to determine what Americans believe about energy and environmental issues. We report here on the answers given by 1,000 Americans, chosen to be representative of public opinion generally, on matters such as the sources of U.S. energy supply, the extent of the oil supply, the rate of global warming, and trends in atmospheric pollution. Our poll was taken at a time "the summer of 2006 "when, because of a sharp increase in the price of gasoline, public interest in energy and environmental issues was particularly keen.
5) And in March this year, scientists at the British Antarctic Survey quantified just how badly the predictions had failed, An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models
As the study concludes, Clearly, the potential savings from reduced reproduction are huge compared to the savings that can be achieved by changes in lifestyle although they caution that reducing the future population on its own is not enough. What is required is that the changes to your lifestyle are then multiplied by you having fewer children who also live a low-carbon lifestyle as well:
Click here to download Part 2 in PDF form
An organosulphur compound obtained from garlic kills off methane-producing bacterium in the digestive system of cows, according to Professor Jamie Newbold, who heads up a 5 million-research programme at Aberystwyth University.
Without a large uptick in temperatures in the next few years, the modelers really have to go back to the drawing board (or they need to discover another negative forcing to keep the models on track to reality).
What is so striking is how these scientists, who rightly highlight the need for careful scientific analysis in characterizing the climate effects of GHG emissions, unwittingly forsake science when thinking about how to mitigate climate change. Instead, they jump right from "burning fossil fuels causes dangerous climate change" to "therefore the best way to stop climate change is reducing fossil fuel use."
Doran and Zimmerman (2009) Examining the Scientific Consensus on Climate Change, Eos, VOLUME 90 NUMBER 3 20 JANUARY 2009
So what about the ?fourth branch of government,? the media? What do they appear to think about such breaches of public trust? Judging from all of the seven invited representatives at Part Two of a Nov. 23, 2010, Yale Forum titled ?Scientists and Journalists on Lessons Learned ,? not very much at all.
Abstract. Given that over the course of the next 1030 years the magnitude of natural decadal variations may rival that of anthropogenically forced climate change on regional scales, it is envisioned that initialized decadal predictions will provide important information for climate-related management and adaptation decisions. Such predictions are presently one of the grand challenges for the climate community. This requires identifying those physical phenomenaand their model equivalentsthat may provide additional predictability on decadal time scales, including an assessment of the physical processes through which anthropogenic forcing may interact with or project upon natural variability. Such a physical framework is necessary to provide a consistent assessment (and insight into potential improvement) of the decadal prediction experiments planned to be assessed as part of the IPCCs Fifth Assessment Report.
MONTANA -60% of its electricity; 5th in coal production
Sea level is not rising appreciably in California. The global warming industry is reduced to nothing but fantasy.
The trick to making sense of the diverse paleoclimate record is to understand that some measures are more precise than others, says Hughes. For instance, rings on trees in Canada may tell you something about summer-to-summer changes in precipitation, while lake sediments, stalagmites, and ice cores may not record every year and give more of a decade-long or 50-year picture.
A snapshot of Earths plant productivity in 2003 shows regions of increased productivity (green) and decreased productivity (red). Tracking productivity between 2000 and 2009, researchers found a global net decrease due to regional drought. Credit: NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio
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www.canberratimes.com .au/.../melting-runway-cuts-flights-to-antarct...
To save his presidency, Obama should follow the real lesson of FDR and our other great presidents and turn away from the failures of health care reform and nationalization of the economy. He will be remembered if he follows through in Iraq, pursues al Qaeda with the restoration of aggressive measures, and achieves victory in Afghanistan. If he loses in war in favor of an attempt to expand the size of government at home, he will take his place in presidential history alongside Jimmy Carter and Lyndon Johnson, rather than FDR and Ronald Reagan.
Carbon dioxide is an environmentally beneficial atmospheric trace gas;
on Thursday, January 14th, 2010 at 9:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
on Monday, May 20th, 2013 at 1:40 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
There are currently huge amounts of money in energy attracted there primarily by the presence of Kyoto-style regulation. That money, however, is not to the benefit of the energy consumer and may well damage the development of emissions-reducing technology in the future. It would be best for government to step out and let energy provision develop naturally, in response to the pull of the market. If people are genuinely concerned about global warming, as the polls tell us they are, then that worry will affect their behavior in the market. Kyoto advocates who tell us they do not trust the market, in fact do not trust the people. When the bubble bursts, we will see how wise that choice was.
Farmers are resilient, but when you cannot even get seed into the ground, its devastating, he said.
Climate studies show that the world has already warmed about 0.8 degrees Celsius since 1900, but that warming has stopped and some scientists even argue that the world has cooled slightly since then.
SHIMLA/MANALI: 15 Dec 2014 ??? Intense cold has gripped the entire Himachal Pradesh with unprecedented snowfall in areas where it had not snowed in many years. Snow not only covered Kullu, Bhuntar, Bajaura but also Panarsa area in Mandi district where snowing is not common. Across the state hundreds of roads were blocked throwing normal life out of gear.
Well over a million U.S. workers age 55 and older have now been out of work for 27 weeks or more. Not only do prospects plummet for re-employment of older workers. The longer they are unemployed, the more they are disconnected from society, the further their living standards fall, the more their physical and emotional well-being deteriorates, and the more likely they are to die prematurely.
undoubtedly result in reconstructions with wider error bars than we currently
It's true that Detroit temperatures didn't dip below freezing in January and February in'79 followed by a frost in June. But that was 1879! When he was a boy, "snows were frequent and deep in every winter," Thomas Jefferson recalled in December 1809. "The Greenland seas, hitherto covered , have in the last two years entirely disappeared," Britain's Royal Society reported in 1817. "We were astonished by the total absence of ice in Barrow Strait. still frozen up, and doubts were entertained as to the possibility of escape," Captain Francis McClintock wrote in his ship's log in 1860.
Hudson Bay sea ice cover is the highest since 1992, and is the third highest on record.
$ M \leq M {Planck} / N^{1/2} $ This statement is supported by
Attorney Peter Glasers Morning After Reflections on the D.C. Circuit Court GHG Decision