Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
I (and actually we) have often been accused of promoting conspiracy theories in climate science. Its meant to be an automatic disqualifier of tAV opinions, which from the large number of us who gather here, are shared in some part by much of the public.
Warmies never learn. They seize on inconvenient/unpleasant weather and claim will make it permanent/worse. Then, when their predictions fail spectacularly, which they always do, its because people expect the wrong thing. Flimflam Flannery claimed several of Australias major cities would be out of water and abandoned years ago due to climate change (we were experiencing periodical drought at the time) then Brisbane (one of the soon to be out of water cities) flooded spectacularly and the other states dams filled too.
EPA Estimates Its Greenhouse Gas Restrictions Would reduce global Temperature by No More Than 0.006 of a Degree in 90 Years
For all the post-Cold War talk about the decline of the state, there is at least one domain where the state is in expansion, and it is the sea. And for all the talk about a Great Game in Central Asia, it is worth keeping in mind that more than 30 percent of the world's oil and 50 percent of the world's natural gas is produced offshore. The percentage is greater still when moving from proven reserves (i.e., 90 percent certainty) to probable reserves (50 percent certainty). Add to that the fact that 60 percent of the world's oil and gas is transported by sea, and in the end, it is hard to deny that command of the high seas will matter just as much as control of the Heartland.
John: Been a mongrel, Brian, yes. First Climategate made us all look like a bunch of crooks. Then Copenhagen made us look like a bunch of stupid crooks. And
Not only will the trace gases need more energy to reach the same temperature as the air that contains them, they will radiate it in all directions instantly and at the speed of light and thus increase the efficiency of the air mass in cooling it, not warming it, in line with the first and second laws of thermodynamics.
However, the Adelie species is far from threatened as he implies, being common around the entire coast of Antarctica and adjacent islandsin the Ross Sea region alone the Adelie population numbers more than 5,000,000 birds.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of Energy and Global Warming Policy Myron Ebell on the real news coming out of Copenhagen:
funny it follows the rule. And when something isn't, it doesn't. One
A problem that Alley and other paleoclimate scientists refer to as the insensitivity of models or the model-data gap sounds like a technical issue but really is more fundamental. It means that the models are unable to reproduce accurately the numerous episodes of abrupt change that show up clearly in many environmental archives around the world. The reasons for this failure are not yet known, but the implications are plain enough. Until these highly sophisticated numerical representations of Earths climate systemrunning on the worlds most powerful computersare able to get the past right, what reason is there to believe they can get the future right? (page 183).
Accumulated departure from the annualized monthly mean (41.2) observed sunspot numbers 1610-2009 shows declining solar activity during the little ice age (LIA) and increasing solar activity during the subsequent recovery from the LIA. The 11 year moving average, corresponding to the 11-year solar cycle, is also plotted. Note the accelerated increase in solar activity beginning in the 1940s and correlation with land temperature data (HADCRU3 5 year moving average).
However, the idea of a climate court anytime soon particularly one that the United States and other big carbon emitters would agree to may be far-fetched. One environmental law expert, professor Jonathan Verschuuren at The Netherlands" Tilburg University, wrote in an online column that the court "will certainly not materialize."
Blackouts ahead if EPA rules shut down more power plants
Hopefully some of this has been helpful. NCCI has a more complete training package here (same site problem - click on "Introduction to Workers Compensation" under Learning Center and then click it again on the next page). More detailed state by state data is in this article. I have never worked with these guys but mostchoice.com seems to have an informative web site. In putting together this post, I also used the Insurance Guys web site -- they have contacted me in the past and if you are out in CA, they claim to be able to have access to many different underwriters to get folks the best policy. Cal-Nevada Insurance did a good job for me. I have related posts on workers comp here and here .
British Science Adviser Goes Beyond Parody
4.Global average temperatures during the 2030's will reach a level of at least 1.5 C lowerthan the peak temperature year of the past 100 years established in 1998. The temperatures during the 2030's will correspond roughly to that observed from 1793 to 1830, shortly after the founding of the United States of America. This average lower global temperature of 1.5 C on average, translates to declines in temperatures that will be devastating for crop growing regions in the mid latitudes of the planet.
"Oh, I did, son. I did. But the competition was stiff. Let me tell you, by the mid-2010s you could barely move in the Antarctic or the Arctic for self-proclaimed artists and explorers and "climate" "scientists" making utter dicks of themselves in the name of saving the planet from the deadly threat of ManBearPig. There was the Ship Of Fools expedition of 2013. And sundry expeditions conducted under the name Cape Farewell Project , in which luminaries such as Martha Wainwright, Laurie Anderson, Jarvis Cocker, Cormac McCarthy, Feist and "comedian" Marcus Brigstocke sailed north in order to create meaningful art projects on the theme of climate doom."
The Sun: Increasingly we are seeing more papers asserting that the sun is a major factor in climate change. Yet, in its Summaries for Policy Makers, the government-funded, UN, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) largely dismisses it as an important influence on recent climate global warming/climate change. The total energy emitted by the sun drives the climate systems in the solar system, including the earth. Yet, according to the IPCC, and the group of 20 (above) minor changes in total energy emitted, including solar wind and magnetism are far less important in determining changing climate that human additions of CO2 into the atmosphere. See links under Science: Is the Sun Rising? and 100+ Papers Sun Drives Climate
Bry used a New York Times interview with climate scientist James Hansen, who is often touted as the godfather of the climate action movement, to bolster his account that humans are killing themselves through so-called man-made global warming.
"If you want to study how aerosols and clouds interact," said Kassianov, "you need to look in the region of the spectrum where aerosol effects are significant. If you want to fish, you go where the fish are biting."
2. Clean Unit Exclusion. Regulated emitters who achieved federal BACT or LAER control levels or comparable state minor source BACT since 1990 would be entitled to a "clean unit exclusion" from NSR. A clean unit would trigger NSR only if permitted allowable emissions increase. Companies that make investments in pollution prevention or processes that are inherently clean or lower-emitting, and which achieve emission reductions comparable to BACT or LAER at the time the investment was made, would also qualify for the exclusion.
The boss of the only energy company still committed to investing in carbon capture and storage technology has called the pilot project the most risky investment of his career.
Not only do US laws, the Nuremberg Code, the Helsinki Accords and EPA Rule 1000.17 make it unethical or illegal to conduct toxicity experiments on humans. When California, Washington, Rutgers and other University researchers explained the experiments to their volunteers, they generally failed to advise them that EPA says the pollution they were going to breathe was toxic, carcinogenic and deadly.
With Arctic ice extent just 6% below average at the end of October, global sea ice area remains just above normal.
High energy prices disproportionately hurt the poor: Policies that make energy more expensive have regressive effects. According to the government's 2012 Consumer Expenditure Survey, those in the lowest earnings quintile spent 28% of their incomes on energy electricity, natural gas, gasoline, and motor oil. This is far more than the U.S. average of 9%, and the 4% spent by the top quintile. Increases in energy costs affect the prices of other consumer goods as well.
It wasn?t always this way. In the 1960s, when research into global warming was just beginning, it seemed impossible that people could change the global environment; the Earth was just too big. Charles Lyell, the father of modern geology, considered the possibility in detail in the mid-19th century and decided it was impossible because the mass of living things amounted to less than a drop in the bucket compared to the weight of all the materials in the oceans, atmosphere, soil and rocks.
Remember the Club of Romes 1972 prediction of resource exhaustion? Fifty-seven predictions were made regarding 19 minerals, and all either have been proved false or will be.
"The environment and forests ministry gave the go-ahead for the observatory to be built in the Bodi West hills on the coast of southern Tamil Nadu state."
stole from ourselves, took and gave bribes, lied in the reports, in newspapers, from high podiums, wallowed in our lies, hung medals on one another. And all of this from top to bottom and from bottom to top.
The coupled ocean-atmosphere processes that drive multidecadal variations in sea surface temperatures will be more of a problem. The sea surface temperature record is globally complete only during the satellite era the last 30 years. Further, the subsurface temperature and salinity records of the oceans are globally complete for only the past decade or so; moreover, the subsurface data are riddled with problems. It will be decades before the climate science community can hope to begin to have a data-based understanding of subsurface ocean weather and its interactions with ocean-atmosphere processes.
Photosynthetic processes are accelerated with the increased availability of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and, hence, it is conjectured that ring growth would also be correlated with atmospheric carbon dioxide; see Graybill and Idso (1993). In addition, oxides of nitrogen are formed in internal combustion engines that can be deposited as nitrates also contributing to fertilization of plant materials. It is clear that while there are temperature signals in the tree rings, the temperature signals are confounded with many other factors including fertilization effects due to use of fossil fuels.
In the past, we have often referred to cosmic rays as galactic cosmic rays or GCRs, because we did not know where they originated. Now scientists have determined that the sun discharges a significant amount of these high-energy particles. Solar Cosmic Rays (SCRs cosmic rays from the sun) originate in the suns chromosphere . Most solar cosmic ray events correlate relatively well with solar flares. However, they tend to be at much lower energies than their galactic cousins.
CBS2s Randy Paige placed a thermometer in the pathway of the beam on a partially cloudy day. The temperature registered over 120 degrees in less than five minutes.
In short, America should produce more here at home, export both crude and refined petroleum to Europe and Asia, and support companies that want to take their fracking technology and expertise overseas.
Within a capitalist world order, climate change is actually a convenient phenomenon to come along.
???It??s funny,?? says Jason. ???When it??s colder than usual (the last few years) it??s called natural phenomenon but when we get a hot spell or warmer than usual temperatures it??s not a natural phenomenon?? ?? .it??s ???Global Warming?? or the better yet catch phrase ???Climate Change.??
Somewhat amusingly, Plait ends his semi-random venting by telling us that Michael Mann has been tweeting furiously about this. Good grief! This isnt helping his case. Manns understanding of statistics may be likened to an overly enthusiastic undergraduate who left the lecture early.
Washington, D.C., March 22, 2005 The Department of Energy (DOE) today released its long-awaited revised guidelines for voluntary reporting of greenhouse gas emissions. The Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) submitted six comments during 2002-2004 warning DOE (a) that it lacks legal authority to award or certify emission credits applicable to a future regulatory climate program, and (b) that a crediting program is undesirable because it would build a corporate lobbying clientele for Kyoto-style energy rationing policies. The guidelines released today specifically do not award or certify tradable emission credits.
Tony Blair, o Il Crepuscolo degli Idoli
Kerry's Very Original Talking Points Speech Writer
Whether you believe in manmade global warming or not, you ought to question the bona fides of ClimateCounts given its roots Stonyfield Farm's dubious marketing and Fenton Communications' fear profiteering.
Dear Mr. Gore, you and I each have books on global warming at the top of the New York TImes non-fiction best-seller list. Your book, An Inconvenient Truth, claims that the earth's recent warming is humanity's fault, and that society must give up most of its current enery supply in order to prevent climate catastrophe.
South Australia??s hottest day is still the 50.7 degrees Oodnadatta suffered 37 years ago. NSW??s high is still the 50 degrees recorded 70 years ago.
So the initial moment for comparisons isn't mentioned. But another thing that isn't mentioned is the convention with which we define and measure the global mean temperature e.g. when it comes to the altitude (or depth in the sea) where the contribution of each square meter is measured and dozens of other important subtleties. Also, the surface weather stations produce warming trends that are something like 50% higher than those measured by the satellites.
John Kelly, a spokesman for the health department, said in a statement: This issue isnt about one actor but rather the 700,000 New Yorkers who struggle with diabetes, which kills 1,700 people a year and causes amputations in another 3,000. Advertising to warn the public about health concerns saves lives, and we will continue our efforts to warn New Yorkers about diabetes.
The correct approach to this debate should not dwell on the conflict between financial diversification and global warming. Instead, it should rethink the way to regulate and tax fossil fuel emissions. Currently, the amount of energy generated per unit of pollution could be rapidly increased by undoing deeply entrenched, but perverse, energy policies.
Bear in mind that under established legal interpretation, EPA is forbidden to take compliance costs and economic impacts into account when setting NAAQS . In short, applying the NAAQS program to carbon dioxide could turn the Clean Air Act into the equivalent of an economic suicide pact.
The pollutant claims are easy to refute.The worst air pollution in the world today is the Asian smog. Smog is very visible but carbon dioxide is a transparent gas that is exhaled by all living creatures.Smog is air polluted with particulates and noxious gases but there are no particulates or noxious components in carbon dioxide.
Frankly, it was a stupid error. But no one brought it to my attention, he added.
As best as I could determine, none of my suggested reviewers would have made such a recommendation. I can only speculate that Schekman considered Ramanathan as one of my suggested reviewers; I have not checked with Ramanathan. In any event, my response was the following.
... only those of us in Congress get to fly private jets
When President Clinton had the United States sign the Kyoto Protocol on "global warming," his gesture was widely viewed as PR, pure and simple. After all, the Senate already was on record 95-0 against implementing the treaty as written. If the United States is safe from Kyoto's global constraints on economic freedom, why is corporate America booking seats on the, Kyoto Express?
Well, that's new. Throughout his presidency, Obama has gone out of his way to avoid mentioning nuclear power at all, though he has delivered numerous speeches around the country touting the virtues of clean-energy technologies such as wind and solar. Judging by its conspicuous absence from these talks, nuclear power has clearly been out of favor with this president.
An absolute record for the first of April, says reader Argiris Diamantis. Nothing about this is reported by the Dutch MSM, of course.
If GM foods have an "astonishing range of potential applications," according to James D. Watson, the co-discoverer of DNA, that could radically improve daily life for billions in the developing world, why this war against their use? The origins of this animus lie more in culture than in sciencein an ancient myth about nature and humanity's relationship to the environment, and in the angst about technology embedded in those myths.
We need to craft national policy that uses market forces to provide incentives for the technological advances required to address climate change. price on carbon would change the behavior of both individuals and businesses.
Democratic strategist James Carville, who was raised in Louisiana, called Obama's handling of the BP oil spill "lackadaisical" and "unbelievable" in its "stupidity."
This divergence is already approaching a full degree Celsius, which already demonstrates that the models are more fairy tale than science. But in the coming years that divergence will only grow and grow, ultimately not only discrediting but falsifying the theory of anthropogenic, catastrophic global warming.
Reports from a variety of outlets, including the DOE and the US Energy Information Administration, which did the first part of the two required DOE analyses, show that most LNG would be sourced from new natural gas development, which means exports are unlikely to materially impact domestic demand or prices. EIA found that increased exports would initially raise consumer electricity bills by 1-to-3 percent annually, before subsiding. Both Levi and the DOE estimate the rise in industrial prices would not exceed 10 percent at most at its peak, before dropping.
The government's role was not to impede either the use of the horse or the development of the automobile.
Mike Hulme July 25, 2013 at 6:39 am
The Earths climate system is highly nonlinear: inputs and outputs are not proportional, change is often episodic and abrupt, rather than slow and gradual, and multiple equilibria are the norm. While this is widely accepted, there is a relatively poor understanding of the different types of nonlinearities, how they manifest under various conditions, and whether they reflect a climate system driven by astronomical forcings, by internal feedbacks, or by a combination of both.
According to NYSERDA , the average NYS residential electricity rate in 1999 was 13.3 cents per kilowatt hour. The first NYS wind factories went up in 2000 (Wethersfield & Madison). Twenty wind factories later, the average residential electricity rate in NYS as of February 2015 is 19.8 cents per kWh (according to the EIA, as cited by NYSERDA). That is one of the highest rates in the nation, and nearly a 50% increase since New York State began mindlessly plastering countrysides with industrial wind factories. Only 2% of NYSs electricity comes from coal, and we have an endless supply of hydro.
May 2007 and October 2007 share the silver and bronze medals with the anomaly of 0.091 Celsius degrees which is 0.81 Celsius degrees cooler than the warmest RSS month, April 1998. Using Al Gore's terminology, two of the three coldest months in this century have occurred in this year! ;-)
From the University of Gothenburg , the stuff that keeps some people awake at night. A question; why should we care? And, why should we take any of this seriously when you do things like We raised the water temperature in miniature ecosystems containing eelgrass meadows, while simultaneously bubbling with carbon-dioxide. when that bubbling would not happen naturally?
So what is different now? I offer the following observations based on many interviews with senior diplomats, government officials, legislators, and negotiators on both sides, most of them working for peace with a new urgency:
8 But unto them that are contentious, and do not obey the truth, but obey unrighteousness, indignation and wrath,
New York Times in 2000: "Sledding and snowball fights are as out-of-date as hoop-rolling' NYT in 2000: "But it does not take a scientist to size up the effects of snowless winters on the children too young to remember the record-setting blizzards of 1996. For them, the pleasures of sledding and snowball fights are as out-of-date as hoop-rolling, and the delight of a snow day off from school is unknown.'
1) Warm Bias: How The Met Office Mislead The British Public
For example, a recent issue of Global Change Biology contains an article about global warming and a positive fitness response in mountain lizards in Europe. Did these lizards not get the memo about extinctions? Maybe the lizards havent read their e-mail about global warming making things tough on lizards around the world? If nothing else, these lizards have obviously not been reading newspapers over the past decade!
?Mississippi Power?s 186,000 customers, who live in one of the poorest region of the country, are reeling from double-digit rate increases,? adding that ?the plant hasn?t generated a single kilowatt for customers??
"Cuba on Tuesday announced plans to drill five deepwater oil wells in the Gulf of Mexico beginning this summer, expressing confidence that its efforts will be rewarded with major new energy finds."
Update #2: An example of the BBJ. This is how you fly, right?
But the company he keeps numbers just six in New Zealand and 142 worldwide according to the ICSC which keeps a register of climate experts who challenge the hypothesis of dangerous human-caused climate change.
large number of politically appointed officials in the American system,
Temperatures have not risen nearly as much as almost all of the climate models predicted, Dr. Roy Spencer, a climatologist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville, told Fox News January 28. Their predictions have largely failed, four times in a row... what that means is that it's time for them to re-evaluate.
HEM is based on well-established economic theory as well as historical data and contains a variety of modules that interact with each other for long-term forecasting. In particular, HEM focuses on the interactions among (1) the supply, conversion, and demand of energy in its various forms; (2) American energy and the overall American economy; (3) the American energy market and the world petroleum market; and (4) current production and consumption decisions as well as expectations about the future These modules include:
Are you an aspiring journalist for Reuters? If so, you need to know how to "bury the lede," which is insider journo-talk for ignoring the real story in favor of the story you want to tell.
Kevin D. Dayaratna and David W. Kreutzer, "Unfounded FUND: Yet Another EPA Model Not Ready for the Big Game," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2897, April 29, 2014, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2014/04/unfounded-fund-yet-another-epa-model-not-ready-for-the-big-game. See also Kevin D. Dayaratna and David W. Kreutzer, "Loaded DICE: An EPA Model Not Ready for the Big Game," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2860, November 21, 2013, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/11/loaded-dice-an-epa-model-not-ready-for-the-big-game.