Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"Google's aggressive online growth increasingly has a counterpart in bricks and mortar, with the company's Mountain View headquarters mushrooming in the past four years to occupy more than 4 million square feet, or the equivalent of about 40 Home Depot stores."
This is a zero dimensional model (global average). It has many faults, but seems to not be too far off. Analysis of output (just as though they produced real data) from most of the GCMs give about these same values for A and B, etc. This simple model probably includes the lapse rate feedback, etc. It does not include snow/ice feedback which would raise the sensitivity slightly. Finally, the fits do not properly take the tropics (all-important, unfortunately half the planet??s area) into account. Lindzen would argue that it fails miserably there. The clouds muck up the tiny seasonal and latitudinal signal in the tropics and this could change the result. I cannot deny it.
Williams et al . conclude, in their words, that "the 60% increase in root growth during the 8-year study was the likely catalyst for the greater potentially mineralizable soil C pools in the enriched CO 2 treatment," and that this finding "confirms that C can accrue in soils under elevated CO 2 ." In their specific study, for example, they determined that the total amount of extra new carbon sequestered in the soil due to their doubling of the air's CO 2 concentration was 4 Mg C ha -1 over the 8-year period, for an annual rate of extra (CO 2 -induced) carbon sequestration of 0.5 Mg ha -1 year -1 . Reviewed 22 February 2006
Here's what the graph shows if you input the years 1997-2010:
The PUC also said NV Energy would use an encrypted radio frequency and best-in-industry technology.
4) Solar, it has to be accepted, is to all intents and purposes a busted flush. It contributes so little that even a tripling of capacity will make no significant difference.
It is often argued that infrared radiation from manmade greenhouse gases can only penetrate the top few millimeters of the ocean surface and thats where evaporation occurs. That argument then continues that additional infrared radiation from anthropogenic greenhouse gases can only add to surface evaporation, and cannot heat the oceans. On the other hand, sunlight reaches into the oceans to depths of 100 meters or so, though most of it is absorbed in the top 10 meters. Even so, sunlights ability to warm the oceans is many orders of magnitude greater than infrared radiation. One of my earliest memories of this argument came from Robert E. Stevensons (Oceanographer Scripps) 2000 article Yes, the Ocean Has Warmed; No, Its Not Global Warming . In April of this year, looking for solid answers on this topic, Roy Spencer presented the same arguments and a few counter arguments in his post, Can Infrared Radiation Warm a Water Body?
Osborn then asked why all of this had happened if I had not heavily promoted and/or advocated Scenario A and/or Polar Urals arguing that I had left CA readers with the impression that these chronologies were perhaps more reasonable because I had claimed they were based on newer or less biased data.
The 2 C Maximum Temperature Goal: German Climate Scientist Admits It's A Bogus Public Relations Stunt
The technological advancement of wind has primarily been in the form of ridiculously large rotor blade designs. But no matter how large those rotors become, they cannot reverse the basic failing of wind as a fuel: it is intermittent and shows up primarily at times of low demand and thus low energy value. Strikingly, the value of the PTC is essentially equal to the wholesale value of electricity in most markets.
#arm11 1 0.0453 198.8339 -0.0867 0.1743 -0.0626 0.1512 0.1305
There's no ready answer to the question of which is the best path, Roosevelt's or Reagan's.
4. Given that many of these models predicted warming trends well before China surpassed the United States as the largest GHG emitter, and given the fact that emissions continue to grow at a pace beyond what was originally incorporated into the models, shouldnt the warming be far worse than what was predicted in the worst case scenarios rather than well below predictions?
Does Steven Chu offer a more specific threat in a warmer world? Well, he says the following: A world average temperature change of 5 C does not sound like much, but a 5 degree warmer world will be a very different world. In the last ice age, roughly one third of the United States was covered year-round in a glacier. That sounds scary. There is only one subtle problem with the glacier. You would actually need a cooler weather, not a warmer weather, to re-create a big U.S. glacier. A few degrees of cooling could re-create some of the glaciers (it would surely take a long time!) but because the big glaciers are pretty much gone in today's world, a few degrees of warming simply don't have any comparably spectacular effect. The only "qualitative" threshold here is the freezing point of H2O and the bulk of the U.S. is above it.
The Board of Education should ensure that its science standards permit students to examine and learn from all the data and analysis about global warming.
ChiliPoker Set to Show US Online Gambling Laws Are a Joke:
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This model from Kaufmann et al., 2011 simulated natural and anthropogenic (primarily CO2) forcing mechanisms from 1999-2008. Natural forcing won by a score of 3-1.
Despite the Sierra Club's certitude, asthma is in fact a poorly understood condition, and pollen is only one of many potential asthma triggers that have been identified by the scientific community. Other triggers include dust mites, cigarette smoke, and cold weather. According to one peer-reviewed study, "A decrease in air temperature is an aggravating factor for asthmatic symptoms, regardless of the geo-climatic areas under study." Cold weather triggers asthma both directly and also indirectly, by making people sick with cold and flu, which are other major asthma triggers.
Marlo Lewis, Senior Fellow, Environmental Policy
David Evans, who spent six years working for the Australian government on climate change issues, started out a believer in global warming but finds the case has weakened over time. He writes in the Australian:
Black and Hispanic household incomes will decline by increasing amounts every year, while their food and healthcare costs will climb significantly, since those business sectors will also have to pay much more for energy. The poverty rate will increase by more than 23% for blacks and more than 26% for Hispanics.
But there are other macro-trends at play here that are driving thousands of people to risk their lives attempting to cross the Mediterranean, of which climate change is undoubtedly one.
I was in Cyrpus at a conference dinner in which another speaker, a Cypriot professor of petrochemical engineering in a American university, was ranting against the climate activist Lord Nicholas Stern. Stern was part of the conference but absent from the dinner. The Cypriot was extremely animated. I had no idea what the issues were, but I saw the notion "absence of evidence" mixed with "evidence of absence" and pounced on him in defense of Stern, whom I had never met.
Australian BOM under fire questions about adjusted temperatures exploding around the world
In much of Europe, coal has become much cheaper than natural gas for power generators. The reason is the collapse of the EU?s emissions trading scheme and the subsequent decline in carbon prices, which make coal plants more economical than gas-fired power plants.
"At the core of the Breakthrough philosophy is the belief that human ingenuity will trump all of the doomsaying, allowing us to survive and adapt to a warmer world. t would be easy to characterize Shellenberger, Nordhaus, & Co. as climate skeptics or deniers they are certainly quick to criticize those who predict imminent disaster. But to do so would be to oversimplify their arguments. Instead, they are trying to put climate change into a broader context one that includes other challenges such as hunger, poverty, and access to clean energy, as well as a more realistic (in their opinion) sense of our abilities to innovate our way through sticky circumstances."
The document notes that Kerry has demonstrated a long commitment to addressing climate change beginning as a participant at the Rio Earth Summit in 1992 that produced the U. N. Framework Convention on Climate Change and calls climate change "the globe's most serious environmental challenge." It continues, "John Kerry will reinsert the United States into international climate change negotiations. He will reestablish our nation's credibility and influence over the process. The Kerry Administration will come to the international table with a serious domestic climate change program in hand ."
35 Marc Ginsberg, "Arabs Ignore Palestinian Plight," Wall Street Journal (August 2002).
Because most people cant fathom how 0.8 degrees of warming over a century can be lethal compared to far greater changes a daily and seasonal basis, advocates of CO2 warming have littered the media and scientific literature with apocryphal stories statistically linking cherry-picked data with that small temperature rise and suggest wide spread future extinctions (i.e. Polar Bears , Walrus , Emperor Penguins , Edith Checkerspot , Moose , Golden Toad ). Pikas are another species that have been repeatedly targeted as an icon of impending climate doom. Pikas, or boulder bunnies, inhabit talus slopes (boulder fields) throughout western North Americas mountainous regions. Some suggest warming has been driving pikas up the mountain slopes, and they will soon be driven over the edge into the extinction abyss.
Also in the US we are experiencing a coal plant, with zero emissions. The fumes are filtered by the system clean coal, and then used for the cultivation of algae, contained in sacks exposed to sunlight, that recycle heat from the hot flue gases from the water and plant cooling. Are synthesizing of GMO varieties of algae can be used later as livestock feed or as biomass to be fermented.
It is true that China is planning to reduce its so-called ???carbon intensity?? quite substantially by 2020. But there is a world of difference between the sensible objective of using fossil fuels more efficiently, which is what this means, and the foolish policy of abandoning fossil fuels, which it has no intention of doing. China??s total carbon emissions are projected to carry on rising and rising substantially as its economy grows.
Of the 484 series with enough Mannliness to pass correlation screening, 391 were infilled with fake data as plotted below.
Behind the scenes, however, Dow was taking a far different position. According to sources inside the company, executives had learned from lobbyists with connections to the Energy Department that the analysis was "not going well"by which they meant the DOE was going to report LNG exports would be broad positive to the American economy, help promote US geopolitical interests and produce more environmental benefits than challenges. Dow was reportedly apoplectic.
Warmists have found themselves friends at last the CIA, the Joint Chiefs and CEOs . Wait, what?
Joe Bast, president of The Heartland Institute, opened the program with a brief historical account of the organization. Heartland was co-founded by Joe Bast in 1984 and was located in downtown Chicago until about 14 months ago, when its headquarters moved to Arlington Heights. In sync with informing attendees that the anticipated Denning-Lehr debate would deal with the causes and consequences of global warming, Mr. Bast promoted a Heartland book that was for sale at the event and can also be purchased at this site, Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming.
dairy products from the growing middle classes of countries such as
Although we were motivated in this research by an objective to expose effects of human-made global warming as soon as possible...
The following YouTube video entitled Hitlers Reaction to the Watts Study explains some of the politics:
Thats because this new type of El Nio, known as El Nio Modoki (from the Japanese meaning similar, but different), forms in the Central Pacific, rather than the Eastern Pacific as the typical El Nio event does. Warming in the Central Pacific is associated with a higher storm frequency and a greater potential for making landfall along the Gulf coast and the coast of Central America.
Then only reason geoengineering remains speculative is because the global warming industry is locked into one policy model: mitigation. If adaptation is the red-headed stepchild of global warming research, geoengineering is the unacknowledged bastard, kept tied up in the basement and fed only with a bucket of fish heads.
???The lack of a tropical upper tropospheric hotspot in the observations is the main reason for the disconnect in the above plots, and as I have been pointing out this is probably rooted in differences in water vapor feedback. The models exhibit strongly positive water vapor feedback, which ends up causing a strong upper tropospheric warming response (the hot spot), while the observations lack of a hot spot would be consistent with little water vapor feedback.?? ??? Roy Spencer
These results provide valuable insights into how climate will affect biological communities worldwide, says David Garrison, director of NSFs Biological Oceanography Program.
Among other initiatives, Corporate Ethics Internationallaunched a campaign in July 2010 to persuade American and British travelers to avoid visiting Alberta while tar sands exploration was underway. Tourism brings $5 billion to Alberta, making it one of the Canadian provincesbiggest industries.
Because of peoples inherent and acquired talents and abilities, there has emerged in every society a system of division of labor. People begin to specialize in what they discover they are comparatively better at producing than their neighbors and offer to sell their specialized wares to others who, in turn, can produce and supply something they want in a better quality or at a lower cost than if they attempted to produce it for themselves. Explained Adam Smith:
The climate models that try to emulate the greenhouse effect but that don't reproduce the correct chemistry are simply wrong models because the chemistry that involves the greenhouse gases on either side of the formulae is completely crucial for the greenhouse effect. Because O??? and CH??? are also greenhouse gases, it is damn important to know whether they exist in the atmosphere and whether they are being destroyed and whether they will be destroyed in the future (and how much). So Schmidt's statement Precisely zero of the IPCC AR4 model simulations ( discussed here for instance) used an interactive ozone module in doing the projections into the future. implies that you should now throw precisely all IPCC AR4 models to the trash bin or, to say the same thing more moderately, to work very hard to correct the bug and to introduce the previously neglected important effect that was pointed out by Dr Katie Read et al.
A recent publication by NASA suggests that carbon dioxide actually contributes to Global Cooling: http://www.naturalnews.com/040448 solar radiation global warming debunked.html
Further words of truth spoken by Lord Monckton described how science and economics cannot be divorced from politics, that Cap and Trade is nothing less than an attempt by the rich and powerful to take away the chance for the little guy to face up to the big guy, and that scientific truth will always remain the truth because it doesn't matter how many lies are told.
Why propose something so contorted? The EPAdoes not anticipate any quantifiable climate or health benefits fromtheNSPS(77 FR 22430).The rulesonly discernible purpose is to ban construction of new coal generation. The greenhouse gas permitting guidance document concealed that purpose.
The source of the fire is believed to be an electrical fault with a solar panel on the roof. An investigation is under way.??
EPA goes on to say, "The basic elements of the NSR program remain in place. All new major sources of air pollution will need to comply with the best control technology and existing sources which make major modifications and have a significant increase in actual emissions also will have to meet these requirements. The reforms simply clarify which changes at existing sources can be made without triggering NSR."40
We didn't "attempt to squelch debate," as the Daily Mail suggested. Rather, our letter was, in fact, an attempt to create and foster greater debate.
Recent NEPA lawsuits have prevented the marketing of products that offer palpable, demonstrated benefits to farmers, consumers, and the environment. Nuisance litigation intended to slow the advance of socially responsible technologies is abusive, irresponsible, and anti-social. And so are those who file such suits. It is long past time for NEPA's abusive paperwork requirements to be lifted from such an important and beneficial technology.
There had been 300 years of warming from 1695 to 1995, during which we could not have had any measurable influence over the first 280 years.
Flawed premises aside, there is another, more pedestrian reason why the closing of the transatlantic mind is particularly pronounced within NATO. As the Alliance underwent a gradual transformation from collective defense to collective security, this functional broadening focused on the continental dimension led to a neglect of the maritime dimension and thus to transatlantic tunnel vision.
So what about the vaunted European Center model...the model that nailed the Sandy forecast 8-9 days before? Here it is (solid lines are sea level pressure). Same story, with high pressure over much of the U.S. Unlike the pollsters, meteorologists really know how to deal with uncertainty and as explained in earlier blogs, we use ensembles (many forecasts) to do this. The ensemble systems of both the U.S. and European Center models are consistent with the high-resolution forecasts described above.
#4 Pr ( My patient like the others | Patients characteristics from previous trial)
Yes, the world has warmed since 1750. However, even if one accepts Dr. Mllers estimate of 1.5 C o warming since then, that rate is indeed well within the natural variability of the climate. Indeed, in the 40 years from 1695 to 1735, Central England (not a bad proxy for global temperature change) warmed naturally at 0.4 C o per decade, seven times faster than the 0.057 C o per decade he finds in the 262 years during which we are supposed to have influenced the weather.
Counter: "Unbearable Heat During The Ice Age': "Now that we know that heat causes harsh winters, one can only imagine how hot the last ice age must have been'
Did Lord Monckton not accept that we could quantify the CO2 feedback? This point came from the professor. Well, replied Lord Monckton in one of his most crushing responses, perhaps the professor can quantify it, but the IPCC cant: its 2007 gospel gives an exceptionally wide range of answers, from 25 to 225 parts per million by volume per Kelvin in short, they dont know.
Lastly, Audi is foolish if it expects to prosper under a green police state. The Audi A3 TDI gets above 40 mpg, but its fuel still comes from Big Oil. The Gorethodox won't be satisfied until cars are all-electric, and the electricity comes from solar panels and wind turbines. Even if levened by tongue-in-cheek, greener-than-thou feeds the perception that global warming is a "planetary emergency" and government must restrict our liberties to save us from ourselves.
and he barely said a thankyou. It seems they are now going for Tom Crowley, Lonnie
It might well be that the limited radiosonde evidence we have of lower tropospheric moistening and upper tropospheric drying (e.g. Paltridge et al., 2009 ) is telling us that water vapor feedback is not positive, as is currently assumed in climate models. This is basically the reason why Miskolczi (2010) found a constant greenhouse effect?? that the observed decrease in upper tropospheric humidity (which is controversial from an observational standpoint) just offset the warming caused by increasing CO2.
So where is responsible journalism in all of this? All too often the mainstream is very far downstream in channeled disregard of abuses. The combined Bernard Madoff and Enron hoaxes did far less national damage yet received a whole lot more media attention.
So what??s the upshot? Their reconstruction ???shows a succession of warm and cold episodes including peak warmth during Roman and Medieval times alternating with severe cool conditions centred in the fourth and fourteenth centuries.?? The warmest 30-year period was A.D. 21-50, which was1.05C warmer than the mean temperaturefor 1951-1980 and~0.5C warmer than the region??s maximum 20th century warmth, whichoccured during 1921-1950.
Natural gas will be used to produce 29 percent of the countrys electricity this year, up from 20 percent in 2008. Nuclear accounts for 20 percent. Hydroelectric, wind, solar and other renewables make up the rest.
A paper published today in the Journal of Geophysical Research in essence reveals climate models are not capable of reproducing the observed climate of the past century, much less the future. According to the paper, "few models reproduce the strong observed warming trend from 1918 to 1940," there are "large differences" in the forcings and feedbacks used in various models and that some of these are "unrealistic." In other words, the key inputs and assumptions of the models are not known with reasonable certainty - ergo GIGO . The paper also finds that predicting the range of "future climate change by weighting these models based on their 20th century is not possible."Translation: climate models are little more than very expensive computer fantasy games that cannot predict the future nor even replicate the past.
India threatens Wind farms with fines. They must accurately predict the wind a day in advance or else!
My impression is that it is a solid report, HRD, in substance, but calm and without personal attacks. Dr. given more weighty arguments for the AR5 should have presented clearly lower values as on the BDA klimatknsligheterna. I quote I TV conclusions (my verse) of klimatknslighetens values as, directly jmfras the table above:
And how about Al Gore? Well in his book, he says " are disappearing from the face of the earth at the rate of one and a half acres a second, night and day, every day, all year round." This works out to be about the same number NWF uses in its Educator's Guide.
In a recent statement put out by ?Planet Under Pressure? several scientists call for denser cities in order to mitigate worldwide population growth. When in doubt that UN?s Agenda 21 is not the Mein Kampf of our day, one should consider yet another in-your-face confession from yet another certified biocratic control freak
How to Destroy Science: Cast Self-Interest as Public Interest
Positive feedback in engineering invariably results in unstable systems so we have to ask why do most if not all of the climate models rely on it to get doomsday predictions? For the Earth to have survived as long as it has with a stable climate, through major events like ice-ages or volcanic eruptions, there is little doubt that a degree of negative climate feedback is essential.
Note that the most reasonable explanation to the cloud variations is that of the cosmic ray cloud link. By now there are many independent lines of evidence showing its existence (e.g., for a not so recent summary take a look here ). That is, the cloud cover variations are controlled by an external lever, which itself is affected by solar activity.
Electric cars are bad for the planet, Swedes piddle in their gardens for Gaia and a plastic peril in the Pacific is just another perfidious porky .
Well, Im at the International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, where Im one of the speakers. Since Im a cartoonist, rather than liveblogging the conferenceI figured Id livetoon it instead ... these are my summaries of the main points that each scientist made in their presentation: