Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
If making statements such as The Earths climate is now clearly out of balance and is warming is communicating clearly and objectively, then god help us. Such alarmist and unscientific language give all of us good reason to challenge statements like this. Which is unfortunately what didnt happen, back at the NYT blog.
Finally, the Yale/George Mason University polls failed to ask the two most important questions in the whole debate:
Within our federal system . . . the states have the lead responsibility for the protection of the environment and the judicious management of their energy and other natural resources. Regulatory practices should encourage net environmental improvements, while providing a stable planning environment for energy providers and consumers as well as a well-defined planning horizon. Unnecessary federal regulations, policies, and programs should be reviewed and revised as necessary.42
Rare indeed, though, is the lie which is both of the mammoth society-destroying type and which has reached the level of Received Wisdom throughout an entire elite leadership structure, and then which suddenly and very publicly is revealed to all as the fraud it is, before extremes of destruction are reached. In fact, on reflecting through history, I can't think of an example.
Climategate, and the dishonorable response to its revelations by some official scientific bodies, show that scientists are under pressure to toe the orthodox party line on climate change, and receive many benefits for doing so. That's another reason for suspicion.
If the good fit between these tree-growth and temperature data is reflected at the longer timescales indicated by the smoothed chronologies (Figures 5c and S20d, available online), we can infer the existence of generally warm summers in the 10th and 11th centuries, similar to the level of those in the 20th century.
Though globalization has increased the importance of maritime affairs, there has been both a relative and an absolute decline of U.S. seapower, with a U.S. Navy today at its lowest level in the post-World War II era. For the first time in 20 years, the U.S. is in the process of drafting a new maritime strategy, but with a considerably reduced force that went from 600 to fewer than 300 ships, and with new responsibilities in terms of nonmilitary maritime security. Hence the concept of the Thousand Ship Navy, which is meant to create a global maritime partnership with foreign navies.33
The finding may force scientists to rethink current theories of the impact of global warming, writes Rob Waugh in the MailOnline.
An example crossed my desk yesterday. (Thanks, Anthony.)
Many observed that when Hurricane Katrina struck, politicians and the media tried to use images of the tragedy to question the competence of President George W. Bush, yet gave President Obama a pass when Louisianans suffered once again. We know the playing field's not level. That's why we work to level it.
That experience led me to think Its the water vapor that modulates surface warming and surface UV. Which sent me off to do a literature search. Surely someone else had bothered to look and noticed something similar?
Millions will get laid off in coal mines, power plants, factories, shops and other businesses. Entire families and communities will be pounded and impoverished. Real people's hopes, dreams, pride and work ethic will be replaced by despair and dependency. Bread winners will be forced to work multiple jobs, commute longer distances, and suffer severe sleep deprivation, if they can find work.
What do you base your views on? Warming will probably lead to a greater
As two further examples of selection bias from Thomas et. al. plants, the World Wildlife Federation estimates there are 80,000 plant species in the Amazon region (nobody really knows). Thomas et. al. selected 9 (but did not say which 0.01%), and modeled a 69-87% extinction risk for those. Those estimates became part of the simple plant averages for all 4 regions. Thomas et. al. selected 243 out of roughly 400 species of South African Proteaceae (afrikanns suikerbossie or sugarbushes, of which there are 80 generi and roughly 1600 species worldwide including the familiar macadamia nut). South African Proteaceae grow mainly in a specialized Cape Hope ecosystem known as the Fynbos, which covers just 6.7% of South Africa. The Queensland EBA trick was also applied to plants.
After years of basking in a green glow as the cleanest fossil fuel and a favorite short-term choice to replace cheap-but-dirty coal, gas now finds itself under attack from environmentalists, filmmakers and congressional Democrats and even from some scientists who raise doubts about whether its total emissions are as climate-friendly as commonly believed. .
The answer was devastating. Out of the 95 data series in the latest Mann paper that covered the entire last 1,000 years, only 25 carried the hockey stick signal. Three of these series are lake sediments in Finland which are corrupted by recent urban development and the rest are from bristle-cone pine trees in the US Southwest that have been challenged by other researchers.
It appears that the vertical profile of ocean warming could be a key ingredient in getting a better idea of how sensitive the climate system is to our greenhouse gas emissions. The results here suggests the warming has been considerably weaker than what would be expected for a sensitive climate system.
Willis Eschenbach has an open letter at WUWT which absolutely excoriates Phil Climategate Jones for his lies to the public and to Willis. The letter is quite strongly worded, places the FOI lies in context and is worth a read. The critique is strong enough that it extends not only to Phil, but to his teammembers as well as to the kangaroo investigations of Climategate.
This piece originally appeared in Chief Executive Magazine
The authors first derived an estimate of the expected number of North Atlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) that were missed by the observing system in the pre-satellite era (1878-1965), after which they analyzed trends of both reconstructed TC numbers and duration over various time periods and looked at how they may or may not have been related to trends in sea surface temperature (SST) over the main development region (MDR) of North Atlantic TCs. What was learned
Another feature is that the GCHNv3 data is very close to the GISS Homogenised data. So in looking the GISS H data used in the creation of the temperature data sets is very much the same as looking at GCHNv3 that forms the source data for GISS.
Mr. President, you may remember that several weeks ago I came to the Senate floor to bring attention to a video of EPA Region 6 Administrator Al Armendariz admitting that EPA's "general philosophy" is to "crucify" and "make examples" of oil and gas companies. Today, I would like to highlight another video. It's a video of EPA Region 1 Administrator Curt Spalding admitting that the Obama EPA consciously and deliberately made the choice to wage a war on coal. Now, I'm going to quote exactly what he said so everyone can have the full effect. He said,
My ex-colleague and fellow superhero , condensed matter physicist Subir Sachdev wrote a neat article for a mostly bad magazine called Scientific American ,
Apparently happens in this model, nothing of the deep ocean koldioxidinnehll in 1000 r. Atmosfrens and the surface layer koldioxidinnehll makes the asymptotic values as the corresponding contribution of carbon dioxide to the entire system.
As the great bulk of Antarctica continues to cool , so too does the amount of sea ice that surrounds the continent continue to increase, both of which observations provide little justification (actually, none at all) for the climate-alarmist claim that CO 2 -induced global warming is a reality, especially when most climate models predict it should be most evident in earth's polar regions, where it obviously is nowhere to be seen .
I have posted many times on the numerous problems with the historic temperature reconstructions that were used in Manns now-famous "hockey stick." I dont have any problems with scientists trying to recreate history from fragmentary evidence, but I do have a problem when they overestimate the certainty of their findings or enter the analysis trying to reach a particular outcome. Just as an archaeologist must admit there is only so much that can be inferred from a single Roman coin found in the dirt, we must accept the limit to how good trees are as thermometers. The problem with tree rings (the primary source for Manns hockey stick) is that they vary in width for any number of reasons, only one of which is temperature.
The WIMP-nucleon cross section seems to be \(1.9\times 10^{-41}\,{\rm cm}^2\), also very accurately determined.
Simplicity is Beautiful: How to Build a DemocracyRyan Young's op-ed in The Daily Caller
I dont think the votes are there in the subcommittee, Rep. G.K. Butterfield (D., N.C.) said in an interview. Mr. Butterfield said he was particularly concerned about the bills impact on low-income Americans, adding What do I tell a single mom making eight dollars an hour?
The EU's collective target is there because they put in place a burden-sharing agreement, hoping to take advantage of the inbuilt advantages of the UK, France and Germany in reducing emissions on 1990 levelsthe politically-driven phase-out of coal, heavy use of nuclear energy and the closing of East German smokestack industries respectively. By taking account of these advantages, other countries would not have to be as severe in their emissions policies as they would be under the original Kyoto agreement.
As part of a DOE grant we are testing climate models against satellite observations, particularly regarding the missing hotspot in the tropics, that is, the expected region of enhanced warming in the tropical mid- and upper troposphere as the surface warms. Since 1979 (the satellite period of record), it appears that warming in those upper layers has been almost non-existent, despite some surface warming and increases in low-level humidity.
decades before that is sorted out I would think. So I would guess that it will
The Washington Post explains why Obama is now seeking to go around Congress to enact anti-coal regulations by fiat: "When Democrats controlled both the House and Senate, Obama could not get climate control legislation passed."
The Bartol Research Institute of the University of Delaware manages five real-time neutron monitors, at widely dispersed locations, all of which indicate that over the last six months cosmic rays are increasing. This would not support the hypothesis that we are past solar minimum and suggests that solar minimum has not yet been reached.
The article, unfortunately, does not consider other environmental and social risks, relative to climate risks. In the Pielke et al 2012 paper we wrote
Oh and I nearly forgot, Ill release my code for how I did this after Eric Steig releases his. (or tomorrow afternoon, whichever comes first)
Finally, we are impressed by the administration's pledge to defer to state permitting authorities on several matters of implementation. As the National Governors Association states in its commentary on the need for NSR reform:
At least, they could finally plant the 192 flags, except for the Hungarian one. Lewis Pugh is surely happy to finally get rid of Sam Branson who always hogs the best chair , as if he were a mollycoddled boy. :-)
Hovmoller diagrams are a great way to display data. If theyre new to you, theres no reason to be intimidated by them. Lets take a look at Figure 10. It presents the Hovmoller diagrams of thermocline depth anomalies (the depth of the isotherm at 20 deg C) with 2014 on the left and 1982 on the right. GODAS, unfortunately, furnishes the illustrations (not the data) in different dimensions for the two years. The vertical (y) axis in both is time with the Januarys for both years at the top and Decembers at the bottom. The horizontal (x) axis is longitude, so, moving from left to right, were going from west to eastwith the Indian Ocean in the left-hand portion, the Pacific in the center and the Atlantic in the right-hand portion. Were interested in the Pacific. The data are color-coded according to the scales below the Hovmollers.
The article is a bit old, but is worth rereading. Writing from Bali, Christopher Monckton, who contribiuted to the 2007 IPCC report, explained:
Washington, D.C., October 6, 1999 This week marks the release of the second edition of Facts, Not Fear: Teaching Children About the Environment by Michael Sanera and Jane S. Shaw. The revised edition of Facts, Not Fear features non-technical treatments of 14 major environmental topics and strategies educators and parents can use to present them to children.
Jung replies that an evaluation indeed shows that there has been no real increase in storms over the past years. More the contrary is the case .
Public speaking engagements, which earn him 100,000 a time, are estimated to have brought in another 9 million.
A soberer, less silly, less politicized, and less excitable public figure, the UN's Right-to-Food Rapporteur, has also recently used the phrase "crime against humanity", but in the opposite context. Herr Ziegler has said, "When millions are going hungry, it is a crime against humanity that food should be diverted to biofuels."
Between the offsets, allowance giveaways, generous assumptions about the cost and development of carbon sequestration for coal-fired electricity, and optimistic hopes for falling costs for other prospective energy sources, estimates of the cost of Waxman-Markey over the long run differ by more than an order of magnitude. Advocates of Waxman-Markey point to estimates from the EPA and the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) showing average cost to households of less than $100 per year (in 2008 dollars) by 2020, down from a previous estimate of about $175 per yearroughly equal to buying one extra postage stamp a day. On the other end of the scale, the Heritage Foundation estimates the cost will be more than $1,800 per household (again in constant 2008 dollars) by 2020 and will rise sharply in the years after 2020 when the cap begins to be lowered and the allowances begin to be auctioned rather than given away.
And note, a doctrine is a set of beliefs or principles quite separate from action.
Erroneous greenhouse effect assumptions are only the tip of the iceberg for the multitude of other climate model failings
The maritime dimension is as important for the Long War as it is for the Great Game. Before the attack on the Twin Towers, the attack on the USS Cole gave the West an idea of what asymmetric warfare can accomplish (17 sailors killed and $250 million worth of repairs for a terrorist operation that cost $40,000 to launch). That asymmetric warfare at sea shows great promise has not been lost on the jihadists who, when all is said and done, are less interested in restoring a caliphate (a goal they know is beyond their reach) than in making the West bleed to death economically.
Unfortunately, the election did not bring any change of policy in the UK, because the new Prime Minister, his inner circle and his coalition partners, are all signed up to Global Warming and the need to destroy the UK economy with high energy costs, as they follow the Yellow Brick Road to the Low Carbon Economy at the End of the Rainbow. However, only a few will access the Pot of Gold, not least those politicians and advisers who are directors of, or associated with, "low carbon enterprises" seeking public money.
(1) EPA's uncertain and increasingly narrow interpretation of the "routine maintenance, repair and replacement" (RMR&R;) exclusion
administration's national security record often hinge on its handling of Iran, the policy
70% of the public believes that we're almost running out of fossil fuel.
Utilities will have to spend $130 billion to retrofit or replace older coal-fired units, says energy analyst Roger Bezdek and another $30 billion a year for operations, maintenance and extra fuel for energy-intensive scrubbers and other equipment, to generate increasingly expensive electricity.
Global warming computer models confounded as Antarctic sea ice hits new record high with 2.1million square miles more than is usual for time of year
Security and Resilience both are areas where further U.S. Canada policy cooperation would be mutually beneficial. For example, the response to Hurricane Kartina and more recently to Hurricane Sandy revealed challenges providing mutual aid in a crisis skilled professionals should be able to efficiently cross the border with their equipment to help neighbors in need. While work is underway in this area, further efforts to address obstacles with mutual aid agreements could be boosted by their inclusion in the Clean Energy Dialogue. In particular, the two countries could do much more to improve monitoring and coordinated responses to cyber attacks on critical energy infrastructure, where natural gas is playing a growing role north and south of the border.
Ice coverage is slightly about last years record low but still well below the 30-year average.
In this case, the models are showing an average energy deficit that is ten times that of the observations and remember, at four years the actual climate is back to pre-eruption conditions, but the models?? deficit is still increasing, and will do so for several more years before starting back towards the line.
In Pittsylvania County, just north of the North Carolina border, the largest undeveloped uranium deposit in the United States "and the seventh largest in the world, according to industry monitor UX Consulting "sits on land owned by neighbors Henry Bowen and Walter Coles. Large uranium deposits close to the surface are virtually unknown in the U.S. east of the Mississippi River. And that may be the problem.
Similar results were recently reported by other researchers who have set out to use real world observations of the climate response to the eruption of Pinatubo to determine the climate sensitivity. David Douglass and Robert Knox from the University of Rochester, reported in Geophysical Research Letters that, based upon their calculations and their fit of the observations, that the decay time for the temperature response to Pinatubo was several times shorter than the 37 months calculated by Wigley et al. using climate models, and that the resulting climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 was only about 0.6Cfar beneath climate model estimates.
So, about that settled science on ocean acidification (that is actually a change to lesser alkalinity and NOT acidification) and about that settled science on CO2 in the ocean coming from the air via our burning fossil fuels Looking a bit moth eaten to me.
"Oh, I know you care about the hazards of radioactivity. But you only care as much as you have to. I care all the time. I care so much I can't sleep. I can't eat. It wrecked my marriage. I care so much more than you do, I'm a better person than you are. And since I'm a better person than you are, I'm in charge!"
Our celebration, which highlights the benefits of freedom and technological innovation, struck a nerve with environmentalists in the media. Some called it "strange," many called it "stupid," and others simply said we were ruining the world. The holiday also struck a chord with folks around the world who picked up on the idea of celebrating human intelligence. On his blog, "Objective Extrospection," Rajesh in India wrote:
I particularly liked the ocean acidification portion. The oceans are becoming more acidic due to CO2. Acid dissolves carbonate in sea shells. The pH scale is not mentioned so, unless you were versed in the scale, you might think pH 8 is acidic. The chart of pH from 1990 to 2012(?) has a 45 downslope. You get this if the ordinate is <0.1 pH unit and the decrease is 8.11 to 8.07. Terrific chartsmanship. If you put this on a chart with the pH scale (1 to 14) as the ordinate, the line is essentially flat. You dont see much slope with an ordinate of 1 pH unit (8-0).
This is a column about energy and environment and why we must not let the poisonous debate about climate change so tie us in knots that we cannot have any energy policy at all, particularly one focused on developing much more efficient use of resources, through better designs and systems.
Some Democratic politicians learned lessons from this. Bill Clinton pursued welfare reform and honored, in rhetoric if not always behavior, people who work hard and play by the rules.
The animation below shows the huge increase in old/thick ice in the Beaufort Sea over the past twoyears. If this trend continues, ice will be back to 1980s levels in three or four years.
#3 Pr ( D > P | Trial Results & No Cheating & Patients Like Before) > 0.5.
Those capacious definitions should certainly include prosecuting attorneys and staffs going after the growing number of shady dealers who got "renewable energy tax credits" for selling fuels that were not 100% biodiesel and others who sold fraudulent RINs (Renewable Identification Numbers) to refineries that face stiff penalties if they fail to buy mandated amounts of ethanol and blend it into gasoline.
realities and the charge popular among the president's political opponents that he views America as a declining power.
The warming we have had the last 100 years is so small that, if we didnt have meteorologists and climatologists to measure it, we wouldnt have noticed it at all.
In summary, r CO 2 and the other vxthusgaserna a p-term serious problem whatsoever br solved in the nearest 50-100 clean. It is safe is an important and exciting main task for future generations. Today there is hardly some reason for serious concern. What we bst can do is to encourage better science education and more incentives for basic research and development of less harmful energy. What that are needed are creative ideas mainly in energy research. What we dremot be frska avoid r vr time klimatkolportrer and Cassandraprofeter, uppmrksammade in the s effective but dessvrre non nogrknade media.
These are practical, not rhetorical questions. As far as we can see, the only direct effect of decreasing CO2 levels via expensive renewable energy programs has been to cost more American and European jobs than would otherwise have been the case during the global economic recession.
Keep up the good work! Even though it?s been a mild winter in
Climate change not the cause of Caribbean coral reef die off. From the NoTricksZone , a report by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature says that the main driver for coral reef die of is the loss of the two main grazers: parrot fish and sea urchins. An unidentified disease in 1983 caused a mass die off of sea urchins and 20th century over fishing has brought the parrot fish to near extinction in some areas.
Nature here today has a commentary acknowledging that the warming pause is real and that it has grown into a full blown trend it is no longer just noise ! Sixteen years into the mysterious global-warming hiatus, scientists are piecing together an explanation .
After all, that is ultimately what we are interested in: How do various forcings affect the radiative energy budget of the Earth? The results, I must admit, are enough for me to now place at least one foot solidly in the cosmic ray theory camp.
Polar bears no longer on ???thin ice??: researchers say polar bears could face brighter future
But in her Supreme Court brief, Kagan maintained that Beckstead &Watts;, the small firm challenging the PCAOB, was required to perform just such a heroic task. The firm had not challenged as unconstitutional any specific rule or action of the PCAOB. It maintained that the PCAOB's structure under Sarbanes-Oxley violated the separation-of-powers principles of the Constitution because of the limits the law places on the president and his direct lieutenants in appointment and removal of the board's members.
CEI has been a major voice in the climate change debate, debunking many of the "facts" offered by global warming hysterics.
Thirteen Agencies, One Mission: Empower the Nation with Global Change Science.