Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The two researchers report that the various correlations they observed over the course of the Holocene "suggest that the Holocene low-latitude precipitation variability to some degree was influenced by changes in the geomagnetic dipole moment." In particular, they say that the general increase in precipitation observed over the past 1500 years in both speleothem records "cannot be readily explained by changes in summer insolation or solar activity," but that it "correlates very well with the rapid decrease in dipole moment observed during this period," which relationship is explained by the fact that "a higher dipole moment leads to a lower cosmic ray flux, resulting in reduced cloud coverage and, ultimately, lower precipitation." What it means
Catarina Ostlund, a spokeswoman for the Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, said officials have come concerns about importing garbage.
A 2009 CSIRO report The Effect of Climate Change on Extreme Sea Levels in Port Phillip Bay for the Victorian government's Future Coasts Program is an example of its modelling. The model is based on temperature projections to 2100 of up to 6.4 o C. That comes from the most extreme scenario of the IPCC with unbelievable CO2 concentration of 1550 parts per million. Using up all known fossil fuel reserves would achieve only half this amount. The result was a projected sea-level rise for Port Phillip Bay by 2100 of 82cm. With the help of the Bureau of Meteorology, a further increase due to wind raised it to 98cm.
Ill show below some actual results from Mann et al 2005 to confirm the validity of this reply.
Gee, its hot in Reno and Las Vegas and the L.A. Basin is warmer than inland. Wonder why thats where NOAA / NCDC choose to measure the temperatures for GHCN?
Also associated with this event are high levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, which are linked to elevated ocean and atmospheric temperatures. Associated consequences include likely enhanced global rainfall and weathering of the continents, which further shifted the chemistry of the ocean.
But this years event had a sense of desperation. Speakers spoke about being victimised by warmists and alarmists scientists and politicians who accept that carbon dioxide emissions from industry are a main driver of climate change.
But, let's face it, some of those believing in the serious nature of global warming have also been confusing the public. How many times have you seen global warming advocates crow about a single record warm year, heat wave, or a season with less ice in the arctic as clear proof of global warming? Quite often. But such transient or brief events could well be mainly the result of natural variability.
Then at the 8:56 mark Joe brings up the recent (some would call absurd) claim made that Antarctic sea ice is expanding to record high levels because of global warming. (With that kind of logic one could hypothesize that the snowball earth episodes occurred when the earth was a hot house). Bastardi:
So the prediction that 2008 will be in the 10 ten warmest years has an overwhelming probability of being true regardless whether man-made global warming is significant or not, and regardless whether an increasing or cyclic climate holds. That is, no matter what, this prediction is probably true, and it is useless as its intent was to give indirect evidence that the increasing climate scenario holds and that the man-made component of global warming is significant. It does neither such thing. Presenting this prediction as news is a clever debating tactic, but it is misleading, because the alternatives are not presented, even though the forecast is just as much evidence for them.
Even though the state gave "snow-buried cities and towns in Massachusetts permission to dump snow into the ocean, due to emergency situations," Boston decided it had better not. Also in the man-made glacier were piles of uncollected garbage, trashcans, even fire hydrants. Experts think the snow pile will still be around, at least until August.
In 1998, the Energy Information Administration released a report that estimated that complying with the Kyoto Protocol would cost the United States $64 billion per year. The study assumed that the U.S. would begin to comply with the protocol in 2005 and reach its target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 7 percent below 1990 levels by 2008 to 2012.
How can anyone, Left or Right, not be chilled to the bone to hear a government official talk in such a manner about federal treatment of private companies and individuals? Incredibly, this man was in charge of enforcing environmental regulations in five states before the uproar over his repulsive comments forced him to resign.
100% Of The US Warming Trend Since 1930 Is Due To Data Tampering
A Greenpeace spokesperson suggests that the only people concerned about the video in which kids are executed for insufficient eco enthusiasm are those with ulterior motives climate skeptics and think tanks funded by corporations. Read the full post here . This blog has relocated . You can sign up to receive an e-mail each time a new post is added under the "Email subscription" bar a little below the photo. NoFrakkingConsensus now has a Facebook page.
Rather than keeping its distance from those whose careers have been associated with activism, the scientific establishment now honors, celebrates and promotes such people.
And the Energy Policy Act of 2005 offers incentives and subsidies. These include "standby' protection against the "potentially crippling impact of construction and operational delays beyond the control of the plants' sponsors" for 100 percent of delay costs for the first two new plants built and 50 percent of the cost for plants three through six. The Department of Energy is also offering an 80 percent loan guarantee for emissions-reducing projects, including nuclear projects that employ "new or significantly improved technologies compared to commercial technologies in service in the U.S. today." There is also a new eight-year tax incentive for new nuclear kilowatt production.
one about the value of a stable climate ? much better politics. the most
Since then, countries like Canada and Russia have left the protocol, and others, like Japan, have declined to tighten the screws further on carbon emissions in a time of faltering economic growth.
The Green Movement long ago convinced the First World of a huge global warming threat, which has failed to occur. Similarly, they have convinced Africa's educated elite that biotech seeds are a bigger threat to Africa's people and wild species than famine.
/s/ Jack Barneburg, Jack JSC, Space Shuttle Structures, Engineering Directorate, 34 years
"With the election barely two weeks away, the nation is focused on what will happen if (when?) control of Congress swings rightward. While some far-reaching elements of Barack Obama's agenda will face great perhaps impassible hurdles on Capitol Hill, that won't stop the administration from implementing them via regulation, the ultimate end-run around Congress."
We're in a severe recession, and each of his major proposals is going to
I then collected relevant information about the various models into an Info table (which is applied in the plot):
Matt Melchiorre, Warren Brookes Fellow: Balanced approach? Your budget shows tax revenue increasing even faster than spending, following in Europe's failed path: http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/338630/not-all-austerity-equal-matthew-melchiorre You don't favor any austerity for the government, only the private sector. That is not balance.
Agees calculations suggest that it would be possible to remove 1 billion tonnes of CO2 per year this way, using the energy provided by 16 wind farms, each generating 1200 megawatts of electricity. Theres a lot of wind energy in the Antarctic, Agee says.
saying Japanese scientists had linked this to global warming. I am leaning
He has graciously agreed to write a guest weblog for Climate Science, as well as also post on his own website ( madweather ). Dr. Maddoxs weblog is important since it provides another example of the lack of consideration by NOAA on the need for proper siting of instrumentation that is required to monitor weather and climate.
Email 1897 : ???Do I understand it correctly ??? if he doesn??t pay the 10 we don??t have to respond? With the earlier FOI requests re David Holland, I wasted a part of a day deleting numerous emails and exchanges with almost all the skeptics. So I have virtually nothing. I even deleted the email that I inadvertently sent.??
It has been said many times that computer models can explain the global temperature for the last 30 years the period of the recent global warming spell. Even if that was true some years ago it is no longer. The fact that the pause is unexplained means that the last 30 years are not reproducible in a way that is satisfactory.
I would imaging that site like this one would be a target, since we dont report what the government line on climate change is.
The most terrifying aspect of McKibben's piece is his biased selection of flawed supporting documentation and his disregard for the truth about fracking.
"most believe they should be allowed to build whatever home they like"
A will-reported Finland reactor complex being built by Areva had a budget of $3,300 million that is now 50% over budget at $4,950 million. However, even at $4,950 million this reactor facility has less than half the capitol cost of wind, on a per MW basis.
Conclusion: Historical climate change, as represented by the Roman and Medieval unprecedented warming documented in central Asia, was a global phenomenon that modern climate change has yet to rival.
What hes arguing here is that we each have an innate moral code, a code which displays a remarkable uniformity across distances of time and space. I know of no argument to effectively counter C.S. Lewis assertionsin Mere Christianity :
Recall that Jeff Marque , an APS editor, wrote in their recent newsletter addressed to a small subgroup of the APS called "Forum on Physics & Society" an obvious truism, namely that a considerable fraction of the scientific community are climate skeptics. They opened a rare arena for scientific arguments about this issue.
Many greenhouses working with a frhjd CO 2 concentration and the frefaller as an increase to 600-700 ppmv is favorable for most plants. Furthermore frefaller like the need for water, rather reducing n vats. In several areas the biomass cat markedly in recent decades, not least in Sweden No net accumulation in the Swedish forests amounts to about 40 Mt C / r per year which means that Sweden has hardly something nettoutslpp of carbon dioxide. Net accumulation on a global scale in the terrestrial biosfren estimated from nrvarande to 1.6 Gtonnes C / r
"The decline of oil and gas will affect the world population more than climate change," one researcher said. Another expert said, "Oil is a fabulous nonrenewable substance that underpinned the 20th-century miracle, but miracles rarely happen forever."
Britain's stance, for example, on emissions reductions has met with skepticism given the Labour's past distrust of environmentalists. The Green's relentless attacks against industrial growth has succeeded at the expense of Labour's base. Nature argues, however, that skepticism is unjustified. By linking climate change policies with energy conservation and increased public transportation, Labour can successfully commit Britain to aggressive targets.
In addition, it will in effect make it impossible to replace the coal-fired power stations that will be forced to close in the next few years under an EU directive, while proposing a hidden subsidy to any new nuclear power stations.
And yet despite all this evidence, comments Lynas, Lomborg somehow contrives to argue that it is cheaper to go on burning fossil fuels than to switch to clean energy to prevent runaway global warming. This feeds right into the agenda of profiteering multinationals like
The Government wants its legislation passed in the Senate by June because it says it needs to give business certainty. But Senator Xenophon says that is too soon, but he has not backed delaying the vote until December either.
Solomon says such problems also afflict other outstanding U.S. scientists such as Richard Lindzen of MIT and malaria expert Dr. Paul Reiter of the Pasteur Institute in Paris.
job which requires me to translate my Christian belief about stewardship of
It is really hard, especially in highly political settings, for any one individual to play the role of science arbiter or honest broker. This is due to the fact that there are often many views on what "the science" says (including uncertainties and areas of ignorance) or what the possible scope of action looks like. In addition, each of us has biases and idiosyncrasies which can make it difficult to see an issue from multiple perspectives. Even further, it is a rare policy issue where anyone knows everything of relevance.
The economic potential of unleashing America's energy resources is tremendous. To achieve these gains, Congress and the next Administration should:
The report also surveys how those few journalists who have looked at the issue have been reporting the standstill, with many far too ready to dismiss it or lacking a sense of journalistic inquiry, preferring to reports squabbles rather than the science.
Oh noes, global warming causes grizzly attacks . Add it to The List.
Note, too, that the American Lung Association suffers from a huge conflict of interest. The point of the "Red Carriage" ad campaign is to protect the EPA's authority to regulate under the Clean Air Act. Left unmentioned is the fact that the EPA is a major funder of the American Lung Association, having provided the charity more than $20 million over the last ten years. So the EPA pays the American Lung Association, which then lobbies against a bill that would lessen the EPA's power.
indications from models that there will be a greater frequency of heavy rain
Sudan has rejected a Canadian plan to send military advisors to the troubled Darfur region, saying Ottawa had not consulted Khartoum on its plan, the Sudanese embassy said on Friday. Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin announced on Thursday a C$170 million ($136 million) aid package for Darfur, where thousands of people have been killed and two million displaced in a bloody civil war. Martin also said Canada would send up to 100 military experts to help a African Union force in the region. In a press release dated Thursday, the Sudanese embassy complained that Khartoum had not been consulted in advance about the plan. "(We) would like to affirm that the unwavering position of the Sudanese government ... is categorically rejecting (sic) any deployment of non-African military personnel in the Darfur region.
MR. ADLER: We have about five minutes for questions. I would ask people if they can to use the mike.
Chua et al . say they "found no consistent effect of elevated pCO 2 on fertilization, development, survivorship or metamorphosis, neither alone nor in combination with temperature." As for warming, they also say that it "had no consistent effect on fertilization, survivorship or metamorphosis." However, they observed that the two degrees of warming actually increased rates of development. And that is good news concerning the future of these organisms!
The results of this study indicate a significant warming bias is likely present in borehole temperature reconstructions based solely on a purely conductive approach.?? Unless accounted for and removed, this bias can result in incorrect interpretations of 20th-century warming, which, as in the case of Tachlovice, need not be a manifestation of unprecedented global warming, but, in the words of Bodri and Cermak, merely "a recovery to previous warmer conditions after a noted cold period." Reference
It?s far easier to play this out in reverse. Decide upon the desired conclusion and work backwards, concocting a hypothesis that somehow manages to use contradictory observations to bolster the foregone conclusion. This is the type of pretzel logic that global warming scientists use to convince us to, ?believe us, not your thermometer.?
Disastrous Computer Model Predictions: From Limits to Growth to Global Warming
Im sorry, but that is exactly how climate science is done these days.
Good Day For Berbatov To Send Fergie A Thank You Note
As their economies have deteriorated, Germany, Italy, Spain and other countries have pulled the plug on unsustainable wind and solar subsidies, eliminating thousands of "green" jobs and putting hundreds of "clean energy" companies on the verge of bankruptcy.
Gordon has written the following to explain his main graph, which appears just below:
on Tuesday, March 17th, 2015 at 5:14 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
J. K. Rowling made international headlines this week by defending free speech in an address to the PEN Literary Gala in New York. She referenced the much-discussed public petition that was circulated at the end of last year calling for Donald Trump to be banned from entering the UK over "hate speech," arguing that someone like Trump should, if fact, have the right to say things she (and others) find bigoted or offensive:
I actually enjoyed Manns presentation, because it reminded me a bit of being in a final exam in university, where the goal is to spot the errors, omissions, and misleading statements. Manns presentation was full of such things. For example, he showed a graph of Arctic ice decline, during a segment on the many threads of evidence that proves the globe is warming. His graph stopped at 2007, at the lowest point in the record. He did not explain that the graph was for summer minimum extent, which I think it must have been. That cherry-picked endpoint made the graph take a dramatic downward trend, and was most impressive. And, very misleading because the minimum extent has stabilized and slightly increased since then.
Let us remind ourselves that the crude oil we recover from under our feet is neither foreign nor man-made, nor is it artificial. It is produced entirely by Mother Nature who occasionally spills it. Frequently spills it.
The Bush Administration at first wasgung-ho to make anendangerment finding. In his 2006 State of the Union Address,President Bushdeclared that America is addicted to oil .He set a goal of reducing U.S. oil imports 20% in 10 years, and by executive order directedEPA and the Departments of Energy, Transportation, and Agricultureto developrules increasingfederalfuel economy and renewable fuel standards.No law on the books explicitly authorizes EPA to revise the existing standards.No problem, said Bushs advisors, an endangerment finding would give EPA CAA authority to implementthe Presidents 20-in-10 program. The endangerment finding and associated regulations would alsosatisfy EPAsobligationsto the Courta twofer!
The Yale/George Mason University polls commit all these mistakes.
Extreme weather? The highest wind speed recorded at a low level site in England was 118mph, set in 1979 in Cornwall. Highest 24 hour rainfall? 279mm in Dorset, 1955. Highest 60 minute rainfall? 92mm, Berkshire in 1901. (The only record set in the last decade was the 2-day record for rainfall at Seathwaite.)
North American oil reserves (U.S., Canadian, and Mexican) total nearly 1.8 trillion barrels of recoverable oil.
Democrats, after supporting the trafficking bill in committee, started filibustering it in response to feminist groups' opposition to its limitation on federal funding of abortion even though such limits have been routinely passed for 39 years. When Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., responded by holding up the confirmation vote on attorney general nominee Loretta Lynch, Democrats agreed to a meaningless tweak in the language and the bill passed.
As papers continue to appear in the literature claiming that the climate models were right all along except that they were wrong, the widening of the divergence between excitable prediction and unalarming reality continues (Fig. 2).
"We cannot invade Sudan" . I'll allow the Monty Pythonesque absurdity of that disclaimer sink in for a moment...
US Democratic presidential nominee Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) and Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY) wave to the crowd during a campaign rally in Orlando
I?m also very happy that Nigel Lawson ? as one of the very few ? criticizes the new indulgences, otherwise known as emissions permits. Most people like the fact that trading emissions permits sounds market-friendly and that it?s not just an administrative restriction or command, but they?re mistaken. Nigel Lawson correctly says this ?trading? has nothing to do with the market. ?It is essentially a government-controlled administrative rationing system, in which the rations can subsequently be traded? (p. 74). Communism again. Indeed it is a market for the owners of rations and for the various middlemen; for them it presents ?a lucrative and ? hopefully ? growing business opportunity.? It?s, of course, a certain form of taxation, but because governments don?t like to raise taxes, they disguise the introduction of these new taxes by replacing them with this, seemingly market-like, method.
Thousands Still Cold And Struggling Months After Superstorm Sandy
Thoroughly debunks the claim that temperatures on the planet today are in any way historic or unprecedented.
The Game. "The game is communicating climate change; the rules will help us win it," says an astounding, horrifying UK government-funded booklet leaked by Mr. FOIA titled, "The Rules of the Game: Evidence base for the Climate Change Communications Strategy." Written by the UK public relations firm Futerra for six UK agencies including The Carbon Trust for use by ethics and public relations tone-deaf scientists, "The Rules" teaches sophisticated behavior change tactics, including: "Climate change must be "front of mind' before persuasion works" "Link climate change mitigation to positive desires/aspirations" "Beware the impacts of cognitive dissonance" and "Use emotions and visuals" (e.g., scare people with the Hockey Stick Graph). It treats the public like gullible idiots who can be frightened and manipulated by seemingly trustworthy scientists to believe in AGW. For a long time, it worked.
The physical basis of their tampering appears to be the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. The correlation between tampering and atmospheric CO2 is almost perfect.
Breitbart took a lot of unwarranted fake-news criticism toward the end of 2016. Contrary to that criticism, Breitbart supplies the biblical minimum ten righteous journalists so that Journalism could be spared divine destruction. For them, helmets were not just a fashion statement in 2016. Thank you for your brave efforts, which have my admiration.
Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s Dust Bowl that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbecks Grapes of Wrath..
Humans have been adapting to the climatethe weathersince they emerged as homo sapiens about 195,000 years ago.
And as a result, instead of having to explain a missing warming of 1.6 0.15 = 1.45 W/m2 per decade, we now have to add the 0.34 W/m2 to the missing warming, and that gets us up to 1.8 W/m2 in missing warming. So rather than explaining things, overall the IPCC explanation just makes things worse ...
1962 was the harshest winter on record in the UK, and was due to lack of CO2 and global cooling. A lot of parallels are being made for this winter, with some speculating that it may be as severe as the 1962 event.