Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The satellite measurements show no temperature change between 1979 and 1997, but is then followed by a large sharp peak in 1998 because of the El Nino ocean event of that year, and since 2001 has shown a modest warm spell.
The bankruptcy of battery maker A123 reflects poorly on Obama's efforts to pick winners and losers.
AUSTRALIAN CLIMATE EXPERT CONDEMNS UN CLIMATE ALARM
Unlike in politics or painting, when it comes to climate change, the opinions of laypersons are not relevant.
Ordinarily, a presidential election might have sorted out matters, with the nominee taking the GOP on a newly defined course. But McCain's emergence only underscored the problem. On any given day during fall 2008, McCain could be found appealing to conservatives on taxes, terrorism, and the Supreme Court. Or he might be playing up his "maverick" credentials as a nonconservative (some would say, non-Republican) on global warming, Guantnamo, campaign finance, and federal judicial appointments, to name but four issues. How confusing was the McCain brand? Throughout the campaign, the candidate said his political idols were Theodore Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan. One of them raised the tax rate to 90 percent, and the other lowered it to 28 percent. That's like a Democrat saying he simultaneously worships at the temples of Jesse Jackson and Scoop Jackson.
Southeast Alaska is having their coldest summer on record, after their snowiest winter on record so MSNBC blames a landslide there on global warming.
Other examples of this step change in a metric occurring at a data redefinition or change in measurement technique can be found in
"The nearly $300 billion (over five-years) Farm Bill simply paid off every special interest. Farmers got their direct payments, their counter-cyclical payments, their price support loan amounts, their disaster funds, etc. Some producers who weren't subsidized before the fruit, vegetable, and nut producers got some gobs of R&D; money that opens the door to future subsidies. The bill includes what was lauded as the "first-ever livestock title," another group that wasn't subsidized before."
EPA's AGW Regs cost Jobs
Even polar bears are thriving so far, though this is mainly because of the cessation of hunting. None the less, its worth noting that the three years with the lowest polar bear cub survival in the western Hudson Bay (1974, 1984 and 1992) were the years when the sea ice was too thick for ringed seals to appear in good numbers in spring. Bears need broken ice.
Americans for Prosperity had booked a meeting-room in a canal-side hotel, with a live satellite link-up to well-attended chapter meetings all over the United States. As their President was speaking, the Hitler-Jugend, part of a very large, lavishly-funded delegation of jack-trainered, eco-Fascist goons probably paid for by taxpayers somewhere, leapt up to the podium and began a zombie-like, keening chant.
subject: RE: The Climatic Variability and Climate Change Initiative for Africa
At the rate the global oceans have warmed to 2000 meters during the ARGO era, Figure 8, no one should really be too concerned about the warming of those oceans, especially when the data suggests it warmed via natural processes.
Is the IPCC Logically Challenged? Writing in American Thinker, SEPP Chairman Fred Singer recaps the major failures in science and in logic that the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) employed in its five scientific Assessment Reports (AR) from 1990 to 2013. The scientific failures in the first three reports, such as Mr. Manns Hockeystick, have been clearly discredited.
Youd need many times the energy of all fossil fuels ever burnt and those still in the ground to melt that giant ice cube. Still, Mother Nature did it without much fanfare and here comes the kicker without any change in the atmospheric CO2 (carbon dioxide) level up front. That alone should tell you how mistaken the CO2-doomsayers are. Carbon dioxide in air is not a factor for climate.
CEI's Ryan Radia criticized New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo and his groundless antitrust case again Intel. Radia accuses Cuomo of "using his authority to make headlines at consumers' expense," and " innovation in the computer chip market." Read the full news release here.>>Wayne Crews and Ryan Radia's analysis of the lawsuit is cited in articles in Reuters, PC World, PC Mag, and PC Advisor. Crews' complete analysis is available on Openmarket.org >>CEI Decries Sen. Boxer's Disregard in Passing Cap-and-Trade Bill Through Committee
One Response to The Royal Society: From Science to Fiction
Vincent Vernuccio's op-ed in The TennesseanStoking Fears About No More Tears
In their latest drive-by piece Die Zeit takes dead aim at Marc Morano , the Heartland Institute, the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE), Fritz Vahrenholtand other communicators of the skeptic message, and contrasts them to an innocent,tormented Michael Mann. Die Zeits message is clear: If you challenge climate science, thenyoull be portrayed as aggressors by Germanys mainstream media.
The scientists included in the Climategate emails from the University of East Anglia Include:
assess regional benefits as well as dangers associated with the varying scenarios of future climate
In the past, the mainstream press essentially ignored the anti-science temperature record fabrications, but no longer .
Gavin Schmidt who is involved in compiling the temperature record kept by NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies, a record which has repeatedly been found to have exaggerated and overstated recent warming.
Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #192
Chapter 3, by Robert C. Balling, Jr.Global Warming: Messy Models, Decent Data, and Pointless Policy
The petition is short, simple, science-fiction-scale ambitious, and looks like it was written by a child from a kindergarten:
Since, in the words of the authors, "atmospheric greenhouse forcing should cause roughly synchronous global temperature changes," their observations of "asynchronous coupling of Arctic and Antarctic temperatures as deduced from the Greenland and Antarctic ice-core records" would suggest that variations in the planet's thermohaline circulatory system have been the major force for hemispheric climate change on millennial and shorter time scales, as opposed to changes in atmospheric greenhouse gases. Hence, the world still awaits evidence that changes in the CO 2 concentration of the atmosphere of the degree experienced over the past century or so have any influence at all on the climate of the earth or any parts of it.
in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years , the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of the country (Figure 2)
The year 2001 could have been an eye-opener but the West, too traumatized by the Islamist attack on America, failed to notice an equally important, if less spectacular, development: the creation by China of a coalition, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, including Russia and Central Asia as members, Iran as a silent partner, and India and Pakistan as observers. It took another five years for Western foreign policy experts to realize that this emerging SCO was, for all practical purposes, an OPEC with nukes, which had the potential to develop, over time, into a full-fledged "NATO of the East."
They do not think it proper to commit these utterances to writing, although in all other matters and in their public and private accounts they make use of Greek characters. I believe that they have adopted the practice for two reasons- that they do not wish the rule to become common property, nor those who learn the rule to rely on writing and so neglect the cultivation of memory; and, in fact, it does usually happen that the assistance of writing tends to relax the diligence of the student and the action of memoryThey also lecture on the stars in their motion, the magnitude of the Earth and its divisions, on natural history, on the power and government of God; and instruct the youth in these subjects (see De Ballo Gallico, VII, 15, 16.).
Anyway, back to the Antarctic. There are reports that the ice sheet is shrinking at a faster rate, based on research led by Eric Rignot, of the Radar Science and Engineering Section at NASAs Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California. Dr. Rignot attributed the shrinkage in the ice sheet to an upwelling of warm waters along the Antarctic coast, which is causing some glaciers to flow more rapidly into the ocean. Of course, this must be due to global warming, which must be caused by man. Meanwhile, mid-summer in the Southern Hemisphere Ice extent remains well (one million square kilometers) above the 28 year average and an impressive 3 million square kilometers above last year at this time!
Researchers Maozheng Zhou and Steven Running published the work in Science on August 20, 2010. They used data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASAs Terra satellite to monitor plant growth and calculate the total amount of carbon plants store as they grow, a value called net primary productivity. Their results are illustrated in this image, which shows the change in the amount of carbon consumed by plants between 2000 and 2009. Green areas show where plants grew more (and consumed more carbon), and brown areas show where they grew less. The deeper the color, the stronger the trend.
I'm struggling to say something polite about this. By way of an illustration, can you imagine the reaction if a scientist reported in the safety literature that there was a critical flaw in the design of a nuclear power station, but told policymakers that everything was fine? Do the committee really think it's fine to hide important information from policymakers so long as you report it in the literature? Astonishing.
The past week has been insane. Among the things on my plate:
Research shows that swaths of Australias Great Barrier Reef, damaged by the 1998 El Nio, have fully recovered, rebounding strong and healthy. So many questions arise. Do El Nios act to promote species diversity, seed corals to other locations, recharge the water chemistry, reduce overpopulation, etc.?
Its that time of year again when we see headlines about 2007 being the m th warmest year on record over the past n years whether we are talking about the United States or the world as a whole. Reporters breathlessly reveal that the trend in temperatures is alarming and completely unprecedented over the eons of earth history. The buildup of greenhouse gases is immediately blamed, and we are all left to believe that the rising temperatures can only be explained by human emissions. Rarely does anyone seem to question the quality of the temperature data, and yet, articles appear regularly in the scientific literature showing that the near-surface air temperature measurements are fraught with errors, gaps, and any number of inhomogeneities.
To paraphrase Mandy Rice Davies , They would, wouldnt they. To demonstrate to yourself that the ABC is completely biased, in particular on climate change, all you need to do is go to the ABC web site here , get yourself a stiff drink (because believe me, youll need it) and watch the debate that followed the screening of the film The Great Global Warming Swindle. The audience was partisan and biased, just as alleged by Senator Eric Abetz:
Big errors are introduced because readings taken from the cooling-water intake tubes of various ships record measure temperatures at different ocean depths. Varying amounts of conduction from different vessel infrastructures and daily sun conditions skew temperatures as well.
While 350.org, Sierra Club and other groups were protesting Keystone, domestic firms were building new pipelines to handle the surge in crude production. Since 2010, the U.S. has added about 12,000 miles of new oil pipelines. That's more than 10 times the length of the contested section of Keystone XL, which was to span 875 miles.
1. Geoff Sharp Are Uranus & amp; Neptune resposible for Solar grand minima and solar cycle modulation March 2010, at http://landscheid.auditblogs.com
(BNA Daily Environment Report, June 27, 1997)
Third, they will ask for your total payroll, usually in dollars, by state, for each of these job class codes. Most will take your word for it up front, but will audit you and your payroll records sometime during the year to ensure that the premiums are calculated on the right total. Some insurance companies, as well as most state run programs like in Washington state, will require monthly or quarterly payroll reporting. When you set up your payroll with a company like ADP or Paychex, you should make sure you set up your departments so you can get the workers comp data you will need.
John Maynard Keynes once noted that "Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist." To whatever degree that is true, economists build upon the intellectual foundations that they find, and it sometimes is the case that too little reworking is undertaken. That is decidedly the case with the conventional analysis of externalities, and it is my hope that the ongoing debate at AEI over carbon taxes might engender a reconsideration of assumptions both standard and too facile.
Children and stupid adults, you will really have to become the world dictators and establish the world government before it will make sense to talk about the "public trust doctrine applied to the atmosphere". Be sure that once the threat that you want to overtake the world will become credible, you will become desirable targets of assassinations.
The new Environmental Protection Agency administrator, Gina McCarthy, ahead of a trip to China, told a liberal advocacy group in Washington that she has devoted her life to protecting the environment: "And I really see no greater issue and no more urgent threat to public health than climate change."
Alaska is going to be the next Florida by the end of the century .
Global Warming Blamed For Fall of Roman Empire AND Medieval Plague
<3111> Watson/UEA:
Fortunately, McKibben is wrong. Acting on his arguments against fracking would actually cause the United States to increase greatly its output of carbon dioxide, which would be the opposite of what environmentalists say they want.
Ha ha! I know, Ben. Its. the paunches I cant get over!
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Special Projects Counsel Hans Bader on why foreign aid is not an effective replacement for economic development:
Until last month, when the lies of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were revealed to the world by an anonymous hacker. Not since Aladdin has a thief saved his country; and this data thief may actually save the world from the proverbial fate worse than death. For the stolen data, now posted on public whistle-blowing websites throughout the Internet, reveals all the truths that climate-change "deniers" have been shouting upon deaf ears.
So, in other words, this chart is totally bogus. There is an essentially flat trend up to the 1998 switch in data definition and an essentially flat trend after 1998. There is a step-change upwards in 1998 due to the data redefinition. This makes this chart useless unless your purpose is to fool generally ignorant people that there is an upwards trend, and then it is very useful. It is not, however, good science.
Unless ACESA causes other nations to adopt GHG limits, it is focused on what is, in fact, the much smaller and shrinking part of the total problem. Effective GHG control depends far more on inducing controls abroad than it does on imposing them at home. When all greenhouse gases are considered and all sources, including land use changes, are counted, the U.S. is contributing only about 15 percent (and falling) of global GHG emissions. The other 85 percent is beyond the control of the U.S. government.
While the model mean of the outgoing shortwave radiation increases at a rate of about +0.08 watts/m^2/decade from 1861 to 2005, some models show a sizeable increase and others show little to no trend. Only one model shows a decline during the hindcast, and its trend is relatively flat at about -0.01 watts/m^2/decade. The model with the fastest increase from 1861-2005 has a trend of about +0.16 watts/m^2/decade. In other words, theres about a 0.17 watts/m^2/decade spread in the trends of hindcast outgoing shortwave radiation.
In the second post in this series , we showed that the ocean heat content for the entire eastern tropical Pacific (24S-24N, 180-80W), for the depths of 0-700 meters, was cooler before the start of the current El Nio than it was in before the start of 1997 El Nio. (See the graph here .)
The Super Outbreak of April 3-4, 1974 spawned 148 confirmed tornadoes across eastern North America and resulted in the second highest death toll (319) in the United States. Not only did it produce an exceptional number of tornadoes, but it was also an inordinately intense outbreak producing dozens of large, long-track tornadoes, including 7 F5 and 23 F4 tornadoes. More significant tornadoes occurred within 24 hours than any other week in the tornado record.
Eme et al. exposed two species of tropical fish to significantly warmer water. Both species easily survived the hotter waters, indicating that tropical fish have a high toleration for temperature variation.
Yes, it's the date of another major failed end of the world ;-)
If we don't discuss the commutator but the separate (time-ordered) product, as seen in the Feynman propagator, it tells us about a correlation. How does it work? The point is that \[
I would say before this decade ends because what is GOING to happen is the global temperature trend is going to be in a definitive down turn due to prolonged minimum solar conditions and the associated secondary effects.
And, as for wet summers, none have been remotely as wet as the summer of 1912. Citizens of Norwich may well have heard about the disastrous floods of that year, when an incredible seven inches of rain fell in one day.
Recent EPA interpretations have extended NSR to physical and operational changes that neither Congress nor EPA itself in past rulings intended to be subject to NSR's permitting requirements.
The UK MET Office has released its updated long term averages for the 1980-2010 period. This contains some interesting items which well be analysing and commenting on. Of particular note are increases in rainfall, sunshine hours, and of course, temperature (0.52C compared to the 1961-1991 average). Notably, although these increases are predicated on the trend in warming observed globally over land, the trace gas carbon dioxide doesnt get a mention. Natural variation does get a mention, Mike Kendon says:
Via Tom Nelson , this guy is certainly a fine example of enlightened scientific discourse:
Note my graphic of Perth dam catchment rain steady over 35 years.
estimate that the proposed standards would result in net economic benefits exceeding $100 billion, making this a highly beneficial rule.
It came as no surprise, then, that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., told reporters this week, "One reason why we have the fires in California is global warming."
Unreal. SEIU Local 25 and 12 Other Unions Receive Obamcare Waivers:
Fen skating, once a popular sport on the fields of East Anglia, now takes place on indoor artificial rinks. Malcolm Robinson, of the Fenland Indoor Speed Skating Club in Peterborough, says they have not skated outside since 1997. "As a boy, I can remember being on ice most winters. Now it's few and far between," he said.
his campaign promises (closing Guantanamo) and the biggest priority of the
The main result is the best estimate based on the multi-model ensemble is found inconsistent with observations at a significance of 5%. So, this test says we should treat the hypothesis that the best estimate of the trend based on averaging over models matches observations as false .
Big honking climate science puzzle here - FORTRAN geek needed, apply within. Please - If you do not have the skills/background to contribute to the linked discussion, don't clutter their work with off-topic junk. Use this one for general comments. But I do encourage you read the thread, as something very curious happens ...
HEM's Macroeconomic Activity Module uses the IHS Global Insight model, which is used by government agencies and Fortune 500 organizations to forecast the effects of economic events and policy changes on notable economic indicators. The methodologies, assumptions, conclusions, and opinions in this Backgrounder are entirely the work of CDA statisticians and economists, and have not been endorsed by, and do not necessarily reflect the view of, the owners of the IHS Global Insight model.
Debate. It's the hallmark of an open society. We may hold different points of view on a certain topic, but we can express those views freely, without fear of repercussions.
(I usually say that tankeverfringens problem now is locked because there is something better way to verfra their thoughts to others n the Bertta about them, sr can just call it as you want verfra their thoughts to. Dremot we frmodligen never To be able to read the thoughts of others.)
This provides ???ever more real-world evidence for the fact that there is nothing unusual, unnatural or unprecedented about the Earths current level of warmth,?? says meteorologist Anthony Watts.
We have kept the Transport for London road network open throughout all this. We have about 90,000 tons of grit in stock, and the gritters were out all night to deal with this morning's rush. And yet we have to face the reality of the position across the country.
The EU also is quietly rolling back its renewable agenda, which EU leaders now recognise has been raising energy prices across the Continent. At their summit in Brussels in May, leaders indicated that they intended to prioritise the issue of affordable energy over cutting greenhouse gas emissions.
I think that even Mann sympathizers should not accept this response. The claim that ???upside down?? data was used may be ???bizarre??, but it??s also true. You can see that the data was used upside down by comparing Mann??s own graph with the orientation of the original article, as we did last year. In the case of the Tiljander proxies, Tiljander asserted that ???a definite sign could be a priori reasoned on physical grounds?? ??? the only problem is that their sign was opposite to the one used by Mann.
While risk-based insurance rates and increased environmental protection sound good in principle, they aren't always practical in the short term. Simply deregulating insurance rates tomorrow would force some people -- particularly senior citizens on fixed incomes -- to sell their houses at a loss. Coastal open space is good, but it's not fair to ask homeowners' to give up their houses to make more room for bird sanctuaries.
TWTW has not confirmed the claim using independent sources. Assuming 113 tons to 1 acre-foot, and 1 tonne equals 2,240 lbs, not 2,000 lbs, this amount converts to 91,870 acre-feet of fresh water per day or 113,275 megaliters per day. See link under Other News That May Be of Interest.
Since most research has found that a dollar spent on mitigation returns somewhere between $3 and $7 in long-term savings, investing in making properties more storm resistant will also save taxpayer money while facilitating a switch to risk-based insurance rates. The insurance-rate shift -- not the programs -- are most important.
Elevated CO 2 enhanced crop nitrogen uptake by 2, 15 and 23% in the low, medium and high nitrogen treatments, respectively. With greater amounts of nitrogen uptake, CO 2 -enriched plants had more raw materials available to support enhanced biomass production, which led to total dry mass enhancements of 38-45%. Atmospheric CO 2 enrichment also positively impacted final grain yields, which were 2, 15 and 23% greater in the low, medium and high nitrogen treatments, respectively. What it means
This was a rather startling thing to say, especially as his own programme did not conclude that the warmists are right and the sceptics wrong. In fact he appeared to be saying he would give up his freedom just in case the warmists are right.