Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Bates, B.C., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Wu, S. and Palutikof, J.P. (Eds.) 2008. Climate Change and Water. Technical Paper of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC Secretariat, Geneva, Switzerland.
In October 1999, a gaggle of environmental groups led by the International Center for Technology Assessment (ICTA) petitioned EPA to regulate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissionsfrom new motor vehicles under CAA Sec. 202.
But in the last several weeks, we have stumbled upon clear and convincing observational evidence of particularly strong negative feedback (low climate sensitivity) from our latest and best satellite instruments. That evidence includes our development of two new methods for extracting the feedback signal from either observational or climate model data, a goal which has been called the holy grail of climate research.
In fact, I repeat, global temperature hasnt risen at all in 15 years . How come? Natural factors stopped playing a role, remember?
"Heat waves have actually diminished, not increased. There is not an uptick in the number or strength of storms (in fact storms are diminishing).
Steyn is trying crowdfunding, would be interesting to see how he is doing.
How can LOST bind Russia but not America? One advocate recently sent an e-mail which ended up in my hands worrying about the consequent difficulty in allaying fears of LOST being ``some kind of green Trojan Horse.''
While I have emphasized that the CO2-temperature relationship is mostly caused by the influence of temperature on the gas concentrations (as seen through the 800-year lag in the Vostok data ), let us assume that this whole relationship is caused by the greenhouse effect. And let us calculate the climate sensitivity - warming per CO2 doubling - from the 11 geological data points above. Download the geological notebook Let us define the CO2 concentration and temperature vectors: ppm = {4500, 4200, 4500, 2200, 800, 900, 1750, 1950, 1700, 500, 280};
This has gotten a fair amount of play around the Internet, but it's crazy enough to re-link in case you have not seen it. A proposal in Australia to earn carbon credits by shooting wild camels . Because when living, breathing creatures are dead, the environment is protected. Take that to its logical conclusion. All that time those folks were clubbing harp seals, they were saving Mother Nature!
A strain of anti-humanism has always run through population paranoia, a notion that human beings are a problem rather than a resource. But as Jonathan Last documents in his new book What to Expect When No One's Expecting, it is not overpopulation that threatens the well-being of the human race, it is under-population. As Last writes, "Throughout recorded human history, declining populations have always been followed by Very Bad Things." Particularly for our modern, high-tech, capitalist world of consumers who buy, entrepreneurs who create wealth and jobs, and workers whose taxes fund social welfare entitlements, people are an even more critical resource.
Since 1860, human activity has greatly reduced the extent of fires. He and his colleagues commend the National Park Service for its recent work reintroducing fire into the giant sequoia groves.
As one of the great women of science, Beth Whelan would be very proud of this volume created in her memory.
In AR4 IPCC projects warming of 0.2C per decade for the next two decades in a variety of its climate change scenarios. That will take a lot more warming than weve seen in recent decades. And with the leveling off of the trend in recent years, even if an upward trend resumes, at present it seems highly unlikely that we will see a rise of 0.4C over the next two decades. Of course, the future has a way of humbling all forecasts. But perhaps the apocalypse is not as near at hand as some fear.
The CFACT video of the Cancun attendees signing these farcical petitions has been posted all over the Internet, powerfully demonstrating the mindset of the green true believers who are demanding to control the planet.
12 J. D. Mahlman, Uncertainties in projections of human-caused climate warming, Science 278, 1416 (1997).
Furthermore, most people understand that fossil fuels have been necessary for the prosperity that we all enjoy (at least those under political systems allowing people to benefit from their labors). Energy which currently is dominated by fossil fuels, and will be for decades to come.
A long-term study rebuts the Progressive Nitrogen Limitation Hypothesis, revealing that there is good real-world experimental evidence to suggest that the growth-enhancing effect of atmospheric CO 2 enrichment will not gradually wind down with the passage of time due to declining availability of soil nitrogen, in strong contradiction of what many climate alarmists have suggested?? Read More
Im not jonesing to visit that particular emotional place again, once was enough for any man. And on a cold night like tonight, Im glad Im not rolling out at four am. I fished the Bering Sea as well, and these days Im just as happy to see the bergy bits and watch the Bering ice on the Deadliest Catch TV show from the safety of my couch ... but ah, dear friends, mostly Ive just moved my ocean madness to warmer waters, and I wouldnt have missed it for rubies and pearls ...
In other words renewables recieve more than double the subsidy rate per unit of energy supplied as fossil fuels. When you consider that hydropower, which rarely requires or recieves subsidy, accounts for the vast share of global renewable energy production, the relative subsidy rate for wind, solar and other renewables per unit of energy produced is much higher.
The late era Druidic schools that Julius Caesar commented about, undoubtedly, had a pedigree back to similar schools maintained during the Neolithic and Bronze Ages*. British historian, Isabel Hill Elder, commenting on the Druidic schools, writes:
There are other satellites that measure the skin temperatures of the global oceans twice daily, and theyve been doing so since late in 1981. There are also ships and other buoys measuring sea surface temperatures around the global oceans.
The discrepancy with the other data sources is larger than Hansen??s claimed 0.08 record. Is it a record temperature, or is it good old fashioned bad data?
The Great Game at sea is only beginning. However fanciful they may be given the current international legal regime, Putin's claim in June 2007 to a chunk of the North Pole holding twice the oil reserves of Saudi Arabia gives an idea of the challenges ahead as global warming increases the areas available for offshore drilling.
Chernobyl was a tragic event, but nothing remotely close to the global catastrophe I imagined. About 50 people had died in Chernobyl, roughly the number of Americans that die every day in traffic accidents. I dont mean to be gruesome, but it was a setback for me. You cant write a novel about a global disaster in which only 50 people die.
It says, "While the higher oil prices have dampened economic growth, they do serve two useful purposes . They're another wake-up call that available crude-oil reserves are expected to decline by mid-21st century. And they're a reminder that the best incentive for switching to alternative energy sources or better conservation is to keep oil prices highand, most of all, steadily high."
This new religion does not yet have any martyrs (although maybe Professor Phil Jones at the University of East Anglia comes close), but it has plenty of evangelists foremost amongst them being former Vice-President of the U.S.A. Al Gore and His Royal Highness Prince Charles of Great Britain.
But RPS laws dont even reduce emissions of carbon dioxide. Installation of wind systems creates stop-and-go electrical utilities. Output from wind turbines is erratic, forcing back-up coal and natural gas plants to inefficiently ramp power up and down to maintain continuity of energy supply. Studies of utilities in Netherlands and Colorado show that combined wind and hydrocarbon systems use more fuel and emit more CO2 than stand-alone hydrocarbon-fired plants.
For Lieberman-Warner, the estimated household cost in 2020 was as much as $386 per household per year, rising to as much as $2,268 in 2050 (again in constant 2008 dollars). The difference is simple: in the analysis of Lieberman-Warner, the EPA "assumed the full cost of allowances are passed on to consumers," while its analysis of Waxman-Markey concludes that the cap-and-trade "policy has a relatively modest impact on U.S. consumers assuming the bulk of revenues from the program are returned to households. . . . A policy that failed to return revenues from the program to consumers would lead to substantially larger losses in consumption."
* Your loss of plentiful food to eat is just a side-effect of their climate policy (most agricultural production in the world today requires the use of hydrocarbon energy; beyond that enough food is currently being converted to biofuels to feed tens of millions of people each year.)
If this email seems slightly disjointed it's probably my linguistic background and the problem of trying to address both the wider audience (I expect this will be partially reproduced sooner or later) and the email recipients (whom I haven't decided yet on).
NASA has massively and repeatedly altered their own published data, to cool the past and warm the present. The animation below show their published 1981 surface temperatures in black, and subsequent 1999 and 2014 versions in red. This is consistent with an increase in propaganda, but not consistent withan increase in temperature.
With that inconvenient truth, perhaps it is time to start looking at the climate-energy nexus in a different way:
Infanticide advocate Pete Singer to speak. Said babies arent people until 1 month-old.
Fifteen-year-long hiatus periods are common in both historical records and in computer models, the technical summary says. But scientists were caught out in one computer model, 111 of 114 estimates over-stated recent temperature rises.
You believe that the atmosphere has continued to warm for the last 17+ years despite rapid growth of CO2. 97% of real climate scientists acknowledge that it hasn??t. They call it the ???pause?? or ???hiatus?? although there is no scientific evidence that warming will pick up again or when.
While local volunteers provide most of the weary fire fighters, they are under the ultimate direction of salaried fire officers, who are public servants, wear white shirts, big hats, many medals, and appear on television, looking worried. Budget and big hats may be central to their thinking. Policy and budget are largely dictated by leading politicians, who may have budgets and metaphorical big hats of their own, and usually appear by helicopter in the aftermath, dispensing sympathy.
Am I the only one who noticed that the Kyoto Protocol (imposing artificial constraints on energy use to regulate atmospheric carbon dioxide to reduce the 'greenhouse effect' to, supposedly, reduce the hypothetical rate of theoretical global warming) came into effect the same day the President's Tax Reform Commission held its first meeting? Maybe I was. If so, more people should be thinking about the relation between these two events.
While timing has some effect on the variability, in my opinion, it is a secondary issue, and does not explain the actual variability.
The STOCK Act and the SECJohn Berlau's op-ed in National Review
Update: Libertarians are making the case that the Constitution never gave Congress the power to restrict immigration . I could not agree more. However, I fear that will have zero impact on the precedent that will be inferred from all this. Because what matters is how the political community as a whole interprets a precedent, and I think that this will be interpreted as "the president may issue mass waivers from any law he does not like." Now, since I dislike a hell of a lot of the laws on the books, perhaps over time I will like this precedent. But the way things work is that expansive new executive powers seldom work in favor of liberty in the long run, so I am skeptical.
Citing the potential for financial harm, the University of East Anglia last week denied a Freedom of Information request by Hockey Stick debunker Stephen McIntyre for the controversial Yamal temperature data. This is the third time he has been rebuffed by the University, which was scandalized by last years Climategate controversy over, among other things, inappropriate avoidance of FOI requests.
But Roger wants a naive estimate, and this is mine: Naive, but accounting for a feature that is strongly indicated by available: This is the statistically significant positive trend.
Did the new president understand the importance of Congress, and plan
Obama's climate action plan: a millstone around America's neck?
"Rising corn seed sales helped Monsanto Co. boost its second-quarter profit by 15 percent compared to last year."
From this article, we learn from the actual data that (a) sea level is generally rising, (b) the rate of rise decelerated during the 20th century, (c) the rate of sea level rise over the past two decades has been both positive and negative, (d) the rate of sea level rise has been quite small over the last few years, and (e) stations can witness an increase or decrease of sea level quite independently of one another.
AB 32: Cost now, benefits later maybe
All of us are firm skeptics of claims that humans are causing catastrophic global warming and climate change. We are not climate change deniers. We know Earths climate and weather are constantly in flux, undergoing recurrent fluctuations that range from flood and drought cycles to periods of low or intense hurricane and tornado activity, to the Medieval Warm Period (950-1250 AD) and Little Ice Age (1350-1850) and even to Pleistocene glaciers that repeatedly buried continents under a mile of ice.
Question 4 (for Pederson): You appear to be "certain" that the anthropogenic hypothesis has complete empirical support; for you the science is "settled" and beyond dispute, and there is no need to keep an open mind on the issue (I was present at your 15-minute talk before the online debate). Yet Mike Hulme, a leading IPCC contributor, has written:
Hulmes recent work) of this in the obs. But on the real crazy waether stuff
This report of growing a food crop among solar cells just makes me breathless. What a special thing.
1 42 U.S.C. 7470-7479 and 42 U.S.C. 7501-7515. Part C is the "Prevention of Significant Deterioration" or PSD program and Part D is the "Nonattainment New Source Review" or NSR program. This memo uses a layman's convention of referring simply to NSR, even though it might sometimes be more accurate to speak of PSD, NSR, or PSD/NSR.
The four researchers report that the 84% increase in the atmosphere's CO 2 concentration stimulated the growth of S. maritima by about 65% in all three salinity treatments, while the graphical representation of the halophyte's water use efficiency indicates that this important property of the plant was enhanced by approximately 10%, 100% and 160% in the 0, 170 and 510 mM salinity treatments, respectively, due to the fact that "increasing CO 2 concentration has a positive effect on the photochemical apparatus, helping to counteract salt stress experienced by plants at current CO 2 concentrations."
Kumar et al. reviewed precipitation records over the period from 1871 to 2005. In summary, there was no significant trend for rainfall across India during this period of "unprecedented" warming that the IPCC contends was wreaking rainfall havoc on India and the world.
Via the Guardian . No commentary really necessary ( via Q&O )
Establishing a Minimum Wage for Contractors; Proposed Rule
The prospects for even a small package are dismal. The United States, through its ambassador to the WTO, Michael Punke, stated in July that a "so-called Early Harvest package is not happening and is not going to happen." Punke urged WTO negotiators not to spend more time on this effort, but rather concentrate in the lead up to the December Ministerial on issues that look beyond the current Doha stalemate and forward to the future of the WTO itself. Punke is halfway to a sensible position-but unfortunately, he and the Obama administration stopped short of biting the bullet by calling for a definitive end to the Doha Round.
Of course, we should never judge a book by its cover. It would be unfair to claim that Jonathan Ashmore is wrong to claim that Lynass book isnt hysteria, just on the basis of the book cover. Though, having said that, the cover does quote the Sunday Times, who say I tell you now, is terrifying. We havent the time to review the book here. So heres a couple of clips from the book, made into a film, featuring Lynas himself, to tell us what he imagines us to be facing.
Sandra Day O'Connor Faulted By Critics on Ethics:
Revolution Threatens to Falter: Is Germanys Green Energy Plan Failing? Germany has set higher targets for renewable energy usage than any other industrialized nation. Angela Merkels government plans to decommission its nuclear plants by 2022 and to obtain 80 percent of all energy from renewables by 2050. So far, though, too many promises from Berlin have gone unfulfilled. (Spiegel)
Cows eating feed enriched with the garlic compound called Allicin release 40% less gas without interference to their normal digestive fermentation, according to the research."
Union of Concerned Scientists, Choosing Our Future: Climate Change in California.
So where do the 1934/1998/2010 warm years rank in the long-term list of warm years? Of the past 10,500 years, 9,100 were warmer than 1934/1998/2010. Thus, regardless of which year (1934, 1998, or 2010) turns out to be the warmest of the past century, that year will rank number 9,099 in the long-term list
In discussing their findings, Darbah et al . state that they agree with those of Veteli et al . (2007), who "reported that elevated CO 2 ameliorated the negative effects of high temperature in three deciduous tree species," as well as those of Wayne et al . (1998), who "reported that elevated CO 2 ameliorated high temperature stress in yellow birch trees," and that all of these observations are "in agreement with Idso and Kimball (1992), who reported that elevated CO 2 (ambient + 300 ppm) increased net photosynthetic rate in sour orange tree leaves exposed to full sunlight by 75, 100 and 200% compared to those in ambient CO 2 concentration at temperatures of 31, 35 and 42C, respectively, suggesting that elevated CO 2 ameliorates heat stress in tree leaves." Hence, they conclude that "in the face of rising atmospheric CO 2 and temperature (global warming), trees will benefit from elevated CO 2 through increased thermotolerance."
The result of this temperature decrease is to increase the difference between the global temperatures of the 1990s and the 2000s. Removing this volcanic dip reduces quite significantly the temperature increase seen over the 1990 2013 period. When the errors are taken into account it is not impressive.
All I can determine from this article is that if you have a tame network, you usually get a decent reconstruction. Also note the apples and oranges comparison for the MBH method for the simple average, they use 12 pseudoproxies, while for MBH98 they use 104 pseudoproxies. Obviously 104 pseudoproxies will do better with white noise. I dont see any results here for 12 pseudoproxies using MBH methods. Another odd point, they dont report calibration RE results saying they are "not available in RegEM". I dont understand that at all. I presume that the values will be about 0.99999, but you could still report it.
The doomsday scenario of depleted oil reserves gets postponed again. PROCESS writes that the price of oil is poised to fall below 70 dollars a barrel. The primary reason for the downward crude oil prices is the increasing number of global oil reserves that are resulting from improved drilling methods. The Roland Berger study writes that currently there are an estimated 2.6 trillion barrels of crudein easily accessible reserves and 3.3 trillion barrels in unconventional reserves like oil sands and shale.
However, people like Jose Barroso, Javier Solana, and Angela Merkel didn't do so well. Their speeches are made out of empty formalities. They were probably written by their aides and the propositions don't logically follow from each other: they speak "ptydepe" that drove Prof Klaus up the wall.
A multidecadal (50-80 year timescale) pattern of North Atlantic ocean-atmosphere variability whose existence has been argued for based on statistical analyses of observational and proxy climate data, and coupled Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations. This pattern is believed to describe some of the observed early 20th century (1920s-1930s) high-latitude Northern Hemisphere warming and some, but not all, of the high-latitude warming observed in the late 20th century. The term was introduced in a summary by Kerr (2000) of a study by Delworth and Mann (2000).
Progressives simply make up nonsensical pieces of information, and then declare themselves to be superior based ontheir dishonesty and ignorance.
The ethanol mandate encourages farmers to plow wildlife habitats and fallow fields to grow corn, releasing millions of tons of carbon dioxide. Ethanol gets one-third less mileage per gallon than gasoline, so motorists get fewer miles per tank and per dollar. It produces ozone, attracts water and corrodes car and small engine components, forcing us to spend billions on repairs.
It has been argued that the inhomogeneity of Antarctic climate change in space and time implies that recent Antarctic climate changes are due to a combination of strong multidecadal variability and anthropogenic effects, although when this opinion is tracked back to its origin it is more of a feeling than something based on unequivocal evidence.
The almost total absence of such intense storms in the last two decades is notable.
Rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels do not pose a significant threat to aquatic life. Many aquatic species have shown considerable tolerance to temperatures and CO2 values predicted for the next few centuries, and many have demonstrated a likelihood of positive responses in empirical studies. Any projected adverse impacts of rising temperatures or declining seawater and freshwater pH levels (acidification) will be largely mitigated through phenotypic adaptation or evolution during the many decades to centuries it is expected to take for pH levels to fall.
Organic farmers who produce less than one percent of the nation's agricultural output have long complained that the cultivation of biotech crops jeopardizes their own production because plants of the same species can cross-pollinate with one another. Organic farmers may not use the products of biotechnology, but unintended cross-pollination by a neighbor's genetically engineered plants could in certain circumstances "contaminate" organic crops. A federal court even rescinded the USDA's initial approval in 2005 of a biotech alfalfa variety on the grounds that the department failed to complete an Environmental Impact Statement addressing the issue of "coexistence" between genetically engineered and conventional varieties.
He tries to present the topic in as apolitical a manner as possible (although he hasn't avoided the ideological ramifications of these ideas elsewhere). That's perhaps also why he connects the idea of group selection with the promotion of conservative values. However, I personally think that Pinker realizes that the dominant advocates of group selection in the present world are leftists people on the left side from him, to be more accurate such as Sascha Vongehr , a Maoist and trained physicist from whom I learned about Pinker's essay.
9. Climate modelers discovered that the Earth is not warming nearly as fast as their models predicted. A multi-billion dollar effort is now underway to make the climate system warm even faster.