Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Higher Carbon Dioxide Levels Benefit Sea Stars
alters the cost-benefit balance in favor of competition;
I hope that at least one more reader will find the required spare time to watch it.
In his presentation to the Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters, Hans von Storch outlines a number of issues with the IPCC and suggests possible solutions. I thought these were pretty interesting, particularly the bit where he discusses dealing with dissent - I've added emphasis to the "ouch" bit.
In natural sciences, knowledge is obtained by validating the content of one's mind according to the facts of reality. Truth then corresponds to reality. In philosophy the world is largely artificial, and truth is redefined to mean coherence among ideas much along the views of the philosopher Immanuel Kant. Hence a dogma can be constructed by ignoring reality, and rather appealing to authority or consensus as invalid substitutes for reason. In philosophy hypotheses can be proposed, validated, and accepted without reference to facts (Sanford, 1992). We see that most often the treatment of what is normal or natural is lacking from the environmental "dooms," and that we only are told what is "abnormal" or "unnatural" without an indisputable baseline reference.
?They are standing alone here, as ourselves and other independent forecasters are all predicting a colder-than-average winter.
This leaves the single cold outlier. Its implied deflation (Non-Logo initialization) is about 0.76 psi a typical amount observed in Exponents deflation simulation. Ironically this illustrates a major problem in Exponents deflation simulations: if the12 Patriot balls had been deflated according to the Exponent simulations, they would all be in this range. Instead, eleven of 12 balls are way above this level. On the other hand, the pressure (temperature) is too low to be explained simply by the use of the Logo gauge.
the unambiguous failure of the atmosphere to warm anything like as fast as predicted by the vast majority of climate models over the past 35 years"
Australias antarctic runway melting | Maribyrnong Weekly
The Hadcrut3 average anomaly so far for 2013 is 0.388. This would rank 12th if it stayed this way. 1998 was the warmest at 0.548. The highest ever monthly anomaly was in February of 1998 when it reached 0.756. One has to go back to the 1940s to find the previous time that a Hadcrut3 record was not beaten in 10 years or less. The anomaly in 2012 was 0.406 and it came in 10th.
Therefore, because the factors were not correctly considered in the past, we can immediately conclude that the scary projections made by the IPCC for the 21st century were falsely calculated and are thus likely grotesquely exaggerated.
A Perspective on Weather and Climate Science by S. Raghavan
Yet the climate models used by the IPCC for their 5 th Assessment Report cannot simulate the additional warming of the North Atlantic, as shown in Figure 27. As a result, they have to more than double the warming rate for the rest of the global oceans. See Figure 28.
The nonsense predictor mentioned above (number of available grid points) scores RE=46% (and CE=23%), which is more than any of the flavors ever approaches in the 100 random samples. And it is not unlikely that other nonsense predictors score even higher. On this background, the originally reported 51% of verification RE are hardly significant. This has already been claimed by McIntyre and McKitrick (2005b) in a slightly different context. In addition to that study, we have derived more stable estimates of verifiable scores for a whole series of model variants, the optimum of which (1120) scoring with RE=25%7% (90% confidence).
Figure 2.Projected changes in temperature and precipitation for the 2050s. Left: United Kingdom Hadley Center. Right: Canadian Center for Climate Modeling and Analysis. Source:Rosenzweig and Solecki, Climate Change and a Global City , 2001.
Note that Imagining 10 dimensions is also a blog.
Isis Solar is hoping to change that. Last month it hit the headlines by announcing that it is to start handing out the panels for free saving you the full 11,000- 15,000 the average PV solar panel system costs to install. And that's not all: Isis will fit them and maintain them for 25 years too. All you need to qualify for this fabulous sounding deal is 24sqm of south-facing, completely unshaded roof space."
Given the remarkable similarity between my emulation and the actual 2006 regional chronology, one wonders whether CRU might have been better off merely producing the regional chronology. CRU purported to justify its refusal on the grounds that they had been working on the regional chronology since 2006 and were still working on it. Schmidt purported to justify their regional chronology work as follows:
?Notwithstanding the carefully orchestrated propaganda to the effect that nothing much will be decided at the UN climate conference here in Cancun, the decisions to be made here this week signal nothing less than the abdication of the West,? declared science-policy expert Lord Monckton after reading one of the draft documents. ?The governing class in what was once proudly known as the Free World is silently, casually letting go of liberty, prosperity, and even democracy itself,? he added. ?No one in the mainstream media will tell you this, not so much because they do not see as because they do not bloody care.?
Global Yinyang: Lack of snow proves warming as does prolific snow
"Speeding along at 206 mph, dairy products salesman Ji Qiyuan said he appreciated the convenience of the high-speed train that was getting him to this booming manufacturing center in a half-hour."
What unites these two groups according to HVS is that is that they see the scientific bestmda truth as the highest authority. There is no grskala, no opportunity for deviation from this truth. I interpret HVS's that he believes that the BDA these groups have avlgsnat themselves from the basic principle that scientific knowledge is provisional and always ifrgasttas (a basic principle that I sjlv find vldigt important). He continues:
"The Sierra Club and its allies don't just want to outlaw the Keystone Pipeline (which would be in itself a horrible economic blow), they want to outlaw all fossil fuels." Epstein said. "Incredibly, they also want to shut down nuclear and hydroelectric power, which are the only sources of affordable, reliable energy that don't emit CO2. They push solar and wind, but these are expensive, unreliable energy sources that are not up to the task of powering the American economy."
I plan to write a few words about the insightful and entertaining colloquium by Frank Wilczek - once I have some time.
The report is now entering a 45 day public comment period. You can be sure, Hansen, McKibben, Brune and the rest will see this as a 45 day propaganda period. They will deny the facts, deny reality and do anything to deny Americans and Canadians the many benefits that will flow through this pipeline.
The NOAA Tropical Atmosphere-Ocean (TAO) Project website includes data for two temperature-related datasets for the equatorial Pacific. See their Upper Ocean Heat Content and ENSO webpage for descriptions of the datasets. The two datasets are Warm Water Volume (above the 20 deg C isotherm) and the Depth-Averaged Temperatures for the top 300 meters (aka T300). Both are available for the:
Democrat in Missouri to Oppose Health Care Law:
CEI Experts Available to Comment: Technology Director Clyde Wayne Crews and Policy Analyst Brooke Oberwetter on how private solutions can provide the best cybersecurity.
an unknown variable that climate scientists still do not understand
Despite the fact that over half of the town's households participated, electricity use actually rose by 8 percent. Once people realized they could keep their lights on at lower cost, they kept them on longer.
These scientists came to the same conclusions the global warming trend is done, and a cooling trend is about to kick in.
Martin BODKER ENGHOFF & Henrik SVENSMARK: Effects of Cosmic Ray Decreases on Cloud Microphysics
The moral of the story is that in American politics, change and rejuvenation are the nature of the beasteven a Republican elephant that's feeling weary these days.
I am committed to furthering technological research to find other ways, other sources for ethanol. We're working on researchstrong research to figure out cellulosic ethanol that can be made from wood chips or stalks or switch grass. These materials are sometimes waste products that are just simply thrown away.
Roughly 83% (biomass and hydro) of the ???renewable?? energy touted above isn??t favored by many present day environmentalists. Hydro-electric power production, while having low carbon dioxide emissions, upsets environmentalists for other reasons ??? so throw that out, noting that hydro was not included in California??s renewable energy targets. Wood-biomass is hated by many environmentalists as well, and ethanol (included by the EIA as a subset of biomass) is hated by almost everyone. Roughly 90% of the energy included in biomass came from those sources.
Casting serious doubt upon alarmist U.N.-IPCC projections that the Alps will be nearly glacier-free by 2100, Schlchter poses several challenging questions: Why did the glaciers retreat in the middle of the 19th century, although the large CO2 increase in the atmosphere came later? Why did the Earth tip in such a short time into a warming phase? Why did glaciers again advance in the 1880s, 1920s, and 1980s? . . . Sooner or later climate science will have to answer the question why the retreat of the glacier at the end of the Little Ice Age around 1850 was so rapid.
A wind chill of minus-17 degrees greeted senior environmental officials from the United States, Canada, Europe, Japan and the South Pacific in Ottawa last Wednesday as they went behind closed doors for two days of talks to try to reignite burned-out negotiations to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Over the next week, more talks are expected in Oslo, Norway. The aim appears to be an agreement in time for French President Jacques Chirac's meeting with President Clinton when they meet in Washington Dec. 18.
Source: Cancun: Global Hysteria, Wealth Redistribution
Were certainly not the only ones criticising the emphasis on catastrophe in science reporting. The Tyndall Centres Mike Hulme an eminent and high-profile climate scientist, and certainly no denier (although we wonder how long it will be before he is labelled as such) has been saying it loudly for a year or two. In his new book, he also laments how political ideologies, beliefs and arguments hide behind science in climate debates. This is one reason we are so surprised that this all comes as such a surprise to you.
The three Chinese researchers concluded that because "both the number and the size of turion, the most important storage and reproductive organ, increased significantly" in the elevated CO 2 treatment, this phenomenon would enhance the "population-increasing rate of V. spinulosa ... in the next growth season and would benefit its dominant species role." Reviewed 22 March 2006
Carl Sagans Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence comes to mind with regard to the Younger Dryas claims but I have to admit, based on the global warming consensus, that this fundamental principle of science seems to have been trumped by politics and media attention in the past. I do remember the long struggle involved in getting the Alvarezs theory of a catastrophic asteroid impact causing the end of the Cretaceous and extinction of the dinosaurs accepted. No matter how much physical evidence was gathered from around the world, acceptance (a much stronger word to me than consensus) didnt happen until the smoking gun of the Cretaceous impact was located at Chicxulub in the Yucatan. Once the crater had been found, resistance to the asteroid theory rapidly crumbled and it is generally accepted as fact by most scientists today, though there is still a small minority of deniers.
A Cost/ Benefit Analysis of Reducing the Number of Additional Carbon Emitters aswell as Average Per Capita Carbon Emission
While both sides agree that Hamas must be dealt with, however, the question of tactics remains touchy. Most of the Israeli leadership maintains that the Palestinians themselves must dislodge Hamas before any final settlement can be achieved. But the more reflective Palestinians suggest that Israel is once again asking the PA to treat the symptoms while ignoring the disease.
Shova has another suggestion: Take us to your country if it gets bad here. Evan Sarkar prefers Canada: Theyve got more space.
RealClearPolitics - Articles - Panel on Friday's Events in the House "The Wall Street Journal" had a poll a couple of weeks ago that Fred was lampooning me about, but it was correct, that Obama had a 65-35 lead on the energy issue. Last week--this week, the Quinnipiac organization came out in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida, and said it's now 1/3, 1/3, 1/3. In other words, the climate has changed in McCain's direction, and now you're seeing Obama realizing that he's menaced by this energy issue, and I think he's making adjustments--not big adjustments. And it will be fascinating to see how the environmental community responds to this yielding, and to the position of the gang of ten. I mean, what they want to do--the gang of ten senators are willing to drill only 50 miles offshore, which is much closer to shore than the Republicans' position. Now, I would say that the environmental movement will go crazy about that, and come out against the measure.
"Europe and its children, the white-skinned cultures of the temperate zone, began to confront the tropical world more than five hundred years ago, driven by a craving for profits. Commercial capitalism spread worldwide from northwestern Europe, promoted by gunboats and colonial bureaucrats." (Lessons, Richard P. Tucker, pp. 39-40)
The Palm Sunday tornado outbreak on April 11, 1965 involved 47 tornadoes (15 significant, 17 violent, 21 killers) hitting the Midwest. It was the second biggest outbreak on record. In the Midwest, 271 people were killed and 1,500 injured (1,200 in Indiana). It was the deadliest tornado outbreak in Indiana history with 137 people killed. The outbreak also made that week the second most active week in history with 51 significant and 21 violent tornadoes. The tornado which hit Midway trailer park is disputed to be an F5, as 25 homes were literally and figuratively wiped off the face of the earth, with no signs of them ever found.
UN scientists said today they are '95 per cent' certain that climate change is man made, but still could not explain why the world has barely got any hotter in the last 15 years.
Google's growth online reflected by expansion in Mountain View:
An assumed radiative forcing of 4 W/m2 would thus lead to a warming of 4/15 C, which is less than 0.3 C, thus a factor 10 smaller than IPCC's most likely value of 3 C.
During the Great Depression, Herbert Hoover damaged the economy, and impoverished the American people, with costly, artificial attempts to stimulate the economy through increased government spending, financed by heavy taxes like the Revenue Act of 1932.
Empirical evidence shows that Earth is currently greening significantly due to additional CO2 and a modest warming.
What a difference that extra 120 ppm has made for plants, and for animals and humans that depend on them. The more carbon dioxide there is in the atmosphere, the more it is absorbed by plants of every description - and the faster and better they grow, even under adverse conditions like limited water, extremely hot air temperatures, or infestations of insects, weeds and other pests. As trees, grasses, algae and crops grow more rapidly and become healthier and more robust, animals and humans enjoy better nutrition on a planet that is greener and greener.
Global warming and climate change are usually thought to mean that world sea levels will rise, perhaps disastrously. But according to US government boffins, in recent times (2010 and 2011, to be precise) phenomena driven by human carbon emissions have actually caused world sea levels to fall.
His experience reveals how easily regulatory agencies can be corrupted by minority interest views using an alleged "crisis" of their own making to propel themselves into positions of even greater power and influence at great involuntary expense to the rest of us.
In a paper Global warming preceded by increasing carbon dioxide concentrations during the last deglaciation , Shakun et al .( Nature 2012) contend that rising temperature at the end of the last Pleistocene glaciation were preceded by increasing atmospheric CO2. In his usual masterful fashion, Willis Eschenbach has dug deeply into the data used in the paper and shredded the conclusions in it (see http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/04/06/a-reply-shakun-et-al-dr-munchausen-explains-science-by-proxy/
The trend difference means, that from 1979 to 2008 the CO2-rise per year compared to the global temperatures has fallen 0,5 ppm/year, or the other way around: It now takes approx. +0,15 K global temperature anomaly more to achieve the same level of CO2 rise/year as it did in 1979.
less self-serving than the role traditional great powers have played. U.S.
There is a clear pattern of repeated death threats and hate speech from very high profile people attacking sceptics. Plus individuals have received hate mail just for being sceptics. In January 2013 David Bellamy revealed that the:
On a completely different issue, I've heard that there's a rumor going around Aspen that the Tevatron will be announcing discovery of gluon + b b + Higgs, which would then require large tan( beta ), which would fit the MSSM. I guess we'll find out in a couple of weeks. At 5:50 pm, this rumor was confirmed to me in a private communication with a particle physicist who is even more famous and whose name will remain secret but if you omit "a" and "the", the titles of his newest 6 papers at SPIRES begin with ULGDSL (starting from the newest one). ;-) He is skeptical about the rumor but heard it, noting that the statistics is supported by 3 bottom-quark events.
Government suffers first setback as arbitration court says it is competent to judge claims
However reality and comon sense are absent when climate panicmongering is afoot. So Jersey run off is due to climate change even though there has been no warming for 18 years? And Sierra shows no trend to increased rainfall at all?
The Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) has learned of a UN plan recently put in place to hide official correspondence on non-governmental communication accounts, which a federal inspector general has already confirmed are subject to FOIA requests. This "cloud" serves as a dead-drop of sorts for discussions by U.S. government employees over the next report being produced by the scandal-plagued IPCC, which is funded with millions of U.S. taxpayer dollars.
In 2007, Chesapeake Energy discontinued the "Face It: Coal Is Filthy" campaign, due to Congressional pressure.
But that is not enough to generate the climate crisis the IPCCs founding document orders it to demonstrate: so the IPCC assumes the existence of several temperature feedbacks additional forcings f n demonimated in Watts per square meter per Kelvin of the direct warming that triggered them. The IPCC also imagines that these feedbacks are so strongly net-positive that they very nearly triple the direct warming we cause by adding CO2 to the atmosphere.
"In his final days as Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger bestowed a goodbye gift to the High Speed Rail Authority (HSRA), he used a line item veto to remove most performance requirements for the HSRA to obtain budget funding. Bottom line what Schwarzenegger is proposing is to skip the planning and go straight to doing."
Not content to report the weather, the Weather Channel's Heidi Cullen has become a global warming pundit, recently appearing on Larry King Live, where she seemed to say (incorrectly) that melting sea ice contributes to sea level rise.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Bombala Times
terrified that it might fall into the hands of the Rat-People. They
Bill Gray was also a famous climate realist who passed away in April. He was a professor at Colorado State University who was a world renowned expert in hurricanes. Of course it was not possible to dwell on the physics of hurricanes if it got in the way of CTBS. Naturally the baloney storm called for more destructive and frequent hurricanes caused by CT. Bill would have none of that, which put him on the wrong side of the fashion that CTBS induced.
To sum up, the IPCCs anthropogenically-forced CMIP5 climate models can broadly explain observed air temperature trends on land but fall woefully short of explaining observed SST trends in the oceans, where over 99% of the heat in the atmosphere and oceans is stored. Others may disagree, but I think this invalidates the models. Again.
His Linderholm, associate professor of physical geography at Gteborgs University, says that large and rapid svngningar climate is nothing unusual. He has underskt rsringar from trees which remained buried in the mud on the bottom of the Swedish fjllsjarna and compared them with trees from Tibet, writes Gteborgs-Posten.
THE ORANGE COUNTY REGISTER: "San Bernardino halts pension fund payments"
It turns out that the belief in a sensitive climate is not because of the observational evidence, but in spite of it. You can start to learn more about the evidence for low climate sensitivity (negative feedbacks) here .
House Global Warming Subcommittee Chairman Ed Markey (D-MA) was outraged that a renegade freelance lobbyist had sent a dozen phony letters to members of Congress, urging them to vote against cap-and-trade legislation.
We live on an ocean-covered planet, yet somehow the hows, the whens, the wheres, and the extents of the warming (and cooling) of the surfaces of our oceans seem to have eluded climate modelers. For the past few years, we have been presenting how poorly the climate models (used by the IPCC) simulate sea surface temperatureslong-term comparisons (example here ) and for the satellite-era. But in those cases, we presented modeled and observed sea surface temperature anomalies . In this post, we presented satellite-era sea surface temperatures, not anomalies, and this has pointed to other climate model failings, which further suggest that simulations of basic ocean circulation processes in the models are flawed.
Snow accumulated to a depth of more than one meter in places ??? Pyrnes-Atlantiques in Haute-Garonne (Aspe Osseau). Above 1800 meters, snow thickness reached 1.50 meters and 3.10 meters at Gavarnie station located 1850 meters.
Since Virginia is already a nuclear-friendly state that properly manages the risks of nuclear power, what sense does it make for the state to ban the safest step in the nuclear fuel cycle?
However, those other countries have for the most part massively increased their emissions from 1990 levels, wiping out the big nations' reductions. If the EU does not meet its collective target, as seems almost certain, then under Article 4 of the Kyoto Protocol itself, each individual country becomes responsible for a reduction of eight percent. At least 12 of the 15 EU countries concerned are on target to breach this target, nine of them spectacularly (having emissions increases of between 20 and 77 percent).
Only, until now, very little has materialized $18 million to be precise. Most of the money coughed up by industrialized nations has gone to large economies like China and India to finance mitigation in the form of energy efficiency (translation: slightly less polluting coal-fired power stations than before).
As you can see (if you click image for the closeup) the boatyard to the SW is completely dry. Mudflats are around the station every direction except SE.
The mismatch between rising greenhouse-gas emissions and not-rising temperatures is among the biggest puzzles in climate science just now. It does not mean global warming is a delusion. Flat though they are, temperatures in the first decade of the 21st century remain almost 1C above their level in the first decade of the 20th. But the puzzle does need explaining.