Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This common fingerprint is often misrepresented and misunderstood. In addition to the contradiction presented by the observed lack of warming of the troposphere compared to the surface warming over the last 20 years (see question 4), there are important unresolved questions. For example, computer models predict a cooling of the stratosphere from increased CO2, but this expected cooling is difficult to see among other, more dominant effects from volcanic aerosols to changes in stratospheric ozone and solar ultraviolet radiation.
on Wednesday, October 20th, 2010 at 7:43 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
I am willing to accept the analysis of folks like Ilya Somin who say that the President's non-enforcement decision on immigration laws is legal. But I think his concept of "precedent" when he says there are precedents for this sort of thing is way too narrow. This is an important, dangerous new precedent.
This really is a serious effort to explain the realities of life.
Thus, the wind industry wants to use more public land and of course, more public money so that it can continue killing the public's wildlife with impunity. But since the wind industry can claim that it is doing something no matter how insignificant with regard to carbon dioxide emissions, the Obama administration is willing to go along, and even help the industry hide the extent of its bird kills.
Arctic ice has recovered from its September minimum so strongly, that extent is now back to the average for 2001-10, according to JAXA. Indeed, based on Version 1, that was withdrawn in September, extent is 11,000 sq km higher than the average in the last decade. ----Paul Homewood, Not A Lot Of People Know That, 2 December 2013
The biggest story in American politics today is this: Andrew Jackson is mad as hell, and he's not going to take it anymore.
Deadly Typhoons: Killer Cyclones strike coastal areas along the Bay of Bengal with periodic frequency much like the floods along the Yangtze River in China. They historically have also devastated the China coast, Korea, Japan, the Philippines and Southeast Asia.
In stanbul, the snow could reach a depth of up to 30 cm (12 inches) throughout the week,Mayor Kadir Topba announced on Tuesday.
According to the FSHP, a more "accurate" view of the healthcare experience of Cubans can be seen at the Calixto Garcia Hospital. "FSHP believes that if Michael Moore really wanted the 'same care as local Cubans', this is where he should have gone," the cable states.
"Sen. Snowe should be commended for trying to eliminate the worst aspects of the committee's initial proposal, but her efforts to produce a compromise are at risk of being for naught, since liberal Democrats remain committed to the public option and have even taken to demonizing Baucus for his willingness to compromise. Furthermore, the Congressional Budget Office's estimate that the Finance Committee bill would trim the federal budget deficit by $81 billion over ten years is laughable, since most Democrats still want to expand many other benefits and have made no serious attempts to control the growth of health care costs."
(2) The ballooning of agriculture subsidies to farmers to push them into cultivating corn (despite everybody well knowing the environmental impact from corn fuel will be worse)
New YorkMy teenage son and I put in a lot of hours together in Boy Scouts. Then girls came along and he quit just short of his Eagle. It's a sore point.
Kan milj r relsen r ddas frn sig sj lv?
Indeed. But remove that line and the rest of the op-ed does a tremendous disservice to the anti-regulatory cause, fostering as it does needless climate alarmism, even adopting talking points straight from an Al Gore seminar. "For the past 20 years, I have seen the ever-so-gradual effects of rising sea levels at our farm on the South Carolina coast." Really? Sea levels rise 8 inches per century during the current inter-glacial period (10,000+ years), an historical rate that hasn't increased even according to the UN IPCC, and a pace which actually slowed down during the second half of the 20th Century. He must have quite an eye.
The think-tank, which champions "sound climate science," is known for its skeptical view of the catastrophic climate change narrative, raising fears that the attorneys general will target not just fraud but scientific disagreement on climate issues.
Since May 1997, CEI has chaired the Cooler Heads Coalition, the climate change working group of the National Consumers Coalition, an alliance of some 28 pro-market public policy groups, headed by Consumer Alert. On behalf of the Cooler Heads Coalition, CEI publishes May Cooler Heads Prevail, a biweekly newsletter on the science, economics, and politics of the climate treaty debate. Also on behalf of the Coalition, CEI organizes a monthly science briefing for congressional staff and media.
New York Times Tries to Stoke the Fires of Global Warming
NCDC shows that recent warming is identical to an earlier warming, when CO2 was much lower (310 ppm) and increasing slowly (3 ppm / decade.)
Uncertainty about the problem (man-made climate change) is a given; but uncertainty about the chosen solution is inexcusable. This is to say, we should be confident that our solutions are going to be effective, and the more expensive the solution the more confident we should be. In short, big responses require high levels of confidence that they will work. There seems to be a lack of credible evidence to demonstrate carbon pricing passes this test.
simulating todays rainfall distributions) the frequency doesnt change half
Chinese Drought 1941-1942-Over 3 million perish from starvation
It has been estimated that the U.S. national commitments to the UN to reduce emissions by 28% will prevent threehundredths of a degree centigrade in warming by 2100.
George Russell is executive editor of Fox News
I also do not understand how it can be said that this technology has never given results cost-effective, since it has a much higher return than, for example those of a photovoltaic plant of the same capacity.
By the 1990s the agency had become highly politicized. Early hires began leaving and were replaced by more radical staff, a circumstance which rapidly rose to epic proportions when the new Obama Administration later swept through the EPA bureaucracy overnight.
Im a fragile woman and I thought my blog, Verdant Hopes, might be a force for good in the world. Instead it has made me a victim once again.
Current datasets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century No robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin
Munday et al . state that their data suggest that the larval clown fish is "capable of regulating endolymphic fluid chemistry even in waters with pH values significantly lower than open ocean values," and they thus conclude that "the larval clown fish is robust to levels of ocean chemistry change that may occur over the next 50-100 years," which conclusion is about the same as that reached by Munday et al . (2011a), who they say "detected no effects of ~850 ppm CO 2 on size, shape or symmetry of otoliths on juvenile spiny damselfish, a species without a larval phase."
take a look at the whopper of a correction the Post has posted, essentially recanting the entire thing.
Fact 2. Between 2001 and 2010 global average temperature decreased by 0.05 degrees, over the same time that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels increased by 5 per cent. Ergo, carbon dioxide emissions are not driving dangerous warming.
A climate criminal alters their own data to makethe climate appear to be warming.
According to one of the papers, the current generation of climate models (CMIP5) are worse at simulating past global climate than the previous generation of models (CMIP3); i.e., the models are making giant leaps, but in the wrong direction.
Rapid temperature switches of several degrees within a few years to a decade have long been known from evidence in ice cores and other ancient climate records.
Besides the White House's extreme scare-mongering, the report's credibility is also D.O.A. due to its blatant falsehood regarding "CO2-caused" warming of the globe and the U.S.
In the last analysis, history itself may be the most intransigent participant in the negotiations. For the better part of twenty years, Fatah and its PLO brethren dedicated their efforts to the eradication of the Jewish state, modifying their basic covenant only when physically expelled from contiguous territories or in response to game-changing regional conflicts. Meanwhile, Israel adopted a mindless settlement policy in the West Bank and elsewhere (much of it illegal under Israeli law) that created a new Israeli constituency, the settlers, now a fully empowered part of Israel's political landscape and as extreme in their religious claim to the land as any jihadists.
ut in 2023, the infamous year of perpetual summer, lived up to its name, taking 500,000 lives worldwide and costing nearly $500 billion in losses due to fires, crop failures, and the deaths of livestock and companion animals. The loss of pet cats and dogs garnered particular attention among wealthy Westerners, but what was anomalous in 2023 soon became the new normal (p. 8-9).
But there are bright spots. There are politicians on the central level who starts taking to no man living under the gallows s maybe it starts to be time to change the language, or tminstone to slow down the train towards financial ruin.
"It is becoming increasingly clear that the state Legislature isn't interested in updating its eminent domain laws to better protect property owners against unwarranted seizure by the government."
If nothing else, finding a common cause amongst that lot is a major achievement!
The answer? "An enhanced political will is clearly needed to avoid return to status quo, to push forward regulatory mechanisms, and improve financial governance."
Let's check the numbers, provided the Puget Sound Clean Air Agency , a really excellent organization that works to keep our air breathable. I will be showing you concentrations of small particles (PM2.5, less than or equal to 2.5 microns in size, particles that can make their way deep into your lungs and cause all kinds of problems).
It is astounding that the Japanese regulators think that your bedtime is government business. Then again, this is the same country that has a legally allowable maximum waistline.
The United States is having better luck at controlling its emissions than most other countries, without the multi-billion-dollar mandates of Kyoto.
NOAA recently announced that July 2012 was the hottest month on record for the CONUS. As the above map shows, though, only Virginia actually broke the state record for July, logging up 79.0F, beating the previous record set in July 1934 of 78.6F. Or, at least, thats what NOAA tell us, but what do the thermometers say?
Vaclav Klaus Joins Skeptics' Conference
Dominic Lawson, The Sunday Times, 10 January 2010: A period of humility and even silence would be particularly welcome from the Met Office, our leading institutional advocate of the perils of man-made global warming, which had promised a ?barbecue summer? in 2009 and one of the ?warmest winters on record?. In fact, the Met still asserts we are in the midst of an unusually warm winter ? as one of its staffers sniffily protested in an internet posting to a newspaper last week: ?This will be the warmest winter in living memory, the data has already been recorded. For your information, we take the highest 15 readings between November and March and then produce an average. As November was a very seasonally warm month, then all the data will come from those readings.?
G20 Stimulus, A Plan for Carbon Dioxide and Mark-to-Market Reforms
on Tuesday, July 27th, 2010 at 7:52 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
The multi-model mean are not expected to present the year-to-year variations in sea surface temperature associated with the El Nio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Some of the models simulate ENSO; others dont. The models that do attempt to simulate ENSO do a poor job of it. (This is documented in numerous peer-reviewed papers. Refer to the post Guilyardi et al (2009) Understanding El Nio in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges ) Each model produces ENSO events on its own schedule; that is, the modeled ENSO events do not reproduce the observed frequency, duration, and magnitude of El Nio and La Nia events. Since the multi-model mean presents the average of all of those modeled out-of-synch ENSO signals, they are smoothed out. For this reason, we are only concerned with the disparity in the modeled and observed trends.
RSS satellite data show only 0.2C global warming since 1990, considerably short of the 1990 IPCC threshold of an additional 0.5C warming to detect an anthropogenic "enhanced greenhouse effect"
Yes, but what about the "consensus"? The IPCC states that it is likely that most of the warming over the past 50 years is due to man's emissions. How did it come about? Large models which could not simulate human behaviour supposedly described natural climate variations. According to the author, "the fact that these models could not replicate the warming episode from the mid-seventies through the mid-nineties (was used) to argue that forcing was necessary and that the forcing must have been due to man."
Following on from this, the authors examine climate model development and testing, and both sections are interesting. For example, the section on tuning models includes this:
Now consider Obama's "green jobs" plan, which includes regulations, subsidies, and renewable-power mandates. The "broken windows" in this case would be lost jobs and lost capital in the coal, oil, gas, nuclear, and automobile industries. Currently, these industries directly employ more than 1 million people.
Lets confirm a few things that were blatantly obvious in the trend maps in Figure 1.
on Friday, October 29th, 2010 at 10:29 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Now, looking at Figure 2, it is clear that CO2 has little influence on global temperature over this longer timescale. Note also that from about -130,000 to -100,000 CO2??s contribution remains at around its highest level while temperature falls more than 8 degrees. Similarly from about -400,000 to -350,000. In all of the major temperature increases, CO2 contributes no more than about 1/6 of the temperature increase.
This is another indication of why leading climate economists such as Yale's William Nordhaus find that the drastic policies proposed by Sir Nicholas Stern would carry a net cost of one-and-a-half times as much as global warming.
A pending maunder minimum? Well everyone is predicting a solar cycle decrease, with most other studies predicting more of a decrease than Wang, Lean, Sheeley 2005.
The global temperature report for July 2004 from the University of Alabama in Huntsville Earth System Science Center found that the month was the coolest month in four and a half years and the coolest July in a dozen years.
The Winnepeg Free Press here and Yahoo report here that Western Canada needs to brace for a brutal winter. Hat tip reader Matti Vooro.
Instead of adopting the attitude of Candide's Dr. Pangloss that this is the best of all possible worlds and that any change is detrimental, we should reexamine ways in which our fears of the future impede our developing the resiliency we need to meet the challenges that the future may bring. If the world does become, say, warmer and wetter, agriculture would need to adapt. Seen in that light, the environmentalist's war against biotechnology justified by the anti-scientific precautionary principle is not only misguided, but deadly. As the late political scientist Aaron Wildavsky noted, the greatest risk is the attempt to make the world risk-free.
So our biggest power station, the leviathan Drax plant near Selby in North Yorkshire, is switching from dirty, non-renewable coal. Biomass is far more expensive, but the consumer helps the process by paying subsidies via levies on energy bills.
After a tremendous backlash from the vast majority of American farmers who want access to biotech crops as well as both Democratic and Republican farm-state politicians the USDA finally relented and approved Roundup Ready alfalfa without the planting restrictions at the end of January 2011. But this is hardly a case of "no harm, no foul." As Illinois farmer John Reifsteck wrote, "The problem is that Vilsack let politics hijack the regulatory process. He very nearly capitulated to a small group of outspoken activists who think that the retrograde methods of organic farming should take precedence over just about every other form of agriculture, including highly productive methods that are essential if we're serious about keeping people fed and food prices in check."
Gas Drilling Slowdowns But Gas Prices Are Rising: At What Price Do Drilling Rigs Head Back To PA?
To the extent that Briffa et al 2013 is supposed to deliver on this expectation, it is a complete failure. Supplementary Material 9 is the only discussion of the regional chronology. It begins with a discussion of what appears to be the 2006 regional chronology, though this is not explicitly stated. On the contrary, they introduce the (2006) chronology as having been constructed to illustrate a statistical tradeoff between random sampling error and systematic error:
Murphy, who is senior economist with the Institute for Energy Research, testifed before the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works concerning the White House's recent estimate of the "social costs" of carbon emissions. Murphy notes, "the public and policymakers have not been fully informed on what the economics profession actually has to say about climate change. Before justifying economically damaging regulations by reference to 'the' social cost of carbon, policymakers must realize the dubious nature of this concept." Estimation of a "social cost of carbon," or SCC, relies on computer models that can produce a wide range of results depending on the assumptions fed into them.
Indeed, the study says that the "modern maximum" a peak in solar activity that lasted much of the last century corresponds very well with an increase in global temperatures.
For years, certain natural gas producers, led by Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey McClendon, have pursued a myopic strategy of demonizing coal in an effort to seize a larger share of the electricity generation market.
Jackson does, however, recall one interesting moment during the first half that has something to do with the latest controversy. He recalls, during a television timeout, there was an especially long delay that prompted him to approach an official.
According to New York Times reporter Andrew Revkin, that is. In todays Science section, Revkin writes that there has been a slight increase in sea-ice area around Antarctica in recent decades. But in a Sept. 21 article, Scientists Report Severe Retreat of Arctic Ice , he reported that sea ice around Antarctica has seen unusual winter expansions recently, and this week is near a record high.
According to the Paris-based International Energy Agency, in 2012 the world emitted a little over 31 gigatons of carbon dioxide. China was the No. 1 emitter, accounting for more than one-fourth of the carbon produced. The U.S. was second, emitting about one-sixth.
In the words of the four German scientists, they observed "reduced growth rates as well as weakening of barnacle shells only under very high pCO 2 (>1930 atm)." However, they add that "even under these highly acidified conditions, and corroborating other recent investigations on barnacles (e.g., McDonald et al ., 2009; Findlay et al ., 2010a,b), these impacts were subtle and sub-lethal." And "furthermore," as they continue, "ocean warming as expected to occur in the future (IPCC, 2007) has the potential to mitigate the negative effects of ocean acidification (Brennand et al ., 2010; Waldbusser, 2011; present study)."
Don't expect to hear much on the way people in the Western world lifted themselves out of poverty: free-market capitalism.
The National Interagency Fire Center data show an even more striking decline in wildfires when comparing the full 1970-1986 era versus the full 1986-2013 era. True, the number of acres burned each year, according to the National Interagency Fire Center, was approximately 67 percent higher during 1987-2013 than during 1970-1986 (though substantially less than the 600 percent figure claimed by Running), but even this small increase in acres burned merely reflects changes in federal wildfire suppression policy. Barely half as many wildfires occurred each year from 1987-2013 than from 1970-1986.
As the adjacent chart depicts, global warming continues to be a non-issue over the last 15 years (180 months through July 2012).
In January and again in April, the EPA bankrolled "Post Kyoto" conferences for State and local environmental agency heads and air quality regulators. "Through such networking exercises, the Administration is recruiting pro-Kyoto lobbyists in bureaucratic power centers immune to Senate oversight," said Lewis, who attended both meetings. Nor is that all. "If enough States adopt EPA-approved "climate change action plans,' Kyoto will become the de facto law of the land, regardless of how (or whether) the Senate votes on ratification."
The FCC issues a new order allowing greater competition between cable, broadband and other video services.
Note that I will link to some more in depth tutorials at the end of the post.
5. Any climate policy can be justified only on the grounds of rational expectations about future climate response to human activity. Models can provide those rational expectations only if they are validated by real-world observation. But in this case, the models not only are not validated but are invalidatedfalsified. The models are wrong. Therefore they provide no rational basis for predictions about future global temperature, and no rational basis for any policy whatever.
Cabinet had discussed the idea of ratifying the Kyoto Protocol many times, ever since it was negotiated in 1997. Robert Hill had done a sterling job at the Conference in negotiating a target for Australia that frankly looked impossible at the outset. At the time I was surprised that, after investing so much effort in getting such a good outcome, we did not ratify it. The reason was that the protocol, by leaving out huge emitters in the developing world, was going to have little impact on global climate change. The protocol was flawed by the fact that it covered only the developed world.
Two EPA lawyers criticized the cap-and-trade energy bill passed by the House as a scam, noting in The Washington Post that it will be manipulated to profit politically connected corporations and reward certain kinds of pollution, while not cutting greenhouse gas emissions. A similar scheme enacted in Europe in the name of fighting global warming enriched polluters, while not reducing emissions, which actually rose faster in most of Europe than in the U.S.MPAA: Net Neutrality Will Kill Film Industry
We have written about the biological benefits of elevated temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels hundreds of times, and we will never run out of new material! Evidence the results of two recent article showing how CO2 improves the yield of wheat and the competitiveness of rice.
By contrast, the American left always detested the space program as Cold War hubris and saw the Right Stuff as a danger zone filled with hazardously high levels of testosterone. The only value they saw was as a display of big government in action when, in fact, the program was really a coming together of American industrial knowhow, engineering innovation, scientific precision and sheer guts that a government could fund but never recreate.
Email matt@wmbriggs.com or call (beginning Monday, 17 January) 917-392-0691.