Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But is the goal to save the planet from ecological catastrophe or simply to lower energy use? Nature admits in the article that more science is needed, that better and more credible models must be developed. Indeed, it warns governments against relying too much on climatologists! Regardless, Nature argues for signing a treaty because reducing energy use is a good thing in and of itself. Global warming is just a convenient excuse.
If you don't want to watch 10:10?s ad campaign, HillBuzz provides a synopsis:
reading a book I promised, many weeks ago, to review
Andy Revkin: More on Extreme Weather in a Warming Climate
It is reasonable to say that if air pressure caused the lower temperature in the ice-age then birds that cannot fly above 3200m (due to the lower lift) would not be present. In other words, we can disprove this theory if we can find a bird that cannot fly above 3200m and has not changed significantly through the ice-ages.
Sir, Your editorial "Cutting carbon" (January 20) misstates the efficacy of carbon cap-and-trade schemes as "the most cost-effective way of reducing pollution."
Yes, that's right: the computer code was designed to create a warming trend no matter what data was put into it. You could make up your own numbers showing the exact same recorded temperatures each and every year for the last thousand years and the "model" would still spit out an Al-Gore-style hockey-stick warming graph.
Is the USA next in line? The United States is reaping imaginary bounties from its $814-billion "stimulus" spending orgy. It hemorrhaged $223 billion in red ink during February alone on its way to a projected 2011 deficit of $1.5 trillion, the Congressional Budget Office reports.
Much-hyped Antarctic runway turning to water | News.com .au
The latest data actually show temperatures have dropped in recent years. The IPCC and other scientists have branded this as a ?pause? in climate change. Ball said that characterization implies that temperatures are temporarily holding steady and will inevitably rise again soon. He said that conclusion is dead wrong.
are consumed by such fast-emerging markets as China and India"
Entitled The extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere temperature in the last two millennia: reconstructions of low-frequency variability, by B Christiansen of the Danish Meteorological Institute and F C Ljungqvist of Stockholm University, the paper concludes that previous climate reconstructions seriously underestimate variability and trends in the climate record of the past two millennia.
About this time Steve McIntyre linked up with Ross McKitrick a Canadian economist specialising in environmental economics and policy analysis. Together McIntyre and McKitrick began to dig down into the data that Mann had used in his paper and the statistical techniques used to create the single blended average used to make the Hockey Stick. They immediately began to find problems .
Already, protected areas or parks now occupy 13.2% of all of South America. The Pan American Railroad proposed to link North America with Chile is virtually blocked since every possible route must pass through a protected area. (Eco-logic report, p.12) And if the U.N. Biodiversity Treaty goes through, massive stretches of additional forest will be forever locked away with access in and out regulated by international bureaucrats or the non-governmental organizations (like Rainforest Action Network, National Wildlife Federation, and World Wildlife Fund) they charge with oversight.
This reads, the probability that somebody gets better using drug D rather than P given the raw numbers we had from the old trial (including the old patient characteristics) and that no cheating took place in that trial and the new patients who will use the drugs look like the patients from the previous trial, is greater than 50% (and less than certain).
If it all feels like legal deja-vu, that?s because it is ? though this particular case has come with a twist, as new, broader issues of information access are at stake. On the surface it looks like a kind of redux of the suit launched by then-Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli. But because of different legal issues, it has ended up bringing together strange allies, banding together media groups with the libertarian think tank.
This chart illustrates a data analysis mistake that is absolutely endemic to many of the most famous climate charts. Marc Morano screencapped this from a new EPA web site (update: Actually originally from Pat Michaels at Cato )
"The Tampa to Orlando line had the backing of everyone from business to the state's Republican legislators; but Rick Scott, the new Tea Party-backed governor, blocked it as a "big government boondoggle". Today the Transportation Department announced that the money will go elsewhere."
From a 2005 Nieman Foundation for Journalism at Harvard page, "Global Warming: What's Known vs. What's Told", first quoting from other Nieman writers, then environment reporter Bud Ward:
This morning we received an update from friend at the Institut Hayek in France. Evidently, the French Academy of Sciences soon will release a paper that eviscerates the ???beautiful certainties?? espoused by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. To read Drieu Godefridi??s brief on the imminent report, click here . To visits the Institut Hayek website, click here .
The restriction has stymied efforts to "fast-track" approvals for four of the seven most promising wind energy proposals in the nation, including all three in California.
Maritime operations are of course not foreign to NATO. In the 1990s, Operation Sharp Guard constituted a dress rehearsal of sorts for Operation Active Endeavor after 9/11. In 2003, OAE was expanded functionally and geographically to cover the whole Mediterranean and ended up including some Mediterranean Dialogue countries as well as Russia and Ukraine. Many NATO allies participate in the Container Security Initiative (CSI) and the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), and it is no coincidence that the former head of Joint Forces-Naples, Admiral Mullen (the current chief of naval operations and JCS chairman-designate), is the one who developed the concept of the "Thousand Ship Navy" (TSN), which is today the talk of the U.S. Navy.
Figure 2. Observations and calculated values, Northern and Southern Hemisphere temperatures. Note that the observations are almost hidden by the calculation.
The overwhelming success of the Mega Millions enterprise makes it an irresistible target for something more a way to transform American elections and along the way reduce our deep political dysfunction. Our take-no-prisoners tribal politics have at root the reality that the two parties' narrow ideological bases have far more influence on the selection of candidates, the positions taken by the candidates and the pressures placed on elected officials than the rest of the population. With turnout in presidential elections hovering between 50 and 60 percent, 30 to 40 percent for mid-term congressional contests, and sometimes 10 to 20 percent for primaries, it is the bases who rule.
In 2011, almost 40 percent of the giant U.S. corn crop went into making ethanol, and the United States still exported more than half of all corn shipments worldwide.
Farm special interests lobbied fiercely against including indirect emissions, arguing that the science was inexact. The environmentalists prevailed. In early May of this year, the EPA announced it would include the controversial emissions in its calculation of ethanol's lifecycle emissions.
Subject: factual error in book review Polar Distress by Holly Morris (last weekends)
Penn State University has just announced their new President ? Eric Barron. Barron is currently President at Florida State University; my colleagues and friends there tell me that Barron is well liked and has been doing a good job. The interesting angle is this. From his FSU biosketch:
Note that the survey comprised NINE questions, about global warming, to earth scientists. Only two of the questions have ever been revealed, and the results assessed from those two alone. These two do not consider the magnitude of human influence at all. There is no mention even of CO2. Now what on earth were the other 7 questions about, to earth scientists?- Cooking? Sport? Why is the EOS article so coy?
According to California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, "the debate is over. We know the science, we see the threat and we know the time for action is now." Schwarzenegger issued his call for action on climate change last week at the United Nations World Environment Day conference in San Francisco, where he unveiled an executive order establishing stringent greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets for California.
El Nio and La Nia events typically peak in strength in December and January. Refer to Figure Intro-1. Its a graph of the weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 region of the eastern equatorial Pacific, starting in 1990. The sea surface temperature anomalies of the NINO3.4 region are an often-used index of the frequency, strength and duration of the El Nio and La Nia events. The El Nio events appear as the large upward spikes (warmings) in the sea surface temperature anomalies, and La Nias show themselves as the downward spikes (coolings). As youll note, they normally peak in December and January.
- The available scientific evidence does not support the claim that the climate of the 20th century in many locations around the globe was unusual when compared to the previous 900 years. Claims that man-made emissions are causing "unprecedented" global warming have been seriously undermined by new research that shows much of the earth was warmer during the early Middle Ages.
Heartland's Horace Cooper on The O'Reilly Factor!
Based on Mann's denial, the preliminary report concluded that there was no evidence to indicate that Mann intended to delete e-mails even though that conclusion is contradicted by the plain language and circumstances of the relevant e-mail exchange. No inquiry beyond Mann's denial was made.
understand how the physical environment may be damaged by changes in climate and
Now, as you can see from Figure 2, the Kiehl hypothesis of cancellation has a big problem. The CERES results do not bear out Kiehl??s claims in the slightest. Instead, they support my hypothesis that increased tropical clouds cool the surface. As you can see, on average the loss from the reflected sunlight is about 20% or so greater than the gain from increased IR. This means that there is no cancellation. Instead, the clouds have a net cooling effect.
And finally, the Heartland meltdown puts Gleicks actions into a new perspective. An indirect consequence of Gleicks actions seems to have been to motivate some individual environmentalists to harass Heartland, which triggered a response that included the billboard. I still dont think that Heartland was a worthy target for Gleicks bullet, although his bullet seems more effective to me now than it did a few months ago.
I cant get into it enoughI work at Fort Hood, the home of the 4th ID.
New Report Debunks Common Myths about Energy
The Light Brigade is the first serious effort to provide balance to the "forward on climate" rally.
However, the RICO investigation they propose would unavoidably extend to people whose only "crime' is questioning climate orthodoxy.
Im free immediately. The only hitch is that I promised Cornell I would teach a two-week course at the end of this June.
A high-quality, motivated workforce with diverse ideas, skills, and backgrounds
It is still a good question to ask and one I urged teachers to get their students to ask. They can begin with the book that became the book of genesis for the environmental alarmism, Rachel Carson?s Silent Spring. They can continue through the Y2K fiasco to the CFCs destroying the ozone. There never was a shred of evidence that CFCs were in the ozone layer or causing change. Interestingly, a major proponent of the CFC destruction argument was Susan Solomon who became Co-Chair of Working Group I of the IPCC.
First, I suspect that we will see the EPA Administrator raised to cabinet rank. With this will come a more radical and assertive EPA. This should not be surprising. Even within this Administration, the EPA has been flexing its muscles. The issuance of the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act was accompanied by reactions from other government departments about how terrible the rules would be, rather than going through the usual process of dealing with these difficulties internally and watering down the rule. Given that Obama has said he will want the EPA, absent Congressional action, to go ahead with its plans, this may be an indication that EPA will become an agency that, in most cases, is primus inter pares.
This seems to support Serreze on "more intense in the Arctic" but not on "first in the Arctic". Ed also pointed me to this article, which is cited by AR4. It says this in its abstract:
The power of green loonies: Apple Rejoins "Green' Registry and Says Exit Was Mistake
Assuming the ocean heat content data and Hansen's forcing estimates are accurate, how could the average radiative forcing be 4 times the average radiative imbalance? The answer is FEEDBACK:
In a blog post a few weeks ago, Ms. Cullen scolded a fellow meteorologist, who declined to lecture viewers about global warming, noting how the issue had been "politicized" and that, given the cyclical nature of weather patterns, he was unsure what "generalizations" could be inferred from the warming trend of recent times.
Bast, Joseph, L.; Hill, Peter J.; Rue, Richard C. Eco Sanity: A Common Sense Guide to Environmentalism. Lanham, Maryland: Madison Books, 1994.
Ever since the mosquito-transmitted West Nile Virus appeared in New York City during 1999, environmental activists have been fighting efforts to keep the disease under control. Not only have they battled against any spraying for adult mosquitoes, they have also fought methods to manage mosquito larvae. These groups maintain that the control methods are more dangerous than the diseases they seek to control.
Indeed, EPA and other regulators routinely ignore the impacts that their draconian regulations have on people's jobs, living standards, health and welfare including reduced or lost incomes, lower nutrition, welfare dependency, drug and alcohol abuse, and shorter life spans. They then present scientists, "health" and "environmental" organizations and advisory committees that approve and applaud the regulations anyway often because the agencies pay them millions of dollars a year to do so.
This study finds that even after accounting for green jobs, there is a substantial and long-term net reduction in total labor earnings and employment. This is the unintended but predictable consequence of investing to create a "green energy future."
Durning, Alan. "Cradles of Life," Worldwatch, May/June, 1989, pp. 30-40.
TaxPayers Alliance chief executive Matthew Sinclair, said: Many families are going to struggle to pay their energy bills this winter, but instead of helping, politicians are adding to the problem with expensive green taxes.
Not all federal lands have oil-and-gas, or other mineral-extraction, potential, so a reversal of policy may not increase production by the 61% seen on state and private landsbut it could mean the U.S. not only passes Saudi Arabia in oil production, it leaves it in a dust storm.
We??ve discussed on many occasions that you can ???get?? a HS merely from picking upward-trending series from networks of red noise (David Stockwell had a good note on this phenomenon on his blog a couple of years ago. My first experiments of this type were on the cherry picks in the original Jacoby network.) Since gridcell temperature series from the mid-19th century to late 20th century by and large have an upward trend, this test is equivalent to a simple pick operation. Whatever the merits of effectively screening the data set for upward trending data, this affects statistical benchmarks, as the null is applying the same sort of operation to red noise networks.
Researchers around the globe continue to build on the mountain of scientific evidence that the Medieval Period had warmer temperatures than the modern era.
35 See IPCC 1995, p. 40.
So the White House pushed, and the Congress passed, a gigantic trillion-dollar stimulus, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. It was, however, anything but targeted. Instead, it was a grab bag of special interest handouts.
Unlike carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide and other pollutants, carbon dioxide is not toxic. In fact, it is an essential ingredient in plant photosynthesis, without which there would be no life on earth. For the past century, greenhouse operators have been adding CO 2 to the air inside greenhouses to enhance plant growth.
Jan Rovensk, Czech Greenpeace Climate Boss, on the left, one of his comrade on the right, and your humble correspondent in the middle.
And sea levels are rising, threatening to inundate New York and Los Angelesalthough rising sea levels does have a downside.
They did say that didn't they? I guess what you see is very much driven by where you look.
Since temperatures have stabilized in the last decade, we looked at the correlation of the CO2 with HCSN data. Greenhouse theory and models predict an accelerated warming with the increasing carbon dioxide.
B ttcher, F. (1996): Climate change: forcing a treaty. In: Emsley, J. (Ed.): The Global Warming Debate. The report of the European Science and Environment Forum. Bourne Press, Ltd., Bournemouth, Dorset, UK, 267-285.
I'm not so sure. It's disturbing to see people who have some scientific knowledge, and probably know better, use opposition to GMOs to raise money and garner publicity. Dr. Oz and the Food Babe are after ratings and Internet traffic, and perhaps they haven't taken time to understand the science. But some of the major environmental groups and leading food journalists understand the science, and they still won't admit what is patently true: the methods we use to genetically engineer plants are perfectly safe and offer great hope for our ability to continue increasing the production of food.
Independent climate researcher Nick Lewis put out a study last year with Georgia Techs Dr. Judith Curry that found that the climates response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels a measurement called climate sensitivity was 1.64 degrees Celsius.
13. Paul Ehrlich warned in the May 1970 issue of Audubon that DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons "may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people born since 1945." Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946 now had a life expectancy of only 49 years, and he predicted that if current patterns continued this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980, when it might level out.
Because the judicial role is generally understood to be that of law interpreter and enforcer, not law maker, plaintiffs in these climate change lawsuits must persuade the courts that existing law requires them to order their coequal branches of government to do what they have previously failed or even declined to do. In the United States, most plaintiffs have relied on the common law doctrines of public nuisance and public trust. Pursuant to both theories, the idea is that the public has preexisting rights that are being violated by government's failure to adequately mitigate climate change. In other countries, climate change lawsuits are more often founded on alleged government obligations under international law and on public rights implicit in international legal principles.
The research institute run by the head of the UNs climate body has handed out a series of environmental awards to companies that have given it financial support, The Sunday Telegraph can disclose.
on Tuesday, June 28th, 2011 at 10:57 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
"We are here to discuss a serious threat to sport and to society. Irregular and illegal betting are closely linked to match fixing and money laundering."
GLOBAL IMPACTS OF AN GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE TREATY
Heath: I dont know, Molly. Dont you think that trees have a right to take what we want? I meansurvival of the fittest and all.
Warmists are having a hard time convincing people that its getting warmer when the weather outside is cold, but coolists are having a great time with predictions:
Featured Podcast: Phelim McAleer: I Was Held Prisoner by Pipeline Protesters
(Incidentally, our items in this post are pulled from Marc Morano's exceptional Climate Depot ezine newsletter. Go here to get it delivered to your email box daily. Highly recommended and not just because he linked to our column.)
New data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration show atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are continuing to rise but global temperatures are not following suit. The new data undercut assertions that atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing a global warming crisis.NOAA data show atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rose 2.67 parts per million in 2012, to 395 ppm. The jump was the second highest since 1959, when scientists began measuring atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.Global temperatures are essentially the same today as they were in 1995, when atmospheric carbon dioxide levels were merely 360 ppm. Atmospheric carbon dioxide levels rose 10 percent between 1995 and 2012, yet global temperatures did not rise at all. Global warming activists are having a difficult time explaining the ongoing disconnect between atmospheric carbon dioxide levels and global temperatures.Read the full story in my weekly Forbes.com article, available here.
I searched the Internet for more information, but the story appears to be bottled up for now. The online dnews.de has a small report.
Jasper Kirkby of CERN has published a new paper examining the potential link between cosmic rays and climate.
Bry rhetorically asked himself if it is immoral to bring a kid into a world ravaged by pot-marked roads brought asunder by man's unwillingness to meet climate change head-on.
One of the unintended and humorous consequences of climate record fabrications has been the nonsensical and irrational explanations as to why enhanced global warming is producing colder and more severe winters. The faux-warming has now necessitated the fabrication of new global warming capabilities that are entirely inconsistent with known weather physics and history.
The climate record also reveals evidence for major climatic changes on time scales shorter than those for astronomical cycles. During the past millennium, the earth experienced a climate Optimum around 1100 A.D., when Vikings found Greenland to be green and Vinland (Labrador?) able to support grape growing. The Little Ice Age found European glaciers advancing well before 1600 and suddenly retreating starting in 1860. The warming reported in the global temperature record since 1880 may thus simply be the escape from this Little Ice Age rather than our entrance into the human greenhouse.
\] Here, \(\rho\) is the density matrix. In a basis where \(\rho\) is diagonal, the formula directly reduces to the classical one. In this sense, the new aspect of information in quantum mechanics is that the state vector (or density matrix) may be sliced in many inequivalent ways by measuring one set of mutually commuting observables; or another set of mutually commuting observables that however refuse to commute with those in the first set.
The response to Mr. Carlin was an email from his boss, Al McGartland, forbidding him from "any direct communication" with anyone outside of his office with regard to his analysis. When Mr. Carlin tried again to disseminate his analysis, Mr. McGartland decreed: "The administrator and the administration have decided to move forward on endangerment, and your comments do not help the legal or policy case for this decision. . . . I can only see one impact of your comments given where we are in the process, and that would be a very negative impact on our office." (Emphasis added.)