Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Instead of economically harmful global warming policies, development agencies should concentrate their considerable institutional knowledge on advancing pro-growth policies, like trade liberalization. Today, free trade needs an influential booster such as the World Bank. Energy intensive export industries in developing countries are threatened by carbon taxes imposed by rich countries, under the pretext of fighting climate change. Retaliatory tariffs would be likely, which could easily escalate into a global trade war.
That's because local officials and the USEPA didn't do their jobs didn't monitor or fix failing, corroded lead water pipes. Repairing Flint's system, and addressing water and sewer problems in other cities, will cost billions of dollars. If we are forced to spend tens or hundreds of billions on exaggerated, fabricated or imaginary risks, there will be little left to resolve our remaining real health problems.
Well, science says something different. All these weather events ??? much like the Earth and the Solar System ??? have been around for 4.6 billion years. Up to noisy fluctuations and some potentially understandable, mild, regular, persistent climate cycles, not necessarily periodic ones, nothing has detectably changed about the frequency or probabilistic distributions of these events in the last several thousands of years. If we improve the theory by the glaciation cycles, nothing has changed for one million of years.
...which does at least make it clear how the climate change is being used to push a political agenda. They need to spin a threat of climate change in order to move the politicians in the desired direction. Shame about the impact on the reputation of science, but that has long since ceased to be a concern of Royal Society.
So the planet has got a little warmer in the last 200 years, and grapes are ripening a little earlier. Just as it got colder before the Little Ice Age and, no doubt, grapes ripened a little later. Its called climate and its what the planet does.
National Academy Of Sciences Study Shows Worlds Love Affair With Stepping Stone To Prosperity Growing!
As living entities, corals are not only acted upon by the various elements of their environment, they also react or respond to them. And when changes in environmental factors pose a challenge to their continued existence, they sometimes take major defensive or adaptive actions.
HAYDEN: Onlyoh never mind. Look, Im late to see my mother. She expects me. You know if I dont show or call, she worries.
A DfID spokesman described Teri as a globally respected institution.
on Saturday, July 17th, 2010 at 3:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Virtually all the projections of future climate change in AR5 are based on the mean and range of outcomes simulated by this latest CMIP5 generation of climate models (AOGCMs). Changes in other variables largely scale with changes in global surface temperature. The key determinant of the range and mean level of projected increases in global temperature over the rest of this century is the transient climate response (TCR) exhibited by each CMIP5 model, and their mean TCR. Model equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) values, although important for other purposes, provide little information regarding surface warming to the last quarter of this century beyond that given by TCR values.
I try really hard not to try to guess at what motivates folks I disagree with by assuming they are driven by something dark and evil, but how else in this case can one describe opinions like this so contrary to facts as anything other than prejudice against a particular ethnic group?
Consider the change in cell phone technology and prices over the past 20 years. When the director of Wall Street wanted to emphasize Gordon Gecko?s power and wealth, he portrayed him holding a brick-size cell phone.
Everything you think you know about the collapse of the Soviet Union is wrong
And they create some thorny issues for policy makers that will need to be addressed. Most importantly, energy analysts must cease utilizing a far-too-simple assumption that efficiency gains yield direct and linear reductions in energy use. The complex and varied economic phenomena known collectively as "rebound effects" mean that we cannot expect that improving the energy efficiency of steel production by 30 percent, for example, will yield a simple and direct 30 percent reduction in the energy consumed by the steel sector, let alone the economy as whole. Just as economists expect that gains in labor productivity will contribute to greater employment overall, not less, gains in energy productivity (aka energy efficiency) are not likely to be taken up simply as direct reductions in energy demand overall. Have a look and feel free to come back here to discuss.
Robert Wood on May 30, 2008 at 1:35 pm
We in the West have reached a level where we can sit in the dark for an hour, fully confident that the lights will come back on when we flick the switch, but there are many places around the world where that is not the case. In some countries it is Earth Hour every hour.
And by loudly denouncing all bad thingswar, poverty, famine, and cigarette advertising aimed at teensthe Chicken Littles are also playing the moral bully. They're saying:
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has estimated the potential savings from a nationwide 25% renewable electricity standard, a goal included in the Waxman-Markey energy bill that narrowly passed the House last year. Best-case scenario: about 306 million tons less CO2 by 2030. Given that the agency expects annual U.S. carbon emissions to be about 6.2 billion tons in 2030, that expected reduction will only equal about 4.9% of emissions nationwide. That??s not much when you consider that the Obama administration wants to cut CO2 emissions 80% by 2050.
Obama has not done so, because he is unwilling to let Waxman-Markey succeed or fail on its own merits. He wants the prospect of regulatory chaos to herd Republicans into the cap-and-trade corral. But Republicans can turn this weapon against those brandishing it just by refusing to share responsibility for policies they oppose.
policy address at the Wilson Center to pledge a shift of forces and focus away
From the not-at-all-funny-department, two Gore employees have been sentenced to hard labor in North Korea. Al might go do something about that . From the OK-I-cant-help-myself-department, prisoner exchange? Please ?
BP jumped into renewables and the company's moniker underwent an evolution from British Petroleum to BP, then to Beyond Petroleum. Between 2000 and 2005, BP invested $500 million into solar power and $30 million on wind and has invested more than $4 billion in alternative energy in the US since 2005. At the time, according to the Wall Street Journal, BP turned a profit on its solar business but not on wind. In 2005, Browne "decided that the energy giant should enter unknown territories of wind, solar and hydrogen power," which began a "re-branding" designed to "capture public affection" by positioning "themselves as environmentally friendly enterprises."
If the results obtained by Collins et al . for the freshwater Chlamydomonas reinhardtii are typical of what to expect of marine microalgae - which Field et al . suggest may provide nearly half of the primary production of the planet - the totality of earth's plant life may well provide a significant brake upon the rate at which the air's CO 2 content may increase in the future, as well as the ultimate level to which it may rise. A rough indication of just how powerful this phenomenon may be is provided by Collins et al ., when they note that "mathematical simulations have estimated that pre-industrial levels of CO 2 would have been as high as 460 ppm" without the operation of the well-known "biological pump" (Sarmiento and Toggweiler, 1984), by which dying phytoplankton sink carbon into deep ocean sediments, "whereas pre-industrial atmospheric CO 2 levels were around 280 ppm (Etheridge et al ., 1996)," or 180 ppm less. References
Users can then log in to the secure web portal, where they use a password they create.
Cronyism and boondoggles in an energy bill is nothing new in the U.S. Congress. But this week, senators of both parties are taking the process to new lows in amendments they are offering to the pending S.2012the Energy Policy Modernization Act.
Strong Storms of the Little Ice Age on the Southern Coast of Brazil (8 April 2015)
better to spot attacks by rivals or leopards), is less attentive to
It turns out that, contrary to popular belief, Greenland ice sheet flow might not be accelerated by increased melting after all, says Shepherd, who was not involved in the research or peer review of the paper.
USA Growing Degree Day Deviation 41 F Map
IPCC Zero Order Draft files found and put back online
The authors argue, however, that since "it is quite clear that human activity is raising global concentrations of carbon dioxide," and that "virtually no one is suggesting that we can emit as much carbon dioxide as we want into the atmosphere without adverse consequences," we must do something. Policies should include four key features: CO2 reductions should be cost effective, companies adversely effected by restrictions should be compensated, there should be domestic and international consensus for the policy, and there should be a mechanism to ensure that a core group of countries continue to carry out emission reductions even if others reject compliance.
It's hard to disagree with Mr. Hamm's assessment that Barack Obama has the energy story in America wrong. The government floods green energya niche market that supplies 2.5% of our energy needswith billions of dollars of subsidies a year. "Wind isn't commercially feasible with natural gas prices below $6" per thousand cubic feet, notes Mr. Hamm. Right now its price is below $4. This may explain the administration's hostility to the fossil-fuel renaissance.
" Please try to use your own words to make sure the panel considers each comment individually."
I said that global warming is the fact that the world has warmed somewhat, perhaps one degree F, in the past 150 years. The cause of the warming is mostly natural forces, since mankind has not placed much CO2 in the air until the past four decades.
Some big-name players are playing games with people's lives and livelihoods.
Neither CBS nor ABC have included a skeptical scientist in their news shows within the past 1,300 days, but both networks included alarmists within the past 160 days ??? CBS as recently as 22 days ago. When the networks did include other viewpoints, the experts were dismissed as out of the scientific mainstream or backed by oil and coal companies.
With this in mind, I started playing with the data. I was utterly surprised to learn that in order to recover their average "global" temperature, I needed to mix about 37% of their southern hemisphere temperature with 63% of their northern hemisphere temperature. In other words, their "global" temperature is highly distorted towards the Northern hemisphere! It is therefore no surprise that once they do find a northern hemisphere temperature lag, also their global temperature exhibits a similar lag, but it is not a global temperature by any means!
Not a climate scientist himself, Chu had faith in the validity of Al Gores position on global warming, and even said just prior to becoming energy secretary: Coal is my worst nightmare theres enough carbon in the ground to really cook us. Such unscientific and biased comments should have immediately eliminated Chu from consideration for a Cabinet position."
His circumstances were quite different than the others I mentioned. He came out of the authoritarian environment of Soviet times, only to find it showing up all over again, intruding into his work on climate. Of course he knew exactly what he was dealing with. He once told me that freedom made him realize that his previous life "was like living upside down."
There is strong evidence to suggest that the temperature increase observed on the Peninsula has nothing to do with global warming, but is due to changing wind patterns. We can speculate on the cause of such changes, but essentially we are looking at natural variation which is likely to have happened in previous eras. (For more, see here .)
Baker et al . (2004) found notches on Rottnest Island marking former high sea levels. Calcareous organisms left deposits within a narrow range that could be carbon dated. The higher notch at about 1.8 m is about 3600 yr BP.
Thats our take, because its the only one that seems internally consistent. But, if somehow we are wrong (a rare event), then greenhouse warming is over, as the sensitivity of the earths temperature to carbon dioxide has been grossly overestimated. Believe us, wed like to hope the latter is correct, but we have to call things in the most logical fashion.
A study from the National Academy of Sciences on the health effects of radiation raises alarm about even extremely low exposure levels.
About 26 in there is a comment about spectral radiance changes and that the models may have a wrong sign on solar forcing variation.
Even our simple 1D model produced a higher climate sensitivity consistent with IPCC claims if we assumed all climate change was due to the same forcings they assume. The IPCC??s climate models are too sensitive (produce too much warming in response to increasing CO2) because they have basically assumed virtually all previous warming was due to increasing CO2, not due to Nature.
The day after the election, the Friends of the Earth, wasting no time, sent out a dramatic fundraising pitch, opening with: "The election's overthe planet lost." (You may not have even known that the planet was on your local ballot, but apparently it was.)
Lets contrast this with the hysteria over the Pakistani floods and Russian heatwave in 2010, which, because it occurred in Summer and was therefore related to heat, was immediately linked to climate change:
Alarmists also claim current Arctic sea ice changes are "unprecedented" while ignoring proxy data indicating Arctic sea ice was much less than present-day during the Holocene Climate Optimum ~6,000 years ago , Arctic temperatures were warmer than the present multiple times over past 1357 years , the Medieval Warming Period in the Arctic was warmer than the present , Alaskan glaciers are about the same size as during the Medieval Warm Period , etc., etc.
A team led by University of Maine scientists has reported finding a potential link between changes in solar activity and the Earths climate. In a paper due to be published in an upcoming volume of the Annals of Glaciology, Paul Mayewski, director of UMaines Climate Change Institute, and 11 colleagues from China, Australia and UMaine describe evidence from ice cores pointing to an association between the waxing and waning of zonal wind strength around Antarctica and a chemical signal of changes in the suns output.
A quote from an IPCC insider: As far as I can tell, there is no data quality assurance associated with what the IPCC is doing.
IPCC Third Assessment Report Climate Change 2001 Complete online versions | GRID-Arendal Publications Other
My daughter, her husband and their little baby managed to get out of the city ahead of the flood on Sunday, driving 14 hours into Texas with the few belongings they could stuff into their car. They have no idea what has become of their house and their possessions, not to mention their friends, their pets, their jobs, their way of life.
\rho {AB}(\vec x A, \vec x B) \neq \rho A (\vec x A) \cdot \rho B(\vec x B).
/s/ Bernard J. Rosenbaum JSC, Chief Engineer, Propulsion and Power Division, Engr. Dir., 48 years
Yet, they would never substantially reduce the climate sensitivity of their models to produce less warming, as seen in nature. In other words, if warming hasn?t materialized, then we must have faith that it will eventually appear ? because the climate system must be really sensitive?
Nicolas D. Loris, "Free Markets Supply Affordable Energy and a Clean Environment," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2966, October 31, 2014, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2014/10/free-markets-supply-affordable-energy-and-a-clean-environment.
December 2, 2009: " CLIMATE CHANGE 'FRAUD' , by John Ingham , The Daily Express , London, England. "In a controversial talk just days before the start of a climate summit attended by world leaders in Copenhagen, Prof Plimer said Governments were treating the public like fools and using climate change to increase taxes." "The Climate Research Unit also admitted getting rid of much of its raw climate data, which means other scientists cannot check the subsequent research. Last night the head of the CRU, Professor Phil Jones, said he would stand down while an independent review took place." Read whole piece. Professor Plimer will present at the Copenhagen Climate Challenge Conference on Tuesday, December 8, 2009 to be held at the Danish Writers Union, Dansk Forfatterforening Strandgade 6, 1401 Kbenhavn K (Copenhagen, Demmark).
CAFE is one of those failed government programs that has had some very unpleasant, unintended consequences. By indirection, it has limited consumer choice, on average, to vehicles that are lighter and smaller than would otherwise be the case. Laws of physics demonstrate that that reduces the protection provided to the occupants.
The conclusion of tree ring reconstruction of climate for the past 1000 years is that we are now in the hottest period in modern history, ever.
There are, of course, arguments against what has been presented in this post. Those failed arguments have been addressed and shown to be wrong, using data. Ive done this repeatedly over the past three years. Ive included them in Section7 of my book. Refer to the Updated Free Preview .
September 9, 2011: "Ready for climate change", letter to the editor published in The Australian by ICSC Chief Science Advisor, Professor Bob Carter , PhD, Adjunct Research Fellow at James Cook University, Queensland, Australia.
Now a major humanitarian organization, Red Cross International, has jumped on the bandwagon. A new report by the Red Cross argues that global warming will increase major disasters, and that the Red Cross will need more money to pay for it. The report claims that there will be more droughts and that "marginal areas" will become "uninhabitable" in 20 years. It also says that the "one in 50 year hurricane may return one in ten years." Disappearing mountain glaciers will cause rivers to dry up and there will be changes in disease patterns affecting millions (The Electricity Daily, July 2, 1999).
While it is fashionable to claim there is over-allocation in the Murray Darling Basin the reality is that when water is scarce during drought, government limits the amount of water for agriculture.
So Briffa and Melvin clearly understood at the time that I had not promoted or advocated Scenario A (or Scenario B or Polar Urals for that matter), but had raised valid questions and that it was important to examine inhomogeneity using the sort of sensitivity analyses that I had carried out.
And Rep. Maurice D. Hinchey (D-N.Y.) vowed to force the White House to accept delivery of a new presidential helicopter Obama says he doesn't need and doesn't want. The helicopter program, which cost $835 million this year, supports 800 jobs in Hinchey's district. "I do think there's a good chance we can save it," he said.
Why would Obama even bring this subject up? It would have made no sense for McCain to accuse him of being a Christian to gain political advantage.
The Sierra Club, however, criticized Obama saying "As long as his administration keeps throwing lifelines to old sources of energy like oil and gas, we won't be able to lead the world on clean energy solutions like wind and solar." They called for an "end to oil and gas fracking on public lands." What they are not saying is that the Obama Administration has virtually put an end to any exploration and extraction of energy sources on public lands. And you can forget about the massive reserves estimated to exist off-shore of our coasts.
Think about what Curry vs. Mann would accomplish. As Curry admits, "I have at least as good a case against Michael Mann for defamation as he has against Steyn." So this would put Mann is a bind: if he wins against Steyn, he establishes a precedent for his own loss to Curry. If no one can criticize him under the Bill Murray rule?"Back off, man, I'm a scientist"?then he can't criticize others.
Since we have already experienced 0.6 deg. C in the last 100 years, it would also mean that most of our current global warmth is natural, not anthropogenic.
"And what it shows is his horrible and gross political miscalculations," he added. "In 2007 and 2008, he actually believed that not only was global warming going to be a, quote, winning issue but he actually believed the Republican base was going to accept this. Those are two horrible miscalculations."
Thanks to E Stephens and John the 1 st for this link
Let me stress I am not denying the (global warming) phenomenon has occurred. The world has warmed since 1680, the nadir of a cool period called the Little Ice Age (LIA) that has generally continued to the present. These climate changes are well within natural variability and explained quite easily by changes in the sun. But there is nothing unusual going on.
If one additionally entertains the possibility that there is still considerable warming still in the pipeline left from increasing CO 2 , as NASAs Jim Hansen claims, then the need for some natural cooling mechanism to offset it and thus produce no net warming becomes even stronger. Either that, or the climate system is so insensitive to increasing CO 2 that there is essentially no warming left in the pipeline to be realized. (The less sensitive the climate system, the faster it reaches equilibrium when forced with a radiative imbalance.)
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It is precisely the job of a Court of Appeals to resist irrational momentum and offend sensibilities if that is what needs to be done to ensure that agency decisions are not arbitrary. Under normal rules of administrative review, it would not be possible for a court to overlook such a fundamental omission by an agency as the failure to consider this information. It is also permissible for the EPA to consider it, because, as even the Supreme Court conceded, the agency is allowed to revisit the endangerment finding on carbon dioxide if the science so dictates. So perhaps when the decision reaches it again, as it surely will, the Court will see the light.
I come down stalwartly on the side freedom of speech and media access to information.
Turnabout is fair play, and just as the Clinton Administrationpunted theICTA petition to Bush, so the Bush Administrationpunted EPAs Mass v. EPA response to Obama. But whereas Clintons EPA simply ducked the ICTA petition, Bushs EPA in July 2008 published an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR)exploringnumerous options and issuesconnected with potentialGHG regulation under the CAA.
e) Finally, it is clear not so much fossil material on Earth that you can not even get a doubling of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere (this output has been about 600 ppm) a hjningsniv, somav many hvdas correspond to a temperaturhjning p about 1 degree, apart from the effect avallt soot that would come out from the mngdmssigt dominant deposits of coal.
Lamar Smith, a Republican, represents Texas?s 21st District in the U.S. House and is chairman of the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology.
Write this down. Global warming started 20,000 years ago.
An inconvenient question: "If climate change is a planetary emergency, why take nuclear and natural gas off the table?'
There is one further problem. If we really do put down 58GW of offshore wind capacity, what happens to the surplus output when the wind blows and demand is low? Nuclear cannot be switched on and off, and certainly any contracts signed will not allow that. This basically means that the bulk of wind output will not be required for long periods.
Thousands remained without power Friday night (March 7, 2014) in the northern part of Durham after a winter storm wreaked havoc