Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This years average temperature, 43.5 degrees, was the seventh-mildest on record warm, but not as warm as (starting with the warmest ever) 1889, 2006, 1931, 1949, 1982 or 1971.
Comment: This response does not address the criticism that even if one sentence of the guidance documentanticipates that permitting agencies may ultimately exercise the discretion to require fuel switching in individual cases, the EPA gave no hint that next year it wouldrequire all new fossil fuel power plants to be either NGCC or non-economical coal with CCS. Note, too, that implemented at commercial scale is not the same as commerciallyviable , i.e., sustainable without taxpayer subsidies.
What is rarely mentioned by climate alarmists is the incontrovertible fact that adding more carbon dioxide to the atmosphere has an ever-decreasing effect on global temperature. To illustrate this, compare covering a glass window with very thin paint. The first coat of paint cuts out some light, the second some more; but each subsequent coat has an ever decreasing effect on light shining through.
Decadal trends in solar irradiance are not yet detectable from uncertainties caused by instrument instabilities in observations: historical irradiance reconstructions are very uncertain
Congress should hold hearings, demand an accounting of agency expenditures, require solid evidence for every climate claim and regulation, and cross-examine Administration officials on details. It should slash EPA and other agency budgets, so they cannot keep giving billions to pressure groups, propagandists and attack dogs. Honesty, transparency, accountability and a much shorter leash are long overdue.
Lt inte tv hl i v ggen bli ett hl i huvudet
Sometime in 1939-1940, Franklin Roosevelt made up his mind that he would break the ancient American taboo and seek a third term as president. But he faced a serious problem: Many voters had wearied of the liberal domestic policies of the Roosevelt administration. In the congressional elections of 1938, liberal Democrats had lost power to an informal coalition of Republicans and conservative southern Democrats. A third presidential bid by Roosevelt seemed doomed to end in disaster.
13. Costa Rica - Agreement Regarding a Debt-for-Nature Swap Program Under the US Tropical Forest Conservation Act
For more information contact NESDIS Public Affairs at (301) 457-5005. Posted December 13, 1999
UPDATE2: Gosh. Shouldnt Dr. Cullen know more than McKibben and Brad Johnson?! (h/t to Marc Morano) Anthony
How do we stop the march of this neo-Fascist movement, with its crude denigration of opponents, breaking-up of meetings, taxpayer-funded propaganda at every street corner, and vast, expensive Nuremberg Rallies such as that which is now taking place at the Bella Centre?
Effects of elevated CO2 on medicinal substances found in St. John??s wort CO2science.org, July 14 2004 180% increase in the air??s CO2 content more than doubled the dry mass produced by well-watered and fertilized St. John??s wort plants, while it also more than doubled the concentrations of both hypericin and pseudohypericen.
The result of this undertaking, as they describe it, was their finding that even throughout the late Holocene , "reef health and growth has fluctuated through cycles independent of anthropogenic forcing." Thus, they concluded -- and rightly so -- that "degraded reef states cannot de facto be considered to automatically reflect increased anthropogenic stress," noting that "in many cases degraded or non-accreting reef communities may reflect past reef growth histories as much as contemporary environmental change."
The importance of refineries can hardly be overstated. Not only do they supply petrochemical feedstocks for plastics, pharmaceuticals and cosmetics, and fuel for cars, trucks, ships and airplanes to transport people, food and products. They also create thousands of jobs and generate billions of dollars in payrolls and taxes. In Texas alone, the refinery and chemicals industry adds 73,000 employees, $6 billion in salaries and $105 billion annually to the economy.
Last year, in the wake of the Queensland floods, Professor Steffen said the event was probably not the result of climate change but a natural part of climate variability. The floods across eastern Australia in 2010 and early 2011 were the consequence of a very strong La Nina event and not the result of climate change, he argued at the time.
As if on cue, the IRS targeted numerous conservative groups and the Milwaukee prosecutor and police monitored emails, invaded homes, seized computers and records, and threatened jail for anyone who disclosed these abuses, to intimidate and silence Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker's supporters.
This points to a major challenge for free-market supporters. As regular readers of UpDate know, we need to move beyond proving the logic of supply and demand curves. We need also to show that economic freedom will actually help people. Do you want to reduce malaria in Africa? Reduce highway fatalities? Feed the hungry? The answer is less government, not more.
The twentieth century indeed was warm. We know this to be so because temperatures could be measured using instruments designed for that purpose. What they indicate is that global temperature increased by about three-quarters of a degree Celsius. The question becomes: was that rate of warming unusual in a longer-term context? Well probably never be certain because there were no comparable instruments taking measurements in earlier centuries. Barring the unlikely discovery the Catholic Church operated a secret, well-calibrated global thermometric measurement campaign during the Crusades, for example, any comparison of contemporary measurements with those of the past will be, by definition, fraught with error.
Climate Change a very low priority to US citizens (Gallup Poll)
In reality, methane is not the monster it's made out to be, because emissions from oil and gas operations are generally low, and when leaks do occur, they are fixed quickly and easily.
2. Chart of the Day II Vehicle Miles (above). US traffic volume set a new all-time record in October, according to the Federal Highway Administration's most recent Traffic Volume Trends report for vehicle-miles of travel through October. Americans drove an estimated 273.5 billion miles in October, which was a record high for the month. On a 12-month moving total basis, Americans drove 3.13 trillion miles in the 12-month period between October 2014 and October 2015, which established a new all-time 12-month traffic volume record for the US. Lower gas prices and an improving economy were certainly two of the main contributing factors to the new 12-month traffic volume record in October.
From a previous CD post about Cheryl Crow's tour rider from The Smoking Gun, which commented "When the global warming warrior hits the road, her touring entourage (and equipment) travels in three tractor trailers, four buses, and six cars. Now that's a carbon footprint!"
Pielke's work was backed up by data and, in many cases, by the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But that didn't matter to Podesta's attack dogs at ThinkProgress. Long before his congressional testimony, Pielke had been the subject of a years-long smear campaign led by ThinkProgress's Joe Romm. In fact, Romm had what can only be described as an obsession with Pielke. In a recent Twitter posting, Pielke wrote: "Propaganda works: I count more than 160 articles at the Center for American Progress trashing me over the years."
CO2 Science Even in the face of a warming trend that climate alarmists describe as having been unprecedented over the past one to two millennia, their predictions of more frequent and more severe concomitant drought have not been realized.
The truth is that the first graph, plainly labeled "scienceandpublicpolicy.org", is the SPPI's well-known global-temperature index, compiled monthly from four separate global-temperature datasets, as Abraham well knew because I explained in my talk. It was not a NOAA graph, and was not labeled as such. Naturally, therefore, it differed at some points from the NOAA graph.
New research indicates that global oil production is not likely to peak anytime soon.
This social pessimism has emerged over several decades. Its roots can be seen in the counterculture of the 1960s when the political Left, traditionally the most ardent supporters of social change, began to embrace green ideas. Rather than consider humans capable of reshaping nature for their own benefit, the outlook switched to one obsessed with natural limits.
You cannot trust the UN's World Meteorological Organization which like the IPCC is just part of a vast matrix of groups that have been so severely corrupted by the global warming/climate change hoax that one must exercise caution when hearing its forecasts. If they are for anything beyond two weeks hence, you would be wise to be dubious.
2) Furthermore heavy springtime ice forces movement outside the study area because it prevents local access to seal pups. Any movement outside the study area prevents subsequent recapture and can erroneously cause models to assume emigrant bears are dead. That false assumption creates lower survival estimates which then dramatically lower population estimates. Misinterpreting a temporary or permanent exodus away from a stressful local environment was the same critical error that led to bogus extinction claims for the Emperor Penguins . Coincidently one modeler, Hal Caswell, created both models falsely suggesting Emperor Penguins and Polar Bears are both on the verge of extinction.
As a follow-up to this posting about the Costco Controversy in Bellingham, Washington, Roy Green will be starting off his radio show this weekend discussing the issue . Guests will include three women from Bellingham, including the Canadian wife of SDA commenter, Brian . The discussion will focus in on the issue at hand, but will also likely touch upon Canada's immigration policy, asking an important question: How long after an immigrant moves to Canada should they be expected to adopt our generally accepted standards of politeness, personal space, and courtesy? Another important question, which was raised by several SDA commenters, is this: Why are so many Canadians flooding down to the U.S. to buy milk and gas? Here are some recent prices that reveal the answer: NW Wash Costco Gas: $1.02/litre ($3.86/gallon) - - SW BC Costco Gas: $1.33/litre --> 30% more expensive
If we are searching for new liability lawsuit targets, I'd suggest gest taking a look at the global scaremongering industry first. Since the early 1970s, the Club of Rome, Paul Ehrlich, the Worldwatch Institute and a host of others have been predicting that the world is on the verge of mass famines, plagues, running out of fossil fuels and a new ice age.
How about using public transportation, driving carbon-friendly vehicles, living closer to work, or biking instead of driving? Suppose that the U.S. completely eliminated carbon emissions from transportation over the next four years. The IEA data show that world emissions would still rise because the reduction from the U.S. would not cover the increase in carbon emitted by the rest of the world. Without world-wide changes, there is limited gain, even from dramatic action by the world's second-largest emitter.
10. The best summary of this work is Indur M. Goklany, Extending the Limits to Growth: Improving the State of Humanity and the Environment, forthcoming from AEI Press. One simple example, however, suffices to expose the shallowness of the I-PAT formula. Where, one asks, is there the most progress in reducing pollution, the largest gains in forestland (10 million acres over the last decade), the most aggressive steps being taken to protect species and habitat, and the most spending on climate research? The United States, the wealthiest and most technologically advanced nation in the world. Speth writes: "If there is one country that bears the most responsibility for the lack of progress on international environmental issues, it is the United States," while the Ehrlichs write that "sadly, our nation is also at present the biggest engine of ecological destruction on Earth, the chief (but by no means only) force keeping humanity on collision course with the natural world."
There has been no appreciable warming since 1998, as can be seen in the official forecast from the Met Office, the United Kingdoms national weather service , which the agency released on Christmas Eve. Presumably, the British governments climate scientists didnt want anyone to notice they had lowered their forecast from previous years, with temperatures in 2020 predicted to be no warmer than they were in the late 1990s. Websites such as Climate Depot and Watts Up With That had long ago reported the same phenomenon, only to be ridiculed by the climate-change establishment. It turns out these climate realists were right all along.
Interestingly, Stern is now attempting to profit on his policy recommendations as he recently became Vice Chairman of IDEAGlobal group, whose IDEACarbon program "is a leading professional services provider to the carbon finance community."
We discuss the adoption of a bottom-up, resourcebased vulnerability approach in evaluating the effect of climate and other environmental and societal threats to societally critical resources. This vulnerability concept requires the determination of the major threats to local and regional water, food, energy, human health, and ecosystem function resources from extreme events including climate, but also from other social and environmental issues. After these threats are identified for each resource, then the relative risks can be compared with other risks in order to adopt optimal preferred mitigation/adaptation strategies .
Its difficult to claim the recent increases in manmade greenhouse gases are responsible for the warm sea surface temperatures off the New England coast, when the those values were regularly exceeded 70 to 80 years ago.
With increased national Doppler radar coverage, increasing population, and greater attention to tornado reporting, there has been an increase in the number of tornado reports over the past several decades. This can create a misleading appearance of an increasing trend in tornado frequency. To better understand the true variability and trend in tornado frequency in the U.S., the total number of strong to violent tornadoes (EF3 to EF5 category on the Enhanced Fujita scale) can be analyzed. These are the tornadoes that would have likely been reported even during the decades before Doppler radar use became widespread and practices resulted in increasing tornado reports. The bar chart below indicates there has been little trend in the frequency of the strongest tornadoes over the past 55 years.
Soothsayers have always tried to persuade people that they could predict the future. What is new today is that the incredibly powerful tools of science ? nuclear weapons, flights to the moon, computers, iPods ? have such huge implications for civilization that they may contain the seeds of their own destruction.
Didnt Hansen predict catastrophic sea level rise and increased hurricanes within 20 years in 1988? Doesnt anyone look at his record of prediction? Pushing the scare seems to be the thing.
As with its polar counterparts, 90% of the titanic climate funding iceberg is invisible to most citizens, businessmen and politicians. The Lockheed action is the mere tip of the icy mountaintop.
As the Bush Administration spends more and more time creating its legacy, the worst collection of initiatives are those that whittle away at American sovereignty. President Bush is many things to many people but he is most clearly a multinationalist. He is playing too nice with UN-types and Europeans eager to diminish our sovereignty in the name of supranational authority. This clearest example is the Law of the Sea Treaty (LOST), conceived back when socialism was considered the future. It now serves as the proxy for other, failed efforts, such as the Kyoto Protocol on "global warming."
Inconvenient Truths for Al Gore - Episode 3: Warming Rate
Dr. Andrew Shepherd , an IPCC author who works at the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, said the UOB study used calculations that appeared to have overlooked shifts in snowfall , noting that the "new estimates of ice loss computed (from the thinning of the ice) are far too high, because the glaciers in this sector just haven't speeded up that much."
To stop the solar boom, the government has reduced feed-in tariffs for photovoltaic schemes in the past few years. Since 2010, however, more than 5000 companies involved in the solar business have closed, shedding tens of thousands of green jobs.
More available soon, including usable video, photography, news and commentary at CFACT.tv, CFACT.org and ClimateDepot.com. Local Brazil contact information is forthcoming.
Much has changed in the last century, but in all cases the key to freeing us from these strictures has been widespread, affordable energy. A permanent flow of electricity and convenient access to gasoline have powered an explosion in wealth that has enabled millions to live long, fulfilling lives free from crushing hardship. The condition of life is no longer nasty, brutish, and short.
However, these findings need to be interpreted in light of the analysis in Figure 1. The orange and red cells all occur in rows 1, 6 and 7, rows that correspond to the three balls in the two upper ellipses in Figure 1. In the analysis presented above, these three balls did not start the game at the same pressure as the other eight balls because of different gauging and selection, not because of washroom deflation.
Despite this, people like Mann continue their climatological malpractice, and are even accorded respect. Such shoddy workmanship in any other field would put the principal into another line of work.
The IPCC manufactures climate alarm by assuming CO2 controls water vapor to produce a runaway positive feedback system. Physicist Clive Best has posted his new paper showing that water vapor feedback is instead strongly negative, based on both the Faint Sun Paradox and a comparison of 5600 weather stations in the global CRUTEM4 temperature and humidity database. Peer-reviewed publications by Paltridge and others also find water vapor feedback is strongly negative. Without positive water vapor feedback, the IPCC's case for catastrophic man-made climate change collapses.
Given the stability of the climate over the past half billion years, there is little danger that current anthropogenic perturbation of the climate will cause a runaway greenhouse effect. It is likely, therefore, that the IPCCs current estimates of the magnitude of climate feedbacks have been substantially exaggerated.
Anyhow, thats how it goes to date. If the IPCC theory about 3C surface warming from a doubling of CO2 is true, we need to either a) come up with something else in the CERES data to explain the missing CO2 warming of 1.6 W/m2 per decade, b) back off on the IPCC climate sensitivity by a factor of about ten ... or my perennial favorite, toss out the idea of climate sensitivity entirely and recognize that at equilibrium, temperature isnt a simple function of TOA forcings because the climate system has emergent phenomena which respond and react to counteract the TOA changes.
Everyone in the room knew that "all major nations" primarily meant China. From the beginning, China has steadfastly refused to accept outside monitoring and verification of its progress toward any promised targets. But the 11th-hour US proposal immediately isolated China. The onus was now on Beijing to agree to standards of "transparent verification". If it did not, poorer countries standing to benefit from the fund would blame China for breaking the deal.
Of course she has no evidence to back up this valueless claim, which comes from the United Nations, but in fact previous centuries have shown considerable mortality from extreme weather events long before carbon dioxide became flavour of the month.
The New York Times notes world food prices increasing and blames weather and global warming but forgets that 41% of the US wheat harvest is burned as useless green fuel.
What accounts for scientists' policy blinkers? It's hard to know for sure, since we're talking about what goes on inside people's heads. I suspect part of the answer lies in an implicit assumption, even by many scientists, that alternatives to fossil-fuel energy are just as cheap and convenient, but that dark corporate and government forces have prevented them from being disseminated. Never mind the countervailing evidence such as the fact that decades of $5 and $6 per gallon gasoline in Europe has failed to create economically viable alternatives to gasoline- or diesel-powered automobiles.
In addition, Hennessey notes that Obama's action "will accelerate EPA's regulation of greenhouse gas emissions from stationary sources." He continues: "While Congress is futzing around on a climate change bill, EPA is getting ready to bring their "PSD" monster to your community soon." He concludes:
One cannot easily blame the economy for those earlier defeats. The economy was humming in the 1960s, and it was steadily recovering during the early 1990s. Nor can one easily blame political consultants and clever Republican tricks. As anyone who follows advertising and politics knows, a campaign succeeds only if it communicates messages its audience wants to hear. The only thread that runs through all four of the landslide reversals is the presence of liberal progressivism as the defining feature of the campaign.
The authors show that "there is mounting evidence suggesting that the variation in solar activity is a cause for millennial scale climate change," which is known to operate independently of the glacial-interglacial cycles that are forced by variations in the Earth's orbit about the Sun. They also review the evidence for two potential mechanisms by which the postulated solar-climate connection may be implemented, making a strong case for the validity of one or both of them. What it means
Mexican birth rates plummeted 20 years ago, which means fewer young people will be needing jobsand with the U.S. economy struggling, they're not likely to look for them here. Nor are legal immigrants as likely to bring extended family members to the United States.
12. Paraguay - Agreement Concerning the Establishment of a Tropical Forest Conservation Fund and a Tropical Forest Conservation Board
So two theories came together. Man-made CFCs could theoretically hasten destruction of stratospheric ozone, and British researchers observed greater thinning of Antarctic ozone than they "expected" (although at the time, this phenomenon was poorly understood, and no one knew what to "expect"). Almost immediately, human health threats erupted, most notably the threat of an increased incidence of malignant melanoma. This is interesting, as melanoma is not influenced by UV-B radiation, but rather UV-A radiation (which is not blocked by ozone). In the early '90s, the EPA estimated an additional 200,000 cancer deaths by 2050. But even before this, the scam had found a voice and a message. Mankind was sowing the seeds of its own destruction. Does this sound familiar?
And supposedly, one of the cures for global warming is to repower America with zero-carbon energy, especially electricity generated from wind turbines.
It is clear that atmospheric concentration of CO2 were higher than the present level (~380 ppm) for most of the past 500 million years. During some periods, the levels were thought to be more than 10 times current levels. And corals survived. How does the NSF Report handle this fact? With a bit of handwaving.
There is perhaps one major exception: Commitments by developed country Parties on providing finance, technology and capacity-building support to developing country Parties shall be of the same legal bindingness as their mitigation commitments.