Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Although a few environmental activists have attempted to back away from these ludicrous and embarrassing statements, the predictability with which climate change was linked to a geological event shows the difficulty of taking climate change seriously. Climate change is a legitimate issue, but between the shabby way environmentalists and the Left exploit it, and the faulty record of so many past predictions of the eco-apocalypse, deep skepticism remains the sensible default position.
Wall Street Journal article A Reprieve From Climate Doom no reason not to disband the useless and harmful IPCC
I would only add that policy makers should show due diligence and assess the source and quality of their data.
So our long and wonderful hegira through the British cities and countryside is all over, and for me its back to pounding nails on Monday. The gorgeous ex-fiancee returns to being a Family Nurse Practitioner, and the summer is over for our college lady, shes jumping in her car and heading off to Uni today.
the public the right message even if its a load of unsexy boring
Low solar activity has already been linked to an increase in cold winters in Europe, with activity on the sun declining since 1985, Professor Mike Lockwood of the University of Reading said in findings published in April.
U.S. students suffering from Internet addiction: study:
That is why it is so important that Fred Singer has now publicly declared that CO2 does not affect Global temperature, and Pierre Latour has helped him along the way by providing an algebraic proof.
When the Sun is approximately behind the Moon, it only illuminates the half of the Moon that we can't see anyway (because it has turned away from us) so the half of the Moon on our side remains dark; that's the new moon. However, when the Sun is located in the same direction from us as the Moon (however, the Sun is much further), it's usually a day over here and the direct sunlight beats the light reflected from the Moon so we don't see any Moon, anyway. If the new moon is "exact", which rarely takes place, we get the solar eclipse.
date: Fri, 01 Oct 1999 10:22:12 +0100
What that would accomplish is to divert resources and talent from getting on with the serious work of developing alternative power sources.
In contrast to the crazed, paranoid, lefty-loon rants of an obviously disturbed, anti-science journalist, what do actual scientists say about global warming....let's summarize with a favorite...
A recent report by the California Air Resources Board claims that the state??s plan to reduce global warming emissions will save consumers $14 billion in fuel costs, thanks to increased fuel efficiency. But according to an article in the Orange County Register by policy analyst William Yeatman, the costs have been underestimated, while the benefits are overblown. For starters, the California board used the highest possible estimate for future gas prices, even through increased fuel-efficiency would lower the price of fuel. In addition, since lower fuel costs are an incentive for more driving, this plan would likely increase air pollution and traffic in California cities, and would even lead to more deaths on the highway due to lighter cars.
???Coldest start to May for more than 70 years.?? In fact, temperatures could hit the lowest ever recorded for May.
anticipation that by the time of the 4th Assessment Report we?ll have withdrawn
Yeah, Im finding this about 10 days late. Somehow I think most folks are still just finding out
The World's Population Reaches 7 Billion, But Don't Let the UN Scare YouUN is wrong on food shortages and climate change
Red Cross Sees Global Warming Green
Your editorial suggests that a moderate increase in CAFE would be a part of the "best of all worlds."
America depends on abundant, reliable, affordable energy 85% of it hydrocarbons. Coal generates half of all US electricity, and up to 90% in its manufacturing heartland versus 1% from wind and solar. Newfound natural gas supplies promise a sea change in US energy supplies and electricity generation. However, oil still powers transportation, shipping and petrochemicals and in 2010 the United States exported $337 billion to import 61% of this precious liquid fuel.
Looking at 1,000 years of temperature records, researchers found that natural variability in surface temperatures over the course of just a decade can account for increases and dips in warming rates. Researchers said that variability could be caused by interactions between the ocean and atmosphere, or other natural factors.
Nevertheless, there is a point hidden in Sen. Lieberman's testimony. The Kyoto Protocols so beloved by Sen. Lieberman call on America to reduce its carbon emissions below 1990 levels. Emissions from manufacturing industry actually did dip below those levels last yearthanks to the recession in America's manufacturing sector. The Kyoto target has been reached by those industries, but at a cost of millions of jobsthree million jobs have been lost since 1998 alone. To meet our Kyoto targets, America would need similar recessions in other sectors, and the sort of lifestyle changes that accompany lower incomes. The Climate Stewardship Act would be a good first step in achieving that, as the statutorily independent Energy Information Agency (EIA) reckons it would cost the American economy $507 billion over the next 22 years.
Working Group 2 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change recently released the final version of its contribution to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. The WG2 report contains 1,731 pages of text, figures, boxes, footnotes and references, the first 832 of which list every negative impact climate change is having or could conceivably have on the Earth, its physical state, its ecosystems and the people who populate it. I doubt that anyone has ever read it from beginning to end. I certainly havent.
In addition to her responsibilities as interim CEO and Director of Communications, Dr. Heidi Cullen serves as a research scientist and correspondent for Climate Central. Dr. Cullen currently reports on climate for PBS NewsHour, Time.com and The Weather Channel. Before joining Climate Central, Dr. Cullen served as The Weather Channels first on-air climate expert and helped create Forecast Earth, the first weekly television series to focus on issues related to climate change and the environment. Prior to that Dr. Cullen worked as a research scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in Boulder, CO.
The picture below is my UHImeasurementlocation. On a still clear night, temperatures are typically 5-10F cooler near the fire station on the right, than they are at the Safeway parking lot across the intersection (traffic light is inside the red circle.)
Now, the sensible and latent heat loss is a parasitic loss, which means a loss in a heat engine that costs efficiency. And as any engineer can testify, parasitic losses are proportional to temperature, and as the operating temperatures rise, parasitic losses rise faster and faster. In addition, the 100 W/m2 is the global average, but these losses are disproportionately centered at the hot end of the system. At that end, they are rising as some power factor of the increasing temperature.
They don't get it. We're glad Graham and his neighbors do.
Bush EPA chief calls Senate GOP "sore losers' for opposing EPA nominee
Over the last twoweeks, Arctic sea ice extent has taken a sharp turn towards the median, and is now nearly the highest in a decade for the date.
The United States would gain little in trying to forestall climate change
This is a really interesting post at WUWT by J. Storrs Hall . It reminds me of one of those powers of ten films. He looks at data from a Greenland ice core ( archived at NOAA here ) going back over 50,000 years. He begins looking at the last few hundred years, and then pulls back the view on larger and large time scales. Highly recommended.
> >> >>any suggestions:
The provided documents conclude with emails citing late-night phone calls to get the story straight, and calling with "high importance" a meeting at 9:00 a.m., September 22, 2009, in the office of Ms. Zoi's chief operating officer, Steven Chalk. The meeting was called to "huddle up" face-to-face to put things straight.
Scientists are struggling to explain a slowdown in climate change that has exposed gaps in their understanding and defies a rise in global greenhouse gas emissions.
> >> >Date: Thu, 29 Apr 1999 10:14:36 +0100
"Labor activists and supporters of high-speed rail are planning a rally in Milwaukee in favor of the imperiled project."
The 20th century may not have been so extraordinarily hot after all, according to a climate study of the last thousand years, which confirms historical accounts of fig trees growing in Germany and early grape harvests in England during medieval times.
This is Figure 11.25 from the IPCC AR5 (discussed previously on Implications for climate models of their growing disagreement with observations ). Ed Hawkins has added a blue line to show Cowtan and Ways global temperature analysis. While Cowtan and Way is slightly warmer than HadCRUT4 for the past decade, their analysis doesnt change the pause story very much when shown in this context.
Beyond these issues of politics and semantics, the entire ethanol quandary illustrates a powerful point about the current climate for energy subsidies and innovationmoney tends to flow to politically popular but inefficient programs such as corn-based ethanol productionBut even if, on their own terms, they could address energy security needs (and one should be very dubious of corn ethanol's role here) as soon as they actually are implemented at large scale, they become too politically visible to continue.
It affects Java 5, 6 and 7 while most of the previous problems with Java have effected its latest version 7.
Al Gore Once Again Suggests "Fertility Management' To Fight Global Warming
Although far more forthcoming thanpetitioners in Mass v. EPA , theANPR repeatedly downplays the economic risks of applying CAA regulatory provisions to CO 2 .
"I want to use football as an engine to fight against global warming. I believe the role model of footballers is still very big worldwide. If somebody can get into the heads of the youth or the normal man in the street then it's the football players.
Solicitor General Kagan urged against letting a small firm challenge a regulatory agency in court. Would a Justice Kagan do the same?
key was the office's access to information the intelligence community collected about financial
Since the 2005 hysterics from the experts, the US has experienced the quietest period on record for hurricanes.
By Joe Schoffstall, Washington Free Beacon, Aug 6, 2015
Conversely, a "game-changer" could have a beneficial effect encompassing a similar scope.
80th Ontario municipality to pass a resolution opposing wind turbine development
Ocean heat content differences, 1979-1997 average (NODC)= less than 0.1 C
In analyzing responses by sub-groups, Doran found that climatologists who are active in research showed the strongest consensus on the causes of global warming, with 97 percent agreeing humans play a role. Petroleum geologists and meteorologists were among the biggest doubters, with only 47 and 64 percent respectively believing in human involvement. Doran compared their responses to a recent poll showing only 58 percent of the public thinks human activity contributes to global warming.
We taxpayers pay for these studies, payoffs and propaganda. And we will get stuck with the regulations, soaring prices and lost jobs that result. We have a right to review and analyze the data and claims. We have a right to be heard, in a fair and honest process that truly takes our concerns into account.
Note, comparing truly global climate model simulations with a truly global observational data set (e.g. Cowtan and Way) is better than comparing with HadCRUT4 with missing data regions. Note, this is why Ed Hawkins previously compared ( fig ) the HadCRUT4 observations with climate model simulations where the missing regions were held out from the simulation data set.
UPDATE: The Reuters correspondent confused climate sensitivity with temperature projections. That means that this post is, well, just plain wrong. I should have spotted that. Sorry.
Figure 4: Annual Arctic sea ice volume loss (thousands of cubic km) according to PIOMAS (blue) compared with the mean value 1980-2013 (black) and standard deviation (gray).
Its like weather prediction for tomorrow; you only believe it when you get to tomorrow. Weather is very difficult to predict; climate involves weather plus all these other components of the climate system, ice, oceans, vegetation, soil etc . Why should we think we can do better with climate prediction than with weather prediction? To me its obvious, we cant!
Well, here are the facts. The IPCC said in 1990, at page xii, Under the IPCC business-as-usual (Scenario A) emissions of greenhouse gases, the average rate of increase of global mean temperature during the next century is estimated to be about 0.2-0.5 C/decade. The observed warming rate from 1990-2013, according to HadCRUt, is about half that.
Meanwhile, as Dear notes, "South Korea is building four nuclear reactors in the United Arab Emirates. The Russian company, Rosatom, is building power plants in Turkey, Belarus, Vietnam, and elsewhere. The China National Nuclear Corporation is scheduled to build over twenty nuclear power plants."
CNN; Another animal rights group is shopping for drones it will use to watch for animal abuse -- and gun owners are setting their sights in anticipation.
Celebrating Human Achievement, Taxing AIG Bonuses and Cap and Trade in the Senate
The ideal1000-year cycle is varied by the 230-year cycle, which in turn gets varied by the 65-year oceanic cycle, which is depicted in Figure 1. Added to these cycles are the various typically non-cyclical events such as the ENSO, volcanic eruptions, etc. Figure 3 shows the temperature curve for the last 165 years along with the 230-year cycle and the effect of the 65-year ocean cycle. The current temperature values fluctuate by plus/minus 0.2C due to the effects of ENSO, sunspot activity, volcanic eruptions, etc.
As one organisation after another jumps, or is pushed, into producing public assessments of the climate change issue, we see the same small group of activist-scientists in the background. We see them providing briefings to federal and state politicians. We see them as primary advisers to supposedly independent organisations such as the Australian Academy of Science. We see them involved in programs to introduce school children to the dangers of a carbon footprint. Generally we see them in what agricultural science used to call extension activities although in the case of climate change much of the extension effort is devoted to convincing the various audiences that there is indeed a problem worth doing something about.
Most of all though, we know that even if climate change is not the primary factor behind the current tragedy this humanitarian disaster and the seemingly intractable geopolitical challenges, nationalist tendencies, and crushing grief it invokes is precisely the kind of disaster security analysts expect to see worsen in a world afflicted by escalating climate change.
The reasoning, apparently, is that the public on its own is too dumb to realize what a great thing CFLs are, given that their energy savings far outweigh their higher prices.
2.	There are photographed major problems with the microclimate exposure of a subset of surface observation sites ( see Davey, C.A., and R.A. Pielke Sr., 2005: Microclimate exposures of surface-based weather stations implications for the assessment of long-term temperature trends.
Indeed, the language in the announcement back then "We are poised to bend the arc of history toward a world free of nuclear weapons" echoed some of Obama's favorite phraseology. But it was not to be, thanks to "failed leadership" from unnamed politicians. From the Bulletin's statement:
Policy research in the Beltway offers numerous attractions, among them the opportunity to exchange views and engage in back-and-forth challenges with other experts, in settings both formal and informal. Such activities are more than merely fun: Intellectual atrophy is the inexorable result of living in an echo chamber, an effect that can be avoided through a disciplined approach to serious work and a consistent effort to confront opposing arguments.
Economic historians will have plenty of time to debate how the trading system got into this mess-and there will be lots of recriminations that will accompany this "conversation." But the short-term question is how to move on. The argument advanced here is that a decisive act to formally end the Round is the best solution and means for a viable path forward.
Uncertainty behind climate projections could be cut in half by 2030, study shows
Scott Armstrong of Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, has issued a public $20,000 challenge to Al Gore on the accuracy of climate forecasting. link
Dr. Moniz understands the clear environmental benefits associated the safe development and use of clean-burning American natural gas, a Marcellus Shale Coalition spokesman told The Washington Examiner.
In a report last year, the European Commission warned that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization must be prepared for an intensified "scramble for resources" as melting glaciers and sea ice open up previously inaccessible areas to exploitation. The report explicitly expressed concerns over "long term relations with Russia," (ClimateWire, April 2, 2008).
At a minimum, the order sends a clear message to Colorado's largest investor owned utility, Xcel Energy, that the state's executive urges its compliance with the EPA's climate regulations and strongly encourages the governor-appointed Public Utilities Commission to approve Xcel's plans. At worst, it's a power grab.
This is no mere rhetoric on the part of Obama and Kerry: they believe what they are saying, and that other policy goals should be subordinated to their goal of a carbonless future. For them, natural gas is at best a "bridge fuel" to take us to the day when the world relies completely on solar, wind and other non-fossil fuels to operate highly energy-efficient cars, factories and homes. From which it follows that encouraging exports of natural gas is undesirable, putting in place infrastructures here and in importing countries more reliant on climate-changing fossil fuels, and reducing Europe's incentive to continue down the expensive path to a fossil-fuel-free future. Key Democrats up for re-election in November don't have as green a view of the future: they see fracking and natural gas exports as job creators and, now, an essential piece of any strategy to contain Putin.
Once upon a time, and for millennia before then, carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere were low and stable. Then came the industrial revolution and CO2 levels began to rise. The more man industrialized, the more that CO2 -- and the temperature -- rose. In the last half century, with industrialization at unprecedented levels, CO2 reached levels unprecedented in the human history. This is the story of global warming.
OUTGOING SHORTWAVE RADIATION (REFLECTED SUNLIGHT) AT TOA
It's payback time for the UK's insane energy policy
However, any such survey would be of no more scientific value than that of Cook. As the planet continues to fail to warm at anything like the rate that the usual suspects have so confidently but unwisely over-predicted, it will eventually become apparent to all that science was not, is not, and will never be done by mere headcount.
An article on the Asian Brown Cloud is here . An excerpt: This phenomenon also might help explain why carbon dioxide emissions and global temperatures don't track very well, if at all.
"But, Dad. That makes it sound like the Citizen Kane of crappy eco documentaries!"
Rough road ahead for Obama, unions as compromises loom:
By way of answering the question: "Why are the costs of wind and solar so much higher, and the benefits not much different from other low-carbon alternatives?" the Brookings study states: "The benefits of reduced emissions from wind and solar are limited because they operate at peak capacity only a fraction of the time."
I have invited Gordon to address the discrepancy in our datasets and help me to identify where I have made a mistake or perhaps if his data is in error. Readers are welcomed to chime in.
Those who instilled this remarkable "break in consciousness" were no different from those who touched off the other classic revolutions of modern times: writers, journalists, artists. As Alexis de Tocqueville observed, such men and women "help to create that general awareness of dissatisfaction, that solidified public opinion, which creates effective demand for revolutionary change." Suddenly, "the entire political education" of the nation becomes the "work of its men of letters."
By this gesture, I also want to unambiguously express my complete disagreement with the U.S. policies towards Russia, the EU member states, and all free and sovereign countries in the present as well as the past and especially with the consequences of these policies.
When arguing for scenario (B)ullshit theyclaimthat CO2 emission trends have been reduced linear , but when it suits their needs they change thestoryto super exponential.
By Lachlan Markeay, Washington Free Beacon, Aug 7, 2015
The summary: Tevatron Higgs 404 error: file not found
CO2 concentration, meanwhile, continues its upward trend. And it is this disconnect between rising CO2 concentration and stable near-surface temperatures that makes the present long hiatus in global warming more significant than the previous periods of a decade or more without warming over the 163 years of global mean surface temperatures. In none of the previous periods was CO2 concentration either as high or rising as fast as it is today.
Bradys expert witness, Edward Snyder, argued that it was improper to proceed with further comparison of variations, once the initial comparison had not yielded a statistically significant result:
At issue is a sweeping so-called "planning rule" that would guide land-use decision on 198 million acres of federal forests and grasslands across the country. Released in February as a proposed rule, the plan has come under a barrage of criticism for emphasizing species preservation and climate change over the well-being of rural Americans.
As I reported in my FOXNews.com column of January 5, 2001 (see below):
When confronted with themajor issues I havepresented, the Berkeley Earth, NASA and NOAA people demonstrate that their only interest is producing graphs showing warming while maintaining some appearance of plausible deniability.
Thus, in answer to the question that headlined this Climate Science weblog, the Washington Post article, while it did include some diversity in its presentation, failed to adequately assess other sources of information that provide a different view. It is also interesting that since the hurricane season has had a slow start so far, that the focus has now shifted to using heat waves as the climate metric to advocate a particular perspective on climate variability and change.
Flashback: 1974 Tornado Outbreaks Blamed On Global Cooling
The NCPA study, ???compares the worldwide benefits of U.S. reduction of CO 2 emissions with the worldwide costs.?? The benefits are ???the economic value of the avoided environmental damage that might arise from global warming,?? and the costs are the ???economic opportunities lost as a result of using less fossil fuel.?? According to the study, the benefits of reducing energy use only justifies a reduction of CO 2 emissions equal to 14 percent of that required by the Kyoto Protocol. That is, Kyoto requires seven times more CO 2 reduction than can be justified.