Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
What's more, asserting that intellectual opponents in the climate fight are industry stooges is a timeworn tactic. But what's comical about Grantham's assertion is he conveniently omits his own role in supporting organizations to push his preferred views on climate. These include the Grantham Research Institute at the London School of Economics. According to the Institute's website, it was "established in May 2008 through a generous 12 million donation from the Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment, and works closely with the Grantham Institute for Climate Change at Imperial College London, which was launched in February 2007."
The reason why this is the case appears to be that the negative phase of the PDO also favors longwave low pressure troughs over the U.S. The following regional correlation plot between the negative of the PDO and temperature shows this quite clearly, with a very cool West and somewhat warm South and Southeast:
I lived in the Midwest all of my youth and into my 30s, except for one year of internship in New York at Harlem Hospital, a great experience at 135th and Lenox.
Climate Crisis, Inc., jealously guards this power and money train. The IPCC, the EPA, and NOAA spend billions in tax dollars to publish horror stories about runaway temperatures and looming disasters. Mike Mann sues anyone who disparages him or his work. Sheldon Whitehouse and Jagedish Shukla demand that anyone who disputes manmade disaster claims be prosecuted for "climate denial."
The Wild Jet Stream (Mini-Ice-Age) era we are now in has nothing whatsoever to do with CO2, says astrophysicist and forecaster Piers Corbyn.
...this British cartoonist tries to explain why the members of his association voted the "Sharon eating Palestinian babies" editorial cartoon the best of the year. The interviewer asked him why no one draws the same sort of thing about Arafat. "Because Jews don't issue fatwas," he says, sheepishly.
Now the farm lobby is hitting back. House Agriculture Committee Chairman Colin Peterson exploded in a hearing in late May, declaring the EPA is going to "kill" the ethanol industry.
Al Gore for less than a Euro. Fine with me. It's been a while since someone mentioned that movie. Incidentally, yesterday, I friend told me that when her daughter had to watch it in class, she gave her a list with the ten worst fallacies in the movie. To her surprise, the public school teacher copied it and distributed for the following discussion.
Regarding Podesta's role, The Hill reports: it's "likely to include administration decisions about how to lease out federal lands and which energy development and mining projects to permit." It also cites Jay Carney as saying: "Podesta will help implement "executive actions where necessary when we can't get cooperation out of Congress.'" And the article states: "Officials and outside energy groups are particularly optimistic he'll be able to advance the administration's environmental agenda through administrative policy." According to the New Yorker, Podesta believes that Obama needs "to be expansive in his use of executive power."
Articles | Kayaker bids for Pole failure - ITV News An environmentalist is aiming to become the first person to kayak to the North Pole - but hopes the expedition will fail. Lewis Pugh - who has previously braved temperatures of -1.7C to swim in the Arctic ocean - wants to show how cracks in the ice have now made the route from teh Norwegian island of Spitsbergen possible. The 38-year-old said: "Scientists predict that this is the first year that the North Pole will be ice-free. I hope I fail. "I hope I don't get all the way there, because that means the scientists are right. This expedition is only possible because of climate change and I will see that up close." ... Sam Branson, son of Sir Richard Branson, will join Mr Pugh on the journey and write a blog. This is the same guy whose fingers were numb for "several months " after swimming at the North Pole last year. Note that it's not even rare for the North Pole to be ice-free.
Summer cyclone chewing up Canadas Arctic sea ice
In the words of the authors of this study, ???our findings suggest that diverse grasslands throughout the globe have the potential to be resilient to drought in the face of climate change through the local expansion of drought-tolerant species,?? which is good news for the future of grasslands worldwide?? Read More
Yes, there will be competition for those resources, but since when is competition an automatic negative for the USA?
In fact, the US government alone spent over $106 billion in taxpayer funds on alarmist climate research between 2003 and 2010. In return, the researchers refuse to let other scientists, IPCC reviewers or FOIA investigators see their raw data, computer codes or CO2-driven algorithms. The modelers and scientists claim the information is private property, even though taxpayers paid for the work and the results are used to justify energy, job and economy-killing policies and regulations. Uncle Sam spends billions more every year on renewable energy programs that raise energy prices, cost jobs and reduce living standards.
Figure 1. Log likelihood for MSU Tropical T2LT, with various autocorrelation models. Note: y-axis should be labelled as |z|.
lowering of Stevenson screen from 2.2 m to 1.5 m (June 1961).
EPA Coal Rule Skirts Law: 10 Percent of Comments from Obamas OFA
The question remains is whether or not the White House will approve the bill, though spokesman Josh Earnest hinted at an Obama vetowhich would further anger his union supporters that have pushed for its passage for the past six years. If the president vetoes what many are calling the Save Mary Landrieu Act, all is not lost for the Keystone pipeline.
Perhaps they refer to periods mentioned by the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) in an information leaflet that was available on their pre-climategate web site, where they acknowledged earlier warm periods in the Central England Temperature record, but didnt explain the lack of a CO 2 link. However that would produce difficulties for the theory, so maybe not. One wonders what time period the 76 specialists out 79 thought they were answering yes to.
It is a moral imperative to keep the power flowing. If our forefathers a century ago had worried about the side effects of using all that energy and set in place restrictions to stop it, millions -- no, billions -- would have suffered as a result. Denied the technological advances that energy use enabled, we would live shorter lives and be doomed to labor -- a poorer life in every sense. We should be thankful our ancestors chose not to legislate in our interests.
If even such nonsense models score that high the reported 51% of validation RE of MBH98 are not very meaningful. The low CE and R2 values moreover point to a weakness in predicting the shorter time scales. Therefore, the reconstruction skill needs a re-assessment, also on the background of the McIntyre and McKitrick, 2005b claim that it is not even significantly nonzero.
I said at that time that this claimed accuracy, somewhere around five thousandths of a degree (0.005C), was well highly unlikely.
Well! I guess there's something to be said for predictability!
"In an unrecorded voice vote, the House of Representatives voted down a proposed amendment to keep people who lied on their loan applications from receiving federal bailout money. The vote was unrecorded so that liberal lawmakers in conservative districts (who camouflage themselves as supposedly-conservative "Blue Dog' Democrats) could hide their vote from their constituents. The stimulus package funds groups like ACORN, which helped spawn the mortgage crisis by promoting "liar loans,' and which has an extensive history of financial fraud and vote fraud."
The glitter of the Nobel overshadows the inconvenient news reported last week that a British court of law labeled Gore's movie as partisan political propaganda, pointing out 11 different errors of fact or scientific judgment, and prohibiting its screening in British public schools without a disclaimer of these defects. The Nobel will be one more quiver in Gore's arsenal of intransigent moral authority by which he refuses to debate any aspect of the subject and declares the entire matter "settled." It's never a good sign when politicians declare a scientific matter settled; we all remember how well that worked out for the Vatican when they told Galileo 400 years ago that astronomy was settled. It is even more problematic to suggest that climate change is not a political issue, but a moral issue, but then to demand massive political interventions in the economy to fix the problem.
Id really like to see Al Gore sitting down on that rug with those kids. He might learn something.
The answer to #2 is probably yes, though the amount is in some doubt, but everyone (even the IPCC) agrees it is probably less than a degree per century.
I know what my environmentalist friends are saying: they're already accusing me of allowing mercury going into the air so today I would like to remind them that it was Republicans who first put forth a real plan to reduce mercury emissions from power plants.
This comment is divided into two main parts. The first part addresses the scientific basis of the Endangerment Proposal as discussed in EPA's proposed rule and the related Technical Support Document (TSD). The second part addresses the legal basis and regulatory implications of the Endangerment Proposal, drawing upon EPA's July 2008 Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, Regulating Greenhouse Gases under the Clean Air Act.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 10 June 2014 Update Still Waiting for the Feedbacks
The hits just keep coming... The number of bears along the western shore of Hudson Bay, believed to be among the most threatened bear subpopulations, stands at 1,013 and could be even higher, according to the results of an aerial survey released Wednesday by the Government of Nunavut. Thats 66 per cent higher than estimates by other researchers who forecasted the numbers would fall to as low as 610 because of warming temperatures that melt ice faster and ruin bears ability to hunt. The Hudson Bay region, which straddles Nunavut and Manitoba, is critical because its considered a bellwether for how polar bears are doing elsewhere in the Arctic. h/t Glenn
SM: John McCain's policies have become schizophrenic. Six years ago, McCain was a solid, fiscal conservative. But he really has changed. It's been a complete metamorphosis, and it's been extremely discouraging. John McCain is viewed by many as a great American hero. He had a strong following behind him. But, his recent voting behavior is bizarre, to say the least. I can't explain his motivations, for why he was only one of two Republicans in the entire Congress to vote against the tax cut. Part of it might be because he has such a hatred of George W. Bush. Part of it may be that he sees this as the kind of way of setting up a center path to the White House if he wants to run as an independent in 2004. So, I think his motivations were mostly personal. Hopefully he doesn't believe the types of things he was saying, like this would only help rich people. You could transplant Tom Daschle's name on his speech. The two of them were saying exactly the same thing.
On Sunday, February 17, the Sierra Club and other NGOs will lead what they are billing as "the world's largest ever climate rally.'
"Five questions on the Army and the Fort Hood shooter"
Increase of Carbon Dioxide is thus wholly beneficial to the environment There is no evidence that it causes harm.
More important from a libertarian-Republican perspective, none of the deep-blue-state governors was a model of the libertarian fiscal policy preferred by Paul and his backers. Romney pushed through Romneycare; Schwarzenegger turned to the left after two years in office, going so far as to hire the former executive director of the state's Democratic party to be his chief of staff. Pataki, Romney, Schwarzenegger, and others championed regional greenhouse-gas-limitation pacts to combat global warming. None cut government by anywhere near as much as Senator Paul suggests in his proposed budget.
Temperatures are expected to be several degrees colder than usual for the rest of the week and dropping each day.
Tempers run high at the UN climate change conference in Copenhagen, Denmark.
In the 1990 report, it was estimated that future global warming, at least until the end of the next century, would run about three-tenths of a C per decade. In 1992, they came out with an interim report and basically said there was really no new science that would substantially change the 1990 estimate of three-tenths of a degree warming although they hinted that we're learning more about aerosols and that aerosols might indeed reduce the amount of warming. Now we've just had the latest report come out, 1995 report, which was released in '96. And the estimate of global warming has been reduced to about .18 degrees per decade which comes from an estimate of 2 warming, 2 C warming by the end of the next century. The next major report is probably going to be 2000. I imagine it will be 2001 before it's published, at which time we'll have a new estimate.
Hallucination: Obama wants 80% of energy from "clean' sources by 2035
In short: The very existence of a troposphere makes the whole CO2 driven radiative IR model daft. All that tropospheric CO2 can only close an already closed radiative window in the troposphere and contribute to the convection that is already dominant. BTW, in deep winter with a strong polar vortex, the tropopause can reach ground level near the poles (especially the South Pole). In that context, then, it can enhance the radiative heat dump to space. But warming? In any mid-latitudes especially? Not a chance.
Based on strong correlation between the production rate of the cosmogenic nucleids 14 C and 10 Be and proxies for sea ice drift, Bond et al. (2001) concluded that extremely weak perturbations in the Sun's energy output on decadal to millennial timescales generate a strong climate response in the North Atlantic deep water (NADW). This affects the global thermohaline circulation and the global climate. The possible sunoceanclimate connection may be detectable in temperature series from the North Atlantic region. Since the ocean with its large heat capacity can store and transport huge amounts of heat, a time lag between solar activity and air temperature increase is expected. An observed time lag gives us an opportunity for forecasting, which is the rationale for the present investigation.
Their explanation is a bit different from the prose I usually offer. They start by defining it by a single observer. One observer can't guarantee that a wormhole exists or not exists because the wormhole in ER=EPR is non-traversible so he would die before he would complete the test of its existence. More nontrivially, they discuss the attempt to measure the existence of the wormhole by two or many observers. They fail because they may only start to collect evidence about the existence of the entanglement if they also start to measure the detailed properties of the arrangement inside the would-be wormhole.
Then there is the lack of warming since 2000, which is fully compatible with a solar explanation for late 20th century warming but is seriously at odds with the CO2 theory. Of course 10 or 15 years is not enough data to prove or disprove either theory, but the episode that is held to require a CO2 explanation is even slighter. The post 1970??s warming that is said to be incompatible with a solar explanation didn??t show a clear temperature signal until 97 or 98:
Kvicksilverinnehllet in a single lamp is tillrckligt from to make at least 3000 liters of water undrinkable, continuing Jonas and Ida. If each hushll would slnga a single lamp failure corresponds to a volume of less sj.
Data published on U of Colorado website in 2004 shown in blue. Same data after 9 years of adjustments published on same website today shown in red. The slope of the same 1992-2004 data has somehow increased by 34% over the past 9 years.
Wind and solar power nearly fried Germany's power grid, but the disaster was prevented when the German government paid consumers to use electricity.
As with so much of our climate, US and Texas temperatures are driven by ocean cycles. A proper climate scientist would, of course, know this, and would also be fully aware of the long term data and trends.
Desert Solar Power Plant a Risk to Air Safety
"Tea Party activists have started to sound the alarms over a United Nations initiative most Americans have never heard of, but one that many in the movement see as one of the greatest threats to America's sovereignty."
Ice in the Barents and Kara Seas is above normal now, and they will come up with a completely different serious sounding explanation for the harsh weather.
Unable to afford food, hungry Haitians are now eating "cookies made of dirt, vegetable oil, and salt."
Yes, thats right, deadly man-made CO2 is the largest cooling agent of the stratosphere as demonstrated by this computer-modeled representation of stratospheric cooling rates:
We could spend hours analyzing the new IPCC report about the impacts of climate change. Or we could just point out:
California screamin. Once fertile land in a once rich and prosperous state now resembles an African failed state .
The record rainfall and storm surges that have brought flooding across the UK are a clear sign that we are already experiencing the impacts of climate change. (Guardian)
Republicans need to take note " and take action.
Id also point out that such an international tax regime would be highly undemocratic: it would almost certainly be set in international negotiations with some kind of EU/UN input. Your carbon tax in Birmingham could well be set in Brussels. Who do you vote out of office in that situation? Wheres your First Amendment right to petition your government for redress of grievances then?
Srinivasan added: Between 2013 and 2014, India experienced a deficit of 4.5 per cent in terms of the electricity supply available to fulfil peak demand.
LSU researchers find new information about Snowball Earth period
Is the PCA approach robust? Are the results statistically significant? It seems
In my closing comment, I firmly endorsed Briffas stand against the use of radially deformed data.
The part I really don??t like in all of this is that once again, all of their claims are built on computer models. But what I don??t find is any serious testing of their whiz-bang models against things like the global or the CET temperature and rainfall records. In fact, I don??t see any indication in any venue that any computer models are worth a bucket of warm spit when it comes to rainfall. Computer models are known to perform horribly at hindcasting rainfall, they do no better than chance.
koda Octavia is the bestselling model (or group of models) but there are perhaps better examples of the edge.
Actually, more concern by all should be directed towards the potential of extreme global cooling, based on the most current 10-year trend
What they have done here is divide Alaska up into its natural climatic zones (their opinion, of course) and graphed each separately, on a single graph. We see mirrored here the warm 1930s-40s. The global cooling period 1945-1975 (rough dates here, folks, we are just talking about this). Then the 1975-1978 spike/step-up, then? After 1978, roughly even-steven right to present time.
Complete participation is important because the cost function for abatement appears to be highly convex. We preliminarily estimate that a participation rate of 50 percent instead of 100 percent will impose a cost penalty on abatement of 250 percent.
America can ready for living in the dark no new coal power stations were built in 2010 , despite the nation generating half of its power with its abundant coal reserves.
I can only imagine the future where Ill be typing some story, like this one, and there will be a knock at the door and
This is energy policy by and for not-so-bright lights, who let their religious fervor for anything not hydrocarbon get in the way of common sense and fact-based analysis. Their policies will result in dim bulbs in our future light fixtures and expensive, job-killing energy for other needs. We cannot afford to continue going down this suicidal path.
A rapidly growing number of Americans are coming to distrust ?scientific? climate report conclusions that emanate from authoritarian government and institutional sources ? often with good reason. Such skepticism has arisen in part from revelations of conspiracies among influential researchers to exaggerate the existence and threats of man-made climate change, withhold background data and suppress contrary findings evidenced in the ?ClimateGate? scandal.
13b. How well do ocean models deal with heat transport in the ocean
The Stanford project will seek to provide the kind of clean energy alternatives that will allow all nations to dramatically reduce man-made greenhouse gas emissions.
For others who are more busy, a homework problem: Where have you seen the background color under the Calabi-Yau manifold from the video at 1:39:06? ;-) It's actually an originally Mathematica animation that was redone with other options.
The Polar Bear Specialist Group didn't invite Taylor to their conference. More disturbingly, they explicitly said that the reason had nothing to do with the quality of Taylor's science. Derocher, a boss of the AGW-contaminated polar bear specialists, wrote an explanation to Taylor:
Fortunately, the authors allow us to formulate even such statements in a more "natural" and more "profound" way:
Fax: (49-228) 815-1999
In public policy, favoritism in the energy sector takes many forms. Over the years Congress has implemented numerous policies that use the political process to support the production or consumption of one good over another, including direct cash grants, special tax treatment, taxpayer-backed loans and loan guarantees, socialized risk through insurance programs, mandates to produce biofuels, tariffs, and energy sales at below-market costs. Whatever shape the favoritism takes, the results are the always the same: The government delivers benefits to a small, select group and spreads the costs across families and consumers.
Shlaes offers a new gloss on the old theme of how FDR used the Depression to craft the durable New Deal coalition. Here her narrative sparkles, as she recounts how FDR transformed the failures of his economic policy to his political advantage in the 1936 election. The failure of the New Deal to deliver meaningful economic growth lent paradoxical validity to FDR's class-warfare rhetoric: "Many in the country believed that the United States was actually becoming the society of social classes that Roosevelt now described in his speeches. And they responded accordingly," that is, by re-electing Roosevelt. The secret was purposely dividing people into interest groups, and pandering to enough of them to create a majority.
Climate change skeptics are doing a bit of gloating following a series of mainstream media reports that acknowledge what those skeptics have long held the earth is not warming, at least not in the last 10 years.
26b. Potential for catastrophe from climate change for other parts of the world in the next 50 years (very low to very high).
extreme weather is due to global warming"] ? at least not a climatologist.
MSNBC doesn?t talk about solutions to the food chain tightening, but we will. We must triple the food yields on the planet?s existing farmland, by intensifying production. The public must get over its chemo phobia, and license its farmers to use the pest controls that work best, whether they be chemical or biotechnological. Our ill-considered bans on such safe chemicals as DDT and Dursban have cost 50 million needless deaths in the tropics, are bringing widespread suffering from bedbugs in America today, and pest losses could lead to destruction of much of the planet?s wild biodiversity in the decades ahead.
Right now we are witnessing cold temperatures that we have not seen in decades. The following is the way that one meteorologist put it