Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Despite these, and other harmful impactswhich include a loss of property values when wind turbines are installed in a neighborhoodand opposition from environmental groups and local fisherman, the Department of Energy has just approved a stimulus-funded $150 million loan guarantee for the controversial Cape Wind project planned to be built in the Nantucket Sound. Cape Wind, scheduled to begin construction in 2015, will be the first utility-scale wind facility in U.S. waters.
A little further elementary math will show that the cost of abating 1 Fahrenheit degree of global warming by worldwide measures as spectacularly cost-ineffective as those of California will be close to $640 trillion rather more than the $454 trillion I had originally estimated, because I had been too generous with the value of the centennial-scale climate-sensitivity parameter.
Off-topic: For her 60th anniversary of reign, Queen Elizabeth received a chunk of Antarctica and a new rendition of the royal anthem (the video above).
Case Study 4. American Lung Association: "Red Carriage"
Fred Krupp, executive director of the Environmental Defense Fund, argued that early action would reduce carbon emissions while maintaining economic growth. Implementing Kyoto now, said Krupp, will reduce expected costs. Krupp argued that we must act now because "nine more years of unchecked greenhouse gas emissions increases represents an ever increasing environmental risk."
Sources: Loehle 2007, Haung and Pollack 1997 , See co2science.org for all the other peer reviewed studies to go with every orange dot on the map. McIntyre & McKitrick 2003 and 2005 , and update , Mann et al 1998, Briffa 2006, read McIntyre at climateaudit.com, see ClimateGate, and Monckton What Hockey Stick (Science and Public Policy Institute paper)
Dr Pearman spoke first and focused on global warming from carbon dioxide as a policy driver. I was offended by the presentation.
A Keystone Copout vs. Capstone Climate Legacy Conundrum
Theres likely to be less winter rainfall across much of the country too, with the bureau saying much of the continent only has a 30 to 45 per cent chance of exceeding average rainfall.
The climate in the northern regions has never been milder since the last Ice Age than it was about 6000-7000 years ago. We still dont know whether the Arctic Ocean was completely ice free, but there was more open water in the area north of Greenland than there is today, says Astrid Lys, a geologist and researcher at the Geological Survey of Norway (NGU).
/s/ Jack Knight JSC, Chief, Advanced Operations and Development Division, MOD, 40 years
Segment 3 is the debunking of the many claims of impending climate catastrophes Al Gore's movie "An Inconvenient Truth".
How could this be global warming, but 34 years ago, that was an Ice Age coming?
But it does appear that serious legislators of both parties are moving toward the kind of reform proposed last year by a bipartisan panel assembled by the Brookings Institution and Duke University's Kenan Institute.
There have been three recent studies producing projections for tropical cyclone changes in the Australian region. Two suggest that there will be no significant change in tropical cyclone numbers off the east coast of Australia to the middle of the 21st century. The third study, based on the CSIRO simulations, shows a significant decrease in tropical cyclone numbers for the Australian region especially off the coastline of Western Australia. The simulations also show more long-lived eastern Australian tropical cyclones although one study showed a decrease in long-lived cyclones off the Western Australian coast.
There have been computerized bridge games available for about forty years. They have never been completely satisfactory from the standpoint of the serious player. Defensive play has always been particularly poor in these games. But what is most remarkable is that the quality of these computerized bridge games has not improved significantly over all this time. I dont think it ever will. The reason is that you cant computerize judgment.
/s/ Dr. Phillip K. Chapman JSC, Scientist astronaut, 5 years
In Wales, a third of all children live in low-income households, and a quarter of all households were in "fuel poverty" forced to spend at least 10% of their income on heating. Many parents had to choose between keeping their children warm and providing them with nourishing meals, welfare workers said. Many Welsh children couldn't sleep at night because of the cold, damaging their health and grades.
But the onus is especially heavy on the majority. It is the majority, especially in the House, that has the power to shape debate and either to open up or shut down the process to ideas, amendments and involvement by rank-and-file Members in both parties. It is the majority that has to rise above the cheap shots, irresponsible motions to recommit and outrageous rhetoric, both to serve the larger interests of the House and to serve their own partisan interests in maintaining a majority.
<5131> Shukla/IGES:
Thompson et al base their claim of a 1945 discontinuity in the Global SST dataset on the fact that, after they eliminated the effects of ENSO and COWL, there was no corresponding volcanic eruption to cause the drop in temperature. This assumes the volcano records and the SST records for the NINO regions are correct. It is difficult to imagine that an explosive volcanic eruption that would have lowered global temperatures 0.3 deg C could be missed, but can the same be said about ENSO events? Also, the methods used by Thompson et al (2008) to extract the ENSO signal from the global temperature record are similar to those in Thompson et al (2009), but as illustrated in Thompson et al (2009) High-Tech Wiggle Matching Helps Illustrate El Nino-Induced Step Changes , they left significant ENSO residuals in their adjusted data. With this in mind, I resorted to raw HADISST Global and NINO3.4 SST anomaly data and to raw CRUTEM3 Land Surface Temperature anomaly data for this post.
Board directors quit, conference speakers cancelled at short-notice, and associates of long standing demanded Heartland remove their names from its website. The list of conference sponsors shrank by nearly half from 2010, and many of those listed sponsors are just websites operating on the rightwing fringe.
A clean power backlash in Oz as energy firms have had enough of damaging regulation and grandstanding.
Climate Craziness of the Week: sea life must swim faster to survive climate change
Arhenius estimated that a doubling of CO2 would cause a temperature rise of 5 degrees Celsius, recent values from IPCC place this value (the Climate sensitivity) at between 1.5 and 4.5 degrees.
" greenhouse critics like Arizona's own, Dr. Robert Balling "should continue to be heard, but they should not counterbalance the overwhelming consensus of scientific opinion."
The failure of Kyoto's mandatory targets and timetables is nowhere more apparent, yet nowhere less acknowledged, than in the European Union. In Spain, to take the most extreme example, emissions have increased 53%, closely tracking economic growth of just over 50%. For comparison, the U. S. economy has grown roughly 3% for every 1% increase in emissions. Moreover, population growth has equaled emissions growth in the U. S., so that per capita U. S. emissions have remained steady since 1980.
Although logic may seem to point to a particular solution, we must beware of the paths of false logic. Also, there may be ethical objections to some seemingly logical solutions. For example bulldozing all native vegetation might abolish bushfire, but would not be a good idea from many other points of view. Even aesthetics come into the picture. Many urban Australians, of recent migrant descent, see blackened ground as ugly, but Aborigines see it as beautiful, and describe it as cleaned up. Although bushfire is no doubt ugly to victims, flames do have a certain beauty, especially when mild and not threatening. Many of us like a campfire. Ontology is always useful, to distinguish between what is real, and what is imaginary.
Here we see what looks like a clear effect of increasing UHI, due to city growth as well as airport growth. This station has been moved nearly as much, but more importantly its been located in an area that doesn??t have pockets of micro-climate.
Recently, the University of Delaware took a stand to protect free speech for scientists when it refused to grant Mr. Grijalva's request for information about funding for its scientists. The university stated that it "chooses not to act in a manner that is inconsistent with its governing principles and contractual commitments."
Local copepod diversity, especially in extra-tropical regions, is likely to increase with climate change as their large-scale distributions respond to climate warming.
Over 40 groups and individuals have filed petitions with South Dakota's Public Utility Commission to broaden the approval process to matters that were not considered in 2010. Those groups include the Standing Rock Sioux Tribe, the Rosebud Sioux Tribe, Boettcher Organics and the Sierra Club, as well as a number of independent individuals. The goal of most groups is to stall South Dakota's approval of Keystone XL.
Jones says that UK climate organisations are coordinating themselves to resist FoI. They got advice from the Information Commissioner ( 1219239172 )
Gingrich formally announced he was running for president in 2012 on Wednesday.
The bill's stress on adaptation, and on the science needed to unleash action in this area, is commendable. Geoengineering may greatly extend the capacity to adapt to climate change. Research into its potential and its possible risks should be part of a well-designed effort on adaptation.
The reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S is largely a result of a poor economy, a rise in the use (and affordable availability) of natural gas, and on-going improvements of the U.S. energy efficiency that were begun long before the Obama Administration.
Your criticism merely inverts the simplistic assumption it objects to. While those who prosecuted the War on Terror and later action in the region cant be held to account for the actions of ISIS, they can be held to account for creating the power vacuum and chaos that allowed them to take control of territory Not to mention backing with guns and money the very religious movements that turned out to be terrorists, as was predicted as early as the 1980s.
Gore Win a Sad Day for Nobel Legacy
The activists are heading to Brazil with an extensive wish list that attacks liberal democracy and free markets. They want to "transform" world society regulating and rolling back developed world prosperity restricting progress and making poverty and disease permanent fixtures in the developing world and, ironically, harming nature in the process. They also want a tax on financial transactions worldwide, to provide permanent funding and power for the unelected, unaccountable United Nations.
These statements might fit well on a formal logic exam, but they are not real arguments, and they only encourage more of the overheated rhetoric that prevents a serious debate on climate change.
I would be remiss is my review of the climate stories of 2011 if I failed to mention the release of another round of Climategate emails. The so-called Climategate 2.0 emails further many of the storylines that ran throughout the original Climategate releases back in November 2009?rampant gatekeeping, data hoarding, and general misbehavior.
Give it time. Being sceptical will soon be the new cool.
Note:Erikson and Lazarus assume that an additional 830,000 bpd would increase CO2e emissions by110 million metric tons, not 181 million, as in Chip??s calculation.So inErikson and Lazarus??s worst case, the KXL wouldcontribute about0.006Cof warming by century??s end. If the recent papers on climate sensitivity are correct, the KXL maximum theoretical contribution to global warming is even more miniscule.
Russian Science Director Refutes Warming Claims
Another major sponsor, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, won the Corporate Social Responsibility Award in 2004.
This is a preliminary report. Sea surface temperature data for the weekcentered on WednesdayFebruary 6, 2013 will not be available until Monday February 11. Ill be happy to update this post then.
Glassman: What you're saying is that solar activity is causing global warming?
GISP Greenland Ice Core Data shows that it has been warmer than today for almost all of the past 10,000 years.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Great Lakes Advocate
> >> loss). I would treat all such estimates very skeptically. We
fact that the Atmosphere Ocean General Circulation Models are not able to explain the post-1970 temperature increase by natural forcing was interpreted as proof that it was caused by humans. It is more logical to admit that the models are not yet good enough to capture natural climate variability (how much or how little do we understand aerosol and clouds, and ocean circulation?), even though we can all agree that part of the observed post-1970 warming is due to the increase of atmospheric CO2
Australia also did not receive its much-wanted concessions for exports of soft commodities such as wheat, rice and sugar, while Chinese state-owned enterprises did not receive an exemption from scrutiny by Australia's watchful Foreign Investment Review Board for investments of A$1.08 billion (S$1.22 billion) or below.
Writing to a Soviet magazine in 1987, a Russian reader called what he saw around him a "radical break in consciousness." We know that he was right because Russia's is the first great revolution whose course was charted in public opinion polls almost from the beginning. Already at the end of 1989, the first representative national public opinion survey found overwhelming support for competitive elections and the legalization of parties other than the Soviet Communist Party after four generations under a one-party dictatorship and with independent parties still illegal. By mid-1990, more than half those surveyed in a Russian region agreed that "a healthy economy" was more likely if "the government allows individuals to do as they wish." Six months later, an all-Russia poll found 56 percent supporting a rapid or gradual transition to a market economy. Another year passed, and the share of the pro-market respondents increased to 64 percent.
Access to capital and credit enable new markets to spring up where none existed before. Entrepreneurial activity is unleashed. Consider one of Prahalad's case studies of Nirmal, a small Indian firm that sold detergent products designed for rural village uses, such as in rivers. The products came in small packages at low prices suitable for Indian villagers' daily cash flow. The company soon found itself with a market share equal to that of consumer-goods giant Unilever's Indian subsidiary. Unilever responded by introducing similar products, thereby growing this new market. In the process, more environmentally friendly products were invented and sold, too.
?Forecasts like this are never simple but the data system is really useful and has made successful forecasts for other parts of the world.?
More than 7,000 homes in the Williams Lake area lost power due to the heavy snowfall, said BC Hydro community relations co-ordinator Dave Mosure.
Additionally, in the post here , we presented and discussed how the NCAR CCSM4 climate model was not capable of simulating the observed warming pattern of the Pacific Ocean for the past 31 years. See Figure 10, which presents modeled and observed sea surface temperature trends for the Pacific Ocean since November 1981 on a latitudinal (zonal means) basis. The fact that those models can occasionally produce decade-land hiatus periods is, therefore, immaterial.
Newt Gingrich, "We Can Have Green Conservatism, and We Should," Human Events, April 23, 2007. Available at http://www.aei.org/publications/filter.all,pubID.26036/pub detail.asp.
It is becoming increasingly clear that absorption of heat in deep oceans is part of the explanation.
The influence of CO2 is so small that it's at a noise level.
The IPCC then presents a series of similar graphs on page 930 in their Figure 10.21, and continues with their misrepresentation of climate model capabilities. On page 927, under the heading of 10.9.2 Whole Climate System, they write (my boldface), again using the emerging anthropogenic and natural signals and alternative hypothesis of just natural variations:
Fenton Communications is the infamous, left-wing public relations group that orchestrated actress Meryl Streep, CBS' 60 Minutes and the Natural Resources Defense Council to bring about the entirely bogus 1989 scare involving the apple-ripening chemical Alar.
Postscript: As Kriegeskorte observed, the specific impact of an erroneous method on a practical data set is hard to predict. In our case, it does not mean that a given reconstruction is necessarily an ???artifact?? of red noise, since a biased procedure will produce a Stick from an actual Stick signal. (If the ???signal?? is a Stick, the biased procedure will typically enhance the Stick.) The problem is that a biased method can produce a Stick from red noise as well and therefore not much significance can be placed to a Stick obtained from a flawed method.
We are meeting one month before the Climate Change Copenhagen Summit and several weeks before the U.S. Senate hearing regarding the cap-and-trade scheme. For these reasons, today??s meeting can??t be an academic conference, even though the topic still needs academic discussion. There is no consensus ??? neither in science, nor in economic analysis or politics.
At the 5:40 mark, BR television on 3 June 2012 asks how the gross Himalaya error found its way into the IPCC report. The answer is delivered by Professor Hans von Storch at the 6:05 mark:
If you are curious you will probably enjoy and learn much from a new 81-page report by Craig D. Idso on global warming and coral reefs .
How to get most countries to participate is the $64,000 question that no one can really answer. It may simply require waiting for some of them to get rich enough to be willing to spend their own money on this problem.
There are many solid data indicators that are illuminating, publicly available, and standardized across countries. And these data can help us broaden measures of well-being far beyond GDP.
on Thursday, June 27th, 2013 at 5:05 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
Next, Nuccitelli attacks Roy Spencer for having said it was entirely possible that summer sea-ice melt was no worse now than it had been in the 1920s and 1930s, when explorers had reported unprecedented warming and loss of sea ice in the Arctic.
We shouldn't be completely surprised by his defense of population control. This has long been part of his left-wing environmentalist agenda. As Myron Ebell, the Competitive Enterprise Institute's director of global warming and international environmental policy, told Mr. Bastasch, "Gore's eco-imperialism is uncomfortably close to the original racist goals of Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, who advocated population control in order to control the number of black and brown people in the world."
The prophecies of doom have led to enormous misallocations of resources and done untold psychological damage. With a bright, promising world before them, many children now fear the future. Today scant scientific evidence but new
ownership of a powerful symbol can give rise to demagoguery and self-delusion. President Bush overplayed the national defense card in pursuit of an ideological vision that backfired with terrible consequences in Iraq. In turn, a scientific-technological elite unchecked by healthy skepticism and political pluralism may well indulge in its own excesses. Cults of expertise helped bring us the Vietnam War and the current economic meltdown. Uncritical belief in and promotion of the redemptive power of scientific and technological advance is implicated in some of the most difficult challenges facing humans today. In science, Democrats appear to have discovered a surprisingly potent political weapon. Let us hope they wield it with wisdom and humility.
Nelson : The station at the Vicarage 1907-1919 was very much sheltered, practically under a hedge overgrown by large trees, so readings were taken over by the Cawthron Institute. These were not very good at first but were approved in 1928, before the station moved out to Appleby in 1931.
Thousands of climate scientists in a variety of discrete disciplines have been exploring the issue for decades. They have reached a consensual conclusion whose existence is easily demonstrated.
There is a considerable presence within the scientific community of people who do not agree with the IPCC conclusion that anthropogenic CO2 emissions are very probably likely to be primarily responsible for the global warming that has occurred since the Industrial Revolution.
When I started that job in 1999 the evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming seemed pretty good: CO2 is a greenhouse gas, the old ice core data, no other suspects.
The revelation came shortly after Friends of the Earth revealed that new figures showed that UK carbon emissions soared during 2003. The environmental organization issued a press release February 26 claiming, "Approximately 4.5 million tonnes of carbon (MtC) more were emitted from burning fossil fuels last year than in 2002. To put this in context, the renewables obligation, which will deliver 10 per cent of UK electricity from renewable sources by 2010, is predicted to save only 2.5 MtC per annum. The UK Government's entire climate change programme, published in 2000, is intended to deliver a reduction of 18 MtC. This would equal a 19 percent cut in 1990 carbon dioxide emission levels by 2010.
So if you are an outside observer here, not sure who to believe, whats the dead give away clue?
It seems that for decades European politiciansand more recently many of their partners from all over the worldhave tried to orient their decisions on a guideline they perceived as expressing a scientific view, while scientistswho did introduce the 2 target into the climate debatetreat that guideline as a political issue.
Landsea's frustration is not an isolated experience. MIT physicist Richard Lindzen, another past IPCC author who is not participating in the fourth report, has written: "My experiences over the past 16 years have led me to the discouraging conclusion that we are dealing with the almost insoluble interaction of an iron triangle with an iron rice bowl." (Lindzen's "iron triangle" consists of activists misusing science to get the attention of the news media and politicians; the "iron rice bowl" is the parallel phenomenon where scientists exploit the activists' alarm to increase research funding and attention for the issue.) And Dr. John Zillman, one of Australia's leading climate scientists, is another ex-IPCC participant who believes the IPCC has become "cast more in the model of supporting than informing policy development."
The EU has set great store by its Emissions Trading Scheme, which it thinks will help meet the targets. Unfortunately, again under the terms of the Protocol, such schemes become inapplicable if the first period targets are breached. The EU violators will be forced to make real, deep cuts in emissions rather than relying on buying hot air credits from elsewhere.
In short, Congress has imposed a law that costs you more at the pump, has scant geopolitical value, and is worse for air quality and carbon-dioxide emissions than gasoline. And that's the truth.
Labour Minister Margaret Beckett freslog from five years ago to Climatedeniers would frbjudas to use the internet. Criticism of the official climate science would be outlawed in the same way as possession of child pornography.
They knew about Solyndrawhich took over five hundred million dollars and then folded. Thanks in large part to my expos, many now know about Abengoa and the Solana solar projectwhich took billions of taxpayer dollars and is now functioning and producing electricity but does so by breaking immigration and labor laws, giving foreigners hiring preference, and stiffing American suppliers.