Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
If the White House and the EPA is permitted to implement the MATS regulation, the economy will dramatically decline. Life in America will resemble that of third-world nations. It is entirely based on lies.
The animation below shows their little problem. It alternates between the blue error map, and their current trend map. In their claimed high sea level rise areas, the error is almost as big as the trend in some places it is greater than the trend.
One may take issue with various cost projections, but what is beyond dispute is that laws or regulations that put a high price on carbon will necessarily lead to higher energy prices. Penalizing (higher carbon) conventional energy sources in favor of (lower carbon) renewables forces businesses to divert resources to less-economically-efficient uses. This, in turn, raises the overall cost of producing energy. The result: less energy and more expensive energy, which ultimately raises consumer prices across a range of goods and services.
The Oceans Biological Deserts Are Expanding by Richard A. Kerr ScienceNOW Daily News 25 January 2008
Economist Mag. slapped down for 'clearly biased and misleading' climate reporting
Remember too, that the tropics are relatively stable as far as temperatures go so if the worlds atmosphere cools, the potential energy transfer from tropics to poles increases. On the other hand, if the atmosphere is warmer than has historically been the case, then you can expect reduced wind speeds and less extreme precipitation events. If nothing else, JunkScience.coms Global Thermometer might turn out to be useful as a sell signal for wind energy stocks.
6 Jan 2012 Meltdown cuts Antarctic flights WARM weather has drastically cut the number of flights to Australias $45 million Antarctic ice runway. ... cut to just four flights over three weeks this summer as the runway surface keeps melting.
The study by climate change experts at the University of Exeter has important implications for international negotiators aiming to agree binding targets for future greenhouse gas emission targets.
there seems to be a weather disaster programme on every night these days
The implication of choosing to allow any of these faulty assumptions to go unchallenged particularly the core proposition that wind energy is a technically sound, economically competitive and environmentally beneficial means of producing electrical energy is that it deprives us of the opportunity to question the fundamental benefits of such projects. Wind proponents are secretly thrilled when citizens avoid focusing on the core issue, as it limits them to just warning of their adverse consequences: a minor consideration in the big picture.
Everything implying that the MAXIMUM wrong / misunderstood. He has not now, ochargumentet saknarnd importance for the actual sakfrgan despite marginal corrections (which also discussed the MAXIMUM) is the decay of C-14 to this approximativastady-stateniv remains characterized by a rate constant corresponding livslngden (in storleksordningen10 s) from a single carbon molecule in the atmosphere (which was finally taken up by the biomass, vrldshaven or weathering).
Furthermore, the situation is changing rapidly. The balance ten years from now will be much different than that which prevails today. The latter is simply irrelevant to decisions about who should pay to reduce future emissions. To the contrary, attempting to interject claims about the historical record is more likely to lead to stalemate and endless wrangling than it is to build consensus. It is hard to see why the U.S. would want to give credence to this approach.
One such "utility scale solar" company is Abengoa. The Spanish solar company was the single largest recipient of taxpayer funding through Obama's 2009 Stimulus Bill$2.8 billionbut has been beset with corruption and allegations that it routinely violates U.S. immigration, environmental, and workplace safety laws. The company is currently under investigation by U.S. Customs and Immigration Service and the Department of Labor. Abengoa creates spinoffs that enable it to move funds from one to the other, apparently hiding money and falsifying records.
Ironically, settling with As You Sow buys businesses little. Settlements typically involve businesses agreeing to be continuously monitored by As You Sow and the posting of As You-Sow-drafted warnings to scare customers. Rather than enduring a brief public relations battle, As You Sow's targets sign-up for a permanent anti-business watchdog and perpetually frightened customers not to mention aiding and abetting the advancement of As You Sow's left-wing social agenda.
Prof Steffen said there was evidence that extreme weather events appear to be increasing.
In the past century the sea level has risen twenty centimetres. There is no evidence for accelerated sea-level rise. It is my opinion that there is no need for drastic measures. Fortunately, the time rate of climate change is slow compared to the life span of the defense structures along our coast. There is enough time for adaptation.
A fuels-management project to log and thin 4,800 acres in the Bozeman, Mont., watershed exemplifies the problem. This project has been held up since 2010 on grounds that the environmental-impact assessment did not adequately protect the habitat of the Canadian lynx and the grizzly bear, both listed as threatened species.
The Little Ice Age lasted about 500 years, but the most severe period during the Little Ice Age occurred in Europe between 1550 and 1700, says Dr Baliunas. That was also probably the harshest period of weather in the last 1,000 years, if not longer.
The process of discovery of this station was a long one, aided by a global discussion at Tallblokes Talkshop. This Bing Maps aerial view I found and posted at TBs confirmed to me that there was in fact a Stevenson Screen there:
New Scientist for 12 December 2009 wrote an editorial comment supporting the Climategate emailers and saying they were not part of any kind of conspiracy.
In the words of the researchers, "contrary to expectations, this US Corn Belt summer climate appeared to cause sufficient water stress under ambient CO 2 to allow the ameliorating effects of elevated CO 2 to significantly enhance leaf net CO 2 assimilation." Hence, they conclude that "this response of Z. mays to elevated CO 2 indicates the potential for greater future crop biomass and harvestable yield across the US Corn Belt." References
Not bullying? I doubt the Senators are so thick as to think that using the word "demand" twice at the top of an official government document constitutes a gentle suggestion. (Have I said "government" enough times?) Moreover, Piltz seems to see scientists as political advocates,
arma1 1.lik<-function(b,y=x,t=Year) arima(y-b*t, order=c(1,0,1),method="ML")$loglik
I dont have much patience for people who deny climate change
Religion brings with it unbelievers, apostates, and radicals. The debate on climate policy has long been polarized. Asking an utterly sensible question which of the many options is the best course of action is met with howls of derision from both sides. Some protest the idea of taking climate change at all serious. Others are convinced that the maximum action is not enough.
The researchers then ran the data through a climate model, both a control run and a run with greenhouse gas and aerosol forcings, which did a decent job of simulating short-term, monthly changes in lapse rate, but failed to simulate decadal scale changes. The model shows a tighter long-term coupling between the surface and atmospheric temperatures than is observed in nature. As this study shows, our understanding of heat transfer between the surface and atmosphere is still incomplete, and until this problem is resolved there is little hope that climate models can tell us anything about what the climate may be like in 10, 50 or 100 years.
on Monday, September 22nd, 2014 at 9:02 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Note that with considerable smoothing of the data, we see a peak imbalance around 0.6 W m-2 during the maximum warming rate around the year 2000.
Does anyone think that Kerry Emanuel and Judith Curry each have an obligation to issue a report in Nature and/or Science on the 2006 hurricane season? Corporations can??t just issue financial statements when they have good years; they have to issue reports in bad years. And let there be no doubt ??? 2006 was a ???bad?? year for hurricane alarmists. I??ve collated all the storm track data to date. Storm and hurricane days are each off 30%; cat 3+ days by 50% and cat 4+ days by 54%. Hurricane days were at their lowest levels since 1989 and storm days at their lowest levels since Dvorak measurements were introduced in the Pacific in 1987. To my knowledge, this is the first quantitative report of these 2006 hurricane results. Emanuel had something in print using 2005 hurricane data in December 2005 (Reply to Landsea). What??s the over/under on when Emanuel and/or Webster/Curry will report on 2006 results in peer reviewed literature?
Also, when it came to enforcing the Syria red line, he was worried about UN inspectors on the ground. And he was ticked that British Prime Minister David Cameron had failed to rally his Parliament behind military action. Finally, he couldn't be sure of total success. And then there's this gem: "This falls in the category of something that I had been brooding on for some time. I had come into office with the strong belief that the scope of executive power in national-security issues is very broad, but not limitless."
The smell of smoke is harmless but we are asking affected residents to keep their doors and windows closed to keep the smell out of their homes.
Its also deep seated, which means that the fire is burning far below the surface.
The mess is forcing struggling utilities to contemplate even more radical solutions. E.ON, Germany?s biggest energy company, is thinking of dismantling some of its European gas power plants, mothballed because they are no longer profitable, and relocating them outside the EU. Such farcical considerations become symptomatic of the unintended consequences caused by the rapid expansion of renewable energy.
Those also aren't as large as the surface data would indicate, but TLT represents the average temperature in the lowest three miles or so of the atmosphere, not at ground level. Still, climate models predict that the TLT values ought to have a slightly higher warming trend than the surface temperatures, not the lower trend that the data indicates.
We all know, at junkscience.com that education is the key to functional adults.
In many statistical applications, there is a balance between minimising random sampling error and minimising systematic error (i.e. a trade-off between variance and bias). This issue arises in tree-ring chronology construction too, balancing the inclusion of more data to reduce the noise (i.e. the sampling error) against the inclusion of data from too large an area such that the signal becomes ambiguous or even incompatible. In this section we briefly evaluate some of the key aspects associated with this balance, as they apply to the Yamalia chronologies.
> Reader in Climatology tel: +44 1603 593162
I dont care much for Facebook which is filled with trivia, nevertheless some eminent Skeptics have made use of it. So I must admit that I was both amused and flattered to be invited to be a Friend with Jim Peden, the Astrophysicist, and one of my absolute heroes. So two days ago I was lead by Jim on Facebook to an essay in Climate Change Dispatch by his colleague at Principia Scientific International, Dr Pierre R Latour.
In 1946 he opened the Laboratory of Climatology in New Jersey and worked there until his death in 1963. John Mather joined him and they produced a revised system in 1955 that is the basis of most practical applications of climate work in the world today. Everyone from irrigators to hydrologists use variations of the model for their work. For example, a paper studied the viability of predicting stream flow in Costa Rica and concluded; ?These results indicate that the Thornthwaite method can be satisfactorily applied to estimate mean monthly stream- flow in the uplands of Costa Rica.?
Photograph taken at the Great Barrier Reef in April 2006 by Dave.
However, as President Obama stated, despite the many differences there is an underlying "spirit of partnership between our nations, that even as we honor the histories which in different times kept us apart, even as we preserve what makes us unique in a globalized world, we can recognize how much we can achieve together."
Because so small a fraction of global emissions will be abated by the scheme, simple calculations based on the IPCCs central assumptions about how much warming will occur this century (which, for the sake of argument, I simply accepted as correct) show that as a result of the full and successful operation of the scheme global CO2 concentration will fall from 410 to er 409.93 parts per million by volume by the end of the decade.
Wind power is great, as long as you don??t expect to get jobs, power or return on investment. UK power bills will increase to fund the windy boondoggle. In the US even T. Boone the greenwashing opportunist cut his order for bird shredders by half .
Among other things, you will find a free chapter from the book on that website much like MP3 files with various interviews. Enjoy!
3. The modern increase in temperatures since the Little Ice Age represents #19 in the count of climate change swings over the last 10,000 years.
Climate Science published a proposed test of the multi-decadal global model predictions (see A Litmus Test For Global Warming A Much Overdue Requirement ). Clearly, so far, the models are failing to skillfully predict the rate (and even the sign for the most recent years) of global warming. Andy Revkin should follow up his article to document what the models predict in terms of global warming (in Joules) over different time periods, and what do the observations actually show. This would beexcellent investigative (much needed)journalism.
79 percent of all green-jobs funding inObama??s $800 billion stimulus package went to foreign companies,with the largest payment going to a bankrupt Australian company. For example, the Obama Administration spent $1.6 billion on Chineseand other foreign wind power. The practical effect of those subsidieswas to outsource American jobs. ABC News reported on the subsidies for Chinese wind turbines contained in the stimulus package:
The increasing dollar cost of storm and other weather-related catastrophic insurance losses, erroneously cited as proof of increases in weather extremes in recent years, can be accounted for by the rise in property values, development and population, especially in hurricane-prone areas because hurricane losses dominate the weather catastrophe costs. A comparison over time of the average economic impact of storms can be made by adjusting property losses to current values. This calculation shows that the cost per large storm, adjusted for current conditions, has varied substantially from one decade to another, but that recent storm damage is no higher than in some earlier decades.30 Recent storm losses have not been exacerbated by increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide.
Parameter fitting is a procedure that Im usually chary of. However, in this case each of the parameters has a clear physical meaning, a meaning which is consistent with our understanding of how the system actually works. In addition, there are two findings that increase my confidence that these are accurate representations of physical reality.
Although most of the money for such positions may be on the green side. Larry Bell bemoans at Forbes: How can I get some of that big oil anti-global warming money? Given that the budgets at NGOs such as Greenpeace and WWF are almost two orders of magnitude larger than the likes of Heartland, the prospects for climate and green energy skeptics dont look to good for climate analyst positions.
Another area where Republicans could bring a positive, market-friendly agenda to the climate change debate involves adaptation, a subject treated like an unwanted step-child by Democrats.
Nor are we alone in concluding that climate sensitivity will be small. The following is a non-exhaustive list of papers in the reviewed journals of climate and related sciences concluding that climate sensitivity will be less than the canonical interval 3.0 K (Charney, J., Nat. Acad. Sci., 1979; IPCC, 2013):
With increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, there is an imbalance in energy flows in and out of the earth system at the top of the atmosphere (TOA): the greenhouse gases increasingly trap more radiation and hence create warming (Solomon et al. 2007; Trenberth et al. 2009). Warming really means heating and extra energy, and hence it can be manifested in many ways. Rising surface temperatures are just one manifestation. Melting Arctic sea ice is another. Increasing the water cycle and altering storms is yet another way that the overall energy imbalance can be perturbed by changing clouds and albedo. However, most of the excess energy goes into the ocean (Bindoff et al. 2007; Trenberth 2009). Can we monitor the energy imbalance with direct measurements, and can we track where the energy goes? Certainly we need to be able to answer these questions if we are to properly track how climate change is manifested and quantify implications for the future.
"We would like to apologise to residents for the inconvenience caused and thank South Yorkshire Fire & Rescue and the Environment Agency for their combined support. A full investigation into how the fire started will take place once the situation has been resolved.
Global warming alarmism is rooted in the idea that ever-increasing manmade emissions of greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide, cause global temperatures to warm. This idea, however, doesn't match up very well against real-world observations.
Date: April 21, 2010 Time: 6:30 pm Central DST
"Good news from Down-Under -- Australia and the Cairns Group are taking the lead in trying to resuscitate the WTO's collapsed Doha Round. It may seem strange that a country on the Pacific Ocean is attempting to bridge the transatlantic gap between the U.S. and the European Union on agricultural issues. But the Cairns Group of 18 agricultural exporting countries has a 20-year history of being a key player in pushing for agricultural reform."
U.S. slips to historic low in global corruption index:
This is same LA Times which publishes factual inaccuracies about the climate almost every day. They said in August that New Mexico would never recover from the drought right before New Mexico flooded.
The difference in the radiation temperatures from the highest to the lowest GCMs global control runs (from 16.5C to 11.5C), on the other hand, is 27 watts per square meter ?? clearly, some of them are very, very wrong. Heck, look at the top red line. It changes by 1C, that??s 5.5 w/m2, when the forcings haven??t changed at all. Can this GCM tell us anything about a 1 watt/m2 change over 50 years? I don??t think so ??
A recent re-posting on the SPPI blog from the HockeySchtick site, with the title, The 97% Consensus is only 75 Self-Selected Climatologists was a second look at the claim first made in January 2009, in a paper called Examining the Scientific Consensus on Climate Change by Peter Doran and Kendall Zimmerman, from the department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at the University of Illinois.
The main purpose of the interview was to establish if the government thought the recent and continuing pause in global temperatures meant it should re-think its policies in response to global warming.
During the Cold War, the Atlantic Alliance had two geographic pillars: the Brussels-based Allied Command-Europe (ACE) for continental affairs, the Norfolk-based Allied Command-Atlantic (ACLANT) for maritime affairs. From 1991 to 2001, the maritime dimension, once identified with the Atlantic, became confined to the Mediterranean (Operation Sharp Guard). Yet, despite the shrinking of the maritime dimension at the operational level, ACLANT continued, at the intellectual level, to deliver outside-the-box, yet topical thinking on issues like "Multinational Naval Cooperation and Foreign Policy into the 21st Century."24
Nicolas D. Loris, "Government Energy-Efficiency Programs Are Subsidy-Laden Paternalism," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2832, August 1, 2013, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/08/government-energy-efficiency-programs-are-subsidy-laden-paternalism.
There are a number of ways to present how poorly climate models simulate global surface temperatures. Normally they are compared in a time-series graph. See the example here . In that example, GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI) data are compared to the multi-model mean of the climate models stored in the CMIP5 archive, which was used by the IPCC for their 5 th Assessment Report. The data and model outputs have been smoothed with 61-month filters to reduce the monthly variations.
It is no use my saying that London Underground and bus networks are performing relatively well ? touch wood ? when Heathrow, our major international airport, is still effectively closed two days after the last heavy snowfall; when substantial parts of our national rail network are still struggling; when there are abandoned cars to be seen on hard shoulders all over the country; and when yet more snow is expected today, especially in the north.
blandished with government money to convert food into energy. Pimentel,
Click here to read the rest of the original article at the Orange County Register's Orange Punch blog.
Hunters and gatherers, he says, entered Amazonia from various directions at different times and undertook many activities in the rainforest. They "burned grassland and scrub to flush game and kill small animals, thereby creating more open habitats," and created landscape changes that became more pronounced when "large scale farming came on the scene. Maize has been cultivated in the Ecuadorian Amazon for at least 6,000 years and root-crop farming began long before that, particularly with cassava (manioc), sweet potato, and the New World yam. By the time the Europeans arrived, many parts of the Amazon basin were being farmed, and settlement was particularly dense along silt-laden rivers."
Second, the absolute value of the global mean temperature in a free-running coupled climate model is an emergent property of the simulation. It therefore has a spread of values across the multi-model ensemble. Showing the models anomalies then makes the coherence of the transient responses clearer. However, the variations in the averages of the model GMT values are quite wide, and indeed, are larger than the changes seen over the last century, and so whether this matters needs to be assessed .
In reading over McCook et al., some 40 such discrepancies were noted and more detailed examination would surely reveal more. However, without going further it should be clear that PNAS has been badly used. The serious and obvious conflict of interest alone can neither be ignored nor credibly explained away. If not addressed, it makes a farce of the declaration of no conflict. It alone must surely be more than sufficient grounds to retract this study. Although doing this may be unpleasant it would be far less damaging than to try to examine and defend all of the sad and disreputable details.
Whether we've properly safeguarded the freedoms they fought to leave us, may be a discussion best left for another day. Today we struggle to envision or, for a few of us, to remember how the world must have looked on Oct. 26, 1942.
A screwdriver often comes in handy. But not as a soup ingredient. Black pepper is essential in any cooking. But don't try repairing your bike with it.