Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
One final comment. From this study, it appears that the number of reliable tidal gauge sites, with reasonably long and complete records, is on the decline. Is too much reliance being put on satellites? Maybe. But when sea level rise is such an important and controversial topic, I find it both astonishing and rather sad that this is being allowed to happen.
As Hamilton wrote, the presidency was to be the one part of government that could respond with "decision, activity, secrecy, and dispatch" to unforeseen crises, especially war. Borrowing liberally from John Locke, Hamilton argued in The Federalist that the central function of the executive was to be a branch of the government always in being, one that could respond swiftly to emergencies. War would make the most demands on the presidency. "Of all the cares or concerns of government," Hamilton wrote, "the direction of war most peculiarly demands those qualities which distinguish the exercise of power by a single hand."
Given these observed changes it is important to consider what has not changed in the past 50 years:
In the 1990s, some foreign policy analysts called on the United States to adopt a policy known as "offshore balancing." Succinctly put, "offshore balancing is predicated on the assumption that attempting to maintain U.S. hegemony is self-defeating because it will provoke other states to combine in opposition to the United States, and result in a futile depletion of the United States' relative power, thereby leaving it worse off than if it accommodated multipolarity."31 Whether such an offshore balancing is still possible or desirable for the U.S. in a post-9/11 environment is highly debatable. But a maritime globalization of NATO could become, for the Alliance itself, the continuation of "offshore balancing" by other means. Its main merit would be to constitute a hedging strategy of sorts against the SCO.
on Tuesday, August 9th, 2011 at 8:54 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
For small changes in climate associated with tenths of a degree, there is no need for any external cause. The earth is never exactly in equilibrium. The motions of the massive oceans where heat is moved between deep layers and the surface provides variability on time scales from years to centuries. Recent work (Tsonis et al, 2007), suggests that this variability is enough to account for all climate change since the 19th Century.
He also gave you some extremely misleading information. While it is true that Greenland temperatures rose 4C from 1990 to 2006, the long term trend since the 1920s is downwards, as well as the short term trend since 2006. He cherry picked the twenty year period very carefully, as twenty years ago was the coldest period inGreenlandshistory. Had he picked almost any other start date, there would be no warming trend.
78) A proper analysis of ice core records from the past 650,000 years demonstrates that temperature increases have come before, and not resulted from, increases in CO2 by hundreds of years.
Last week, the U.N.?s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, reported it was 95 percent certain that climate change was the result of human activity, specifically the burning of fossil fuels that emit ?greenhouse gases.?
Solar explains perhaps 10% of it, but the volcanoes push it the other way so why cant I find the two watts per square metre of expected CO2 warming in the CERES dataset?
The myths and urban legends of disastrous, catastrophic global warming that IPCC "scientists" perpetuate have become less believable as global warming has literally disappeared - unfortunately, most of these green, CO2-jihadist climate scientists still pursue empirical malfeasance by purposefully misleading policymakers and the public with even more temperature fabrications
But that admonition has been largely ignored and the politics of personal destruction continues. Lest anyone think that this conclusion is exaggeration, consider for a moment what some climate change advocates have asserted.
I would love to teach at a school where the students actually want to learn and are not there just to Get a degree. In my fantasy, these kids matriculate already knowing how to write and are not unfamiliar with multiplication and division of two-digit numbers. And since this is my hallucination, I envision the college shares my desires and puts knowledge (and not diversity, etc.) first. Sigh.
Fig 14.2 Temperature (top). CO2 (bottom) from Vostok ice-core overlaid showing temperature drops after the peak whereas CO2 does not.
According to a new paper in the Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, ???The global mean sea level for the period January 1900 to December 2006 is estimated to rise at a rate of 1.56 0.25 mm/yr which is reasonably consistent with earlier estimates, but we do not find significant acceleration.?? As noted by The Hockey Shtick , the 1.56 mm/yr non-accelerating rate of sea level rise would result in sea levels 6 inches higher than the present in 100 years.
Unfortunately, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) wrote a letter to the anti-coal zealots recently announcing that they would direct the Capitol power plant to switch over to run entirely on natural gas. This will increase the cost of the electricity and heat used by the Congress substantially, but the only people for whom this represents an added burden are taxpayers.
One of the things emerging from several lines is that the IPCC has not paid enough attention to natural variability, on several time scales, he says, especially El Nios and La Nias, the Pacific Ocean phenomena that are not yet captured by climate models, and the longer term Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) which have cycle lengths of about 60 years.
Common Core got off to a fast start as most states adopted it in exchange for federal money under Obama's Race to the Top program. But then groups including The Heartland Institute revealed the true origins, content, and intent of Common Core and support for the standards began to evaporate. One by one, states withdrew from the consortia created to administer the Common Core-linked tests.
This indicates that claim 5 is clearly wrong . While sea level will rise a small amount, and has so since the start of the Holocene period, the rise is now only 10 to 15 cm per century, and is not significantly related to the recent recovery from the little ice age, including the present period of warming.
1980, 90s and 2000s obsession with global warming of around 0.2C/decade (as inflated on the graph) with predictions of fireball earth, plagues of frogs etc.
This attempt to punish opposition to climate-change regulations is shocking. The First Amendment protects such opposition, including corporate lobbying. Under the Supreme Court's Noerr-Pennington doctrine, lobbying is protected even if it reflects a bad motive, or makes false claims.
"No, I'm serious. They're not here." Then a minute later, "Dad, I found a rubber patch. They must have caught fire."
Instead of flattering tree huggers, it?s time we stopped all this nature-worshipping and added some real fuel to the climate-change debate.
The recent lack of warming does deserve discussion. As several have shown, including me in blog posts such as this, the short-term variations in the trend are mainly due to variations in El Nio and volcanic eruptions. The last two years have seen the key El Nio region running cool, and as has almost always happened in similar situations in the past, the globe has run cool too.
I attended the conclave of 180 nations at The Hague, and it was obvious that Europeans were more interested in trying to gain an economic advantage over the United States and in scoring points for Uncle Sam-bashing with their "green" constituents than in meeting, in a sensible way, the still uncertain threat of global warming.
"A female jail guard's strip search of a male inmate was a "humiliating event" that violated his rights, a divided federal appeals court in San Francisco ruled Wednesday."
Baliunas: Yes, it correlates almost exactly with the temperature on Earth. The sun is as magnetically active as it's been in our direct telescope records of the sun since the days of Galileo. So the magnetism of the sun has been rising gradually, and it was especially sharp early in the 20th century, coincident with this rise in temperature on the Earth.
After breakfast I try putting on several pairs of socks and tying sleeping bag covers around my ankles. But the nylon is paper-thin, and my feet freeze in a second.
What follows is the Arctic part of Prof. Fritz Vahrenholtsand Frank Bosses recently posted article: The sun August 2014, the internal variability of the climate and the latest on Arctic ice . Time permitting, I will do the translation ofthe solar part a little later.
A decline in diurnal temperature range results in reduced human mortality in Guangzhou, China Read More
In the classic movie The Outlaw Josey Wales , a carpet-bagging snake oil salesman claimed his product cures cramps, wounds, hangovers, and just about everything. Clint Eastwood, playing Josey Wales, then spit a mouthful of dark brown tobacco juice on the snake oil salesmans bright white jacket and asked, How is it with stains?
Thus, Floridians who want to remain living near the coast have to do more to make their homes hurricane resistant. Current building codes specify tough standards that help newer homes survive, but about 70 percent of homes don't meet them.
that case if we supplied the information in this case. So I would suggest that
The man of system, on the contrary, is apt to be very wise in his own conceit, and is often so enamored with the supposed beauty of his own ideal plan of government that he cannot suffer the smallest deviation from any part of it.
It has also emerged that Teris biggest single sponsor, BP India, which has provided 6?million, paid for dinner and drinks at an event publicising Dr Pachauris debut novel. A BP spokesman said it was entirely legitimate to fund the dinner, the company having enjoyed a long association with Dr Pachauri.
In light of the importance of SCC to U.S. climate/energy policy, it seems that much more attention needs to be paid to this issue.
The other challenge was politicians' growing need to contain health-care spendingespecially for Medicaid. Rivera recognized that politics, more than collective bargaining, offered the means to pursue his members' interests. This meant forging alliances with hospital management and the state Republican Party.
During the week of July 8 through July 14, 1913, high temperatures averaged 129 degrees at Greenland Ranch, California. On July 10 the temperature reached 134 degrees.
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Had a comment by Ken McMurtrie about something unrelated (Amish and vaccinations) that led me to SOTT.net. Id not heard of it before, and it looks interesting, so I poke around. Right off the bat ran into two very interesting article. One on the recent weather in Hawaii. They have had massive lightning strikes. Rather than make a me too posting out of it, its worth reading here:
Rumours like this always have to be handled with care. Even if they are true at the time they circulate, there's no guarantee they will stay true. Rumours circulated before the 2004 State of the Union that the president would announce a new space mission to Marsbut at the last moment, the administration abandoned the idea.
NOTE: Calvin Beisner, Ph. D., is National Spokesman, Cornwall Alliance for Environmental Stewardship, and a CFACT advisor.
There were some of the pronouncements made in the media, particularly to the Associated Press by Dr. Michael Mann, that marry that paper with global warming, even though no such claim was made in the press release about the scientific paper itself.
Like with temperature and sea level data, government climate scientists are tampering with data to make it appear that the past was colder, had lower sea level, and had more sea ice. Perhaps Hansen has been consulting with JAXA.
We cant know (for certain or otherwise) which is different from any of the other 21 st century data points that are reported as within 100ths of a degree of one another. The values can only be calculated to an accuracy of +/- 0.1C
Most recent summers have had temperatures below normal north of 80N, and the water in that region is getting colder. This has combined with a large reduction in ice transport through the Fram Strait in recent years.
Another study finds evidence of the climate during the Middle Ages being warmer than now, this time in Tibet.
I also recognize as unscientific the creation of and adoration for Mr. Gores movie An Inconvenient Truth . This film, produced by Laurie David (ex-wife of Seinfeld creator Larry David), is filled with facts well-known to be (and acknowledged as such even by scientists employed in the making of the movie) hyperbolic at best and often out-and-out lies. That this is documentary created by a D student in earth science and a Hollywood leftist whose greatest prior accomplishment was marrying a very funny man is the educational tool being used to promote hysteria speaks volumes about how little there is to be truthfully said. The fact that those who continue to promote this propaganda effort, fully aware of the half-truths and out-right lies, makes clear that science (i.e. truth) is not, to them, sacrosanct. When scientists recognize that they cannot use the science to prove their science then, well, its probably not science.
3.While human addition of greenhouse gases, particularly carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), to the atmosphere may slightly raise atmospheric temperatures, observational studies indicate that the climate system responds more in ways that suppress than in ways that amplify CO 2 s effect on temperature, implying a relatively small and benign rather than large and dangerous warming effect.
That is what I believe all of us who are concerned about climate change need to doin addition to all the other necessary political and practical actions.
As for foolishness number 3, well, nothing better than having Singh write a web article about global warming showing zero-to-nothing knowledge of the topic beyond a quick reading of the IPCC and an insane trusting of Skeptical Science.
The next day, Gore again took a shot at the opponents who he said denied him the use of Washington's famous Mall - the area surrounding the Smithsonian Institution museums between the Capitol and the Washington Monument - and the press again largely parroted his claim. In his speech at National Museum of the American Indian last Saturday, which the Paris-based wire service AFP called "a thinly veiled hit on members of President George W. Bush's Republican party," Gore declared, "Some who don't understand what is now at stake tried to stop this event on the Mall."
Average global temperature is a crude measure of the climate of the planet; it is more important to know how different regions will be affected by changes in seasonal temperature averages and ranges, precipitation, wind patterns, the distribution of different plant and animal species, and other climate-related phenomena. But computer models are no more capable of telling us about regional climate change than they are of predicting globally averaged climate change. One example comes from the comparison of the results of eighteen computer simulations of the warmer and wetter conditions that prevailed in Northern Africa around 6,000 years ago. The average of modeled precipitation is too low by a factor of two to three to sustain the lush vegetation known to have been present.22 Until the computer models, and the physical aspects of the climate coded in them, improve substantially, regional projections remain highly speculative.
Complete licensing for Yucca Mountain. Any sustainable, long-term solution for nuclear waste management requires geologic storage. Taxpayers and electricity rate payers have spent more than $15 billion on the Yucca Mountain site, and no technical or scientific evidence has yet disqualified it as a viable option. The next Administration should direct the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to complete its review of the permit application and transition to a more market-based approach.
There are many who would have us act unilaterally, who claim we will gain some sort of ?competitive edge? over China and the rest of the world by pursuing national policies of innovation or economic re-engineering. Through the magic of innovation, we will improve our economy, gain power relative to the rest of the world, and save the environment all in one stroke. This is nonsense.
Hans von Storch is a professor of meteorology at the University of Hamburg and Head of the Institute for Coastal Research. He is a vlknd voice in international climate science society. He believes that we can expect a global uppvrmning p due researched vxthusgashalter in the atmosphere but the risks of this verdrivs of certain circles. His prospects located close to the Swedish klimatprofessorns Lennart Bengtsson which framgr of another blogginlgg (in German) on climate blog Klimazwiebel. This blogginlgg reproduces an interview with HVS Dr. interviewer including frgar his Adjustment to the LBS term manifestations (the discussion in the interview gllde also GWPF but the part I do not take up HR):
He described CTBS as "surreal" and saw it as a postmodern rejection of the enlightenment. It was from him that I first heard the term "climate realist" to describe the few scientists and educated laymen who publicly stood against CTBS. He also first brought up the notion of "noble cause corruption" to help explain it. After the battles over the infamous "hockey stick," he once exclaimed, "Thank God for the Royal Canadian Mounted Sceptics!" (He wouldn't have spelled skeptics with a "k".)
And that's the political rub. Even as support for shale gas extraction grows among more enlightened environmentalists, Dow's AEA along with anti-shale gas congressmen, mostly Democrats, appear determined to abort the natural gas revolution any way they can.
If peers demanded a newspaper stop covering studies that argue economic growth is going to fall short of the consensus, they would get short shrift. We can't criticise Russia or Turkey for shutting down newspapers if we censor scientific doubters. Free speech matters.
On the contrary, the opposite seems to be the case, with the highest summer temperatures in recent years well below those recorded in the first half of the 20thC, and even before.
18. Kenneth Watt warned about a pending Ice Age in a speech. "The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years," he declared. "If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age."
"Fourth, and most important, CAFE kills. Design modification and materials substitution can make cars lighter and safer, but doing so costs money and it is not easy to do both simultaneously. The easiest way to improve mileage is to cut vehicle weight, but reducing the amount of metal surrounding drivers and passengers leaves them more vulnerable in an accident. In 2002, the National Academy of Sciences reported that CAFE kills an extra 1,300 to 2,600 people a year."
Google Earth aerial view - click for larger image
They were uttered by Transport secretary Philip Hammond himself, who just a fortnight later is already being forced to eat humble pie.
Lee and Robyn Terry released a statement saying they were pleased with the decision and "impressed" by the district's handling of the case.
The standard assumption about the superior efficiency of a carbon tax relative to bans and energy consumption standards is deeply problematic for both scientific and political reasons.
A recent BBC News article notes that, while wind turbines are typically permitted for up to 25 years, developers anticipate upgrading or replacing them after as few as 10 years in many locations. A new Scottish Natural Heritage report says, by 2034, the industry will need to recycle or dispose of some 225,000 metric tons of turbine rotor blade material per year. This means 225,000 metric tons of new rotor blades will have to be manufactured, using materials extracted from the Earth via mining, drilling and other processes that use energy and generate mountains of waste.
Well, I personally view this story as an entertaining one. By the way, I am also missing my historical signet of the royal city of Pilsen from 1307 which I received years ago... (Update September 2010: We found it!) Some other Nobel prize winners explain that they use a facsimile of the Nobel Prize medal (with brass) while others sent Glauber condolences. :-)
Volkswagen should focus on profits, not kindergarten pissing contests of brands
Can NV Energy shut off my air conditioner via the smart meter??
British Met Office has since John Houghton's time utveckats a political activist group, who delivered the message that Blair and New Labour wanted to hear. New Labour behvde AGW from its totalitra political projects, for creating a new blank and hip mnniska. Meteorologists and climate scientists delivered the message that politicians efterfrgade. They became belnade with rivers of money, gigantic computers, fine academic awards and titles of nobility.
Virginia gets $45 million for high-speed rail:
The recent strong La Nia (cool, wet) and high SOI conditions contributing to flooding in Australia has shown Nicholls statistical analysis is correct. Despite comments by prominent AGW scientists like David Karoly, Ian Lowe and Tim Flannery these are entirely natural conditions; the flood records for Queensland show that in the past, before AGW began, there were bigger and regular floods. As Professor Stewart Franks notes natural variability is creating the weather not AGW.
UPDATE: Just to put all this nonsense in perspective, the policy is due to reduce Australias emissions by 160 million tonnes of CO2 by 2020. Sounds impressive right? Well, Chinas emissions rose in just one year by 750 million tonnes, nearly five times Australias planned reduction by 2020 in just one year. Climate Madness.
An interagency working group (IWG) produced a technical support document (TSD) in 2013 setting out a schedule of SCC values by year and by the discount rate used in the present-value calculations. The IWG used three integrated assessment models (IAMs) to estimate the SCC values for each year. Though interesting theoretical exercises, the information needed to flesh out the IAMs does not exist. As a result the arbitrary values are inserted to paper over the missing critical information generating useless output from technically sophisticated models. Others have noted these fatal problems with the IAMs.
That argument is specious. As Peter Orszag, now director of the White House Office of Management and Budget, explained in congressional testimony last year when he was head of the Congressional Budget Office: "Under a cap-and-trade program, firms would not ultimately bear most of the costs of the allowances, but instead would pass them along to their customers in the form of higher prices. Such price increases would stem from the restriction on emissions and would occur regardless of whether the government sold emission allowances or gave them away. Indeed, the price increases would be essential to the success of a cap-and-trade program ."
"At one time, $5 per gallon gas seemed like a far-fetched idea, but that is no longer the case."
"Another very important improvement is to guarantee an equitable distribution of the atmospheric space taking into account climate debt, and to take into account also an equitable distribution of the remaining budget in relation to the population of developed and developing countries."
GCM Predictions of North India Winter Precipitation for Its Crops