Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Climate Common Sense: Ocean Acidification ? - The Sea is Alkaline You Dumbos! Now Blind Freddie can see that with a pH of 8.1 ,a natural pH variation of 1.1 and a pH change of only .1 in the last century the sea will never turn acid and that the change attributed to AGW is negligible compared to the natural variation and all the wee sea beasties will not be dissolved in an acid bath of mankind's making!
A new paper published in Earth System Dynamics finds the earth's water cycle is 31% more sensitive to solar-induced warming than to 'greenhouse' warming. As the paper notes, current climate models incorrectly assume the hydrologic cycle is equally sensitive to solar and greenhouse forcing. Thus, this is yet another means by which climate models dismiss the role of the Sun in climate change.
Efforts to link dangerous impacts of extreme weather events to human-caused warming are misleading and unsupported by evidence.
Last month German whippersnapper meteorologist Dominik Jung, a warmist, predicted here the fourth consecutive bitter winter would grip Central Europe this winter and could strain the energy supply. Looks like well need to burn more coal, and not less.
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The Center for Global Development calculates that $10 billion invested in renewable energy technology in sub-Saharan Africa could give 20-27 million people access to basic electricity, whereas the same sum spent on gas-fired generation would supply 90 million.
The most widely used metric of global warmingglobal surface temperaturesindicates that the rate of global warming has slowed drastically and that the duration of the halt in global warming is unusual during a period when global surface temperatures are allegedly being warmed from the hypothetical impacts of manmade greenhouse gases.
Obama believes the president should lead a revolution in society, the economy, and the political system, but defer on national security and foreign policy to the other branches of government. This upends the Framers' vision of the presidency.
Keith Kloor has a good article at YaleClimateMediaForum, entitled Science Journalism Under Fire . Some excerpts:
"So is there any weather pattern that would disprove global warming?'
3.) EPA claims climate models are reliable. Climate models failed to predict that global warming would stop and greatly exaggerate the warming over the past 30 plus years.
Washington, DC, May 25, 1999 The Environmental Protection Agency continues to peddle unfounded fears about global warming and sea level rise even though there is no evidence to support such scares, according to the Competitive Enterprise Institute. This week the EPA is sponsoring conferences in Miami and Marathon, Florida to discuss the impacts of global warming on Southern Florida and the Florida Keys, and to discuss solutions to the alleged problem.
But the Las Vegas Sun gets one of those five things wrong.
?The net effect of these anomalous winds is a cooling in the 2012 global average surface air temperature of 0.1?0.2 degree Celsius, which can account for much of the hiatus in surface warming observed since 2001,? wrote Australian researcher led by Matthew England of the University of New South Wales.
The results may disappoint my fellow solar enthusiasts because it suggests that only 13% of our electric energy will come from solar. Distributed solar enthusiasts (who favor photovoltaic solar panels on rooftops) will be further disappointed because half of that 13% will come from water-sucking centralized concentrated solar thermal power plants, many located in desert ecosystems, leaving only about 6% for solar panels on rooftops, of which many will probably not be on rooftops but in centralized power plants, probably displacing ecosystems or crops.
Under Bush's proposal, companies that begin to comply with Kyoto before it is ratified would be awarded credits that they could sell or use to offset future regulatory obligations. In the absence of a regulatory cap on carbon emissions, the credits are worthless. Only if Kyoto or a similar regulatory program were enacted would the credits yield dividends. "Credit-holders thus acquire cash incentives to support Kyoto, or lobby for its domestic equivalent," says Lewis.
In his book, Climate Change: A Natural Hazard, William Kininmonth, former head of Australia?s National Climate Centre says, ?The simple one-dimensional energy balance model used by the IPCC to justify its radiative forcing hypothesis is unrealistic in its portrayal of processes at the earth-atmosphere interface.? The IPCC model suggests that the heat and latent energy exchange between the underlying surface and the atmosphere is a direct response to the imbalance of solar energy and terrestrial radiation at the surface. Such a proposal is at odds with the physics of the surface energy exchange processes.? It?s one of many errors made to achieve a result; actions that are the opposite of even poor science.
Ha! So using the IPCCs misleading shifting of time scales, one could also say that the linear warming trend over the first 50 years of the twentieth century is nearly twice that for the whole century, too!
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What you do is check things for yourself. Anything in a scientific journal should be checked. Anyone publishing in a journal should expect ones work to be checked. If it cannot be checked because it is not transparent or reproducible, then the author and the journal are at fault. If it is not reproducible because of unique circumstances, like cost or duration, it may be necessary to go with the word of the authors tentatively, but it is definitely degraded in terms of scientific merit if so. The truth of science is found in type I discussion, not type III. It is the ultimate democracy.
Comparing the 100-millionTitaniccomplex newly built in Belfast with the Guggenheim Museum in Bilbao, the travel writer Simon Calder has commented, There is a great shipbuilding heritage, it is a divided city, but the Guggenheim is great on the outside but rubbish on the inside unlike theTitanicbuilding.
The good news for Mr. Zhang, and indeed for all those who believe emissions-reductions are essential, was the unveiling of a study contending that if carbon emissions are taxed, and the proceeds used to reduce growth-stifling income taxes, we can have both lower emissions and higher growth rates, a position this writer has long taken, even though not among the true believers in climate change. But neither I, nor anyone else for that matter, can be certain the believers are wrong. So, nodding in their direction, if it includes a pro-growth adjustment to the tax code, would be worth putting on the table in Paris. And, in fact, pursuing it here in America now as a way of helping the U.S. economy while leading others down the path of environmental virtue. That's what the leadership required of a great nation is all about.
Those who have the luxury of abundant and reliable food can afford to decry the economic expansion that is the developing world's best hope of mitigating the myriad problems afflicting their people. It is criminal for rich Westerners to agitate for policies that keep the benefits of biotechnology from those desperate for its boons, and to pass the costs of their idealism onto those least able to suffer the consequences.
In the meantime, the $100 billion pledge to the same fund should be reached by $10 billion increments, starting from a $40 billion floor this year;
A tropical disease rages in a decidedly untropical place Texas. Both science and politics play roles.
"The U.S. economy remains dependent on OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) at a time when development of burgeoning natural fossil fuel resources could move the nation toward strategic energy independence."
IPCC: "Our bad! Global warming not about to melt Himalayas.
Occasional BH commenter Tamsin Edwards - a climatologist at the University of Bristol - has started her own blog. About time too!
With the faulty flux-averaged inputs, Sunlight is imagined to be freezing cold at only -18 degrees C. This isnt strong enough to do anything melt ice, sustain life, heat the beach, etc etc.
In Spain, every renewable energy job the government's climate alarmist policies created was offset by two jobs lost in other sectors of the economy that were punished by soaring electricity prices. The demise of a Spanish economy so committed to wind and solar power finally caused reasonable people to reevaluate why these decisions had been made, and the renewable subsidies were slashed, just as they have been in Germany.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Goondiwindi Argus
The new Made in America technology is already changing energy, economic and political landscapes in Europe, and will soon do so across the globe. It is a technologically possible and economically affordable solution that generates bountiful jobs and revenues as opposed to pixie dust solutions that require perpetual subsidies and address speculative problems. Offshore and ANWR drilling could do likewise.
A new paper provides more evidence for the reality of the Little Ice Age in the Southern Hemisphere, as well as its increased storminess compared to that of the Medieval and Current Warm Periods
So years later, the measurement data for key studies used in both canonical multiproxy studies and illustrated in AR4 Box 6.4 Figure 1 (along, remarkably, with Manns PC1), remains unarchived, with Briffa resolutely stonewalling efforts to have him archive the data.
The European Union is leading the charge for verification. Their motive is clear and self-serving. The EU announced last October they are committed to hacking their carbon emissions by a whopping 40 percent by 2030. They've gone all in on climate zaniness, and because EU officials know their carbon reduction policies will likely hike energy prices, kill jobs and stunt economic growth they want to make darn sure others are also intent on slashing and burning their own standards of living as well.
" Valley Morning Star in Harlingen, TX, dismantled a months-old pay wall after its traffic collapsed by some 40%." Proving yet again that Marshall McLuhan was an idiot. The medium is not the message. The message is the message.
Why should you be interested? The hypothesis of manmade global warming depends on manmade greenhouse gases being the cause of the recent warming. But the sea surface temperature record indicates El Nio and La Nia events are responsible for the warming of global sea surface temperature anomalies over the past 31 years, not manmade greenhouse gases. Scroll back up to the discussion of the East Pacific versus the Rest of the World. Ive searched sea surface temperature records for more than 4 years, and I can find no evidence of an anthropogenic greenhouse gas signal. That is, the warming of the global oceans has been caused by Mother Nature, not anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
Given the assumptions I have made above, (and with of course no fossil fuels), we would be looking at this scenario.
If policymakers were told that this is not so, that ability to reproduce past temperatures indicates only that a particular pairing of assumptions about climate sensitivity and aerosol forcing allowed the reproduction of past temperatures, then the logical question would be: which model gets the correct pairing of sensitivity and aerosol forcing? In answer to this, climate modelers would have to say that they do not know , and the best that could be done would be to use all the models (this is called the ensemble approach). But of course it is possible that all the models were very badly wrong in what they assumed about sensitivity.
The ?social cost of carbon? has lately been a flashpoint in wider political and lobbying battles over White House?s climate change policy, especially planned Environmental Protection Agency carbon standards for power plants.
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 9, 2015
Indeed, the Soviet Union in 1985 possessed much of the same natural and human resources that it had 10 years before. Certainly, the standard of living was much lower than in most of Eastern Europe, let alone the West. Shortages, food rationing, long lines in stores, and acute poverty were endemic. But the Soviet Union had known far greater calamities and coped without sacrificing an iota of the state's grip on society and economy, much less surrendering it.
The most widely used metric of global warming global surface temperatures the metric most often used in predictions of future gloom and doom, indicates that the rate of global warming has slowed drastically and that the duration of the hiatus in global warming is unusual during a period when global surface temperatures are allegedly being warmed from the hypothetical impacts of manmade greenhouse gases.
The National Park Service is seeking an energetic professional individual to serve as the Cultural Resources Climate Change Adaptation Coordinator. The position is located in Washington, DC and provides cultural resource management assistance to park units, and provides leadership and guidance to stakeholders in the cultural resource management and historic preservation communities nationwide on issues relating to climate change. Candidates interested in this position should have an indepth knowledge of climate change science either as a consumer or generator of climate change data and models to support decisions in cultural resource management and adaptation.
For far too long, federally-funded global warming research has been a tool of alarmist ideologues bent on convincing policy makers that human-induced climate change requires drastic government intervention, whatever the status of the science itself. Through misleading summaries of technical studies and omission of conflicting evidence, previous studies have been intentionally crafted to support the alarmist position.
Many countries in the Third World are also experiencing the effects of climate change. In Africa, Lake Chad is now a twentieth of the size it was in the 1950s, leaving millions potentially without water. The Pacific island nation of Tuvalu is planning the evacuation of its entire population as sea levels continue to rise.
Shock, Shock ... the Climate Catastrophe Lobby is Telling Fibs
Most of what we know of global warming comes from computer models, which are only as good as the scientists who design them and the data they are fed. One model, for volcanoes, is now shown to be pretty much junk :
Science journalism is getting smacked around a lot this week. The hits are coming from all directions.
It seems to be in Gothenburg as it happens things, in all cases, what applies climate. Jimmy Fredriksson wrote a krnika entitled The party has been hijacked by Expressen on May 31 this year. Krnikan about the anniversary celebration that keeps p to frberedas as the town fills 400 is about nine years (2021).
Reduce Australian CO2 emissions and provide low cost power by building new coal plants!
"President Obama's cap-and-trade proposal to ration energy that is now being considered by the Congress would be an enormous new indirect tax on consumers," said Myron Ebell, Director of Energy and Global Warming Policy for the Competitive Enterprise Institute. "If enacted, Obama's energy tax would be the biggest tax increase in history."
Regarding storms, studiesfind no long-term increase in the strength and frequency of land-falling hurricanes globally over the past 50-70 years and no trend in Atlantic tropical cyclone behavior over the past 370 years .
13 S. Baliunas and W. Soon, Are variations in the length of the activity cycle related to changes in brightness in solar-type stars? Astrophysical Journal 450, 896 (1995). The reason Northern Hemisphere land temperatures are plotted instead of global temperatures is that the Northern Hemisphere record extends back further than the global. Where the two records overlap, there is good agreement.
What Postma proposes (if implemented correctly) might make sense for Mars, with a large diurnal cycle and pole-to-equator gradient, with local thermodynamic balances in a column. However, the fact that equation 12.1 doesa good job of simulating the actual surface temperature of Mars (which has an optically thin atmosphere)implies that added complexity is not necessary.
8. Whether increased CO2 levels cause significant warming or not, the increased CO2 levels themselves will result in considerable increases in the growth rate of plants, including our food crops and forests.
The evidence for this corruption is everywhere, but it does not mean that all of the science is bad. Climate scientists like to claim the emails represent a small problem in a local group of people. The global warming isnt proven wrong they say. They contend that we still have disasters looming and we need to address them. Its true that climate science wasnt proven wrong, but it was proven corrupt. The very fact that climatologists sit in groups and insist/believe they have full agreement of their peers demonstrates, not the quality of understanding the science, but rather the quality of the penetrations of politics into an uncertain and VERY YOUNG science.
Now, I know that Curry doesn?t want to win against Mann. She doesn?t want to set the precedent that thin-skinned scientists can run around bullying their critics. So she should sue with the goal of making a settlement: that she will drop Curry vs. Mann?if he drops Mann vs. Steyn. It?s a kind of mutually assured destruction for censorship.
(Initially I was thinking about larger birds, but then I remembered a film of geese flying above I think it was the Himalayas so that doesnt look very helpful as even today some of our larger birds fly well above 3200m. The bigger problem may be take-off!).
8. They simply can not model what they do not know. ANY computer model can only tell you things in the domain of your present understanding. If your understanding is broken, so is your model. They know that CO2 is causal (despite the data) and that is what they model, ergo what they find. The truth is that we really dont know how weather and climate work completely, so any model can at best be used to show places to do more research, not to make policy. They dont predict, they inform of our ignorance.
So what's science about? Acting the morally self-assured superhero or establishing theories by challenging them to see if they withstand scrutiny?
Was the division between conventional and unconventional oil devised to cover up the failure of the peak oilers? No way. The distinction is useful in a variety of ways for analyzing the world of oil sources. I think that the concept was simply appropriated by the peak oilers because it was very useful to them, since it totally obscured the failure of their peak oil predictions. To me, oil is oil is oil, and if you claim the world will run out of oil, you cant later say that you have redefined things, and that the oil that proves your prediction wrong is some other special kind of oil that doesnt count as oil but walks like oil and quacks like oil ...
In former times, the job of official climate witch-hunting had been one of the German Ministry of Environment, which even went so far as to identify, target and attack skeptic US and German scientists and journalists all because they held non-alarmist views on climate change. Fortunately that activity turned out to be somewhat embarrassing, and thus the activist Ministry thought that it was best to end it.
More and more senators appear to be favouring a delay in the passing of the ETS legislation. The latest to go public is Family First senator Steve Fielding:
Take the recently concluded Syria negotiations. As thousands died, and millions fled, as hatreds festered, jihadi groups metastasized and populations radicalized, the United States and Russia edged toward an agreement that would lead to a cease fire. After fevered speculation that the long sought agreement would be signed at the G-20 meeting in China ended in disappointment, John Kerry flew to Geneva and came back with something.
H2341 6.0 L1918 0.3 L2001 0.2 L2041 0.2 L2119 0.3 L2153 0.4
Human beings exploit the environment. This isn't a bad thingit is how we survive and thrive. We don't have claws or fur. We don't live in trees or burrow underground, and really, who would want to? The way that humans have evolved from shivering in a dark caves to curling up in a heated home, under a down blanket, with music, lights, and indoor plumbing, is by analyzing our environment and altering it in ways that improve our lives. It's the human way.
Last warns, "Our population profile is so dependent on Hispanic fertility that if this group continues falling toward the national averageand everything about American history suggests that it willthen our 1.93 fertility rate will take a nosedive." The United States should not count on a population surge via Mexico, where 60 percent of the Hispanic immigrants into this country come from. Mexico's fertility rate has fallen from 6.72 in 1970 to 2.07 in 2009, a trend that points to further decline. In addition, labor shortages in Latin America will likely lead to diminished emigration.
Currently, arguments against renewable energy are based on the accurate claim they are too inefficient to become widespread. The technology behind solar and wind power are just not where they need to be to justify widespread use.
A short two weeks laterI wrotea post about record cold in the US in 2014, and find out that the US has shrunk down to 1/2 of 1 percent of the Earths Surface
"Gore was right and Monckton wrong about sea level"
Both governmental and environmental groups have generally been hostile to adaptation-based responses to climate change, as they view such approaches as surrender, an acceptance of the idea that GHG emissions will continue, that the climate will change, and that people will come to believe they can adapt. They fear that a focus on adapting to climate change would detract from a focus on mitigating emissions.
Here is a graphic of Murray Darling Basin rainfall note the sharp increase in the 1940s what caused that ?
Here are different start dates that survey coordinators could have used and the resultant temperature trends to the present:
The basis of most of the IPCC comin 300 euron Casino Euron bonuksen, nautit varmasti eraista netin parhaista hetkista kasinopeleja pelaillen. conclusions on anthropogenic causes and on projections of climatic change is the assumption of low level of CO2 in the pre-industrial atmosphere. This assumption, based on glaciological studies, is false.
"Gosh, Daddy, it sounds like you made a really important contribution to raising awareness of Climate Change!"
Jan vejnar, a professor of economics at University of Michigan and a U.S. citizen, decided that he wants to be the next Czech president who will be elected by the Parliament in February 2008. Vclav Klaus remains the likely winner but with the support of the Czech Social Democratic Party and the Green Party, vejnar becomes a serious contender. Jan vejnar vs Lubo Motl : a Google fight I have nothing against him personally but I find it somewhat strange for a person who has no idea about the life in the Czech Republic to become its president. He has lived in the U.S. since 1970 or so.
VILLAGER #3: B--... 'cause they're made of wood...?
Note that they do not say that the regression is necessarily contaminated by nonsense predictors, merely that it is susceptible. As youll see below, Mann, in one of his usual debating tricks, shifts from one to the other, in replying to this. In their running text, they go on to say:
Clearly, the pattern in which stations are being opened and closed is not this self-evident so most of the change cancels out. But 3 ??C is a lot. If 1/5 of this worst-estimate error isn't canceled, you may cancel the whole 20th century "global warming". More realistically, if the real effect from this shift within rectangles is 1/10 of the maximum, you will reduce the 20th century warming to 1/2 of its reported value.