Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Even though this was merely a blog post, I provided all measurement data as used, together with code that, in a turnkey method, uploads the data as used and produces the chronology and graphics. The code shows the precise calculation for a an interested critic. The blog post included a graph of core counts, together with the computation. In contrast, no measurement data for the three chronologies of Briffa 2000 (Taimyr, Tornetrask, Yamal) was archived. Nor was it archived for Briffa et al 2008 until I convinced the journal to require it. New measurement data for Esper et al 2009, which addresses Siberia, is not archived. (I recently requested that it be archived, but have received no acknowledgement from either Esper or Hantemirov.)
Dr. Madhav L. Khandekar, who recently retired from Environment Canada after a 25-year career as a research scientist, and who recently edited a special issue of the international journal Natural Hazards on extreme weather events, presented his views concerning the lack of connection between severe weather events and global warming. Khandekar specifically examined heat trends from Canada, thunderstorms and tornadoes in North America, and monsoons in Asia. He concluded that there has not been an increase in severe weather events and that the likelihood of increased incidences of extreme weather events in the next ten to twenty-five years remains very small at this time.
The second noteworthy feature about Obama EPAs endangerment finding is that it will be the first ever not to be accompanied by proposed regulation.In part,the Obama Administration wants to use the prospect (threat) of future CAA regulation as a spur for Congress to enactcap-and-trade legislation. Energy realistshave worried for some timethatthe greenhouse lobby would use thespecter oflitigation-driven CO 2 regulation under the CAAtofrighten industry and congressional fence-sitters into supporting cap-and-trade legislation.The message to cap-and-trade opponents would go something like this: Pretty nice economy you used to have. Shame if something bad were to wreck whats left of it. Everybody needs protection. You need protection. Its called Lieberman-Warner.
In an interview with The Washington Times on Monday, Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) announced he would probe whether the U.N.s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) cooked the science to make this thing look as if the science was settled, when all the time of course we knew it was not.
If you can make it (I know its a work day) or just pop in, it would help so much, and its a rare chance to meet people who are true gems, and to let our representatives know we wont stand by and let the injustices pile up.
Should NATO care? As a military alliance, NATO cannot afford to ignore the increasing covergence of littoral warfare, amphibious warfare and urban warfare an issue to which the U.S. Navy, Coast Guard, and Marine Corps are devoting increasing attention. As a security organization, NATO's reasons for caring should be based on a recent report produced by the Center for Naval Analyses entitled "National Security and the Threat of Climate Change," describing a number of not exactly rosy scenarios regarding the political-military consequences of rising sea levels in the next 30 years. The hard security consequences of soft-power issues: This is the kind of outside-the-box thinking that NATO should itself promote.26
?Forecasters produced seasonal forecasts by using the computer projection combined with values for changes in factors after October.
John F. Olson, president and CEO of Whelen Engineering Company, of Charlestown, NH, and Chester, CT agrees. In a letter to the editor, Olson wrote: "Manufacturers are in competition with other U.S. manufacturers, or even worse, offshore competition in China. New Hampshire manufacturers have the most expensive electricity in the country."
To put it bluntly, the great man-made global warming catastrophe that was predicted has been canceled! And that is a victory for science.
China's rapid economic growth is helping underpin a fragile global recovery, but it is also increasingly at odds with safe levels of greenhouse gases.
That trend, he noted, might change the nature of the "free university, historically the fountainhead of free ideas and scientific discovery." Partly because of the huge costs involved, a government contract becomes virtually a substitute for intellectual curiosity." Economic and power considerations might influence scientific research and the reporting of its findings, leading to the "domination of the nation's scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money" a trend that should be "gravely regarded." Thus, while we should continue to hold "scientific research and discovery in respect . . . we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite."
One of the key features of Hansen??s global warming theory is that the polar regions are supposed to warm much faster than the rest of the planet. The image below is from his classic 1984 paper , and shows that Antarctica is supposed to warm up 6C after a doubling of CO2. If the cooling trend which UAH shows continues, it will take Antarctica a very long time to warm up six degrees.
Studies demonstrate "an association" between "premature mortality and fine particle pollution at the lowest levels measured," EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy told Congress. They have not found a level "at which premature mortality effects do not occur." Reducing emissions and exposure always yields health benefits.
Associate Director of Technology Studies Ryan Radia was on The Laura Ingraham Show this week to explain why current privacy laws are inadequate.
Colorado State University recently completed a study on the economic feasibility of increasing the usage of renewable energy. The results of this study were published in the world-renowned science periodical, The Coloradoan. Another stimulus-funded study of the obvious? No, what we have here is simply a heavy dose of reality for academicians who arent willing to match their rhetoric with their pocketbook. Some of the quotes in this article are quite humorous. Fort Collins campus President Tony Frank acknowledges that the 2008 plan to rapidly become carbon-neutral wont be a reality for decades because the university cant afford to make major changes right now. It took them two years to figure this out?
Central-station solar power is expensive window dressing compared to nuclear according to Hansens math.
Richmond News, sport and weather | Hawkesbury Gazette
Everybodypoor and minorities hardest hit. And our government does not have a vaccine against this disease, because there is no such diseasea typical uncaring Bush Administration response.
The seven scientists determined that "the positive effect of elevated CO 2 on gross N 2 fixation was large (~50% increase) under mid and/or low irradiances compared with that at high light (~20% increase)," noting that data from Kranz et al . (2010) and Levitan et al . (2010) corroborate their findings. In fact, they report that in the Kranz et al . study, "under low light, gross N 2 -fixation rates were 200% higher in a high-CO 2 treatment (900 ppm) compared with a low-CO 2 treatment (150 ppm), whereas under high light, gross N 2 -fixation rates were only 112% higher under elevated CO 2 ." In the case of CO 2 fixation, on the other hand, they found that CO 2 -fixation rates increased significantly "in response to high CO 2 under mid- and high irradiances only."
There are two groups in the climate debate: those who believe human CO 2 is causing global warming/climate change and those who dont, respectively labeled Warmists and Skeptics. Warmists try to deny the difference, arguing skeptics are simply wrong. They refuse to debate, claiming the debate is over, which is like saying the science is settled. Both sides believe CO 2 is a greenhouse gas causing warming, but disagree on the amount. Warmists claim it explains 90 percent, Skeptics an insignificant amount. Both avoid the real issue that CO 2 is not a greenhouse gas, as demonstrated in the book Slaying the Sky Dragon . Warmists claim their computer models prove it. Skeptics do it by talking about climate sensitivity . They are both wrong, but the Skeptics are still practicing science and will adjust their views. Its the difference between the science and political science of climatology.
If successful it will extinguish liberty and freedom, and promote censorship and tyranny of ideas.
Still, by 1989, the AGW science did not make sense to me in light that it would violate the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Which I remind everyone remains in effect to this very day.
This is very simple: if the atmosphere increases its power output, which is exactly what happens if it increases in temperature since power emission goes as temperature to the fourth power, then for PSunto remain constant, PSurfmust decrease which means that the Earths surface must decrease in temperature. Note how different this ontological result is from the greenhouse alarmists botched equation we analyzed above its the exact opposite result.
Understanding of such events, and the associations between the abrupt climate change recorded in both hemispheres, is important in predicting the impact and timing of future abrupt climate change possibly forced by anthropogenic changes in greenhouse gases and aerosols.
Capitol Hill and frittering away his early opportunities, Clinton
While stories of the Arctic record fall in sea-ice have been all over the news, all over the world, it??s almost as if the Southern Hemisphere didn??t exist. Right now, this week apparently, the sea ice is at or near record highs (bearing in mind that we??re still only talking 30 years of satellite records, but then, these are the same satellites lapping over the arctic, and if the records are longer there, I expect it??s only by an hour and a half).
CEI Expert Available to Comment: President Fred L. Smith reacts to the announcement:
So why is Markey suddenly feeling such sympathy for Dow and other chemical manufacturers, about the only segment of American industry likely to take a serious short term hit if exports are greenlighted and artificially low gas prices rise to more stable levels? Is it pure coincidence that Dow has two large plants in or near his district, in Marlborough and North Andover, both purchased from Rohm & Haas in 2009? They are key hubs in the company's $14 billion chemical and materials business, and employ approximately 1500 workers.
One of the sessions even dealt with the role of video games in enhancing climate awareness in urban settings. Really? Wow. Come up with a video game where a seven-year-old can figure out how to save his town from rising sea levels, and you are well on your way to indoctrinating the next generation of climate warriors.
Which is why I invite those of you who believe that the human race still has a bright future to join us in celebrating Human Achievement Hour this Saturday, March 29, from 8:30 to 9:30 pm no matter what efforts to turn back the world's technological clock we encounter. What does this counter-celebration entail? Quite simply, leave your lights on, watch TV, play a computer game, go to a movie, or partake in whatever activity you choose made possible by affordable energy and human ingenuity. For we are also celebrating freedom.
Who are they? Methane is a short-lived gas in the atmosphere and, like carbon dioxide, there is no hard evidence that it causes dangerous global warming.
The story then comes to the present day. Look around you, they say. You all know people just like yourselves: educated; hard workers; makers, not takers. They like low taxes and smaller government. But your friends think conservatives are weird. Why? Because they are turned off by the GOP's fondness for foreign military adventure and disagreements on gay marriage. Remove those barriers and voil ! an instant new voting bloc appears, just as it did for the blue-state GOP governors.
Galileo has lots of modern-day companions. Woe be unto those who dare to doubt that the sun orbits around Planet Gore as pontiffs of doom have decreed.
* This is the second time I have done this in a week, dropping a decade in the math. I think it is some subconcious process fighting aging.
No one knows exactly how much Earth??s climate will warm due to carbon emissions, but a new study this week suggests scientists?? best predictions about global warming might be incorrect. The study, which appears in Nature Geoscience , found that climate models explain only about half of the heating that occurred during a well-documented period of rapid global warming in Earth??s ancient past. The study, which was published online today, contains an analysis of published records from a period of rapid climatic warming about 55 million years ago known as the Palaeocene-Eocene thermal maximum, or PETM.
As the CO 2 content of the air continues to increase, loblolly pine trees will likely display significant increases in their photosynthetic rates. Enhanced carbohydrate supplies, resulting from this phenomenon, will likely be used to increase seed weight and lipid content. Such seeds should consequently exhibit significant increases in germination success, and their enhanced lipid content will likely lead to greater root lengths and needle numbers in developing seedlings. Thus, when these seedlings become photosynthetically-active, they will likely photosynthesize and produce biomass at greater rates than those currently exhibited by seedlings growing under ambient CO 2 concentrations.
Brief Comment On The Nature Geoscience Paper "Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty" By Loeb Et Al 2012
There are no temples, but there are sacred structures. As I walk around the Emory campus, I am continually confronted with recycling bins, and instead of one trash can I am faced with several for different sorts of trash. Universities are centers of the environmental religion, and such structures are increasingly common. While people have worshipped many things, we may be the first to build shrines to garbage.
Now there's a social problem that's gone seriously underreported. While everyone's been focusing on trivial things like the economy, education, and health care, there are relatives of gazillionaires desperately in need of help. How can we live with ourselves knowing that the downtrodden of Bel Air are just a Bush budget cut away from personal disaster?
Will solar panels pay for themselves?) Feb 12, 2010
enforcement efforts, you should be worried that it could go too far.
Anyone thinking about De Bilt needs to visit Hans Errens webpage , especially here where he has examined the De Bilt data from a variety of angles and Im sure that Hans will correct any mis-steps here.
Susan Crockford shows that virtually all of the research reports on polar bears over the last few years have contained good news.Who then is to blame for hyping the polar bears are dying meme? Full paper
To me this indicates that people who do not have the faculties to care for themselves as responsible adults are particularly attracted to Green promises. Green sympathizers probably can be classified in 3 primary categories: 1) people who want to nanny and boss everyone around, 2) people who want to be nannied and bossed around, and 3) the many gullible who actually believe the climate catastrophe scam.
This tunnel vision, and the incapacity to distinguish between the essential and the peripheral, is all the more surprising when it comes from the neoconservative side. Among the new generation of neocons, many seem to have forgotten the lessons of the older generation, as captured in Jeanne Kirkpatrick's celebrated 1979 essay on "Dictatorships and Double Standards." Simply put: when all is said and done, there is a difference in kind between totalitarianism and authoritarianism. If Islamist totalitarianism is the main enemy, as the neocons rightly claim, then it follows logically that Russian authoritarianism, however unpalatable to democratic sensibilities, is something we can live with. In that respect, the arch-realist Kissinger is paradoxically closer to Kirkpatrick than some of today's neocons in arguing:
Khartoum has been governed by strict Islamic Sharia law since 1983 - but our correspondent says that in recent years courts have shown a degree of flexibility in their interpretations of Islamic law. The introduction of Sharia exacerbated a rebellion that had begun in the south earlier that year. The war officially ended with a peace agreement in December.
The new talks, conducted furtively behind closed doors rather than in the open as they were in the Netherlands, apparently start where the old talks fell apart. Five senators, all Republicans, even sent a letter this week to Mr. Clinton urging negotiators to keep in mind that the Senate is clearly on record, by a vote of 95-0, regarding what kind of climate-change treaty would be acceptable. It cannot cause serious harm to the U.S. economy and it must include binding commitments from all nations to limit or reduce "greenhouse gas" emissions.
Lord Lipsey, chairman of the Parliamentary Group on Statistics, has fired a shot across the bows of Damian Carrington, accusing him of making wild claims about the climate without citing any sources:
2) At least until recently, the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) which has predominated since the late 1970s has suppressed strong tornado activity.
Dewey objects. As one under the sway of progressive scientism , he chides Trotsky for not submitting the supposedly historical concept of class struggle to further scientific analysis and testing. It is possible that Marx was wrong. And, according to Dewey, additional analysis and testing may have revealed a more justifiable means. 3
Individual Rights Must Be Preserved Without Interference From The Government
These uncertainties in modeling climate processes are many times larger than the 4 W/m2 input of energy resulting from a doubling of CO2 concentration in the atmosphere. It is difficult to see how the climate impact of the 4 W/m2 can be accurately calculated in the face of such huge uncertainties. As a consequence, forecasts based on the computer simulations of climate may not even be meaningful at this time. A comparison of nearly all the most sophisticated climate models with actual measurements of current climate conditions found the models in error by about 100% in cloud cover, 50% in precipitation, and 30% in temperature change. In addition, even the best models give temperature change results differing from each other by a factor of two or more.20
Then there was PachauriGate , showing that the man in charge of the IPCC was chairman of boards of companies that profit handsomely as the scare-factor is ramped up.
Claim two is that children will suffer disproportionately from climate change. "Certain people and communities are especially vulnerable, including children, the elderly, the sick, the poor and some communities of color," reads a White House fact sheet. The EPA warns that children are "more affected" by climate change because they "breathe, eat and drink more for their size compared to adults" and "rely on adults for their care."
What my objection to the Canadian Press article and its headline was that itimplies tothe Canadian public that Canadian winters are getting milder when theyhave not for the last 13 years. That is significant.You cant ignore that if you are going to write an article about changes in Canadian winters. The article compared winter data sets between 1970s and today. I however compared 1998 and 2010/2011 which is much more current and up to date.
on Tuesday, January 20th, 2015 at 4:48 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
If these people were actual scientists, they would conclude that CO2 alarmism is a thing of the past.
Gore's message is being conveyed via so dull and didactic a presentation.
Last week we had quite a row about temperature and temperature adjustments in Wellington New Zealand . One of the stations cited was the Kelburn district of Wellington, NZ.
Unfortunately, the Obama administration has prevented the United States from realizing its energy potential. It has essentially prevented shale development on federal lands, driving virtually all shale operations to private lands, where the owners also own the minerals below and can reap the benefits from their development.
President Obama and environmentalists often say America should follow Europe's lead on energy, climate and economic matters.
Paul Hudson, BBC Weather, 9 January 2010: Which begs other, rather important questions. Could the model, seemingly with an inability to predict colder seasons, have developed a warm bias, after such a long period of milder than average years? Experts I have spoken to tell me that this certainly is possible with such computer models. And if this is the case, what are the implications for the Hadley centre's predictions for future global temperatures? Could they be affected by such a warm bias? If global temperatures were to fall in years to come would the computer model be capable of forecasting this?
Green alarmists' fervent efforts to demonize fossil fuels and impose carbon taxes or cap-and-trade have little to do with science. Affordable energy, the automobile, and the entrepreneurial ability to provide those innovations on a large scale have given us the freedom to live and work over much larger regions than in the past and have democratized privileges once reserved to the wealthy. Europe invented the automobile, but Henry Ford put the world on wheels!
Of course carbon pollution sounds pretty scary, doesnt it, even though carbon dioxide is not toxic? Carbon dioxide only has a negative effect if it crowds out oxygen and causes in increase in carbon dioxide that cause respiratory acidosis. Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant and it is not toxic except as an asphyxiant.
The reduction in Arctic ice corresponded to an unusually active period of El Ninos, which occurred after the PDOshiftin 1977.
But North America will soon be the leading oil producer in the world, and new hydrofracturing technology has made it possible to access 200 years' worth of natural gas. Developing our inexpensive energy sources allows us to offset the power of Russia and Venezuela by selling oil and gas to our friends. This will make it more difficult for Russia to cut off supplies of gas to its eastern European customers in order to gain political favors, as it has done in the past.
Using the 3 percent discount rate chosen by the IWG.
To determine the net cloud effect, researchers need two numbers. First they need to measure the total amount of sunlight in a cloudy sky. Then they need to determine how bright that sky would be without the clouds, imagining that same sky to be blue and cloudless, when aerosols are in charge of a sky's brightness. The difference between those numbers is the net cloud effect.
Read here . The Democrats have the unique capability to frequently spread blatant falsehoods and rumors, and for the most part, manage to get away with it .
Its hundred year mission, to predict new strife and constrain civilization;
Climate models have been programmed to raise modeled surface temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures as the simulated energy imbalance increases in response to the numerical representations of manmade greenhouse gases and other climate forcings. Climate models have also been programmed to create number-crunched changes in numerous other metrics so that they show rising sea levels, decreasing sea ice, ice sheet and glacier mass, increasing precipitation, and so on as the energy imbalance increases. As a result, there is a general agreement among the models that, as the energy imbalance increases in value, the Earth will gain heat and extra energyand that the heat and extra energy will be manifested in many ways.