Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But no such accusations are made against the protectionists who question the benefits of free trade among nations, deny the manifest evidence of its success, or challenge its status as a human right. Such people are in fact standing athwart 250 years of economics, and an overwhelming consensus of living economists. These protectionists are denying the enormous gains in standards of living and human freedom that are the direct result of free global trade. Question the global warming consensus and you're something between a fool and a Nazi. But question free trade? Ah that's different. That's politically correct.Read more here from Donald Luskin's article "A Convenient (and Excellent) Truth. The benefits of free trade are settled science. (Although that won't stop the deniers.)
"Google Inc. is close to settling a U.S. criminal investigation into allegations it made hundreds of millions of dollars by accepting ads from online pharmacies that break U.S. laws, according to people familiar with the matter. "
Read here . From the "experts" that predicted more hurricanes back in 2005, a group of hurricane modelers create a new model that concludes there will be less hurricanes (about 33% less) in the Atlantic basin, but the number of intense storms will increase by 81% due to CO2-caused global warming. One would hope that these continuous attempts to predict future hurricane activity and intensity would improve, but this new hurricane simulator seems to have some very fundamental problems:
In other words, not just genuine ecological risks but virtually any impact that can be imagined may constitute a cognizable harm under NEPA if a sympathetic judge agrees. Thus, if agencies fail to address some tangential, inconsequential issue, they can be tripped up by a litigant who alleges that the environmental review was incomplete or that the conclusions were inadequately documented. Both kinds of allegations have lately plagued USDA approvals of genetically engineered crops, with hugely disruptive effects.
Granted, he will use this non-binding pact in an attempt to strong-arm other countries to commit to targets when the issue is discussed in Paris next year. But such false idealism does not stand America in good stead.
J. Scott Armstrong is a professor at the University of Pennsylvania, editor of "Principles of Forecasting" (Springer, 2001), a founder of the International Journal of Forecasting and the Journal of Forecasting, author of "Long-Range Forecasting" (Wiley-Interscience, 1985), and founder of ForecastingPrinciples.com.
Two hundred years ago, Napoleon Bonaparte, who knew a thing or two about epochal change, remarked: "When China awakens, the world will tremble." China is awakening, all right, and promoting worldwide authoritarianism all the more successfully that the spectacle of Western democracies lately has not been exactly edifying. If the Chinese promotion of "Asian values" has a global, rather than regional, historical significance, it is because Confucius today speaks with a very strong German accent: that of Carl Schmitt. While Western pundits were enrolling Kojve for their musing on the "end of history," the Chinese were translating nine books by Schmitt to philosophically buttress their return in history. The future of liberal authoritarianism has never looked brighter.39
and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the
If increasing emissions of CO2 in the 20th century have anything to do with monsoons, why did they peak in the 1880's and 1920's and decrease since then?
New global warming legislation contains subsidies for ethanol production.
I have predicted the death of global warming several times, but like a Hollywood zombie global warming is kept alive by its massive propaganda machine and useful idiots in the media.
Update: TV News on TV Prima (May 2nd) showed that our pro-radar mini-tumulus with the U.S. flag has survived at least for one day: go to 10:25. The U.S. flag and the stone man is on the left side at 11:30 and it appears in detail at 11:56. ;-)
SM: I actually think it's kind of a miracle that we, as a movement, have done as well on this issue as we have. It's astounding that we have 60-70 percent support for getting rid of this tax, considering the fact that only the top two or three percent of Americans pay it. But Americans have a fundamental understanding that this tax is unfair and un-American.
EPA whitewashed the toxic flashflood it caused in Colorado. But it says particulate matter smaller than 10 microns (PM10) is risky and worries incessantly about 2.5-micron particles. (A human hair is 50-70 microns; dust, pollen and mold are around 10; combustion exhaust particles are 2.5 microns or smaller.)
(C) The science presented as a series of solutions, not simply as an accumulation of knowledge (mp3: 19m45s). Who he believes nellAGWers seems unable to distinguish between research and civic engagement: for example, lIPCC politically active, so as to win a Nobel Prize for Peace.
Well the answer is definitely not from direct observations. As accurately expressed by biologist Garret Hardin in a quote from Julian Simon, "it is unknowable how many species are being extinguished." (Scarcity, p.132)
The grid operators were forced to shut down conventional power plants after green energy produced too much electricity, nearly frying the grid, according to a Tuesday report. Media outlet Quartz attempted to spin the near disaster as a huge triumph, lauding the fact green energy briefly provided 87 percent of Germany's power.
Climate scientists sometimes (GISS yes, NOAA no) attempt to correct measurements in urban areas for this effect, but this can be chancy since the correction factors need to change over time, and no one really knows exactly how large the factors need to be. Some argue that the land-based temperature set is biased too high, and some of the global warming shown is in fact a result of the UHI effect.
"We don't really have wolves in Europe any more, but they are still an important part of our culture and everyone knows what they look like," he said.
Senate EPW Republicans take a stand for academic freedom
This might all be harmless fun if it just stayed in peoples minds. But governments are already taking steps to deal with this alleged threat to civilisation, steps which already damage the least well off more than any other.
As Professor of Geophysics, Saltzman served Yale University with distinction from 1968 until his death in 2001. Michael E. Mann's position in the highly politicized sphere of climatology has since grown to be just as significant-but far more controversial. But we may have stumbled upon a sinister connection between the two researchers.
To borrow a phrase from Administrator Spalding, to choose latter will be painful, "painful every step of the way" for their constituents. I hope they make the right choice. With that Mr. President, I yield the floor.
While tidal power may be predictably intermittent, wind power is even more problematical. Recent EU directives have stipulated that some 40% of electricity should be powered from renewable resources by 2020. If this were to be predominantly produced from wind turbines, as is likely, then we would need some 30 gigawatts (gw) of wind generating capacity. To put that figure in perspective, the UK currently has about 0.5 gw of wind capacity. However, that is not the full story, for UK wind turbines are only currently delivering about 25% of installed capacity, due to wind fluctuations and maintenance issues. That means we actually need some 120 gw of installed wind generation capacity to cover just 40% of total UK electrical demand. If the turbines being constructed average 2 mw rated capacity, then we shall need some 60,000 wind turbines to be installed over the next twelve years. And where shall we erect all those? Certainly Not In My Back Yard.
Monte Solberg: Warming talk cools All of this should be good news, and yet not everyone is happy. For some reason, many climate change warriors seem disappointed that things aren't quite as bad as they thought. If so, they probably won't want to hear about the Arctic ice cap either.
When scientists make claims opposite the data, you know that they are criminals not real scientists.
The conclusion seems inescapable. The U.S. can have little impact on when China and India become willing to bear the costs required to control GHG discharges. This limit on America's options reflects a basic reality: Conditions are not yet ripe for forging an effective global accord on GHG controls. To understand why this might be so, we might want to consider the economic roots of the GHG control issue.
As ever, a warning about the current el Nio. It is becoming ever more likely that the temperature increase that usually accompanies an el Nio will begin to shorten the Pause somewhat, just in time for the Paris climate summit, though a subsequent La Nia would be likely to bring about a resumption and perhaps even a lengthening of the Pause.
Ive recently published my e-book (pdf) about the phenomena called El Nio and La Nia. Its titled Who Turned on the Heat? with the subtitle The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Nio Southern Oscillation . It is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Nio and La Nia events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 31 years. Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well. The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data thats available to the public via the internet. It presents how the data accounts for its warmingand there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases. None at all.
Had Epstein et al. factored in a lower value of life and smaller climate damage estimates (more in line with recent observations) and their low end could drop to about $50 billion per year.
One of those found guilty of attempting to bribe UN program officials overseeing the Oil-for-Food program was Tongsun Park, a South Korean businessman who had sublet office space from Maurice Strong. Coincidentally, it seems, Park also invested nearly $1 million paid from his Jordanian bank account in Strong's family business one which later went bankrupt.
OK, so if I understand correctly, the climate changes in line with cosmic rays. Cosmic rays change in line with the sun's output. But the changes in output are insufficient to explain the changes in climate, so the deduction is that these changes must be amplified in some way - in other words that there is a direct and an indirect effect of TSI on climate. One possibility is that the indirect effect is that variations in solar output affect the number of cosmic rays' reaching earth which affects cloud formation. However, the paragraph above implies that it is possible that it could be something else too.
This is a key fundamental issue. If the models cannot skillfully predict CHANGES in the statistics of weather patterns, they add no value for the impacts community beyond what is available from the historical record, the recent paleo-record and worst case sequence of real world observed events. Thus, we should not be giving multi-decadal climate model climate change statistics to the impacts community and claim they have any skill.
James V. DeLong is vice president and senior analyst of the Convergence Law Institute, LLC, and special counsel in the Washington, D.C. office of Kamlet Reichert, LLP. He also served as research director of the Administrative Conference of the United States and as a senior analyst in the Office of Program Evaluation in the U.S. Bureau of the Budget.
Even though there is this hiatus in this surface average temperature, were still getting record heat waves, were still getting harsh bush fires it shows we shouldnt take any comfort from this plateau in global average temperatures.
But what about the strongest tornadoes, the EF-4s and EF- 5s? If Elsners theory is correct, surely we should be seeing an increasing frequency of these?
NSR mandates that regulated emitters adopt specific technological solutions "regardless of ambient air quality and are therefore structurally divorced, to a large extent, from benefits."34 The recurring problem at the heart of the case studies cited above is that costs apparently (sometimes obviously) exceed benefits, yet there is no easy way in the framework of NSR to reconcile the dilemma. But if costs and benefits are not weighed, we cannot hope to get the "most bang" for every "buck" invested in environmental protection.
Then, faced with the passage of the Affordable Care Act, Republicans declined to offer alternatives or technical "corrections" as an older generation of Republicans would have and instead voted dozens of times simply to repeal the law. And in the Senate, the threat of filibuster, once reserved for a handful of highly charged large issues, exploded into a regular tool of mass obstruction.
Schwarzenegger wants to achieve by 2020 more than twice the percentage reduction in GHGs that EIA evaluated for 2025. Marginal costs increase with each increment of GHG reduction. California also has relatively low per-capita GHG emissions compared to the national average, due largely to a mild climate and virtually no use of coal for electricity. As a result, the state's unit GHG reduction costs will likely be greater than the national average. Thus, even getting the state's GHG emissions down to 1990 levels is likely to cost at least several billion dollars per year, or several hundred dollars per year for each California household. Achieving the Governor's 2050 goal is simply a pipe dream (or nightmare, as the case may be). While reducing GHG emissions to 1990s levels would impose hardship, attempting to reduce GHGs 80 percent below 1990 levels would amount to destroying California in order to purport to save it.
Reject 2.0 C/century to confidence of 95%? (=5%)
Had that tactical ploy established itself as a governing political philosophy for the eight years of the Bush presidency, it might have been the logical successor to previous incarnations of Republican thought during the past 150 years: the Kansas-Nebraska Act and the party's antislavery roots of the 1850s; turn-of-the-century antitariff and pro-growth economics; and the triad of lower taxes, anticommunism, and restrained federalism that defined the GOP of the second half of the twentieth century.
What it achieves, instead, is the solidification of our beliefs that these AGW cultists are not just mentally ill, but a danger to themselves and others.
So, in what universe does a cold winter, a cool summer, cold lake water, and an unusually cold fall air mass result from global warming ?
Guest Post: Ian Plimer Renewables in NSW produce 0.0% of all electricity generated
Activist tries to superglue himself to Gordon Brown | Mail Online Dan Glass, of the climate change pressure group Plane Stupid, today tried to superglue himself to the Prime Minister at a Downing Street reception.
In a recent article, Dr. Craig Idso, the founder and former president of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, a coeditor of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, and James M. Taylor, a senior fellow of The Heartland Institute and the managing editor of Environmental & Climate News, a monthly publication, examined how Global Warming Alarmism Denies Sound Science.
This includes effects from the Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) as well as Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) rules.
This paper discusses the point that one can't define either observable so everything is consistent.
sounds persuasive, yet it is precisely what the older tradition, the natural law tradition, denies. We do know better; we are not doing the best we can. The problem of moral decline is volitional, not cognitive; it has little to do with knowledge. By and large we do know right from wrong, but wish we didnt. We only make believe we are searching for truth-so that we can do wrong, condone wrong, or suppress our remorse for having done wrong in the past.
The oddity here is two-fold: what happened around 1977 or so, and what happened around 2002 or so? From 1977 on, after twenty years with no significant land or sea temperature change, both land and sea temperatures start to rise. In addition, the land temperature rises much more rapidly than the SST. Then around 1998, SSTs start to level off, and they peak in 2002 and start to fall. The land temperatures start falling shortly thereafter. Why, on all counts?
Sure, there are some time delay issues, probably 10-15 years, as well as some potential anthropogenic cooling from aerosols, but none of this closes these tremendous gaps. Even with an exaggerated temperature history, only the no feedback 1C per century case is really validated by history. And, if one assumes the actual warming is less than 0.6C, and only a part of that is from anthropogenic CO2, then the actual warming forecast justified is one of negative feedback, showing less than 1C per century warming from manmade CO2 which is EXACTLY the case that most skeptics make.
Kenneth Anderson is a visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution and a member of the Koret-Taube Task Force on National Security and Law. He is also a professor of international law at the Washington College of Law at American University in Washington, DC.
Recent extreme-weather events cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming to speak of. It is as simple as that.
There is an estimated 6 billion barrels of shale oil in the area, which stretches across Scotland and includes Glasgow and Edinburgh, slightly more than the central estimate of 4.4 billion barrels in the Weald Basin in southern England.
There is no ??? radiative heat trapping ?? as the net heat flow is nil between surface and air. And air does not ??? warm the surface?? !
CEI President Kent Lassman blasted Walker on Monday, saying in a prepared statement that the attorney general believes he is "above the law."
"Executives at NPR affiliate stations across the United States have begun publicly voicing discontent in the aftermath of the network's dismissal of news analyst Juan Williams, with several station managers openly questioning the actions and judgment of NPR President and CEO Vivian Schiller."
The developers claims, parroted by the Greens, about the amount of CO2 emissions that the wind farm will save are entirely without foundation, as are their claims that the wind farm will help to meet the UKs CO2 emissions targets laid down by our unelected masters in Brussels. The array, like all wind farms, will actually increase our CO2 emissions.
Noting that "the photosynthesis of the majority of the species examined was not saturated at the current levels of DIC in the ocean and responded to an increase in CO 2 ," Koch et al . conclude that seagrasses and many marine macroalgae have the potential to respond positively, in terms of photosynthesis and growth, under elevated ocean CO 2 and OA. Reviewed 15 May 2013
Slappt och olagligt av Olle H ggstr m
Thirteen Thousand Years of Storminess in the Northeastern United States
"To avoid having the Senate vote on her nomination (as the Constitution's Appointments Clause clearly requires for such presidential appointees), which might result in her nomination being defeated, the administration has formally appointed her not to be Director of the Bureau (the position she will in fact be exercising), but rather to two other White House and Treasury Department positions that did not historically require Senate confirmation positions from which she will informally control the Bureau. In essence, President Obama is circumventing constitutional checks and balances, as Yale Law Professor Bruce Ackerman, a staunch liberal, notes today in The Wall Street Journal."
What Murray says is wrong in every respect. The deaths in the sea are not at all in line with security analysts predictions else they would have counselled against the interventions. As IPCC AR5 report makes clear, urgent action could well be a conflict risk factor in the same way that incautiously bombing other countries creates the risk of further conflict. The people struggling to reach Europe are escaping brutal regimes and conflict, not bad weather. And the international tension already exists, was caused by regional conflict and external intervention.
Over the past 50+ years, North Atlantic OHC anomalies rose at a rate that almost tripled the rise in global OHC anomalies. Refer to Figure 5. I discussed and illustrated the natural factors that impact the long-term North Atlantic OHC anomaly trends in the post North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content (0-700 Meters) Is Governed By Natural Variables . These natural variables include ENSO, the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). Unfortunately, the NODC OHC data only extends back to 1955. It is therefore impossible to determine how much of the excessive rise in the North Atlantic is related to AMOC.
The Met Office makes an amazing discovery right before Cancun. What a stroke of good fortune for the occupants of this planet.
The email's proclamation, once again, exposes the environmentalists' agenda: "President Obama hasn't always done the right thing for the environment. He should have denied the Keystone Pipeline years ago, he should be rolling back unchecked fracking, and he should have taken stronger action on climate both at home and in international negotiations."
That the earths terrestrial CO2 uptake has been growing is evidenced in the remarkable enhancement of global vegetation during the past 20 years, as reported by in a recent paper by Ramakrishna Nemani and colleagues. Nemani et al. report that this growth enhancement results from a combination of two major influencesthe increased fertilization effect from rising concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide and the patterns of change in the earths climate during the study period.
For example, top selling German daily Bild did not even bother to feature the MPIs Arctic meltdown press conference. Instead Bild featured a story on how clouds have been getting lower and that a negative feedback seems to be in play and is acting to cool the planet.
The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year. More than 20 yachts that had planned to sail it have been left ice-bound and a cruise ship attempting the route was forced to turn back.
The climate models stored in the CMIP5 archive are supposed to be simulations of Earths climate, but the simulated sea surface temperatures of the models used by the IPCC for their 5 th Assessment Report are definitely not of this planet. 70% of the Earth is covered by oceans, seas and lakes. Because the models show no skill at being able to simulate the rates of warming and cooling of the surfaces of the global oceans over the past 32+ years, and because the models show no skill at being able to reproduce the spatial patterns of that warming and cooling, all of which drive temperature and precipitation patterns on land, then any and all projections of future climate are based on modeled worlds that have no similarity to the real world. In other words,climate modelprojections are meaningless.