Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The biggest factor, though, in America's success in cutting emissions has been the shale gale. A tsunami of natural-gas production has been unleashed in recent years thanks to continuing improvements in extended-reach horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing. Domestic natural-gas production was up 4.7 percent last year, to a record 65.7 billion cubic feet per day. That increase in production has led to cheaper natural gas, and that cheap gas is displacing coal at the power plant. (Increasingly, it's also displacing oil as motor fuel, but that's another story.)
The other implication of Dr. Meier??s statement is that a warmer, ice free Arctic occurred when CO2 levels were less than 290 ppm. This implies that there is no long term correlation between CO2 and Arctic temperatures.
S. A. Gabriel, A. S. Kydes, and P. Whitman, "The National Energy Modeling System: A Large-Scale Energy-Economic Equilibrium Model," Operations Research, No. 49 (2001), pp. 1425.
First, lets get rid of the 1998 red herring. The implication is that you can only get this slowdown by picking 1998 as the start year. The reality is that temperatures have been flat since 2001, which was a neutral ENSO year, and therefore comparable to this year. The Wood For Trees graph below shows this well.
Today??s Washington Times has a commentary on the flawed science and the famous ???hockey stick?? graph used by the the Gorebot and the IPCC:
Whether short or long-term, the state-of-the-art empirical satellite evidence is not only obvious, it is both climate and statistically significant: CO2 emissions have not had a significant influence (warming or cooling) on atmospheric temperatures. For objective science, this means that the CO2-centric anthropogenic global warming hypothesis is essentially invalidated, as it is currently understood . (1) Study . Scientists involved: Ben D. Santer, C. Mears, C. Doutriaux, P. Caldwell, P. J. Gleckler, Tim M. L. Wigley, Susan Solomon, N. P. Gillett, D. Ivanova, Tom R. Karl, J. R. Lanzante, G. A. Meehl, P. A. Stott, K. E. Taylor, P. W. Thorne, M. F. Wehner, F. J. Wentz
And Duranty may be needed to maintain this fiction as the Sydney Morning Herald reports today,
"You see, Dr. Hansen of NASA GISS, has been using his position to protest the use of coal in America. That's certainly his right. But, since his concern is global CO2 produced by coal, is he really being effective by protesting here? It seems that he should think locally, but act globally. Have a look at this graph and see if you think he's making any difference in the places coal is being used the most:"
"Media Matters, the liberal activist group that wages a rhetorical war against Fox News Channel and others in the conservative press, will announce on Wednesday the receipt of a $1 million donation from the philanthropist George Soros."
Climate Change: Front and Center. Climate change came roaring back into the news this week when the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee unveiled its legislation on the subject, and the Environmental Protection Agency announced a rule to require big greenhouse gas emitters to install new pollution-control technology in new or modified facilities. In Newsweek, columnist George Will praised Kenneth P. Green and Steven F. Hayward"s latest Energy and Environment Outlook in which they argue that the House climate-change bill, Waxman-Markey, is an "exercise in unreality." While the outlook for legislation this year is unclear, Green and Hayward are tracking developments closely.
So it should come as no surprise that some corporations love Waxman-Markey. Indeed, the corporate coalition known as the United States Climate Action Partnership (US CAP) outlined the main features of the Waxman-Markey bill months before it was introduced in a January 2009 report titled A Blueprint for Legislative Action. US CAP members don't worry that Waxman-Markey might destroy millions of jobs and trillions of dollars in cumulative GDP. They expect to get a bigger piece of a smaller pie.
two of the doctrine's leading exponents, General David Petraeus and General Stanley McChrystal, were
NOAAS TOP GLOBAL WEATHER, WATER AND CLIMATE EVENTS OF THE 20TH CENTURY
You simply say that the task of creating energy from nothing is impossible.
He has been wandering around in the swamp of atmospheric feedbacks, positive or negative, proclaiming it is all too complicated and controversial. Like esteemed MIT Professor Richard Lindzen and other meteorologists, he is trapped in his feedback swamp and cant get out.
"Light Brigade' to debunk "forward on climate' D.C. rally
Americas chemical companies use ethane, a natural gas liquid derived from shale gas, as a feedstock in numerous applications. Its relatively low price gives U.S. manufacturers an advantage over many competitors around the world that rely on naphtha, a more expensive, oil-based feedstock. Growth in domestic shale gas production is helping to reduce U.S. natural gas prices and create a more stable supply of natural gas and ethane.
New Zealands Climate Science Coalition has issued a press release detailing the end of the Kiwi-gate affair. The outcome is that data published in 2009 by New Zealands National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) entitled Are we feeling warmer yet has been abandoned and replaced with real, unadjusted data that shows a picture that warmists dont want you to see: NIWA makes the huge admission that New Zealand has experienced hardly any warming during the last half-century. For all their talk about warming, for all their rushed invention of the Eleven-Station Series to prove warming, this new series shows that no warming has occurred here since about 1960. Almost all the warming took place from 1940-60, when the IPCC says that the effect of CO2 concentrations was trivial. Indeed, global temperatures were falling during that period.
But BAT also demands a lot more in seeking to set the relevant inputs, for now everyone has bad incentives. More specifically, a regulated utility will downgrade the expected benefits of technological improvements while talking up the costs of implementation. Environmental activists, with none of their own dollars on the line, have the exact opposite incentive. No court can easily work its way through the BAT minefield, but they still must review, at a great cost in time and money, a wide range of necessary EPA decisions under the CAA.
"In the 1,461 days that Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D.-Calif.) served as speaker of the House, the national debt increased by a total of $5.343 trillion ($5,343,452,800,321.37) or $3.66 billion per day ($3.657,394,113.84), according to official debt numbers published by the U.S. Treasury."
They then go on in figure 6 to show how these different projections affect the average mass of CO2 for which the ancestor is responsible. The potential for reducing carbon emissions by reducing the number of future genetic units was remarkable. Whereas increasing a cars fuel efficiency from 20mpg to 30mpg saved only 148 metric tons of Co2 emissions over an individuals lifetime, reducing the number of children by one on a constant-emission scenario gave a lifetime saving of Co2 emissions of 9,441 metric tons!
Here, we will look more closely at New Zealand and the rest of the Pacific Ocean. In particular, taking New Zealand out of the whole record leads to even greater temperature stability in the Islands. If the half of the planet that is the Pacific Basin is not warming, it can hardly be Global nor Warming. When we look more closely at New Zealand, we find more thermometer changes. Global Warming is an artifact of thermometer change (both modification history and location) over time.
Back to the buoys in Monterey harbor. A flight of pelicans
Most major environmental improvements occur as older, inefficient plants and machinery with high air pollutant emissions are replaced with new, more efficient, and more environmentally benign plants and machines. NSR, like other end-of-the-pipe environmental mandates, slows the replacement process by grandfathering existing facilities (which increases their asset value) and raising the price of new construction. In light of the progress being made to improve air quality prior to 1970, it is plausible NSR has done more to slow than to speed up progress toward greater efficiency and less emissions.
The latest science suggests the equilibrium climate sensitivity probably lies between 1.5C and 2.5C (with an average value of 2.0C), while the climate models used by the IPCC have climate sensitivities which range from 2.1C to 4.7C with an average value of 3.2C.
Richard Nixon launched the shuttle program in 1972, but the president whose name will always be associated with it is Ronald Reagan.
The question originally posed, of course, was whether the increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide is associated with more or more-severe landfalling hurricanes. To answer this question, we plotted storms against atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.
Facts That Don't Fit the News Media's Anti-Gun Narrative
Do global warming policies save human lives? A Stunning new report found the exact opposite. The report, entitled ???Global Warming Policies Might Be Bad for Your Health,?? was produced by leading researcher Dr. Indur Goklany and found that issues of poverty like malnutrition and unsafe water have a global impact of death and disease 70 times larger than that of theoretical climate change. As a result, climate policies which retard economic growth would increase global poverty and its terrible effects. Since policies to replace fossil fuels with biofuels already caused 200,000 additional deaths in 2010 alone, the world must think carefully before embarking on these costly and even deadly global warming policies.
I have already written extensively about what happens to the 2009 Vermeer and Rahmstrof model ( Global Sea Level Linked to Global Temperature, PNAS, 2009 ) when the outdated sea level data they usedis replaced by a newer versionfrom the very same people who provided them with the data. Itwas not good for Rahmstrofs theme of catastrophic sea level rise.
Why, I wonder start the linear increase in 1980? Obviously the temperature starts rising then, but why not start the straight line in 1970? The answer is that the temperature is flat between 1970 and 1980. It seems illogical to take notice of flat data at the start of a dataset but totally ignore it at the end!
Like the urchins occupying Wall Street, Rosenthal chides Americans who prefer bigger cars and bigger homes. We value personal freedom, are suspicious of scientists, and tend to distrust the kind of sweeping government intervention required to confront rising greenhouse gas emissions.
We can ignore the first one. Command-and-control is economist short-hand for any system that relies on central planning. Bureaucrats and cabinet ministers decide on targets, e.g. as of next Tuesday 15% of all gasoline must be made from ethanol. That's the "command" part. The next is the "control" part, in which an enforcement agency goes out to harangue, harass and punish private firms and citizens until they are in compliance.
It seems probable that 2010 will be in terms of global annual average temperature statistically identical to the annual temperatures of the past decade. Some eminent climatologists, such as Professor Phil Jones of the University of East Anglias Climatic Research Unit, suggest the global annual average temperatures havent changed for the past 15 years. We are reaching the point where the temperature standstill is becoming the major feature of the recent global warm period that began in 1980. In brief, the global temperature has remained constant for longer than it has increased. Perhaps this should not be surprising as in the seven decades since 1940 the world has gotten warmer in only two of them, and if one considers each decade individually the increase in temperature in each has barely been statistically significant. Only when the warming in the 1980s is added to that of the first half of the 1990s does the change exceed the noise in the system.
German households will pay a renewables surcharge of ?7.2bn this year alone. In addition, consumers will be affected by indirect costs because industry, trade and commerce pass on their rising energy costs in product prices. And because green energy subsidies are guaranteed for 20 years, the costs threaten to rise exorbitantly as more schemes are being agreed. Energy bills are going through the roof, fuel poverty is rising and renewable energy policies face a growing public backlash. What is more, governments are increasingly concerned about the threat to Europe?s industrial base.
"Sex that doesn't produce people is deviate." Montana state Rep. Dave Hagstrom.
Burger and Cubasch (2005) attempt to bolster their claims based on a reference to claims by "McIntyre and McKitrick (2005b)", published in a social science journal Energy and Environment that is not even in the ISI database. McIntyre and McKitrick made essentially the same claim in a 2005 GRL article. Huybers (2005), in a comment on that article, demonstrated that McIntyre and McKitricks unusually high claimed thresholds for significant were purely an artifact of an error in their time series standardization. Huybers (2005), after correcting the mistake by McIntyre and McKitrick, verified the original RE significance thresholds indicated by Mann et al (1998). It is extremely surprising that Burger and Cubasch appear unaware of all of this.
These positions reflect adherence to the shaky hypothesis of catastrophic manmade global warming and unsupportable claims that the oil sands contribute disproportionately to a looming climate Armageddon. However, Alberta environment office show that greenhouse gas emissions from oil sands plummeted 38% between 1990 and 2009, and are now 5% of Canadas total GHG emissions and equal to or lower than CO2/GHG emissions from petroleum operations in Nigeria, Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.
And you know what? They're welcome to hold that point of view. My question is, if these academics are so certain they have the truth on their side, why are they so concerned about the views of dissenters? Oh, the dissenters slow progress in addressing the problem, the academics reply:
So far, summer 2012 has been thequieteston record for both tornadoes and hurricanes in the US. We also have the fewest forest fires since at least 2003 .
Now heres the interesting thing about this station, it has a trifecta of siting issues, and not just from the air conditioner and brick building. Look at the location located by Tim Channon:
19 EPA, New Source Review: Report to the President, p. 11.
Heres the thing the computer models that predicted something more accelerated than what has actually happened since 1998 are the same ones predicting disaster in the long run. If they were wrong about the past 15 years, it is a good sign they are wrong about the long run, too.
So forgetting all this, and taking the reports analytics at face value, it is concluded that the FULL COST of coal makes wind, solar, and other forms of nonfossil fuel power generation economically competitive. As such, the study calls for phasing out coal and phasing in cleanly powered smart grids using place-appropriate alternative energy sources.
Would anyone care? You can see that there are warm places on the Earth, too: Sahara, Brazil, India, etc. But there are many other issues we should remember. First, the warming near the equator is going to be slower (the warming near the poles is amplified by the ice-albedo feedback effect). Second, the latitude is not the only coordinate that can compensate for the temperature changes. Altitude matters, too. The lapse rate is over 6 C per kilometer, so if you move yourself into the hills, the maximum centennial warming may be fully eliminated, too.
Yeatman: Not so-warmer but richer (i.e., no economy crushing climate policies) is better for humans than poorer but cooler. Global warming policies are worse than global warming! For the sake of our children, we must do nothing on climate change.
I thought the climate was gentle when atmospheric CO2 concentration was below 300 ppm steady, unvariable and associated with few weather extremes. Thats what fraudster warmist climatologists tried to have us believe with an assortment a various hockey stick charts.
Britain is already experiencing yet another bitterly cold and snowy winter, the latest in an continuing series of arctic winters which have made a mockery of alarmists predictions that global warming would mean mild winters and no snow in Britain (we all remember the headline about snow in Britain being a thing of the past).
There has been a sharp decline over the past year in the percentage of Americans who say there is solid evidence that global temperatures are rising, that it is a very serious problem, and that it is caused by human activity. All these trends reflect growing scientific uncertainty about the causes and consequences of climate change.A national survey conducted Sept. 30-Oct. 4 by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, a left-leaning group, finds that 57% think there is solid evidence that the average temperature on earth has been getting warmer over the past few decades, down from 71% in April 2008. Over the same period, there has been a comparable decline in the proportion of Americans who say global temperatures are rising as a result of human activity, such as burning fossil fuels. Just 36% say that currently, down from 47% last year.Full story at the The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press.
The justification that is always given for these adjustments is that they must be right because the global average of the GISS adjusted dataset (roughly) matches theGHCN adjusted dataset, which (roughly) matches the CRU adjusted dataset.
Dr Emerson yesterday became the first minister in the Rudd Government to cast doubt on the assertion that scientific evidence was conclusive for a catastrophic meltdown of the polar icecaps if global warming was not curtailed.
Finally, we've also plotted a new graph of global temperature data -- from the UK's Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research -- against atmospheric carbon dioxide data -- from Mauna Loa, Hawaii, the longest continuous record of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations available in the world.
"Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano apologized on Tuesday to residents near the crippled Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant and the global community after Japan raised the severity rating of its nuclear crisis to the highest level of 7. Despite the changed assessment that puts it on a par with the 1986 Chernobyl catastrophe, Edano told reporters, ""Unlike in the case of Chernobyl, we have not seen cases of direct damage to health because of the accident.'""
26 Sep 2012 11:47 | by Nick Farrell in Rome
White House Climate Advisor Daniel P. Schrag told the New York Times: "Everybody is waiting for action, the one thing the President really needs to do now is to begin the process of shutting down the conventional coal plants. Politically, the White House is hesitant to say they're having a war on coal. On the other hand, a war on coal is exactly what's needed."
The panel, which shared the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with Al Gore, now faces the inconvenient truth that it relied on scientists who violated scientific process. In one email, the Climate Research Unit's director, Phil Jones, wrote Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University, promising to spike studies that cast doubt on the relationship between human activity and global warming. "I can't see either of these papers being in the next IPCC report," he said. He pledged to "keep them out somehoweven if we have to redefine what the peer-review literature is!"
These statements merely express uncertainty over climate change and climate policy. Anyone who believes these statements constitute fraud lacks common sense and an understanding of the applicable legal standards.
Mr Boehlert, like most politicians, obviously doesnt read the documents that are presented to him in any depth, but is quite content with the headline statements. The findings of the National Academy of Sciences are the subject of another paper .
Kevin D. Dayaratna, PhD, is Senior Statistician and Research Programmer in the Center for Data Analysis, of the Institute for Economic Freedom and Opportunity, at The Heritage Foundation. David W. Kreutzer, PhD, is Senior Research Fellow for Energy Economics and Climate Change in the Center for Data Analysis. Nicolas D. Loris is Herbert and Joyce Morgan Fellow in Energy and Environmental Policy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies, of the Institute for Economic Freedom and Opportunity.
Even neglecting radiosonde data, which has recorded little or no warming, and using the untested new satellite data set, Santer et al. find models still predict 170 percent more warming than was actually recorded by the data sets they use.
The exact same thing is going on with the climate. It is governed by a variety of emergent climate phenomena such as thunderstorms, the El Nino/La Nina warm water pump, and the PDO. And as a result, the change in global temperature is totally decoupled from the changes in forcings. This is why it is so hard to find traces of e.g. solar and volcano forcings in the temperature record. We know that both of those change the forcings but the temperatures do not change correspondingly.
Non-Co2 causes of weather and weather related effects (e.g the sun or anthropocentric contributions like soot) are downplayed or ignored in the most recent IPCC report
I gave up on Judith Curry a while ago. I don?t know what she think?s she?s
Sharp Corp. plans to end production and sales of solar cells and modules in the U.S. and Europe by March as part of a restructuring, Kyodo News said. Osaka-based Sharp plans to cut more than 10,000 jobs, or about 18 percent of its workforce, and is in talks to sell plants as it tries to return to profit, two people with knowledge of the proposal said yesterday. Bloomberg, 27 September 2012 ( http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-27/sharp-to-end-solar-panel-business-in-u-s-europe-kyodo-says.html )
CFACT also asked readers to submit comments to the Board and large numbers did. Sources close to the West Virginia Board report that CFACT readers submitted thoughtful and persuasive comments that made a significant impact on the proceedings.
Scientists agree that a future drop is likely at some point if global warming proceeds as expected. But they differ on how much snowpack has decreased, whether any of that was due to man-made climate change and how far and fast its likely to drop in coming years.
Deja vu tells me I might have done this once before, but I?m too lazy to go back and see. So, I?ll start over from scratch. (Insert smiley)
In fact, there are three complementary strategies to search for the dark matter particle and there are good reasons to expect that they could provide us with some powerful evidence in favor of a specific dark matter particle rather soon: the direct production at the collider (LHC), the analyses of cosmic rays and radiation by space telescopes (AMS etc.), and the direct search experiments (germanium etc. in the abandoned mines).
Figure 12. Coral seems to be A-OK with CO2 levels of 1,000 ppmv. This might explain how they thrived in the Mesozoic Era.
There has been very little change in May ice extent over the last 30 years. If current linear trends continue, it will be at least 400 years before we have an ice free Arctic in May.
The final thing I learned from this study is that creatures in the ocean live happily in a wide range of alkalinities, from a high of over 8.0 down to almost neutral. As a result, the idea that a slight change in alkalinity will somehow knock the ocean dead doesn??t make any sense. By geological standards, the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere is currently quite low. It has been several times higher in the past, with the inevitable changes in the oceanic pH ?? and despite that, the life in the ocean continued to flourish.
But in the past month, a "blocking event" has brought the jet stream to a halt, keeping weather patterns stationery over certain countries.