Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"Both Majority Leader McConnell and Chairman Inhofe have said that they are determined to stop the EPA's greenhouse gas rules, so I expect quick action to move Capito's bill. In the House, a bill to block the rules, H. R. 2042, the Ratepayer Protection Act, was voted out of the House Energy and Commerce Committee on 29th April and is awaiting floor action."
The US Southwest 41 F Degree Day Deviation Map
From their analysis, the scientists found 263 estimates of the conditions when sediments and ice were laid down during the Last Interglacial, allowing them to reconstruct past temperatures around the globe. To compare the reconstructed estimates with today, they took the Last Interglacial values away from modern temperatures averaged over the period 1961 to 1990.
According to Environment Canada, the highest recorded snow fall for Williams Lake todate had been 42.7 cm on Jan. 7, 1961.
???The mitigation targets currently adopted by governments all around the world do not yet address the important non-CO2 climate impacts of aviation, such as contrails, which may cause a climate impact as large, or even larger, than the climate impact of aviation CO2 emissions.
The 1930s were by far the hottest decade in the US. Maximum temperatures were about two degrees warmer. Afternoon summer temperatures are no warmer now than they were in the 19th century.
Search for truth: I figured I'd better put that at the top as the biggest motivation. You know, scientists want to understand how things work and hopefully put some of that understanding to good practical use. But also I've seen that scientists are motivated to a greater or lesser extent by the quest for research funding. Certainly global warming is a good area for submitting proposals to get government funding to do government-funded research. And I agree that the threat of global warming is sufficient to where we should have that funded activity.
To me, that??s the Occam??s Razor explanation of why, after thirty years, millions of dollars, millions of man-hours, and millions of lines of code, the computer models have not improved the estimation of ???climate sensitivity?? in the slightest. They do not contain or model any of the emergent phenomena that govern the climate , the phenomena that decouple the temperature from the forcing and render the entire idea of ???climate sensitivity?? meaningless.
The other major 3 crop regions all show similar type of cooling rates over the last 17 years ending 2013. (see: soybean temperatures, map ; spring wheat temperatures, map ; and winter wheat temperatures, map )
NASA is constantly tampering with their data to cool the past and warm the present in order to make the hiatus disappear.
Nor is there any doubt that the politics of energy use have increased the probability that some sort of deal will be cut in Paris that can be dubbed a success from zero into positive territory. Developing nations, accounting for over half of the world's emissions, will have to be placated and China, which accounted for more of the recent increase in CO2 emissions than the rest of the world combined, will have to be convinced that any deal does not interfere with its current struggle to recharge its growth engine. The regime, recognizing that it cannot continue on its present path without seriously reducing livability in its major cities, is experimenting with a cap-and-trade emissions reduction program and, according to Vice Premier Zhang Gaoli, "will make an even greater effort to address climate change and take on international responsibilities."
I guess they really dont have a full handle on the science and consensus after all.
Any work we have done in the past is done on the back of the research grants we
As for whether the activities of people can only be a detriment to the natural order, Dr. Michael Mares, in a phone interview, asserted that "pristine habitat being disturbed can actually increase the number of species found in that area." Lugo notes that secondary forest can "constitute a landscape with greater species richness than found in a landscape dominated only by climax forests." (Lugo, p. 67) And Smith says that through "widespread interaction with the forest and intimate knowledge of its resources indigenous groups have enriched the forest with various useful plants, particularly fruit and nut trees" and created what some refer to as "cultural forests" within the Amazon.
Allowing for this exaggeration knocks back this centurys anthropogenic warming to not much more than 1 K about a third of the 3-4 K that we normally hear so much about.
And then RSS present three model-data comparisons that show the models failing to simulate lower troposphere temperatures globally and in the tropics and that only Arctic lower troposphere temperatures are warming as predicted by models.
and from ABC Rural: Goyders line could shift to Clare
I dont have a strong opinion on which of these possibilities (sensor problems, deeper convection, or a dryer mid- and upper troposphere) is more likely. Too little information, too many questions.
By unilaterally adopting emissions cuts while India and China go on belching out ever greater amounts of greenhouse gases, Congress implicitly endorses the twin pillars of international climate law: "common but differentiated responsibilities," and the "right to develop." Rights and responsibilitiesthe stuff of ethicsdo not dissolve at state borders. Therefore, Congress should make its climate scheme optional for Mississippi.
The ambitious move may have been encouraged by a rapid increase in solar power installation in recent months after the government unified grid feed-in tariffs for solar projects for the first time in July, and offered a higher price for projects that would be put into operation before the year end.
Burton Richter is a Nobel Prizewinning scientist who has served on many US and international review committees on climate change and energy issues. He provides a concise overview of the knowledge and uncertainties within climate change science, discusses current energy demand and supply patterns, and the energy options available to cut greenhouse gas emission. This book assesses the sensible, senseless and biased proposals for averting the potentially disastrous consequences of global warming, allowing readers to draw their own conclusions on switching to more-sustainable energy provision.
And after nearly 30 years in operation, it is unclear what Heartland stands for when it comes to climate change beyond resistance to putting any kind of restraint on business.
Notice the spike in the '07 El Nino, then the fall after; the spike in the '09-'10 El Nino, the fall after. The overall trend though is unmistakably down. But another round of heat hysteria is certainly on the way. Problem is, as I said, it will mean a cold winter for the US for one, and a bigger drop after. But how much you want to bet the cold winter next year will be twisted into something it's not (caused by CO2)? Do you think any of them will possibly acknowledge what global temperatures will do after the spike? They don't even want anyone to look at this now.
"The certainty among many scientists that humans are the main cause of climate change, including global warming, is not based on the replication of observable events. It is based on just two things, the theoretical effect of human-caused greenhouse gas emissions, predominantly carbon dioxide, and the predictions of computer models using those theoretical calculations. There is no scientific "proof" at all."
The press release also says that the precautionary principle should be utmost on our minds. The kind of society that will result from applying the precautionary principle is a stagnant society with constant conflicts over scarce resources. How does that promote peace and the security of mankind?
The BBC is a bubble. Its broadcasting departments are bubbles. The scientific establishment is a bubble. Perspectives from without the bubble are met with ire much like Robertss and Nurses: challenges to the authority and the claims of the establishment are met with derision, the critics belittled as anti-science. Like the phenomenon of environmental journalism, the BBCs science output is scripted and filmed inside the bubble. To the extent that there is communication with the world outside the bubble, science is prescriptive of how the world should be, rather than a description of how the material world is.
Let us suppose, ad argumentum, that the main reason for sea-level change is temperature change, and that Grinsteds sea-level reconstruction is plausible. In that event, the small sea-level response to the large temperature change between the medieval warm period and the little ice age suggests the possibility that even a global warming far greater than what is now likely might not have much impact on sea level.
More importantly, the comments provide furtherdocumentation in the public recordas to major issues with regulating CO2 and several other well-mixed greenhouse gases as pollutants. Of particular relevance to my expertise, the EPA Findings are not scientifically robust; e.g. see
Several satellites measure the global sea level elevation. The European satellite, Evisat, provided possibly the best available data. It showed falling sea level since its launch in 2002, and for the last two years the decline was 5mm/yr. Unfortunately. Evisat broke down on April 8 th 2012.
I know that trust and distrust are feelings that last. So, for this reason, I prefer to include a variety of respected data sets in my analysis and report on as many results as possible. That way, when the temperatures do warm, and my updated plots and trends show the renewed warming, I think my audience will trust my plots are not simply attempts to present a tendentious argument in favor of a theory I believe to be true.
?If you want to go back to see when the Sun was this inactive? you?ve got to go back about 100 years,? he says.
After carefully studying the book, I came to the conclusion that I need to be even tougher and more merciless with my opinions than I have been until now. While for most people ? including me ? the bible of the current hysteria around global warming is Al Gore?s book ?An Inconvenient Truth?, for Nigel Lawson it is Nicolas Stern?s infamous ?Review,? which was prepared at the request of Tony Blair.
Ending this lethal energy deprivation will require abundant, reliable, affordable energy on unprecedented scales, and more than 80% of it will have to come from fossil fuels. Coal now provides 40% of the world's electricity, and much more than that in some countries. That is unlikely to change anytime soon.
Rising Sea Level Forecasts: Fact or Fiction?
15c. Current state of scientific knowledge allow for a reasonable assessment of the effects of green-house gases emitted from anthropogenic sources
In a 1983 study into vegetal species by Kimbal (1983) published in Carbon Dioxide Fertilizing Effects on Plant Biomass production and Water-Use Efficiency showed that, A doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations increased biomass production by an average of 33% in the vegetal species.
Due to the damaging effects green energy has had on Germany's grid, the government plans to cap the total amount of wind energy at 40 to 45 percent of national capacity, according to a report published last month by the German newspaper Berliner Zeitung. By 2019, Germany will get rid of 6,000 megawatts of wind power capacity.
Other colors besides brown are more expensive. And the 2nd generation Zune (above) costs USD 250, with 80 GB of disk space.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Center for Entrepreneurship Director John Berlau on why Rush Limbaugh would be a better choice:
The Long War promises to be a thinking man's war. As a full-fledged Alliance, NATO possesses the kind of staying power that mere ad hoc coalitions cannot deliver; but NATO still has to come to terms with the fact that thinking power will matter more than fighting power. If NATO is to avoid the twofold danger of the SCO becoming a NATO of the East while NATO becomes a mere SEATO of the West, the Alliance will have first of all to downgrade its "toolbox" dimension and beef up its "think-tank" dimension.
Lets also be quite clear that science does not work by way of consensus. Science does not progress by appeal to authority; in fact, major scientific advances usually come from outside the consensus; one can cite many classic examples, from Galileo to Einstein. In other words, the very notion of a scientific consensus is unscientific.
Its also obvious from the ANPR that EPArelishes the prospect of dominatingfederal fuel economyregulation (GHG emission standardsbeing de-facto mpg standards ) andis hot toestablish New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) for CO 2 emissions from power plants and refineries.
We all have heard many times that summer sea ice minimums have declined in the northern hemisphere over the last 30 years. As mentioned above, this causes more sunlight to reach the dark ocean water, and results in a warming of the water. What is not so widely discussed is that southern hemisphere sea ice has been increasing, causing a net cooling effect. This article explains why the cooling effect of excess Antarctic ice is significantly greater than the warming effect of missing Arctic ice.
Remarkably, the death of young men is never recorded as a notch against GDP, but the building of bombs that are dropped in far off lands is alwayscounted as a plus for an economy.
Throughout the four-year study, seedlings grown in elevated CO 2 displayed photosynthetic rates that were 60-130% greater than rates exhibited by seedlings grown in ambient air during the warmer summer months. During the colder winter months, atmospheric CO 2 enrichment continued to boost seedling photosynthetic rates by 14 to 44%. These persistent increases in net carbon uptake led to a mean biomass accumulation in the CO 2 enriched seedlings that was 90% greater than that attained by the ambiently-grown controls after four years of treatment exposure. What it means
What about the probable ~1 C, unnaturally 7.7 sigma, increase in global air temperature between the Little Ice Age, 1650, and 1900? Humans couldn??t have done it. Climate gremlins, maybe?
Die Welt writes that global warming is currently advancing considerably more slowly than assumed a few years ago and has stalled over the last 15 years and that scientists are unable to explain why .
The seven scientists report that the elevated CO 2 treatment increased the above- and below-ground biomass of Zhonghuang 13 by 18.3 and 11.1%, respectively, while it increased the above- and below-ground biomass of Zhonghuang 35 by 15.6 and 20.0%, respectively. They additionally note that the high-CO 2 treatment also boosted the percentage of N derived from the atmosphere (%Ndfa) for Zhonghuang 13 from 59% to 79%, corresponding to an amount of N fixed ranging from 166 to 275 kg N ha -1 ; but they say that the elevated CO 2 treatment "had no significant effect on either parameter for Zhonghuang 35." What it means
Mark Killion, IHSs head of world industry services, said, however, that the findings from the latest data were far from bleak for US manufacturing. The US has a huge productivity advantage in that it produced only slightly less than Chinas manufacturing output in 2010 but with 11.5m workers compared to the 100m employed in the same sector in China.
Marlo Lewis, Jr.Vice President for Policy & Coalitions
Listening to the environmentalists, one might get the impression that the Clinton Administration completely backtracked on its commitment to sign a treaty in Kyoto, Japan. Statements by the administration following the Earth Summit, suggest otherwise:
If an agency concludes that its action will have no significant impacts, it issues a relatively brief Environmental Assessment that explains the basis for that decision. But if significant effects are likely, the agency must prepare a comprehensive and voluminous Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) that details every conceivable effect, runs to hundreds of pages, and requires thousands of bureaucrat-hours.
According to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy dataset, the global proved reserves of oil have increased steadily since the dataset began in 1980. Similarly, global oil production has increased steadily since the dataset begins in 1965, with an approximately linear increase since the early 1980s.
More recently, the Environmental Working Group has found that corn ethanol produces more carbon dioxide than would Keystone XL presuming, of course, that the beleaguered pipeline ever gets built.
Of course, the warmists early on coined the term deniers, associated sceptics with death trains, accused them of genocide, threatened them with war crimes tribunals and produced a video showing even children being blown to pieces if they doubted dangerous man-made climate change.
Nevertheless, insisting that "climate chaos" was real, former EPA administrator Lisa Jackson wailed that her agency would need at least 240,000 new EPA employees (each making some $100,000 per year, plus benefits) that she said would be needed just to administer new CO2 regulations and control nearly everything Americans make, drive, ship, and do!
CEI, a non-profit, non-partisan public policy group founded in 1984, is dedicated to the principles of free enterprise and limited government. For more information, please contact Richard Morrison, Associate Director of Media Relations, at (202) 331-1010.
The most important recent scientific work concerns the Global Climate Models (GCM). Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas in that it absorbs outgoing radiation on particular wavelengths, with a resultant warming effect. However, looking at carbon dioxide alone, any effect would be quite small. To get to the predictions of doom, and thus to justify the destruction of industrial civilization, one must build computer GCMs based on the assumption that a small initial effect of carbon dioxide is amplified by positive feedback mechanisms. A score of such models exist, all of which assume that feedback is positive, and that in consequence a small amount of carbon dioxideinduced warming will indeed trigger an upward cascade in temperature. No empirical support for this assumption exists, and if it is erroneous and thus there is no positive feedback, then the effects of carbon dioxide become negligible.
Global warming could end sooner then once thought in 40,000 years time
As this deadline approaches, our elected officials should determine how best to confront and resist EPA's latest power grab. They should remember that the jobs, economic well-being, health and very lives of millions of minority and blue-collar families hang in the balance.
However, even Soon's critics agree that studies such as his, which bring together a variety of measures to flesh out climate history, are rapidly coming of age. Over the past eight to 10 years what's called multi-proxy mapping has become more common, says Malcolm Hughes of the University of Arizona's Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research. Hughes and his colleagues have just published in the International Journal of Climatology a 1,000-year climate record for New Mexico and Arizona based on two methods of analyzing a set of 19 long-lived trees.
Coal-reliant states currently pay 8 to 9 cents per kilowatt-hour. Their rates will likely go well beyond the 15 to 17 cents per kilowatt-hour that families, hospitals, factories, schools, and businesses now pay in "green energy" states such as California and Connecticut. They could skyrocket to the 36 to 40 cents that Germans and Danes are paying or 70 to 80 cents when taxpayer subsidies are included.
There is no way current climbers and mountain guides can give anecdotal evidence back to the 1900s, so what they claim is complete nonsense.
This year, the recent 12 Month period temperature is -3.3 F cooler than for example 1911 . And if we compare with 1935 it is ??? 3.6 F cooler.
Ontario sets record for daily wind production pays to export it.
No matter what Zichal might say, climate policy will always be political, because so much money is at stake. What's troubling about the Obama administration's approach to carbon-dioxide issues, however, isn't the presence of politics. It's the absence of math.
Perhaps just as significant is the fact that DMI only count ice concentration of 30% and over, unlike NSIDC and others that use 15%. This would suggest that the thicker, more concentrated ice is becoming more predominant.
The United States and the Soviet Union are mounting large-scale investigations to determine why the Arctic climate is becoming more frigid, why parts of the Arctic sea ice have recently become ominously thicker and whether the extent of that ice cover contributes to the onset of ice ages.
Still, Im not sure yet so as in politics, I reserve the right to revise and extend my remarks.
Carbon-dioxide emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels increased 0.7 percent in the United States from 2000 to 2006, far below the worldwide increase of 21.6 percent.
The warming trend since 1990, when the IPCC wrote its first report is equivalent to 1.1 C per century. The IPCC had predicted two and a half times as much.
So many good intentions were packed into the encyclical, how could the Lama go wrong?
Nonetheless, as Christy points out, thetropical troposphere isthe portion of the atmosphere where models project a highly consistent and significant warming response to rising CO2 concentrations. If the models do not show a discernible human influence in the tropical troposphere, how can they show that more than half the warming is anthropogenic for the planet as a whole?
Wind chills were as cold as minus 20 in parts of western Montana. By Wednesday morning, wind chills could drop to minus 35 in some spots.
If the purpose of this statute were in part to address global warming by requiring preconstruction permits for facilities that emit greenhouse gases, as EPA?s reading suggests, why would the statute target the construction of facilities only in areas that are in compliance with the NAAQS ? and not elsewhere in the United States?
The amount of data that would need to be maintained and managed is boggling. And the security would be a headache and a half. (Just think how handy it would be to track all your competitors car movements, or your ex-wifes, or your employees. Just think how many people would like to track you too? Hackers would come, and then theyd know where you went too...)
Atmospheric circulation over the interior has remained in a similar state for at least the past 200 years.
I found this paper change was 1.7 days over 50 years. There are cyclic changes in temperature. The beginning year in this study was 1954, a relatively cool year for the twentieth century. If the study had begun 20 years earlier, the change would have been smaller, see here . The earth has been slowly warming since the end of the Little Ice Age. Seasons were much longer during the Medieval Warm Period, when grapes were cultivated in Scotland, as they can be cultivated now (with proper care, its still not as warm as southern England). In the last two thousand years, there have been two other periods when the growing season in northern Europe was as long as now: the Roman Warm Period, and the Medieval Warm Period. The cycle is now turning colder and will repeat learn about it here .
Last week, I wrote about how the EPA was warring with industry, one can only assume in an attempt to destroy jobs. As that war continues, I thought it might be helpful to put some actual numbers in front of our readers so they can get the clearest picture possible about just how many jobs are being lost in the name of environmental protection against the man-made theory of global warming.
The incidence and severity of extreme weather has not increased..the hypothesis that our emissions of CO2 have caused or will cause dangerous global warming is not supported by the evidence.
War on coal? Forget about it! Its a war on natural gas