Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In 1992, former Vice President Al Gore reassured his listeners, "Only an insignificant fraction of scientists deny the global warming crisis. The time for debate is over. The science is settled." In the real 1992, however, Gallup "reported that 53% of scientists actively involved in global climate research did not believe global warming had occurred; 30% weren't sure; and only 17% believed global warming had begun. Even a Greenpeace poll showed 47% of climatologists didn't think a runaway greenhouse effect was imminent; only 36% thought it possible and a mere 13% thought it probable." Seventeen years later, in 2009, Gore apparently determined that he needed to revise his own revisionist history, asserting that the scientific debate over human-induced climate change had raged until as late as 1999, but now there was true consensus. Of course, 2009 is when Climategate broke, reminding us that what had smelled funny before might indeed be a little rotten.
Organic yogurt king and Stonyfield Farm CEO Gary Hirshberg may have thought that he avoided the buzzsaw this week by ducking a TV appearance with me. Guess I'll just have to go on without him.
A final observation. If Judge Kavanaugh is wrong and PSD applies to all regulated air pollutants, not just NAAQS-regulated pollutants, then absurd results arise not from the EPA?s misreading of the statute but from Massachusetts v. EPA, which authorized the EPA to regulate GHGs. If so, however, then the permitting nightmare that EPA seeks to ?tailor? away by acting as a super legislature and rewriting clear statutory language is itself evidence that the Court misread the CAA.
The UN just released its summary report on how we should all expect extreme heat in the future. Well forget all that.Its all nonsense coming from unrealistic models that do not even take the cycles of the sun (source of 99.9% of the Earths surface heat) and cycles of the oceans (which cover 70+% of the Earths surface) into account. Garbage in, garbage out. Simple as that.
Rebuttal: Global Warming To Bring Colder/Warmer Winters ? Analysis by Paul Homewood ? "It seems that every time we get some snow, another ?scientist? is wheeled out to explain that, no matter how cold it gets, it is all down to global warming'
Los Angeles lawmakers require home improvement stores to construct shelters for day laborers who wait for work in their parking lots.
3. ECONOMICS Cuban dictator Fidel Castro announces plans to resign the presidency.
Guest essay by Rud Istvan, WUWT, Aug 9, 2015
Pelosis Interesting View On Energy : Apparently Ms. Pelosis new script is still being reworked, but its a telling mistake. Not only is natural gas every bit as much a fossil fuel as oil or coal. More to the point, these concentrated organic compounds found beneath the earths surface must be extracted by . . . drilling. And sometimes even drilling offshore, on the Outer Continental Shelf. But more drilling is what Ms. Pelosi had refused to allow just a few days ago.
The worlds major scientific journals agree that since 2001 the global average temperature has been constant. We live in a warm decade and the world is reacting to that warmth but, contrary to predictions, the world isnt getting any warmer at the moment, Dr David Whitehouse, the GWPFsscience editor, said.
Be sure to notice the sea level rise rate centered above each graph. Keep in mind that a 30 cm sea level rise in 30 years requires an average of 10 mm per year.
On this basis, two different research groups have independently done their own merging and intercalibration of the data from various satellites which have been in orbit at various times since 1979:
Inconvenient weather fact: Frequency of violent tornadoes like the one in Oklahoma has been declining, not increasing
Election 2012: GOP presidential front-runner Mitt Romney has a new, not-so-welcome friend: Al Gore, who extolled the candidate's promise to fight hard against global warming. Does Gore think Romney can't win?
Agreement signed at San Jose September 13, 2007; entered into force September 13, 2007. With schedules. And agreement amending the agreement. Signed at San Jose September 25 and 27, 2007; entered into force September 27, 2007.
On August 24 the BOM predicted that spring would be hot across the north. Instead it was cold everywhere except in the west of WA.
From the latest NIPCC Report Field scale influence of CO2 on the world's major crops
Few Americans would disagree. But after their usual pontificating, the Democrats once again proved that, if they didn't have double standards, they would have no standards.
12 For as many as have sinned without law shall also perish without law: and as many as have sinned in the law shall be judged by the law;
Possibly one Republican candidate will call in the next debate for ending US funding of the IPCC, now shown to be actively working (with the Obama White House) to subvert US law. Enough is enough is enough. Possibly Governor Romney could defend Holdren and the IPCC.
Its certainly true that carbon dioxide is good for vegetation, Dyson said. About 15 percent of agricultural yields are due to CO-2 we put in the atmosphere. From that point of view, its a real plus to burn coal and oil.
But these are highly respected outfits: the Manhattan Institute, the Mercatus Center, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, the Reason Foundation, etc.
The election of Barack Obama has not brought comfort and confidence to the ranks of climate campaigners. To the contrary, there is an obvious sense of panic in the rhetoric of climate campaigners right now. This panic arises not simply from the fact that the global economic crisis is derailing expensive climate action plans, but from the deeper problem that the scientific case for catastrophic global warming is slowly unraveling. After two decades of steadily increasing global temperatures from the late 1970s to the late-1990swhich on the surface seemed to validate the basic claim of the global warming theorythere has been no warming for the last decade. This was unexpected and is starting to falsify the predictions of nearly every computer climate model. The climate campaigners are engaged in complicated contortions to explain away this inconvenient truth, but a few more years of flat or slightly declining global temperatures and the entire issue might turn turtle.
If CO2 is a powerful greenhouse gas, we would have seen a great warming trend in Indonesian temperature history. We havent. Recent temperatures, according to the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, have been scarcely warmer than they were 70 to 100 years ago. Instead of a strong warming trend, the Indonesian data are dominated by year-to-year changes and natural oscillations every 50 to 100 years.
Europe also drills for oil, onshore and off its coasts, especially in the North Sea.
If Rudd thinks we can set an example for the rest of the world with a cap-and-trade system on greenhouse gas emissions the ETS all it would do is push up the cost of living in Australia and the rest of the world will laugh .
Looking at the data by decade, it's apparent that the anomalously quiet 1920s were followed by surging landfalling hurricane frequency in the 1930s and 1940s. But after the 1940s, the remainder of the 20th century was rather quiet.
Almost overriding all of these are the ridiculous population predictions, particularly in Paul Ehrlich?s book The Population Bomb. One quote is enough to show the insanity of the claims. ?The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s and 1980s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.? Amazingly, despite the inaccuracies Ehrlich and his co-author John Holdren continue to have influence.
Undaunted by reality, all the evidence, and millions of temperature records in the year 2000 Dr. Hansen and Tom Karl at NOAA adjusted the US temperature record to make it look like Hansens already adjusted global temperature record. Theypromoted1998 from fifth hottest to hottest by adding nearly half a degree on to 1998 and lowering the temperatures of 1921, 1934 and 1942.
As shown in the figure belowfrom Levitus et al 2012, they claim that the uncertainty range of the observations(thevertical lines on the red line)narrows to very small levels in recent years.
For example, on February 6, 2012 at a press conference in Berlin, Dr Sebastian Lning and Professor Fritz Vahrenholt unveiled their newly published book Die kalte Sonne . In attendance at the press conference was a journalist from Die Zeit, who, never having read the book, immediately attacked the two authors and their message. The good news that there was lots of science emerging showing no coming climate catastrophe was just too upsetting for him to handle. Just think about that.
There is a weird logic to the sort of inflated rhetoric we've seen from Ambassador Rice and others in the Obama Administration. The conceptual corollary of treating "soft power" as one's national security tool of first resort is that broad swathes of economic, cultural, and political life suddenly become appropriate subjects for analysis through the prism of "national security." But how easy do we wish it to be to assign our security bureaucracy responsibilities with regard to whatever issue is next offered as a "national security" challenge hitherto ignored by stick-in-the-mud traditionalists like me who apparently just don't understand the real challenges America faces? We should be careful of mission creep grounded in such totalistic understandings, and for reasons that go beyond poor prioritization of scarce resources. The risk of deeper impropriety lurks in these shadows.
So despite the fact that renewable subsidies are only a sixth of the fossil subsidies, per unit of energy they are seven times as large as the fossil subsidies.
"Studies conducted to date have made uniformly bleak predictions for the survival of tropical forest lizards around the globe our data show that four similar species, occurring in the same geographic region, differ markedly in their vulnerabilities to climate warming," the authors of the study write in the learned journal Global Change Biology . "Moreover, none appear to be on the brink of extinction. Considering that these populations occur over extremely small geographic ranges, it is possible that many tropical forest lizards, which range over much wider areas, may have even greater opportunity to escape warming."
The draft bill that is the subject of this hearing, The American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACESA), is an ambitious attempt to meet the very real challenges posed by rising amounts of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere. Some of the draft bill's goals are unquestionably valid. With climate change, solutions will take time, and hurried action can lead to costly errors. The subcommittee and its members are, therefore, to be commended for their efforts to explore the discussion draft's complex implications.
So our James is gearing with anticipation for the coming Climate Wars well good for him.
McKibben claims hydraulic fracturing, commonly referred to as "fracking," is responsible for releasing massive quantities of methane into the atmosphere. He argues fracking could release methane in sufficient quantities that humans' use of natural gas could lead to more intense global warming than our use of coal.
Drought deepens worries about food supplies, prices
One sponsor is Silicon Valley's Zoe Lofgren, ranking Democrat on the Judiciary Committee's immigration subcommittee. Another, who apparently copied much of Lofgren's bill, is Idaho freshman Republican Raul Labrador.
"The ruling class demonizes any questioning of its demands," says Boston University professor emeritus Angelo Codevilla."The pretexts differ" from issue to issue," he notes. "But the reality is the same: Bow or be persecuted. Consequently, if we wish to remain who we are in the face of threats and declamations meant to force us to honor intellectual and moral falsehoods, we have no alternative but clearly and loudly to distinguish between true and false, and fully make the case for what we believe to be right."
4. CO2 COOLS, NOT WARMS, THE ATMOSPHERE. This one is a little more subtle because the net effect of greenhouse gases is to cool the upper atmosphere, and warm the lower atmosphere, compared to if no greenhouse gases were present. Since any IR absorber is also an IR emitter, a CO2 molecule can both cool and warm, because it both absorbs and emits IR photons.
Even a relatively small town, like Aberdeen, WA seems to have lots of firework smoke, with levels getting well into the unhealthy range (about 90).
As illustrated in the two earlier posts that use these same datasets (see here and here ), the Multi-Model Mean of the CMIP3 coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models do not hindcast and project the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies in any ocean basin, when the data is presented on times-series basis and on a zonal mean (latitude-based) basis. (The model mean of the West Pacific subset may look good on a time-series basis , but not on a zonal mean basis .)
Claims that weather forecasts are reasonably accurate up to 48 hours are based on measured results for fair weather. Results for severe weather, which are really what is important for people, are very poor. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has a worse record for both. Every prediction/projection since their first Report in 1990 has been wrong, with claims for more severe weather part of that failure. They fail because of fundamental errors in assumptions and mechanics.
That is all the more true this year. Every day since Sept. 11, we have been subjected to scare stories and tales of imminent terror. But since that fateful day, very few have died. Three unfortunate people have died in the anthrax scare that has gripped the nation. Far more have died in car accidents -- some of which may have happened after people took the decision to drive rather than fly.
The data show that the global temperature was 0.21 C (about 0.38 F) below the 20-year average for July. This followed on from a June temperature about 0.02 C below the average. Only 3 months in the last 41 had been below this norm.
A digression into the Y2K bug opens up an unncessary can of worms.
Equally fundamental and essential, policies and rules that affect our livelihoods, living standards and liberties must be based on honesty, accountability, evenhanded application, and verifiable evidence.
She schlepped that tutu and that tiara for the whole 13.1, walking only at a couple of the last water stops. This event was 95% women, and attracts a LOT of folks who really don't run the whole thing, so it was a great place for her to begin. It's also pretty laid back, as there are actually character photo ops every mile, though we skipped those. I have not seen our time, but we probably did about 2:45. That's 20 minutes worse than my time five years ago -- it would be nice to say I was holding back to stay with my daughter but in fact she pulled me through the last mile. Muscles and cardio were fine but the knees and ankles really can't take it any more. But I proudly wore this bad boy all day.
With respect to our papers, the press repeated innuendos that Mr. Soon received funds from Southern Co. He did not, which is a matter of public record. Other than salaries from our employers, Mr. Soon, co-author Kesten Green and I received no money for our two papers at issue. Interestingly, it is our impression that our employers believe in the "dangerous man-made global warming hypothesis."
One natural factor in climate change may be variations in the brightness of the sun, over decades to centuries, that are in step with changes in the sun's magnetism, which has a period of roughly 11 years and is known as the sunspot cycle. Brightness changes have only been recorded over two decades of satellite observations. If brightness changes were to continue to occur over decades to centuries, they might cause terrestrial temperature change.
Yet, the White House keeps pushing the Green-energy narrative and, on July 3, 2014, "The Energy Department Just Announced $4 Billion For Projects That Fight Global Warming," as the headline reads at ThinkProgress.org.
the cost-benefit calculus was altered by the darkness. Dr. Maestripieri then offers a fascinating analysis of the
Hopefully, the lessons learned about the labyrinthine rules of protests in D.C.there are dozens of agencies that govern public spaces in this cityallow for an even bigger protest to occur soon. I heard whispers of 5 million bags making their way to D.C. in the near future.
Looking Up for Answers: What Weather Balloons Tell Us About Greenhouse Warming
Coal-fired power plants in China, India, and other developing countries do emit large quantities of real pollution: sulfates, nitrous oxides, mercury, and soot that can cause respiratory problems and death. However, modern pollution control systems could and eventually will eliminate most of that.
in order to establish whether or not such a relationship exists, measurements of short-timescale solar events, individual cosmic ray events, and spatially correlated cloud parameters could be of great significance. Here we propose such a comparison using observations from a pair of radio telescopes arrays,the Long Wavelength Array (LWA) and the Eight-meter-wavelength Transient Array (ETA). These low-frequency radio arrays have a unique ability to simultaneously conduct solar, ionospheric and cosmic rays observations and are thus ideal for such a comparison.
A discovery made by this research is the insight that neither ice ages nor the interglacials have seen any longer "peaceful" period without changes - at least not in the last 800,000 years. Even the interannual variations were substantial. The Greenland data even point to 10-degree inter-annual variations of the air temperature.
It also totally ignores the evidence of the 1950s and 1970s, which clearly points to a decrease in stronger tornadoes over the longer term , not an increase.
Extensive surveys by the US Forest Service contradict the NWFs cry that warming is forcing pika upslope, and with no place left to go face extinction. As discussed here , 19% of the currently known pika populations in California and Nevada are at lower elevations than ever documented by any study, including benchmark studies during the cooler early 1900s. Further north in the Columbia River Gorge, another independent researcher also found pika at much lower elevations, surviving at temperatures much higher than their models had predicted.
I grew up in a place where being stupid was your right, but only you would be responsible for it or pay for it. We had stupid, but it was contained in small patches. Now we have shared stupid and organizational stupid and even systemic governmental stupid. The ability of Stupid to cause general havoc has never been stronger. And the result shows.
Skeptics warned Tuesday the rule will kill domestic coal use, increase energy prices and force businesses to move abroad.
There are evironmental commodities markets developing internationally in order to combat climate change, slow biodiviersity decline, carbon dioxide emissions, and other problems. Incentives are needed for producers and consumers so as to make better use of natural resources. This approach allows flexibility in the system and provides signals to producers and consumers alike. The problem is that tracking or monitoring these emerging markets is difficult. Thus, the author contends that, "by handling vast amounts of in- formation efficiently, information systems permit accurate tracking of emissions and allowance accounting to ensure compliance. Furthermore, Internet access to regulatory in- formation increases the transparency and accountability of market-based environmental management."
"The result of the routine media practice of quoting conflicting "sides,'" wrote Corbett and Durfee, is "giving equal weight to fringe and nonscientists as much as scientists even though the majority of evidence or opinion may fall clearly to one side."
As the Stanford project explores better ways to utilize proven and economical energy sources like petroleum, coal and nuclear power, and develops ways to realize the promise of hydrogen, magnetic fusion, geothermal energy, the wind, the sun and biomass, we ought to be guided by five tenets:
He is not advocating "no action," he's advocating reasonable, time-tested responses to what look like manageable risks;
A point often made is that until the warming of the last few decades, major changes in temperature were preceded by or coincident with changes in atmospheric circulation. For example, consider the climate change event commencing 1700 and ending by about 1850, during which circulation and temperature acted synchronously in both polar regions. The cooling is coincident with an increase in the frequency of El Nino events, and with an increase in solar energy output.
I also didnt hook a salmon, in fact Ellie was the only one to get a bite, but ask me if I care ... I was out in the sun and the wind, on a lovely stretch of a river with boon companions, and the chance to learn a new kind of fishing was just a bonus. Whats not to like?
The Past, Present and Future Of The El Nio/Southern Oscillation A Dissertation Defense By Samantha Stevenson
Figure 2) April 2015 Pacific Ocean Shallow Sea Surface (SST) temperature map. Anomalously warmed areas are shown in dark red and orange. Regional shallow sea surface current flow of the Pacific Ocean is from west to east. The location of the anomalously warm temperatures is a small deep ocean area east of New Guinea and is marked as the Heat Point Source on the map.
I assume he is referring to the fact that Arctic ice extent is the highest at the end of July since 2006.
Eco-warriors are losing the public relations battle on global warming -- and it's driving them batty.
This was accomplished by throwing out global-coverage satellite-sensed sea surface measurements taken since the late 1970s the best data available and upwardly adjusting spotty and unreliable hit-and-miss temperature readings taken from ocean-going vessels which present well-recognized problems.
Glacier is ice, ice is water, water is life, intoned priest Toni Wenger, before beseeching God to stop the glaciers high above them from melting.
Technology Innovation the centerpiece of the Clean Energy Dialogue from the beginning is occurring at a fast pace as low prices encourage the use of gas for commercial, residential, industrial applications as well as power generation. Researchers in both countries could learn from one another in areas such as natural gas use to smooth the peaks and troughs of renewable energy production, to meet distributed energy needs and for integrated community energy systems, and for new industrial growth as North American manufacturing rebounds.
As the temperature of the ocean surface rises in response to increases in diurnal and seasonal forcing factors, concentrations of DMS and its oxidation products (MSA and nss-SO 4 2- ) rise dramatically, inducing a negative feedback that tends to counter the impetus for warming. Hence, there is every reason to believe that the same negative feedback phenomenon operates in the case of long-term warming that could arise as a result of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, and that it could substantially mute their combined climatic impact.