Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
2). Any calibration of proxy data is impossible if the target is decadal (and longer) temperature variations. The first reason consists of the general nonstationarity climate, in particular during the period used for a calibration. This reason is discussed in the Band C paper. The second reason consists of more or less large inertia of all kinds of proxies even including the higher-resolution proxies like tree-rings, corals and others with formally annual lamination. The effective number of degrees of freedom for the instrumental time period is very small by this reason, and so any calibration is an illusion.
The alarming rise in global temperatures from about 1980 to 2000 gave much concern around possible serious future climate changes, global warming, that could result from the increasing levels of carbon dioxide, methane and other greenhouse gasses in our atmosphere. However, as shown in the strong rise in global temperatures faded after year 2000 and was replaced by a rather steady level or even small decreases in the global temperatures from around 2001 to present (2013). This development took away some of the incitement to cut down on human-induced growth in greenhouse gasses.
Do volcanic eruptions coincide with low sunspot activity?
In November, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or PDO dropped to its lowest level since 1961 at -2.33. The 1961 level was -2.69. PDO is an after effect of the ENSO signal and reflects a spatial pattern of the amount of cooler water in the north Pacific. Negative levels are accompanied by muchcooler weather in the Northern Hemisphere especially in North America. This indexstarted to go negative in 2007 andbased on historical patterns, it could be negative for the next 20-30 years, signifying cooler weather for the same period.This has already been apparentthe last four yearsinthe North American weather especially the winters.
Climate alarmists continue to claim that global warming will lead to more extreme (both high- and low-volume) river flows, characteristic of more extreme drought and flood conditions. However, river flow records in southern South America, according to the authors, "extend for only a few decades, hampering the detection of long-term, decadal to centennial-scale cycles and trends," which are needed in order to ascertain the degree of validity of climate-alarmist claims for that part of the world.
Our attempts at domestic emissions savings will have only minimal direct climate impact, but instead they will serve as an example for the developing world of what, or what not, to do. So if Kerry and Lieberman were interested in directly tackling the climate change issue, they would be working with China?s National People?s Congress to draft legislation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, not the U. S. Senate.
Basically, Dolinar et al. acknowledge that a large source of the uncertainties in outgoing longwave and shortwave radiation in GCMs is clouds.
Earlier this year, a group of 13 GOP lawmakers released a report, which called for an ESA overhaul, though CBS News called the changes "unlikely given the pervasive partisan divide in Washington, DC." CBS continues: "The political hurdles to overhaul are considerable. The ESA enjoys fervent support among many environmentalists, whose allies on Capitol Hill have thwarted past proposals for change."
For all of those reasons ? the statutory text, the absurdity principle, the statutory context as demonstrated by related statutory provisions, the overarching objectives of the statute, the major unintended consequences of a broader interpretation ? the Prevention of Significant Deterioration statute as a whole overwhelmingly indicates that the permitting requirement is based on emissions of the NAAQS air pollutants.
Bringing Democracy Back to the WorkplaceVincent Vernuccio and Rep. Phil Gingrey's op-ed in The Washington Times
The ambitious rules hope to remake the nations electricity system by closing hundreds of heavily polluting coal plants while rapidly expanding the use of natural gas plants, wind and solar power. Officials at electric utilities say that as they make that transition taking the nations largest but dirtiest source of electricity offline and replacing it with a mix of cleaner power sources they may face power failures.
The over all 15 levels - with different registration periods - average Relative sea-rise (RSLR) for the German Bight is from 1843 to 2008 about 32 cm, the secular increase in the 20th century around 20 cm. The GIA-corrected values (see also Chapter 3) obtained for the above mentioned periods ASLR one of about 22 or 13 cm. There is no secular acceleration, the polynomial in Fig.5 other hand, shows even a slight weakening of the secular increase. A CO2-climate signal (AGW) can not be found.
First up, today's decision that if cops have some reason to think valuable evidence is being destroyed, they can bust down your door without a warrant. Toilet flush? Must be getting rid of drugs. Can be seen in the window at the computer? Must be deleting child porn. Silence? Must be destroying evidence really quietly.
The answer to many if not most of the problems outlined in the U.N. papers is, as the opening session paper puts it: "multilateralism is instrumental to the success of our response to global challenges."
Water vapor, thanks to the sheer quantity of it in the atmosphere, is the most important of the greenhouse gases, accounting for 65-85% of the natural greenhouse effect without which the Earth would be an ice planet. Since 71% of the Earth's surface is covered in water, evaporation, convection, advection, subsidence, and precipitation are occurring somewhere on Earth all the time. Precisely because the concentration of water vapor in the atmosphere the "absolute humidity" is so high, adding just a little more with cooling towers from power stations and other industrial sources has virtually no influence on the greenhouse effect.
In my column last week at The Breakthrough Institute on Robert Gordon's analysis of US per capita economic growth, I identified what I believe to be an error in his calculation of post-1950 growth rates. Such an error matters because Gordon's recent discussion paper has been called the summers most talked about working paper in economics and argues a data-based case for US decline. My view is that such discussions should at least start with a solid empirical basis and re-checking assertions grounded in data claims is fair game (not all agree, however).
The findings are based on in-depth statistical analyses of observed data from 1850 up to the present time, Professor Lu's cosmic-ray-driven electron-reaction (CRE) theory of ozone depletion and his previous research into Antarctic ozone depletion and global surface temperatures.
To contradict the myth about La Nia, the sea surface temperatures for the Rest-of-the-World do NOT cool proportionately during the two La Nia events that followed the two very strong El Nio events of 1986/87/88 and 1997/98. They warmed in response to those two El Nio events, but they failed to cool in response the La Nia events that followed. Ive highlighted those divergences in brown. If they cooled proportionally during those two La Nia events, the dark blue line would follow the ENSO Index shown in purple. The detrended Rest-of-the-World data mimics the NINO3.4 data at other times, but not after the two major El Nio events.
Junk Science: Al Gore's documentary on climate disaster has been ruled a work of fiction by a British judge. In legal terms, his global warming hysteria has been assuming facts not in evidence.The judge ruled that the film could be shown to British students, but only on the condition it be accompanied by new guidance notes for teachers to balance Gore's "one-sided" views. Judge Burton documented nine major errors in Gore's film (see chart above) and wrote that some of Gore's claims had arisen "in the context of alarmism and exaggeration."
7. We should be getting as much oil as we can from as close to home as we can. But we can no longer rely on Mexico. Pemex, the country's national oil company, is not investing enough money in new drilling projects even though its most important field, Cantarell, is declining rapidly. Nor can Pemex count on getting more money from the Mexican government, which is spending heavily on its war against the drug cartels. Indeed, Mexico may already be a failed state. The cartels are under siege by the federal police and federal soldiers, but the slaughter just a few weeks ago of more than 50 people at a casino in Monterey shows that the narcos are still running wild. Canada, meanwhile, has an ultra-stable government. And given its enormous oil deposits, it's apparent that Canada can be an essential player in America's effort to secure reliable energy supplies.
The CBO report roughly coincided with the announcement by Toyota Motor Co., the world's biggest automaker, that it would effectively quit making all-electric cars and instead focus on the hybrid-electric market. As Toyota vice chairman Takeshi Uchiyamada bluntly explained: "The current capabilities of electric vehicles do not meet society's needs, whether it may be the distance the cars can run, or the costs, or how it takes a long time to charge."
If you hesitate too much, he and his IPCC comrades may come to your house, flatten it, and burn it with your kids.
Somehow we have to leave the thinking OK, climate change is extremely
Last year about this time, the media was abuzz about a Super El Nino that would hit over the past winter (2014-2015). Dramatic predictions were made for drought in the Pacific Northwest and heavy rains over southern California.
In a report with wide-reaching political implications, U.S. EPAs inspector general has found that the scientific assessment backing U.S. EPAs finding that greenhouse gases are dangerous did not go through sufficient peer review for a document of its importance. . .
"We suggest that the qualitative projections for dramatic reductions in population numbers and range are overly pessimistic given the response of polar bears, climate, and sea ice to the present," scientists with the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the University of Alaska Fairbanks wrote in a study published in January.
NIPCC: "Flood frequency and severity in many areas of the world were higher historically during the Little Ice Age and other cool eras than during the twentieth century. Climate change ranks well below other contributors, such as dikes and levee construction, to increased flooding."
A credit scheme would be a zero-sum game where one company's gain is another's loss. Every credit awarded in the voluntary early action period is one that won't be available during the mandatory period. Companies that don't or can't "volunteer" to reduce greenhouse gas emissions now will be penalized later under the mandatory cap, which means that the program isn't really voluntary.
2. Regression analyses do not support the idea that regional heat waves are increasing with time.
the global mean temperature dropped to 2.725 K by now (outside the urban heat islands such as stars, plus minus the fractions of the degree from the image above), confirming worries about global cooling ;-)
Back in the early '70s, chemists at the University of California began studying CFCs in the atmosphere. They theorized that eventually, CFCs could migrate to the upper atmosphere. After fifty to a hundred years, they could be broken down by UV radiation, releasing a reactive chlorine atom which could catalyze the degradation of ozone (O3). It is significant to note that this was not proven, but was based on other work that showed the potential of nitric oxide (NO) to catalyze ozone. It was theory only, and it was hotly disputed by scientists working for CFC manufacturers at the time. In reality, it remains theory to this day. Note: To date, the concept of man-made CO2 emissions causing global warming remains theory only. There exists no empirical evidence to support the theory.
How exactly wouldcap-and-traders pull it off?Samuelsohn summarizes thestrategy as explained byan unnamed spokesman for a major advocacy group:
In April, the Minnesota Department of Public Safety sent written notices to 11 Internet service providers ordering them to block Minnesotans' access to 200 gambling websites. State officials are claiming that ISPs and network providers are subject to "common carrier" regulation, citing a 1961 federal law that restricts wagering over the telephone. But it appears Minnesota officials didn't bother checking recent federal case law. Following the 2005 Brand X Supreme Court decision, the Federal Communications Commission treats network providers as "information services," which explicitly are not subject to common carrier regulation.
A paper published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation and written by Professor Michael Kelly (University of Cambridge) shows that most of the ambitions to decarbonise the UK and global economy have not been put through an engineering reality test.
Here is a series of essays on Common Core by Michelle Malkin, who has taken up the cause to defeat it. It is well funded and supported, including Gates money. Melinda Gates is the usual limosine liberal with a large opinion of her superiority.
Mannes argument appears to rest entirely on his mistaken belief that science is What The Gods Declare it To Be. For Manne, the Gods are official climate scientists. Apparently, only those who are anointed by Government funding have access to The Truth and their declarations must be obeyed. Manne is so completely under their spell, he is incapable of figuring out how anyone could think anything else.
Let me just mention one graph ??? the only "apparently non-trivial" argument against Pielke's assertions that I have seen anywhere in the hurricane of vitriol directed against his self-evident assertions. You see that the "number of natural catastrophes" has more than doubled over the last 30 years. But one must be careful about the definition of a "natural catastrophe". Note that in 1980, the world population was less than 4.5 bilion, so it has "almost" doubled since that time, too. Moreover, the people are much wealthier and they have many more things that may be damaged or insured and damages of these things count as "natural catastrophes".
That makes the idea that "these tariffs are going to generate rates of return that will beat high-street savings accounts by a mile", as suggested by Jeremy Leggett, the chief executive of solar energy supplier Solarcentury, in The Times, laughable. You can't possibly compare the two. With a high-street savings account you don't lose access to your initial investment.
New findings indicate the rate of sea level rise over the past two decades in on the order of 1.7 0.8 mm/year, which is far less than that projected by climate alarmists Read More
political masters; the disregard for the principle of civilian control of the
Rapid melting of polar ice sheets may be due to short-lived natural events rather than climate change, scientists said. New research suggests more time is needed to predict the likely impact of global warming and ice loss on sea levels. ???John von Radowitz, AFP, 15 July 2013
Easterbrook argued the climate has actually been cooling in recent years, and that carbon dioxide does not contribute to global warming. He said his climate numbers were different from those used by other scientists because, he argues, federal agencies NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration tamper with the data and artificially inflate temperatures.
G-8 Failure Reflects U.S. Failure on Climate Change
EPA gets away with this by having activist groups posing as scientific bodies rubberstamp its pseudo-science. Since 2000, it has paid the American Lung Association more than $25 million, given its "independent" Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee members over $181 million, and let CASAC deny membership to industry or other experts who might question EPA findings.
But if the climate models are correct, Dr. McKitrick calculates, within a decade his formula would cause the tax to at least double and possibly sextuple with further increases on the way if the atmosphere kept heating. The prospect would give immediate pause to any investors trying to decide today what kind of cars, power plants and other long-range energy projects to finance. To estimate future profits, they would need to study climate.
For the past six years, the Heartland Institute has sponsored International Climate Change Conferences, the last in Washington, D.C., June 30-July 1. Havent heard about them? Maybe thats because the mainstream media has gone out of its way to ignore them. The conferences, however, have contributed to the growing body of knowledge disputing global warming to the point where, even in the nations capitol, the topic has become little more than the slow revelation of the utter mendacity of the hoax and its perpetrators.
This warming hiatus happened despite the loud and hysterical shrieking by the climate scientists on the public dole that current CO2 emissions would cause rapid, unequivocal, irrefutable accelerated warming.
Henrik Svensmark (born 1958) is a physicist and professor in the Division of Solar System Physics at the Danish National Space Institute (DTU Space) in Copenhagen, says Wikipedia.He is known for his theory on the effects of cosmic rays on cloud formation .
Although cap-and-trade backers claim it will cut greenhouse gas emissions, it may perversely increase them and also result in dirtier air, as well as harming forests and water supplies . It would enrich politically-connected corporations, and result in massive destruction of the worlds forests. By expanding ethanol subsidies and mandates, it would cause enormous damage to water supplies, soil health and air quality. Ethanol subsidies have already resulted in forests being destroyed in the Third World, and by diverting cropland to fuel production away from food production, they have already caused famines that have killed countless people in the worlds poorest countries .
The truth is entirely different. First, I am never bored when I am present. What I actually said in my talk and Abraham knows this, because he spent eight months trying to take it apart was that "I'm boring that way I check things". And I had checked the climate-extremists' claims of catastrophe by consulting a paper by Klaus-Martin Schulte, published in 2008. The extract from the paper was labeled "Schulte, 2008" on my slide, in quite large letters.
The scheme is intended to create a financial incentive to cut energy use, and those organisations that record the biggest reductions will get bonuses, funded by penalties imposed on those with the worst record.
The debate over Common Core has had the opposite effect Obama hoped for. The public learned the national government doesn't belong in the school curriculum business, and that activist groups on the left use schools to indoctrinate rather than educate their children. Parents are fleeing public schools for private schools or are homeschooling their children rather than risk exposing them to Common Core.
Next, consider CO2 levels. With huge, green subsidies showing up on our electricity bills, you would be excused for believing that we have managed to cut CO2 substantially. You would be wrong. Global CO2 has risen relentlessly since 1950. In 1997 the Kyoto protocol put legally binding limits on rich-country emissions. But Kyoto and all our fine policies have had no real impact. The only indication of a CO2 reduction was in 2009 when the global recession put us on track to fulfil Kyoto. Had the recession continued, we might have been able to achieve Kyoto.
Starting in 1979, the temperature of the lower atmosphere (from the surface up to roughly 8 km) has been measured by satellites (See Figure 2). Instruments (Microwave Sounding Units ) mounted on satellites take daily temperature readings by measuring the microwave radiation emitted by atmospheric oxygen molecules. The precision of the satellite temperature measurements is confirmed by the fact that they are in excellent agreement with temperatures measured independently by a worldwide network of radiosonde instruments carried aloft by balloons. Compared to the spotty coverage of the surface measurements, especially over the oceans, the satellite record provides essentially global coverage.
The report went on, "Sir David says that there is "plenty of evidence' to back up his warning. Levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere the main "green-house gas' causing climate change were already 50 per cent higher than at any time in the last 420,000 years. The last time they were at this level 379 parts per million and rising was 60 million years ago during a rapid period of global warming in the Palaeocene epoch, he said. Levels soared to 1,000 parts per million, causing a massive reduction of life on earth.
Delingpole seems above such intimidation. He is the role model for everyone to follow: learn the stuff as if it is your right, or stop talking about it! And that goes double for the postmodern fake-news environment reporters out there who have never heard of the Navier Stokes equations!
Last week the CEOs of Europes ten largest utilities finally cried uncle and called for a halt to wind and solar subsidies. Short of that, they want subsidies of their own. They want to be paid, in essence, not to produce power. Thanks to mandates to use electricity from wind and solar Europes energy costs increased 17% for consumers and 21% for industry in the last four years.
That leaves 21 models, including BCC-CSM1-1, BCC-CSM1-1-M, CCSM4 (6 runs), CSIRO-MK3-6-0 (10 runs), FIO-ESM (3 runs), GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GISS-E2-H p1, GISS-E2-H p2, GISS-E2-H p3, GISS-E2-R p1, GISS-E2-R p2, GISS-E2-R p3, HadGEM2-AO, HadGEM2-ES (3 runs), MIROC5 (3 runs), MIROC-ESM, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, MRI-CGCM3, NorESM1-M, and NorESM1-ME.
As long as metals prices are this low, the miners will have shut in capacity. That means fewer orders for the giant trucks, cranes, and the tires that those use. Those stocks will likely be down for a while too.
Comment: The EPAs Carbon PollutionRule proposes NSPS for CO2 from fossil fuelelectric generating units. The standard is 1,000 lbs CO2/MWh. The EPA estimates that most NGCC power plants already meet that standard, whereas the most efficient commercial coal power plants emit 1,800 lbs CO2/MWh (77 FR22417).
Based on the flood of AGW rubbish coming out of Britain, one wonders if the UK's elites and ruling class have taken a blood oath to assure their country is viewed as the island of messianic idiots and imbeciles ; or, are they just attempting to enrich themselves by impoverishing their subjects?
Maple acquired Ben Lomond mine, near Charters Towers, from French multinational Cogema earlier this year for a bargain $1 million, before Canberras decision last month to take over the Northern Territorys administration of uranium mining.
CEI State of the Union Live Blog 2013
View a webcast with David Randall, professor of atmospheric science at Colorado State University.
Recently we have all learned of the emails that emerged from the University of East Anglia, a scandal that has come to be known as Climategate. To me, it seems abundantly clear that the proponents of global warming have been cooking the science to produce the results they wanted. They've supressed data, colluded, stifled debate, threatened scientific journals that published opposing viewpoints and placed climate propaganda ahead of climate science. We're talking about such names as James Hansen, Kevin Trenbirth, Ben Santer, Phil Jones, Michael Mann, Tom Karl, Gavin Schmidt, Keith Briffa among others. These are not a small, isolated band of insignificant scientists, as our friends at the BBC, Washington Post, Guardian and other media sources would like to assert. These are literally the founding fathers of global warming.
AFL-CIO Breaks With Administration on Climate Change Treaty
Sounds a bit like their tree-ring research.
I believe that the climate is always changing and what we are currently observing is just natural fluctuation. Neutral
The Goreacle will also be thrilled to learn that his global warming climate crisis ticks a lot of the requirements to be classified as a cult .