Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It will be seen that there were far more large volcanic eruptions towards the end of the nineteenth century, and at the beginning of the twentieth century than at any time since. It appears, from the study of early temperature records that this period was unusually cool; and it seems probable that the high level of volcanic activity contributed to. this coolness. It would seem inappropriate to select this exceptionally cool period as a datum line by which to evaluate the possible existence of global warming by the greenhouse effect. Recently the behaviour of the atmosphere following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 has been adduced as evidence for the lack of global warming, but it seems to have been forgotten that the beginning region of the global temperature records used to evaluate supposed global warming included eruptions such as those of Krakatoa (1883) and several others.
CEI: Is the aim of the Club to elect pro-growth candidates or to push the Republican Party in a more growth-oriented direction?
Guess the chances of Rudd getting this through now in June are about zero.
List of 10:10 Global partners, including SONY: HERE and HERE and primarily HERE
First off, about a year after the IPCC released its AR4 report (from which the EPA took its statement), David Thompson and colleagues published a paper in Nature magazine titled "A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature." In it, they documented how a change in observing practices before and after World War II produced a cold bias in the sea surface temperatures that were incorporated into the compilations of global average temperatures (see here and here for more details). Thompson et al. were unable to correct this bias (so it remains in the extant "observed" global temperature histories) but suggested that:
An endless parade of people described as "urban experts, " warned that whatever plans were adopted at Quito would be pointless unless they were accompanied by comprehensive monitoring. But what would be the criteria by which a city's performance could be evaluated? Not to worry, said Michael Cohen of the New School in New York , his graduate students had developed the criteria that would assess cities' compliance with the UN's plans to ensure that urban areas take the lead in combating climate change.
would you agree that there is no convincing evidence for kilimanjaro glacier
Discovery Channel. Climate Changes Linked to Fall of Roman Empire .
The circuitous nature of this reasoning to save the people one had to save perestroika, but perestroika could be saved only if it was capable of changing man "from within" did not seem to trouble anyone. Those who thought out loud about these matters seemed to assume that the country's salvation through perestroika and the extrication of its people from the spiritual morass were tightly perhaps, inextricably interwoven, and left it at that. What mattered was reclaiming the people to citizenship from "serfdom" and "slavery." "Enough!" declared Boris Vasiliev, the author of a popular novella of the period about World War II, which was made into an equally well-received film. "Enough lies, enough servility, enough cowardice. Let's remember, finally, that we are all citizens. Proud citizens of a proud nation!"
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds coral reefs are thriving in "naturally acidified" waters in Palau, one of the top diving destinations in the world. According to the authors, "we report the existence of highly diverse, coral-dominated reef communities under chronically low pH and aragonite saturation state...where acidification levels approach those projected for the western tropical Pacific open ocean by 2100. Nevertheless, coral diversity, cover and calcification rates are maintained across this natural acidification gradient."
Alabama AG to keep enforcing gambling laws:
Kerry described those who do not accept that human activity causes global warming as shoddy scientists and extreme ideologues, and said big companies and special interests should not be allowed to hijack the climate debate.Climate change can now be considered another weapon of mass destruction, perhaps the worlds most fearsome weapon of mass destruction.
But since 1999 new evidence has seriously weakened the case that carbon emissions are the main cause of global warming, and by 2007 the evidence was pretty conclusive that carbon played only a minor role and was not the main cause of the recent global warming. As Lord Keynes famously said, "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"
In other words, it is the natural reality of extinction events and species evolution that has led to the ultimate enrichment of ecosystems and biodiversity with niches and opportunities for new species.
Richard Ebeling, a leading scholar in the Smithian tradition, penned this two-part look-back at Adam Smith, which MasterResource reposts this July 4th week.
However, to borrow a phrase from Clinton, it depends on what the meaning of ???used?? is. These upper treeline chronologies were clearly canvassed and assessed in the attempt to reconstruct upper treeline temperature. They were disregarded ??? but they were touched in the collective search process of the dendro community and became part of the sampling program. In my opinion, the situation is parallel to Jacoby??s ???few good men??: Jacoby said that he used the 10 most ???temperature-sensitive?? chronologies out of 36 and discarded the rest because they didn??t provide a story. These yellow-cedar chronologies were part of a collective search process and were even cited by Wilson and Luckman. It??s entirely relevant to show that these yellow-cedar chronologies did not have HS-shape as part of a survey of upper treeline populations.
Excellent Research Paper by Katsafados et al. on Regional Climate Forcings and Teleconnections Across Thousands of Kilometers
Monckton then shows a graph for 1880 1990 of CO2 and temperature mismatch, pointing out that there is not a good correlation.
JC comment: unfortunately the same is not true of climate modelers. They only receive useful feedback on decadal time scales, but even with this feedback, they dont seem to see the need for recalibration. The following seems to explain why.
Several nations, including Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom, have announced their hopes of bringing U.S. climate policy closer to that of the European Union. The Competitive Enterprise Institute urges the President and his advisors to resist this pressure and reject the limits on energy use embodied in international agreements like the Kyoto Protocol.
Something significant happened in the atmosphere, Killingsworth said. This kind of an atmospheric shift in carbon dioxide is not observed during any other period of Earths history. And now we have sedimentary rock evidence for how long this ultra-high carbon dioxide period lasted.
You might suppose EPA would explain the legal authority for a policy change potentially affecting hundreds of companies' bottom lines. Yet neither the final CPP, the CEIP fact sheet, nor EPA's proposed federal implementation plan discusses the CEIP's statutory basis.
on Friday, June 10th, 2011 at 5:06 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
The computer told us these declines should be measurable even in the year we made the forecast. We suggested that measurements of jack pine growth be started to verify the forecasts and to see whether the potential effects of global warming on the diversity of life were actually occurring. People could have started going to southern Michigan to check out our forecasts 16 years ago. Nobody did. I tried to get funding to do this, but no government agency or private foundation was interested.
> >> of use to decision-makers. But this does not undermine your
Meanwhile, here in the actual world, Arctic sea ice continues to track 2006 the year with the highest summer minimum of the past decade.
Personally, I prefer business to politics, so I live in business-friendly New Hampshire. But my wife and I spend part of each year in Washington, D.C. And we do this on purpose. We don't want the kids growing up thinking the world is sane.
A paper published today in The Holocene reconstructs temperatures in Ontario, Canada over the past ~9,200 years and finds temperatures correlated to reconstructed solar activity on decadal and millennial time scales. According to the authors, "The results also indicate the presence of millennial-scale cycles possibly comparable with the globally recognized Bond cycles that have been correlated to fluctuations in solar irradiance." The IPCC claims small variations in solar activity cannot account for climate change, but this paper and many other peer-reviewed publications show that solar activity can be amplified by a variety of mechanisms to cause climate change.
Above all, these highly qualified people experts in their own spheres look at the published data and trust their own analysis, so their views match the available data. They agree that the climate warmed over the 20th century (this has been measured), that CO2 levels are increasing (this too has been measured) and that CO2 is a warming gas (it helps trap heat in the atmosphere and the effects can be measured). Beyond this, the survey found that 98% of respondents believe that the climate varies naturally and that increasing CO2 levels wont cause catastrophic warming.
New Japan-China Air Tensions: Smog
SM: I think there's part truth and part untruth to what George Gilder says. He, like me, is mostly interested in growing the economy. I think his point is that the burden of government is really the total government divided by total private sector economy. If you want to lower that burden, you can do one of two things--either shrink government or grow the private economy. George Gilder's preference is to grow the economy. I describe that as growing the denominator. In fact, in the last six or seven years the size of the federal enterprise as a share of the economy has actually shrunk, and the reason it's shrunk is because the economy has done so well, and government hasn't kept up with it.
In the year 1900, the entire city of Galveston,Texaswasdestroyedby a hurricane, which killed nearly 10,000 people.
Ive eliminated the graphs of the long-term running trends (see sample here from the March 2015 update). Ive been presenting them for a few years and I cant recall one comment about them. I replaced them with a model-data comparison which shows the growing difference between model simulations of global surface temperatures and data.
Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions are roughly 20 percent lower than 1970 levels.
?I?ve done a number of studies that show at the very most it might buy you about five years before you reach a certain global average temperature level. But that?s not to say, on a more regional basis there aren?t changes to the patterns of our weather that we?ll have to get used to.?
Gary L. Stone, vice president of engineering at Five States Energy Capital, says Democrats' energy and climate platform is like a wish list for those waging a war on fossil fuels.
According to the review, the vast majority of the offset credits went into the European Unions flagship Emissions Trading Scheme. The authors estimate these may have undermined EU emissions reduction targets by 400 million tonnes of CO2, worth over $2bn at current market prices.
Ryan Maue sent this map over, showing anomalies for the winter relative to the dates of the satellite era. It makes it clear why Joe Romm is now only interested in temperatures in Western Greenland.
The Narrawong teacher will make a presentation for international educators and policy makers at the Greening Education Conference to be held in south-west Germany next week.
More detail on the Southern Hemisphere's exceptionally cold winter
The government urges us to reduce our energy usage so that we may indulge ourselves in other ways, but we have a higher motive for reducing waste (1 Timothy 6.17-19). Although I have yet to see any evidence that climate change is a sign of Christ's imminent return, human pollution is clearly another of the birth pangs of creation, as it eagerly awaits being delivered from the bondage of corruption (Romans. 19-22).
Another Green Energy Company Stumbles: Fisker Announces Layoffs
The case studies should focus on developing national institutions, such as those needed for monitoring emissions, enforcing nations' obligations, facilitating international trading of permits and resolving disputes. Such national institutions will be crucial to carrying out novel, low-cost approaches.
Lets put it this way, I will be very surprised if the Republican dont already have the ammunition to ensure there arent criminal prosecutions started against climate extremists before the US presidential election.
/s/ Dr. Donald Bogard JSC, Principal Investigator, Science Directorate, 41 years
Since when is valuing personal freedoms...or questioning sweeping government intervention anything other than a deeply embedded American tradition and a very good idea under any circumstance?
GT is safe njda with his little PR stunt, but are they aware that the flesh stands for more than 18 percent of global koldioxidutslppen and medium Svensson klimatpverkan depends to 25 percent on our eating habits?
The IPCC, you will recall, is Al Gore's co-recipient of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize and the host over the years of numerous scandals involving fudged and twisted climate data, research plagiarized from student theses, popular magazine articles, and green-group press releases, and, of course, the infamous Climategate emails which showed coordinated efforts to "hide the decline" in temperature data. This is not just one more scandal, however. This is much bigger.
the first 100 yards can be very misleading. A runner could stumble badly coming
One way to indoctrinate children on living green is to teach them in a green passive school that requires little energy consumption. This is what they are attempting in East German Schwarzheide, as reported at the online Lausitzer Rundschau daily .
With a model that conserves energy as well as physics, and allows the flux be the actual real-time values they have to be in reality, the greenhouse effect is no longer required to make the atmosphere heat itself up some more without being an actual energy source.
The southeastern province of Hakkari was also struck by cold weather, with snow reaching a depth of 20 centimeters and 15 village roads closed due to heavy snowfall.
The Administration's cost estimate assumes, first of all, that the European Union and the G-77 plus China developing country bloc will accept unrestricted trading among industrial (Annex B) countries, even though Article 17 of the Protocol states that emission trading shall be "supplemental" to "domestic actions" undertaken to reduce emissions.
Kevin Trenbirth the author of the now discredited paper of 1997 updated in 2008 pretending to show that there is a dangerous accumulation of heat energy in the atmosphere.
Politicians have different motives. They experience all kinds of monetary pressures, group pressures and rewards for decision making. The pressures and rewards are so great that when listening to a politician, we non-braindead know that the words we hear are an expression of their individual pressures more than a belief in their truth.
Two-meter sea level rise unstoppable | Manila Bulletin OXFORD, England (Reuters) A rise of at least two meters in the world's sea levels is now almost unstoppable, experts told a climate conference at Oxford University on Tuesday. "The crux of the sea level issue is that it starts very slowly but once it gets going it is practically unstoppable," said Stefan Rahmstorf, a scientist at Germany's Potsdam Institute and a widely recognized sea level expert. ... "Once the ice is on the move, it's like a tipping point which reinforces itself," said Wageningen University's Pier Vellinga, citing various research. "Even if you reduce all the emissions in the world once this has started it may be unstoppable. I conclude that beyond 2 degrees global average temperature rise, the probability of the Greenland ice sheet disintegrating is 50 percent or more."
Cap & Trade Realities for CO2 Emissions
Morano: 'If you look at time scales of 50-100 years for (extreme weather).First off, on hurricanes we are at historic record lows, the longest we have gone without a majorhurricanestrike, category 3 or larger -- 9 years now -- the period longest since 1900.Big Tornadoes are down. Floods,droughts, all of these factors are either on no trends or declining trends.
After the film's debut, public's awareness about global warming increased and the "green" movement surged. Since then, many corporations have gotten on board the Global Warming Band Wagon to exploit and profit from what has now become (falsely) an indisputable fact to many Americans: The Earth is dangerously warming and man is to blame. Climate alarmists warn that unless drastic steps are taken to curb global warming, Mother Earth will suffer grave consequences 100 or so years into the future. This despite a recent article that reports how tens of thousands of scientists have declared that human-driven global climate change is a hoax.
The seasonal warming of the cold tongue in the early part of the calendar year (JanuaryApril) favors the initial growth of an event.
how the senior one takes the chair with the back to the wall (the
This might be a new year but some traditions are too good not to continue. After watching the Christmas classic Planet Terror over the holidays, either Rose McGowan or Marley Shelton had to make the cut. But since we took a week off, why not both? Genius!
Crank of the Week January 23, 2015 Barack Obama
The spatial patterns of the warming of the ocean surfaces dictate the spatial patterns of warming of the surface air temperatures over land, and those sea surface temperature spatial patterns contribute to the precipitation patterns on the continents. Because the climate models cannot simulate the spatial patterns of the warming of sea surface temperatures, one wonders how the modelers expect to properly simulate the warming of land surface air temperatures or the precipitation that occurs there.
The heat wave, while largely predictable on short, weather-driven timescales, appears not to be the product of long-term climate changes. Instead, as discussed by Dole et al. (Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L06702, doi:10.1029/2010GL046582, 2011. See Highlight 4, above), the heat wave falls within the realm of natural variability.
According to the website of the proud window and door supplier, Wiegand , the 3-storey 23 million school was built in 15 months and was dedicated during a party-like ceremony in February 2011 by Brandenburg State Minister President Platzeck, and State Council member Heinze accepted the Certificate from the Passive Building Institute.
The pause in warming may have been affected by volcanic eruptions that increased aerosols and particulate that increased upper atmospheric reflectance. AGW will continue after this. Is this an explanation for a pause that many warmists deny is happening? The pause may be caused in part by 17 small volcanic eruptions that occurred since 1999. Experts from Lawrence Livermore Labs said this want taken into account when predictions were made. I wonder what else was overlooked when predictions were made.
Around the world there are five official weather data-bases, about 14 weather satellites (some say there are 88 of them!), 73 climate computer models, at least 30 research groups and thousands of academics receiving grants and attending never-ending climate conferences. Much of this torrent of public money is now focussed on trying to torture a climate confession out of one normally un-noticed and totally innocent trace gas in the atmosphere carbon dioxide.
Report: Obama's oil company tax proposal would jeopardize thousands of jobs:
John Berlau is Director of the Center for Entrepreneurship. Previously, he was the 2004-2005 Warren Brookes Fellow. He has written for many publications, recently serving as an investigative writer on the staff of Insight magazine. The National Press Club awarded him its 2002 Sandy Hume Memorial Award for Excellence in Political Journalism for his series of stories in Insight about the conflicts of interest of now-former IRS commissioner Charles Rossotti. He is a former Washington correspondent for the newspaper Investor's Business Daily. He has also written for Reader's Digest, USA TODAY, USA Weekend, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, Reason, The New Republic, National Review, and The Weekly Standard, and RAZOR.He graduated from the University of Missouri in 1994, with a double-major in journalism and economics. He was a media fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University.
Last August Vice President Al Gore told a captive audience of science students at the National Geographic Society that "global warming is real and we should act together now so that in the future our families will not have to suffer more extreme weather of all kinds." The VP linked his statement with a presentation of arctic ice core samples that some analysts believe indicate an historical correlation between rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere and the warming-cooling cycle of the earth.
Mawson Found Similar Ice Conditions, But Did Not Get Stuck
While this uncertainty seems generally acknowledged in the solar community and by Judith Lean (who has been the main solar person involved in the IPCC), I have to say Im concerned that the CMIP climate model experiments for the IPCC uses only one solar reconstruction.
As for combined Arctic and Antarctic ice, there is always a natural balancing act going between the two. There has been a lot of recent media attention directed to overall melting conditions in the northern ice cap region which is attributed to global warming. The cause is that the Atlantic Ocean has been in its multi-decadal warming phase. Meanwhile, the southern ice cap has increased to record levels.
5. Always bear in mind that technology will continue to surprise us. I doubt that the expression fracking was widely known, let alone used five years ago.
President Obamas second inaugural speech featured climate change more prominently than didhis first inaugural address. As Greenwire (subscription required)observed:
However their asymmetrical categorization of a 74year baseline period vs. three 11year climate change periods is highly problematic. If their intent was to determine the timing of any significant shifts, their analysis should have compared equal decade-long periods. Instead because their technique averaged the most extreme southern latitudes, the baseline would easily be dominated by the earliest 20 th century observations. Any range retractions that happened later during the baseline period would not be statistically detected until the 1975-1986 climate change period. Any editor or peer reviewer should have required a correction, knowing their asymmetrical categorization could cause such misleading results.
Present true stories of workers and families whose jobs and businesses have been threatened or destroyed by EPA and other government policies, programs and diktats; how these citizens have fought back; and their victories over energy, environmental and economic totalitarianism.
Dr Pachauris trips would have produced 121.1 tons of carbon dioxide , according to calculations by ClimateCare, a carbon offset provider.
In his RMS article , Kevin Trenberth also conveniently overlooked the fact that the discussions about the warming hiatus are now for a time period of about 16 years, not 10 yearsever since David Roses DailyMail article titled Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released and here is the chart to prove it . In my response to Trenberths article , I updated David Roses graph , noting that surface temperatures in April 2013 were basically the same as they were in June 1997. Well use June 1997 as the start month for the running 16-year trends. The period is now 192-months long. The following graph is similar to the one above, except that its presenting running trends for 192-month periods.