Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Using the Heritage Energy Model (HEM), a derivative of the Energy Information Administration's National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), Heritage projected what the economic impacts would have been had the bill become law.
Since we have now been in an interglacial warm period for 11,500 years, (the normal length between ice ages), we should be more worried about getting colder then warmer in the future.
Subsequently in our submitted JGR paper, we show that the use of 1.5-2 m nighttime temperatures over land as part of the measure is an example of a quantity that is not tightly coupled, given its strong sensitivity to the local land-surface conditions, the overlying boundary layer thermodynamic stability, and the wind speed.
Back on August 6, 2010 , when the UK BOM was predicting a warm winter, and every Met Agency in the West was already declaring that 2010 would be the hottest year ever, Bryan Leyland predicted (on a global scale) that before the end of the year, there would be significant cooling. As you can see from the chart, this is exactly what happened.
In various parts of the world, the climate debate displays different features. The US and other parts of the non-European Anglo-Saxon world feature highly polarized and politicized debates along the left/right divide. In Europe, all major political parties are still toeing the "official" IPCC line. In both arenas, with a few notable exceptions, skeptical views even from well-known scientists with impeccable credentials tend to be ignored and/or actively suppressed by governments, academia and the media.
The characteristic difficulty with "national security" arguments for traditionally non-security problems isn't their falsehood per se, but rather their analytical triviality, their enormous plasticity, and the questionable propriety of suggesting that the national security bureaucracy should have a role in their solution.
Thank you for your email. It has been forwarded to my attention and we're pleased to respond to your concern. It has come to our attention that a chart on page 18 of The Down-to-Earth Guide to Global Warming by Laurie David and Cambria Gordon (Orchard Books) was
A similar conclusion is indicated from atmospheric temperature measurements. Although they use two independent methods, and as with other tools, each is imperfect, satellite and radiosonde data confirm each other's trend results quite well. Satellite temperature records, which have only been in existence since 1978, cover the whole globe, but are subject to problems associated with various drifts which must be accounted for and corrected. Balloon-borne radiosondes are best used for data at detailed altitudes, but have problems with instrument calibration and interference from direct solar radiation.
Green Madness: Freeze on Fracking Could Cost Scots Hundreds of Millions
The Clinton Administration's blueprint for implementing the Kyoto Protocol lacks quantitative goals, specific time frames, and cost benefit analyses, according to the General Accounting Office. GAO Director of Energy, Resources, and Science Victor Rezendes testified before the Senate Energy Committee on June 4 that the Administration lacked a sound analysis of stage 1 of its overall plan, a $6.3 billion tax and subsidy package. It also lacks a coordination plan for the 14 federal agencies managing the program.
Some scientists have even argued that increased coal use in China has caused the planet to cool slightly. But there does not seem to be any solid agreement on what caused global surface temperatures to stop rising.
Within this context Mr. Spornosexual makes perfect sense. Yet: "Pity the world, or else this glutton be/ To eat the world's due, by the grave and thee."
More importantly, the real issue in Mass v. EPA was not, as petitioners and the majority argued, whetherCAASec. 302(g) could be interpreted (or tortured) to justify regulating GHG emissions from one subset of mobile sources (new motor vehicles) under one provision of the Act(CAA Sec. 202).The real issue, rather, waswhether Congress, when it enacted and amended CAA Sec. 202 in 1970 and 1977,authorized EPA to implement a Super-Kyoto regime under the CAA as a whole . To state this question, is to answer it. Sadly, that question was never squarely before the Court.
The news hook for our scheduled appearance was Hirshberg's new global warming effort called ClimateCounts. The project's ostensible goal is to help consumers make "climate-conscious" purchasing decisions.
You are an engineer. Try watching a few shows about the history of the Earth. It has ranged from covered in solid ice to raging (unlivable) heat many times. Ice ages come and go all without any effect or input from humans. The current cooling period is a result of reduced sun activity just like warming periods are from increased sun activity. The effect of the sun on global temperatures is so profound it outweighs all other factors by millions of times.
And finally, we have the wild card, the methane hydrates, the ice that burns. Estimates of the amount of these are all over the map, but all of them share one featurethey are very, very large, on the order of quadrillions of cubic feet. This is rivals the size of the global natural gas resource ...
Al promised that the climate bill will only cost them the same as a postage stamp a day and that green jobs would magically drop from the sky. Spain? What about Spain ? Oh, I see. Shut Up !
Former German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt called for a full and independent investigation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, its practices and suspect science. The IPCC no longer has integrity or credibility, he said, and some of its researchers "have shown themselves to be fraudsters."
Ohio Maximum Temperatures Peaked In 1921, Down Since 1895
Climate Change as the Pretext for a Radical New Housing Policy
A Period Of Humility And Silence Would Be Best For Met Office
we dont take seriously enough our God-given responsibility to care for the
ABC's spin on Alpine catchment report
Delegates to the United Nations' global warming summit in Bali generate as much carbon dioxide as 20,000 cars in a year.
Why should the administration now decide that its last questionable proposal should become the starting point for further compromise on a climate treaty that the Senate won't accept? Perhaps to put pressure on George W. Bush if he becomes president.
Stewart made one more feeble attempt to justify using average summer temperatures. He reported that a 2005 paper by Grayson revealed pika have been forced to move ever upwards as climate warmed throughout the Holocene. (See graph below) But Stewart seems unaware that he damaged is own argument. Several studies , using proxies and models, have shown the Great Basin was warmer during the Middle Holocene by 1 to 2.5C. Using Stewarts logic, as global warming approaches temperatures seen in the mid Holocene, pika should descend to lower elevations.
(Thanks to my spkskrivare for a few wondering over the title above rman not plsta p Monty Python).
What this myth overlooks is that emission caps inescapably--and by design--increase the cost of producing and consuming energy. The "cap" in cap-and-trade "works"--that is, reduces emissions--by creating an artificial scarcity in the right to produce and use fossil (carbon-emitting) energy. This drives up the price of coal, oil, and natural gas. It also increases reliance on higher-cost non-fossil energy.
Footnote: In hisBudget of March 23 2011 the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne confirmedthat the UK would become the first country in the world to i mpose a carbon floor price . It is designed to ensure the price on carbon imposed through the EU emissions trading scheme does not fall below a set level. He said the floor price would start at 16 per tonne in 2013 and rise to 30 a tonne by 2020. However, experts were divided on the effectiveness of the new floor price. Many warn it will not be high enough to drive significant increases in low-carbon investment, while others predict it will deliver a major windfall in excess of 1bn a year to existing nuclear power plants.
Very little, by 0.05 C per decade in the lower atmosphere.
But this paradise is lost, and the human race degenerates into the Iron Age, a time of wickedness, crime, hard work, war, disease, private property, and greed, the "cursed love of possessing," as Ovid called it. Key to this degeneration is the rise of technology, particularly sea-faring, metallurgy, agriculture, and mining. Already in antiquity the contrast is set: the idealized, lost peaceful world of life in harmony with nature, and the miserable present world of crime, sickness, and war.
Australia threw out their lunatic, and has returned to sanity. Can the US do the same?
This is a modern version of Frederic Bastiat's parable of the broken window. The accidental breakage of a shopkeeper's window may look like an economic boon - it creates work for a glazier, who spends his extra income on goods from other merchants, producing a virtuous cycle of economic activity. But what's not seen is how the shopkeeper would have otherwise spent his money: on goods from other businesses, creating a similar virtuous cycle. Breaking the window is a net loss for society, as no bonus economic activity is generated and a valuable capital item is lost.
The IPCC says it is near certain that we caused at least half of that warming say, 0.65 C/century equivalent. If the IPCC and the much-tampered temperature records are right, and if there has been no significant downward pressure on global temperatures from natural forcings, we have been causing global warming at an unremarkable central rate of less than two-thirds of a Celsius degree per century.
Florida and Bangladesh both experience tropical storms. When a typhoon hits Bangladesh, tens of thousands of people may die. In contrast, when a hurricane strikes Florida, there may be tremendous property damage, but comparatively little loss of life. The reason is not that typhoons are worse than hurricanes but that Florida is wealthy, Bangladesh poor. In Florida, homes are built to withstand high-velocity winds. A developed infrastructure is in place to provide early warning, continuous communication, medical services, and emergency relief. Also, car ownership is widespread, allowing people to drive to safer locales before the storm hits. In short, richer is safer. This suggests that the proper goal of policy is to make more of the world like Florida and to shun political schemes that might damage our mobility, prosperity, or technological prowess. The best insurance policy against both man-made and natural disasters is greater wealth and technological sophistication.
The authors note that "the standard interpretation of global climate data is that extraneous effects, such as urbanization and other land surface effects, and data quality problems due to inhomogeneities in the temperature series, are removed by adjustment algorithms, and therefore do not bias the large-scale trends." What was done
1) Arctic temperatures were actually in decline during the 1980s, before falling further around 1993, presumably as a result of the Pinatubo eruption two years earlier.
Blotting out the Sun to slow down global warming could be outlawed:
Cooler Heads Digest 1 April 2010
The state said 463,000 utility customers were without power at 3:30 p.m., near the apparent peak of the outages. The bulk of the outages were in Orange, Alamance and Guilford counties, the state said.
The report even gives the pipeline a passing grade in the politically correct category of "environmental justice" concluding that, "impacts to minority and low-income populations during construction may include exposure to construction dust and noise, disruption to traffic patterns, and increased competition for medical or health services in underserved populations. Such impacts would generally be small and short-term." In addition, as "the risk of a potential release is roughly equal at all points along the pipeline, the risks associated with such releases would not be disproportionately borne by minority or low-income populations."
Article 51 of the Constitution of Australia lists the 31st of 39 legislative powers of Australia's Parliament as follows:
An actual Maunder Minimum can take > 100 years not 10 years to eventuate. A new Maunder Minimum will NOT cause another Little Ice Age.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Energy Policy Analyst William Yeatman on the implications of Russia's energy strategy:
WCVB TV reports that, "Boston also set a record with the most snow in 30 days with 60.8 inches.'
We can also ask what the weather (thus climate) would be like if we were to slow, hold constant, or increase pumping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. But we have the same problem as before: well never know if the model is right because all well have is the atmosphere that exists, and the knowledge that everything, from worms to the sun, cause changes in it.
In a cooling climate, we would expect to see more than 10 record lows per day, and fewer than 10 record highs per day. The USHCN record consists of more than 1000 stations, so we should expect to see more than 10 record highs per day. Throw in the UHI effects that Anthony and team have documented, and we would expect to see many more than that. So no, record high temperatures are not unusual and should be expected to occur somewhere nearly every day of the year. They don??t prove global warming ??? rather they prove that the temperature record is inadequate.
Furthermore, the mean correlation for sites with records that went back to 1000 AD was 0.33. The probability of getting an r value that high by chance, over a 150 year calibration period, for 59 sites, is very small indeed. Note that Mann et al pointed all but the last of these things out in either the paper, the supplement, or both.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Technology Policy Analyst Cord Blomquist on the difference between moral choices in the real and virtual worlds:
4) When the sun goes quiet, excess energy sequestered in the oceans has a chance to escape. On the decadal scale, this manifests as big el ninos shortly after solar minimum (see last five solar minima). On the multi-decadal scale, the drop in solar activity from 1870 was followed by big el ninos and la ninas which caused large swings in SST at the end of the C19th and during the 1900-1910 period. These map almost perfectly to what has happened since 1998 too. Same solar cycle phases, same ENSO swings.
Petitioners in Utility Air Regulation Group v. EPA argue that the PSD and Title V programs apply only to pollutants that affect public health and welfare by virtue of their local concentration, toxicity, or air quality impact. Since the harm allegedly posed by greenhouse gas emissions has nothing to do with local concentration or exposure, the permitting programs do not apply to them.
It should all be straight forward, but its not. In part because itreally is important to those who believe in anthropogenic global warming that temperatures are rising and it really is important to many so-called sceptics that they are not.
"Climate change is pestering the launch of Newt Gingrich's presidential bid," reported E&E; News' ClimateWire. The E&E; reporter then proceeded to extensively quote CFACT's Marc Morano as the primary watchdog bringing attention to Newt's past position on global warming.
Whereas the IPCC has predicted that temperatures will rise by 3 degrees Celsius by 2050 if CO 2 doubles from pre-industrialized levels of 1750, The Research Council of Norway plugged in real temperature data from 2000 to 2010 and determined that doubling would cause only a 1.9 degree Celsius rise. Another study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences links temperature changes from 1750 to natural changes (such as sea temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean) and suggests the anthropogenic global warming trends might have been overestimated by a factor of two in the second half of the 20 th century.
The story is to put a time limit on how fast our Earth system can recover from a total frozen state, Bao said. It is about a unique and rapidly changing post-glacial world, but is also about the incredible resilience of life and lifes remarkable ability to restore a new balance between atmosphere, hydrosphere and biosphere after a global glaciation.
Arctic Sea ice area is above the ???normal?? line as defined by NANSEN. As far as I know, NSIDC does not offer an equivalent plot. If I am in error and somebody knows where to find NSIDC??s area plot, please let me know and I will include it here.
Humana boosts outlook as profit tops Street target:
/s/ Grace Germany JSC, Program Analyst, 35 years
I took the precaution of isolating myself from this survey by enlisting the cooperation of Dr Jay Winston, a widely respected meteorologist, skeptical of climate skeptics. And I employed two graduate students who had no discernible expertise in climate issues to conduct the actual survey and analyze the returns.
"Spitzer and his allies can't change any of this. Their suit mainly allows them to advertise themselves to people who don't know better. Here's Connecticut Attorney General Richard Blumenthal sounding off:
Finally a graphic of Perth rain history back to 1876 note how the pre WWI winter rain is similar to the post 1970s rain. Who is to say what is normal ? I am not aware of any tablet of stone which tells us whether the WWI to mid 1970s high rain era was normal or are the slightly dryer decades before and after more normal.
FactCheck: One of the ads says research shows "The Antarctic ice sheet is getting thicker, not thinner. . . Why are they trying to scare us?" Actually, scientists say increased snowfall in Antarctica's interior is evidence that global warming is taking place.
For the sake of their constituents, elected officials in Washington and state capitals have an obligation to fight this federal takeover of state authority. They should act soon. EPA is scheduled to release its final regulation in August, initiating a one-year period before states will be forced to comply.
The model-data comparisons in this post run from the November 1981 start of the Reynolds OI.v2 data to February 2014, more than 32 years.
So Im feeling like I can embrace the Conspiracy Conjecture enough to investigate, but I cant swallow the Conspiracy Theory angle.
Youd think it would be huge news that the greenhouse scare is over. Instead, the news sections of Science and Nature are behaving in their predictable fashion. In Nature , Quirin Schiermeier wrote this may worsen the greenhouse effect.
The federal government can also play a role. Rep. Bennie Thompson, D-Miss., chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, has recently introduced some proposals to create a federal equivalent of the My Safe Florida Home Program. Through tax credits and means-tested assistance, Thompson's proposals would help people around the country make their homes more storm resistant.
My brief comment was sent in at 12.26 WST to the ABC site... The moderators must be overwhelmed coping with all the comments, Im sure theyll put one up soon.
Thinking over this history, I see three primary uses of environmental computer forecasts: to understand the implications of what we know (Can living things change the global environment?); to know the future; and to influence public behavior. Only the first can be strictly scientific. The third is wandering farther and farther away from science.
Authors correct error found in research article
One of the favorite policies of green activists is the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards that require U.S. auto makers to keep the average fuel economy of their fleet below 27 mpg. Recently, however, the greens have been frustrated because the CAFE standard has not been tightened for years. They are especially upset about the increasing popularity of big trucks and sports utility vehicles that they claim are significantly contributing to global warming.
Another variation to the fairy tale: ENSO is simply noise or an exogenous factor in the global surface temperature record. The fancy-schmancy word exogenous was recently and incorrectly used to describe ENSO in the 2011 Foster and Rahmstorf paper Global Temperature Evolution 19792010 . Exogenous, according to Webster, means:
* It hasn??t warmed in 7 years. Al Gore says that ???there is one relationship that is more powerful than all the others and it is this: When there is more carbon dioxide, the temperature gets warmer.?? Well, emissions keep going up, yet temperatures stay the same. Where??s the warming?
Obtaining federal permits for energy production is difficult. Between fiscal years 2005 and 2012 the number of new permits fell over 50%, from 3,514 to 1,729. Between 2005 and 2012, the time it took to acquire such a permit rose from 154 days to 228 days. In contrast, it takes only 10 days to secure a state drilling permit in North Dakota.
Quite to the contrary of model predictions, the four researchers found that observations of intact forest "greenness" in the region were, in their words, "dominated by a significant increase (P<0.0001), not a decline." What it means
WASHINGTON, Dec. 2 -- This week the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) and 11 other free-market organizations submitted public comments to the Environmental Protection Agency opposing EPA's long-anticipated Clean Power Plan (CPP), which would increase electricity prices and raise reliability concerns across the country. According to CEI senior fellow Marlo Lewis, the Clean Power Plan is illegitimate and unlawful.
Finally, if the global temperature begins to rise again, we can consider the implementation of a carbon tax.
Osborn also complained that I had insufficiently acknowledged their identification of root collar inhomogeneity at Polar Urals. However, in my first article in the recent sequence, I provided a lengthy exposition of their findings in connection with root collar inhomogeneity, complete with long quotations directly from their text.
Or, to look at it in yet another way, were being told that, while surface temperatures are no longer warming, the oceans to depth continue to warmyet the warming is not occurring in the largest ocean basin, the Pacific, and the North Atlantic is showing evidence of cooling.
There are obvious similarities both single men of low intelligence and not really connected with the world, convicted on faulty forensic evidence.
Government officials cannot pressure a private party to take adverse action against a speaker. For example, the federal appeals court in New York ruled that officials could not pressure a billboard company to stop displaying a church's anti-gay billboard, or pressure a business group not to publish a businessman's ad in its publication, even though the officials avoided using explicit threats. (See the 2003 case of Okwedy v. Molinari and the 1991 case of Rattner v. Netburn.) And a federal court allowed Google to sue a state attorney general over his speech-chilling investigation in Google v. Hood (2015).
The data are seriously compromised and fill in with homogenizing makes it worse, not better. It hides what is really happening and smoothes out divergent and disjoint obviously incongruent series to blend them into a fictional common warming that does not exist.
Chesapeake Energy is also a major donor to the American Lung Association. Although exactly how much the company has donated is not clear, the American Lung Association's 2010 annual report said Chesapeake Energy "provided the funds that allowed the American Lung Association to create a new public service campaign based on the Fighting for Air platform. In addition to traditional radio and television advertisements, the campaign includes online components, print, and even outdoor advertising." One such anti-coal TV ad is the "Red Carriage" spot described and debunked above.
Your question and other commentary at your blog may give readers the false impression that we have published using an inadequate dataset.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Marlo Lewis on the train wreck that would result from trying to restrict greenhouse gas emissions using the Clean Air Act: