Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"What bookworm doesn't love the idea of Google's new project, Google Library? The ability to search the entire contents of the world's greatest libraries online seems to fulfill one of the greatest potentials of the Internet. Unfortunately, Google has glossed over some inconvenient details. Unless Google is willing to step back and think for a moment, the whole project threatens to come off the rails."
GDDs may be calculated using either Celsius or Fahrenheit, though they must be converted appropriately; 5 GDDC = 9 GDDF
In other words, as I said, the warming of 1975-2000 was only half caused by man-made emissions and half by natural causes, according to their conclusions, and natural causes were enough to cancel man-made forcing in the years after 2000.
Except that it isnt science, its fiction. Science fiction; it takes a vaguely plausible scientific possibility, extrapolates it, and makes it the situation in which some form of drama plays out. For every one degree rise in temperature, Lynas considers what might happen to life on Earth.
Polluted Drinking Water Was No. 1 Concern Before AP Report
There is also something unfunny about this issue, which has now been taken up by a tabloid blog . There is much hilarity among commenters there about how anyone could be gullible enough to believe that a seemingly troubled and challenged person was actually, well, a troubled and challenged person. By some leap of logic this gullibility, in turn, somehow disproves the science underlying global warming.
Surprisingly, similar movement rates are needed to out-run climate change. On land, movement of 2.7 kilometers (1.6 miles) per year is needed and in the oceans, movement of 2.2 kilometers (1.3 miles) per year is needed.
Insecurity Blanket: Greens Preparing Kinder, Gentler Guilt Campaign
has found that recent floods associated with the Indian monsoon are not linked to global warming, and that such events have occurred throughout the 200 year history of the monsoon.
The government says that it wants a sustainable, secure and affordable energy system. Unfortunately, week-by-week since the general election, and now with the budget, it has made statements or policy changes that take us further away from that goal, and put us increasingly out of step with the rest of the world. Government support for ideological blue crap over rationality is putting the UK increasingly out of step with the global energy transformation. --Catherine Mitchell, The Guardian, 8 July 2015
Now is the time at SDA when we juxtapose! Dr. Eric Fleegler: Conclusions and Relevance - A higher number of firearm laws in a state are associated with a lower rate of firearm fatalities in the state, overall and for suicides and homicides individually. John Hinderaker: Conclusions and Relevance - ote that Fleegler's study covers all 50 states, but leaves out the District of Columbia. Why do you suppose he chose to do that? .... Now let's redo Fleegler's math, with the District counted as one of the ten strictest jurisdictions. We now have an average rate of 4.0 gun homicides per 100,000 in the ten most anti-gun jurisdictions, and a gun homicide rate of 3.5 per 100,000 in the ten jurisdictions with the fewest gun regulations, even if we include the outlier, Louisiana. But that's just tasting the icing of Dr. Fleegler's statistical upside-down cake.
Under the most favourable assumptions for wind power, the Government??s wind policy will reduce emissions of CO2 at an average cost of 270 per metric ton (at 2009 prices) which means that meeting the UK??s renewable energy target would cost a staggering 78 billion per year in 2020.
So even those most worried about the possibilities of climate change are beginning to realize that the Chicken Little attitude isn't working. Al Gore, call your office.
the level of uncertainty in the ocean data has not been emphasized. This post is to highlight this issue with respect to modeled uncertainty ofocean heat content changes.
18 spectacularly wrong predictions made around the time of the first Earth Day in 1970, expect more this year
Since just before the start of the 21st century, the Earths average global surface temperature has failed to rise despite soaring levels of heat-trapping greenhouse gases and years of dire warnings from environmental advocates.
Most of the data series in most of the plots have just appeared on the CRU web site.
"In the geologic past, atmospheric CO2 concentrations can be at least 2 to 5 times larger than 400 ppm. Therefore, crossing such a CO2 level in 2013/2014 is not unprecedented," Soon said.
"Now with the tobacco settlement, there was an actual basis for that case. The tobacco industry had concealed things, it knew about the health effects of smoking tobacco for a long time, and it had lied under oath," Mr. Ebell said. "This is entirely different, but you can see we're going down the same road here."
In Massachusetts v. EPA, the Supreme Court legislated from the bench, authorizing and indeed pushing EPA to control emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) for climate change purposes. This is a policy decision of immense economic and political magnitude that Congress never intended or approved when it enacted and amended the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act).
Because Sterns conclusions endorsed policies adopted by both government and opposition and its highly tendentious assumptions were not explicit, it was initially accepted without public scrutiny.
As vilification of Soon demonstrates, however, climate politics wont accommodate alternative views. With their motivating theory increasingly challenged by observation, proponents of extreme precaution have gone from name-callingdeniers, Neanderthalsto character assassination. Their tactics exude desperation and undermine their credibility.
DOT Exempts Maker of "Flying Car' From Road Vehicle Safety Specs:
Of course, big-government does not like its climate orthodoxy challenged. That is why attorneys general across the country have begun focusing on those who challenge climate-change "consensus." CEI is the latest victim of the witch-hunt on climate change skeptics, but CEI is fighting back.
With regards to climate science, IMO the key issue regarding academic freedom is this: no scientist should have to fall on their sword to follow the science where they see it leading or to challenge the consensus. I?ve fallen on my dagger (not the full sword), in that my challenge to the consensus has precluded any further professional recognition and a career as a university administrator. That said, I have tenure, and am senior enough to be able retire if things genuinely were to get awful for me. I am very very worried about younger scientists, and I hear from a number of them that have these concerns.
While the focus on LOST is over the rules it establishes for ocean travel and deep-seabed mining as well as the submission to United Nations' taxing (fee levying") authority, few are looking at the green pages interspersed among the others. With far less detail there is clearly as much environmental authority included to crush the US economy in LOST as there is in the Kyoto "global warming" treaty. Every reason the Senate has for not ratifying Kyoto applies to the Law of the Sea Treaty, but with even greater urgency because -- despite the rejection of LOST by President Reagan -- President Clinton signed it and now Bush is urging the Senate to ratify the pact before he leaves office.
11. It is generally agreed that if greenhouse warming was occurring, the strongest warming would be in the upper atmosphere above the tropics. Recent research shows this is not occurring, which indicates that warming is not being caused by greenhouse gases:
Job Openings In IT Support At The CRU And Nature Publishing Group
From what I have read, you swam in a perfectly normal gap in the ice at the North Pole last year, and got stuck in the ice close to Svalbard this year. While these acts are a testament to your personal strength, athletic ability and courage - they dont shed any light on the historical record or changes to earths climate. Well, I subscribe to this question even though I doubt that we will (or can) ever hear a sane answer to it.
I'm under no illusions. Free-market supporters will probably always have fewer stars on our side. We will always face a celebrity gap. But we can do a whole lot better in communicating our ideals to people who don't think like economists.
Why? Because of (2) and (3). AR5s reduction of estimated increase in global average surface temperature 19512010 by nearly half, and its reduction of the lower limit of ECS by one-fourth, reflect huge revisions, first, in how scientists process temperature data from around the world, second, in observations (about 0.0C) versus expectations (about 0.3C to 0.4C) of warming over the past 15 to 20 years, and, third, in how modelers understand climates response to increased greenhouse gases.
As long as they continue to practice what is, in effect, climate Realpolitik, the U.S. has only four options for attempting to construct a global GHG control pact. None of them is likely to have a more than marginal impact on emissions. ACESA seems to draw, in varying degrees, on all four approaches.
Here . Update : Junk Science asks : "A million bucks a head to relocate a subsistence village"?
b) Ordinary Least Squares ( OLS )with the number of degrees for freedom adjusted using N eff /N = (1-)/(1+), where is the correlation of the residuals for the OLS fit.
Highest Court in DC Allows Second Amendment Challenges to Long-Ago Convictions for Violating D.C. Handgun Ban:
This one mentions, obliquely the Kuznets curve of improvememnts in enviro conditions following economic prosperity.
What's the Strange, Snake-Like Image Captured by Radar Off the Australian Coast?
In the U.S., federal regulators are mandating power plants emit less CO2. Policymakers have also offered a slew of subsidies to make green energy attractive to investors.
NASA has repeatedly altered global temperature data, causing a net doubling of 1880-1980 global warming since their 1981 version. Pre-1965 years keep getting colder, and post-1965 years keep getting warmer. (Note that prior to 2003, NASA did noteven pretend to know pre-1950 ocean temperatures.)
Note that in this context applies concentrations not mngder. (Exception is the treatment of compartmental kinetic exchange of components between avgnsade behllare, such as living cells and surrounding vtska. Dr. INFR man from the gray modeling is more supple concentrations of reactants and products by entering their mngder together with the volumes of the different compartments).
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 12, 2015
Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) said she is "committed" to keeping a $400 million program that reimburses states for jailing illegal immigrants, a task she called "a total federal responsibility."
Under Article 12 (the clean development mechanism), the U.S. may earn credits by reducing emissions in developing countries. But such reductions may count only against "part" of our Kyoto obligation, and how large a part will not be determined until after the Protocol enters into force.27 Also, a project may qualify for clean development credit only if the investment would be "additional" to any that would occur otherwise. In short, like emissions trading and joint implementation, the CDM in practice may be far less "market-based" and "flexible" than it is cracked up to be.
18 Dec: Guardian: The Guardian lays claim to Antarctica in pictures Journalists Alok Jha and Laurence Topham have landed in Antarctica with the 2013 Australasian Antarctic Expedition Documentary filmmaker Laurence Topham lines up a shot from the bows. Photograph: Alok Jha/Guardian
One of the fundamental principles, championed by Blair, and also in Rumsfelds famous known knowns speech, is the Precautionary Principle, which needs no further explanation here. It was this which allowed mere speculation to be presented as clear and present risk. Mitigation of risk being the thing which the terror and climate agendas have in common, and a great deal of other public policy, for that matter. Blairs favourite sociologist, Anthony Giddens is widely regarded as having pioneered this form of politics, as is discussed in recent posts.
In December, as Climategate was developing, TWTW referred to a Russian report stating the CRU was ignoring data from colder regions of Russia, even though these stations were still reporting data. Thus, the data loss was not due to just the closing of stations as earlier thought, but due to decisions by the CRU to ignore them.
MOOSE: I dont know why I like smacking you around so much. Its that look on your face. Now say it again.
Bangladesh Cyclone, November 1970. The greatest tropical system disaster this century occurred in Bangladesh in November 1970. Winds coupled with a storm surge killed between 300,000- 500,000people. These cyclones usually cause the most misery, loss of life, and suffering in low lying areas in Bangladesh and coastal India.
https://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=y&prev= t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.skyfall.fr%2F%3Fp%3D1280&edit-text =
For his part, Mr. Coles can't understand the hostility. "I tell these groups that my concerns are your concerns. I have been protecting the environment here for decades, long before any of them became interested in this land." He's received offers to buy his land for sums that would make him incredibly wealthy, but has turned them down. "We love the land. My family has lived here for over 200 years. We're going to continue to live here. That's the reason we decided to keep it, as opposed to selling out." He says Virginia Uranium will continue to push for the independent study.
Remember the next time team warming tries to hype a hot summer's day, drought or flood as climate, rather than weather.
Sledges, snowmen, snowballs and the excitement of waking to find that the stuff has settled outside are all a rapidly diminishing part of Britain's culture, as warmer winters which scientists are attributing to global climate change produce not only fewer white Christmases, but fewer white Januaries and Februaries.
Svensmark has laid out observational evidence of this chain of events in a paper that he and his colleagues published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters in 2009 and he is currently involved in the CLOUD (Cosmics Leaving OUdoor Droplets) experiment being conducted at the European Center for Nuclear Research (CERN) which aims to gain more insight through laboratory simulations of these processes. Svensmark describes the progress being made in the CERN CLOUD study and how it impacts his hypothesis in a recent interview , stating I welcome the CLOUD results. They basically confirm our own experimental results since 2006, and does so within a larger variation of parameters and while admitting that of course there are many things to explore that the cosmic-ray/cloud seeding hypothesis is converging with reality.
Denning: It is the amount of heat that goes in, relative to the amount of heat that goes out, that causes changes of temperature (Heat in minus heat out equals change of heat.) Likewise, it is the amount of cold that goes in, relative to the amount of cold that goes out, that changes temperature. This accounts for why every year winter is colder than summer and why nights are cooler than days. Change of heat is measured in the laboratory with the CO2 that is present.
In terms of the broader audience, I have to say that I hope that this book leads to the discontinuation of the IPCC after the AR5 report (which is already well underway, and is arguably sufficiently tarnished that it is likely to have much less influence than previous reports.)
Climate change is an area where consistent attempts are made to communicate the certainty of the science. As a result, a spotlight on scientific uncertainties may be seen as unwelcome. However, in the run-up to the United Nations climate summit in Paris, making climate change meaningful remains a key challenge and our analysis of the press conference demonstrates that this meaning-making cannot be achieved by relying on scientific certainty alone. When trying to engage the public about climate science, communicators should be aware that there is a tension between expressing scientific certainty (and focusing on longterm trends) and making climate change meaningful (by focusing on short-term trends) and, what is more, that this tension may be unavoidable. A broader, more inclusive public dialogue will have to include crucial scientific details that we are far less certain about and these need to be embraced in order to make climate change meaningful.
Roska and Arum wrote, "This lack of engagement is as troubling as their financial difficulties it can hardly be a good sign for a democratic society when many of its citizens, including highly educated ones, are not aware of or engaged with what is going on in the nation and world."
Sen. John McCain delivers a major speech on global warming.
As far as we can determine, during the period from 1943 to 1975 the Earth cooled by nearly a degree Celsius (although anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide were rising sharply), and this trend precipitated fear of a new ice age. However, following the switch in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation from cool to warm in 1975?76, global temperatures began to rise and the ice age scare quickly gave way to the global warming scare, and within thirty years or so to the situation where we were on the point of wreaking great harm on our nation.
Arctic sea ice extent hasnt changed for several days, and remains just below the 2006 minimum.
"Mainstream environmental groups, including the Sierra Club, the Wilderness Society, Defenders of Wildlife and the Natural Resources Defense Council, have been largely mute, having traded the picket line for a seat at the table when development plans were drawn.
Whelan, Robert; Kirwan, Joseph, and Haffner, Paul. The Cross and the Rainforest: A Critique of Radical Green Spirituality. Grand Rapids, MI: Acton Institute, 1996.
Here is his plot comparing 19th century readings with ice core and Mauna Loa data.
It was coal, and later oil, which created and still largely supports the populations, prosperity and industry of developed nations. With a backdrop of freedom under the law, they can do the same for the whole world.
Rep. Ed Whitfield, R-Ky., pointed out to Jackson, who was also called to testify, that Congress had rejected federal regulation of greenhouse gases on no fewer than three occasions. "Do you object to an up or down vote in Congress?" he asked her.
Posted by Hockey Schtick on 25 Oct 2013
Th e hockey stick graph dealt with all those by eliminating the MWP and the LIA. It inappropriately tacked on, as the blade of the stick, an upturn in temperature in the 20th century. Phil Jones produced the upturn that claimed a 0.6C 0.2C increase in 120 years. They claimed this rate of increase was beyond any natural increase, conveniently ignoring the 33% error factor.
"I wonder how this rhetoric squares with his standard condescending line about Republican-leaning voters not thinking clearly because their minds are clouded by economic anxiety. Does economic anxiety also explain why Latino turnout isn't quite where the Democrats need it to be (although, per this new Politico poll, it's getting there)? Or is this the first, last, and only case this year of The One admitting that his own failures specifically, the failure to pass amnesty might be even partly responsible for the Democrats' predicament? And what about those supposed "enemies" that Latinos should be turning out to punish? Are they actual enemies like those shadowy bastards donating to the Chamber of Commerce or, as Obama himself once famously suggested, are they merely bitterly clinging to xenophobia to soothe their own economic frustrations?"
If the Chronicle editorial board wants to know the weaknesses in the scientific case for climate alarmism, several hours of concentrated effort is all that it will take. If the editorial board wants to understand how Waxman-Markey is very expensive regulation for its own sake, without appreciable benefits, that is there for the taking too.
All of these projects are denigrated in their own country because they have one thing in common they rely heavily on carbon fuels such as coal and gas and thus are all threatened by the toxic carbon tax. None of these activities will cease because of our carbon tax. They will either pay foreign spivs for carbon credits or the business will transfer to other countries who will welcome our trashed industries.
Now what? The right to voice your opinion on important public policies is entitled to the highest level of constitutional protection. That's why we are vigorously fighting this unlawful attack. We hope the court will agree by honoring our request for relief from Attorney General Walker's campaign of retaliation. This is about much more than the climate change debate; it's about protecting the inalienable rights of all Americans. To learn more about our legal battle for free speech, you can check out our page here. And, if you'd like to receive updates about our fight for economic and individual freedom, join our email list here.
Lindzen and Choi implies that the models are exaggerating climate sensitivity: warming from a doubling of CO2 would only be about 1C This modest warming is much less than current climate models suggest for a doubling of CO2. Models predict warming of from 1.5C to 5C and even more for a doubling of CO2( paper )
Vancouver will experience one of its coldest winters on record.
"This ruling is welcome news for GHG emission sources, particularly large sources such as the electric power plants involved here, who are already facing EPA regulations of GHG next year, as EPA limits conventional air pollutants like mercury and microscopic particulate matter.
Now, these days, there is getting to a lot made of the difference between the satellite, deep-layer measurements, and the surface thermometer measurements. Note that the surface thermometer measurements, point one-three is starting to approach the predicted warming of point one-eight degrees C per decade. The deep-layer doesn't show that warming. We are still trying to understand why - we don't yet understand why this is the case.
Samet J.The Clean Air Act and healtha clearer view from 2011.
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event".
On October 12, 2011, Environment Ohio issued a reprehensible ad suggesting that Rep. Steve Stivers (R-Ohio) hand fed a baby a jar full of poison. According to the left-wing eco group Environment Ohio, Rep. Stivers' wrongdoing was his vote for legislation that would "gut" the Clean Air Act. In fact, Rep. Stivers' had voted in favor of an amendment that would delay the implementation of a new EPA regulation, the Utility Maximum Achievable Control Technology rule (Utility MACT).
...so it would seem churlish not to remind readers of an excellent book for the geek in your life...
No major action on climate is likely until after the Senate confirms McCarthy. But shes run into a brick wall among Republicans, who stalled a committee vote on her nomination and may filibuster her on the floor.
U.S. Office of Management and Budget, "Regulatory Analysis," Circular A-4, September 17, 2003, http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars a004 a-4/ (accessed September 11, 2014).