Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Second, they will ask what "class codes" your labor force is. This refers to a set of four digit numbers that have been devised to categorize different types of jobs, much like SIC codes classify business types. A good agent should be able to figure out your code(s) from your description of the business, but if you want to get a head start, you can find a listing here, courtesy of Insurance Guys . Depending on the state and the insurance company, you may be allowed multiple class codes or you may be required to have just one. For example, we have some operations that combine campground jobs (expensive) with store and clerical jobs (less expensive). However, most workers comp carriers make me call all of these workers campground (the most expensive class). The only way to get the store workers at a cheaper rate would be to for a second subsidiary for stores with just the store workers and a separate workers comp. policy.
My contribution to the 2007 report illustrates the scientific problem. The report's first table of figures - inserted by the IPCC's bureaucrats after the scientists had finalized the draft, and without their consent - listed four contributions to sea-level rise. The bureaucrats had multiplied the effect of melting ice from the Greenland and West Antarctic Ice Sheets by 10.
The CPP is illegitimate. It violates the separation of powers. EPA is not authorized to restructure state electricity markets, revise state electricity policies, or establish statewide caps for CO2. EPA is making law, not implementing it.
The climate models are programmed to predict warming. They are completely useless and yet the Met Office continues to stiff British taxpayers withpurchasesof faster GIGO hardware.
But instead we see anti gouging laws. Sounds good. Politically smart. But, if gas is selling for $3.50 / gallon and can at most have a 10% rise or you get punished, thats $3.85. That wont pay the freight (literally) to haul in gasoline or generators from remote locations. That you then would also penalize the folks doing the fuel and generator delivery for business without a license (and who knows what other legal crap) and, well, theres just no incentive for private folks to fix it.
The problem with step changes is that two flat lines with a rising step change will artificially produce a rising linear trend that is meaningless. McKitrick and Voselgang account for the step change and show that significant warming trends in the low to mid troposphere only occur from 1958-2005 if we include the step-change. If the step change is removed, the underlying trend is not significant. In other words, 46 out of the 47 years of atmospheric data do not produce a meaningful rising trend.
Read here . Over recent decades, it has been noted that Hudson Bay sea ice has been breaking up earlier in the summer season. These are anecdotal recollections/observations that scientists decided to investigate, using an array of advanced technology.
EU emissions trading scheme threatens electricity blackouts
The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.
Increasingly, researchers all over the world are using charcoal to reconstruct fire histories, Swetnam said. Many scientists are analyzing the global record of charcoal to study relationships between climate, fire and the resulting addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.
Over the last week or so I've been spending a bit of time with a new paper from Gavin Schmidt and Steven Sherwood. Gavin needs no introduction of course, and Sherwood is also well known to BH readers, having come to prominence when he attempted a rebuttal of the Lewis and Crok report on climate sensitivity, apparently without actually having read it .
The Daily Caller (DC) starts an article on Podesta's White House return this way: "John Podesta's return to the White House should have oil, gas, and coal producers worried." He is a former lobbyist and chief of staff to President Clinton. He is the founder of the liberal think tank the Center for American Progress (CAP)which Bloomberg news called "an intellectual wellspring for Democratic policy proposals."
These threats have been wildly overstated. And the solution proposed by many SUV critics, raising the federal fuel economy standards, would mean expanding a regulatory program that has already caused thousands of traffic deaths.
SST Anomalies Continue To Plummet In The Hurricane Nursery
That reforms gave rise to a revolution by 1989 was due largely to another "idealistic" cause: Gorbachev's deep and personal aversion to violence and, hence, his stubborn refusal to resort to mass coercion when the scale and depth of change began to outstrip his original intent. To deploy Stalinist repression even to "preserve the system" would have been a betrayal of his deepest convictions. A witness recalls Gorbachev saying in the late 1980s, "We are told that we should pound the fist on the table," and then clenching his hand in an illustrative fist. "Generally speaking," continued the general secretary, "it could be done. But one does not feel like it."
The truth is, there has been only one time in all of human history when governments were able to control Earth's climate, and it is highly unlikely that we will ever return to those wondrous days.
Steve McIntyre points out the wholesale deletion of over 50 of Tom Fuller??s comments at Lewandowsky??s blog today (after they had been in place for days) and made this comment:
The IPCC Working Group II AR5 report has been released and what people are saying are undermined by what the report says. Six claims are debunked. From Oil Price, Latest IPCC Findings Undermine Climate Change Claims
The only truth about global warming is that there has been no measured warming over the last 16 years in the global air temperature of the land and the sea surface, the same global air temperature over the last century has been more naturally oscillating than following the carbon dioxide emission, there has been no warming and no change of salinity of the oceans 0 to 2000 metres depth over the first 10 years these parameters have been measured.
Dieldrin's high persistence means it is available to bioaccumulate up the food chain, and can cause birth defects and therefore should not be used for anything else but stopping locusts. Nevertheless because the countries that are now sending aid, and also designed the Stockholm POPs treaty, don't have locust infestations they forgot to exempt it for such use.
The six scientists report that they "found almost no direct effects of OA on microzooplankton composition and diversity," and that "both the relative shares of ciliates and heterotrophic dinoflagellates as well as the taxonomic composition of microzooplankton remained unaffected by changes in pCO 2 /pH."
Read here . The vast majority of new scientific research continues to document that the modern era's warming barely rivals what was experienced during the Medieval Period.
A PhD and a computer have, so far, been insufficient tools to provide useful predictions of the future of our climate system. The current state of climate science ??? or maybe I should say, how scientists have allowed the media and politicians to portray it ??? is a continuing source of embarrassment to some of us.
> >> was +0.57 deg C above the 1961-90 average, the warmest year
In a recent CA post , I observed that Shiyatov had crossdated 1021 subfossil trees from his 1968 and 1983 transects plus hundreds of living trees, from which the samples sent to Schweingruber were a minute subset. Although Shiyatovs comprehensive dataset is by far the most imposing dendro work at Polar Urals, Briffa et al 2013 neither used nor reported the extent of the Shiyatov dataset. In a comment at RC, I asked Osborn to explain their failure to use or even disclose the very large Shiyatov dataset as follows:
Normally, El Nio results in diminished hurricanes in the Atlantic, but this new type is resulting in a greater number of hurricanes with greater frequency and more potential to make landfall, said Peter Webster, professor at Georgia Techs School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences.
/s/ Dr. Christopher C. Kraft JSC, Apollo Flight Director and Director of Johnson Space Center, 24 years
The United States has enough coal reserves to last at least another 250 years, with reserves that are over one-and-one-half times greater than our nearest competitor, Russia, and over twice that of China. This figure excludes Alaska, which contains more coal reserves than all of the lower 48 states combined. If total U.S. ???in place?? reserves are included, the U.S. has enough coal to last 9000 years at today??s consumption rate.
The March numbers are out for the CET series . At 2.7C this is the coldest March since 1892, which registered the same temperature. Indeed, you have to go back to 1883 to find a colder March.
A couple of years ago a Charlatan hack EPA big shot named Jon Samet MD, announced that there is no safe level of pollutants.
Still, the incidents have highlighted the risks of expanding the reliance on renewable sources like wind before necessary grids, storage and other technologies are established to handle their intermittency and volatility.
There are still today individuals treated like indentured servants, or slaves, if you willproperty, bought and sold. Obviously other situations much worse are recalled after the kidnapping of girls who were mostly Christian and the declaration by Boko Haram that they are not through. They target Christian Schools and kids because they want to install Sharia and currently the Nigerian Government is Christian.
First off, here is my take on what the EPA/IPCC is claiming.
Conservatives often assume that elections like 2010 show America has a consistent conservative majority. I think it is more accurate to say that they show that America has a consistent anti-progressive majority. The task conservatives have today is to transform the anti-progressive majority into a pro-conservative one. This will be harder than it seems.
More importantly, climate models suffer from the limitations of current scientific understanding of the forces that determine weather patterns and climate change. Climate modelers cannot avoid making assumptions about the operation and effects of such key variables as water vapor, clouds, ocean-atmosphere interaction, solar cycles, ocean currents, and the natural carbon cycle. Those assumptions are fraught with uncertainties and may be little better than educated guesses. It is not surprising, therefore, that the models have been notoriously poor at replicating current and past climate. For example, the models that served as the scientific background for the 1992 Rio Treaty implied that the world should have warmed 1.5 C since the late 19th century. In fact, surface measurements indicate the world has warmed only 0.5 C. The models were off by a factor of three.
On May 6 the same date as the Wells Report was released, Exponent submitted a report on simulations in which three untrained employees attempted to deflate 12 balls in 1 minute 40 seconds with a standard needle. The subjects, after one try, achieved remarkably consistent results, both between subjects and between balls. The average deflation was 0.76 psi with a standard deviation of 0.11 psi.
There was a time, not so long ago, when above-the-fold content at some blogs was vehemently criticizing the surface temperature record in terms that suggested our collective ability to measure surface temperature or detect 0.7C or warming was so poor that we could not be confident the annual average surface temperature in 1900 was cooler than that in 2000. Or, possibly claims at the above the fold were less drastic and merely suggested the surface temperature record had some fairly large, difficult to quantify upward bias.
The eight researchers determined that in terms of the frequency, intensity and duration of droughts and pluvial events, "the 20th century contains some of the driest and wettest annual to decadal-scale events in the last 654 years." However - and it's a very big however - they report that "longer and more severe events were recorded in previous centuries."
Naturally, international aid agencies are jockeying for position to broker this wealth transfer. United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said that his organization is the "natural arena" for coordinated international action on climate change. To that end, the U.N. operates two programs to facilitate the flow of climate mitigation aid to developing countriesthe Global Environment Facility and the Clean Development Mechanism.
In the third scenario, "Turbulent world," the US is beset by disruptions in the supply of foreign oil, terrorism at home, and global warming-triggered extreme weather events. Responding to those challenges, federal policy makers enact a national renewable portfolio standard, increase new-car fuel economy standards to 50 mpg, promote distributed generation, and subsidize CO2 capture and sequestration technologies. Above all, in 2010, the federal government launches an Apollo-scale program to commercialize fuel cell and hydrogen technologies. Notwithstanding these measures, volatile energy prices, and a poorly performing economy, carbon emissions "grow to almost 20 percent above the 2000 level in 2035" about 40 percent above the U.S. Kyoto target.
Bangladeshis die in their thousands in floods, few die in Florida floods of the same magnitude. Bangladesh is among the most corrupt and backward countries in the world. Its people will continue to die in natural disasters until it has wealth, and the institutions to achieve that wealth. Limiting greenhouse gas emissions and energy use is the worst policy Bangladesh could follow.
By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Aug 14, 2015
We expect a summer pattern more like 2002-06, with above-normal temperatures.
Real Climate bashes Santa Fe and contrarians
In short, the growth rates built into the IAMs exceed that of the past two centuries in the U.S. (and the world) and therefore rule out the possibility that Weitzman offers as justification for the very low discount rates. The IWG cannot simultaneously entertain arguments for low discount rates and project high GDP growth rates. At least until economic growth in the IAMs is re-worked to match the lower rates implied by DDRs there can be no argument for DDRs in the IAMs.
To be sure, Congress never authorized EPA to shut down the coal industry. Rather, EPA is using creative interpretations of existing statutes to seize the power it needs to shutter existing coal-fired power plants and prevent new ones from being built, which raises an important question: Why hasn't Congress checked EPA's power grabs?
A blog by Professor Chris Turney on this subject, called A Lesson from Past Global Warming, can be viewed on his website at www.christurney.com
There are two tide gauges in the San Francisco Bay one shows 0.00 mm/year since 1980, and the other shows -0.78 mm/year since 1980.
1) Computer model output is not "evidence" of anything. Observations are evidence, never models. It's the scientific method, look it up.
Must save the worldeh? Mother Gaia is at risk from these bipedal invaderstime to eliminate humans.
I visualize it as taking some kind of baseline starting point (maybe a line toward the sun on the sun side?) and then subtracting the degrees away from it for each planet and making a net graph? A formula would have been helpful Also an A/B of actual sunspots vs the plot Still, the graph that is, is very interesting
China Typhoons, Early Half of Century. Several typhoons also struck the eastern China coast during the early half of the century, causing great hardship with deaths from some of the storms reaching the tens of thousands. For example, Typhoons striking the China coast in August 1912 and August 1922 resulted in fatality counts of 50,000 and 60,000 respectively.
Finally, consider the results from Ramanathan and Carmichael published in Nature Geoscience last year. These researchers reviewed the scientific understanding of how black carbon aerosols (aka soot) warm the earth's climate. Black carbon is not a GHG. Black carbon warms the earth by directly absorbing reflected solar radiation and also by darkening the surface of snow and ice when it is deposited there (and enhances melting). Ramanathan and Carmichael determined that in toto black carbon has been responsible for about 25% of the overall warming.
Last July a brief spell of temperatures in the mid 30s had caused some surface slush formation on top of the 1 to 1.5 mile thick Greenland ice. The NASA sensors merely color-coded the phase of the water ice (white), mixed water and ice (rose) and none (land grey). Rose meant some surface liquid. For Greenland, business as usual, because 150 years ago , there were no satellites to record the event.
The disaster for alarmists is that the winds have reversed and are pushing the ice towards the Pacific side, which is driving the massive recovery in the amount of Arctic sea ice up 60% from last summer.
EXCLUDING and misrepresenting unfavourable data does not provide a credible analysis into Australias extremely expensive carbon tax.
on Wednesday, September 8th, 2010 at 5:16 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
The RICO 20 campaign is incoherent on a deeper level. Shukla believes the feds should prosecute organizations that "knowingly mislead the public about a clear and present dangerthereby robbing innocent people of their lives and livelihoods." For more than two decades, climate action groups have knowingly misled the public about the perils of putting an energy-starved planet on an energy diet.
The "ball don't lie" expression has gained fame and is even the title of a popular basketball blog.
Thats not all, a quick glance at the graph shows globally averaged temperatures have remained below the January 24, 2006 benchmark (when Gores movie was released at the Sundance Film Festival) except for the first few months of 2007.
Figure 6 shows the step in temperature in 1998 at the Larsen Ice Shelf. The trend in cooling after 1998 is 1.8C/decade, the second fastest cooling on the Peninsula. Butler Island is cooling faster, at 1.9C/decade. (Of course 18C/century cooling is meant as sarcasm, and is only a trick that warmists like to use.)
The German Federal Office for Information Security, or BSI, said that it was aware of targeted attacks and all that was needed was to lure web surfers to a website where hackers had planted malicious software that exploited the IE bug to infect their PCs.
Dr. Madhav L. Khandekar : The earth's climate has NOT warmed in 16 years per UK Met Office! We may not see warming of the climate by more than 0.5C in next 50 to 100 years.
That is the one thing that they are definitely going to succeed in doing here and they will announce that as a victory in itself, and they will be right because that is the one and only single aim of this entire global warming conference, to establish the mechanism, the structure, and above all the funding for a world government. the British politician, business consultant, policy adviser exclusively told the Alex Jones show yesterday
GHG Control, Predominantly a Foreign Policy Problem
Last summer's ratcheting up of sanctions on oil and gas imports from Iran works similarly,
Carolus Linnaeus? classification system that named, ranked and classified organisms was a major advance in biology. Vladimir Koppen produced a climate classification system in 1884 that named ranked and classified climates based on the distribution of plants.
"Unfortunately, what will likely emerge a few months into the Clinton presidency is a deep desire by Republicans to recapture the party mojo by once again prevailing in the forthcoming 2018 midterm elections by using the old scorched-earth strategies."
So they are saying it. Silly them. Its a simple statement, but its not always true. If global warming tended to increase sea levels by, say, 0.3 mm/yr, but local isostatic rebounding was occurring at 0.4 mm/yr, the sea level wont rise, itll actually fall, because the land is rising.
Cutting the "Gordian knot" is necessary if the Forest Service is to properly manage national forest assets and reduce wildfires. A start would be to require environmental groups to post a sizable bond when they file lawsuits. If the area burns while the suit is in the courts, the bond would be forfeited to defray firefighting costs.
Back in December, the EPA announced that it had determined that greenhouse gases released by human activities "threaten the public health and welfare of current and future generations." This "Endangerment Finding" is the first step toward EPA's issuing regulations aimed at restricting GHG emissions in the U.S.
U.S.-Afghan cooperation extending at least ten years beyond the 2014 departure of the last American forces.
Read here . Global warming alarmists and the climate models have long predicted that the frequency of severe storms would increase. Data worldwide indicates otherwise and a new study by an EU researcher confirms this.
Given the extremely long and complex planning processes, large subsidies required, political controversy and long construction times (Hinkley Points will be about 10 years), it is not unrealistic to assume that just two more reactors are built with similar capacity to Hinkley Point by 2030.
The second reason to discuss greenhouse gas emissions in a diet and nutrition report would be to dispel the notion that through your choice of food you can "do something" about climate change. In this context, it would be appropriate to provide a quantitative example of how the dietary changes recommended by the DGAC would potentially impact projections of the future course
Not only that, "Mr. FOIA" (aka. Freedom of Information Act) has done it again. He has issued a password along with instructions to a select group that provides access to a new and much larger communications file, one which many of those researchers and their sponsoring organizations have worked very hard to suppress from legal FOIA requests. I have confirmed through reliable sources that this database is authentic. Some intriguing insights have already begun to surface.
And the report does not mention the smell. And not any other potential side effects. What about the bugs? At least on humans, garlic is believed to be a repellant. Will this in turn affect the bird life? Guess a new bunch of money would be welcome, before the entire idea is picked up by the Comission, for a garlic cow directive.
Global sea ice area is expanding rapidly, and is nearing a record high for early May. It is currently the second highest on record for the date, and the highest in 32 years.
Electric cars are likewise "environment friendly" only in the minds of renewable zealots. They require multiple large batteries that typically last up to three years and cost about $8,000 apiece, not including disposal costs, Diane Bacher points out in eHow. Battery disposal involves putting their hazardous metal wastes in special landfills, and the mass production of electric car batteries will create large volumes of hazardous wastes, while placing as much demand on the power grid as traditional vehicle equipment manufacturing, Bacher notes. Increased use of electric vehicles would put enormous strain on power grids that rely increasingly on intermittent wind and solar energy and less on coal, natural gas and nuclear.
17i. The ability of regional climate models to model extreme events for the next 10 years
Fifteen states are now home to more than 100 breweries: California, Washington, Colorado, Oregon, Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Texas, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Indiana.