Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But I digress in short, when I wrote pieces on the climate, I refused to write on the theory that chlorofluorocarbons were the sole cause of worldwide warming because that had never been proved. Now, though there was evidence that the use of aerosols were clearly evident in the upper atmosphere; the data did not support that this was the cause of the fear-mongering on ozone holes which was all the rage in the climate community of the late 1980s and 1990s.
In light of these several positive findings, Ginger et al . concluded that "larval and post-larval forms of the C. gigas in the Yellow Sea are probably resistant to elevated CO 2 and decreased near-future pH scenarios." In fact, they opine that "the pre-adapted ability to resist a wide range of decreased pH may provide C. gigas with the necessary tolerance to withstand rapid pH changes over the coming century." Reviewed 16 October 2013
01 Second Annual International Conference on Climate Change Podcast: Christopher Monckton
The Guardian's John Vidal tried to find the thinnest sliver lining in the very dark clouds over Bonn. Referring to the controversial Danish text, which would have sidelined the UN and abandoned the Kyoto Protocol, and the nonbinding Copenhagen Accords that President Obama helped cobble together at the last minute of the previous climate summit, Vidal suggests that perhaps "what we are seeing is the welcome, overdue correction to last year's kamikaze global diplomacy which fatally destabilised the global talks and ended in the Copenhagen fiasco. This analysis would say the negotiations are back on track, the majority of world countries are involved as opposed to just a few, and, with a fair wind and a raised level of ambition by everyone, it could lead to a much more balanced agreement."
Cut allowable mercury emissions by 69 percent - the first-ever national cap on mercury emissions. Emissions will be cut from current emissions of 48 tons to a cap of 26 tons in 2010, and 15 tons in 2018.
* Kavavaugh seems to make this point but says that the language ?each pollutant subject to regulation under this Chapter? does not occur in the section on PSD permitting . It does. Thus, I think he meant that the ?any air pollutant? language of CAA 169 does not occur in the PSD permitting section.
A quite recent headline in our news warned that Regions must brace for weather extremes: UN climate panel. Apparently this will be the after-effect of global warming caused by man-made greenhouse gases. We can expect more frequent extreme events such as the drought in Texas and the Thailand floods because of global warming, they said.
3) No nation is willing to pay the political price for the economic devastation that will occur if it seriously suppresses its energy use.
National Research Council, 2010. Hidden Costs of Energy: Unpriced Consequences of Energy Production and Use. National Academies Press, Washington DC, pp. 474. http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record id=12794
Modelling the vertical structure of water vapour is subject to greater uncertainty since the humidity profile is governed by a variety of processes. The CMIP3 models exhibited a significant dry bias of up to 25% in the boundary layer and a significant moist bias in the free troposphere of up to 100% (John and Soden, 2007). Upper tropospheric water vapour varied by a factor of three across the multi-model ensemble (Su et al., 2006). Many models have large biases in lower stratospheric water vapour (Gettelman et al., 2010), which could have implications for surface temperature change (Solomon et al., 2010).
Note the exposed dark mudflats. What sort of natural surface has the lowest albedo, and thus absorbs the greatest amount of solar radiation?
For example, the Scandinavian countries, which have already implemented carbon taxes, could continue on that path. The United States and other countries interested in tradable permits, or a system combining permits with a cost cap, could use that approach. Other European countries might want to try a combination of command-and-control regulations and market-based approaches.
And this question is far from decided. I won't get into all the arguments here, but to the extent there is any consensus, it is that man' CO2 is probably causing some warming. Whether this is a catastrophe or a nuisance depends on feedbacks which are not well understood.
The lethal effects of existing fuel economy standards have been amply documented by the National Academy of Sciences and other authorities. But as the history of the air bag mandate demonstrates, dismissing CAFE-safety concerns as an "industry argument' can be one very deadly mistake.
The four researchers concluded that the phenomena they observed "may contribute to nutritional feedback mechanisms to sustain tree growth when nutrients become limiting," such as some have hypothesized might occur over time in trees growing on low-fertility soils in CO 2 -enriched air (see Nitrogen (Progressive Limitation Hypothesis) in our Subject Index). The findings of this study, however, as well as those of the study of de Graaff et al . (2009) -- which was published in the same issue of Soil Biology & Biochemistry -- clearly indicate that earth's plants are well equipped to deal with this hypothetical roadblock to higher plant productivity in a CO 2 -enriched world of the future. Reference
Adjunct Scholar Fran Smith criticizes Immelt's proposal.
Global sea ice area is also above normal, as it has been for much of the year.
He added that, "We can't accept selling the credits cheaply to the EU." Aleksander Popov, head of the environment department at the Fuel and Energy Ministry, said, "It will depend on how Japan responds. If we cannot secure buyers it will be meaningless."
Some 200 nations may sign a modest Kyoto II climate treaty, say December 2014 media reports from Lima, Peru. But will developing nations agree to stop using coal to generate electricity? No. Curtail economic growth? No. Cease emitting carbon dioxide? Maybe, but only a little, sometime in the future, when it is more convenient to do so, without binding commitments. Then why would they sign a treaty?
1. We have shown that the Parker Nature study entitled Large-scale warming is not urban has serious issues on its conclusions, as well as demonstrated that an unrecognized until now warm bias occurs in nighttime minimum temperatures ( see Pielke Sr., R.A., and T. Matsui, 2005: Should light wind and windy nights have the same
Speaking of fossil energy-thirsty China, Kerry has deftly negotiated a "unique cooperative effort" with the country to combat climate change. Speaking at a press conference at a Beijing car-making factory he said: "I'm very pleased to report today that the leaders of China have agreed to join us in a mutual effort China and the United States will put extra effort into exchanging information and discussing policies that will help both of us to be able to develop and lead on the standards that need to be announced next year in the global climate change agreement."
6.	"Climate change is hitting humans and nature worldwide to an extent that is historically without an example." When the "green" Greenland got its ice shelf, it was much worse!
Yes, you can be happy that lots of folks have managed to get control of their domain (regulators, unions, politicians). That this then breaks the ability of a market system to adapt and respond to unexpected events is only natural To then complain about the system YOU have constructed is interesting theater but perhaps not in the way you think.
Remember, emissions must be reduced below 1990 levels. That baseline was carefully chosen. Emissions in Germany and the Soviet Union were still very high in 1990. Germany had just swallowed up East Germany, then still using inefficient coal-fired plants. Now that they have been modernized and incorporated into Germany proper, the demand that emissions must be reduced below 1990 levels becomes, for Germany, a painless exercise in anti-American moralizing. The same goes for Russia. In the last eight years, economic activity in the former Soviet Union has fallen by about one-third. Today, therefore, Russia is way below its old emissions levelsalthough not because it has followed environmentalist prescriptions. Britain has shifted from coal to North Sea oil and gas, so that it, too, is safely below its former emission levels.
Actually my point is what has Boko Haram and ISIS got to do with Climate Change ? answer is f..k all.
But thanks to drilling and fracking on private lands, under commonsense state regulations, U.S. oil and gas production is increasing, for the first time in 15 years, despite continued leasing and drilling moratoria on federal onshore and offshore lands. America is on the threshold of a manufacturing renaissance fueled largely by access to abundant, reliable, affordable fuels and petrochemical feed stocks, to power and supply raw materials for factories, refineries and chemical plants.
six decades with the blood of our citizens and the strength of our arms." In essence, the fundamental aims of American foreign policy are universal
Economy In Jeopardy As Budget Deal Affirms EPA Climate Programs
The global temperature ?savings? of the Kerry-Lieberman bill is astoundingly small?0.043 C (0.077 F) by 2050 and 0.111 C (0.200 F) by 2100. In other words, by century?s end, reducing U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 83% will only result in global temperatures being one-fifth of one degree Fahrenheit less than they would otherwise be. That is a scientifically meaningless reduction.
Environmental Policy: The administration should work towards extending market institutions that help conservation efforts by shoring up property rights.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Economic Policy Fellow John Berlau on why the court's verdict is a victory for investors:
Temperature oscillations recorded in Greenland ice cores over the past 500 years (Fig. 2) are truly remarkable. At least 40 periods of warming and cooling have occurred since 1480 AD, all well before CO 2 emissions could have been a factor.
But as Aaron Wildavsky, one of the great policy analysts of the 20th Century documented, some risks are unsuited to pre-emptive mitigation. Attempting to head risks off ahead of time generally fails unless the nature of the risk is extremely well known, and the efficacy of the proposed intervention is equally well known. Consider this: say that you're a batter, and you're 70% sure that you know the pitcher is going to throw you a fast ball. Your success hitting that particular pitcher's fast ball is also 70%. What's the probability you'll actually hit the ball? Only 49%. The other 51% of the time, either he throws a different pitch and you miss, or he throws the fastball and you miss.
New York City is 1199's true power center, however. It's hard to overstate the significance of 1199 to the so-called progressive movement that now controls almost every major city office. City council speaker and leader of the Progressive Caucus Melissa Mark-Viverito is a former organizer for 1199, which has played an active role in her career from the beginning. The union suggested that the Puerto Ricanborn and Columbia Universityeducated heiress move from Greenwich Village to East Harlem to establish a political base. To help her launch her campaign for the city council speakership, 1199 threw a lavish party in San Juan. The union's political director, Kevin Finnegan, served on Mark-Viverito's transition team when she became speaker.
In discussing the findings of their experiment, Hikami et al . say that the upward trend in the calcification of C. gaudichaudii in response to ocean acidification "can probably be attributed to the increase in CO 2 , possibly through enhancement of symbiont photosynthesis, a phenomenon known as the CO 2 -fertilizing effect," citing Ries et al . (2009), although the concept was first described several years earlier by Idso et al . (2000). And in discussing possible causes of the two contrasting types of calcification response to atmospheric CO 2 enrichment (positive and negative), they speculate that "the type of symbiont influences the strength of the CO 2 -fertilizing effect."
This microbial carbon dioxide production may cause a 2 to 3 degree Celsius rise in global temperatures over the next 100 years. He also says that, "The failure to incorporate animals and their interactions with microbial communities into global decomposition models has been highlighted as a critical limitation in our understanding of carbon cycling under current and future climate scenarios."
Over some multidecadal periods, the sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic warm faster than the rest of the global oceans, and during other multidecadal periods, the North Atlantic sea surface temperatures warm slower than the rest of the global oceans and can cool dramatically. For the period of November 1981 to February 2014, the sea surface temperatures of the North Atlantic were on one of their naturally occurring upswings.
I have plotted below the numbers of these tornadoes since 1970 using the data from NOAAs Storm Prediction Centre.
Citigroups Energy 2020 report says the US petroleum industry could add as many as 3.6 million jobs by 2020 and increase the US gross domestic product by as much as 3 percent, while also generating billions of dollars in lease bonuses, rents, royalties and taxes for local, state and federal governments.
I know someone who was killed doing this, in what I suspect was the same manner. The truck's hydraulics were functional, but the control levers to engage them were not. Thus, the box had to be raised by activating the hydraulics from under the truck. As it did, the weight of the sliding load caused the truck to suddenly move forward (the brakes were defective or disengaged) and he was crushed beneath the rear wheels.
GM advocates have been slow to respond, or don't want to counter misinformation at all. A website, GMO Answers, was developed just last year, providing access to at least some experts on the technology. That's years too late for an issue that has been contentious for more than two decades.
As just explained,GHG regulation of motor vehicles would activate PSD regulation of stationary sources, and PSD isan essential adjunctof the NAAQS program.PSDs central purpose is toprevent significant deterioration of air quality in areas that comply with NAAQS.
In essence, what we have here is a new satellite using new tools to take measurements. The data recovered is analyzed using guesses and inferences. Their analysis is presented with a margin of error as large as the amount of ice they say is melting from Antarctica. The loss is is less than 1% of the normal annual melt.
Besides making claims that overstate how much we know about the science of climate change, the Initiative's main claim bases its call for action on the notion that "the consequences of climate change will be significant, and will hit the poor the hardest." This ignores the extreme uncertainty involved, as the consequences depend on the projected temperature rises, which are themselves in dispute. There is significant uncertainty even within the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as to what the temperature rises will be. Rises of 1.5 C may not have much effect, whereas rises of 5.4 C may have a profound effect. But the actual data, as opposed to the models, suggest a modest temperature rise of just over 1 C.
While better than the government controlling any of it, one can't help from realizing that the cultural and political views of Americans are somewhat shaped by a tiny group of people.
Even my most antagonistic critics have nearly always understood that I have not attempted to offer my own reconstruction. Indeed, this annoys many critics e.g. here . On numerous occasions, Ive explained that reconciliation of inconsistencies between proxies especially between seemingly like proxies in the same region is, in my opinion, a prerequisite prior to any reconstruction being anything other than arbitrary. The inconsistency between various lines of evidence in the Yamal-Polar Urals region is a type case of such inconsistency.
A Czech tractor driver died under eight tons of manure in a bizarre accident that has baffled his employers, local media reported. The 34-year old man, identified only as Martin T, suffocated after the load fell on him while he was dumping it in a field near the western Czech city of Karlovy Vary, news Web Site www.novinky.cz reported Sunday. "It absolutely beats me how this could happen," said Vladimir Erps, chief of the company employing the victim. "The truck is operated from the tractor cabin, using hydraulics. There was nothing for him to do under the truck, but it's tough to blame him now that he is dead," the news site quoted him as saying.
We can expect the onset of a deep bicentennial minimum of total solar irradiance (TSI) in approximately 204211 and the 19th deep minimum of global temperature in the past 7500 years in 205511. After the maximum of solar cycle 24, from approximately 2014 we can expect the start of deep cooling with a Little Ice Age in 205511. Habibullo I. Abdussamatov, Russian Academy of Science, 1 February 2012
UAW Speaks More Softly, Still Carries Big Stick
Figure 10 is presenting the depth of the 20 deg C isotherm along a band from 2S to 2N. The positive anomalies, working their way eastward since the beginning of 2014, were caused by the downwelling Kelvin wave, which pushes down on the thermocline (the 20 deg C isotherm). Youll note how the anomalies grew in strength as the Kelvin wave migrated east. That does not mean the Kelvin wave is getting stronger as it traveled east; that simply indicates that the thermocline is normally closer to the surface in the eastern equatorial Pacific than it is in the western portion.
Images: WA Parliament House Nachoman-au , Cottesloe Beach: WA Tourism
In January 2015, a Greenpeace activist called for the beheading of a member of the House of Lords on the website of the Guardian. When challenged, he repeated the call, and again. People who questioned the wisdom of these remarks were attacked or banned. The Guardian actively moderates its comments, but even though Gary Evans calls to behead Matt Ridley caused a bit of a stir, it took the editors 32 hours to realize that death threats against political opponents is not really how we like to do things in Britain nowadays. (The Guardian has since worked hard to try to erase the past.) As if on cue, Natalie Bennett, Green Party leader, called for the decriminalisation of belonging to a violent terror group. The Guardian simultaneously carried stories about the beheading of a Japanese hostage by Islamic State.
Not just Damon and Kunens (already mentioned here )by chance, I have found yet another Science paper (this time Broecker from August 1975 ) making it clear that, for a few years up to then, the general consensus among scientists had been that the world was cooling:
"Staff attorneys at the Department of Justice (DOJ) and Federal Communications Commission (FCC) are busy reviewing the legality of the proposed merger between giant wireless carriers AT&T; and T-Mobile."
Q. Even putting aside the fact that Exponentsresults were not statistically significant, are you
Tree-ring expert Michael Mann had simply picked up Saltzman's thread. Mann's highly dramatic "hockey stick' graph was to dress the scene very nicely for the launch of the 2001 Third Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Overnight Mann re-wrote the paleoclimatic record to the astonishment of solar physicists, geologists and historians worldwide.
Our tax code shows what happens when government's power to award special privileges swamps the public interest Let's not compound the error by bribing U.S. companies to acquiesce in the biggest global regulatory regime yet conceived. Kyoto must stand or fall (as we expect it will) on its merits.
All of which is why I tried (badly) to make the counter argument that if (according to Oreskes) skeptics are motivated by their belief in defence of an ideology of laissez-faire governence, opposition to government regulation (sic), then the opposite might also explain the warmist viewpoint. Now I take your previous comment that it is not down simple party political faultlines but
Other left-wing academics who understand the illogic of confident assertion, such as Mr. Obamas, say nothing rather than undermine positions that they personally support, ideals such as environmental protection and social justice. So they sell out philosophically, backing off from the skepticism they would normally practice.
My name is David Kreutzer. I am Research Fellow in Energy Economics and Climate Change at The Heritage Foundation. The views I express in this testimony are my own, and should not be construed as representing any official position of The Heritage Foundation.
I asked Professor Hegerl about the now embarrassingly large discrepancy between the IPCCs medium-term interval of temperature predictions made in 1990 and the observed outturn in the subsequent quarter of a century, which was only half the IPCCs central estimate. The IPCC had accordingly halved its predicted interval of medium-term warming from degrees per decade in 1990 to degrees per decade in 2013. Outturn since 1979, on all measures, had been closer to 0.1 than 0.2 degrees per decade.
KENNETH P. GREEN AND STEVEN F. HAYWARD
Normally, carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are in balance with levels of carbon dioxide in the ocean. However, if water and air were cut off by a thick layer of ice during Snowball Earth, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels could have increased drastically. In a phenomenon similar to the climate change Earth is witnessing in modern times, high levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide would have created a greenhouse gas warming effect, trapping heat inside the planets atmosphere and melting the Marinoan ice. Essentially, the Marinoan glaciation created the potential for extreme changes in atmospheric chemistry that in turn lead to the end of Snowball Earth and the beginning of a new explosion of animal life on Earth.
Figure 4. Observed global temperature history, 1950-2009 (black). "Corrected" global temperature history (red line). "Corrected" temperature history with general influence of stratospheric water vapor (according to Solomon et al., 2010) removed (green line). "Corrected" temperature history with general influence of stratospheric water vapor (according to Solomon et al., 2010) removed and the influence of black carbon (according to Ramanathan and Carmichael, 2009) removed (blue line).
The nitrogen factor. A team of Japanese scientists grew rice at ambient and elevated CO2 with variations in nitrogen (N) solution in the soil. The Yamakawa et al. team found that The dry matter of rice was increased by elevated CO2 and that the amount of N uptake seemed to limit rice growth. Assuming rice farmers of the future do not run out of nitrogen (which would be like running out of air), their yields will increase substantially.
Since the ice extent dropped to a record level in 2007, heavy snowfall, much more abundant than normal were observed in vast areas of North America, continental Europe and China, according to the article, published on February 27.
The actual warming has been slightly less than Hansen's Scenario C
Art exhibit portrays the wildly incoherent message from the climate science community, and the lemmings who follow them .
What is most interesting about the Conference is the battle part of all this, which Heartland seems to be losing. Joe Bast describes the battle in this recent blog post :