Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In what appears to be a major concerted effort, several Green activist organizations have released reports warning about the dangers of global warming, and the media are reporting them with the same seriousness they would peer-reviewed scientific papers. Greenpeace (see below) has released a report that claims that coral reefs could disappear in the next 100 years.
Consider other recent research that ought to give our arm-chair climatologists in Congress pause.
Dr Mayor added: Our results highlight a potentially positive effect of global warming it may increase the number of healthy copepods in our seas, which is good news for the larvae of fish such as cod and herring, and ultimately fishermen.
The endangerment decision has a number of serious flaws. The agency decided to rely on existing reports, primarily that of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). As the EPA's Alan Carlin and climate analyst and skeptic Pat Michaels document, this creates a problem, because the scientific work on which the last IPCC report rests is now more than three years old, and in the intervening period several significant research reports have appeared that cast serious doubt on its conclusions.
If I take the average annual increment from 1958-1981 and increase it by 1.5% per year until 2008, I get 385.35 ppmv. The Mauna Loa Observatory's value for 2008 is 385.57 ppmv.
Biases Driving Biases in CMIP5 Models of Earth's Major Monsoons (14 January 2015)
11a. Data availability for climate change analysis is currently adequate or inadequate
If the Alliance survived a debacle of the magnitude of Suez in 1956, it can withstand anything. The main danger for NATO therefore is not military failure or even a Suez-like temporary political meltdown, but something more insidious. Over time, what an ill-conceived globalization of NATO could lead to is the transformation of the tactical coalition that the Shanghai Cooperation Organization currently is into a strategic "NATO of the East" while at the same time perverting the Atlantic Alliance into, so to speak, a "SEATO of the West" namely, a make-believe alliance with no viable strategy (because a conventional military configuration is irrelevant when the threats are of the asymmetric variety) and no coherent policy (because the interests of the global members are simply too heterogeneous to ever converge.)
Flashback 2011: Gore now claims "increased heavy snowfalls are completely consistent with man-made global warming' But Gore never warned of looming "heavy snowfalls' in his 2006 film The man who "created' the Internet finds his website (and his science) not up to the task Climate Depot's Rebuttal
The US administration has made clear it will not sign up to a Kyoto-style deal, with stringent emission reduction targets, but will consider new and cleaner technologies. Although no major proposals for action are expected, nor any new money to develop clean technologies.
The downbeat attitude was further reinforced with the end of the Cold War in the late 1980s. It was widely understood that this represented the death of socialism's traditional conceptions. Less commonly appreciated was the general acceptance that no form of improved society is possible. The "end of history" proclaimed at the time was really the end, at least for the time being, of the idea of progress.
Arroyo: Carol, some groups say the 2013 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, that they failed to recognize this pause in global warming. Is that an issue? Do they have a point? Theres been this sort of 18 year pause where, you dont, its not warming up? (See: Global warming pause expands to new record length': No warming for 18 years 5 months )
Since the discovery and generation of energy with coal, oil, and natural gas, generations have lived lives not only different from all who preceded them, but better in so many ways, not the least of which is extended life expectancy. Nations with energy are places where people live longer, healthier lives. They are also wealthier nations where the energy translates into industry, jobs, transportation, and all the other attributes of modern life.
It is instructive to note that over the past century and a half of ever-increasing fossil fuel utilization and atmospheric CO 2 buildup , the frequency of the most intense category of hurricanes in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico has been lower than it was over the prior five millennia , which speaks volumes about the climate-alarmist claim that continued anthropogenic CO 2 emissions will lead to more frequent super cyclones and hurricanes.
Families will face sleep deprivation, greater stress and depression, and more drug and alcohol abuse, spousal and child abuse, and theft and robbery. Nutrition and medical care will suffer. More people will have strokes and heart attacks. More will die prematurely or commit suicide. More elderly people will perish from hypothermia, because they cannot afford to heat their homes properly.
"In one of the most politically charged judicial elections since Rose Bird lost her seat in California, Wisconsin voters marched to the polls and delivered a dead heat. Fewer than 600 votes separate incumbent Justice David Prosser and his labor-backed opponent, JoAnne Kloppenburg, with Prosser barely in front. Almost 1.5 million voters cast ballots in this race, not far from the 2.1 million who voted in November's Senate race, an indication of the stakes involved in this election:"
There was a cooling scare in the early 1970s at the end of the last cooling phase. The current global warming alarm is based on the last warming oscillation, from 1975 to 2001. The IPCC predictions simply extrapolated the last warming as if it would last forever, a textbook case of alarmism. However the last warming period ended after the usual thirty years or so, and the global temperature is now definitely tracking below the IPCC predictions.
For starters, UN Rio+20 Conference threatens people, prosperity, and nature too.
9) Are Humans Responsible for the CO2 Rise? While there are short-term (year-to-year) fluctuations in the atmospheric CO2 concentration due to natural causes, especially El Nino and La Nina, I currently believe that most of the long-term increase is probably due to our use of fossil fuels. But from what I can tell, the supposed ?proof? of humans being the source of increasing CO2 ? a change in the atmospheric concentration of the carbon isotope C13 ? would also be consistent with a natural, biological source. The current atmospheric CO2 level is about 390 parts per million by volume, up from a pre-industrial level estimated to be around 270 ppm?maybe less. CO2 levels can be much higher in cities, and in buildings with people in them.
Video: Heartland Event Featuring Cedric Keith A Discussion About Libertarian Ecology
The study , by scientist Leif Kullman, analyzed 455 radiocarbon-dated mega-fossils in the Scandes mountains and found that tree lines for different species of trees were higher during the Roman and Medieval times than they are today. Not only that, but the temperatures were higher as well.
We have this extra term "qubit" or "quantum bit" to describe a unit of information in quantum mechanics. Does it prove that the information means something completely different in quantum physics? Well, yes and no. To have the information \(n\) qubits means to describe the physical system as a vector in a \(2^n\)-dimensional complex linear Hilbert space \(\HH\). Or a density matrix in the corresponding space of density matrices pretty much in \(\HH\otimes \HH\). But you must understand that this state vector isn't classical information yet. It's just an auxiliary tool to predict information to predict information that you may call classical.
Since the President and President-elect start spending quality Oval Office time together today, and since the incoming admistration's advisors can't settle on either pushing a "Big Bang" agenda or something more incremental, we at CEI are more than happy to help. While they're busy trying to lower expectations for a 100-Day agenda, we prefer to raise them--but in the direction of freedom rather than yet more central planning from Washington.
Power markets are too volatile and carbon prices too low to drive investment in expensive, capital-intensive renewables, nuclear power and carbon capture and storage, and help Britain meet binding national CO2 targets.
Im game. Since this is a game, Im not going to provide a lot of caveats for my method.
Back then, meteorologist Anthony Watts was busy documenting evidence of problems with the official temperature record in the US because of poor placement of weather stations and Ross McKitrick was attempting to calculate just how artificially elevated temperatures might be as a consequence.
FakeGate: Just Another Day at Team GreenChris Horner's post in The American Spectator Blogs
RIVERSIDE, Calif. Oxygen in the atmosphere and ocean rose dramatically about 600 million years ago, coinciding with the first proliferation of animal life. Since then, numerous short lived biotic events typically marked by significant climatic perturbations took place when oxygen concentrations in the ocean dipped episodically.
Would a straight shooterconcoct anything as weirdly convoluted as this rule? The Clean Air Act defines performance standard as a standard for emissions of air pollutants which reflects the degree of emission limitation achievable through the application of the best system of emission reduction which . . . the Administrator determines has been adequately demonstrated. The EPA picked 1,000 lbs CO2/MWh as the standard because that is a typical emissions rate of new NGCC power plants. But NGCC is a type of power plant, not a system of emission reduction.Gas turbines have been adequately demonstrated only as power sources not as emission reduction systems for coal boil ers. To my knowledge, the EPA has neverbeforeselected a performance standard such that one type of facility can comply only by being something other than what it is .
Curtis Brainard of the Columbia Journalism Review observed: I?d say that most journalists didn?t learn anything from the ?ClimateGate? and IPCC-errors ?pseudo scandals??those events only served to confuse editors and reporters.? He was less confused about motives behind the reporting of those events, stating, ?The New York Times had a great front-page story about climate denial being an ?article of faith? for the Tea Party, which made it clear that the group?s climate politics are not synchronous with climate science.?
Two countries Brazil and Indonesia produced the highest emissions between 2000 and 2005, and accounted for 55 percent of total emissions from tropical deforestation. Nearly 40 percent of all forest loss in the study region was concentrated in the dry tropics, but accounted for only 17 percent of total carbon emissions, reflecting low carbon stocks in these forests compared to tropical moist forests.
Australias antarctic runway melting | Gloucester Advocate
The other report is Reproduction and the Carbon Legacies of Individuals byPaul A. Murtaugha and Michael G. Schlax, published in the journal, Global Environmental Change .
Solvable - This nation is lucky that the problem is solvable. We already have technology available so we don't have to burn 10 times more fossil fuel. The life we enjoy comes from us. To solve the problem it will take courage to try solutions based on the free market.
Such claims have become popular among academic sophisticates.
scientists are putting the growth acceleration down to rising temperatures and the extended growing season. Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and nitrogen are other factors contributing to the faster growth.??
These several observations help to demonstrate the worldwide nature of the millennial-scale oscillation of climate that alternately brings the planet century-scale warm and cold periods independently of any variations in atmospheric CO 2 concentration , which suggests there is no need to invoke the historical rise in the air's CO 2 content as the cause of the Little Ice Age-to-Current Warm Period transition, as it is likely nothing more than the natural continuation of this age-old cycle of climate. Reviewed 16 July 2008
Specifically addressing the Keystone pipeline, Podesta has said: "I think he should not approve it. I'm of the view that you just can't meet the standard now that Obama set out: Does it or does it not significantly exacerbate the problem of carbon pollution? What are the net effects? And I think a fair review of that would say the net effects are big and they're negative."
My interim conclusion is that while it might be the case than some very hot days might have a negative impact on drought stressed crops, this may be more than offset by the beneficient aspects of generally increased sunshine hours and longer growing seasons, not to mention extra co2, which is known to reduce drought stress and increase grain and fruit size. We would be able to make better assessments if sunshine hours figures were available for the specific locations in France where the data was gathered.
New rock fracturing technology available starting in 2008 has caused a recent boom in Bakken production. By the end of 2010 oil production rates had reached 458,000 barrels (72,800m 3 ) per day outstripping the capacity to ship oil out of the Bakken. The production technology gain has led a veteran industry insider to declare that the USGS estimates are too low.
So the Government is using Peter Spencer's land as a "carbon sink". Peter Spencer is not using his land at all. He is not allowed to. And he can't sell it. The governments of New South Wales and of the Australian Commonwealth have exercised eminent domain over his property, making it in all but name theirs and not his. And they have not compensated him, on just terms or on any terms.
A long-awaited United Nations report on global warming predicts rising global temperatures over the next century.
8.	"The fight against climate change is the central touchstone for a solidary global society " No, nobody can fight solar activity.
Unfortunately for the prognosticators, an official El Nino didn't occur although the waters in the tropical Pacific were slightly above normal. Perhaps, we should have called it El Tepid.
It sure looks to me like no net heat gain in Australian Vineyards. Nice cyclical rolling motion, though. Bit o warm in 2001, then a gentle fall off back to a lower normal range. 2004 ought to be a nice vintage for German Style whites Id expect the 2001 vintage to have been picked early for the reds, lest they be thin. But a properly harvested Australian Red from 2001 could be quite nice, especially the lighter styles. If the same pattern held for New Zealand, they might well have gotten enough heat to make some reds with rich body. (Often, New Zealand is not hot enough to make a sturdy red. They make wonderful wines, but a lighter style. Ill have to look up a 2001 N.Z. red and see how it is..)
The IPCCs 4.8 C-by-2100 prediction is four times the observed real-world warming trend since we might in theory have begun influencing it in 1950.
The former prime minister will be paid at least 700,000 a year to act as a ?strategic adviser? to Khosla Ventures, a venture capitalist firm founded by Indian billionaire Vinod Khosla.
At a Jan. 6 meeting of the South Dakota Public Utility Commission, regulators allowed the re-approval process to continue. But in a December meeting, the opponents were granted "party status" in the approval process, meaning they can cross-examine witnesses and request documents from TransCanada. Sure enough, on Jan. 6, Dakota Rural Action requested documents from the commission.
Morgan argued that Kyoto's "most severe impact would be on consumers, not producers of energy. ecause more than 80 percent of greenhouse gas emissions come from the consumption of energy rather than its production." Morgan also warned, "Since EnCana operates in many countries in the world, we have greater flexibility than non-international companies to move our investment programs if growth is constrained here in Canada."
Neither of them asked what kind of scientific consensus it was if, say, Freeman Dyson of the Princeton Institute of Advanced Studies declined to join it. Isnt the overwhelming scientific consensus really just a consensus between climate scientists, and therefore no more impressive than the undoubted fact that one hundred percent of gymnasium attendants believe that regular exercise is vital to longevity?
What a total waste of time. Famiglietti mouthed off to Envronmental Science and Technology last August and replaced Saiers as editor in charge of our file. He then took the comments by Ritson and by A&W; (already rejected by Saiers) out of the garbage can, told us that the Ritson comment was accepted, then he rejected the Ritson comment after he saw our reply. Likewise with Ammann and Wahl. Needless to say, Famiglietti did not say that the Little Whopper was rejected because it withheld adverse results or misrepresented our work, but merely because "the key points of the debate are already out there" ??? which was the same (perhaps polite) reason that Saiers gave in the first place last May.
Bove found also most large outbreaks and major tornadoes occur in cold (La Nina) or neutral (La Nada) years. He refers to the analyses by Grazulis in 1991.
In the absence of any explanation of the substitution , there is reason to be concerned about the reasons for using one series rather than the other
Perhaps the "leaders," in signing their names, have "accepted the science," but read what individuals have to say in the comment portion of any of the aforementioned news stories and you'll see that there is still a great deal of debate regarding global warmingor was it global cooling, or maybe we should just call it climate change. Whatever it is, the alarmists say is urgent.
That episode is apt because of the central role trust plays and because of the role puzzle solvers play in uncovering that the do-gooder aliens cannot be trusted. Serving, of course, has now taken on new meanings, as in you got served or pwned. With the release of the news that Mann successfully instructed Wahl to delete emails, its clear that Mann got served or pwned by Wahl; but more importantly, he got served or assisted by Dr. Pell, Dr. Scaroni, Dr Brune, and Dr. Foley. Who are they? They are the Penn State team who served Dr. Mann by purporting to exonerate him in the Penn State inquiry, despite Mann??s own non-responsive response to a key question being on its face evasive, and begging followup questions. Regardless, Mann??s non-answer did not even purport to support their conclusion about his actions. In short, they covered for him.
Here we show compelling evidence for a growing trend in the ferocity of strong tornadoes across the United States.
The dendrochronological data from this recent sampling have not yet been published and it is the prerogative of the Ekaterinburg laboratory to publish the first dendroclimatological analysis of the data that they have spent many years and extensive effort in collecting and processing. ...
It's spin of course, although perhaps not quite as blatant as we are used to from Fiona Fox et al. As one might expect there's a lot of emphasis on natural variability and not a lot on why the observations are on the cusp of falling out of the uncertainty bands. Lots of "our understanding is getting better" and not a lot of "nobody has a clue what's going on".
5) UK Government Begins To Shift Freeze Blame Onto Science Community
United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bali Hijacked by European Liberals
Recall that CO2 was more or less steady at 280 ppm before starting its sharp climb 150 years ago. Yet, the smoothed temperature curves over a range of almost 2C and the annual measurements range over 6C! This completely contradicts the old storyline that climate had been more or less stable before man started emitting CO2. Clearly an array of powerful natural factors are at play here.
The unexpected development of cycle 24 emphasizes the need for a better way to model future solar activity. In this article, we analyze the accumulation of spotless days during individual cycles from 17982010. The analysis shows that spotless days do not disappear abruptly in the transition toward an active Sun. A comparison with past cycles indicates that the ongoing accumulation of spotless days is comparable to that of cycle 5 near the Dalton minimum and to that of cycles 12, 14, and 15. It also suggests that the ongoing cycle has as much as 208 spotless days left, from July 2010, before it reaches the next solar maximum. The last spotless day is predicted to be in December 2012, with an uncertainty of 11 months. This trend may serve as input to the solar dynamo theories.
Business leaders criticised the CRC which was created by Labour but implemented by the Coalition as "complex and bureaucratic". One accused ministers of swinging "a big hammer" at companies and questioned whether it would have any environmental benefits.
In 1988, in a move that marked a shift to the politicization of forecasts, Congress asked the Environmental Protection Agency to report on the potential effects of global warming. Computer forecasting became much more complex; output from the huge climate models became input into ecological models. My projection for the little warbler was part of that work. The attempt was to be more realistic, but the result was that forecasts became more difficult to verify and also more alarming, thus drawing more and more public attention.
Take the current (!) financial crisis as an example. Many of the banks and brokerages failed to both define the events that are now happening, and they extent of the cost of those events. How much will it cost to clean it up? Nobody knows. This is the proper answer. We might be able to bound itmore than half a billion, sayand that might be the best anybody can say (except that I have been asked to pay for it).
Agreements 5, 6, and 7 are bilateral agreements to cooperate on a program (GLOBE) to promote primary- and secondary-school science and education on the environment. The program was created by an inter-agency agreement among the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Organization (NOAA), the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), and the National Science Foundation (NSF) in 1998. The program is to be funded up to $2 million annually from the budgets of the participating agencies.
Such an attitude shows how removed from reality the deep green mentality has become.
The limited success of such energy conservation campaigns reveals an unpleasant reality for fans of energy frugality: it is hard for consumers to change their direct energy use radically or quickly. Houses and cars are expensive, depreciating, long-lasting assets. Household energy efficiency modifications can be costly, unsightly, inconvenient, or all of the above. Patchwork changes may not even deliver energy benefits. For instance, installing double-paned windows in an old, poorly insulated house might result in little or no energy savings. In recent decades, the square footage of new houses has expanded. Many Americans clearly value having more space but may not be able to afford to make these larger homes more energy efficient.
By hiding the true cost of wind energy, the PTC makes the Presidents carbon agenda appear less costly than it actually is. Wind energy is one of the most expensive sources of electricity: power from new wind resources is nearly four times more expensive than from existing nuclear and nearly three times more expensive than from existing coal. Perhaps the most significant thing this Congress can do to protect ratepayers and taxpayers from the damage of the Presidents carbon regulation is preventing another extension of the wind PTC.