Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Because people knew that with Satans help one could cook the weather, the extreme weather and harsh conditions during that period contributed to mass executions and Witch Trials.
Quote of the week #9 negative thermometers
?This was the year that even one scientist at NASA predicted that the Arctic ice in the summer would be gone completely,? he said. ?Well, there?s 60 percent more ice this year than last year and the reason is because of the cooling sun and the cooling temperatures.?
Everybody understands that suburban sprawl, snow removal, pavement, brick, dark roofs, huge amounts of fuel being burned, etc. causes temperatures to rise. It defies explanation how scientists could accept a finding that UHI is not affecting the temperature record.
The big winner in the climate change money train is the National Science Foundation. They are requesting $1.616 billion dollars. They want $766 million dollars for the Science, Engineering and Education for Sustainability Program. This is a 15.9% increase from their last budget. They also need another $370 million for the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) an increase of 16%. They say they also need another $480 million for Atmospheric Sciences an increase of 8.1% and Earth Sciences up 8.7%. Oh, and not to be left out we need $955 million for the Geosciences Directorate, an increase of 7.4%. That?s a mighty hefty sum of money to dig into if you?re doing climate change research.
A statistician, who up to then had nothing to do with climate science, described Mann as the mastermind of an international conspiracy, aformer industry consultant who claimed Mann did not do his work properly.
The data show that the environment is not an issue on the front burner for most Americans today. In Pew's 2016 question about priorities for President Obama and Congress, 47 percent said "protecting the environment" should be a top priority. As a point of comparison, 75 percent said strengthening the nation's economy and, separately, defending the country from terrorism should be a top priority. Still, more people in 2016 said protecting the environment should be a top priority than gave that response about dealing with global climate change (47 and 38 percent, respectively). Thirty-eight percent said global warming should be a top priority.
Bloggies nominations are open but only til Sunday this week. There is still no Science and Technology category, after 2013 when 4 out 5 finalists were skeptics. Protest by nominating science blogs for all the other categories that apply. As Ive asked before :
The impact on energy prices, national economies, jobs, and people's lives has been profound and negative. For example, in response to the unfounded alarmism, Germany moved aggressively toward wind and solar energy over the past 15 years both politically and with taxpayer and investment spending. It also shied away from more nuclear power and saw its economy contract and energy-intensive companies shed jobs and threaten to move overseas. Now Germany is burning more coal and building new coal-fired power plants, in an attempt to reverse the economic disaster its "Green" and "climate protection" policies unleashed, but its actions are still sending shock waves at investors around the world.
The past few years have seen several countries, including the Netherlands, Argentina, Brazil, Kuwait, Thailand, the UAE and Indonesia, once the world's largest LNG exporter, join the ranks of natural gas importers. More than a dozen other countries are considering or constructing import facilities. The market for US exports is potentially huge. And the potential to reconfigure geopolitical alliances in America's favor are immeasurable, say foreign policy and energy experts.
Our assessment of the intermodel spread in the instantaneous forcing from CO2 is similar to that obtained by Collins et al (2006) for both the shortwave and longwave components. Collins et al (2006) documented that at the top of model the range of instantaneous forcing for a doubling of CO2 is 1.2Wm2 for the longwave part of the electromagnetic spectrum and 0.5Wm2 for the shortwave part. These ranges, respectively, correspond to 2.4Wm2 and 1.0Wm2 for a quadrupling of CO2 if the curve of growth of forcing withCO2 holds. This agreement further supports the validity of the kernel methodology. The spread is significantly larger than that obtained by Collins et al using line-by-line calculations, indicating that the spread in forcing calculations does not reflect uncertainties in radiative transfer theory, but in the fidelity of its implementation in climate models.
17 The satellite MSU (1979-1998) and balloon radiosonde date (1958-1998) show no net warming in the high (60 -90 N) northern latitudes. See ftp://wind.atmos.uah.edu/msu/t2lt and J. K. Angell, Comparison of surface and tropospheric temperature trends estimated from a 63-station radiosonde network, 1958-1998, Geophysical Research Letters 26, 2761 (1999).
"In an address before the National Forum on Biodiversity in 1986, Dr. Ariel Lugo pointed out that according to the only available study of the rate of increase in tropical secondary forests, almost half of the 11.3 million hectares of virgin tropical forest cut annually were turned not into wasteland the equivalent of water in biogeographical calculations but secondary forest." Thus many species were able to survive quite well. (Science, p.737)
In January, my friend, Robert Carter, an Australian scientist born in New Zealand, died suddenly. Bob was a former university department head and a geologist, known internationally for his work in paleoclimatology. He fought against the social irrationalism of CTBS for years. After he publicly questioned it, he lost his status as an internationally known expert nearly overnight, and was tossed into a nether world where he would be regarded as an unqualified climate denier, even being stripped of library privilegesevery petty indignity a blow for virtue in the eyes of arrogant narcissistic fools, blind to the distinction between political and scientific thinking.
Missing the Sept 30 deadline will mean an immediate 5,000 fine, and 500 for each day after that, up to a maximum of 45,000.
rice and other cereals over the past six months has generated a $120
Whats more, James Camerons movie Titanic has been remastered in 3D for the centenary.
- Entropy (all exchanges of heat on Earth and the atmosphere require entropy to increase, which is incompatible with a hypothetical "greenhouse effect" -which requires entropy to decrease in order for heat to flow from cold to hot)
If this cooling trend were to continue, it would spell disaster for the world's hungry. Let's hope ' the pause ' in global warming does not last much longer since it unfortunately seems to project a cooling regime over the U.S.
As CO2 has increased, the number of F3-F5 tornadoes has decreased. Extrapolating the trend, we can see that at 480 ppm there would be zero severe tornadoes.
Curiously, the post-World War II period of increasing fossil fuel use and associated increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide is concurrent with the most sustained lull in landfalling hurricane activity throughout the record. While this doesn't disprove any association between global warming and landfalling hurricane frequency or intensity, it lends no support to the contention either.
Now, just last week, we discover that the new Chief Scientist, Ian Chubb, believes too that "scientific consensus . . . provides the best guidance we have for decisions that are informed and rational", and that "the science is in on climate change".
The real scientific debate, Professor Carter noted in his book Climate: the Counter Consensus and other works, is about the direction and magnitude of global human effects, and their likely significance in the context of natural climate change which has been occurring ever since Earth developed its oceans, atmosphere and climate. Indeed, modern temperatures are not unusually warm, compared to many previous periods in the historic and geologic record. My friend's other insights are equally important.
However, she did propose that the AMS establish what amounts to a global warming litmus test for meteorologists seeking AMS certification. And given the importance professional societies put on continuing education, it is hard to see how in practice Cullen's proposal would not threaten the credentials of meteorologists who are skeptical about the alleged perils of global warming.
Marlo Lewis Jr.Vice President for Policy & Coalitions
Temperatures dropped to -3C in West Salmi, -2C in north Abdaly, and 3C at Kuwait International Airport. Temperature reached below freezing in desert areas, the center noted.
"The rhetoric," reports US News, "has struck home with Americans across the countryparticularly those currently or formerly employed in the embattled U.S. goods-producing and manufacturing sectors, who have repeatedly borne the brunt of corporate efforts to move work overseas."
Thirty-three years later, the area of sea ice on Earth is almost exactly the same as 1980
Regarding the EPA's new plan, the letter calls the coordination needed between multiple state agencies, public utility commissions, regional transmission organizations, and transmission and reliability experts: "Unprecedented, extraordinary, and extremely time consuming." The Senators ask for more time so that states and stakeholders can "fully analyze and assess the sweeping impacts that the proposal will have on our nation's energy system." It also points out: "The EPA proposal provides no mechanism for adjusting the state emission rate targets once they are adopted"which makes it imperative that the states can fully "digest" the rule, review the 600 supporting documents, and collect the data and justification for the states' responses.
Sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions are down roughly 37 percent from 1970 levels, and are lower today than at any time since the Great Depression.
So, the picture of changes in ENSO, when viewed in terms rainfall response patterns, may be limited by errors and biases that have been long-term features in climate models. Research is required to test the potential impact of SST biases on the change in average precipitation in the tropics. We must improve models, but we must also to better understand the processes whereby biases in present-day simulations link to future projections. Until we get a better handle on these issues, the prediction of an overall increase in rainfall in the eastern tropical Pacific, and its year-to-year variability, remains uncertain.
Denning: Claimed that about one-third of the coral reef is now bleached, although Denning admitted that the biggest damage from global warming was not about the health of the coral reef but about a decline in the economy. According to Denning, replacing fossil fuels would reduce the Global GDP by 1 percent over the next few human generations. This is a far cry from the 25 percent reduction that he said economists estimate if 10 times more fossil is burnt than we burn today.
Climate: The Counter Consensus by Robert M. Carter
Whole books oneach of these issuesfrom the market-failure viewpoint conclude that mankind is on a perilous path, and government-engineered energy transformation is necessary. But students of energy history and energy policy must ask: Has a political makeover of any industry ever worked well for consumers and taxpayers? Or has it had the opposite effect? Naturalmakeover from shifting consumer demand, revered in the term creative destruction , is one thing; government carrots-and-sticks to pick winners and losers is quite another.
And when the models dont resemble the global temperature observations, inasmuch as the models do not have the multidecadal variations of the instrument temperature record, the layman becomes wary. They casually research and discover that natural multidecadal variations have stopped the global warming in the past for 30 years, and they believe it can happen again. Also, the layman can see very clearly that the models have latched onto a portion of the natural warming trends, and that the models have projected upwards from there, continuing the naturally higher multidecadal trend, without considering the potential for a future flattening for two or three or four decades. In short, to the layman, the models appear bogus.
Typically at events like this some police are assigned to keep access open, especially for the medical folks. This scene does have a much more staged look, or out of control look. Lousy police control? Staged? Police just a bit shocked, too, so: late in the process not caring much?
Climate realists have long been aware that global average surface temperature had stopped sometime around 2000, and even a few years before. Lately alarmists had to admit it . The period with no warming is now as long as was period of warming on which fears were based 17 years according to a leaked draft of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5)despite continued rise of atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentration.
Century-Long Trends in Water Use Efficiency of European Forests (6 April 2015)
communications with other academic colleagues, I think that we would weaken
The diagram below summarizes my estimates of how much deflation would be required to yield the observations all measurements are based on the Non-Logo gauge, which was calibrated as being relatively close to the Master Gauge. Theres a lot of information in the diagram (and Ill post a script deriving the diagrams as documentation). In each panel, Ive converted pressures to ball temperature using the Ideal Gas Law. This facilitates direct comparison of information from Colt balls to Patriot balls. Ive also shown a negative exponential corridor from the upper and lower Colt measurements to halftime temperatures for dry and wet footballs. The corridor is presented here as a rough-and-ready but plausible guide.
The diplomatic task with respect to China, one that should also be carried out at senior and sustained levels, is not to paper over the many disagreements and clashing political objectives that characterize China-U.S. relations. The task at hand is to manage the growing Sino-U.S. security competitiona competition that increasingly appears to be about two very different visions for Asiaso that rivalry does not lead to conflict. With its economic coercion in blocking the export of a strategic commodity, mixed with its use of gunboat diplomacy, Beijing is looking, as security expert William O'Neil has said, a bit too much like Imperial Japan.
If theres anything Ive learned in the past year, Ive learned that the science of climate isnt settled. The politics however, are a different story.
Working within this ethical framework, governments have taken expensive policy steps to prevent the costs of climate change falling on future generations, for example by fixing energy markets in favour of renewables or by instituting schemes to cap and trade carbon emissions.
This is a sample of many articles on the subject of power outage problems in New Jersey and New York:
Global warming activists, while mustering genuine outrage for media interviews, must have been delighted. If they had written the EPA report themselves, they could hardly have done a better job of convincing the public that the scientific consensus on global warming is overwhelming. Scientists, we were to believe, had proved that man-made climate change is destroying the earthonly to be silenced by the Galileopersecuting Bush administration.
How does Brazil's future look with biofuels? As reality finally overcomes media bias and political correctness, the naive excitement of a few years ago when anything "Green" was portrayed as lower in cost, clean, and superior in every technological sense has given way to more rational thinking. Brazil is now going more for oil and gas, via conventional drilling and hydraulic fracturing, onshore and offshore.
After all, the importance of those natural influences shouldnt be that surprising given that history shows that temperatures have been higher when CO 2 levels were lower, and vise versa. In fact, the past century has witnessed two generally accepted periods of warming The first occurred between 1900 and 1945. Since CO 2 levels were relatively low then compared with now, and didnt change much, they couldnt have been the cause before 1950.
The Republicans waged a 3-decade war on government. They got Trump.
It has always been true that some lose as a result of trade agreements. We gave up textile jobs to gain jobs elsewhere, in services for example. Trade agreements including NAFTA raised income in the aggregate and provided some of the funding for retraining displaced workers. Trump is wrong or badly advised to oppose trade agreements and Clinton was badly advised when she shifted her position on the Pacific trade agreement. Of course, the agreements are complicated, so it is always possible to claim that a better agreement for the United States is possiblebut it's not accurate to claim that trade restrictions will benefit Americans.
Temperatures in Minden this week are forecast to be 30-40 degrees cooler than they were in 1936. President Barack Obama says that the US is heating out of control.
Coral bleaching is not all gloom and doom, it can have benefits . So say the authors of this study who wrote that ???bleaching is a prime regulator for the settlement of new recruitment of scleractinian corals which leads to diversified reef area,?? while further noting that ???the adaptive features of bleaching can be seen as a mechanism that enables the exchange of symbionts in a better fit of the holobiont to a changed environment???? Read More
Using a clone of the EIA's National Energy Modeling system, Heritage Foundation analysts looked at the impact of the High Resource Case on income and employment, as well as the impact on energy markets.
Progressivism was repudiated in the landslide election of Warren Harding in 1920, at which point disenchanted liberal thinkers turned their ire against middle-class Americans who, in the "roaring '20s," were happily buying automobiles, refrigerators, radios and tickets to the movies.
Predictions in May 2006 were for 8-10 hurricanes (4-6 Cat 3+). So far this year we??ve had 3 "named storms" and the Atlantic is quiet as of today . A "named storm" has a minimum wind speed of 40 mph, so one may presume that comparative early 20th century statistics for "named storms" are unlikely to be comprehensive. On Aug 6, 2006, predictions were revised slightly down to 7-9 hurricanes (3-4 Cat 3+).
CEI: George Gilder, one of the Club's advisors, recently stated that he thinks it's politically pointless to focus on cutting government--beneficiaries of government largesse are too passionate and will fight to the death to preserve their subsidies. It's basically not worth the effort, as long as you don't grow government additionally. What do you make of Gilder's comments?
Kjorven and the UN say they want "expanded use of techniques that reduce soil erosion and run-off." No-till farming is now being used on millions of hectares of vulnerable lands around the world, cutting soil erosion by up to 95 percent, and virtually eliminating runoff. But the system can't work without herbicideswhich the UN would discard.
Dr Post said in January there is no evidence linking drought to climate change in eastern Australia, including the Murray-Darling Basin.
15. Harrison Brown, a scientist at the National Academy of Sciences, published a chart in Scientific American that looked at metal reserves and estimated the humanity would totally run out of copper shortly after 2000. Lead, zinc, tin, gold, and silver would be gone before 1990.
In the past five years, the dynamic of the global warming debate has shifted away from exaggerated acceptance of the worst possible implications of what a majority of climate scientists tell us, towards a more balanced, and questioning approach.
where tau is the time constant and e is the base of the natural logarithms, 2.718. The time constant tau and the variable t are in whatever units you are using (months, years, etc). The time constant tau is a measure that is like a half-life. However, instead of being the time it takes for something to decay to half its starting value, tau is the time it takes for something to decay exponentially to 1/e 1/2.7 37% of its starting value. This can be verified by noting that when t equals tau , the equation reduces to e ^-1 = 1/ e .
Right now, many European countries prohibit fracking, and EU climate and renewable energy policies have sent business and family energy prices into the stratosphere, killing jobs and preventing families from heating their homes properly.
A paper published in the August 13 issue of Science magazine made the headlines when it predicted more heat waves in Europe and the USA as a result of global warming.
unilateral in approach and less reliant on American military power." Applying the same approach as his earlier book about President George W. Bush's foreign policy team (The Vulcans), Mann focuses on the perspectives and ideas that policymakers bring with them
Schwarzenegger's asthma-air pollution link is also spurious. Asthma prevalence has more than doubled in the U.S. since the early 1980s, but during the same period, air pollution of all kinds declined.
The kind of business approach that is implicitly encoded in this statement is weird, indeed. If the competitiveness of VW Group depends on introducing improvements such as the MQB architecture, then VW Group simply has to do these things. The whole group has to do it. If someone manages to do it more quickly, he should serve as an example for others and he should be praised, not viewed as a guy who robbed or discriminated others. After all, all the profits go to the whole VW Group. It's very strange if Mr Winterkorn speaks as a social justice warrior who wants to impose some egalitarianism or justice. His task should be to achieve excellence, not egalitarianism or mediocrity, and maximize the overall profit and its growth rate, not the uniformity with which the profit is geographically distributed!
In fact, at Dartmouth University, Thomas Lovejoy was recently giving a lecture and showing pictures of Amazon land that had been deforested only four to five years before. The regrowth in these areas was "verdant and vigorous; the canopy had ascended to a height of nearly 25 feet. In order to study an `island' of rainforest, it must remain isolated, surrounded by cleared land. So when asked if the second growth interfered with his project, Lovejoy jokingly admitted, `Well we have a chain saw.'" (Dartmouth Review, p.8)
This not only destroys jobs, economic growth and national energy security, but it does so by bypassing the U.S. Congress and representative government.
Politician Smith politely makes multi-disciplinary arguments assuming the best intentions of his opponents. Academic Sass goes ad hominem on the Keystone XL pipeline issue and refers vaguely to a scientific consensus for his position.
2. My 2-part YouTube videos titled The Natural Warming of the Global Oceans. YouTube links: Part 1 and Part 2 .
OPT Report: Fewer Emitters, Lower Emissions, Less Cost. Appendix A: Terms of Reference.
I can't tell at this point whether the catastrophic oil spill increases the chances of a climate change bill moving forward, or kills it dead. Certainly, the hope of finding some modest bipartisan support for the Graham/Kerry/Lieberman plan rested on the president's willingness to entertain an expansion of offshore drilling (as well as movement on nuclear power). The need to step back from that pledge, via a moratorium for now, may limit GOP support for any bill, while any proposal that might expand offshore drilling could cause some Democrats to disavow the legislation.
Jim Hansen concluded in 2005 thatthe decadal mean planetary energy imbalance at the end of the 1990s was
NASA temperature figures show agency reworking recent numbers upwards, older numbers downwards