Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Google and NRG now want a $539-million federal grant to bail them out of $1.6 billion in taxpayer loans for the bird-roasting Ivanpah concentrated solar power project in California, because it does not work and needs so much natural gas to keep its water hot that it doesnt meet state renewable energy standards. Other Obama greenbacks energy investments have also drowned in red ink , leaving taxpayers to pay the tab: Solyndra, Abound Solar, Solar Trust, Ener1, Beacon Power, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera .
Currently, the Konsensus has introduced a new line of argument into the climate debate. They have de-emphasized the focus on sensitivity of the atmosphere to a doubling of CO2 concentrations, probably because all the new studies show that sensitivity is far lower than the Konsensus has claimed. Now they are just saying we must leave fossil fuels in the ground. Its about as content heavy as Nancy Reagans Just Say No.
Before accounting for the way in which allowances are allocated or revenues are redistributed, lower-income households are disproportionally affected by a GHG cap-and-trade policy because they spend a higher fraction of their incomes on energy-intensive goods.
The press and global warming enthusiasts have been hyping the loss of Arctic sea ice, but the models simulate it so poorly that the authors concluded that natural variability causes the bulk of the ice loss.
The fine weather continued into the middle of August when another frost occurred over interior New York and all of New England damaging many crops. Then on the 20th a strong cold front crossed the Northeast with violent thunderstorms. Reports of temperatures falling 30 degrees after frontal passage were not uncommon. Frost was reported the next day as far south as Massachusetts with snow reported on Mt Moosilouke in New Hampshire. Corn was destroyed from Albany to Boston. If that cold spell wasnt enough, it all came to an end on the 28th when another strong cold front crossed the Northeast with severe frost that ended the growing season in most of Northern New England.
For these reasons, geoengineering merits widespread attention. Even if other countries did nothing to reduce carbon use, successful geoengineering would have global effects and largely eliminate any need for carbon caps and the regulatory burden of monitoring and enforcement.
Particulate matter (PM, or soot) is down roughly 67 percent from 1970 levels, and is lower now than at any time since measurements began in the 1930s.
Empirical analyses of the emissions avoided in electricity grids in the U.S. and Europe indicatethat (1) wind turbines are significantly less effective at avoiding emissions than is commonly assumed and (2) effectiveness decreases as the proportion of electricity generated by wind turbines increases.
Hansen Compares Conservatives and Climate Change Skeptics to Neanderthals
The Economist confidently waffles that The mystery of the pause in global warming may have been solved, in Davy Joness heat locker.The oceans may be absorbing the warming.
The question is not really whether the forecasts are scientifically valid, but how much impetus they can provide to influence society.
The sea ice data, cited from NSIDC, stops in 2007. 2008 and 2009 sea ice data and imagery, available to even the simplest of curiosity seekers at the publicly available NSIDC or even Cryosphere Today websites, is not included in the graphic. Mr. Scott chooses the historical satellite record minimum of 2007 as the endpoint for comparison. This leaves a reader who is ???not in the know??, with the false impression that sea ice has not recovered in any way.
One of the numerous Goebbelian propaganda artifices deployed by the now-retreating climate extremist movement has been the careful avoidance of any debate with anyone on the skeptical side of the case who happens to know anything about climate science or economics.
Human civilization readily adapted to the seven inches of sea level rise that occurred during the twentieth century. Alarmists, however, claim global warming will cause sea level to rise much more rapidly during the present century. United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) computer models project approximately 15 inches of sea level rise during the 21st century. Thats more than double the sea level rise that occurred during the twentieth century. A more mainstream prediction among alarmists is 3 feet of sea level rise this century. Some alarmists have even projected 20 feet of global sea level rise this century.
Goldberg identifies this "moment" of cowardice as, in Obama's mind, his "liberation day, the day he defied not only the foreign-policy establishment and its cruise-missile playbook, but also the demands of America's frustrating, high-maintenance allies in the Middle Eastcountries, he complains privately to friends and advisers, that seek to exploit American "muscle' for their own narrow and sectarian ends."
"To these Enron clones, global warming is about money and power," Ferguson remarked. "It has nothing to do with measuring the effectiveness of devastatingly expensive mitigation efforts. It requires unquestioning belief and confessing your CO2 sins, which justifies you in demanding that everybody else confess and pay up."
The Bush administrations unorthodox stance on climate change and stem-cell research led to widespread accusations that it conducted a war on science. The Democrats response has been to promise to let science guide us, not ideology, to make scientific decisions based on facts, not ideology, and that the days of science taking a back seat to ideology are over.
Should Michael Manns infamous 1,000-year temperature reconstruction look less like a hockey stick and more like a city skyline? New research on natural climate variability suggests that may in fact be the case.
It was record snow for this time of year, says reader Alex Tanase. ???We had over 10cm in Muntenia Ilfov, Giurgiu, Teleorman, Calarasi and Ialomita Counties(a region in South-East Romania).??
Cholesterol, heart disease, statins, Update and Review on the debate
on Thursday, September 9th, 2010 at 5:49 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Natural gas has two major benefits over coal: it has less carbon emissions per unit of chemical energy, and can be converted into electricity at a higher efficiency (less energy is lost as waste heat). These two combined mean that the CO2 emissions from new natural gas power plants can be as little as one third of the emissions of existing coal plants.
View to Govetts Leap, December 5, 2007
His success is manifest. For nearly 30 years, politicians have labored to define themselves in the light of his legacy. Even President Obama was said he wants to be transformative like Reagan. Thanks to him, conservative sentiments are today stronger among the American people than at any time since the Great Depression.
Nuccitelli moves on to condemn Roy Spencer for saying, The consensus is only that humans are contributing to warming, and to announce (blind faith again) that Humans are Causing Global Warming.
But even if you managed to win the war for a world government, such a world government will still be unable to change the composition of the atmosphere in a way that significantly deviates from predictions arising from natural processes and man-made contributions tightly linked to the people's prosperity. The reason is that winds and diffusion are not the only two foes of yours. There are lots of other laws of physics you need to violate in order to realize your pathological dreams and it won't be easy.
Of 191 bird and mammal species recorded as having gone extinct since 1500, 95% were on islands, where humans and human-introduced predators and diseases wrought the destruction, notes ecology researcher Dr. Craig Loehle. On continents, only six birds and three mammals were driven to extinction, and no bird or mammal species in recorded history is known to have gone extinct due to climate change.
Kerwick following up on a discussion pointwhy talk about correcting history on the issue of race and slavery?
Kerwick follow up on a more truthful History of Race/Slavery
By Ian Plimer, Catallaxy Files, Aug 11, 2015
The popular values in the supersymmetric model building go between 2 and 50 - they can be relatively small but also very high. It's been believed that the interval 2-50 is needed for the couplings to remain perturbative up to the Planck or GUT scale. However, the uplifted supersymmetry region , recently promoted by Dobrescu and Fox, can go well above 50. Note that the uplifted SUSY was also mentioned as a natural explained of the recent D0 claims about a new source of CP-violation ...
In the evening we had dinner at Matts house with his good lady Anya and their son Matthew. Anya is another one of those amazing folks, a neurobiologist with both a PhD and an MD, and the dinner guests were there for a neurobiology conference. Glamorous surroundings, glistening candelabras, and glittering conversation made it a most memorable evening.
Gore's friends in Congress, namely Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-NV, then tried to bail out Gore's lack of planning with a thoroughly impractical alternative: putting the concert on the Capitol building's West Lawn. With rare exceptions, the only large public gatherings there are the National Symphony Orchestra concerts on the 4th of July and Memorial Day. Much attention was paid to Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-OK, who regularly challenges Gore's views on humans role in global warming and the effects of climate change, calling the concert a "partisan political event" that shouldn't be held on Capitol grounds. Gore shot back, with his oft-repeated claim that climate change is a "moral issue."
The findings reveal that warm waters may be the cause behind these shifts. This, in turn, could be a result of globally warming oceans.
A range of factors have been pinpointed for what has come to be called the hiatus or pause in warming, which the scientists said they expected to be temporary.
The ads warn Americans of the causes and consequences of global warming, claiming that it will lead to more hurricanes, droughts, fires, and so on. One ad even claims that global warming will cause an increase in childhood asthma. "Asthma," begins the ad, "It's striking more and more of our kids. In just 13 years, the number of children with asthma has more than doubled. Scientists know that global warming is real and heating up the planet. More heat means more smog, and smog can trigger asthma attacks for our kids."
Carbon dioxide is a plant fertilizerthe more of it there is in the atmosphere, the better plants grow. Aspects of climate can act in a similar way. More sunshine in cloudy areas, more rainfall in dry areas, and higher temperatures in cold areas can all act to boost plant growth. And it is precisely these types of climate changes that have taken place over the past 20-30 years. And as a result, the worlds plants have responded positively. Figure 1 shows the trends in net primary productivity (NPP)the ultimate measure of how much plant growth is taking place. Upward trends in NPP (green areas in Figure 1) mean that plants are growing better. This is occurring across most land areas across the globe.
What he really means, as his press release clarifies, is that Building a new fleet of nuclear power stations could reduce bills by more than 75 a year in 2030, compared to a future where nuclear is not part of the energy mix.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Center for Entrepreneurship Director John Berlau on the burden of the regulations:
The results of this study highlight the need to improve our understanding of mechanisms controlling sun-atmosphere-monsoon linkages.?? Clearly, as we have often indicated in other Journal Reviews (see the many items we have posted in the various sub-headings of Solar Effects in our Subject Index), the sun plays an important role in climate change on earth; and that role must be fully understood before we can determine the degree of influence of any anthropogenic forcing that may be playing a similar role. Reviewed 31 August 2005
The chart shows estimates as high as 3.5 million, or 500,000 deaths, when the actual number of delayed deaths is less than 4,000. Thats the number of Americans who die of adverse drug reactions every six weeks. Again, a huge error.
The Paris accord stipulates that developed nations must reduce their emissions, regardless of impacts on economies, employment, or families. This means they must de-carbonize, de-industrialize and de-develop while they give trillions of dollars in cash and free technology to developing countries like Brazil, China, India, and Indonesia, for climate "reparation" and "mitigation."
14. As The Economist magazine put the question: "You might think that a policy issue which puts at stake hundreds of billions of dollars of global output would arouse at least the casual interest of the world's economic and finance ministries. You would be wrong." From "Hot Potato Revisited," The Economist (November 8, 2003): 96.
Global Warming Alarmist Rhetoric, Propaganda and Dishonesty Heats Up in Paris
"For EPA to impose carbon-pollution standards that by design will make the introduction of new coal-fired power plants all but impossible is to adapt a policy that by design will drive up the cost of electricity by limiting America's sources of power," said Cohen. "The EPA is engaging in a complete fabrication, one that will put an end to an industry that supplies the U.S. with 37% of its electricity." When Obama took office in 2009, coal-fired plants were providing nearly 50% of U.S. electrical energy.
Much of the discussion thus far has been concerned with the typical disputes over estimates of the cost of such a program, but there has been little notice of how an approach that is supposed to be an alternative to command-and-control regulation will involve a massive interagency bureaucracy to execute it, with undoubtedly substantial compliance costs for the private sector. Waxman-Markey contemplates a primary administrative role for the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA); the bill requires the EPA's administrator to perform over six hundred tasks in connection with the operation of the law. One wonders whether the EPA administrator will have time for any other environmental issues.
Further afield the situation is considered to be just as dire. A recent study by University of Oxford scholar Stephen Harrison said that African glaciers would disappear within 20 years if trends continued. Most worrying is the impending demise of the glaciers at the headwaters of the River Nile. Furthermore, in central Asia Kazakhstan's glaciers have lost 125 billion cubic yards of water in the past fifty years.
The new Congress will fight the president over the pipeline and block minimum-wage and carbon-tax bills
The same cannot be said of cap-and-trade. It would take some $600 billion out
Second, new and stronger environmental guidelines will be required for the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) to encourage responsible investments. OPIC will be required to make annual reports on its power sector project and OPIC will not be allowed to finance mining, drilling or infrastructure projects in ecologically sensitive areas. Third, the President urged increased use of new energy-saving technologies, such as automobiles that are three times more fuel efficient. He also pledged to have solar panels on one million roofs by 2010 (BNA Daily Environment Report, June 27, 1997).
But for Americans who spend their time building businesses as well as going to parks, Kagan would apparently try to shut the courthouse door. Mark W. Smith, founding partner of the New York law firm Smith Valliere and Martinez PLLC and author of Disrobed: The New Battle Plan to Break the Left's Stranglehold on the Courts, notes that Kagan appears to be selective in her principles on standing and in her empathy for plaintiffs. "It is ironic how liberal jurists like Elena Kagan seem willing to allow all sorts of liberal plaintiffs to get redress in the courts," Smith says. "But if you are a small business caught in the web of the government's bureaucracy, forget about it."
Cowboy of Teplice City, a 1995 song by Mr Kamil Stihavka (CZ) that happens to describe the health of a Texas district judge, too.
The Independent, 18 December 2010: December 2010 is "almost certain" to be the coldest since records began in 1910, according to the Met Office.
We therefore seek documents revealing the origins of the effort and clarifying the alternating, mutually exclusive claims of NREL saying DoE told me to do it and DoE telling Congress that it was all NREL's idea, fully aware of of DoE's extant protestations to congressional offices that the above-cited paper is of like kind with other NREL products (noting here that no paper DoE cites is comparable on any level ).
Among the many interesting findings, the surveys revealed growing partisan divisions on the issue. In September and October 1997, 75 percent of people who identified strongly with the Democratic party thought that global warming would happen in the future, compared to 67 percent of strong Republicans (an 8-point gap). In the December-to-February survey, 77 percent of these Democrats and 55 percent of the Republicans felt that way (a 22-point gap).
Some would argue that the CO2 reductions create benefits from reduced global warming and the value of these benefits more than offsets the cost of a million lost jobs and trillions of dollars of lost income. There are several ways of looking at these suggested benefits.
During question period at the media and climate panel, I asked Pederson about Jones's comment on the lack of "statistically significant" warming since 1995 and the possible cooling from 2002 on. Pederson replied that the 1995 non-warming was just that, a statistical artifact, and that the current decade had been the warmest on record. Which may be true, but that doesn't mean the decade is warming.
The map below overlays the 1+ ice (turquoise/green) on NSIDCs most recent extent map (white.) You can see that there has been minimal effect on the older ice. Some of the ice in the Beaufort and Chuckchi Seas melted, and some blew over into the East Siberian Sea and Arctic Basin.
The Charleston Daily Mail editorial page recently featured "Rockefeller is Out of Line" a critique of the Senator's "intemperate attempt to squelch debate." Sen. Rockefeller responded by noting that:
Bristling with a sense of entitlement, the congressman ran print, television and radio ads, painting Robinson as a nutcase who would promote racism, put radioactive wastes in drinking water, end Social Security and Medicare, close schools, repeal taxation of oil companies and destroy Oregon jobs. With help from Rachel Madow and MSNBC, DeFazio claimed Robinson lived off Social Security in a survivalist compound and was funding his campaign with cash from money launderers and drug dealers.
4. For UAH , the slope is flat since June 2008 or 6 years, 2 months. (goes to July using version 5.5)
Oops. Ed Morrissey looks at what the report does say; "They Were For Dissent And Alternative Analysis Before They Were Against It"
The most extreme year was 1936, when the hottest summer on record (even after adjustments) followed the second coldest winter. I wonder how their models account for that?
Over the past 25 years, January temperatures in Maryland have dropped nearly three degrees C. This has been one of the worst cycling months I can remember continuous ice on the bike paths.
The authors state that "forest production is strongly nutrient limited throughout the southeastern US," and that there is a "clear limitation" of net primary production at their site. Nevertheless, they report "there were significant increases in canopy N and P contents under elevated CO 2 " (26 and 50%, respectively), and that "canopy biomass was significantly higher under elevated CO 2 during the first 4 years of this experiment." What it means
He and/or his lawyer may feel that his status as public figure will have adverse implications in the libel suit he filed against Mark Steyn and the Competitive Enterprise Institute.
Still, it can not be the government radicalism; the unions have preferred the less revolutionary party of the Workers, the Labour Party, in fact, rather than rely on the Communist Party. The figures are placed on the door too controversial in one way or another, and not 'a case that the King who first within the fashionable salons and more' late almost sympathize 'for Hitler, quell'Edoardo VIII was forced to abdicate even after 11 months of reign.
Mann, it turns out, routinely criticizes his own opponents in the harshest terms. And not just journalists like Steyn. Take Judith Curry, the chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Science at the Georgia Institute of Technology. As Curry wrote on her blog:
Fossil fuels produce far more energy per acre than biofuels, notes analyst Howard Hayden. Using biomass instead of coal or natural gas to generate electricity for one U.S. city of 700,000 people would require cutting down trees across an area the size of Rhode Island every year. Making corn-based ethanol to replace the gasoline in U.S. vehicles would require planting every single acre of Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, North and South Dakota, and Wisconsin in corn for fuel. Wind and solar currently provide just 3 percent of global energy consumption, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports; by 2040, as the world's population continues to grow, hydroelectric, wind, solar, biomass, and geothermal energy combined will still represent only 15% of the total, the EIA predicts.
To sum up: the precise values of the CO2 radiative forcing, the Planck parameter, and all five relevant temperature feedbacks are unmeasured and unmeasurable, unknown and unknowable. The feedbacks are particularly uncertain, and may well be somewhat net-negative rather than strongly net-positive: yet the IPCCs error-bars suggest, quite falsely, that they are known to an extraordinary precision.
Why would we blindly assume or agree to the torrent of lies that humans dominate the climate? The answer is that on Earth Day, Wednesday, April 22, we will be deluged with the propaganda of countless organizations worldwide that we are, in fact, endangering a "fragile" planet Earth. We hear and read that every other day of the year as well.
It may already be happening. The four major agencies tracking Earth??s temperature, including NASA??s Goddard Institute, report that the Earth cooled 0.7 degree Celsius in 2007, the fastest decline in the age of instrumentation, putting us back to where the Earth was in 1930.
For example, due to increased upwelling, marine life off the California coast would have to move south to remain in its preferred environment.
Basically, we need a new data set and it needs to be a very fine grained one with full representation of the rural and high altitude areas. The present GHCN data set is polluted with selection bias that preferentially puts thermometers in lower elevations, near coastlines, and at airports in or near urban areas. Exactly the kinds of places shown to have abnormal warming in the above fine grained maps.
By the time we arrive in Mitradanga it is late afternoon. The sun is beginning to dip over bamboo trellises that trail ripening squash over a mass of water hyacinth. Birds fly low over the surface of the water, black against a peach-pink sky.
Prof Steffen said he would produce an update on the science for the committee , as part of the Garnaut climate change review update, as well as write his own independent report . ( source )
Bush had risen to the presidency as a "compassionate conservative." Think of it as a Republican version of Bill Clinton's "triangulation," with Bush offering himself as conservative on taxes and most social issues, less to the right on matters such as the federal role in K12 education, and not as wild-eyed as the Republican revolutionaries who seized control of Congress in the mid-1990s.
Lindzen-Choi ?Special Treatment?: Is Peer Review Biased Against Nonalarmist Climate Science?