Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Those in favor of pushing forward argued that the reason the Democrats lost in 1994 was not that they were too far ahead of public opinion, but that by failing to pass Clinton's health-care bill they had not heeded public opinion enough. Democrats were punished in 1994 for not governing, not for being out of step with public opinion. Thus in March 2010, liberal progressives were saying, Pass the bill and the people will reward you for tackling a tough problem. By November, these men argued, Republicans will no longer be able to distract the voters with wild claims about "death panels," and the president could make the case himself. The political calculus, they said, favored bold actionnot triangulation.
I was appalled when they showed a 10-minute film on Pachauri, said the
In Climate not to blame for African civil wars , Halvard Buhaug argues,
As you will see in this post, the range of the climate-modeled energy imbalance has a much larger range, about 10 times the 0.5 watts/m^2 range mentioned by Trenberth et al. (2014). And there is no agreement about how the imbalance was created in the past, or might be created in the future.
A review of polar microalgae studies suggests that both Arctic and Antarctic phytoplankton are resilient to temperature increases up to 6 C greater than normal Read More
What I would like to know is where is the funding coming from for these lawsuits?
Nuccitelli then turns to the embarrassing increase in Antarctic sea-ice extent mentioned by Roy Spencer, and produces various papers saying more sea-ice in Antarctica is what we should expect from global warming.
The problem with the Michael Mann sort of scientist is that, rather than practicing science quietly behind the scenes, they want to participate in the public debate. They?re perfectly entitled to do so, on an equal footing with everyone else. Yet the minute anyone disagrees with them, they play the ?I?m a famous scientist and should not be gainsayed? card.
Temperatures could start to rise again as we continue to add CO 2 to the atmosphere or they could fall as suggested by the present weak solar activity. Many climatologists are trying to address the issues described here to give us a better understanding of the physical processes involved and the reliability of the predictions. One outstanding issue is the location of all the anthropogenic CO 2 . According to Table 6.1 in the 2013 Report, half goes into the atmosphere and a quarter into the oceans with the remaining quarter assigned to some undefined sequestering as biomass on the land.
Trump's bombastic rhetoric aimed at minorities, including Hispanics, African Americans, and Muslims, among others, including his pledge to build that wall on the southern border, will make it even more difficult than it was after the 2012 loss for Republican leaders to make any gesture on immigration that might broader the party appeal beyond white working-class voters.
But, when the part of the detrended sea level that is correlated to ENSO3.4 is removed, the remaining orthogonal part of the rise rate appears to be lower at the end of the century than during the 1940s, and not particularly high compared to the rest of the century. So if my removal of the ENSO effect is correct, then there was nothing unusual about the rise rate at the end of the century
Are human-induced changes to the environment causing global warming? Policy-makers and the general public want to know now whether increased amounts of "greenhouse gases' such as carbon dioxide are permanently altering our climate. Their sense of urgency is understandable, given what is at stake. A warming of even a few degrees could have serious implications for weather patterns and water resources. But in the rush for fast answers, it's tempting to overlook what the science reveals.
The how climate change might make some land unsuitable model was built from the IPCCs totally bogus emissions scenarios. The modeled scenarios A1B, A2A and B2A.
Validation of Climate Models: Writing in Watts Up With That? , Tim Ball reviews a book by Vincent Gray, The Global Warming Scam and the Climate Change Super Scam. Gray is an expert reviewer of all five major reports of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), submitting thousands of comments.
Dr Bill Gray from CSU is a good friend, the most widely recognizedhurricane forecaster, and one of themost senior global warming skeptics. He recognized the problems of global warming theory decades earlier than most former true believers like myself. In 1996, CSUs Bill Gray correctly predicted weak cooling for the next 20-30 years.
Here is a map of the SST anomalies for the past month. Warm water (dark orange and red) stretching from the central Pacific to the coast of S. America. You can also see the crazy warm water off our coast.
Then there are the arguments about happiness. Growth skeptics point to opinion polls showing that rising prosperity is not making Americans happier. Some go even further and liken the drive towards prosperity to a mental illness. Many names disparage such acquisitiveness, including "affluenza," "luxury fever," and "stuffitis." Our growth fetish evidently threatens a shopacalypse.
More than half of the world?s solar panels are installed in Germany. On June 6, Germany?s solar power production touched a new record of 23.4 gigawatts, meeting almost 40 per cent of the country?s entire peak electricity demand. But to understand that this record is quite meaningless, consider the grid?s narrow escape last winter. For many weeks in December and January, Germany?s 1.1 million solar power systems generated almost no electricity. During much of those overcast winter months, solar panels more or less stopped generating electricity. To prevent blackouts, grid operators had to import nuclear energy from France and the Czech Republic and power up an old oil-fired power plant in Austria.
M-type=moment magnitude from initial P wave (tsuboi method) (Mi/Mwp), Version=B
The HadCRUt4 warming rate from 1976-2001 was equivalent to almost 1.8 C/century (compared with warming at just 1.1 C/century from 1979-1996), but from 2002 to the present HadCRUt4 shows cooling at a rate equivalent to almost 0.5 C/century (compared with warming at almost 0.5 C/century from 1997-2012).
In a speech at the National Press Club on April 13th, Climate Minister Combet revealed again that he is receiving unbalanced scientific advice, and that his understanding of the problem of hypothetical dangerous global warming is inadequate. His predecessor, Senator Penny Wong, exemplified the same weaknesses and so does the government.
Key Tool for the Scare Campaign: Censorship. How bullying critics keep editors from straying.
While there are a number of good and fun ideas but the contents of the book which describes providing nd a walk-through taste in the mouth. The reason is the political context that frutstter to Gteborgs future should be subordinated to a green planned economy.
At the 4:30 mark the documentary tells us that glaciers in the Alps melted and allowed the Romans to expand their empire all the way to Scotland. The warm period also took hold globally, says the ZDF documentary, and was not a regional phenomena. The ZDF documentary shows at the 5:40 mark how the Chinese Empire blossomed at around 200 BC. All thanks to the sun.
Most people think the poles are melting theyre not,?? says Dr Benny Peiser.???Global sea ice is at a record high.??
If you chose to believe that our life is just a random accident, then the same probability is that there MUST be many equal locations, with equal, and probably MANY locations with superior life forms. So much for the No Superior Being debate, something superior must exist.
Moreover, higher temperature must produce higher evaporation from the oceans and thus more rainfall. If this is combined with more abundant carbon dioxide, the aerial plant food, earth would have another green revolution.
German meteorologists say that the start of 2013 is now the coldest in 208 years - and now German media has quoted Russian scientist Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov from the St. Petersburg Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory as showing it is proof as he said earlier that we are heading for a "Mini Ice Age." Talking to German media the scientist who first made his prediction in 2005 said that after studying sunspots and their relationship with climate change on Earth, we are now on an "unavoidable advance towards a deep temperature drop." -- German Herald, 31 March 2013
Western Business Leaders Pile Pressure on China and India
In the past years the fight was financed by US auto manufacturer Chrysler, and oil companies ExxonMobil and Chevron, and others. The story of the PR manager is a story of a planned confusion. It is a didactic play on the art of lying. Doubt is now spreading across the world from America.
Regional diabatic heating can also cause atmospheric teleconnections that influence regional climate thousands of kilometers away from the point of forcing.
Other products like sugar, peanuts, and sesame seeds are thought to have their origin in tropical habitats, and for products like corn, rice and bananas, tropical forests "offer genetic improvements of several major crops In 1970 the U.S. corn crop was hit with a blight that destroyed half the crop in many areas. The costs amounted to $2 billion in one year the crisis was remedied through interbreeding an immune form of corn that originally derived from the ancestral home of corn, Mexico."
This setting is characterized by very few degrees of freedom and leaves the regression susceptible to nonsense predictors.
Many distributional analyses of carbon pricing focus on the uses-side incidence of carbon pricing. This is the differential burden resulting from heterogeneity in consumption across households. Once one allows for sources-side incidence (i.e. differential impacts of changes in real factor prices), carbon policies look more progressive. Perhaps more important than the findings from any one scenario, our results on the progressivity of the leading cap and trade proposals are robust to the assumptions made on the relative importance of uses and sources side heterogeneity. . . .
UAH MSU satellite records have released the December 2008 data. The anomaly shows 0.074 ??C of cooling since November which is pretty substantial (100 ??C per century haha).
Another fearmongering Stonyfield ad reads, "Earth to mom! Yogurts made without the use of antibiotics, hormones and toxic pesticides."
Conceding the relevance to climate change in the planning decision-making process is still in an evolutionary phase, the tribunal ruled there was a reasonably foreseeable risk from rising sea levels and increased storm severity that would make the proposed developments unacceptable. Im going to assume that this property met all other conditions for zoning, planned use, set-backs, etc. to gain an approval to start construction. So this Administrative Tribunal can just unilaterally scupper the entire development? This is the sort of nanny-state thinking that so many Warmers want to adopt as a solution to the so-called AGW and it terrifies me that your property rights can just be kicked to the curb.
9.	"The increase of global average temperature has to be limited to 2 degrees Celsius compared to the pre-industrial level." Again, this temperature increase is principally of natural origin. Unfortunately humans cannot end sunspot activities.
Now lets compare the models to the observations in Figure 5. The models overestimate the rate of warming in maximum temperatures from about 45S to 5N and from 35N to the Arctic. The models underestimate the rate of warming slightly from 5N to 35N, but grossly underestimate the polar-amplified warming in the Arctic. Hmm. Were often told that polar amplification is consistent with climate model projections, while, in reality, the multi-model mean shows little polar amplification by comparison to the data.
Forget the "Americans are from Mars, Europeans from Venus" mantra that gave the Brussels Eurocracy the vapors in the summer of 2002.8 Though the slogan captured well a moment of transatlantic relations, over time this mantra has obscured the issue. The truth is, for the past 15 years, and on both sides of the Atlantic, there have been two major attempts underway to get rid of the strategy problematique altogether.
The Locavores Dilemma - ...a controversial new book that argues that, far from making our communities healthier and more self-sufficient, the local food movement will destroy our economies, ruin our environment and probably lead to more wars, famine and incidences of food poisoning.
But now its March! So, February data are in. Also, due to interest in this exercise, other bloggers are now performing variations on this analysis. So, naturally, I am extending my analysis. I think the variety of results will give various people more information to consider when forming their opinions about the predictive ability of IPCC projections.
The process of a cosmic ray particle colliding with particles in our atmosphere and disintegrating into smaller pions, muons, and the like, is called a cosmic ray shower . These particles can be measured on the Earths surface by neutron monitors.
Just before the storm began, the weather models (about 10 of them) were predicting 8-12 of snow for downtown DC. Even the most bearish model predicted 5. Same models likewise predicted 12-18 for western suburbs with the most bearish predicting 10. They shut down the government, all the schools, etc.
on Friday, July 30th, 2010 at 12:36 am and is filed under News.
President Obama's decision to reduce offshore drilling restrictions is an important move in the right direction. The U.S. needs a comprehensive energy program to bridge the country's adjustment to cleaner fuels that reduce carbon emissions. This includes green energy and nuclear energy, as well as clean coal, oil and natural gas. By adopting a broad "do it all" type energy program, the U.S. can move toward its political objective of energy independence that will also help reduce the country's trade deficit.
Europe Environment Agency. 2004. Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends and Projections in Europe 2004, http://reports.eea.eu.int/technical report 2004 7/en/Analysis of GHG trends and projections in Europe.pdf.
What is necessary for international action on GHG to move forward? A major requirement is a more credible demonstration of the benefits of costly emissions reductions. As noted above, public-opinion surveys suggest that individuals are most concerned about local effects. This suggests that reducing scientific uncertainty about regional climatic reactions to GHG accumulations and associated economic damages are critical.
Indeed, on Monday, BP released the latest edition of its BP Statistical Review of World Energy, and that document shows that once again, the global energy story of today isn't wind, solar, or "clean energy," it is coal. The numbers put the lie to the ongoing story being pushed by the Obama administration, the Sierra Club, and their many allies on the green Left.
Apologies for the crushing disappointment I know you feel. Now, wheres my hammer?
Yet, instead of converting America to the green religion, Marchionne has gone native. Auto website Jalopnik calls the Viper straight up car porn. The Snake has tempted Marchionne and he has eaten the apple whole. His conversion is the untold story of Chryslers remarkable turnaround from bankruptcy just three years ago.
As the undeniability of the problems in climate science exposed in these emails is beginning to be grasped by the public, scientists in the field have begun to speak out. Today on a thread at Watts Up With That , a post from climate scientist who studied at Harvard was featured. Sean is very clear, pulls no punches, and is worth the time of anyone whos interested in climategate to read.
The resulting global average temperature of the Earth is then subsequently -18 degrees C. There is no cold being amplified to hot, anywhere. The furnace in your house doesnt work by running at -18 degrees C, then being amplified by insulation to room temperature, +22 degrees C. Imagine if things worked that way. Why run the furnace at -18 degrees C since you could engineer a better system to run at only -100 degrees C and be amplified by backradiation or heat-trapping to +100 degrees C? As a simple matter of engineering, you could use as near to zero energy input as you want, and get however high of temperature you wanted. This has never been done because it is a violation of thermodynamics, because reality doesnt behave this way. If reality did behave this way, nothing would be stable because cold things would always be accidentally heating themselves up to destruction.
If the president and Congress want to avoid such debacles in the future, they will need to reform or systematically work around NEPA's traps and pitfalls and deny activists the ability to interfere with the legitimate, appropriate actions of government agencies.
To reach an agreement on collective action, the parties must believe that the new distribution of property rights offers them benefits that will exceed the sum of the new arrangement's costs to them plus the costs needed to negotiate, monitor, and enforce the agreement. (Economists call the latter "transaction costs.") By inference, high transaction costs can scuttle agreements on readjusting property rights in ways that, were it not for the transaction costs, could yield net benefits for all parties. It is precisely this problem that has caused the failure of many attempts to curtail exploitation of the common-pool resources.
My ebook Who Turned on the Heat? goes into a tremendous amount of detail to explain El Nio and La Nia processes and the long-term aftereffects of strong El Nio events. Who Turned on the Heat? weighs in at a whopping 550+ pages, about 110,000+ words. It contains somewhere in the neighborhood of 380 color illustrations. In pdf form, its about 23MB. It includes links to more than a dozen animations, which allow the reader to view ENSO processes and the interactions between variables.
The discovery comes from an analysis of plant productivity data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASAs Terra satellite, combined with growing season climate variables including temperature, solar radiation and water. The plant and climate data are factored into an algorithm that describes constraints on plant growth at different geographical locations.
Synopsis: Polar bears have survived much hotter and colder periods. Continued polar bear hunting is the primary danger to polar bear species. Source here . "Polar bears have survived changes in climate that exceed those that occurred during the twentieth century or are forecast by the IPCCs computer models. Most populations of polar bears are growing, not shrinking, and the biggest influence on polar bear populations is not temperature but hunting by humans, which historically has taken a large toll on polar bear populations."
In general, Americans today are sympathetic to, but not active in, the environmental movement. In Gallup's latest question, asked in 2014, 18 percent said they were active in the movement, while 42 percent said they were sympathetic but not active. As for evaluating the impact of the environmental movement, 76 percent told Gallup in 1992 that the movement had definitely or probably done more good than harm. In 2010, 62 percent gave that response. In 1971, 42.9 percent of college freshmen said that being involved in programs to clean up the environment was an objective considered essential or very important for them. In 2014, 26 percent gave that response. There is no indication from this poll or others that young people's commitment to a clean and healthful environment has lessened. They, like most Americans, simply attach less urgency to it than in the past.
By Noaki Schwartz and Jason Dearen, Associated Press
Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Davey has given the clearest indication yet that he expects gas to continue to play a major role in the UKs energy mix for at least the next two decades, revealing 20 new gas-fired power plants are likely to built over the next few years. Business Green, 27 September 2012 ( http://www.businessgreen.com/bg/news/2213148/davey-20-new-gas-power-plants-in-the-pipeline-for-the-uk )
The paper corroborates the NOAA 2012 Sea Level Budget which finds sea levels have risen at only 1.1-1.3 mm/yr over the past 7 years from 2005-2012 , and the paper of Chambers et al finding ???sea level has been rising on average by 1.7 mm/year over the last 110 years.??
Curiously, in an earlier work (Mann and Jones 2003), Mann had used an Antarctic isotope series covering the past two millennia (Law Dome), but, despite the shortage of long SH proxies, this series was not used in Mann et al 2008. The reasons for its omission were not stated. As CA readers realize, the Law Dome isotope series has a rather elevated medieval period, a feature that led to an AR4 controversy seen in Climategate emails. AR4 wanted to illustrate long SH proxies, but refused to show the Law Dome series (with its warm medieval period).
But nature often doesnt follow quite that kind of exponential decay. Instead, it quite often follows what is called a fat-tailed, heavy-tailed, or long-tailed exponential decay. Figure 1 shows the difference between two examples of a standard exponential decay, and a fat-tailed exponential decay (golden line).
People send me stuff. Today it is a PowerPoint presentation from NASA JPL that touts the new GRASP ( G eodetic R eference A ntenna in Sp ace) satellite project. I??d say it is more than a bit of a bombshell because the whole purpose of this new mission is to ???fix?? other mission data that apparently never had a stable enough reference for the measurements being made . This promises to rewrite what we know about sea level rise and acceleration, ice extent and ice volume loss measured from space.
So, you may be asking why we are paying such close attention to 2.8% of the globe. It does seem surprising that this small region would have a noticeable affect on global surface temperatures, but it seems to according to Cowtan and Wrays analysis. In terms of the broader climate dynamics, the Arctic Ocean has an outsized influence on Northern Hemisphere climate dynamics (as per the Stadium Wave analysis).
As people have finally begun to realize the significance of this latter problem, Lal indicates that crop residues are being "widely considered as a source of lignocellulosic biomass." However, he says that removal of crop residues for this purpose "is not an option (Lal, 2007) because of the negative impacts of removal on soil quality, and increase in soil erosion (Lal, 1995)," as well as the loss of the residue's "positive impacts" on "numerous ecosystem services." Therefore, in yet another shift in tactics, Lal reports that degraded soils are being considered as possible sites for establishing energy plantations. However, he notes that with their extremely low capacity for biomass production, the amount of biofuel produced on globally-abandoned agricultural land cannot even meet 10% of the energy needs of North America, Europe and Asia, citing the work of Campbell et al . (2009) in this regard. Yet even these considerations are only half the problem.
It states that reductions in mountain ice have been observed from the loss of ice climbs in the Andes, Alps and in Africa between 1900 and 2000.
According to Canadian writer and researcher Vivian Krause , U.S. foundations have poured more than $300 million into Canadian environmental groups since 2000. One foundation, endowed by Intel co-founderGordon Moore, has been single-handedly responsible for $92 million of that total, Krause wrote Jan. 17 in Canadas Financial Post. Foundations flush with the wealth of computer pioneersWilliam Hewlett and David Packard, she added, sent another $90 million to wage green-politics wars in the Great White North....
Two studies lessen concerns of Antarctic warming