Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The same conclusion emerges from a 1997 NHTSA study, which was similarly characterized as indicting SUVs but which turns out, on closer analysis, to indict CAFE. A NHTSA press release touted the study's finding that a 100-pound decrease in SUV weight would prevent 40 fatalities per year, most of them in cars colliding with SUVs. But according to the study itself, this conclusion was not statistically significant; there might even be a net loss of life from such downsizing, and on balance the overall effect would be "negligible." More important, those minimal effects paled in comparison to the effects of a 100- pound increase in passenger car weight -- a saving of over 300 lives a year. And the effect of this passenger car upsizing was found to be statistically significant, unlike the SUV downsizing.
This is Mann at his best. Claiming random data will fail cross validation is only reasonable by properly doing the statistics. He performed this verification by calibration of end points to temp data and checking the middle in M08, the statistical pass has to take into account the autocorrelation of the proxy data which was done very poorly in M08. The reason I dont answer more clearly is that Even if Mann was perfectly correct, this arm waiving does not address the conclusions in my posts.
The result of factoring out this non-GHG warming is illustrated in Figure 4. The 1950-2009 trend drops to 0.061 C/decade.
A: Our global paleotemperature reconstruction includes a so-called uptick in temperatures during the 20 th -century. However, in the paper we make the point that this particular feature is of shorter duration than the inherent smoothing in our statistical averaging procedure, and that it is based on only a few available paleo-reconstructions of the type we used. Thus, the 20 th century portion of our paleotemperature stack is not statistically robust, cannot be considered representative of global temperature changes, and therefore is not the basis of any of our conclusions.
Regulating GHGs under the CAA leads inexorably to "absurd results," including an economically-chilling administrative quagmire. To prevent GHG regulation from overwhelming agency administrative resources and stifling economic development, EPA proposes to suspend, for six years, the "major" source applicability thresholds for the CAA pre-construction and operating permits programs. That is, EPA proposes to amend the Act. This violation of the separation of powers compounds the constitutional crisis inherent in the Court's substitution of its will for that of the people's elected representatives.
"It should be clear that the science of global warming is far from settled," said Dr. Roy Spencer, a former NASA scientist who now co-runs a major satellite temperature dataset at the University of Alabama-Huntsville.
The utility group, RWE, is about to commission a new lignite power plant that would emit 2.9 million fewer metric tons of carbon dioxide per year than the plant it would replace. It also plans on building a second plant in 2008. But Dietmar Kuhnt, chairman of RWE, said that the second plant would not go ahead "if its profitability is jeopardized by unreasonably stringent sanctions of carbon dioxide penalties. This could be the case if the EU implements the plans it has for carbon dioxide certificate trading without making the adjustments required by several constituencies" (The Guardian, August 13, 2002).
This tendency is captured in an old expression popularized by Nat Hentoff: free speech for me, but not for thee.
The main excuse was that some of the raw data had been provided to CRU with strings on it preventing release. Surprisingly, within days of Climategate, the Hadley center has announced that it got all of those nasty strings cut, and voila!are now free to release the data. That is, the data they haven't "lost," which supposedly includes most of the raw temperature data they ever collected.
none of the AR4 models simulates the overall brightening of the Earth system. The majority of the models show a loss of radiative energy by the tropical energy in the post-Pinatubo period, suggesting that the models have still not properly captured the feedbacks between temperature change and clouds.
A version of this story was posted in Forbes Online on October 29, 2013.
Sydneys hottest Christmas Day on record was in 1868 when the city sweltered to 39 degrees celsius.
What about Russian astrophysicist Habibullo Abdussamatovs contention that were headed into a little ice age? No mention of him.
As of 1999, Hansen showed 1934 almost a full degreeFahrenheitwarmer than 1998. How did 1998 retroactivelybecome the hottest year?
Here are the biggest Republican ethanol boosters. Readers may want to call or email them, to present the facts and ask them why they (and most Democrats) insist on perpetuating this wasteful system, which benefits so few, at the expense of so many.
The jerk you mention was called Good(e)rich who found urban warming at
2. Labor Market Improving. The BLS reported today that total job openings in May (4.63 million) reached their highest level since June 2007, and openings for private jobs (4.2 million) were the highest since April 2007. That brought the number of unemployed workers per job opening down to 2.11, which is the lowest in five years, going back to May 2008 (see chart above).
As I said in Parliament, the inability of climate scientists to admit their ignorance is one of the reasons nobody trusts them. The Science Media Centre are just helping that process along in the wrong direction.
As independent scientific advisors to Senator Fielding have shown , the IPCC-derived science advice that the Australian Government is using as the basis for its carbon dioxide tax legislation is utterly flawed. This finding has yet to be rebutted.
On Thursday, DEC spokeswoman Emily DeSantis said the agency could act on propane fracking applications by relying on a 1992 state environmental impact statement on natural gas drilling. While no applications have been received yet, she said if one is, DEC would conduct a thorough environmental review including evaluation of the proposed activity against the findings and analysis of the 1992 (impact statement).
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of Energy & Global Warming Policy Myron Ebell on why California is heading down a failed path:
Collie News, sport and weather | Collie Mail
Treasury hiring FOIA officers "to withhold information from release to public':
In April of last year, 47% of Americans blamed human activity versus 34% who viewed long-term planetary trends as the culprit. But the numbers have been moving in the direction of planetary trends since then.
I am an ardent proponent of nuclear energy because of its negligible carbon dioxide emissions and its incredibly high power density. No other form of energy production can produce as much energy from such a small footprint as a nuclear reactor. This is due to basic physics. Allow me to explain this by using a common metric in physics: power density, which is a measure of the energy flow that can be harnessed from a given area, volume, or mass.
This summer's once-in-a-half-century Midwestern drought caused global prices for staple food products to soar by 10%and corn in particular to jump by 25%, according to the World Bank. The food shortages across Africa, the Middle East and South America are the worst since the 1980s and have produced hunger and political instability, according to the United Nations.
LOL, it's a constructor. Who would have thought? One would think that a kettle isn't constructing anything in the same sense as cranes do. But if you want to become so high that you confuse construction workers with cooks, it may be a great idea to unify cranes with kettles. And raindrops on roses and whiskers on kittens. Bright copper kettles and warm woolen mittens. Brown paper packages tied up with strings. These are a few of my favorite things. Engineers and cooks are the same thing, after all. They are constructors.
for by the same richest 40% who would lose their benefits. Given the negative rates of return that SS pays
Ive added the 5 million square kilometer line for reference.
Since Nov. 18, the normal high temperature has been hovering around 15 degrees colder than the historical normal temperature of 55 degrees. The normal low has been about 10 degrees lower than the normal temperature of 36 de grees. The national weather forecasters are predicting this same weather pattern going into the beginning of December.
on Sunday, November 24th, 2013 at 1:35 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
Observe the last interglacial 130,000 to 110,000 years ago. Temperature plummeted even as CO2 stayed at about 260 ppm.
Even a new ?record warmest year?, year after year, is not that significant if the total warming ends up being only 1 deg. C more over the next 100 years.
Southern ice cap expansion is particularly impressive because, since is surrounded by water, it requires more cooling to freeze that ice than it does to warm cold dry air a bit on continental surfaces that surround the Arctic Ocean. When the Atlantic Oscillation returns to its cold mode, the northern ice cap will expand again as the southern ice cap shrinks.
Conclusion #6: EPA's 2002 reform recommendations promise to restore common sense to the New Source Review program, thereby avoiding the excessive costs, uncertainties, and counterproductive incentives resulting from recent enforcement deviations. The reforms do not put at risk recent gains in air quality.
The climate change debate is unfolding in precisely the same way. Because they oppose EPA regulations while still supporting the overarching reasons for the rules ? fears of dangerous anthropogenic climate change ? groups such as the United Mine Workers are regarded by many as selfish and misguided. This is especially true of those who regard it as America?s responsibility to lead the world to solve important global problems.
I never thought much of psychoanalysis but its fun to consider psychopathology in the context of true believers. This series talks of the bright, dull and dark greens.
Hansen believes, the paper reported, that "efforts to stem climate change will be ineffectual as long as fossil fuels remain the cheapest form of energy," and therefore he "proposed a new tax for carbon emissions from oil, gas and coal." Yet, he stated: "Government shouldn't be making decisions as to what the next energy sources are. Let the marketplace make the decision." He wants a tax to make fossil fuels unattractive, but the government should let the marketplace decide?
NOAA image for the famous Elkhart, IN double funnel tornado that hit the Midway Trailor Park.
And what cant climate models simulate? ENSO. For further information about climate models failings when trying to simulate ENSO, refer to Guilyardi et al (2009) . Climate models also cant simulate Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Indian Ocean Dipole, and other coupled ocean-atmosphere processes.
Morano followed up by showing slides of quotes by noted climate alarmists making outrageous claims of doom and gloom. At several points the crowd broke out in laughter or were simply astonished, such as when Morano showed them quotes by famous green thinkers saying insensitivity to global warming alarmism is a "sin," and then viewing pictures of climate protestors praying to Mother Earth at a recent march and vigil in New York City.
Our latest result of plant growth responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment obtained from experiments described in the peer-reviewed scientific literature is for Red Raspberry (Hentley et al., 2014)
22 Thou that sayest a man should not commit adultery, dost thou commit adultery? thou that abhorrest idols, dost thou commit sacrilege?
The Sahel is just such a transitional region between the rainforest on the coast of west Africa and the true desert of the Sahara. Alarmist stories appeared about the expanding Sahara desert associated with the cyclical Sahelian drought that visited the region between 1968 and 1974. Famine accompanied the drought and overgrazing was blamed. It, and another drought in 1984-85, launched the environmental career of Bob Geldof.
This isn't proof that the world is entering a global cooling cycle. But the absence of sunspots is the most prolonged in a century, and scientists say the reduced solar activity is reminiscent of the Maunder Minimum, between 1645 and 1715, when the Northern Hemisphere suffered through the coldest weather, worst storms and shortest growing seasons of the Little Ice Age.
When so-called "consensus" can be that far off, it would seem that there's plenty of room for serious debate.
Part I. The Rise and Fall of the Science of Weather Modification: 1. The rise of the science of weather modification; 2. The glory years of weather modification; 3. The fall of the science of weather modification; Part II. Inadvertent Human Impacts on Regional Weather and Climate: 4. Anthropogenic emissions of aerosols and gases; 5. Urban-induced changes in precipitation and weather; 6. Other land-use/land-cover changes; 7. Concluding remarks; 8. Overview of global climate forcings and feedbacks; 9. Climatic effects and anthropogenic aerosols; 10. Nuclear winter; 11. Global effects of land-use/land-cover changes and vegetation dynamics; Epilogue; Index.
He points also on a dilemma hr: In order to explain the LGA temperatures p 2000s's must models are either count with a oknd factor (eg, an inactive sun) that can keep the temperature down. But d it becomes difficult to hvda that one must explain the late 1900s uppvrmning with principal hnvisning to mnniskans CO2 production if it does not show how this oknda factor may have pverkat. Or also's're counting not skid oknd factor. But d must the erknna to klimatknsligheten r lg. And then it becomes problematic to explain the late 1900s uppvrmning with hnvisning to just CO2 production.
b) The USHCN station is situated within a water treatment plant, which may not be ideal.
More likely, the day after enactment of a carbon tax, various groups will put out studies with ever higher social costs of carbon, and environmentalists will immediately wave them around, calling for raising the carbon tax, and decoupling it from revenue neutrality to finance more wind and solar boondoggles. And theyll still want additional regulations to drive emissions down faster. If conservatives resist this, theyll get the same denier routine they get now.
Even if Waxman-Markey works according to design, it appears the net reduction in GHG emissions by 2050 would only be about 50 percentstill an ambitious target, but considerably less than the 83 percent reduction advertised in the bill's summary. In other words, instead of reducing fossil fuel CO2 emissions from 6 billion tons to 1 billion tonsthe stated targetthe use of offsets and other gimmicks means that CO2 emissions will only be reduced to about 3 billion tons. The "83 percent reduction by 2050" represents false advertising.
This is in now way excusable, and naturally we have to make sure that we make the peer-review of the text much more efficient.
The only people that seem to be unable to get their arms around the reality is the enviroslooking for a utopia where the air is clean as in no pollutants.
Microsoft has received federal contracts worth $852 million under Obama, according to USASpending.gov, and the company spent about $6 million on lobbying last year, pushing its case on tax credits, education funding and immigration policy.
Even in his most recent whinge, Schmidt does not seriously argue against the strident antagonism of Real Climates reaction in September 2009.
Hope for the future: One of the striking facts about America is how readily we believe that we can prosper through hard work and our own efforts. Polls show that Americans overwhelmingly believe this to be true. These polls also show there is a high correlation between the belief that one is in control of one's life and the belief that one can prosper through one's own efforts.
Arctic Ice Loss July 7 August 28, 2006
If we can bring back manufacturing jobsor at least stem the flow of them from our countrywe need to be encouraging low-cost energy and making more of it available. Moser believes: "balancing the trade deficit should be the number 1 national priority." He told me that would take a 25 percent increase in manufacturingwhich would require about a 10 percent increase in energy usage. Yet, climate change policies demand that we take greater cuts than the developing countries like China and India. If our energy costs continue to go up, as they have in New Hampshire, we'll lose the best competitive advantage we have.
The aerosol cooling that appears in the Met Office model when climate sensitivity is low is very strong, completely inconsistent with recent observationally-based estimates of aerosol forcing. In fact it is so strong that it would also have prevented most of the temperature rise seen since industrialisation. In other words, the virtual climate produced with these settings of the model doesnt match the real one. This means any scenario in which climate sensitivity is low as indeed the observational studies suggest it is gets downweighted in the final analysis to the extent that it doesnt really show up in the final results. The effect is essentially to rule out low climate sensitivity as a possibility.
The Board owes every child an open-minded education free of indoctrination.
So I was pleased indeed to participate last week on a panel discussing "Science, Politics, and the 2016 Election," held at George Washington University (GWU) before an audience of about 200 policy types, faculty, students, and a few souls seeking a respite from the sidewalk slush. The central issue how can rigorous scientific analysis be encouraged and then used to shape policy debates? is important, subtle, and difficult. It is a topic directly relevant to a major dimension of my own work, to wit, the relationship of climate policy analytics to climate modeling and the evidence on such climate phenomena as tropical cyclones.
No time to blog right now, check this out at WUWT. It looks like the DOE didnt get the exhaustive review from the AP. All documents must be preserved.
Glacier Scientist: I Knew Data Hadn't Been Verified
Many CA readers have followed Richard North s recent blog posts on Pachauri, whose recent travails have been also covered by Bishop Hill , Pielke Jr. , James Delingpole , Andrew Bolt , to name but a few.
> Climatic Research Unit fax: +44 1603 507784
Band-aids Can't Fix the New IPCC Report
The Justice Department has prosecuted farmers and ranchers for trying to protect their property from current or potential fires, by starting "controlled burns" or "backfires" that got out of control and burned a few hundred acres of U.S. forest. But when intentional Bureau of Land Management or Forest Service fires in Oregon or South Dakota got out of control and burned thousands of acres of U.S. and private forestland, forage, and livestock, no repercussions, prosecutions, or compensation were forthcoming.
The longest running tide gauge in the Marshall Islands is on Wake Island. It shows a trend of 1.91mm/year since 1950; in other words, about 5 inches since the war.
President Obamas energy/climate policy is all about the two things that Enron wanted most in its lifetime cap and trade and a federal renewable standard. (Enron did secure a renewables mandate for Texas back in 1999 the single most important reason for the U.S. wind power boom.) This is why I have referred to the Waxman-Markey climate bill as the Enron Revitalization Act of 2009.
What has become of science? We thought that science was about the pursuit of truth. Then we became perplexed at how quickly scientists have prostituted themselves in the service of political agendas. We have seen the unedifying spectacle of scientists refusing to share their data, fiddling their results, and resorting to ad hominem attacks on those who have exposed their work to be fraudulent. We have seen the Royal Society becoming a shamelessly crude advocacy society.
RATES OF DEFORESTATION: FOOTBALL FIELDS OR NOT EVEN ENOUGH FOR A FIRST DOWN?
Taxes have two general categories of costs. The first is the tax revenue, called the direct burden in economic jargon. The second is the cost imposed by the tax's price distortions, called the excess burden in economic jargon. A simple (if extreme) example will illustrate these different impacts.
Senator McCain said of his measure, "This is an issue of worldwide importance. We will get another vote and see if there is any temperature change in the Senate this spring." McCain acknowledged that there is little, if any support for his bill in the U.S. House of Representatives. (Environmental News Service)
Why is this stunning refutation of previous IPCC forecasts of strong warming driven by rising levels of CO2 hidden away in Chapter 10?
Last summer, the mainstream media breathlessly reported that a brief 4-day surface melt over the Greenland ice sheet represented evidence of man-made global warming. However, a paper published today in The Cryosphere finds that " the recent warmer summers over cannot be considered as a long-term climate warming but are more a consequence of variability affecting atmospheric heat transport." In other words, the brief Greenland surface melt was related to natural variability rather than alleged man-made global warming.
Simon is back, and he has brought the satirebat with him global warming causes Vegemite sales slump , or something.
Morano on new modeling study claiming: Climate Change Will Make the Persian Gulf "Uninhabitable'
on Friday, June 15th, 2012 at 8:45 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
So, if we had sea levels of 16-31 feet higher than the present 100,000 years ago, well before the dawn of the industrial revolution, what caused that? Inquiring minds want to know.
@wattsupwiththat Mann seems to split his time thusly?? 1) Complain about abuse, etc, in the media/journals.
2) Abuse, name call on twitter
27 You have heard that it was said, `You shall not commit adultery.
If a single simulation is not a good predictor of reality how can the average of many simulations, each of which is a poor predictor of reality, be a better predictor, or indeed claim to have any residual of reality?
Although Svante Arrhenius showed great foresight in many of his comments on energy in 1919, he was wrong in some of his most important predictions: America will run out of oil by 1953 at the latest. Coal reserves will be depleted in England within 50 years and in America within 150 years.
What is at stake, the papers make clear, is not only the alleged betterment of the world, but the U.N.'s soaring ambitions for itself no matter what roadblocks national sovereignty may throw in its way.
The panel lineup had changed significantly from the original plan - Associated Press reporter Seth Borenstein was sidelined due to an illness in the family (although was later noted to be listening to the proceedings via cell phone). The final lineup consisted of Oregon Public Radio producer Christy George, ABC News correspondent Bill Blakemore, New York University professor Dan Fagin, Marc and New York Times environment reporter Andrew Revkin.
But if the temperature "trend" might be toward cooling, that at least means that there was no statistically significant global warming during the years from 2002-2010, does it not? And the planet may well be coolingNOAA's U.S. data certainly points that way. Jones argues the timeline isn't long enough to establish a cooling trend, but 12 years of no warming certainly looks like a trend. It's also 12 years, or more, during which the public has been relentlesslyand, it appears, falselybombarded with the message that the planet is suffering from out-of-control warming.