Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Led by Earthjustice, the Conservation Law Center, Natural Resources Defense Council, National Geographic Society, and the Pew Charitable Trust, environmentalists are urging the White House to use the 1906 Antiquities Act to designate a 6,000-square-mile area in the Gulf of Maine and off the coast of Massachusetts as a National Monument. The area is home to spectacular geological formations, including Cashes Ledge, an underwater mountain system, and the New England Coral Canyons and Seamounts, an undersea chain of formations about 150 miles off the Massachusetts coast.
NOAA s nearest tide gauge shows sea level rising in that region at 0.54 mm / year , which means that would take nearly 2000 years for sea level to rise one meter. See the plot below:
The creator of the infamous "hockey stick," Michael Mann of the University of Virginia, came out swinging when the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee held a hearing July 29 on whether the last century was the warmest in the past thousand years. Responding to the devastating refutation of his claim, Mann resorted to personal attacks and wild charges of scientific incompetence.
Study finds increased CO2 will greatly enhance productivity of world's major crops
Western provinces can expect a fifth-consecutive deep freeze to move in and stay.
Wind turbine rotors can be turned to maximize wind capture. But this is the extent of what the technology can achieve by way of ???control.?? Wind production for electricity is otherwise uncontrollable, except through turning the machines offcurtailment, which is also the one way of making the technology predictable. How can such machines usefully complement the portfolio of extremely reliable machines, so that the latter don??t have to work so hard or so much? The answer: they can??t.
However, with respect to the uncertainty of the multi-decadal global model predictions, when run in a hindcast mode, the paper
Yesterday I posted the satellite-based global-average monthly sea surface temperature (SST) variations since mid-2002, Which was When The NASA Aqua satellite was Launched Carrying the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for EOS (AMSR-E). The AMSR-E instrument (Which I serve as the US Science Team Leader for) Provides nearly all-weather SST measurements.
"Neither the absorption nor the reflection coefficient of glass for the infrared light is relevant for this explanation of the physical greenhouse effect, but only the movement of air, hindered by the panes of glass."
But if you subtract all the "special characteristics" of Sandy that are related to its random path, there is almost nothing left. In fact, by the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), Sandy isn't even the largest storm of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season . It's not even the second one. It's not even the third one: Sandy is just the fourth largest Atlantic tropical storm of 2012. That shouldn't be shocking because it has made it to the Category 2 and only marginally and for a short time.
At the same time, the scandal of Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich's attempts to sell the Senate seat vacated by Obama (and the ham-handed efforts of Roland Burris to grab the prize), along with the embarrassing fandango of New York Gov. David Paterson (D) as he sought to fill Clinton's vacant Senate seat, caused a backlash against appointments, and a vigorous effort by Sen. Russ Feingold (D) of Wisconsina populist haven where no appointments are allowedto amend the Constitution to ban any appointments at any time.
North America's northeastern coast has been battered by hurricanes and other major storms throughout history. A 1775 hurricane killed 4,000 people in Newfoundland; an 1873 monster left 600 dead in Nova Scotia; others pummeled Canada's Maritime Provinces in 1866, 1886, 1893, 1939, 1959, 1963 and 2003.
Maybe the New York Times can dig up Walter Duranty to report about this 5-year plan.
Ivan Osorio: "Ask any CEO where they'd rather locate and hire." Answer: Right to work states.
In March 2012 President Barack Obama stated, "We can't just drill our way to lower gas prices." He said the same thing earlier that year on the campaign trail. He said it a lot. Perhaps the line polled well, but it was not true. The U.S. did drill its way to lower gas prices over the past several years (for both natural gas and gasoline) and broke the back of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in the process.
The typical old-fashioned diet was almost as bad as being a modern vegan.
9. Mexico - Agreement to Promote Technical Cooperation in Environmental and Natural Resource Areas
Now, what about ecosystems? The best thing we can do to protect ecosystems is to make sure they're healthy and resilient, and there's only one way to do that, which is to build wealth around the world. Only wealthy countries can afford to leave biological resources untapped, reduce the strain on local ecosystems and help build up their resilience. We need to figure out how to spread the wealth-building institutions of liberal democracy around the world.
134.Plaintiff?s lawsuit was designed to have and has had the effect of inhibiting legitimate debate on the issues and public policy surrounding the theories expounded by Plaintiff and others and of restricting the free flow of ideas concerning the merits of those theories?
So have their precipitation predictions had anything to do with their recent camera shyness? Possibly. Heres Prof Tim Flannery in New Scientist in 2007
A series of international meetings on climate policy were held starting in 1990 and culminating in the Kyoto Protocol of 1997, which called for significant reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. Since then substantial differences have developed between the American and European Union approaches to Kyoto. Dr. Thorning will discuss the economic, political and cultural fctors leading to the differences in climate change policies favored by the U.S. and the E.U. She will also discuss recent changes in the E.U. climate change policy and explore options for a global solution to the potential threat of climate change.
The Clean Air Act requires that the Carbon Pollution Standard be based on an adequately demonstrated technology, which the courts have interpreted as being commercially demonstrated. In a recent post for Master Resource, I compared the state of CCS technology today to past pollution control technologies whose commercial viability was adjudicated by the courts. The results of this analysis are summarized in the chart below and demonstrate that CCS is not adequately demonstrated.
"Ken Salazar can no longer avoid issuing deep-water drilling permits in the Gulf of Mexico. Though the secretary of the interior recently said he would not bow to political pressure on lifting the de facto drilling moratorium in the gulf, rumors that he would crack under that pressure were confirmed Monday evening when the first deep-water permit since the BP oil spill was issued."
Mr. President there is no real climate knob the government can use to turn the temperature down. Weve seen the simple calculation using the IPCCs own formula and assumptions lead one to believe that this entire effort is less about trying to control our planets climate and more about using scary scenarios as an excuse to put most human activities under government control.
Those subpopulations have been of concern to scientists who said their numbers are declining. Inuit in those areas have disputed the scientific claims, saying they have seen more bears.
39 EPA, New Source Review Questions and Answers.
For a short background from my perspective, Dr Zorita, co-authored a paper in 2004 which pointed out the loss in variance created by methods used in Michael Manns hockey stick as demonstrated in the hockey stick posts linked above. The VonStorch and Zorita paper had a mistake in replicating Manns results in that they did the math correctly whereas Mann had it wrong so they were in the odd situation of correcting a correct paper to make it match an incorrect paper. All that aside, they demonstrate that Manns hockey stick handles are mathematically inclined to be straight.
$300 BILLION ! Lets just pause and think about that for a moment more than global software AND biotech sectors combined that is a phenomenal statistic. If there had been no global warming scare over the past twenty years, most of these companies wouldnt even exist!
#3. The oceans are not going to be boiling from CO2 emissions as predicted by NASA's top climate expert.
A zero day attack is one that is done when a bug is found, but not yet known to the public and fixed by the vendor. The first day it shows up is in an attack on day zero
Piltz simply dismisses the Journal's charge of Sens. Rockefeller and Snowe acting as "bullies" in admonishing ExxonMobil to stop funding groups that disagree with their climate change agenda. Why? He gives no reason -- even though these are government officials initiating communications with a private party while brandishing their government credentials. The letter is published on Snowe's official government website, with a press release with headline (all-caps in the original) and subhead (emphasis added):
Models often differ from theory, though. Climate models used by the IPCC are notorious for not properly simulating even the most basic of ENSO-related processes. See Bellenger et al. (2012) ENSO representation in climate models: from CMIP3 to CMIP5 . One of the known problems is that they underutilize sunlight (downward shortwave radiation). See Guilyardi et al (2008) Understanding El Nio in Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models: progress and challenges .
Congressional reaction to EPA's decision to proceed with the "appropriate care and attention this complex issue demands" rather than "rushing" to regulate CO2, was predictable.
"Similarly, the Atlantic coastal forests of Brazil have been cut to about 12 percent of their original size, yet a team of Brazilian zoologists that combed the forests could not confirm a single case of extinction. Instead, they rediscovered several birds and six species of butterfly considered extinct 20 years ago. And a survey by the Flora Meso-Americana project found increased abundance of some species considered threatened.
SM: That's a good question. We ask the question throughout the book that despite the irrefutable evidence that things are getting better, why do people think things are getting worse? I think one reason is the media. The media inundates us with bad news. We say in the book that good news to the media is a contradiction in terms. If it's good, it's not news. So, when you are just being bombarded with stories of someone being murdered, or a plane crash, or a war, or child abuse, you think this is happening all over, and we are at the saturation point in these things. Part of the explanation when Americans think things used to be better is that we all used to be younger, and when we were younger, when we were kids, it never seemed to rain. I think it's a kind of false nostalgia.
In the past 300 years there has been major changes in what appears to have been a significant shift in atmospheric circulation above the entire trans-Antarctic region between about 1700 and 1850. Concurrently there has been abrupt climate change in the North Atlantic as well as a significant change in atmospheric circulation in the North Pacific.
The course of apocalyptic movements is generally similar. In order to keep the enthusiasm of its followers at a fever pitch and to attract new followers, it is necessary to keep stoking the fires with more and more outlandish claims. The hysteria peaks as doomsday is moved closer and closer to the present, and then -- poof -- it collapses. It appears to me that the global warming bubble has gone about as far as it can go before it descends into ranting and writhing on the ground or random outbreaks of mob violence.
UK Environmentalists Hope To Destroy The Entire Countryside By 2050
From the grasping at straws file, Michigan governor Jennifer Granholm has been talking for a while about remaking Michigan as an alternative energy powerhouse. Henry Payne reports on her breakfast talk yesterday morning at the DNC Convention:
But such recourse cannot account for the recurring white-working-class swings toward the GOP in prior years. Issues change, yet the same pattern has recurred for over 40 years. Something deeper must be at work, something that operates at the level of values rather than that of ideas. To discern what those values are, we must make inferences from these past elections rather than rely on contemporaneous data; we must turn off our computers and rely on the Force.
DCC/CC scientists have also included fundamentally flawed literature reviews such Oreskes 2004, Anderegg et al 2010, and Cook et al 2013 as robust measures of 97-98% scientific consensus for CAGW. All three of these studies has been heavily criticized in the scientific literature for flawed methodology which distorted the results.
Ill make one prediction: If Obama does not veto the Keystone XL Pipeline after talking the talk on climate change, green groups will go ballistic (even though, Cato Institutescholar Chip Knappenbergercalculates , full-throttle operation of the Keystone XL Pipeline wouldadd an inconsequential 0.0001C/yrto global temperatures). My colleague Myron Ebell reasonably speculates that Obamas tough talkon climate was a signal to green groups to organize the biggest anti-Keystone protest ever.
A global perspective is developed on a number of high impact climate extremes in 2010 through diagnostic studies of the anomalies, diabatic heating, and global energy and water cycles that demonstrate relationships among variables and across events. Natural variability, especially ENSO , and global warming from human influences together resulted in very high sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in several places that played a vital role in subsequent developments.
So using the 20th c for tuning is just doing what some people have long
CNN is reporting on TV that many firefighters say fires burn hotter than they used to.
Hoyer joins Obama in calling past vote on debt ceiling "a mistake':
1. The rate of warming over the past 15 years (1998-2012; 0.05 deg. C/decade) is smaller than the trend since 1951 (1951-2012; 0.12 deg. C/decade) (SPM-3).
Bipartisanship is not necessarily a good thing. Strong partisans often dislike the results, and some bipartisan compromises are bad policy. But like it or not, bipartisanship is suddenly busting out all over.
Can Coastal Marine Fish Evolve to Tolerate Ocean Acidification?
Stephen McIntyre, who debunked the Hockey Stick temperature reconstruction by Climategate-implicated Michael Mann, disputed the Committees judgment with respect to the infamous trick to hide the decline.
But its only if we include a strong warming effect from Mans CO2 emissions that we can reproduce the observed warming of the past 60 years. We cannot think of any other reason for the warming. That argument from the UNs climate panel, the IPCC, is the argumentum ad ignorantiam, the fallacy of arguing from ignorance. We do not know why the warming has occurred. Arbitrarily to blame Man is impermissible.
This is a continuation of the theme of my last 2 blog posts, dealing with the fact that a greater number of strong to violent tornadoes occur in unusually COOL years, not warm years.
The Obama Environmental Protection Agency and environmental activists frequently claim that climate change will disproportionately affect poor and minority communities. In their view, this justifies unprecedented environmental regulations, like EPA's pending "Clean Power Plan" (CPP) to reduce carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions from coal and gas-fueled power plants 30% by 2030.
Corporate Welfare on a Vast Scale: Obama's Cap-and-Trade Scam Threatens Economy
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Vice President for Policy Wayne Crews on the mostly hidden costs of federal regulation:
Whether Spencer is right or wrong, the claim CO2 is not the only cause of the warming is different than, humans are not to blame for the increase . Mann??s portrayal is a clear exaggeration of what his source actually says.
But a bigger gaffe is Hansens claim that Earth absorbs only 240Wm^2, averaged over the surface of the planet. In this number fudge Hansen applied a bogus averaging technique to illuminate a flat Earth by a constant frigid twilight. As such he deliberately omits to account for the fact Earth is a rotating sphere subject to the constant heating and cooling effects of night and day.
Note that no one is suggesting that Lunar cycles are the dominant drivers of climate, just that they change conditions on Earth in ways that may favor certain kinds of climate patterns, and may explain the magnitude of some of the extremes. The message is that climate models will not be complete without factoring in the lunar cycles.
The brief, which lists Kagan as "counsel of record," argued that the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia "lacked jurisdiction because petitioners failed to exhaust the exclusive statutory review procedures" at the agency. Directly attacking the reasoning of Judge James Robertson, appointed to the D.C. District Court by President Clinton, Kagan maintained that Robertson's decision to even let the case proceed was "contrary to bedrock principles of judicial review of administrative action." Standing is indeed one of the bedrock elements of judicial review under our Constitution. Article III requires that there actually be a "case" or "controversy" before federal courts can rule on the legal merits of a law or regulation, and the plaintiff has to show a sufficient injury or the likelihood of one from the policy at hand to give him standing to sue. This edict keeps the courts from being a pure policymaking body.
Since 1 January 2001, the dawn of the new millennium, the warming trend on the mean of 5 datasets is nil. No warming for 13 years 5 months.
Members of the IPCC met in Kuala Lumpur last week to discuss the consideration of the Greenland and Antarctic data for the IPCCs next report its fifth. Analysis of the extent of reduction in mass of the two major ice sheets will be the reports main focus.
The four researchers first note that " A. laticollaris is an appropriate species to predict the response of shallow-water thecate Foraminifera to predicted increases in atmospheric CO 2 , given its isolation from a shallow-water semi-tropical setting." Hence, they go on to say their results indicate that "at least some foraminiferal species will tolerate CO 2 values that are one to two orders of magnitude higher than those predicted for the next few centuries." And, last of all, they say that A. laticollaris will also tolerate CO 2 values that are one to two orders of magnitude greater than those predicted to occur for the "extreme case" of burning all fossil fuels in the crust of the earth , which observation validates the title of our brief review: That's one tough protist! Reviewed 8 July 2009
Pictures: National Snow & amp; Ice Data Center
But for Murray, the main message was not the internal and external factors which have produced conflict across the Middle East and North Africa and the deaths of refugees It was climate change.
Floods are notoriously difficult to predict, particularly flash floods. Coarse resolution global climate models do a dreary job of simulating the local distribution of rainfall events. Apart from the actual physics of precipitation and the complex interactions between the cloud microphysics and small scale turbulent and convective dynamics, getting the regional distribution of rainfall events depends on accurate simulation of the statistics of weather events, ENSO, blocking patterns, etc. Coarse resolution climate models do not do a particularly good job in simulating the dynamics that are relevant for formation of extreme precipitation events.
However, the conclusion must be that drawn that warming was more widespread in the Arctic not just the Atlantic side than is currently noted in the official sea ice data bases covering 1920-1945/50 and that the official records appear to very substantially overstate the ice area extent during this period.
In the simplest of terms, Robredo et al . conclude that "elevated CO 2 mitigates many of the effects of drought on nitrogen metabolism and allows more rapid recovery following water stress."
In the blog article , CRU made another untrue assertion about Climate Audit with reckless indifference:
Around the world, meanwhile, record low temperatures continue to make a mockery of global warming theories. While anecdotal, to be sure, Cairo, Egypt, just saw its first snowfall in more than 100 years . In the United States there have been thousands of new records for cold temperatures and snowfalls just in the month of December. In an extremely bizarre twist, some climate scientists have even started claiming that the freezing temperatures are actually more evidence of global warming.
> >> >From: Mike Hulme
The study notes that this ridge which has resulted in decreased rain and snowfall since 2011 is almost opposite to what computer models predict would result from human-caused climate change.
Feel-good actions won't make a dent. For example, it is fashionable to favor locally grown produce in part to reduce the carbon from transport. But transport from producer to retailer is a trivial partless than 5%of energy used in the life cycle of produce. Almost all of the emitted carbon is associated with production, which means that growing a tomato bound for Chicago in an Illinois winter hothouse rather than outdoors in Florida is not a carbon-saving strategy.
Polar bear populations are at near record levels and seem healthy, and even I have seen them playing around on floating ice chunks in the Arctic summer. They are a terrestrial animal, after all, as anyone can see who visits the Churchill area in the summer and takes a polar bear cruise on one of their giant bear-proof buses.
No Master Lock on Job CreationRyan Young's quote in The Washington Times
The first principle to keep in mind is context. While it is true that global temperatures have risen somewhat during the past 100-plus years since the Little Ice Age ended, there was little room for temperatures to go at the time but up. The Little Ice Age, lasting from approximately A.D. 1300 to 1900, brought the planets coldest extended temperatures during the last 10,000 years. Saying that temperatures have risen by one degree or so since the end of the Little Ice Age tells us little about the long-term temperature context because the arbitrary baseline of the Little Ice Age was an exceptionally cold climate anomaly.
A similar heavy precipitation event happened in the same area in late September of this year, but it was about 15 degrees warmer, which resulted in heavy rainfall but no blizzard, said Dennis Todey, a climatologist at SDSU.
Massarenti writes not necessarily eugenics the monstrous forms adopted by the Nazis
Interpreting the PSD provisions to encompass GHGs makes no logical sense, Kavanaugh argues:
While most aktrer, tminstone in theory, stdjer the Mertonska standards governing scientific research communalism, universalism, disinterestedness, originality and skepticism knner many pressured to stdja extreme prospects when it comes to climate science. As a result there is a tendency in this area for the stta political practicality or the latest fashion front of openness and honesty.