Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In the past two weeks many U.S. media gave supportive coverage to two public opinion polls about global warming. However, reporters were duped. The surveys released on October 9th and 18th by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication and the George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication were hopelessly biased. They therefore cannot be meaningful measures of American public opinion.
This spate of problems, as they continue, can (8) "be easily found in fully coupled GCMs as the atmospheric, oceanic and coupling processes could all introduce errors and even amplify the errors from each other," citing the studies of Delecluse et al . (1998), Grenier et al . (2000), Cai et al . (2011) and Gupta et al . (2013). And they thus remind us that (9) "current state-of-the-art CGCMs do not resolve oceanic meso-scale dynamics.
The situation is little better in the rest of the world. There are no records for the entire Arctic Basin. The problem was exacerbated when they reduced the number of stations assuming satellites would provide a replacement. The problem is you cannot determine if precipitation occurred or if it was rain or snow.
The main conclusion drawn from the body of work reviewed in this paper is that distinguishing between natural and externally forced variations is a difficult problem that is nevertheless key to any assessment of decadal predictability and decadal prediction skill. Note that all the techniques are limited by some assumption intrinsic to their analysis, such as the spatial characteristics of the anthropogenic signal, independence of noise from signal, or statistical stationarity.
It seems that the Met office now NTT's Stalingrad. It has not SNAT's much in England since Queen Victoria's time. Met Office will not give up s ltt.Vi can expect that researchers Vicky Pope going to demand a stop from private individuals hold thermometers. Ordinary of people do not understand to read the thermometers. Only Official adjusted temperature data, distributed via the Internet are allowed.
"This temporal clustering," in the words of Ntegeka and Willems, "highlights the difficulty of attributing 'change' in climate series to anthropogenically induced global warming," and they say that "no strong conclusions can be drawn on the evidence of the climate change effect in the historical rainfall series." We find this negative or null result to be extremely interesting, especially in light of the fact that climate alarmists -- who argue that global warming should produce both more floods and more droughts -- typically contend that the warming of the earth over the past century or more has been unprecedented over the past one to two millennia . Perhaps their worries are not all that well founded. Reviewed 1 October 2008
Amid the rolling hills and verdant pastures of south central Virginia an unlikely new front in the battle over nuclear energy is opening up. How it is decided will tell us a lot about whether this country is willing to get serious about addressing its energy needs.
In a world where glaciers are believed to be shrinking almost everywhere, the authors note that at the west end of the Himalayan arc, where China, India and Pakistan meet, "an anomalous gain of mass has been suggested for the Karakoram glaciers," citing the findings of Hewitt (2005) - who first wrote about the "Karakoram anomaly" - as well as the subsequent studies of Zemp et al . (2009), Cogley (2011) and Scherler et al . (2011).
Roundup of wisdom regarding the current weather icebox and the global warming debate
The study, commissioned by the Office of Net Assessment, looked particularly at the possible effects of rapid cooling following the shutting down of the Gulf Stream because of global warming. The study admitted it was "imagining the unthinkable" and that its scenario was extreme in both its global reach and its magnitude. The Pentagon reacted that the $100,000 study did not meet its needs and took no action.
If temperature variations in space have essentially no impact on the carbon sequestration prowess of earth's peatlands, as is suggested by the two studies described above, there is little reason to believe that temperature variations in time would be much different in this regard. Hence, there would appear to be little real-world support for the climate-alarmist claim that in response to future global warming, "peatlands may become a net source of greenhouse gases which will accelerate warming of the atmosphere." Reference
However, for the 15-year trend interval corresponding to the latest observation period 1998-2012, only 2% of the 62 CMIP5 and less than 1% of the 189 CMIP3 trend computations are as low as or lower than the observed trend.
Averaged over the two years of experimentation, elevated CO 2 increased crop yield by 15% in the dry soil moisture plots, but had no effect on the yield of plants grown in plots receiving adequate levels of soil moisture.
The fundamental question before the United States Senate will be whether my colleagues will have the courage to stand up to President Obama and put the brakes on his abusive, out of control EPA that has openly admitted that "if you want to build a coal plant you got a big problem" or if they are going to stand with President Obama and his administration's "crucify" agenda.
During her chat with reporters, Zichal claimed that the White House is embarking on an effort to "turn this issue from a red-state, blue-state issue to an American issue." She went on to say that the administration is launching "a sustained focus on depoliticizing the climate on climate policy."
With respect to climate, the two researchers determined there had been a significant increase in the daily mean temperature during the vegetation season (May-September) between 1944 and 2008, when the temperature rose at a rate of 0.015C per year, yielding an increase of almost 1C over the 64-year study period. With respect to insect responses, they found that the total number of bumble bee, butterfly and moth species increased from 52 in 1944 to 64 in 2008; but they say that for wild bees, which only increased from 15 to 16 species, the increase was not statistically significant. For butterflies and moths, on the other hand, the combined species number increase (from 37 to 48) was statistically significant.
Across the U.S., summer temperatures were cooler than normal. Aberdeen, S.D., experienced its coolest August in 115 years with an average temperature seven degrees below normal (63.4 vs. 70.5).
In his response , Dewey agrees with Trotsky in the rejection of moral truths and absolutist ethics:
THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)
Liette Vasseur, a climate change scientist at Brock University, says that as temperatures rise in the ocean, lobster growth seems to be affected.
Phil has changed the data at a rate of 0.8 degrees per century, equal to the rate they claim the earth has warmed.
A few weeks ago, I was violently ill and wasnt sure I was going to make it. I have lost 30 pounds since late June.
"Thanks to the industry's investment of $188 billion, major emissions from coal-fueled power plants have been reduced by nearly 90 percent," said Sheehan. "The industry plans to invest another $100 billion over the next decade to develop and deploy clean coal technology further reducing emissions."
His first initiative also failed because utility companies would have had to make nearly 20-year commitments to buy offshore wind energy.
Until the 1990s, scientists thought that the Alps glaciers had been more or lessconsistentlyintact and only began retreating after the end of the Little Ice Age. Schlchters findings showed thatglacial retreats of the past also had been profound.
In fact, it is overwhelmingly clear in my work that I am arguing about the existence of an ADDITIONAL climate forcing which is related to solar/astronomical changes: a forcing that is not currently included in the climate models adopted by the IPCC. Essentially I am not talking only about a direct solar irradiance forcing, which is the only thing Kramm is thinking about.
Where's the Warming? Unusual Weather Does Not Equal Climate Change
A Shot Of Growth In The Arm Of The Body Politic: An Interview With The Club For Growth's Steve Moore
Failures of peer review are examples of what Nobel chemistry laureate Irving Langmuir called "pathological science"the "science of things that are not so."
The Independent Institute held a briefing at the National Press Club on July 28 to launch a new report (available at http://www.independent.org ) on recent developments in climate science. As well as examining the recent debates over changes in climate over the past millennium and what the satellite records are telling us that have been extensively covered in this newsletter, the report also looked at two other areas: what research is telling us about urban mortality at higher temperatures and the institutional culture of the EPA and other public bodies.
Many of the failed harvests of the past decade were a consequence of weather disasters, like floods in the United States, drought in Australia and blistering heat waves in Europe and Russia. Scientists believe some, though not all, of those events were caused or worsened by human-induced global warming. Completely unmentioned are the many (most?) scientists who believe that evidence is lacking to connect recent floods and heat waves to "human-induced global warming." In fact, the balance of evidence with respect to floods is decidedly contrary to the assertion in the article, and recent heat wave attribution is at best contested. More importantly, even in the face of periodic weather extremes, food prices -- which link supply and demand -- exhibit a long-term downward trend, despite recent spikes .
In this clash, the ruling class holds most of the cards: because it has established itself as the fount of authority, its primacy is based on habits of deference. Breaking them, establishing other founts of authority, other ways of doing things, would involve far more than electoral politics.
Measuring the global temperature is only reliably done by satellites, which circle the world 24/7 measuring the temperature over large swathes of land and ocean. But satellite temperature records only go back to 1979. Before that, the further back you go the more unreliable the temperature record gets. We have decent land thermometer records back to 1880, and some thermometer records back to the middle of the 1700s. Prior to that we rely on temperature proxies, such as ice cores, tree rings, ocean sediments, or snow lines.
Others continue to trumpet studies that paint terrifying environmental fairy tales if world governments do not immediately criminalize carbon, ban fossil fuels, and ration energy.
There was little cheer either for passengers stranded at Gatwick and Edinburgh airports, or those stuck in their cars on blocked roads.
We pay three times. We pay for wind output; we pay for nuclear to not generate; and we pay to sell the excess power. Wind is not economically justified.
While Kyoto's failure may be news to the public, it's not to former vice president and global-warmer-in-chief Al Gore, who smugly admitted on Jan. 4 at a political gathering that included yours truly, "Did we think Kyoto would work when we signed it ?... Hell no!"
The findings indicate that water flea populations can adapt quite rapidly to rising temperatures. The study is the first to show that animal populations can adapt and already have adapted to higher temperatures and increased heat wave frequencies ??? two results of climate change ??? by means of evolutionary changes in their heat tolerance.
What methods do they use to achieve their unusual conclusion? Using observational data collected over the last 50 years and complex climate models, the team has established that low-level stratiform clouds appear to dissipate as the ocean warms, indicating that changes in these clouds may enhance the warming of the planet. Well, they use some data but also "complex models". It's clearly a basic logical error to try to show that the models represent a feature of the climate incorrectly, while using the same models to derive this conclusion. ;-)
The average global temperature of the earth has increased roughly 0.5 C over the last 100 years. The instrumental surface record of temperature sampled worldwide and going back over 100 years is shown in Figure 1. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere has also increased in that period.
As displayed in Figure 2, the time-integral of sunspot numbers alone appears to show the estimated true average global temperature trend (the net average global energy trend) during the planet warm up from the depths of the Little Ice Age.
This brings us to another fact, which is that the core of the Earth is hot. How do we know this? Very simply by volcanic eruptions throwing up rivers of red-hot lava; by geysers throwing up boiling water and by the above-mentioned hydrothermal vents. Nobody that I know of has yet claimed that man has caused the internal heat of the Earth. And yet we still have a substantial body of people who hold a sort of religious belief that Man is causing Global Warming and thereby causing the Climate of the Earth to change.
Forcing Unrealistic Hikes Endangers Drivers, Zaps the Economy
May Free Speech Reign and Scientific Inquiry Prevail
Copyright 1998 Dow Jones Industrial, Inc.
If the committee upholds the complaint, the UN has the power to require the UK and EU to adhere to its ruling, as they are signatories to the international treaty known as the arhus Convention. Legal experts predict that if the tribunal finds in her favour, the decision could have a big impact on all wind farm projects throughout the country, as developers will be forced to make far more comprehensive benefit statements with their planning applications, and governments will have to back up claims about the alleged benefits.
The UN IPCC Fouth Assessment Report (2007) famously concluded thatmost of the observed increase in global average temperature since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations. However, recent studies attribute components of the observed warming to other factors. Adding up those contributions, Pat and Chip calculate that greenhouse gas concentrations account for less than half of the observed warming since 1950.
It was suggested that the AMOC might be capable of influencing Arctic sea ice on this time scale through the inflow of Atlantic Water into the Arctic Ocean.
It is too early to tell if the recent decade marks the beginning of a longer term trend in plant growth related to long-term climate change. Climate is defined by patterns seen over longer periods of time, at least 20-30 years. In the previous 20 years (19821999), plant growth and the related carbon uptake increased as much as six percent. Regardless, the observed decrease in plant growth between 2000 and 2009 helps researchers better understand how plants might respond to a changing climate.
Victory as WV School Board allows students to debate global warming
Renewable sources cannot be relied on solely, he believes, and it becomes a choice between coal and nuclear for baseload power.
A quote from an IPCC lead author: There are far too many politically correct appointments, so that developing country scientists are appointed who have insufficient competence to do anything useful.
13. Jared Diamond, "Environmental Collapse and the End of Civilization," Harper's (June 2003).
Meantime, Massachusetts AG Maura Healey filed court documents declaring she won't enforce her subpoena against Exxon until the oil giant's countersuits against the AGs are settled. Exxon has sued Ms. Healey in Texas federal court to quash her subpoena as a violation of its First and Fourth Amendment rights. Mrs. Healey clearly sensed the political dangers of dragging her office on a long, anti-free-speech march and is putting the investigation to the side.
hand. In terms of the substance of guaranteeing Iran does not conduct a
In fact, NOAA and even the UN's alarmist IPCC have admitted that there have been no increases in the severity or frequency of droughts, floods, thunderstorms, or tornadoes in decades.
Of the 112 studies that examine the Medieval Warm Period (between 800 and 1300 A.D.), 103 showed evidence of such a period, while only 2 did not and 7 were equivocal.
But the tide seems to be turning. The Climate Conference fiasco in Copenhagen, Climategate scandal and stabilization of worldwide temperatures since 1995 have given rise to growing doubts about the putative threat of "dangerous global warming" or "global climate disruption." Indeed, even Phil Jones, director of the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit and one of the main players in Climategate, now acknowledges that there has been no measurable warming since 1995, despite steadily rising atmospheric carbon dioxide.
This is inconsistent with abundant other evidence including that which is presented in the report itself. Only one reef area of the 8 featured in the report showed a 2-fold increase and that area had the lowest level to begin and lowest difference between fished and unfished reefs. In 5 of the 8 areas featured in the report the protected reefs actually showed a decline in coral trout numbers. On fished reefs, three areas showed increases in biomass while 5 showed declines. This is hardly the extraordinary 2-fold increase in protected areas being bannered.
President Obama, an increasingly leaky White House tells us, fears irrelevance. I am still relevant, the president all-but declared at his recent press conference. And to prove it, he told us about his constitutional authority to issue executive orders and to veto bills that he finds in conflict with his progressive agenda. Perhaps.
A new paper to be published in Ethics, Policy & Environment proposes a series of biomedical modifications that could help humans, themselves, consume less. Some of the proposed modifications are simple and noninvasive. For instance, many people wish to give up meat for ecological reasons, but lack the willpower to do so on their own. The paper suggests that such individuals could take a pill that would trigger mild nausea upon the ingestion of meat, which would then lead to a lasting aversion to meat-eating. Other techniques are bound to be more controversial. For instance, the paper suggests that parents could make use of genetic engineering or hormone therapy in order to birth smaller, less resource-intensive children.
Soon, the Obama administration published a five-page talking points memo assailing the economic assessment written by two young, non-economist, pro-wind activists from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in Boulder, Colorado.
In response to intense questioning from Rep. Mike Pompeo, Kansas Republican, during a House Energy and Commerce Committee hearing on Sept. 18, EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy admitted that the new regulations are unlikely to have measurable impact on world climate. She then explained the real reasons for the rules: ?What we are attempting to do is put together a comprehensive climate plan across the administration that positions the U.S. for leadership on this issue and that will prompt and leverage international discussions and actions.?
Produced in the unique, entertaining and informative style that CFACT and Marc Morano are known for, Climate Hustle will tear the cover off of the global warming debate to further investigate this multi-billion-dollar issue. This event will look at the history of climate scares, examine the science on both sides of the debate and dig into the politics and media hype surrounding the issue.
For example, it is often asserted that global warming already kills 150,000 people per year worldwide. Yet a recent econometric study by Johns Hopkins epidemiologist Harvey Brenner found that replacing U.S. coal with higher-cost fuels for energy production would result in at least 195,000 additional premature deaths in the United States alone. Given that recent "Kyoto-lite" measures proposed in the U.S. Senatesuch as the Climate Stewardship Act sponsored by Sens. John McCain (R.-Ariz,) and Joseph Lieberman (D.-Conn.)would result in the replacement of about 78 percent of coal with high-priced fuels, it is entirely plausible that even "baby steps" towards climate mitigation would kill more people in the U.S. than global warming kills worldwide. The effects of such strategies adopted across the globe could be far more devastating than global warming even if alarmist predictions come true.
Congress says yes to high-skilled immigrants
Gina McCarthy President Obamas pick to succeed Lisa Jackson as EPA Administrator is often described as a straight shooter and honest broker . As my colleague Anthony Ward and Iexplain in Forbes , McCarthy has a history of misleading Congress about the EPAs greenhouse gas regulatory agenda.
At his recent press conference, President Obama, in response to a question, said You know, as you know, Mark, we cant attribute any particular weather event to climate change. What we do know is the temperature around the globe is increasing faster than was predicted even ten years ago. That is a flat out lie. The temperature of the Earth has been cooling for at least sixteen years.
Verizon challenges FCC's net neutrality rules:
When the decadal rates of change are integrated over the entire twentieth century we obtain the figure on the right. Sea level can be seen to have risen around 170 mm on average over the past century. The mean rate for the twentieth century calculated in this way is 1.67.04 mm/yr. The first half of the century (1904-1953) had a slightly higher rate (1.91.14 mm/yr) in comparison with the second half of the century (1.42.14 mm/yr 1954-2003).
One may reconstruct the trajectory of the second bullet from the holes in the bodies. The Texas governor John Connally was closer to the center of the car and at a lower height and his chest was just turned to the right side. One may still trace the holes in their bodies and they agree with a straight single shot whose origin (from the back) is moreover compatible with the 6th floor of the building where Lee Harvey Oswald is located. The direction where the brain fragments appeared (front) and the direction of the momentum transfer to the body agree with the predictions of physics, too, although the momentum transfer is a bit subtle issue.
Gingrich climate book coming post-election
Because ENSO is the dominant mode of climate variability at interannual time scales, the lack of consistency in the model predictions of the response of ENSO to global warming currently limits our confidence in using these predictions to address adaptive societal concerns, such as regional impacts or extremes.
One of the favorite lies is the charge that fossil fuel companies are funding the climate change skeptics, even with zilch empirical evidence to back it up. The Heartland Institute decided to call out a U.S. Congressman (a Democrat) on the blatant mis-truths and rumors that he his staff published.
The big one is that temperatures have nearly stopped rising this century so far. There has been very little to no rise whatsoever according to the main temperature metrics. We were supposed to rise substantially yet it didnt happen.
Combined with the rather unrestrained positive spin on the benefits and cost effectiveness achieved by GBRMPA management, the appearance of this report is that of a promotion piece which the most productive and respected beneficiaries of their research funding have been invited to endorse. In such case, it would have been very difficult for them to decline or to offer much objection to the claims made. At the same time, their names and status would provide credibility and deterrence of criticism while greatly increasing the prospect of acceptance for publication in a prestigious journal such as PNAS.