Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It was also interesting that the media condemned the addition of newer, more reputable science to the outdated report. The New York Times suggested that reference to one study had been challenged only so it could be replaced by a study backed by the oil industry. In fact, the 1999 study that was deleted is junk science at its worstbased on models that it is agreed do not predict the climate better than do tables of random numberswhich is why the Competitive Enterprise Institute has petitioned the administration to stop disseminating it.
All these points confronted and contradicted the political agenda of blaming human CO2 for global warming and latterly climate change. Refutation began in the 1995 Second Assessment Report (SAR) and hit full stride with the 2001 Third Assessment Report (TAR) and its central feature, the Hockey Stick. Accurate determination of the onset and termination dates for the MWP and LIA, the relative homogeneity, was essential to identifying the underlying mechanisms. The Hockey Stick solved the problem by eliminating the events completely and tacking on a modern blade with an error factor that made the numbers meaningless. Welcome to IPCC climate science.
Yes, you can fix the regressivity problem by redirecting revenue to the poor. But if you fix the regressivity problem, you just distort the economy more, and on top of that, you undermine the incentive to conserve among the very people who emit a lot of greenhouse gas emissions.
Paul Martin signaled Thursday that Canadians will pay whatever price necessary to keep his corrupt Liberal government in power. With pre-election bribery of the cities and other useful fools at over $8 billion and rising, Martin is now promising to send the Canadian Armed Forces into harms way to corral David Kilgour's vote. CBC:
El Nio and La Nia events are the dominant mode of natural ocean-atmosphere variability on Earth. They have long-term impacts on temperature and precipitation patterns globally. Those long-term impacts have been one of the primary focusses of my research over the past 5 years. An introduction to those findings are presented in the illustrated essay The Manmade Global Warming Challenge and they are discussed in minute detail in my ebook Who Turned on the Heat?
We do not know if the ACT??s 90% renewables target by 2020 is even technically possible or what new gas fired capacity would be essential near the ACT to help the NSW grid cope with the huge random fluctuations inherent with greatly increased wind power near the ACT.
"San Francisco's already done it, and now New York may follow suit. New York City Councilman Leroy Comrie thinks the city should consider a ban on "Happy Meals" and similar fast food promotions aimed at kids unless those meals meet certain nutritional standards, Jay Dow reports."
In problems of this kind, the more diverse are the interests of the parties, the poorer are the prospects for success. Contrasting value judgments often cause conflict. With GHG controls, the differing interests of rich and poor nations have emerged as especially problematic.
Moreover, DSM policies have created razor-thin supply margins, resulting in price volatility and rolling blackouts during periods of peak demand. During the summer of 2007, California utilities actually told people to turn off their air conditioners on hot days. That is not efficient. It is a good way to get heat stroke.
Hansens hottest year ever is nonsense. He shows a sharp rise in temperatures after July just as the coldest La Nina on record set in. This is horrifically bad science.
Studysuggests that global sea level is less sensitive to high atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations than previously thought.
clean 2004-05 US was hit by eight major hurricanes including the frdande Catherine. These hurricanes are likely background to the sekundra peak in 2004-06 from the lower curve in the graph above. The major damage vckte course, great attention, and Gray gives an NST next research sociological description of how this triggered the publication of a few haussade scientific articles in Nature and Science with unhappy fljder from historiography. Gray believes that the quality of these rs lg, he ifrgastter that these have been examined scientifically. A avsevrd part of the report is detailed polemic against these works, which uncritically accepted in the IPCC AR4.
You have not only shrugged off that abuse, you have also survived the scorn and ridicule of your fellow West Australian Joanne Nova (I found that while googling your email address). It is a species of bravery I do not know if I can tap.
Climatologist Pielke Sr. counters claim of "more moisture' causing more extreme weather: "Stratospheric water vapor concentrations decreased by about 10% after year 2000'
Global Warming ended more than a decade ago as shown here, and in Reference 4 and also Reference 2.
Activists and even some scientists will tell you that the science behind the expected major warming of the globe is rock solid. In fact, the projections of temperature increases in coming decades are based on entirely unproven forecasting systems which depend on guesses about crucial aspects of the atmosphere behaviour and the all-important oceans. In addition, these forecasts use carbon dioxide emission scenarios that have been generated by economic calculations rather than from science, and parts of which are already hopelessly wrong less than a decade after they were made.
The latest round of tension between Japan and China reveals the underlying instability in East Asia. The Chinese are in high dudgeon over Japan's arrest of a Chinese fishing captain, whom Japanese officials claim rammed Japanese vessels in disputed waters in the East China Sea. They have apparently shut off exports of rare earth materials (though China denies it) to Japan and threatened greater sanctions unless Japan complies with its demands to release the captain (the Japanese did).
Hansens 2001 paper exposedhow NOAA and NASA massively corrupt the US temperature record. The image below shows the various steps of data tampering..
Four Decades of Subsidy Rationales for Uncompetitive Energy
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 15 August 2014 Update An El Nio Mulligan?
Something is wrong. I just dont know if it is the state of our government, or the conspiracy conjecture videos being faked. In any case, there are interesting puzzlements.
The paper is titled: On the relationship between global, hemispheric and latitudinal averaged air surface temperature (GISS time series) and solar activity .
Also known as Hatfield Earthworks, there is not much to see but bank and ditch. Plenty of atmosphere though.
The mle2 function works by calculating profile likelihoods; to calculate the log-likelihood of a slope, it requires a function yielding the log-likelihood of the slope given the time series. Here I applied a useful attribute of the arima function in R that the log-likelihood is one of its attributes. I defined a function ar1.lik as follows (note the minus sign):
(1) The ice core isotope data were hugely significant because they showed that the Younger Dryas, as well as the other late Pleistocene warming and cooling events, could not possibly be caused by human emissions of CO 2 because they occurred thousands of years before such emissions had any effect on atmospheric CO 2 .
Environmental laws since the 1970s require public input into federal land-use decisions including logging on national forests. This has led to lawsuits challenging efforts by the U.S. Forest Service to prevent forest fires by thinning out trees (most of which are dead or diseased) and brush by machines and carefully controlled burns. This dead wood is the fuel that feeds catastrophic wildfires.
UPDATE #1 (10.01.2010 @ 6:45am): Due to immediate negative response, 10:10 has already removed the video from their website, and Google (?) has made it "private' on Youtube.
Congressman Henry Waxman, the ranking Democrat on the House Energy and Commerce Committee, argued recently that "It's important for the president to act because the Congress is still denying the science and is not about to pass any legislation. The president has broad authority to accomplish many reductions through regulation on his own, without Congress." Whether the president in reality has that authority is an issue that is certain to occupy the courts. But the implementation of policies and other measures not approved by Congress is deeply problematic in the context of the separation of powers and technicalities such as the consent of the governed. Like the environment, our institutions also can be "polluted," an outcome to be resisted regardless of the assumed merits of the policies themselves.
Climate change is already having sweeping effects on every continent and throughout the worlds oceans ice caps are melting, sea ice in the Arctic is collapsing, water supplies are coming under stress, heat waves and heavy rains are intensifying, coral reefs are dying, and fish and many other creatures are migrating toward the poles or in some cases going extinct.(New York Times)
Firefighters are spending a third day tackling a major blaze at a wood recycling plant in South Yorkshire.
Many people erroneously think economic growth unavoidably leads to environmental degradation, but Moore and White show major improvements in air quality occurred as our use of fossil fuels doubled. New coal plants, for example, emit 90 percent less sulfur dioxide than plants built 50 years ago. Moore and White rightly point out most of the advances that have been made are the result of efforts undertaken by private businesses to improve efficiency, not laws imposed by the national government.
OK, so is CO2 the limiting nutrient? Id assert that it often was. Yes, for some lands and crops adding Nitrogen or Phosphorus increases growth (so they are the limiting nutrients). And farmers have gone out of their way to assure that their lands are not rate limited on those common fertilizer components. But Greenhouse operators regularly add CO2 to the space to increase production. That strongly implies that CO2 is a rate limiting nutrient in many / most cases of farm lands as well. The CO2 bump in growth tends to work up to about 1000 to 2000 ppm of CO2.
More interestingly, the article quotes Mark Serreze of NSIDC as follows:
According to Mio the fatal assumption made by the IPCC is that the atmospheric concentration of the 13C isotope (distinctive in prehistoric plants) are fixed. They also assume C3-type plants no longer exist so would need to be factored into the equations. Indeed, as Miso points out such plants, make up 95% of the mass of all current plant life.
We all know that global warming has been on hiatus ? set on pause ? however you like to characterize the lack of significant warming, for over 15 years. Depending on how you do the statistics, the vast majority of the climate models used to guide our energy policy have over-predicted the surface warming trend since the satellite record began way back in 1979.
"Greece is likely to default over the next three years because budget-cutting won't be enough to reduce the nation's debt burden, Pacific Investment Management Co. Chief Executive Officer Mohamed A. El-Erian said."
By saving an hour's worth of lighting and other electricity use every day, the Morning Challenge campaign says the average household can emit 85 fewer kilograms of carbon per year. Staying up late ensures mankind's doom.
I en tnkvrd artikel i The Globe and the Mail skriver Margaret Wente om det dilemma som CO 2 -hysterin har samkat miljengagemanget.
In Figure 4, the climate model outputs of TOA incident shortwave radiation are presented as anomalies, with the base years of 1996-2015. With the model outputs in anomaly form we can better see the similarities and differences in the curves. Two models from one modeling group really stand outtheyre the models that started with the lowest absolute incident shortwave radiation. Those models show a much stronger increase in solar forcing during the hindcast and they show a curious decrease in incoming sunlight from the early 2000s to 2100. The other models tend to agree with one another during the hindcast (1861-2005), but then run out of synch during the projections.
Here in Britain, where we had our fifth freezing winter in a row, the Central England Temperature record according to an expert analysis on the US science blog Watts Up With That shows that in this century, average winter temperatures have dropped by 1.45C, more than twice as much as their rise between 1850 and 1999, and twice as much as the entire net rise in global temperatures recorded in the 20th century.
This is an interesting graph that anyone interested in climate change should know. Most scientists dont believe that solar variance causes all of the change we see, yet most also will tell you that this is some of it. In reality nobody really knows.
"With the double verification of this phenomenon provided by both weekly biomass and periodic net photosynthesis determinations," the four researchers concluded that "atmospheric CO 2 enrichment may be capable of preventing the deaths of some plant species in situations where their demise is normally brought about by either the direct effects of unduly high temperatures or by associated debilitating diseases." Consequently, it is clear that in trying to determine how plants will respond to higher temperatures in a CO 2 -enriched world of the future, old concepts that do not include phenomena (either known or unknown) related to the positive effects of elevated CO 2 on plant physiological processes will likely present an unduly pessimistic picture of what to expect. Reviewed 4 October 2006
Virtually everything about progressive politics today is about liquidating the Jacksonian influence in American life. From immigration policy, touted as ending the era when American whites were the population of the United States, to gun policy and to regulatory policy, President Obama and his coalition aim to crush what Jacksonians love, empower what they fear, and exalt what they hate.
Now, under my administration, America is producing more oil today than at any time in the last eight years. (Applause.) Thats important to know. Over the last three years, Ive directed my administration to open up millions of acres for gas and oil exploration across 23 different states. Were opening up more than 75 percent of our potential oil resources offshore. Weve quadrupled the number of operating rigs to a record high. Weve added enough new oil and gas pipeline to encircle the Earth and then some.
The meters are tested by the manufacturer, by NV Energy and the UNR, through a contract with the utility. Through 2011, when 500,000 meters were installed, there were 60 requests to have meters tested. NV Energy determined all 60 had been accurate, Smith said.
?David Holland?. Everything we found was cc?d to you and/or Dave Palmer, which
He figures ``the specter of litigation'' might affect member government policy.
The ratio of Te to T0 provides an indication of the magnitude of the infrared optical depth, which is referred to as n. n includes contributions from both clouds and gases.
and a check of the typical weather does make it look like this is a bit late for snow. Perhaps we have someone Czech reading who could comment on how usual, or not, this kind of May Snow might be?
In November the Environmental Protection Agency announced a reduction in 2014 biofuel mandates to 15 billion gallons from 18 billion. This decision was made because gasoline consumption has fallen and fuel mixes made with over 10% biofuels can damage car engines.
According to Sedjo, 76 percent of the tropical forest zone is still covered with forest. (True State of Planet, p. 199)
"With many Michigan cities facing budget crises and residents fleeing the state at a rate of 15,000-20,000 people a year, politicians in the state are frantically drafting proposals to control premium rates. Most of the proposed solutions simply limit how much insurers can charge. That is similar to forcing restaurants to sell all customers that $200 bottle of champagne but only charge $20 for it."
The United Kingdom's initial assessment of carbon emission allocations under the government's scheme has been criticized for containing "basic errors." According to the Independent (Feb. 29), "The oil industry's trade body, the UK Offshore Operators' Association (UKOOA), said officials had made basic errors in estimating oil companies' carbon emissions. Some onshore installations, such as National Grid Transco's transmission systems, had been incorrectly included in the offshore oil industry's allocation, a spokeswoman for the association said. Some refineries had been double counted, while others appear to have been forgotten altogether, she added.
Including all 18 contributions gives a September ice extent minimum of 4.8 +/- 0.77 million square kilometers, with a range of 2.5 to 5.6 million square kilometers.
As usual, he has cooled the past and warmed the present. Hansen has created a 0.15C additional warming between 1910 and 2012, which didnt exist in the February 20, 2012 version of the same file.
Referring now to J. Budziszewskis masterpiece, The Revenge of Conscience . In response to the question, Why are things getting so much worse so quickly?, he divides matters of conscience into the following zones:
"Google on Monday was among investors pumping $42 million into a climate change inspired technology startup that calculates the chances of crops being ruined by weather."
The burdens from these climate policies fall overwhelmingly on the worlds poor. This is because rich people can easily afford to pay more for their energy, whereas the poor will be struggling. It is surprising to hear that well meaning and economically comfortable greens often suggest that gasoline prices should be doubled or electricity exclusively sourced from high cost green sources.
An analysis of BEST data for the question: Is Earth Warming or Cooling?
GISSuses an insidious trick to hide their data tampering. They cool pre-1963 years, and warm post-1963 years. This makes their data tampering look much less severe than it actually is. A better visualization is to normalize the graphs to the most recent common data, and show the total magnitude of the tampering. The animation below shows that.
Vasseur spoke at the Fishermen and Scientists Research Societys annual meeting in Truro, N.S., last weekend and said ocean conditions are changing faster than expected.
Perhaps they would like to return to the climate of the 19thC, when the North Chinese Famine of 1876-79 killed 13 million.
What does Barack Obama think of McCain's conviction on climate change? | Gristmill: The environmental news blog | Grist From Obama's remarks to his campaign staff: " Those of you who are concerned about global warming? I don't care what he says, John McCain is not going to push that agenda hard ."
How much easier it would have been for climate scientists if reality did support their assertions and predictions. Instead the scientists engage in contortions worthy of a Cirque du Soleil performance in order to cling to their preordained conclusions about the world?s climate. A honest scientist would question their original hypotheses and predictions, admitting that the planet is not warming and that there is still much we don?t understand about climate.
The public is evenly split over its perceptions about media coverage of global warming. Thirty one percent believe that the media's reporting of the problem is "generally exaggerated," while 32 percent believe it is "generally correct" and 32 percent believe it is "generally underestimated." The full analysis of the poll can be found at www.gallup.com.
New paper finds climate models fail to accurately predict clouds over the ocean critical for climate projections
It would be fun to watch a cinematic spoof of this sort of thing. Maybe along the lines of South Parks Two Days Before the Day After Tomorrow?
Latitudinal Gradients in Turtle Species Richness, Size and Range
Both the right's fear of government and the left's fear of technology have jointly stunted our nuclear energy policy, but on this issue liberals hold the balance of power. Like Nixon's going to China, this is something only Mr. Obama can do. If this president clears the path for a new atomic age, American scientists are ready to build it.
A recent World Bank report (Climate Risks and Adaptation in Asian Coastal Megacities, October 2010) examined the impact of climate change on Bangkok, Ho Chi Minh City, and Manila, under a range of different scenarios through to 2050. It concluded that the costs from major flooding events on infrastructure and the economy can be expected to run into the billions of dollars, with urban poor populations the hardest hit.
Some form of government funding will be necessary to call it forth. Government, though, has often short-changed basic energy science in favor of large demonstration projects. It has also found it difficult to avoid wasteful stops and starts in funding. There may be a productive role for properly structured demonstration projects, but the premature move to that stage has often been associated with costly failures. Making large public investments in plug-in vehicles before it is clear that carbon capture and storage can be economic has at least the appearance of just such a rush to demonstration. There is also a serious risk that the high costs of demonstration projects will generate budget pressures that will cause the politically less appealing basic research to be starved for resources.
But lest we forget one of the largest Green groups on the issue, the Rainforest Action Network, they say all these numbers are too low and claim almost two and a half acres per second are wiped out (two U.S. football fields) with 150 acres per minute, 9,000 per hour, about 214,000 per day (an area larger than all of New York City), and 78 million acres per year (an area larger than Poland).
David Rothbard is president of the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT) a public policy organization he co-founded in 1985. He co-hosts a daily radio commentary called Just the Facts, which airs on over 100 radio stations. His articles have appeared in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the Washington Times and many others. He has particpated in over a dozen UN conferences.
Following a press release from the World Meteorological Society , a regular commentator at this blog Sid Reynolds questioned whether the WMO has infra-red rose coloured glasses and can only see when warm records are broken, having previously listed an impressive slew of recent record breaking cold events.
First, our environment is already clean and safe not sure we need more environmental snake oil salesmen.
Challenged that critics call them Frankenfoods, Brand replied,
The article (and his Figure 1 reproduced below) explains why a meaningful global agreement is unlikely to be achieved. For example he says:
The debate has, of course, its scientific dimension but this part of the debate doesn?t belong here. I also do not intend to play the role of an amateur climatologist.
Thus one could argue that for 400 years, the earth was cool, in some way due to a prevalence of La Nias, and this reversed in the 20 th century during which there were two major periods of El Nio dominance in which all the global warming of the 20 th century took place.
CO2 is also a biogeochemical forcing, so when you increase CO2, plants can respond. All plants like CO2, but some plants like CO2 more which may use water more efficiently. Thus there are complex nonlinear interactions due to increasing CO2. That really complicates how CO2 affects the climate system. Our work suggests that the biogeochemical effects of adding CO2 may have more effect on the climate system than the radiative effect of adding CO2. But the models have inadequately dealt with the biogeochemical effect of CO2.
That's actually not surprising. Credit for early action was an issue of recurring controversy during 1998-2005, and the one thing virtually all stakeholders eventually agreed on is that current law does not authorize any federal agency to implement a greenhouse gas (GHG) early action program.