Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The New Scientist headline for the spaghetti graph proclaims that ??? all suggest that it is warmer now than at any time in the past 1000 years??. Now several of these series do not extend to the MWP and shed no light on the matter one way or another: Oerlemans (only to 1600); Huang (only to 1500); Briffa 2001 (only to 1402) and Hegerl 2006 (only to 1251). The deletion of post-1960 Briffa 2001 values removes an inconvenient divergence in which the series reaches very low levels in the latter part of the 20th century. As discussed in connection with IPCC, the deletion of recent values makes these series look more unanimous in their ability to record temperatures than they truly are. The Wilson spaghetti graph in the 1961-1990 calibration period has all series below the zero mark, which surely can??t be right and suggests some peculiarity in his re-scaling method.
Nothing above, as far as I can tell, is an attempt to explain barbarous and murderous behaviour of any kind. However, if it can be taken for granted that such tendencies will exploit a power vacuum, and that such vacuums are invariably the predictable consequence of poorly-conceived military interventions, then we can say that those who instigate such action are culpable to some extent for the consequences. Middle class guilt has nothing to do with it.
Why is the moon sometime round and sometimes looks like a banana? (As near as I can remember the exact question)
Obama dodged global warming during his reelection campaign, only to make it his "legacy" issue after he won a second term and no longer faced voter scrutiny.
The same thing holds for other topics in which skeptics' disagreement is pointed out by LFCS Mr Boslough's rant. Dr Petr Chlek disagreed with Dr Fred Singer's usage of uncorrected UAH MSU satellite data which used to show a much smaller warming trend which was pretty much zero in the mid troposphere. Now, the question whether the correction made things more accurate and I am inclined to believe that it did is once again an extremely technical question that can have both answers. Once again, there's no "cheap way" to answer this difficult question.
Bottom line: good weather on election day over virtually the entire country.
Much is opaque to non-specialists, but persistent inquiry and study can produce useful clarifications, similar to the nine errors identified by the British High Court in Al Gores propaganda film, An Inconvenient Truth.
the financial crisis. We did not have a housing bubble collapse because we don't
Part 1, above,was released last Monday andthe remaining 9 parts will follow each Monday for the next 9 weeks. NoTricksZone will report on each episode as they are released.
Thats right. Regardless of its cause. Working Group 2 isnt claiming that these observed impacts are necessarily a result of human activities. They could equally well be the result of natural climate change the IPCC makes no distinction. And if they are, then President Obama, the New York Times, the Guardian and all the others who believe that the adverse impacts of human-caused climate change are already being felt have got it wrong.
Meanwhile, as the nation turned its attention to the upcoming presidential election, the GOP, which prides itself as "the party of ideas," was losing its identity from an ideological standpoint.
Except that loose-lippedschemers are half-baked Machiavellians.The Party of Nocan and should have the last laugh.All Senate Rs have to do is resist the temptation to do something. They now have a compelling and easilyexplained reason topostpone further consideration of energy legislation until the next Congress. It is simply that the greenhouse gang, by its own admission,does not intend to play fair or respect the wishes of the electorate.
and it lets you pick any of 3 major temperature points for your type of crop and see a map of Washington State for degree days to date. OR the variance from the 30 year average. This is the deviation chart:
In my own country, The Netherlands, for instance, it has even received some official recognition, thus dissolving the information monopoly of climate alarmists. The Standing Committee on Environment of the Lower House even organized a one-day hearing, where both climate chaos adherents and disaster skeptics could freely discuss their different views before key parliamentarians who decide climate policy.
Esper uses a method aimed at retaining long-period (greater than a century or so) variations in the tree-ring records, whereas Mann uses a method that virtually eliminates all long-term variation.
President Obama is emphasizing global warming ahead of the November elections, but a new poll suggests he faces an uphill climb.
60-70: Boules (or Poker). Even more doctor appointments
lambda 0.05 0.10C per W/m2
Whereas it is not our purpose here to discuss detailed links between the NAO and storminess, it will be immediately apparent that the two stormiest periods in Figure 1.14, in the 1920s and 1990s, coincide with decades of sustained positive NAO index, whereas the least stormy decade, the 1960s, is a time when the smoothed NAO index was most negative.
If they want to delay the emissions trading scheme to after Copenhagen, then I am on that side at this stage, he said. The Rudd Government hasnt convinced me that we should be pushing through an emissions trading system before Copenhagen .
Beaufort Sea polynyas open two weeks before 1975 open water is good news for polar bears
The theory does not judge anyone's honesty or dishonesty, but implies that the structure of incentives scientists face must create a bias of distortion, in which problems must be exaggerated to garner funding. The magnitude of the threat also provides an aura of virtue to the scientists and supportive politicians.
Ive been reading the paper by Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas that basically proves the present it not at all unusually warm, that the Little Ice Age was real and global, and that the Medieval Warm Period was also global and quite real. It is worth having a copy just for the 5 1/5 pages (!) of references in it. Full paper at this link:
Another rhetoricalshift is a subtle revision in the concept of climate sensitivity. Climate sensitivity used to mean how much global warming you get from a given increase inCO2 concentrations.However, since 2001, although CO2 concentrations have increased at an accelerating rate , global temperatures have been stagnant or even declined slightly . To my knowledge, no scientist in the late 1990s predicted a roughly 10-year period of no warming at the start of the 21st Century. This suggests that the climate is less sensitive (less reactive to CO2 emissions) than the alleged ???scientific consensus?? has been telling us.
President Obamas new climate-change rule requires that utilities move rapidly to increase production from solar and wind power, which can only be competitive if natural gas costs rise sharply. The methane rule continues the assault, which is one more reason that the 2016 presidential election is crucial for continuing U.S. energy production.
The big chill extended to parts of the country much less accustomed to it. Parts of Nevada were at 18F below zero; in Flagstaff, Arizona, the temperature dropped to 7F; temperatures as low as 27F were expected in usually mild Las Vegas and surrounding areas, and the National Weather Service issued winter storm warnings for Riverside and San Bernardino counties in ???sunny?? Southern California.
SM: The restrictionists, from the Peter Brimelows to the George Borjas's to the Federation for American Immigration Reform, have all been proven spectacularly wrong over the past 20 years. These were people who predicted that if we continued to let immigrants in at the pace that we have, we would see mass unemployment and mass poverty and American competitiveness declining. Guess what? We've had just the opposite. We've had the greatest period of growth in the history of western civilization, even as we've been letting in record numbers of immigrants. This has been very inconvenient to people like Borjas and Brimelow and my friends at National Review who keep saying that immigrants are bad for the economy. Where's the evidence of that?
Our latest topical graph shows the least-squares linear-regression trend on the RSS satellite monthly global mean lower-troposphere dataset for as far back as it is possible to go and still find a zero trend. The start-date is not cherry-picked so as to coincide with the temperature spike caused by the 1998 el Nio. Instead, it is calculated so as to find the longest period with a zero trend.
The reports key point was that air quality in Canada had improved greatly since the 1970s. And, of course, good news about the environment is the last thing B.C.s eco-warriors want to hear
The supposedly mindless 1950s, Siegel recalls, were actually a time of elevated culture, with thousands of Great Books discussion groups across the nation and high TV ratings for programs like Shakespeare's Richard III, staring Laurence Olivier.
The Antarctic sea ice area anomaly is approximately +1.2 million squared kilometers (more ice than what is normal for the season), almost matching the peak reached in June 2008. Combined with a minor negative Northern sea ice area anomaly , the global sea ice area anomaly approaches huge +1.0 million squared kilometers.
Urabe and Waki say their results imply that "algal diets composed of multiple species can mitigate the adverse effects of elevated CO 2 on herbivore performance," and that "in environments with high CO 2 , herbivores may find a new diet producer or a combination of producer species to best meet their nutritional demands." Interestingly, the advice that nutritionists often give to people -- to eat a wide variety of foods -- would appear to apply to aquatic herbivores as well (and maybe even terrestrial herbivores), especially in a high-CO 2 world of the future. And maybe we should retain that wisdom too, for variety , it would seem, may be more than just the spice of life. Reviewed 6 May 2009
A virtual Green Army has been deliberately deceiving and misleading the citizens of planet Earth for four and a half decades.
The four researchers conclude that "the close correlation between White Lake and the North Atlantic suggests that, in response to the decreased temperatures, the White Lake area climate expressed as periods of reduced moisture abundance," and, therefore, that "the Holocene 1500-year lake level fluctuations of White Lake probably represent responses to the broad-scale climate variability in the continental North Atlantic region." Consequently, it is clear that broad-scale periods of warmth (in both space and time) have occurred over and over again throughout the Holocene - and beyond (Oppo et al ., 1998; Raymo et al ., 1998) - forced solely by variable solar activity, which suggests that the Current Warm Period was also instigated by this same recurring phenomenon and not the CO 2 output of the Industrial Revolution. References
Moreover, the anti-hydrocarbon global warming "solutions" the Obama Administration is imposing will bring no real world benefits even assuming carbon dioxide actually drives climate change. That's largely because China, India and other developing countries are increasing their use of coal for electricity generation, and thus their CO2 emissions far beyond our ability to reduce US emissions. These nations rightly refuse to sacrifice economic growth and poverty eradication on the altar of climate alarmism.
DotEarth profiles Jonathan Foley, Director of the Institute for the Environment at the University of Minnesota.
So basically, Mann wants a legal guarantee that he can dish it out, but he doesn?t have to take it. What a jerk.
As good a newsman as Ken wasand he was a journalist of the first stripeKen Smith was an even better person, a truly good man whose passing seems neither just nor fair to those he left behind. He was one of the finest friends many of us at CEI ever had, a paragon of kindness and compassion, an exemplar of loyalty.
We also see an unambiguous response to warming in the environment: glaciers, combined Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, ocean heat storage, the ranges of species and so on. On a multi-decade time scale, there's no global indicator that presently shows cooling.
The report goes on: Until his sacking, Mller had 38 years of distinguished service at the university.
The long-term hope for many greens is that we can get beyond hydrocarbons and burn just the first half of those compound fuels, the hydrogen. Hydrogen is abundant, they remind us; it's part of water. But water is what you end up with after you burn the hydrogen in the hydrocarbon-steam goes out the tailpipe and up the smokestack, alongside the carbon dioxide.
Why did they say it? In part, because it was convenient. And in part because the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said it in its Fourth Assessment Report (2007). Now the IPCC is saying, "Whoopsie!"
While natural gas prices are rock bottom in the US, they remain exorbitant in Europe and Asiafour to five times as highwhere a lack of a geological industry infrastructure to support sophisticated new mining techniques and political opposition to fracking have paralyzed politicians. Europe remains heavily dependent on dirty coal, Russia's Gazprom and Middle East supplies while Asia relies on coal, nuclear energy and massive foreign oil imports.
Talent-matching platforms and co-working spaces are just two leading trends behind a freelancer economy that's growing more robust by the day. Other models and services are bound to spring up to bridge more gaps between consultants and companies in more flexible ways than ever before.
One problem is that we really don?t know how much cooling is exerted by sulfates, or whether they are just a convenient explanation for the failure of the forecasts of dramatic warming. The United Nations? Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which grants itself climate authority, states that our ?Level of Scientific Understanding? of the effects range between ?low? and ?very low,? with a possible cooling between zero (none) and a whopping 3.5 degrees (C) when the climate comes to equilibrium (which it will never do). That?s a plenty large range from which to pick out a number to cancel about as much warming as you?d like.
In fact, the increase in global average temperature over the past century has been about one degree Fahrenheit, which is less than the normal annual variability in North America. In other words, temperature changes naturally year-on-year more than from man's effect on it over a century, assuming man is responsible for all of the change, which is unlikely.
For example, Massachusetts Institute of Technology climate scientist Richard Lindzen, who was a U.N. IPCC lead author and reviewer, said, "Controlling carbon is kind of a bureaucrat's dream. If you control carbon, you control life."
1. Warming of the ocean causes expansion of water and therefore a sea level rise. Since 2004 we have the ARGO scheme where over 3,600 buoys measure temperatures down to a depth of two km. They reveal no warming of the oceans. This, of course, is consistent with the lack of global warming over the past 17 years.
The slowdown hasnt gone away, however, and The results of this study still show the warming trend over the past 15 years has been slower than previous 15 year periods.
It is statistically appropriate to point to this year??s frigidity as evidence that the theory of man-made global warming is suspect.
The new study shows the Stern Review to depend critically on selective choice of facts, unusual economic assumptions and a propagandist narrative which would never have passed peer review.
Just who will buy Mr. Martin's version is still unclear. He is pinning his hopes on emergency workers who need to get somewhere in a hurry. Good luck with that.
Therefore, most of the greenhouse effect is natural and caused by the different forms of water in the atmosphere. However, human activities over the last 100 years, like burning wood, coal, oil, and natural gas, have increased the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere by an amount equivalent to a fifty percent increase in carbon dioxide alone. According to some projections, the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere from human activities will be effectively equal to a doubling of CO2 in the next 100 years.
Codevilla notes that this ruling class is nothing like the American leaders of the past, who came from truly diverse backgrounds and held a variety of beliefs while accepting the nation's founding values. And unlike most past aristocracies, which were based on heredity, the progressive aristocracy is based on commitment to a set of ideas. Foremost among these is hostility toward Christianity: "While the unenlightened ones believe that man is created in the image and likeness of God and that we are subject to His and to His nature's laws, the enlightened ones know that we are products of evolution, driven by chance, the environment, and the will to primacy," Codevilla writes.
That could once again result in both sizable GOP gains in the House and a renewed Republican majority in the Senate, but it would also mean a repeat of the vicious cycle that led to Trump in the first place.
During the decade, large-scale droughts, primarily in the Southern Hemisphere, were strong enough to overwhelm increased plant growth in other places, resulting in decreased plant growth overall. While 65 percent of the Northern Hemispheres vegetated land had increasing growth, 70 percent of the Southern Hemispheres vegetated land had decreasing growth. Added together, global plant growth decreased slightly in the decade, reducing carbon uptake by an estimated 0.55 petagrams, a one percent decrease.
The classic tornado situation involves a longwave low pressure trough over the western U.S., caused by an unusually cool atmosphere in the lowest 5-10 miles of the atmosphere. This has remained true for this years enhanced tornado activity. I suspect the persisting mountain snowpack from a very snowy winter has played a role in this.
These bugs affect hundreds of millions of tons of CO2 emissions that someone got paid for: that's billions of dollars. However, no CO2 emissions were even reduced (and we don't even have to discuss whether such reductions would have any impact on the environment: surely not a detectable positive one). India only witnessed reductions that would be "achieved" even if the Europeans didn't participate at all.
SALT LAKE CITY ? Recent dramatic changes in the Arctic will have a significant effect on our weather in Utah. That?s the conclusion of a top scientist studying Arctic sea ice.
Finally, does anyone else think that averaging high mountain tundra temperature anomalies with lowland plains anomalies, in order to adjust foothills anomalies, is a method that might work but that it definitely would take careful watching and strict quality control?
Many bloggers instantly denounced Cullen for proposing to decertify meteorologists who don't espouse global warming alarmism. She denied doing any such thing, and if we consider only the letter of her remarks, that is correct.
SM: I think these rebate checks are going to be extremely popular with people. A lot of the press has been dismissing this as, oh, it's only $300, and people just don't care. People will care, and they will be very pleased when they get these checks. This will be a big political winner for Bush. Economically, it will have very little effect. The problem in our economy today is not too little consumption, but too little investment and savings. The cost of capital is too high. The tax rebate does nothing to reduce the cost of capital. If you really want a stimulus for the economy, you'd get much more bang for your buck by cutting the capital gains tax. That would have a much more dramatic impact on investment and the capital costs than a rebate.
Environmentalist Zealots Indoctrinate Students at Taxpayer Expense
Harris et al. (2013) : This perturbed physics/parameter ensemble (PPE) studys TCR range, like its ECS range, almost entirely reflects the characteristics of the UK Met Office HadCM3 model. Despite the HadCM3 PPE (as extended by emulation) sampling a wide range of values for 31 key model atmospheric parameters, the models structural rigidities are so strong that none of the cases results in the combination of low-to-moderate climate sensitivity and low-to-moderate aerosol forcing that the observational data best supports nor could perturbing aerosol model parameters achieve this.
Significantly, that warming occurred during the period when climate modelers developed their models, and since they assumed all warming was manmade, they had to increase the models sensitivity. Now, they are between a rock and a hard place, continuing to publish overly-sensitivity models they know are wrong (based upon both surface AND deep ocean warming rates).
One year ago, Roy Spencer released his new book, The Great Global Warming Blunder, in which he argued that the influence of the natural cloud cover variations on the temperature has been misinterpreted as the opposite influence and, therefore, a positive feedback. That has greatly and spuriously inflated the predicted sensitivity of the climate to carbon dioxide and similar drivers.
140. As a result of Plaintiff?s campaign to silence those who disagree with him on a highly controversial issue of great public importance, wrongful action and violation of the Anti-SLAPP Act, Steyn has been damaged and is entitled to damages, including but not limited to his costs and the attorneys? fees he has incurred and will incur in the future in defending this action, all in an amount to be determined at trial, but in any event, not less than $5 million, plus punitive damages in the amount of $5 million.
Households have far higher electricity bills using alternative energy than natural gas. This disproportionately affects the poor, who spend a higher share of their income on energy. For the U.S., data from the Labor Department show that individuals in the lowest fifth of the income distribution spend an average of 24 percent of income on energy, compared with 10 percent of income for those in the middle fifth, and 4 percent of income for those in the top fifth.
Unfortunately, we do not yet have the institutional know-how and political will to implement such a cost-effective approach for reducing greenhouse gases on a global scale. Instead of rushing to go global, we should be looking to set up modest multi-country testscall them "case studies"that might be applied globally in the decades ahead.
Thinking of this horrific, apocalyptic scenario makes it difficult for Bry to decide whether to sire another child Bry is already a father to an 11-year-old son.
Austrian weather expert Alexander Orlik from the central weather institute ZAMG said: ???It is true the snow is very early this year and that is an indication that it will be a long hard winter, but not proof.??
An excellent example of how the aristocracy rules the realm is the global warming issue. All the money, profit, power, and prestige are on the side of the alarmists, and they wield their power ruthlessly, blatantly throwing their weight around in silencing those who try to tell the truth about the science of climate change. Al Gore is a multimillionaire who knows nothing about science, whereas S. Fred Singer is a brilliant scientist who continually endures a firestorm of slanders and harassment for trying to uphold scientific standards. These two men encapsulate the opposing forces of the aristocracy and the productive class.