Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
And second, the volcano-adjusted Sea Surface Temperature anomalies for the Rest of the World (90S-90N, 80W-180) rise in very clear steps, and those rises are clearly in response to the significant 1986/87/88 and 1997/98 El Nio/La Nia events. It also appears as though the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies of this dataset are making another upward shift in response to the more recent 2009/10 ENSO event. For those who are interested in the actual trends of the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies between the 1986/87/88 and 1997/98 El Nio events and between the 1997/98 and 2009/10 El Nio events refer to Figure 4 in Does The Sea Surface Temperature Record Support The Hypothesis Of Anthropogenic GlobalWarming? I further described (at an introductory level) the ENSO-related processes that cause these upward steps in the post ENSO Indices Do Not Represent The Process Of ENSO Or Its Impact On GlobalTemperature .
"Analyzed relative to the economy as a whole, the current subprime crisis appears likely to have a significantly smaller overall impact than the S&L; crisis or the housing foreclosures that took place during the Great Depression. Analyzed in isolation, economic statistics mean little. The United States, for example, has more unemployed citizens than does France, even though France has an unemployment rate about twice as high as America's. Raw numbers mean almost nothing: To measure the economic impact of financial events, it is important to look at them in context."
Santa Claus is just back from the North Pole, and reports that Nobel Laureate Albert Arnold Gore wasincorrectabout hisice-free Arctic in December 2014 prediction. In fact, Arctic sea ice extent is at a 10 year high for the date.
The shale revolution has changed the energy scenario in the United States from a situation of shortage to that of plenty. The worlds biggest energy consumer may soon become the largest producer of hydrocarbons. The US gas boom is already impacting global energy relations. The impact will be felt even more keenly when it starts exporting gas- the first LNG exports are expected to start around 2017. Exporting gas to friendly countries in Europe, as well as India and China is being seen as a new way of extending the US sphere of influence, and cutting the dominance of the middle-east and Russia. Shale has begun replacing oil as the agent of the new great game. ???Cuckoo Paul, Forbes India, 8 May 2013
The warming trend at Rutherglenis essentially achieved by progressively dropping down the minimum temperatures starting in 1973 by 0.5 degree C. The amount by which the temperatures is adjusted down increases back through time to 1913 when there is a massive 1.8 degree Celsius difference between the recorded temperature and the homogenised value.
But he'll still camp with meincluding winter camping in New York state's sometimes-deep snow. Last year we did an overnight at Harriman Park, a sublimely beautiful section of wild mountain 50 miles above New York City. Drive an hour from Times Square and you're in 360 degrees of primeval forest. It's also about 15 degrees colder.
To understand where it all went awry let's start with one of the biggest errors committed within the infant science of climatology; starting from the false assumption that outer space is 'cold' and that heat-trapping 'greenhouse gases' have always kept our planet warmer than it would otherwise be. To believe this nonsenseis to thenmake other false assumptions, as we shall see below.
No problem, says Kagan's brief: All a business has to do is simply break the law. "Beckstead and Watts (or any other firm) could challenge the Board's authority to conduct an inspection or investigation by refusing to comply and raising its constitutional challenges . . . in a disciplinary action brought by the Board," the brief declares.
Washington Degree Days 41 F Base
Track Hurricane Ike with near realtime satellite imagery
Further, CEOs may be experiencing just the beginning of the power-price squeeze, because any serious effort to constrain carbon dioxide emissions through a cap and trade program, an increasingly popular idea in Congress and state capitals, will push prices even higher by forcing power-plant operators to reduce their dependence on traditional coalfired, but carbon-intensive, power plants, the cheapest kind to operate.
VILLAGER #3: Well, she turned me into a newt.
In the words of the two researchers, "the evidence for a significant increase in Atlantic storm activity over the most recent 125 years is mixed," even though they note that the SST of the MDR "has warmed significantly." What they are left with, then, is the suggestion that "aspects of climate have changed" in such as way as "to make the North Atlantic more favorable to cyclogenesis, while at the same time making the overall environment less favorable to TC maintenance." Consequently, as Vecchi and Knutson see it, "the crucial issue of the response of Atlantic TC behavior to increasing greenhouse gases remains unsettled." Reviewed 22 October 2008
That same year, Chesapeake Energy starts funding Sierra Club's "Beyond Coal" campaign.
Since 2010, the U.S. has added about 12,000 miles of new oil pipelines. That's more than 10 times the length of the contested section of Keystone XL, which was to span 875 miles.
I have a very high regard for the hardiness of corals. The GBR was borne at a time of rapidly rising sealevel, very high turbidity and very rapidly rising temperature. Presently, they live in areas of extreme temperature (40 degree), in muddy embayments and in regions continuously affected by runoff. Provided they are not grossly overfished, as has happened in the Caribbean, they are very adaptable systems.
Obama: "and the amount of renewable energy we generate from sources like wind and solar with tens of thousands of good, American jobs to show for it":
Effects of Elevated CO2 and Light on Four Weedy Species
It is now apparent that the Kyoto Protocol is a dead end. The reality is that, since Kyoto was agreed in December 1997, greenhouse gas emissions have continued to increase in every nation that undertook commitments to reduce emissions. In many countries that ratified Kyoto, emissions have actually increased at a faster rate in percentage terms than in the United States, which did not ratify Kyoto. In Canada, neither the current government nor its more pro-Kyoto predecessor has developed a plausible plan to meet Kyoto's targets. The United States and Canada have had similar rates of population and economic growth from the Kyoto baseline year of 1990 through 2005, but Canada's greenhouse gas emissions have increased 26%, while those of the United States have only increased by 16%. Japan has had little population growth and far less economic growth than the U. S., yet Japanese emissions are up 7%.
Embattled AFL-CIO big to step down from top job:
A paper published today in the Journal of Climate finds that cooling, not warming, of the mid- to upper troposphere increases the development of tropical cyclones. The mid- to upper troposphere mythical "hot spot" is predicted to warm the most from AGW, but despite millions of weather balloon and satellite measurements, has not been found in observations. Thus, if the mid- to upper troposphere missing "hot spot" ever does form, this paper implies that the probability of tropical cyclones would decrease, not increase as claimed by alarmists.
As natural gas increases its share of electric power generation in the United States, largely at the expense of coal, demand for coal is still high, especially in developing countries. Unfortunately, misguided environmental extremists have been successful so far in blocking the expansion of coal export terminals needed to increase coal exports. Coal exports would be good for the economy and good for the environment, actually decreasing the threat of global warming.
Emissions are in millions of metric tons (CO2 equivalent). Emissions are estimated actuals through 2001 and forecast afterward. Data are from the California Energy Commission. CEC forecast emissions through 2020. I extended the 2020 forecast out to 2050 based on the assumption of linear growth.
Although Schekman?s rejection could be interpreted as mildly encouraging, our experience has been that any attempt to resubmit a revised paper simply leads to further delay culminating in re-rejection. Our final letter to Schekman (Letter to Schekman.pdf) is attached. As already noted, we chose to respond in detail to each review, and these responses are attached (Response.pdf). The revised paper (as well as the original version submitted to the PNAS: Lindzen-Choi-PNASSubmission.pdf) is also attached (Lindzen-Choi-APJAS.pdf). The final version is accepted (following review) by the Asian Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences.
Natural climate events and change are Australias greatest natural hazards, and our society needs to be better prepared for them in advance, and better at adapting to them when they occur;
Note that this media item Cold snap sets new record low temperatures
Commentators tried to blame Western policies for contributing to Niger's famine. David Loyn of the BBC even cited man-made climate change as a contributor: "Climate change has made Niger a more precarious place to live,' he wrote.
A study by scientists at Germanys Max Planck Institute for Meteorology found that man-made aerosols had a much smaller cooling effect on the atmosphere during the 20th Century than was previously thought. Why is this big news? It means increases in carbon dioxide emissions likely cause less warming than most climate models suggest.
Although the authors do not claim to have ???unambiguously established??the MWP in the Antarctic Peninsula (AP),they conclude that their ???ikaite record builds the case that the oscillations of the MWP and LIA are global in their extent and their impact reaches as far South as the Antarctic Peninsula, while prior studies in the AP region have had mixed results.??Their research also indicates that the APmay have beenwarmer during theMWP thanin recent decades:??Our most recent crystals suggest a warming relative to the LIA in the last century, possibly as part of the regional recent rapid warming, but this climatic signature is not yet as extreme in nature as the MWP ?? (emphasis added).
Improved CCM & GCM ability to reproduce responses to solar cycle: validation and improvements still needed
That might be enough, he adds, to disqualify Gingrich from the Republican nomination.
The sea surface temperature anomalies for the NINO3.4 region in the eastern equatorial Pacific (5S-5N, 170E-120E) are a commonly used index for the strength, frequency and duration of El Nio and La Nina events. We keep an eye on the sea surface temperatures there because El Nio and La Nia events are the primary cause of the yearly variations in global sea surface temperatures AND they are the primary cause of the long-term warming of global sea surface temperatures over the past 30 years. See the discussion of the East Pacific versus the Rest-of-the-World that follows.
Just as in medieval times when the people were expected to (and often did) believe everything they were told by the priest, now we see that it is the scientist whose word is gospel. Even today panellists on programmes such as BBC Question Time who question climate change can be booed and jeered at by people who read scientific papers on the issue even less than illiterate medieval peasants read the Bible, at the time still un-translated from the Latin.
This conflict is not about the buzzword "globalization" and its implications for commerce and culture, but a sharp confrontation about power and government: our power and our government.
The 12-month period from May 2012 to April 2013 was remarkable for the absence of tornado activity and tornado impacts in the United States.
Second, all mainstream climate models predict a hotspot, a warming in the upper troposphere (about 10 km or 6 miles up, in the tropics) caused by an ascending water vapor emissions layer, during periods of warming such as the 1980s and 1990s. This is crucial, because two thirds of their predicted warming is from water vapor; only one third is directly due to increasing carbon dioxide. So no hotspot means not much cause for alarm. Our only suitable instruments for detecting the hotspot are weather balloonsthirty million of them since the 1950s, released from hundreds of locations, twice a day. They show no hotspot, and indicate that the water vapor emissions layer descended slightly instead. Satellites are unsuitable because they intrinsically aggregate information from several vertical kilometers into each data point, but the predicted ascent is only tens of meters.
I had another interesting experience around the time my paper in Science was published. I received an astonishing email from a major researcher in the area of climate change. He said, ???We have to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period.??
This one is allegedly so bad that users were advised to disable Java on their browsers if they wanted to avoid it.
The findings described by the three researchers represent good news for the biosphere , since "marine phytoplankton contribute to about half of the global primary productivity," and this phenomenon, in their words, "promotes the absorption of CO 2 from the atmosphere." Consequently, both the micro- and macro-algae of the world's oceans should be able to do an even better job of performing these vital functions in the brave new (and CO 2 -enriched) world of the future. Reviewed 1 July 2009
The recent cold 2010 and hot 2011 were not, bad math. There is a trivial explanation: 2010 had two winter cold snaps, 2011 had none. Remember, much of the cold winter of 2010/11 came in December 2010, an early instance.
Under the system, each regulated utility or industrial installation is allocated emission allowances from national allowance plans; if one falls below the emission allowance, it may profitably sell its emission trading permits in the commodities exchange to other companies that have exceeded allowances. The goal of the EU ETS is to encourage capital investment in low-carbon energy technologies and fuels.
For those of you interested in keeping a closer eye on the BOM Southern Oscillation Index, see the BOM Recent (preliminary) Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) values webpage. For the past month, the 30-day running-average of the SOI has been cycling in the -1.5 to -8.0 range, never quite reaching into El Nio conditions.
Inconveniently, Boston is in the midst of its snowiest winter in a century. The city hit 73 inches of snow on Monday placing this year on the top ten list for snowiest winters on record, surpassing the 72.9 recorded during the winter of 1903-1904.
Sen. Rand Paul: Right To Health Care Is Like Believing In "Slavery":
The Weekend Australian reported last month a claim by Bureau of Metereology senior climatologist Andrew Watkins that monitoring at Australia??s Antarctic bases since the 1950s indicated temperatures were rising. A study was then published by the British Antarctic Survey that concluded the ozone hole was responsible for the cooling and expansion of sea ice around much of the continent.
Take for example the whole debate about homosexuality as a sin.
In your view, will the case re-open any issues in Mass. v. EPA even though the Court's review narrowly focuses on the Timing Rule?
Gerson describes Second Life as "large-scale experiment in libertarianism,' citing the game's lack of community structure and long-term consequences. He describes this "libertarian' world as one in which there is not human nature, only human choices. This doesn't describe a libertarian world, but one of fantasy. Libertarianism, as envisioned by the founding fathers or Friedrich Hayek, is predicated on an understanding of the world that's very different from Second Life. Common sense agrees with this libertarian understandingthe world is one of consequences, community institutions are vital to human life, and human beings have an innate nature that we should harness, not deny.
Reliable projections of the Indian monsoon would help India better prepare for, and address concerns of, water and food security. Yet because of the failure of general circulation models, "using CMIP5 multi-model projections of Indian summer monsoon rainfall for adaptation planning may lead to incorrect policies"
How the Dodd-Frank Act Harms the U.S. Energy IndustryCEI's citation in U.S. News & World Report
Bloomberg is obsessed with a low carbon footprint for New York, and taking guns away from people in Wyoming. Meanwhile, his own people are freezing in the dark in New York without electricity or heat for three months.
In 2001, a paper in the British journal Nature proved a case in point. It purported to show that genes from a pest-resistant, GM variety of corn had migrated into native corn plants in Mexico. Months before the article was even submitted for publication, colleagues of the authors had pointed out serious flaws in the methodology and results. When the article appeared, it attracted a wave of criticism from major research groups that the journal duly published. Eventually the paper was condemned by the editor in chief: "Nature has concluded that the evidence available is not sufficient to justify the publication of the original paper. " No other research group was able to confirm the findings.
It reminds me of the California Air Resources Board's attempts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by regulating heavy, diesel-powered construction equipment. Overnight, robust trade in heavy, diesel-powered construction equipment began between California, and Mexico, Central and South America.
Voosen was correct in this. He took her supportive article and used it to question the premise of planetary overheating due to anthropogenic carbon dioxide additions. But he was wrong in saying she misinterpreted the comments he provided. Indeed, they demonstrate that the science of AGW is not settled, and the remaining questions of the power of CO2 are fundamental to whether we have a crisis of not.
Roys seminal contributionon this topicis that variations in cloud cover as a result of long-term temporal variability in atmospheric circulations can result in significantvariations in the global annual average top-of-the-atmosphere radiative imbalance. Skeptical Science should recognize this scientific achievement, even though they disagree with his political views.
Unless the EPA backs down on its harsh regulations and coal-fueled power plants get a reprieve, blackouts are almost guaranteedespecially in light of the projected cold winter. About the 2014 "polar vortex" that crippled the U.S., Alaska Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski, at an April Senate hearing on grid reliability, stated: "Eighty-nine percent of the coal electricity capacity that is due to go offline was utilized as that backup to meet the demand this winter."
Winkler, N.S., Pandolfi, J.M. and Sampayo, E.M. 2015. Symbiodinium identity alters the temperature-dependent settlement behavior of Acropora millepora coral larvae before the onset of symbiosis. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: 282: 20142260.
As the atmospheric CO 2 concentration rises, it is likely that this Mediterranean forest species will exhibit significant gains in photosynthesis and growth. Moreover, this tree species should display significant improvements in its water-use efficiency, allowing it to better cope with periods of water stress, which commonly occur in its natural habitat. It is likely that these enhancements in photosynthesis and growth will lead to greater carbon sequestration by this species, which should help reduce the rate of rise of atmospheric CO 2 .
Such events are, however, terribly inconvenient for the global warming narrative. In 2000 climate scientist David Viner of Britain's Climatic Research Unit (CRU) famously proclaimed that snow was increasingly a thing of the past, saying "children just aren't going to know what snow is." Fourteen years later Boston's schoolchildren have run out of snow days. Officials are considering cutting short their spring breaks to compensate.
Lukewarmers have found the world to be a lonely place. But favor (think physical processes of global climate) smiled for us in 2011. Several scientific studies produced results, when considered in combination, provide evidence that the general warming of the earth?s climate is proceeding at a rate that lies in the lower half of the IPCC?s projected temperature change during the 21st century.
Recently a High Court judge in the UK listed nine of the 35 major scientific errors in Gore's movie, saying they must be corrected before innocent schoolchildren can be exposed to the movie. Gore's exaggeration of sea-level rise was one.
Lockheed Martin, a recent Washington Post article notes, is getting into renewable energy, nuclear fusion, "sustainability" and even fish farming projects, to augment its reduced defense profits. The company plans to forge new ties with Defense Department and other Obama initiatives, based on a shared belief in manmade climate change as a critical security and planetary threat. It is charging ahead where other defense contractors have failed, confident that its expertise, lobbying skills and "socially responsible" commitment to preventing climate chaos will land it plentiful contracts and subsidies.
My readers already know I computed the trend in Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) four data sets using data from Jan 2001 through Jan. 2008. I compared that result to the IPCC projections, and found the IPCC projections.... erhmmm... not so good? ( That is: a hypothesis test using Cochrane-Orcut, and confidence intervals computed using a t distribution, indicated that the IPCC projections should be rejected to the 5% confidence intervals when compared to the data.)
Using weekly sea surface temperature anomalies for two NINO regions, Figure 2 updates the comparisons of the evolutions of this El Nio with the 1982/83 and 1997/98 events. The NINO3.4 and NINO1+2 comparisons were originally provided in the post Part 3 Early Evolution Comparison with 1982/83 & 1997/98 El Nio Events . As a further reference, Ive also included the evolutions of the two other years during which sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific rose into El Nio conditions early in the year (1993 and 2012), but then failed to remain there and become an official El Nio. The evolutions in 1993 and 2012 were first presented in Part 11 Is the El Nio Dying?
First, like a lot of other HR type issues, many states require certain workers comp related materials to be posted in the workplace, along with minimum wage posters, etc. You insurance company should provide you with these posters as well as with claims forms and a claims process. Make sure to use thei insurer's claims process, and teach your managers to carefully document all injuries. Not only will you need detail about how the injury occurred, but you will also need to keep track of the days of work the worker missed due to the injury. Give the insurance company the facts and get out of the way. There is a lot of potential liability today from denial of deserved workers comp benefits, and you do not want to be in this loop. It is your insurance company's job to determine the validity of the claim and benefits. Leave that to them. If you suspect fraud, detail that to the insurance company but then let them run with it.
???Antarctic sea ice hasn??t seen these big reductions we??ve seen in the Arctic. This is not a surprise to us,?? said climate scientist Mark Serreze, director of the NSIDC.
Game theory suggests that attempts to negotiate an international environmental agreement, aiming to provide a global public good such as greenhouse gas emission reduction, are bound to fail (Barrett 1991, Carraro and Siniscalco 1992, Carraro and Siniscalco 1993).
A new report on childhood obesity finds waist sizes rising among kids in the U.S.
while most climate model simulations show low biases over Europe, inter-model variations in bias over Australia and Amazonia are considerable. Mehran et al.
Tom Harris is executive director of the Ottawa, Canada-based International Climate Science Coalition.
/s/ Dr. Harold Doiron JSC, Chairman, Shuttle Pogo Prevention Panel, 16 years