Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
According to NOAA, July 2012, the hottest month in Nebraska in recent years was still not as hot as either July 1934 or 1936. Comparison with 1934, for instance shows:
More fundamentally, the Administration's estimate assumes that the supply of emission credits will be adequate to meet the demand. What if the actual demand outstrips the potential supply? To shed light on this and related matters, CEI invited Robert Reinstein, President of Reinstein Associates International, Inc., to address an audience of congressional staff, journalists, and industry representatives.
Clinton announced that he would convene a White House Conference on Climate Change, "to convince the American people and Congress that the climate change problem is real and imminent . . . to lay the scientific facts before our people to understand that we must act, and to lay the economic facts there so that they will understand the benefits and costs" (New York Times, June 27, 1997).
I am very thankful to all the support that I have received this week, from the Denizens, people on twitter, and email from colleagues.
Wind cannot be relied upon to provide firm generation at full capacity coincident with peak demand. Wind might be capable of contributing to the peak demand requirements of the system at some times. However, this will rarely happen, and when it does it will be for brief periods. In these circumstances, the expectation of the number of households served will be just over 49,000. To calculate this it is necessary to introduce the factor representing the statistical expectation of wind production at peak demand times. This is capacity credit, or capacity value, which brings a number of considerations into play, but typical experience, and the figure used by the Texas system operator, is 8.7 per cent.
candidate Bill Clinton. I asked him how he would approach his first 100 days if
1974 was the record year for violent tornadoes year prior to 2011. It was also the peak year of the global cooling panic.
There is only one true measure of a models value: whether or not it works. That it is theoretically sound, or that it uses pleasantly arcane and inaccessible mathematics, or that it matches our desires, or that only PhDs can understand it are all very nice things, but they are none of them necessary. Many complex models which are in use are loved and trusted because of these things, but they should not be. They should only be valued to the extent that they accurately quantify the uncertainty of the real-life stuff that happens (climate models anyone?).
HEM is identical to the EIA's NEMS with the exception of the Commercial Demand Module. Unlike NEMS, this module does not make projections regarding commercial floor-space data of pertinent commercial buildings. Other than that, however, HEM is identical to NEMS.
The Science and Public Policy Institute has published an analysis of the leaked climategate emails. This 149-page document takes the emails in chronological order and shows, with comments on each message, how science was perverted.
There is no sign of any acceleration in sea level rise. What is noticeable is that sea levels fell sharply between 2005 and 2007, making the subsequent recovery greater. Since 2010 sea level has actually fallen by 58mm! Indeed, sea levels in 2013, (the latest available data) were actually lower than in 2005.
Study and debate on Probiotic for colic. Italian Study said it was good for colic in babies.
An investor at the conference applauded Hearn's strong words. "The industry has been too quiet on this issue," he said. "It was about time someone stood up and really spoke out on Kyoto. We all want to help the environment, but this isn't going to help anyone" (Financial Post, September 12, 2002).
Theres a lot more activity at the proposed Woolworths site than Ive seen in many regions beforethe burrow activity at Maleny is just phenomenal, he said.
Forestland in the eastern half of the United States is increasing at a rate of one million acres a year.
New Book Brings Balance To Environmental Education
So much for the Greater Middle East, then. When all is said and done, globalization has not so much led to the "spiritualization of borders" (as the flute-players would have it) as to the partial "virtualization of geopolitics." The Great Game and the Long War are global and generational, but the geopolitics of oil, of Islamic banking, of Islamic media, etc. only partly overlap, and the geopolitical mapping required is a multi-level mapping including both the real and the virtual worlds.
> >> >>Lasse
She advocates the political position of the Administration in forcing reductions in carbon dioxide emission (CO2) by stating "The United States has pledged reductions of 26 to 28% below 2005 levels by 2025..." Of course, there is no such pledge by the American people and its representatives in Congress. The Administration's pledge is arbitrary and authoritarian. Ms. McNutt concludes with a description of the nine circles of Hell found in Dante's Inferno.
Most of the sources tell us about the catastrophes that will cripple Asia, Australia, and any other random piece of the globe. You have seen this stuff 1,000 times in the past so you may imagine what they have to offer.
Figure 1 Modelled versus observed decadal global surface temperature trend 19792013
Greenland : The historical context shows that warming and cooling by several degrees is not without precedent. Recent warming is less than the 1930s. The statement of warming since the 1980s gives the false impression that this is unprecedented.
Humidity acts as a blanket. Water vapor is a potent greenhouse gas the is very active in the infrared part of the spectrum. It absorbs IR radiation emitted by the surface and re-emits IR radiation back to the ground...thus contributing to warming at the surface.
But this isnt about one ambitious politician smearing another ambitious politician. This is about the President of the United States a non-scientist making a grossly dishonest mischaracterization and analogy at the expense of expert scientists and then encouraging our nations best and brightest to shout down those scientists utilizing further dishonesty and McCarthyism to further political agendas. And the moment somebody questions the President about such reprehensible conduct no matter how calmly the question is asked the political left goes into conniptions about how appalling and reprehensible it is to disrespect the Office of the President of the United States in such a manner.
I have previously mentioned that ISH surface data shows U.S. warming since 1973 (primarily a winter phenomenon, due to unusually cold winters in the 1970s), and a curious decrease in surface wind speed .
But scientists use a very different methodology. Climate science is made out of thousands of distinct technical questions. The answers to many of them are completely unknown and mostly uncorrelated to each other. There's no "big-picture" way to answer all of them as long as people are doing science. So as long as one studies things that are close to the cutting edge, he will inevitably find scientists who will disagree about the answers to these technical questions. If a community agreed about all things they're researching, it would mean that they're not doing any real research: they're either participating in a parroting exercise to support a predetermined uniform "ideology or motivation", or they're just repeating true tautologies that have been previously established.
Other researchers disagree with Soon's conclusion that the Middle Ages may have been warmer than the 20th century, noting that reconstructing the climate record is a matter of interpretation.
Shouldn't EPA officials be prosecuted for imposing unnecessary regulations that cost billions of dollars, kill thousands of jobs, shut down electricity generation, reduce living standards, raise prices for food and construction projects, and actually lower health, welfare and life spans for numerous people?
A paper published today in Atmospheric Science Letters effectively rules out volcanoes as the main cause of the 'pause' in global warming over the past 17 years. According to the authors, " We deduce a global mean cooling of around 0.02 to 0.03K over the period 20082012. Thus while these eruptions do cause a cooling of the Earth and may therefore contribute to the slow-down in global warming, they do not appear to be the sole or primary cause."
The melt season in Greenland normally starts in mid-April, but this year is nearly a month late.
Testimony before the Committee on Small Business, Hearing on the Kyoto Protocol
Unfortunately for the climate science consensus experts, this latest release of NOAA temperature data confirms that they are essentially clueless when it comes to predicting regional and global temperature changes. Likewise, it also confirms that one of the scientists' favorite concepts - that human CO2 emissions are similar to a world "control knob" or thermostat for climate temperatures - is simply idiotic, not even plausible.
From the National Science Foundation , more nuttiness from the reef alarmist Ove Hugh-Goldbergs sea-buddy John Bruno, who I encountered in Brisbane last year .
As Britain suffered through its coldest December in a century, families were forced to choose between keeping homes warm and feeding their children nourishing meals thanks to climate policies that have forced extensive reliance on wind power and deliberately driven energy prices skyward.
They're wrong about their numbers (many climate scientists disagree with them), but surely they believe it. If so, why worry? If they enjoy an "overwhelming majority," why urge the president to prosecute the tiny fringe that opposes them?
THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE DATA FOR THE REST OF THE WORLD DOES NOT AGREE WITH THE ASSUMPTION OF GREENHOUSE GAS-DRIVEN GLOBAL WARMING
Moderate progressives take the contrary view. Justice can be secure only if it is secure in the hearts and minds of the people, they believe. They place more faith in, and pay more deference to, voters' desires, not because they don't believe in progressive aspirations, but because they believe those goals can best be achieved through incremental measures that receive broad popular support.
Urban heat islands and irrigated agriculture can inject false warming biases into instrumental data that are absent from proxy data taken from remote forests or sediment cores at the bottom of lakes, for example. Improper placement of temperature sensing equipment near local heat sources (e.g. air conditioning vents, asphalt parking lots, waste water treatment plants) also generates significant false warming signals, as retired meteorologist Anthony Watts documents in gory detail.
Should we be alarmed about that? No. People experience far more dramatic climate change when they retire and move from Albany to Miami, or Chicago to Phoenix.
The scientific method demands that theories be tested by empirical observation. By that test, the models are wrong. They therefore provide no rational basis to forecast dangerous human-induced global warming, and therefore no rational basis for efforts to reduce warming by restricting the use of fossil fuels or any other means.
Chicken Little says, "We've got big problems, we need a big government to solve them." I say, "We've got big problems, and government is the biggest."
The current temperature in Westminster, MD is 56.9 degrees. The previous cold record for the date was 57.02 degrees.
In Praise of CO2: "Earth is the Greenest its been in Decades, Perhaps in Centuries' Written by Marc Morano
In an interview with ClimateWire ($) on 5th July, reported the same day by The Hill, U.S. Special Envoy for Climate Change Jonathan Pershing said foreign diplomats and ministers ask him "at every turn" how a Trump presidency might affect the Paris Climate Treaty. Citing new technologies, appliance efficiency standards, and congressional support for renewable energy tax credits, Pershing assures his counterparts "there's more likely to be continuity no matter who's in office."
The Met Office, using data generated by a 33million supercomputer, claims Britain can stop worrying about a big freeze this year because we could be in for a milder winter than in past years. The new figures, which show a 60 per cent to 80 per cent chance of warmer-than-average temperatures this winter, were ridiculed last night by independent forecasters. Positive Weather Solutions senior forecaster Jonathan Powell said: ?It baffles me how the Met Office can predict a milder-than-average winter when all the indicators show this winter will have parallels to the last one. ?They are standing alone here, as ourselves and other independent forecasters are all predicting a colder-than-average winter. Nathan Reo, Daily Express, 28 October 2010
Winter weather advisory West Glacier area of Montana
Are we to believe that this is in contrast to Senators Rockefeller and Snowe? Rockefeller betrays his own clear interest in the same editorial:
The flaw, which allows a zero day attack to be carried out on machines using IE9, surfaced over the weekend.
Scientists reconstructed the 3,000-year history of fire by dating fire scars on ancient giant sequoia trees, Sequoiadendron giganteum, in the Giant Forest of Sequoia National Park . Individual giant sequoias can live more than 3,000 years.
But as Gerlich and Tscheuschner observe, the science of climate change is fraught with uncertainties and unknowns that make a mockery of the predictive powers of laboratory computer models:
Is it improper to label the people responsible for this costly, miserable catastrophe as "eco-thugs"? And should we worry that the latest no-real-energy "energy security" proposal from the White House is telling us that President Obama has become America's "Eco-thug in Chief," who will continue to peddle fraudulent science and nearly worthless renewable energy to further his agenda? It's worth pondering.
He goes on to establish it completely and in all its parts, without any regard either to the great interests or to the strong prejudices which may oppose it; he seems to imagine that he can arrange the different members of a great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces upon a chess-board;
Correlating New York Sea Level To Global Temperature
However, Im now fairly confident that cooling is more likely than warming over the next few years and as I looked to see when we might begin to see cooling, a rather ironic scenario occurred to me:
No word yet on whether the "environmental activists, local health
We are told by progressives that climate scientists are gods, and that you may not question their words so please do not attempt to interpret the images below. They are above your pay grade.
Heartland has lost the plot. I would think that the plot is really about preserving freedom and libertarian values, as Vaclav Klaus states. If so, then Heartlands tactics are flat out ineffective. Its hard to imagine Cato reacting to all this in the way that Heartland has. Heartland has become caught up in fighting relatively meaningless battles with fringe individuals on environmental side.
The primary critics constitute an unlikely coalition: Dow, which spearheads a handful of companies likely to take a short term hit from higher industrial natural gas prices; and a cadre of anti-hydraulic fracturing liberals, who traditionally have opposed almost all measures that could lead to increased shale gas exploration.
There are variations of the myth that La Nia is the opposite of El Nio. One variation: the response of global surface temperatures to a La Nia is similar to an El Nio but of the opposite sign. Thats just as wrong as the original. The differences in the aftereffects of El Nio and La Nia are very obviousyou cant miss themespecially after the strong El Nio events that took place during satellite era of sea surface temperature records. Thats the 30-year period well discuss in this post.
At the same fall meeting four years ago, Al Gore spoke to ten thousand assembled scientists. The scientists treated him like a rock star. Why would the scientists love Al Gore? His movie, An Inconvenient Truth , was full of scientific errors . But this is about not biting the hand that feeds you. When Al Gore spreads global warming hysteria, financial and political support for climate science increases. Scientists become guests on TV shows instead of lab drones.But a dark cloud is gathering over climate science. Public fear of global warming is declining. Most of the activist scientists gathered in San Francisco were blind to the possibility that there is any defect in their scary product. It must be that forces of darkness (perhaps Republicans or coal companies) are financing skeptics. Apparently the skeptics, cleverly disguised as grassroots activists, have an uncanny knack for propaganda.
In our editorial of 17 August 2011 , we discussed the paper of Pandolfi et al . (2011a) that was published in Science on 22 July 2011, wherein we briefly reported the many ways in which they suggested Earth??s coral reefs might successfully respond to the dual challenge of projected rapid increases in temperature and ocean acidification. As might have been expected, however, their optimistic analysis was not well received by the world??s climate alarmists, who in the 16 December 2011 issue of Science ??? via the persons of Hoegh-Guldberg et al . (2011) ??? cast many aspersions on it. Fortunately, Pandolfi et al . (2011b) were given the opportunity of responding to them and deflating their arguments.
Reality Check: December 2010 "Almost Certain" To Be Coldest Since Records Began
The last of those is obviously the most serious. Michael Mann began receiving a large amount of attention after he published two papers in the late nineties, creating his ???hockey stick.?? A few years later, his work was criticized by the authors Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick, leading to a controversy that would rage on for years. Eventually, two reports were commissioned by the United States Congress to study the controversy. The lead author of one of those reports was Edward Wegman, a distinguished statistician from George Mason University.
A Billings Gazette article last week quoted University of Montana global warming activist Steve Running claiming major wildfires have quadrupled since 1986, but the facts show wildfires are actually declining.
Even assuming the global warming crisis is not as spurious as the energy crisis, there are serious doubts that a nation of front loaders will use any less. energy. People always seem to find more uses for energy, notes energy analyst Herbert Inhaber, author of "Why Energy Conservation Fails!"
Who said, We must tax, tax, tax, I insist!
The result of this dishonest political tampering with the science was that the sum of the four items in the offending table was more than twice the IPCC's published total. Until I wrote to point out the error, no one had noticed. The IPCC, on receiving my letter, quietly corrected, moved and relabeled the erroneous table, posting the new version on the internet and earning me my Nobel prize.
But the Malaysia story is of a piece with every part of Goldberg's deep look into what drives Obama, the man. The president confuses the reality of the world with his own prejudices about it: Venezuelan leader Hugo Chvez wasn't worth his attention because he was all talk. Saudi Arabia is only trying to use US power to win its petty war with Iran. Tribalism is what drives the modern Middle East, and we shouldn't get into that fight. Think tanks in Washington aren't driven by ideas, but by Jewish and Muslim money. Russia doesn't matter. Climate change is huge. Getting Malaysia on board in the fight against the Islamic State is key. And then there's the United States: America is a nation with bad instincts, whose hubris should be "regulated" and propensity to manage the challenges of the world constrained by outside forces. (Other than the weather, which he believes Americans ought to be able to manage.)
An English judge previously ruled that Gore's book is partisan, biased, and contains many factual errors, even though he shared Gore's belief that man is causing global warming.
In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year is set to be the hottest La Nina year on record.
Thomas Friedman, whom I previously regarded as a climate hawk, seems to take on the pragmatist mantle with his piece on Take the Subway . Some excerpts:
Thats typical of a La Nina, but (blasts) dont last very long; they come and they go,
RSS is still using the old NOAA-15 satellite which has a decaying orbit, to which they are then applying a diurnal cycle drift correction based upon a climate model, which does not quite match reality.
They may have axed the Science and Technology Category because too many skeptics kept winning it, but that only meant skeptical blogs won in other categories . The blogs you visit every day may not be just science blogs, but politics, education, entertainment, and topical blogs. They may also be New, Secret, Humorous, Groups, and they may be well designed, and well written. What Ive said before still applies:
A new review paper from SPPI and CO2 Science finds " that as the air's CO2 content rises, grassland plants will likely exhibit enhanced rates of photosynthesis and biomass production that will not be diminished by any global warming that might occur concurrently. In fact, if the ambient air temperature does rise, the growth-promoting effects of atmospheric CO2 enrichment will likely rise right along with it, becoming more and more robust in agreement with the experimental observations reviewed by Idso and Idso (1994)."
After applying this test, I find that using the method I prefer (averaging first, then fitting the trend), I the best estimate by the IPCC is rejected to a confidence of 95%. It is too high to be consistent with the weather data we have experienced.
However, I??m far from convinced that the satellite records are revealed truth. It seems quite possible to me that quite different satellite trends could emerge if there were a couple of inter-satellite adjustment errors. I don??t know right now how one would estimate the potential magnitude of the adjustment errors, but, as soon as one introduces potential step adjustment errors, it becomes pretty hard to estimate trends. More on this on another occasion.
How much boodle can a rent seeker make these days? A recently leaked non-public report reveals that Exelon expects Waxman-Markey to generate hundreds of millions of dollars annually for the company.
To that end, the elements, materials and beings found in nature should be used and ?abused? for the benefit of mankind ? we should not be forced to protect nature for nature?s sake. Deserts and meadows cannot feel hurt, assaulted or denigrated ? they are material things and it is impossible for them to have individual rights. (I?m sure the trees of the world do not mind me saying this.)
These angry picketers are the threat. They undermine Americas share of the Arctic Oceans estimated 30 percent of the worlds undiscovered natural gas and 13 percent of its oil reserves. That fuel could power the military as well as civilians.
Examining the table, we see that the IPCC projections of 2C/century are rejected to the 95% confidence level using most the methods I tested. If we average the data, and then test, the trend is rejected to the 95% confidence level using both C-O and OLS. (Note however, that when the two methods disagree, C-O is more accurate.) Using each individual instrument, it is rejected under 7 out of 10 possible test methods. The ambiguous result fail to reject arises in 3 out of 10. However, due to the small sample time, we know that error is large so, fail to reject is best interpreted as not enough data to tell for sure, rather than IPCC projections are likely correct.
Mr. Metrosexual has been out-fashioned. His toppling begs a different question: is society frivolizing itself to death?
Obama's Sputter-nik moment: Cash for Education Clunkers:
on Sunday, July 17th, 2011 at 5:01 am and is filed under Uncategorized.