Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This article, by ABCs environment editor, Sara Phillips (pictured), encapsulates all that is wrong with the national broadcasters treatment of the climate debate. Written, as always, from a position of belief, and institutionally critical of any dissent, Phillips attempts to show that scepticism is crumbling in the face of ever-mounting evidence to the contrary:
What Abraham has done, here as elsewhere, is to wrench my data deliberately out of the context in which I actually (and accurately) presented then, and then to lie about it.
". . . if the tenets of this theory are valid there can be no outcome other than a doubling of surface energy (a doubling at minimum, that is, since there's no reason to suppose that radiation from the now-warmer surface would not continue to be back-radiated, absorbed, and amplified in a "runaway' heating cascade).
This picture was taken soon after it was completed. It was lovely and green on the day that we visited, with people walking all over ...
Microbial mass increases. Another team of Japanese scientists examined how the beneficial soil microbial biomass beneath the rice plants was impacted by elevated CO2. Li et al. reported Elevated significantly increased microbial biomass carbon in the surface 5 cm soil when N (90 kg ha-1) was in sufficient supply.
In its Report to the President, EPA did not specifically acknowledge that its policies on de-bottlenecking and aggregation have harmful effects on efficiency, utilization, or emissions. However, EPA's 2002 recommendations for reform include action on these matters.
If we could pick the month when global warming officially started, it would be March of 1985. The previous month, February of 1985, was the last time the temperature of the Earth was below the average for the 20th century. Over twenty-seven years ago. Every month since then 329 months in a row has been above the 20th century average
Now, here is why we spent so much time with experience mod. This base premium is then multiplied by your experience mod to get your actual premium. So, if you have an experience mod of 1.3, your premium in this example would be 1.3 times $6,000 or $7,800. (By the way, beyond just the audits, this is why trying to hide payroll does not pay. If you hide payroll, for the same experience, your experience mod will go up and your premiums will go up -- in the long run, you are not going to save any money).
Glaciologist, Lonnie Thompson, also produced this temperature graph, using ice cores on the Quelccaya, which clearly show higher temperatures back in the MWP.
The two Australian researchers report that after a 4-week incubation period under various experimental conditions, negative effects on juvenile development and growth were only observed at a pH of 7.2 (a decrease of one full unit), which was brought about by pCO 2 values in the range of 4430-4600 atm.
And it even warns that incautious attempts to mitigate climate change may themselves be the causes of conflict:
The figure above also highlights the strong divergences between the IPCC model and the temperature, which are explicitly studied in my papers proving that the IPCC model are not able to reconstruct any of the natural oscillations observed at multiple scales. For example, look at the 60-year cycle I extensively discuss in my papers : from 1910 to 1940 a strong warming trending is observed in the data, but the warming trending in the model is far lower; from 1940 to 1970 a cooling is observed in the data while the IPCC model still shows a warming; from 1970 to 2000, the two records present a similar trending (this period is the one originally used to calibrate the sensitivities of the models); the strong divergence observed in 1940-1970, repeats since 2000, with the IPCC model projecting a steady warming at 2.3 o C/century , while the temperature shows a steady harmonically modulated trending highlighted in my widget and reproduced in my model.
The unprecedented boom in natural gas supplies over the last few years as been one of the few tail-winds for the US economy over the last few years, as plummeting natural gas prices have lowered costs for both industry and consumers.
The results of this study are very encouraging. For the standard 300-ppm increase in atmospheric CO 2 concentration we use to express the effects of elevated CO 2 on plant photosynthesis , they indicate that this important plant process is stimulated by close to 42% in ambient air and 34% in ozone-polluted air for typical growing-season air temperature and soil moisture conditions experienced at the SoyFACE facility, while for both warmer and drier conditions, the CO 2 -induced photosynthetic enhancements are greater still. Reviewed 3 January 2007
Monbiot and Lynass one sop to science is to link to the official sea level rise data for the Maldives. At one site the sea level is rising by 3mm a year, as the IPCC says; at the other, the rise is zero, as Mrner says.
We have been told by NASA ???that carbon dioxide itself is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG)?? and by NOAA??s UCAR that ???the current spike in carbon dioxide is sure to result in a rapid increase in global temperature??. Anthroprogenic CO2 emissions have increased by over 60% since 1990;
The scientists will start monitoring temperatures for some unstated reason. During the first 25 years, the scientists continue to support all 10 thermometers, fixing broken ones running QA checks etc. But after a while, someone cuts their budget. Inspecting the data, the scientists decide they don??t need to record the temperatures from all 10 thermometers. To save manpower, they can record the temperature from with 5: one from each continent. Because mountain tops stations are difficult to maintain, they stop recording the mountain top thermometers. (Meanwhile a secret band of conspirators does record those, so we here in toyland can look at those temperatures.)
When asked directly by ABC News in October if taxpayers should worry about the more than $500 million in federal funds on the line, Henrik Fisker was emphatic: "No, I don't think they need to worry about it." When asked if Fisker might be the next Solyndra, he said, "Absolutely not."
Today's Wall Street Journal features several letters to the editor (subscription required) on the paper's editorial on the Rockefeller-Snowe letter to ExxonMobil. Naturally, it is to be expected that at least somebody would write taking exception to the editorial, but the letter by Rick Piltz of Climate Science Watch has got to be read to be believed -- because it misses the central point so widely off the mark.
10) But Aren?t Natural CO2 Emissions About 20 Times the Human Emissions? Yes, but nature is believed to absorb CO2 at about the same rate it is produced. You can think of the reservoir of atmospheric CO2 as being like a giant container of water, with nature pumping in a steady stream into the bottom of the container (atmosphere) in some places, sucking out about the same amount in other places, and then humans causing a steady drip-drip-drip into the container. Significantly, about 50% of what we produce is sucked out of the atmosphere by nature, mostly through photosynthesis. Nature loves the stuff. CO2 is the elixir of life on Earth. Imagine the howls of protest there would be if we were destroying atmospheric CO2, rather than creating more of it.
And it's not even consistent with itself. According to Willis Eschenbach:
The new study undertook a more accurate estimate by continuously monitoring the emission of carbon dioxide from a reservoir in Mississippi. The researchers discovered nighttime carbon dioxide emissions were 70 percent greater than during the day, and extratropical cyclones increase emissions by as much 16 percent. As a result of these two previously unaccounted-for emission rates, their research indicates inland bodies of water emit as much as 40 percent more carbon dioxide than previously estimated.
S hopefully we can look forward to an exciting internal struggle between different kommissionrer within the EU. It becomes frnuftet to win, or will it f dangling from the gallows?
With up to 50 inches of snow dumped across the northeast of the United States, this monster blizzard was aptly dubbed The Great White Hurricane. Major metropolitan areas like New York faced severe winds of up to 45 miles an hour, drifts of more than 50 feet and floods caused when the snow melted. With fire departments unable to function, the financial losses from fires alone amounted to a staggering $25 million. Human casualties totaled 400, with 200 people dying in New York alone.
"The Obama administration is instituting a variety of far-reaching policies to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate climate change. Are any of these capable of making a difference?" asked Mr. Lazear. "Simple arithmetic suggests not." Up to this point I was very pleased with his conclusion, but then he wrote "Given this reality, we would be wise to consider strategies that complement and may be more effective than mitigationnamely, adaptation."
X-Mailer: MIME::Lite 3.027 (F2.74; T1.28; A2.05; B3.07; Q3.07)
Again, the timing of Chesapeake's donations is suspicious. The company started giving to the American Lung Association at about the time the Sierra Club discontinued its relationship with Chesapeake. The timeline speaks volumes:
A paper published today in Global and Planetary Change reconstructs temperatures in Northern Fennoscandia over the past 1,600 years and finds more non-hockey-sticks clearly demonstrating that the Arctic was warmer than the present during the Medieval Warm Period. The paper adds to over 1,000 peer-reviewed published non-hockey-sticks finding the Medieval Warm Period was global, as warm or warmer than the present , and that there is nothing unusual, unnatural, or unprecedented about the current warm period.
I would love to implement the Australian model in America, but I recognize that mandatory voting actually, mandatory anything is a hard sell in this country. So here is another idea: a series of Mega Millions-like lotteries for primary and general elections, with awards that can range up to the hundreds of millions for a big general election where your lottery ticket is your voting stub. It is a reasonable guess, given what we have seen with big lotteries in the states, that a billion dollars for all federal primary and general elections in a cycle (a small sum to enhance democracy and reduce dysfunction) would, by providing a very powerful incentive to get Americans registered and to actually turn up at the polls, result in a robust increase in turnout, perhaps to as much as 75 or 80 percent. The idea could be applied in states and localities with smaller prizes and not simply using public money; perhaps auto dealers could donate cars, for example.
The Norwegian, Captain WiktorArnesen, who has just returned fromthe Arctic, clains to have discoveredan island 12 miles in circumferencenear the Franz Joseph Island, in latitude 80.40. He says that the islandpreviously was hidden by an iceberg between 70 and 80 feet high, which hasmelted, showing the exceptional natureof the recent thawing in the Arctic.
This is why the ERO has recommended a series of reforms. Foremost among these is the removal of regulatory barriers to the building of new infrastructure. Power plants and transmission lines need to be built urgently; measures that facilitate green obstructionism must be repealed. Without this new capacity, the power supply system will fail.
A few years later, when Simpson had expanded his argument and identified David Beckham as the poster boy of the phenomenon, "mextrosexual" entered the cannon of the chattering classes' vocabulary, and the Aughts found us familiarly, unblinkingly rubbing shoulders with the specimen.
Within the military, the concept of "strategy" has not fared much better. The post-Cold War era has witnessed a surreal debate between the disciples of Clausewitz, who invariably confuse strategy with the operational level of war, and the supporters of the supposed Revolution in Military Affairs reducing war to "targeting and shooting," and whose network-centric paradigm leads to a tacticization of strategy.10
The higher temperatures reported at the 3 vacancies with intermediate talus areas may have been the result of a more barren dry landscape typical of the eastside of the Sierra Nevada. If so, lack of food, not higher temperatures may be the critical factor. Stewart never asks if the vacancies are due to higher temperatures, less reliable vegetation, or distance from other territories. Stewarts model statistically linked higher temperatures to pika vacancies, but that link depends on what sites he includes or omits in his database.
Yet Gore has received a Nobel Prize for a book (and film) that even sympathizers can see is filled with factual errors. Gore's book and film are so tendentious and inaccurate that they do little to advance his position.
IOC President opens historic meeting on irregular and illegal sport betting:
The crisis? Theres a fast shifting moral landscape that threatens to leave our industry adrift, shunned by the customers we serve. Good luck on the shun, given that most people have monopoly utilities, and the IPP industry where NRG operates is unknown to most of the public.
A Canadian soldier, killed recently in Afghanistan, is praised for saving the lives of his mates, while Hillier moves to rectify an inequity that involves wounded soldiers and their danger pay. A new Canadian poll (for what its worth), suggests that support for the Afghan mission is up. In Afghanistan itself, a clutch of trained suicide killers was captured and what was discovered; yes, theyre from Pakistan and theyre now whining the whine of most Islamists who become prisoners We were brainwashed! Christie Blatchford gives us her long view, while the Pentagon blasts a Newsweek piece, basically calling it a work of fiction. And as winter begins to approach, the Taliban scurry back to Pakistan to plan the next phase of, retake Afghanistan. They failed in their 2006 offensive but are planning what some call the Afghan Intifada. CLICK cross posted @ Celestial Junk
CMIP5 Models Misinterpreting the North Atlantic Oscillation (12 January 2015)
Dwight Fielder, who heads BLM's Division of Fish, Wildlife and Plant Conservation, said federal officials are discussing issuing conditional permits to companies working on eagle protection plans, but it's not clear if this would allow them to make the stimulus funding deadline.
We frequently hear that climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of droughts in Africa. There is, of course, no evidence that current droughts are any worse than historical ones.
One of the most cited and used historical surface temperature databases is that of NASA/Goddard's GISS. This is not some weird skeptics site. It is considered one of the premier world temperature data bases, and it is maintained by anthropogenic global warming true believers. It has consistently shown more warming than any other data base, and is thus a favorite source for folks like Al Gore. These GISS readings in the US rely mainly on the US Historical Climate Network (USHCN) which is a network of about 1000 weather stations taking temperatures, a number of which have been in place for over 100 years.
The Kind and Lee amendment (#9) would not merely codify EPA??s Tailoring Rule, it would also codify the entire ever-growing ensemble of EPA greenhouse gas regulations of which the Tailoring Rule is apart. It would put Congress??s legislative seal of approval on EPA??s seizure of legislative power. Passing this amendment would obviously defeat the constitutional purpose of H.R. 910.
There has certainly been a jump in temperatures in the last 20 years or so, but all they have done is return to the level commonly seen between the mid 1920s and mid 1950s. Since 2007, the annual average temperature has been 60.73C, compared with 60.65C between 1934 and 1954. Meanwhile the warmest year on record is still 1927.
Climate change is a manmade crisis, and so the need to implement sharp reductions in greenhouse gas emissions is paramount. That summarizes the constant drumbeat of conventional wisdom, which raises an interesting question: If the Obama administration's Climate Action Plan a 17 percent reduction in U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 2020 were to be implemented immediately, what temperature reduction would that yield by the year 2100?
Investment in newer and cleaners plants has ground to a halt in places such as the United Kingdom where the government has embraced the Kyoto treaty and pledged to cut greenhouse gases by 5.5m tonnes by 2010. It is the opinion of energy experts that blackouts such as the one in London last August that trapped 250,000 commuters are therefore likely to become more frequent. Paul Golby of Powergen stated "We want to invest but we have all had our fingers burnt in the past" and "over the next few months the government must make some key decisions about how emissions trading will be implemented." (The Times, May 9)
Such a peach, today's column - "The Truth, Still Inconvenient" - by Paul Krugman, economist and former consultant to the company that created the global warming industry, "monitizing' (sic) its relationship with green groups, scientists and, I'm pretty sure, economists in pursuit of creating that better atmosphere for enacting policies to add value to their uneconomic investments...purchased in anticipation of creating a global warming industry.
EPA Treats Own Environmental Catastrophe As Ho-Hum
Lots of global warming-related stories you may have missed:
Left Launches Witch Hunt Against Climate Scientists
16. Will global warming cause the spread of infectious diseases?
That's certainly interesting, but hardly earth-shaking. Ice cores and fossil pollen show the earth has had six major global warmings since the last Ice Age, interspersed with centuries-long cold periods. The earth's temperatures are always cycling up and down.
- which is what they use to break the electroweak symmetry - is known as "tan( beta )", the tangent of a new angle relevant for supersymmetry.
The bounty hunter provision enables private citizens to sue companies to enforce Proposition 65. Not only do victorious plaintiffs get to recover attorneys' fees and court costs, but they are entitled to 25 percent of any penalty assessed by the court.
And when the IPCC is not ignoring its responsible critics like Landsea and Lindzen, it is demonizing them. Not long ago the IPCC's chairman, Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, compared eco-skeptic Bjorn Lomborg to Hitler. "What is the difference between Lomborg's view of humanity and Hitler's?" Pachauri asked in a Danish newspaper. "If you were to accept Lomborg's way of thinking, then maybe what Hitler did was the right thing." Lomborg's sin was merely to follow the consensus practice of economists in applying a discount to present costs for future benefits, and comparing the range of outcomes with other world problems alongside climate change. It is hard to judge what is worse: Pachauri's appalling judgment in resorting to reductio ad Hitlerum, or his abysmal ignorance of basic economics. In either case, it is hard to have much confidence in the policy advice the IPCC might have.
on Thursday, February 13th, 2014 at 1:59 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
Now theres a trend thats simply not sustainable at least, lets hope so.
Greg Conko and Henry I. Miller's citation in Farm Press Blog
Just as some clever birds may have figured out that flying higher means not getting shredded by hippie-power, dastardly greens invent flying wind turbines . Curses!
Your quotation from the MIT piece illustrates the problem that you have with your models. You say a projected 18 percent increase resulting from fossil fuel combustion to the year 2000 (320 ppm to 379 ppm) might increase the surface temperature of the earth 0.5C. Now CO2 is at 380 ppm and you are claiming a rise in surface temperature of 0.5 degrees.
That and Horner's other examples of green fraud would only "confuse people" and diffuse the anti-industry venom of Democrats, who didn't even mention the bogus Chamber event.
Sceptics have seized upon the mistakes to cast doubt over the validity of the IPCC and have called for the panel to be disbanded.
An R Plevin & Sons spokesperson said, Efforts to bring a fire under control on one of our wood piles is continuing. The wood pile is isolated and breaks between neighbouring wood piles increased to reduce the risk of the fire spreading. The damping down process is expected to carry on for several days.
"The presence of new media should change the way we look at the current debate over media ownership. The ongoing digital revolution is creating a vibrant journalistic world that exists, thankfully, outside the ambit of government regulation. No longer is it necessary to see the debate as a simple dichotomy with "big media" on one side (deregulation) and "media diversity" on the other side (regulation). This way of thinking is stuck in the analog world. The digital world is much more complexand it requires a new way of thinking about media ownership."
Natural variability, therefore, is sufficient to explain all of the warming since 1750. No other explanation is necessary. Accordingly, it is not legitimate to claim, as the Berkeley team claim, that in the absence of any other explanation the warming must be attributed to CO2. That claim is an instance of the argumentum ad ignorantiam, the fundamental logical fallacy of argument from ignorance. It is not sound science.
Does 'climate change' mean 'changing data'? "So what is the probability of this effort consistently increasing recent temperatures and decreasing older temperatures? From a statistical viewpoint, data recalculation should cause each year to have a 50/50 probability of going either up or down thus the odds of all 70 adjusted years working in concert to increase the slope of the graph are an astronomical 2 raised to the power of 70. That is one-thousand-billion-billion to one. This isn't an exact representation of the odds because for some of the years (less than 15) the revisions went against the trend but even a 55/15 split is about as likely as a room full of chimpanzees eventually typing Hamlet. That would be equivalent to flipping a penny 70 times and having it come up heads 55 times. It will never happen one trillion to one odds (2 raised to the power 40).
This is not to make light of a very serious situation at the reactors or the health risks to the courageous workers on the site who may be exposed to dangerous levels of radiation when new explosions and breaches occur. But the media coverage of the whole episode is a textbook example of the inability to gauge risks, weigh trade-offs, and put a story in its proper perspective. Instead the media have done what they do best: generate panic.
Whatever happened to all the missing warming? asks J-P.
Conrad Black; About 70% of the American deficit is bought directly or through the banking system by the Treasurys 100% subsidiary, the Federal Reserve, and the minimal interest paid on it is recycled back through the Federal Reserve to the Treasury, so the cost of borrowing is zero. It is the ultimate Ponzi scheme, the fiscal nirvana of endless, mountainous debt, rendered easily bearable because it doesnt cost anything. It is a fraud, a mirage. It all possesses the hypnotic allure of the Gotterdammerung as the Gods ascend to a burning Valhalla. If this administration is re-elected, Canada, as it has for the entire mighty spectacle of the inexorable rise of the United States, will have the ring-side seat for a disaster.
Space isn't only a scientific but a strategic domain, and securing our country's future in it has to be a pressing national priority.
Another CO2 measurement provides evidence of smoothing effects and artificially low readings. Stomata, small openings on leaves, vary directly with atmospheric CO2 levels. Stomata records compared with ice core record for a 2000-year period illustrates the issue.
Five different dating methods have been used for Vostok cores, with differences such as 300 years at 100 m depth, 600yr at 200 m, 7000yr at 400 m, 5000yr at 800 m, 6000yr at 1600 m, and 5000yr at 1934 m.