Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In a synthesis of long term ecological monitoring data across old growth Amazonia, Phillips et al (2008) find that from approximately 1988 to 2000 not only that the biomass of these tropical forests increased but that they have become more dynamic, that is, they have more stems, faster recruitment, faster mortality, faster growth and more lianas. These increases have occurred across regions and environmental gradients and through time for the lowland Neotropics and Amazonia. They note that the simplest explanation for this suite of results is that improved resource availability has increased net primary productivity, in turn increasing growth rates, which can all be explained by a long-term increase in a limiting resource. They suggest that this no-longer-limiting resource might be CO 2 , although other factors (e.g., insolation or diffuse radiation) may also play a role.
No one has worked more tirelessly to create this impression than Hillary Clinton. The woman behind the party s colossal embarrassment in 1994 became a spokesperson for a series of inoffensive health-care causes, like cosponsoring legislation with Sen. Bill Frist on standardizing medical records, or writing opeds with Newt Gingrich deploring the high number of medical errors.
But given what is going on now, the past 5 days, plus the forecasted upcoming 16, with another record cold air mass coming this weekend into the areas ( another because we had one this past weekend) that was in the heart of the NOAA Hot July area, this should be one of the greatest, if not THE NUMBER ONE GREATEST, July to August turn arounds in temps in US history. The 16 day means of over 5 degrees C below normal seem to cold to me ( I cant believe it can be 10 below for over 2 weeks, if it is, that could be the coldest 2 week period in US history in August for the plains, though I have not looked back at all of them
The Greens are hardly worthy of the title political party, just a rag-tag bunch of Marxist environmental fruitcakes.
At the same time, the GRACE gravitational-anomaly satellites, the most accurate method of measurement we have, showed sea level actually falling from 20032009.
The Center for American Progress claimed , climate change may have affected the snowstorm may have made it more likely, may have made it worse than it would have been without so much greenhouse gas in the atmosphere.
People who know people at the IPCC have their yet-to-be-published work taken into account, but researchers without these sorts of connections are out of luck.
Another interesting post from William M. Briggs is here .
Well be discussing and illustrating the input values and the climate-model-created values of the components at the top of the atmosphere, and their difference, known as the Energy Imbalance.
This result indicates why one can not use tree rings for any periods warmer than the calibration perioda situation which is difficult to know a priori . The same issue could affect certain other types of temperature proxies (besides tree rings) as well.
Models also failed to replicate the 60-year and 200-year cycles in monsoon rainfall linked to solar cycles that are reflected in studies of ocean sediments from the Arabian Sea.
Question 3 (for Pederson): The 2007 IPCC report states that evidence of warming in the 21st century is "unequivocal." On the other hand, Phil Jones, former head of the Climatic Research Unit and a strong supporter of the AGW hypothesis, admitted in a Feb. 13 interview with the BBC that there has been no "statistically significant" warming since 1995, and evidence of slight cooling since 2002. Clearly the planet can't be both cooling and warming at the same time. Which position, Jones's or the IPCC's, is wrong?
HAYDEN: Hey! Theres no need to hit me. I heard you. If P, then Q. Q. Therefore P.
Just to get sub-Saharan electricity consumption up to the levels of South Africa or Bulgaria would mean adding about 1,000 gigawatts of capacity, the installation of which would cost at least 1 trillion. Yet the greens want Africans to hold back on the cheapest form of power: fossil fuels. In 2013 Ed Davey, the energy secretary, announced that British taxpayers will no longer fund coal-fired power stations in developing countries, and that he would put pressure on development banks to ensure that their funding policies rule out coal. (I declare a commercial interest in coal in Northumberland.)
As Steve Goddard has interestingly pointed out recently using RSS data going back to 1990 the Mt Pinatubo eruption in 1991 had a very important effect on global temperatures.
The IPCC has framed the climate change problem in the context of anthropogenic forcing, and national funding has followed suit. There has been far too little emphasis on understanding the sun and solar-climate interactions, I see a few signs that this situation is improving.
132. At the same time, Plaintiff continues to evade the one action that might definitively establish its respectability ? by objecting, in the courts of Virginia, British Columbia and elsewhere, to the release of his research in this field. See Cuccinelli vs Rectors and Visitors of the University of Virginia?
In the 1970s (I am not saying, for the whole decade) there was a consensus about global cooling. How is such a conclusion reached? By asking the right question.
Europe has already tried this experiment and found it to be economically devastating. In April, the European Parliament voted against saving the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS)Europe's flagship environmental program. Roger Helmer, a member of the European Parliament, explained that propping up the ETS would "make energy more expensive; undermine European competitiveness even further; drive even more businesses and jobs and investments offshore (known in the jargon as "carbon leakage'); and force more households and pensioners into fuel poverty."
Would anyone promoting such a film ever not expect Al Gore and MoveOn.org to try to exploit it to score political points? And yet, according to groups opposed to media ownership rule liberalization, controversial content will nearly always be trampled under the boot of the boss's politics.
The Presidentalludes to the great clean energy race that America supposedly cannot afford to lose. But as my colleague William Yeatman points out, the race is itself a creature of mandate and subsidy. China subsidizes its solar panel manufacturers, for example, becauseU.S. states establish Soviet-style production quota for renewable energy and EU countries subsidize renewable electricity via feed-in tariffs (FITs).Chinas subsidies, in turn, are the official justification forthe Stimulusloans to companies like Solyndra. But Beijing is flush with cash; Washington, deep in debt.We cannot outspend China in a subsidy war.
In what sense is 400 parts a million a milestone and what does the word add, save opinion, to the intro? By whom are these conditions 'expected to return in time' and who says the consequences will be 'devastating'? By whom is catastrophic warming 'thought to be unstoppable' at 2 degrees (and does this mean that at 1.99 degrees it is stoppable)? it may well be that everything in this piece is true. But it is not enough for the reporter to assert that on his own authority without citing sources.
That all federal "enforcement activities" in Texas "must be conducted under the auspices of the county sheriff with jurisdiction in that county." (That would leave the FBI, air marshals, immigration officials, DEA personnel, and so on subordinate to the Texas versions of Sheriff Joe Arpaio.)
President Obama recently demonstrated his willingness to ignore public opinion and force a health care bill through Congress while his party's majorities are still strong. It would be a mistake to do this on climate. The process must be reformed, public confidence restored and every link in our climate chain proved beyond reproach before we should agree to a climate treaty.
In The Age of Disruption, Customer Love Is More Important Than Ever TechCrunch "Innovation has a funny way of wreaking havoc on markets where once-dominant industries are suddenly forced to compete for business. Very often, however, these companies have taken customers for granted, having controlled the market for so long. When a disruptive agent enters the scene, customers happily flock to the alternative, leaving the incumbents struggling to play catch-up on multiple levels."
A 2007 University of Michigan study claimed organic farming could produce all the food the world will need, by getting nitrogen from green manure crops. Unfortunately the study overestimated the nitrogen such green manure crops could contribute by at least three-fold. Across the developing world, crop plants remain starved for nitrogen, and Africa is headed for a truly massive Dust Bowl famine.
The upward spikes show the impacts of volcanic aerosols on the outgoing shortwave radiation.
A key problem in determining changes and influences of water vapor concentrations in the Earths atmosphere is that they are extremely variable. Differences range by orders of magnitude in various places. Instead, alarmists sweep the problem to one side by simply calling it a CO 2 feedback amplification effect, always assuming that the dominant feedback is positive (warming) rather than negative (cooling). In reality, due to clouds and other factors, those feedbacks could go both ways, and no one knows for sure which direction dominates climate over the long run.
The natural sciences have terms for that kind of hypothesis. ?Unfalsifiable? is one of them. ?Unscientific? is another. An idea may be true, but if it is incapable of being ?falsified? or proven wrong, then whatever else that idea is, it certainly isn?t science.
Professor Ray Bates gave a paper in Moscow in summer 2015 in which he concluded, based on the analysis by Lindzen & Choi (2009, 2011) (Fig. T10), that temperature feedbacks are net-negative. Accordingly, he supports the conclusion both by Lindzen & Choi (1990) (Fig. T10) and by Spencer & Braswell (2010, 2011) that climate sensitivity is below and perhaps considerably below 1 C per CO2 doubling.
As the system GAINS energy (and warms) from forcing, it LOSES energy from feedbacks: e.g., changes in clouds, water vapor, and most importantly the extra loss of IR energy directly to space from warmer temperatures (which is usually not considered a feedback per se, but it is THE main climate stabilizing influence, and for purposes of discussion I will treat it as a "feedback").
Basically, Tabitha rolled the entire Green movement debate into a very neat, easy-to-understand package.
In a paper recently published in the journal New Phytologist, Girardin et al. (2013) write that many people have supposed think Al Gore, for one that "global wildfire activity resulting from human-caused climatic change is a threat to communities living at wildland-urban interfaces world-wide and to the equilibrium of the global carbon cycle." But is this really the case?
When Tony Blair was reelected British Prime Minister last Thursday, he was entitled to a celebratory glass of champagne. Despite all the sound and fury over the Iraq war, the British people returned him to office with a majority with which any Prime Minister would be happy. He has successfully ridden out the foreign policy problem that threatened to unseat him. Yet another problem awaits as Mr. Blair ascends center stage in the world's eyes when he hosts the G8 meeting and assumes the Presidency of the EU.
A very good letter from the American Meteorological Society on Grijalvas witch hunt
BREAKING: Steven McIntyre reports that 649 Berkeley stations lack information on latitude and longitude, including 145 BOGUS stations. 453 stations lack not only latitude and longitude, but even a name. Many such stations are located in the country , but a large fraction are located in United States. Steve says: Im pondering how one goes about calculating spatial autocorrelation between two BOGUS stations with unknown locations. (Jo Nova)
My local Wendys has a sign up saying tomatoes are scarce and will be offered only by request, and this is in California. So, this article by Marlo Lewis about sandwich shops in DC illustrates a nationwide effect. Anthony
News outlets quickly pounced on the story, including the UK Guardian, Rolling Stone, The Washington Times, E&E; News' Climatewire, and Fox News (see excerpts below).
"Even where a semblance of stability is achieved," the paper by Ban's peace-building support office argues, the achievement of peace may involve more than "adopting a constitution or holding elections." It adds that "more fundamental change may be needed in a country's institutions and political culture as well as in public perceptions and attitudes."
It is ironic that only genetically engineered varieties, which are more precisely crafted than "conventional" ones and whose development and environmental impacts are carefully scrutinized by the USDA and EPA, are subject to the extra burden of compulsory EISes. Indeed, the asymmetrical burden exists only because the USDA rejected the advice of the scientific community some 25 years ago and chose instead to require a mandatory, discriminatory pre-approval process for genetically engineered plants, thereby spawning the "major actions" that trigger the EIS obligation.
John is a third generation rice grower in the Wakool District. His grandfather began growing tomatoes, later they tried millet, tobacco and even cotton.
And the infection obsessed think that its all because of nurses and doctors failing to wash their hands? Give me a break. We have bugs on our skin, in our respiratory and intestinal tract and nurses and doctors are causing us to get infections when we have catheters sticking in us from many directions? We are on ventilators that invade our respiratory tracts and infections occur because of physicians and nurses who see us dont wash frequently enough?
Save the planet? Marchionnes bumpersticker should read: SUV the planet.
This exercise produced an interesting result: Roughly half of the AMS experts believed there must be a significant human influence on the climate through the release of carbon dioxidewhile the other half had considerable doubt about the validity of climate models.
These kind of explanations, by leading climate modelers, suggest that climate models do not in fact reflect understanding of the key physical climate processes well enough to generate projections of future climate that one could rely upon. It seems unlikely that climate model projections would be accorded much policy significance if the way in which they were able to reproduce past climate was generally understood. It seems more than plausible that policymakers (let alone the general public), take a models purported ability reproduce past temperatures as an indication that the models assumption about climate sensitivity is correct.
Some nice people are just too nice, which is the reason most societies are populated by sheep and need sheepdogs. Regular people are blinded by their own good intentions and delusional hopes in the face of violent bullies and intimidators. Churchill was right, though, when he said a scorpion or a viper cant be trusted, its in their nature.
Mikey's Model Puts Us In An Ice Age In 1960
Kremlin Aide Advises Putin to Kill Kyoto
About 60 percent of Americans surveyed said the United States should not intervene in Syrias civil war, while just 9 percent thought President Barack Obama should act .
Smith goes so far as to state, "In spite of the development push that began in the 1960's, it seems unlikely that the area cleared today is any larger than it was in 1500 the area of forest is probably greater now than when the Europeans arrived." (Smith, pp.231-245)
Another interesting point that the chart reveals is that the largest decadal temperature increase did not occur during the modern late 20th century, or 21st century for that matter. The biggest increase took place during the decade of the 1930s.
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Last but not least, my act is meant as a sign of my support for the Czech president Milo Zeman and his effort to objectively analyze crucial internal and international political questions and his struggle "against everybody" to protect the sovereignty and identity of the Czech nation and its global security.
Katrina has nothing to do with global warming. Nothing. It has everything to do with the immense forces of nature that have been unleashed many, many times before and the inability of humans, even the most brilliant engineers, to tame these forces.
The Medieval Warm Period, which followed the meanness and cold of the Dark Ages, was a great time in human history it allowed humans around the world to bask in a glorious warmth that vastly improved agriculture, increased life spans and otherwise bettered the human condition.
MasterResource was named for the fact that energy is the master resource , as termed by the late Julian Simon . American Products. American Power. elucidates the resource of resources on the demand side, which brings to bear the fact that abundant, affordable, reliable energy makes all the difference . This is where good public policy comes in, with private property and free markets offering the performance that consumers demand.
As for the weather, John Christy, the director of the Earth System Science Center at the University of Alabama, says he cringes "when I hear overstated confidence from those who describe the projected evolution of global weather patterns over the next one hundred years, especially when I consider how difficult it is to accurately predict that system's behavior over the next five days."
P a global scale speaks the most from this trend will continue during verskdlig future. It is indeed very possible that oil prices will continue to rise, but because the oil frmodligen will largely ersttas of natural gas, s will STATEMENT This jack may be less important than what most people think.
(At the same time, as another paper makes clear, "some" U.N. peacekeepers come from countries "where the armed forces and police are seriously implicated in human rights violations," including sexual crimes. While such actions "cannot be tolerated," the paper makes clear the U.N. has no clear answers on how to police its own behavior.)
A post by Steven Goddard today shows how James Hansen's GISS data was tampered to create 0.35C artificial global warming. Since the total alleged global warming since 1850 is only 0.7C , this single tamper alone accounts for half of that trend. So, in a sense, the IPCC attribution statement is finally vindicated with 95% confidence that over 50% of global warming is Mann-made.
In contrast, L. pertusa was capable to acclimate to acidified conditions in long-term (six months) incubations, leading to even slightly enhanced rates of calcification . Net growth is sustained even in waters sub-saturated with respect to aragonite. Acclimation to seawater acidification did not cause a measurable increase in metabolic rates . This is the first evidence of successful acclimation in a coral species to ocean acidification, emphasizing the general need for long-term incubations in ocean acidification research. To conclude on the sensitivity of cold-water coral reefs to future ocean acidification further ecophysiological studies are necessary which should also encompass the role of food availability and rising temperatures.
1. AFTER DECADES OF CLIMATE MODELING EFFORTS, WHY DOES THE CURRENT GENERATION OF CLIMATE MODELS SIMULATE GLOBAL SURFACE TEMPERATURES MORE POORLY THAN THE PRIOR GENERATION?
I have to say, however, that I am not sanguine about such a fund for several reasons. First, I doubt that it would be paid into fairly: based on their unwillingness to adopt binding emission reduction targets, and their demands for wealth transfer from the developed countries to the developing, I very much doubt that the semi-developed countries will agree to contribute, any more than they are likely to agree to binding emission reductions. Second, I am also dubious about government's ability (any government) to keep its hands out of the funds, rather than spending them today, and replacing them with IOUs, as is a common practice in such "trust funds." And third, I am concerned that it would simply make the problem worse: the establishment of such a trust fund would lead to greater risk-taking around the world, with less self-insurance by individuals or governments, under the assumption that if anything goes wrong, the world will step in to make things all better.
Yangtze River Flood , 1931.The summer flood along the Yangtze during July- August 1931 was the most severe, with over 51 million people affected (1/4 of Chinas population). 3.7 million people perished from this greatest disaster of the century due to disease, starvation or drowning. This flood was preceded by a prolonged drought in China during the 1928- 1930 period.
A new World Bank study by scholars has this summary of the hysterical, Lord Stern AGW climate-impact "research":
Working with a smaller group of nations through informal arrangements such as the Major Economies Forum to undertake appropriate steps that are cost-effective, verifiable, and effectual.
Don't skip this one. Update - by pure coincidence, a few hours after posting this link, Drudge features this development . Which I believe, answers some of the questions posed by commentors.
U.S. says Chinese businesses and banks are bypassing U.N. sanctions against Iran:
John Fund lists several cases of significant voter fraud in the US, and wonders where the outrage of Democrats went;
The GOP presidential field would also do well to remember energy boom times and the role one played in the rebound from Carters first term, then to consider the changes needed to roar out of this second Carter term the same way. The United States possesses the worlds largest combined oil, coal and gas resources; therefore, our energy woes stem not from any shortage of raw materials but merely from restrictive policy.
Michael Barone on the changing demographic of urban America;
Atmospheric physicist and Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at MIT, Richard Lindzen, posted an article in the fall 2013 issue of the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons characterizing global warming as an alarmist religion. Furthermore, he accuses alarmist orthodoxy of adjusting both data and theory to accommodate politically-correct positions that are costly to society.
That will only "destroy the markets and together with them the chances for economic growth and prosperity in both developed and developing countries," he said.
Closer to the present, some researchers believe that the 1980s were the hottest decade in 100 years and that some years in the 1990s may have been hotter still. However, the trend in surface temperature is one or two tenths of a degree occurring over a decade or two. Such a change is well within the range of the climate's natural variations whose mechanisms are not all understood. It is safe to conclude "the natural variability of climate adds confusion to the effort to diagnose human-induced climate change. Apparent long-term trends can be artificially amplified or damped by the contaminating effects of undiagnosed natural variations."12
Ad Hominem, My Sweet , a mini-play in one act.
When populism exploded again with the 2008 financial collapse and TARP bailout, the next generation of Republican leaders led by Eric Cantor, Kevin McCarthy, and Paul Ryan, the self-named Young Guns took the Gingrich playbook and ran with it, exploiting and fueling populist anger at the political establishment and the new black president to take back power.
But most of what Pershing and Holdren say is spin. Both EPA's Power Plan and theprerequisite regulation imposing carbon dioxide emission standards on new coal power plants have immense legal flaws. If courts overturn those rules, Obama's emission-reduction "commitment" would ring hollow regardless of which party wins the White House. Moreover, if elected, Trump could submit the Paris Treaty to the Senate for ratification, where the treaty would almost certainly die for want of the requisite backing of "two thirds of the Senators present."