Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
We have on occasion, criticised our fellow sceptics. Our arguments are that environmentalism isnt a new form of Left-wing ideology, and that the climate debate wont be settled by science, because environmentalism is a political phenomenon. Were not particularly interested in challenging sceptics arguments, because they dont have any influence over the political agenda. Climate scepticism is inconsequential in this respect. Environmentalism, on the other hand, is deeply political. It asks for the reorganisation of the world. We also argue that dividing the debate into sceptics/deniers and scientists is really very unhelpful, and it lumps people together who really dont share much. Would you really lump Franny Armstrong, or, for that matter, the likes of George Monbiot, in with respected climate scientists, for instance?
Russias chief climate negotiator said the country will never sign up to extend the Kyoto Protocol for a second implementation period, casting further doubt on chances of a deal at the international climate conference in South Africa at the end of this month. We will never sign Kyoto 2 because it would not cover every country, Oleg Shamanov, director of international cooperation on the environment at the Foreign Ministry, said late last week. Roland Oliphant, The Moscow Times, 13 November 2011
Obama and Feinstein aredeterminedto deny Americans their God given right to defend themselves from tyranny.
Doiron was quite harsh on the logic used by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and on the NCA. In essence, the IPCC states that the cause of recent warming must be CO2, because its unvalidated computer models cannot account for the observed warming unless it assumes strong amplifying anthropogenic warming feedback relations in the models. Doiron bluntly states this is not proof in the school of hard knocks.
"Renewable energy" is a sexy term used to drive public policies and spending.
(p9) Projected changes in climate extremes under different emissions scenarios generally do not strongly diverge in the coming two to three decades , but these signals are relatively small compared to natural climate variability over this time frame . Even the sign of projected changes in some climate extremes over this time frame
An aerospace company proposed to speed up its manufacturing process for parts and subassemblies by using a new adhesive that would dry or cure faster. The company says the project would have reduced VOC emissions and overall energy consumption. However, by improving efficiency, the project would have increased utilization of other production equipment at the plant, potentially triggering NSR. The company declined to make the change.
Indeed, the authors of this paper find that " CF is a primary modulator of warming (or cooling) in the atmosphere" and that the net effect of more clouds produces a net negative-feedback cooling effect.
Whatever the weather is, they will rationalize it as being caused by global warming. The incredibly low (non-existent) standards of climate science make this possible.
To look at the charts as they are today, click the links. The rest of this posting will be my evaluation of those charts as they stand today. They will change over time, so if this posting is read some weeks or months in the future, this analysis will not match the charts.
Bob Carter is a geologist, David Evans a mathematician and computer modeller, Stewart Franks a hydrologist and engineer, and Bill Kininmonth a meterologist and former Director of the National Climate Centre.
It's a record that would seems to largely prevent any simple conclusions from being drawn that is, rising temperatures with few drought years, followed by falling temperatures and increasing drought frequency, followed by temperatures rising back to the original levels with increased drought frequency, followed by a leveling off of drought occurrence despite higher temperatures.
At this time there was also no relation between the cooling period and the sharply increased levels of CO2 in the atmosphere that were measured by chemical methods. In their reporting the IPCC have adopted the data published in G. Callendar's 1958 paper On the Amount of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere (Figure 9).
Plus, Oh, Nebraska. So what exactly was different about what Rod Blagojevich did?
So they have taken two, count them, two records and averaged them!
The bulk of the Cisneros article relies on computergenerated climate and economic predictions. A good scare story might benefit insurers by justifying higher insurance premiums. However, the track-record for long term climate change computer modeling is a failure.
When you divide the NODC OHC data (0-700m) into logical subsets, David, its very easy to illustrate the natural causes for the warming of ocean heat content. Are you aware that without the natural warming associated with the 1973-76 and 1995/96 La Nina events, tropical Pacific OHC cools, David?:
California officials issue a West Nile virus public health alert.
Governancean honest and effective government that preserves order and encourages productive citizenship
In his recent post, Global Warming Hanger-On Says Ends Justify The Means , Briggs noted that, A progressive is an academic who looks upon a fallen world and would fix it by Theory, by preaching that the ends justify the means (emphasis in the original). How true.
The Presidential Inaugural Committee is effectively an extension of Obama's campaign. It is not funded by taxpayers but by contributions, and it pays for aspects of the inaugural weekend not covered by the government. For instance, Obama's PIC will pay for official inaugural balls but not for the swearing-in at the Capitol. After the inauguration, the PIC can use leftover funds however it pleases.
Now consider the results of a paper published just a few weeks ago in Science magazine by Susan Solomon and colleagues. They report that variations in the water vapor content in the lower stratosphere (apparently largely unrelated to GHG changes) have a large influence on the rate of global temperature change for periods of a decade or more. In fact, since 1980 (the start of the data analyzed), an overall increase in stratospheric water vapor content as been responsible for perhaps 15% of the overall temperature increase.
Global warming took a vacation last year and there was more than a foot of snow on the ground. As we motored up the highway the thermometer registered a balmy 35 degrees, but the radio said a cold front was moving in. Our final destination was an open log shelter a mile up the mountain.
It's tempting to step back from the fight and take a victory lap or two. After all, we are on the brink of repealing expensive alternative energy mandates and subsidies, bringing school choice to every family in America, and finally empowering patients to find and use the medical care services they feel are best for them.
None of the early life-history stages we studied were consistently affected by reduced pH. Our results suggest that there will be no direct ecological effects of ocean acidification on the early life-history stages of reef corals, at least in the near future.
20 year trends are dubious, but we don??t have enough data for certainty on seriously long frames that we need to avoid confounding things with the decadal cycles. Sea levels around Australia appear to be rising at about 2mm a year, and that??s nothing like the 12 mm required to get a 1 m or more rise by 2100. There is no acceleration. Things are not getting worse.
The public does not seem to be buying it either.For the last several years Gallup has asked folks to rank the urgency of about 16 public issues. Climate change almost always comes out at the bottom for both Republicans and Democrats, educated and uneducated. Considerably higher in the urgency ranking comes The Availability and Affordability of Energy.
When we have removed our cattle, sheep and goats, when water buy-back has diverted our irrigation water to Environmental Flows, and Australia is covered by regrowth brigalow, carbon credit forests, ethanol crop farms, protected remnant vegetation, Wilderness No-Go areas, National Parks, aboriginal reserves, World Heritage Areas, marine parks and Wild Rivers Reserves, I have just one question: What are we going to eat?
This is not the first time Russian scientists predict cooling ahead. In 2006 Chabibullo Abdussamatow of the Pulkovo Observatory and a member of the Russian Academy of Sciences said global warming had already reached its peak and that reduced solar activity would start the Earth on a cooling phase. According to Ria Novosti here :
JC comments : With substantial efforts in the U.S. to move away from coal, this article reminds of the global energy dynamics and economics that are in play. I checked the spot price of carbon on the EU TS, and it is about 5 Euros. The political feasibility of a global carbon market with a carbon price of 40 Euros per ton is probably zero.
According to SmartGridToday, the TVA is planning a $400 million smart meter pilot program, including $200 million of Obama stimulus money, that would allow the TVA to turn off appliances when people are away from their homes and businesses.
This is, unfortunately, not a news article with a scientific basis. Dr. Staudt presents no evidence that this flood event is due to warmer air and an increase in atmospheric water vapor.
The great lesson of modern public choice theory is that democratic political institutions cannot resist the pressures of faction on their own. In some cases, there are no judicial remedies for those abuses, but in these critical cases, the simple shift from measuring inputs to taxing outputs can avoid these losses: the billions in wasted expenditures over 45 years; lost energy efficiency; and higher pollution-related deaths and ailments. It is this reform, not divesture of fossil fuels, that the environmental activists should promote.
> >> >As for the second Phase 1 activity, then this falls well
The model-data comparison for the tropical Pacific (24S-24N, 120E-80W) is shown in Figure 20. The surface of the tropical Pacific shows very little warming in 33 years. According to the models, if manmade greenhouse gases were responsible for the warming of the surface of the global oceans, the tropical Pacific should have warmed at a rate of 0.18 deg C/decade, but the tropical Pacific has warmed very little.
In the second scenario, "Technology triumphs," all the wishes of environmentalists for state intervention and alternative technologies come to pass. State governments set "rigorous" efficiency standards for appliances, enact caps on CO2 emissions from power plants, and introduce more renewable portfolio standards. They also subsidize fuel cell research and effectively raise federal fuel economy standards by requiring new cars, minivans, and light trucks to reduce emissions of CO2 per mile traveled. These actions, combined with breakthroughs in solar photovoltaic manufacturing and a shift in consumer preference from "sprawling" to compact residential development, slow the growth of vehicle miles traveled, expand markets for hybrid cars, accelerate power sector fuel switching from coal to natural gas, and lay the building blocks of a hydrogen economy. Nevertheless, US carbon emissions rise 15 percent by 2035, 35 percent above the Kyoto target.
Finally, the degree of CO 2 -induced growth stimulation at which the aerial fertilization effect of atmospheric CO 2 enrichment eventually stabilizes is often significantly larger than the 12% value suggested by Bloom et al . for a doubling of the air's CO 2 content. In the still-ongoing long-term sour orange tree study of Idso and Kimball (2001) , for example, a smaller 75% increase in the air's CO 2 content has ultimately led to a stabilized CO 2 -induced growth enhancement of fully 80% (down from a peak value in excess of 200% experienced at the 2.5-year point of the study), which has been maintained for the past five years.
Thirty-five kilometers per day wouldn't be that hard for OK athletes. But these people may be exhausted, mostly due to their terrible planning. I wish them good luck - but not necessarily miraculously great luck! ;-)
Meanwhile, politically-connected corporations would make a bundle, since the "bill would give away some 85 percent of the permits" to emit carbon dioxide to favored "businesses instead of selling them at auction."
?Mounting evidence begins to start to make you wonder whether there is some fundamental problem between climate models and reality.?
"In the end, the exploitation of anti-government sentiment by Republican leaders, and the active efforts on their part to make all government look corrupt and illegitimate, reached its logical conclusion."
There is a methodology to reduce the amount of biofuels that is mandated in the U.S, Page said.
Our next paper will do a direct apples-to-apples comparison between the satellite-based feedbacks and the IPCC model-diagnosed feedbacks from year-to-year climate variability. Preliminary indications are that the satellite results are outside the envelope of all the IPCC models.
Noted physicist Freeman Dyson has ruffled feathers in recent years by coming out as a skeptic about catastrophic climate change. Given his reputation, even the NYT magazine had to give him a reasonable hearing on his views.
The basic physics tells us that greenhouse gases have some warming effect. How material, how lasting, how much offset or accentuated by natural influences is unknown at this stage of scientific understanding the temperature record certainly suggests no immediate cause for alarm.
When all is said and done, they report that their results "show no significant trend in potential intensity from 1980 to 1995 and no consistent trend from 1975 to 1995." What is more, they report that between 1975 and 1980, "while SSTs rose, PI decreased, illustrating the hazards of predicting changes in hurricane intensity from projected SST changes alone."
Fermented whales tail doesnt taste the same when the ice cellars flood.
Both would leave the country poorer , he said. Rather, the debate should focus on the prospects for adapting to the negative impacts of climate change should they arise .
A SoCal woman says the energy efficient window installed in a neighbors condominium is melting the plastic components on cars parked in her carport
The third claim is both the most valid and the most specious: Climate-related efforts to shutter coal power plants have the side effect of reducing actual pollutants that affect health.
There is a lot of work to do. But after all, the Senate has a full three and a half weeks before Christmas to do it.
Clearly, most proponents of man-made global warming theory are very sincere, often well-informed, people. Here, honest debate based upon facts and logic should be openly welcomed, and nothing in the foregoing should be interpreted to suggest otherwise. Some, holding strong viewpoints on both sides of the issues, may be inclined to challenge base motives and affiliations of those who disagree, and responsibility for full disclosure of any serious conflicts of interest should be expected. In this regard, being part of any science community that depends on funding from biased sponsors (including government agencies and industries), doesn't make those individuals or their work corrupt. The vast majority of all science professionals are in that situation.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 3 Early Evolution Comparison with 1982/83 & 1997/98 El Nio Events
One thing I think stmmer well with what HVS says is the conversation between the skeptical climate Professor John Christy and climate professor Kerry Emanuel belongs head from climate science. John Christy hr to group climate skeptic climate scientists who have suffered from pure personal attacks from the groups that I guess Hans von Storch mean by benmningen alarm lard (other renowned names in this vulnerable group of climate scientists is like Richard Lindzen and Roy Spencer). These alarms lard mean that one should not discuss with SUCH s called frnekare but Kerry Emanuel has therefore been not bothered about this and he made himself even besvret the bitterness John Christy on its universities in Alabama for conversation's sake:
12. More recently, in response to the data showing no warming for the last 10 years, I have seen new claims that global land temperatures are now deemed irrelevant. The newly discovered measure of importance is the rise in ocean temperature, since it is now claimed that this is by far the largest planetary heat sink. If that claim is true, it makes all the previous data claiming to show strong global warming over the period 1975 to 1998 also irrelevant. To suggest that from 1975 to 1998, the energy went into warming the land and air and then abruptly in 1998 it stopped doing that and the heat instead went into heating the oceans is, to me, completely absurd. Nature simply does not work that way. It is like claiming you put the kettle on, for the first minute the energy goes into heating the water and then abruptly it stops heating the water and starts heating the room instead.
As for the supposedly "extreme" weather year of 2012, things were also not as they appeared. Strong tornadoes have been on the decline in the U.S. since the 1950s, and climatologist Roy Spencer pointed out that since there was warming during this time "Obviously, the conclusion should be that warming causes fewer strong tornadoes, not more (Or, maybe a lack of tornadoes causes global warming!)."
An email sent to environmentalists Sunday evening, obtained by The Hill, tallies numerous instances of Obama talking about climate change on the stump.
insurgents from significant swaths of the country. To keep the operation from
China has no alternative to coal, with its domestic gas output limited and liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports more costly than coal. William Durbin
Inhomogeneity between sample populations are a very serious problem in Briffas RCS methodology. B13 asserts that need to test subpopulations for homogeneity, but are completely and irredeemably at sea in actually carrying out statistical tests for homogeneity procedures on which many statistical specialists could have assisted.
Dimas, from the Greek conservative party New Democracy, is believed to be less personally committed to environmentalism than Wallstrom. Recent months had seen Wallstrom argue publicly with Energy Commissioner Loyola de Palacio of Spain over the economic effects of the Kyoto Protocol.
???We, the undersigned, having assessed the relevant scientific evidence, do not find convincing support for the hypothesis that human emissions of carbon dioxide are causing, or will in the foreseeable future cause, dangerous global warming.??
Yet amidst the hardship and suffering something extraordinary happened. As the waters rose up, so did the people.
Mr Blair secured the job thanks to his ?influence? and high level international contacts, whom he will be expected to lean on to open doors.
Accurate spin axes and solar system dynamics: Climatic variations for the Earth and Mars
Big thanks to Steve and Anthony and many others. My contribution would never have happened without your work (whether or not you agree with the views stated).
I appreciate all that you do in bringing sound science to the discussion of global warmingand indeed for courageously making it a discussion where it was once a monologue. Were making a difference.
The authors write that "information on the timing and magnitude of floods is required in many practical applications of water resources engineering," since such data are used "for estimating design flood values required in engineering design, in operational hydropower forecasting for optimal reservoir management, in floodplain management and water infrastructure operation," while adding that "change in the timing and magnitude of hydrologic extremes may be one of the most significant consequences of climate change." What was done
ABSTRACT: Predicting how the strength and character of the El Nio/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) will change as the climate warms is crucial for a number of societal impacts, yet there are fundamental limitations to our understanding of ENSO dynamics . The major obstacles are related to sampling length, physical adjustments to climate changes, errors in model physics and uncertainties in forcing projections . This dissertation uses these issues to assess what we currently can and cannot say about future ENSO variability.
The Koutsoyiannis studies showed that predictions didnt just fail on the continental scale, they failed on the regional and local scale as well, and they were talking about 30 years, not 60.
This is not science. It is political science, rooted in an ideological loathing of fossil fuels, economic growth and humanity itself.
Flood in Vietnam, 1971. Heavy rains caused severe flooding in North Vietnam, killing 100,000.
The study found significant variation between decades in both the raw and adjusted data, with the years between 1908 -1934, 1977 1988 and 1998 2013 featuring a relatively high numbers of reported floods.
Judge Brown chiefly addresses the ?interpretative shortcomings? of the Mass. v. EPA Supreme Court decision, which authorized the EPA to regulate GHGs via the Clean Air Act (CAA). Kavanaugh directs his fire at the opinion, shared by the EPA and the five-judge majority, that the CAA?s Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) preconstruction permitting program applies to GHGs, and at the agency?s attempt to ?tailor? away the consequent ?absurd results? by rewriting the statute.
Subsequent to my original September 27, 2009 post, I never employed or even illustrated Scenario A in any presentation or blog article, other than an incidental use in a May 15, 2012 pos t where I ironically observed that a Yamal chronology incorporating fresh data from Hantemirov was remarkably similar to Scenario B. My position on Espers Polar Urals version has been similar: that the inconsistency between proxies need to be reconciled before either can be relied upon, a position that I expressed in my submission to Muir Russell as follows:
Decrease the federal estate. The federal estate is massive, consisting of some 635 million acres. The effective footprint is even larger because limitations on federal lands often affect the use of adjacent state and private lands because government agencies lock up lands through informal designations and study areas. Regulatory pushes threaten to put almost all of the United States under some form of federal jurisdiction. Federal ownership and federal regulation of public lands restrict economic activity and in many instances have created environmental problems due to mismanaged lands and lack of a proper incentive structure to maintain the properties.
Sorry, but Keystone is not a silver bullet for our sluggish economy. It should be supported, yes, because its benefits at least in its revised configuration appear to outweigh its possible costs. But a few thousand construction jobs, as desirable as they might be, do not a recovery make.
1) How much CO2 has been needlessly emitted from this fire, in the name of decarbonisation?
The most deadly risk from pesticides is that Indian farmers will use them to commit suicide when they can't pay their debts. Such suicides account for almost all of the 100,000 "pesticide deaths" per year. Accidental ingestion is the other factor.
Who Turned on the Heat? is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Nio and La Nia events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 31 years. Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well. The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data and ocean heat content data that are available to the public via the internet. It presents how the data accounts for its warmingand there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases. None at all.