Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
At the U.N. climate conference in Lima, Peru, in December, attendees were told that their countries should cut carbon emissions to avoid future damage from storms like typhoon Hagupit, which hit the Philippines during the conference, killing at least 21 people and forcing more than a million into shelters. Yet the trend for landfalling typhoons around the Philippines has actually declined since 1950, according to a study published in 2012 by the American Meteorological Societys Journal of Climate. Again, were told that things are worse than ever, but the facts dont support this.
Southern and Eastern U.S. - Get ready for the icebox
Comparing the southern California drought record against the global temperature record reveals the following:
But for the gusher of new oil and the resulting drop in gasoline prices brought about by the fracking revolution, the political cost of stopping Keystone would have been prohibitive. And while environmentalists are loath to admit it, by unlocking a vast supply of natural gas from shale deposits, fracking is also playing a key role in helping reduce carbon dioxide emissions.
If the ABC (and the report) were not desperate to paint an awful picture of a wasteland ravaged by man-made climate change (which they most certainly are), you could alternatively say that over 90% of the catchment areas were in either moderate or good condition . Well done.
The key constitutional point, though, is this: We could end up with a regulatory regime more onerous and intrusive than any climatebill Congress has rejected or declined to adopt, yet without the peoples elected representatives ever casting a vote.
The danger, says Hughes, is that without the right expertise, climate proxies can be mixed and matched to produce inaccurate pictures of the past. "You have to compare like with like and you have to be able to calibrate the data," said Hughes. By calibrate, Hughes means tying tree rings or other climate proxies to real meteorological data, such as thermometer and rainfall records. This requires that the natural archive a scientist is using overlaps a period of time when thermometers and rainfall gauges were in use somewhere nearby a tall order in many parts of the world.
8. For example, the original draft of the 2001 IPCC "Summary for Policy Makers" read as follows: "From the body of evidence since IPCC (1996), we conclude that there has been a discernible human influence on global climate. Studies are beginning to separate the contributions to observed climate change attributable to individual external influences, both anthropogenic and natural. This work suggests that anthropogenic greenhouse gases are a substantial contributor to the observed warming, especially over the past 30 years. However, the accuracy of these estimates continues to be limited by uncertainties in estimates of internal variability, natural and anthropogenic forcing, and the climate response to external forcing." This wording was changed to: "In the light of new evidence and taking into account the remaining uncertainties, most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations."
FALSE ALARM: Why Almost Everything Weve Been Told About Global Warming is Misleading, Exaggerated, or Plain Wrong How the Hadley Centre spins the data on non-warming The Hadley Centres spin effort isnt exaggerating the data (far from it), nor is it plain wrong the true figures are on the site. But t he Centre is doing everything it can to mislead the public in hopes that the planet will start warming again before the peasants figure out that, maybe, the consensus climate science prophets are, in fact, plain wrong.
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Ironically, these are the very people that Obama and EPA claim to care about the most. As African-American author and news analyst Deneen Borelli observes, President Obama "is rewarding his overwhelming support by black voters with an energy policy that will significantly reduce their disposable income." Indeed, she says, climate change is "the green movement's new Jim Crow law."
I was rewatching Earth: Climate Wars the other day, and laughed at the section on the credibility of climate models, which essentially argued that because Hansen got the global response to Pinatubo correct we should believe what climate models tell us about the climate at the end of the next century. Of course, we'd shout it to the roottops if Hansen's model had got it wrong, but I think some recognition is due of what a small hurdle this was.
With a changing of the guard in Washington, the question might be: Who's qualified to speak about the future of the Republican Partyand not too shy to do so before too long in Iowa or New Hampshire?
Ackermann summarizes by writing we do not need a paternalistic, dictatorial state that decides everything for us, thus destroying the individual. Instead, she writes,we need a state that promotes allindividuals, their independence, and thus their pride and self responsibility. Only a society that can produce such individuals can expect to see prosperity, justice and equality. The Green Movement will deliver none of that.
Axel Morner concludes that Australian government claims of a 1 meter sea level rise by 2100 are greatly exaggerated, finding instead that sea levels are rising around Australia and globally at a rate of only 1.5 mm/year. This would imply a sea level change of only 0.13 meters or 5 inches by 2100. Dr. Morner also finds no evidence of any acceleration in sea level rise around Australia or globally.
Professor Phil Jones is a leading climate scientist and co-director of the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Angliain Cromwell country. Jones is part of a climate scientist cabal, not too distant in puritanical fervor from Cromwell's New Model Army. This cabal ignores all counter evidence and regularly pronounces with the certainty that only faith can give that human emissions are affecting the planet.
A review article of solar effects upon climate was published in Nature Climate Change today and finds considerable uncertainlyin estimates of solar forcing of climate based upon the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI). The article also suggests that TSI may not be the best indicator of solar variability because solar UV has been found to vary much more than previously thought. Solar UV is the most energetic portion of the solar spectrum and causes the most significant heating of the oceans. The IPCC and climate models look only at TSI, without consideration of the significant variations in solar UV, and therefore likely underestimate the influence of the Sun upon climate change.
As Joanne Nova begin of the skype highlighting end of the skype highlighting observes:
In years to come people will look back and marvel at how primitive our models were...
National sovereignty meaning the refusal of major powers like India, China and the United States to go along with sweeping global agendas was specifically indicted for the failure of the much ballyhooed Copenhagen summit on climate change. "National sovereignty remains supreme," as one position paper noted.
As you can see, the sea level rise rate widely varied during the 20th century. It reached about 4 mm/yeararound 1911, and again in the 1930s, 1950s and around 1980.It was much lower in the 1920s, 1940s, 1960s and mid-1980s.
H0409 6.1 H0452 6.0 H0537 5.8 L0014 0.7 L0111 0.8 L0221 1.0 L0344 1.0
Obama: "After years of talking about it, we are finally poised to control our own energy future. "We produce more oil at home than we have in 15 years":
"Still in London until the end of the week. The papers here have been chock full of NHS horror stories and health care cautionary tales as the British health care system marks its 63rd birthday."
Or should we declare that the one and only acceptable solution is drastic worldwide emissions reductions starting now?
This is a reflection of the fact that the global warming establishment is biased toward high climate sensitivity. It is a specific example of the tendency of natural scientists to view nature as fragile, full of tipping points and hobgoblins.
Laboratory experiments find that more marine creatures thrive than suffer when carbon dioxide lowers the pH level to 7.8. This is because the carbon dioxide dissolves mainly as bicarbonate, which many calcifiers use as raw material for carbonate.
I am returning the war decorations because I am deeply ashamed of having served a criminal organization which the NATO led by the U.S. is, and to its malformed interests across the world.
It could cost them votes in South Australia. So industry and community leaders leave it well alone.
??? The GRACE gravitational-anomaly satellites are able to measure ocean mass, from which sea-level change can be directly calculated. The GRACE data show that sea level fell slightly from 2002-2007.
<4141> Minns/Tyndall Centre:
This approach raises some fundamental questions about the role of non-specialists in critiquing science. Scientists would like to believe that their disagreements can be settled by evidence alone. However, the reality is that science possesses an underlying grammar which includes the rigorous use of opposing evidence, critical thinking, mathematics, logic, and internal consistency. Most of these elements are shared by other fields, including and especially- the legal profession.
Whether by land or by sea, according to these results, all will need to be on the fly.
Models might get it right in some places, but Australia is one of the hardest:
The MSM do not consider the coming of the new ice age to be news, says Argiris. In the Netherlands we were not informed about the spring snow storms in the USA, but every little heat wave that happens gets a lot of attention because it proves the earth is warming (while it is actually cooling).
But scientists pick at things, so I will tell him why Le Chatalier?s principle, which he raises there, doesn?t justify the notion of global temperaturenice try Garth. I might even mutter something skeptical about his comments on steady states. He will expect this from me, because he lives by the scientist?s code. I would love to discuss these with you too, but the great climate change fervor was never really about actual science, was it?
In his inline comment , Osborn conceded that this was a reasonable point, but objected that I had raised this example of potential cherrypicking to a panel whose terms of reference including the examination of potential cherrypicking and which had requested submissions. (Not that the Muir Russell panel adequately investigated the matter, but thats another story.)
The second article of interest is by a pair of scientists with the School of Earth Sciences at Australias University of Melbourne. Davis and Walsh dare to title the piece Southeast Australian thunderstorms: Are they increasing in frequency? The pair collected thunderstorm data for stations in southeastern Australia, and indeed, they conclude that There has been a significant increase in the number of thunderdays from 1941-2004 which must come as terrific news to the global warming crowd. However, the authors note but much of this increase may have been a result of changes in observing practices in the mid 1950s.
Now that the Spanish government has dramatically curtailed these subsidies, even retrospectively, more than 50,000 solar entrepreneurs face financial disaster and bankruptcy.
So-called climate skeptics, practicing proper science by disproving the hypothesis that human CO2 is causing global warming, achieved a great deal. This, despite harassment by formal science agencies, like the Royal Society, and deliberate neglect by the mainstream media. It combined with an active and deliberate Public Relations campaign, designed to mislead and confuse. Most people and politicians understand little of what is going on so the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) strategy of using created science for a political agenda moves ahead.
Workers compensation insurance covers the cost of medical care and rehabilitation for workers injured on the job. It also compensates them for lost wages and provides death benefits for their dependents if they are killed in work-related accidents, including terrorist attacks.
That is an unwarranted claim that originally appeared in The Guardian in 2007 and was attributed to the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Program ( AMAP ), AMAP itself has distanced itself from that very same claim, for example writing in its 2009 SOAER report that
Pajamas Media: The VAT Man Cometh: It Will Happen. How Bad Is It?
Historical temperature charts. Other climate history postings. Modern temperature charts. List of peer-reviewed study postings.
As a general rule, a 300 ppm increase in CO2 improves the productivity of herbaceous plants by 30-50% and of woody plants by 50-80%. Many plants respond even better. For example, lentils, peas and other legumes grown with 700 ppm carbon dioxide improved their total biomass by 91%, their edible parts yield by 150 % and their fodder yield by 67%, compared to similar crops grown at 370 ppm carbon dioxide, Indian researchers found.
The warming we have seen in the late-20th century is not unprecedented, says reader Steve Foster. There was another peak temperature between 950-1050 AD. However, many people still believe there are not CYCLES.
The real mystery, though, is how they arrive at the 1934 number. There are State Climatological Reports available from then, but no direct comparison can be made with current ones because there were less stations then and they were allocated to only three divisions instead of six. Also the majority of stations reporting in 1934 no longer report now. (For interest, the State temperature given at the time for July 1934 was 78.8F, i.e. 0.2F higher than now shown).
The analysis in this Backgrounder uses the Heritage Energy Model (HEM), a derivative of the National Energy Model System 2015 Full Release (NEMS). NEMS is used by the EIA in the Department of Energy as well as by various nongovernmental organizations for a variety of purposes, including forecasting the effects of energy policy changes on a plethora of leading economic indicators. The methodologies, assumptions, conclusions, and opinions in this Backgrounder are entirely the work of statisticians and economists in the Center for Data Analysis (CDA) at The Heritage Foundation, and have not been endorsed by, and do not necessarily reflect the views of, the developers of NEMS.
What other reasonable conclusion is possible?Building the1,700-mile, shovel-readyproject would create thousands of construction jobs, stimulate tens of billions of dollars in business spending, and generate billions of dollars in tax revenues. Once operational, the pipeline would enhance U.S. energy security, displacingoil imported from unsavory regimes withup to830,000 barrels a day of tar sands oil from friendly, stable, environmentally fastidious, democratic Canada. Canada already ships us more oil than all Persian Gulf states combined , andKeystonewould significantly expand our self -reliance on North American energy.
Before we spend anything on mitigating a problem based on models, we need to know what empirical evidence supports the assumptions in the models. (Make no mistake, while CO2 causes warming it is the models that predict how much warming). I??ve been asking for since Jan 2010 and no one can name that mystery paper with strong observations. We need to understand how accurate those predictions are. It is only then that we can figure out which are the most important environmental concerns. As it happens the models are doing a really poor job of prediction (see also here ).
The unrelenting war on carbon fuels has far greater risks, with some zealots advocating Zero Emissions, while also, incredibly, opposing nuclear and hydro-power. They would take us all back to the BC Era (before coal).Already urban environmentalists are polluting city air by burning wood (biomass) and briquetted paper in stoves and home heaters; and trying to prevent millions in Asia and Africa from getting cheap clean electricity.
In a inlgg in February ((.lnk), I wrote that the AR 5 s IPCC has switched to the TCR as the main mttet p klimatknslighet. The BDA parameters have different frtjnster and svrigheter, I do not tnker treat now. Betrffande the BDA, sr the cynical rule of thumb that AGW-anhngare arguing for higher values as and critics fr lower.
- The proposed climate amendment would effectively overturn S. Res. 98, the Byrd-Hagel resolution, by endorsing the Kyoto vision of an impending climate apocalypse, advocating Kyoto-style policies, and urging the United States to rejoin the Kyoto negotiations.
anyway which I copied onto private storage after the completion of the IPCC
But the near-surface air temperature is +15 degrees C, and this is different from the global average temperature of -180C. Well, this isnt a big deal. The real global average temperature is measured from outer space, and so it includes all of the atmosphere above 1.5 meters altitude , which the near-surface air temperature thermometers never measure. All of the air above the 1.5 meter measuring stations has temperature which steadily decreases to about -70 degrees C at an altitude of 15 km (which is ten-thousand times higher than 1.5 meters!). Above this altitude hardly any molecules are left and non-ideal gas and plasma effects cause the temperature to increase again, but because the gas is so rarefied it contains a negligible amount of heat.
"San Francisco's big push for low-flow toilets has turned into a multimillion-dollar plumbing stink."
At the same time, other vehicle emissions may increase as a result of greater renewable fuel use. Nationwide, EPA estimates an increase in total emissions of volatile organic compounds and nitrogen oxides (VOC + NOx) between 41,000 and 83,000 tons . . . . Areas that experience a substantial increase in ethanol may see an increase in VOC emissions between 4 and 5 percent and an increase in NOx emissions between 6 and 7 percent from gasoline powered vehicles and equipment.
It is not possible to take an average of this flux for the simple reason that it is constantly on the move. So the atmosphere is warming and cooling and shifting incessantly by contact with the earth. The gases of the atmosphere do not warm the Earth the Earth and Oceans warm and or cool the atmosphere.
An investigation by Dr Benny Peiser, director, Global Warming Policy Foundation, has revealed that only 13 of the 1,117, or a mere 1 per cent of the scientific papers crosschecked by him, explicitly endorse the consensus as defined by the IPCC. Thus the very basis of the claim of consensus on global warming is false. And so deeply entrenched is the global warming lobby, the prestigious journal Science did not publish a letter that Dr Peiser wrote pointing out the lack of consensus.
Insurance Companies Blame Floods on Global Warming
This approach has a very fundamental drawback the reliability of historical data relating to length and width. In Elsners provisional work , he seems to have used 1985 as his start point, but his paper now uses 1994 instead. Elsner told to me in May that the data had problems before the mid 1990s , a fact which is confirmed in his paper.
At a time when painful public expenditure cuts are unavoidable, it makes no sense whatever to increase the scale of the cuts required in the public services by committing to spending, wholly unnecessarily and to no practical purpose, increasing sums on non-carbon energy subsidies.
Which States Lose From the Changes to the EPAs Clean Power Plan?
Less than two months into his presidency, Obama announced that he would reverse the Bush policies by allowing research on cell lines created after the Bush ban. The president instructed the director of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) to develop guidelines for the support and conduct of responsible, scientifically worthy human stem cell research.
As for the declaration that we are experiencing the ???hottest?? year ??? this is a purely political statement. Lawrimore knows that these statistics are merely tenths of a degree or less. (See: MIT??s Richard Lindzen: ???For small changes in climate associated with tenths of a degree, there is no need for any external cause?? )
"As a meteorologist and climate change (what happened to global warming?) investigator, I constantly hear the charge that we who do not kneel at the altar of Al Gore are simply hired hacks for ?Big Oil.? We are clueless stooges who will say anything for money. This old and tired argument is used over and over again by people who don?t do any research to back up that claim, they simply ?know it?s true? because they read it in the New York Times or Newsweek or saw it on some television program. I wonder how many of those making this charge drive a car, use plastics, fly on planes or use virtually any product that we in our hydrocarbon based society enjoy? I?d bet all of them.
the panic-evoking extinction-predicting paradigms of the past are rapidly giving way to the realization they bear little resemblance to reality. Earths plant and animal species are not slip-sliding away even slowly into the netherworld of extinction that is preached from the pulpit of climate alarmism as being caused by CO2-induced global warming.
According to EPA, "Our reforms will remove the obstacles to environmentally beneficial projects, clarify NSR requirements, encourage emissions reductions, promote pollution prevention, provide incentives for energy efficient improvements, and help assure worker and plant safety. Overall, our reforms will clarify and simplify the program so that industry will be able to make improvements to their plants that will result in greater environmental protection."39
According to the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species there has been a 70 percent decline in the global population of female Leatherbacks in one generation.
This effect can be seen in "desired fertility" statistics, a measure of the number of children people say is ideal. Among non-religious Americans, 21 percent say three or more children make the ideal family size. Among weekly churchgoers, 41 percent do. Last concludes, "Religion helps marriage and marriage helps fertilitythe end result being that religiosity winds up being an even better predictor of fertility than either education or income." Fertility rates prove Last's point. Observant Protestants and Catholics have a TFR of 2.25 compared to secular Americans' 1.66. The highest fertility rate in the U.S. is in Mormon Utah, at 2.60.
High on the list of government agencies that engage in this is the Environmental Protection Agency, but others include Transportation, Agriculture, and Defense, along with the Fish & Wildlife Service, and the Army Corps of Engineers. One recent victory touted by Friends of the Earth is an EPA air pollution regulation is one that affects ships navigating along the coasts of the United States and Canada, out to 200 nautical miles, to ?significantly reduce their emissions.?
Second, the vertical structure of the atmosphere was relatively stable (little mixing), with a stable layer (in this case one with temperature staying the same with height) from from roughly 925 hPa (about 2500 ft) to 850 hPa (around 5000 ft). Below is a vertical sounding at Quillayute on the Washington coast, provide temperature (right line) and dew point (left line) with height. The stable layer would act as a cap to keep pollutants in.
16. Sen. Gaylord Nelson wrote in Look that, "Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct."