Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Canadian enviro groups snub good-news climate study
The impact of this slight emissions difference on the resulting future global temperature savings is not manifest until the third digit past the decimal point?in other words, thousandths of degrees C. Climatologically, in other words, the bills are identical.
A Frozen Britain Turns The Heat Up On The Met Office
Thus, if the 'simple basic physics' of radiative forcing from CO2 are correct, this forcing is overwhelmed by net-negative feedbacks, contraryto the net positive feedback predictions of climate models . Alternatively, the radiative forcing from CO2 may be greatly exaggerated. Either way, observations show that the net effect of increased CO2 levels is about 8 times less than predicted by the 'simple basic physics' of the anthropogenic global warming theory.
Fred L. Smith, Jr., Competitive Enterprise Institute
In 2002, Esper et al. published in Science magazine a temperature record for the Northern Hemisphere over the past 1000 years that looked quite unlike the hockey stick. Both the Medieval Climate Optimum and the Little Ice Age were evident. In the March 23 edition of Eos, Esper and other colleagues examine why this should be so. According to the Greening Earth Society, Esper "basically eliminates all the possibilities except the technique used to process tree-ring data sets the primary information relied on to construct early portions of the temperature reconstructions.
Since the mid-1980s, what I saw were articles like the one Anthony posted from 1986 were becoming more common. What I observed as professional reporter was that the ozone-layer press releases from NOAA and NCAR and other climate centers were beginning to use the same talking points in their different releases to news desks. Sometimes, these went out on the wire which were then placed into newspapers across the country without the resources to assign reporters to cover the climate.
Because of the fact that "the relative stimulation of total plant biomass in response to elevated CO 2 levels was higher in salt-stressed plants than in non-stressed ones," Perez-Lopez et al . state that "barley plants subjected to elevated CO 2 levels will likely overcome mild saline conditions." And with the need to produce approximately twice the amount of food that is produced now to adequately feed the projected human population of the planet by mid-century (Running, 2012), we are going to need all the help we can get; and the boost in barley productivity (as well as that of many other crop plants) provided by mankind's CO 2 enrichment of the atmosphere will be crucial if we are to be successful in this endeavor.
What can we conclude from all this? Obviously the models do not even come close to properly reproducing the reconstructed temperatures of the past. This brings us to a fork in the road, with each path leading to a completely different destination: 1) geologists would likely trust their temperatures and have doubts concerning the reliability of the climate model. Or 2) mathematicians and physicists think the reconstructions are wrong and their models correct. The latter is the view that the Lohmann troop is initially leaning to. We have to point out that Gerrit Lohmann studied mathematics and physics, and is not a geo-scientist. Lohmann et al prefer to conjure thoughts on whether the dynamics between ocean conditions and the organisms could have falsified the temperature reconstructions, and so they conclude:
Use less technology (cars, intensive agriculture).
Dr Akasofu, experienced analyst with the International Arctic Research Center, points out that the temperature have been rising steadily at a trend rate of 0.5C per century since the end of the little ice age in the 1700s (when the Thames River would freeze over every winter; it last froze over in 1804). On top of the trend are oscillations that last about thirty years in each direction:
Clouds around the world may be falling in response to rising global temperatures and having a cooling effect on global warming, according to analysis of satellite data by Auckland University scientists.
According to Ed Miliband, (former Minister for Energy and Climate Change), who announced this "Feed-in Tariff' (FIT) system last week, anyone fitting a typical 2.5kW solar panel system to their existing home should earn 900 in the first year, plus a 140-a-year saving on their bills.
Expedite the sunsetting of targeted tax credits for all energy sources and technologies. Special tax treatment serves the same purpose as a subsidy that favors one industry. Congress should not create any new tax credits for energy production, energy infrastructure, transportation production and consumption, or energy-efficiency initiatives. Congress should expedite the sunsetting of existing tax credits and reduce taxes by the amount of revenue generated by eliminating the tax credits.
The talk included a lot of classic material about QCD, the spectrum of hadrons, pictures of jets from the LEP, pictures of workers from the LHC - our civilization's answer to the age of pyramids (which is moreover driven by curiosity instead of autocratic rule and vanity), bubbling animations involving the averave topological density "Tr (F/\F)" as a function of space and time computed from lattice QCD, and justifications of the statement that 95% of the observed mass is due to QCD effects. We have also heard various jokes - for example, Frank Wilczek mentioned that the eye was only designed to see distances much longer than 1 fermi. Later he corrected himself that he should have said that the eye had evolved rather than having been designed. ;-)
In order to reach unanimous consent to bring last year's bill to the floor for a vote, the Republican leadership also promised Senators Joe Lieberman (D.-Conn.) and John McCain (R.-Az.) to allow an up-or-down vote on their legislation to regulate greenhouse gas emissions. Reports suggest that Lieberman and McCain intend to offer only the first phase of S. 139 in order to make the costs seem lower. The vote may occur as early as the week of September 15.
agreeing to write a research paper about the SLAPP phenomenon (strategic lawsuits against public participation)
Uh? You mean, not only has the new IPCC report found less warming, but it finds less warming since pre-industrial times (ie around 1800) to 2100 than the last report said would happen from 1990 to 2100.
A few weeks ago, I wrote that opposition to the Keystone was never about the Ogallala Aquifer. Polluting the water was a simply aconvenienttalking point that might play better with the American public than the true goal, which is to shut down the development of new sources of North American oil. I got a lot of comments and email that I was making this up, but in fact its pretty clear that opposition to the pipeline pre-datedknowledgeeven of its route. Here is a environmental group's presentation from 2008 which advocates opposition to all pipelines (without any reference to their routes) out of the Canadian tar sands as a strategy to halt their development.
I had hoped, not very confidently, that the various Climategate inquiries would be severe. This would have been a first step towards restoring confidence in the scientific consensus. But no, the reports make things worse. At best they are mealy-mouthed apologies; at worst they are patently incompetent and even wilfully wrong. The climate-science establishment, of which these inquiries have chosen to make themselves a part, seems entirely incapable of understanding, let alone repairing, the harm it has done to its own cause.
The problems of assessing the costs and benefits of action under these circumstances are sometimes referred to as deep uncertainty whereby scientists do not know or cannot agree on key scientific models and the value of alternative outcomes. Analysts rely upon historical weather and climate data and climate models, but climate models cannot provide the equivalent of historical data for future projections. A major challenge is that future GHG emissions will be tied to demographic and socio-economic patterns that will vary across the planet and across time in complex ways.
Visit Heartland's #OurAmerica page to find other memes to share and
Antarctic sea ice coverage at an all-time record high
Jay Lehr, Ph.D. (jlehr@heartland.org) is science director for The Heartland Institute.
Arctic sea ice extent is at a 10 year high, and very close to the 1981-2010 average.
The "Definitions" section of the Clean Air Act says:
First, California's mild climate aids dramatically in reducing consumption for heating and cooling of homes and businesses.
People's Climate March Wants to Change the System, Not the Weather
Obama Officials Spin Paris Treaty as Done Deal
The scores are estimated from strongly autocorrelated (trended) time series in the instrumental period, along with a special partitioning into calibration and validation samples. This setting is characterized by a rather limited number of degrees of freedom. It is easy to see that calibrating a model in one end of a trended series and validating it in the other yields fairly high RE values, no matter how well other variability (such as annual) is reproduced...
Meanwhile, a group of Democratic lawmakers late Friday urged colleagues in both the House and Senate to support the inclusion of a one-year extension of the stimulus deadline in any tax-package agreement that makes it through this lame-duck session. Still, it was uncertain whether the extension for renewable energy project cash grants would make it into any final bill.
With unemployment at its highest levels in more than 25 years, the Obama Administration is trying to show that it is focused on jobs. Last week's White House "Jobs Summit" brought together business, labor, academic and environmental leaders to talk about how the government can foster job creation. Unfortunately, the summit agenda repeated much of the same nonsense we've been seeing from the Administration for the last year.
5. Republic of Congo - Agreement for Cooperation in the Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment (GLOBE) Program
Based on radiocarbon ages of marine shells and reworked terrestrial organic material incorporated into historical moraines, environmental conditions registered in lacustrine sediments, and submerged coastal features, it has been suggested that the Greenland Ice Sheet receded tens of kilometers within its present day margins during the early and mid Holocene (e.g., Kelly, 1980 and references therein). This ice sheet recession was likely a response to the warmer temperatures of the Holocene Thermal Maximum (9-5 ka) (e.g., Kaufman et al., 2004), which is registered by Greenland ice cores as ~2.5C warmer than at present (Dahl-Jensen et al., 1998).
Is Australian ideas television actually a form of forced trolling? Damon Young .... airstrip melting away. Australias $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting away.
The results of the analysis, summarized in Table VII-37, demonstrate that relative to the reference case, by 2100 global mean temperature is estimated to be reduced by 0.0026 to 0.0065 C, and sea-level rise is projected to be reduced by approximately 0.023 to 0.057 cm.
Some scientists predict that the Sun is heading for a long slump in solar activity known as a Grand Solar Minimum. If this happens, it is possible that Britain could return to conditions similar to those 350 years ago when sunspots vanished during the Little Ice Age, when ice fairs were often held on the frozen Thames in London. ???Paul Simons, The Times, 10 October 2011
In the Yaris test, the institute said the mini car sustained damage to the door and front passenger area. The driver dummy showed signs of head injuries, a deep gash on the right knee and extensive forces to the neck and right leg.
Koutsoyiannis, D., Efstratiadis, A., Mamassis, N. & Christofides, A. (2008) On the credibility of climate predictions. Hydrol. Sci. J. 53(4), 671684. changes
The Clinton White House will brook no dissent in its efforts to get the Kyoto climate treaty ratified. Just ask Frederick Seitz.
FURTHER READING: Zycher also writes "The Climate Change Climate Keeps Changing, but the Carbon Tax Is Eternal," "The Unbearable Lightness of the Climate Change Industrial Complex," and "The "Science' of Global Warming." Michael M. Rosen reveals "Greens' Irrational Fear Flies Again." Steven F. Hayward investigates ""Environmental Justice,' EPA Style."
Arctic cold blast, freezing rain/snow expected for New Years Day
Newsbusters discuss comments by former Newsweek editor Howard Fineman who says that the climate skeptics must be religious, so the climate wars represent a conflict between the "nice atheist alarmists" and "evil religious skeptics".
Some research has shown that the effects of changes in the climate may be weak or even non-existent. This makes it easy to conclude that climate change will ultimately have less impact than previous warnings have predicted. But it could also be explained as direct and indirect effects cancelling each other out, as scientists from the University of Gothenburg, Sweden, show in a paper recently published in PNAS , the esteemed US scientific journal.
Effects of Elevated Atmospheric CO2 on Soil Microbial Organisms
Let us ed from a case where the atmosphere contains 1 unit concentration of carbon dioxide, which in str jmvikt with ythavet, and in turn, the deep sea, both of which contains 10 units. We assume also that ythavet and deep sea ri jmvikt.
Next, the increase in globally-averaged temperature for 2012 of about1 o F is quite small by comparison with the mid-20th century baseline. I was an official weather observer early in my atmospheric-science career (starting more than 35 years ago). I know from personal experience that temperature measurements, which were typically made once per hour, were made by "eyeball averages" based onthe meniscus levelin the thermometer. So, in practice, measurements were made within about + or -0.5 o F accuracy. Notably, a1 o F increase is small indeed, taking measurement limitations into account.
Figure 21: Comparison of temperature with human emissions of carbon dioxide. Human emissions were negligible before 1850, so how could they have caused the global warming from 1700 to 1850? Source: Temperature as per Figure 17, emissions see text. ...
Synopsis: It was significantly warmer in the past without human CO2 emissions. Source here . "The IPCC claims to find evidence in temperature records that the warming of the twentieth century was unprecedented and more rapid than during any previous period in the past 1,300 years...temperature record shows temperatures around the world were warmer during the Medieval Warm Period of approximately 1,000 years ago than they are today, and have averaged 2-3F warmer than todays temperatures over the past 10,000 years.
During his 2013 inaugural address, President Obama told Americans that the United States "will respond to the threat of climate change" and will take the lead for other countries to follow suit. Even assuming the accuracy of climate change models, unilateral action by the U.S. is a costly symbolic gesture that would do nothing to successfully resolve climate challenges. However, there are sufficient questions about the underlying climate change assumptions, evidence and predictions to justify caution before implementing a policy response.
Cells c and d present some interesting information about many of the models. The model mean for the outgoing shortwave radiation (Cell c) increases during the hindcast, which indicates, from 1861 to the turn of the century, clouds and volcanic aerosols allowed less sunlight to pass through the TOA to the Earths surface. And, even though modeled surface temperatures warmed from 1861 to 2000, outgoing longwave radiation decreased (Cell d). However, also based on the model means, the trends of both metrics reverse during the 21 st Century. That is, during the 21 st Century, outgoing longwave radiation increases as global surfaces warm. And some of that warming is caused by an assumed future increase in sunlight reaching the Earths surface. (That is, if less sunlight is being reflected to space as the future progresses, and if there is no assumed increase in the amount of sunlight reaching the top of the atmosphere, then the sunlight reaching the Earths surface is increasing.)
The 1989 fall of the Berlin Wall was widely remembered this past November, the 20th anniversary of one of the most momentous events in the history of human liberation. But as this year draws to a close, bear in mind that 2009 is the 20th anniversary of something even grander in the saga of Communism's collapse: the culmination of a remarkable series of Soviet Bloc revolutions, all unexpected, all surprisingly peaceful, and all amazingly swift. A popular joke at the time summed up the length of those revolutions this way: Poland10 years; Hungary10 months; East Germany10 weeks; Czechoslovakia10 days; Romania10 hours.
Many Jacksonians, for example, are not evangelicals and not even Christian at all. While some are strongly anti-abortion, others believe that individual freedom makes abortion nobody's business but their own. Some stand strongly behind the drug war; many indulge in recreational drugs and some Jacksonians grow or manufacture them, much like the moonshiners who have been evading "revenuers" since the Washington administration.
Fear of a serious factual discussion: Climate alarmists pressure BBC to censorship of the public climate debate
The science is in that we are experiencing climate change and we need to act to deal with it, Dr Emerson told The Australian.
Green hypocrisy: Fighting climate change by slaughtering eagles, financed by taxpayers
Sen. Kennedy, in an admirable statesman-like gesture, has underscored why that trend ought to be reversedand why his plan, to allow appointments only until an expedited election can occur, with the appointees declaring themselves non-candidates for the election should be universally applied. The way Massachusetts made its law, and the consequences of it, are cringe-worthy. Now, thanks to Kennedy, Massachusetts can be a model for the rest of the states.
Our lives have become safer, so we invent imaginary fears to replace those that we have conquered. How scary is that?
1. An international team of 33 researchers found that, with warming, when species were rare in a local area, they had a higher survival rate than when they were common, resulting in enrichment for rare species and increasing diversity with age and size class in these complex ecosystems.
The fact that natural gas is only given cursory mention, rather than being an integral part of Obama's National Climate Action Plan, exposes his true motiveswhich, I believe, are not really about carbon emission reductions, but rather furthering America's declining international status. Why else would he emphasize what has proven to not to work and eschew what we know to be effective?
Arctic ice melt has dropped to almost zero. Comparing current ice vs. mid-September 2012, there is more than 100% more ice than at last years minimum. A rapid freeze between now and mid-September could make this number much larger.
"Jennifer Haberkorn reports that President Obama's move to allow states flexibility in spending health care funds is the "most significant change" since the law was enacted, and a potential gesture toward critics."
There is no question that this is nuclear energy's worst moment. Will we have the maturity to learn from this catastrophe and move forward, as we did after Apollo 1 and the two space shuttle disasters and the early failures of commercial jet aircraft design like the British Comet of the 1950s? Over the last decade opinion polls have shown steadily rising public support for nuclear power in the United States following two decades of strong public opposition. The aftermath of the Japanese nuclear crisis will reveal how robust this shift is.
FURTHER READING: Hemphill also writes "Just How Dangerous Is Talking and Driving?" Claude Barfield discusses "The First Carbon Trade War?" Kenneth P. Green contributes "Not Free to Choose: The Reality behind Clean Energy Standards" and "Voters Beware Carbon Tax Seductions." Representative Fred Upton authors "Rethinking America's Energy Policy." Jonah Goldberg describes "Cooling on Global Warming."
This is amazing, because the IPCC was completely unaware of this phenomenon in 1990. Apparently the world was heating out of control and the climate was collapsing since the middle of the 19th century, but the IPCC completely missed it. They thought that the world warmed much faster coming out the LIA. How could the worlds top climate scientists have been so ignorant?
Feb 12 Update - Less an error than an agenda. The inside story on what happened doesn't look good on Walter Pincus, or the Post.
Computerized Medicine: Fantasy vs the Real World
In Figure 4, the situation is the same as the other regions: flat from 1900 to 1930, a sudden warming to the warmest year, 1934, cooling until 1980, warming to 2000, then cooling in the last decade.
Coral reefs suffer mass mortality because of coral bleaching, disease, and tropical storms, but we know much more about when, where, and how rapidly these ecosystems have collapsed than we do about their recovery. Gilmour et al. (p. 69 ; see the Perspective by Polidoro and Carpenter ) studied a highly isolated coral reef before and after a climate-induced mass mortality event that killed 70 to 90% of the reef corals. The initial recovery of coral cover involved growth and survival of remnant colonies, which was followed by increases in larval recruitment. Thus, in the absence of chronic disturbance, even isolated reefs can recover from catastrophic disturbance.
Our proposed national energy slogan is All of the Sensible (in contrast to the absurd All of the Above). Once legislators have grasped that concept, the foolishness of the leveling the playing field idea also becomes apparent. (Should the 18-wheeler trucks and golf cart playing field be leveled?) Additionally we should be using the term unreliables when speaking of renewables. Please pass these on.
Ross Gelbspan, in a particularly egregious, almost giddy piece in the Boston Globe that was reprinted in the International Herald Tribune, wrote that the hurricane was "nicknamed Katrina by the National Weather Service, its real name was global warming." He also finds global warming responsible for droughts in the Midwest, strong winds in Scandinavia and heavy rain in Dubai. The reason for all this devastation, of course, is that the Bush Administration is controlled by coal and oil interests.
The first graph below (click to enlarge) shows the 30 tree-ring time series with the best correlations to the instrumental temperature record. Each of these correlations has been matchedwith the correlationto the CO2 level. The first thing to jump out is that for 23 out of 30 cases, the CO2 correlation is better than the temperature correlation!
This graph demonstrates whats really happened in the past 2,000 years:
Esperance News, sport and weather | The Esperance Express
I have a feeling that he did. I just noticed this visitor noted by my FEEDJIT gadget on the bottom of this page:
From a 1973 short story by Harold Brodkey, describing the blond-haired beauty who has captured the narrator's heart. Does any other single sentence in the English language so succinctly describe the triumph of romantic love over the ideological demand of subservience to the State?
As I started by saying. Sea ice is expected to decline because global temperatures were reported to be higher. However, it appears I was wrong. Because now sea ice is back to normal whilst global temperatures are being reported as high.
Walter Duranty: The NY Times reporter who won a Pulitzer Prize for lying about the outcome of Stalin's 5-year plans.
The blaze could take another two days to put out, South Yorkshire Fire and Rescue Service said.
Here is the title page and abstract of the draft journal article. It is part of
From September 2001 to November 2014, the warming trend on the mean of the 5 global-temperature datasets is nil. No warming for 13 years 3 months.