Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Figure 3. HadCRUT4 GLB (black) versus CMIP5 ensemble average (red). Note the lengthy hiatus from the 1940s to 1980. Also note the divergence between models and observations in the 21st century.
The atmospheric humidity levels that NOAA researchers publish continue to trend lower than climate model predictions - however, the mythical runaway global warming that catastrophic global warming (CAGW) alarmists promulgate requires atmospheric humidity to increase
The United Mine Workers of America is encouraging its members to speak out against the Obama administration?s proposed regulations on carbon-dioxide emissions from coal-fired power plants.
Meanwhile, population growth is already solving itself, and much more rapidly than the UN admits. The Deutsch Bank says human numbers will stabilize and start shrinking in the near futurepeaking at 8.7 billion about 2055, and falling to 8 billion by 2100. By contrast, the UN recently raised its projected population growth; it now expects 10.9 billion people in 2100, 2.9 billion more than the Deutsch Bank. The difference between the two estimates equals the planet's whole population as recently as 1959!
NASA states that significant heating does not occur in the Atlantic Ocean, or for that matter in any other ocean. This is extremely telling because global man-made atmospheric warming occurswell globally. So all of this supposedly hidden warmed atmospheric energy has to be somehow captured, concentrated, and then transported to one specific location in the mid-range depths of the western Pacific. Note that the Atlantic Ocean does not show significant trends at any depth, with warming temperatures in one place counter-balanced by cooling in others.
San Francisco mayor vetoes happy meal ban:
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Why is this significant? Well, because its a reclaimed open-pit coal mine. I was impressed.
In my last post I wrote about natural, non-scientific indicators for winter forecasting, which are often more accurate than models. The Telegraph piece is just another one to add to that list. So far I havent seen many signs that the coming winter will be warm, except that is for the worn out warnings propagated by the warmists and their goofymodels.
So far, so good, but as we know that temperature of the earth can and does vary independently of CO2 concentrations, how do you know that the rise was due to CO2 alone? And if it wasnt, then in fact you may have overshot or undershot by more than the 0.5 degrees. If you overshot, your modelling was completely unsuccessful, and if you undershot, then things are a lot worse than you thought.
Sunday was a beautiful day in Washington. The temperature hit the high 60s and I wore shorts. I dreamed it was spring.
Additionally, despite the claim that "the report is about measurement rather than policies," it gives the impression that some of the authors want to use the data to change our behavior. It says at one point: "some members of the Commission believe that the crisis provides heightened urgency to these reforms." It then suggests governments should provide "alternative valuations when market prices for assets are not available or are subject to bubbles and bursts." But as with the environmental guesstimates, the worry is how governments will value these assets and when they will say a bubble is over. Even worse, such speculation might not be based on current valuations alone. According to the report, "It is no longer a question of measuring the present, but of predicting the future."
Ls press release from Freningen Swedish Landscape Protection
"Biofuels such as biodiesel from soy beans can create up to four times more climate-warming emissions than standard diesel or petrol, according to an EU document released under freedom of information laws...Chief among those fears is that biofuel production soaks up grain from global commodity markets, forcing up food prices and encouraging farmers to clear tropical forests in the quest for new land...Burning forests releases vast quantities of carbon dioxide and often cancels out many of the climate benefits sought from biofuels...Biodiesel from North American soybeans has an indirect carbon footprint of 339.9 kilograms of CO2 per gigajoule -- four times higher than standard diesel ..."
With the case law on GHG regulation hopelessly botched by the Supreme Court, only Congress can rein in the EPA and only if there is a change of management in the White House and the Senate in November.
Many of the frightening scenarios about global warming come from large computer calculations, general circulation models, that try to mimic the behavior of the earths climate as more CO2 is added to the atmosphere. It is true that climate models use increasingly capable and increasingly expensive computers. But their predictions have not been very good. For example, none of them predicted the lack of warming that we have experienced during the past ten years. All the models assume the water feedback is positive, while satellite observations suggest that the feedback is zero or negative.
The Obama Administration still hasn't gotten the message voters sent Washington on November 2.
11c. The state of theoretical understanding of climate change phenomena
Since his inauguration in January, Obama has been on the road for nearly a week every month. Domestic policy advisers, pointing to the president's daunting domestic agendastimulating the economy, sorting out banks and auto companies, enacting climate change legislation, remaking the U. S. health-care sector, and tackling immigration reformcomplain that Obama's foreign travel makes him unavailable for lobbying Congress and the American public, as only he can do.
Second, many proponents of U.S. GHG controls have proposed to allow the U.S. government to clap trade sanctions on countries that fail to cap their GHG discharges. ACESA also follows this strategy, albeit somewhat hesitantly. There are better grounds for the bill's hesitancy than there are for believing that trade sanctions will change Chinese and Indian policy.
Also note, we previously calculated the adiabatic lapse rate and temperature distribution in a theoretical Earth atmosphere of 100% Nitrogen, a non-greenhouse gas, and found the adiabatic lapse rate and troposphere temperature distribution almost the same as our Earth, surface temperature warmer on the theoretical 100% Nitrogen atmosphere Earth, thus proving greenhouse gases act as cooling agents rather than warming.
Given Mr Watts had the article ready for submission for peer-review, why didnt he just get on, and get it published?
Growth skepticism presents a flawed but powerful assault on prosperity. It is enormously influential across the developed world, including among America's political leaders. It must be examined and understood if it is to be effectively challengedespecially as we are threatened with a new age of austerity.
This is what the UN's 2030 Agenda is all about. It lays out goals and targets on agriculture, natural resources, the climate, eradication of poverty, etc., urging that all these issues be dealt with in a "sustainable" fashion. Yet nowhere in the document is the term sustainable ever defined; just as we are never told in what way the climate is changing, much less presented with evidence showing why it is changing. Instead, we are urged to take "action," the sooner the better.
Seven percent (7%) attribute global warming to some other reason, and nine percent (9%) are unsure in a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.
Moreover, high expectations about the rate of future innovation should imply smaller GHG cutbacks in the program's early years. The more one believes that innovation will lower future control costsand without dramatically lower costs the bill's 2050 target is wholly fancifulthe larger the share of the total GHG cutbacks that should be deferred until the program's later years. In short, ACESA misses a chance to lessen total abatement costs by spreading them through time in a smarter way. Two prominent economists have recently made the broad point that should be heeded in this regard, " the climate change problem is a marathon, not a sprint, and there is little environmental justification for heroic efforts to meet a short-term target. Such heroic efforts might not only waste resources, they risk souring our appetite to confront the more serious long-term problem."
Repeating a familiar administration talking point, Pershing stated that the 195 governments that negotiated the Paris treaty believe climate change is a "big problem," so "no matter who is president, it's going to be part of what they have to deal with."
It should be paid for by those who want it, not by captive taxpayers or electricity consumers.
Forecasters keep eye on looming "Solar Max':
Alexis de Tocqueville InstitutionAmericans for Tax ReformAmerican Policy CenterAssociation of Concerned TaxpayersCenter for Security PolicyCitizens for a Sound EconomyCommittee for a Constructive TomorrowCompetitive Enterprise InstituteConsumer AlertDefenders of Property RightsFrontiers of FreedomGeorge C. Marshall InstituteHeartland InstituteIndependent InstituteNational Center for Policy AnalysisNational Center for Public Policy ResearchPacific Research InstituteSeniors Coalition60 PlusSmall Business Survival CommitteeThe Advancement of Sound Science CoalitionThe Heritage Foundation
The University of Colorado Sea Level Research Group is coming to their rescue. The NASA-funded group claims glacial melt is removing weight that had been pressing down on land masses, which in turn is causing land mass to rise. This welcome news mitigates sea-level rise from melting glacial ice and shows another of the Earth?s remarkable self-adjusting processes.
The first two months of 2000 were virtually free of significant snowfall in much of lowland Britain, and December brought only moderate snowfall in the South-east. It is the continuation of a trend that has been increasingly visible in the past 15 years: in the south of England, for instance, from 1970 to 1995 snow and sleet fell for an average of 3.7 days, while from 1988 to 1995 the average was 0.7 days. London's last substantial snowfall was in February 1991.
At the time, environmentalists supported ethanol, because they labored under the mistaken notion that it is a "green fuel," which results in fewer greenhouse gas emissions thought to cause climate change.
A paper published to day in Quaternary Science Reviews finds another non-hockey-stick from a tree-ring temperature reconstruction over the past 6,100 years in North Siberia. The authors find, " The recent warming is not unprecedented in the Siberian north. Similar climatic conditions to the present warming were recorded by about ." The data shows the t ree ring index of relative temperature was ~1.0 at the end of the record in 2008, and warmer in the 1950's, warmer throughout most of the Medieval Warming Period 917- 1150 A.D. , and warmer during the Climatic Optimum Period 41113806 B.C. .
This year has been the quietest Atlantic hurricane season for decades. No Category 3 or stronger storm has made landfall in the US since Katrina in 2005 the longest hurricane 'drought' on record.
As for recent deforestation, there are currently three main factors: "(1) agricultural and livestock expansion (human population growth leads to expanded needs for crop and grazing lands); (2) increased demand for commercial forest products (national economic development and international trade stimulate mainly timber harvesting); and (3) increased demand for noncommercial forest products (fuel wood, fodder, and others). (de Miranda, pp. 156-157)
A short piece entitled "Frigid Southern Hemisphere Winter: A Preview Of A Cold Winter Coming In The Northern Hemisphere?" is here . (It looks like the winter in question is June through August, 2007). An excerpt: Santiago, Chilean capital, had its coldest winter since the Little Ice Age. The last time it was so cold there was in 1885 (see Padahuel plot from NASA GISS). ... By the way, much of Australia, too had a cold winter, with a record cold June.
4. Nuclear energy must be part of the long term response. It is a clean energy source, has the capacity to provide base load power as an alternative to fossil fuel, and modern nuclear power stations have a sophisticated level of safety.
This means fossil fuel use and atmospheric carbon dioxide levels will continue to climb and U.S., EU, Canadian, and Australian sacrifices will have no effect on stabilizing atmospheric CO2 levels, much less controlling Earth's ever-changing climate or weather, again assuming CO2 does determine climate.
others a more modest operation targeted against terrorist forces. The military
The House-Senate conference committee on the energy bill is scheduled to start taking up the big issues this week, and Chairman Billy Tauzin (R-La.) has said that he plans to finish negotiations on the compromise bill September 27.
# coef logLik cil95 ciu95 cil90 ciu90 ci95
History confirms adaptation to cold is a bigger challenge and that is where the temperatures are heading. Global temperature and sunspot activity are related through variations in cosmic radiation reaching the earth and changing cloud cover. More sunspots relate to warmer temperatures and fewer to colder. Currently sunspot numbers are the lowest since a previous cold spell associated with the Dalton Minimum between 1790 and 1830. There was an even lower number of sunspots during the Maunder Minimum between 1645 and 1710 coincident with an even colder spell, known as the Little Ice Age. Some, including me, think that such a low cycle is increasingly more likely.
Bloomberg reports that the reason for the August 3 drop75.70% from its high on September 3, 2014, is that the "company's plan to shore up capital failed to reassure investors that it can stop burning cash." Reuters adds: "(S)ome analysts are concerned the company is over committing to cash-intensive projects in countries like Brazil and Mexico rather than focusing on cutting debt."
In concluding their report, Uthicke et al . write that they found support for the likelihood that "increased land runoff since the start of land clearing and agriculture in the catchment of the Whitsunday Region of the GBR has left a signature in the foraminiferal assemblages of inner and intermediate areas of the study area," when previously the assemblages of these areas had been "persistent for at least several thousand years." In addition, and based on the fact that "no changes were observed on outer reefs located away from land runoff," they propose that "changes observed on inner and intermediate reefs were mainly driven by enhanced agricultural runoff after European settlement." And topping off everything else, they affirm that "the hypothesis that global forcing, such as sea temperature increase or ocean acidification, altered the foraminiferal community found little support." In fact, it found none.
As a result, storms like Sandy or the Long Island Express send monstrous volumes of water up ever more confined corridors. With nowhere else to go, the surges rise higher, travel faster and pack more power. It's elementary physics which governors, mayors, planners and developers ignore at their peril.
"For over a decade, the FDA has treated the Internet as just another form of print advertising. Internet ads have had to comply with rules that simply don't make sense in the Internet Age, where the amount of text available in a banner ad or sponsored link is strictly limited, but the required information can be "one click' away on the landing page to which those ads direct the user."
The SPPI takes a different approach to this issue, looking at The Positive Externalities of CO2. Excerpt:
Since temperatures have not been rising for over a decade, projections of increasing temperatures from increasing carbon dioxide (CO2) are not valid. There is no logical reason to accept assertions that projections from models that failed to predict the pause or plateau in temperatures are capable of projecting future temperatures.
You and I are one of those tens of millions. So the immediate question: With this newfound power, how long before it mutates beyond original scope, and websites that are critical of the government begin to be shut down, or simply IP throttled out of meaningful existence?
Irrespective of whatever mechanisms may have been involved in eliciting the responses observed, Bunce logically concludes that "the parallel responses of translocation and nitrate reduction for both the temperature and CO 2 treatments make it unlikely that the response of respiration to one variable was an artifact while the response to the other was real." Hence, there is every reason to believe that the typically observed decreases in dark respiration experienced by plants exposed to elevated levels of atmospheric CO 2 are indeed real and not the result of defects of the measurement system. This being the case, it can be appreciated that plant growth is not only enhanced by CO 2 -induced increases in photosynthesis during the light period of the day, they are also enhanced by CO 2 -induced decreases in respiration during the dark period. Reference
Perhaps the good Doc thinks I need to take his matlab class ;)
/s/ Richard McFarland JSC, Mgr. Motion Simulators, 28 years
As the CO 2 content of the air continues to rise, winter wheat seed production will likely increase without exhibiting any changes in seed viability. And if air temperatures also rise, seed viability may actually increase .
(Siddons, Hertzberg and Schhreuder, "A Greenhouse Effect on the Moon?")
Prof. Tom V. Segalstad is Head of the Geological Museum within the Natural History Museum of the University of Oslo (Norway) and a Scientific Advisor to CFACT Europe. He was an official Expert Reviewer to the IPCC Third Assessment.
The plants will do fine. After all, they will enjoy the extra CO2 (plant food) and the daily effluence of bilge (fertilizer) from scaremonger AGW propagandists.
It began, The Heartland Institute, a conservative group funded by Exxon Mobil and Charles Koch Whoa! Mr. Chairman, we rise to question why the Center for American Progress would engage in an outright lie? Answer: Thats what progressives do because they are immune to the truth.
Unlike Copenhagen, which was deluged with Presidents, Prime Ministers, and high-level Cabinet officials, heads of state and top officials mostly stayed away from Cancun. UN bigwigs even downplayed the significance of the talks, dampening hopes of any major deal being reached. In comparison to the 2009 confab, where more than 5,000 journalists instantly reported every little detail to the world as it happened, large swaths of the world press basically ignored, or even ridiculed, the Cancun conference. The UNFCCC did not even fill the smaller quota of 2,000 slots it had allotted for the world press corps at COP16.
Is the Kyoto Protocol, the global warming treaty negotiated in December 1997, any closer to being ratified by the world's industrial nations today than it was a year ago? Not really, despite a fortnight of diplomatic palaver at the recent UN climate conference in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Still, reports of the treaty's demise are exaggerated. Kyoto foes have yet to define and occupy the moral high ground.
By Tom Stacy and George Taylor, Institute for Energy Research, June, 2015
If the government charged a fee for each emission of carbon, that fee would be built into the prices of products and lifestyles. When making everyday decisions, people would naturally look at the prices they face and, in effect, take into account the global impact of their choices. In economics jargon, a price on carbon would induce people to "internalize the externality." the new revenue to reduce personal and corporate income tax rates.
"This is the latest example of EPA politics running roughshod over the scientific evidence," concluded Georgia.
Heavy snow fell with high intensity in the region of Korcs, the thickness of which has reached 10 cm (4 inches), while Dardh reaches 20 cm (8 inches).
The coupled ocean-atmosphere processes of El Nio and La Nia, the largest contributors to natural variations in global temperature and precipitation on annual, multiyear, and decadal timescales. (Recall that the 1997/98 El Nio was determined to be the cause of extreme weather around the globe. For years we heard that every weather event was caused by El Nio or La Nina. Not long thereafter that shifted to greenhouse gasessolely for political reasons.)
Global warming theory posits that greenhouse gases emissions and temperature are closely linked. When one increases, says this theory, so will the other. But that isnt how the real world has behaved.
Then there is the law of conservation of energy, which means that we can change the form of energy, but not destroy it. So one is left to wonder if theyve properly modeled the change from kinetic energy (heat) to potential energy (altitude) and the heat flows into evaporation and condensation. Perhaps we can give the climate modelers a practical demonstration
The conference opened with a speech by German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who called for ratification of the Kyoto Protocol by 2002. He told the delegates that the industrialized nations must set an example for developing countries. Michael Zammit Cutajar, executive secretary of the convention, applauded Schroeder's speech and that the proposal is "an encouraging goal" (Greenwire, October 26, 1999).
The errors in the record exceed by a wide margin the purported rise in temperature of 0.7 C (about 1.2 F) during the twentieth century. Consequently, this record should not be cited as evidence of any trend in temperature that may have occurred across the U.S. during the past century. Since the U.S. record is thought to be the best in the world, it follows that the global database is likely similarly compromised and unreliable.
Larry, only time will tell. The Court's grant of "certiorari" to reassess the lower court's ruling could simply mean that some of the Justices want to end litigation attempting to roll back or limit the regulatory consequences of the Supreme Court's earlier finding in Massachusetts v. EPA that the agency could determine that CO2 was a pollutant subject to regulation under the Clean Air Act. Accordingly, the EPA then claimed regulatory authority premised upon claimed climate impacts asserted in its Endangerment Rule.
Your host Richard Morrison sits down this week with special guest co-hosts Michelle Minton and William Yeatman for LibertyWeek 37 (regular co-host Cord Blomquist is on the road). We start off with a profile of visionary physicist and global warming skeptic Freeman Dyson, then spend some time WILBing around to improve our productivity at the office, and move on to sixteen full ounces of barkeeper honesty. Finally we take a look at the Chicago factor in Olympic News.
The panel is to release a report on Friday in Paris forecasting global temperatures rising by 2 to 4.5 Celsius (3.6 to 8.1 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels by 2100, with a "best estimate" of a 3C (5.4 F) rise.
Now let's compare these 2 numbers for the period 1955-2010:
?So if the Obama administration and all these environmentalists really care about the environment and want a cleaner planet,? she said, ?and if they really believe emissions and exhausts from our factories are what?s causing global warming?why would they encourage even one of our oil or mining companies to move overseas??
Beneficiaries of Obama's policies bankroll inauguration
In the last decade, the Arctic ice and snow cap has expanded 12 per cent, and for the first time in this century. ships making for Iceland ports have been impeded by drifting ice.