Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The fact of the matter is that the climate of the western United States features periods of very droughty conditions. Figure 3 shows the complete 108-year history of the PDSI for the Southwest. The current conditions were rivaled in the mid-1950s and exceeded in the first several years of the 20th century (and in case any of the editorial staff of the Times are readingglobal temperatures were quite cooler then than they are now!).
I, and a number of other scientists, believe that nature has a thermostatic control mechanism that pushes back against a warming influence, such as the relatively weak warming from more atmospheric carbon dioxide. (The direct warming effect of more CO 2 would amount to little more than 1 deg. F by late in this century, and is generally not the subject of debate.)
The Grantham Research Institute is chaired by Sir Nicholas Stern, author of the infamous Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change which demanded an "urgent global response" to climate change. The called-for response includes a ramped up "emissions trading" of greenhouse gases.
All estimates (OHC and TOA) show that over the past decade the energy imbalance ranges between about 0.5 and 1 Wm -2 .
???However, in Palau wherever the water is most acidic, we see the opposite. There??s a coral community that is more diverse, hosts more species and has greater coral cover than in the non-acidic sites.
Scenes of disaster are not unusual in Bangladesh. About 6,000 square kilometers of the massive GangesBrahmaputra delta, the largest delta in the world, lies less than two metres above sea level. On average, 6,000 people in Bangladesh die each year in storms and floods. In April 1991, a single cyclone, the worst in recent decades, wiped out well over 100,000 lives in the delta and left millions of people homeless.
WHY ARE THE DIFFERENCES IN THE TRENDS OF OUTGOING LONGWAVE AND SHORTWAVE RADIATION SO LARGE?
And part of that debate, I believe, requires calling attention to Exxon-Mobil's funding of a pseudoscientific community whose purpose is to prevent us from tackling global climate change.
Fortunately the antidote for this stink is straightforward: think with your own head. What was in the research paper that made the savages so upset? Check the research, but leave the scientists themselves alone!
Sure enough, the Climategate emailers, who effectively but invisibly control the UN's climate panel to a dangerous extent, pretended that Professor Reiter's nomination papers had not been received. He then threw all his toys out of the stroller, produced the recorded-delivery slips, and made it plain that he would name the four defalcating bureaucrats to whom his nomination papers had been delivered unless the climate panel changed its mind.
on Monday, February 1st, 2010 at 7:38 am and is filed under News.
Furthermore, from 1940 to 1970, carbon dioxide built up rapidly in the atmosphere, and according to the computer projections of climate, the temperature of the earth should also have risen rapidly. Instead, as the chart shows, the temperature dropped.
The population around the Laverton station has changed significantly since the station was first opened. ABS statistics indicate a population increase from 7853 in 1933 to over 132,000 in 2008. It is also clear from aerial photographs that there has been significant urban development around the station since its inception, with significant growth in residential development over the last three decades.
Easily the largest and most lucrative component in the CDM market is a peculiar racket centred on the manufacture of CFCs, chlorofluorocarbons, classified under Kyoto as greenhouse gases vastly more damaging than carbon dioxide. The way the racket works is that Chinese and Indian firms are permitted to carry on producing a refrigerant gas known as HCF-22 until 2030. But a by-product of this process is HCF-23, which is supposed to be 11,700 times more potent as a greenhouse gas than CO2. By destroying the HCF-23, the firms can claim Certified Emission Reduction credits worth billions of dollars when sold to the West (while much of the useful HCF-22 is sold onto the international black market).
The love affair with carbon taxes stems from a concern that carbon dioxide, a byproduct of energy use, is raising global temperatures and causing global warming. By taxing carbon dioxide, Congress would take action to reduce energy use. Many academic economists favor the carbon tax for restructuring the tax system, seeing it as an alternative to an individual income tax, a corporate income tax or a European-style cap-and-trade system.
The second system is the impact on the biosphere itself. While carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that tends to trap the sun??s radiation, it is also a vital fertilizer that stimulates plant growth and consequently enhances the food supplies for all the animals, insects, funghi and bacteria which live on and around them.
It turns out that far from being a stable pH, spots all over the world are constantly changing. One spot in the ocean varied by an astonishing 1.4 pH units regularly. All our human emissions are projected by models to change the worlds oceans by about 0.3 pH units over the next 90 years, and thats referred to as catastrophic
Looking ahead, the "Clear Skies Initiative" announced by the Bush administration would require cuts in power plant emissions of what EPA calls "the three worst air pollutants" by roughly 70 percent.16 According to EPA, the Clear Skies Initiative would:
Cloud Telecomputers to Exhibit Glass Platform at AstriCon 2010:
Scientists are studying this question with great care. It now seems that the sun has a significant influence on climate.
There were plenty of worthy candidates, doing actual work to build peace between quarreling parties and reducing standing armies, but this years choice was a populist attempt to influence the political discourse on climate change.
Advocates of individual liberty and limited government can easily become depressed reading about President Barack Obama's latest exercise of unconstitutional power or the tragicomedy of the upcoming presidential election. But looking behind the headlines reveals something very different and positive: We are turning the tide in favor of freedom.
If we entered another Dalton type minimum post 2019, the present positive Global Temperature Anomaly would be completely eliminated.
A promised $100 billion in annual climate financing that Western nations have already pledged to developing countries for carbon emission control and other actions by 2020 is only the "starting point" for additional Western financial commitments that must be laid out in a "clear road map," which includes "specific targets, timelines and identified sources;"
Willie Soon in 2009 found a ten year delay from TSI to sea surface temperature changes in the tropical Atlantic. Moffa-Sanchez et al in 2014 found a lag of around 12 years from TSI to North Atlantic surface temperatures over the last thousand years. Usoskin et al in 2004 found that the correlation coefficient between northern hemisphere temperature and reconstructed sunspot numbers from 850AD was greatest when the temperature lagged the sunspot numbers by around 12 years. Greg Goodman finds a peak in the correlation between sea surface temperatures and sunspot numbers when the former lags by 10.1 years (though sunspot numbers would correlate a little like that with white noise).
"Imagine turning your car's steering wheel, or giving it a gentle tug, and having it break away from the steering column. Now you're speeding along holding the suddenly useless wheel."
To stay warm, thousands of elderly are using travel passes to ride buses all day, while others seek refuge in libraries and shopping centers, the Sunday Express noted. Others are "putting their health at risk, in an attempt to keep costs down," by bundling up and turning the heat down or off entirely, said Age UK Charity Director Michelle Mitchell.
Marc Morano at Climate Depot writes a lengthy article on this issue. Apparently Rep. Leutkemeyer read aloud a report of more than 700 dissenting scientists that was prepared by Morano in 2009. An updated version of this report (which includes 1000 dissenting scientists) can be found here .
(By convention, a failed to falsify result should be accompanied by an estimate of the error, or statistical power. I havent seen these discussed in the climate blog wars, but I do intend to extend my spreadsheet to include these at some point. Reporting both and errors are important if people are to draw inferences about statistical results.)
A recent study of tide gauges showed a slight decrease in sea level rise rates since 1970
Lewis Deane on October 9, 2013 at 10:09 pm
During 2014, sea ice extent has been above normal for 245 days, at an average of 295,000 sq km.
Furthermore the Death et al. 2012 study states: The disturbance data for COTS and cyclones show periodic and random fluctuations but no systematic long-term variation over the 27 year observation period.
In any case, time is up. Real life intrudes. I am told that shopping in this store is complete. There are fabulous bargains to be had elsewhere, and I should come along because, I?m told, I can ponder doom anywhere. Thus shopping really does trump apocalypse.
moves up, but we dont know if the pdf itself will change. There are clear
the brink of failure, triumph is snatched from the jaws of defeat by the extraordinary negotiating efforts of the UNFCCC secretariat and the government ministers attending. The triumph is embodied in a document, the substance of which is that a new consensus has been reached that represents a breakthrough or a conceptual agreement or the way forward or a road map. When this consensus is examined a little more closely, it is almost always found to consist of the intention to continue negotiating plus a pledge to reach agreement on all outstanding issues by a date certain.
Economic impact estimates completed over the past 20 years vary in their coverage of subsets of economic sectors and depend on a large number of assumptions, many of which are disputable, and many estimates do not account for catastrophic changes, tipping points, and many other factors. With these recognized limitations, the incomplete estimates of global annual economic losses for additional temperature increases of ~2C are between 0.2 and 2.0% of income (1 standard deviation around the mean)
Paul O'Sullivan, Deputy Chief of Mission at the Australian Embassy, explained why Australia is fighting against a treaty that imposes an undue burden with minimal return.
The IPCC ARs list levels of agreement in the literature on a constellation of issues. The IPCC does *NOT* issue a single statement that constitutes the consensus, per Cook et als attempt.
Indeed, much of our new-found energy is drawn from lands and waters that we, the public, own together. So tonight, I propose we use some of our oil and gas revenues to fund an Energy Security Trust that will drive new research and technology to shift our cars and trucks off oil for good. If a non-partisan coalition of CEOs and retired generals and admirals can get behind this idea, then so can we. Lets take their advice and free our families and businesses from the painful spikes in gas prices weve put up with for far too long. Im also issuing a new goal for America: lets cut in half the energy wasted by our homes and businesses over the next twenty years. The states with the best ideas to create jobs and lower energy bills by constructing more efficient buildings will receive federal support to help make it happen.
Washington, D.C., November 10, 2010 The Obama Administration's Environmental Protection Agency finally today released its "guidance" for how power plants and oil refiners will be forced to comply with new greenhouse gas emissions regulations.
4. High costs of seed. If the farmer doesn't make more from the biotech seed than from saving his own seed, he won't buy it. If the seeds increase his food security and/or profits the cost will be covered. 5. Legal restrictions on farmers saving biotech seed for replanting. Seed sales are the only way for biotech companies to fund their research. More and more biotech crops, moreover, are coming from non-profit organizations such as Gates, universities, and the International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center
IPCC's Policymakers Summary: A Political Document
Certified Consulting Meteorologist Mike Smith of WeatherData Inc. in Wichita, KS, a world renowned expert on severe weather, talks about the issues of trying to connect weather and climate and where these issues fail.
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters titled " The Arctic Ocean warms from below " finds that geothermal heat at the bottom of the Arctic Ocean caused slight warming of 0.004C per year from 1993-2010. The authors find a temperature inversion with higher temperatures at the bottom of the ocean than the interior, which indicates the heat had to arise from geothermal sources; the opposite temperature profile would be expected if the Arctic Ocean was heating from above due to greenhouse gases. Other than the fact that heat rises, the paper throws more water on Trenberth's claim that his 'missing heat' allegedly from greenhouse gases has sunken to the bottom of the ocean.
Since the 1950s the world's temperature has risen by 0.12C per decade - but since 1998 it has slowed to 0.05C per decade.
We conclude that at the global scale, this suite of climate models has failed. Treating them as mathematical hypotheses, which they are, means that it is the duty of scientists to reject their predictions in lieu of those with a lower climate sensitivity.
People often talk about colonial masters, capitalists, and politicians as the sources of evil and inhuman acts. But most of us are not told that such things are happening today and their culprits are sometimes the same people who paint themselves as symbols of morality in the Western societies.
First clips of "Climate Hustle" air on Hannity, devastate warming hype
For further information or to obtain a copy of this study, please visit http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/journal/apnm
There are all kinds of conspiracy theories on the web. ANYTHING can be done with video and photoshop to make any visual you want. Just a question of time and talent. Folks get paid for videos that go viral. The result is a lot of crap. Alien spacecraft shown flying over The City and who knows what all else. Some quite good. (Though fake). But Im committed to watching due to the power of the Chiefio-spouse number.
The Antarctic Sea Ice Extent on Sept 13 2014 may have set a new all time record (at least for the satellite era, we don??t have data prior to that).
Because sunspot activity has historically predicted periods of global warming and global cooling lots of sunspots translates into lots of warming and vice versa Hathaways study presented at a December 2006 meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco acted to support global warming theorists and to discredit the various solar scientists who believe that Earth is about to enter a prolonged period of cooling.
But we shouldnt clobber the economy. Thats why Ive always been against a carbon tax or emissions trading scheme because it harms our economy without necessarily helping the environment.
Horrors! Now an Aussie Scientist Doubts the Climate Doomsayers
Virginia has been thrust into the center of the immigration debate recently. Del. Robert Marshall asked Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli to issue an opinion about whether the state's law enforcement officers could determine the immigration status of persons stopped or arrested. Cuccinelli's opinion that they can is probably legally correct, but may still backfire. Americans across the political spectrum are rightly concerned over our broken immigration system. Still, in today's super-heated political climate, moves that seem to treat all undocumented immigrants as criminals will likely worsen the situation.
It used to be thought that the sun controlled the Earths climate, but the IPCC and the CSIRO ignore the sun and relate climate change to CO2 and so-called greenhouse gases. Outside that group many still think that the sun controls climate. There is a very good correlation between sunspot cycles and climate. We have entered sunspot cycle 24, and if things happen as they did in the past we are in for global cooling, which could lead to a fall in sea level. For those keen on the precautionary principle, we should take the necessary precautions for cooling and a drop in sea level.
Marc Morano, a former aide to U.N. agitator and Republican Sen. Jim Inhofe, told FoxNews.com the document shows the climate talks are intended to create more "taxing and regulatory authority."
Equally important, the big computer models of global weather patterns have cut their projections of warming from about 5 degrees Celsius to less than 2 degrees Celsius.
In his June 26, 1997 address before the United Nations President Clinton defended his environmental record, citing several "successes" such as toxic dump cleanup and his recent decision to implement new air quality standards.
Minnesota Legislators Invite Heartland Staff to Lead Climate Change Seminar
Februarys Update news: According to revised official Met office 1 figures, January 2008 was still the coldest month globally in 14 years 2 . At only 0.056 C higher than the nominal reference 3 We must look back to February 1994 to find a colder month. Global temperatures peaked in February 1998 at 0.75C and with February coming in at 0.194 C there is a definite and accelerating cooling trend of -0.1 C /decade.
After four years of this aggressive barrage of rules designed to kill coal, many in the heartland, states that rely most heavily on coal, are not amused.
And when one examines the last 17-years, the satellite global temperature trend becomes slightly less than zero (i.e. global cooling). As a prominent climate alarmist scientist determined recently in a peer reviewed paper:
In 2005, they would tell us that every season would bring its ever increasing number of hurricanes. The number of Katrinas would skyrocket and they would eventually kill everyone. However, a sequence of average and below-the-average hurricane seasons has led the climate cultists to change their preferred doomsday scenario dozens of times in recent years. One could say that every time the weather changed, their holy scripture was rewritten, too.
"Right now in a caf in Beirut an educated man, a chemist by trade, schooled in the ways of the West, is reading an article about how the US will only spend $15 billion on AIDS and probably won't reduce its carbon emissions to 1817 levels, and he throws down the paper in disgust: bastards! I must join Al Qaeda, move to Iraq and kill the contractors who are upgrading their outmoded infrastructure!"
Globalwarming.org: Say It Isn't So! Exxon Supports a Carbon Tax
If it benefits a political agenda to find a culprit that needs to be tamed and controlledguess whatthe results are ordained.
As of this writing, environmental nonprofits are funding two green advertising campaigns with a national scope. One, titled "Red Carriage," is paid for by the American Lung Association. The other, "What if Polluter Lobbyists in Washington Were Replaced with Asthmatic Children," is a joint production by the Sierra Club and the Natural Resources Defense Council. Both ads feature babies or toddlers in distress. In "Red Carriage," it's a coughing baby; in the Sierra Club/NRDC ad, it's children with inhalers strapped to their faces. Each ad insinuates that a vote to "gut" or "weaken" the Clean Air Act is akin to inflicting harm on children. In each case, the accusation is entirely without merit. Unfortunately, these two ads reveal the environmentalist movement's public relations strategy. It is now standard operating procedure for green groups to produce ads that associate jarring imagery of suffering children with a vote in Congress to rein in the Environmental Protection Agency.
instrumental rather than solar in origin is a bit controversial. Similarly IPCC
Of course, it couldnt possibly be anything else but CO2 causing this , right?
The oil and gas industry is in the crosshairs of the administrations eco-agenda, even if Shell gets its Arctic drilling permit.
Since it is apparently acceptable practice for Science magazine to accompany an article extolling the evils of anthropogenic climate change (and the need to take action) with an picture of a polar bear (or two) stranded on an ice floe (even though polar bears were not mentioned in the article), perhaps well accompany all of our articles with a photo of a thriving Trumpeter swan. After all, whats good the goose (or, er, swan)
Famed hurricane forecaster Dr. William Gray has issued his hurricane season forecast for 2012 and predicts below-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall.
Even if some savings are managed to be squeezed out by the presence of wind, it is important to remember that the effect of such for an electricity system will be very small to negligible. This will be true regardless of how much wind is installed. The costs to realize these small gains, again if somehow they can be realized, are large in many terms, including the price of electricity and other forms of taxpayer support, the misdirection of industrial/economic activity into non-productive channels, the impact on local environments and economies, despoilment of natural settings, health and safety issues, distraction from better approaches to meet societal goals, and the divisiveness created within communities and even families.
CEI reminds OSTP that this practice was described as "creat non-governmental accounts for official business" and "using the nongovernmental accounts specifically to avoid creating a record of the communications" in a recent analogous situation involving lobbyist Jack Abramoff. CEI expects similar congressional and media outrage at this similar practice to evade the applicable record-keeping laws.
Mr. Bush won despite 1,000 American deaths in Iraq, an economy that is generating new jobs at a tepid pace, a faltering performance in the presidential debates and the nearly unanimous opposition of the media. It was a triumph, and Europeans needs to recognize that its effects will probably endure. The Republican party of Ronald Reagan, which followed a half-century of Democratic dominance in American politics, is consolidating its power.
In conclusion, all five GSTA datasets analyzed here show an average GSTA over the past 35 years of between 0.01C to 0.42C above their respective baseline period temperature, depending data set (1). The land-based data sets report in all most all cases monthly GSTA that are higher than the satellite based GSTAs (1). In addition, the land-based monthly GSTAs analyzed here (GISS, NCDC, HadCRUT4) are increasingly positively diverging from the two satellite-based GSTAs used (RSS, UAH) over time, whereas the two-satellite-based data sets are increasingly negatively diverging from each other. These trends, and especially the opposing trend with RSS, warrant more in-depth analyses, continued scrutiny and attention.
have less of a cooling effect than previously estimated, the climate models need to be re-worked. The models incorporate a high cooling effect to counter-balance their high warming effect for CO2.]
$30,000 for minor fender and door damage
Thats what makes the major outbreaks of West Nile virus in the U.S. this summer so scary. So far, nearly 700 cases have been reported to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), including 26 deaths the biggest nationwide outbreak since 2004. The situation is particularly bad in and around Dallas, where the virus has killed 10 people and sickened more than 200 so far this summer. The city has declared a state of emergency and, for the first time in 45 years, has begun aerial spraying of pesticide to kill the mosquitoes that are the virus delivery system even in the face of residents heated concerns that the pesticide could be more dangerous than the disease. I cannot have any more deaths on my conscience because we failed to take action, Dallas Mayor Mike Rawlings told reporters recently.