Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
President Obama has derided U.S, energy use: "The U.S. uses far more electricity than its North American neighbors combined," but the U.S. also does more with our energy. Comparing the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and energy consumption numbers for the U.S. and Canada, for example, both use a similar volume of energy but the U.S. has substantially higher GDP. A study of global energy consumption versus GDP found: "energy is so intrinsically linked to GDP that energy policy more or less dictates how our economy performs."
The case for very low discount rates (declining discount rates) is derived from Martin Weitzman's 1998 article on discounting the far-distant future
Well, it was not quite as bad as Beijing during the winter, but air quality really degraded around the Northwest last night as massive amounts of fireworks were deployed.
The five researchers report that the chemistry of the sediments employed in their study "created a microhabitat that supported the growth and development of a benthic foraminiferal community even at highly elevated p CO 2 ," such that the "growth and mortality of living A. aomoriensis were unaffected."
[UPDATE: The underlying claim of these two papers is that although there have been no large eruptionsin the 21st century, it is the weaker eruptionsthat are causing the plateau in temperature. These are eruptionswith a volcanic explosivity index (VEI) of four. Some commenters below still think that the eruptions of VEI fourare significant. The Santer document shows the effect of some of the VEI 4 eruptions on the stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD), which is their main indication of volcanic change. The study says:
JC note: I made an attempt to keep this review Gleick-free and Mann-free.
This seemingly innocent move of a few hundred meters at the same elevation from one responsible scientific observation location to another resulted in a measurement discontinuity estimated by KNMI as approximately 1 deg C. Hans Erren has a similar estimate. Both estimates are obtained by comparing the De Bilt series over this period with nearby stations e.g. Uccle which did not move at this time a strategy similar to that of the USHCN Station Adjustment Program.
Johanna any, and I mean any, attempt to explain barbarous and murderous behaviour by others on Western democracies is just a variant of the middle-class guilt that alleges that we are destroying the planet by having healthy and wealthy lives
A new study in the September 2002 issue of the Journal of Climate takes another look at the discrepancy in temperature trends between the surface, measured by ground-based thermometers, and the atmosphere (more specifically the troposphere), measured by satellite-borne instruments, and concludes that we don't know why there is a discrepancy.
"His freedom to speak protects my freedom to call him a bigot," Rowling continued. "His freedom guarantees mine. Unless we take that absolute position, without caveats or apologies, we have set foot upon a road with only one destination. If you seek the removal of freedoms from an opponent simply on the grounds that they have offended you, you have crossed a line to stand alongside tyrants who imprison, torture and kill on exactly the same justification."
From a historical perspective, an atmospheric CO2 concentration of 400 ppm is actually almost scraping the bottom of the barrel. Over the Earths history, atmospheric CO2 concentrations have ranged from 180 ppm to 7000 ppm, see Figure 1 below. On that scale we are in fact today barely above the Earths record lows.
So, Kyoto seems destined to expire. Happily, the geoengineering approach is emerging as a substitute for or supplement to carbon reduction.
CEI FOIA Reveals Clinton Email Security NDA
"Walker's subpoenas are a flagrant violation of the First Amendment, and the clear conclusion to draw following his withdrawal of the ExxonMobil subpoena is that these subpoenas were a baseless fishing expedition from the beginning," said CEI President Kent Lassman in a statement.
Yet another essay in the same book says that in regard to making use of the rainforest, development is a "manifest destiny" of modern times and that "the idea of progress is deeply rooted in Western thought and has been widely incorporated in the beliefs of many in Third World We must create alternatives to the worldview of the economist." (Lessons, p.172)
If the instrumentalization of Islam constitutes the geographical axis of China's grand strategy, the functional axis is or ought to be of equal interest to NATO, since it consists in the artful combination of space power, sea power, and soft power.
By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Aug 14, 2015
Globally, poverty remains the leading cause of preventable disease and premature death. A key factor hindering poverty eradication, as well as a major source of indoor air pollution, which kills an estimated 3.5 million people per year, is energy poverty. Even today, more than one billion people have no access to electricity and billions more have too little energy to support development.
Some of the damage done by last year's budget deal has been rectified. Congress has recalled $25 million from the nearly $200 million that was allocated last year. If it truly wants to prevent taxpayers from being forced to subsidize the agenda of international Green pressure groups, it will stop funding the GEF altogether.
Obama: "We produce more natural gas than ever before and nearly everyone's energy bill is lower because of it."
Fourthly, the backgrounder claims that global warming is causing both droughts and floods. Regardless of whether this is the case, deaths from droughts have declined by 99.9% since the 1920s, and 99% from floods since the 1930s. In fact, since the 1920s, average annual deaths from all extreme weather events have dropped by 95 percent while annual death rates, which factor in population growth, have been reduced by 99 percent.
The Age reported the GG as passionate about the climate change issue. He listed a raft of alternative energy options to be explored with interestingly nuclear power being one of those options. Setting the tone for the conference the GG said As a concerned layman, I would suggest the Australian public, to become fully energised on global warming, needs to have a general idea on the answers to the following questions:
That's not just a problem facing contemporary Democrats. It has historic roots. The Democratic Party has always been a collection of out-people, who are seen by themselves and others as not typically American. In the 19th century, that meant white Southerners and Catholic immigrants. Today, it means the Obama core groups.
warrants a closer examination than the partisan debates give it.
Pachauri has said IPCC reports are written by the world?s top scientists when, in fact, many of those involved are 20-something grad students, green activists, and people appointed with an eye to filling ?diversity? quotas.
Meanwhile, thanks to Obama, we have to rely on the Russians just to get our people to the ISS.
Explanation: The hotspot in the models is due to a thickening of the water vapor blanket during global warming, as more water evaporates and the blanket of warm moist air displaces cold dry air above. This thickening causes 2/3 of the warming in the models. But in reality there is no hotspot, so the models exaggerate temperature increases by at least a factor of 3.
Methane has long been a target of the green lobby because it is viewed as an especially potent contributor to global warming. Yet the EPAs own research shows methane emissions from drilling have been declining rapidly.
Fox News reports on emails CEI found in their FOIA lawsuit against George Mason University professors that reveals their petition to the government to prosecute climate change skeptics.
When paleoclimatologists met in 1972 to discuss how and when the present warm climate would end, termination seemed imminent and it was expected that rapid cooling would lead to the coming ice age.
Where Ts is surface temperature (C), Tgb is earths grey body temperature which I treat just as a constant as given in the paper (154.3C), and Ps is surface pressure of around 100,000 pascals.
Climate divisions werent in use then, so the circa 1934 is likely a straight up average of available stations at "press time"
Were really through the looking glass now. And the good old ABC gleefully publishes this kind of stuff.
Table 5-9 from the NRC report, Hidden Costs of Energy: Unpriced Consequences of Energy Production and Use .
Mr. Porritt remarked that, while economic growth has been faster in the UK than any other European country, "this is accompanied by much greater inequality in income, and a long-hours, high-pressure employment culture more characteristic of American society." The report calls on the UK government "to use taxation to affect the price of energy and fuel and calls for ministers to adopt more "joined up" thinking over the next five to 10 years." (Daily Telegraph, Apr. 14)
Recent extreme weather cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming to speak of. It is as simple as that.
One of the greatest achievements of the postmodern mind is the theory that one can control the weather with taxes. Yes, I know! It sounds so crazy that you just want it to work. I recall weather control schemes like cloud seeding, and of course there are more elaborate ideas in Star Trek, but controlling weather with public policy and virtuethere are no words. Imagine the cure for cancer being increased library fines! The true accomplishment was not their baloney storm (BS), but the level of cultural fervor that has been aroused through it, leading to titanic global power plays that have kept this zombie theory animated for a decade or two after it should have collapsed under its own weight.
But for those bugged by nitpicking flexings of government muscle, the most irritating provision may well be the bill's banning of incandescent bulbs.
Its also nice to see that Conspiracy Theorist can apply to a person of color too. ;-)
The latest warming trend, which appears to have ended in 1998, is the result of the end of the Little Ice Age, which extended from roughly the 16th century to the 19th. During that period, Muir Glacier in Alaska filled Glacier Bay. In fact, when the first Russian explorers arrived in Alaska in the 1740s, there was no Glacier Bay just a wall of ice where the entrance would be.
Mark Boslough is ironically employed as a scientist in New Mexico. His most significant contribution to the mankind occurred in 1998 when he spread a fake article claiming that the Alabama school board redefined \(\pi\) to be equal to the Biblical value \(3.0\).
Let me assume that the reader has some basic traces of morality so he or she understands why science can't be controlled by the same ideology or the same motivation. So let's talk about the "criticism" that the "contrarians" don't have a unified "consensus science" to replace the LFCSes' "consensus science". What are those things in which the "contrarians" disagree with each other?
Sachs again offers no actual evidence in support of his assertions.
The question for citizens and their elected representatives is whether even today's models are accurate enough to guide public policy making. Seeking an informed discussion of this topic, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, on behalf of the Cooler Heads Coalition, invited climatologists Robert Davis of the University of Virginia and David Legates of Louisiana State University to address an audience of congressional staff, journalists, and other interested persons.
Right now, the solar cycle is in a valley--the deepest of the past century. In 2008 and 2009, the sun setmodern agerecords for low sunspot counts, weak solar wind, and low solar irradiance. The sun has gone more than two years without a significant solar flare. Take a look at the widget above right - zero sunspots-for far longer than thenext solar cycle had been predicted tostart. Might this be part of the reason for the "travesty" (quotinga climategate email ) of global cooling over the past decade?
However, Monaghan et al. note that there is evidence of conflicting trends in ice sheet thickness across Antarctica: the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has been thinning over the past decade, while the East Antarctic Ice Sheet became thicker over the period 1992 through 2003 (Davis et al. 2005). Previous work attributed the thickening of the East Ice Sheet to an increase in snowfall accumulation across that portion of the continent, following the logic of a warmer atmosphere and therefore greater moisture capacity. The thinning of the West Ice Sheet, however, is not well explained. As it turns out, Monaghan and his colleagues do not think that the thickening of the East Ice Sheet is well explained either!
142. Plaintiff?s wrongful interference with Defendant Steyn?s constitutionally protected rights of free speech and public expression and his engagement and use of the courts as an instrument of the government to carry out that wrongful interference violates the First Amendment and constitutes a constitutional tort for which Defendant Steyn is entitled to be compensated.
Car Emissions, one of the largest contributors to air pollution, will be reduced by more than 80 percent over the next 25 years, according to the Environmental Protection Agency. According to an April PRI Harris Interactive poll, 74 percent of respondents revealed their belief that cars are less polluting now than they were 25 years ago.
Check, I agreeover the long term and slowly, just as greenhouse gas theory holds. But the atmosphere is not continuing to warm right now.
Those observations ran counter to the Obama EPA's crash efforts to regulate CO2 and other greenhouse gasses through a public health and welfare Endangerment Finding under the Clean Air Act premised upon climate change mitigation.
12 See, e.g., Tilman Ludke, Jihad Made in Germany: Ottoman and German Propaganda and Intelligence Operations during the First World War, 2006; Selcuk Esenbel, "Japan's Global Claim to Asia and the World of Islam: Transnational Nationalism and World Power, 1900-1945," American Historical Review (October 2004). Alexander Bennigsen, Soviet Strategy and Islam, 1989; Rachel Bronson, Thicker than Oil: America's Uneasy Partnership with Saudi Arabia, 2006.
1. Met Office 2009 Forecast: Trend To Milder Winters To Continue, Snow And Frost Becoming Less Of A Feature
It has been thought that an increase in carbon dioxide will lead to global warming. While carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has been increasing over the past 100 years, there is no evidence that it is causing an increase in global temperatures.
In light of the fact that Quinn and Ponte indicate that ???over the last century, the rate of sea level rise has been only 1.7 0.5 mm/year, based on tide gauge reconstructions (Church and White, 2006),?? it seems a bit strange that one would ever question that result on the basis of a GRACE-derived assessment, with its many and potentially very large ???errors and biases.?? In addition, as Ramillien et al . (2006) have noted, ???the GRACE data time series is still very short,?? and results obtained from it ???must be considered as preliminary since we cannot exclude that apparent trends only reflect inter-annual fluctuations.?? And as Quinn and Ponte also add, ???non-ocean signals, such as in the Indian Ocean due to the 2004 Sumatran-Andean earthquake, and near Greenland and West Antarctica due to land signal leakage, can also corrupt the ocean trend estimates.??
A Wall Street Journal editorial on March 30 asserted that It is not about environmental and regulatory hurdles. It is about a deal that Nevada Senator Harry Reid, the former Senate Majority Leader, cut with President Obama to keep Yucca Mountain from ever opening for use. In return, Reid blocked nearly all amendments to legislation to shield Obama from having to veto bills. He virtually nullified the Senate as a functioning element of our government.
cost of $985,000/job to install solar panels at the Denver Federal Center. (Project #41)
In return, organisations might complain publicly just a bit about government. But mostly these organisations keep sending their representatives off to meetings and their leaders happily sit down with Ministers who feed them soothing words.
For Washington we could clearly make either a warming or a cooling trend by simply choosing where we put the thermometers.
By Rick Moran, American Thinker, Aug 5, 2015
One good way is to look just at ocean surface temperature trends. That's 70% of the Earth's surface, with no urban heat islands! According to the Hadley Centre, this increased warming amounts to +0.2 F/decade. So yes, it's still rising, but not as much. What does that mean for the trends just over land? It indicates that that increasing land temperatures must be larger and according to the University of East Anglia, that trend is +0.5 F/decade. Since most of us live on land, we experience the land surface temperature trend.
Washington sea level data. Click image to start animation in new window.
This elephant has had to be ignored at all costs. What, the globe isnt warming from manmade CO2 as fast as we predicted? Then it must be manmade aerosols cooling things off. Or the warming is causing the deep ocean to heat up by hundredths or thousandths of a degree. Any reason except reduced climate sensitivity, because low climate sensitivity might mean we really dont have to worry about global warming after all.
"The biosphere is changing, and changing rapidly," according to Fung. And "currently," she notes, "it is a sink for a quarter of the anthropogenic CO 2 emissions." But will it continue? Only time will tell. But as things stand today, she remarks that "surely, the biosphere must be enjoying the warming."
Global warming is occurring for the 1,001st time in the human history and for the 1,000,001st time in the history of the planet. In the same way, we are witnessing the 1,001st global cooling in the human history and the 1,000,001st global cooling in the Earth's history. I consider the global warming theory to be a proposition arising from the human pride, i.e. the assertion that the mankind is capable of causing dramatic oscillations of the temperature on the Earth by its greenhouse gas emissions.
Severe and damaging tornadoes are mainly a U. S. phenomena. The U. S. is the Tornado Capital of the World and has more tornadoes annually than any country on the globe. Two notable outbreaks include: Super Tornado Outbreak of 1974 (315 deaths) and the Tri State Tornado of 1925 (695 deaths).
So the deleted line the environmentalists focused on, "climate change has global consequences for human health and the environment," was both meaningless and dangerous. It is on one level a simple truismclimate change does change other things. However, when the clear implication is that the consequences are negative (tell that to the Amazon rainforest, where vegetation has grown abundantly over the last decade) or that the change is mostly human-induced, then it should be replaced with a clearer statement of the state of the science. That is what the administration did when it noted that "the complexities...make it a scientific challenge to document change, diagnose its causes and develop useful projections ."
The New Left was characterized as much by its impatience as by its lofty ambitions. Its advocates saw the non-attainment of their goals as a moral crime. As such, those who stood in the way of those goals were not merely adversaries, they were enemies: selfish, unlettered, in need of enlightenment. This sentiment is the source of the arrogant condescension that many Americans and most conservatives have felt all too frequently is a defining feature of today's Left.
According to the BGS, potential UK offshore reserves of shale gas could exceed one thousand Tcf; about five to ten times the figure for onshore. Even if, as some conservative observers maintain, only 10 to 20 percent is ultimately recoverable, that would propel the UK to become entirely self-sufficient in shale-sourced gas for decades to come, ending the dependency on imported Russian, Norwegian and Qatari gas which currently account for around 70 percent of the UKs needs. The impact that could have on the UK economy and soaring domestic energy prices cannot be overstated.
The adjustments immediately after 1945 are expected to be as large as those made to the pre-war data (~0.3 C), and smaller adjustments are likely to be required in SSTs through at least the mid-1960s, by which time the observing fleet was relatively diverse and less susceptible to changes in the data supply from a single country of origin.
What makes the Foster and Rahmstorf work particularly encouraging for lukewarmers is that the authors find that for periods of 30 years or so, the removal of natural variability makes little difference on the magnitude of the observed trend in the lower atmosphere.
The message of Carbon Morality?The power industry has lost its moral stature, and American society is on the verge of doing something awful to it.
11. Botswana - Agreement Concerning the Establishment of a Tropical Forest Conservation Fund and a Tropical Forest Conservation Board
His third tenet is to strengthen and enforce the international order. He is absolutely correct when he asserts that respecting international law is not a sign of weakness, but he is absolutely wrong in implying that a failure to sign the United Nations Convention on Law of the Seas somehow emboldens China in the South China Sea. There are good reasons for the United States to sign the treaty, but they are irrelevant to China's actions in the here and now. His reference to climate change as a "creeping" national security threat (which would necessarily require collective action to address) dramatically overstates the case, unless one sees a three hundred year horizon as somehow appropriate for national security policy-making.
With the world still recovering from the 2008 recession, and Europe possibly on the brink of another globally-destabilizing recession, there is not much appetite for a new Kyoto Protocol. Japan, Canada , and Russia will not sign. Europe will not sign unless America and China also sign, which is highly unlikely.
In the episode, clouds of smug from "Toyonda Pious" sales in South Park, George Clooney's acceptance speech at the 78th Academy Awards, and San Francisco's pretensions as a progressive city all coverge, creating a "perfect smug storm" that threatens to destroy everything in its path. The citizens of South Park scrap their hybrids just in time to avoid annihilation, although thousands of homes are destroyed. However, it is too late to save San Francisco, which "disappears up its own @!*hole."
The 'Green Jobs' Fallacy of Al Gore
When I asked Deke Arndt of NOAA how they calculated the temperatures for 1934, he seemed as confused as me!
But there's one major problem: while President Obama poses in front of pipelines in Oklahoma, pretending to be a friend of oil and natural gas, he has given marching orders to his administration to do everything possible to end hydraulic fracturing. Remember, as I mentioned earlier, Armendariz was the one who was caught on tape admitting the EPA's "general philosophy" is to "crucify" and "make examples" of oil and gas companies, specifically targeting hydraulic fracturing.
The point being that despite large increases in outflow, the lake level has been rapidly recovering. This could be due to only one explanation lots and lots of snow in the Rocky Mountains during the last five years.
How much of this improvement can be attributed to the NSR program? Obviously not emission reductions or air quality improvements prior to 1977 or for continuing trends that began before NSR was adopted. Factors that may be more important than regulation include electrification and other technological changes, a shift of economic activity from manufacturing to service industries, rising wealth, social and demographic changes, and political decisions whose unintended consequences include emission reductions.