Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"In June the Virginia Tobacco Indemnification and Community Revitalization Commission made payment on more than 45,000 Phase I flue-cured and burley quota owner and producer claims totaling over $19 million dollars."
The New York Times released information that compromised US national security , but won??t publish the CRU documents . Agenda, much?
or I will write something ? it depends on whether and what we get from Japan.
The higher one goes in the government food chain the less interest in accountability. IPCC stands for ?Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change?, which in the opinion of some makes it accountable solely to itself. How anyone can justify resisting disclosure of information paid for by taxpayers is a mystery, yet the recent ?Climategate 2? disclosures and related leaks have been strongly resented in some quarters as evidenced by attempts to ?Unring the Bell?.
scenarios draw upon some of the most recent climate modelling work, we identify
Be that as it may, when these PR experts (who presumably would be happy to have university departments, science journals, and government agencies pay them for their services) say that scientists must do a better job of communicating with the public, what they really mean is that scientists must do a better job of scaring people.
I don't envy them the taskbut I remember a British politician a decade ago marveling about the governmental impact of the global warming fear: "My constituents are actually demanding that I raise their taxes!"
Scientifically unsupportable and misleading statements prompted an October 2007 ruling in Londons High Court that An Inconvenient Truth can be shown in secondary schools only if accompanied by guidance notes for teachers to balance Gores one-sided views. Following extensive evidentiary review, the judge cited nine specific errors. Included are unwarranted global warming claims predicting a 20 foot sea level rise, flooding of low-lying inhabited Pacific Atolls, and a likely shift in Gulf Stream currents; and attributions of the disappearance of Mt Kilimanjaro snow, drying up of Lake Chad, Hurricane Katrina, drowning polar bears, and coral reef destruction due to human causes.
Then too, the governments of China and India may lack the popular support that they would need to be able to bear the political costs of GHG controls. Their governments have often gone to great lengths to hold energy prices below world levels. To now drive domestic energy prices above world market levels would be a daring political gamble.
So let me describe the weather on election day and predict who will win the presidential election. Hey...if we can forecast a rare storm like Sandy, an election should be child's play.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 4 Early Evolution Comparison with Other Satellite-Era El Nios
But you might well be getting this result by massaging the factors that are programmed in until you get a reasonably good fit, but without those factors necessarily being the right ones if you are missing some ingredients.
More importantly, to borrow a favorite Obama phrase, let me make one thing perfectly clear. There is no dangerous manmade climate change, now or on the horizon. There is no evidence that methane or carbon dioxide emissions have replaced the complex, powerful, interconnected natural forces that have driven warming, cooling, climate and weather fluctuations throughout Earth and human history. There is no evidence that recent extreme weather events are more frequent or severe than over the previous 100 years.
The Journal notes another motivation for the change in corporate behavior. "Many U.S. multinationals trying to keep pace with Europe's faster approach simply don't want to be on the extreme end of the political spectrum, especially if they want a seat at the table where regulations are being crafted. Some hope to forestall or dilute legislation by reducing emission voluntarily."
?That?s the result that they get when you premeditate your science,? said Dr. Tim Ball, former professor of climatology at the University of Winnipeg. ?When you set out to establish a certain scientific outcome and you program your computers to do that, you shouldn?t be surprised if that?s the result you get. The problem is what they?re getting out of their computers is not fitting with what?s actually happening. Of course, that?s been the problem with the IPCC all along.?
???Some other experts said however the idea of a hiatus was still valid, since warming had probably slowed this century if compared to fast rates in the 1980s and 1990s.
There is significant uncertainty, not only in solar reconstructions, but in the interpretation of satellite measurements since 1980. There is a 6 W m-2 discrepancy in the baseline measurements across different satellite systems, plus significant differences in trends since 1980. There is 5 W m-2 discrepancy in the reconstructions in the first few decades of the 20th century. For reference, the 20th century CO2 forcing is 1.7 W m-2.
1. 1880 isn??t long in geological terms. Most climate cycles are far far longer than that, and we know that this current warming trend started in the mid 1700?? s or early 1800?? s. Glaciers have been melting and sea levels have been rising since long before General Motors Holden was even dreamt of. We don??t know what caused the warming trend 200 years ago to start, so we don??t know if that factor has stopped. If we look back 5000 years, these temperatures are not records.
From the Industrial Revolution to 1950, atmospheric carbon-dioxide concentrations rose by about 15 percent. Today, the increase is up to 41 percent, making long periods without warming either 1) increasingly unlikely, or 2) the natural result of simply overestimating how sensitive surface temperature is to carbon dioxide. My money is on the latter.
This diagram is a representation of real-time reality and the physics that drives the climate on the Earth:
The State Department has found that the pipeline will have minimal impact on the surrounding environment and no significant effect on the climate. Recent expert testimony before the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology confirms this finding. In fact, even if the pipeline is approved and is used at maximum capacity, the resulting increase in carbon dioxide emissions would be a mere 12 one-thousandths of 1 percent (0.0012 percent). There is scant scientific or environmental justification for refusing to approve the pipeline, a project that the State Department has also found would generate more than 40,000 U.S. jobs.
By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Aug 10, 2015
Common core is a fraudulent collectivist statist educational program for all the states, sponsored by elites and the state.
Robert Tracinski has a post entitled Free Speech for Mann, but not for thee. Excerpts:
Environmental activists encourage cities to celebrate "Earth Hour" by turning off lights for an hour on March 28th.
There are three main characteristics of the tropical rainforests. First, is lush vegetation with dense, closed forests and high canopies that allow little light to reach the ground. Second is rich flora and several endemic species. Third is stratification. ("Environmental Gore," Evaristo de Miranda, p.154)
As even EPA admits , applying the Act literally (i.e. lawfully, statutorily) to CO2 leads to absurd results . For example, EPA and its state counterparts would have to process an estimated 41,000 pre-construction permits annually (instead of 280) and 6.1 million operating permits annually (instead of 14,700). Such workloads vastly exceed agencies administrative resources. Ever-growing backlogs would paralyze environmental enforcement, block new construction, and thrust millions of firms into legal limbo.
Oil at $30 Is No Problem for Some Bakken Drillers Cutting Costs
> >> are *very* poorly substantiated (e.g. you cite -10% to -2.2%
Tuesday, November 30, 2010 at 01:24:41 PM at epicenter
But, with Podesta's return to the White House as an advisor specializing in energy policy, I must admit my optimism was misplaced. I've been wrong. And, I hate to be wrong.
Not coincidentally, the conclave of bureaucrats also saw in "global governance" a greater role for themselves.
It?s the old, old thought process of: ?Bad things are happening and we don?t know why. How can we stop these things? How do we control what we don?t understand? We must be to blame. We must do something, anything, to make amends.?
"Christine Lewis said she was just being honest with the nurse at Colorado's Aurora Medical Center when she showed her the festering bites on her arms just before she was to have a spinal injection for her back pain."
"The latest Gallup poll reveals that Americans think one of the most important problems facing the country is high gas prices. Only the war in Iraq was rated the top problem by more of the 1007 adults surveyed August 7-10. But the news hasn't reached the U. S. Senate yet. While Americans struggle to pay higher gas prices, the Senate left for its August recess after refusing to take votes on two outstanding bills passed by the House of Representatives that would significantly increase domestic oil and natural gas production."
Policy Peril Segment 2: Air Pollution
Shlaes rids us of the temptation of thinking that Hoover, had he contrived reelection in 1932, might have avoided the macroeconomic mistakes FDR made. Instead of letting markets correct, Hoover raised taxes, signed the disastrous Smoot-Hawley tariff, and inveighed against short-sellers and other ostensible market manipulators. Shlaes is not the first to observe that Hoover and FDR represented, in political scientist Gordon Lloyd's phrase, "the two faces of liberalism," but she offers rich detail to the comparison. Both men lacked confidence in markets, and Hoover's interventions between the Crash in 1929 and FDR's accession in 1933 paved the way for the New Deal: "From 1929 to 1940, from Hoover to Roosevelt, government intervention helped to make the Depression Great."
Climate changers usually warn about Arctic ice, which has been receding over the last few decades, but rarely address the overall growth of ice inAntarctica.
As talks resume next month to forge legislation to act as a successor to the failed Kyoto Protocol, CEI looks forward to OSTP ceasing this unlawful activity and providing prompt access to the requested records so the taxpayer can know what they, and the IPCC, are up to.
At the time, ratings firm Fitch posted the following: "Fitch will closely monitor management's response to the current market turmoil and the company's access to capital markets in the coming days for any further deterioration in the credit profile."
These represent jobs and orders for equipment that are not occurring in the United States, along with the failure to utilize nuclear energy to provide the growing need for electricity here. The same environmental organizations opposing construction here are the same ones supporting the Environmental Protection Agency's attack on coal-fired electrical plants. The irony is, of course, that nuclear plants do not produce carbon dioxide emissions that the Greens blame for the non-existent "global warming", not called "climate change."
Lower resolution ice core data extending back to the last interglacial from both Antarctica and Greenland show temperatures were higher than the present ~8,000 years ago and much higher than the present ~130,000 years ago:
7. Ethiopia - Agreement for Cooperating in the Global Learning and Observations to Benefit the Environment (GLOBE) Program
Justice Department Prepares Subpoeneas In News Corp. Inquiry:
Regulators reform federal accounting rules in an effort to revive banks and other financial institutions.
As regards coral bleaching, in the words of Wall et al ., "the present results clearly support a null effect for high pCO 2 ." Or as they state in the final sentence of their paper's abstract, "short-term exposure to 81.5 Pa pCO 2 , alone and in combination with elevated temperature, does not cause or affect coral bleaching." Reviewed 7 May 2014
A GOVERNMENT-RUN research body has found in an extensive study of corals spanning more than 1000km of Australias coastline that the past 110 years of ocean warming has been good for their growth.
Freelance science writer Ed Yong echoes this sentiment at hisDiscovermagazine blog: If the paper was rubbish, if the peer reviewers missed something, if the scientist lied, if the press release is distorted, its still our fault for producing something that is inaccurate or that fails to root out these problems.
The union's rhetoric and muscle have crowded out political life in the city as effectively as Medicaid spending has choked off competing governmental priorities in the state budget. The lack of any real opposition to the so-called progressive movement in New York City has created a bizarre dynamic wherein elected officials often speak and act out against "the system"which they control. (See "Playing at Protest," Spring 2015.) In similar fashion, 1199 continues to promote itself as the radical advocate for society's underdogs, even as it revels in its status as the most-favored special interest.
The Swiss online NZZ has a commentary written by Social Sciences Prof. Ulrike Ackermann, Director of the John Stuart Mill Institute for Liberty Research in Heidelberg, read here (in German).Its no secret that the German Greens have been on the rise and that their movement has spearheaded the drive against the use of fossil fuels and atomic power in Germany and Europe. Ackermann writes: For the Greens, nature is good, humans are bad and thus must be always kept under the watchful eye of a powerful, better-knowing state. This means more central (by amateurs) planning, equalization and social uniformity.
Overwarm While there is much that can be discussed from these results, we wonder simply why the models overwarm the troposphere compared with observations by such large amounts (on average) during a period when we have the best understanding of the processes that cause the temperature to change. During a period when the mid-troposphere warmed by +0.06 C/decade, why does the model average simulate a warming of +0.26 C/decade?
By Emily Underwood, Science Insider, Aug 7, 2015
The central lie is that we are experiencing a known human-caused climate crisis, a claim based on speculative theories, contrived data and totally unproven modeling predictions. And the evidence? Much is revealed by politically corrupted processes and agenda-driven report conclusions rendered by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which are trumpeted in the media as authoritative gospel.
By Alan Carlin, Carlin Economics and Science, Aug 13, 2015
Climategate 3.0: Climategater to World Bank Economic damage estimates from global warming should be "treated very skeptically'; "Our methodology is so flaky'
Ummm. I thought windmills were all about generating electricity, not using it. So why put torches on it that run all night ? Want to bet the lighting power is coming from coal? While the turbine probably generates more power than it uses most nights, it sure seems odd.
Public firms are already required to list in the "risk factors" of their annual report both the risks of climate change and the threat of related legislation and regulation if it will impact the company's bottom line. In 2010, the SEC issued disclosure guidance stating that climate risks must be discloses when they could have a "material" effect on earnings.
Your daily reminder on why commas matter... pic.twitter.com/eYOwsueCBS Mandy Jenkins (@mjenkins) March 21, 2014
The only way we could have defaulted would have been if Obama chose to default, which would have led to his immediate impeachment. The White House assumes that Americans are complete idiots, which appears to be true for about 45% of the population as well as the Republican leadership in Congress.
Quote of the Week: I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies but not the madness of people. Isaac Newton
"the UK's National Lottery will no longer pay winners who purchased their lottery tickets over the internet from abroad. The current rules allow for players to buy tickets while overseas using their internet accounts at the National Lottery's website, but this will all change in a couple of months."
25 Edward Luttwak, The Political Uses of Seapower, 1975; Ken Booth, Law, Force and Diplomacy at Sea, 1977, and, Navies and Foreign Policy, 1978; James Cable, Gunboat Diplomacy, 19191989, 1998, and Norman Friedman, Seapower as Strategy: Navies and National Interests, 2001.
So it looks a bit less like nothing there and a bit more like on a fault in the approach to the volcano rise line. Those lateral cracks we see near spreading zones.
Connecticut is experiencing its coldest February in recorded history . So is Michigan . So is Toronto . Cleveland and Chicago are experiencing their second coldestFebruary in recorded history. Frigid and record cold temperatures are being set from Key West to International Falls . At the same time, blizzard after blizzard is burying much of the nation with record winter snow totals, with winter snowfall records beings set from Boston to Denver .
Rather the "proofs" employ a rejection of reason, and are based on the scientific method of philosophy, where the fundamental three parts of the scientific method of natural sciences do not apply.
The graph shows very little change in either global temperature or atmospheric carbon dioxide level since 1850. That's because we plotted the ranges on scales that better suit planetary history as opposed to the global warming lobby's fascination with dramatized illustrations of relatively small temperature change over short time periods. Temperatures are plotted in degrees Kelvin, the absolute temperature scale, and carbon dioxide levels are plotted in terms of their historical range, which has been more than an order of magnitude greater than current levels.
The decline in polluting emissions, despite increases in urban summer air temperatures, is quite dramatic, as Joel illustrates in the figures below.
Carbon Taxes, Energy Costs, and Economic Activity
And theres the rub. Whereas onlylarge industrial facilities have a potential to emit 250 TPY ofair contaminants such as sulfur dioxide or particulate matter,an immense number and variety ofentitiesoffice buildings,hotels, big box stores, enclosed malls,small manufacturing firms, even commercial kitchenshave apotential to emit250 TPY of CO 2 . A U.S. Chamber of Commerce study estimates that 1.2 million previously unregulatedbuildings and facilitiesactually emit 250 TPY of CO 2 .All would be vulnerable to new PSD regulation, controls, paperwork, and penalties.
"The climate science is sound and last winter was the second warmest globally despite the bad weather experienced here in the UK," said Watkinson, also a professional fellow of the University of East Anglia.
Much of this oil, known as tight oil or shale oil had not been accessible with conventional extraction techniques. Improvements in technologies, primarily horizontal drilling and fracking, now enable producers to extract the oil and gas from these tight formations.
9. Juckes et al failed to provide any statistical references for the results in their Appendix 1, nor any proof of the claimed optimality (or a reference of the fact). They assert a noise model, but do not show that they carried out any tests to demonstrate that the noise model in Appendix 1 was applicable to the actual proxy network. Inspection of the residuals in the individual series strongly indicates that the noise model of their Appendix 1 is not valid ??? see http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=938
In a recent article, Dr. Craig Idso, the founder and former president of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, a coeditor of the Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, and James M. Taylor, a senior fellow of The Heartland Institute and the managing editor of Environmental & Climate News, a monthly publication, examined how "Global Warming Alarmism Denies Sound Science."
Among the seventy-three distinguished speakers were two global climate believers: 1) Tam Hunt, J.D. who owns and runs Community Renewable Solutions LLC and is also a lecturer in Climate Change Law and Policy at UC Santa Barbara's Bren School of Environmental Science & Management (a graduate-level program), and 2) A. Scott Denning, PhD, a professor at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, a joint project of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and Colorado State University.
Research & Commentary: Requiring Legislative Approval for Carbon Dioxide Regulations
Fact 1. A mild warming of about 0.5 degrees Celsius (well within previous natural temperature variations) occurred between 1979 and 1998, and has been followed by slight global cooling over the past 10 years. Ergo, dangerous global warming is not occurring.
His deeds also struck a balance between advancing freedom and respecting stability. Rasher conservatives often criticized him for failing to do more to reduce the size of government, but he understood, having been a supporter of FDR himself, how much the safety net meant economically and spiritually to the working and middle classes. He knew that his task was to plant the tree of liberty in the garden of Roosevelt. As he said in 1964, "time now for the soft sell to prove our radicalism was an optical illusion."
There is a good chance that there will be more sea ice on Earth on January 1, than ever measured before on that date.
2. Uncertainties. The uncertaintiesin their Figure S2 (A) (shaded dark and light pink in Figure 1 above) are constant over time. In other words, they say that their method is as good at predicting the sea level two thousand years ago as it is today ?? seems doubtful.
Indeed, the specific pattern of Patriot pressure variability, when examined in detail, in my opinion, argues against washroom deflation and towards a quite different explanation of the quite unusual actual pattern of variability.
Global sea ice area has been above normal most of the year, and is averaging above normal in 2013.
Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are down roughly 40 percent from 1970 levels, and have also returned to Great Depression levels.
Should we triple-check the worlds temperature records, just to make sure that the few tenths of a degree change that has everyone in a tizzy arent, in fact, the result of errors?
It should be clear to everyone from the results obtained by Allan et al . that the number of extreme storms impacting the British Isles over the last eight decades of the 20th century were not in any way related to the global warming of that period, which climate alarmists claim was unprecedented over the prior millennium or more. Reference
"The use of a GPS device to track your whereabouts is not an invasion of privacy in New Jersey, a state appellate court panel ruled today."
Some 50 million acres of U.S. crop and habitat land (equal to Wyoming) have been turned into corn-for-ethanol farms, biofuel plantations, and wind and solar installations. American forests are being converted to fuel for British power plants. Towering turbines butcher birds and bats, while Big Wind is exempted from endangered species rules that would cost fossil fuel companies billions in fines and send their execs to jail for such carnage. (But if you're saving the planet, what's a few million birds and bats a year?)
He has not, a private citizen. Indeed, he spent eight years at the top of Superpower. What hope could there be then to see him tried, convicted or even?
The report comes at a time when numerous polls demonstrate that climate change is a very low priority for most Americans. A Wall Street Journal/NBC poll in January found that "climate change" ranked last on a list of 15 issues when people were asked which ones the administration should make its priorities.