Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The leaked emails from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia involve just a small coterie of scientists. However, they have been at the centre of climate science for a long time and their views, aspirations and activities have had effects far beyond their immediate working environments.
It has been reported that the no-fly zone over Libya costs the US taxpayers 3.2million lbs. of jet fuel per day, and that is not including the fuel burned by the refueling tankers that are almost constantly in the air.
ENSO Basics: Westerly Wind Bursts Initiate an El Nio
By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Aug 11, 2015
Actually, GISS shows little or no winter warming over the past sixty years. Certainly nothing close to 11F.
Daily Express, 28 October 2010: IT?S a prediction that means this may be time to dig out the snow chains and thermal underwear. The Met Office, using data generated by a 33million supercomputer, claims Britain can stop worrying about a big freeze this year because we could be in for a milder winter than in past years? The new figures, which show a 60 per cent to 80 per cent chance of warmer-than-average temperatures this winter, were ridiculed last night by independent forecasters. The latest data comes in the form of a December to February temperature map on the Met Office?s website.
Yet another global warming alert, when global temperatures are heading down and records for cold are being broken left, right and center. And how long will it be before we read that it wasnt actually global warming, but something else? Its odd, but stories like that never seem to get published I wonder why?
Experts say thepolar vortex is caused by global warming and disappearing ice, butforty years ago they said it was caused by global cooling and expanding ice.
From August 2001 to August 2014, the warming trend on the mean of the 5 global-temperature datasets is nil. No warming for 13 years 1 month.
15 out of 44 chapters (one-third) were led (coordinating lead authors) by WWF-affiliated scientists
Shova shows us the floating gardens a strengthened version of traditional models. They are planted with new crops, such as turmeric intercropped with okra, cucumber and chillies.
The software needs to be downloaded, installed and then manually configured to protect computers from the newly discovered threat.
But perhaps a carbon tax does run afoul of Coase's warning against blackboard economics. Mankiw makes the whole thing sound pretty straightforward. Then again, silver-bullet policies are rare. As the Fraser Institute's (and former AEIer) Ken Green has noted, a national carbon tax would be regressive, raise the cost of energy inputs for business, and likely be layered on top of existing regulations. What would be the right price, exactly? And wouldn't government become addicted to the new revenue stream? After all, the goal isn't to maximize tax revenue, but to reduce carbon emissions and thus carbon tax revenue over time.
Within the Americas, tropical rainforests are located in five main regions: Mexico and Central America (known as Mesoamerica), Pacific Coastal Columbia and Ecuador (known as the Choco which extends from the Panama border south to northern Ecuador, is the wettest region in the world, and in terms of biological diversity is thought to be one of the most important in the world), the Caribbean Islands, the Guianas and Amazonia (which contain the largest contiguous rainforest in the world including part of eight countries Bolivia, Brazil, Columbia, French Guiana, Guyana, Peru, Suriname and Venezuela app. 7 million square kilometers), and finally, Atlantic Coastal Brazil. (Lessons from the Rainforest, Ghillean Prance, pp. 53-54).
The closest vessels are at least two days sailing time away.
#ar1 0.0459 198.5281 -0.0804 0.1698 -0.0577 0.1478 0.1251
Conclusion: As multiple scientific studies have now shown, the ocean acidification hysteria is just that. Marine life seems extremely capable in its adaptive abilities, such that the risk from lower sea pH levels due to excess CO2 is tiny. This is also now true for the world's plankton communities in spite of the IPCC's prediction.
The case for the pipeline has always been compelling if environmental concerns could be satisfied, and now that case is even stronger. If the president is re-elected this fall, its hard to see how his administration could be justified in again finding grounds to deny a permit for the project, as it did earlier this year.
Soaring Chinese economy at odds with climate goals
Om Kpenhamnsfiaskot skriver hon att den enda verraskningen med hur Kpenhamnsmtet slutade r att det var en verraskning fr s mnga intelligenta mnniskor.
In his RMS article , Kevin Trenberth also conveniently overlooked the fact that the discussions about the warming halt are now for a time period of about 16 years, not 10 yearsever since David Roses DailyMail article titled Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released and here is the chart to prove it . In my response to Trenberths article , I updated David Roses graph , noting that surface temperatures in April 2013 were basically the same as they were in June 1997. Well use June 1997 as the start month for the running 16-year+ trends. The period is now 203-months long. The following graph is similar to the one above, except that its presenting running trends for 203-month periods.
On September 26 of this year, President Obama said this of the new Obamacare exchanges:
The report details how Schatten helped Hwang gain recognition, something the panel said likely encouraged Hwang to offer Schatten authorship of the paper. Schatten nominated Hwang for foreign membership in the United States National Academy of Sciences and with others for a Nobel Prize.
What if the entire foundation for this energy and economic insanity were erroneous, groundless, fabricated a climate con job a Climate Hustle?
> >> Dr Mike Hulme
A few days ago, the Laurie Hawn campaign was alerted, via e-mail, by an Edmonton lawyer that: "Lots of supporters are enumerated at their downtown office address instead of at their houses. One of them was bragging about how many times he could vote liberal (sic) based on the number of leases he had in her riding." In reaction to this e-mail, the Laurie Hawn campaign acquired a City of Edmonton map which listed all buildings and their street addresses and began thoroughly checking the revised voters list. Despite checking less than half the polls, here are some irregularities that have been identified: Almost 100 apparently nonexistent addresses in Edmonton's downtown core - in some cases, the addresses listed fictional residences in between two genuine buildings
Wind power output is unreliable . Three parties should be concerned with the variability of windpower output: the company selling the wind power, the company buying the wind power, and the transmission network operator providing responsible for reliable operation of the power grid.
Researchers at the Royal Botanic Gardens in Kew and the Environment and Coffee Forest Forum in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia looked at how climate change might make some land unsuitable for Arabica plants, which are highly vulnerable to temperature change and other dangers including pests and disease.
A prolonged period of wet weather spurred the spread of the Bubonic plague in medieval times, according to a new study. And a 300-year spell of unpredictable weather coincided with the decline of the Roman Empire.
Stranger than fiction: A little background on the cartooning and cricket blogging of John Cook of Skeptical Science, Al Gores Climate Reality drop partner.
Again, EPA would not pay any attention to climate change scenarios that assume 1996 or even 2009 CO2 emissions in 2020, 2050, 0r 2080. So why put any credence in "studies" that assume 1996 ozone precursor emissions in perpetuity even though today's emissions are already significantly below 1996 emissions? By the 2050s and 2080s, the "global warming effect," if any, on ozone formation, will likely be negligible. The real point of holding emissions constant is not to isolate a warming effect, but to scare the public.
No, the basis for my suspicion is, in large part, the irrational and superstitious way Global Warmingism proponents and adherents react to any kind of extreme weather as evidence that modern economic and scientific activity is making global temperatures unnaturally rise.
Mark Steyn will be on Ezra's show on Sun TV later today to discuss his new book, After America . If you enjoyed Mark's last apocalyptic blockbuster, you'll appreciate this one even more. From budgets to the border, diversity to disease, manufacturing to manhood, Steyn looks at the American undreaming, and provides a glimpse of the post-American world. There's laughs along the way, and a few suggestions as to how total civilizational collapse might be avoided.
Unfortunately, Reid and his allies could get away with it, because "renewable" confers an almost Holy Grail status that ensures widespread political, media and public support. That lofty status, however, ignores two fundamental facts:
Nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions are lower than they were 25 years ago, despite significant increases in population and industrial activity.
As a postscript, I take on Mr. Stern's temperature forecasts of 2.5-3 degree C rise by 2050 and show why they make absolutely no sense in light of the last 100 years of empirical data.
19) What Do I Predict for Global Temperature Changes in the Future? I tend to shy away from long-term predictions, because there are still so many uncertainties. When pressed, though, I tend to say that I think cooling in our future is just as real a possibility as warming. Of course, a third possibility is relatively steady temperatures, without significant long-term warming or cooling. Keep in mind that, while you will find out tomorrow whether your favorite weather forecaster is right or wrong, no one will remember 50 years from now a scientist today wrongly predicting we will all die from heat stroke by 2060.
Xiao et al . concluded that the results of their study "confirmed the beneficial effects of elevated CO 2 on C. intermedia seedlings exposed to drought-stressed conditions," and that these findings "suggest that elevated CO 2 may enhance drought avoidance and improved water relations, thus weakening the effect of drought stress on growth of C. intermedia seedlings," all of which phenomena should help to fight desertification in the Maowusu sandland of China and parts of Inner Mongolia as the air's CO 2 content continues to rise. Reference
Gowdiak said his company found 50 problems in various Java SE implementations including 17 different complete sandbox bypass exploits.
Washington's future in Asia depends upon a rich, strategically active Japan.
"Superstorm" Sandy killed more than 100 people, destroyed thousands of homes and businesses, and left millions without food, water, electricity, sanitation or shelter for days or even weeks. Our thoughts and prayers remain focused on its victims, many of whom are still grieving as they struggle with the storm's wintry aftermath and try to rebuild their lives.
The authors observed increases in CAPE at 12 of the 15 tropical radiosonde stations over the period of their study. These increases, they say, appear to have been driven "by increases in near-surface temperature and/or humidity." They also report that the overall increase in CAPE appears to have been caused largely "by a shift in the middle 1970s" that was "consistent with the time of an apparent shift of the background state of the climate." The climate model, however, even though forced by observed sea surface temperatures, did not reproduce the overall increase in CAPE. The authors then coupled the atmospheric model to an ocean model and ran a simulation "with changing greenhouse gases and aerosols in the twentieth century." Once again, however, they report that, "like the atmospheric GCM, the coupled model did not reproduce the observed trends in CAPE over the period examined."
As the president of a school district board, you have a particular responsibility to encourage informed discussion on controversial matters of the day, rather than to denigrate in ignorant fashion one aspect of a complex, multi-sided argument of which you happen to disapprove.
According to findings published by the American College Testing (ACT) National Curriculum Survey, Common Core State Standards fail to prepare students for college. According to the ACT survey, released in June, only 16 percent of college educators say incoming students are prepared for post-secondary coursework. "The college instructors are having to grapple with students who are not fully prepared for college writing," said Mary Byrne, a former college professor and a member of the Missouri Coalition Against Common Core. READ MORE
Brazil President courts Chinese bid for high-speed rail link:
Ive also tried to explain that the temperature of the Earth and its atmosphere (or anything else, for that matter) is a function of rates of energy gain and energy loss, not of just how much solar radiation is absorbed. Ive argued this using the analogy of insulation in a house even though the insulation does not add new energy (just as the atmospheric greenhouse effect doesnt add new energy to the Earth system,) it does make the house warmer in winter by reducing the rate of energy loss to its colder surroundings.
If she happened to obtain the data that the actresses got better rankings, she would have interpreted the data as a confirmation of the "sexist biases" as well. She would argue that her experiments show that there's no real difference and all the differences in the real world have to be due to sexism. Her colleagues are publishing similar "research" all the time, too.
Another interesting thing raised by this critique is that, for all the ballyhoo about 2500 scientists being involved, the IPCC seems to be an enormous echo chamber operating outside of mainstream scientific thought. Last year, when the chairman of the National Academy of Science's panel on Applied Statistics looked at the statistical methodology of the paleoclimatologists he found serious drawbacks (PDF link). He was, of course, dismissed for not being part of the echo chamber.
Most people not directly affected by the layoffs consider such arguments petty in comparison with ?saving the planet.? It would only be by demonstrating that the impact threat was false that anti-deflection bureau advocates have any chance of winning the debate, but they dare not bring it up. Bureau supporters would be furious if the rug was pulled out from under their pet project.
"The Environmental Protection Agency's pending global warming regulations are no "end run" around Congress, as many conservatives are charging. This time, Congress is being held hostage by its own laws."
The UN's Margareta Wahlstrom , aka "United Nations Deputy Emergency Relief Coordinator and the Secretary-General's Special Coordinator for Humanitarian Assistance in Tsunami-afected countries" - (yes, this is her title) is calling all psychiatrists;
President Obama's Clean Power Plan (CPP) has widespread opposition within the Republican Partyincluding state governors who struggle to interpret the regulations but who are asking the right questions regarding the impact on their individual states. Even coal-state Democrats, such as Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV), have concerns with the CPP.
According to DECC statistics , the capacity of installed wind farms last year was 10976 MW, but on average, wind only runs at about 28% of that capacity over the year. On days such as today, wind is only running at 5% or less.
Analysts do not expect the segment to grow significantly this year: the combination of gas prices below $4 a gallon and higher upfront costs for the cars is not attracting consumers.
The top five corporate givers provided The Heritage Foundation with 2% of its 2013 income. The Heritage Foundation's books are audited annually by the national accounting firm of McGladrey, LLP.
Now there may be even fewer Democrats for TPA, and Boehner, lacking enough Republicans to pass it, is pressing the president to get more votes from his party.
But problems with the GDP measurement exist. Prices may not exist for some goods and services, such as government-provided free health care or family care services, so statisticians have to impute prices to get a more complete GDP measure. Yet imputation is unreliable, given that the necessarily subjective evalu-ations are done by remote statisticians and not by consumers using the services. Additionally, discrepancies arise when the imputed values of these services vary cross-nationally. For instance, many services are valued more highly in Finland than in the United States because in the former the government sector is larger. Not including these services would bias Finland's GDP downward in relative terms.
Thanks to Sonya Porter and Allan Cotterill for this link
In certain industries and certain states, it can be very hard to find coverage. For example, because campgrounds have a higher than average history of accidents, and because it is not a large market, many insurers won't touch our class code. One of the first thing an agent will do is to check to see if the companies he represents will write for your class code(s). By the way, this is also one of the first things that an employee outsourcing company will check, to see if they want to do business with you. In addition to difficulties with certain class codes, certain states, like Florida, can be a problem. For example, our company used to have a national policy that covered all 11 states that we were in. Several years ago, that company stopped writing certain states (California and Florida were the first they dropped) and I have had to systematically stitch together coverage from multiple brokers and companies. I currently have 5 policies to cover 10 states.
As we argued in a previous AEI Environmental Policy Outlook in June, a revenue-neutral carbon tax, offset by reductions in taxes on productivity is a superior policy option to carbon emission trading in virtually every dimension. Revenue neutral carbon-centered tax reform would: be more effective at reducing GHG emissions than emission trading; create a revenue stream to offset economic damage of higher energy prices; shift a portion of the tax base from productive endeavor to consumption; be less prone to corruption; require no new collection mechanisms; be predictably adjustable and be self-moderatingnobody is likely to want the tax to be higher than absolutely necessary.
Do the scientists who are at the top of their fields realize the above, not all. But guys like Keven Trenberth, Michael Mann and Phil Jones do. They understood the need to maintain a perfect consensus to achieve the IPCC goals. Do they believe in what they do? I dunno. I dont think Mann does, but how can you tell what another thinks?
Ever had a child with colicterrible experience, late in the afternoon in the 3rd or 4th month they scream and cry and they are inconsolable. We have to teach parents to walk away to prevent anger and violence, the kid has what you might call an energy/behavior disorder, runs in families. You want to think they have cramps, be my guest. People take the child for a ride, put them on the dryer, anything to stop the crying. The only thing good about colic is that it stops just about as abruptly as it starts.
Now Germany plans to phase out subsidies altogether, its solar industry is likely to disappear by the end of the decade.
In his presentation, Dr. Patzelt also reveals glacier advances and retreats in the Alps throughout the Holocene, thousands of kilometers away from the Russian Altai. Forests existed at elevations that werehigher than today in areas that are presently covered by glaciers.
The situation is quite clear on EF-4s the trend has significantly declined, and even 2011 had far fewer events than 1974 17 v 29.
More ice in the Antarctic, it is mans fault for wrecking the ozone layer.
Der Spiegel has an article on this topic, an interview with German electric utility executive Fritz Vahrenhold, entitled I feel duped on climate change .
Last Monday he first gave an interview to The Economist where he declared he had no idea the size of his salary but later that day he told The Guardian he earned 30,000 a year. He lives in an inherited house reported to be worth millions in Delhis most expensive neighbourhood.
Some people are rejoicing over this turn of events. Desmog blog announces the death of the denial palooza:
With eastern Arctic ice above normal, total ice extent willbe very close tothe 1981-2010 mean in a few weeks. Might even go above themean. Look for a spectacularramp up of Arctic lies this autumn from government funded experts.
?The main reason they were able to get away with what they?ve gotten away with is that a majority of the mainstream media were complicit in what (the IPCC and other scientists) were doing,? Ball said. ?This is where the Founding Fathers have been corrupted because they believed the media would be the watchdogs, the gatekeepers. The mainstream media have failed completely.?
These researchers sought to identify the magnitude of the natural signals present in the observed trends of surface and lower atmospheric temperatures and to see whether the recent slowdown in the rate of global average temperature rise could be explained by the combination of the timing of natural influences (again, solar, El Nio/La Nia, volcanoes). Ultimately, they concluded that, in fact, it could be. And when the natural signals were removed from the global temperature record, global warming was alive and well and proceeding at a remarkable steady rate since the beginning of their period of study, 1979-2010 (Fig. 3).
The real food crisis hasn?t hit yet. The crop shortfalls in the U.S., Russia, Argentina, and Australia aren?t even all that unusual. Bad weather happens, and it hasn?t gotten worse with ?global warming.?
Second, the idea of seeking a consensus on global warming reveals a misunderstanding of science itself. For science, facts are determined by the scientific method, wherein quantitative predictions resulting from a theory are refuted or confirmed by experiments. The known inadequacies of the present models mean they can tell us very little about the cause of climate change.
In its 2013 report, "How to Make Nuclear Cheap," the Breakthrough Institute offers a plan that would seem to sync with what Thiel recommends. It includes both expanded support for public research as well as regulatory reform "so developers can demonstrate and license reactor components; and lower the costs, regulatory barriers, and time to market for new designs." And certainly there are examples of government and private sector working together successfully on energy advances, most notably the shale energy revolution.
The Endangered Species Act (ESA) direly needs revision, updating or outright repeal as, though well-intended in the beginning, it has more recently been used as a funding tool for environmental groups and a way for them to block economic activity, such as oil-and-gas extraction, and ranching, farming, and mining.
Anti-skepticism isn?t science. At best it?s a kind of para-science, because skepticism is inherent to the scientific process. This para-science is the unprecedented, powerful, well-funded force, not the much-maligned skeptics. Even the oil companies go against the clich and fund it. It?s the skepticism inherent to science that is embattled. Everything else is delusion and lies. That is how the science has been damaged. That is among the main points of Garth?s book. Skepticism aims at truth. Para-science is about other agendas. No matter what they are, ?moral imperative? not withstanding, finding the truth trumps them all. Many scientists, including me, are worried humanity has been paying ?too high a price? in subordinating science to these agendas.
The pundits and pollsters are calling the presidential race too close to call. They suggest even minor issues could decide the outcome.
95 percent of global warming models are wrong
> >> >- p.5, top under Analytic Framework: your 1st sentence says that
Yeah, those guys suck. But more on our worthless allies later.