Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
On Thursday, September 15, The Heartland Institute will celebrate its 32nd anniversary with a reception and dinner at The Cotillion, a fine banquet hall in Palatine, Illinois. Our keynote speaker will be political satirist and author P.J. O'Rourke, who will deliver an incisive and funny address about the 2016 election and the state of politics and culture in America today. Early bird rates end July 31 and seats will fill up fast, so don't hesitate to buy your tickets today! READ MORE
Will the Supreme Court Review EPA?s Greenhouse Gas Regulations? Part II
It often is stated that water vapor is the chief greenhouse gas (GHG) in the atmosphere. For example, it has been asserted that about 98% of the natural greenhouse effect is due to water vapour and stratiform clouds with CO2 contributing less than 2%
Actually, ENSO is an integral part of the sea surface temperature record. As such, the effects of ENSO cannot be removed from the surface temperature record. ENSO represents a natural coupled ocean-atmosphere process, not some outside factor. The events that initiate an El Nio are weather related, making El Nio basically random events, but theyre still part of normal and natural global climate. By labeling ENSO as noise or an exogenous factor, the scientists and statisticians are attempting to conceal its long-term effectsjust another way to misinform the public.
Yesterday, the high temperature in New York, 59 degrees Fahrenheit, tied the record set in 1911 for the coldest August high ever and was 23 degrees below the normal high: The New York Sun The record cold high of 64 degrees Fahrenheit for August 21st, set in 1999, had to be edited, too. The new record is 5 degrees cooler than the previous one: CBS Summer 2007 is on its way to become one of the coolest summers on record: July was 1.5 degrees below the normal and August is so far 1 degree below the normal. Participants of the Simons Workshop on Long Island such as Aaron Bergman are freezing, too. But you won't hear these stories from RealClimate.org. The temperature in the Arctic is way more important for the society than the temperature in Manhattan, as long as it is warmer than average. ;-) These court jesters deny global warming and look how they dress up in August: how funny. ;-)
There are also exciting opportunities that could arise for the public recording and utilization of such capital through the distributed public-ledger system known as the blockchain, best known for its role in the development of bitcoin. Development of the blockchain for property recording and titling would significantly reduce both the transaction costs and the widespread corruption associated with government-controlled titling systems. Significantly, De Soto's ILD is promoting these initiatives.
Americans belief in global warming is on the rise, along with temperatures and surprising weather changes, according to a new university poll.
In order to trsta their carbon faithful readers p Washington University's Zhang also says that when it gets warmer NNU's will probably trend seekers multitude of sea ice in Antarctica to be broken. The scheme will sledes to terstllas says Zhang, and politicians can continue to their climate policy threaten the safe frvissning that everything makes for hell unless they gr something drastically
2) To my quick scan, more of the stations are cooler. It would be best to do some sort of statistical plot of the data, but right now, this is hot off the presses. More importantly, from personal knowledge of the locations, those stations that are more suburban and a bit closer to the original environment are the cool ones. The warm ones are nearer to development, concrete and roadways. Its pretty clear to me that the development around and at the airport cuts a degree or two off the lower temperatures on cold clear nights. Just the pattern we see in the data. Cold clipping.
Soon, Denmark produced a study ("Wind Energy: The Case of Denmark ") through the think-tank CEPOS. This paper also revealed tremendous costs, and that Obama's claim about Denmark's "renewables" experience was also steeped in mythology.
In summary cyclic Earth eccentricity causes Earth cooling and warming, not the availability of excess Greenhouse gases.
NOAA Says U.S. Cooling Over Last 15 Years: -3.2 F/Century Rate, As of August 2011
These three points are that (1) "rapid evolution is common," that (2) "genetic divergence occurs along a variety of gradients, including those affected by global change," and that (3) "genetic divergence in a variety of species can impact ongoing species interactions, community structure, biodiversity and ecosystem function."
A prominent paper examining the issue was published in 2011 by Dr. Benjamin Santer and a long list of colleagues including some of the bigger names in climate science. These researchers set out to see just how unusual the rather low warming rate in the lower atmosphere is when compared with climate model expectations of the evolution of the temperatures when run with a combination of the observed (through the year ~2000) and projected (through 2010: from the IPCC?s SRES A1B scenario) anthropogenic enhancements to the atmosphere?s chemical and physical composition.
Oil, Climate Change, and Security: A Bipartisan Approach
Europe-wide Next 3 Days Accumulated Snow
Willie Soon is a solar physicist and climate scientist based in Cambridge, Mass. Lord Monckton is a former expert reviewer for the Fifth Assessment Report of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2013) of the U.N.?s climate panel.
The real moral of this story is that scientists are merely human. They can be as short-sighted and as political and as dishonorable as the rest of us.
Judge Issues Mixed Ruling on Cape Wind
As you can see, that 56 F high is closer to the normal low of 51 F than to the normal high of 68 F. Were looking at 10 15 F below normal, depending on location. And a good 31 F below the record. Record heat we dont have But I notice that were trending toward that record low of 45 F set during the last cold phase of the PDO Our low is set to be all of 4 F above that, and the PDO shift is young
The social cost of carbon (SCC) is, in theory, a measure of the damage done to future economies from the emission of another ton of CO2 for the year in which the CO2 is emitted. In concept, the CO2 emitted adds a warming effect to the atmosphere for the year in which it was emitted as well as subsequent years (to varying degrees) for centuries to come. The added warming in each year will have economic impacts from the warming and from sea-level rise. The present value of these damages is summed to get the social cost of carbon for the year of emission.
Surely it could not be anything to do with the Govt ship Aurora Australis being icebound ? (see yesterday post below) A sort of counter story.
Tuesday's headlines gave Mitt Romney a golden opportunity to attack President Obama and his "green" energy agenda during the second presidential debate. A123 Systems, the electric-car-battery maker that got a $249 million grant from the Department of Energy in 2009, filed for bankruptcy in a Delaware court.
One casualty of the massive expansion of wind power will have to be Longannet coal fired power station which I imagine will close before 2020. The plan is, after all, to get rid of fossil fuel powered generation even although coal is likely to be the cheapest form of power production for many decades.
The paper is behind a pay wall but there is a comprehensive summary here.
And you need to educate yourself to avoid being afflicted by various government policies intended to advance the hoax. To start with, do not vote for any politician who talks of global warming/climate change or uses the term "sustainability."
Mikey Manns c limate of doom in 2036 model puts us in a full blown ice age in 1960
Fonte provides several case studies of the global-governance philosophy at work, including international efforts to direct U.S. domestic policy; transmogrifying the laws of war to constrain U.S. options and practices; the International Criminal Court (ICC); isolating and delegitimizing Israel; and international migration and assimilation policies. The globalista agenda is lengthy, including major issues such as climate change, but Fonte's examples certainly rank among their top priorities.
Needless to say, investors would lose out as companies would have to divert resources to compliance with these mandates, on top of the horrific regulations from corporate "reforms" such as Sarbanes-Oxley and Dodd-Frank. One consequence would be that this would simply accelerate the trend of companies leaving or staying off of the public markets, and ordinary investors will lose out on options to boost their portfolio with profitable companies.
Many critics have complained that the biggest problem with the IPCC Third Assessment Report, which was completed under Watson's chairmanship, is advocacy and not science.
And as I mentioned at the outset, if climate sensitivity is low, then the warming effect of more CO2 (as well as the cooling effect of any geoengineering fixes to the problem) will have little effect on global temperatures, anyway.
This lag is one of the reasons that we have recommended ocean heat content changes as a more appropriate climate metric for global warming and cooling, as there are no lags involved; just an accounting for the Joules of heat in the climate system, as discussed in
Read here . Actual real world research of peer reviewed literature finds that island atolls continue to gain shore line - "reef islands exhibit a degree of physical resilience." Virtual climate model predictions are incorrect.
12. How much will the earth's temperature rise if the amount of human-made CO2 in the atmosphere continues to increase in the next 100 years?
It turns out that there is a much more fundamental and unambiguous check of the role of feedbacks in enhancing greenhouse warming that also shows that all models are greatly exaggerating climate sensitivity. Here, it must be noted that the greenhouse effect operates by inhibiting the cooling of the climate by reducing net outgoing radiation. However, the contribution of increasing CO2 alone does not, in fact, lead to much warming (approximately 1 deg. C for each doubling of CO2).
Now that we've answered the first question, let's focus on the second and what lies ahead for the GOP. But first, some historical perspective.
Thats it: 2.77 mm (about a tenth of an inch) per year for the last 150 years. No acceleration ofthe sea-level-rise-ratehas accompanied increasing atmospheric CO2 levels. To get three feet in the next 40 years the sea level must rise an average of about 23 mm per year between now and 2050. That is a sea-level-rise-rate increase by a factor of nine. Something like this
Indeed. Just last October Professor Muller released a study claiming that he had checked out the concerns raised by sceptics, including the risk of data selection bias and, temperatures really were rising .
It's more likely than not at during 2012 or at the beginning of 2013, we will actually see an RSS climate record that will display a cooling trend during the most recent 15 years ??? partly because of the expected 2011/2012 La Nia, partly because the warm 1998 year will emerge at the beginning of the 15-year interval. Recent years increasingly paint the story that the "global warming" stopped more than a decade ago.
To cut a long story short, the 95% certainty of Working Group I boils down to climate models and 98% of them didnt predict the pause in surface temperature trends (von Storch 2013) . Even under the most generous interpretation, models are proven failures, 100% right except for rain, drought, storms, humidity and everything else (Taylor 2012). They get cloud feedbacks wrong by a factor 19 times larger than the entire effect of increased CO2 (Miller 2012). They dont predict the climate on a local, regional, or continental scale (Anagnostopoulos 2010 andKoutsoyiannis 2008). They dont work on the tropical troposphere (Christy 2010, Po-Chedley 2012 , Fu 2011 , Paltridge 2009). The fingerprints they predicted are 100% missing.
A growing body of evidence clearly shows that hydroclimatic variability
The term carbon pollution is a pejorative term that displays ignorance by those who use it. In reality, the public debate is about the magnitude of the warming effect exercised by human carbon dioxide emissions. Carbon dioxide from whatever source is an environmental benefice that sustains most of the ecosystems on planet Earth.
Homeowners who care about their own property should do what they can to reinforce it against hurricanes: roof tie-downs, storm-resistant windows and deep-rooted plantings pay for themselves through improved safety, increased property values and lower insurance rates.
The true global average temperature is that measured from outer space, and this has a value of -18 degrees C. We do not actually know what the average surface temperature is because we simply dont have thermometers placed on the actual ground surface. If we did, climate science would see the Sun heating the surface to very high temperature, as we did in that linked paper above, and then they would have to abandon the flux-averaged models that create a greenhouse effect because they assume that the Sunshine is too cold to heat the ground by itself.
Public emails subject to open scrutiny and broad dissemination: These only need to be sent by, or delivered to, at least one email address that is a public, government institution funded by taxpayers. An example in Great Britain would be the University of East Anglia, where Phil Jones was once director of the CRU. Another example, in the U.S., would be the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, where every employee has a llnl.gov email address. That dot-gov suffix is a dead giveaway.
Working with two species of oak ( Quercus velutina Lam. and Quercus coccinea Muench.) and one of pine ( Pinus echinata Mill.) in the Ozark Mountains of Missouri, USA, the authors cross-dated a large number of increment cores and aligned the ring-width data by pith date for accurate age-constant assessments of growth over the past 150 years, thereby circumventing "changes in growth trend associated with differences in physiological functioning during development, as well as the need for statistical detrending that removes an unknown degree of long-term environmental signal, the so-called segment length curse that applies to standard dendrochronological investigations." In addition, they similarly analyzed previously acquired data for P. echinata stretching back in time to nearly AD 1600. What was learned
The International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers and the Plumbers and Pipefitters, whose presidents joined Mr. Obama on Tuesday, are desperate to get more work and members, because the Labor Department lists their pension plans as in "critical" status - meaning that they have less than 65% of assets needed to fulfill their obligations to current and future retirees. The Building Trades United Pension Fund has postponed bringing its funds into actuarial balance due to financial difficulties.
Move over David Crane. Enter Alex Epstein, the author of The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels .Might Crane debate Epsteinand soon? Thats an event that I would be sure to watch, and you should too.
However any account of their role would make the book much longer, and perhaps less accessible. He is clearly aware of these forces, as he describes incidents impossible without them. Moreover he speaks to it directly through the following:
Apart from ecology, lawyers have their own philosophy, called jurisprudence. Like Ambrose Bierce, some medieval Scottish lawyers may not be recognised as philosophers, but showed perspicacity in taking the Latin verb reptare (to crawl or creep) and forming the legal terms subreption and obreption. These mean, respectively, to crawl under the truth, and to crawl over it; in other words to mislead by telling less than the whole truth, or by telling more than the whole truth. In bushfire debate, as in courtrooms, we need the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.
5. U.S. oil demand may be relatively flat, but it's not going away. Opponents of the pipeline claim that there's no need to build the Keystone XL, because U.S. oil demand is sluggish. That's true, but the U.S. will continue to need lots of oil for decades to come. Here's the latest prediction from EIA: "U.S. consumption of liquid fuels, including both fossil fuels and biofuels, rises from about 18.8 million barrels per day in 2009 to 21.9 million barrels per day in 2035."
There is a very interesting passage on that Durrington Walls link above. Ill quote it here, but its probably better read in the context of the original article:
The first sentence here, citing unspecified ???empirical relationships?? between cosmogenic isotopes (a proxy for solar activity) and ???some aspects of the climate system?? is the only reference in the entire report to the massive evidence for a solar driver of climate. Not a word about the magnitude of the correlations found, nothing about how these correlations are much too strong to possibly be explained by the slight variance in solar irradiance alone, and almost nothing (???many??) about the sheer volume of studies that have found these correlations. And that??s it: one oblique sentence, then the report jumps immediately to looking at the evidence for one proposed mechanism by which solar amplification might be occurring.
Switzerland covers coal, oil and natural gas. The report is littered with similar caveats for other countries.
on Wednesday, January 13th, 2010 at 2:49 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
WikiLeaks Exposes Podesta-Steyer Climate McCarthyism
Climate models are the basis for much of the gloom and doom predictions of warming. The problem is that the models are terrible even at hindcasting , which somewhat detracts from their predictive credibility.
Photosynthetic rates of sub-ambiently-grown seedlings measured 12 to 22 days after transfer to 350 ppm CO 2 tended to be greater than those displayed by control plants raised exclusively at 350 ppm CO 2 , while seedlings grown at 800 ppm CO 2 and transferred to 350 ppm CO 2 exhibited photosynthetic rates that tended to be lower than those observed in the control seedlings. Nevertheless, seedlings initially grown at elevated CO 2 concentrations attained whole plant dry mass values that were 14% greater than those reached by control plants, while seedlings initially grown at the subambient CO 2 concentration attained values that were 24% lower than those measured in control seedlings. What it means
"Berresford "Berry" Bingham, the political director of SEIU Local 1021, was found dead in his West Oakland home and investigators are treating the death as a homicide, police said."
Good heavens! Since 1997 the planet (or at least the U.S. portion of it) has been cooling! Just like Murphy said in his column. And this cooling is not just a 2009 phenomenon.
Climate science has transformed itself from a research backwater a few decades ago into one of the greatest public-good scientific cash cows ever devised. In Australia, for instance, there is a separate federal Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency specifically devoted to implementing (buying?) the social change required to limit global warming. The livelihood of many of the climate scientists within the CSIRO and elsewhere is now dependent on grants from that department. It is not a situation conducive to sceptical outlook and balanced advice. When a tendency toward postmodern science is mixed with a single, generous and undoubtedly biased source of money, it is not surprising that things can go very wrong very quickly.
Politicians and administrators as well as the public have to evaluate the impact on society of the various phenomena and take decisions in the face of uncertainties. Apparently scientific but incorrect or sensational information is often fed to them. The meteorologist has therefore a responsibility in bringing a correct appreciation of the nature of the meteorological phenomena and the factors which determine their impact, on the part of politicians, administrators and society in general and in removing misconceptions.
Elizabeth May on the hidden talents of Stephen Mesmer-Harper : Murray Dobbin: "Do you think Harper has deliberately set out to discourage people from voting?" Elizabeth May: "Absolutely. People thought that Harper had become more popular between the 2006 and 2008 elections but not so: 170,000 fewer people voted for a Conservative candidate in 2008 than in 2006. His larger seat count is a tribute to his ability to discourage people from voting ." Apparently his special powers work best against potential Green Party voters.
The frosting on environmentalists' cake came when the Rockefeller Brothers Fund announced it would divest shares in companies producing fossil fuels. It could not be determined whether John D. Rockefeller, the fund's founder who also founded the modern petroleum industry, is spinning in his grave or, as his heirs contend, would be a leader in the switch to renewables. But it is certain he would have noticed that the family's $2 million investment in renewables was wiped out.
German scientists Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch have released their latest international survey of climate scientists. The data is reported here:
British consumers were forced to use eco-friendly water heaters by the last Labour government. Unfortunately, the boilers work poorly or not at all in cold weather :
Sometime late in the next century, our heirs will discover whether global warming produces dramatic changes such as the disappearance of coastlines and an upsurge in tropical diseases. The task facing us now is how best to address the possibility of human-induced climate damage on a global scale.
One proviso, is that we must use this estimate over similar periods, but as the post cooling scare is less than 30 years and the pause is now longer than 18 years, we are using similar length periods.
Subsequent polls, for example those by Hans von Storch in Germany, have given similar resultswhile polls conducted by activists have consistently shown strong support for AGW. A classic case is a survey of the abstracts of nearly 1000 papers, by science historian Naomi Oreskes (UC San Diego); published in 2004 Science , she claimed a near-unanimous consensus about AGW. However, after being challenged, Oreskes discovered having overlooked some 11,000 abstractsand published a discreet Correction in a later issue of Science .
Obama used the Hawaiian monument creation to talk about how global warming could wipe out natural landmarks.
"You have destroyed nature with your industrial waste and gases more than any other nation in history. Despite this, you refuse to sign the Kyoto agreement so that you can secure the profit of your greedy companies and industries," al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden wrote in a 2002 "letter to the American people".
Obama's "New" Doctrine: What Americans Want, but Not What They Need
"It became so easy, I got complacent," Brown said. Almost 400 TSA officers have been fired for stealing from passengers over the past decade.
Problems with surface measurements are notorious. Recording stations are sparse, even nonexistent in vital global locations, most particularly throughout the Southern Hemisphere and in remote polar regions. After 1970 the number of reporting stations dropped suddenly and drastically. (Stations at airports have seemed to be unaffected, and may even have increased in number.) And as John noted, urban heat islands have developed over time, not to mention problems resulting from faulty placements of temperature recording instruments which have to be "corrected" by applying subjective "homogenizing' (tuning) procedures.