Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In the 25 years since the first Earth Day in 1970, the environmental movement has spawned a new generation of scientists asking vital questions about the true state and fate of the planet. But, surprisingly, some of their answers--and even the questions themselves--contradict the movement's deepest beliefs. Why are the reserves of oil, precious metals, and other natural resources more plentiful than ever before? Why has the population growth of the twentieth century brought rising standards of living for nearly all? In The True State of the Planet ten premier scholars shatter the myths of overpopulation, food, global warming, and pesticides, while redirecting environmentalists' concerns to the far more urgent problems of fisheries, fresh water, and third-world pollution--and the political causes behind them.
Babcock et al., 2010 (in another study published in PNAS on the same day as McCook et al.) also examined the ecological effects of marine protected areas. However, this report is much more widely based geographically and longer term .
Those countries will receive far less foreign aid from increasingly cash-strapped Western nations. Little good will come of the Green Climate Fund cash the United Nation says industrialized nations should transfer to kleptocratic rulers in poor countries as reparations for supposedly causing climate change.
Democrats in Washington have long fought to protect the unions and have been champing at the bit for greenhouse gas restrictions. The bailouts provide new leverage on both of these scores.
Hackers find new way to cheat on Wall Street to everyone's peril:
I recently came across a report written by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) which estimated the cost to taxpayers for ???federal policies to promote (aka subsidize) the manufacture and purchase of electric vehicles (EVs).?? The piece also predicts the short-term benefits of the subsidies and includes the effects of rising federal requirements for fuel economy (known as CAFE) standards. The outlook is that federal subsidies will cost taxpayers $7.5 billion over the next few years for little or no benefit (even when including the impact of CAFE) to total gas consumption or emissions.
Last year I published an ebook (pdf) about the phenomena called El Nio and La Nia. Its titled Who Turned on the Heat? with the subtitle The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Nio Southern Oscillation . It is intended for persons (with or without technical backgrounds) interested in learning about El Nio and La Nia events and in understanding the natural causes of the warming of our global oceans for the past 31+ years. Because land surface air temperatures simply exaggerate the natural warming of the global oceans over annual and multidecadal time periods, the vast majority of the warming taking place on land is natural as well. The book is the product of years of research of the satellite-era sea surface temperature data thats available to the public via the internet. It presents how the data accounts for its warmingand there are no indications the warming was caused by manmade greenhouse gases. None at all.
Certainly, 2011 sticks out , but it is absolutely clear that the last decade is unexceptional. It is also clear that there were many more strong tornadoes in the 1970s, and to a lesser extent in the 1950s.
As the CO 2 content of the air continues to rise, it is likely that these four weedy species common to European grasslands will not flourish and expand their territories as often claimed by some individuals who propagate the view that rising CO 2 levels will cause weeds to become increasingly more problematic and devastating to ecosystems in the future. Rather, it is more conceivable that a single weedy species, Poa annua , may possess the ability to expand its ranges, but only in habitats receiving full sunlight; for this paper demonstrated that light level was a much greater determinant of vegetative and reproductive success than was atmospheric CO 2 enrichment. Thus, if the results of this paper are applicable to most weedy species, it is likely that they will exhibit few, if any , changes in their vegetative and reproductive success in response to future increases in the CO 2 content of the air.
Port Pirie News, sport and weather | The Recorder
The satellite measures temperatures in the layer of atmosphere from sea level up to about 35,000 feet, which Christy says includes three-fourths of the total Earth atmosphere. These measurements, he says, are much more accurate than relying solely on ground measurements.
This breakpoint may be related to loss of seasonal measurements in Antarctica, note that in this Cryosphere Today graph, most of the ice extent anomalies post 2005 are positive.
Another trick question by activists trying to sell a consensus: If you are seriously ill and 99 doctors recommend a certain treatment, would you go with the one doctor who disagrees?
/s/ Thomas M. Grubbs JSC, Chief, Aircraft Maintenance and Engineering Branch, 31 years
Is there any good news for the environment among Evangelicals? guest post by Ken Wilson
Reviving cap and trade or implementing a similarly costly carbon tax is even less likely today than four years ago, as the House of Representatives is controlled by Republicans, many of whom are unconvinced of the magnitude of climate change or of the efficacy of unilateral action. Similarly, interfering in the market through preferential policies and subsidies financed by taxpayer dollars designed to support green energy projectsadding to the tens of billions of dollars passed in the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Actis unlikely to elicit bipartisan support when Congress is grappling with how to reduce spending.
The authors report that "low salinity during 1160-1290 AD showed the humid climate condition the Medieval Warm Period in this area, while the high salinity during 1410-1540 AD, 1610-1670 AD and 1770-1850 AD the three cold pulses of the Little Ice Age with a dry climate condition," where the evidence for the occurrence of these warm and cold intervals comes from the climate change studies of Yao et al . (1990) and Wang (2001). What it means
1. CO2, Global Warming and Coral Reefs Prospects for the Future, 2009. Science and Public Policy Institute http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/co2 coral warming.html
Enlarging upon Talley's work, Boccaletti et al . develop the tools for calculating the sizes of the contributions each of the three levels of circulation (shallow, intermediate and deep) make to the total poleward heat transport of the global ocean. What was learned
This post provides a simple overview of how the instrument temperature record confirms that El Nio and La Nia events, not manmade greenhouse gases, are the primary causes of the warming of global sea surface temperatures weve experienced over the past 30 years. It provides a slightly different and simpler perspective of the data-based arguments Ive discussed and illustrated in past posts here at Climate Observations , many of which have been cross-posted at the internets most-viewed website on global warming and climate change WattsUpWithThat . This is the same tackmake it easy to understandI took when preparing my popular e-book Who Turned on the Heat? The Unsuspected Global Warming Culprit, El Nio-Southern Oscillation .
"Eco-Imperialism" = efforts by the developed world to impose its environmental priorities on the developing world. Developed countries seek to pressure the Third World into reduce greenhouse gas emissions "for the sake of the planet," regardless of its impact on the standard of living and prospects for economic growth in those nations. Cost-effective energy use is critical for Third World people, and is the fastest path toward ending poverty.
Overall, this is a very good book on an exceedingly important topic. I give it 4.5 stars rather than 5 stars, since the writing was a bit uneven. The unruly teenager metaphor too often leads to explicit scolding, which to me sometimes goes too far in leading the reader. Some of the points, while broadly valid, didnt quite hit the nail on the head, IMO. A few examples:
After a period of rapid temperature increases during the 1980s and 1990s there has been a significant slow-down since the turn of the century, leading some sceptics to claim that global warming has stopped.
Perhaps the most Impressive feature, the Governor adds, is the absolute stillness that prevails not only through the absence of the familiar rustle of vegetation as the trade wind sweeps over it, but-also because of the absence of animal and even insect life. Birds, lizards, beetles, snakes, and, in fact, every form of animal life, seems to have been blown away or drowned out .
Roger Bate is a visiting fellow at AEI. David Montgomery is vice president of Charles River Associates.
Duke Energy's new $3.3 billion coal gasification and "carbon dioxide capture" power plant will increase rates for its Indiana customers by some 15% the next two years. Hospitals, factories, shopping malls and school districts will have to pay an extra $150,000 a year in operating expenses for each million dollars in annual electricity bills. That's four or five entry-level jobs that won't be created or preserved.
When compared with pre-1800s levels, do you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen, fallen, or remained relatively constant?
A lot may be implied in those words. Obama refers to the creed the philosophy of rights and government articulated in the Declaration of Independence. He seems to suggest that its meaning for our times lies in the doctrine of creation care ,a green variant of progressive theology. But whereas the Declaration articulated a philosophy of limited government, green theologyaims to expand the reach and scope of government.Al Gore gave voice tosimilar views in his 1992 book on ecology and the human spirit, Earth in the Balance. He famously declared that the time had come to make rescue of the environment the central organizing principle of civilization.
There is no question about the critical need for this service, she said. Climate change is real. Its happening now in our own backyards and around the globe, and its beginning to touch nearly every aspect of our lives.
$10,000 to repair a minor but long scratch
Image from Adam Smith, via Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.'s blog - click
Colorado State University professor Roger Pielke Sr. has extensively documented how land use affects climate. Urban sprawl has led to the creation of heat islands which are several degrees warmer than surrounding rural areas. Development in Florida has shifted in rain patterns. And deforestation has contributed to the famous melting of Himalaya glaciers.
Then we learned that in the much touted Antarctic ice core record temperature increased before CO 2 , contradicting the main assumption of the Warmists hypothesis.
"President Obama's environmental policies have already been hard on energy developers and the economy, so if we elect a Democrat president and follow their party's environmental platform, Americans will have hugely expensive energy costs and no economic growth," Ebell said.
Last summer's record-smashing drought in the US heartland was driven far more by natural variability in weather patterns than by global warming, according to a new analysis by a team of federal and university researchers.
Such claims have been repeatedly made by GBRMPA and would, if used by a business, constitute violations of advertising and corporate law. To see it done repeatedly and included in a report in a leading scientific journal is a sad indictment of GBRMPA sponsored science as well as basic honesty.
From the graph it appears that the projections exaggerate, substantially, the response of the earths temperature to CO2 which increased by about 11% from 1989 through 2011. Furthermore, when one examines the historical temperature record throughout the 20th century and into the 21st, the data strongly suggest a much lower CO2 effect than almost all models calculate.
If youre new to this discussion, you might be thinking the energy imbalance is a great big number. Sorry to disappoint you. Compared to the amount of sunlight reaching the top of the atmosphere, the imbalance is tinyreally tiny. Trenberth et al. (2014) provide a rough estimate in their Abstract:
Chairman Markey and Members of the Committee, thank you for inviting me to testify today on the important topic of the outcomes of the global warming talks in Bali last week. My name is Myron Ebell. I have served as director of energy and global warming policy at the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI) since 1999. CEI is a non-profit, non-partisan public policy institute that concentrates on regulatory issues from a free-market perspective. CEI does not accept government funding. CEI is an NGO accredited to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, and CEI's President, Fred Smith, attended the 1992 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro. CEI has sent NGO participants to many of the succeeding Conferences of the Parties, including COP-3 in Kyoto in 1997. I have been an observer of the Kyoto process from the beginning, and, although I did not attend this year's COP in Bali, I have attended several previous COPs since joining CEI.
David W. Kreutzer, "Renewable Fuel Standard, Ethanol Use, and Corn Prices," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2727, September 17, 2012, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2012/09/the-renewable-fuel-standard-ethanol-use-and-corn-prices.
Anyone whos read a book on climate change which excludes most of our media isnt surprised two top Canadian climate scientists have concluded the oilsands are insignificant to global warming.
Uh Oh Climategate just took the next step
The IPCC has confirmed the authenticity of sample documents on these sticks. Today, I??m making this massive collection of data, (with reviewer comments), which I call the Secret Santa leak, public. Some of these documents are already online. Many others would only have been released by the IPCC years from now. Still others the IPCC intended to keep hidden forever.
Researchers have traditionally estimated the net cloud effect by measuring a broad spectrum of sunlight that makes it to the earth's surface, from ultraviolet to infrared. But clouds are white that's because the large water droplets within them scatter light of all colors almost equally in the visible spectrum, the part of the electromagnetic spectrum that includes the colors of the rainbow.
The EPA has also finalized new federal air quality standards for hydraulically fractured wells, a critical extraction process necessary to help tap vast supplies of oil and natural gas. The EPA contends that the regulations are necessary to reduce emissions of volatile organic compounds and hazardous air pollutants. However, the EPA quantifies only environmental benefits from methane, clearly indicating this rule was more about regulating a greenhouse gas.
This article, seemingly successfully humiliating all the Christians in the U.S., together with a couple of nearly identical papers about the 1994 collision of the Shoemaker-Levy 9 comet with Jupiter, convinced the folks at the Real Climate that he is the most qualified "climatologist" to describe the Third Santa Fe Conference on Global and Regional Climate Change which took place during the Halloween week.
This air is also very moist, something suggested by the 10 AM water vapor product from satellite data (see below). We have an atmospheric river today, with a narrow streamer of moisture extending from the tropics into our region.
Sounds familiar? Sure, must have read it in the paper last week. Fact: the Arctic variations are notorious and the report above was issued by the US Weather Bureau in 1922.
In order to assign guilt to humanity for our present warm period (that happens to be a wonderful time of warmth and plant growth), one must also explain the stadial / interstadial cycles, the Atlantic / Boreal cycles, and the Oscillations; then show they are not relevant to now. That simply can not be done since we dont know why those various cycles happened. Lots of theories, not much settled.
The scientific community would come down on me in no uncertain terms if I said the world had cooled from 1998. OK it has but it is only seven years of data and it isn't statistically significant.
3. It is, of course, not only about ideology. The problem has its important scientific aspect but it should be stressed that the scientific dispute about the causes of recent climate changes continues. The attempt to proclaim a scientific consensus on this issue is a tragic mistake, because there is none.
However, according to Tim Osborn, a climatologist at the University of East Anglia, global warming is an unlikely culprit in this case. "If this had happened in winter, then it might be reasonable to talk about global warming," he said. "However, the models suggest that rainfall in summer is likely to remain the same, or perhaps even fall, if climate change continues" (www.bbc.co.uk, August 13, 2002).
More generally, AAAS essentially is the lobbying arm of the U.S. science establishment; more money is its reason d'etre. Can Rush Holt possibly believe that this is consistent with research "objectivity"?
Variable crustal thickness beneath Thwaites Glacier revealed from airborne gravimetry, possible implications for geothermal heat flux in West Antarctica
Earlier I noted that satellite-era sea surface temperature data indicate the oceans warmed naturally, not via manmade greenhouse gases. NOAAs ocean heat content data also do not support the hypothesis of manmade global warming. Refer to my recent essay titled The Manmade Global Warming Challenge, which is linked to my blog post here . Refer also to the two-part video series prepared for the WattsUpWithThat (WUWT-TV) special linked to the post The Natural Warming of the Global Oceans . And of course theres my book Who Turned on the Heat?
Of course, it may not be of interest to the media, because it only uncovers unlawful dealings to hide an effort impacting our entire economy, the premise for that "fundamental transformation" of America, with the sleazy lobbying operation being the UN. We'll wait on OSTP's response and hope for the best from the Hill and Republican candidates.
months after the 1992 election either). Some of the early stumbles that resulted
The president's renewed drive for a Paris deal was not the only good news for those who believe the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is imperative if a climate disaster is to be avoided. An estimated 300,000 activists, including former vice president Al Gore and marchers calling for the end of capitalism, the latter tussling with New York's finest for the control of Wall Street, turned out in New York City to support a reduction in emissions. So did the city's mayor, Bill de Blasio. He announced he would reduce New York's emissions by 80 percent by 2050, presumably by putting pressure on real estate developers who need his approval of their construction permits.
These anti-hydrocarbon policies also mean the US Treasury will be deprived of hundreds of billions in lease bonuses, royalties, taxes and other revenues that it would realize from the development of our nations vast oil, natural gas and coal deposits. Instead, the United States will be forced to pay billions more for imported oil, often from dictatorial, unethical, environmentally reckless countries.
> >> in Phase 1, then from my rather UK perspective the following
he main basis of the claim that mans release of greenhouse gases is the cause of the warming is based almost entirely upon climate models. We all know the frailty of models concerning the air-surface system. We only need to watch the weather forecasts.
The Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI) estimates that the oil sands industry alone will add 3 percent to Canadas GDP by 2020 and will create, during the period to 2020, 5.4 million person years of employment, 44 percent of which will be outside Alberta. Currently the oil sands industry contributes toward 112,000 jobs across Canada and, according to CERI, over the next 25 years it is expected to contribute over 11 million person years of employment to Canada and $1.7 trillion to the Canadian economy.
Over 20,000 people made homeless, replaced by carbon sinks in fight against AGW
Download PDF Considering the Human Influence on Climate
Mr. Walker claimed he is dropping his Exxon subpoena so the U.S. Justice Department can more easily pursue its racketeering charges against the company. But that's glitter on a surrender document. The reason the state AGs chose to pursue Exxon for shareholder fraud is because anyone with legal knowledge knows how difficult it would be for the feds to bring a successful RICO case. To our knowledge, Justice doesn't even have such an investigation underway.
The 2014/15 El Nio Part 1 The Initial Processes of the El Nio .
But worldwide Perus La Rinconada is at 5100m, Chinas Qinghai is at 4870m, Indias Korzok at 4570m and Chile, Nepal, Bolivia, Argentina, Afghanistan, Jyrgystan, Bhutan, Tajikistan, United States, Mexico, Ethiopia, Columbia, Ecador and Turkey all have towns higher than 3200m and Bolivias capital La Paz is higer at 3640m. And given we humans have towns up to 2000m higher than the height for the required pressure drop, we could occupy land up to at least 2000m with a 30% drop in atmospheric pressure.
Rossiter on IPCC: For the IPCC to say nothing else can explain (global warming except mankinds CO2) is the opposite of what we do in science. We are trying to test the known hypothesis that there is no effect to anthropogenic warming. And in order to do that, you have to have data that removes all the other causes factors out all the other elements, and isolate yours. It is simply not true; it is simply not true that you can only model how temperature has changed from 1850 to today using a doubling of carbon dioxide levels. I can model it for you with baseball statistics from that same period, if you give me enough time to scrub the models.
If we now look at demand, the average last year was 40GW, although winter demand will typically run at 45GW. Peak demand, of course, is much higher still, often reaching 60GW. Current capacity is listed by DECC as:
As noted in our Editorial of 10 Dec 2003 , Hungate et al . (2003) claim - by way of a Carnegie Institution press release hyping their paper - that in a future world of higher atmospheric CO 2 concentration, "the availability of nitrogen , in forms usable by plants, will probably be too low for large increases in carbon storage," ... or as van Groenigen et al . (2003) restate their contention, "reduced soil N availability under elevated CO 2 may limit the plant's capacity to increase photosynthesis and thus the potential for increased soil C input." What was done
Now we have a massive problem. Because of the corrections, the surface measured temperatures (GISS, HadCRUT3) show a trend which no longer agrees with the satellite measurements (RSS, UAH).
Williams Lakeis a city in the Central Interior of British Columbia, Canada, says Wikipedia. It is the largest urban center between Kamloops and Prince George,
The weekly Reynolds OI.v2 dataset is available through the NOAA NOMADS website . And the ERSST.v3b dataset can be accessed through the KNMI Climate Explorer .
Earlier this year, Chicago represented the global climate. Record cold this weekend has caused Chicago to disappear from the global climate map.
Regional models give you the illusion of higher resolution. In reality its no better than the global models. If a GCM will give you strong warming, the regional model will give you strong warming. The message is that these regional models are not giving us the information people think they are giving.
So perhaps this emergency is the time to relax the U.S. ethanol mandate, which diverts four of every 10 domestic bushels of corn into gas tanks. That's equal to 15% of international corn production, burned in internal combustion engines that could run on another fuel. But this obvious solution is evidently not obvious to the Environmental Protection Agency, which, despite studying the question for more than a year, says it needs more time.