Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Conventional wisdom based on previous research held that land plant productivity was on the rise. A 2003 paper in Science led by then University of Montana scientist Ramakrishna Nemani (now at NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, Calif.) showed that global terrestrial plant productivity increased as much as six percent between 1982 and 1999. Thats because for nearly two decades, temperature, solar radiation and water availability influenced by climate change were favorable for growth.
One small problem. The CO2 theory says warming is caused by the CO2, where most of it got into the atmosphere since about 1945. This graph shows the warming happening when there is little added CO2, and growth of temperature halting as CO2 is released. Being essentially flat from 1932 to the left margin. We do see that the last half dozen years again have about 1/2 the low going range pruned out of the data; or it could just be like the 1940s flat period again.
"Since 1987, environmental pressure groups have blocked every attempt to open ANWR with a collection of bogus arguments, false claims, and irrelevant facts," said Myron Ebell, director of global warming policy at CEI. "The damage done by Hurricane Katrina to America's energy supplies should cause Americans to look more closely at the facts."
Raul Labrador (R-Id) addresses Tea Party as part of bipartisan push for more green card slots for STEM.
The compilation notes 15 mentions of climate change spread across a dozen speeches and remarks since July 23. For instance, the memo quotes a blurb from Obama's speech in Mount Vernon, Iowa, on Oct. 18, when the president attacked Mitt Romney's call to end a major tax credit for wind power projects.
While the EU and its member nations continued to play an irresponsible role at Bali, I think it is fair to say that the delegations representing United States, Canada, and Japan made positive and constructive contributions to the negotiations. Together, they can be seen to be trying to get the world off its Kyoto fixation and to begin looking for alternative policies that might address the potential challenges of global warming in ways that will not consign hundreds of millions of people in poor countries to perpetual energy poverty.
The IBT coverage acknowledges that subsidies and regulation are driving the "uptick" in solar deployment. It states: "exactly how much of an increase will be determined by subsidies while new regulations encourage families and business to invest in solar power." It continues: "Proponents for the plan and the move toward solar said the government is working hard to create incentives to help families strapped for cash make the switch to renewable energy, such as solar panels." Though, as Gilpin points out: "The Clean Power Plan is geared toward centralized utility scale solar, meaning electricity sold to wholesale utility buyers, not end customers."
At the Competitive Enterprise Institute, we started Human Achievement Hour in 2009 to highlight the idea that environmentalism, as a philosophy, has this at its core: that humans should not exploit the Eartheven if it means humanity doesn't advance, fewer people live, and those who do survive live shorter, sicker, and less comfortable lives.
Lest you think the generation numbers from Aug. 4 are an aberration, ERCOT has long discounted wind energy??s capabilities. In 2007, ERCOT determined that just ???8.7 percent of the installed wind capability can be counted on as dependable capacity during the peak demand period for the next year.?? And in 2009, the grid operator reiterated that it could depend on only 8.7 percent of Texas?? wind capacity.
We believe China is nearing the end of the period of high economic growth, said Yu Bin, director general of macroeconomic research for the ruling State Councils research centre. What we need is moderate and reasonable economic growth.
To insist upon establishing, and upon establishing all at once, and in spite of all opposition, every thing which that idea may require, must often be the highest degree of arrogance. It is to erect his own judgment into the supreme standard of right and wrong. It is to fancy himself the only wise and worthy man in the commonwealth, and that his fellow citizens should accommodate themselves to him, and not him to them.
on Tuesday, August 19th, 2014 at 8:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
There is nothing in this that is inconsistent with the above commentary. The 1950 relocation from the large open hut is the relocation from the pagoda hut described above, which yielded an adjustment of 1 deg C. Im not objecting or arguing about this adjustment, merely observing that the changes as documented are not large and still yield an effect larger than observed global warming in the past century something that has to be considered in signal-noise statistics when one is dealing with estimation of undocumented station changes.
"Twenty-four states, the District of Columbia and Amtrak are vying for $2.4 billion in federal aid that became available when Florida's governor canceled a high-speed rail project in his state, Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood said Wednesday."
2. Global cooling is becoming a trend but it's not clear whether that trend is accelerating and unequivocal - circumstantial at this point.
Their definition of climate misinformation was contingent upon the post-modernist assumptions that scientific truth is discernible by measuring a consensus among experts, and that a near unanimous consensus exists. However, inspection of a claim by Cook et al. (Environ Res Lett 8:024024, 2013) of 97.1 % consensus, heavily relied upon by Bedford and Cook, shows just 0.3 % endorsement of the standard definition of consensus: that most warming since 1950 is anthropogenic.
According to the Central England Temperature Series, England has just experienced its coldest Spring since 1891, says this article by Paul Homewood.
Confusion about this point stems from three mistakes. First, many studies consider only industrial sector emissions. Most of the poorer countries' emissions stem from land use changes, agriculture, and animal husbandry, so they are not counted. Second, studies often look only at CO2. Poorer countries tend to have large methane emissions; again their contribution is missed. Third, many studies have lumped those poor countries with high emissions with the many poor countries that have virtually none. The regional averages mask the true state of affairs. Cumulatively, these errors have created a badly distorted impression of the origins of today's atmospheric GHG stocks.
On this point at least ??? the need for Lewandowsky to address issues of ???Lying/deceiving/incompetence?? ??? even Lewandowsky??s coauthors and critics appear to have found common ground.
Not only is there nothing unusual, unnatural or unprecedented about the most recent surface air temperatures at Longyearbyen and Vardo, it is pretty clear that it was significantly warmer at both locations during the peak warmth of the Medieval Warm Period, when there was way less CO2 in the atmosphere than there is today. And this observation suggests as do many others from all around the world that anthropogenic CO2 emissions are not the great threat to humanity and the biosphere that climate alarmists claim them to be, for something in the environment appears to be effectively counteracting whatever greenhouse effect they may produce.
Toyota To Pay Tesla $60 Million For RAV4 Electric Components:
The image on the left, like all clichd science fiction, helps us to suspend disbelief by showing us an iconic landmark Big Ben ravaged by whatever the threat is supposed to be.
This anger can be expressed against big business, big government, or big anything. If working-class voters feel they are being treated as mere tools, they will react with anger whether the source of the treatment is an employer, a politician, or an academic.
To be sure, the Colorado legislature never authorized the governor to independently impose cuts in greenhouse gases. Instead, by bipartisan majorities, the Colorado House and Senate passed a budget last April that strips the Air Pollution Control Division at the Department of Public Health and Environment of $100,000, which was an "estimate of what they might be spending" on the federal Clean Power Plan, according to Republican state Rep. Bob Rankin, who sits on the Joint Budget Committee.
The Climate Science Isn't Settled Written by Richard S. Lindzen
It is hard to see how demand can be reliably met without having a huge amount of gas capacity paid to be on standby, nearly twice as much as the current capacity.
governmental opinion ?climate change? needs to be present in people?s
9. The isotope ratio difference between natural carbon dioxide and carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels is small and not a reliable indication of the source of an increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide (see Spencer Part2: More CO2 Peculiarities The C13/C12 Isotope Ratio , Watts Up With That? January 28, 2008)
Last month, a report by the UKs Met Office which had predicted global temperatures would rise by half a degree centigrade over the past 10 years faced ridicule after it emerged that temperatures had actually dropped by 0.014 degrees.
Today, I submitted a comment on EPA's proposed Prevention of Significant Deterioration and Title V Greenhouse Gas Tailoring Rule. The gist of my argument is as follows:
The glaciers of Norway andAlaska are only half the size theywere 50 years age. The temperature around Spitsbergen has somodified that the sailing time haslengthened from three to eightmonths of the year,
BBC News Sea-level rise from polar ice melt finally quantified
on Monday, June 7th, 2010 at 7:00 pm and is filed under News.
Peter C. Glover, Troy Media, 12 August 2010
But while President Obama was telling the summit attendees in New York that nobody can stand on the sidelines on this issue, and advising world leaders that he had told Chinas top delegate at their meeting that we have a special responsibility to lead, China has staked out its much tougher position in a nine-page position paper drearily titled, Submission on the Work of the Ad Hoc Working Group on Durban Platform for Enhanced Action.
As a result of Hansens spectacular failures, his confidence levels and temperature forecasts have greatly increased.
15 GOP State Attorneys General to AGs United for Clean Power: "Stop Policing Viewpoints'
David was here to install some essential digital recording equipment, provided by the Foreign Office, which will allow the TMA to record and digitally distribute their weather forecasts, thus keeping the forecasting up to date and helping with distaster risk reduction. David also provided guidance on filming and editing of material to produce a climate change awareness film for broadcast on national television and distribution among Tanzanian secondary schools.
In the real UK (the one that exists outside the Met Office Supercomputers) the last three summers have all been complete washouts, the last two winters have been bitter cold, and over the last eighty years, summertime temperatures have risen only 0.5C.
SOURCE: (IPCC FAR WG1 Chapter 9, p. 695)
The book is well written with ample documentation (numerous hyperlinks in the kindle version). The target audience is the broader public, and the spoiled child metaphor provides a readable narrative for her arguments about the IPCC. Most (not all) of this material Ive seen before, but Laframboises narrative makes a clear and compelling case regarding problems with the IPCC. Notably, she covers distinctly different ground from Montfords book The Hockey Stick Illusion. Her final chapter is entitled Disband the IPCC. She makes a good case for this.
However, it can be revealed that one of the sources quoted was a feature article published in a popular magazine for climbers which was based on anecdotal evidence from mountaineers about the changes they were witnessing on the mountainsides around them.
Before I begin my remarks, I always like to state my beliefs and biases, so my comments can be understood in proper context. By training, I'm a biologist and environmental scientist. By vocation, I am a public policy analyst, having worked for 15 years in think tanks in the U.S. and Canada.
New paper suggests volcanoes are causing Antarctic ice loss from below Antarctic ice sheet is melting from below, unrelated to CO2 Did Greenland & W Antarctic Ice Sheet Loss Suddenly Double? Fire And Ice; Volcanoes, Not CO2, Melt West Antarctic
Scientists Still Baffled by Surface- Atmosphere Discrepancy
And last for the discussion of multidecadal variations in surface temperatures, refer to the blog post Will their Failure to Properly Simulate Multidecadal Variations In Surface Temperatures Be the Downfall of the IPCC?
Gore's graphs imply that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide historically have preceded increases in global temperature. But a 2005 study in the journal Science reported that higher temperatures may actually have preceded increased carbon dioxide levels in the pastthe opposite of the global warming hypothesis.
One of the places Matt took us to was Northumberlandia, the Goddess of the North, reputed to be the largest sculpture of a woman on Earth. You can get a sense of the size by noting the cars in the car-park at the lower left, its a million and a half tonnes of earth ...
Measurements of world temperatures show world temperatures to have stalled with no significant warming since the nineties. IPCC climate models and real world temperatures have diverged and the Earth is cooler than projected.
In 2012, the UK Meteorological Office reported that global temperatures have virtually remained steady since 1997 . So, global warming has pretty much stopped for nearly two decades.
Set Sights for Windows: Linux Moving Beyond Unix Migration in the Enterprise:
The majority of China's coal (54 percent) is bituminous, which has a carbon content ranging from 45 percent to 86 percent. On the other hand, 47 percent of America coal, a plurality, is subbituminous, which contains a carbon content of only 35 percent to 45 percent.
In our survey, the most specialized and knowledgeable respondents (with regard to climate change) are those who listed climate science as their area of expertise and who also have published more than 50% of their recent peer-reviewed papers on the subject of climate change ( 79 individuals in total). Of these specialists, 96.2% ( 76 of 79) answered risen to question 1 and 97.4% (75 of 77) answered yes to question 2.
Solomon reports, "For this reason, when visiting Oreskes' page on Wikipedia several weeks ago, I was surprised to read not only that Oreskes had been vindicated but that Peiser had been discredited. More than that, the page portrayed Peiser himself as having grudgingly conceded Oreskes' correctness. Upon checking with Peiser, I found he had done no such thing. I then exercised the right that we all have to edit Wikipedia, corrected the Wikipedia entry, and advised Peiser that I had done so."
Predictably, the agreements were attacked by far-Left greens for not going far enough fast enough, many of whom were out in force at Cancun, serving as a foil to make the delegates appear as ?capitalist? stooges by comparison. However, critics on the Right noted that even though the summit did not accomplish what the protestors and even the summit?s most ambitious advocates had hoped, the agreements are far from being the harmless documents described in most media accounts.
As we both know or should know carbon dioxide is plant food. Other nutrients are needed, but CO2 is a plants only food, it cannot survive without it. Carbon dioxide replenished through the carbon cycle is the source of the carbon utilized to produce carbohydrates through photosynthesis. Without plants of course, we animals could not survive.
In other words, it's not Rex Murphy who is misleading the public with ideology and false information. It's the alarmist climatologists like Pederson who are misleading the public with their smokescreen of "certainty" and "consensus" and "global warming" that not only hasn't occurred in more than a decade, but wasn't "statistically significant" before that.
Why Coral Reefs and Shellfish Will Not Die From "Ocean Acidification'
Why Do El Nio and La Nia Events Peak in Boreal Winter?
These tide gauges show that sea levels are rising and falling around Vanuatu over the last 20 years (feast your eyes, there is a 30cm range on that graph below). Where is that CO2 signal? Seas around Vanuatu have been falling since 2008. Getting long term trends out of short data with large natural swings is misleading. Slightly different start or end points will change the rate dramatically. In 2009 the rate of sea level was listed as 6.5mm/yr since 1993. 1 By 2011, the trend was 5.2mm/yr . 2 There is no newer report, but clearly it would be even lower now.
A common refrain of climate alarmists is that due to 'basic physics', global warming causes more evaporation and water vapor, and presumably more precipitation and flooding, yet in reality measurements reveal that evaporation has been dropping off worldwide since the 1950s. Furthermore, over 200 peer-reviewed paleoclimate publications find flooding and precipitation are more intense and more variable during cold periods than warm.
However there is subtlety in his position too. He does not claim to know what the answers are; he claims that no one knows what the answers are. It is not a contest between opposite forecasts of what a thermometer will do, but one between certainty and not knowing. A key message is that the scientific enterprise in this field is dysfunctional and damaged. How can that be? It?s better funded than most, and plenty of influential scientists and organizations are its enthusiastic supporters. They would undoubtedly claim that there is nothing wrong at all. Answering that question, illustrated by the direct personal experiences of a field insider, makes this small volume compelling.
I receive many e-mails, and a recurring complaint is that many of my posts are too technical to understand. This morning?s installment arrived with the subject line, ?Please Talk to Us?, and suggested I provide short, concise, easily understood summaries and explanations ?for dummies?.
Does the problems with the IPCC mean that WG1 science is incorrect? Not necessarily, but I agree that a new trial is needed. WG2 and WG3 reports pretty much belong in the dustbin, as far as I can tell.
Yes, I also think that Giuliani was the #1 person who showed his qualities as a leader after 9/11. As a leader, history turned him into a hero. He may have lost the primaries because of his highly imperfect image as a family man (be sure that the Czech voters have much more tolerance in all these matters!) or due to something else, who knows. John McCain was a lousy candidate and he is still a lousy politician but he was what the GOP finally offered.
Evidence? However useful computer models may be, the one thing they cannot be is evidence. Computer climate models are simply conjectures, expressed in the form of mathematical equations (the language of computers), which lead to forecasts of future global temperatures, which can then be compared with the evidence on the ground.
" "Current scientific understanding provides limited guidance on the likelihood, magnitude, and timeframe of physical risks such as sea level rise, extreme weather events, temperature extremes, and precipitation."
Some might take this as a good thing, but "electricity has gotten more expensive since 2008with the electricity price index at an all-time high." So we are paying more while getting less.
Who would have thought that wed get such a major snow fall on Nov. 15? asked Goldfuss. Our day shift arrived at 5 a.m. to find eight to 10 inches of snow on the ground.
One way to burn hydrocarbons without raising carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere is to burn first, then suck the carbon back out of the air--by growing new trees, for example, or by seeding the oceans with iron to promote massive new growth of algae. If things go right, the new green plants will get buried, and in the fullness of geological time, turn into new coal--call it recycling. This is the cheapest approach and the greenest, too, but it doesn't curb energy consumption. And, if the truth be told, many environmental activists are as determined to curb energy consumption as such as they are to curb carbon emissions.
3 And thinkest thou this, O man, that judgest them which do such things, and doest the same, that thou shalt escape the judgment of God?
The cynic Ambrose Bierce is not widely acclaimed as a philosopher, yet he did have some useful insights. Before the First World War, in his Devils Dictionary, the cunning old codger defined logic as The art of thinking and reasoning in strict accordance with the limitations and incapacities of the human misunderstanding. This may dismay learned, studious people like me, who are entranced by our own beamish logic, but we should remember that Ambrose also defined learning as The kind of ignorance distinguishing the studious.
To all of which, the autocratic European Commission essentially said "Drop dead." The EU, it decreed, will spend $375 billion ( 270 billion) annually to slash CO2 emissions by at least 40% below 1990 levels by 2030, and 80% by 2050.
Antarctic Ice Cores: The Sample Rate Problem
For the 10-year period ending August 2011 (September 1, 2001 thru August 31, 2011 - 120 months), the cooling trend accelerates to a very significant minus 10.9F per century rate - again, per the updated NOAA/NCDC temperature records.
The Courtfurtherheld that ifEPAmakes a finding of endangerment,then it has aduty, under CAA Sec. 202, to develop and adopt GHG emission standards for new motor vehicles.
His environmental documentary, "The 11th Hour," has been a total bust at the box office. After 18 days in release, the film has grossed only $417,913 from ticket sales. The 90-minute snore-fest is playing on 111 screens this week, but that number is likely to be reduced this Friday. The film will be sent to DVD heaven after that.
certainly will not as we?re choosing the periods to show warming.
Ford Motor Plans for Energy-Poor Future
Did the new president understand that FDR is not the model to emulate in the
In any event, I asked Ms. Macfarlane precisely why reductions in "carbon" emissions are necessary. It was obvious that she has never been asked anything so impertinent she is wholly unused to having her assumptions challenged and so her rather stumbling answer was that increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide (she then used that phrase in place of "carbon") are creating dangerous climate effects that already are visible. The ensuing back-and-forth was as follows, almost verbatim:
In mid-January, the Energy and Environmental Legal Institute revealed that emails obtained through the Freedom of Information Act revealed that the EPA used official events to help environmental groups gather signatures for petitions on agency rulemaking. "The level of coordination in these documents is shocking" said an EELI spokesman. The EPA has a long history of this, including a policy of "sue and settle" working with environmental groups to bring a suit to advance regulations and settling the suit to enable it to implement those regulations.
Now lets look at southern hemisphere sea ice extent. Slope of the red line is 0.02602 million Km^2/year.
The inherent dangers and wickedness of technology and industrialism will lead, environmentalists argue, to apocalyptic destruction caused by man's unnatural alterations of the natural world, whether these result from GM crops or pumping carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. The contemporary twist on these traditional motifs is the patina of scientific research layered over mythic longings and anxieties. Yet despite those pretensions to scientific precision and rigor, the obsession with potential risks has obscured the proven advances new technologies have made, particularly in food production.