Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
By the time most 'significant in the history of the Kingdom, after the execution of King Charles I arrive rule dellaristocratico Oliver Cromwell, not a popular leader and even a homo novus. More recently, the blame could be said to have been diBonaparte and his failed attempt to cross the English Channel. Nothing Napoleon, the French Revolution and then nothing, nothing aside dellAncien regime and officially citizens who are not "citizens", but "subject to the Crown," that 'subjects, which is required to promptly and follow to the letter the instructions of the Government.
An Agenda for the Monday a.m. Obama and Bush Meeting
"They are hitting that level earlier than expected because of their rapid growth the last decade," den Elzen said. "For meeting a 2-degrees target (of increasing global temperatures) such a high emissions rate is definitely bad news."
Hahn picks up SEIU endorsement in California's special House election:
Which raises the question: why the extreme response? China has long been engaging in a dangerous game of manipulating important economic numbers and concealing domestic commercial realities. Despite all its progress over 30 years, Beijing is afraid to shine too bright a light in dark places, and even more afraid that outsiders might be allowed to do so. In important respects, the government actually embraces opaqueness as a perceived advantage. The thought of "transparent verification" was seen as the thin end of the wedge, allowing outside experts broad authority to peer into the workings of middle China.
Gas shales are formations of organic-rich shale, a sedimentary rock formed from deposits of mud, silt, clay, and organic matter. In the past these have not been seen as exploitable resources, however, advances in drilling and well stimulation technology has meant that unconventional production of gas from these, less permeable, shale formations can be achieved. In the US, shale gas has grown from 1.4% of total gas supply in 1990 to 14.3% in 2009. Estimates of recoverable reserves increase each year and production is forecast to increase by 266% by 2035. Furthermore, the cost of shale gas is much lower than imported gas.
I need to gain an improved physical understanding of the regpar value. As I understand it now, a higher number gives more degrees of freedom to the linear fit. If my interpretation is reasonably correct, there should be a section in the paper describing these results and explaining them away with overfitting of trend using higher regpar.
4. Michael Grubb, "Relying on Manna from Heaven?" Science (November 9, 2001): 1,285.
27 And shall not uncircumcision which is by nature, if it fulfil the law, judge thee, who by the letter and circumcision dost transgress the law?
"In comparing the vast array of past climate changes in the Arctic with what climate alarmists claim to be the "unprecedented" anthropogenic-induced warming of the past several decades, White et al. conclude that "thus far, human influence does not stand out relative to other, natural causes of climate change." In fact, they state that the data "clearly show" that "strong natural variability has been characteristic of the Arctic at all time scales considered," and they reiterate that the data suggest "that the human influence on rate and size of climate change thus far does not stand out strongly from other causes of climate change.""
> >> not know the cost of global warming damage because our
Incidentally, this became a common refrain. After the Spanish study embarrassed the White House, prompting substantial media attention and even questioning at a press conference, Obama swapped out Denmark for Spain for later references to an enacted "green jobs" program.
As the Proliferation Security Initiative in Asia shows, though, this twenty-first- century naval diplomacy presents formidable challenges in terms of redefinitions of "sovereignty." Though the TSN concept is still a work in progress, it is worth noting that naval representatives from 72 countries have already taken part in the first symposium on the subject. NATO would do well to examine if the indirect approach of "going global" through a Thousand Ship Navy path is not also the best way to avoid making self-defeating waves in Asia.
Finally . Maurice Strong is plopped front and center in the Kyoto debate, and in a Canadian newspaper. That said, there's the sense of an editorial black pen at work;
The reason I think Tiberius Gracchus is a good analog is that Gracchus too took actions that were technically legal. Tribunes always technically had the legal power to bypass the Senate, but in hundreds of years had never done so. Despite their technical legality, his actions were seenat the timeas extremely aggressive and plowing new Constitutional ground, ground that would soon become a fertile field for authoritarians to enhance their power.
Some of the speakers are measurably better now than they were years ago, because they continue to grow and hone their rhetorical skills. That is probably one reason we cant get the warmers to debate.
SST and LST anomaly data used in this post is available through the KNMI Climate Explorer:
In the current economic climate, knocking the lifestyles of the rich and famous is likely to strike a chord. And given the brouhaha that greeted revelations about Al Gore's carbon footprint, the makers of "James Cameron ? Hypocrite", who in 2009 produced a contentious documentary disputing climate change called Not Evil Just Wrong, may be tapping a rich rhetorical vein.
RMS residual error 0.16 0.26 C
Even some Democrats are finally questioning their party's "steadfast support" for policies that promote "renewable" energy over oil and gas: Senators Ben Cardin (MD), Robert Casey (PA), Kay Hagan (NC), and several colleagues have openly expressed concern about renewable mandates. One has to wonder why so many Republicans still can't say no to ethanol.
2. These global multi-decadal predictions are unable to skillfully simulate major atmospheric circulation features such the Pacific Decadal Oscillation , the North Atlantic Oscillation , El Nio and La Nia, and the South Asian monsoon .
Climate change is a useful tool in that fear of catastrophe can be used to compel economically destructive actions that would otherwise be unacceptable.
Our paper by Peters et al, 2004 entitled Cross-scale interactions, nonlinearities, and forecasting catastrophic events discussed the issue of nonlinear scale interactions. In terms of the climate system, a nonlinear perspective of this type is certainly needed, but has been lacking in assessments. The vulnerability framework that we have proposed (see and see ) is much more inclusive with communicating to policymakers the environmental and societal threats associated with the nonlinearity of the climate system.
If we had started the process twenty, ten or even five years ago, wed have enough oil flowing to slash imports and cut world crude and US pump prices significantly. If President Obama had approved the Keystone XL pipeline, within two years over 800,000 barrels of Canadian, Montana and North Dakota crude would be flowing daily to Texas refineries with similar effects on imports and prices.
Simply put, the Kyoto accord will have an impact only if it effectively taxes energy use, either directly (e.g. carbon tax) or indirectly (trading rights in emissions, assuming regulatory caps on those emissions). The Kyoto tax effect can manifest itself in a number of ways, but most obviously it taxes energy use, a specific category of consumption. Because energy is such a fundamental input of the modern economy, Kyoto's costs will manifest themselves in costs of production as well as at the level of consumer costs.
On Dec 22, Pielke Jr and Anthony Watts both covered the story, referencing a blog post by Nielsen-Gammon here .
However, this nonzero value of the Feynman propagator, while proving correlation, doesn't mean that any faster-than-light communication is possible. The correlation is nonzero not because the regions would be communicating "right now". Instead, it is nonzero because the fields at the two points \(x,y\) have evolved from fields at earlier points and one may find "common ancestors", i.e. points \(z\) that belong to the past light cones of \(x\) as well as \(y\). As the quantum field was trying to minimize the energy by sending all excitations and excessive local disturbances away (this is just a different way of saying that particles in the region were escaping) it was establishing a particular correlation between different points that is characteristic for the ground state of the quantum field, the vacuum.
As blogger Tom Nelson has correctly observed, NASAs Gavin Schmidt is referee and commentator, along with his paid job as coach and cheerleader for one side.
John: Not much point really, is there Brian? Blind Freddy can see its a crock of it. A total waste of taxpayers resources and governments time. Government exists to maintain and expand the social and economic well-being of its population not to legislate natural events. No responsible government would even contemplate such a thing.
And, I think the theory linking human activities to climate change is plausible, and that humans may have contributed to some of the surface warming seen since about 1970.
When I wrote Red Hot Lies ,I backed up the claim with specifics and evidence. Sadly if typically, a new talking point has emerged among the cap-n-trade cheerleading Left which as I showed at two town hall meetings with Rep. Michele Bachmann last Thursday excludes the non-financially financially vested Left, to their credit.
Even someone with the IQ of a vegetable would realize that if you want to know the rate at which temperature changes in the sub box, you want these thermometers distributed evenly; failing that, if all 5 ???fast trend?? thermometer were in one tight region, and the 5 slow warming spread out, you want to weight the various thermometers to avoid over sampling the ???fast trend.?? Climate scientists actually try to do that by using area weighting and gridding. But for now, we??ll just focus on the sub-box and what happens to it??s computed temperature.
If anthropogenic forcing has had any effect on sea levels, it should be evident in the latter half of that plot but there is no acceleration.
Look down at the eastern United States the next time you fly over it, " says U. of Oklahoma zoologist Dr. Michael Mares. "It used to be solid forest all the way to the Mississippi. Now it's patches of isolated forest, exactly what we fear will happen to the tropics. But we didn't have a massive die-off." (Science, p. 738)
The new energy sector is not short of private funding; its "cocktail party" popularity and the pressure of the Kyoto climate change agreement has produced an ever increasing devotion of resources to research, and a huge boom in speculative investment in the last couple of years. Private equity investments alone in the New Energy sector (excluding investments by existing corporations or government or fund-raising by publicly listed companies) totaled more than $1.6 billion in over 150 transactions in 2005, double the level of the previous year.As always with such explosive growth, much of the development in the sector is ill thought through. Indeed the popularity of the sector appears to be producing yet another bubble, and has undoubtedly attracted many sharp operators and indeed outright crooks. A boom/bust cycle appears to be inevitable, which is a pity because it could set back genuine progress in the field for a decade.
In a statement yesterday, Mr Blair said: ?Solving the climate crisis is more than just a political agenda item; it's an urgent priority that requires innovation, creativity and ambition.?
When Al Gore rose to the vice-presidency by 1993 Wirth and Hansen were already well out in front of the man-made global warming pack extending the man-made ideology to other federal agencies and the university-level climate community with federal dollars.
Climate Horror Stories That Wont Die: The Case of the Pika (Stewart, 2015)
Simon, Julian L. and Myers, Norman. Scarcity or Abundance? A Debate on the Environment. New York: W.W. Norton and Company, 1994.
The four researchers say that for the Mediterranean zooxanthellate coral, "an increase in CO 2 , in the range predicted for 2100, does not reduce its calcification rate," and that "an increase in CO 2 , alone or in combination with elevated temperature, had no significant effect on photosynthesis, photosynthetic efficiency and calcification." However, they report that a 3C rise in temperature in winter resulted in a 72% increase in gross photosynthesis, as well as a significant increase in daytime calcification rate. What it means
Here are four energy wishes for 2014, and four rebuttals to those who want America to focus on green energy.
This much is certain: We have turned the tide on statism in each of these three important areas. We've risen to the call to come to freedom's defense and have fought a good fight indeed. Let's finish what we've begun: Win these battles ... and the others likely to come our way ... and then the war.
Counsel for Special Projects Hans Bader joins this chorus. "Under this bill, a blogger like Emile Zola, the courageous writer who exposed an anti-semitic witchhunt a century ago in the infamous Dreyfus Affair through his repeated and "vehement public' denunciations of public officials, would be subject to prosecution," argues Bader. "His "severe, repeated, and hostile' denunciations resulted in many public figures being discredited and removed from office, which no doubt caused them "substantial emotional distress.'"
Things got nasty. Someone came up with the brilliant but insidious idea of using the term ???denier?? to describe a person who remained agnostic or sceptical about the exact human contribution to the 0.7 degree global warming of the past 100 years. This malicious rhetoric came to be adopted by climate activists, media reporters and politicians up to head-of-state level. Many distinguished scientists such as Paul Reiter of the Pasteur Institute in Paris, Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT, and Bill Kininmonth, former head of our National Climate Centre, were casually defamed in this way. The same label was applied to world-renowned theoretical physicist Freeman Dyson and Australia??s distinguished Professor Bob Carter.
This dataset's superior length allows analysis of long-term climate change since the LIA, including the widely accepted 60-year cycle of global temperatures.
Professor Richard Tol, one of the reports authors who is based at the Economic and Social Research Institute in Dublin, Ireland, said: These are essentially a collection of anecdotes.
Alternate links (since this video has an annoying habit of "going
Jason-1 shows sea level falling along most of the US East Coast. It is also quite clear from this map that cherry-picking one location isnt going to fly.
The graph above plots the five year running mean of the PDO (turquoise line) on top of the five year running mean ENSO (red and blue.) When the PDO is negative, La Nia dominates. When the PDO is positive, El Nio dominates.
Wetlands continue to multiply, with a growth of 26,000 acres a year.
For a treaty to have any validity, it must be honored by both parties. That is why Ronald Reagan used to famously say, "trust, but verify."
The boss of American oil company Breitling Energy took out a full-page ad in this week's Sunday Telegraph, trying to persuade us all to get behind shale gas.
Heres the essay by Nagel that convinced me to read his books and his essays whenever possible.
In Figure 7, Ive smoothed the model outputs of outgoing shortwave radiation with 5-year running-mean filters to help show the differences in the shapes of the individual model curves.
This brand of "free and honest debate" seems to be one in which the Mountain State comes out as a big beneficiary. You can't deny that.
Without embarrassment, Vice President Al Gore went to the climate change meeting in Kyoto, Japan, last winter and said that "we have reached a fundamentally new stage in the development of human civilization." This new stage is a crisis stage, and its "spiritual roots" are "pridefulness and a failure to understand and respect our connections to God's earth and to each other." Gore was talking about the emission of greenhouse gas. Worrying about it is the latest religion. But as Paul Gigot of the Wall Street Journal said, the scary part is that Gore really believes this stuff. This is a religion most decidedly not separated from the state, and therein lies both the danger and the opportunity. Fanatics are dangerous because nothing deters them. At the same time, Gore is so much the true believer that his fanaticism could put his political future at risk.
An Illustrated Introduction to the Basic Processes that Drive El Nio and La Nia Events
There may be economic justification for doing something now. While estimates of the costs and benefits of climate change are highly uncertain and changing all the time, economic models suggest a modest carbon taxon the order of 1 to 10 cents per gallon of gasolinemight make sense, assuming most countries cooperate in an agreement.
42 How can you say to your brother, `Brother, let me take the speck out of your eye, when you yourself fail to see the plank in your own eye? You hypocrite, first take the plank out of your eye, and then you will see clearly to remove the speck from your brothers.
The key issue in the pending case over the quest for Mann?s e-mails involves the extent of Virginia?s state freedom of information laws, which ATI is using to request Mann?s documents. That issue has galvanized a coalition of 18 heavyweight press groups ? including the Reporter?s Committee for Freedom of the Press, the Associated Press, Reuters, NPR, Dow Jones, Politico, The Washington Post and others ? who somewhat quietly penned a friend-of-the-court or ?amicus? brief favoring disclosure of this type of e-mail.
Brief Overview Of Several Climate Science Research Findings
Plans for large-scale wind power collided with the reality that prevailing winds at nearly all the campuses are too weak to generate much electricity. To date, a single wind turbine has been installed, as a demonstration project. It spins too slowly in average winds to power a 60-watt light bulb.
First we can remember Tiljander which was simply flipped to improve the high number of correlated series, from memory, this counts for 3? of 484 series but it is worse than that. Luterbacher, which included 71 series of ACTUAL physical temperature data, also skewed the results so subtract another 71 bs proxies from 484 as the portion of the proxy Mann checked for correlation to temperature was actual temperature.
Got that? Nuclear is part of the ancien r gime like oil and coal and natural gas that Obama's green revolution would overthrow.
I know that these comments sound like conspiracy theories and most people who say similar things are simply nuts. But I can't help myself: Yes, I do think that the appearance and their way of thinking makes it very likely that Frank Marshall Davis was the actual biological father of Barack Obama . I can't give you any proof that would be better than what you may find elsewhere. But Davis and Obama's mother did meet in the communist movement, could have done certain things 9 months before Obama's birth, and the similarity between Obama and Davis simply looks much more obvious than the similarity between Obama and Obama Sr.
A paper published today in the journal Geophysical Research Letters finds, " In the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE (cyclone energy) has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low."
In fact, farmers have managed to keep different crops separate for centuries. Although weed seeds are spread by birds and by weather, pollen moves much smaller distances. Farmers have already agreed on buffer zones between crops that might cross-pollinate, and seed comes with guarantees against the presence of weeds and undesirable species. Trace amounts of foreign seeds and materials are typically allowed. Farmers have legal recourse against neighbors who damage their crops, and insurance companies exist to provide liability coverage against herbicide drift where one farmer's crop abuts another's. No matter, the important point here is that GMO opponents demand another level of purity, because, just like with my friend in the Ozarks, we are having a religious disagreement here, and the legal protections and custom that have allowed all kinds of producers to solve differences sensibly and "coexist" are as passe as iambic pentameter.
The summit in Cancun failed to produce a binding deal or even a concrete renewal of the Kyoto Protocol. However, the UN climate dignitaries did finally reach an ?agreement? of sorts, citing the accord as evidence of progress and vowing to expand the climate regime later. Almost every government in the world signed on to what the global body is calling the ?Cancun Agreements.? And similar to the process used to create the COP15 Copenhagen Accord last year, wealthier regimes simply bribed rulers of poor nations with continued promises of free technology and at least $100 billion per year by 2020 to fight ?climate change.? Exactly where the money will come from has still not been determined, however.
Further, Figure 2 gives you an indication of just how meaningless the IPCC statement about the paleo-temperature history of the Northern Hemisphere really is. True, even in this proxy reconstruction, the temperatures during the second half of the 20th century were very likely higher than during any other 50-year period in the last 500 years and even likely the highest in at least the past 1,300 years. However, for the major portion of the millennium previous to that, the average proxy temperature was not much different from that observed during the latter half of the 20th century and in fact was probably higher on at least several occasions. Which means that what the IPCC is attempting to get you to inferthat human GHG emissions have pushed the temperature up to unprecedented levelsfalls flat when a slightly longer historical time period is brought into the picture.
The Week That Was: 2015-08-15 (August 15, 2015) Brought to You by SEPP ( www.SEPP.org ) The Science and Environmental Policy Project
Worst of all, politicians are increasingly and intentionally obscuring and misrepresenting the nature, frequency and severity of storm, flood and surge risks, so that they can promote and permit more construction in high-risk areas, and secure more money and power. They insist that they can prevent or control climate change and sea level rise, by regulating CO2 emission while they ignore real, known dangers that have arisen before and will arise again, exacerbated by their politicized decisions.
That contradicts the findings of the DOE consultants, as well as Ebinger and Levi, who all concluded there would be many winners and very few losers. Because of the net benefits to the economy, consumers would be among the biggest beneficiaries.
The single most frequently asked question I get after I give my talks is, Why didnt you mention the sun? I usually answer that Im skeptical of the cosmic ray gun theory of cloud changes controlling climate. But I point out that Svensmarks theory of natural cloud variations causing climate change is actually pretty close to what I preach ??? only the mechanism causing the cloud change is different.
Seattle Voters Reject Fees on Grocery Bags
Market-based alternatives to emission trading can be found in the work of a growing number of academics and policy experts advocating so-called free-market environmentalism.37 While are controversial, they at least illustrate the variety of promising alternatives to the now quarter-century-old NSR.