Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Much of my vision for CEI emerged from my apprenticeship at the Council for a Competitive Economy. As the Council came to an end, friends encouraged me to create my own organization. They assured me that, with my alleged energy and enthusiasm, it would be easy. They lied. Our first year was incredibly difficult. One day, dejected, I told Fran that we might have to shut CEI down because we hadn't raised any money after three months of existence. She said, "But Fred, that was part of your business plan." "I know," I replied, but now it's actually happened!"
These omitted processes may well have important consequences for future African
Antarctic global warming expedition airlifted from the ice
"The magnificent moral impulse, the search for truth and goodness, is only a necessary but not a sufficient condition for the successful remaking of a country."
8 hours ago AUSTRALIAS $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting, leaving the government scrambling to find a new air link to the frozen continent.
The last time there were 15 landfalling hurricanes in a four-year period was back in the 1880s. Even so, the entire 1880s ended up having only one or two more landfalling hurricanes than the preceding and subsequent decades. History, therefore, cautions us against jumping to rash conclusions about whether the opening decade of the Third Millennium will likely become a record-breaker. We'll have to wait and see -- but history suggests it's somewhat unlikely.
Imagine hundreds of world leaders and nongovernmental organizations, science groups, and United Nations functionaries gathered for a meeting heralded as the most important conference since World War II, in which "the future of the world is being decided." These officials seem to agree that institutions of "global governance" need to be established to reorder the world economy and massively restrict energy resources. Large numbers of them applaud wildly when socialist dictators denounce capitalism. Strange philosophical and metaphysical activism surrounds the gathering. And we are told by our president that all of this is based, not on fiction, but on sciencethat is, a scientific consensus that human activities, particularly greenhouse gas emissions, are leading to catastrophic climate change.
The substance of what Murray says we know in fact turns out to be mere speculation. And highly contested speculation at that, with much criticism of the putative links between climate and conflict emerging from within the green camp itself. It is even contested by the IPCC
The climate models upon which most of the dire predictions of global warming rest, also contain erroneous assumptions and ignore many of the natural variables that govern our climate. They were artificially tuned to match the warm trend from 1978-1998, using water vapor to amplify the perceived warming by CO2. This was a false strategy, because the assumed positive feedback was offset by clouds and precipitation. Prof. Richard Lindzen, MIT and Roy Spencer, Ph.D. showed that the feedback should be close to zero or even negative. The models cant possibly make accurate predictions, unless solar wind variations and ocean oscillations can be accurately predicted and included. The same is true of volcanic eruptions, aerosol concentrations, and other unknowns. Cloud variations of just 1-2% could account for all the temperature changes in the 20 th century.
Agency expects new rule to boost oil extraction technique that critics say negates emissions reductions
As the air??s CO2 content rises in response to ever-increasing anthropogenic CO2 emissions, and as more and more carbon dioxide therefore dissolves in the surface waters of the world??s oceans, theoretical reasoning suggests the pH values of the planet??s oceanic waters should be gradually dropping. The IPCC and others postulate that this chain of events, commonly referred to as ocean acidification, will cause great harm ??? and possibly death ??? to marine life in the decades and centuries to come. However, as ever more pertinent evidence accumulates, a much more optimistic viewpoint is emerging. This summary examines the topic of the potential impacts of ocean acidification on fish.
Opinion: UN-Backed Scientists Call For Mega-City Population Lockup
Members of The Heritage Foundation staff testify as individuals discussing their own independent research. The views expressed are their own and do not reflect an institutional position for The Heritage Foundation or its board of trustees.
41: The consensus is only that humans are contributing to warming. 42: Roy Spencer agrees with that consensus. 43: Only a small number of scientists know enough about climate sensitivity to have an informed opinion. 44: Only a few of us work on the question how sensitive is the climate system. 45: Only a few of us know how much uncertainty there is.
Connecticut Legislature Rejects Ban on GM Grass
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Vice President Iain Murray on why we should privatize Amtrak.
4. IPCCs 5 th assessment report (AR5) shows lower temperature predictions than the previous report (AR4) and has even increased the range of uncertainty for climate sensitivity (see item 7 below) yet it has increased its claimed level of certainty of future higher temperature-rise predictions over that claimed for previous reports in direct contradiction of its own results.
Is Chicken Little going around telling all the other chickens that the sky is falling out of the goodness of his heart? Or is there something Chicken Little wants? And once Chicken Little has the other chickens convinced that the sky is falling, will there be a Federal Department of Falling Sky? And will Chicken Little be appointed Secretary of Things That Hit You On the Head? A cabinet post is an excellent springboard to higher office.
As more states approve applications for an Article V convention, opponents of constitutional reform continue to object to any potential changes to the all-important document. But as constitutional scholar Rob Natelson writes in this new Heartland Policy Brief, James Madison and other Founders "emphasized state officials' obligation to interpose in a constitutional manner when the people are threatened by federal overreaching." READ MORE
Warmist energy and climate website CO2-Handel reports here that once again global CO2 emissions have increased, reaching a record level in 2012! Yet CO2 Handel forgets to tell us that global temperature hasnt risen in almost 15 years:
Many peer-reviewed papers (e.g. Douglass et al., 2004, 2008, 2009; Schwartz, 2007; Monckton, 2008; Lindzen & Choi, 2009) show that the IPCC has exaggerated the warming effect of greenhouse gases up to 7-fold. Without that exaggeration, there is no climate crisis.
Following the pledge in a May 13 letter to CEI's attorney, U.S. Virgin Islands Attorney General Claude Walker (AG Walker) has withdrawn the District of Columbia subpoena action against the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI), yet the original Virgin Islands subpoena remains, meaning AG Walker can move at any moment to continue his unconstitutional intimidation campaign against the free market group and others who oppose his view of climate change. CEI's motion for sanctions against AG Walker is pending in court and the group continues its pushback against the AG's wrongdoing.
Bill Frezza: Alternative Energy's Alternate Reality
Orange News, sport and weather | Central Western Daily
Steven F. Hayward reviews The Forgotten Man: A New History of the Great Depression, by Amity Shlaes.
The Affordable Power Alliance will urge the new Congress to honor its constitutional duties, and prevent the Obama administration from imposing excessive regulations inspired by extreme ideologies. Congress, including Democrats up for reelection in 2012, needs to heed the overwhelming public demand that America's economy no longer be held hostage by an elitist environmental network even if that network includes the President of the United States.
/s/ Richard Gordon JSC, Astronaut, Gemini Xi, Apollo 12, 9 years
Answering the how-much-warming question is difficult. Models overemphasize radiative transports, undervalue non-radiative transports such as evaporation and tropical afternoon convection, and largely neglect the powerfully homoeostatic effect of the great heat-sinks ocean and space that bound the atmosphere.
Science is a process. The results of that process do not depend on whether scientists are good or bad, altruistic or selfish. The issue is whether they follow the scientific process.
Richard North, the professor who brought to light the financial irregularities in a write-up co-authored with Christopher Booker, has also said in a TV interview that, "If Dr Pachauri does not resign voluntarily, he will be forced to do so."
Hansensays that each doublingof CO2 causes a 3C temperature increase. Venus has 97% (0.97 mole fraction) CO2. In order to get to 97% on Earth, wewould require less than 13 doublings. That would raise temperatures by about 35degrees, using Hansensown exaggerated theory. Nowhere near 600 degrees.
People around the province woke up to snow Monday morning, after an ???unseasonably cold Arctic airmass?? descended over the province.
Now, as I'm sure people will argue, not everyone can do this. If predictions of strong sea-level rise come to pass, low-lying areas, many of them in poor countries, will be inundated, potentially leading to mass exodus. The same is true if desert areas become sharply dryer.
Were the struggles of this campaign season a precursor to future uncertainty regarding party identity and leadership?
Finally, the recent financial crisis and economic bust are typically blamed on our lust for material betterment. Greedy bankers lent money recklessly, and lax regulators let them get away with it. But behind them all, it is alleged, stood the gluttonous American consumer with rapacious demands for ever more goods and services.
I?m not opposed to moderation and frugality, and we certainly should put aside our avaricious and materialistic ways. Sacrifice, too, is virtuous and meritorious, as long as it is voluntary and sincere.
The latest USA Global Forecast model shows a landfalling tropical cyclone near the Tampa are next week. The forecast position is shown above. If this verifies (as either a tropical storm or a hurricane), it will add another layer to what already will be an interesting potlical event!
One of the Fascists, distracted as I had intended, began trying to offer a commentary on what I was saying. Using my elbow, I kept her away from the microphones and continued talking. Eventually, the squad marched out of the room and rapidly dispersed before the police could round them up.
Campbell, I.D. and Flannigan, M.D. 2000. Long-term perspectives on fire-climate-vegetation relationships in the North American boreal forest. In: Kasischke, E.A. and Stocks, B.J. (Eds.). Fire, Climate Change, and Carbon Cycling in the Boreal Forests. Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA, pp. 151-172.
Good evening ladies and gentlemen, welcome to SDA Late Nite Radio . Tonight, for your delectation, here are the Luis Russell Orchestra performing Goin' To Town , in 1931 (2:55). Your Reader Tips are, as always, welcome in the comments.
The APS notes that the models seem able to reproduce the Arctic declining ice trend, but not the Antarctic rising ice trend. Moreover, the APS has spotted that the IPCC had done its ice graphs using only 17 out of its 40 models, these 17 happening to produce reasonable fits with the data. The APS says,
In their Reply to Mann, B and C will point out that Mann et al 2005 deals with pseudoproxies in a tame network (using my terminology here).
It also came as the state government released a report on future impacts of climate change in Victoria, finding average temperatures could increase by 1 to 4.2 degrees by 2070 relative to 1990.
That was largely the logic behind the faltering Kyoto Protocol, in which China pledged only to reduce the carbon intensitythe relative greenhouse gas efficiency of its industrialization, without any effort at actual cutbacks.
Recently Xstrata announced plans to cease smelting and refining copper in Queensland. Then Blue Scope Steel decided to reduce production and shed workers. Now Rio has signalled the sale of its aluminium processing empire. Next we can expect that a large coal fired electricity generator will be unable to repay its debts. Cement plants will be squeezed and rail and port costs will increase.
Congress plans to spend $550 million to buy eight jets, a substantial upgrade to the fleet used by federal officials at a time when lawmakers have criticized the use of corporate jets by companies receiving taxpayer funds.
For the Left, here be dragons. Getting truth directly from the Internet is habit-forming just in time for elections in England, the United States, and perhaps Australia.
Despite the continued increase of greenhouse gas emissions from us, rise of global surface temperatures has been easing since 1998.
Meanwhile, Finland and France are probably the most technologically advanced European countries as far as nuclear energy is concerned. And Britain, Lithuania, Switzerland, and Slovenia are the other countries where nuclear power plants may be built soon.
The most shameful aspect of the developed worlds rush to implement climate change mitigation policies is that they have often been justified by reference to ethics. Yet the results have been the very opposite of ethical. said Mr Montford.
5 See Robert Jervis' classic Perceptions and Misperceptions in International Politics, 1976.
But when one examines my actual post , it does not contain any statements that contain the assertions about which Schmidt complains. Precisely what Lucia warns against when dealing with Schmidt.
Once again, perhaps his speechwriters were aware of claims of falsified records and the besmirched Charles Monnett (whose observations of drowned polar bears helped galvanize the global warming movement), and reports of rebounding polar bear populations. While they dont get much mainstream press coverage, several scientists are reporting an unprecedented increase in the worlds polar bear population.
On longer time scales, ocean mixing caused by deep ocean currents causes long term changes in ocean temperatures. These changes also affect long term carbon dioxide trends. Carbon dioxide held in large quantities in cold deep ocean water is slowly released as ocean currents mix this cold water with warmer surface water. The reverse occurs as the sea surface cools, absorbs carbon dioxide and the cold dense water sinks to the ocean floor.
Again, in the words of the authors, "both coral and fish assemblages demonstrated resilience to large-scale natural disturbance ? with most taxa approaching the asymptote of abundance and species richness that existed prior to the disturbance." They note, however, that "this outcome may not necessarily be the case in more isolated systems or those impacted by anthropogenic disturbances," specifically mentioning over-fishing and destructive fishing practices. Hence, their work gives hope that if the direct deleterious effects of human activities can be mitigated, earth's coral reef ecosystems may yet be saved from the destruction so often decreed for them by environmental extremists.
The temporal extent of modern observations is too short to properly measure natural ENSO variations: averaging together at least 200 years is required to obtain robust ENSO statistics in a stable climate . Using paleoclimateproxies to extend the observational record is another option, but is complicated by the uncertainties involved in translating between model and proxy signals. Coral oxygen isotopes, the most commonly used ENSOproxy, are shown to be governed by nonlinear dynamics: a more accurate forward model or coral 18Ois needed. Even using such a model, at least 4-5 contemporaneous records will be required for accurate ENSO amplitude estimation.
Average Radiative Forcing from CO2, aerosols, volcanoes: 0.8 W m-2
Multiple large corporations are now working with Obama and Democrats to pass the infamous 'cap & trade' legislation, which will result in the the consumer and small businesses absorbing the trillions of dollars of direct/indirect costs it will generate. These big corporations are working behind the scenes for their own benefit, without regard to their customers or suppliers. Any consumer or small company that does not want more of their hard-earned dollars going to "skyrocketing" energy costs, and gigantic CO2 taxes, passed down from the large corporations, should avoid the services and products from these corporations, as much as possible. Below the fold is a list of corporations to avoid when at all possible:
Wind Power Prices Rising, Defying Predictions of Renewable Power Apologists
See press release from Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (Germany):
On the other hand, if Speaker Ryan, filling his fiduciary responsibility as a constitutional officer and his heartfelt vow to become a party of ideas and policies, moves to enact constructive policies, or simply to keep the government operating, it is hard to see how he could avoid the fate of his predecessor John Boehner: retirement.
In fact, the productivity of private industry has provided governments with billions of dollars for the remarkable environmental cleanup of the past three decades. And it has poured additional untold billions into private and nongovernmental environmental projects.
Ring bases his predictions on lunar cycles in particular drawing on five of the lunar cycles known most to astronomers on the basis each creates an orbiting pattern that influences weather. He writes that these cycles feed into each other and fit like cogs in a gearbox with such celestial precision that after each lunar cycle of around 130 years, the moon returns to the same place in the sky with respect to the background of stars.
Precedent on Environmental Pacts: Treaty or "Executive Agreement"?
In a very comprehensive study of the western Arctic Kaufman and coauthors from the US, UK, Canada, Norway, Iceland, and Russia (2004), studied proxies from over 140 sites in the western hemisphere part of the arctic. Their abstract notes Paleoclimateinferences based on a wide variety of proxy indicators provide clear evidence for warmer-than-present conditions at 120 of these sites. At the 16 terrestrialsites where quantitative estimates have been obtained, local HTM temperatures (primarily summer estimates) were on average 1.6 0.8 C higher than present
I applaud Chris Mitchell for fighting back, and not caving in to the bullies. I dont think defamation threats are as good as getting even , but its much better than letting them get away with it.
The third front involves Congress reasserting its lawmaking authority. Article I, Section 1 of the Constitution says, "All legislative powers herein granted shall be vested in a Congress." Much of that power has been given away to federal agencies. Congress passed 285 laws last year, compared to 3,830 final rules from agencies. The alphabet soup of agencies should answer to Congress for the regulatory burdens they impose.
The dramatic transformation to a supposedly green economy still largely undefined will not be cheap. In fact, according to the UN, the price tag will be in the trillions of dollars per year. And consumer prices will have to increase across the board, too, with food, energy, and housing at the top of the list.
The basic political and economic calculations behind Byrd-Hagel are still in place today, despite the changes in the membership of the Senate since 1997 that has moved that body to the left. There is zero chance that a Kyoto II treaty can achieve the consent of two-thirds of the members of the United States Senate. Note, just to take one example, that Ohio's liberal Senator Sherrod Brown has expressed his opposition to an emissions trading bill because of its impact on Ohio's industry. So the climate campaigners are arguing that President Obama should eschew the route of a formal treaty and instead pursue a series of international agreements in the form of executive-congressional agreements similar to "fast-track" trade promotion agreements such as NAFTA. Such an approach would allow Obama to pass binding international climate obligations that piggy-back on Kyoto II with only a simple majority vote of both houses of Congress and thus bypass the two-thirds vote hurdle.
Starting a new debate on such a significant issue at this point in the election cycle is a recipe for really bad legislation: to suggest writing a major bill that will touch on virtually every sector of the U.S. economy in an election year will be inviting every special interest in the country to a party where the taxpayers get to play the role of the piata. Deliberation, not speed, is what we need.
Benjamin Zycher is the John G. Searle scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.
But the commission also wants to measure sustainability, environmental degradation, and climate change while admitting measurement of these factors is highly subjective, difficult, and possibly impossible. The difficulty of making guesstimates operational is made worse by the report's implicit assumption that all environmental changes over time will be bad, especially in relation to issues such as energy use and population growth. But things are not that simple. Resource depletion can drive better management of resources, which can then result in an increase of those resources. Iceland's fisheries are a great example. Overfishing of cod and other fish stocks in Iceland led to a new policy of Individual Transferable Quotas, a legal property rights transfer system, which led to better management of the resource to the economic advantage of most fishermen and the recovery of some fish stocks.
Wunsch wrote that, "The Gulf Stream's existence is a consequence of the large-scale wind system over the North Atlantic Ocean, and of the nature of fluid motion on a rotating planet. The only way to produce an ocean circulation without a Gulf Stream is either to turn off the wind system, or to stop the Earth's rotation, or both." He added, "The occurrence of a climate state without the Gulf Stream any time soonwithin tens of millions of yearshas a probability of little more than zero."
Government eyes crippling climate-control measures
According to an MSNBC article one of the scientists while speaking about human populations worldwide, stated:
IPCC AR5 WG2 wrote 2, 4, 7 and 8.
Initially, Antarctic ice cores were proof of CO2 creating temperature increase and low pre-industrial levels. Then we learned temperature increase preceded CO2 increase and levels were similar to today. The former was widely accepted and contradicted the major assumption of the hypothesis, so recently Shakun et al tried, unsuccessfully , to reassert the claim. The latter claim was contradicted by Jaworowski but essentially ignored.
And for that to happen, the paper continues, "it will be necessary to deeply reflect on the substance of sovereignty, and accept that changes in our perceptions are a good indication of the direction we are going."
Carbon dioxide has been suspected as an important factor in ending the last Ice Age, but its exact role has always been unclear because rising temperatures reflected in Antarctic ice cores came before rising levels of CO2, said Shakun, who is a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Post-doctoral Fellow at Harvard University and Columbia University.
And yes, I did help make the tutu, with the aid of this video . It is videos like that that remind me there are whole worlds of which I am virtually unaware. Note the number of views - 1.4 million, on making a tutu.
A new paper by Kim, Webster, and Curry in Science (2009) has arrived. The paper is accessible to the general reader without training in tropical meteorology or an exhaustive knowledge of the rapidly evolving state of El Nino science.
In fact, in recent years, important work has been done comparing the predictions that models have made about warming that should have already occurred with actual observations. The NRC report looked at the evidence that was available in 2001 and concluded that, in fact, the models had overestimated warming.