Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Of all of the world's chemical compounds, none has a worse reputation than carbon dioxide. Thanks to the single-minded demonization of this natural and essential atmospheric gas by advocates of government control of energy production, the conventional wisdom about carbon dioxide is that it is a dangerous pollutant. That's simply not the case. Contrary to what some would have us believe, increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere will benefit the increasing population on the planet by increasing agricultural productivity.
If you are interested in this sort of thing, it was a great event , going through two of their parks. The only problem is that it has to take place before the parks are open, so we had to set the wake-up call for 3:15 AM. Uggh. The butt-crack of dawn, as my sister calls it.
It is a matter of great public concern that our government continues to take exclusive advice on global warming from an unelected, unaccountable international political body (the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; IPCC), as translated for Australian consumption by the CSIRO and by the Department of Climate Changes advisor, Professor Will Steffen.
The recent period of global warming from 1950 to 1998 is one of seven warm-cool periods of natural climate change that have occurred since 1000 AD. Before the false anthropogenic Greenhouse gas alarm, these were considered normal and given names. Starting and ending dates were estimated from historic records and proxies such as tree ring patterns, ice cores, etc.
Oops. UK Met Office in 2006: "We are expecting milder winters' Head of predictions, Dr. Geoff Jenkins, the "believes the mild, wet winter is almost certainly a sign of global warming'
That sandbox bypass means they can escape from the Virtual Machine in Java and get into the real world of your computer and operating system and files and networking and
Are you telling me my house now gets hotter than it it would 20 years ago because there??s now more carbon dioxide in it?
4 EPA, New Source Review: Report to the President, p.15.
"It's a small neighborhood, and a rough one at that. Security is a shared interest, definitely."
I thoroughly recommend the thoughtful essay by Tony N at Harmless Sky for a review of where we stand on climate change at present.
EPA has concluded that "the current NSR program is having an adverse impact on energy efficiency by discouraging projects that may improve energy efficiency, or may increase capacity and reliability without actually increasing pollutant emissions. In some cases it may be discouraging projects that decrease emissions because of the "actual-to-potential' test used for these industries."30
Figure 2: The generally linear pattern of climate is clear.
Mississippi's "right to development" is especially important in light of its extensive coastline. Along the Gulf of Mexico, residents will have to adapt to a gradual sea level rise of about an inch per decade.
Over the period 1901 to 2000, forest intrinsic water-use efficiency increased by 28%. The largest increases were observed in the temperate forests of Central Europe, in a region that experienced a decrease in summer soil-water availability. Thank goodness for rising CO2, which is the major driver of this trend!!!
Sacramento Bee Seeks to Out-Alarm New York Times
The shale gale and the resulting drop in domestic carbon-dioxide emissions is a remarkable story. Thanks to market forces, not government regulation, the U.S. is reducing its emissions faster than Europe is, even though the European Union has imposed a myriad of regulations aimed at cutting them. Indeed, last year carbon-dioxide emissions rose by 1.3 percent in Germany, the EU's largest economy.
1- Adding cost to power production reduces the economic output of a country 80 percent reductions will result in massive massive cost. Even if its only a big cost, the ensuing economic downturn reduces CO2 production in the short timeframe but it also leads to substantial poverty globally which of course the government will happily subsidize. However, in a subsistence mode less people are able to go to school, less people are actually working and overqualified people do menial jobs to put food on the table. You should see the very high quality of people were hiring for a front office position. The net result is less money for technological development, something seen all across America for the past 20 years. The world is catching up and often develops the latest technology.
They then go on to describe the results of their study of AMIP models, which may help future CMIP models. Dolinar et al. (2014) end the abstract with (my brackets):
never have been published. I don?t want to be associated with that 2000 year
Again I will emphasize, some very smart people who consider themselves skeptics will disagree with some of my views stated above, particularly when it involves explanations for what has caused warming, and what has caused atmospheric CO2 to increase.
Vice President Al Gore has not yet presented the Senate with the global-warming treaty he negotiated last December in Kyoto, Japan, but it??s a ticking time bomb for farmers in the United States and the rest of the First World.
(However, the 2000 paper above only uses the "gg" or "qq*" initial states; the mixed "gq" initial state (from the rumor) is omitted in the 2000 paper, for reasons that seemed to be a negligence to me.)
4. The pipeline will help America's balance of trade. Refining is manufacturing. The U.S. is importing unfinished goods (in the form of Canadian crude), finishing them, and exporting them. That's a good thing.
Figure 3. Transient climate response distribution for CMIP5 models in AR5 Table 9.5
Unfortunately for the models, during the last 17-year period, Figure 2, the rise in observed global sea surface temperature anomalies (0.04 deg C per decade) is only 26% of the rise projected by the models (0.155 deg per decade). Thats not too good when we consider the rise in Sea Surface Temperature is supposed to be forced by Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gases and that the model mean is supposed to represent the forced component of the all of the models, without the noise caused by the internal variability inherent in the individual model ensemble members.
"New Internet video services from companies such as Netflix and Apple are offering a glimpse of a home entertainment future that doesn't include a pricey monthly cable bill."
Athens' ability to stay course in doubt:
Giuliani has balls so he refused to apologize and instead, offered lots of additional ideas and observations to support his view, and that's exactly what he should have done (and what many others have failed to do). Nevertheless, it's sad to see that people who say similar things that pretty much every sensible person must see as self-evident are exposed to the harassment that Giuliani experienced in recent days (which also included lots of death threats , of course).
So we have to offer up some scary scenarios, make simplified dramatic statements and make little mention of any doubts we may have . . . each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective, and being honest.
Rivera's alliance with the state Republican Party, which controlled the governorship and state senate throughout 1199's surge to dominance in the 1990s, was equally shrewd. The 1199 leader used campaign funds and a personal touch to woo the Republican leadership, bonding with Joseph Bruno, senate majority leader from 1994 to 2008, over a shared love for horses and Bruno's liberal sympathies on health-care policy.
So, Al Gore and his enviro-fanatics could still prevail, absurd though their claims are. One danger is that Republicans will persist in their feeble response. Fred Smith of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, who attended the Kyoto meeting, characterizes the GOP position this way: "We accept that the environment is going to hell. But it's too expensive to fix." Conceding the facts and responding as penny-pinchers is of course the way Republicans have been trained to behave in many situations, and they seem to enjoy it. It is the position that the political class in Washington wants them to adopt: Concede the moral high ground and don the green eyeshade.
Indeed Tara Brown responded, Its not my position to correct you Prime Minister but Ive been told that in fact during the middle ages the global temperatures were two to three degrees warmer than now. Certainly weve had the hottest 12 years in recent history but the planets been a lot hotter.
Whatever alternative technologies they support comply with their precautionary principle. Whatever they oppose violates it. They trumpet alleged risks of using frackingand hydrocarbon technologies, but ignore even the most obvious benefits of using them and most obvious risks of not using them.
But their work on environmentalism remains the point of the spear in this effort. Stewart Brand, of Whole Earth Catalog fame, is an ally, speaking enthusiastically of nuclear power, genetically modified crops, reviving extinct species through genetic engineering, and other "environmental heresies," as he put it at a conference. Brand delights in pointing out that a single organic farm in Germany has recently killed more people than have all the nuclear power plants Germany is rushing to shut down. Peter Kareiva, the chief scientist of the Nature Conservancy, and two co-authors have a paper slated for the next issue of Breakthrough Journal that will smash many of the established icons of the standard-issue environmentalism, such as the clich about the "fragility" of nature "an obsolete paradigm of traditional conservation."
163 Google headlines all wrong about 400 ppm CO2 and only one right ours!
John Stewart continued, It is clear the birds of the time of Neanderthals have changed in a way that is almost as dramatic as the change we have seen in mammals
The coal plants in India??s pipeline ??? almost 100 more than China is preparing to build ??? would deliver 519,396 megawatts of installed generating capacity. That is only slightly less than pending new capacity in China, which remains the undisputed king of coal consumption.
CNatFluct I believe that the climate is always changing and what we are currently observing is just natural fluctuation. (R)
From the Wikipedia: CSLD is funded entirely through private donations. As of January 2011, CSLD has received $25,000 in donations.
The conclusions of Velarde et al. (2015) are (my boldface):
There is no long-term trend in normalized extreme weather damages (losses adjusted for increases in wealth, population, and the consumer price index).
In contrast to the modern era, this study, by Gunnarson et al., revealed that there were similar temperature increases from 1910 to 1940's, and one that started in the late 1990's. Neither of these very short-term warmings have MDX temperature reconstructions exceeding the Medieval Period.
Donna Laframboise details how the WWF infiltrated the UK Met. Office . We live in serious times but without serious leaders. What could possibly go wrong?
In 2005 data from NASA's Mars Global Surveyor and Odyssey missions revealed that the carbon dioxide "ice caps" near Mars's south pole had been diminishing for three summers in a row.
Not only are the glaciers advancing, 87 of the glaciers have surged forward since the 1960s, says a recent article in Discovery News.
More subtly, I mentioned this is lower reaches, the Thames is a small river with low flow: it is tidal.
The actual expected CO2-induced warming is close to 0.5 C which corresponds to 60 km per century.
Every scientific study confirms that global warming will cause the amount of water in the Colorado River to decline
Regardless, what we have is evidence that models estimates of the variability of 8 year trends during periods with no volcanic eruptions is noticably higher than those seen on the real physical earth.
This is a protest of producers who are all busy, committed and have no spare time its much harder to get masses of people from far distant places and within tight schedules, but where producers are short of unemployed student rent-a-crowds, we own machinery. Lets make that difference work for us. Anyone who has to turn up in a ute, a truck, or a tractor (road rules permitting) please bring that capital equipment and allow it to add its weight to the protest.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of the Center for Investors and Entrepreneurs John Berlau on what's wrong with the bill.
Liberal progressives would contest this interpretation. They place the blame for the Democratic defeat on the economy, noting that unemployment is at historically high levels, levels that have particularly affected the working class. They further note that they were unable to deliver on immigration reform, cap-and-trade, don't-ask-don't-tell, and other measures that would excite the base. They would argue that the Supreme Court's decision in Citizens United opened the floodgate to unprecedented influence by corporations and billionaires who could now spend unlimited amounts of money on campaigns guided by clever and unscrupulous Republican operatives.
Read more at the Wall Street Journal (subscription may be required).
Using hemispherically- or zonally-resolved temperature data to estimate aerosol forcing fails to avoid contamination by the AMO when the analysis period is insufficiently long. Many AR4 era ECS and TCR studies used the 20th century as their analysis period. The1900s started with the AMO low and ended with the AMO high. Gillett et al (2012) found that, despite its uses of spatiotemporal patterns, their detection and attribution study??s estimate of warming attributable to GHG was biased ~40% high when based on 1900s data compared to with when the longer 1851-2010 period was used. ECS studies affected by this problem include Gregory et al (2002), Frame et al (2005) and Allen et al (2009).The Stott and Forest (2007) TCR estimate is also affected.
And what does the President mean by the overwhelming judgment of science anyway?Mr. Obama implies that recent fires, drought, and storms would not have occurred but for anthropogenic climate change. That is ideology talking, not science.
Global warming has evaporated the glacier ;-) so thousands of tons of ash are flying above Europe. Yes, of course: volcano eruptions are caused by climate change , much like everything else .
Stringent limitations on tiny particles less than 2.5 microns in diameter (PM2.5), like those found in diesel exhaust and dust, are based on what Nobel prize-winning physicist Richard Feyman called cargo cult science fake science that looks like science. This develops when government money is lavishly given to people in the academy to support a political agenda built on a false threat of public harm, Dunn writes.
"The global temperature savings of the Kerry-Lieberman bill is astoundingly small0.043C (0.077F) by 2050 and 0.111C (0.200F) by 2100. In other words, by centurys end, reducing U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 83% will only result in global temperatures being one-fifth of one degree Fahrenheit less than they would otherwise be. That is a scientifically meaningless reduction...Climatologically, the Kerry-Lieberman American Power Act, in and of itself, is a meaningless bill. To make it effective, it must involve the worlds developing counties." Additional current temp
Earlier this year she was one of 300 people chosen to take part in a training session to enable her to present environmental campaigner and former US vice-president Al Gores slideshow on the climate crisis .
But seriously, what about ocean acidification? Its worth noting that fears of ocean acidification are largely theoretical and calculated, rather than based on empirical evidence. Some corals grown in very high levels of CO 2 thrived. When one research team reconstructed ocean pH levels with boron isotopes in corals, they found no noteable trend over the last 300 years or the last 6000 years. Atmospheric CO 2 levels may have risen 30% recently, but at least in that marker, theres no clear relationship between ocean acidity and atmospheric CO2. Other researchers found warmer temperatures increased calcification along the full length of the Great Barrier Reef.
Other methods of calculating moisture developed since Thornthwaite are mostly directed to assessing drought. These include the Palmer Drought Index, which estimates dryness from precipitation and temperature data. It is used by the US and Canadian governments among others and NOAA publishes a weekly Palmer Index.
A Global Climate and Energy Project Big Ambitions at Stanford
Pupils and teachers dread every school day at the SeeCampus. If the deodorant of just one person fails to work, then half the classroom goes into a coma. The ventilation in the exemplary passive building is a catastrophe. Theres an extreme lack of fresh air on hot days. Because of concern over the health of the children, who complain about headaches and fatigue, parents are threatening to stop operation of the school through legal action.
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Meanwhile, the EPA and White House ignore even the most obvious benefits of using fossil fuels.
Liberal progressives say necessity should have a minimal role in constraining the pursuit of progressive justice. If voters don't agree with a progressive view of rights, recourse to the courts to overrule them is proper. Voters' desire, and especially well-off voters' desire, to keep taxes low and the economy growing ought not to be a significant factor in bringing medical care to poor people or saving the planet from greenhouse gasses.
Skepticism about the motivations and actions of those in government is healthy. But for criticism to be credible, it should be consistent, even if not wholly apolitical. It is instructive, therefore, to ask: During the Clinton-Gore years of egregious excesses and abuses, where were those who now accuse the Bush administration of politicizing science? Henry I. Miller, a fellow at the Hoover Institution, was the founding director of the Office of Biotechnology at the FDA from 1989 to1993. His latest book, "The Frankenfood Myth: How Protest and Politics Threaten the Biotech Revolution," co-authored with Gregory Conko of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, will be published later this year.
John Cook of un SkepticalScience quotes Ghandi, and feels like a victim too:
8. Why should liberals and leftists be skeptical of the environmental movement?
Research Fellow in Energy Economics and Climate Change
Further, there is a clear tendency for urban and valley areas to be anomalously hot (such as in Washington and Oregon, though oddly in California the Central Valley is cooler than usual I would guess due to the extra clouds weve been having).. IMHO, this warmth is most likely because that is where the people are, where they run heaters and air conditioners, and where there are millions of cars on black tarmac and tons of aviation fuel being burned for take-offs at all the airports. Given that, the placement of the majority of GHCN thermometers at airports and in or near urban and low elevation locations introduces a clear bias to the basic data used in all the climatology studies.
I visited Wakool rice farmer John Lolicato today and he showed me his rice crop.
"the IPCC argues that feedbacks from increased water evaporation will lead to enhanced warming. This is not observed in those regions most effected by water vapour. In fact the opposite seems to be the case implying negative feedback."
The per century cooling trend of this period, a minus 3.2F, took place in spite of the huge warmth produced by two large El Nio events during this 15-year span: 1997-1998 and 2009-2010 .
They just carry on as usual, ignoring any challenges along the way. They have to go for it in a different way, with the likely non-renewal of Kyoto. Global Governance here we come.
"The United Nations Population Fund, the UNFPA, is calling for US $28 million in donations to re- establish 'reproductive health services,' in the Tsunami-stricken regions of Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and the Maldives, according to a UNFPA press release published Thursday."
But seriously, MNNs photos supposedly depicting melting glaciers on the Matterhorn proves nothing in their effort to debunk Glaciergate theyve only proven that any schmuck can cherry-pick photos.
With my new job, work on my next book is progressing slowly. The new working title is Fundamentals and Failings of Human-Induced Global Warming . Ive written and produced illustrations for about 20-25% of it so far. An expanded version of this post will appear in it.
The scientific antidote to advocacy is to test multiple reasonable hypotheses. With respect to long-term global mean temperatures, there are proponents of the global cooling hypothesis as well as those who predict no change. For example, in 2007 I offered to bet former Vice President Al Gore that the no-change hypothesis would provide more accurate forecasts than the dangerous warming hypothesis presented by him and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). My offer was meant to test the relative accuracy of these competing hypotheses. (See TheClimateBet.com for the results to date had Mr. Gore accepted the bet).
As a result of market freedoms, market innovations, and the classical liberalism that the market enforces, this is an optimistic moment in human history.
The Cooler Heads Coalition will hold a congressional and media briefing by Professor Richard S. Lindzen of MIT on September 30 from noon to 1:30 PM in Room 345 of the Cannon House Office Building. Lunch will be provided. Reservations are required. Those wishing to attend should e-mail their name, affiliation, and phone number to mebell@cei.org or telephone Myron Ebell at (202) 331-1010, ext. 216. Dr. Lindzen will be speaking "On the meaning of global warming claims."
120 Agriculture Groups Oppose Waxman-Markey
Which is interesting since I think we can agree since I joined this little forecasting battle the past 3 years, I have hit the cold over in Europe. Part of the reason is the model and computer has a warm bias since the PDO ( Pacific Decadol Oscillation flipped to cool). Now I wonder why that would be?
Lets carry that discussion farther. In the 2008 paper Seasonal CycleEl Nio Relationship: Validation of Hypotheses , Xiao and Mechoso presented three hypotheses, two of which they confirmed with climate models. Lets discuss those two. The first hypothesis they confirmed was:
"Supporters of the changes, including board members Wade Linger and Tom Campbell, argued that "science is never settled' and that debate will lead students into a deeper understanding of the issue," the paper added.
Tom Karl the director of the national climatic data center of the US NOAA, who compiled another global temperature record who's errors and exaggerations of recent warming have caused concern.
The Bush Administration's position on global warming is affirmed at the G8 Summit.
Thankfully, the Obama Administration, environmentalists and (mostly Democratic) politicians take this situation very seriously, and are doing something about it according to their parallel universe.
CO 2 is clearly up to the task of ameliorating the negative effects of SO 2 pollution on leaf photosynthetic rates of soybeans and then some , as it boosted rates even higher than they were in the total absence of the pollutant. References
Connolley is a software engineer and sometime-climatologist who used to work for the British Antarctic Survey. He also once ran for office representing England's Green Party.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Director of Global Warming and Energy Policy Myron Ebell on how Americans feel about the price of gas.