Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The dependence of executive power on the circumstances was not lost on early observers of the American system. In Democracy in America, Alexis de Tocqueville stated that the presidency would grow with the United States. "The President of the United States possesses almost royal prerogatives, which he has no opportunity of exercising; and the privileges that he can at present use are very circumscribed. The laws allow him to be strong, but circumstances keep him weak." That would change, Tocqueville predicted, as America became a great nation. It is in foreign relations "that the executive power of a nation finds occasion to exert its skill and its strength." If the security of the country "were perpetually threatened, if its chief interests were in daily connection with those of other powerful nations," Tocqueville continued, "the executive government would assume an increased importance in proportion to the measures expected of it and to those which it would execute."
In the end, Bry concluded, he is willing to jump back in the fray again if it means getting a shot at bringing into this world a person capable of saving humans from themselves.
It all comes down to uncertainty in proxy records vs uncertainty in climate model output. Liu et al. dive into both in great detail and conclude that there are probable errors in both. They further note that the errors in the climate history data might propagate as errors through the models, since those data are used as inputs to drive the models. Even so, the authors conclude: ?Although the potential biases in the reconstruction may contribute to the data-model discrepancy, it is also important to recognize that the data-model discrepancy can be caused by potential biases in current models. Indeed, even after considering the seasonal bias effect, the models still fail to produce some important features in the reconstruction.?
The September UAH Lower Atmosphere Temperature Anomaly was.33 degrees C above the 30 year average and RSSGlobal Global Lower Troposphere shows a .133 degrees C increase per decade. ???Earth??s Temperature?? varies naturally by numerous degrees and has been significantly warmer than it is today:
Temperature data from NASA/GISS longest-running Greenland weather station (and others below):
The evidence of a lull in global warming casts doubt on the scientific consensus the U.N. asserts exists among scientists worldwide regarding whether or not the utilization of carbon-based fuels by humans is the cause of rising levels of carbon dioxide measured in the earths atmosphere.
However, the sun can influence the earth in many other ways that the IPCC Report does not consider, in part because the mechanisms are not well understood. The ultraviolet irradiance changes much more with solar activity, ~ 10% at 200 nm in the band that forms ozone in the stratosphere and between 5% and 2% in the ozone absorption bands between 240 and 320 nm according to DeLand & Cebula (2012). Their graphs also show that these fluxes during the most recent solar minimum were lower than the previous two reducing the formation of ozone in the stratosphere and its absorption of the near UV spectrum. How this absorption can couple into the lower atmosphere is under current investigation, e. g. Haigh et al . (2010).
That finding, they note, is consistent with other research suggesting that the sun may affect the strength of those mid-latitude winds through changes in stratospheric ozone over Antarctica.
No doubt Tom Mann, Stu Rothenberg, Charlie Cook and others among my
The Climate Change Subcommittee of the Environmental Protection Agency's Clean Air Act Advisory Committee is holding a meeting to discuss policy issues with implementation of the Clean Air Act of 1990. The meeting will be held at the Marriott at Metro Center 775 12th Street NW, Washington, DC, July 26, 1999 at 1:00 p.m. Contact Lawrence W. Roffee at (202) 272-5434, ext. 14 for more information.
If true and relevant, the observation would be just huge. But my prominent source who is skeptical about the observation recalls an observation two years ago or so when similar four bottom-quark events were used to claim something similar, with tan(beta) above 100. At those times, related events involving tau leptons helped to strengthen a consistent picture. But the claims faded away - they were never published, in fact.
Economists love the carbon tax. The American public, not so much. More work is needed to get the idea off the blackboard.
The ad targeted Missouri Senator Claire McCaskil (D), a mother, who had co-sponsored the legislation that would check EPA. Over images of a woman smoking while she gives birth, a narrator intones:
I am grateful to John McLean for information on temperatures in the vicinity of the Wilkins Ice Shelf and Joe DAleo for other temperature data, and to Bill Kininmonth and Garth Paltridge for information on the Wilkins Ice Shelf collapse.
The fact that we had both higher temperatures and an ice age at a time when CO2 emissions were 10 times higher than they are today fundamentally contradicts the certainty that human-caused CO2 emissions are the main cause of global warming, Moore said.
your platter and the nation's, Buffett and Brooks and Galston say: the financial
Well, as promised, I wanted to post our race day picture from the half marathon. This was done for my daughter's benefit, who set the goal to run a half marathon about 6 months ago and figured the promise of a Disney trip would be incentive to stay on top of her training.
Girardin et al. report that their assessment of millennial-scale variations of seasonal wildfire danger, vegetation flammability and fire activity suggests that "feedback effects arising from vegetation changes are large enough to offset climate change impacts on fire danger." But will such vegetation changes actually occur?
This is the same obsessive, deranged, mental illness the AGW cultists have.
11 hours ago Australias antarctic runway meltingIt could be possible to build a year-round runway there big enough to handle the largest jet aircraft, ...
That's right Mr. blgda synsttet as various environmental organizations and the Environmental Party in front I find a clue frbryllande. No, it is not possible to be without both coal and krnkraft in modern Europe. There's countless examples of statements and opinion articles from knowledgeable people who time after time tries n out and explain it here. Last a debate article in the Second Opinion was written by Per hlstrm.
Based on my analysis above, I would say that the Times was definitely onto somethingglobal temperatures are rising at a pace so slow as to begin to raise questions as to whether they are being modeled correctly and are starting to suggest we have already left behind the world of possibilities portrayed in the panels report.
Sea surface temperature differences (Victor Gouretski-GRL, 2012)= approx. zero
According to these sjlvrttfrdiga vrldsbilder, is the science that bestmmer the only correct policy. Democratic decision-Fri sit in bakstet No the wise men who understands science demands sitting at the wheel.
Nowhere in the universe does an input of -18 degrees C become +15 degrees C, by having -18 degrees C combine with itself or trap itself.
But he had a big problem: Bipartisan majorities in Congress refused to go along with the president's climate policies.
Various scientists attach different interpretations to this disparity between models and direct atmospheric observations. Some suspect the fault lies with the quality of the atmospheric temperature data; some blame the models; while others merely note that the disparity exists and do not attempt to reconcile it at all.
So, in total, during 40 out of the 62 years there has been a cooling trend. They are comparing a statistically insignificant amount of warming since 1998, with three decades of cooling. The result is to make this small trend sound much more significant than it is.
CEI Weekly is a compilation of articles and blog posts from CEI's fellows and associates sent out via e-mail every Friday. Also included in the weekly newsletter is a brief description of CEI's weekly podcast and a feature on a major CEI breakthrough made during the week. To sign up for CEI Weekly, go to http://cei.org/newsletters.
Unlike water, the gel does a kind of disappearing act underground. It reverts to vapor due to pressure and heat, then returns to the surface along with the natural gas for collection, possible reuse and ultimate resale.
on Saturday, January 12th, 2013 at 12:34 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
The harm caused by Europe's self-inflicted shortage of affordable energy is all too real right now. For example, the European heat wave of 2003 was blamed for the deaths of thousands of people in France. But it wasn't the heat that caused those deaths, it was energy rationing. Americans have air conditioning to protect themselves from hot summer temperatures, but many Europeans do not, in part because energy is so expensive there. Thus, while the summer of 2003 was much hotter in the American west than in France, it was in France where people died from the heat. Even if human-caused global warming is occurring, it can't be appreciably slowed without a "cure" far worse than the disease.
So, as the unseasonal cold settles in over the U.S. this week, don't be fooled by those who claim "global warming causes cooling". What we are seeing is natural variability, likely dominated by the oceans. The "new weather norm" might well be different from what anyone less than 30 years old has been used to.
The Australian s editors are being attacked for questioning authority. Theyre supposed to be journalists who investigate everything, not a PR agency who promotes an ideology. In reply the Australian could have been roasting the other media agencies...
> >> >All the best, and keep me in touch. I am working on a new climate
So there are a lot of non-fit things here. But people are lousy at giving a good eye witness account. Leaping from inconsistent stories and confusion to a grand conspiracy is a bit more than I can do. Yet the guy at 14 minutes really has trouble keeping a strait story and a believable one? At 15-16 minutes there is a good case that the parents of the newly dead child are looking way too cheery. Yet in another clip I found what they were saying. It was remembering things she liked. Are these maybe just folks whove accepted death long ago, so having it be personalized isnt that much of a leap? Ive been accused of not enough or inappropriate emotional display. Some of us are that way. I can put on a very strong suppression of strong negative events and be normal for periods, leaving the crying for me time. Not everyone is slave to their emotional state.
The exponential ???hockey-stick?? curves of the IPCC et al emphasize just how much difference extra carbon supposedly makes. Few people realize that the exponential rising curves come from feedback factors (which are the fatal flaw of the science behind the scare campaign).
What makes the magnitude of these shares determined? Will they remain constant? That's not safe. As a result of increasing the CO2 content of the atmosphere increases plant growth around the world gradually. Therefore, the CO2 absorption will increase by plants, but ultimately also the decomposition of dead plant parts. We can not accurately assess these developments. It may be so, that the 2% (which accumulate) gradually increase or decrease. In the latter case, the CO2 content can be constant (that is of course speculation).
Climate models are known to poorly simulate clouds, and given clouds?? very strong effect on the climate systemsome types cooling the Earth either by shading it or by transporting heat up and cold down in thunderstorms, and others warming the Earth by blocking outgoing radiationit remains highly plausible that there is no net positive feedback from water vapor.
If this weather forecast showing sub-freezing temperatures in the Beaufort Sea is correct, alarmists are in a world of hurt.
If Americans these days tend to have forgotten something as basic as the security dilemma, Europeans for their part have serious difficulties remembering something equally basic that they used to perform with undeniable virtuosity: coercive diplomacy. Be it with Iraq yesterday or Iran today, an astounding percentage of the allegedly sophisticated EU elites have the hardest time grasping what any American redneck knows intuitively: namely, that the collective threat to use force is still the best way to avoid having recourse to actual force. Fifty years of increasing focus on intra-EU politics has led EU elites to mistake "multi-level governance" (read: horse-trading by capitals in Brussels) for the whole of statecraft. But genuine diplomacy always rests on the implicit threat to use force, and the EU mantra about force as last resort should logically lead Europeans to view coercive diplomacy as their preferred weapon.6
While I've been pessimistic about the future of the Keystone pipeline, I've spoken and written optimistically about America's overall energy position and related politics. I've touted theincreased domestic oil-and-gas development. I've pointed out the general demise of the climate change argument and the failure of Europe's green energy policies. I've talked up the good-paying jobs provided by the energy industry. I've been encouraged by the changing politics in the other countries of the Anglosphere. I've said: "With my ear to the ground, I see good things coming "
The CPP Will Cost More than EPA Estimates. EPA's estimated nationwide compliance cost of $7.3 billion to $8.8 billion in 2030 is implausibly low. Expert estimates put the cost to states at $41 billion in 2030 and $336 billion over 15 years.
Sedjo and Clawson also said "While the local effects of rapid deforestation may be severe, the evidence does not support the view that either the world or the tropics are experiencing rapid aggregate deforestation. Furthermore, the evidence shows that current rates of deforestation are quite modest in much of the world's virgin tropical forests, for example those of the Amazon; and therefore they are probably in little danger of wholesale destruction in the foreseeable future." (Eco-Sanity, p.90)
The study found that though there are large regional fluctuations in crop-hail losses, ???No statistically significant long-term trend of decrease or increase in crop-hail loss costs exists.?? For weather-caused insured property losses the study found that the increased weather-related losses that have occurred since 1950 ???were directly related to population growth.?? Other studies have confirmed this result.
None of these scares have a scientific leg to stand on and all have been debunked over the course of time.
Christy and Spencer are best known for their work with the satellite temperature record, which is a record of tropospheric temperatures. They discussed the importance of that data. The satellite data, according to Spencer, should be the most robust data if global warming occurs. The global warming signal should be 30 percent higher in the satellite data than in the surface temperature data. Yet the satellites record a slight cooling trend over the last 20 years.
Number of the Week: 926,900 tonnes per day
If they did, they would know that Oregon has been cooling over the last 25 years and has dropped over two degrees during the last seven years. They would also know that 2008, 2009 and (soon) 2010 are three of the five coldest years in the last quarter century.
The theory of anthropogenic global warming is based upon the notion that increases in the minor greenhouse gasCO2 result in increases ofthe major greenhouse gaswater vapor, thereby supposedlyincreasing global warming to alarming levels of 2-5C per doubling of CO2 levels. Without this assumed and unproven positive feedback from water vapor, there is no basis for alarm. While the IPCC confidently stated in their 2007 report ,
Last year, the U.S. reduced its emissions by 3.9 percent. That reduction was larger than that of any other major industrialized country. In contrast, China's carbon-dioxide output soared by 6 percent and India's by 6.9 percent, while Brazil's rose by 2.5 percent and Mexico's by 4.3 percent.
30-40: Depressive after-work meetings with co-workers
By coincidence I also got recently a paper from Rob which says ?London?s UHI
I conclude that there is no relationship between carbon dioxide and temperature at a pristine site like that at Mauna Loa. In conclusion the whole theory of radiative forcing allegedly arising from increasing concentration of carbon dioxide over time has no validity at pristine locations like Mauna Loa.
Section IV sounds a cautionary note. Downsizing and down-weighting of cars is the least-costly means of increasing fuel economy and decreasing GHG emissions per vehicle mile traveled. Lighter, smaller vehicles are less crashworthy. Federal fuel economy mandates killed between 1,300 and 2,600 motorists in 1993, according to the National Research Council. To the extent that AB 1493 constrains vehicle size and weight, it will adversely affect auto safety.
Well, for one thing the U.S. already has won some degree of global competitive advantage by abjuring Kyoto per se. Increasing the unit costs of energy is not likely to be a plus for nations competing in a highly-integrated global economy. Further, there is a big difference between shifting the existing tax burden more towards consumption, and increasing that tax burden in the area of energy consumption. There is no point in cleaning up the mess that is the U.S. tax code, merely to tack on an equally messy new revenue source, in pursuit of a shaky scientific hypothesis.
A paper published today in Climate of the Past finds the low solar activity during the Dalton Minimum from 1780-1840 had a significant effect on climate and ocean heat content. According to the authors, "Global and hemispheric mean surface temperatures show a significant dependence on solar irradiance at > 250 nm" and "Reduction of irradiance at > 250 nm leads to a significant (up to 2%) decrease in theocean heat content (OHC) between 0 and 300 meters in depth, whereas the changes in irradiance at < 250 nm or in energetic particles have virtually no effect."
"Monica Symes, a dentist in Lyme Regis, Dorset, says an NHS infection control worker warned her that keeping back issues of Country Life could make her fail health and safety inspections."
"The actions of Exxon Mobil in this regard can reasonably be seen as an insult to the climate science community, which has been making a heroic effort to communicate the nature of the problem in the face of extraordinary impediments thrown up by industry-funded operatives."
4. For the German Government, do the arguments made by Fred Singer and other arguments presented have merit and are they ???enlightening??? How do you assess the statements by Mr Singer that ???Politicians that are embedded in climate change are more dangerous than climate change itself???
Other eco-zealots in attendance were Robert May (a zoologist) who is on record declaring the world was on a calamitous trajectory due to global warming.The BBC was recently forced to admit that the seminar was organised by the Cambridge Media and Environment Programme (CMEP), established by pro-green activist Joe Smith and BBC reporter Roger Harrabin(co-founder of CMEP). Harrabin is also on the UEAs Advisory board of the Tyndall Centre raising serious conflict of interest issues. Pointedly, not one of the attendees deals with attribution science, the physics of global warming.
In Kerry's introductory comments he says: "So our challenge is to offer even the most remote place on earth the same choices that have made us strong and free." Later, he launches into his climate change litany, and talks about developing and deploying "the clean technologies that will power a new world."
6. Venn Diagram of the Day (above). Inspired by the wage disparity data in Item #5 above.
President Obama has "become a dictator" and needs to face the consequences of his executive actions, "whether that's removal from office, whether that's impeachment." Iowa state Sen. (and U.S. Senate candidate) Jodi Ernst, one of a slew of elected officials calling for impeachment or at least putting it front and center.
EPA's Tailoring Rule: A Temporary, Legally Dubious, and Incomplete Antidote to Massachusetts v. EPA's Legacy of Absurd Results
If we continue using fossil fuels, there is a 0.0% chance that it will lead to a climate catastrophe. CO2 was much higher for most of the last 600 million years, and life thrived.
For example, 18 years of sea level measurements from satellites suggested a trend of 3.2 mm per year until a drop in 2010, attributed to a shift from El Nio to La Nia, neither event accepted by the IPCC as a cause of climate change. The average has been about 3 mm per year, and may become less. This works out to an expected rise, based on observations, of no more than about 300 mm in 100 years ??? by 2100. Yet, several studies presented at the latest American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Conference emphasize that sea level will rise by about 1000 mm per century ??? one meter.
Comment:McCarthyomits the first word of the quoted sentence: Ultimately.The unexpurgated sentence reads: Ultimately , a permitting authority retains the discretion to conduct a broader BACT analysis and to consider changes in the primary fuel in Step 1 of the analysis(emphasis added).Ultimately suggestssomething that might happen several years down the road, not the agencysnext move, and then only as a matter of discretion in individual cases, not as the industry-wide default position. The guidance documents weasel words, which occur in only one sentence out of a 96-page text, do not obviate the fact that McCarthy and the EPAmisledCongress and industry about the scope of the agencys regulatory ambition.
He is culpably silent on Dr. Ryan Maues Accumulated Cyclone Energy index, which shows that since 2005 the combined frequency, intensity, and duration of all tropical cyclones, hurricanes, and typhoons worldwide, expressed as a 24-month running sum, shows the least activity in the entire satellite record. Spencer 4, Nuccitelli 0.
1. The promotional summary of Soylent Green reads as follows: "The year is 2022. Overcrowding, pollution, and resource depletion have reduced society's leaders to finding food for the teeming masses. The answer is Soylent Greenan artificial nourishment whose actual ingredients are not known by the public."
Industry fires back at factory farming campaign | Great Lakes Advocate
For Washington, the lesson is that the era of great power politics is far from over in Asia. Its finite diplomatic energy should be spent on the "high politics" among Asia's great powersissues of war and peace (or how to avoid the former and maintain the latter), rather than on the "low politics" of climate change and currency disputes. The diplomatic tasks with respect to Japan, one that should be carried out at senior and sustained levels, is to help shake Tokyo out of stagnation, and to help Japan become a more coherent and powerful strategic actor. Washington's future in Asia depends upon a rich, strategically active Japan.
In Northumberland, researchers found sediments from 7,000 years ago five metres below, and others from 4,000 years ago at 1 metre above the present sea level. This indicates that the sea level rose above present levels from around 7,500 years ago to 4,500 years ago, and then dropped and is continuing to fall. Sea-levels in most of Scotland peaked even higher about 4,500 years ago and have been falling ever since because the land has risen.
A public debate on the damage being done by climate change policy is long overdue.
One particular case that has gained worldwide attention involves Shell. The oil company cut its estimates of proven oil and gas reserves by one-third in the past year, drawing a wave of media attention. But two years ago, when Canada changed its estimated oil reserves by 35 times as much, there was barely any coverage by the press. How could this be? Could it be that while Shell's reserves sank, Canada's actually rose?