Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
1878 : Universal Drought Across Australasia And The South Seas
Another of the repellent tricks of Nazism and Fascism is to poke fun at the physical disabilities of one?s opponents. The Guardian, the British equivalent of Der Sturmer, the in-house journal of Hitler?s Sturmabteilung, has been running a rather childish hate-campaign against me for three years, ever since I successfully compelled it to publish a stinging letter of rebuke for its hapless environment correspondent, George Monbiot.
Another way of analyzing the Stern Review's conclusions was provided by Sir Partha Dasgupta, the Frank Ramsey Professor of Economics at Cambridge University. Sir Partha noted that Stern's estimated costs of only 1% of total global economic output to 2200 would have to be paid by 2050. Thus the costs should have been averaged over the next 43 years rather than the next two centuries. Since the model Sir Nicholas used projects much higher global economic output in the 22nd century than in the 21st, the effect of paying for emissions reductions between now and 2050 is a massive re-distribution of wealth from the current relatively poor generation to much wealthier future generations. Sir Partha estimated that it would require a 97.5% savings rate in the current generation to pay for the necessary emissions reductions. As my colleague Marlo Lewis has remarked over the years, this truly is a policy of all pain and no gain.
The full text is available here as an Adobe Acrobat PDF.
Climate change is now quite clearly a purely political issue. So, when will a politician emerge possessing the temerity to stake out a position daring to state the truth about the US and climate change, that our rate of increase of CO2 emissions is among the best and maybe even the very best in the developed world over recent years (when considering "Europe" as a wholethe EU-15as does the Kyoto Protocol), possibly even since Kyoto was agreed in 1997? That we far surpass our moral hectors the Europeans on this matter over which they are so noisy and even quite often remarkably nasty?
This peer reviewed essay, which is heavily footnoted/referenced, addresses global warming and the possibility changes in policy would lessen its effects. The global warming impact of substituting natural gas for coal and oil is currently in debate. The paper compares the reduction of warming that would result from substituting gas for coal and some oil to the reduction which could be achieved by instead substituting zero carbon energy sources. The substitution of natural gas reduces global warming by 40% of that which could be attained by the substitution of zero carbon energy sources.
America and the world will be cleaner, greener and more prosperous with an abundant supply of energy. It was heartening to hear President Obama acknowledge this reality saying, "the bottom line is this: Given our energy needs, in order to sustain economic growth and produce jobs, and keep our businesses competitive, we are going to need to harness traditional sources of fuel." Unfortunately, as the President took a step forward and finally permitted us to tap new areas of our offshore energy resources; he also took a step backward by closing off other areas that offered much potential. While we dither, other countries race to tap their oil and gas to sell to us. Russia is preparing to drill off the coast of Cuba, right outside our back porch.
Nothing can beat the intellectual excitement and satisfaction you get from research in the field and in the laboratory, Bao said.
This suite of "aragonitic cold-water coral species," as the eleven researchers describe them, "collectively show an overall trend of higher ??pH values that is anti-correlated with seawater pH, with systematics generally consistent with biologically controlled pH up-regulation." And this result indicates that, "like symbiont-bearing tropical corals (Trotter et al ., 2011), they have the ability to ameliorate or buffer external changes in seawater pH by up-regulating their pH cf at the site of calcification."
As to why the form of El Nio is changing to El Nio Modoki, thats not entirely clear yet, said Webster.
Solomon cites a particular volunteer editor who goes by the pseudonym of "Tabletop" (real name Kim Dabelstein).
If there's something wrong about the weather record, it must affect pretty much "most" of the raw data from the weather stations. Those raw data are used in pretty much all the datasets mentioned in the previous paragraph which could explain the high degree of their agreement (even if all of them are very inaccurate). But the global averages seem to be rather robust with respect to the omission of a substantial percentage of the weather stations etc. so I tend to believe that the graph of the surface global mean temperature isn't mainly determined by several "bad apples".
The Arctic is getting greener as plant growth increases in response to a warmer climate. This greater plant growth means more carbon is stored in the increasing biomass, so it was previously thought the greening would result in more carbon dioxide being taken up from the atmosphere, thus helping to reduce the rate of global warming.
Once a major storm makes landfall, it tends to sweep across the state, leaving destruction in its wake. With hurricane season well under way, it's time to devote some attention to ways that Florida can make itself more resistant to a cycle of storm damage that won't ease any time soon.
As shown in our figure, the increase in Antarctic ice extent has been quite impressive, especially since approximately 2000.
As previously discussed here , prior to 2001, the similarly embattled U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change??s position on the prior millennium was that global temperatures had fluctuated drastically with not one but three radical shifts occurring over the period. The MWP which was several degrees warmer than today ??? was followed in circa 1300 by the abrupt cooling of The Little Ice Age (LIA), which lasted until approximately 1850. And then began the modern warming period, which was by no means unique and apparently ended with the millennium itself.
Just look at what the CO2 alarmists say as soon as their predicted warming fails to show up (April 2008 ):
all present reconstructions, yet sounding like a pro greenhouse zealot here!
As analyst Roger Bezdek explains, water heaters that now cost $675-1,500 will soon cost $1,200-2,450 with newfangled exhaust fans, vent pipes and condensate removal systems. Pickup trucks with more fuel efficiency and less power will nearly double in price. Microwaves, cell phones, vacuum cleaners, hair dryers, toasters, coffee pots, lawn mowers, photocopiers, televisions and almost everything else will cost far more. Poor and middle class families will get clobbered, to prevent perhaps 5% of the USA's 15% of all human CO2 emissions toward 0.04% of atmospheric CO2, and maybe 0.00001 degrees of warming.
In short, whatever "hotter, drier, longer" forest fires we are witnessing today have nothing to do with fossil fuels, plant-fertilizing carbon dioxide, or "dangerous manmade climate change." They have a lot to do with incompetent forest mismanagement policies and practices.
Horner Op-Ed in Tech Central Station
Energy demand is expected to increase by about 40 percent over the next 20 years. And to meet the worlds growing demand, we will need all forms of energy including oil, natural gas, coal, nuclear, renewable and alternative fuels. Virtually all credible forecasts show oil, gas, and coal will continue to represent 7580 percent of the worlds energy mix in 2035.
The bottom line is that if the EPA had not dissembled on fuel switching and not obfuscated on fuel economy, more Senators might have voted for legislative measures, sponsored by Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) in 2010 and Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) in 2011,torein in the agency. In addition to their well-publicized transparency concerns about the EPA under the leadership of Lisa Jackson and Gina McCarthy, Senatorsshould also have separation of powers concerns.
Just last week, the IPCCs (and thus EPAs) primary assertion that Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic GHG concentrations was shown to be wrong . This argument isnt included in the Petition.
With many analyses suggesting cooler times are on the way, this year may be exceptional in recent experience, but how many ???just one year??s would it take for us to notice the effects?
If cost issues weren't enough to make you a wind energy opponent, think of the health issues.
And from the same source, here he is looking much more like the man who put on his boots and accompanied us to the Chillingham cattle field and told us fascinating stories about the history of the herd.
"If the European Commission really wanted to signal that it didn't give a monkey's about the environment then it would probably choose as its new environment commissioner an old, rightwing free-marketeer lawyer who used to work for the World Bank and had responsibility for Africa in the bad old 1970s. Impossible? Not in the slightest. Welcome Stavros Dimas, 62, Greek economist, Wall Street banker, and conservative lawyer. The fragile hopes of Europe's mountains, rivers, climate and forests rest on you."
4 Ronald Asmus and Richard Holbrooke, "Re-reinventing NATO," Riga Papers (November 2006). On Kosovo, see Henry Kissinger, "New World Disorder," Newsweek (May 31, 1999). It is worth nothing that by summer 2001, there were more than 200 books written in the English language alone not a good sign for a 78-day war. See Jamie Shea, "Instant History," NATO Review (Summer 2001).
It is becoming a trend in the journal Science that of publishing articles stating that there is no hiatus in annual average global surface temperature.
An opportunity to get the climate alarmists case before a court to be cross-examined in a judicial environment sounds too good to miss. The claimants will have to prove an extremely long chain of causation, namely that the rising sea levels are a result of rising temperatures, which are themselves a result of increased CO2 emissions, which are a result of mans burning of fossil fuels.
Virtually all economists agree that a carbon tax would be regressive: poor people live in older, less insulated spaces, use older and more energy-consuming appliances, drive older, lower-mileage vehicles, drive long distances to work where they cant afford to live, etc. So, the poor spend more of their money on power than the better-off as a share of annual earnings. That means if you hike power prices, the pain is felt by the poor more than the rest of society.
Chicago River Freezes As Historic Cold Batters the Nation
c) If it were not for Revellefaktorn would distinguish a further factor of about 10 in frdelningen between the atmosphere and ocean (like the carbon dioxide-air and distilled water, Dr. partitionsjmvikten according to Henry Lagligger p about 1 part in air and 50 water) .Revellefaktorn will not the p Another way of reasoning, because the (experimental) livslngden for a carbon dioxide molecule in the atmosphere already include its effect.
Furthermore, I predict that the GOP will gain nine Senate seats, giving it 50 members. That means the Republicans will nearly capture the slate in the seats up for grabs, losing only West Virginia in a nailbiter among the close seats in the polls. I would not at all be surprised if one Democratperhaps Jim Webb of Virginiasubsequently switches parties or changes which party he caucuses with to give the GOP operational control of the Senate.
Where he's wrong is that we can never give up the fight, the intellectual and moral case against big government, partly because if groups like CEI and Cato and the Club for Growth weren't making the case for smaller government, it would be even bigger than it is. It would grow even faster. If we were to walk away from that fight, we'd see, not six or seven percent growth in spending, but nine or ten percent growth in spending. But I agree, it's discouraging to see what's happening. I mean, we've had a Republican President and practically an entire Republican Congress for the first time in a long time, and the government is going to grow by 7 or 8 percent this year. This is awful, it's a bigger growth in spending than when the Democrats controlled things.
The European Commission continues to assert that the EU will meet its Kyoto targets with "continuing and additional measures". This is highly unlikely without a major economic recession. The EU's principal continuing measure is its Emissions Trading Scheme. A recent exhaustive analysis by Open Europe, a London-based think tank, concluded that the ETS had failed miserably in its first commitment period and was almost certain to continue to fail in the 2008-12 Kyoto compliance period. Open Europe's report, "Europe's Dirty Secret: Why the EU Emissions Trading Scheme isn't Working," also details how some special interests are making huge profits at the expense of consumers.
It must be ?dangerous? change that is being asked about. If it is not dangerous then, while it is an interesting issue for researchers, it should not be a public policy concern at all, let alone worth billions of dollars trying to fix. 2. ?How much of an increase in your cost of living would you accept to reduce carbon dioxide emissions?? Until these questions are asked in a bias-free way, no public opinion poll about global warming, least of all this month?s surveys, should be taken seriously.
Levas et al . report that "independent of temperature, DOC fluxes decreased significantly with increases in pCO 2 in both species, resulting in more DOC being retained by the corals and only representing between 19 and 6% of TOC fluxes for A. millepora and T. reniformis ," while at the same time POC fluxes were unaffected by elevated temperature and/or pCO 2 . And, thus, they were able to conclude that "these findings add to a growing body of evidence that certain species of coral may be less at risk to the impacts of OA and temperature than previously thought."
For the model-data comparison of the Pacific (60S-65N, 120E-80W), see Figure 2. The HADGEM2-ES simulated a warming rate of about 0.19 deg C/ decade for the sea surface temperature of the Pacific from January, 1982 to August, 2013, but the observed Pacific sea surface temperatures warmed at a rate that was less than 1/3 of the rate guesstimated by the UKMO??s HADGEM2-ES.
Much of this post discussed and illustrated that there was no agreement among climate models about what caused the Earths assumed energy imbalance and how those factors might change in the future. To help drive that point home, Ive prepared Animation 3. It includes the energy balance and its three components in anomaly form for each of the models included in this post. All outputs have been smoothed with 5-year filters to minimize the noise inherent in the models.
" ...analyzed storminess across the whole of southeast (SE) Australia using extreme (standardized seasonal 95th and 99th percentiles) geostrophic winds deduced from eight widespread stations possessing sub-daily atmospheric pressure observations dating back to the late 19th century...The four researchers report that their results "show strong evidence for a significant reduction in intense wind events across SE Australia over the past century." More specifically, they say that "in nearly all regions and seasons, linear trends estimated for both storm indices over the period analyzed show a decrease," while "in terms of the regional average series," they say that "all seasons show statistically significant declines in both storm indices, with the largest reductions in storminess in autumn and winter."
Dr. Patrick Minnis, one of Wielicki?s collaborators at Langley, is agnostic on the issue, and would be a much better choice.
But, the big question was this: will it fade away, go out with a big bang, or will this scam have to be dragged kicking and screaming to the execution chamber.
Atmospheric radiosonde temperature differences, 1979-1997= approx. zero
There is also no sign of acceleration in sea-levels for the last 50 years . (How much should Europeans spend to stop a 1mm annual rise that was already going in 1890 and has not changed much since then?) If anything, Nils work shows how difficult it is to measure true sea-level rise on land that shifts.
they could be cut off from the U.S. banking system, but because Tehran is
5) Governments should utilize, not hamper, corporations that have strong commitments to advancing technology.
In the end, we got nothing. Known as a bear on standing, Judge Sentelle did not dissent from the panel decision that none of the petitioners had standing to challenge EPAs tailoring of the statutory thresholds, since (in the panels view) none are injured by EPA narrowing the class of sources subject to GHG regulation. Hence, petitioners strongest argument and the most glaring legal defect of the rules never got decided on the merits. I dont think the Court correctly characterized industry petitioners arguments as to standing and therefore never confronted those arguments head on, but by the time the opinion got around to that issue the overall direction the Court was going was clear.
Climategate 3.0: MetOffice rebukes UEA for claiming global warming causes extreme weather
Weather isnt climate (as we all know) but the number of stories about extreme cold in the Northern hemisphere this last few months has been staggering (see here for a recent example). And now it appears the Southern hemisphere may be about to follow suit:
In early July in the eastern states of the US and Canada, a heatwave caused numerous deaths and power cuts.
Human produced carbon dioxide is unlikely to cause dangerous climate change in the foreseeable future.
Shift responsibility for nuclear waste management from the federal government to nuclear waste producers. Like other commercial for-profit endeavors, nuclear power companies, not the government, should be responsible for the waste that they produce. This has been the key to success in other countries. At the very least, private companies should be allowed to compete with a government-operated waste management service. Market-based pricing would allow the true costs of nuclear power to be known, spur innovation in waste management, and enable nuclear power companies to choose services that make the most sense for their customers.
The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change, or NIPCC, is an international panel of scientists and scholars who came together to understand the causes and consequences of climate change. NIPCC has no formal attachment to or sponsorship from any government or governmental agency. It is wholly independent of political pressures and influences and therefore is not predisposed to produce politically motivated conclusions or policy recommendations.
Yes, of course, energy is absorbed and then immediately emitted by CO2. But your GHE theory infers CO2 then traps or delays the release of such energy to cause some warming. Please cite any peer-reviewed science paper that applies empirically gathered data that proves/quantifies the trapping/delay you say occurs.
Much has been said by Mr. Gore and other climate alarmists about rising ocean temperatures and sea levels as a result of rising CO2. If there is anything you can conclude about the tropical oceans from these calculations is that if external energy is supplied to the warmer oceans and air, most of it is expended evaporating water rather than raising the temperature. It is very difficult to raise the ocean temperatures in the tropics because of the much higher vapor pressures involved with the higher temperatures. And because the Clapeyron equation makes the vapor pressure rise as a function of an exponential increase in the reciprocal of temperature, it becomes a very powerful brake in mitigating a warming temperature by adding energy from any external source.
Instead of thinking of clouds as a result of the climate, its actually showing that the climate is a result of the clouds, because the clouds take their orders from the stars. This is GORE LIED must-see-TV. The videos are in order from top-to-bottom #1 is on top & #5 is on the bottom.
Compared to thyme plants grown in air of 350 ppm CO 2 , thyme plants grown in air of 3,000 ppm CO 2 produced 160% more fresh weight.?? Likewise, the fresh weights of spearmint and water mint plants rose by 150% and 220%, respectively, when grown at an atmospheric CO 2 concentration of 10,000 ppm as opposed to a concentration of 350 ppm. What it means
The Missing Science from the Draft National Assessment on Climate Change
In response the report suggests, as many of the institutes reports do, that Australia is once again lagging behind the rest of the world in combating climate change.
What I can say from the standpoint of applying the scientific method to a robust response-feature of models, is that the average model result is inconsistent with the observed rate of change of tropical tropospheric temperature - inconsistent both in absolute magnitude and in vertical structure (Douglass and Christy 2013.) This indicates our ignorance of the climate system is still enormous and, as suggested by Stevens and Bony, this performance by the models indicates we need to go back to the basics. From this statement there is only a short distance to the next - the use of climate models in policy decisions is, in my view, not to be recommended at this time.
Two Graphs are presented, one with CO2 concentration from 1880 to 2014, and a second with temperature during this same period. What is not shown is a temperature graph from 1997 to 2014. which would reveal that there has been no temperature increase at all.
And when one considers that land surface temperatures are in part a product of sea surface temperatures, one wonders how climate scientists/modelers could ever attempt to simulate land surface temperatures when the oceans are modeled so poorly.
After all these years, IPCC still doesnt get itweve been thawing out from the Little Ice Age for several hundred years but still are not yet back to pre-Little Ice Age temperatures that prevailed for 90% of the past 10,000 years. Warming and cooling has been going on for millions of years, long before CO 2 could have had anything to do with it, so warming in itself certainly doesnt prove that it was caused by CO 2 .
Oil prices are still set in world markets, fracking oil is too light and too sweet (low in sulfur) for use in U.S. refineries, infrastructure to get fracked oil from well to refinery is inadequate. So we continue to be major importers of crude oil, dependent on unstable regimes for steady supplies at tolerable prices.
Watkinson revealed that some scholars thought the global population could shrink from six billion to one billion if the worst effects of climate change came to fruition and parts of the southern hemisphere became inhabitable.
Assuming that dewpoint sensor design changes over the years have not introduced a diurnally varying measurement bias, a natural question arises: what would cause afternoon dewpoints to not rise in the face of warming both day and night? (Note I have not made any adjustments for sensor changes, siting changes, or urbanization in the above plot).
Everyone wants cleaner air, and America's air has been getting steadily cleaner. Most families also want the security of employment that comes from economic activity. Most would agree on the need to strike the right balance between the economy and the environment. The question is what that balance should be.
* Likewise, U.S. land-based surface temperature trend (NASA-GISS) = 0.5 F/decade
a comprehensive, well-written, and highly interesting book. I strongly recommend it to all atmospheric scientists, to students in the atmospheric sciences, and to those in the environmental sciences interested in understanding weather and climate issues. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society