Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
DR. SPENCER: From what little I've looked at that, I haven't been real convinced of the connection between the sunspot number and the temperature records. I think the correlation -- you know, when you've only got a couple of cycles to look at, you've got, you know, you've have the possibility for just an accidental correlation. Also, you know, the change in solar radiation during the solar cycle is only a tenth of a percent which is just awfully small. You know, what we are talking about here is forcings more on the order of a percent. So I just don't see what the connection would be. Although I never say that something's impossible unless, you know, I've really studied it. And even then it's a matter of how much I'm convinced rather than when I'm totally convinced. But, no, I don't place much emphasis on solar variation.
Declaring that science is politics in climate change; climate science is politics, Union Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh on Wednesday urged Indian scientists to undertake more studies and publish them vigorously to prevent India and other developing countries from being led by our noses by Western (climate) scientists who have less of a scientific agenda and more of a political agenda . ??? Indian Express, 9 June 2011
And third, I dont think the AGW enthusiasts consider the costs and benefits of AGW amelioration versus the other possibilities . If preventing a sea level rise of one meter means dooming future generations in the Third World to sickness, hunger, and darkness, its not worth it.
Are land temperatures really rising that rapidly? Let's take a look at what some independent experts from UC Berkeley came up with. Their "BEST" project calculated that land temperatures are rising at a rate of +0.5 F/decade. Really, no matter how you slice and dice the actual temperature observations, you get roughly the same answer.
JC comments: Stevens and Bony make the important point that adding complexity to Earth Systems Models (e.g. carbon cycle, atmospheric chemistry, more complex land surface processes) doesnt help improve the fundamental deficiencies of climate models.
15.	"The deactivation of atomic power plants as fast as possible." No, nuclear energy is the electricity source of the future.
GPP is Gross Primary Production , a measure of the daily output of the global biosphere ???the amount of new plant matter on land. NPP is Net Primary Production, an annual tally of the globe??s production. Biomass is booming. The planet is the greenest it??s been in decades, perhaps in centuries.
Hence, S.J.Res.26 would "roll back" and "undermine" the Clean Air Act.
The most serious concern is a major conflict of interest involving all of the 21 authors.
on Tuesday, October 29th, 2013 at 10:36 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
In Article # 1, SEPP Chairman Fred Singer discusses some of the issues regarding sea level rise and why it is difficult to be precise. In summary, unless solid observational evidence is offered otherwise, there is no reason to assume that 21 st century sea level rise will be greater than 20 th century sea level rise namely about 7 inches (18 cm).
These facts infer that the acceleration is not regional in nature as would be expected if related to regional atmospheric or ocean warming. Geological surface maps of the Svalbard islands show a highly faulted and folded terrain created by geological forces associated with the nearby world-class rift system.
It was warmer in the Middle ages* and medieval climate change in Greenland was much faster.
iied has a blog post on adaptation in Bangladesh Reality check: climate change and the poor . Excerpts:
Republicans the First to Introduce Mercury Reduction Legislation
He had a deep calming voice that always carried a stabilizing message of rationality and realism. I'll miss that. We both wondered in our many email dialogues about the strange phenomenon where CTBS induces anti-science authoritarian bullies to pretend to represent science. He never complained about his lot in this, always keeping his courage, but he did wonder, like me, when the madness would end.
Pelejero et al . report "there is no notable trend toward lower ?? 11 B values" over the 300-year period investigated. Instead, they say that "the dominant feature of the coral ?? 11 B record is a clear interdecadal oscillation of pH, with ?? 11 B values ranging between 23 and 25 per mil (7.9 and 8.2 pH units)," which "is synchronous with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation." Furthermore, they calculated changes in aragonite saturation state from the Flinders pH record that varied between ~3 and 4.5, which values encompass "the lower and upper limits of aragonite saturation state within which corals can survive." Despite this fact, they report that "skeletal extension and calcification rates for the Flinders Reef coral fall within the normal range for Porites and are not correlated with aragonite saturation state or pH ." What it means
Germany and the Netherlands were gripped by near-record lows this past winter. People suffered frostbite and some froze to death in Poland and Russia.
"The phenomenon of "atmospheric backradiation' is presently advanced as an explanation of thermal conditions on Earth, and as the basis of some statements about climate change. However, scientific evaluation in strict accord with the laws of physics and mathematics suggests that "atmospheric backradiation' is physical nonsense.
Hansen's claims challenged: See Hansen takedown & "The ten worst floods in history'
I don't go to the movies. Normally, that would be sufficient reason to ignore the topic. However. I'm finding myself becoming quite irritated with the breathless media reports about the premature/accidental/clandestine release of every new book in the series. I mean, are they really this goddamned stupid? May 6, 2003 ;
A court document issued Wednesday evening says Claude Walker, attorney general of the U.S. Virgin Islands, has agreed to withdraw his subpoena demanding documents and emails from the oil company related to its discussion of the risks posed by climate change.
Haley Barbour: The Mississippi governor earned high marks for his handling of Hurricane Katrina. The thickest accent either side of the Mississippi doesn't hurt in a party that likes its presidential nominees to come from the Sunbelt/Dixie.
Plus then there??s the error problem. For example we saw this summer that Honolulu set new record highs, but they turned out to be in error . The kicker is that NOAA let the records stand anyway! The problem is that a number of climate stations are at airports. Watch this NWS employee say on record that these airport weather stations are ??? placed for aviation purposesnot necessarily for climate purposes.
But is Haiyans destruction the result of man-made global warming? Most likely not. The U.N.s own Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes 2012 report on managing the risks of extreme events reported, Low confidence in any observed long-term (40 years or more) increases in tropical cyclone activity, and noted that there is low confidence in attribution of any detectable changes in tropical cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences. Additionally, the report stated that it is likely the global frequency of tropical cyclones will either decrease or remain essentially the same in response to global warming. The report also suggested that average wind speeds may increase later in this century, but not necessarily in all regions.
Why is this important? Under a UN timetable, nations have an informal deadline to submit national plans for limiting greenhouse gas emissions of March 31, 2015. This is the date set by UN bureaucrats to give them time for a thumbs up or down review before the big Paris summit.
In the United States, the oil and gas industry does get approximately $4 billion per year in federal handouts. These payments should be eliminated.
Trenberth pointed to a study published in March by the Journal of Geophysical Research that showed that for more than 70 percent of the land researchers had surveyed worldwide, the number of warm nights each year had increased and the number of cold nights had declined, between 1951 and 2003. The researchers, led by Hadley Centre scientist L.V. Alexander, concluded, This implies a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperature throughout the globe.'
Ice Ages and Sea Level Watts Up With That? According to these calculations, the Earth is at the beginning of a 20,000 year plunge into the next ice age. Re: Now They Tell Us - Greg Pollowitz - Planet Gore on National Review Online I was at an investing conference where one of the panelists basically said: all this talk about electric cars and solar panels and such is great, but what we're talking about here is "a 50-year solution, not a five-year one." Just in time for Malia Obama's inauguration.
Rudolf Kipp at the skepticalwebsite Science Skeptical here writes about one of the incredible (but very real)absurdities of Germanys EEG renewable energy feed-in act, which forces power companies to buy all green power that gets produced, whether needed or not, and even power that doesnt get produced.
The effects of weak solar activity have been notable. The United Kingdom just suffered through a winter with temperatures 5 to 10 degrees C below normal, and German meteorologists report that 2013 has been the coldest year in 208 years. (1)
Even Christina Figueres, DeBoers successor at the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, could proclaim victory. She wants to keep the planets temperature from rising more than the internationally agreed maximum of two degrees Celsius. That goal has arguably been reached already. There has been no detectable increase in average global temperatures for 16 years.
The hottest days measured in Sheffield were 1976 and 1990, when a record of 34.3 was set. in contrast, the highest temperature in the last decade was 31.4C.
The emissions-reduction commitments by developed countries in the Cancun pledges cannot effectively curb climate change, nor does it reflect their historical ethical responsibility, which still accounts for greater than half of the total climate change impacts by 2005, despite the rapid growth in emissions from the developing world, they say.
How can a young man without even a Masters degree become an IPCC lead author? Good question. . . Rather than recruiting real experts like Reiter the IPCC enlisted young, inexperienced, non-experts instead.
But whereare carbon tax proponents, particularly conservatives, wrong about carbon taxes? The answer provides a much longer list.
All that probability can do for you in cases like this is to clean up the estimates of how much better D might be than P in new groups of patients. As long as no cheating took place and the patients were balanced, the textbook methods will give you reasonable answers. But suppose the disease the drugs treat is not as simply defined. Lets write what we just said in mathematical notation so that certain elements become obvious.
This observation, of course, is a crisis for CAGW alarmism and therefore must be solved by a computer model. The authors simply create a hydrological model programmed to say that the reason why sea levels have decelerated is because it must be raining more over land due to ENSO and therefore the land ate the 31% decrease in sea level rise . The authors admit there is no data to support land water stores prior to GRACE since ~2003, therefore they just fabricate estimate the comparison data for the period 1994-2002 of how much sea level rise was ameliorated by land precipitation. Abracadabra, the land must have more than eaten the sea level rise from AGW, allowing it to decelerate, and the AGW "missing heat" is still very much alive somewhere in the ocean.
For instance, the Media Access Project, citing that other big-media bogeyman Clear Channel, argued that loosening up media ownership rules would allow the radio company to "select music based on whether artists pay Clear Channel promotional fees or"here comes the kicker; italics added "whether Clear Channel agrees with their politics or message."
Texans might be elated at their good fortune; however, the IER study points out that individual consumers "still lose from the existence of the wind subsidies." It states: "It's not as if the IRS takes the population of Texas and divides $394 million among them, evenly. Rather, the wind subsidies are concentrated in the hands of a small group of wind producers." As a result, wind serves as a tax shelter for large corporations.
In his research, Lu discovers that while there was global warming from 1950 to 2000, there has been global cooling since 2002. The cooling trend will continue for the next 50 years, according to his new research observations.
Kosciusko-Morizet said the new agency was a key to the success of the "Rio+20" conference, designed to assess the two decades that have elapsed since the Rio Summit which nailed the environment to the political agenda.
There have been computer programs available for about thirty years that provide ECG interpretations. Our hospital purchased one of them when they first became available. The thinking was that this would replace the interpretations that my partners and I had been supplying before. But the diagnoses provided by the computer were so inaccurate that someone in the legal department advised the administration that they needed to be overread by qualified humans. That has continued to this very day. So I have been looking at ECGs and the computerized interpretation thereof for many years. And just like the situation with the computerized bridge games, there has been very little improvement in the accuracy of these computerized ECG interpretations. I would estimate that I have to make corrections on at least 80% of the computer readings that I review. Some of these are rather minor but at least 20-30% of them are serious errors that could have some clinical importance.
?If cities can develop in height rather than in width that would be much more preferable and environmentally not as harmful?, Fragkias said.
Another useful website, featuring a 17-expert online debate discussing the credibility of the IPCC report, can be found at http://www.law.pace.edu/env/energy/
An upward shift in global surface temperatures would definitely help the models for a few years, but, because the global surface temperatures warmed in a step, the hiatus period that followed would again cause a continued divergence between the models and the real world. See Figure 3 for a model-data comparison starting in 1979 and running through 2030.
the ISSI workshop. All this leaves the IPCC almost entirely dependent on CO2
?How much do you agree or disagree with the following statement: ?Global warming is affecting weather in the United States??
The IPCC concedes for the first time that a 15 year-long period of no significant warming occurred since 1998 despite a 7% rise in carbon dioxide (CO2). It also acknowledges that on a longer (more climatic) time scale the rate of global warming has decelerated since 1951, despite an accompanying 80 ppm or 26% increase in carbon dioxide (312 to 392 ppm).
Remove impediments to liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports. Currently, companies must obtain approval from both the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and the Department of Energy (DOE) before exporting natural gas. A facility is automatically authorized if the recipient country has a free trade agreement (FTA) with the U.S. In the absence of an FTA, the DOE can arbitrarily deny a permit if it believes the volume of natural gas exports is not in the public's interest. The decision to export natural gas should be a business decision, not a political one. The U.S. trades regularly with a number of non-FTA countries, and natural gas should be treated like any other globally traded good.
As I like to say, taking measurements of the climate system is much easier than figuring out what those measurements mean in terms of cause and effect. Generally speaking, it?s not the warming that is in dispute?it?s the cause of the warming.
Pachauri's flights stretch to the moon (and back)
The CO2 data come from the Physics Institute of the University of Bern, from the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization in Australia, and from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the USA.
As a result, conventional oil is not from the conventional method of dipping it up in a bucket from a seep, but by the decidedly unconventional and at that time unheard of method of drilling a hole in the earth to get it to come out ...
In a nutshell, why would any alleged ?environmentalist? or ?progressive? want to allow something as clean as a U.S. company to move to an unregulated, unchecked, ?dirty? place overseas?
The results of this study, plus those of the prior studies that provide input for it, suggest that continued increases in the air's CO 2 content and temperature imply nothing but good for the world's semiarid grassland ecosystems. References
Perhaps most important is solar activity as measured (inversely) by the cosmic ray flux (which many think is mechanism by which solar activity drives climate). Here cycle 22 is THE most intense in the 60 year record, stronger even than cycle 19, the sunspot number king. From the Astronomical Society of Australia :
From July 2011 to the present, the American Lung Association has been running an ad in several media markets that features a red carriage at various Washington, D.C. monuments, from which a baby is heard suffering respiratory distress. The voiceover of the ad states,
Gray also reminds Chris Country Seas defection from the IPCC in January 2005. It was after Trenberth suddenly denied his conclusions that hurricanes are not depended p seekers CO2 content, and in a press conference tillknnagivit opposite. It upprrande in this context that Landsea was responsible huvudfrfattare to this section and had a strong scientific background in hurricane research. This is in contrast to Trenberth, but he had a stronger stand in the IPCC hierarchy that utva power from.
But then, just like the global cooling of the ??70s, the warming stopped and was replaced by (wait for it!) more cooling. ???Despite the original forecasts, major climate research centers now accept that there has been a ???pause?? in global warming since 1997,?? the UK??s Daily Telegraph reported just last September.
No less serious is the failure of politicians to tell us the truth about the promises that they have made that cannot be honored. Careful studies put the cost of government promises for pensions and future healthcare benefits at more than $100 trillion. There is no way that anything close to that amount will be available.
This snowy winter will extend over three months and spread into the flatlands. And it is going to be bitter cold. For Germany the fourth colder-than-normal winter in a row lies ahead. The fourth below normal winter in a row would be a small sensation.
Since Hansens article in September, were starting to hear the phrase warmest in 12000 years- google warmest 12000 years and youll see recent coverage. This immediately raises the question of the Holocene Optimum a period from about 8000 to 5200 BP in which there is undisputed evidence of significant NH warmth. The Team has taken a preditable position on the Holocene Optimum: that its a regional and restricted event. realclimate :
Click this link for survey results (refresh the results page to update numbers).
It certainly raises the cost of doing business when your arch-enemies or a very vocal segment knows what you are up to in every little detail, said Marc Morano, who runs the contrarian website Climate Depot and spoke at the conference.
How much of the observed increase in sea levels is natural versus anthropogenic is something that no one knows, notwithstanding Ms. Macfarlane's confident assertions of a "scientific consensus." (The evidence is clear that the anthropogenic temperature effect is not zero.) An example: The University of Colorado data show a close correlation between changes in sea levels and the El NioSouthern Oscillation.
The authors of an intriguing research report, which was recently published in Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta , write that "for cold-water corals, which are already living at low levels of carbonate saturation, the shoaling of the saturation horizon as carbonate saturation states decrease has the potential to cause dramatic declines in rates of calcification, or the dissolution of the carbonate skeletons of those living at or close to the saturation horizon." But since these corals are indeed living there , they speculate that "they may have evolved adaptive strategies to counter the effects of low carbonate saturation states," one of which is to up-regulate their internal pH to a value that allows calcification to occur.
They are trying to put out a fire in a smouldering pile of wood chippings at R Plevin and Sons in Whams Road, which caught fire at 8.10am on Monday morning.
The result is a green industry that??s allowed to do not-so-green things. It kills protected species with impunity and conceals the environmental consequences of sprawling wind farms.??
It's a phone-in item for programme guest Prof. Brian Cox.
Kroeker et al . report that "although high CO 2 significantly reduced mussel growth at 14??C, this effect gradually lessened with successive warming to 20??C, illustrating how moderate warming can mediate the effects of OA through temperature's effects on both physiology and seawater geochemistry." In addition, they found that "the mussels grew thicker shells in warmer conditions independent of CO 2 treatment," and that "together, these results highlight the importance of considering the physiological and geochemical interactions between temperature and carbonate chemistry," especially when assessing a species vulnerability to OA.
The six scientists say that the coldest period of the LIA occurred "between 1660 and 1760, an interval that broadly corresponds with the Maunder Minimum in solar activity," which they say "is also consistent with the timing of the coldest northern hemisphere temperatures during the last millennium," citing Jones and Mann (2004) and Matthews and Briffa (2005). As for the more recent past, they say that "biological assemblages that showed rapid changes during the LIA have remained relatively stable during the last few decades." They also report that these modern assemblages "resemble those in the lake ~500 years ago, during the MCA." And they say that "no clear evidence of modern, human-induced environmental change was recorded." What it means
Both the sunspot index and northern Pacific temperatures (which are known to drive global temperature trends) are now predicting a 25- to 30-year cooling. Pacific Rim tree rings say there have been 10 of these 50- to 60-year cycles since 1623, and recent history indicates the Pacific Decadal Oscillation accurately mirrors global temperature changes.
The Warmist position is fixed because it was achieved by corruption of the science and the scientific method. Science advances through proposing a hypothesis. Scientists then function as skeptics and challenge the assumptions on which they are based. The hypothesis became fact through the design of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Its the pattern of science driven by environmentalism as a political agenda. Deliberate personal and professional attacks sidelined the few who tried to be scientific skeptics. These attacks were reinforced by mainstream media, who also accepted and promoted the hypothesis.
Carbon emission cutbacks by China and other developing countries, the document says, will be dependent on the adequate finance and technology support provided by developed country parties to any new climate accord.
The family has found that the climate and heavy clay soils suit rice.
CEI Distinguished Fellow Jack Kemp is a co-director of Empower America.
Where no one place stands out, but there is just what looks like a lot of smaller to medium stuff all over the place.