Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Leaked IPCC reports, reviewing forecasts made in 2007, have called into question how much climate change has taken place by concluding that, even with a doubling of carbon emissions from 1990 levels, the global temperature has risen little or more slowly than predicted over the last 10-20 years.
By John Hinderaker, Power Line, Aug 9, 2015
Moreover, they are featuring prominent skeptic scientists who are warning of a potential little ice age and dismissing CO2 as a major climate driver. And all of this just before the release of the IPCCs 5AR, no less!
The Evolution of Plants ... Right Before Our Very Eyes (1992-2010)
Despite the Hype, NAS Report Confirms Uncertainties in Global Warming Science
Wind Turbine Bird Killings, Disinformation Continues in California
Under the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA), federal government agencies are required to consider the effects that any "major actions" they take may have on the "human environment." The obligation is triggered by all manner of decisions, such as proposing a new regulation, building a new federally funded highway, or approving a new agricultural technology.
Region	NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
The media, with nothing new to report for ten minutes, is calling all sorts of troublemakers for their idiotic opinions. Tony Juniper, of Friends of the Earth, told the BBC: "The least tangible result of the meeting was the most important, that is a considerable increase in public awareness of the issues of global warming and climate change."
In the lecture reproduced below, technology analyst Mark Mills reveals that the Kyoto crusade is very much a case of deja vu all over again. Many of the same people and organizations that today warn of an impending climate catastrophe, warned in the 70s and 80s of imminent energy shortages and oil depletion. Their earlier predictions flopped. Far from the earth running out of oil by the year 2000, proven reserves are at record levels; far from topping $100 a barrel, petroleum prices fell to under $17 a barrel. Now as then, the gloomy forecasts are based on computer models. The big difference is that whereas oil depletion was supposed to occur in 20 years, catastrophic warming is supposed to occur in 50 or 100 years. But, asks Mills, why should we trust the 100-year forecasts of those whose 20-year forecasts were so spectacularly wrong?
But now the real heavy lifting begins. Is the agenda too overloaded for his
What I deny is the catastrophe the proposition that man-made global warming** will cause catastrophic climate changes whose adverse affects will outweigh both the benefits of warming as well as the costs of mitigation. I believe that warming forecasts have been substantially exaggerated (in part due to positive feedback assumptions) and that tales of current climate change trends are greatly exaggerated and based more on noting individual outlier events and not through real data on trends ( see hurricanes , for example).
It's perhaps too easy to laugh off the whole GMO issue: the opponents so over the top, the proponents, including Monsanto, so earnest and ineffective. Because the scientific evidence is so overwhelmingly in favor of GMO safety, many mainstream scientists have essentially checked out of the debate, disgusted by the tactics of GMO opponents. Although Monsanto and others have finally realized there is a problem, it really is late in the game. Robert Fraley, Monsanto's chief of technology, admitted as much: "I never thought in the early stages that we would still be talking about acceptance and the consumer challenges we are talking about today." Marc Van Montagu, the founder of the Institute of Plant Biotechnology Outreach, agrees:
Media write about the report of the Second Working Group of the IPCC (focusing on "impacts of the hypothetical climate change") that will release its fifth report next Monday.
Australia is a great place to study sea level at the present time. Fremantle, along with Sydney has the longest record of sea level measurements in Australia, going back to 1897 .
After 8 and a half years and won three elections, the former legendary Tony has in fact its catalog of promises and its failures, especially those who were to be the cornerstones of its policy, public services and education, where situations paradoxical are created continuously by its approach all image and little substance always allinseguimento the front page of newspapers, and the contradictions of those who combines a dirigiste mentality to an apparent inability to anticipate, understand and deal with the details of the initiatives announced in bursts in a grandiloquent.
That kind of thing will put a chill up any American's spine if you think about it.
But that wasnt going to scare anyone out of their money, so they simply altered the data. The graph below shows the difference between todays NCDC published US temperatures, and the thermometer data which it is based on.
Shock news. Antarctic just like it was 100 years ago.
(Ive read that the junket was taxpayer-funded, but havent yet verified that.Now taxpayers are certainly paying to rescue them.)
In an illuminating Commentary article in a recent issue of New Phytologist, Tissue and Lewis (2012) write that "atmospheric CO2 over the past 800,000 years has varied generally as a function of glacial periods, with minima (c. 170-200 ppm) during glacial periods and maxima (c. 280-300 ppm) during inter-glacial periods," citing Luthi et al., 2008). More specifically, they indicate that "during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, 18,000-20,000 years ago), atmospheric CO2 ranged from 180-200 ppm, which is approximately half the current CO2 (392 ppm), and among the lowest CO2 observed during the evolution of vascular land plants over the past 350 million years."
However, that only applies to the part of their paper about ER=EPR. Outside the main thread of their preprint, they also want to endorse some criticisms of the PR (Papadodimas-Raju) state dependence and these criticisms are wrong, as explained in several blog posts. In these "by the way" remarks of the new paper, these Caltech physicists imitate the completely wrong attitude by folks like Polchinski that "when things become hard, one has to talk about nonlinear operators all the time".
He finds that 55% of the warming in that data from 1970 to 200 can be explained by the natural PDO cycle and that there is a natural climate cycle of 59 years (which is all the more pointed when you think about warmers using a 30 year baseline smack dab in the bottom of the cold half cycle, then screaming for 30 years that its getting warmer Well Duh! comes to mind).
ACESA will consume more resources to achieve its projected GHG reductions than would be required through its cap-and-trade system alone. Several of the bill's provisions apply to activities that are also directly or indirectly subject to the proposed GHG cap. At a minimum, these include the renewable electricity standard, the coal-fired power plant performance standard, and the energy efficiency resource standard.
These percentage differentials are quite substantial with respect to the overall economy, which has an average differential of 0.5 percent annually between the baseline and alternative scenario. These results are not surprising, as certain components of the economy will benefit tremendously not only from the reduced energy prices but also from the increased demand as the quest for cheaper and more affordable energy continues.
Across Great Britain, household energy bills could double by 2020, to $3,900 ( 2,500) a year, market expert Mark Todd of EnergyHelpLine.com has warned. Gasoline prices are likewise climbing to unaffordable levels, and the majority of United Kingdom companies will see their natural gas and electricity prices skyrocket by 100% between 2012 and 2016 on top of a carbon tax bill of "at least" $65,660 ( 42,000) annually according to the analytical firm Carbon Masters.
Yet, as we learned in the 2008 election, young voters have the power to select a President. If their political choices are based on a lack of knowledge or even worse, on propaganda the nation is in peril.
Cronyism Lawsuit Against Energy Departments $25 Billion Green Energy Program Advances
Global land-based surface temperature differences (UN-IPCC)= approx. 0.5 C
Now is the time at SDA when we juxtapose! Barack Obama, Sept.12, 2011 - "And when you look at what independent economists are saying about the American Jobs Act, my jobs plan, uniformly what they are saying is this buys us insurance against a double-dip recession." Barack Obama, Sept.26, 2011 - "Obviously, it is never fun to lose your job. And it's always hard in this kind of really deep recession." Related - another missed memo.
Why a leading French atmospheric scientist and socialist politician recanted.
The fifth Conference of the Parties (COP-5) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change is under way in Bonn, Germany. Some of the issues to be considered include the use of flexible mechanisms, such as emission trading, and developing country participation.
For their analysis, the researchers collected seafloor mud samples, now rock, from multiple localities in England and Italy. They then performed chemical extraction on the samples to analyze the sulfur isotope compositions in order to estimate the chemistry of the global ocean.
On the other hand, according to the climate models used by the IPCC, the East Pacific sea surface temperatures SHOULD HAVE warmed roughly 0.42 to 0.45 deg C over that period, IF they were warmed by anthropogenic greenhouse gases. Obviously, they havent been warmed by greenhouse gases. Shouldve, wouldve, couldve.
Zimmermans Masters thesis, the foundation of the EOS paper, apparently did not appear on line until September 2011, two years and eight months after the EOS paper was published (how media and others could trumpet the results presented in the EOS paper without first examining the survey methodology and raw data is a topic for another blog posting). Zimmermans thesis can now be downloaded here for $1.98. It is well worth reading, not only to note the apparent researcher bias revealed in the introduction and the obvious flaws in much of the survey methodology, but also as an interesting summary of the problems in the research on consensus among climate experts to that point. Even more illuminating are the thesis appendices which include hundreds of comments from the scientists being polled. Therein, it is revealed that many of the very serious problems with the survey questions and methodology were pointed out repeatedly by the scientist respondents while the poll was being run.
"The city of San Bernardino filed for bankruptcy protection three months ago, and shortly afterward was reported to be under investigation by the federal Securities and Exchange Commission, allegedly for hiding deficits by diverting money intended for sewers, roads and construction to pay ongoing bills instead. Now, the Wall Street Journal reports the Inland Empire city of about 210,000 residents ;has stopped making its regular payments to the California Public Employees Retirement System' and owes $5.3 million toward its employees' pensions."
A Danish university has fired one of its professors who was critical of wind farms. Acoustics expert Henrik Mller, who is internationally recognised in his field, was ostensibly sacked because he did not generate enough revenue for the university, although some are questioning this explanation.
Accordingly climate alarmists have circled the wagons and refused to debate with climate skeptics, preferring hit pieces such as Years of Living Dangerously. Climate modeler Gavin Schmidt and Michael Manns side kick on the RealClimate website, would only appear on John Stossels show if there was no face to face debate and skeptic scientist Dr. Roy Spencer removed himself while Schmidt was on stage. And Michael Mann, the creator of the hockey stick interpretation of climate change not only calls everyone who disagrees with his viewpoint a denier but anti-science . But it is only via thorough skeptical examination that challenges every hypothesis does a scientific opinion become trustworthy. But climate alarmists like Mann demean any and all who question CO2 as deniers, as if the truth has been already determined. They promote their view on websites and op-ed pieces encouraging a new intellectual tyranny aimed at shutting down all skeptics.
"Over the past decade and a half, Mr. Limbaugh has been at times almost a lone media voice correcting misinformation about DDT and also pointing out its life-saving benefits against diseases like malaria. Mr. Gore, by contrast, has continued to spread DDT myths as well as misleading information about the causes of the malaria epidemic. Before I go further, let me add this caveat. It would be perfectly understandable to me if neither Mr. Gore nor Mr. Limbaugh became the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize recipient. There are many worthy of this honor in America and around the world. But if Mr. Gore is under serious consideration as a Nobel candidate, Mr. Limbaugh should also be considered under the same criteria."
I wonder how many of these thousands of the global warming scientists developed and/or supported the warming model published in 1995 by the IPCC, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the worlds leading agency for global warming, that predicted a rise of 2.780 C for the century and a rise of 0.70 C for the decade. This has been demonstrated to be absolutely wrong (see attached Chart 2) even though CO2 concentrations have continued to increase. Even the IPCC had to admit that they were wrong and modified its model in 2005 to show a significantly lower 10-year temperature rise of 0.170 C for the decade and a 1.670 C rise for the century.
Mark Steyn notes that the leftists are on to his cunning plan to crowdsource his legal defense to bloggers?which strikes me as an excellent strategy, likely to be both cheaper and more effective than a traditional law firm. So consider this my contribution to that crowdsourced defense of free speech.
Diurnal Trends in Dewpoint Averaged over the U.S. Since 1973
Apple has in the past year touted its own green credentials, most recently by announcing an internal initiative to use cleaner energy sources for its data farms in North Carolina.
Jane Orient offers this release to the press on the article.
Auckland : Moved from the Museum to Albert Park in late 1909, and was affected by rapid tree growth and urbanisation during the next 20 years.
The environmental movement of today, by contrast, is preservationist, obsessed with preserving and restoring a landscape unaltered by humans that may have never existed. It operates on the premise that untrammeled nature is always benign. Paradoxically, because we have been so successful at overcoming nature's ravages, too many people attribute everything from rough weather to diseases -- forces of nature that have plagued the world for centuries to human activities. To focus on the "environment," the "planet", or the "ecosystem" obscures and often worsens specific threats to humans, animal, and plants. And many times, environmentalist prescriptions have been in conflict with public health.
But rather than consider gas tax relief, Reps. Don Young, Alaska Republican, and James Oberstar, Minnesota Democrat, just announced a proposal to increase the federal tax by a nickel a gallon.
There is no smoking gun available, no hurricane called Climate Change: yet, this fact is not important because, in the subculture of Global Warming, every atmospheric phenomenon is obviously caused by our misbehavior
Sanford, R.F. (1992): Environmentalism and the assault on reason. In: Lehr, J. (Ed.): Rational readings on environmental concerns. Van Nostrand Reinhold, New York, 16-31.
Several of theamendmentsin the Bill of Rights, notably the second and the tenth, are no longer treated by many folks as "real." Just old TJ kidding around.
All the delegation consulted felt it important That the fund was used in a Way That Provides a long-term legacy. This Can Be Achieved in two ways:
The extra CO 2 eliminated the need for any sugar to be supplied to the plantlets, with shoot dry weight in the CO 2 -enriched air exceeding that in the ambient air by 120% in the non-sweetened treatment at the end of the in vitro period, and with root dry weight in the CO 2 -enriched air exceeding that in the ambient air by 350%. Likewise, at the end of the ex vitro period, the CO 2 -induced shoot and root dry weight increases in the non-sweetened treatment were 55% and 86%, respectively. What it means
Whats missing from this picture? Any acknowledgement that there has been a pause in warming which was not expected or predicted by the climate models, despite the headbangers claiming that warming is accelerating.*
A couple of weeks ago The Washington Post ran a story about the recent correction of surface temperature measurements the wonderful Steve McIntyre brought to NASA's attention. Actually, as is to be expected with the Post, they didn't report on the correction, but instead weighed in some time after it broke to report complaints by the alarmists that some skeptics had gone too far with claims about how much this proves or disproves. Distractions aside, we do know that the correction dramatically revised some of the global warming alarmists' money quotes, like Al Gore's claim that nine of the 10 "hottest" years on record were in the past decade. Of course now we know that of the 10 (warmest) years, four occurred in the 1930s, three in the 1990s, and one each in this decade, the 1950s and the 1920s.
To protect our climate and our collective security, we must call together a truly global coalition, the president said, just six days after his inauguration, in a ceremony in the East Room of the White House.
Link to the paper from skyfall is to an authors copy and is broken. Ive dug out a proper copy.
Sierra Club Propaganda Campaign an Affront to Religion
JC comments: It is difficult to argue against Howards 5 broad conclusions regarding climate policy; they seem eminently sensible.
Driessen encouraged the crowd not to cede the high moral ground on these issues, to challenge the regulations wherever possible, and to publicly hammer the regulators for impairing the health and welfare of millions of Americans.
The Danish Meteorological Institute reports that Greenlands ice sheet has seen more growth so far this year than in the last four years. Greenlands ice sheet growth in 2015 is also higher than the mean growth for 1990 to 2011.
This set-up is designed to provide a two-way communications channel between smart meters and a central communications hub to which smart meter data users (suppliers, network companies and other authorised third parties) will have access.
In Black Swan Climate Theory II we explain, in depth, why, in my opinion, I believe this is not an accident. I have concluded American basic climate data has been hijacked and corrupted within NOAA through the use of a simple master computer algorithm that I have repeated here.
In the above graphic combining 4 autocorrelation schemes, I used 4 different likelihood schemes as follows (fracdiff requiring the fracdiff package):
Freezing Alaskan blogger: "Whereas as the spectre of global warming once was quite appalling, today it's quite appealing! Bring it on says I!"
To my great frundran discovered that I nominated for the Swedish miljmktigaste.
Originally, politicians embraced ethanol subsidies as a supposed means to reduce global warming and to provide energy independence, plus Obama's team claimed the subsidy would increase the nation's "green job" employment. As this corporate welfare program continued to suck money out of taxpayer wallets, it became obvious that ethanol production/use had no discernible impact on global warming or energy independence or overall employment.
* Climate model projections of increases of global average surface temperature (due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2) above about 1 degree centigrade arise only because of positive feedback effects presumed by climate models;
In sum, not only is claim that LOST's Kyoto-style provisions are "merely hortatory" unsupportable, but the U.S. is firmly on record arguing against there being any such thing as "mere hortatory language" when it comes to these agreements. It seems a safe bet that the UN's LOST Tribunal will agree.
38 R. A. Kerr, Greenhouse Forecasting Still Cloudy, Science 276, 1041 (1997). Even these assessments are highly optimistic because the necessary observing systems with demonstrated capabilities to detect the climate effect of increasing anthropogenic CO2 are not yet in place.
A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds that El Ninos were more common during the frigid Little Ice Age, and conversely, La Ninas were more common during the Medieval and Roman Warm Periods. This finding is the opposite to claims by the IPCC and climate alarmists such as KevinTrenberththatglobal warming, if it resumes, will make El Ninos more frequent.
Since Arrhenius made his forecast of warmth in Chicago Illinois temperatures have plummeted and are the coldest on record this year. They peaked in 1921
DeGregori also documents how anti-biotechnology activists have kept genetically engineered Golden Rice off the market, resulting in as many as 350,000 deaths annually from vitamin A deficiency.
Temperature adjustments such as those due to change in instrumentation are, of course, necessary. However, the results shown in this paper demonstrate that the lack of correctly and consistently sited stations results in an inherent uncertainty in the datasets which should be addressed at the root by documenting the micrometeorological deficiencies in the sites and by adhering to sites which conform to standards such as the GCOS Climate Monitoring Principles ( http://gosic.org/GCOS/GCOS climate monitoring principles.htm ). A continued mode of corrections using approaches where statistical uncertainties are not quantified is not a scientifically sound methodology and should be avoided, considering the importance of such surface station data to a broad variety of climate applications as well as climate variability and change studies.
???I replicated her study in order to assess the accuracy of its results. All abstracts listed on the ISI databank for 1993 to 2003 using the same keywords (global climate change??) were assessed. The results of my analysis contradict Oreskes?? findings and essentially falsify her study: Of all 1117 abstracts, only 13 (1%) explicitly endorse the ???consensus view??. However, 34 abstracts reject or question the view that human activities are the main driving force of the observed warming over the last 50 years??.
Carter carefully describes the attempts by Michael Mann and his colleagues to wipe out the Medieval Warm Period as an historical event through the invention of the ?Hockey Stick?. The consequent unmasking of this fraud is an exciting story, well told here, with careful attention to the details and with references to a wide range of papers. In Australia, members of the Climategate conspiracy, notably David Karoly, kept on supporting the Hockey Stick well beyond 2007, a defence which might be seen as heroic under the circumstances, but which for the conspirators was a necessity, given the crucial role of the Hockey Stick in defence of the IPCC?s arguments about the unprecedented nature of late-twentieth-century global warming.
This was the only "evidence' he presented that the current drought was caused by climate change. He fails to note that the famine of 1973 came at a time when global temperatures were at their lowest for most of the past century. Popular opinion notwithstanding, the link between man-made emissions and drought in Niger is largely theoretical and tenuous.