Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
on Tuesday, June 5th, 2012 at 12:25 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline.
9 hours ago AUSTRALIAS $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting, leaving the government scrambling to find a new air link to the frozen continent.
ANE says that success can breed jealousy and koda is probably breeding a lot of it these days.
from 20072013 there was a near-zero trend in observed Arctic September sea-ice extent, in large partdue to a strong uptick of the ice-pack in 2013, which has continued into 2014.
In Arizona, the utility subsidies alone will likely exceed $150M ($25 per person) in 2010. This subsidy money comes directly from the pockets and bank accounts of the ratepayers in Arizona. Spending this money in the solar industry will create solar jobs, but will result in an equal reduction of spending for other goods and services Arizonans would have bought had the money not been taken away from them. Politicians claim job creation and capitalize on the apparent success, but the truth is each solar job comes by destroying a job in other segments of the economy. Many voters are fooled because the solar jobs are visible and can be counted, but the lost jobs are diffuse and spread over the state economy in a way which makes them hard to see and number. But there is no free lunch, the $150M taken from the general economy to fund the solar jobs is a zero sum jobs game at best to the state economy.
I used the word misinformed in the preceding paragraph. A synonym of the verb misinform is lie to. Take your pick. Ill use misinform and other synonyms in a number of forms throughout the rest of this post, but you know what I mean.
You will see in the JS esssays repeated reference to two erudite and insightful Con Law Professors that are my favorites for exposing the judicial arrogance and deceitful power grabbing of federal judges and Supreme Court JusticesLino Graglia and Robert Nagel.
Professor Plimer said the planet came out of an ice age in 1850 and has been warming since.
Meacher: "I mean floods in Britain is one we are having to explain, rising sea levels, but in America quite serious things are happening, certainly stronger hurricanes on the east coast which are to do with, what is the name of that hurricane that comes every 2-3 years?"
Today, the clearest example of the risks arising from the scientific-technocratic elite is the global warming debate. Consider the career trajectory of one of the leading climate alarmists, Penn State climatologist Michael Mann, who was implicated in the 2009 "ClimateGate" scandal, when leaked emails from a British university showed some of the world's leading climatologists discussing how to manipulate data and suppress studies that contradicted their work. Far from being a rogue actor outside the scientific mainstream, Dr. Mann has served as principal or co-principal investigator on research projects funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy, the U.S. Agency for International Development, and the Office of Naval Research.
This study looks at now much carbon an individual will generate in their lifetime not only by normal activities, but also the carbon generated by their children and their childrens children. As it takes two people (obviously!) to have children, the authors talk in terms of genetic units to indicate responsibility for these future carbon emitters (in other words, your child is 50% your genetic unit and 50% your partners).
Its a dreamy scene, and I say as much to Shova Biswas, vice-president of the Sonalir Shopnaw (or Golden Dream) forum, who has emerged to greet us. You should see it in the rainy season, she says flatly. I have come to the village during the two months of the year when land can be farmed and water is temporarily at bay.
The four Brazilian researchers say their findings "indicate changes in the pool of defense-related flavonoids in soybeans due to increased carbon availability, which may differentially alter the responsiveness of soybean plants to pathogens in CO 2 atmospheric concentrations such as those predicted for future decades." Put more simply, the ongoing rise in the air's CO 2 content will likely increase the ability of soybeans to withstand the attacks of various plant diseases in the years and decades to come, helping the world to better meet the challenge of feeding its still-growing population. Reviewed 11 March 2009
1 million per year (a 400-fold increase). In order to process these applications, permitting agencies would have to spend an extra $21 billion annually to hire an additional 230,000 full-time employees. Otherwise, ever-growing bottlenecks would paralyze environmental enforcement and freeze economic development.
With their painstakingly pumped and chiselled bodies, muscle-enhancing tattoos, piercings, adorable beards and plunging necklines it's eye-catchingly clear that second-generation metrosexuality is less about clothes than it was for the first. Eagerly self-objectifying, second generation metrosexuality is totally tarty. Their own bodies (more than clobber and product) have become the ultimate accessories, fashioning them at the gym into a hot commodity one that they share and compare in an online marketplace.
"Nessuno sta dalla parte di Rosarno: ecco perch in Calabria vince la "ndrangheta, e perde lo Stato"
Contradictory evidence be damned, a team of Korean and American scientists are invoking the hypothesis of a ?polar vortex? to contort the reality of increasing polar ice and cooling temperatures into support for their preordained conclusion of increasing global warming. The reality is that the increasing ice is, ?Confounding climate change computer models which say it should be in decline.?
So that's what we are starting with. The EPA is 90 to 99% certain that at least 0.35 C of warming in the extant ("observed") record is from GHG emissions from human activity.
This is a very limited amount of time to make sweeping statements about climate change causation, particularly given the still infant-levelknowledgeof climate science. As a result, since 1970, skeptics and alarmists have roughly equal periods of time where they can make their point about temperature causation (e.g. 20 years of rising CO2 and flat temperatures vs. 20 years of rising CO2 and rising temperatures).
Fourth, if industrial civilization is dangerously altering global climate, can any treaty stop it? The Kyoto accord in itself would do nothing to mitigate climate change, since it exempts the developing countries, which will be the major emissions source in the next century. Patrick Michaels notes that even if all industrial countries faithfully meet their Kyoto targets, the amount of warming averted will be a miniscule 0.19oC by the year 2047 (if, that is, we assume the validity of the National Center for Atmospheric Research s newest climate model). Ground-based measurements probably could not verify that such a small change had actually occurred.19
And imagine the stink if they did: automakers, appliance makers, contractors, and everyone else who has had to re-tool their products to government specs or build non-economic forms of energy production such as wind or solar power would have an absolute fit and rightfully so in many cases. Theyll have done what they were told to do by the government, which, from their point of view, would be changing the rules in bad faith.
One of the scientists, Graham Kell, says more than 50 platypus burrows have been discovered on the site and all have been photographed and their location fixed by satellite tracking.
A summary of extreme weather events in 2013 is given by the Guardian . In spite of the Guardians portrayal, 2013 was a pretty wimpy year for weather and climate extremes.
So, if it is indeed sulfates cooling the warming, given that there is no net change in global temperature, then the northern hemisphere should be cooling since 1998 (the first year in Kaufmanns paper) while the southern warms. Here are the sad facts:
I feel that these are vices that go beyond any ideology and it is simply a bad idea to promote such candidates.
But Dr Peiser does not doubt the climate has changed, but the report has failed to explain why temperatures have not risen since 1997.
The models predict increased warming, equally, at both the North and South Poles. The measurements show that the two poles are completely different. The North Pole is warming the South Pole is cooling.
For starters, it's nave to think that NRDC is immune from pecuniary self-interest. As I noted above, NRDC has annual revenues of $130 million and growing. Obviously, NRDC can and does sell its evident influence to donors. After all, what is a better fundraising pitch than being credited by the New York Times with writing the EPA's most important rule?
So you can imagine my surprise to see the infamous Hockey Stick graph appear in the 2001 IPCC Report, completely missing the MWP that I knew from multiple independent data sets, as well as the subsequent Little Ice Age that brought to an end the European occupation of Greenland. Later IPCC reports and subsequent media hype increased my discomfort with the concepts of Anthropogenic Global Warming and the insistence that presently observed climate change is driven primarily by human greenhouse gas emissions.
Moreover, in early June EDF participated in a conference promoting early action legislation, sponsored by the Progressive Policy Institute. EDF presented a plan to monitor and verify greenhouse gas emissions.
Notably, Dr. Idso emphasized that the increased CO2 levels allow plants to produce the same amount of crop yield with less water. Moreover, plants are able to grow in dry areas where it had been previously too dry to exist. A collateral benefit to this is that the increased vegetation reduces the effects of soil erosion.
How does this compare with the IPCC projections for the trend over the interval 2000-2030? Not too bad:
Some point to a warm 2014 as evidence of climate change, however global temperatures have remained unchanged for the past 18 years.
New finding - Earth has been cooling for 2000 years!!!
Still, there's some rough justice in the conservatives' cheap shots. In Washington's blizzards, the greens were hoist by their own petard.
The Secret Science Reform Act (S. 544) and its House counterpart would require that the Environmental Protection Agency develop its regulations and the science behind them in the open , and allow experts and other interested parties to examine data, evidence and studies that supposedly support EPA standards and mandates that could cost billions of dollars and millions of jobs. This should not be controversial.
The head of Canada's military returned recently from meeting with leaders of the African Union peacekeeping force that Canadian units would support. "This is a complex and relatively dangerous environment," Gen. Rick Hillier told CBC News. Hillier said he has more than 30 officers working on the project but was mum on the specifics until he presents several options this week to Defence Minister Bill Graham. The minister wants military intervention to be only one part of an overall plan for the northeastern African country. "We cannot invade Sudan. It requires United Nations action ... it requires political as well as military and aid matters," Graham told CBC.
The latest extreme "climate change" evidence from NOAA confirms that severe weather events, such as maximum rainfall and temperature records, are not trending higher during the 21st century as expected - establishes that high levels of CO2 have not been driving U.S. weather extremes
But the course on which Bush embarkedthe faith-based initiative, No Child Left Behindeffectively ended on September 11, 2001, with the emergence of antiterrorism as a predominant national issue. The first Bush presidency, essentially a "supersized" governor who read to kids in classrooms, gave way to a "wartime" presidency. And although that one issue (national security) was integral to Bush's re-election as well as the aforementioned GOP gains in Congress, it overshadowed the fact that the Republican president was at direct odds with his conservative base on at least three issues: runaway spending, massive debt, and illegal immigration.
Jules Crittenden takes Stephen Harper to task . And rightly so. Dr. Rusty Shacleford has the full length Bin Laden 9/11 hijacker video , if you think it's worth your time to download it. Where there's a Clinton, can a crook be far away ? Junk science in action. Add yours in the comments.
Ive gleaned some of my information from the graphs that Jennifer put up on the site on the 28th November . While youre explaining your models, could you please tell me what the mechanism is that makes temperature dive just after the peaks in CO2 shown in those graphs?
In 1933 Syrians actually banned yo-yos when religious leaders proclaimed that the up and down action interfered with people's prayers for rain. Anyone linking global warming to today's upheaval in Syria follows in that tradition.
I believe AGW to be true, but since I am willing to pro-actively test projections against data during what appears to be a stall in warming, much of my audience consists of skeptics. Clearly, they are not going to be convinced this stall is meaningless if I restrict my analysis to using GISSTemp, the data set that shows the least recent cooling. Rather, what will happen is this: They will decide I simply pick data to suit my pre-conceived notions.
Climategate 3.0: "Mr. FOIA" says lying elitists are destroying civilization
I understands von Storch word's will as he calls vrldsfrbttrarna always framhlla mjligheten to a climate disaster that something that it is a sin not to believe p .I will oskt to think p Swedish Church's bishops article in AB SUCH context and now We of course also the discussion of the latest episcopal letter:
The ovens even work on the small banana tree rafts that the poorest have built and use during the three or so weeks when the floods force them out of their homes. Families pile goats and all their worldly possessions onto these rafts, and even sleep on them, until the water recedes. Other families have protected their possessions by piling firewood on their roof, or building platforms in their ceilings.
But this isnt new. Sadly, the networks bias on climate change has been happening for decades. Many publications now claiming the world is on the brink of a global warming disaster said the same thing about an impending ice age in the 1970s. Several major ones, including The New York Times, Time magazine, and Newsweek, have reported on three or even four different climate shifts since 1895. (2)
SHREWSBURY, MA A study published today in the Journal of Applied Physiology, Nutrition, and Metabolism presented compelling data showing the consumption of both high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and sucrose (table sugar) at levels consistent with average daily consumption do not increase liver fat in humans, a leading cause of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The findings also add to an already well-established body of science that high fructose corn syrup and table sugar are metabolically equivalent.
Today Chantrill takes a different tack, looking back to von Mises and emphasizing that Pikettys book is not about capitalism, since Piketty doesnt know capitalism.
A pulp and paper mill reported it had planned to install a new overfire air system to allow for more complete combustion of bark fuel, reducing the amount of natural gas required to provide supplemental heat by roughly 200 million cubic feet, for an annual natural gas savings to the company of about $1 million. Annual emissions of NOX, CO, and VOCs would have decreased. However, because the boiler is currently operating below its rated capacity, and the PTE is based on operating at full capacity, the project would have triggered the installation of NSR-required emission controls costing $17 million. The project was dropped.
When Tribe's assistant admitted to having plagiarized some of the material he wrote for the book published in Tribe's name, Tribe said the plagiarism was "inadvertent," Codevilla notes, and the Harvard Law School's Dean appointed a committee that whitewashed the incident. That dean, Elena Kagan, is now about to become a Justice on the Supreme Court. Thus are principles of accountability and responsibility flouted:
While the approach in todays post doesnt appear conceptual, statistical algorithms, including linear regression, typically solve inverse problems. The spirit of todays post is approaching Deflategate as an inverse problem. In doing so, I am aware (as Carrick has forcefully observed) that the underlying physical conditions were poorly defined, but people still need to make decisions using the available information as best they can. I think that the approach in todays post providesa much more plausible and satisfying explanation of the variation in Patriot pressures than those presented by either Exponent or Snyder or, for that matter, my own previous commentary.
Steve Pinker is an evolutionary psychologist, a great thinker, a popular author, an impressive speaker (I remember one of his talks about the evolutionary explanation of the religion: it was cool), and also one of the few brave Harvard professors who have defended Larry Summers when professional women and professional blacks slammed the former Harvard president for the very suggestion that there may exist group differences.
A new book is advising us to prepare for a serious cold spell that is not only going to arrive in twenty to thirty years, but will likely stay around to become the next ice age. This time, though, the prediction is based on well-established climate cycles and the behavior of the Sun that was known as far back as Galileos day.
An analysis of Scots pines in Catalonia, Spain showed that tree diameter and cross-sectional area expanded by 84% between 1900 and 2000. The growth of young Wisconsin trees increased by 60%, and tree ring width expanded by almost 53%, as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations rose from 316 ppm in 1958 to 376 ppm in 2003, researchers calculated.
Another cause could be low solar activity, Mr Fisher said.
(Although, since the EU does not count carbon-free nuclear power as ?renewable?, this may well fall foul of its ban on state aid.) All this, Mr Huhne assures us, might lead to a modest rise of 160 a year in the average household energy bill, but in the long run it will make electricity cheaper than if he had not intervened.
Reduce: The effect of Australias carbon tax on the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is so tiny as to be undetectable and any miniscule reduction would be totally swamped in the far bigger natural seasonal variations of carbon dioxide levels. The effect on global climate, if any, would also be too small to be measured and of no benefit to the climate or life on Earth.
Ozone is in turn controlled by natural variations in galactic cosmic rays & solar activity, rather than man-made chlorofluorocarbons or greenhouse gases. The Svensmark hypothesis relates variations in solar activity to amplified variations of galactic cosmic rays, which in turn result in changes in cloud cover. This new paper may provide a second mechanism by whichvariations in solar activity are amplified by the effect on galactic cosmic rays and ozone.
We need someone whos going to make President Obama the issue, Santorum said on Fox News last week, adding that Romney is ill-equipped to make a sharp contrast with Obama because Romney has a bad record on climate change and other issues.
But neither the dissertation or the magazine article cited as sources for this information were ever subject to the rigorous scientific review process that research published in scientific journals must undergo.
The Washington Post hit at a more expansive description when it characterized this new class of men as the equivalent of "the trickled-down cultural derivative of the sporno." Not everyone can achieve the status of the new jockthe combination of porn plus sports star, the sex symbol turned sports star and sports star turned sex symbol dubbed with the conflated moniker by Simpson (again) in a 2006 article. The majority of us haven't won enough Olympic medals, Nike endorsements, or multi-million dollar contracts, or crushed enough calories to be featured on ESPN's annual "The Body" issue (initiated in 2009, it features or "celebrates" the naked body, in male and female form, of numerous athletic celebrities, to cut into Sports Illustrated's lucrative swimsuit issue market) or the like. But just as other habits of celebrities and other popular culture heroes become aped and embedded in daily life, so this phenomenon has trickled down to the urban masses.
Department of physics, Mid Sweden University, 851 70 Sundsvall, Sweden
The fundamental issue can be framed as a question of cause and effect, for instance: To what extent are climatic variations in clouds caused by temperature change (feedback), versus temperature change being the result of cloud variations? If variability in cloudiness on any time scale is caused by some internal process other than feedback, the resulting relationship between temperature and radiative fluxes will look like positive feedback possibly even obscuring the signature of true negative cloud feedback.
The Obama administration allows widespread eagle kills.
This morning, stunning photos show New England lobster boats frozen in port , looking like they are stranded deep within the Arctic Circle. The boats have been frozen in place for weeks, which would be remarkable enough if this were the middle of January. However, the calendar is about to turn to March.
The waves have been stronger this year, working against the jet stream and bringing it to a halt.
A Government Accountability Office study published in 2010 found that a total of $950,000 was being spent on research on solar radiation management in fiscal years 2009 and 2010.
The Sun is a crucial factor that warming campaigners ignore. The assertion that humans influence the climate and nature need not be considered is absurd.
"It is not our job to see that anyone gets an education." Oklahoma state Rep. Mike Reynolds.
When President Obama announced on March 31 that he intends to ensure that the U.S. will slash its ?greenhouse gas emissions? 26% below 2005 emissions levels by 2025 in order to keep pledges made to fulfill the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, he failed to mention that such levels would be comparable to what they were in our Civil War era, 150 years ago.
First, the U.S. could enact go-it-alone GHG controls and trust the moral appeal of its example to sway other nations. While it is clearly true that the U.S. could not expect China and India to bear the costs of curtailing their GHG discharges unless it were willing to do the same, it is quite another thing to leap from that statement to the assertion that the U.S. should act without firm pledges that other states will respond in kind.
EPA is also waging this war on the permitting front, and this is a problem that we've been tracking for a long time. As my EPW Minority Report from January 2010 showed, EPA at that time was obstructing 190 coal mining permits, putting nearly 18,000 jobs at risk. And not much has improved since then.
Leave everything in the hands of various parliamentary committees, from this point of view, only serves to cover it up, to slay the potential defendants old submitted before they even arrive at a single hearing on the subject, and to polarize lelettorato (Another positive opportunity for politicians, a disaster for pernicious lelettorato same).
The National Black Chamber of Commerce (NBCC) today released a study by Charles River Associates (CRA) on the economic impacts of H.R. 2454, the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACESA), the regulatory climate bill sponsored by Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) and Ed Markey (D-MA).
Too bad that e.g. RealClimate.ORG has no one who is as moderate as the official of the Czech Greenpeace. ;-)