Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The AGs based their investigations on a series of articles published by Inside Climate News, the Los Angeles Times and other news outlets that reported the company had covered up findings by Exxon's own scientists that showed manmade climate change was warming the Earth and creating risks for the company. The company adamantly denies the charges, and is asking several courts to level injunctions against the AGs for violating the company's rights under the Constitution.
Kersebaum et al . report that the FACE experiment "showed two important results: increased CO 2 (i) enhanced crop growth for all investigated species and (ii) decreased evapotranspiration rate of the canopies resulting in higher soil moisture content (Weigel et al ., 2006)." As a result, they found that "without consideration of the CO 2 effect, mostly negative impacts on crop yields were simulated," but that "considering the CO 2 effect compensated the negative trend in most cases and turned yield effects to a positive impact." What it means
A significant and accelerated post- Little Ice Age glacial retreat was observed in the first and second decades of the 20th century; but by 1952, the region's glaciers had experienced between 75 to 100% of their net 20th century retreat. During the next 50 years, the recession of over half of the glaciers stopped, and many tidewater glaciers actually began to advance. These glacial stabilizations and advances were attributed by the authors to observed increases in precipitation and/or decreases in temperature. In the four decades since 1961, for example, weather stations at Novaya Zemlya show summer temperatures to have been 0.3 to 0.5C colder than those of the prior 40 years, while winter temperatures have been between 2.3 to 2.8C colder than they were over the prior 40-year period. Such observations, the authors say, are "counter to warming of the Eurasian Arctic predicted for the twenty-first century by climate models, particularly for the winter season."
So fierce is their righteous indignation at those who commit environmental heresy that it's blinded them to the fact that their proposal clearly infringes on the free-speech rights of others. And what irony: If anyone should be fostering a free exchange of ideas, it's those who work at our nation's universities. Instead, they're leading the charge against debate.
Well I have my own article on where the heck is global warming? We are asking that here in Boulder where we have broken records the past two days for the coldest days on record. The fact is that we cant account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we cant. The data published in the August 2009 supplement on 2008 shows there should be even more warming: but the data are surely wrong. Our observing system is inadequate.
"We are determined to take the bold and transformative steps needed to shift the world onto a resilient and sustainable path."
In the concluding sentence of their paper's abstract, dos Santos et al . say their results show that "an increased CO 2 concentration can reduce the severity of Ceratocystis wilt and stimulate the growth of Eucalyptus clonal plantlets." And it does it all ... at one and the same time. Reference
Predicts solar cycle 24 will be less active than cycle 23
Troy is forecast to be 22 degrees cooler today than it was on the same day in 1926. Experts tell us that this dramatic reduction in temperature since 1926 is due to man-made global warming.
Brandeis disinvited Ayan Hirsi Ali , because her views on womens rights might offend some Muslim men. Scripps revoked its invitation to conservative political analyst George Will , who later observed:
Lning: Next Weltwoche refers Stocker to the natural cycles, which fit well with the 20th centurys overall pattern. The Little Ice Age also was characterized by low solar activity.
If Mr. Wigley's right, then using sources that emit no particulates, like nuclear and natural gas, will not make a major difference in averting near-term changes in the climate caused by carbon dioxide. But then "and here's the part that most media outlets failed to discuss when reporting on the Wigley study "widespread use of renewables such as wind and solar won't help much, either.
The major claim of a doubling of fish on protected reefs appears to rest on a single example .
An article in the Wall Street Journal (October 19, 1999) discusses the change in corporate America's global warming stance. The article notes that "some of the nation's biggest companies are starting to count greenhouse gases and change business practices to achieve real cuts in emissions." Moreover, "many of them are finding the exercise is green in more ways than one: Reducing global warming can lead to energy-cost savings."
Now, I suppose that this is vaguely reasonable. At least it is in the right direction, reducing the apparent warming. I say vaguely reasonable because this adjustment is supposed to take care of UHI, the Urban Heat Island effect. As most everyone has experienced driving into any city, the city is usually warmer than the surrounding countryside. UHI is the result of increasing population, with the accompanying changes around the temperature station. More buildings, more roads, more cars, more parking lots, all of these raise the temperature, forming a heat island around the city. The larger the population of the city, the greater the UHI.
Only some of them look at the people. Only with them the debate about the intergenerational discrimination and solidarity and about the proper size of discount rates used in any intertemporal analysis comes into consideration, only here can the economists make use of some of their concepts. The unjustifiably low rate of discount used by the environmentalists (notably in the Stern Review) was for me the original motivation to enter the discussion.
I is assured that both MAXIMUM and Pehr can and want to get further views.
In a previous Nature publication on amphibian extinction, Pounds et al. (1999) argued that warming was decreasing the frequency of mist, and that caused the species loss. They stated that it was a result of an increase in the elevation of the condensation level of local clouds. This would result in an increase in the daily temperature range (the opposite of what was documented in the recent manuscript) and is more likely to be associated with a decrease, rather than an increase, in total cloudiness. The current Pounds et al. (2006) explanation is seemingly in opposition to this initial explanation.
DOE sends a litigation hold notice regarding CRU to employees asking to preserve documents
Stewart (2015) created a model that only included 1) area of talus and 2) summer mean temperature as the determinants of local pika extinctions. Assuming that model represents reality, they then argued that according to projected warming from CO2 driven models, pika will become increasingly extirpated from 39% to 88% of these historical sites.
I was educated in the Midwest in Catholic Schoolshow Heartland can you get? I grew up in the Midwest and cannot comprehend the naivet of midwest people or their misplaced ideas about how to deal with violent and hostile ideologies.
Natural influences, including solar irradiance variations, alter Earths surface temperature, atmosphere and ozone
Of course, they might have mentioned that the eruption of Pinatubo in 1991 meant that temperatures in that decade were depressed. GISS have estimated that global temperatures were lower by as much as 0.25C for up to 5 years as a result. This means that about half of the 0.21C warming was simply the rebound from Pinatubo, and nothing to do with greenhouse gases. One wonders why they did not mention this fact.
Epsteins group preferred to use a set of high sensitivity concentration-responses that were developed by researchers (Schwartz et al., 2008) who are closely associated with Epsteins Center for Health and the Global Environment. The NRC report chose instead to rely on a set of concentration-response curves which showed a much more muted mortality response to air pollutant levels (Pope et al., 2002). The difference is about three-fold, with the Schwartz et al. response curves producing much higher premature mortality than the Pope et al. curves.
Those who pointed this out, including yours truly, were labeled "denialists." Yet the IPCC itself finally admitted the "pause" in its latest report.
That admission came in a new paper by prominent warmists in the peer-reviewed journal Climate Dynamics. They not only conceded that average global surface temperatures stopped warming a full 15 years ago, but that this "pause" could extend into the 2030s.
For reasons that remain unclear, Hantemirov objected to the calculation (see comments within post) and, once again, Real Climate screeched in fury.
Re AR5, I havent checked to see who the solar authors are or what the ZOD has to say?
Thus, despite working on regional chronology methodology for nearly two decades, CRU is intellectually no further ahead than when they started: arm-waving ad hockery. But thats a story for another day.
Goulburn News, sport and weather | Goulburn Post
and I am busy answering regular phone calls from journalists trying to assess
NO CONSENSUS ON WHAT CREATED THE ASSUMED ENERGY IMBALANCE OR WHAT WILL CAUSE IT TO CHANGE IN THE FUTURE
Once again, the natural variation of climate is shown in proxy records and closely follows variations in the solar cycle over the past 1000 years and more.
An ex-conservative (small-C not a typo) hippie blogger mocks Fox News for highlighting failed global warming predictions from the past . Apparently when a scientist suggests something will happen in 10, 15 or 20 years and it doesnt its wrong to ask what went wrong. Read the link but dont bother leaving a comment youll be banned before you finish it.
I try falling asleep. We'll figure out something tomorrow.
Stephan thinks its a fact that CO2 is to blame, but the only fact he provides is, as usual, the opinions of a committee.
Sounds of people moving in apartment = break the door down, no warrant needed. This is just a joke, though I must also say the drug war has already gutted any number of Constitutional protections, so its not surprising to see yet another blow to liberty in the name of rounding up anyone who might be smoking a joint. (more here )
Richter et al. (2009) obtained high-resolution (22-year average) planktonic foraminiferal Mg/Ca and stable oxygen isotope (18O) data from a pair of sediment cores retrieved from the northeast Atlantic Ocean's Feni Drift, Rockall Trough region (5539.02'N, 1359.10'W and 5539.10'N, 1359.13'W) from which they derived late Holocene (0-2.4 ka BP) sea surface temperatures (SSTs).
One-dimensional simulations helped to explain the strong effect on cloud burn-off of BB and BC from other sources. They showed that when absorbing aerosols exist in clouds, instantaneous direct radiative forcing (DRF) and surface temperature change are anticorrelated because when absorbing aerosol burns off a cloud, the aerosol DRF decreases due to a decrease in optical focusing, yet surface temperature escalates rapidly due to the pouring in of sunlight to the surface. As such, particle burn-off of clouds may be a major underrecognized source of global warming .
But the Earth Guardians still deliver outright falsehoods about fracking, by children to children, in public schools funded by taxpayer dollars. Perhaps this goes on because teachers and school administrators fail to recognize the potential harm, or are themselves devoted to promoting extreme environmentalist ideologies. Certainly they failed to exercise their responsibility and authority as educators to provide a balanced curriculum and avoid being used by groups with political agendas, to inculcate a new generation of Americans in perverse Hard Green dogmas that are harmful to wildlife, people and the environment.
A much more straightforward and logical explanation is one that fits Plate Climatology Theory . The NASA observed western Pacific Ocean warming is due to increased heat flow from deep ocean volcanoes, hydrothermal vents, and heat emitting fault zonesnot man-made atmospheric global warming.
Nigel Smith points out that "a pattern of waxing and waning of forest cover is not unique to Amazonia. The forests of New England in the United States, for example, are more extensive now than they were during the time of the colonies. The oak forests of southern England, severely cut back in Roman times, had largely returned by the time Henry VIII assumed the throne, only to be felled again for iron smelting, building materials, and agriculture." (Smith, p. 238-239)
The California Air Resources Board (CARB), a subdivision of the California EPA, promulgated costly new rules, despite proof of major problems pointed out by Dunn and associates. It relied on an expert with falsified credentials; ignored contradictory evidence (even by its own experts); disregarded protests from taxpayers; used geographic gerrymandering and an invented methodological trick called conurbation; persecutes dissenters; and has serious conflicts of interest.
Yes, that is correct. About half the reported warming in the USHCN data base, which is used for nearly all global warming studies and models, is from human-added fudge factors, guesstimates, and corrections.
Note that workers comp is generally "no fault". This means that it does not matter if the worker was hurt because the employer had an unsafe workplace or if the employee was ridiculously careless -- most everyone gets compensated. AllBusiness.com has more detail :
9 hours ago Australias antarctic runway melting. AUSTRALIAS $46 million Antarctic airstrip is melting, leaving the government scrambling to find a new air ...
One graph to illustrate the death of the global warming hoax
It is not unreasonable to give outsiders a look at the historical readings and the adjustments made by experts like Harry. How exactly were the readings converted into what the English scientists describe as quality controlled and homogenised data?
As Antarctic ice extent breaks its all-maximum time record, we must not forget that the worlds greatest climatologist predicted peak ice loss, right at the spot where they have had peak ice gain.
Broad population-based epidemiological evidence "links" short term PM2.5 exposures (hours or days) to cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, an EPA report claims. Long-term exposure (years or decades) has been "linked" to respiratory disease and cardiovascular and lung cancer mortality.
Attention is often focussed on the late 20thC increase in CET, which is in turn linked to IPCC claims that this was when global warming began in earnest. This argument, of course, rather falls flat on its face with the rapid decline in CET since 2006.
Were just hardworking scientists doing their best to address the impossible expectations of the policy makers? Well, many of them were. However, at the heart of the IPCC is a cadre of scientists whose careers have been made by the IPCC. These scientists have used the IPCC to jump the normal meritocracy process by which scientists achieve influence over the politics of science and policy. Not only has this brought some relatively unknown, inexperienced and possibly dubious people into positions of influence, but these people become vested in protecting the IPCC, which has become central to their own career and legitimizes playing power politics with their expertise.
both ISCCP satellite data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data for at least the last 20 years suggesting that small fluctuations in solar activity may be linked to changes in the Earths atmosphere via a relationship between the GCR flux and cloud cover; such a connection may amplify small changes in solar activity. In addition, a GCR cloud relationship may also act in conjunction with other likely solar terrestrial relationships concerning variations in solar UV (Haigh, 1996) and total solar irradiance (Meehl et al., 2009). The climatic forcings resulting from such solar terrestrial links may have had a significant impact on climate prior to the onset of anthropogenic warming, accounting for the presence of solar cycle relationships detectable in palaeoclimatic records (e.g.,Bond et al., 2001; Neff et al., 2001; Mauas et al., 2008).
Put another way, with the federal government now paying (with your money) the Detroit piper, Obama and congressional leaders get to call the tune. This provides a chance for a regulatory agenda that would never fly otherwise.
First of all, the three researchers - all from the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research located in Bremerhaven, Germany - report that "four recent studies tested the effect of different CO 2 concentrations on the growth, biomass production and elemental composition of Trichodesmium (Barcelos e Ramos et al ., 2007; Hutchins et al ., 2007; Kranz et al ., 2009; Levitan et al ., 2007)," and they say that these studies "concordantly demonstrated higher growth and/or production rates under elevated pCO 2 , with a magnitude exceeding those CO 2 effects previously seen in other marine phytoplankton."
A recent report by the CPUC California Net Energy Metering (NEM) Draft Cost Effectiveness Evaluation (Sept. 26), reported that net-metered solar energy rooftop systems will shift $1.1 billion per year in extra costs onto other electric ratepayers by 2020. Net metering is where excess electricity from rooftop solar panels results in rolling electric meters backwards. Property owners receive a credit on their electricity bill for the excess electricity they generate.
Something similar happened in 2001 when Bjorn Lomborg published The Skeptical Environmentalist: Measuring the Real State of the World, which also argued that most environmental problems were overestimated and most global conditions were stable or improving. The favorable publicity Lomborg received even the New York Times wrote well of The Skeptical Environmentalist sent the environmental community into a rage, and the counterattack was swift. Scientific American devoted a special issue to a tag-team assault that it represented as "science" "defending" itself against Lomborg, as if Lomborg were the Vatican censuring Galileo. The tacit premise of the attacks on Lomborg seemed to be that environmental optimism is "beyond the pale of respectable discourse," as The Economist put it.
De Witte et al . report that "the oldest genets of D. octopetala , S. herbacea and V. uliginosum were found to be at least 500, 450 and 1400 years old, respectively," but they say that "the largest C. curvula genet had an estimated minimum age of c. 4100 years and a maximum age of c. 5000 years, although 84.8% of the genets in this species were <200 years old."
The most surprising thing to me about this is the wide disparity in the amount, trend, and overall shape of the different forcings. Even the effects of the volcanic eruptions (sharp downwards excursions in the forcings ), which I expected to be similar between the models, have large variations between the models. Look at the rightmost eruption in each panel, Pinatubo in 1991. The GFDL-ESM2M model shows a very large volcanic effect from Pinatubo, over 3 W/m2. Compare that to the effect of Pinatubo in the ACCESS1-0 model, only about 1 W/m2.
El Nio and La Nia Basics: Introduction to the Pacific Trade Winds
I disagree that my previous post was inaccurate. I summarized rather than putting in details, some of which are contained above.
Carbon restriction policies, to have any effect on climate, would require that the most extreme projections of dangerous climate actually be correct, and would require massive reductions in the use of energy to be universally adopted. There is little question that such reductions would have negative impacts on income, development, the environment, and food availability and cost especially for the poor. This would clearly be immoral.
Marlo, will overturning the Timing Rule have other legal consequences?
October 2008 Environment & Climate News: No Warming Crisis
In the earlier period has by far the most deletions of data, hence the lack of closeness of fit between the average adjustment and average variance. After 1945, the consistent pattern of the average adjustment being slightly higher than the average variance is probably due to a light touch approach on adjustment corrections than due to other data deletions. The might be other reasons as well for the lack of fit, such as the impact of different length of data sets on the anomaly calculations.
Theres an article in farmonline.com discussing Goyders line and climate change:
According to Taylor, the provinces of Ontario, British Columbia, Saskatchewan, and New Brunswick support Alberta's stance on Kyoto, while Quebec, Manitoba and Prince Edward Island are opposed.
The HR gr p tvrs against what example klimatkommissionren Hedegaard wants the city to come, nmligen new binding agreement from 2030 in the EU already next year. Surely we can sknja an underlying disagreement behind these statements?
But it would be far better for Mr. Clinton's legacyand the world economyif no deal is reached. And, even if one is struck, the reception of Congress would be far chillier than the winds of Ottawa. Mr. Clinton is acting like a frantic lame duck on the environment. In these last days, he's already fenced off vast tracks of resources in the Pacific and the Northwest from development. His regulators at the Environmental Protection Agency, meanwhile, are issuing costly new orders to clean up PCBs from the Hudson River and sulfur from diesel fuelboth matters that a new administration with better research and less ideological fervor would certainly delay.
The multi-model mean for the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is shown in the top graph (Cell a) of Figure 2. The graphs run from 1861 to 2100. The multi-model mean of the individual components (Incident Shortwave Radiation, Outgoing Shortwave Radiation and Outgoing Longwave Radiation) are also shown in the Cells b to d. Listed on each of the graphs is the average value for the period of 1996 to 2015. (Explanation for those years: The historic portions of the simulations run from 1861 to 2005, while the forecasts based on projected RCP6.0 forcings run from 2006 to 2100. So the period of 1996 to 2015 includes the last 10 years of hindcast and first 10 years of forecast. Theyll serve as our base years for anomalies in future graphs.) The values of the averages are close to those shown in Figure 1 from Trenberth et al. (2009).
Heres a real important fly in the ointment for modelers and I didnt know it. Humidity is not on the rise with carbon dioxide increases and small increments of warming since the Little Ice Age.
Several recent papers have provided SLR numbers which need to be examined carefully in the context of present debate on global warmingand sea level rise. A paper by Holgate (2007, Geophysical Research Letters ) analyzed nine long and nearly continuous sea level records over one hundred years ( 1903-2003) and obtained a mean value of SLR as 1.74mm/yr, with higher values in the earlier part of the 20 th century compared to the latter part.
A cynical and false propaganda campaign has been waged against nuclear energy in the U.S., mostly notably with the Hollywood film, "The China Syndrome" about a reactor meltdown. If you want to worry about radiation, worry about the Sun. It is a major source. Three incidents, Three Mile Island in 1979 and Chernobyl in 1986, added to the fears, but no one was harmed by the Three Mile Island event and Chernobyl was an avoidable accident.
That conclusion is consistent with the data on average retail electricity prices reported by the EIA, as summarized in the following table:
Global warming: The Rosetta Stone of the anti-technology movement
Pio XI Glacier, the largest glacier of the Patagonian ice field, has been advancing for years