Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Democrats still have alternatives to courting those voters again. They can hope for favorable circumstances, like a well-timed recession or missteps and scandals in the coming Trump administration. They can wait on demography: The white working class is shrinking as a percentage of the population. They can look for a candidate who excites the Obama coalition more than Clinton did. They can continue to try to appeal to these voters based purely on their economic interests, ignoring their values and beliefs.
And yet, with no empirical evidence whatsoever we have so-called scientists persuading the general public that a minute molecule in the atmosphere is causing runaway global warming!
The Honourable John Howard, former Prime Minister of Australia, gave the Annual GWPF Lecture in London on Nov 5. The title of his lecture was One Religion is Enough, and full text is available from the GWPF . Excerpts:
The answer to the third question may be that there is a generally positive effect if the only change to the atmosphere was a significant increase in CO 2 concentration. Most plant growth increases at higher levels of CO 2 . It also appears that some concerns for negative effects on ocean life from increased ocean acidity from CO 2 were exaggerated, or even totally wrong (as will be discussed more later) (also see http://www.seafriends.org.nz/issues/global/acid.htm ). A significant change in ocean pH would cause some changes, and there would be some winners and some losers in ocean life, but it appears that for realistic level changes this would not be a major problem. In fact, combining the slightly higher temperature with higher CO 2 levels should significantly increase world crop growth if these are the only factors, and this is clearly a generally positive effect.
But I for one am not complaining that Pachauri is staying on as I have said before, every day he remains in charge subtracts credibility from the IPCC, and that can only be a good thing. The recent meeting in Busan has deferred a number of key issues for later discussion:
He did not mention climate in his last State of the Union address, said Rosenthal, pouting over something about which neither Obama, nor anyone else on planet Earth can do anything except to clean up the mess left behind by hurricanes, floods, and other forces of nature..
Why didnt they use the complete record, which ran (then) from 1957 through 1995? When they did, all correspondence between the models and reality disappeared. It just happened that 1963 was very cold, thanks to a blow-up of the big volcano Agung, and 1987 was warm thanks to El Nino, and the overall record showed no change at all.
Rather than thinking that humans have the power to create a better world, they are viewed as potential destroyers. In this misanthropic worldview, humans essentially become parasites on the planet. They are portrayed as destroyers of the environment and creators of waste, rather than as being capable of achieving great things. Rather than highlighting human ingenuity, the emphasis is on the destructiveness of mankind.
Before the subsidy-seekers really get going, let's look at the full extent of government handouts for Tesla.
The ingredient plants need most is carbon from CO2. They typically exchange over 2,000 water molecules to grab one CO2 molecule. Plants are desperate for carbon from the air, just like we humans are desperate for oxygen from the air. "No CO2", implies no plant growth. One of the main roles of water in plant life is just so the plant can exchange it for carbon.
on Tuesday, July 20th, 2010 at 1:43 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Such a cost difference ultimately will prove green powers undoing, he predicted. Because of green energy mandates in Ontario, consumers will see their electricity bills increase as much as 40 percent during the next five years, Bryce forecast. The Los Angeles Department of Water and Power told the city council that its pursuit of renewables could raise electricity rates as much as 50 percent during the next four years. I wonder how there could not be a backlash.
The conference, co-sponsored by NASA and UNEP by the way, released its statement calling for denser cities to mitigate ?worldwide population growth? ahead of the Rio+20 United Nations Conference on Sustainable Development taking place in June of this year.
We hear over and over that climate change is now so rapid that ecosystems all over the world are in peril as they attempt to cope with changes to the environment. This view of delicate ecosystems is at odds with the reality of the long climate history of the Earth. The climate has warmed in the past, cooled in the past, and many of these changes were quite rapid. Delicate ecosystems would have disappeared long ago and the most robust systems would have survived.
Skeptics Making Voices Heard at UN Meetings in Warsaw
Recent global climate variation is entirely within natural cyclical variation, cooling trend now underway and is likely to continue to 2030's, according to best data.
Not surprisingly, the author's recommendations are to eat more fruits and veggies, get plenty of exercise, and consider a return to living in caves. (Okay, I made the cave part up, but the rest is true).
James Edward Kamis is a Geologist and AAPG member of 40 years and has always been fascinated by the probable connection between Geology and Climate. Years of research / observation have convinced him that the Earths Heat Flow Engine, which drives the outer crustal plates, is also an important driver of the Earths climate. To contact James, please use our Contact Us page.
When Mr. Spencer tried to take the State's Minister for the Environment and Water to court in 2008 to get his land back, the judge in the State's Supreme Court told him the courts could not intervene in political decisions. Mr. Spencer will challenge that finding on appeal this spring, if he lives long enough.
All developed nations are dependent upon oil mostly because its the best transportation fuel by far.
Conclusion #7: EPA's recommendations are justified by the facts and ought to be implemented as quickly as possible.
Nor did any key parameter of economic performance prior to 1985 point to a rapidly advancing disaster. From 1981 to 1985 the growth of the country's GDP, though slowing down compared with the 1960s and 1970s, averaged 1.9 percent a year. The same lackadaisical but hardly catastrophic pattern continued through 1989. Budget deficits, which since the French Revolution have been considered among the prominent portents of a coming revolutionary crisis, equaled less than 2 percent of GDP in 1985. Although growing rapidly, the gap remained under 9 percent through 1989 a size most economists would find quite manageable.
As Bob Tisdale has pointed out, the above plot expressing heat content in terms of gazillions of Joules sounds dramatic (if you didn't know, 1022 is 1 gazillion) but the 0.2 deg. C warming upon which it is based? maybe not so much.
In their attempts to disguise the fact that 2012 will likely turn out to be one of the colder years this century, NOAA have made the ludicrous, and frankly dishonest, claim that this year will be the hottest La Nia year on record.
16e. The ability of global climate models to model precipitation values for the next 10 years
Next, my own unit and I published satellite measurements that clearly show a natural cooling mechanism in the tropics which all of the leading computerized climate models have been insisting is a warming mechanism (Spencer et al., August 9, 2007 Geophysical Research Letters).
While this is obviously satire it was presented in parallel with other information that was considered by Mr. Cook to be scientific. I found this juxtaposition very odd, since it essentially disagreed with Cook??s own position on the public viewpoint percentages as well as trivializing and debasing the debate.
The coral reefs at Milne Bay have been around for a long time and are known for their great biodiversity . I find the claim about reef fish survival due to reduced pH to be puzzling since they seem to be doing well for quite a long time. The fish seem to have not only survived but adapted to their environment. pH is reported to affect coral populations, but the reefs and seeps have been around for a very long time.
"From what we've seen, global warming theory is definitely lacking in this regard," Spencer wrote.
Issues: Energy, environmental politics, global warming.
These programs are just a subset of the state's GHG reductions efforts, and GHG reduction is just one among many of the state's expensive social engineering schemes. Each takes money out of the pockets of average Californians in order to fund the pet causes of special interest busybodies. Because most of the costs are hidden in the form of higher prices for goods and services, the people who pay them don't realize they've had their pockets picked.
Energy, manufacturing and agriculture are playing a major role in the corridor states revival. The resurgence of fossil fuelbased energy, notably shale oil and natural gas, is especially important.Cheap U.S. natural gas has some envisioning the Mississippi River between New Orleans and Baton Rouge as an American Ruhr. Much of this growth, notes Eric Smith, associate director of the Tulane Energy Institute, will be financed by German and other European firms that are reeling from electricity costs now three times higher than in places like Louisiana. --Joel Kotkin, The Wall Street Journal, 26 February 2013
Eric Reid, who manages a fish processing plant in Rhode Island, told the Post there would be "localized economic damage," hitting Atlantic fishing towns.
This is possible because all of the warming took place in one year, 1947 to 1948. Balling argues that "the temperature records from Kyoto and Japan can be interpreted a hundred different ways. One could fairly argue (a) Japan has warmed significantly over the past century, (b) Japan has warmed quickly in the most recent two decades, (c) 1998 is the warmest year on record for Japan, and (d) the greatest warming is occurring at night in the winter. All of these findings are broadly consistent with expectations from climate model simulations for increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. From this perspective, the temperature record from Japan is another reason to support the Kyoto Protocol."
But the alarmists say the exact opposite, that the climate system amplifies any warming due to extra carbon dioxide, and is potentially unstable. It is no surprise that their predictions of planetary temperature made in 1988 to the U.S. Congress, and again in 1990, 1995, and 2001, have all proved much higher than reality.
The procedure is based on the null hypothesis of AR(1) red noise predictions over the validation interval, using the variance and lag-one autocorrelation coefficient of the actual NH series over the calibration interval to provide surrogate AR(1) red noise reconstructions. From the ensemble of surrogates, a null distribution for RE and CE is developed. In other words, the appropriate significance estimation procedure requires the use appropriate AR(1) red noise surrogates against which the performance of the correct RegEM procedure as implemented by Schneider (2001)/Rutherford et al (2005)/Mann et al (2005) can be diagnosed.
There is little detail of how many peer reviewed papers are needed to qualify as a specialist, it could by their definition be just two papers, one of which needs to be on climate change. What a poor example of scientific enquiry this survey really is
Climate campaigner wonders whether it's immoral to have kids
For example, prior to 1990, EPA generally used the "actual-to-future-actual" method of estimating emission changes. In its 1990 Draft NSR Workshop Manual, EPA indicated it would begin to use the "actual-to-potential" test on a case-by-case basis. The change was successfully challenged by utilities in the WEPCO case, but EPA continued to assert that it could be used when regulating nonutility emitters. In 1996, EPA announced that nonutility emitters should presume the "actual-to-future-potential" method applied to them, but included a return to the "actual-to-future-actual" in its proposed reform agenda. Two years later, in 1998, EPA stated it would stay with the "actual-to-future-potential" test.
I mean, you can equate the fluxes on paper if you want, but this no longer corresponds to the real system or its physics because, basically, the procedure is physically meaningless. Reality and physics does not respond to averages, reality does not wait around for an average to be determined and then choose to react to it, reality and physics react in real-time to instantaneous inputs, and the Sun doesnt shine evenly on both hemispheres at once.
A version of this article appeared on July 1 in Townhall Finance online.
Suckers. ...a seemingly grey area exists when a product is labeled as non-GMO, yet a GMO counterpart does not exist. For example, should an avocado be labeled as non-GMO if GMO avocados don't exist? What about salt? Crushed tomatoes? A recent article highlighted that some brands of popcorn are advertised as not containing genetically modified corn when there is no genetically modified corn of the popcorn variety on the market.
Iraq, to be sure, was in many ways sui generis. Iran, by contrast, should be a no-brainer, since a nuclear Iran would lead to nuclear proliferation throughout the Middle East all the way to Algeria. Were coercive diplomacy to fail, then, as Senator McCain put it, there would still be one thing worse than military intervention in Iran a nuclear Iran.
The sea-level rises estimated in the IPCCs last assessment report, released in 2007, were now on the low side.
Instead, OSTP described Holdren's claim in these drafts as "information provided by the government meet "basic standards of quality, including objectivity, utility, and integrity," and constituted "communications from the White House about climate science." (see pages 1 and 5 of each draft). Accordingly, OSTP argued it complied with the IQA's standards for the quality of official information.
PHILIP: Nicest thing you can do for somebody is tell them the truth. He has it. He doesnt want it.
Dean Carroll, Public Service.co.uk, 3 August 2010
In the rarefied world of economic theory, any number of carbon tax regimes can be constructed that buffer economic harms through rebates. And certainly, they would reduce GHG emissions.
Industrial activity is obvious as is close dense residential.
So the only thing that climate science actually knows is the average near-surface air temperature, which isnt all that useful. It would be much better at least to have the actual physical surface temperature.
Svensmarks Cosmic Ray Theory. TOP: If the sun??s magnetic field is weak it allows more cosmic rays, which may seed more clouds on Earth. BOTTOM: A strong solar magnetic field blocks the same rays and could mean less clouds and clearer skies.
Congressional staff members describe the White House role in the negotiations as largely passive. It is expected that after the conference committee finishes, Tauzin, Rep. John Dingell (D-Mich.), and Senators Jeff Bingaman and Frank Murkowski (R-Alaska) will meet behind closed doors to hammer out a deal that might be acceptable to both the administration and Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle (D-S.D.).
President Obama's speech at West Point yesterday was touted in advance by his team as an important opportunity to lay out his vision for American leadership in the world. In that sense it was a success, in that there was indeed a vision, and that it was laid out. But the victories stop there, for the speech and for American foreign policy.
Mind you, the term "pause" is misleading in the extreme: Unless and until it resumes again, it's just a "stop." You don't say a bullet-ridden body "paused" breathing.
sign of national weakness. "Not because we thought it would necessarily work," as Clinton later said, "but because we knew that without trying we'd never get the allies to sign on to a much, much tougher approach."
Anll of the vicious nonsense that has driven Peter Spencer up his pole is in the name of addressing the non-problem of "global warming".
Businesses Giving Away the Store on Global Warming , by Steven J. Milloy
"So what miracle turned this problematic researcher's life around?
Beyond Smoke and Mirrors: Climate Change and Energy in the Twenty-first Century
Oh, and there won?t be much room on the more heavily populated planet in 2050 for organic farming. We?ll need to shift our future concern from ?toxic chemicals? to lost wildlife. Think ?high-yield conservation.? when you think of modern farming.
This approach, much like a trade negotiation, would make monitoring compliance with nations' pledges easier. It would also make penalties of failing to perform agreed actions more credible. At the same time, one must admit that such a negotiation would not produce the dramatic GHG reductions craved by the green groups, but, then again, no other form of negotiation is likely to produce that result. It makes no sense to condemn modest real progress because it does meet an unrealizable ideal.
It might just be too difficult to do with any dependable and/or useful degree of accuracy, as the authors of this paper write their findings ???imply that the response of the tropical Pacific to future forcings may be even more uncertain than portrayed by state-of-the-art models because there are potentially important sources of century-scale variability that these models do not simulate.?? Such uncertainties must be adequately addressed before model projections can be taken seriously?? Read More
The reconstructions clearly show a ?hockey-stick? trend. I guess this is
Were still waiting for update of the NODC ocean heat content data. It will be interesting to see what effect this off-season El Nio has had on the ocean heat content of the tropical Pacific. Did it drop as a result of this off-season El Nio? Well have to wait for their April-June 2014 update, which should be available in August or September.
Based on the graphical representations of Lhotakova et al .'s findings, we calculate that at the end of the eight-year CO 2 enrichment experiment there was a CO 2 -induced increase in light-saturated net photosynthesis of approximately 115% in the trees' sun-exposed needles and about 55% in their shaded needles; and we likewise calculate that there was an approximate 20% decrease in the mean dark respiration rate of the trees' sun-exposed needles and about 40% in their shaded needles.
At bottom, Murray notes, the environmental movement is rooted not in a concern for the environment, but in a disdain for personal freedom and free-enterprise capitalism. Humanity is the disease plaguing the planet. The antidote must be environmental policies enforced by government diktat, relying on mandates, bans, orders, restrictions and punishments to achieve its goals. The better answer is conservation by private stewards, individuals and corporations, who understand caring for the environment is important, while making choices that are actually logical - and sustainable.
This current no-holds-barred attack on the coal industry is a sequel to previously failed liberal efforts to pass congressional cap-and-trade legislation. In addition to lacking a valid scientific basis for such policies, any emission reductions achieved would be minuscule compared with large increases already occurring in Asia and other regions.
One recent manifestation of this phenomenon is the effort to define climate change as a "national security" issue a discovery that conveniently followed in the wake of President Obama's characteristically modest prediction that his presidential nomination would be remembered as "the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal." We've even heard it said of late that childhood obesity a cause which just happens to be the personal crusade of the First Lady threatens U.S. national security by rendering ever more young Americans unfit for military service, thus reducing the talent pool of young recruits available to our armed forces. Childhood obesity, it has been proclaimed, is "an epidemic that threatens national security."
But in the midst of this mess weve come across the New York Times cutting sceptics some slack for a change. In commenting on the leaked emails from the CRU at East Anglia they acknowledge some positive results from some of the cranks and pests asking reasonable questions and identifying genuine problems.
Al Gore emerges as the leading contender to win the next Nobel Peace Prize for his global warming activism.
Today my young Independent/Democrat-leaning friend Tabitha and I were discussing the Green movement in America. We were on the subject of the manufacturer-killing EPA, massive regulations and the loss of the Keystone Pipeline when she made a very astute observation.
The acceptance of CO2 as a pollutant by the EPA, yet it is a climate forcing not a traditional atmospheric pollutant, opens up a wide range of other climate forcings which the EPA could similarly regulate (e.g. land use; water vapor).
Recently, German scientists have argued that two naturally occurring cycles will combine to lower global temperatures to levels corresponding with the Little Ice Age of 1870. According to scientists declining solar activity and the 65-year Atlantic and Pacific Ocean oscillation cycle will cause the earth to cool during this century.
Even the more cautious scientific acolytes of the official orthodoxy now admit that, thanks to "natural factors" such as ocean currents, temperatures have failed to rise as predicted (although they plaintively assure us that this cooling effect is merely "masking the underlying warming trend", and that the temperature rise will resume worse than ever by the middle of the next decade).
1776 The Pointe--Pitre hurricane was at one point the deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record. At least 6,000fatalities occurred on Guadeloupe, which was a higher death toll than any known hurricane before it. It also struck Louisiana, but there was no warning nor knowledge of the deaths on Guadeloupe when it did. It also affected Antigua and Martinique early in its duration.
Its unclear when the Bush teamdecided tomothball theendangerment finding and associated regulations, but a key event wasenactment of the Energy Independence and Security Act(EISA) in December 2007. EISAdirects federal agencies to implementnew fuel economy and renewable fuel standards similar to those proposed in Bushs 20-in-10 plan.The statutedirectly and immediately gave the Bush team the authoritytheyneeded to curb oil imports.So they put EPAs draft endangerment analysis and the associated motor vehicle emission regulations under wraps, much to the consternation of Sen. Boxer (D-CA), Rep. Waxman (D-CA), Rep. Markey (D-MA), and numerous environmental groups.
Today, global climate change is the number one environmental issue facing the United States and the international community. The issues in the climate change debate can be very technical, and many Americans have found ,themselves confused and unsure whom to believe. According to one side, the "activists," the prospect of human-induced global warming is a near certainty, and failure to address the problem will have catastrophic ecological consequences. According to the other side, the "skeptics," global warming is a hypothesis lacking scientific validation, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions will have serious negative economic consequences.
"limate policy could contribute as much as 10% to overall portfolio risk: Uncertainty around climate policy is a significant source of portfolio risk for institutional investors to manage over the next 20 years. The economic cost of climate policy for the market to absorb is estimated to amount to as much as approximately $8 trillion cumulatively, by 2030."