Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
3) The only evidence now for the theory of dangerous carbon dioxide-induced global warming is the IPCC models, which assume, incorrectly it now appears, that clouds exacerbate the warming due to carbon dioxide.
Pictured: Huge smoke cloud spreads smell of Crow Edge blaze as far south as Sheffield
The party's acceptance of Trump as its standard-bearer exposed further a set of divisions and tensions inside the GOP that will linger. Some of those divisions are among and between leaders and elites; others involve deeper disagreements between party leaders and the broader party voter base.
I would like to thank Professors Carter and Kukla for their comments on an earlier draft of this lecture.
Following the logic of a carbon tax implies that CO2 emissions should be subsidized when the SCC is negative.
The sad fact is, there are plenty of newer brand-name cancer drugs that do not cure anyone, but just extend life for a few months, at costs of up to $90,000 per patient. Only the older but curative cancer drugs drugs that can cost as little as $3 per dose have become unavailable. Most of these drugs have no substitutes, but, crazy as it seems, in some cases these shortages are forcing doctors to use brand-name drugs at more than 100 times the cost.
That's where the poll data come in. A careful look at a recent major poll, the 2011 Beyond Red vs. Blue analysis from the Pew Research Center, explains why these governors sound like neo-libertarians but act like regular liberals.
There still seems to be only three Osgoode students left to front the fight against Macleans/Steyn, so as they decline into almost comedic denial of their censorious tendencies, I propose that we rebrand them as "The Osgoodies".
World warns of disaster if no debt deal done:
From CEI: Adjunct Scholar Dana Joel Gattuso in the Washington Post on why e-waste recycling mandates are an expensive solution to an imaginary problem.
The 1995 document raises 2016 questions about the State Department's actions in the subsequent United National IPCC Assessment Reports. What did they do? Where are the correspondence and instructions to change the science in all the IPCC Assessments? What is the Obama State Department doing to corrupt climate science to its forward its radical social and political agenda? Some of that is obvious. It's the clandestine part we need to know.
A new US Senate report on the EPA: Fraud, Deceit and Secret Science
The ship is in the Australian Search and Rescue region, 100 nautical miles east of the French base Dumont DUrville.
Here is a graphic of West Australian rainfall note the sharp increase in the 1990s what caused that ?
Chris Colose , an AGW advocate, attempted to criticize Richard Lindzen's demonstration that positive feedbacks cannot dominate . Well, the best thing he could do was to use some alternative graphs to argue that the current models underestimate the negative feedbacks by a factor of 2-3 rather than 5-7. This factor of 2-3 corresponds to no feedbacks. Well, a multiplicative discrepancy by a factor of 2-3 is still a pretty bad rating for the models, isn't it?
Job creationas opposed to green job creationis the new North Star of the Obama administration, and Immelt is simply adjusting his sails accordingly.
Similar values were noted in suburban North Seattle at Lake Forest Park.
From there, we rolled on south and had lunch with James Delingpole . James writes a blog for the Telegraph which I would describe as witty, incisive, and acerbic and thats just how he is in person as well. He fed us to the brim with his patented cheese toasties in the old country house where he resides, and then led us on a lovely countryside walk to a hill where we could see the old local manor house and the church. But all too soon, we were off again, heading back to Heathrow and a morning flight with only one final bright spot in view.
"(A) Documents 1-7 in the list you provided appear to be copies of confidential documents produced by The Heartland Institute and stolen by the Pacific Institutes Peter Gleick. The eighth document in your list, titled 2012 Heartland Climate Strategy, is not an authentic Heartland document or draft document. Peter Gleick claimed to have received this memo from an anonymous source, then falsely represented it as having come from The Heartland Institute.
However, the output of direct heat by the enterprises and industries of humankind is large enough at an average of around 0.1-0.2 Watts per square meter of the Earth's surface, a range that I calculated a couple of years ago from data supplied by the US Energy Information Administration to account for around 0.1-0.2 Celsius degrees (or roughly one-sixth to one-third) of all the "global warming" of the 20th century if and only if one believes that the temperature feedbacks imagined by the UN's climate panel are as very strongly net-positive as it suggests.
Your right, I should have mentioned those elements that there are different reasons for the estimates coming down. But also, you got to point out that the people that read these reports, including the policy makers summary, what they are looking for is; how much warming do you expect in the next 100 years? How much per decade? And that has been revised downward. But you are right, part of the reason is they are assuming lesser CO2 emissions as well. So there is a combination of reasons. They still have full fledged positive water feedback though and I think that that's the next thing that needs to come down.
The SSRC believes as long as the Sun continues its solar hibernation (a once every 206 year cold climate event) that we are on the precipice of a long term drop in global temperatures. It is entirely possible that the decades-long period of record global agricultural output that our world has enjoyed will soon be over, perhaps for many decades.
In his excellent American Spectator article on "America's Ruling Class and the Perils of Revolution," Angelo Codevilla calls these two antagonistic and irreconcilable groups the ruling class and the country party. Although I agree with Codevilla's outline of the two groups, I prefer to characterize them as the progressive aristocracy and the productive class. In fact, I think that it's vitally important for those in the productive class to understand that what Codevilla calls the ruling party is an aristocracy, albeit a corrupt one.
Investors can get spooked when government declares regulatory warfare on an industry, and the Waxman-Markey bill does just that.Consider the gross disparity between the refining industry??sshare of covered emissions (43%) under Waxman-Markey and its shareofemission allowances (2.5%).
"Social responsibility" activists want universities and pension funds to eliminate fossil fuel companies from their investment portfolios. They plan to spotlight their demands on "Global Divestment Day," February 13-14. Their agenda is misguided, immoral, lethal and racist.
OK, one can't make an experiment that would prove or disprove that the two subsystems were entangled. After all, there is a simpler explanation. One may measure observables that obviously exist, e.g. the two spins separately, and the choice "which measurement we make" already implies whether the state will be entangled or non-entangled after the measurement.
It makes you wonder how many colleges are doing their most fundamental job: teaching students to think and question, rather than merely to parrot politically correct mantras and whether they are preparing students to become intelligent, informed, active members in a functioning democratic society.
In some cases, the water-use efficiency increases caused by atmospheric CO2 enrichment are spectacularly high. De Luis et al. (1999) , for example, demonstrated that alfalfa plants subjected to atmospheric CO2 concentrations of 700 ppm had water-use efficiencies that were 2.6 and 4.1 times greater than those displayed by control plants growing at 400 ppm CO2 under water-stressed and well-watered conditions, respectively. Also, when grown at an atmospheric CO2 concentration of 700 ppm, a 2.7-fold increase in water-use efficiency was reported by Malmstrom and Field (1997) for oats infected with the barley yellow dwarf virus.
Senator Browns comments expose the Greens and his leadership as shallow and cynical; willing to peddle political propaganda in the face of a natural disaster , Senator Abetz said. ( source )
Heartland President Joseph L. Bast opens the January-February 2009 issue of The Heartlander with thoughts on President George W. Bush's departure from office, the inauguration of President Barack Obama, and a few key public policy issues: the credit crisis, health care, and global warming.This issue also offers:a quick wrap-up from last year's Emerging Issues Forum and 24th Anniversary Benefit Dinner;a look ahead to the March 8-10 Second International Conference on Climate Change;and summaries of Heartland activities on our top policy priorities: budget and tax, tobacco, finance and insurance, health care, information technology and telecom, education, the environment, and urban affairs.
U.S. Senate. Roy Blunt MO (202-224-5721); John Hoven ND (-2551); John Thune SD (-2321); Lamar Alexander TN (-4944); Chuck Grassley (-3744).
What, then, are the functions of government in this system of natural liberty? Adam Smith assigned a small, but what he considered essential, set of responsibilities to the political authority:
The great man-made global warming debate is entering an interesting phase, as early snow blankets much of Britain. If this winter is anything like as cold and long as last year??s, my postbag will soon be bulging with cries for help.
To paraphrase our fearless leader, that's all stupid shit.
While politicians prepare a grand bargain on emissions limits that future politicians are unlikely to obey, a new generation of American nuclear scientists has produced designs for better reactors. Crucially, these new designs may finally overcome the most fundamental obstacle to the success of nuclear power: high cost. Designs using molten salt, alternative fuels and small modular reactors have all attracted interest not just from academics but also from entrepreneurs and venture capitalists like me ready to put money behind nuclear power.
Gardelle et al . conclude by stating that their measurements "confirm an anomalous mass balance in the Karakoram region and indicate that the contribution of Karakoram glaciers to sea-level rise was -0.01 mm/year for the period from 1999 to 2008," or "0.05 mm/year lower than suggested before." As for how this complete change of direction in the perceived mass balance history of the Karakoram glaciers could have occurred, Cogley (2012) writes - in a contemporaneous commentary on the work of Gardelle et al . - that "by a quirk of the atmospheric general circulation that is not understood, more snow is being delivered to the mountain range at present, and less heat," which leads one to wonder if there might well be a whole lot of things that are "not understood" about earth's climate ... by even the most brilliant of the world's scientists.
According to the most bloated alarmist numbers, sea level is currently rising 3 mm/year.But from 1930 to 1948, sea level rose almost 9 mm/ year.
Mr. Paulson also maintains that the carbon tax is vital to persuading China to curb its emissions. This claim is crucial, because U.S. emission controls can have only a trivial direct effect on global climate. Since 2005, U.S. emissions have fallen while those of the developing countries have soared. Developing country emissions now exceed those of the entire industrialized world. China is by far the world's biggest emitter. This new reality implies that nothing Washington can do domestically will stop climate change.
on Thursday, April 15th, 2010 at 8:41 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Overall, the results of this study support the hypothesis that published temperature data are contaminated with nonclimatic influences that add up to a net warming bias, and that efforts should be made to properly quantify these effects.
THE reasonable thing to expect would be a modest cold event, followed by a warming event (DO Event), followed by significant cooling (Bond Event). And what have we had? A modest cold event in The Little Ice Age (with volcanoes, even), followed by a warming event into 1998, followed by a sleepy sun and the start of significant cooling.
Ethanol is also bad for the environment. Science magazine published an article last year by Timothy Searchinger of Princeton University, among others, that concluded that biofuels cause deforestation, which speeds climate change. The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration noted in July 2007 that the ethanol boom rapidly increased the amount of fertilizer polluting the Mississippi River. And this week, University of Minnesota researchers Yi-Wen Chiu, Sangwon Suh and Brian Walseth released a study showing that in California a state with a water shortage it can take more than 1,000 gallons of water to make one gallon of ethanol. They warned that energy security is being secured at the expense of water security.
Finally, let me note that CEI attended all eleven days of the Kyoto conference as an officially registered non-governmental organization. Fred Smith wrote daily commentaries that enjoyed wide distribution in the U.S. via e-mail and fax.
In addition, ignore the fact that there have been more all-time U.S. cold records than heat records since the 1940s. And don't believe your lyin' eyes that tell you regarding that "extreme weather" we've been warned about that no category 3-5 hurricanes have struck the U.S. coast since October 2005, setting a century-long record lull since 1900.
Before finalizing its response to the Court, EPA must figure out how recent statutory changes in EPA's responsibility regarding fuel economy and renewable fuel standards would affect the setting of auto emission standards for carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases--a possible outcome of Mass v. EPA.
Lake Powell (Arizona and Utah) provides a good proxy for western slope snowfall, because much of the snow in Wyoming, Colorado, Utah and Northwestern New Mexico drains into the lake via the Colorado, Green and San Juan Rivers. The lake currently contains more than 4.5 trillion gallons of water and is 490 feet deep at the dam.
In a very long sentence, the two researchers write that "extreme temperatures (i) can be avoided (e.g. by accelerating hatching, by moving within the egg, by cooling the egg by enhanced rates of evaporation, or by hysteresis in rates of heating versus cooling); (ii) can be tolerated (e.g. by entering diapause, by producing heat-shock proteins, or by changing oxygen use); or (iii) the embryo can adjust its physiology and/or developmental trajectory in ways that reduce the fitness penalties of unfavorable thermal conditions (e.g. by acclimating, by exploiting brief windows of favorable conditions, or by producing the hatchling phenotype best suited to those incubation conditions."
Solar physicists from several major US sun-watching labs announced last year that they believe based on decades-long trends of declining sunspot activity and other indicators that the current sunspot cycle may be the last one for a long time, and that a "Maunder Minimum" like that seen in the 17th and 18th centuries is on the cards. The sunspot-less Maunder Minimum was accompanied by a so-called "Little Ice Age" of cold winters and ice-skating on the Thames.
Who would have thoughtit seems that the largest mammal of North America, Ovibos moschatus or Musk Ox (actually, a big big kind of sheep) really does like it hot, even if its usually found around Canada and Greenland: to the point of disappearing from Europe, Asia and Alaska in the late XIX/early XX century due to climate change , a turn to cold that is.
If psychologists want to be taken seriously, and want psychology to be called a science, they need to elect a director who knows what science is.
But most troubling of all, according to the UN report in 2005, is that the largest public health problem created by the accident is the damaging psychological impact to a lack of accurate information as negative self-assessments of health, belief in a shortened life expectancy, lack of initiative, and dependency on assistance from the state. end of quote
I downloaded the tide data for the outlet of the Thames, Sheerness for that day from the UK National Oceanography center . Times are local to the station, +1 GMT.
To chal- lenge against wind power in rural areas are based on the visual experience, ie, they frfular landscape, or str experience of the landscape is probably obvious from many of those affected. The aesthetic dimension is often brushed aside by nringen as taste. No. Now chal- lenge out in settlements is growing and that FSL become an important factor framstr it is increasingly clear that this frga must be discussed more.
However, significant barriers impede the transfer of existing and future technologies, and thus the improvement of overall economic conditions. One of the most important is lack of economic freedommarked by restrictions on personal choice, voluntary exchange and open markets The prospect of simultaneously reducing poverty, increasing energy efficiency and cutting pollution makes a compelling argument for developed countries to take a new approach to forging partnerships with developing countries: one centered on improving economic freedom in a way that encourages smoother technology transfers and faster economic growth.
natural thermostats, including clouds, which can trap heat, turn up the temperature or reflect sunlight and help cool the planet. So why is none of this reflected in the modelling? It is situating the appreciation again.
The early estimates of polar bear abundance are a guess. There is no data at all for the 1950-60s. Nothing but guesses. We are sure the populations were being negatively affected by excess harvest (e.g., aircraft hunting, ship hunting, self-killing guns, traps, and no harvest limits). The harvest levels were huge and growing. The resulting low numbers of bears were due only to excess harvest but, again, it was simply a guess as to the number of bears.
Clinton began her remarks at the National Clean Energy Summit by laying out the problems climate change is already causing today, including extreme weather and droughts. the most consequential, urgent, sweeping collection of challenges we face, she said. No matter what deniers say.
The current 11-year peak in solar action is the weakest seen for a long time, and it may presage a lengthy quiet period. Previously, historical records suggest that such periods have been accompanied by chilly conditions on Earth.
The Wiki that describes Degree Days is not too bad (at least for now, but since Ive connected it to Global Warming watch out for the AGW Langoliers to start chewing on it):
Video: Climate realism in a Texas elementary school; "If there's global warming, there must have been global cooling follow this logic "
So there is only one remaining sentence in my post to which Schmidt might be objecting:
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON ABOVE 5000 FEET.
2014: The host of MSNBCs The Ed Show promoted Soviet-style re-education for climate skeptic politicians by conducting an on-air poll on the question Should climate-denying Republicans be forced to take a basic earth science course?
Until such time as an independent inquiry actually addresses these concerns in a thorough and, yes, unbiased manner, Climategate will remain an open wound in the side of climate science.
The inference is that climate model predictions should be used to drive global energy policy. This is the simple linear model of scientism, that has been resoundingly debunked particularly for a complex problem like climate change.
What I find interesting about this map is the way the warmth is concentrated on and around nearly point sources. That one inland and North East from Seattle is a real hot spot. Those sources look to be largely the urban growth areas (with, perhaps, some very localized UHI impacts on small rural locations). There is a general warming in valleys, but the real hot spots are in or very near the urban areas. Most of the out back rural areas are neutral or cooler than average.
THE ATLANTIC MULTIDECADAL OSCILLATION IS NOT A FORCED COMPONENT OF THE CLIMATE MODELS
Police and courts to secure each citizens life, liberty and property from domestic thieves and bandits, and to adjudicate the disputes that might arise among men;
www.couriermail.com .au/...antarctic-runway/story-fn6ck4a4-...
"Wind power," the study reports, "is the second most expensive. It costs nearly 6 cents more per KWH." The study puts these additional costs in context: "The average cost of electricity to U.S. consumers in 2012 was 9.84 cents per KWH, including the cost of transmission and distribution of electricity. This means a new wind plant could at least cost 50% more per KWH to produce electricity, and a new solar plant at least 200% more per KWH, than using coal and gas technologies." The study concludes: "Renewable incentives that are biased in favor of wind and solar and biased against large-scale hydro, nuclear, and gas combined cycle are a very expensive and inefficient way to reduce CO2 emissions."
Researchers Gabriel Vecchi and Brian Soden (from GDFL and the University of Miami respectively) examined how anthropogenic global warming may, at least according to climate models, alter the environment of the tropical Atlantic and thus possibly tropical cyclone statistics there as well. Recall that it is the tropical cyclones that form in the Atlantic Ocean that are the ones that cause the greatest impact the United States. And also recall that there is still an on-going, sometimes rather heated, debate about whether natural or anthropogenic (as if somehow we arent part of nature) causes are thought to be responsible for the increase in storminess since the early-1970s, as well as whether or not a continued enhancement to the earths greenhouse effect will lead to more and/or more intense hurricanes.
I note also that Jeff ID states in the thread you mentioned: Even though I am certain this is one hundred percent correct, this changes little about the climate story. What it does do is make one wonder how math skilled individuals still refuse to acknowledge it.
This article is an attempt to describe some of the early results from the Antarctic reconstruction recently published on the cover of Nature which demonstrated a warming trend in the Antarctic since 1956. Actual surface temperatures in the Antarctic are hard to come by with only about 30 stations prior to 1980 recorded through tedious and difficult efforts by scientists in the region. In the 80s more stations were added including some automatic weather stations (AWS) which sit in remote areas and report the temperature information automatically. Unfortunately due to the harsh conditions in the region many of these stations have gaps in their records or very short reporting times (a few years in some cases). Very few stations are located in the interior of the Antarctic, leaving the trend for the central portion of the continent relatively unknown. The location of the stations is shown on the map below.
In the case of science, the motive is supposed to be the continued advancement of knowledge. In practice, scientists ARE motivated by that common goal, but they also have pressure from money, the future ease of publication, acceptance by peers, and in the case of climate science easy fame.
Whether the threats are short-term (hurricanes, floods and blizzards), intermediate (droughts) or long-term (warm or cool eras), preparation must be specific and regional in scale, for the perils vary widely by geographic location and a nation's state of technological advancement. If governments prepare properly for natural hazards, their countries and communities will also be ready for human-caused climate disruptions, should they ever occur.
Replication is more difficult than the "follow the money" narrative behind the attacks on the integrity of Mr. Soon and other skeptical scientists. But for those seeking truth, it is the only analysis worth conducting.