Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Read here . Earth's climate and environment has suffered from a wide range of extremes over billions of years. Yet climate models extrapolate their predictions from conditions experienced during mid-1970's to late 1990's - definitely, an incredibly microscopic view of actual Earth climate history.
The UK biofuels industry stands to be devastated by draft proposals being developed by the European Commission, renewables chiefs have warned. The great irony is we have been repeatedly asking for a clear pathway to 2020, not least to secure investment in technological advancement. Nobody listened. Now Europe is planning a quantum leap which threatens to wipe us out. It is a double whammy and an absolutely galling prospect for companies that have invested millions in good faith. Farmers Guardian, 28 September 2012 ( http://www.farmersguardian.com/home/renewables/biofuels-industry-would-be-devastated-by-eu-plans-rea/50036.article )
WHO: Time running out to solve E. coli outbreak:
Projected trend over oceans: 0.3 F/decade
Once again, we have yet another experimental demonstration of the fact that atmospheric CO 2 enrichment generally enables plants to find the extra nitrogen they need to take full advantage of the aerial fertilization effect of elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentrations, with the result that total ecosystem carbon content is increased , resulting in a negative feedback to anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. References
Americas 104 nuclear plants generate enough electricity for nearly 75,000,000 homes and produce about 2,000 tons of spent uranium fuel annually. So Yucca will be able to hold all the used fuel from the past 50 years, plus another 35 years of used fuel, without expanding on the original design.
Professor Mike Hulme, of the UK's Tyndall Centre, has been conducting research on people's attitudes to media portrayals of a catastrophic future.
There was global warming on the order of about 1F during the twentieth century. There is disagreement as to its cause.
EPA is corrupt, and Beale, whom we have discussed here before, was in charge of the air pollution rule making while stealing almost a million and claiming to be a CIA agent.
NRLs general linear climate model: ENSO + volcanic aerosols + solar activity + anthropogenic effects explains 85% of the CRU temperature variance for the period 1979-2010.
How successful Ban and his chieftains will be at pushing that agenda may soon be seen, as the secretary general hosts the lead-off event of the fall diplomatic season, a two-day summit starting September 20 on the so-called Millennium Development Goals.
In light of the natural cooling cycle the Earth has been in that is good news and it will be even better news when the planet emerges from the cycle that reflects the lower levels of radiation from the Sun.
Overall message of the metals is duck and cover and risk off in $US.
The analysis is an example of the value of synthesis research centers, Garrison says, in addressing societys environmental challenges.
Paris To Test Banning Gas-Guzzlers (Yes, SUVs!) In City Core:
The public's trust in the supposed scientific consensus took a blow when a vast body of e-mails from the Climate Research Unit of the University of East Anglia came to light in what has been dubbed "Climategate." Climate scientists derided their critics, blocked access to peer-reviewed literature, withheld data from examination, planned to "hide the decline" in past temperatures and generally revealed themselves to be shaping their science to their politics rather than the other way around. Anyone who tells you climate science is settled is selling something. The climate is a vastly complicated system. The science that studies it is prone to error and was politicized before it could mature.
A while back, New Hampshire Republican Senator Judd Gregg told me that America should build 100 nuclear power plants by 2030, a proposal endorsed by the Senate Republican Conference. "This will clean up the air," he said, "and reduce reliance on foreign oil. This is a much more constructive approach than the climate change bill."
Exhibit A is the Corker-Cardin legislation, passed unanimously in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, providing for limited congressional review of negotiations with Iran over its nuclear weapons program. Exhibit B is the legislation combating human trafficking, passed unanimously by the Senate last Wednesday. Exhibit C is the elimination of the annual "doc fix," engineered by Speaker John Boehner and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi.
As I have explained elsewhere Mann is attempting to legally punish any attempt to "question his intellect and reasoning"?that's from the DC Superior Court, which preposterously backed his argument?on the grounds that Mann's scientific claims have been investigated by multiple government panels, which have exonerated him.
on Monday, April 13th, 2015 at 7:28 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
Sunnier skies over Antarctica in turn mean that more solar radiation is reflected by high-albedo snow and ice instead of being absorbed in the cloud cover. Thus Antarctica has cooled.
Europe?s strategy was founded on two fears: first, that global warming was an urgent threat that needed to be prevented imminently and at all costs; and second, that the world was running out of fossil fuels, which meant oil and gas would become ever more expensive. Both conjectures, however, turned out to be wrong.
The silent media ignore a Colorado Democrat who says women dont need firearms to defend themselves from predators and a patronizing vice president who says women cant handle an AR-15 anyway.
Incidentally, Backreaction reviews some at least superficially clever attempts by Cliff Burgess and others to solve the cosmological constant problem within the large extra dimensions scenario. A cosmic string or, more generally, a co-dimension-2 brane induces a deficit angle in the surrounding spacetime but leaves the cosmic string essentially undisturbed. Such co-dimension-2 branes on a sphere may conspire to produce a rugby ball geometry which adjusts itself so that the effective 4D curvature seems to be (nearly?) zero.
In fact extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones (hurricanes, in the US) have been at historic lows with atmospheric carbon dioxide at contemporary highs. Jimmy is seriously full of it.
For this spring the Australian BOM predicted it would be dry and warm, instead we got very wet and quite cold. The models are so bad on a regional basis, its uncannily like they are almost useful if they call things dry, expect wet.
Those are the reflections you can make when reading your paper in the deserted, and yes, rather relaxed and pleasant, city. And as the late Gilbert Becaud, I'll wait until September to do my ususal European holiday tour. Have a nice summer. Now it's time to head out in the rain and find that paper and cosy corner.
UN IPCC 2001: "Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms' Also, The UN IPCC Draft in 1995: "Shrinking snow cover in winter' Analysis: "In 2010-2011, heavy snow was due to global warming. Then in 2012 the lack of snow in the Eastern US was due to global warming, and now in 2013 heavy snow is again due to global warming'
No they arent. Ice extent just took a large jump up and ice now fills most of the Beaufort Sea.
Others being peddled at the Bali conference are that man-made "global warming" threatens polar bears and coral reefs, caused Hurricane Katrina, shrank Lake Chad, expanded the actually-shrinking Sahara, etc.
That's all this study is that's all it's meant to do is scare people. It actually says in the study that without action to prevent climate change What is the action? Carbon taxes, regulations, UN treaties, EPA regulations its political lobbying disguised as science."
FACT: Global temperature has not risen at all in the last 10 years.
So, what does it mean to "deal with" climate change? Well, I'd argue that there are basically two options, and we've been wasting a huge amount of time, money, and energy on an approach that was doomed from infancy, that being mitigation, or the rollback of greenhouse gases to pre-industrial levels.
German meteorologists say that the start of 2013 is the coldest in 208 years ??? and now German media has quoted Russian scientist Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov from the St. Petersburg Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory, who says it is proof that we are heading for a ???Mini Ice Age.??
Figure 2. Projected global sea level rise from the IPCC?s business-as-usual (A1B) scenario (black curve) and the Kerry-Lieberman emissions scenario (red curve).
By Robert Johns, Master Resource, Aug 13, 2015
But this month fellow Queensland University researchers admitted in a study that reef coral had once more made a ???spectacular recovery??, with ???abundant corals re-established in a single year??. The reef is blooming.
Now, because of Secretary Vilsack's trial-ballooned planting restriction policy and his continuing insistence that some type of coexistence plan be developed, even products that do reach the marketplace could eventually be subject to the vagaries of politically driven limitations that serve only the interests of the organic food industry and biotech's opponents. At best, his dithering creates uncertainty among agribusiness companies, which is anathema to expensive long-term research and development.
The former chancellor Lord Lawson has urged the Government tokeep Britains coal-fired power stations working for as long as wasneeded to avoid any short-term power shortages. In a House of Lords debate on energy policy and electricity generationLord Lawson also called on ministers to give every encouragement it can to the quickest possible development of shale gas supplies. Lord Lawson urged energy and climate change minister Baroness Verma toassure the House that if the need arises our coal-fired power stationswill be kept open as long as is necessary, regardless of the Europeancombustion plants directive. -- The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 27 February 2013
Sources say, the Environmental Protection Agency will propose a regulation Monday that will cut carbon-dioxide emissions from existing coal plants by up to 30 percent, compared with 2005 levels, by 2030. It is
Economist Robert Higgs has ripped apart the notion that war is good for an economy. And, in particular, he has focused on World War 2. On release of Higgs book, Depression, War, and Cold War: Challenging the Myths of Conflict and Prosperity , the publisher wrote :
We know this thanks to some excellent reporting this week by Dina Cappiello of the Associated Press. The wind industry, says Cappiello, reports bird kills only on a voluntary basis, and "the Obama administration in many cases refuses to make the information public, saying it belongs to the energy companies or that revealing it would expose trade secrets or implicate ongoing enforcement investigations."
The States' Duty to Defend Against Federal Excess
Under this approach, an OMB Office of Information and Spending Affairs would request each agency to indicate the "costs" and "benefits" of their various expenditure programs. Smart agencies would soon report glowingly high benefit/cost (B/C) ratios. Imagine further that OMB were to argue that many of the expenditure programs were in areas where markets were lacking (defense and national parks) or weak (welfare and highway development) and that, therefore, in those areas, the agencies would be allowed to assert a whole array of non-use values (existence values, contingent valuation) to ensure a "balanced" B/C analysis. Would OMB be able to credibly argue against any spending decision?
Strike two : Summer ice (June, July) is 80-90% of what it was 30 years ago, not half.
As the atmospheric CO 2 concentration continues to rise, it is likely that this plant species, and possibly others, will exhibit larger-than-predicted CO 2 -induced increases in photosynthetic rates. Indeed, the author's final sentence states that "it is premature to conclude that the relative stimulation of photosynthesis by rising atmospheric will necessarily be less in cool climates or at cool times of the year," as many plant scientists, including we, have long believed. If this conclusion holds up under further scrutiny, the productivity of the totality of earth's vegetation may be even more stimulated by atmospheric CO 2 enrichment than has been anticipated by many of its most ardent advocates, due to possibly larger-than-expected CO 2 -induced increases in photosynthesis at low air temperatures.
That a warmer, drier climate will spawn more frequent forest fires and fires of longer duration is almost a tautology. Nonetheless, some studies find no changein global fire activity over the past century and more. Ocean cycles and forestry practices also influence the frequency and extent of wildfires. Whether recent U.S. wildfires areprimarily due to global climate changeor other factors is neither obviousnor easily determined .
The adaptation measures being taken in Mitradanga are fascinating; not only are they effective, but they actually make sense in context of the local culture. The rest of the world can learn something from Bangladesh.
Good to see no caveats about the availability of the data and also interesting to note that he says that the scientists have been cleared of "many" of the allegations. Perhaps I'm reading too much into that, given his later responses though.
In any case, more reliable satellite data reveal that 2015 was only the third warmest year since recordings first began in 1979. Other than major 2015 and 1998 El Nino ocean spikes, there has been no statistically significant warming in nearly two decades. Yet although weather balloon (radiosonde) measurements closely agree with satellites, no temperature monitoring systems were designed to measure such small changes over decades.
Chinese weather stations were seriously flawed, or could not be located.
For most economic sectors, the impacts of drivers such as changes in population, age structure, income, technology, relative prices, lifestyle, regulation, and governance are projected to be large relative to the impacts of climate change
Table 1: Statistics of the 12-mra from the difference between several GSTA data sets and the UAHs GSTA data set.
The reason for this incredible jump was the Canadian government's addition of the Alberta "tar sands" to its previous oil reserve estimate. From the tar sands, a form of heavy oil can be removed by relatively unconventional processes. These processes, often compared to a gigantic crock pot, separate out the bitumen (the heavy oil) and turn it into lighter, usable petroleum. Since these technologies are steadily improving, all the available oil from the sands (more than 1 trillion barrels) might eventually be removable.
SHOCK: Meet President Gore; Supreme Court overturns Bush vs. Gore
Well, Kyle Swanson of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee says, temperatures should have gone up. But nobody told the temperatures. Isaac Held of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Princeton said, warming might possibly slow down or even stagnate for a few years before rapid warming commences again. Not to worry, well have explosive warming Held says.
Read here . Almost all scientists agree that an increase in atmospheric CO2 will only raise global temperatures from 1.0 to 1.5 degrees Celsius. The IPCC is well aware of this established science, so they had scientists add a hypothetical positive feedback to the climate models, which would then produce predictions of much higher temperatures.
Over the past 30 years, the sea surface temperatures of the Rest-of-the-World warmed during the major El Nio events but did not warm before them, between them or after them. Therefore, the long-term warming of the Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperatures occurred during and was caused by the strong ENSO events. Further, because ENSO is a natural process, and because the long-term warming of the Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperatures was caused by ENSO, then the long-term warming of the Rest-of-the-World sea surface temperatures is natural, too. In no way is that a stretch of the imagination.
It??s a good job that smart meters will save UK households 28 a year, because wind farms will cost them 500 a year.
Brger, G., 2007. Comment on The Spatial Extent of 20th-Century Warmth in the Context of the Past 1200 Years. Science , 316 , 1844a.
2. Had an email from David Jones of BMRC, Melbourne. He said they are ignoring anybody who has dealings with CA, as there are threads on it about Australian sites
Solid empirical evidence continues to accumulate, demonstrating that (1) the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) was an interval of elevated global temperatures that were equally as warm as, and in many cases even warmer than, those of the Current Warm Period, and that (2) the MWP's elevated warmth was likely solar-induced, which suggests that the Current Warm Period may well be deriving its warmth from the same source, as it is likely nothing more than the most recent manifestation of the warm node of this ever-recurring climate cycle.
Union curbs rescue a Wisconsin school district:
Codevilla and Limbaugh believe that such a party can indeed achieve political power and turn things around. Many others join them in that belief. If the contemporary American aristocracy can be forced out without such a terrible confrontation, it will be impressive proof of the Founders' wisdom and the success of the American experiment. If not, the nation may well be headed for a struggle that will make the tumult of the 1960s look like a mild tiff in comparison.
Hot Takes: The Top Climate Change Reporting of the Past Year
South Carolina Supreme Court Hearing Arguments in 2006 Poker Conviction (not same url from yesterday):
That Real Climate (RC) should feel special solicitude for the Hockey Stick is no accident, comrade. Two of the five principals at RC -- Michael Mann and Raymond Bradley -- were among the three researchers (Mann, Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes) who authored the Hockey Stick.
The journal International Socialism has a column that contains every warmist talking point in one easy to remember place. Oh, and capitalism is bad, very bad.
Pew Center Says U. S. Emissions Will Rise Under All Scenarios
Lewis Page, Earth may be headed into a mini ice age within a decade, theregister.co.uk, June 14, 2011
What is indisputable is that storms do much more damage than in the past. This has nothing to do with worse weather but is due to the fact that population has surged, with ever more people living in low-lying and storm-prone areas, so the number of people and the amount of infrastructure being affected is far higher than in the past.
You can not simultaneously say that you want to promote a debate while equating the other side to terrorists and mass murderers. Ross McKitrick
"An Inconvenient Truth purports to be a non-partisan, non-ideological exposition of climate science and moral common sense. In reality, it is a colorfully illustrated lawyer's brief for global warming alarmism and energy rationing," said CEI Senior Fellow Marlo Lewis. "It is an accusation hurled at modern industrial civilization."
Like the pagans of old thought they could appease the angry gods or win their favor through sacrificing the things most dear to them ? their livestock, and if that didn?t work, human beings, even their own children ? so it appears that Global Warmingism demands that we sacrifice. And it?s not really sacrifice because it?s moral or sensible or good for us, but sacrifice to appease the offended ecosphere.
We are not told, in short, that nearly all of the imagined sea-level rise since satellite altimetry began in 1993 arises not from measurements of real sea-level rise but from a combination of intercalibration biases and arbitrary and excessive glacial isostatic adjustments.
Allow all energy projects to form master limited partnerships. Master limited partnerships (MLPs) are taxed as limited partnerships, but are publicly traded on the stock market. In the energy sector, the ability to form MLPs is available for mineral extraction, natural gas, oil, pipelines, geothermal, and the transportation and storage of ethanol, biodiesel, and other alternative fuels. Other renewable energy generation and commercial nuclear activities do not qualify. The next Administration should end the practice of using the tax code to pick winners and losers.
In a revealing paper published in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate , Lauer and Hamilton (2013) report that numerous previous studies from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) showed quite large biases in the simulated cloud climatology affecting all GCMs (Global Climate Models), as well as "a remarkable degree of variation among the models that represented the state of the art circa 2005." So what's the case today? The two researchers provide an update by describing the progress that has been made in recent years by comparing mean cloud properties, interannual variability, and the climatological seasonal cycle from the CMIP5 models with results from comparable CMIP3 experiments, as well as with actual satellite observations.
> >> about future local climate change is insufficient for the purpose of
We already know that the government had not sought advice on how much difference the Act would make on temperatures, either globally or nationally. But presumably they would not have passed this legislation unless the effects of climate change in the UK were already becoming noticeable and damaging. So lets take a look at how the effect that climate change has had on the UK in recent years.
And of course, government climate policies are all based on such unvalidated climate modelswhich have already been proven wrong. Yet the latest UN-IPCC report of Sept 2013 claims to be 95% certain about DAGW! Aware of the actual temperature data, how can they claim this and keep a straight face?
Even after these tweaks, the backcasts were still coming out too high. So, to make the forecasts work, they asked themselves, what would global temperatures have to have done without CO2 to make our models work? The answer is that if the world naturally were to have cooled in the latter half of the 20th century, then that cooling could offset over-prediction of temperatures in the models and produce the historic result. So that is what they did. Instead of starting with natural forcings we understand, and then trying to explain the rest (one, but only one, bit of which would be CO2), modelers start with the assumption that CO2 is driving temperatures at high sensitivities, and natural forcings are whatever they need to be to make the backcasts match history.
Denning said he prefers to talk about climate change through three words, which he labeled the "3 S's of Climate Change":
Sometime you even stop to get directions and pick up a soda or coffee. Occasionally you try the local dive for lunch and find the people not really all that bizarre after all. Soon you are wondering if maybe you ought to stay a while and see what these folks do every day? Then you notice the two big guys on the other side if the street as one points at your car Time to go
I suppose the problem with this is that I am thinking of routers like telephones. Most folks know that if we dial more than 10 digits, the extras are just ignored. My guess is that routers are more finicky and precise than this, and they can't just ignore the fact the IP address they are getting are too long. But I still would imagine there could be a simple hardware hack to cheaply strip off the last part of a longer IP address so that older IPv4 infrastructure could still work in an IPv6 world. Or is this hopelessly misinformed and naive?
The EPAs new anticarbon rule is full of redistribution to offset its harm to the poor.
Columnists and bloggers are spewing lists of what will happen in 2015, what should happen in 2015 and what Congress' priorities should be for 2015. It's far easier to say what won't happen in 2015.
"Stemming from the fallout of a peace deal". Well, that's putting a shine on things. Let's take a closer look at Sudan, courtesy of the BBC; Sudanese demand death for editor :