Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
An unseasonably cold weather system will move through the Northern Rockies tonight into Tuesday morning. Snow levels are expected to drop to around 6000 feet, leading to light snow accumulations over the higher terrain. Those planning to venture into the back country should be prepared for light snow and temperatures 15 to 20 degrees below normal.
They focus on every weather event, declare it to be the worst ever, and ignore every place else in the world.The NorthernHemispherehas been experiencing record snow cover, so they focus on a lack of snow in Chicago (which is about to get a blizzard.) The Greenland Ice Sheet has a couple of hours above freezing, and they declare it to be a meltdown.
The direct warming effect of doubling the CO2 in the air is generally agreed to be little more than 1 C. However climate models produce exaggerated warming forecasts by assuming that strongly positive or amplifying temperature feedbacks, such as the increased capacity of warmer air to carry water vapour, a greenhouse gas. They assume that these positive feedbacks will turn 1 C of direct warming into 3 C of imagined catastrophe.
But neither henor Iare much swayed by this rose tinted view: "More likely is that the level of ambition for Cancun will be reduced further with no more than a package of agreements negotiated and all the tough stuff put back until next year. Or 2013. Or 2014," Vidals concludes. That, he says, would be "the nightmare scenario"an outcome that the squabbling in Bonn has made all the more likely.
Heat waves occurred with high frequency in the 1930s, and these remain the most severe heat waves in the U.S. historical record (see Figure 1). Many years of intense drought (the Dust Bowl) contributed to these heat waves by depleting soil moisture and reducing the moderating effects of evaporation.
Like Fred, I've stuck mostly to the data. Here's the data Fred relies upon, with the trends over the whole interval from 1979 to the latest available:
At least 12 states will have to impose 40% to 48% reductions. Those states now get 50% to 96% of their electricity from coal, and nearly all their electricity from coal and natural gas. Further complicating matters, even replacing coal-fired units with natural gas turbines is highly restricted under the plan.
?The global temperature ?savings? of the Kerry-Lieberman bill is astoundingly small?0.043 C (0.077 F) by 2050 and 0.111 C (0.200 F) by 2100. In other words, by century?s end, reducing U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by 83% will only result in global temperatures being one-fifth of one degree Fahrenheit less than they would otherwise be. That is a scientifically meaningless reduction.?
Much like the U.S. Historical Climatology Network database (see our Temperature Record of the Week feature), these temperature reconstructions derived from limnological data from pristine mountain lakes in Europe support the tenet of our Editorial of 1 July 2000 , i.e., that "there has been no global warming for the past 70 years," in that it is no warmer now in these locations than it was in the 1930s and 40s.
As I mentioned, our satellite temperatures are validated with radioson data, they're independent of the radioson data, this just shows our own calculations of monthly global temperature anomalies from the satellite from '79 through '94. Based from 97 radioson locations in the Northern Hemisphere and you can see they track each other very nicely. And the temperature trend in our dataset, in our radioson dataset -its about 200ths of a degree warmer in its trend than the MSU. That is the area that the satellite does see warming - its Northern Hemisphere, mid-latitudes. Where the land is. Where the people live. We do see warming in the last eighteen years for that area.
Parameters	NST=506, Nph=514, Dmin=334 km, Rmss=0.65 sec, Gp= 25,
Brian: Senator Wong, thanks for joining us and may I add how lovely you look tonight.
We found that two key physical processes, which were often overlooked in previous process models, were actually essential for accurately describing whether sea ice loss is reversible, said Eisenman, a professor of climate dynamics at Scripps Oceanography. One relates to how heat moves from the tropics to the poles and the other is associated with the seasonal cycle. None of the relevant previous process modeling studies had included both of these factors, which led them to spuriously identify a tipping point that did not correspond to the real world.
Early on in my statements about Climategate, I became aware that my statements were looked upon very unfavorably by some scientists, particularly those that were vocal advocates of the IPCC and UNFCCC policies. As an example, Peter Webster related a conversation at a professional meeting in 2010 with a young scientist who said something like: You know, Judy is REALLY unpopular among the scientists at lab. Im not sure, but I think she might be right. I can say that to you but of course I wouldnt dare say that at the lab.
Sachdev makes some provoking points e.g. that he had to explain basics of condensed matter physics to some string theorists using the same caricatures as he's using, approximately speaking, for the kids in the kindergarten. ;-)
Removing the series of assumptions about cost savings from emission trading, the cost of complying with the protocol increases from $7 billion in 2010 to $53 billion and permit prices increase from $14 to $193 per ton of CO2.
James K. Glassman: Dr. Baliunas, we've heard that temperatures have increased on Earth over the last century. Were temperatures stable before that?
"Abu Dhabi will host the first Eye on Earth Summit on December 12-15 2011, in partnership with the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). The summit will focus on the issue of greater access to environmental and societal data."
This could wreck the Governments present strategy, as this new gas capacity will be vital as coal power is progressively withdrawn via the Large Combustion Plants Directive and nuclear capacity closed.
According to Crane, the first inkling of a problem (we should have seen it coming) turned up in 2007, when TXU was forced into the hands of private equity by a firestorm over planned coal-fired plants. My recollection is that TXU simultaneously misread the markets for coal, gas, power and capital and fully deserved its fate for wasting all that wealth. But lets believe Cranes claim that the crisis started there and was subsequently festering just below the surface.
In setting the stage for their most interesting study, the authors say "many scientists believe that a warmer climate will result in elevated summer temperatures and more frequent and intense heat waves," and that "according to some predictions, heat-related mortality is expected to increase considerably as global temperatures continue to rise," which is, of course, standard climate-alarmist dogma. But must this necessarily be the case? What was done
The best governments can do is "help people have the children they do want." Since low fertility correlates with education, we could stop the government-subsidized promotion of a university education for all. A college degree doesn't prepare people for specific jobs, but rather gives employers an idea of their intelligence and work habits, something that can be done more cheaply and efficiently. Making child-friendly housing more affordable, letting workers telecommute to lessen the career-costs of having children, welcoming more fecund immigrants, and ending the hostility to religion and the faithful, "if for no other reason than they're the ones who create most of the future taxpayers," are some of Last's solutions. Unfortunately, they are as unlikely as they are sensible.
johanna on April 27, 2015 at 5:19 pm
That is incoherent. How exactly did ExxonMobil and other fossil energy companies "deceive" the public about climate change risk, according to the RICO 20? In their September 2015 letter to Obama, Lynch, and Holdren, Shukla et al. invoke the "merchants of doubt' literature as the smoking gun that justifies a federal investigation. According to that literature, fossil energy companies have misled the public chiefly by funding "climate denial front groups.' In other words, conservative and free-market organizations. Organizations staffed by the contrarian researchers and bloggers Shukla claims the RICO 20 have no interest in investigating.
While the certainty isn't enough for a formal discovery, it's being claimed that the signal is equivalent to 3+ standard deviations or so, about 99.8% confidence level. The expected background was \(0.7\) events.
CEI advises EPA not to adopt its Endangerment Proposal as a final rule. The science presented in the proposal and TSD is highly selective, ignoring the research, arguments, and assessments of so-called climate skeptics. EPA may regard the skeptics as quibblers or worse, but ignoring an argument does not refute it. Absent a serious consideration of opposing viewpoints, the public cannot have confidence in EPA's conclusions.
For this to come true, multiple problems have to be solved before taxpayers run out of money or patience. Along the way, the alternative energy industry has to avoid getting sidetracked into the wrong technologies, as this will delay the eagerly awaited carbon-free future. (Forbes)
"For while the world is a wonderful place, one we humans have made nicer for ourselves with wonderful inventions like books and record players, penicillin and pizza," Bry, the author of "Public Apology: In Which a Man Grapples With a Lifetime of Regret, One Incident at a Time," wrote. "It's also a really awful place, one we've ravaged with deforestation and smog, nuclear weapons and mountains of pizza delivery boxes and other garbage."
The administration has defended its efforts, asserting that there has never been any evidence that political influence factored into decisions about which companies would receive Energy Department loans. Republicans cited political connections between the loan recipients and the Obama administration as the fuel for their suspicions. For instance, a top Obama fundraiser was also a chief private backer of Solyndra, the solar panel company. Similarly, a major investor in Fisker is a venture capital firm that lists former Vice President Al Gore as a partner.
When someone says that an issue is unworthy of discussion because of a supposed overwhelming consensus that just happens to support her position, then clearly that someone either knows little about the topic or is being dishonest. Or both. It is a modern form of know-nothingism masquerading as scientific objectivity, the purpose of which is to classify those offering certain arguments and asking certain questions as knuckle draggers deserving only of excommunication from polite society.
Analysts are predicting a record spike in pump prices starting in June, with 50% of East Coast refinery capacity now shut down due in part to costly EPA regulations. And theres no quick way to resupply that lost gas via refineries in Louisiana and Texas, thanks to EPA restrictions on new pipelines.
Blacktown News, sport and weather | Blacktown Sun
Also, Mr Killion pointed out that much of Chinas manufacturing output was driven by the Chinese subsidiaries of US companies and was based around US-derived technologies, especially in fields such as electronics. Keeping score in a complex world is fraught with challenges.
AMSAs Rescue Coordination Centre Australia (RCC Australia) was contacted by the Falmouth Maritime Rescue Coordination Centre (MRCC) in the United Kingdom on Christmas morning.
The controversy over Hillary Clinton's emails and her unconvincing press conference at the United Nations have gotten many Democrats and others thinking the unthinkable: Clinton may not be the Democrats' 2016 nominee for president. And it has many asking the question scary for Democrats of who else could be.
The scientific reality is that on virtually every claim, the scientific case for man-made climate fears has collapsed. The only thing "worse than we thought" is the shoddy journalism of the mainstream media, which parrots global warming activists' baseless talking points.
Kevin D. Dayaratna, Nicolas D. Loris, and David W. Kreutzer, "Consequences of Paris Protocol: Devastating Economic Costs, Essentially Zero Environmental Benefits," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 3080, April 13, 2016, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2016/04/consequences-of-paris-protocol-devastating-economic-costs-essentially-zero-environmental-benefits.
It turns out that the Earth actually is being attacked by cosmic rays. New research is strongly suggesting that warming trends on this planet can be explained by a similar warming trend on our neighbor, Mars, and the theory that both are linked. National Geographic gives us the lowdown:
So there you go, the Talkshop , keeping it real-er than realclimate. Its all thanks to your support that we are still here and rockin forward into 2012. Keep those guest posts and comments coming and lets have a good one!
Add this result to the list of problems that seems to grow longer with each passing day as more IPCC gaffes are uncovered and Climategate emails are parsed. One has to wonder just how long it will be until the EPA is challenged to reconsider its Endangerment Finding.
2 Climate Change Office, Ministry of Mines, Environment and Tourism, P.Bag 7753
The bulbs aren't banned outright. Rather, beginning in 2012 a set of increasingly stringent lumen-per-watt standards will eliminate conventional incandescents. 100-watters will be the first to go. In their place we'll have to use compact fluorescent lights (CFLs) or other new-fangled lights.
The direct component accounts for the shade provided by clouds and cools the earth. The second component accounts for the sunlight scattered between and under clouds, which makes the sky brighter, warming the earth.
'Fakegate' has reminded the public of the prevalent fraud and deception perpetrated by global warming alarmism - the IPCC's hurricane "science" is one such example
When OSTP produced the records on March 4, 2016 (they are at this link), they showed inconsistency in OSTP's position over time. Although OSTP told CEI in June 2014 that Holdren's claim was just his personal "opinion," not "information" that is subject to the Information Quality Act (IQA), this was not the position it originally took in its draft response to CEI's request back in Spring 2014.
the success affects the group itself rather than its distant descendants
Of course the last time that Canada as a nation emitted 80% below 1990 levels was in the 19th century, and that with Brazil, Russia, India and China looking to be the new global economic leaders and dead set against hampering their economies with arbitrary constraints on their carbon emissions, Canada, a country with 30 million people and 1.9% of global carbon emissions would be experiencing all pain and no gain for turning off the key to our success in providing a first world standard of living to our citizens the use of plentiful, efficient, and clean fossil fuels.
Virginia is one of just four states that ban uranium mining. The ban was put in place in 1984, to calm fears that had been sparked by the partial meltdown of a nuclear reactor on Three Mile Island outside of Harrisburg, Pa. in 1979.
Deaths from cervical cancer could jump fourfold to a million a year
Last winter they blamed all the cold and snow on missing Arctic ice. With Arctic ice extent now close to the highest in a decade, what lies will the experts fabricate for the cold weather in the coming winter?
El Nios didnt only dominate during the 1990s. For some reason known only to Dana, he overlooked the fact that the 1976/77 El Nio started the period when El Nio events dominated the late 20 th Century. Thus, using Danas logic, El Nio events enhanced the observed global warming from the mid-1970s to the turn of the centurythe first 25 years of the past 40 years Dana chose for his discussion.
I look forward to reading how EPA responds to the issues that are raised in the comments bytheHouse Members.
La Griffe du Lion & Prodigy: gender, race, and IQ non-gaussianities
The office of attorney general is a powerful one. What will the effects of these taxpayer-funded investigations be? It's possible they may lead to skewed estimates of climate change, by intimidating researchers who raise legitimate questions about overly large predictions of warming. They are also a threat to oil companies' ability to engage in prudent contingency planning that takes into account the maximum possible projections of global warming, without having to publicly tout those projections, which will likely turn out to be inaccurate years later.
Nonprofit hospitals had been exempted from labor law requiring private employers to recognize union representatives as workers' exclusive bargaining agents. But an 1199-led strike in 1963 forced Republican governor Nelson Rockefeller to sign legislation that incorporated New York City's nonprofit hospitals into the State Labor Relations Act. In 1965, this legal authority was extended statewide. (1199 had endorsed Rockefeller for governor in 1962.) According to Leon Fink and Brian Greenberg's comprehensive history, Upheaval in the Quiet Zone, by the end of the 1960s, three-quarters of the local hospital labor force was unionized and 1199 had quadrupled its membership.
Coleman, a noted global warming skeptic, has long been countering claims by some scientists and liberal activists linking global warming to extreme weather. Liberals have already claimed Matthew was made stronger by global warming.
True, the British Antarctic Survey disagrees with the IPCC and maintains that the WAIS is in imminent danger of collapse, but so far even the IPCC has not bought that alarmist story.
Global warming, what warming? News coverage of the greatest threat to mankind since legwarmers has dropped off the map.
There are still too many talking heads today whining about the fact that Americans are still too much from Mars, Europeans too much from Venus. You still have a metaphysical problem with that? Get over it. As Javier Solana reminded us in his inimitable way, Mars himself was from Mars, Venus was from Venus, and that sure did not prevent those two from getting down to business: "I seem to recall that it was only in the arms of Venus that Mars found peace. And was their beautiful daughter not the goddess Harmonia?"41Tony Corn is currently writing a book on the Long War. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of Paris and is a graduate of the U.S. Naval War College. The opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect the position of the U.S. Department or the U.S. government.1 Clyde Prestowitz, Three Billion New Capitalists: The Great Shift of Wealth and Power to the East, 2007; Paul Bracken, Fire in the East: The Rise of Asian Military Power and the Second Nuclear Age, 1999.
What rather matters is how much of this is wild fire and how much is agricultural fire. Indur Goklanys work looked specifically at biofuels, so related to man-made air pollution. From the actual Jacobsen paper its clear that this is mostly thought to be man-made fires:
Government research funding for at least 25 years has hinged on the assumption of human causation, and as I have always said, if you fund scientists to find a connection, they will indeed find it. That's why the resulting research that is published also is dominated by explanations involving human causation.
The general outcome of COP-13 in Bali seems to me to be remarkably similar to the outcomes of most previous COPs. What usually happens is that, at the last minute and on
Ljungqvist used 120 proxy records ??? nearly 3 times as many proxies as previous studies and conclude: ???during the 9th to 11th centuries there was widespread NH warmth comparable in both geographic extent and level to that of the 20th century??. Their proxies included ice-cores, pollen, marine sediments, lake sediments, tree-rings, speleothems and historical documentary data.
"Son, it gets worse. There was a film - a Danish film called Expedition To The End Of The World . It got reviewed very favourably in Salon . That was the moment when I knew for me that the Great Climate War was over. Frankly it made me feel like a rank amateur."
The First American Prime Minister Orders Hors D'oeuvres
Their real agenda was disclosed in a Climatic Research Unit (CRU) leaked email dated December 2007 from senior writer Richard Littlemore to Michael Mann.
Many thanks to the reader who sent in the long summary who wishes to remain anonymous.
The paper calculates the direct affect of CO2 (without feedback mechanism) using a line-by-line calculations of each wavelength of sunlight and using this approach they arrive at a value of direct heating of 0.45C for a doubling of CO2.
Perhaps more perverse is that these subsidies significantly obstruct the long-term success and viability of the very technologies and energy sources that they were intend to promote. Instead of relying on a process that rewards competition, taxpayer subsidies prevent a company from truly understanding the price point at which the technology will be economically viable. When the government plays favorites, it traps valuable resources in unproductive places. Companies will plead for "business certainty" when asking for special tax treatment or subsidies, but the political process of picking winners creates dependence, not certainty. True business certainty will occur when America ends federal policies that subsidize and mandate specific energy sources and technologies.
But when one looks at the state of Republican public opinion (especially among the likely caucus and primary voters), at the consistent and persistent messages coming from the information sources they follow, and at the supine nature of congressional leaders and business leaders in countering extremism, it is not at all likely that what passes for mainstream, problem-solving conservatism will dominate the Republican Party anytime soon.
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19 On Russia-EU relations, see Roy Allison, ed., Putin's Russia and the Enlarged Europe, 2006; on Russia-China, see Ming-Yen Tsai, From Adversaries to Partners? Chinese and Russian Military Cooperation after the Cold War, 2003, and Marcel de Haas, Russia-China Security Cooperation, Research Institute for European and American Studies (Athens, 2007); on NATO-Russia, Stephen J. Blank, The NATO-Russia Partnership: A Marriage of Convenience or a Troubled Relationship? Strategic Studies Institute (November 2006); on US-Russia, see Richard Weitz, Revitalizing US-Russian Security Cooperation, 2006.
16a. The ability of global climate models to reproduce temperature observations
Could it be that Butterfield, a member of the Congressional Black Caucus, is understanding the message that the Congress of Racial Equalitys Roy Innis has been delivering for so long now? If liberals have trouble supporting cap-and-trade, is there any hope for it at all?
LetTexasSpeak has been doing a live broadcast from the rotunda where women have been sharing their abortion related testimonies. The pro-abortion crowd has responded with repeated chants of "hail Satan." It's taken us all day to get a video recording, but here it is...
Given that CO2 levels, at 400 ppm (388, actually), are now twice 200 ppm, and half 800 ppm, at what point would you expect "carbon saturation" to set in and warming based on additional carbon dioxide to more or less cease (I know warming doesn't end entirely, but the additional warming per unit is miniscule). One gets the impression, reading the papers, that additional units of CO2 will create a lot more warming per unit, rather than a lot less.
USHCN published only their adjusted data (F52) for August, and did not publish the raw (raw) data.
However, since actual CO2 production is already below IPCC forecasts, we might take a more reasonable date of 2080-2100 for a doubling to 560. And, combining this with our derived sensitivity of 1C (rather than RealClimate's 3C) we will get 0.5C more warming in the next 75-100 years. This is about the magnitude of warming we experienced in the last century, and most of us did not even notice.
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