Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Longtime MasterResource readers know of Chip Knappenberger??s post on the negligible climatic effects of unilateral adherence to Waxman-Markey. Across the board, the response from supporters of Waxman-Markey was not to deny Knappenberger??s calculations, but rather to insist that the U.S. had to show leadership. The (perhaps unspoken) premise was that if the whole world adopted the steep emission cuts proposed in Waxman-Markey, then the climatic benefits would clearly outweigh the economic costs.
Sea ice surrounding Antarctica reached a new record high extent this year, covering more of the southern oceans than it has since scientists began a long-term satellite record to map sea ice extent in the late 1970s. The upward trend in the Antarctic, however, is only about a third of the magnitude of the rapid loss of sea ice in the Arctic Ocean.
It's conventional to define the trend by the slope of the trend line, a best-fit straight line through a segment of the data. There's no reason to expect that the Earth is actually warming at a perfectly steady rate, but the slope of the trend line is a convenient measure of the average rate of warming.
CFACT Advisor Dr. Hans Penner Challenges Bad Boll Evangelical Academy's "Mistakes in Logic"
So this is not science as we know it. Science has to re-invent itself as a political tool, just as it was under Hitler and Stalin. Scientists must learn ?as quickly as possible? what will please the political elite, and serve it up. As one Richard Fernandez has written:
Whats so good about it? Well, for once everybody should join in the celebration of a climate model that is presented for what it is (a policymaking tool for negotiators to assess their national greenhouse-gas commitments ahead of Decembers climate summit in Copenhagen ) rather than for what it is not (a scientific tool used for a variety of purposes from study of the dynamics of the climate system to projections of future climate , as rather naively claimed on Wikipedia).
Melting ice has provided us with frozen mammoths and even frozen people, like the famous Oetzi from the Alps, as if they were kept in a fridge. No wonder that melting glaciers in Western Canada, which recently reached a historic minimum, have unveiled 7,000-year-old tree stumps.
gluon + bottom bottom + Higgs would be both unexpected and highly consequential. In Five faces of the God particle , I explained why the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (MSSM) requires two Higgs doublets that produce five physical states. Both Higgs doublets participate in the electroweak symmetry breaking and both of them are needed to produce masses of particles.
The new warm anomaly in the western equatorial Pacific is highlighted in Figure 3. It has strengthened in the past few weeks. If the anomaly works its way eastward with the Equatorial Undercurrent in the Pacific (the Cromwell current), as it should, then the anomaly will increase as it works its way to the east, because the subsurface waters in the east are normally cooler than they are in the west. And if more of the warm water thats off the equator (just south of the equator in the western tropical Pacific as highlighted in Figure 4) is drawn into the equatorial undercurrent, there would be more subsurface warm water to help fuel an El Nio later this year. Yup, lots of ifs and shoulds and woulds in that.
I'm not sure whether this is a particularly productive discussion as regards the climate debate. If a computer simulation is to be policy-relevant its output must be capable of being an approximation to the real world, and must be validated to show that this is the case. If climate modellers want to make the case that their virtual worlds are neither hypothesis nor experiment, or to use them to address otherwise intractable questions, as Schmidt and Sherwood note happens, then that's fine so long as climate models remain firmly under lock and key in the ivory tower.
But three years later Pachauri was mired in controversy when errors were found in the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report.
1. The Price Tag For Uprooting Americas Electric Grid
Michael Mann, Pennsylvania State University climate Svengali, a member of the CRU (he figured prominently in the e-mail scandals at East Anglia), and great Pittsburgh Penguins fan (he created the famed "hockey stick graph" that was so influential on the 2007 IPCC Climate Change report) has stepped in it again, this time co-authoring a new study (Kemp et. al) that claims to show a massive acceleration in sea level rise in North Carolina that coincides with the industrial era.
This figure shows that, per the IPCC, in the absence of climate change, GDP per capita would grow between 11- and 67-fold for developing countries, and between 3- and 8-fold for industrialized countries.
Although there is a consistent movement in the region toward earlier tornado activity, it is difficult to pinpoint a cause, said Paul Stoy, assistant professor in the Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences at MSU and co-author of the new study. Records of tornado activity in the U.S. only date back to the 1950s, making it difficult to study changing trends in tornado activity. Furthermore, tornadoes can be influenced by many regional factors, including topography of the land and areas where cooler air meets warm, subtropical air, making it difficult to attribute the shift in the tornado season to any one factor, he said.
People will see their choices limited to the few options presented them. The terms "property rights" and "individual liberty" were nowhere to be heard at Habitat III. Instead, participants were told that "decarbonization" is imperative if the planet is to be saved. And if that means packing people into compact housing like so many sardines in a tin can, so be it.
IPCC Third Report (2001), Summary for Policy Makers, p.32. Sea levels will rise by 88cm by the year 2100 (99 years-times). This is 8.9mm per year. Error to date is 523%
But, as we already know , Katharine is not really a proper climate scientist.
Accountability can be hard, global warming muppet Jim Hansen??s predictions from 20 years ago are not even close to observations in today??s climate. Why are we listening to Doctor ???death trains??, exactly?
Last year, 130 skeptical German scientists co-signed an Open Letter of protest to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, asserting, among other things, that a "growing body of evidence shows anthropogenic CO2 plays no measurable role" in Earth's climate.
Command-and-control is the most common form of environmental policy, but it has a lot of problems. Principally, central planners can never get enough information to figure out the least-cost way to achieve a target. In the case of CO2 there are so many millions of emission points, and the costs of abatement at each point can be radically different than at other points, so any attempt at centralized micromanagement of emissions will end up being excessively costly. No matter what emissions reduction is eventually achieved it could have been done more cheaply with one of the other methods.
"For the latest example of governmental bait-and-switch, look no further than your ashtray. Attorneys general from 46 states sold the public on the 1998 "Master Settlement Agreement" as a way to collect "damages" from the major tobacco companies and spend these sums to rescue teenagers from nicotine addiction."
Mr. Markey and his big-D colleagues excoriated the guilty parties they had summoned to their Star Chamber. They then refused to allow testimony by the Republicans' proposed witness. Competitive Enterprise Institute lawyer Chris Horner had intended to discuss a recent hoax by environmentalists, who had impersonated U.S. Chamber of Commerce officials, forged Chamber documents and staged a phony news conference to announce that the Chamber had reversed its position on global warming legislation.
Experiments with Zebra Fish show that if their embryos develop in warmer water, they not only are able to swim faster but they cope better in both warmer and colder water. (How catastrophic can that be, I ask you?)
Democratic nominees, not just for president but for statewide office, are required not just to tolerate but to celebrate abortion. They must be willing if not eager to raise tax rates. They must back racial quotas and preferences. They must mutter the catechism that global warming is the greatest threat facing mankind.
The City will grams Friday in what is called omstllning and which in practice means that gteborgaren be forced to change their lifestyle completely and the hole. Gteborgaren the vision should like to bike or walk, and like kvartersvxthus but not to increase the car to the cottage.
While JAXA shows extent now lower than 2009, DMI and NANSEN plots show it to be about even. The differences in observing sensor/platform AMSRE -vs-SSMI and methodologies at agencies are in play.
So as is the case with many of the current alleged global environmental "crises," the predictions about species loss are not based on any real-world observations but rather, guesses and speculations that depend on questionable mathematical models.
Second, is that fossil fuels are likely to come down in price than go up. In particular in Britain the shale gas revolution will guarantee supplies for a generation and are more likely to see gas prices fall in real terms, than rise.
Courtesy of the Natural Resources Defense Council and just one day after the National Research Council announces EPA needs more regulatory authority.
Unfortunately, GHG control seems to have many of the features that complicate efforts to restrict open access to resources, and these features raise real doubts about when an effective agreement might be expected.
So the most important questions in the first poll make no sense. They are also leading questions since they imply that the pollster believes that we in a warming phase. This then activates the problem of Expectancy Bias.
The simple fact is that heat waves are nothing new. In 1936 a North American heat wave was the most severe in the modern history of the continent. It occurred in the middle of the Great Depression, killing more than 5,000 Americans and desiccating vast amounts of crops. To put it in perspective, there were no home air conditioning appliances at the time. People depended on fans to circulate the air.
Todays average vehicle sold in North America gets worse gas mileage than a Model T.
Chutzpah: Treasury Secretary blames GOP for Keystone XL delay
It would be like asking a person to choose: either eat or love God. I am afraid most would choose the former.
Today, the goals of electric utility regulation bear little resemblance to the traditional aim of preventingmonopoly abuse. Public utility regulation is now thevehicle for a host of special interest social experiments at the expense of the diffuse interests of the consumers who will have to pay for any failures in these flights of fancy, both in terms of quality of service and its costs.
"House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi called for an ethics investigation following Anthony Weiner's admission Monday that he tweeted a photo of his bulging underpants to a woman and engaged in "inappropriate" exchanges with six women before and after getting married."
The rejection of the present paper required some extraordinary violations of accepted practice. We feel that making such procedures public will help clarify the peculiar road blocks that have been created in order to prevent adequate discussion of fundamental issues. It is hoped, moreover, that the material presented here can offer the interested public some insight into what is involved in the somewhat mysterious though widely (if inappropriately) respected process of peer review.
Adding the the recent spate of papers showing that - surprise - the Sun has much, much more to do with climate change than previously thought, the respected German Physics Journal Annalyn der Physik recently published a paper analyzing solar irradiance data from 1905 to 2008 which finds cosmic rays modulated by solar activity cause a large portion of atmospheric aerosols (clouds) with profound effects on climate . The paper concludes, " The contribution of the active sun, indirectly via cosmic rays, to global warming appears to be much stronger than the presently accepted upper limit of 1/3."
Talk Show Host Wants Florida To Drown
Another Govt Climate Change Propaganda Unit
The Northern Hemisphere, North Atlantic, North Pacific and East Pacific SST Anomalies are all dropping. It will not be long before the Atlantic Coast and the Arctic regions will show similar cooling as the AMO goes cool or negative. North America is more likely see much cold weather during the next 20-30 years rather than global warming of 3-6C as predicted by the IPCC. The recent severe winter weather along Alaska and the US east coast was just a sample of what may lie ahead. This cooling has been building for a decade now. So how can global warming be causing current and future extreme weather events when global warming as predicted has not been happening for a decade and is unlikely to happen during the next 30 years since the world 60-year climate cycle is heading for colder weather due to changing ocean surface temperatures and changes in deep ocean currents?
Hope the cows will like it. Personally, I a fan, especially when I'm eating cows, but I don't want it in my milk.
Wind power is not free. All natural energy resources such as coal, wind and sun appear free no one has to incur costs to create them. But turning a free resource into usable electricity costs money for collecting, generating and distributing that energy. To consumers and tax payers, the real cost of wind power is very high, no matter how well it is hidden by politicians.
The geologic record does not support dangerous CO 2 -driven planetary warming either. CO 2 has played no role in the dramatic climate change of the ice ages, or at any other time over the past 500 million years, said University of Ottawa Earth Sciences Professor Ian D. Clark. Only in unverified computer models cited by the IPCC does CO 2 drive climate change.
Some East African people in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, the Republic of Congo, and other countries around South Sudan received new opportunities and skills. They were able to feed their families, send their children to school, pay medical bills, and cover other expenses.
However, he has an interesting inlgg on his blog about something else, nmligen whether the IPCC's forecasts still str itself. He notes that virtually's IPCC has said the same thing angende klimatknsligheten since the first report (FAR) in 1990. It should be between 1.5 and 4.5 degrees at a CO2 doubling. Oskerheten has just fallen to between 2 and 4.5 degrees in the last report from 2007 (AR4).
are the big questions that transcend the 100 days issue, questions for more
11. Union of Concerned Scientists, "World Scientists' Warning to Humanity" (1992), available at http://www.ucsusa.org/ucs/about/page.cfm?pageID=1009.
The Air Offices permitting guidance for greenhouse gases, both as proposed in November 2010 and as adopted in March 2011 ,similarly states that the initial list of control options for a BACT analysis does not need to include clean fuel options that would fundamentally redefine the source. In other words, coal power plants would not be lumped together with natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) power plants in the same industrial source category subject to the same emission standards. Accordingly, an applicant would not be required to switch to a primary fuel type other than the type of fuel that an applicant proposes to use for its primary combustion process.
16j. The ability of global climate models to model extreme events for the next 50 years
For the Full Report in PDF Form, please click here.
More Nations May Pledge Carbon Limits at U.N. Climate Talks
The actual texts and implications of these seven recommendations are complex, and not all the consequences can be anticipated. The authors have studied the issue sufficiently closely, however, to conclude the reforms address the biggest concerns about NSR expressed during EPA's hearings, and appear to correct policies that currently lead to economic waste and foregone environmental benefits. Other environmental regulations under the National Ambient Air Quality Standards program remain in place, and some conflicts between NSR and other programs (such as state SIPs) are potentially resolved.
So let us examine "progress" against two other standards: (1) pollution reductions to date; and (2) the validity of claims used to justify ever more burdensome and expensive environmental regulations.
Throughout the wine-producing world, from France to South Africa to California, vintners are in the vanguard of confronting the impact of climate change. Rising temperatures are forcing unprecedented early harvests, changing the tastes of the best-known varieties of wine and threatening the survival of centuries-old wine-growing regions.
The study also says that an overestimate of the power of CO2 as a greenhouse gas could be why the models over-predict, but that they do not know why the models are wrong at this point.
The researchers goal is to understand what drives the Earths climate system without taking increases in greenhouse gases into account, says Mayewski. There are good reasons to be concerned about greenhouse gases, but we should be looking at the climate system with our eyes open, he adds. Understanding how the system operates in the absence of human impacts is important for responding to climate changes that might occur in the future.
KTLAs camera at Snow Summit, a resort in Californias San Bernardino Mountains, caught the snow storm moving in just before 3 p.m.
There were at least three major droughts in nineteenth century North America: one from the mid-1850s to the mid-1860s, one in the 1870s, and one in the 1890s. There was also a drought around 1820; the periods from 1816 to 1844 and from 1849 to 1880 were rather dry, and the 19th century overall was a dry century for the Great Plains. While there was little rain-gauge data from the mid-19th century in the middle of the US, there were plenty of trees, and tree-ring data showed evidence of a major drought from around 1856 to around 1865. Native Americans were hard hit, as the bison they depended upon on the Plains moved to river valleys in search of water, and those valleys were full of Natives and settlers alike. The river valleys were also home to the humans grazing animals, which competed against the bison for food. The result was starvation for many of the bison.
A new paper published in Biogeosciences finds groundwater and porewater are "major sources" of alkalinity to reefs which are not taken into account by computer models of ocean 'acidification'. The authors " suggest that porewater and groundwater fluxes of TA should be taken into account in ocean acidification models in order to properly address changing carbonate chemistry within coral reef ecosystems." Note also that studies in the laboratory of the effect of 'acidification' upon various organisms also fail to consider this moderating "major source" of alkalinity.
Interesting to see the effect of a GOP president who makes climate change an important issue, although approaching it from a more market-oriented, pro-innovation perspective.
When I was in medical school, computers were fairly new. They used punchcards and took up all the space in large rooms. Even then people that were enamored with new technology predicted that someday the computer would replace the doctor. Patients would sit down at a keyboard, type in their symptoms, and the computer would spit out a diagnosis. Fortunately that hasnt come to pass but not for lack of trying by those who want to push medicine in that direction.
South-western Western Australia has an 80 per cent chance of exceeding average temperatures over the next three months.
/s/ Dr. Humbolt C. Mandell JSC, Mgr. Shuttle Program Control and Advance Programs, 40 years
This low climate sensitivity along with ocean cycles like the AMO, ENSO, and PDO may be the reason for no warming since 1998. See Bob Tisdales post in WUWT here for reinforcement of that idea.
After years of decline, glaciers in Norway are again growing, reports the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE). Read more here .
PHILIP: Who wants to stay? Its clear brawn is no substitute for brains.
Averaged across the entire experiment, elevated CO 2 significantly increased rates of net photosynthesis in both mangrove species, but only when grown at the lower salinity level. Interestingly, the percentage CO 2 -induced increase in photosynthesis was greater for R. stylosa , than it was for R. apiculata , which generally is faster growing than R. stylosa . Although elevated CO 2 did not significantly affect the relative growth rate of either species, the average relative growth rates of both species increased with atmospheric CO 2 enrichment in the lower salt environment; and true to its characterization, R. apiculata displayed a greater CO 2 -induced growth stimulation than did R. stylosa , particularly at the lower relative humidity. What it means
As youdexpect, petitioners in Mass v. EPA still deny that the public has anything to worry about. CAA provisions are not self-executing, they note. EPA must either initiate action under those provisions, or be compelled to do so by litigation. And according to them,nobodynot industry, not EPA, not the environmental communitywants to apply PSD to thousands of small sources, or promulgate NAAQS for GHGs.
"Sen. Cruz promised to withdraw from the Paris Climate Treaty, while Sen. Rubio promised to submit it to the Senate, with the understanding the Senate will defeat ratification," said Ebell.
.: U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works :: Minority Page :. WASHINGTON, D.C. - U.S. Senator James Inhofe (R-Okla.), Ranking Member of the United States Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, will be honored tonight by the Americans for Prosperity Foundation with their prestigious "Washington Award." Senator Inhofe will join George Will, Ed Meese, Dinesh DSouza and more than 1,800 grassroots free-market advocates from 38 states that are gathering for Americans for Prosperity Foundations (AFPs) 2nd annual Defending the American Dream.
New guess: Sea level rise of 1 meter within 100 years New research indicates that the ocean could rise in the next 100 years to a meter higher than the current sea level which is three times higher than predictions from the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC.
On December 12, 2011 documents purporting to be the ?Zero Order Draft? of the WG1 (Working Group 1) committee was published on the Internet. Less than 48 hours later the site went dead. Fortunately, most of the files were recoverable.
Traditional conservatism is a woefully inadequate response to the rule of the progressive aristocracy because conserving the changes of the past few decades would be disastrous: the vast increase in the welfare state, the Sexual Revolution and its antinomian devaluation of all values, the nation's catastrophically bad education system, a culture promoting license and irresponsibility, and other such atrocities are necessary to the maintenance of a corrupt aristocracy which relies on the output of a productive class forced into peasant-like docility so that its goods can be extracted for the benefit of its self-proclaimed betters.
Another interesting aspect of these videos is that they show how so many of the "climate skeptics" come to the same conclusions, and how different they are from the way the mainstream media portrays them.
A new study shows that flying squirrels have been adapting to recent warming since the 1990s by both moving and hybridizing. C.J. Garroway and his research team trapped more than 1600 of the flying squirrels in Ontario and Pennsylvania between 2002 and 2004. The flying squirrels' DNA shows the southern G. volans flying squirrels are increasingly mating with the northern G. sabrinus flying squirrels. The researchers say this is the "first report of hybrid zone formation following a range expansion induced by contemporary climate change."