Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In any event, errors and exaggerations such as that which is evidenced in the IPCCs defective graph do not inspire confidence in the reliability of the IPCCs scientific case. Given this and other mistakes that an international body of this nature ought not to have made, and given your numerous and direct conflicts of interest that have, in our opinion, been insufficiently disclosed, we are also copying this letter to the delegations of the states parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change with a request that you be stripped of office forthwith.
By Peter Roff, US News, Aug 12, 2015
Chapter 4 of my book was devoted to the importance of proper discounting. Nigel Lawson did something very similar in his Chapter 7 with the title ?Discounting the Future: Ethics, Risk and Uncertainty.? For him, ?the choice of discount rate is critical in assessing which policies might make sense, and which clearly do not.? I agree with him that ?with a higher discount rate, the argument for radical action over global warming now collapses completely? (p. 83).
Reaching consensus about climate change, recognizing that these statements emerge from processes of deliberation and discussion rather than from pure observation, experimentation and falsification, can therefore be an uncomfortable thing for scientists and public alike. Scientists need to be prepared to argue about their "considered opinions", to embrace consensus but without closing down argument or suggesting that matters are settled.
The well-heeled environmental lobbying groups have massive operating budgets compared to groups that express global warming skepticism. The Sierra Club Foundation 2004 budget was $91 million and the Natural Resources Defense Council had a $57 million budget for the same year. Compare that to the often media derided Competitive Enterprise Institutes small $3.6 million annual budget. In addition, if a climate skeptic receives any money from industry, the media immediately labels them and attempts to discredit their work. The same media completely ignore the money flow from the environmental lobby to climate alarmists like James Hansen and Michael Oppenheimer. (ie. Hansen received $250,000 from the Heinz Foundation and Oppenheimer is a paid partisan of Environmental Defense Fund)
Consequently, Speziale and Ezcurra further write that "it is important to plan protected area networks that maximize local environmental heterogeneity, including the protection of rock outcrops both as refugia for cold-adapted species and as potential stepping stones that would allow dispersal of these species between supportive environments through unfavorable ones." Such findings lessen concerns of future flora species extinctions due to global warming.
By Terry Jones, IBD, Aug 8, 2015
Simple models presented here which are driven with two types of assumed internal radiative forcing have also shed light on some features of observed climate variability which have not been adequately explained before. These include: the large magnitude of satellite-observed radiative variability on interannual time scales compared to climate models; the low and highly variable correlations between global, time-averaged temperature and radiative fluxes; the tendency for model-produced feedbacks to be more positive than those observed in the climate system; and even the potential role of internally generated radiative forcing as a partial explanation for the major low frequency features of the global mean temperature record since 1900.
For example, for a 0.2 m moist soil layer (about 8 inches thick), starting at 80 deg. F, the rate of energy loss over 12 hours is enough to cool that soil layer down to 25 deg. F.IF you dont assume any downwelling IR from the sky (the SDS-recommended setting):
If one reads the paper, one sees that it is hardly likely to represent the last word on the matter. One is working with data that is far from what one might wish for. Moreover, the complexity of the situation tends to defeat simple analyses. Nonetheless, certain things are clear: models are at great variance with observations, the simple regressions between outgoing radiation and surface temperature will severely misrepresent climate sensitivity, and the observations suggest negative rather than positive feedbacks.
But already in 1989 there was talk that we only have ten rp us to stop global warming before kuststder versvmmas and political chaos arises. That's often doom came even this warning p shame. Twenty years later, to my knowledge, no city versvmmats. And political chaos we have always had.
Recently , about one-third of Americas huge corn crop has been diverted from food and feed into an ultra-costly auto fuel that gives consumers poorer mileage even as it drives up their food costs . The corn ethanol diversion creates an artificial scarcity of farmland, as it attracts more land into corn instead of wheat or other cropsand the price effects are felt globally. In 2008, the ethanol mandate drove food prices up by more than 50 percent worldwide, and triggered food riots in Mexico and several other countries.
Mike Haseler known to many through his pseudo-name "Scottish Sceptic" and through his work on the Scottish Climate & Energy Forum has been selected by the UK Independence Party in Scotland to be their spokesman on Energy and Climate.
America needs more economic growth, domestic manufacturing, jobs and secure, affordable energy to make those things happen.
It's all to stop "dangerous manmade climate change," rising seas, warmer and colder weather, wetter and drier seasons, and other "unprecedented" calamities. Now the Feds want us to believe worsening forest fires threaten communities, wildlife, and wildlife habitats because we burn fossil fuels.
Lest we forget the big picture, Kyoto can't pass the Senate because it forfeits our economic sovereignty to unaccountable international bureaucrats, imposes huge job-destroying costs on our economy, and implies massive wealth transfers among countries, industries and companies.
Speth gamely concedes that "some projections, like those on the prices of food and minerals, Global 2000 got wrong, and the report had many shortcomings." It would be a useful exercise for Speth to ponder these "shortcomings" for what they might tell us about how to revise long-term forecasting. Instead, Speth insists that, for all its errors, Global 2000 was essentially correct: "We have entered the endgame in our traditional, historical relationship with the natural world." But the authors have at least learned one thing from their previous specific errors: do not make firm predictions about the future. The new genre of doomsday books eschews specific forecasts, such that it will not be possible in the future to say they were wrong.
Though the Obama Administration is forcefully pushing its carbon regulations, the quantitative basis for these rules, the social cost of carbon (SCC) is fundamentally flawed. Quantitative measures of CO2 policy, such as the likely impact on world temperatures, provide little support for any of the policies offered to date. Ignoring this evidence, the Obama Administration appears resolute in its stance to promote its policy goals even at the detriment of those adversely impacted by these misguided policies.
"The American people have spent 30 years and $15 billion to determine whether Yucca Mountain would be a safe repository for our nation's civilian and defense-related nuclear waste." That's a quote of Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) reported in the April issue of The Heartland Institute's Environment & Climate News.
There are no current indications that any similar patterns are set to affect Australia, Mr Fisher said.
The study, conducted by James Rippe, MD, Founder and Director of the Rippe Lifestyle Institute and Professor of Biomedical Sciences at the University of Central Florida, examined sixty-four individuals who consumed low-fat milk sweetened with either HFCS or sucrose with the added sugar matching the 25th, 50th and 90th percentile population consumption levels of fructose for ten weeks.
The Danubes freezing is just one of many severe winter events in the continent this year. Heavy snowfall has blocked roads and stranded towns in central Italy. A train in Montenegro was stranded on the tracks for three days due to heavy snow. EvenVenices famous canals froze, a rare feat.
"For the first time in four years, the U.N. Security Council debated Wednesday whether climate change should be considered a priority worthy of the council's attention, but it failed to reach agreement on the politically charged issue."
Even though Giuliani has just said something that I believe about 1/3 or 1/2 of Americans find obvious, he was immediately attacked and bombarded as a heretic. Left-wing activists (including those pretending to be conservatives) have written lots of texts intended to be character assassinations. MSNBC aired more than 10 minutes of tirades making it sound like if a critical observation about Giuliani, and not one about Obama, is at the root of this story.
For this reason any cooling outfall from the station nominally downstream will flow back upstream and cooling upstream will stagnate in a pool of water.
In practice, Texas windpower offers much less energy than first appears. Texass wind farms are concentrated in the Texas Panhandle, far from the focus of the states electricity demand along the I-35 corridor. In addition, Texas wind tends to blow hardest at night and during off-peak (non-summer) months, when there is less overall demand absent air conditioning load.
No wonder they had previously blacked out that information. And some people have claimed that these global warming policies would only cost Americans a postage stamp a day. The background behind this story is from the Director of Freedom Action, also Director of Energy and Global Warming Policy at CEI. From the Cooler Heads Digest, 18 September 2009:
Philosophers may be interested in bushfire epistemology, logic, ethics, aesthetics, and ontology. Bushfire epistemology is very diverse, including traditional Aboriginal knowledge; historical records from early European settler diaries, letters, and journals; recent scientific research; economics, politics; law, and even psychology. Logic is needed to pull these together and arrive at rational policy on bushfire.
It seems fairly clear that the homogenisation process has achieved bringing the Southern Africa data sets into line with the wider data sets. Whether the early twentieth century warming and mid-century cooling are outliers that have been correctly cleansed is a subject for further study.
defended. He is investing too much personal stuff in this and not letting the
Deiss suggested the world body should get more involved in economic and financial issues and not leave them solely in the hands of forums like the Group of 20 club of key developed and developing nations.
The House of Representatives approves a 90% income tax for executives at AIG and other firms that received bank bailout funds.
After all, what if Justice would never come to an end? Knowing the truth 'and much better, even perchepermette dreaming that certain mistakes will never be more committed.
"The Arctic ocean is warming up, icebergs are growing scarcer ( ) Reports all point to a radical change in climate conditions. ( ) Great masses of ice have been replaced by moraines of earth and stones, while at many points well-known glaciers have entirely disappeared."
Forest fires also contribute significantly to atmospheric carbon. A 2007 study by the federally funded Center for Atmospheric Research found that "large wildfires in the western United States can pump as much carbon dioxide into the atmosphere in just a few weeks as cars do in those areas in an entire year." Scientists at Stanford University and the National Snow and Ice Data Center believe that carbon soot from wildfires is adding to the greenhouse effect and contributing to this summer's unusual thaw in the Arctic and Greenland.
Multiple US agencies adjusting climate data to show global warming
William Yeatman, Daily News Record , 31 March 2010
Such charcoal-based fire histories can extend much further into the past than most tree-ring-based fire histories, he said. The charcoal history of fire in the giant sequoia groves extends back more than 8,000 years.
And as far as whether we should be focusing on the top or the bottom of the Table (i.e. which discount rate is appropriate) this is an ongoing field of battle that basically pits the supporters of Nicholas Sterns (infamous) 2007 analysis (which relies on using low discount rates resulting in huge future damage valuations), verses the backers of the analyses done by William Nordhaus and by Richard Tol (which use higher discount rates and produce much lower climate change damage projections). See the NRC report or the Wikipedia page for economic details and comments on this debate.
Snow did not even bypass the south. This is abnormal for early October, says reader Argiris Diamantis.
Base Metals, particularly copper, may be forming a bit of a base, so it would be reasonable to look at the metals MINERS. Even if the metals just lay there for a while (and the ETNs have some loss of time value) the company stock may be paying a worthwhile dividend. So on the ToDo list is look at miners.
The past four years have seen successive annual U.N. conferences (Copenhagen in 2009, Cancun in 2010, Durban in 2011, and Doha in 2012) frantically trying to reach agreement among nearly 200 countries on a successor to the Kyoto Protocol. In essence, these conferences have succeeded only in wresting vague pledges from developed countries to reduce emissions, contribute funds to help developing countries adapt to climate change, and meet again to try to negotiate a binding treaty by 2015.
National Black Chamber of Commerce President Harry Alford accurately called EPA's carbon dioxide regulation "a slap in the face to poor and minority families."
Adaptation is an effective means of reducing climate related damages. The benefit-cost ratios of adaptation expenditure are larger than one in all scenarios, and for high and low climate damages and discount rates. Nonetheless, benefit cost ratios, and consequently global welfare, are even larger when adaptation and mitigation are implemented jointly. Even though a clear trade-off between adaptation and mitigation has been quantified, they are strategic complements and both contribute to a better control of climate damages. Mitigation prevails in the short-run and/or if the discount rate is low.
Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow ( www.CFACT.org ), author of Eco-Imperialism : Green power - Black death , and coauthor of Cracking Big Green : To save the world from the Save-the-Earth money machine .
?Medieval Climate Anomaly? or MCA period) was more regionally extreme (mainly
Defense is one such area; space is another. And the two are closely related.
By Meredith Angwin, Northwest Clean Energy, Aug 7, 2015
As a student of the IPCC since December 2009 (yes I was defending the IPCC until that point), Ive looked at many of these issues myself. Ive made some of the same points raised in this book. Here are some comments on passages from the text that struck me in some way, and provide a flavor of the parts of the book that I think are most significant:
Al Gore claims: Most of the outgoing infrared radiation is trapped by the thin layer of atmosphere that is being thickened by global warming "pollution," so the atmosphere heats up.
Increased flooding awash in global warming hype
There will be an optimal carbon price and it is implemented globally in unison
California Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer used part of her Monday floor speech to connect the Oklahoma tornadoes to climate change.
1. Plantwide Applicability Limits (PALs). Regulated emitters would be allowed to modify their plants without obtaining a major NSR permit provided their emissions do not exceed a plantwide cap based on an actual emissions baseline. Such "Plantwide applicability limits" (PALs) would have the effect of expanding the RMR&R; exclusion and resolving conflicts over de-bottlenecking and aggregation.
This is a more inclusive way of assessing risks, including from climate variability and climate change than using the outcome vulnerability approach adopted by the IPCC. A contextual vulnerability assessment, using the bottom-up, resource-based framework is a more inclusive approach for policymakers to adopt effective mitigation and adaptation methodologies to deal with the complexity of the spectrum of social and environmental extreme events that will occur in the coming decades, as the range of threats are assessed, beyond just the focus on CO2 and a few other greenhouse gases as emphasized in the IPCC assessments.
Can Tomatoes Take Any More Global Warming? By Marlo Lewis
Michael Mann pretends to be an involuntary "public figure'; Posturing for libel suit filed against Steyn, CEI?
David Ridenour, vice president of the National Center for Public Policy Research, and also representing the Cooler Heads Coalition, said that early action crediting would help big business at the expense of small business. "Since most small businesses and family farms lack the political contacts and clever lawyers necessary to negotiate credit deals with the Clinton administration and lack the financial wherewithal to make immediate reductions in their emissions, large businesses would likely garner the lion's share of early credits."
There are other power stations a little further away, at least two major ones to the east. (there because of the river, coal delivery)
on Monday, February 15th, 2010 at 2:54 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
All time record cold January morning in Canberra
Indoctrination Alert as yet another teacher outs herself as a climate alarmist, having learned all the necessary propaganda from Al Gore himself. The Warrnambool Standard is gushing about it (well it would be its part of Fairfax):
The flight of the planets is nothing nobler; all the arts lose virtue
The thermometers show that US temperatures are declining thenNCDC and GISS tamper with the data, and tell the public that we are heating out of control.
Greg Page, chief executive of global grains trading giant Cargill Inc, joined a chorus of critics of biofuels by urging the U.S. government to temporarily curb its quotas to produce corn-based ethanol fuel.
Of course, maybe the people that run it really didnt want a wind turbine in their coal town, and this torch lighting is their form of silent protest. Or, maybe they are proud of it and felt it needed to be illuminated all hours of the night. Maybe the lights are to warn off birds and small planes. Nobody seemed to know. Whatever the reason, I couldnt help but be amused.
In the Viscount Monckton article there was a significant contribution by rgbatduke now elevated to a post titled The ensemble of models is completely meaningless, statistically whose comments can be read with reference to this spaghetti graph (with thanks to the authors of it).
Obama clings to climate alarmism with National Climate Assessment
"Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said he would use weekend meetings of G-20 finance ministers to advance efforts to "rebalance" the world economy so it is less reliant on U.S. consumers, to move toward establishing "norms" on exchange-rate policy, and to persuade others the U.S. doesn't aim to devalue its way to prosperity."
A report dellEnel estimated at 30 billion euro, the economic loss that Italy has undergone renounce nuclear. The damage will be even greater in the coming years.
Republicans, who have the better arguments on the merits of the pipeline, have unfortunately exaggerated the likely number of jobs it would create and even portrayed it as essential to economic recovery.
"The pro-treaty side would have us believe that the underlying science is clear, that the consensus of scientists has spoken, and all the rest of us need to do is get on with saving the planet," explained Marlo Lewis, vice president for policy and coalitions at CEI. "But in science, isn't over until a hypothesis has been validated, either by an experimental test or by observations about the real world."
In a statement, a Plevin and Sons spokesman said the firm expected the situation to be "fully resolved as soon as possible".
For now the focus is supply, but a sharper focus is needed on demand curbs and the grid.
These arguments are made with the best of intentions from sincere, well-meaning individuals. They have inspired a generation to "go green." And their concerns deserve a response.
Were already seeing and feeling the signs of the Little Ice Age, the article continues.
predictions based on theories . . . theories that have not done a very good job
Nowadays we can hardly count our blessings. One of which is that we don't have to do any counting, computers do it for us. In our world, information is easily had, education is readily obtainable. Opportunity knocks, it jiggles the doorknob, it will try the window if we don't have the alarm system on.
The resultpainfully predictable when businesses try to buy off environmentalist activistsis that the radicals, having succeeded in major harm to one industry, next turn on their corporate enablers in the other industry. As the Wall Street Journal recently observed, the Sierra Club has started a "Beyond Natural Gas" campaign in hopes of shutting down another industry. Michael Brune, executive director of the Sierra Club, has boasted, "We're going to be preventing new gas plants from being built wherever we can." The campaign's new website declares, "The natural gas industry is dirty, dangerous and running amok."
America is reaching the stage, so the argument goes, where it is bumping against the limits to growth.
Climate scientists have been baffled by the 17-year pause in global warming. At least eight explanations have been offered to explain the lapse in warming, including declining solar activity and natural climate cycles.
During the period 1900 to 2005, moderate-to-severe drought conditions occurred in Southern California during 34 of those 106 years that is, about one-third of the time.
When drafts of chapters come for AR5, we can??t review the chapter as we can??t get access to the data, or, the authors can??t refer to these papers as the data haven??t been made available for audit.
Main Diary Entries according to ones age
Europe?s manufacturers are rapidly losing ground to international competition. Instead of putting money into the energy-expensive EU, investors are pouring money into the US, where energy prices have fallen to one-third of those in the EU, thanks to the shale gas revolution.
The good news is that all of this is not inevitable. A recent Supreme Court decision held that EPA should have considered these and other enormous costs from its "mercury and air toxics" regulations, before imposing the rules. The decision should give governors and federal and state lawmakers every incentive to resist EPA's harmful and dictatorial actions, and not wait for the CPP regulation to go into effect.
Marchant told MPs on the energy select committee last week: I think we should be much more focusing CCS on capital support, at the lowest cost to the state, because I am not looking for a return on the capital I am putting forward.
There were some political games that were played, that took it off the trail and path to completion, where Republicans put it out there as something that was put on a timetable that it could not be resolved. It caused a delay, Lew said. Playing political games with something like this was a mistake.
That's media speak for "hiding under their desks with the lights off". Via MK Braaten .
Finally, most of these forms of fossil fuels occur in combination and can be converted into one another. Coal, for example, can be converted to a liquid fuel, or to a gas.
The job listings pages on Craigslist in Austin show more than 1,400 new listings in the last three days. They may not all be the most desirable of jobs, to be sure, but still, 1,400 listings in three days is a lot of listings.