Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Prior to assuming the Florida State presidency, he served as director of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. From 2006 to 2008, he was dean of the Jackson School of Geosciences at the University of Texas at Austin. At Pennsylvania State University, he was professor of geosciences, director of the Earth System Science Center, director of the EMS Environmental Institute and dean of the College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.
Muscle: SEIU's million-dollar ad push for more taxes:
Tim Lambert of the University of New South Wales, recently discovered (see his web log at http://cgi.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/cgi-in/blog/ science/mckitrick6.html ) an error in calculations in a scientific article by Ross McKitrick of the University of Guelph and Patrick Michaels of the University of Virginia. The article (see the June 9 issue of the newsletter), titled A Test of Corrections for Extraneous Signals in Gridded Surface Temperature Data and which appeared in Climate Research , found that recent temperature records were strongly influenced by socio-economic factors.
Aquatic Ecosystems of Arid and Semi-Arid Regions
The government has set a target for installed solar power generating capacity to reach 15 gigawatts by 2015 and wind power capacity to hit 100 GW, China National Radio reported, citing an announcement from the National Energy Administration.
Will the American middle and working classes' turn to the GOP end the partisan and philosophical conflict of the last two years, or are there tensions between the conservative movement and those groups of Americans that remain to be worked out before a new, more stable political era is created? This is a topic well beyond the scope of this memo, but I will conclude by offering a sober, yet positive, assessment.
Finally, Bush assured us, more ethanol is on the way:
This post will serve as the model-data comparison for satellite-era sea surface temperature anomalies for this year. This is an expanded version. It provides a couple of answers for why the models perform so poorly when attempting to simulate the surface temperatures of the global oceans.
The assaults on Monckton and other high-visibility skeptics (for example, Marc Morano of Climate Depot, Joe D'Aleo of ICECAP, Dr. Willie Soon, Dr. Fred Singer, Anthony Watts and Dr. Ferenc Miskolczi) are further evidence that the global warmists are in full retreat and resorting to slash and burn tactics as they make a desperate last stand to defend their cherished theory from the onslaught of countervailing scientific evidence.
Between 2007 and 2014, about 92.5 billion gallons of ethanol were mixed into domestic gasoline supplies. Over that eight-year period, the energy-equivalent cost of ethanol averaged about 90 cents per gallon more than gasoline. Motorists thus incurred about $83 billion roughly $10 billion annually in additional fuel costs over and above what they would have paid for gasoline alone. That means that each of the 200 million licensed drivers in the U.S. are now paying an additional $47 per year in excess fuel costs.
He will learn that the temperature increase in these three decades - when the economy was kind of flourishing - is about 0 C or 0.05 C. It is completely indistinguishable from the (much higher) annual variations. Steven Chu talks about 5 C in a few (three) decades which is an estimate that exceeds the reality by two orders of magnitude. That's just like if he is scared to death - and ready to pay $20,000 (or trillions of dollars, in this case) because he has confused a mouse on his garden with a tiger.
Financial Review journalist Mark Lawson has had enough of this madness. From the blurb for his new book, A Guide to Climate Change Lunacy:
Meanwhile, the EU's Energy Commissioner warned that German electricity prices are already at "the upper edge" of what society can accept and businesses can tolerate. Taxes, levies and regulations imposed in the name of reducing carbon dioxide emissions and global warming are forcing companies to relocate to other countries and causing "a gradual process of de-industrialization" across Germany.
Ive taken the discussion farther in the blog post Supplement To ENSO Indices Do Not Represent The Process Of ENSO Or Its Impact On Global Temperature . There I divided the Rest-of-the-World data into two more subsets so that I could show the additional rate of warming and the other impacts of an addition mode of natural variability called the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. It impacts the North Atlantic sea surface temperature data.
The devastating Russian heatwave and Pakistan floods are caused by one unusual weather pattern the static jet stream, meteorologists say.
According to the authors, the modern-day grounding-line retreat of the WAIS is part of an ongoing recession that has been underway since the early to mid-Holocene. As a result, according to the authors, "it is not a consequence of anthropogenic warming or recent sea level rise." Hence, it is clear that climate change advocates who argue that CO 2 -induced global warming is responsible for every iceberg that breaks free of the WAIS, or every inch of WAIS retreat, are unjustified in continuing to make such claims.
It is rather difficult to imagine, but approximately 635 million years ago, ice may have covered a vast portion of our planet in an event called Snowball Earth. According to the Snowball Earth hypothesis, the massive ice age that occurred before animal life appeared, when Earths landmasses were most likely clustered near the equator, precipitated relatively rapid changes in atmospheric conditions and a subsequent greenhouse heat wave. This particular period of extensive glaciation and subsequent climate changes might have supplied the cataclysmic event that gave rise to modern levels of atmospheric oxygen, paving the way for the rise of animals and the diversification of life during the later Cambrian explosion.
Job Announcement Number: NPSWASO-HQ-11-434393
As to the last point about utilities shutting off individual appliances, appliance makers and utilities are working on smart appliances that can be controlled through the smart meters and the Internet.
The real motive for progressive politics is by no means any sense of altruism, as the aristocracy would have us believe. It is all of the usual selfish stuff: money, power, and ego. Limbaugh observes:
There are several ways to ensure access to capital in the developing world, but the most important approach is to unlock the productive potential of the capital already available there.
Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.
Note that level and trend are quite different conceptsand even use different units. Level is measured in degreesC; trend is measured in degC per decade.
Despite some discrepancies between various data sets, the global temperature differences between 1942 and 1997 are small to none except for land-based thermometer data outside the U.S. This disparity with your warming premise demands an explanation as do the much larger in trends of the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere.
McCarthys woes have had a chilling effect on the administrations desire to go forward on bold actions, the Sierra Clubs Melinda Pierce said. They dont want to be lighting a fire out there before Gina is confirmed.
With temperatures going down rather than up, the devoted even had to retire the term ???global warming?? altogether.
TransCanadas revised pipeline plan addresses environmental concerns and should be approved.
"A large increase in the supply of energy will be required in coming decades to power economic development, the IAEA recognizes, projecting that to the year 2030 the part nuclear power will play in the global energy supply will first grow and then decrease.
It is hard to understand how sensible midwestern people can be so naive as to cooperate with the enemy, but then consider Chuckie Hagel and Bob Kerry wereNebraska US Senators. I also know most would not see the evil smell of the Tri Faith Initiative, but there is a symbolism only muslim jihadis appreciate, a victory mosque on a Jewish Golf Coursethe only thing they would like better is to build on the ruins of a synagogue and church bombing.
Gas prices rise, breaking pre-election pattern:
Entertainment. Surprisingly, entertainment items such as toys, sports gear, video and audio equipment, computers, radios, and televisions use nearly as much indirect energy as household maintenance does (see table 7). Cinemas, theaters, and opera houses take up less indirect energy than sports and photographic equipment, boats, and the ownership of pleasure aircraft.
Natural disasters, such as Hurricane Katrina and, in earlier years, hurricanes in Florida and floods along the Mississippi, have made two things clear: Large numbers of individuals facing large risks have not purchased insurance (for one reason or another); and, when disasters happen, there will be a government bailout. (The recognition of this, in turn, provides one of the reasons individuals limit the purchase of insurance; that is, if it is left as a voluntary matter.) There is clearly a role for government ex ante, but ascertaining what that role should be (requiring the provision of private insurance, providing public insurance, etc.) is not so simple if the private sector has strong incentives to overcharge, the public sector has strong incentives to undercharge.
Hearing Set for NUHW-SEIU Dispute Over Union Elections:
Vehicle makers, together with the government and, more importantly, individually for competitive reasons are hard at work on many different approaches to the ultimate replacement of today's technology.
Make sure that the researchers are actual, qualified professionals. You would think you could take this for granted in a study published in a peer-reviewed journal, but sadly this is simply not the case when it comes to climate consensus research. Theyll publish anything with high estimates.
Would the great grandsons face a burning house? Steven Chu says that the new temperature would take them into an unknown territory. Well, every newborn baby - including our great grandsons - is taken into a new territory when it is born. The open world is so different from the womb! And the initial conditions for its life are defined by the moment of its birth, not by the moment of his great grandfather's birth, as some of the senile great grandparents incorrectly assume! Great grandparents are pretty much irrelevant, especially when it comes to your feelings about the weather today. Just think about your great grandparents. What would they think about the weather on December 15th, 2008?
In another paper, Davi et al . (2006) developed a reconstruction of streamflow that extended from 1637 to 1997, based on absolutely dated tree-ring-width chronologies from five sampling sites in west-central Mongolia, all of which sites were in or near the Selenge River basin, the largest river in Mongolia. Of the ten wettest five-year periods, only two occurred during the 20th century (1990-1994 and 1917-1921, the second and eighth wettest of the ten extreme periods, respectively), once again indicative of a propensity for less flooding during the warmest portion of the 360-year period.
He also screened the movie trailer for CFACT's "Climate Hustle" film project that brought many laughs and sustained applause from the crowd.
It hasn't been a good week for America's reputation as a leader in space.
Climate "Consensus" Opiate: The 97% Solution
Figure 1 compares the global temperature projections from the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario with the Kerry-Lieberman adjustments. The BAU scenario produces a temperature rise (over the 1990 global average temperature) of 1.584 C by the year 2050 and 2.959 C by 2100. The Kerry-Lieberman adjustments produce a temperature rise of 1.541 C by 2050 and 2.848 C by 2100.
If you discover Earths temperature has stabilized at a local high since 1998, you can expect it to begin cooling soon. Maybe -15C. Because a new glacial has begun.
What is unconventional oil? Well, we could start by considering the conventions regarding oil. For literally billions of years the convention was that oil was found in small pools and seeps like you see in Figure 1. Indeed, the discovery of oil in Oil Creek, Pennsylvania, the site of the first US oil well, came about because oil had been seeping out there for untold centuries, and had been known and utilized by the Early Asian Immigrants in the area before the later arrival of the melanin-deficient crowd.
Why I use an ensemble average of multiple GMST data sets.
This has always struck me as an incredibly lame argument, as it implies that the models are an accurate representation of nature, which they likely are not. We know that significant natural effects, such as the PDO and AMO are not well modelled or even considered at all in these models.
The roots of American liberalism are not compassion but snobbery. That's the thesis of Fred Siegel's revealing new book, The Revolt Against the Masses: How Liberalism Has Undermined the Middle Class.
For decades, Americans have slept while their national sovereignty has been threatened, chipped away and eroded by a series of innocuous-sounding and nearly imperceptible decisions. We have been locked in a struggle between our sovereignty and the advocates of "global governance" that most of our fellow citizens didn't even know was under way, let alone how disparate were these two worldviews.
Figure 1 . The expected probability of negotiation success (solid line), its 95% confidence bound (dashed line) and the annual costs of climate negotiations (triangles).
There's one other slight problem with Kagan's call for exhausting agency procedures. The administrative-review scheme in this case and others grants judicial review to appeal a sanction or punishment imposed by the agency. Beckstead & Watts faced onerous compliance costs from regulation but was never actually sanctioned. Hence, it had no penalty to appeal in order to seek judicial review.
But the standard is as below, read a system of model describing coupled differential equations numerically. It usually takes less n one second on a standard PC, also for more complex systems.
Tourists continue to flock to a Great Barrier Reef that (outside of very local resort areas) remains in the same excellent natural health that Captain James Cook observed in 1770.
To develop a separate chronology for past fires, co-authors R. Scott Anderson and Douglas J. Hallett looked for charcoal in sediment cores taken from meadows within the sequoia groves.
Relevant as well is whether the project will affect the local crime rate, present fire dangers, or otherwise unduly tap police and fire forces in the community, the project's impact on social services, such as the availability of schools, hospitals, businesses, commuter facilities, and parking, harmonization with proximate land uses, and a blending with the aesthetics of the area, consideration of the project's impact on the community's development policy urban blight and decay eighborhood stability and growth .
By Dr. Vincent Gray, Jun 5, 2015
Federal court decisions in 2006 and 2007 resulted in the revocation of field trial permits to test several different genetically engineered varieties, establishing the precedent that nearly any cultivation of a new genetically engineered plant would require an EIS. Two additional lawsuits filed to stop the approval and commercial sale of genetically engineered alfalfa and sugar beet varieties have been a nightmare for plant breeders, the seed industry, and especially farmers. Ironically, in none of those cases was there any actual environmental harm; quite the opposite, in fact.
It is also evident from the sea-level reconstruction that, notwithstanding the changes in temperature over the past millennium, sea level has varied by only 20 cm (8 in) either side of the millennial mean.
Instead, the band members turned to their friends in the media and to the blogosphere, creating a website called RealClimate.org. "The idea is that we working climate scientists should have a place where we can mount a rapid response to supposedly "bombshell' papers that are doing the rounds" in aid of "combating dis-information," one email explained, referring to criticisms of the hockey stick and anything else suggesting that temperatures today were not the hottest in recorded time. One person in the nine-member Realclimate.org team U.K. scientist and Green Party activist William Connolley would take on particularly crucial duties.
Although we have been enmeshed in a long debate over global warming and climate change, there has been no warming for over 16 years. (1)
Riffing on CEI's skeptical stance on global warming, he said, "It takes guts, amid all the hysteria, to admit that polar bears love to swim."
Even if a major IT company such as Google helped this loser to collect the signatures, and it's a big question why would any powerful company team up with a completely cheap as well as useless project such as this one, it couldn't possibly collect one billion signatures by April 2014. I am willing to bet 10-to-1 that this loser will lose. Well, I would be even willing to bet, 1-to-1, that he won't even collect one million signatures. And yes, I would probably be willing to go to much smaller numbers than a million.
What they say : Surface temperature reconstructions show multi-decadal intervals during the Medieval Climate Anomaly (950-1250) that were in some regions as warm as in the late 20th Century.
The Met Office now confirms on its climate blog that no significant warming has occurred recently: We agree with Mr Rose that there has only been a very small amount of warming in the 21st Century.
NREL initiated the report on their own as part of their on-going analytical role to assess emerging issues and monitor external studies and develop internal memos or external documents to address research that is at odds with DOE/EERE scientific understanding.
Also consider the Validity of Climate Change Forecasting for Public Policy Decision Making International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 826832by the same authors with astrophysicist Willie Soon. They found that errors in the projections of the IPCCs scenario of exponential CO2 growth for the years 1851 to 1975 were more than seven times greater than the errors from a no change from previous year extrapolation method:
On the news there are plenty of reports of winter storms hitting places all over Europe, into Asia, and even in the Eastern USA. There are some pretty grim cold weather stories.
Fortunately, a draft version of the Senate's foreign operations appropriation only provides $25 million to the GEF, and the House may reduce the sum further. That's the good news. The bad news is that last year Congress denied the administration's budget request of $300 million for the GEF, only to be betrayed by the Republican leadership, who reinserted $200 million without consulting the members. A similar capitulation could occur again this year if GEF opponents are not more vigilant.
could signal immediate change via executive action to fit the public mood and
Why is this important? Because, by an equation called the Clausius-Clapeyron relation, as the space occupied by the atmosphere warms it is also capable of carrying near-exponentially more water vapor. Superficially, therefore, considerable amplification of the original warming might be expected. In practice, however, as you rightly point out, the likelihood is that more water vapor in the atmosphere will lead to the formation of more clouds. And it is here that the UN's analysis goes completely astray. For it makes no allowance for the additional cloud-albedo effect that these clouds generated by the water-vapor feedback will create. This leads to a catastrophic overvaluation by the IPCC of the water-vapor feedback; and, though this is partly compensated for by the treatment of all cloud albedo as a forcing, it creates an overstatement of the final warming effect of adding greenhouse gases such as CO2 to the atmosphere after all feedbacks have been taken into account.
"You need to compare the relative size of the oil industry and the tobacco industry," Mr. Ebell said. "Tobacco is tiny compared to oil. So if they could get $10 billion out of the tobacco industry, think of what their goals are for the oil industry."
Third, the temperature distribution of the atmosphere is a natural result of thermal equilibrium and conservation of energy. The dry lapse rate can be calculated precisely without any reference to greenhouse gases (GHGs), and the wet lapse rate can be calculated precisely simply by factoring in latent heat release from water vapour to the dry lapse rate. This proves that GHG radiation does not determine nor have any effect upon the temperature distribution of the atmosphere, whatsoever.
Second, they also argued that the p-value of the F-test entitled them to take notice, even if it was greater than 5%:
The team also found that the effect changed depending on the measured visible-spectrum wavelength, and whether the light was direct or scattered.
Germany, however, is the nation that has pushed the renewables agenda furthest and is struggling most with the unintended damage of the green energy shift, its so-called Energiewende.
Never in the history of pseudoscientific consensus will so much be done to so many by so few.
A sobering aspect of the state AGs' crusade is what is taking place outside of courtrooms: they are pressuring companies to cut off donations to nonprofit groups that employ "climate-change deniers." Being one of those includes telling politically inconvenient truths about the costs of proposed climate-change legislation. It also includes projecting, as several mainstream climatologists have done, lower global temperature increases than liberal state attorneys general find politically convenient.
You could have asked them to run the identical analysis looking at the correlation between carbon dioxide rise and temperature over the same time period, but you don??t want to rock the boat by showing that the carbon dioxide link is even more tenuous than the Svensmark process you??re trying to bury! Carbon dioxide has continued to rise, while global temperatures appear to have stopped rising in 1998 having stabilized below the 1998 level and might even now be starting to fall. Even the Met Office admits this ??? but you don??t report that of course.
One also has to question sea level rise due to thermal expansion. Ocean heat content does not seem to be rising. As far as measuring sea level rise, it is an extremely complex affair that is fraught with vast uncertainty. Id also be very suspicious of anyone claiming they can measure sea levels to the millimetre. Its hard enough to do it in inches. Thats why sea level projections among experts range so widely. Of course, that allows a lot of flexibility when drawing conclusions.
Claim: Paris climate pledges only delay Climageddon by 8 months
In a striking finding That raises new questions about carbon dioxides (CO2) impact on marine life, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) scientists report That some shell-building creaturessuch as crabs, shrimp and lobstersunexpectedly build more shell When exposed to ocean acidification caused by Elevated levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2).
has indeed become more intense since the 1960s esp during spring and summer?.
Tapping the best minds at Stanford, other academic institutions and private research labs around the globe, the project holds the promise of leapfrogging beyond the economically disastrous Kyoto Protocol.
But that conclusion holds true only if there are no other sources of c12 increases which are not human caused. Salby says there are the huge increases in carbon dioxide concentrations caused by such things as spells of warming and El Ninos, which cause concentration levels to increase independently of human emissions. He suggests that its warmth which tends to produce more CO2, rather than vice versa which, incidentally is the story of the past recoveries from ice ages.