Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It was snowing in Big Bear and raining heavily in the Antelope Valley Thursday afternoon, May 22, as a low-pressure system passed throughSouthern California.
Interestingly, reanalysis also do not seem to correctly reproduce the ocean warming rates and lie well outside the observation uncertainty at different depths and times. Both the hiatus and the net amount of heat absorbed by the ocean below 700 m are overestimated. Reanalyses are also inconsistent with ocean observations, in terms of the vertical and regional distribution of heating.
including an astonishingly rapid rise up the ranks of the leadership, knows what
The results of the authors' analysis support a link between long-term variations in cyclonic activity and trends in solar activity/GCR flux in the extratropical latitudes of the North Atlantic.?? Concerning how this relationship works, the authors hypothesize that GCR-induced changes in cloudiness alter long-term variations in solar and terrestrial radiation receipt in this region, which in turn alters tropospheric temperature gradients and produces conditions more favorable for cyclone formation and development. Although we are still far from a complete understanding of many solar/GCR-induced climatic influences, this study highlights the ever-growing need for such relationships to continue to be explored.?? As this study and others have shown, small changes in solar output can indeed induce significant changes in earth's climate.?? The empirical evidence for such phenomena continues to mount (see Solar Effects and
In contrast, giving short shrift to the GCR-cloud theory is a lesser problem. So long as the IPCC??s predictive scheme attributes recent warming to solar activity in accordance with past patterns it isn??t a big deal whether a particular solar-temperature mechanism is modeled or not. At least the known explanatory variables are not being omitted and we are down to second order errors instead of first order errors.
For both CT data and Jeff Ids NSIDC data presentation we see that its in fact it is mostly the years 2005, 2006 and 2007 that shows a large dip in global sea ice extent. Take away those years, and where is the decadal declining trend?
When all was said and done, therefore, Yang and Wu were forced to conclude that (4) "it remains a great challenge to improve model ability in simulating and predicting the North Atlantic climate variability."
Comparison between global surface temperature anomaly datasets Take 2
Precisely because the system of natural liberty excludes violence, theft, or fraud, the only way any individual can acquire from others what he desires is by applying his own knowledge, abilities, and resources in a manner that enables him to produce and offer to others what they desire, so they will give in trade what that first individual wants to obtain.
When Gregg Easterbrook's voluminous book A Moment on the Earth: The Coming Age of Environmental Optimism was published in 1995, it received the predictable reaction from the environmental community: outrage. Despite or probably because of Easterbrook's bona fides as a mainstream-liberal writer for The New Republic, The Atlantic, The New Yorker, and Newsweek, the environmental lobby swung into full distort-and-denounce mode. The Environmental Defense Fund, for example, alleged the existence of factual errors that "substantially undermine his thesis that many environmental problems have been overstated."
21 Thou therefore which teachest another, teachest thou not thyself? thou that preachest a man should not steal, dost thou steal?
Microsoft is bankrolling the inaugural. How generously? We don't know. The software giant was Obama's top corporate source of funds in the 2012 election employees and executives of the company gave $815,000 to his re-election, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.
"The most significant atmospheric component in the radiative balance is water: as a homogeneous absorbing and emitting vapor, in its heat transport by evaporation and condensation; as clouds, snow and ice cover, which have a major effect on the albedo, and as the enormous circulating mass of
Tornadoes have been at a record low for the last two years, and US hurricanes are close to a record low. This has greatly reduced disaster costs.
NOTE: A version of this content was originally published at Breitbart.com.
It's official: Global warming is a Republican party issue, too, now that the Bush Administration has acknowledged its gravity. So something will be done. But what? To address global warming, we're going to do something that may surprise many in the save-the-planet camp: burn more fossil fuel less efficiently. Big oil will prosper. So will Saudi Arabia.
The emails were unearthed by the Competitive Enterprise Institute. Republican officials are calling for an investigation; House Energy Committee ranking member Joe Barton sent a letter with pointed questions to Mrs. Jackson, which she's yet to answer. The EPA has issued defensive statements, claiming Mr. Carlin wasn't ignored. But there is no getting around that the Obama administration has flouted its own promises of transparency.
A third problem I have with Ron??s article: he uses ???falsifiable predictions?? of the future as evidence supporting his case! Really? Well, we??ve already had abundant predictions of what would happen by now from modelers like James Hansen that have turned out to be wrong. There you go, skeptics have real falsified predictions they can point to?? .not predictions of what might happen 10 years from now.
You can see the moisture (precipitable water total water in inches in the atmospheric column) in this early Saturday analysis with the radar showing showers and thunderstorms.
The most generous rewards will go to people who install solar panels. This will earn you 41.3 pence per kilowatt hour (kWh) generated, plus an extra 3p for every kWh sent back to the National Grid.
So why are we pouring all this taxpayersmoney to solve a the non-existing problem as currently defined when the world is near financial collapse and there are so many more pressing problems in our world today? Any prudent leader should see we need to change our priorities.
The dry period in the 1960s, and again in the 1970s is evident, but the longer view shows that there is nothing unusual about recent years.
roughts have, for the most part, become shorter, less frequent, less severe, and cover a smaller portion of the country over the last century.
Successful science fiction requires at least a sliver of plausibility based on circumstances we think might be possible in the distant future. Soylent Green was the perfect expression of the mood of its time, which was suffused with the fear of the "population bomb." Indeed, Soylent Green might well be described as the cinematic vision of Paul Ehrlich, the famous author of a runaway 1968 bestseller, The Population Bomb. Ehrlich's critics have never tired of quoting back the prophecy that opens the book: "The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now." Later in the book Ehrlich predicted "massive famines," with perhaps as many as a billion people dying of starvation.
There is a discussion whether koda should be producing more upscale cars or sporty cars than so far. There may be different paths to success. koda's historical track record is undoubtedly more luxurious than Volkswagen's just recall what the word Volkswagen means but on the other hand, it's been successful thanks to the production of value cars with some cool "simply clever" details and it would be crazy to throw this recipe for success as long as it seems to work.
For two decades, scientists have recorded the collapse of massive ice shelves in the Antarctic but the study by Laval University researchers published recently is the first evidence of a similar climate effect in the northern polar region. The Arctic is one of the few areas on the planet where there has been consistent warming over the past 30 years, about 1.5F above normal, and so any signs of ice change are immediately linked by the world's media to man's greenhouse gas emissions. But even the experts admit they don't really know why the ice shelf is changing. "There are likely to be more surprises like this. We simply don't understand the sea ice system in the Arctic," said John Stone, a senior climate change expert with Environment Canada.
These people are cynics, he says. Its clear to me that Morano doesnt mean me personally. He only wants to intimidate me. He wants to intimidate an entire field. Mann speaks softly, his face is pale.
Think about that! The fifth largest ice field in the entire Western Hemisphere is growing ,, and no one is bothering to report it.
Northern hemisphere winter snow extent has been steadily increasing to record levels since the geniusesat the UN made their forecast.
Vinalhaven Electric Rates: Gone Up Since Wind Turbines Turned On
Let's start this discussion with a simple fact. Since 1960, Democrats have simultaneously controlled the White House and Congress with large supermajorities four times: 1965-66, 1977-80, 1993-94, and 2009-10. In each of the three previous instances, Democrats suffered landslide reversals in Congress within four years of obtaining their supermajorities. They will do so again this year. The only time they did not also then lose the presidency was in 1996, when the triangulator Bill Clinton was reelected. Is this a coincidence?
The Independent's chart basically shows what the Thompson et al. paper describedabout a +0.3 C correction after about 1945 slowly declining to zero by the mid-1960s.
NYTimes: Heat, Flood or Icy Cold, Extreme Weather Rages Worldwide
3) The carbon-dioxide issue is not about the United States anymore. Sure, the U.S. is the world's second-largest energy consumer. But over the past decade, carbon-dioxide emissions in the U.S. fell by 1.7%. And according to the International Energy Agency, the U.S. is now cutting carbon emissions faster than Europe, even though the European Union has instituted an elaborate carbon-trading/pricing scheme. Why? The U.S. is producing vast quantities of cheap natural gas from shale, which is displacing higher-carbon coal.
Figure it out, if 60 Minutes ran a story which gave exactly equal time to Michael Mann and Steven McIntyre, would the public become more, or less, convinced about the dangers on offer thanks to carbon? Precisely. If the Climate Establishment thought Michael Mann would win that debate, they would have organized it years ago. Likewise Gore and Monckton. If Al Gore rang the executive producers, offering to go head-to-head with a skeptic on camera, do you suppose they would turn him down?
Either way, past support for cap-and-trade is a liability with a clear majority of GOP voters.
"Contrary to the dominating hypotheses in the literature," in the words of Hargrave et al ., " e CO 2 might have positive, bottom-up effects on secondary production in some stream food webs." As a result, they conclude that their experimental findings, as well as "the large literature from terrestrial and marine ecosystems suggests that future atmospheric CO 2 concentrations are likely to have broad reaching effects on autotrophs and consumers across terrestrial and aquatic biomes," which effects could well be hugely positive , as were those observed in their important study. Reviewed 27 January 2010
Fifty-two members of the global warming expedition which has been ice-bound off Antarctica since Christmas Eve have been airlifted to safety by a Chinese helicopter.
An article at the Live Science website says that we sceptics are putting far too much emphasis on the current high levels of Antarctic sea ice. The title is a bit of a straw man:
It turns out the rights found to be violated by Dutch climate policy are rooted in: (1) an assortment of international agreements and the statutory and constitutional responsibility of the Dutch government to provide a "healthy and safe living environment," (2) previous Dutch policy projected to cut emissions by 30 percent by 2020, and (3) an international scientific consensus, with which the Dutch government agrees, that 450 ppm of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is the maximum that can be allowed to assure that average global surface temperatures will not rise more that 2 degrees centigrade (from 1850).
Today, however, the world's increasing connectedness, combined with the modern regulatory state's power to crush innovation, make ideas like this more dangerous than ever. Want to eat locally grown food, ride your bike to work, avoid unnecessary travel, eschew fossil fuels, unplug labor-saving devices, and generally consume less? Be my guest, I've always found the Amish cute. But when predilections for quaint lifestyle choices morph into political efforts to foist this way of life on the rest of humanity, we have a problem.
When I refer to the IPCC dogma, it is the religious importance that the IPCC holds for this cadre of scientists; they will tolerate no dissent, and seek to trample and discredit anyone who challenges the IPCC. Some are mid to late career middle ranking scientists who have done ok in terms of the academic meritocracy. Others were still graduate students when they were appointed as lead authors for the IPCC. These scientists have used to IPCC to gain a seat at the big tables where they can play power politics with the collective expertise of the IPCC, to obtain personal publicity, and to advance their careers. This advancement of their careers is done with the complicity of the professional societies and the institutions that fund science. Eager for the publicity, high impact journals such as Nature, Science, and PNAS frequently publish sensational but dubious papers that support the climate alarm narrative.
If so, can trace amounts (370ppm) of CO2 in the Earths atmosphere be enough to absorb meaningful amounts of radiation and if so, how much?
The data on sea levels are more ambiguous: Sea levels have been rising at a more-or-less constant rate (about 3.3 mm per year) since the early 1990s despite increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases. And even that observation rather begs the question, because the end of the little ice age around 1850 has yielded off-and-on warming, and thus some ice melt and thermal expansion of ocean water.
Obama's policies leave Democrats weak candidates in 2016, except maybe Hillary Clinton
What are the odds of a three foot wave hitting an island in the middle of the Pacific? A million to one maybe? This never used to happen before *you* started generating CO2.
Professor Jacobson; There has been a lot of attention paid to Arbys announcement that it no longer would advertise on the Limbaugh show. It was particularly interesting because Arbys did not advertise to begin with, so it purely was a political statement, and was the subject of a Limbaugh tweet on Friday. That has caused a lot of action on Twitter, with Arbys blocking conservatives who complained, only to unblock them after a firestorm erupted. I've always said that "failing to show up to riot" was a failed conservative policy. Nice to see people are waking up.
Onemajorconclusion that should be reached from the unpredictedwide ranging severe cold and snow this winter, is that multi-decadal global climate modelshave demonstratedno skill in predicting such regional events which clearly have a major impact on society and the environment.
The top graph in Figure 9 compares the evolution of the SOI values this year to those in 1982 and 1997, the development years of the strong 1982/83 and 1997/98 El Nios. The Southern Oscillation Index this year is lagging well behind the values in 1982 and 1997. Because the SOI data is so volatile, Ive smoothed them with a 3-month filter in the bottom graph.
Regulatory Reform: Along with curtailing the ballooning federal budget and deficit, the administration should also make it a priority to scale back the $800 billion annual federal regulatory burden hampering the growth of the economy and small businesses.
Obama inaugural donor United Therapeutics is a leading biotechnology company. Obamacare gave special lengthy exclusivity to biotech drugs, keeping generic versions off the market for 12 years. The law also directs billions in subsidies toward all prescription drugs.
Like these "environmental" activists, African leaders do not care about the well-being of our citizens. They are incompetent, greedy, callous criminals, driven by ideologies and a love of power over people.
Alarmists dont want to talk about that or about what is happening in Asia. BPs Energy Outlook 2035 report forecasts that Chinas oil, natural gas and coal use will increase by some 50% and its carbon dioxide emissions by 37% over the next 20 years. Indias energy production will soar 117% with fossil fuels accounting for 87% of all demand in 2035. Its CO2 emissions will also skyrocket. So even if the USA and EU eliminated fossil fuels, atmospheric carbon dioxide would continue to climb.
Kimoto's prior papers & posts also discuss additional false assumptions of climate models including a mathematical error in calculation of the Planck response parameter, and limitations of the potential greenhouse warming of the top ocean layer due to penetration depth, and others, proving the climate models are overheated and far too sensitive to man-made CO2.
NASA satellites have reported wide spread melting across Greenland which has the climate change alarmists all atwitter. But the NASA satellites are providing data never before available, so it is hard to say if the summer melting pattern is unusual. Meanwhile, some 80 year old scientific data has revealed that this is not the first time that there has been a period of glacial retreat in Greenland. This formerly lost data shows that many land-terminating glaciers underwent a more rapid retreat in the 1930s than in the 2000s. Even more interesting is that the two periods of retreat were interrupted by a period of widespread advance from 1943 to 1972. Greenlands glaciers seems to be oscillating with a period of around a century.
The low tide of 0.7m was reached late in the afternoon, about 5:34PM.
Whitmore, T.C. and Sayer, J.A. Tropical Deforestation and Species Extinction. London: Chapman and Hall, 1992.
The U. S. lacks pawns to be a leader in the foreign policy chess gameinsufficient oil and natural gas production. Years of neglect in pushing fossil fuel production left the country unable to assist allies in times of emergency.
Noting that such warmer and drier conditions "can already be found today in areas experiencing significant drought," the five researchers analyzed the width of the yearly growth increments laid down in the otoliths (earstones) of populations of a native fish species (the golden perch) living in two artificial impoundments (Lakes Mokoan and Eppalock) near their southerly distribution limits in central Victoria, Australia, over a 15-year period that both pre-dated and encompassed a significant supra-seasonal drought.
The achievement of the human race and the last 5,000 years of so-called civilization is the way we have learned to adapt to Nature by creating habitats from villages to cities in which to survive and because we have devised a vast global agricultural and ranching system to feed seven billion of us.
Jane advises she gets relief from going to a chiropractor. I told her to keep going and I would get to approve those visits, which said she would.
A few years ago in the late 1980s, professor Aaron Wildavsky published the results of a class project for graduate public policy students at the State University of New York (SUNY). Each was required to pick an environmental topic and pose the question, ?Yes, but is it true?? The results were so interesting and uniform in their findings that Wildavsky published them in a book with the same title. Students could find little or no evidence to support the claims being made about the subject.
The authors report that "the optimal temperature of photosynthesis (Topt, the value where the photosynthetic rate was maximum) was significantly higher at elevated CO 2 : it ranged from 22 to 34.5C with an average value of 28.9C at ambient CO 2 , and from 29.5 to 37C with an average value of 33.5C at elevated CO 2 ." As a result, since the increase in the air's CO 2 concentration employed in this study was only 200 ppm, the 4.6C mean increase in Topt observed in this experiment would roughly translate to a 6.9C mean increase in Topt for a CO 2 increase of 300 ppm, which is the concentration increase that is more commonly used in climate modeling studies of the effects of elevated CO 2 on planetary temperature. What it means
Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical
There is no shortage of unpopular Obama policies. Obamacare, for starters, is unpopular and may be headed for a train wreck when it goes into effect next month. Blocking the Keystone pipeline irritates most everyone except hardline environmentalists. Then there's James Carville's phrase the economy, stupid. Big government isn't working as promised.
That amount of oil can satisfy U.S. oil demand for 250 years at current usage rates or it can fuel every passenger car in the United States for 430 years. It is also more oil than the entire world has used in all human history.
Senator Wong said Australians faced a range of risks, including higher rates of infectious diseases, an increase in bushfire-related injuries, and more heat-related death and illness . By 2020, the number of heat-related deaths in our capital cities is projected to double to 2300 a year, we are likely to see more food-safety related illness and dengue fever is likely to spread southwards, she said.
This statement is untrue even if Osborn and Briffa are granted the one stated qualifier and another unstated qualifier. The ???high temporal?? resolution qualifier is not defined; this qualifier excludes several series from Crowley and Lowery and Moberg et al 2005 and prefers tree rings. The second (unstated) qualifier is that the series go back to 1000. This excludes the majority of the series. (However, Briffa et al 2001 has a very large population of series and a serious ???divergence problem??. The Briffa et al 2001 network is one of two networks used in Rutherford et al 2005. The above statement is obviously false in respect to this population.) It is also false even with the long series used in these studies. There are many more than 14 series that cumulatively occur in these studies: there are Moroccan series used in MBH99, a number of oddball series in Crowley and Lowery 2000. I??m in the process of making a definitive count but it is far more than 14.
Mitch did us all a service by calling attention to this most significant Farewell Address by that underappreciated "dull, non-intellectual General." His first warning has done much to restore an understanding of our Founders' skepticism toward centralized power and crusades to remake the world. Here Ike's words recall those of an earlier American president, John Quincy Adams, who, in 1821, while still serving as Secretary of State, said in a speech to the House of Representatives: "America does goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own."
If this is stock prices (or anything), before I gamble, Im going to want an idea of risk. So, even though Roger asked for a naive, I added uncertainty intervals. Of course, Im also going to give naive uncertainty intervals; Ill compute them using the same assumptions I applied to the least squares fit.
Pachauri's February 24 speech invited traditional scientific give and take, yet Hansen refused additional discussion with the scientists. When Endlich showed data from the Vostok and the Greenland ice cores, Hansen blew him off, saying: "you are wrong!" End of discussion.
It would mean that the probabilistic distribution for \(\Phi(y)\) would have to depend on whether or not we made the the measurement of \(\Phi(x)\). However, it doesn't depend because \[