Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
For President Obama, this is leadership. It is embracing negotiation. It is looking beyond the atmospherics, reaching out to one's opponents, finding common interests. It is overcoming the inherited taboos of the Cold War era, transcending the shibboleths of geopolitical competition, dispensing with the superstitious faith that "credibility matters', laying the foundations of a true, and truly liberal, international order. The President does not see that occupied Crimea, embattled Ukraine, slaughtered Syria represent the negation of everything he hopes to build. He doesn't understand that from Pyongyang to Caracas hard men with cold eyes and dead hearts are weighing his words and placing their bets. He doesn't see the connection between his concessions to Putin and the crisis of his China policy. He doesn't really understand why, despite his best efforts, the world is less peaceful now than it was when George Bush left office.
"it is useful to remember that the IPCC concludes that there is only a 90% chance of a connection between global warming and the burning of fossil fuels. In other words, there is a 10% chance - which I consider significant - that there is no connection between the two."
You might notice that there has been a move towards creating an economic basis for the mitigation of climate change Stern, etc. More to the point, you only need to look to Malthus to find a classical political economist making ecological arguments, many years ago. Our argument is that ecologists/greens/environmentalists posit the inevitability of catastrophe to legitimise their political agenda, and to close down debate about its terms, and therefore to close down the possibility of alternatives to the problems it identifies. We might ask, therefore, whether environmentalism, at least insofar as it influences the mainstream really has ecological science as its antecedent, or whether its politics is prior to the science. We think the politics of environmentalism are prior to the science, but that it is expedient to the existing political establishment, as are any other forms of the politics of fear.
A similar theme is part of an As You Sow shareholder resolution filed with chemical giant Dupont in order to cast aspersions on biotechnology. Pretending as if biotechnology is some unregulated and haphazard Frankenstein-making process rather than the heavily regulated activity it actually is, As You Sow seeks to be come a new biotech regulator by demanding special biotech safety reports and assurances.
Orbital shifting on climate up to four times as powerful as AGW (human-caused warming)
5. There is factual evidence that ocean temperatures influence global temperatures and with it the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere via the absorption and emission of this soluble gas from the vast oceans that cover more than two thirds of our planet.
Special thanks to Roger Pielke Sr. for finding Johnston's article. See PDF.
Satellite measurements (Wielicki et. al. 2002, Evidence of large decadal variability in the tropical mean radiative energy budget. Science Vol 295, pg841) suggest that, at least over the tropics, longwave emission to space increased over the period 1985-1999, contrary to what would be expected from anthropogenic greenhouse radiative forcing.
Tropical forests today cover about 13% of earth's surface (others say only 7%). Amazon covers 6.5 million square kilometers, of which 3.5 million is in Brazil. "Brazil has created what is known as Legal Amazonia which covers nearly 5 million square kilometers, or 57 percent of Brazil's territory. The entire continent of Europe could fit inside Legal Amazonia, and 70 percent of it is tropical forest." (The Cross and the Rainforest, p.146)
Shukla's October 2 document continues:
The fine moral shadings of the inner machinations of A and B over C are legion. But none of them (none!) concerns the truth or falsehood of C. Science is unequivocally about C and nothing else! Science has nothing to do with the inner struggles of A and B. Scientists, when being scientific, dont test the virtue or morality of experts to decide whats true in nature, because they dont believe any experts. Thats how they got to be experts. History shows that humans do an excellent job at getting things wrong, even without lies. Not believing experts is scientific. If you want to know the truth of C, just test it. Test things, not persons!
Dear Mr Defense Minister, I urge you to remove all the awarded NATO medals from me, and I thank you for this act in advance.
Thanks to Administrator Johnson's decision, Boxer can no longer pretend that Mass v EPA is just about minor tweaks in new-car fuel economy standards. If she wants to regulate auto emissions, she must also accept responsibility for the broader and heavier regulatory burdens this could impose on the U.S. economy. No wonder she's irked!
Another dark matter sign from a Minnesota mine
Maybe the real lesson of the story is that in politics, it is never possible to succeed wholly or for very long. Politicians are always trying to pull too little sheet over too much mattress: to reconcile the irreconcilable, to unite disparate and disputatious constituencies.
Two Northrop B-2As and a McDonnell Douglas KC-10A Extender. Credits - U.S. Air Force Museum Archives
The shape of the orbital subtraction points resemble the shape of the ssn record.
I havent waded through GHCN and GISS adjustment methodologies to see exactly what they are doing and am nowhere near to replicating their methodologies. (Wouldnt it be nice if they just posted their codes so one could see exactly what they were doing, instead of having to decode obscure and poorly written methodological descriptions?) But lets say that the KNMI adjustments are right and that the GISS and GHCN adjustments are wrong in this spot check. Then that would appear to indicate that the GHCN and GISS methodologies were wrong in some way and there would be no reason to assume that they were randomly wrong.
I have always been something of an agnostic on global warming. I have never rejected, totally, the multiple expressions of concern from many eminent scientists, but the history of mankind has told me of his infinite capacity to adapt to the changing circumstances of the environment in which he lives.
the way to pitch the analysis is to argue that precautionary action must be
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Economics Policy Fellow John Berlau and Special Projects Counsel Hans Bader on the unconstitutional elements of federal accounting regulation:
/s/ Miguel A. Hernandez, Jr. JSC, Flight crew training and operations, 3 years
The Puget Sound rain shadow is so profound that Seattle gets less rain than Chicago, New York, Washington, D.C. or Miami.
Friel then claims the Little Ice Age was a North Atlantic phenomenon and claims that the cryosphere is melting. Clearly Friel hasnt looked at the Antarctic ice records for the past 30 years.
ACHTUNG! Fingerpoken in der Klima-Maschine ist Katastrophisch!
If that idea doesn't make it, ramping up the timetable to get exchanges going quickly and providing serious financial incentives to states to create exchanges with meaningful regulation of the market for private insurers, including standards for the medical loss ratio to ensure that a reasonable portion of every dollar in insurance goes to pay for benefits, would be more workable and meaningful than any public option the Senate can achieve, if it can achieve one at all.
Finally, lets take a look at global sea ice area, which has been running above average for most of this year.
Had satellites gone up in the 1930s, instead of the late 1970s, we would still be doing the global cooling scam, rather thanthe global warming scam.
What is the "Hockey Stick' Debate About? Written by Ross McKitrick
In English, the word most at least means more than half ; it could even mean a lot more than a half , or even nearly all there is certainly ambiguity in its definition. But since most at least means more than half , we can partially answer our question, which is written like this
Also in advance of the Paris climate conference, WHO released a report tying "carbon pollution" and global health risks. As noted by Julie Kelly and Jeff Stier in the Wall Street Journal (Nov. 10), the report's section on agriculture directs consumers away from foods whose production emits high levels of greenhouse gases. "A key action with large potential climate and health benefits is to facilitate a shift away from high-GHG foods many of which are of animal origin and towards healthy, low-GHG (often plant-based) alternatives," the WHO report says.
To pound the square peg of climate policy into the round hole of the Clean Air Act, EPA has to play lawmaker and effectively change the statute. This breach of the separation of powers only compounds the constitutional crisis inherent in EPAs hijacking of fuel economy regulation and climate policymaking.
Democratic Senator wants Internet Sales Taxes:
A new study suggests that business school students expect more instruction on the "social responsibility" of corporations.
???Fearing low returns could force investors to abandon the scheme, the United Nations earlier this year commissioned a study into how much it would cost to buy up the credit surplus and keep the market functioning while nations have a second go at thrashing out a new global climate deal to succeed the Kyoto Protocol.
Governments are going to have the same temptation with global temperature, mismeasuring it to make it appear to be rising faster than it really is.
But alternatively, if a large energy imbalance causes only a small temperature change, then that is called low sensitivity, which is how I, MIT??s Dick Lindzen, and a minority of other climate researchers believe the climate system behaves.
The United States alone can do next to nothing about greenhouse gas emissions alone and we should not burden our economy to attempt to do so. China and India are growing so rapidly that their additional greenhouse gas emissions swamp any reductions possible in the U.S. today. For example, Chinese car ownership today on a per-capita basis is not even equal to U.S. car ownership in 1920.
One limitation of the authorss findings is that many of their climate models are severely flawed when simulating the period and magnitude of ENSO. The misrepresentation of ENSO dynamics in such models may preclude an accurate separation of dynamic and thermodynamic coupling effects. Moreover, most climate models erroneously predict the existence of an intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) a band near the Equator where the trade winds from the two hemispheres converge in the South Pacific, in addition to the real one observed north of the Equator. This problem is known as double ITCZ bias. .
A weak global cooling began from the mid-1940s and lasted until mid-1970s. I predict this is what we will see in the next few decades.
Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, commenting on the defeat of 2009 cap-and-trade legislation, wrote: "And as I watched the deniers make their arguments, I couldn't help thinking that I was watching a form of treason treason against the planet."
The worst tornado in US history occurred in 1925. It had wind speeds over 300 mph and destroyed 15,000 homes.
Thus, it is not surprising that Yale University economist William Nordhaus calculated that Kyoto would impose higher compliance costs on the United States than on all other industrialized countriesEurope, Canada, Japan, and Russiacombined. Given Kyotos impotence as climate policyit would avert a hypothetical and unverifiable 0.07C of warming by 2050 Kyoto is largely an EU trade strategy masquerading as an environmental treaty.
Forecasters predict barbecue summer to rival 2003
Dr. Sara Alexander, an applied social anthropologist at Baylor who conducts much of her research in Central America, studied different households in several coastal communities in Belize. While climate change has been an emerging topic of interest to the world community, little scientific data exists on exactly how people respond to different climate-related shocks and events such as more intense hurricanes and prolonged drought.
But one essential argument appears at the very end of Mosher's text: Whether or not you apply one of the specified major adjustments or two or none of them doesn't visibly affect the resulting graph at all. It changes nothing about the qualitative picture. So not only is the "principled" criticism of all adjustments conceptually misguided: Even if this criticism were justifiable, the conclusion that "the result of an analysis that used some adjustments is compromised" would still be incorrect because many adjustments simply don't matter for many questions!
2013 was a year which rocked the credibility of the global warming campaign. It will take a long time for the closing image of warmists on ice to fade.
In other words, leave it to the market to assess the true risk. Dont impose your warming beliefs.
In short, although with a veneer of satire, eight years ago there was no talk of a simple head of government, and even of a charismatic leader, but also a divine figure, by superhuman powers, ready to put in place a UK he felt exploited and gnawed by two decades of conservative leadership, first with the Iron Lady Margaret Thatcher and then John Major and his gang of ministers and undersecretaries discovered in intimacy 'with prostitutes, or with your hands on the stacks upon receipt .
Most economists traditionally use a simple economic measure known as GDP to define prosperity. Whether measured in total for a country or on a per-capita basis, GDP is the most familiar and widely used measure of national progress. It captures the value of all goods in the economywhether consumed by households, governments, or businessesand as such, it is an extremely useful single measurement of a country's well-being.
This is exciting news, particularly given that we disappeared in a cloud of blue steam decades ago, we survived the 1970s ice age, we survived the global famine of the 1980s, we survived the ozone hole and acid rain, we survived the permanent drought, and we survived the drowning of Manhattan.
As Mark Calabria, director of financial regulation studies at the Cato Institute, writes, under the amendment, borrowers purchasing energy-efficient homes "would mostly likely leave the table with an LTV over 100%, that is already underwater before they've even moved in. Did Congress learn nothing from the crisis?"
The relationship is totally clear: The higher the share of wind and solar power in the power generation, the higher the electricity prices for consumers.
"I had been expecting it, but when it finally came it was far worse than I had feared. I could scarcely believe my eyes."
The climate models upon which the anthropogenic climate change hypothesis is based have no such record of success. This is not their fault. They are new and they make predictions about the climate, which can be observed only over a period of decades, shorter periods being mere weather. A new model that predicts weather patterns in 50 years' time cannot be said to have been tested until 50 years have elapsed. Even then, we will have only one data point, which is hardly enough to confirm any theory.
A look at the websites of the candidates as well as media coverage reveals that all of the Democratic candidates for President have presented detailed plans for addressing climate change that include four components: carbon caps and targets; fuel efficiency measures; renewable electricity standards; and efficiency targets. They also generally oppose coal power plants unless greenhouse gases are sequestered.
Is it necessary to point out that those in NIWA and the Royal Society of NZ, with the connivance of the Minister for Climate Change Issues, Nick Smith, who resist the release of New Zealands temperature records for independent examination, risk similarly magnified scrutiny just because of their resistance?
China and India as well as heavy demand from the biofuels industry ."
Heavy snow is expected on Wednesday in parts of Canterbury and Marlborough, with the MetService warning snow could be more than 1 meter (3 feet) deep in places.
4. United Nations Environment Programme - Agreement to Cooperate on Activities and Facilities to Support the UNEP Division of Early Warning and Assessment in North America
A plastics plant wanted to install a heat exchanger that would recover waste heat from one of its natural gas-fired units. As a result, natural gas consumption would have fallen 7.5 percent and emissions of NOX would have fallen by 7.5 percent, SO2 by 5.8 percent, CO by 7.6 percent, PM by 9 percent, and VOCs by 9.3 percent. However, because the boilers required back-up firing with oil during the winter to ensure operation, the actual-to-future-potential emission test would have caused the project to trigger NSR. To avoid NSR, the company says it is considering burning more fuel oil over the next two years to increase the base level of emissions (actual emissions).
The last two years have been a real Arctic nightmare for greens who hate the human race, but it gets much worse. There has been a massive increase in the amount of oldest and thickest sea ice in the Arctic over the past three years, and next year is set to double the amount of five+ year old ice.
EPA stalling policy to prevent politicizing science
These totalitarian green decrees are fraudulent, illegal and unconstitutional. They severely impair the rights of people to enjoy affordable, reliable energy and the quality jobs, living standards, health and welfare such energy brings.
Also youll note there is a difference in the annual cycles of the sea surface temperatures in the eastern and western equatorial Pacific in Figure 4-40. The two cycles per year in the western equatorial Pacific are of course due to the fact that the Sun crosses the equator twice annually. The reasons for single cycle in the eastern equatorial Pacific are still being debated. A good overview of the proposed reasons can be found in the introduction to Wang and Wang (1999) .
Video: Police officer threatens concealed-carry driver with execution, beating; Update: Officer relieved of duty, under investigation:
By Betsy McCaughey, The Shreveport Times, Aug 7, 2015
One country adopting trade sanctions, or a few countries doing so, will merely change the geographic pattern of trade flows. It would do little net harm to China and India. As GHG controls raised U.S. production and transport costs, countries like Japan with low-carbon processes for producing steel, aluminum, or other energy-intensive goods would raise their exports to the U.S. At the same time, these countries could boost their own imports from China and India to fill the gap left by their higher exports. The Chinese and Indians would be largely indifferent to the change. The threat of U.S. action will, therefore, put little pressure on them.
Whoand whatexactly is this "spornosexual"? As described by Simpson, the "spornosexual" is a man who has become everything to himself, and then given a one-ticket exhibition in the Louvre. He is his own inspiration, his own disciple, his own jealous lover. The image of himself upon which he expends so much attention and effort holds his admiration; the product of countless hours of consuming "selfies, social media, and porn," his body is essentially himself "photoshopped in real life." But the phenomenon is something beyond simple egoism, preening, or dandyism instagrammed and selfied. It is its component of physical exhibitionism that distinguishes it as something new and remarkable:
Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University and author of Landscapes & Cycles: An Environmentalists Journey to Climate Skepticism
Since wind and solar also run the risk of not producing enough electricity, grid operators have to keep excess conventional power reserves running just in case. Power demand is relatively predictable over time and conventional power plans, like nuclear plants and natural gas, can easily adjust output.
Using the Wilson cloud chamber , in 1927, Dimitr Skobelzyn photographed the first ghostly tracks left by cosmic rays.
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) A federal wildlife biologist whose observation in 2004 of presumably drowned polar bears in the Arctic helped to galvanize the global warming movement has been placed on administrative leave and is being investigated for scientific misconduct, possibly over the veracity of that article. And then there's that problem with the sheep...
These comments were not acknowledged in the Final Report, Climate Change The IPCC Scientific Assessment (1990) which only listed four individual comments from New Zealand.
"Now I don't assert where he was born, I will just tell you that we are all certain that he was not raised with an American experience. So these things that beat in our hearts when we hear the National Anthem and when we say the Pledge of Allegiance doesn't beat the same for him." U.S. Rep. Steve King of Iowa.
16b. The ability of global climate models to reproduce precipitation observations
The fact that this has not happened is actually enormously strong evidence against both positive feedback and catastrophe. Yes, anthropogenic CO 2 may have shifted all the attractor temperatures a bit higher, it may have made small rearrangements of the attractors, but there is no evidence that suggests that it is probably going to suddenly create at new attractor far outside of the normal range of variation already visible in the climate record. Is it impossible? Of course not. But it is not probable.
Other scientists contest the IPCC assumptions, on the grounds that the climatological effect of increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide is trivial and that the climate is so complex and insufficiently understood that the net effect of human emissions on global temperatures cannot be forecasted.
In the September 7 Gazette article, "Global warming makes firefighting more dangerous," Running is quoted saying "Since 1986, longer, warmer summers have resulted in a fourfold increase of major wildfires and a sixfold increase in the area of forest burned, compared to the period from 1970 to 1986." Fortunately for scientific truth, the National Interagency Fire Center keeps detailed statistics on wildfires going back to 1960. The objective data show wildfires are decreasing, not increasing, as the planet modestly warms.
YouTube - Patrick J. Michaels on Climate Change
Despite the Obama Administrations hostility to fossil fuels, the U.S. is the worlds largest natural gas producer and third largest and fastest growing crude oil producer. The United States is poised to develop and export energy to the advantage of the American economy and permanently reduce Russias control over European energy markets, Rep. Bridenstine added. Control a nations energy and you control the nation. The biggest hurdle to the American energy renaissance and European energy security is not Moscow, but Washington D.C. Our bill frees up the private sector and gets the government out of the way.
conundrum of peer review in science. Peer review is asymmetric: The
On average, Antarctic sea ice reaches minimum on 20th February, about a month earlier, relatively speaking, than the Arctic. It is likely then that we will see a new record high minimum set this month. The current record was set in 2008, with 3.691 million sq km.
Prof Richard Tol calculated that climate change would be beneficial up to 2.2C of warming from 2009 (when he wrote his paper). This means approximately 3C from pre-industrial levels, since about 0.8C of warming has happened in the last 150 years. The latest estimates of climate sensitivity suggest that such temperatures may not be reached till the end of the century if at all. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, whose reports define the consensus, is sticking to older assumptions, however, which would mean net benefits till about 2080. Either way, its a long way off.