Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In 2012, global coal use increased by the equivalent of 2 million barrels of oil per day. That was more than three times the growth of non-hydro renewables (solar, wind, biomass, and geothermal), which were up by 600,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
No, to the contrary. Over the long term the number of deadly tornadoes has even dropped dramatically. However, we have to expect that more people will be hit by tornadoes in the future. Not because there are more storms, but because the population is growing and suburbs and cities are expanding. In any case, 2011 is an unusually violent tornado year and itis just a fluke.
Bishop Hill asks , Does the committee really think its fine to hide important information from policymakers so long as you report it in the literature?
The charge against The Australian is summed up by Clive Hamilton, who has accused the newspaper under the leadership of Mitchell of running a virulently anti-greenhouse line, allowing the news pages to become a parody of dispassionate journalism, verballing scientists and attacking science in pursuit of a larger ideological battle.
"This request for documents, indeed the statute authorizing it, put academics on notice that they must do their work openly, honestly, and using the traditional approach of the observer who is indifferent to the outcome of the experiment. That is in grave doubt in the instant case. It is troubling how saying so is considered unacceptable, amid escalating name-calling against an attorney general who is operating under a unanimously enacted law, which plainly applies, about which no one previously complained."
"Internet giant Google says more than 244,000 Germans have asked that their homes be made unrecognizable in its Street View program, scheduled to launch in Germany next month."
The lame duck session and 111th Congress finally ended, without the White House getting key items on its wish list. So now, the Environmental Protection Agency and Interior Department intend to impose costly, job-killing, economy-strangling new rules for power plants and refineries, and implement more land-grabs that will lock up additional millions of acres and more billions of dollars of American energy.
The problem is that this graph does not appear to be correct. Other data sources show Arctic ice having made a nice recovery this summer. NASA Marshall Space Flight Center data shows 2008 ice nearly identical to 2002, 2005 and 2006. Maps of Arctic ice extent are readily available from several sources, including the University of Illinois, which keeps a daily archive for the last 30 years. A comparison of these maps (derived from NSIDC data) below shows that Arctic ice extent was 30 per cent greater on August 11, 2008 than it was on the August 12, 2007. (2008 is a leap year, so the dates are offset by one.)
The reason he made that prediction is because the ice was very thin that summer. No one made any predictions like that this year, because the ice is much thicker. That is why I think PIOMAS is completely FOS. They claim that the ice is half as thick as 2008.
Gore has garnered widespread media attention both for his book on global warming, An Inconvenient Truth, and its film adaptation. Since their respective releases, however, many critics have noted factual inaccuracies, exaggerations and misleading statements throughout both versions. Earlier this week, a judge in the United Kingdom went so far as to bar the film from being shown in government schools in that country unless a disclaimer message was also presented.
Gilles nod to the iconic muscle-car is a slap in the face of President Barack Obama, who recruited Fiat CEO Sergio Marchionne to come to Detroit as a missionary teaching the savages how to make proper, fuel-sipping Euro-econoboxes. Indeed, one of the key benchmarks that Marchionne had to meet to assume ownership of the Rochester Hills-based automaker was to bring a 40 MPG car stateside.
Why do advocates of the dangerous warming hypothesis resort to ad hominem attacks? Is it to protect science? If so, it is misguided. Progress in science depends heavily on research by skeptics.
Characteristic bleaching scars and isotope temperature records from coral cores commonly show evidence of past bleaching events going back thousands of years. There is no evidence for a recent increase in frequency and/or severity of bleaching events and nothing to link extended periods of calm winds with global warming.
U.N. climate talks aren't going anywhere.
Environmentalists in both countries have kept natural gas out of the Clean Energy Dialogues because many are ambivalent about hydrofracturing technology, and some feel that as a fossil fuel, natural gas use shouldn't be encouraged. That was the prevailing view in the Obama campaign in 2008, and proved influential when this initiative was launched.
OK, so what does this tell us? Well, we can do something interesting with this chart. We have actually moved part-way to the right on this chart, as CO2 today is now at 385ppm, up from the pre-industrial 280ppm. As you can see, I have drawn this on the chart below. We have also seen some temperature increase from CO2, though no one really knows what the increase due to CO2 has been vs. the increase due to the sun or other factors. But the number really cant be much higher than 0.6C, which is about the total warming we have recorded in the last century, and may more likely be closer to 0.3C. I have drawn these two values on the chart below as well.
How many times can official science be wrong before governments stop acting on the claim that human CO2 is causing climate change? The latest example is the claim that atmospheric CO2 levels are higher and show the largest one year increase on record .
Many have already written the obituaryfor the Kerry-Lieberman bill and other cap-and-trade legislation in the current Congress. In todays Politico , however, columnist Darren Samuelsohn quotes Sen. John Kerrysrejection of that assessment:No, its not dead because were going to have a lame duck session and we have weeks ahead of us.
Climate models have been programmed to show global warming and all of its manifestations in response to rising energy imbalance values. But modeling groups go through very different gyrations (by manipulating clouds?) with the two computer-calculated components of the Earths energy budget at the top of the atmosphere in order to achieve that warmingwhich indicates there is no consensus on how Earths atmosphere and oceans have responded in the past, are responding now, and will respond in the future to manmade greenhouse gases. No consensus whatsoever.
"Most egregious of all," Joel comments, "the NRDC report was authored by prominent university and government climate and public health scientists." These seemingly non-political researchers (Joel names names) lent "the color of their scientific credentials and government and university affiliations" to NRDC's effort to mislead the public.
A year later he co-authored another Greenpeace publication titled New Zealand Energy Revolution: How to Prevent Climate Chaos. It features a foreword by (and photograph of) Pachauri.
That's what Robert Samuelson, noted economic journalist and Newsweek Pundit, called global warming in the July 9 Washington Post. In an article that looked an awful lot like an op-ed the post printed two weeks earlier. Samuelson did what we've been doing at WCR for years now: He led with the science, scored with a barrage of uncertaintles, and got a TKO with the political improbability of large reductions in greenhouse emission.
(He also noted) that U.S. floods have not increased in frequency or intensitysince 1950 and economic losses from floods have dropped by 75 percent as a percentage of GDP since 1940. Tornado frequency, intensity, and normalized damages have also not increased since 1950, and Pielke even notes that there is some evidence that this has declined.
Little Ice Age May Return Soon, Russian Scientists Say
Bryan Walsh: Why West Nile Virus Is a Self-Inflicted Wound
Climate warming continues, but its taking a break. The reasons for that, among others, are the temporary weak solar irradiance and phenomena such as La Nia.
In addition to the Russian crew of 22, the expedition team consists of 18 professional scientists from Australia and New Zealand, and 22 volunteer science assistants. They are members of the public, ranging in age from their 20s to their 70s. They paid to join the scientific adventure
The results of this study clearly show, contrary to the predictions of some - such as Butzer (1980), for example - that a northward migration of climatic zones in central North America does not appear to be occurring. The authors say that "this suggests a lack of evidence for any systematic wintertime warming in the central United States that might be anticipated under a global-warming scenario." They also note that the same holds true for the summer-sensitive Dfa/Dfb climate boundary (where Dfa climates have distinctly warmer summers than Dfb climates), as demonstrated by Mitchell and Kienholz (1997) in a similar study based on July mean temperatures in the north-central and northeastern United States. These studies thus make an even stronger case than we make for the non-existence of global warming, as we only claim it has not warmed since 1930 (see our Editorial of 1 July 2000 ). References
What will be interesting to see, is what political bribes will be distributed under the table this time. In Copenhagen, the Danes, desperate to fulfil their mission as hosts, during the meeting broke of with Dalai Lama, to appease the Chinese. Will the Mexicans round up the usual suspects in the drug cartels, or increase control over the northern border, to make the US happy? And what will the Chinese do, in order to make sure everyone is happy with their common denominators? May I humbly suggest releasing some dissidents and improving civil liberties.
Sadly, Emerson embarrasses himself and will once day blush at his timidity by still hiding behind this deceitful evasion:
Tonight on the Senate floor, Senator Inhofe urged his colleagues to join him in the effort to stop President Obama's war on fossil fuels and affordable energy. In the next two weeks, the Senate will vote on a resolution by Senator Inhofe that requires a simple majority of those voting and present; this resolution would overturn the Obama EPA's Utility MACT rule, which is specifically designed to shut down coal plants across the country. It would send EPA back to the drawing board to craft a rule that balances environmental protection and economic growth, instead of killing coal in American electricity generation.
Global Warming Scandal Makes Scientific Progress More Difficult, Experts Say
Obama's Words on Carbon Dioxide, Drilling Contradict His Actions
However, John Cook, the cartoonist turned warming fanatic who runs the misleadingly-named Skeptical Science website, has just posted a piece by his still more fanatical sidekick, Dana Nuccitelli, attacking Roy Spencers recent verbatim interview with the Catholic Online website .
For those new to this discussion, the Earth is said to have an Energy Budget . Trenberth et al. (2009) Earths Global Energy Budget provided a reasonably easy-to-understand discussion of the factors that impact that budget at the top of the atmosphere. My Figure 1 is Figure 1 from Trenberth et al. (2009). Focus your attention on the values of the three components at the top of the atmosphere. Those factors balance. That is, the energy from the sun (incoming solar radiation, a.k.a. Incident Shortwave Radiation) is equal to the sum of the sunlight reflected back to space (reflected solar radiation, a.k.a. Outgoing Shortwave Radiation) and the infrared radiation the Earth emits to space (Outgoing Longwave Radiation). The hypothesis of human-induced global warming says that manmade greenhouse gases cause an imbalance in that budget.
Nor has the looting been restricted to property and purse. Some have seized the chance to blame climate change and push the alarmist agenda. They are what might aptly be described as climate looters. To their credit, the majority of proponents of global warming have not attempted to claim the floods as due to human induced climate change. However, for a few it seems the temptation was too great to resist and, as might now be expected, the media have afforded them prominent coverage. Also not unexpectedly, the ABC has been prominent in propagating this blatant alarmist opportunism.
Silly me, I thought the point of worrying about sea level rise was the concern about sea-rising compared to the beaches, what??s the point of building a levee to keep out the water if the beaches are rising as well?
Soylent Green Jr has linked to an article at Grist with news that seem rather incredible.
There are no good ways to die, but death by the West Nile virus is worse than most. The tropical disease begins in birds, which pass it on to mosquitoes that then go on to infect human beings with a bite. Most people who contract West Nile dont experience any symptoms at all, but about 1 in 5 suffer fever, headaches and body aches, usually lasting a week or so. A far less lucky 1 in 150 experience high fever, tremors, convulsions, paralysis and coma. Some especially the immunocompromised and the elderly die.
This reversal of attitude in climate change policies is already evident in the response to the President's newly announced pact with China to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and his promised $3 billion contribution to a UN climate fund designed to help poor counties deal with potential impacts of climate change.
The wind production tax credit has expired and should not be renewed retroactively. The credit was worth 2.3 cents per kilowatt hour and generally applies for 10 years. The credit should be ended because energy produced by windmills is more expensive than energy generated by natural gas, and so using wind energy raises people's utility bills. The Energy Department calculates that energy produced by wind is 30% more expensive than energy produced by a natural gas plant.
The FOIA request was not entirely complied with, and CEI just filed an appeal over documents still being withheld. In addition to withholding many internal communications, the administration is withholding communications with these lobbyists and other related communications, claiming they constitute "inter-agency memoranda." This implies that, according to the DoE, wind industry lobbyists and Soros's Center for American Progress are for legal purposes extensions of the government.
Their citation here is a bit wonky, as the citation seems to be to our E&E article, whereas the topic was discussed in our GRL article and our Reply to Huybers (not cited here, although perhaps intended in McIntyre and McKitrick 2005c, not listed in the references). In our article, we tried to show that spurious RE statistics could be expected to arise under Mannian methods, adding these example to the traditional ones. However, these red noise examples were not intended as a universal inventory of all possible situations merely an example and a highly pertinent example.
It is not necessary to enter into intense and technical debate over economic methodology to get to the heart of what is problematic about Waxman-Markey. The EPA's latest analysis of the bill offers a range of estimates similar to the CBO's. The EPA offers multiple scenarios of how Waxman-Markey might play out because the agency acknowledges that "uncertainties could significantly affect results"; depending on which scenario one selects, the cost in 2020 will be between $84 and $105 per household per year, but rising to as much as $1,000 per household by 2050. Here is a puzzle: when the EPA scored the Lieberman-Warner cap-and-trade billwhich also sought an 80 percent reduction in GHG emissions by 2050last year, the agency reported much higher estimates for what on the surface looks identical to Waxman-Markey.
Arctic sea ice is disappearing in summer much faster than scientists expected. That?s not just evidence of climate change; the ice itself is changing the climate, and it may be affecting weather as far away as Utah.
NASA used to be an international symbol of American strength and know-how. Instead, Obama has turned it into a national joke and after Thursday's rocket failure, a national embarrassment.
The record provides evidence for substantial warmth during Roman and Medieval times, larger in extent and longer in duration than 20th century warmth.
Climate Change and Public Policy: European and American Approaches to Kyoto
I wouldnt write off solar variability as a cause yet Roy. Judy Curry and Peter Webster both say you were right to model the ocean down to 1000m despite what Pierrehumbert said. This means extra solar energy gets stored in the ocean on a multi-decadal timescale, because the energy stratifies in layers and cant escape upwards while the sun is more than averagely active. The sunspot number has on average risen since the little ice age.
It is not a crime to disagree with the administration or any member of your local, state or federal government. However, a group of state attorneys general, calling themselves "AGs United for Clean Power," has made it its mission to silence debate on a critical issue of the day by violating the free speech rights of CEI and more than 100 other organizations and private individuals.
How does this affect you? All Americans should be able to advocate in support of causes they believe in. Regardless of your position on climate change, this assault on free speech is profoundly unjust. Worse, a dangerous precedent is being set. The message from these lawless government officials is: if you disagree with the government's agenda, they can use their authority to silence you. So if the actions of this coalition of attorneys general stand, whether the issue is vaccines, GMOs, stem cell research, or any politically-charged topic, you could find a government official coming after you as well.
The great problem with climate change is that it no longer seems like a scientific theory, but more like a 21 st century version of the pre-Reformation Catholic Church, complete with evangelists, tithes, indulgences and bizarre superstitions.
Its time to reject dishonest feel-good campaigns for ethanol like this:
1973 Shock News : Columbia University Warned That We Were Going To Freeze To Death
USPS puts significant blame on shift to online communication for $8.5 billion loss:
Chu claims that there is a 50% probability "of disastrous social, economic and political risks" in a few decades. The catastrophe is supposed to be caused by the greenhouse effect that will heat the planet up by 5 C.
We were not told that taking a single month (or even a decade) out of context is not how grown-up scientists evaluate temperature trends; nor that the NCDC temperature record has been repeatedly tampered with so as to suppress warming in the early 20 th century and enhance it over recent decades. The effect is artificially to bump up the otherwise negligible warming rate by more than the puny March 2015 record temperature:
Yes, the technologies behind the shuttle program are outdated, and yes, it has cost us money, some $200 billion over the last four decades. Still, Atlantis' last flight is a sad day for those who believe in America's greatness and a happy day for those who welcome America's decline.
Trends are included in the graphs. Besides that what do the graphs show? Well to me they show that setting the regpar value, or truncated total least squares truncation parameter (regpar) to a value greater than 1 results in a flat or negative trend which is more consistent with John Christys work. With only 3 pcs for an entire continent as in the first 3 graphs and allowing the regpar to be a value other than 1 doesnt hurt the overall appearance but the trend is lost. The same thing happens with 4 pcs or even 10 pcs. A regpar value of 1 makes it work.
SIMON SANTOW (ABC World Today): Sixty per cent of the 235 catchments are rated poor to moderate most are declining. ( source )
That new data will be considered in the IPCCs next assessment report regarded by governments and scientific groups as the worlds pre-eminent scientific document on climate change and should lead to an increase in predictions of sea-level rises, Professor van Ypersele said.
Yet none of this unsettles the rush to kill debate. The Los Angeles Times has even announced that it will no longer print letters to the editor questioning man-made global warming. Had the Times been printing before Columbus, perhaps it would have banned letters saying the Earth was round.
So if you use I.E. you are running wide open, and will be for a while Oh, and the fix is something suited for the Tech Savy to do but they wont be running I.E. anyway, IMHO.
K = 3 corresponds to an OPTIONS.neigs value of 3. This means they want to define the temperatures of an entire continent by linear combinations of only 3 trends. You have to wonder why only 3. As far as I know, there are no references in the paper, SI or anywhere I could find to the actual value of OPTIONS.regpar.
Looking at this from a wider angle, Senators might ponder what would have happened if Reps. Waxman and Markey, instead of introducing a cap-and-trade bill, had introduced legislation authorizing the EPA to do exactly what it is doing now regulate greenhouse gases through the Clean Air Act as it sees fit.Such abill almost certainly would have been dead on arrival. Under the leadership of Lisa Jackson and Gina McCarthy, the EPA has morphed into a Super Legislature, enactingclimate and fuel economy policiesCongress has not approved and would reject if introduced as legislation and put to a vote.The Senate cannot confirm McCarthy as EPA Administratorwithout rewarding the agencys regulatory overreach.
An impact on an ice sheet does seem reasonable as the evidence from the ongoing investigation points at the impact occurring somewhere in north-central North America near what is now the Great Lakes. Unfortunately, there is no crater evident and the projected impact should have left some imprint on the earth, even if it was a cluster of meteorites or an airburst. Lets take the researchers at their word and look where the evidence points-the Great Lakes.
Climate Change Doubt Is Tea Party Article of Faith:
Here Sam provides a one page discussion by Christopher Monckton on the games that people play with climate numbers.
Now, I feel the urge to mention that the cloud cover may vary because of nearly unpredictable complex phenomena in the atmosphere; and because of controllable external effects such as cosmic rays. Both of these categories of effects have to be studied carefully if we want to understand the changes in the energy flows and temperatures.
To obtain a PSD permit,firms mustdocument their compliance withbest available control technology (BACT) standards.Even apart fromany technology investments needed to comply with BACT, the PSD permitting process is costly and time-consuming. In 2007, each permit on average cost $125,120 and 866 burden hours for a source to obtain, and $23,280 and 301 hours for EPA or a state agency to process, EPAestimates .No smallbusiness could operate subject to the PSD administrative burden.
The False Allure of Group Selection , Pinker explains in quite some detail why he has a problem with the very concept and philosophy of group selection.
3. We have shown that surface air water vapor changes over time must be accounted for in the assessment of long term surface air temperature trends ( see Pielke Sr., R.A., C. Davey, and J. Morgan, 2004: Assessing global warming with surface heat content and Davey,
The ultimate conclusion of this study is that rising temperatures and elevated CO2 will be beneficial for dwarf bamboo that the pandas feed upon, as it will lead to the production of more equally-nutritious dwarf bamboo tissue?? Read More
Graeme Pearman and Eigil Friis-Christensen, Mittagong, April 5, 2008
As discussed, EPA considers emissions increases due to increased operation that could not be physically or legally accommodated during the representative baseline period but for the proposed physical or operational change, to result from the change.22