Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It is strange that the IPCC panel should link recent extreme weather events to global warming because quite simply there has been no global warming to speak of for 10-15 years now based on the official climate data from the governments of the world [US /NCDC, ENVIRONMENT CANADA and THE EUROPEAN ENVIRONMENTAL AGENCY. Recently US meteorologist Anthony Watts showed that the continental U.S. has not warmed in the last 10 years, and in fact has grown cooler in the summer and colder in the winter. The climate data numbers come from the National Climatic Data Center.
Unlike King Canute, who knew he couldn't command the tides, King Gray Davis seems to believe that he can override the laws of economics. Apparently he thinks he can order both that the rates be kept down and that the lights be kept on. We all might wish for a world free from economics, bad weather, accidents, or deaths, but we must face reality. When Jimmy Carter imposed price controls on gasoline, we had shortages and long lines at the filling stations. When Ronald Reagan removed the controls, the lines disappeared and, within a short time, prices started falling.
Department of Energy officials said they understand that Fisker has experienced production delays, but said they are not uncommon for a new company. And the department remains hopeful about the company's future, in part because it has successfully raised more than $650 million in private sector investment to support its ongoing operations.
Geoengineering science is in its infancy and will not now attract the support of venture capital and private markets. Like national defense, climate change is at this stage a job for government. Yet it is astonishing how little federal funding is dedicated to it.
Global Warming Crusaders Lose Steam, Tempers
When I pointed out to him that he sounded a lot like Jimmy Carter, who put
And so in 1982, the administration decided it had to raise revenues by increasing excise taxes, removing corporate tax deductions, and so on: a huge peacetime tax increase. And yet somehow Reagan persuaded the country that he opposed this tax increase, that it was forced on him, that it was the work of Democrats in Congress.
I was meaning to write about the cringe-inducing website called Skeptical Science and todays Revkins piece at dotEarth finally pushed me forward.
As of May 2015, 15.5 million people in the U.S. were self-employed, according to the Bureau of Labor Statisticsan increase of roughly 1 million since May 2014. That number is expected to keep growing at a steady clip. By 2020, a separate study estimates that more than 40% of the American workforce, or 60 million people, will be independent workersfreelancers, contractors, and temporary employees.
2nd largest wind facility in Canada when opened in 2006
Climate science history: The Original Climate Skeptics
Clear Skies apparently didn't cause enough economic pain. It reduced real pollutants; it didn't address President Obama's pet cause of climate change. It did not achieve the goal they really want to impose: ending coal. So now instead of having a reasonable and effective mercury reduction plan already in place and working for the American people, President Obama wants to implement EPA's Utility MACT rule in order to kill coal.
SM: I think he's just a pop economist who likes to be a contrarian. If you read some of the things he's been saying recently, he's become kind of a class warfare crusader on tax cuts. I feel like he doesn't really have any economic philosophy or guiding post. He likes to be controversial and likes to take potshots at free-market people like Milton Friedman and Fred Smith.
McCulloch et al . make a good case for their conclusion that their IpHRAC model indicates that "ocean acidification combined with rising ocean temperatures should have only minimal effects on coral calcification," which they say is "a direct outcome of their ability to up-regulate pH at the site of calcification." In fact, they say that the enhanced kinetics from increasing sea surface temperatures more than compensates for reduced calcification from declining seawater saturation state, "consistent with recent findings for long-lived Porites corals from Western Australia," citing Cooper et al . (2012). References
On the surface, de Boer's rethink is welcome, but it is actually an example of green imperialism. Developing nations must be allowed to develop, and this laudable goal of the original Kyoto agreement must not be forgotten. Taken literally, de Boer's suggestion forces the developing world into environmental welfare dependency, remaining poor to keep the world's emissions low.
As Robin Pagnamenta, Energy Editor at The Times puts it, Government claims that Britain already supports nearly one million green-collar jobs have been exposed as a sham :
There is no systematic causal relationship between carbon dioxide levels and climate change simply because the greenhouse conjecture is not based on real world physics.
Its definitely time to get that sun screen out as Gravesend is officially one of the hottest places in the UK today.Temperatures reached 28.6C this afternoon, making it Kents warmest September 30 ever!
This, in other words, was a Soviet Union at the height of its global power and influence, both in its own view and in the view of the rest of the world. "We tend to forget," historian Adam Ulam would note later, "that in 1985, no government of a major state appeared to be as firmly in power, its policies as clearly set in their course, as that of the USSR."
This week in Durban, South Africa, delegates from 194 countries are meeting at the UN-sponsored World Climate Change Conference to discuss, again, combating climate change by reduction of carbon emissions, which may be a cause of global warming.
By the year 2050, however, the United States is expected to have a population of 420 million, according to Census Bureau projectionsmore than four times the population of 1910. In order to reach the 83 percent reduction target, per-capita CO2 emissions will have to be no more than 2.4 tons per persononly one-quarter the level of per-capita emissions in 1910.
Ballarat News, sport and weather | The Courier
Various key claims are contradicted by other more extensive work by the same researchers with no acknowledgment or discussion of this.
"You are my kind of crowd," Mr. Buckley told the crowd of more than 600. "Pro-smoking, pro-drinking, coal-burning."
As to what the "observed increase in global average temperature since the mid-20th century" has been, I present Figure 1the annual HadCRUT3 global temperature record from 1950 to 2009. The trend line has value of 0.117 C/decade which amounts to a total temperature increase of 0.702C over the 60 years from 1950.
Lord Monckton expressed climate change alarmism rather humorously. One hundred percent of scientists agree climate change is real. That is why we have weather forecasts. The climate has been changing for 4,567 million years since that first Tuesday on which the earliest wisps of the atmosphere formed. But less than a third of published climate scientists say they think global warming is man-made; only 0.3 percent of them think most of the past 50 years modest warming is our fault; and so far, no one seems to have asked them whether they think it is potentially catastrophic.
CEI Response: We never denied that ice melt is occurring at the edges. That has been widely reported, and our ad cited a study that reports accelerated ice loss (calving) at Greenland's coastal glaciers. Our point was that the thickening in the interior has not received anywhere near comparable coverage. Why is only scary news fit to print?
Inhofe: Senate Will Vote in Next Two Weeks on Effort to Stop Obama War on Coal
The irrational battle against GMO is just one front in a larger environmentalist war against the modern world. Climate change is another, one equally reflective of the dislike of industrialism and capitalism, which have created and distributed more wealth to more people than was even imaginable a century ago. The attack on hydraulic fracturing, part of the war against carbon, irrationally harms its own goal to reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide, for the switch from coal to natural gas, which emits half the carbon of coal, to generate electricity can "green" the environment more than anything the environmental lobby does. Particularly in the developing world, economic development, which for now is dependent on carbon-based energy, is the best way to protect the environment in the long run. Spending money on improving the environment is the luxury of those who aren't worried about their children eating for one more day.
How credible is this chain of reasoning? Although it is true that some peer review literature suggests a link between asthma and pollen, other literature contests such a link. For example, a 1993 peer-reviewed study stated that, "No association was found between visits for asthma attacks and airborne pollen levels."
OIRA is an heroic effort to gain control over the regulatory state. It must continually refine its ability to achieve that goal. It should not become part of the problem. The current report would not advance that mission.
Pride in their lives: Working-class voters are generally not a despondent group. Life is harder for them in many ways, but they take pride in who they are. They are not "bitter people, clinging to religion or guns"; they celebrate their lives and crave respect from the educated and wealthy classes. They flock to politicians who show genuine respect for their lives, and turn on those who display contempt or disdain.
"I've written previously about Mann's defaming me as a "serial climate misinformer' and "anti-science.' In recent weeks he has gone after Anthony Watts, Patrick Moore (founder of Greenpeace), and Bill Gates .
As can be seen, only three stations out of the thirteen show this year as being warmer. You will also note that I have indicated the climatological division for each station. There are six such divisions for Virginia, as listed below, so all divisions are represented. NOAA currently work out state temperatures by averaging temperatures across all stations within a division, and then weighting each divisions temperature according to its area. We can therefore repeat this logic with the differences calculated above.
This finding has evident repercussions for climate change and solar physics. Increasing TSI between 1980 and 2000 could have contributed significantly to global warming during the last three decades . Current climate models have assumed that the TSI did not vary significantly during the last 30 years and have therefore underestimated the solar contribution and overestimated the anthropogenic contribution to global warming.
"Even a cursory glance at the EPA guidance document makes one thing crystal clear -- the permitting process to reduce or control carbon dioxide emissions is costly, complex, and time-consuming," said Marlo Lewis, CEI Senior Fellow. "It would crush small businesses, if applied to them. However, before small businesses applaud EPA's "Tailoring Rule,' which temporarily exempts them from certain mandates, they should remember that Congress never authorized EPA to make climate change policy in the first place.
Florida, there has been a record number hit Japan 10?? and I saw a report
Anyway, I wanted to see if the Hill Country might be a good place to live as we head into the coming ice age.
Atmospheric scientist Katharine Hayhoe told OneNewsNow in 2014 that cold and snowy weather can occur in global warming.
Social cost of carbon estimates from the Interagency Working Group's 2013 technical support document are simply not credible and cannot justify the million lost jobs and trillions of dollars lost income from a carbon tax.
To do this, either past temperatures should be adjusted upwards, or current ones downwards. This would then offset the fact that, over the years, UHI has added a warming bias. But when we look at Reykjavik, we find that the opposite has occurred; past temperatures have been reduced instead of increased.
And these model predictions use underlying parameters highly favorable to the policies under examination; that is, assumptions that increase the predicted effects of the policies. The most important is a "climate sensitivity" (the temperature effect in 2100 of a doubling of GHG concentrations) assumption of 4.5 degrees, a number 50 percent greater than the median reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its latest assessment report. And even the latter is about 40 percent higher than the median of the estimates published in the recent peer-reviewed literature.
" using the tax code to punish these firms' employees is seriously wrongheaded. Many firms, unfortunately, have received government subsidies even before the was created. Sports teams frequently receive subsidies for new stadiums, but we don't tax athletes at 90 percent! We should end government subsidies to all these firms, but not punish individual employees who compete for the salaries the market will bear. The tax system is not the way to remedy an ill-conceived bailout. There is no way to separate firms receiving government money from the economy as a whole. This is a big foot in the door for confiscatory taxes that will produce anemic economic growth."
While the majority of journalists are still awakening from their intellectual slumber regarding climate science, the latest empirical global temperature measurements (RSS atmosphere temps and CO2 chart on the left) confirm what The Economist is essentially reporting global warming has gone AWOL and a slight cooling trend has developed over the last 10 years (a minus 0.42 degrees by 2100 if the trend persists).
2) UN Economists Propose Fast-Track Green Taxes For $100 Billion Climate Fund
Post Climategate, this worldwide trade, estimated at about $30 billion in 2006, is finding few takers. It is under attack following the renewed uncertainty over the role of human-generated CO2 in global warming. In the US, which never adopted any of this to begin with, there is a serious move now to finish off the cap-and-trade regime globally. It's a revolt of sorts. Six leading Democrats in the US Congress have joined hands with many Republicans to urge the Obama Administration to back off from the regime.
with the still controversial question of large-scale acid-rain-related forest
May the administration concluded a partnership agreement as a roadmap for
Phrased another way, manmade greenhouse gases in the climate models were expected to warm the surfaces of the global oceans at a rate of 0.16 deg C/decade for the past 32+ years, but the observed warming was only 0.08 deg C/decade. Thats an atrocious modeling effort. Now consider that this time period includes naturally occurring upswings in the surface temperatures of the North Atlantic and North Pacific (see the post here ) and youll begin to understand the full extent of the model failings.
Thus what there is to conserve in the nation's institutions is largely unappealing to the productive class. The modern aristocrats are the ones who want to conserve the political, social, and cultural institutions of today, for they rely on these forces for their comfortable existence. What is needed, then, is not conserving but reform. The problem is that the aristocracy has so strong a grasp of the levers of power that the means of reform scarcely exist.
For the fat-tailed distribution, I used a very similar form by replacing t/tau with (t/tau)^c. This makes the full equation
In a major review of ???temporal fluctuations in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts?? ??? as they titled their study of the subject ??? Kunkel et al . (1999) analyzed empirical data related to historical trends of several different types of extreme weather events and their societal impacts. This work revealed, in their words, that ???most measures of the economic impacts of weather and climate extremes over the past several decades reveal increasing losses.?? However, they found that ???trends in most related weather and climate extremes do not show comparable increases with time,?? suggesting that ???increasing losses are primarily due to increasing vulnerability arising from a variety of societal changes, including a growing population in higher risk coastal areas and large cities, more property subject to damage, and lifestyle and demographic changes subjecting lives and property to greater exposure.??
Of nearly 12,000 abstracts analyzed, there were only 64 papers in category 1 (which explicitly endorsed man-made global warming). Of those only 41 (0.3%) actually endorsed the quantitative hypothesis as defined by Cook in the introduction. A third of the 64 papers did not belong.
Nonutility industry spokesperson also testified to EPA that the threat of imposing a new, narrower interpretation of RMR&R; has prevented them from making investments that would improve energy efficiency and plant safety or that would reduce emissions. Here are just three of the many case studies presented during EPA's hearings:
HAVE you ever wondered what happens when corals grow so tall they are above sea level or whether the Great Barrier Reef could extend its range further south with global warming?
There is a growing backlash against this policy. The Republicans want to reverse it . Yvo de Boer, head of the Global Green Growth Institute, says: You really have to be able to offer these countries an economically viable alternative, before you begin to rule out coal. And Donald Kaberuka, president of the African Development Bank, says it is hypocritical for western governments, made rich by fossil fuels, to say to African countries, You cannot develop dams, you cannot develop coal, just rely on these very expensive renewables. African countries will not listen.
Furthermore, the suppression of votes in the Sandy destruction area will not change the electoral college totals since damage has been mainly in overwhelmingly blue states, but will greatly increase chances Obama will win the electoral vote but not the popular vote.
Senator Fielding says he would support any move by the Coalition to defer the vote .
Don't Put Eco-Finance Measures in Energy Bill
of two baboons when one is dominant. (A new member of a committee on which I served once asked me why
The relevant, loud experiment is CDMS (Cryogenic Dark Matter Search) in the Soudan Mine in Minnesota. Recall that in late 2009 , CDMS informed us about two dark-matter-like events and it has placed itself among the "dark matter is seen" allies in the "is the dark matter seen?" war on the new particle's existence .
Today, the World Trade Organization, together with the UN Environment Programme posted a report on trade and climate change that outlines how carbon border taxes may be consistent with WTO rules. It is a very careful discussion of relevant articles, their intent and interpretation, and related WTO cases (though no case has specifically dealt with climate change).
8. The sea ice cover for which the bears are uniquely evolved has been shrinking under climate change, forcing the bears off of the ice for longer periods and away from their main food source: seals. Only the summer ice extent is shrinking markedly. Ice in the spring has changed very little over the last 30 years, as has early summer ice . Spring and early summer ice is the most important for feeding on young seals, which there are more of because of longer ice-free periods. Ringed seals in the Chukchi are doing better than they were in the 1980s, meaning there are more seals for polar bears to eat.
The Fox said, Come, all! Lets join the queue!
Congressman Robert Kennedy, Jr. claimed "This is treason. And we need to start treating them as traitors."
Climate alarmists contend that global warming brings with it greater variability in all types of extreme weather conditions, drought being one of the primary phenomena they cite in this regard. Throughout the entire course of the 20th century, however, over which period of time they claim the earth warmed at a rate and to a temperature unprecedented over the past thousand to one million years (Hansen et al ., 2006), drought variability in north-central Minnesota was nowhere near 'unprecedented.' In fact, it was anomalously low . Reference
Europe, though, has had the opposite problem with their cap-and-trade system. In the first phase of the program, they printed more permits to pollute than anyone wanted. That drove the price of permits near zero, deeply annoying anyone who had paid up for the right to pollute. It also meant that the system was ineffective in restraining pollution. That would be hard to do with a carbon tax.
On the other hand, independent polls by newspapers, by Pew, Gallup, and other respected organizations, using much larger samples, have mirrored the results of my earlier AMS poll. But what has been most interesting is the gradual decline over the years in public support for DAGW, as shown by these independent polls.
I know a similar graph went up a couple of days ago around the web. The skeptics Handbook II was published on Friday Nov 20.
Crank of the Week - November 21, 2010 - Eric Schmidt
With fewer people than expected, pollution should decrease from expected levels, as should consumption of oil. Clean water and clean air should be more plentiful. We know that many of these people will be richerdriving more cars, consuming more resources. We also know that wealthy countries tend to be better at cleaning up their pollution than poor nations. With fewer people, open spaces should also be more abundant.
Williams Lake has never seen more snow fall in a 24-hour period than it did last Friday between Nov. 15 and Nov. 16, says this article in the Williams Lake Tribune.
This scattershot strategy has recently borne fruit in the Netherlands. In a ruling dated June 24, 2015, the Hague District Court (Chamber for Commercial Affairs) ordered the government of the Netherlands to implement climate change mitigation measures sufficient to achieve at least a 25 percent reduction (from 1990 levels) in Dutch carbon dioxide emissions from all sources (public and private) by 2020. Current government policies are projected to achieve a 14-17 percent reduction by 2020, with an 80 percent reduction by 2050. Indeed, the government is in full agreement with the plaintiffs and the court that an 80 percent reduction by 2050 is necessary to assure that carbon dioxide concentrations do not exceed 450 ppm by 2100.
Question: What is the level at which this temperature is monitored? Is T height invariant near the surface, if the lowest levels of the atmosphere are used to compute T?
Obama wanted to transform K12 education in America by nationalizing the curriculum. That would be illegal if done directly so he launched Common Core State Standards, a set of learning goals tied to achievement tests intended to force every K12 school, public as well as private or religious, to teach the left's perverse vision of English literature and dysfunctional theory of math instruction.
Three themes are emerging from the newly released emails: (1) prominent scientists central to the global warming debate are taking measures to conceal rather than disseminate underlying data and discussions; (2) these scientists view global warming as a political cause rather than a balanced scientific inquiry and (3) many of these scientists frankly admit to each other that much of the science is weak and dependent on deliberate manipulation of facts and data.
Q. And in your experience, as a statisticalmatter, is it a sound practice to draw conclusionsfrom an analysis which doesnt reach statisticalsignificance?
Yes, how much of frstrda miljvrden and economics, the DN acclaimed energiewende f cost?
Japan (#5), wants to keep open its options to burn more fossil fuels since the nuclear disaster at Fukushima.