Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In contrast, climate models all show RH staying constant, implying that specific humidity is forecast to increase with warming. So climate models show positive feedback and rising specific humidity with warming in the upper troposphere, but the data shows falling specific humidity and negative feedback.
In the 1984 movie Red Dawn communists invaded Colorado, and the first thing they did was disarm the citizenry. Then a gang of patriots the Wolverines fought back against the communists and ran them out.
Theyre thawing and filling up with water, Point Hope Mayor Steve Oomittuk said as he lifted a small wooden door to a cellar, surrounded by plastic sheets shielding the remaining snow cover from the sun. This spring, residents had to take some meat and blubber out and make room for it in their freezers at home.
President Bill Clinton signed the agreement in 1997, but the Senate refused to ratify it, citing potential economic damage. In 2001, President George W. Bush withdrew the United States from the Kyoto Protocol.
I was able to price shop policies online without creating an account, without giving up my social security number. The websites to do so worked and operated quickly
One problem, McIntyre writes, is that Rahmstorfs and Manns results are not based onproxies for Atlantic current velocity, but on a network consisting of iffy proxy series which are statistically indistinguishable from white noise . McIntyre comments: Its hard to understand why anyone would seriously believe (let alone publish in peer reviewed literature) that Atlantic ocean currents could be reconstructed by such dreck.. ..
Oh, what a difference a year makes in Greenland melting
The situation is rich with irony as well as uranium. While you can't mine yellowcake, it is perfectly legal in Virginia to process enriched uranium into usable nuclear fuel, which is somewhat dangerous to handle. A subsidiary of the French nuclear giant Areva operates a fuel fabrication facility in Lynchburg 50 miles from Chatham. It has been praised by Gov. Tim Kaine, a Democrat, as a good corporate citizen. The state is also home to four commercial nuclear reactors, which provide Virginians with 35% of their electricity. And, of course, the U.S. Navy operates nuclear ships out of Norfolk, Va.
But the thing for which I'd like to thank CEI most is its optimism.
We see this as a bit of a surprise, and potentially significant on a policy level because previous interpretations suggested that global warming might actually help plant growth around the world, Running said. This is a pretty serious warning that warmer temperatures are not going to endlessly improve plant growth.
National Journal reported last month that 19 of the 20 serious GOP Senate challengers declared that the science of climate change is either inconclusive or flat-out wrong. Many newly elected Republican House members take that position. It is a stance that defies the findings of our countrys National Academy of Sciences, national scientific academies from around the world and 97 percent of the worlds climate scientists.
Since we know that the Arctic was about 5C warmer during the Eemian/Sangamonian (MIS-5e) than it currently is and that there is no evidence of widespread permafrost melt above 60N, it??s a pretty good bet that the MIS-11 Arctic was 6-10C warmer than the Holocene Climatic Optimum.
I wish I could disagree with him, but I can't find fault in what Mark Steyn is saying . Is it not mind-boggling that after the conservative Tea Party revolution in the Republican Party that the two leading contenders ending up being Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich? Related: The gents at Ricochet discuss the situation with Glenn Reynolds.
It was minus 1.0 degrees in Gulmarg, two degrees below normal, while Pahalgam recorded minus 3.0 degrees today (Monday), three degree below normal.
"Obama spouts brazen lies," says astrophysicist
And now, during the past few months, EPA has been trying to use the prestigious National Academy of Sciences to cover-up and whitewash the agency's illegal experiments on humans. In secret, and with no public notice or opportunity to comment, the agencies held meetings and issued a draft report.
The level of warmth during the peak of the MWP (Medieval Warm Period) in the second half of the 10th century, equaling or slightly exceeding the mid-20th century warming, is in agreement with the results from other more recent large-scale multi-proxy temperature reconstructions.
Water quality has also skyrocketed. Along the river where I grew up in Wisconsin, a dozen pairs of bald eagles now nest where there were none when I was a kid, when you couldn't eat the fish or swim in the polluted water. The same thing happened across the USA. Other problems remain to be addressed.
dH/dt = f T/lamda (1)
On July 7, environmental activist Cedric C. Keith came to The Heartland Institute's Andrew Breitbart Freedom Center in Arlington Heights, Illinois to discuss his new book The Dying Fish: A Sojourn to the Source. At this interesting event, Keith spoke about his incredible 4,000-mile walk through the wilds of the Appalachian Trail to help preserve a supposedly endangered species: the brook trout. If you were unable to attend or watch the live-stream, you can see the whole presentation on our YouTube page. WATCH IT HERE
Yes, but not as much as you would think, or hope. More of the physics is now known, but it is impossible (see this review ) to completely insert this new physical understanding into the models. Many of the models subroutines are based on parameterizations , which are educated, but not infallible, guesses of how certain processes (like clouds) work. Other model components, such as how the atmosphere interacts with the ocean, land, and outer space, are increasingly crude approximations (the later, outer space, is related to orbital forcing, and is usually ignored). Other parts of the models are based on nothing more than assumptions of how the physics works in certain situations.
The 31-page summary for policymakers is based on a more technical 2,000-page analysis which will be issued at the same time. It also surprisingly reveals: IPCC scientists accept their forecast computers may have exaggerated the effect of increased carbon emissions on world temperatures and not taken enough notice of natural variability.
In past updates, in the following Hovmoller diagrams, Ive used the development of the 1997/98 El Nio as a reference for this years El Nio. That now seems to be overkill, because the feedbacks never kicked in this yearwhere all of the feedbacks freakishly aligned for the 1997/98 El Nio. The 1982/83 El Nio was a late bloomer; that is, it didnt really start to take off until later in the year, and it was a very strong El Nio too. So Ive switched reference years for this post.
One of the most publicized faces of the alleged global warming crisis is that of the polar bear, which some say is going extinct because a loss of habitat. But according to a new report by the National Center for Policy Analysis, coastal stations in Greenland actually show a cooling trend, Russian stations also show none of the predicted warming, and temperatures at the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet have decreased 4 degrees Fahrenheit per decade since measurements began in 1987. When you also consider that of the 20 known polar bear populations, only two are decreasing, while 10 are stable, and two are actually increasing, it appears polar bears may not be on such thin ice, after all.
Computer models as proof? Thats an adventurous claim. Even the IPCC reminds us that computer models only depict scenarios and can never be used as proof. Not a good start.
In agriculture, they worry about how well plants will grow. They worry about this a lot. So they develop ways to track and predict plant growth. Well, one of THE most effective methods uses something called Degree Days (or sometimes Crop Heat Units or Growth Heat Units or)
1) The missing ingredient for tornado formation is not a lack of warm moist air, but a lack of synoptic (large) scale wind shear .
Its announced goal of imposing global limits on greenhouse gas emissions will not be mandatory and ?President Obama has effectively gutted any meaningful agreement among the major industrialized nations, by having granted to the planet?s largest CO2 producer, China, free license to build as many coal power plants as they wish, and emit as many gigatons of greenhouse gases as they wish until 2030.?
Senate Environment and Public Works Chairman Barbara Boxer (D-CA) stated: "For nearly eight years, this Administration has tried to duck its obligation to address global warming pollution. A year ago, the Supreme Court ruled that greenhouse gases are covered under the Clean Air Act. Now, instead of action, we get more foot-dragging."
In his conclusion, Page says Often the signal for a climate direction change is a see-saw effect between Arctic and Antarctic sea ice. The Arctic is still reflecting the peak in the warming trend with low summer ice values. The first indication of a cooling event is however the increase in Antarctic sea ice which has already occurred. (See my post: The Arctic-Antarctic seesaw )
To believe in it, one must be a person with an almost metaphysical faith in the existence of the original Garden of Eden (the Earth unspoiled by men), in the fall of man from the Garden, in the final days of the world coming because of men who have spoiled it through their economic activities based on their insatiable demands, and in the necessity of spiritual renewal of all of us as the only way to save the Earth. This may be a possible and even respectable creed for an individual but an impossible and unrespectable position when it comes to public policy.
I was the first speaker, followed by Bill Eden, international representative of the United Association of Journeymen and Apprentices of the Plumbing and Pipe Fitting Industry of the United States and Canada. St-Onge rounded out the trio.
Lacher also discusses the second factor which is that deforestation rates are not fixed. He notes that most of the deforestation in the Amazon has taken place "along peripheral areas" of the basin and has not been in the heart of the rainforest. He contends there are not roads and other ways to get into the deeper interior "no way to get in, so it's not going to happen." .
The response from windmill advocates in Denmark was similar: such studies threaten Danish industry by reducing the chances that the U.S. will serve as the hoped-for massive new market to make inefficient energy sources profitable for their foreign manufacturers (Danish Radio TV News, Thursday, February 25, 2010).
Science: And that study has been debunked. The numerous attempts by meteorological agencies around the world to depress temperatures in the early 20 th century to make the centennial warming rate seem larger than it is have far outweighed any failure to measure temperature change in one tiny region of the planet.
Abandoning all pretence of objectivity, Sen. John McCain (RAZ) used his tenuous connection to the climate change issue to hold a stacked hearing on the subject before the Senate Commerce Committee on March 3.
"Al Qaeda and the Taliban haven't been able to bring down the CIA's Predator drones. But a new lawsuit alleging parts of their targeting software are pirated (and faulty) could."
Johnston is not attempting to arrive at a scientific conclusion regarding the global warming hypothesis. Rather, he is cross examining the "established climate story" by asking "very tough questions, questions that force the expert to clarify the basis for his or her opinion, to explain her interpretation of the literature, and to account for any apparently conflicting literature that is not discussed in the expert report" (6).
?Our analysis also leads to a relatively low and tightly-constrained estimate of Transient Climate Response of 1.3?1.8 C, and relatively low projections of 21st-century warming under the Representative Concentration Pathways.?
As a political organization, the Alliance rushed to invoke Article 5 within twenty-four hours of 9/11; as a military organization, NATO turned out to be as ill-prepared to do counterinsurgency in Afghanistan as the U.S. military in Iraq. It would be a mistake, however, to claim that NATO's credibility is at stake in Afghanistan. Afghanistan may have been the graveyard of empires in the past, but it won't be the graveyard of the Alliance for a simple reason already pointed out by one European observer:
Clinton proposed several measures to be taken to address global warming. First, he promised a billion dollars in foreign aid over the next five years to help promote energy efficiency, better resource management and economic growth in developing countries. $150 million per year will be direct aid focused on technical assistance and training to improve forest and energy sector management. $25 million per year will be in the form of USAID credit financing for climate-friendly development projects.
By Robin KcKie, The Guardian, UK, Aug 9, 2015
There are still three weeks until the scheduled Java Oct Critical Patch Update, so it might be possible that the bug will be addressed by the company on 16 Oct 2012, he said.
Amtrak, which loses money annually, is now embroiled in legal troubles.
The five Australian researchers report that "for 6 years, recruitment rates were <6% of those prior to the disturbance," and "on the basis of these rates of change," they say that "recovery was projected to take decades." However, within a mere 12 years , they indicate that "coral cover, recruitment, generic diversity, and community structure were again similar to the pre-bleaching years." And they say that the coral recovery "may have been even faster if not for a series of more moderate disturbances, including two cyclones, an outbreak of disease, and a second bleaching." What it means
Global coal use rises with the global demand for electricity.
More specifically, only if Western taxpayers ante up. Among other things, the Chinese communist regime insists that the incentive payments it demands must come from new, additional, adequate, predictable and sustained public funds" rather than mostly private financing, as the U.S. hopes.
To understand the answers to these questions, we must understand that this election is only the latest battle in what I have called the Fifty Years' War between progressives and conservatives for possession of America's political soul. One can understand the president's words and deeds only if we understand both what the war is about and how Democrats themselves differ about how to fight the war. So it is to that issue that I now turn.
Its really heartwarming (without even having to surround ones internal organs with greenhouse gases!!) to find that people that want to save the world by running complex computational models on supercomputers, are so (un)familiar with using common features of simple apps; and that people assigned by major international scientific publications to keep us informed about a problem that might engulf the planet, are (in)capable of showing much intelligent reasoning and to probe a situation with thoughtful questions and unprecedented insight.
As to the Arctic here on Earth: there are more polar bears and walrus now than recorded ever before and they dont look to be starving.
The chances are certainly now stacked against the sortof heavy snowfall in cities that inspired Impressionist painters, such as Sisley, and the 19th century poet laureate Robert Bridges, who wrote in "London Snow" of it, "stealthily and perpetually settling and loosely lying".
The authors write that "current state-of-the-art climate models fail to capture accurately the path of the Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Current," which model failure "leads to a warm bias near the North American coast, where the modeled Gulf Stream separates from the coast further north, and a cold anomaly to the east of the Grand Banks of Newfoundland, where the North Atlantic Current remains too zonal."
Most climate model simulations show a larger warming in the tropical troposphere than is found in observational data sets (e.g., McKitrick et al., 2010; Santer et al., 2013).
Climate models predict that rising atmospheric CO2 should cause temperatures in the lower atmosphere to increase more rapidly than at the surface. But just the opposite has happened. Surface, balloon, and satellite temperature trend data show no change in lower atmosphere temperatures during the last few decades, even as surface temperatures have risen. One potential explanation is that the surface temperature increases may be largely due to increasing urban heat island effects, rather than to greenhouse-gas buildup.
Assuming that nothing currently unforeseen happens, I have the following posts planned for the coming week:
After all, where there is a "national security" challenge, how could it be inappropriate to involve our "national security" institutions in solving it? If it has become the job of the CIA and the National Security Agency to worry about climate change making its potential impact a subject for their analysis and presumably therefore also their clandestine information collection what role should these organs play in working on childhood obesity, cell phone use, or the U.S. federal debt? (Actually, that example is too easy, since our intelligence agencies, at least, are generally barred from domestic activity. A more interesting question might concern the military, some elements of which we do often permit to have an operational role in domestic affairs in the face of significant threats, crises, or disasters.) Where there is a "national security" threat, why not a "national security" response?
Beck explained that Charles Keeling established Mauna Loa readings using the lowest afternoon measures. Beck notes
Global warming is a pivotal environmental and social issue of the 21st century. Its long time scales, diverse consequences, and direct ties to our global energyproduction infrastructure make it challenging for societies around the world to grapple with and threaten humanitys ability to mount an effective response. This challenge is compounded by the complexity of the Earth-human system. The fundamental science of greenhouse gas-induced climate change is simple and compelling. However, genuine and important uncertainties remain (e.g., the response of clouds,
A NOAA boffin knows what is wrong with the planet too many people and too much economic growth. Dr. Miller is in the fortunate position to do something about both on a personal level but will he be the change he advocates? After you, doc.
In a normal field, these results would pretty much wrap things up, but global warming/climate change has developed so much momentum that it has a life of its ownquite removed from science. One can reasonably expect that opportunism of the weak will lead to efforts to alter the data (though the results presented here have survived several alterations of the data already). Perhaps most important, these results will of necessity "offend the sensibilities of the educated classes and the entire East and West Coasts,' and who would want to do that.
Kerry told the audience: "We should not allow a tiny minority of shoddy scientists and science and extreme ideologues to compete with scientific facts. The science is unequivocal, and those who refuse to believe it are simply burying their heads in the sand. We don't have time for a meeting anywhere of the Flat Earth Society."
Of course, tugs-of-war between establishment forces and ideological wings are nothing new with our political parties. They have been a continuing factor for many decades. The Republican Party had deep-seated struggles between its Progressive wing, led by Teddy Roosevelt and Robert La Follette, and its conservative establishment, led by William Howard Taft and House Speaker "Uncle Joe" Cannon, going back to the turn of the 20th century.
A new paper finds computer models of extinction risk failed to consider that tropical species can adapt to climate change and that the models have therefore exaggerated extinction risks. Alarmists, such as James Hansen, have claimed that 21-52% of species could become extinct due to global warming , but this new paper suggests computer models have exaggerated risks of extinction by not considering species adaptation.
Reduce employment by 2.3 million jobs in 2015, 2.7 million jobs in 2020, 2.5 million jobs in 2030, and 3 million jobs in 2050;
A new report by the Business Roundtable (BRT) agrees that technology is the key, but only in the long run. The report reaffirms BRT's opposition to the Kyoto Protocol. The protocol, says the report, "does not include developing countries, it would have a negative impact on the U.S. economy and it would bring no significant global environmental benefit."
The U.S. has officially thrown its support behind the Indian nominee, Dr. Rahendra K. Pachauri, an engineer and economist. The State Department received an e-mail from Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone, an atmospheric scientist who is currently serving as the chancellor of the University of California, Irvine, urging it to at least replace Watson with another atmospheric scientist. But, since the position is entirely administrative, its not clear why it must be filled by an atmospheric scientist.
In fact, as I told several members of the the editorial board in person a few weeks ago, and as first posted here at MasterResource, the global impact even assuming a perfect Waxman-Markey bill (a 83% emission reduction by 2050) would be less than one-tenth ofone degree Fahrenheit in that year . And that analysis, and the bills estimated substantial costs, have not been refuted . Pending further review, in fact, Waxman-Markey badly flunks conventional economic cost/benefit analysis.
We see this as a bit of a surprise, and potentially significant on a policy level because previous interpretations suggested that global warming might actually help plant growth around the world, Running said.
And, finally, piloting the intellectual caboose was the ineffable Allison Macfarlane, now a professor at GWU, and the former chairman of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, an amazing fact given her performance at the event. At some point the topic of climate policy emerged, and Ms. Macfarlane made her view clear that reductions in "carbon" emissions are necessary.
The best Hope and strongest foundation is the work of thousands of less publicity-prone people that actually do love God and their neighbours.
Then yesterday, up early, off to Heathrow, the joys of security, the long, long ten and a half hour non-stop flight back to San Francisco, the two-hour bus ride, then forty-five minutes by car to our house at the end of a dead-end road in the redwoods. This morning I woke up at 4 AM, which is noon GMT, and couldnt sleep now that the suns up, heres what the view from my place looks like ... warm, lovely, and very peaceful.
Between 1998 and 1999, the World Health Organization revised the international codes used to classify causes of death. As a result, data from earlier than 1999 cannot easily be compared with data from 1999 and later.
Theres quite a bit of information in this graphic. Four different autocorrelation structures are shown here: none (OLS), AR1, ARMA(1,1) and fracdiff. For each autocorrelation structure, the log likelihood is shown for a profile of different slopes.