Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
It has 104 minutes but based on various hints and a quick selection, I believe it must be a pretty good one for an apparent amateur creator! Correct me if I am wrong but I hope you won't! ;-)
Roman and Medieval Warm Periods vs. the Current Warm Period (12 January 2015)
Chief scientist Michail Fragkias involved with ?Planet under Pressure? told MSNBC that ?the answer (to population growth) is denser cities.?
A Russian scientist says the regional heat wave taking place in Russia is not a sign of catastrophic climate change and that the permafrost has been thawing since the last ice age 10,000 years ago, and its rate of thawing is alsonot catastrophic.
Now the Obama Administration is unleashing a host of new mandates and standards, based on arbitrary "social cost of carbon" calculations that assume fossil fuel use imposes numerous climate and other costs, but brings minimal or no economic or societal benefits. The rules will require onerous new energy efficiency and CO2 emission reduction standards that will send consumer costs skyrocketing, while channeling billions of dollars to retailers, installers, banks and mostly overseas manufacturers.
But already at those places, and especially in Kosovo, I was growing suspicious that our path (actions in units of troops organized by NATO) isn't right...
Perhaps most hypocritical is the global-cooling scare promoted by, among others, Mr. Obamas science czar, John Holdren. Today, Mr. Holdren says a billion people may perish from global warming by 2020.
And including "climate change", as is being more and more talked about? Careful here. This is an ongoing debate and predictions are all but clear. And how do you intend to translate the virtual lack of global warming over the past decade into economic figures?
Shlaes leaves it to the reader to project lessons forward to our own time. The Democratic party lived large on FDR's high-tax, class-warfare playbook for nearly two generations. The Reagan Revolution put some of it into receivership, but the impulse to tax, regulate, and plan the economy remains embedded in contemporary liberalism, with John Edwards, among others, doing his best to revive New Deal-style populism and animus against wealth. We are now so far removed from the economic ruin of the New Deal's ill-considered economic interventionism that resistance to grand central fixes for health care, global warming, or outsourcing may be on the wane. With this prospect in mind, Shlaes's book could be called The Forgotten Lesson.
I put this up actually as an indicator of what climate science is trying to say about the Antarctic. It is apparently based entirely in fantasy world at this point, computer models predicting doom for penguins is certainly not a good thing cept the hockey team. I suspect that when temperature trends in the Antarctic are substantially lower than Climatology wants (Hansen is an example of an advocate and he does want it), these models will need to be updated. After the taxation and regulation but just in time to save the penguins.
This, unfortunately, is not atypical. Under gatekeeper Neal Lane , the Baker Institute has refused to allow fair, open debate about natural versus anthropogenic climate forces and has championed sky-is-falling government activism. For example, Lane/Baker:
Sneer quotes! Yeah that's a good one. Like they're Al Gore or something. And what the hell would an economist know about climate? What chance is there that an economist could add to the debate?
In their inaugural essay in Breakthrough Journal outlining what is meant by "modernizing" liberalism, Shellenberger and Nordhaus offered a number of departures from current liberal orthodoxy, including: "A new progressive politics must take liberalism's commitment to broadly-shared prosperity forward while leaving the old, redistributive agenda behind." Despite these and other tergiversations, the duo resist the label "neoliberal," not simply out of discomfort with the symmetry of the now-dreaded "neoconservative" but also because they think the neoliberalism of the 1980s and 1990s conceded too much to minimal-state libertarianism. They still believe in a strong role for the state as a modernizing force, but correctly perceive that liberalism's current power brokers (such as labor unions) are in fact reactionary forces, standing in the way of modernization, whether midwived by the state or by the private sector.
However, the largest of all the positive or temperature-amplifying feedbacks in the UN's arsenal is the water-vapor feedback. The UN gets this feedback wrong in numerous fundamental ways. For instance, its models tend to treat column absolute humidity as being uniform at all altitudes, when in fact as Paltridge et al. (2009) have demonstrated recently the upper troposphere (the only place where adding CO2 to the atmosphere could make any difference to temperature) is considerably drier than the models are tuned to expect.
State Sen. Evie Hudak resigned her seat Wednesday, ending a recall effort being waged against her days before gun-rights activists were to turn in petitions to try to oust the Democrat from office.
(16) Alarmists had indicated a decline of Antarctic ice due to warming. The upward trends since 1979 continues.
PHILIP: Hello, big guy. Circus in town?
"Environmentalists have long admitted to using fear to arouse public action," writes Berlau, who is a policy director at the Washington, D.C.-based Competitive Enterprise Institute. In ECO-FREAKS, Berlau exposes the often tragic consequences of modern environmentalism. From the banning of DDT to the collapse of the levees in New Orleans, environmentalists have used an idyllic image of "nature" to pursue a radical, anti-human agenda.
What the Europeans haven't come to terms with is that their policies and the policies of the respective member governments have put their economies in a lurch. Pushing the U.S. to adopt similar regressive European policies is not going to help their industries compete with the U.S., rather it will hurt the world economy, dragging everyone down.
Please allow me to add to James Glassman's excellent analysis of how the Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climate, which the United States recently announced, has shown the Kyoto Protocol to be yesterday's answer to yesterday's assessment of tomorrow's problem ("Way beyond Kyoto," Commentary, Wednesday).
I observed the other day that Eli Rabett had done a bait-and-switch, in which Eli showed a picture of a well-located new station at Niwot Ridge (started only in 2003) as a supposed refutation of criticisms of incinerators, barbecues and tennis courts at USHCN stations. In response, Eli observed his right to carrot pick. Rosanne DArrigo once told an astonished NAS panel that you have to pick cherries if you want to make cherry pie and I guess the same applies to carrots.
The Republicans want to be even more accepted in the ruling class. They want to be even more powerful. They want to be considered part of it. They want to be in the clique.
In an April 2013 article in Investor's Business Daily, John Merline reported that, "Overall air pollution levels dropped 62% from 1990 to 2012, while GDP grew 69% and population climbed 26%." The pollution the EPA keeps claiming is rising includes emissions of carbon monoxide, soot, sulfur dioxide, ozone, and others, all of which are well below the EPA's safety threshold. Water quality, too, has also improved over several decades.
In addition, stabilizing atmospheric CO2 concentrations Kyoto's ultimate goal is impossible without constraining energy use in developing countries. China's energy emissions alone will surpass those of the U.S. by 2020. Kyoto is, thus, the proverbial camel's nose under the tent. If it is ever ratified, developing countries will come under unrelenting pressure via foreign aid bribes or cutoffs, trade preferences or sanctions to implement energy policies far more restrictive than any currently under discussion. The time to head off that threat is now.
All communities, from small towns to major cities are by definition "vulnerable", but the air has undergone significant cleanup over the years, so this is not a common problem anywhere. As for cancer rates, they too have been in decline thanks to advances in medical care. It is doubtful that most Americans live in allegedly unsafe housing these days. Houses on both coastlines are vulnerable to ocean storms. Houses inland are vulnerable to floods and fires. There is nothing inherently "environmental" about this. It's about location.
The 74 people aboard the ice-bound ship have two weeks food left, but report that alcohol is running short.
We ourselves can't avoid blame for the science disaster uncovered by Mr. FOIA. As Peter Foster of London's Financial Times noted, we didn't heed President Dwight Eisenhower's warning. "Most people are aware of Ike's warning in 1961 about the military-industrial complex," Foster wrote. Our fatal error was to ignore what he said next: "In holding scientific research and discovery in respect, as we should, we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific-technological elite."
Three bulldozer operators worked on the 4th of July trying to break down mountains of snow still towering over parts of Anchorage after the city broke its annual snowfall record of 132.6 inches.
Recolonization has similarly undermined other classic doomsday stories. Parmesans iconic 1996 paper reported global warming had increased extinctions for the Ediths Checkerspot butterfly, but most of those extinct colonies in the Sierra Nevada have now been recolonized. Unfortunately the recolonization information was never published. (read here and here ).
If both sides viewed this marriage as one of convenience, 1199 got the better of it. In 1995, GOP governor George Pataki's first year in office, Republicans held 11 more state senate seats than Democrats; 20 years later, after falling into the minority in two of the four electoral cycles since 2008, their margin of majority control is just one seat.
IPCC produced a graph presumably showing global warming rates on the increase (see Figure 1). The graph uses a well known trick. In any length of a rugose (noisy in appearance) data set, one will encounter short portions steeper (flatter or of opposite sign) than the length as a whole. If the steeper portion happens to be at the end of the data set, it will appear that the rate of change is accelerating when it is just the rugosity of the data. For example, the HadCRUT4 data series ending June, 1913 had 50, 25 and 15 year cooling rates of -0.42, -0.83 and -1.70 C per century respectively. There was no predictive power in observing that cooling rates were strengthening. In fact, the world warmed after that, to about the year 1940, when it began to cool again.
Official announcements and papers on the CDMS-II page (added several hours after this blog entry was initially posted)
On other aspects of climate policy, prospects for technology cooperation may also be good. The U.S. may wish to coordinate with other industrialized nations to help to boost the adaptive capacity of poorer states. There is no reason to forego progress in these areas while waiting for a global deal on GHG caps, a deal that may be decades away.
In the Alaska Climate Research Center data, you can clearly see the 1976 shift of the PDO from the cool to the warm phase, and the recent return to the cool phase. Unsurprisingly, the rise in the Alaska temperatures (typically shown with a continuously rising straight trend line through all the data) have been cited over and over as proof that the Arctic is warming. However, the reality is a fairly constant temperature from 1949-1975, a huge step change 1975-1976, and a fairly constant temperature from 1976 until the recent drop. Heres how the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report interprets these numbers ...
In October 2003, the ICTAgang, joined bythe attorneysgeneral of Massachusetts and11 otherstates, challenged EPAs decisionin the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals.Parties filed briefs during June-December 2004.In July 2005, theappelate court held that EPA acted lawfully in denying the petition, but it did not rule on the core legal issue: whether the CAA authorizes EPA to regulate GHG emissions.
UN Millennium Goals flunk reality check
Uh, oh...the clash of ice and warmth brings storms
It is difficult to explain the whole climate-change panic except in religious terms. There has arisen among some in the environmental community what can only be understood as a cult of Earth worshipit is against energy, against mining, against land use, against industry, and against industrial society. Climate change is a useful tool in that fear of catastrophe can be used to compel economically destructive actions that would otherwise be unacceptable. It is not just carbon-based energy they hate, but nuclear as well, which indicates the true nature of the faith. Alternatives such as wind and solar can never be effective, but they are useful as Judas goats.
Matthysen et al . emphasize that "synchronization of the nestling period with the food supply not only depends on first-egg dates but also on additional reproductive parameters including laying interruptions, incubation time and nestling growth rate." And as a result of adjustments in these several related phenomena, they report that "both of our study species have been able to maintain synchrony with their food supply in the face of global warming."
(1) Negative consequences of EPA's interpretation of the RMR&R; exclusion
"Students who attend Chicago's Little Village Academy public school get nothing but nutritional tough love during their lunch period each day. The students can either eat the cafeteria food--or go hungry. Only students with allergies are allowed to bring a homemade lunch to school, the Chicago Tribune reports."
Then again, our understanding of the rate of the precession of the equinoxes is limited to about 10,000 years of human history. That isnt even one full cycle (of 24,000 years). So perhaps the answer is simply that its easy to see a 24,000 year periodic function that isnt really there. That the actual function is some more open process that only looks cyclical when viewed in a very short time frame. A Hundred Million years is a very long time Could the whole solar system simply be in a flat spin of 24000 years from some prior event long ago? I just dont know.
Whats not so well known about the Medieval Warm Period is how warm it was in the western U.S., Swetnam said. This is one line of evidence that it was very fiery on the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada and theres a very strong relationship between drought and fire.
The Canadians found that the Medieval warm period had indeed occurred, suggesting that periods of warming and cooling were natural trends unrelated to the number of SUVs on the road.
Here is another one a map of worldwide CO2 distribution as measured by a NASA satellite that appears to me to be almost directly counter to the consensus. Red represents the higher concentrations.
California is weighing how to avoid a looming electricity crisis that could be brought on by its growing reliance on wind and solar power. At Tuesdays meeting, experts cautioned that the state could begin seeing problems with reliability as soon as 2015. --Rebecca Smith, The Wall Street Journal, 27 February 2013
The relevant section reads, "From the viewpoint of the IAEA, "no progress was made in 2003 on the Kyoto Protocol, which would help make nuclear power's avoidance of greenhouse gas emissions valuable to investors.' The next round of talks on energy and sustainable development is scheduled for the 13th session of the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development in 20062007.
Does the observational evidence in AR5 support its/the CMIP5 models TCR ranges?
the transition of the wooden Stevenson to a PVC Stevenson screen (August 1980) did not have a noticeable effect on the daily mean temperatures; consequently no corrections had to be applied.
Liberalism and environmentalism have only been strongly connected for about 40 years. Franklin D. Roosevelt had no particular fondness for pristine wilderness. He boasted proudly of the dams he built and proclaimed proudly, at the dedication of the Hoover Dam (then called the Boulder Dam), that humans were "altering the geography of a whole region" that had previously been "cactus-covered waste." In the 19th century, Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels disagreed vehemently with the original population doomsayer Thomas Malthus. Sounding much like modern population control critic Julian Simon, Engels wrote that "it is ridiculous to speak of overpopulation," because the progress of "science is just as limitless and at least as rapid as that of population."
Clearly, your humble correspondent can't compete with Tommaso Dorigo in the number of rumors he propagates. Dorigo has already spread rumors by/from most of the janitors at CERN and Fermilab, too. :-) Many of his rumors will refer to indefensible interpretations of the observations. If one of them were right, it would still be amazing. However, I can imagine that both of the rumors described above will actually turn out to be right simultaneously.
Raising constant alarmsabout fracking, pesticides, GMO foodin the name of safety is a dangerous game.
Zapata et al . conclude that "the recent history of La Azufrada reef since coral reef studies began at Gorgona Island three decades ago (Prahl et al ., 1979; Glynn et al ., 1982) suggests a remarkable ability of this reef to recover from past perturbations," which are of the type (extreme El Nio-driven temperature increases leading to coral bleaching) that climate alarmists claim should be especially deadly, and from which coral recovery should not be expected.
Again, Osborn provided no citation or references. I never claimed that the data for Scenario A or Scenario B or Polar Urals was less biased I defy Osborn to locate any support for that suggestion.
"The chairman of the Municipal Labor Committee, Local 831, which represents men and women of the New York City Sanitation Department says there is no truth behind a rumor that his members worked slower during the blizzard of 2010."
Leading hurricane expert Kerry Emmanuel has published a new paper in which he reports that his models suggest that global warming will cause a reduction in the number of hurricanes (with a slight rise in hurricane intensity in some regions).
The Vatican had approved the change as the effects of global warming became all too tangible in the Alps.
The TRAIN Act (H.R. 2401, ?Transparency in Regulatory Analysis of Impacts on the Nation Act of 2011?) establishes an 11-member federal interagency committee, chaired by the Department of Commerce, to analyze the cumulative impacts of a number of major EPA regulations. A final report on the results of the analysis is due to Congress by August 1, 2012.
Das Welts-Klima-Maschine is nicht fur gefingerpoken und mittengrabben. Es ist zu simpel zu schnappen der Springenwerk, Blowenfusen und Korkenpoppen mit Spitzensparken. Das Klima ist nicht fur Getinkeren bei die Dummkopfer. Die Rubberneckeren und Sightseeren musten keepen der cotten-pickenen Hande in der Pocketen, oder else. Relaxen sie sich und watschen der Blinkenlights!
On to the biggest scare of them all: sea-level rise. Here, Roy Spencer concedes that Sea levels have indeed increased, which probably is a sign of warming. However, he goes on to say, It is difficult to attribute the current rate of rise to humans when we dont know how much of the rise is natural.
The average of the trends for each source, calculated , with the uncertainty intervals calculated as if the residuals for each instrument at a given time are uncorrelated from each other. This is incorrect, but the this uncertainty band would enclose the uncertainties in the slope computed using the five sources. It is illustrative for this reason.
Have charm for children but lack nobility; it is bitter earnestness
It is because both contain stations like Las Vegas that have been compromised by changes in their environment, that station itself, the sensors, the maintenance, time of observation changes, data loss, etc. In both cases we are plotting data which is a huge mishmash of station biases that have not been dealt with.
He writes, "t is quite wrong to say that our NAS study endorsed the credibility of the IPCC assessment report. We were asked to evaluate the IPCC "Summary for Policymakers" (SPM), the only part of the IPCC reports that is ever read or quoted by the media and politicians. The SPM, which is seen as endorsing Kyoto, is commonly presented as the consensus of thousands of the world's foremost climate scientists. In fact, it is no such thing. Largely for that reason, the NAS panel concluded that the SPM does not provide suitable guidance for the U.S. government.
The Washington Times reports on the subpoena an attorney general sent CEI regarding documents on climate change work.
And while the added troops would be put on the ground as quickly as possible,
2. One would expect greater agreement with recent data in more recent years. But since 1997 the difference in temperature anomalies has widened by nearly 0.3 celsius GISSTEMP showing rapid warming and HADCRUT showing none.
New Internet caf tests limits of state gaming laws:
Global warming will NOT lead to an overall stormier atmosphere.
"Although Islam had a religious component, it is much more than a simple religious ideology. It is a complete geo-political structure and, as such, does not deserve First Amendment protections." Georgia congressional candidate Jody Hice.
This "new nullification," as we call it, has left President Obama's nominee to fill the late Justice Antonin Scalia's Supreme Court seat, Merrick Garland, drifting in limbo.
on Thursday, May 13th, 2010 at 5:37 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
In fact, it seems the only constant in climate history is change-continuous change, in varying ways at various times, collectively spanning a very broad range of temperatures. What causes these changes is unclear. Temperatures have been warmer than now, and greenhouse gas concentrations higherbut which caused which remains uncertain. As the NRC wrote, "climate is continually varying on time scales ranging from seasons to the lifetime of Earth."
Methane emissions from hydraulic fracturing operations have become the latest target for activists seeking to ban hydraulic fracturing, commonly called "fracking." A recent article in the Nation,titled "Global Warming's Terrifying New Chemistry," by anti-fossil-fuel activist Bill McKibben is a perfect example of the cognitive dissonance that occurs when activism supersedes science in the name of altering public policy.
The above quote illustrates the extent to which the leadership of the EPA will ignore all science that interferes with its quest for power. The work of Sherwood, Craig, and Keith Idso, and many other scientists, has clearly established that an atmosphere enriched with carbon dioxide provides for more robust plant growth than the current atmosphere. Thus, a carbon dioxide enriched atmosphere is a great benefit to agriculture, humanity, and the environment. The EPA ignores this work.
For now, though, it is enough just to see the Medieval WARM Period shown to be global, and warmer than today.
There is no greenhouse effect. Like two years ago, you again offer the fact down-welling IR measured by pyrometer (IR thermometer) from cold CO2 in sky at 300 w/m 2 as proof heat transfers at that rate from cold CO2 to warmer surface, is absorbed by surface, heating it and causing it to radiate more intensely. It proves no such thing. I explained you are confusing S-B irradiance or intensity of radiating matter with radiating heat transfer between two radiating matter bodies, driven by an intensity difference. Just because they share the same units, w/m 2 , does not mean they are the same phenomena. So your argument doesnt hold water, or GHGT. Since there is no greenhouse in the sky, how can there be a greenhouse effect?