Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Taiwanese sculptors have carved an eight-metre-long wooden penis, hoping to set the world record for the longest sculpture of the male genitalia, Taiwan television reported on Friday. Eight sculptors in Pingtung, in southern Taiwan, spent half a year carving the wooden penis. Now their artwork - weighing 12 tons - is on display at an amusement park in Pingtung, Taiwan Television Enterprise (TTV) reports. The sculptors plan to apply to the Guinness Book Of World Records to have their creation declared the longest in the world, TTV says.
Read here . The infamous Climategate (and other 'Gate') scientists and government agencies, which have been exposed as scientific charlatans and false prophets of climate doom, have devised a coordinated, PR propaganda campaign that puts a public face on their continuing denial of the exposed scientific malfeasance associated with global warming science. This public exposure of malfeasance has resulted, for climate scientists, climate agencies and global warming activists, an immense credibility loss, and hasseverelydamaged the reputation of the overall science community. Here is how a relatively small group of climate scientists and their facilitators (i.e., IPCC, Al Gore, George Soros, etc.) managed to accomplish this almostimpossible to doachievement: 1. Willfullysensationalized global warming hypothetical, catastrophic scenarios.
State governments take an increasingly aggressive approach to regulating auto insurance.
The take-home message of the findings of Landes and Zimmer is well described in the closing sentence of the abstract of their research report: "Further experiments exploring the impacts of warming and acidification on key ecological interactions are needed instead of basing predictions of ecosystem change solely on species-specific responses to environmental change ." Nature is complex; and our studies of it must be directed to gaining a better understanding of that species-interactive complexity, along with its implications for potential future global change. Reviewed 29 August 2012
Dr. Walt Meier at NSIDC has told me that the Arctic was ice free several times during the the last 15,000 years. Yet somehow, the bears survived without us coddling them. Im guessing too that Neanderthals were in no way responsible for the ice-free Arctic, because they didnt own any Winnebagos.
This post contains graphs of running trends in global surface temperature anomalies for periods of 13+ and 17 years using GISS global (land+ocean) surface temperature data. They indicate that we have not seen a warming halt (based on 13 years+ trends) this long since the mid-1970s or a warming slowdown (based on 17-years trends) since about 1980. I used to rotate the data suppliers for this portion of the update, also using NCDC and HADCRUT. With the data from those two suppliers lagging by a month in the updates, Ive standardized on GISS for this portion.
Elsner, however, has taken a different approach, and uses a combination of tornado path length and width to estimate wind speeds. (The logic being that the strongest tornadoes tend to have the longest/widest paths).
The globally averaged surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8 C (Figure 5d) over the period 1990 to 2100.
Senators John Kerry and Joseph Lieberman have just unveiled their latest/greatest attempt to reign in U. S. greenhouse gas emissions. Their one time collaborator Lindsey Graham indicated that he did not consider the bill a climate bill because ?here is no bipartisan support for a cap-and-trade bill based on global warming.? But make no mistake. This is a climate bill at heart, and thus the Kerry-Lieberman bill sections labeled ?Title II. Global Warming Pollution Reduction.?
"But know right now, we are, we are struggling. We are struggling because we are trying to do our jobs. Lisa Jackson has put forth a very powerful message to the country. Just two days ago, the decision on greenhouse gas performance standard and saying basically gas plants are the performance standard which means if you want to build a coal plant you got a big problem. That was a huge decision. You can't imagine how tough that was. Because you got to remember that if you go to West Virginia, Pennsylvania, and all those places, you have coal communities who depend on coal. And to say that we just think those communities should just go away, we can't do that. But she had to do what the law and policy suggested. And it's painful. It's painful every step of the way."
1) Climate research. The US government spends $2.5 billion per year on research that focuses on carbon dioxide, ignores powerful natural forces that have always driven climate change, and generates numerous reports and press releases warning of record high temperatures, melting icecaps, rising seas, stronger storms, more droughts and other "unprecedented" crises. The claims are erroneous and deceitful.
In these two short videos, Dyson makes the case for adaptation as a primary response to climate change (I make my own case here at AEI, and made it back in 1998 here at Reason), but what I particularly like is his slap down on climate forecasting (at 2:58 in the first video clip):
Research suggests frames are a key influence in shaping peoples response to science and technology. But there is no agreement on who should be allowed to do the official framing.Read more here .
Further, it conspicuously ignores the fact that doubling the life expectancy of some 200 million Americans who lived in the 20th century is the same as saving 100 million lives. The society that achieved this powered itself on the combustion of fossil fuels. Does this community of experts understand that the number of lives that it effectively saved is orders of magnitude above and beyond it could possibly cost? It seems, given the panoply of horrors due to start pronto, to prefer that we not have emitted carbon dioxide in the first place. Perhaps they ought to look a place that didn't. Surely part of the $3.5 billion that the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) consumes per year could finance a field trip to Chad, so they can see the world without cheap and abundant energy.
EPA also wants to regulate all ponds, puddles, creeks, ditches and other "waters of the United States" (WOTUS) that are even remotely connected to a navigable waterway. That way it can control nearly all land uses and family, farm and industrial activities in the USA based on equally specious "science" regarding supposedly dangerous pollutants that might get into drinking water or wildlife habitats.
In particular, we have the problem of the urban heat islands. While it is obvious that the urban heat islands do add a temperature change comparable to 1 C which may depend on time (we know this effect from the Prague-Klementinum station that has been recording the data for more than 200 years; and this downtown Prague weather station is the warmest one in all of Czechia today), I have never believed that this issue was treated very badly or neglected by the folks who evaluated the surface temperature record. For this reason, while I found Anthony Watts et al. project mapping the weather station near asphalt to be amusing, I've never believed that this was really deciding about the "big questions" of the climate debate. My near-certainty that the bulk of the 20th century global warming shown by the surface weather record is not due to the asphalt was growing over the years.
Changes in global atmospheric CO 2 are lagging about 9months behind changes in global lower troposphere temperature.
Dept of Energy) in the past and they are happy about not releasing the original
Unless more CO2 could increase total atmospheric density it could not have a significant effect on global tropospheric temperature. Instead the speed of the hydrological cycle changes to a miniscule and unmeasurable extent in order to maintain sea surface and surface air temperature equilibrium. As I have explained previously a change limited to the air alone short of an increase in total atmospheric density and pressure is incapable of altering that underlying equilibrium.
This would be laughable if it weren't so risible. The Environmental Defense Fund spent somewhere in the neighborhood of $300 million on a climate change ad campaign with the Ad Council. Do they think they'll do better if they double down and spend $600 million on ads reaching the public? The climate campaign has spent probably well north of a billion dollars in total on behalf of this issue, yet Bill McKibben of 350.org moans that "since we're never going to compete with Exxon in money, we better find another currency, and to me bodies, spirit, creativity are probably our best bet."
Mr. Blair has said that his G8 chairmanship will concentrate on climate change and Africa, but it is the EU that will give him a headache on this score. While the United States has wisely opted out of the restrictions of the Kyoto Protocol, the EU has made a song and dance about its willingness to fight global warming now. It is even taking the lead in suggesting what should be done to achieve more in the next Kyoto period, post-2012. Yet, as so often with the EU, the public utterances mask a troubling reality.
#fracdiff 0.0430 198.2359 -0.0956 0.1773 -0.0700 0.1531 0.1364
The sun may be entering a period of reduced activity that could result in lower temperatures on Earth, according to Japanese researchers.
In three separate experiments, the authors grew spring wheat in growth chambers receiving 360 or 700 ppm atmospheric CO 2 and low or high nitrogen supply, to study how these parameters influence photosynthetic acclimation . Specifically, they studied how nitrogen availability influences the amount of rubisco required to maintain observed rates of photosynthesis at 700 ppm CO 2 . What was learned
The motion presented by Senators Antonio D'Al (chairman of the Environment Committee) and Guido Possa (chairman of the University and Education Committee) as well as many other center-right colleagues, asks the government, among the other things:
We show that there is a very modest degree of negative water-vapor feedback of 0.1 to 0.2 o C. With this occurring we should expect that the real amount of global warming that will occur from a doubling of CO 2 would be only about 0.2-0.3 o C or about 5-10 percent the amount projected by the many global models of 2-4 o C. The AGW threat and especially the catastrophic AGW (or CAGW) threat cannot be a realistic assertion of how the planets climate system functions.
"Ten years ago climate scientists forecast warm winters and lack of snow, because we were having warm winters and a lack of snow. Now they forecast cold winters and lots of snow, because that is what is occurring'
If you dont believe in global warming, the terrorists win . Either way, man-caused disasters are to blame.
What do the 42 record temperatures for Kansas tell us when we look at them more closely? There are 20 official weather stations in Kansas of which 19 appear to be at airports. Record temperatures, however, have only been set at 8 of these . All of these 8 stations are airport based . Two of these are in Topeka and so are arguably double counted! These are listed below :-
The 2006 Weblog Awards continue -- this year we are in the blogs ranked 1751-2500. Please cast your vote for Coyote Blog here . Remember that you can vote once per day!
Arizona Bill Would Limit Participation in the Western Climate Initiative
Now onto the BoM, which, as Jo Nova points out , has hit the jackpot with a trifecta of duff predictions, which are no doubt a result of models which are skewed towards the global warming narrative:
The underdeveloped world is ripe for capitalism. The "unemployed" protestors of the Arab Spring were, in fact, small businessmen who were pushed to the breaking point by continually having their capital and profits expropriated by corrupt government officials, as De Soto points out. So, while the Western media portrayed the protests as being mostly about politics and freedom of expression, they were as much if not more about the freedom to do business.
China, which hosts U.N. climate talks next week for the first time, is promoting what it calls ambitious plans to boost energy efficiency and curb emissions. But its supercharged growth means even with rapid efficiency gains it cancels out other global efforts to combat climate change.
This is not unprecedented. China and other developing countries resisted participation in the Montreal Protocol that banned a crucial air coolant until the industrial nations agreed to fork over more foreign aid. Though China was recently awarded $420 million to deprive its people of affordable air conditioning, Beijing claims it will need $860 million to complete the job. As hundreds of millions of poverty-stricken Chinese suffer through summer heat without air conditioning, this aid will pay for communist bureaucrats, NGOs, and Western consultants who will teach them how to buy expensive substitutes for freon.
UN's World Bank Seeks More International Wealth Transfer
Obama Readies the Military for Climate Change, Our No. 1 Global Threat
Given their interest in grapes and elevated CO2, the team grew grapes in open-top chambers for three years (2004, 2005, 2006) with ambient (365 ppm) and elevated (500 ppm) atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Among many other findings, the team found that the elevated CO2 concentration increased net photosynthetic rate, intrinsic water use efficiency and leaf thicknessthe grapevines loved the higher levels of CO2! We know what you are thinking what about the yield? Well, in 2004, the elevated CO2 increased the yield by 50%, in 2005 by 27%, and in 2006 by 50%. Moutinho-Pereira et al. conclude The yield per vine showed a clear tendency to increase in elevated in the 3 growing seasons (P < 0.1) and this increase was mainly due to an increase in the average cluster weight. Well drink to that great news!
The CO 2 emissions since 2000 to about 2.5 percent per year has increased, so that we would expect according to the Hansen paper a temperature rise, which should be stronger than in model A. Figure 1 shows the three Hansen scenarios and the real measured global temperature curve are shown. The protruding beyond Scenario A arrow represents the temperature value that the Hansen team would have predicted on the basis of a CO 2 increase of 2.5%. Be increased according to the Hansen??s forecast, the temperature would have compared to the same level in the 1970s by 1.5 C. In truth, however, the temperature has increased by only 0.6 C.
Many of us had perhaps "heard" of the Copenhagen climate summit in recent years, but knew only that it was some sort of kooky follow-up to the Kyoto Treaty, which President Bush had refused to sign.
The authors grew mint ( Mentha sp . L.) and thyme ( Thymus vulgaris L.) shoots in tissue culture tubes exposed to several atmospheric oxygen concentrations and atmospheric CO 2 concentrations of 350 and 10,000 ppm to determine the influence of these two gasses on the growth of these herbaceous species. What was learned
14. Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, "By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate that there won't be any more crude oil. You'll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill "er up, buddy,' and he'll say, `I am very sorry, there isn't any.'"
Legal online poker getting closer, game of skill debates continue:
Unfortunately, however, anti-energy politicians and government bureaucrats have instituted a variety of policies and regulations that have rendered at least 60 percent of recoverable oil inaccessible. Many of these regulations are based on concerns regarding the safety and potential contamination of water. However, a multi-year study recently conducted by the EPA found that fracking has not significantly or systemically impacted drinking water. Proper enforcement of property rights, in conjunction with appropriate regulations implemented by state and local governments, not only enable the extraction of potentially valuable resources, but also have remarkable ability to protect the environment.
The Fremantle tide gauge result, the only other tide gauge operational in Australia over more than a century, shows the same modest sea level rise and about zero acceleration in perfect agreement with the worldwide result and the result of Sydney.
The solar session was very informative to me. The comments and discussion were also interesting. Graeme Stephens argued that the solar forcing was one of the better understood parts of the record, with uncertainties of a several W/m2 at most. Whereas the uncertainties in the surface energy budget were on the order of 20 W m-2.
Most geologists beg to differ with such pessimistic accounts of the end times because they say humans and plant life typically evolve before they go extinct.
There was no doubt that elevated O3 was bad for the plants, but the Burkey et al. team showed over and over that elevated CO2 restored the damage from caused by the ozone. From the perspective of the peanuts, O3 was definitely a pollutant while CO2 was a white knight ameliorating the damage from O3. If you are concerned about the quality of the nuts, relax as the researchers report Gas treatment effects on peanut market grade characteristics were small. No treatment effects were observed on the protein and oil contents of seeds. In their conclusions section, they reinforce the idea that elevated CO2 will increase yield without any decline in quality.
By the way, this is not proven yet but there is probably one other way my Obamacare policy will be worse than my last one: the doctor network in my policy will very likely be a LOT smaller. We could almost be sure this would happen precisely because Obama promised it wouldn't (his promises on health care are pretty good "tells" that the opposite will happen).
As I live in California, it makes it easier for me if I keep them in the list where I can see whats shaking near me.
During an El Nio event, warm water that had been below the surface of the western tropical Pacific sloshes into the East Pacific Ocean on the surface, impacting the sea surface temperatures of the East Pacific and the NINO3.4 region directly. When the El Nio is done, the leftover warm water sloshes back out of the East Pacific.
A blog post about alarmist Richard Somerville is here . Excerpt: In an email exchange, I asked Dr. Somerville what he thought was needed in order to spark the changes the letter seeks. He responded, I think a dramatic shocking surprising climate event that is unambiguously due to global warming may be the only thing that motivates people and governments. Maybe a big chunk of ice sheet destabilizing and producing a significant sudden sea level rise. Unfortunately, then it may be too late, because its essentially irreversible; you cant cool the world enough to make the ice re-form quickly. Somerville was a member of an alarmist team that lost an NPR debate on global warming last March.
In particular, the suggestions that koda's success hurts the whole VW Group are absolutely irrational. The success may breed jealousy but it surely doesn't reduce the overall profit. If you imagined that koda were not a part of the VW Group, the group's profits would surely be lower than they are now. You can see that, can't you? koda is a competitor for VW but it's an internal competitor whose success counts positively to the results of the VW Group. There are many other competitors whose success counts negatively to the results of VW Group. When koda sells by 100,000 cars more than in the previous year, it may reduce the number of sold VW cars, but surely by less than 100,000. A part probably an overwhelming majority of those 100,000 sold cars that koda "stole" were "stolen" from brands outside the VW Group! The suggestion that the success of a part of the whole hurts the whole is idiotic it's some form of a communist myth.
He took a very select series of proxies, and essentially pasted them onto the 1083 of the 1209 total proxies.
its toll, especially if his popularity declines? Can he square the circle with
Over most of Antarctica, near-surface temperature and snowfall have not increased significantly.
Yet it is another shift that makes the most compelling argument for addressing natural gas in the U.S.-Canada Clean Energy Dialogue in 2014: the recent fall in bilateral natural gas trade. Canada remains the largest foreign supplier of natural gas to the United States, and the United States is Canada's largest export market for gas, but volumes have been falling as new U.S. natural gas supplies come into the market. Producers in both countries are exploring export markets outside North America.
he threat of environmental extremism in a vast new area provides the biggest reason to reject the treaty. The Kyoto Treaty was rejected as national policy for good reason. LOST is Kyoto with a court attached.??
If this is true, it's much more accurate and much more juicy than Tommaso Dorigo's version of the same rumor ! Your humble correspondent would also be likely to win a $10,000 bet with Jester at Resonaances (without losing $100), among other bets. But needless to say, the real value of the discovery would be priceless.
This month, the attorneys-general of 16 US states issued subpoenas against a think tank, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, in an attempt to silence its climate dissent. The Bloomberg View columnist Megan McArdle lambasted this decision, saying: "I support action on climate change . . . But that doesn't mean I'm entitled to drive people who disagree with me from the public square."
Eos, Vol. 79, No. 28, July 14, 1998
Since 1998 the global mean temperature has not risen significantly. While the global temperature rose by about 0.5C from the 1970s until the end of the 1990s, it has stagnated for the last 15 years, though at a high level. The stagnation surprised a lot of experts, who are now searching for possible causes for this development.
I think I'm right in saying that there has been another paper published recently which reconstructed sea ice levels from old satellite photos and showed that the Met Office figures were too high, but I can't lay my hands on it at the moment.
> >> >>concerned with better adaptation to the current climate in
The Sun may have contributed as much as 66% of the observed twentieth century warming, and perhaps more.
"So the joke begins like this: An economist, a lawyer and a professor of marketing walk into a room. What's the punch line? They were three of the five 'expert witnesses' Republicans called for last week's Congressional hearing on climate science."
Weather Services International, part of the Weather Channel , said the pressure blocking system which made recent summers cool and wet has disappeared.
The sharp upward swing of the graph was due to one single tree in Yamal.
Example: Without the agreement, ice caps will melt and "huge lowland areas in the United States, including big portions of central Florida, could be completely flooded." (Now do you think the Senate should ratify? Duh.) Actually, that wasn't the New York Times but Bill Clinton on the evening news, engaging in pure demagoguery. Pollsters might now use those same words, preceded by "The President of the United States says that if the treaty is not ratified . . ." The point is that, depending on the wording, any public opinion can be elicited. Like a good conjurer, the New York Times had us looking the wrong way with its irrelevant pollster patter ("a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points") but preserved a careful silence about the factual basis and precise wording of the questions.
One major challenge is that real uncertainties often turn out to have been underestimated. In many applications, 20%45% of results are surprises, falling outside the previously assumed 98% confidence limits. A famous example is measurements of the speed of light, in which new and more precise mea- surements fell outside the estimated error bars of the older ones much more frequently than expected. This effect arises in predicting river floods and earthquake ground motion and may arise for the IPCC uncertainty estimates .