Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
John also mentioned sea surface temperatures (SST), which avoid urban heat island influences. These measurements, covering (imperfectly) 71% of the planet's surface, are taken by four different methods, each introducing unique problems and uncertainties as well as referring to different depths of the ocean:
F r er som inte tr ttnat...
Our research has raised several issues on the robustness of the global surface temperature trend analyses. I am summarizing the questions raised over the last several months in this weblog, along with brief peer reviewed background material where available. Other weblogs, such as RealClimate.org, are invited to respond to these questions.
As of 1990, the IPCC didnt see any Mann-made global warming.
(2) Negative consequences of substituting "actual-to-future-potential" for "actual-to-future-actual" in the rules for estimating changes in emissions
...In tropical regions, the models are too dry in the lower troposphere and too moist in the upper troposphere, (p763)
science suggests ways we can adapt and cope with change. It makes sense to
Evidence for the superiority of the Resiliency Strategy is suggested by the fact that while in 1992 all the developed countries agreed to voluntary reductions of greenhouse gas emissions, only Germany and Great Britain were successful. It is ironic that these two countries, which most avidly support stringent international political controls over the world s energy consumption, achieved their reductions by liberalizing and de-politicizing their energy markets. Germany ended support for the inefficient East German energy sector, and Great Britain stopped subsidizing her coal industry.
Then allow me to smile on the concept of clean coal plant, the premise that there is a phenomenon that does not involve combustion emissions, while retaining, as she asserts 99% of PM10 (which I doubt strongly) point is emissions CO2, deposits of nuclear waste did not teach us anything? Where should we locate these deposits? They are dangerous? How do you see the problem would not be solved but only shifted a bit as sweeping and then put the dust under the carpet.
Historically, temperature rises precede atmospheric CO 2 increases; so global warming produces more CO 2 , released from warming oceans, never the opposite.
As the Senate takes up health care reform, it is hard to focus on anything else. There are plenty of other worthy topics, like Sen. Robert Byrd's (D-W.Va.) milestone of service (and the absurdity of his position high up in the line of presidential succession). Or the fascinating struggles among Democrats over the proper role of the Federal Reserve System (and the appropriate level of Congressional meddling in the Fed's deliberations and operations). Or the effect of the hacking of climate scientists' e-mails on climate change legislation in Congress. Or the struggle over how to pay for Afghanistan, including how many ways we can parcel out tax increases on the wealthy.
She has gone through all kinds of left-wing institutions, labor unions, Socialist Forum, and so on. A decade ago, she wrote the rules of affirmative action within the Labor Party. She did a good job because these rules elevating female reproductive organs in politics have just promoted her into the first Australian female prime minister.
#ols 0.0531 -54.1221 0.0200 0.0863 0.0253 0.0810 0.0332
If all of that is only on livestock or food consumers, it really makes the burden disproportionate. What we see are 3 or 4 percent declines in supply lead to 40 to 50 percent increases in prices, and I think the mandates are what drives that, he said.
> >> then of course there is national expertise in some countries. Indeed,
Am I the lone dullard who doesnt believe them? More precisely, does anyone else doubt the theory that levels of carbon dioxide (specifically, our tiny emissions of it) dominate the temperature of the oceans, and therefore of the lower atmosphere?
The Antarctic troposphere has warmed during winter while the stratosphere has cooled all year-round.
PSI have also shown that despite their huge complexity, the global temperature output of the models can be emulated to a 98% accuracy by a simple one-line equation. This means that their estimate of the ???climate sensitivity?? is entirely a function of their choice of forcings meaning, of course, that even on a good day with a following wind they can tell us nothing about the climate sensitivity.
Schmidt presciently observed that his readers would not worry about the details:
It would appear that many of Earth's higher-latitude terrestrial ecosystems might well be able to sustain considerably greater primary productivity, as well as much larger numbers of higher trophic-level consumers, in a CO2- enriched and warmer world.
A talk by Vaclav Klaus highlighted at WUWT seems to articulate best what is going on at the Heartland Conference:
Beyond that, we know very little. All the dire predictions that we hear so much are based on a series of "ifs," embodied in computer models and unlikely assumptions. Moreover, since the IPCC reported last, the scientific picture has gotten even hazier. All the accumulated scientific research points to more and more uncertainty about what we know in the area of climate change.
Geoengineering includes reforestation, biomass burial, ocean fertilization to stimulate the growth of plankton, and carbon sequestration. A low-cost, high-return form of geoengineering is solar radiation management, which diminishes the warmth caused by the sun's rays.
But the good news continued as long-range forecasters predicted a baking summer comparable with 2003 which saw Britains all-time record 38.5C (101.3F) temperature and 2006, the hottest on record at an average of 15.8C.
University of Virginia climatologist Pat Michaels points out, for example, that, "Glaciers have been receding ever since John Muir first publicized them in the 19th century"well before the advent of significant manmade greenhouse gas emissions.
Conflict Of Interest, Data and Funding Hiding, Flimsy and Misleading Claims
One last thing about Santer: he might want to review LLNLs Mission, Vision and Values statement that guides the way we accomplish our work and the way we interact with each other, our colleagues, sponsors and stakeholders, and the public. Included among the values:
"On one hand our politicians are committing us to spending unimaginable sums on wind farms, emissions trading schemes, absurdly ambitious biofuel targets, and every kind of tax and regulation designed to reduce our "carbon footprint" - all based on blindly accepting the predictions of computer models that the planet is overheating due to our output of greenhouse gases. On the other hand, a growing number of scientists are producing ever more evidence to show how those computer models are based on wholly inadequate data and assumptions - as is being confirmed by the behaviour of nature itself (not least the continuing non-arrival of sunspot cycle 24)." LINK
Cleve News, sport and weather | Eyre Peninsula Tribune
Prohibit any new funding. The next Administration should make clear that no taxpayer dollars will go directly to energy production, storage, efficiency, infrastructure, or transportation for nongovernment consumers, including the extension of existing programs. A market-based energy sector would benefit consumers by delivering reliable, affordable energy while eliminating government favoritism to special interests.
Pick one GMST data set, ignore evidence from other data sets.
"Kanwar agrees. He says the time has come for the Canadian government to tell new immigrants 'once you're in Canada we expect you to be totally devoted to Canada -- no divided loyalties.' "'This country,' added Kanwar, 'is a democracy and democracy is founded on Christian principles. " 'Canada is -- like it or not, take it or leave it -- a country founded on Christian principles where the vast majority of citizens are Christians,' said Kanwar. "'Yes, there's separation of church and state but even that was a principle founded by Christians and Christianity. If Muslims, or anyone else, doesn't like living in a land filled with Christians or in a democracy they should get the hell out."
I admire her colleague for his lack of political and intellectual pretension. But Cullen found it unacceptable, and proposed a remedy: "If a meteorologist has an AMS Seal of Approval, which is used to confer legitimacy to TV meteorologists, then meteorologists have a responsibility to truly educate themselves on the science of global warming." She elaborated: "If a meteorologist can't speak to the fundamental science of climate change, then maybe the AMS shouldn't give them a Seal of Approval."
3. Has the earth's temperature increased over the last 100 years in step with increasing atmospheric CO2?
Our latest result of plant growth responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment obtained from experiments described in the peer-reviewed scientific literature is for Barley (Perez-Lopez et al., 2014)
This, and other great videos, are also available at the new online multimedia destination CEI On Demand.
DiCaprio Climate Catastrophe Film Boosts Clinton Campaign
The report also states that the section is intended to assess studies that have been published since the TAR (Third Assessment Report) of observed changes and their effects.
Penn State University just exonerated Professor Michael Mann for wrongdoing related to Climategate. While that good news for Mann is no surprise, it came at a dear cost to Penn State its integrity.
If I gave the impression that CRU used an inadequate dataset, so be it. CRU did use an inadequate dataset. Their recommended Polar Urals chronology had only two trees during part of the 11th century.
"The U.S. Department of Justice and an organization representing police chiefs from around the country renewed calls on Tuesday for legislation mandating Internet Service Providers (ISP) to retain certain customer usage data for up to two years."
EL NIO EVOLUTION COMPARISONS WITH TAO PROJECT SUBSURFACE DATA
With such a huge difference between the Atlantic cod numbers of the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and those of the Current Warm Period (CWP), it would appear that the MWP was significantly warmer than the CWP has been to date.
GMO technology promises to be the next agricultural revolution, one that can increase yields even further, reduce the use of pesticides, roll back deforestation, and provide not just calories but needed nutrition to billions across the planet. Are there possible risks and unforeseen consequences? Of course there are, for nothing humans do is risk-free. Our network of roads and highways confers numerous social and economic benefits, yet it costs 33,000 deaths and many more injuries every year. Hospitals save millions of lives, yet medical mistakes and misdiagnoses kill over 100,000 people a year. Those are costs we accept and risks we run every day, most of us without noticing, let alone obsessing over them. The rational approach is to weigh benefits against risks, always with the fundamental aim of improving life for the greatest number of people both now and in the future.
The book that sprung forth from that conference, The Costs of Kyoto: Climate Change Policy and Its Implications, explored the economic and social costs of an international climate treaty, the scientific basis for a treaty, and the broader implications the global warming issue has for environmental policy in the United States and abroad. Taken as a whole, these essays demonstrate that the risks of global warming may be less than the risks imposed by global warming policy.
In Slovakia, the government stopped issuing solar licenses barely six months after launching its program. After unaffordable subsidies were sharply reduced, new solar installations in the Czech Republic fell 76% (from 2800 MW in 2009 to 400 MW in 2010); in Spain they plummeted 98% (from 2800 MW to 69 MW between 2008 and 2009). Private investments in these government-supported programs also cratered.
Remember climate hawks ? A previous CE post discussed climate pragmatism . Two new voices on the climate pragmatism front
Good evening ladies and gentlemen, welcome to SDA Late Nite Radio . Tonight, for your delectation and following on our previous studio version of this song, here are Sade Adu , Tony Momrelle, Leroy Osbourne, Karl Vanden Bossche, Pete Lewinson, Ryan Waters, Paul S. Denman, Andrew Hale, and Stuart Matthewman performing Smooth Operator (and Redeye ) at their Lover's Live concert in 2002 (8:18). Your Reader Tips are, as always, welcome in the comments.
upon submission of the revised final draft), so that should help the cause a
For that claim to be credible, the plaintiffs must have preexisting rights that are violated by their government's failure to enact the policies favored by plaintiffs. How are the rights of Dutch citizens infringed by their government's choosing policies that will achieve at best a 17 percent reduction in carbon emissions as opposed to policies that would achieve a 25 percent reduction, bearing in mind that these projections of future carbon levels are highly speculative? Would a projected 20 percent reduction in emissions be sufficient, or must the predicted reduction be at least 25 percent?
Low sunspot activity means Earth chilling until at least 2030
CHURCHVILLE, VAThe African Biofortified Sorghum project centered in South Africa, is striving to breed sorghum with extra lysine, vitamin A, iron, and zinc to help millions of African small farmers meet their families' nutritional needs. The project is funded by the Bill Gates Foundation, collaborating with Du Pont and Pioneer Hi-Bred Seeds. Unfortunately, the project has been unable to get South African regulatory approval for its field trials. The test planting will now have to be done in the U.S., though African trials would be a better test.
David Bier: President Obama talks a lot about reducing regulations on immigration and attracting highly-skilled immigrants, but he's done a lot to obstruct that over his first few years:
Intelligence provided by former undersecretary of defense Douglas J. Feith to buttress the White House case for invading Iraq included 'reporting of dubious quality or reliability' that supported the political views of senior administration officials rather than the conclusions of the intelligence community . . .
3. Is carbon dioxide a pollutant? Lawyers might say, Yes, this is what the Supreme Court ruled in 2007 , but scientists are not so sure. A pollutant, by definition, must produce harmful effects. CO2 is a natural constituent of the atmosphere, non-toxic, invisible, having no physiological effects we know of ??? even at high concentrations. Its definition as a pollutant relies entirely on its alleged causation of significant global warming and on the additional assumption that a warmer climate is damaging.
So how does Running justify his claim that global warming is making wildfires worse? Running cleverly slips in the term "major" wildfires, which allows him to blame global warming for recent forestry management policies that allow small wildfires to become large wildfires. During recent years, U.S. wildfire policy has emphasized allowing wildfires to burn without human suppression until and unless the wildfires threaten human population centers. This is a dramatic change of policy after decades of government policy to extinguish wildfires whenever and wherever they occur. Accordingly, even though there were approximately half as many wildfires in 2013 as in 1986, the total number of acres burned increased by more than 50 percent in 2013.
Published scientific studies on the Russian heat wave indicate this claim to be false. Our own study on the Texas heat wave and drought, submitted today to Journal of Climate, likewise shows that that event was not caused by human-induced climate change. These are not de novo events, but upon scientific scrutiny,one finds both the Russian and Texas extreme events to be part of the physics of what has driven variability in those regions over the past century. Not to say that climate change didnt contribute to the those cases, but their intensity owes to natural, not human, causes.
"Mr. Matteoli claimed after the meeting he had been supported by Spain and to a lesser extent Finland, where doubts over EU climate policy have recently surfaced. Nevertheless, the final text was adopted unanimously.
According to the Chinese, all of the additional Western action is necessary because developing countries have already done their part at greenhouse gas cutbacksor, as the position paper has it, in typical U.N. climate-speak, have already communicated and implemented ambitious nationally appropriate mitigation actions.
This would give us total nuclear capacity of about 12GW.
"Renewable energy" is a deliberate false labeling strategy, designed to curry favor with trendy urbanites who are ignorant about energy and economic reality. The real cost to U.S. economic growth, jobs and living standards from following the Green Brick Road to ecological paradise is equally beyond their ken.
Reader Emeritus, Department of Geography formerly Senior Research Fellow, Sciecne Policy and Tech nology Unit, Sussex University
That conclusion appears to largely draw on the fact that China believes that Western countries are responsible for the current and future concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere because of their historical, current and future emissions, while developing countries have the right to equitable development opportunities and sustainable development.
That leaves California's Kamala Harris and New York's Eric Schneiderman as the two remaining AGs with outstanding Exxon subpoenas. Mrs. Harris joined this escapade to burnish her progressive bone fides as she runs to replace retiring Senator Barbara Boxer, and her office has done little investigating. Mr. Schneiderman has the most prosecutorial leeway under his state's egregious Martin Act, which doesn't require proof of intent in civil cases. But he has also been on the political defensive for trying to punish policy disagreements.
Morano said: "In the peer-reviewed literature we're finding hundreds of factors influence global temperature, everything from ocean cycles to the tilt of the earth's axis to water vapor, methane, cloud feedback, volcanic dust, all of these factors are coming together. They're now realizing it wasn't the simple story we've been told of your SUV is creating a dangerously warm planet."
As our ice cover has thinned, some of our old rules are changing , said Stroeve.
be particularly important.The CAM-SP shows strongly negative net cloud feedback in boththe tropics and in the extratropics, resulting in a global climatesensitivity of only 0.41 K/(W m-2) , at the low end of traditionalAGCMs (e.g. Cess et al. 1996), but in accord with an analysis of 30-day SST/SST+2K climatologies from a global aquaplanet CRM runon the Earth Simulator (Miura et al. 2005). The conventional AGCMsdiffer greatly from each other but all have less negative net cloudforcings and correspondingly larger climate sensitivities than the
There are many things I do not like about the Environmental Protection Agency, but what angers me most are the lies that stream forth from it to justify programs that have no basis in fact or science and which threaten the economy.
3. The day after the first Earth Day, the New York Times editorial page warned, "Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction."
* "There seem to be significant problems with the measurement of global surface temperatures over both the relatively short run late 20th century and longer run past millennium problems that systematically tend to cause an overestimation of late 20th century temperature increases relative to the past;
First, the winds were relatively light last night...as suggested by the following wind plot for 10 PM July 4. Circles with no wind barb indicate calm winds. A bard with a single small line indicates only a few knots. Low winds mean less turbulence and vertical mixing. Thus, less clean air being mixed down and less dispersion of the smoke.
Christian Azar and Henning Rodhe argue in Science ("Targets for Stabilization of Atmospheric CO2," June 20, 1997) that scientists should play a role in determining what amount of human interference in the climate system should be considered dangerous even though, they admit, that it is "ultimately a question of value judgments that can only be settled in the political arena."
Space power. While lending support to Russia's ludicrous posturing on NATO missile defense, China is experimenting with antisatellite weapons a disturbing trend given the reliance of modern military (especially navies) on space power.
The author's of the study argue that the countries higher on this list also have better student results. Now, I will confess that this is a pretty interesting finding in the study -- that starting teacher pay is more important than teacher pay in later years, because the key is to attract talented people right out of college away from other professions. Interesting.
Scientific Uncertainty As Weapon: Kemp Column Distributed by Copley News Service
"Good for Mitt Romney," Gore blogged Wednesday afternoon. "While other Republicans are running from the truth, he is sticking to his guns in the face of the anti-science wing of the Republican Party."
New paper finds rapid-transgenerational adaptation of corals to changes in temperature & pH
The third thing Democrats should do is to move aggressively to more debate, and not only between Democrats and Republicans. Now is a perfect time to revive the idea of regular prime-time debates on important issues. Take one evening a week, in special orders, and structure a lively debate on something of concern to the country. Have two or four Members lead the way in debate, and follow with a free-for-all discussion. In some cases, say global warming or trade, have both majority and minority Members on each side. Add to that a regular process of having real debate on bills that reach the floor whenever possible.
The person credited with the first, most credible denouncement of man-made global warming is MIT Professor Richard Lindzen, who presented a paper in 2005 called "Is the Global Warming Alarm Founded on Fact?"
Five time IPCC expert reviewer Vincent Gray takes these calculations a bit further. He compares the average energy loss over a year for an average of eleven hurricanes lasting one week with the heat from a supposedly increase in warming from the enhanced greenhouse since 1750. Gray concludes that hurricanes, alone, conceal any possible much smaller effects of greenhouse gases which could never be identified. The models are not only wrong. They are irrelevant. See link under Changing Weather.
It applies only to certain systems whose output (in a circuit, the voltage) does not operate to bring the system back into balance after an overload. But in the climate rising temperature restores the balance between incoming and outgoing radiation. Warming acts against the feedbacks. It damps them down.
This last point leads to a question that should be at the heart of the global warming debate. Which type of societal insurance policy is likely to deliver the most protection? Should we try to prevent global change by rationing energy and further politicizing economic and technological development? Or should we try to increase mankind s ability to adapt to change by reducing political barriers to enterprise, invention, and innovation?
Yet in addition to farm state foes, Coburn faced powerful opponents from his own party including Grover Norquist, head of Americans for Tax Reform, who argued that eliminating ethanol's favorable tax treatment would constitute a tax increase, something the GOP caucus has pledged to avoidBut significantly 34 of 47 GOP Senators were not swayed by this argument, marking a potential shift on the caucus' view not just of corn ethanol, but on whether eliminating special-interest tax breaks in the tax code (so-called tax expenditures) qualifies as a tax increase.