Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Our suspicions that something fishy was going on were confirmed when top secret satellite data was leaked to us from a highly confidential source . The data was generated by sophisticated sensing techniques known as taking a picture in space to form an image of the surface of the Earth. When we got it, complex algorithms called Photoshop running on a supercomputer called a Pentium P5 at Climate Resistance HQ processed the data to make the image readable by humans, and to reveal the truth to the claims that the world faces water shortages.
PNAS papers must also, make materials, data, and associated protocols available to readers
As noted in the abstract, Antarctic sea ice has confounded the models by instead increasing over the satellite era. In fact, it is currently at a record extent that is more than 2 standard deviations above the 1979-2000 average.
What is the bias in degrees Celsius introduced as a result of aggregating temperature data from different measurement heights, aerodynamic roughnesses, and thermodynamic stability?
At this meeting Profs. H. Flohn of Germany, H.H. Lamb of the United Kingdom and Reid Bryson of the United States developed a highly persuasive demonstration that there has been a steady cooling of northern hemisphere temperatures during the last 30 years, with the strongest cooling at the higher latitudes.
Global warming is real. It is predominantly anthropogenic. Left unchecked, it will likely warm the earth by 3-7 C by the end of the century. What should the United States do about it?
The patterns of warming and cooling in Iceland were not always well correlated with similar changes in NW Europe, indeed often the opposite. This automatically renders any attempt to homogenise Icelandic temperature data with stations hundreds of miles away in NW Europe utterly meaningless.
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Senior Fellow Marlo Lewis, Jr. on the what the Clean Air Act says about carbon dioxide:
According to Metcalfe, "Companies, individuals, and governments can sponsor this offset by making donations to a dedicated trust fund and, in so doing on this world stage, make one of the most important commitments in modern history to a sustainable future. There is a web site where delegates can calculate how much CO2 their trip will generate and offset it. Ten dollars will offset one metric tonne of CO2 emitted by the summit" (Electricity Daily, August 20, 2002). The summit begins in Johannesburg on August 26 and ends on September 4.
Voters seem to understand that. Gallup reports that 60 percent of Americans
But the American people have not had their final word on Obama's decisions here (as on so much else). Certainly, any Republican presidential candidate who promised to revive the space shuttle would send a powerful signal to the country that the spirit of JFK and Reagan lives and that America's day of leadership is not done.
Twice-ambient CO 2 concentrations increased plant daily net carbon uptake by nearly 50%, while reducing daily transpirational water loss by approximately 24%. Together, the two phenomena led to a 110% increase in plant water-use efficiency . At the same time, however, prolonged exposure to atmospheric CO 2 enrichment induced measurable photosynthetic acclimation , as indicated by an 11% reduction in rubisco activity and a 34% reduction in the activity of PEP-carboxylase . Nevertheless, the plants grown in elevated CO 2 produced 88% more biomass than the plants grown in ambient air. What it means
CEI is a non-profit, non-partisan public policy group dedicated to the principles of free enterprise and limited government. For more information about CEI, please visit our website at www.cei.org.
The correspondence of public university faculty should not be open to anyone who wants to read it. Nor should the cost of reviewing, producing and/or redacting such correspondence fall on the public university. A contrary ruling on either point would do unique damage to America?s public universities. Failure to protect the interests of public universities and their faculty to be free to research controversial or divisive topics and to exchange and express thoughts and ideas in a zone of privacy, without fear of embarrassment by public disclosure, will damage an essential quality of American public universities.
incredibly quiet tornado seasonthere just arent any storms.
Stewart and Weiner argue it is in the national interest of the United States to participate in such a regime, provided that it is well designed. They discuss the elements of sound climate regulatory design, including maximum use of economic incentives, the comprehensive approach, and other flexibility mechanisms; participation by all major emitting countries, including developing countries; regulatory targets based on longer-term emissions pathways set to maximize net social benefits; and effective arrangements to ensure compliance with regulatory obligations by nations and sources.
Back in September, I warned that this was going to be an extremely bitterly cold winter . I wrote another article that warned about how cold this winter would be in early December .
The first paragraph seems unarguable to me, though Schmidt would undoubtedly use different words to describe the Real Climate post in September 2009. Eeven Schmidt cannot reasonably dispute that the September 2009 Real Climate post was extremely antagonistic. Indeed, CG-2 clearly demonstrated Schmidts intent to be as antagonistic as possible. Even though Briffa recognized that there were substantive technical issues relating to inhomogeneity, on Sep 29, 2009 (CG2-4564), the day before the antagonistic RC post , Schmidt told Jones, Osborn and Mann that the issue was propaganda:
What actually hurts consumers are government and environmentalist opposition to leasing, drilling, fracking, pipelines, and hydrocarbons and their support for expensive, land-intensive, water-hungry, lower-energy-content ethanol and biofuel "alternatives."
people have received SS retirement benefits as an expensive PR campaign
It will be so tiny we cant even measure it. Its going to be less than .02 of a degree for the next several decades,?? Christy said.We measure the global temperature through satellites, my colleague Roy Spencer and I, here at the University of Alabama in Huntsville. And we see changes ofmore than that from day to day.It would be impossible to detect and attribute a .02 degree change to any regulation that was proposed.
7) Jared Olar: A Pagan Mindset Informs Global Warmingism Echo Pilot, 17 December 2010
House structure in place beginning right after the election. Most important is
A minority of scientists who doubt that mankind's emissions have much impact say that natural swings are the main cause of rising temperatures in recent decades. If true, that would make it less urgent to invest in measures to cut emissions.
In discussing their findings, Weinkle et al . say their long-period analysis "does not support claims that increasing TC landfall frequency or landfall intensity has contributed to concomitantly increasing economic losses." And they conclude with the reassuring fact that their quantitative analysis of global hurricane landfalls "is consistent with previous research focused on normalized losses associated with hurricanes that have found no trends once data are properly adjusted for societal factors (e.g., Pielke et al ., 2008; Crompton and McAneney, 2008; Neumayer and Barthel, 2011; Barthel and Neumayer, 2012; Bouwer, 2011; Raghavan and Rajesh, 2003)." References
UPDATE (April 6, 2014): Ive added a link to a follow-up post about the cause of the observed C-shaped warming pattern in the Pacific.
If youre thinking the reasons for the wide ranges in hindcast trends and, similarly, the wide ranges in the forecast trends of outgoing longwave and shortwave radiation have to do with modeled representations in clouds, youre likely correct.
Michaels examined the plethora of recent claims concerning anthropogenic climate change and its possible link to past, present, and future species shifts and extinctions. Michaels overarching conclusions? 1.) Climate affects species distribution. 2.) Plants and animals adapt, evolve, or perish under changes in climate. 3.) That process may be slowed or accelerated by human activities. 4.) Little evidence exists to suggest anthropogenic climate change is leading to mass extinctions, nor should in the future.
<0813> Fox/Environment Agency:
Higher electricity prices will further strain refineries already struggling with soaring electricity costs and EPA's sulfur and other regulations, restrictions on refinery upgrades and construction, constraints on moving crude oil to East Coast refineries, and other compliance costs all for dubious environmental or health benefits. Three East Coast refineries have already closed, costing thousands of jobs and causing the Department of Energy to warn that pump prices are likely to soar even higher in Eastern states.
in unionization elections. And, they might have added, for higher taxes on, and
Fresh off the contrived controversy of Michael Moore accusing Disney of censorship for refusing to distribute his anti-Bush celluloid screed comes another politically charged film. The Day After Tomorrow, a flick that purports to warn about destruction wrought by global warming, crashes into multiplexes across the land on May 28. Already, Al Gore and the lefty Internet clearing house MoveOn.org are planning to exploit the movie's New York premiere with a rally the same day. MoveOn.org is calling it "the movie the White House doesn't want you to see."
Segment 3 is the debunking of the many claims of impending climate catastrophes Al Gore??s movie ???An Inconvenient Truth??.
It is to be hoped that reason will reassert itself, but this is far from certain, because no institution has such a difficult time confessing error or backtracking as the Supreme Court; and, having already decided to ignore normal rules of rationality in its initial decision, it might double down.
In light of these many observations, therefore, it would appear that there is a plethora of natural and anthropogenic-induced negative feedbacks to purported global warming that are more than capable of maintaining the climate of the globe within a temperature range conducive to the continued well-being of all forms of life currently found upon the face of the earth ... and in the sea, and in the soil, and in the air.
During the review process, suspend and defund implementation of regulations and programs that raise serious questions about their honesty and validity. Terminate rules and programs found to be based on fraud, junk science, doctored data or concocted evidence and penalize or terminate agency personnel who have engaged in deceptive or fraudulent practices.
The point is more than semantic, because Fonte is not simply defending national sovereignty in the abstract (and indeed the concept has a plethora of sometimes contradictory definitions). Instead, he is defending how America has developed the concept, resting on the Constitution's opening phrase, "We the People."
This fall Congress will debate who should pay what to shrink America's carbon footprint, in order to fight climate change. Yet it might surprise you to learn that international law entitles the State of Mississippi to an exemption from any climate policy that would harm its economic growth.
what physical processes or modes of variability are important for the decadal predictability and prediction problem, and whether their relevance may evolve and change with time;
Microsoft patent division taking cash from at least 5 Android vendors:
Cuomo's collaborative strategy has pushed health-care policy back into the quiet zone and avoided the epic public battles with 1199 that his predecessors fought and lost. However, getting a grip on the state's Medicaid spending, which had grown at more than twice the rate of inflation between 2000 and 2010, wasn't cost-free. The union fought off cuts to nursing homes, secured a wage floor for home health-care workers while expanding their numbers, and pressured the governor to extend a tax increase on high earners to lessen the need for other changes. Cuomo also agreed to continue the Medicaid enrollment expansion that began under Spitzer and Paterson. In the long run, the governor's cost-containment strategy hinges on getting Washington to grant New York more administrative flexibility under the Affordable Care Act.
Lies, Damned Lies, and Embarrassed Global-Warming Liberals
22 views of the global albedocomparison between 20 GCMs and two satellites
FoodPolitik: Hypocrite Bloomberg behind latest salty Big Apple campaign:
Now, I don't think that these particular questions are the most essential ones for a president. But I suspect that he is out of touch with many more important questions associated with the citizens of the country in which he wants to become the president.
NATO is today paying less attention to potential maritime threats affecting its own civilian populations than to making the non-Western world safe for democracy (or sharia, since the jury is still out). If NATO wants to survive another 30 years, it will have to focus a little more on the concerns of its own population.
The IAMs used by the IWG to estimate the SCC are grounded on the specification of such an ECS distribution. Since 2010, the IWG has used an ECS distribution based on an academic paper by Gerard Roe and Marcia Baker published seven years ago. Since then, a number of updated ECS distributions have been estimated, suggesting lower probabilities of extreme global warming.
But the editorial goes on to state that the climate alarm is overwhelmingly persuasive and that NASA scientist James Hansen, the leading alarmist scientist in the world, is not an ideologue.
In principle, collective action could solve the problem by changing property rights to limit access. In practice, such collective action has often not materialized, or it has done so only after much harm has taken place.
This isn't just a "war on coal" it is a war on America. One free market think tank, the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), has been joined by six major unions to ensure that the EPA's Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) rules proposal does not become a regulation that CFACT can call "nothing less than industrial sabotage by regulatory means."
An adjoining firm, Wavin, who make heating, plumbing and drainage products, have been allowing fire crews to use its water reserves normally used for the manufacture of the companys clay pipe products. This will continue until the fire is finally put out.
Well leave aside the obvious fallacy that a few isolated events constitute some sort of trend, and look at what the facts tell us.
The U.S. can and should take action on climate change, but, as in other policy areas, it should tailor its steps to fit its limited resources. One key to realism is to adopt a patient but serious approach to GHG control. Another is to pay close attention to options that can protect the nation from whatever harmful effects of climate change may unfold. A combination of these approaches can do a good job of protecting U.S. national interests without incurring excessive costs or causing undue conflict with other global powers such as China, India, Japan, and Russia.
This is a mostly official version of my previous report about the invalidity of the 115 GeV Higgs with 30-fold enhancement of the diphoton decays.
There's an old legal proverb: If you have the facts on your side, argue the facts. If you have the law on your side, argue the law. If you have neither, attack the witness. When proponents of a scientific consensus lead with an attack on the witness, rather than on the arguments and evidence, be suspicious.
Even China cant jump-start the electric car
Exponent rejected Snyders criticism on this (and other points) on two grounds. First, their analysis was not limited to the comparison of variability between Patriot and Colt balls, but also included comparison to their simulations.
Not only has the Antarctic sea ice been increasing in recent years, but scientists have likewise witnessed a similar growth of the continental land ice, particularly in the eastern half of Antarctica.
The Obama administration has for months now been grappling with political attacks targeting its efforts to finance green energy start-ups. The financial meltdown of Solyndra has been the focus of a Republican-led Congressional investigation and millions of dollars in attack ads by conservative groups.
The panel members were Pederson, Lucinda Chodan, editor of the Victoria Times Colonist, Peter Calamai, a science journalist, and James Hoggan, author Climate Cover-up, which claims that unscrupulous right-wing think tanks are trying to brainwash the public against belief in global warming. There was, thanks to Pederson (see why below), no one representing the skeptical side of the issue.
THE USE OF GLOBAL DATA AS A METRIC FOR GLOBAL WARMING CAN BE DECEIVING
Moreover, the commonwealth's new policy only incrementally changes existing practice. All of Virginia's counties already follow the federal Secure Communities program, which requires they check the immigration status of all individuals arrested against the Department of Homeland Security database. Allowing law enforcement to inquire about immigration status won't add much to that already existing program.
In summary, when reality shows that Anatarctica is not contributing to sea level rise, then just fudge the models until theres a net positive sea level rise contribution. With the right assumptions, you can showanything!In this case they simply assume that changes in the ice-flow dynamics (yes, precisely!) more than offset the ice growth from precipitation.
In her view, the science as reported by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has institutionalized overconfidence. The overconfidence has resulted in disagreements based on: insufficient observational evidence; disagreement about the value of different classes of evidence (e.g. models); disagreement about the appropriate logical framework for linking and assessing the evidence; assessments of areas of ambiguity and ignorance; and belief polarization as a result of politicization of the science.
It seems like a clumsy effort by Norway's socialist government to meddle in domestic American politics by giving a boost to a left-of-center politician whose views are more in sync with Scandinavian socialism.
Carrington's problem is that the UNFCCC document linked only asserts that temperature rises above 2C would be dangerous. There is no citation. Fortunately a more complete record of the target is to be found in this recent paper from the Potsdam Institute, which notes that the 2C target can be viewed in many ways, few of which are truly satisfactory. The authors conclude that the target actually has more to do with politics than science.
Attacks on the integrity of global-warming skeptics are nothing new. As a co-author of two papers with Mr. Soon, I've been subjected to them myself. This time, however, the attacks have reached a feverish pitch. In addition, the government has gotten involved. Democratic Rep. Raul Grijalva of Arizona has requested information from seven universities about funding for research by global warming skeptics, while Democratic Sens. Barbara Boxer of California, Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island asked for similar information from 100 corporations.
My assumption is that if they caught 400 with enough evidence to survive civil service grievance procedures, at least 4000 must be stealing. It's like Goodfella's II.
Fact : we already know how to make groups of atoms behave as one quantum entity, by cooling them very near absolute zero until they become a Bose-Einstein condensate (BEC).
Many will blame the economy for this situation, arguing that no party in the midst of the worst economic crisis in at least 30, and perhaps 80, years could have satisfied the electorate. There is truth to this, as the party in power always suffers at the polls during a significant recession.
The same year, by convenient coincidence, Chesapeake Energy started giving millions of dollars to the Sierra Club's Beyond Coal Campaign, which then produced controversial media of the exact kind that Chesapeake Energy had abandoned due to Congressional outrage. The timing of these donations suggests the gas giant outsourced its dirty work to the green giant.
Since I have a finite amount of data, the trend of 1.20 units/time cant be exact, right? Excel tells me that using the assumptions above, the standard error in this trend is 0.15 units/time.
The next 24 hr? More thunderstorms, particularly over the north Cascades and southern BC.
Every presidential candidate is going to come into the 2012 race with baggage. But Newt Gingrich has what, for primary voters, could be a doozy in his closet three years ago, he cut an ad with Nancy Pelosi for Al Gore's climate change group.
Glenn Beck's "Restoring Honor" rally on the National Mall drew 300,000 people. Meanwhile, "CarnivOil" events in Wisconsin drew more yawns than people, as desperate Big Environment groups struggled to regain their momentum, by ranting about global warming, the Gulf oil spill, and "evil" oil companies.
The only thing all negotiators seemed to agree upon was that their efforts in Bonn had been unsuccessful. "These negotiations have if anything gone backwards," said the EU's climate action commissioner Connie Hedegaard. "All parties seem to be having a difficult time coming to convergence and the text is larger than it has to be," America's Pershing told the press. He claimed that during the talks some countries had been "walking back from progress made in Copenhagen." Dessima Williams of Grenada, who served as the spokeswoman for the 43-nation Association of Small Island States, concurred: "There seems to be some backsliding. This is very lamentable and very unhealthy."
Satellite data shows that Arctic Sea ice extent is now the greatest for mid-June since at least 2005.
A new paper published in Climate of the Past finds climate models are unable to reproduce the climate change of the past 6,000 years found by temperature proxies. According to the authors, "Independently of the choice of the climate model, we observe significant mismatches between modelled and estimated SST amplitudes in the trends for the last 6,000 years," and climate model "SST trends underestimate the SST trends by a factor of two to five. For , no significant relationship between model simulations and proxy reconstructions can be detected." The paper adds to many other peer-reviewed papers finding climate models are unable to reproduce the known climate of the past , much less the future.
A theoretical checksum: In Kiehl & Trenberth (1997), total forcing from H 2 O, CO 2 , CH 4 , O 3 , and N 2 O is given as 125 W m 2 in clear skies and 86 in cloud, or ~101 W m 2 overall. Holding insolation and albedo constant, the difference between surface temperatures with and without these GHGs is 288 255 = 33 C . Ignoring minor forcings, climate sensitivity of the whole atmosphere is (5.35 ln 2)(33/101) = 1.2 C , which, divided by 0.7 to allow for non-CO2 forcings, gives total warming at CO2 doubling by 2100 of 1.7 C , or 50% of IPCCs central estimate, more than halving the cost-effectiveness of the regulations.
Windmills and solar panels sound wonderful. Except that the UK wind isnt blowing and the German sun isnt shining. --Donna Lamframboise, No Frakking Consensus, 3 March 2013
Biologists are again predicting massive species losses as the world warms. But where are the corpses? There have been few findings of extinctions among continental bird and mammal species over the past 500 years. The species extinctions have been virtually all on islands, as humans have brought such alien predators as rats, cats, and Canadian thistles to places where they had no natural enemies.