Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
After all, the late 1650s were quite warm years during a long cooling period in Europe that lasted from 1525 to 1800, and encouraged the establishment of the Central England Temperature Record in 1659. Indeed, in 1658 the Lord Protector (Britain's all powerful head of statea monarch in all important respects), Oliver Cromwell, died from malaria, in a balmy September, preceding a very cold winter.
On the same day of one of NASAs proudest achievements, the landing of the rover Curiosity on Mars , Dr. James Hansen and PNAS went on a media blitz to push a paper that is so technically flawed, that if it were a spacecraft, it would surely have burned up in the atmosphere due to a faulty understanding of that atmosphere. Unfortunately, as Dr. Michaels points out, it was never tested and Dr.Hoerling points out that it isnt science, but perception. NASA used to deal in facts and testing, because if they didnt, people died. Now NASAs image has been tarnished on the day of one of its greatest triumphs by a rogue scientist with unsupportable ideas and a global media megaphone.
KUSI-TV meteorologist, Weather Channel founder, and iconic weatherman John Coleman will present these findings in a one-hour special airing on KUSI-TV on January 14 at 9 p.m. EST. A related report will be made available on the Internet at 6 p.m. EST on January 14 at www.kusi.com.
Also, catch the date on emails withheld as being correspondence to Phil Jones and others in the deliberative processof drafting IPCC 5th Assessment Report, written before there was an AR5 deliberative process (for whatever that is worth: Arizona??s law recognizes no such exemption; also, IPCC acknowledges performing no scientific research). There are also some fun claims of privilege for, e.g., a workshop concepts paper, an AGU meeting abstract, and a UCS summary??. Thats just the Overpeck index of withholdings; the Hughes index crafts dozens of categories or reasons why emails should be exempt (e.g., not merely correspondence between authors, and between colleagues, but between collaborators?? ).
The news release is largely based on a statistical analysis of rainfall data. Few details are given, but it is obvious that the analysis did not properly model autoregression. When proper modeling is done, I am confident that there will not be a significant increase in either rainfall or extreme rainfall events. Indeed that would be obvious to anyone knowledgeable in time series.
Summarizing, neither meltwater forcing nor volcanic forcing is likely an able candidate to generate a significant global cooling trend. The biases in current models, if they exist, are more likely to be related to their sensitivity to the orbital forcing and additional feedbacks in climate models. Whatever the biases, the model biases have to exhibit a common warming bias across all of the current models with a total magnitude of at least ?1 C, such that removal of this model bias can generate a global cooling of ?1 C, which overcomes the 0.5 C warming by GHGs and ice sheets to leave a net cooling of 0.5 C as in the M13 reconstruction.
Parts of the green movement have become hijacked by a political agenda and now operate like multinational corporations, according to two senior scientists and members of the House of Lords.
That will undoubtedly change sooner or later. The Democratic Party, dating to the 1832 national convention engineered by Martin Van Buren to nominate Andrew Jackson for a second term, is the oldest political party in the world. It has had fallow periods some rather long in the past, and has come back to win again.
Unless, that is, you dare to question the idea of man-made global warming. That, apparently, puts you beyond the pale. You can insist the 1969 Apollo moon landing was staged, or that 9/11 was an "inside job," and it's "live and let live" time. But disagree with the view that climate change is not only occurring but is caused by human activity, and you invite a stay in a rubber room.
Dissenters also see little evidence that Hamas can be made to knuckle under. Israel's former ambassador to Germany, Shimon Stein, said, "The real question is, if we sign an agreement with Abbas, can he deliver? Can he live up to it? Can he make Hamas comply? I don't think so."
Also, there is nothing in the ocean heat content records or satellite-era sea surface temperature data to indicate greenhouse gases were responsible for their warming. That is, the data indicate the oceans warmed naturally. If that topic is new to you, refer to the illustrated essay The Manmade Global Warming Challenge .
Longer term the sun is behaving like it did in the last 1700s and early 1800s, leading many to believe we are likely to experience conditions more like the early 1800s (called the Dalton Minimum) in the next few decades. That was a time of cold and snow. It was the time of Charles Dickens and his novels with snow and cold in London (hmmmm).
"Children just aren't going to know what snow is," he said.
So, knowing Fred Singer, for example, helped me understand what makes for warm periods and cooling interspersed related to sun cyles.
Molly Maple: Hey, Heath, you gonna participate in Earth Day activities this year?
The return of both China and Islam in world history after a three-century-long eclipse has been the defining feature of the international stage since 1979.
One topic on their agenda is the fate of the 1997 Kyoto Protocol, which was meant to curb our carbon emissions and which expires in 2012.
But this considerably understates therisks. Ifjust 1% of the 1.2 million facilities that would become major stationary sources of CO 2 undertake new construction ormodifications,EPA and its state counterparts would have to process 12,000PSD permits per year. The ensuing administrative quagmire would bring new construction and economic development to a screeching halt.PSD for CO 2 potentially turns the CAA into a gigantic Anti-Stimulus package.
is 351 ft tall , or 107 meters, or over 30-stories
Meet David Crane , president and CEO of NRG Energy , the nations biggest independent power producer (IPP). This companysdiversified generation interests are fueled by every energy source from coal to wind.
Ben you are gonna need a bigger sick bag
Temperatures are plummeting across the globe, but the models are heating up. They probably sense a threat to their funding with the new Congress, and are responding by generating even more nonsensical scenarios.
Worst, all this fakery pales next to what the full Energy and Commerce Committee had blessed as proof of imminent Climate Armageddon in April 2009. The Democrats' superstar witness was renowned climatologist Al Gore, who had earned a C and a D in the only science courses he took in college.
The Heartland Institute's second Women in Politics Event, held just days before the 2016 election in our Andrew Breitbart Freedom Center, was simply fantastic. Speakers included Illinois Lt. Gov. Evelyn Sanguinetti; Illinois state Senate Minority Leader Christine Radogno; and Linda J. Hansen, deputy chief of staff for Herman Cain's 2012 presidential campaign. It was an inspiring evening with strong women who are shaping free-market governing policies in America. WATCH IT NOW
Now the issue is front and center again because of Kennedy and the extended search by Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) to fill the seat vacated by Mel Martinez (R)a seat Crist himself is seeking in the November 2010 election.
The second front is installing sunset provisions. Like a carton of milk, every newly created regulation should have an expiration date, beyond which it gets discarded unless renewed by Congress. Obsolete rules should not be on the books at all.
Although some ice researchers believe that it all lies within the natural variability, s like second green have it that istillvxten some way must have been caused by global warming. The stronger the winds could easily have been caused by a warmer climate, they say. And it fits ice cases well into The IPCC storyline where absolutely everything depends on the frdande carbon dioxide that we have produced p of people lately.
Low temperature records are falling by the hundreds this winter. This is occurring despite the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicting that extreme cold outbreaks will become less frequent and less severe. When a theory's predictions are contradicted by real-world events, sound science requires us to re-examine the theory.
Here's what Jon Entine, visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, has to say about the scientific consensus on GMOs:
George Will??s statement is essentially that the blue the dot at the end of 2008 represents more ice than the dot at the end of 1979. This is true as factoids often are.
This new peer-reviewed research regarding the Hudson Bay sea ice issue indicates there is actually no trend of earlier sea ice breakup in the area. The data analysis does show, though, a one-time shift to an earlier breakup date during late 1980's, but no trend prior or post to that event that can be attributed to AGW causes.
In a sane world, this exhibit would be considered to be satire.
First, they claimed that Mitchell had deleted all the emails concerning AR4. (This excuse came on June 2, 2008, three days after Jones had sent an email asking Mann, Briffa, Ammann and Wahl to delete their emails concerning AR4. We know that Jones and Briffa had corresponded with Mitchell in March about Holland??s request to the Met Office for Review Comments. We do not know when Mitchell was supposed to have deleted his emails.)
What Sierra Club focused on was Obama's call for "new sources of energy" other than the traditional ones. He was referring to solar and wind energy. A recent news article on CNSNews noted that "Solar power, which President Barack Obama promoted accounted for 0.2% of the U.S. electricity supply in the first nine months of 2013, according to data published by the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration."
So how would a proxy for cold water become one of the most important contributors to the Moberg (And Juckes) reconstructions of NH temperature? The shortest answer is that it has a hockey stick shape ??? indeed, the HS-ness of the proxy was observed in an early publication of this data in which it was actually overlaid against the MBH hockey stick as shown below. (Overpeck, the second author of this article, has been rumored to be the person who told David Deming about ???getting rid of the MWP??.)
The development of this sentiment was not inevitable. President Obama took power with the strong support of most Americans, who hoped and believed he could make America whole again. Instead, in his deeds and in his words, in what he has done and in what he has failed to do, he has alienated the vast American middle.
And here is one thing that was better for me but I guess must be worse for the Left since they complain about it so much
The figures also show that all three climate cycles reached their maximum shortly after the end of the last millennium. With that in mind, we actually should have expected even higher temperatures than those seen in previous warm periods. Here perhaps the fact that the global temperature has seen a negative overall trend since the Holocene Maximum plays a role. That means that the global temperature has fallen by 2C over the past 8000 years.
The record shows no trend. Even the long warming fromt he Little Ice Age has stopped.
Normally, a supply barge arrives in the Amundsen Gulf in early summer to replenish stocks of fuel and other necessities, says the CBC. But this year, that trip is being held up by ice. As much as 30 to 40 per cent of the Arctic Ocean remains covered in ice.
Modern coal-fired power stations with efficient pollution controls do not release detectable particulates or noxious gases. Bans on dirty combustion and more clean electricity will clear the smog of Asian cities.All gases in the atmosphere have an effect on global climate, usually a moderating one, reducing the intense heat of the midday sun and reducing the rate of cooling at night. But only in theoretical climate models does carbon dioxide drive global warming - real evidence contradicts them.
Question: What is the degree of overlap in the data sets that are used to construct the global average surface temperature trend analyses? To frame this question another way, what raw surface temperature data is used in each analysis that is not used in the other analyses?
author's name is known, but the reviewers remain anonymous. This is
America is now engaged in a significant reappraisal of foreign policy, true to Ike's first warning. Our challenge now is to take to heart, to defend ourselves against the utopian quest to remake the world not only abroad, but at home as well. With equal fervor, we need to heed Ike's second warning, to gird ourselves for the fight against the equally utopian crusade led by that other complex the scientific-technocratic elite to forcibly create Heaven on Earth.
As for the NAS, it has distanced itself from its former president and touted its own 91 report that gave credence to global-warming hysteria. Ironically, the NAS will release a report in spring 99 about what additional research might reduce the scientific uncertainty about global warming.
The EPA could finally act on a December 2009 petitionby the Center for Biological Diversity and 350.Org to establish national ambient air quality standards (NAAQS) for carbon dioxide (CO2) and other GHGs.
Experts say such winds today would rip windows from skyscrapers and cause a deadly blizzard of flying glass, masonry, chairs, desks and other debris from high-rise offices and apartments. People would seek safety in subway tunnels, where they would drown as the tunnels flood.
In 2007 he worked for Current TV, where he edited over 50 short-form documentaries for terrestrial broadcast
There is an interesting chart that shows typical baselines used for a sample of crops. In particular, note that the USDA zone maps are based on degree days with a very high baseline:
Eric Pooley of Bloomberg Businessweek also dismissed the legitimacy and importance of the e-mail revelations. ?When the next climate scandalette comes along,? he said, ?some news organizations will surely play to hype and get carried away with their coverage- in effect, becoming a handy transmission belt for the professional deniers.?
Stuart Varney interviews scientist Pat Michaels , with the CATO institute, who was the target of physical threat from Climate Scientist Ben . He also DESTROYS Dan Weiss , from the Center for American Progress.
Accordingly, it is much more difficult to predict future regional climates and the benefits of GHG abatement for specific populations and countries across the planet than to predict global patterns. Yet, what matters for local populations in deciding whether to support GHG controls and their costs is the anticipated impact on regional water supplies, crop yields, sea levels, temperatures, health, and other related outcomes. Regional climate uncertainty makes it very difficult for local and national leaders to forge a political consensus for joining any multilateral action.
The graph above plots the ten year running mean of US hurricane strikes vs. atmospheric CO2. As you can see, there is no correlation between increasing CO2 and increasing hurricane strikes.
The study was part of a larger nationwide study commissioned by the American Meteorological Society to look at extreme weather events in 2013 from a climate perspective.
However, during a winter break in 2006, Bao obtained some unusual data from barite, a sulfate mineral dating from the Snowball Earth period that he received from a colleague in China.
Further, the Arctic has been referred to as a bellwether for global warming, owing to the observed amplification of warming in the Arctic in the last quarter of the 20th century. Hence, the importance of sorting out exactly what is going on in the Arctic Ocean and why is of outsized importance relative to its 2.8% effect.
Then this one has the cop in charge having participated in a crisis training drill, so clearly he could have staged one. OK, and I guess anyone who trains for nuclear preparation could start a nuclear war too?
Other commentators have pointed out recently that, while Arctic ice is at record low levels since 1979, Antarctic sea ice levels are at or close to record highs. I thought, therefore, that this might be a good time to look at satellite temperatures for the two poles.
Not only did Arctic ice make a spectacular recovery this year, but the remaining ice is relatively thick and the water is cold.
It is hard to convey just how bad this decision is; five members of the nation's highest court signed off on an opinion that, were it submitted as an answer to a first-year law exam on statutory interpretation and administrative law, would get a failing grade.
the president of the Royal Society of London drafted a resolution in favour and circulated it to other academies of science inviting co-signing. The president of the RSC, not a member of the Academy of Science, received the invitation. He considered it consistent with the position of the great majority of scientists, as repeatedly but erroneously claimed by Kyoto proponents, and so signed it. The resolution was not referred to the Academy of Science for comment, not even to its council or president.
Vice President Al Gore threatened to shut down the federal government if Congress does not approve President Clinton's environmental funding requests. "We are putting Congress on notice," said Gore. "We will not tolerate stealth attacks that do unacceptable harm to our environment or threaten public health."
I sent an e-mail to EIKE to get their opinion on DIE ZEITs perception of the skeptic movement. They replied, addressing the warmist movement in general:
Twenty years ago this week, Bill Clinton put us on the path which kept temperatures below Scenario C.
At the end of 2011, federal ethanol subsidies worth 45 cents a gallon expired, in place since the 1980s, along with protective tariffs. But, the recently reduced mandate remained and it continues to provide farmers with benefits at the expense of American consumers.
A COOL LATE SEASON STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS OVER SHERMAN PASS TODAY.
Dozens of people registered to vote out of office towers, but who did not list a suite number, causing the address to read similarly to ordinary residences - in many cases, these people are also registered to vote in other ridings using their home addresses, and in other cases, voters living in other ridings are only registered in Edmonton Centre
3. Renewable energy sources should always be used when it makes economic sense to do so. The less that governments intervene the more likely it is that this will happen.
Over century-long time frames, a lot can change. In 1910 the idea of global air commerce was a gleam perhaps in a poet's imagination, but hardly forecast. Global air miles exploded by 1960, and continued ballooning for the next 50 years. The central challenge is not forecasting how many air miles we'll fly in 2110, or gigabytes of bandwidth grandsons-of-iPhone will consume (a lot by the way--data centers already consume more energy than civil aviation). We can only dimly guess--never mind plan nor create--a specific technology future.
Genetic engineering serves as a proxy for what many latter-day Luddites find repulsive. The notion that the production of food is just as much science as art is disquieting to many people. Genetic manipulation serves as the most visible example of the type of cellular-level impersonality they cannot abide in modern farming. To these romantics, food should be produced as a labor of love by peasants in straw hats and artisans of the soil. That vision has no room for PhDs in lab coats.
> >> >>Best regards,
7. Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Weiner, The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years (New York: Macmillan, 1967).
Today there is so much installed capacity, Bild writes, that on days with lots of sunshine and wind, the green power has to be sold to foreign countries even if they dont need it. When that happens the highly subsidized power gets sold at negative prices. The result? Huge losses for power companies. This is how disfigured the electric power market has become.
Useful ones might be Baldwin, Benestad (written on the solar/cloud
The era of big government is definitely not over, but the era of top loading washing machines and freedom of choice apparently is.
"The man who tried to assassinate President Ronald Reagan 30 years ago is being granted additional time away from the Washington psychiatric hospital where he lives."
Earth has the same amount of sea ice as it did when Hansen made that forecast in 1984
A new study, "Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California," published in the August 24 issue of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences garnered considerable press coverage in California and the rest of the nation on August 17. The Associated Press coverage was typical:
While some other bloggers and journalists insist that recent winter snows are proof of global warming effects, they miss the fact that models have been predicting less snow in the norther hemisphere. See this 2005 peer reviewed paper:
The data suggests that changing solar activity is influencing in some way the global climate causing the world to get warmer.
Simple - Heat in, heat out equals climate change. This is why heat into water changes the temperature. The same is true for cold in/cold out and why winter is predictable every year.
It seemed far more likely to us, with 17 candidates in the race, a new money system that made it easier for more to stay in longer with the help of one or two "sugar daddies" running Super PACs, a delegate selection process that would keep a race going longer, and a more radical populist zeitgeist, that Trump and Cruz would be the last ones standing and that Trump could indeed prevail.
Individual responses were based on a range of methods: statistical, numerical models, comparison with previous observations and rates of ice loss, or composites of several approaches.
At The American Spectator, Shawn Macomber has very good article on Warren Brookes, after whom CEI's journalism fellowship is named. He highlights Brookes's debunking of radical green hokum:
Researchers at the Ohio State University Survey Research Unit have taken a unique approach to understanding public opinion on global warming. Between Sept. 1 and Oct. 5, 1997, before President Clinton launched the White House Conference on Climate Change on Oct. 6 at Georgetown University, they conducted a national telephone survey on attitudes about global warming.
There's an interesting illustration of the intellectual class zeitgeist in the Fox story as well. Note how Friedman goes out of his way to point out that he isn't one of those horrible deniers. It's the 21st-century equivalent of "Some of my best friends are black."
A problem with this approach is that GCM projections are relatively poor scenario generators.
Mitt Romney: He says he's not interested in 2012, but the former Massachusetts governor's Free and Strong America political action committee donated to seventy-five GOP candidates nationwide, plus efforts to stop same-sex marriage in California and marijuana decriminalization in Massachusetts.
In concert with the ads, several Green pressure groups are releasing "studies" about global warming. The World Wildlife Fund for Nature, released a report that warned of flooding in New York and Tokyo, droughts in Latin America, and the destruction of Australia's Great Barrier Reef. "Evidence for the warming of our planet over the last 200 years is now overwhelming," claims WWF. With no action to curb emissions, the climate on earth over the next century could become warmer than any the human species has lived through" (ABC News, October 19, 1999).
Considering the long years of media-driven drivel about global warming, the hoax should have been over by now, given the exposure in 2009 of thousands of emails between the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)conspirators and growing body of evidence that everything they asserted was a great steaming pile of horse manure.