Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Some have asked me why I have not updated my climate blog in a while. Frankly, the climate debate has become like the movie Groundhog Day, with the same handful of scientists releasing the same flawed studies making the same mistakes. What used to be exciting is frankly boring. I still blog here on updated climate news, and perhaps the IPCC will give us new things to write about soon, but for now most of my climate work will just be making appearances and presentations (let me know if you have a large group, I don't charge any sort of fee).
As for the EU's additional measures, these are proving difficult to adopt. Instead, the British government is on the verge of approving a new runway at Heathrow Airport and is considering applications to build a number of new coal-fired power plants. The German government has applied for special exemptions for its coal industry and on behalf of its auto industry is resisting the European Commission's new proposal to regulate auto emissions.
In the letter to parents, Feldhausen said the committee recognized there are "multiple viewpoints" on global warming. The committee recommended that all teachers using the book "make students aware of both sides of the global warming theory," he said.
The Benestad, R. E., and G. A. Schmidt 2009 and Lean, J. L., and D. H. Rind 2009 cannot both be correct in their conclusion regarding the magnitude of solar forcing on the Earths climate. They could both even be wrong based onsuch studies as
Radiative forcing has to be replaced with a dynamic energy transfer model. There is no climate equilibrium and the time dependence of the energy transfer must be explicitly included. Once this is done, CO2 induced global warming disappears. The minimum description requires four thermal reservoirs and six energy transfer process. This is discussed in the book The Dynamic Greenhouse Effect and the Climate Averaging Paradox. It is available on Amazon. There is also further discussion at http://www.venturaphotonics.com
...if the vast majority of Americans are still not even talking about climate change, we will never break through these obstacles and put irresistible pressure on Congress and every other opponent to stop fighting all reasonable actions to combat climate change and finally take positive action-for the sake of their own children and grandchildren if no one elses.
CO2 Science Sheffer et al. conclude that "the extraordinary flood of 2002 was not the largest in the basin" of the Gardon River. And their findings and those of many others, both in France and elsewhere, suggest that the really huge European floods of the past few centuries occurred during colder rather than warmer times, which relationship is just the opposite of what the world's climate alarmists claim to be the case.
Hurricane Matthew is currently pummeling the Florida coast after leaving hundreds dead in Haiti. More than 600,000 Floridians have lost power, according to reports, and only one has died during the storm.
It does a good job in explaining one skill of string theory from a viewpoint of someone who was definitely not trained as a string theorist. In condensed matter physics, there are various phases of matter displaying numerous kinds of behavior (and critical behavior) and things can get very complicated. However, under somewhat general circumstances, when the complexity becomes really extreme, there is another, alternative description of the situation that becomes easy, at least once you know its formalism.
8 pm: Jaeah Lee, a nice fact-checker from Mother Jones, has a genial online video in which she tries (unsuccessfully) to figure out the trick to hide the decline, eventually being tricked by Briffa.
The debate over human-induced global warming is far from settled. Listening to radical environmental activists and Vice President Al Gore, however, would give one the impression that the science is settled and humans are to blame for the warm temperatures in 1998. Recent weather events, however, could give the opposite impression.
Thefuel switching issue is somewhat arcane, so it may be helpful if I provide a quick overview before commenting on McCarthys answers.
The IPCC wants the world to stop using coal, oil and natural gas, saying that they must be "phased out almost entirely" by the end of the century. The report reeks of their contempt for humanity.
It was created during a La Nia that came before the El Nio. This happens because La Nia events reduce cloud cover and allow more sunlight than normal to penetrate and warm the tropical Pacific. Its all so simple, and its all supported by data, not by incorrect assumptions implantedinto theprogramming climate models.
In September 2013, the Republican members of the Senate Environmental and Public Works Committee issued a report that EPA officials had, from the beginning of President Obama's tenure, "pursued a path of obfuscation, operating in the shadows, and out of the sunlight." It detailed violations of the Freedom of Information Act and other federal laws and regulations intended to encourage transparency and accountability in the government.
To my knowledge, ???hide the decline??, as a technique, was used in every subsequent spaghetti graph using the Briffa reconstruction except one ??? the Zero Order Draft of IPCC TAR presented to the Lead Authors in Arusha in September 1999. This spaghetti graph ??? which didn??t hide the decline ??? went over like a lead balloon with IPCC ??? thus the busy emails of September 1999, which I??ve previously discussed. The IPCC spaghetti graph in its First Order Draft (October 1999) adopted a hide-the-decline strategy modeled on the techniques ???pioneered?? in Jones et al 1999 and Briffa and Osborn 1999 (though Mann varied the method somewhat.)
Now they claim they predicted their failures all along, declare every weather event to be unprecedented, and claim that CO2 somehow heats the depths of the ocean where temperatures cant be measured.
Circle around little tail indicates recent warming that has caused worldwide panic and mass hysteria.
C-O C/century <m>
It's time to tie up loose ends and dispel some of the speculation surrounding the Climategate affair.
The Greens are the political face of the environmentalist movement and they have become extremely influential, not only as separate political parties, but as factions within the major parties throughout the Anglosphere and very clearly within our own Liberal and Labor parties. Because they have been able to play the political game with great skill they have not been subjected to proper scrutiny. John Howard, for example, failed to realise that the environmentalist movement is an existential threat to Western civilisation, indeed to all civilisation.
Google: 244,000 Germans say "no' to Street View:
As a result, coal plants must install technology to capture and store carbon emissions. This is a cost-prohibitive prospect and one that all but forces new power plants to be generated by natural gas instead of coal. Of the proposed EPA rules, the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity has predicted they will make it impossible to build any new coal-fueled power plants and could cause the premature closure of many more coal-fueled power plants operating today.
In response to Barton's letter about ending the PTC for industrial wind, Schumer continues: "I believe that it is necessary to balance our country's increasing energy needs with the need to protect the environment. We must also focus on renewable energy and energy conservation in order to meet our growing energy demands. According to one study, if the U.S. increases its efficiency by 2.2% per year, it could reduce foreign oil imports by more than 50%. Such actions would not only reduce our dependence on foreign oil but would also safeguard the environment."
We invite you to visit our facts page, videos section and infographics area to see how your life is made easier with American Products. American Power.
She said the world might be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when temperatures fell over a longer period leading some scientists to predict a new ice age.
Even if McCarthy makes it, the agency will still be short on Senate-confirmed leaders for its air and general counsel offices, among others, which many agency-watchers say could hamper progress on new regulations.
A link to a good discussion of the ?Sea Levelgate? scandal appears below, along with links to other important climate news stories of the week.
Third, while the California economy has grown during the past 25 years, it has also become more volatile.
Update: Several people have found it ironic that the White House threw a fit over $300+ million for funding of new warplanes but hasn't blinked over $500+ million to ferry Congress around in luxury.
When I challenged ) Osborn on his untrue claim that I had heavily promoted or advocated Scenario A and/or Polar Urals, Osborn implicitly conceded that he had no source. Instead of then endeavouring to locate a source, Osborn stated that he would not search through hundreds of comments to try to find support for his assertion though surely this is something that he should have done before making the comment, rather than after.
So how cold is it going to get over the vast Canadian territory? The Winnipeg Free Press writes:
Climate Science has often blogged on the need to assess the entire spectrum of effects when a particular environmental (or other) regulation is implemented (e.g. see and see ).
Had that reporter been American rather than Russian, he probably would have missed Beckmann's point entirely. When you don't grow up surrounded by propaganda, you tend not to be too good at spotting it. Perhaps that's why residents of Russia and the former Soviet Bloc have such a relatively low opinion of today's global warming hype.
Once again, climate models have shown they are good for one thing and one thing only: to display how poorly they simulate Earths climate.
...the scientists were right and Plait was wrong. Or, as he might phrase it, he blatantly misinterpreted long term trends. Notice old Phil (his source, actually) starts, quite arbitrarily, with 1973, a point which is lower than the years preceding this date. If he would have read the post linked above, he would have known this is a common way that cheaters cheat. Not saying you cheated, Phil, old thing. But you didnt do yourself any favors.
Twitter / ClimateReality: MT @worldresources: #Climate
"For more than two years, the Competitive Enterprise Institute has been involved in a constitutional challenge to the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, the giant agency set up by the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 to create auditing rules under the law. CEI attorneys Sam Kazman and Hans Bader are of counsel to the plaintiffs in Free Enterprise Fund (FEF) v. PCAOB, and they have worked with the lead attorneys at the Jones Day law firm on the case. Representing both the FEF and Beckstead & Watts, a small Nevada accounting firm burdened by the PCAOB's mandates, we have argued that the agency violates the Constitution's Appointments Clause because it wields enormous power (and the individuals on its its five-member board actually get paid more than the president), yet its leaders are not subject to the Presidential appointment and Senate confirmation."
We should provide a word of caution about the optimal case. It is not presented in the belief that an environmental czar will suddenly appear to promulgate infallible canons of policy that will be religiously followed by all. Rather, the optimal policy is a benchmark to determine how efficient or inefficient alternative approaches may be. This is the best possible policy path for emissions reductions, given the economic, technological, and geophysical constraints that we have estimated.
But giving in to fear and hysteria, and throwing more roadblocks in front of responsible energy and economic development, creates far more harm than benefit for our nation and its people.
Will MSM Report on 2008 Arctic Ice Increase? | NewsBusters.org Good news! Despite the recent global warming alarmism in the media that Arctic ice might melt away completely from the North Pole this summer, the latest scientific observations show that Arctic ice has actually increased by nearly a half million square miles over this time last year. This is in stark contrast to the Chicken Little hysteria that was being promoted less than a month ago on the CBS Early Show as reported by Kyle Drennen on June 27 here in NewsBusters...
As the CO 2 content of the air rises, it is likely that ponderosa pine will exhibit increased rates of photosynthesis throughout their entire range in the state of California and elsewhere, regardless of genotype. In addition, with greater carbohydrate supplies, resulting from enhanced photosynthetic rates, it is likely that ponderosa pines will also increase their growth and biomass accumulation as the atmospheric CO 2 concentration continues to increase in the future.
"When we protect our lands, it helps us protect the climate of the future," Obama said at a recent Lake Tahoe environmental summit.
Pelosi: Things were going great for us until these outside groups started spending money:
The new approach is to make very general statements about our dire future with only glancing references to secondary literature about climate change or species extinction, all wrapped in a "systems analysis" of the impeding collapse of the planet. Like Limits to Growth, Speth's book offers very little detailed data or analysis of specific ecological problems; recent eco-apocalypse books proceed with the presumption that scenarios of catastrophe are beyond reasonable dispute or qualification and are not even open to discussion. (Speth recently withdrew from a debate about the future of the global environment when he was booked opposite Bjrn Lomborg. Speth is highly critical of Lomborg in Red Sky at Dawn, but is unwilling to face off with Lomborg in a public forum.)
"We have here a chance to appreciate the amazing technologies created by free people. For they allow us to laugh at the folly of our fellow humans, rather than having to mourn their passing." The Wall Street Journal
Such measures will clearly involve a considerable expense. To afford them means generating more growth to create the resources to pay for them.
"The Democrat coalition of radical environmental groups, the Environmental Protection Agency, and green companies claim they want to help the environment, but those claims are dubious at best since the oil and gas industry is already doing a good job of policing itself," Stone said. "Being green is big business."
Putting aside the fact that the Himalayan glaciers have been retreating since 1780 some 70 years before the onset of the current post-Little Ice Age warming trend and 100 years before the onset of significant global industrialization full appreciation of the significance of the researchers' finding requires a brief trip down recent-memory lane, one, incidentally, that no media outlet reporting this finding bothered to make.
the ranges of TCR estimated from the observed warming and from AOGCMs agree well, increasing our confidence in the assessment of uncertainties in projections over the 21st century.
Climate alarmists want the newspaper and television media to ignore this information and the skeptics who might present it. Bill Nye the science guy recently asked MSNBC to link all weather events to climate change. Just say the words climate change when you talk about this winters cold and snow, he begged. A new study shows how widespread these repulsive practices have become.
For a comprehensive solution to offshore oil spill liability, see Nicolas D. Loris, Jack Spencer, and James Jay Carafano, "Oil Spill Liability: A Plan for Reform," Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 2446, August 2, 2010, http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2010/08/oil-spill-liability-a-plan-for-reform.
the degree to which global temperature responds to concentrations of greenhouse gases
It is unclear whether there will be time to bring such a deal to the House and Senate floors before Congress adjourns or recesses for the election campaign. The announced date for adjournment is October 11, but a lame duck session after the election is still possible.
And do we know that protests over soaring food prices were the spark that began the Arab Spring? The Gaurdian certainly thought so . But to the leave it in the ground campaigners rarely stop to think about the effect on prices of abolishing fossil fuels, or subsidies for its consumers the self-fulfilling prophecy. And we can moreover return to Sen, to point out that, even if there were apparent environmental causes for reduced harvest and thus higher prices (and so on to protests and conflict), the dominant issue was the tyrannies that failed to address the populations needs, not the relative scarcity of food crops. Here is a graph showing wheat production in the region. (Data from UN FAOSTAT).
At that time, those FOI requests referred to in the emails had been long since submitted. The stonewalling evident in the emails was well entrenched. The skeptics were trying to find enough information to attempt replication of The Teams work but were having difficulty getting that information. Also, the public was almost entirely in the dark about there being any other possible side of the story, in spite of the work of Christy, Spencer, Richard Linzen, Willie Soon, and others, including many studies on the supposedly non-existent Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age that showed those two events were actually global, as opposed to Manns assertion that they were only regional.
6. Is it possible that human-made global warming is occurring, but is masked by the cooling effect of air pollution?
Since this result uses the IPCC models themselves to ???calibrate?? the Levitus observations, it cannot be faulted for using a model that is ???too simple??. To the extent the average IPCC model mimics nature, the models themselves suggest the relatively weak ocean warming observed during 1955-1999 indicates relatively low climate sensitivity.
But for the past two decades, beyond the farm gate, the controversy has been brewing. In fact, if my summer is any indication, it may be getting worse. So, herewith some reports from a few months on the front lines in the anti-GMO resurgence.
The American economy is growing roughly twice as fast as Europe's. President Bush's re-election will put more pressure on EU leaders to consider adopting more business-friendly policies; it is evident that Bush's embrace of free, competitive markets, low taxes and light regulatory touch underpin the U.S.'s widening comparative advantage in the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors. In fact, the greatest challenge Mr. Bush poses to the security of European leaders is not in foreign policy but in economics.
William of Ockham might explain this increase of Antarctic sea ice extent as an effect of the STH having cooled, just as the loss of Arctic sea ice has been explained as an effect of the NTH having warmed.
Curb the excessive power and representation of environmentalists and bureaucrats in our government. End the sue-and-settle lawsuits between government agencies and radical environmentalist pressure groups. Cut agency budgets, especially the billions of dollars that EPA and other agencies give to anti-energy advocacy organizations and biased advisory panels.
Additionally, our estimates of climate sensitivity using our and the four instrumental temperature records range from about 1.5C to 2.0C. These are on the low end of the estimates in the IPCCs Fourth Assessment Report . So, while we find that most of the observed warming is due to human emissions of , future warming based on these estimations will grow more slowly compared to that under the IPCCs likely range of climate sensitivity, from 2.0C to 4.5C.
Once again we have numerous climate model results that deviate significantly from real-world measurements; and we see no improvement in this regard between the CMIP3 set of models and the newer and supposedly improved CMIP5 models. This is not what most rational people would call progress. References
Methane From Fracking: Not the Monster Bill McKibben Sniffs Out
Previous attempts to explain the global surface temperature cooling trend have relied more heavily on climate model results or a combination of modeling and observations, which may be better at simulating long-term impacts over many decades and centuries. This study relied on observations, which are better for showing shorter-term changes over 10 to 20 years.
The latest explanation from climate scientists is that Pacific trade winds have caused the planet to stop warming. Stronger winds in the last two decades may have forced warmer water deeper while bringing cooler water to the surface.
d) Evidence shows that extreme rainfall events are becoming neither more frequent, or intense see here.
They are in more than the usual disarray that afflicts parties out of the White House. Many members of their majority in the House of Representatives are out of step with the Republican leadership on issues ranging from Syria to defunding Obamacare.
I havent quite figured out how they attribute a RE of 0.25 to MBH. It looks like it arises from various permutations and combinations of methods applied to the MBH network. However, if the network itself contains spurious regressors (bristlecones), none of the choices are really applicable. Their point is more that the calibration/verification period selection of MBH yields an exceptionally high RE statistic relative to random sampling still a worthwhile point. In their conclusion, they point out that the confidence intervals obtainable from an RE of 0.25 leave an amplitude error of which is insufficient to resolve the medieval-modern problem.
This huge unknown could alone be responsible for all global warming due a tiny 1-2% natural change in global cloud cover. Climate models conveniently assume clouds are a positive feedback that accelerates global warming, but this paper and many others show this is an unjustified assumption and that cloud feedback could instead be strongly negative.
Discussing his job, at the time as a close associate of Gina McCarthy, the new EPA administrator, Beale revealed that he was there to come up with "specific proposals that could have been proposed either legislatively or things which could have been done administratively to kind of modify the capitalist system "
Obviously, since 1996, the last 18 years has witnessed its normal wide variation in temperature swings but the overall linear trends are cooling for all three datasets, NOT WARMING as predicted.
Instead of acknowledging any of this, EPA employs a"social cost of carbon" scheme that places arbitrary inflated costs on damages it claims result from alleged climate risks from using carbon-based fuels. It includes every imaginable and imaginary cost of using fossil fuels even absurd claims that its anti-energy plan will reduce asthma rates, which have been increasing while pollution rates are going down.
A recent article in the British newspaper, The Register , reported on a study by scientists in Germany, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom, that was published in Nature Geoscience that concluded there was no scientific consensus to suggest the rate of the seas rise will accelerate dangerously.
External security cameras coming to "real time crime center':
Billionaire Elon Musk prances around as CEO or godfather of Tesla Motor Company manufacturing electrical cars, Solar City manufacturing solar panels to make electricity, and SpaceX manufacturing space rockets to launch satellites into orbit. These companies rarely make a profit, though they've made Musk a very rich man. How do they stay in business? With a stream of $5 billion in taxpayer funds. READ MORE