Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The "greenhouse effect" is then determined by dT=h*g/Cp = 33K on Earth 3. The surface temperature is thus 255+33 = 288K Thus, the entire greenhouse effect, troposphere temperature profile, and surface temperature have all been derived from the 1st and 2nd laws and ideal gas law, completely independent of "radiative forcing" from greenhouse gases. The wet adiabatic lapse rate is only one-half of the dry, which proves increased water vapor has a negative feedback cooling effect. Water vapor increases Cp in the above equation, therefore decreases the lapse rate. CO2 has essentially zero effect on atmospheric mass, any of the barometric equations, or lapse rate and thus essentially zero effect on the surface temperature.
From page SPM-9: There is very high confidence that models reproduce the more rapid warming in the second half of the 20th century, and the cooling immediately following large volcanic eruptions. Models do not generally reproduce the observed reduction in surface warming trend over the last 1015 years. There is medium confidence that this difference between models and observations is to a substantial degree caused by unpredictable climate variability, with possible contributions from inadequacies in the solar, volcanic, and aerosol forcings used by the models and, in some models, from too strong a response to increasing greenhouse-gas forcing. {9.4.1, 10.3.1, 11.3.2; Box 9.2}
In the minds of the audience, the evidence that global warming has occurred becomes conflated with the alleged cause, and the audience hasn't noticed that the cause was merely asserted, not proved. HT: Ben Cunningham
All best estimates given are medians (50% probability points for continuous distributions), unless otherwise stated.
No Social Security information, drivers license numbers, addresses, birth dates or other identifying information is transmitted from the smart meter. Instead, an encrypted code is used to identify the house and its usage, Smith said.
"We have learned from our experience with Medicaid that more spending does not mean better care," he said. But by the time of his final State of the State address in 2006, Pataki had abandoned talk of fiscal discipline, defining better care as expanded enrollment in government health-insurance programs. Pataki's reversal was due entirely to pressure from 1199, which opposed him in his initial bid for office in 1994 and remained neutral in his 1998 reelection campaign against Peter Vallone. But by 2002, pleased with the governor's evolution, the union endorsed him outright.
But when leaders neither criticized nor condemned the assertions, it gave them more legitimacy with voters. We do not believe that party leaders themselves believed Obama was a secret Muslim, that Hillary Clinton's aide Huma Abedin was a terrorist, or that a Black Panther uprising was ever imminent. But those claims were cynically exploited to foster anger among base voters.
In many countries, people could possess access to capital by virtue of the real estate they already occupy, but they are unable to prove ownership of the land due to inadequate land-titling systems or because of traditional forms of property ownership where everything belongs to the village chief. As Hernando de Soto explained in his book, The Mystery of Capital, land-titling reforms significantly benefit the poor, enabling
What can possibly be wrong with those guidelines unless the regulators have a lot to hide?
The hilarious South Park episode, "Smug Alert" (Season 10), frames the issue with which the Audi ad execs seem to be wrestling.
It seems to me that it is at least plausible that Immelt is simply switching rent-seeking strategies. If, all of a sudden, the prospects for cap-and-trade and other Obama green priorities dramatically improved, I'd bet Immelt would still be touting his love of renewable energy subsidies and the like.
Okay, the good professor doesnt say that exactly (though he gets there, eventually, by extension). Heres whathe actuallysaid:
As a public body, NCDC have a duty to be accountable for all of their work, as well as to be totally transparent. They have been aware of this issue now since January, and it is surely time for them to step up to the plate and either explain how their adjustments are correct, or withdraw them. Furthermore, they must fully investigate all other significant adjustments elsewhere and withdraw them where they cannot be fully substantiated. I would also suggest they ask themselves why these clearly incorrect adjustments were not identified and put right at the very outset. It should not be up to independent observers to be doing this for them.
For decades, the IPCC has presented climate science as an established field. Now we??re being asked to have ???more patience to let the science to unfold??? Climate scientists have had two decades to program their models, and they still cannot simulate naturally occurring, naturally fueled, coupled ocean-atmosphere processes that can cause global temperatures to warm or can halt that warming.
"In comparison to water in all of its forms, the effect of the carbon dioxide increase over the last century on the temperature of the earth is about as significant as a few farts in a hurricane!"
In the end, the most rational thing for the country to do on GHGs is for Congress to enact legislation that gets EPA out of the GHG regulatory business entirely. Even proponents of GHG regulation dont believe that the CAA is suited to that purpose. We must therefore keep pushing on the legislative front, since new legislation is the right thing to do. Still, the alignment of political forces is such at this time that comprehensive GHG legislation seems out of reach, although more targeted legislative approaches may be possible. Without some intercession from Congress, we are left with possibly decades of hand-to-hand combat on GHG regulation.
Parameterization of instantaneous global horizontal irradiance at the surface. Part II: Cloudy-sky component
I like that whim of the researcher part. It is true, but the reality is that the degree days calculated with a 41 degree reference point will not be dramatically different from the 40 point and most crops will not care which one you use (as long as you have calibrated that crop on that scale) while repeatedly doing math in your head with 40 is likely easier than 41 for most folks, so a researcher may be prone to picking 41 vs 40 based on whim
The IPCCs 2-4.5 deg claimed sensitivity range is shown as the shaded area.
Thus proving to be rude, ignorant, and unable to reason. He is at least up front about it. It was honest of him to CC Bob Carter in at the start. Though it appears to be more unfounded arrogance than an attempt to communicate.
President Obama claims the global climate pact negotiated in Paris last Decemberthe so-called Paris Agreementis an "executive agreement," not a treaty, hence is not subject to Senate review. How convenient. Obama knows that if he were to submit the Paris Agreement to the Senate for a debate and vote on ratification, it would be dead on arrival.
There is no support for this type of environmental and energy legislation in the U.S. Congress among most Republicans, and little among Democrats.
I can understand why certain officials need to fly private planes just for security, but the average Congressman from Wyoming? Why won't commercial work. Andy why, if they must have a private plane, wouldn't a more reasonably sized Falcon 50 or Citation work just as well?
Does GISP2 ??? or any other paleoclimate record ??? show us that climate change isn??t happening? No, of course not. It shows us that climate change always happens. The 20th-century warming was hardly unprecedented, and doesn??t call for unusual explanations.
Energy Density . As scholars from Vaclav Smil to Robert Bryce have documented, the best energies are the ones that can produce the most power at the least resource cost. The future belongs to the efficientand oil, gas, and coal are the prime-time consumer-driven choices.
Although many of our commentators are talented p to follow climate blogs around the world, and often come with interesting lnkar, s they must of course have something to comment from being able to give his lnk. Sjlv I always want gna through a few of those for me Blogs of when it is time to write a inlgg, but I got closest to a feeling out the new drought fr kvllstidningar to write about when the weather is widespread even outside Sweden.
Frankly neither the pH range nor the time frame for OA seems to be outside natural variation. There is also ample evidence that more significant physiological changes can happen in shorter time frames. At the end of the day, before we get all hot and bothered by OA we need to sit back and acknowledge that the species in contention not only show a wider reaction range than is commonly presented, but that whatever their method for calcification is, they simply need to increase the metabolic rates, or the mean metabolic rate of the species through natural selection, to adapt to changing oceanic conditions.
Business suits are out, for both sexes. And with the right to open a window, office employees no longer have to carry sweaters or space heaters to work in the summer. After a long absence, ceiling fans, window fans and desk fans (and, for that matter, paperweights) take back the American office.
The panel found Schatten, as co-author with Hwang on a 2005 article in the journal Science, did not exercise a sufficiently critical perspective as a scientist. By not properly checking the veracity of the paper, Schatten committed a serious failure that facilitated the publication of the work, the panel said....
For most months and for the entire growing season, the first half of the century was much drier that the second half of the century (Figure 3). Bonsal et al. note that The time series of total growing season precipitation indicates 3 distinct periods: above normal precipitation from 190516, anomalously low amounts during 191749, and generally higher precipitation from 195096. We are not sure why the ended their study in 1996, and we have not seen the drought of today in central Canada put into historical perspective. But if we simply look at the data presented by these scientists, there is no trend whatsoever to reduced precipitation as the greenhouse gas concentration increased through the 20th century indeed there is evidence that precipitation was enhanced through the century.
Better still, we can look at the graph of GISS anomalies for the two poles between 1938 and 1980.
Figure 2.1.1: Leading mode of annual rainfall variability over Australia, from observations (Bureau of Meteorology), the CSIRO Mk3.6 and Mk3.5 climate models, and three leading international models: HadGEM1 (United Kingdom), GFDL CM2.1 (USA) and MIROC 3.2, medium resolution (Japan).
Inhofe rightly noted that Congress deliberately did not regulate so-called greenhouse gases with the Clean Air Act, a bill that was designed to deal with air quality, not climate change.
I'd guess that's slim to none. The Republicans may well move to the center, and embrace some kind of domestic greenhouse gas control scheme (which would be a bad idea for the same reasons discussed earlier), but I'd say there's little or no chance they'll ever join in the United Nations process. It's possible that more countries will join the Asia-Pacific Climate Coalition that the Bush Administration has created as an alternative to the UN process as they realize how impossible the UN approach is, but I haven't detected momentum yet one way or the other.
Neutron Monitors. Ground-based neutron monitors detect variations in the approximately 500 Mev to 20 GeV portion of the primary cosmic ray spectrum.
The Plan also supports more conventional generation technologies that can address climate change. According to the Plan, the Department of Energy will issue a draft solicitation that would make up to $8 billion in loan guarantee authority available for a wide array of advanced fossil energy and efficiency projects to support innovative technologies. The Obama Administration will encourage our international partners to switch from coal to gas for electricity production, as well as deploy nuclear energy and clean coal technologies. Under the Plan, the President also calls for an end to U.S. government support for public financing of new coal plants overseas, except where there is no feasible alternative or if the facility deploys carbon capture and sequestration technologies.
1. Chris Landsea, "Why I Must Resign," Canada's Financial Post, January 20, 2005.
Well, we already know that models cant simulate the coupled ocean-atmosphere processes that cause global sea surface temperatures to warm over multidecadal periods. (See the quick overview that follows.) So, the difference between the modeled and observed ratios of land to sea surface temperature warming rates suggests the basic underlying physics within the models are skewed. Skewed is the nicest word I could think to use.
Svenmark's cosmic ray theory of climate is only one of many solar amplification mechanisms described in the peer-reviewed literature.
George Bush would make Dick Cheney do it, and Dick'd have a heart attack in your front yard. Donald Rumsfeld would invade your lawn, and have 100,000 soldiers trying to cut it with one pair of nail clippers. Howard Dean would be screaming at the grass to shorten up. Hillary Clinton would marry the Toro dealer. You wouldn't hire politicians. And you certainly wouldn't buy them. Look where it got Jack Abramoff.
SOURCE: Roy Spencer Global Warming Blog
Gore's U-Turn Given Qualified Welcome
But men evolve! And Simpson, from his front-row seat at the runway of male social trends, this summer declared that decades of encouraging men to take themselves as their own love-object has spawned a much hipper version of the original metrosexual. This newer new man has untangled himself from the (still enjoyable, sure) distraction of clothes to focus with unadulterated purpose on himselfnaked, chiseled, and glistening. Simpson would like to make our acquaintance official with this individual. Meet Mr. Spornosexual.
to ramming home a lesson that we all seem very reluctant to learn:
Dr. Ahlman urged the establishment of an international agency tostudy conditions on a global basis.Temperatures had risen 10 degreessince 1900. The navigable seasonalong Western Spitzbergen now last-ed eight months instead of three.
To be sure, 2011 saw some very extreme events in the United States. But was it the "most extreme year for weather" since the 19th century? Not by a long shot, whether the metric is dollar damage or loss of life.
In Obama's construct, America's allies are "free riders" on US power and treasure. Nowhere does he profess an understanding of leadership or of what the concept of leading an alliance might mean. Indeed, at one moment, he refers to presidential leadership as "theater in political communications." But this great man is too great for that sort of self-indulgent theater. He has a higher vantage point from which, with Goldberg's assistance, he prefers to school the rest of us rubes.
And what about the people? Environmentalists may like to keep development out of the Third World and maintain it as some kind of giant wilderness refuge they can visit now and again, but that is hardly in the best interest of the citizens there. And as for the indigenous tribes, they may like to glamorize the lifestyle and discuss it in terms of the noble savage, but as expressed in "The Cross and the Rainforest," "the lifestyle of the rainforest Indian, weaving bodily adornments from leaves and living off nutritious bark and berries, probably holds more charm for white, middle-class environmentalists than it does for the Indians." (p. 147)
It comes after officials for the panel were forced earlier this month to retract inaccurate claims in the IPCCs report about the melting of Himalayan glaciers.
warming trend of 0.11C per century caused by urban warming.
My browsing did go so far as to try to identify the underlying data and, for some reason, I contacted the author of the hockey stick study, Michael Mann, when I was unable to locate the data. I initially became engaged in the matter in a more serious way, when Mann said that he had "forgotten" where the data was and one of his associates, to whom Mann turned over the inquiry, said that it was not in any one place, but that he would get it together for me. I drew that conclusion that no one had ever checked Mann??s work and thought that this would be an interesting project, rather like doing a large crossword puzzle. At the time, like any undergraduate reading this, I had never written an academic article. I certainly had no plans to become engaged in academic controversy.
Tropical Cyclones Making Land-Fall Over Eastern Australia
Morano specifically wants Gingrich to apologize for the Pelosi ad and for suggesting that lawmakers need to find a solution to global warming.
Seitzs sin? He signed a cover letter for the Petition Project, an effort by scientists skeptical of the global-warming mania. The petition urges the U.S. to reject the climate treaty drafted in Japan in December.
Regular SDA reader (and he adds - frequent Weblog Awards vote caster) Gary Valcour is requesting your assistance in the final round of the National Post's "Canada in six words or less" contest. It's an entry worthy of SDA support, I do believe!
Abdussamatov also observed the most significant solar event in the 20th century was the extraordinarily high level and the prolonged (virtually over the entire century) increase in the energy radiated by the sun, resulting in the global warming that today climate alarmists believe is a man-made phenomenon.
Image by Darren Wamboldt/Bergman Group.
Last year, some 160 nations negotiated an agreement in Kyoto, Japan, that would require the United States to reduce its emissions of greenhouse gases, chiefly carbon dioxide from the combustion of fossil fuels, more than 30 percent below the levels otherwise projected for 2008- 2012. Since emission levels are closely linked to energy use, since energy is used to produce and transport virtually all goods in a modern economy, and since 85 percent of all U.S. energy comes from fossil fuels, the Kyoto Protocol would appear to pose a serious threat to our economy.
Chicago exploring high speed rail system:
As has been recently reported by this writer on this blogand at Anthony Watts on WUWT, the summers in both the contiguous US and Canada have not warmed but have actually cooled in US and the trend is quite flat in Canada over the last 10 years. Therefore warmer summers cannot be causing more negative AO and colder winters.
The report did conclude, however, that, "We have not found, and based on current knowledge do not believe it is realistic to expect, that there are new reactor and fuel cycle technologies that simultaneously overcome the problems of cost, safety, waste, and proliferation." (Boston Globe, July 30).
The United States signed Kyoto on November 12, 1998 and never rescinded that signature. There is nothing in the Constitution or law impeding the Senate from voting on the duly signed Kyoto today. One of the most important reasons they have not done so is the surrender of US sovereignty to foreign regulators and courts that are not responsible to American voters and circumscribed by our Constitution.
Liberal Senator Eric Abetz said the Greens leader should apologise for his insensitive comments.
ased on what we see in the atmosphere, there is no evidence of substantial increases in methane emissions from the Arctic in the past 20 years.
Peter Glasers full commentary on the D.C. Circuit Court decision follows.
Simple as that, but people in the business of taking down institutions use any tool available.
Their piece begins with a large color photo (not the one shown above) of a godfather-like appearing Marc Morano, who Die Zeit portrays as the communication and climate skepticism kingpin. The only thing missing from the photo is Richard Lindzen kissing his hand.
And they are realists. Take, for example, the agreement of Palestinian negotiators to accept serious limits on their military capabilitiesno heavy arms or aircraft, merely a well-equipped militia to provide law and orderin exchange for Israel's forgoing the right of any of its soldiers or civilians, including settlers, to be posted in Palestine.
Ocean heat content (sorry, can't find the link but the shift from using thermometers in pails dipped from ships to the ARGO floats caused a one time step change in ocean heat content measurements)
"Each of the successive periods after 1950 exhibits a downward step in per-capita real GDP growth, with steps downward marked at 1964, 1972, and 1987."
It goes on at some great length about how Green House Gases increase the radiative cooling of the Stratosphere. They are throughly convinced that stratospheric cooling is the Evil Twin of tropospheric warming, showing that GHGs are critical to both (so by implication, cooling in the stratosphere endorses warming troposphere). Completely missing the point that the troposphere is dominated by water and convection, so more heat in just means faster transport up. Yet the graph is useful and the discussion is interesting.
The Maunder Minimum was a period of intensely cold winters during the 1600?s. If Lockwood and his colleagues are right this is yet another indicator that points towards global cooling. Although the effects of the jet stream are predominantly felt in Europe the overall temperature drops caused by a cessation of activity on the Sun will be felt across the Northern Hemisphere.
Once again - see Greening of the Earth in our Subject Index - we have more compelling evidence for the powerful aerial fertilization and transpiration reducing effects of atmospheric CO 2 enrichment and what they can do for both the managed and unmanaged biosphere in terms of enhancing biological prodctivity.
But the real worry with climate research is that it is on the very edge of what is called postmodern science. This is a counterpart of the relativist world of postmodern art and design. It is a much more dangerous beast, whose results are valid only in the context of societys beliefs and where the very existence of scientific truth can be denied. Postmodern science envisages a sort of political nirvana in which scientific theory and results can be consciously and legitimately manipulated to suit either the dictates of political correctness or the policies of the government of theday.
The EPA enjoyed substantial administrative policy and budget independence during its early years. This rapidly began to change when President Clinton came into office with an alleged pre-election deal to appoint an assistant administrator from the Sierra Club who carefully and methodically removed the policy office's independent analytical integrity.
But there are several critical elements that cast a long shadow on this scenario. First is the obvious question of just how much rainforest is actually being lost. Wilson and others put in the high estimates, and get high numbers of species loss, but as seen in the previous section, the numbers they use are at least 4 to 5 times higher than, say, the estimates by Lanly.
Many former believers in catastrophic man-made global warming have recently reversed themselves and are now climate skeptics. The names included below are just a sampling of the prominent scientists who have spoken out recently to oppose former Vice President Al Gore, the United Nations and the media driven "consensus" on man-made global warming. The list below is just the tip of the iceberg.
Climate has continually varied in the past, and the causes are not well understood ??? especially on the 100 year timescalerelevant for todays climate change
Scientists announced this week that rapidly melting Arctic sea ice has beached tens of thousands of Walruses in Alaska. Apparently no one told them that the ice is closer to Alaska this year than it was in 1998.
I suspect that those of you you that have been diligently attending the College of Climate Etc. are eminently qualified for such positions :)