Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
The committee again excluded from consideration any document or point of view that might incriminate Mann's conduct.
A new paper published in Environmental Research Letters finds that climate models exaggerate the upper end of projected global warming because the models are " inconsistent with past warming ." The paper adds to many other recent peer-reviewed studies demonstrating that IPCC projections of global warming are exaggerated.
When you get to this link, click on the graph again to make it even bigger: http://www.vukcevic.co.uk/GrandMinima.gif
It was 58 degrees today in Pecos, Texas. On this date in 1972 (peak year of the ice age scare) it was 100 degrees.
Hansens remarks were prompted in response to comments made by Joe Oliver who is a conservative politician and the Canadian Minister of Natural Resources. Speaking at the Center for Strategic Studies last week, Oliver heaped opprobrium on the scientist. In his speech he declared , It does not advance the debate when people make exaggerated comments that are not rooted in the facts. And should know that.
The CDM system itself, however, will still be in place, and we will all contribute through its chief source of revenue, the EU's $100-billion-a-year Emissions Trade Scheme (which we pay for in various ways, not least through our electricity bills). We here in Britain also have the special privilege of knowing, as I reported in February, that we are now chipping in 60 million to buy additional CDM credits through our taxes ? so that the politicians and civil servants in government offices can keep warm by continuing to pump out emissions much as before.
Bombshell conclusion new peer reviewed analysis: worldwide-temperature increase has not produced acceleration of global sea level over the past 100years
Bushfire predictions in 2070 are nonsense on stilts. Models cant predict rainfall
Evidence for sun-climate link reported by UMaine scientists
Indoctrination Alert as the ABC reports that the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority is targeting children in its latest effort to protect the reef.
In 1990, the IPCCs central estimate of near-term warming was higher by two-thirds than it is today. Then it was 2.8 C/century equivalent. Now it is just 1.7 C equivalent and, as Fig. 3 shows, even that is proving to be a substantial exaggeration.
Or, at least, I think that's the objective. Another way to put is the Audi folks want to have their cake and eat it. They want to be both green and independent of green.
According to the British Met Office , the 2007 Arctic ice-melt was an anomaly unrelated to climate change. The article says, Modeling of Arctic sea ice by the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model shows that ice invariably recovers from extreme events, and that the long-term trend of reduction is robustwith the first ice-free summer expected to occur between 2060 and 2080. It is unlikely that the Arctic will experience ice-free summers by 2020.
With quite a bit of action North of New Zealand.
When Corker subsequently praised Trump's disastrous press conference in Scotland as "one of his better events" this was the press conference that mainly showcased Trump's golf resort, and in which Trump praised the UK's vote in favor of Brexit in strongly pro-Europe Scotland, after earlier demonstrating he did not even know what Brexit was the cave-in was complete.
Thanks Marlo. This ultimately puts the ball in the "court" of informed voters who will determine who those representatives are, and will expose them to some true human-caused heat.
What Dr Hubble meant was that with four times the light gathering power and four times the distance of past light sources, the anticipated light speed would exceed half the speed of light. At that point it would easy to discredit Big Bang and develop another model. That never happened for a multitude of reasons, some to do with Dr Hubble.
And although certain aspects of the program are specifically directed at NAAQS pollutants, see, e.g., id. 7473(b)(4), the program as a whole plainly has a more expansive scope. For instance, covered sources are required to (1) install the best available control technology for ?each pollutant subject to regulation under ,? id. 7475(a)(4) (emphasis added), and (2) demonstrate that they will not cause or contribute to ?any . . . applicable emission standard? under the Act, id. 7475(a)(3) (emphasis added).
Once we had the total energy embodied in each consumption item, we were able to translate this into dollar terms by obtaining the total expenditure for each consumption item from the National Income and Product Accounts tables for 2006. The direct energy expenditures were then calculated by summing up total expenditures on electricity, gas, water, fuel oil, coal, gasoline, and oil. The rest were classified as indirect energy expenditures.
Question: What photographic documentation is available for the global network of surface temperature sites used to construct the long term global surface temperature analyses?
From Bankers.asn.au - Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 5206. National Income, Expenditure and Product. June Quarter 2003: Axiss Australia Guest post by Viv Forbes
Humans keep adding large amounts of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, among them carbon dioxide (CO2), the most important man-made greenhouse gas. Over the past 250 years, human activities such as fossil fuel burning have raised the atmospheric CO2 concentration by more than 40% over its preindustrial level of 280 ppm (parts per million). In May 2013, the CO2 concentration in Earths atmosphere surpassed a milestone of 400 ppm for the first time in human history, a level that many scientists consider dangerous territory in terms of its impact on Earths climate.
Are these uncertainty intervals adequate? Not entirely. After all, I neglected autocorrelation in the residuals, non linearity and all sorts of things. Autocorrelation in the residuals is 5%. I set it to zero, but it may be real. If it is, then I should have added that possibility to computation of my uncertainty intervals. Also, maybe the trend is non-linear, or maybe something important changed after the final data point.
Anyone vaguely familiar with this issue knows that Murray Darling Basin Authority boss Craig Knowles and Water Minister Tony Burke and even Opposition leader Tony Abbot and Opposition water spokesman Barnaby Joyce dont want the issue of the barrages or the Lower Lakes raised in polite discussion.
How 1199SEIU, New York's ultra-powerful hospital and nursing home employees' union, took over the Empire State.
There are many historical accounts of this approach, for example the early German explorer Ludwig Leichardt described frequent mild bushfires in New South Wales in the 1840s, lit by Aborigines. He pointed out that such fires, although widespread and common, were not a threat to humans. I suspect there were few big hats and medals in those days. Early European farmers imitated Aboriginal burning, to keep themselves safe. More recent bushfires in New South Wales, often in long unburnt areas such as National Parks, have been unmistakeably menacing, due to heavier fuel. In 2013 bushfires in NSW caused two deaths, and the loss of 248 houses. The cost was put at $94 million.
Frst might br we recall that chemical kinetikhar its base in a reaction rate or flerasannolikhetsfrlopp in a particular direction is proportional to
strategy says that trying engagement first can ultimately yield more pressure.
Since then, there have been just two more instances in which the price of wind power in Denmark turned negative for a significant period of time because of excess wind, according to the national grid company, Energinet.dk.
What is the origin of the false beliefconstantly repeatedthat almost all scientists agree about global warming?
There is no evidence, Mr Miliband, Lord Stern and others, that our floods and storms are related to climate change
According to Chris Horner, counsel to the Cooler Heads Coalition, "The Clean Air Act never specifically mentions global warming gases except to say that they can't be regulated." And Rep. David McIntosh, chairman of the Subcommitte on National Economic Growth, Natural Resources and Regulatory Affairs, has said, "EPA has somehow missed the obvious. The Clean Air Act is a carefully structured statute with specific titles that establish specific regulatory programs to accomplish specific objectives .The Clean Air Act is not a regulatory blank check."
Second, Eli has not commented on the discrepancy between GISS and GHCN adjustments and the KNMI results. So while the additional reference is interesting and further documents the points that I made above, it does not contradict them. Eli has simply thrown up a diversion as though it were an academic comment.
one hand, one can say that there is someone frtjnst on scientific parameters change value every 6 r. the other hand, one can frvnas over these 35 years with psttt framgngsrik research, nor has meant that oskerhetsmarginalerna shrunk. I remember that it was this table that either Nir Shaviv or Roy Spencer summarized in a bar graph, which he described as his life's most monotonous. Among AGW critics vckte there is a certain attention to the AR5 researched oskerheten compared to AR4 by snka the lower border from ECS.
He even offered to represent the health departments archenemy, possibly for less than his usual rate. He said if a soda company would like to call me so we can do a commercial, Ill sing and dance for them and I wont charge an arm and a leg.
So this morning, we requested all relevant records under FOIA, including all records sitting on that server, as they all were provided to US government employees for official purposes. This was filed with OSTP run by controversial "science czar" and, we now know, former Mitt Romney "climate" adviser John Holdren. The taxpayer deserves to know about this coordinated effort between Holdren's OSTP and the UN.
British Government to Admit Imposing CO2 Limits Not Most Effective Way to Deal with Climate Change
This sounds to good to be true but it may be true. I still think it's very unlikely but these smart authors obviously think it's a totally sensible scenario. It's hard to figure out whether they really impartially believe that these low-scale intersecting braneworlds are likely; or their belief mostly boils down to a wishful thinking.
None of this would have mattered if the liberal progressives had been right about the reasons they have lost in the past. If Americans genuinely wanted quick implementation of liberal-progressive economic measures, then there would have been no electoral retribution to fear. Indeed, this was the argument many liberal progressives made when the decision was made to go forward with the health-care bill.
40 George Weigel, The Final Revolution: The Resistance Church and the Collapse of Communism, 2003; Dore Gold, Hatred's Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism, 2004
Good news for reefs: How corals could survive a warming planet. Corals evolved with CO2 levels 18X higher than present
But forcing the city's inhabitants into a certain lifestyle is not a future that gteborgarna has chosen. The party has been hijacked, like Jimmy!
But as we suggested earlier in the year , the incautious statements issued by Met Office scientists looked less like the work of scientific enquiry, and more like post-hoc speculation about which way the weather would turn.
This means, among other things, that the more urgently the United States wants to negotiate for something like a cease fire in Syria, the more the Russians enjoy withholding it for weeks and months and even years. Our very eagerness to negotiate incentivizes the Kremlin to tease, to stall, to hold the glittering prize just beyond reach, making us beg for it. Dance, Kerry, dance!
Much environmental regulation tests that same line between bona fide efforts to regulate health and safety and unprincipled efforts to use environmental laws to restrict competition. Perhaps the most notorious illustration of this practice in the air pollution area was the clean air/dirty coal provisions of Section 111 of the 1977 Amendments to the Clean Air Act, which vastly increased the cost of getting clean air by shifting the competitive balance between low-sulfur western coal and high-sulfur eastern coal.
UPDATE: Shub Niggurath suggests that no peer reviewed science references existed in first and second order IPCC drafts:
To change the politics of the day, scientific evidence is not enough. Graphs and statistics are pointless; the lack of warming, or any other predicted calamity is insufficient.
Wholesale power and carbon markets have failed to find a clearing price for low-carbon power generation, recalling a comment by British economist Nick Stern in 2006 that climate change was the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen.
President Kennedy's America of early 1960 was still a world of rotary dial phoning, vinyl LPs, AM radio music, and the early days of color TV (tube of course). It was world in which no one forecast the GPS or iPhone. Most of what happened wasn't forecast; not least by government agencies and their NGO pilot fish. And most of what was forecast didn't happen, like the Jetsons' flying cars, colonies on the moon and under the seas, to name a few. Four decades ago, experts surveyed by U.S. News & World Report--as part of a future look at America in AD 2000--forecast the demise of the internal combustion engine. There are almost a billion more such on the road today than then.
U.S. Senate Rejects Lieberman-Warner Cap-and-Trade Bill
For the 79 countries included in their analysis, Ihm et al . report that "vascular plant species richness showed large variability, ranging from 377 to 51,220 species per country, or 0.0003 to 0.2896 species per km 2 ." In addition, they found that "variability declined while richness gradually increased as one moved from Arctic to Equator regions." Based on this relationship, and noting that "over the past 100 years, the global average temperature has increased by approximately 0.5C," their derived relationship indicated that this 100-year elevation in air temperature was associated with a species richness increase of 0.8%. And when they "estimated the effect of higher temperatures," such as those predicted for the future, they found that "a 1 or 2C rise in global warming produced an increase in species richness of 1.6 or 3.2%." What it means
This lack of progress is not new. There never has been sustained multilateral action on GHG controls. The US did not ratify the Kyoto Protocol of 1997, which was drawn up during the COP 3 meetings. The Protocol called for developed countries to reduce emissions by at least 5% of 1990 levels by 2008-2012.Less-developed countries were exempted at the time. Since 1997, however, total emissions have grown, primarily from exempted developing countries, especially China and India.
NASA says carbon emissions could cause 30+ year megadroughts. They also said that the California drought was part of natural cycles. What about all the noise we heard about the current drought caused by climate change? From NASA, NASA Study Finds Carbon Emissions Could Dramatically Increase Risk of U.S. Megadroughts
The Financial Times reports that China has reassumed its position as the top manufacturing country, measured as proportion of global output.
It is possible that the current $9 per barrel difference between U.S. and global oil prices could shrink slightly if some oil is exported. Barclays Bank says eliminating the export ban could add $10 billion a year to overall national gasoline costs.
Last week I took a trip to the Texas Hill Country. (Yes, Texas really does have hills. Not like the Rocky Mountains, certainly, but hills nevertheless.)
Wind power is too variable and too unpredictable to provide a serious alternative to fossil fuels, a new study by the Scientific Alliance and the Adam Smith Institute has confirmed. The researchers concluded that, although it is true that the wind is always blowing somewhere, the base line is only around 2 percent of capacity, assuming a network capacity of 10GW.
And this adds more armour to the observation that environmentalism is a self-fulfilling prophecy. Recalling Sens maxim, the anti-democratic tendency of environmentalists the view that democracy isnt equal to the problem of climate change, and so institutions must be constructed above democratic control would replicate the configuration of power that allowed tyrants and their indifference to their populations needs to reign.
The car bomb is appropriately getting a lot of attention. But so are two other recent events that will force Congress to consider or reconsider its agenda this year: the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and the Arizona law targeting immigrants. Conventional wisdom has had it that there was little chance of a climate change bill getting enacted this year and no chance of an immigration bill. Conventional wisdom may still be right, but both issues have been complicated by these events, and both need at least a renewed focus, and a wider focus, by Congress.
How can you be on board with the science. Do you not understand that the whole AGW theory is based upon a planetary climate positive feedback . If such a thing actually existed, then this planet would be either roasting, or frigid; and it would have arrived at that state within a few million years. This planet has been pretty good, except when it got cold during ice ages, for about 4.5 billion years.
A family of four losing more than $1,000 of income per year,
The two researchers determined that ???the tropical oceanic warming pattern is poorly represented in the coupled simulations,?? and they say that their analysis ???points to model error rather than unpredictable climate noise as a major cause of this discrepancy with respect to the observed trends.?? And because of this problem, they found that ??? the patterns of recent climate trends over North America, Greenland, Europe, and North Africa are generally not well captured by state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ocean models with prescribed observed radiative forcing changes.??
The social engineer views the members of society as mere pawns on a great chess board of society, to be moved about with little thought or consideration that each of those pawns is a living, thinking, valuing and planning individual, who would much prefer to make his own decisions concerning how he will live and act.
The ice core data show, the authors write, that when solar radiation increases, more calcium is deposited at Siple Dome and at one of the ITASE field sites. The additional calcium may reflect an increase in wind strength in mid-latitude regions around Antarctica, they add, especially over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Calcium in West Antarctic ice cores is thought to derive mainly from dust in Australia, Africa and South America and from sea salt in the southern ocean.
The 1980 value for the greenhouse effect is 35.56C and the value for 2010 is 0.14C lower at 35.42C. This demonstrates that the 70.9% increase in global CO2 emissions since 1980 did not in any way enhance the greenhouse effect as has been falsely claimed since 1988 when this global warming debacle first began.
Now where is the error? Where is the error both in logic and in Physics? I believe that what Bob Carter said to me was fundamentally correct that is to say that all molecules radiate every which way including downwards, but he omitted
27 Flynt Leverett and Pierre Noel, "The New Axis of Oil," National Interest (Summer 2006).
There will be negligible leakage (of emissions between countries, between industries and between emissions sources)
Now assume you got an outrageously good deal on the solar panels and only had to pay $100/m that would cost $200,000,000,000 for the panels and maybe that much again for the installation and power lines.
Three ships with icebreaking capability have responded, including the Australian Antarctic Division (AAD) vessel Aurora Australis, and are now en route to the area.
The rollout will see the introduction of new equipment into customer premises, including:
Raise the family-of-four energy bill by more than $500 per year (not counting the cost of gasoline);
You can hardly fault them. They have their priorities set exactly straight the single biggest threat to their shaky supremacy is the danger that a few large media outlets would start to run photos of Anthony Watts Surface Stations project, or do a serious documentary with Steve McIntyre.
Obama foreign policy, they approach the subject from opposite sides of the
Washington, D.C., June 6, 2007This week, leaders of the world's wealthiest nations meet in Germany to discuss a wide range of international development issues, with a particular focus on global warming.
The results of this study confirm the results of another paper we have reviewed, demonstrating that the Little Ice Age was widespread and significant in this region of the world (see The Little Ice Age in the Caribbean ). New information in this study also refutes the climate alarmist claim that warmer temperatures produce more extreme weather. Quite to the contrary, the results of this study demonstrate that precipitation was more variable during the cold period of the Little Ice Age than it was both before or afterwards.
Exploring these options will require a new, broader focus for climate policy analysis. To achieve this wider view, the lessons of political economy must become central to the study of climate policy. An initial step toward this goal would be to encourage a systematic exchange of views between the climate modeling community and leading scholars in the traditions of political economy and institutional economics. . . .
I try to answer as many enquiries as I can from people who want to discuss ???global warming??. I wrote this letter in reply to a ???global warming?? fanatic who, it is not unfair to say, had never actually thought about the superstition to which he subscribes. Perhaps this letter will make him think a little more and believe a little less.
At the time, the Senate was deliberating on legislation that would revoke the EPA's authority to regulate greenhouse gases, which the Agency had only (unilaterally) asserted for the first time months before. Obviously, telling the EPA it couldn't seize this new power hardly constituted a "roll back" of the existing Clean Air Act, because Congress never intended the Act to be used to enforce global warming policies on the American people. Congress's intent isn't a question for psychological speculation; it's documented in actual House and Senate votes. Attempts to add provisions to the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 that would have allowed the EPA to regulate greenhouse gas emissions were defeated in the Senate. A similar attempt in the House went nowhere. In short, MoveOn.org's ad was flatly dishonest about the policy at issue.
Now for the two outlier balls one of which is too warm and one of which is too cold. The only way of reconciling ball #7 (upper ellipse) is to assume that it had been inflated. I tried a guess of 0.5 psi inflation and, under this assumption, the implied temperature (pressure) fit nicely in the corridor in the right panel. For the cold outlier, I guess 0.76 psi deflation and, under this assumption, it too fit into the corridor.
Wasnt global warming supposed to be about settled science? It sure looks political when you look at the list above.
(The Mertonska standards HVS talking about are discussed in the report, good research. Vetenskapsrdets Report Series 1: 2011 on page 16.)
The global warming trend since 1990, when the IPCC wrote its first report, is equivalent to 1.4 C per century half of what the IPCC had then predicted.
So EPA has tried to justify its job and economy-killing climate change and coal eradication rules by claiming they will bring huge "ancillary" health benefits. Those claims too are pure hogwash.