Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
WUWT has a post on this Workshop, which included presentations by Judith Lean and Leif Svalgaard, and Henrik Svensmark. Ithe following four presentations seem to be the most relevant to climate change:
Postscript 2 ??? Ellen Mosley-Thompson has an interesting cameo appearance in the Climategate emails. She was the EOS editor who rushed through the Mann et al 2003 EOS article on Soon and Baliunas 2003. The article took about 10 days from being commissioned to being accepted. They giggled among themselves when Willie Soon inquired about the peer review process. The character assassination of this article has not been fully analysed. In one despicable email, Tom Wigley acknowledged that Soon and Baliunas might have a point that 20th century precipitation was not unusual (a theme revisited in AR5 Zero and First Draft), writing to Mann and others (2003-06-06 682.):
Since even immediate and total shutdown of all carbon dioxide-emitting vehicles, power plants, and factories in the U.S. would decrease global warming by only a hypothetical and undetectable two-tenths of a degree Celsius by 2100, it is misleading to imply, as the report does, that the Obama administration's climate policies can provide any measurable protection from extreme weather events.
Get that? Climate forecasts are warming substantially faster than the actual atmosphere. This is a significant problem for modeling.
"An expert panel of the government's Tax Commission agreed Thursday to abolish a reduced tax rate for stock investments from January 2012 as scheduled, participants said."
There are several problems here. First, the authors statistical significance estimates are meaningless, ass they are based on random permutations of subjective flavors that are simply erroneous in the context of the correctly implemented RegEM procedure, as detailed in section 1 above. Mann et al (2005) provide a true rigorous significance estimation procedure and their code is available as supplementary information to that paper.
Glassman: Has there been solar activity over the last hundred years that would correlate with the temperature on Earth?
Also, it's patently false that breathing the ambient air in the United States is like smoking a pack of cigarettes a day, as MoveOn.org implies in the advertisement. According to one peer-reviewed scientific study published by the American Heart Association (Pope et al. ), "The estimated daily dose of PM2.5 from typical long-term exposure to SHS (second-hand smoke or ETS) or ambient air pollution is extremely small compared with the estimated dose from active cigarette smoking." Consequently, "The estimated relative risks from active cigarette smoking, even at relatively light smoking levels, are substantially larger than the relative risks from ambient air pollution or SHS." As my Competitive Enterprise Institute colleague Marlo Lewis has stated, "MoveOn is blowing smokenowhere in the United States is breathing the equivalent of a pack a day or even one cigarette a day."
I am just a geologist but I truly believe that there was a major glacial period about 400 million years ago when the carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere were about 10 times greater than they are today.
"High-frequency trading networks, which complete stock market transactions in microseconds, are vulnerable to manipulation by hackers who can inject tiny amounts of latency into them. By doing so, they can subtly change the course of trading and pocket profits of millions of dollars in just a few seconds, says Rony Kay, a former IBM research fellow and founder of cPacket Networks, a Silicon Valley firm that develops chips and technologies for network monitoring and traffic analysis."
24 Fred Crickard, ed., Multinational Naval Cooperation and Foreign Policy in the 21st Century, 1998 (a three-day symposium attended by 200 CNOs, diplomats, and academics from 32 countries). See also Sam Tangredi, ed., Globalization and Maritime Power, National Defense University, 2002.
As Ive shown several times already, even the 2009 Black Saturday fires were far from our biggest recorded - in 1851. NSW has had several severe October fires that were bigger and deadlier than this years.
Liberal AG Claims Global Warming More Important Than Free Speech
Positive cloud feedback amplifies global warming in all the climate models now used by the IPCC to forecast global warming. But if cloud feedback is sufficiently negative, then manmade global warming becomes a non-issue.
CEI's Lewis prefaced the lecture with a reminder that oceanography, like other scientific fields, casts doubts upon the rationale behind the Kyoto agreement. "There's hardly anything about the treaty that is not hotly debated: the scientific underpinnings, the economic costs, its feasibility, the implications for American sovereignty and national security," Lewis noted. "Today and in future lectures, we are considering scientific issues connected with the Kyoto Protocol and the larger global warming debate."
At least this fight produced one clear benefitover the course of the two winters since the video aired, OSTP hasn't produced a sequel.
Figure 1 is a map of the sea surface temperature anomalies (Reynolds OI.v2) for a portion of the North Atlantic. It captures the data for the week centered on Wednesday January 30, 2013. The map was created at the NOAA NOMADS website, using the Reynolds Optimum Interpolation sea surface temperature data. Ive used the contour levels of 0.5 deg C, with white set at zero, which are settings often used by NOAA. Obviously, last week sea surface temperature anomalies were elevated near the New England coast, but the data, as we will see, reveals that theres nothing unusual about those levels. Well use the coordinates of 35N-45N, 77W-67W for the data in the following graphs.
Lets recall our ENSO basics. During an El Nio, the NINO3.4 region is being fed warm water from the west Pacific Warm Pool; that is, the Equatorial Counter Current strengthens and carries warm water eastward. As a result, the normal annual sea surface temperature cycle in the NINO3.4 region is now being influenced by the annual cycle of the sea surface temperatures in the West Pacific Warm Pool. This is easily seen in Figure 4-41. It compares NINO3.4 sea surface temperatures (not anomalies) for the period of January1995 to January 2005 and also the series of base year cycles in the sea surface temperatures for the Western Equatorial Pacific (5S-5N, 120E-165E) and the NINO3.4 region. Also note that the La Nia events reach their lowest temperatures in December-January, which is another example of how a La Nia event is simply an exaggeration of an ENSO-neutral (average) phase.
Not only are health-care costs up, but we don t seem to be getting much more in return. Would even the slickest lobbyist claim that American health care is twice as good as it was in 2000? If anything, our health-care woes seem to have worsened. More people go without insurance, total patient satisfaction is down, and the number of medical errors is staggering.
Mr. Walker also targeted some 90 think tanks and other groups in an attempt to punish climate dissent. These groups and others, including these columns, pushed back on First Amendment grounds, and the Competitive Enterprise Institute counter-sued Mr. Walker and demanded sanctions. He pulled his subpoena against CEI last month.
Six energy policy changes to watch for in a Republican-controlled Congress
Furthermore, if this hidden costs analysis had been performed by a different set of researchers, a value of $50-100 billion could have been pretty firmly established as a best estimate with a low end that probably would include the possibility of a net positive externality from coal-fired electricity.
Heartland Institute Conference Shows the Growing Power of Climate Realism
Despite the inability of climate models to accurately represent global climate, this hasn't stopped scientists from using these same models to make precise predictions about the ostensible effects of human-induced climate change on relatively small regions of the Earth, such as California. For example, the Union of Concerned Scientists states without qualification "rising temperatures, possibly exacerbated by declining winter precipitation, will severely reduce snowpack in the Sierra Nevada" causing a substantial reduction in California's water supplies.
Dugongs congregate where there are seagrass meadows and there is no evidence that seagrass meadows are generally in decline around the Australian coastline.
Heating the cloud reduces the relative humidity in the cloud, Jacobson said.
Reconstruction of past climate Credit: Institute of Geography Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
In April 2010, at an event hosted by the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, McCarthy stated that best available control technology (BACT) standards for major greenhouse gasemitters would require only efficiency upgrades, not fuel switching from coal to gas. We havent done it in the past, and theres been good reason why we havent done it in the past, she reportedly said.
Even so, Friedman declares that "our one-party democracy is worse" than the Chinese model. He is upset that the minority party, the Republicans, won't go along with Democrats' plans to raise the price of carbon emissions and pass a government health care planthough, perhaps wisely, he refrains from praising the Chinese health delivery system. But he does get an essential bit wrong: It's our two-party system he's complaining about, and the fact that the current minority party won't act like it's just one wing of the majority.
The year The Heartland Institute started promoting education savings accounts, 1992, we also entered the national debate over health care reform by publishing a book titled Why We Spend Too Much on Health Care ... And What We Can Do About It. That book was widely credited with helping defeat "Hillarycare," Hillary Clinton's plan to nationalize the nation's health care system.
Despite my efforts to spread the wordwith my second column on the topic being one of my most popular ever I find that the CPP isn't even on the radar of the politically engaged (let alone the average person). Because this is an issue of utmost importance, I am, once again, bringing it to the attention of my readers with the hope that you will share it with everyone you know. At this point, we don't know if the EPA will extend the comment period, so please take time now to get your comments in. The Hill reports: "Adding 60 days to the comment period could make it harder for the EPA to finalize the rule by June 2015, as President Obama has ordered."
Record extreme weather-Viking end of times
"Cellular carriers, having spent years trying to blanket the nation with phone service, are now working on ways to stop people from getting calls and texts when they are behind the wheel."
The authors begin their short Brevia report by noting that "large-scale numerical models that simulate the interactions between changing global climate and terrestrial vegetation predict substantial carbon loss from tropical ecosystems, including the drought-induced collapse of the Amazon forest and conversion to savanna." What was done
The two largest sources of fructose in the human diet are sucrose (containing 50% fructose and 50% glucose) and HFCS which is present in the human diet in two forms: HFCS-55 (which consists of 55% fructose, 42% glucose and 3% other carbohydrates) and HFCS-42 (which consists of 42% fructose and 58% glucose).
Gender-bias impacts women physicists (Phys Org)
The results obtained by Menendez et al . "confirm," in their words, "that the average species richness of British butterflies has increased since 1970-82," as our thinking has suggested it should. However, some of the range shifts responsible for the increase in species richness take more time to occur than those of other species; and they say their results imply that "it may be decades or centuries before the species richness and composition of biological communities adjusts to the current climate." Reviewed 11 October 2006
Senators John Kerry (D-MA) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC) write an op-ed for the New York Times endorsing climate change legislation.
German weather site www.wetter.net here reports that 2013 in Germany was the second coldest year in a decade.
IVRT simple skdningsexempel Rs speeds from net sales between the different reservoirs (arrows in the diagram above) is important for the sakfrgor controversy applies. The same probability laws in other chemical kinetikverkar the bottom, and when it comes to now analyze the consequences of them.
Finally, weve got this somewhat hokey but still fun to watch movie of how we are all totally doomed (h/t Caldera Girl).
The video is here , with Stringer's questions beginning at 41:55. He starts by asking about the reputation of British science, with discussion covering subjects like the BSE scare, MMR vaccines and the like. At around 46:00 conversation turns to Climategate, with Stringer asking about the impact on the reputation of British science.
New Report: 'Extreme Weather Report 2012': 'Latest peer-reviewed studies, data & analyses undermine claims that current weather is 'unprecedented' or a 'new normal' -- Climate Depot's New 35-Page Report: 'Current weather is neither historically unprecedented, nor unusual' -- 'Extreme weather events are ever present, and there is no evidence of systematic increases' -- Presented at UN Climate Conference in Doha, Qatar on Dec. 6, 2012
New Zealand Climate Madness: PM John Key says "our ETS worked"
But the wins were illusory in at least two respects. First, the GOP's hold on Congress was tenuous at best. Democrats regained control of both the House and the Senate in the 2006 midterm electionsand did so without losing as single seat, a first since 1938.
Rainwater is truly acid, at a pH of 5.4 (7 being neutral). The oceans are alkaline, at a mean pH of 7.9. Yet the corals do not curl up and die when rainwater hits them. They thrive.
Check that the red, green, and blue curves agree almost exactly.
MOOSE: The hell it aint. I know what youre tryin to do. Youre appealing to Spunkys prejudices and emotions, his special interest in not being pushed around, rather than to his intellect or reason. And youre attacking my character rather than answering my argument. Thats an ad hominem , pal. No gettin around it.
Grabherr, G. and Nagy, L. 2003. Alpine vegetation dynamics and climate change: a synthesis of long-term studies and observations. In: Nagy, L., Grabherr, G., Korner, C. and Thompson, D.B.A. (Eds.). Alpine Diversity in Europe , Springer-Verlag, New York, New York, USA, pp. 399-409.
Even if we are willing to assume very large multipliers from renewable power, its impact on employment will be trivial, whether taken as a fraction of all energy, clean economy jobs, or the entire labor force.
Comparing IPCC Projections to Individual Measurement Systems.
Melt-glass from 12,900 years ago found in Pennsylvania, South Carolina and Syria
The case studies would set the stage for achieving necessary reductions later on, when developing countries will be ready to join an agreement without receiving significant side payments from the developed world.
This ugly truth has prompted LOST enthusiasts to go to great lengths to dismiss the plain language of the "pollution" provisions, telling us that to take them literally is being overly technical. One of them who testified before a Senate panel this month is also on record in a European journal counseling LOST's Parties and Tribunal to exercise restraint in imposing the pact's authority until the U.S. safely on board as a ratified party..
Current Snow Conditions: Alpine is Closed ??? Too much snow to safely enjoy. (Extreme Avalanche Danger and High Winds)
Fear of rapid change: Working-class voters recognize that they are less equipped to handle sudden changes; consequently, they value stability highly. They fear sudden recessions and distrust sudden changes in government programs. Ronald Reagan, the conservative who has best understood the working class, put his finger on it in a prescient 1964 National Review article on why Goldwater lost: "Human nature resists change and goes over backward to avoid radical change." Upper-class educated people may embrace risk and change, but working-class voters do not.
Well, folks, it's tea-time on Sunday and for anyone involved in keeping people moving it has been a hell of a weekend. Thousands have had their journeys wrecked, tens of thousands have been delayed getting away for Christmas; and for those Londoners who feel aggrieved by the performance of any part of our transport services, I can only say that we are doing our level best.
All that is labeled data is not gold Schmidt 2006 Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union Wiley Online Library
Global warming, is and has always been, a propaganda campaign with a thin veneer of science. As the evidence against the scam built up year upon year as mother earth steadfastly refused to warm as instructed, it was inevitable the scam would fall apart. This year, when I heard Greenland was refreezing I finally realised that there was not a shred of evidence to support the scam and so it will inevitably die.
It's true that in deep-blue states, virtually every Republican who wins statewide is pro-choice and socially moderate although New Jersey's Chris Christie stands out as a counterexample. But it is also true that in the swing "purple" states, pro-life Republicans often win for governor. Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are all currently run by socially conservative GOP governors, and the most recent GOP governors of Colorado, Minnesota, and New Hampshire held similar views. Returns from the last three presidential elections show that it will be much easier to win these purple states than the deep-blue ones. So doesn't it make more sense to copy the winning strategies of their governors?
CEI Expert Available to Comment: Adjunct Fellow Fran Smith on how the bill got passed:
But, of course, they did. Tuesday, Mr. Bush won a second term by four million votes, becoming the first president since Franklin Roosevelt in 1936 to gain re-election while picking up seats in both houses of Congress. In the Senate, the Democratic leader was defeated and Republicans widened their lead to 10 seats from two.
McCarthy previously admitted during a U.S. House hearing that anti-coal CO2 regulations attached to EPA's so-called "Clean Power Plan" wouldn't have any measurable impact on global warming. She testified, "We see it as having had enormous benefit in showing sort of domestic leadership as well as garnering support around the country for the agreement we reached in Paris."
???The wind PTC is critical to President Obamas recently finalized carbon regulation. One of the ???building blocks?? used to determine state targets includes significant increased installation of renewable energyespecially wind?? . Without taxpayer subsidies like the PTC, the President will be unable to achieve his arbitrary renewable energy target.??
Actually, such an approach is anything but "consistent." Companies subject to NSR have little way of knowing what activities will trigger the NSR permitting process and its subsequent costs and delays. In May 2000, for example, in a letter to Detroit Edison, EPA introduced "an open-ended test involving at least fourteen factors, and perhaps up to twenty-four factors."20 Such a test provides no guidance at all: Virtually every change to an existing facility is potentially a trigger for NSR permitting.
Central Bank of Iran. Other nations' dependence on such imports not only energy-hungry China but close America allies such as Japan and Korea make a total cutoff impractical, but their reduced purchases have shown their
The $2.2 billion Ivanpah solar power project in Californias Mojave Desert is supposed to be generating more than a million megawatt-hours of electricity each year. But 15 months after starting up, the plant is producing just 40% of that, according to data from the U.S. Energy Department.
The UK Met Office says that extreme cold this spring is caused by missing Arctic ice. Only they forgot to checkwhetheror not the ice isactuallymissing.
138. Plaintiff?s lawsuit has damaged Defendant Steyn by interfering with his right to express opinions on controversial matters and causing him to expend time, money and effort in having to respond to this lawsuit.
Consistent with Congress's intent,18 EPA until 1999 excluded "routine maintenance, repair and replacement" (RMR&R;) activities from the NSR permitting process. Starting in 1988, though, EPA began to challenge the meaning of "routine," subjecting or threatening to subject more activities to NSR than before. The definition of "routine" has become increasingly subjective over time: In its 2002 Report to the President, EPA says it "consistently has taken a case-by-case approach, weighing the nature, extent, purpose, frequency and cost of the work, as well as other relevant factors."19
Time to repeal America's crude petroleum export ban
Which begs other, rather important questions. Could the model, seemingly with an inability to predict colder seasons, have developed a warm bias, after such a long period of milder than average years? Experts I have spoken to tell me that this certainly is possible with such computer models. And if this is the case, what are the implications for the Hadley centres predictions for future global temperatures? Could they be affected by such a warm bias? If global temperatures were to fall in years to come would the computer model be capable of forecasting this???? Paul Hudson, BBC Weather, 9 January 2010
CFACT press conference Wednesday 11:30 AM UN climate conference, Bonn
2) the impact of calibration/verification period on RE statistics.
In another November account, Reuters explains: "Abengoa, an engineering company that expanded massively into renewables, has been struggling with a heavy debt burden since a decade-long economic boom in Spain ended abruptly in 2008." It must have seen Obama's push for solar as the answer to its problems. It moved into the U.S. with its hand out and high-profile playerssuch as former Vice President Al Gore and former New Mexico Governor Bill Richardsonon its team.
Duke Energy Received Court Permission To Burn Forests To Meet Renewable Energy Regulations
The lazily self-inflating conceptual metastasis may have reached some kind of a nadir in remarks delivered on July 1, 2010, by Susan Rice, President Obama's ambassador to the United Nations, who proclaimed grandly that "a threat to development anywhere is a threat to security everywhere." In her description, "the global gulfs between rich and poor are a security threat" a looming peril that we must meet by ensuring that no one on the planet lives "with hunger, oppression, or fear," that all have "access to lifesaving medicines and affordable health care," and that everyone can "send their kids to decent schools." This is breathtaking stuff: Obama-era solipsistic grandeur at its most entertainingly self-important. With the stroke of a pen and an ego the entire Progressive social agenda is thus elevated to the global stage and magically transformed into a U.S. "national security" priority.
Electricity generated by US wind farms fell 6 per cent in the first half of the year even as the nation expanded wind generation capacity by 9 per cent, Energy Information Administration records show.
This also contradicts all other studies that show a far lower sea-level rise.
Its official: this March in northeastern Germany is the coldest in 130 years, and could be the coldest since records began.
<1939> Thorne/MetO:
The snowfall was short-lived and passed in the rain. But the warning is that during night time the situation will change rapidly due to freezing. The roads turn icy and wind will increase into a hurricane.
If growth skepticism is so misguided, it begs the question of why it has become so pervasive. Until the 1970s, there was a broad consensus that greater prosperity should be welcomed. Although growth critics have existed as far back as the 18th century's Industrial Revolution, they have typically been a minority.