Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
But the drought that began last fall has yet to eclipse the infamous dry spell of the 1950s, a bleak period when the skies stubbornly withheld moisture. It was the states worst drought ever.
I had to provide medical history information, which probably is not required under Obamacare because of community rating (though I am not sure)
Yet isn't it remarkable that Al Gore, who has recently become extremely wealthy, has never felt obliged to publicly disclose his large stakes in green market industries through his Generation Investment Management firm, or in Chicago Climate Exchange cap-and-trade legislation interests? Would you trust a financial advisor who committed the same ethical breach?
Mr. D??Aleo and Mr. Watts provide some amazing graphs showing that the jumps in measured global temperature occurred just when the number of weather stations was cut. But there is another bias that this change to more urban stations also exacerbates. Recorded temperatures in more urban areas rise over time simply because more densely populated areas produce more heat. Combining the greater share of weather stations in more urban areas over time with this urban heat effect also tends to increase the rate that recorded temperatures tend to rise over time.
But addressed explicitly or not, it was clear that the other panelists simply did not consider this even to be a relevant question; their underlying assumption is that the bureaucracy is not an interest group, and that government- and government-funded researchers try to do research as objectively as possible. That this conceit is the same as that harbored by journalists their assumptions and biases do not affect their reporting because they are professionals is an amusing footnote that does not diminish the impressive backgrounds of the other participants.
The Lake Baikal study shows that warming has occurred in the most recent century, but it is certainly nothing out of the ordinary and possibly to some degree explained by non-greenhouse forcing. The Osborn and Briffa proclamation that the 20th century was somehow out of the ordinary is certainly not confirmed by the incredible reconstruction from Lake Baikal.
Week after week Boston was hit by blizzards, with literally no rain or warm temps to help melt the snow away. As the plows moved the snow to these farms, they piled up, became compacted, and turned what was once a light fluffy snow into a glacial mess of grand proportions.
One promising research path is geoengineering. In a recent proposal presented at AEI, Lee Lane and J. Eric Bickel highlighted two methods or reflecting solar radiation back into space. The researchers estimate that for an annual cost of approximately $20 billion to $32 billion, it might be possible to counter a doubling of CO2 emissions and avoid trillions of dollars in future economic harm.
Hard on the heels of the report of the one-day British Parliamentary inquiry into the Climategate scandal comes the report of the grandly-named International Science Assessment Panel set up by the University of East Anglia (UEA). Surprise, surprise, it finds nothing wrong except a few lapses in concentration caused by all the hard work climate scientists are doing to save the planet. Unfortunately for the alarmist cheerleaders who will treat these reports as complete exoneration, they suffer from exactly the same problems as the scientific reports Climategate centered around. They are sloppy and incomplete while pretending to be the comprehensive answer. As such, they damage the authority of science just as much as Climategate itself.
I can see that this new Shiny Toy is going to be having me running around for a while Doing a search for an Australian Degree Day map turned up this chart of vintage years degree days:
held for millennia namely, that you increase food production by
Most of the key studies in the IPCC report have not archived their data and refuse to release their data or software code to any skeptic for replication
Bangladesh has certainly played its hand well on the international stage. Politicians have eloquently challenged Western nations to open up their borders to refugees. They write hardhitting op-eds in leading broadsheets and lay responsibility squarely at the feet of polluting nations. And they are at the front of the queue when it comes to adaptation funding.
SM: (laughs) No comment. I think I'll skip that one.
My theory is that a natural change in cloud cover has caused most of the recent warming. Temperature proxy data from around the world suggests that just about every century in the last 2,000 years has experienced warming or cooling. Why should todays warmth be manmade, when the Medieval Warm Period was not? Just because we finally have one potential explanation CO2?
"Wi-Fi Direct officially became a concrete technology today with several new laptop components certified by the Wi-Fi Alliance. That threshold was reached even before most people even understand what Wi-Fi Direct is."
out an overloaded agenda at the beginning of his presidency, causing gridlock on
Anthony reports today on a NOAA Talking Points document which purports to rebut Anthonys Is The U.S. Surface Temperature Record Reliable ?, without deigning to cite
Greens think these harms are a price worth paying to stop the warming. They want (other) people to bear such sacrifices today so that the people of 2100, who will be up to seven times as rich, do not have to face the prospect of living in a world that is perhaps 0.8 1.2 degrees warmer. And this is the moral high ground?
Mike's Nature Trick (66) The committee's conclusions are eyewatering:
Giant hurricanes are rare, but they are not new. And they are not increasing. To the contrary. Just go to the website of the National Hurricane Center and check out a table that lists hurricanes by category and decade. The peak for major hurricanes (categories 3,4,5) came in the decades of the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s, when such storms averaged 9 per year. In the 1960s, there were 6 such storms; in the 1970s, 4; in the 1980s, 5; in the 1990s, 5; and for 2001-04, there were 3. Category 4 and 5 storms were also more prevalent in the past than they are now. As for Category 5 storms, there have been only three since the 1850s: in the decades of the 1930s, 1960s and 1990s.
13. Will the earth's climate change in other ways?
Gov't apologizes after raising nuclear crisis level to highest:
I backed up my view with a quote from the December 14 New York Times regarding John Podesta's return to the White House: "His very presence could influence Mr. Obama's thinking on the proposed pipeline from Canada's oil sandseven though Mr. Podesta has said that he will recuse himself from the final decision because the liberal think tank he founded 10 years ago, the Center for American Progress, has been unsparingly critical of the entire enterprise."
The purpose of this floor show was to vilify and intimidate a hit list for the Democratic drafting committee's unanimously adopted platform calling for the Department of Justice to investigate those who disagree with their jihad against climate alarm-driven energy regulatory policies.
National Academy of Sciences admits climate debate not over: "Genuine and important uncertainties remain'
Mr. Berry, 27, said he supported the citys efforts to educate people about the dangers of diabetes, but he said he disagreed with the use of a manipulated image of an able-bodied person, instead of an image of a real victim of the disease.
This Nashville residents search criteria would be something I can imagine Gore googling. And I can also imagine Gores reaction:
In describing their findings the four researchers report - quite bluntly and very simply - that "none of the early life-history stages we studied were consistently affected by reduced pH." In light of these favorable findings, Chua et al . conclude - again in very blunt and forceful language - that "there will be no direct ecological effects of ocean acidification on the early life-history stages of reef corals, at least in the near future." And so it would appear that wave upon wave of new reef coral "youngsters" might well have a significant period of time during which they - and their descendants' descendants - could conceivably better learn to cope with slowly declining-pH seawater.
I know why: Theyre lazy. Instead of digging into the details, most journalists are content to repeat that mantra about consensus among climate scientists.
Rio+20 is the next, huge, misguided, harmful Green push.
We were here for spring break. The kids wanted to see the dinosaurs at the Museum of Natural History. I took them to see the dinosaurs in Congress.
1901 headline from Lachlander newspaper Mount Hope central New South Wales with modern ring to it An End To The Mining Boom snow reported in July too
Apparently, in the Vaticans view, there is nothing to discuss only anti-fossil fuel laws and treaties to implement. Computer model predictions and other assertions of looming disaster are all the Pope and workshop attendees seem to need to support this agenda even though they are consistently and completely contradicted by real-world observations . Instead of protecting Earths poorest people from energy deprivation, disease, poverty and death imposed in the name of preventing global warming, Pope Francis seems more devoted to newly green Liberation Theology concepts of fairness and justice.
According to the Role of Alternative Energy Sources: Natural Gas Power Technology Assessment, because of the existence of shale basins across the US, natural gas will continue to expand as a gas resource, while horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (fracking) will guarantee decades of domestic supplies.
"At the top of the next hour, as I said, the big picture," said Cooper. "These fires are really a piece of it. Fire, drought, global warming, climate change, deforestation, it is all connected. Tonight, 9:00 p.m. Eastern 'Planet in Peril' starts in just 30 minutes."
Oh boy. BIG problem with Jeff IDs point that you quoted above.
New York Nanny Fraud: Anti-soda ads of amputee photoshopped
What is unusual is that were in a state where the Arctic does NOT completely melt during an interglacial. We can only get an interglacial when it is warm enough to melt the arctic ice. This time we barely got it done. (Look up your Milankovitch for confirmation).
Thank you, Lord Monckton, our champion of Climate-gate! Merry Christmas, sir!
Here too, Congress is headed in the wrong direction, adding new gas regulations instead of streamlining the existing ones. For example, the pending energy bill contains provisions requiring the addition of ethanol to gasoline. While a boon for Midwestern corn farmers and ethanol producers like Archer Daniels Midland, an ethanol mandate can only increase the price at the pumps. And Sens. John McCain, Arizona Republican, and Joseph Lieberman, Connecticut Democrat, recently introduced a bill designed to fight global warming that would further boost the cost of petroleum and other fossil fuels.
And the final piece of the puzzle is how much to value the premature loss of life. The value of statistical life (VSL) has been variously determined by different researchers and methodologies. It is taken in both the Epstein et al. and the NRC report as being $7.5 million (in 2008 dollars)a value commonly used by the Environmental Protection Agency. However, there exists strong support in the literature for lower values (for example Mrozek and Taylor (2002), propose a VSL of $2-3 million (in 1998 dollars), more information on establishing a VSL can be found in Brannon (2004)). Obviously, using a lower VSL results in lower monetary costs from air pollution. As a sensitivity study, the NRC did consider the impacts of using the Mrozek and Taylor VSL value and found that it reduced the costs of coal-fired air pollution by nearly 2/3rds.
The Republican majority, on a mostly party-line vote of 244-179, went on record as essentially saying that it no longer wishes to have the IPCC prepare its comprehensive international climate science assessments.
Quantifying the Lack of Consistency between Climate Model Projections and Observations of the Evolution of the Earths Average Surface Temperature since the Mid-20 th Century
It may help here to think of prices on the stock market. The Dow-Jones index has more or less been level for the last several weeks, fluctuating between 15,000 and 16,000, showing essentially a zero trend; but it is at its highest level since the D-J index was started in 1896.
As the continued failure of progressive candidates in Democratic presidential primaries shows, a majority of Democrats are not of this lineage. These moderate progressives place a very different interpretation on what went wrong in the '60s and '70s, and have adopted a very different view of how to engage in and shape American politics.
provides valuable insight into this issue. I posted on this paper in
It really is just politics. To this White House, nuclear power is merely a horse to be traded. If it truly is the case that the administration is casually ambivalent about nuclear power and its potential for generating gobs of green energy, then it would seem Obama and company are even less worried about global warming than the so-called skeptics they chide.
I was fortunate to meet with Yasir Abed Rabbo, the diminutive, chain-smoking Palestinian veteran of more negotiating sessions with Israelis than he can count. Referring to the productive 2007 talks between President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert that were torpedoed by corruption charges, forcing Olmert's resignation, Abed Rabbo claimed that "the offer from Olmert was the '67 borders with a 6.5 percent land swap. We offered about 2 percent, but Olmert didn't say anything."
A guest post today at a Dutch climate blogby Dr. John Christy notes that climate " models, on average, depict the last 34 years as warming about 1.5 times what actually occurred" and that the model predictions diverge from observations by even more in the atmospheric layers most affected by greenhouse gases . According to Dr. Christy, " Since this increased warming in the upper layers is a signature of greenhouse gas forcing in models, and it is not observed, this raises questions about the ability of models to represent the true vertical heat flux processes of the atmosphere and thus to represent the climate impact of the extra greenhouses gases we are putting into the atmosphere" and " models, on average, have been overly sensitive" to the effect of greenhouse gases.
And it is often claimed that ocean acidification is happening as a result of increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. However, I have repeatedly pointed out that the opposite is also possible because the deep ocean waters now returning to ocean surface could be altering the pH of the ocean surface layer with resulting release of CO2 from the ocean surface layer. Indeed, no actual release is needed because massive CO2 exchange occurs between the air and ocean surface each year and the changed pH would inhibit re-sequestration of the CO2 naturally released from ocean surface.
However, climate scientists are saying that sea level rise is not necessarily linear. I believe them. The Konsensus Krazies didnt help the level of discussion by saying that the Greenland Ice Cap could melt and that we should actually be concerned by it.
This discrepancy between our analyses of the data explains why t he linear trend I calculate from 1950 to 2006 shows a tiny decrease , essentially no decline, contrary to his sharp decline graphed in red in the figure above. The graph at the top of this post shows data from FRED from 1960 (start of that dataset) on US per capita GDP (plotted on a log scale). Similarly, it shows no evidence of any stair-step decline in growth rates, certainly not a decrease by half illustrated in Gordon's graph.
It is entirely appropriate, at this time in U.S. history, to re-examine the rules and regulations known to be ineffective or damaging to the manufacturing sector of the country's economy. EPA's recommendations and the Bush administration's Clear Skies Initiative are good places to start, but they do not mark the end of the need for reform.
This is the opposite pattern to what would be expected if man-made greenhouse gases were the cause, as even alarmists claim the increase in greenhouse gases has only had a significant effect since 1950. Instead, this new paper demonstrates Eastern Arctic temperatures peaked in the early 20th century, followed by a declining trend to the end of the record in 2000.
Where doesMr. Obamastand on creation care theology and Gores central organizing principle?I dont know but will loudly applaud anyjournalistwho, interviewing the President,has the curiosity and moxie to pursue this line of inquiry.
Moreover, every responsible economist acknowledges that drastic action to reduce fossil fuel use would increase energy costs, which would in turn reduce household income around the world. Wealthier is healthier, and richer is cleaner. Limiting economic activity therefore can have a dramatic impact on quality of life, not least by reducing life expectancy. Researchers have found a direct correlation between income and mortality, with a disproportionate impact on poorer communities. Thus, policies that reduce societal wealth can be expected to induce premature mortalities, and increase disease and injury rates.
Lehr: There is nothing we can do about it. Bleaching is a natural outcome, and Lehr described concern about the Great Barrier Reef as fear mongering. Bleaching has occurred in a small portion of the reef, but an underwater survey of the 1,000 mile long reef shows that it is thriving; there is no more bleaching than was present 20 years ago.
I just think they dont understand the climate, he said of climatologists. Their computer models are full of fudge factors.
This causes the cloud to dissipate. And because clouds reflect sunlight, cloud dissipation causes more sunlight to transfer to the ground and seas, ultimately resulting in warmer ground and air temperatures.
"Night after night, year after year, this nightside reporter observed lights left on in federal government buildings. So I decided to see just how much taxpayers were spending to keep empty buildings illuminated."
Fig. 5 shows trajectories of person years vs. time in the United States, for ancestral females that are constrained to have exactly 0, 1, 2 or 3 children . . . .
August 16, 2015 at 12:04 pm Edit
As Dick Lindzen alluded to back in 1990 , while everyone seems to understand that the greenhouse effect warms the Earths surface, few people are aware of the fact that weather processes greatly limit that warming. And one very real possibility is that the 1 deg. C direct warming effect of doubling our atmospheric CO2 concentration by late in this century will be mitigated by the cooling effects of weather to a value closer to 0.5 deg. C or so (about 1 deg. F.) This is much less than is being predicted by the UNs Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change or by NASAs James Hansen, who believe that weather changes will amplify, rather than reduce, that warming.
Skeptics advancing alternative explanations (hypotheses) for climate variability represent the way the researcher community used to operate, before politics, policy outcomes, and billions of dollars got involved.
As the international team of researchers from the Czech Republic, Finland, Germany, Greece, Sweden and Switzerland describes it, this history depicts ???a long-term cooling trend of -0.30C per 1,000 years over the Common Era in northern Europe?? (see figure below). Most important of all, however, they note that their temperature reconstruction ???has centennial-scale variations superimposed on this trend,?? which indicate that ???conditions during Medieval and Roman times were probably warmer than in the late 20th century,?? when the previously-rising post-Little Ice Age mean global air temperature hit a ceiling of sorts above which it has yet to penetrate.
In the debate, Jette said that most people who cross illegally into Arizona are "just trying to feed their families." Brewer disputed that, saying, "They're coming here, and they're bringing drugs.
There is a new paper which assesses global model skill at accurately representing albedo (thanks to Willie Soon for alerting me to it) . The article in the May 2006 issue of the journal Tellus (subscription required) is entitled
The Americans have not seen a noticeable shift in French opposition to agricultural subsidy removal, and possible deals on trade seem far less likely than even yesterday evening. So while the greens and Euro-politicians bleat about action on climate, the policies Africans most need seem to be ignoredagain.
Models are not ready to predict the climate. Misusing computers to spew out multiple ?what-if? scenarios is unscientific. This approach simply means ?if all our unproven assumptions are correct, this could happen.?
Ive told this story before but it requires repeating because of awareness of climate science corruption. Even skeptics realize claims of incompetence are inadequate. Official Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) climate science was completely orchestrated for a premeditated result. T.R.Wigleys 1983 paper The pre-industrial carbon dioxide level was pivotal in the evolution of climate science corruption. It was a flawed paper that cherry-picked data to claim pre-industrial CO2 level was 270 ppm. G.S. Callendar did the same thing (diagram), as Zbigniew Jaworowski illustrated in a paper to a 2004 US Senate Committee.
When future generations try to understand how the world got carried away around the end of the 20th century by the panic over global warming, few things will amaze them more than the part played in stoking up the scare by the fiddling of official temperature data. There was already much evidence of this seven years ago, when I was writing my history of the scare, The Real Global Warming Disaster. But now another damning example has been uncovered by Steven Goddards US blog Real Science, showing how shamelessly manipulated has been one of the worlds most influential climate records, the graph of US surface temperature records published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
CEI is 20, and I am supposed to summarize two decades? To paraphrase Mickey Mantle, had I realized CEI would live this long, I would have kept better records! CEI's present activities are amply documented elsewhere in this report, and CEI's future is also clear: To boldy go, la "Star Trek," where no free market organization has gone before. But reviewing CEI's past will require some dusting off of memories. If that triggers the requirement for an OSHA approved respiratory filterwell, that's one hazard of nostalgia.
The resulting fires are not the "forest-rejuvenating" blazes of environmentalist lore. They are cauldron-hot conflagrations that exterminate wildlife habitats, roast bald eagle and spotted owl fledglings alive in their nests, boil away trout and trout streams, leave surviving animals to starve, and incinerate every living organism in already thin soils that then get washed away during future downpours and snowmelts. Areas incinerated by such fires don't recover their arboreal biodiversity for decades.
3. Watts, M., July 29, 2012. New Study Shows Half of the Global Warming in the USA is artificial. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/29/press-release-2/
"What the White House doesn't want you to know about global warming" was the plug CNBC used to introduce its story about the news that the New York Times had broken that day: The White House had heavily edited the global climate change section of the Environmental Protection Agency's draft report on the state of the environment. Notably absent after the editing was any reference to the National Research Council (NRC) report that was conducted at the president's request in 2001. EPA staffjoined by outgoing Administrator Christine Todd Whitmanbalked at the White House's work. Whitman eliminated that section of the report altogether rather than publish the "pablum" that her staff and the White House had been able to agree upon, she told the Los Angeles Times.