Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
This is a serious problem which has not been addressed by any existing climate change assessment.
Is the Presidents renewed emphasis on climate changejust a sop to his environmentalist base? Doubtful.As a second termer, Obama has less reason politically to restrain his progressive impulses.Several regulatory options are now in play:
Elsewhere they note the Newport, Rhode Island, tide gauge provides a 0.9-mm/y rate as well. The residual sea-level trend shows no apparent agreement with that of atmospheric CO2. When a Guilford marsh reconstruction is detrended and compared to the CO2 record of the same period, there is no indication of an exponential increase in the rate of sea-level rise. They present many other sites that simply do not show the expected accelerated rise in sea level over the past 100 or so years when the greenhouse gas buildup increased.
A Clinton victory could inspire a return to the old playbook
/s/ Al Worden JSC, Astronaut, Apollo 15, 9 years
There are two factors that suggest Hopewells record may not be totally reliable.
Stott isnt alone. Within the past two years, at least seven peer-reviewed studies published in the scientific literature have concluded that the influence of doubling the amount of CO 2 in the Earths atmosphere is likely to be substantially lower than IPCC has determined and have ruled out the high-end projections.
To hear the Obama Administration explain it, Russia and the United States have common interests in Syria, difficult though it may be to reach an agreement based on them. We both want a stable Syria. Neither one of us wants the jihadi radicals to end up in charge of the country. We both want religious and ethnic minorities protected. We both want the killing to stop.
As Nunavut government biologist Mitch Taylor observed in a front-page story in the Nunatsiaq News last month, the Inuit were right. There arent just a few more bears. There are a hell of a lot more bears.
"The EPA claims that global warming will lead to catastrophic sea level rise, inundating parts of Florida, but the science does not support these alarmist claims," commented CEI's Paul Georgia, environmental research associate and managing editor of the Cooler Heads a bi-weekly newsletter covering global warming issues. "Such scare mongering has no place in an essentially scientific debate."
Alan Caruba has good advice for humanity get over ourselves :
None of whats going on today is outside long term variations in ice cover and thickness . On November 20, 1817 the President of the Royal Society proposed a letter to the British Admiralty:
one of America's great manufacturing states is absurd on its face, but
The Economist has a response to Howards talk, titled: Global Warming and Religion: Faith Upon the Earth. This essay is on the Economistss Erasmus Blog, which considers the intersections between religion and public policy. Excerpts:
Second, the issue of less egregious bullying where people outside the predominant leftist consensus are considered beyond the pale. This one is rampant in climate science. The ostracism of non-consensus scientists (most recently Lennaert Bengtsson, see also the recent article on John Christy ), both publicly and privately is bullying.
?(The summary for policymakers) is a document written to scare to public and scare the politicians into providing more funding for their own research and their own political agenda,? he said. ?The actual science report, which it supposedly is based on isn?t going to be released right away. They?ve always done it his way because the summary for policymakers completely disagrees with what the science report is saying. They know that the media and the public are not going to read the science report. And they also know that if any of them get into it, they won?t understand it anyway.?
Since Barack Obama took office in January 2009, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has issued a suite of anti-coal regulations, collectively known as the "war on coal," which to date has lead to the loss of 26,000 megawatts of coal-fired electricityenough to power 20 million to 26 million homes. And that's just the beginning: According to an analysis by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, EPA regulations will "likely" retire almost an additional 55,000 megawatts of coal-fired electricity by 2018.
Noting that "many predictions of the impact of climate change on biodiversity assume a species-specific response to changing environments," Seebacher et al . proceed to argue, on the basis of their results, that "this resolution can be too coarse and that analysis of the impacts of climate change and other environmental variability should be resolved to a population level," since their findings suggest that some populations of a species may indeed be able to cope with a change of climate with which others cannot, thereby preventing the otherwise inevitable climate-induced extinction of the species.
To calculate the trends I used the OLS method, both from the formula and using the EXCEL LINEST function, getting the same answer each time. If you are able please check my calculations . The GISTEMP Southern Hemisphere and global data can be accessed direct from the NASA GISS website . The GISTEMP trends are from the skepticalscience trends tool. My figures are:-
Greenlands surface gained mass yesterday for the first time this summer. The net surface gain over the past year has been 300 billion tons.
Bob Greenes postings on the M6 have some factual inaccuracies:
Nicolas Loris, The Foundry , 25 July 2011
said that MJ restricted their use of paleo series to those that had correlations with
Desperation Breeds Contempt for Free Speech, Freedom Itself
The most valuable contribution U.S. scientists can make is to continually question basic assumptions and conclusions, promote clear and careful appraisal and presentation of the uncertainties about climate change as well as those areas in which science is leading to robust conclusions, and work toward a significant improvement in the ability to project the future. In the process, we will better define the nature of the problems and ensure that the best possible information is available for policy makers.
We could also use a bit more skepticism regarding claims about human contributions to climate change. These claims depend on the output of climate models that purport to demonstrate a causal link between the observed atmospheric buildup of greenhouse gases and surface temperatures. But these models do a poor job of reproducing the Earth's actual climate. For example:
Adjacent is another study confirming the lack of prediction skill emanating from the IPCC. India still is hammered by monsoons but rainfall amounts are no different than in the past.
Let's walk through the numbers. In 2005, domestic ethanol output totaled about 170,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and domestic oil production was about 5.2 million barrels per day. By 2014, thanks to federal mandates that require its consumption, domestic ethanol output had nearly quadrupled to 620,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. But that increase in energy output was a fraction of what was produced thanks to horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing in places such as the Bakken shale in North Dakota and the Eagle Ford shale in south Texas.
Over at Tallblokes Talkshop , moderator Tim Channon wondered about this regularly hot station reported in the news:
Dr. Roger A. Pielke Sr. is Senior Research Scientist at the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado in Boulder and Professor Emeritus of the Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins. His books include Mesoscale Meteorological Modeling (1984; 2nd edition 2002), The Hurricane (1990), Human Impacts on Weather and Climate with W.R. Cotton (1995; 2nd Edition 2006), and Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society with R.A. Pielke, Jr (1997). He has published over 330 papers in peer-reviewed journals, 50 chapters in books, and co-edited 9 books. Dr. Pielke is a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Union in 2004 and has served as editor for numerous scientific publications.
This is laughably false and illustrated by over 3,000 peer-reviewed published scientific papers cited, analyzed, and referenced on this little unpaid-volunteer blog alone, not to mention many others, The NIPCC Report , and blogs by top climate scientists . The UCS is clearly projecting it's own shameful tactics of "trying to confuse us all" "not with facts or reasoned argument - but with disinformation."
Divesting fossil fuels portfolios is also financially imprudent. Fossil-fuel stocks are among the best for solid, risk-adjusted returns. One analysis found that a 2.1% share in fossil fuel companies by colleges and universities generated 5.7% of all endowment gains in 2010 to 2011, to fund scholarship, building, and other programs. Teacher, police, and other public pension funds have experienced similar results.
Christopher M. Taylor, Richard A. M. de Jeu, Franoise Guichard, Phil P. Harris & Wouter A. Dorigo Afternoon rain more likely over drier soils will be published in Nature on 12 September 2012. www.nature.com DOI 10.1038/nature11377
Their paper - now known to be seriously flawed (click the hockey stick graph for an article by an esteemed physicist) - was going to argue that there were virtually no natural variations of the climate in the past 600 years (and in 1999, millenium) or so and only in the industrial era of the 20th century, the temperatures suddenly started to skyrocket. The medieval warm period was eradicated. For example, on this graph , the red curve is IPCC 1990, the blue curve is MBH99, and the black curve is Moberg 2006. Quite a difference!
The structure of ACESA virtually assures that it will impose higher than necessary costs to achieve the climate benefits for which it aims.
Governments have funded thousands of scientists to study one sort of problem. The unwritten rules of climate science research are fairly clear: workers will be rewarded if they find one kind of answer, and called a denier, defunded, sacked, and basically exiled in the tea-rooms of universities around Australia if they find any other kind of answer.
... was disappointed, however, that the poster abstract submitted with Lloyd Keigwin (WHOI), Misrepresentations of Sargasso Sea Temperatures by Global Warming Doubters, was rejected. It had to be truly disappointing when LFCS named Mark Boslough learned that Dr Chlek didn't want incompetent aggressive crackpots to exploit their incredible presence at the conference to attack actual scientists. Let me ignore the long and vacuous Curry-bashing by LFCS Mark Boslough and jump to the most important point of his article:
on Saturday, January 21st, 2012 at 5:51 am and is filed under Uncategorized.
"The next administration, the Congress, and the courts" could argue "you can't repeal the Environmental Protection Agency regulations or overturn them in court, we made an international commitment," Ebell said.
Undaunted, Davis set out to organize workers at these hospitals and then threaten strikes if management refused to acknowledge the union. His first conquest was Montefiore Medical Center in the Bronx, which 1199 organized in 1958. Seven other voluntary hospitals caved, following a 46-day strike against them that began in May 1959.
Zeke has a post at Skeptical Science: Understanding adjustments to temperature data
Finally, there is the problem of enforcement of any international agreement. If countries do not adhere, then global mitigation objectives cannot be met, and new rounds of negotiations become necessary. Global GHG emissions-detection technologies may be insufficient to identify breaches when there are many sources of the GHG that vary in size, location, timing, production technologies, and sectors. National economic recessions could mask a lack of compliance that would be revealed during an economic rebound. There are the politically-sensitive issues of migration of firms and jobs from developed economies to less-regulated developing ones. There is also the issue of greater carbon intensity in developing countries encouraged by falling fossil fuel prices when demand for them is reduced in developed economies.
"An elderly Upper East Side woman claims a sanitation agent chased her, threatened her with arrest and slapped her with a ticket for putting day-old newspapers in a city trash can."
valuable thing to do is to tell the story about abrupt change as vividly as
With our nation drowning in debt, energy prices skyrocketing, and unaccountable pseudo-scientific agencies like EPA and Interior hobbling economic growth with endless delays and red tape, Dr. Robinson decided to run for Congress. As a scientist and thoughtful, Christian family man, with proven math and budgetary skills he felt he could bring much needed expertise and perspectives to the House of Representatives.
Why we argue climate change: Settled science isnt necessarily so
The incident reveals that Beijing is willing to use its increased economic strength as a tool of coercion, no matter the consequences for its own standing in international markets. But that is not all it reveals. Indeed, this is one in a series of arguments and incidents between China and Japan over the last decade related to sovereignty, territory, rights to natural resources, and China's expanding maritime capabilities in and around Japan.
The focus on greenhouse gas mitigation, both domestically andinternationally, has been misplaced, and the money and attention ofworld leaders toward greenhouse gas mitigation efforts would be bestdirected elsewhere.
The column by Frances Beinecke (Despite misinformation effort, U.S. is targeting climate change, July 11) recites all the tired myths and cliches of the global warming movement but offers not one iota of evidence. One would have hoped the leader of an organization with an annual budget of more than $100 million would be better informed about an issue as important as climate change.
Certainly, if the method wereas Burger and Cubasch claimprone to using nonsense predictors when applied to multiproxy network with the signal-to-noise attributes of the Rutherford et al (2005) proxy network, and calibrating over intervals with trends similar to those in the actual observations, there would be at least some hint of this in tests using networks with even lower signal-to-noise ratios, and calibrated over intervals with even larger trends? But there is no such evidence at all in the experiments detailed by Mann et al (2005).
Don't get me wrong. I am quite hawkish when it comes to the exertion of an expansive federal power to combat genuine national security threats. But my tolerance for such authority only reaches "national security" challenges as they are fairly traditionally construed (e.g., dealing with the threats presented by people who might actually attack us). It makes me nervous to inflate that conceptual currency, and it probably should make you nervous too.
Australians would be well advised to watch this green train wreck very closely if they wish to avoid a repeat of the fiasco that is unfolding in Europe.
NEW YORKFormer President Bill Clinton and New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg announced a new climate initiative Monday to help cities measure their risk for severe weather and natural disasters. The hope is to help curb the impact of deadly storms like Superstorm Sandy, which devastated parts of New York City last October.
The five Chinese researchers report that "both plant species grown under elevated CO 2 showed shoot and root dry weight biomass stimulation ranging from 6 to 102% and an increase of shoot and root Cs content ranging from 6 to 150%."
Professor Mann is currently under investigation by Penn State University because of activities related to a closed circle of climate scientists who appear to have been engaged in agenda-driven science. Emails and documents mysteriously released from the previously-prestigious Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in the United Kingdom revealed discussions of manipulation and destruction of research data, as well as efforts to interfere with the peer review process to stifle opposing views. The motivation underlying these efforts appears to be a coordinated strategy to support the belief that mankinds activities are causing global warming.
"The much paraded reform of financial governance institutions has not gone far enough," the position paper for the U.N. leadership's keynote session asserts, and the voting power of emerging players and developing world, in general, which demand a greater say on these matters, remains inadequate."
FoodPolitik: Controlling Your Food, the Trojan Horse of "public health':
In fact, up until very recently President Obama's campaign website had a section devoted to the President's goals for every energy resource except coal. Only after facing intense criticism, and disappointing primary results in coal states, the Obama campaign attempted quietly to add a "clean coal" section to its site.
The admission is paucity of high-resolution palaeoclimatic evidence, meaning no direct measures of temperature and precipitation exists. Thus, the reliance I emphasize the wordon tree-ring data as a stand-in for what was not measured.
This idea was introduced by the previous Labour government and is already widespread in Europe.
Jack Kemp is co-director of Empower America and Distinguished Fellow of the Competitive Enterprise Institute.
Horizontal axis is thousands of years before the present. Second graph shows a decrease in El Nino intensity since the Minoan Warm Period 3,000 years ago. Bottom graphs show modern droughts are not unusual or unprecedented.
An email conversation provided additional information on this site. First, the Minden Press-Herald was recommended as a good site for the local view on the problem. This link contains a summary of the EPAs decision to defer the action date by 90 days . The EPA basically agrees that communication is a great thing and that Louisiana Military Department has 90 days to come up with an (acceptable) alternate method of disposal. EPA did not, as many in the community have requested, provide better estimates of emissions. An additional link is the EPA Request for Approval for a Time-Critical Removal at the site.
The National Snow And Ice Data Center in Colorado has still failed to mention this on their web site. They continue to discuss the record Arctic minimum, and until recently were featuring an article about penguins being threatened by decliningAntarcticsea ice, even though Antarctic sea ice has been steadily increasing throughout the satellite record.
There are nineteen USHCN stations in Virginia . NOAA tell us :-
"President Obama and labor unions are entering a new and difficult stretch in their relationship as the White House looks to find common ground with Republicans on issues like trade and the deficit."
Related stories auf Deutsch at Readers Edition and eigent mlich frei.
On Sep 28, 2005, (CG1- 590. 1128000000.txt), Rob Wilson emailed Osborn and Briffa, both IPCC Authors, and complained about my email to ODowd (which had been copied to Wilson). Osborn immediately replied, calling the request that the data be archived an abuse of my position as an IPCC peer reviewer. Rosanne D??Arrigo (CG2-2590) wrote to Osborn and Briffa, advocating that I be ???fired?? as an IPCC reviewer. D??Arrigo urged the Climategaters to be ???very cautious about our emails as Lord V will stop at nothing??:
Obama believes the president should lead a revolution in society, the economy, and the political system, but defer on national security and foreign policy to the other branches of government. This upends the Framers' vision of the presidency. They thought the chief executive's powers would expand broadly to meet external challenges while playing a modest role at home.
Call it an economic train wreck, a constitutional crisis, orlegslative thuggery. Litigation-drivenregulation of carbon dioxide (CO2)under the Clean Air Act (CAA) is all of the above.
It's the nature of media (and, perhaps, society in general) that it often works to build controversy where none exists. Few places is that more evident than political races. When Texas Governor Rick Perry official entered the presidential race last week, he made comments about climate change and the adequacy of the science. Candidate Mitt Romney then contrasted Perry's take with his own view that human beings contribute to global warming.
The following salient observations, many geological in nature, may help you put recently published and overly dramatic press reports of shockingly rapid glacial acceleration on the Svalbard Islands into a more naturally occurring context.
But even after the USDA's subsequent environmental review concluded that coexistence was not a problem, Vilsack nevertheless sowed confusion and concern among American plant breeders and farmers by proposing geographic restrictions as well as minimum separation distances from other crops for the commercial cultivation of the genetically engineered alfalfa variety. This would have signaled an abandonment of any semblance of a scientific underpinning of regulation, and it would have been disastrous news for the vast majority of American farmers who have eagerly embraced genetic engineering technology that has delivered substantial economic and environmental benefits over the past two decades.
Meanwhile, Bjorn Lomborg has his own take on things at Project Syndicate, looking at the IPCC's cost estimates, the attempts to adjust them to help the green movement and the embarrassing chasm between current and earlier estimates like those of Lord Stern:
Of course, it is quite possible that human emissions will cause the climate to change. If it does so, and where danger is posed due to that change, it is likely to harm only the most poverty-stricken on the planet. Much like the example of malaria above, extreme weather, and disease-enhanced warmth are only threatening to those with no ability to adapt and overcome the danger. When Cromwell caught malaria no one knew the cause, and there was no cure. There was no technology at any price. Today, malaria is prevalent in relatively poor countries, like Malaysia, but non-existent in its rich neighbor, Singapore, where capitalist-driven technologies have solved the problem.
"Over the last week, the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) spent at least $200,000 on billboard signs, direct mail and radio ads, according to Federal Election Commission (FEC) records. Those funds were for attacks against Republican opponents of several vulnerable House Democrats as well as against Rep. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), who is running for retiring Sen. Kit Bond's (R-Mo.) seat."
On January 8, 2014, the White House posted a curious video claiming that global warming causes more severe winter cold. Called "The Polar Vortex Explained in 2 Minutes," it featured the director of the White House Office of Science & Technology Policy (OSTP), John Holdren, claiming that a "growing body of evidence" showed that the "extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues."
???This paper??s results concerning average seawater salinity and acidity show that, on a global scale and over the time scales considered (hundreds of years), there would not be accentuated changes in either seawater salinity or acidity from the observed or hypothesized rises in atmospheric CO2 concentrations.??
1. Observed natural variation, which has produced periods of warming statistically indistinguishable from the warming which ended in 1998.