Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Firstly, hundreds of tide gauges show sea level rising at about a third of the rate than satellites do . Worse, the original satellite raw data showed the same slow rise, until it was suddenly adjusted. The real scandal is that the rapidly rising trend was largely created by adjustments in the first place. These latest corrections just adjust down part of the rate which had been created by adjusting up. On top of all that, the long paleo-history of sea levels done by people like Nils-Axel Mrner show that the current rise is not unusual or unprecedented at all. Could it get more pointless? It can: the acceleration Watson et al found is so small its less than the errors. (See the graph below).
According to the White House website, President Obama has only made public reference to nuclear energy three times before last night. Two of those were cursory observations that the Waxman-Markey cap-and-trade bill could be a boon to development of low-carbon technologies, including nuclear power. The other was a puzzling mention in a major address delivered last April in Newton, Iowa. Obama stated that we will need supplies of oil and natural gas in the short term, because we won't transform our energy economy overnight. To that he added, "We also need to find safer ways to use nuclear power and store nuclear waste."
The Audi ad tells preening, greener-than-thou progressives 'here is the car for you.' At the same time, it lampoons the authoritarianism of green busybodies, allowing the rest of us to admire the car's mpg rating without feeling we have to identify with Al Gore or the Sierra Club.
CEI: Is the Club for Growth taking into account government regulations, which seem to us to be taxes on people's behavior, if not their wallets?
Gregory Melleuish is right when he says that ?climate change has become an issue only because it has been seen to have practical policy implication? (p. 9). G. Melleuish, ?The Dubious Future of History,? Quadrant, May 2010;www.quadrant.org.au/magazine/issue/2010/5/the-dubious-future-of-history.
Y2Kyoto: We Don't Need No Stinking Giant Fans
According to official data, average sea level rose by 18 centimeters during the 20th century (i.e., less than two centimeters per decade) and the first 10 years of the 21st century show no accelerating trend. The average forecasts of the IPCC for the current century report an increase of 30 centimeters, or three centimeters per decade.
Indeed, given the rather tepid estimates of actual 'global warming reduction' the Kyoto Protocol might achieve if everyone does everything they have pledge to do (increasingly unlikely), there is a strong argument that a tax reform that reduces tax rates across the board (personal and business) and reduces the tax burden on saving and investment, would do a lot more to advance the stated goals of Kyoto than Kyoto itself. As Asia surges ahead in the global economy, the peoples of Asia are demanding more and more energy to drive their economies, and the efficiency of their energy use will become a truly vital international concern: a concern the Kyoto Protocol doesn't even pretend to address.
Say what? What could possibly justify that kind of adjustment, seven tenths of a degree? The early part of the record is adjusted to show less warming. Then from 1973 to 1989, Matanuska is adjusted to warm at a feverish rate of 4.4 degrees per century ... but Matanuska is a RURAL station. Since GISS says that the homogenization effort is designed to change thelong term trend of any non-rural station to match the long term trend of their rural neighbors, why is Matanuska being adjusted at all?
According to this index, the 8 most severe droughts at the 6-month time scale for the summer rainfall region of South Africa happened in 1926, 1933, 1945, 1949, 1952, 1970, 1983 and 1992. There is considerable decadal variability and an 18 to 20 year cycle is only found in the number of dry districts.
And researchers at the National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C., reported this week that nighttime summer temperatures across the country have been unusually high for the past eight years, a record streak. Its just incredible, when you look at this thing, said Richard Heim, a research meteorologist at the center. He added that only the Dust Bowl period of the mid-1930s rivaled recent summers for sustained heat levels.
Back around 18,000 years ago during the deepest part of the last Ice Age, a period known as the Wisconsin, sea levels were about 400 feet lower than now. That was because lots of the water was bound up in land ice. Then about 15,000 years ago huge ice sheets covering North America and Eurasian land masses began to rapidly melt, causing sea levels to rise at the rate of roughly 16 feet per century up until the beginning of the Holocene Optimum. Between about 8,000 to 5,000 years ago the rate of rise declined precipitously, and has been relatively stable ever since.
3,000,000 North Americans are seriously injured annually in car crashes.
"The court's decision today voiding the SEC's hedge fund registration rule is a victory for all shareholders. Hedge funds have been a major force in holding corporate CEOs accountable, ensuring they deliver value to investors. This market force for practical corporate governance benefits not just hedge fund customers, but the entire investing public."
Prize lecture, "The United States of America has helped underwrite global security for more than
So far this month, the US is having its10th coldest January on record, and the coldest since 1982
CSIRO. 2014. State of the Climate 2014. Australian Government.
Across the country, there are 104 commercial nuclear reactors. They consume 67 million pounds of uranium annually, the vast majority of which is imported from Australia, Canada and former Soviet republics. The 200-acre Coles Hill deposit (Mr. Coles's family has lived on the spot since 1785) is thought to contain nearly twice that amount. For Messrs. Bowen and Coles, with the long-term price of uranium near $80 per pound, that means they are sitting on about $10 billion worth of ore. But for the rest of us, it means they are sitting on an opportunity to make the U.S. more energy self-sufficient.
He didn't know what the first sentence of a text could have possibly meant. He must have been stupid! However, he didn't give up and finally figured out what the sentence meant.
A coalition of environmental groups on Friday challenged state Environmental Conservation Commissioner Joe Martens over a new technique to extract underground natural gas using propane, rather than water.
...the scientists say, pauses in warming were always to be expected. This is new - at least to me.
Tech Central Station has a team on location in Johannesburg, South Africa to cover the World Summit on Sustainable Development, August 26-September 4.Jim Glassman and editor-in-chief Nick Schulz are heading the team. Their up-to-the-minute coverage includes commentary and interviews on such wide-ranging issues as climate change, water rights, AID vs. trade, biotechnology, and corporate responsibility.For more information, click here or point your Web browser to http://www.joburg.techcentralstation.be/2051/specwrapper.jsp?PID=2051-500.
Among the longest records of active hurricane zones is on the US east coast. NOAAs Hurricane Research Division has data back to 1851. No major hurricane (category 3 or more) has hit the continental US since Wilma in October 2005. That is the longest pause on record. NOAA says It is premature to conclude that human activities and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane activity.
Making summits that advance Canada's interests produce results that justify the time and expense invested in them should be a foreign policy priority.
The mass media conveyed in many cases the perception that these tropical hurricanes were a result of the greenhouse effect. But there are no indications of an increasing trend in the intensity or number of tropical hurricanes . The large increase in damage caused by severe storms in different parts of the world is caused mainly bypeople increasingly living and working in more exposed locations.
The study concludes, "Given her assumptions, Dr. Yellen's analysis is internally consistent and compatible with mainstream economic analysis. However, her costs estimates include only direct costs . . . and very optimistic assumptions . . . about the economy's ability to reduce emissions at low cost." Furthermore, the study concludes that, "If these assumptions fail to materialize, the Administration's estimates of permit prices and GDP costs will need to be adjusted upwards by a factor of ten or more." Download at: www.api.org/news/980603ChasRiver.pdf.
17a. The ability of regional climate models to reproduce temperature observations
When correlating CO2 with temperature trends in various periods of cyclical warming and cooling the last 110 years we find a negative correlation from the late 1800s to 1917 (-0.35), positive from 1917 to 1940 (+0.43), negative during the WWII and post WWII boom from 1940 to around 1975 (-0.40), positive from 1975 to around 2000 (+0.36) and negative in the short period to 2009 (-0.56).
The only reason we have seen any temperature change on Earth is because the ocean surface warmed a little. In fact, the measured ocean surface makes up most of the measurement in global average temperature. I found this cool plot of ocean temperatures on line:
Alternative-Fuel Cars Flood Auto Show
"Especially at a time when many American businesses and families are hurting financially, Congress ought to scale back burdensome and ineffectual regulations," Crews said. "Ours is the age of Spending Stimulus; what we need instead is a "Deregulatory Stimulus' to jumpstart small business formation and job creation, and get the government off our backs."
Heres an email which like many others, makes the point:
In Coalition for Responsible Regulation v. EPA, petitioners ? a coalition of industry groups, states, and non-profit organizations ? sought to overturn the EPA?s endangerment, tailpipe, triggering, and tailoring rules for greenhouse gases (GHGs). In June of last year, a three-judge panel of the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled in favor of the EPA, upholding the four GHG rules. In August, coalition members petitioned for an en banc (full court) rehearing of the case. On Dec. 20, 2012 the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the petitions by 5-2.
The total weight of 4,000 turbines themselves (mostly steel, and without the concrete pads they sit on) would be 888,000 tonnes or 1,958,040,000 lbs (a lot of GHG). The Centennial Project was placed in the best wind producing area in the province (south of Swift Current) so its abilities cannot be reproduced elsewhere, so the farm would need to be even larger than described. See this link for wind averages/resource in SK
But first, lets illustrate how badly the climate models used by the IPCC simulate global surface temperatures in light of the recent slowdown in global surface warming.
You may notice that we run into so many problems of ambiguity at the basis of climate science. For example the ambiguity of whether they are conserving energy or energy flux, and the ambiguity of what happens if you take the incorrect approach. But one of the biggest ones is this idea of a global average temperature or global average surface temperature . When climate science refers to global average temperature, it is actually referring to a numerical value of +15C which corresponds to the average near-surface air temperature at an altitude of 1.5m above ground (not above sea-level) from a bunch of temperature stations randomly distributed around the planet. So this isnt a surface temperature and isnt global.
IPCC doesnt write scientific reports for their own sake. Those scientists are there for a purpose. That purpose is to produce material useful to the UNFCCC.
Highly paid experts tell us that sea ice is rapidly disappearing, which explains why global sea ice area has been averaging above normal for the past two years.
dire warnings maintain that global warming poses catastrophic dangers to mankind. On the other hand, real science and a strong economy are the best tools we have to deal with whatever challengeithefuture holds.
October 14, 2012. Advanced search. Mount Shasta glaciers growing, despite warming. Kilimanjaro glacier bad example of global warming.
responding, "Well, I'm not going to give them more time." Nor did it help matters when a Rolling Stone profile on McChrystal reported an unconcealed disdain in his camp for its
Agreement 4 is a bilateral between the United States and the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) to cooperate on activities and facilities supporting access to timely, usable, environmental data and satellite imaging technology.
Some of the coal being burned overseas is coal that is not being burned here. In March, the U.S. set a record for coal exports in a month, 13.6 million tons. Indeed, on the same day that Zichal was talking about Obama's legacy on climate issues, the Energy Information Administration released a report showing that U.S. coal exports are likely to set another record this year, after setting a record of nearly 126 million tons in 2012. The EIA pointed to increased Asian demand as a major reason for the rise in U.S. coal exports.
U.S. Secretary of Transportation Focuses on High-Speed Rail in Florida:
Calculation of pressure change need to induce ice-age cycle
Goklany (2011) estimated that the increase in the poverty headcount due to higher biofuel production between 2010 and 2004 implies 192,000 additional deaths and 6.7 million additional lost DALYs in 2010 alone.
However, as discussed above, simply assuming Logo gauge calibration doesnt solve the problem of variability and, in particular, it creates real interpretation problems for three balls that end up being too warm, for which Ive proposed other alternatives.I recognize that reasonable people may regard these alternative explanations as themselves implausible. But, when the details are examined, erratic washroom deflation is not nearly as plausible an explanation for the observed variation as Brady critics assume.
In 2003, two Harvard-Smithsonian Professors, Willie Soon and Sallie Baliunas, published a peer-reviewed paper in the scientific journal Climate Research which identified solar activity as a major influence on Earths climate. This paper also concluded that the twentieth century was not the warmest, nor was it the century with the most extreme weather over the past thousand years. These two scientists reviewed more than two hundred sources of data. The paper specifically examined climate variations observed to coincide with solar variations. One of the more notable correlations cited in this paper is the well-documented coincidence of the Little Ice Age and a solar quiet period from A.D. 1300 to A.D. 1900. Soon and Baliunas asserted that the lack of solar activity resulted in cooler temperatures across the globe. The evidence they compiled also indicated that as the sun became more active global temperatures began to rise and the Little Ice Age ended.
1. Canada's oil production is rising, Mexico's is falling. For many years, the U.S. has relied most heavily on crude imports from Mexico and Canada. Over the past ten years, Canadian crude production has risen by 600,000 barrels per day while Mexico's has fallen by about that same amount. I'd rather have a reliable, long-term supply of crude from Canada than rely on overseas suppliers, whether they are part of OPEC or not. How long can we rely on the Canadian oil sands? Probably for decades. The resources there are estimated at over 100 billion barrels.
Kyoto Economics: The Costs and Follies of Eco-Energy Planning
Buy Fonte's book "Sovereignty or Submission: Will Americans Rule Themselves or be Ruled by Others?"
The primary myth about ENSO is the La Nia phase of ENSO is the opposite of El Nio. It sounds like it might be true, but its nonsense. There is nothing in the instrument temperature record that supports it. Ill show you how the differences present themselves in the data later in the post.
Scientists, however, have increasingly been questioning alarmists, like Gore, and the U.S. government for listing the bears under the ESA. For starters, there are way more polar bears alive today than 40 years ago.
Social security may send you more accurate payments adjusted for inflation, adaptive optics improves some telescopes as well as Ronald Reagan's Star Wars, eyeglasses adjust some vision disorders, and similarly adjustments may be applied to remove as accurately as we can the spurious effect of various biases that affect the weather stations those arising from location changes, the time-of-observation bias, a detectable change of the instrument, and others.
Energy flow is driven by differences in energy, not absolute energy. Global warming should produce fewer and weaker storms, not more and stronger storms.
Finally, ethanol boosters claim their fuel improves "overall environmental quality." A bigger fiction is difficult to conjure up. In December, a report published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences by researchers from the University of Minnesota found that while corn-ethanol-fueled vehicles emit marginally less greenhouse gases than those fueled by gasoline, "the combined climate and air quality impacts are greater than those from gasoline vehicles." Jason Hill, one of the authors of the report, said flatly that "If we're using ethanol for environmental benefits, for air quality and climate change, we're going down the wrong path."
In early October, The Wall Street Journal published an article, ?Mississippi Plant Shows the Cost of ?Clean Coal?.? It is testimony to the nonsense about ?clean coal.? The plant, the reporters note, was meant to demonstrate that Mississippi Power Company?s Kemper County plant was ?meant to showcase technology for generating clean energy from low-quality coal? but it ?ranks as one of the most expensive U.S. fossil fuel projects ever?at $4.7 billion and rising.?
This new type of El Nio is more predictable, said Webster. Were not sure why, but this could mean that we get greater warning of hurricanes, probably by a number of months.
Founder, Chairman of the Asian Studies Center, and Chung Ju-yung FellowFounder's Office
Yet green activists, grant seeking researchers, and self-serving politicians continue to spread climate alarmist lies. Lies based on fiction, not fact. To believe in such unsubstantiated tripe substitutes wishful thinking for logic, and hubris for the humility that science demands of all who study nature. This forces even the worst scientist to the ultimate realization, that nature is always right and science is most often wrong.
There has been a slight, but meaningless increase in heaviest rainfall events. Most of the 20+ cm rainfall events occurred before 1960
And why? Because, they claim, the skeptics have "knowingly deceived the American people about the risks of climate change." It's their contention that certain companies and industries know that their activities are causing global warming, but are determined to cover it up because it would hurt them financially.
Even in Scotland, where wind power has been promoted as having potentially large economic benefits, more people favour the protection of picturesque landscapes than developing wind power.
IT MAY be time to stop describing south-eastern Australia as gripped by drought and instead accept the extreme dry as permanent Perhaps we should call it our new climate, said the Bureau of Meteorologys head of climate analysis, David Jones. January 4, 2008 The only uncertainty now was whether the changing pattern was 85 per cent, 95 per cent or 100 per cent the result of the enhanced greenhouse effect
Taking these statements one at a time, yes, of course, We, the people acknowledge obligations to posterity. Among those obligations is to secure the blessings of liberty. Liberty is endangeredwhen non-elected officials like those at the EPA enact climate policy and erode the separation of powers .
So do they get a skeptic to fill the daily ???Another View?? slot they offer to rebut their editorial? No ??? they get another alarmist ! Under the panicky-but-now-tired headline ???We need to act quickly!??, Melanie Fitzpatrick of the Union of Scientists Concerned About Their Grant Funding writes:
The ???Multi-proxy study of sediment cores retrieved from lakes below modern glaciers supports the first detailed Neoglacial chronology for Glacier National Park (GNP)?? and shows ???maximum reconstructed retreat rates 1930?? of about 125 meters per year, compared to near zero in ~1975 and about 20 meters/year at the end of the record in ~2005. The authors report, ???Results indicate that alpine glaciers in Glacier National Park advanced and retreated numerous times during the Holocene after the onset of Neoglaciation 6,500 years before the present?? and ???Retreat from the Little Ice Age maximum was the most dramatic episode of ice retreat in at least the last 1000years.??
Australian Psychology Society uses biases and fallacies to accuse skeptics of bias and fallacies
The campgrounds we operate for the US Forest Service in Wisconsin does not seem quite ready to open
Basal geothermal heat flow melts/collapses Hagafellsjkull Glacier in Iceland West Antarctica, Greenland, the central Arctic Ocean Basin, Iceland, and now the Svalbard Island Chain have one thing in common: powerful and currently active geological forcesspecifically geothermal heat flow and associated fluid releaseare melting their glacial ice masses. This contention is supported by previous postings here , here , here , and here .
Thank you, Mr. Obama and all you progressives out there, for turning yet another Independent into a Conservative!
It started in 2008, when Chesapeake funded an unsigned Dirty Coal advertising campaign. It featured black and white photos of children, with coal smudged faces, looking sad. Having set the table with anti coal propaganda, McClendon then teamed up with the Sierra Clubs Carl Pope to implement a legislative strategy. The pair traveled around the country, pitching natural gas as the bridge fuel to a green energy future.
Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.
James Stafford: Renewable energy is more expensive than fossil fuels, so how can people be persuaded to choose the less economical option of renewables over the likes of coal and natural gas?
Gov. Sanford also disappoints in his common but still flawed inherently implicit perspective that we must start innovating, that we are not already. This is absurd, and demonstrable in the US's relative carbon dioxide (CO2) performance relative to the rest of the world since the issue gained currency in the late '90s. Nowhere, however, does he acknowledge that the efforts, "rom light bulbs to automobiles", nothing ever proposed would under any scenario have a detectable impact on climate. This is the critical argument to make.
Many of the so-called solutions the green movement proposes consist of turning back the clock and relying on technology we left behind decades, even centuries ago: They want us to use windmills and railroads, use more land for crops (and thereby less for forests), and burn plants to make energy. Now, there has come along a fellow who thinks air conditioning is a bane rather than a boon and hankers for the offices of the 1940s.
First, the producers of coal, oil and natural gas have provided an immense boon to mankind. Cheap and abundant energy has created the- wealthiest, best fed, most mobile society in history. And wealthy, energy-rich societies are much better prepared to deal with future challenges of all types than traditional subsistence economies.