Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In light of the differences among climate model projections, our work stresses the need for more accurate prediction of SST trends in these sensitive areas, and not just the overall amplitude of the Tropical Ocean warming, in order to reduce the uncertainty in global climate forecasts.
It is now July 31, 2018. You are sitting by a stream, thinking back to Nov. 23, 2012 the day the U.S. stopped emitting carbon dioxide altogether, permanently. It's been a very rough six and a half years without carbon, and it's about to get a lot rougher. Because today is the day you realize that it's all been for naught the day that someone explains to you that all of the emissions America was making in 2012 have been completely replenished by new emissions from rest of the world's growing nations.
Over the last 3o years of satellite measurement, the growth of the ice amount in the Southern Ocean which surrounds Antarctica was more than 4 percent .
Fracking is vital to national security, in other words never mind the environmental benefits that would come from replacing a billion tons of coal with natural gas, which would produce about 1.5 billion fewer tons of CO2 a year.
Compliance costs from thousands of regulationspouring out from over 60 departments, agencies, and commissionsamounted to $1.17 trillion in 2008. The federal government spends another $49.1 billion just to administer and enforce its rules. This figure is on par with federal income tax revenues ($1.2 trillion) and Canada's entire 2006 GDP ($1.265 trillion).
It has not to be that way. After all it is hard to hear about Christians that truly keep to Matthew 6:3-4 :
Nuccitelli begins by condemning Roy Spencer for saying, No one knows whether it is currently warming, because we only see warming in the rear-view mirror, after it has occurred. This truism is characteristic of Roy, who gently nudges the language of climate science in the direction of greater rigor. One cannot measure that it is warming, only that it has warmed.
Every month, the Earth has yellow (warm) spots and purple (cold) spots. It has been like that for billions of years.
The only waygreenhouse gas regulationscould stop oil spills is bymaking deep water drilling unprofitable. That, however, would make America more dependent on IMPORTEDoil (duh!). Is that want opponents of S.J.Res.26 want?
Likewise, regardless of whether temperatures rise in the future, this will not increase air pollution. For particulate matter, higher temperatures are associated with lower pollution levels. For ozone, most ozone-forming pollutants will be eliminated over the next 20 years, making future climate virtually irrelevant for ozone levels. Observations of the recent past should also put to rest any concerns about future air pollution levels in a changing climate. Despite rising urban temperatures over the last few decades, air pollution of all kinds has drastically declined.
But even with such big efficiency gains, China's expected rapid economic growth will push its absolute volume of emissions to between 9.6 and 10.1 billion tonnes of CO2 per year by 2020, compared with 5.2 billion tonnes in 2005, according to a study from the Chinese Academy of Sciences.
What a strange editorial is Automotive News' April 24 offering about corporate average fuel economy, "Face it, makers: Sooner or later, CAFE must rise."
Amusingly enough, \(8.6\GeV\) is also one of the two lower bounds on the WIMP mass that appear in this paper . On the contrary, you can't find this figure in the newest CDMS II paper from Friday .
So other than sunlight, wind, and rainbows ... just what is sustainable development supposed to be built of? Cell phones are one of the most revolutionary tools of development ... but we are depriving future generations of nickel and cadmium in doing so. Thats not sustainable.
As scholars who had worked for more than four decades with lawmakers on both sides of the aisle, we faced a ton of scorn from sitting Republican lawmakers and outside observers for making this argument and denial from most of the mainstream media. For reporters, professional norms and concerns about accusations of partisan bias dictated that the parties be treated equally, whatever the underlying reality. The safe haven of false equivalence led the press to ignore one of the most consequential developments in contemporary American politics: the radicalization of the Republican Party.
Abengoa, which went public (NASDAQ) on October 17, 2013, at an opening share price of $12.37, once enjoyed a "top pick" and "safest" moniker, hit a high of $28.88 on September 3, 2014, but has now nosedived to $6.50. The law firm Levi & Korinskywhich claims it has "extensive expertise in prosecuting securities litigation involving financial fraud, representing investors throughout the nation in securities lawsuits, and has recovered hundreds of millions of dollars for aggrieved shareholders"is now investigating Abengoa and its Board of Directors for possible violations of federal securities laws.
* The Council for the National Interest WA (CNI) is a non party political group who recently hosted Professor Cliff Ollier with a presentation titled Rising Sea Level Forecasts: Fact or Fiction? Professor Ollier's address was so comprehensive and well received that his speech was the basis of CNI's most recent newsletter. The CNI regularly promotes discussion on topical subjects covering a broad range of issues effectingAustralia's national interest.CNI prepares policy papers for distributionto influential policy makers that can be viewed at www.cniwa.com.au . For participation or commentary, contacttheExecutive Committee at admin@cniwa.com.au
In addition to leaving General Motors and Chrysler saddled with excessive costs and union ownership , Obama harmed them by radically ratcheting up federal CAFE fuel-economy standards , which affect them more than their foreign competitors. 50,000 jobs could be lost. And his global-warming regulations will destroy countless jobs and cut ??? household purchasing power ,?? reducing auto sales and Chrysler??s chances of survival.
Director, Center for the Study of Science, Cato Institute
Second, the President re-asserted the primacy of terrorism as the most important direct threat to the nation, though he derided those who would advocate a strategy of " invading every country " harboring terrorists (whoever they may be). This position again plays to the crowd, to Americans who can still remember devastating terrorist attacks on our soil but who have forgotten the horrors of great power competition. He defended the right to pursue terrorists wherever they may be, under certain conditions of course. Among those conditions appears to be the notion of not creating more enemies than we take off the battlefield. How this is measured, I cannot with certainty say. This is clearly a reaction against what the Obama Administration views as the fallout of his predecessor's policies. As a hard and fast rule enforced absent context, this condition might put one at a disadvantage against an opponent without the same sensitivities.
Now it is energy crunch time. The "Greenest" nations all over Europe are trying desperately to renege on their expensive "renewable energy" commitments. Nevertheless, they must backtrack without alienating the same voters they had earlier convinced to "save the planet" with recycling, biofuels, etc. One misstep will see them thrown from office.
As you can see, Hansen has clawed back most of the gains of the 1930s relative to recent years ??? perhaps leading eventually to a re-discovery of 1998 as the warmest U.S. year of the 20th century.
Roy, a Ph.D economist who has been dragged through the ad hominem mud , is right to put the onus on David Appell now that the latters fishing expedition backfired rather badly. One might also challenge Joe Romm, the bully of bullies as documented at the Breakthrough Institute by Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus .
In addition, computers and mobile phones both mjliggjort an exchange of information and ideas that would have been otnkbart from just 30 years ago, and contributed to the development of knowledge that also would have been regarded as a future utopia.
The Kyoto Protocol calls for U.S. taxpayers to make similar contributions -to Third World nations. Funds distributed by the GEF have already been used to curtail. energy use in India, for example. If Congress continues to fund the GEF, the Clinton administration will claim that enough developing countries are participating in the Kyoto treaty to warrant Senate ratification.
The Anomaly axis is hundredths of a degree C or 40 = 0.4C. So the total temperature rise from this ground based measurement is about 0.7. Now without getting into the endless problems with ground based measurements this isnt too much compared to what happens all the time.
military leaders clearly assumed they would work with the White House on
There are currently Australian special forces along with NATO and Arab coalition partners fighting with the Kurdish Resistance and the regular Iraqi army against ISIS. Eventually we are going to need Challenger tanks to drive ISIS out of Iraq and back across the Syrian border .Worked for Rommel and the Africa Corp.
South of the Svalbards, a recently discovered 200-mile-long string of very active deep ocean hydrothermal vents indicates that this portion the rift system Nicknamed Lokis Castle is wellheating up (see Figure1). Norwegian scientists refer to this region as Norways Yellowstone at the bottom of the sea.
Much has been written both in favor and against the notion that in the 1970s, the consensus among climatologists was that global cooling was on its way (strangely, foretelling similar disasters as with global warming nowadays, including refugees in the millions, crop failures, droughts and extreme weather throughout).
How Precaution Kills: The Demise of DDT and the Resurgence of Malaria
The post has been updated to include brief discussions of the other datasets in which the 1945 discontinuity appear.
These economic gains arise for a variety of reasons. First, there is an increase in job creation directly associated with producing shale oil and gas not otherwise under current policy. In addition, the resulting energyused all across the economybecomes less expensive. Cheaper energy lowers the cost of doing business, making American companies more competitive and enabling them to invest and expand.
Remember all those stupid graphs where someone with an axe to grind against democracy, or people, or civilization, would point to a steep rise as irrefutable evidence that this cant go on and something must be done?
Also, a large value of tan(beta), above 30 or so, is desirable to solve the soft CP-problem in sufficiently minimal models of gauge-mediated supersymmetry breaking.
Now its 2 C climate change target not safe
Lindzen Summarizes Current State of Climate Science
What is the reason for the lack of warming observed at the surface of the Earth since about 1997? Many causes have been proposed, and with increasing frequency, but most only represent partial explanations. There are clearly more putative causes than can possibly be the case. --David Whitehouse, The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 26 March 2014
Antarctic Sea Ice Sets New Record For Jan 31st
The first group of thunderstorms are now passing through western Washington and more are coming tonight. The left panel below shows the 11 AM radar, the heaviest showers are west of the Sound, with some fairly heavy (yellow colors). An infrared satellite image shows the area of clouds associated with an upper level trough, with recent lightning shown by the red crosses.
The Washington Times discusses the attorneys general shake down of Exxon Mobil with Myron Ebell.
Now lets beclear about this: a complete meltdown of the Greenland ice sheet would raise the planets sea level 7 meters (7000 mm). The sea level rise rate today is about 3 mm per year and decreasing according to satellitedata. A rationalreading the tide gauge data is even less.
The world awaits answers, based not on writings of sundry freelance journalists and non-experts, but on actual verifiable data on whether the globe is warming at all, and if so by how much. Only then can policy options be calibrated. As things stand, there is little doubt that the IPCC will need to be reconstituted with a limited mandate. This mess needs investigation and questions need to be answered as to why absurd claims were taken as gospel truth. The future of everything we know as "normal' depends on this. The real danger is that the general public is now weary of the whole thing, a little tired of the debate, and may not really care for the truth, convenient or otherwise.
This highly recommended lecture by atmospheric scientist Dr. Joseph Fletcher, former NOAA Deputy Assistant Administrator for Labs and Cooperative Institutes, provides multiple lines of evidence that climate is primarily forced by changes in solar irradiance which are amplified by various solar amplification mechanisms . Changes in solar irradiance in turn control the variable size of the Pacific Ocean Warm Pool at the equator (from which the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) originates). The size of the Warm Pool in turn controls deep convection, the Hadley Circulation, wind strength, evaporation, precipitation, cloudiness, sea surface temperatures, and air temperatures:
By Andy West, Climate Etc. Aug 14, 2015
Anyone who knows anything about global climate knows the Earth has generally warmed since the 1680s. Politics has made that period, which covers the Industrial Revolution, of climatic interest as people wanted to prove that human production of CO2 was causing warming. The problem, ignored by proponents, is that it has warmed naturally since the nadir of the Little Ice Age in the 1680s. The issue isnt the warming, but the cause.
A paper for the scientific journal Climate Dynamics co-authored by B.N. Goswami, recently retired director of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, shows why the models relied upon by the U.N. climate panel?s recent assessments predict monsoons inaccurately.
MICHIGAN 60% of electricity; 10th in coal use
At night the soil cools by loss of infrared radiation. The Stefan-Boltzmann equation lets us estimate the rate at which IR energy is being lost based upon surface temperature and emissivity, and simply dividing that by the product of the soil depth and soil bulk heat capacity gives us the rate at which the soil layer temperature will fall. Basic physics and thermodynamics.
Might I, not nearly so smart as Rayne, suggest its because of the death of the Northeast? out-migration of manufacturing and energy intense activities. The developement of an energy usage decline to a service economy with a declining economic base?
Multiple researchers have investigated how flood activity has changed over the recent past and how this extreme weather event has responded to the global warming of the past several decades. Their analyses provide a means of evaluating climate-alarmist claims that CO2-induced global warming is leading to more frequent and intensified flooding around the globe; and they indicate there is nothing unusual about the flooding of the modern era. Large flood events occurring in recent timeshave many historic analogs in the past, when airs CO2 concentration was much lower than it is presently. Taken together, the material presented in this section strongly suggests that rising atmospheric CO2 is having no measurable impact on modern flood events.
the big questions facing America as a global power. Campaigns serve as crucial
price of meat, milk and eggs has gone up 10 to 20 per cent. The price
If the effects in #4 are net negative, and they are large enough even to be recognizable against the backdrop of natural variations in #5, do they outweigh the substantial costs, in terms of increased poverty, slowed development, lost wealth, etc. in substantial CO2 abatement.
Well, I suppose you can hope for that big earthquake that your report says ( page 7 )could cause the sea level to rise by an additional meter. Youdhave it madeif you could blame atmospheric CO2 for earthquakes. Your elite thinkers should start working onthat paper now.
Canada Says Google Wi-Fi Sniffing Collected Personal Data:
Unlike last year, this year well be hearing next to nothing about Arctic sea ice in the media. In fact the most recent NOAA report about the Arctic was about 2012! Thats how desperate they are.
Climate change has long been thought to be the main culprit in coral degradation. While it does pose a serious threat by making oceans more acidic and causing coral bleaching, the report shows that the loss of parrotfish and sea urchin the areas two main grazers has, in fact, been the key driver of coral decline in the region . An unidentified disease led to a mass mortality of the sea urchin in 1983 and extreme fishing throughout the 20th century has brought the parrotfish population to the brink of extinction in some regions. The loss of these species breaks the delicate balance of coral ecosystems and allows algae, on which they feed, to smother the reefs.
Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods.
Since late Friday, the country has experienced uncommonly cold weather as temperature dropped below freezing in many areas, Kuwait Meteorology Center said yesterday.
Taking the aerosol or volcanic emanation, it doesnt matter which as cooling factor, means that CO2 forcing was overestimated during the post 1975, pre-98 period, and overestimated during the post-98 period. The difference in model vs actual radiative forcing is equal to the reduced reflectivity of the atmosphere of pre-98 and increased reflectivity of post-98.
( see footnote 1 SPM, page 3).
With your energy policy frdriver you not only basic industries, but the entire chain of vrdeskapande operations out of the country. One can not at the same once step out krnkraften and coal power in any case if one wants to survive economically, he added.
Lieberman tried but failed to persuade Senate colleagues to support a version of the 1992 Energy Policy Act that included a GHG early credit program. Instead, House and Senate conferees established the Section 1605(b) voluntary reporting of greenhouse gases program, which does not award or certify credits.
This range for Gillett et al. (2013) excludes an outlier at either end; doing so does not affect the median.
rather than particular to our own country. Returning to the Iranian example,
This group naturally includes the United Nations and all of its subsidiaries, the EU, and left wing politicians and media everywhere. At a news conference in Brussels recently, Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity, but to change the economic development model i.e. destroy what is left of free enterprise and private property.
Well, now a economics blog has taken them on at their own game and produced their own graph showing the use of the word sustainable is reaching terrifying proportions and simply cant go on:
Yet while the world has been embracing the atomic bomb, the U.S. nuclear mission degraded. Only the U.S. and UK, among all declared nuclear powers, are not currently modernizing either their weapons inventory or delivery systems. Contrary to President Obama's dream of a "global zero" future without nuclear weapons, proliferation of the world's most dangerous weapons is increasing. The Pentagon must revitalize its strategic forces or face the dangers becoming increasingly unable to respond to a more unstable world of nuclear powers.
Under the title Lindzen lors de laudit de lAPS : Milankovitch et lArctique
The Conclusions of Press Releases Should Match the Scientific Study, Don't Ya Think?
"No judge should try to impose new policies. These issues belong in the political arena, not the courts. But even if the United States embraced tough anti-global warming policiesand other industrial countries did the samethe effect would be offset unless developing countries joined. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has projected that greenhouse emissions will more than triple over the next century under "business as usual' assumptions. Virtually all the increase occurs in developing countries.
That sort of distance is much larger than the size of a typical piece of cloud. As a consequence, simulation of clouds requires a fair amount of inspired guesswork as to what might be a suitable average of whatever is going on between the grid-points of the model. Even if experimental observations suggest that the models get the averages roughly right for a short-term forecast, there is no guarantee they will get them right for atmospheric conditions several decades into the future. Among other problems, small errors in the numerical modelling of complex processes have a nasty habit of accumulating with time.
JC comment: with all these uncertainties in the observations of ocean temperature, unequivocal and very likely in the AR4 seem over-confident.
The \(2\TeV\) LHC excess could prove string theory
In April 2014, CEI sent a request for correction of this statement under the federal Information Quality Act, citing peer-reviewed scientific articles debunking it. In June 2014, OSTP rejected this request, claiming that Holdren's statement was his "personal opinion," not the agency's position, and that they thus did not constitute "information" subject to the Information Quality Act, which excludes "subjective opinions" from its reach.
Fox News reports the Audubon Society is nearly alone among national and state environmental organizations in supporting the measure. Speaking with Fox News, Gail Gatton, executive director of Audubon Society Washington State said, "I think for us, I-732 isn't about money. It really is about what are the market-based incentives that will drive people to reduce greenhouse gas emissions."
Empower families and businesses to drive energy efficiency by eliminating government mandates. Washington should realize that the economy does not need government mandates, rebate programs, or spending initiatives to make businesses and homeowners more energy efficient. Consumers will make those choices by themselves, and the government should not override their choices by nudging them toward the government's preferred outcome. Ultimately, Congress should eliminate existing efficiency mandates or restructure them as voluntary standards under which businesses and consumers can choose their level of participation.
The Arctic sea ice concentration reached its minimum around September 15th this year. Figure 2, below, from the Polar Research Group at the University of Illinois, shows the distribution of ice in the Arctic on that day. As you can see, the North Pole was not even close to being ice free. Figure 3 shows the Arctic Basin sea ice area for the last 365 days. Note that in mid-September the the sea ice area anomaly for the Arctic Basin was about negative 0.75 million square kilometers, but there were still 2.5 million square kilometers of ice yet to melt. Again, not even close to zero.
Evolutionary Biologist Shows Polar Bears Resilient to Climate Change
Drill cores taken from Greenland??s vast ice sheets show that Earth??s climate is capable of very rapid transitions and abrupt climate change.
John: (Laughing) Course not Brian. When do you want to start the interview?
Frost is coming from the White House, and therefore also from NATO
5. If this global atmospheric cooling trend persists much longer, the greens and the MSM "journalists" will pirouette 180 degrees and claim human CO2 causes cooling (and climate change)