Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
RJ Smith, specialist in land management: Hope he doesn't buy into push by Greens and Progressives to lock up millions of acres of public lands rich in petroleum, natural gas, uranium and strategic minerals as wildlands. And they are urging him to do this by Executive Orders under the 1906 Antiquities Act, designating all these lands as National Monuments.
The midday air temperature on the Czech territory ranged from 0.2 C in Liberec to 6.5 C in the Brno area. At the top of Jesenk the temperature fell to -4.4 C
Was there ever heavy snow before human progress? Was there light snow?
Third, there's the risk of waste disposal. Despite the fact that the federal government identified Yucca Mountain in Nevada as a nuclear-waste site over two decades ago and rate payers have long funded work at the site, the earliest opening date at Yucca is still at least 10 years away, assuming no delays from litigation, permitting or technical glitches.
The claims about disappearing mountain ice were contained within a table entitled Selected observed effects due to changes in the cryosphere produced by warming.
Kenneth Artz (kartz@heartland.org) writes from Dallas, Texas.
Perhaps his error should be forgiven because Mr. Lazear is an economist. He was the chairman of the President's Council of Economic Advisors (2006-09) and head of the White House Committee on the Economics of Climate Change (2007-08). Presently he is a professor at Stanford University's Graduate School of Business and a Hoover Institution fellow.
Let's take a closer look at the average U.S. temperature in July, 2009, also from the NOAA website:
Now Bob Carter is a very polite person and considers it absolutely infra dig to disagree with another Skeptic scientist all on the same side. But let us face the facts. The Skeptic cause is not making headway, in spite of the efforts of Lord Lawson and the GWPF and many others.We are just treading water, while the Warmists continue with their propaganda day by day.
Next, those of us old enough to remember driving through Gary, Indiana in the 1960s and early 70s know how much cleaner our air and water are today. Smaller gains in "cleanliness" come at greater and greater cost now (although the EPA, which wants everything to be infinitely clean, does not seem to care about that). Unlike government bureaucrats, who get routine pay raises and job security no matter how much they hurt the business (our country), the people who actually pay the bills (taxpayers) still live in a cost-vs-benefits world.
Discussion does not mention the lag between historical rises in temperature and increases in CO2 and gives the impression that CO2 changes were the cause of the rises in temperature as determined from ice core data. This omission like many others, strongly slants the discussion towards CO2 induced warming.
8:30 International tide gauges also show: No acceleration in sea level rise. In fact tide gauges show a deceleration. Puls asked the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research for an answer,but they have yet to reply.
Figure 1. Confidence intervals for the estimation of sea level rise using tidal gauge data.This means that 95% of the results fall between the two extremes. For twenty year trends, these are from a sea level rise of three mm/year to a sea level fall of three mm per year. SOURCE: Pacific Country Report, Sea Level & Climate: Their Present State Marshall Islands December 2010
We should not judge political motivation or intention, but we do need to look at actual outcomes. ... he United States has made great progress thus far, even if not orchestrated, without federal policy or agency rules.
I commented on Nurse on an earlier occasion, when Nurse had given a completely untrue account of the connection of FOI and Climategate:
U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, "The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview," http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview/pdf/0581(2009).pdf (accessed April 3, 2013).
realclimate links in turn to a NOAA website which thanks Dr. Keith R. Briffa, Dr. Phil D. Jones, Dr. Michael E. Mann, and Dr. Henry N. Pollack for their contributions, and which takes a similar position to realclimate as follows:
This one is about 1/2 hour and I think it was the one I was supposed to look at:
Our fight is your fight! It's a battle to uphold our Constitutional freedom to debate and exchange ideas without fear of repercussion from government officials. We cannot allow the government to single out and intimidate people simply because they hold views contrary to some government official's policy agenda.
As Larry Bell noted, even by the EPAs own calculations and estimates, the methane emissions limits, along with other limits on so called greenhouse gases will prevent less than two-hundredths of a degree Celsius of warming by the end of this century.
Looking at the projections for 2006 to 2100, the model mean of outgoing longwave radiation has a positive trend of about 0.1 watts/m^2/decade. But some models show outgoing longwave radiation decreasing slightly in the future, while others show it increasing. The greatest negative trend is about -0.1 watts/m^2/decade. At the other end of the wide spectrum is a model with a positive trend of 0.35 watts/m^2/decade. Bottom line: theres an approximate 0.45 watts/m^2/decade spread in the trends of projected future outgoing longwave radiation, with some models showing an increase and others a decrease.
Figure 3. Action of volcanoes in reducing surface solar radiation. This measures the anomaly in downwelling solar at the surface minus the anomaly in downwelling solar at the TOA. The trend in the transmission is a warming of +0.34 W/m2 per decade.
The very greatly exaggerated predictions (orange region) of atmospheric global warming in the IPCCs 1990 First Assessment Report, compared with the mean anomalies (dark blue) and trend (bright blue straight line) of three terrestrial and two satellite monthly global mean temperature datasets since 1990.The measured, real-world rate of global warming over the past 25 years, equivalent to less than 1.4 C per century, is about half the IPCCs central prediction in 1990.
But, we have this graph charting the rise and fall of arctic sea ice for the last 365 days, notice that the arctic sea ice is right back where it started at in February 2007.
The map above shows Goyders Line, which is defined by Wiki as a boundary line across South Australia corresponding to a rainfall boundary believed to indicate the edge of the area suitable for agriculture. North of Goyders Line, the rainfall is not reliable enough, and the land is only suitable for grazing and not cropping.
Depending on the extent of future damages and the discount rate used for weighting future damages, the range of estimates of marginal global damages can vary by two orders of magnitude, from a negligible value of about $1 per ton to $100 per ton of CO2-eq. Roughly an order of magnitude in difference can be attributed to discounting assumptions, and another to assumptions about future damages from current emissions.
But as volatile wind and solar take a larger share of the total from the steady sources gas, nuclear and hydro the state will need to build more conventional plants as a cushion.
No transcript of the speech is available; however, the Santa Fe New Mexican covered Hansen's presentation at the Institute, during which he predicted catastrophes, such as rising seas and species extinctions "if carbon-based fuels continue to be used at the same rate as today."
But we dont live in that world. In the real world of public policy, such ideal taxes are virtually never implemented by the book. And if even it they are, they soon come under attack from people wanting to raise them and gain control of a new, easy to collect, hard to avoid revenue stream.
3) The August ice extent in the Eastern area has been more than halved over the past 80 yr. A similar meltback has not been observed since the temperature optimum during the eighteenth century. This retrospective comparison indicates accordingly that the recent reduction of the ice extent in the Eastern area is still within the variation range observed over the past 300 yr.
British Government Scraps Climate Change Levy Exemption
The report also points out that a necessary prerequisite to innovation is robust economic growth. Without the financial means to invest in R&D;, there is no technological progress. Moreover, developing countries will not be able to benefit from new technologies unless they become wealthier. The report can be downloaded from www.brtable.org.
The idea of climate change should be seen as an intellectual resource around which our collective and personal identifies and projects can form and take shape. We need to ask not what we can do for climate change, but to ask what climate change can do for us?Because the idea of climate change is so plastic, it can be deployed across many of our human projects and can serve many of our psychological, ethical, and spiritual needs.
The state is mandating that automakers dramatically ramp up sales of battery-powered and other low-emission cars. It is imposing new cap-and-trade emission controls on business with hefty fees.
Were so tightly knit, all 10,000 of us meet in an exotic location for two weeks every year with a mass media congregation, dinners and drinks no wait, thats what they do.
So at the end of the first exchange, we have no explanation of why there was no assessment of the quality of CRU's science.
Then I remembered a long ago time when I helped a friend move his stuff from Clovis. Middle of nowhere. Where that hot spot is. And a US Air Base (He was retired Air Force). Gotta love those large rural US Airbase facilities. Nice and warm places to put thermometers
The New England monument creation comes on the tails of President Barack Obama designating the largest swath of ocean ever as a national monument in August. Obama expanded the Papah naumoku kea Marine National Monument to four times its original size.
But Hubbert, who died in 1989,did not live to see the ??? shale revolution .??During the past decade, advances in directional drilling and hydraulic fracturing have made it economical to extract oil from the pores of rock. Although U.S. petroleum production is still lower than it was at its peak in 1970,it has increased every year since 2008 with no end in sight.
"Biofuels from corn, sugar cane, and soy perform poorly in many environmental contexts, concludes a January 7, 2008 Science magazine review of a study commissioned by the Swiss government. For example, due to nitrous oxide emissions from fertilizer use, biofuel from corn or canola may be worse for global warming than simply burning fossil fuels."
This argument is unpersuasive if the warming of recent decades is not unusual or unprecedented in the past 1300 years. As it happens, numerous studies indicate that the Medieval Warm Period (MWP)???roughly the period from AD 800 to 1300, with peak warmth occurring about AD 1050???was as warm as or warmer than the Current Warm Period (CWP).
Furthermore to take one of many instances in the reviewed literature a recent paper has confirmed the findings of a long line of papers on the global brightening that has been evident in recent decades, concluding that the naturally-occurring decline in cloud cover in the last couple of decades of the last century has caused four and a half times as much warming as Man.
In a post titled "The CRU Hack" (November 20), RC writes:
Wind energy projects require even more land. The Roscoe wind farm in Texas, which has a capacity of 781.5 megawatts, covers about 154 square miles. Again, the math is straightforward: to have 8,500 megawatts of wind generation capacity, California would likely need to set aside an area equivalent to more than 70 Manhattans. Apart from the impact on the environment itself, few if any people could live on the land because of the noise (and the infrasound, which is inaudible to most humans but potentially harmful) produced by the turbines.
It is worth pondering the italicized sentence. It means that even if the United States and its fellow industrialized nations ceased to exist, emissions from developing nations, not included in the Kyoto Protocol and unlikely to be included in the successor treaty, would carry the CO2 level well beyond 450 ppm by midcentury. According to an EPA estimate made last year, the Waxman-Markey emissions target, even if fully achieved, would lower global CO2 levels in the year 2095 by 25 ppm at most and would, therefore, have a negligible effect on holding back global warming.
Lower Manhattan has doubled in width over the centuries. World Trade Center construction alone contributed 1.2 million cubic yards to build Battery Park City, narrowing the Hudson River by another 700 feet. The East River has likewise been hemmed in, while other water channels have been completely filled. Buildings, malls and raised roadways constructed on former potato fields, forests, grasslands and marshlands have further constricted passageways for storm surges and runoff.
P. Gosselin, Solar cycle 24 weakest in almost 200 yearsshows signs of an even weaker upcoming cycle 25, notrickszone.com. August 5, 2013
* Finally, many of the ongoing disputes in climate science boil down to disputes over the relative validity and reliability of different observational datasets, suggesting that the very new field of climate science does not yet have standardized observational datasets that would allow for definitive testing of theories and models against observations."
James Hansen of NASA is one of the leading climate alarmists, and possesses a scientific credibility lacking in the Goracle. But Hansen really has become a parody of himself, more activist than scientist. His supervisor at NASA was a skeptic. And as Bill Steigerwald of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review wrote a year ago:
SM: Discredited. This is a man who won, unbelievably, a MacArthur Foundation Genius Award a few years ago even after virtually every prediction he has made over the last 40 years has been disproven by events. Perhaps you can say that Paul Ehrlich is the wrongest man of the 20th century.
With headlines heralding: "North Dakota has joined the ranks of the few places in the world that produce more than a million barrels of oil per day," people know there isn't an energy shortage. And America's new energy abundance is on top of our rich reserves of coal and uranium that can provide for our electrical needs for centuries to come.
The self-sacrificing behavior that benefits the group is the ultimate situation in which the classical evolution and group selection offer different predictions. Pinker analyzes some suicidal strategies whose carriers would be quite obviously driven towards extinction; time scales are important in some of them (individuals following these suicidal strategies may die out well before the group could see substantial benefits so the theory with a dominant group selection driver simply doesn't work).
"On a recent weekday afternoon inside a West Main Street storefront, a room filled with folding tables and flat-screen computer monitors has drawn about a dozen people all focused on the spinning and flashing images onscreen."
But significant market investment in other forms of renewable energy in recent years, particularly in geothermal, means that a coal backstop is becoming less of a requirement.
Related: Inspired by a comment from Fred, here's a video someone put together of Canadian soldiers who were buried at Beny-sur mer in Normandy, France.
River with heated water from power plant and sewage plant dumped into it nearby
And according to Kristin Blasche of the Federal Ministry For Maritime Shipping And Hydrography:
COPENHAGEN During howling winter weather two years ago, the thousands of windmills dotting Denmark and its coastline generated so much power that Danes had to pay other countries to take the surplus.
Ocean Acidification and Warming (Effects on Corals: Laboratory Studies) Summary
Commercial break: 3D animation of the radar: Java needed On the picture, your humble correspondent is in the middle while the guy waving with the U.S. flag on the left side (too bad that you can't hear the people singing "Good morning, Mr radar, we couldn't wait") is the Czech Greenpeace #4, Mr Jan Rovensk, who also lives on the tree. He recognized me soon after we arrived there, because of global warming. The Greenpeace occupation zone is one of the places where my fame significantly exceeds the average. ;-)
To achieve this science must take distances from the extremists, skeptics and alarm nutritionists, for not to mention the anti-democratic preaching authorities like ltsas have superior knowledge. Fr climate research would innebra to communicate undisputed skills such as accumulation of vxthusgaser from mnskliga kllor and researched temperatures and havsyteniver while clearly describes the various hypotheses and conflicting scientific claims.
Ten Steps Back, One Step Forward
The first is disclosure. The more that policy makers and the public know about overregulation, the more likely they are to do something about it. To that end, our organization, the Competitive Enterprise Institute, issues the annual Ten Thousand Commandments report. Official Washington needs its own such report card. Each year's federal budget, or the annual Economic Report of the President, should include in-depth chapters exploring the regulatory state.
But he said he was hopeful that Heartland would come back. I think its a temporary feeding frenzy, he said. If Heartland had just started last year and only had 10 donors when that happened it could have been fatal. But this is a hiccup.
So sometimes reigning paradigms do indeed need to be adjusted; sometimes they even need to be exploded. On the other hand, often they don't, and politically convenient recastings of policy challenges as "security" questions can sometimes quite properly sound strained.
Finally, we should point out that a consensus can be manufacturedeven where no consensus exists. For example, it has become very popular to claim that 97% of all publications support AGW. Here the key question to ask is: Which publications and what exactly is the form of support?
Marine monuments there are currently four in the Pacific, and none in the Atlantic are under the jurisdiction of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). NOAA typically bans commercial fishing, mining, and dredging in marine monuments.
as much as in the GCM. And there are some signs from Tom Karl (and Mike
21 Charles Clover, "Dreams of a Eurasian Heartland," Foreign Affairs (March/April 1999). It is worth noting that, in the 1990s, about 500 books were published on globalization; between 2000 and 2004, there were more than 4,000 books published. Pankaj Ghemawat, "Why the World is not Flat," Foreign Policy (April 2007).
Understanding clouds is key to predicting climate change, because clouds can cool or warm the atmosphere depending on their structure and location. A recent study compared measurements of cloudiness with predictions of ten climate models. The study reported both large variations between modelsas large as a factor of four for predictions of some types of cloudsand large discrepancies between the models and the observations.
The critical scientific measure of whether or not increased atmospheric carbon dioxide will cause significant global warming is the sensitivity of the earths temperatures to a doubling of carbon dioxide. Since 1979, the estimate has been 1.5 C to 4.5 C about 3 to 8F. U.S. government reports estimate U.S. expenditures on climate change top $165 billion, with over $35 billion given to climate science between 1993 and 2013. Yet, the latest report (2013) by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change places the sensitivity at 1.5 C to 4.5 C, the same as it was 35 years ago.
Now the trend of our satellite data -- this is just a different plot of our satellite data with some other data sets. I neglect to mention that our satellite measurements are for a very deep layer. It's from about the surface to an altitude of about six kilometers. So we call them troposphere temperatures. For that 18-year period, our satellite temperature trend is a cooling of four-tenths of a degree per decade. No doubt that wouldn't have been a negative trend if it weren't for the Pinotuba eruption. And the IPCC, for the most part, doesn't include -- was there a comment?
Although Heartland Institute extended invitations to many global warming believers, only Hunt and Denning were brave enough to accept. Heartland's president, Joseph L. Bast, hopes to persuade more speakers with opposing viewpoints to attend next year's conference.
The effects of snow-free winter in Britain are already becoming apparent. This year, for the first time ever, Hamleys, Britain's biggest toyshop, had no sledges on display in its Regent Street store. "It was a bit of a first," a spokesperson said.
In the morning hours a layer of up to three centimeters lay on the ground. Also at midday it occasionally snowed even in the lowlands, Prague-Ruzyn reported sleet.
The study is part of a fast-emerging field in which scientists combine the data from many natural indicators of past climates to reconstruct what sorts of temperatures and rainfall were experienced over large areas of the globe long before scientific weather records were kept. Such work is providing a much better picture of the past climate, a subject of increasing importance after a century in which the Earth's average temperature increased by one degree Fahrenheit.
Think about this. The precious LDL/HDL cholesterol theory has been tested in a gigantic study, with the ideal endpoint, and has been proven wrong in more than half of the cases! A rational individual would question the validity of the hypothesis, dont you think? Heck according to most authorities, its well beyond a mere hypothesis.
If we add an additional 20 percent emissions cut by China by 2030, that adds 0.2 degrees; and another 0.2 degrees if we assume a 30 percent emissions cut by the rest of the industrialized world, by 2030. If we assume also a 20 percent reduction by the less-developed world by 2030, temperatures would be reduced by another one-tenth of a degree.
Although temperatures have been generally mild over the past 500 years, we should remember that significant fluctuations are still normal. The past century has witnessed two distinct periods of warming. The first occurred between 1900 and 1945, and the second, following a slight cool-down, began quite abruptly in 1975. That second period rose at quite a constant rate until 1998, and then stopped and began falling again after reaching a high of 1.16F above the average global mean.
Parts of the Perth region are subsidingdue to groundwater extraction (Featherstone et al ., 2012). Records from a GPS receiver at Gnangara and nearby artesian boreholes show that the land subsidence rate has slowed from about -6 mm/yr to about -2 mm/yr since the reduction of groundwater extraction from the Yarragadee Aquifer around 2005. Hillarys and Fremantle are only 20 km apart but have quite different rates of sea level rise. Part of the apparent sea level rise is due to gauge sinking. The accuracy of estimates of vertical velocities of the GPS domes is still above 1 mm/year, very close to the average relative sea level velocity.
For example, based on data from the Scripps Institution of Oceanography Pier, studies in the 1990s showed that higher temperatures are beneficial for sardine production. By 2010 new studies proved that the temperature correlation was instead a misleading, or mirage, determination.
issue ? on the right side, i.e anti-Svensmark), Bohm, Brown, Christy (will be