Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Now are you going to hear me start yapping that an amazing flip like this over 1-2% of the globe is a sign of global cooling. Of course not since that is pure nonsense. However arguing a cooling trend may be starting because of the cold PDO, which can be seen here with the 3 year meter temperature trend FOR THE ENTIRE GLOBE is something that should be considered.
Not only do these charts make it clear that CO2 emissions are not the Earth 's proverbial thermostat, as claimed by the anti-CO2 scientific community, but over the last 10 years the globe has actually been cooling at a trend of -0.5 C per century.
Further, weve seen cold in South Africa and Australia / New Zealand as well. This is NOT just a local weather event. Its a regional cooling. That means it is likely to have global implications.
According to the measured thermometer data, the hottest decade in the US was the 1930s followed by the 1940s and 1950s. Despite a hot 2012, the current decade only ranks #4.
Recent extreme weather cannot be blamed on global warming, because there has not been any global warming. It is as simple as that.
7] Canadian national winter temperature departure from 1948-2009 trend has been dropping for 3 years from 3.9C in 2006 to 0.3C in 2009
To find just the opposite of what the climate alarmists predict should be occurring as a consequence of the ongoing rise in the air's CO 2 concentration must be a real blow to them. And this is not the first such blow. We reported the similar results of another Antarctic sea ice study just a few months ago ( Recent Trends in Antarctic Sea Ice Extent ), as well the finding that Antarctica has cooled slightly over this period ( Recent Trends in Antarctic Surface Temperatures ). And this is supposed to be the place where global warming is first detected? We'll buy that, which means, of course, that it just ain't happening!
If we look at the trend of all the extremes in the satellite era, we see a reduced trend in the 1980s, an increase after the 1998 El Nio, particularly due to cold extremes, then a reduction in extremes in the last ten years.
As this accompanying chart obviously indicates, snow extent has actually increased over the short term (see 3-year average curve); and since the beginning of the dataset, winter snows have ranged within a narrow band.
All three show a period of higher snow fall around the 1960s and early 1970s. However snowfall in the last decade or two is clearly not unusual when compared with the earlier record up to about 1960 and there appears to be no decreasing trend since 1980. The following chart, comparing actual snowfall amounts for the 1940s with the last decade, makes it all abundantly clear.
So Ioverlaid the current data on the 1990 IPCC graph, and it turns out that ice coverage now is similar to 1974.
First winter snow extent has been increasing, and four of the five greatest snow extents have been since the year 2000. Does Dr. Robinson have trouble understanding his own graph?
But it is not the temperature which is rising there, it is the sea-ice extent. And it really doesn't look consistent with the Cowtan and Way global warming trend supposedly due to alleged warming in the polar regions.
So we find that, adding the two poles together, this year there has been much more ice at the summer solstice than the 30-year mean. Therefore, much more sunlight has been reflected than usual, and not less as is implied.
Yesterday I wrote about sea level rise, and attempts to measure ice loss in Antarctica via satellite. And again, it is very clear that the results of scientific work are being hijacked in an attempt to push a scary message at us. The analysis of gravimeter measurements start with guesses and inferences, and the result is presented with a huge margin of error, and amounts to less than 1% of the annual ice loss Antarctica experiences every year.
The animation below flashes between 2006 and 2015. Unless there isanother summer with strong southerly winds like in 2007, theamount of thick multi-year ice will be back to 2006 levels in a year or two, as the ice age increases.
Nothing could be further from the truth. The ice cover in the Antarctic has recently reached a new all-(recorded)-time extent and the ice cover in the Arctic appears to be on a similar path. No wonder as the frost-free days in the Arctic, above 80 N have been fewer in the last two summers and the last winter in North America was brutally cold and long.
And if that explanation were not confusing enough, the link at the end of the paragraph is to a 2009 New Scientist article about a paper by Turner et al that has a completely different explanation for the rise in sea ice:
The oceans sea ice levels were 44.6% higher than the 1981-2010 average, breaking a previous record set in 2008 by 220,000 square miles.
???In Southern Hemisphere winter months, ice extent has increased by around one percent per decade.??
Bild reports that the vessel was on a 5-week expedition to repeat the route of Antarctic scientist Douglas Mawson of 100 years earlier. Ironically, rather than finding warming and open seas, the current expedition has wound up getting trapped by thick sea ice and blizzards that have yet to be penetrated even by modern ice breakers.
2010 average ice thickness is approximately the same as 2006 and 2007. It is higher than rotten ice 2008 and 2009.
As Glaciergate was breaking, I believe I was the f irst to call for the Nobel Committee to revoke Al Gores and the UN IPCCs share Nobel Peace Prize , despite the fact that Nobel rules prohibit revocation of the Nobel Peace Prize. I said, Screw it, set a new precedent!
The Antarctic sea ice extent has been at or near record extent in the past few summers; the Arctic has rebounded in recent years since the low point in 2007; polar bears are thriving; the sea level is not showing acceleration and is actually dropping; cholera and malaria are failing to follow global warming predictions; Mount Kilimanjaro-melt fears are being made a mockery by gains in snow cover; global temperatures have been holding steady for a decade or more as many scientists are predicting global cooling is ahead; deaths because of extreme weather are radically declining; global tropical cyclone activity is near historic lows; the frequency of major U.S. hurricanes has declined; the oceans are missing their predicted heat content; big tornadoes have dramatically declined since the 1970s; droughts are neither historically unusual nor caused by mankind; there is no evidence we are currently having unusual weather; scandals continue to rock the climate fear movement; the Uni
I wrote about an SPPI report on historical temperature trends in the Antarctic a few days ago. The report summarised several studies that all concluded that temperatures across most of Antarctica had been falling since the mid 20thC, with the exception of the Antarctic Peninsula.
In the words of the authors, "continually increasing sea ice extent over the Antarctic Southern Polar Ocean, along with the observed decreasing trends in Antarctic ice surface temperature ( Comiso, 2000 ) over the last two decades, is paradoxical in the global warming scenario resulting from increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere." Indeed, it would appear to be a major contradiction of that scenario. References
During 2003 to 2008, the mass gain of the Antarctic ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt/yr (2.5% of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation change.
More to the point, 2007 happened also to be the time of maximum historic sea ice in Antarctica . (There are many credible sources of this information, such as the following website maintained by the University of Illinois-Urbana: http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/IMAGES/current.anom.south.jpg ). Why, I ask, has Mr. Gore not chosen to mention the record growth of sea ice around Antarctica? If the record melting in the Arctic is significant, then the record sea ice growth around Antarctica is, too, I say. If one is insignificant, then the other one is, too.
The models roughly describe the shrinking extent of Arctic sea ice observed over the past two decades, but they fail to describe the comparable growth of Antarctic sea ice, which is now at a record high.
A paper published today in Earth & Planetary Science Letters evaluates snow and ice-mass changes in Antarctica using both satellite altimetry and gravimetry between 2003-2010. The data shows most areas of the ice sheet are stable to increasing in ice mass, including the East Antarctic ice sheet, which alone contains over 80% of the total ice mass of Antarctica. The Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers in West Antarctica, which overlie geothermal heat sources are found to be losing ice, but represent relatively small regions of the ice sheet. The entire Dronning Maud Land north coast of Antarctica was found to have increasing snow accumulation.
According to this sitrep report for one of the rescue vessels, the Aurora Australis the Akademik Shokalskiy is trapped in sea ice in the Commonwealth Bay region of Antarctica.
Ice core drilling in the fast ice off Australias Davis Station in East Antarctica by the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Co-Operative Research Centre shows that last year, the ice had a maximum thickness of 1.89m, its densest in 10 years. The average thickness of the ice at Davis since the 1950s is 1.67m.
So much sea ice in Antarctica that a research vessel gets stuck, in summer!
By Sept. 22, 2014, sea ice extent reached its highest level on record 7.76 square miles. Antarctica is now in its melt season, but even so, sea ice levels were very high for late December and early January.
That is truly amazing, considering that the center of the ice sheet didnt make it above freezing at any time this summer, and that the Petermann Glacier has grown a kilometer since alarmists got hysterical about it in 2010.
Greenland isnt melting rapidly after all. We keep hearing that melting there has been accelerating, and thatif it melted, sea levels would rise a catastrophic 7 meters.
The thickest ice is over the deepest part of a bedrock bowl 1000-2500 meters deep, e.g. at the NEEM site. It is not going anywhere anytime soon. That bowl interior is where the Greenland Sheet has been accumulating even as the edges sluff/melt. Creep decline becomes increasingly self-limited by underlying geology.
The melt season was very short, and ended very early. Greenlands surface gained 200 billion tons of ice.
The rebound from 2012s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.
Arctic ice continues to grow at a very fast rate, despite the fact that 2010 is the hottest year on record and the Arctic is the fastest warming place on earth .
Some temperature or ice differences are positive, some of them are negative, some of them are greater or smaller than other temperature or ice differences, there are lots of data. But what is important is that there's no evidence that something "stunning" is going on. There has clearly been some quasi-periodic behavior as well as noise in the Arctic sea ice evolution over the recent million of years and what we've observed in the recent 34 years is quite certainly "rather representative" of the behavior that has existed for a much longer time.
???Well, 2013 is almost over,?? Newman points out. ???And contrary to the alarmist predictions by Gore and what critics refer to as his doomsday cult, the latest satellite data show that Arctic ice cover has actually expanded 50 percent over 2012 levels. In fact, during October, sea-ice levels grew at the fastest pace since records began in 1979.??
There are claims coming from some communities that the Arctic sea ice is recovering, is getting thicker again, Mark Serreze, director of the Colorado-based centre, told Postmedia News on Wednesday.
For instance, you could point out that data collected by The IARC-JAXA Information System clearly demonstrates that contrary to dire predictions of a complete melt, Arctic sea ice concentrations are now rising as they normally do. But that leaves unanswered the one question no one but these musician-scientists have the courage to ask:
The big green machine has finally successfully lobbied enough FUDto get the thriving polar bear listed as athreatened species. Never mind the fact that the arctic sea ice has melted before in the last 100 years. See the news release from the Department of the Interior here:
Despite all of the headlines recently about record low Arctic ice, sea ice extent has actually been regrowing for the last two weeks, and is nearly back to where it was on 22nd February.
In August 2007, the East Siberian Sea ice edge was shrinking very rapidly. This year it is expanding.
While Arctic sea ice remains below levels of the last decade, it has recovered about 60% of its mass this year, according to a report in the Daily Mail .
???About 90% of the increase is due to growth of multiyear ice which survives through more than one summer without melting with only 10% growth of first year ice. Thick, multiyear ice indicates healthy Arctic sea-ice cover.
Arctic sea ice reaches near-average extent in April Arctic Sea Ice News and Analysis
Arctic sea ice extent remains the highest since 2005, with only a few weeks left to the melt season.
According to US Park Service documents, the Exit Glacier melt rate has dropped in half over the last 125 years.
Both the Hotlum and Wintun Glaciers have nearly doubled in size since 1950, says this article on Wikipedia. The Bolam Glacier has increased by half, while the Whitney and Konwakiton Glaciers have grown by a third.
Average global atmospheric and oceanic temperatures will drop significantly beginning between 2015 and 2016 and will continue with only temporary reversals until they stabilize during a long cold temperature base lasting most of the 2030s and 2040s.
First we learned that the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide is actually helping us stave off the next inevitable ice age by a few years . Yes, you read that right: the runaway global warming scenario is now off the table; a new ice age is coming for sure , and whatever human warming effects there may be will only make our descent into the deep freeze a little more comfy.
Latif made his cooling projections in 2008, and so are not that old (he predicted warm-winters backin 2000). And who can say that the cold winters arent related to his projections of cooling? Latifs projections look to be true, and likely will be truefor the new, current decade.
Neither Professor Steffen nor any other scientist can state with certainty whether global temperature in ten years time will be warmer or cooler than today. But given the currently quiet sun, and acknowledging the importance of multi-decadal climatic oscillations such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, many scientists currently hypothesize that cooling is more likely than warming over the next two decades.
Among his comments from many years of research on solar climate forcing include: Contrary to the IPCCs speculation about man made warming as high as 5.8(degrees)C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.
German Scientists Show Climate Driven By Natural Cycles Global Temperature To Drop To 1870 Levels By 2100!
Many climatologists and astrophysicists believe recent sun spot, Pacific Ocean and global temperature trends suggest that our planet may have entered a cool phase that could last for 25 years. If that is the case, the additional carbon dioxide being emitted by China, India and other developing countries could bring a major additional benefit: helping to protect wildlife habitats, enhance oceanic biota and preserve crop yields under sub-optimal climatic conditions.
Through influence the temperature will decrease until 2100 to a value like the one of the last Little Ice Age 1870, the scientists wrote.
What I mean by the previous sentence is that if the solar activity drops to zero or near zero, e.g. for two decades, the sea level rise will also be zero or slightly negative, indicating a modest global cooling - regardless of the origin of the slow, currently warming underlying trend.
In March, this newspaper further revealed that temperatures are about to drop below the level that the models forecast with 90 per cent certainty.
According to geophysicist Victor Manuel Velasco Herrera at the University of Mexico, in about 5 years the Earth will enter a Little Ice Age which will last from 60 to 80 years and may be caused by the decrease in solar activity.
This is right on target with forecasts made by Bill Gray years ago, since you are close to where Dr Gray is, why don??t you ask him, My forecast stands, made 4 years ago, that the cooling would start ( it has as you can see on the observed objective data) and by 2030 we are back to where we were in the late 1970s WHEN THE PACIFIC WAS ENDING ITS COLD CYCLE. Look for yourself at the PDO values below:
A little bit of cooling in the First World War time, warmed again to 1940, then it cooled to 1976, then it warmed up to the great El Nino of 1998, then it was static for a while and its been cooling since 2003.
During the time from about 1350-1850 a Little Ice Age was experienced and is best documented in Europe. This coincided with a period of very low sunspot activity, frigid temperatures and crop failures. NASA reports that such solar patterns are repeating themselves. Most solar scientists predict continued global cooling, not warming.
There are a number of reasons the IPCChas avoided any discussion of the possibility the current hiatus could last for at 3 decades. First, that would mean their projections of future global warming are useless. (More on this later.)
US solar scientists have announced years ago that the sun appears to be headed into a lengthly spell of low activity , which means that the Earth is far from facing a Global Warming catastrophe and actually headed into a Little Ice Age.
While some scientists say the cold is due to global warming, one scientist at thePulkovo Observatory in St. Petersburg sees it completely differently: He sees the next ice age approaching soon!
As I warn in Not by Fire but by Ice , I think we could see the greatest floods in 11,500 years as we head into the coming ice age. It has nothing to do with global warming; it has to do with the ice-age cycle.
Last year, experts told us that man-made CO2 madeMidwesternMarch weather warm. They also tell us that the past year has seen a record increase in CO2. This explains the fifty degree drop in temperatures since last year.
While many Americans welcomed a balmy-like February winter, this minor regional warming in some parts of the U.S. was overwhelmed by an otherwise large global cooling. Last time February global temperatures were colder than February 2012 was in 1994 - 18 years prior.
The white storm is ???unprecedented for the past 50 years, with two metres (almost seven feet) of snow falling since Friday??, said an official in Mazandaran province, on the Caspian Sea.
We are experiencing near record cold, and unprecedented wet conditions in Fort Collins. Yesterday only reached 66 degrees the coldest July 6 since 1904. July 6 temperatures peaked in the 1980s, and have been generally declining ever since.
The first 5 months of this year were also too cold, the Belgian Met Office points out. Looking at average temperatures going back to 1833, the past five months were quite exceptional.
While we had a new record low in 2012 for the summer minimum, the 2013 rebound made Gore??s predictions a certain failure.
YLE News This month has also been particularly cool, especially in central and northern Finland. Temperatures on average reach over 20 degrees Celsius in July throughout the country. Meteorologists say July hasn't been this cool since 1993 , and hasn't been this rainy since the years 2004 and 2007.
Brillianttheory, except that Illinois summers are getting cooler, and July 2009 was the coldest July on record in Illinois.
The UN beginstheir meeting tomorrow in New York tostopglobal warming, with temperatures forecast to be26 degrees cooler than they were on the same date in 1895, 95 degrees vs. a forecast 69 for tomorrow.
The 5-Year average has dropped to 8.9C, a level commonly seen in the 1940s and 50s. Although the cold Spring has been due in large part to the exceptionally cold weather in March, which was the coldest since 1892, both April and May have also been much colder than normal.
Scientists in Greenland are getting buried under the ice and snow at -20C during summer.
This past winter saw record cold in the Arctic (notable because greenhouse theory predicts "global" warming will occur primarily in that region), heavy snowfall and deadly avalanches in the Alps, and record cold temperatures in the United States including an April snow fall in North Carolina.
It's bitterly cold. Horrifically cold! So what does this tell us about global warming?
In case you were wondering why alarmists arent talking about Australia any more. Temperatures are running well below normal, with lots of snow in the mountains.
And an extra bonus from the ???weather is not climate?? department ??? January 29, 2010 at 39.9 degrees was ten degrees below normal and the second coldest on record.
AT GALENA?? THIS JANUARY WILL BE THE COLDEST ON RECORD. THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF -33.5 DEGREES THROUGH YESTERDAY WILL EASILY ENSURE THAT THIS JANUARY SURPASS THE -31.4 DEGREES THAT WAS OBSERVED IN 1971. WEATHER RECORDS AT GALENA DATE BACK TO 1942.
The prairie provinces are in a deep freeze, with temperatures dipping to under minus 30 degrees Celsius , and even British Columbia is suffering with unusually cold weather .
Last night fell over 1 foot (30 cm) of snow in Gospic so that the total depth is almost 2.5 feet (75 cm)
The mercury also dropped to minus 6 degrees Celsius in one town, making it the coldest June Sweden recording in 20 years. The Local adds:
The only colder May on record was in 1957, when the average low was minus 2.6 degrees.
Major roads in Beijing and Tianjin, as well as nearby provinces Hebei, Shanxi and Inner Mongolia, were forced to close due to the heavy snow.
Snow blankets London for Global Warming debate The Register Snow fell as the House of Commons debated Global Warming yesterday - the first October fall in the metropolis since 1922. The Mother of Parliaments was discussing the Mother of All Bills for the last time, in a marathon six hour session.
Rain on Wednesday brought 20 millimetres to Uluru and kept the temperature below 13 degrees all day, making it the coldest September day on record. Its more than four degrees colder than the previous record, set a little over a week ago.
TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADWAYS OVER MOUNTAIN PASSES?? HOWEVER HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 7000 FEET.
Stephen McIntyre, a Canadian mathematician who frequently writes articles on climate, stated recently that ???satellite data shows only half the amounts of predicted global warming in the past three decades.??
Mann says there is evidence that humans are warming the planet. There cant be. For 200 months there has been no warming at all. Get over it. Get a life.
This is exactly what has happened to atmospherically biased climate scientists who have for years used SST maps to prove that increases in atmospheric temperatures are heating the ocean. With the admission that the atmosphere is not warming it is no longer a believable explanation.
This fact has already been scientifically assessed because since 1940, the average temperature of the northern hemisphere has diminished by approximately 0,4C, probably because of a decrease in atmospheric transparency due to air pollution.
The trend of global temperature since 2001 has been cooling at a rate of -4.0C (-7F) per century. Computer models had predicted a 1F rise in temperature during this same periodthat did not happen, showing that the computer models are invalid.
Experts are talking about heatwaves and telling us that the US summers are getting much hotter. In fact, this has been the 47th coolest summer on record so far, and there has been no trend in summer temperatures since 1895. Every summer during the 1930s was hotter than 2013.