Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"California's logging policy may hang on the fate of the black-backed woodpecker if environmental advocates have their way, a petition says."
Oddly enough, due to error, we are quite likely to see a number of failed to rejects increase and decrease over time. The reality is that, though I have not calculated error, we are in the period of time when error is anticipated to be large. So, until there is sufficient time for error to drop below 50%, we will tend to see more periods of failed to reject than periods of reject even if the IPCC projections are wrong.
According to Mann, Morano has changed the entire rhetoric of the deniers. Mann says: Morano has really accomplished a lot .
So climate change policy may increase the risk of conflict, and the conflict will increase peoples exposure to climate change.
In the longer run, developed countries should be committing at least 1 percent of their Gross Domestic Product much more than they spend on easing global poverty into a U.N.-administered Green Carbon Fund to pay for the developing country changes;
They require a minimum wind speed of 14km/hr to operate and reach maximum power at 50km/hr
This is exactly what the experts predicted. Time to end the denial.
Is this true? How many really died from the nuclear disaster at Chernobyl?
The prompting of the federal government will not be necessary for the private sector and state and local governments to undertake many of the needed adjustments. Generating and diffusing this kind of scientific knowledge should be a top priority of the federal government. In this regard, too, ACESA has found the right priority.
But some researchers have expressed exasperation at the IPCCs use of unsubstantiated claims and sources outside of the scientific literature.
Especially if you can convince people you have some new and unusual statistical knowledge (photos courtesy of Zombie at PJMedia.com):
25a. Potential for catastrophe from climate change for the country in which you live in the next 50 years (very low to very high).
"If you drive regularly along Route 100 in Howard County, you might notice the lighting is a little dimmer than it used to be."
When compared with projected "business-as-usual" GHG emissions, the Governor's order would require California to reduce GHGs 11 percent by 2010, 25 percent by 2020, and 87 percent by 2050. Schwarzenegger's plan calls for the virtual elimination of GHG emissions in California over the next few decades. This alone should give people pause, as the only way to achieve such large GHG reductions is to drastically curtail the use of fossil fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and natural gas.
Were looking at several models at the bureau and we survey them quite regularly, and of those seven models, five of them now and just edging into the El Nio territory round about spring, he said.
Note: 2: Estimates using OLS are given for comparison only. When data exhibit red noise, the C-O results are more accurate than OLS.)
And remember, according to those who are cheering the Paris deal, the goals are a starting point, remember? They fully expect (indeed, are demanding) that this is a floor, not a ceiling that nations will come back in the years ahead and commit to more draconian cuts to bring their emissions down further.
"Simple as it is, though, no scientist in the world is able to construct a model that exhibits any radiative gain because the theory's tenets (called "the basic science') are not valid. On a theoretical basis alone, conservation of energy (the First Law) forbids a model like this from working. You can't obtain more energy than you put in.
a) Hopewell, although a city in its own rights, is part of the Greater Richmond Metro Area. There must, therefore, be a question mark over any possible UHI effects.
Electricity rates will rise not merely to the 15-17 cents/kWh in "green energy" states like California, from the 8-9 cents per kilowatt-hour currently paid in coal-reliant states. They could skyrocket to the 36-40 cents/kWh now paid in Denmark and Germany (70-80 cents when taxpayer subsidies are included).
Elevated CO2 Reduces the Negative Effects of Ozone on Aspen Clones
dendrochronologists!) before Mann merged the local records together. So, why
Or consider Jurgen Tritten, Germany's environmental minister, in an op-ed in the Frankfurter Rundschau. He wrote (according to a translation prepared for me): "By neglecting environmental protection, America's president shuts his eyes to the economic and human damage that natural catastrophes like Katrina inflect on his country and the world's economy."
25 EPA, New Source Review: Report to the President, pp. 12-13. The scenario assumes the utilities would elect to accept caps on emissions from the affected units (so-called "minor" NSR permits) limiting generation to recent levels rather than take units offline during the permitting process.
Lucier calls Seitzs petition disingenuous. Yet in the same piece, Lucier wrote, Both sides of the global-warming question must be examined and discussed openly. What could be more disingenuous than that?
"However, we have already overcome the north-south divide in terms of numbers," she said.
The promoters of man-made climate fears are now reduced to claiming as University of California, Berkeley, professor Richard Muller did last week that any warming trend equals some sort of "proof" of man-made warming. Those of us who laugh at Gore's mythical "climate crisis" tip our hat to Obama for not pushing very hard for the Congressional Climate Bill and for being so tepid at U.N. climate conferences.
If youd like to make a tax-deductibledonatation to The Heartland Institute, visit this site .
Over the past two months, environmental activists have held protests at the White House and elsewhere hoping to convince the Obama administration to deny a permit for the proposed Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to the Gulf Coast. Some of those same activists have launched a series of demonstrations called "Moving Planet" to move "the planet away from fossil fuels towards a safer climate future." And next month, leaders from dozens of countries will meet at the 17th United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change in Durban, South Africa.
One of Germany's biggest utility groups has threatened to cancel the construction of a new power plant that would create 4,000 new jobs in Germany unless significant changes are made to the European Commission's emissions trading plan, in particular the rules governing trade in carbon dioxide certificates.
first year? Is the dysfunction in the political process eventually going to take
But I've never heard leading researchers mention the possibility before.
Fueling Freedom: Exposing the Mad War on Energy, Stephen Moore and Kathleen Hartnett White (Regnery Publishing, 2016), 256 pp., ISBN-10: 1621574091; $19.24 on Amazon.com.
More importantly, it was the year that Nixon resigned over something far less serious than Obamas gun running to Mexico.
We find that they originally contacted 10,257 scientists, of whom 3,146 responded, less than a 31% response rate. Impending Planetary Doom was obviously not uppermost in the minds of over two thirds of their target population. Of that number, only 5% described themselves as climate scientists, numbering 157. The authors reduce that by half by only counting those who they classed as specialists.
Dont really know what to make of it, though. Far enough away from anything of interest to not cause much damage. Big enough to be interesting.
It all depends on what A really thinks about C and whether B actually cares about C. But it gets more complicated if B and A do not quite agree on what C is. They may not even be aware of their disagreement. What then? B could be complicit in a lie while A is completely innocent, and of course A could be dishonest even if B is innocent. The calculus of sin can be quite messy. If that were not complicated enough, A could be seduced into believing C. B sends flowers, and A likes the way the light falls on Bs shiny hair. A and B might both be honest but just distracted, and so on.
Murkowski's comments were referencing coal-fueled power plants that are already due to be shut down based on regulations from 5 years ago, before the proposed CPP additionally reduces supply. Affirming Murkowski's comments, Nicholas Akins, president and CEO of Ohio-based American Electric Power Company Inc., sees the 2014 near crisis as a warning sign. At that same hearing he said: "The weather events experienced this winter provided an early warning about serious issues with electric supply and reliability. This country did not just dodge a bulletwe dodged a cannonball."
On April 2, the Financial Accounting Standards Board relaxed strict application of "mark to market" accounting mandates. A major culprit in the financial meltdown, mark to market was a set of relatively new accounting regulations that could force banks into making massive and unwarranted write-downs that could jeopardize their balance sheets. Needless and economically harmful, these rules are another example of how government intervention, rather than so-called market failure, helped to cause the current recession.
The one thing all parties should be able to agree upon, however, is the importance of understanding what we know for certain and what remains to be proven. Without an honest and accurate assessment of the state of our knowledge, there can be no real hope of making sound climate change policy; we are not likely to answer questions that are left unasked. Ironically, the politically unpalatable National Research Council understood this clearly:
* Yet there is evidence that both particular feedbackssuch as that from clouds and feedbacks in total may be negative, not positive;
Lest there be any confusion on thispoint, a Q&A document published along with the March 2011 guidance asks whether fuel switching (coal to natural gas) should be selected as BACT for a power plant? The document answers: No. It states that BACT for carbon dioxide (CO2) should consider the most energy efficient design, but does not necessarily require a different type of fuel from the one proposed.
Well, you get the idea. There is already far too much information to assimilate in one reading (Im probably just as tired of going on and on as you are of reading all this!). As always, discussion is welcome.
TheDC analysis: EPA global warming regulations no "end run' around Congress:
\] All these three decays are made unavoidable in the Green-Schwarz-mechanism-based models and the relative branching ratios are pretty much given. Note that \(W^0\equiv W 3\) is a mixture of \(Z^0\) and \(\gamma\) so all three pairs created from \(Z^0\) and \(\gamma\) would be possible but the Landau-Yang theorem implies that the \(\gamma\gamma\) decay of \(Z'\) is forbidden (the rate is zero) for symmetry reasons.
Heat is on Australias Antarctic Ice runway | Plane Talking
EPA insists that saving fuel and reducing pollution from now super-clean vehicles requires that cars and light trucks get 54.5 mpg by 2025. But achieving this will force people to drive smaller, lighter, more plasticized, less safe cars and millions more will be maimed and killed. EPA doesn't mention that, or acknowledge that fracking ensures another century of oil and gasoline: time to devise new energy sources.
Paul and Anne Ehrlich's One with Nineveh employs the newly popular technique of drawing an analogy between the collapse of an ancient civilization due to environmental factors and the prospective collapse of modern civilization. The Ehrlichs look to Biblical Nineveh; last year Jared Diamond used the same technique with the ancient Mayan civilization in the pages of Harper's magazine. Declaring with certitude from the murky and incomplete history of Nineveh and Maya that environmental factors were the cause of their collapse and that their example is applicable to modern technological society is just the kind of superficial analysis that leads more and more disinterested observers to dismiss popular environmentalism as cranky obscurantism.
The total utslppet of CO 2 since the beginning pindustrialiseringen (1750) estimated at 36530 Gtonnes. Since 1900 utslppen in big cat exponentially with a tillvxtfaktor of 0,026 / r (18-doubling p 110 r).
We dont fully understand the relative importance of these different factors, Professor Rowan Sutton of the University of Reading said at a briefing with Met Office scientists in London.
Epstein reminds us that, "In 1972, the international think tank, the Club of Rome, released a multimillion-copy-selling book, The Limits of Growth, which declared that its state of the art computer models had demonstrated that we would run out of oil by 1992 and natural gas by 1993 (and, for good measure, gold, mercury, silver, tin, zinc, and lead by 1993 at the latest.)
THE WEST INDIAN STORM Results in the Island of St. Vincent Worse Than Reported. WHOLE COUNTRY SWEPT BARE Distress of the People Described as Exceeding That Caused by the Great Famine in India. View Article NYTimes.com
Part One: Al Gore & Friends
But skepticism abounds, particularly within the financing community. This skepticism could be a deal breaker because nuclear-power operators with small market caps do not have the resources to finance capital-intensive new nukes with equity or with corporate-level debt. In recent history, new construction in the power generation sector has been financed mostly with non-recourse debt, meaning that banks and bondholders, rather than shareholders, take the risk.
I invite readers to review the NOAA Talking Points document with that definition in mind.
one boggling case: Endocrine-disrupting chemicals handed up the food chain have triggered changes in the sex of unborn children in the first three weeks of gestations, resulting in the birth of twice as many girls as boys in some villages in Greenland and among the Inuit nations of eastern Russia
The former VP's media, Hollywood and congressional friends always protect him and his junk science. He will not debate anyone. When he gives six-figure talks on college campuses, the only questions allowed are those he has preapproved. On the extremely rare occasions when someone does ask an inconvenient question, as during a recent convention of friendly journalists, Gore dodges the question until the uppity interrogator's microphone can be switched off.
But this is not the first venture into fiction for the Royal Society and its members. Its current president, Martin Rees wrote in 2004, Our Final Hour: A Scientists Warning: How Terror, Error, and Environmental Disaster Threaten Humankinds Future In This Century On Earth and Beyond (sold in the UK as Our Final Century: Will the Human Race Survive the Twenty-first Century? ) This is a bleak, miserable, pointless story about how our chances of surviving the next 100 years are just 50-50.
Researchers from the University of Sydney looked at patients attending an anxiety disorders clinic. They found one-third of the patients had anxiety about the effects of climate change. Their behaviours included checking and rechecking pets water bowls, light switches, taps and stoves. Researchers say while these behaviours are common in obsessive compulsive disorder, the rationale was unique.
"I think this event is important," event organizer Alejandro Ezcurra said, "the issue of global warming is one many people are skeptical of, but do not necessarily know the facts why. This session presented the clear facts and helped them understand."
Kenya is not alone. The phenomenon is spreading to other African countries and to some South American countries such as Paraguay.
Professor Frank Furedi nicely sums the real lesson from Climategate, The CRUs real failing was to dent the authority of the climate-change morality tale, with its idea that, with the end of the world fast approaching, there is an urgent need to monitor peoples behavior and lower their horizons.
Myers himself "offered no basis for his prediction other than to call it a `reasonable working figure' Wilson cites as the basis of his prediction a mathematical equation known as the species-area curve that relates the size of an island to the number of species found on it. An island 10 square miles in area, for example, is typically found to have half as many species as a similar island of 100 square miles. Wilson argues that tropical forests obey exactly the same rule as their size is reduced. By plugging into the formula the rate at which tropical forests are being cut down throughout the world Wilson puts it at 2 percent per year he obtains the figure of 50,000 species lost each year. (U.S. News, p.82)
Listed below are but a few of the many salient facts about global warming which conference participants were privileged to hear:
Agencies get funding appropriations based upon how important they are, or more accurately, how important we are persuaded to think they are. In the case of climate and environmental issues, they appear to be a lot more important when represented to address (certainly not waste) a crisis. Climate change, a topic offering an opportunity to regulate something really dangerous, like natural air, is just too wonderful to pass up.
points( santer$trend,0,pch=17,cex=1.6,col=2	)
We review continent-wide changes in temperature and rainfall for Africa over the
The Supreme Court prepares to hear a case challenging the EPA's decision not to regulate carbon dioxide emissions as pollution.
Statutory and constitutional reasons also counsel EPA not to finalize the Endangerment Proposal. An endangerment finding will trigger a regulatory cascade with potentially devastating economic impacts that Congress never intended or approved when it enacted 202. Regulatory litigation rather than legislative deliberation will determine the direction of public policy and the extent of the burdens imposed on the private sector, vitiating our democratic system. We could end up with a Mega-Kyoto system without the people's elected representatives ever casting a vote. Moreover, the only way EPA can regulate greenhouse gases under the CAA without risk of administrative chaos and economic disaster is to flout statutory language, play lawmaker, and effectively "amend" the statute, violating the separation of powers.
The July 2012 melt event was a couple of short blips above freezing.
37 R. A. Kerr, Greenhouse Forecasting Still Cloudy, Science 276, 1041 (1997).
This answer is a quantification of sorts, but it is not a direct quantification like, say, the answer The probability that A is true is 0.673.
The purpose of NEPA is to ensure that agencies consider whether their actions may harm the environment. This is a reasonable goal, but one that is very different from the anti-biotech NEPA litigation to obstruct the cultivation of new varieties that are forced to endure years of environmental testing and analysis just to clear approval hurdles. The statute has been hijacked by environmental activists in order to slow or prevent government agencies from taking actions the litigants do not like. Since the law requires agencies to consider almost any conceivable impact, no matter how meticulous the agency is in preparing an Environmental Assessment or EIS, the statute offers fertile ground for bad-faith, obstructionist litigation.
One of the most prominent examples of microfinance is Muhammad Yunus's Grameen Bank, first established in Bangladesh. According to a RAND Corporation study, areas where Grameen Bank offers programs saw unemployment rates drop from 31 percent to 11 percent in their first year. Occupational mobility improved, with many people moving up from low-wage positions to more entrepreneurial ones. There is evidence of increased wage rates for local farmers. Women's participation in income-generating activities also rose significantly.
Job Title: Interdisciplinary (Climate Change Adaptation Coordinator Cultural Resources)
Siegel says it's more complicated than that. And he argues that literary figures contributed as much to the liberal mindset maybe more than public policy wonks.
Originally, EPA ruled that only the direct effect on emissions from the unit being modified would be considered in determining whether an NSR permit was required. More recently, EPA has moved to a more expansive definition in which ancillary increases in emissions from unmodified but "de-bottlenecked" units must be included in the calculation of future emissions. For example, the 1992 "WEBCO Rule" reads:
You know what a world run on fossil fuels is like? Slavery, thats what . No, really your appliances crave freedom, or something:
Remember the Great Pacific Garbage Patch so beloved of fund-raisers like David Suzuki ? Turns out that its just more junk science than actual junk the amount of plastic covers less than 1% of the ocean area claimed .
Interesting to see, however, that the report is co-produced by the Grantham Institute.
There are obvious political biases in the report. In many places, it points out how life is really better in France than the United States, and does so by adjusting statistics, such as those on health care. While the statistical manipulations are often justified, the report tends to use examples in which France does well. But in the area of life satisfaction, in which they report that "people who become unemployed report lower life-evaluations, even after controlling for their lower income," we do not get a comparison of France with the United States; the former would do less well in this regard than on a health assessment. A note of unintended amusement in the report occurs where it states that many Europeans do not trust official statistics, but the report neglects to explain that this is partly because successive governments across Europeincluding in Francehave manipulated data, especially unemployment figures.
Why listen to pollsters and pundits, when you can get the prediction of a profession that has more experience forecasting than any of those folks?
Combat Jump Star has a synopsis of common myths about the US military. For those who dont know CJS, hes a duel citizen of Canada and the United States and has served 2 tours in Afghanistan and 1 in Iraq with the 82nd Airborne. ( I dare you to tell him that the 82nd is the little sister of the 101st). Check out his debunking of some common myths; myths by the way, that are MSM or Leftist boilerplate: 1. All or most soldiers are rednecks from the South. 2. Minorities are being used as "cannon fodder" on the front lines. 3. Soldiers are uneducated, or less educated than their peers outside the Military 4. Recruiting is down Cross-posted at Celestial Junk
Yes, Im using the term Mulligan as in a replayed golf shot. Ocean-atmosphere processes have consumed most of the warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific from the downwelling (warm) Kelvin wave that had crossed the Pacific earlier this year. But we recently discussed and illustrated how a pool of subsurface warm water had broken off that Kelvin wave, returned west, and has now fed back into the western equatorial Pacificpriming the equatorial Pacific once again. (See Part 14 Warm Water Recirculated? ) With that recent restocking of warm water in the western equatorial Pacific, it looks like Mother Nature might be giving El Nio a second chance to develop this year.
(Of course, Kerry is less of a nutcase. He "just" believes that Oswald was directed by the Soviets or Cubans. Well, I would say that a marine who defects to the Soviet Union is probably extreme enough to think of similar acts himself. Even if Kerry were right, I don't think it is an important change to the story. There were surely people in the USSR who would rather openly say that the U.S. president should have been killed along with many other "imperialists". And what? They couldn't do it. Oswald could. So even if he had met with some people who told him he should have, why does it matter? He was almost certainly a more unhinged commie than an average member of the Central Committee of the Soviet Communist Party so he was still likely to be the key guy behind the murder. Unlike Oswald, the top Soviet officials were sane enough to realize that a murder of JFK wouldn't end capitalism in America etc. so they were less motivated than him, too.)