Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
Larry Summers: Hitler Was Good for the U.S. Economy
All of the forecasts made by a legion of climate charlatans in the 1980s and 1990s turned out to be WRONG.
Solar panels in Spain, where 50,000 solar panels entrepreneurs face financial disaster following cuts in government subsidies.Source: AFP
23. How much are we beginning to experience the more gradual impacts of climate change, anthropogenic or otherwise?
El Nino could be strongest in modern history: US
For instance, in late August, the Asian Development Bank predicted that warmer weather would cut rice production, rising seas would engulf Mumbai and other coastal megacities, and rainfall would decline by 10 percent to 40 percent across in many Indian provinces.
Nonetheless, the U.N. leaders intend to keep trying to change that, especially when it comes to the climate agenda. "The next 40 years will prove pivotal," one paper argues, while laying out the basis of a renewed U.N. climate campaign, the "50-50-50 Challenge."
Its important to remind readers that Die Zeit is a fundamentalist green publication that is completely closed to any arguments that challenge the global warming religion. Its Kooksville.
With every hedge fund around doing a pile on as nothing else is moving, with a beyond parabolic rise in the grain prices, and with RSI at 80 I would NOT jump on this trade. But I would be willing to go to the store and buy a couple of bags of flour, pancake mix, and noodles. I figure about 4 months supply before the next wheat crop hits. (There are both Spring Wheat and Winter Wheat in two hemispheres and with different planting schedules based on latitude; so we have a shot at recovery soon.) I just hope this is not the new normal during a cold turn.
Now let's look at jobs: Utility MACT and other EPA regulations on the electric power sector have resulted in over 24,000 megawatts of announced power plant retirements located in 20 states. According to the National Economic Research Associates, Utility MACT will destroy 180,000 to 215,000 jobs in 2015. And with other, new EPA regulations on the electric power sector, the economy stands to lose approximately 1.65 million jobs by 2020.
As Anthony Watts has often complained, NOAA seem to be very reluctant to divulge how they operate. We do, however, know how the current temperatures are worked out.There are 124 stations in Virginia, split into the six divisions, with a simple average taken of the set of stations in each division. The divisions, as previously noted, are then weighted to give a statewide figure.
It happens that both statements are true; yet they do not contradict each other. How is this possible?
So now we have new taxonomy in the climate debate to confuse us: climate hawks, climate pragmatists, climate realists. I think I like this better than alarmists, deniers, skeptics.
Global Warming Wreaks Havoc On Antarctic Research Stations Matt Vespa
So does Figure 1 falsify the CO2 hypothesis? Not yet, weve got a ways to go, but it is an interesting finding. First, we need to look at the two explanations postulated by the good folks at the IPCC that I quoted at the head of the postvolcanoes and solar variations. And the amount that we are looking to explain is a missing increase of 1.6 W/m2 per decade.
To the extent that human greenhouse-gas emissions are causing dangerous changes in the Earth's climate, the best ways to mitigate those changes can only be determined by the same relentless application of science as we demand for the understanding of climate change itself. That means transparently defining measures of human welfarethe values side of the policy equationand then carefully assessing not only the risks to human welfare of burning fossil fuels but also the benefitsas well the risks and benefits of geoengineering and of restricting people's access to fossil-fuel energy.
Particularly enlightening is a Table produced by the NRC showing the influence of using different discount rates and different assumption about climate change damage when pricing the effect of climate change from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
Global warming, it seems, also makes a good excuse for federal and state bureaucrats and politicians who have failed to properly manage high-risk areas, at least in part because of pressure from anti-logging and anti-development environmental groups.
Increasingly offensive language is used. The most egregious example has been the term denier. We are all aware of the particular meaning that word has acquired in contemporary parlance. It has been employed in this debate with some malice aforethought.
No wonder, Mayor Bloomberg, Governor Cuomo and other politicos prefer to talk about global warming, rising seas and worsening weather to deflect attention and blame from decisions that have put more people in the path of greater danger. Indeed, the very notion of packing more and more people into "sustainable, energy-efficient" coastal cities in the NY-NJ area is itself madness on steroids.
Again, just as with talk about rainforest loss, the numbers concerning species loss are equally alarming, and depending on where you look, equally diverse. But generally, the numbers can be traced to two sources: "Dr. Norman Myers, a British ecologist who in 1979 predicted the loss of one million species by the year 2000 ; and Dr. Edward O. Wilson, a Harvard biologist who variously claims that 4,000, 30,000, or 50,000 species are lost each year." (Eco-Sanity, p.86).
A new study from the Center for Health and the Global Environment at the Harvard Medical School, Full Cost Accounting for the Life Cycle of Coal , estimates that the negative externalities of coal-fired electricity generation are two-to-three times as great as the actual price of the electricity itself. Wowso much for the cheap price of electricity from coal itself being a social good. And forget that decades of ever more stringent air and water regulation has internalized the so-called social cost of coal-fired power plants. And forget that carbon dioxide (CO2) has positives, not only negatives, for the biosphere.
The DQA requires agencies, including NOAA, to "ensure and maximize the quality, objectivity, utility, and integrity of information, including statistical information."
The two ministries, however, still cannot agree on how or how much to reduce emissions. MITI believes that population growth will make total reduction impossible. Many are concerned that Japan's disagreements may cause a very complex treaty process to unravel. Some observers feel that international pressure must be used to encourage the Japanese cabinet to make the decision.
Thousands Still Cold And Struggling Months After Superstorm Sandy : NPR
Kicking the Tires of T. Boone's Natural-Gas Car
Certainly, to accuse them of half truths seems, well, extreme.
The official duty of the delegates from 190 countries was to negotiate a precise timetable for the next major climate conference in November/December in Canc n, Mexico. However, in the plenary sessions the metered delegates focused instead primarily on the question of how to make additional funds available so that the climate circus, despite its highly visible hangover from Copenhagen, would be able have even more meetings in five-star hotels and convention centres. After the "Climategate" scandal and the Copenhagen disaster, the main reason for all the chatter and gastronomy is evidently to postpone the funeral for the UN's climate policy as long as possible. UNFCCC Executive Secretary Yvo de Boer, who has announced his pending resignation, expressed open pessimism on the chances of a new global climate treaty agreement. Der Spiegel quotes him as saying, "not even in my wildest dreams could I imagine that concrete measures will be agreed in Canc n."
Horner says he feel vindicated by the release of the emails, because George Mason University officials initially told him that there were "no records" of the professors discussing RICO prosecution in their official capacity.
Inflation Adjusted Tornado Running Totals Storm Prediction Center WCM Page
Over the years also, there have been a large number of declarations, manifestos, and petitionssigned by scientists, and designed to influence public opinionstarting with the Leipzig Declaration of 1995. Noteworthy among the many is the Copenhagen Diagnosis (2009), published to build up hype for a UN conference that failed utterly.
Interesting facts were revealed in this article about media mergers:
Bast related how Denning has debated twice before when invited to attend Heartland's International Conferences Climate Change. Few individuals have the courage to accept invitations to debate because their views about global warming don't generally reflect those held by conference attendees, nor are they compatible with the views advanced by The Heartland Institute in its many published scientific journals and publications.
The conditions required to achieve an effective global GHG control accord are, in fact, unlikely to emerge in less than several decades. The bargaining, monitoring, and enforcement costs of an agreement are high compared with the perceived benefits. The latter are both unevenly distributed and highly uncertain. The repeated failures that have so far marked efforts to reach a climate accord testify to the scale of these difficulties.
Clearly, there are opportunities here as well as risks--opportunities to create thousands of high-paying U.S. jobs, boost GDP by tens to hundreds of billions of dollars, and generate billions in deficit-reducing tax revenues and royalties.
The economic impacts estimated in the report are conservative because they make a very favorable assumption in favor of ACESA, namely, that domestic industries would be able to exceed the cap by about 30% during 2012-2050 by purchasing international offsets (e.g. payments to preserve forests in development countries). Access to international offsets are especially important to cost-containment in ACESA's early phase, totalling 83% of the required emission "reductions" in 2015. "However, in light of the difficulties in measuring, verifying, and ensuring the permanence of these offsets, international negotiations have stressed domestic sources of emission reductions over international offsets." The Kyoto II treaty that will be negotiated in Copenhagen "might allow far fewer" offsets than ACESA would provide. "This would drive up costs substantially."
Its very sad to me that he seems to be abandoning a decade long project to bring humor to the world in order to set up a website that filters global warming articles for people. In a few clicks I can get really scientific articles from very credentialed people on both sides of the issue, so I dont know why we need another web site that says one side is totally right and the other side is totally wrong.
Led by former President Clinton, twenty-two world cities agree to enact global-warming policies.
For one thing, it allows people choice to continue emitting and simply pay the tax. Thats anathema to environmentalists, who prefer hard emission caps rather than trusting in markets to do what they wish. What environmentalists want is to force energy consumption down to extremely low levels because they want to reduce human impacts on the environment in virtually every way, and they see controlling energy as the best means to that end. Theyre probably right about that.
Rather than engage on the merits of the arguments, these activists resort to ad hominem attacks. In particular, their use of the term "denier"which the anti-oil lobby regularly deploys to equate those who question the certitude of certain climate theories to those who deny the occurrence of the Holocaustis reprehensible.
It is not the bureaucracy or the carbon tax that produces eggs for breakfast, electricity for the toaster, gas for the barbie or petrol for the car. It is hard working men and women with resources, skills and carbon powered machines.
Manhattan got pounded in 1667 and by the Great Storm of 1693. They were followed by more behemoths in 1788, 1821, 1893, 1944, 1954 and 1992. Other "confluences of severe weather events" brought killer storms like the four-day Great Blizzard of 1888. The 1893 storm largely eradicated Hog Island, and the 1938 "Long Island Express" hit LI as a category 3 hurricane with wind gusts up to 180 mph.
However, a dozen climate, health and theological experts skeptical of dangerous manmade climate change allegations hosted a press event the day before the workshop. Three of them managed to get into the Vatican event. But when Climate Depot director Marc Morano tried to ask the UN Secretary General to advise Pope Francis that many Catholics and other Christians believe the papal position on global warming is ill-advised, a security guard took Moranos microphone away and told him, control yourself, or you will be escorted out of here. Apostates have no rights at climate confabs, Vatican or otherwise.
At a July 2002 hearing on the Bush Administration's climate initiative, James Connaughton, Chairman of the Council on Environmental Quality (CEQ), testified that implementing the Kyoto Protocol would reduce U.S. economic output by "up to $400 billion" in 2010. In contrast, a 1998 study done by President Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) found that the costs of implementing the Protocol would be $7 billion to $12 billion annually in lost output.
We need to better understand the diversity of these health risks , who will be most vulnerable, and the action governments, individuals and communities can take to reduce the risks.
"And what became of all those artists and documentary makers and climate scientists you speak of, Dad?"
The nations climatologists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrationss National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, North Carolina, have selected some of the most notable floods, typhoons, hurricanes, droughts, heatwaves, tornadoes, winter storms and blizzards, and climate events of the 20th century. Factors taken into consideration included an events magnitude, meteorological uniqueness, as well as its econmonic impact and death toll. Some of NOAAs top experts gave a perspective based on their areas of expertise. The events are found in no particular order, and the list is by no means exhaustive.
The increase in food prices is something we can and ought to stop. We can play around with scary scenarios of global warming, but nothing will kill people as efficiently as higher food prices. The global community ought to pay attention to this trend.
The Crazy Gang was the nickname of the Wimbledon football team in the 1990s and one of their peripheral members is profiled on the pages of the BBC website .
It is said frequently that the climatic data for Antarctica for the past 30 years the period for which records are far superior to previous times shows clear signs of mankind's influence. However, it is important to look at such changes in a historical context. This is important else we attribute any and every change seen in the past few decades to mankind alone. When it is done today's changes are seen in a new light.
They have no cojones. They hide behind their sinecures the way Hamas terrorists hide behind children.
27a. The potential that climate change might have some positive effects for the country in which you live
Discussion on these and other issues will occur again in three years when the FTA is officially reviewed, and one can bet that both sides will be in a less generous mood to compromise on these key demands.
All this activity has created millions of oil patch and downstream jobs. Royalty and tax revenues have skyrocketed, and cheaper natural gas fuels and feed stocks have fostered a manufacturing and petrochemical renaissance.
I think one of the reasons why it was there is because of they worked sloppily. Perhaps it had something to do with, so to say, the desire for the right result.
Polar bears became the poster child for environmentalists who argued melting Arctic sea ice could kill thousands of bears that would have nowhere to rest while hunting in the summer months. Former Vice President Al Gore even featured polar bears swimming for their lives in his 2006 film on global warming.
Probing Ecosystem Resilience to Climate Change in Arctic-Alpine Plants
In climate science, vehemence of personal attacks are directly proportional to the truth of the claim and qualifications of the author. Jaworowskis attacks were nasty and unrelenting.
The interior of the castle is poorly lit for photography, but here is one of the inner rooms:
Three New Hampshire Towns Vote Against Wind Turbines
Moreover, if there were some evidence that the koda models sell better than some other models, and one might argue that this evidence has been emerging for some time, it would seem reasonable to produce the koda models in the other plants as well. If they do something better in the koda plants, and ANE argues that they do, others in the VW Group should learn from koda. koda has been learning from VW proper and perhaps others for more than two decades. There is nothing wrong about learning from your colleagues in the VW Group.
However, the reality is that there are problems with the surface temperature record, and there are problems with feedbacks in climate models, and there are serious questions to be answered regarding the proposed mitigation policies in response. Nothing in Mullers alleged conversion changes any of those issues.
Of course we all know that airports tend to run hotter than surrounding areas due to the huge expanses of runway, tarmac, terminal buildings, and car parks they have become as aviation has grown in the last 100 years, so it is no surprise to see the airport hotter than Kelburn, which is higher in elevation and with a bit more greenery, owing to the nearby Botanical Gardens .
which I have posted on several times; e.g. see
"How do you get rid of Hamas?" Ali Jarbawi asks rhetorically. "Produce results in the peace process! Hamas is a symptom, not a reason. It flourishes on the lack of a peace process."
"Higher taxes on fossil fuels...is one of the logical first steps in changing our policies in a manner consistent with a more responsible approach to the environment."
So to augment its baseless claims, EPA employed illegal experiments on people. But even when its human guinea pigs breathed up to 30 times more particulates than the agency insists are lethal, no one died. Apparently, air pollutants are a health hazard when they come from cars, refineries or coal-fired power plants but not when they are administered in massive quantities by researchers hired by EPA.
Specifically, the Obama administration and Congress can new regulate greenhouse gas emissions and fuel efficiency through a back door. While there is broad public support for action on climate change, that support is shallow. People aren't willing to have their energy prices hiked in order to reduce their carbon footprint.
Figure 3. Observed global temperature history, 1950-2009 (black). "Corrected" global temperature history (red line). "Corrected" temperature history with general influence of stratospheric water vapor (according to Solomon et al., 2010) removed (green line).
Before we begin spending money on "mitigation science", we should learn more about the fundamentals of global warming science, according to the report. "Our current ability to answer these scientific questions is seriously blocking progress in critical policy development." The report also warns that policymakers should not assume that we know everything we need to know about climate just because there are international negotiations to mitigate global warming.
While a price on GHG emissions would encourage some helpful kinds of innovation, it will not generate other kinds. Coping with climate change will require major breakthroughs in basic science. Such breakthroughs are often elusive, and seeking them is an inherently high-risk venture. The private sector finds it difficult to capture the economic rewards of funding basic science, and placing a price on GHG emissions will not correct this bias. As a result, the private sector usually does not make large, sustained investments in basic science; yet that kind of investment is the key to achieving the breakthroughs needed in climate policy.
Expectancy Bias. If respondents perceive that the questioner has an expectancy of a certain answer, they are more likely to give that response.
Japan and Italy, for example, have a 1.4 TFR, a "mathematical tipping point" at which the population will decline by 50 percent in 45 years. As for the rest of Europe, by 2050 only three countries in the E.U., which today has an average rate of 1.5 TFR, will not be experiencing population declines. Those countries are France, Luxembourg, and Ireland.
MSNBC is not wrong about the rising global demand for food, but they?re crying ?wolf? before the wolf cubs are born. It?s true the world must double its food production in the short space of 40 years, to feed a human population that will peak at perhaps 9 billion people. Seven billion of them will be ?rich? by today?s standards. After 2050, our declining birth rate will start the first-ever long term shrinkage in human numbers. It was lower death rates that caused the ?population explosion,? by the way, and not farmers ?producing too much food.?
1. Give states greater control over energy policies
"The government is mobilized to find the truth, the press and Internet are flooded with posts demanding clarity. Premier Wen Jiabao offered his condolences to the victims and called for a speedy and transparent investigation."
"It's only the second snow of the year, which is very sad," said Rogner, from Silver Spring. "Global warming is the most important issue of our generation. The state of Maryland should be taking a leadership role in it, because of our vulerability with all our shoreline."
Finally the report argues that "global warming may increase the frequency of extreme weather events, including both prolonged periods with little precipitation and periods of heavy downpour and snowfall, leading both to more droughts and more inland floods." One scenario described by the report could have 100-year floods occurring every 3 to 11 years in New York City by 2100. Higher sea levels could also push salt water further up the Hudson River threatening the city's water supply.
Today I thought it was worth putting some figures on that (thanks to Will Janoschka for the question that prompted it). And here it is: I dont claim to be doing anything other than using the approximation given by Niklov and Zeller
But such scientific free speech is too much for Kyotos backers. George Lucier, editor of a government science journal called Environmental Health Perspectives, has led the assault on Seitz.
Study: Global Warming Not a National Security Threat
But policies that grow personal empowerment and ownership extend beyond Social Security and tax reform. The labyrinth of federal regulations that impact the lives and livelihoods of all Americans must be reformed to achieve the ownership society the president envisions. Tort reform, environmental regulation, telecommunications policy and the future or the Food and Drug Administration all impact the ownership individuals and families can exercise over their lives and their futures.
In 2000, the American journal Science published an article in which the authors said they had evaluated the ecological risks and benefits of genetically engineered plants by reviewing the scientific literature. En route to concluding that they could draw no conclusions, the authors neglected the proven benefits of GM organisms, including enhanced yields, nutritional enhancements, less use of chemical pesticides, and more no-till farming, which reduces soil erosion and chemical runoff and puts less carbon dioxide into the environment. At the same time, no detrimental effects of GM plants had, or have, been described.
And Steven Goddard recalls a much older article , from theChicago Tribunein 1923, that also linked icebergs with sunspots.