Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
In principle these cycles are sinusoidal in behavior as depicted in Figure 1. Bob Tisdale has also shown how the temperature increase of the 65-year cycle from 1975 to 1998 led to the assumption that it is due CO2 emissions because they too happened to be parallel. This has been naively extended all the way to the year 2100 and forms the basis for the climate models and the invention of the so-called climate catastrophe.
A few years ago I quoted somewhere the alarmist scientist Steve Schneider as saying,
NBCC/CRA study estimates Waxman-Markey would reduce employment by 2.3 million jobs in 2015
Adds to scientific evidence that the sweeteners are metabolically equivalent
The presenters on the panel were generally scathing about the quality of the IPCC's assessment reports in their fields of expertise. For instance, Prof. Reiter revealed that, the nine lead authors of the chapter discussing vector-borne diseases in the Second Assessment Report had published a total of six papers on the subject. The three leading critics of the chapter, including Prof. Reiter, had published over 550 scholarly papers. Prof. Morner has written in a peer-reviewed journal article that the IPCC chapter on sea-level rise represents "a low and unacceptable standard. It should be totally rewritten by a totally new group of authors chosen among the group of true sea-level specialists."
"Be afraid. Be very afraid." That is the overriding sentiment of a recent article titled "Global Warming's Terrifying New Chemistry," written by Bill McKibben, an environmental activist and founder of 350.org, an organization dedicated to stopping the use of all fossil fuels. McKibben portrays methane, the primary component of natural gas, as a greenhouse gas potentially more dangerous than carbon dioxide because methane is more effective at trapping heat in the atmosphere.
Since March 1958, the d regular mtningar of carbon dioxide on Mauna Loa pbrjades, the content of the air cat with about (26%). Similar mtningar from a large number of platforms (ground stations, aircraft and satellites) have shown that Mauna Loa mtningarna broadly seen as representative for jordatmosfren as a whole. CO 2 content must is now about 396 ppmv (parts per million by volume). The increase since March 1958 amounts to 81 ppmv, and is equivalent to about 169 billion tonnes of carbon (169 Gtonnes). As framgr of Figure 1 The increase was monotonous and growing, and The increase in the last 20 clean has been more than double compared to 1960, and 1970. Fig. 1: Carbon dioxide concentration in ppm (v) at Mauna Loa from the period March 1958 March 2013 Klla NOAA http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
These events result in surprises that cannot easily be predicted based on information obtained at a single scale.
"Tropical fruit plantations followed sugar as the conquerors of lowland moist forests and by the 1950's tropical governments and multinational corporations were competing for control over natural resource systems" Tropical timber industry also had massive acceleration after 1950. What made a lot of this possible were new bulldozers and gas-powered logging trucks that could now penetrate deeper into forest and provide far more timber. (Tucker, pp. 42-49)
Remaining Presidential Contenders Differ Radically on Climate, Fossil Fuels
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013. Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis. Summary for Policymakers. 5 th Assessment Report of the IPCC.
Now heres where the proponents of manmade global warming get goofy. In very basic terms: some climate scientists point to the cooling temperature in the eastern tropical Pacific and say global surface temperatures should also cool because the El Nio is done where they have their El Nio-measuring thermometers. Those scientists know theres a huge amount of warm water left over after a strong El Nio; they know the leftover warm water has been redistributed to other parts of the global oceans away from their El Nio-measuring thermometers; yet they have the gall of conmen when they to point to those El Nio-measuring thermometers in the eastern tropical Pacific and tell us the effects of the El Nio are done. They then heap it on thicker when they say, since surface temperatures have warmed away from their El Nio-measuring thermometers, the warming elsewhere must be caused by manmade greenhouse gases. They have presented that absurd argument in a good number of scientific papers. They know it makes no sense, I know it and now you know it.
6. Is overdevelopment the cause of the increase of automobile collisions with deer?
Left unsaid is that carbon emissions, as far as the climate is concerned, play a very minor role. Moreover, all those investments have been forced on the coal power industry by ever increasing levels of regulation by the Environmental Protection Agency. The cost is passed along to electricity consumersall of usas a necessary increase.
The U.S. could possibly even reduce its imports of fossil fuels by increasing domestic energy production, a political objective of both Democrats and Republicans. At the very least, the U.S. should be able to slow down the growth of fossil fuel imports, which contributes to its trade deficit. The extent to which the U.S. can reduce its oil imports will also depend on building nuclear power plants that can replace oil and coal generators that account for nearly 75% of U.S. electrical power.
Two questions were key: have mean global temperatures risen compared to pre-1800s levels, and has human activity been a significant factor in changing mean global temperatures.
The Earth system is not analogous to a house being heated with a furnace running at -18 degrees C, which temperature then gets amplified to +15 degrees C by insulation or backradiation or heat trapping. In fact, your furnace in your house doesnt even work like this. In fact, nothing anywhere works like this because it is a violation of thermodynamics. The greenhouse effect models have to violate thermodynamics because the people creating them never go back to think about whether they are conserving energy vs. flux, and whether or not they are conserving physics. These details havent apparently appealed to them.
Those nations will certainly insist on reductions from the developed world as part of the price of any reductions in greenhouse gas emissions they agree to. If we?ve already unilaterally cut our emissions in advance of an agreement, we will have to make even more painful cuts to persuade developing countries to sign on. Finally, this particular Congress is going to be unable to reach agreement on any major legislation before the 2014 elections.
Nearly half the people who say they believe in global warming base that on personal observations of the weather.
There's NASA scientist Jim Hansen's claim, first reported in the New York Times, that the agency is trying to "silence" him by asking to preview his lectures, papers and Internet postings before he goes public. To Hansen, this "seems more like Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union than the United States."
"The Association of Electricity Producers (AEP) met officials from Defra about the targets last week. It is concerned that the Government has underestimated how many tons of carbon are emitted each year by power stations, which are responsible for most of the CO2 output in the UK. This means they would have to cut their emissions even more to meet their allocations."
Projections made from climate models all predict that global warming should impact Arctic sea ice first and most intensely, Serreze said. "We have known for many years that as the Earth started to warm up, the effects would be seen first in the Arctic and not the Antarctic. The physical geography of the two hemispheres is very different. Largely as a result of that, they behave very differently."
The committee also pointed to several awards given to Mann for his research including Scientific American's naming Mann as one of the "50 leading visionaries in science and technology" and its selection of a web site co-founded by Mann as one of the top 25 "science and technology" web sites in 2005. The committee then wrote, "had Dr. Mann's conduct of his research been outside the respected practices, it would have been impossible for him to receive so many awards and recognitions "
Two recent studies have shown that 97 percent to 98 percent of researchers who actively publish peer-reviewed research on climate change agree that humans are significantly affecting Earths climate.
21: The increase in sea level is probably an indication of warming. 22: Sea levels were rising well before 1900. 23: We could not have been to blame for sea level rise before 1900. 24: The rate of sea-level rise is slow. 25: It is difficult to attribute the current rate of rise to us.
But a problem surely arises when journals are run by IPCC insiders themselves.
The organizations are justifying their action because they care more about climate change than the environment. But the effectiveness of this project in making a meaningful dent in US greenhouse gas emissions is far from certain. The plant will provide peak power for just 140,000 users. Taxpayers are subsidizing up to 80 percent of the costs for the $2 billion project, according to the LA Times, and energy bills are still going to go up 50 percent if they use it.
the conduct of the scientists passes muster on the basis of three independent inquiries and that the science therefore stands.
Another continuing measure to reduce emissions is high gasoline taxes. Taxes have been increased to exorbitant levels in most western European nations, so that the typical price of gasoline is now over $7 per gallon. Yet emissions from the transportation sector have increased 26% since 1990, according to the European Environment Agency. It should be noted that each one dollar of tax per gallon of gas translates into a tax of approximately $100 per metric ton of carbon dioxide emissions.
The poorest and most underprivileged people in the world would benefit most from coal furnaces, natural gas plants, and other modern resources that our carbon-based economy and infrastructure help generate.
Still, taken together, the data reveals a consistent and convincing picture of near-zero warming trends in the tropical troposphere i.e., absence of an observed "hot spot". Coupled with a modeled trend "amplification"' of about 2, this suggests an extremely low value for the land surface trend hence low values of climate sensitivity to increases in CO2.
If you thought the last Robinson-DeFazio bout was a humdinger, stick around. You ain't seen nothing yet.
There are so many in just this one spot that they have to give them numbers. I was greatly amused to find out that they have an official Turbine Spill Kit.
The recent cold weather across North America has had a severe impact on the availability, quality and cost of tomatoes.
Paper: "No matter what the weather, it's all due to warming. This isn't science; it's a kind of faith'
Geoengineering solutions are less expensive than carbon reduction. University of Texas professor Eric Bickel and Hudson Institute fellow Lee Lane estimate that the discounted cost of enhancing clouds' reflectance through salt water spraying for 200 years could cost $300 million to $1.8 billion. The discounted global benefits over the same period would be $4 trillion to $10 trillion.
Yet ever-so slowly as the above chart shows Republicans are becoming more alarmed about the climate, though not as fast as Democrats and independents.
Q: Malcolm Ross: What about the growing sunspot numbers. There seems to be very high correlation with temperatures. And this seems to be ignored along with --
MCA period may have been more climatically extreme than in modern times.
Former IPCC Chairman: Greens Cannot be Trusted
Seiler and Crutzen further estimated that wildfires in temporal plus boreal forests comprised ~35.7% of all dry matter burned but pointed out that 7090% of such wildfires were due to human activity (e.g., campfires, debris burning, cigarettes, etc.). Thus, of total world fire emissions today, ~7.1% (3.6%10.7%) may be natural and the rest, anthropogenic. Houghton indicates that, in 1850, CO2 emissions from land use change may have been ~34% those in 2005. Thus, in 1850, BB emissions were lower than those today. Such emissions may have been mostly anthropogenic although partly natural as well. Today, BB emissions are much higher with only a small percent natural.
At the very least, we should streamline the thousands upon thousands of regulations that slow the ability of the energy, manufacturing, and transportation sectors to respond quickly to changing climate circumstances.
According to Baos group, the odd oxygen isotope ratios they find in barite samples from 635 million years ago could have occurred if, following the extensive Snowball Earth glaciation, Earths atmosphere had very high levels of carbon dioxide, or CO2. An ultra-high carbon dioxide atmosphere, Killingsworth explains, where CO2 levels match levels of atmospheric oxygen, would grab more O-17 from oxygen. This would cause a depletion of the O-17 isotope in air and subsequently in barite minerals, which incorporate oxygen as they grow. Baos group has found worldwide deposits of this O-17 depleted sulfate mineral in rocks dating from the global glaciation event 635 million years ago, indicating an episode of an ultra-high carbon dioxide atmosphere following the Marinoan glaciation.
The over 5 million it has received will g partly to spread further IPCC's knowledge and messages and also to a newly instated fund for young scientists in utvecklingslnder (The IPCC Bert Bolin Memorial Scholarship Fund).
The problem is one of time and energy density: while nature spent millions of years concentrating solar energy in the forms of peat, coal, oil, and natural gas, all of the biofuels rely on sunlight to grow crops. Because such energy is extremely diffuse, the scale of land consumption and the labor required to gather massive quantities of low-density fuel quickly leads to diminishing returns.
Yeatman: He's 25% truthful. We produce more gas than ever before, but in spite of, not because of, Obama administration. Energy bills are NOT lower, thanks to President's war on coal.
David Whitehouse and I have produced a few films for the GWPF on the subject of extreme weather.
Save the planet. Melt the polar ice caps. Drown a Polar Bear. Take a climatologist seriously.
Dyson said his skepticism about those computer models was borne out by recent reports of a study by Ed Hawkins of the University of Reading in Great Britain that showed global temperatures were flat between 2000 and 2010 even though we humans poured record amounts of CO-2 into the atmosphere during that decade.
The EPA then states that "the projected reductions in atmospheric CO2, global mean temperature, sea level rise, and ocean pH are meaningful in the context of this action." And so we arrive at the benefit/cost conclusion, given in all seriousness:
According to researchers from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL), man-made global warming has been hiding in a deep and limited portion of the Pacific Ocean since the year 2000, thereby explaining why worldwide atmospheric temperatures have not risen during the 2000-2015 time frame.
tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/MSL global trendtable.html
And the Independent, a widely read British newspaper, reported today that "Sir David King, the British Government's chief scientific adviser, has warned that global warming may be responsible for the devastation reaped by Hurricane Katrina." King contended that "the increased intensity of hurricanes is associated with global warming."
So, just for laughs, heres another demonstration, involving a simple model of the cooling of the soil at night.
If you want to know what this energy is in terms of flux, then the Solar flux deposits 480 W/m2(and this is still a poor average because it is linear and ignores real-time location dependence), and the Earth emits 240W/m2. The energy from the Sun and the Earth can not be numerically equated in terms of flux, but only in energy .
Global Warming Causing Winters To Simultaneously Get Colder And Warmer Which is it?! "We conclude that the recent decline of Arctic sea ice has played a critical role in recent cold and snowy winters' Or "As winters growwarmer and summers drier, the West's evergreen forests are being eaten alive'
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), carbon-dioxide emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels increased 0.7 percent in the United States from 2000 to 2006, far below the worldwide increase of 21.6 percent. During the same period, emissions grew 4.9 percent in Europe, 37.6 percent in the Middle East, and 52.3 percent in Asia. Major developing nations saw big increases. India, Malaysia, and China's emissions increased 27.7 percent, 45.8 percent, and 103 percent, respectively.
11. This is especially disappointing. Based on the above, the authors appear to have gotten little at all out of their reading of Mann et al (2005). Morevoer, Mann et al (2006) have already dispelled the specious claim that the findings for the AD 1400 sparse network are any different for those for the full network. They are not. Moreover, what can the authors possibly mean by "non-sense" predictors if not predictors that are composed entirely or almost entirely of noise. At SNR=0.25, for which Mann et al (2005) show a skillful reconstruction is still produced, the pseudoproxies are composed of 94% noise by variance. In more recent work Mann et al (2006) have shown this is true even if the noise is substantially more red than is supported for actual proxy records. Mann et al (2006) show that the performance for a fixed SNR=0.4 (86% noise by variance) are very similiar that for a multiproxy data set with the same average SNR (0.4), but for which the SNR for individual pseudoproxies ranges from SNR=0.1 to SNR=0.7. Would BC try to seriously argue now that pseudoproxies with SNR=0.1 (essentially, entirely composed of noise) are not nonsense predictors by their definition. Lets think a bit about what the real "nonsense" is here.
So it is more or less inevitable that we will indeed burn hydrogen, the most pristine of all fuels, just as they hope. And we will accept that the only readily available supplies of hydrogen in unburnt form are in gas, oil and coal. The policy will be to burn more fossil fuel, less efficiently--to extract a lot less heat out of the same amount of fuel. Even as manufacturers struggle to design new car engines that go farther on the same amount of heat. We will raise efficiency at every stage of the energy pipeline except at the source, where we will reduce it, drastically, far more than we can raise it in any of the tiers above. This may perhaps save the ice caps. It certainly won't ruin the oil companies.
Regional reconstructions are generally more worthwhile than reconstructions from a single site because, if there is shared variance, the regional result is likely to be more robust and be more representative and that makes it more valuable for continental and hemispheric comparisons. The key issues are whether all the trees (or some subset of them) share a common signal (are they mostly temperature sensitive? are some localities anomalous? etc.). It isnt as simple as just averaging all the trees in a grid box or two. The history of such efforts follows a mostly standard path local chronologies are put together, different standardisation techniques are applied, more data is collected, wider collations are put together, and then regional reconstructions start to appear.
The first threshold question is: when were U.S. CO2 emissions from fossil fuel use last at 1 billion tons, the year 2050 target? From DOE historical statistics on energy consumption, it is possible to estimate that the United States last emitted 1 billion tons in the year 1910, when the nation's population was only 92 million people, per-capita income (in 2008 dollars) was only $6,196, and total GDP (also in 2008 dollars) was about $572 billionabout one-twenty-fifth the size of the U.S. economy today (see table 1).
This has variously been reported as take all of the carbon out of electricity in other sources, for instance here and here . As Miliband stumbled through the speech with no notes, and even forgot to mention the deficit, it may be that he meant electricity and not energy. In any event, well assume he meant electricity for the moment.
Those hypotheses may be summarized as follows. First, man s increased use of fossil energy is warming the earth significantly. Second, the impact of such warming will be catastrophic and rapid. Third, the scheme to coordinate global energy use reductions worldwide is feasible and effective. Fourth, if we do it smart, it won t cost much. Finally, energy rationing will provide greater safety than concerted efforts to make societies freer, wealthier, and, thus, better able to ride out the shocks and surprises of an unknown future. Note that the mere fact that the Earth might be warming, or that mankind might be causing such warming, does not in itself clinch the case for an international climate treaty.
Conference organizers claim that the 290,000 tons (by some estimates) of carbon dioxide that will be produced as a result of the conference can be offset through some sort of compensation fund. Mary Metcalfe, of the Department for Agriculture, Conservation, Environment and Land Affairs of South Africa's Gauteng Province, announced, "We are measuring the carbon dioxide emissions of the summit. These emissions will be offset through investments in carbon reducing sustainable projects across South Africa. I urge all delegates to take responsibility for their own CO2 emissions. It is one small step towards a sustainable climate and will be an important contribution to innovative alternate energy projects in South Africa."
On the other hand, an El Nio takes naturally created warm water from below the surface of the western tropical Pacific and relocates it the surface. When its below the surface, the warm water is not included in the surface temperature record, but during and after the El Nio, the warm water is included in the surface temperature record. That warm water makes a short appearance in the eastern tropical Pacificwhere scientists measure sea surface temperatures so that we know an El Nio is taking placebefore the warm water is distributed around the global oceans, causing the long-term natural warming of sea surface and land surface air temperatures.
Emissions from aviation are substantial. For example, in the United Kingdom aviation accounts for 15 per cent of carbon dioxide emissions, and this is estimated to grow by two thirds by 2050. Cheaper flights and more passengers account for most of the projected increase.
This is where most of the earth's infrared radiation is being lost. It is from clear air, in between the clouds, that is sinking. Its the humidity of this layer that is most important to global warming theory. OK? The humidity of this layer. Where does this layer get its humidity? It gets it from these rainfall systems. If you watch the next thunderstorm that you see, the top of the thunderstorm spreads out; that anvil material spreads out in the clouds. The clouds spread out in the upper troposphere out to the side and then disappear. That's because they are re-evaporating - that's what moistens the troposphere. It is the detrain cloud material from these rain systems that then moistens this layer. This layer and how moist it is the moisture mostly controls how much infrared radiation is lost to space.
This is larger than is justified based on the upper ocean heat changes, as has been discussed by myself and others (e.g. Knox and Douglas 2010 ). The heat accumulation they refer to alsohas hardly been steady. However, lets just use these values.
Today, even schoolchildren carry iPhones, which are orders of magnitude more powerful ? and much cheaper. That same innovative process will make both emissions reduction technology and mitigation efforts cheaper and better in the future.