Michaelyya/contrarian-claims huggingface dataset:
"In scenario C the CO2 growth is the same as scenarios A and B through 1985; between 1985 and 2000 the annual increment is fixed at 1.5 ppmv/yr; after 2000, CO2 ceases to increase, its abundance remaining fixed at 368 ppmv."
No serious study has supported those claims. All the key studies concluded that potential environmental impacts would be limited and manageable. Even a tiny price rise would cut domestic demand, lowering the overall US carbon footprint. And international buyers are eager for natural gas so as to cut back on the most carbon-polluting source, coal and, as in the case of Japan, nuclear energy."xports would likely reduce global greenhouse gas emissions," Levi wrote.
The Growth & Water Use Efficiency of Two Tree Species Since 1850 (7 April 2015)
Current comparison between IPCC projections and five data sets.
The filtration plant will be powered by electricity from our coal burning power plants.
The global average surface temperature trend is an icon of the climate change community (e.g. see ). Global policies are based on this temperature.
The research suggests that previous estimates of oxygen-free and hydrogen sulfide-rich conditions, or euxinia, were too high. Nevertheless, the limited and localized euxinia were still sufficiently widespread to have dramatic effect on the entire oceans chemistry and thus biological activity.
These vital actions will almost certainly be opposed by President Obama, Democrats, environmentalist pressure groups, and other members of the Climate Crisis and Renewable Energy Complex. But they are absolutely essential if the United States is going to have an economic and employment revival, and poor, minority and blue-collar families are to be protected from fraud, regulatory excess and ruling elites.
Also there is much published evidence for Europe (and France in particular) of
Al Gore has no friends. And nothing to say. Nothing at all. If he hides for much longer, Part One will need a new label and target.
148 twisters, killing more than 300 people and causing $500+ million in damage amid global cooling and CO2 < 330 ppm!
* what is generally agreed about the warming situation in Australia now and in 50 years time, including its likely impact on our agriculture, weather patterns and general living?;
Look, there could be a climate catastrophe in fifty years. And we could hit some sustainability wall in fifty years.
They wrote reports suggesting ways of coping with heatwaves such as planting palm trees to keep the pavements cool but ignored the threat of snow and ice.
Of course, those who read this article won't be surprised at the upsurge in CCDS:
Increased Svalbard Glacial acceleration started suddenly in 2012, was limited to one continental glacier, occurred in only one portion of the Austfonna ice cap, was verified to NOT occur in the adjacent Vestfonna ice cap, and has not been documented elsewhere in the island chain (Figure 3).
Water explains many elements of weather as reflected in the response of plants and animals, but they even perverted that evidence.
Heres a short quote, then you can follow the link if you want to. And then weep for the future of humanity, that this sort of thing gets taken seriously these days . . .
A. Parker, M. Saad Saleem and M. Lawson. 2013. Sea-Level Trend Analysis for Coastal Management, Ocean and Coastal Management. Ocean & Coastal Management, 73, 6381. 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2012.12.005.
A longer NASA feature article and videos describe the results in greater detail. (below)
1) Warm Bias: How The Met Office Mislead The British Public The Global Warming Policy Foundation, 18 December 2010
Given the above, we should consider what level of participation could realistically be achieved and what the compliance cost would be. Furthermore, given the cost penalty for the participants, we need a persuasive case that there is a high probability of a global agreement to price carbon being implemented and maintained for as long as necessary to achieve the projected benefits (i.e. reduced climate damages).
Scientific inquiry is challenging. One must make observations, then create a hypothesis to explain these observations. Once the hypothesis predicts future observations, conclusions are reached about cause and effect of the aforementioned observations. This is called the scientific method.
Read the full article at Politico's Morning Energy.
Dr Pearman began his presentation by suggesting that the break-up of the Wilkins Ice Shelf was a consequence of global warming. When I questioned him on this issue, he told the audience that Antarctica is warming.
Consumer advocates and others have recommended conservation to reduce demand for electric power. With the state keeping rates down, however, consumers have little incentive to conserve. Some civic-minded people may shut off their lights or turn down their furnaces, but with rising natural gas prices, many will choose to turn down their thermostats to reduce their gas bills and plug in their electric heaters to maintain their comfort.
The state AGs seek to hold ExxonMobil and other oil companies "accountable" for "fraud and suppression of key climate science." They argue that Exxon somehow reached definitive conclusions about global warming before climate experts did, at a time when climate science was in its infancy, and then withheld this secret knowledge from the scientific community.
The strong but shorter than average (8 months compared to 2 years) El Nio event that we have experienced is quickly giving way to its opposite, La Nia. Whereas El Nio is characterized by an accumulation of hot water in the Pacific Ocean near Peru, La Nia is characterized by colder than average sea surface temperatures in the same area. Sea surface temperatures have dropped by 15 degrees Fahrenheit from early May to early June.
Delegates to a United Nations global warming conference defend the U.S. record on climate change.
Installed solar power capacity at the end of 2010 was less than 1 GW in China, the worlds largest exporter of photovoltaic products and home to some of the industrys top players, such as Trina Solar, JA Solar, Suntech Power and LDK Solar.
Meteorologist Anthony Watts: "Apparently, Gore has never noted that climate scientists once thought snowfall would disappear.But wait, there's more. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become ?a very rare and exciting event?. ?Children just aren't going to know what snow is,? Viner said.
Niger was a "stray after-thought, carved out of the remnants of French West Africa when the region won freedom from France exactly 45 years ago,' said Loyn. And in 1973 it suffered the peak of its worst famine. A three-year famine devastated the country causing widespread starvation and thousands of deaths. As in most famines, political mismanagement contributed more to death than the weather. With drought in 2004 and low rainfall in 2005 Loyn draws parallels with that great famine and implies that climate change is contributing.
A change in our climate however is taking place very sensibly. Both heats and colds are become much more moderate within the memory even of the middle-aged. Snows are less frequent and less deep. They do not often lie, below the mountains, more than one, two, or three days, and very rarely a week. They are remembered to have been formerly frequent, deep, and of long continuance. The elderly inform me the earth used to be covered with snow about three months in every year. The rivers, which then seldom failed to freeze over in the course of the winter, scarcely ever do so now. This change has produced an unfortunate fluctuation between heat and cold, in the spring of the year, which is very fatal to fruits. From the year 1741 to 1769, an interval of twenty-eight years, there was no instance of fruit killed by the frost in the neighbourhood of Monticello. An intense cold, produced by constant snows, kept the buds locked up till the sun could obtain, in the spring of the year, so fixed an ascendency as to dissolve those snows, and protect the buds, during their developement, from every danger of returning cold. The accumulated snows of the winter remaining to be dissolved all together in the spring, produced those overflowings of our rivers, so frequent then, and so rare now.
The actual first-order science has pretty much gotten lost in this second-order posturing by both sides. This is bad for science, and bad for policy. Given that I think the IPCC on balance may not be helping climate science, greater reliance on national assessments or assessments undertaken by other international groups would be a good thing. Note: the U.S. has produced a plethora of climate change assessments in the past two years, which are probably more important for U.S. policy than the IPCC assessments.
The maximum likelihood (minimum log likelihood) is similar for each of the 4 autocorrelation models (though OLS is slightly higher than the others), but the confidence intervals are much wider for AR1 and other schemes. In this example, there isnt much difference between AR1 and more complicated autocorrelation structures (but there are other cases in which the differences are very noticeable.) Ive also plotted the Santer T2LT ensemble mean trend, which is well outside the 95% confidence interval (using maximum likelihood) something that we had previously reported applying the (1-r)/(1+r) degrees of freedom adjustment used in Santer et al. (but they only reported results for obsolete data ending in 1999).
1) Temperature trends https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2012/07/19/uk-temperature-trends/
Instantly, Mann was then plucked from obscurity and appointed not just a contributing author for Chapters 7,8,12 of the IPCC's Third Assessment Report (1998-00) but also Lead Author for Chapter 2. And with no track record whatsoever in this field, Mann now with tree ring data thrust into his hand, famously carved out his infamous "hockey stick' graph.
"This is climate change," she said. "We were warned about extreme weather, not just hot weather but extreme weather. When I had my hearings scientists all agreed that what we'd start to see was extreme weather. It's going to get hot. But you're also going to see snow in the summer in some places. You're going have terrible storms. You're going to have tornadoes."
But for the near future, mans need for energy means that oil will still be the lifeblood of civilization.
And Im betting Forecast the Facts wont exist anymore in three years. Any takers?
We all made the mistake of believing the IPCC was a gem of an organization simply because it is connected to protecting the environment.
Now, bear in mind that my calculations do not include any forcing from CO2. Could CO2 explain the 0.03C per decade of error that remains in the NH trend? We can run the numbers to find out.
Germany has been minimizing the damage by paying consumers to take excess power and asking wind and solar producers to switch off when they're not needed. Germany paid wind farms $548 million last year to switch off in order to prevent damage to the country's electric grid.
There are four main parts of the issue to consider. First, climate change is the central obsession of the environmental left and its sock puppets in the Democratic Party in Congress. Churchill once defined a fanatic as someone who can't change their mind and won't change the subject. The issue of climate change is mired in monomania both as to the nature of the problem and the range of possible responses to climate change, of any dimension, for whatever cause. For the climate fanatics, change is always catastrophic, immediate, caused solely by humans, and can only be addressed by hugeand hugely expensivereductions in fossil fuel energy use.
I would also remind her that Italy has ratified with Kyoto and that therefore will have to acquire a 25% renewable energy by 2016, worth an expensive fine (equal financial 5-6).
Comments On The EPA Proposed Endangerment And Cause Or Contribute Findings For Greenhouse Gases Under The Clean Air Act .
Was data deleted? The committee report (12) Prof Edward Acton's reply to their letter, in which the UEA boss said that "none of the adjusted station data referred to in the emails that have been published has been destroyed". Given that it was the raw data that everyone was after, it was disingenuous of Sir Edward to respond in this way and disingenuous of the committee not to report his evasion.
Yet, the Administration remains ignorant and arrogant in the pursuit of its plan to force closure of coal-fired power plants and require new solar and wind generation, regardless of costs to the consumers. The lack of critical thinking is reminiscent of the Johnson administrations repeated commitments of ground troops into Vietnam, without a well thought-out strategic plan. See Article # 2, links under The Administrations New Plan Push-Back, and Alternative, Green (Clean) Solar and Wind.
Further, at the end of the El Nio, sea surface temperatures in the eastern tropical Pacific cool and return to normal levels. They might even cool to temperatures below normal if a La Nia follows the El Nio. That typically happens after a very strong El Niothat is, La Nias typically follow strong El Nios.
Developing America's vast domestic oil, natural gas, coal, shale gas and uranium deposits will generate millions of jobs and hundreds of billions of dollars in critically needed royalty and tax revenue. We must ensure that our energy policies generate revenues and create jobs instead of requiring constant taxpayer subsidies and destroying two to four traditional jobs for every "green" job that government "creates."
Its Pontifical Academy of Sciences recently held a workshop on climate change and sustainability . But only religious leaders, scientists, bureaucrats and regulators who support alarmist perspectives on these issues were invited. Those with contrary views were neither invited, welcomed nor tolerated.
In case vinrmast consider (exchange of carbon dioxide, primrt mellanatmosfr, seawater and biosfr) Is it really frga of compartmental kinetics and a diversity complicating further factors, but I illustrate in the FOLLOWING a very frenklat skdningsfall drkemisk kinetics and jmviktsinstllningmodelleras in a joint behllare.
The policies examined in the MIT study surely differ from those that will emerge from the regulatory processes given force by the president. But if the effect of the latter is some substantial reduction in GHG emissions, in particular from electric power generation, then it is difficult to see how the distributional impacts might differ substantially from those reported by MIT, and it also is difficult to believe that the basic red-to-blue transfer is accidental. Instead, given that the actual climate effects of reductions in U.S. emissions would be trivial, it is straightforward to hypothesize that the direction of the wealth transfer is the central motivating objective of this policy proposal.
Energy policy will be a critical component of the agenda of the next Administration and Congress. Such an agenda should address, among other things, the Keystone XL and other pipelines, nuclear energy, renewable energy, climate change, offshore drilling, hydraulic fracturing and other energy technologies, energy exports, and more.
how to capitalize on the global tide of migrants from poor nations to rich ones, to encompass a new "international migration governance framework";
TRENDS ON A ZONAL-MEAN (LATITUDE-AVERAGE) BASIS PER OCEAN BASIN
The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emission reductions and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink within 40 years. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity's remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible.
The Large Hadron Collider Can Destroy Our World Indeed
The USHCN is actually a designated subset of the NOAA Cooperative Observer Program (COOP) Network the USHCN sites having been selected according to their spatial coverage, record length, data completeness, and historical stability.
This study shows that there is a fundamental issue with a critical aspect of radiative forcing (the albedo). The uncertainties are on a order of a few watts per meter squared. This uncertainty, regardless of the fraction that is due to the global models and the observations, respectively, is on the same order as the magnitudes of the the other radiative forcings! The assessment of albedo changes over time, as they influence the net radiative forcing at the level of tenths of watts per meter squared, is not yet achievable based on the results of this study.
side-by-side for the entirety of human existence until, it seems, the
After the very high melt rates of the 2007-2012 period, the trend reversed in 2013 and especially in 2014 when the melt fell below the long-term average. What could be the reasons for this? Currently one can only speculate. One clue can be taken from a study by Mojib Latif from the year 2013:
Why are emissions rising so quickly? We can find the answer largely in the coal numbers. Last year, global coal use grew by about 2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Let's compare that soaring coal use with what's happening with the political darlings of the moment: wind and solar energy. According to the BP data, global wind-energy production grew by about 500,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and solar grew by about 150,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Thus, in 2013, global coal use grew at a rate that was roughly four times that of wind and 13 times that of solar.
The AMS tells us, "Barry Saltzman led the revival of the theory that variations of atmospheric CO2 are a significant driver of long-term climate change."
America is the land of opportunity. With the abundance of resources beneath U.S. soil, the land is literally an opportunity. America has an abundance of natural resources, including sufficient energy reserves to provide Americans with affordable, reliable energy for several centuries. With its plentiful reserves of coal, natural gas, uranium, and oil, the United States is already a global leader in energy production. Regrettably, the federal government prohibits resource development in many parts of the country and off its coasts. Opening access begins with providing the opportunity for companies to develop America's resources, whether conventional sources of energy, minerals, or wind or solar power.
There are two basic methods of estimating future changes in sea level: direct observation by tide gauges or by satellites, and computing by models .
Gas prices have surged, as have the demands for the government to do something about it. But only a few of the factors affecting gasoline prices are within federal control. It is these things particularly taxes and regulations that should be, but aren't, the focus of efforts to reduce the pain at the pumps.
More broadly, NRDC's priorities do not align with those of the public. Remember, all policymaking is a balancing of interests. For environmental policymaking, the balance is often struck between economic progress and environmental protection. But NRDC's input is decidedly unbalanced. As with modern environmentalism as a whole, the NRDC demonizes industry in general, and fossil fuels in particular. They've personified coal as "evil" and they believe that global warming should be the world's number one priority. However, these positions are not shared by the vast majority of the Americans, who worry about their material wellbeing in addition to environmental protection.
Addressing renewables' growth, Finley said it was happening "most typically in places where the governments can afford the subsidies needed to help these fuels compete. The key challenge going forward is: when things grow fast, subsidies get expensive fast. So can these forms of energy achieve economies of scale that will allow them to compete without subsidies?"
Since the mid 90's, scientists, but predominantly politicians, have been playing with the concept of a Green GDP, expanding the data to include environmental costs. This process is now gaining speed, e.g., in the World Bank.
There are many others arrayed against Common Core, but the usual socialist suspects in favor. John Dewey isnt dead.
Ethanol: Useless for Energy Independence, Bad for the Hungry
In fact, this is buried on Page 805 of the latest assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC): The set of available models may share fundamental inadequacies, the effects of which cannot be quantified. Its telling that this was not stated forthrightly in the assessments summary.
8. Donella Meadows, Jorgen Rander, and Denise Meadows, Limits to Growth: The 30-Year Update (White River Junction: Chelsea Press, 2004), xix.
And what about the Arctic sea ice predictions? You have to laugh at the authors' shamelessness in picking Arctic sea ice here. Look, it's worse than we thought! Nevertheless, Stroeve et al 2007 proves an interesting read, with computer model simulations presented alongside observational data going back to 1950. The early figures in this dataset were apparently based on a paper from the Met Office, a read of which reveals that they were based on interpolation from other data points. The paper also contains these words of caution:
It's a bit annoying that one can't fully agree with even papers whose basic point is obviously right.
Has the globe warmed? Most think that since the late 19th century, there has been some warming. The issue becomes muddled when you consider such factors as the reliability of the data sets, the selective use of the proxy data used to estimate historic temperatures and the way urbanization warms local weather stations.
From Dolinar et al. (2014): Evaluation of CMIP5 simulated clouds and TOA radiation budgets using NASA satellite observations . Their abstract begins:
Resiliencythe capacity for adaptation in the face of changeis best measured by wealth. By virtue of its low per capita income, Mississippi is one of the least resilient states in America. If Congress taxed Mississippi's energy use as part of its climate plan, it would slow down the state's economic growth, and render Mississippians even more vulnerable to global warming.
Recently, about one-third of America?s huge corn crop has been diverted from food and feed into an ultra-costly auto fuel that gives consumers poorer mileage even as it drives up their food costs. The corn ethanol diversion creates an artificial scarcity of farmland, as it attracts more land into corn instead of wheat or other crops?and the price effects are felt globally. In 2008, the ethanol mandate drove food prices up by more than 50 percent worldwide, and triggered food riots in Mexico and several other countries.
Obama falsely claimed that the stimulus package was needed to prevent "irreversible decline," but the Congressional Budget Office admitted that it would actually shrink the economy "in the long run." Unemployment has skyrocketed past European levels, as big-spending countries have fared worse than thrifty ones. As the Examiner notes, "If his stimulus program was approved, Obama promised, unemployment would not go above 8 percent . . . The reality is that it passed 10.3 percent." In 2008, Obama promised a "net spending cut," but as soon as he was elected, he proposed massive spending increases.
Climate change is a real phenomenon, but the catastrophic scenario of Gore and his fellow climate campaigners is steadily fraying around the edges if you follow the scientific literature closely.