Patent ID: 8185347
Filing Date: 2012-05-22
Classification: G06Q

Abstract:
1. A method comprising: determining characteristic parameters on the basis of a series of m values (H a) computing differences, denoted as Δ_i, between pairs of values (H_i, H_i+p) of points (t_i, t_i+p) of the historical time series, the points having a predetermined time distance to each other, denoted as p; b) determining the median value, denoted as Δ_i_M, of the computed differences Δ_i; c) computing, on the basis of the determined median value Δ_i_M, a trend parameter, denoted as T, T being defined as T=Δ forecasting, in a computer, a process on the basis of a series of values over time (H a) for each value of the historical series (H b) computing the median basic value G_M over all the computed basic values G; and c) computing forecast values F, the forecast values being defined as F=(G_M+t_i T), with t_i being the time point of the forecast value F.