. For the FIFA world cup, Paul the octopus has been predicting the winner of each match with amazing success. It is rumored that in a match between 2 teams A and B, Paul picks A with the same probability as A’s chances of winning. Let’s assume such rumors to be true and that in a match between Ghana and Bolivia; Ghana the stronger team has a probability of 2/3 of winning the game. What is the probability that Paul will correctly pick the winner of the Ghana-Bolivia game?	Pick one.
A) 59
B) 88
C) 77
D) 26
E) 18

Rationale: the probability that paul correctly picks the winner = ( a ' s chances of winning ) x ( pauls picking the winner corectly ) + ( a ' s chances of loosing ) x ( paul picks wrongly ) = 23 × 23 + 13 × 13 = 59 answer : a
Answer: A