rapid circulation of warm subtropical waters in a major glacial fjord in east greenland the recent rapid increase in mass loss from the greenland ice sheet is primarily attributed to an acceleration of outlet glaciers oceanographic data obtained in summer 2008 show that subtropical waters that reside year round in the shelf ocean off greenland continuously enter a large glacial fjord in east greenland and contribute to melting at the glacier terminus the recent rapid increase in mass loss from the greenland ice sheet1 2 is primarily attributed to an acceleration of outlet glaciers3 4 5 one possible cause of this acceleration is increased melting at the ice ocean interface6 7 driven by the synchronous warming8 9 10 of subtropical waters offshore of greenland however because of the lack of observations from greenland s glacial fjords and our limited understanding of their dynamics this hypothesis is largely untested here we present oceanographic data collected in sermilik fjord east greenland by ship in summer 2008 and from moorings our data reveal the presence of subtropical waters throughout the fjord these waters are continuously replenished through a wind driven exchange with the shelf where they are present all year the temperature and renewal of these waters indicate that they currently cause enhanced submarine melting at the glacier terminus key controls on the melting rate are the volume and properties of the subtropical waters on the shelf and the patterns of along shore winds suggesting that the glaciers acceleration has been triggered by a combination of atmospheric and oceanic changes our measurements provide evidence for a rapid advective pathway for the transmission of oceanic variability to the ice sheet margins

glacier calving rates due to subglacial discharge fjord circulation and free convection we would like to thank the new hampshire space grant consortium award nnx15ah79h for the training grant to fund kms the conocophillips ludin northern area program under the crios project and the dartmouth graduate studies travel fund for their financial support to conduct fieldwork and travel for data dissemination the polar geospatial center for arranging access to the worldview 2 imagery the uk natural environmental research council nerk oceans 2025 and northern sea program for mooring work support with further support from the research council of norway nfr projects circa 214271 cleopatra 178766 cleopatra ii 216537 and marine night 226471 alex hart and the geosciences mechanical workshop at the university of edinburgh for manufacturing the time lapse camera enclosure that was used in this study colin oriffiths for overseeing the collection of mooring data in kongsfjorden since 2002 esa for processing the copernicus sentinel data 2016

turbulent heat flux in the upper ocean under sea ice turbulence data from three arctic drift station experiments demonstrate features of turbulent heat transfer in the oceanic boundary layer time series analysis of several w t records shows that heat and momentum flux occur at nearly the same scales typically by turbulent eddies of the order of 10 20 m in horizontal extent and a few meters in vertical extent probability distribution functions of w t have large skewness and kurtosis where the latter confirms that most of the flux occurs in intermittent events with positive and negative excursions an order of magnitude larger than the mean value an estimate of the eddy heat diffusivity in the outer ekman part of the boundary layer based on measured heat flux and temperature gradient during a diurnal tidal cycle over the yermak plateau slope north of fram strait agrees reasonably well with the eddy viscosity with values as high as 0 15 m2 s 1 an analysis of measurements made near the ice ocean interface at the three stations shows that heat flux increases with both temperature elevation above freezing and with friction velocity at the interface it also reveals a surprising uniformity in parameters describing the heat and mass transfer e g the thickness of the transition sublayer from a modified version of the yaglom kader theory is about 10 cm at all three sites despite nearly a fivefold difference in the under ice roughness z0 which ranges from approximately 2 to 9 cm a much simplified model for heat and mass transfer at the ice ocean interface suggested by the relative uniformity of the heat transfer coefficients at the three sites is outlined

ocean forcing of the greenland ice sheet calving fronts and patterns of retreat identified by automatic satellite monitoring of eastern outlet glaciers 1 we have developed an automatic method to identify changes in the position of calving glacier margins using daily modis imagery application of the method to 32 ocean terminating glaciers in east greenland produced 26 802 margin positions for a 10 year long period 2000 2009 we report these high resolution data and show that the glaciers exhibit seasonal cycles with magnitudes of advance and retreat proportional to glacier width despite similar seasonality there is a distinct difference between the interannual trends of calving front positions north and south of 69 n all glaciers above this latitude showed very limited or no change when seasonality was excluded while glaciers south of 69 n retreated significantly between 2001 and 2005 2 3 km on average approximately 26 of the retreat of southern glaciers was regained by readvance from 2005 to 2009 to explain the latitudinal boundary of glacier dynamics we review basic climatic factors including summer and winter atmospheric forcing sea ice conditions and ocean temperature we conclude that the southern retreats were strongly influenced by warm oceanic conditions associated with increased transport of subtropical waters to the irminger sea and to fjords and coastal regions south of 69 n northern glaciers remained stable despite significant increase in runoff in this region because fjords at latitudes higher than 69 n are less exposed to subtropical waters the southern retreats illustrate sensitive behavior of calving glaciers and we hypothesize that the calving fronts retreated because they were exposed to rapid ice front melting

distributed subglacial discharge drives significant submarine melt at a greenland tidewater glacier this is the publisher s final pdf the article is copyrighted by american geophysical union and published by john wiley sons inc it can be found at http agupubs onlinelibrary wiley com agu journal 10 1002 28issn 291944 8007

the effect of meltwater plumes on the melting of a vertical glacier face abstractfreshwater produced by the surface melting of ice sheets is commonly discharged into ocean fjords from the bottom of deep fjord terminating glaciers the discharge of the freshwater forms upwelling plumes in front of the glacier calving face this study simulates the meltwater plumes emanated into an unstratified environment using a nonhydrostatic ocean model with an unstructured mesh and subgrid scale mixing calibrated by comparison to established plume theory the presence of an ice face reduces the entrainment of seawater into the meltwater plumes so the plumes remain attached to the ice front in contrast to previous simple models ice melting increases with height above the discharge also in contrast to some simple models and the authors speculate that this overcutting may contribute to the tendency of icebergs to topple inwards toward the ice face upon calving the overall melt rate is found to increase with discharge flux only up to a critical value which depends on the channel size

estimating ocean heat transports and submarine melt rates in sermilik fjord greenland using lowered acoustic doppler current profiler ladcp velocity profiles submarine melting at the ice ocean interface is a significant term in the mass balance of marine terminating outlet glaciers however obtaining direct measurements of the submarine melt rate or the ocean heat transport towards the glacier that drives this melting has been difficult due to the scarcity of observations as well as the complexity of oceanic flows here we present a method that uses synoptic velocity and temperature profiles but accounts for the dominant mode of velocity variability to obtain representative heat transport estimates we apply this method to the sermilik fjord helheim glacier system in southeastern greenland using lowered acoustic doppler current profiler ladcp and hydrographic data collected in summer 2009 we find a mean heat transport towards the glacier of 29 10 9 w implying a submarine melt rate at the glacier face of 650 m a 1 t he resulting adjusted velocity profile is indicative of a multilayer residual circulation where the meltwater mixture flows out of the fjord at the surface and at the stratification maximum

convection driven melting near the grounding lines of ice shelves and tidewater glaciers subglacial meltwater draining along the bed of fast flowing marine terminating glaciers emerges at the groundingline wheretheiceeithergoesafloattoformaniceshelforterminates inacalvingface theinputof freshwater to the ocean provides a source of buoyancy and drives convective motion alongside the ice ocean interface this process is modeled using the theory of buoyant plumes that has previously been applied to the study of the larger scale circulation beneath ice shelves the plume grows through entrainment of ocean waters and the heat brought into the plume as a result drives melting at the ice ocean interface the equations are nondimensionalized by using scales appropriate for the region where the subglacial drainage rather than the subsequent addition of meltwater supplies the majority of the buoyancy forcing it is found that the melt rate within this region can be approximated reasonably well by a function that is linear in ocean temperature has a cube root dependence on the flux of subglacial meltwater and has a complex dependency on the slope of the ice ocean interface the model is used to investigate variability in melting induced by changes in both ocean temperature and subglacial discharge for a number of realistic examples of ice shelves and tidewater glaciers the results show how warming ocean waters and increasing subglacial drainage both generate increases in melting near the grounding line

partitioning effects from ocean and atmosphere on the calving stability of kangerdlugssuaq glacier east greenland we use the 7 km retreat of kangerdlugssuaq glacier kg east greenland to examine the mechanisms interactions and relative significance of atmospheric forcing and ice ocean interactions hydrographic data from 1991 1993 and 2004 show that subtropical waters are common in kangerdlugssuaq fjord kf and that surface waters were warm in 2004 relative to 1991 and 1993 the main water column was nonetheless warmest in 1991 we contend that while flow of subtropical waters into fjords provides a setting in which rapid glacier retreat can occur the triggering of retreat depends on additional environmental factors the climatic variables standing out in our study of kg and kf are air temperature and katabatic winds both had strong positive anomalies during winter 2004 05 when kg retreated we show that proglacial ice melange was absent and that fjord freeze up did not occur until 11 april 2005 due to warm and windy conditions we demonstrate that this setting is unusual and hypothesize that exposure to open water in winter months caused the retreat calculation of ice front melt rates shows that discharge of basal meltwater first from runoff and subsequently from frictional basal heating should intensify the interaction between glacier and fjord

north atlantic warming and the retreat of greenland s outlet glaciers mass loss from the greenland ice sheet quadrupled over the past two decades contributing a quarter of the observed global sea level rise increased submarine melting is thought to have triggered the retreat of greenland s outlet glaciers which is partly responsible for the ice loss however the chain of events and physical processes remain elusive recent evidence suggests that an anomalous inflow of subtropical waters driven by atmospheric changes multidecadal natural ocean variability and a long term increase in the north atlantic s upper ocean heat content since the 1950s all contributed to a warming of the subpolar north atlantic this led in conjunction with increased runoff to enhanced submarine glacier melting future climate projections raise the potential for continued increases in warming and ice mass loss with implications for sea level and climate

rapid submarine melting driven by subglacial discharge leconte glacier alaska 1 we show that subglacial freshwater discharge is the principal process driving high rates of submarine melting at tidewater glaciers this buoyant discharge draws in warm seawater entraining it in a turbulent upwelling flow along the submarine face that melts glacier ice to capture the effects of subglacial discharge on submarine melting we conducted 4 days of hydrographic transects during late summer 2012 at leconte glacier alaska a major rainstorm allowed us to document the influence of large changes in subglacial discharge we found strong submarine melt fluxes that increased from 9 1 1 0 to 16 8 1 3 m d 1 ice face equivalent frontal ablation as a result of the rainstorm with projected continued global warming and increased glacial runoff our results highlight the direct impact that increases in subglacial discharge will have on tidewater outlet systems these effects must be considered when modeling glacier response to future warming and increased runoff

oceanic heat delivery via kangerdlugssuaq fjord to the south east greenland ice sheet acceleration of the greenland ice sheet gris tidewater outlet glaciers has increased the ice sheet s contribution to global sea level rise over the last two decades coincident increases in atmospheric temperatures around greenland explain some of the increased ice loss but warm atlantic origin water aw is increasingly recognized as contributing to the accelerating ice mass loss particularly via the outlet glaciers of south east se greenland however there remains a lack of understanding of the variability in heat content of the water masses found to the east of greenland and how this heat is communicated to the outlet glaciers of the gris here a new analysis is presented of ocean gris interaction in which the oceanic heat flux toward the ice sheet in kangerdlugssuaq fjord 0 26 tw is an order of magnitude greater than that reported for the other major outlet glacier of se greenland helheim heat delivered by aw to the calving front of kangerdlugssuaq is equivalent to 10 m d 1 melt i e 30 60 of the ice flow speed and thus is highly significant during the observational campaign in september 2010 warm polar surface water psww melted a substantial volume of ice within the fjord equivalent to 25 of the volume melted by aw alone satellite derived sea surface temperatures show large interannual variability in psww over the 20 year period 1991 2011 anomalously warm psww was observed within the fjord prior to the well documented major ice front retreats of may 2004 and november 2010

seasonal changes in the morphology of the subglacial drainage system haut glacier d arolla switzerland dye tracing techniques were used to investigate the glacier wide pattern of change in the englacial subglacial drainage system of haut glacier d arolla during the ablation seasons of 1990 and 1991 analysis of breakthrough curve characteristics indicate that over the course of a melt season a system of major channels developed by headward growth at the expense of a hydraulically inefficient distributed system by the end of the melt season this channel system extended at least 3 3 km from the snout of the 4 km long glacier and drained the bulk of supraglacially derived meltwater passing through the glacier the upper limit of the channel system closely followed the retreating snowline up glacier rates of headward channel growth reached c 65 m d 1 although these rates decreased in the upper 1 km of the glacier where snowline retreat exposed a patchy firn aquifer it appears that the removal of snow with its high albedo and significant water storage capacity from the glacier surface resulted in a dramatic increase in the volume of runoff into moulins and in the peakedness of daily runoff cycles this induced transient high water pressures within the distributed drainage system which caused it to evolve rapidly into a channelised system it is therefore likely that at a local scale channel growth occurred down glacier from moulins and that the overall up glacier directed pattern of channel formation was caused by the retreating snowline exposing new moulins and crevasses to inputs of ice derived meltwater damping of diurnal melt inputs by storage in the firm aquifer accounts for the slowing of channel growth in the upper glacier 1998 john wiley sons ltd

modeling the impact of glacial runoff on fjord circulation and submarine melt rate using a new subgrid scale parameterization for glacial plumes the injection at depth of ice sheet runoff into fjords may be an important control on the frontal melt rate of tidewater glaciers here we develop a new parameterization for ice marginal plumes within the massachusetts institute of technology general circulation model mitgcm allowing three dimensional simulation of large 500 km2 glacial fjords on annual or longer time scales we find that for an idealized fjord without shelf driven circulation subglacial runoff produces a thin strong and warm down fjord current in the upper part of the water column balanced by a thick and slow up fjord current at greater depth although submarine melt rates increase with runoff due to higher melt rates where the plume is in contact with the ice front we find that annual submarine melt rate across the ice front is relatively insensitive to variability in annual runoff better knowledge of the spatial distribution of runoff controls on melt rate in those areas not directly in contact with plumes and feedback mechanisms linking submarine melting and iceberg calving are necessary to more fully understand the sensitivity of glacier mass balance to runoff driven fjord circulation

observations beneath pine island glacier in west antarctica and implications for its retreat thinning ice in west antarctica is currently contributing about 10 of the observed rise in global sea level observations obtained from an autonomous underwater vehicle operating beneath pine island glacier west antarctica reveal that the glacier was recently grounded on a transverse ridge in the sea floor but now warm sea water flows through the widening gap above the ridge thinning ice in west antarctica resulting from acceleration in the flow of outlet glaciers is at present contributing about 10 of the observed rise in global sea level1 pine island glacier in particular has shown nearly continuous acceleration2 3 and thinning4 5 throughout the short observational record the floating ice shelf that forms where the glacier reaches the coast has been thinning rapidly6 driven by changes in ocean heat transport beneath it as a result the line that separates grounded and floating ice has retreated inland7 these events have been postulated as the cause for the inland thinning and acceleration8 9 here we report evidence gathered by an autonomous underwater vehicle operating beneath the ice shelf that pine island glacier was recently grounded on a transverse ridge in the sea floor warm sea water now flows through a widening gap above the submarine ridge rapidly melting the thick ice of the newly formed upstream half of the ice shelf the present evolution of pine island glacier is thus part of a longer term trend that has moved the downstream limit of grounded ice inland by 30 km into water that is 300 m deeper than over the ridge crest the pace and ultimate extent of such potentially unstable retreat10 are central to the debate over the possibility of widespread ice sheet collapse triggered by climate change11 12

effect of near terminus subglacial hydrology on tidewater glacier submarine melt rates submarine melting of greenlandic tidewater glacier termini is proposed as a possible mechanism driving their recent thinning and retreat we use a general circulation model mitgcm to simulate water circulation driven by subglacial discharge at the terminus of an idealized tidewater glacier we vary the spatial distribution of subglacial discharge emerging at the grounding line of the glacier and examine the effect on submarine melt volume and distribution we find that subglacial hydrology exerts an important control on submarine melting under certain conditions a distributed system can induce a factor 5 more melt than a channelized system with plumes from a single channel inducing melt over only a localized area subglacial hydrology also controls the spatial distribution of melt which has the potential to control terminus morphology and calving style our results highlight the need to constrain near terminus subglacial hydrology at tidewater glaciers if we are to represent ocean forcing accurately

diverse calving patterns linked to glacier geometry iceberg calving implicated in the retreat of ice shelves is a complex process constrained by few observations numerical simulations suggest that the pattern of iceberg calving is controlled by the geometry of the glacier and that regions of greenland and antarctica may be particularly vulnerable to catastrophic calving driven retreat

undercutting of marine terminating glaciers in west greenland marine terminating glaciers control most of greenland s ice discharge into the ocean but little is known about the geometry of their frontal regions here we use side looking multibeam echo sounding observations to reveal that their frontal ice cliffs are grounded deeper below sea level than previously measured and their ice faces are neither vertical nor smooth but often undercut by the ocean and rough deep glacier grounding enables contact with subsurface warm salty atlantic waters aw which melts ice at rates of meters per day we detect cavities undercutting the base of the calving faces at the sites of subglacial water sgw discharge predicted by a hydrological model the observed pattern of undercutting is consistent with numerical simulations of ice melt in which buoyant plumes of sgw transport warm aw to the ice faces glacier undercutting likely enhances iceberg calving impacting ice front stability and in turn the glacier mass balance

a precipitation dominated mid latitude glacier system mount shasta california temperature is often seen as the dominant control on inter decadal glacier volume changes however despite regional warming over the past half century the glaciers of mount shasta have continued to expand following a contraction during a prolonged drought in the early twentieth century indicating a greater sensitivity to precipitation than temperature we use the 110 year record of fluctuations in mount shasta s glaciers and climate to calibrate numerical glacier models of the two largest glaciers the reconstructed balance and volume histories show a much greater correlation to precipitation than temperature and significant correlation to oscillatory modes of pacific ocean climate an approximately 20 increase in precipitation is needed for every 1 c increase in temperature to maintain stability under continued historical trends oscillations in climate modes and random variability will dominate inter decadal variability in ice volume under the strong warming trend predicted by a regional climate model the temperature trend will be the dominant forcing resulting in near total loss of mount shasta s glaciers by the end of the twenty first century

changes in ice front position on greenland s outlet glaciers from 1992 to 2007 1 previous studies in greenland show that retreat of tidewater glaciers may be linked to recent increases in ice loss raising greenland s contribution to sea level rise we examined ice front changes of 203 tidewater glaciers land terminating glaciers and glaciers terminating with ice shelves to understand greenland glacier behavior over three periods 1992 2000 2000 2006 and 2006 2007 we observed synchronous ice sheet wide increases in tidewater retreat during 2000 2006 relative to 1992 2000 coinciding with a 1 1 c increase in mean summer temperature at coastal weather stations rates of retreat for the southeast and east slowed during 2006 2007 when temperatures were slightly cooler than the 2000 2006 average our work suggests that regional greenland tidewater retreat responds strongly to climate change with higher temperatures corresponding to increasing retreat and helps confirm a link between ice thickness velocity and ice front position

dual doppler and single doppler analysis of a tornadic storm undergoing mergers and repeated tornadogenesis abstract dual doppler observations with unprecedented finescale spatial and temporal resolution are used to characterize the vector wind field in and near a tornado occurring near kiefer oklahoma on 26 may 1997 analyses of the dual doppler vector wind fields document in detail for the first time several structures associated with the tornado a proximate updraft region a rear flank downdraft wrapping around the tornado a double gust front structure occluding near the tornado and a region of enhanced vorticity separated from the tornado that may have been associated with cyclic tornadogenesis the analyses are compared to conceptual and computer models of tornadic storms a subsequent tornadogenesis was observed with radar every 18 s providing a finescale temporal view of the genesis process the genesis process was complex and the evolution of tornado intensity parameters was not monotonic in time low level rotation contracted and intensified then broadened then contracted and intensified a se

seasonal variability of submarine melt rate and circulation in an east greenland fjord 1 the circulation in a glacial fjord driven by a large tidewater glacier is investigated using a nonhydrostatic ocean general circulation model with a melt rate parameterization at the vertical glacier front the model configuration and water properties are based on data collected in sermilik fjord near helheim glacier a major greenland outlet glacier the approximately two layer stratification of the fjord s ambient waters causes the meltwater plume at the glacier front to drive a double cell circulation with two distinct outflows one at the free surface and one at the layers interface in summer the discharge of surface runoff at the base of the glacier subglacial discharge causes the circulation to be much more vigorous and associated with a larger melt rate than in winter the simulated double cell circulation is consistent in both seasons with observations from sermilik fjord seasonal differences are also present in the vertical structure of the melt rate which is maximum at the base of the glacier in summer and at the layers interface in winter simulated submarine melt rates are strongly sensitive to the amount of subglacial discharge to changes in water temperature and to the height of the layers they are also consistent with those inferred from simplified one dimensional models based on the theory of buoyant plumes our results also indicate that to correctly represent the dynamics of the meltwater plume care must be taken in the choice of viscosity and diffusivity values in the model

externally forced fluctuations in ocean temperature at greenland glaciers in non summer months the factors that control the submarine melt rate at greenland s glaciers are uncertain and largely inferred from brief summer surveys in the fjords where glaciers terminate continuous records of water properties and velocity for the months september to may from two large greenland fjords reveal strong variability on 3 to 10 day timescales as a result of pulses of water that are propagated from the shelf ocean

volcanic hazards from bezymianny and bandai type eruptions major slope failures are a significant degradational process at volcanoes slope failures and associated explosive eruptions have resulted in more than 20 000 fatalities in the past 400 years the historic record provides evidence for at least six of these events in the past century several historic debris avalanches exceed 1 km3 in volume holocene avalanches an order of magnitude larger have traveled 50 100 km from the source volcano and affected areas of 500 1500 km2 historic eruptions associated with major slope failures include those with a magmatic component bezymianny type and those solely phreatic bandai type the associated gravitational failures remove major segments of the volcanoes creating massive horseshoe shaped depressions commonly of caldera size the paroxysmal phase of a bezymianny type eruption may include powerful lateral explosions and pumiceous pyroclastic flows it is often followed by construction of lava dome or pyroclastic cone in the new crater bandai type eruptions begin and end with the paroxysmal phase during which slope failure removes a portion of the edifice massive volcanic landslides can also occur without related explosive eruptions as at the unzen volcano in 1792 the main potential hazards from these events derive from lateral blasts the debris avalanche itself and avalanche induced tsunamis lateral blasts produced by sudden decompression of hydrothermal and or magmatic systems can devastate areas in excess of 500km2 at velocities exceeding 100 m s 1 the ratio of area covered to distance traveled for the mount st helens and bezymianny lateral blasts exceeds that of many pyroclastic flows or surges of comparable volume the potential for large scale lateral blasts is likely related to the location of magma at the time of slope failure and appears highest when magma has intruded into the upper edifice as at mount st helens and bezymianny debris avalanches can move faster than 100 ms 1 and travel tens of kilometers when not confined by valley walls avalanches can affect wide areas beyond the volcano s flanks tsunamis from debris avalanches at coastal volcanoes have caused more fatalities than have the landslides themselves or associated eruptions the probable travel distance l of avalanches can be estimated by considering the potential vertical drop h data from a catalog of around 200 debris avalanches indicates that the h l rations for avalanches with volumes of 0 1 1 km3 average 0 13 and range 0 09 0 18 for avalanches exceeding 1 km3 h l ratios average 0 09 and range 0 5 0 13 large scale deformation of the volcanic edefice and intense local seismicity precede many slope failures and can indicate the likely failure direction and orientation of potential lateral blasts the nature and duration of precursory activity vary widely and the timing of slope faliure greatly affects the type of associated eruption bandai type eruptions are particularly difficult to anticipate because they typically climax suddenly without precursory eruptions and may be preceded by only short periods of seismicity