Premise: A Gainsborough man has been fined from driving for 16 months after he was caught driving a car under the influence of alcohol. Elliot Goldsmith, 21, of Trinity View, Gainsborough, had 56 microgrammes of alcohol in 100 millilitres of breath. He was also fined £200 and ordered to pay a £30 victim surcharge and £85 costs.
Hypothesis: There's is a ten percent chance that Elliot Goldsmith will become mayor of his city in the next five years.