Premise: Although he won with the lowest majority ever tallied by the ruling party , 48.7% of the votes , his ballots almost doubled those of outsider Diego Fernandez de Cevallos , the rightist runner-up . And insiders are now favored to win other Latin American elections in the coming months : In Brazil , Fernando Henrique Cardoso , a former Senate leader and Cabinet minister , is expected to finish ahead of outsider Luis Inacio (Lula) da Silva , a leftist former labor leader , in the first round of president.
Hypothesis: Fernando Henrique Cardoso may finish ahead.