Premise: The latest Newspoll, published in the Australian, reveals Bill Shorten is now the nation's preferred Prime Minister, a result which hasn't been seen in 3 years. The Coalition has dropped 4 points in the primary vote while Labor gained 6, now leading 41-33 per cent. The Newspoll show popular support for the Coalition are at a ten-year-low following last week's leadership coup that saw Scott Morrison replace Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister. Image: Kym Smith / News Corp Australia
Hypothesis: The incumbent PM is in danger of losing an election.