# SETI Predictions

I enjoyed reading through people's views of the [AGI Predictions](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YMokuZdoY9tEDHjzv/agi-predictions). I know only a little about AI and a little bit more about SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence), so I decided to make a similar poll. 

The [First Contact](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_contact_(science_fiction)) scenario with extraterrestrial intelligence shares certain similarities with the emergence of AGI. In the following, I ask similar questions to those in the AGI post. In addition, I add questions derived from the SETI literature. These are intended to reflect on AGI from a new perspective. 

In SETI, [it is debated that First Contact can cause great disturbance and change, positive and negative](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1104.4462.pdf). After all, civilizations which are capable of contacting us across the oceans of time and space are expected to be much more advanced - just like AGI is expected to be "superior" (whatever that means) to baseline humans.

**The form of First Contact**

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/RkLssuCrJ](elicit.org/binary/questions/RkLssuCrJ))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/dZ0ZTzPuE](elicit.org/binary/questions/dZ0ZTzPuE))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/5JWXrNKXX](elicit.org/binary/questions/5JWXrNKXX))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/qi1GGHSfe](elicit.org/binary/questions/qi1GGHSfe))

**Its timeline**

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/5GGrhl1F9](elicit.org/binary/questions/5GGrhl1F9))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/kmTnf6_gK](elicit.org/binary/questions/kmTnf6_gK))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/BD2RSu5os](elicit.org/binary/questions/BD2RSu5os))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/SFuDzSC-j](elicit.org/binary/questions/SFuDzSC-j))

**Our response**

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/LKPmY9FBE](elicit.org/binary/questions/LKPmY9FBE))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/AYfDCij9R](elicit.org/binary/questions/AYfDCij9R))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/tu8e3B_7x](elicit.org/binary/questions/tu8e3B_7x))

**The consequences**

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/z0rClHx76](elicit.org/binary/questions/z0rClHx76))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/ixfD5kuGO](elicit.org/binary/questions/ixfD5kuGO))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/Y0Qq6tXY8](elicit.org/binary/questions/Y0Qq6tXY8))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/vBwrDBIqi](elicit.org/binary/questions/vBwrDBIqi))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/C9d206Soq](elicit.org/binary/questions/C9d206Soq))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/dFBwknL6z](elicit.org/binary/questions/dFBwknL6z))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/4GhUodJjC](elicit.org/binary/questions/4GhUodJjC))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/Phb9Lt3dg](elicit.org/binary/questions/Phb9Lt3dg))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/4dG_L7u-R](elicit.org/binary/questions/4dG_L7u-R))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/R4_YuwIh1](elicit.org/binary/questions/R4_YuwIh1))

**Meta Questions**

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/IniI4IHzr](elicit.org/binary/questions/IniI4IHzr))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/1cu2uFw9k](elicit.org/binary/questions/1cu2uFw9k))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/fREqFM6f7](elicit.org/binary/questions/fREqFM6f7))

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/47mVmI6fY](elicit.org/binary/questions/47mVmI6fY))

And finally, of course:

Elicit Prediction ([elicit.org/binary/questions/EBdUsgD5R](elicit.org/binary/questions/EBdUsgD5R))