From: S947607@UMSLVMA.UMSL.EDU (Pavel Nikiforovitch)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.soccer
Subject: European Cups standings so far (as on October 12)
Date: 12 Oct 92 21:44:26 GMT



 This is the table which illusrates European Cups 1992/93 standing so
 far (as on October 12)

=========================================================================
      |                   |         T E A M S         |
      |                   |                           | cur-     expec-
PLACE |     COUNTRY       |     started         now   | rent      ted
=========================================================================
  1     ITALY                   1+1+4=6       1+1+4=6   3.500    8.083
  2     RUSSIA                  1+1+2=4       1+1+2=4   2.750    7.469
  3     BELGIUM                 1+1+3=5       1+1+3=5   2.800    7.438
  4     ENGLAND                 1+1+2=4       1+1+1=3   3.500    7.141
  5     FRANCE                  1+1+3=5       1+1+2=4   3.200    6.975
  6     CZECHO-SLOVAKIA         1+1+2=4       1+1+1=3   3.250    6.891
  7     PORTUGAL                1+1+3=5       1+1+2=4   3.000    6.775
  8     HOLLAND                 1+1+3=5       1+1+2=4   3.000    6.775
  9     TURKEY                  1+1+2=4       0+1+2=3   2.750    6.031
 10     SWITZERLAND             1+1+2=4       1+1+1=3   2.250    5.891
 11     SPAIN                   1+1+4=6       1+1+2=4   2.500    5.646
 12     GREECE                  1+1+2=4       1+1+1=3   2.000    5.641
 13     DENMARK                 1+1+2=4       0+1+2=3   2.250    5.531
 14     GERMANY                 1+2+4=7       0+1+3=4   2.714    5.205
 15     LATVIA                  1+0+0=1       -------   5.000    5.000
 15     ISRAEL                  1+1+0=2       -------   5.000    5.000
 17     SCOTLAND                1+1+3=5       1+0+2=3   1.800    4.675
 18     UKRAINE                 1+1+1=3       0+0+1=1   3.000    4.438
 19     AUSTRIA                 1+1+3=5       1+1+0=2   1.400    3.450
 20     ROMANIA                 1+1+3=5       1+1+0=2   1.200    3.250
 21     SWEDEN                  1+1+2=4       1+0+0=1   1.750    3.188
 22     HUNGARY                 1+1+1=3       0+0+1=1   1.667    3.105
 23     POLAND                  1+1+2=4       1+0+0=1   1.500    2.938
 24     SLOVENIA                1+1+1=3       -------   2.000    2.000
 25     BULGARIA                1+1+2=4       -------   1.500    1.500
 26     LUXEMBOURG              1+1+1=3       -------   1.333    1.333
 27     WALES                   0+1+0=1       -------   1.000    1.000
 27     FINLAND                 1+1+1=3       -------   1.000    1.000
 27     NORTHERN IRELAND        1+1+1=3       -------   1.000    1.000
 27     NORWAY                  1+1+1=3       -------   1.000    1.000
 31     CYPRUS                  1+1+1=3       -------   0.667    0.667
 31     IRELAND                 1+1+1=3       -------   0.667    0.667
 31     MALTA                   1+1+1=3       -------   0.667    0.667
 34     FAROE ISLANDS           1+1+0=2       -------   0.500    0.500
 35     ICELAND                 1+1+1=3       -------   0.333    0.333
 36     LITHUANIA               1+0+0=1       -------   0.000    0.000
 36     ESTONIA                 1+0+0=1       -------   0.000    0.000
 36     LIECHTENSTEIN           0+1+0=1       -------   0.000    0.000
=========================================================================

 Some explanations:
 ------------------
 1.) "a+b+c=d" means "a teams in Champion's Cup, b teams in Cup Winner's
     Cup, c teams in UEFA Cup, and d (a+b+c) teams overall."
 2.) "-------" means "0+0+0=0".
 3.) I assume everyone knows that every team gets 2 points for win, 1
     point for draw, and 1 point for qualifying to quarterfinals/semifi-
     nals/finals. (By the way, there will be no semifinals in Champion's
     Cup, because of new formula.) Then the whole bunch of points got
     by all teams of the country is divided on the number of teams of
     this country, started in the EuroCups.
 4.) How do I count the "expected points per team" ? Well, there are 92
     remaining points in Champion's Cup which will be divided among 16
     remaining teams (5.750 per team), 72 remaining points in Cup Win-
     ner's Cup which will be divided among 16 remaining teams (4.500 per
     team), and 138 remaining points in UEFA Cup which will be divided
     among 32 remaining teams (4.3125 per team). Sure, those points will
     not be divided equally, but for expectation we should assume they
     will. So, the more current points per team you have, the more teams
     of your country remain in EuroCups, and the less teams started in
     EuroCups -- the more "expected points" you deserve.
       For example, England started will 4 teams this season. England now
     has 3.500 points per team. There are 3 (1+1+1) remaining English
     team in EuroCups so far. So, according to fair expectation, it'll
     get 5.75 + 4.5 + 4.3125 = 14.5625 more points. 14.5625 / 4 = 3.641.
     3.500 + 3.641 = 7.141 "expected points per team".
       If I posted just "current points per team", it wouldn't be fair
     table.

Now some conclusions:
---------------------
1.) The preliminary round was very succesful for Israel, Slovenia, Lat-
    via, Ukraine and Luxembourg, who lost no teams. However, in the first
    round all of them lost all their teams (except Ukraine, who retained
    "Dinamo"(Kiev)). Only Italy, Russia and Belgium retained all their
    teams in the first round.

2.) According to the table above, the current "Big Five" of Europe are
    Italy, Russia, Belgium, England and France. Not very unusual -- in
    spite of Germany and Spain absence and Russia presence (well, after
    all, Russia is considered to be the Soviet Union's successor...)

    Well, that's all so far. Please feel free to add your comments and
    objections. Please don't ask me what the meaning of all this is.
    There is no meaning, all written above has been written just for fun.

    After October 21 I'll update
    all this stuff.