From: rmk@rmkhome.UUCP (Rick Kelly)
Organization: The Man With Ten Cats
Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1992 02:38:05 GMT
Reply-To: rmk@rmkhome.UUCP (Rick Kelly)

In article <1992Apr9.212413.2964@awdprime.austin.ibm.com> jfh@greenber.austin.ibm.com (John F Haugh II) writes:
>In article <4079@ucsbcsl.ucsb.edu> 6500cws@ucsbuxa.ucsb.edu (Christopher Wade Skinner) writes:
>>>Look at transmission rates of the HIV among homos vs. heteros 
>>>and the percentages of homos vs. heteros who have AIDs (in this 
>>>country, I could care less how many straight people in Timbuktu 
>>>have AIDS) and you will see that you are wrong.  
>>
>>BZZT!  And thanks for playing.  Contact the Center For Disease
>>Control in Atlanta.  They will set you right.
>
>BZZT!  Thank YOU for playing, but YOU are wrong.  As punishment,
>you are sentenced to a course in multivariable statistics.  If
>you analyze based on the real risk factors - which are homosexual
>intercourse, IV drug abuse, and prostitution, us non-drug abusing
>non-prostitute using heterosexuals remain a much lower (15 times
>lower or so ...) risk group than the aforementioned risk groups.
>
>[ Where "15 times" is based on the fact that 94% of recently reported
>  AIDS cases are related either to sex with homo- or bi- sexuals,
>  IV drug abusers, prostitutes, and their partners.  Us dull, boring,
>  non-sexually liberated heterosexuals, organ transplant and blood
>  recipients, healthcare workers and patients, account for a whopping
>  6%.  6 goes into 94 15 times with 4 left over ... ]

This is true if you include monogamous in there somewhere.   I suspect
that Magic Johnson wasn't visiting hookers.  He was just having heterosexual
sex with many partners, without protection.

>
>Now, you COULD argue that all heterosexuals abuse drugs and visit
>prostitutes, but that would be a lie.  Of course, I could argue
>that the sexuals behavior of homosexuals is (from a disease
>spreading perspective) equivalent to drug abuse and prostitution
>and you'd be hard pressed to refute that position given the numbers
>from your precious CDC ...

I just read a report from CDC today.

The conducted a survey on 11000 high school and college students.

19% of US high school students have had 4 or more sex partners.

This percentage jumps to 29% by their senior year.

Male students were more likely to be sexually active than female - 27%
to 12%.

The CDC said, "a substantial proportion of students engage in behaviors
that place them at risk for HIV infection."

Of students who had engaged in sex in the previous three months, 45% reported
using condoms.  Among students with four partners or more, it was 41%.

This is from a 1990 nationwide survey.  We can only speculate whether things
have improved or not.

Through February of this year there were 808 cases of AIDS reported in
Americans aged 13-19 and 8402 in Americans aged 20-24.

This is only a statistic for full blown AIDS cases.  The article notes that
it can take 10 years or more for HIV to develop into AIDS.  As things stand
right now, anyone in the 13-24 age group could be walking around with HIV
and not know it.  The chances are it will only be detected by accident( during
a physical exam that includes an HIV test or during a hospital stay ) or when
the symptoms begin to show up.  

-- 

Rick Kelly	rmk@rmkhome.UUCP	unixland!rmkhome!rmk	rmk@frog.UUCP
Newsgroups: alt.sex,alt.flame