Organization: Washington University, St. Louis
Date:         Wed, 04 Nov 92 18:52:24 CST
From:         Bapi Gupta <C31801AG@WUVMD>
To:           NETNEWS@WUVMD
Subject:      Gupta Power Ratings Predictions 11/4/92
Newsgroups:   rec.sport.football.college


Here are my predictions.

Last week was a pretty good week for my predictions as I went 30-7-1
picking winners and 22-12 against the spread.  I was 10-3 picking
favorites and 12-9 picking underdog (in other words the favorite
went 19-15 last week).

I beat Dendy this week for first amongst computer ratings after
settling for second to him for the past two weeks.  I was 4-5-3.

My top picks continue to shine - the four and five star picks are
now 21-10 (68%) for the season.  Last week my top seven picks went
6-1 against the spread.  Of the last ten four or five star picks,
nine have covered against the spread.

Here are my results so far this season.

           this week
---->   0 -  0  x5   0 -  0             8 -   5   x5   40 -  25   62%
 --->   1 -  0  x4   4 -  0            13 -   5   x4   52 -  20   72%
  -->   5 -  1  x3  15 -  3            26 -  32   x3   78 -  96   45%
   ->  10 -  9  x2  20 - 18            54 -  54   x2  108 - 108   50%
    >   6 -  2  x1   6 -  2            30 -  38   x1   30 -  38   44%
       -------      -------           ---------       ---------
       22 - 12      45 - 23           131 - 134       308 - 287
           65%          66%                 49%             52%

This week features a lot of four star picks(7) and seven upset picks.
The sole five star pick is #40 Wake Forest (5-3) favored to win by 3.5
at #75 Duke (2-6) while getting 3 points.  Sounds awfully good to me,
especially with Wake pumped after beating Clemson last week.  I would
say Boston College (+10) at Notre Dame and Georgia Tech (+3.5) at
Baylor are the best of the four star picks.  FSU, Alabama and Ohio
State are the strongest of the favorites.

Bapi

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Gupta Power Ratings for college football                       November 4, 1992

This week's predicted scores and spreads:
  - points for each team listed in far left and right columns
  - negative GPR spreads indicate national underdogs who are
    outright favorites by GPR.
  - positive GPR spreads indicate the nationally favored team is
    also favored to win by GPR.
  - selected teams versus national spread are pointed to in center column.
    longest arrows denote best picks.

     national favorite        natl   <->   GPR     national underdog
                             spread       spread

24 KANSAS STATE                1.0  <-      3.5  Iowa State                 20

44 FLORIDA STATE              26.5  <--    44.5  Maryland                    0
21 VIRGINIA                    4.0    -->  -0.5  North Carolina State       22
19 CLEMSON                     3.0   --->  -2.5  North Carolina             22
23 INDIANA                     5.0  <       6.0  Iowa                       17
20 MICHIGAN STATE              2.0   --->  -3.5  Wisconsin                  24

29 WEST VIRGINIA              15.0   --->   1.0  East Carolina              28
19 SOUTH CAROLINA              4.0    -->  -0.5  Louisiana Tech             20
26 KENTUCKY                    5.5          5.5  Vanderbilt                 20
36 SYRACUSE                   15.0  <-     20.5  Virginia Tech              15
24 FLORIDA                    15.0     ->   7.0  Southern Mississippi       17

40 OHIO STATE                 18.0  <--    30.0  Minnesota                  10
24 Air Force                   9.0     ->   3.5  ARMY                       20
21 DUKE                        3.0  ---->  -3.5  Wake Forest                24
26 Tulane                      4.0      >   3.5  NAVY                       23
27 NOTRE DAME                 10.0   --->   0.5  Boston College             26

25 BAYLOR                      3.5   --->  -1.0  Georgia Tech               26
24 NEBRASKA                   14.5     ->  10.5  Kansas                     14
30 OKLAHOMA                   13.0  <      15.5  Missouri                   15
22 ILLINOIS                    4.0      >   2.5  Purdue                     20
36 Michigan                   36.0    -->  19.5  NORTHWESTERN               17

32 San Diego State             3.5      >   2.5  WYOMING                    30
32 BRIGHAM YOUNG              18.0     ->  10.0  New Mexico                 22
30 COLORADO                   21.0     ->  13.0  Oklahoma State             17
27 MISSISSIPPI STATE          11.0  <-     15.0  Arkansas                   12
26 TULSA                      10.0     ->   3.5  U.T.E.P.                   22

25 TEXAS A&M                  17.0      >  16.0  Louisville                  9
34 Texas                      15.5      >  12.5  TEXAS CHRISTIAN            22
22 MISSISSIPPI                 2.0  <       3.0  Memphis State              19
26 RICE                        0.0      >  -0.5  Texas Tech                 26
30 Houston                    19.0   --->   3.0  SOUTHERN METHODIST         27

22 Southern California         1.5  <-      3.5  STANFORD                   18
25 California                  3.5     ->   1.0  OREGON                     24
25 WASHINGTON STATE            3.5  <       4.0  Arizona State              21
38 U.C.L.A.                   14.0     ->   7.5  Oregon State               30
28 Rutgers                     8.5      >   7.5  CINCINNATI                 21

40 Alabama                    16.5  <--    34.0  LOUISIANA STATE             6
32 FRESNO STATE                6.0   --->  -0.5  Utah                       32
20 Washington                  7.5      >   7.0  ARIZONA                    13
41 HAWAII                     10.5  <-     22.0  Colorado State             19
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.college