From: C31801AG@WUVMD (Bapi Gupta)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.college
Subject: Gupta Power Ratings Predictions 11/12/92
Date: 13 Nov 92 01:16:19 GMT
Organization: Washington University, St. Louis
To:           NETNEWS@WUVMD


Here are my predictions for this week's games.

Last week I was miserable for me in Chris Stassen's cfpool as Dendy
and I took the big dive after a few good weeks.  I think I only had 6/18
winners.  Overall I was 24-16 picking winners and 23-16 against the
spread, so it was a good week against the spread, but lousy straight up.

The five star pick, Wake Forest won easily 28-14 as an underdog.  The
four star picks suffered going only 2-5 after seven straight win.

I was 6-6 when I picked the favorite and 17-10 when I picked the underdog.
Underdogs went 27-12 last week.

          last week               last week
       no time weighting        time weighted          season to date
      ('official'  picks)    (will use this week)    (including column 1)

---->  1 - 0  x5   5 -  0     3 - 0  x5  15 -  0      9 -  5  x1  45 -  20  64%
 --->  2 - 5  x4   8 - 20     1 - 1  x4   4 -  4     15 - 10  x2  60 -  40  60%
  -->  5 - 1  x3  15 -  3     8 - 4  x3  24 - 12     31 - 33  x3  93 -  99  48%
   ->  8 - 6  x2  16 - 12     5 - 8  x2  10 - 16     62 - 60  x4 124 - 120  51%
    >  7 - 4  x1   7 -  4     4 - 4  x1   4 -  4     37 - 42  x5  37 -  42  47%
       -----      -------     -----      -------    --------     ---------
       23-16      51 - 39     21-17      57 - 36     154-150     359 - 321
         59%          57%       55%          61%         51%           53%

This week I am using the time weighting that I tested out last week and was
satisfied with.  It rates a team's most recent game twice as much as its
first game of the season.

There are four five star picks this week which is really a lot.  Wake Forest
(+7.5) is favored over Georgia Tech by 3 as Wake Forest is the best pick of
the week again this week.  Others include KSU (+5) over Missouri by 4, Arizona
(+2) over USC by 5, and Hawaii (+5.5) over SDSU by 4.5.

Bapi

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Gupta Power Ratings for college football                      November 12, 1992

This week's predicted scores and spreads:
  - points for each team listed in far left and right columns
  - negative GPR spreads indicate national underdogs who are
    outright favorites by GPR.
  - positive GPR spreads indicate the nationally favored team is
    also favored to win by GPR.
  - selected teams versus national spread are pointed to in center column.
    longest arrows denote best picks.

     national favorite        natl   <->   GPR     national underdog
                             spread       spread

34 Texas A&M                  13.5  <      14.5  HOUSTON                    19

31 MICHIGAN                   28.5     ->  19.0  Illinois                   12
27 Syracuse                    2.5      >   1.0  BOSTON COLLEGE             26
30 Clemson                    10.0      >   8.5  MARYLAND                   21
30 West Virginia               3.5     ->   1.0  RUTGERS                    29
32 NORTH CAROLINA STATE       16.0  <-     23.5  Duke                        9

23 Ohio State                  6.0  <-      9.0  INDIANA                    14
26 MICHIGAN STATE              4.0  <       5.0  Purdue                     21
21 GEORGIA TECH                7.5  ---->  -3.0  Wake Forest                24
21 VIRGINIA TECH               0.0     ->  -2.0  Southern Mississippi       23
25 FLORIDA                    15.0     ->   7.0  South Carolina             18

29 Louisville                  1.5  <-      5.0  PITTSBURGH                 24
26 Vanderbilt                 14.0     ->   5.5  NAVY                       21
30 NOTRE DAME                  8.0  <-     11.5  Penn State                 19
23 Georgia                     8.0     ->   5.0  AUBURN                     18
28 Colorado                    3.0     ->   0.5  KANSAS                     27

64 FLORIDA STATE              39.0  <--    64.0  Tulane                      0
46 Nebraska                   27.0  <      30.0  IOWA STATE                 16
24 Brigham Young               9.0     ->   3.5  AIR FORCE                  21
24 Baylor                      3.0    -->   0.0  RICE                       24
30 TEXAS                      19.0     ->   8.5  Southern Methodist         22

27 UTAH                        3.0    -->  -0.5  Wyoming                    28
20 MISSOURI                    5.0  ---->  -4.0  Kansas State               24
22 WISCONSIN                   7.0  <       8.5  Minnesota                  14
24 IOWA                       14.0     ->   9.5  Northwestern               14
30 NEW MEXICO                  3.0  <       4.5  U.T.E.P.                   26

16 Alabama                    10.0     ->   4.0  MISSISSIPPI STATE          12
19 Tennessee                   3.0   --->  -2.5  MEMPHIS STATE              22
24 Oklahoma                   13.5    -->   3.0  OKLAHOMA STATE             21
28 Texas Tech                  3.5    -->   0.0  TEXAS CHRISTIAN            28
22 MISSISSIPPI                 7.5      >   6.5  Louisiana Tech             16

27 STANFORD                    9.0      >   7.0  Washington State           20
50 WASHINGTON                 34.0  <--    50.5  Oregon State                0
66 MIAMI, FLORIDA             41.5  <--    66.0  Temple                      0
31 OREGON                     10.0  <-     16.0  U.C.L.A.                   15
20 Kentucky                    3.5    -->  -0.5  CINCINNATI                 21

11 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA         2.0  ---->  -5.0  Arizona                    16
24 ARIZONA STATE               2.0      >   1.5  California                 22
26 SAN DIEGO STATE             5.5  ---->  -4.5  Hawaii                     30
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.college