From: rsmith@strobe.ATC.Olivetti.Com (Russ Smith)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball
Subject: Re: Pedro Guerrero
Date: 21 Jul 92 14:54:58 GMT
Distribution: na
Organization: Olivetti ATC; Cupertino CA, USA

In article <UeP0Z6_00iUy41CpUi@andrew.cmu.edu> tf0y+@andrew.cmu.edu (Todd Harris Fletcher) writes:
>>Does anyone have any speculation as to whom the Cardinals are going to
>protect?
>
>Let's seee.....you'll have to bear with me (Pirate fan).....
>
>The first ten should be easy:
>
>Ray Lankford
>Felix Jose
>Brian Jordan
>Todd Zeile
>Tom Pagnozzi
>Donavan Osborne
>Mike Perez
>Omar Olivares
>Bob Tewksbury
>Lee Smith

The first 9 seem pretty set, Lee Smith probably won't be protected, and
Worrell is a free agent, so the 10th guy will probably be Carpenter. Oquendo
will be the SS next year and Geronimo Pena will play 2B so they become 11
and 12.
>
>John Ericks should be considered, but his numbers last year were aweful.
Ericks last year was coming back from elbow surgery(missed virtually the
whole prior year), and struggled. Ericks throws 95+ but lacks the off
speed pitch and the stamina to be a great starter. He will end up as
a reliever ala Worrell IMHO. They might leave him off and hope the injury
scares off the expansion teams, I would probably make him #13 on the list
since I'm not sure Carpenter and Perez can be closers, and Kelly's numbers
aren't as good as perez' were in the minors
>Mark Clark progress well last season going from AA to the Bigs.
>Rheal Cormier has excellent control (8 BB in 68 IP)  Not dominating.
>John Kelly had a 1.38 ERA and 1.00 H&W Ratio with 30 Saves.  He is leading the
>       Texas league in save this year with 26.
>Rod Brewer - they've been waiting a while on this guy. But has 13 HR and

I think CLark and Cormier won't both be on the list, Cormier would get
chosen if unprotected so they could try to trade him to Montreal. Clark
is really throwing well, but has a history of arm problems. Brewer is 26 or
27 and this is his first year showing power, I would prefer him to Gallaraga
but the Cards seem to prefer Stan Royer. Kelly has great numbers as does
Beltran, but I was under the impression both guys were safe from the draft?


>Allen Watson is another strikeout pitcher with great control-Why doesn't
>he win?
>Ozzie Canseco is an old prospect but is hitting a lot of homeruns.

Ozzie's not a prospect, he's as big as Jose, but he's musclebound and
can't hit anything but mistakes IMHO. He doesn't walk or hit for average.
Watson is definitely not eligible for the draft, he was their 2nd #1 pick
in June of 1991(after Dmitri Young). Watson was just promoted to AA Arkansas
so he is pitching well, the Cards minor league teams aren't scoring runs
either so thats why his record is only so-so.



i
My guess for 14 and 15 would be Mark Clark and Stan Royer, so my list is
as follows.>

Lankford
Zeile
Jose
Pagnozzi
Jordan
Osborne
Perez
Olivares
Tewksbury
Carpenter
Oquendo
Pena
Ericks
Clark
Royer

I'm not certain of teh contracts status for guys like Perry, Thompson,
Hudler, Magrane, Bryn Smith etc., so one or more of them might have to
be protected or released. I think the Cards will try to trade Cormier
to Montreal prior to the draft. If they call up Rene Arocha, he'll make
the list, but they have sworn they WON"T call up Arocha.

I'm betting that Ozzie, Guerrero, Lee Smith and and DeLeon are all gone
next year, but I'm not even sure if they can leave Lee unprotected, he
might have to be protected . Without knowing exactly who is eligible
and must be protected(which means knowing everybody's contract status)
the above is my best guess.


Russ Smith
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"I want a world where I can eat a sea otter without getting sick!"

Leslie Nielsen in the Naked Gun 2 1/2
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