From: johndoe@jefferson.inmet (johndoe)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: Re: Detailed Playoff Picture [LONG]
Date: 24 Dec 92 19:25:31 GMT
Reply-To: johndoe@inmet.com (Bus error - core dumped)
Organization: Intermetrics, Inc.

a great analysis, except for a couple of minor self-contradictions/glitches:

			   AFC Central

   Pittsburgh (10-5)  Cleveland

	   win & Buff loss & Miami loss			- Div2

this scenario actually is divided in two:
	if SD win  - Div1
	if SD loss - Div2

   Houston (9-6)  Buffalo

	   loss & Denver win					- WC2

this seems incorrect to me.  if denver wins & houston loses, houston loses
the head-to-head matchup with a loss at mile-high.  this makes denver WC2
and houston WC3.  the analysis of denver seems to confirm this.

	   loss & KC win					- WC3

   Daniel Pomplun, Bellcore, danp@sabre.bellcore.com
   Phone:  (908) 758-2740  Fax: (908) 758-4268
   331 Newman Springs Rd, Red Bank, NJ 07701-7020,  MS: NVC-1E246

here is another way of looking at things.  there are five possible opening
round set-ups for the nfc and 20 possible opening round setups for the afc
(with one variable concerning the outcome two games in several scenarios).

5 opening scenarios (< visitor wins	> home wins	= doesn't matter)
giants-eagles	<   <   >   >   >   >
raiders-skins	=   =   <   <   =   =
packers-vikings	<   >   <   <   =   =
saints-jets     =   =   <   >   <   >
		1   2   3   4   2   5

for all scenarios, di1 is 49ers, di2 is cowboys

1:	wc2 @ wc1: packers @ saints	2:	wc2 @ wc1: eagles @ saints
	wc3 @ di3: eagles @ vikings		wc3 @ di3: redskins @ vikings

3:	wc2 @ wc1: eagles @ saints	4:	wc2 @ wc1: saints @ eagles
	wc3 @ di3: packers @ vikings		wc3 @ di3: packers @ vikings

5:	wc2 @ wc1: saints @ eagles
	wc3 @ di3: redskins @ vikings


afc - 20 scenarios (with one point differential variable**)

broncos-chiefs	< < < < < < < < < > > > > > > > > > > > >
bills-oilers	< < < > > > > > > < < < < < < > > > > > >
dolphins-pats   = = = < < < > > > < < < > > > < < < > > >
browns-steelers < = > < = > < = > < = > < = > < = > < = >
chargers-shawks < > < < > < < > < < > < < > < < > < < > <
		1 2 2 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 A B C D E F G H J K

1: di1: bills		di2: chargers	2: di1: bills		di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: broncos @ dolphins		wc2 @ wc1: broncos @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ steelers		wc3 @ di3: oilers @ chargers

3: di1: dolphins	di2: chargers	4: di1: dolphins	di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ bills		wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ bills
	wc3 @ di3: broncos @ steelers		wc3 @ di3: broncos @ chargers

5: di1: chargers	di2: bills	6: di1: bills		di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ dolphins		wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: broncos @ steelers		wc3 @ di3: broncos @ chargers

7: di1: steelers 	di2: chargers	8: di1: bills		di2: chargers
	wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ dolphins		wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: broncos @ bills		wc3 @ di3: oilers @ steelers

9: di1: bills		di2: steelers	A: di1: bills		di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: chargers @ dolphins		wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ chiefs		wc3 @ di3: oilers @ chargers

B: di1: bills		di2: chargers	C: di1: bills		di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins**		wc2 @ wc1: chargers @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ steelers		wc3 @ di3: oilers @ chiefs 

D: di1: bills		di2: steelers	E: di1: dolphins	di2: chargers
	wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins**		wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ bills
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ chargers		wc3 @ di3: chiefs @ steelers

F: di1: steelers	di2: dolphins	G: di1: steelers	di2: dolphins
	wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ bills		wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ bills
	wc3 @ di3: chargers @ chiefs		wc3 @ di3: chiefs @ chargers

H: di1: chargers	di2: bills	J: di1: bills		di2: steelers
	wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins**		wc2 @ wc1: oilers @ dolphins
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ steelers		wc3 @ di3: chargers @ chiefs

K: di1: steelers	di2: chargers	** the dolphins would visit the chiefs
	wc2 @ wc1: chiefs @ dolphins**	if the margin of victory by ne ovre mia
	wc3 @ di3: oilers @ bills	was 32 or more points greater than the
					margin of victory of kc over den.
					(applies only to games with this **
					marking)

-johndoe
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro