From: josh@cs.rutgers.edu
Newsgroups: sci.nanotech
Subject: Survey
Date: 1 Sep 92 03:13:37 GMT


This survey is an attempt to gain some insight into the sci.nanotech
readership, the penetration of nanotech-related ideas, and thus 
hopefully get a feel for a group of people who may well become a
major component of the nanotechnology "establishment" over the 
next few decades.

To respond to the survey, take this message, pop it into your
favorite text editor, and type in the answer to each question.
(Each question has been posed so that the answer is a number;
the expected range of answers will begin an otherwise blank line 
which is where we will look for your answer.  Example:

0.  In what year did Columbus discover America?
[1400-1600]  1492
             ^^^^ You write this part

Then MAIL the questionaire to josh@cs.rutgers.edu with the 
subject line of Re: Survey

(Personal data--all questions optional)

1. How many years of formal education have you had?
[0-50]

2. When did you first use a computer?
[1942-1992]

3. How many books have you read (in your life)?
[0-10000]

4. How many science fiction books have you read (in your life)?
[0-10000]

5. How many of the following have you read:
      Profiles of the Future (Clarke)
      Engines of Creation (Drexler)
      Unbounding the Future (Drexler)
      Future Magic (Forward)
      Mind Children (Moravec)
[0-5]

6. Rate, subjectively, the relevance of your current work or
   studies to nanotechnology:
    0 = Writer of Harlequin novels of romance
    5 = Computer science, engineering, etc
    10 = Surface physics, molecular bioengineering or modelling, etc
[0-10]

(expectations for nanotechnogy)

7. When do you expect the first working nanocomputer to be constructed?
[1992-2100]

8. When do you expect the first self-reproducing assembler?
[1992-2100]

9. When do you expect the first self-reproducing nanomechanism 
   that can operate autonomously without special fuel, materials, etc?
[1992-2100]

10. In the year 2100, what will be the total human population?
[0-1,000,000,000,000]

11. In the year 2100, how many humans will live off the Earth?
[0-1,000,000,000]

12. In the year 2100 what will be the per capita gross product
    for all humans (measured in 1991 dollars) (currently USA 
    average = 21,800;  Somalia = 210).
[0-1,000,000,000]

13. Rate, on a logarithmic scale, the worst grey goo scenario
    that has a better than 50% chance of occurring before 2100:
      0 = no release
      1 = equivalent to major oil spill
      5 = equivalent to Black Plague
      9 = equivalent to "Dinosaur Killer" asteroid impact
     10 = all life extinguished
[0-10]

(nanotech capabilities: rate, as a percentage probability, the
likelihood that a *mature* nanotechnology will be able to
accomplish the following:)

14. Cure cancer (and/or aids).
[0-100]

15. Halt the aging process.
[0-100]

16. Significantly increase human intelligence.
[0-100]

17. Construct Earth-to-Moon vehicles affordable to individuals.
[0-100]

18. Convert garbage into food.
[0-100]

19. Convert lead into gold.
[0-100]

20. Produce a car that runs on tap water.
[0-100]

21. Real-time teleportation.
[0-100]

22. What year will such a mature nanotechnology be commercially available?
[2000-2250]

(sci.nanotech)

23. The technical level of article you'd like to see on sci.nanotech:
      0 = "It's impossible to copy your consciousness because even
           if it looks like and acts like you it isn't *you*."
     10 = "... a fraction of incident phonons $<\delta T_{trans}$ 
           will be subject to diffractive scattering from the ..."
[0-10]

24. What would you say was the *actual* level of articles (average),
    on the same scale?
[0-10]

25. The level of article you feel capable of contributing, on 
    the same scale:
[0-10]

Thanks!
--JoSH