From: cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com (Chris Martel)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: Re: Buffalo Bills
Date: 28 Jul 92 23:35:58 GMT
Reply-To: cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com
Distribution: usa
Organization: Clearpoint Research Corp, Hopkinton MA 01748

In article <1992Jul28.031552.17685@math.ucla.edu> rfedkiw@redwood.math.ucla.edu (Ronald Fedkiw) writes:
>In article <CPM.92Jul27163911@clyde.clearpoint.com> cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com wri
   tes:
>>Do you really think they will go undefeated in their division? I predict
>>they go 5-3 in their division. Remember last year they split the season
>>series with the pathetic Patriots in two close games. Didn't the Jets
>>come within an eyelash of victory over the Bills last year only to lose
>>it on a bad play at the end of the game. Both of these teams have improved
>>from last year. Have the Bills?


>First, neither team has a shot against Buffalo at home.
>Almost no team does.

The Bills could go undefeated at home and still be 5-3 in their
division.
 
>The Jets would have a shot in New Jersey, EXCEPT they play
>on Monday night. The Bills are starting to get famous for 
>punishing the Jets on Monday nights.
>If it wasn't a Monday night game, there might be some question
>as to the winner.

So your saying that when the Jets play the Bills on Monday night in
New Jersey its an automatic win for the Bills? Why doesn't this
make sense to me?

>New England beat the Bills last year in New England.
>It looked like someone actually watered the field with a garden
>hose before the game. Bills players, who rely on speed for
>preformance, were slipping and sliding all day. The chances of 
>this happening again are slim at best. Rumor has it that the 
>Bills will actually send someone to keep an eye on the field 
>this year during the pregame week to make sure that there is 
>no monkey business.

Blaming a loss to the Patriots on a wet field, thats a new one. As I 
recall Kelly had a bad day and the Pats just outplayed them winning 16-13. 
Even if the field was wet, it would effect both teams would'nt it? The
game at Buffalo the Bills won 22-17. Pretty dominant huh? 
Weren't the Bills something like 20TH in the league against the run last 
year? Your not going to win many superbowls with that kind of rush defense.
If you shutdown Kelly(which isn't easy) and run the ball alot you 
can be successfull against the Bills. Look what KC did on Monday Night last
year.

>>They had their chance to win the superbowl the last two years, but failed.
>>This will have an effect on them this year. They will not come out with the
>>same intestity as the last two years.

>Two years ago after the Bills (who were favored and beat the Giants in 
>New Jersey during regular season play) lost the Super Bowl,
>I heard the same tune.

Granted the Bills are the favorite to win the AFC, but I am saying they will
not win as many games as they did the last two years and if they win 12
games I would be very surprised. If you look over history the team that
loses the superbowl ussually does better the following year than the 
team that wins the superbowl, but how does the team who loses the superbowl
twice in row do the following year? Anyone have any stats on that?

>Some thought that the Bills would come out last season without intensity.
>In fact they came out so strong, and destroyed their opponents so bad
>in the early season, that some of the players actually burned out by
>the end of the year.

Heres the Bills game scores for the first 8 games:
        Mia @ Buf 31 35
        Pitt @ Buf 34 52
        Buf @ NYJ 23 20
        Buf @ TB 17 10
        Chi @ Buf 20 35
        Buf @ KC 6 33
        Ind @ Buf 6 42		
        Cin @ Buf 16 35

I see 4 blowouts >14pts: The Bengals were I think 3-13, Colts 1-15, Pitt ?, 
Chicago was the only good team they blew out. They were 7-1 in the first
half which is exceptional, but most of the teams they 'destroyed' were not 
top teams.

>The Bills have had a problem with peaking around mid-season.
>If they came out a little slower, it might be scary come playoff time.

We will find out!!


>Ron Fedkiw (rfedkiw@redwood.math.ucla.edu)


Chris Martel
Clearpoint Research
cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com