From: noring@netcom.com (Jon Noring)
Subject: Perot's Vote Percentage State-by-State
Organization: Netcom - Online Communication Services  (408 241-9760 guest) 
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1992 22:49:54 GMT

Hello, 

Using data supplied in a prior post, I constructed the following table which
shows the percentage of the total vote in each state (and DC) that was cast
for Ross Perot.  They are sorted from the highest percentage to the lowest.
Note that this data is not yet final - in many states not all the votes have
been counted.  However, the lowest tally percentage among the states, 89%
(AZ and OR), is still high enough to deem not affect the final percentage
that much.  In addition, the percentages in this table were derived not
considering any other candidates than Clinton, Bush and Perot.  Again, this
should not make too much of a difference.  I wouldn't be surprised if the
final results, considering all candidates and all votes, will not vary any
more than 1% from the percentages listed below.  I'll make some observations
at the end of this table.

State   % Cast for Perot
=====   ================
 ME            30
 UT            29
 AK            28
 ID            28
 KS            27
 NV            27
 MT            26
 WY            26 
 OR            25
 AZ            24
 MN            24
 NE            24
 WA            24
 CO            23
 MA            23
 ND            23
 NH            23
 OK            23
 RI            23
 VT            23
 CT            22
 MO            22
 SD            22
 TX            22
 WI            22
 CA            21
 DE            21
 OH            21
 FL            20
 IN            20  
 MI            20
 IA            19
 PA            18
 IL            17
 NJ            16
 NM            16
 NY            16
 WV            16
 GA            14  
 HI            14
 KY            14
 MD            14
 NC            14
 VA            14
 LA            12
 SC            12    
 AL            11
 AR            11
 TN            10
 MS             9
 DC             4  


The obvious regions of high Perot support are in New England (especially
Maine), and in the Western States (a notable exception being New Mexico).
Minnesota surprised me a lot (I'm originally from there) because the politics
there are quite liberal, but they are also very unusual (so maybe this is not
so much a surprise).  Massachusetts also surprised me a lot for the same
reason (though it is a New England state, it's not quite as populist as the
other New England states.)

The obvious region of low Perot support is in the Deep South and the
Appalachian states.  The Mid-Atlantic States as well as some of the
Midwest states (including OH, IN, etc.) were also below the national
average of 19% for Perot, but not as striking as the Deep South.

Just my observations.  Any comments or explanations for these variations?

Jon Noring


(p.s., this table only looks at the actual vote.  I'd be interested to see,
state-by-state, how the polls looked just prior to the election which asked
the question:  "Who would you LIKE to see for President?", not "Who are you
voting for?"  I've heard some of these polls put Perot support at well over
50%! of the electorate.  Comparing the two can show us the states where
voters were more likely to vote strategically (e.g., "I don't want to waste
my vote and I don't want to see candidate xyz become President"), and where
voters were more likely to vote ideologically (or voting their conscience,
that is, "I will vote for the candidate I want to see as President").  Does
anybody have any of this data?  I know it was taken by CNN (but not reported
by them because it would "confuse" the voter), for example.)


-- 
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------->   I VOTED FOR PEROT IN '92
------->   support UNITED WE STAND!

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