From: johnr@bohra.cpg.oz.au (John Reid)
Subject: Re: YYYEEEEESSSSSSS!!!
Keywords: lame birds, Election, deliverance.
Organization: Computer Power Software
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 1992 06:32:05 GMT

mzimmers@netcom.com (Michael Zimmers) writes:

>In article <1992Nov4.181441.16820@murdoch.acc.Virginia.EDU> prs9k@brain.med.virginia.edu (Phil Scarr) writes:

>>In article <1992Nov4.161616.21762@netcom.com> mzimmers@netcom.com (Michael Zimmers) writes:

>>>In your obvious hatred for George Bush and his administration, you
>>>seem to have completely overlooked what you chose in his place.  Four
>>>years from now, Clinton will be so much a lame duck that Jimmy Carter
>>>will seem to have been strong by comparison.  I just hope he doesn't
>>>so damage the country that it takes another 12 years to undo it.

>>Nothing more satisfying than a bitter geek.  Suck it up, buddy, suck it

>Nor more irritating than an ignorant, smug geek.

>>up!  When '96 rolls around and the republicans play the same game they
>>tried to play this year they'll see it fail as miserably as it did this
>>time around.  I can't wait for that Dan Quayle candidacy in '96!  Go big
>>D!

>I guess this is where I do my Phil Ronzone imitation:

>"You are very ignorant."

>Now then, 

>In the first place, if you think that Quayle's gonna be a GOP player,
>you're on drugs.  Bob Dole is the only name you'll hear in '96.

>Secondly, by the time that '96 rolls around, I expect that most people
>will have become so displeased with Clinton that he'll have a tough
>time surviving the Democratic challengers.  He's so poised for failure
>it's almost funny.
>-- 
>Michael Zimmers                                    |  Home:  408 996 1984
>SoftHelp                                           |  Work:  408 996 1965
>Software Solutions for Open Systems                |  Data:  408 996 1974


The last democratic president came to power as a former one term governer
who had a reputation as haviing an uneasy relationship with the legislature
in his state. The newly elected president comes to power, by contrast, with
a reputation as an able administrator who has a good relationship with his
state legislature. On this basis I would expect him to prove to be a
potentially quite successful president. The next indication of any
substance we are likely to get is when he starts appointing people to his
administration. 

I think George Bush is likely to be remembered as a poor president because
he tended to ignore things he didn't find very interesting (like the
economy), and concentrated instead on things he did find interesting (like
foreign affairs). This has meant that the US has continued its relative
decline ( as measured by GNP per capita) vis a vis the rest of the OECD
(Germany has had higher GNP per capita since the early 80s). 

The US is probably now at a real crossroads in its history: for most of
this century it has had the great advantage of an industrial base that was
never seriously damaged in war, and hence had continous high levels of
national output. That advantage is now longer so relevant, since it is now
nearly 50 years since the last major war. Given that the competition is now
catching up (and in some cases passing the US), it is proably now or never
if the US is to do anything to improve its relative economic standing. US
economic might has been largely based on military industries, and in the
post Cold War world these are no longer so relevant. The challenge is to
increase the civilian economy's share in the high tech, high value end of
the the nation's activities (as is currently the case in Japan, for
example).

It could be a very interesting four years.....

John Reid



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John Reid                           
CP Software Export Pty Ltd,        (A Division of the Computer Power Group)
19 Cato Street, Hawthorn Vic 3123   Phone  : +61 3 823 0222
Australia                           Fax    : +61 3 824 8068
ACN 006 640 133                     ACSnet : johnr@bohra.cpg.oz.au
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John Reid                           
Newsgroups: chi.general,alt.activism,talk.politics.drugs