From: schmke@cco.caltech.edu (Kevin Todd Schmidt)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.college
Subject: Schmidt Computer Rankings through 11-Oct-92
Date: 13 Oct 1992 22:54:25 GMT
Organization: California Institute of Technology, Pasadena
Distribution: na
NNTP-Posting-Host: punisher.caltech.edu

Here are my computers rankings through games palyed 11-Oct-92.  I did
modify my algorithm slightly and the last week column is what it would
have been with my new algorithm.

Washington continues to be #1 after their win over California.  Miami
moves up 1 to #9 with the win over Penn State.  A lot of the discussion
about Miami being a possible #1 team is based on them playing two top
5 teams.  My rankings say that Penn State is not a top 5 team and is
in fact #23.

My rankings were the best computer rankings in Chris Stassens pool this
week beating Sagarin 556.23 to 525.39.  If I had used my new algorithm
I would have scored 604.43.  My new algorithm is actually a little worse
against the spread going 23-18-1 this week for a season total of
120-110-6.  Picking winners it is slightly better going 31-11-0 for
a season total of 160-71-5.  My best three picks against the spread
went 3-0 for a season total of 13-4-1.

I welcome comments and suggestions.

Kevin

Rank Team                      Points  Record Strength  Last Week    Change
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Washington                97.572   5-0-0  83.608  (  1,  97.695)  +0
2    Nebraska                  93.915   4-1-0  79.610  (  3,  93.034)  +1
3    Michigan                  93.356   4-0-1  75.204  (  2,  94.232)  -1
4    Florida_State             90.705   5-1-0  76.646  (  6,  88.843)  +2
5    Stanford                  89.520   5-1-0  77.495  (  5,  89.069)  +0
6    USC                       88.381   2-1-1  81.514  (  8,  87.236)  +2
7    Notre_Dame                88.310   4-1-1  76.889  (  4,  89.760)  -3
8    Virginia                  87.025   5-1-0  72.315  (  9,  86.850)  +1
9    Miami(Fla)                86.973   5-0-0  78.687  ( 10,  86.261)  +1
10   Kansas                    85.724   4-1-0  70.587  ( 11,  85.321)  +1
11   Boston_College            84.294   4-0-1  70.313  ( 12,  85.009)  +1
12   Tennessee                 83.921   5-1-0  70.139  (  7,  88.449)  -5
13   Georgia                   82.817   4-1-0  67.120  ( 13,  83.498)  +0
14   Arizona                   81.959   2-2-1  75.114  ( 18,  80.546)  +4
15   Alabama                   81.921   6-0-0  65.045  ( 14,  83.104)  -1
16   NC_State                  81.793   5-2-0  75.897  ( 25,  78.330)  +9
17   Washington_State          81.353   5-0-0  69.350  ( 23,  78.936)  +6
18   Utah                      81.222   4-1-0  73.039  ( 26,  78.243)  +8
19   Texas_A&M                 81.177   5-0-0  73.948  ( 15,  82.437)  -4
20   Colorado                  81.164   5-0-0  69.648  ( 19,  80.476)  -1
21   Clemson                   81.105   3-2-0  76.193  ( 29,  77.275)  +8
22   California                80.932   3-2-0  78.537  ( 17,  81.006)  -5
23   Penn_State                80.773   5-1-0  67.364  ( 16,  81.255)  -7
24   North_Carolina            78.716   4-1-0  69.083  ( 27,  77.765)  +3
25   Wisconsin                 78.651   3-2-0  77.798  ( 21,  79.524)  -4
26   Mississippi_State         78.360   4-1-0  72.406  ( 32,  76.276)  +6
27   UCLA                      78.100   3-2-0  74.719  ( 22,  78.991)  -5
28   Ohio_State                77.423   3-2-0  72.640  ( 24,  78.527)  -4
29   Oklahoma                  76.826   3-2-0  70.391  ( 20,  80.297)  -9
30   Georgia_Tech              76.767   4-1-0  76.785  ( 39,  73.974)  +9
31   West_Virginia             76.485   3-0-2  71.124  ( 33,  76.158)  +2
32   San_Diego_State           76.184   2-1-1  74.746  ( 36,  76.074)  +4
33   Arizona_State             76.162   2-3-0  78.185  ( 31,  76.423)  -2
34   Oregon                    75.472   3-3-0  75.953  ( 28,  77.310)  -6
35   Fresno_State              75.381   3-3-0  68.879  ( 34,  76.150)  -1
36   Houston                   75.137   2-2-0  72.190  ( 37,  76.073)  +1
37   Memphis_State             75.035   2-3-0  70.277  ( 48,  72.242)  +11
38   Syracuse                  74.179   4-1-0  68.666  ( 57,  70.456)  +19
39   Hawaii                    73.560   3-1-0  74.477  ( 30,  76.442)  -9
40   Texas_Tech                73.548   2-4-0  75.185  ( 35,  76.112)  -5
41   Indiana                   73.336   3-2-0  69.333  ( 61,  69.679)  +20
42   BYU                       73.192   3-3-0  70.174  ( 54,  71.344)  +12
43   Iowa                      73.177   2-4-0  81.742  ( 52,  71.825)  +9
44   Florida                   72.994   2-2-0  75.588  ( 38,  74.263)  -6
44   Auburn                    72.994   4-2-0  68.823  ( 42,  73.698)  -2
46   Illinois                  72.955   3-2-0  72.007  ( 56,  70.595)  +10
47   Kansas_State              72.660   3-1-0  66.682  ( 40,  73.942)  -7
48   Michigan_State            72.371   1-4-0  82.215  ( 50,  71.940)  +2
49   LSU                       72.318   1-5-0  76.337  ( 44,  73.404)  -5
50   Maryland                  72.303   1-5-0  78.047  ( 51,  71.912)  +1
51   Central_Michigan          71.778   3-3-0  66.550  ( 43,  73.458)  -8
52   San_Jose_State            71.534   4-2-0  68.870  ( 55,  70.640)  +3
53   Northern_Illinois         71.182   2-3-0  69.983  ( 69,  68.501)  +16
54   Mississippi               71.040   3-2-0  70.028  ( 47,  72.281)  -7
55   Wake_Forest               71.023   2-3-0  77.957  ( 80,  66.151)  +25
56   Northwestern              70.375   1-4-0  81.146  ( 41,  73.925)  -15
57   Purdue                    70.269   2-3-0  74.998  ( 45,  72.671)  -12
58   Baylor                    70.197   3-3-0  66.310  ( 65,  68.934)  +7
59   Duke                      69.875   2-3-0  74.253  ( 71,  68.414)  +12
60   Bowling_Green             69.636   4-2-0  67.856  ( 58,  70.404)  -2
61   Rutgers                   69.514   3-3-0  69.979  ( 49,  72.173)  -12
62   Southern_Mississippi      69.418   3-3-0  72.181  ( 53,  71.545)  -9
63   Army                      69.310   2-2-0  70.664  ( 59,  70.125)  -4
64   Missouri                  68.780   1-4-0  72.425  ( 73,  67.600)  +9
65   Texas                     68.689   3-2-0  69.346  ( 87,  63.062)  +22
66   Arkansas                  68.648   2-4-0  76.300  ( 82,  65.748)  +16
67   Colorado_State            68.575   2-4-0  73.192  ( 77,  66.670)  +10
68   Iowa_State                68.515   2-3-0  69.660  ( 67,  68.752)  -1
69   Air_Force                 68.023   5-1-0  63.988  ( 60,  69.705)  -9
70   Toledo                    67.860   3-2-0  64.878  ( 66,  68.836)  -4
71   Louisville                67.777   2-4-0  72.440  ( 76,  66.886)  +5
72   Kentucky                  67.754   3-2-0  69.680  ( 70,  68.428)  -2
73   Oregon_State              67.589   1-4-1  81.095  ( 68,  68.582)  -5
74   Minnesota                 67.512   1-4-0  72.273  ( 81,  66.127)  +7
75   Miami(Ohio)               67.382   3-2-1  67.795  ( 79,  66.188)  +4
76   Vanderbilt                67.276   2-3-0  73.371  ( 46,  72.507)  -30
77   Cincinnati                67.182   1-4-0  72.046  ( 63,  69.303)  -14
78   Oklahoma_State            67.027   2-3-0  71.871  ( 64,  69.263)  -14
79   Louisiana_Tech            66.376   3-3-0  67.600  ( 74,  66.978)  -5
80   Rice                      66.334   2-3-0  63.053  ( 86,  64.423)  +6
81   Virginia_Tech             66.200   2-3-0  62.042  ( 75,  66.892)  -6
82   Ball_State                66.180   3-3-0  67.366  ( 85,  64.633)  +3
83   Wyoming                   65.642   3-3-0  66.147  ( 84,  64.668)  +1
84   Tulsa                     65.575   2-4-0  71.383  ( 62,  69.598)  -22
85   Pittsburgh                65.440   2-4-0  71.207  ( 83,  65.293)  -2
86   Western_Michigan          65.062   3-2-1  63.042  ( 78,  66.250)  -8
87   Akron                     64.461   3-2-0  58.428  ( 72,  68.080)  -15
88   Navy                      62.819   0-5-0  77.514  ( 88,  62.043)  +0
89   Utah_State                61.555   1-4-0  73.150  ( 92,  59.728)  +3
90   East_Carolina             59.926   2-3-0  67.829  ( 89,  61.913)  -1
91   SMU                       59.398   3-3-0  60.331  ( 90,  61.022)  -1
92   New_Mexico                59.310   1-5-0  64.041  ( 91,  60.989)  -1
93   Tulane                    59.298   2-3-0  67.513  ( 94,  59.474)  +1
94   South_Carolina            59.253   0-5-0  72.214  ( 93,  59.664)  -1
95   New_Mexico_State          59.180   4-2-0  58.464  ( 99,  56.738)  +4
96   SW_Louisiana              56.874   2-4-0  67.458  ( 95,  58.567)  -1
97   Nevada                    56.692   3-2-0  56.455  (101,  56.003)  +4
98   Temple                    56.404   1-4-0  68.300  (100,  56.510)  +2
99   UTEP                      56.264   0-5-0  64.703  ( 98,  57.034)  -1
100  Pacific                   56.187   1-5-0  62.768  (102,  55.408)  +2
101  TCU                       55.816   1-3-1  64.199  ( 97,  57.683)  -4
102  UNLV                      54.546   3-2-0  57.361  ( 96,  58.494)  -6
103  Ohio_University           54.297   1-5-0  65.428  (103,  54.915)  +0
104  Kent                      53.117   2-4-0  61.561  (107,  51.197)  +3
105  Arkansas_State            52.822   1-4-0  65.312  (106,  52.729)  +1
106  CS_Fullerton              52.738   1-5-0  66.471  (104,  54.604)  -2
107  Eastern_Michigan          51.807   0-6-0  66.382  (105,  52.875)  -2
-- 
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