From: roten@CUBA.gsfc.nasa.gov (Charles Roten)
Subject: Re: American Election
Organization: /cuba_b/dirbe/roten/.organization
X-Newsreader: GNU Emacs 18.57.1, GNUS 3.13, NNTP 3.10
Date: Fri, 4 Sep 1992 19:56:37 GMT

In article <2SEP199211235468@phobos.ucc.umass.edu> 
s9874194@phobos.ucc.umass.edu (s9874194) writes:

>Hello, every one. Here I am again.  
>
>What impact the presidential election here will have on Sino-US
>relationship?
>
>CW says that if CG ticket wins the election (very likely), the new
>administration will be much tougher than the Bush's one. At least
>Bill Cliton has been saying so.
>
>Do you think so? I do not!
>
>Look at the trend of the US investment in China, you may find the trend.
>Boeing, MD etc. just signed huge contracts with China. Big three automakers
>just sold more that $130m worth auto and auto parts to China. Those will
>help the US economy a lot. Those companies will have a lot to say in
>the American politics. Can CG really ignores the voice of those tycoon?
>You bet.

I disagree.  

If you track the policies espoused by the dominant faction of the 
Democratic party, (ie., the liberal wing), you will find, over the last 
40 years, the following trends:

1) Growing protectionist tendencies.  This is BAD for China (and the US 
   too, BTW).  And all it will take to stifle the growing trade 
   interdependence between China and the US is one piece of sufficiently 
   protectionist legislation passing the Democrat-controlled House and 
   Senate, and being signed into law by a President (Clinton, for the 
   sake of argument) who has *openly* espoused protectionist aims (I 
   refer to a recent speech in Michigan).  

2) Growing isolationism.  Again, bad for US-China relations.  

3) Growing geopolitical cluelessness.  

>Besides that, if you price of the goods in K-Mart or so raises 40%,
>US' economy will have more trouble to come out the recession.

Right.  And that brings me to 

4) Growing economic cluelessness.  Remember the Carter recession ?  
   Brrrrr !  The Liberal wing of the Democratic party has a loooong 
   track record of economic idiocy.  I agree, the Conservatives are 
   only marginally better, but at least they know what an economy is !

>So, moral concern has to yield to the economic concern or so called
>national interests. 

Which brings me to 

5) An growing tendency to link things like trade sanctions to perceived 
   human rights abuses, when in fact trade sanctions have *never* in my 
   memory corrected such abuses.  It wasn't Bush who pushed for 
   revocation of MFN for China.  And Clinton has tied his political 
   fortunes to the folks who did !  Think about it !!!  

>                    Capitol Hill is not going to make too much noise.
>After all, it will be their president sitting in the White House (assueme
>Bill Cliton wins the election and Democrats will still be the majority
>in the Congress.)
>
>Well, let's "wait and see".
>
>c.q.
>

--
Charles Roten | Hughes-STX, Incorporated | 
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