From: phillip@smith.EBay.Sun.COM (Philip Smith)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball.fantasy
Subject: Re: ROTISSERIE:  Shane Mack+Derek Bell for Mussina
Date: 6 Jan 93 22:24:48 GMT
Reply-To: phillip@smith.EBay.Sun.COM
Organization: Sun Microsystems, Inc.
NNTP-Posting-Host: smith.ebay.sun.com

Eric & Sean,

Mike Mussina was one of the best pitchers in the AL last year.
Where were you? His ERA was below 3 all year. He won a lot (16 or 18 Wins).
His ratio was sparkling (below 1.1) as was his K/BB's(Well over 2). 
He was the O's 3rd or 4 starter but he was the only consistent starter for
them all year long. I had him all season long and did'nt take him out of
the lineup at all. Which I can't say for the rest of my pitchers. 
I expect to see him win a Cy Young award this season or next he has that 
much potential. 
 
Philip Smith 

In article 8372@news.duke.edu, fierkelab@bchm.biochem.duke.edu () writes:
>In article <9301062015.AA18744@rit.cs.rit.edu> scs2080@cs.rit.edu (Sean C
>Sullivan) writes:
>>I play in a Rotisserie-like league.
>>
>>My league uses these categories:
>>  Offense - Batting Avg, Slugging, Runs+RBI, Walks, Stolen Bases
>>  Pitching - ERA, Wins, Saves, K/BB ratio, H/9 ip
>>
>>I've been offered this trade:
>>	I would receive - Shane Mack and Derek Bell
>>	I would give up - Mike Mussina
>>
>>Ignoring Salaries and contract status, should I make
>>this deal?
>>
>>I'm looking for feedback.  I already know that Derek
>>Bell should start for Toronto in 1993.
>>
>>Thanks.
>>-Sean
>> scs2080@cs.rit.edu
>> sullis@rpi.edu
>>
>
>Well, there are a couple of variables to consider...
>
>1)  How strong is your pitching versus your outfield?
>2)  How long do you get to protect players in your league?
>3)  How well do you think your team will do this year?  Next year?
>
>IMO, this trade boils down to the futures of Derek Bell and Mike Mussina. 
>Shane Mack is a good but not great outfieleder who will help you this year if
>you have a weak outfield.  If your outfield is strong and your pitching is
>weak, then this deal would only help you if you can trade your surplus
>outfielders for more pitching.  (Sorry if this sounds kinda obvious, just
>thinking through my fingertips...)
>
>Questions about the players...is Derek Bell the next George Bell, or the next
>Mark Whiten?  If you think he's more like George than Mark, then the trade's
>probably worth it.  If I recall, Derek tended to struggle a while at each level
>of minor league ball, then storm through that league the next season. 
>Presumably last season was his Major League "struggle".  The Blue Jays are
>pretty good judges of hitting talent, so, if they think he's ready, he probably
>is.
>
>Mussina I don't know as much about off the top of my head.  I know he pitched a
>lot in college and I think he did OK with the O's at the end of last season. 
>I'd think he'd be less likely to have an outstanding season next year than
>Bell, but he may be a better bet in the long run.
>
>In summation, if it were me, I'd make the trade if
>a)  I was deep in pitching, weak in the outfield, and/or thought I had a chance
>of winning next season if I made the deal(any 2 of 3).
>b)  My team was so bad that two live bodies beats one live body
>c)  I couldn't protect Mussina for the next 2-3 years...(depends on league
>circumstances)
>
>I wouldn't make the trade if I was building for the long run unless my outfield
>((starters and prospects) really stunk.
>
>Eric Roush			Deck us all with Boston Charlie
>fierkelab@			Walla Walla Wash and Kalamazoo!
>bchm.biochem.duke.edu	Nora's freezin' on the Trolley,
>				Swaller Dollar Cauliflower Alla-ga-Roo!
>
>				Walt Kelley
Xref: sparky rec.sport.baseball.fantasy:1035 rec.sport.baseball:37507