From: hankdtank <hank@waffle.sns.com>
Subject: Emmy Predictions 1/2
Organization: Systems'n'Software, Fremont, CA  94539-6669
Date: Thu, 27 Aug 92 17:58:08 PDT

The following are my predictions, and my predictions alone, for the Emmy 
Awards to be given out on Sunday, August 30.  I am making my decisions 
mainly on who will win, NOT should win.  I take into account TV politics, 
past history, and industry directions.  If I only get 20% of my predictions 
right, I'll be very happy.  Winners are identified by being spelled in 
CAPITAL LETTERS.  Categories where I have solid feeling about will have a 
'*' next to the winner.  Explanations will be located in [].  Now, my I have 
the envelope, please...

1. ART DIRECTION, SERIES: "Murder, She Wrote: Murder On Madison Avenue," 
CBS; "Northern Exposure: Cicely," CBS; "Quantum Leap: Song For The Soul," 
NBC; "STARTREK: THE NEXT GENERATION: UNIFICATION II," SYNDICATED. [ST:TNG 
should do very well in 'art' categories because of big budgets, sci-fi 
freedom, and its a way for the academy to make up for the fact that the show 
has no drama noms, especially for Stewart.  NX could win for its out of 
character period piece.  In contrast QL accomplished nothing new.]

2. ART DIRECTION, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "Cruel Doubt," Part Two, 
NBC;"Homefront," Pilot, ABC; "I'LL FLY AWAY," PILOT, NBC; "Hallmark Hall of 
Fame:Miss Rose White," NBC; "Young Indiana Jones and the Curse of the 
Jackal," Pilot,ABC.  [This series is the darling of the academy, and the 
fact that this great looking show didn't get the nom for ART DIRECTION, 
SERIES should push it above the other nondescript shows.  HF could win for 
its slick representation of the 40s.]

3. ART DIRECTION, VARIETY OR MUSIC PROGRAM: "The Carol Burnett Show: 
405,"CBS; "The 45th Annual Tony Awards," CBS; "The Magic of David 
Copperfield XIV:Flying ... Live the Dream," CBS; "Sixth Annual Soul Train 
Music Awards,"Syndicated; "THE 64TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS," ABC.  [It seems 
like tradition now-a-days to give an Emmy to the Oscars.]

4. CHOREOGRAPHY: *"THE 64TH ANNUAL ACADEMY AWARDS," ABC; "Comic Relief 
V,"HBO; "In Living Color," Show 307, Fox; "Paul Taylor's 'Speaking in 
Tongues':Dance in America," PBS; "Stompin' at the Savoy," CBS.  [See above.  
"Stompin' at the Savoy" should win, but won't.  I'm not sure what the PBS 
entry will do.  Its no "Civil War."]

5. CINEMATOGRAPHY, SERIES: "Doogie Howser, M.D.: Summer of '91," 
ABC;"Northern Exposure: Cicely," CBS; "Quantum Leap: Dreams," NBC; "THE 
YOUNGINDIANA JONES CHRONICLES: BRITISH EAST AFRICA 1909," ABC.  [I think NX 
should win, but the hoop-la of the 'Chronicles' should overcome that.  On 
location filming helps, too.]

6. CINEMATOGRAPHY, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: *"AFTERBURN," HBO; 
"Doublecrossed," HBO; "Into the Badlands," USA; "Lady Against the Odds," 
NBC; "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC.  ["Afterburn" with Laura 
Dern.  Chose it because it rhymes. ;) ]

7. COSTUMING, SERIES: "China Beach: Hello -- Goodbye," ABC; "HOMEFRONT: AT 
YOUR AGE," ABC; "L.A. Law: Double Breasted Suit," NBC; "MacGyver: Good 
Knight MacGyver," Part One, ABC. [The only standout of the bunch.  What is 
L.A. Law doing here?]

8. COSTUMING, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "The Babe Ruth Story," NBC; 
*"HOMEFRONT," PILOT, ABC.  [I am not sure on this one since I haven't heard 
anything or seen the "Ruth Story."]

9. COSTUME DESIGN, SERIES: "Brooklyn Bridge: War of the Worlds," CBS; "I'll 
Fly Away: The Slightest Distance," NBC; "P.S. I Luv U: What's Up Bugsy," 
CBS; "Quantum Leap: A Single Drop of Rain," NBC; "STAR TREK: THE NEXT 
GENERATION: COST OF LIVING," SYNDICATED.  [See number 1.  Only standout in 
this uninspiring category.]

10. COSTUME DESIGN, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "The Gambler IV: The Luck of the 
Draw," Part Two, NBC; *"I'LL FLY AWAY," PILOT, NBC; "Stompin' at the Savoy," 
CBS; "A Woman Named Jackie," Part One, NBC; "Young Indiana Jones and the 
Curse of the Jackal," Pilot, ABC.  [This category is a toss-up.  No clear 
standout.]

11. COSTUME DESIGN, VARIETY OR MUSIC PROGRAM: "The Carol Burnett Show: Show 
403," CBS, "In Living Color: Show 302," Fox; "THE SECRET LIFE OF BARRY'S 
WIFE," SHOWTIME; "The 64th Annual Academy Awards," ABC.  [Decision by 
elimination.  Hey, Emmy might love Oscar, but not that much.

12. DIRECTING, COMEDY SERIES: "Brooklyn Bridge: When Irish Eyes Are 
Smiling," CBS; "Cheers: Old Fashioned Wedding," NBC; *"MURPHY BROWN: SEND IN 
THE CLOWNS," CBS; "Murphy Brown: Birth 101," CBS, "Seinfeld: The Tapes," 
NBC.  [Trying to give a direction award to a comedy series is like the 
difference between cream white and off white.  There is a difference, but 
what is best?  "Bridge" is the only different series, but then, what was the 
last 'different' sit-com to win?  "Seinfeld" is a smoothly done show, but 
they will do something boring and choose "the Clowns."]

13. DIRECTING, DRAMA SERIES: "China Beach: Rewind," ABC; "I'LL FLY AWAY: ALL 
GOD'S CHILDREN," NBC; "L.A. Law: Say Goodnight Gracie," NBC; "Northern 
Exposure: Seoul Mater," CBS; "The Trials of Rosie O'Neill: Heartbreak 
Hotel," CBS.  [I am surprised with the direction of "I'll Fly Away."  For a 
first year, it is tremendous.  If you compare it to NX's first year, even 
HF, you can really see the difference.  The question is "Who sent in that NX 
episode!?!"  There are much better episodes to choose from.  The "It 
Happened in Juneau" episode, for example.]

14. DIRECTING, VARIETY OR MUSIC PROGRAM: "The 45th Annual Tony Awards," CBS; 
"Late Night With David Letterman: 10th Anniversary Special," NBC; "The 64th 
Annual Academy Awards," ABC; "THE TONIGHT SHOW STARRING JOHNNY CARSON," NBC; 
"Unforgettable, With Love: Natalie Cole Sings the Songs of Nat King Cole," 
PBS.  [The last chance to vote for this American Icon makes it the only 
standout in this weak category.  A regular "Letterman" was better directed 
than that Radio City extravaganza.] 

15. DIRECTING, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "Crash Landing: The Rescue of Flight 
232," ABC; "Homefront," Pilot, ABC; *"I'LL FLY AWAY," PILOT, NBC; "Mark 
Twain and Me," Disney Channel; "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," 
NBC; "Neil Simon's 'Broadway Bound,"' ABC.  [I am not familiar with some of 
the entrants, so I'll stick with "I'll Fly Away."]

16. SINGLE-CAMERA PRODUCTION EDITING, SERIES: "Brooklyn Bridge: War of the 
Worlds," CBS; "Law & Order: Misconception," NBC; "NORTHERN EXPOSURE: THREE 
AMIGOS," CBS; "Northern Exposure: Cicely," CBS; "The Trials of Rosie 
O'Neill: This Can't Be Love," CBS.  [I'm pretty sure that I'm wrong in this 
one.  NX has THE BEST single-camera editing in the business.  Everyone knows 
this.  The problem that might come up is will two noms split the vote.]

17. SINGLE-CAMERA PRODUCTION EDITING, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "Afterburn," 
HBO; "Drug Wars: The Cocaine Cartel," Part Two, NBC; "Homefront," Pilot, 
ABC; *"I'LL FLY AWAY," PILOT, NBC; "Young Indiana Jones and the Curse of the 
Jackal," Pilot, ABC.  [When in doubt, stick the the Academy darling.] 

18. MULTICAMERA PRODUCTION EDITING, SERIES: "Cheers: An Old Fashioned 
Wedding," NBC; "Coach: A Real Guy's Guy," ABC; *"HOME IMPROVEMENT: STEREO 
TYPICAL," ABC; "Murphy Brown: Send in the Clowns," CBS; "Seinfeld: The 
Subway," NBC.  [I said earlier that the academy doesn't like any thing 
different, but "Home Improvement" has just the right amount of creativity to 
separate it from the others, but not alienate the Academy.  Then again, 
doing an entire episode in a Subway should do the same thing for 
"Seinfeld."]

19. MULTICAMERA PRODUCTION EDITING, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: *"CIRQUE DU 
SOLEIL II: A NEW EXPERIENCE," HBO; "The Magic of David Copperfield XIV: 
Flying ... Live the Dream," CBS; "Sting at the Hollywood Bowl," Disney 
Channel.  [Is this category for real?  HBO needs to get its awards, and the 
Academy might get confused and think its voting for a foreign film or 
something.]

20. GRAPHIC DESIGN AND TITLE SEQUENCES: "Brooklyn Bridge," CBS; "In Living 
Color," Fox; "MTV Liquid TV," MTV; "The Very Best of the Ed Sullivan Show -- 
Two," CBS.  [MTV should/will win as this is MTV specialty.  The rest of the 
field should go back to the drawing board.]

21. HAIRSTYLING, SERIES: "HOMEFRONT: MAN THIS JOINT IS JUMPING," ABC; "In 
Living Color: Episode 310," Fox; "Sessions: If It's Tuesday, It Must Be 
Italian," HBO; "Star Trek: The Next Generation: Cost of Living," Syndicated. 
 [One reason this show is popular with women is because it has the best hair 
on TV.  As for ST:TNG, give a hair award to a show who's star is bald?!?  
Just kidding.]

22. HAIRSTYLING, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: *"HOMEFRONT," PILOT, ABC; "Marilyn 
and Me," ABC; "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC; "Hallmark Hall 
of Fame: O Pioneers!" CBS; "Young Indiana Jones and the Curse of the 
Jackal," Pilot, ABC.  [I don't know the competition.]

23. LIGHTING DIRECTION, COMEDY SERIES: "Davis Rules: A Foggy Day on Puget 
Sound," CBS; "Growing Pains: Home Malone," ABC; "Home Improvement: Luck Be a 
Taylor Tonight," ABC; *"NIGHT COURT: A GUY NAMED PHANTOM," PART ONE, NBC.  
[Lighting is more affected by the brightness of your set more than anything 
they do in a studio, especially on a sit-com.  I've always liked the gloomy 
lighting of NC.

24. LIGHTING DIRECTION, DRAMA SERIES, VARIETY SERIES, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: 
*"CIRQUE DU SOLEIL II: A NEW EXPERIENCE," HBO; "Comic Relief V," HBO; "The 
Magic of David Copperfield XIV: Flying ... Live the Dream," CBS; "The 64th 
Annual Academy Awards," ABC; "The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson," NBC. 
 [Another wierd/weak category.  I guess the Academy will pretend to be 
sophisticated.]  

25. MAKEUP, SERIES: "In Living Color: Show 327," Fox; "Northern Exposure: 
Cicely," CBS; "Perfect Strangers: Citizenship," Part One, ABC; "STAR TREK: 
THE NEXT GENERATION: COST OF LIVING," SYNDICATED; "Tales From the Crypt: 
Yellow," HBO.  [See number 1.  If NX or "Crypt" wins, I won't be shocked.

26. MAKEUP, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "The Babe Ruth Story," NBC; "Mark Twain 
and Me," Disney Channel; "Wild Texas Wind," NBC; *"YOUNG INDIANA JONES AND 
THE CURSE OF THE JACKEL," PILOT, ABC.  [I have no idea.]

27. MUSIC COMPOSITION, SERIES (DRAMATIC UNDERSCORE): "In the Heat of the 
Night: Family Reunion," NBC; "Matlock: The Strangler," NBC; "The Simpsons: 
Treehouse of Horror II," Fox; "STAR TREK: THE NEXT GENERATION: UNIFICATION 
1," SYNDICATED.  [See number 1 and realize that ST:TNG is the second best 
user of music.  I suppose the best user, NX's music composed by David 
Schwartz, is not dramatic enough.]

28. MUSIC COMPOSITION, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL (DRAMATIC UNDERSCORE): 
*"DOUBLECROSSED," HBO; "Fire in the Dark," CBS; " A Little Piece of Heaven," 
NBC; "Survive the Savage Sea," ABC.  [I have no idea.]

29. MUSIC DIRECTION: "Christmas in Washington," NBC; "THE KENNEDY CENTER 
HONORS," CBS; "Late Night With David Letterman: 10th Anniversary Special," 
NBC; "The 64th Annual Academy Awards," ABC.  [Music direction is their 
business.  High quality show, and a sophisticated choice for the academy.]

30. MUSIC AND LYRICS: *"THE CAROL BURNETT SHOW, SHOW 404," CBS; "Cast a 
Deadly Spell," HBO; "A Salute to America's Pets," ABC; "The Walt Disney 
Company Presents the American Teacher Awards," Disney Channel.  [I REALLY 
have no idea.]

31. MAIN TITLE THEME MUSIC: "Brooklyn Bridge," CBS; "I'LL FLY AWAY," NBC; 
"Major Dad," CBS; "Silk Stalkings," USA; "The Young Indiana Jones 
Chronicles," ABC.  [This is a matter of taste.  The sappy lyrics of 
"Brooklyn Bridge," the marching sounds of "Major Dad," the modern 
computerized theme of "Silk Stalkings," or the tacky movie score-ish track 
of "The Young Indiana Jones Chronicles."  I feel the classic contemporary 
piano playing of "I'll Fly Away" will win.  But the piano track from "Civil 
Wars" is the best.  And what's wrong with the accordion/harmonica music from 
NX?]


----
hank@waffle.sns.com  (hankdtank)
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