From: M21742@mwvm.mitre.org
Subject: Re: Forman/Bollinger $1/$500 TMC Bet
Organization: The MITRE Corporation, McLean VA 22102
Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1992 21:31:13 GMT

In article <1992Oct5.004619.7424@asl.dl.nec.com>
terry@aslws01.asl.dl.nec.com (Terry Bollinger) writes:
 
>
>
>Hi folks,
>
>Below is my proposed response to Richard Forman's challenge.  It is detailed,
>but it also is pretty blunt.  I'm saying that if high levels of anomolous
>heat exist at all in Pd(Hx,Dy) systems that it is not just TMC, but a form
>of TMC that is absolutely dependent on delocalization of deuterium and/or
>hydrogen atoms in some type of (transition) metal lattice for its existence,
>Richard Forman gets "everything else" (assuming widespread reproduction).
>
>If no such phenomena are ever made massively and easily reproducible, the
>bet becomes void after two years.
>
>                                Cheers,
>                                Terry Bollinger
>
>----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>                 PROPOSED FORMAN/BOLLINGER $1/$500 CF/TMC BET
>
>                          DRAFT 1 - October 4, 1992
>                              Terry B. Bollinger
>
>The following bet is proposed:
>
> o  Richard Forman (of "sci.physics.fusion") shall win $500 from Terry B.
>    Bollinger if heat production in excess of that possible by any known
>    chemical mechanism is shown to exist in transition metal deuterides and/or
>    hydride systems, AND the mechanism by which heat is produced is shown to
>    be something other than "total mass conversion" (TMC).  "TMC"means the
>    conversion of deutrium and/or hydrogen into energy with flagrant violation
>    of baryon conservation.  Production of heat without baryon violation shall
>    be considered "cold fusion," regardless of the exact process details.
>    Richard Forman shall also win in the event that TMC is demonstrated, but
>    the mechanism is show to be unrelated to band delocalization of deuterium
>    and/or hydrogen in metal lattices.
>
> o  Terry B. Bollinger (of "sci.physics.fusion") shall win $1 from Richard
>    Forman if heat production of the type described above is shown to be
>    real and reproducible; and TMC with massive violation of baryon number
>    is demonstrated to be the cause; and the TMC mechanism is demonstrated
>    to be causally dependent on delocalization of hydrogen and/or deuterium
>    in metal lattices.
>
>The details of how the bet is to be won are given below.
>
>PRECONDITION.  The following precondition must be met before the bet is to
>be considered active.  In the absence of the following precondition, the
>bet shall be considered void and neither party shall owe the other party
>any funds.  The precondition for the bet is:
>
>    Acceptance by the majority of the scientific community that there exist
>    well-defined, readily reproducible "recipes" by which room-temperature,
>    room-pressure experiments based on one or more compounds of the form
>    [Transition Metal](Hx,Dy) are capable of generating net energy outputs
>    well in excess of that possible by any type of chemical reaction that
>    could be postulated using the same total mass of reactants.  "Based on"
>    in this context means that the results cannot be reproduced if all of
>    the [Transition Metal](Hx,Dy) compounds are removed from the system.
>
>CONDITIONS BY WHICH THE PARTY TERRY B. BOLLINGER SHALL WIN THE BET.  The
>party Terry B. Bollinger shall be considered the winner of the bet if and
>only if: 1) the precondition has been met, and  2) all of the following
>additional conditions are demonstrated by the scientific community to be
>necessary for the generation of energy outputs in excess of those possible
>for any conceivable chemical reaction:
>
> 1. Delocalization of the wavefunctions of some portion of the (Hx,Dy) part
>    of the [TM](Hx,Dy) compound, as demonstrated by the formation of "bands"
>    of some fraction of the (Hx,Dy) component.  Band delocalization shall
>    be defined as for electron band formation in metals.  That is, some set
>    or sets of otherwise identical (Hx,Dy) fermions shall be shown to take
>    on a spectrum(s) of momentum values, and can be shown to demonstrate a
>    distinct Fermi surface(s).
>
> 2. Demonstration that there exists at least one example of [TM](Hx,Dy)
>    constructions in which 95% or more of the energy generated is:
>
>     a. In the form of low-energy heat and/or neutrinos, and
>
>     b. Is causally linked to the "disappearance" of some fraction of the
>        delocalized Fermi band (Hx,Dy) component.  That is, that the energy
>        generation process effectively disappears whenever delocalization
>        of any part of the (Hx,Dy) component is eliminated, and that the
>        95% heat/neutrino energy and mass loss measured for the system
>        shall never exceed the total mass/energy available from that part
>        of the (Hx,Dy) component shown to "disappear."
>
>CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH RICHARD FORMAN SHALL WIN THE BET.  If the precondition
>for the bet has been met and neither of the conditions (1) and (2) listed
>above for how Terry B. Bollinger shall win the bet, Richard Forman shall be
>considered the winner of the bet.
>
>LIMITATIONS.  This bet shall be active for a maximum of two years from the
>day on which Richard Forman formally accepts it, as demonstrated by public
>acceptance of the bet on the UseNet group known as "sci.physics.fusion".
>
>JUDGING.  As described in the bet, judging of who wins the bet shall be
>determined primarily by publically available information as to the acceptance
>of existence of [TM](Hx,Dy) energy production phenomena, and similar acceptance
>of the conditions required for such heat production.  In the event that such
>information becomes classified or otherwise unavailable, the participants shall
>wait until the end of the two year bet period and then declare the bet void if
>no adequate information for resolving the bet is available by that time.
>
>PAYMENT.  Payment to the winner shall be made no later than 30 days after
>mutual agreement by Richard Forman and Terry B. Bollinger that sufficient
>information has become publically available to make a determination of the
>winner of the bet.
>
>ARBITRATION.  In the event of disagreement about whether any preconditions or
>conditions have been met, it is suggested that Dieter Britz of the UseNet
>group "sci.phyics.fusion" be asked to take on the role of arbitrator.  If
>Dr. Britz is not mutually acceptable in such an arbitration role, Richard
>Forman and Terry B. Bollinger shall negotiate another mutually acceptable
>arbitrator.  If no such arbitrator can be agreed to, both parties shall
>forfit the amounts of their bets to a charity of their own choosing and the
>bet shall be declared void.
A very minor point, I hope. As I have said on the net many times--what about
the dirt in the system?  Do I still win if "native" dirt si responsible
for the effect? By that I mean--the dirt in Tom's or Takahashi's or
McKubre's cell. It might be going on an impurity in the palladium in the
electrolyte the gases, etc. If the answer is YES, Terry, the bet is on!
Dick Forman, Piled Higher and Deeper, (no More of the Same) and B.S.
Never Mr.--That is reserved for Professors at Harvard.
E-MAIL TO: DICK@MITRE.ORG
RICHARD A. (DICK) FORMAN AT MITRE IN MCLEAN, VA  (703) 883-6198
DISCLAIMER: MY OPINIONS ARE MY OWN NOT MY EMPLOYER'S.