From: jmk@cbnews.cb.att.com (joseph.m.knapp)
Newsgroups: alt.politics.elections
Subject: Ohio Poll Results
Date: 6 Sep 92 16:51:14 GMT
Organization: AT&T


Columbus Dispatch mail poll, September 6, 1992


Based on returns from 2,035 registered Ohio voters who intend to vote Nov. 3

Ballots were mailed to randomly selected voters; response rate: 26%

Despite the fact that this is a mail poll and respondents are self-selecting,
the Columbus Dispatch has been conducting polls like this for years and the
results hold up pretty well against the actual elections.

Results adjusted slightly to account for demographic differences between
poll respondents.

The poll included Ross Perot because he will be on the Ohio ballot.
Several minor candidates who may be on the ballot were not included 
in the poll.

The state was divided into six geographic regions for comparison
purposes. Major cities in each region are:

	NE	Cleveland
	NW	Toledo
	C	Columbus
	W	Dayton
	SE	Cincinnati
	SW	(none)

Sampling error is 3% (95% confidence) for the overall results

              Region       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
           Northeast      846       34       54        5        7
           Northwest      227       38       43        6       13
             Central      346       44       40        6       10
                West      216       42       45        4        9
           Southwest      235       50       35        6        9
           Southeast      165       40       44        8        8

   Party affiliation       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
            Democrat      818        8       83        4        5
          Republican      748       77        9        5        9
      No affiliation      435       33       41        9       17

           Education       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
        College grad      640       48       39        4        9
        Some college      597       38       47        6        9
    High school grad      605       36       49        6        9
    Some high school      129       24       62        5        9
        Grade school       39       23       62        8        7

                 Age       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
               18-24      103       19       58        9       14
               25-34      284       44       43        5        8
               35-44      379       38       47        6        9
               45-54      350       42       42        6       10
               55-64      382       37       49        5        9
               65-74      384       38       50        4        8
            75-older      129       53       36        6        5

                 Sex       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
                Male      927       43       43        7        7
              Female     1079       37       49        4       10

                Race       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
               White     1847       42       43        6        9
           Non-white      155        9       84        1        6

            Religion       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
             Baptist      235       35       55        4        6
          Protestant      932       45       40        5       10
            Catholic      557       38       48        5        9
              Jewish       33       12       82        0        6
         Other, none      236       30       52        9        9

     Union household       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
                 Yes      577       24       62        5        9
                  No     1407       45       40        3       12

       Annual income       N      Bush  Clinton    Perot    Undecided
    ================      ===     ====  =======    =====    =========
      Less than $10K      225       20       58        9       13
      $10,001-20,000      407       33       54        4        9
      $20,001-30,000      376       35       50        6        9
      $30,001-40,000      315       40       46        5        9
      $40,001-50,000      221       43       42        5       10
      $50,001-60,000      162       50       35        4       11
      $60,001-70,000       68       47       41        3        9
        $70,001-more      147       66       23        3        8

      TOTAL             (2035)      38       48        6        8

Total of responses in each category is less than 2035 because not everyone 
answers every question.

If only the Democrat and Republican vote is considered, here is how the
current poll compares to the 1988 returns:

         % of       1992 Poll        1988 Election
region   vote     Clinton   Bush    Dukakis    Bush
======   ====     =======   ====    =======    ====
  SE       8         53       47      45.5     54.5     
  SW      14         42       58      35.1     64.9     
   W      11         52       48      37.7     62.3     
   C      14         48       52      36.5     63.5     
  NE      42         62       38      53.0     47.0     
  NW      11         54       46      42.0     58.0

---
Joe Knapp     jmk@cbvox.att.com
Newsgroups: alt.politics.elections