X-Original-To:  CHRISTIA@ASUACAD.BITNET, MB09
Newsgroups: bit.listserv.christia
Date:         Tue, 7 Apr 1992 11:23:00 CDT
From:         MB09@SWTEXAS.BITNET
Subject:      Re: Abortion & Don't

From:         Kerry Stephenson <KSTE@PURCCVM.BITNET>

>  By the way, since this discussion is still public (despite my best efforts
>to move it), I would be very interested in hearing from anyone who has any
>knowledge of economics on this issue:  what is the logical economic impact
>of exterminating four thousand potential future taxpayers and laborers every
>day for nineteen years?  (Please do not give me the "these unwanted children
>would have ended up on welfare, a drain on our economy" argument, because the
>demographics on aborting women do not support that conclusion.)
                                               Love INC,
                                                        ---Kerry

Kerry,

This is what I have on the subject.  The information is from the book
"Abortion - Questions & Answers" by Dr. and Mrs. J.C. Wilke.  This book
is in question and answer format.

"Isn't the U.S. having a mini baby boom now?

In 1957 the average woman, during her reproductive years, had 3.7 children.
There were 4,300,000 children born that year.  (Keep in mind the replacement
level is 2.1 children per woman.)  Through the 1970's this rate dropped to 1.8
children born per woman.  But, with many more women of childbearing age (as
a result of previous higher replacement rates), the total births were about
3,5000,000 babies per year.  The baby boom women born in the 1950's-1960's
are now in thir prime childbearing years.  If they had maintained the fertility
rate of their mothers, the U.S. would be having over 7,000,000 births per
year.  Just to maintain a ZPG replacement rate, the U.S. wouldneed 4,200,000
births per year.  In reality, births are still under 4 million from teh low
of 3,200,000 in 1975.

What are the effects of an aging population?

The effects are far reaching.  Fewer children become fewer adolescents and
fewer young people, and fewer taxpaying workers.  By 2025 the world (not just
the U.S.) will have twice as many grandparents as babies.
                                        U.N. Conference, Vienna
                                        Washington Times, July 24, 1982

To understand this better, one must look ahead 30 years, using today's number
of born people and adding new births at the present rate.  This yeilds
a dramatic different age than that on the chart on page 160.  (This chart
(1980) shows how in three age groups, 25-44, 45-64, over 65, that not many
people die in the 25-44 age group, some people die in the 45-64 age group, and
Everyone dies in the over 65 age group.  It says today more persons are born
than are dying in the U.S. but tomorrow the U.S. will be buring more people
than are born because of the low replacement rate.)  Where in 1980, there were
over four people in the wage earning age, in 2020 there will be only a little
over two, for each person over 65 years.  Many in the working age are not
wage earners (e.g. housewives).  Therefore let us translate the above into
U.S. wage earners paying taxes and retired people drawing benefits from
those taxes.

The Western world, in the past half-century, has supported its senior and
disabled citizens with tax funds on a scale previously unknown.  But, unless
there are enough taxpaying younger workers, there will be no way that such
retirement and medical benefits can continue.

                RETIRED         WORKERS SUPPORTING
        1980       1                    3.5
        2000       1                    3.0
        2020       1                    2.0
        2040       1                    1.5


That is frightening.  Is there any other answer?

Only the obvious one.  Canadians are killing one out of six babies
conceived.  Americans are killing almost one out of three.  Some European
countries have even worse statistics.  Why not just quit killing preborn
babies?  It just might be worth our own lives!"

That's about all I have on the economic impact right now.  I am sure I could
come up with more given some time!

May Christ's Peace and Love be with you,

Michelle
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"With God all things are  possible."  Matthew 19:26
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