From: rdc@netcom.com (Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor)
Subject: Re: AI In the Year 2025 - Responses
Date: Wed, 29 Jul 92 00:43:59 GMT
Organization: Herbalife Inc.
Followup-To: comp.ai,misc.test,alt.newbie

I hope you have a sense of humor...


IN COMP.AI hendler@cs.umd.edu (Jim Hendler) writes:
)
)As promised, I have collected responses to my request for predictions
)on AI (and CS) in the year 2025.  I deliver a lecture on the subject
)tonight, and I profusely thank all of you who contributed.  Below are
)the ones that I will be using in the lecture.  They are about 80% of
)those I received, many others that had good ideas, but weren't in the
)form of short predictions had to be dropped.
)
)I look forward to sealing this list in a time capsule and hope I might
)be around in 2025 to see which of it has come true...
) -Jim Hendler
)
)Domestic robots able to do routine cleaning, including laundary and
)kitchen cleanup.  I predict that by 2025 these robots will be the
)basis for a multi-billion dollar industry. 

CARASSO PREDICTIONS:

Slave labor from 3rd world countries will do routine cleaning,
including laundary and kitchen cleanup.  I predict that by 2025 these
labors will be the basis for a multi-billion dollar industry.


)I predict with high confidence that people will no longer have to
)memorize phone numbers by 2025. .. jj

CARASSO PREDICTIONS:

I predict with high confidence that people will have to remember other
stupid social-security-number-like numbers that currently we don't
have to worry about.

)I forsee being able to purchase a "friend" the way you buy typical
)software. This AI-based (Eliza-like) program would be customizable
)as to sex, interests, age, etc., and would include a high-resolution
)animated image. Communication would be vocal; no keyboard. 

CARASSO PREDICTIONS:

These programs will offer special attachments with vibrating motor and
suction attachments.

)	In the year 2025, we will be able to model the human brain.

CARASSO PREDICTIONS:

	In the year 2025, we will be able to model the brain of
	most AI researchers.

)Natural Language Processing that works-passes the Turing Test, does
)not depend solely on keywords or brittle parsers, carries on
)conversations, does translations, searches based on content; the
)limiting factor will be knowledge representation.

CARASSO PREDICTION:

Is it because works passes the turing test does not depend solely on
keywords or brittle parsers carries on conversations does translations
searches based on content the limiting factor will be knowledge
representation that you came to me?

)Image processing will be so accurate that cancer cells will be detected
)one by one, and zapped. Cancer patients will stay alive indefinitely.

3rd floor children's toys and lingerie, next floor: Mars.


CARASSO: 

In 2025, people will still be debating whether we will have built
something truly intelligent by 2050, and most likely it will come in a
real bright and pretty box that says Super Mario Brothers.


CARASSO.
-- 
_______________________________________________________________
Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor,
Dietary Researcher,
Fiber Team,	     "Be one, be peace, be  like the hajiputki"
Herbalife Inc.			-Maharji Marhiyogi
E-mail:  rdc@netcom.com
_______________________________________________________________