From: mulac@daystrom.lerc.nasa.gov (Richard Mulac)
Subject: Re: The media will choose the next president
Followup-To: alt.politics.bush,alt.politics.clinton,alt.politics.elections
Organization: NASA Lewis Research Center [Cleveland, Ohio]
Date: Wed, 2 Sep 1992 04:58:08 GMT

In article <1992Sep1.191236.2498@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu> mzhao@magnus.acs.ohio-state.edu (Min Zhao) writes:
>In article <1992Sep1.170051.29045@eagle.lerc.nasa.gov> mulac@daystrom.lerc.nasa.gov (Richard Mulac) writes:
>>>What poll was this? The only poll you could get these numbers is a 
>>>poll of Republican delegates. And that poll means very little. 
>> 
>>  These were the responses from the groups they interviewed that night.
>>You would have expected their responses to be 20% more in favor of Clinton,
>>but instead they ran 75% Bush and 25% undecided.
> 
>    I've read several of your laughable articles arguing with laughable
>facts and reasoning.  Look, that Nightline show you have been referring to
>only had 10 or so people interviewed, a group of three or four fire fighters
>from Houston and another group of a few people from NJ. From there you have
>been drawing conclusion that "MAJORITY" will vote for BUSH, "MAJORITY" think
>they are better off than 4 years ago.  "MAJORITY" of what, "MAJORITY" of that
>10 or so people ?   Come on.  Show us you have a little more intelligence 
>than Dan Quyalee. 

    I agree that the 'sample' was small, but don't you think that it was
awfully strange that not one person said that they would vote for Clinton,
especially one of the gung-ho Perot supporters from NJ when Perot
supporters in general were leaning 3 to 1 towards Clinton in the polls.  I
think people who are going to be on national television will put a lot more
thought into answering questions than people being polled over the phone.
    My main point was that the media's view of the state of the country
will be the deciding factor come November.  Like other posters have stated,
the media tends to focus on the negative whether it involves the President
or Congress.  Even though the economic numbers show that relative to other
times a LOT of people are hurting, it is a FACT that the majority of people
in this country are employed and living in a time of low interest rates and
low inflation.  If the media is able to convince enough of that majority
that tough economic times are ahead for them too, then Clinton will win.
If they are not able to do that, then Bush will be re-elected.  Another
sad truth is that a smaller percentage of those who are hurting will
actually vote in November compared to those who are economically secure,
giving even more power to the majority.
   Now I don't think it takes a genius to understand this line of reasoning,
but if you find it laughable - good for you.  If you don't believe that a
MAJORITY of people in this country are well employed (8% national
unemployment rate), then you need to go back to math 101.  {:^)

-- 
Richard Mulac                                     mulac@daystrom.lerc.nasa.gov
NASA Lewis Research Center, 21000 Brookpark Road, MS 5-9, Cleveland, OH  44135
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Well, judging by his outlandish attire, he's some sort | These pontifications
of free-thinking anarchist." - Charles Montgomery Burns |      are my own!    
Newsgroups: alt.politics.bush,alt.politics.elections,alt.politics.clinton