From: gordons@netcom.com (Gordon Storga)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: Re: One fan's opinion on the big one
Date: 27 Jan 93 09:35:37 GMT
Distribution: na
Organization: Gizmonic Institute - Home of the "Big G Burger"

<C1H7wq.EAE@acsu.buffalo.edu> v077mdph@ubvmsd.cc.buffalo.edu (Snoopy) writes:
><1993Jan26.073927.21780@netcom.com>, gordons@netcom.com (Gordon Storga):
>><44038@sdcc12.ucsd.edu> kprashan@sdcc3.ucsd.edu (hyderabadi) writes:
>>>Buffalo
>>>Offense: Explosive passing game, feeds off the running game, great RB 
>>>         and backup, QB will take chances.
>> 
>>Inconsistent on all counts, either due to injuries or mental errors.
>
>	Inconsistent mainly due to errors by Kelly, and he seems to have
>improved.

One game in how many weeks?  I can't remember, was that him QBing the last
game of the season against Houston?

>>>Defense: Superstars who play a lot on emotion, physical up front, solid LBs
>>>         and average secondary.
>> 
>>Again, very suspect.  How many points did they give up to Houston?  That
>>wasn't that long ago.
>
>	I don't think so.  True, the Bills gave up 35 points in little over a
>half, and another 3 while in a prevent defense.  For most of that second half,
>though, they gave up nothing.  Also, the defense virtually won the game at
>Miami, and did well against Pittsburgh.

So you agree they have been inconsistent. ;-)

>>>Dallas
>>>Defense: Solid, average pass-rush, secondary could be a weak point if
>>>         the line can't put enough pressure, good run defense.
>> 
>>That "average pass rush" helped Dallas to #1 defensively in 3rd down
>>conversion, when your pass rush is usually the most tested.  Not a good
>>interception team, but they limit your average yards per pass play real
>>well.  And BTW, that is the #1 defense against the run, and it faced
>>some of the better running games in the league.
>
>	The Dallas pass rush isn't all that great.  They had a good defense in
>spite of it, rather than because of it.

I guess people still judge a pass rush by the number of sacks.  If you
watch the Cowboy defense, they don't rely on sacking the Qb as much as
harrassing him.  Steve Young was only sacked 3 times, but he was knocked
around all day.  Result: 3 sacks 2 timely interceptions under pressure.

>>>          How will Dallas' defense react to the no-huddle? We don't know.
>> 
>>I tend to think of the no-huddle as an offense in thrid-and-long all the
>>time.  Dallas has the top defense in passing situations.
>
>	I think this is important for Buffalo.  Dallas relies very heavily on
>situation substitutions.  Getting the interval between plays down to 10-15
>seconds will make it virtually impossible for Dallas substitute defensively.
>That great third-down defense won't be on the field then.  I would expect this
>kind of offense to confuse and fatigue the Dallas defenders.

Well, if Buffalo goes to their no-huddle Dallas will stay in the third
down nickel package.  And young players don't fatigue that quickly.

>>>Dallas can't afford to fall behind by 10+ points, their offense takes
>>>time to score. 
...
>>Tell that to Alvin Harper - their last TD drive against SF went length 
>>of the field in 39 seconds.  The difference in offenses here is that
>>Dallas can use up the clock when they need to.
>
>	Dallas can move the ball quickly if they have to, but their offense
>really isn't meant for that situation.  Moreover, the Bills can run out the
>clock if they want to.  Their offensive line is better than Dallas's, and they
>have two excellent running backs.

Dallas ofensive line matches up well with Buffalo's D-line.  And I
remember a grind it out, clock hogging offense that had half the weapons
Dallas has stopping the Bills before in the SB.

>>I don't see anyway Dallas can lose, but I've watched the NFL long enough
>>to know that there are no guarentees.  It should be a great game, but a
>>big third quarter from Dallas will ice it early.
>
>	I think a truly objective analysis shows this to be a very closely
>matched set of teams.  Also, they haven't really played against one another.
>Those two factors are my reasons for thinking it will be a great game.

First team to 10 points wins.  (why not - it makes about as much sense as
any other prediction :-})


Gordon
-- 
The opinions expressed are my own, and not the beliefs or opinions
of whatever company you think I work for.  So there, thhhbbbt!
Message to Kodak:  Freedom for Dan Bredy.
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro