From: wilson@cs.ucf.edu (tom wilson)
Subject: Re: SABRES Update: Ottawa, Crossroads, LaFontaine
Organization: University of Central Florida, Orlando
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 1992 08:12:44 GMT

horvath@skinner.cs.wisc.edu (Jeff Horvath) wrote:
>The
>loss to the Rangers lent credence to my algorithm for the Sabres - if they
>allow more than 4 goals, they lose.  if they allow 4 of fewer goals, they win
>or tie.

That's pretty much true for all teams. By the end of the season, look for
every team to be <.500 when they give up 4+ goals and >.500 when they give up
<3 goals. Here're this season's stats so far:

Records in Games with >3 GA
 # TEAM                   GP   W  L  T  PTS   PCT   GF  GA  +/-  GFPG GAPG
-- ---------------------  --  -- -- --  --- -----  --- ---  ---  ---- ----
 1 Pittsburgh Penguins     5   4  1  0    8  .800   32  25    7  6.40 5.00
 2 Boston Bruins           2   1  1  0    2  .500   12  12    0  6.00 6.00
 3 Calgary Flames          6   2  3  1    5  .417   26  27   -1  4.33 4.50
 4 St. Louis Blues        11   4  6  1    9  .409   46  58  -12  4.18 5.27
 5 Montreal Canadiens      5   2  3  0    4  .400   22  28   -6  4.40 5.60
 6 Los Angeles Kings       7   2  4  1    5  .357   28  38  -10  4.00 5.42
 7 New York Rangers        6   2  4  0    4  .333   26  30   -4  4.33 5.00
 8 Vancouver Canucks       6   1  3  2    4  .333   21  28   -7  3.50 4.66
 9 Buffalo Sabres          8   2  5  1    5  .313   38  43   -5  4.75 5.37
10 Quebec Nordiques        5   1  3  1    3  .300   21  26   -5  4.19 5.20
11 Philadelphia Flyers    10   2  6  2    6  .300   44  53   -9  4.40 5.30
12 Washington Capitals     9   2  7  0    4  .222   27  40  -13  3.00 4.44
13 Minnesota North Stars   7   1  5  1    3  .214   23  37  -14  3.28 5.28
14 Tampa Bay Lightning     8   1  6  1    3  .188   29  36   -7  3.62 4.50
15 New York Islanders      6   1  5  0    2  .167   20  28   -8  3.33 4.66
16 Chicago Blackhawks      9   0  6  3    3  .167   29  42  -13  3.22 4.66
17 San Jose Sharks        10   1  8  1    3  .150   31  55  -24  3.10 5.50
18 New Jersey Devils       7   1  6  0    2  .143   21  35  -14  3.00 5.00
19 Toronto Maple Leafs     4   0  3  1    1  .125   11  22  -11  2.75 5.50
20 Hartford Whalers        9   1  8  0    2  .111   21  47  -26  2.33 5.22
21 Detroit Red Wings       5   0  5  0    0  .000   14  29  -15  2.80 5.80
22 Edmonton Oilers         8   0  8  0    0  .000   17  44  -27  2.12 5.50
23 Winnipeg Jets           8   0  8  0    0  .000   22  47  -25  2.75 5.87
24 Ottawa Senators        11   0 11  0    0  .000   23  70  -47  2.09 6.36

Records in Games with <4 GA
 # TEAM                   GP   W  L  T  PTS   PCT   GF  GA  +/-  GFPG GAPG
-- ---------------------  --  -- -- --  --- -----  --- ---  ---  ---- ----
 1 Los Angeles Kings       6   6  0  0   12 1.000   28  10   18  4.66 1.66
 2 Minnesota North Stars   6   6  0  0   12 1.000   23   8   15  3.83 1.33
 3 New Jersey Devils       6   6  0  0   12 1.000   23  13   10  3.83 2.16
 4 Chicago Blackhawks      5   5  0  0   10 1.000   18   5   13  3.60 1.00
 5 New York Rangers        8   7  0  1   15  .938   31  15   16  3.87 1.87
 6 Edmonton Oilers         6   5  0  1   11  .917   27  13   14  4.50 2.16
 7 Buffalo Sabres          5   4  0  1    9  .900   31  10   21  6.20 2.00
 8 Calgary Flames          9   8  1  0   16  .889   41  20   21  4.55 2.22
 9 Detroit Red Wings       9   8  1  0   16  .889   43  21   22  4.77 2.33
10 Pittsburgh Penguins     9   7  0  2   16  .889   43  20   23  4.77 2.22
11 Montreal Canadiens      9   7  0  2   16  .889   39  20   19  4.33 2.22
12 Boston Bruins           9   7  1  1   15  .833   45  24   21  5.00 2.66
13 Quebec Nordiques        8   6  1  1   13  .813   37  21   16  4.62 2.62
14 Toronto Maple Leafs     9   6  2  1   13  .722   32  20   12  3.55 2.22
15 Vancouver Canucks       7   5  2  0   10  .714   30  15   15  4.28 2.14
16 Washington Capitals     5   3  1  1    7  .700   15   7    8  3.00 1.40
17 New York Islanders      8   5  2  1   11  .688   26  19    7  3.25 2.37
18 San Jose Sharks         3   2  1  0    4  .667    7   6    1  2.33 2.00
19 Winnipeg Jets           6   4  2  0    8  .667   24  13   11  4.00 2.16
20 Tampa Bay Lightning     7   4  2  1    9  .643   22  13    9  3.14 1.85
21 Hartford Whalers        4   2  1  1    5  .625   14   8    6  3.50 2.00
22 Ottawa Senators         3   1  1  1    3  .500    9   8    1  3.00 2.66
23 Philadelphia Flyers     4   1  2  1    3  .375    8  10   -2  2.00 2.50
24 St. Louis Blues         3   1  2  0    2  .333    5   6   -1  1.66 2.00

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