From: oler@rho.uleth.ca (Cary Oler)
Subject: Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 05 November
Apparently-To: sci-space-news@ames.arc.nasa.gov
Followup-To: sci.space
Organization: University of Lethbridge
Date: Fri, 6 Nov 1992 09:59:41 GMT

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                              05 NOVEMBER, 1992

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 05 NOVEMBER
------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 310, 11/05/92
10.7 FLUX=133.6  90-AVG=124        SSN=121      BKI=3234 3221  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=B5.0     FLU1=5.4E+06  FLU10=1.0E+06  PKI=3234 3321  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=031,015,030,042,021,016,015,004   DEV-AVG=021 NT     SWF=01:005
 XRAY-MAX= M2.0   @ 0622UT    XRAY-MIN= B3.8   @ 2223UT   XRAY-AVG= C1.1
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 2235UT   NEUTN-MIN= -005%  @ 0640UT  NEUTN-AVG= -1.5%
  PCA-MAX= +0.5DB @ 1750UT     PCA-MIN= -0.1DB @ 2010UT    PCA-AVG= +0.1DB
BOUTF-MAX=55440NT @ 0231UT   BOUTF-MIN=55408NT @ 1812UT  BOUTF-AVG=55420NT
GOES7-MAX=P:+104NT@ 1828UT   GOES7-MIN=N:-003NT@ 1126UT  G7-AVG=+071,+041,+010
GOES6-MAX=P:+118NT@ 1829UT   GOES6-MIN=E:-032NT@ 0631UT  G6-AVG=+087,-009,+037
 FLUXFCST=STD:130,130,125;SESC:130,130,125 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,015,015/015,015,015
    KFCST=2334 3233 2345 5433  27DAY-AP=021,009   27DAY-KP=2225 5443 1133 3223
 WARNINGS=*SWF;*PROTON
   ALERTS=**MINFLR:M2.0@0622;**PROTN10
!!END-DATA!!


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

     Solar activity became moderate today.  An impulsive class M2.0 x-ray
flare was observed at 06:22 UT.  Poor weather conditions at the observing
sites prevented a determination of the source region for this event and
limited observations throughout the day.  The M-class x-ray event was
impulsive, but was followed by a long-duration C-class enhancement.

     Two new regions have been spotted on the east limb: Region 7334 (N12E69)
and Region 7335 (S17E75).  Both of these regions are bright in H-alpha and
may be capable of supporting isolated minor M-class flares.

     Region 7330 (S08E18) continued to show minor growth while Region 7332
(S21W41) seems to have stabilized after the rapid growth observed yesterday.

     The satellite proton event at greater than 10 MeV continued in progress
throughout the day.  Protons are fluctuating about the event threshold of 10
pfu.  The event is expected to end on 06 November, but protons will remain
enhanced below the event threshold for some time to come.

     Solar activity should continue low to moderate.  M-class flares may be
possible in Regions 7330, 7332, 7334, and/or 7335.  More accurate analysis of
the two new regions will be carried out when weather conditions permit better
observations.

     The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled today.  Conditions are
expected to continue mostly unsettled for the next 72 hours (through 08
November inclusive).

     HF propagation conditions continued below-normal over the polar and high
latitude regions, and near-normal elsewhere.  Very poor propagation was
observed between 00:00 UT and 06:00 UT over the polar and high latitude
paths.  These regions should gradually improve over the next 72 hours, while
middle and low latitude paths should continue to see near-normal propagation.


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SESC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
========================================================

REGIONS WITH SUNSPOTS (LOCATIONS VALID AT 05/2400Z)
---------------------------------------------------
NMBR LOCATION  LO  AREA  Z   LL   NN MAG TYPE
7323  S16W96  018  0120 CSO  05  002 BETA
7325  S15W53  335  0050 HAX  02  001 ALPHA
7326  S06W60  342  0150 CAO  04  005 BETA
7330  S08E18  264  0450 EKO  12  028 BETA
7332  S21W41  323  0180 DAO  10  007 BETA
7334  N12E69  213  0060 CAO  06  005 BETA
7335  S17E75  207  0180 DAO  09  003 BETA
7324  N16W68  350                    PLAGE
7328  N17W61  343                    PLAGE
7329  S16W14  296                    PLAGE
7331  N07W36  318                    PLAGE
7333  N06E30  252                    PLAGE
REGIONS DUE TO RETURN 06 NOVEMBER TO 08 NOVEMBER
NMBR LAT    LO
7311 S17   168


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 05 NOVEMBER
-------------------------------------------------
BEGIN  MAX  END  RGN   LOC   XRAY  OP 245MHZ 10CM   SWEEP SWF
 0617 0622 0631              M2.0
 1519 1519 1519                          170


POSSIBLE CORONAL MASS EJECTION EVENTS FOR 05 NOVEMBER
-----------------------------------------------------
           UT TIME                 OPTICAL          XRAY    RADIO
 BEGIN        MAX      END     LOCATION   TYPE   SIZE  DUR  II IV
NO EVENTS OBSERVED


INFERRED CORONAL HOLES (LOCATIONS VALID AT 05/2400Z)
----------------------------------------------------
               ISOLATED HOLES AND POLAR EXTENSIONS
      EAST   SOUTH  WEST   NORTH  CAR  TYPE  POL  AREA   OBSN
66   N30W23 N04W24 N16W54 N30W23  327  ISO   POS   011 10830A


**  End of Daily Report  **