From: wats@scicom.AlphaCDC.COM (Bruce Watson)
Newsgroups: sci.geo.geology
Subject: Re: "Early Warning Earthquake Forecast" from Jack Cole
Date: 20 Jul 92 19:54:49 GMT
Organization: Alpha Science Computer Network, Denver, Co.

In article <#dcml3f.jefff@netcom.com- jefff@netcom.com (Jeff Irwin) writes:
-: This would indicate to this forecaster that there is a 54% probability
-: of a 3.5 - 5.0+ earthquake with the epicenter within a 150 mile radius
-: of areas South of South San Jose California beginning Tuesday, July
-: 14, 1992, 08:01 GMT and ending at Saturday, July 18, 1992, 08:01 GMT.
-
-I've been out of town for a couple days... Did I miss it?? How big was
-it? Was there any damage? Any injuries? I just hate it when they give an 
-earthquake and I miss it!
-
- 
--- 
-Jeff Irwin                           jefff@netcom.COM
-Netcom - Online Communication Services - San Jose, CA

150 miles is 2.2 degrees of latitude. I used 3 degrees radius with the
date interval above.
 
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR                                        NO. 2-202
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY                                                   JUL 20, 1992
NEIC QUICK EPICENTER DETERMINATIONS                                             
 
Searching from 19920714 through 19920718
within   3.00 degrees of center point  37.0 -122.0
 
UTC TIME    LAT     LONG    DEP GS MAGS  SD STA  REGION AND COMMENTS
HRMNSEC                         MB  Msz     USED
 
JUL 14
004341.2  38.788N 119.620W   5G         0.6  10 CALIFORNIA-NEVADA BORDER REGION.
                                                ML 3.0 (GS).

I extended the interval by one day on either side and enlarged the radius
to 5 degrees or 345 miles.

Searching from 19920713 through 19920719
within   5.00 degrees of center point  37.0 -122.0
 
UTC TIME    LAT     LONG    DEP GS MAGS  SD STA  REGION AND COMMENTS
HRMNSEC                         MB  Msz     USED
 
JUL 13
082537.5  35.945N 118.351W   5G         0.4  16 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.4
                                                (PAS). ML 3.2 (GS).
095102.8  34.992N 117.010W   5G 3.4     0.7  19 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. ML 3.8
                                                (GS). Felt at Barstow.
095231.1* 35.034N 117.038W   5G         0.6   5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 2.8
                                                (PAS). ML 2.8 (GS). Felt at
                                                Barstow.
095306.0  35.915N 118.408W   5G         0.8  13 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. ML 4.0 (GS).
095419.7* 35.873N 118.363W   5G         0.5   5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. ML 3.3 (GS).
100916.9  34.958N 116.938W   5G         0.6  16 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.6
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS).
 
JUL 14
002459.2  35.909N 118.343W   5G         0.9  16 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.5
                                                (PAS). ML 3.4 (GS).
004341.2  38.788N 119.620W   5G         0.6  10 CALIFORNIA-NEVADA BORDER REGION.
                                                ML 3.0 (GS).
203649.5  34.656N 116.656W   5G         0.8  13 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.6
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS).
 
JUL 15
020335.4  37.115N 116.213W   5G         0.5  47 SOUTHERN NEVADA. ML 2.9 (GS).
072023.2  34.083N 117.025W   5G         0.6  11 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 2.7
                                                (PAS). ML 2.9 (GS).
105653.5  34.968N 116.963W   5G         0.3  11 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 2.9
                                                (PAS). ML 2.8 (GS). Felt at
                                                Barstow.
 
JUL 16
153800.0& 40.337N 122.197W  17               14 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. <BRK-P-. MD
        4.0 (GM). ML 3.9 (BRK). Felt in the Redding-Chico-Sacramento area.
183303.1  38.323N 116.159W   5G         0.7  12 NEVADA. ML 3.1 (GS).
215820.0  34.925N 116.915W   5G         0.5  15 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.5
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS). Felt in the
                                                Barstow area.
222805.1  35.243N 116.913W   5G         0.5  12 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.1
                                                (PAS). ML 3.2 (GS).
 
JUL 18
021317.0  34.982N 116.969W   5G         0.7  13 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.2
                                                (PAS). ML 3.1 (GS).
090405.5  34.959N 116.935W   5G         0.6  14 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.2

Newsgroups: ca.earthquakes,sci.geo.geology
Subject: Re: "Early Warning Earthquake Forecast" from Jack Cole
Summary: 
Expires: 
Followup-To: 
Distribution: 
Organization: Alpha Science Computer Network, Denver, Co.
Keywords: 

In article <#dcml3f.jefff@netcom.com- jefff@netcom.com (Jeff Irwin) writes:
-: This would indicate to this forecaster that there is a 54% probability
-: of a 3.5 - 5.0+ earthquake with the epicenter within a 150 mile radius
-: of areas South of South San Jose California beginning Tuesday, July
-: 14, 1992, 08:01 GMT and ending at Saturday, July 18, 1992, 08:01 GMT.
-
-I've been out of town for a couple days... Did I miss it?? How big was
-it? Was there any damage? Any injuries? I just hate it when they give an 
-earthquake and I miss it!
-
- 
--- 
-Jeff Irwin                           jefff@netcom.COM
-Netcom - Online Communication Services - San Jose, CA

150 miles is 2.2 degrees of latitude. I used 3 degrees radius with the
date interval above.
 
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR                                        NO. 2-202
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY                                                   JUL 20, 1992
NEIC QUICK EPICENTER DETERMINATIONS                                             
 
Searching from 19920714 through 19920718
within   3.00 degrees of center point  37.0 -122.0
 
UTC TIME    LAT     LONG    DEP GS MAGS  SD STA  REGION AND COMMENTS
HRMNSEC                         MB  Msz     USED
 
JUL 14
004341.2  38.788N 119.620W   5G         0.6  10 CALIFORNIA-NEVADA BORDER REGION.
                                                ML 3.0 (GS).

I extended the interval by one day on either side and enlarged the radius
to 5 degrees or 345 miles.

Searching from 19920713 through 19920719
within   5.00 degrees of center point  37.0 -122.0
 
UTC TIME    LAT     LONG    DEP GS MAGS  SD STA  REGION AND COMMENTS
HRMNSEC                         MB  Msz     USED
 
JUL 13
082537.5  35.945N 118.351W   5G         0.4  16 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.4
                                                (PAS). ML 3.2 (GS).
095102.8  34.992N 117.010W   5G 3.4     0.7  19 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. ML 3.8
                                                (GS). Felt at Barstow.
095231.1* 35.034N 117.038W   5G         0.6   5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 2.8
                                                (PAS). ML 2.8 (GS). Felt at
                                                Barstow.
095306.0  35.915N 118.408W   5G         0.8  13 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. ML 4.0 (GS).
095419.7* 35.873N 118.363W   5G         0.5   5 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. ML 3.3 (GS).
100916.9  34.958N 116.938W   5G         0.6  16 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.6
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS).
 
JUL 14
002459.2  35.909N 118.343W   5G         0.9  16 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.5
                                                (PAS). ML 3.4 (GS).
004341.2  38.788N 119.620W   5G         0.6  10 CALIFORNIA-NEVADA BORDER REGION.
                                                ML 3.0 (GS).
203649.5  34.656N 116.656W   5G         0.8  13 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.6
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS).
 
JUL 15
020335.4  37.115N 116.213W   5G         0.5  47 SOUTHERN NEVADA. ML 2.9 (GS).
072023.2  34.083N 117.025W   5G         0.6  11 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 2.7
                                                (PAS). ML 2.9 (GS).
105653.5  34.968N 116.963W   5G         0.3  11 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 2.9
                                                (PAS). ML 2.8 (GS). Felt at
                                                Barstow.
 
JUL 16
153800.0& 40.337N 122.197W  17               14 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. <BRK-P-. MD
        4.0 (GM). ML 3.9 (BRK). Felt in the Redding-Chico-Sacramento area.
183303.1  38.323N 116.159W   5G         0.7  12 NEVADA. ML 3.1 (GS).
215820.0  34.925N 116.915W   5G         0.5  15 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.5
                                                (PAS). ML 3.5 (GS). Felt in the
                                                Barstow area.
222805.1  35.243N 116.913W   5G         0.5  12 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. MD 3.1
                                                (PAS). ML 3.2 (GS).
 
JUL 18
021317.0  34.982N 116.969W   5G         0.7  13 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.2
                                                (PAS). ML 3.1 (GS).
090405.5  34.959N 116.935W   5G         0.6  14 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. MD 3.2

Newsgroups: sci.geo.geology,ca.earthquakes