From: mj03@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu (MINHO JO)
Newsgroups: soc.culture.korean
Subject: Re: RELIABILITY of POLLS in KOREA ???????
Date: 8 Jan 93 18:55:41 GMT
Organization: Lehigh University

In article <1993Jan7.210436.4165@news.duc.auburn.edu>, kim@magneto.physics.aubur
n.edu (Han-jung Kim) writes:
>
> In article <1993Jan7.050022.65171@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu> mj03@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu (M
INHO JO) writes:
>>In article <1993Jan7.020309.74276@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu>, mj03@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu (
MI
>>NHO JO) writes:
>>
>>
>>[Please disregard the first post]
>>
>>
>>I have been reading the heated discussions on polls in Korea.
>>
>>Even if it is not really important to me,  I'd like mentioning something in
>>relation to the polls in Korea.
>>
>>
>>   Assumption 1:  The results of the polls in korea, are not really reliable.
>>
>>
>>
>>Now what is the conclusion of the assumptions ?
>>Could I leave the conclusions to your nice logic function ?
>>
>>
>>
>>                Minho Jo, Lehigh University
>>                Computer Integrated Manufacturing Lab.,
>>                Industrial Engineering Department
>>
>>
>      Thanks agian.
>
>      Mr. Minho gave me one more homework for me to check out before
>      I do some business in Korea.
>
>      Unfortunately, I am not exposured to different results of polls down
>      by different survey Inc.
>
>      If I return to korea, and need to survey a korean market of  my field,
>      I think that it is better idea to get advised by several professors of
>      mine who major the broadcasting and news media about the accuracy of
>      korean polls nowadays.
>
>     Probably, in a year, the true story will be released by several monthly
>     magazines in korea. Then I can have more accurate idea on the survey in
>     korea.
>
>     Probably, most of korean companies have their own survey team and
>     it is interesting how they predicted. I hope that I can see my friends
>     working in those companies.
>
>     Over here, one of my fellow told that the poll done by AN-GI-BOO (
>     KOREAN INTELLIGENCE DEPARTMENT(?)) is the most accurate one.
>
>     I do not deny Mr Minho's claim at all, and found out that what he is
>     saying is possible senario and can be true.
>
>     As time passes by, in the future many things we can not judge this time
>     will be clarified in public.
>
>     Thank for Mr. Minho's opinion and I will keep that claim in my mind
>     until I collect enough informatin from every possible source to
>     conclude finally in the future.
>
>     Now let's watch out how YS lead the future of KOREA. Then let's talk
>    about it several months after.
>
>   Bye.


Investigating reliability of the polls in Korean sounds very interesting to me.
If any good study is carried out,  I am eager to know the report for the study.

I want to believe that the polls of Ah-Gi-Bu is most reliable in Korea,
however,  we unfortunately can not confirm thier reliabilities since they have
never released to the public the information that thay have possesed.

I think that the polls for the purpose of commerce in Korea, are more reliable.
The reason why the polls for the political purpose are less reliable,  can
be explained by the proof of Lemma 1 in the previous post.

Take care.



                           Minho Jo,  Warm-Hearted Human.