From: michael.polymenakos@factory.com (Michael Polymenakos) 
Newsgroups: soc.culture.europe,eunet.politics
Subject: Macedonian Recognition after US elections.
Date: 8 Nov 92 11:09:00 GMT
Distribution: world
Organization: Invention Factory's BBS - New York City, NY - 212-274-8298v.32bis
Reply-To: michael.polymenakos@factory.com (Michael Polymenakos) 


SAS Says:
>   The U.S. Elections are over. Clinton won as expected. However, Bush
>remains running the country until Janurary 20th Next Year. In December
>the Macedonian name issue will be discussed at the EC, and all signs

 We are alert to that. It is generally expected that Bush will take
advandage of his final 10 weeks to do what he could not have done in the
past 4 years (pardon Weinberger for Iran-Contra, start a full scale war
against the EEC in trade - which he did start 1 day after he was
defeated).

The Greek-American community is ever vigilant. With the democrats
strongly pro Greek, the former president can recognise "M", but he
cannot begin foreign relations.

In any case, the issue will not be brought up to the UN before Jan20, in
which case the Vardaris are SOL.

>appear it shall be resolved once and for all. Germany's words to
>Mitsotakis follow along the lines of, if Greece doesn't recognise
>Macedonia, the remaining eleven EC nations should be free to go their
>own way on recognition. President Bush's path is then set for the
>United States Recognition to occur.

 Recognition, but by what name? We could not care less if "M" is
recognised by some provisional name. Even Slav Macedonia will be
acceptable to many in Greece (in fact it was acceptable to Mitsotakis
until Skopjie began escalating the issue).

>Question is, how long will it be till Serbia decides to invite itself
>to Macedonia finally once and for all, bringing along overall
>Macedonia's bordering nations. By then, the "Name Debate" won't really
>be an issue then, will it.

 Interestingly, Sen. Patrick Daniel Moynihan (Dem-NY) was discussing the
issue last night on "Evans and Novak". His expectations for the future
were that the conflict will spread south, although he stopped short of
saying that Greece will join in. (He stopped _really_ close, in fact he
enumerated all the parties in the conflict, except Greece, and then his
next words were "and then the...", and he stopped).

 While the good senator expects the Europeans to figure out the
Serbian-Croatian confilict, he made it clear that the Senate would give
a green light to Clinton, to send troops to the region if the conflict
spreads south.

>Well, it looks like the game was played well, indeed. I wonder what
>excuse shall be given for Mitsotakis inviting his troops building up
>over the border into Macedonia.

In your wildest dreams. Why would Greece invade Vardar? No Greek cares
for an inch of Vardar territory. In Fact Greece would normally be the
only natural friend to Vardar, which is surrounded by 3 countries making
territorial claims against it.

You yourself claim Serbia has designs on "M". The Albanian nationals
seeking independence in Kosova and Macedonia will also work against
Skopjie, whether Albania itself joins or not. As for the Bulgarians,
if you don't believe me, read the New York Times 10/30/92:

Page A11: "Yugoslav and Mediators Visit Balkan Spots to Head off Unrest"

 "Neighboring Bulgaria has longstanding claims on part of Macedonia. And
although the present Government of Sofia says it recognises the
existence of a separate Macedonian state, it has not yet extended formal
diplomatic recognition to the government of President Gligorov in
Skopjie."

>SAS.

Michael
                                                                                     
Newsgroups: soc.culture.europe