From: thanon@ccu1.aukuni.ac.nz (Thanachart Numnonda)
Newsgroups: soc.culture.thai
Subject: Political Parties  ????
Date: 23 Jul 92 23:11:43 GMT
Organization: University of Auckland, New Zealand.


I just recieved news from Thai News Agency (mail from Khun Voradesh).
However, there're only few political news included in its News between
16-22 July. In addition, the current situation is complicated, and it's
quite difficult to summarize. Since many politicians are still on the
move to switch to another party, and many still hasn't finalised.
Thus, it's quite hard to understand the current situation from the limited
information. I suspect that Thaisarn is now working again, and Khun Kamol
and Khun Yongyuth may kindly sending us more News later on.

Here's the summary. Again I apologize for any mis-spelling and my poor
English.

1) TerdThai (Former Sammakki Tham party) is now dissolved, and merge into
the Chart Thai party. Chart Thai party is now heading by Pol Gen Pramarn
Adireksarn. Mr.Banharn Silpa-archa is still the secretary general of the
party. However, there might be some changes after the election, since many
newcomer are now joining the party. These include
   -Narong Wongwan (Can anybody confirm this report?)
   -former MPs from Northern provinces of Sammakki Tham party.
   -former MPs from Esarn of Sammaki Tham party.
   However, Mr.Sompong Armornwiwat (former Chaing Mai MP) decides to
leave the party.
   From my opinion, Chart Thai has a strong prospect in the central area,
Now with the merging of TerdThai party, Chart Thai will get more seats
from Northern and Esarn provinces (But they have to compete with Chart
Pattana and New Aspiration party in Esarn Area).

2) Many politicians shown their support for Gen Chatichai Choonhavan as
the next PM. Furthermore, many former MPs now join the new Chart Patana
party. These include
   -Korn Dabbaransi (former Korat MP) and other former Korat MPs of Chart
    Thai and Sammakki Tham party.
   -Suwat Liptapallop (former Korat MP of Sammakki Tham party) and probably
    his boss Gen Arthit Kamlangek (Confirm??)
   -Sonthaya Khunplem (former Chonburi MP and the son of Chonburi Mafia)
   -Boonterk Thonsawat (former Lampang MP of Sammakki Tham), now 80 years
   old.
   -Dej Boonronk (financial Backing)
   -Col Phol Rerngprasertvit.
   the new Chart Pattana party has strong prospect in the Esarn pronvinces,
but they have to fight with New Aspiration party and Chart Thai party.
Whoever pay more will definitely get more seats in that area.

3) Not many news about PalangTham party, I suspect that Maj.Gen Chamlong
Srimuang still wants the PM post. The party will defintely get most
seats in Bangkok and now probably other surrounding provinces.
In addition, the Solidarity now probably merge with the PalandTham party
(Can anybody confirm this?). Chamni Saksert (former Nakhon Srithammarat
MP) is also join the party, with Boonchu Rojanasatern. So, I suspect that
other former MPs of the Solidarity party is now join Palang Tham as well.

My opinion is this party will probably get the most seat in the election.
     - 34 in Bangkok ??
     - Nontaburi, Rajaburi, Nakhon Pathom ??, Samut Sakorn ??, Pathum Thani
     (They have to fight with Harnsawat's family)
     - the Sourthern province.
     - Chiang Mai ??, Tark.
However, it might not be possible for Chamlong Srimunag to become the next
PM.

4) New Aspiration party still confirm that most of its MPs still on it side.
The party still has strong prospect in the Esarn provinces.

5) Not many news from other parties, for more detail pl ftp News from
       june.cs.washington.edu

6) It might be to early to predict anything, we may have to wait until
   31 July after know exactly who will run for which party.
   But here's my early prediction
       PalangTham  70+
       Chart Pattana 60+
       Chart Thai 55+
       NAP  55+
       Democrat 40+
       SAP   20-


e-mail:thanon@ccu1.aukuni.ac.nz
Newsgroups: soc.culture.thai