Organization: Washington University, St. Louis
Date:         Mon, 05 Oct 92 15:07:13 CST
From:         Bapi Gupta <C31801AG@WUVMD>
To:           NETNEWS@WUVMD
Subject:      Gupta Power Ratings predictions 10/5/92
Newsgroups:   rec.sport.football.college


Here are my computer predictions for this week's games.

Last weekend was a funny weekend.  I was only 21-12 picking winners and
only 9-9 in Chris Stassen's pool, but still did finish 19-13 against the
spread.

My big, 5-star, pick SMU lost badly, but (yeah, there's always a but),
eight starters were suspended from the game and the line was 'taken off
the board' in most places.  I am still scoring it as a miss in my
records.  Well the four star picks were 3-1.....

Here is my breakdown for week....

          last week                   season
---->  0-1   x5    0 -  5         4-3   x5    20 - 15    57%
 --->  3-1   x4   12 -  4         7-4   x4    28 - 16    64%
  -->  5-4   x3   15 - 12       14-11   x3    42 - 33    56%
   ->  7-4   x2   14 -  8       23-24   x2    46 - 48    49%
    >  4-3   x1    4 -  3       15-19   x1    15 - 19    44%
     -----        -------       -----        --------
     19-13        45 - 32       63-61        151 -131
       59%            58%         51%             54%

#23 Wisconsin (3-1) is the biggest five star pick of the week at #66 Iowa
(1-4).  They go off as a 9.5 point underdog, but are a 7 point favorite in
my ratings.  #40 Fresno State playing at #53 Brigham Young is the only other
five star pick.  The only four star is Hawaii (+3) at home against Utah.
There are ten three stars picks this week.

Bapi

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Gupta Power Ratings for college football                        October 5, 1992

This week's predicted scores and spreads:
  - points for each team listed in far left and right columns
  - negative GPR spreads indicate national underdogs who are
    outright favorites by GPR.
  - positive GPR spreads indicate the nationally favored team is
    also favored to win by GPR.
  - selected teams versus national spread are pointed to in center column.
    longest arrows denote best picks.

     national favorite        natl   <->   GPR     national underdog
                             spread       spread

28 Colorado                   14.0  <      15.0  MISSOURI                   13

28 FLORIDA STATE              21.0     ->  12.5  North Carolina             16
30 SYRACUSE                   13.0     ->   9.0  Rutgers                    21
57 MICHIGAN                   27.0  <-     31.0  Michigan State             26
21 PENN STATE                  1.5    -->  -1.0  Miami, Florida             22
32 VIRGINIA                    7.0  <       8.5  Clemson                    23

24 NORTH CAROLINA STATE        6.5  <       7.0  Texas Tech                 17
48 TENNESSEE                  24.0  <--    48.0  Arkansas                    0
30 OHIO STATE                  7.0  <-     14.5  Illinois                   15
28 FLORIDA                    17.0     ->   8.5  Louisiana State            19
26 DUKE                        1.0    -->  -1.5  East Carolina              28

38 NEBRASKA                   32.0    -->  23.0  Oklahoma State             15
31 BRIGHAM YOUNG               7.5  ---->  -1.5  Fresno State               32
29 PURDUE                      2.5      >   1.0  Minnesota                  28
51 AIR FORCE                  24.0  <--    44.0  Navy                        7
24 Indiana                    14.0    -->   2.5  NORTHWESTERN               22

20 UTAH                        3.0   --->  -3.0  Hawaii                     23
30 COLORADO STATE              5.5  <       8.0  U.T.E.P.                   22
17 KANSAS                     12.5    -->   4.0  Kansas State               13
35 VANDERBILT                 11.0         11.0  Wake Forest                24
18 IOWA                        9.5  ---->  -7.0  Wisconsin                  25

22 Oklahoma                    9.0     ->   4.5  TEXAS                      18
26 WYOMING                    11.0     ->   6.5  New Mexico                 20
30 WASHINGTON                 13.0      >  12.5  California                 18
28 Georgia Tech                3.0  <-      5.5  MARYLAND                   23
20 LOUISVILLE                  0.0    -->  -2.5  Virginia Tech              22

34 Washington State           17.0      >  13.5  OREGON STATE               20
24 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA        11.5     ->   7.5  Oregon                     17
22 MISSISSIPPI STATE           4.0      >   2.5  Auburn                     19
24 LOUISIANA TECH             16.0    -->   5.5  Southwest Louisiana        19
35 Notre Dame                 16.0      >  13.0  PITTSBURGH                 22

24 Alabama                    28.0    -->  12.5  TULANE                     12
20 Baylor                      6.5     ->   1.5  TEXAS CHRISTIAN            18
18 MEMPHIS STATE              12.0    -->   3.0  Cincinnati                 15
16 Stanford                    2.0  <       3.0  U.C.L.A.                   13