From: mjw@Xenon.Stanford.EDU (Michael Wolverton)
Subject: Re: CY, MVP, ROY
Keywords: eat more moose
Organization: Computer Science Department, Stanford University.
Date: Fri, 28 Aug 1992 23:12:43 GMT



Robert Lopez writes:
>I see the following still in the race...comments/suggestions
>welcomed.   go flame someone else.

Are you trying to say who *deserves* to win, or who you think *will*
win?  I'll go with who deserves it:

>AL Cy Young
>1. Strong candidates: McDowell, Clemens, Morris(?!?), Eck

Clemens and Eck I agree with.  McDowell is coming on strong, but I don't
think there's any way he'll reach Clemens level by the end of the year.
I have a lot of faith in the sportswriters after the good job they did
with the awards last year -- I don't think there's any way that Morris
will win the award.  I think there's a decent chance, though, that he'll
get his ERA under 4.00 by year's end :-).

>2. Fading: Brown, Mussina

Brown was never in the race.

>3. Next Year: Nagy, Appier

I strongly disagree.  Appier has been right up there with Clemens all
year contending for best starter of the year.  I see him as having a
strong chance to finish ahead of Clemens.  And he has a 14-6 record to
boot!  I don't see why people have written him off for the Cy *this*
year.

>***Note: What's up with Melido Perez this year?  Too bad the Yanks
>         are so dismal.

His bad record is due mostly to his team.  But he hasn't pitched
well enough to merit *any* Cy Young consideration.  He's far below
all the others you mentioned, except Morris.

>AL MVP
>I need suggestions here.  I'm personally gonna stick with Eck.
>McGwire was falling off, then got hurt.

As much of a god as he is on the net, I'm surprised nobody has mentioned
Frank Thomas.  Eck is a decent choice too, I think.

>AL ROY
>1. Strong: Listach, Lofton
>2. Fading: Fleming

I sure hope Lofton doesn't win it.  As others have mentioned, Fleming
appears to be getting a second wind.  He and Listach are the best
candidates.

>NL Cy Young
>1. Tom Glavine
>2. That's it

If you're predicting who *will* win it, then you're almost certainly
right.  As for who deserves it, I think that's just as obvious: Greg
Maddux.  He's so far out ahead of the rest of the field right now that
he's uncatchable -- only Tewksbury is within shooting distance, and
I don't see Tewksbury surpassing Maddux.

Glavine will be lucky to finish as the best starter on the *Braves*.

>NL MVP
>1. Strong: Sheffield, McGriff
>2. Dark Horses (asbestos suit time): Bonds, Pendleton
>3. Next Year: Daulton.  The Phillies can be just as crappy without him.

I kind of like Daulton (although I think catchers tend to fade in
September).  (And do you really think he has a chance to be MVP next
year?)  Another guy who deserves consideration is good ol' Greg
Maddux.  He's been about 4.5 games better than league average this
year (using SNVA or Thorn and Palmer's Adj. Pitching Runs).  I could
be wrong, but I don't think any offensive player has shown up as worth
more than that in the MLV updates I've seen.  I'd like to see pitchers
made ineligible for this award, but as long as they're fair game, I
think Maddux deserves consideration.

>NL ROY
>Help again...Karros is a candidate.  There are others, but I can't
>seem to pull names right now.  Cianfrocco is fading/has faded.

Moises Alou?  Brian Williams (I don't even know if he's a rookie)?
Reggie Jefferson?  I guess Karros is probably the best one I can
think of also.

-Michael
-- 
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Michael Wolverton                       "Is that clear?"
mjw@cs.stanford.edu                     "No, but it's consistent!"
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