From: sjohnson@faulen.asd.sgi.com (Scott Johnson)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: AFC playoff picture
Date: 21 Dec 1992 22:00:09 GMT
Organization: Silicon Graphics, Inc.  Mountain View, CA
NNTP-Posting-Host: faulen.asd.sgi.com

i was bored, so i did a breakdown of the AFC playoff possibilities.
the only five important AFC games next week:

HOU	BUF
MIA	ne
SD	sea
DEN	KC
PIT	cle

caps means team with playoff possibilities.  asterik below means division
winner.  first two get bye.   next four are listed in order of record and
tie breaker.  i forget if the last four are seeded with the last division
winner as the highest seed of the four, or if they are seeded according to
record.  i assumed the latter.  anyway, here they are, with the 32
possible outcomes of the above five games.  winners of those games are
listed above the resulting seeding.

note:	pittsburg, miami and buffalo all have a chance at home field
	throughout the playoffs

there is a lot of room for error here, so correct me if anything seems
wrong.  if someone else was bored as well, they could calculate the
percentages here for each scenario.


sj

----------------------------------------------------

HOU MIA SD DEN PIT		HOU MIA SD DEN cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    MIA 11-5 *
    MIA 11-5 *			    SD	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5			    BUF	11-5
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7

HOU MIA SD KC PIT		HOU MIA SD KC cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    MIA 11-5 *
    MIA 11-5 *			    SD	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5			    BUF	11-5
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    KC  10-6			    KC	10-6

HOU MIA sea DEN PIT		HOU MIA sea DEN cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    MIA 11-5 *
    MIA 11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    BUF	11-5			    BUF	11-5
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    SD	10-6 *			    SD	10-6 *
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7

HOU MIA sea KC PIT		HOU MIA sea KC cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    MIA 11-5 *
    MIA 11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    BUF	11-5			    BUF	11-5
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    KC  10-6 *			    KC	10-6 *
    SD	10-6			    SD	10-6

HOU ne SD DEN PIT		HOU ne SD DEN cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    BUF	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5 *			    SD	11-5 *
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7

HOU ne SD KC PIT		HOU ne SD KC cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    BUF	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5 *			    SD	11-5 *
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    KC  10-6			    KC	10-6

HOU ne sea DEN PIT		HOU ne sea DEN cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    BUF	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    SD	10-6 *			    SD	10-6 *
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7

HOU ne sea KC PIT		HOU ne sea KC cle
    PIT	11-5 *    		    BUF	11-5 *
    BUF	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    HOU 10-6			    HOU 10-6
    KC  10-6 *			    KC	10-6 *
    SD	10-6			    SD	10-6

BUF MIA SD DEN PIT		BUF MIA SD DEN cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    SD	11-5 *
    MIA 11-5			    MIA 11-5
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF MIA SD KC PIT		BUF MIA SD KC cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    SD	11-5 *
    MIA 11-5			    MIA 11-5
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    KC  10-6			    KC	10-6
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF MIA sea DEN PIT		BUF MIA sea DEN cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA 11-5			    MIA 11-5
    SD	10-6 *			    SD	10-6 *
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF MIA sea KC PIT		BUF MIA sea KC cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA 11-5			    MIA 11-5
    KC  10-6 *			    KC	10-6 *
    SD	10-6			    SD	10-6
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF ne SD DEN PIT		BUF ne SD DEN cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    SD	11-5 *
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF ne SD KC PIT		BUF ne SD KC cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    SD	11-5 *
    SD	11-5 *			    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    KC  10-6			    KC	10-6
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF ne sea DEN PIT		BUF ne sea DEN cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF	12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    SD	10-6 *			    SD	10-6 *
    DEN  9-7			    DEN	 9-7
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7

BUF ne sea KC PIT		BUF ne sea KC cle
    BUF	12-4 *			    BUF 12-4 *
    PIT	11-5 *    		    PIT	10-6 *
    MIA	10-6			    MIA	10-6
    KC  10-6 *			    KC	10-6 *
    SD	10-6			    SD	10-6
    HOU	 9-7			    HOU	 9-7
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro