From: demers@cs.ucsd.edu (David DeMers)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball.fantasy
Subject: NL Expansion, roster protection?
Date: 13 Aug 92 19:48:13 GMT
Organization: =CSE Dept., U.C. San Diego

We are a NL only league, using BA, SLG (may change to TB next year,vote
coming up soon), R + RBI and SB - CS for offense, and
ERA, Ratio, 2 * W - L (don't ask me why), and Saves for pitching
as our 8 categories.  9 pitchers, 14 players, 4 player "farm"

We are expanding from 10 to 11 owners next year. We are having
an expansion draft where the new owner selects one player from
each of the 10 established franchises.  We are able to protect
7 players from the draft.

My roster (much different from what it used to be, due to
several major trades for "next year", motivated by having (so far)
28 players go on the DL...)

Pitchers	contract
--------
Deshaies	$25 R4
Tommy Greene	$6  L3
Sid Fernandez	$8  R3
Harnisch	$2  R3
Wild Thing	$18 R3
Beck		$10 R4
McElroy		$14 R4
Assenmacher	$7  R3
Kile		$2  R4

Players
-------
Oliver		$4  R4
Reed		$1  R4
Karros		$10 R4
Colbrunn	$10 R4
G. Pena		$5  R3
Morandini	$1  R4
Dunston		$15 R4
Zeile		$15 L3
Luis gonzalez	$5  R3
Deion Sanders	$7  R4
Justice		$30 L3
Mark Leonard	$1  R3
Daryl Boston	$3  R4
Stan Javier	$10 R4

My obvious keepers are Mitch Williams, Beck, Sid Fernandez, Justice and Karros.
Next are two from among Morandini, Harnisch, Oliver, Pena, Zeile, Leonard, Deion
and Gonzalez, and maybe Boston, or Dunston.

I'm leaning towards Deion and Morandini, because I think I can get a
Harnisch/Kile/Greene pitcher w/o too much trouble, 
Leonard hasn't been playing,
Gonzalez hasn't been playing well,
Pena has been hurt a lot,
Zeile is barely worth his $15,
Oliver is a catcher (and I have Decker for $1 if he's in the majors),
Dunston is maxed at $15 and who knows how he'll recover,
Boston may not get PT.

Deion is probably a fluke, but will be tradeable to some sucker,
and Morandini is probably worth $7 or so - decent BA, plays
enough to score runs, good net steals.  I traded Offerman at $10
for him (plus minor other consideration) - they are nearly the
same player in our stats.  Offerman plays a bit more and steals
a bit more, but really hasn't produced R and RBI, or SLG.

Since we will add more players to the league (two expansion teams) 
than demand (one new roto owner), prices should decline for stars.  
It will be easier to replace, say, Bonilla and Javier with Gonzalez
and Dave Martinez or something.

My plan is to peddle Deion and a couple of other lower priced
players (Kile, Morandini) to one of the owners who will be
hard pressed to make his 10 player minimum on keepers, for
an underpriced Felix Jose...  as you can see, I have a lot of
good cheap players, but need some good *expensive* players
who return their value (I did have a $42 Eric Davis and $17 Kal Daniels,
and a $20 Bret Saberhagen and $15 Greg Harris... hence the last
place standing).  Not much will be available in OF; Davis & Straw,
of course, plus HoJo, Butler, McGee.  The other top players
will be kept.  There will be some infield help; though Karros &
Zeile should be fine at 1st and 3d to start with.

Any comments on who should be protected?

Dave

-- 
Dave DeMers			 ddemers@UCSD   demers@cs.ucsd.edu
Computer Science & Engineering	C-014		demers%cs@ucsd.bitnet
UC San Diego					...!ucsd!cs!demers
La Jolla, CA 92093-0114	(619) 534-0688, or -8187, FAX: (619) 534-7029
Newsgroups: rec.sport.baseball.fantasy