From: john@makesys.com (John Turman)
Subject: Re: Buffalo Bills
Organization: Make Systems, Inc.
Distribution: usa
Date: Wed, 29 Jul 1992 14:33:26 GMT

In article <1992Jul27.030033.8073@math.ucla.edu> rfedkiw@sepulveda.math.ucla.edu (Ronald Fedkiw) writes:
>WEEK 1   Rams @ Buf  WIN   1-0
>WEEK 2   Buf @ SF    LOSS  1-1
>WEEK 3   Ind @ Buf   WIN   2-1
>WEEK 4   Buf @ NE    WIN   3-1 (Pivotal game in early season)
>WEEK 5   Mia @ Buf   WIN   4-1
>WEEK 6   Buf @ Rdrs  LOSS  4-2
>WEEK 7   Buf Idle    BYE   4-2
>WEEK 8   Buf @ NYJ   WIN   5-2 (Big game)
>WEEK 9   NE @ Buf    WIN   6-2
>WEEK 10  Pitt @ Buf  WIN   7-2
>WEEK 11  Buf @ Mia   SPLIT 8-2  (or 7-3) (see week 16)
>WEEK 12  Atl @ Buf   WIN   9-2  (or 8-3)
>WEEK 13  Buf @ Ind   WIN   10-2 (or 9-3)
>WEEK 14  NYJ @ Buf   WIN   11-2 (or 10-3)
>WEEK 15  Den @ Buf   WIN   12-2 (or 11-3)
>WEEK 16  Buf @ NO    SPLIT 12-3          (see week 11)
>WEEK 17  Buf @ Hou   LOSS  12-4 (unless Buffalo NEEDS it: 13-3)
>
>... of course they always win one they should lose and lose one
>they should win.
>
>If things were perfect, they could pick up one more early
>against SF or Raiders and/or pick up both games on the split.
>Of course, either of the above two would probably confirm a
>loss to Houston unless. Perfect season: 14-2
>If things don't go very well they could drop both games on
>the split and go 11-5.
>
>99% probability for playoffs
>75% probability to be in the AFC title game
>50% probability to be in Super Bowl
>25% probability to win Super Bowl
>
>By the way I was in Las Vegas a few weeks ago
>and the odds on buffalo to win the AFC title were 2 to 1.
>This means Vegas gives them a 33% chance, but I gave them 50%.
>(sounds reasonable)
>
>Watch out for the Raiders and Houston this year.
>They could be spoilers.
>Although Buffalo will probably never play them,
>                 ... KC and Denver could be playoff dangers.
>                (but I doubt it)
>
>Any other AFC fans (especially in the East),
>have any courage to post preseason predictions????
>
>(no e-mail please)
>
>(If your a NFC fan there is no need to respond to this,
>I'm conceding a 75% probability that your team will win,
>plus I'm giving you the SF game and the above SPLIT will
>probably go to NO, as opposed to Miami.
>As far as Rams and Atlanta games, you gotta be dreaming
>if your going to argue those)
>
>
>--
>Ron Fedkiw (rfedkiw@redwood.math.ucla.edu)
>
>A plan is made by someone who is sitting and thinking ...
>while others are doing.

From what I have seen I think the pendulum is starting to swing away from
Buffalo and moving towards the Dolphins and Jets. Where did I come up with
this opinion?

1. Buffalo's defense has started to slow down and get weaker over the last
   2 years. Plus Bruce Smith's knee is a major area of concern, and with the
   loss of one of their better LB's to plan B I don't see any reason why this
   slide will not continue.
2. Buffalo didn't do anything to help the defense in the draft or plan B.
3. Miami drafted 2 impact players in the first round, pending contract signings
   these 2 will definitely help upgrade this unit, along with the 3rd round
   pick Larry Webster who is impressing coaches with his ability look for a
   much improved Miami defense.
4. The only thing keeping Miami from getting to the playoffs last year was a
   porous defense, their offense has never been a question mark since the
   arrival of Dan Marino 10 years ago. And they have shored up an ageing
   receiver corps with the drafting of speed burner Lee miles and plan B
   acquisition Robert Clark from Detroit. The other plus here is the addition
   of Bobby Humphry which should improve the shaky ground game.
5. The Jets have one of the youngest teams in the AFC with a promising young
   quarterback in Browning Nagle. These guys are going to gel sometime soon
   and when they do I fear the Dolphins and the rest of the AFC east will
   suffer as a result.

Just some random ranting by a long time (1966) Dolphins and AFC east fan.

John
-- 
The opinions expressed here are sole property of the author and are not
the opinions of Make Systems or any other entity. What a shame.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
John "Dolphinatic" Turman
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro