From: v077mdph@ubvmsb.cc.buffalo.edu (John of Gaunt)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: Re: Buffalo Bills
Date: 29 Jul 92 03:48:00 GMT
Distribution: usa
Organization: University at Buffalo
News-Software: VAX/VMS VNEWS 1.41

In article <CPM.92Jul28183558@clyde.clearpoint.com>, cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com
writes...
>In article <1992Jul28.031552.17685@math.ucla.edu> rfedkiw@redwood.math.ucla.
edu (Ronald Fedkiw) writes:
>>In article <CPM.92Jul27163911@clyde.clearpoint.com> cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com 
writes:
[comments I don't feel like commenting on deleted]

>>The Jets would have a shot in New Jersey, EXCEPT they play
>>on Monday night. The Bills are starting to get famous for 
>>punishing the Jets on Monday nights.
>>If it wasn't a Monday night game, there might be some question
>>as to the winner.
> 
>So your saying that when the Jets play the Bills on Monday night in
>New Jersey its an automatic win for the Bills? Why doesn't this
>make sense to me?

	It doesn't make all that much sense to say that the Bills will
automatically win a Monday Night game in New Jersey.  However, I agree with
the other guy, that the Bills will probably win this game.

>>New England beat the Bills last year in New England.
>>It looked like someone actually watered the field with a garden
>>hose before the game. Bills players, who rely on speed for
>>preformance, were slipping and sliding all day. The chances of 
>>this happening again are slim at best. Rumor has it that the 
>>Bills will actually send someone to keep an eye on the field 
>>this year during the pregame week to make sure that there is 
>>no monkey business.
> 
>Blaming a loss to the Patriots on a wet field, thats a new one. As I 
>recall Kelly had a bad day and the Pats just outplayed them winning 16-13. 
>Even if the field was wet, it would effect both teams would'nt it? The
>game at Buffalo the Bills won 22-17. Pretty dominant huh? 
>Weren't the Bills something like 20TH in the league against the run last 
>year? Your not going to win many superbowls with that kind of rush defense.
>If you shutdown Kelly(which isn't easy) and run the ball alot you 
>can be successfull against the Bills. Look what KC did on Monday Night last
>year.

	I would blame the loss to the Patriots on the wet field, home-field
advantage for the Pats, and lack of motivation, mostly lack of motivation.
The Bills lost to the Chiefs because the Bills didn't play well, and the Chiefs
played their best game of the season that night.
	Remember that the rushing defense stats are based on total yards
given up.  The Bills opponents often had 20% more offensive plays against the
Bills than against other opponents.  If I can, I'm going to try to normalize
those stats, and see where the Bills line up.

>>>They had their chance to win the superbowl the last two years, but failed.
>>>This will have an effect on them this year. They will not come out with the
>>>same intestity as the last two years.
> 
>>Two years ago after the Bills (who were favored and beat the Giants in 
>>New Jersey during regular season play) lost the Super Bowl,
>>I heard the same tune.
> 
>Granted the Bills are the favorite to win the AFC, but I am saying they will
>not win as many games as they did the last two years and if they win 12
>games I would be very surprised. If you look over history the team that
>loses the superbowl ussually does better the following year than the 
>team that wins the superbowl, but how does the team who loses the superbowl
>twice in row do the following year? Anyone have any stats on that?

	No, I don't.  However, I doubt there's a reasonable sample size of
teams that lost twice in a row.  I can only think of one team that did that,
Denver.  What about the Vikings?  Did anybody else do it?

>>Some thought that the Bills would come out last season without intensity.
>>In fact they came out so strong, and destroyed their opponents so bad
>>in the early season, that some of the players actually burned out by
>>the end of the year.

[score predictions for the first eight games deleted]

>>The Bills have had a problem with peaking around mid-season.
>>If they came out a little slower, it might be scary come playoff time.
> 
>We will find out!!

	Yes, we will!  If the Bills come out relaxed, then peak late in the
season or during the playoffs, watch out!

>>Ron Fedkiw (rfedkiw@redwood.math.ucla.edu)
> 
>Chris Martel
>Clearpoint Research
>cpm@clyde.clearpoint.com

Snoopy