From: barrett@iastate.edu (Marc N Barrett)
Subject: Re: Presidential predictions Re: Perot?
Organization: Iowa State University, Ames, IA
Date: Sat, 25 Jul 1992 17:08:53 GMT

In article <1992Jul25.130739.25878@Princeton.EDU> pswanson@phoenix.Princeton.EDU (Paul Swanson) writes:
>In article <dano.711761245@srl01> dano@srl01.usl.edu (Dan Stephenson) writes:
>>I too think that George Bush will ultimately win the presidential race.
>
>You obviously did inhale.  If Clinton doesn't make too many gaffes
>between now and the election he will win.  Actually, right now Bush is
>self destructing to such a degree that I'm not sure what Clinton can do
>to lose.

   Simply continue to campaign.  Clinton is campaigning as an agent of change,
but as the date of the election draws nearer people will realize that Clinton
does not represent change at all but a continuation of the status quo.  That
should have been apparent from his nomination speach.  Clinton panders to
every group with every political viewpoint imaginable; you can't pander to
groups (especially PACs) like this and expect people to take you seriously as
an agent of change.  Even though Jerry Brown is a flake, he did hit the nail
on the head when he pointed out repeatedly that pandering to PACs and extremist
groups cannot result in change, but all that Clinton knows how to do is pander.
He can't say 'no' to anybody.

   Second, Clinton is campaigning as a moderate, which is equally hard for
most people to believe, when he represents a party whose leadership is 90%
liberal, and when he has a wife who is not just liberal but just plain radical.
Hilery Clinton has stated in official judicial statements that she is in
favor of allowing the courts to meddle in the private affairs of American
families.  What she really wants to do is allow children to sue their parents;
when a reporter asked her if she was in favor of allowing children to sue 
their parents for making them take out the garbage, she guffawed at it but
never outright denied it.  As if our judicial system is not too overworked as
it is; as if parents were not too hard-pressed to bring up children with 
traditional values as it is; and as if lawyers in our society (of whom Hilery
just happens to be one) were not responsible for too much wasted productivity
as it is.

   Really, for Clinton to lose the election, all he has to do is continue to
exist! :-)


>I guess this means you think Bush will wage a massively negative
>campaign.  After all, how else could Bush make people disillusioned with
>Clinton's plan? 

   The Democrats have already been waging a massively negative campaign.  The
Democratic Convention was just one big bash-Bush party.  I watched much of it,
and very few positive statements were made that had any substance at all.

   As for Clinton's "plan", it is no plan at all.  It just panders to
traditional liberal thinking by raising taxes and preserving entitlements and
other porkbarrel social programs, while using slick numbers to promise cuts in
the deficit and debt.  It has been pointed out that Clinton's tax increases
would put most small businesses (registered as individuals for tax purposes)
out of business, and that his so-called middle-class tax cuts keep getting
smaller and smaller and smaller all the time.

>Paul.

---
| Marc Barrett -MB-  |  email: barrett@iastate.edu
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"If you like Congress, you'll **LOVE** Bill Clinton."
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