From: jpalmer@uwovax.uwo.ca (The Econoclast)
Subject: ACPAC repost: who has voted for whom so far
Organization: University of Western Ont, London
Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1993 06:07:57 GMT

	This is a repost, announcing the second annual Acker-Cook 
Pitch-Alike Contest, abbreviated ACPAC. If you wish to enter the contest,
please use the entry form near the end of this posting. If you wish 
to re-enter the contest, feel free. We will use your most recent entry.

	Interestingly, no one has yet selected Jim Acker, Dennis Cook, 
or 1992 net.favourite Dave Johnson, nor have there been any entries 
from anyone named Roger. At the very end of this posting is a list of
all the entries received to date; if you have sent in an entry, please
check to make sure it was recorded.  

RULES:
     1.  The pitcher winning the 1993 ACPAC will be the pitcher
         who yields the most home runs per 9 innings pitched AND
         who pitches at least 80 innings at the major league level in 1993. 

     2.  The entrant who wins the contest will be the person who
         predicts which pitcher will come higher in the ACPAC
         standings than the pitchers selected by the other entrants.

     3.  If more than one entrant would be the winner according to rule
         number 2, the winning entrant will be whoever among those tied 
         comes closest in predicting the pitcher's HR/9ip. If you
         don't submit a HR/9ip prediction with your entry, we will 
         enter your prediction as zero.

     4.  If there is still a tie, the judges will toss a coin.

     5.  As we did last year, ACPAC will be awarding the
         following prizes to the winners:

         a.   The winning contestant will receive a tasteful polo-
              type shirt from the contest sponsors, The Economics
              Institute for Journalists. The shirts are beige, with a
              nice logo over the pocket, but we may not have your
              size. The shirts regularly retail for $19.95 [Cdn.]

         b.   The winning contestant, the winning pitcher, winners
              from the past, and several runners up will all be
              invited [at their own expense] to attend a banquet to
              be held in their honour. The 1992 banquet and awards
              presentation ceremony were a resounding success. 

HELPFUL DATA

     Listed below are many of the leading candidates for the 1993
ACPAC. Columns 2-4 show their 1992 stats, and columns 5-7 give the
projections from the 1993 STATS handbook. Be forewarned, however,
that the STATS projections do not take into account changes in
affiliations (and parks and leagues) since 1992. Columns 8 and 9
summarize the entries received to date.

                      '92 Data     '93 STATS projctns  Net Picks
 Name             HR    ip     HR/   HR  ip    HR/     #     avg.
                               9ip             9ip     of   predicted
                                                      votes  HR/9ip
 
 Boucher, Denis     9     41  1.976                     2    1.820
 Kipper, Bob        8   38.7  1.860   5   46  0.978
 Slusarski, Joe    15     76  1.776                     1    1.597
 Aldred, Scott     12     65  1.662                     2    1.509
 Cook, Dennis      29    158  1.652
 Bones, Ricky      27  163.3  1.488                     1    1.580
 Ashby, Andy        6     37  1.460                     2    1.471 
 Gullickson, Bill  35  221.7  1.421  27  223  1.090     3    1.691
 DeLucia, Rich     13   83.2  1.406                     1    1.700
 Boskie, S.        14   91.7  1.374
 Hillegas, Shawn   13     86  1.360   9   85  0.953
 Abbott, Kyle      20  133.3  1.350                     1    1.900
 Otto, Dave        12   80.3  1.345
 Sanderson, Scott  28  193.3  1.304  25  198  1.136
 Reardon, Jeff      6   42.3  1.277   7   58  1.086
 McDonald, Ben     32    227  1.269
 Milacki, Bob      16  115.7  1.245  15  138  0.978
 Armstrong, Jack   23  166.7  1.242  19  158  1.082     1    1.400
 Wells, David      16    120  1.200  15  146  0.925
 Acker, Jim         4   30.7  1.173   5   50  0.900
 Black, Bud        23    177  1.169  21  189  1.000
 Berenguer, Juan   10     78  1.154   8   73  0.986
 Blyleven, Bert    17    133  1.150  11   89  1.112     7    1.549
 Crim, Chuck       11     87  1.138   8   88  0.818
 Stewart, Dave     25  199.3  1.129  20  208  0.865     3    1.518
 Tanana, Frank     22  186.3  1.063  23  197  1.051
 Finley, Chuck     24  204.3  1.057  19  212  0.807
 Robinson, Don      7     60  1.050   9   80  1.013
 Cadaret, Greg     12  103.7  1.041   8  110  0.655
 Cerutti, John*    17  150.3  1.018
 Key, Jimmy        24  216.7  0.997  20  214  0.841
 Hough, Charlie    19  176.3  0.970  20  184  0.978
 Wegman, Bill      28  261.7  0.963  25  239  0.941
 Welch, Bob        13  123.7  0.946  17  156  0.981
 Hesketh, Joe      15  148.7  0.908  17  150  1.020
 Young, Matt        7   70.7  0.891   5   77  0.584
 Drees, Tom*       12  128.3  0.842
 Jones, Jimmy      13  139.3  0.840  14  138  0.913
 Moore, Mike       20    223  0.807  15  219  0.616     1    1.500
 Fraser, Willie*    8     90  0.800
 Leary, Tim        12    141  0.766  13  134  0.873
 Cox, Danny         5     62  0.726   9   76  1.066
 Cormier, Rheal    15    186  0.726
 Crews, Tim         6     78  0.692   7   77  0.818
 Morris, Jack      18  240.7  0.673  18  243  0.667
 Walk, Bob         10    135  0.667  13  128  0.914
 Johnson, Dave*     4   54.7  0.658
 Darling, Ron      15  206.3  0.654  21  202  0.936
 Plunk, Eric        5   71.7  0.628   9   85  0.953
 Portugal, Mark     7  101.3  0.622  12  124  0.871
 Browning, Tom      6     87  0.621  16  135  1.067     1    1.738
 Darwin, Danny     11  161.3  0.614  15  130  1.038
 Swindell, Greg    14  213.7  0.590  20  222  0.811
 Robinson, Jeff M   5     78  0.577  12   89  1.213
 Plesac, Dan        5     79  0.570   8   83  0.867
 Deshaies, Jim      6     96  0.563  10  118  0.763
 Eckersley, Denni   5     80  0.563   8   79  0.911
 Johnson, Randy    13  210.3  0.556  18  207  0.783
 Davis, Storm       5   89.3  0.504   9   98  0.827
 Viola, Frank      13    238  0.492  18  236  0.686
 Gooden, Doc       11    206  0.481  11  201  0.493
 Rasmussen, Denni   2   42.7  0.422   8   77  0.935
 Liebrandt, Charlie 9    193  0.420  13  205  0.571     1    1.501
 Nagy, Charles     11    252  0.393  15  238  0.567
 Jones, Barry       3   69.7  0.387   4   76  0.474
 Howell, Jay        2   46.7  0.385   2   48  0.375


 * indicates 1992 minor league stats
----
     Feel free to enter now and change your entry later should
your candidate be injured or sent to the minors, or should you just
happen to realize how dumb your original entry was. Simply e-mail [don't
post] your entry or re-entry to me, using the form below. I'll post updates 
on an irregular basis as the entries come in and as time permits.

---------------------------------------------------------------
                       ENTRY FORM

Your Name:

Pitcher:

Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places):
---------------------------------------------------------------

To date,  the following entries have been received...

From:   rvesterm%irishvma.bitnet@utcs.utoronto.ca
my name: bob vesterman.
my pick: bert blyleven.
bert's hr/ip: 1.937.
----
From: sfh@po.CWRU.Edu (Steven F. Hubbard)
>Your Name: Steven Hubbard
>Pitcher: Rich Delucia
>Projected HR/9ip:  1.7
>---------------------------------------------------------------
From: mjones@fenway.aix.kingston.ibm.com (Mike Jones)
Your Name: Mike Jones (mjones@donald.aix.kingston.ibm.com)
Pitcher: Rik Aalbert (Bert) "Be Home" Blyleven
Projected HR/9ip: 1.150
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: Joe Lundy <jlundy@encore.com>
Your Name: Joe Lundy
Pitcher: Bill "Gull Fodder" Gullickson
Projected HR/9ip: 1.800
Bill's a year older and the Tigers are not getting any better (DON'T
BELIEVE PETER GAMMONS - key pickup Tom Bolton)
...although this should be an interesting year.  I wouldn't be
surprised if the winner is Bryn Smith, with that light air up 
there in Denver.  Do I win a JackPac facecloth if Bryn Smith 
is our winner? (booby prize)
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: dave@snitor.sni.ca (Dave Till)
>Your Name: Dave Till
>Pitcher: Scott Aldred
>Projected HR/9ip: 1.316
>---------------------------------------------------------------
From: kbanaian@BERNARD.PITZER.CLAREMONT.EDU (King Banaian)
>Your Name:  Sparky Banaian
>Pitcher:  Mike Moore, Detroit
>Projected HR/9ip: 1.50
>---------------------------------------------------------------
From:    KETTLER@PIERRE.MIT.EDU
Your Name: Thomas R. Kettler
Pitcher: Bert "Bye, Bye" Blyleven
Projected HR/9ip: 1.75
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: twhite@dvorak.amd.com (Tom White)
>Your Name:  Thomas White  
>Pitcher:     Bert Blyleven (Rikaalbert in the Homerdome -- whee-hew!) 
>             runner-up:  Kevin Morton, because the Royals will be that
               desperate.  
>Projected HR/9ip:   BB:  1.140   KM:  1.011 
----------------------------------------------------------------
From: kenney@tribe.b17d.ingr.com (David Kenney)
Your Name: David Kenney
Pitcher: Bert Blyleven
Projected HR/9ip: 1.80
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: Paul R Krueger <paul@csd4.csd.uwm.edu>
>Your Name: Paul Krueger (aka Salty) 
>Pitcher: Ricky Bones
>Projected HR/9ip: 1.58
   My early odds on favorite.
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: glhuckabay@ucdavis.edu
>Your Name: Gary 'Recoil' Huckabay
>Pitcher: 'Downtown' Dave Stewart
>Projected HR/9ip: 1.410
>---------------------------------------------------------------
From: David Johnson <djohnson@undergrad.math.uwaterloo.ca>
>Your Name:  David Johnson
>Pitcher: Bill Gullickson
>Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.675
>---------------------------------------------------------------
From: naka@jonah.elan.com (James "Naka" Nakamura)
Your Name: James Nakamura
Pitcher: Kyle "Who's Rounding Third" Abbot
Projected HR/9ip: 1.9
I've seen little leaguers trying to get in the batter's box to hit off this
guy. My first live experience with Abbot:
0 IP, 3 Hits, 3 runs. This included a Pete Incavilia moon shot that could
have hit the Independance building had it not hit the facing *above* the
outfield scoreboard.
----------------------------------------------------------------
From: dfl@math.wayne.edu (David Frohardt-Lane)
Your Name: David Frohardt-Lane
Pitcher: Scott Aldred
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.702
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: eriksa@techbook.com (Erik Anderson)
>Your Name: Erik Anderson (eriksa@techbook.com)
>Pitcher: Dave Stewart (Toronto Blue Jays)
>Projected HR/9ip: 1.493
Reasoning:  Toronto is a HR park more than Oakland's and he'll have to
face the Cansecos and McGwires instead of thanking them for their
support.
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: sweda@css.itd.umich.edu
Your Name: Sean Sweda
Pitcher: Dave Stewart
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.65
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: rising@zoo.toronto.edu
Name:  Jim Rising
Pitcher:  Bill Gullickson
HR/9INN:  1.599
I'm very tempted to go with Scott Aldred, but I think that we
can be certain that ol' Boom-Boom Bill will get the requisite
innings, and Aldred will get to face, as you pointed out, all
those pitchers and AAA 'all stars.'  Cheers, and Happy New Year!
----------------------------------------------------------------
From: kar@fig.cray.com (Kent Rogers)
Your Name: Kent Rogers
Pitcher: Bert Blyleven
Projected HR/9ip: 1.57
---------------------------------------------------------------
Full-Name: Bradley W. Brock
From: brock@nextwork.rose-hulman.edu
My prediction: Armstrong, Jack 
1.4
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: tedward@cs.cornell.edu (Edward [Ted] Fischer)
I will go with Bert Blyleven at a resounding 1.5 HR/9 IP clip.
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: ADAM LEVIN <ST902415@PIP.CC.BRANDEIS.EDU>
Your Name:  Adam Levin
Pitcher: Andy Ashby (Advice be damned)
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.333
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: ksm@be.seas.upenn.edu (Ken MacFarlane)
Your Name: Ken MacFarlane
Pitcher: Andy Ashby
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.609
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: "Jake Lesgold" <jlesgold@merle.acns.nwu.edu>
I'll take "Juicy Joe" Slusarski for 1.597, please.
Jake Lesgold
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: genetic+@pitt.edu
I don't care.  Gimme Boucher.  I think he has "The Wrong Stuff" (tm)
1.85 HR/9IP 
---------------------------------------------------------------- 
From: phillips@roadrunner.pictel.com (Carl Phillips)
Your Name: Carl Phillips
Pitcher: Denny Boucher
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.79
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: Warren Usui <aardvark@devnet.la.locus.com>
Charlie Leibrandt    
1.501
---------------------------------------------------------------
From: Ron Kotchon <ronk@calgary.hp.com>
Your Name: Ron Kotchon
Pitcher: Tom Browning
Projected HR/9ip (to 3 decimal places): 1.738
Comment:  Quite a long-shot, I'm sure, being an NLer and all, but I feel
with his previous tater tendencies, plus coming off an injury season, he
can do the job.  The real test will be Tom getting 80 innings to show
how he no longer has it.
---------------------------------------------------------------

-- 
  John Palmer    London, Ontario       Voice: (519) 661-3533     FAX: 661-3666
  reply to jpalmer@uwovax.uwo.ca       The Economics Institute for Journalists
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