From: hankdtank <hank@waffle.sns.com>
Subject: Emmy Predictions 2/2
Organization: Systems'n'Software, Fremont, CA  94539-6669
Date: Thu, 27 Aug 92 18:08:14 PDT

32. LEAD ACTOR, COMEDY SERIES: Ted Danson, "Cheers," NBC; Craig T. Nelson, 
"Coach," ABC; BURT REYNOLDS, "EVENING SHADE," CBS; John Goodman, "Roseanne," 
ABC; Jerry Seinfeld, "Seinfeld," NBC; Kelsey Grammer, "Wings," NBC.  [He 
will win because the Academy is willing to vote for him again.  They don't 
believe Jerry is acting.  Danson had an off year.  The year Goodman finally 
gets nominated, its for his weakest season on the show.  Nelson could/should 
win, but it just doesn't look likely.  Why is Grammer here?  They should 
have never gotten rid of the "Guest" categories.]

33. LEAD ACTOR, DRAMA SERIES: Christopher Lloyd, "Avonlea," Disney Channel; 
Sam Waterston, "I'll Fly Away," NBC; Michael Moriarty, "Law & Order," NBC; 
Rob Morrow, "Northern Exposure," CBS; Harrison Page, "Quantum Leap," NBC; 
Scott Bakula, "Quantum Leap," NBC; KIRK DOUGLAS, "TALES FROM THE CRYPT," 
HBO.  [There are 7 people in this category!!!  Waterston and Morrow were 
probably one and two in the preliminary voting for the noms, now watch them 
lose to a person who probably tied for the last spot.  This category, IMHO, 
shows why there are really not enough categories.  Morrow gave some of the 
best performances (but was tarnished by the contract squabbles), and behind 
him was Bakula.  But how can an unknown and a person on a low rated series 
compete against TV/screen legends who in reality make only guest shots.  
Watch the vote split and Moriarty win.]

34. LEAD ACTOR, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: Hume Cronyn, "Christmas on Division 
Street," CBS; Ruben Blades, "Crazy From the Heart," TNT; Maximilian Schell, 
"Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC; *BRIAN DENNEHY, "TO CATCH A 
KILLER," SYNDICATED; Beau Bridges, "Without Warning: The James Brady Story," 
HBO.  [Not familiar with all the performances, so if Hannibal the Cannibal 
can win an Oscar, how about Dennehy's portrayal of a wierdo serial killer?]

35. LEAD ACTRESS, COMEDY SERIES: Marion Ross, "Brooklyn Bridge," CBS; 
Kirstie Alley, "Cheers," NBC; Betty White, "The Golden Girls," NBC; CANDICE 
BERGEN, "MURPHY BROWN," CBS; Roseanne Arnold, "Roseanne," ABC; Tyne Daly, 
"Wings," NBC.  [Marion Ross should win, but TV critics don't vote.  Roseanne 
Barr... uh, I mean Arnold, was supposed to win.  But with an enemy like Dan 
Quayle, watch the cultural elite vote for the VP slayer.]

36. LEAD ACTRESS, DRAMA SERIES: Kate Nelligan, "Avonlea," Disney Channel; 
Dana Delany, "China Beach," ABC; REGINA TAYLOR, "I'LL FLY AWAY," NBC; 
Shirley Knight, "Law & Order," NBC; Angela Lansbury, "Murder, She Wrote," 
CBS; Sharon Gless, "The Trials of Rosie O'Neill," CBS.  [You could call it 
the Politically Correct thing to do.  Whoopi won an Oscar, so an Emmy better 
go to a black person.  Well, the Academy has been bailed out in more ways 
than one because Taylor gave some of the best performances of the season.]

37. LEAD ACTRESS, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: *LAURA DERN, "AFTERBURN," HBO; Gena 
Rowlands, "Face of a Stranger," CBS; Anne Bancroft, "American Playhouse: 
Mrs. Cage," PBS; Judy Davis, "Hallmark Hall of Fame: One Against the Wind," 
CBS; Meredith Baxter, "A Woman Scorned: The Betty Broderick Story," CBS.  [I 
have no idea again.  I am voting for the rhyming factor.]

38. SUPPORTING ACTOR, COMEDY SERIES: HARVEY FIERSTEIN, "CHEERS," NBC; Jerry 
Van Dyke, "Coach," ABC; Michael Jeter, "Evening Shade," CBS; Charles 
Durning, "Evening Shade," CBS; Jay Thomas, "Murphy Brown," CBS; Jason 
Alexander, "Seinfeld," NBC.  [See why we need that "Guest Appearance" 
category back?  A very, very, very strong category.  Any one could, should 
win.  Again, I predict PC politics will show its ugly head, giving the 
advantage to Fierstein, who gave a fine/funny performance playing a gay guy. 
 What a stretch!]

39. SUPPORTING ACTOR, DRAMA SERIES: Jimmy Smits, "L.A. Law," NBC; Richard 
Dysart, "L.A. Law," NBC; JOHN CORBETT, "NORTHERN EXPOSURE," CBS; Dean 
Stockwell, "Quantum Leap," NBC; Richard Kiley, "The Ray Bradbury Theater," 
USA; Ed Asner, "The Trials of Rosie O'Neill," CBS.  [This is a crazy choice. 
 My feeling is that he is the only one who is doing car commercials, the 
only one who's recently been on the cover of TV Guide, the only guy who has 
increased the enrollment in Russian literature classes, the new sex symbol 
among the group, the guy who most of the time has a Staring role on NX.  He 
is the only one who is not boring. Then again, the academy likes boring.  
I'm wrong, Ed Asner will win.  I thought Smits left "L.A. Law."  Oops, I 
forgot, there is no more "Guest" category.

40. SUPPORTING ACTOR, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: *BEN VEREEN, "INTRUDERS -- THEY 
ARE AMONG US," CBS; Hector Elizondo, "American Playhouse: Mrs. Cage," PBS; 
Jerry Orbach, "Neil Simon's 'Broadway Bound,"' ABC; Hume Cronyn, "Neil 
Simon's 'Broadway Bound," ABC; Brian Dennehy, "Scott Turow's: The Burden of 
Proof," ABC.  [I have no idea.  My guess is that they will give it to Vereen 
as a Get Well/Welcome Back gift.]

41. SUPPORTING ACTRESS, COMEDY SERIES: Frances Sternhagen, "Cheers," NBC; 
ALICE GHOSTLEY, "DESIGNING WOMEN," CBS; Estelle Getty, "The Golden Girls," 
NBC; Faith Ford, "Murphy Brown," CBS; Laurie Metcalf, "Roseanne," ABC; Julia 
Louis-Dreyfus, "Seinfeld," NBC.  [She has to win in the category where 
everyone deserves it.  If Sternhagen is wearing that red dress again, she I 
hope she wins, or at least stands up.  "Black man, black man."]

42. SUPPORTING ACTRESS, DRAMA SERIES: MARG HELGENBERGER, "CHINA BEACH," ABC; 
Mary Alice, "I'll Fly Away," NBC; Conchata Ferrell, "L.A. Law," NBC; Barbara 
Barrie, "Law & Order," NBC; Valerie Mahaffey, "Northern Exposure," CBS; 
Cynthia Geary, "Northern Exposure," CBS; Kay Lenz, "Reasonable Doubts," NBC. 
 [In this category of 'no-names' the boring academy will take the safe 
route.  Although Ferrell could win by being the only interesting character 
on "L.A. Law" last season.  Geary should win for playing the quintessential 
dumb blond who isn't.]

43. SUPPORTING ACTRESS, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: Bibi Besch, "Doing Time on 
Maple Drive," Fox; Amanda Plummer, "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," 
NBC; Maureen Stapleton, "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC; Penny 
Fuller, "Hallmark Hall of Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC; *ANNE BANCROFT, "NEIL 
SIMON'S 'BROADWAY BOUND,"' ABC.  [Can you tell that I don't watch many 
miniseries.]

44. INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE, VARIETY OR MUSIC PROGRAM: George Carlin, "George 
Carlin Jammin' in New York," HBO; Dana Carvey, "Saturday Night Live," NBC; 
Billy Crystal, "The 64th Annual Academy Awards," ABC; BETTE MIDLER, "THE 
TONIGHT SHOW STARRING JOHNNY CARSON," NBC; "Unforgettable, With Love: 
Natalie Cole Sings the Songs of Nat King Cole," PBS.  [Hmm.  You got the 
great performances going against history.  Midler's historic performance is 
engraved in the minds of the Academy.]

45. COMEDY SERIES: "Brooklyn Bridge," CBS; "Cheers," NBC; "Home 
Improvement," ABC; "MURPHY BROWN," CBS; "Seinfeld," NBC.  ["Brown" will win, 
thanks to Mr. Quayle and the cultural elite, even though Seinfeld is the 
class of the category.]

46. DRAMA SERIES: "Northern Exposure," CBS; "I'LL FLY AWAY," NBC; "L.A. 
Law," NBC; "Law & Order," NBC; "Quantum Leap," NBC.  [If the vote splits 
right, NX should win (and it is the best entertaining show).  But it won't 
so "I'll Fly Away" will win.  If "L.A. Law" wins again, someone open fire, 
or just bomb L.A.]

47. MINISERIES: "Cruel Doubt," NBC; "Drug Wars: The Cocaine Cartel," NBC; 
*"IN A CHILD'S NAME," CBS; "Scott Turow's: The Burden of Proof," ABC; "A 
Woman Named Jackie," NBC.  [Sounds like an Emmy winning program.]

48. MADE FOR TELEVISION MOVIE: "DOING TIME ON MAPLE DRIVE," FOX; 
"Homefront," Pilot, ABC; "I'll Fly Away," Pilot, NBC; "Hallmark Hall of 
Fame: Miss Rose White," NBC; "Without Warning: The James Brady Story," HBO.  
[A great, powerful movie.  Enough to derail the "I'll Fly Away" Emmy-train.

49. VARIETY, MUSIC OR COMEDY PROGRAM: "Cirque du Soleil II: A New 
Experience," HBO; "Comic Relief V," HBO; "In Living Color," Fox; "Late Night 
With David Letterman," NBC; "THE TONIGHT SHOW STARRING JOHNNY CARSON," NBC; 
"Unforgettable, With Love: Natalie Cole Sings the Songs of Nat King Cole," 
PBS. [Once again the Academy shows that 30 years of service means something. 
 Although Letterman has surpassed the great one a couple years ago.]

50. CLASSICAL PROGRAM IN THE PERFORMING ARTS: "A Carnegie Hall Christmas 
Concert," PBS; "KATHLEEN BATTLE AND WYNTON MARSALIS IN BAROQUE DUET," PBS; 
"The 100th Telecast: Live From Lincoln Center: Pavorotti Plus!," PBS; "Paul 
McCartney's Liverpool Oratorio Great Performances," PBS; "Perlman in 
Russia," PBS.  [A great performance and a great choice for an Emmy.  But the 
Academy might choose Pavorotti.  I wonder if there are a lot of Jewish 
voters in the Academy, because Christmas specials don't do that well most of 
the time.]

51. CHILDREN'S PROGRAM: "Avonlea," Disney Channel; "In the Shadow of Love: A 
Teen AIDS Story," PBS; "Mark Twain and Me," Disney Channel; "A 3-2-1 Contact 
Extra: What Kids Want to Know About Sex and Growing Up," PBS; "Winnie The 
Pooh and Christmas Too," ABC.  [Children's programs?  From sex to Winnie The 
Pooh.  Since children don't vote, programs with a harder edge usually win 
(unless its Sesame Street, which most Academy members watch WITHOUT their 
children).  "A 3-2-1 Contact" special or the AIDS program should win.]

52. INFORMATIONAL SPECIAL: "ABORTION: DESPERATE CHOICES," HBO; "The Barbara 
Walters Special With Michelle Pfeiffer, Anthony Hopkins and Tom Cruise," 
ABC; "Empire of the Air: The Men Who Made Radio," PBS; "Hearts of Darkness: 
A Filmmaker's Apocalypse," Showtime; "In the Company of Whales," Disney 
Channel.  [This show is right up the Academy's alley.  "Empire of the Air" 
sounds like an important series and might win, and everyone loves a Disney 
story about whales.]

53. INFORMATIONAL SERIES: "Entertainment Tonight," Syndicated; "Later ... 
With Bob Costas," NBC; "MGM: WHEN THE LION ROARS," TNT; "Siskel & Ebert," 
Syndicated; "Unsolved Mysteries," NBC.  [Once again, Emmy kisses Oscar's 
butt.  With reality TV as hot as it is, "Unsolved" could win.  "Later" is 
the best interview/talkshow on TV, so it doesn't have a chance.

54. ANIMATED PROGRAM (ONE HOUR OR LESS): "A Claymation Easter," CBS; "The 
Ren & Stimpy Show," Nickelodeon; "Shelley Duvall's Bedtime Stories," 
Showtime; "THE SIMPSONS," FOX. [I don't care how hot/hip Ren & Stimpy is, 
the Simpsons own the category, at least for one more year.  Again, no nom as 
best comedy.  

55. SOUND EDITING, SERIES: "Civil Wars: Oceans White With Phone," ABC; "Law 
& Order: Heaven," NBC; "Northern Exposure: Three Amigos," CBS; "Quantum 
Leap: Hurricane," NBC; "STAR TREK: THE NEXT GENERATION: POWER PLAY," 
SYNDICATED.  [Great sound editing, but it is not the best.  It will win on 
reputation and as explained in No. 1.  That specific "Civil Wars" episode is 
better than the rest of them.] "Conagher," TNT; "Crash Landing: The Rescue 
of Flight 232," ABC; "Deadlock," HBO; "I'll Fly Away," Pilot, NBC.  [A shot 
in the dark.]

57. SOUND MIXING, COMEDY SERIES OR SPECIAL: "Brooklyn Bridge: Get A Job," 
CBS; "Cheers: Bar Wars IV: This Time It's For Real," NBC; "Doogie Howser, 
M.D.: Lonesome Doog," ABC; "THE SIMPSONS: TREEHOUSE OF HORROR II," Fox; "The 
Wonder Years: Grandpa's Car," ABC.  [Great manipulation of the Dolby 
Surround sound technology.  Now, are the "Simpsons" in this Category as a 
Comedy Series or a Special?]

58. SOUND MIXING, VARIETY OR MUSIC SERIES OR SPECIAL: "The 64th Annual 
Academy Awards," ABC; "The Kennedy Center Honors," CBS; *"PAUL SIMON'S 
CONCERT IN CENTRAL PARK," HBO; "The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson," 
NBC; "Unforgettable, With Love: Natalie Cole Sings the Songs of Nat King 
Cole," PBS.  [I don't think the "farewell to Carson" tribute can't go on 
forever, so I really don't know what to make of this category.]

59. SOUND MIXING, DRAMA SERIES: "China Beach: Hello-Goodbye," ABC; "Northern 
Exposure: Three Amigos," CBS; "STAR TREK: THE NEXT GENERATION: THE NEXT 
PHASE," Syndicated; "The Young Indiana Jones Chronicles: Verdun 1916," ABC.  
[See number 1. Most NX episodes have better sound mixing than all of them, 
especially when using the surround sound technology, like in the bar (the 
clinging of flatware), or when background music is brought in from the rear 
channels.  It's just to quiet on the Enterprise for superb sound mixing.  I 
believe Skywalker Labs does the sound for both ST:TNG and NX, so we'll see 
what happens.  Why was "Three Amigos" chosen over other episodes?]   

60. SOUND MIXING, DRAMA MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "Crash Landing: The Rescue of 
Flight 232," ABC; *"HALLMARK HALL OF FAME: ONE AGAINST THE WIND," CBS; "A 
Woman Named Jackie," Part Three, NBC.  [Pure guess.  Nothing else.]

61. CAMERA-VIDEO TECHNICAL DIRECTION, SERIES: "The Golden Girls: One Flew 
Out of the Cuckoo's Nest," Parts One and Two, NBC; "Night Court: A Guy Named 
Phantom," Part Two, NBC; "THE TONIGHT SHOW STARRING JOHNNY CARSON," NBC; 
"The Tonight Show With Jay Leno," NBC.  [Wow!  Carson against Leno.  You'll 
never see this again.  You'll never see "Night Court" or the "Golden Girls," 
either.  It's that 30 year thing, once again.]

62. CAMERA-VIDEO TECHNICAL DIRECTION, MINISERIES OR SPECIAL: "Comic Relief 
V," HBO; *"PAUL SIMON'S CONCERT IN CENTRAL PARK," HBO; "Sinbad and Friends 
-- All the Way We Live ... Almost!" ABC.  [If I have to guess again, I'll go 
with Paul once again.]

63. WRITING, COMEDY SERIES: "MURPHY BROWN: UH-OH," PART TWO, CBS; "Murphy 
Brown: Come Out, Come Out, Where Ever You Are," CBS; "Roseanne: A Bitter 
Pill to Swallow," ABC; "Seinfeld: The Tape," NBC; "Seinfeld: The Fix Up," 
NBC; "Seinfeld: The Parking Garage," NBC.  [I hope I'm wrong on this one.  
"Seinfeld" should win.  There should be a three-way tie for the Emmy between 
all three "Seinfeld" episodes, but that won't happen.  To show you the 
strength of the writing on "Seinfeld," each show can submit 3 episodes for 
consideration.  Look how many noms they got.  There is nothing special about 
that "Roseanne" episode.  Thanks to Quayle, "Brown" will win again.]

64. WRITING, DRAMA SERIES: "China Beach: Hello-Goodbye," ABC; "I'll Fly 
Away: Master Magician," NBC; "NORTHERN EXPOSURE: DEMOCRACY IN AMERICA," CBS; 
"Northern Exposure: Burning Down the House," CBS; "Northern Exposure: Seoul 
Mates," CBS.  [Will NX suffer the same fate as "Seinfeld?"  No!  Why?  
Because its "Democracy" episode is far, far superior to the other noms.  
"I'll Fly Away" can't compete with a well written story that begins and ends 
in one episode.  "Democracy" is like a mini-movie.  There could be a vote 
split by those stupid Academy members, allowing that CB episode to win, even 
though it does not match up with the quality of older CB episodes.]

65. WRITING, VARIETY OR MUSIC PROGRAM: "In Living Color," Fox; "LATE NIGHT 
WITH DAVID LETTERMAN," NBC; "Saturday Night Live," NBC; "The 64th Annual 
Academy Awards," ABC; "The Tonight Show Starring Johnny Carson," NBC.  [I'm 
going to go out on a limb here with my choice of "Letterman."  My feeling is 
that the Oscars weren't that good and Carson can't carry this wave of Emmy's 
throughout the night.]

66. INDIVIDUAL ACHIEVEMENT, CLASSICAL MUSIC-DANCE PROGRAMMING: "The 
Metropolitan Opera Silver Anniversary Gala," Brian Large, PBS; "The 
Metropolitan Opera Silver Anniversary Gala," Kathleen Battle, PBS; "The 
Metropolitan Opera Silver Anniversary Gala," Placido Domingo, PBS; "Paul 
Taylor's 'Speaking in Tongues,' Dance in America," Matthew Diamond, PBS.  

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