From: tes0@ns1.cc.lehigh.edu (THOMAS EDWIN SCHMIDLIN)
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.pro
Subject: Re: Schmidt Computer Rankings through 15-Dec
Date: 19 Dec 92 15:56:43 GMT
Organization: Lehigh University

In article <1gt0mqINN8ma@gap.caltech.edu>, schmke@cco.caltech.edu (Kevin Todd Sc
hmidt) writes:
>Here are my computers rankings through 15-Dec-92.  I have modified
>my algorithm to give more weight to recent games but I didn't have
>time to check it out as much as I should have.
>
>San Francisco stays on top with New Orleans moving to the #2 slot.
>Dallas' loss and Philadelphia's narrow win over Seattle dropped each
>one of them.  San Diego is the top AFC team.
>
>My rankings have the top 6 NFC teams being San Francico, New Orleans,
>Dallas, Philadelphia, Washington, and Minnesota.  If the season were
>to end today these teams would go the the playoffs.
>
>My rankings have the top 6 AFC teams being San Diego, Kansas City,
>Houston, Buffalo, LA Raiders, and Cleveland.  The missing probable
>playoff teams are Pittsburgh and Miami.  They are ranked lower due
>to my weighting of recent games.  It doesn't seem quite right though
>that they are as low as they are but I said I didn't have time to
>look at my algorithm closely yet.
>
>I went 6-7-1 against the spread and 8-6 picking winners this week.
>
>Kevin
>
>Rank Team                      Points  Record Sch. Str.  Last Week   Change
>---------------------------------------------------------------------------
>1    San_Francisco             78.786  12-2-0  70.484  (  1,  77.896)  +0
>2    New_Orleans               77.735  11-3-0  70.306  (  4,  75.525)  +2
>3    Dallas                    76.210  11-3-0  69.992  (  2,  77.498)  -1
>4    Philadelphia              75.483   9-5-0  71.911  (  3,  76.784)  -1
>5    San_Diego                 74.839   9-5-0  68.375  (  5,  75.192)  +0
>6    Washington                73.213   9-5-0  70.892  ( 11,  72.738)  +5
>7    Minnesota                 72.886   9-5-0  68.977  (  9,  72.962)  +2
>8    Kansas_City               72.290   9-5-0  70.113  (  6,  73.928)  -2
>9    Houston                   72.255   8-6-0  68.969  (  7,  73.202)  -2
>10   Buffalo                   71.148  10-4-0  68.285  ( 14,  70.025)  +4
>11   Green_Bay                 70.432   8-6-0  68.135  ( 15,  69.399)  +4
>12   LA_Raiders                70.344   6-8-0  69.737  ( 10,  72.791)  -2
>13   Cleveland                 70.318   7-7-0  68.544  ( 12,  72.146)  -1
>14   Phoenix                   70.196  4-10-0  72.494  ( 17,  68.625)  +3
      ^^^^^^^^                          ^^^^^^^

>15   Miami                     70.171   9-5-0  69.610  ( 19,  67.921)  +4
>16   Atlanta                   70.114   6-8-0  71.076  ( 20,  67.511)  +4
>17   Pittsburgh                69.883  10-4-0  68.407  (  8,  73.026)  -9
      ^^^^^^^^^^                        ^^^^^^                          ^^
I'm not sure exactly what you did to your algorithm, but I think you really
screwed it up.  Granted the Steelers got crushed by da bears, but dropping
nine  spots?  And you rate a 4-10 team ahead of a 10-4 team?  I think you're
right, you do need to take a closer look!

>18   Denver                    68.744   7-7-0  71.099  ( 13,  70.537)  -5
>19   LA_Rams                   68.304   5-9-0  71.540  ( 16,  68.992)  -3
>20   Detroit                   66.853  4-10-0  70.186  ( 21,  65.653)  +1
>21   Chicago                   66.819   5-9-0  69.243  ( 25,  64.286)  +4
>22   Indianapolis              66.206   7-7-0  68.931  ( 22,  65.291)  +0
>23   NY_Giants                 66.061   5-9-0  71.543  ( 18,  67.962)  -5
>24   NY_Jets                   64.593  4-10-0  68.857  ( 23,  65.008)  -1
>25   New_England               63.936  2-12-0  69.647  ( 28,  62.723)  +3
>26   Seattle                   63.446  2-12-0  70.495  ( 27,  63.699)  +1
>27   Tampa_Bay                 63.208  4-10-0  70.098  ( 26,  63.809)  -1
>28   Cincinnati                63.124  4-10-0  69.652  ( 24,  64.341)  -4
>--
>Jet Propulsion Laboratory | schmke@cco.caltech.edu
>4800 Oak Grove Dr.        | schmidt@spc5.jpl.nasa.gov
>M/S 525-3684              |
>Pasadena, CA  91109       |
>
-- 

Tom Schmidlin
TES0@LEHIGH.EDU
215-758-0875
From: boell@hpcc01.corp.hp.com (Donald P Boell)
Date: Wed, 16 Dec 1992 20:06:39 GMT
Subject: Re: Eagles Questions (Re: 49ers/Eagles)
Organization: the HP Corporate notes server