From: kebarnes@memstvx1.memst.edu
Newsgroups: alt.politics.elections
Subject: Re: Clinton: predictions 93-96 REPOST
Date: 5 Nov 92 22:06:42 -0600
Organization: Memphis State University

In article <1992Nov4.135010.3974@memstvx1.memst.edu>,
kebarnes@memstvx1.memst.edu writes:

> TOP TEN PREDICTIONS FOR THE CLINTON PRESIDENCY
> 
> 1. President Clinton will be unable to balance the budget,
> despite the fact that if he did so it could ruin
> Republican prospects in '96 by allowing him to blame
> Republicans for Congress' fiscal irresponsibility.
> 
> REASONS: The budget is programmed to increase each year
> (regardless of revenues) by the nature of the "current
> services baseline" accounting used; pork-barrel spending
> will not stop because that is what assures incumbent
> re-election; new federal programs will increase the deficit.
> 
> 2. The economy will improve in '93-'94, but interest rates
> will increase, taxes will increase (particularly in the
> energy sector), and inflation will return, prompting
> a slowdown by '96.
> 
> REASONS: The growth of government sector will continue;
> government intervention in trade, health, and energy sectors
> will backfire; assimiliation of eastern Germany into the
> market and European unification will continue to cause
> turmoil; trade sanctions against China, Mexico, Japan,
> and others will slow economic growth worldwide.
> 
> 3. Civil war will break out in South Africa, prompting
> U.S. military intervention.
> 
> REASONS: I hope I'm not right about this one most of all,
> but the elements of faction are there just as much as in
> Yugoslavia, and President Clinton will be very likely to
> intervene, most likely on the side of the A.N.C.;
> South Africa is the source of many technologically
> important minerals, as well as most of the world's diamonds;
> the African continent, like the Middle East, is armed to
> the teeth (witness Somalia), and the death throes of the
> racist apartheid regime will make Yugoslavia pale by
> comparison, especially since the white Afrikaaners have
> nukes.
> 
> 4. Clinton may find foreign policy success in China.
> 
> REASONS: Whatever he does won't matter; China will go
> democratic after all the old commies die off. I hope.
> 
> 5. Health care will not improve, it may get worse,
> given more government control.
> 
> REASONS: Soon all health care could resemble the V.A.
> hospitals; poor people will continue to get second-tier
> treatment, but more preventative care will be available;
> there will be a shortage of doctors, which will outlast
> the Clinton Administration.
> 
> 6. Despite more funding, no effective vaccine or cure for
> AIDS will be found during the Clinton Administration.
> Several new treatments will extend the lives of HIV-positive
> patients. The number of people infected will continue
> to rise.
> 
> REASON: No matter how much the President cares about AIDS,
> this one's up to scientists and the people directly involved.
> Present trends will continue.
> 
> 7. Drug-related crime will persist, particularly in the
> inner city, and may get worse.
> 
> REASONS: So long as there is a demand for them, drugs
> will continue to remain available, despite (and to some
> extent, because of) their illegality. Clinton will not
> be any tougher on law enforcement, and may even, through
> judicial appointments, make matters worse. The "War
> On Drugs" will continue.
> 
> 8. Despite pledges to homosexual-rights groups, a gay
> civil rights bill will stall in Congress, but the
> restrictions on openly gay members of the armed services
> will be reversed.
> 
> REASONS: Republican filibusters in the Senate, opposition
> from religious groups, and continued dissatisfaction with
> Congress which makes the issue politically untouchable.
> 
> 9. An abortion-rights constitutional amendment will pass
> Congress and be submitted to the states for ratification,
> after heated Congressional debate. Widespread protest,
> (possibly violent) will result.
> 
> REASONS: The issue of abortion is so polarized, with
> absolutist positions on both sides, that civil unrest
> cannot help but occur. A political solution in this
> emotionally charged confrontation looks unlikely.
> 
> 10. Clinton's school-choice proposal meets with limited
> success. Public school bureaucracies continue to grow,
> but public education does improve, although not
> cost-effectively. Poor students still get inferior
> education on the whole, especially in inner cities and
> rural areas.
> 
> REASONS: Poor students continue to come from educationally
> deprived backgrounds; drug use and teen pregnancy continue;
> tax initiatives "for education" continue to be spent
> wastefully.
> 
> 
> Other predictions: Increased anti-U.S. terrorism (possibly
> nuclear), Castro still in power in '96, civil war in the
> C.I.S. (all bets are off as to what happens there), MidEast
> peace talks still going on in '96 (and going nowhere),
> U.S. space station _Freedom_ is scrapped, Japan's space
> program leaps ahead, putting a man (yes, a man) in orbit.
> 
> YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST.
> 
> 
> -- 
> *.x,*dna***********************************************
> *(==) Ken Barnes, LifeSci Bldg.       * Kemp '96!     *
> * \'  KEBARNES@memstvx1.memst.edu     * VOTE GOP!     *
> *(-)**Memphis,*TN*******75320,711@compuserve.com*******

Am I right or what? Comments from the Clintonites?

Newsgroups: alt.politics.elections