From: terry@aslws01.asl.dl.nec.com (Terry Bollinger)
Subject: Proposed Forman/Bollinger $1/$500 CF/TMC Bet
Organization: NEC America, Inc. Irving, Texas
Date: Mon, 5 Oct 1992 00:46:19 GMT


Hi folks,

Below is my proposed response to Richard Forman's challenge.  It is detailed,
but it also is pretty blunt.  I'm saying that if high levels of anomolous
heat exist at all in Pd(Hx,Dy) systems that it is not just TMC, but a form
of TMC that is absolutely dependent on delocalization of deuterium and/or
hydrogen atoms in some type of (transition) metal lattice for its existence,
Richard Forman gets "everything else" (assuming widespread reproduction).

If no such phenomena are ever made massively and easily reproducible, the
bet becomes void after two years.

				Cheers,
				Terry Bollinger

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                 PROPOSED FORMAN/BOLLINGER $1/$500 CF/TMC BET

                          DRAFT 1 - October 4, 1992
                              Terry B. Bollinger

The following bet is proposed:

 o  Richard Forman (of "sci.physics.fusion") shall win $500 from Terry B.
    Bollinger if heat production in excess of that possible by any known
    chemical mechanism is shown to exist in transition metal deuterides and/or
    hydride systems, AND the mechanism by which heat is produced is shown to
    be something other than "total mass conversion" (TMC).  "TMC"means the
    conversion of deutrium and/or hydrogen into energy with flagrant violation
    of baryon conservation.  Production of heat without baryon violation shall
    be considered "cold fusion," regardless of the exact process details.
    Richard Forman shall also win in the event that TMC is demonstrated, but
    the mechanism is show to be unrelated to band delocalization of deuterium
    and/or hydrogen in metal lattices.

 o  Terry B. Bollinger (of "sci.physics.fusion") shall win $1 from Richard
    Forman if heat production of the type described above is shown to be
    real and reproducible; and TMC with massive violation of baryon number
    is demonstrated to be the cause; and the TMC mechanism is demonstrated
    to be causally dependent on delocalization of hydrogen and/or deuterium
    in metal lattices.

The details of how the bet is to be won are given below.

PRECONDITION.  The following precondition must be met before the bet is to
be considered active.  In the absence of the following precondition, the
bet shall be considered void and neither party shall owe the other party
any funds.  The precondition for the bet is:

    Acceptance by the majority of the scientific community that there exist
    well-defined, readily reproducible "recipes" by which room-temperature,
    room-pressure experiments based on one or more compounds of the form
    [Transition Metal](Hx,Dy) are capable of generating net energy outputs
    well in excess of that possible by any type of chemical reaction that 
    could be postulated using the same total mass of reactants.  "Based on"
    in this context means that the results cannot be reproduced if all of
    the [Transition Metal](Hx,Dy) compounds are removed from the system.

CONDITIONS BY WHICH THE PARTY TERRY B. BOLLINGER SHALL WIN THE BET.  The
party Terry B. Bollinger shall be considered the winner of the bet if and
only if: 1) the precondition has been met, and  2) all of the following
additional conditions are demonstrated by the scientific community to be
necessary for the generation of energy outputs in excess of those possible
for any conceivable chemical reaction:

 1. Delocalization of the wavefunctions of some portion of the (Hx,Dy) part
    of the [TM](Hx,Dy) compound, as demonstrated by the formation of "bands"
    of some fraction of the (Hx,Dy) component.  Band delocalization shall
    be defined as for electron band formation in metals.  That is, some set
    or sets of otherwise identical (Hx,Dy) fermions shall be shown to take
    on a spectrum(s) of momentum values, and can be shown to demonstrate a
    distinct Fermi surface(s).

 2. Demonstration that there exists at least one example of [TM](Hx,Dy)
    constructions in which 95% or more of the energy generated is:

     a. In the form of low-energy heat and/or neutrinos, and

     b. Is causally linked to the "disappearance" of some fraction of the
        delocalized Fermi band (Hx,Dy) component.  That is, that the energy
        generation process effectively disappears whenever delocalization
        of any part of the (Hx,Dy) component is eliminated, and that the
        95% heat/neutrino energy and mass loss measured for the system
        shall never exceed the total mass/energy available from that part
        of the (Hx,Dy) component shown to "disappear."

CONDITIONS UNDER WHICH RICHARD FORMAN SHALL WIN THE BET.  If the precondition
for the bet has been met and neither of the conditions (1) and (2) listed
above for how Terry B. Bollinger shall win the bet, Richard Forman shall be
considered the winner of the bet.

LIMITATIONS.  This bet shall be active for a maximum of two years from the
day on which Richard Forman formally accepts it, as demonstrated by public
acceptance of the bet on the UseNet group known as "sci.physics.fusion".

JUDGING.  As described in the bet, judging of who wins the bet shall be
determined primarily by publically available information as to the acceptance
of existence of [TM](Hx,Dy) energy production phenomena, and similar acceptance
of the conditions required for such heat production.  In the event that such
information becomes classified or otherwise unavailable, the participants shall
wait until the end of the two year bet period and then declare the bet void if
no adequate information for resolving the bet is available by that time.

PAYMENT.  Payment to the winner shall be made no later than 30 days after
mutual agreement by Richard Forman and Terry B. Bollinger that sufficient
information has become publically available to make a determination of the
winner of the bet.

ARBITRATION.  In the event of disagreement about whether any preconditions or
conditions have been met, it is suggested that Dieter Britz of the UseNet
group "sci.phyics.fusion" be asked to take on the role of arbitrator.  If
Dr. Britz is not mutually acceptable in such an arbitration role, Richard
Forman and Terry B. Bollinger shall negotiate another mutually acceptable
arbitrator.  If no such arbitrator can be agreed to, both parties shall
forfit the amounts of their bets to a charity of their own choosing and the
bet shall be declared void.