From: thyat@sdf.lonestar.org (Tom Hyatt)
Subject: Re: Found!  Bush's new October Surprise.
Organization: sdf Public Access UNIX, Dallas--unrestricted free shell access
Date: Fri, 21 Aug 1992 01:17:24 GMT

In article <1992Aug18.014929.3559@desire.wright.edu> demon@desire.wright.edu (Stupendous Man) writes:
>In article <1992Aug17.182458.24879@rat.csc.calpoly.edu>, dgross@polyslo.csc.calpoly.edu (Dave Gross) writes:
>> 
>> 	U.S. CHARGES DRUG LORD ESCOBAR IN JET BOMBING
>> 
>...
>> Sounds picture perfect to me.  Come October, the president gives Stormin'
>> Norman a ring and says "How about a sequel to Operation Just Cause?"  Call it
>> Operation Storm the Polls ("Were going to war with Poland?!?" Dan Quayle is
>> heard to ask).
>> 
>> I see little or nothing in the way of George Bush using the military to
>> invade Escobar's hideout (wherever that is), to kill a bunch of people, and
>> (maybe) to come away with Escobar himself.
>> 
>> Clinton will be taken by surprise and will immediately endorse the military
>> effort (maybe even claiming he'd have used more force sooner), but to no
>> avail.  Bush will rise in the polls, pacifist democrats won't bother to vote
>> at all, Bush will come in ahead at the wire and Clinton will see victory slip
>> away like a drug lord in a Colombian jail...
>> 
>> Mark my words.  I'll be prepared for the big "I told you so" come November.
>
>	Ok, so we have 2:1 odds on Serbia
>	3:1 odds on Iraq
>	4:1 on "a foreign country"
>	7:1 on Haiti
>	10:1 on Escobar
>	50:1 on Cuba
>	umm, anyone else making bets?  Don't bet what you can't afford to lose.
>:)                                
>
>Brett                                                      
>_______________________________________________________________________________
>Proconsul Computer Consulting                                        CHA-CHING!
>Better, Cheaper, Faster					       (Pick any two :)
>Disclaimer:								   NOT!

I think that we will see a military "presence" in both Iraq and Serbia.  Both
at this time are justified-as both Bush and Clinton agree with. I don't see 
another "Just Cause"-type situation, as that one was so badly bungled.  Bush's
actions will be strictly on UN-supported, if they come at all.  Prosecuting
a military action against "bad dictators" is easy.  Going after "scummy drug
lords" is not.  However, Bush will put off any military action as long as
feasible, as he will not want said actions look politically expedient. I do
wish that political posturing could stay *OUT* of situations of this nature.
Bombing runs on Bagdhad or various Serbian locations won't happen until 
after November, unless something incredible happens in one of the two countries.
I really don't think that Hussein could be _that_ stupid......

Tom H.


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==========================================================================       Tom Hyatt                          | My disclaimer:  I am not affiliated        USENET: thyat@sdf.lonestar.org     | with any USENET sites, organizations       RIME:  -->LUNATIC (Tom Hyatt)      | or personnel. The views given by me        Prodigy: KKDH77A (quit yer laffin!)| are mine, and nobody else's.  Nyah!       ==========================================================================
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Newsgroups: talk.politics.misc,talk.politics.guns