From: josip@eng.umd.edu (Josip Loncaric)
Subject: WWII losses - study conclusions
Date: Sun, 20 Dec 92 04:16:33 GMT
Organization: University of Maryland


Total war losses by origin within former Yugoslavia, regardless of the place
of death, including persons who died outside of the country:

Republic/province:       total war loss:        % of 1948 expected population:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Bosnia-Herzegovina           316,000               10.3%
 Montenegro                    37,000                7.8%
 Croatia                      271,000                7.3%
 Macedonia                     17,000                1.9%
 Slovenia                      33,000                3.0%
  Serbia proper               167,000                4.1%
  Vojvodina                    83,000                5.1%
  Kosovo                       23,000                3.1%
 Serbia total                 273,000                4.2%
YUGOSLAVIA TOTAL            1,027,000                5.9%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------


War losses (totals and percentages of expected 1948 population by nationality)
By nationality: Serbian, Croatian and Slavic Muslim war losses:
Republic/province:          Serbs lost:       Croats lost:    Slavic Muslims:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Bosnia-Herzegovina      164,000  11.9%      64,000  9.1%       75,000  7.5%
 Montenegro                6,000              1,000              4,000
 Croatia                 131,000  17.3%     106,000  3.6%        2,000
 Macedonia                 6,000                  -              4,000
 Slovenia                      -                  -                  -
  Serbia proper          142,000   3.4%           -             13,000
  Vojvodina               45,000   6.5%       6,000                  -
  Kosovo                   3,000              1,000              2,000
 Serbia total            190,000   3.8%       7,000             15,000
 Other countries          33,000             14,000              3,000
TOTAL                    530,000   7.3%     192,000  5.0%      103,000  8.1%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Source: Vladimir Zerjavic: "Gubici stanovnistva Jugoslavije u drugom
        svjetskom ratu," Jugoslavensko viktimolosko drustvo, Zagreb, 1989,
        pp. 70-73.

By comparison, Dr. Kocovic, working independently, 
reaches very similar conclusions:

War loss of:        according to Dr. Zerjavic:       according to Dr. Kocovic:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Serbs                         530,000                      487,000
Croats                        192,000                      207,000
Slavic Muslims                103,000                       86,000
TOTAL FOR YUGOSLAVIA        1,027,000                    1,014,000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The totals for Yugoslavia were judged to be accurate within 5%, but
relative accuracy is lower for smaller areas.

NOTE 1: Above, "war loss" means loss of life.
NOTE 2: The territories of Yugoslavia described above do NOT include the
        territory added to Yugoslavia after WWII (Istria, Rijeka, Zadar, etc.)
        For those areas added to Croatia, Dr. Zerjavic concludes that the
        war losses were 13,500 people out of which 12,000 were Croats.  Those
        losses would then have to be added to the figures above in order to
        get the war losses for post-WWII Yugoslavia (and Croatia).