From: jmk@cbnews.cb.att.com (joseph.m.knapp)
Subject: Re: Vote in past elections
Organization: AT&T
Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1992 23:58:46 GMT

Here are the data I have for two past elections, 1976 and 1988. This is all
I have right now. The reason the 1976 results might be interesting is there
might be a way to estimate the strength of any possible "Southern vote" by
looking at how Carter fared compared to Dukakis.

The numbers are from _America Votes 18_. There most probably aren't any typos
as the row and column sums check out.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1976 Presidential election vote totals

Republican ticket: Ford/Dole
Democratic ticket: Carter/Mondale

    electoral                                                    major
      vote        total      rep      dem    oth                 vote
st rep dem oth     vote     vote     vote   vote plurality   rep   dem  plur
== === === ===  =======  =======  ======= ====== ========= ===== ===== =====
AL   0   9   0  1182850   504070   659170  19610  155100 D  43.3  56.7 -13.3
AK   3   0   0   123574    71555    44058   7961   27497 R  61.9  38.1  23.8
AZ   6   0   0   742719   418642   295602  28475  123040 R  58.6  41.4  17.2
AR   0   6   0   767535   267903   498604   1028  230701 D  35.0  65.0 -30.1
CA  45   0   0  7867117  3882244  3742284 242589  139960 R  50.9  49.1   1.8
CO   7   0   0  1081554   584367   460353  36834  124014 R  55.9  44.1  11.9
CT   8   0   0  1381526   719261   647895  14370   71366 R  52.6  47.4   5.2
DE   0   3   0   235834   109831   122596   3407   12765 D  47.3  52.7  -5.5
FL   0  17   0  3150631  1469531  1636000  45100  166469 D  47.3  52.7  -5.4
GA   0  12   0  1467458   483743   979409   4306  495666 D  33.1  66.9 -33.9
HI   0   4   0   291301   140003   147375   3923    7372 D  48.7  51.3  -2.6
ID   4   0   0   344071   204151   126549  13371   77602 R  61.7  38.3  23.5
IL  26   0   0  4718914  2364269  2271295  83350   92974 R  51.0  49.0   2.0
IN  13   0   0  2220362  1183958  1014714  21690  169244 R  53.8  46.2   7.7
IA   8   0   0  1279306   632863   619931  26512   12932 R  50.5  49.5   1.0
KS   7   0   0   957845   502752   430421  24672   72331 R  53.9  46.1   7.8
KY   0   9   0  1167142   531852   615717  19573   83865 D  46.3  53.7  -7.3
LA   0  10   0  1278439   587446   661365  29628   73919 D  47.0  53.0  -5.9
ME   4   0   0   483216   236320   232279  14617    4041 R  50.4  49.6   0.9
MD   0  10   0  1439897   672661   759612   7624   86951 D  47.0  53.0  -6.1
MA   0  14   0  2547558  1030276  1429475  87807  399199 D  41.9  58.1 -16.2
MI  21   0   0  3653749  1893742  1696714  63293  197028 R  52.7  47.3   5.5
MN   0  10   0  1949931   819395  1070440  60096  251045 D  43.4  56.6 -13.3
MS   0   7   0   769361   366846   381309  21206   14463 D  49.0  51.0  -1.9
MO   0  12   0  1953600   927443   998387  27770   70944 D  48.2  51.8  -3.7
MT   4   0   0   328734   173703   149259   5772   24444 R  53.8  46.2   7.6
NE   5   0   0   607668   359705   233692  14271  126013 R  60.6  39.4  21.2
NV   3   0   0   201876   101273    92479   8124    8794 R  52.3  47.7   4.5
NH   4   0   0   339618   185935   147635   6048   38300 R  55.7  44.3  11.5
NJ  17   0   0  3014472  1509688  1444653  60131   65035 R  51.1  48.9   2.2
NM   4   0   0   418409   211419   201148   5842   10271 R  51.2  48.8   2.5
NY   0  41   0  6534170  3100791  3389558  43821  288767 D  47.8  52.2  -4.4
NC   0  13   0  1678914   741960   927365   9589  185405 D  44.4  55.6 -11.1
ND   3   0   0   297188   153470   136078   7640   17392 R  53.0  47.0   6.0
OH   0  25   0  4111873  2000505  2011621  99747   11116 D  49.9  50.1  -0.3
OK   8   0   0  1092251   545708   532442  14101   13266 R  50.6  49.4   1.2
OR   6   0   0  1029876   492120   490407  47349    1713 R  50.1  49.9   0.2
PA   0  27   0  4620787  2205604  2328677  86506  123073 D  48.6  51.4  -2.7
RI   0   4   0   411170   181249   227636   2285   46387 D  44.3  55.7 -11.3
SC   0   8   0   802583   346149   450807   5627  104658 D  43.4  56.6 -13.1
SD   4   0   0   300678   151505   147068   2105    4437 R  50.7  49.3   1.5
TN   0  10   0  1476345   633969   825879  16497  191910 D  43.4  56.6 -13.1
TX   0  26   0  4071884  1953300  2082319  36265  129019 D  48.4  51.6  -3.2
UT   4   0   0   541198   337908   182110  21180  155798 R  65.0  35.0  30.0
VT   3   0   0   187765   102085    80954   4726   21131 R  55.8  44.2  11.5
VA  12   0   0  1697094   836554   813896  46644   22658 R  50.7  49.3   1.4
WA   8   0   1  1555534   777732   717323  60479   60409 R  52.0  48.0   4.0
WV   0   6   0   750964   314760   435914    290  121154 D  41.9  58.1 -16.1
WI   0  11   0  2104175  1004987  1040232  58956   35245 D  49.1  50.9  -1.7
WY   3   0   0   156343    92717    62239   1387   30478 R  59.8  40.2  19.7
DC   0   3   0   168830    27873   137818   3139  109945 D  16.8  83.2 -66.4

US 240 297   1 81555889 39147793 40830763 1577333 1682970 D  48.9  51.1  -2.1

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1988 Presidential election vote totals

Republican ticket: Bush/Quayle
Democratic ticket: Dukakis/Bentsen

    electoral                                                    major
      vote        total      rep      dem    oth                 vote
st rep dem oth     vote     vote     vote   vote plurality   rep   dem  plur
== === === ===  =======  =======  ======= ====== ========= ===== ===== =====
AL   9   0   0  1378476   815576   549506  13394  266070 R  59.7  40.3  19.5
AK   3   0   0   200116   119251    72584   8281   46667 R  62.2  37.8  24.3
AZ   7   0   0  1171873   702541   454029  15303  248512 R  60.7  39.3  21.5
AR   6   0   0   827738   466578   349237  11923  117341 R  57.2  42.8  14.4
CA  47   0   0  9887065  5054917  4702233 129915  352684 R  51.8  48.2   3.6
CO   8   0   0  1372394   728177   621453  22764  106724 R  54.0  46.0   7.9
CT   8   0   0  1443394   750241   676584  16569   73657 R  52.6  47.4   5.2
DE   3   0   0   249891   139639   108647   1605   30992 R  56.2  43.8  12.5
FL  21   0   0  4302313  2618885  1656701  26727  962184 R  61.3  38.7  22.5
GA  12   0   0  1809672  1081331   714792  13549  366539 R  60.2  39.8  20.4
HI   0   4   0   354461   158625   192364   3472   33739 D  45.2  54.8  -9.6
ID   4   0   0   408968   253881   147272   7815  106609 R  63.3  36.7  26.6
IL  24   0   0  4559120  2310939  2215940  32241   94999 R  51.0  49.0   2.1
IN  12   0   0  2168621  1297763   860643  10215  437120 R  60.1  39.9  20.3
IA   0   8   0  1225614   545355   670557   9702  125202 D  44.9  55.1 -10.3
KS   7   0   0   993044   554049   422636  16359  131413 R  56.7  43.3  13.5
KY   9   0   0  1322517   734281   580368   7868  153913 R  55.9  44.1  11.7
LA  10   0   0  1628202   883702   717460  27040  166242 R  55.2  44.8  10.4
ME   4   0   0   555035   307131   243569   4335   63562 R  55.8  44.2  11.5
MD  10   0   0  1714358   876167   826304  11887   49863 R  51.5  48.5   2.9
MA   0  13   0  2632805  1194635  1401415  36755  206780 D  46.0  54.0  -8.0
MI  20   0   0  3669163  1965486  1675783  27894  289703 R  54.0  46.0   8.0
MN   0  10   0  2096790   962337  1109471  24982  147134 D  46.4  53.6  -7.1
MS   7   0   0   931527   557890   363921   9716  193969 R  60.5  39.5  21.0
MO  11   0   0  2093713  1084953  1001619   7141   83334 R  52.0  48.0   4.0
MT   4   0   0   365674   190412   168936   6326   21476 R  53.0  47.0   6.0
NE   5   0   0   661465   397956   259235   4274  138721 R  60.6  39.4  21.1
NV   4   0   0   350067   206040   132738  11289   73302 R  60.8  39.2  21.6
NH   4   0   0   451074   281537   163696   5841  117841 R  63.2  36.8  26.5
NJ  16   0   0  3099553  1743192  1320352  36009  422840 R  56.9  43.1  13.8
NM   5   0   0   521287   270341   244497   6449   25844 R  52.5  47.5   5.0
NY   0  36   0  6485683  3081871  3347882  55930  266011 D  47.9  52.1  -4.1
NC  13   0   0  2134370  1237258   890167   6945  347091 R  58.2  41.8  16.3
ND   3   0   0   297261   166559   127739   2963   38820 R  56.6  43.4  13.2
OH  23   0   0  4393699  2416549  1939629  37521  476920 R  55.5  44.5  10.9
OK   8   0   0  1171036   678367   483423   9246  194944 R  58.4  41.6  16.8
OR   0   7   0  1201694   560126   616206  25362   56080 D  47.6  52.4  -4.8
PA  25   0   0  4536251  2300087  2194944  41220  105143 R  51.2  48.8   2.3
RI   0   4   0   404620   177761   225123   1736   47362 D  44.1  55.9 -11.8
SC   8   0   0   986009   606443   370554   9012  235889 R  62.1  37.9  24.1
SD   3   0   0   312991   165415   145560   2016   19855 R  53.2  46.8   6.4
TN  11   0   0  1636250   947233   679794   9223  267439 R  58.2  41.8  16.4
TX  29   0   0  5427410  3036829  2352748  37833  684081 R  56.3  43.7  12.7
UT   5   0   0   647008   428442   207343  11223  221099 R  67.4  32.6  34.8
VT   3   0   0   243328   124331   115775   3222    8556 R  51.8  48.2   3.6
VA  12   0   0  2191609  1309162   859799  22648  449363 R  60.4  39.6  20.7
WA   0  10   0  1865253   903835   933516  27902   29681 D  49.2  50.8  -1.6
WV   0   5   1   653311   310065   341016   2230   30951 D  47.6  52.4  -4.8
WI   0  11   0  2191608  1047499  1126794  17315   79295 D  48.2  51.8  -3.6
WY   3   0   0   176551   106867    67113   2571   39754 R  61.4  38.6  22.8
DC   0   3   0   192877    27590   159407   5880  131817 D  14.8  85.2 -70.5

US 426 111   1 91594809 48886097 41809074 899638 7077023 R  53.9  46.1   7.8

---
Joe Knapp    jmk@cbvox.att.com
Newsgroups: alt.politics.elections