From: milliken@athena.cs.uga.edu (Brewmeister)
Newsgroups: comp.ai,alt.newbie,talk.bizarre
Subject: Re: AI In the Year 2025 - Responses
Date: 29 Jul 92 03:29:50 GMT
Followup-To: misc.test
Organization: University of Georgia, Athens

In article <x#nm4!g.rdc@netcom.com> rdc@netcom.com (Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor) writes:
>I hope you have a sense of humor...
>
>
>IN COMP.AI hendler@cs.umd.edu (Jim Hendler) writes:
>)
>)As promised, I have collected responses to my request for predictions
>)on AI (and CS) in the year 2025.  I deliver a lecture on the subject
>)tonight, and I profusely thank all of you who contributed.  Below are
>)the ones that I will be using in the lecture.  They are about 80% of
>)those I received, many others that had good ideas, but weren't in the
>)form of short predictions had to be dropped.
>)
>)I look forward to sealing this list in a time capsule and hope I might
>)be around in 2025 to see which of it has come true...
>) -Jim Hendler
>)
>)Domestic robots able to do routine cleaning, including laundary and
>)kitchen cleanup.  I predict that by 2025 these robots will be the
>)basis for a multi-billion dollar industry. 
>
>CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
>
>Slave labor from 3rd world countries will do routine cleaning,
>including laundary and kitchen cleanup.  I predict that by 2025 these
>labors will be the basis for a multi-billion dollar industry.
>
>
>)I predict with high confidence that people will no longer have to
>)memorize phone numbers by 2025. .. jj
>
>CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
>
>I predict with high confidence that people will have to remember other
>stupid social-security-number-like numbers that currently we don't
>have to worry about.

He speaks in jest (I think) yet he may be right.

>
>)I forsee being able to purchase a "friend" the way you buy typical
>)software. This AI-based (Eliza-like) program would be customizable
>)as to sex, interests, age, etc., and would include a high-resolution
>)animated image. Communication would be vocal; no keyboard. 
>
>CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
>
>These programs will offer special attachments with vibrating motor and
>suction attachments.

Safe-sex in the 21st century?  If it gets a computer virus, can it transmit
it to the human?  What will you call them?  Fuckatrons?  Suckatrons?  Will
it be domestic violence if you boot it?  




>
>)	In the year 2025, we will be able to model the human brain.
>
>CARASSO PREDICTIONS:
>
>	In the year 2025, we will be able to model the brain of
>	most AI researchers.   

Oh, shit.  All we need is a whole generation of automated Carassos running
around.
>
>)Natural Language Processing that works-passes the Turing Test, does
>)not depend solely on keywords or brittle parsers, carries on
>)conversations, does translations, searches based on content; the
>)limiting factor will be knowledge representation.
>
>CARASSO PREDICTION:
>
>Is it because works passes the turing test does not depend solely on
>keywords or brittle parsers carries on conversations does translations
>searches based on content the limiting factor will be knowledge
>representation that you came to me?
>
>)Image processing will be so accurate that cancer cells will be detected
>)one by one, and zapped. Cancer patients will stay alive indefinitely.
>
>3rd floor children's toys and lingerie, next floor: Mars.
>
>
>CARASSO: 
>
>In 2025, people will still be debating whether we will have built
>something truly intelligent by 2050, and most likely it will come in a
>real bright and pretty box that says Super Mario Brothers.

I'm beginning to see why so many AI classes are also taught as Philosophy
classes....

>
>
>CARASSO.
>-- 
>_______________________________________________________________
>Rajagopalan Dabholkars Chemmanoor,
>Dietary Researcher,
>Fiber Team,	     "Be one, be peace, be  like the hajiputki"
>Herbalife Inc.			-Maharji Marhiyogi
>E-mail:  rdc@netcom.com
>_______________________________________________________________


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