From: kim@magneto.physics.auburn.edu (Han-jung Kim)
Subject: Re: Han-jung Kim's mention about D.J
Message-I.d.: <103766@netnews.upenn.edu>
Organization: Auburn University, Auburn, AL
Date: Wed, 6 Jan 1993 00:14:31 GMT

>The poll has been doubtful data in Korea. It has been very hard to believe the
>announcement of the media because it has been distorted by the military
>goverment. Chosun-il-bo is one of the worst enemy to D.J. A lot of people might
>have remembered the conflict between Chosun-il-bo and D.J. in 1989 after his
>visiting Europe. I can guess there should be another kind of poll in the hand of
> 
   [Good opinion deleted]

I am not from honam and yungnam, I can not read the homan people's mind how
they feel about chosun-il-bo. Also I do not have any chance to compare
the korean newspaper's bias over the candidates. In the future, when I am
rich enough to pay for several newspapers, I will subscribe them and will 
compare the differences between the korean news papers.

Although Chosun-il-bo coorperated with Korean Gallup, but still their
prediction was very close to the final result withn the margin of 2.5%.

The director of korean Gallup company convinced that their techinic would
be the most reliable so that they could predict the '87 election. 

As pointed out, current poll down by korean company may not be reliable, but
nowadays I think that we can trust the result from korean reaserch and korean
gallup modeling technic, for they are old enough to give reliable output.

So I trust the prediction done by those two company mentioned above.
I am sure that DJ would use the prediction from one of the well known poll
company in 87 as well as this election, but DJ and his brains missed the
target twice. Then what poll has the opposition party used for so important
election. 

Are there any other well-known survey company in korean excluding
korean reaserch and korean gallup?  I wonder how many ther are and
how accurate they are. 

Because Survey system is so impostant for today's decision, I would rather
have more information about the survey companies in KOREA.

I am really eager to understand how the assitant or the brains near DJ
would think and how they made a plan to win. 

They did not even know that DJ was led by YS from the beginning of
the opening ballots and MINJU told they would win %1-5% just before
the election.  WHAT A DUMB BRAINS OF DJ TO ME!!!! (not DJ but the
consultant or election brains working for DJ.)

In 87, DJ's assistants have assure that if 4 candidates have run, then
DJ could win, but DJ has race only 3rd rank.

\This time, DJ's election brains triumphantly told that they were winning
byt 1%-5%. However every prediction from MINJOO tured into false.

So I feel pity for the misleading of MINJOO's prediction and how dumb
the assistants or the campaign brains working for DJ were!!!

Anyway, in the fure, when I have a chance to work for any kind of job in korean
after my Ph.D degree, I will respect the poll result surveied by weill known
company and will adjust the policy according to that. 

This is one of the lessons I can learn from DJ's failure in 1992.

Good and valuable case study on 1992 korean prez election!!!!! to me.

Thank you again to all the netters who revealed their viewpoints.