From: demon@desire.wright.edu (Stupendous Man)
Newsgroups: alt.activism,talk.politics.misc,alt.politics.clinton
Subject: Re: Predictions after a Clinton victory
Date: 5 Nov 92 15:49:22 GMT
Followup-To: alt.activism
Organization: Demonic Possesions, Inc.

In article <1992Nov4.140150.27652@cbfsb.cb.att.com>, colten@cbnewsb.cb.att.com (marc.colten) writes:
...
> However - I thought I'd drop in a few predictions for the future:
> 
> 1) Conservatives will now start whining about the election - vote
>    totals, electoral vs popular, exit polls and other stuff.  Just
>    remember - if Bush had won they wouldn't listen to our whining,
>    so why worry about theirs.  Just say to them "Hey, imagine what
>    you would say to me if Clinton had lost - and then say that to
>    yourself."

	Exactly.  I've heard very little whining, but a lot of poor winners.

	But I do agree that this election wasn't a landslide.  Not when your
opponent gets 168 electoral votes and the winner of the election comes in third
in Utah.  (Clinton almost came in third in Idaho, and Bush in Maine.)
	The results look a lot more like 1968.

> 2) Sometime this morning Conservative pundits will start refering to
>    the national mood as "The Clinton Malaise".  

	Turnabout is fair play :).  The media is now referring to our
"recession" of the past year as "a stable basis for future economic growth" and
unemployment is now referred to as "the best in two years".

> 5) Just for fun - get a large sheet of paper, oaktag or foamboard and
>    make up a chart with all of this week economic indicators - GNP,
>    housing starts, unemployment, Dow Jones Average, anything you like.
>    Take it to 20 Conservative pundits and/or economists.  Ask them
>    to comment on it and they will all tell you that it shows the
>    country has never been healthier and happier and Democrats are
>    all doom and gloomers.  Then put the chart away for six months.
>    When you take it out again, put *that date* on it - and do not
>    change *any* of the numbers.  Take it back to the same 20 people
>    and I guarentee every one of them will shout "SEE, I *told* you
>    this would happen if Clinton was elected!  The country's in a
>    slump."

	In other words, they will do what Democrats have been doing for the
past 12 months.

> 6) Expect the 1996 Presidential election to start immediately with
>    4 years of sniping and complaining.

	I do expect the 96 campaign to start in 95.  You'll see lots of
Republicans jockying for position.  Kemp, Weld, Voinavich, Quayle
(unfortunately), Wilson, some others that will rise between now and then.

> 7) The repercussions will be most strongly felt on Saturday Night
>    Live - Dana Carvey's job will be less secure  while Phil
>    Hartman will have a job for the next four years.

	SNL ran Nixon spoofs well into the late 70s.  Don't be so sure about
that :).

> 8) Finally - ignore the Stock Market.  Even before the election
>    they were watching the stocks go up and down and announcing
>    that this had something to do with reality.  The secondary
>    stock market is a popularity contest for stocks that has nothing
>    to do with the companies involved.  Increasingly, individuals
>    who may own no stock of their own but manage huge portfolios
>    for pension funds and other groups can send the market flying
>    or tumbling.  One of those people has more influence than
>    thousands of small stockholders using their own money.  They
>    don't call Stock Market disasters "panics" for nothing - it's
>    all in people's heads.  Expect some fluctuations that mean
>    nothing until the market settles in and it's business as
>    usual.

	I stayed out until after the election on purpose.  The market has been
correcting for Clinton over thas couple of months.  But if Clinton starts using
the word "tax" and continues to waffle on his deficit cutting plan, you'll see
another 500-700 points corrected :).

	But Tyson sure is going up!

Brett                                                      
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