Organization: Washington University, St. Louis
Date:         Mon, 28 Sep 92 14:50:09 CST
From:         Bapi Gupta <C31801AG@WUVMD>
To:           NETNEWS@WUVMD
Subject:      Gupta Power Ratings Predictions 9-28-92
Newsgroups:   rec.sport.football.college


Here are my predictions for next Saturday.

The past week was pretty good.  I did was 26-7 picking winners and while
I was only 17-15 against the spread, my three five star picks won making
me 41-32 weighted against the spread.  Like last week my picks beat all
the other computer ratings (Schmidt, Dendy and Marsee) except Sagarin,
who is having a really good year.  Ten of my top eleven picks won in
Chris Stassen's CFPOOL.

Here is is a breakdown of how things have been going:

           last week                     season
---->    3-0   x5   15 -  0          4-2   x5   20 - 10     67%
 --->    0-1   x4    0 -  4          4-3   x4   16 - 12     57%
  -->    3-3   x3    9 -  9          9-7   x3   27 - 21     56%
   ->    6-8   x2   12 - 16        16-20   x2   32 - 40     44%
    >    5-3   x1    5 -  3        11-16   x1   11 - 16     44%
       -----        -------        -----        -------
       17-15        41 - 32        44-47       106 - 96
         52%            56%          48%            52%

As one can see, my top picks are usually rare but good and my one and
two star picks are pretty lousy.  This is actually a very good sign
about the behavior of the algorithm, but I don't want to get into that
right now.

This week #59 SMU (3-1) is the only five star pick against #81 Baylor (1-3).
Last week they were also a five star pick to beat TCU, a 5.5 point favorite,
outright and did 21-9.  They get my computer's 'no respect' award.  Florida
State, North Carolina State, West Virginia, Rice, Kentucky, and Oklahoma
State are this weeks four star picks.  There are six more three stars picks
this week also.  It will be interesting to see how all these 'big' picks
turn out this week.

Bapi

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gupta Power Ratings for college football                     September 28, 1992

This week's predicted scores and spreads:
  - points for each team listed in far left and right columns
  - negative GPR spreads indicate national underdogs who are
    outright favorites by GPR.
  - positive GPR spreads indicate the nationally favored team is
    also favored to win by GPR.
  - selected teams versus national spread are pointed to in center column.
    longest arrows denote best picks.

     national favorite        natl   <->   GPR     national underdog
                             spread       spread

20 Florida                     3.5          3.5  MISSISSIPPI STATE          16

14 MIAMI, FLORIDA              3.0   --->  -2.5  Florida State              17
37 MICHIGAN                   19.0  <-     27.0  Iowa                       10
26 GEORGIA TECH                3.0   --->  -1.0  North Carolina State       27
17 Boston College              2.5   --->  -2.0  WEST VIRGINIA              19
20 Indiana                     3.0  <--    12.5  MICHIGAN STATE              8

36 Virginia                   23.0     ->  16.5  WAKE FOREST                19
50 NORTH CAROLINA             30.0  <-     49.5  Navy                        0
17 NOTRE DAME                 13.0    -->   4.0  Stanford                   13
23 Texas                       7.5   --->   0.0  RICE                       23
25 AUBURN                      7.5    -->   0.5  Vanderbilt                 24

19 BAYLOR                     14.0  ---->  -1.5  Southern Methodist         20
31 Utah                        4.5  <       5.0  COLORADO STATE             26
22 Ohio State                 11.0     ->   5.0  WISCONSIN                  17
26 OKLAHOMA                   26.5     ->  13.0  Iowa State                 13
44 PURDUE                     13.5      >  10.5  Northwestern               34

24 TEXAS A&M                  16.0  <      17.5  Texas Tech                  6
26 Georgia                    12.5  <      13.5  ARKANSAS                   13
24 SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI        2.5  <-      7.5  Tulsa                      17
26 WASHINGTON                 14.0      >  12.0  Southern California        14
48 ALABAMA                    25.0  <--    48.5  South Carolina              0

44 CALIFORNIA                 23.0         23.0  Oregon State               21
28 Syracuse                   13.0     ->   7.0  LOUISVILLE                 21
19 Arizona State               0.0    -->  -4.0  OREGON                     23
36 WASHINGTON STATE           23.0  <      25.5  Temple                     10
30 Penn State                 15.0    -->   4.5  RUTGERS                    25

34 MARYLAND                    2.0     ->   0.0  Pittsburgh                 34
30 Illinois                    5.0  <-      8.0  MINNESOTA                  22
23 MISSISSIPPI                 6.0   --->  -1.0  Kentucky                   24
34 Tennessee                   7.0  <-     14.5  LOUISIANA STATE            19
17 TEXAS CHRISTIAN             2.5   --->  -3.0  Oklahoma State             20

42 San Diego State            16.0    -->   5.5  NEW MEXICO                 37
26 HOUSTON                    23.0    -->   6.5  Southwest Louisiana        20
54 Air Force                   4.5  <--    15.0  U.T.E.P.                   39
26 FRESNO STATE                5.5     ->   1.5  Louisiana Tech             24
21 U.C.L.A.                    6.5  <       8.0  ARIZONA                    13
Newsgroups: rec.sport.football.college