From: x0y3510@tamuts.tamu.edu (Xuejun Yang)
Subject: Re: Thoughts on the Future of China (Re: For those of you that HATE japaneses)
Organization: ~/lib/organization
Date: Mon, 31 Aug 1992 01:46:55 GMT

In article <78647@ut-emx.uucp> onlit@ccwf.cc.utexas.edu (K2-2nd on Earth) writes:
>In article <1992Aug27.033629.13566@cucs5.cs.cuhk.hk> cmhui@cucs18.cs.cuhk.hk (Hui Chau Man) writes:
>[stuff deleted] 
>>>If Japs didn't invade, then the Taiwan (ROC)
>>>government would've been in power for the past 50 years, and
>>>China will be one of the most advanced and powerful country in
>> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>>>the world... no doubt about it, just look at current day Taiwan
>> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>>>and HongKong!
>> ^^^^^^^^^^^^^
>>
>>Maybe, China would have been one of the most poor country in the world...
>>no doubt about it, just look at current day India and Phillipin. They
>>don't have communism also. 
>>
>>But most likely, China would just have been a colony of US if CCP
>>have not taken over the power. 
>
>It is an interesting topic, although it is very hypothetical.  
>
>First of all, the Japanese Invasion did help the growth of CCP which led to
>the downfall of the Nationalist Gov.  Then "if the Japanese had not invaded
>China and if the Nationalist Gov had continued to rule mainland China, China
>would have become...."  I say China would have been stronger than it is.
>
>Reason #1:  The Nationalist Gov would have a chance to rebuild China.  It 
>            couldn't do it because of the warlords and the Japanese invasion.
>            Of course, what if the warlords had splited China up in pieces?
>            I don't know.
>
>Reason #2:  I don't think China would have become a colony of US.  Look at
>            Japan.  US was more than willing to help rebuilding Japan (partly
>            because it wanted to curb the rapid spreading of the Communist in
>            Asia).  Now Japan is invading US economically.  One similar trait
>            of Japanese and Chinese is that both are generally hard working.
>            A political/economic system that rewards hard workers is certainly
>            conducive to the success of a hard working race. 
>            
>Undoubtedly, many other factors could have affected the outcome as well.  
>History is history.  It is the past.  Let's create the future -- a joyful
>and bright one.  When it becomes history, I hope our offsprings will say:
>"They did real well.  We couldn't have done it better."  
>
>Andrew 
Huh. Did you remember that Napolean said that China is a sleeping Dragon.
Once it's awakened, it'll shake the world. IMHO, the U.S. would have
very probably tried to keep China backward because otherwise China would
threten its dominance. The essence of the Cold War actually was between
the U.S. and USSR competing for dominance of the world. Japan,on the other 
hand, can hardly presents such a potential strategic challenge even though
its an economic super power(Actually bubbled economy).
So I don't think China will have the same fate as Japan.
Think in Geopolitical sense.
>-- 
>+-----------   @}-'--   -----------+  "To Serve, To Strive and Not to Yield"
>|      Lee, On-Lit Andrew          |               - Motto of Outward Bound 
>|                                  | 
>|  email: onlit@ccwf.cc.utexas.edu |  "Your disability is your opportunity"
>|  University of Texas at Austin   |               - Kurt Hahn,  
>+----------------------------------+                 Founder of Outward Bound