GenAI4ELab/papercli-papers huggingface dataset:
Dish-TS: A General Paradigm for Alleviating Distribution Shift in Time Series Forecasting
Authors: Wei Fan; Pengyang Wang; Dongkun Wang; Dongjie Wang; Yuanchun Zhou; Yanjie Fu
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: The distribution shift in Time Series Forecasting (TSF), indicating series distribution changes over time, largely hinders the performance of TSF models. Existing works towards distribution shift in time series are mostly limited in the quantification of distribution and, more importantly, overlook the potential shift between lookback and horizon windows. To address above challenges, we systematically summarize the distribution shift in TSF into two categories. Regarding lookback windows as input-space and horizon windows as output-space, there exist (i) intra-space shift, that the distribution within the input-space keeps shifted over time, and (ii) inter-space shift, that the distribution is shifted between input-space and output-space. Then we introduce, Dish-TS, a general neural paradigm for alleviating distribution shift in TSF. Specifically, for better distribution estimation, we propose the coefficient net (Conet), which can be any neural architectures, to map input sequences into learnable distribution coefficients. To relieve intra-space and inter-space shift, we organize Dish-TS as a Dual-Conet framework to separately learn the distribution of input- and output-space, which naturally captures the distribution difference of two spaces. In addition, we introduce a more effective training strategy for intractable Conet learning. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments on several datasets coupled with different state-of-the-art forecasting models. Experimental results show Dish-TS consistently boosts them with a more than 20% average improvement. Code is available at https://github.com/weifantt/Dish-TS.
Learning Decomposed Spatial Relations for Multi-Variate Time-Series Modeling
Authors: Yuchen Fang; Kan Ren; Caihua Shan; Yifei Shen; You Li; Weinan Zhang; Yong Yu; Dongsheng Li
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Modeling multi-variate time-series (MVTS) data is a long-standing research subject and has found wide applications. Recently, there is a surge of interest in modeling spatial relations between variables as graphs, i.e., first learning one static graph for each dataset and then exploiting the graph structure via graph neural networks. However, as spatial relations may differ substantially across samples, building one static graph for all the samples inherently limits flexibility and severely degrades the performance in practice. To address this issue, we propose a framework for fine-grained modeling and utilization of spatial correlation between variables. By analyzing the statistical properties of real-world datasets, a universal decomposition of spatial correlation graphs is first identified. Specifically, the hidden spatial relations can be decomposed into a prior part, which applies across all the samples, and a dynamic part, which varies between samples, and building different graphs is necessary to model these relations. To better coordinate the learning of the two relational graphs, we propose a min-max learning paradigm that not only regulates the common part of different dynamic graphs but also guarantees spatial distinguishability among samples. The experimental results show that our proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline methods on both time-series forecasting and time-series point prediction tasks.
Wasserstein Graph Distance Based on L1–Approximated Tree Edit Distance between Weisfeiler–Lehman Subtrees
Authors: Zhongxi Fang; Jianming Huang; Xun Su; Hiroyuki Kasai
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: The Weisfeiler-Lehman (WL) test is a widely used algorithm in graph machine learning, including graph kernels, graph metrics, and graph neural networks. However, it focuses only on the consistency of the graph, which means that it is unable to detect slight structural differences. Consequently, this limits its ability to capture structural information, which also limits the performance of existing models that rely on the WL test. This limitation is particularly severe for traditional metrics defined by the WL test, which cannot precisely capture slight structural differences. In this paper, we propose a novel graph metric called the Wasserstein WL Subtree (WWLS) distance to address this problem. Our approach leverages the WL subtree as structural information for node neighborhoods and defines node metrics using the L1-approximated tree edit distance (L1-TED) between WL subtrees of nodes. Subsequently, we combine the Wasserstein distance and the L1-TED to define the WWLS distance, which can capture slight structural differences that may be difficult to detect using conventional metrics. We demonstrate that the proposed WWLS distance outperforms baselines in both metric validation and graph classification experiments.
Combinatorial Causal Bandits
Authors: Shi Feng; Wei Chen
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: In combinatorial causal bandits (CCB), the learning agent chooses at most K variables in each round to intervene, collects feedback from the observed variables, with the goal of minimizing expected regret on the target variable Y. We study under the context of binary generalized linear models (BGLMs) with a succinct parametric representation of the causal models. We present the algorithm BGLM-OFU for Markovian BGLMs (i.e., no hidden variables) based on the maximum likelihood estimation method and give regret analysis for it. For the special case of linear models with hidden variables, we apply causal inference techniques such as the do calculus to convert the original model into a Markovian model, and then show that our BGLM-OFU algorithm and another algorithm based on the linear regression both solve such linear models with hidden variables. Our novelty includes (a) considering the combinatorial intervention action space and the general causal graph structures including ones with hidden variables, (b) integrating and adapting techniques from diverse studies such as generalized linear bandits and online influence maximization, and (c) avoiding unrealistic assumptions (such as knowing the joint distribution of the parents of Y under all interventions) and regret factors exponential to causal graph size in prior studies.
Scalable Attributed-Graph Subspace Clustering
Authors: Chakib Fettal; Lazhar Labiod; Mohamed Nadif
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Over recent years, graph convolutional networks emerged as powerful node clustering methods and have set state of the art results for this task. In this paper, we argue that some of these methods are unnecessarily complex and propose a node clustering model that is more scalable while being more effective. The proposed model uses Laplacian smoothing to learn an initial representation of the graph before applying an efficient self-expressive subspace clustering procedure.
This is performed via learning a factored coefficient matrix. These factors are then embedded into a new feature space in such a way as to generate a valid affinity matrix (symmetric and non-negative) on which an implicit spectral clustering algorithm is performed. 
Experiments on several real-world attributed datasets demonstrate the cost-effective nature of our method with respect to the state of the art.
SigMaNet: One Laplacian to Rule Them All
Authors: Stefano Fiorini; Stefano Coniglio; Michele Ciavotta; Enza Messina
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: This paper introduces SigMaNet, a generalized Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) capable of handling both undirected and directed graphs with weights not restricted in sign nor magnitude. The cornerstone of SigMaNet is the Sign-Magnetic Laplacian (LSM), a new Laplacian matrix that we introduce ex novo in this work. LSM allows us to bridge a gap in the current literature by extending the theory of spectral GCNs to (directed) graphs with both positive and negative weights. LSM exhibits several desirable properties not enjoyed by other Laplacian matrices on which several state-of-the-art architectures are based, among which encoding the edge direction and weight in a clear and natural way that is not negatively affected by the weight magnitude. LSM is also completely parameter-free, which is not the case of other Laplacian operators such as, e.g., the Magnetic Laplacian. The versatility and the performance of our proposed approach is amply demonstrated via computational experiments. Indeed, our results show that, for at least a metric, SigMaNet achieves the best performance in 15 out of 21 cases and either the first- or second-best performance in 21 cases out of 21, even when compared to architectures that are either more complex or that, due to being designed for a narrower class of graphs, should---but do not---achieve a better performance.
Optimal Decision Diagrams for Classification
Authors: Alexandre M. Florio; Pedro Martins; Maximilian Schiffer; Thiago Serra; Thibaut Vidal
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Decision diagrams for classification have some notable advantages over decision trees, as their internal connections can be determined at training time and their width is not bound to grow exponentially with their depth. Accordingly, decision diagrams are usually less prone to data fragmentation in internal nodes. However, the inherent complexity of training these classifiers acted as a long-standing barrier to their widespread adoption. In this context, we study the training of optimal decision diagrams (ODDs) from a mathematical programming perspective. We introduce a novel mixed-integer linear programming model for training and demonstrate its applicability for many datasets of practical importance. Further, we show how this model can be easily extended for fairness, parsimony, and stability notions. We present numerical analyses showing that our model allows training ODDs in short computational times, and that ODDs achieve better accuracy than optimal decision trees, while allowing for improved stability without significant accuracy losses.
Estimating Average Causal Effects from Patient Trajectories
Authors: Dennis Frauen; Tobias Hatt; Valentyn Melnychuk; Stefan Feuerriegel
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: In medical practice, treatments are selected based on the expected causal effects on patient outcomes. Here, the gold standard for estimating causal effects are randomized controlled trials; however, such trials are costly and sometimes even unethical. Instead, medical practice is increasingly interested in estimating causal effects among patient (sub)groups from electronic health records, that is, observational data. In this paper, we aim at estimating the average causal effect (ACE) from observational data (patient trajectories) that are collected over time. For this, we propose DeepACE: an end-to-end deep learning model. DeepACE leverages the iterative G-computation formula to adjust for the bias induced by time-varying confounders. Moreover, we develop a novel sequential targeting procedure which ensures that DeepACE has favorable theoretical properties, i.e., is doubly robust and asymptotically efficient. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that proposes an end-to-end deep learning model tailored for estimating time-varying ACEs. We compare DeepACE in an extensive number of experiments, confirming that it achieves state-of-the-art performance. We further provide a case study for patients suffering from low back pain to demonstrate that DeepACE generates important and meaningful findings for clinical practice. Our work enables practitioners to develop effective treatment recommendations based on population effects.
Decorate the Newcomers: Visual Domain Prompt for Continual Test Time Adaptation
Authors: Yulu Gan; Yan Bai; Yihang Lou; Xianzheng Ma; Renrui Zhang; Nian Shi; Lin Luo
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTTA) aims to adapt the source model to continually changing unlabeled target domains without access to the source data. Existing methods mainly focus on model-based adaptation in a self-training manner, such as predicting pseudo labels for new domain datasets. Since pseudo labels are noisy and unreliable, these methods suffer from catastrophic forgetting and error accumulation when dealing with dynamic data distributions. Motivated by the prompt learning in NLP, in this paper, we propose to learn an image-layer visual domain prompt for target domains while having the source model parameters frozen. During testing, the changing target datasets can be adapted to the source model by reformulating the input data with the learned visual prompts. Specifically, we devise two types of prompts, i.e., domains-specific prompts and domains-agnostic prompts, to extract current domain knowledge and maintain the domain-shared knowledge in the continual adaptation. Furthermore, we design a homeostasis-based adaptation strategy to suppress domain-sensitive parameters in domain-invariant prompts to learn domain-shared knowledge more effectively. This transition from the model-dependent paradigm to the model-free one enables us to bypass the catastrophic forgetting and error accumulation problems. Experiments show that our proposed method achieves significant performance gains over state-of-the-art methods on four widely-used benchmarks, including CIFAR-10C, CIFAR-100C, ImageNet-C, and VLCS datasets.
EffConv: Efficient Learning of Kernel Sizes for Convolution Layers of CNNs
Authors: Alireza Ganjdanesh; Shangqian Gao; Heng Huang
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Determining kernel sizes of a CNN model is a crucial and non-trivial design choice and significantly impacts its performance. The majority of kernel size design methods rely on complex heuristic tricks or leverage neural architecture search that requires extreme computational resources. Thus, learning kernel sizes, using methods such as modeling kernels as a combination of basis functions, jointly with the model weights has been proposed as a workaround. However, previous methods cannot achieve satisfactory results or are inefficient for large-scale datasets. To fill this gap, we design a novel efficient kernel size learning method in which a size predictor model learns to predict optimal kernel sizes for a classifier given a desired number of parameters. It does so in collaboration with a kernel predictor model that predicts the weights of the kernels - given kernel sizes predicted by the size predictor - to minimize the training objective, and both models are trained end-to-end. Our method only needs a small fraction of the training epochs of the original CNN to train these two models and find proper kernel sizes for it. Thus, it offers an efficient and effective solution for the kernel size learning problem. Our extensive experiments on MNIST, CIFAR-10, STL-10, and ImageNet-32 demonstrate that our method can achieve the best training time vs. accuracy trade-off compared to previous kernel size learning methods and significantly outperform them on challenging datasets such as STL-10 and ImageNet-32. Our implementations are available at https://github.com/Alii-Ganjj/EffConv.
Fast Counterfactual Inference for History-Based Reinforcement Learning
Authors: Haichuan Gao; Tianren Zhang; Zhile Yang; Yuqing Guo; Jinsheng Ren; Shangqi Guo; Feng Chen
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Incorporating sequence-to-sequence models into history-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) provides a general way to extend RL to partially-observable tasks. This method compresses history spaces according to the correlations between historical observations and the rewards. However, they do not adjust for the confounding correlations caused by data sampling and assign high beliefs to uninformative historical observations, leading to limited compression of history spaces. Counterfactual Inference (CI), which estimates causal effects by single-variable intervention, is a promising way to adjust for confounding. However, it is computationally infeasible to directly apply the single-variable intervention to a huge number of historical observations. This paper proposes to perform CI on observation sub-spaces instead of single observations and develop a coarse-to-fine CI algorithm, called Tree-based History Counterfactual Inference (T-HCI), to reduce the number of interventions exponentially. We show that T-HCI is computationally feasible in practice and brings significant sample efficiency gains in various challenging partially-observable tasks, including Maze, BabyAI, and robot manipulation tasks.
Robust Causal Graph Representation Learning against Confounding Effects
Authors: Hang Gao; Jiangmeng Li; Wenwen Qiang; Lingyu Si; Bing Xu; Changwen Zheng; Fuchun Sun
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: The prevailing graph neural network models have achieved significant progress in graph representation learning. However, in this paper, we uncover an ever-overlooked phenomenon: the pre-trained graph representation learning model tested with full graphs underperforms the model tested with well-pruned graphs. This observation reveals that there exist confounders in graphs, which may interfere with the model learning semantic information, and current graph representation learning methods have not eliminated their influence. To tackle this issue, we propose Robust Causal Graph Representation Learning (RCGRL) to learn robust graph representations against confounding effects. RCGRL introduces an active approach to generate instrumental variables under unconditional moment restrictions, which empowers the graph representation learning model to eliminate confounders, thereby capturing discriminative information that is causally related to downstream predictions. We offer theorems and proofs to guarantee the theoretical effectiveness of the proposed approach. Empirically, we conduct extensive experiments on a synthetic dataset and multiple benchmark datasets. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness and generalization ability of RCGRL. Our codes are available at https://github.com/hang53/RCGRL.
Towards Decision-Friendly AUC: Learning Multi-Classifier with AUCµ
Authors: Peifeng Gao; Qianqian Xu; Peisong Wen; Huiyang Shao; Yuan He; Qingming Huang
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) is a widely used ranking metric in imbalanced learning due to its insensitivity to label distributions. As a well-known multiclass extension of AUC, Multiclass AUC (MAUC, a.k.a. M-metric) measures the average AUC of multiple binary classifiers. In this paper, we argue that simply optimizing MAUC is far from enough for imbalanced multi-classification. More precisely, MAUC only focuses on learning scoring functions via ranking optimization, while leaving the decision process unconsidered. Therefore, scoring functions being able to make good decisions might suffer from low performance in terms of MAUC. To overcome this issue, we turn to explore AUCµ, another multiclass variant of AUC, which further takes the decision process into consideration. Motivated by this fact, we propose a surrogate risk optimization framework to improve model performance from the perspective of AUCµ. Practically, we propose a two-stage training framework for multi-classification, where at the first stage a scoring function is learned maximizing AUCµ, and at the second stage we seek for a decision function to improve the F1-metric via our proposed soft F1. Theoretically, we first provide sufficient conditions that optimizing the surrogate losses could lead to the Bayes optimal scoring function. Afterward, we show that the proposed surrogate risk enjoys a generalization bound in order of O(1/√N). Experimental results on four benchmark datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method in both AUCµ and F1-metric.
Long-Tail Cross Modal Hashing
Authors: Zijun Gao; Jun Wang; Guoxian Yu; Zhongmin Yan; Carlotta Domeniconi; Jinglin Zhang
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Existing Cross Modal Hashing (CMH) methods  are mainly designed for balanced data, while imbalanced data with long-tail distribution is more general in real-world. Several long-tail hashing methods have been proposed but they can not adapt for multi-modal data, due to the complex interplay between labels and individuality and commonality information of multi-modal data. Furthermore, CMH methods mostly mine the commonality of multi-modal data to learn hash codes, which may override tail labels encoded by the individuality of respective modalities. In this paper, we propose LtCMH (Long-tail CMH) to handle imbalanced multi-modal data. LtCMH firstly adopts auto-encoders to mine the individuality and commonality of different modalities by minimizing the dependency between the individuality of respective modalities and by enhancing the commonality of these modalities. Then it dynamically combines the individuality and commonality with direct features extracted from respective modalities to create meta features that enrich the representation of tail labels, and  binaries meta features to generate hash codes. LtCMH significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on long-tail datasets and holds a better (or comparable) performance on datasets with balanced labels.
Handling Missing Data via Max-Entropy Regularized Graph Autoencoder
Authors: Ziqi Gao; Yifan Niu; Jiashun Cheng; Jianheng Tang; Lanqing Li; Tingyang Xu; Peilin Zhao; Fugee Tsung; Jia Li
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Graph neural networks (GNNs) are popular weapons for modeling relational data. Existing GNNs are not specified for attribute-incomplete graphs, making missing attribute imputation a burning issue. Until recently, many works notice that GNNs are coupled with spectral concentration, which means the spectrum obtained by GNNs concentrates on a local part in spectral domain, e.g., low-frequency due to oversmoothing issue. As a consequence, GNNs may be seriously flawed for reconstructing graph attributes as graph spectral concentration tends to cause a low imputation precision. In this work, we present a regularized graph autoencoder for graph attribute imputation, named MEGAE, which aims at mitigating spectral concentration problem by maximizing the graph spectral entropy. Notably, we first present the method for estimating graph spectral entropy without the eigen-decomposition of Laplacian matrix and provide the theoretical upper error bound. A maximum entropy regularization then acts in the latent space, which directly increases the graph spectral entropy. Extensive experiments show that MEGAE outperforms all the other state-of-the-art imputation methods on a variety of benchmark datasets.
Reinforced Approximate Exploratory Data Analysis
Authors: Shaddy Garg; Subrata Mitra; Tong Yu; Yash Gadhia; Arjun Kashettiwar
Venue: AAAI 2023 (main)

Abstract: Exploratory data analytics (EDA) is a sequential decision making process where analysts choose subsequent queries that might lead to some interesting insights based on the previous queries and corresponding results. Data processing systems often execute the queries on samples to produce results with low latency. Different downsampling strategy preserves different statistics of the data and have different magnitude of latency reductions. The optimum choice of sampling strategy often depends on the particular context of the analysis flow and the hidden intent of the analyst. In this paper, we are the first to consider the impact of sampling in interactive data exploration settings as they introduce approximation errors.
We propose a Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) based framework which can optimize the sample selection in order to keep the analysis and insight generation flow intact. Evaluations with real datasets show that our technique can preserve the original insight generation flow while improving the interaction latency, compared to baseline methods.