GenAI4ELab/papercli-papers huggingface dataset:
Active Geospatial Search for Efficient Tenant Eviction Outreach
Authors: Anindya Sarkar; Alex DiChristofano; Sanmay Das; Patrick J. Fowler; Nathan Jacobs; Yevgeniy Vorobeychik
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Tenant evictions threaten housing stability and are a major concern for many cities. An open question concerns whether data-driven methods enhance outreach programs that target at-risk tenants to mitigate their risk of eviction. We propose a novel active geospatial search (AGS) modeling framework for this problem. AGS integrates property-level information in a search policy that identifies a sequence of rental units to canvas to both determine their eviction risk and provide support if needed. We propose a hierarchical reinforcement learning approach to learn a search policy for AGS that scales to large urban areas containing thousands of parcels, balancing exploration and exploitation and accounting for travel costs and a budget constraint. Crucially, the search policy adapts online to newly discovered information about evictions. Evaluation using eviction data for a large urban area demonstrates that the proposed framework and algorithmic approach are considerably more effective at sequentially identifying eviction cases than baseline methods.
GIST: Gear Type Identification by Spatiotemporal Trajectory Transformation for Monitoring Fisheries
Authors: Amir Yaghoubi Shahir; Tilemachos Charalampous; Mahsa Keramati; Fatemeh Movafagh; Uwe Glässer; Hans Wehn
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Illegal, Unreported, and Unregulated (IUU) fishing aggravates the global crisis caused by overfishing, threatening the sustainability of marine ecosystems and fisheries worldwide. Distinctive operational characteristics of fishing vessels result in unique footprints on marine environments and socio-economic structures, depending on their fishing method and gear type such as trawlers with non-selective gear that disrupts the seabed, purse seiners using Fish Aggregating Devices (FADs), and longliners notorious for high bycatch rates. As these vessels play an essential role in commercial fishing and the industry, effective monitoring, regulation, and enforcement are critical to mitigate the devastating consequences of overfishing and promote sustainable fishing practices.
To this end, this paper introduces a novel multi-stage method for Gear type Identification by Spatiotemporal trajectory Transformation (GIST). This method proposes a data-centric approach that employs domain knowledge to facilitate the deployment of an efficient and accurate analysis of operational patterns of fishing vessels derived from Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. Our method first extracts fishing patterns from vessel trajectories to refine data integrity and isolate only the most relevant activities, thereby ensuring a more accurate result. Next, it encapsulates the distributional insights of fishing activities into fixed-sized "images" as actionable input for a multi-class CNN-based classifier. Utilizing GIST bypasses complicated linear analyses of time series data for rendering lengthy trajectories, advancing an efficient gear type identification with 97% accuracy. To the best of our knowledge, GIST is the first to use a multi-stage method to distinguish three principal gear types widely used globally. Our experiments confirm GIST's practicability and effectiveness, marking a significant advancement towards stricter enforcement of regulations in the fight against IUU fishing.
SIDE: Socially Informed Drought Estimation Toward Understanding Societal Impact Dynamics of Environmental Crisis
Authors: Lanyu Shang; Bozhang Chen; Shiwei Liu; Yang Zhang; Ruohan Zong; Anav Vora; Ximing Cai; Na Wei; Dong Wang
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Drought has become a critical global threat with significant societal impact. Existing drought monitoring solutions primarily focus on assessing drought severity using quantitative measurements, overlooking the diverse societal impact of drought from human-centric perspectives. Motivated by the collective intelligence on social media and the computational power of AI, this paper studies a novel problem of socially informed AI-driven drought estimation that aims to leverage social and news media information to jointly estimate drought severity and its societal impact. Two technical challenges exist: 1) How to model the implicit temporal dynamics of drought societal impact. 2) How to capture the social-physical interdependence between the physical drought condition and its societal impact. To address these challenges, we develop SIDE, a socially informed AI-driven drought estimation framework that explicitly quantifies the societal impact of drought and effectively models the social-physical interdependency for joint severity-impact estimation. Experiments on real-world datasets from California and Texas demonstrate SIDE's superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines in accurately estimating drought severity and its societal impact. SIDE offers valuable insights for developing human-centric drought mitigation strategies to foster sustainable and resilient communities.
A Denoising Pre-training Framework for Accelerating Novel Material Discovery
Authors: Shuaike Shen; Ke Liu; Muzhi Zhu; Hao Chen
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Crystal materials play an important role in the development of society. The discovery of new materials is critical to achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs), such as climate change mitigation, affordable and clean energy, and fostering innovation in industry and infrastructure. Recent advances in deep learning for crystal property prediction have accelerated material discovery, but these methods typically rely on labeled data, which is often limited and varies across different properties. This limitation hinders the full utilization of the vast amount of unlabeled data in materials science. To overcome this challenge, we introduce an unsupervised Denoising Pre-training Framework (DPF) tailored for crystal structures. DPF trains a model to reconstruct the original crystal structure by recovering the masked atom types, perturbed atom positions, and perturbed crystal lattices. Through pre-training, models learn the intrinsic features of crystal structures and capture the key features influencing crystal properties. We pre-train models on a dataset of 380,743 unlabeled crystal structures and fine-tune them on downstream property prediction tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework, showing its potential to significantly advance material science and contribute to the development of society by accelerating the discovery of materials crucial for sustainable technologies.
FIDLAR: Forecast-Informed Deep Learning Architecture for Flood Mitigation
Authors: Jimeng Shi; Zeda Yin; Arturo Leon; Jayantha Obeysekera; Giri Narasimhan
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: In coastal river systems, floods, often during major storms or king tides, severely threaten lives and property. However, hydraulic structures such as dams, gates, pumps, and reservoirs exist in these river systems, and these floods can be mitigated or even prevented by strategically releasing water before extreme weather events. A standard approach used by local water management agencies is the “rule-based” method, which specifies predetermined water prereleases based on historical human experience, but which tends to result in excessive or inadequate water release. Iterative optimization methods that rely on detailed physics-based models for prediction are an alternative approach. Whereas, such methods tend to be computationally intensive, requiring hours or even days to solve the problem optimally. In this paper, we propose a Forecast Informed Deep Learning Architecture, FIDLAR, to achieve rapid and near-optimal flood management with precise water prereleases. FIDLAR seamlessly integrates two neural network modules: one called the Flood Manager, which is responsible for generating water pre-release schedules, and another called the Flood Evaluator, which evaluates those generated schedules. The Evaluator module is pre-trained separately, and its gradient-based feedback is utilized to train the Manager model, ensuring near-optimal water pre-releases. We have conducted experiments with a flood-prone coastal area in South Florida. Results show that FIDLAR is several orders of magnitude faster than currently used physics-based approaches while outperforming baseline methods with improved water pre-release schedules.
DivShift: Exploring Domain-Specific Distribution Shifts in Large-Scale, Volunteer-Collected Biodiversity Datasets
Authors: Elena Sierra; Lauren E. Gillespie; Salim Soltani; Moises Exposito-Alonso; Teja Kattenborn
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Large-scale, volunteer-collected datasets of community-identified natural world imagery like iNaturalist have enabled marked performance gains for fine-grained visual classification of species using machine learning methods. However, such data---sometimes referred to as citizen science data---are opportunistic and lack a structured sampling strategy. This volunteer-collected biodiversity data contains geographic, temporal, taxonomic, observers, and sociopolitical biases that can have significant effects on biodiversity model performance, but whose impacts are unclear for fine-grained species recognition performance. Here we introduce Diversity Shift (DivShift), a framework for quantifying the effects of domain-specific distribution shifts on machine learning model performance. To diagnose the performance effects of biases specific to volunteer-collected biodiversity data, we also introduce DivShift - North American West Coast (DivShift-NAWC), a curated dataset of almost 7.5 million iNaturalist images across the western coast of North America partitioned across five types of expert-verified bias. We compare species recognition performance across these bias partitions using a diverse variety of species- and ecosystem-focused accuracy metrics. We observe that these biases confound model performance less than expected from the underlying label distribution shift, and that more data leads to better model performance but the magnitude of these improvements are bias-specific. These findings imply that while the structure within natural world images provides generalization improvements for biodiversity monitoring tasks, the biases present in volunteer-collected biodiversity data can also affect model performance; thus these models should be used with caution in downstream biodiversity monitoring tasks.
Measuring Fine-Grained Urban Air Temperature with Satellite Imagery
Authors: Minhyuk Song; Sungwon Han; Seungeon Lee; Donghyun Ahn; Jihee Kim; Meeyoung Cha
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Recent studies on the urban heat island phenomenon reveal how rapid urbanization intensifies temperature disparities in urban cores, highlighting the need for sustainable urban planning solutions. Analyzing the problems caused by these effects requires high-resolution climate data; however, physical weather stations often lack sufficient regional coverage and resolution. Proposals for alternative methods have attempted to bridge this gap, but they fall short in capturing regional characteristics adequately or necessitate obtaining difficult-to-get input data. This research proposes to use satellite data, where the visual spectrum provides rich information about the degree of human development and is easy to obtain, to measure urban air temperature. Our model, UrbanHeat, uses multi-resolution satellite imagery and employs land surface temperature and global climate data as proxy labels to predict air temperature at a granular scale. The results show that the model provides predictions at a much finer scale while showing superior performance in measuring ordinal relationships between points by capturing both local and broad land cover details of the region. Our case studies demonstrate how predictions at high resolution can help protect vulnerable populations from extreme heat (e.g., elders or developing countries) and contribute to sustainable urban development worldwide.
Aligning Time-series by Local Trends: Applications in Public Health
Authors: Ajitesh Srivastava
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Individual models of infectious diseases or trajectories coming from different simulations may vary considerably, making it challenging for public communication and supporting policy-making. Therefore, it is common in public health to first create a consensus across multiple models and simulations through ensembling. However, current methods are limited to mean and median ensembles that perform aggregation of scale (cases, hospitalizations, deaths) along the time axis, which often misrepresents the underlying trajectories -- e.g., they underrepresent the peak. Instead, we wish to create an ensemble that represents aggregation simultaneously over both time and scale and thus better preserves the properties of the trajectories. This is particularly useful for public health where time-series have a sequence of meaningful local trends that are ordered, e.g., a surge to an increase to a peak to a decrease. We propose a novel alignment method DTW+SBA, which combines a representation of local trends along with dynamic time warping barycenter averaging. We prove key properties of this method that ensure appropriate alignment based on local trends. We demonstrate on real multi-model outputs that our approach preserves the properties of underlying trajectories. We also show that our alignment leads to a more sensible clustering of epidemic trajectories.
Trustworthy and Practical AI for Healthcare: A Guided Deferral System with Large Language Models
Authors: Joshua Strong; Qianhui Men; J. Alison Noble
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) offer a valuable technology for various applications in healthcare. However, their tendency to hallucinate and the existing reliance on proprietary systems pose challenges in environments concerning critical decision-making and strict data privacy regulations, such as healthcare, where the trust in such systems is paramount. Through combining the strengths and discounting the weaknesses of humans and AI, the field of Human-AI Collaboration (HAIC) presents one front for tackling these challenges and hence improving trust. This paper presents a novel HAIC \textit{guided deferral} system that can simultaneously parse medical reports for disorder classification, and defer uncertain predictions with intelligent guidance to humans. We develop methodology which builds efficient, effective and open-source LLMs for this purpose, for the real-world deployment in healthcare. We conduct a pilot study which showcases the effectiveness of our proposed system in practice. Additionally, we highlight drawbacks of standard calibration metrics in imbalanced data scenarios commonly found in healthcare, and suggest a simple yet effective solution: the Imbalanced Expected Calibration Error.
MarkovType: A Markov Decision Process Strategy for Non-Invasive Brain-Computer Interfaces Typing Systems
Authors: Elifnur Sunger; Yunus Bicer; Deniz Erdogmus; Tales Imbiriba
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCIs) help people with severe speech and motor disabilities communicate and interact with their environment using neural activity. This work focuses on the Rapid Serial Visual Presentation (RSVP) paradigm of BCIs using noninvasive electroencephalography (EEG). The RSVP typing task is a recursive task with multiple sequences, where users see only a subset of symbols in each sequence. Extensive research has been conducted to improve classification in the RSVP typing task, achieving fast classification. However, these methods struggle to achieve high accuracy and do not consider the typing mechanism in the learning procedure. They apply binary target and non-target classification without including recursive training. To improve performance in the classification of symbols while controlling the classification speed, we incorporate the typing setup into training by proposing a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) approach. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to formulate the RSVP typing task as a POMDP for recursive classification. Experiments show that the proposed approach, MarkovType, results in a more accurate typing system compared to competitors. Additionally, our experiments demonstrate that while there is a trade-off between accuracy and speed, MarkovType achieves the optimal balance between these factors compared to other methods.
iLLuMinaTE: An LLM-XAI Framework Leveraging Social Science Explanation Theories Towards Actionable Student Performance Feedback
Authors: Vinitra Swamy; Davide Romano; Bhargav Srinivasa Desikan; Oana-Maria Camburu; Tanja Käser
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Recent advances in eXplainable AI (XAI) for education have highlighted a critical challenge: ensuring that explanations for state-of-the-art models are understandable for non-technical users such as educators and students. In response, we introduce iLLuMinaTE, a zero-shot, chain-of-prompts LLM-XAI pipeline inspired by Miller (2019)'s cognitive model of explanation. iLLuMinaTE is designed to deliver theory-driven, actionable feedback to students in online courses. iLLuMinaTE navigates three main stages — causal connection, explanation selection, and explanation presentation — with variations drawing from eight social science theories (e.g. Abnormal Conditions, Pearl's Model of Explanation, Necessity and Robustness Selection, Contrastive Explanation). We extensively evaluate 21,915 natural language explanations of iLLuMinaTE extracted from three LLMs (GPT-4o, Gemma2-9B, Llama3-70B), with three different underlying XAI methods (LIME, Counterfactuals, MC-LIME), across students from three diverse online courses. Our evaluation involves analyses of explanation alignment to the social science theory, understandability of the explanation, and a real-world user preference study with 114 university students containing a novel actionability simulation. We find that students prefer iLLuMinaTE explanations over traditional explainers 89.52% of the time. Our work provides a robust, ready-to-use framework for effectively communicating hybrid XAI-driven insights in education, with significant generalization potential for other human-centric fields.
DroughtSet: Understanding Drought Through Spatial-Temporal Learning
Authors: Xuwei Tan; Qian Zhao; Yanlan Liu; Xueru Zhang
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is critical for mitigating drought-induced risks. However, the intricate interplay among the physical and biological drivers that regulate droughts limits the predictability and understanding of drought, particularly at a subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scale. While deep learning has demonstrated the potential to address climate forecasting challenges, its application to drought prediction has received relatively less attention. In this work, we propose a new dataset, DroughtSet, which integrates relevant predictive features and three drought indices from multiple remote sensing and reanalysis datasets across the contiguous United States (CONUS). DroughtSet specifically provides the machine learning community with a new real-world dataset to benchmark drought prediction models and more generally, time-series forecasting methods. Furthermore, we propose a spatial-temporal model SPDrought to predict and interpret S2S droughts. Our model learns from the spatial and temporal information of physical and biological features to predict three types of droughts simultaneously. Multiple strategies are employed to quantify the importance of physical and biological features for drought prediction. Our results provide insights for researchers to better understand the predictability and sensitivity of drought to biological and physical conditions. We aim to contribute to the climate field by proposing a new tool to predict and understand the occurrence of droughts and provide the AI community with a new benchmark to study deep learning applications in climate science.
Large-Scale School Mapping Using Weakly Supervised Deep Learning for Universal School Connectivity
Authors: Isabelle Tingzon; Utku Can Ozturk; Ivan Dotu
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Improving global school connectivity is critical for ensuring inclusive and equitable quality education. To reliably estimate the cost of connecting schools, governments and connectivity providers require complete and accurate school location data – a resource that is often scarce in many low- and middle-income countries. To address this challenge, we propose a cost-effective, scalable approach to locating schools in high-resolution satellite images using weakly supervised deep learning techniques. Our best models, which combine vision transformers and convolutional neural networks, achieve AUPRC values above 0.96 across 10 pilot African countries. Leveraging explainable AI techniques, our approach can approximate the precise geographical coordinates of the school locations using only low-cost, classification-level annotations. To demonstrate the scalability of our method, we generate nationwide maps of school location predictions in African countries and present a detailed analysis of our results, using Senegal as our case study. Finally, we demonstrate the immediate usability of our work by introducing an interactive web mapping tool to streamline human-in-the-loop model validation efforts by government partners. This work successfully showcases the real-world utility of deep learning and satellite images for planning regional infrastructure and accelerating universal school connectivity.
Hybrid Phenology Modeling for Predicting Temperature Effects on Tree Dormancy
Authors: Ron van Bree; Diego Marcos; Ioannis N. Athanasiadis
Venue: AAAI 2025 (main)

Abstract: Biophysical models offer valuable insights into climate-phenology relationships in both natural and agricultural settings. However, there are substantial structural discrepancies across models which require site-specific recalibration, often yielding inconsistent predictions under similar climate scenarios. Machine learning methods offer data-driven solutions, but often lack interpretability and alignment with existing knowledge. We present a phenology model describing dormancy in fruit trees, integrating conventional biophysical models with a neural network to address their structural disparities. We evaluate our hybrid model in an extensive case study predicting cherry tree phenology in Japan, South Korea and Switzerland. Our approach consistently outperforms both traditional biophysical and machine learning models in predicting blooming dates across years. Additionally, the neural network's adaptability facilitates parameter learning for specific tree varieties, enabling robust generalization to new sites without site-specific recalibration. This hybrid model leverages both biophysical constraints and data-driven flexibility, offering a promising avenue for accurate and interpretable phenology modeling.