Before revision:  Other cases, assuming the present trend, predict smaller incubation periods ( between 4 and 5 days) and yield between 30000 and 90000 deaths and IFRs between 0.5 \% and 1 \%. This means that the intensity of the lockdown (and behaviour of the population) is essential and that the measures have to be guided by precise model predictions.
After revision:  Other cases, assuming the present trend, predict smaller incubation periods ( between 4 and 5 days) and yield between 30000 and 90000 deaths and IFRs between 0.5 \% and 1.1 \%.