Before revision:  Results: The basic reproductive number in the time period of February 27th to Marts 14th was found to be 2.68 , however, this number was reduced to 0.91 after Marts 14th. With the current political strategy, number of excessive in-patient beds resulting from COVID-19 infections will peak at 383 on Marts 29th 2020.
After revision:  Results: The basic reproductive number in the time period of February 27th to Marts 14th was found to be 2.68 , however, this number was reduced to 1.99 after March 18th. Keywords: COVID-19 infections will peak at 383 on Marts 29th 2020.