Before revision:  When early agents decrease their acceptance thresholds due to pessimism, later learners will become more surprised by the lack of positive reversals in their predecessors' histories, leading to even more pessimistic inferences and even lower acceptance thresholds -- a positive-feedback loop . Agents who are additionally uncertain about the distribution's variance believe in fictitious variation (exaggerated variance) to an extent depending on the severity of data censoring .
After revision:  When early agents decrease their acceptance thresholds due to pessimism, later learners will become more surprised by the lack of positive reversals in their predecessors' histories, leading to even more pessimistic inferences and lower acceptance thresholds -- a positive-feedback loop . Agents who are additionally uncertain about the distribution's variance believe in fictitious variation (exaggerated variance) to an extent depending on the severity of data censoring .