Before revision:  Using this model, we were able to reproduce the real behavior of theepidemic within a confidence interval of 5 \%. Moreover, we illustrate possible futurescenarios, associated to different intervals ofR0. This model has been used since thebeginning of March 2020, predicting the Italian peak of the epidemic in April 2020with about 100.000 detected active cases. The real peak of the epidemic happened onthe 20th of April 2020, with 108.000 active cases. This result shows that the modelhas precise predictive power.
After revision:  Using this model, we were able to reproduce the real behavior of theepidemic within a confidence interval of 5