Before revision:  The model provides baseline rates of death registrations expected in the absence of the COVID-19 pandemic, and comparing the baselines to recent counts of registered deaths exposes the emergence of excess deaths late in March 2020.
After revision:  The model provides baseline rates of death registrations expected in the absence of the COVID-19 pandemic, and comparing those baselines to recent counts of registered deaths exposes the emergence of excess deaths late in March 2020.