Before revision:  However, in order to satisfy the needs of its citizens, the strictest containment measures can be only executed for short period.
After revision:  Moreover, the severity of the situation has sparked engagement by both the research and clinical community with the goal of developing effective treatments for the disease. This article proposes a time dynamic prediction model with competing risks for the infected individual and develops a simple tool for policy makers to compare different strategies in terms of when to implement the strictest containment measures can be only executed for short period.