Before revision:  We report  an important transition across the levels of social distancing compliance, in the range between 70\% and 80\% levels . This suggests that a compliance of below 70\% is unlikely to succeed for any duration of social distancing, while a compliance at the 90\% level is likely to control the disease within 13-14 weeks, when coupled with effective case isolation and international travel restrictions.
After revision:  We report an important transition across the levels of social distancing compliance, in the range between 70\% and 80\% levels , with compliance at the 90\% level is likely to control the disease within 13-14 weeks, when coupled with effective case isolation and international travel restrictions.