Before revision:  The method is based on the formulation of the mortality as a combination of cubic splines and it is applied to the  case of Lobesia botrana, the main pest in the European vineyards, with  data collected in a location in the North of Italy . Mortality estimates are based on 3 years of data and are used to obtain the dynamics for two different years.
After revision:  The method is based on the formulation of the mortality as a combination of cubic splines and it is applied to the case of Lobesia botrana, the main pest in the European vineyards, with data collected in a location in the North of Italy for five consecutive years. Data collected over three years are used to obtain the dynamics for two different years.