Duruo/forecastbench-single_question huggingface dataset:
Question: Will Belichick head coach the Commanders in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for the Washington Commanders before any other NFL team in the 2024-25 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for any other NFL team or doesn't sign to head coach at all in the 2024-25 NFL season by the start of the first game of the regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, any signing NFL team, and/or Bill Belichick and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0
Question: Will Belichick head coach the Giants in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for the New York Giants before any other NFL team in the 2024-25 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for any other NFL team or doesn't sign to head coach at all in the 2024-25 NFL season by the start of the first game of the regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, any signing NFL team, and/or Bill Belichick and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0
Question: Another player Week 1 starter for Steelers?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a player other than Justin Fields or Russell Wilson is listed as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2024 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official NFL gamebook or team announcement for the Steelers' Week 1 game does not list a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0
Question: Justin Fields Week 1 starter for Steelers?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Fields is listed as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers in their Week 1 regular season game of the 2024 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the official NFL gamebook or team announcement for the Steelers' Week 1 game does not list a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 1
Question: Will Belichick not be head coach in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Belichick is not announced as head coach for any NFL team in the 2024-25 NFL season by the start of the first game in the regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for any NFL team in the 2024-25 season before the start of the first game of the regular season, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, any signing NFL team, and/or Bill Belichick and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 1
Question: Will Belichick head coach another team in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for any NFL team other than one of the following, before any other NFL team, in the 2024-25 NFL season: Atlanta Falcons, Los Angeles Chargers, Washington Commanders, Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, New York Giants, Philadelphia Eagles. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, any signing NFL team, and/or Bill Belichick and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket
Public human forecast: 0.01
Superforecaster forecast: 0
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0
Question: Will Belichick head coach the Titans in the 2024-25 NFL season?
Background: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for the Tennessee Titans before any other NFL team in the 2024-25 NFL season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Bill Belichick is announced as head coach for any other NFL team or doesn't sign to head coach at all in the 2024-25 NFL season by the start of the first game of the regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL, any signing NFL team, and/or Bill Belichick and his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0
Question: Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Background: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares H5N1 (bird flu) a pandemic by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information form the WHO, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Source: polymarket
Resolved outcome (1 = Yes, 0 = No): 0