Implicit Factors and Voting Behaviour Inconsistency: From Theoretical Concept to Empirical Phenomenon
Journal: Monitoring obŝestvennogo mneniâ: èkonomičeskie i socialʹnye peremeny
Year: 2020

Several recent elections and referendums were marked by a dramatic failure in pre-election prediction based on large-scale surveys among voters. As a reaction to public anger and discontent among politicians alternative strategies (prediction markets, Implicit Association Test (IAT), expectation-based forecast, etc.) are being developed. The industry of election polling has also made progress: a number of studies have shown that a relatively low accuracy of forecasts was caused by inconsistencie