Forecasting Ukraine’s UEFA Ranking in a Crisis Context: Regression Analysis to 2030
Journal: Слобожанський науково-спортивний вісник
Year: 2025

Background and Study Aim. The performance of national football associations in UEFA tournaments reflects not only athletic success but also institutional stability and resource sustainability. Since 2014, and particularly following the full-scale Russian invasion in 2022, Ukrainian football has faced unprecedented disruption, resulting in the decline of its UEFA association coefficient. This study aims to forecast Ukraine’s UEFA national association coefficient through 2030 using regression-base