Terrorist attacks and public approval and confidence in the Russian president: Evidence from time series analysis
Journal: Munich Personal RePEc Archive (Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)
Year: 2019

In this paper we apply time series analysis to examine weekly data of Vladimir Putin’s approval and confidence ratings and their dependence on terrorist attacks. We find that minor terrorist attacks with few or no mortal casualties in Chechnya, Ingushetia and Dagestan increase Putin’s ratings, while major terrorist attacks, with more than four mortal casualties, have a negative impact. There is also evidence that terrorist attacks in other Russian regions reduce Putin’s public approval; however,