Hidden Markov Model and States Prediction of an Autonomous Wind-Diesel Complex
Journal: E3S Web of Conferences
Year: 2023

The problem of assessing the reliability and analyzing the functioning of an autonomous winddiesel complex, consisting of a wind power plant, working and standby diesel generators, an inverter and a storage battery, is considered. First, a semi-Markov model of an autonomous wind-diesel complex is built, which makes it possible to calculate the stationary and temporal reliability characteristics. Then, on its basis, a hidden Markov model is developed, which is used to solve the problems of predic