Future Warfare: Developing a Viable Strategy
Journal: ANU Press eBooks
Year: 2025

But despite their huge number, these factors fall into three broad categories: enduring features (constants) of the environment; continuities (trends); and discontinuities, sometimes called shocks or strategic surprises.By far the most important of these-and the hardest to account for, in any predictive analysis of future conflict-are discontinuities. Constants, trends and shocksConstants either do not change, or change so slowly that analysts often consider them as fixed features of the environ