Bringing “Geo” Back into Politics: Evolution, Territoriality and the Contest over Ukraine
Journal: Cliodynamics The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution
Year: 2014

As the crisis continues to unfold in Ukraine, important questions are being asked about how we got here and what we should expect next. Political science sometimes gets a bad rap for a poor ability to make predictions in a world of complex events, but building on some foundational principles, broad predictions are possible. In a 2008 Foreign Policy article, Toft expressed particular concern about Russia's maneuvering in the region; she indicated that as the crisis in Georgia over South Ossetia w