Estimates of the accuracy and rate of convergence of short-term meteorological forecasts using the regional climate model RegCM4
Journal: E3S Web of Conferences
Year: 2023

We use the regional climate model RegCM 4.9 for the territory of Southern Russia to estimate the accuracy of meteorological forecasts. The errors of meteorological and climatic forecasts is due to complex non-equilibrium physicochemical processes in the components of the Earth's geosystem, which are characterized by gasdynamic and thermal instabilities at various spatial scales. A method for assessing the convergence of forecasts based on time series analysis is discussed for various localities.