Development оf combined method for predicting the process of the occurrence of emergencies of natural character
Journal: Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies
Year: 2018

We developed a combined method for forecasting of the process of occurrence of emergency situations of a natural character. In contrast with other methods, it makes it possible to perform a complex forecasting of emergency situations, both in general and by types, taking into consideration trends of periodic changes in the process. We considered a number of emergencies for a certain period of time as a generalized parameter of the process. Taking into consideration an influence impact of all des