State capacity, military modernisation, and balancing: A conditional model of state capacity neoclassical realism
Journal: Review of International Studies
Year: 2025

Abstract Typically, neoclassical realist scholars who prioritise state capacity as an intervening variable in their studies have often implied that states directly convert increased state capacity into improved military capabilities, leading them to engage in internal balancing and, occasionally, war. This article argues that the causal chain from state capacity to military modernisation and balancing is not as straightforward as the existing literature makes it look like. Using Russia’s 2022 in