Conventional Wisdom and the Next Unknown
Journal: World Policy Journal
Year: 2015

Despite our inability to anticipate or predict it, intelligence analysts across the public and private sector are constantly on the lookout for the next Unknown. In fact, the role of the intelligence community is to identify future threats, collating all the intel available on potential crisis areas and then backing it up with state-of-the-art computer capacity and robust human analysis rooted in expertise from every corner of the globe.But even with this capacity, the one predictable and immuta