Impact of the war in Ukraine on international trade trends
Journal: Mokslas - Lietuvos ateitis
Year: 2025

The ongoing war in Ukraine, which began in 2014, has significantly disrupted global trade, particularly in energy, agriculture, and supply chains. This study integrates economic, trade, and geopolitical theories with empirical data to analyse the conflict’s immediate and long-term effects on international trade. Key findings reveal a sharp decline in Ukraine’s agricultural exports, with grain and oilseed shipments dropping over 40% since 2022, exacerbating global shortages. Fertilizer exports fr