From Stability to Escalation: Temporal Dynamics of Discursive Risk in NATO’s Facebook Communication on the Ukraine–Russia War
Journal: Social Sciences
Year: 2026

This article examines how NATO adapted its public communication during the 2022–2025 Ukraine–Russia war by analysing over 1400 Facebook posts through an integrated interpretive–computational approach. While existing research mainly focuses on media narratives or public reactions, institutional emotional signalling remains underexplored. To address this gap, the study combines sentiment analysis, transformer-based emotion detection, dictionary-based conflict scoring, and a composite Daily Risk In