Predicting the dynamics of range shifts under climate change: assumptions and applications to the European bryophyte flora
Journal: Open Repository and Bibliography (University of Liège)
Year: 2021

Climate change has and will have a dramatic impact on species ranges. Terrestrial species have accordingly already migrated poleward at a median speed of 16.9km per decade since the beginning of the industrial era. However, many species are not equipped to efficiently track the geographic changes of the conditions matching their climatic niche, and are consequently prone to extinction. No less than about 20% of land plant species are hence threatened with extinction in the future, with major con