Preferences for Peace between Ukraine and Russia: Experimental Evidence from Transatlantic Elites
Year: 2025

Relations between the US and its European partners are at a post-World War II low. What impact will this ongoing rift have on the settlement of the Russo-Ukrainian War? We offer original experimental evidence from a conjoint ‘scenario exercise’ run with 53 attendees of the highly exclusive Munich Security Conference (MSC) in 2025 (n = 147 unique choice task answers). Our experiment presented randomized settlement scenarios that differed across six key issues. MSC participants – whom we use as pr