Projecting the Impact of Climate Change on the Black Sea: A High-Resolution Regional Modeling Study
Year: 2026

Global climate models struggle to accurately represent the dynamics of the Black Sea because it's so isolated from the open ocean, connected only by the narrow Turkish Straits. To overcome this limitation and study how the Black Sea will be affected by future climate change, we need to use high-resolution regional models. We've developed a new 5km resolution regional model of the Black Sea using the NEMO 4.2.1 ocean circulation model. To validate our new model, we compared it against a well-esta